20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -109

The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 29-13 in their last 42 games overall.  Shockingly, they have lost the first two games of this series to the lowly Chicago Cubs thanks to self-inflicted wounds.  That just means they'll come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 to avoid the sweep.

The Red Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.  Boston is 6-0 in its last six Sunday games.  The Red Sox are 40-15 in their last 55 games after losing the first two games of a series.  The Cubs are 10-31 in their last 41 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 interleague home games.  Bet the Red Sox Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115)

The Milwaukee Brewers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  Brandon Woodruff is 6-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three.

Woodruff is 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 10 career starts against Pittsburgh and the Brewers have gone 8-2 in those 10 starts with seven wins by two runs or more.  He'll be opposed by Zach Thompson, who is 2-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.406 WHIP In 12 starts this season.  Thompson has faced the Brewers once in his career, allowing 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 6-1 defeat back on April 18th this season.

The Brewers are 17-3 in their last 20 Sunday road games.  Milwaukee is 75-36 in its last 111 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight road games.  Milwaukee is 40-15 in the last 55 meetings, including 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -134

The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 29-12 in their last 41 games overall.  They should be bigger favorites over the lowly Chicago Cubs today.  They'll come back highly motivated for a win after blowing a 4-0 lead in a 6-5 loss to the Cubs yesterday.

Josh Winckowski is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in his last three starts for the Red Sox.  Alec Mills will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Cubs.  His first was a disaster as he allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 2/3 innings against the Cardinals on June 26th.  Mills is 12-14 with a 4.96 ERA in 256 innings in the big leagues.

The Red Sox are 42-12 in their last 54 interleague road games.  Boston is 13-3 in its last 16 games following a loss.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 9

The Detroit Tigers have the worst offense in baseball.  They are hitting .227 and scoring 3.0 runs per game this season.  The Kansas City Royals haven't been much better, hitting .238 and scoring 3.8 runs per game.  The Royals have scored 4 runs or fewer in five straight games, while the Tigers have scored 3 runs or fewer in three straight.

I like what I've seen from Detroit's Beau Brieske, especially at home.  Brieske is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in five home starts this season.  Kris Bubic has poor numbers, but he owns the Tigers, going 2-0 with a 2.67 ERA in five career starts against them.  The UNDER is 4-1 in those five starts.

The Tigers are 7-0 in Brieske's seven starts following a loss this season.  The UNDER is 15-3 in Tigers 18 games following a loss by two runs or less this season.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Royals last nine road games.  The UNDER is 24-7-1 in the last 32 meetings.  The UNDER is 26-10-2 in Tigers last 38 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The UNDER is 33-15-3 in Tigers last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-125)

I cashed the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line yesterday in their 19-2 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  I'm going back to the well here today.  The Brewers are hot at the plate having scored 4 runs or more in nine consecutive games.

Milwaukee has the advantage on the mound with Aaron Ashby, who has posted a 0.93 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in two career starts against Pittsburgh, allowing just one earned run in 9 2/3 innings.  The Brewers will feast on Bryse Wilson, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.

Indeed, Wilson is 0-3 with a 12.19 ERA and 2.322 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings.  He has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-25 in its last 32 games following a loss by 15 runs or more and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 75-35 in its last 110 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-1 in their last seven road games.  Milwaukee is 40-14 in the last 54 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-110)

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in eight consecutive games.  They are hot at the plate and they should have no problem beating the Pittsburgh Pirates by two runs or more with their ace on the mound tonight.

Corbin Burnes is 6-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in 15 starts this season with a whopping 119 K's in 93 1/3 innings.  Burnes has been at his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  He has never lost to the Pirates, going 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-26 in its last 33 games following two or more consecutive wins and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 74-35 in its last 109 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 39-14 in the last 53 meetings.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -130

The Boston Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball.  They have gone 29-11 in their last 40 games overall.  They should be bigger favorites over the lowly Chicago Cubs today given the spot.  The Red Sox had yesterday off while the Cubs completed a series with the Reds Thursday.  Boston is the fresher, healthier, better team here.

Rich Hill has been at his best on the road this season, going 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in eight starts away from home.  Hill is 2-1 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.806 WHIP in five career starts against the Cubs.  Chicago has struggled against left-handed starters this season.

Adrian Sampson will make his second start of the season for the Cubs.  Sampson is 7-14 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.387 WHIP across 199 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is 0-1 with a 9.31 ERA and 1.758 WHIP In two career starts against Boston, allowing 10 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 2/3 innings.

Chicago is 1-10 in its last 11 games following a win by 6 runs or more over a division opponent.  Boston is a perfect 7-0 in its last seven games following an off day.  The Red Sox are 42-11 in their last 53 interleague road games.  The Cubs are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague games.  Bet the Red Sox Friday.

20* Yankees/Astros AL No-Brainer on New York -117

The New York Yankees are the best team in baseball at 56-20 this season.  We are getting them at a pretty great value as short favorites over the Houston Astros tonight in Game 1 of this series and we'll take advantage.

The Yankees have the advantage on the mound and at the plate in Game 1.  Luis Severino is 4-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 87 K's in 72 innings.  Severino allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings to the Astros in his lone start against them this season.

Luis Garcia is 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.056 WHIP In 13 starts this season with 12 homers allowed in 71 innings.  Garcia is 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA in six home starts with 7 homers allowed in 33 innings.  He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Yankees in his lone career start against them last season.

The Yankees score 5.0 runs per game this season and 5.2 runs per game on the road.  The Astros score 4.3 runs per game on the season and 4.1 runs per game at home.  They will be without Michael Brantley (.288 in 243 AB's) and could be without both Yordan Alvarez (23 HR, 56 RBI) and Jeremy Pena (.275 in 204 AB's), who are questionable.

The Yankees are 49-14 in their last 63 games overall.  New York is 14-2 in its last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Yankees Thursday.

15* AL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +173

The Chicago White Sox are undervalued right now due to their 35-38 record this season.  They have way too much talent to have that record, and some injuries have held them back.  But they are getting healthier and coming off an 11-4 victory over the Angels yesterday.

The White Sox cannot be this big of an underdog to the Angels with Michael Kopech on the mound.  He has posted a 2.58 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Shohei Ohtani has been great, but even his numbers don't match Kopech.  He has a 2.90 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 12 starts this season.

The Angels are 9-24 in their last 33 games overall, which is also why they can't be this big of a favorite.  Los Angeles is 3-13 in its last 16 games vs. a starting pitcher with better than a 1.15 WHIP.  Chicago is 7-3 in its last 10 road games.  Take the White Sox Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Colorado Rockies +175

The Los Angeles Dodgers are without Mookie Betts and struggling at the plate right now.  They have scored a total of 16 runs in their last five games overall for an average of just 3.2 runs per game.  They have dropped the first two games of this series to the Rockies while getting outscored 11-4 in the process.

German Marquez is going through his best stretch of the season and just seems to dominate every year in June.  He is 3-0 with a 3.16 ERA in his last four starts while allowing only 9 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings.  Marquez owns the Dodgers, going 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.

Julio Urias has posted some great numbers this season, but he does not enjoy facing the Rockies.  Urias is 2-2 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.  It has gone even worse for him over the past two seasons as he has allowed 15 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings for a 6.86 ERA in his last four starts against them.

The Dodgers are 1-6 (-10.5 Units) in Urias' seven starts as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season.  The Rockies are 9-2 (+9.4 Units) in Marquez's last 11 home starts as an underdog.  Los Angeles tends to get swept in this situation, going 0-7 in their last seven games after losing the first two games of a series.  Colorado is 42-34 (+21.3 Units) vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  Roll with the Rockies Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall.  The Chicago Cubs have scored a total of 36 runs in their last six games overall for an average of 6.0 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine for 8 runs or more today to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket.

Justin Steele is 2-5 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.454 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-7 loss to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  Steele allowed 7 earned runs in 2 innings to the Reds on May 26th to fall to 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.091 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Hunter Greene has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-8 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in 14 starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Greene allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings against the Cubs opposite Steele on May 26th.

The OVER is 10-2 in Steele's last 12 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 18-8-3 in Cubs last 29 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 21-8-3 in Reds last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+120)

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory after going just 2-6 in their last eight games overall during one of their worst stretches of the season.  Now they face the lowly Detroit Tigers and will get right with a blowout victory in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.

The Giants have a big advantage on the mound behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.087 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in six home starts.  He has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.619 WHIP while allowing just one earned run in 21 innings with 26 K's.

Rodon is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts against the Tigers, allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 innings with a whopping 27 K's.  He'll be opposed by Tarik Skubal, who has come back down to reality in his last three starts.  He has gone 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA and 2.048 WHIP while allowing 15 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

The Giants are 14-7 and scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  The Tigers are hitting .213 and scoring 2.7 runs per game on the road this season.  Detroit is 9-22 in its last 31 road games.  San Francisco is 23-9 in its last 32 games following an off day.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Rockies UNDER 11

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing without Mookie Betts right now and struggling at the plate.  They have scored a total of just 12 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 3.0 runs per game after getting shut out 4-0 by the Rockies yesterday.

Colorado hasn't been any better at the plate.  The Rockies have scored 4 runs or fewer in six consecutive games and an average of just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch.  Oddsmakers have set this total way too high today between the Dodgers and Rockies given how poorly both are at the plate.

Amazingly, the UNDER is 15-1-1 in Kyle Freeland's 17 career starts against the Dodgers where he has gone 3-8 with a respectable 4.42 ERA in those 17 starts.  Clayton Kershaw is 24-9 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 44 career starts against Colorado.  Kershaw has a 2.00 ERA in eight starts this season, while Freeland has a 4.29 ERA in 14 starts.

The UNDER is 36-16 in Freeland's 52 career starts with a total of 11 or higher.  The UNDER is 7-1-2 in Dodgers last 10 games following a loss.  The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Dodgers last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The UNDER is 41-19-1 in Rockies last 61 games with a total of 11 or higher.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Astros/Mets Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Houston Astros and New York Mets have two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Mets are scoring 4.9 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game at home.  The Astros are scoring 4.3 runs per game overall and 4.4 runs per game on the road.  These teams should easily combine for 8 runs or more to top this total in Game 1 of this interleague series tonight.

Carlos Carrasco just faced the Astros in his last start and allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 1/3 innings.  Carrasco is now 1-2 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.950 WHIP in his last three starts coming in, allowing 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

Framber Valdez is a solid lefty for the Astros, but the Mets will get to him enough to help contribute to this OVER today.  He has allowed 3 earned runs in each of his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 32-14 in Carrasco's last 46 home starts following a team loss.  The OVER is 15-5 in Mets last 20 games vs. AL teams that score 4.4 or more runs per game.  The OVER is 6-1 in Astros last seven during Game 1 of a series.  The OVER is 8-1 in Mets last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 19-9-3 in Mets last 31 games overall.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Guardians OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians just squared off five days ago with this same pitching matchup of Sonny Gray vs. Triston McKenzie. The Guardians won 11-10 for 21 combined runs. It should be another easy OVER today.

McKenzie allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in that outing. Gray allowed 3 earned runs and 8 hits in 4 innings opposite him.

McKenzie is now 1-4 with a 6.39 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. Gray hasn't made out out of the 5th inning in any of his last three starts against Cleveland.

The OVER is 8-2 in Guardians last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 26-10 OVER in its last 36 games vs. a AL team with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Dodgers/Braves ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -110

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday to win this series and get some revenge on the Braves, who knocked them out of the postseason last year.  I like their chances with the underrated Tony Gonsolin on the mound tonight.

Gonsolin is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in 13 starts this season and a clear Cy Young contender.  He fired 6 shutout innings in a 5-1 victory over the Braves on April 20th in his lone start against them this season.

Spencer Strider has tremendous stuff for the Braves with 35 K's in 23 1/3 innings.  But he doesn't control it very well as he has already allowed 14 earned runs and 11 walks in those 23 1/3 innings for a 5.40 ERA.  He is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.

The Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season, while the Braves are only scoring 4.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Los Angeles is 91-43 in its last 134 games overall so it's rare to get them at even money like we are tonight.  Roll with the Dodgers Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Padres UNDER 7.5

Both teams are dealing with some injuries that are going to help us cash this UNDER.  Bryce Harper just suffered a broken hand yesterday and is out for the Phillies.  The Padres have been without three of their best hitters in Machado, Tatis Jr. and Myers for a while now.

It's a big reason the Padres have scored 4 runs or less in eight of their last nine games overall.  They will struggle to get to Kyle Gibson, who si 4-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three.  Gibson is also 2-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in four career starts against San Diego.

Yu Darvish is back this season.  He is 7-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 13 starts, including 4-1 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.645 WHIP in six home starts.  Darvish is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in sis career starts against Philadelphia.  These two starters squared off on May 19th already this season with Darvish getting the upper hand on Gibson in a 2-0 victory by the Padres.  It should be more of the same in this pitcher's duel today.

Darvish is 8-0 UNDER with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  San Diego is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a five-game span where the bullpen posted a 2.00 ERA or better this season.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Padres last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  These three trends combine for a perfect 22-0 system backing the UNDER today.  Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are absolutely raking right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 21 of their last 29 games overall while going 18-11 during this stretch.  They have scored a total of 45 runs in their last six games for an average of 7.5 runs per game against the White Sox, Yankees and Brewers.

The Blue Jays will stay hot at the plate today against Chi Chi Gonzalez, who is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in three starts this season.  He hasn't made it out of the 5th inning in any of his three starts while allowing 9 earned runs in 11 innings.  Gonzalez is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts against the Blue Jays, one of which came on June 3rd of this year.

The Brewers will certainly do their part to contribute to this OVER.  They have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  They will tee off on Jose Berrios, who is 2-3 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in eight road starts this season, pitching his worst away from home.

The OVER is 24-6 in Blue Jays last 30 games overall.  The OVER is 9-1 in Blue Jays 10 games following a one-run loss this season.  The OVER is 10-3 in Berrios' 13 starts this season.  The OVER is 18-9 in Milwaukee's 27 day games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-107)

The San Francisco Giants come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight and five of their last six.  That includes a 4-2 loss to the Reds yesterday as a -210 favorite.  They will win in blowout fashion today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Logan Webb is 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA in seven home starts.  He is the clear ace of this San Francisco staff.  Webb fired 6 shutout innings in a 6-3 victory over the Reds in his line career start against them last season.

Mike Minor is 1-3 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four starts this season.  Minor is 0-2 with a 10.12 ERA in his last two start against the Giants, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings of blowout 14-2 and 9-2 losses.

The Giants are 19-2 in Webb's 21 home starts over the past two seasons and winning by 2.3 runs per game.  San Francisco is also 19-2 in Webb's last 21 starts vs. teams that strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game and winning by 3.3 runs per game on average.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -124

The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-5 in their last 21 games overall and playing their best baseball of the season.  The San Diego Padres are 3-4 in their last seven games overall and have been held to 4 runs or fewer in six of those seven games.  They are struggling to score runs right now due to being without three of their best hitters in Tatis Jr, Machado and Myers.

The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to victory.  Aaron Nola is 4-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.859 WHIP in 14 starts this season, 2-3 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in seven road starts, and 1-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three starts.

Nola has posted a 3.38 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in seven career starts against San Diego.  He'll be opposed by Mackenzie Gore, who is coming off two of his worst starts of the season.  He is 0-2 with a 19.91 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings.  

The Phillies are scoring 5.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season and 5.2 runs per game on the road.  The Padres are scoring just 3.9 runs per game at home.  Philadelphia is 7-0 in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 40-18 in their last 58 trips to San Diego.  Roll with the Phillies Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -144

The Toronto Blue Jays are absolutely raking right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 20 of their last 27 games overall while going 17-10 during this stretch.  They have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and a total of 32 runs in those four games against the White Sox and Yankees.

The Blue Jays come in fresh and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off.  Meanwhile, the Brewers concluded a four-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals yesterday.  I'll gladly back the fresher Blue Jays who have a massive advantage on the mound tonight.

Alek Manoah has backed up his incredible rookie season with a Cy Young-worthy campaign thus far in 2022.  He is 8-2 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA in his last three starts to fall to 4-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 13 starts this season.

The Blue Jays are 25-8 in Manoah's 33 starts over the past two seasons.  Toronto is 10-4 in its last 14 road games.  The Blue Jays are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague games.  The Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.  Bet the Blue Jays Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -113

Don't look now but the Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 28-11 in their last 39 games overall while remarkably scoring at least 5 runs in 24 of those 28 victories to play up to their potential.  They are fresh after having yesterday off, while the Guardians just concluded a three-game series with the Minnesota Twins Thursday.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound with ace Nick Pivetta, who is 7-5 with a 3.31 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Few starters have been better than Pivetta over the last two months.  He is 7-1 with a 1.62 ERA in his last nine starts, allowing just 11 earned runs in 61 innings.

He'll be opposed by Cal Quantrill, who is 4-4 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.270 WHIP in 12 starts this season with only 44 K's in 71 2/3 innings.  Quantrill is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-1 loss to the Dodgers.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings of an 8-5 loss to the Red Sox in his last start against them.

Quantrill's teams are 6-24 (-17 units) in his 30 career starts as an underdog.  The Red Sox are 9-2 in their last 11 road games.  Boston is 6-0 in its last six games following an off day.  Take the Red Sox Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres -142

The San Diego Padres are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in eight of those 10 games.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Philadelphia Phillies, who have lost three games in a row to the Rangers and Nationals while scoring a combined 6 runs in the three losses.

Joe Musgrove is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.  He is 8-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 12 starts this season and the Padres have gone 11-1 in his 12 starts.  Musgrove has never lost to the Phillies, going 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Ranger Suarez is 5-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Phillies.  The Padres are 17-7 vs. left-handed starters this season and scoring 4.7 runs per game against them.  The Phillies are 3-9 in their last 12 games as underdogs.  San Diego is 14-6 in its last 20 games overall.  Take the Padres Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -120

The Seattle Mariners have outscored the Oakland A's 17-2 in winning each of the first two games of this series.  They are getting their bats going and they should pull off the sweep today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Robbie Ray won the AL Cy Young last season with the Blue Jays.  He got off to a slow start this season for the Mariners, but he is dialed in and pitching up to his potential of late.  Ray is 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in his last two starts to improve to 6-6 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 14 starts this season.

Ray is 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 0.964 WHIP in three career starts against Oakland, allowing just 6 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with a whopping 29 K's.  He'll be opposed by Frankie Montas, who is 1-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in his last three starts.  The A's are 0-3 in Montas' last three starts against the Mariners.

Oakland is 1-9 in Montas' 10 home starts this season.  The A's have zero home-field advantage as they are 8-28 at home and hitting .198 while scoring 2.4 runs per game this season.  The Mariners are 20-8 in their last 28 games as road favorites.  Oakland is 13-38 in its last 51 games overall.  Seattle is 10-1 in its last 11 meetings at Oakland.  Roll with the Mariners Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Twins OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Guardians and Twins this afternoon.  Temperatures will be approaching 90 with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Target Field.  Both of these teams are raking right now and should continue to do so today after combining for 21 runs yesterday.

Devin Smeltzer is really struggling of late for the Twins.  He is 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 7 homers in 14 1/3 innings with only 7 K's.  He has just 19 K's in 38 1/3 innings on the season so his stuff isn't very good.  Smeltzer is 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in four career starts against Cleveland.

Zach Plesac has been at his worst on the road this season, going 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA in six starts away from home.  Plesac has never beaten the Twins, going 0-1 with 6.26 ERA in four career starts against them.  Both lineups are healthy right now and should get to both of these starting pitchers again today.

The OVER is 37-22 in Guardians last 59 road games with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Twins last 11 home games.  The OVER is 9-0 in Twins last nine home games vs. right-handed starters.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Angels will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals.  They lost last night despite scoring 11 runs.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate and to win by multiple runs due to their big advantage on the mound.

Ace Shohei Ohtani takes the ball after hitting two homers and finishing with 8 RBI's last night.  Ohtani is 5-4 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has a whopping 77 K's and only 15 walks in 60 1/3 innings this season.

Daniel Lynch is 3-6 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Royals.  He is only averaging 4.9 innings per start, so the Angels will get into their bullpen early.  Salvador Perez may miss this game for the Royals after suffering a thumb injury that forced him out of the game last night.

The Royals are 8-22 in their last 30 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Kansas City is 5-15 in its last 20 vs. a right-handed starter.  The Angels are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings, including 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Twins OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Guardians and Twins tonight.  Temperatures will be in the mid-80's with 11 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Target Field.  Both of these teams are raking right now and should continue to do so tonight.

This total has been set low because both Triston McKenzie and Sonny Gray have posted solid numbers in limited action this season.  But Gray is only averaging 4.8 innings per start and still working his way back from injury.  McKenzie does not enjoy facing the Twins, going 1-4 with a 5.40 ERA in five career starts against them.

The OVER is 36-22 in Guardians last 58 road games with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs.  The OVER is 8-1-1 in Twins last 10 home games.  Both lineups are almost fully healthy right now.  Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles -141

Yes, I'm willing to lay this big of a number with the lowly Baltimore Orioles tonight.  They have such a big advantage on the mound that they should be bigger favorites.  I nearly took them on the -1.5 run line but didn't want to be greedy, though they probably win this game in a blowout.

Tyler Wells is 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 13 starts for the Orioles this season, including 1-0 with a 2.66 ERA and 0.929 WHIP in five home starts.  The Orioles have an underrated bullpen that has posted a 3.19 ERA on the season and a 2.36 ERA at home to support Wells.

Pat Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-9 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.780 WHIP in 14 starts, including 1-4 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.883 WHIP in six road starts.  Corbin is 1-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in five career starts against the Orioles as well.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts against them.

The Nationals are 0-9 in Corbin's nine starts as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the last two seasons and losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Baltimore is 4-0 in its last four games following a loss.  Roll with the Orioles Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle Mariners -130

The Seattle Mariners have been a big disappointment this season at 29-39 on the year.  But this is their chance to get right with a series against the lowly Oakland A's, who are 23-45 this season and have almost zero home-field advantage because fans don't show up.  The A's are 8-26 at home this season where they are hitting .197 and scoring 2.4 runs per game.

The Mariners have the advantage on the mound tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Marco Gonzalez has posted a 3.41 ERA in 13 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by James Kaprielian, who is 0-4 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.5000 WHIP in nine starts this season while allowing 10 homers in 41 1/3 innings.  Kaprielian has allowed 9 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mariners.

Oakland is 1-10 in home games following a win this season.  The A's are 1-9 in home games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Seattle is 12-2 in its last 14 road games following five or more consecutive home games.  Oakland is 0-15 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better this season.  Roll with the Mariners Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/White Sox OVER 9

The OVER is 20-6 in Blue Jays last 26 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 16 of their last 22 games overall.  The OVER is 14-5-1 in White Sox last 20 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  

It will be a slug fest between two hot offenses tonight in Chicago.  The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER as well.  Temperatures will be in the 90's with 18 MPH winds blowing out to left at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Both starters have good numbers, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  But Kevin Guasman has struggled of late at 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.250 WHIP in his last three starts.  Dylan Caese is a strikeout machine but he allows too many base runners and the Blue Jays will make him pay.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 10 runs or more in all five games.  It will be six in a row tonight.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -154

The Minnesota Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them crushing the Cleveland Guardians.  They also may not have to face Cleveland's best hitter in Jose Ramirez, who is questionable with a thumb injury.

Joe Ryan is 5-3 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Twins.  Ryan has never lost to the Guardians, going 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.500 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 18 innings.

Aaron Civale is having a rough go of it this season.  He is 2-3 with a 7.84 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in seven starts, including 0-2 with a 12.00 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in four road starts.  One of those road starts came at Minnesota on May 13th where he allowed 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 12-8 defeat.

Minnesota is a perfect 5-0 following a loss by 6 runs or more this season.  The Twins are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.  The Guardians are 6-14 in their last 20 games as road underdogs.  Minnesota is 24-10 in its last 34 games as a favorite.  The Twins are 13-5 in their last 18 home meetings with the Guardians.  Bet the Twins Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+110)

The Los Angeles Angels have snapped out of their funk to win four of their last five games all by two runs or more.  They should crush the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of this series due to their advantage on the mound.

Noah Syndergaard is having a tremendous comeback season.  He is 4-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Syndergaard has been at his best at home, going 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.890 WHIP in five home starts.  This is a big step down in competition for him after facing the Dodgers, Red Sox and Yankees in his last three starts coming in.

Kris Bubic has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the Royals.  He is still looking for his first win, going 0-4 with an 8.34 ERA and 1.927 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.046 WHIP in two road starts.  Bubic allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 innings of an 8-1 loss in his lone career start against the Angels last season.  Syndergaard is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 2-18 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season.  It is losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 8-1 in its last nine home meetings with the Royals.  Take the Angels on the Run Line Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/White Sox OVER 9

The OVER is 18-6 in Blue Jays last 24 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 21 games overall.  The OVER is 13-5-1 in White Sox last 19 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  It will be a slug fest tonight in Chicago.

Lance Lynn will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the White Sox and will be on a pitch count.  He just made his 1st start on June 13 and it wasn't pretty as he allowed 3 earned runs and 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 9-5 victory over the Detroit Tigers.  Lynn is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in eight career starts against Toronto.

Jose Berrios has been disappointing for the Blue Jays this season.  He has posted a 4.65 ERA in 13 starts this season.  Berrios has been at his worst on the road, going 2-2 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in seven starts away from home.

The OVER is 12-3 in Blue Jays last 15 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 8-2 in WHite Sox last 10 games following a loss.  The OVER is 6-1 in White Sox last seven vs. AL East opponents.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +155

The St. Louis Cardinals are showing great value today as big road underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers.  One starter is getting too much respect here and the other starter is lacking the respect he deserves.

Miles Mikolas is that disrespected starter for the Cardinals.  He is 5-4 with a 2.62 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in six road starts.  Mikolas is 6-3 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 10 career starts against Milwaukee.

Corbin Burnes has been scuffling for a few weeks now.  He is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three starts and averaging just 4.7 innings per start.  Burnes is 2-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in nine career starts against St. Louis.  

These starters are much more evenly-matched than this line would indicate.  The Cardinals are 37-15 in their last 52 Monday games.  The Brewers are 0-6 in their last six games as home favorites.  St. Louis is 6-2 in its last eight meetings in Milwaukee.  Roll with the Cardinals Monday.

15* White Sox/Astros ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on Chicago +148

The Chicago White Sox are getting their bats going again.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  They are undervalued right now after a disappointing start to the season, but they will prove to be one of the best teams in baseball by season's end.

The White Sox cannot be nearly +150 underdogs to the Astros with the way they are hitting the ball and with Lucas Giolito on the mound.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.929 WHIP in 11 starts this season.

Christian Javier got off to a great start this season but has come back down to earth.  He is now 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.322 WHIP in eight starts this season after going 0-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.683 WHIP in his last three starts.  Roll with the White Sox Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +148

The Cleveland Guardians are quietly one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 14-4 in their last 18 games overall.  They haven't lost two in a row since May 25-26.  Coming off a loss to the Dodgers in Game 2 after winning Game 1, I expect the Guardians to pull the upset Sunday and take this series.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians and he has been one of the best starters in all of baseball over the past few seasons.  Bieber is 3-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in eight road starts.

Andrew Heaney is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers here.  He is making his return from injury after making just two starts up to this point.  He will certainly be on a pitch count.  Heaney allowed 5 runs, 4 earned, in 3 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Guardians in his lone start against them last season.

The Guardians are 13-9 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 5.0 runs per game against them.  The Dodgers are just 7-10 in their last 17 games overall and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 13 of their last 16 games.  Cleveland is 17-2 in Bieber's last 19 starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 1.0 or more runs per game.  Take the Guardians Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -134

The Tampa Bay Rays are undervalued right now due to going 2-6 in their first eight games on this 9-game road trip.  We are getting them at a great value against the Baltimore Orioles today, a team they have owned in going 45-15 in the last 60 meetings, including 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Baltimore.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound today with Corey Kluber, who is having a tremendous comeback season.  He is 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.119 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kluber owns the Orioles, going 5-1 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.

Jordan Lyles is 4-5 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.521 WHIP in 13 starts for the Orioles, including 1-1 with an 8.22 ERA and 1.892 WHIP in his last three starts.  Lyles has never beaten the Rays, going 0-1 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Rays are 56-27 in their last 83 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Orioles are 30-72 in their last 102 vs. AL East opponents.  Baltimore is 37-84 in its last 121 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Rays Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Marlins/Mets UNDER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket today between the Marlins and Mets.  Temperatures are expected to be in the 60's with 17.2 MPH winds blowing in from left-center at the start of the game.

Taijuan Walker has been solid for the Mets this season at 4-2 with a 3.08 ERA in 10 starts, including 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in three home starts.  Braxton Garrett has shown some good stuff in two tough starts against the Giants and Astros, getting through with a 4.00 ERA and 10 K's in 9 innings.  

Garrett pitched 5 shutout innings in a 4-2 victory over the Mets in his lone career start against them.  Walker has allowed 2 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings and 2 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two home starts against the Marlins.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+110)

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory after losing four straight and six of seven to start this brutal road trip.  They'll get back to dominating the Baltimore Orioles like they are used to today with a blowout victory due to their advantage on the mound.

Jeffrey Springs is 2-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Tampa Bay's lone victory during this road trip came with Springs as he fired 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 6-0 win at Minnesota on June 12th.  Springs faced the Orioles on May 21st and pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings in 6-1 victory at Baltimore.

Kyle Bradish is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.667 WHIP In nine starts this season with 10 homers allowed in 42 innings.  He was opposite Springs on May 21st when he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of that 6-1 defeat.  The Rays will get their bats going finally against Bradish today.

The Orioles are 16-35 in their last 51 games following a win.  The Rays are 44-15 in the last 59 meetings, including 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Braves/Cubs NL Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 7.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 7.5 ticket today.  We saw what winds blowing in could do yesterday when the Cubs won 1-0 over the Braves.  Now we'll see it again today with the forecast calling for 62 degrees and 15.7 MPH winds blowing in from left-center at the start of the game at Wrigley Field.

Kyle Wright is a NL Cy Young contender this season.  He is 7-3 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in four road starts.  Wright is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in two career starts against the Cubs as well, both of which went UNDER the total.

Justin Steele has been getting better with each start.  He is 1-5 with a 4.33 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 3.26 ERA in eight starts at Wrigley Field.  Steele has allowed just 2 earned runs in 14 innings in his last two home starts against the Padres and Cardinals.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Braves last five games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Cubs last four home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -121

The Minnesota Twins have the advantage on the mound and at the plate over the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Lefty Drew Smeltzer is 3-0 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in six starts this season for the Twins.

He'll be opposed by Madison Bumgarner, who is 2-6 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 13 starts this season while averaging just 4.9 innings per start.  The Twins are likely to get into Arizona's dreadful bullpen (4.46 ERA, 1.411 WHIP) early in this one.

Minnesota is 7-1 in road games after two straight games with zero home runs this season.  The Twins are 23-8 in their last 31 games as favorites.  Minnesota is 6-0 in its last six Friday games.  The Diamondbacks are 19-41 in their last 60 during Game 1 of a series.  Arizona is 19-42 in its last 61 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the Twins Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Chicago White Sox +146

After a slow start this season amidst massive expectations, the Chicago White Sox are currently undervalued to to their 30-31 record.  But they are starting to play up to their potential, especially at the plate.  The White Sox are 3-0 in their last three games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in each of their last seven games coming in.

The White Sox have feasted on left-handed starters over the past couple seasons.  Now they get to face Houston lefty Framber Valdez, who is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.451 WHIP in five home starts this season.  Valdez is 1-1 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.416 WHIP in three career starts against the White Sox as well.

Lucas Giolito is 4-2 with a 3.88 ERA in 10 starts this season with 70 K's in 53 1/3 innings.  Giolito is 2-3 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in six career starts against the Astros.  He should not be this big of an underdog to Houston today.

Houston is 0-8 after scoring eight runs or more this season.  Chicago is 22-7 in its last 29 road games coming off a 3-game series sweep over a division opponent.  The White Sox are 29-12 (+20.1 Units) in Giolito's 41 career road starts vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse.  Chicago is 5-0 in its last five road games.  Take the White Sox Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 14-0 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 15 contests.  Look for them to make it 15 in a row against a Chicago Cubs team that is 0-10 in their last 10 games overall while getting outscored 90-30 in the process.

Charlie Morton's numbers to this point are keeping the Braves as smaller favorites than they should be this afternoon.  But he has been pretty unfortunate this season, and clearly his stuff is still good as he has 66 K's in 60 1/3 innings, including 20 K's in 11 innings in his last two starts.

The Braves should stay hot at the plate against Keegan Thompson.  He is 3-2 with a 6.26 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-2 with a 13.00 ERA and 2.222 WHIP in his last three starts.  Thompson has allowed 5 homers and 10 walks with only 14 K's in 23 innings this season.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

25* NBA Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Boston Celtics -3

The Boston Celtics finally lost two games in a row for the first time in these playoffs.  I love their chances of bouncing back in Game 6 tonight and forcing a Game 7 with the resiliency we've seen from this team all playoffs.

The Celtics blew a double-digit 4th quarter lead to the Bucks in Game 5 at home and lost to fall behind 3-2.  They proceeded to win Game 6 in Milwaukee by 13 and Game 7 at home by 28.  They had their chance to close out the Heat in Game 6 at home and lost by 8.  They went on to win Game 7 in Miami.  They are battle-tested in these clutch situations.

The hardest game is the close out game for the Warriors.  The lost their first close out game at Denver by 5.  The blew their first opportunity to close out the Grizzlies in a 39-point road loss.  They also blew their first opportunity to close out the Mavericks in a 10-point road loss.  So, they are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their first close out game in all three series in these playoffs.  They know they have Game 7 at home if need be, so they won't be playing with the same kind of urgency the Celtics will be in Game 6.

A lot went wrong for the Celtics in Game 5, not the least of which was a favorable whistle for the Warriors at home.  I think the Celtics will get the favorable whistle at home in Game 6.  Plus, they aren't going to lose the turnover battle 18-6, and they aren't going to miss 10 free throws again.  Those were the biggest differences in the game.

Boston is 11-1 ATS after scoring 95 points or less this season.  The Celtics are 11-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games this season.  The Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games.  Boston is 13-6-2 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  Bet the Celtics in Game 6 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 16 of their last 20 games overall with the OVER going 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.  The Baltimore Orioles have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 13 games overall.

Tyler Wells has been at his worst on the road this season for the Orioles.  He is 2-4 with a 4.80 ERA in seven road starts.  Kevin Gausman has been at his worst at home for the Blue Jays.  He is 2-2 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in six home starts this season.

The OVER is 21-7-1 in Orioles last 29 games overall.  The OVER is 9-0 in Blue Jays last eight home games.  The OVER is 8-0-2 in the last eight meetings.  The Orioles and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last 11 meetings.  Roll with the OVER In this game Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-125)

The San Diego Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 games overall with nine wins by two runs or more.  They have scored 31 combined runs in crushing the Cubs in the first two games of this series.  It should be more of the same today against a Cubs team that is 0-9 in their last nine games overall while getting outscored 84-26 in the process.

The Padres have a big advantage on the mound tonight today behind ace Joe Musgrove.  He is 7-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in 11 starts this season and the Padres have gone 10-1 in his 11 starts.  Musgrove owns the Cubs with a 1.97 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in eight career starts against them.

Matt Swarmer's stats are mind-blowing this season.  He has already allowed 9 homers in 17 innings across three starts for the Cubs.  The wind will be blowing out to center at Wrigley Field again, so that's bad news for Swarmer.  To compare, Musgrove has only allowed 4 homers in 72 innings this season.

The Padres are 6-0 in their last six road games.  The Cubs are 19-47 in their last 66 home games.  Take the Padres on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 19 games overall with the OVER going 15-5 in their last 20 games overall.  The Baltimore Orioles have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.

There will be plenty of runs tonight to top this 9-run total between two starting pitchers.  Heck, the Blue Jays may cover it themselves.  They'll feast on Bruce Zimmerman, who is 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA in 12 starts this season, 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA in six road starts and 0-3 with an 11.30 ERA in his last three starts.  Jose Berrios is 5-2 with a 4.73 ERA in 12 starts for the Blue Jays.

The OVER is 20-7-1 in Orioles last 28 games overall.  The OVER is 8-0 in Blue Jays last eight home games.  The OVER is 7-0-2 in the last eight meetings.  The Orioles and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last 10 meetings.  Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-129)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-5 in their last 19 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of those 19 games.  They are coming off a one-run loss to the Orioles yesterday, which works in our favor here because the Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games following a loss with seven wins by two runs or more.

The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound today with Jose Berrios, who is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in five home starts this season.  Berrios has never lost to the Orioles, going 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in eight career starts against them.

Bruce Zimmerman is 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA in 12 starts this season, 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA in six road starts and 0-3 with an 11.30 ERA in his last three starts.  Zimmerman has one career start against the Blue Jays, allowing 3 earned runs in 2/3 of an inning in a 4-12 loss to Toronto last season.

Baltimore is 3-36 in its last 39 games after a five-game span with a bullpen ERA of 7.00 or worse coming in and losing by 4.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  Toronto is 37-14 in its last 51 games following a loss.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 13-0 in their last 13 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 14 contests.  Look for them to make it 14 in a row in Game 3 against the Washington Nationals tonight.

Spencer Strider has been impressive in his three starts for the Braves this season.  He is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 20 K's in 14 innings with only one homer allowed.  He will shut down this Washington lineup tonight.

I'll gladly fade Erick Fedde, who is 4-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.535 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 10.03 ERA and 2.142 WHIP in his last three.  Fedde has never beaten the Braves, going 0-4 with a 10.01 ERA and 2.123 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Atlanta is 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.  The Braves are 21-7 in their last 28 trips to Washington.  The Nationals are 17-41 in their last 58 home games.  Washington is 12-41 in its last 53 games as a home underdog.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+100)

The Cleveland Guardians are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games overall to get to 29-27 and above .500 for the first time this year.  Now they send their ace to the mound to continue their momentum in Game 1 of this series with Colorado tonight.

Shane Bieber has been one of the best starters in baseball over the past couple seasons.  Bieber is 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 11 starts this season, 2-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 1.060 WHIP in seven road starts, and 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three starts.

Antonio Senzatela is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.854 WHIP in nine starts this season for the ROckies.  He has just 20 K's in 41 innings.  Senzatela allowed 6 earned runs and 13 hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Marlins in his last home start.

The Guardians are 14-1 in Biebers last 15 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 and winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Cleveland is 14-1 in Bieber's 15 career road starts vs. teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Guardians on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are the hottest team in baseball at the plate right now.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 14 of their last 18 games overall with the OVER going 14-5 in their last 19 games overall.  The Baltimore Orioles have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 11 games overall.

There will be plenty of runs tonight to top this 9-run total between two terrible starting pitchers.  Jordan Lyles is 3-5 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 12 starts, 2-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.679 WHIP in seven road starts and 0-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 2.233 WHIP in his last three starts.  Lyles is 1-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 2.021 WHIP in three career starts against Toronto as well.

I'd back the Blue Jays tonight, but I don't trust Yusei Kikuchi to shut down the Orioles.  He is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.83 ERA and 2.224 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kikuchi is 1-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two career starts against the Orioles as well.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Orioles last nine games after scoring 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 19-7-1 in Orioles last 27 games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Blue Jays last seven home games.  The OVER is 6-0-2 in the last eight meetings.  The Orioles and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last 9 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-135)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 12-0 in their last 12 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 13 contests.  Look for them to make it 13 in a row in Game 2 against the Washington Nationals tonight.

Ace Max Fried takes the ball for the Braves tonight.  He is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in four road starts.  Fried is also 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts against the Nationals, allowing only 5 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Jackson Tetreault, who will be making his major league debut for the Nationals.

Atlanta is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.  The Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 trips to Washington.  The Nationals are 17-40 in their last 57 home games.  Washington is 12-40 in its last 52 games as a home underdog.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres -125

The San Diego Padres had gone 6-1 in their previous seven games before getting upset in two straight games by the Colorado Rockies over the weekend.  They come into this series with the Chicago Cubs highly motivated for a victory in Game 1.

They take on a Cubs team that is 0-6 in their last six games overall while getting outscored 49-15 in the process.  The Padres should get their bats going against Justin Steele, who is 1-5 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.553 WHIP in 11 starts this season.

I expect Yu Darvish to shut down his former team in the Cubs.  Darvish is 5-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing only 5 homers and 15 walks in 67 1/3 innings.  He has posted a 2.55 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in three career starts against Chicago.

The Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 games when their opponent allowed 5 or more runs in their previous game.  San Diego is 14-5 in its last 19 games following a loss.  Chicago is 19-44 in its last 63 home games.  Roll with the Padres Monday.

20* Celtics/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on Boston +4

The Boston Celtics have been a very resilient bunch all season and in the playoffs.  Look for them to bounce back following a 10-point home loss in Game 4 that evened the series.  Now they are catching too many points in Game 5 on the road, where they have actually played their best basketball in these playoffs.

The Celtics are 8-3 SU & 8-2-1 ATS in their 13 playoff road games.  They won three out of four in Miami last series, two out of three in Milwaukee and swept the Nets on the road.  They haven't lost two games in a row the entire playoffs.  The Celtics are now 9-0 SU in their last nine games following a defeat.

Boston is 10-2 ATS following a loss by 10 points or more this season.  The Celtics are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU loss.  Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing on two days' rest.  The Celtics are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 road games.  Boston is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 trips to Golden State.  The Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.  Bet the Celtics in Game 5 Monday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of those 13 victories and are hitting up to their potential right now.  They should easily beat the Baltimore Orioles by two runs or more tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.

Alek Manoah had a tremendous rookie season last year and has backed it up with as an AL Cy Young contender in 2022.  Manoah is 7-1 with a 1.81 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 3.31 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in three career starts against Baltimore.

Kyle Bradish is 1-3 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Orioles.  Giving up the home run has been a problem for Bradish as he has already allowed 10 homers in 37 2/3 innings this season.  That's bad news for him going up against this hot, powerful Toronto lineup tonight.

The Blue Jays are 24-7 in Manoah's 31 starts over the past two seasons and outscoring opponents by 2.0 runs per game in those 31 games.  The Orioles are 25-70 in their last 95 road games.  Toronto is 45-19 in the last 64 meetings.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -113

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Minnesota Twins. Look for them to avoid the sweep and grab a win in Game 3 due to their big advantage on the mound.

Jeffrey Springs is 1-2 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Rays. He has easily been one of their best starters, allowing just 8 earned runs and 7 walks in 34 innings with 34 K's.

It has been a disastrous start to the season for Minnesota's Cole Sands. He is 0-2 with a 9.39 ERA and 2.477 WHIP in two starts, allowing 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 19 base runners in 7 2/3 innings.

The Rays are 40-19 in their last 59 games during Game 3 of a series. Tampa Bay is 92-44 in its last 136 games as a favorite. The Twins are 1-7 in their last eight games following a win. Bet the Rays Sunday.

25* NBA Finals TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Warriors/Celtics UNDER 214.5

Usually as a playoff series goes on the oddsmakers set the totals lower and lower.  Teams become more familiar with one another and it favors defense and low scoring games.  But that hasn't been the case in this series, and thus there's a ton of value on the UNDER 214.5 in Game 4.

The Game 1 total closed 214.5, the Game 2 total closed 213.5 and the Game 3 total closed 214.  So they have been pretty consistent with setting these totals.  They haven't had to lower them because two of the first three games went over the total.  But I have a lot of reasons to believe Game 4 will go UNDER this number.

This series has been played at a very slow pace, and this is likely going to be the slowest-paced game of them all thus far.  The Warriors and Celtics cannot keep shooting this well from 3-point range.  The Celtics are 49-of-113 (43.4%) through three games, while the Warriors are 49-of-122 (40.2%) for the series.

I cashed the Celtics in Games 1 and 3 and the UNDER in Game 2.  I am now 12-0 my last 12 playoff picks involving the Celtics.  I think Game 4 will be played similarly to Game 2 where it was a physical game and refs let them play.  So much is at stake here with the series basically on the line, so this one will be played close to the vest.  The UNDER is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in Game 4 Friday.

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and starting to hit up to their potential.  Amazingly, they have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their 11 victories.  They should stay hot at the plate against the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of this series Friday.

Jose Berrios is 4-2 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has owned the Tigers, going 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last eight starts against them, allowing 18 earned runs in 51 innings.

He'll be opposed by Elvin Rodriquez, who is 0-1 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in three starts this season.  Rodriquez has already allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings.  He stands little chance of slowing down this hot Toronto lineup.

The Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight road games.  Toronto is 51-23 in its last 74 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees are 8-1 in their last nine games overall to improve to 41-16 on the season.  They take on the lowly Chicago Cubs, who are 23-33 and in rebuilding mode.  The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound tonight that will have them winning by two runs or more.

Luis Severino is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.949 WHIP in six home starts.  The Yankees have gone 8-2 in Severino's 10 starts this season with seven wins by two runs or more.

Wade Miley will be making just his 4th start of the season.  This will be his toughest test by far as he has had the luxury of facing the Diamondbacks, Pirates and Padres.  Miley has never beaten the Yankees, going 0-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.

The Yankees are 35-8 in their last 43 home games vs. NL Central opponents and winning by 2.4 runs per game.  New York is 22-3 vs. good fielding teams averaging 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 2.3 runs per game.  The Yankees are 46-19 in their last 65 home games.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120)

The New York Yankees are 7-1 in their last eight games overall to improve to 40-16 on the season.  They are taking on a Minnesota Twins team that is dealing with a ton of injuries right now, while the Yankees are almost fully healthy.

I'll back the Yankees on the Run Line today due to their massive advantage on the mound.  Gerrit Cole is 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.943 WHIP In 11 starts this season.  Cole has never lost to the Twins, going 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs in 19 innings.

Dylan Bundy is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Bundy is 2-6 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Yankees.  He is no match for Cole and this potent New York lineup tonight.

New York is 21-3 vs. good fielding teams that average 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Yankees are 70-23 in their last 93 meetings with the Twins.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Warriors/Celtics ABC No-Brainer on Boston -3.5

Draymond Green and the Golden State Warriors got away with murder in Game 2.  That's the reason they won that game as the officials simply let them play.  They won't get away with murder in Game 3 in Boston, and thus the Celtics are the better team and will fire back after getting embarrassed.

Boston is 7-0 ATS after scoring 90 points or less this season.  It is coming back to win by 10.4 points per game in this spot.  The Celtics are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games following a road loss by 10 points or more.  They are winning by 10.4 points per game in this spot.  

The Celtics are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss.  They have been resilient all season, especially in the playoffs.  The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  Boston is 7-2 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Celtics in Game 3 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)

The New York Yankees are 7-0 in their last seven games overall while scoring 6.9 runs per game in the process.  They should put it on the Minnesota Twins again today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Nestor Cortes has been one of the best starters in baseball this season.  He is 5-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in 10 starts with the Yankees going 8-2 in those 10 starts with six wins by two runs or more.  He'll be up against a banged-up Twins lineup that has gone 2-5 in their last seven games overall while scoring 4 runs or fewer in all five losses.

Chris Archer hasn't been good in years.  He is 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in five home starts.  Archer has allowed at least 3 earned runs in seven of his last nine starts against the Yankees.

Archer's teams are 2-10 in his last 12 starts against New York with seven losses by two runs or more.  The Yankees are 21-2 vs. good fielding teams averaging 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Guardians -150

The Cleveland Guardians have gone 6-2 in their last eight games overall to get to 25-26 on the season.  They will be highly motivated to get to .500 with another win tonight, and I like their chances due to their big advantage on the mound.

Ace Shane Bieber gets the ball for the Guardians Wednesday.  Bieber is 3-3 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He allowed just 2 earned runs in 6 innings in his lone career start against the Rangers.

Dane Dunning is 1-3 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 11 starts for the Rangers, including 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.676 WHIP in five road starts.  Texas has gone 0-5 in his five road starts.  Dunning is 0-1 with a 10.29 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in two career starts against Cleveland, allowing 8 earned runs in 7 innings.

The Rangers are 0-12 in Dunning's last 12 road starts int he first half of the season.  The Guardians are 13-1 in Bieber's last 14 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175.  Take the Guardians Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+100)

The Colorado Rockies are really struggling right now in going 7-20 in their last 27 games overall with 15 losses by 2 runs or more.  I don't see them staying within two runs of the San Francisco Giants today due to their big disadvantage on the mound.

Carlos Rodon is one of the best starters in baseball and was a great get for the Giants this offseason.  Rodon has been at his best at home this season, going 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in four home starts with a whopping 39 K's in 23 innings and only one homer allowed.

German Marquez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-5 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.618 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.723 WHIP in three road starts.  Marquez is 4-8 with a 7.19 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Giants as well.

Marquez went 0-4 with a 13.82 ERA in four starts against the Giants last season, allowing 22 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings.  Colorado is 1-11 vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 K's or more per start this season and losing by 2.1 runs per game int his spot.  The Rockies are 0-8 in their last eight games following an off day.  San Francisco is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays are finally starting to live up to their massive potential at the plate after a slow first couple months.  They had too much talent to be held down for long, and once the weather warmed up, so did they.  The Blue Jays have now scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their last 12 games while going 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.

They should stay hot at the plate against Brad Keller, who is 1-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA in his last three starts.  Keller won't get much run support considering the Royals are 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in six of those seven losses.

It won't get any easier for the Royals today facing arguably the best starter in all of baseball in Alek Manoah.  He is 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Blue Jays.  He pitched 7 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory over the Royals in his lone career start against them last season.  Keller is 2-2 with a 5.73 ERA in four career starts against Toronto.

The Blue Jays are 23-7 in Manoah's 30 career starts.  Kansas City is 2-15 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Rangers/Guardians Game 1 No-Brainer on Cleveland -108

The Cleveland Guardians will be motivated to get to .500 on the season as they sit at 24-25 after going 5-1 in their last six games overall.  They should be bigger favorites over the Texas Rangers in Game 1 of this double-header today due to their advantage on the mound.

Cal Quantrill is one of the most underrated starters in the league.  He is 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-0 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in four home starts.  He has only allowed 3 homers in 53 2/3 innings this season.

He'll be opposed by Jon Gray, who is 1-2 with a 4.83 ERA in eight starts this season.  Gray has been at his worst away from home, going 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in six road starts.

Texas is 11-44 in its last 55 road games after batting .225 or worse over a five-game span.  Cleveland is 10-2 in home games vs. AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse this season.  The Rangers are 27-61 in their last 88 road games.  The Guardians are 42-17 in their last 59 games as home favorites.  Bet the Guardians in Game 1 Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Royals OVER 9.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are finally starting to hit like they are capable of now that we are two months into the season.  The OVER is 11-1 in Blue Jays last 12 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in 11 of those 12 games.   Toronto has scored at least 6 runs in nine of its last 11 games as well.

The OVER is 12-4 in Royals last 16 games overall.  They have combined with their opponents for 10 or more runs in 13 of those 16 games.  We only need 10 runs to cash this OVER, and I like out chances with the forecast calling for temps in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center at Kauffman Stadium today.

Ross Stripling is 0-1 with a 4.29 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.87 ERA in two road starts.  He'll be making his first start back from the IL since May 7th.  Daniel Lynch is 2-4 with a 4.81 ERA in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with an 8.31 ERA in his last three.

Toronto is 10-0 OVER in road games vs. a starting pitcher that gives up 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season.  The OVER is 10-2 in Royals last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Boston Red Sox +112

The Los Angeles Angels just lost their 11th consecutive game in heartbreaking fashion on Sunday.  They blew a 6-2 lead in the 8th to the Phillies.  They have now scored 2 runs or fewer in five of their last six games overall.  This team is injured and broken right now and should not be favored over Boston in Game 1 of this series.

The Red Sox are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They are 13-5 in their last 18 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in all 13 victories, so they are really clicking offensively right now.  They should get to Noah Syndergaard, who is 1-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in his last three starts.

Michael Wacha has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.008 WHIP in eight starts.  One of those starts came against the Angels on May 3rd as he pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings of a 4-0 victory to improve to 2-0 with a 0.77 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in two career starts against Los Angeles.

The Red Sox are 8-0 in their last eight games vs. AL West opponents.  Roll with the Red Sox Monday.

20* Celtics/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on UNDER 215.5

The Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors played in a shootout in Game 1 with the Celtics winning 120-108 behind a massive 4th quarter.  Game 1's in the playoffs tend to be higher scoring because teams aren't familiar with one another yet.  But the longer the series goes, the more familiar they become and the more it favors the UNDER.

These teams have had two days in between games to game plan after seeing what happened in Game 1.  Both teams played poor defense and lost open shooters with easily correctible mistakes.  There will be fewer defensive mistakes in Game 2, and as a result there's no way both teams shoot as well as they did in Game 1.

The Celtics shot a ridiculous 21-of-41 (51.2%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  The Warriors were 19-of-45 (42.2%) in Game 1.  Neither team is going to shoot as well again, especially the Celtics.  It was actually played at a pretty slow pace, and that slow pace will help us cash this UNDER in Game 2.

These are the top two teams in defensive efficiency this season with the Warriors 1st and the Celtics 2nd, so it's no surprise they made the NBA Finals.  Boston is 11-3 UNDER when playing with two days' rest this season.  Golden State is 7-0 UNDER in home games when playing on two days' rest this season.  The UNDER is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings, including 7-1 in the last eight meetings at Golden State.  Bet the UNDER in Game 2 Sunday.

20* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN No-Brainer on St. Louis -127

The St. Louis Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound over the Chicago Cubs tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.  They are crushing left-handed pitching, scoring 5.5 runs per game against southpaws and get to face one tonight.

Lefty Justin Steele has been atrocious for the Cubs this season.  He is 1-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.575 WHIP in 10 starts while averaging just 4.0 innings per start.  Steele has faced the Cardinals once before, allowing 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of an 8-5 loss last season.

Adam Wainwright went 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA last season and has been even better thus far in 2022.  Wainwright is 5-4 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 1.27 ERA in his last three starts against the Cubs as well, allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings.

The Cardinals are 12-2 in their last 14 road games vs. left-handed starters.  St. Louis is 25-8 in its last 33 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Cardinals are 7-2 in their last nine games at Wrigley Field.  The Cubs are 19-43 in their last 62 home games.  Take the Cardinals Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Colorado Rockies +141

The Colorado Rockies will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  They have lost the first three games of this series to the Atlanta Braves, including the last two in extra innings.  They desperately want to avoid the sweep with a win in Game 4, and I like their chances considering they have lost more than three in a row only twice all season.

Colorado starter Ryan Feltner has been impressive this season.  He is 1-1 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in three starts while allowing just 7 earned runs and 19 base runners with 20 K's in 17 innings.  He held the Marlins to one run in 7 innings in his lone home start this season in a 7-1 victory.

Charlie Morton is way past his prime and it's starting to show.  The long road to the World Series last season has taken its toll on him this season.  Morton is 3-3 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.480 WHIP in 10 starts in 2022, including 1-3 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.671 WHIP in five road starts.

Atlanta is 0-8 after allowing 3 runs or less in two consecutive games this season.  It is losing by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Rockies are 36-15 in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Colorado is 30-14 in the last 44 meetings.  Roll with the Rockies Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Rockies OVER 11.5

Coors Field is already the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  But when the weather cooperates, it's even more potent.  That will be the case Saturday with temperatures in the 80's with winds blowing out to center as well.  This should be a slug fest similar to the 13-6 win by the Braves in Game 1 of this series.

Spencer Strider made his first start of the season at Arizona on May 30th and it was an ugly one.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the light-hitting Diamondbacks.  This will be a much stiffer test for him at Coors Field, and the Rockies should get into this Atlanta bullpen early.

It has been ugly all season for Kyle Freeland, especially at home.  He is 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Rockies.  That includes 1-3 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.674 WHIP in six starts at Coors Field.  Freeland is 1-2 with a 5.590 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in five career starts against Atlanta as well.

Atlanta is scoring 6.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  It's no surprise that the OVER is 14-4 in Braves' 18 games against left-handed starters this season, and 35-16-2 in Braves last 53 games vs. left-handed starters overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Braves last seven games vs. a starter with a 1.30 WHIP or higher.  The OVER is 20-9 in Rockies last 29 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -113

The Boston Red Sox are 11-5 in their last 16 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in all 11 victories, so they are starting to rake.  The A's are 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have been held to two runs or fewer in four of the losses.

Nick Pivetta is 4-4 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Red Sox.  But he has been a different pitcher over the last month, going 4-0 with a 1.32 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 5 earned runs in 34 innings.  Pivetta fired 7 shutout innings in a 1-0 victory over the A's in his lone career start against them last season.

Paul Blackburn is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers due to a surprisingly good start this season.  But he came back down to reality in his last start, allowing 4 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings to the Astros.  Note that Blackburn is 11-12 with a 4.73 ERA in six seasons in the big leagues, so his start this season has been an aberration.

Oakland is 7-22 at home this season with almost zero home-field advantage.  The A's are 1-12 against an AL starting pitcher with a 1.200 WHIP or better this season.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are finally starting to hit like they are capable of now that we are two months into the season.  The OVER is 9-1 in Blue Jays last 10 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in nine of those 10 games.  The books have set this total way too low today against the Minnesota Twins, who also have a potent lineup.

Dylan Bundy is 3-2 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Twins and averaging just 5.0 innings per start.  Bundy has been at his worst on the road, going 1-2 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in five starts away from home.

The OVER is 6-1-1 in Bundy's last eight starts against the Blue Jays with combined scores of 10 runs or more in seven of those.  He'll be opposed by Jose Berrios, who has been a big disappointment for the Blue Jays this season going 3-2 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.510 WHIP in 10 starts while averaging just 5.0 innings per start.

The OVER is 38-17-5 in Twins last 60 games as road underdogs.  Take the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Boston Red Sox -154

The Boston Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should lead them to an easy victory over the Oakland A's.  The Red Sox are 10-5 in their last 15 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in all 10 victories, so they are starting to rake.  The A's are 1-6 in their last seven games overall and have been held to one run or fewer in three of the losses.

Nathan Eovaldi is 2-2 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has been at his best on the road, going 1-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in five starts away from home.  Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts against the A's as well.

James Kaprielian is 0-2 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.354 WHIP in six starts this season for the A's.  He has been at his worst at home, going 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in three home starts this season.

Oakland is 7-21 at home this season with almost zero home-field advantage.  The A's are 1-11 against an AL starting pitcher with a 1.200 WHIP or better this season.  Take the Red Sox Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -140

Cleveland is 4-1 in its last five games overall and has scored a combined 27 runs in the four victories.  The Guardians had yesterday off while the Orioles went to extra innings against the Mariners Thursday, so they are the fresher team.

The Guardians have a big advantage on the mound behind ace Shane Bieber, who is 2-3 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in six road starts.  Bieber is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.471 WHIP in two career starts against the Orioles while pitching 17 shutout innings with only 8 base runners allowed and 26 K's.

Bruce Zimmerman is 2-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 10 starts for the Orioles this season, including 0-1 with an 8.81 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last three.  The Guardians are scoring 5.1 runs per game against left-handed starters this season, while the Orioles are only scoring 3.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Guardians are 12-1 in Bieber's last 13 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175.  Cleveland is 19-2 in its last 21 road games following three consecutive wins by 4 runs or more.  Bet the Guardians Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -110

The Pittsburgh Pirates are in a huge letdown spot after shockingly sweeping the Dodgers in Los Angeles last series.  I expect that letdown to occur in Game 1 today against the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are one of the most underrated teams in baseball.

Merrill Kelly is the better starter in this matchup with J.T. Brubaker.  Kelly is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 10 starts this season while allowing only 3 homers in 54 innings.  Brubaker is 0-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 10 starts for the Pirates and averaging just 4.8 innings per start.

Pittsburgh is 6-23 in its last 29 games following two or more consecutive wins.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Pirates are 8-30 in their last 38 games vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start.  Roll with the Diamondbacks Friday.

20* Celtics/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on Boston +3.5

The Golden State Warriors have been off since May 26th.  That's a full week off and sometimes rest can be a bad thing.  I think that will be the case for the Warriors, who will be rusty now after building up a bunch of momentum in beating the Nuggets, Grizzlies and Mavericks.

I think the Warriors have had an easy path to the NBA Finals.  They avoided the Suns, played two banged up teams in the Nuggets and Grizzlies, and played a Mavericks team that had no answer for Stephen Curry.  The Celtics have the answer in defensive Player of the Year Marcus Smart, plus guys like Jaylon Brown can switch on him when Smart is out of the game.

I think the Celtics got the perfect amount of rest they needed.  They had just three days off in between games to let both Smart and Robert Williams heal.  The Celtics have earned their way into the NBA Finals by beating Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and the Nets, the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks, and the top seed in the Miami Heat.  They won Game 7's each of the last two series and appear to be a team of destiny.  They should carry over that momentum into Game 1 today.

The Celtics are the only NBA team with a winning record against the Warriors during this dynasty run.  Boston is 6-1 SU & 5-1-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Golden State.  The Celtics are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, including 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.  Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last nine trips to Golden State.  Bet the Celtics in Game 1 Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -101

The St. Louis Cardinals are rolling right now in going 9-3 in their last 12 games overall.  They should not be basically even money against the Chicago Cubs today, who are 21-29 on the season, including 9-17 at home.

Matthew Liberatore is 1-0 with a 3.72 ERA in two starts this season for the Cardinals.  The Cubs are scoring just 3.9 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

The Cubs are getting too much respect today after winning their last two games over the Brewers by a single run.  They are also getting respect due to Keegan Thompson and his 1.93 ERA in three starts, but it has come in such limited action that it cannot be trusted.  The Cardinals will be his toughest test to date as they are scoring 4.7 runs per game and have one of the best lineups in the National League.

The Cardinals are 24-8 in their last 32 road games with a money line of +100 to -150.  They have been dominant on the road over the past couple seasons.  Take the Cardinals Thursday.

15* Padres/Brewers NL ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee -108

The Milwaukee Brewers will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping two straight one-run games to the Chicago Cubs to end an 11-game road trip.  Now they are back home where they are 14-6 this season and clearly have the advantage on the mound in this one.

They take on a San Diego Padres team that is just 2-6 in their last eight games overall and scruggling to score runs.  The Padres has been held to 4 runs or fewer in eight consecutive games.  It won't get any easier for them against Adrian Houser.

Houser is 2-2 with a 1.99 ERA and 1.147 WHIP in four home starts this season.  He has owned the Padres with a 2.18 ERA and 0.822 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Sean Manaea, who is 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA this season.

Milwaukee is 19-2 in its last 21 games vs. terrible power teams that average 0.75 or fewer homers per game.  Roll with the Brewers Thursday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates as -330 and -335 favorites.  They will avoid the sweep today and win by two runs or more in the process, so we'll back them on the Run Line.

Jose Quintana is getting too much respect from the books after a solid start this season out of nowhere.  This guy is way past his prime and won't be able to continue these numbers.  Mitch White is better than he has shown thus far and the Dodgers have won both of his starts this season over the Diamondbacks 14-1 and the Phillies 7-4.

Pittsburgh is 5-23 in its last 28 games following two or more consecutive wins and losing by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 43-12 in its last 55 home games, which just shows how rare those two losses the past two days were.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -116

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping the first two games of this series to the Texas Rangers.  They should win this one going away due to their advantage on the mound.

Jeffrey Springs has posted a 2.35 ERA and 0.869 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing only 6 earned runs and 20 base runners in 20 innings.  He'll be opposed by Jon Gray, who is 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA in seven starts this season for the Rangers.

Tampa Bay is 13-2 in its last 15 games following two straight games without a homer.  The Rays are 54-23 in their last 77 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Rays Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a shocking loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates as -330 favorites yesterday.  It was a rare loss for the Dodgers, who are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall.  Look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates today, so instead of laying the -320 on the money line, we'll take this huge discount and back them at -140 on the run line.

Julio Urias is one of the best starters in baseball.  He has posted a 2.49 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Urias has posted a 2.95 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in three career starts against the Pirates as well.

He'll be opposed by Mitch Keller, who is one of the worst starters in baseball and still in search of his first victory.  Keller is 0-5 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in seven starts this season.  He has faced the Dodgers once in his career, allowing 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of a 6-3 defeat opposite Urias.

The Pirates are 2-15 in Keller's last 17 starts following a win and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Dodgers are 69-19 in their last 88 games as a favorite of -200 or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Pittsburgh is 15-42 in its last 57 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Mets OVER 9

The OVER is 7-0 in Mets last seven games overall as they have combined with their opponents for 9 or more runs in all seven games.  They are scoring 8.9 runs per game during this stretch behind one of the best lineups in the National League.

Pitching has been the problem for the Nationals.  They still have a pretty good lineup and are scoring 6.6 runs per game in their last five games overall with the OVER going 4-1 during this stretch.  Temps will be in the 90's tonight at Cici Field so the ball should be flying out.

The Mets will feast on Patrick Corbin, who is 1-7 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  The Nationals should have some success off Trevor Williams, who is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in three starts this season.  Washington is scoring 5.0 runs per game on the road this season.

Washington is 12-2 OVER in road games vs. right-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Mets last eight games when its opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Yankees OVER 8.5

It's going to be in the 90's with winds blowing out to center at Yankee Stadium tonight.  These are two of the best lineups in baseball, and the ball will be flying out of the part tonight.  I'll gladly side with the OVER 8.5 in this contest as a result.

The Angels are scoring 4.8 runs per game overall, 5.0 runs per game on the road and 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters.  They should get to Jordan Montgomery, who is getting too much respect for the numbers he has posted thus far.

It has been a good comeback story for Noah Syndergaard of the Mets, but he is also getting too much respect for the numbers he has posted to this point.  This will be his toughest test of the season to date after facing a pretty easy schedule of opponents thus far.

This Angels bullpen has been a disaster, and the Yankees are without Aroldis Chapman.  The OVER is 6-0 in Yankees last six during Game 1 of a series.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Mets OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-0 in Mets last six games overall as they have combined with their opponents for 9 or more runs in all six games.  They are scoring 8.2 runs per game during this stretch behind one of the best lineups in the National League.

Pitching has been the problem for the Nationals.  They still have a pretty good lineup and are scoring 7.0 runs per game in their last four games overall, three of which have gone OVER the total.  These teams should combine for 9 or more runs easily tonight considering there will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center to help aid this OVER.

Erick Fedde is 0-2 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in nine career starts against the Mets with the OVER going 6-3 in those nine starts.  David Peterson is getting a little too much respect for the numbers he has posted in limited action this season.  He has made just four starts.

The Nationals are hitting .286 and scoring 5.0 runs per game on the road this season.  The Mets are hitting .268 and scoring 5.3 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Celtics/Heat ESPN No-Brainer on Boston ML -140

I have gone a perfect 6-0 in this series picking the winning side in all six games.  I am confident Boston is the better team and will win this series, but I'm not willing to lay the current -2.5 or -3.  I will lay the -140 on the Money Line instead, which is something I rarely do but it's warranted here in a game that could come down to the wire.

Give Miami credit for its valiant effort in Game 6 and I had the Heat +9, but I didn't expect them to win outright.  Jimmy Butler refused to lose and scored 47 points after looking terrible the previous two games.  He simply gutted them to a victory.  But that effort will have taken a lot out of Butler, and the Heat are just 6-8 SU & 6-8 ATS after Butler scores 30 points this season.  They are also 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS without Tyler Herro this season.  Their injury report looks a lot worse than Boston's coming into Game 7.

I trust Boston to win this game because of what they have shown in the playoffs thus far.  They swept the Nets, then beat the defending champion Bucks in seven games.  It was the way they won that series that gives me confidence they will come up clutch in Game 7 tonight.  The Celtics blew a double-digit lead at home against the Bucks in Game 5 and everyone left them for dead.  Instead, they went into Milwaukee and won Game 6 108-95 and then won Game 7 at home 109-81.  They are ready for this moment.

The Celtics have had no problems winning on the road in the playoffs, going 6-2 SU & 6-1-1 ATS in playoff road games.  Boston is now 20-6-1 ATS in its last 27 road games.  The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Miami.  Bet the Celtics on the Money Line in Game 7 Sunday.

20* Phillies/Mets ESPN 2 No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

Both the Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets are clicking offensively right now.  The OVER is 5-2 in Phillies last seven games overall with combined scores of 10 runs or more in five of those seven games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Mets last five games overall with combined scores of 10 runs or more in all five.

These are two decent starters but both are getting too much respect with a total of just 7.5 runs tonight.  Zack Wheeler has been brutal on the road, going 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in three starts away from home.  Chris Bassitt is 1-2 with a 4.06 ERA in five home starts this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 8-1-1 in Phillies last 10 road games.  The OVER is 7-0-1 in Phillies last eight games as road underdogs.  These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels -125

I love the spot for the Los Angeles Angeles today.  They will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping each of the first three games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays, including the last two by a single run.  I have no doubt they will avoid the sweep and take Game 4 tonight due to their advantage on the mound and motivation.

Patrick Sandoval has been one of the best starters in the American League this season.  He is 3-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 1.165 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in four home starts.

Jose Berrios has been a big disappointment for the Blue Jays.  He is 3-2 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in five road starts.  Berrios does not enjoy facing the Angels, going 2-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six career starts against them.

The Angels are 7-1 in their last eight games after losing the first three games of a series.  Los Angeles is 6-0 in its last six Sunday games.  Bet the Angels Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -116

The Texas Rangers are highly motivated to get to .500 on the season.  They sit at 22-23 now after winning each of their last four games while scoring a combined 30 runs in the process.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate today and to sweep the Oakland A's thanks to their advantage on the mound.

Dane Dunning has been solid for the Rangers this season with a 4.32 ERA and 1.280 WHIP in nine starts.  Dunning has owned the A's, posting a 1.93 ERA in three career starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.

James Kaprielian is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-2 with a 5.48 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.37 ERA in two home starts.  Kaprielian is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in his last two starts against the Rangers, allowing 7 earned runs in 9 innings.

Oakland is 0-10 when revenging two straight losses where opponent scored 8 runs or more over the last two seasons.  The A's are 1-11 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 1.300 WHIP or better this season.  Roll with the Rangers Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +110

The Seattle Mariners have the advantage on the mound tonight over the Houston Astros.  They should not be underdogs because of it.

Logan Gilbert is 4-2 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in nine starts this season and living up to his massive potential as a top prospect.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.

Jose Urquidy is 4-1 in spite of a 4.24 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He has been at his worst on the road, posting a 6.55 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in five starts away from home.  Urquidy is 1-1 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four career starts against Seattle.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Mariners on April 17th earlier this season.  Roll with the Mariners Saturday.

20* Blue Jays/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -107

The Los Angeles Angels will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after dropping the first two games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays.  Look for them to get back in the win column in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound.

Michael Lorenzen is 5-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.065 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Angels.  He has been at his best at home, going 3-1 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.926 WHIP in four home starts.

He'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi, who is having a solid season at 2-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in eight starts.  But he has been at his worst on the road, going 0-1 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four road starts.

What really stood out here is that Kikuchi has been terrible against Los Angeles dating back to his time with Seattle.  Indeed, Kikuchi is 1-4 with a 10.62 ERA and 2.259 WHIP in seven career starts against the Angels, and his teams are 1-6 in those seven starts.  Los Angeles is scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Take the Angels Saturday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on Chicago White Sox -136

We are getting the Chicago White Sox at a great value today as a short home favorite over the lowly Chicago Cubs.  They should be much bigger favorites, but the Cubs are getting respect because Keegan Thompson has put up solid numbers in his two starts this season against the Pirates and Padres.  This will be his toughest test yet.

I like what I've seen from Johnny Cueto in his two starts for the White Sox.  He has pitched 12 shutout innings in two road starts against the Yankees and Royals.  Holding the Yankees scoreless in 6 innings at Yankee Stadium is no small feat.  Thompson faced the White Sox last season and allowed 5 runs, 4 earned, in 2 innings of a 13-17 defeat.

The Cubs are 12-41 in their last 53 games vs. a starter with a 1.15 WHIP or less.  The White Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.  The White Sox are 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  Bet the White Sox Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -115

Alek Manoah was one of the best starters in baseball last season as a rookie.  He has picked up where he left off this season, going 5-1 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.880 WHIP in eight starts.  The Blue Jays should be much bigger favorites over the Los Angeles Angels with Manoah on the mound tonight.

Rookie Chase Silseth goes for the Angels.  He will be making his third start of the season here.  He pitched well in his first start against Oakland, pitching 6 shutout innings.  But he faced Oakland again in his next start and allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings.  The A's have one of the worst lineups in all of baseball, and this will be a big step up in class against the Blue Jays for Silseth tonight.  Roll with the Blue Jays Friday.

20* Heat/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on Miami +9

I am a perfect 5-0 in this series cashing the Heat in Game 1, the Celtics in Game 2, the Heat in Game 3, the Celtics in Game 4 and the Celtics in Game 5.  After cashing in the Celtics the past two games, I'm going back with the Heat in Game 6 tonight.

This line has simply gotten out of control.  The Celtics go from being 5 and 6.5-point home favorites in Games 3 and 4 to whopping 9-point favorites in Game 6.  That is too big of an adjustment, and it's an overreaction from the Celtics winning the last two games in blowouts.

The Heat aren't going to only score 80 and 82 points again while shooting 31.9% and 33.3% from the field, respectively.  They will shoot it better, especially from 3-point range where they have gone a combined 15-of-79 (19%) the past two games.  This Miami team has too much pride to go home without a fight as they are a bunch of dogs.  And the injury report came back better than expected for them as they should have almost everyone available tonight.

Miami is 15-6 ATS as a road underdog this season.  Boston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games following two straight wins by 10 points or more.  The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit home loss.  Miami is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 trips to Boston.  Bet the Heat in Game 6 Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +130

I love the value we are getting on the St. Louis Cardinals today as home underdogs.  They will be highly motivated for a victory after losing Game 1 of this series to the hated Brewers, who are 4.5 games ahead of them in the NL Central standings.

What stood out to me was how poorly Brandon Woodruff has pitched on the road this season.  He is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.059 WHIP in four road starts.  Those four starts came against four of the worst lineups in baseball in the Marlins, Reds, Pirates and Cubs.

Conversely, St. Louis starter Dakota Hudson has been dynamite at home.  He is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.067 WHIP in three home starts this season.  Hudson pitched 6 2/3 shutout innings in his last home start against the Brewers.  Take the Cardinals Friday.

20* Mavs/Warriors TNT No-Brainer on Dallas +7.5

The Dallas Mavericks feel like they are playing on house money.  Everyone counted them out when they were down 3-0 in this series.  They came out relaxed in Game 4 and won 119-109 over Golden State.  Now they will come out relaxed in Game 5 and give the Warriors a run for their money.

Dallas has two very poor shooting games in this series which explains two of their losses.  They had the Warriors by the balls in Game 2 but blew a 14-point halftime lead.  They are much better shooting team than they have shown in this series, and they finally knocked some down in a 20-of-43 (46.5%) performance from 3 in Game 4.

Remember, the Mavericks were down 3-2 to Phoenix and everyone counted them out last series.  They proceeded to crush the Suns at home by 27 in Game 6 and by 30 on the road in Game 7.  They really don't feel like they are out of this series.  I don't think the Warriors were in it mentally in Game 4 with the shooting in Texas and Steve Kerr having such a big reaction to it.  I question their head space in Game 5 as well.  They struggled to close out he Grizzlies last series, and it won't be easy closing out this feisty Mavs team, either.

There's value with the Mavericks when you consider they were 5.5-point road underdogs in Game 1 and 6-point road underdogs in Game 2, and now they are 7 or 7.5-point road underdogs in Game 5.  Dallas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points.  Bet the Mavericks in Game 5 Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -115

For starters, I like the fact that the St. Louis Cardinals had yesterday off and were able to stay home after their two-game series with Toronto.  They will be the much fresher team over the Brewers, who played Wednesday in San Diego and had the long flight to St. Louis overnight.

Adam Wainwright just continues getting the job done for the Cardinals.  He went 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 32 starts last season.  Wainwright has picked up where he left off, going 5-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He is one of the most underrated starters in all of baseball.

Eric Lauer is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers after a tremendous start this season that has come out of nowhere.  Lauer will meet his match against the Cardinals tonight.  He is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.917 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis, allowing 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 innings.

The Cardinals are scoring 6.1 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  They are 17-4 in their last 21 games vs. left-handed starters.  St. Louis is 16-3 in Wainwright's last 19 starts following a team loss in their previous game.  Take the Cardinals Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Nationals OVER 8

The books have set the bar too low tonight in this matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Washington Nationals.  Temperatures are expected to be in the 70's with winds blowout out to center to help aid us in cashing this OVER as well.

These are two of the worst starters in baseball going tonight.  German Marquez is 1-4 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.591 WHIP in eight starts this season and has actually been worse on the road than he has been at home.  Marquez is 2-3 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.719 WHIP in six career starts against Washington.

Patrick Corbin is 0-7 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Nationals.  Corbin has posted a 4.51 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 25 career starts against Colorado.  He is 0-3 with a 5.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Rockies as well.

Colorado is 9-0 OVER in its last nine games following three or more consecutive road games.  The Rockies are 8-1 OVER vs. teams that draw three or fewer walks per game this season.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rockies last eight games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Roll with the OVER in this game Thursday.