15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -130

The Cleveland Guardians are 7-3 in their last nine games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games.  They are as hot at the plate as they have been all season.  The Chicago White Sox are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and out of playoff contention.  They are sellers at the trade deadline having already moved Lucas Giolito.

I'll gladly back the Guardians over the struggling White Sox in this one.  Xzavion Curry has a 1.50 ERA and 1.000 WHIP as a starter for the Guardians this season.  He'll be opposed by Touki Toussaint, who is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.581 WHIP in in four starts for the White Sox this season.  Toussaint allowed 7 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings in his lone career start against Cleveland.  Bet the Guardians Friday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+107)

This is a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Angels.  They just played a double-header in Detroit on Thursday and now have to travel overnight to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays.  Meanwhile, it's a great spot for the Blue Jays after having Thursday off, so they are rested and ready to go.

The Blue Jays are playing well going 12-6 in their last 18 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of their last 20 games overall.  They will stay hot at the plate against Lucas Giolito, who is 3-4 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 5.45 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in seven career starts against Toronto.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them, all of which have come over the past two seasons.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound behind ace Kevin Gausman, who is 7-5 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.994 WHIP in nine home starts.  Gausman allowed just one earned run in 7 innings in his last start against the Angels.

Giolito's teams are 4-17 in his last 21 starts as an underdog.  Giolito's teams are 1-10 in his last 11 Friday starts and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs +105

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 19 of their last 20 games and at least 5 runs in 14 of those.  They have gone 7-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in six of those.  They feel like they have a real chance of making the playoffs, while the St. Louis Cardinals sit at 46-57 and pretty much out of it.

The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Justin Steele over Miles Mikolas.  Steele is 10-3 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in seven road starts.  Steele is 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA in his last four starts against the Cardinals, allowing just 7 earned runs and zero homers in 25 1/3 innings.

Mikolas is 6-5 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.311 WHIP in 22 starts this season, and 2-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.296 WHIP in 10 home starts.  His last start came against the Cubs on July 22nd where he allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-6 loss at Chicago.

St. Louis is 4-12 following a win by 4 runs or more this season.  Bet the Cubs Thursday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 18 of their last 19 games and at least 5 runs in 13 of those.  They have gone 6-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring at least 7 runs in five of those. The OVER is 10-1-2 in Cubs last 13 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last nine games overall.

With winds blowing out to left-center in Chicago tonight, there should be plenty of runs in this one to get up and OVER this 9-run total.  The Cubs could cover it on their own against Lance Lynn, who is 6-9 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in 20 starts for the White Sox this season while allowing a whopping 28 homers in 115 innings.  

Lynn is 6-8 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.431 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Cubs.  He has allowed 22 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Marcus Stroman, who is faltering for the Cubs of late.  Stroman has gone 1-3 with a 6.46 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 17 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 14-6 in Lynn's 20 starts this season, including 8-1 in his nine starts with a money line of -125 to +125.  Chicago is 14-3 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Mets/Yankees Subway Series ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

There will be double-digit winds blowing out to left tonight at Yankee Stadium that will help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Yankees and Mets.  These teams combined for 12 runs last night and it should be more of the same tonight with these two gas cans on the mound.

Jose Quintana is making his way back from injury and will be making just his 2nd start of the season after allowing 2 earned runs in 5 innings at home to the White Sox in his first start.  Carlos Rodon is 0-3 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in three starts for the Yankees this season as he is also making his way back from injury.

The Mets are 14-5 OVER in road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The Mets are 27-13 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game over the last three seasons.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in three of their last four games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Blue Jays/Dodgers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 10

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 17 games overall.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 19 games overall.  Both teams will stay hot at the plate, especially with double-digit winds blowing out to center this afternoon in Los Angeles.

Tony Gonsolin has really struggled of late for the Dodgers, going 1-2 with a 6.97 ERA in his last six starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 innings.  The OVER is 5-1 in those six starts.

Yusei Kikuchi is 3-1 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.298 WHIP in 11 road starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 57 innings.  Kikuchi is 0-1 with a 4.66 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings.  Both bullpens will get a lot of usage i this one.

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Dodgers last eight games overall.  The OVER is 14-0-1 in Dodgers last 15 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 16 games overall.  They have scored 10, 11 and 16 runs in three of their last six games to cover three OVERS on their own.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 14 of their last 18 games overall.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Julio Urias has been a major disappointment for the Dodgers this season.  Urias is 7-6 with a 5.02 ERA in 14 starts while allowing 15 homers in 75 1/3 innings.  He allowed 8 earned runs in 5 innings to the Orioles in his last start.

Chris Bassitt has been great at home for the Blue Jays, but it has been a different story on the road.  Bassitt is 4-4 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.552 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.  Now he must face arguably the hottest lineup in baseball in the Dodgers.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 13-0-1 in Dodgers last 14 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Cardinals/Diamondbacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall after hanging 10 runs on the Diamondbacks yesterday.  The OVER is 7-2-2 in Cardinals last 11 games during this stretch.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight games overallw ith the OVER going 5-3 during this stretch.

Steven Matz is an absolute gas can for the Cardinals.  He is 1-6 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.554 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in seven road starts.  He'll be opposed by Merrill Kelly, who will be making his first start since June 24th as he makes his way back from injury and will be on a pitch count.

Both bullpens have been below average this season and both will get a lot of usage in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Nationals OVER 9

The Washington Nationals have scored at least 3 runs in 12 consecutive games and 6 runs or more eight times.  The Colorado Rockies have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  This 9-run total is too low for these two gas cans on the mound facing these two hot lineups.

Austin Gomber is 8-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in 20 starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 22 homers in 102 innings.  He'll be opposed by Trevor Williams, who is 5-5 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 20 starts for the Nationals this season, allowing 20 homers in 98 2/3 innings.

Gomber has allowed 13 earned runs and 18 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Williams has posted a 4.97 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies.  He has allowed 6 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them.

The OVER is 9-1 in Williams' last 10 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game.  Washington is 13-3 OVER in its last 16 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse.  The OVER is 7-0 in Washington's last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 8-2 in Nationals last 10 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 17 of their last 18 games and at least 5 runs in 12 of those.  The OVER is 9-1-2 in Cubs last 12 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last eight games overall.

Kyle Hendricks has come back down to reality of late, going 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings.  Hendricks is 0-2 with a 10.45 ERA in his last two starts against the White Sox, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

Michael Kopech is 4-8 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 18 starts this season while allowing 19 homers and 57 walks in 92 1/3 innings.  Kopech is 1-2 with a 6.09 ERA and 2.128 WHIP in his last three starts as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Royals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

The Kansas City Royals are scoring just 3.3 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 3.6 runs per game at home inside pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in 2023.  Runs will be hard to come by against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Aaron Civale has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-2 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.079 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Civale is 3-0 with a 1.73 ERA in his last four starts against the Royals, allowing just 5 earned runs in 26 innings.

Zack Greinke just owns the Guardians, going 11-8 with a 3.23 ERA in 31 career starts against them.  He is 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA in his last eight starts against Cleveland, allowing just 11 earned runs in 46 1/3 innings.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Greinke's last seven starts against Cleveland.

Cleveland is 21-5 UNDER against division opponents this season.  The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 8 or fewer combined runs in five of the six.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Blue Jays/Dodgers MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 15 games overall.  They have scored 10, 11 and 16 runs in three of their last five games to cover three OVERS on their own.  The Toronto Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in 13 of their last 17 games overall.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 tickets.

Jose Berrios has been pitching well for a while now, but he takes a big step up in class here against the hottest lineup in baseball.  He'll be opposed by Michael Grove, who is 1-2 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 29 earned runs and 8 homers in 40 innings.  The Blue Jays will clearly get theirs off of this Grove gas can.

The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last six games overall.  The OVER is 9-1 in Berrios' last 10 road starts as an underdog.  The OVER is 8-0 in Berrios' last eight road starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by one or more runs per game on the season.  The OVER is 13-0 in Dodgers last 13 games vs. AL opponents.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-125)

The San Diego Padres are mashing right now scoring at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 20 games overall.  They take on a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is 4-14 in their last 18 games overall with 13 losses by two runs or more.  That's why I'm willing to take the Padres on the Run Line today.

Yu Darvish is coming off two of his best starts of the season, limiting the Blue Jays and Phillies to one earned run in 12 innings with 16 K's.  Darvish is 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.860 WHIP in nine career starts against Pittsburgh.  He is 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 1.76 ERA in his last five starts against the Pirates, allowing 6 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings with four of the five wins coming by two runs or more.

Quinn Priester will be making his second start of the season for the Pirates.  His first was a disaster, allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 1/3 innings of an 11-0 home loss to Cleveland.  I don't expect it to go much better for him today against this hot Padres lineup.

San Diego is 11-1 in its last 12 games when playing with triple revenge and winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Pittsburgh is 11-53 in its last 64 road games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more K's per start and getting outscored by 2.3 runs per game on average.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Brewers OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds have won five games in a row while scoring at least 4 runs in four of the five victories.  The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall as well.  I think both teams get to 4 runs in this one, which will assure that we get a push worst case but likely cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Graham Ashcraft is 5-7 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 19 starts for the Reds this season.  Ashcraft has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-4 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Colin Rea is 5-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 16 starts for the Brewers this season, including 2-2 with a 5.17 ERA in eight home starts.  Rea has posteda. 5.49 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in four career starts against the Reds as well.

The OVER is 18-6 in Rea's 24 career home starts.  The OVER is 12-2 in Rea's last 14 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 13-3 in Ashcraft's last 16 starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse.  The OVER is 16-5 in Milwaukee's last 21 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Mariners OVER 8.5

The Mariners beat the Blue Jays 9-8 Saturday for 17 combined runs.  It should be more of the same Sunday with another easy OVER with these two struggling starting pitchers going.

Alek Manoah has been a massive disappointment for the Blue Jays, going 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.836 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  He was even demoted to the minors, and it clearly didn't do much for him after allowing 4 earned runs in 3 innings to the Padres last time out.

Bryan Woo is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA in three home starts.  Woo allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 10-3 home loss to the Twins in his last start coming in.

Toronto is 13-3 OVER in Sunday games this season.  The OVER is 9-2 in Manoah's 11 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Dodgers/Rangers Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 14 games overall after hanging 11 runs and 16 runs on the Rangers in the first two games of this series.  They take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .273 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .284 and score 6.1 runs per game at home as well.

Emmet Sheehan has a 4.91 ERA in five starts for the Dodgers this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 25 2/3 innings.  Martin Perez is an absolute gas can for the Rangers with a 4.84 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 18 starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 9-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Perez is 18-4 OVER in day games over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 7-0 in Perez's last seven July starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 16 of their last 17 games and at least 5 runs in 11 of those.  The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  Both offenses should have success today.

Jameson Taillon is an absolute gas can for the Cubs, going 3-6 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in nine home starts.  While Jordan Montgomery has decent numbers for the Cardinals this season, the Cubs are scoring 5.8 runs per game against left-handed starters in 2023.

Montgomery allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them this season.  Taillon allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cardinals this season.

The OVER is 9-1-1 in Cubs last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last nine games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Chicago Sunday home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Brewers OVER 10

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball at the plate.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 31 of their last 38 games overall.  The Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall and at least 3 runs in seven consecutive games.  Both offenses should have success at the plate today.

Both starting pitchers are really struggling coming into this one.  Bryce Elder has allowed 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts.  Julio Teheran is 0-2 with a 9.36 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles +126

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of those 14 games.  They should not be underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays, who have gone 4-13 in their last 17 games overall while scoring 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 17 games, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 of them.

The Orioles have a big advanage on the mound today behind Tyler Wells, who is 7-5 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Taj Bradley, who is 5-6 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in his last three.  Bradley has already allowed 12 homers in 66 1/3 innings.  Bet the Orioles Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball at the plate.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 31 of their last 37 games overall.  Te Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall and at least 3 runs in six consecutive games.  Both offenses should have success at the plate today.

Allan Winans will be making his MLB debut for the Braves today.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.691 WHIP in four home starts.  Houser has never beaten the Braves, going 0-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Atlanta is 18-4 OVER in its last 22 games vs. a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Diamondbacks/Reds NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 10

The Arizona Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games and a total of 37 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.4 runs per game.  The Cincinnati Reds have scored a total of 27 runs in their last four games for an average of 6.8 runs per game.  Both teams should stay hot at the plate today.

The Diamondbacks still haven't named a starter and are likely to use their shaky bullpen a lot in this one.  They will use some combination of Tyler Gilbert and their bullpen, which has been particularly awful on the road.

Brandon Williamson is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.329 WHIP in 11 starts for the Reds this season, allowing a whopping 10 homers in 52 2/3 innings, including 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* Interleague TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Dodgers/Rangers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 13 games overall after hanging 11 runs on the Rangers yesterday.  They take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .274 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .286 and score 6.2 runs per game at home as well.

Bobby Miller has posted a 4.25 ERA in nine starts for the Dodgers this season.  Dane Dunning has posted a 3.20 ERA in 13 starts for the Rangers this season.  Both starters have been decent, but both are getting too much respect here as a result and both take a big step up in competition today against these two potent lineups.

The OVER is 8-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Blue Jays/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle -108

The Seattle Mariners get to stay at home for an 8th consecutive games.  The Toronto Blue Jays have to travel from Toronto to Seattle overnight after a 6-game home stand and playing the Padres yesterday.  I love the spot for the Mariners, and I believe they have a big advantage on the mound as well.

Bryce Miller is one of the most talented young prospects in the game.  He is 6-3 with a 3.66 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 12 starts thsi season, including 5-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.868 WHIP in seven home starts.

Yusei Kikuchi is a gas can for the Blue Jays.  He is 7-3 in spite of a 4.13 ERA in 19 starts this season, allowing a whopping 22 homers in 98 innings.  Kikuchi is 3-1 with a 4.53 ERA in 10 road starts, and 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in his last three starts coming in.

Toronto is 2-11 following six or more consecutive home games this season.  Seattle is 6-1 in his last seven home meetings with Toronto.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are red hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 12 games overall.  Now they take on the best hitting team in baseball in the Texas Rangers, who hit .274 and score 5.8 runs per game on the season.  They hit .286 and score 6.2 runs per game at home as well.

Tony Gonsolin is really struggling of late for the Dodgers, going 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 innings.  He'll be opposed by Andrew Heaney, who is 6-6 wiht a 4.43 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Heaney is 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.410 WHIP in six career starts against the Dodgers as well.

The OVER is 10-1 in Heaney's last 11 starts after giving up zero earned runs in his last outing.  The OVER is 17-6 in Heaney's last 23 starts as a favorite.  The OVER is 7-0 in Dodgers games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 15 games and at least 5 runs in 10 of those.  They have scored a total of 47 runs in their last six games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.  The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in seven consecutive games and an average of 6.6 runs per game during this stretch.

Jack Flaherty has had an up and down season for the Cardinals at 7-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 18 starts.  Flaherty allowed 3 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-4 victory over the Cubs in his lone start against them this season.

Justin Steele was pitching over his head in the first half of the season, but he has come back down to reality of late.  Steele has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee and Boston.  Steele has posted a 4.13 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in four career starts against the Cardinals as well.

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Cubs last nine games overall.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in Cardinals last seven games overall.  The OVER is 8-1 in Flaherty's nine starts following a team win.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 14 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in 10 of those.  They have scored a total of 45 runs in their last five games for an average of 9 runs per game.  They should stay hot at the plate against one of the worst starters in baseball tonight.

Steven Matz is 0-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.617 WHIP in 12 starts for the Cardinals this season, allowing 36 earned runs and 10 homers in 60 innings.  Matz is 0-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in four career starts against Chicago.  The Cubs are hitting .286 and scoring 6.0 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Marcus Stroman has come back down to reality of late, going 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 20 innings.  Stroman does not enjoy facing the Cardinals, going 1-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  

The Cardinals will do enough damage on Stroman to help contribute to cashing this OVER 8 ticket, but don't be surprised if the Cubs cover it on their own.  The OVER is 8-0 in Cubs last eight games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Cardinals last six games overall as they have scored at least 5 runs in all six games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Cubs OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 13 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in nine of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last seven games and 6 runs or more in five of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

The Cubs just scored 17 runs yesterday and should stay hot at the plate against Trevor Williams.  he is 5-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 19 starts this season, 3-2 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 10 road starts, and 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in his last three starts.  Williams is 3-7 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in 12 career starts against Chicago as well.

Kyle Hendricks is 1-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in five home starts this season.  He has really struggled of late, allowing 9 earned runs and 6 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.0 runs per game at home this season.  The OVER is 21-7 in Cubs games following two consecutive overs this season.  Hendricks is 13-2 OVER in his last 15 starts as a home favorite, including 11-1 OVER in his last 12 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Padres/Blue Jays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The San Diego Padres are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 3 runs in 15 consecutive games, and 4 runs or more 13 times during this stretch.  The OVER is 15-3-3 in their last 21 games overall.  The Blue Jays are also hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

Yu Darvish has been terrible on the road this season with a 5.58 ERA in nine starts away from home.  Jose Berrios has good numbers this season, but he has done a lot of his damage against poor lineups with a 3.41 ERA in 19 starts.  Berrios allowed 3 homers to the Red Sox in his last start against a potent lineup, and now he'll face a Padres lineup that is swinging the bats with more confidence right now than they have all season.

San Diego is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-134)

The Boston Red Sox are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of those 14 games.  They have scored at least 7 runs in six of their last nine games overall.  They will put it on the A's, who are 1-8 in their last nine games overall to fall to 26-71 on the season.

After shockingly getting shut out yesterday, which was the aberration not the norm, the Red Sox will heat back up at the plate today against Ken Waldichuk.  The left-hander is 1-3 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 39 earned runs and a whopping 14 homers in 52 1/3 innings.

Brayan Bello has been the ace of Boston's staff this season.  He is 7-5 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.198 WHIP in 15 starts this season, 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in six road starts, and 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Red Sox are 10-2 in their last 12 meetings with the A's with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  Boston is 10-2 vs. a team with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season.  Oakland is 4-25 vs. a AL starting pitcher with a 1.300 WHIP or better this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  The A's are 5-38 in day games this season and losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Dodgers/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 6.8 runs per game in their last nine games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

Julio Urias has been a major disappointment on the road this season, going 2-4 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.561 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  Dean Kremer has been poor all season with a 4.59 ERA in 19 starts while allowing 20 homers in 104 innings.  Kremer has been at his worst at home with a 5.07 ERA in 10 home starts and 11 homers allowed in 55 innings.

The OVER is 30-17 in Dodgers road games this season.  The OVER is 9-1 in Kremer's 10 starts as an underdog this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)

The Boston Red Sox are 11-2 in their last 13 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of those 13 games.  They have scored at least 7 runs in six of their last eight games overall.  They will put it on the A's, who are 0-8 in their last eight games overall to fall to 25-71 on the season.

The Red Sox will stay hot at the plate against Luis Medina, who is 1-6 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.718 WHIP in eight starts for the A's this season.  Medina has allowed 30 earned runs, 8 homers and 24 walks in 39 innings as a starter this season.

The Red Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 meetings with the A's with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  Oakland is 7-30 after a loss by four runs or more this season and losing by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  Boston is 10-1 vs. a team with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season and winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

25* NL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nationals/Cubs OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 12 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in eight of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games and 6 runs or more in five of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 9 ticket.

Two gas cans go tonight for these teams.  Pat Corbin is 6-10 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.610 WHIP in eight road starts.  But he's coming off a good start in his last outing, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.

Jameson Taillon is 3-6 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.65 ERA and 1.646 WHIP in eight home starts.  But he's coming off one of his best starts of the season, which was the aberration and not the norm, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 20-7 in Cubs games following two consecutive overs this season.  The OVER is 37-20 in Cobrin's 57 career road starts vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 22-10 in Taillon's last 32 starts vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rays/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in the majors in average (.274) and scoring (5.8 runs per game).  They also hit .287 and score 6.3 runs per game at home.  The Tampa Bay Rays score 5.4 runs per game.  This total is too low for a game involving these two teams.

We saw this same matchup between Nathan Eovaldi and Taj Bradley back on June 10th in Tampa Bay.  The Rangers won 8-4 in a game that saw 12 combined runs.  Eovaldi allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 1/3 innings, while Bradley allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 3 2/3 innings.  Bradley is also 0-2 with a 10.95 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Padres/Blue Jays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The San Diego Padres are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 3 runs in 14 consecutive games, and 4 runs or more 12 times during this stretch.  The OVER is 14-3-3 in their last 20 games overall.  The Blue Jays are also hot at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

The Padres will hang a big number on Alek Manoah, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Manoah is 2-7 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.797 WHIP in 14 starts, including 0-4 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.357 WHIP in seven home starts, allowing 27 earned runs and 8 homers in 28 innings at home.

Joe Musgrove has been dominant at home for the Padres, but it has been another story away from home.  Indeed, Musgrove has posted a 4.73 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in six road starts this season.  The Blue Jays will get enough off him and their shaky bullpen to help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Orioles Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last eight games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.

The Dodgers are so hot that I expect them to get to Tyler Wells, who has been the ace of this Baltimore staff this season.  But this is a big step up in class for him.  Plus, the Orioles will hang a big number on Michael Grove, who is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.629 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with an 11.92 ERA and 2.648 WHIP in three road starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Yankees/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Angels last eight games overall with 12 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  The OVER is 9-5-1 in Yankees last 15 games overall and they have scored at least 6 runs in eight of those 15 games.  With these two gas cans going tonight, the Yankees and Angels should easily combine for 9-plus runs in this one.

Luis Severino is 1-4 with a 7.38 ERA and 1.804 WHIP in nine starts for the Yankees this season, allowing 35 earned runs and 11 homers in 42 2/3 innings.  Severino has allowed 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Griffin Canning is 6-4 with a 4.62 ERA in 14 starts this season while allowing a whopping 15 homers in 74 innings.  He has a 5.12 ERA in six home starts.  Canning has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 11 consecutive games and at least 5 runs in seven of those.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in five consecutive games and 6 runs or more in four of those.  Both teams should get 4-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Drew Smyly is 0-2 with an 11.11 ERA and 2.381 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 1/3 innings.  Mackenzie Gore is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 innings.  Gore is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in two career starts against Chicago.

The Nationals are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road this season.  The Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Chicago is 8-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are hot at the plate right now scoring 7.7 runs per game in their last seven games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are also hot at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.

Emmet Sheehan is 2-0 with a 4.35 ERA in four starts this season for the Dodgers.  He is coming off his worst start of the season against the Pirates, allowing 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-7 defeat.

Grayson Rodriquez is 2-2 with a 7.35 ERA and 1.721 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Orioles, including 1-2 with a 9.56 ERA and 2.216 WHIP in five home starts.  He has already allowed 37 earned runs and 13 homers in 45 1/3 innings this season.  Both lineups should stay hot against these two starting pitchers tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Padres/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 5-0 in Phillies last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four consecutive games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Padres last nine games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those nine games.  The Padres have are raking right now, and the Phillies are heating up as well.

Zack Wheeler is really struggling for the Phillies coming into this one.  He has a 6.61 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings to the Marlins, Nationals and Mets.  

Seth Lugo has been decent for the padres with a 3.39 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 12 starts this season, but this is a much stiffer challenge than what he has been facing recently.  Lugo has a 7.29 ERA and 1.810 WHIP in five career starts against the Phillies.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/A's OVER 7.5

There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Oakland today that should help aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.  Plus, both of these starting pitchers have had a tough time keeping the ball in the park.

JP Sears has already allowed 19 homers in 99 2/3 innings this season for the A's.  Joe Ryan is 0-2 with an 8.78 ERA in his last three starts, allowing a whopping 8 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 3-0-1 in Twins last four games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all four.  The A's and their opponents have combined for 9 or more runs in six of their last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Guardians/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.9 runs per game.  They score 6.4 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last 11 games overall.

Tanner Bibee has been at his worst on the road for the Guardians with a 4.65 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in six starts away from home.  Martin Perez has been shaky all season for the Rangers with a 4.81 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in 17 starts.  Perez is 0-2 with an 8.39 ERA and 1.986 WHIP in five career starts against the Guardians as well.

The OVER is 15-6 in Rangers 21 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 10-2 in Rangers 12 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  Texas is 7-1 OVER in home games vs. AL Central opponents this season.  The OVER is 17-4 in Perez's last 21 day game starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-13 in their last 42 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 34 of their last 46 games, including 5 runs or more 30 times.  The OVER is 11-6 in Reds last 17 games overall with all 11 overs seeing 10 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 8-3 in Brewers last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight overs.

Andrew Abbott just faced the Brewers in his last start and allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-3 defeat.  Freddy Peralta has been terrible on the road throughout his career including this season, going 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in seven road starts in 2023.

Milwaukee is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games after scoring one run or fewer in two consecutive games.  Cincinnati is 7-0 OVER after allowing 3 runs or fewer in two consecutive games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-135)

The Oakland A's have lost five consecutive games while getting outscored 35-13 in the process to fall to 25-68 on the season.  They are getting outscored by 2.7 runs per game on the season.  The Twins should win this game by two runs or more due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Pablo Lopez has posted a 2.78 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in nine road starts this season.  He has been dynamite of late, going 2-1 with a 1.71 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 21 innings with a whopping 28 K's.  Lopez pitched 6 shutout innings in his lone career start against the A's last season.

Hogan Harris is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.667 WHP in four starts this season, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings.  Harris allowed 7 runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 9-0 loss at Detroit in his last start, and the Tigers are one of the worst offenses in baseball.

Oakland is 6-35 vs. AL teams allowing 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season and getting outscored by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.9 runs per game.  They score 6.4 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last 10 games overall.

Gavin Williams has decent numbers with a 4.01 ERA in four starts but has faced the Royals twice and the A's.  He got rocked in his toughest start against the Braves, allowing 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 1/3 innings.  He'll get rocked by this potent Rangers lineup as well.

Andrew Heaney is 5-6 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Heaney is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in his last three starts as well, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 2/3 innings.  All the damage was done by the Tigers and Nationals, two of the worst lineups in baseball.

The OVER is 15-5 in Rangers 20 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 10-1 in Rangers 11 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  The OVER is 11-1 in Heaney's last 12 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers lead the majors in scoring at 5.8 runs per game.  They score 6.3 runs per game at home.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Rangers, especially facing a hot Cleveland lineup that has scored at least 6 runs in five of their last nine games overall.

Aaron Civale has good numbers for the Guardians this season but takes a big step up in class here.  Jon Gray has been at his worst at home this season with a 4.27 ERA in eight starts.  Gray is 0-3 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in his last three starts coming in as well.

The OVER is 14-5 in Rangers 19 home games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  The OVER is 11-2 in Gray's last 13 Friday starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rangers 10 home games this season vs. a poor power team that averages 0.9 or fewer homers per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Reds OVER 10

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-12 in their last 41 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 34 of their last 45 games, including 5 runs or more 30 times.  The OVER is 11-5 in Reds last 16 games overall with all 11 overs seeing 10 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 8-2 in Brewers last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight overs.

Graham Ashcraft is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 4-6 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 2-5 with a 7.95 ERA and 1.651 WHIP in nine home starts.  Ashcraft is 0-3 with a 10.12 ERA and 1.982 WHIP in four career starts against the Brewers.

Milwaukee is scoring 4.7 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season and got 10 runs off Ashcraft in 4 innings of a 10-8 victory in June 3rd.  Corbin Burnes has a 3.94 ERA in 18 starts this season and consistently gets too much respect from the books.

The OVER is 8-1 in Burnes' nine starts following a win this season.  The OVER is 9-1 in Reds 10 games after allowing one run or less this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Ashcraft's last eight starts with a total of 10 or higher.  The OVER is 13-2 in Ashcraft's last 15 starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Padres/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The San Diego Padres are raking right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Phillies have been hot at the plate for over a month.  This total is too low for these two offenses up against these two starting pitchers.

Yu Darvish has been a major disappointment this season.  He is 5-6 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 15 starts, including 3-3 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in eight road starts.  He'll be opposed by Christopher Sanchez, who is getting too much respect for putting up solid numbers in five starts against suspect competition in the Rockies, A's, Nationals, Mets and Rays.  He has allowed one homer in each of his last three starts coming in.

The OVER is 13-2 in Padres last 15 road games after winning six or seven of their last eight games coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-11 in their last 40 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 34 of their last 44 games, including 5 runs or more 30 times.  The OVER is 11-4 in Reds last 15 games overall with all 11 overs seeing 10 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 8-1 in Brewers last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight overs.  This total is too low today folks.

Ben Lively is 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.303 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.06 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Wade Miley, who is 3-1 with a 3.94 ERA in six home starts this season.  Lively allowed 5 earned runs in 7 innings in his lone start against the Brewers this season.  Miley has allowed 5 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati.

The OVER is 17-6 in Miley's last 23 home starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Reds last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 18-7 in Reds last 25 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-112)

The Cleveland Guardians are 6-2 in their last eight games overall with five wins by two runs or more.  That includes wins by 5, 4 and 3 runs in their first three meetings with the Royals in this series.  The Royals are now 0-6 in their last six games overall with all six losses by 3 runs or more.

It should be more of the same in Game 4 Sunday with the massive advantage for the Guardians on the mound.  Ace Shane Bieber is 5-5 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA in eight home starts.  He'll be opposed by Ryan Yarbrough, who is 1-2 with a 4.72 ERA in three starts this eason.

Bieber has never lost to the Royals, going 6-0 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in 14 career starts against them.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 28 2/3 innings in his last five starts against Kansas City.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 consecutive starts against Kansas City, 2 runs or less in nine of those and one earned run or fewer in seven of them.  Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Atlanta Braves +116

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in the majors right now.  The Braves are 27-4 in their last 31 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 27 of those 31 games.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Tampa Bay Rays, who are riding a season-high 7-game losing streak while scoring a total of 17 runs in those seven games.

The Rays have no business being favored over the Braves Sunday.  I'll gladly side with Bryce Elder, who is 7-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.140 WHIP in 17 starts this season for the Braves, including 4-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven road starts.  Bet the Braves Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -141

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in the majors right now.  The Braves are 26-4 in their last 30 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 26 of those 30 games.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Tampa Bay Rays, who are riding a season-high 6-game losing streak while scoring a total of 16 runs in those six games.

Ace Spencer Strider is 10-2 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 17 starts this season with a whopping 155 K's in 93 1/3 innings.  Strider is 3-0 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

Taj Bradley is 5-4 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.367 WHIP in 12 starts for the Rays this season.  Bradley has really struggled in his last two starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 7 1/3 innings to Seattle and Arizona.  Bet the Braves Saturday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-11 in their last 39 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 33 of their last 43 games, including 5 runs or more 29 times.  The OVER is 10-4 in Reds last 14 games overall with all 10 overs seeing 10 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 7-1 in Brewers last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all seven overs.  This total is too low today folks.

Luke Weaver is one of the worst starters in baseball at 2-2 with a 6.72 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 14 starts.  He has already allowed 52 earned runs and 15 homers in 69 2/3 innings.  Weaver is 3-2 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.382 WHIP in seven career starts against Milwaukee.

Colin Rea is 5-4 with a 4.32 ERA in 14 starts for the Brewers with 11 homers allowed in 75 innings.  That includes a 4.59 ERA in seven home starts with 7 homers allowed in 35 1/3 innings.  Rea has posted a 4.20 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in three career starts against Cincinnati.

The OVER is 8-1 in Reds last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 17-7 in Reds last 24 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Boston Red Sox are 6-1 in their last seven games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six of those seven games, including their 7-3 win over the Oakland A's last night.  The A's are the worst team in baseball at 25-65 on the season while getting outscored by 2.6 runs per game.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to winning this game by multiple runs.  James Paxton is 4-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in three home starts.  Paxton has never lost to the A's, going 4-0 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Paul Blackburn is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.472 WHIP in seven starts this season for the A's, including 0-0 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts.  Blackburn is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA and 2.036 WHIP in two career starts against Boston.

Oakland is 5-34 in day games this season and getting outscored by 3.9 runs per game on average.  The Red Sox are 7-1 in the last eight meetings with six wins by 3 runs or more.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +110

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-10 in their last 38 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 33 of their last 42 games, including 5 runs or more 29 times.  They are 8-1 in their last nine games overall coming in.

Corbin Burnes is getting too much respect from the books tonight.  He is 6-5 with a 4.00 ERA in 17 starts this season, 3-2 with a 4.27 ERA in eight home starts, and 1-1 with a 6.62 ERA in his last three starts.

Andrew Abbott is 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA and 0.884 WHIP in six starts for the Reds this season and has proven to be one of the best rookies in all of baseball.  The lefty has allowed just 5 earned runs in 37 1/3 innings with 42 K's.  The Brewers are hitting .208 and scoring just 3.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Reds are 6-0 in Abbott's six starts this season.  Cincinnati is 18-3 in its last 21 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Reds are 23-4 in their last 27 games following a win.  Bet the Reds Friday.

15* Reds/Brewers NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-10 in their last 38 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 33 of their last 42 games, including 5 runs or more 29 times.  The OVER is 9-4 in Reds last 13 games overall with all nine overs seeing 11 or more combined runs.  The OVER is 6-1 in Brewers last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six overs.  This total is too low tonight folks.

Corbin Burnes is getting too much respect from the books tonight.  He is 6-5 with a 4.00 ERA in 17 starts this season, 3-2 with a 4.27 ERA in eight home starts, and 1-1 with a 6.62 ERA in his last three starts.  I also have a hard time seeing Andrew Abbott continuing to live up to the expectations he has created for himself in a small sample size of six starts for the Reds.

The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 16-7 in Reds last 23 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Cubs/Yankees Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 6-2-1 in Yankees last nine games overall with 8 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  The Cubs are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  Simply put, the books have set this total too low tonight.

That's especially the case with gas can Jameson Taillon going for the Cubs.  He is 2-6 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.539 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Rodon, who makes his first start of the season for the Yankees and will certainly be on a pitch count as he makes his way back from injury.

The OVER is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 interleague road games.  The OVER is 3-0-2 in Yankees last five home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Marlins OVER 7.5

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins are both raking right now.  The Phillies have scored a total of 37 runs in their last five games overall, while the Marlins have scored a total of 25 runs in their last three games overall.

Sandy Alcantara has struggled all season for the Marlins at 3-7 with a 5.02 ERA in 17 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies where he allowed 9 earned runs in 4 innings of a 15-3 defeat. Zack Wheeler has struggled of late for the Phillies, allowing 9 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts.

The OVER is 7-0 in Marlins last seven Game 1's.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -123

The Philadelphia Phillies are hot right now going 22-7 in their last 29 games overall.  That includes a perfect 12-0 in their last 12 road games.  The Phillies have scored a total of 37 runs in their last five games overall.  They should be bigger road favorites over the Marlins tonight.

Sandy Alcantara has struggled all season for the Marlins at 3-7 with a 5.02 ERA in 17 starts.  One of those starts came against the Phillies where he allowed 9 earned runs in 4 innings of a 15-3 defeat.

Zack Wheeler is 7-4 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.180 WHIP in 17 starts for the Phillies this season.  Wheeler is 10-4 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in 20 career starts against the Marlins as well.  Bet the Phillies Friday.

20* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Tigers OVER 9

Alek Manoah makes his return today after getting demoted to the minors.  Manoah is 1-7 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.897 WHIP in 13 starts in the majors.  He is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA and 2.348 WHIP in the minors as well.  Manoah is also 0-1 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.313 WHIP in three career starts against Detroit.

Alex Faedo is 1-3 with 5.54 ERA in five starts this season for the Tigers with 6 HR allowed in 26 innings.  The Blue Jays have scored at least 4 runs in five consecutive games.  The Tigers have quietly been hot at the plate for a month, scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 24 games overall.

The OVER is 6-0 in Tigers last six games after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.  The OVER is 12-3-1 in Tigers last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 18-7-1 in Tigers last 26 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Interleague Friday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Rays OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in the majors right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 26 of their last 29 games overall.  They score 5.7 runs per game on the season and take on a Rays team that scores 5.5 runs per game on the year.

Charlie Morton is mediocre at best at 8-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Tyler Glasno is 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.334 WHIP in seven starts for the Rays this season, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in his last three.

The OVER is 8-0 in Morton's last eight interleague starts.  The OVER is 14-3 in Rays games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.  The OVER is 10-1 in Rays last 11 home games following three or more consecutive losses.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -126

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off three consecutive losses. It's only the 4th time all season they have lost three in a row, and they have not lost four in a row once. They'll be highly motivated for a victory to avoid the sweep at the hands of the Mets today.

Arizona starter Ryne Nelson is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.776 WHIP in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-3 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in 11 starts this season while already allowing 12 homers in 53 innings. Carrasco is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.917 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Mets are 3-15 as road underdogs this season. The Diamondbacks are 8-1 after a game where they stranded 3 or fewer base runners this season. The Mets are 1-7 in their last eight Game 3's. Arizona is 14-3 in its last 17 games after losing the first two games of a series. Bet the Diamondbacks Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -134

The Texas Rangers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Boston Red Sox that should lead to an easy victory in their favor. They should be bigger road favorites in this game as a result.

Nathan Eovaldi is 10-3 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 17 starts this season and among the Cy Young favorites. He'll be opposed by Kutter Crawford, who is 3-3 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.318 WHIP in eight starts, including 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.818 WHIP in three home starts. Bet the Rangers Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 29-12 in their last 41 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 32 of those 41 games, including 5 runs or more 28 times.  The OVER is 9-3 in Reds last 11 games overall with all nine overs seeing 11 or more combined runs.  The Washington Nationals have scored 4 runs or more in seven of their last 10 games overall.

Brandon Williamson has been an absolute gas can for the Reds this season. He is 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in nine starts this season. He'll be opposed by Mackenzie Gore, who is 1-4 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.694 WHIP in seven home starts this season. Gore is 1-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.0975 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

Cincinnati is 14-4 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this season. The OVER is 16-6 in Reds last 22 road games. Washington is 12-2 OVER in its last 14 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse. The OVER is 5-0 in Reds last five road games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Mets/Diamondbacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

I'll gladly fade both of these starting pitchers and back the OVER 9.5 runs today between the Mets and Diamondbacks.  Kodai Senga has been awful on the road this season, going 3-3 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in seven starts away from home for the Mets.

Tommy Henry has posted a 4.16 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Diamondbacks. The Mets have scored at least 4 runs in four consecutive games, including 8 runs in back-to-back games. The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game on the season and have been great at the plate all year, which is a big reason for their turnaround.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings in Arizona. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Royals/Twins OVER 8.5

The Minnesota Twins have scored 8 runs or more in three of their last four games overall. The Kansas City Royals have scored at least 3 runs in six consecutive games with the OVER going 5-1 in those six games. These teams have combined for 12 runs in each of the first two meetings in this series, and it should be more of the same in Game 3 today.

Alec Marsh makes his second start of the season for the Royals. His first was a disaster as he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Dodgers. Pablo Lopez has been a disaster at home all season, going 2-2 with a 5.93 ERA in eight home starts while allowing 31 earned runs in 47 innings. Lopez allowed 6 earned runs in 6 innings of an 8-6 win over the Royals in his last start against them on April 28th.

The OVER is 17-6 in Lopez's last 23 home starts. The OVER is 32-12 in Kansas City's last 44 games vs. AL teams allowing 3.9 or fewer runs per game. The OVER is 5-0 in Royals last five games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Royals last seven road games. The OVER is 41-20-5 in the last 66 meetings in Minnesota. The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings. The OVER is 7-0 in Twins last seven home games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Guardians OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball, especially at the plate. They have gone 17-2 in their last 19 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in 15 of those 19 games. They will do the heavy lifting today in helping us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket against the Cleveland Guardians, who have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last four.

The Braves will feast on Cal Quantrill, who is 2-5 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 15.44 ERA and 2.316 WHIP in his last three starts. The Guardians should get to Mike Soroka, who is making his way back from injury and is 1-1 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 8-2 in Braves last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 28-12 in their last 40 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 31 of those 40 games, including 5 runs or more 27 times.  The OVER is 8-3 in Reds last 11 games overall with all eight overs seeing 12 or more combined runs.  The Washington Nationals have scored 4 runs or more in seven of their last nine games overall.

Graham Ashcraft is an absolute gas can for the Reds. He is 3-6 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in 15 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Josiah Gray, who has been awful at home this season at 2-3 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.596 WHIP in six home starts.

The OVER is 8-0 in Ashcraft's last eight starts with a total of 9.5 or higher. Washington is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse. The OVER is 15-6 in Reds last 21 road games. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets/Diamondbacks OVER 9

I'll gladly fade both of these starting pitchers and back the OVER 9 runs today between the Mets and Diamondbacks. Kodai Senga has been awful on the road this season, going 3-3 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in seven starts away from home for the Mets.

Zach Davies has been awful everywhere, especially at home. Davies is 1-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.617 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.33 ERA and 1.741 WHIP in six home starts. Davies is 3-3 with a 5.32 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets as well.

The OVER is 19-6-1 in Diamondbacks last 26 games following an off day. The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Arizona. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Rays OVER 7.5

The Philadelphia Phillies are raking right now scoring 4 runs or more in five of their last seven games overall including a combined 23 runs in their last two games. The Tampa Bay Rays have been raking all season scoring 5.6 runs per game including 5.9 runs per game at home. They have also scored 6 runs or more in three of their last four and a total of 30 runs in those four games.

Aaron Nola consistently gets too much respect from the books. Nola has a 4.51 ERA on the season and a 5.34 ERA on the road while allowing 11 homers in 60 2/3 innings away from home. Zach Eflin has solid numbers for the Rays but is due some regression.

The OVER is 6-0 in Rays last six games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The OVER is 6-0 in Rays last six home games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 20-7 in Rays last 27 home games. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Yankees OVER 8.5

Two gas cans go for the Yankees and Orioles today and that should lead to 9-plus combined runs to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket. The Yankees are raking right now without Aaron Judge scoring a total of 38 runs in their last six games overall. The Orioles are scoring 5.2 runs per game on the road this season.

Kyle Gibson is 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA and 1.829 WHIP in his last three starts for the Orioles allowing 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Clarke Schmidt is 3-6 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 17 starts for the Yankees this season.

Gibson is 2-6 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Yankees and the OVER is 8-3 in those games. Schmidt is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.801 WHIP in two career starts against the Orioles, both of which have come this season.

Baltimore is 10-2 OVER in divisional road games this season. The Orioles are 12-4 OVER in day road games this season. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Orioles last seven road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Reds/Nationals NL Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 27-12 in their last 39 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 30 of those 39 games, including 5 runs or more 26 times.  The OVER is 7-3 in Reds last 10 games overall with all seven overs seeing 12 or more combined runs.  The Washington Nationals have scored 4 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall.

Brett Kennedy is a spot starter for the Reds today who will be making his first start of the season. Pat Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past three seasons. Corbin is 5-9 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.541 WHIP in 17 starts this season.

Cincinnati is 16-5 OVER in its last 21 games after allowing 2 runs or less. The OVER is 14-6 in Reds last 20 road games. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Nationals OVER 10

The Cincinnati Reds are 26-12 in their last 38 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 30 of those 38 games, including 5 runs or more 26 times.  The OVER is 7-2 in Reds last nine games overall with all seven overs seeing 12 or more combined runs.  The Washington Nationals have scored 4 runs or more in six of their last seven games overall.

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to right-center.  Plus, these are two gas can starting pitchers going today for both teams.  Jake Irvin is 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.489 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Nationals, including 0-3 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in seven home starts.

Luke Weaver has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season for the Reds.  He is 1-2 with a 6.96 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in 13 starts this season, allowing 50 earned runs and 14 homers in 64 2/3 innings.  Weaver has allowed 24 earned runs in 21 innings in his last five starts for a 10.29 ERA.  He is 0-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.628 WHIP in three career starts against Washington as well.

Washington is 11-1 OVER in its last 12 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse.  The OVER is 8-2 in Reds last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Texas Rangers have scored a total of 31 runs in their last five games and now rank 1st in average (.275) and 1st in scoring (5.99 runs per game) this season.  The Houston Astros have scored a total of 31 runs in their last four games and a total of 58 runs in their last nine games for an average of 6.4 runs per game. This total is too low for these two hot offenses.

Shawn Dubin will be making his first start of the season for the Astros. He'll be opposed by Andrew Heaney, who is 3-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.617 WHIP in nine home starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs and 9 homers in 42 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 9-1 in Heaney's last 10 home starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs. The OVER is 16-6-6 in Rangers last 28 home games. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Reds OVER 10.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 25-12 in their last 37 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 29 of those 37 games, including 5 runs or more 26 times.  They are raking right now.  They just combined with the Braves for 21, 13 and 13 runs in their three-game series last weekend.  They just combined for 13 and 18 runs with the Orioles in two of their three games last series.  And now they have combined for 12 and 17 runs with the Padres in the first two meetings in this series.

Simply put, books cannot set these totals high enough in Cincinnati games.  They haven't set this total high enough, either.  That's especially the case with the forecast calling for temps in the 80's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.

The Padres haven't named a start yet but I like the OVER either way.  They are likely to go with Yu Darvish, who is 3-3 with a 6.14 ERA in 8 road starts this season.  Darvish is 1-2 with a 7.72 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.  Andrew Abbott has much better numbers than his peripherals and is due for some regression for Cincinnati.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Cincinnati. The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Blue Jays OVER 8

The Red Sox and Blue Jays combined for 13 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today. This total of 8 has been set too low in a matchup between two of the most potent lineups in the American League.

Garrett Whitlock is 4-3 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.322 WHIP in nine starts for the Red Sox this season. Kevin Gausman has solid numbers, but one of his worst starts of the season came against the Red Sox, who he has struggled against of late. Gausman allowed 8 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of an 11-5 loss to Boston on May 4th.

The OVER is 12-3 in Gausman's last 15 home starts vs. division opponents. The OVER is 11-2 in Toronto's 13 Sunday games this season. Boston is 10-2 OVER vs. AL starting pitchers with a 3.40 ERA or better this season. The OVER is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Toronto. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Braves OVER 9

No team is hotter at the plate than the Atlanta Braves right now, especially against right-handed starters.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 15 of their last 16 games overall, including 5 runs or more 13 times.  The Miami Marlins have quietly gone 24-10 in their last 34 games overall and have ridden a hot offense that has scored at least 6 runs in 14 of those games.

Eury Perez has great numbers this season but he has also faced a soft schedule of opponents. This will be his first start against the Braves, and I don't expect it to go too well for him.

Charlie Morton has been very hittable, especially at home where he is 3-3 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in seven home starts this season. The OVER is 30-11 in Morton's last 41 starts as a favorite.

The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Astros/Rangers OVER 7.5

The Texas Rangers have scored a total of 26 runs in their last four games and now rank 1st in average (.273) and 1st in scoring (6.01 runs per game) this season.  The Houston Astros have scored a total of 29 runs in their last three games and a total of 56 runs in their last eight games for an average of 7 runs per game.

This total is too low for these two hot offenses.  Both Hunter Brown and Nathan Eovaldi are getting too much respect for this total to be sitting at 7.5 to 8 runs today. Eovaldi has come back down to reality of late.

The OVER is 16-6-5 in Rangers last 27 home games.  The OVER is 10-1-2 in Rangers last 13 home games with as total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/Orioles OVER 8

The forecast looks ripe for scoring in Baltimore today with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center. This 8-run total is set too low given the forecast.

Bailey Ober has allowed 4 homers in his last 3 starts for a 4.00 ERA. Kyle Bradish is 4-3 with a 3.75 ERA in 14 starts this season. While both of these starters have been solid this season, they are getting too much respect here.

Minnesota is 11-1 OVER in its last 12 July road games. The OVER is 11-4 in Twins last 15 games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. The OVER is 8-2 in Orioles last 10 games overall. The OVER is 5-0 in Orioles last five games following a loss. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Red Sox/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

Kikuchi is 7-2 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in 16 starts this season with a whopping 20 homers allowed in 84 innings.  Kichuchi has never beaten the Red Sox, going 0-1 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in four career starts against them.  Toronto is 0-4 in those four starts.

Kutter Crawford is 2-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in seven starts for the Red Sox this season. Crawford is 0-1 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in two career starts against Toronto as well. I expect both of these starters to struggle today.

The OVER is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Toronto. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Astros/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers have scored a total of 23 runs in their last three games and now rank 1st in average (.274) and 1st in scoring (6.04 runs per game) this season.  The Houston Astros have scored a total of 24 runs in their last two games and a total of 51 runs in their last seven games for an average of 7.3 runs per game.

This total is too low for these two hot offenses.  Jon Gray recently had a blister issue and has allowed 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Ronel Blanco has a 4.70 ERA in four starts for the Astros this season and has allowed a homer in all four starts and a total of 7 homers in 23 innings.

The OVER is 10-1 in Astros last 11 games after allowing 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 16-5-5 in Rangers last 26 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Marlins/Braves OVER 9.5

No team is hotter at the plate than the Atlanta Braves right now, especially against right-handed starters.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 14 of their last 15 games overall, including 5 runs or more 12 times.  The Miami Marlins have quietly gone 24-9 in their last 33 games overall and have ridden a hot offense that has scored at least 6 runs in 14 of those games.

Bryan Hoeing was solid in his three home starts for the Marlins, but he was rocked in his lone road start, which came against these same Atlanta Braves.  Hoeing allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 7-4 defeat.

Mike Soroka is likely to get the start for the Braves, but I like the OVER either way.  Soroka is making his way back from injury and just hasn't been himself this season, going 0-1 with an 8.38 ERA and 1.861 WHIP in his two starts while allowing 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 18 base runners in 9 2/3 innings to the A's and Diamondbacks.

Atlanta is 13-3 OVER in its last 16 games following a shutout victory.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Padres/Reds NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 11

The Cincinnati Reds are 24-11 in their last 35 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 27 of those 35 games, including 5 runs or more 24 times.  They are raking right now.  They just combined with the Braves for 21, 13 and 13 runs in their three-game series last weekend.  They just combined for 13 and 18 runs with the Orioles in two of their three games last series.

Simply put, books cannot set these totals high enough in Cincinnati games.  Now the Reds send their worst starter to the mound in Grahm Ashcraft, who is 3-6 with a 7.17 ERA and 1.666 WHIP in 14 starts this season, 2-5 with a 9.16 ERA and 1.816 WHIP in eight home starts, and 0-3 with a 16.03 ERA and 2.624 WHIP in his last three starts overall while allowing 19 earned runs, 5 homers and 28 bae runners in 10 2/3 innings.

Seth Lugo has been struggling badly of late for the Padres at 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in his last three starts.  Now he must face one of the hottest lineups in baseball in the Reds.  Plus, the Padres have been much better offensively of late themselves, so this should be a slug fest.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark as well.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in Padres last six Game 1's.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Cincinnati.  The OVER is 6-0 in Reds last six games with a total of 11 or higher.  The OVER is 15-4 in Reds last 19 Game 1's.  The OVER is 5-1 in Reds last six games overall.  The OVER is 11-2 in Ashcraft's last 13 starts with a money line of -125 to +125.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Cubs OVER 9.5

The Philadelphia Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games overall and are heating up at the plate.  The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 13 games overall, including 7 runs or more six times.  These teams should easily combined for 10-plus runs at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

Both Taijuan Walker and Kyle Hendricks have good numbers recently which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  These two hot lineups should feast on these two soft tossers as both throw in the 80's.  Their luck runs out tonight.

Walker has been at his worst on the road with a 5.76 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in nine road starts.  Hendricks has been at his worst at home with a 3.77 ERA and 1.535 WHIP in three home starts.  Hendricks has allowed 13 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies for a 7.98 ERA.

The OVER is 20-8 in Hendricks' last 28 home starts.  The OVER is 18-6-5 in Phillies last 29 road games with a total of 9 to 10.5 runs.  The OVER is 6-2 in Cubs last eight home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Texas Rangers finally broke out of their mini slump with 8 runs Tuesday and 10 more runs Wednesday.  They rank 1st in average (.273) and 1st in scoring (6.06 runs per game) this season.  The Tigers are quietly having a lot of success at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 17 games overall.

Two gas can starting pitchers go today in Game 4 of this series.  Cody Bradford is 0-1 with a 5.65 ERA in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 14 1/3 innings.  Reese Olson is 1-2 with a 5.49 ERA in four starts this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 2/3 innings.

Texas is 42-19 OVER in its last 61 games as a home favorite.  The OVER is 37-16-8 in the last 61 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.  The OVER is 12-4-1 in Tigers last 17 games overall.  The OVER is 20-8-6 in Rangers last 34 home games.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Tigers last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Padres/Pirates NL Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 8.5

I like UNDERS in these early start time games because teams tend to be sleep walking through them.  The Padres are a West Coast team and aren't used to playing this early, which is a 9:35 body clock game for them.  And I like how both of these starting pitchers have been trending, while fading both of these offenses.

The Padres have been held to 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games and 4 runs or fewer in nine of their last 12 games overall.  The Pirates have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 13 games overall, and 3 runs or fewer in 12 of their last 17 games overall.  These are two of the most struggling offenses in baseball.

Joe Musgrove is 5-0 with a 1.98 ERA in his last six starts, allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 36 1/3 innings.  Musgrove is 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last three starts against Pittsburgh over the past three seasons, allowing just 3 earned runs and one homer in 17 innings with 21 K's.

Luis Ortiz is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA in eight starts this season, including 1-1 with a 3.07 ERA in three home starts.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee and Miami.  He will hold the Padres in check here as well.

San Diego is 24-8 UNDER vs. a starting pitcher that allows 5.5 or fewer hits per start this season.  The UNDER is 24-8-1 in Padres last 33 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The UNDER is 3-1-2 in the last six meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 4th in average (.264) and 2nd in scoring (5.66 runs per game) this season.  The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 3rd in average (.265) and 5th in scoring (5.28 runs per game) this season.  These teams combined for 12 runs in Game 1 yesterday, and it should be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own against Zach Davies, who is 1-4 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.822 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He is 0-3 with a 9.90 ERA and 2.150 WHIP in five home starts.  Davies is 0-3 with a 15.18 ERA and 2.718 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 29 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

Zach Eflin has been great at home this season, but it has been a different story on the road.  Eflin is 1-3 with a 5.08 ERA in six road starts, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 33 2/3 innings. The Diamondbacks will do enough damage against him to help contribute to us cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.

The OVER is 41-24 in Eflin's 65 career road starts.  The OVER is 19-6 in Eflin's last 25 starts vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game.  The OVER is 7-0-1 in Rays last eight games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 20-6 in Rays last 26 vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 35-17-2 in Diamondbacks last 54 interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Texas Rangers finally broke out of their mini slump with 8 runs in an 8-3 victory over the Detroit Tigers yesterday.  They still rank 1st in average (.272) and 1st in scoring (6.01 runs per game) this season.  The Tigers are quietly having a lot of success at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 16 games overall.

The Rangers will hang a big number on Detroit's worst starter in Joey Wentz, who is 1-8 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in 14 starts this season while allowing 48 earned runs and 13 homers in 62 2/3 innings.  Wentz is 1-5 with a 7.48 ERA and 1.590 WHIP in six road starts, allowing 23 earned runs and 7 homers in 27 2/3 innings.

Dane Dunning has solid numbers overall at 4-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.305 WHIP in nine starts this season.  But he has been at his worst at home with a 4.37 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in four starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 2/3 innings.  Dunning has never beaten the Tigers, going 0-3 with a 5.70 ERA in five career starts against them.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Detroit.

Texas is 41-19 OVER in its last 60 games as a home favorite.  The OVER is 36-16-8 in the last 60 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.  The OVER is 11-4-1 in Tigers last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 14-5-5 in Rangers last 24 home games.  The OVER is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Orioles OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 23-11 in their last 34 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 26 of those 34 games, including 5 runs or more 23 times.  They are raking right now.  They just combined with the Braves for 21, 13 and 13 runs in their three-game series over the weekend.  They just combined for 13 more runs with the Orioles in Game 1 of this series before a 4-run outing in Game 2 that was delayed by rain and featured two of the best starters on both teams.

Simply put, the books can't set Cincinnati totals high enough right now.  The Reds will be sending their worst starter in Luke Weaver to the mound tonight.  Weaver is 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.591 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 46 earned runs and 14 homers in 60 1/3 innings.  Weaver has a 9.00 ERA and 2.231 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

Kyle Gibson is getting too much respect from the books as well as he hasn't been great this season, either.  He is 8-5 despite a 4.30 ERA and 1.337 WHIP, including 4-3 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.449 WHIP in seven home starts.  Gibson has lost his last two starts to the Cubs and Mariners while allowing 8 earned runs and 15 base runners in 9 innings for an 8.00 ERA.

The OVER is 13-5 in Reds last 18 road games.  The OVER is 4-1 in Reds last five games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Reds last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 6-2 in Orioles last eight games overall.  The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Baltimore.  The OVER is 53-25 in Gibson's 78 career home starts at night.  The OVER is 6-0 in Reds last six games after allowing 2 runs or fewer in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -115

I love the spot for the Philadelphia Phillies tonight.  The Chicago Cubs had to travel back from London Sunday and will still be suffering a 'hangover' from that trip.  They won't be fully ready mentally to face the Phillies in Game 1 of this series tonight.

Now they have to take on one of the hottest starters in baseball in Ranger Suarez.  He is 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA in his last four starts while allowing just 3 earned runs and 27 base runners in 26 innings despite facing three of the best lineups in baseball in the Dodgers, Diamondbacks and Braves.

Jameson Taillon is the weakest link in this Chicago rotation.  He is 2-5 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.699 WHIP in six home starts.  Taillon is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.818 WHIP in six career starts against Philadelphia.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 17-4 in Suarez's last 21 starts following a team win.  The Cubs are 2-10 in Taillon's 12 starts this season.  The Phillies are 6-0 in their last six road games.  Philadelphia is 10-1 in its last 11 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Phillies are 15-5 in their last 20 games overall and playing their best baseball of the season.  Bet the Phillies Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Rangers are 24-14 at home this season where they are hitting .283 as a team and scoring 6.3 runs per game.  The Tigers are quietly having a lot of success at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 15 games overall.

Matt Manning will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Tigers.  He is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA in two starts while already allowing 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings.  Martin Perez is 7-3 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in 15 starts for the Rangers this season and has taken a big step back in 2023.  

Perez is 2-5 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in 11 career starts against Detroit.  He allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 4 2/3 innings of a 10-6 victory over the Tigers on May 30th in his lone start against them this season.

Texas is 40-19 OVER in its last 59 games as a home favorite.  The OVER is 35-16-8 in the last 59 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 10-4-1 in Tigers last 15 games overall.  The OVER is 13-5-5 in Rangers last 23 home games.  The OVER is 7-1-1 in Tigers last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 22-11 in their last 33 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 26 of those 33 games, including 5 runs or more 23 times.  They are raking right now.  They just combined with the Braves for 21, 13 and 13 runs in their three-game series over the weekend.  They just combined for 13 more runs with the Orioles in Game 1 of this series.  The books simply cannot set their totals high enough.

That's the case again tonight as they have set this total at 8.5 runs.  Both these starting pitchers are getting too much respect due to their solid ERA numbers.  But a closer look shows that both starters are susceptible to the homer, and these are two of the most powerful lineups in baseball.

Andrew Abbott gave up 3 homers to the Rockies in his last start and is in line for his worst start of the season here after an impressive start thus far in a small sample size.  Tyler Wells has already allowed 18 homers in 81 2/3 innings for the Orioles.

The OVER is 13-4 in Reds last 17 road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Reds last four games overall.  The OVER is 6-0 in Reds last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 6-1 in Orioles last seven games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Rangers OVER 9

After getting held in check by the Yankees on the road over the weekend, the Texas Rangers will get back on track at the plate against Matt Boyd and the lowly Detroit Tigers at home Monday.  The Rangers are 24-13 at home this season, hitting .285 as a team and scoring 6.4 runs per game.  They are also scoring 6.8 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

Boyd is 5-5 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 14 starts this season, allowing 44 earned runs and 10 homers in 70 1/3 innings.  Boyd is 1-7 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.371 WHIP in nine career starts against the Rangers.  He faced Texas earlier this season on May 29th and allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 5-0 defeat.

The Tigers are quietly having a lot of success at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 14 games overall.  They will get to Andrew Heaney, who has been at his worst at home this season with a 5.35 ERA and 1.621 WHIP in eight home starts.  Heaney is 1-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.900 WHIP in two career starts against the Tigers, allowing 10 earned runs and 19 base runners in 10 innings.

The OVER is 14-2 in Boyd's last 16 night starts.  The OVER is 12-1 in Heaney's last 13 starts as a home favorite.  The OVER is 35-16-7 in the last 58 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 10-4 in Tigers last 14 games overall.  The OVER is 13-5-4 in Rangers last 22 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Orioles OVER 10

The Cincinnati Reds are 22-10 in their last 32 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 26 of those 32 games, including 5 runs or more 23 times.  They are raking right now.  They just combined with the Braves for 21, 13 and 13 runs in their three-game series over the weekend.

The Reds have been at their best against left-handed starters scoring 5.6 runs per game against them this season.  The Orioles have also been great against southpaws at 5.2 runs per game.  With these two gas can lefties going tonight, both offenses should do enough to get this OVER 10 combined runs.

Brandon Williamson is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.391 WHIP in seven starts this season while allowing 22 earned runs and 8 homers in 36 2/3 innings.  Cole Irvin is 1-3 with a 7.77 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 innings.

The OVER is 14-4 in Reds last 18 Game 1's.  The OVER is 12-4 in Reds last 16 road games.  The OVER is 5-1 in Orioles last six games overall.  The OVER is 4-0 in Orioles last four Game 1's.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/Braves OVER 8

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball at the plate.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 consecutive games and 18 of their last 20 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 17 of those 20 games.  They are more than capable of covering this total on their own after scoring at least 7 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.

The Twins have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 15 games overall.  They can get to Spencer Strider, who has a 3.93 ERA in 15 starts this season, a 4.62 ERA in seven home starts and an 8.40 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 innings.

Sonny Gray has good numbers overall this season but is fortunate to have as low of an ERA (2.44) as he has with a 1.284 WHIP.  He has a 1.500 WHIP in six road starts and doesn't go very deep into his starts, averaging 5.4 innings per start.  The Braves will get into their bullpen early in this one.

The OVER is 7-0 in Strider's seven home starts this season.  The OVER is 10-2 in Gray's last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 35-15-3 in Twins last 53 interleague road games.  The OVER is 46-22-3 in Braves last 71 vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 24-11-1 in Braves last 36 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Arizona Diamondbacks +117

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the San Francisco Giants.  I'll back them as underdogs here to avoid the sweep with a win in Game 3 Sunday.

Ryne Nelson has been at his best on the road this season with a 3.41 ERA and 1.189 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  He'll be opposed by Anthony DeSclafini, who has been at his worst at home at 2-4 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.362 WHIP in nine home starts.  He has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 14 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Arizona.

Arizona is 16-4 on the road with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season.  The Diamondbacks are 8-1 in road games vs. starting pitchers with good control allowing 1.75 or fewer walks per start this season.  Arizona is 13-3 in its last 16 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Diamondbacks Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Reds OVER 12

The Cincinnati Reds are 22-8 in their last 30 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 24 of those 30 games, including 5 runs or more 21 times.  They are raking right now.  The Braves have been the hottest lineup in baseball against right-handed pitching since June 1st.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games, including 5 or more nine times.

These teams just combined for 21 runs yesterday in one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball inside Great American Ballpark.  It should be more of the same today with these two starting pitchers going.

Graham Ashcraft is 3-5 with a 6.78 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in 13 starts this season, 2-4 with an 8.63 ERA and 1.732 WHIP in seven home starts, and 1-2 with a 12.34 ERA and 2.228 WHIP in his last three starts overall.  He'll be opposed by Jared Shuster, who is 4-2 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.379 WHIP in eight starts, including 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.533 WHIP in three road starts.

The OVER is 40-15-3 in Braves last 58 games when their opponent scored 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings.  Atlanta is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after a game where their bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 2nd in baseball in scoring at 5.72 runs per game.  They just hung 11 runs on the Royals yesterday, and they should stay hot at the plate today against arguably the worst starter in baseball.

The Rays will crush Jordan Lyles, who is 0-11 with a 6.51 ERA in 15 starts this season while allowing 62 earned runs and a whopping 18 homers in 85 2/3 innings.  Lyles is 0-5 with an 8.35 ERA in seven road starts as well.  He is 1-3 with a 6.07 ERA in six career starts against the Rays.

Yonny Chirinos has been solid for the Rays at 1-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in three starts this season.  He will hold down the Royals, who are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  They have a ton of injuries in their lineup right now that are bogging down their offense.

The Royals are 0-15 in Lyles' 15 starts this season and getting outscored by 2.8 runs per game.  Tampa Bay is 18-2 in its last 20 home games with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 25-4 as a home favorite of -150 or more this season and winning by 3.6 runs per game.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -108

The Boston Red Sox are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last 10 games overall.  They should stay hot at the plate against Lance Lynn, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.

Lynn is 4-8 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.506 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 61 earned runs and a whopping 18 homers in 84 1/3 innings.  Lynn has been at his worst at home, going 2-4 with a 7.64 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in six starts in Chicago.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound in this one behind James Paxton, who is 3-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in seven starts this season with 51 K's in 38 1/3 innings.  Paxton has never lost to the White Sox, going 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in five career starts against them.

The White Sox are 1-4 in their last five games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer four times.  Chicago is 3-9 in its last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-135)

The San Diego Padres just blew out the Giants 10-0 yesterday and are starting to hit the ball up to their potential finally.  With their massive advantage on the mound tonight, I expect another blowout victory in their favor over the struggling Washington Nationals.

The Nationals are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  They have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 17 games, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 of those.  They haven't score more than 6 runs in any of their last 17 games.

The Padres will tee off on Pat Corbin, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last three years.  Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIIP in 31 starts in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts in 2022, and he is now 4-8 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in 15 starts in 2023.  Corbin is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last two starts against the Padres, allowing 8 earned runs and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

Joe Musgrove has been dominant this season with the exception of one start in Mexico City in the altitude which has inflated his number.  Musgrove is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five home starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and only 2 homers in 27 innings.

The Padres are 16-3 in Musgrove's last 19 starts vs. a NL team with a .400 or worse slugging percentage and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 0-9 in their last nine games when their opponent allowed two runs or fewer in their previous game.  Washington is 11-41 in its last 52 Game 1's.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Friday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -108

The Texas Rangers are better than the New York Yankees this season, especially with the Yankees without Aaron Judge right now.  They have the rest advantage tonight after having Thursday off while the Yankees completed a series with the Mariners yesterday.  And they have the advantage on the mound tonight, so they should be bigger favorites.

Dane Dunning is 4-1 with a 3.45 ERA in eight starts this season for the Rangers, allowing just 4 homers in 44 1/3 innings.  He is 1-1 with a 2.49 ERA in four road starts without a homer allowed in 21 2/3 innings.  Dunning has posted a 1.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in three career starts against the Yankees as well.

Clarke Schmidt is one of the weak links in New York's rotation.  He is 2-6 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 15 starts this season, allowing 37 earned runs and 11 homers in 71 2/3 innings.  Schmidt faced the Rangers earlier this season and it did not go well as he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 5-2 defeat.

The Yankees are 1-7 in Schmidt's eight starts with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  New York is 4-11 in Schmidt's 15 starts this season overall.  The Yankees are 0-7 in Schmidt's seven starts vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  Texas is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the Rangers Friday.