Brandon Lee

50* ARMY/NAVY VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Navy +8) 

I'll gladly grab the touchdown plus with the Midshipmen. I just think this is too many points to pass up in a game that figures to be low scoring. I know the records are miles apart, but I don’t think there’s as big a gap in talent as a lot of people think.

I think a lot of people are going to fall into the trap of overreacting to the fact that Army’s only two losses were true road games against Duke and Oklahoma (lost in OT 28-21). The rest of their resume isn’t anything to get excited about and they easily could have lost a few more than they did.

Navy played the much tougher schedule and I think the Midshipmen showed some positives down the stretch. They went on the road and gave UCF a scare, losing by a final score of 35-24. They then knocked off Tulsa at home and nearly had that epic comeback last time out at Tulane.

I also think the roles are reversed here. Army has been the big underdog in this series for nearly two decades and now they are favored for the first since 2001. Underdog has covered the spread in this game 6 of the last 7 years and I don’t think it’s out of the question that we get our third straight underdog to win the game outright.

A lot of people are going to point to Navy’s defense as the big weakness that will allow the Black Knights to get the win and cover, but Army is a mere 11-25 ATS in there last 36 games vs teams who allow 34 or more points/game. Black Knights are also just 3-9 ATS last 12 vs a team with a losing record. Midshipmen are an impressive 23-7 ATS in their last 30 road games when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Give me Navy +8!

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +8) 

I've been on the Bulls in each of their last two games and they covered both. Last night they won 114-112 as a 8.5-point home dog and I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off another upset win tonight against Boston. I like the energy and focus I've seen from Chicago since they fired Hoiberg and it definitely helps they got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen. They could potentially be getting back to more key pieces tonight in Kris Dunn and Bobby Portis, both of which are listed as questionable. Either way I expect them to keep this close. Give me the Bulls +8! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Timberwolves. These two teams have played twice already and the home team has dominated both times. Portland won 111-81 at home on Nov. 4th and Minnesota won 112-96 at home on Nov. 16. I know it's been a tough stretch for the Blazers of late, but they snapped a 3-game skid with a 22-point win at home over the Suns and for as good as the Wolves have been playing, a lot of that success has come at home (10 of last 12 at home). Minnesota is just 2-8 on the road and those 2 wins are against the Nets and Cavs. Give me the Blazers -2! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (San Diego St -3) 

I know this is going to be a very popular side, but I just can't pass up the value here with the Aztecs at basically pick'em against the Golden Bears. San Diego State is 5-3, but two of those losses were neutral site games against Duke and Iowa State. The other a loss to in-state rival San Diego, which was their last game. I think that will have the Aztecs 100% locked in for this game against a Cal team that simply isn't very good. The Golden Bears have just 2 wins on the season and have lost 4 of their last 5, including a 19-point home loss to San Francisco. Give me San Diego State -3! 

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Pittsburgh +11) 

I'll take my chances here with the Panthers as a double-digit dog against the Mountaineers. This line suggest that Pitt has a slim chance of winning this game, but I think that's not true at all. The Panthers won just 8-games last year and went winless in the ACC (0-18). It's going to take more than a 7-2 start for this team to get some love. This is a different team under first year head coach Jeff Capel and we saw this team nearly go on the road and beat Iowa as a 11-point dog a couple weeks ago. They did just get upset at home against Niagara, but that was a big flat spot and it will have them 100% locked in for this one. West Virginia is way down this year, but the books haven't quite caught up. Give me the Panthers +11! 

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40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -19.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers winning here at home by 20+ against Arkansas State. I just don't think this is a big enough spread for the gap in talent here. Minnesota is still flying under the radar. I mean they were just a 4-point home dog to Nebraska (won 85-78). Their only two losses are true road games against BC and Ohio State. The Red Wolves are 3-5 with a 1-5 record on the road, where they have been outscored by 15.3 ppg in their 4 losses. It's not like they have been playing a bunch of Power 5 teams. They lost by 21 at Abilene Christian, 24 at Grand Canyon and 12 at Lehigh. Give me the Gophers -19.5!