Brandon Lee

PICK - Syracuse Orange -4.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 605

I will lay the short number with the Orange on the road against the Panthers in Saturday's early ACC showdown. Syracuse won't have any trouble finding motivation for this game. Not only are the Orange coming off a loss at UNC, Pitt won the earlier meeting with these two teams in New York. It's the only home loss for Syracuse this season. 

Not only that, the Orange lost that first meeting despite leading 30-12 with less than 5 minutes to play in the 1st half. Syracuse just didn't come out in the 2nd half with the right mindset. They went from allowing a mere 18 first half points to giving up 45 in the 2nd half. 

I look for Syracuse to come out strong in this one and never take the foot off the gas. Orange have been a good bet on the road in ACC play, as they are 17-6 ATS last 23 on the road in conference play. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons in road games when revenging a loss and have won in this spot by an average of 10 ppg. Give me Syracuse -4.5! 

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40* HAWKS/BLAZERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Blazers -4.5) 

I know the Blazers are coming off an ugly 87-111 loss at home to the Pacers on Thursday, but that was a tough spot for Portland playing on no rest after a up-and-down 132-126 win at Sacramento the night before. I believe that loss is what's giving us such great value here. 

Atlanta is broken right now. The Hawks are missing some key pieces and Trae Young is playing with zero confidence. Atlanta comes in having lost 5 of their last 6 and the only win during this stretch was against a depleted 76ers team. Look for Lillard and McCollum to abuse Young in this one. Give me the Blazers -4.5! 

50* RAMS/PACKERS NFL *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rams +7) 

I will gladly take the 7-points with the Rams against the Packers on Saturday. LA was my favorite sleeper pick coming into the playoffs. They lived up to the hype on Wild Card Weekend, going on the road and beating the Seahawks 30-20. 

For me it's all about the Rams defense. They are so good across the board on that side of the ball. They can take away Aaron Jones and the run game and have one of the best corners in the league in Jalen Ramsey to matchup with Rodgers favorite weapon Davante Adams. There's just not a lot of other weapons out there for GB and if LA can get that pass rush going, the Rams could easily win this game outright. Give me Los Angeles +7! 

50* ROCKETS/SPURS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Spurs -6.5) 

I love the value here with the Spurs at -6.5 at home against the Rockets. These two teams just played each other at San Antonio on Thursday. It was Houston's first game since trading James Harden and they were absolutely depleted in that game. You could tell the Spurs thought they could just go into that game and win without trying. It bit them in the ass. Popovich isn't going to let them make the same mistake twice and with several key players again out for Houston, this game figures to get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Spurs -6.5! 

50* MIZZU/TEXAS A&M NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Missouri -4.5)

I got no problem laying the 4.5 points on the road with Missouri as they visit Texas A&M on Saturday. The Tigers have to be itching to get back on the court, as they have not played a game since a huge 2nd half collapse in a 63-78 loss at Mississippi State. Missouri led in that game by 14 in the 2nd half and somehow lost by 15. The Tigers only other loss was to Tennessee. 

The Aggies come in off a 56-55 win at Mississippi State, but that's nothing to get excited about. That's now 3 straight games where Texas A&M has failed to eclipse 60 points (have scored 60 or fewer in 4 of their 5 SEC games). It could get real ugly here for the Aggies offense against a hungry and talented Missouri defense. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* KENTUCKY/AUBURN NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Under 146) 

I think we are getting a great price here with the UNDER in Saturday's SEC matchup between Kentucky and Auburn. Neither of these teams are great offensively. Kentucky is 9th in the SEC in offensive efficiency and Auburn is 10th. The Wildcats are 3rd in the SEC in 3P% compared to 12th in 2P%. That plays right into the Tigers strength defensively. Auburn is just 9th in 2P% defense and 4th in 3P% defense. It's the same thing on the other side. The Tigers are 1st in 2P% offense and 7th in 3P%. Kentucky's defense is 1st in 2P% defense and 13th in 3P% defense. Both teams are built to take away what the other does the best. Give me the UNDER 146! 

40* VIRGINIA/CLEMSON NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Clemson +2.5) 

I think we are getting big time value here with the Tigers as a small home dog against Virginia. Clemson has been one of the biggest surprises this year and this is their chance to really show everyone they are for real. Even though they already have by racking up wins over Purdue, Alabama and Florida State. 

Virginia is a really good team, but the schedule so far this year has been a bit of a joke outside of their game against Gonzaga. One they got absolutely destroyed 98-75 on a neutral court. The only other team they have faced that's ranked in the Top 80 at KenPom is San Francisco and they lost them to 60-61. They are 4-0 in ACC play, but have played the easiest conference schedule of any team to this point. Clemson is 3-1 in league play and played the 5th hardest schedule. Give me the Tigers +2.5! 

40* BAYLOR/TEXAS TECH NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Under 139)

I just can't help myself here with the UNDER 139 in Saturday's Big 12 showdown between Texas Tech and Baylor. These are just two of the best defensive teams in the Big 12, they are two of the best in the entire country. The Bears are 3rd nationally in defensive efficiency and Texas Tech is 5th. I know Baylor is great offensively, but this is by far the best defense they have faced this year and it's unlikely they go offensively on the road. I just don't see either team getting to 70 points. Play the UNDER 139!