Brandon Lee

40* N TEXAS/ARKANSAS CBB STEAMROLLER (Over 142.5) 

Don't be fooled by the fact that Arkansas only brings back 1 starter. The Razorbacks have a great coach in Eric Musselman and have went out and retooled the roster with 6 transfers and 4 freshman. They put up a 142 points in their opener against Mississippi Valley State. They didn't just feast inside. Arkansas shot 20 of 40 (50%) from deep. 

Clearly this team wants to run and gun this season. While that's not quite the style of North Texas, I think the Mean Green are more than capable of playing at a faster pace. They too opened against Miss Valley State. They scored 116 and made 21 3-pointers. North Texas has 4 of their top 6 scorers back and one of the best players in C-USA in senior Javion Hamlet.

I think these two will easily hit the 150 mark. Give me the OVER 142.5! 

PICK - Louisville/Boston College OVER 55.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 289

I really like the OVER 55.5 in Saturday's ACC matchup between Boston College and Louisville. I'm a bit shocked this total isn't pushing 60. Last year these two teams had 60 by the end of the 3rd quarter, as they combined for 80 in a 41-39 Cardinals victory. 

You have to love the fact that both of these teams have a talented guy under center. Boston College's Phil Jurkovec might be the best kept secret in the country. He's thrown for over 2,350 yards with a 17-5 TD/INT ratio. What people overlook with those numbers is that he's doing it behind one of the worst offensive lines in the country, who can't run block to save their lives. 

Louisville's pass numbers are pretty good, but I just think it's a bit misleading given all the offenses they have faced. Only 3 of their 9 opponents attempts more than 30 passses against them. I'm pretty confident Jurkovec will be able to move the ball down the field. 

As for the Cardinals offense, they are led by a talented dual threat in Malik Cunningham. He's thrown for over 2,000 yards with 16 TDs (11 INTs) and has rushed for 438 yards and 6 scores. 

I just don't think BC has the talent up front to keep Cunningham from making plays with his feet, so even if a pass isn't there, he should be able to keep things going with his legs. Eagles haven't played many dual threat QBs but they did play a guy I think is pretty similar to Cunningham in Virginia Tech's Hendon Hooker. They gave up 40 to the Hokies, as Hooker went 11 of 15 passing and rushed for 164 yards and 3 scores. Give me the OVER 55.5! 

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50* MARYLAND/INDIANA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Maryland +12) 

This is a situational spot that I love to back. It's all about fading teams like Indiana that are off a crushing loss. It's so much about losing the game, it's the fact that with that loss they also lost any hope that they could shock the world and win the Big Ten East. 

That type of defeat also hurts that much more when you feel like you could have won the game. It didn't look good for Indiana early, as they trailed Ohio State 28-7 at the half. Hoosiers had the ball twice in the final minutes down just 7. 

I just don't see how this Indiana team can talk themselves into getting up for a game against Maryland. Given what we have seen out of the Terps in their last two games, they might win this one outright. Maryland beat Minnesota 45-44 as 17.5-point dog and then won 35-19 as a 27.5 point dog at Penn State. 

After a dreadful first start against Northwestern, Taulia Tagovailoa (Tua's younger brother) has been outstanding, throwing for 676 yards and 6 TDs in those two upset wins over the Gophers and Nittany Lions. Give me Maryland +12! 

40* KENT ST/BUFFALO NCAAF NO-BRAINER (Kent State +7.5) 

I will gladly take more than a touchdown with the Golden Flashes. I love this Kent State team. More than anything, I love their head coach Sean Lewis. Unfortunately for the Flashes, this is probably it for him. I would be shocked if he's not a head coach at a much bigger program after this season. 

Lewis installed what is known as the "FlashFast" offense when he arrived. It's working. Kent State has put up 52.7 ppg and 616 ypg. A big reason for those numbers is senior QB Dustin Crum, who is averaging 10.3 yards/attempt and has a 9-1 TD-INT ratio. 

This is a team coming into the year that I thought could win the MAC. So while they have benefited by playing their last two games against BG and Akron, you can't fault them for the schedule. There's every reason to believe they can not only hang but beat this Buffalo team. 

They did exactly that last year, beating the Bulls 30-27 as a 6.5-point dog. I just think this line should be closer to 3.5. Give me Kent State +7.5!  

50* GEORGIA/S CAROLINA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 49) 

I really think people are sleeping on the Bulldogs right now. I think the perception is that because Georgia no longer has a clear path to the SEC East title and thus the playoffs, this team doesn't care. 

I get that expectations are sky-high with this Bulldogs' program, but I don't that this was like previous years in terms of hype. I mean Georgia didn't have their guy at QB to start the year. If J.T. Daniels (USC transfer) would have been ready from the start I think this team would have beat Florida and who knows against Alabama. 

Daniels finally got on the field last week and was spectacular, throwing for 401 yards and 4 TDs against Mississippi State. I get the Bulldogs aren't a great team, but they have put up pretty good defensive numbers this season. Either way, 400 yards and 4 TDs is impressive.

I see no reason to not keep letting Daniels chuck the ball around the field. There's nothing to lose for Georgia at this point. I really wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulldogs flirted with this total on their own. South Carolina has allowed 48 or more points in 3 of their last 4. Give me the OVER 49!  

40* MISS ST/OLE MISS NCAAF VEGAS INSIDER (Mississippi St +10) 

I’m going to take the Mississippi State Bulldogs +10 in Saturday’s showdown with in-state rival Ole Miss. I not only think Mississippi State will cover the double-digit spread, but I give them a legit shot at winning this game outright. 

No one could have predicted how bad the Bulldogs offense would be after their season-opening 44-34 win at LSU. K.J. Costello threw for over 600 yards and there was all kinds of talk about how Mike Leach’s offense was going to torment the SEC. 

It went the exact opposite. Over Mississippi State’s next 4 games they would score just 30 points and turn the ball over 15 times. 

Costello would eventually get hurt and it’s opened up the door for true freshman Will Rogers to get his feet wet. Rogers has gotten better and better with each outing. Last week he was sensational against a Georgia team that was coming off a bye. Rogers completed 41 of 52 attempts for 336 yards, as Mississippi State narrowly lost 24-31 on the road to the Bulldogs as a 26.5-point underdog. In his 2 starts he’s completed 78% of his attempts and the Bulldogs offense didn’t have a single turnover in either start. 

He’s not the only freshman that’s been making noise on the offensive side of the ball. True freshman running back Dillon Johnson scored twice on the ground and true freshman wide out Jaden Walley had 7 catches for a team-high 115 yards, including a 51 yard TD pass. 

I’m pretty confident that the Bulldogs can keep this momentum on the offensive side going against Ole Miss. The Rebels are the worst defensive team in the SEC. They are giving up 40.9 ppg and 536 yards/game. The only team they have held under 33 points is Vanderbilt and that was a bit fluky as the Commodores scored just 21 points despite racking up over 400 yards. 

I know that Ole Miss has a great offense and are going to put up points, but defense hasn’t exactly been a weakness for Mississippi State. The Bulldogs are only giving up 367 yards/game and 5.4 yards/play. 

I really think that you could make a strong case here that Mississippi State’s offense will have the easier time moving the football. No way should they be getting this many points. Give me the Bulldogs +10!