FREE PLAY on Grand Canyon +12½ -106
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Oakland Raiders +10
I think there’s value on the Oakland Raiders as double-digit home underdogs this week against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Contrary to popular belief, the Raiders have not quit, and that has shown up in a big way the last three weeks.
Three weeks ago, the Raiders went on the road and upset the Cardinals 23-21 as 4.5-point favorites. And they deserved to cover as 13-point dogs at Baltimore, but lost 17-34 only after two non-offensive touchdowns by the Ravens with one on defense and one on special teams. So that was a 20-17 game when you take away those two gift touchdowns. And then last week the Raiders only lost 33-40 at home to the Chiefs as 14-point underdogs.
The Steelers are reeling right now with back-to-back losses to the Broncos and Chargers. And now they’ve become one-dimensional with the injury to James Connor, who has rushed for 909 yards with 467 receiving yards on the season, accounting for 1,376 yards from scrimmage. The drop-off to the backups are huge, especially in the passing game. Jaylen Samuels averages just 2.6 yards per carry, while Steven Ridley averages 3.1 per carry. These two will split Connors’ workload.
Big Ben is going to have his hands full this week. The Steelers now have to throw the ball 40-50 times in this game, and they just aren’t that good when they are one-dimensional. Even this bad Raiders defense can slow down a one-dimensional offense. Plus, Big Ben is terrible in this road. He is 1-9 ATS in his career as a double-digit road favorite. Also, Big Ben is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in his career against the Raiders. He just hasn’t been able to figure out this team.
Plays against road teams (Pittsburgh) - off two or more consecutive upset losses as a favorite, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS since 1983. The Steelers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Oakland is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Bet the Raiders Sunday.
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Free Play on Lakers -5 -110
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Philadelphia Eagles +3.5
The Eagles have beaten two straight NFC East opponents in the Giants and Redskins. And now they have a chance to tie the Cowboys for first place in the division with a win today. And they want revenge from their upset loss to the Cowboys in their first meeting, where the Eagles were 7-point home favorites just three weeks ago. Now they are 3.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment. They Eagles have to win this game or their season is over, while the Cowboys could afford a loss. Jason Garrett is 5-19 ATS as a home favorite off a win. Garrett is 2-8 ATS as a home favorite in December. Philadelphia is 20-6 ATS when facing a team that’s off two straight wins, including 7-1 ATS within the division against teams in this spot. Give me the Eagles.
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The Raiders are worth a flyer here. Oakland's offense came alive last week against the Chiefs as this team is still playing with some excitement and passion.
They seem to play up to their competition, which is a good sign here catching this many points against Pittsburgh. The Steelers defense looked gassed last week in a 33-30 loss to the Chargers.
Some trends to note. Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in December. Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings head to head as well as the Steelers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Expect Oakland to do the same here as the Chargers did as far as turning the pace up.
Back Oakland. Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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R&R Totals FREE NFL Over-Under Sunday 12-9-18
UNDER 51 1/2 Pittsburgh/Oakland
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This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Syracuse Orange. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was won of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. I'll take the points with Syracuse." Given the situation, I think the bookmakers are offering a generous number here on the underdog. Take CUSE. GL,
#NFL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Pittsburgh Steelers are a huge favorite at Oakland Sunday afternoon, and that shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone considering how the home team has played of late.
The Raiders have won only two games all season and had been held to a total of 49 points through their last four games before recording 33 in a loss to KC last time out.
The Steelers are a solid 4-1 away from home this season, despite the fact that their offense doesn't travel all that well. They've averaged just 23.2 ppg on the road but also allowed opponents to score only 20.8 ppg.
We can also note that first-year starting running back James Conner (fifth in the NFL in rushing yards) will miss the game due to a sprained ankle.
Under is 16-6 in Steelers last 22 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2 in Raiders last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Free pick on UNDER.
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Mikey Sports FREE CBB play Sunday 12-9-18
Montana State +11
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