Dave’s Sunday Free Play:
1* on Arizona Cardinals +3.5
The Key: The Arizona Cardinals are one of the most improved teams in the NFL this season. They are off to a 4-2 start this year with 3 of those wins coming by 15 points or more. They are outscoring the opposition by an average of 9.0 PPG on the year. Compare that to Seattle, which is 5-0 despite only outscoring teams by 6.8 PPG, and you could make the argument that the Cardinals are the better team. They are out to prove it this week and there will be no letdown factor here facing a division rival who owns 1st place in the NFC West currently. The Cardinals have the way better defense in this matchup, yielding only 18.7 PPG and 346 YPG on the season. The Seahawks are frauds as they give up 27.0 PPG and 471 YPG this year. It’s just hard to see Seattle keep winning at this rate with such a soft defense even though they have the early MVP candidate in Russell Wilson. I like the price with the Cardinals catching more than a FG at home here Sunday. Take Arizona.
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1* Free Pick on Grimsby Town +235
1* Free Pick on Steelers/Titans under 52½ -109
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Cincinnati Bearcats +2.5 over SMU Mustangs (9p.m., Saturday, October 24 ESPN2) I really like this Bearcat team and anytime you get them as an underdog in conference play you must take note. Cincinnati has won 3 of the 4 meetings and I just believe they are much better on defense. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with a winning record. SMU is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games. Do no miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football highlighted by a top play winner on Saturday. Monster top play run in all sports and now is the time to jump on board with a veteran handicapper of 49 years.
This is a Free play on Arizona Cardinals.
The Seahawks are undefeated, and they come into Arizona as a significant favorite. This is a familiar spot for these NFC West rivals, and more often than not it hasn't worked out well for the Seahawks. Arizona has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings, and the underdog is 9-1 ATS in the those games. The Seahawks 5-0 record doesn't seem as impressive when you realize that the only team they have beat that doesn't have a losing record is the Miami Dolphins. Arizona's defense was a problem for the Cowboys on Monday night, and they should make life tough on Wilson and the Seattle offense here at home. The Seahawks still rank dead last in total defense allowing over 470 yards per game. With the league's worst defense and not a single win against a team with a winning record, Seattle has no business being a favorite on the road here.
1* Free Play on Texas -10 -110
1* Free Sharp Play on Sligo Rovers -132
*All soccer picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*
PICK - SMU Mustangs -2.5
I played against SMU last week at Tulane and cashed a winner with the Green Wave +6.5. I'm not saying Tulane was the wrong side. They never trailed by more than 3 the either game. However, the Mustangs did outgain the Green Wave 581 to 387.
I had big concerns with SMU's offense in the first game without their top wide out in Reggie Roberson. SMU's passing attack didn't miss a beat. Former Texas starter Shane Buechele went 23 of 37 for 384 yards and 2 scores. SMU had 3 different receivers record 100+ receiving yards.
I just think this offense is going to score no matter who they line up against. That includes Cincinnati, who many think have one of the best defenses in the ACC. I'm not saying the Mustangs are going to score 40+, but I could see them in the mid 30's.
As for the Bearcats offense, I've not been impressed with what I've seen. They come in averaging 35.7 ppg, but it's come against Austin Peay, Army and USF. Also, those 3 teams on average have given up 34.0 ppg.
Last time out the Bearcats only managed 28 points against an awful South Florida defense and to top it off they turned it over 4 times. That's now 7 turnovers in 3 games against some pretty mediocre competition. Those all 3 were at home. Hard to see it improving on the road, especially in a prime time game like this one (8 pm kickoff).
Another key factor here is the line. It's pretty rare in ranked matchups that you see a team ranked in the Top 10 (Cincinnati No. 9) getting points against a team that's ranked much lower (SMU is No. 16). Give me the Mustangs -2.5!
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OVER 50 Cleveland/Cincinnati
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1* on UNLV +14½ -110
Mikey Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 10-25-20
Dallas Pick -108
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[1%] Free Play on A De Minaur -180
Liberty is off to a 5-0 start to the season, its best since joining the FBS. The Flames have won seven straight games overall and eight straight home contests at Williams Stadium. They are led by a stout defense as they are ranked No. 4 in total defense and No. 10 in scoring defense. The Flames have recorded seven takeaways in the last three games, leading to 38 points.Southern Mississippi is playing for the first time in three weeks, following COVID-19 related postponements of its last two games (vs. Florida Atlantic and UTEP). The Golden Eagles are 1-3 with the lone win coming against lowly North Texas and that is a distant memory. The Southern Mississippi coaching situation is a mess as Scott Walden tested positive earlier this week and will not make the trip. He was named interim head coach in September after Jay Hopson resigned from the post just one game into the 2020 season. Tim Billings will lead the team against the Flames, and he will be dealing with a team that has not had a full component of players because of the virus. Here, we play against road teams outscored by opponents by 10 or more ppg, after two straight games where 70 total points or more were scored. This situation is 35-11 ATS (76.1 percent) over the last 10 seasons. Play (384) Liberty Flames
We are finally in the thick of the college football season and with the expanded schedule, we can pick out more value! Fargo is on a POTENT 20-16-2 CFB run and he has FOUR Premium Winners for Saturday. Grab a weekly or monthly subscription so you do not miss a single play.
Free Pick on Hawaii
I like over 2.5 (-130) in this match that takes place on Sunday.
Be sure to check out our NFL Best Bet as we are 53-32 (63%) in the NFL.
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Florida State at Louisville 12:00 ET
Cardinals (-) over Seminoles- This is a sneaky one and I believe 'we' have the right side. Florida State's 31-28 outright win over North Carolina last week was our Vegas Hotline winner while Louisville was battling the Irish to a 12-7 loss. The Seminoles win was their first over a Top-5 team since 2007 but keep in mind 44% of the schools have not played a game yet. FSU alone with their coach Mike Norvell have been patting themselves on the back all week and they will invade Louisville where the improving Cardinals will be ready to ambush. I'm looking for a Seminoles let down and Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last five at home and 5-2 ATS as favorites. Take LOUISVILLE!
FREE PLAY on Tulane/Central Florida under 72 -110
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Pittsburgh Steelers -1.5
The Tennessee Titans are one of the most fraudulent 5-0 teams in the history of the NFL. They have four wins all by 6 points or fewer against the Broncos, Jaguars, Vikings and Texans, who are a combined 5-18 on the season. And even their win over the Bills was misleading as they were outgained by 36 yards in that contest.
The Titans will get exposed this week by a legitimate 5-0 Pittsburgh Steelers team. The Steelers are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS this season with all five wins by 5 points or more and by an average of 12.4 points per game. They are outgaining opponents by 72.8 yards per game on the season, which is the sign of an elite team.
Pittsburgh’s offense is back to its offense of old with a healthy Big Ben running the show. The Steelers are averaging 31.2 points per game on the season. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL in giving up just 18.8 points and 285.2 yards per game. And they have the recipe to stop the Titans, which is stopping Derrick Henry. They give up just 66 rushing yards per game and 3.3 per carry.
And that’s the biggest difference between these teams. One has a defense and one doesn’t. The Titans give up 25.2 points and 409.8 yards per game this season. That’s 6.4 points and 124.6 yards per game more than the Steelers allow. The Steelers are rightful favorites here because of their edge on defense and should be 3-point favorites or more.
Pittsburgh is 9-1 ATS off a home win over the last three seasons. The Steelers are 10-2 ATS vs. terrible pass defenses that allow a completion percentage of 64% or higher over the last three seasons. Pittsburgh is 52-25-2 ATS in its last 79 October games. Bet the Steelers Sunday.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Packers/Texans OVER 56.5
This game has all the makings of a shootout Sunday. The Packers average 32.4 points and 396.6 yards per game on offense and just got Devante Adams back. They should make amends for their first poor offensive performance of the season last week against the Bucs, who definitely have an underrated defense. And the Packers have problems of their own on defense as they give up 27.8 points per game on the season. The Texans are a one-trick pony, great offensively but terrible defensively. Deshaun Watson led them to 36 points against the Titans last week, but it wasn’t enough as they allowed 42 points. They give up 30.3 points and 423 yards per game on the season. Both teams should get to 28-plus in this one to easily top this 56.5-point total Sunday. Give me the OVER.
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$$ Saturday Featured Free Play from last Seasons #1 Ranked College Football Analyst $$
The Saturday College Football Comp Play is on Michigan at 7:30 eastern. Michigan has won 16 straight here on this field against Minnesota and have covered the last 4 as a favorite and 6 of 7 in conference games. The Gophers may bounce off their first 11 win season and they lost their last 3 tacklers from last season and breaks in a several new lineman on both sides of the ball. They are 2-7 ats in their first conference game. Michigan is the more talented team and we will back them to get the cover. For the Comp play. Make it Michigan. Rob V- GC Sports
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Temple vs. Memphis Free Pick October 24, 2020
The Tigers are asked to cover two touchdowns in this matchup with the Temple Owls, and I think Memphis will come through with a blowout win.
The Owls have failed to cover the spread in each of their first two games of the season and won by just a couple of points as a 14-point favorite over USF last week. They rank 14th in the nation for total defense, but here they'll face an explosive Memphis offense that just put up 700+ yards in a come-from-behind upset victory over Central Florida last week.
Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game and 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Free pick on Memphis Tigers.
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Pure Lock's FREE NFL play Sunday 10-25-20
New Orleans -7.5 -104
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Rating: 1 Unit NCAAF Free Pick - Syracuse at Clemson
The Tigers are the top team in the nation, undefeated (5-0, 4-0 in ACC) and coming off a 73-7 victory at Georgia Tech. Syracuse is 1-4, including 1-3 in the ACC, and is coming off a 38-21 home loss to Liberty. Clemson has won 26 consecutive conference games, with the last defeat coming at Syracuse in 2017 by a 27-24 score. The Tigers are led by quarterback Trevor Lawrence, who is 29-1 as a starter, and running back Travis Etienne, who has been named ACC Player of the Year each of the previous two seasons. Lawrence has completed passes at a 73 percent clip and has 15 touchdown passes against one interception this season. Etienne enters Saturday's game needing 129 yards to break the ACC's career rushing yardage record of 4,602, held by former N.C. State standout Ted Brown since 1978. The Tigers, who are bidding for a sixth consecutive ACC title and a sixth straight berth in the College Football Playoff, rank third nationally both in scoring at 48.2 points per game and in total defense, surrendering only 264.6 yards per game. The Tigers are just unstoppable. They are on a 22-6 spread run, & have outscored their last 29 lined foes, 1,304-385.
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Saturday's FREE WINNER: Penn State.
12:30 pm pst.
Penn State football is back. The Nittany Lions begin their campaign ranked eighth in the nation. They have lost a few defenders from last season's 11-2 squad that beat Memphis in the Cotton Bowl. But, I wouldn't be too concerned as reports are that the team replenished their stop-unit. The offensive talent is off the charts. The "O" has a great quarterback, a deep running back group, fantastic hands in the receivers role, and all four big, strong, experienced offensive linemen back. Indiana does have quite a few weapons returning as well, including quarterback, Michael Penix, who suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in 2019 after five games. But, the Nittany Lions offense will dominate the clock and control the tempo here, not allowing the Hoosiers "O" to spend too much time on the field. PSU is 4-1 ATS the last five on the road. Indiana is 1-9-1 ATS the last 11 as a home 'dog. Penn State has dominated this series, taking 22 of the last 23 meetings. Under a touchdown is a gift. Take the Nittany Lions. Thank you.
360 Kansas at Kansas State
The Jayhawks won three games before the big signing of Les Miles in Lawrence. In his first season here the team won the same number of games. Money well spent from the Kansas athletic staff. Oh, did we mention that after he left LSU the Tigers won 34 of 41 games and an NCAA Championship? The Jayhawks are 0-4 this year being outscored by 109 points in those games.
Kansas State has owned this series, winning the past 11 meetings. Victories by 28, 4, 10, 15 and 31 points the past five years. Chris Klieman is a head coach on the rise after posting an 8-5 record a year ago, and 3-1 this season. That includes three straight outright upset victories. Look for the streak to continue.
PLAY KANSAS STATE
Hey dont get me wrong with this selection on Syracuse getting points. The Orange are bad and play with little emotion or concentration, but from a mathematical perspective we have some slight value with the underdog. It must be noted that the Cuse have covered 2 of their L/3 visits to Death Valley. Also when considering Tigers HC Swinney is a logistics and tactical specialist ( meaning he knows how to preserve and maintain the health and energy of his team during a season) . This mind set from one of football top coaches gives credence to us seeing him doing just enough here to get the W as bigger fish are on deck.
Babers is 9-2 ATS in road games after allowing 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game as the coach of SYRACUSE.
CFB Home favorites of 31.5 or more points (CLEMSON) - excellent punt return team, more than 12 yards per return are 7-30 L/10 seasons for go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Syracuse Orange to cover
Free Total Annihilator On Tulane vs Central Florida under 72 -110