Dave's Thursday Free Play:
1* on Rutgers -2.5
The Key: The Rutgers Scarlet Knights opened 6-0 with wins over Syracuse, Illinois and Maryland. The schedule has gotten even tougher since and they have gone 1-5 in their last 6 games overall with their lone win against Purdue. They lost to Ohio State (twice), Iowa, Michigan State and Wisconsin. They battled some injuries during that stretch which didn't help and are now fully healthy. Now they are very hungry for a victory off 4 straight losses, and they finally face a team they will handle in the Penn State Nittany Lions. Penn State is one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. The Nittany Lions are 0-5 in conference play this season and losing by 9.0 PPG. They just lost 65-79 at Illinois on Tuesday and will now be playing their 3rd game in 5 days. The Scarlet Knights have been off since Friday and have 5 days in between games to get game plan for Penn State. Rutgers is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing just its 2nd game in 8 days. The Nittany Lions are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games. Penn State could be without Myles Dread, who left the Illinois game early with a shoulder injury. Take Rutgers.
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1* NBA - Knicks/Warriors *FREE PICK* on Knicks +4.5
This is strictly a situational play on New York. Even though the Knicks come in having won their last 2, the betting public is going to want nothing to do with back NY as a relatively small road dog against a Warriors team that just followed up a huge come from behind win against the Lakers on Monday with a 121-99 blowout win over the Spurs last night. The key here is Golden State is going to find it hard to get up for this game playing on no rest after really laying it all on the line in their last 2. The Knicks on the other hand are fresh playing on 2 days of rest. This has upset written all over it. Bet New York +4.5!
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Rocketman Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 1-21-21
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay (8:30 PM EST)
Play On: Austin Peay -11
The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles travel to Austin Peay to take on the Governors on Thursday night. Tennessee Tech is 2-13 SU overall this year while Austin Peay comes in with a 7-4 SU overall record on the season. Austin Peay is 28-3 SU and 20-8 ATS last 3 years when playing against a team with a losing record. Tennessee Tech is 0-10 SU on the road this year getting beat by an average score of 81.7 to 62.9. Austin Peay is scoring 80.6 points per game at home this season. Austin Peay is 2-0 SU and ATS overall vs Tennessee Tech the past 3 years. We'll recommend a small play on Austin Peay tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
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Mikey Sports FREE CBB play Thursday 1-21-21
Southern Utah -1
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Chip's Triple-Play of NCAA BK Best Bets
Chip Chirimbes, the 'Big Game Player' and LV Hilton Champion was 1-0 yesterday in NCAA action yesterday and is a 'Documented' 66-47-1 61% (L-114) with NCAA BK releases. Today, Chip has a Triple-Play of NCAA Best Bets including his 'Highest-Rated' Megabucks winner between Rutgers and Penn State, his Money Game' winner between Wichita State and Memphis and his Power Play winner between Utah and Washington State. Get Chip's Triple-Play of NCAA BK Best Bet winners for just $69.
Chip's FREE Pac-12 Winner
U.S.C. at Stanford 5:00 ET
Cardinals (+) over Trojans- USC was cruising along having won six straight before getting chomped on by Oregon State as the Beavers win in overtime 58-56. Stanford after winning 7-of-8 they took to the road again and dropped games at Utah and Colorado. Because of COVID the Cardinals will be playing just their third home game of the season and their first since Dec. 21. The trends are nothing but positive for the Trojans including 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games while Stanford is 37-17-1 ATS in last 55 games at home and the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take the CARDINAL!
1 Dimer on Utah vs Washington State over 133½ -110
1* Free Sharp Play on Murray State -6 -110
Murray State (-6) is worth a look here as a small home favorite against Jacksonville State in Thursday's Ohio Valley action on the college hardwood. The Racers snapped a 4-game skid in a big way with a 79-57 road win over Tennessee Martin. Look for them to build on that strong showing here at home against a struggling Gamecocks team that has lost 3 of their last 4. Jacksonville State's last 5 wins have either come against a Non DI team or a DI team that is ranked outside the Top 300. This team is simply getting way too much respect here against a Murray State team that is ranked in the Top 150. Play the Racers -6!
I won with the Canucks last night. That was a wild 6-5 affair. With the same teams facing each other for the second time in two nights, I'm expecting an entirely different type of game this evening. Montreal's most recent visit here, before last night, resulted in a 3-1 final. The year before that was a 3-2 game here. Even factoring in last night's result, the 'under' remains 6-3-1 the last 10 meetings here. Note that the lone 'push' was a game which landed on five. So, it would have also stayed below tonight's far more generous total. Consider the Under 6.5.
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PICK - USC Trojans -5
The fact that USC is a 5-point road favorite coming off a 56-58 loss at Oregon State as a 9.5-point favorite says a lot. The betting public can't make sense of it and it's why they are lining up to take the Cardinal here as a home dog. This is one of those lines that just stink to the point that I got to fade the public money.
Not only that, USC is the better team and while they slipped up against the Beavers on Tuesday they were 2-0 away from home in Pac-12 play before that loss, beating Arizona by 14 and and Arizona State by 9.
You also have to take into consideration the current form of Stanford, which enters off back-to-back double-digit losses. First it was a 14-point setback on the road against Utah and then a 13-point loss at Colorado. That's now 4 times in their last 5 games that the Cardinal have given up 70 or more points. USC is only giving up 61.8 ppg on the road and 65.4 ppg in conference play.
USC has also been a moneymaker on the road over the last 2 seasons, going 11-3 ATS. They are also a dominant 9-2 ATS last 11 off a loss, winning in this spot by an average of 9.1 ppg. Give me the Trojans -5!
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1* Free Pick on Northern Colorado +4 -110
All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.
Free Pick on Canucks
1* Free Play on Southern Utah -1 -109
R&R Totals FREE CBB Over-Under Thursday 1-21-21
UNDER 142 1/2 Eastern Washington/Northern Colorado
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Pelicans/Jazz UNDER 216.5
The Pelicans and Jazz just played on Tuesday with Utah winning 118-102 for 220 combined points. I think the rematch will be much lower scoring due to the fact that both teams are now familiar with one another. And I don't envision the Jazz shooting as well (50.6%) as they did in the first meeting. Both of these teams prefer to slow it down. The Pelicans rank 26th in pace while the Jazz rank 24th. The UNDER is 5-1 in Jazz last six games as a favorite. Give me the UNDER.
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[1%] Free Play on Murray State -6
Jack's Free Pick Thursday: California +9
This is a great time to 'sell high' on the UCLA Bruins. They are 7-0 in Pac-12 play for the first time since the 1993-94 season. You are definitely paying a premium to back the Bruins at this point. Asking them to beat Cal by double-digits to cover this spread on the road is asking too much.
UCLA needed to erase a 15-point deficit in the second half at home against Washington (2-11) to come out on top 81-76 on Saturday. And now they face a motivated Cal team that will be looking for revenge following a 56-76 road loss at UCLA on December 6th in their first meeting this season. They would love to hand the Bruins their first conference defeat.
The Bears are identical 9-point home dogs in the rematch, so the books haven't adjusted at all for home-court advantage. This is a Cal team that has won two of its last three contests and is coming off an impressive 72-63 upset win at Utah as 11.5-point dogs.
UCLA is 2-1 SU in true road games this season with both wins coming by 6 points or less. The Golden Bears are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games. California is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Bruins are 12-30-1 ATS in their last 43 games as road favorites. Bet California Thursday.
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1* on Northern Colorado +4 -110
Lakers vs Bucks Free Pick January 21, 2021
The Lakers have the best defensive efficiency rating in the league and they rank near the middle of the pack for pace at 102.7 possessions per game. The Bucks had played four straight unders prior to facing a Brooklyn team that seemingly has decided that playing defense is optional. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Free pick on UNDER.
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Pure Lock's FREE NBA play Thursday 1-21-21
New York +5 1/2
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528 New Orleans at Utah
Used the prior meeting as a play for our clients, and see no reason to change our mind here. New Orleans does one thing very well. Pound the offensive boards and keep opponents off their offensive glass. The problem is the Jazz do much of the same. The main difference is Utah is an excellent team shooting from distance, and they are doing more and more of that every game. New Orleans on the other hand allows more three pointers than anyone else in the league. Big matchup advantage here once again for the Jazz.
FREE PLAY on Utah -1½ -110
Free Play on Utah -2 -112
Colorado vs. Los Angeles over 5.5
The Over is worth a flyer. These two teams met two days ago in a 3-2 game and this one should be much more open. Look for the Avalanche to put more pressure on early and for the Kings to have plenty of counter attack chances.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Thursday 5* Free NHL O/U Play
I think we see a 1-1 score in this soccer match set for Saturday in Italy. The total is set at 2 so they are expecting a low score.
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The Kings very well could be 3-0. Instead they have begun the season 0-3 for their worst start in four years. One of their losses occurred against the Wild when Minnesota scored with one second left to force overtime after the Kings had hit the post on an empty net shot. I had the Kings in that game at a plus price. It's my toughest beat of the season. Colorado dealt LA it's latest defeat, 3-2, two days ago. Taken aback by the Avalanche's speed after not playing for 10 months and then opening with two games against the Wild, the Kings fell behind Colorado, 3-0. LA rallied in the third period for two goals, but fell a goal short. The Kings had blown a pair of 3-1 leads against the Wild. This all has to be very demoralizing for the Kings. They are outclassed by the Avalanche, who won't be letting down this time around. Colorado is too fast for Los Angeles. The Kings can't compensate by illegal means because they already have been exposed being whistled for 18 penalties. They have the highest average of minor penalties in the league at 5.33. The Avalanche are the wrong team to give the man advantage to. Their deadly power play unit spearheaded by superstar Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen and Gabriel Landeskog has produced eight power play goals in 17 tries. The oddsmaker recognizes all this. That's why the Avalanche are installed as huge road chalk. So I'm recommending laying 1 1/2 goals on the puck line. Even if the Kings manage to hang around - which I doubt - their luck has been so bad they probably would give up an empty net goal.
(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is going for his fifth straight winning NHL season. He's 30-18-1 on his last 49 NHL premium plays for 63 percent and has three hockey plays today in addition to this free selection, including his Game of the Week. Stephen has yet to lose an NHL Game of the Week play this season. All of Stephen's plays come with his unique, top-notch analysis.)
Free Total Annihilator On Bowling Green vs Miami-OH under 142½ -110