Free Play on Nebraska -3½ -110
FREE PLAY on Minnesota/Nebraska under 55½ -110
1* on Warriors -2½ -110
1* Free Play on UNLV +10 -109
Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Washington Redskins -1.5
I usually like going against teams who are coming off a blowout win the previous week. They are almost always overvalued the next week, and I think that’s the case here with the Dallas Cowboys. This line should be Washington -3, and instead it’s Washington -1.5. We’re getting some value here with the Redskins.
The Cowboys are coming off a 40-7 blowout victory over the Jaguars at home. They improved to 3-0 at home this season. Big deal. The Cowboys are 0-3 on the road this season, and they have been dominated for the most part, especially statistically.
The Cowboys are scoring just 12.3 points per game on the road this season. They are getting outscored by 7.4 points per game and outgained by 74 yards per game. And their three losses have come to the Panthers, Seahawks and Texans, so it’s not like they are playing world beaters away from home.
The Redskins are one of the most underrated teams in the NFL this season. They are 3-2 right now and sit atop the NFC East. They already head their bye week so they are fresher than most teams. And they have played very well at home this season.
Indeed, the Redskins are 2-1 at home this year. They have wins over the Packers 31-17 and the Panthers 23-17 who I believe are both better than the Cowboys. And their only loss came 9-21 to the Colts and it was very fluky. The Redskins outgained the Colts by 53 yards in that contest. They are outgaining opponents by 18 yards per game this season, so there is nothing fluky about their 3-2 start.
I think a big key here is that Washington’s defense is better than it gets credit for, and it is certainly good at stopping the run. The Redskins give up just 90 rushing yards per game this season. And the Cowboys only average 172 passing yards per game. The Cowboys are a one-dimensional offense with their running game, and the Redskins have the players to stop it. The Cowboys will have their passing game hampered even more this week with two key receivers in Tavon Austin and Terrance Williams expected to sit out.
Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing 9 points or less in its previous game. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Bet the Redskins Sunday.
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1* Free Pick on Iowa/Maryland UNDER
This is going to seem like an extremely low total with how these two teams have been putting up points. Maryland comes in averaging 32.3 ppg over their last 3 and Iowa is off back-to-back games where they put up at least 42 points.
Oddsmakers certainly aren't buying into these recent results as this total has only been dropping. It's easy to see why when you look at how these two teams matchup. Maryland is extremely one-dimensional on offense. They are 17th in rushing at 245.2 ypg compared to 125th in passing (120.5 ypg).
That's going to make it really tough for them to move the ball against this Iowa defense, which is 4th in the nation against the run, giving up only 81.5 ypg and just 2.7 yards/carry.
The key here is I don't think we are going to see the Hawkeyes offense going off. Iowa hasn't been running the ball nearly as effectively as they normally do. They are really riding the arm of junior quarterback Nathan Stanley. That's where it gets dicey for the Hawkeyes, as Maryland has a strong defense and it's going to be really hard to be accurate passing with winds expected to be blowing at close to 25 mph.
UNDER is 10-2 in Iowa's last 12 after scoring 37 or more points in 2 straight games and 20-8 in Maryland's last 28 after playing a game where they had a lead of 17 or more points at the half. Take the UNDER!
Free Pick on Wolves
Missouri is banged up and bruised after tussling with power house Alabama last week, losing by a 39-10 count. Now in a non conference game they may not be 100% into this tilt and not healthy enough to do so as key top WRs, Emanual Hall and Nate Hall are hobbled by nagging injuries and if they do play may seem limited time. It must be noted Missouri just is 0-7-1 ATS L/8 non conference tilts as single digit favs on the opening line. Meanwhile, Memphis is off a head scratching 31-30 loss vs undefeated UCF last time out, a game that could have easily been theirs if it were not for bad clock management and sudden defensive lapses late in the game. Needless to say the conspiracy guys were outing full force after that tilt, and I feel like the visiting Tigers need to prove themselves this week in a big way or remain under the microscope of scrutiny.
MEMPHIS is 13-3 ATS L/16 off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival
CFB Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MEMPHIS) - after gaining 525 or more total yards/game over their last 2 games are 50-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Memphis to cover
Play on Memphis to cover
1* Free Pick on Florida Atlantic -3 -104
Free Total Annihilator On Illinois vs Wisconsin over 57 -105
1* Free Play on Chargers -6½ -104
Colorado State vs. Boise State Over 64
This one is worth a flyer here.
It starts with the Rams, who have been atrocious on defense. Colorado State has allowed 35.1 points per game and have simply been a mess in the secondary.
Offensively, they do help this total as they can produce some big plays. Look for them to take their fair share of shots down field as they know they have to almost turn this one into a shootout with their defense.
Boise State is going to make this one a nightmare for the Rams defense. Averaging over 36 points per game, Boise State has been explosive both on the ground and through the air.
Some trends to note. Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
Expect a lot of scoring chances here.
Back the Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Cleveland Cavaliers +8.5
The Key: The betting public wants nothing to do with the Cavs without Lebron James. I think we see some inflated numbers early and there will be some value backing the Cavs for a few weeks to open the NBA season because of it. The Cavs still have some nice chemistry with Tyronn Lue entering his 4th year, and still plenty of talent with Kevin Love now the focal point. The Cavs covered as 13-point underdogs at the Raptors in their opener. And now they’re catching 8.5 points on the road to the Timberwolves tonight. This is a Minnesota team that lacks chemistry right now thanks to the Jimmy Butler trade demand. And they lost their opener to the Spurs. I don’t think they should be laying this many points to anyone right now. Take Cleveland.
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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Jacksonville Jaguars -4.5
The Jaguars have lost back-to-back road games in blowout fashion to the Chiefs (14-30) and Cowboys (7-40). It’s safe to say they will be looking to take out their frustration this week at home against the Houston Texans. Their defense should get back to being the dominant unit it has been over the past two seasons with the exception of the last two weeks. The Jaguars have given up just 13.7 points and 238 yards per game at home this season. They have beaten the Patriots by 11 and the Jets by 19 at home this year. They did lose 6-9 to the Titans, but that was a letdown spot off the big win over the Patriots. The Texans are starting to get some respect off three straight wins following an 0-3 start to the season. But they could have lost all three of those games. They needed OT to beat the Colts and Cowboys, and they needed a pick-6 late out of Nathan Peterman to beat the Bills at home last week. I don’t expect this one-dimensional Houston offense to have much success against the Jaguars this week. Deshaun Watson will be running for his life without a running game. Doug Marrone is 7-0 ATS in his last seven games as a head coach after being outgained by 100 or more total yards in his previous game. Give me the Jaguars.
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Free Play on Colts -6½ -110
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Colorado at Washington 3:30 ET
Huskies (-) over Buffaloes- The Huskies had two weeks to recover from the pressure imposed on them by naming them the A-Play's Blow-Out Game of the year and they complied by crushing BYU 28-7. Now, after two weeks on the road including an OT loss to Oregon last week they return home to play an over-rated and shell-shocked Colorado squad that was brought back to reality with a 30-21 thrashing at USC as a 7-point favorite. Well, this time the odds makers have caught on and the Huskies are ready to howl. Take WASHINGTON!
Play - Memphis (Game 397).
Edges - Memphis: 5-2 ATS as dogs when underdog previous game… Missouri: 0-7-1 ATS as single-digit non-conference home favorites … With that we’ll fade Mizzou as a Homecoming favorite in this SEC sandwich spot (off Alabama with Kentucky revenger on deck). We recommend a 1* play on Memphis. Thank you and good luck as always.
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R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Friday 10-19-18
UNDER 63 -108 Boise State/Colorado State
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Free soccer play takes place in Spain on October 20. Take the draw at +216.
Atletico Madrid 1
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #376 Ohio Bobcats over Bowling Green Falcons (2p.m., Saturday, October 20 ESPN 3) The Falcons are one of the worst teams in the country and just fired their coach after a 1-6 start (0-6 against FBS teams). They have been a little more competitive of late but playing their third straight road games in their last 4 games will doom them in today in Athens, OH. The Bobcats are 3-3 on the year and on pace to become bowl eligible but must win this game in order to achieve that. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 match-ups between Bowling Green and Ohio. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Falcons are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card. 4-0 run on 10* selections after a B-L-O-W-O-U-T SEC GAME OF THE YEAR last Saturday as underdog LSU destroyed Georgia. Get in on a one week or one month package now!
DMack's Free Play for Sunday, October 21, 2018 is on the Browns/Buccaneers Over
The Buccs have been brutal on defense and that cost DC Mike Smith his job on Monday. Not sure what can be done with it at this point other than to find a better scheme to somewhat fit your current personnel. The Chargers laid the perfect blueprint out on his to attack Cleveland last week, the first game where the Brownies really weren't competitive. Still see Mayfield getting points by improvising his way down field with Famous Jameis doing the same for Tampa Bay. Put this one on closer to 60 than 50. Play the Over.
Jeff Allen's Free NFL Play for Sunday is on the Cowboys and Skins Under
A classic rivalry with a very different look this year. The Cowboys are off a "perfect storm" in crushing the Jags on Sunday. Dak and Zeke will be on the road and running into the teeth of a solid defensive front seven that has allowed just two rushing touchdowns this year. The Cowboy defense is their best unit but they face a generally turnover-proof Alex Smith here and rejuvenated running game with Adrian Peterson leading the way. Lost of football between the 20s with the clock running. This series has posted five straight overs but that run comes to an end here. 20-17 .... regardless.
This is a Free NCAAF play on the Washington State Cougars. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The Ducks get a lot of love from bettors, but in recent years they have proven to be overrated. That is evidenced by the fact that they have failed to cover in eight consecutive games versus these Cougars. Take WAZZU! GL,
1* Free Sharp Play on Ohio State vs Purdue over 67 -105
[1%] Free Play on Bucs -3
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Saturday's FREE NCAAF WINNER: Penn State.
12:30 pm pst.
Indiana hasn't had any problems besting the likes of Ball State and Rutgers. But, the Hoosiers fell way short when facing the Spartans, the Buckeyes, and the Hawkeyes. Are you beginning to see a pattern here? Penn State comes in here, having not won in a month. The Nittany Lions have taken 4 in a row in this series, both SU and ATS. PSU doesn't just need a win to get back on track, they need a decisive victory to get their mojo and confidence back. The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS the L6 road games, 15-5-1 ATS the L21 Conference games, and 21-6-2 ATS the L29 overall games. The Hoosiers are 3-8-1 ATS the L12 home games, 5-15-1 ATS the L21 Conference games, and 3-12-1 ATS the L16 overall games. Take Penn State. Thank you.
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Friday 10-19-18
New Orleans -11
Mikey cashed with Columbus easily in NHL last night. Passing Friday! Back later Friday with Saturday's College Football Winners!
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The first game of this series went way over the total when the Dodgers won 6-5 in Chavez Ravine back on October 12. We've seen four straight low-scoring contest since (three unders and a push), and I think that's a trend likely to continue in this must-win game for the Brewers with the Dodgers owning a 3-1 lead in the series.
Milwaukee hands the ball to left-hander Wade Miley (0-0, 0.00 ERA) who has yet to allow a run in the postseason. He'll make a second straight start but faced only one batter as a starter in Game 5 before getting replaced by right-hander Brandon Woodruff to counter the Dodgers' righty-heavy lineup. Miley dominated the Dodgers in the regular season, allowing only six hits and no earned runs through 13 innings of work. The Dodgers turn to left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (1-0, 1.59 ERA) who tossed seven shutout innings against the Braves in Game 1 of the NLDS and gave up two runs in 4 1/3 frames in Game 2 of this series.
Trends supporting the under: Under is 6-1 in Ryus last seven starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-2 in Dodgers' last seven League Championship road games.
8* play on UNDER.
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10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Boise St -23.5)
When I first looked at this number, it seemed a little high, but the more I looked into it the more I like the Broncos to win going away. I was way down on Colorado State coming into this season and I’m certainly not going to let a couple of wins and covers against two awful teams change my opinion on this team. I know they have that upset win at home over Arkansas, but they have also lost by 31 to Colorado, 38 to Florida and by 16 at home to Illinois St.
The biggest factor here for me, is I think we are catching Boise State in a great spot. The Broncos have lost two of their last four and while they got the win at Nevada, they didn’t play anywhere close to their potential. I see this team really looking to make a statement and put their best foot forward against the Rams.
With the advantage they will have in the trenches, they definitely are in a great spot to run up the score on Colorado State. The Rams aren’t a good rushing team. They are averaging just 3.2 yards/carry against teams that are allowing on average 4.1 ypc. Boise State is only giving up 3.7 yards/carry against teams that on average run for 4.6 ypc. Look for the Boise State defensive line to really dominate the game when Colorado State has the ball. That should put the Rams in a lot of 3rd & long situations and that’s going to lead to a lot of quick 3 and outs and likely a few turnovers.
As for the Boise State offense, they should be able to do as they please in this one. The Broncos own the nation’s 10th ranked passing attack at 320.8 ypg. They’ll be up against the 93rd ranked pass defense of the Rams. Colorado State is also a mere 107th in the country vs the run, giving up 203.9 ypg. In terms of total yards, we have the 19th ranked offense going up against the 108th ranked defense. I could easily see the Broncos putting up 50+ points on Colorado State a second straight year.
Boise State is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs a team that averages 3.2.5 or less yards/carry rushing and they are winning on average in this spot by a final score of 44-17 (+27 ppg). Colorado State is also just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 road games off a win by 6-points or less. Give me the Broncos -23.5!
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