50* (MLB) Yankees/Red Sox AL WILD CARD Top Play (UNDER 8) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's AL Wild Card matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox. I think we are getting some value with the number here because of how poor the two starters performed down the stretch. 

New York's Gerrit Cole has a 7.65 ERA and 1.585 WHIP in his last 3 starts. It wasn't much better for Boston's Nathan Eovaldi in his last 3, as he posted a 6.58 ERA and 1.609 WHIP. 

I just don't think you can overreact to those numbers. Cole is a guy that has been outstanding in the playoffs since leaving the Pirates. He had a 2.95 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 3 playoff starts last year and a 1.72 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 5 starts with the Astros in 2019. 

We don't have the same long-term track record with Eovaldi. He's only made 2 postseason starts and both came back in 2018. The stage wasn't too big for him then, as he had  1.61 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in 22 1/3 innings in those 2 outings. Eovaldi has a 3.39 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in 19 home starts and 3.33 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 13 career starts vs the Yankees. New York also comes into this game having just scored a mere 5 runs at home in that massive 3-game series at home against the Rays. 

You also have to factor in this being the playoffs and managers not letting a guy go too deep in the game. Any signs of trouble and he's getting the guy out of there. 

Weather should also help keep this total low, as it's only going to be in the low 60s for this game with whatever wind there is blowing in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - AL EAST Total PLAY OF THE MONTH (Over 9) 

I think we easily see double-digit runs on the board in today's early matchup between the Blue Jays and Rays. This is just not a great pitching matchup. Toronto is going with an Opener in reliever Julian Merryweather, while Tampa Bay sends out Luis Patino. 

Merryweather might only go 1 inning here, as he just threw in relief on Monday and was also in action last Friday. You never know what you are going to get on a bullpen day. With that said, I'll take my chances the Rays find a way to put up 4+ runs in this one. 

Toronto should also score 4+ and I think we could more than that. Blue Jays have crushed right handed pitching and Patino comes in with a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He's got a mere 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 14 starts overall. Give me the OVER 9! 

50* (MLB) AL East Total PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 9) 

I love the UNDER 9 in tonight's big AL East matchup between the Rays and Blue Jays. There was little to no offense in the series opener last night. Tampa Bay won the game 2-0 and the two teams combined for a mere 9 hits. Toronto had scored 8 or more with at least 11 hits on their own in each of their previous 4 games. 

It just speaks to how good this Rays pitching staff is. Everything sets up for a similar low-scoring game on Wednesday. Toronto will have Cy Young contender Robbie Ray on the mound. Ray has a 2.69 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 28 starts with 220 K's in 170 1/3 innings. He's also got a great 1.95 ERA in 9 day starts this season. 

Michael Wacha will get the nod for Tampa Bay. His overall numbers aren't great, but he's really been throwing it well of late. Wacha has a 2.35 ERA and 0.718 WHIP in his last 3 outings. He's just got to give us 5-6 and the Rays pen will do the rest. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* (MLB) - National League TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's game between the Dodgers and Cardinals. This is a huge series for both teams. LA is trying to overtake SF in the NL West and St Louis is just 3.5-games back of the Padres for a Wild Card berth. 

Some might be hesitant to take the UNDER with how good the Dodgers are offensively and LA not having one of their top guys on the mound. That's where we find the value with this play, as I don't see either being a problem. 

The Cardinals will have Adam Wainwright on the mound, who is having a remarkable season at the age of 40 (turned 40 on Aug. 30th). He's 14-7 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 27 starts. It's not just his age that makes this improbable, he hasn't had a season with an ERA under 3 since 2015. He's certainly not showing any fatigue down the stretch, as he's got a 0.42 ERA and 0.609 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

The Dodgers will have Mitch White on the mound. He's made 3 starts and has a pretty poor 5.73 ERA and 1.545 WHIP. The key here is that this is a plus matchup for him against a Cardinals offense that fails to produce more times than not. St Louis has scored a mere 3 runs in the first 2 games of this series and have scored 3 or fewer in 6 of their last 9. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's AL West matchup between the Angels and Rangers. I look for both teams to have a tough time pushing runs across in this one. 

Not a lot explanation needed for why Texas will struggle to score with LA sending out Shohei Ohtani. The guy is 8-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 19 starts and is 5-0 with a 1.92 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 10 home starts. 

The value with the UNDER lies with Rangers' starter Glenn Otto, who Texas acquired in the trade that send Gallo to the Yankees. Otto was sensational in his first big league start last week against the Astros, holding Houston to just 2 hits with 7 K's over 5 scoreless innings. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - AL East PLAY OF THE WEEK (UNDER 8) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. I just think we are getting a great number with 8 given the starting pitching matchup. 

Boston will send out Chris Sale, who outside of not pitching deep in games, has been really good over his first 3 starts in 2021. Sale has a 2.35 ERA and 1.044 WHIP. He's also got a 2.48 xFIP, so there's nothing fluky about those numbers. 

Tampa Bay will counter with Drew Rasmussen. He too hasn't made many starts. This will be just the 6th start of the season for Rasmussen. However, he's got a strong 2.50 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in 5 starts. He's also made 4 of those 5 starts on the road (didn't give up a run in his lone home start). Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - Thursday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's game between the Blue Jays and White Sox. We cashed this exact same bet last night with these two teams. I just don't see why we would expect anything but another lower scoring game. 

The first 3 games have all seen 7 or fewer runs. Toronto won 2-1 on Monday and 3-1 yesterday. Chicago won the second game 5-2. Tonight it's Carlos Rodon going for the White Sox and Hyun-Jin Ryu for the Blue Jays. 

Rodon is 9-5 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in 19 starts this season. He does have a very mediocre 4.15 ERA in his last 3 starts, but was at his best in his last outing, tossing 5 scoreless innings, giving up just 2 hits and racking up 11 K's. 

Ryu is 12-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 24 starts. He's got an even more ugly 5.82 ERA in his last 3 starts. However, he too is coming off a great outing. Ryu just pitched 7 scoreless in his last start. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* (MLB) - Wednesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Wednesday's big AL showdown between the Blue Jays and White Sox. Each of the first two games have been low scoring. Toronto won 2-1 on Monday and Chicago won 5-2 on Tuesday. 

All signs point to more struggles offensively with the starting pitching matchup on Wednesday. White Sox will have the red-hot Lucas Giolito on the mound, while the Blue Jays counter with one of their best starters in Robbie Ray. 

Giolito has had his fair share of clunkers this season, but overall it's been pretty good. He's got a 3.77 ERA and 1.101 WHIP in 25 starts. He's got a 2.37 ERA and 0.737 WHIP with 24 K's in 19 innings over his last 3 starts. 

Ray is 9-4 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 24 starts. His ERA is even better at 2.64 in 12 home starts and he's got a sensational 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* (MLB) - Tuesday Big Money MAX UNIT Top Play (UNDER 8) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's interleague matchup that has the Cardinals hosting the Tigers. I think the total here should be 7.5 at the most and even then I would still be looking to back the UNDER. There's no debate on it at 8. 

This is a really good starting pitching matchup. St Louis will have Jack Flaherty on the mound and he's been incredible in his two starts since coming back from injury. He allowed just 2 hits over 6 scoreless innings at the Royals in his first start and then gave up just 2 runs (both solo HR) in 6 innings at home against the Brewers. He's now 4-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.742 WHIP in 5 home starts this season. 

Detroit counters with Casey Mize, who is a classic case of a guy that just gets overlooked because of how bad his team is. Mize is a very respectable 6-6 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 23 starts this season. Definitely helps the Cardinals aren't exactly swinging the bats well, as they have scored 4 or fewer in 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER Top Play (UNDER 9) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's game between the Rangers and Mariners. Yesterday we played and won with Seattle on the money line. I wanted to fire back with the Mariners, but I don't want to bet against Texas' Mike Foltynewicz. I think with him on the mound, the value has shifted to the UNDER. 

Foltynewicz is just 2-11 with a 5.66 ERA over 23 starts. Not great. However, he's been really good of late. He has a 3.00 ERA and 0.944 WHIP over his last 3 starts. The most recent coming on the road against these same Mariners, where he held Seattle to just 3 runs over 7 innings. 

Mariners will have Marco Gonzales on the mound. He too has been lights out down the stretch. Gonzales has a 0.83 ERA and 0.600 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9! 

50* (MLB) NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9.5) 

I love the UNDER 9.5 in Tuesday's NL West showdown between the Giants and Diamondbacks. We got an old school starting pitching matchup, as veterans Johnny Cueto and Madison Bumgarner face off. 

One big difference is Bumgarner isn't on the mound for San Francisco. This will be just the second time he's faced off against his former team. You know he wants to pitch well. 

Bumgarner returned after the All-Star break after nearly a month away. He's been on top of his game, posting a 2.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 3 starts. Cueto has also made 3 starts since the All-Star break and he's got a 2.30 ERA and 0.30 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

50* (MLB) - Late Night NO LIMIT Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's interleague showdown between the A's and Padres. While it's going to be extremely hot at several ballparks today, it's going to be pretty mild at Petco Park when this game goes off. Temps are expected to be in the low 70s with the wind blowing in at close to 10 mph from left field. 

You also have to look at how these two offenses come into this game. The A's are averaging just 3.7 runs/game and hitting .222 as a team over their last 7. The Padres are even worse, averaging just 3.4 runs/game and hitting .193 as a team in their last 7. 

It's also not a bad pitching matchup. Oakland's James Kaprielian has a 2.65 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 12 starts. While San Diego's Chris Paddack has a not so great 4.77 ERA and 1.271 WHIP in 18 starts, his xFIP is a mere 3.78, which suggests he's been much better the the numbers show. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* (MLB) Sunday Night Baseball VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) 

I'll take my chance with the UNDER 7.5 in tonight's Sunday Night Baseball showdown between the White Sox and Brewers. Two really good starters take the mound in this one. Chicago will turn to Lance Lynn, while Brandon Woodruff goes for Milwaukee. 

Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 1.034 WHIP in 17 starts. He's coming into this game in great form too, as he has a 1.42 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Woodruff is 7-4 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.832 WHIP in 19 starts he's got a 2.14 ERA in 9 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 8.5) 

I really like the OVER 8.5 in Tuesday's NL Central showdown between the Cubs and Cardinals. These two combined for 11 runs in the series opener Monday, as St Louis won 8-3. I think we could see even more offense in Game 2. 

Chicago will send out Trevor Williams, who has a poor 5.36 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 10 starts. Williams also owns a 8.05 ERA and 2.053 WHIP in 5 road starts. St Louis counters with Johan Oviedo. He's 0-5 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.635 WHIP in 11 starts. 

Williams has a 5.74 ERA and 1.616 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Cardinals, while Oviedo has a 5.79 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 3 starts vs the Cubs. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5)

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Saturday's AL showdown between the Astros and White Sox. I just don't see these two teams getting to 9 runs with the talent these two teams will have on the mound. 

Chicago will send out ace Lucas Giolito. While he hasn't been as dominant as he was in 2020, he's pitched much better than his 4.15 ERA and there's proof in that with his strong 1.173 WHIP. Giolito also owns a 3.47 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in 9 home starts. 

Jake Odorizzi will get the ball for Houston. He's got a 2.84 ERA and 0.790 WHIP in 5 road starts and posted a sensational 1.59 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his last 3 starts before the All-Star break. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7) 

This almost feels to obvious, but I just can't help myself. I'm taking the UNDER 7 in Thursday's game between the Padres and Nationals. Two of the best the MLB has to offer will be starting in this game. 

Washington will have Max Scherzer going. I think we expect so much out of Scherzer, that his 2.10 ERA and 0.848 WHIP doesn't get viewed like we would with some others He's been even better than that of late with a 1.59 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

Yu Darvish gets the ball for San Diego. He's 7-3 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 17 starts. He's also got a 2.12 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in 11 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7! 

50* (MLB) - Red Sox/Angels MAX UNIT Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's showdown between the Red Sox and Angles. Two of the AL's top starters will be on the mound in this one. Boston will send out Nathan Eovaldi, who is 9-4 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 17 starts. He's been lights out of late, posting a 1.93 ERA in his last 3 starts. In just his last two outings, he's given up a mere 1 ER in 14 2/3 innings. 

LA will counter with Shohei Ohtani, who is 3-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 12 starts. Ohtani has been at his best at home this season, where he owns a sensational 1.73 ERA and 1.266 WHIP in 7 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's action between the Astros and A's. These two AL West rivals figure to have a hard time scoring runs with the top tier talent they are sending out to the mound. 

Oakland will turn to Chris Bassitt, who is 9-2 with a 3.04 ERA in 17 starts. Bassitt is 5-0 with a 3.52 ERA in 9 road starts and has a 1.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Houston will send out Framber Valdez, who is 5-1 with a 2.18 ERA in 7 starts. Valdez has an even better 2.00 ERA in 3 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I think we are getting some big time value with the UNDER at 8 in Saturday's game between the Phillies and the Padres. I like both starters quite a bit in this spot. 

Hard to not like Yu Darvish. Guy has a 2.44 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 16 starts this season. In his last 2 starts he's given up just 2 ER in 12 innings with 18 K's to just 2 BB's. Darvish also owns a 1.42 ERA and 0.869 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Phillies. 

Zach Eflin is where it gets tricky and where I think the value is. Eflin is just 2-6 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.255 WHIP in 15 starts and has an ugly 5.62 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in his last 3 outings. All 3 of those were on the road. Eflin has been a different guy at home. He's got a 2.13 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Early Bird Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9.5) 

I'm going to take the UNDER 9.5 between the Blue Jays and Mariners. I know these two just combined for 16 runs yesterday and Toronto has been hitting the cover off the ball, but 9.5 is just too high a number for the talent these two teams are sending to the mound. 

Blue Jays will send out Hyun-Jin Ryu, who has a respectable 3.41 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 15 starts. Seattle will counter with Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 3.23 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 15 starts overall, 2.70 ERA in 8 road starts and a 0.92 ERA over his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 9.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

I'm expecting a ton of offense in Sunday's game between the Indians and Twins, as I got these two teams easily surpassing the total of 9.5. Minnesota's offense is in a groove right now. Twins have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games, including 3 of their last 4. 

They will be up against Sam Hentges, who has an ugly 6.27 ERA and 1.821 WHIP in 5 starts. He did throw 5 scoreless innings in his last start, but that was against a bad Pirates offense, so don't read into that. I don't see him sticking around long in this one. 

J.A. Happ will start for Minnesota. He hasn't been much better with a 6.09 ERA and 1.492 WHIP in 13 starts. It's not been getting any better for Happ, who has a 7.90 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 9.5! 

40* (MLB) - Situational Total ANNIHILATOR (Over 8.5) 

I know it's hard to take the OVER with how the Cardinals are struggling to score runs right now, but 8.5 is just too low a number for today's game. With the heat index approaching 100-degrees and the wind blowing out to left, the ball should be flying out of the park today. Not to mention that kind of heat can really wear down a pitcher. 

You also got to think that Pittsburgh's William Crowe is the guy to be facing for St Louis to snap out of their offensive funk. Crowe has made 9 starts for the Pirates and is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.525 WHIP. If we can just get a little from the Cardinals in this one, we should easily get to 9 runs in this game. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (UNDER 8) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's matchup between the Astros and White Sox. I just think 8 is a pretty big number with the talent these two teams are sending out on the mound. 

Chicago will have Carlos Rodon on the mound and he's been spectacular in 2021. Rodon is 6-2 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in 11 starts. It hasn't mattered where he's pitched, as he's got a 1.80 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in 6 road starts. 

Houston counters with Luis Garcia, who is also having a great year. Garcia has a 2.98 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in 11 starts. He's been even better at home with a 1.91 ERA and 0.918 WHIP in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - Over/Under PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I absolutely love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's late night action that has the Rays visiting the Mariners. There's a lot to like with both starters going in this one.

Tampa Bay's Rich Hill has a strong 3.37 ERA in 13 stats, but has been even better than that of late with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. It's also worth pointing out that in Hill's last 4 road starts he's given up a whopping 1 run on 9 hits in 22 innings of work. 

Justin Dunn will counter for Seattle and he's quietly having a strong season. Dunn has a 3.91 ERA in 10 starts. He's also been lights out at home with a 2.95 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 4 home starts. Not only is Dunn throwing well, but TB's hitters may be a bit off here with the travel from Chicago all the way out west to Seattle. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's NL Central clash between the Brewers and Reds. These two offenses couldn't get anything going yesterday, as they headed to extra innings without a run on the board. Cincinnati wound up winning 2-1 in 10 innings with the two teams combing for just 6 hits. 

When you look at the starting pitching matchup for today's game, it's hard to see either offense getting back on track. The Reds' Tyler Mahle has been a beast when he's not having to start at home at hitter friendly Great American Ball Park. Mahle has a 1.44 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 8 road starts. Milwaukee counters with Freddy Peralta, who has been great from the get go. Peralta has a 2.32 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in 12 starts with a 1.45 ERA and 0.563 WHIP in 6 home starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's series opener between the Rangers and Astros. I just feel like it's asking a lot for these two teams to put up 9 runs in a game that will feature two of the AL's better starters. 

Texas will give the rock to Kyle Gibson, who has a sensational 2.14 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 12 starts. He's shown no signs of slowing down. In fact, he's got an even better 1.56 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

Houston will counter with Lance McCullers Jr. He's got a similarly strong 2.96 ERA and 1.161 WHIP in 9 starts. He too is trending right with a 1.89 ERA in his last 3 starts. 

These two also have a great track record against the opponent. Gibson has a 2.49 ERA in 11 career starts against the Astros, having allowed just 5 runs (35 innings) in his last 5 starts vs Houston. McCullers has a mere 3.88 ERA in 11 starts vs Texas, but has allowed just 3 runs in his last 4 outings vs them. He's also now allowed more than 3 ER in 10 of the 11 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

We have cashed the OVER in each of the first two games in this series between the Reds and Rockies. The two combined for 16 runs in the series opener on Friday and for 13 in yesterday's matchup. With another hot day at Great American Ball Park (heat index in the mid-upper 90s), I see no reason why they won't reach double-digits on Sunday. 

Reds could eclipse this total on their own. Cincinnati has done the heavy lifting in this series, scoring 11 and 10 runs in the first two games. Colorado has allowed 10 or more now in 3 straight and starter Antonio Senzatela comes in with an ugly 6.75 ERA and 1.903 WHIP in 4 road starts  this season. 

Reds are starting Tony Santillan, who will be making his first ever big league start. While Santillan has pitched well in the minors, chances are he struggles in the tough pitching conditions today. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* (MLB) Saturday SHARP MONEY Top Play (OVER 9) 

We cashed the OVER 9 in Friday's series opener between these two teams as they combined for 16 in Cincinnati's 11-5 win. That's now two straight games Colorado has given up 11 runs and the 6th time in their last 8 games they have allowed 6 or more runs. 

I know we got two decent starters going in German Marquez and Wade Miley, but it's going to be absolute brutal pitching conditions today with the heat index pushing 100 degrees and little to no wind (4 mph). Add in how the ball already flies out of Great American Ball Park, and it just doesn't seem like much for these two teams to hit double-digits. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 9) 

I will take my chances with the OVER 9 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Reds visiting the Rockies. With the way the ball flies out of Great American Ball Park, especially this time of year where it's 80+ degrees with some humidity, 10 runs really isn't a lot to ask for. 

You also got to like the pitching matchup for runs. Colorado's Kyle Freeland has a 6.23 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in 3 starts, giving up 19 hits and 8 walks in 13 innings of work. Reds' Tyler Mahle has a strong 3.18 ERA in 12 starts overall, but owns a 7.23 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 4 home outings. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 10.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 10.5 in Thursday's game between the Yankees and Twins. These two combined for 12 runs in Game 1 of this series and 15 in Game 2 yesterday. I see no reason not to expect another high scoring affair tonight. 

Yankees will be starting Michael King, who has given up 8 runs on 9 hits in 7 2/3 innings over 2 starts. I think it's also worth pointing out that King had a 7.75 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 9 appearances (4 starts) last year. 

Twins will counter with J.A. Happ, who has a 5.61 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 10 starts with a 6.19 ERA and 1.437 WHIP in his last 3 outings. 

Also doesn't hurt that it's going to be in the mid 90's during this game with little to no wind. The heat could lead to both starters wearing down quick, as well as help the ball carry a little further. Give me the OVER 10.5! 

40* (MLB) Late Night Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 9 in Wednesday's late night action between the Angels/Royals. Both teams could be in store for a big day offensively in this one. KC is sending out Brad Keller, who has a 5.50 ERA and 1.707 WHIP in 12 starts. He's also facing a LA lineup that has scored 33 runs in their last 4 games. 

Angels' will counter with Griffin Canning, who probably should be demoted. Canning has a 5.71 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in 9 starts. He's only had one start all season where he's completed 6 innings. He's also got an 8.74 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Play the OVER 9! 

50* (MLB) - Wednesday MAX UNIT Top Play (OVER 8.5) 

I love the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's game between the Twins/Yankees. Minnesota will have Randy Dobak on the mound. After not giving up a run in 6 innings in his first start at Cleveland, Dobak has allowed 9 runs on 17 hits and 3 walks in his last 2 starts. 

Yankees will have Gerrit Cole on the mound. While Cole is a big nam,e and has been pretty good so far in 2021, he just gave up 5 runs in 5 innings in his last start. I think his struggles could be part of him stopping using whatever illegal substance he was using. He's also facing a hot Twins lineup that has racked up 10+ hits in 4 of their last 5 games. Play the OVER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 11 in Friday's series opener between NL West rivals Colorado and Arizona. The ball figures to be flying out of Coors Field tonight. Not only will temps by in the high 70s, but the wind will be blowing out to right center at close to 15 mph. 

We also got a subpar pitching matchup with Arizona sending out Seth Frankoff and the Rockies turning to German Marquez. Not to mention both offenses will be happy to see Coors Field. Dbacks just played a 4-game series at the Dodgers and the Rockies played 3 in a row at San Diego. Both of those parks heavily favor pitching. Play the OVER 11! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 8.5) 

I like the UNDER 8.5 in Friday's MLB matchup that has the Yankees hosting the White Sox. I just don't see a lot of runs being scored in this one. The ball doesn't figure to be carrying all that great at Yankee Stadium tonight and we got two quality starters going. 

Chicago will send out Carlos Rodon, who I think is poised for a big bounce back performance after not having near his best stuff in his last start against the Royals. Rodon gave up 4 runs on 8 hits and 3 walks in 5 2/3 innings, yet he still comes into this game with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in 6 starts. 

New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery. While Montgomery has a 4.75 ERA in 8 starts, he has a very strong 1.152 WHIP in those 8 outings. He's also got a strong 3.98 FIP and 3.85 xFIP. His numbers have been more true at home where he has a 3.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in 3 starts. Play the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I like the UNDER 8 in Thursday's NL East showdown between the Marlins and Phillies. I think this total should be 7.5 if not 7. Miami's Sandy Alcantara had a really bad start last time out, but that was on the road against the Dodgers. In his previous 4 starts he hadn't allowed more than 2 runs, throwing 6 or more innings in 3 of those 4 outings. Alcantara also owns a strong 2.82 ERA in 6 career starts against the Phillies. 

Vincent Velasquez will get the start for Philadelphia. He's off to a great start to the 2021 season. Velasquez owns a 2.84 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in 5 starts with a 1.59 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 outings. I just don't see either offense doing much in this one. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 7.5) 

I like the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's Royals/Brewers interleague showdown. KC won the opener 2-0 in an extremely low scoring affair on Tuesday. UNDER is now 6-1 in Royals last 7. Brewers managed just 3 hits in the loss yesterday, second time in their last 3 games they have held to a mere 3 hits. Brewers have also now scored 2 or fewer runs in 7 of their last 11 games. 

Milwaukee's struggles on offense are why I'm not worrying too much about the poor numbers for Royals starter Brad Keller. Note that while Keller has a 6.75 ERA in 8 starts, he's coming off two strong outings, as he's allowed just 5 runs with 13 K's in 11 innings over his last 2 starts. Brewers will have Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has been one of the NL's best early on. Burnes has a 1.57 ERA and 0.641 WHIP in 6 starts. Play the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Under 7.5) 

I like the UNDER 7.5 in Tuesday's NL Central showdown between the Pirates and Cardinals. Really underrated starting pitching matchup here with St Louis' John Gant facing off against Pittsburgh's J.T. Brubaker. 

Gant has a 1.84 ERA in 7 starts with the UNDER cashing in 6 of those. Brubaker has a 2.58 ERA in 7 starts with 5 of those staying UNDER the mark. I just don't see these two getting to 8 runs tonight. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I'll take a shot here with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between the Braves and Brewers. I know this doesn't look like a top tier pitching matchup, but there's reason to be optimistic that both starters perform well here. 

Drew Smyly gets the ball for Atlanta. He's got an ugly 6.12 ERA and 1.480 WHIP, but he's coming off by far his best start of the season. Smyly didn't give up a ER in 6 innings at the Nationals. He really took advantage of a bad Washington offense. He gets a similarly poor offense in this one.

Milwaukee is bottom 10 in the league in runs scored They are averaging 2.0 runs/game and hitting .180 as a team in their last 7. They also are scoring just 2.8 runs/game this season vs left-handed starters. 

Brewers will send out Adrian Houser, who has a respectable 3.44 ERA and 1.227 WHIP in 7 starts. He too is off a strong outing, as he allowed just 2 ER on 5 hits with 10 Ks in 6 innings at Miami. That's two straight starts he's went 6 innings and allowed only 2 ER. He also could be catching a huge break here with Ronald Acuna Jr questionable after leaving yesterday's game with an ankle injury. GIve me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - Late Night *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 7.5) 

I love the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's late night action on the west coast that has Indians at the Mariners. Neither of these teams are great offensively. Cleveland has scored 3 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and Seattle has scored 4 or fewer in 3 straight. 

You also got a great starting pitching matchup with Indians' Zach Plesac against Mariners' top prospect Logan Gilbert. Plesac has been outstanding of late with a 1.27 ERA and 0.7500 WHIP in his last 3 starts. He hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts. Gilbert is a kid that has elite level stuff and I really like him to pitch well against this Indians lineup. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 7.5) 

I just think there's a ton of value with the OVER at 7.5 in Wednesday's matchup between the Braves and Blue Jays. OVER is 12-5 in Atlanta home games this season with an average combined score of 10.7 runs/game. Toronto is averaging 5.9 runs/game over their last 7 and the Braves are scoring 5.1 runs/game at home and 5.6 runs/game in night games this season. 

Hyun-Jin Ryu has a 3.31 ERA in 6 starts, but a 4.15 ERA on the road and a 5.27 ERA in his last 3 outings. Max Fried has a 8.44 ERA and 2.062 WHIP in 4 starts. I could see both teams going over this number. Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* (MLB) - NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8) 

I love the UNDER 8 in Tuesday's NL showdown between Miami and Arizona. Two of the hottest starters in the game will be facing off in this one. Marlins' Pablo Lopez has a 2.04 ERA in 7 starts and a 0.50 ERA and 0.889 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Diamondbacks' Madison Bumgarner had a bit of a rough start to 2021, but has a 1.00 ERA and 0.389 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

These two starters squared off against each other in Miami last week (5/6) and the game finished with just 4 runs, as the two starters combined to pitch 11 innings, giving up just 1 ER on 5 hits. UNDER is also a strong 13-3 in Marlins last 16 road games after 2 straight games scoring 2 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I really like the UNDER 8.5 in Tuesday's AL matchup between Boston and Oakland. That's because I love the starting pitching matchup with the Red Sox sending out Nathan Eovaldi and the A's countering with Chris Bassitt. 

Eovaldi has a not so great 4.39 ERA with a solid 1.205 WHIP in 7 starts, but has really been unlucky with a .342 BABIP. That shows in his amazing 2.05 FIP and strong 3.26 xFIP. Bassitt has a 3.70 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 7 starts with a 2.84 ERA in his last 3 outings. 

I know the wind is going to be blowing out slightly to right, but it's as big a concern with these two guys on the mound. Eovaldi has not allowed a HR this season and Bassitt has allowed just 3. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Situational Total ANNIHILATOR (Under 7.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the UNDER 7.5 in Sunday's AL Central showdown between the Royals and White Sox. There just doesn't figure to be a lot of scoring opportunities in this game. 

Chicago will have ace Lucas Giolito on the mound. He's not been as dominant as expected early on, but has definitely pitched better than his numbers. The only thing that's killing him is the long ball. Something he doesn't figure to have to worry about much today with the wind blowing in from left field at close to 15 mph and temps expected to be in the mid 40's. 

Those conditions will also make life easier on KC starter Mike Minor. While Minor's numbers are also not great so far, he's owned Chicago with a 3.18 ERA in 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* (MLB) Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 9) 

I will gladly take my chances with the OVER 9 in Tuesday's MLB matchup between the White Sox and Reds. The OVER is a pretty easy play when Cincinnati is at home. OVER is 12-3 in Reds' home games this season with an average combined score of 13.4 runs/game. 

I know the two starters going, Dylan Cease and Jeff Hoffman have been decent early on, but both of these teams are scoring a lot of runs when these two are on the mound. OVER has cashed in 4 of Cease's 5 starts and is a perfect 5-0 in Hoffman's 5 starts. Neither of these teams have a good bullpen, so if either starter struggles we could see one of these teams eclipse the mark on their own. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO BRAINER (Under 8) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 8 in Friday's series opener between AL Central rivals Kansas City and Minnesota. Two really good starters will be on the mound for this one. Kansas City will send out Brady Singer and the Twins counter with Michael Pineda. 

Singer has a 2.95 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 4 starts. He's really been exceptional since giving up 5 runs in 3 1/3 in his first outing of the season. In his 3 starts since, he's posted a 1.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP with 20 K's in 18 innings of work. 

Pineda has been equally impressive early on. He's got a 2.42 ERA and 0.896 WHIP in 4 starts. He too has had just one bad outing this year. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I will take the UNDER 8 in Thursday's early MLB matchup that has the A's and Rays finishing up their 4-game series in Tampa. There's been little to no offense in the first 3 games of this series. In fact, the two teams have combined to score a mere 12 runs in the series. 

I just don't think the total should be 8 with the way these two are swinging the bat. Big reason why there's value here is the Rays are sending out a relatively unknown starter in Shane McClanahan. His only MLB action came in the playoffs last year. While he didn't pitch great in the postseason, this is not only one of Tampa Bay's best prospects, it's one of the top pitching prospects in the game. He's got big time swing and miss stuff. 

On the flip side, the A's will be sending out Chris Bassitt, who has a strong 3.18 ERA in his last 3 starts. Bassitt has allowed just 2 runs in 6 innings with 8 K's in each of his last two starts. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* (MLB) - AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) 

I love the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Astros and Angels. I just don't see either offense going off with the two starters that will be taking the mound in this one. Los Angeles is sending out Alex Cobb, while Houston counters with Cristian Javier. 

Cobb comes in with a not so great 4.63 ERA in 2 starts, but the advanced stats say that's a big fluke, as he owns a 2.04 FIP and exceptional 1.67 xFIP. His 17 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings really speaks to how well he's thrown the ball. 

Javier hasn't had as many swing and misses, but does have a very respectable 11 K's in 8 2/3 innings. Javier owns a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. With a 1.57 FIP, there's every reason to believe he's been as good as the numbers are showing. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* (MLB) - Situational VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Over 8.5) 

I will take a shot with the OVER 8.5 in Wednesday's interleague showdown between the Braves and Yankees. The two starters going, Ian Anderson and Corey Kluber are both well respected starters, but both are struggling. Anderson has a 4.70 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in 3 starts. Kluber is even worse with a 6.10 ERA and 2.227 WHIP in 3 starts. 

While the two two teams did manage to combine to score 4 runs in Tuesday's series opener, I think we could see a big number on the board for both teams today. That's because there will be a 17+ mph jet stream blowing streak out to right field. Should be multiple HRs hit in this game. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

We cashed the UNDER 7.5 in Game 1 of this series on Monday and I see more of the same value with the UNDER 8 in Game 2. I know the numbers aren't great for today's two starters Rich Hill and Brad Keller, but it's just a matter of time before Hill gets on track and Keller is coming off a great start at home against the Angels, where he allowed just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 2/3 innings. 

The even bigger factor here is the weather. While we won't have 15 mph winds blowing straight in from left like we did yesterday, it won't be blowing out tonight and the temps are expected to start in the high 40s and end in the low 40s. It's just far from ideal conditions for scoring runs. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) 

I will roll the dice with the UNDER 7.5 in Monday's game between the Rays and Royals. Tampa Bay will send out Josh Fleming for his second start and he was impressive in his first outing, giving up just 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings. Keep in mind Fleming pitched extremely well for the Rays in limited action last year. 

Danny Duffy will take the mound for the Royals and he's been outstanding to start 2021. Duffy has allowed just 1 run in 12 innings over his first 2 starts. Duffy has also owned Tampa Bay, posting a 2.68 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Rays. 

Lastly, the conditions aren't expected to be ideal for scoring. Temp's are expected to be in the low 50s high 40s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* (MLB) Thursday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Thursday's matchup between the Nationals and Diamondbacks. I know Arizona's Merrill Kelly has a 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his first 2 starts, but his two starts have come on the road against the Padres and Rockies. It should be much easier here against a sub-par Nationals offense that has already been shutout 3 times in the early going. 

Same can be said for Washington starter Pat Corbin, who had a rough first start at the Dodgers. He really just had one bad inning, giving up 5 of his 6 runs in the 2nd inning. He should be much better and the Dbacks are only scoring 3.6 runs/game and hitting .209 as a team on the road this season. 

The last big factor here is the weather. Temps are expected to only be in the mid 50s with close to a 15 mph wind blowing straight in from left field. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* (MLB) - Monday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Under 8.5) 

I love the UNDER 8.5 in Monday's AL Central clash between the Indians and White Sox. Cleveland is the definition of an UNDER team. They struggle to score runs, but don't necessarily need to with their rotation and bullpen. UNDER has cashed in 6 of their 8 games this season. 

Triston McKenzie will be taking the mound for Cleveland and while he is making his first start, he pitched 3 2/3 innings out of the pen and was really good. He only gave up 1 run on 2 hits. In his brief career start last year, McKenzie has a 3.16 ERA and 0.97 WHIP with opponents hitting just .180 against him. 

White Sox will counter with Carlos Rodon, who tossed 5 scoreless innings with 9 K's in his first start at Seattle. Rodon has kind of had his way with Cleveland, posting a 2.83 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in 15 starts. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

Colorado's offense has really struggled in their first two games away from Coors Field, as they have managed just 4 runs in their two games at San Francisco. I don't see them getting the offense going against Giants starter Anthony Desclafani, who was sharp in his first start at San Diego, limiting the Padres to just 1 run in 5 innings.

Rockies will counter with German Marquez. He's got a 3.60 ERA in two starts, both at home against the Dodgers and Dbacks. He should have no problem shutting down one of baseball's worst offenses. In his two starts against the Giants last year, he allowed just 3 run with 12/2 K/BB ratio in 13 1/3 innings. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Under 9.5) 

I like the value with the UNDER 9.5 in Monday's AL East showdown between the Rays and Red Sox. The biggest factor here is the conditions, as it's expected to be around just 50 degrees at game-time with the wind blowing in from right field at close to 15 mph. 

Another factor is the Red Sox offense. Boston was only able to manage to score 5 runs total in their 3 games at home against the Orioles to start the season. Rays have a much better starting staff than Baltimore and I got high hopes for Tampa Bay starter Michael Wacha, who posted a 0.60 ERA and 0.73 WHIP over 15 innings in Spring Training. 

Little more concern with Nick Pivetta, but given the conditions, I think he can keep the Rays in check enough to keep us well below the mark. Give me the UNDER 9.5!

50* (MLB) Sunday *MAX UNIT* Top Play (Over 11.5) 

Not a lot I can say that I haven't said the last 3 days, as we take the OVER for a fourth straight day in the Rockies/Dodgers series. We cashed the OVER in each of the first two and ended with a push in Game 3. 

Each of these teams have scored a minimum of 5 runs in each of the 3 games they have played and with temps expected in the low 80s for this one, the ball figures to be flying out of the park. The Dodgers are capable of eclipsing this total on their own and with Austin Gomber on the mound for the Rockies they just might. I know Julio Urias has been solid, but he's got a 6.25 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 7 career starts against Colorado. Give me the OVER 11.5! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

We have played and cashed the OVER in each of the first two games of this series. We go again with the OVER on Saturday. These two went for 13 combined runs in the series opener Thursday and have 14 combined runs in the bottom of the 7th in Friday's game as I write up this analysis. The Rockies didn't even have a hit in the first 6 innings of that game. 

The play is every bit on the way the ball flies out of Coors Field and the ridiculous offense that the Dodgers have. They can hit this total on their own, but I don't think they will have to. Both starters that will go on Saturday performed poorly in Spring Training. 

The Rockies Jon Gray had a 9.90 ERA with a 1.80 WHIP, giving up 11 runs in 10 innings of work. Dodgers will counter with Walker Buehler, who had a 7.94 ERA, 1.65 WHIP and allowed 16 runs in 17 innings. Give me the OVER 11! 

40* (MLB) - Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER (Over 11.5) 

We cashed in the OVER 11 in Thursday's season opener between the Rockies and Dodgers, as the two combined for 13 in Colorado's 8-5 win. With the fire-power that LA has on offense and the game being played at one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the league in Coors Field, chances are there are going to be a number of runs scored. 

The key here for me is I think the Rockies can keep pace and even outscore the Dodgers again on Friday. Trevor Bauer was a great pickup for LA, but he didn't have the best spring with a 4.24 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. Coors just isn't the place to work out those kinks. 

Colorado will send out Antonio Senzatela, who has a 5.80 ERA and 1.563 WHIP in 8 starts against the Dodgers. In those 8 starts, the fewest combined runs in a game has been 9. Give me the OVER 11.5! 

40* (MLB) - Opening Day TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 11) 

I won't be playing a lot of OVERs early in the season, but I do think the OVER 11 is worth a look in Thursday's Opening Day matchup between the Rockies and Dodgers. Even though the ball isn't going to jump off the bat like it will here soon, it's still going to carry well in the thin air of Coors Field. 

It's not crazy to think the Dodgers can eclipse this total on their own. LA's going to have one of the best offenses, if not the best, in baseball. I think it could be a short day of work for Rockies starter German Marquez, who had an ugly 5.68 ERA and 1.84 WHIP, while allowing opponents to hit .338 against him in 19 innings of Spring Training ball. 

The key here is I think the Rockies are going to do their part and put up some runs. Dodgers will be sending out Clayton Kershaw, who looked to be a bit out of form in Spring Training with a 10.22 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings of work. Give me the OVER 11! 

30* (MLB) - Opening Day EARLY BIRD SHARP PLAY (Under 7.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 7.5 in Thursday's Opening Day matchup between the Tigers and Indians. I know the wind is going to be blowing out to center at close to 15 mph, but the game time temp is expected to be a mere 31 degrees. The ball just isn't going to carry in these conditions. 

You als have what I think is going to be two of the worst offensive teams in the majors facing off against two really good starters. Detroit's Matt Boyd posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.15 WHIP over 18 1/3 innings in spring training. He's flashed some potential in the past and I think he's more than capable of keeping this Indians offense in check. 

Cleveland will counter with Shane Bieber, who also had an impressive spring with a 3.12 ERA. Bieber also had 24 K's in 17 1/3 innings of work. He's owned the Tigers in his career with a 2.13 ERA and 0.779 WHIP in 6 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* RAYS/DODGERS WORLD SERIES *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 7.5) 

I would give the slight edge to the Dodgers in Game 1, but I just don't trust Kershaw enough to lay that kind of juice with LA. I instead will be taking the OVER 7.5. Could Kershaw pitch great? Sure. But based on what we have seen in the playoffs, it's not a toss up.

He was so good for 4 innings in his only start against the Braves and then things took a quick turn for the worse. When it was done he gave up 4 runs on 7 hits in 5 innings of a 2-10 loss. You also can't trust that Dodgers pen. 

Key here is I think we are going to get a big game from that LA offense. The Dodgers can explode at any moment. We saw that in their 11-run first against the Braves in Game 3. I like Glasnow, but he hasn't been great in the playoffs. He has a 5.40 ERA and 1.350 WHIP. Guy also has a problem with serving up HRs (has allowed 17 in 15 starts). Give me the OVER 7.5! 

50* RAYS/YANKEES MLB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 9) 

We have played and cashed easily on the OVER in each of the last two games in this series. All 3 games in this series have seen a combined 12 runs scored. The OVER is now a perfect 5-0 in Yankees postseason games. It's also 4-1 in the Rays postseason games. Tampa Bay has scored 15 runs in the last two games of this series and have scored 7 or more in 3 of their last 4 games overall. 

I see no reason not to expect another high scoring game today. Rays are starting an opener in Ryan Thompson, who has only made 1 start this season (24 relief appearances). He's got a mere 4.44 ERA and 1.41 WHIP over his 26.1 innings of work. 

New York will counter with Jordan Montgomery, who went just 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.295 WHIP in 10 starts. Montgomery hasn't pitched in a game since Sept. 24, so there definitely could be some rust with him in this one. Montgomery made 1 start vs TB this season and didn't get out of the 1st innings, recording just 2 outs, while giving up 4 runs on 5 hits (2 HRs). Give me the OVER 9! 

50* RAYS/YANKEES MLB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 9) 

We cashed the OVER 8 in yesterday's 7-5 Rays win. Each of the first two games in the series have both ended with 12 total runs scored. No way I'm backing off the OVER in Game 3.

The Yankees had just 5 hits and had a postseason record 19 strikeouts. They still scored 5 runs. Thanks largely to Stanton, who hit two homers. Stanton has homered in every playoff game for New York. 

I'm expecting plenty more strikeouts for Yankees' hitters, but I also see them doing a lot more damage this time around against Charlie Morton. It was an off year for Morton. He started out slow, was hurt and really never hit his stride. He finished with a 4.74 ERA and 1.395 WHIP in 9 starts. He had a 4.40 ERA and 1.465 WHIP in his last 3. 

New York counters with Tanaka, who was rocked for 6 runs on 5 hits and 3 walks in his start against the Indians in the first round of the playoffs. Tanaka also has had a down year with a 4.33 ERA in 11 starts. He's got a 7.20 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last 3. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* YANKEES/RAYS MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Over 8) 

The Yankees have played 3 playoff games and scored at least 9 runs in all 3 games. It's not like they have been exploiting bad starters. The have faced the soon to be AL Cy Young winner in Bieber, Carrasco and Snell. I know Rays starter Tyler Glasnow comes into having pitched well, I just don't know that it matters with the way the Yankees are swinging the bat. 

On top of that, this is a game the Rays could go off in. New York is sending out 21-year-old rookie Deivi Garcia, who has just 6 career starts to his name. While the future looks bright for Garcia, he posted a very mediocre 4.15 FIP and 4.65 xFIP. He also wasn't great in his last two starts, giving up 10 runs on 15 hits in 9 2/3 innings of work. Give me the OVER 8! 

40* REDS/BRAVES MLB (EARLY) MASSACRE (Under 7.5) 

I don't see a lot of offense in this one. The Reds were one of the worst teams in MLB history to make the playoffs with a mere .211 team batting average. They only averaged 3.5 runs with a .204 average on the road. 

With a guy like Trevor Bauer on the mound, I just think there's decent value with the total north of 7. Bauer was one of the best pitchers in the game. He finished up with a 1.73 ERA and 0.795 WHIP in 11 starts. 

Atlanta will have a pretty good starter of their own going in Max Fried, as he posted a strong 2.25 ERA and 1.089 WHIP in 11 starts. Not to mention the Braves have a great bullpen. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* CUBS/PIRATES MLB SHARP STAKE (Under 9) 

We cashed a free pick on the Cubs/Pirates UNDER 8.5 on Monday and see no reason not to take the UNDER again on Tuesday. You simply have two offenses that are not swinging the bats well. Pirates are scoring 2.4 runs/game and hitting .165 in their last 7 games. 

Cubs are a little better in their last 7 at 4.0 runs/game and .217 average, but that's far from impressive. Also, important to note that Pittsburgh is sending out lefty Steven Brault. Chicago is only scoring 3.0 runs/game and hitting .187 vs left-handed starters this season. Brault also owns a great 1.59 ERA and 0.838 WHIP in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* METS/PHILLIES MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 7.5) 

I just can't help myself with this one. There's a really high probability that we see this game finish UNDER the total of 7.5. Two of the NL's best will be on the mound in this one. Mets send out ace Jacob deGrom against former Met starter Zack Wheeler. 

Not a lot needs to be said about deGrom. The guy is in the mix for another Cy Young in 2020. He's 4-1 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.870 WHIP in 9 starts. He has not had a start this season where he's given up more than 2 earned runs and enters this one on a streak of 5 straight allowing 1 or less. 

Wheeler is 4-0 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.098 WHIP in 8 starts. He's in even better form than that right now, as he owns a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. He's also been much better at home than on the road with a 1.97 ERA in 5 home starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* INDIANS/TWINS MLB SLAUGHTER (Under 8.5) 

Easy play on the UNDER 8.5 in Sunday's AL Central showdown between the Indians and Twins. Getting to 9 runs will be a challenge with the two guys starting in this one. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie has a 2.57 ERA and 0.762 WHIP over 4 starts, while Minnesota's Michael Pineda has been dominant in two starts back from his suspension with a 2.77 ERA and 0.923 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* REDS/CUBS MLB SHARP STAKE (UNDER 6.5) 

You don't see many totals this low in baseball anymore, but the low number is not going to scare me away from what I feel is a strong play. I just don't see much offense at all from either side in Wednesday's game between the Cubs and Reds. 

Two of the best starters in baseball will be facing off against each other. Cubs send out Yu Darvish, who has to be the frontrunner right now for NL Cy Young. Reds counter with Trevor Bauer. Darvish has an NL best 1.44 ERA and Bauer is No. 4 at 2.05. Bauer on the other hand has a NL best 0.86 WHIp and Darvish is T-2nd at 0.88. 

These two just faced off against each other a couple weeks ago and the final score was 3-0. With the wind blowing in close to 15 mph at Wrigley and cooler than normal temps for September, I see a very similar type of score in this one. Give me the UNDER 6.5! 

40* CARDINALS/CUBS MLB VEGAS INSIDER (Under 8)

I love the UNDER 8 in Friday's big NL Central rivalry game between the Cubs and Cardinals. Two really good starters take the mound in this one. St Louis will send out Jack Flaherty, who has a 1.93 ERA and 0.803 WHIP in 4 starts. Chicago will counter with Yu Darvish, who is even better with a 1.47 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 7 starts. 

Flaherty has a 2.84 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cubs. Darvish has held the Cardinals two 3 or fewer runs in at least 6 innings in his last 4 starts against them. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* METS/ORIOLES MLB SHARP STAKE (OVER 10) 

The numbers suggest there's a high probability that we will see more than 10 runs in this matchup. You got two really bad starters going in Baltimore's John Means and New York's Michael Wacha. You also got an ideal day for hitting. Wind will be blowing out to center at close to 10 mph, humidity is expected to be around 70% and a heat index of 95+. 

Means has been Baltimore's worst pitcher (starter or reliever) in terms of WAR (-0.3). There's nothing fluky about his 8.59 ERA, as his FIP comes in at 7.99. He's given up a staggering 3.68 home runs/9 innings and he's got a fortunate .233 BABIP. 

Wacha has a 7.41 ERA and while his 4.50 FIP suggests he's not that bad, that's still not very good. He too has struggled to keep it in the park with a 2.2 HR/9. You also have to factor in how well Orioles are swinging the bat right now. Give me the OVER 10! 

40* INDIANS/CARDINALS MLB NO-BRAINER (Under 8) 

I just feel that these two teams are going to have a hard time scoring runs with the talent that each team will send out to the mound. Indians Aaron Civale has a 3.15 ERA and 1.025 WHIP in 6 starts. Big positive here is he's got an even better 2.89 ERA and 0.893 WHIP in 4 road starts this season. Adam Wainwright will go for St Louis. He's got a 2.88 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 4 starts. He also owns a 1.64 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in 2 day starts this season. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MARINERS/ANGELS LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Under 8.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's late action between the Angels and Mariners. Great pitching matchup in this one, which is going to make it tough for these two to combine for 9 or more. 

Mariners will send out Justus Sheffield, who is one of the top young arms in the game. He had a rough first two starts, but has completely turned it around. He's got a 1.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. 

Dylan Bundy will go for the Angels. He's got a sensational 2.58 ERA and 0.887 WHIP in 6 starts. Bundy also owns a strong 2.45 ERA and 0.716 WHIP in 4 career starts against the Mariners. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* TWINS/INDIANS MLB SHARP MONEY (Under 8.5) 

I will take my chances with the UNDER 8.5, as we got a big time pitching matchup going down in Cleveland with the Indians Aaron Civale taking on the Twins Kenta Maeda. Civale has a 2.91 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 5 starts. His great pitching combined with the Indians lackluster offense has resulted in the UNDER cashing in 4 of his 5 starts. 

Maeda has been equally impressive for Minnesota, as he has a 2.27 ERA and 0.632 WHIP in 5 starts. He was spectacular in his last outing, allowing just 1 run on 1 hit with 12 K's in 8 innings against the Brewers. 

Also important to note, both teams have strong bullpens to keep this thing in check late. Twins relievers own a 3.44 ERA and 1.203 WHIP, while Cleveland's pen has a 2.73 ERA and 1.039 WHIP. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* ANGELS/A'S AL WEST PLAY OF THE WEEK (Under 9) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 between the A's and Angels. I think we are getting some value with the number here as we got a couple of strong starters coming off a poor start last time out. Dylan Bundy gave up 4 runs in 4 innings against the Giants, while Frankie Montas allowed 9 runs in just 1 2/3 innings at Arizona. Bundy still owns a stellar 2.47 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in 5 starts overall and Montas has a sensational 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 3 home starts this season. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* BLUE JAYS/RAYS MLB STEAMROLLER (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 in Friday's AL East matchup between the Rays and Blue Jays. I just think that Toronto plays in such a hitter-friendly home park that there's going to be value on the UNDER when they hit the road. Note the Blue Jays are scoring 4.6 runs/game and hitting .252 on the season, yet are only averaging 3.9 runs/game with a .231 average on the road. 

Blue Jays starter, Matt Shoemaker, is 4-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Rays. Two of those coming this season. Ryan Yarbrough will start for Tampa Bay and he's also made 2 starts against the Blue Jays. He's thrown 8 1/3 innings and has not allowed a run. Give me the UNDER 9! 

100* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5)

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 8.5 in tonight's NL Central showdown between the Cardinals and Reds. Cincinnati will have ace Sonny Gray on the mound, who is 4-1 with a 2.05 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in 5 starts. Gray also owns a sensational 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 3 career starts (all last season) against the Cardinals. 

St. Louis will turn to veteran Adam Wainwright. While he's only made 2 starts, he's been exceptional in both, posting a 1.64 ERA and 0.818 WHIP. He just hasn't been able to start cause the Cardinals missed so many games. I think more rest definitely helps him perform better at this stage of his career. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* PHILLIES/BLUE JAYS EARLY BIRD NO-BRAINER (Over 8.5)

I don't care that this is only a 7-inning game. I still see a ton of value with the OVER 8.5 in Game 1 between the Blue Jays and Phillies. The ball is absolutely flying at Sahlen Field. I think people are starting to catch on, but I don't know that the books have quite adjusted. 

With Spencer Howard on the mound for Philadelphia and Chase Anderson toeing the rubber for Toronto, I think both offenses have a shot here of eclipsing the total on their own. Either way, they should have no problem combing for at least 9 runs. Give me the OVER 8.5! 

40* TIGERS/WHITE SOX MLB STEAMROLLER (Under 9)

I really like the value here with the UNDER 9 in Wednesday's AL Central matchup between the White Sox and Tigers. We are getting a great price because of both teams sending out a guy making his first career start. Thing is, these are two highly touted prospects that are ready for the spotlight. This also figures to be a great day to pitch, as the wind will be blowing in at Guaranteed Rate Field and temps will be in the mid to low 70s. Look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* PADRES/DBACKS MLB NO-BRAINER (Over 9)

When you factor in how bad Arizona starter Robbie Ray has been and the recent rate at which the Diamondbacks offense has been producing, I think the OVER is definitely worth a shot on Sunday. 

Over their last 5 games the Diamondbacks are averaging 7.4 runs/game. They are hitting .312 as a team with a .356 OBP and .492 SLG during this stretch. 

Ray has made 4 starts for Arizona and if it wasn't for what he's done in the past, I don't think he would still be in the rotation. Ray has a 10.58 ERA and 2.116 WHIP in 4 starts. He's allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last 3 outings. He can't locate the ball. He's given up 7 HRs and walked 14 in 17 innings. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* RAYS/BLUE JAYS OVER/UNDER VEGAS INSIDER (Over 9.5)

The ball simply is flying out of Sahlen Field, which is where the Blue Jays are playing their home games this season. Toronto just played their first two games at Sahlen Field against the Marlins and the two teams combined for 34 runs on 43 hits (11 HRs) in those two games. Now you got a Rays offense that is scorching coming to down. Tampa Bay just put up 42 runs in their 4 game series at Boston with at least 8 runs in each game. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

50* CUBS/INDIANS MLB TOP PLAY (Under 8) 

I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 8 in this one. I correctly predicted that the Cubs would be the first team all season to score 5 or more runs against the Indians in yesterday's 7-1 win. I don't feel so confident with them doing it two games in a row. 

In fact, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they struggled to score a mere 3 runs. Cleveland will have Carlos Carrasco on the mound, who has a 2.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 3 starts. 

Cubs will counter with Kyle Hendricks. While Hendricks is normally a guy I look to fade on the road, Cleveland's offense is so bad that I like him to pitch well here. It doesn't hurt that the wind will be blowing in from right. Give me the UNDER 8. 

50* SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL PLAY OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5) 

I really like the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the White Sox and Indians. Two really good starters will take the mound in this one. Lucas Giolito is coming off a breakout 2019 season. He had a rough first start, but has been outstanding in his last two, giving up just 2 runs on 8 hits with 15 strikeouts in 12 innings. Definitely helps that he's facing a Indians offense that struggles to score runs. His second start was against Cleveland and he threw 6 shutout innings. 

Cleveland will have Shane Bieber on the mound and he's been lights out in 2020. Bieber is 3-0 with a 0.83 ERA and 0.692 WHIP in 3 starts. He's absolute mowing people down, as he's got a ridiculous 35 strikeouts (only 3 walks) in 21 2/3 innings. Bieber has a 3.08 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 6 career starts against Chicago, while Giolito has a 2.56 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in 5 career starts against Cleveland. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL KNOCKOUT (Under 7.5)

Easy play on the UNDER at 7.5 for me. Two of the top NL starters take the mound in this one. The Reds will send out Sonny Gray, who has been outstanding. Gray is 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in 3 starts. Dating back to last season he's posted 13 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs (18 of his last 19 overall). 

Milwaukee will turn to Brandon Woodruff, who has a strong 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in 3 starts this season. He's only given up 4 runs in 17 1/3 innings with 21 strikeouts. He faced Cincinnati twice last year and allowed just 4 runs with 18 K's in 13 innings of work. Gray has a 2.29 ERA in 6 career starts against the Brewers. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* MLB NL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 7.5)

I absolutely love the value here with the UNDER 7.5 between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Neither offense could get much of anything going in the series opener last night, as San Diego pulled out a 3-0 win with the two teams combing for a mere 9 hits. It figures to be more of the same on Saturday with the two starters we got going. 

Diamondbacks will send out Merrill Kelly, who has a 2.63 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in his first 2 starts of 2020. Both of which were quality starts. Padres will counter with the highly underrated Chris Paddack, who is one of the best starters in the game right now. Paddack has a 2.65 ERA and 0.941 WHIP in his first 3 starts. Dating back to last year, Paddack has now gone 7 straight starts where he's allowed 3 or fewer runs. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Over 9.5) 

I look for the Twins/Royals to have no problem combining for at least 10 runs on Saturday. While this might look like a good pitching matchup with Kansas City sending out Danny Duffy and Minnesota giving the rock to Jake Odorizzi, conditions will not be in favor of the pitchers in this one. 

It's going to be incredibly humid for this game. While temps are expected to be in the high 80's, the humidity is going to be close to 80%, which is going to result in a heat index approaching 110 degrees at the start of this game. On top of that the wind will be blowing straight out to left field. Ball figures to be flying out of the park in this one. Give me the OVER 9.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8.5) 

I just feel like this price is too good to pass up given how bad these two teams have been offensively. I get that Detroit starter Matt Boyd hasn't been great in his first two starts and Chad Kuhl will be making his first start since 2018 for Pittsburgh. 

These two offenses are atrocious. Tigers have played 10 games now and are hitting a pathetic .205 with a team OBP of just .265. Pirates are even worse at .191 and .253. Detroit has scored 3 or fewer runs in 3 of their last 4. Pittsburgh has been held to 3 or less in 6 of their last 8. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

50* AL WEST TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 9) 

I absolutely love the value with the UNDER 9 in Thursday's AL West showdown between the Mariners and Angels. I really like both starters in this one. LA is sending out Dylan Bundy, who looks to be having a breakout season. Bundy has a 2.84 ERA and 0.710 WHIP in his first 2 starts. What really stands out to me is how he's getting guys to miss. He has 15 strikeouts in 12 2/3 innings of work. 

Mariners will give the rock to Taijuan Walker. He had a tough first start on the road against a loaded Astros lineup. As expected, he bounced back in a big way in his next start. He held the A's to just 1 hit with 8 K's in 7 shutout innings at home. Last time he faced the Angles (Sept. 2019), he pitched a 3 hit complete game shutout. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8)

I see some decent value with the UNDER 8 on the total for Wednesday's game between the Indians and Reds. Cleveland's offense is struggling to say the least. The fact that they have scored a mere 10 runs in their last 7 games says it all. 

I get we don't know just what the Reds have in today's starter Tejay Antone, but we can be pretty confident he pitches well against this Indians offense. As for Cincinnati's offense, they too figure to have a hard time scoring runs against Cleveland starter Mike Clevinger. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 8)

I really like the UNDER 8 between the White Sox and Brewers. It's all about the starting pitching matchup. White Sox will send out Lucas Giolito, who is coming off a breakout 2019 season. Giolito did struggle in his first start of 2020, but was outstanding in his last start against the Indians, giving up just 4 hits in 6 shutout innings. 

Brandon Woodruff will go for Milwaukee and he's quietly had a great start to this season. Woodruff gave up just 2 runs in 5 innings at Chicago in his first start and then allowed just 1 hits over 6 shutout innings at Pittsburgh. He's also got a strong 15 K's in 11 1/3 innings of work. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER VEGAS STEAMROLLER  (Under 8) 

There's no reason to overthink this one. The UNDER 8 is a no-brainer given the two guys that will be starting this game. Everyone knows how good the Mets Jacob deGrom is. For those that don't know, Atlanta's Mike Soroka is just as good. 

Soroka had a 2.68 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 29 starts last year, which was his first full season at the big league level. He's opened up 2020 by posting a 1.59 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in his first 2 starts. deGrom has a 1.64 ERA and 0.545 WHIP in his first 2 starts. Soroka has a 2.27 ERA in 6 starts vs the Mets and deGrom has a 1.90 ERA in 22 starts against the Braves. Give me the UNDER 8! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) 

I think we are getting some great value here with the UNDER 9 in Saturday's AL Central showdown between the Twins and Indians. Two really good starters take the mound in Minnesota's Kenta Maeda and Cleveland's Carlos Carrasco. Both guys pitched well in their first start of the season. Maeda gave up just 2 runs with 6 strikeouts in 5 innings, while Carrasco allowed 2 runs with 10 strikeouts in 6 innings. I look for both offenses to struggle to get going in this one. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB LATE NIGHT OVER/UNDER TOTAL ANNIHILATOR (Under 8) 

I like the value here with the UNDER 8 in Wednesday's late night action between the Giants and Padres. San Diego will have one of the best young starters in the game going in Chris Paddack. Last year Paddack posted a 3.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 26 big league starts (first year in the majors). He didn't miss a beat in his first start of 2020, throwing 6 shutout innings against a good Dbacks lineup. Johnny Cueto goes for the Giants and while he only made it 4 innings in his first start, he did hold a loaded Dodgers lineup to just 1 run on 5 hits. I think Cueto is a guy to watch out for going forward. Give me the UNDER 8! 

50* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the total. Washington will have ace Max Scherzer on the mound, who i'm confident is going to have a monster start after a less than stellar first outing. Scherzer did strikeout 11 of the 17 batters he retired. Toronto also doesn't have near the offensive fire-power as the Yankees. The value here stems from Blue Jays starter Nate Pearson, who is making his big league debut. Pearson is a legit top tier prospect. He can light up the radar (100 mph fastball) and more importantly is facing a Nationals lineup that has really struggled to get anything going in 2020. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO-BRAINER (Under 9) 

I will gladly take my chances here on the UNDER 9 with the total in Sunday's matchup between the A's and Angels. I really like the pitching matchup here with Ohtani going up against Fiers. Ohtani was impressive in the limited time we saw him as a starter back in 2018 and Fiers is one of the more underrated starters in the game. These two scored 10 runs in the opener, but that was only cause they went to extra innings (tied 3-3 after 9). They then combined for just 5 runs on Saturday, which is about what I expect here. Give me the UNDER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL NO BRAINER (Over 9) 

I'm not concerned with the lack of offense we saw in Friday's opener between these two teams. That had everything to do with the starting pitching matchup, as we had two of the games best starters on the mound in deGrom and Soroka. Most are aware of how strong this Atlanta offense can be, but I don't think the majority realize the potential this Mets offense has this year. Factor in the wind blowing out and the heat index in the low 90s and I think we are going to see a bit of an offensive explosion in this one. Give me the OVER 9! 

40* MLB OVER/UNDER TOTAL MASSACRE (Under 8.5)

I see a ton of value here with the total at 8.5 for tonight's NL West showdown between the Padres and Diamondbacks. Arizona will send out Madison Bumgarner, who I think is going to have a big year and get back to being one of the best pitchers in the game. On the flip side, San Diego gives the rock to Chris Paddack, who has had the Giants number in his brief career. Paddack has faced Arizona 3 times (all last year) and posted a 1.08 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in those 3 outings. All 3 of those starts saw a combined score of 5 or less. Give me the UNDER 8.5! 

40* NATIONALS/ASTROS WORLD SERIES GAME 1 (Under 6.5) 

I'll take my chances with the UNDER 6.5 in Game 1 of the World Series. You got Max Scherzer going for Washington and Gerrit Cole on the mound for Houston. Both of these guys are capable of going 7 scoreless and I just don't see more than a couple runs on the board in this one. BET THE UNDER 6.5! 

50* RAYS/A'S AL WILD CARD TOTAL OF THE YEAR (Under 7.5) 

I love the UNDER 7.5 in Wednesday's AL Wild Card matchup. You got two really good starters going in a pitchers park (Coliseum). Tampa will send out Charlie Morton, who went 16-6 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 33 starts this season. Morton had a strong 8-3 record with a 3.59 ERA in 16 road starts and owns a 3.20 ERA in 7 career outings against the A's. Oakland will turn to Sean Manaea, which is pretty amazing. Manaea only made 5 starts after missing close to a year because of injury. He looked as good as ever in those 5 outings, posting a 1.21 ERA and 0.775 WHIP. He recorded 17 or more outs in each of his last 4 starts and after walking 5 in his first two outings, hel only walked 2 over his last 3. We also know that we will see the best of the best relievers in this winner take all matchup. Give me the UNDER 7.5! 

50* NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH (Under 8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the UNDER 8.5 in this one. I know the Nationals have score 16 runs in the first two games of the series, but Chicago will have Cole Hamels on the mound and he's posted a 2.56 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 10 home starts. He'll be 100% locked in with the team desperately needing a win here. Cubs offense has been real quiet of late and figures to stay that way against Stephen Strasburg. In 9 career starts against Chicago, Strasburg has posted a 1.59 ERA and 0.898 WHIP. Both of these starters also love pitching in day games. Hamels has a 2.48 ERA in 9 day starts, while Strasburg owns a 2.87 ERA in 11 day starts. Take the UNDER 8.5! 

50* MLB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Brewers/Cardinals OVER 9.5) 

I'll take my chances with the OVER 9.5. Yesterday we played the OVER 11 in Milwaukee's game with Washington and the two combined for 24. That's now 30 runs in the last 2 games that the Brewers pitching has allowed. The bullpen is taxed and that's a problem, as it will be tough for the starters to go deep in this one. The heat index at game time is expected to be around 105 degrees with almost no wind. It's going to be miserable conditions to pitch. Look for some big innings by both teams that have this thing easily reaching double-digits. Give me the OVER 9.5!