15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/White Sox OVER 7

The Rangers and White Sox combined for 13 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  This total for Game 2 has been set way too short at 7 runs.  Both starters are getting too much respect, and both lineups should have their way again.

Jacob DeGrom has been atrocious on the road this season, going 3-6 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 12 road starts while allowing 33 earned runs and 11 homers in 59 1/3 innings.  DeGrom allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 10-3 loss to the White Sox in his lone start against them on July 20th earlier this season.

Anthony Kay is 9-6 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 24 starts and two relief appearances for the White Sox this season.  Kay allowed 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 5 innings against the Rangers on July 22nd.  

The OVER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings between the White Sox and Rangers with 9 or more combined runs in six of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs are 10-4-1 OVER in their last 15 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 15 games, including 10 or more combined runs nine times.  They have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in five of those six, and 12 or more four times.

Kevin Gausman is having one of the worst seasons of his career.  He is 6-11 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 26 starts, including 3-6 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Gausman has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts for a 9.00 ERA.  Gausman has allowed 9 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Diamondbacks for a 7.84 ERA.

Merrill Kelly is 8-11 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 23 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 4-4 with a 6.24 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 10 home starts while allowing 37 earned runs and 14 homers in 53 1/3 innings.  Kelly allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 8-4 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them in 2026.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego Padres -108

The San Diego Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball going 21-7 in their last 28 games overall.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 15 of their last 18 games and are scoring 5.2 runs per game since the All-Star Break.  They take on a struggling Pittsburgh Pirates team that has gone 8-17 in their last 25 games overall to play their way out of playoff contention.  They have scored 4 runs or fewer in 16 of their last 21 games overall.

Robbie Ray is 11-7 with a 3.20 ERA in 24 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 13 home starts.  Ray has a sub-2.00 ERA in his last 11 starts overall and has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is backed by arguably the best bullpen in baseball in the Padres, who should have all of their top arms available tonight.

Braxton Ashcraft is 13-5 with a 3.74 ERA in 25 starts for the Pirates this season. Ashcraft is 7-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 road starts where he has allowed 14 homers.  He is backed by a poor Pittsburgh bullpen with a 4.17 ERA this season.  

The Padres have the advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight and should be bigger home favorites as a result.  San Diego is also 13-2 in its last 15 meetings with Pittsburgh.  Bet the Padres Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Mariners OVER 6.5

The Phillies have been an offensive juggernaut since trading for Luis Arraez.  The Phillies have scored 4 runs or more in 21 of their last 23 games overall, including 6 runs or more in eight of their last nine.  The OVER is 7-1 in their last eight games overall with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those eight.  The Phillies and their opponents have gone for 8 or more combined runs in 15 of their last 17 games overall, so this total of 6.5 is too short for a game involving Philadelphia right now.

The Seattle Mariners are a perfect 6-0 OVER in their last six games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  They have gone for 11 or more combined runs in eight of their last 11 games overall, so this total of 6.5 is too short for a game involving the Mariners right now as well.

Zack Wheeler has allowed 10 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 5.87 ERA during this stretch.  Logan Gilbert has been at his worst at home this season with a 4.01 ERA in 14 home starts where he has allowed 18 homers.  Gilbert is 0-3 with a 7.50 ERA in four career starts against the Phillies, allowing 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the Phillies and Mariners with 10 or more combined runs in five of those six.  They have gone for at least 8 combined runs in seven of their last nine meetings overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Seahawks/Titans FOX ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 38

No analysis for preseason.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -113

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Seattle Mariners by a single run each in walkoff fashion.  With big advantages on the mound and at the plate today, I like the Cubs to take Game 3 and avoid the sweep.

Shota Imanaga is going through his best stretch of the season allowing 2 earned runs or more in seven of his last nine starts.  He has posted a 2.45 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing just 11 earned runs in 40 1/3 innings.  He pitched 5 1/3 innings without allowing an earned run in a 4-1 win over the Mariners in his lone career start against them.

Bryce Miller is going through his worst stretch of the season for the Mariners.  He has posted a 7.18 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 1/3 innings.  He has allowed at least 4 earned runs in five of his last seven starts.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Phillies OVER 8

The Phillies have been an offensive juggernaut since trading for Luis Arraez.  The Phillies have scored 4 runs or more in 20 of their last 22 games overall, including 6 runs or more in seven of their last eight.  The Cardinals have been much more potent offensively since calling up Joshau Baez.  They have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 15 games.

The Phillies should stay hot against Kyle Leahy, who just faced the Phillies on August 12th less than two weeks ago.  Getting to see him for the 2nd time this month is a big advantage to these Philadelphia hitters.  The Cardinals also just faced Cristopher Sanchez on August 11th less than two weeks ago, so getting to see him for a 2nd time this month will be an advantage for them, too.

Both bullpens leave a lot to be desired with Philadelphia having a 4.29 ERA and St. Louis a 4.34 ERA this season.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Mets and White Sox tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  The White Sox have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.  The Mets are going through their best offensive stretch of the season, scoring 4 runs or more in 11 of their last 16 games overall.

Christian Scott is 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 18 starts for the Mets this season.  But he is starting to wear down in his first full season as a starter.  Scott has allowed 3 earned runs or more in four of his last five starts with a 5.04 ERA during this stretch.

It's surprising the White Sox traded for a washed up Luis Castillo and added him to their rotation.  Castillo is 4-9 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.36 WHIP In 20 starts and three relief appearances this season.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in five of his last six starts.  Castillo allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of an 11-9 loss to the Mets in his last start against them.  He has a 4.98 ERA in six career starts against New York.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 8

This total of 8 is too short between the Rays and Orioles tonight.  The Rays and Orioles have combined for at least 7 runs in nine consecutive meetings, and 8 or more runs in seven of them.

Shane McLanahan managed to go just 3 1/3 innings allowing 3 earned runs in a 7-6 win over the Orioles on August 17th in his return from injury.  He only threw 57 pitches and will be on a pitch count again.  Getting to see McLanahan for the 2nd time in less than a week will be a big advantage to Baltimore hitters.  The OVER is 8-3-1 in McLanahan's 12 career starts against the Orioles.

Brandon Young was opposite McLanahan in that 7-6 win by the Rays on August 17th less than a week ago.  He was worse, allowing 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 9 base runners in 4 innings of that 7-6 defeat.  Getting to see Young for the 2nd time in less than a week is also a big advantage to Tampa Bay hitters.  

The Rays are 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall finishing with 8 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games, and 11 or more in eight of them.  The Orioles are 6-5-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall finishing with 8 or more combined runs in eight of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NFLX TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bears/Bengals OVER 36.5

No Analysis for preseason.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Phillies OVER 9

The Phillies have been an offensive juggernaut since trading for Luis Arraez.  The Phillies have scored 4 runs or more in 19 of their last 21 games overall, including 6 runs or more in six of their last seven.  The Cardinals have been much more potent offensively since calling up Joshau Baez.  They have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 14 games.

The Phillies should stay hot against rookie Quinn Matthews, who will be making just his 3rd career start tonight.  He is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP while allowing 3 earned runs and 14 base runners in 9 innings.

Andrew Painter is the weakest link in Philadelphia's rotation.  He is 2-8 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 16 starts and two relief appearances this season, allowing 61 earned runs and 17 homers in 85 1/3 innings.  He just faced the Cardinals on August 10th allowing 2 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win.  Getting to see him for the 2nd time in less than two weeks is an advantage for St. Louis hitters.

Both bullpens leave a lot to be desired with Philadelphia having a 4.27 ERA and St. Louis a 4.28 ERA this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on New Orleans Saints -1

No Analysis for preseason.

15* NFLX Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Indianapolis Colts -3.5

No Analysis for preseason.

15* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Baltimore Ravens +3.5

No Analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/Padres OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are a dead nuts OVER team going 71-55-2 OVER in all games.  They are scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game.  They are as healthy as they've been all season offensively and it is showing.  They have scored at least 4 runs in four straight coming in.

The Padres are also going through their best offensive stretch of the season to help get them back in playoff contention.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 12 of their last 15 games.  Look for both offenses to have their way with these two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

The Padres have been crushing left-handed pitching all season.  They should light up lefty Connor Prielipp, who is 3-6 with a 5.34 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.15 ERA in seven road starts.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He is backed by a terrible Minnesota bullpen with a 4.71 ERA this season.

Randy Vasquez is a weak link in this San Diego rotation.  He is 8-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 19 starts and five relief appearances with just 71 K's in 111 innings.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings in his last four starts.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven straight meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in five straight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NFLX PLAY OF THE DAY on Denver Broncos -6

No analysis for preseason.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Orioles OVER 7.5

This total of 7.5 is too short between the Rays and Orioles tonight.  The Rays and Orioles have combined for at least 7 runs in eight consecutive meetings, and 8 or more runs in six of them.

Freddy Peralta has been a dumpster fire this season.  He is 5-10 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-5 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Peralta just faced the Rays in his last start allowing 2 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 10-2 victory.  Getting to see him again just five days later is a huge advantage for Baltimore hitters.

Trevor Rogers is 8-8 with a 4.15 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 4.31 ERA in 13 home starts.  Rogers also faced the Rays on August 16th opposite Peralta.  Getting to see him again in 5 days in advantage for Tampa Bay hitters, too.  Rogers has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Phillies OVER 8

The Phillies have been an offensive juggernaut since trading for Luis Arraez.  The Phillies have scored 4 runs or more in 18 of their last 20 games overall, including 6 runs or more in five of their last six.  The Cardinals have been much more potent offensively since calling up Joshau Baez.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 13 games.

The Phillies should stay hot against Hunter Dobbins and this taxed St. Louis bullpen.  Dobbins is 3-3 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in seven starts and three relief appearances this season.  He just faced the Phillies on August 10th, allowing 3 runs and 7 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-5 loss.  Getting to see him so quickly again is an advantage to these Philadelphia hitters.

Jesus Luzardo has big home/road splits this season and has been much worse in Philadelphia.  He is 4-5 with a 4.75 ERA in 12 home starts this season.  Both bullpens leave a lot to be desired with Philadelphia having a 4.31 ERA and St. Louis a 4.27 ERA this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* 49ers/Chargers NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +1.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* Raiders/Texans ESPN No-Brainer on Las Vegas +1

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Blue Jays/Rays OVER 7

The Rays and Blue Jays combined for 15 runs and 30 hits in Game 1 and 13 runs in Game 2.  The total was 7.5 for Game 1 and 7 for Game 2.  And now the books have set the total at 7 for Game 3, and I'd argue this is the worst starting pitching matchup of the three games yet.  This total of 7 is too short.

Shane Bieber is washed, going 4-2 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Bieber has been atrocious away from home, going 1-2 with an 8.27 ERA and 2.18 WHIP in five road starts while allowing 19 earned runs, 5 homers and 45 base runners in 20 2/3 innings.

Ian Seymour is 9-3 with a 4.11 ERA in 10 starts and 29 relief appearances for the Rays this season.  Seymour allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 13-4 loss to the Blue Jays in his last start against them.  

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Rockies OVER 11.5

The Dodgers and Rockies have combined for 16 runs in Game 1 and 13 runs in Game 2 to start this series.  It should be another slug fest tonight with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  These are two vulnerable, suspect starting pitchers tonight.

The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Kyle Freeland, who is 4-10 with a 6.27 ERA in 22 starts this season.  Freeland has been crushed in two starts against the Dodgers this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings.

Roki Sasaki is 5-5 with a 4.46 ERA in 21 starts this season while allowing 21 homers.  He is 0-0 with a 5.06 ERA in two career starts against them, allowing 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Chicago Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Chicago White Sox have had one of the best offenses in the American League when healthy, which they are right now.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game.  

The White Sox have scored 4 runs or more in eight of their last nine games while going 8-4 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 12 games.  The Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 15 games overall, finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 15 games.  This total of 7.5 is too short today.

The White Sox will go with an opener for a second consecutive day so their bullpen is absolutely taxed.  Sean Newcomb will make just his 3rd start of the season for them before giving way to Jose Urquidy.  He is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA this season and just allowed 3 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings in his debut with the White Sox after getting acquired from the Pirates in a July 26 trade.

Clay Holmes is 5-5 with a 2.56 ERA in 11 starts this season.  But Holmes is working his way back from injury right now making just his 3rd start since May 15th.  He has allowed 4 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his two starts since returning and will remain on a pitch count tonight.

The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between the White Sox and Cubs with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Braves/Twins OVER 8.5

The Twins have really profiled as an OVER team all season going 70-55-2 OVER in all games.  They are scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game.  Their lineup is as healthy as it has been all season, and the same can be said for the Braves, who are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season.

The Twins should crush AJ Smith-Shawver, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Braves and will be on a pitch count.  He allowed 2 earned runs and 6 base runners in 4 1/3 innings to the Mets on just 69 pitches in his first start.

The Braves should get their bats going against Taj Bradley, who is 9-5 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 29 starts this season.  Bradley has really struggled of late, allowing 11 earned runs and 27 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts for a 6.60 ERA.  Bradley is 1-1 with a 4.09 ERA in two career starts against the Braves, allowing 5 earned runs in 11 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on White Sox/Cubs OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Chicago White Sox have had one of the best offenses in the American League when healthy, which they are right now.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game.  

The White Sox have scored 4 runs or more in eight consecutive games while going 8-3 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  The Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 13 of their last 14 games overall, finishing with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 14 games.  This total of 9 is too short tonight, especially with 10 MPH winds blowing out at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

The White Sox will go with opener Bryan Hudson before giving Erick Fedde the bulk of the innings.  Fedde (6-8, 4.51 ERA) allowed 4 earned runs in 3 innings in his last start against the Cubs on May 17th, falling to 0-3 with a 8.90 ERA in seven career starts against them.  He has a 9.82 ERA in 7 1/3 innings in the month of August thus far.

Kevin Gausman is having one of the worst seasons of his career.  He is 6-11 with a 4.60 ERA in 25 starts this season.  The Cubs bought low on him at the trade deadline, but I don't expect him to be much better in Chicago.

The OVER is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings between the White Sox and Cubs with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Nationals/Rangers OVER 8

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 66-55-5 OVER in all games this season scoring 5.3 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  This total of 8 is very short for a game involving the Nationals.  The Rangers are 36-20-1 OVER in their lat 57 games overall.

Rookie Jackson Kent will be making his 2nd career starts for the Nationals tonight.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings of a 12-6 loss to the Cubs in his first start.  Kent is backed by a terrible Washington bullpen with a 4.86 ERA this season.

Cal Quantrill is 4-4 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in eight starts and 17 relief appearances for the Rangers this season.  Quantrill is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in four career starts against the Nationals, allowing 11 earned runs and 32 base runners in 22 innings with just 14 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Tigers/Pirates OVER 8

Two of the most improved offenses in baseball square off tonight when the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Detroit Tigers for Game 2 of this Interleague series.  The Pirates are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Tigers are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season.  Both teams have underwhelming pitching, and that's the case again tonight.

Keider Montero is due some regression at 9-7 with a 3.22 ERA this season.  Montero allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-2 loss to the Pirates in his last start against them.

Braxton Ashcraft is 12-5 with a 3.88 ERA in 24 starts for the Pirates this season.  But he hasn't been able to sustain it in his first full season as a starter.  Ashcraft has allowed 27 earned runs and 11 homers in 50 2/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 4.80 ERA during this stretch.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 8 or more combined runs in nine of the last 11 meetings between the Tigers and Pirates.  This total of 8 is too short tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

25* Interleague TOTAL OF THE YEAR on White Sox/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.  The Chicago White Sox have had one of the best offenses in the American League when healthy, which they are right now.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game.  

The White Sox have scored 4 runs or more in seven consecutive games while going 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games, and 9 or more in seven of them.  The Cubs have scored at least 3 runs in 12 of their last 13 games overall, finishing with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 13 games.  This total of 8 is too short tonight, especially with light winds blowing out at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

Luis Castillo is on his last leg and it's surprising the White Sox traded for him.  He is 4-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 19 starts and three relief appearances this season.  Castillo has been really poor away from pitcher-friendly Seattle.  He is 2-5 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 12 road starts, allowing 36 earned runs and 13 homers in 59 innings.

Shota Imanaga is 8-9 with a 3.80 ERA in 24 starts this season.  His biggest issue is giving up the long ball allowing 29 homers in his 24 starts.  Imanaga has allowed 12 runs, 8 earned, and 4 homers in 7 1/3 innings in two career starts against the White Sox, who have the power to take advantage of his weakness.  

The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings between the White Sox and Cubs with 8 or more combined runs in eight of those nine meetings, and 9 or more in seven of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Tigers/Pirates OVER 8

Two of the most improved offenses in baseball square off tonight when the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Detroit Tigers for Game 1 of this Interleague series.  The Pirates are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Tigers are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season.  Both teams have underwhelming starting pitching, and that's especially the case for Game 1 tonight.

No question Detroit regrets giving Framber Valdez all that money in the offseason.  He has looked washed this season, going 7-8 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 24 starts.  Valdez allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 2/3 innings to the Guardians in his last start.  He is 3-1 with a 5.48 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates, and the OVER is 4-0 with 9 or more combined runs in all four.

Carmen Mlodzinski has been moved into the rotation out of necessity with 11 starts and 16 relief appearances this season.  He has a 3.79 ERA and 1.41 WHIP on the season, including a 3.94 ERA and 1.40 WHIP at home.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins and Mets, two of the weakest lineups in the National League.  

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in eight of the last 10 meetings between the Tigers and Pirates.  This total of 8 is too short tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/A's OVER 9.5

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  And conditions will be favorable for runs today with temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out.  This has the makings of a slug fest between the Rangers and A's.

Cody Bradford is working his way back from injury making just his 3rd start of the season for the Rangers today.  Bradford threw 70 pitches in his first start and 75 in his 2nd start, and he'll be on a pitch count today, putting a ton of pressure on an already taxed Texas bullpen.

Jacob Lopez is 5-4 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 16 starts and three relief appearances for the A's this season.  He is 0-3 with a 5.87 ERA in eight home starts, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 38 1/3 innings.  Lopez is 0-2 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in three career starts against the Rangers, allowing 10 earned runs and 24 base runners in 12 2/3 innings.

The A's have a 7.17 ERA as a bullpen at home while the Rangers have a 4.71 ERA as a bullpen on the road.  The A's and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last eight meetings in Sacramento, including 11 runs or more five times.  The OVER is 37-22-3 in all A's home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cardinals/Cubs OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right.  The Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.

The Cardinals are going through one of their best offensive stretches of the season.  They have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  They just called up Joshua Baez on Saturday to make his MLB debut, and boy was it a memorable one.  He became the first player in MLB history to hit 3 HR's in his debut.  He hit 34 HR in the minors this season and is one of the top prospects in baseball.

Hunter Dobbins is 2-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in six starts and three relief appearances for the Cardinals this season.  He is likely to get rocked by the Cubs today.

Edward Cabrera is 5-4 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cubs this season.  He is 2-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in eight home starts, allowing 26 earned runs and 8 homers in 41 innings.  Cabrera allowed 6 runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Mets OVER 8.5

The Nationals are 66-54-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Mets are 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in eight of their last 10 games.  They are going through their best offensive stretch of the season scoring 5 runs or more in seven of their last 11 games.

Jake Irvin is 2-6 with a 5.65 ERA in 14 starts for the Nationals this season, allowing 41 earned runs in 65 1/3 innings.  Irvin has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.  The Nationals have a poor bullpen with a 4.88 ERA this season.

Christian Scott is 3-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 17 starts this season for the Mets.  But Scott has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in two career starts against the Nationals.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those eight, including 12 runs or more in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* AL West TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rangers/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's rare we get the opportunity to bet a total as low as 9 runs like we have tonight, and we'll take advantage.  It will still be favorable conditions for hitters with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out.

MacKenzie Gore has big home/road splits for the Rangers this season.  He is 3-7 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 14 road starts this season, allowing 43 earned runs in 70 2/3 innings.  Gore is 1-2 with a 6.62 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in four career starts against the A's, allowing 13 earned runs and 36 base runners in 17 2/3 innings.

J.T. Ginn is 6-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 11 home games this season, very fortunate to have that low of an ERA while allowing 80 base runners in 54 1/3 innings.  He is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA in four career home starts against the Rangers, allowing 12 earned runs, 6 homers and 28 base runners in 20 1/3 innings.

The A's have a 7.22 ERA as a bullpen at home while the Rangers have a 4.77 ERA as a bullpen on the road.  The A's and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last seven meetings in Sacramento, including 11 runs or more five times.  The OVER is 37-21-3 in all A's home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Cowboys/Seahawks NFLX No-Brainer on Seattle -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Mets OVER 8

The Nationals are 65-54-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Mets are 7-2-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in seven of their last nine games.  They are going through their best offensive stretch of the season scoring 6 runs or more in six of their last 10 games.

Brad Lord will be making just his 3rd start of the season.  He went 2 2/3 innings and 2 1/3 innings in his first two starts.  That means the Nationals will rely heavily on their bullpen, which is one of the worst units in baseball.  Washington has a 4.90 ERA as a bullpen this season.  Lord has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 1/3 innings in two career starts against the Mets.

Sean Manaea is 4-5 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 11 starts and 14 relief appearances for the Mets this season.  Manaea has allowed 7 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.

The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of those seven, including 12 runs or more in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NFLX Saturday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Saints -1

No analysis for preseason.

20* NFLX TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Browns/Bears OVER 40

No analysis for preseason.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's rare we get the opportunity to bet a total as low as 9 runs like we have tonight, and we'll take advantage.  It will still be favorable conditions for hitters with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out.

Kumar Rocker is 4-9 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 20 starts and two relief appearances for the Rangers this season.  Rocker is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in four career starts against the A's.  He is 0-2 with a 8.17 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in three career starts in Sacramento, allowing 10 earned runs and 23 base runners in 11 innings.

Gage Jump is 2-5 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in eight home starts for the A's this season.  He has allowed 26 earned runs and 65 base runners in 38 innings at home.  The A's have a 7.32 ERA as a bullpen at home while the Rangers have a 4.68 ERA as a bullpen on the road.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Mets OVER 8.5

The Nationals are 65-53-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Mets are 7-1-1 OVER in their last nine games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in seven of their last eight games.  They are going through their best offensive stretch of the season scoring 6 runs or more in six of their last nine games.

Reliever turned starter Andrew Alvarez is 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 69 1/3 innings this season.  He is backed by a poor Washington bullpen with a 4.88 ERA this season.

Robert Stock is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in two starts for the Mets this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 17 base runners in 8 innings.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent Washington lineup.  

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of those six, including 12 runs or more in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.  

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Denver Broncos -3.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -129

This is a huge series for the Detroit Tigers.  They trail the White Sox by just 2.5 games for 1st place in the AL Central and get to host them over the weekend.  They have put themselves in this position with a lot of hard work going 25-12 in their last 37 games overall.  They are the single most underrated team in baseball with a +90 run differential despite having a losing record.

The Tigers had faith in Jackson Jobe which is why they were able to trade Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize.  Jobe tossed 5 shutout innings while allowing just 2 base runners in a 8-0 win over the Giants in his first start this season.  He should be sharp tonight as well.

The White Sox are going with basically an opener in Sean Newcomb today.  He is 0-2 with a 4.03 ERA on the road this season in one start and 17 relief appearances.  This taxed Chicago bullpen will be tested today, especially after a 9-8 loss to the Reds yesterday in which they used four relievers.  Bet the Tigers Friday.

15* Cardinals/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Cubs are scoring 5.2 runs per game and have been red hot at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own against the St. Louis Cardinals today.

The Cubs should crush Matthew Liberatore, who is 5-9 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 23 starts this season while allowing 65 earned runs and 20 homers in 113 2/3 innings.  Liberatore has allowed 6 earned runs and 16 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two starts against the Cubs this season, both of which went OVER the total.

The Cardinals are heating up at the plate scoring 5 runs or more in four of their last five games overall.  They should also have some success against Clay Holmes, who will be making his 2nd start back from injury after being shut down May 15th.  Holmes allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Royals in his first start back on August 8th.  He threw just 70 pitches and will be on a pitch count again.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NFLX PLAY OF THE DAY on Indianapolis Colts -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* Phillies/Twins Field of Dreams No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Minnesota Twins are a dead nuts OVER team going 68-52-2 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing 4.9 runs per game, and there's a good chance they get Byron Buxton back for this game.  They have stayed hot without him scoring 18 runs on 35 hits in their 3-game series with the Orioles coming in.

The Phillies upgraded their offense at the deadline and it has paid major dividends as they have scored 4 runs or more in 12 of their last 14 games overall.  They have gone 6-1-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in six of those eight games.  This total of 8.5 is too short tonight.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 3-9 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts, allowing 76 earned runs and 29 homers in 125 innings.  He is backed by a poor Philadelphia bullpen with a 4.42 ERA this season and a 4.75 ERA on the road.

Taj Bradley is 9-4 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 23 starts for the Twins this season.  Bradley allowed 4 runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them.  He is backed by an even worse Minnesota bullpen with a 4.79 ERA this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Nationals OVER 8.5

The Nationals are 65-52-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Cubs are scoring 5.2 runs per game and have been red hot at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.

The Cubs will stay hot at the plate against Cade Cavalli, who is 4-2 with a 3.88 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 13 home starts for the Nationals this season.  He allowed 3 earned and 6 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-4 win over the Cubs in his lone career start against them earlier this season.  Cavalli is backed by a poor Washington bullpen with a 4.89 ERA this season and a 5.44 ERA at home.

But the Nationals should hang a big number on the Cubs, too.  Kevin Gausman is in the midst of one of the worst seasons of his career.  He is 6-10 with a 4.35 ERA in 24 starts, but he has been very poor on the road going 3-5 with a 5.02 ERA in 11 road starts.

The Cubs and Nationals have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last six meetings.  They combined for 14 runs in Game 1 Tuesday and 18 runs in Game 2 Wednesday.  It should be more of the same today in Game 3.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Guardians/Tigers UNDER 8.5

The UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings between the Guardians and Tigers with 7 or fewer combined runs in five of those seven games, and 5 runs or fewer in four of them.  This total of 8.5 is too high today given the quality of both starting pitchers, plus this early 1:10 EST start time.

Parker Messick has been the clear ace of this Cleveland staff.  He is 9-6 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 6-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 11 road starts.  He is backed by one of the best bullpens in baseball.

Keider Montero is having a fine season in Detroit going 8-7 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 19 starts and six relief appearances.  He is 0-0 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in three career starts against the Guardians, allowing just 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 12 1/3 innings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Royals/Dodgers OVER 9

Both the Royals and Dodgers have ran through their bullpens in high-leverage situations in the first two games of this series.  The Dodgers won 6-5 in Game 1 in walk off fashion, and 5-4 in Game 2 in walk off fashion in extra.  A lot of the top bullpen arms on both teams won't be available tonight in Game 3 as a result.

That's bad news for both teams who are throwing starters who won't go deep in this game.  Daniel Lynch will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Royals.  He allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, in 1 2/3 innings of a 6-4 loss to the Cubs in his first start this season on August 7th just five days ago.  He is backed by an awful Kansas City bullpen with a 5.34 ERA this season and a 6.02 ERA on the road.

Eric Lauer is 6-6 with a 4.89 ERA in 15 starts and three relief appearances for the Dodgers this season.  He has allowed 50 earned runs and a whopping 22 homers in 92 innings.  Lauer hasn't pitched more than 6 innings in any start this season, and he has been pulled before completing the 6th inning in 11 of his 15 starts.  

The Royals are 4-0-1 OVER in their last five games overall finishing with 9 or more combined runs in all five games.  The Dodgers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/White Sox OVER 8.5

The Reds and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last 10 games.  The White Sox are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games, and 9 or more six times.  This total of 8.5 is too short tonight given the poor quality of both starting pitchers.

Rhett Lowder is 4-7 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 17 starts and three relief appearances for the Reds this season.  He has been atrocious on the road, going 2-6 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 10 road starts while allowing 36 earned runs and 77 base runners in 42 innings.

It's hard to believe the White Sox thought Luis Castillo would be an upgrade when they traded for him.  Castillo is washed, going 3-9 with a 5.30 ERA and 4.0 WHIP in 18 starts and three relief appearances this season, allowing 61 earned runs and 17 homers in 103 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts.  Castillo has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Reds as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Nationals OVER 9.5

The Nationals are 64-52-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Cubs are scoring 5.2 runs per game and have been red hot at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight games overall.

The Cubs will stay hot at the plate against rookie Zak Kent, who will be making his MLB debut for the Nationals.  Kent is backed by a poor Washington bullpen with a 4.82 ERA this season and a 5.32 ERA at home.

But the Nationals should hang a big number on the Cubs, too.  David Peterson is the weakest link in this Chicago rotation.  He is 6-7 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 15 starts and eight relief appearances this season.  He has allowed 63 earned runs and 159 base runners in 106 innings.  Peterson has allowed 8 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two starts against the Nationals in 2026 alone.

The Cubs and Nationals have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last five meetings.  They combined for 14 runs in Game 1 Tuesday, and it should be more of the same in Game 2 today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +152

The Chicago Cubs have no business being this big of a road favorite over the Washington Nationals with David Peterson on the mound.  I actually give the pitching advantage to the Nationals despite rookie Jackson Kent making his MLB debut tonight.

Peterson is the weakest link in this Chicago rotation.  He is 6-7 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 15 starts and eight relief appearances this season.  He has allowed 63 earned runs and 159 base runners in 106 innings.  Peterson has allowed 8 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two starts against the Nationals in 2026 alone.

Kent has gone 9-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 20 starts in the minors this season with 105 K's in 94 1/3 innings.  He is one of Washington's top prospects, and he will have the element of surprise with the Cubs not knowing what to expect tonight.  Bet the Nationals Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-130)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-0 in their last eight games overall to improve to 73-46 on the season with the best record in the American League.  They have six wins by multiple runs during this 8-game winning streak, including a 10-6 win over the A's in Game 1 and a 12-4 win over the A's in Game 2 of this series.  It should be another blowout victory in their favor tonight.

The A's are extremely banged up offensively and have the worst staff in baseball.  The A's are 7-31 in their last 38 games overall with 23 losses by multiple runs during this stretch.  They are allowing 5.8 runs per game this season.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound today with ace Drew Rasmussen, who is 11-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 4-2 with a 2.73 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Rasmussen is 3-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 0.57 WHIP in four career starts against the A's, allowing just 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 21 innings.

Jack Perkins has been a dumpster fire for the A's this season.  He is 2-8 with a 7.04 ERA in 10 starts and 18 relief appearances, allowing 60 earned runs and 15 homers in 76 2/3 innings.  Perkins is 1-4 with a 7.20 ERA at home this season, allowing 36 earned runs and 10 homers in 45 innings.  The A's have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.85 ERA on the season and a 7.40 ERA at home.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Royals/Dodgers OVER 8

The Royals and Dodgers both blew through their bullpens last night in a 6-5 win by the Dodgers that saw 11 combined runs.  The Royals and Dodgers have now combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last 10 meetings.

Michael Wacha is 2-5 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 road starts for the Royals this season.  Wacha does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 1-4 with a 8.73 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in five career road starts against them while allowing 22 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings.  He has allowed a whopping 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 11 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers for a 15.89 ERA.

Blake Snell will be on a pitch count as he makes just his 2nd start of the season and his 1st since May 9th.  Snell is a notorious slow starter and gets stronger the more reps he gets.  I expect Snell to get shelled tonight, and for this depleted Dodgers bullpen to be in a world of hurt after using all of their top arms last night.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -137

The Texas Rangers have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall while scoring at least 4 runs in five of those six games.  They have pulled within 0.5 games of the Astros for 1st place in the AL West.  They have a lot to play for unlike the Los Angeles Angels, who are 3-10 in their last 13 games overall and have the worst record in all of baseball at 45-74 on the season.  They were big sellers at the deadline to boot.

The Rangers should stay hot at the plate against Ryan Johnson, who has been an absolute gas can for the Angels this season.  Johnson is 2-6 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 10 starts and three relief appearances this season, allowing 40 earned runs and 13 homers in 50 2/3 innings.

Cody Bradford will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Rangers.  He fired 4 1/3 shutout innings with 5 K's in a 6-0 win over the Giants in his first start on August 5th.  Texas should be able to stretch him out even further today.  Bet the Rangers Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Nationals OVER 9

The Nationals are 63-52-5 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Cubs are scoring 5.2 runs per game and have been red hot at the plate of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.

The Cubs will stay hot at the plate against Jake Irvin, who is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA in 13 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in five home starts.  Irvin does not enjoy facing the Cubs, going 1-4 with a 9.82 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in his last five starts against them while allowing 24 earned runs and 9 homers in 22 innings.

Shota Imanaga is 8-9 with a 3.66 ERA in 23 starts for the Cubs this season while allowing 25 homers.  Imanaga allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Nationals in his lone start against them this season.  

The Cubs and Nationals have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Rockies and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last nine meetings, and 10 runs or more five times.  This total of 8.5 is too short tonight.  The Rockies have scored at least 8 runs in four of their last eight games overall.  The Diamondbacks have scored at last 4 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.

Rookie Gabriel Hughes is 0-3 with a 4.25 ERA this season for the Rockies.  He is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two road starts.  Hughes has allowed 8 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  The Rockies have a 4.96 ERA as a bullpen this season.

Mike Soroka returns from the IL tonight making his first start since June 19th.  It's safe to say he will be on a pitch count, which will expose this taxed Arizona bullpen that just played three straight games with the Dodgers over the weekend decided by 1, 1 and 2 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Texas Rangers -109

The Texas Rangers have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in four of those five games.  They have pulled within 0.5 games of the Astros for 1st place in the AL West.  They have a lot to play for unlike the Los Angeles Angels, who are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall and have the worst record in all of baseball at 45-73 on the season.  They were big sellers at the deadline to boot.

MacKenzie Gore is due some positive regression for the Rangers.  He is 6-9 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 24 starts this season with 140 K's in 128 2/3 innings.  Gore allowed one earned run in 6 innings in his last start in Los Angeles on May 24th earlier this season.

Reid Detmers is 3-8 with a 4.19 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 0-5 with a 4.06 ERA in 12 home starts.  Detmers allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of a 7-6 loss in his last start against them on July 9th about exactly a month ago.  Bet the Rangers Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Cardinals OVER 9

The Phillies upgraded their offense at the deadline by adding Luis Arraez who is hitting .320 this season.  The Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in 11 consecutive games.  They have gone 9-3-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 14 games.

The Cardinals have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last seven games.  With temps in the 90's and light winds blowing out runs should be plentiful tonight.  That's especially the case with these two gas can starting pitchers going for their respective teams.

Andrew Painter is the weakest link in this Philadelphia rotation.  He is 1-8 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 14 starts and two relief appearances this season while allowing 54 earned runs and 15 homers in 75 innings.  Painter is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in six starts and one relief appearance on the road.

Hunter Dobbins is no more than a fill in starter for the Cardinals.  He is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in five starts and three relief appearances this season.  With five straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer the Cardinals have a taxed bullpen as well.  The Phillies have an even more taxed bullpen off two straight extra innings games against Toronto over the weekend.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers -117

The Detroit Tigers have gone 22-11 in their last 33 games overall to get back into contention for a playoff spot.  They are just 3.5 games back of 1st place in the AL Central and 2 games back in the wild card.  They face a San Francisco Giants team that were sellers at the deadline and have the 2nd-worst record in the National League at 49-68.

Troy Melton has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season and is a big reason the Tigers felt like they needed to trade Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize, who were both going to walk in free agency anyway.  Melton is 7-1 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing just 13 earned runs in 74 innings. He is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in six road starts as well.

Logan Webb is going through one of the worst seasons of his career.  He is 7-7 with a 3.82 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 3.88 ERA in 10 home starts.  Webb is 2-2 with a 5.45 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 21 earned runs in 34 2/3 innings.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 6 innings of a 3-1 loss to the Tigers in his last start against them.  Bet the Tigers Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Cardinals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rockies and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when these teams combined for 14 runs, and it should be more of the same today.

The Cardinals are capable of covering this total on their own against Michael Lorenzen, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Lorenzen is 3-10 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in 23 starts and one relief appearance.  He has allowed 85 earned runs in 107 2/3 innings.  Lorenzen allowed 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 10-7 win over the Cardinals in his last start against them.

Michael McGreevy has regressed big time here down the stretch and may be showing signs of fatigue in his first full season as a starter.  McGreevy has allowed 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 9.49 ERA during this stretch.   He allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Rockies in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Blue Jays and Phillies today.  Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  These teams combined for 9 runs in Game 1 and 12 runs in Game 2, and both have taxed bullpens right now.

Shane Bieber has been a shell of his former self this season for the Blue Jays.  He is 3-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in eight starts while allowing 21 earned runs, 7 homers and 62 base runners in 37 innings with just 28 K's.  Bieber is 1-2 with a 8.40 ERA and 2.40 WHIP in four road starts.  Philadelphia should hang a big number on him today.

Jesus Luzardo has big home/road splits this season and has been much worse in Philadelphia.  Luzardo is 4-5 with a 4.98 ERA in 11 home starts this season while allowing 36 earned runs and 10 homers in 65 innings.  He is 1-1 with a 10.13 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two career starts against the Blue Jays, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Cardinals OVER 8.5

It's going to be hot in St. Louis tonight with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out.  The ball should be flying out, especially with these two gas can starting pitchers taking the mound for their respective teams.

Kyle Freeland is 0-7 with a 8.29 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts and one relief appearance on the road this season.  He has been worse away from Coors Field, allowing 47 earned runs and 12 homers in 51 innings on the highway this season.  Freeland is 1-3 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in eight career starts against the Cardinals.  He threw 115 pitches in his last start and will likely be fatigued from that outing.

Matthew Liberatore is the weakest link in this St. Louis rotation.  He is 4-8 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 22 starts, including 3-3 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Liberatore allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings to the Rockies in his lone career start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays +104

The Tampa Bay Rays are one of the most underrated teams in baseball.  They are 68-46 with the best record in the American League.  And yet we are getting them as underdogs to the Seattle Mariners today despite having the advantage on the mound, at the plate and in rest.  The Rays had yesterday off while the Mariners were losing 11-0 to the Tigers.

Speaking of underrated, Drew Rasmussen has been the clear ace of this Tampa Bay staff.  He is 10-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  Rasmussen has never lost to the Mariners, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in five career starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings.

Logan Gilbert has been at his worst at home with a 4.12 ERA in 13 starts while allowing 16 homers.  He is 1-2 with a 3.97 ERA in six career starts against the Rays.  Gilbert allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 2/3 innings in a 6-1 loss to the Rays in his last start against them on July 11th less than a month ago.  Bet the Rays Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Dodgers have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  Look for them to take out their frustration at the plate tonight against Merrill Kelly and the Diamondbacks and hang a big number on them.  But I'm confident Arizona can match them score for score as well with an offense that has scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games overall.

Arizona will likely go with gas can Merrill Kelly.  He is 8-9 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 20 starts this season while allowing 23 homers.  Kelly has been at his worst at home, going 4-3 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in eight starts while allowing 30 earned runs and 12 homers in 42 2/3 innings.  Kelly does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, going 1-11 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 18 career starts against them.

Roki Sasaki is 5-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 19 starts for the Dodgers this season while allowing 20 homers.  Sasaki has been at his worst on the road at 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in nine starts away from home.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 14-11 win over the Diamondbacks in his lone career start against them.

The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 9 runs in eight of their last 14 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -125

I love the spot for the Cleveland Guardians Friday.  They trail the White Sox by 3 games for 1st place in the AL Central so they will be max motivated.  That's especially the case after getting swept by the Mets last series.

But this is more of a play against the White Sox than it is a play on the Guardians.  This is a terrible spot for Chicago, which just lost a 12-11 marathon in 13 innings in Boston late last night.  The White Sox now have to travel back home after getting swept by Boston, and they will be taxed both mentally and physically.

But the biggest reason I'm on the Guardians is their massive advantage on the mound.  Parker Messick is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 8-6 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 5-4 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 10 road starts.  Messick is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in three career starts against the White Sox, allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.

Noah Schultz is the weakest link in this Chicago rotation.  He is 3-8 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 13 starts and one relief appearance this season.  Schultz has allowed 42 earned runs and 31 walks in 65 innings.  Bet the Guardians Friday.

20* Panthers/Cardinals HOF Game No-Brainer on Carolina PK

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Phillies OVER 8.5

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.3 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Philadelphia Phillies are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in nine of their last 10 games, and 5 runs or more seven times.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Miles Mikolas and this putrid Washington bullpen. Mikolas is 3-8 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.34 WHIP this season while allowing 66 earned runs and 26 homers in 108 innings. He is 0-3 with a 5.64 ERA in four career starts at Philadelphia. Washington has a 4.97 ERA as a bullpen.

Cristopher Sanchez has posted a 5.20 ERA in his last five starts overall for the Phillies. Sanchez allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 10-5 win over the Nationals in his last start against them on June 25th. He is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 10 career starts against them.

The Phillies and Nationals have combined for at least 9 runs in 10 of their last 14 meetings. This total of 8.5 is too short tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Pirates/Brewers OVER 7.5

These are two of the most underrated offenses in baseball. The Pirates are scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game. This total of 7.5 is too short today.

Braxton Ashcraft comes in really struggling with a 8.05 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 innings. One of those starts came against the Brewers on July 11th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 7-6 victory.

Dustin May is 5-7 with a 4.38 ERA in 21 starts this season. He does not enjoy facing the Pirates, going 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing 12 earned runs and 29 base runners in 16 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -114

The Royals just got back their best hitter in Bobby Witt Jr. to give their offense a big boost. He had 3 hits in his return to action in a 8-2 victory over the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.

The Minnesota Twins are without their best hitter in Byron Buxton due to injury. They have lost three in a row, and they are getting too much respect tonight. The Royals have a huge advantage on the mound in this one.

Noah Cameron simply owns the Twins. He has gone 3-0 with a 0.57 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in five career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs, one homer and 24 base runners in 31 1/3 innings.

Dean Kremer will be making his first start for the Twins since getting traded from the Orioles. Kremer is 1-4 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in seven starts this season. He has been at his worst on the road, going 0-3 with an 8.55 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in four starts away from home, allowing 19 earned runs in 20 innings. Bet the Royals Wednesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -118

The Baltimore Orioles are only 1.5 games back in the wild card with a lot to play for despite making a bunch of trades at the deadline. Getting them as short home favorites against the lowly Los Angeles Angels is tremendous value tonight.

The Angels are 43-70 with the worst record in baseball and nothing to play for. They have gone 2-9 in their last 11 games overall. They tried to trade away tonight's starter in Reid Detmers which has to make this an awkward situation for him.

Detmers is 3-7 with a 4.10 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 4.17 ERA in 10 road starts. Detmers allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 innings in his last start against Baltimore.

Trevor Rogers is 3-0 with a 1.85 ERA in his last seven starts for the Orioles while allowing just 9 earned runs and one homer in 43 2/3 innings. Bet the Orioles Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Rangers OVER 8

The Texas Rangers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team in the 2nd half of the season.  They have gone 34-12 OVER In their last 46 games overall and 20-5 OVER in their last 25 games.  The Rangers and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 19 of their last 25 games overall.

The Giants have been quietly very productive offensively scoring 4 runs or more in nine of their last 13 games overall, and 3 runs or more in 12 of those. Both offenses should have a lot of success against these two suspect starting pitchers today.

Rookie Carson Whisenhunt has had a rough go of it thus far for the Giants. He is 2-2 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in four starts, allowing 14 earned runs, 4 homers and 33 base runners in 19 innings.

Cody Bradford will be making his first start since 2024 for the Rangers. He is 10-6 with a 4.28 ERA in 132 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues. No question the Rangers will be cautious with him and make this a big bullpen game. They have a very taxed bullpen right now. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Phillies OVER 9

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Philadelphia Phillies are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games, and 5 runs or more six times.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Zack Littell, who is 7-8 with a 4.94 ERA in 14 starts and eight relief appearances this season. Littell is 3-3 with a 5.31 ERA on the road this season.

Jesus Luzardo has huge home/road splits this season. He has been much worse at home, going 3-5 with a 5.68 ERA in 10 home starts while allowing 36 earned runs and 10 homers in 57 innings. Luzardo is 2-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Nationals, including 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in three home starts.

The Nationals and Phillies have combined for at least 9 runs in nine of their last 12 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -129

The Cincinnati Reds have gone 8-4 in their last 12 games overall and are still battling to try to stay in contention for a playoff spot.

The A's are 5-25 in their last 30 games overall and well out of contention. The biggest problem for them is injuries throughout their lineup. They have been held to 2 runs or fewer in 19 of their last 36 games overall.

Brady Singer has been dominant at home this season for the Reds with a 2.73 ERA in 10 starts while allowing just 16 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings. Singer has allowed just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts against the A's.

J.T. Ginn is 2-4 with a 3.60 ERA in 10 road starts for the A's this season. Ginn allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone career road start at Cincinnati. He is backed by a terrible A's bullpen with a 5.69 ERA this season. Bet the Reds Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Orioles OVER 8.5

This total of 8.5 is too low for a matchup of two gas can starting pitchers up against these two lineups. These are also two poor bullpens.

Grayson Rodriquez is 3-3 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 10 starts for the Angels this season. He has allowed 40 earned runs, 10 homers and 78 base runners in 44 innings.

Cade Povich is 1-1 with a 5.12 ERA in three starts and one relief appearance for the Orioles this season. He is most likely to get the bulk of the innings for Baltimore in this one. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Astros OVER 9

The Astros are also swinging a hot bat right now during their 11-1 run int their last 12 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 12 games. The Blue Jays have scored at least 3 runs in seven of their last nine games. Both offenses should have their way with these two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

Shane Bieber is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven starts for the Blue Jays this season. He has allowed 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Bieber has been at his worst on the road, going 0-2 with a 12.54 ERA and 2.68 WHIP while allowing 13 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in three starts away from home. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.

Christian Javier is 1-1 with a 7.17 ERA and 1.83 WHIP this season for the Astros while allowing 17 earned runs and 39 base runners in 21 1/3 innings. Javier allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against the Blue Jays. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Houston Astros -127

The Houston Astros have gone 11-1 in their last 12 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in nine of those 12 games.  They are absolutely raking right now and have moved into 1st place in the AL West.

The Toronto Blue Jays are 52-59 on the season with a very slim chance of making the postseason a year after making the World Series. The biggest difference is they have one of the worst offenses in baseball this season scoring just 3.9 runs per game.

Shane Bieber is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in seven starts for the Blue Jays this season. He has allowed 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Bieber has been at his worst on the road, going 0-2 with a 12.54 ERA and 2.68 WHIP while allowing 13 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in three starts away from home. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.

Christian Javier is having a rough go of it in limited action this season, but I trust him and this Houston offense over Bieber and the Blue Jays. Javier is 2-1 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in three career home starts against Toronto. Bet the Astros Monday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Phillies OVER 9

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team scoring 5.4 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game this season. The Philadelphia Phillies are heating up at the plate scoring 4 runs or more in six of their last seven games, and 5 runs or more five times.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball. He is 3-9 with a 5.61 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 22 starts this season while allowing 71 earned runs and 26 homers in 114 innings. Nola has been at his worst at home, going 0-4 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 10 home starts.

The Nationals will likely make this a bullpen game with a heavy dose of Trevor Williams. He is 53-65 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in over 1,000 innings in his career in the big leagues. The Nationals have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 4.92 ERA this season.

The Nationals and Phillies have combined for at least 9 runs in eight of their last 11 meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -124

The Houston Astros have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in eight of those 11 games. They are absolutely raking right now and have moved into 1st place in the AL West.

Fatigue is starting to really set in for the Texas Rangers, who are 0-4 in their last four games overall while playing their 16th game in 17 days since the All-Star Break. They have been held to a total of 8 runs in the four losses.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound today behind Peter Lambert, who is 8-5 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Lambert has a 1.88 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 6 earned runs and one homer in 28 2/3 innings. He allowed one earned run in 6 innings of a 9-3 win over the Rangers in his last start against them on July 11th.

Kumar Rocker is 4-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 18 starts and two relief appearances for the Rangers this season. He has not enjoyed facing the Astros, going 0-2 with a 9.28 ERA in two career starts against them while allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings. He allowed 7 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against them opposite Lambert on July 11th. Bet the Astros Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Astros OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team in the 2nd half of the season.  They have gone 32-11 OVER In their last 43 games overall and 18-4 OVER in their last 21 games.  The Rangers and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 17 of their last 22 games overall.

The Astros are also swinging a hot bat right now during their 10-1 run int their last 11 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 11 games.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all five.

Kumar Rocker is 4-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 18 starts and two relief appearances for the Rangers this season.  He has not enjoyed facing the Astros, going 0-2 with a 9.28 ERA in two career starts against them while allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against them opposite Lambert on July 11th.

Peter Lambert hasn't fared well against the Rangers this season, either. He is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts against Texas while allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Orioles OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Phillies and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left.

Zack Wheeler was rocked for 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings of a 8-7 loss to the Marlins in his last start on July 27th. Wheeler was rocked even worse in his last start against the Orioles, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 8-3 loss to Baltimore.

Kyle Bradish was rocked for 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last start, a 8-5 win over the Tigers on July 27th. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Detroit Tigers -134

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 13-1 victory over the A's in Game 1 to pull within 6.5 games of the White Sox for 1st place in the AL Central.  They are far from dead, and they have played well over the past month to get back into the discussion.

The A's are 5-23 in their last 28 games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in 15 of those 28 games.  The injuries just keep piling up for them as they are without several of their best hitters.

Framber Valdez isn't having his best season in Detroit, but he faces this weak A's lineup that he has owned in the past.  Valdez is 10-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 17 career starts against the A's.  That includes 4-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his last five starts against them.

I'll gladly fade Jack Perkins, who is 2-6 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.36 WHIP for the A's this season.  Perkins is 1-3 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.44 WHIP at home allowing 30 earned runs and 7 homers in 39 2/3 innings.  He is 10-3 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in his eight games as a starter this season.  Bet the Tigers Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Milwaukee Brewers -120

The Milwaukee Brewers have the 2nd-best record in baseball at 68-41 this season.  They should be much bigger favorites over the Los Angeles Angels, who have the worst record in baseball at 42-68 this season.  That includes 1-7 in their last eight games overall coming into this one.

Robert Gasser has been a tough luck pitcher to have a 4.71 ERA in spite of a 1.17 WHIP in his 11 starts.  He is better than the numbers suggest.  Gasser has really flashed his potential in his last two starts allowing just 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 11 innings.

Jose Soriano is getting too much respect here.  He is 3-2 with a 3.81 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 10 home starts this season.  Soriano allowed 3 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of a 9-2 loss to the Brewers in his lone career start against them last season.  Bet the Brewers Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Padres OVER 8.5

The Padres are swinging the bats as well as they have all season.  They have scored 75 runs in their last 12 games for an average of 6.3 runs per game.  The Giants have scored at least 3 runs in 24 of their last 28 games overall.  Both offenses will have their way with these two gas can starting pitchers tonight.

Tyler Mahle is 3-9 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  But Mahle has been so bad away from pitcher-friendly San Francisco.  He is 0-6 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in eight road starts this season, allowing 34 earned runs, 8 homers and 67 base runners in 38 innings.

Walker Buehler is 6-5 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 21 starts for the Padres this season while allowing 57 earned runs in 100 innings.  Buehler has been real bad in his last five starts with a 9.82 ERA while allowing 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 22 innings.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings for a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts against San Francisco.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Astros OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team in the 2nd half of the season.  They have gone 31-11 OVER In their last 42 games overall and 17-4 OVER in their last 21 games.  The Rangers and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 16 of their last 21 games overall.

The Astros are also swinging a hot bat right now during their 9-1 run int their last 10 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last 10 games.  They racked up 11 runs and 18 hits in Game 1 of this series against the Rangers.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all four.

Jacob DeGrom is 0-3 with a 5.82 ERA in his last three starts against the Astros while allowing 11 earned runs and 8 homers in 17 innings.  He has been at his worst on the road this season, going 3-4 with a 4.33 ERA while allowing 11 homers in 10 starts away from home.

It has been a rough return for Ronel Blanco from IL.  He is 0-1 with a 8.10 ERA in two starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings.  Both offenses will crush today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Orioles OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left.  The Orioles used 4 relievers and the Phillies used 3 relievers in Baltimore's 6-4 victory yesterday.  It should be another slug fest today with a couple taxed bullpens.

Cristopher Sanchez is really struggling allowing 16 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.65 ERA during this stretch.  Sanchez has been very hittable on the road, going 4-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in nine starts away from home while allowing 30 earned runs and 10 homers in 54 1/3 innings.

Shane Baz is 4-9 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 21 starts for the Orioles this season, including 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Baz allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Phillies last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +128

The Baltimore Orioles have gone 12-5 in their last 17 games overall to get back into contention for a wild card spot.  The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and there is a ton of turmoil in the locker room right now.  I'll gladly side with the Orioles as home underdogs to the Phillies tonight.

Cristopher Sanchez is really struggling allowing 16 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.65 ERA during this stretch.  Sanchez has been very hittable on the road, going 4-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in nine starts away from home while allowing 30 earned runs and 10 homers in 54 1/3 innings.  He is getting way too much respect as a road favorite here.

Shane Baz has been solid with a 3.98 ERA in 21 starts this season and a 3.95 ERA in 10 home starts.  Baz is going through his best stretch of the season with a 2.89 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in four of them without allowing a single homer.  Bet the Orioles Saturday.

25* American League GAME OF THE YEAR on Tampa Bay Rays -158

The Tampa Bay Rays are the better team and have a big advantage on the mound today over the Chicago White Sox.  They should be bigger favorites as a result.  The White Sox are coming off two huge extra innings wins over the Yankees last series before taking Game 1 of this series, plus they have a taxed bullpen now.  They will be playing for a 15th consecutive day since the All-Star Break and are a tired team.  This is their letdown spot today.

The Tampa Bay Rays are 64-45 with the best record in the American League.  They have done their damage at home where they are 40-16 this season.  I fully expect them to bounce back in a big way over the White Sox thanks to their massive advantage on the mound.

Drew Rasmussen is 9-5 with a 3.07 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 20 starts for the Rays this season.  He is 0-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in two career home starts against the White Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 11 innings.

Jordan Hicks will serve as the opener for the White Sox to try and give Noah Shultz some help.  Schultz has been a disaster this season, going 3-7 with a 6.15 ERA in 13 starts, including 2-5 with a 7.03 ERA in seven road starts.  One of those starts came against the Rays when he allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 7 base runners in 4 1/3 innings.  Schultz will get the bulk of the innings today and I expect Tampa Bay to pound him.  Bet the Rays Saturday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston Astros -122

The Houston Astros have the rest advantage after having Thursday off while the Texas Rangers were completing a series in Tampa Bay.  The Rangers will now be playing for a 8th consecutive day and have a taxed bullpen right now.

The Astros also have the advantage on the mound behind Hunter Brown, who is 2-1 with a 3.45 ERA in nine starts this season while allowing just 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 47 innings.  Brown tossed 7 shutout innings while allowing just two base runners in a 4-1 win over the White Sox in his last start.  He has held the Rangers to 3 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against them.

Nathan Eovaldi is 10-8 with a 4.05 ERA in 20 starts this season while allowing 22 homers.  Eovaldi allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 innings in a 5-1 loss to the Astros in his last start against them on May 28th.

The Astros are 8-1 in their last nine games overall to get right back in contention in the AL West trailing the Rangers by 0.5 games for first place.  They will be max motivated at home in Game 1 today.  Bet the Astros Friday.

20* MLB GAME OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Rays -133

The Tampa Bay Rays are the better team and have a big advantage on the mound today over the Chicago White Sox.  They should be bigger favorites as a result.  The White Sox are coming off two huge extra innings wins over the Yankees and are in a prime letdown spot, plus they have a taxed bullpen now.  They will be playing for a 14th consecutive day since the All-Star Break.

The Rays are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall to improve to 64-44 which is the best mark in the American League.  Nick Martinez has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 10-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He has fired 12 shutout innings while allowing just 6 base runners in his last two starts against the White Sox.

Erick Fedde has big home/road splits this season.  Fedde has been awful on the road, going 3-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.41 WHIP while allowing 28 earned runs in 46 2/3 innings away from home.  Fedde allowed 3 homers in his last start against the Astros.  Bet the Rays Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles -106

The Baltimore Orioles have gone 11-5 in their last 16 games overall to get back into contention for a wild card spot.  The Philadelphia Phillies are 1-7 in their last eight games overall and there is a ton of turmoil in the locker room right now.  I'll gladly side with the Orioles as short home favorites tonight.

Brandon Young has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season going 8-2 with a 3.41 ERA in 17 starts, including 2-1 with a 3.35 ERA in nine home starts.  He has only allowed 9 homers all season.

The Orioles should stay hot at the plate against Andrew Painter.  He is 1-8 with a 7.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 12 starts and two relief appearances this season.  Painter has allowed 51 earned runs and 14 homers in 65 innings.  It's surprising to see the Phillies add him back to the rotation today.  Bet the Orioles Friday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-110)

The Red Sox have gone 19-3 in their last 22 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in 14 of those 22 games.  The A's are 5-21 in their last 26 games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in 14 of those 26 games.  The injuries just keep piling up for them as they are now without All-Star C Shea Langeliers and arguably their best hitter in Nick Kurtz among others.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to winning by multiple runs again.  Sonny Gray is 12-21 with a 2.78 ERA in 19 starts this season allowing just 33 earned runs and 12 homers in 106 2/3 innings.  He is backed by one of the best bullpens in baseball with Boston having a 2.99 ERA this season.

The A's will make this a bullpen game starting with Mason Barnett, who is 1-1 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.38 WHIP this season while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  The A's have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 5.54 ERA on the season and a 6.91 ERA at home.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8

After combining for 10 runs and 22 hits in Game 1 and 12 runs and 24 hits in Game 2, the Cubs and Cardinals were held to just 5 runs and 10 hits in Game 3 yesterday.  I think they get the bats going again in Game 4 today given the poor quality of these two starting pitchers.

Javier Assad has posted a 3.86 ERA this season.  But he has big home/road splits with a 5.11 ERA on the road, allowing 21 earned runs and 7 homers in 37 innings away from home.

Andre Pallante is 10-6 with a 3.89 ERA on the season.  But he is 5-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 12 home starts allowing 34 earned runs in 68 1/3 innings.  Pallante is 0-3 with a 8.62 ERA and 2.30 WHIP in four career home starts against the Cubs, allowing 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Twins UNDER 9

The Kansas City Royals have one of the worst offenses in baseball and it hasn't gotten any better due to injuries here of late.  They are without arguably their two best hitters in Bobby Witt Jr. and Maikel Garcia, and Vinnie Pasquantino is out as well among others.  The Royals are scoring just 3.2 runs per game in their last 10 games.

The Twins just lost their best hitter in Byron Buxton to yet another hip injury and he was placed on the IL yesterday.  The Twins have been held to 3 runs or fewer in eight of their last 11 games overall, including getting shut out 4-0 yesterday.

Noah Cameron has owned the Twins going 3-0 with a 0.77 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in four careers starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings with 24 K's.  Bailey Ober is 5-0 with a 2.68 ERA in eight home starts for the Twins this season.  He has also owned the Royals, allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 innings for a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts against them.

The UNDER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings with 8 or fewer combined runs in nine of them.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston Astros -127

The Houston Astros are highly motivated for wins right now.  They are just one game out of the wild card and just 2 games out of 1st place in the AL West.  The Angels are tied with the Rockies for the worst record in baseball at 42-66 this season.  Given their motivational advantage and their advantages both on the mound and at the plate, getting the Astros as short favorites tonight is a gift from the books.

Hayden Wesneski makes his return from injury tonight.  He posted a 2.25 ERA in five minor league rehab starts and looks primed for a return.  Wesneski is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA in three career starts against the Angels.

Grayson Rodriquez has been an absolute gas can for the Angels this season.  He is 3-3 with a 8.77 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in nine starts while allowing 38 earned runs in 39 innings.  Rodriquez has been at his worst at home, going 1-3 with a 10.58 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in six home starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.  Bet the Astros Wednesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rangers/Rays OVER 7.5

The Texas Rangers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team in the 2nd half of the season.  They have gone 30-9 OVER In their last 39 games overall and 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games.  The Rangers and their opponents have gone for at least 9 combined runs in 15 of their last 18 games overall, and 8 runs or more in 16 of them.

The Rays have a solid offense scoring 4.5 runs per game.  I expect them to crush MacKenzie Gore, who is 3-6 with a 6.02 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 12 road starts this season while allowing 39 earned runs in 58 1/3 innings away from home.  He has a 7.66 ERA in his last five starts overall while allowing 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 24 2/3 innings.

The Rangers are red hot at the plate scoring 3 runs or more in 13 of their last 15 games overall, including 7 runs or more six times.  They should also get to Casey Legumina, who will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Rays.  He has posted a 3.95 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 43 1/3 innings this season, mostly in relief.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Padres OVER 8

The San Diego Padres have finally come to life at the plate.  They have scored 4 runs or more in seven consecutive games.  They are averaging 7.3 runs per game in their last nine games.  The Rockies have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last nine games overall.

The Padres should hang a big number on rookie Gabriel Hughes, who will be making just his 4th start of the season for the Rockies.  Once he exit, Colorado will be left with a tired, shaky bullpen that has posted a 5.02 ERA this season.

It looks as though Kyle Hart will serve as the opener for the Padres before giving way to Griffin Canning.  Thats a bad combo as Hart has a 5.21 ERA allowing 22 earned runs in 38 innings, including a 6.06 ERA at home.  Canning is 1-9 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 11 starts and four relief appearances for the Padres.  He has allowed 48 earned runs in 62 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+120)

The Padres just swept the Marlins over the weekend winning all three games by multiple runs.  They climbed to within 1.5 games of the final wild card spot in the National League and are highly motivated to get into the playoffs.  The Colorado Rockies have the worst record in baseball at 42-65 on the season and are just simply playing out the string at this point.

The Padres have a massive advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Michael King is 6-7 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 11 home starts.  He is 4-3 with a 2.25 ERA in 13 night starts this season.  He tossed a complete game shutout in a 6-0 victory over the Rockies in his last start against them.

Michael Lorenzen is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 3-9 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 22 games this season, which includes 21 starts.  He has allowed 75 earned runs in 100 2/3 innings.  Lorenzen does not enjoy facing the Padres, going 0-2 with a 8.68 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in four career starts against them, allowing 18 earned runs and 37 base runners in 18 2/3 innings with just 11 K's.  

The Padres are 8-1 in their last nine meetings with the Rockies with seven wins by 2 runs or more.  That includes 6-0 in their six meetings in San Diego with all six wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston Astros -105

The Houston Astros are highly motivated for wins right now.  They are just 1.5 games out of the wild card and just 2 games out of 1st place in the AL West.  The Angels are tied with the Rockies for the worst record in baseball at 42-65 this season.  Given their motivational advantage and their advantages both on the mound and at the plate, getting the Astros at nearly even money tonight is a gift.

Peter Lambert is 8-5 with a 3.03 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 17 starts this season allowing just 33 earned runs and 11 homers in 98 innings with 94 K's.  He has actually been at his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 2.78 ERA in six road starts.  Lambert has been on a roll of late with a 1.52 ERA in his last four starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings with 26 K's.  He held the Angels to 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against them this season.

Reid Detmers is 3-7 with a 4.13 ERA in 21 starts for the Angels this season, including 0-5 with a 4.09 ERA in 11 home starts.  Detmers does not enjoy facing the division rival Astros, going 1-4 with a 7.19 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  He has allowed 41 earned runs and 9 homers in 51 1/3 innings in those 11 starts.  Bet the Astros Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Yankees and White Sox tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with whopping 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  It was a similar forecast last night when these teams combined for 14 runs, and it will be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

The White Sox are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season with one of the most improved offenses in baseball.  They should get to the overrated Garret Cole, who is 3-5 with a 3.92 ERA in 11 starts this season while allowing 11 homers.  Cole is 1-3 with a 4.73 ERA in five road starts.  He has posted a 3.99 ERA in six career starts against the White Sox allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 38 1/3 innings.

The Yankees are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season and just broke out for 9 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  They should get to Anthony Kay, who is 7-4 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 19 starts and two relief appearances this season.  He is 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in two career starts against the Yankees, allowing 9 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings.

The White Sox and Yankees have combined for at least 8 runs in five of their last six meetings, including 14 runs or more three times.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Marlins OVER 8

The Marlins and Phillies combined for 15 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  They also combined for 16 and 10 runs in their previous two meetings.  It will be more of the same tonight in Game 2, and this total of 8 is too low as both of these starting pitchers are getting too much respect.

Aaron Nola may be the most overrated starter in baseball.  He is 3-8 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 21 starts this season while allowing 70 earned runs and 25 homers in 108 1/3 innings.  He has allowed multiple earned runs in 19 of his 21 starts this season.

Sandy Alcantara is 10-6 with a 4.07 ERA in 22 starts for the Marlins this season while allowing 65 earned runs in 143 2/3 innings with just 110 K's.  He is 1-3 with a 6.63 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his last four starts against the Phillies, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Pirates OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Pirates tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 12-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Pittsburgh.

The Pirates have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 21 games overall.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 3 runs in 14 of their last 16 games, and at least 5 runs in nine of their last 14 games.  Both offenses should stay hot given the favorable forecast tonight.

Brandon Pfaadt is 5-1 in spite of a 4.71 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in eight starts and 10 relief appearances this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs in 65 innings.  Pfaadt does not enjoy facing the Pirates, going 1-0 with a 6.06 ERA in three career starts against them while allowing 11 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.

Bubba Chandler has been a major disappointment for the Pirates this season.  He is 3-8 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 19 starts and one relief appearances this season.  Chandler has been at his worst at home, going 2-3 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in eight starts while allowing 20 earned runs in 39 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.