20* NL Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park today.

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last five games coming in, going 5-0 OVER in those five games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Cal Quantrill is a gas can.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings in three starts this season.  Taijuan Walker is an equal gas can.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 10-4 home loss to the Giants in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 50's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The ball should be flying out tonight.

The Cardinals have an underrated lineup scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Mets have one fo the best lineups in baseball and it's only a matter of time before they bust out.  I think that time is today as they are capable of covering this 8-run total on their own.

Miles Mikolas is a gas can.  He went 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals last season.  Mikolas is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in three starts in 2025, allowing 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.

David Peterson has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 16 2/3 innings thus far in 2025.  He is due some regression after facing a pretty soft schedule of the A's, Marlins and Blue Jays thus far.  He is 29-25 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 470 2/3 innings in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Reds and Orioles tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with temps in the 70's at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last seven games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the season, and they have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games coming in.

Andrew Abbott will be making just his second start of the season for the Reds today and will be on a pitch count again after throwing 81 pitchers in his first start.  Cade Povich is a gas can.  He is 3-10 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 career starts, allowing 54 earned runs and 13 homers in 94 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Yankees/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and light winds today.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 6.7 runs per game in their last seven games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Rays last nine home games with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games, making for a 8-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.

The New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  Not cashing the OVER 9 yesterday was one of the worst beats of the season.  I settled for a push as these teams combined for 30 base runners with 23 hits and 7 walks.  Both stranded a ton of runners especially the Rays.

Carlos Rodon is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 innings.  Rodon is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight career starts against the Rays, allowing 20 earned runs, 6 homers and 25 walks in 39 innings.

Drew Rasmussen has solid numbers thus far but the Yankees should get to him.  Rasmussen has benefited from a soft schedule of the Pirates, Braves and Rangers, three of the worst offenses in baseball.  Those three rank in the bottom six in all of baseball in runs per game, and now Rasmussen must face the No. 1 offense in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Hawks TNT No-Brainer on Miami PK

The Miami Heat made easy work of the Chicago Bulls in a 109-90 road victory to put themselves in this position to make the playoffs.  That game at Chicago was tougher than this game at Atlanta will be as the Bulls are better than the Hawks with a better home-court advantage.

The Hawks faltered in a 120-95 road loss to the Orlando Magic to put themselves in this position of must-win.  That was a game the Hawks could afford to lose, while the Heat were in a must-win already as they were completely eliminated with a loss.  I like the mentality of this Heat team coming in.

I also like the experience and the talent on this Miami team much better than that of the Hawks.  Tyler Herro had 38 points, Andrew Wiggins had 20 points and Bam Adebayo had 15 points and 12 rebounds in that win over the Bulls.  This core 3 has a ton of playoff experience and will be up to the challenge.

The Hawks really only have Trae Young with plenty of playoff experience.  Young had 28 points and nobody else had more than 15 for the Hawks against the Magic.  He was ejected late in the game with two technical fouls as he showed his frustration, largely due to not getting much help.

The Heat are the much better defensive team ranking 9th in defensive efficiency while the Hawks rank 18th.  Holding the Bulls to 90 points was no small feat.  The Heat have owned the Hawks in their final two regular season meetings, winning 131-109 and 122-112.  It should be more of the same tonight.  Bet the Heat Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park tonight.  

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last four games coming in, going 4-0 OVER in those four games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all six games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Sandy Alcantara is working his way back from injury after missing all of last season.  Alcantara has allowed 6 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings this season while being on a pitch count in both of his starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Philadelphia.

Zack Wheeler clearly isn't in midseason form yet.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts and 4 homers in his four starts.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Miami.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 7.5 ticket between the Royals and Tigers today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at spacious Comerica Park in Detroit tonight with gusts of over 30 MPH.

Cole Ragans has allowed just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 31 K's in his last three starts for the Royals and is the clear ace of this staff.  Ragans has allowed 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 24 K's in his last three starts against the Tigers as well.

Jackson Jobe has been solid this season going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in three starts while allowing just 5 earned runs and 17 base runners in 15 innings.  He should shut down a struggling Kansas City lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in nine of their last 10 games overall, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 consecutive contests.  

The Tigers have been held to one run or fewer in three of their last five games coming in.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Royals last 12 games overall.  The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Tigers last 11 games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 10.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10.5 ticket between the Cubs and Diamondbacks at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH sustained winds blowing out to center and gusts of over 25 MPH.

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.5 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 7 runs in four of its last five home games.

Corbin Burnes has been disappointing for the Diamondbacks, going 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three starts this season whie allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings.

Colin Rea is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 26-20 with a 4.50 ERA in his career in the big leagues spanning 455 2/3 innings.  Rea has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Mets OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Citi Field in New York tonight.  The Mets have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and the Cardinals have an underrated lineup that has produced 5.2 runs per game this season.

Andre Pallante allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Mets last season.  Griffin Canning has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 15 innings in three starts this season.  Canning has allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Yankees/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last six games.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in Rays last eight home games with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

The New York Yankees are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  They should get to Taj Bradley, who is 2-0-1 OVER in all starts this season with 9 or more combined runs in all three of his starts.

Will Warren has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 14 innings in three starts for the Yankees this season.  The Rays should have their way with him as well, and they should continue their onslaught against a tired New York bullpen that has played four straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Giants/Phillies OVER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game this season and are 13-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1, 10 runs in Game 2 and 15 runs in Game 3. It should be more of the same in Game 4 today, and the books have set this total too low once again.

Jordan Hicks has been rocked for 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts for the Giants.  Hicks allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 4 innings in his lone career start against the Phillies last season.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts for the Phillies.  The Giants are going with a right-handed heavy lineup to counter the lefty.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Heat/Bulls ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 218.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team and books have failed to set their totals high enough all season.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in pace this season, and this total of 218.5 is very low for a game involving the Bulls.

Indeed, the Bulls and their opponents have combined for at least 222 points in 34 of their last 36 games.  That makes for a 34-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 218.5-point total.  Books have adjusted this number down too much for this being a playoff game.

No question the Miami Heat profile more of an under team as they like to play slower than the Bulls do, but the Bulls will control the tempo playing at home.  Plus, the Heat have taken off offensively here down the stretch.  The Heat are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall finishing with 222 or more combined points in all five games.  The Heat have scored at least 108 points in 12 consecutive games and 115 points or more in nine of those.

The Heat and Bulls have combined for 257, 223 and 230 points in their three regular season meetings.  They have combined for at least 223 points in five of their last six meetings as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Heat/Bulls ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Chicago ML -113

The Chicago Bulls have quietly gone 15-5 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They have outright upset wins over the Magic, Heat (twice), Pacers, Lakers (twice), Kings and Nuggets during this stretch.  Three of the five losses came on the road to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Cavs, Thunder and Rockets.

The Bulls have owned the Heat this season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS despite being underdogs in all three games.  They won by 9 and 8 at home and by 5 on the road.  This is clearly a good matchup for them, and they should be fresh and ready to go after limiting their starters' minutes down the stretch.

There's just not a lot to like about the Miami Heat since trading away Jimmy Butler.  They rely too much on Tyler Hero and Bam Adebayo, while the Bulls are a much more compete team with Coby White, Josh Giddey, Nikola Vucevic, Kevin Heurter, Patrick Williams and Matas Buzelis working really well together.

Chicago fans are starving for a winner, and this will be a tremendous home-court advantage at the United Center with an atmosphere similar to when the Bulls upset the Lakers on the Josh Giddey half-court buzzer-beater.  The Bulls are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Bet the Bulls on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* Royals/Yankees AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Royals and Yankees tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH sustained winds blowing out to the short porch in right field at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The ball should be flying out.

Kris Bubic is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.  He has allowed 4 homers in 11 innings in those two starts.  Clarke Schmidt will be making his first start of the season for the Yankees and will be on a pitch count.  Schmidt is 1-0 with a 4.39 ERA in three career starts against the Royals with 17 hits and 2 homers allowed in 14 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.  

The Yankees are 10-6-1 OVER in all games this season and scoring 6.1 runs per game with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Red Sox/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 8.8 runs per game in their last five games.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Rays last seven home games with 9 or more combined runs in all seven games, including 17 and 11 combined runs in the first two games of this series.

The Rays should tee off on Sean Newcomb, who has allowed 11 runs, 7 earned, and 27 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his three starts this season.  Newcomb hasn't made it out of the 5th inning in any of his three starts.  He allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Rays.

Zack Littell has been rocked for 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 17 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts for the Rays.  The books just aren't able to set these Tampa Bay totals at home high enough early in the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Giants/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season and are 12-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2 and it should be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.  Robbie Ray is very fortunate to have only allowed 5 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings this season when you consider he has allowed 3 homers and 10 walks already.  His luck runs out against the Phillies tonight.

Ray has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.  Aaron Nola is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Nola has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Giants.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight with gusts of up to 20 MPH.  The OVER is 8-1 in Nationals last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

Bailey Falter is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 innings.  Falter allowed 3 earned runs, one homer and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 9-4 win over the Nationals in his lone start against them last season.

Mitchell Parker allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 7 base runners in 6 innings to the Marlins in his last start.  Parker allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 8-6 win over the Pirates in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on DBacks/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is just how much of a dead nuts OVER team the Miami Marlins have been at home.  They are 8-3 OVER in their 11 home games this season, and 63-22 OVER in all home games since the start of 2024.

The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season and have blasted the Marlins 10-8 for 18 combined runs in Game 1 and 10-4 for 14 combined runs in Game 2.  This total being at 8 again for Game 3 tonight is laughable.

Brandn Pfaadt has allowed 4 homers in 18 innings in his three starts thus far this season.  Pfaadt has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins.  

Max Meyer is getting a little too much love for his solid start to the season.  Meyer is 4-7 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 16 career starts in the big leagues.  He has allowed a whopping 17 homers in 81 innings for a 1.9 HR/9.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners/Reds OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center at one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati tonight.  The Mariners are a much better offense when they get away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last five games overall, including 12 combined runs with Cincinnati in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in five consecutive games, and 5 runs or more in four of them.  They just got some key pieces back from injury including Austin Hays, who had 4 RBI last night.

Bryce Miller has been a little off his game to start the season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 16 innings.  Nick Martinez has been dreadful, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Martinez has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mariners.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Guardians/Orioles AL No-Brainer on OVER 8

There will be 15 MPH winds blowing out to right tonight at Camden Yards to aid balls hit in that direction.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Guardians and Orioles with 9 or more combined runs in all five, and 11 or more in four of those five.

Cleveland has scored at least 6 runs in four of its last five games.  The Guardians should tee off on Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 8.16 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings.  Kremer has allowed 10 earned runs and 23 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Baltimore.

Gavin Williams takes a big step up in class here after getting to face the White Sox, Angels and Royals in his first three starts this season.  Williams allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 9-5 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago tonight with gusts of over 20 MPH.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed 9 runs, 7 earned, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts for the A's.  Sean Burke is 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts this season for the White Sox.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 14 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Hawks/Magic TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 216.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 3rd in pace this season and as long as Trae Young is healthy and on the court, they will always be an OVER team.

This is a very low total for a game involving the Hawks.  The Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 226 points in each of their last 14 games, and 219 or more points in each of their last 23 games, making for a 23-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 216.5-point total.

The Magic have been much better offensively since getting healthy here down the stretch.  They put up 116 or more points in four of their seven games in which they played their starters.

The Magic and Hawks have combined for at least 218 points in all four meetings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Red Sox/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low.  The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 10.0 runs per game in their last four games and averaging 12 hits per game in those four games.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Rays last six home games with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.

Walker Buehler just hasn't been the same since surgery.  He is off to a shaky start this season allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings for the Red Sox.  Ryan Pepiot has allowed 5 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Guardians/Orioles AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Guardians tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Baltimore with gusts of over 30 MPH.  These two below-average starting pitchers will not hold up.

Logan Allen is 15-14 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 46 starts in his first three seasons in the big leagues.  Allen allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 innings of a 10-8 win over the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.

Charlie Morton is on the last leg of his career.  Morton has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 1/3 innings in his three starts thus far this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Royals/Yankees AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Royals and Yankees tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium with gusts of over 30 MPH.

The Yankees have one of the best lineups in baseball scoring 6.2 runs per game this season while going 10-5-1 OVER in all games.  They are capable of covering this total on their own, but I fully expect the Royals to do their part as well.

Michael Wacha is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three starts for the Royals this season.  Wacha has allowed 5 earned runs and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.  Max Fried has benefited from facing the Tigers, Pirates and Brewers thus far in his three starts.  This will be his toughest test yet against a Royals lineup with a lot of pop.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Giants/Phillies OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Giants and Phillies tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia with gusts over over 30 MPH.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own.  They will tee off on the washed up Justin Verlander, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 13 innings this season.

The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season and are 11-5 OVER in all games.  They will do enough off Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against San Francisco.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The OVER is 8-0 in Nationals last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.

It was a similar forecast yesterday and these teams combined for 13 runs despite Paul Skenes being on the mound for the Pirates.  In fact, this has been an OVER series with the Pirates and Nationals combining for 8 runs or more in each of their last nine meetings dating back to last season, and 10 runs or more in seven of those nine.

Jake Irvin has allowed 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 24 base runners in 16 innings in his three starts this season.  Irvin allowed 6 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Pirates last season.

Mitch Keller has allowed 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Keller has allowed 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Astros/Cardinals OVER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Astros and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field and gusts of over 20 MPH.  This total of 7 is too low given the forecast.

The Cardinals are 9-5-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have one of the more underrated offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 5.5 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Astros are heating up at the plate scoring 7.0 runs per game in their last four games.

Framber Valdez is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Sonny Gray also gets a ton of respect despite never going deep into games.  That's the only reason this total is so low, and we'll 'buy low' on an OVER as a result.

Gray has already allowed 4 homers in 16 innings this season.  Gray has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.  Valdez allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings in his last start against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/Twins OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Mets and Twins tonight.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Target Field in Minneapolis tonight.  Gusts will be up to 30 MPH, and this total of 7.5 is too low given the forecast.

The Mets have one of the best lineups in baseball and have scored at least 7 runs in three of their last five games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  I'm not a huge fan of this Minnesota offense, but they should do enough to contribute.

Clay Holmes allowed 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in a 10-5 win over the Marlins in his last start.  Joe Ryan has benefited from wind blowing in in all of his starts thus far this season.  The fly ball pitcher will be in trouble here with the wind blowing out.  He allows 1.4 HR/9 in his career.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Rays OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps approaching 80 and light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low.  The Red Sox are scoring 4.5 runs per game this season and due for a breakout tonight.

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 6.0 runs per game in their last three games and averaging 10.7 hits per game in those three games.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Rays last five home games with 9 or more combined runs in all five games.

Tanner Houck is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 1/3 innings.  Shane Baz has benefited from getting to face the Angels and Pirates in his first two starts this season.  This is a big step up in class for him tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Western Conference Total OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Timberwolves OVER 231.5

The tanking Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  The Jazz are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 256, 259, 281, 252 and 248 combined points.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will have incentive to keep the foot on the gas for four quarters as a win gets them in the playoffs, while a loss would likely push them to the play-in.  They just beat the Grizzlies 141-125 for 266 combined points, a Memphis team that profiles similarly to Utah.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Denver Nuggets -8.5

The Denver Nuggets will be highly motivated for a win today.  They would clinch the No. 4 see with a win and home-court advantage in the first round.  They could drop all the way down to the No. 7 seed and a play-in with a loss if the Timberwolves beat the Jazz and the Warriors beat the Clippers.

There's a lot at stake for Denver today, and nothing at stake for the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets have been locked in to the No. 2 seed in the West for their past two games.  They have played like it as well losing by 17 to the Clippers as 10.5-point dogs and by 31 to the Lakers are 13.5-point dogs.  There's no reason for them to offer any resistance in the regular season finale here, either.  Bet the Nuggets Sunday.

20* Nuggets/Rockets NBA No-Brainer on OVER 233.5

The Denver Nuggets are a dead nuts OVER team with an elite offense and the worst defense they've had in years.  It's a big reason Mike Malone was fired.  But there's just not much they can do about it at this point, forced to try and win shootouts.

The Rockets have been locked into the No. 2 seed their last two games.  They have been playing mostly backups, and while they are an elite defensive team when their starters play, they are a terrible defensive team with backups.  But they have plenty of offensive firepower off the bench.

The OVER is 2-0 in Rockets last two games since resting starters combining for 251 points with the Clippers and 249 with the Lakers.  They allowed 140 points to the Lakers and 134 to the Clippers.  They are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games dating back further.  I like guys like Whitmore, Sheppard and Holiday getting a lot of playing time because they are all offense and zero defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Pelicans OVER 234.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team with or without starters.  They have gone 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall finishing with 236 or ore combined points in six of those eight games.

They combined for 237 points with the Suns and 256 with the Jazz in their last two games despite resting starters.  And now they face a Pelicans team that is playing zero defense right now and has incentive to lose.

The OVER is 4-0-1 in Pelicans last five games overall.  They just gave up 153 points to the Heat, who are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They gave up 136 to the Bucks the game prior.  They have gone for at least 232 combined points in four of their last five games, including 257 and 247 in their last two.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Oklahoma City Thunder -12

It's really amazing what the Thunder are doing when they have been resting starters.  They are showing off their impressive depth.  Two games ago they beat the Suns by 13 as 6.5-point favorites without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.  And last game they sat all their starters and beat the Jazz 145-111 as 9-point favorites.

Don't expect the tanking Pelicans to offer any resistance today.  The Pelicans lost 136-111 as 16.5-point dogs to the Bucks and 153-104 as 15-point dogs to the Heat in their last two games coming in.  They have incentive to lose.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Cardinals OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Phillies and Cardinals.  This total is too low when you consider temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis today.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own.  They should tee off on Matthew Liberatore, who has allowed 8 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings this season despite getting to face the Angels and Pirates.  But Zack Wheeler allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to the Braves in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/White Sox UNDER 7

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this UNDER ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox today.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing in from center today in Chicago.

Garrett Crochet is 1-1 with a 1.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.  Crochet is one of the best young starters in baseball, and he'll be motivated to shut down his former team.

Rookie Shane Smith has been dominant in two starts for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his first two starts this season.  He is proving to be a great replacement for Crochet thus far.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Braves/Rays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps approaching 80 and no wind.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving these two teams and starting pitchers today.  These teams combined for 27 hits yesterday.

I caught a break with the Rays scratching Shane Baz and replacing him with Joe Boyle, and I would still play the OVER at 8 or 8.5 as I don't think it has been adjusted up enough for that switch.  Boyle is 5-6 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts and three relief appearances in his career.

Chris Sale clearly isn't in midseason form yet.  Sale has allowed 11 earned runs and 19 hits in 14 2/3 innings in his three starts this season and hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any start.  Sale has allowed 7 earned runs and 16 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Giants/Yankees Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

Two of the best OVER teams in baseball square off today at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The Giants are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and are 9-5 OVER, while the Yankees are scoring 6.5 runs per game and are 9-4 OVER.  These teams combined for 10 and 12 runs in their first two games in this series, and the OVER is now 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Logan Webb has huge home/road splits throughout his career.  This will be a big step up in class for him after getting to face the Reds twice and the Astros in his first three starts.  Webb has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Tigers and Diamondbacks.  Temps will be in the 50's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Yankee Stadium to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Braves/Rays Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two starting pitchers today.

AJ Smith-Shawver has allowed 5 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two starts for the Braves this season.  Drew Rasmussen has been solid, but he takes a step up in class here after facing the Pirates and Rangers.  He has only pitched 5 innings in his first two starts and this will be just his 2nd season as a full-time starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 6-1 OVER in their seven home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2. They finally went under the total in Game 3 for their lone under.  But they got back on the horse with 13 combined runs with the Mets in Game 1 of this series.

I expect the runs to be plentiful today with the forecast.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center. There's not a lot to like about these two starting pitchers, either.

David Peterson has been fortunate this season to only give up 3 earned runs while allowing 2 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  His luck runs out today.  J.T. Ginn will be making his first start of the season for the A's. He went 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 34 innings as a rookie for the A's last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Cardinals OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies and Cardinals today when you consider the forecast and these two starting pitchers.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis today.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.7 runs per game this season while the Phillies are scoring 4.3 runs per game and have frankly underachieved given their offensive talent.

Christopher Sanchez has allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 11 innings in two starts for the Phillies this season.  One of them came against the Rockies, and in the other he was rocked by the Dodgers.

Miles Mikolas has been rocked for 10 earned runs and 16 base runners in 8 innings in two starts this season for the Cardinals.  Mikolas is 0-3 with a 5.47 ERA in his last four starts against the Phillies, allowing 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  Philadelphia is capable of covering this total on its own.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Rockets/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 225

The Lakers have put up big numbers offensively whenever LeBron, Doncic and Reeves have been on the court and healthy.  They have scored at least 116 points in seven of their last nine games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in leading us to an easy OVER winner.

The Houston Rockets are locked into the No. 2 seed with nothing to play for.  They played all their backups last game and while their backups are loaded with offensive talent with the likes of Whitmore, SHeppard and Holiday leading the way, they are terrible defensively.

That was on display last time out in their 134-117 road loss to the Clippers that saw 251 combined points.  They shot 51% as a team including 50% from 3-point range, but they allowed 53% shooting and 51% from 3-point range to the Clippers.  Everything will come easy for the Lakers tonight, but the Rockets will do enough as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE MONTH on San Antonio Spurs +4.5

The Phoenix Suns have no business being favored against anyone.  The Suns are 0-8 SU in their last eight games and 0-9 ATS in their last nine games.  They have already been eliminated from the playoffs.  They are just ready for their season to be over.

The Spurs are locked into their position in the NBA lottery.  They have no incentive to tank anymore.  They have been competitive here down the stretch even when most thought they should be tanking.

The Spurs have gone 2-3 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are coming off a 114-111 upset road win at Golden State as 17.5-point dogs.  They celebrated like they won the title, so these games clearly mean something to them.  They only lost by 5 to the Clippers as 12.5-point road dogs, and the Clippers are playing as well as anyone.  They lost by 1 to the Cavs as 12.5-point dogs, and they upset the Nuggets as road dogs outright.  Bet the Spurs Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Los Angeles Clippers -6

There are only 3 games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds in the West.  Win out and the Clippers will avoid the play-in.  They are max motivated, and they are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.

The Clippers are 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They take on a Sacramento Kings team that really doesn't have much to play for.  They are locked in to the 9th or 10th seed and will be a play-in team.  The only thing left to decide is who gets home-court advantage between them and Dallas.  Well, the Kings own the tiebreaker, so they know they can clinch home court at home against the Suns on Sunday.  The Suns have quit on their season so that will be an easy win if need be.

Injuries are also a problem for the Kings right now.  They are without Malik Monk and could be without Keegan Murray.  They are coming off an 8-point home loss to the Nuggets.  I expect them to get blown out by the Clippers tonight.  Bet the Clippers Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Golden State Warriors -12

The Golden State Warriors are desperate to avoid the play-in.  They currently sit in 7th place in the West tied with 6th place Memphis.  There is only two games separating them and the 3rd place Lakers.  They have a lot to play for.

The Portland Trail Blazers are clearly tanking with all the guys they are resting.  They are without Simons, Henderson, Grant, Avidja and Ayton and could be without Sharpe tonight.  They don't care about winning this game.  They were upset as 6.5-point favorites by the tanking Jazz last time out.  Bet the Warriors Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Clippers/Kings OVER 226.5

The Clippers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch now that they've gotten healthy.  They are 13-7 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  Their last three games have all been shootouts combining for 239 points with the Mavs, 239 with the Spurs and 251 with the Rockets.  They have gone for 239 or more combined points in five of their last nine games overall.

The Kings are 3-1 OVER in their last four games overall.  They have gone for 227 or more combined points in five consecutive games.  This total of 226.5 is very low for a game involving the Kings and Clippers right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cubs/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

These are two of the best lineups in baseball.  This total is too low in a game between these two lineups.  That's especially the case with the forecast looking good in Los Angeles with temps in the 60's and light winds blowing out to center.

Matt Boyd is getting too much respect for his start to the season.  Yoshinobu Yamamoto consistently gets too much respect when he takes the mound for the Dodgers.  This is a great 'buy low' opportunity to fade them both.

The Cubs are scoring 6.4 runs per game this season while the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  Both offenses will have more success than this total of 7.5 indicates.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Mets/A's Interleague Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 5-1 OVER in their six home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2. They finally went under the total in Game 3 for their lone under.

I expect the runs to be plentiful tonight with the forecast.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center.  Griffin Canning is 25-35 with a 4.75 ERA in 517 2/3 innings in the big leagues.  JP Sears is 23-31 with a 4.33 ERA in 436 innings in his career for the A's.

Canning allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against Oakland.  Sears has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his career against the Mets.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Thunder/Jazz OVER 231

Two teams with nothing to play for tonight square off in a game that should feature all offense and zero defense due to the circumstances.  The Jazz are already locked in to a Bottom 3 record in the NBA which gives them a 14% chance of the No. 1 pick.  The Thunder are already locked into the No. 1 seed with home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.

The Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  The Jazz are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 281, 259, 252 and 248 combined points.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Thunder rested their starters last game and still showed they have plenty of offensive firepower when that's the case.  They are still an elite offensive team but take a big step back defensively without their main guys.  The Thunder beat the Suns 125-112 for 237 combined points.  The OVER is 5-2 in Thunder last seven games overall with 236 or more combined points in five of those seven games.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Thunder and Jazz with 237 or more combined points in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Jazz +11.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the West and the best record in the NBA thus home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.  They have zero motivation these final two games and will be playing all their backups.

The Utah Jazz no longer have any reason to tank.  They have clinched one of the three worst records in the NBA and will have a 14% chance at the No. 1 pick as a result.  They are trying to win these final games now.

That was evident last time out when they pulled off the 133-126 (OT) upset as 6.5-point underdogs to the Blazers.  They were celebrating like they won the title.  Look for them to relish this opportunity to beat the top team in the West even if they aren't playing their regulars.  Bet the Jazz Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets -6.5

The Denver Nuggets responded well to the Mike Malone firing.  They beat the Kings 124-116 as 124-116 as 4.5-point road favorites in their first game since firing Malone.  They have a ton to play for with only 3 games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds in the West, and they desperately don't want to have to play in the play-in.  If they win out they will be the 3rd or 4th seed, which would give them home-court advantage in the 1st round.

But this is as much a fade of the Grizzlies as it is a play on the Nuggets.  The Grizzlies are coming off a 141-125 home loss to the Timberwolves last night.  So they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and in their 3rd different city in 4 days, plus in altitude in Denver to boot.  Jackson Jr. played 37 minutes, Bane 38 and Morant 36 last night.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight.

The Nuggets should be very fresh after having yesterday off and playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Denver owns Memphis going 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Grizzlies with all five wins coming by 13 points or more.  Bet the Nuggets Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Raptors +11.5

The Toronto Raptors are locked in to their spot in the NBA lottery.  Even if they weren't, they clearly continue to play hard.  The Raptors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall and have been one of the best covering teams in the NBA all season.

The Mavericks are getting too much respect here with the fact that they still have something to play for, technically.  But the Mavericks trail the Kings by one game and they lose the tiebreaker with the Kings for the 9th seed and home-court advantage in the play-in.  They would have to win out and have the Kings lose out, which they know is unlikely considering the Kings host the Suns in their next game.  The Suns have quit on their season.

I also think it's a flat spot for the Mavericks for another reason.  They are coming off their huge game against the Lakers with Luka Doncic returning to Dallas.  They put a lot into that game and came up short, and it's the type of loss that could beat them twice.  Bet the Raptors Friday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Wizards/Bulls OVER 235

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 2nd in pace this season.  The Bulls are 9-2-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 230 or more combined points in all 12 games.

The Washington Wizards are also a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in pace and 28th in defensive rating.  The Wizards and Bulls have combined for at least 232 points in each of their last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Bucks/Pistons NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Detroit -4.5

The Detroit Pistons get to play the Milwaukee Bucks twice in their final two games.  If they win both, they will overtake the Bucks for the 5th seed.  They showed a lot of fight last night erasing a double-digit deficit to beat the Knicks 115-106 at home.

While it will be the 2nd of a back-to-back for the Pistons, they are still going to be the fresher team.  They had two days off prior to last game.  Meanwhile, the Bucks will not only be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but their 5th game in 7 days.  They are already without Lillard and Portis and I wouldn't be surprised if they are cautious with Giannis tonight.  Bet the Pistons Friday.

20* Interleague Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Rays OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two starting pitchers today.

Bryce Elder has allowed 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 19 innings in his last four starts for the Braves.  Elder allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 1/3 innings in his lone career start against Tampa Bay.

Taj Bradley has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 innings in two starts this season.  Bradley allowed 4 earned runs and one homer in 5 innings in his lone career start against Atlanta.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Reds OVER 8

The Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  It's rare you see a total of 8 or lower in Cincinnati, and we'll take advantage today with 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to right-center.

Both offenses are heating up as the Pirates have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games with the OVER going 5-2 in those seven games.  The Reds are coming off a 6-run effort at San Francisco.

Bailey Falter is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Falter allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings in a 10-4 loss to the Yankees in his last start.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati, both of which came last season.

Brady Singer is 38-44 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 126 career starts.  Singer allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings to the Brewers in his last start.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 19 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Pittsburgh.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Nets OVER 227.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 3rd in pace and play zero defense.  The Hawks are 15-5-1 OVER in their last 21 games overall.  Amazingly, the Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 233 points in 19 of those 21 games, making for a 19-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 227.5-point total.

The Brooklyn Nets are giving their youngsters some run here at the end of the season and they aren't concerned with tanking because they are locked in to their spot in the lottery.  They are all offense and zero defense right now, too.

That is evident by the fact that the Nets are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall.  They won't mind getting in a shootout with the Hawks tonight.  The Hawks and Nets have combined for at least 227 points in six of their last eight meetings.  That includes 236 and 236 points in their first two meetings this season, which both sailed OVER the total as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. 

15* NBA Thursday Night Line Mistake on Detroit Pistons -4.5

The Detroit Pistons have a sneaky motivational advantage over the New York Knicks tonight that isn't being factored into this line enough.  And you can read the tea leaves when you look at the injury report for tonight.

The Pistons come in pissed off coming off two consecutive losses to the Grizzlies and Kings.  They have had the last two days off, so they are rested and ready to go.  They have upgraded both Cade Cunningham and Tobias Harris to probable tonight, and they got good news that they may get Jaden Ivey back in time for the playoffs as well.  They play the Bucks in their final two games, so if they win their last three games they could catch the Bucks for the 5th seed.

The New York Knicks are coming off a heartbreaking OT loss to the Celtics.  It's the type of loss that could beat them twice.  The Knicks are currently the 3rd seed in the East, and they wouldn't mind falling down to the 4th seed to let the Pacers pass them.  That would mean a 2nd round series with the Cavaliers instead of the Celtics, which is what I think the Knicks would prefer.

The Knicks have decided to rest two of their best players in Anunoby and Hart tonight.  I wouldn't be surprised if Brunson and Towns are on a minutes restriction as well.  They clearly aren't concerned with winning their final three games of the season.  They just want to get healthy for the playoffs after injuries took their toll on the Knicks in the playoffs last year.  I'll gladly back the healthier, more rested and more motivated team tonight laying the short number at home.  Bet the Pistons Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Angels/Rays OVER 8

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's this afternoon.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8 is too low for a game involving these two starting pitchers today.

Jose Soriano allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 1/3 innings to the Guardians in his last start.  Soriano has allowed 5 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.

Zack Littell allowed 5 earned runs in 7 innings to the Rangers in his last start.  Liittell allowed 3 earned runs and a home in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against the Angels.  Los Angeles has an underrated offense this season scoring 4.9 runs per game thus far.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Rockets/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -6.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are playing better than anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 12-2 SU & 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They rank 1st in net rating (17.1) by a wide margin which is 5 points better than 2nd place (OKC, 12.1) during this stretch.

This run has jumped the Clippers all the way up to 4th place in the West and within one game of the Lakers for the Pacific Division title.  They are in a 4-way tie for the 4th through 7th seeds, so they are one loss away from having to play in the play-in as well.  They cannot afford to take their foot off the gas.

I like the fact that the Clippers rested Kawhi Leonard last night in anticipation of him playing tonight against the Rockets.  While several guys played big minutes for the Clippers last night as a result, they should still be pretty fresh considering they had two days off prior to that game.

While the Clippers have a lot to play for, the Rockets are locked in to the No. 2 deed in the West.  They have zero motivation over their final three games.  They have decided to rest Fred VanVleet tonight, and they may rest Sengun as well as he is listed as questionable.  I'll gladly back the healthier, more motivated team playing the better basketball at home tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blazers/Jazz OVER 229

Two teams with nothing to play for tonight square off in a game that should feature all offense and zero defense due to the circumstances.  The Jazz are already locked in to a Bottom 3 record in the NBA which gives them a 14% chance of the No. 1 pick.  The Blazers were just eliminated from playoff contention and are guaranteed to finish either 21st or 22nd.

The Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 7th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  The Jazz are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall with 281, 252 and 248 combined points.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Blazers are 6-3 OVER in their last nine games overall finishing with 229 or more combined points in seven of those nine games.  So this total of 229 is also very low for a game involving the Blazers.  

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 231 or more combined points in four of those five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Heat/Bulls OVER 225.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 2nd in pace this season.  The Bulls are 8-2-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 231 or more combined points in all 11 games.  That makes for an 11-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 225.5-point total, which is very low for a game involving the Bulls right now.

The Miami Heat have also been trending OVER here of late.  They are 3-1 OVER in their last four games.  The OVER is 4-2 in the last six meetings with 234 or more combined points in three of their last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -3.5

I jumped on the Magic -3.5 last night in anticipation that the Boston Celtics would rest their starters.  The Celtics were coming off a 117-115 (OT) win at New York last night in which Tatum played 47 minutes, White 42, Porzingis 38 and Holiday 37.  The Celtics are locked in to the No. 2 seed in the East as well, so they have nothing to play for over the final three games.

Indeed, the Celtics have decided to rest starters with Tatum, White, Porzingis, Holiday and Horford all ruled out and Brown listed questionable.  Their only concern now is keeping guys healthy for the playoffs to make another title run.

The Magic have something at stake and are playing like it.  They are trying to lock down the 7th spot in the play-in which would give them their best chance to make the playoffs.  Orlando is 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in its last nine games overall.

The Magic will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back as well after a 119-112 home win over the Hawks last night, but they had 4 days off prior to that game so they should still be pretty fresh.  And they will be pushing their guys to play again tonight with the 7th seed at stake.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

20* Orioles/DBacks Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

These are two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game while the Orioles are scoring 4.6 runs per game thus far this season.  Both offenses will have their way with these two starting pitchers today.

Dean Kremer has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 9 2/3 innings this season.  Kremer allowed 6 runs, 3 earned, and 8 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against Arizona last season.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in two starts this season.  Pfaadt allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings to the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/A's OVER 9.5

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 5-0 OVER in their five home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2.  It will be another slug fest today with two fly ball pitchers in Randy Vasquez of the Padres and Osvaldo Bido of the A's.

Vasquez is 6-10 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 146 1/3 innings in the big leagues with just 100 K's.  He has allowed 18 homers with 1.1 HR/9 innings.  Bido is 8-8 with a 4.35 ERA in 124 innings.  Both youngsters will get lit up today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Rangers/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rangers and Cubs today.  There are expected to be 10-20 MPH winds blowing out to left field at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field today.

The Cubs are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 10-3 OVER in all games this season and scoring 6.7 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own this afternoon.

Tyler Mahle has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.  Shota Imanaga is getting too much respect from the books after his great start to the season.  The Rangers are a heavy right-handed lineup that will take advantage of that wind blowing out to left today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/A's OVER 8

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 4-0 OVER in their four home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 of this series last night.  Oddsmakers are failing to adjust for Game 2 once again with this total set at 8 runs again.

Dylan Cease has allowed 12 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the A's.  Jeffrey Springs allowed 5 runs in 3 innings to the Cubs in his lone home start this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Warriors/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State -7

The Golden State Warriors are in a four-way tie for the 5th through 8th seeds in the West.  There is only two games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds as well.  With all these teams motivated to avoid the play-in, we can expect max effort from these six teams the rest of the way.

The Warriors and Steph Curry in particular will be motivated to bounce back from an upset home loss to the Houston Rockets on Sunday.  Curry had his worst game of the season finishing with just 3 points on 1-of-10 shooting.  That was a rare loss for the Warriors, who are 19-3 in games in which Curry and Butler have started together since trading for Butler.

Now the Warriors play a dead Phoenix Suns team that is just ready for this season to be over.  The Suns are 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall with all six losses coming by double-digits.  Golden State will win by double-digits tonight as well.  Bet the Warriors Tuesday.

15* Orioles/DBacks Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

These are two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.4 runs per game while the Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game thus far this season.  Both offenses will have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Charlie Morton has been rocked for 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his first two starts for the Orioles this season.  Morton has allowed 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Arizona.

Merrill Kelly has been rocked for 10 earned runs, 3 homer sand 19 base runners in 9 innings in his first two starts this season for the Diamondbacks.  Kelly allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 1/3 innings in his last start against Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a four-way tie for the 5th through 8th seeds in the West.  There is only two games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds as well.  With all these teams motivated to avoid the play-in, we can expect max effort from these six teams the rest of the way.

While the Timberwolves are max motivated, the Milwaukee Bucks have questionable motivation the rest of the way.  They will either be the 5th or 6th seed in the East.  There's not much difference as their opponent will either be the Knicks or Pacers.  They just want to keep Giannis healthy and give themselves their best chance to make a run in the playoffs.

The Timberwolves are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, clearly showing how motivated they are to get out of the play-in.  I'll gladly back the better, more motivated team tonight laying a short number here.  Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday.

15* Rangers/Cubs Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

This total is too low for a game involving these two starting pitchers.  The books are giving too much credit to the cold temperatures in Chicago tonight.

Patrick Corbin is an absolute gas can, and it's shocking the Rangers are making him a part of their rotation this season.  Corbin has made at least 31 starts in four consecutive seasons for the Nationals and has amazingly posted a 5.20 ERA or worse in all four seasons.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.

Jameson Taillon has posted a 3.91 ERA or worse in four of his last five seasons and a 4.10 ERA or worse in three of them.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his two starts this season.  Taillon has allowed 12 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Hornets OVER 230

The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 1st in pace this season, and this total of 230 is very low for a game involving the Grizzlies.  That's especially the case with Ja Morant expected to return to the lineup from illness tonight.

The Charlotte Hornets will finish with one of the three worst records in the NBA which means they will give themselves their best chance of getting the No. 1 pick as the three worst teams all have a 14% chance.  They won't be concerned with tanking tonight, and they will gladly get up and down with the Grizzlies while playing zero defense.

The Hornets are coming off 248 combined points with the Bulls, a similar team to the Grizzlies that ranks 2nd in pace and also likes to play super fast.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Grizzlies and Hornets, and these teams combined for 252 points in their first meeting this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -3.5

I love the spot for the Orlando Magic tonight.  They are max rested as they have had the last four days off! They are also max motivated clinging on to the 7th seed and a one-game lead over the Atlanta Hawks for 1st place in the Southeast Division.  They host the Hawks tonight and will be max motivated to get it done.

The Magic have found their groove going 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only losses coming to the Clippers and Mavericks.  They have home wins over the Lakers by 12 and the Kings by 30 during this stretch, and they have one of the better home-court advantages in the NBA.

The Hawks have gone the other direction, going 2-5 SU in their last seven games with their two wins coming over the Jazz at home and Bucks on the road.  They play zero defense, and that's what is going to kill them not only tonight but in the playoffs as well.  Bet the Magic Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Pacers OVER 235.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Washington Wizards visit the Indiana Pacers.  The Wizards rank 4th in pace while the Pacers rank 8th in pace this season, so this game will be up-tempo.

The Pacers have gone 5-1-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 239 or more combined points in five of those seven games.  That includes their 162-109 win over the Wizards for 271 combined points on March 27th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Angels/Rays AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The Rays are capable of covering this 8-run total on their own tonight.  They should tee off on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  But the Angels are quietly scoring 5.1 runs per game thus far this season and can contribute to this total as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+130)

The Tampa Bay Rays come into this series with the Los Angeles Angels highly motivated for a victory.  After a 4-1 start to the season, the Rays have since lost four consecutive games.  They get back on track with a blowout win tonight due to their massive advantage on the mound.

They should tee off on Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  Hendricks is washed up, and it's shocking the Angels took a chance on him, which just goes to show you how poor their rotation is going to be this season.

Shane Baz was dominant in his first start this season firing 6 shutout innings with 10 K's in a 7-0 home win over the Pirates.  Baz went 4-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 14 starts for the Rays last season.  He allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in all 14 starts, and he has now allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts dating back to last season.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Blue Jays/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The forecast will help us cash this OVER ticket between the Blue Jays and Red Sox today.  There are expected to be 20-30 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Fenway Park tonight.

The Red Sox are scoring 5.9 runs per game and capable of covering this total on their own tonight against youngster Easton Lucas.  After getting to face Washington in his first career start, this is now a big step up in class for Lucas.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+115)

The Boston Red Sox have a massive advantage on the mound tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays.  It should lead to them winning this game by multiple runs to bounce back from their Game 1 loss to Toronto.

Garrett Crochet is one of the best starters in baseball.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his first two starts this season against the Rangers and Orioles, so this will be a step down in class for him.  Crochet fired 6 shutout innings in a 5-0 win over the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them.

Youngster Easton Lucas has a 7.71 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in 23 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He had a 8.64 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in spring training as well.  Lucas takes a big step up in class here against Boston after getting to face the Nationals in his first start.

The Red Sox also have a big advantage at the plate as they are scoring 5.9 runs per game while the Blue Jays are only scoring 3.7 runs per game this season.  I fully expect Boston to win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Marlins/Mets OVER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Marlins and Mets this afternoon.  There are expected to be 25-30 MPH winds blowing out to right at Citi Field which will aid hitters in a big way today.

I like the fact that this is a rematch from a 6-5 win by the Mets on April 2nd in Miami.  Connor Gillispie and Clay Holmes both started in that game, so hitters will be seeing them again for a 2nd time in less than a week.  That always favors the hitters.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/A's OVER 8

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 3-0 OVER in their three home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs in their first three games at Sutter Health Park.  Oddsmakers are failing to adjust for Game 1 of this series against the San Diego Padres with this total set at 8 runs.

Both Michael King and Luis Severino are fly ball pitchers, which doesn't bode well for them tonight.  This will be the first road start of the season for King away from pitcher-friendly Petco Park.  Severino allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings to the Cubs in his lone home start this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Diamondbacks OVER 8

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off in Game 1 of this series between the Baltimore Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season.  These teams are a combined 13-6 OVER in their 19 games this season.

Zach Eflin is getting too much respect from the books tonight.  He has allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings thus far.  Zac Gallen consistently gets too much respect for the Diamondbacks.

Gallen allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings in his lone home start this season against the Cubs.  Gallen has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Florida/Houston Championship Game No-Brainer on Houston +1.5

The Houston Cougars are 34-4 this season with all four losses coming by 5 points or fewer, including three in OT.  They have only lost one game since December 1st and that was a 1-point loss to Texas Tech in OT.  They are battle-tested and have come out on top in almost all of their close games since December.

The Cougars had the toughest route to championship game by far.  It started with beating Gonzaga, which was the most under-seeded team in the entire tournament.  Then they beat the defending runners-up in Purdue in a dog fight in what was essentially a home game for the Boilermakers being played in Indianapolis.  Tennessee had the home-court advantage in the Elite 8 in Indianapolis, but it didn't matter as the Cougars put together their most complete performance of the season in a wire-to-wire job in a 69-50 win over Vols.

Now it's Houston that gets the home-court advantage.  The Final 4 is being played in the Alamodome in San Antonio.  Houston is the 9th team to play in its home state in the Final 4 since 1975. Those teams playing in their home state have gone 8-1 SU in the previous nine instances, including all three underdogs winning outright.

That includes their 70-67 win over Duke in the Final 4.  Things were going against Houston for 30 minutes that they were able to overcome.  Uzan got two early fouls and picked up his 4th foul early in the 2H and played just 28 minutes total.  The Cougars overcame a 14-point deficit in the 2H and a 6-point deficit in the final minute to beat a Duke team that almost everyone thought would win the title after running through everyone else.

Florida is fortunate to be here.  The Gators survived a dog fight against 8th seed UConn, they needed a double-digit comeback in the final few minutes to beat Texas Tech, and they overcame a double-digit deficit in the 2H against Auburn.  They got to face Auburn with a hobbled Broome as well.  This is where the luck for the Gators runs out.

Florida hasn't face a team that plays with the physicality and toughness that Houston does defensively.  The Cougars rank 1st in adjusted defense and 360th in adjusted tempo.  They drag you in the mud and make you play their game.  And I think they should get the benefit of the whistle with this essentially being a home game for them being played in San Antonio.  No question the Cougars feel like they can't lose at this point after that comeback win over Duke.  They are playing with extreme confidence, and I trust Kelvin Sampson to make the proper adjustments over Todd Golden of the Gators.  Bet Houston Monday. 

15* Rockets/Warriors NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Golden State -5.5

The Golden State Warriors are 19-2 SU in their last 21 games in which both Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler start.  The Warriors are highly motivated for wins right now to avoid the play-in.

And that's the difference in this game.  The Houston Rockets are pretty much locked in to the No. 2 seed in the West after their huge upset win over the Thunder last time out.  That sets them up for a massive letdown spot here.  

The Warriors own the Rockets going 16-1 SU in their last 17 meetings with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Amazingly, 14 of those 16 wins have come by 6 points or more.  Bet the Warriors Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +20.5

The Washington Wizards are locked in to one of the three worst records in the NBA which gives them their best odds at the No. 1 pick in the draft.  They aren't concerned about tanking anymore as a result, and that has shown in their play here of late.

The Wizards are 2-0 ATS in their last two games upsetting the Kings 116-111 as 13.5-point dogs and covering in a 12-point loss to the Magic the very next night as 15-point dogs.  Now the Wizards have had the last two days off and will relish this opportunity to try and take down the defending champs.

The Boston Celtics are the team with questionable motivation here down the stretch.  They are locked in to the No. 2 seed now in the East.  They won't care about trying to beat the Wizards, let alone beat them by margin.  Tatum and Brown are questionable to play tonight as well.  The Wizards haven't lost any of their last four meetings with the Celtics by more than 20 points.  Bet the Wizards Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Night Line Mistake on San Antonio Spurs +5

The San Antonio Spurs are the exact type of team you can make money on down the stretch of the NBA season.  They continue to play hard despite being eliminated from postseason contention.

The Spurs have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are coming off two huge efforts upsetting the Nuggets on the road and only losing to the Cavaliers by 1 at home as 12.5-point dogs.

The Blazers are 2-5 SU in their last seven games overall and dealing with a plethora of injuries right now.  Ayton, Grant and Henderson are out, while Simons and Avidja are questionable.  Those are their five best players.  

Given the injury report, they should not be 5-point favorites here.  This is also a tough spot for the Blazers returning home from a 5-game road trip and playing in their 3rd different city in 4 days.  Bet the Spurs Sunday.

20* Lakers/Thunder NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 230

The Los Angeles Lakers are a dead nuts OVER team with an elite offense and a terrible defense.  The Lakers are 12-4 OVER in their last 16 games overall with 232 or more combined points in 11 of their last 15 games.

The Thunder are 3-1 OVER in their last four games overall with 236 or more combined points in three of those four games.  The Thunder have scored at least 119 points in eight of their last 10 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Astros +108

The Minnesota Twins have one of the worst lineups in baseball.  They should not be favored over the Houston Astros today when you consider they are at a huge disadvantage on the mound.

Chris Paddack is 27-25 with a 4.53 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  Paddack went 5-3 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 17 starts for the Twins last season.  He was blasted for 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 1/3 innings by the lowly White Sox in his first start this season.

Ronel Blanco is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 15-8 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 230 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Blanco went 13-6 with a 2.80 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 29 starts in his first full season as a starter for the Astros last season.  Bet the Astros Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Royals OVER 7.5

These are two of the most potent lineups in the American League.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Royals are scoring 4.0 runs per game thus far.  The OVER is 2-0 in the first two meetings in this series with 10 and 9 combined runs.  It will be more of the same in Game 3 today as these teams easily combine to top this 7.5-run total.

Cade Povich is 3-9 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 17 starts in the big leagues.  The youngster allowed 3 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in a 8-5 win over the Red Sox in his first start this season.

Kris Bubic is 12-29 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 361 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Bubic allowed 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in a 7-5 win over the Orioles in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Bulls/Hornets NBA Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 227.5

The Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 3rd in pace this season.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in Bulls last nine games overall with 231 or more combined points in all nine games.  That makes for an 9-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 227.5-point total.  This is a very low total for a game involving Chicago.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* NCAA Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Houston +5

The Houston Cougars are 34-4 this season with all four losses coming by 5 points or fewer, including three in OT.  They have only lost one game since December 1st and that was a 1-point loss to Texas Tech in OT.  They are battle-tested and have come out on top in almost all of their close games since December.

The Cougars had the toughest route to the Final 4 of any of the four remaining teams, and especially much tougher than Duke's path.  It started with beating Gonzaga, which was the most under-seeded team in the entire tournament.  Then they beat the defending runners-up in Purdue in a dog fight in what was essentially a home game for the Boilermakers being played in Indianapolis.  Tennessee has the home-court advantage last round in Indianapolis, but it didn't matter as the Cougars put together their most complete performance of the season in a wire-to-wire job in a 69-50 win over Vols.

Now it's Houston that gets the home-court advantage here.  The Final 4 will be played in the Alamodome in San Antonio.  Houston is the 9th team to play in its home state in the Final 4 since 1975. Those teams playing in their home state have gone 7-1 SU in the previous eight instances, including both underdogs winning outright.

Duke has played four pretty soft, guard-oriented teams to get here.  The last three wins came against Baylor, Arizona and Alabama.  Arizona from the Big 12 gave them their toughest test in a 7-point defeat.  Houston went 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS against Arizona this season.

Duke has struggled against more physical, defensive-minded teams that slow down the tempo.  Their last loss came against Clemson, which ranks 327th in adjusted tempo and 17th in adjusted defense.  They also lost to fellow Big 12 opponent Kansas earlier this season, and the Jayhawks rank 11th in adjusted defense.  Kansas lost both meetings with Houston this season.

Duke hasn't seen a team that will challenge them physically and mentally like Houston will.  The Cougars rank 360th in adjusted tempo and 1st in adjusted defense.  But this is also the best offense of the Kelvin Sampson era with the Cougars ranking 10th in adjusted offense.  The trio of guards in Cryer, Uzan and Sharpe can match that of Duke, and Roberts, Francis and Tugler are a trio of big men that are tough to deal with inside.  

I expect Houston to win the majority of the loose balls and to feed off of what will feel like a home crowd in San Antonio.  This line should be much closer to PK.  Finally, the Cougars want revenge from a 54-51 loss to Duke in the Sweet 16 last season.  Jamal Shead got hurt in the 1H in that game and wasn't able to return, and it made all the difference.  The Cougars get their revenge in the Final 4 one year later.  Bet Houston Saturday.

15* Houston/Duke Final 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 137

Two of the best defenses in the country square off in the Final 4 when Houston meets Duke in the spacious Alamodome in San Antonio.  These basketball games that are played in football stadiums all tend to be lower scoring.  We saw that play out in Indianapolis in the Sweet 16 and the Elite 8.

Houston is a dead nuts UNDER team as it is, and the Cougars played a 62-60 dog fight with Purdue for 122 combined points and another 69-50 defensive battle with Tennessee for 119 combined points in their two games in Indianapolis.  The Cougars rank 1st in adjusted defense this season and 360th in adjusted tempo as only four teams in the entire country play slower than they do.

Duke also doesn't like to push the pace ranking 268th in adjusted tempo and 4th in adjusted defense.  Few teams have been able to do what Duke did to Alabama last game.  The Blue Devils held the Crimson Tide to just 65 points and totally took them out of their game.  But Duke has gotten away with playing four poor, undersized defensive teams thus far in the tournament in Mt. St. Mary's, Baylor, Arizona and Alabama.  The Blue Devils haven't faced a team as physical and ferocious defensively as Houston is.  

This is a rematch from a 54-51 win by Duke and just 105 combined points in the Sweet 16 last season.  While I don't expect it to be that low-scoring again, I fully expect it to stay UNDER this 137-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Mariners/Giants OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants are quietly a dead nuts OVER team dating back to last season.  They have a much better lineup than they get credit for, the wind always tends to be blowing out in San Francisco, and their rotation is suspect.  The Giants are scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.

The OVER is 4-1 in Giants last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  That includes their 10-9 win and 19 combined runs against the Seattle Mariners in Game 1 of this series yesterday.

The forecast sets us up for another slug fest with temps in the 60's and 20 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco in Game 2 tonight.  Bryce Miller allowed 3 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings to the A's in his first start this season.  Robbie Ray allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 1/3 innings to the Reds in his first start this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/76ers OVER 224.5

The Philadelphia 76ers have been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch with all offense and no defense while also playing fast.  The 76ers are 12-4-1 OVER in their last 17 games overall with 228 or more combined points in 12 of those 17 games.  This is a very low total for a game involving the 76ers right now.

The Timberwolves have also been an OVER team here down the stretch now that they are fully healthy.  The Timberwolves are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall with 227 or more combined points in eight of their last 10 games overall.  This is also a very low total involving Minnesota right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Memphis Grizzlies -2

The Memphis Grizzlies are desperate for wins here down the stretch.  They sit in 8th place in the West but have a great chance to get out of the play-in altogether with a big finish considering just 2 games separate the 3rd through 8th seeds in the West.  It is a logjam and it's going to be a wild finish to the regular season as a result.

After a brutal schedule with four straight losses to the Thunder, Lakers, Celtics and Warriors, the Grizzlies finally got a break and ended their losing streak with a road win at Miami at the buzzer.  It's the kind of win the team can rally around to close out the season.

Now the Grizzlies get to face the Pistons, who are dealing with injuries to Cade Cunningham and Tobias Harris.  It's a tired Pistons team that will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 117-105 win at Toronto against the tanking Raptors last night.  The Pistons will now be playing in their 3rd different city in 4 days with a lot of travel involved in between.

The Pistons don't have a lot on the line here down the stretch.  They will either be the 5th or 6th seed in the East.  There's not much difference there as they will either face the Knicks or Pacers in the 1st round.  They don't need these games nearly as much as the Grizzlies do.  Bet the Grizzlies Saturday.

15* Florida/Auburn Final 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 161.5

The Final 4 will be played in the spacious Alamodome in San Antonio that seats 70,000 fans.  These basketball games that are played in football stadiums tend to be lower scoring due to the poor shooting backgrounds.  We saw that play out in Indianapolis in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8.  UNDERS went 3-0 in those three games.

The last 15 Final 4 games with a total of 160 or higher went 10-5 UNDER.  Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games, and Florida and Auburn being from the SEC and having already played once this season will know what to expect when they meet again in the Final 4.

Florida ranks 10th in adjusted defense while Auburn ranks 8th in adjusted defense.  Both teams hang their hats on defense.  The Tigers may have to do that even more now with their best player hampered as Johnni Broome suffered an elbow injury against Michigan State.  He was nursing that elbow the entire way when he returned, and there's no way he'll be 100% even though he will likely play through it.

Auburn is 5-1 UNDER in its last six games overall with 152 or fewer combined points in all six games, including 146 or fewer in five of the six.  Florida went for 152 combined points with UConn, 158 with Maryland and 163 with Texas Tech in its last three games coming in.  Florida needed 4 straight made 3-pointers and 25-of-27 from the FT line to escape with a victory in a very high-scoring final couple minutes against Texas Tech.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Dodgers/Phillies NL Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

Two of the best lineups in baseball square off today against two vulnerable starting pitchers.  The books have set this total too low all things considering, and I'll gladly back the OVER.  The Dodgers are scoring 5.2 runs per game while the Phillies are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.

Roki Sasaki has been a disappointment for the Dodgers to this point allowing 3 earned runs and 13 base runners in 4 2/3 innings.  Aaron Nola was rocked for 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings by the Nationals in his first start this season.  Nola has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 24 2/3 innings in his last four starts against the Dodgers for a 5.47 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Nuggets/Warriors NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 235

Both the Nuggets and Warriors are trending OVER here lately.  The Warriors are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall combining for 254, 259 and 239 points.

The Nuggets get all their players back tonight after they all rested last game against San Antonio.  They have been a dead nuts OVER team as long as Jokic is healthy and playing.  They went for 238 or more combined points in three of their last four games in which that was the case.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State Warriors PK

The Golden State Warriors are 18-4 in their last 22 games overall and have been dominant since trading for Jimmy Butler.  Despite playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, Steve Kerr stated that all his starters would play again tonight after a road win over the Lakers last night.

It's a short travel back home for Golden State, and they should be favored here instead of PK.  The Nuggets are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall and have been overvalued for weeks.  It will be the 3rd game in 4 days for the Nuggets, who are banged up right now.  Bet the Warriors Friday.

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -110

I love the spot for the Cleveland Guardians tonight.  They were just swept by the San Diego Padres, who along with the Dodgers remain the only unbeaten teams left in MLB.  Now they take a huge step down in class here tonight against the Los Angeles Angels.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Angels after a 4-2 start to the season.  They were aided by getting to play the White Sox and Cardinals, and now the Angels take a big step up in class here against the Guardians.

Gavin Williams has posted a 4.03 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 33 starts for the Guardians over the last couple seasons.  Williams has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts, including 2 earned runs in 5 innings to the Royals in his first start this season.

Jose Soriano is getting too much respect after shutting out the lowly White Sox in 7 innings in his first start this season.  Soriano allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against the Guardians last season.  Bet the Guardians Friday.