15* Thunder/Grizzlies ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 246.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Grizzlies rank 1st in pace while the Thunder rank 6th in pace, so this game is going to see a ton of possessions.

The Thunder are 15-4-1 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  They have gone for seven straight OVERS with 250 or more combined points in each of their last six games.  The Grizzlies are 4-1 OVER In their last five games overall with 252 or more combined points in four of those five games.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is out for the Grizzlies with an injury, and he is the current favorite to win NBA Defensive Player of the Year.  Now the Grizzlies are without their best defender, so they will be even more offense and less defense with Zach Edey taking his place in the lineup.  The Thunder will be without Alex Caruso, who is one of their best defenders and provides very little offensively.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Tennessee/Ole Miss ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Ole Miss +4

The Tennessee Volunteers are in a big letdown spot after a 79-76 home win over Alabama on a 3-pointer at the buzzer.  The Vols have been much more vulnerable on the road, going 4-4 SU & 3-5 ATS in SEC road games with three of those wins coming by single-digits.

Ole Miss is 11-3 SU at home this season.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  This is a game I fully expect the Rebels to win outright.  Bet Ole Miss Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mavs/Bucks UNDER 225.5

Injuries just keep piling up for the Dallas Mavericks.  It was announced yesterday that Kyrie Irving suffered a season-ending torn ACL.  They were already without Davis, Gafford, Lively and PJ Washington which is basically 5 starters.  SG Jaden Hardey is out with an ankle injury suffered in the same that that Kyrie got hurt.

The Mavericks were held to just 98 points by the Kings in that game.  They are going to be fielding a G League roster for this game with Milwaukee.  I would be surprised if the Mavericks exceed 100 points tonight as they'll be lost without Irving.

I considered taking the Bucks, but they are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 127-121 shootout win in Atlanta last night.  I wouldn't be surprised if they rest one or more of Giannis, Lillard and Kuzma.  They probably thing they can beat the Mavericks without these guys.

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  These teams just played on Saturday, March 1st, so they are very familiar with one another.  Irving had 31 points and Hardy had 16 points in that game, so that's 47 points they will be without in the rematch.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Tech -17.5

Texas Tech just got two of its best players back from injury in McMillan and Williams in time to upset Kansas on the road over the weekend.  Now the Red Raiders are at full strength and one of the best teams in the country when that's the case.  They rank 7th in KenPom and are one of my favorite long shot bets to win the NCAA Tournament.

I expect the Red Raiders to make easy work of Colorado, which is the worst team in the Big 12 at 2-16 in conference play this season.  The Buffaloes made me some money lately because they were undervalued for a stretch, but now it's time to fade them tonight.

The Buffaloes just lost one of their best players in Julian Hammond (12.4 PPG) in a 9-point loss at Kansas State in their last game.  They can't afford to be without him.  Colorado is 0-9 SU in Big 12 road games this season with seven losses by double-digits.

This will be Senior Night for the Red Raiders so they should be fully focused and ready to go. They should also be fresh playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.  I look for them to put it on the Buffaloes and win this game by 20-plus tonight.  Bet Texas Tech Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Wizards OVER 230.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 10th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  They play another dead nuts OVER team tonight in the Washington Wizards, who rank 4th in pace and 28th in defensive rating.

The Jazz are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 233 or more combined points in 11 of those 13 games.  The Wizards get Jordan Poole back for this game and he means everything to them offensively, but he's also one of the worst defenders in the NBA.  They played two low-scoring games without him, but the last time he suited up they went for 250 combined points with Portland.

The Jazz and Wizards have combined for at least 231 points in each of their last four meetings, making for a 4-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 230.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +10.5

Don't look now but the Blazers are just four games back from the play-in in the WEst.  The teams they are chasing are the Mavericks and Suns, who both look to be tanking and in downward spirals.  The Blazers have put themselves in this position by going 15-6 SU & 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.

Portland boasts one of the most talented young rosters in the NBA that doesn't get much publicity playing in the Pacific Northwest.  The Blazers showed what they were capable of by taking the Cavaliers to OT on the road two games ago, then avoided the letdown the very next night with a 17-point win in Philadelphia, which was almost equally impressive.

Now I expect the Blazers to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight.  The Celtics are in a precarious position right now.  They know they can't catch the Cavs for 1st place in the East, so they are pretty much locked into the No. 2 seed.  They will have questionable motivation the rest of the way because of it.

The Celtics are also dealing with a ton of injuries heading into this game.  They are without Porzingis and Holiday, and now both Tatum and Brown are questionable to play tonight.  Boston should not be favored by double-digits here.  Bet the Blazers Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rhode Island/St. Joe's OVER 153.5

Rhode Island is very much an OVER team ranking 43rd in adjusted tempo.  The Rams are 17-10 OVER in all games this season.  The Rams are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games with 157 or more combined points in five of them.

St. Joe's is one of the best offensive teams in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have scored at least 75 points in six of their last seven games overall.  They rank 135th in adjusted tempo so they don't mind getting up and down.

The OVER is 3-0 in Hawks last three games overall, including 166 combined points with Fordham last time out.  This will be yet another shootout involving Rhode Island tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Florida/Alabama ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on OVER 177.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 1st in adjusted tempo, 5th in average length of offensive possession and 3rd in adjusted offense.  Florida also profiles as an OVER team ranking 4th in adjusted offense, 69th in adjusted tempo and 39th in average length of offensive possession.

Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 179 points in five of its last six games overall, so this total of 177.5 isn't too high for a game involving the Crimson Tide.

The OVER went 3-0 in three meetings between Alabama and Florida last season alone with 190 or more combined points in all three games.  The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings dating back further.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Xavier -1

The Xavier Musketeers are fully healthy and playing as well as anyone in the Big East right now.  The Musketeers have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall to play themselves onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.

Xavier is coming off a 22-point home win over Creighton.  Joe Lunardi has them listed on the First 4 Out line, so they know they still have some work to do to make the NCAA Tournament.  That's why they won't have a letdown here off the Creighton win and despite the fact that they just beat Butler by 13 at home a few weeks ago.

Butler is 6-12 in Big East play this season with all six wins coming against teams that rank in the bottom half of the conference standings, and five of them coming against the bottom 3 teams in the Big East.

I like the fact that Xavier is rested playing just its 2nd game in 10 days with that 22-point win over Creighton being their lone game during this stretch.  I expect a big effort from the Musketeers tonight.  Bet Xavier Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on George Washington -3

George Washington is going for its 20th win this season and has been one of the more underrated teams in the country.  The Colonials will be motivated to get that 20th win tonight, and I like the value we are getting on them as short 3-point favorites.

Fordham is 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall and just ready for this season to be over.  The Rams have lost five of those six games by 9 points or more with the lone exception being a 4-point loss at Richmond, which is 10-20 this season.

Fordham's last three home games have been a disaster losing by 17 to Dayton, by 14 to St. Joe's and by 11 to Davidson.  The Colonials have actually pulled outright upsets in two of their last three road games at Davidson by 7 and at St. Bonaventure by 10.  Bet George Washington Wednesday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State/UCF OVER 163.5

These are two dead nuts OVER teams that play at the fastest pace in the Big 12.  UCF ranks 13th in adjusted tempo while Oklahoma State ranks 20th.  So this game will see a ton of possessions.

We saw what happened when these teams got together just a few weeks ago with Oklahoma State winning 104-95 for 199 combined points.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.

It's not like either team shot lights as neither team shot better than 47% from the field.  They combined to go 14-of-51 (27.5%) from 3-point range, so if anything there is room for improvement in the shooting department in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on La Salle/George Mason UNDER 134.5

George Mason profiles as a dead nuts UNDER team.  The Patriots rank 320th in adjusted tempo, 213th in adjusted offense and 22nd in adjusted defense.  They allow just 60.1 points per game on 36.7% shooting at home this season.

La Salle is one of the worst offensive teams in the country.  The Explorers rank 251st in adjusted offense and 347th in effective FG percentage.  They are scoring just 66.5 points pre game on 38.8% shooting in conference play this season.

The UNDER is 5-1 in La Salle's last six games overall with 138 or fewer combined points in five of those six games, including 133 or fewer in four of them.  They have shot less than 40% from the floor in each of their last seven games.

George Mason is a 14-point favorite tonight so there's a good chance it will be a blowout and fouls won't come into play in the final minutes, which will help us cash this UNDER ticket.  This is my favorite UNDER on the NCAA hardwood tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* Maryland/Michigan Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on OVER 153.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off in Big Ten play Wednesday night when the Maryland Terrapins visit the Michigan Wolverines.  Michigan ranks 61st in adjusted tempo and 22nd in average length of offensive possession, while Maryland ranks 53rd and 23rd, respectively.

So both teams like to get shots up quickly, which will mean a ton of possessions and more opportunities for points in this contest.  Maryland has scored at least 83 points in four of its last six games.  Michigan is coming off consecutive shootouts combining for 166 points with Rutgers and 166 points with Illinois.

Maryland is averaging 82.1 points per game while Michigan is averaging 79.6 points per game this season.  I think both teams get close to 80 in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* BYU/Iowa State ESPN 2 No-Brainer on OVER 149

Iowa State is now fully healthy with Jones, Gilbert and Momcilovic back in the lineup.  The Cyclones rank 101st in adjusted tempo and 21st in adjusted offense despite being without these guys at various points this season.  They are a dangerous offensive team when fully healthy as this is the best offense of TJ Otzelberger era by far.

Speaking of elite offense, the BYU Cougars rank 12th in adjusted offense this season.  They rank 4th in effective FG percentage and 26th in 3-point percentage.  They are a very tough team to defend, and that has really been on display here down the stretch.

The Cougars are 6-0 SU in their last six games overall while scoring at least 73 points in all six games, including 91 or more three times.  The Cougars are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall with 148 or more combined points in seven of their last 10 games.  The only games that went under that total were two games against a dead nuts under team in WVU and Kansas State.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* New Mexico/Nevada MWC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 147.5

New Mexico is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in adjusted tempo this season.  The Lobos are scoring 82.7 points per game this season.  They are 3-1 OVER in their last four games with 161 or more combined points in three of those four.  This total of 147.5 is very low for a game involving the Lobos.

Nevada has been playing much better offensively here down the stretch going 6-2 OVER in its last eight games overall while scoring at least 69 points in seven of those eight games.  The Wolf Pack can hang with the Lobos in a shootout as they have already proven that once.

New Mexico beat Nevada 82-81 at home for 163 combined points in their first meeting this season.  Amazingly, neither team shot it that great.  New Mexico shot 46.9% overall while Nevada shot 42.4% overall, yet they still combined for 163 points.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Utah -3.5

The Utah Utes have one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  They have gone 15-3 SU & 12-6 ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by nearly 15 points per game.  Utah is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five Big 12 home games.

West Virginia is all defense and no offense.  The Mountaineers are just 4-8 SU in their last 12 games overall and dangerously close to missing out on the NCAA Tournament.  They have huge home/road splits this season, going 1-6 SU & 3-4 ATS in their last seven Big 12 road games including two straight blowout road losses to BYU by 21 and Texas Tech by 22.

Now the Mountaineers have to play back-to-back games in altitude after that 77-56 loss at BYU on Saturday, they turn around and have to play in Utah on Tuesday.  They have a very short rotation to boot with zero depth.  I don't expect it to go very well for them tonight.  Bet Utah Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nets/Spurs OVER 224

The San Antonio Spurs are really trying to push the tempo with De'Aaron Fox.  That was on display in their last two games beating Memphis 130-128 for 258 combined points and losing to Oklahoma City 146-132 for 278 combined points.  This total of 224 is too low for a game involving the Spurs, who will control the tempo playing at home tonight.

The Brooklyn Nets got good news on the injury front heading into this one as they are expected to have both Cam Thomas (24.3 PPG) and De'Angelo Russell (12.9 PPG, 5.1 APG) healthy for this one.  That makes them a much more potent offensive team, and they should be able to keep up with the Spurs tonight in a shootout as a result.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota Timberwolves -12

The Minnesota Timberwolves are 3-6 SU in their last nine games overall to fall into 9th place in the West in in danger of missing the playoffs.  But this was their toughest stretch of the seasons as they played OKC three times and actually beat them twice.  Five of the losses came to Cleveland, Milwaukee, Houston, OKC and the LA Lakers.

Now the Timberwolves get a break in the schedule and should do some damage moving forward, starting tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers.  I like the fact that the Timberwolves can't afford to take anyone lightly right now, so there will be no letdown for them.  Look for them to put it on the 76ers for four quarters.

Philadelphia (21-39) has nothing to play for at this point.  The 76ers are playing like it going 1-10 SU & 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They are coming off a 119-102 home loss to Portland last night, a Blazers team that was playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game against the Cavaliers the night before.  It was a pitiful performance by the 76ers.

Now it's the 76ers who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, and injuries are mounting.  They have already ruled out Tyrese Maxey for this one.  Kyle Lowry is also out, and Paul George, Quentin Grimes and Justin Edwards are all questionable.  Kelly Oubre is battling illness as well.  This one has blowout written all over it tonight.  Bet the Timberwolves Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Villanova -3.5

The Villanova Wildcats have played their way onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament by going 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  This will be their regular season finale against Georgetown and it is a must-win.

Villanova also wants revenge from a 64-63 home loss to Georgetown on January 20th.  Big man Thomas Sorber (14.5 PPG, 8.5 RPG, 2.0 BPG, 1.5 SPG) had 15 points and 11 rebounds in that matchup.

Well, the Hoyas are without Sorber for the rest of the season now.  It has not gone well without him in their last three games with three straight losses by double-digits, including a 15-point home loss to Marquette last time out.  Villanova will dominate the paint in Sorber's absence which will be the difference in this game tonight.  Bet Villanova Tuesday.

15* Warriors/Knicks TNT ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 231.5

Stephen Curry suffered an ankle injury last night in a 119-101 win at Charlotte.  He is listed as questionable to play tonight, and I would like the UNDER even if he does play.  The Warriors may be cautious with him and sit him anyway since it's the 2nd of a back-to-back.

The Warriors have been dominant defensively all season, but especially since trading for Jimmy Butler.  They rank 8th in defensive rating on the season, including 4th in their last seven games where they have gone 6-1 SU during this stretch.

The New York Knicks have clearly put an emphasis on defense coming out of the All-Star Break.  The UNDER would be 5-1 in their six games since the break if not for OT.  They have gone for 227 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation in five of those six games.  They have allowed 105 points or fewer at the end of regulation in three of those six games.

Karl-Anthony Towns is questionable to play for the Knicks tonight as well, and he means everything to them offensively.  The Knicks and Warriors have combined for 231 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last 11 meetings, making for an 11-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 231.5-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Indiana Pacers -4

The Houston Rockets have really struggled without Fred VanVleet, whom they will be without again tonight.  Their performance on the road has been very concerning going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games including upset losses at Brooklyn and at Utah.

This is a tough spot for the Rockets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 137-128 loss at Oklahoma City last night.  Now they have to play an Indiana Pacers team that loves to push the tempo and will test their tired legs.  This is a very banged up Rockets team with now with several guys playing through injury.

The Pacers have been dominant at home going 18-9 SU at home this season, including 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with their only loss coming to the Nuggets on the 2nd of a back-to-back while the Nuggets were rested.  They beat the Bulls by 15, the Raptors by 20, the Clippers by 18 and the Grizzlies by 14 in their four home wins during this stretch.  Bet the Pacers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Magic UNDER 209.5

This will be a rematch from a 104-102 victory by Toronto on Sunday just two days ago.  Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and I love backing UNDERS in this situation when teams play each other for a 2nd time in 3 days.

Amazingly, the Magic and Raptors combined for just 206 points on Sunday despite these teams combining to make 58 of 72 free throws.  There won't be that many free throws again in the rematch as that is an absurd amount.

The Magic are a dead nuts UNDER team going 39-23 UNDER in all games this season.  The Magic rank 29th in pace, 28th in offensive rating and 2nd in defensive rating this season.  They just got the news that Jalen Suggs would undergo season-ending surgery, and they have been so poor without him offensively running the show.  Now backup PG Cole Anthony is questionable.

The Raptors are playing slower right now and really struggling offensively.  They rank 24th in pace, 28th in offensive rating and 10th in defensive rating in their last nine games.  They have been held to 108 points or fewer in six of those nine games.

The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 207 or fewer combined points in each of the last four.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Seton Hall +10.5

The Creighton Bluejays aren't playing well enough to be double-digit road favorites against Seton Hall tonight.  The Bluejays are 2-3 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They were upset at home by UConn and had lackluster home wins over Georgetown by 11 as 12.5-point favorites and over DePaul by 10 as 16-point favorites.  They lost by 6 at St. John's and by 22 at Xavier in their two road games.

The Seton Hall Pirates have been a very tough out at home here of late.  They are 3-0 ATS in their last three home games with an upset win over UConn as 13.5-point dogs.  They also only lost to Xavier by 7 as 9.5-point dogs and Villanova by 5 as 8-point dogs.  I think at worst they lose this game by single-digits tonight.

Seton Hall wants revenge from a 79-54 road loss at Creighton on January 25th.  The Pirates only trailed by 4 at halftime but the Bluejays went off in the 2nd half.  Creighton shot 58.3% as a team and 42.3% from 3 for the game, and it's hard to see them shooting nearly that well again in the rematch.  Seton Hall is only allowing 66.1 points per game and 43.9% shooting at home and will make the proper adjustments to hold Creighton in check in the rematch.  Bet Seton Hall Tuesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on UTSA +9

The Memphis Tigers are coming off a huge 88-81 road win at UAB on Sunday as 1-point underdogs.  That win assured that they can now clinch the AAC title with either a win tonight or a home win over USF on Friday.  Knowing they have that game against USF at home in their back pocket, I think this is a huge letdown spot for the Tigers.

UTSA is one of the most underrated teams in the AAC due to its poor 11-17 record this season.  But the Roadrunners are so much better than that record would indicate when you look at the results.  UTSA is 1-6 SU in its last seven games but the six losses all came by 7 points or fewer, so they have been very unlucky in close games.

UTSA took out its frustration with a 84-56 home win over Rice last time out.  Now the Roadrunners will treat this game against ranked Memphis as their 'national championship' game tonight.  An upset win here would make their season.

UTSA will be playing just its 2nd game in 9 days, while Memphis will be playing its 4th game in 10 days.  The Roadrunners have the rest and preparation advantage, and I have no doubt they will be the more motivated team tonight.  Bet UTSA Tuesday.

20* ACC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Miami/Georgia Tech OVER 148.5

The Miami Hurricanes are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 69th in adjusted offense but just 339th in adjusted defense.  The Hurricanes are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall combining for 149 points with Virginia Tech, 157 with Duke and 165 with North Carolina.

Georgia Tech is playing in some high-scoring games here down the stretch as well.  The Yellow Jackets are 5-3 OVER in their last eight games overall.  They rank 110th in adjusted tempo and like to play faster.  I don't expect much defense being played in this game with both teams with nothing to play for and looking ahead to the ACC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* UNC/VA Tech ESPNU No-Brainer on OVER 149.5

North Carolina is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 30th in adjusted tempo, 22nd in adjusted offense and 78th in adjusted defense.  The OVER is 6-0 in Tar Heels last six games overall with 150 or more combined points in five of those six games with the lone exception being 147 against a dead nuts under team in Virginia.

Virginia Tech is 5-3 OVER in its last eight games overall.  The Hokies are coming off a 101-95 (OT) home win over Syracuse in which the game was tied 82-82 at the end of regulation for 164 combined points.  I expect another shootout tonight as this 149.5-point total is very low for a game involving UNC right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Heat UNDER 219.5

The Miami Heat are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank 28th in pace, 19th in adjusted offense and 12th in adjusted defense.  They combined for just 210 points with New York at the end of regulation in their last game.

The Washington Wizards were more of an over team before trades and injuries.  They were an over team before trading away Kyle Kuzma, and they are even less of an over team now that Jordan Poole (21.0 PPG) is out with an injury.  Malcolm Brogdon (12.7 PPG) is also out.

So the Wizards are relying on old veterans like Kris Middleton and Marcus Smart, and they are a dead nuts UNDER team in their current form.  That has played out recently with the Wizards going 4-1 UNDER in their last five games with 213 or fewer combined points in four of those five games.

The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four meetings between the Heat and Wizards with 218 or fewer combined points in three of those four meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Wake Forest/Duke ESPN No-Brainer on Wake Forest +20.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Duke Blue Devils.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall while continuing to cover massive numbers.  But this has also been their easiest stretch of the conference seasons with their last six wins coming against Stanford, Cal, Virginia, Miami, FSU and Illinois.

Now the Blue Devils have their toughest test since a 77-71 road loss at Clemson.  Wake Forest hung right with Duke at home on January 25th in their first meeting losing 63-56 as 11.5-point dogs.  Now they are 20.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for flipping home courts.

Wake Forest kept its NCAA Tournament hopes alive with a 74-71 home win over Notre Dame last time out.  It's time to 'buy low' on the Demon Deacons after failing to cover each of their last three.

This is the rare season where the Demon Deacons have actually played their best basketball on the road.  They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.  They haven't lost a road game by more than 15 points all season.  They haven't lost any of their 29 games by more than 17 points all season, making for a 29-0 system backing the Demon Deacons pertaining to this 20.5-point spread.

This is their last ditch effort to make the NCAA Tournament with an upset of Duke.  They'll be 'all in' tonight, while Duke could be caught looking ahead to its regular season finale against rival UNC.  Bet Wake Forest Monday.

15* CBB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Wake Forest/Duke UNDER 145

It's time to 'buy low' on an UNDER tonight.  Wake Forest is 3-0 OVER in its last three games overall, while Duke is 5-0 OVER in its last five games overall.  As a result, books have set this number higher than it should be.

Consider that the 1st meeting between Duke and Wake Forest this season had a total of just 136, so this 145-point total has been set 9 points higher in the rematch.  This despite the fact that Duke beat Wake Forest 63-56 for 119 combined points in that first meeting in an absolute defensive battle.

Both teams profile as UNDER teams because they both play slow, so there will be fewer possessions.  Duke is 262nd in adjusted tempo and 4th in adjusted defense, while Wake Forest is 198th in adjusted tempo, 45th in adjusted defense and just 137th in adjusted offense.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Timberwolves/Suns ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 231.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been without Rudy Gobert in each of their last five games and will be without him again tonight.  Four of the five were shootouts because they have had to go more small ball and are a much better offensive team with their small ball lineups, but they miss the Defensive Player of the Year on the other end immensely.

The OVER is 4-1 in Timberwolves last five games overall combining for 236 points with Houston, 253 with Oklahoma City, 242 at the end of regulation with OKC and 233 with Utah.  Naz Reid has been thriving playing center scoring at least 22 points in six of his last seven games.  Small ball has also meant more minutes for youngsters Terrance Shannon Jr. and Rob Dillingham, who are all offense and zero defense.

The Suns are a dead nuts OVER team right now.  They are 11-4 OVER in their last 15 games overall with 227 or more combined points in all 15 games.  They have gone for 233 or more combined points in each of their last five games out of the All-Star Break.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Timberwolves and Suns with 234 or more combined points in all four.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Thunder/Spurs ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 236

The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team right now going 13-4-1 OVER in their last 17 games overall.  They have gone for 250 or more combined points in four consecutive games coming in.  That includes their 129-121 win at Brooklyn against a Nets team that ranks dead last in offensive rating and dead last in pace.

The San Antonio Spurs are certainly more of an OVER team with De'Aron Fox running the show and without Defensive Player of the Year candidate Victor Wembenyama.  We saw their potential last night when they beat Memphis 130-128 for 258 combined points.  This total of 236 is too short tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Memphis/UAB ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 159.5

Both Memphis and UAB are dead nuts OVER teams.  Memphis ranks 41st in adjusted tempo while UAB ranks 89th in adjusted tempo, so there will be a ton of possessions in this game which will lead to more points.  UAB is 36th in adjusted offense but just 276th in adjusted defense.

UAB had no answer for Memphis in their first meeting this season losing 100-77 on the road for 177 combined points.  The Blazers shot just 38.5% as a team in that game and still scored 77, so they are obviously due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 177, 193 and 185 combined points.  This total of 159.5 is very short for a game involving UAB and Memphis.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +11.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They had a huge 4th quarter comeback last time out to beat the Boston Celtics 123-116.  That win all but locked up the No. 1 seed in the East for the Cavaliers.  They are fat and happy now, and they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Blazers today.  I expect them to fall flat on their faces.

Helping our cause is the fact that the Cavaliers will be without their best player in Donavan Mitchell (24.3 PPG), who scored 41 to lead the comeback against Boston on Friday.  They don't have their leader on the court which is another reason they are ripe for a letdown.

The Blazers have quietly gone 14-5 SU & 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  That includes 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games coming out of the All-Star Break.  They have a ton of young talent that not too many bettors know about because they get buried in terms of NBA coverage.  They'll give the Cavaliers a run for their money today.  Bet the Blazers Sunday.

15* Evansville/Illinois State MVC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 142.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off today when Illinois State hosts Evansville in this MVC showdown.  This total of 142.5 is too short when you look at how both of these teams are trending right now.

Evansville is 10-2 OVER in its last 12 games overall with 145 or more combined points in nine of those 12 games.  Illinois State is 12-2 OVER in its last 14 games overall with 142 or more combined points in 10 of those 14 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Valparaiso/Illinois-Chicago MVC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 153.5

Both Valparaiso and Illinois-Chicago profile as OVER teams.  Valparaiso is 17-11 OVER in all games and 9-4 OVER in road games.  The Beacons rank 124th in adjusted tempo and 282nd in adjusted defense.

Illinois-Chicago is 16-11 OVER in all games and 7-4 OVER in home games.  The Flames rank 75th in adjusted tempo, 141st in adjusted offense and 203rd in adjusted defense.  Both teams like to play fast so there will be a lot of possessions and very little defense being played.

Illinois-Chicago won 81-74 at Valparaiso in their first meeting this season for 155 combined points.  Neither team shot it well so there is room for improvement.  The Flames shot 44.1% overall and 31.6% from 3, while the Beacons shot 44.1% overall and 30% from 3.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MVC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Murray State/Belmont OVER 150

Belmont is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Bruins rank 39th in adjusted tempo, 64th in adjusted offense and 278th in adjusted defense.  The Bruins are 19-10 OVER in all games and 11-3 OVER in home games.  They will control the tempo playing at home today.

Murray State is 13-4 OVER in road games this season.  They struggle to control the tempo on the road because they like to play slower.  They are coming off two shootouts losing 85-83 to Bradley and beating Indiana State 85-75.

Belmont beat Murray State 95-77 for 172 combined points in their first meeting this season.  So we have 22 points to work with in the rematch with this total of just 150.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Wisconsin/Michigan State CBS ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin +4.5

The Wisconsin Badgers are better than the Michigan State Spartans.  They should not be catching points here, and the books are giving the Spartans too much credit for home-court advantage.  This is a game I fully expect the Badgers to win outright.

The Badgers are 14-3 SU & 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  The three losses came by 2 to UCLA, by 8 to Maryland after blowing a late lead and in OT to Oregon after blowing a double-digit lead.  They are very close to being 17-0 during this stretch.

The spot is a bad one for the Michigan State Spartans.  After upsetting rival Michigan on the road, they beat Maryland on a 3-pointer at the buzzer on the road.  Now they return home fat and happy.  Remember, they recently lost to Indiana as 11.5-point home favorites.  Bet Wisconsin Sunday.

15* Nuggets/Celtics ABC ANNIHILATOR on Denver +5

The Boston Celtics blew a huge lead in the 4th quarter to the Cleveland Cavaliers last time out and lost 123-116.  That was their last stand to try and catch the Cavaliers in the East for the top seed.  Now they are pretty much locked into the No. 2 seed, and I question their motivation the rest of the way.  I think it's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.

The Denver Nuggets are fighting for the No. 2 seed in the West and are playing their best basketball of the season. The Nuggets are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games overall and will give the Celtics a run for their money tonight.  That's especially the case with the Celtics without two starters in Holiday and Porzingis.  Bet the Nuggets Sunday.

15* Nuggets/Celtics ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 234.5

I love taking UNDERS in these early start time games in the NBA because players aren't used to playing this early.  They tend to be sleep walking through these games.

I also like the fact that the Celtics will be without Kristaps Porzingis, so they aren't nearly as explosive offensively with him on the sidelines.  They have to hang their hats more on defense.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* SIU/Indiana State MVC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 156

Indiana State is a dead nuts OVER team going 20-8 OVER in all games this season.  The Sycamores rank 10th in adjusted tempo this season playing as fast as almost anyone in the country.  They will control the tempo playing at home today.

Southern Illinois also likes to get up and down ranking 140th in adjusted tempo.  The Salukis are coming off two very high scoring games losing 83-79 to Valparaiso for 162 combined points and beating Illinois State 88-79 for 167 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Gonzaga/San Francisco ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco +9.5

San Francisco has been one of the most underrated teams in the country here down the stretch.  The Dons are 9-2 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their two losses both coming on the road to the two best teams in the conference in St. Mary's and Gonzaga.

They avenged their loss to St. Mary's with a 65-64 home win over the Gaels as 5-point dogs.  Now they are looking to avenge their 88-77 road loss at Gonzaga and are catching 9.5 points in the rematch.  They are due some positive shooting regression after shooting 43.3% in that first meeting while the Bulldogs shot 52.3%, yet they only lost by 11 on the road.

While this isn't a true home game, it will still be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco so it will feel like one.  And San Francisco is 16-0 SU at home this season.  Bet San Francisco Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +8

Boston College is 6-3 ATS in its last nine games overall.  That includes three OT losses to UNC and Syracuse on the road and Notre Dame at home.  They beat VA Tech by 18 and Georgia Tech by 15 before going on the road and losing by 18 at Stanford.

I think that 18-point loss at Stanford last time out has the Eagles undervalued coming into this game against California.  That was a tough travel spot, but now the Eagles have been out West for the last three days and have had time to adjust.  They should come back with a much better effort against Cal tonight.

This is also a big step down in class for the Eagles against Cal, which is 0-5 SU in its last five games overall.  The Bears have no business being this big of a favorite tonight.  Bet Boston College Saturday.

20* WCC GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland ML -135

No team is flying under the radar quite like the Portland Pilots here down the stretch.  The Pilots are 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  That includes outright upsets victories over Oregon State by 12 as 13.5-point dogs, Loyola-Marymount by 11 as 5-point dogs and Pacific by 8 as 3-point dogs.  The Pilots only lost by 13 at Saint Mary's as 23.5-point dogs as well.  They also beat Pepperdine by 20 twice.

ATS margin is a great way to tell just how undervalued a team is.  Well, the Pilots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall while covering the spread by a combined 79.5 points in those five games, or an average of roughly 16 points per game.  They have covered all five games by at least 10.5 points.

The Pilots remain undervalued as short road favorites against a San Diego team that has nothing to play for and is locked into the last seed in the WCC Tournament.  The Toreros are 4-26 this season, including 0-16 SU in their last 16 games overall.  They lost by 10 at Portland in their first meeting this season, and it will be more of the same in the rematch.  Bet Portland on the Money Line Saturday.

20* Arizona/Iowa State ESPN No-Brainer on Iowa State -6

Iowa State is going to be fully healthy for this game with Keshon Gilbert (14.1 PPG, 4.5 APG) returning to the lineup.  Curtis Jones (16.9 PPG) returned to the lineup last game, and Milan Momcilovic (10.6 PPG) looks back to full strength after missing seven games in the middle of conference season.  Iowa State's only loss this season when fully healthy came at the buzzer against No. 1 Auburn on a neutral.

Off an upset loss at Oklahoma State and out for revenge on Arizona, I expect a huge effort from the Cyclones today.  They didn't lose a single home game all last year and they have lost just one home game this season.  The Cyclones are 33-1 SU in their last 34 home games.  They have arguably the best home-court advantage in the entire country, and it will be lit inside Hilton Coliseum for a Saturday night game.

Iowa State lost at Arizona in OT after Caleb Love hit a 65-footer at the buzzer to force OT.  The Cyclones have been in a bit of a spiral since, but it has been more due to injuries than to the nature of that defeat.  They avenge that loss in a big way with a blowout home win tonight.  Bet Iowa State Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Memphis Grizzlies -9

The Memphis Grizzlies are very predictable.  They struggle against the top teams in the NBA, but they crush the worst teams in the NBA like the San Antonio Spurs.  I think we are getting the Grizzlies at a discount after an upset home loss to the New York Knicks last night.

The books are factoring in that that Grizzlies are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But the Grizzlies are one of the deepest teams in the NBA so they can handle these situations better than most.  Plus, there is zero travel involved as the Grizzlies get to stay at home, and they should still be pretty fresh considering they had two days off prior to last night's loss to New York.  The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU & 7-3 ATS when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back this season.

The San Antonio Spurs have been a disaster since losing Victor Wembenyama to a season-ending injury.  The Spurs are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 15 at home to Detroit, by 18 at New Orleans, by 6 at New Orleans and by 12 at Houston.

The Grizzlies have owned the Spurs this season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in three meetings.  They won by 14 and by 28 in San Antonio and by 19 at home.  Wembenyama had 27 points in that 19-point loss, 13 points, 12 rebounds and 8 blocks in that 14-point loss, and 19 points, 12 rebounds and 6 blocks in that 28-point loss.  He'll be missed in the 4th and final meeting to say the least.  Bet the Grizzlies Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Rockets OVER 227

The Sacramento Kings are fully healthy and thriving offensively right now.  They have scored at least 118 points in six of their last seven games overall.  I think they'll at least reach that number again tonight.

The Houston Rockets are also thriving offensively scoring at least 115 points in three of their four games coming out of the All-Star Break.  They have been playing faster without PG Fred VanVleet and they are fully healthy otherwise.

This will be the 3rd meeting between the Kings and Rockets this season.  Each of the first two were high-scoring as the Kings won 120-111 for 231 combined points and 132-127 for 259 combined points.  It will be more of the same here tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Rhode Island/UMass OVER 155.5

This matchup between Rhode Island and UMass will see more possessions than almost any other game today.  Rhode Island ranks 33rd in adjusted tempo while UMass ranks 39th in adjusted tempo.

Rhode Island has really been an OVER team since getting fully healthy here down the stretch going 5-2 OVER in its last seven games with 157 or more combined points four times.

That includes their 88-82 home win over UMass on January 29th that saw 170 combined points.  So we have 14.5 points to work with in the rematch here, and I think we get there easily considering UMass shot just 41.7% in that first meeting.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Vanderbilt +3

Vanderbilt is 13-2 SU & 10-5 ATS at home this season.  The Commodores have impressive home wins over Ole Miss, Texas, Kentucky and Tennessee this season.  Now they are ready to add Missouri to the list.

The Commodores want revenge on the Tigers, who won 75-66 in Columbia in their first meeting this season.  Vanderbilt shot 40.4% while Missouri shot 49% in that game.  It's safe to say the Commodores are due some positive shooting regression at home in the rematch.

Missouri is just 3-5 SU in true road games this season coming off a 7-point loss at Arkansas.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

25* CBB GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati +15

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Houston Cougars.  Houston is coming off two very satisfying wins over Iowa State at home and Texas Tech on the road.  The win over the Red Raiders was extra sweet because they avenged an earlier home loss to them.

But those two wins come with a big asterisk.  Iowa State was without its top two scorers and the Cougars were in a dog fight with them eventually winning by 9 as 11.5-point closing favorites.  And then they lucked out against Texas Tech who was without 2 of its top 3 scorers as late scratches.  The Cougars took a ton of money and needed to pull away in the final seconds to win by 8.

Now let's look at what Houston has on deck.  They have Kansas on deck at home for Senior Night on Monday and could easily be looking ahead to that game.  They close the season at Baylor.  So this is the ultimate sandwich spot after facing ISU and Texas Tech with Kansas and Baylor on deck.  This is where the Cougars will be flat, which will make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 15-point spread.

Cincinnati is playing its best basketball of the season right now fighting hard to make the NCAA Tournament.  A win over Houston would stamp their ticket and they know it.  The Bearcats are 5-2 SU & 5-0-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They won by 10 at UCF, by 18 at home over BYU, by 10 at home over Utah, by 12 at home over TCU and by 2 at home over Baylor.  They only lost by 11 at Iowa State as 11.5-point dogs and by 3 at WVU as 3-point dogs.

Five of the last six meetings between Cincinnati and Houston have been decided by 13 points or fewer.  This one will be much closer than expected.  I like the fact that both teams play slow so this game will see very few possessions.  Houston ranks 361st in adjusted tempo while Cincinnati ranks 294th.  Houston hasn't won any of its last 10 games by more than 15 points, making for a 10-0 system backing the Bearcats pertaining to this 15-point spread.  Bet Cincinnati Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Xavier ML -135

The Xavier Musketeers are fully healthy and playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They have been off since February 23rd, so they have had an entire week to rest and prepare to get revenge on Creighton.

Creighton beat Xavier 86-77 at home in their first meeting this season on January 29th.  Xavier shot 42.4% from the field while Creighton shot 52.6% from the field, so the Musketeers are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

Xavier is 13-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season.  Their only two losses came to St. John's by 10 and Marquette by 2.  They have won each of their last five home games including a victory over UConn.  They have one of the better home-court advantages in the Big East.

Creighton is struggling down the stretch going 2-2 SU & 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games overall.  The Bluejays were upset at home by UConn and had lackluster home wins over Georgetown by 11 as 12.5-point favorites and DePaul by 10 as 16-point favorites.  They also lost at St. John's in their lone road game during this stretch.  Bet Xavier on the Money Line Saturday.

15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on Cincinnati/Houston OVER 125.5

Houston got to face Iowa State without its top two scorers and got to 127 combined points and Texas Tech without two of its top three scorers and got to 130 combined points in its last two games coming in.  The Cougars and their opponents have combined for at least 127 points in seven of their last eight games overall to make for a 7-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 125.5-point total.  This is the best Houston offense of the Kelvin Sampson era ranking 8th in adjusted offense.

Cincinnati is 5-2 OVER in its last seven games overall with 136 or more combined points in six of those seven games.  That makes for a 6-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 125.5-point total.  The Bearcats are really thriving offensively here down the stretch scoring at least 69 points in six of their last seven games overall.  This is such a low total for how these two teams are trending.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado State ML -135

Colorado State is 12-2 SU & 9-5 ATS at home this season with one of the better home-court advantages in the Mountain West.  The Rams are 12-3 SU & 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall and grossly undervalued.  All three losses came on the road to three of the top teams in the conference in SDSU, New Mexico and Utah State.

Now the Rams want revenge on the Aggies after losing 93-85 to them on the road in their first meeting this season.  Utah State shot 59.3% from the field while Colorado State shot just 45.5%.  The Aggies also shot 12-of-23 (52.2%) from 3-point range and still only won by 8.  It's safe to say the Rams are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch.

Utah State has been vulnerable on the road.  They have road losses to Boise State, UNLV and New Mexico and barely beat Wyoming by 4 and Fresno State by 8, which are two of the worst teams in the conference.  They are coming off a 17-point loss at Boise State.  Bet Colorado State on the Money Line Saturday.

20* Auburn/Kentucky ABC No-Brainer on Kentucky +5.5

Kentucky is close to back to full strength and a very dangerous team when that's the case.  Lamont Butler (12.3 PPG, 4.7 APG) returned from a three-game absence to help lead the Wildcats to an 83-82 win at Oklahoma last time out.  He should be even stronger in this game.

Kentucky has been a wagon at home this season.  The Wildcats are 14-2 SU at home with impressive wins over Vanderbilt by 21, Tennessee by 11, South Carolina by 23, Texas A&M by 12 and Florida by 6.  They know they can play with Auburn at home.

Auburn has already clinched at least a share of the SEC title and will have a hard time being all that motivated over their final three games of the season because of it.  I think they are ripe for an upset today.  Bet Kentucky Saturday.

20* SEC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Auburn/Kentucky OVER 164.5

Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team especially since they have a healthy Lamont Butler (12.3 PPG, 4.7 APG) back in the lineup after a three-game absence.  The Wildcats rank 36th in adjusted tempo, 6th in adjusted offense and just 62nd in adjusted defense.  They have scored at least 75 points in nine consecutive games and 82 or more in three straight.

Auburn also prefers to play faster ranking 124th in adjusted tempo and 1st in adjusted offense.  They are a tough team to tame on offense, and that has been on display scoring at least 80 points in eight of their last nine games overall while going 7-2 OVER in those nine games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on South Carolina ML -115

South Carolina finally picked up its first SEC win of the season in a 84-69 home win over Texas.  Predictably, the Gamecocks fell flat on their faces last game losing by 30 at Missouri.  Now it's time to 'buy low' on the Gamecocks today.

It's time to 'sell high' on Arkansas, which has gone 5-3 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Razorbacks were getting by without Boogie Fland (15.1 PPG, 5.7 APG) after he suffered a season-ending injury.  But now they are also without Adou Thiero (15.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.7 SPG), and they cannot afford to be without both of them.

South Carolina is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six SEC home games with that 15-point win over Texas, plus a 4-point loss to Ole Miss as 4-point dogs, a 4-point loss to Texas A&M as 5.5-point dogs, a 5-point loss in OT to Mississippi State as 7-point dogs, a 1-point loss to Florida as 11.5-point dogs and a 3-point loss to Auburn as 16.5-point dogs.  The Gamecocks have shown they can play with the top teams in the league at home, and now they actually take a big step down in class here against the Razorbacks and should take advantage.  Bet South Carolina Saturday.

15* ACC Total DOMINATOR on Clemson/Virginia OVER 131.5

The books keep setting these Virginia totals too low because they play slow.  Virginia is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games overall and 14-3 OVER in its last 17 games.  Virginia and its opponents have combined for at least 130 points in 11 consecutive games and 133 or more nine times.

Clemson is 5-1 OVER in its last six games overall with 148 or more combined points in five of those six games.  The Tigers have scored at least 72 points in all six games and 77 or more five times.  Virginia has scored at least 73 points in six of its last eight games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Miami/UNC OVER 160.5

North Carolina is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 30th in adjusted tempo and 22nd in adjusted offense.  The Tar Heels are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 170 or more combined points in three of those five games.

Now they face the perfect OVER partner in the Miami Hurricanes.  Miami is 6-3 OVER in its last nine games overall with 166 or more combined points three times.  The Hurricanes rank 67th in adjusted offense but just 334th in adjusted defense.  UNC will likely hang close to 100 to lead the way in us cashing this OVER ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 Total DOMINATOR on St. Joe's/Fordham OVER 150

St. Joe's is an elite offensive team that has scored at least 72 points in 16 of its last 20 games overall and 75 or more in 15 of those.  They face a terrible Fordham defense that ranks 240th in adjusted defense.

The Rams like to pay fast as they rank 52nd in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home.  The OVER is 6-2 in Rams last eight games overall.  The OVER is 3-0 in St. Joe's last three games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big East Total DOMINATOR on UConn/Providence OVER 144.5

Providence has quietly been a dead nuts OVER team in Big East play this season.  The OVER is 11-3 in Friars last 14 games overall with 146 or more combined points in 10 of those 14 games.

UConn is back to full strength and showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Huskies are 2-0 OVER in two games combining for 164 points with St. John's and 172 points with Georgetown.  Concerning is the fact that the Huskies have allowed 89 points to St. John's and 79 to Georgetown as they have taken a huge step back defensively this season.

UConn beat Providence 87-84 at home in their first meeting this season in regulation.  So that games saw 171 combined points, meaning we have nearly 27 points to work with in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Timberwolves/Jazz OVER 225

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Jazz are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 236 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  The Jazz rank 12th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating this season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been without Rudy Gobert in each of their last four games and will be without him again tonight.  Three of the four were shootouts because they have had to go more small ball and are a much better offensive team with their small ball lineups, but they miss the Defensive Player of the Year on the other end immensely.

The OVER is 3-1 in Timberwolves last four games overall combining for 236 points with Houston, 253 with Oklahoma City and then 242 at the end of regulation with OKC.  Terrible shooting last night kept their game against the Lakers under the total as the Wolves shot 41.7% and the Lakers shot 41.5%.  

Naz Reid has been thriving playing center scoring at least 22 points in five of his last six games.  Small ball has also meant more minutes for youngsters Terrance Shannon Jr. and Rob Dillingham, who are all offense and zero defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Utah Jazz +2.5

This is a very tough spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 111-102 road loss to the Los Angeles Lakers last night.  This comes after an OT game against the Thunder in their previous game.

Making matters wore for the Timberwolves is that they will be without Gobert and Randle tonight and likely Anthony Edwards, who is in line to be suspended after receiving his 16th technical.

Now the Timberwolves have to travel to Salt Lake City to face the Jazz in altitude.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight, and this is a game I fully expect the Jazz to win outright.

They Jazz are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games with outright upset wins over the Rockets as 7.5-point dogs, the Lakers as 9.5-point dogs, the Warriors as 6.5-point dogs and the Magic as 4-point dogs.  Bet the Jazz Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Memphis Grizzlies -2.5

I love the spot for the Memphis Grizzlies tonight.  They want revenge from their worst loss of the season falling 143-106 at New York on January 27th.  That was a tough spot for the Grizzlies playing their 3rd game in 4 days while the Knicks were playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.

Now it's the Grizzlies in the favorable spot in the rematch.  They come in on two days' rest and fully healthy with the exception of Desmond Bane listed as questionable.  The Knicks will be playing their 5th game in 9 days and are dealing with some key injuries.

Karl-Anthony Towns and Josh Hart are both questionable for the Knicks tonight.  They haven't played well at all out of the All-Star Break.  They are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with narrow home wins over the Hawks by 1 and the Bulls by 2 both in OT.  They lost by 37 at Cleveland and by 13 at Boston, and they needed a late run to put away the lowly 76ers by 5 as 10-point home favorites.

The Grizzlies are 22-6 SU & 18-10 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  Bet the Grizzlies Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Bulls OVER 234.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 3rd in pace and 26th in defensive rating this season.  The Bulls are 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 235 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  This total of 234.5 is very short for a game involving the Bulls.

The Toronto Raptors are 7-4 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 230 or more combined points in six of their last 10 games.  They have plenty of guard talent with Barrett, Quickley, Dick and Mitchell.  Both teams will be going a lot of small ball tonight which favors OVERS.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Thunder/Hawks OVER 240.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Atlanta Hawks.  Both teams like to run and gun as the Hawks rank 2nd in pace while the Thunder rank 7th in pace.  This will be the highest-scoring game of the night Friday.

The Thunder are 12-4-1 OVER in their last 17 games overall.  They have gone for 250 or more combined points in three consecutive games coming in.  That includes their 129-121 win at Brooklyn last time out against a Nets team that ranks dead last in offensive rating and dead last in pace.

The Atlanta Hawks are 7-5 OVER in their last 12 games overall.  They have gone for 240 or more combined points in seven of those 12 games, including 251 or more in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cavs/Celtics ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 232

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will already be the 4th meeting between the Cavaliers and Celtics this season.  These are also the top two teams in the East, so defensive intensity will be high tonight in this National TV game.

After combining for 237 points in their first meeting this season. the Celtics and Cavs have gone on to combine for just 226 points in their 2nd meeting and 217 points in their 3rd meeting.  This trend toward the under should continue tonight in their 4th and final meeting.

The Celtics have been a dead nuts UNDER team since returning from the All-Star Break.  They are 5-1 UNDER in their last six games overall with 228 or fewer combined points in all six games, and 223 or fewer in five of them.

The Cavaliers have been impressive defensively allowing 108 or fewer points in five of their last six games overall.  The only team that topped 108 was the Grizzlies, who are a dead nuts over team.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Davidson +14.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the VCU Rams.  They have gone 13-1 SU & 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  It's safe to say you are paying a premium to back the Rams at this point.

Davidson is a tough team to blow out.  The Wildcats have only one conference loss by more than 12 points all season.  The only two teams that beat them by more than this margin in non-conference play were Gonzaga and Arizona.

I like the matchup for the Wildcats, who don't turn the ball over ranking 18th in the country in turnover percentage.  VCU thrives off of turning opponents over, and these Davidson guards are going to be able to handle the ball against the Rams' high-pressure defense.

I like the fact that this game will be played at a very slow pace with Davidson ranking 284th in adjusted tempo while VCU ranks 228th.  Fewer possessions will make it tougher for the Rams to pull away from the Wildcats.  Bet Davidson Friday.

20* Timberwolves/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 227.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been without Rudy Gobert in each of their last three games.  All three were shootouts because they have had to go more small ball and are a much better offensive team with their small ball lineups, but they miss the Defensive Player of the Year on the other end immensely.

The OVER is 3-0 in Timberwolves last three games overall combining for 236 points with Houston, 253 with Oklahoma City and then 242 at the end of regulation with OKC last time out.  Naz Reid has been thriving playing center scoring at least 22 points in five consecutive games.  Small ball has also meant more minutes for youngsters Terrance Shannon Jr. and Rob Dillingham, who are all offense and zero defense.

The Lakers have also had to go more small ball without Anthony Davis.  They have been one of the best offensive teams in the league during their 9-2 run in their last 11 games.  They have scored at least 119 points in eight of those 11 games.  They should hang another big number on the Timberwolves tonight, but expect Minnesota to be able to keep up in another shootout.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Pepperdine/Portland OVER 156.5

Both Portland and Pepperdine are dead nuts OVER teams who play fast and play no defense.  Portland ranks 111th in adjusted tempo and 322nd in adjusted defense.  Pepperdine ranks 65th in adjusted tempo and 246th in adjusted defense.

Portland is absolutely rolling on offense right now scoring at least 81 points in four of their last six games.  Pepperdine has scored at least 78 points in five of its last eight games.  The Waves have allowed at least 81 points in seven of their last eight games overall.  I expect Portland to hang a big number on the Waves to lead the way in us cashing this OVER ticket tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland -3.5

We have two teams headed in opposite directions here tonight.  Portland is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six games overall which includes a 84-64 road win at Pepperdine in their first meeting this season.  It also includes outright upsets victories over Oregon State by 12 as 13.5-point dogs, Loyola-Marymount by 11 as 5-point dogs and Pacific by 8 as 3-point dogs.  The Pilotes only lost by 13 at Saint Mary's as 23.5-point dogs as well.

Pepperdine is 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall with its lone win coming at home against San Diego by 7 as 8-point favorites.  San Diego is the worst team in the WCC at 4-25 overall and 1-15 in WCC play this season.  The Waves are 4-12 in WCC play this season with their four wins coming against the two worst teams in the conference in Pacific and San Diego.

The Waves have losses against common opponents that the Pilots just beat here recently losing to Loyola-Marymount by 9, Oregon State by 6 and Marymount again by 11.  They also lost by 52 at Gonzaga.  While the Waves are just ready for their season to be over, the Pilots are building some momentum heading into the WCC Tournament and trying to improve their seeding.  I expect a big effort from them on Senior Night tonight.  Bet Portland Thursday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Rutgers +9.5

The Michigan Wolverines are one of the most overrated teams in the country.  Amazingly, each of their last 8 wins have come by 4 points or fewer.  That includes their 49-46 win at Nebraska on Thursday.

Now the Wolverines will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days.  They play a Rutgers team that will only be playing its 2nd game in 8 days, which is a huge advantage in terms of rest and preparation.

Michigan beat Rutgers 66-63 on the road in their first meeting this season.  But Rutgers didn't have its best player in Dylan Harper (19.4 PPG) due to injury in that game.  Harper returned to the lineup after that loss to Michigan for the past six games and has scored at least 20 points in four of them.

What makes that 3-point loss to Michigan even more impressive is the fact that Rutgers shot just 32.8% from the field while Michigan shot 47.8%.  The Scarlet Knights can only have positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch with Harper.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

20* Nuggets/Bucks TNT No-Brainer on Denver -3.5

The Denver Nuggets are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 10-1 SU in their last 11 games and 7-2 ATS in their last nine games.  A big reason for their success is that they are finally as healthy as they have been all season.

The Bucks are overvalued after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have benefited from a very easy schedule coming out of the All-Star Break with wins over the banged up Clippers, the Wizards by 3 and the Heat.  They lost on the road to the Rockets who were without Fred VanVleet and then lost Amen Thompson to an ejection.

The rest really favors the Nuggets, who have had the last two days off while the Bucks will be playing their 5th game in 8 days coming out of the All-Star Break.  The Bucks have been able to get by without Bobby Portis (13.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG) thus far, but his 25-game suspension will really hurt them against higher quality teams because they miss his presence off the bench.  Bet the Nuggets Thursday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Golden State Warriors -4

The Golden State Warriors have new life and are a new team with Jimmy Butler.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with five wins coming by 14 points or more.  I look for them to make easy work of the struggling Orlando Magic tonight as well.

The Magic just haven't been the same since losing PG Jalen Suggs.  It's hard to be effective in the NBA without a point guard, and that's what the Magic have been dealing with for quite some time.  Now backup PG Cole Anthony is banged up and questionable as well.

The Magic are 6-13 SU & 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  They lost by 40 to the Cavaliers at home last time out.  It won't go much better for them tonight against a Warriors team playing their best basketball of the season.  Bet the Warriors Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Robert Morris -6.5

Robert Morris has been one of the most underrated teams in all of college basketball this season.  The Colonials are 22-8 SU & 22-7 ATS this season, including 10-3 SU & 10-3 ATS in road/neutral games.  They have gone 12-1 SU & 12-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall with their only loss coming on the road to Wright State by 2.

Now the Colonials will be playing their final game of the regular season.  This is a huge game for them because they can clinch at least a share of the Horizon League regular season title and likely win it outright with a victory.  Their season ends today while the rest of the Horizon League has at least one more game remaining.

That's why I'm not concerned about Robert Morris having a letdown despite the fact that they already beat IU Indy 106-53 at home in their first meeting, doubling them up by 53 points.  While I don't expect it to be that easy in the rematch, I do think they easily cover this 6.5-point spread.

IU Indy is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games overall.  The Jaguars are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four home games with three losses by double-digits.  They have another home game remaining against Wright State so this isn't even Senior night for them.  Bet Robert Morris Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco/Oregon State OVER 142

Oregon State has quietly been one of the best OVER teams in all of college basketball.  The Beavers are 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 143 or more combined points in 16 of those 18 games, so this total of 142 is very low for a game involving them right now.

Oddsmakers keep setting these Oregon State totals too low because they play at a slow tempo.  But they are so efficient on offense to make up for it.  They rank 47th in adjusted offense, 47th in effective FG percentage and 37th in 3-point percentage.

San Francisco is thriving offensively right now scoring at least 70 points in 14 of its last 17 games overall.  Oregon State has scored at least 70 points in 12 of its last 14 games overall.  I expect both teams to get to 70 points in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Oregon State ML -150

The Oregon State Beavers are 15-2 SU at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Their only two losses came to Oregon by 3 and to St. Mary's, which are two of the best teams in the land.  They even upset Gonzaga at home earlier this season.

Now the Beavers want revenge from a 81-70 road loss at San Francisco on January 18th in their first meeting this season.  The Dons couldn't have shot it better hitting 13-of-22 (59.1%) from 3-point range.

The Beavers couldn't have shot it worse connecting on just 1-of-9 (11.1%) from 3-point range.  They shoot 37.2% from 3 this season, so it was clearly an aberration.  It's safe to say they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.  

San Francisco is 4-5 SU in true road games this season with the four wins coming against San Diego, Loyola-Marymount, Pepperdine & Pacific.  Three of those four are at the bottom of the WCC standings and Marymount has a losing record in the conference.  Bet Oregon State on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Jazz OVER 236

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Jazz are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 236 or more combined points in eight of those nine games.  The only game that didn't get to 236 was their last game against Portland where they shot 39.8% and the Blazers shot 41.8%.

The pace was there to get the OVER against Portland but the shooting for both teams was awful.  The Jazz rank 11th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating this season.  Jordan Clarkson is expected back in the lineup after sitting the Portland game, and he's all offense and no defense.

The Jazz have scored at least 110 points in 10 of their last 11 games.  The Jazz have allowed at least 114 points in nine consecutive games and 119 points or more in seven of those nine games.

The Kings are 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall.  They have gone for 230 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  They are fully healthy and thriving offensively scoring at least 119 points in five of their last six games.  I expect both teams to get 120-plus in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston College +11

The Boston College Eagles have gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are coming off consecutive blowout home wins over Georgia Tech by 15 and Virginia Tech by 18 and they aren't getting the respect they deserve right now.

We saw the Eagles recently take North Carolina to OT as 19.5-point road underdogs.  They only lost by 8 at NC State and by 9 at Syracuse.  The Eagles have only lost one of their last eight games by double-digits, and that was against Louisville, which is one of the top teams in the ACC.

Stanford is coming off a 66-61 home win over rival California.  That sets the Cardinal up for a letdown spot here.  Stanford is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Cardinal haven't won any of their last eight games by more than 9 points.  This number is clearly inflated.  Bet Boston College Wednesday.

25* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Rice +14.5

Memphis is in 1st place in the American Athletic.  The Tigers just beat FAU last time out.  Now they have an even bigger game on deck against UAB, which is trailing Memphis by just one game for 1st place.  That makes this a sandwich spot for the Tigers, who will be overlooking Rice tonight.

Rice nearly upset Memphis in a 86-83 home loss as 9.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  They only lost by 3 despite Memphis shooting 55% from the field and 11-of-21 (52.4%) from 3-point range.  I'm confident Memphis won't shoot that well again in the rematch.

Rice has quietly gone 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and has been competitive in every game.  The Owls haven't lost any of their last 12 games by more than 11 points, and they have just one loss by double-digits in those 12 games.

Rice pulled the 74-71 upset at Memphis as identical 14.5-point dogs last season.  The Tigers are 1-7 ATS as double-digit favorites this season.  They always play to their level of competition under Penny Hardaway.  Bet Rice Wednesday.

20* Summit League TOTAL OF THE WEEK on South Dakota/North Dakota State OVER 169

South Dakota is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Coyotes are 20-5 OVER in all games including 10-3 OVER in all road/neutral games.  The books just can't set these South Dakota totals high enought.

North Dakota State is also a dead nuts OVER team.  The Bison are 18-9 OVER in all games this season, including 9-2 OVER In all home games.

North Dakota State beat South Dakota 103-77 for 180 combined points in their first meeting this season.  South Dakota only shot 43.5% from the floor and 23.8% from 3, so the Coyotes have room for improvement in the shooting department in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder -17

I love the spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.  They will be motivated to erase the memory of blowing a 25-point lead to the Timberwolves and giving up a 16-0 run to end regulation before losing in OT.  It was one of the most shocking results of the season.

The Thunder are fully healthy and should make easy work of the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets were a feisty team when D'Angelo Russell (13.8 PPG, 5.8 APG with Nets) was healthy, but he's out now.  They are also going to be without Nicolas Claxton (10.1 PPG, 7.5 RPG, 1.5 BPG), who is serving a suspension.  I don't think they can keep up offensively without these guys.

The Nets have been held to 105 points or fewer in 16 of their last 17 games while failing to reach 100 points eight times.  They rank dead last in offensive rating during this stretch.  Now they must face the Thunder, who rank 1st in defensive rating this season.

The Thunder have scored at least 121 points in nine of their last 11 games overall while ranking 3rd in offensive rating during this stretch.  The Thunder beat the Nets 127-101 at home in their first meeting this season, and that was even with a healthy Russell and Claxton for the Nets.  It's going to be another blood bath in the rematch without them tonight.  Bet the Thunder Wednesday.

15* 76ers/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New York -9.5

The New York Knicks will be highly motivated for a win after consecutive blowout road losses to the two best teams in the East in Cleveland and Boston.  They have had two days off since that loss to Boston to rest and heal up.  I expect a big effort from them tonight at home on National TV.

The Philadelphia 76ers are giving zero effort right now.  All you need to know about their effort is that they trailed the Bulls by 50 points at home in their last game and lost by 32 despite being 6.5-point favorites.  The 76ers have fallen to 0-8 SU & 0-8 ATS in their last eight games, including 0-9 ATS in their last nine games.

Philadelphia is just ready for this season to be over already.  They are dealing with a plethora of injuries, and Paul George might be the most disappointing player in the NBA if it's not teammate Joel Embiid, who is likely out for the season.  Backup C Yabusele is out as well, and that's a big blow because he was playing good basketball in Embiid's absence.  The Knicks should run away by double-digits tonight.  Bet the Knicks Wednesday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on Dayton/Rhode Island OVER 149.5

The Rhode Island Rams profile as an OVER team.  They like to play fast ranking 42nd in adjusted tempo.  The Rams are 15-10 OVER in all games this season.

Dayton is all offense and no defense.  The Flyers rank 40th in adjusted offense, but just 167th in adjusted defense.  The Flyers are 17-8 OVER in all games this season.  I expect both teams to get 75-plus points in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Gonzaga/Santa Clara WCC Late-Night BAILOUT on Santa Clara +6

The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been overvalued all season.  They are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  They were even 7-point home favorites over St. Mary's on Saturday and lost outright 74-67 as the Gaels completed the season sweep.

Now I think it's Santa Clara's turn to complete the season sweep after upsetting Gonzaga 103-99 on the road in their first meeting this season.  Now the Broncos get the Bulldogs at home.  I think the loss to St. Mary's is the type of loss that could beat Gonzaga twice as they are simply looking ahead to the WCC Tournament at this point.

The Broncos are grossly undervalued right now playing their best basketball of the season.  They have gone 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming at St. Mary's by 9 as 12-point dogs.  They crushed all other comers beating Pacific by 34, Portland by 47, San Diego by 23, Loyola-Marymount by 15 and Washington State by 30.  Bet Santa Clara Tuesday.

15* WCC Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Gonzaga/Santa Clara OVER 162

While I don't expect another 103-99 shootout like the first time Gonzaga and Santa Clara got together for 202 combined points on January 18th, we have 40 points to spare here in the rematch, and this one should still easily get up and OVER this 162-point total.

Gonzaga ranks 57th in adjusted tempo and 15th in average length of offensive possession.  The Bulldogs are 9th in adjusted offense and 20th in effective FG percentage.  But they have one of their worst defensive teams of the Mark Few era, which is why they are such an OVER team this season.

Santa Clara ranks in the top 1/3 in the country in pace ranking 119th in adjusted tempo and 101st in average length of offensive possession.  The Broncos are 38th in adjusted offense, 25th in effective FG percentage and 28th in 3-point percentage.  But they are just 78th in adjusted defense, which like Gonzaga is their weakness.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Golden State Warriors -16.5

The Golden State Warriors are a new team with new life since trading for Jimmy Butler.  They have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with four wins by 14 points or more and three by 21 points or more.

I know the Warriors won't have a letdown tonight because they still sit in 9th place in the West, but they are only one game behind the 6th place Clippers to get out of the play-in completely.  They have tomorrow off so no reason to rest anyone, either.

The Charlotte Hornets have completely quit coming out of the All-Star Break.  After their 129-115 loss to Denver, the last two games have been very concerning with a 141-88 loss at Portland and a 130-88 loss at Sacramento last night.

Now the Hornets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th road game in 7 days.  They have nothing left in the tank, and they are so banged up right now that they simply cannot even be competitive.  I would be surprised if Golden State isn't covering by halftime and cruising to another blowout win in the 2H of this one.  Bet the Warriors Tuesday.

20* Mavs/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 232

The Mavericks and Lakers are both going small ball right now.  The Lakers just don't have many big man options outside Jaxson Hayes, while the Mavericks are without their three best big men in Davis, Lively and Gafford.  Small ball favors high-scoring games and OVERS.

The Lakers are thriving on offense scoring 119 or more points in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Mavericks have scored at least 111 points in seven of their last eight games.  But Dallas has allowed 115 or more points in 10 of its last 15 games overall.  I expect both teams to top 115 points in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

25* MWC GAME OF THE YEAR on San Jose State +3

The San Jose State Spartans are 19-7 ATS this season as one of the best covering teams in the country.  They went 1-3 ATS in games in which leading scorer Josh Uduje (16.4 PPG) was either limited or out.

But Uduje returned to the lineup on Saturday and scored 29 points in a 82-73 road win at Wyoming.  Second-leading scorer Will McClendon (12.0 PPG) was also out the same games that Uduje was absent from.  There's a good chance he returns tonight.

UNLV leading scorer Dedan Thomas (15.6 PPG, 4.7 APG) got hurt two games ago in a 52-51 win at Fresno State as 8-point favorites.  Thomas sat out the Rebels' 61-53 home loss to Colorado State as 2-point dogs.  Thomas is out again tonight, and the Rebels are lost offensively without him.

San Jose State wants revenge from a 79-73 road loss at UNLV on January 4th.  Thomas led the Rebels with 17 points in that first matchup, so not having him in the rematch is a huge blow.  Bet San Jose State Tuesday.

15* Mississippi State/Alabama ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Mississippi State +8.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide have been through the gauntlet in their last three games.  After losing 94-85 at home to Auburn and 110-98 at Missouri, the Crimson Tide were able to bounce back against a short-handed Kentucky team pulling away late for a 96-83 home victory on Saturday.

I question how much the Crimson Tide have left in the tank now playing their 4th game in 11 days here.  Grant Nelson (12.2 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 1.3 BPG) is nursing an ankle injury that has seen him pop up on the injury report for this one.  He'll likely go but he'll likely be limited.

Mississippi State wants revenge from a 88-84 home loss to Alabama in their first meeting this season on January 29th.  The Crimson Tide went 15-of-31 (48.4%) from 3-point range in that game yet the Bulldogs still only lost by 4. I can only see positive shooting regression in the Bulldogs' favor in the rematch.

Mississippi State beat Ole Miss 81-71 as 3-point road dogs and Texas A&M 70-54 as 2-point home favorites in their two games prior to a 93-87 upset road loss at Oklahoma as 4-point favorites over the weekend.  That was a clear letdown spot for them with Alabama on deck, and I think we are getting a few extra points on the Bulldogs due to that loss now.  Bet Mississippi State Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Houston Rockets -3.5

The Houston Rockets are 18-9 SU at home this season.  They host a Milwaukee Bucks team that is just 14-15 SU & 12-17 ATS on the road.  I like the value we are getting on the Rockets as a short home favorite tonight.

The Rockets are pretty healthy and they could even get Fred VanVleet back tonight.  They recently got Jabari Smith Jr. and Tari Eason back from injury as well.  They come in on two days' rest so they should be fresh and ready to go tonight.

The Milwaukee Bucks are overvalued after winning all three games coming out of the All-Star Break.  But two of those were at home against Miami and the Clippers, and the other was a lackluster 3-point road win at Washington, the worst team in the NBA.

The Bucks have been able to get by without Bobby Portis (13.5 PPG, 8.3 RPG), but I think this is where his absence is felt.  The Bucks will be playing their 4th game in 6 days with a lot of travel in between.  Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Bucks/Rockets OVER 226.5

The Houston Rockets have played two very high-scoring games coming out of the break.  They beat Minnesota 121-115 for 236 combined points and then lost 124-115 at Utah the following night for 239 combined points.

The Milwaukee Bucks are more of an OVER team now since trading for Kyle Kuzma.  He brings a lot offensively but is a negative defensively.  The Bucks have scored 116 points on the Clippers and 120 on the Heat in their two games where both Lillard and Giannis were on the court since the break.

The OVER is 6-3 in the last nine meetings with 230 or more combined points in six of those nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma State +10.5

Iowa State was without its top two scorers in Curtis Jones (17.2 PPG) and Keshon Gilbert (14.1 PPG) in its last game at Houston.  Both are questionable to return today against Oklahoma State.  They had to be seriously hurting to miss that Houston game.

Either way, I like the Cowboys to cover this double-digit spread.  Oklahoma State has been a very tough out at home in Big 12 play.  They are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven Big 12 home games with all five wins coming by 9 points or more.  

Iowa State is 2-4 SU & 2-4 ATS in its last six Big 12 road games.  The Cyclones haven't blown anyone out on the road in Big 12 play this season.  The Cowboys have owned the Cyclones, going 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet Oklahoma State Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati -2

The Cincinnati Bearcats are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 4-2 SU & 4-0-2 ATS in their last six games with their only losses coming on the road to Iowa State and West Virginia.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS at home during this stretch beating BYU by 18, Utah by 10 and TCU by 12.

The Baylor Bears have gone the other direction.  They are 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone win coming at home over West Virginia in overtime.  They lost by 11 at Houston, by 7 at home to Arizona and by 2 at Colorado as 6-point favorites.  That's a Colorado team with just two conference wins all season.

Cincinnati wants revenge from a 68-48 road loss early on in the Big 12 season at Baylor.  They shot 34.7% from the floor while Baylor shot 50%.  Josh Ojianwuna had 10 points and 7 rebounds in that matchup, but has since been lost for the season.  The Bears lack any inside defensive presence since losing him, which is a big reason for their struggles.

Baylor is just 2-8 SU in true road games this season.  Cincinnati is 11-4 SU in all home games.  Bet Cincinnati Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern/Minnesota UNDER 131

Two dead nuts UNDER teams square off tonight in Big Ten play when the short-handed Northwestern Wildcats visit the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  Defensive intensity should be pretty high with both teams fighting to make the Big Ten Tournament.

Minnesota ranks 359th in adjusted tempo and 344th in average length of offensive possession.  Northwestern ranks 318th in adjusted tempo and 267th in average length of offensive possession.  This game will be played at a snail's pace with points at a premium.

Northwestern is without two of its top three scorers in Barnhizer (17.1 PPG) and Leach (14.3 PPG).  The Wildcats have had to rely even more on defense here of late to be competitive without these guys.  They lost 68-64 at home to Nebraska before pulling the 70-49 upset at Ohio State in a game that saw just 119 combined points.

Minnesota beat UCLA 64-61 for 125 combined points two games ago before losing 69-60 at home to Penn State for 129 combined points.  That's a Penn State team that plays at a really quick tempo, too.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blazers/Jazz OVER 231.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Jazz are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 236 or more combined points in all eight games.  They rank 11th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.

The Jazz are a pretty efficient offensive team because they are so deep and have been able to make up for injuries to their top players.  They have scored at least 110 points in nine of their last 10 games and 15 of their last 18 games overall.  They will be without Walker Kessler, who is their most important defender.  They will be playing a lot of small ball with all the guys they are missing.

The Blazers are also going more small ball without starting C De'Andre Ayton.  They just scored 141 points on the Hornets in their last game.  The OVER is 3-1 in their last four games overall including two extremely high-scoring games with the Nuggets combining for 263 and 253 points.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 231 or more combined points in all four games, including 236 or more in each of their last three.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Houston/Texas Tech ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech +2

Texas Tech is 14-2 SU at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  The Red Raiders ended Houston's 33-game home winning streak with an 82-81 (OT) win in their first meeting this season despite one of their best players in Jadyn Toppin (17.4 PPG) getting ejected in the opening minutes with a double-technical.  They overcame the refs to get the win.

Now the Red Raiders want to complete the season sweep, something no team has done against Houston in eight seasons.  I think the Red Raiders have the mental makeup to be able to pull it off, and they will be juiced up playing in front of one of the most hostile crowds in the country.

I also like the fact that Texas Tech gets to stay at home after making easy work of West Virginia on Saturday in a 73-51 home victory.  Houston has to travel after needing to go to the wire to beat an Iowa State team that was missing its top two scorers by a final of 68-59.  That was a bad look, and I trust the Red Raiders more in this spot.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Texas Tech Monday. 

20* Timberwolves/Thunder NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 227

The Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Rudy Gobert tonight.  They will have to go more small ball, and small ball favors OVERS and high-scoring games.  Look for this to be another shootout between the Thunder and Timberwolves tonight.

We saw what happened without Gobert last night as the Thunder won 130-123 for 253 combined points.  While it likely won't be that high-scoring in the rematch, we have 26 points to work with, and it should still sail OVER this 227-point total.

The OVER is 14-6-1 in Thunder last 21 games overall.  They also profile as an OVER team ranking 8th in pace and 5th in offensive rating.  They come out of the All-Star Break very healthy with their full compliment of weapons as one of the deepest teams in the NBA.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Heat/Hawks OVER 229

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 2nd in pace this season.  This total of 229 is very low for a game involving the Hawks right now.  The Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 236 points in seven of their last 10 games overall, including 251 or more in six of those.

The Miami Heat are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall with 231 or more combined points in all three.  The Heat and Hawks have combined for at least 226 points in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nuggets/Pacers OVER 244.5

The Denver Nuggets are fully healthy and humming offensively.  They have scored at least 122 points in six of their last eight games.  They have gone for 244 or more combined points with their opponents in three of their last four games, and that was against Portland (twice) and a Charlotte team that was without La'Melo Ball.

The Indiana Pacers are thriving offensively right now scoring 134, 127 and 129 points in their last three games despite facing the Clippers and Grizzlies, two of the best defensive teams in the NBA.  Now they should hang another big number on the Nuggets, who have allowed at least 115 points in four straight games coming in.

The Pacers are a poor defensive team allowing at least 111 points in 10 consecutive games.  The Pacers are 9-3 OVER in their last 12 games overall.  Despite the high total, the books have failed to set it high enough in a matchup between two of the best offensive teams in the NBA up against two sub-par defenses.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Thunder/Timberwolves ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 229

The Minnesota Timberwolves will be without Rudy Gobert tonight.  They will have to go more small ball, and small ball favors OVERS and high-scoring games.  Look for this to be a shootout between the Thunder and Timberwolves tonight.

The OVER is 13-6-1 in Thunder last 20 games overall.  They also profile as an OVER team ranking 8th in pace and 5th in offensive rating.  They come out of the All-Star Break very healthy with their full compliment of weapons as one of the deepest teams in the NBA.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Toronto Raptors +2

This is a terrible spot for the Phoenix Suns.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd road game in 4 days.  They won't have anything left in the tank for the Toronto Raptors tonight.

After losing 120-109 as 2.5-point favorites at San Antonio, the Suns also failed to cover last night in a 121-117 win at Chicago as 5.5-point favorites.  Durant, Booker and Beal all played roughly 38 minutes last night.  Don't be surprised if one of more of those guys sit out to rest.  Bet the Raptors Sunday.