15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on San Jose State +14.5

Nevada is just 10-13 SU & 7-15 ATS this season and has no business being favored by 14.5 points against anyone in the Mountain West.  The Wolf Pack 5-9 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall with all five wins coming by 13 points or fewer.  That's a 14-0 system backing San Jose State pertaining to this 14.5-point spread.

The Spartans have been a great bet on the road this season in conference play.  They are 4-1 ATS in their last five MWC road games not once losing by more than 16 points and they have played the class of the conference in Boise State, Wyoming and Utah State during this stretch.

Nevada is 2-8 ATS in home games this season.  San Jose State is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games following three consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Take San Jose State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on New Mexico +6

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Wyoming Cowboys.  They have gone 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall despite seven of those games being decided by 7 points or fewer.  They have been fortunate in close games, and their luck could easily run out tonight on the road at New Mexico in The Pit, which will be hostile tonight.

Wyoming just jumped into the Top 25 this week and that's a huge accomplishment.  I think that makes the Cowboys primed for a letdown here.  That's especially the case after already beating New Mexico 93-91 at home in a thriller in their first meeting on January 22nd less than a month ago.

Now the Lobos will be out for revenge from that defeat and I believe they have an excellent chance to win outright.  They have recent close losses to Utah State by 3, Boise State by 8, Colorado State by 6, Wyoming by 2 and Fresno State by 5 in their last 10 games.  They have been on the bad side of these close games with some bad luck.  But they've proven they can play with the top teams in the conference as well.

The Lobos are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  New Mexico is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five home games.  The Lobos have a great shot to win this game outright catching the Cowboys in a letdown spot while also being in revenge mode themselves.  We'll take the points for some insurance.  Roll with New Mexico Tuesday.

15* Villanova/Providence Big East ANNIHILATOR on Providence +4.5

Providence continues to lack the respect it deserves tonight as 4.5-point home underdogs to the Villanova Wildcats.  The Friars are 21-2 this season and having a dream campaign.  But they aren't getting treated like one of the best teams in the country like they are.

Villanova isn't exactly crushing it on the road this season.  The Wildcats are 6-4 SU in their 10 true road games this season with three close wins and the only blowout wins coming against lowly Pennsylvania by 15 as 18.5-point favorites, DePaul by 15 as 9.5-point favorites and Georgetown by 11 as 13.5-point favorites.

Providence is a perfect 14-0 SU at home this season.  The Friars are a perfect 7-0 ATS as underdogs this season.  Providence is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 games as an underdog.  The Friars are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Providence is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Wildcats are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games.  Take Providence Tuesday.

20* Celtics/76ers TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Two teams that prefer to play at slow tempos square off tonight when the Boston Celtics visit the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers rank 26th in pace this season while the Celtics rank 21st.  Both teams get after it defensively as the Celtics rank 2nd in defensive efficiency while the 76ers rank 8th.

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  Well, this will be the 4th and final meetings between the Celtics and 76ers tonight.  These teams combined for 210, 211 and 175 points in their first three meetings this season.

The Celtics have really been shutting teams down defensively.  They have allowed 108 or fewer points in 11 consecutive games, including 97 or fewer in nine of those.  The 76ers have held their last two opponents to 93 and 87 points, respectively.  They have scored 103 or less in four of their last six contests.

Philadelphia is 8-1 UNDER off a home win by 10 points or more this season.  Boston is 11-3 UNDER as a road favorite this season.  The UNDER is 19-7 in 76ers last 26 games as underdogs.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas A&M -1

Texas A&M opened 15-2 but has been through the gauntlet in losing eight straight games to fall to 15-10.  Seven of those eight wins came by 10 points or fewer against the cream of the crop in the SEC.  They are looking at this as a must-win game at home tonight.

They should be able to handle the Florida Gators, who are getting a lot of love following a 4-1 SU stretch against a soft schedule.  They beat Oklahoma State, Ole Miss and Georgia at home and Missouri by 1 on the road.  They lost by 21 at Kentucky in their step up in class last time out.

Texas A&M is 10-4 SU at home this season while Florida is 2-5 SU on the road with its two wins coming at South Carolina and at Missouri (by 1).  The Gators are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Bet Texas A&M Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been one of the most undervalued teams in the NBA all season.  They are 34-16-3 ATS in their last 53 games overall.  They continue to remain competitive despite some injuries throughout the season and of late.

The Thunder should not be catching 8.5 points on the road to the New York Knicks.  The Knicks are 3-11 SU in their last 14 games overall and coming off a bad 103-112 loss to the short-handed Blazers.  They are also just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

Injuries are starting to add up for the Knicks as they are without Derrick Rose and RJ Barrett, and they could be without Cameron Reddish, Mitchell Robinson and Nerlens Noel, who are all questionable.  They have no business laying 8.5 points tonight given their current state.

Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with New York.  The Thunder are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.  Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS in road games with a total of 200 to 209.5 this season.  The Thunder are 10-1 ATS in road games vs. Eastern Conference opponents this season.  New York is 3-14 ATS in its last 17 games vs. teams that score 104 points per game or fewer.  Roll with the Thunder Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +4.5

The Detroit Pistons have been through the gauntlet.  They have lost seven straight games with each of the last six coming against playoff contenders.  It's a great time to 'buy low' on them as they take a big step down in class here against the New York Knicks.

The Pistons are healthy right now and have talent.  Jerami Grant and Cade Cunningham are both healthy.  They get Marvin Bagley III from the Kings and he should contribute the rest of the way and is probable tonight.  The only key player they are missing is 5th-leading scorer Frank Jackson (10.9 PPG).

The Wizards were sellers at the trade deadline and probably cannot be trusted much the rest of the way.  Bradley Beal is out with a season-ending injury, and they traded for Kristaps Porzingis, who remains out with a knee injury.  Daniel Gafford is out as well.  I think the Pistons have the better talent when comparing the current players available tonight.

Washington is 2-15-1 ATS in its last 18 games overall.  The Wizards are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Take the Pistons Monday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on St. Louis/St. Bonaventure UNDER 136.5

I love the spot for the UNDER in this game between St. Louis and St. Bonaventure Monday night.  These teams just played on Friday in St. Louis with the Bonnies winning 68-61 for just 129 combined points.  Now they meet three days later here Monday at St. Bonaventure.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  And the head-to-head history between these teams suggest this total has been set way too high.  Indeed, the Billikens and Bonnies have combined for 129 or fewer points in seven consecutive meetings.

They have combined for 135 or fewer points in 10 consecutive meetings, making for a 10-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 136.5-point total.  No surprise, but the UNDER is 10-0 in the last 10 meetings as well.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Rams/Bengals Super Bowl 56 No-Brainer on Cincinnati +4.5

Note: Scroll down for my Top 15 Prop Bets!

The Cincinnati Bengals have been grossly undervalued all postseason and even at the end of the regular season.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their lone loss came to the Browns in Week 18 in a meaningless game after they had already clinched the division.

After beating the Raiders 26-19 at home in the opening round, the Bengals have proven their toughness on the road by going into Tennessee and winning outright 19-16 as 4-point underdogs.  Then they trailed 21-3 at Kansas City, only to outscore the Chiefs 24-3 the rest of the way to pull the 27-24 upset as 7-point underdogs in OT.

Clearly, the Bengals feel like they are invincible right now after that comeback against the Chiefs.  They won't be phased by this being a 'road' game with the Rams hosting the Super Bowl.  Joe Burrow has made me a lot of money dating back to college, and I'm riding with him here.  He'll make enough plays to keep the Bengals in this game for four quarters, and he'll lead a comeback if he needs to.

But what is getting overlooked and has with this team all season is how well the defense has played.  The Bengals have allowed 24 or fewer points in six of their last seven games overall.  They are allowing just 21.8 points per game this season, which is right on par with the Rams' 21.4 points per game.  Yet the Rams are perceived to have the much better defense due to all the stars they have.  For the Bengals defense, the whole is greater than the sum of its parts.  They have been Top 5 in offense and Top 5 in defense in basically every major category since their bye week. 

The Rams benefited from getting to face a reeling, banged up Cardinals team, a depleted Bucs team and a 49ers team with arguably the worst quarterback in the playoffs.  This will be their toughest test of the postseason.  The Bengals had no such luxury as the Titans were as healthy as they had been all season, and the Chiefs were pretty much at full strength as well.  And both wins came on the road in hostile atmospheres.

Cincinnati is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last two seasons.  The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in road games this season.  Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as favorites.  Cincinnati is 9-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (LA Rams) - a hot team having won eight or more of their last 10 games, a top level team winning 75% or more of their games this season are 29-5 (85.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Simply put, the Rams shouldn't be more than 2.5-point favorites in this game.  There's value with Cincinnati.  Bet the Bengals in Super Bowl 56 Sunday.

My Top 15 Prop Bets in Order: (Most can be found at DraftKings)

1. Highest Scoring Half: 2H -120

2. No Score in 1st 6:00 of Game: -130

3. Team to Call 1st Timeout: Rams -140

4. Bengals Longest Punt O 52.5 Yards: -125

5. Team with the Longest Gross Punt: Bengals -115

6. Joe Mixon O 3.5 Receptions: -145

7. Joe Mixon O 26.5 Receiving Yards: -105

8. Will Rams Convert a 4th down: No +135

9. Cam Akers U 63.5 Rushing Yards: -110

10. Joe Mixon U 60.5 Rushing Yards: -115

11. Matthew Stafford U 5.5 Rushing Yards: -120

12. Cooper Kupp Longest Reception O 28.5 Yards: -145

13. 1st play of game: Pass +110

14. Rams U 3.5 Sacks: +105

15. Sony Michel O 18.5 Rushing Yards: -115

15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Iowa +7

Loyola-Chicago has been grossly overvalued in MVC play this season as oddsmakers have treated them as the best team in the conference all season.  But Northern Iowa may very well be the best team in the conference, and they are out to prove that today.

The Ramblers are just 2-6-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They have upset losses to Bradley, Drake and Missouri State during this stretch.  They also needed overtime to beat Valpo and Bradley at home and also struggled with Indiana State on the road.

Northern Iowa should not be catching 7 points from Loyola-Chicago today.  The Panthers are 10-2 SU & 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games overall with their two losses both coming down to the wire by 3 points and in OT.  They can hang with the Ramblers on the road today as well.

Loyola-Chicago is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games after having won 12 or more of its last 15 games.  The Ramblers are 0-9 ATS in their last nine home games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game after 15-plus games.  The Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as underdogs.  These three trends combine for a 21-0 system backing the Panthers.  Roll with Northern Iowa Sunday.

15* Hawks/Celtics ABC ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta +7.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics.  They have gone 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall against a pretty weak schedule.  The one loss?  A 92-108 road loss against these Atlanta Hawks.

I like the Hawks catching 7.5 points in the rematch.  They won't be taking the Celtics lightly after going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  And they simply have owned the Celtics in recent meetings.

Indeed, the Hawks are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 15, 11 and 16 points.  The Hawks are also 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games playing on one days' rest.  The Celtics are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as home favorites.  Take the Hawks Sunday.

15* Mountain West PLAY OF THE DAY on San Jose State +13.5

This is a terrible spot for the Wyoming Cowboys.  They are coming off five straight victories all by 7 points or less to improve to 20-3 this season and take control of the top spot in the Mountain West.  Now this is a massive letdown spot for the Cowboys.

They are coming off four straight wins against their top four contenders in the MWC in Colorado State (OT), Boise State by 7, Fresno State by 2 and Utah State (OT).  They won't be nearly as motivated to face San Jose State as they were those four teams, which is going to make it tough for them to cover this 13.5-point spread on the road.

San Jose State has gone 3-0 ATS in its last three games with competitive losses to Utah State, Boise State and San Diego State.  Now the Spartans have their sights set on revenge from a 69-84 loss at Wyoming as 17.5-point dogs.  Oddsmakers haven't adjusted enough for home-court advantage here shifting this line only 4 points.

San Jose State is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games following three consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (Wyoming) - after a close win by 3 points or less against an opponent that scored 65 points or less in three straight games are 41-9 (82%) ATS over the last five seasons.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Cowboys in this terrible spot for them.  Roll with San Jose State Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors are 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall and playing their best basketball of the season.  All eight wins have come by 4 points or more, including four straight wins by double-digits.  Toronto is also 23-6 ATS in its last 29 games overall.

The Raptors are rested and ready to go after having yesterday off.  The same cannot be said for the Nuggets, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 102-108 loss in Boston last night.  The Nuggets are now 0-3 SU in their last three road games with all three losses by 4 points or more.

Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with all five wins coming by 8 points or more.  The Nuggets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on zero rest.  Denver is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Toronto is 9-0 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Take the Raptors Saturday.

25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Washington +14.5

The Washington Huskies have been flying under the radar.  They are 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with both losses coming on the road to Oregon and Stanford.  The Huskies are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS at home in conference play this season.

Now the Huskies are catching 14.5 points at home against Arizona on Saturday.  They only lost by 16 on the road as 24.5-point dogs at Arizona in their first meeting this season.  And I'm confident they can stay within 14.5 points at home this time around and give the Wildcats more of a run than they bargained for.

The Wildcats are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 Saturday games.  The Huskies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine Saturday games.  The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  Bet Washington Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Vanderbilt +11.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are playing very well right now and primed to give the Tennessee Vols a run for their money Saturday.  They are 3-1 in their last four games overall with their only loss coming 70-77 at Kentucky as 14.5-point underdogs.  That includes a 75-66 upset of LSU as 3-point dogs.

Now the Commodores have their sights set on revenge from a 60-68 home loss to Tennessee as 7-point underdogs.  The Vols won't be nearly as motivated to beat them a 2nd time around, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover this 11.5-point spread.  Keep in mind the Vols have Kentucky on deck on Tuesday as well and will be looking to revenge their worst loss of the season to the Wildcats.

Home-court advantage has meant very little in this rivalry.  The road team is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  The Commodores are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 road games.  Vanderbilt is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games when revenging a loss.  The Commodores are 7-0 ATS in their last seven February games.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on La Salle +13.5

La Salle has been way too competitive to be catching 13.5 points against Richmond Saturday.  The Explorers are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games but only one of those losses came by more than 8 points.

That includes an 8-point home loss to Richmond in their first meeting this season in a 56-64 home loss as 7.5-point underdogs.  Now the Explorers are catching 13.5 points in the rematch, and this is too big of an adjustment for home-court advantage.

Richmond hasn't been blowing teams out, either.  While the Spiders are 16-9 this season, only three of those 16 wins have come by more than 13 points.  Those were against awful Georgia State, Bucknell and Duquesne teams.

Home-court advantage has meant very little in this series.  The road team is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  That includes outright wins as underdogs by La Salle in two of its last three trips to Richmond as 14-point dogs and 5.5-point dogs.  The Explorers are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit home loss.  The Spiders are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.  The Explorers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games following a home loss.  Take La Salle Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New York Knicks -4.5

The Portland Trail Blazers just traded away all of their top players outside of Damian Lillard and Anfernee Simons.  They traded away Norman Powell and CJ McCollum among others.  They are clearly punting on this season after a stretch in which they have gone 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four losses by 14 points or more.

The Knicks stood pat at the deadline and like their team.  They are coming off an impressive 116-114 win as 9.5-point road underdogs at Golden State.  They will be highly motivated to cap off this five-game road trip with one final victory here at Portland against the short-handed Blazers tonight.

The Knicks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites, including 4-1 ATS in their last five games as road favorites.  New York is 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Portland.  Roll with the Knicks Saturday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Michigan State -4.5

This is a great spot to 'buy low' on the Michigan State Spartans after failing to cover the spread in three straight games coming in and also off two straight losses to Rutgers on the road and Wisconsin at home.  It's safe to say the Spartans will be highly motivated for a victory at home here Saturday.

They host an Indiana team that is also coming off two bad losses with a 17-point home loss to Illinois and an 8-point road loss at Indiana.  But I like the spot for the Spartans more here playing at home.  After all, the Spartans are 17-2 SU & 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home meetings with Indiana.  The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.

Indiana is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game after 15-plus games.  The Hoosiers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 road games.  Indiana is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Bet Michigan State Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall +10

I like the spot for the Seton Hall Pirates Saturday.  They want revenge from a 67-73 home loss to Villanova as 1-point underdogs.  Now they are catching 10 points in the rematch, and this 9-point adjustment is simply too much.

That's especially the case when you consider the closely-contested nature of this series in recent meetings.  Indeed, each of the last seven meetings between Seton Hall and Villanova have been decided by 8 points or less.  The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  Roll with Seton Hall Saturday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas A&M +12.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Texas A&M Aggies Saturday.  They opened this season 15-2 but have since lost seven straight.  They did cover the spread in four of those seven games with several close losses along the way as all seven losses came by 11 points or fewer.

Now the Aggies are catching 12.5 points in what is a great spot for them and a terrible one for Auburn.  The Tigers are coming off an OT loss at Arkansas that ended their 19-game winning streak.  I always like fading a team the game after a long winning streak comes to an end because their tends to be a hangover effect.

The Tigers have been overvalued quite a bit of late.  They only beat Missouri by 1 as 12.5-point favorites, Georgia by 2 as 16-point favorites and lost outright to Arkansas as favorites in three of their past five games.  They could be without starting PG Zeb Jasper, who is questionable.

Buzz Williams is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 10 points or more as the coach of Texas A&M having never lost in this spot.  Bruce Pearl is 0-7 ATS after four straight games outrebounding opponent by 6 or more in all games as a head coach having never won in this spot.  Take Texas A&M Saturday.

15* St. Bonaventure/St. Louis ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis -5

The St. Louis Billikens are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with five wins by double-digits.

The Billikens have one of the best home-court advantages in the Atlantic 10.  They are 11-3 SU & 9-4 ATS at home this season.  That includes wins over Dayton and Richmond, two of the top teams in the conference.  They are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home in conference play with all five wins coming by 7 points or more.

St. Bonaventure has been a massive disappointment this season and grossly overvalued.  The Bonnies are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They have gone 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS on the road in conference play, which includes losses to Richmond by 10, George Mason by 9 and Dayton by 18.

St. Louis has won its last two home meetings with St. Bonaventure by 23 and 11 points.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Bonnies are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win.  St. Bonaventure is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Billikens are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Roll with St. Louis Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3

This is a tough spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves.  They will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days after an upset loss in Sacramento last time out.  The injury report is ugly for the Timberwolves with Russell, Edwards, Beverly, Prince, Reid and Okogie all questionable.

The Bulls have Zach LaVine and Coby White back now to go along with DeRozan and Vucevic.  With these four healthy, they can beat anyone.  The Bulls went on the road and topped the Hornets 121-109 last time out Wednesday and now should cover as only 3-point home favorites against the Timberwolves tonight.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-1 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Timberwolves are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Bulls are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Chicago is 24-9 ATS in its last 33 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  The Bulls are 36-17-1 ATS in their last 54 games as favorites.  Take the Bulls Friday.

20* Horizon League GAME OF THE WEEK on Youngstown State -1.5

Youngstown State has reeled off five straight victories and is playing its best basketball of the season.  The Penguins should make easy work of Detroit at home tonight.

This is a tough spot for the Titans, who will be playing their fourth consecutive road game.  They are just 5-11 on the road this season while the Penguins are 9-5 at home.

Detroit is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games following a game where they made 13 or more 3-pointers.  The Penguins are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Bet Youngstown State Friday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington -1

Arizona State just went through the gauntlet.  They played Arizona (twice), UCLA and USC in their last four games overall.  They are coming off a home loss to their biggest rivals in the Wildcats.  This has all the makings of a flat spot for the Sun Devils as they won't be nearly as motivated to face Washington as they were Arizona.

This is also a tired Arizona State team playing their 4th game in 8 days.  Meanwhile, Washington will be playing just its 3rd game in 12 days.  The Huskies have the big advantage in rest and preparation and should be much bigger home favorites because of it.

That's especially the case when you consider how well the Huskies are playing right now.  They are 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with both losses coming on the road to Oregon and Stanford.  The Huskies are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS their last four home games.

Arizona State is 2-8 SU in all games played away from home this season.  The Sun Devils are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after playing two consecutive home games.  The Huskies are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. poor foul drawing teams that shoot 15 or fewer FT's per game after 15-plus games.  Arizona State is 15-34-2 ATS in its last 51 games overall.  Washington is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games following a loss.  Take Washington Thursday.

15* Bucks/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 233.5

This total has been inflated because both the Bucks and Suns have been going over the total with regularity here of late.  The Bucks are 5-1 over in their last six games, while the Suns are 4-1 over in their last five games.  So we are getting some value with the UNDER tonight because of that.

The Bucks and Suns are familiar with one another after meeting in the NBA Finals last season.  This will be their first meeting this season, and I think that familiarity will lead to a low-scoring game.  I also like taking UNDERS in games between two of the top teams in the NBA because they are more motivated to win and play harder defensively.

Five of the six meetings between Milwaukee and Phoenix in the NBA Finals saw 226 or fewer combined points.  The UNDER is 37-18-2 in Bucks last 57 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 230 or higher (Milwaukee) - off a road win, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record are 52-15 (77.6%) since 1996.  Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 210 or higher (Phoenix) - a hot team having won 12 or more of its last 15 games against another hot team that has won eight or more of their last 10 games are 44-13 (77.2%) over the last five seasons.  Take the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* WCC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Diego +15.5

This is a terrible spot for the St. Mary's Gaels.  They are coming off a 72-77 road loss at Santa Clara on Tuesday so they only have one day to get ready for San Diego.  They have Gonzaga on deck Saturday and will be looking ahead to that game as well.  This sandwich spot will make it very difficult for them to cover this massive 15.5-point spread.

San Diego is rested and ready to go having last played on Saturday.  They have four days to get ready for the Gaels, which is a huge advantage.  I've been impressed with the Toreros on the road this season as they have played their best basketball away from home.

Indeed, San Diego is 6-7 SU & 9-4 ATS on the road this season.  The Toreros are a perfect 6-0 ATS in conference road games not once losing by more than 15 points.  That includes a 15-point loss at San Francisco as 17.5-point dogs, an 8-point loss at BYU as 15-point dogs and a 4-point loss at Santa Clara as 9-point dogs.  They also beat Loyola-Marymount outright as 3.5-point dogs, Pacific by 8 as 2-point favorites and Pepperdine by 10 as 4-point dogs.  Bet San Diego Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Washington Wizards -2.5

The Brooklyn Nets are broken right now.  They are 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall with seven losses by double-digits.  That includes five straight losses by double-digits, and their last three losses have come by 35, 20 and 23 points, respectively.

The problem for the Nets is they are missing almost all their key players.  Kevin Durant, Joe Harris, James Harden, Paul Millsap and LaMarcus Aldridge are all out tonight.  Nicolas Claxton is questionable.  They will have Kyrie Irving since this is a road game, but it won't be enough to get them a win in Washington.

The Wizards are pretty much fully healthy outside of Bradley Beal.  I like the talent on this team overall and the depth.  They are better even without Beal than the Nets are without all the guys they are missing.  And the Wizards come in rested and ready to go playing on two days' rest and just their 3rd game in 8 days.  This is a big step down in clash for Washington after their last five games have come against the Grizzlies, Bucks, 76ers, Suns and Heat.

Plays on home favorites (Washington) - after a loss by 10 points or more against an opponent that is off four straight losses by 10 points or more are 32-10 (76.2%) ATS since 1996.  Brooklyn is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following two consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  The Nets are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 trips to Washington.  Roll with the Wizards Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nets/Wizards OVER 217.5

Two teams that aren't getting many stops of late square off in the Brooklyn Nets and Washington Wizards.  This is a pretty low total for two teams that don't get stops and like to push the pace.

The Nets are 0-9 SU in their last nine games overall while allowing 110 or more points in eight of those nine losses.  They will get Kyrie Irving back for this game, but that only helps the OVER because he is a big plus on offense and a big negative on defense.

Washington has allowed 109 or more points in seven of its last nine games overall.  The offense has been held in check but a lot of that has been the competition.  They take a big step down in class here against the Nets and should hang a big number.

The Nets and Wizards just combined for 237 points in a 119-118 Brooklyn victory on January 19th in the first and only meeting this season.  In fact, the Wizards and Nets have combined for 219 or more points in five of their last six meetings and 219 or more points in eight of their last 10 meetings as well.

Brooklyn is 11-2 OVER in road games with a total of 210 to 219.5 over the last two seasons.  The Nets are 17-5 OVER in their last 22 games following three consecutive losses by 10 points or more.  Brooklyn is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 road games vs. poor 3-point shooting teams that make 33% or less.  The OVER is 5-0 in Wizards last five games as home favorites.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Warriors/Jazz ESPN No-Brainer on Utah -1

The Utah Jazz are playing much better since getting Donovan Mitchell back from injury, which is no surprise.  The Jazz are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games overall.  They come in rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight.

Now the Jazz want revenge on the Warriors after dropping each of the first two meetings with them this season.  But Mitchell missed their 92-94 road loss at Golden State on January 23rd in their last meeting.  Having him back and playing at home will make all the difference tonight.

The Warriors are getting a lot of respect due to their current nine-game winning streak.  But it has come against weak competition with the Rockets (twice), that 2-point win over the Mitchell-less Jazz, the Mavericks, the Timberwolves, the Nets, the Spurs, the Kings and the Thunder.  This is their toughest test in nearly a month.

The Warriors will be without Draymond Green, Klay Thompson and Andre Iguodala tonight and could be without Kevon Looney.  Utah is 21-10 ATS in its last 31 home games following a home game.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Drake -2.5

The Drake Bulldogs are fully healthy and playing their best basketball of the season.  They are 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with a split with Northern Iowa as both games went to OT and an upset win over Loyola-Chicago at home.  They are 11-2 SU at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the conference.

Now the Bulldogs have their sights set on revenge from a 56-61 road loss at Missouri State in their first meeting this season.  It's amazing the Bulldogs only lost by 5 when they shot just 1-of-16 (6.2%) from 3-point range.  They have been shooting the 3 a lot better of late and clearly won't shoot that poorly again in the rematch.

Drake is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games after a game where it made 20% 3-pointers or worse.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an upset loss in a conference game as a favorite.  The Bears are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs.  The favorite is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Drake Wednesday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on SMU +7.5

The SMU Mustangs are the second-best team in the American Athletic this season.  Now they get their shot to dethrone the champs in the Houston Cougars tonight.  It's going to be a raucous atmosphere for the Mustangs at home, and I believe they have a real shot to pull the upset here.

Houston has been shaky in a few AAC road games this season only beating Temple by 5 and Tulsa by 2.  This will be their toughest road test yet facing an SMU team that is a perfect 11-0 SU at home this season and outscoring opponents by 15.9 points per game.  And the Mustangs are catching 7.5 points at home tonight.

SMU is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Bet SMU Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on George Mason ML +108

I love the spot for George Mason tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 59-62 road loss at Richmond on Monday.  They don't have to wait long for revenge as they get the Spiders at home this time around on Wednesday here just two days later.

George Mason is 8-2 SU at home this season with its only losses coming to Saint Louis by 2 and Old Dominion.  The Patriots have beaten the likes of Dayton and St. Bonaventure at home this season, two of the best teams in the conference.  They outrebounded the Spiders 41-24 two days ago and should have a big edge on the glass again.

Richmond is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games following two straight games where opponent was called for 15 or fewer fouls.  George Mason is 8-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Roll with George Mason on the money line Wednesday.

15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on Wake Forest -3

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They have gone 7-2 SU in their last nine games overall with six wins by 8 points or more.  Their two losses came at home to Duke and on the road to Syracuse.

Now the Demon Deacons should make easy work of a struggling NC State team that is just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Five of those six losses came by 7 points or more.  That includes home losses to Syracuse by 7 and Notre Dame by 12 in their last two games coming in.  This is a broken Wolfpack team right now just playing out the string.

The Demon Deacons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Wake Forest is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a favorite.  The Wolfpack are 5-20-1 ATS in their last 26 home games.  They have almost zero home-court advantage right now with how poorly the season has gone.  Take Wake Forest Wednesday.

20* Illinois/Purdue ESPN No-Brainer on Illinois +6

Illinois will be out for revenge from an 88-96 (OT) home loss to the Purdue Boilermakers on January 17th.  They got from being 1.5-point favorites in that game to 6-point underdogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjusment.

Keep in mind Kofi Cockburn got into foul trouble against the Boilermakers and was a non-factor.  He will be much more of a factor in the rematch.  And I think this is a game the Fighting Illini have a chance to win outright.  They are coming off a 74-57 road win in Indiana and won't be phased by this atmosphere as they are a veteran bunch.

Purdue has not been impressive at all in its last two home games.  The Boilermakers only beat Ohio State 81-78 as 9-point home favorites and Michigan 82-76 as 9.5-point favorites.  They may do enough to win tonight, too, but asking them to win by 7-plus points to beat us is asking too much.

Illinois is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games coming off three straight games where they forced 11 or fewer turnovers.  Purdue is 0-6 ATS in its last six home games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game.  The Fighting Illini are 5-0 ATS in their last five games a road underdogs.  The Boilermakers are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  These four trends combine for a perfect 23-0 system backing the Fighting Illini.  Take Illinois Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Illinois/Purdue UNDER 147

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Well, this will be the 2nd meeting in less than a month between Purdue and Illinois.  Purdue beat Illinois 96-88 (2 OT) on the road in their first meeting on January 17th.

But that game was tied 69-69 at the end of regulation for just 138 combined points.  In fact, the Fighting Illini and Boilermakers have combined for 141 or fewer points at the end of regulation in each of their last five meetings.  They have averaged just 126.4 combined points per game at the end of regulation in those five games.  So you can see there's a ton of value with the UNDER 147 tonight.

The UNDER is 62-28-1 in Fighting Illini last 91 games as road underdogs.  Purdue is 14-4 UNDER in its last 18 games after a combined score of 155 points or more in two straight games.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +11.5

The Detroit Pistons have been feisty despite their poor record.  They are just 2-8 SU but 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games overall as they have been a difficult team to get margin on.  And I fully expect them to stay within 11.5 points of the Mavericks as they have only lost two of their last 10 games by more than 11 points.

This is the ideal letdown spot for the Mavericks.  They are coming off two straight huge home wins over the Philadelphia 76ers and Atlanta Hawks.  But remember, they were upset by the Thunder as 12-point home favorites and by Orlando as 5-point road favorites in their previous two games.  They will have a hard time getting margin here in this letdown spot.

Detroit is a perfect 8-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games this season.  Dallas is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  The Pistons are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss.  Detroit is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six trips to Dallas.  Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -7.5

The Boston Celtics are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 7-1 SU in their last eight games overall with six of those wins coming by 9 points or more.  Now they should crush the short-handed Brooklyn Nets tonight.

The Nets are 0-8 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall with six of those losses coming by double-digits.  Not only are they without Kevin Durant, but they are also without Joe Harris, Paul Millsap, LaMarcus Aldridge and Kyrie Irving.  They could also be without James Harden, who is questionable with a nagging hamstring injury.

Brooklyn is 5-19 ATS in all home games this season.  The Nets are 0-8 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season.  It's a bad spot as they return home following a five-game road trip and will be playing in their 5th different city in eight days.  Take the Celtics Tuesday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Arkansas +2.5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Now they are ready to put an end to Auburn's 19-game winning streak tonight in front of a raucous home crowd.

Auburn has simply survived its last two road games against weak competition.  The Tigers seem to be getting bored right now.  They only won 55-54 at Missouri as 12.5-point favorites.  Then they were nearly upset in a 74-72 road win at Georgia as 16-point favorites.  Their streak comes to an end tonight as anything short of an A-effort will give them no chance of beating the Razorbacks with how well they are playing right now.

Arkansas is 17-4 SU in its last 21 home meetings with Auburn.  The Razorbacks are 13-1 SU at home this season.  The Razorbacks are 8-0 ATS in February games over the last two seasons.  The Tigers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as road favorites.  Bet Arkansas Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Golden State Warriors -12.5

The Golden State Warriors have won eight consecutive games coming in.  They will be motivated to keep this winning streak alive, and they shouldn't have much trouble against the short-handed Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.

The Warriors are rested and ready to go coming in on three days' rest having last played on Thursday.  They take on an Oklahoma City team that is just 4-13 SU in their last 17 games overall.  Of course, the Thunder are so short-handed right now it has been hard for them to even be competitive.

Oklahoma City is without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jeremiah Robinson-Early, Aaron Wiggins and Mike Muscala right now.  They could also be without Luguentz Dort, who is questionable.  They don't have the horses to even keep this game competitive against the Warriors tonight.

Golden State is 8-1 ATS vs. horrible offensive teams that score 104 or fewer points per game this season.  They are winning by 17.9 points per game in this spot.  The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  They have won five straight meetings with the Thunder with four of those wins coming by 21 points or more.  Bet the Warriors Monday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh +13

I love the quick revenge spot for the Pittsburgh Panthers tonight.  They just lost 71-76 as 7-point home underdogs to Virginia Tech on Saturday.  Now they get to face the Hokies just two days later here Monday and are catching 13 points on the road this time around.  It's simply too much considering the Panthers will be the more motivated team.

Each of the last four meetings were decided by 11 points or less and each of the last seven meetings were decided by 14 points or fewer.  The underdog is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Panthers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  The Hokies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games after having lost five or six of their last seven games.  Bet Pittsburgh Monday.

15* CBB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Temple -3.5

The Temple Owls are playing as well as anyone in the AAC right now outside Houston and SMU.  They have gone 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Both losses were even impressive as they only lost by 5 to Houston as 12.5-point dogs and by 8 at SMU as 9.5-point dogs, covering the spread in both.

South Florida sits at just 6-14 this season and is the worst team in the American Athletic.  The Bulls are 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall and coming off four straight losses by 19 points or more.  All eight losses during this stretch came by 14 points or more.  They haven't even been competitive.

Temple is 7-0 ATS following a home win this season.  South Florida is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. teams that make 42% or less of their shots.  The Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Bulls are 1-8 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The road team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Roll with Temple Monday.

15* Virginia/Duke ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Virginia +12

The Virginia Cavaliers have won three of their last four games by double-digits and are playing their best basketball of the season.  They will be able to hang with Duke, which is in a letdown spot off its huge road win over rival North Carolina on Saturday.

This has been a closely-contested series over the years, so there is value with getting 12 points with the Cavaliers tonight.  Indeed, each of the last 12 meetings between Virginia and Duke have been decided by 10 points or fewer.  That makes for a perfect 12-0 system backing the Cavaliers pertaining to this 12-point spread tonight.  Take Virginia Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Orlando Magic +9.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics today.  They have gone 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall against a pretty easy schedule.  Now they find themselves laying 9.5 points on the road to the Orlando Magic.  Asking them to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

The Magic have been feisty of late as they have gotten healthy.  They have gone 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last five games overall with their only losses coming to Memphis and Boston.  This line is adjusted too much for the Magic having to play the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to Memphis last night.

But the Magic had two days off prior to that Memphis game.  They got blown out by 20 so they could rest their starters in the 4th quarter against a Grizzlies team that is playing as well as anyone.  And there won't be any travel involved as they remain at home.  The Magic will have plenty left in the tank to stay within 9.5 points of the Celtics today.

Boston is 0-10 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that get outrebounded by 3-plus boards per game this season.  The Magic are 5-0 ATS in their last five Sunday games.  Take the Magic Sunday.

15* Houston/Cincinnati ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Cincinnati +6.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Houston Cougars and their 11-game winning streak.  They haven't been as dominant on the road of late.  In fact, three of their last five true road games were nail biters.  They lost 82-83 at Alabama, only beat Temple 66-61 and only beat Tulsa 66-64.

I think this will be the Cougars' toughest test since that Alabama loss.  Cincinnati is 5-2 SU in its last seven games overall with both losses coming on the road to Memphis by 7 and Temple by 3.  They also won at Wichita State and at East Carolina.  They were dominant in their three home games, beating SMU by 17, East Carolina by 8 and Tulsa by 21.  The Bearcats are 11-2 SU at home this season.

Plays against favorites (Houston) - in a game involving two average FT shooting teams (65% to 69%), after three straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 35% or less are 25-5 (83.3%) ATS since 1997.  I think the Cougars meet their match tonight in this tough road test against the Bearcats.  Bet Cincinnati Sunday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota +12.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  They have gone just 1-7 SU in their last eight games overall.  But four of their last five losses came by 11 points or fewer with the one exception being a 15-point loss to Purdue in which the Boilermakers shot lights out from 3-point range.

Minnesota will be out for revenge from a 71-81 home loss to Iowa as 7-point underdogs on January 16th.  Now the Golden Gophers are catching 12.5 points in the rematch and will be the more motivated team.

It's asking too much of Iowa to beat Minnesota by 13 points or more to beat us with the way they are playing right now.  The Hawkeyes are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  They split a home-and-home with Penn State, were upset at Rutgers and lost by 10 at home to Purdue.

Minnesota has done some of its best work on the road this season.  It is 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in six true road games with upset wins at Mississippi State as 11.5-point dogs and at Michigan as 13.5-point dogs.  The Golden Gophers also only lost by 2 at Michigan State as 11.5-point dogs and by 6 at Wisconsin as 11.5-point dogs.

The Golden Gophers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog.  Roll with Minnesota Sunday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +12

I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons today.  They will be out for revenge from a 117-128 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday.  Now they get to face them just three days later in a rematch and will be clearly the more motivated team in this one.

I fully expect the Timberwolves to take the Pistons lightly, which is going to make it difficult for them to cover this massive 12-point spread.  Minnesota is getting a lot of love lately due to going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  It's time to 'sell high' on them.

The Pistons have been quietly a great team to back for weeks.  They are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They just got their best player in Jerami Grant back from injury, and they could have Cade Cunningham back today.  Either way, they have enough to keep this game competitive given the quick revenge spot.

Minnesota is 0-8 ATS in its last eight home games when playing against a team that wins 25% or less of their games on the season.  The Timberwolves are 1-9 ATS in home games vs. poor offensive teams that score 108 or fewer points per game this season.  Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Minnesota.  This number has gotten out of hand today.  Bet the Pistons Sunday.

20* Mississippi State/Arkansas SEC No-Brainer on Arkansas -5

The Arkansas Razorbacks are one of the hottest teams in the country.  They have gone 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  That includes road wins over LSU by 7, Ole Miss by 9 and Georgia by 26.  They also beat Missouri by 35, South Carolina by 16, Texas A&M by 3 and West Virginia by 9 in their four home games during this stretch to improve to 12-1 at home this season.

Now the Razorbacks have their sights set on revenge from a 68-81 loss at Mississippi State in their first meeting this season.  They face a Bulldogs team that has struggled on the road this season.  Mississippi State is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season with all four losses coming by 8 points or more.  That includes a 26-point loss at Texas Tech in their last road game.

Arkansas is 7-0 ATS in February games over the last two seasons.  The Razorbacks are 10-2 ATS when revenging a loss over the last two years.  The Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  Mississippi State is 3-10-1 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS win.  The home team is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  Roll with Arkansas Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas State +4.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the TCU Horned Frogs.  They have gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They are coming off two straight upset wins over LSU at home and Oklahoma on the road.  They won't be all that motivated to beat Kansas State Saturday.

That's because they already beat Kansas State 60-57 as 3.5-point road dogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they are 4.5-point home favorites, which is too big of an adjustment.  The Wildcats will be the more motivated team out for revenge and I expect them to win this game outright.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series.  The road team is a perfect 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Wildcats are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.  Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games as a road underdog.  TCU is 8-20-2 ATS in its last 30 home games.  The Horned Frogs are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game.  Roll with Kansas State Saturday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Wizards +9

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Washington Wizards.  They have gone 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Now they are catching 9 points at home against the Phoenix Suns, which is simply too much.

The Wizards flashed their potential last time out winning 106-103 as 10.5-point road underdogs at Philadelphia.  They previously lost road games against the Grizzlies and Bucks, so they have been through the gauntlet.  Now they are back home here after three straight on the road.

This is a terrible spot for the Phoenix Suns.  They just had their 11-game winning streak snapped with a 115-124 road loss at Atlanta as 4-point favorites.  I always like fading teams the game after their winning streak comes to an end because they tend to be flat in this spot.  I think that will be the case for the Suns, and asking them to win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Take the Wizards Saturday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Wright State +4.5

Wright State and Oakland will both be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  But the spot really favors the Raiders.  They get to stay at home after crushing Detroit 90-59 as 4.5-point favorites, which allowed them to rest their starters in the 2nd half and save up for Oakland.

Meanwhile, Oakland has to travel after a 78-87 (OT) loss at Northern Kentucky.  Going to OT will have taken a lot out of them.  All five starters played at least 38 minutes for them, while their top bench player only recorded 8 minutes.  Three starters played 45 minutes last night.

Wright State is 8-2 SU at home this season and 7-2 SU in its last nine home meetings with Oakland.  The Golden Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall.  The favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Take Wright State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh +6.5

The Virginia Tech Hokies aren't playing well enough to be 6.5-point road favorites at Pittsburgh Saturday.  They are just 4-6 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall with two of those wins coming by 6 points or fewer.  Now they travel to take on a pesky Panthers team that doesn't give in at home.

Indeed, Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six home games with the two losses coming to Notre Dame by 1 and Virginia by 5.  They beat Boston College, upset Louisville and Syracuse, and covered against Jacksonville.

The Hokies are just 2-5 SU in their last seven true road games and one of those was a 3-point win over NC State.  They lost by 5 at Dayton, by 11 at Duke, by 2 at Virginia, by 5 at Boston College and by 10 at North Carolina.

Virginia Tech is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after winning two of its last three games coming in.  The Hokies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as road favorites.  The Panthers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.  The home team is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Pittsburgh Saturday.

20* Duke/North Carolina ESPN No-Brainer on North Carolina +3

The North Carolina Tar Heels have been a juggernaut at home this season.  They are 12-0 at home and outscoring opponents by 16.1 points per game.  They have won 11 of their 12 home games by double-digits, including 10 straight.  That includes wins over Michigan by 21, Virginia by 16, Georgia Tech by 21, Virginia Tech by 10 and NC State by 20.

Duke is getting too much respect here as a road favorite at North Carolina.  The Blue Devils have only had to play five true road games all season and are 3-2, beating Notre Dame, Louisville and Wake Forest while losing outright as favorites to Ohio State and Florida State.  This will be their toughest road test of the season to date.

North Carolina is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Tar Heels are 9-0 ATS in their last nine home games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game.  North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last seven home games.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Take North Carolina Saturday.

25* Mountain West GAME OF THE YEAR on San Jose State +22

The Boise State Broncos finally had their 14-game winning streak come to an end on Thursday when they lost 65-72 at Wyoming.  They had been sneaking by with six straight wins by single-digits prior to that loss.  Now I think they suffer a hangover here in their first game back since having their streak come to an end.

That's going to make it extremely difficult for the Broncos to cover this 22-point spread when they won't be motivated to do so.  Meanwhile, the San Jose State Spartans are looking at this as their biggest game of the season.  They are more than capable of giving the Broncos a run for their money tonight.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Spartans, who have lost nine straight coming in.  But they have shown they can be competitive against some good teams on the road recently.  They lost by 20 at Fresno State, by 15 at Wyoming, by 8 at UNLV, by 16 at New Mexico and by 16 at Utah State in their last five road games.  

In fact, the Spartans have only lost one of their 10 true road games by more than 20 points all season, and that came at Texas.  That makes for a 9-1 system backing the Spartans pertaining to this 22-point spread.  Bet San Jose State Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Northern Iowa +4.5

Northern Iowa wants revenge from a 74-82 (OT) home loss to Drake on January 22nd just two weeks ago.  The Panthers blew a double-digit lead in the 2nd half of that game and have not forgotten.  They go from being 4-point home favorites to 4.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment.

Drake is getting too much respect from oddsmakers after going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall with two overtime victories.  They upset Loyola-Chicago at home which is a big reason they are getting this respect.  Then they beat a short-handed Indiana State team on the road last time out.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs.

Northern Iowa is 37-19 ATS in its last 56 road games following three straight conference wins.  Drake is 2-8 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The Panthers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs.  The Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites.  Drake is 7-18-1 ATS in its last 26 games overall.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Northern Iowa Saturday.

15* 76ers/Mavericks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 212.5

The Philadelphia 76ers and Dallas Mavericks are two great UNDER teams.  They both play at slow tempos as the Mavericks rank 27th in pace while the 76ers rank 26th.  These are also two of the best defensive teams in the NBA as the Mavericks rank 5th in defensive efficiency while the 76ers are 9th.

Injuries will help us cash this UNDER as well as the Mavericks are without Kristaps Porzingis and Tim Hardaway Jr, while Philadelphia is without Frank Korkmaz and could be without Seth Curry, who is questionable.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Mavericks and 76ers with combined scores of 208, 208 and 200 points.  The UNDER is 7-0 in 76ers last seven games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 19-7 in 76ers last 26 games as underdogs overall.  The UNDER is 36-14-1 in Mavericks last 51 home games.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Mavericks last 12 games as home favorites.  Dallas is 11-1 UNDER in home games after playing a home game this season.  Take the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pelicans/Nuggets UNDER 225

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The Pelicans and Nuggets just played on January 28th with Denver winning 116-105 on the road.  Now they face a week later here and are clearly familiar with one another.  These teams were tied 105-105 at the end of regulation for 210 combined points in their first meeting this season as well.

The UNDER is 9-4 in Pelicans last 13 games overall.  They have combined with their opponents for 225 or fewer points in 11 of their last 13 games.  They have been a great UNDER bet all season because they rank 20th in pace and 25th in offensive efficiency.  The Nuggets rank 22nd in pace.

New Orleans is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season.  The UNDER is 24-9 in Pelicans last 33 games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Pelicans last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Nuggets last nine vs. a team with a losing record.  The UNDER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Denver.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado State -3

I love the spot for the Colorado State Rams tonight.  They opened 16-1 this season with their lone loss coming to San Diego State on the road.  It was their worst loss of the season, and they will be out for revenge from that loss tonight.

Adding to the Rams' motivation is they are coming off consecutive losses for the first time this season to fall to 16-3.  They were upset at home by UNLV and suffered a tough OT loss at Wyoming, which is undefeated at home this season and just beat Boise State at home.  It's safe to say we're going to get a big effort from the Rams tonight, and it should be enough to cover this short number.

Colorado State is 10-1 at home this season.  San Diego State is just 1-3 SU in true road games with its lone win coming at UNLV by 7.  The Aztecs were blown out at Michigan by 14, blown out at Utah State by 18 and lost at BYU by 6.

The Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs.  The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Roll with Colorado State Friday.

20* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Charlotte Hornets -4.5

The injuries are piling up for the Cleveland Cavaliers.  They've already been without Collin Sexton (16.0 PPG) and Ricky Rubio (13.1 PPG, 6.6 APG).  But now they are without Darius Garland (19.8 PPG, 8.2 APG) and Lauri Markkanen (13.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG), too.  They don't have a true point guard right now and it is hurting them.

The Cavaliers are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Now they have to travel to face an improved Charlotte Hornets team that could be back to full strength tonight with Gordon Hayward upgraded to questionable.  They have enough to win and cover against the Cavaliers with or without Hayward.

The Hornets are 9-5 SU & 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games after losing two of its last three games.  The Hornets are 10-0 ATS when playing against a team that wins 51% to 60% of their games this season.  Charlotte is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Hornets Friday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE WEEK on Wyoming ML -109

The Wyoming Cowboys want revenge from a 65-62 road loss at Boise State on January 25th just over a week ago.  I expect the Cowboys to have their revenge at home this time around.

Wyoming has one of the most underrated home-court advantages in the country.  The Cowboys are 9-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 21.7 points per game.

Boise State just seems to have nine lives.  The Broncos have won 14 straight games with the last six all coming by 8 points or fewer, including five straight by 6 points or less.  They got a 3-pointer at the buzzer to force OT at Fresno State last time out and went on to win.  I think their luck runs out tonight, and they are nowhere near as good as their record.

The Cowboys are 17-7-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall.  Wyoming is 25-10-1 ATS in its last 36 games following a win.  The Cowboys are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet Wyoming Thursday.

15* UCLA/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Arizona -6.5

The Arizona Wildcats want revenge from their worst loss of the season.  They lost 59-75 despite being 3-point road favorites at UCLA on January 25th just over a week ago.  Now they come back as only 6.5-point home favorites, and this 3.5-point difference isn't a big enough adjustment for home-court advantage and the revenge factor.

Arizona is a perfect 11-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 29.5 points per game.  UCLA will be without Jaylen Clark and could be without Jaime Jaquez Jr., who is questionable.  They will get back Johnny Juzang but he will likely be rusty in his first game back.

UCLA is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 road games following three or more consecutive home games.  The Wildcats are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game after 15-plus games.  Take Arizona Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors are fully healthy right now and playing some of their best basketball of the season.  They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with wins over the Heat (twice) and the Hawks on the road.

Now the Raptors want revenge from a 105-111 road loss at Chicago on January 26th just over a week ago.  But the Raptors were playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 home win over Charlotte the previous night.  The Bulls had the previous day off and were in a great spot, and I cashed in the Bulls as 3.5-point favorites in that game.

Chicago has been shaky in its last three road games.  The Bulls lost outright as 3.5-point favorites 95-114 at Orlando.  They went on to beat Oklahoma City 111-110 as 1.5-point road favorites.  And they lost 122-131 at San Antonio as 1-point road dogs in their last game away from home.  This is a much stiffer test for them tonight.

Toronto is 26-10 ATS in its last 36 games following a win by 6 points or fewer.  The Bulls are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Raptors are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games.  Toronto is 8-0 ATS in its last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Roll with the Raptors Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Northern Iowa -4

I like the spot for the Northern Iowa Panthers tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 69-71 road loss at Bradley as 4.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  Now the Panthers are only 4-point home favorites at home in the rematch, so the books haven't even adjusted for home-court advantage.

The Braves are overvalued right now due to going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  The Panthers are undervalued due to going 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  So it's a great 'buy low' spot on the Panthers, who may still be the best team in the MVC.  And it's a great 'sell high' spot on the Braves.

Bradley is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games after allowing 25 points or less in the first half of last game.  Take Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* Grizzlies/Knicks ESPN No-Brainer on Memphis -3.5

Nobody is playing better than the Memphis Grizzlies right now.  They are 16-4 SU & 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They are coming off an upset loss at Philadelphia in overtime.  Well, the Grizzlies are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games off a loss and haven't dropped two in a row since before Christmas.

They will get back on track tonight against a struggling New York Knicks team that is just 2-6 SU in thier last eight games overall with their only wins coming against the lowly Kings and Clippers at home.  When they have stepped up in competition they have been crushed with four of their last six losses coming by double-digits to the Bucks, Heat, Pelicans and Hornets.

The Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.  Memphis is 6-0 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Grizzlies are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games.  The Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Grizzlies Wednesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State +5

This is a terrible spot for the Drake Bulldogs.  They are coming off a huge upset home win over Loyola-Chicago, the favorites to win the MVC coming into the season.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for them tonight as they travel to face Indiana State.

We faded Missouri State in this exact same spot last week.  The Bears were coming off an upset win over Loyola-Chicago.  They came back as 5-point favorites at Indiana State and lost outright 72-76.  I think the Bulldogs suffer the same fate tonight.

Indiana State is 7-2 SU & 4-1-1 ATS at home this season.  They lost by 2 to Valpo and lost by 8 to Loyola-Chicago after blowing a double-digit lead.  They upset Bradley and upset Missouri State at home.

Drake is 0-6 ATS in road games following a win this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-9 ATS in thier last 10 road games.  Drake is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  The Bulldogs are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as favorites.  The Sycamores are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as home underdogs.  Bet Indiana State Wednesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Georgia +10.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Arkansas Razorbacks tonight.  They are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their only wins by double-digits coming against South Carolina and Missouri at home.  But the Razorbacks are just 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in true road games this season with two double-digit losses and both wins by single-digits.

Now the Razorbacks find themselves as double-digit road favorites against Georgia.  The Bulldogs were last seen at home upsetting Alabama 82-76 as 14.5-point home underdogs.  And they are more than capable of giving the Razorbacks a run for their money at home tonight.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 9-2 SU in the last 11 meetings with the two losses coming by 3 and 4 points.  In fact, the home team hasn't lost by more than 4 points in any of the last 16 meetings, making for a perfect 16-0 system backing the Bulldogs pertaining to this 10.5-point spread.  Take Georgia Wednesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota +11

Purdue has been overvalued here of late.  The Boilermakers are just 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have only won two of their last eight games by more than 10 points and those were home games against lowly Nebraska and Northwestern.

Now the Boilermakers hit the road to take on a feisty Minnesota team that is highly motivated for a victory.  The Golden Gophers haven't lost any of their last five games by more than 11 points and they played a brutal schedule of Michigan State, Iowa, Rutgers, Ohio State and Wisconsin during this stretch.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  Minnesota has beaten Purdue outright in both home meetings during this stretch.  The underdog is 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings.  The Boilermakers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as favorites.  Roll with Minnesota Wednesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Pistons -2

The Detroit Pistons have quietly gone 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and have been a money maker for weeks. The betting public wants nothing to do with this team, providing us value to continue backing them.

I especially like the spot for the Pistons tonight. They are rested and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. They are coming off a 115-105 upset home win over the Cleveland Cavaliers as 7.5-point dogs. They also recently upset the Raptors as 9-point dogs and the Jazz as 11-point dogs at home.

This is a terrible spot for the New Orleans Pelicans. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 5 days after a 90-93 road loss at Cleveland last night. They are banged up right now with several key players questionable, making the spot even worse.

The Pelicans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 road games. The Pistons are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

20* Kansas/Iowa State ESPN No-Brainer on Iowa State +4.5

The Iowa State Cyclones will be out for revenge from a 61-62 loss at Kansas in their first meeting this season. I believe they have a great shot at upsetting the Jayhawks in the rematch at home this time around.

Iowa State has been one of the most underrated teams in the country all season. They are back to having a huge home-court advantage and are 12-2 at home this season.

The Jayhawks have been getting too much respect for weeks. They have failed to cover four in a row and are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They were just blasted 62-80 at home by Kentucky despite being a 5-point favorite. Four of their last five wins have come by 3 points or fewer as well.

Iowa State is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games as an underdog, including 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a home underdog. Kansas is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Iowa State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Texas A&M +11.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Texas A&M Aggies. They opened 15-2 this season and have now lost four straight games all by 11 points or less, including three by 6 points or fewer to Kentucky, LSU and Arkansas. The Aggies haven't lost a game by more than 11 points all season.

Now they are catching 11.5 points against an overrated Tennessee Vols team that just suffered a gut-punching 51-52 loss at Texas. The Vols went on a 16-0 run to tie the game in the final four minutes, only to lose on a free throw. It will be hard to get back up off the mat after that kind of defeat.

Home-court advantage has not mattered in this series. In fact, the road team is 8-2 SU & 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Buzz Williams is 6-0 ATS as a road underdog of 10 or more points as the coach of the Aggies. Roll with Texas A&M Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on West Virginia +14.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the West Virginia Mountaineers tonight.  They have gone 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule of Kansas, Baylor, Texas Tech, Oklahoma and Arkansas.  You won't get them at a better value all season than you will tonight.

I love the spot for the Mountaineers as they will be out for revenge from a 68-77 home loss to Baylor on January 18th less than two weeks ago.  They were only 4.5-point home dogs in that game and are now 14.5-point road dogs, which is a 10-point adjustment.  That is too big of an adjustment for home-court advantage and it just goes to show how undervalued the Mountaineers are right now, coupled with the respect Baylor gets for winning the title last year.

Baylor hasn't won any of its last 15 meetings with West Virginia by more than 12 points.  That makes for a 15-0 system backing the Mountaineers pertaining to this 14.5-point spread.  The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.  Bet West Virginia Monday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Warriors/Rockets OVER 229

The Houston Rockets are the perfect team for OVERS.  They rank 1st in pace this season and 30th in defensive efficiency.  Golden State also likes to push the tempo ranking 9th in pace.  And the Warriors are without arguably their three best defenders in Draymond Green, Otto Porter Jr. and Andre Iguodala tonight.

The Rockets and their opponents have combined for 230 or more points in 11 of their last 15 games overall.  The Warriors have gotten their offense going in scoring 130 against the Mavericks, 124 against the Timberwolves and 110 against the Nets in their last three games coming in.  They will likely hang 120-plus on the Rockets to lead the way to cashing this OVER ticket.

Plays on the OVER on all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Golden State) - off two or more consecutive home wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 26-3 (89.7%) over the last five seasons.

The OVER is 21-8 in Rockets last 29 games overall.  The OVER is 13-3 in Rockets last 16 home games.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Memphis Grizzlies +3.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are playing better than any other team in the NBA right now.  They are 16-3 SU & 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  And here they are catching points again tonight to the Philadelphia 76ers.  Look for them to win this game outright.

While the Grizzlies have done their damage against a brutal schedule in the West, the 76ers have had the luxury of a much softer schedule during their recent run of 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall.  They are the team getting respect for their run unlike the Grizzlies.  The wrong team is favored here.

Memphis crushed Philadelphia 126-91 at home in their lone meeting this season.  The Grizzlies are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings also winning 116-100 in their lone trip to Philadelphia.  Memphis is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 road games.  Roll with the Grizzlies Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Spurs/Suns UNDER 228

The San Antonio Spurs have decided to rest three of their top four scorers in Dejounte Murray (19.4 PPG, 9.1 APG), Derrick White (14.2 PPG, 5.7 APG) and Jakob Poeltl (13.2 PPG) tonight.  The losses of Murray and White will really hamper them offensively and points will be hard to come by.

Now they will be up against a Phoenix Suns team that ranks 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency this season.  The Suns are big favorites, so there's a good chance this one gets out of hand by the 4th quarter and we don't have to sweat the foul game.  The Suns also have some key defenders upgraded to questionable today in Ayton, McGee and Crowder that would help the UNDER if they played.

The Suns aren Spurs have combined for 228 or fewer points in each of their last three meetings.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Spurs last seven games following an ATS win.  The UNDER is 13-5-2 in Spurs last 20 games as road underdogs.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Suns last nine games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday.

25* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on San Francisco 49ers +3.5

The San Francisco 49ers are one of the most underrated playoff teams in the history of the NFL.  Their stats are elite, they are a lot healthier going into the playoffs than they were in the first half of the season.  They were a nightmare matchup for the Cowboys and Packers, and they are a nightmare matchup for the Rams as well. They are also 9-2 SU in their last 11 games overall, outgained both opponents they lost to, and have outgained nine of their last 11 opponents during this streak.

The 49ers already have playoff experience because their Week 18 game was a playoff game as they had to win to get into the postseason.  After trailing 17-0 in the first half, the 49ers stormed back and beat the Rams 27-24 (OT).  They trailed by 7 with under two minutes remaining and no timeouts, and drove the field to tie it and force OT.  They outgained the Rams by 184 yards and deserved to win.  

They came into the playoffs with a ton of confidence and it carried over into their 23-17 upset win at Dallas as 3-point dogs in which they were in control of the game the entire way.  They went on the road again and trailing 10-3 late in the 4th quarter, got a blocked punt return TD to tie the game, eventually beating the Packers on a game-winning field goal at the gun.  Holding the Cowboys to 17 points and the Packers to 10 points is no small feat and shows how good this defense is playing right now.

Yards per play is arguably the most important stat in the NFL, and the 49ers are elite on both offense and defense.  Indeed, the 49ers rank 1st in the NFL at 6.1 yards per play on offense and 6th in the NFL at 5.1 yards per play allowed on defense.  They are +1.0 yards per play, which is the second-best mark in the entire league behind the Buffalo Bills (+1.1 YPP).  They are also 4th in defensive success rate against the run and 4th in defensive success rate against the pass.

The 49ers have really gotten their running game going in recent weeks, rushing for at least 100 yards in six of their last seven games.  And with an elite defense and running game, we've seen before that teams can make deep runs in the playoffs.  The 49ers feel like they are playing with house money with the way they have beaten the Rams, Cowboys and Packers in three straight tight, one-score games.  They feel like they can win in any situation now, and getting 3.5 points with them here is a great value.

The 49ers simply own the Rams.  They have gone 6-0 SU in the last six meetings with five outright wins as underdogs.  Their defense is a nightmare matchup for the Rams as they have held them to 311 or fewer yards in five of those six meetings, including 265 and 278 in their two meetings this season.  They can get pressure by rushing only four, and Matthew Stafford has been great against the blitz, which is why he dissected both the Cardinals and Rams, two blitz-heavy teams.  He won't have that luxury against the 49ers, who can get pressure with four with their dominant defensive line.

The 49ers have proven they can run on the Rams as they have rushed for at least 107 yards in nine of their last 10 meetings.  That allows them to control the ball and keep the Rams off the field.  Jimmy G is one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL at throwing the ball over the middle, and the Rams are one of the worst defenses in the NFL at defending passes over the middle.  That's another reason this is a nightmare matchup for Los Angeles.

The Rams will have zero home-field advantage in this game, which is why this line shouldn't be 3.5.  It should be closer to PK.  You could hear the 49ers fans over the Rams fans in that Week 18 game, and this is a short trip for 49ers fans again to Los Angeles.  They will make the trip, and this will be more of a 50-50 crowd than this line indicates.  I also love the fact that the 49ers have an extra day to get healthy and prepare for the Rams after playing on Saturday, while the Rams played on Sunday.  San Francisco needs this extra time playing in its 4th consecutive road game, and the short travel doesn't really make this a road game.

Don't buy into the hype that it's tough to beat a team three times in the same season.  Teams that are 2-0 in the regular season against an opponent have gone 14-7 SU in the playoffs when facing them for a 3rd time.  The 49ers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven January games.  The underdog is 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  The 49ers are 8-3 SU in road games this season and have played their best football on the highway.  Their run continues as they just seem to be a team of destiny this season.  Bet the 49ers Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +8.5

I've made a lot of money off the Cleveland Cavaliers this season.  But the verdict is out on them now, and they are starting to be overvalued.  That's definitely the case today as they are 8.5-point road favorites over the Detroit Pistons, which is out of control.

The Cavaliers are in a big letdown spot here off their upset home win over the Milwaukee Bucks last time out.  They are getting too much respect after winning eight of their last nine games overall.  In their last six road games, they have only won once by more than 5 points.

Now they take on an undervalued Detroit Pistons team that is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Pistons are rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days here.  They will give the Cavaliers a run for their money tonight.

The Cavaliers are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Detroit is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games following an ATS loss.  Take the Pistons Sunday.

20* Bengals/Chiefs AFC No-Brainer on OVER 54

The Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals meet in the AFC Championship in a rematch from a 34-31 thriller back on January 2nd.  The Bengals had 475 yards while the Chiefs had 414 yards in an absolute shootout that saw 65 combined points.  It should be more of the same here in the rematch as we'll side with the OVER 54.  The weather report for Kansas City is great for this time of year with sunny skies, temps in the 40's and less than 5 MPH winds.  That will help us cash this OVER as well.

Joe Burrow has this Cincinnati offense humming.  He has led them to 30.0 points per game in his last four starts while throwing for 1,563 yards and a 10-to-1 TD/INT ratio.  I expect the Bengals to be playing from behind and Burrow to have to try to keep them in it, which he is more than capable of doing.  

He'll be up against a Kansas City defense that was hit hard by injuries in the secondary against the Bills and could be missing a couple key players.  This is an overrated KC defense as it is ranking 28th in the NFL in allowing 5.8 yards per play.  Burrow threw for 446 yards and four touchdowns in that first meeting.

The Chiefs are humming on offense right now and are as healthy as they have been all season on this side of the ball.  They are scoring 37.3 points per game in their last seven games while winning six of those with their lone loss coming 31-34 at Cincinnati.  The Bengals have some key injuries along their front seven defensively that will make it even more difficult for them to tame this Kansas City offense.

The OVER is 7-0 in Chiefs last seven games overall.  The OVER is 8-1 in Chiefs last nine January games.  The OVER is 7-0 in Chiefs last seven vs. AFC opponents.  Kansas City holds nothing back offensively in the playoffs when games matter most, making them even more potent than during the regular season.  Burrow is more than capable of matching Mahomes score for score to help us cash this OVER.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Marquette/Providence Big East No-Brainer on Providence -2.5

The Providence Friars are one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They are 17-2 this season despite being an underdog time after time.  That includes their 65-62 win at Xavier as 7.5-point road dogs last time out.

Now the Friars will be out for revenge from one of their two losses this season.  Not only was it a loss, and it was an ugly 56-88 blowout road loss at Marquette.  The Friars have not forgotten, and now it's their turn for revenge at home this time around.

Marquette is getting a lot of respect due to going 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.  It's time to 'sell high' on the Golden Eagles.  They go from +1 at home against Providence to only +2.5 on the road, a 1.5-point adjustment which isn't big enough for home-court advantage.  Especially considering Providence is 12-0 at home this season and will be motivated to keep that perfect mark intact.

Providence is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games when revenging a same-season loss, including 6-0 ATS when revenging a loss where they scored 60 points or fewer.  The Friars are 9-0 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  Providence is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The favorite is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Providence Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Oregon State +12.5

The Oregon State Beavers are undervalued right now due to their 3-14 record this season.  That has been evident with their 4-1-1 ATS run in their last six games overall.  And now they are catching too many points against rival Oregon tonight.

Oregon beat Oregon State 78-76 as 4.5-point road favorites in their first meeting.  Now the books have adjusted this number 8 points to 12.5, which is way too much.  It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Ducks after recent upset wins over UCLA and USC.  They have no business being this big of a favorite against the revenge-minded Beavers.

Each of the last 10 meetings in this series have been decided by 15 points or fewer, so these games have all been competitive.  Oregon State is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after two straight games with 5 or fewer steals.  The Beavers are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games after covering four or five of their last six ATS.  The Beavers are 13-1 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 4-plus points per game.  Take Oregon State Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Stanford +12

Stanford is playing too well right now to be catching 12 points from UCLA.  The Cardinal are 8-4 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall with their only losses coming by 4 at Colorado, by 3 at Washington, by 7 to Texas and to Arizona.  They upset USC twice during this stretch as well.

UCLA is getting too much respect from oddsmakers after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They will be without Jaylen Clark and could be without Johnny Juzang, who is questionable in quarantine.  Either way, the Cardinal have the firepower to stay within 12 points of the Bruins even if they were at full strength.

Stanford is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with UCLA with the lone loss coming by 7 points.  The Cardinal are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-12.  Roll with Stanford Saturday.

20* Nets/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on OVER 230.5

We have both James Harden and Kyrie Irving listed as probable tonight for the Nets.  They are an OVER team when these two are in the lineup because they are elite on offense and terrible on defense.  Then you have the two best defenders out for the Warriors in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala.  So this game sets up as an OVER.

The Warriors are really clicking right now with Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins all healthy.  They followed up a 130-point performance against a good Mavericks defense with 124 points against the Timberwolves last time out.

The Nets are also on fire on that end right now.  They have scored 117 points or more in four of thier last five games.  But they are atrocious defensively, allowing 112 or more points in 12 of their last 15 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Tennessee/Texas ESPN No-Brainer on Texas -3.5

The Texas Longhorns hit a rough patch to start Big 12 play but have since rebounded nicely.  They are coming off one of their best performances of the season in a 73-50 win as 2.5-point favorites at TCU.  And I look for them to crush the Tennessee Vols at home tonight.

The Volunteers have been mental midgets on the road this season.  They are 1-3 SU in their last four true road games with their only victory coming at Vanderbilt.  They lost by 5 at Alabama, by 12 at LSU and by 28 at Kentucky.  Texas is on those teams' level.  The Longhorns are 12-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming by a single point.

Tennessee is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games vs. Big 12 opponents.  The Vols are 12-32 ATS in their last 44 road games off three straight conference wins.  Tennessee is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as an underdog.  The Longhorns should be bigger home favorites tonight.  Bet Texas Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on UCF +7.5

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Houston Cougars.  They have won nine straight games and have yet to lose in AAC action.  But they only won by 5 at Temple and by 2 at Tulsa in two of their three road games during this stretch, so they are vulnerable away from home.

UCF has been great at home this season and will give the Cougars a run for their money tonight.  They are 8-2 SU at home with upset wins over Michigan and Memphis and a 3-point loss to Oklahoma.  They are more than capable of pulling the upset, and at the very least staying within this 7.5-point spread.

UCF is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after failing to cover four or five of its last six games.  It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Knights, who will be more motivated for this game than any other game this season.  It will be an electric atmosphere in Orlando tonight with a Top 10 team coming to town as this is one of the most underrated fan bases in the country.  Take UCF Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Dallas Mavericks -9.5

The Dallas Mavericks are rolling right now having gone 12-3 SU & 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games overall with nine wins by double-digits.  They will rack up another one today considering they are rested and ready to go while the Indiana Pacers are not.

Indeed, the Mavericks come in on two days' rest after beating the Blazers 132-112 on the road Wednesday.  The Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-110 (OT) win at Oklahoma City last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Pacers.

If playing the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game isn't bad enough, the Pacers are short-handed right now.  They are playing without Malcolm Brodgon and Myles Turner and could be without both Goga Bitadze and Chris Duarte, who have both been downgraded to questionable after both suffered injuries last night.  This is too tough of a spot for the Pacers to even keep this game competitive tonight.  Roll with the Mavericks Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Maryland ML +107

The Maryland Terrapins are starting to play up to their potential after a rough start to the season with several close losses.  After beating Illinois 81-65 as 4.5-point home dogs on January 21st, they came back with another upset road win 68-60 at Rutgers as 3.5-point dogs.

Now the Terrapins come back as home underdogs to the Indiana Hoosiers when they shouldn't be.  The Hoosiers are just 1-4 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in true road games this.  Their lone road win came 78-71 as 8-point favorites at Nebraska, which is still winless in Big Ten play.

Maryland is 4-0 SU in four home meetings with Indiana since joining the Big Ten.  The Hoosiers are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.  The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Maryland Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on Fresno State +1.5

I love the spot for Fresno State tonight.  The Bulldogs will be out for revenge from a 55-65 road loss at Boise State as 4.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Now they have only adjusted this line 3 points total for flipping home courts, which isn't enough when you consider how good the Bulldogs have been at home this season.

Indeed, Fresno State is 9-0 SU & 7-0 ATS at home this season.  The Bulldogs are outscoring opponents by 16.6 points per game at home behind suffocating defense, holding opponents to just 53.0 points per game and 37.1% shooting.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on Boise State, which has won 13 straight games coming in.  They have been fortunate in close games winning four straight games by 6 points or fewer coming in and five straight by 8 or fewer.  I think their luck runs out tonight.  They are a tired team playing in their 4th different city in 9 days.

The Bulldogs are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games.  They should not be underdogs to the Broncos tonight.  Bet Fresno State Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Chicago Bulls ML -105

The Chicago Bulls just got Zach LaVine back and DeMar Derozan is back from resting.  Now they have these two to go along with Nikola Vucevic.  They are still missing some role players, but as long as they have these three healthy they are a dangerous team.

They should be favored over a San Antonio Spurs team that is in rebuilding mode.  The Spurs are just 4-13 SU & 6-11 ATS in their last 17 games overall despite being mostly healthy during this stretch.  The four wins came against the Rockets, Thunder, Clippers and Celtics.

A big reason for the Spurs' struggles is they are tired right now playing their 15th game in 25 days.  San Antonio is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Roll with the Bulls on the Money Line Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Hawks OVER 218

The Atlanta Hawks are finally at full strength right now after being without guys all season.  It's no surprise they have gone 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall while playing their best basketball of the season.

The Hawks have gotten back to being an offensive juggernaut.  They have scored at least 110 points in all five games.  In fact, they have scored at least 108 points in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  They will hang a big number on the Celtics tonight.

Boston is also playing well scoring at least 102 points in six straight including 116 points against the Wizards and 128 points against the Kings in back-to-back victories.  They are basically at full strength as well after battling injury all season.

The Celtics and Hawks have combined for at least 219 points in five of their last six meetings.  They have combined for at least 218 points in eight of their last 10 meetings as well.  The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings.  The OVER is 5-0 in Celtics last five games as underdogs.  The OVER is 5-0 in Hawks last five Friday games.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Timberwolves/Warriors TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 228.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are an offensive juggernaut when De'Angelo Russell, Karl-Anthony Towns and Anthony Edwards have all been on the court at the same time.  It's no wonder they are playing their best basketball of the season right now with these players all healthy for several weeks now.

Indeed, the Timberwolves are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games overall.  They have been winning with offense, scoring at least 108 points in nine consecutive games while averaging 123.0 points per game in those nine games.  They have allowed 107 or more points in seven of their last eight games, so they are not doing it with defense.  The OVER is 7-2 in their last nine games overall.

The Warriors are missing their two best defenders in Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala.  They have had to play more small ball, and they got their offense going last time out by scoring 132 points against Dallas.  With an lineup that boasts Curry, Thompson, Poole and Wiggins, the Warriors are definitely a potent offensive team that cannot be held back for long.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in this series with combined scores of 233 or more points in four of those five.  The OVER is 6-0 in Timberwolves last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 9-1 in Timberwolves last 10 games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 40-19 in Timberwolves last 59 games as road underdogs.  Roll with the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on California +16.5

The UCLA Bruins are in a huge letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off their biggest win of the season, a 75-59 home victory over Arizona on Tuesday.  Now they have just one day to get ready for California, and they won't be that motivated to beat a Golden Bears team they have already beaten once on the road.

That's going to make it hard for the Bruins to cover this 16.5-point spread when they're lacking the motivation to do so.  Meanwhile, California wants revenge from that 52-60 home loss as 8.5-point underdogs.  Now this number has been adjusted 8 points for home-court advantage, which is way too much given the spot.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Golden Bears after going 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall.  They have faced a brutal schedule during this stretch with three of the losses coming to USC, UCLA and Arizona at home and Washington and Washington State on the road.  Only one of the five losses came by more than 14 points.  California is rested and ready to go having last played on Sunday, so they have had three days off to get ready for the Bruins.

The Golden Bears are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.  California is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a double-digit home loss.  The Golden Bears are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss.  California is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games overall.  UCLA is 0-3-1 ATS in its last four games as a home favorite.  Six of the last seven meetings in this series were decided by 15 points or less.  Bet California Thursday.

20* Purdue/Iowa Big Ten No-Brainer on Iowa +2.5

Iowa wants revenge from a 77-70 road loss at Purdue in their first meeting this season.  The Hawkeyes didn't have their best player in Keegan Murray (22.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 2.2 BPG) for that contest, so having him healthy for the rematch will make all the difference.  It was actually impressive they kept that game competitive without him.

Iowa is 11-1 at home this season with its only loss coming to Illinois.  The Hawkeyes are stomping teams at home this season, outscoring them by 22.5 points per game.  Purdue is just 2-2 SU in true road games this season with upset losses to Indiana and Rutgers.  Winning on the road in the Big Ten is tougher than any other conference in the country.

Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.  The Boilermakers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as favorites.  Iowa is 33-15-3 ATS in its last 51 home games, including 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home underdog.  The home team is 16-6 ATS in the last 22 meetings.  Take Iowa Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Texas A&M +10

Buzz Williams is turning around this Texas A&M program just as he has done in his previous stops at Marquette and Virginia Tech.  He is easily one of the most underrated head coaches in the country.  He has the Aggies sitting at 15-4 this season with three losses by 6 points or less and an 11-point loss to Wisconsin.

The Aggies should not be catching double-digits against LSU, which is 0-3 SU & 1-2 ATS in its last three games overall, including a 14-point loss at Tennessee and an upset home loss by 7 to Arkansas as a 6.5-point favorite.  Two of LSU's top three scorers in Xavier Pinson (10.9 PPG, 4.6 APG) and Darius Days (13.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG) are both questionable tonight.  I like the Aggies to stay within this number even if both guys play.

LSU is 11-27 ATS in its last 38 games as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points.  The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Texas A&M is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet Texas A&M Wednesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Bulls -3.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Chicago Bulls.  They have been banged up and have gone just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall.  But they are getting healthier now as Zach LaVine just returned last game, and DeMar DeRozan will be back after resting last game against the Thunder.

While the Bulls had yesterday off, the Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-113 home win over the Hornets last night.  It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the Raptors, which is a very difficult spot.  The fatigue is stating to show as the Raptors are 3-5 SU in their last eight games overall.  They could be without two of their best players in Fred VanVleet and Scottie Barnes, who are both questionable and they may be wise to rest them.

The Bulls are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Raptors.  Chicago is 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.  Toronto is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take the Bulls Wednesday.

20* CBB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -1.5

I love the spot for the West Virginia Mountaineers tonight.  They are coming off three straight losses to the three best teams in the Big 12 in Kansas, Baylor and Texas Tech.  They will be highly motivated for a victory at home tonight, and they take a big step down in class against Oklahoma.

The Sooners continue to get too much respect from the books.  They have gone 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are just 2-5 in Big 12 play this season with both wins coming at home against Kansas State and Iowa State in which they needed late surges to put those games away.  They are 1-3 SU in true road games this season with their lone win coming at UCF by 3.

West Virginia is 10-1 SU at home this season and has one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  The only loss came to Baylor and they were competitive for 40 minutes in that game.  The Mountaineers are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 home games after going over the total in three or more consecutive games.  West Virginia is 8-1 ATS in its last nine home games following two or more consecutive ATS losses.  The Sooners are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Roll with West Virginia Wednesday.

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic ML -105

This is a great spot for the Orlando Magic and a terrible one for the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Magic will be playing on two days' rest after last seen beating the Bulls 114-95 at home on Sunday.  They will be rested and ready to go tonight against the Clippers.

The Clippers just completed a remarkable comeback last night down 30 at halftime to the Wizards and won 116-115 after a 3-pointer at the buzzer on an And-1.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 11th game in 18 days.

Making the spot even more difficult for the Clippers is it will be their 5th straight road game, so there has been a lot of travel involved.  It will be their 8th different city since January 13th as well.  The Clippers are already short-handed missing Paul George and Kawhi Leonard and could be without Marcus Morris.  This is a spot they will fall flat on their faces.

Los Angeles is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The Clippers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games vs. poor teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game.  Los Angeles is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games following an ATS win.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Providence +8.5

The Providence Friars have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season.  They have gone 16-2 this season which includes outright upset road wins at Wisconsin, at Connecticut and at DePaul.  So they have proven they can travel and beat great teams.

Now the Friars are catching 8.5 points against a Xavier team that has been overvalued for weeks.  The Musketeers are just 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone cover coming in a road win at lowly Butler.

Providence is 6-4 SU & 8-2 ATS in its last 10 meetings with Xavier with only two losses by more than 6 points.  The Friars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as underdogs.  Providence is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss.  The Friars are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Take Providence Wednesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Missouri +13.5

This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Auburn Tigers.  I cashed in Auburn in their 80-71 victory over Kentucky on Saturday for their 8th consecutive ATS cover.  But now the Tigers are in a massive letdown spot today off that Kentucky win as they travel to face one of the worst teams in the SEC in the Missouri Tigers.

Well, Missouri was one of the worst teams, but they are as improved as anyone in the conference over the last couple weeks.  Missouri is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall with a 92-86 upset home win over Alabama as 14-point dogs, a 3-point loss to Texas A&M as 5-point home dogs, a 78-53 win at Ole Miss as 7.5-point dogs and only a 10-point loss at Alabama as 18-point dogs.

Plays against any team (Auburn) - an explosive offensive team scoring 78 PPG or more against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG) after 15-plus games, after scoring 75 points or more in four straight games are 40-15 (72.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.

Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  The Tigers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as home underdogs.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Don't be surprised to see Auburn fall flat on its face tonight and lose this game outright.  Bet Missouri Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas State +14.5

The Baylor Bears have been overvalued to open Big 12 play this year due to winning the title last year and coming into conference play unbeaten.  They have gone 5-2 SU but 3-4 ATS with all five of their wins coming by 14 points or less.  They even lost outright to Texas Tech as an 11.5-point home favorite and outright to Oklahoma State as a 14-point home favorite.

Conversely, Kansas State has been grossly undervalued in conference play.  The Wildcats are just 2-5 SU but 5-2 ATS.  Amazingly, all five of their losses have come by 13 points or less with four of those losses by 3 points or fewer.  They have been extremely competitive in conference play.  They upset Texas Tech by 11, went on the road and upset Texas as 10.5-point dogs and nearly upset Kansas in a 3-point loss as 6-point home dogs.  They only lost by 2 at Oklahoma as 7.5-point dogs and by 3 at West Virginia as 9-point dogs.

Kansas State is 7-1 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Wildcats are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games.  Baylor is 0-4 ATS in its last four home games.  The road team is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings.  This is simply too many points tonight.  Bet Kansas State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Southern Illinois +12.5

Southern Illinois is much better than its 10-9 record would indicate and should not be catching 12.5 points against the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers tonight.  In fact, all nine of their losses have come by 12 points or fewer this season.  All four of their conference losses have come by 8 points or fewer, including three by 5 points or less to Missouri State, Northern Iowa and Drake, three of the top teams in the conference.

Loyola-Chicago has been grossly overvalued of late.  They are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They needed OT to beat Bradley as a 13-point home favorite and needed OT to beat Valpo as a 15.5-point home favorite.  They needed a 15-point comeback to win at Indiana State, and they lost outright as an 8-point home favorite to Missouri State.  Their lone blowout win during this stretch came against lowly Evansville, which is getting blown out by everyone.

The Ramblers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games after having won eight or more of their last 10 games.  The Salukis are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  Roll with Southern Illinois Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +9

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Boston Celtics coming off their 116-87 road win over the Washington Wizards thanks to a 50-point game from Jayson Tatum.  Now they come back as 9-point home favorites against the Sacramento Kings tonight.

The Kings are playing to well to be catching 9 points, and asking the Celtics to beat them by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Kings have played six straight games where they haven't lost once by more than 6 points.  That includes a 6-point road loss at Milwaukee, and upset win over the Lakers and a 1-point home loss to the Cavaliers.

The Kings simply have the Celtics' number.  The Kings are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with three outright wins and their two losses coming by 1 and 6 points.  IN fact, they haven't lost any of their last six meetings with the Celtics by more than 6 points.

Sacramento is rested and ready to go playing just its 2nd game in 6 days.  The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games playing on two days' rest.  The Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.  Boston is 6-20-1 ATS in its last 27 games following a win by more than 10 points.  Take the Kings Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Detroit Pistons +7.5

I love the spot for the Detroit Pistons tonight.  They will be out for revenge from a 111-117 road loss at Denver on Sunday.  Now they get to face the Nuggets at home here just two days later.  Look for them to easily cover this 7.5-point spread and possibly win outright.

The Pistons have been very good here of late in going 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with an upset win at Sacramento, a 10-point loss as 13-point dogs at Utah and a 6-point loss at 12-point dogs at Denver.  Now they are back home here where they have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with upset wins over the Spurs as 7-point dogs, the Jazz as 11-point dogs and the Raptors as 9-point dogs.

While the Pistons will be motivated for revenge, the Nuggets won't be all that interested in beating them for a 2nd time in 3 days.  And motivation is everything in the NBA.  Plus, the Nuggets have a huge game on deck tomorrow night at Brooklyn.  They will be looking ahead to that game and overlooking the Pistons.

Plays against road teams (Denver) - after failing to cover the spread in three or more consecutive games against an opponent that has covered the spread in three or more consecutive games are 57-27 (67.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Pistons Tuesday.