15* AL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/A's OVER 9

Sutter Health Park in Sacramento has proven to be a hitter's paradise this season.  Temps are always warm and the wind always seems to be blowing out, and that will be the case again tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The A's are a dead nuts OVER team as it is.  They rank 29th in the majors allowing 6.1 runs per game.  The A's are 9-2-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games, and 10 or more combined runs in nine of them.

No question Joe Ryan has been great this season for the Twins, but he will likely struggle to shut down the A's given the forecast.  Luis Severino is 0-4 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in seven home starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 40 2/3 innings.  Severino allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings in his last start against Minnesota.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Giants OVER 7

Stephen Kolek is likely to get crushed again today.  He has allowed 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  I expect the Giants to hang a big number on him today.

Logan Webb is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.  Webb has been shaky in his last two starts, allowing 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 hits in 10 innings to the Royals and Tigers.  And Webb does not enjoy facing the Padres, allowing 11 earned runs and 30 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  That has played out here recently as the Reds are 3-0 OVER in their last three home games combining for 19, 19 and 10 runs with the Cubs.  The Reds have scored 6 runs or more in five of their last eight games overall as they are heating up at the plate as well.

Speaking of heating up at the plate, the Brewers are 7-0 in their last seven games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in six of those seven games.  They have scored a total of 48 runs in those seven games for an average of 6.9 runs per game.

Aaron Civale is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three starts for the Brewers this season.  He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 6-3 with a 4.60 ERA in 11 starts for the Reds this season.  Singer has allowed 18 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 6.39 ERA.  He allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 11-7 win over the Brewers on April 5th in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off tonight in what should be another high-scoring game after combining for 13 runs in Game 1 and 20 runs in Game 2 of this series.  The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game while the Yankees rank 3rd scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Dodgers managed to score 8 runs on the Yankees in Game 1 with Cy Young contender Max Fried on the mound.  They came back for 18 runs against Will Warren in Game 2.  And now they will crush Ryan Yarbrough in Game 3 tonight as he is a worse starter than both Fried and Warren.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has regressed in recent starts allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 innings in his last four starts.  The Yankees should do enough against him and this Los Angeles bullpen to contribute to the OVER.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those 11 meetings, 10 or more combined runs in six of them, and 13 or more combined runs in five of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 9-7 in Game 1 of this series for 16 combined runs.  The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 11-7 in Game 2 for 18 combined runs.  The Nationals have now scored 9 runs or more in four consecutive games for the first time in franchise history.

The Diamondbacks have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between Arizona and Washington with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  It should be another high-scoring game today.

The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own against Mitchell Parker, who is 4-4 with a 4.65 ERA in 11 starts this season with just 40 K's in 60 innings.  Parker has allowed 26 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 8.46 ERA during this stretch.

The Nationals are so hot right now I have no doubt they'll get to Corbin Burnes, too.  Burnes has not enjoyed facing the Nationals, allowing 11 earned runs and 27 base runners in 17 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Twins/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

This total of 7.5 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 9th in the majors.

The Mariners are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall which were all at home.  They combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series, and 18 runs in Game 1 and 9 runs in Game 2 of this series with the Twins.  Their bullpen is now taxed after going to extra innings in three consecutive games.

Minnesota's bullpen is taxed as well after going to extra innings in the first two games of this series.  And starter Chris Paddack isn't known for going deep into games, either.  He is 29-29 with a 4.32 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  Luis Castillo hasn't been very sharp this season and has allowed 9 earned runs in 24 innings in his last four starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rockies and Mets today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Citi Field in New York this afternoon.

The Mets beat the Rockies 8-2 yesterday and are capable of covering this total on their own again today.  Carson Palmquist is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in three starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 27 base runners in 13 1/3 innings.

Clay Holmes has regressed quite a bit here recently allowing 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 22 base runners in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts.  The Rockies should do enough against him and this New York bullpen to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Guardians OVER 8

The Angels and Guardians combined for 12 runs yesterday which was the 6th time in the last 7 meetings that they combined for 8 runs or more.  This total of 8 is too low today given the poor quality of these two starting pitchers.

The Guardians are capable of covering this total on their own against Jack Kochanowicz and this suspect Angels bullpen.  Kochanowicz is 3-6 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has allowed 34 earned runs and 9 homers in 60 1/3 innings with just 40 K's.  He allowed 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start against Cleveland.

Gavin Williams is 4-3 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 11 starts for the Guardians this season.  Conrol has been a big issue for him allowing 32 walks in 52 2/3 innings.  He allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 3 innings in his lone career start against the Angels.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Blue Jays OVER 8

This has been a very high-scoring series thus far with the A's and Blue Jays combining for 12 runs in Game 1, 18 runs in Game 2 and 15 runs in Game 3.  It should be more of the same today with these two starting pitchers going.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in A's last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.

The Blue Jays have covered this total on their own in each of the first three games of this series scoring 12, 11 and 8 runs.  They are capable of doing it again against JP Sears, who have been roughed up for 19 earned runs and 8 homers in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 13.87 ERA.

Kevin Gausman is 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA in 11 starts this season.  The A's should do enough against him and this tired Toronto bullpen to help contribute to cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Phillies OVER 8

The Brewers beat the Phillies 17-7 for 24 combined runs yesterday aided by the wind blowing out.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket Sunday as well.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Philadelphia this afternoon.

Jose Quintana is far past his prime and on his last leg for the Brewers.  Quintana has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 15 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Ranger Suarez has allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee.

Both teams have been better against left-handed pitching than right-handed pitching.  Both offenses have been very good this season with the Phillies scoring 4.8 runs per game and the Brewers 4.6 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Nationals beat the Diamondbacks 9-7 in Game 1 of this series for 16 combined runs.  In fact, the OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  It should be another high-scoring game today.

Mike Soroka is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA in five starts for the Nationals this season.  Soroka allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in his last start against Arizona.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.40 ERA.  Pfaadt has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 15 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Washington.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NBA Conference Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers ML -165

Rick Carlisle is 4-0 at home with a chance to close out a series in his time between Dallas and Indiana.  The Pacers are 7-1 SU in their last eight playoffs games following a loss, including 3-0 in these playoffs off a loss beating the Bucks by 26 on the road, the Cavs by 20 on the road and the Knicks by 9 at home.

The Pacers basically gave away Game 5 and played like they knew they had a chance to close out this series at home in Game 6.  They weren't nearly as aggressive with pushing the tempo, and Tyrese Haliburton was very passive after posting a 30-point triple-double at home in Game 4.

Carlisle didn't play all of his cards and didn't push the buttons he will entering Game 6.  Only two starters played more than 30 minutes for the Pacers in Game 5, so they should still be very fresh.  Haliburton only attempted 7 shots for the game.  He will be more assertive, and the Pacers will get back to playing at the break-neck pace that gives them an advantage.

The Knicks are a tired team right now with no multiple days off in between games.  They play their starters so many minutes, and five players played at least 33 minutes for the Knicks in Game 5.  The Pacers playing up-tempo will give them problems and wear them down as this game goes on, and that will be the difference.  

Playoff teams who are up 3-2 and lost Game 5 on the road but have Game 6 at home are 45-14 SU & 39-19-1 ATS over their last 59 tries to close out a series.  These Game 6 home teams looking to clinch are winning by 14.3 points per game and covering the spread by 9.4 points per game in those 59 games.  Bet the Pacers on the Money Line in Game 6 Saturday.

15* Knicks/Pacers TNT Total DOMINATOR on OVER 220

The Pacers let the Knicks control the tempo in Game 5 in New York.  They won't allow that to happen at home in Game 6.  They will push the tempo and play at the break-neck pace that earned them a 130-121 win at home in Game 4 for 251 combined points.

The Pacers and Knicks have combined for 221 or more points in seven of their last nine meetings, so this total of 220 is very low for a game involving these two teams.  That's especially the case knowing the Pacers will control the tempo at home tonight and try to run the Knicks out of the gym.  Bet the OVER in Game 6 Saturday.

15* Twins/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

This total of 7 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 10th in the majors.

The Mariners are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall which were all at home.  They combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series, and 18 runs with the Twins in Game 1 of this series.  Their bullpen is now taxed after losing in extra innings each of the past two days.

That puts a lot of pressure on Bryce Miller to go deep into this game.  But that clearly won't be the case as Miller makes his return from the injured list after allowing 11 earned runs in 9 innings in his two starts before going on the IL.  He will be on a pitch count, and he likely won't be effective.

No question Bailey Ober is a solid starter, but the Mariners should do enough off him and this Minnesota bullpen to help contribute to the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Dodgers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off tonight in what should be another high-scoring game after combining for 13 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game while the Yankees rank 3rd scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Dodgers managed to score 8 runs on the Yankees yesterday with Cy Young contender Max Fried on the mound.  They will certainly get to Will Warren, who is due some regression after feasting on a very easy schedule of opponents in recent starts.

But the Yankees should hang a big number on Landon Knack, too.  Knack is 2-2 with a 5.22 ERA in five starts and two relief appearances for the Dodgers this season.

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those 10 meetings, 10 or more combined runs in five of them, and 13 or more combined runs in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Braves OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Red Sox and Braves today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta this afternoon.

Walker Buehler hasn't been the same since returning from injury.  He is 4-2 with a 3.95 ERA in eight starts this season, and I fully expect the Braves to hang a big number on him today.  Buehler has allowed 8 earned runs and 27 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts against Atlanta.

Spencer Schwellenbach is one of the more overrated starters in the big leagues.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 8 homers in 48 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 4.66 ERA.  Schwellenbach has allowed 10 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Boston.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Guardians OVER 8

No game featuring Kyle Hendricks should have a total of 8 or lower.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances for the Cubs last season.  Hendricks is 2-6 with a 5.23 ERA in 10 starts for the Angels this season.  The Guardians are capable of covering this total on their own.

But the Angels should have more success at the plate today.  They will be up against Slade Cecconi, who is 3-9 with a 5.79 ERA in 19 starts and 10 relief appearances over 115 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Cecconi will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Guardians.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Cardinals have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.74 runs per game this season.  The Rangers scored 11 runs on the Cardinals yesterday, and the OVER is now 4-0 in the last four meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all four.  This total of 8.5 is too low today.

Sonny Gray is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Gray has allowed 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 27 innings for a 4.67 ERA in his last five starts.  Gray has allowed 8 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas.

Patrick Corbin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has posted a 5.20 ERA while making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin has now allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Rangers.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Reds/Cubs NL Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet for their 2nd series in a week.  The first was very high-scoring and I was on the OVER in every game cashing all three with 19, 19 and 10 combined runs in the three games in Cincinnati.  These teams combined for 8 runs yesterday in Game 1 i Chicago, and this total of 7 is too low for Game 2.

The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game and have been a dead nuts OVER team as a result.  The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in six of their last seven games with the OVER going 5-2 in those seven games with 8 or more combined runs in six of the seven.

Nick Lodolo has allowed 15 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.88 ERA.  Lodolo has allowed a whopping 11 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.

Drew Pomeranz will be making his first start since 2019.  Pomeranz will not be successful here against this red hot Cincinnati lineup.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/Mariners OVER 6.5

This total of 6.5 is simply too low.  Both the Twins and Mariners have better offenses than they get credit for.  That's especially the case for the Mariners, who have one of the most improved offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks 10th.

The Mariners are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall which were all at home as they combined for 9, 10 and 12 runs with the Nationals last series.  Their bullpen is now taxed after losing in extra innings to the Nationals yesterday as well.

That puts a lot of pressure on Bryan Woo to go deep into this game.  But he is usually a high pitch count guy and rarely goes more than 6 innings.  Woo allowed 10 hits in 6 innings to the Astros in his last start.  Woo allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 3 1/3 innings to the Twins in his last start against them, which also came at home.

The Mariners should get their bats going against Zebby Matthews, who will be making just his 3rd start of the season.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 13 base runners in 7 innings in his two starts.  He only had 71 pitches in his 1st start and 81 in his 2nd start and will remain on a pitch count.  Matthews is 1-5 with a 6.85 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 11 career starts in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Marlins are 71-31 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  It's a much more hitter-friendly park than it gets credit for, and the Marlins have one of the worst staffs in baseball to boot ranking 28th allowing 5.7 runs per game.

The Giants are capable of covering this total on their own against one of the worst starters in baseball in Cal Quantrill.  He is 3-4 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 10 starts for the Marlins this season, allowing 30 earned runs in 44 1/3 innings.

The Marlins have scored a total of 16 runs in their last two games which came at pitcher-friendly San Diego.  They have now scored 3 runs or more in six consecutive games, and they should get to Kyle Harrison, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season after allowing 2 earned runs in 4 innings to the Nationals.  Harrison is 8-9 with a 4.44 ERA in his career and will be on a pitch count.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet for their 2nd series in a week.  The first was very high-scoring and I was on the OVER in every game cashing all three with 19, 19 and 10 combined runs in the three games in Cincinnati.  

It should be more of the same in Game 1 of this series in the Chicago given the forecast at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game and have been a dead nuts OVER team as a result.  They will get to face Andrew Abbott for the 2nd time in a week, which favors their hitter over Abbott.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in five of their last six games with the OVER going 5-1 in those six games with 9 or more combined runs in five of the six.  They will also get to face Colin Rea for the 2nd time in a week.  Rea allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings to the Reds on May 24th.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Seattle Mariners have one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 10th at 4.6 runs per game this season.  The Washington Nationals just hung 9 runs on the Mariners yesterday and will be licking their chops at the opportunity to face tonight's starting pitchers.  Both teams took their turns covering the total on their own in the first two games of this series as the Mariners won 9-1 in Game 1.

Emerson Hancock is only starting for the Mariners due to injuries to the rotation.  Hancock is 2-2 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He has allowed 26 earned runs, 8 homers and 67 base runners in 39 1/3 innings.  Hancock is 6-6 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in his career in the big leagues while allowing 64 earned runs and a whopping 21 homers in 112 innings.

No question MacKenzie Gore has electric stuff with big strikeout numbers.  But he has also given up a lot of hard contact this season, and his 3.47 ERA and 1.25 WHIP aren't anything spectacular.  The Mariners should get to him and this awful Nationals bullpen enough to contribute to cashing this cheap OVER 7.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Nationals/Mariners OVER 8

The Seattle Mariners have the most improved offense in baseball this season.  They rank 10th in the majors scoring 4.66 runs per game.  They have covered the total on their own in the first two games of this series in a 9-5 victory in Game 1 and a 9-1 victory in Game 2.

That could very well be the case again today as the Mariners should crush Trevor Williams.  Williams has posted a 7.66 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 21 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 3 homers and 14 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against Seattle.

George Kirby is working his way back from injury and will be on a pitch count again tonight.  Kirby allowed 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings with only 72 pitches in his first start of the season on May 22nd.  I think the Nationals can get to him and this Seattle bullpen as well today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Timberwolves/Thunder ESPN No-Brainer on Minnesota +8.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves showed they could play as a team in their last two games against the Oklahoma City Thunder.  After winning 143-101 in a runaway in Game 3 at home, they took the Thunder to the wire in a 128-126 loss in Game 4.

They only lost by 2 in Game 4 despite not getting good games out of their two best players in Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle.  Edwards scored just 16 points on 1-of-7 from 3-point range, and Randle had just 5 points on 1-of-7 shooting from the floor.  They were able to overcome it by getting 20-plus points from McDaniels, Alexander-Walker and DiVincenzo.

While I don't expect the role players to be as good for the Timberwolves on the road in Game 5, I certainly expect bounce back games from Edwards and Randle to make up for it.  I think the Timberwolves have the heart to give the Thunder a run for their money and not go out quietly.

This is a very young Thunder team that could be a bit antsy with a trip to the NBA Finals on the line.  I question how well they will handle their 1st opportunity to close out this series tonight with what's at stake.  I think the Timberwolves will take them to the wire again and possibly pull off the upset.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  This total of 7.5 is too low, especially with the starting pitching matchup and the fact that both bullpens are taxed after going to extra innings last night.

Matthew Boyd has allowed at least 2 earned runs in each of his last eight starts for the Cubs.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Reds last time out.

Tanner Gordon is 1-7 with a 7.52 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 10 career starts for the Rockies.  He has allowed 39 earned runs and a whopping 11 homers in 46 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Padres OVER 8.5

The Padres beat the Marlins 8-6 yesterday in what was a wild game where both bullpens were heavily used.  I think both teams will need their bullpens early again in this one with these two starting pitchers going.

Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Alcantara is 2-7 with a 8.04 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 10 starts for the Marlins, allowing a whopping 42 earned runs and 25 walks in 47 innings. Alcantara is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last two starts against the Padres, allowing 8 earned runs in 13 innings.

Kyle Hart hasn't been much better for the Padres.  He is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 innings.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Dodgers/Guardians OVER 9

The Dodgers are a great OVER bet this season with one of the best lineups in baseball but also one of the worst staffs.  The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.64 runs per game and 22nd allowing 4.4 runs per game.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Guardians and Dodgers today.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center in Cleveland this afternoon.

Clayton Kershaw is working his way back from injury.  He has allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings in his two starts thus far since returning and will be on a pitch count again today.  The Guardians should tag him and this Los Angeles bullpen today.

The Dodgers should feast on Kolby Allard, who will be making his 1st start since 2023 as the Guardians make this a bullpen game.  They already have a taxed bullpen after losing 7-2 to the Dodgers in Game 1 and 9-5 to the Dodgers in Game 2.  It should be another game with 9-plus combined runs in Game 3 this afternoon.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-115)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have big advantage at the plate and on the mound that should have them winning by multiple runs again tonight after a 5-0 victory over the Pirates in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Pirates rank dead last (30th) scoring 3.0 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is 3-2 with a 2.73 ERA in nine starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Burnes is 5-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 11 career starts against Pittsburgh as well.

Rookie Michael Burrows will be making his 2nd career start for the Pirates tonight.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 8-5 loss to the Brewers in his first start.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent Arizona lineup.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120)

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  They also rank 5th allowing just 3.6 runs per game.  Their +111 run differential is the best mark in the majors to this point.  The Angels are scoring 4.2 runs per game but allowing 5.2 runs per game with a -54 run differential.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-3 with a 2.88 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Rodon has allowed just 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 65 2/3 innings with 80 K's this season.

Regression has finally hit Tyler Anderson hard in his last two starts.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings to the A's and Dodgers.  It won't get any easier for him tonight against this potent New York lineup.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Knicks/Pacers TNT No-Brainer on Indiana ML -130

The Indiana Pacers let the New York Knicks off the hook in Game 3.  They took their foot off the gas when Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns got into foul trouble and the Pacers built a 20-point lead, only to relinquish it all largely to backups for the Knicks.

Now that they got humbled, I expect a big effort from the Pacers in Game 4 at home tonight to regain control of this series.  Look for them to push the pace and get back to playing their style of basketball and controlling the tempo playing at home.  The pace has favored the Knicks so far this series, and I think Rick Carlisle will make the proper adjustments and tell his players to get back to playing Pacer basketball.

The problem with the Knicks is that they are a defensive liability with Brunson and Towns on the court at the same time.  Both get cooked on defense, especially Brunson.  That won't change in this series, and the Knicks aren't just going to bench their two biggest superstars due to poor defense.  The only reason they are ever off the floor is due to foul trouble, not because Tom Thibodeau made some great coaching moves.

The longer this series goes, the more Indiana's advantage in depth will take over.  The Pacers actually have reliable options off the bench, while the Knicks are really stuck to a 7-man rotation.  And there hasn't been more than one day off in between games thus far in this series.  Look for the Pacers to get a lot more from their role players than they got in Game 3 at home in Game 4.  Bet the Pacers on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-143)

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game.  Their +93 run differential is the 2nd-best mark in baseball behind only the Yankees.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.2 runs per game and allowing 6.4 runs per game this season with a 9-45 record.  Their -173 run differential is the worst mark in baseball by 81 runs!

Rookie Cade Orton has held his own in two starts for the Cubs this season allowing 4 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  This will be his easiest test yet against a Colorado lineup that is the worst in baseball.

German Marquez has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the Rockies this season.  He is 1-7 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has allowed 40 earned runs in 47 innings with only 26 K's.  Marquez has allowed 11 earned runs and 26 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Royals OVER 8

The Reds and Royals both have taxed bullpens right now.  The Reds gave up 13 and 11 runs to the Cubs in two of their three games last series, and also won by 2 in the other game.  They beat the Royals 7-4 on Monday in Game 1 of this series yesterday with a total of just 7.5.

The Royals have played four straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer.  Eight of their last nine games were decided by 3 runs or fewer as well with a save opportunity.  I don't expect either starter to go deep into this game, thus both bullpens are going to have to be used a lot again tonight.

Brady Singer is 5-3 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Singer has allowed 16 earned runs and 34 base runners in 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

Daniel Lynch will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Royals.  His first start he lasted just 1 2/3 innings against the Giants on May 21st.  He won't be going very deep in this game, either.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Guardians OVER 9

The Dodgers are a great OVER bet this season with one of the best lineups in baseball but also one of the worst staffs.  The Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game and 21st allowing 4.4 runs per game.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Guardians and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will bein the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Cleveland.

Dustin May is really struggling for the Dodgers.  He has allowed 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 33 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 5.61 ERA.  Tanner Bibee has just 43 K's in 58 innings and is pitching much more to contact this season which is why he has struggled.  He has already allowed 11 homers as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Yankees/Angels OVER 9.5

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  The Los Angeles Angels are scoring 4.3 runs per game but allowing 5.2 runs per game this season.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

Jack Kochanowicz has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-5 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 10 starts.  Kochanowicz has allowed 30 earned runs, 9 homers and 29 walks in 53 2/3 innings with just 35 K's.  The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own, and there's a good chance they have the lead in the 9th so the Angels will get to bat in the bottom half.

Ryan Yarbrough has been forced into the rotation due to injuries.  He has only made three starts for the Yankees this season and hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any of those starts.  The Yankees due have a tired bullpen after a couple one-run games with the Rockies over the weekend.  And this Angels bullpen is one of the worst in baseball once Kochanowicz exits early.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Thunder/Timberwolves ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +4

The Minnesota Timberwolves responded in a big way in Game 3.  I grabbed them +4 on the opener and it closed +3.  It opened +4 again for Game 4 and I grabbed the opener, and I expect it to close around +3 again so hopefully we get in good.

The Timberwolves shot just 15-of-51 (29%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They weren't any better in Game 2 going 11-of-39 (28%) from 3-point range, including 1-of-9 from Anthony Edwards.  They were a much better shooting team than they should in the first two games, and that came to fruition in Game 3.

Minnesota shot 20-of-40 (50%) from 3-point range in its 143-101 victory in Game 3 to save this series.  Seven different players made at least two 3-pointers for the Timberwolves in a complete team effort.  It's true that role players play much better at home where they are more comfortable, and that is the case for Minnesota throughout these playoffs.

While I don't expect the Timberwolves to shoot 50% from 3 again in Game 4, they have a lot of margin for error considering they won by 42 points.  They should be in the 40% range, and if they are they can beat the Thunder again an even this series, and at the very least get the cover as 4-point home underdogs.  

Minnesota is 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home in the playoffs this postseason.  Oklahoma City is 3-3 SU but 1-5 ATS on the road in these playoffs.  They even struggled with the short-handed Grizzlies in two road games as all three of their road wins have come by 6 points or fewer in these playoffs.  Bet the Timberwolves Sunday.

15* MLB Monday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-143)

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.1 runs per game.  Their +91 run differential is the 2nd-best mark in baseball behind only the Yankees.  The Colorado Rockies are scoring 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game this season with a 9-44 record.  Their -171 run differential is the worst mark in baseball by 76 runs!

Rookie Carson Palmquist has really struggled in his first two carer starts for the Rockies.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 1/3 innings this season.  It won't get any easier for him today against what has proven to be the best lineup in baseball to this point in the Cubs.

The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound today behind Jameson Taillon.  He is 3-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Taillon has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Monday.

20* Knicks/Pacers TNT No-Brainer on OVER 223

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team with how fast they play, how efficient they are offensively and with an average defense to boot.  The Knicks have their best offense in decades and that's a big reason they have made it this far.

The OVER is 4-2 in the last six meetings between the Knicks and Pacers with 250, 243, 253 and 239 combined points at the end of regulation in the four OVERS.  They went for 250 combined points at the end of regulation in Game 1, and 223 combined points in Game 2.  So five of their last six meetings have seen 223 or more combined points.

The OVER is 6-3 in Pacers last nine playoff games going for 230 or more combined points in seven of those nine games.  They have gone for 223 or more in eight of those nine.  This 223-point total is very low for a game involving Indiana with how they play.  Offense will win out in Game 3 with the Pacers controlling the tempo at home and the Knicks forced to keep pace with them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Dodgers/Mets ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those nine games.  It should be another easy OVER tonight.

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 177 runs in their last 26 games for an average of 6.8 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 22nd in baseball allowing 4.5 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.  The Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game this season and capable of much more with their talent.

Landon Knack is only starting due to injuries to the Los Angeles rotation.  He is 2-1 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in four starts and two relief appearances this season.  Knack has allowed 16 earned runs, 5 homers and 36 base runners in 23 1/3 innings in 2025.  The Mets are capable of covering this total on their own.

But the Dodgers should get to Kodai Senga as well despite his tremendous start to the season.  Senga allowed 3 earned runs and 6 base runners in 1 1/3 innings in his last start against the Dodgers in 2024.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Marlins/Angels Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

Two of the worst starters in baseball square off in Game 3 between the Miami Marlins and Los Angeles Angels tonight.  I'll gladly back the OVER 9 in a game that could easily see 9 combined runs or more by the time these two starters exit.

Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in seven starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed 21 earned runs, 6 homer sand 51 base runners in 34 1/3 innings.  Cabrera allowed 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Angels that saw 13 combined runs.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in his final season for the Chicago Cubs last year.  The Angels have given him a chance to start this year, and predictably it has not gone well.  Hendricks is 2-5 with a 5.32 ERA in nine starts with just 28 K's in 47 1/3 innings.  Hendricks has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins as well.  

The Marlins and Angels have two of the worst staffs in baseball.  The Marlins rank 29th allowing 5.7 runs per game while the Angels rank 26th allowing 5.3 runs per game.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles today to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Rockies OVER 11

Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  The OVER is 9-3 in Rockies last 12 home games with 11 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games, including 12 or more in nine of them.  The Yankees covered the total on their own yesterday in a 13-1 victory and they are capable of doing it again.

Antonio Senzatela is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-8 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 10 starts this season, allowing 35 earned runs, 9 homers and 98 base runners in 49 2/3 innings with just 25 K's.  Senzatela allowed 6 earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of a 11-5 loss to the Yankees in his last start against them.

Will Warren has been average for the Yankees this season going 3-2 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 10 starts.  The Rockies should do enough off him to contribute to us cashing this OVER 11 ticket today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Cardinals OVER 7.5

This total of 7.5 is very low in a game between two of the best offenses in baseball Sunday.  The Diamondbacks rank 5th in the majors scoring 5.1 runs per game but they also allow 5.0 runs per game.  The Cardinals rank 8th scoring 4.8 runs per game.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Pfaadt has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last tow starts against the Cardinals.

Sonny Gray is 5-1 in spite of a 4.02 ERA in 10 starts this season.  Gray has allowed 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 33 innings in his last six starts coming in.  Both offenses should have plenty of success to get up and OVER this 7.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Reds OVER 8.5

The OVER is 2-0 in this series with the Cubs and Reds combining for 19 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2.  The Cubs actually rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game.  The Reds are no slouches offensively scoring 4.5 runs per game this season.

Ben Brown has been a gas can for the Cubs this season.  He is 3-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in nine starts and one relief appearance.  Brown has allowed 17 earned runs in 24 2/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Reds.

Nick Lodolo has allowed 12 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Lodolo allowed 8 earned runs and 11 hits in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Chicago, which also came at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Milwaukee Brewers -123

I love the spot for the Milwaukee Brewers Sunday.  They will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping the the last two games of this series to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  Look for them to win Game 4 due to their advantage on the mound.

Logan Henderson has been one of the most impressive rookie pitchers in baseball this season.  He is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 innings with a whopping 23 K's.

Bailey Falter is due some regression after opening 3-3 with a 3.50 ERA in 10 starts for the Pirates this season with just 39 K's in 54 innings.  Falter has a 4.47 ERA in his career in the big leagues, and he went 8-9 with a 4.43 ERA in 28 starts for the Pirates last season.  Falter allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start against the Brewers last season.  Bet the Brewers Sunday.

15* Thunder/Timberwolves ABC ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +4

The Minnesota Timberwolves go from being 7-point underdogs in Game 1 to 8-point underdogs in Game 2 to 4-point underdogs in Game 3.  Usually there is a bigger adjustment for flipping home courts and the home team in desperation mode, but that isn't the case here.

The Thunder won and covered in both home games, so now is a good time to 'buy low' on the Timberwolves.  There is so much they can improve on that didn't go their way in those first two games, and I think they will put their best foot forward in Game 3 with essentially their season on the line here.

The Timberwolves shot just 15-of-51 (29%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They weren't any better in Game 2 going 11-of-39 (28%) from 3-point range, including 1-of-9 from Anthony Edwards.  They are a much better shooting team than they have shown thus far in this series, and they are due some positive shooting regression in Game 3 to say the least.

More role players should step up for the Timberwolves at home and they do have a solid 8-man rotation with very few weaknesses.  Julius Randle should be much better after going 2-for-11 from the floor with just 6 points in Game 2.  The Thunder shouldn't be living at the FT line like they have in the first two games at home, either.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 3 Saturday.

20* Dodgers/Mets NL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Mets in Game 2 of this series Saturday.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Citi Field in a matchup of two of the most talented lineups in baseball.  

It was a similar wind last night when the Dodgers beat the Mets 7-5 in extra innings for 12 combined runs.  The OVER is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between the Dodgers and Mets with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those.  It should be another easy OVER tonight.

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 175 runs in their last 25 games for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 22nd in baseball allowing 4.5 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.  The Mets are scoring 4.4 runs per game this season and capable of much more with their talent.

Tony Gonsolin will be making just his 5th start of the season for the Dodgers as he works his way back from injury after sitting out all of last season.  Gonsolin is 2-0 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in four starts.  He allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in a 6-4 loss to the Angels in his last start.

David Peterson is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball.  He has a 2.86 ERA in spite of a 1.33 WHIP and 21 walks in 50 1/3 innings this season.  Peterson does not enjoy facing the Dodgers, allowing 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Reds OVER 9

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park Saturday to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  The Cubs actually rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game.  The Reds are no slouches offensively scoring 4.5 runs per game this season.

The Cubs beat the Reds 13-6 yesterday for 19 combined runs.  It should be another slug fest today with these two average starting pitchers going against these two great lineups.

Colin Rea has allowed at least one homer in each of his last four starts.  Rea has allowed 4 homers in his last three starts against the Reds.  He allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 2 homers in 4 innings in his last start against Cincinnati.

Andrew Abbott is due some regression for the Reds.  He is 1-0 with a 3.68 ERA in spite of a 1.57 WHIP in three career starts against the Cubs.  He has allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 14 2/3 innings in those three starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 7-0 in their last seven games overall with six wins by 2 runs or more and five wins by 3 runs or more.  While the Phillies are red hot right now, the A's can't do anything right going 0-9 in their last nine games overall with six losses by 2 runs or more.  They were just swept at home by the lowly Angels in their last series in four games.

It won't get any easier for the A's tonight having to face Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler.  He is among the NL Cy Young favorites right now going 5-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 80 K's in 64 innings.  Wheeler is one of the most reliable starters year after year in the big leagues.

Jeffrey Springs has not enjoyed pitching in hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park this season with huge home/road splits.  Springs is 1-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in four home starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 20 innings.  Expect the Phillies to tee off on him again today to win this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Phillies Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Cardinals OVER 8

This total of 8 is too low in a matchup between two of the most underrated, best offenses in baseball.  The Diamondbacks rank 5th in MLB scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Cardinals rank 7th scoring 4.8 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks rank 24th allowing 5.0 runs per game.

Zac Gallen has been dreadful in his last two starts allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 22 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  It's worth noting he allowed 6 earned runs and all 4 of those homers to the lowly Colorado Rockies at home in his last start.

Miles Mikolas is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball.  He went 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals last season after going 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA in 35 starts for them in 2023.  He can't sustain this 3.77 ERA through nine starts this season.  Mikolas allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against Arizona.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Pacers/Knicks TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 225.5

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team with how fast they play, how efficient they are offensively and with an average defense to boot.  The Knicks have their best offense in decades and that's a big reason they have made it this far.

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between the Knicks and Pacers with 250, 243, 253 and 239 combined points at the end of regulation in the four OVERS.  I was on the OVER 223 in Game 1 of this series and cashed easily with 250 combined points at the end of regulation, and 273 after OT.  I'm back on the OVER 225.5 again in Game 2 as I don't think it is adjusted up enough.

The OVER is 6-2 in Pacers last eight playoff games going for 230 or more combined points in seven of those eight games.  This 225.5-point total is very low for a game involving Indiana with how they play.  I expect them to hang another big number on the Knicks offensively, but the Knicks to get whatever they want offensively as well.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 Friday.

20* Dodgers/Mets NL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Mets in Game 1 of this series Friday.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Citi Field in a matchup of two of the most talented lineups in baseball.

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 168 runs in their last 24 games for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 22nd in baseball allowing 4.4 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.

Clayton Kershaw just made his season debut for the Dodgers and it did not go well for him.  Kershaw allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings in a 11-9 loss to the Angels on May 17th.  I don't expect it to go much better for him tonight, and he will be on a pitch count again.

Griffin Canning is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball, and I expect the Dodgers to hit him hard tonight.  Canning went 6-13 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 31 starts for the Angels last season.  His 2.47 ERA is unsustainable especially with a 1.29 WHIP thus far for the Mets in nine starts thus far this season.  Canning is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA in his last two starts against the Dodgers, allowing 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Reds OVER 8

There will be light winds blowing out to center in hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park Friday night to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  The Cubs actually rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game.  The Reds are no slouches offensively scoring 4.5 runs per game this season.

Matthew Boyd has had a problem giving up the long ball for the Cubs.  He has allowed 6 homers in his last five starts and the OVER is 3-1-1 in his last five starts with 8 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  Boyd is 0-3 with a 9.69 ERA in three career starts in Cincinnati, allowing 14 earned runs and 3 homers in 13 innings.

After a great start to the season, regression has hit Hunter Greene here of late.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 innings in his last four starts.  Greene has allowed 5 homers in 17 2/3 innings in three career home starts against the Cubs.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Timberwolves/Thunder ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 214

The Timberwolves and Thunder combined for at least 217 points at the end of regulation in all four of their meetings during the regular season.  That includes 253 and 242 combined points in their final two meetings on February 23rd and February 24th.

The total for Game 1 of this series got steamed up from 212.5 on the opener to 219.5 on the close.  A very slow 1st quarter kept it UNDER with just 43 points in the 1st.  Things opened up in the 2H with 110 combined points after a tight start to the series for both teams, which is predictable. I think the fact that Game 1 went under the total easily has the total for Game 2 set too short.  

Now these teams have seen each other and will know how to attack better in Game 2.  I also don't see the Timberwolves shooting so poorly from 3-point range again as they went 15-of-51 (29%) in Game 1.  They are a great shooting team and will hit more of their open attempts in Game 2.  They also shot just 35% from the field in Game 1, so they are due some positive shooting regression to say the least.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Tigers OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Guardians and Tigers tonight.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Detroit tonight.  The Tigers have quietly been one of the best offensive teams in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.

They should crush Tanner Bibee, who is 3-4 with a 4.06 ERA in nine starts this season with just 35 K's in 51 innings and a whopping 11 homers allowed.  Bibee allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 6 innings to the Reds in his last start.

Jack Flaherty looks washed up this season.  He is 2-5 with a 4.44 ERA in nine starts.  Flaherty has allowed 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  The Guardians should also rough him up a little today to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/A's OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Angels and A's inside hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park in Sacramento today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  The Angels and A's combined for 15 and 12 runs in their two meetings over the last two days, and it will be more of the same today.

Luis Severino has huge home/road splits for the A's this season and clearly doesn't enjoy pitching in hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park.  He is 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six home starts this season, allowing 26 earned runs in 34 2/3 innings.  The OVER is 5-1 in his six home starts.

Tyler Anderson is due some regression.  He is 2-1 with a 3.04 ERA in nine starts this season.  But he is coming off one of his worst starts, allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of an 11-9 win over the Dodgers.  Anderson has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 17 1/3 innings in his last three stars against the A's.

The OVER is 4-1 in Angels last five games overall.  They are red hot at the plate winning six consecutive games while scoring at least 6 runs in five of those six games.  The A's have scored 5 runs in consecutive games now.  Both teams will get 5-plus in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Rockies OVER 11

Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It's especially hitter-friendly when it is warm, and it is going to be again today with temps in the 70's.  The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season and have scored 5 runs or more in six of their last seven games, including 7 runs or more five times.

The Phillies will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 11 ticket.  They should tee off on German Marquez, who has been the worst starter in baseball this season.  He is 1-6 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 39 earned runs in 40 innings with only 21 K's.

Ranger Suarez is working his way back from injury making just his 4th start of the season.  He is 2-0 in spite of a 5.09 ERA in three starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings.  The Rockies will do enough off of him and this Philadelphia bullpen to aid us in cashing this OVER 11 ticket.

The OVER is 8-1 in Rockies last nine home games with 11 or more combined runs in all nine games, including 12 or more in eight of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-190)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 6-0 in their last six games overall with five wins by 3 runs or more.  That includes their 9-3 win over the Rockies in Game 1 of this series, their 7-4 win over the Rockies in Game 2 and their 9-5 win over the Rockies in Game 3.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball.

The Rockies are 8-41 this season with 36 of those losses coming by multiple runs.  The Rockies are scoring just 3.4 runs per game and allowing 6.6 runs per game.  Their -157 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 72 runs!  This is a pretty cheap Run Line price to fade the Rockies.

Rangers Suarez has shaken off the rust and has been solid in his last two starts after getting rocked in his first start this season.  Suarez has only allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts.  He has allowed only 4 earned runs in 15 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.

German Marquez has been the worst starter in baseball this season.  He is 1-6 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 39 earned runs in 40 innings with only 21 K's.  Philadelphia will hang another big number on Marquez today.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 165 runs in their last 23 games for an average of 7.2 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 22nd in baseball allowing 4.5 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.

The Diamondbacks are a perfect OVER team.  They rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game and 24th in baseball allowing 5.1 runs per game.  It should come as no surprise that the OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers with 11 or more combined runs in nine of those 13 meetings.

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Corbin Burnes has been solid and did shut down the Dodgers on May 10th, but I give the Dodgers the advantage in the rematch getting to see him for a 2nd time in less than two weeks.  The Dodgers tagged him for 6 runs in 5 innings in his last start in Los Angeles.

The Diamondbacks should get to Dustin May, who has posted a 6.51 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-138)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 5-0 in their last five games overall with four wins by 3 runs or more.  That includes their 9-3 win over the Rockies in Game 1 of this series and their 7-4 win over the Rockies in Game 2.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball.

The Rockies are 8-40 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -153 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 64 runs!  This is a pretty cheap Run Line price to fade the Rockies.

Taijuan Walker has posted a 2.62 ERA in six starts and two relief appearances for the Phillies this season.  He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 19 innings in his last three starts against the Rockies for a 1.42 ERA.  Two of those starts came in Colorado, and the latest was in Philadelphia when he tossed 6 shutout innings against the Rockies on April 3rd earlier this season.

Rookie Carson Palmquist will be making his 2nd career start for the Rockies today.  The first went terribly for him as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-0 road loss to the Diamondbacks on May 16th.  It won't go much better for him against this red-hot Phillies lineup today.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Rockies OVER 11.5

Coors Field is the most hitter-friendly park in baseball.  It's especially hitter-friendly when it is warm, and it is going to be tonight with temps in the 70's.  The Phillies are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season and have scored 5 runs or more in five of their last six games, including 7 runs or more four times.

The Phillies will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket.  They should tee off on rookie Carson Palmquist, who will be making his 2nd career start for the Rockies today.  The first went terribly for him as he allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-0 road loss to the Diamondbacks on May 16th.  It won't go much better for him against this red-hot Phillies lineup today.

Taijuan Walker went 3-7 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 15 starts and four relief appearances for the Phillies last season.  His 2.62 ERA to this point is unsustainable.  The Rockies will do enough damage against him to aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket.

The OVER is 7-1 in Rockies last eight home games with 11 or more combined runs in all eight games, including 12 or more in seven of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Pacers/Knicks TNT No-Brainer on OVER 223

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team with how fast they play, how efficient they are offensively and with an average defense to boot.  The Knicks have their best offense in decades and that's a big reason they have made it this far.

The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings between the Knicks and Pacers with 243, 253 and 239 combined points in the three OVERS.  This total of 223 is very short for a game involving these two teams in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The OVER is 5-2 in Pacers last seven playoff games going for 230 or more combined points in six of those seven games.  This 223-point total is very low for a game involving Indiana as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Cubs/Marlins OVER 9

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 71-30 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 23-12 in Marlins last 35 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 23 of those 35 games.

The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game while the Marlins rank 29th allowing 5.87 runs per game.  These teams combined for 15 runs in Game 1 and another 15 runs in Game 2 of this series.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 today.

Cade Horton will make his 2nd career start for the Cubs.  He allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 hits in 5 innings to the White Sox in his 1st start.  Max Meyer is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He has allowed 18 earned runs, 5 homers and 35 base runners in 20 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Diamondbacks/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 161 runs in their last 22 games for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 22nd in baseball allowing 4.5 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.

The Diamondbacks are a perfect OVER team.  They rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game and 24th in baseball allowing 5.1 runs per game.  It should come as no surprise that the OVER is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers with 11 or more combined runs in nine of those 12 meetings.

Ryne Nelson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-1 with a 5.13 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings of an 11-6 win over the Dodgers in his last start against them.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is coming off his two worst starts of the season.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts.  One of those came against the Diamondbacks on May 8th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have inexplicably lost four straight games all at home coming into this one.  But now they finally have a big advantage on the mound over their opponent that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

The Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 161 runs in their last 22 games for an average of 7.3 runs per game.  They face an Arizona Diamondbacks team that ranks 24th in baseball allowing 5.1 runs per game.

Ryne Nelson is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-1 with a 5.13 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings this season.  Nelson allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings of an 11-6 win over the Dodgers in his last start against them.  The Dodgers should tee off on him and this Arizona bullpen tonight.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 5-3 with a 2.12 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in nine starts this season and is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.  He will come through for his team today and limit the Diamondbacks enough for the Dodgers to win this game by multiple runs. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/A's OVER 10

It's mind-blowing that the Angels keep trotting Kyle Hendricks out there to get rocked.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season in Chicago last year.

Hendricks hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 1-5 with a 5.18 ERA in eight starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 41 2/3 innings this season.  Now he must pitch in hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park with temps in the 80's and light winds blowing out tonight.

The Angels are hot at the plate scoring 6.8 runs per game in their last four games while winning all four against the A's and Dodgers.  They should stay hot against rookie Gunnar Hoglund, who allowed 3 homers and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to the Dodgers in his last start.

The A's and Angels have combined for at least 10 runs in five of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Timberwolves/Thunder ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 216

The Oklahoma City Thunder just wrapped up their 7-game series with the Denver Nuggets on Sunday.  They have had little to no time to prepare for the Minnesota Timberwolves, who also did not know who their opponent would be until Sunday.  And with a lack of preparation, that favors offense for Game 1 of this series.

The Timberwolves and Thunder combined for at least 217 points at the end of regulation in all four of their meetings during the regular season.  That includes 253 and 242 combined points in their final two meetings on February 23rd and February 24th.  This total of 216 is too low given that fact, and I expect them to sail OVER the total in Game 1 tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-180)

The Philadelphia Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games overall including their 9-3 win over the Colorado Rockies in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  It should be another blowout in their favor against the worst team in baseball in the Rockies, who are 8-39 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -150 run differential is the worst mark in the majors by 64 runs!

The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound today behind Jesus Luzardo, who is 4-0 with a 2.00 ERA in nine starts this season with 57 K's in 54 innings.  Luzardo held the Rockies to one earned run in 7 innings with 13 K's in his last start against them.

Antonio Senzatela is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-7 with a 6.39 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 31 earned runs and 9 homers in 43 2/3 innings with just 22 K's.  Senzatela has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/Yankees OVER 9

The New York Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own against one of the worst starters in baseball in Patrick Corbin.  Corbin made at least 31 starts each of the last four seasons in Washington and posted a 5.20 ERA or worse in all four seasons.

The Rangers are heating up at the plate scoring 4.7 runs per game in their last nine games.  They should help contribute to this total against Will Warren, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 28 base runners in 20 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 70-30 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 22-12 in Marlins last 34 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 22 of those 34 games.

The Cubs rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Marlins rank 29th allowing 5.7 runs per game.  The Marlins' bullpen has a 4.68 ERA while the Cubs have a 4.36 ERA.  Both bullpens were used heavily yesterday as the Marlins scored 2 runs in the 9th to beat the Cubs 8-7.

Jameson Taillon has allowed a whopping 7 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  He allowed 3 homers to the Marlins on May 14th in his last start.  Ryan Weathers will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Marlins.  Weathers is 11-21 with a 5.01 ERA in 247 2/3 innings in his career.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game.  The Dodgers have scored a total of 156 runs in their last 21 games for an average of 7.4 runs per game.  But the Dodgers rank 20th in baseball allowing 4.5 runs per game with a banged up, poor staff.

The Diamondbacks are a perfect OVER team.  They rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game and 24th in baseball allowing 5.1 runs per game.  It should come as no surprise that the OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the Diamondbacks and Dodgers with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 15 innings in his last three starts coming in.  The Dodgers will be seeing him for a 2nd time in less than two weeks, which is an advantage to their hitters.

Landon Knack has been forced into the rotation due to injuries.  Knack is 2-1 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in four starts and one relief appearance this season.   He has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his four starts.  Knack allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against Arizona.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Brewers OVER 8.5

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Orioles and Brewers with 9 or more combined runs in all five meetings.  It should be more of the same tonight in Game 1 of this series considering these two poor starting pitchers.

Dean Kremer is 3-5 with a 5.36 ERA in nine starts for the Orioles this season with just 34 K's in 50 1/3 innings.  Kremer is 1-4 with a 6.96 ERA on the road this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 32 1/3 innings.  Kremer has allowed a whopping 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee.

Quinn Priester is 1-2 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in six starts and one relief appearance for the Brewers this season with just 23 K's in 33 1/3 innings.  Priester is 7-11 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Both of these starters should not be in MLB rotations.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Marlins OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 69-30 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 21-12 in Marlins last 33 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 21 of those 33 games.

The Cubs rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game while the Marlins rank 28th allowing 5.6 runs per game.  The Marlins' bullpen has a 4.59 ERA while the Cubs have a 4.36 ERA.

Ben Brown is 3-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in eight starts for the Cubs this season.  Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are 13-7 in their last 20 games while scoring a total of 152 runs in those 20 games for an average of 7.6 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game, the Angels rank 26th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  The Dodgers will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket, but the Angels have scored 17 runs in winning each of the first two games of this series, and 27 runs in their last three meetings with the Dodgers.

Yusei Kikuchi is 0-4 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in nine starts for the Angels this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against the Dodgers.  Kikuchi is 21-23 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 85 starts and 7 relief appearances on the road in his career.

Tony Gonsolin will be making just his 4th start of the season after sitting out the entire 2024 season due to injury.  He will be on a pitch count again, and he likely won't fare well here.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* A's/Giants Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the A's and Giants today.  There will be 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco this afternoon.  The Giants are scoring 4.8 runs per game which ranks 10th in baseball, and the A's are allowing 5.6 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.

The Giants just went for 16 and 15 combined runs with the Diamondbacks in final two home games last series with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  They went for 10 combined runs with the A's in Game 1 of this series with a similar forecast.  The A's are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

Jeffrey Springs is 5-3 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in nine starts this season with just 36 K's in 46 1/3 innings.  Justin Verlander is 42 years old.  He is 0-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in nine starts this season with 40 K's in 48 innings.  Verlander has allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 13 innings in his last two starts against the A's.  

Both teams used their top bullpen arms yesterday in extra innings.  Many of them will not be available today, so they will likely have to use some of their worst arms out of the bullpen once these two suspect starters depart.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder ABC No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -7

Give the Denver Nuggets credit for forcing another Game 7.  I just think they are running out of steam now after having to go to a Game 7 for a second consecutive series, while the Oklahoma City Thunder swept the Memphis Grizzlies in the opening round and are also the deepest team in the NBA so they can handle the extra games.

While the Thunder are fully healthy, the Nuggets are falling apart.  Jamal Murray played through the flu in Game 6, and Aaron Gordon suffered a hamstring injury in Game 6 that has his status in serious doubt for Game 7.  Even if he plays he won't be anywhere near 100%, and Gordon is as important to this team as any player not named Nikola Jokic.

Let's just look at this from a line value perspective.  In their first three home meetings with the Nuggets, the Thunder closed as 10.5-point favorites in all three games.  Now they are only 7-point favorites in Game 7, which is a 3-point adjustment down.  I'll gladly take the value and back the better, more rested, healthier team at home laying the number in Game 7.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

15* Nuggets/Thunder ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 214

Game 7 UNDERS are 25-10 after the first round in their last 35 tries.  Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games, and the longer a series goes on the more it tends to slow down and favor defense.  That will be the case in Game 7 between the Thunder and Nuggets Sunday.

The Nuggets are going to slow it down and run everything through Jokic.  They will want the ball in their best players' hands as much as possible.  The Thunder have been playing slower in the playoffs as well, and things just haven't come as easy for Shai and company as they did in the regular season.  Look for this one to slow down to a crawl with max defensive intensity with a trip to the Western Conference Finals on the line.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Cardinals/Royals Interleague ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Royals today.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from right-center in Kansas City.  It was a similar forecast Saturday when the Cardinals beat the Royals 1-0 in a pitcher's duel.  It should be more of the same today.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He has made at least 23 starts while posting a 3.35 ERA or better in each of the last three seasons.  Wacha is well on his way again in 2025, posting a 2.96 ERA in nine starts this season.  He has never lost to the Cardinals, going 4-0 with a 2.96 ERA in four career starts against them.

Matthew Liberatore is 3-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in eight starts for the Cardinals this season.  The Royals are a dead nuts UNDER team going 30-16-1 UNDER in all games this season.  They rank 29th in baseball scoring just 3.3 runs per game and 3rd in baseball allowing just 3.4 runs per game.  The Cardinals rank 11th allowing 4.0 runs per game.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 69-29 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 21-11 in Marlins last 32 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 21 of those 32 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 28 runs in their last five games and are heating up at the plate.  The Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game for an average of 9.9 combined runs per game.  The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.

Shane Baz has been blasted for 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He has a 7.88 ERA in his last five starts.  Cal Quantrill is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-4 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 36 innings with only 23 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Braves/Red Sox Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Braves and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.  These teams combined for 13 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.

Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed 11 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Schwellenbach allowed 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Red Sox in his last start against them.

Brayan Bello has failed to make it out of the 5th inning in either of his last two starts.  He is wild and already has 14 walks in 27 innings with only 17 K's.  That wildness will catch up to him sooner rather than later, especially since he doesn't have any swing-and-miss stuff.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Orioles OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  It was a very similar forecast yesterday when these teams combined for 16 runs, and it should be more of the same today.

Mike Soroka is an absolute gas can.  He is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs in 14 innings.  Zach Eflin is getting too much respect from the books.  He is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA in four starts.  

The Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in four of their five meetings with the Orioles this season, and they should exceed that mark today after scoring 10 yesterday.  The Orioles scored 6 runs yesterday and have too much talent offensively to be held in check forever.  Both teams ranking near the bottom of the league in allowing runs.  The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.6 runs per game while the Nationals rank 26th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Phillies OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Pirates and Phillies today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The only reason this total is so low is because Paul Skenes is involved.

But even Skenes had problems giving up the long ball three starts back allowing 3 homers to the Cubs with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  I think the Phillies will get to him today.  The Phillies are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season and they have scored at least 5 runs in each of their last three meetings with the Pirates.

Mick Abel will be making his major league debut for the Phillies.  He went 3-12 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 108 2/3 innings at Triple A Lehigh Valley last season.  He is off to a better start this season, but he's still not ready for the big leagues.  The Pirates should have plenty of success at the plate today as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Angels/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games while scoring a total of 143 runs in those 19 games for an average of 7.5 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game, the Angels rank 25th allowing 5.3 runs per game.  The Dodgers will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

They should crush Tyler Anderson, who is one of the biggest regression candidates in the majors.  Anderson's 2.58 ERA is unsustainable with how much he pitches to contact and gets hit hard.  He is 62-65 with a 4.20 ERA in his career in the big leagues.

Clayton Kershaw is making his first start since August 30th of last season and will be on a pitch count, so don't expect him to be that effective.  The Angels scored 6 runs on the Dodgers yesterday and should have more success today.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on A's/Giants OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and Giants tonight.  There will be 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight.  The Giants are scoring 4.8 runs per game which ranks 8th in baseball, and the A's are allowing 5.7 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.

The Giants just went for 16 and 15 combined runs with the Diamondbacks in final two home games last series with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  They went for 10 combined runs with the A's yesterday with a similar forecast.  The A's are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all eight games.

Luis Severino is 1-4 with a 4.70 ERA in nine starts this season.  Severino allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings to the Yankees in his last start.  Landen Roupp is 2-3 with a 4.73 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 18 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Reds OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Guardians and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.

Both teams will be making this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Slade Cecconi will be making his first start of the season for the Guardians.  He is 2-8 with a 6.06 ERA in 104 innings in his career.  Brent Suter will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Reds after going 3 innings on 63 pitches in his first start, a 24-2 win over the Orioles on April 20th.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-133)

The Phillies won 8-4 yesterday in Game 1 of this series with the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  It should be more of the same today with their massive advantages at the plate and on the mound, plus the wind will be blowing out in Philadelphia to aid us in cashing the Phillies on the Run Line.

The Pirates are 15-30 this season largely due to a putrid offense that ranks dead last (30th) in baseball scoring just 3.1 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler, who is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in nine starts this season with 74 K's in 58 innings.

The Phillies rank 10th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.  They should crush Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 26 K's in 36 1/3 innings.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Phillies OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Pirates today after they combined for 12 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Philadelphia tonight.

The Phillies rank 10th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game and could easily cover this total on their own after scoring 8 runs yesterday.  They should crush Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 26 K's in 36 1/3 innings.

No question it's tough to take an over in a game involving Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler, but I'm expecting the Phillies to cover this total on their own.  The Pirates should at least get a couple runs off Wheeler and this bullpen, especially given the forecast.  Wheeler has allowed at least one homer in eight of his nine starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs and one homer in 5 innings in his last start against Pittsburgh.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 69-28 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 21-10 in Marlins last 31 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 21 of those 31 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 24 runs in their last four games and are heating up at the plate.  The Marlins just hung 9 runs on the Rays yesterday to cover the total on their own.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.05 ERA.  Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-5 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in eight starts, allowing 33 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Nationals/Orioles Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Nationals and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Baltimore.  Both offenses should have a ton of success against these two gas can starting pitchers.

Jake Irvin is 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA in nine starts for the Nationals this season with just 34 K's in 54 innings.  Irvin has allowed 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Kyle Gibson is 0-2 with a 13.11 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in three starts for the Orioles this season.  He has allowed 17 earned runs, 7 homers and 29 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in those three starts.  Gibson has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Nationals as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* White Sox/Cubs Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the White Sox and Cubs today.  This total is set high for good reason, but it's not set high enough given the forecast.  There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right this afternoon at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.

It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Cubs beat the White Sox 13-3 for 16 combined runs.  It was also a similar forecast recently when the Cubs combined for 24 runs with the Diamondbacks at home.  The Cubs rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game this season and will do the heavy lifting for us again today.

Sean Burke is 2-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in eight starts and one relief appearance for the White Sox this season.  Matthew Boyd is due some regression with a 2.78 ERA in eight starts with a 1.30 WHIP.  Boyd is 49-71 with a 4.75 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Mets/Yankees MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Mets and Yankees today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium today.  The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Mets rank 12th at 4.6 runs per game.

Griffin Canning is due some major regression for the Mets.  Clark Schmidt is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in five starts for the Yankees this season.  Schmidt allowed 5 runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Mets.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* A's/Giants Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7 ticket between the A's and Giants tonight.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight.  The Giants are scoring 4.8 runs per game which ranks 9th in baseball, and the A's are allowing 5.6 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.

The Giants just went for 16 and 15 combined runs with the Diamondbacks in their last two home games with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  The A's are 7-0 OVER in their last seven games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all seven games.  That's why I'm willing to take the OVER here despite a solid starting pitching matchup of Logan Webb and JP Sears.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Angels/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are 13-5 in their last 18 games while scoring a total of 141 runs in those 18 games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game, the Angels rank 25th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  The Dodgers will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

Jack Kochanowicz is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in eight starts for the Angels this season.  Regression has hit Dustin May hard here of late, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts, so the Angels should have plenty of success as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Knicks ML -135

The Boston Celtics had an inspired effort in Game 5 to stave off elimination at home.  A lot of times you see a team play well in that first game without their superstar.  They did just that after Jayson Tatum suffered a torn Achilles late in Game 4, rallying for an inspired win in Game 5.

It's also true that a team can't sustain it past one game without their best player.  And now I expect the Celtics to fall flat on their faces for a number of reasons in Game 6 on the road.  The Celtics shot 22-of-49 (45%) from 3-point range in Game 5, and that's not going to happen again on the road in Game 6.

I would give the Celtics more of a chance without Tatum is Kristaps Porzingis was healthy and playing like the star he used to be.  But that's just not the case.  Porzingis has scored a total of 21 points in five games in this series.  He has been overcome by illness, and he only played 12 minutes in Game 5.

Everything went Boston's way in Game 5, particularly a ridiculous five fouls being called on Jalen Brunson in the 3rd quarter alone.  That's not going to happen again in New York, and the Knicks won't have their superstar foul out at home.  I think the Knicks took the Celtics lightly in their first game without Tatum as well, and they won't make that same mistake again.  

Home teams up 3-2 looking to clinch in Game 6 of the NBA playoffs are 38-17 SU since 2003.  This is my favorite bet of the playoffs thus far.  Bet the Knicks on the Money Line in Game 6 Friday.

15* Cardinals/Royals Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH wind blowing out to right-center at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City.

The Cardinals have one of the most underrated offenses in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game this season which ranks 7th in the league.  They should get to Cole Ragans, who has not been sharp of late allowing 13 earned runs in 17 innings in his last four starts.  Ragans allowed 4 runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against St. Louis.

Andre Pallanta has not been sharp either, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 innings in his last five starts for the Cardinals.  Pallante has allowed 5 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City, both of which went OVER the total.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings and the Cardinals and Royals have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last six meetings, making for a 6-0 system backing the OVER 8 here.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 68-28 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 20-10 in Marlins last 30 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 20 of those 30 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 20 runs in their last three games and are heating up at the plate.  They should stay hot against Max Meyer, who has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts.

Taj Bradley is 3-2 with a 4.24 ERA in eight starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 29 2/3 innings in his last five starts.  Bradley allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start against the Marlins.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Detroit Tigers have one of the most improved offenses in the league.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game which ranks 3rd in baseball.  The OVER is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in five of their last seven games and 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 14 games with a low of 3 runs during this stretch.  The OVER is 10-1 in Blue Jays last 11 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 11 of their last 12 games coming in.

Jack Flaherty has been a gas can for the Tigers.  He is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA in eight starts this season.  Flaherty has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He has allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against Toronto.

Bowden Francis has allowed 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Both teams should have plenty of success at the plate tonight to top this 8.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* White Sox/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the White Sox and Cubs today.  This total is set high for good reason, but it's not set high enough given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 80's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

Shane Smith is in line for his worst start of the season for the White Sox.  He'll be up against a Cubs lineup that ranks 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game.  Cade Horton will be making his first career start for the Cubs and that's a tough spot to make your first start.  

The forecast was similar to this when the Cubs beat the Diamondbacks 13-11 for 24 combined runs on April 18th.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games while scoring a total of 122 runs in those 17 games for an average of 7.2 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game, the A's rank in the top half of the league scoring 4.5 runs per game.  The problem is the A's allow 5.3 runs per game this season with one of the worst staffs in baseball.

Osvaldo Bido is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight starts for the A's this season with just 27 K's in 41 2/3 innings.  The Dodgers will rock him tonight and do the heavy lifting for us.  The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game starting with Matt Sauer.  The OVER has been a great bet in games in which the Dodgers make it a bullpen game all season.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Thunder/Nuggets ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -4.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder closed as 7-point favorites in Denver in Game 4.  Now they are only 4.5-point favorites two games later in Game 6 in Denver.  There's clearly value on the Thunder, and there's a lot of reasons to like them to win and cover to close out this series tonight.

The Nuggets are the most tired team left in the NBA.  They had to go 7 games with the Clippers in the opening round, and now they haven't had multiple days off in a row since that series.  They have the worst bench of any remaining teams in the playoffs, and fatigue is starting to catch up with them.

We saw that play out in the 4th quarter of Game 5 as the Thunder overcame a 9-point deficit and won by 7.  Nikola Jokic couldn't have played a better game and the Nuggets still lost.  Jokic went 17-of-25 from the field finishing with 44 points and 15 rebounds.  But he got no help, and Michael Porter Jr. and his bum shoulder is a liability at this point.  Porter Jr. went 1-of-7 for 2 points in Game 5.  The only reliable option off the bench is Russell Westbrook.  Jokic played 44 minutes in Game 5 and I think he will run out of gas tonight and won't be nearly as effective.

The Thunder are the deepest team in the NBA, they swept the Grizzlies in the first round, and they remain fresh for Game 6 tonight.  They have a ton of confidence after coming up clutch down the stretch in both Games 4 and 5, and that's exactly what this team needed to get over the hump and believe they could do it.  They are the best remaining team in these playoffs and should win the title.

Home teams who are down 3-2 in a series and facing elimination when listed as an underdog are 10-31 SU & 13-28 ATS since 2003.  The Nuggets have done a good job battling through a coaching change and a lack of depth, but their run ends tonight.  Bet the Thunder in Game 6 Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays +151

We're getting great value on the Tampa Bay Rays as big underdogs to the Toronto Blue Jays this afternoon.  The Rays have the advantage on the mound in my opinion and shouldn't be this big of underdogs to the Blue Jays.

Zack Littell has allowed just 10 earned runs and 30 base runners in 30 innings for a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last five starts despite facing some of the league's top offenses in the Brewers, Yankees, Padres, Diamondbacks and Red Sox during this stretch.  Littell has owned the Blue Jays, pitching 11 2/3 innings without allowing a single earned run in his two career starts against them.

Kevin Gausman has allowed 13 earned runs in 20 innings in his last four starts for a 5.85 ERA.  Gausman has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rays for a 4.67 ERA.  Bet the Rays Thursday.