15* DBacks/Mets NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off in this series.  The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the majors scoring 5.3 runs per game.  The Mets rank 9th scoring 4.8 runs per game.  The OVER is 6-0 in DBacks last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all six games.  The Mets are scorching hot scoring 34 runs in their last three games and have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

Corbin Burnes hasn't been great in his first season with the Diamondbacks, going 0-1 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in five starts.  Burnes hates facing the Mets, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against them.

Huascar Brazoban is nothing more than an opener for the Mets and they will be making this a bullpen game.  Arizona should hang a big number today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Pirates OVER 8.5

The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 17-4-1 in the last 22 meetings with 8 or more combined runs in 18 of those 22 meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in 17 of those.

The Cubs covered the total on their own in Game 1 scoring 9 runs yesterday.  They are capable of doing it again facing Carmen Mlodzinki, who is 1-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.82 WHIP in five starts this season allowing 17 earned runs and 40 base runners in 22 innings.

Regression has hit Matthew Boyd in his last three starts, allowing 11 runs, 8 earned, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 17 1/3 innings.  Boyd has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Pirates.  Pittsburgh will do enough off of him to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Yankees/Orioles AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The Yankees rank 2nd in MLB scoring 5.8 runs per game this season.  The Orioles are scoring 4.0 runs per game and capable of much more.  But the Orioles rank 28th in baseball allowing 5.7 runs per game with a dreadful staff.

Two of the worst starters on their respective staffs go tonight in what should be another slug fest after the Yankees won 15-3 yesterday, and there have now been 11 or more combined runs in four of their last six meetings.  Temps will be in the 70's with almost no wind so the ball should be flying out again.

38-year-old Carlos Carrasco went 3-8 with a 6.80 ERA in 20 starts in 2023, 3-10 with a 5.64 ERA in 21 starts in 2024 and 2-1 with a 5.23 ERA in five starts in 2025.  It's unthinkable the Yankees have him as part of their rotation, but injuries have forced their hand.

Cade Povich is 4-11 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 21 career starts for the Orioles, including 1-2 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in five starts in 2025.  Povich allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Afternoon Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Marlins and Dodgers this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are heating up at the plate scoring 5.2 runs per game on the season and 6 runs or more in six of their last seven games coming in with the OVER going 6-1 in those seven games with 11 or more combined runs in six of them.  The only game that went under was a pitcher's duel between aces in Skenes and Yamamoto.

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 20-9 OVER in all games scoring 4.4 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.0 runs per game.  The OVER is 14-3 in Marlins last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 games.

The OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 meetings.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own like they did last night in a 15-2 victory overt he Marlins.

Cal Quantrill is 2-2 with a 7.83 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in five starts this season allowing 20 earned runs in 23 innings with only 13 K's.  Quantrill allowed 12 earned runs and 29 base runners in 13 innings in his three starts against the Dodgers last season.

Tony Gonsolin will be making his first start since 2023 for the Dodgers.  He will clearly be on a pitch count.  The Dodgers have a gassed bullpen due to all their starting pitcher injuries to this point.  Gonsolin allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Marlins.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Cardinals/Reds NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 (Game 1)

These are two underrated offenses with suspect pitching staffs.  The Reds rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game.  The Cardinals rank 12th scoring 4.5 runs per game.  The Reds are scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last 11 games.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 17 games.

The Reds will stay hot against Miles Mikolas, who is 0-2 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings.  Mikolas does not enjoy facing the Reds, allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  He is 2-4 with a 5.91 ERA in eight career starts in Cincinnati.

Brady Singer has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 28 base runners in 20 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  Singer allowed 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 3 innings in his lone career start against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 of this double-header Wednesday.

20* Clippers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles ML -122

The Clippers have clearly been the better team in this series despite it being tied 2-2.  The Clippers have outscored the Nuggets by 33 points in the four games.  They could have easily swept the Nuggets as both of Denver's wins came by exactly 2 points with one in OT and one at the buzzer.

The Clippers will take control of this series in Game 5 and are favored for good reason.  They are the deeper, more talented team.  They are fully healthy, while the Nuggets are dealing with injuries to Michael Porter Jr. and Russell Westbrook.  The Nuggets have the worst bench in the NBA left in the playoffs and it will catch up to them sooner rather than later.  They just rely so much on one player in Jokic.  Bet the Clippers on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Marlins/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Marlins and Dodgers tonight.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 60's in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are heating up at the plate scoring 4.8 runs per game on the season and 6 runs or more in five of their last six games coming in with the OVER going 5-1 in those six games with 11 or more combined runs in five of them.  The only game that went under was a pitcher's duel between aces in Skenes and Yamamoto.

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 19-9 OVER in all games scoring 4.5 runs per game but ranking 29th in baseball allowing 5.7 runs per game.  The OVER is 13-3 in Marlins last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 16 games.

The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 meetings.  Sandy Alcantara is 2-3 with a 8.38 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in six career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 27 earned runs and 8 homers in 29 innings.  The Dodgers will be making this a bullpen game as their staff is in a world of hurt right now due to injuries.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-135)

The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season while the Chicago White Sox are scoring 3.4 runs per game.  The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.

Freddy Peralta is 55-38 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Peralta is 2-2 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has held the White Sox to just 3 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts against them.

Tyler Gilbert is basically an opener for the White Sox.  He won't go deep into this game.  Gilbert is 3-8 with a 4.35 ERA in his career and 1-1. with a 5.87 ERA in 2025.  This is a tough spot for the White Sox, who return home from a 10-game road trip that concluded in Sacramento.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Pistons/Knicks TNT ANNIHILATOR on Detroit +5.5

The Detroit Pistons easily could have swept the Knicks, but instead they are down 3-1.  Their last two losses came by a combined 3 points, and they were jobbed by the refs not calling a foul on a Tim Hardaway 3-pointer at the buzzer in Game 4.  He for sure would have made at least 2 of 3 free throws, and this series would be tied 2-2.  The other loss came in Game 1 after blowing an 8-point lead in the 4th quarter.

You could argue the Pistons have been the better team in this series.  They have a nice mix of youngsters and veterans, and I trust them to show up with a big effort in Game 5 tonight.  The Knicks keep having to make difficult, contested shots especially Towns and Brunson.  They also lack depth and both factors will catch up to them sooner rather than later.  Bet the Pistons Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on DBacks/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Citi Field in New York.

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off in this series.  The Diamondbacks rank 3rd in the majors scoring 5.4 runs per game.  The Mets rank 9th scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The OVER is 5-0 in DBacks last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all five games.  The Mets scored 32 runs in their last series against the Nationals and have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.

Eduardo Rodriquez has allowed 14 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings in his five starts this season for a 4.40 ERA.  Rodriquez allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Mets last season.  David Peterson is due some regression for the Mets tonight and it will hit him hard given the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Cubs/Pirates NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cubs and Pirates tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left field in Pittsburgh.

The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  The OVER is 16-4-1 in the last 21 meetings with 8 or more combined runs in 17 of those 21 meetings, and 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those.  

Imanaga and Heaney have been solid this season, but both are due some regression and it will likely hit them both given the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Phillies OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Nationals and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are scoring 4.4 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs per game this season.  They are capable of more offensively.  The Nationals are scoring 4.2 runs per game but rank 27th in baseball allowing 5.2 runs per game with a dreadful staff.

MacKenzie Gore is due some regression with a 3.34 ERA in six starts this season.  Gore is 23-29 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his career.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his last road starts against the Phillies to fall to 0-3 with a 9.15 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in four career starts at Philadelphia.

Zack Wheeler hasn't exactly held the Nationals in check.  He has a 4.56 ERA in his last eight starts against them and a 4.44 ERA in 18 career home starts against the Nationals.  Both starters are getting too much respect tonight given the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Yankees and Orioles tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Baltimore.

The Yankees rank 2nd in MLB scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  The Orioles are scoring 4.0 runs per game and capable of much more.  But the Orioles rank 28th in baseball allowing 5.4 runs per game with a dreadful staff.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 30 2/3 innings this season.  Rodon has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles.

Kyle Gibson will be making his first start of the season for the Orioles and will be on a pitch count.  Gibson has a 4.52 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in his career.  He posted a 5.05 ERA in 31 starts in 2022, a 4.73 ERA in 33 starts in 2023 and a 4.24 ERA in 30 starts in 2024.  The 37-year old is washed up.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Marlins/Dodgers OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  The Dodgers are heating up at the plate scoring 4.8 runs per game on the season and 6 runs or more in four of their last five games coming in with the OVER going 4-1 in those five games with 11 or more combined runs in four of them.  The only game that went under was a pitcher's duel between aces in Skenes and Yamamoto.

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 18-9 OVER in all games scoring 4.4 runs per game but ranking 29th in baseball allowing 5.6 runs per game.  The OVER is 12-3 in Marlins last 15 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 15 games.

Edward Cabrera went 4-8 with a 4.95 ERA in 20 starts for the Marlins last season.  He is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA in three starts for the Marlins this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 2/3 innings.  Cabrera hates facing the Dodgers, going 0-2 with a 15.30 ERA in three career starts against them, allowing 17 earned runs in 10 innings.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own.

Dustin May was due some regression after a very soft schedule to start the season.  Regression hit him hard in his last start, allowing 7 earned runs and 13 base runners in 5 innings to the Cubs.  I don't expect him to fully shut down the Marlins tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Rockets/Warriors TNT No-Brainer on Houston +4

The Houston Rockets shot 39.1% from the field and 11-of-20 (5%) from the FT line in their Game 1 loss.  They bounced back to shoot 45.3% from the field and 16-of-20 (80%) from the FT line in Game 2 in a 109-94 blowout win.

The Rockets shot 39.5% from the field and 14-of-24 (58.3%) from the FT line in Game 3.  I expect them to have some positive shooting regression in Game 4 and bounce back from their Game 3 loss just as they did in Game 2 bouncing back from their Game 1 loss largely due to poor shooting.

The Warriors simply rely too much on Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler to do the bulk of their scoring.  Curry had a monster game with 36 points in Game 3 to put the Warriors on his back.  But he won't be as good in Game 4 as I expect the Rockets to make the proper adjustments to double-team him and make others beat them.  And even if Jimmy Butler plays he will be nowhere near 100%.

Jalen Green stepped up in Game 2 and scored 38 points on 13-of-25 shooting.  He was too passive in Game 3 going just 4-of-11 shooting for 9 points.  Look for him to be much more aggressive in Game 4 as he is one of the most underrated players in the NBA.  And the Rockets are just the deeper team in general and elite defensively.  Bet the Rockets in Game 4 Monday.

15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Rangers OVER 9

Patrick Corbin has finished with a 5.20 ERA or higher while making at least 31 starts in each of his last four seasons with the Nationals.  He is legitimately one of the worst starters in baseball.  The Rangers took a chance on him last season and it's only a matter of time before he completely blows up again.  He's fortunate to have a 3.77 ERA considering he has a 1.54 WHIP in his three starts thus far for the Rangers.

JP Sears is 25-32 with a 4.29 ERA in 80 starts and six relief appearances in his career for the A's.  I like the fact that Sears just faced the Rangers on April 23rd in his last start, while Corbin just faced the A's on April 22nd in his last start.  The advantage always goes to the hitters getting to face these starting pitchers for a 2nd time in a week.  Corbin allowed 9 base runners and 2 homers in 5 innings in an 8-5 win over the A's on April 22nd.  Sears allowed 2 earned runs and a homer in 5 innings in his start against the Rangers.  Both should get shelled tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Reds OVER 9

Temps will be in the 70's with almost no wind as the ball should be flying out at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park.  These are two underrated offenses with suspect pitching staffs.  The Reds rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game.  The Cardinals rank 10th scoring 4.6 runs per game.

The Reds are scoring 7.7 runs per game in their last 10 games.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 16 games.  They should stay hot against Andre Pallante, who has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Pallante allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against Cincinnati.

The Cardinals should feast on Nick Martinez, who is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five starts for the Reds this season while allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 26 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his two home starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Orioles AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left field in Baltimore tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game.  The Orioles have been in a funk thus far offensively, but they can't be held down for long with all their talent.  More concerning is the Orioles ranking 28th in baseball allowing 5.4 runs per game.

Will Warren is 1-0 with a 4.79 ERA in five starts this season allowing 11 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings for the Yankees.  The Yankees have a taxed bullpen after playing a double-header with the Blue Jays on Sunday, and Warren's inability to go deep into games will be a problem for them today. He is averaging just over 4 innings per start.

Tomoyuki Sugano has been a bit of a disappointment for the Orioles this season allowing 6 homers in 28 innings with only 9 K's.  Pitching to contact does not work in MLB these days, and Sugano also fails to go deep into games averaging 5.1 innings per start.  The Orioles also played a double-header on Saturday and their bullpen is taxed.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Phillies/Cubs ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Cubs are a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 17-9-2 OVER in all games this season.  They lead the majors scoring 6.1 runs per game, and they are up against a Phillies team that ranks 12th at 4.5 runs per game and has the talent to keep climbing up that leaderboard as the season progresses.

The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings between the Cubs and Phillies with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  The wind was blowing in the last two days and they still combined for 14 runs yesterday with a total of 7.  Now there's basically no wind in Chicago tonight which is rare, and temps in the 50's.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  Nola is 0-5 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in five starts this season.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 19 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs.  He has a 4.52 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cubs and a 5.50 ERA in six career starts in Chicago.

Jameson Taillon is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in five starts for the Cubs this season.  Taillon has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.  He is 2-4 with a 7.68 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in eight career starts against Philadelphia.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Dodgers OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Pirates and Dodgers today.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 60's in Los Angeles this afternoon.  These teams combined for 12 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own against Bailey Falter.  Falter is 19-25 with a 4.66 ERA in his career, including 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA in five starts this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers, which both came last season.

Tyler Glasnow hasn't been going deep into games this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs and 21 base runners in 17 innings in his four starts this season.  The Pirates will do enough off him and this Dodgers bullpen to get us the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/A's OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the White Sox and A's today.  There will be light winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is much more hitter-friendly for A's home games this season.

The A's and White Sox combined for 11 runs in Game 1 and 13 runs in Game 2.  It should be more of the same today with these two starting pitchers.  The OVER is 9-5 in A's home games this season.

Brandon Eisert will be making his first career start for the White Sox.  Eisert has a 4.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 18 innings in his career out of the bullpen.  Osvaldo Bido was due some regression and it hit him hard in his last start allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in a 8-5 home loss to the Rangers.  He'll get rocked again today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Lakers/Timberwolves OVER 207.5

Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and Los Angeles Lakers have shifted to more small ball as this series has gone on as those are their most effective lineups.  Jaxon Hayes only played 8 minutes for the Lakers in Game 3 while Rudy Gobert only played 25 minutes for the Timberwolves in Game 3.

The result was a 116-104 win by Minnesota that saw 220 combined points.  Oddsmakers set the total at 207.5 for Game 3, and it's 207.5 again for Game 4 as they have failed to adjust up for the adjustments that both teams are making.  There's a ton of value on the OVER 207.5 in Game 4 as a result.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout Rout on Cincinnati Reds -126

The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season including 7.7 runs per game in their last nine games.  They have gotten healthy and have shown they have one of the most potent lineups in baseball when that's the case.

The Colorado Rockies are 4-22 this season and scoring just 3.4 runs per game despite playing at hitter-friendly Coors Field.  They are not only at a big disadvantage at the plate today, but also a big disadvantage on the mound.

Nick Lodolo is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in five starts for the Reds this season.  Bradley Blalock will get the start for the Rockies.  He is 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over the last two seasons with only 22 K's in 33 2/3 innings.  Bet the Reds Sunday.

15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Rockies OVER 11

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11 ticket between the Reds and Rockies today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Coors Field with temps in the 80's.  The ball will be flying out today.

Nick Lodolo is due some regression for the Reds and will give up some runs, but the Reds are capable of covering this total on their own against Bradley Blalock, who is 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over the last two seasons with only 22 K's in 33 2/3 innings.  The Reds are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season including 7.7 runs per game in their last nine games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Knicks/Pistons ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on Detroit ML -115

The Detroit Pistons just own the New York Knicks as this is a great matchup for them.  Sure, they are down 2-1 in this series, but they took the Knicks to the wire in all three games.  They held an 8-point lead in the 4th quarter of their Game 1 loss and they only lost by 2 in Game 3 while upsetting the Knicks as 6.5-point dogs in Game 2.

The Pistons are now 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings and those two losses were obviously close.  I like the depth of the Pistons compared to that of the Knicks, who rely so much on their starters.  They got a total of 9 points off the bench in Game 3, and that will continue to be a problem for them moving forward.  The Pistons got 40 points off the bench in Game 3 to compare.  Bet the Pistons on the Money Line in Game 4 Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Orioles/Tigers OVER 8.5 (Game 2)

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Tigers in Game 2 of this double-header Saturday.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Detroit for this one.

The Tigers have an underrated offense that is scoring 4.5 runs per game this season.  The Orioles are scoring 4.3 runs per game but allowing 5.4 runs per game with a terrible staff, though their offense is capable of much more.  The OVER is 14-8-2 in all Baltimore games this season.

Charlie Morton is washed up and it's showing this season.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 5 homers in 20 2/3 innings for a 10.89 ERA in his five starts this season.

Keider Montero has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his two starts this season.  He had a 4.76 ERA in 98 1/3 innings with a whopping 19 homers allowed last season.  Both starters are gas cans, and both offenses will have their way tonight with winds blowing out.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/A's OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the White Sox and A's today.  There will be light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is much more hitter-friendly for A's home games this season.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last four starts for the A's.  Jonathan Cannon is a gas can for the White Sox, going 5-13 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over the last two seasons with 75 earned runs and 22 homers allowed in 148 2/3 innings.  Both offenses will have their way against these two struggling starters and bullpens today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-123)

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound that will lead them to winning this game by multiple runs over the Colorado Rockies Saturday.  There will also be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 70's at hitter-friendly Coors Field to aid them in scoring more runs.  The Reds are scoring 5.3 runs per game while the Rockies are scoring just 3.6 runs per game this season.

Hunter Greene went 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds last season.  He has backed it up by going 2-2 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in five starts this season.  Green allowed one earned run in 6 innings with 10 K's in his last start against Colorado.

Antonio Senzatela is 40-47 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Senzatela is 1-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 42 hits in 24 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Rockies OVER 10.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10.5 ticket between the Reds and Rockies today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Coors Field this afternoon.  The Reds beat the Rockies 8-7 in Game 1 yesterday and it will be another high scoring affair today.

The Reds are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season and capable of covering this total on their own.  Antonio Senzatela is 40-47 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Senzatela is 1-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 42 hits in 24 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.

Hunter Greene allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 8 base runners in his last start against the Orioles.  Greene has allowed 11 earned runs and 7 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Colorado.  The Rockies will do enough off him and this Cincinnati bullpen to get us the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. 

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Tigers OVER 8.5 (Game 1)

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Tigers in Game 1 of this series Saturday.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Detroit this afternoon.

The Tigers have an underrated offense that is scoring 4.5 runs per game this season.  The Orioles are scoring 4.3 runs per game but allowing 5.4 runs per game with a terrible staff, though their offense is capable of much more.  The OVER is 14-8-2 in all Baltimore games this season.

Brandon Young will be making his 2nd career start for the Orioles, forced into action due to injuries in the rotation.  Young has allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his first career start.

Casey Mize has allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Mize allowed 3 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Orioles.  The ball will be flying out this afternoon.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Saturday.

20* Cavs/Heat TNT Early ANNIHILATOR on Miami +6.5

The Miami Heat ranked #1 in the NBA in net rating (+14) over the final 12 games of the regular season.  Eric Spoelstra is showing once again why is is one of the best coaches in the NBA getting the most out of another Miami Heat team.

The Heat went on the road in two must-win games and beat the Bulls by 19 and the Hawks by 9 just to make the playoffs.  They ran out of gas a little in Game 1 against Cleveland but it was still an 8-point game entering the 4th quarter before the Cavs pulled away late.

The Heat came back refreshed in Game 2 and gave the Cavs all they could handle in a 121-112 loss as 12-point underdogs.  Six different players scored in double-figures as the Heat showed off their depth, and Tyler Herro is a problem with 33 points in Game 2.

Now I expect the Heat to pull off the upset when they return home for Game 3, but I'll take the points for some insurance.  They have zero quit in them and Spoelstra will get the most out of them while also making the proper adjustments.  I expect the Cavs to relax a little, and now PG Darius Garland is questionable with with a toe injury.  Bet the Heat Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/Giants OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants are 17-9 OVER in their 26 games this season.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game which ranks 6th in the majors.  They have an underrated lineup and should get to Nathan Eovaldi, who has allowed at least 2 earned runs in four of his five starts this season.

The Rangers should hang a big number on the washed up Justin Verlander, who has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Verlander allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against the Rangers.

There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on White Sox/A's OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the White Sox and A's tonight.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is much more hitter-friendly for A's home games this season.

Sean Burke is 1-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts for the White Sox this season.  He has already allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 2/3 innings.  Luis Severino is 1-3 with a 3.31 ERA in five starts for the A's this season.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 17 2/3 innings in his three home starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -127

The Cincinnati Reds have a big rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies tonight.  The Reds had Thursday off while the Rockies were stuck playing a double-header in Kansas City.  The Rockies won't have much left in the tank today, and the Reds should take Game 1 with ease.

The Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Rockies are 4-20 on the year and scoring just 3.2 runs per game.  The Reds are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with the Rockies.

Andrew Abbott has allowed 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 11 innings with 16 K's in his first two starts this season.  Abbott has allowed just 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 19 innings with 24 K's in his last three starts against Colorado.

Kyle Freeland has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Rockies.  Bet the Reds Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9.5

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight for the Blue Jays and Yankees in what should be a classic AL East slug fest at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.

Jose Berrios has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 2/3 innings this season.  Berrios allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his last start against the Yankees.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his four starts this season.  These are two of the worst starters in baseball.  The Yankees and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in eight of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Celtics/Magic ESPN No-Brainer on Orlando +6

The Orlando Magic have one of the biggest home/road splits in the playoffs over the last couple seasons.  They are a much better team at home, and I expect a big effort from them in Game 3 to possibly pull off the upset over the Boston Celtics.

I like what I saw from the Magic in Game 2 as they only lost by 9 as 10.5-point dogs at Boston despite shooting just 7-of-29 (24%) from 3 and 15-of-24 (62%) from the FT line.  There is big room for improvement in both areas in Game 3.

The Celtics went 25-of-33 (76%) from the FT line in Game 2 and still only won by 9.  They were without Jayson Tatum due to a wrist injury, and there's a good chance he's out again.  I like the Magic either way.

The Magic are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Celtics.  The Magic are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Celtics with three outright upsets.  They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings.  Bet the Magic Friday.

20* Nuggets/Clippers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5

The Los Angeles Clippers blew a double-digit lead in Game 1 and were in control the entire way until the final few minutes of regulation and OT.  They responded in a big way with a win in Game 2 and really should be up 2-0 in this series.  It's clear they are the better, deeper team.

Now I expect them to take control of this series with a win and cover in Game 3 tonight.  They should get a lot more from their role players who are always more comfortable at home.  And the Nuggets just don't have any role players, plus Michael Porter Jr. injured his shoulder in Game 2 and didn't return to the game and may be out for Game 3.

That would be a big blow to the Nuggets, who just don't have any depth.  They basically play six players with only Russell Westbrook providing any significant minutes off the bench, and he can be a liability at times when he gets trigger happy.  The other three players are Watson, Pickett and Jordan who combined for a total of 5 points in 25 minutes in Game 2.

Ivaca Zubac defends Nikola Jokic as well as any big man in the NBA.  Kawhi Leonard looks like his old self and had 39 points in Game 2.  James Harden is also playing well, and Powell and Dunn are two underrated starters.  The bench of Jones Jr., Batum, Bogdanovic and Simmons provide valuable minutes.  Those four should take their games to the next level being back at home tonight.  Bet the Clippers Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, which is a Triple-A Park in Sacramento.

Jacob DeGrom is getting way too much respect from the books tonight.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts and is working his way back from injury and on a pitch count.

J.T. Ginn is an unproven rookie who is 2-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 44 innings in the big leagues.  He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Brewers in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Thunder/Grizzlies TNT ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -8.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder own the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Thunder are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Grizzlies.  Nine of their last 10 wins have come by 13 points or more, including all six meetings this season.  They won by 51 in Game 1 and by 19 in Game 2.

The Grizzlies realize there's nothing they can do to match up with the Thunder.  The Thunder are too deep and they pull away even when their bench comes in.  The Grizzlies rely too much on Morant, Jackson and Bane to provide the bulk of their scoring because they just don't get much anywhere else.  It hurts that they lost Jaylen Wells to a season-ending injury to boot.  Bet the Thunder Thursday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Nationals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Nationals tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left at Nationals Park.  The Orioles had 13 base runners last night but only managed 3 runs.  Look for them to bust out of their funk tonight.

They should tee off on MacKenzie Gore, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 34 base runners in 23 innings in his last four starts.  The Nationals should stay hot at the plate.  Cade Povich has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 38 base runners in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Both starters won't get away with stranding so many base runners as they have thus far.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Royals OVER 8.5 (Game 2)

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rockies and Royals in Game 2 of this double-header this afternoon.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City.  That's bad news for these two gas can starting pitchers.

Chase Dollander is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 15 runs, 12 earned, and a whopping 8 homers in 14 2/3 innings thus far.  The Royals are capable of covering this total on their own.

Michael Lorenzen is 1-3 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts this season.  Lorenzen has been rocked for 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Lorenzen has also allowed 13 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado. Bet the OVER in Game 2 Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  There will be light winds blowing out to center and temps in the 60's at Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is extremely hitter-friendly.  These teams combined for 13 runs in Game 1 yesterday and it should be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

Kumar Rocker has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Rocker allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the A's.

JP Sears is due some regression after feasting on a very easy schedule of opponents.  He has gotten to face the White Sox, Rockies and Mariners thus far.  His worst start of the season came against the Mets in a 7-6 home loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Brewers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 6.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 16-8 OVER in all games while scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.2 runs per game as well.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 6.5 ticket.

Logan Webb and Freddy Peralta are both getting too much respect with this total at just 6.5 tonight.  Peralta's last two starts against the Giants have seen 16 and 8 combined runs.  Webb has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Brewers with 9 and 14 combined runs in two of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Warriors/Rockets TNT No-Brainer on Houston -2

The Houston Rockets couldn't have played worse in Game 1 and it was still a one-possession game in the 4th quarter with the Warriors.  It was a 4-point game in the final couple minutes before the Warriors pulled away late for a 10-point victory.

Let's just look at the Rockets' miscues in Game 1 that are easily going to be better in Game 2.  The Rockets committed 16 turnovers, shot 34-of-87 (39%) from the field, 6-of-29 (21%) from 3-point range and 11-of-20 (55%) from the FT line.  I don't think it seriously could have gone worse, yet they still had a chance to win.

Now the Rockets have shaken off the rust after being out of action for a week and even longer for most their starters since they were locked in to the No. 2 seed over the last few games of the regular season.  I expect the Rockets to fire back with a big effort in Game 2 and shoot it much better, while still playing a level of defense that is as good as anyone in the NBA.  The Warriors will relax after taking Game 1.  Bet the Rockets Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115)

The Minnesota Twins had Monday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and traveled to Minnesota overnight.  The Twins won 4-2 in Game 1 yesterday, and they remain the fresher team and should make easy work of the White Sox again tonight.

David Festa has been perfect in two starts this season going 9 innings without allowing a single earned run.  Bryse Wilson will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox.  Wilson is 20-21 with a 4.61 ERA with only 313 K's in 425 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The White Sox are 5-18 this season including 1-10 on the road.  The Twins are 16-2 in their last 18 meetings with the White Sox.  Eight of their last nine wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Dodgers/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs lead all of baseball scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  The Dodgers are scoring 4.7 runs per game and capable of so much more.  This total of 9 is too low given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

These teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 yesterday and it should be another slug fest in Game 2 tonight.  The Dodgers will be making this a bullpen game and their bullpen is taxed as it is.  The Cubs will be going with Matthew Boyd, who allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings to the Dodgers on April 11th.  That's a big advantage for the Dodgers getting to see him for a 2nd time in two weeks.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 65-24 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 13 games coming in, including a total of 27 runs in their last four games.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 6.9 runs per game in their last 12 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2 in Reds last eight games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven of those eight games, and 11 or more in five of them.

These teams only combined for 7 runs yesterday but there were 23 hits and walks and it should have been higher scoring.  Both offenses should have their way today against these two starting pitchers.

Brady Singer has allowed 12 runs, 9 earned, and 24 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Sandy Alcantara has allowed 10 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Alcantara allowed 6 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last start against the Reds.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Yankees/Guardians OVER 8

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.1 runs per game with an underrated lineup.  The OVER is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Guardians and Yankees.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Cleveland this afternoon.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 14 walks in 23 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Luis Ortiz has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 1/3 innings in four starts for the Guardians this season.  Ortiz allowed 4 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  There will be light winds blowing out to center and temps in the 70's at Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is extremely hitter-friendly.

Patrick Corbin had a 5.20 ERA or worse in four consecutive seasons in Washington while making at least 31 starts in all four seasons.  The Texas Rangers took a shot on him this season, and I don't expect it to go well for them.  He has allowed 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 9 1/3 innings with just 6 K's in two starts thus far.

Osvaldo Bido is due some regression and has benefited from an extremely soft schedule.  He has faced the White Sox, Rockies, Mariners and Padres thus far.  Three of those are three of the worst lineups in baseball.  The Rangers are better offensively than they have shown thus far and they should bust out of their slump in this series, starting with Game 1 tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Timberwolves/Lakers TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles -5

The Minnesota Timberwolves had an outlier shooting performance in Game 1.  They hit 21-of-42 (50%) from 3-point range for the game, while the Lakers shot just 33-of-83 (40%) from the field.  It's safe to say the Lakers are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings, so that was a rare win for the road team in this series.  The Timberwolves did their part and won a game in Los Angeles, and now I expect them to relax while the Lakers play with a big sense of urgency tonight in what feels like a must-win for them.  Bet the Lakers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 210

The Timberwolves and Lakers were well on their way to cashing the OVER for us in Game 1.  All they needed was 45-plus points in the 4th quarter.  Instead, they settled for just 40 combined points in the 4th largely due to backups playing the final stretch in what was a blowout in Minnesota's favor.  That won't happen again.

The Lakers are due some positive shooting regression in Game 2 after making just 33-of-83 (40%) from the field in Game 1.  The Timberwolves won't shoot as well from 3 again, but I do expect more free throws after these teams combined for just 26 attempts in Game 1.  It is likely to be more competitive if it's not a Lakers' blowout and more free throws could come into play in the end.

Either way, this total has been adjusted down from 217 on the opener to 210 as of this writing, and that's too big of an adjustment.  The fact that these teams combined for 212 points in Game 1 with a 40-point 4th quarter alone shows there's value with the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Brewers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 15-8 OVER in all games while scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game as well.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.

Jose Quintana can't keep up this pace after two solid starts against the Tigers and Diamondbacks.  The 36-year-old is in his 13th season in the big leagues.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against San Francisco.

Jordan Hicks has been awful for the Giants, allowing 15 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  This total of 7.5 is too low given these offenses, these two below-average starting pitchers and the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Cubs NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs lead all of baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  The Dodgers are scoring 4.4 runs per game and capable of so much more.  This total of 8 is too low given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

Dustin May is due some regression after feasting on an easy schedule of the Braves, Nationals and Rockies thus far.  Shota Imanaga has allowed 4 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Rangers in his last home start.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-112)

The Minnesota Twins had yesterday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and will be traveling to Minnesota overnight.  That's a huge advantage for the Twins, who should easily win this game by two runs or more to cover the Run Line.

The White Sox are 5-17 this season including 1-9 on the road.  Davis Martin is an absolute gas can.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Martin has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Minnesota.

The Twins have a big advantage on the mound behind Bailey Ober, who has allowed just 5 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Ober has allowed 8 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the White Sox with the Twins winning all three starts by 4 runs or more.

The Twins are 15-2 in their last 17 meetings with the White Sox.  Seven of their last eight wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Phillies/Mets NL East No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Phillies and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Citi Field in New York.  These are two of the most talented lineups in baseball.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Mets and Phillies with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  The Phillies are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.  The OVER is 3-1 in Mets last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in three of those four contests.

Christopher Sanchez has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 19 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Griffin Canning has allowed 8 earned runs and 28 base runners in 21 innings in his four starts this season.  Canning allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start against Philadelphia.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 65-23 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all 10 games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 12 games coming in, including a total of 23 runs in their last three games.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Reds last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and 11 or more in five of them.

Nick Martinez is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings.  Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings.  Cabrera allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 3 1/3 innings of a 10-6 loss to the Reds in his lone career start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Guardians OVER 8

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.2 runs per game and should hang a big number on New York tonight.  The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings including 10 combined runs in Game 1 of this series.

Will Warren is 1-0 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in four starts for the Yankees this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Tanner Bibee has allowed 13 earned runs and 7 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Clippers/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles ML -115

The Los Angeles Clippers controlled the entire Game 1 against the Denver Nuggets until the final few minutes of regulation and OT.  The Clippers showed they were the better team, and they have the better overall roster that will win out in Game 2 tonight.

Kawhi Leonard didn't play in any of the four regular season meetings with the Nuggets.  He had 22 points on 9-of-15 shooting in Game 1, and I fully expect him to be more aggressive in Game 2 to assure the Clippers win this game.  Zubac had 21 points and 13 rebounds and is one of the best possible defenders in the league for Nikola Jokic.  Harden had 32 points, and I love Powell.

The Nuggets attempted 11 more FT than the Clippers in Game 1 and that was a big difference.  The Clippers showed that they could take Jamal Murray out of the game with their ability to defend him.  They will gladly continue to leave Russell Westbrook open as he made just 5-of-17 attempts despite being open for almost all of them.  

The Clippers have a lot more depth than the Nuggets do as well as six players played almost all the minutes for the Nuggets in Game 1.  The Clippers have four guys who can contribute off the bench.  I have no doubt the Clippers are the better team and will get back into this series and eventually take control of it.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Brewers/Giants OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 15-7 OVER in all games while scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.1 runs per game as well and have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games coming in.

Quinn Priester is due some major regression for the Brewers.  He has managed to allow only one earned run in 10 innings despite allowing 12 base runners in his two starts this season.  He got to face the Rockies and Tigers, and now he takes a big step up in class here against the Giants.  Priester is 7-9 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with only 77 K's in 109 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Robbie Ray has also allowed a ton of traffic on the bases this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 19 1/3 innings in four starts this season.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park in San Francisco tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 64-23 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all nine games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games coming in.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 7.7 runs per game in their last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Reds last six games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all six games, and 11 or more in five of them.

Nick Lodolo will be making his first start of the season for the Reds and will be on a pitch count.  Max Meyer is getting too much respect from the books tonight as well.  Meyer allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings of a 8-2 home loss to the Reds in his lone career start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Warriors/Rockets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston ML -115

The Golden State Warriors needed the play-in and a narrow win over the Grizzlies just to get into the playoffs.  They got huge games from Jimmy Butler and Steph Curry and were still life and death with the Grizzlies at home.  That's the problem for the Warriors is they just rely too much on two guys.  Now Jonathan Kuminga is a DNP coach's decision and not even in the rotation, which is a big mistake I think.

The Rockets may be the single-most underrated team headed into the playoffs.  They earned the No. 2 seed in the West thanks to being a Top 5 defense and a better offensive team than they get credit for.  I love Amen Thompson, who is the best guard in the league to defend Steph Curry.  He learned a lot in four matchups and will be on Curry like glue.  The Rockets take Game 1 tonight.  Bet the Rockets Sunday.

15* Padres/Astros ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

This total of 7 is too low with just how much these two big name starters are struggling to start the season.  Dylan Cease is 1-1 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings.  Framber Valdez is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts this season.  Valdez has allowed 12 earned runs in 15 innings in his last three starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Heat/Cavs TNT ANNIHILATOR on Miami +12.5

The Miami Heat actually ranked No. 1 in the entire NBA in net rating (+14) over the final 12 games of the regular season.  They carried over that positive momentum becoming the first No. 10 seed to make the playoffs since the play-in was introduced.  They did so by going on the road in both games upsetting the Bulls 109-90 in regulation and the Hawks 123-114 (OT).

I think they keep the momentum in Game 1 of this series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers could have some rust factor especially after resting starters down the stretch of the regular season and being off since April 13th for a full week, which is more when you factor in the rest.

The Heat are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Cavaliers, so they clearly match up well with them.  This game will be much closer than the spread suggests.  Bet the Heat Sunday.

20* Magic/Celtics ABC No-Brainer on Orlando +14

The Orlando Magic played their best basketball of the season down the stretch to secure the 7th seed and a home game in the play-in.  The Magic went 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their final five games in which they played their starters, and then went on to crush the Hawks 120-95 as 6-point home favorites in the play-in.

I like the fact that the Magic have that playoff feel already in their veins and they thrived against the Hawks.  I think they carry that momentum into this game with the Celtics, who are fat and happy after winning the NBA Title last season.  The Celtics could also show plenty of rust in Game 1 after being off since April 13th which was a week ago.  They also rested starters down the stretch, so rust will be a factor.  

The Magic are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Celtics with five outright upsets.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on DBacks/Cubs on OVER 7

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last seven games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 6 runs in six of its last seven home games.

Merrill Kelly has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his las three starts.  Jameson Taillon has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 2/3 innings in his four starts this season.  One of those starts came against Arizona on March 28th when he allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Rays OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays play in a hitter-friendly Minor League park.  It is also hot outside with temps approaching 90 today with the ball flying out.  That was the case in a 10-8 victory for 18 combined runs yesterday, and the Rays are now 7-2-2 OVER in their last nine home games with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.  This total of 8 is too low today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/Orioles OVER 9

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.7 runs per game in their last nine games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.8 runs per game on the season with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  These teams combined for 11 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2 and it will be more of the same today.

Brent Suter is an opener for the Reds and the Orioles will get into their bullpen early.  Charlie Morton is washed up allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Grizzlies/Thunder OVER 225

Two dead nuts OVER teams that like to play fast square off in this series.  The Grizzlies rank 1st in pace while the Thunder rank 5th.  The Thunder and Grizzlies have combined for at least 229 points in four of their last five meetings.  This total of 225 is too short today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Grizzlies/Thunder ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -12.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 68-15 SU & 55-24-4 ATS this season with almost all their wins coming by double-digits.  The Thunder are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their four meetings with the Grizzlies this season with all four wins coming by 13 points or more.  

The Thunder are champing at the bit to prove their are the best team in the NBA starting with Game 1 of this series.  The Grizzlies could relax a little after needing two play-in games just to make the playoffs after beating the Mavs on Friday night.  Now they have a quick turnaround for an early 1:00 EST start Sunday and won't be ready.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Giants/Angels OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  The San Francisco Giants are capable of covering this total on their own.  They have one of the most underrated lineups in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game while going 14-6 OVER in their 20 games.

Kyle Hendricks is one of the worst starters in baseball and I'm shocked the Angels have him as part of their rotation this season.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Astros in his last start this season.

The Angels are scoring 4.3 runs per game and should do enough today to contribute the necessary runs we need to cash this OVER.  Landen Roupe has allowed 8 earned runs and 24 base runners in 15 innings in his three starts for the Giants this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on San Francisco Giants -124

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 2 after getting shut out in Game 1 by the Los Angeles Angels yesterday.  The Giants have one of the most underrated lineups in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season which is a big reason for their 13-7 start.

Kyle Hendricks is one of the worst starters in baseball and I'm shocked the Angels have him as part of their rotation this season.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Astros in his last start this season.

The Angels are 1-4 in their last five games overall and scoring just 1.8 runs per game during this stretch.  Landen Roupp should hold them in check.  Roupp has 20 K's in 15 innings this season, and that electric stuff is what earned him a spot in the rotation this season.  Bet the Giants Saturday.

20* Timberwolves/Lakers ABC No-Brainer on Los Angeles -4

JJ Redick has done a tremendous job putting all the pieces together since the Luka Doncic trade.  The Lakers climbed their way up to the No. 3 seed in the West by going 7-3 SU & 6-3-1 ATS in their final 10 games in which they were trying to win, which included a 126-99 win at OKC and upset road wins at Memphis and Indiana.

The Minnesota Timberwolves proved last season they didn't have an answer for Luka Doncic when they lost to the Mavericks in the playoffs.  Now Doncic has even better sidekicks in LeBron James and Austin Reeves.  One of the more underrated aspects of the Lakers is their perimeter defenders to match up with guys like Anthony Edwards.  I think Edwards just has to do too much for this team without a true sidekick to take off some of the burden.

In their lone meeting this season in which Doncic played, the Lakers beat the Timberwolves 111-102 as 6-point home favorites.  And home-court advantage has been huge in this series dating back further.  The home team went 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in four meetings this season, and the home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Lakers Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 216

In their lone game with Luka Doncic facing the Timberwolves this season, the Lakers won 111-102 at home.  But that game should have seen a lot more than 213 combined points when you look at the box score.

The Timberwolves shot just 42% as a team and 12-of-41 (29%) from 3-point range.  The Lakers shot just 41% as a team including 11-of-41 (27%) from 3-point range.  So we only need marginal better shooting to easily eclipse this 216-point total in the rematch in Game 1 of this series.  

The Lakers and their opponents have combined for 224 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games in which they were trying to win.  They really profile as an OVER team having to play more small ball with only Jaxon Hayes as their lone decent big man.  The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined for at least 221 points in 12 of their last 15 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Red Sox OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the White Sox and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

The wind aided runs yesterday in a 10-3 win in Game 1 for the Red Sox that saw 13 combined runs.  The only reason this total is so low tonight is because Garret Crochet is pitching for Boston.

But this is going to benefit hitters considering this is a rematch from April 13th when Crochet faced Sean Smith in Chicago where the wind was blowing in.  Getting to see these starters for a second time in a week will benefit hitters, and runs should be much more plentiful in the rematch with hot temps and winds blowing out.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The ball should be flying out today.

The Cardinals have an underrated lineup scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Mets have one of the best lineups in baseball and it's only a matter of time before they bust out.  They are scoring 4.7 runs per game in their last six games.

Matthew Liberatore has allowed 13 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Liberatore allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-7 win over the Mets in his last start against them.

Kodai Senga takes a big step up in class here after getting to face the Marlins (twice) and A's in his first two starts this season, which is a big reason he has been so successful.  Senga is also on a pitch count coming back from injury not throwing more than 79 pitches in any of his three starts thus far.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Pirates OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Guardians and Pirates today.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh this afternoon.

It was the same forecast yesterday when the Guardians beat the Pirates 10-7 for 17 combined runs in Game 1.  This total is only this low because Paul Skenes is pitching, but the wind was blowing out in his last home start and it saw 13 combined runs against the Nationals.

Skenes hasn't been perfect, allowing 6 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts coming in.  The Pirates should crush Ben Lively, who has allowed 11 earend runs and 3 homers in 20 1/3 innings in four starts this season.  Lively allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-8 victory over the Pirates in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE DAY on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Reds and Orioles this afternoon.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 80's at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last eight games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.6 runs per game on the season with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.

Hunter Greene has been dominant, but he has also benefited from facing a very soft schedule getting to face the Giants (twice), Pirates and Rangers.  The Orioles will get to him enough today.  Brandon Young will be making his MLB debut for the Orioles, and the Reds are capable of covering this total on their own after scoring 8 runs yesterday in Game 1.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in six consecutive games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 7 runs in five of its last six home games.

These teams combined for 24 runs in Game 1.  While the starting pitching matchup and forecast aren't as conducive for runs in the rematch, this total of 7.5 is too low.  Zac Gallen has not been sharp, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 21 1/3 innings.

Gallen allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings of a 10-6 loss to the Cubs in his first start this season.  Ben Brown has allowed 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 24 innings in his last five starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Royals/Tigers OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Royals and Tigers this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Detroit this afternoon.

The Tigers have one of the more underrated lineups in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game this season.  They should get to Seth Lugo, who allowed 4 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last start.  Lugo allowed 4 earned runs, one homer and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against Detroit.

The Royals should get their bats going against Casey Mize, who 11-20 with a 4.26 ERA in his career with only 241 K's in 308 1/3 innings.  Mize has allowed 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts against the Royals.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park today.

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last five games coming in, going 5-0 OVER in those five games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Cal Quantrill is a gas can.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings in three starts this season.  Taijuan Walker is an equal gas can.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 10-4 home loss to the Giants in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 50's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The ball should be flying out tonight.

The Cardinals have an underrated lineup scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Mets have one fo the best lineups in baseball and it's only a matter of time before they bust out.  I think that time is today as they are capable of covering this 8-run total on their own.

Miles Mikolas is a gas can.  He went 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals last season.  Mikolas is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in three starts in 2025, allowing 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.

David Peterson has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 16 2/3 innings thus far in 2025.  He is due some regression after facing a pretty soft schedule of the A's, Marlins and Blue Jays thus far.  He is 29-25 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 470 2/3 innings in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Reds and Orioles tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with temps in the 70's at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last seven games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the season, and they have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games coming in.

Andrew Abbott will be making just his second start of the season for the Reds today and will be on a pitch count again after throwing 81 pitchers in his first start.  Cade Povich is a gas can.  He is 3-10 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 career starts, allowing 54 earned runs and 13 homers in 94 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Yankees/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and light winds today.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 6.7 runs per game in their last seven games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Rays last nine home games with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games, making for a 8-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.

The New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  Not cashing the OVER 9 yesterday was one of the worst beats of the season.  I settled for a push as these teams combined for 30 base runners with 23 hits and 7 walks.  Both stranded a ton of runners especially the Rays.

Carlos Rodon is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 innings.  Rodon is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight career starts against the Rays, allowing 20 earned runs, 6 homers and 25 walks in 39 innings.

Drew Rasmussen has solid numbers thus far but the Yankees should get to him.  Rasmussen has benefited from a soft schedule of the Pirates, Braves and Rangers, three of the worst offenses in baseball.  Those three rank in the bottom six in all of baseball in runs per game, and now Rasmussen must face the No. 1 offense in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Hawks TNT No-Brainer on Miami PK

The Miami Heat made easy work of the Chicago Bulls in a 109-90 road victory to put themselves in this position to make the playoffs.  That game at Chicago was tougher than this game at Atlanta will be as the Bulls are better than the Hawks with a better home-court advantage.

The Hawks faltered in a 120-95 road loss to the Orlando Magic to put themselves in this position of must-win.  That was a game the Hawks could afford to lose, while the Heat were in a must-win already as they were completely eliminated with a loss.  I like the mentality of this Heat team coming in.

I also like the experience and the talent on this Miami team much better than that of the Hawks.  Tyler Herro had 38 points, Andrew Wiggins had 20 points and Bam Adebayo had 15 points and 12 rebounds in that win over the Bulls.  This core 3 has a ton of playoff experience and will be up to the challenge.

The Hawks really only have Trae Young with plenty of playoff experience.  Young had 28 points and nobody else had more than 15 for the Hawks against the Magic.  He was ejected late in the game with two technical fouls as he showed his frustration, largely due to not getting much help.

The Heat are the much better defensive team ranking 9th in defensive efficiency while the Hawks rank 18th.  Holding the Bulls to 90 points was no small feat.  The Heat have owned the Hawks in their final two regular season meetings, winning 131-109 and 122-112.  It should be more of the same tonight.  Bet the Heat Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park tonight.  

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last four games coming in, going 4-0 OVER in those four games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all six games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Sandy Alcantara is working his way back from injury after missing all of last season.  Alcantara has allowed 6 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings this season while being on a pitch count in both of his starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Philadelphia.

Zack Wheeler clearly isn't in midseason form yet.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts and 4 homers in his four starts.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Miami.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 7.5 ticket between the Royals and Tigers today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at spacious Comerica Park in Detroit tonight with gusts of over 30 MPH.

Cole Ragans has allowed just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 31 K's in his last three starts for the Royals and is the clear ace of this staff.  Ragans has allowed 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 24 K's in his last three starts against the Tigers as well.

Jackson Jobe has been solid this season going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in three starts while allowing just 5 earned runs and 17 base runners in 15 innings.  He should shut down a struggling Kansas City lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in nine of their last 10 games overall, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 consecutive contests.  

The Tigers have been held to one run or fewer in three of their last five games coming in.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Royals last 12 games overall.  The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Tigers last 11 games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 10.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10.5 ticket between the Cubs and Diamondbacks at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH sustained winds blowing out to center and gusts of over 25 MPH.

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.5 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 7 runs in four of its last five home games.

Corbin Burnes has been disappointing for the Diamondbacks, going 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three starts this season whie allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings.

Colin Rea is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 26-20 with a 4.50 ERA in his career in the big leagues spanning 455 2/3 innings.  Rea has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Mets OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Citi Field in New York tonight.  The Mets have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and the Cardinals have an underrated lineup that has produced 5.2 runs per game this season.

Andre Pallante allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Mets last season.  Griffin Canning has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 15 innings in three starts this season.  Canning has allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Yankees/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last six games.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in Rays last eight home games with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

The New York Yankees are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  They should get to Taj Bradley, who is 2-0-1 OVER in all starts this season with 9 or more combined runs in all three of his starts.

Will Warren has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 14 innings in three starts for the Yankees this season.  The Rays should have their way with him as well, and they should continue their onslaught against a tired New York bullpen that has played four straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Giants/Phillies OVER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game this season and are 13-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1, 10 runs in Game 2 and 15 runs in Game 3. It should be more of the same in Game 4 today, and the books have set this total too low once again.

Jordan Hicks has been rocked for 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts for the Giants.  Hicks allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 4 innings in his lone career start against the Phillies last season.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts for the Phillies.  The Giants are going with a right-handed heavy lineup to counter the lefty.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Heat/Bulls ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 218.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team and books have failed to set their totals high enough all season.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in pace this season, and this total of 218.5 is very low for a game involving the Bulls.

Indeed, the Bulls and their opponents have combined for at least 222 points in 34 of their last 36 games.  That makes for a 34-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 218.5-point total.  Books have adjusted this number down too much for this being a playoff game.

No question the Miami Heat profile more of an under team as they like to play slower than the Bulls do, but the Bulls will control the tempo playing at home.  Plus, the Heat have taken off offensively here down the stretch.  The Heat are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall finishing with 222 or more combined points in all five games.  The Heat have scored at least 108 points in 12 consecutive games and 115 points or more in nine of those.

The Heat and Bulls have combined for 257, 223 and 230 points in their three regular season meetings.  They have combined for at least 223 points in five of their last six meetings as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Heat/Bulls ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Chicago ML -113

The Chicago Bulls have quietly gone 15-5 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They have outright upset wins over the Magic, Heat (twice), Pacers, Lakers (twice), Kings and Nuggets during this stretch.  Three of the five losses came on the road to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Cavs, Thunder and Rockets.

The Bulls have owned the Heat this season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS despite being underdogs in all three games.  They won by 9 and 8 at home and by 5 on the road.  This is clearly a good matchup for them, and they should be fresh and ready to go after limiting their starters' minutes down the stretch.

There's just not a lot to like about the Miami Heat since trading away Jimmy Butler.  They rely too much on Tyler Hero and Bam Adebayo, while the Bulls are a much more compete team with Coby White, Josh Giddey, Nikola Vucevic, Kevin Heurter, Patrick Williams and Matas Buzelis working really well together.

Chicago fans are starving for a winner, and this will be a tremendous home-court advantage at the United Center with an atmosphere similar to when the Bulls upset the Lakers on the Josh Giddey half-court buzzer-beater.  The Bulls are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Bet the Bulls on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* Royals/Yankees AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Royals and Yankees tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH sustained winds blowing out to the short porch in right field at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The ball should be flying out.

Kris Bubic is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.  He has allowed 4 homers in 11 innings in those two starts.  Clarke Schmidt will be making his first start of the season for the Yankees and will be on a pitch count.  Schmidt is 1-0 with a 4.39 ERA in three career starts against the Royals with 17 hits and 2 homers allowed in 14 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.  

The Yankees are 10-6-1 OVER in all games this season and scoring 6.1 runs per game with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Red Sox/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 8.8 runs per game in their last five games.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Rays last seven home games with 9 or more combined runs in all seven games, including 17 and 11 combined runs in the first two games of this series.

The Rays should tee off on Sean Newcomb, who has allowed 11 runs, 7 earned, and 27 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his three starts this season.  Newcomb hasn't made it out of the 5th inning in any of his three starts.  He allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Rays.

Zack Littell has been rocked for 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 17 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts for the Rays.  The books just aren't able to set these Tampa Bay totals at home high enough early in the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Giants/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season and are 12-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2 and it should be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.  Robbie Ray is very fortunate to have only allowed 5 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings this season when you consider he has allowed 3 homers and 10 walks already.  His luck runs out against the Phillies tonight.

Ray has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.  Aaron Nola is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Nola has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Giants.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight with gusts of up to 20 MPH.  The OVER is 8-1 in Nationals last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

Bailey Falter is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 innings.  Falter allowed 3 earned runs, one homer and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 9-4 win over the Nationals in his lone start against them last season.

Mitchell Parker allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 7 base runners in 6 innings to the Marlins in his last start.  Parker allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 8-6 win over the Pirates in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on DBacks/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is just how much of a dead nuts OVER team the Miami Marlins have been at home.  They are 8-3 OVER in their 11 home games this season, and 63-22 OVER in all home games since the start of 2024.

The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season and have blasted the Marlins 10-8 for 18 combined runs in Game 1 and 10-4 for 14 combined runs in Game 2.  This total being at 8 again for Game 3 tonight is laughable.

Brandn Pfaadt has allowed 4 homers in 18 innings in his three starts thus far this season.  Pfaadt has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins.  

Max Meyer is getting a little too much love for his solid start to the season.  Meyer is 4-7 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 16 career starts in the big leagues.  He has allowed a whopping 17 homers in 81 innings for a 1.9 HR/9.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners/Reds OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center at one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati tonight.  The Mariners are a much better offense when they get away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last five games overall, including 12 combined runs with Cincinnati in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in five consecutive games, and 5 runs or more in four of them.  They just got some key pieces back from injury including Austin Hays, who had 4 RBI last night.

Bryce Miller has been a little off his game to start the season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 16 innings.  Nick Martinez has been dreadful, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Martinez has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mariners.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Guardians/Orioles AL No-Brainer on OVER 8

There will be 15 MPH winds blowing out to right tonight at Camden Yards to aid balls hit in that direction.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Guardians and Orioles with 9 or more combined runs in all five, and 11 or more in four of those five.

Cleveland has scored at least 6 runs in four of its last five games.  The Guardians should tee off on Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 8.16 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings.  Kremer has allowed 10 earned runs and 23 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Baltimore.

Gavin Williams takes a big step up in class here after getting to face the White Sox, Angels and Royals in his first three starts this season.  Williams allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 9-5 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago tonight with gusts of over 20 MPH.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed 9 runs, 7 earned, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts for the A's.  Sean Burke is 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts this season for the White Sox.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 14 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.