20* Red Sox/Royals AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of those 15 games.  The OVER is 7-3 in Royals last 10 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 17 of their last 18 games overall, including 4 runs or more 15 of those.

The Royals should feast on Bryan Bello, who is 10-5 in spite of a 5.13 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Bello has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 11 of his last 14 starts.  He has allowed 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 38 innings in his last seven starts for a 5.68 ERA.  Bellow allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Royals this season.

Seth Lugo has hit the skids in recent weeks for the Royals after a great start to the season.  Lugo has allowed 13 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 4.13 ERA.  One of those starts came against Boston as he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings on July 13th.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Tyler Mahle will be making his first start back from injury since 2023 tonight for the Rangers.  I don't expect it to go well for him as the Astros get to him early and often.

Framber Valdez is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Valdez is 10-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 of their last 17 meetings, making for a 14-3 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Orioles/Blue Jays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They are 13-1 OVER in their last 14 games and 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games with 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those 18 games. They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 13 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket tonight.

But the Toronto Blue Jays have been a dead nuts OVER team themselves.  They are 18-3 OVER in their last 21 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

Chris Bassitt is 8-10 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 22 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in five consecutive starts and a total of 20 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings for a 7.01 ERA during this stretch.  Worse yet, Bassitt has allowed 17 earned runs, 5 homers and 31 base runners in 13 innings for an 11.77 ERA in his last three starts against Baltimore.

Grayson Rodriquez has been far from untouchable for the Orioles.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 8 homers in 46 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 4.86 ERA.  The Blue Jays will do enough to help us cash this OVER ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Phillies/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game and the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in the National League.

Aaron Nola has allowed 19 homers in 22 starts this season.  Nola has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers, who are expected to get Freddy Freeman back in the lineup tonight to make them even more potent.

Tyler Glansow is 8-6 with a 3.50 ERA in 20 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Glawnow is going through his worst stretch of the season, allowing 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts coming in.

The Phillies and Dodgers have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Royals OVER 9.5

Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Kauffman Stadium tonight.  Two hot offenses square off in what should be an absolute slug fest.

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 11 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 6-3 in Royals last nine games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those games.

James Paxton is 8-3 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 19 starts between the Dodgers and Red Sox this season.  He averages fewer than 5 innings per start, and this Boston bullpen has been atrocious this summer.

Brady Singer has great numbers for the Royals, but he has bolstered his numbers against some weak competition in the AL Central with several starts against the White Sox and Tigers.  Singer allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 2 2/3 innings against the Red Sox on July 14th in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Hunter Brown is 9-7 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 21 starts for the Astros this season.  Andrew Heaney is 4-11 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 21 starts for the Rangers this season.  Both starters will get rocked tonight.

Brown has allowed 10 earned runs and 29 base runners in 13 innings in his last three starts against Texas.  Heaney has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Astros.

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 of their last 16 meetings, making for a 14-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Twins/Cubs Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and are raking at the plate right now, scoring a total of 37 runs in their last four games coming in.  The Chicago Cubs are heating up at the plate scoring a total of 34 runs in their last five games.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight against these two hot offense, and this total should be higher than 8 as a result.  Rookie David Festa is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three starts and one relief appearance for the Twins this season.  He has already allowed 6 homers in 19 1/3 innings.

Kyle Hendricks is washed up and one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-9 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 15 starts with just 60 K's in 85 1/3 innings and 17 homers allowed.  It's amazing the Cubs keep sending him out there with those numbers.  

The OVER is 10-3-1 in Twins last 14 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 8 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Guardians OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 12 games, while the Guardians have scored at least 4 runs in seven straight.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs tonight to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own against Logan Allen, who is 8-4 in spite of a 5.67 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 18 starts for the Guardians this season.  Allen has already allowed 18 homers in 87 1/3 innings in 2024.

Zac Gallen has been far from dominant here of late.  He has allowed 19 runs in 30 innings in his last six starts.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of them.  

The OVER is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of them.  The OVER is 4-0 in Guardians last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Cubs tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  The OVER is 4-0 in Cubs last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all four.

Miles Mikolas is 9-9 with a 4.99 ERA in 22 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 83 K's in 124 1/3 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Mikolas allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Cubs on July 14th.

Justin Steele has really struggled in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 30 base runners in 15 innings.  He has battled through injury this season and just hasn't been the same pitcher he was last year.  Be the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Mariners OVER 7

The Philadelphia Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, and this is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies today.

But the Mariners are starting to rake now that they have bolstered their lineup at the trade deadline.  Indeed, the Mariners have scored at least 6 runs in seven of their last eight games overall, and the OVER is 7-1 in those eight games.

Both starting pitchers have good numbers on the season, but both are struggling coming into this one.  Zack Wheeler just allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings to the Yankees in his last start.

Logan Gilbert has allowed 12 runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  He has allowed 19 runs and 4 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five starts as well.  Gilbert has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Rangers OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of those 13 games.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rangers last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.  This total of 8 is too low for how well both teams are swinging the bats right now.

Nick Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 17 starts for the Red Sox this season while allowing 17 homers.  Pivetta has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Eovaldi has allowed 8 earned runs in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Orioles/Guardians AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is great but he hasn't been sharp of late, allowing 5 earned runs and 14 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins and Blue Jays.  Burnes allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Cleveland.

Gavin Williams is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in six starts for the Guardians this season.  This is a big step up in class for him considering he has bolstered his numbers with three of those six starts coming against the lowly Detroit Tigers.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 35 runs in their last five games coming in for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  These teams have combined for 13, 12 and 11 runs in the first three games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 18-2 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 12-1 in Yankees last 13 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 12 of those 13 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 5 runs in eight consecutive games, including 6 or more in seven of them.  Temps will be approaching 90 with light winds blowing out to left to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket today as well.

Gerrit Cole continues to get too much respect from the books as he works his way back from injury.  Cole is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven starts this season, already allowing a whopping 9 homers in 35 innings.

Yariel Rodriquez is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He is averaging just under 4 innings per start this season, so the Yankees will get into Toronto's awful bullpen early in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Phillies/Mariners MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Philadelphia Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, and this is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies tonight.

But the Mariners are starting to rake now that they have bolstered their lineup at the trade deadline.  They have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last seven games overall.

The Mariners should stay hot at the plate against Kolby Allard, who is 9-24 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 249 innings in his big league career.  It's amazing the Phillies are actually deciding to throw him out there tonight.

Bryce Miller is 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Mariners.  But this is a big step up in class for him compared to what he is used to facing in the watered-down AL West.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Guardians OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.6 runs per game.

Zach Eflin is one of the most overrated starters in baseball and I wasn't that impressed with the Orioles getting him at the trade deadline.  Eflin is 58-60 with a 4.26 ERA in his career, including 6-7 with a 4.11 ERA this season.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 innings to the Blue Jays in his first start for Baltimore.  Eflin allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 3 innings of a 9-2 loss to the Guardians in his last start against them.

Rookie Joey Cantillo will be making his 2nd career start for the Guardians.  His first was forgettable as he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 base runners in 3 1/3 innings to the Phillies.  Cantillo also struggled in the minors this season, going 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.58 WHIP while allowing 14 earned runs and 21 walks in 30 1/3 innings.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 31 runs in their last four games coming in.  These teams have combined for 13 and 12 runs in the first two games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NL GAME OF THE YEAR on Pittsburgh Pirates -109

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the Arizona Diamondbacks today.  Yet we are getting them at basically even money at home.  This is a nice value that we will take advantage of today.

Mitch Keller is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Keller is 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 15 starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer 11 times.  Keller has allowed just 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 20 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.

Jordan Montgomery is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 innings to the Nationals in his last start.  Bet the Pirates Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on DBacks/Pirates OVER 8

The Pirates are capable of covering this total on their own.  Jordan Montgomery is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 innings to the Nationals in his last start.

But the Diamondbacks are red hot at the plate and they should do enough off of Mitch Keller to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games now, including a total of 54 runs in their last six games alone.  The Pirates have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games.  If both teams get to 4 runs in this one we cash.  

The OVER is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last six games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Pirates last six games overall.  The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 11 or more combined runs in all three, including 17 yesterday.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 17-2 OVER in their last 19 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 6 runs in seven consecutive games.  They just traded for Jazz Chisholm from the Marlins and he has made an immediate impact with 4 HR in four games.

Jose Berrios is 9-8 with a 3.93 ERA in 22 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has allowed 32 earned runs and 11 homers in 50 1/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 5.72 ERA.  Berrios has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.

Carlos Rodon is 11-7 with a 4.34 ERA in 22 starts for the Yankees this season.  He has allowed 32 earned runs and 12 homers in 40 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 7.14 ERA.  Rodon has allowed 11 earned runs, 2 homers and 20 base runners in 9 starts in two starts against Toronto in 2024.  

Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left today at Yankee Stadium to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Blue Jays/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 6 runs in six consecutive games.  They just traded for Jazz Chisholm from the Marlins and he has made an immediate impact with 4 HR in three games.

Kevin Gausman has faced the Yankees three times already this season so they are very familiar with him.  It hasn't gone well for Gausman, who has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  The OVER is 3-0 in those three starts.

Regression has hit Marcus Stroman hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 14 runs, 12 earned and 6 homers in 18 innings in his last four starts.  Stroman has allowed 5 earned runs and 16 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Blue Jays this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Astros OVER 7.5

The Tampa Bay Rays have scored a total of 32 runs in their last six games for an average of 5.3 runs per game.  The Houston Astros are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season and have scored at least 4 runs in 23 of their last 36 games overall. This is a very low total tonight for these two offenses up against these two starting pitchers.

Shane Baz is 0-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in four starts for the Rays this season.  He'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi, who is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.

Kikuchi is 4-9 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He has allowed 16 earned runs and 26 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Kikuchi has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Red Sox/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in nine of those 11 games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Rangers last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.

Regression has hit Boston Kutter Crawford hard in recent starts.  Indeed, Crawford has allowed 11 earned runs and 8 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. He has allowed 5 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.

Jose Urena is one of the worst starters in baseball and will be getting the start for the Rangers.  He is 42-74 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 10 seasons in the big leagues.  The Rangers will be making this a bullpen game and I expect the Red Sox to stay red hot at the plate.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Braves UNDER 9

The Miami Marlins have one of the worst lineups in baseball after trading away their two best hitters in Arraez and Chisholm.  They also lost one of their best power hitters in Josh Bell.  They are scoring just 3.6 runs per game this season.  The Atlanta Braves remain without Acuna Jr. and Albies and their offense has taken a big hit as well.  They are scoring just 4.3 runs per game this season.

Spencer Schwellenbach should shut down the Marlins with how well he has been pitching of late.  He has allowed just 6 earned runs and 20 base runners in 26 innings in his last four starts with 28 K's.

Vallente Bellozo will hold the Braves in check enough tonight to keep this UNDER 9.  He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two starts for the Marlins this season with 10 K's in 10 innings.  He has held his own against two of the best lineups in baseball in the Red Sox and Royals.

The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 7 or fewer combined runs in five of those six games.  Atlanta is 63-39-5 UNDER in all games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* Orioles/Guardians AL No-Brainer on OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.6 runs per game.

Dean Kremer is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA in 14 starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 16 runs, 11 earned, and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts.  Kremer has allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, and 15 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cleveland.

Carlos Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 19 starts for the Guardians this season.  Carrasco has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 23 runs in their last three games coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +120

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-6 in their last 19 games overall and making their run at the wild card.  They would be a dangerous team if they got in the playoffs with what they have at the top of the rotation in Skenes, Keller and Jones.

But it has been Luis Ortiz who is one of the most underrated starters in baseball and the one that they don't talk about, which is why he is a home underdog today when he shouldn't be.  Ortiz is 5-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 78 2/3 innings for the Pirates this season.

Brandon Pfaadt is 5-6 with a 3.92 ERA in 21 starts for the Diamondbacks.  Pfaadt allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 9-5 win over the Pirates in his last start on July 27th.  I expect them to tag him again tonight.  Bet the Pirates Friday.

15* AL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +104

The Kansas City Royals have big advantages at the plate and in the motivation department over the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of this series tonight.  The Tigers were big sellers at the deadline and there may be a hangover effect for this team in the immediate future.

The Tigers traded away Jack Flaherty, Mark Canha, Andrew Chafin and Carson Kelly for a bunch of prospects.  They have been held to a total of 5 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 1.3 runs per game.  They are without Javier Baez, and this is currently one of the worst lineups in baseball.

The Royals are 4-0 in their last four games overall while scoring a total of 27 runs in those four wins.  The Royals are 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Tigers while scoring a total of 33 runs in those four wins, outscoring them 33-10 in the process.

Getting Cole Ragans as an underdog tonight is a gift.  Ragans is 7-7 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 153 K's in 128 1/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the Tigers on May 22nd when he fired 6 shutout innings with 12 K's in a 8-3 victory.  Bet the Royals Friday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -145

The Kansas City Royals have big advantages on the mound, at the plate and in the motivation department over the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of this series tonight.  The Tigers were big sellers at the deadline and there may be a hangover effect for this team in the immediate future.

The Tigers traded away Jack Flaherty, Mark Canha, Andrew Chafin and Carson Kelly for a bunch of prospects.  They have been held to a total of 4 runs in their last three games overall.  They are without Javier Baez, and this is currently one of the worst lineups in baseball.

Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 12-5 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 22 starts this season for the Royals.  One of those starts came at Detroit on April 26th when Lugo fired 7 shutout innings while allowing just 5 base runners with 9 K's in a 8-0 victory.

I'll gladly fade Detroit rookie Keider Montero, who is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in six starts for the Tigers this season.  Amazingly, Montero has already allowed 10 homers and 26 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings this season.  The Royals are hot at the plate scoring 22 runs in their last three games, and 4 runs or more in 15 of their last 18 games overall, including 6 runs or more 11 times.  Bet the Royals Thursday.

15* Dodgers/Padres NL West ANNIHILATOR on San Diego -122

The San Diego Padres are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and have scored at least 6 runs in six of those eight wins.  They have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Dodgers and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Dylan Cease has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, pitching 22 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners with a whopping 30 K's.  He'll be facing a soft Dodgers lineup that is still without Betts, Muncy and Freeman.

Clayton Kershaw will be making just his 2nd start of the season as he works his way back from injury.  Kershaw allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings to the lowly Giants in his first start with only 72 pitches.  He will be on a pitch count again, and he has allowed 7 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Padres as well.  Bet the Padres Wednesday.

15* Mariners/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on Seattle -114

The Seattle Mariners are heating up at the plate with the trades for Randy Arozarena and Justin Turner.  They have scored a total of 39 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.

They should stay hot at the plate today against Boston's Brayan Bello, who is 10-5 in spite of a 5.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 19 starts.  Bello has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 5.64 ERA.  Bello has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against Seattle.

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound today behind George Kirby, who is 8-7 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Kirby has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of those.  Kirby has owned the Red Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the Mariners Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Nationals have scored 35 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.0 runs per game while the Diamondbacks have scored 58 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.3 runs per game.  These teams have combined for 17 runs in each of the first two games of this series and it should be more of the same today.

MacKenzie Gore has really struggled of late for the Nationals, allowing 18 earned runs in 15 innings for a 10.80 ERA in his last four starts.  Zac Gallen hasn't been much better, allowing 16 earned runs in 24 innings for a 6.00 ERA in his last five starts as he continues to work his way back from injury.  

The OVER is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four.  The OVER is 4-1 in Nationals last five games overall with 17 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115)

The Royals are 11-1 in 12 meetings with the White Sox this season with nine wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 3 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-16 in their last 16 games overall with 11 losses by 2 runs or more.

The Royals have a big advantage on the mound today behind the underrated Brady Singer, who is 7-6 with a 2.82 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Royals.  Singer owns the White Sox, allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in three starts against them in 2024.

Drew Thorpe is 3-2 with a 4.81 ERA in eight starts for the White Sox this season with just 25 K's in 39 1/3 innings.  This Chicago bullpen is the worst in baseball and has wasted decent starts by starters all season.  The Royals can tack on late if need be.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Mets OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Twins and Mets today.  Temps will be approaching 90 with 14 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center this afternoon.

The OVER is 7-3 in Twins last 10 games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last nine games.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 18 games overall.

Pablo Lopez is 9-7 with a 4.73 ERA in 21 starts for the Twins this season.  His biggest problem is giving up the long ball, allowing 19 homers this season, and that's not good news for him with the wind blowing out.  Lopez has allowed 11 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.

Luis Severino is 7-3 with a 3.58 ERA in 20 starts for the Mets this season and due some regression.  He had a 6.65 ERA in 18 starts for the Yankees last season and pitches too much to contact, which is unreliable.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline.  They gave away a lot of their best players and I struggle to see them being that motivated in the immediate future as a result.

The Baltimore Orioles are fighting tooth and nail with the New York Yankees for AL East supremacy.  They were buyers at the deadline and this team isn't lacking any motivation at all.  This will be the 4th game in 3 days in this series, and I think the Orioles are much better equipped than the short-handed Blue Jays to handle this situation better today.

Of course, the Orioles also have a massive advantage on the mound as well.  Grayson Rodriquez is 12-4 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 19 starts for the Orioles this season with 122 K's in 110 2/3 innings.  Rodriquez held the Blue Jays to one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of a 7-2 victory in his lone start against them this season on June 3rd.

Paulo Espino is 5-14 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 261 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is getting a spot start here for the Blue Jays.  He has a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in 4 2/3 innings thus far in 2024.  He will get rocked by the Orioles today.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* Yankees/Phillies Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Phillies today.  Temps will be approaching 90 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The Yankees have scored a total of 47 runs in their last five games overall for an average of 9.4 runs per game.  The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season behind one of the best offenses in baseball, and they are fully healthy right now.

Nestor Cortes is in line to get rocked by the Phillies with the way he is trending.  Cortes is 0-2 with a 10.13 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

Cristopher Sanchez is always trending the wrong way for the Phillies.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts for a 5.81 ERA.  The Yankees should stay hot at the plate against him as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

25* NL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

Two of the worst starters in the National League square off tonight against two hot offenses.  The Nationals have scored 35 runs in their last four games while the Diamondbacks have scored 41 runs in their last six games.

Patrick Corbin is 2-10 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.46 WHIP In 21 starts this season for the Nationals.  Corbin has allowed 9 earned runs and 27 base runners in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.

Ryne Nelson is 7-6 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 17 starts for the Diamondbacks this season with just 70 K's in 98 1/3 innings.  Nelson allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings of an 8-6 win over the Royals in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Rangers/Cardinals Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rangers and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to left-center at Busch Stadium in St. Louis.

Max Scherzer has been far from perfect as he makes his way back from injury.  He is 2-3 with a 3.57 ERA in seven starts this season.  Lance Lynn is 5-4 with a 4.17 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 20 starts for the Cardinals.  Lynn has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-115)

The Royals are 10-1 in 11 meetings with the White Sox this season with nine wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 2 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-15 in their last 15 games overall with 11 losses by 2 runs or more.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts for the Red Sox in 2022, 14-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 24 starts for the Padres in 2023, and now he is 7-6 with a 3.65 ERA in 18 starts for the Royals in 2024.  Wacha has allowed just 2 earned runs and 14 base runners in 20 innings in three starts against the White Sox in 2024.

Rookie Jonathan Cannon is 1-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 10 starts for the White Sox this season with just 44 K's in 63 innings.  Cannon allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings of a 6-1 loss to the Royals in his last start against them on July 20th.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Mariners/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 10

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Mariners and Red Sox tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.

The Seattle Mariners are heating up at the plate with the trade for Randy Arozarena.  They have scored a total of 29 runs in their last four games.  The Boston Red Sox have scored at least 6 runs in eight of their last nine games and the OVER is 8-1 in those nine games.  These teams combined for 21 runs last night and it should be more of the same tonight.

Luis Castillo has allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 16 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Boston.  James Paxton has a 4.43 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  Paxton has allowed 17 earned runs, 3 homers and 37 base runners in 17 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Twins/Mets Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Twins and Mets tonight.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 17 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.

The OVER is 7-2 in Twins last nine games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last eight games.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 17 games overall, including 15 runs yesterday.

It has been a very rough start for rookie David Festa this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in two starts for the Twins.  Sean Manaea has allowed 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 22 base runners in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Yankees/Phillies Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to center.

The Yankees have scored a total of 40 runs in their last four games overall.  Both starting pitchers have the propensity to give up the long ball, which isn't good for them given the forecast.

Gerrit Cole is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven starts this season while allowing 9 homers in 35 innings.  Aaron Nola has allowed 18 homers in 21 starts this season.  Nola has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against New York.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Blue Jays and Orioles tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Baltimore.

The Orioles have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games and the OVER is 8-0 in Orioles last eight games overall.  Amazingly, the OVER is 15-1 in Blue Jays last 16 games overall as they have been a dead nuts OVER team as well.

The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own against Chris Bassitt, who has allowed 15 earned runs, 3 homers and 35 base runners in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bassitt has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+107)

The Toronto Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline.  They gave away a lot of their best players and I struggle to see them being that motivated in the immediate future as a result.

The Baltimore Orioles are fighting tooth and nail with the New York Yankees for AL East supremacy.  They were buyers at the deadline and this team isn't lacking any motivation at all.  These teams just played a double-header yesterday, and I think the Orioles are much better equipped than the short-handed Blue Jays to handle this situation better today.

Of course, the Orioles also have a massive advantage on the mound.  Corbin Burnes is among the Cy Young favorites this season, going 10-4 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 21 starts in his first season in Baltimore.  Burnes has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in two starts against the Blue Jays in 2024.

Chris Bassitt has allowed 15 earned runs, 3 homers and 35 base runners in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bassitt has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Diamondbacks OVER 9

Two struggling starting pitchers square off tonight against two hot offenses.  The Nationals have scored 27 runs in their last three games while the Diamondbacks have scored 32 runs in their last five games.

Mitchell Parker is 5-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 18 starts for the Nationals as a rookie this season.  Parker has really struggled of late, allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last four starts.

Jordan Montgomery is 7-5 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in 14 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+100)

The Royals are 9-1 in 10 meetings with the White Sox this season with eight wins by 2 runs or more.  It should be more of the same in Game 1 of this series against the hapless White Sox, who are 0-14 in their last 14 games overall with 10 losses by 2 runs or more.

I'll gladly fade Chris Flexen, who is 2-10 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 20 starts for the White Sox this season. Flexen has allowed 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 11 innings in two starts against the Royals this season.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Monday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Pirates -125

Paul Skenes is a lock to win NL Rookie of the Year and he is closing in on the NL Cy Young.  He is 6-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 97 K's in 74 2/3 innings.  We are getting Skenes and the Pirates cheap as only -125 favorites over the Houston Astros tonight.

Fellow rookie Jake Bloss hasn't had nearly as much success for the Astros.  He is 0-1 with a 6.94 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 9 earned runs, 5 homers and 19 base runners in 11 2/3 innings.

The Pirates are 11-5 in their last 16 games overall and closing in on a wild card spot.  They are highly motivated to make the playoffs and would be a dangerous out if they do with all the talent at the top of their rotation, led by Skenes.  Bet the Pirates Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners/Red Sox OVER 8.5

The Seattle Mariners are heating up at the plate with the trade for Randy Arozarena.  They have scored 22 runs in their last three games.  The Boston Red Sox have scored at least 6 runs in seven of their last eight games and the OVER is 7-1 in those eight games.

Logan Gilbert has given up 12 runs in his last four starts.  He has given up 7 runs and 3 homers in 20 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  I think Boston stays hot at the plate and gets to him tonight.

Nick Pivetta is 4-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 16 starts this season with 15 homers allowed.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 20-7 loss to the Rockies in his last start.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in six of his last eight starts coming in.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Twins and Mets tonight.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 11 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.

The OVER is 6-2 in Twins last eight games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 16 games overall.

Simeon Woods-Richardson is 3-1 with a 3.27 ERA in 17 starts this season in his first full season in the big leagues, but I expect some regression moving forward.  Jose Quintana is 5-6 with a 4.02 ERA in 20 starts for the Mets.  Quintana has allowed 5 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Red Sox ESPN No-Brainer on Boston -101

The New York Yankees are 10-21 in their last 31 games overall despite being favored in almost every game.  They should not be favored on the road against the Boston Red Sox tonight, either.

Regression has really hit many of these Yankees starting pitchers, including Carlos Rodon.  He is 10-7 with a 4.42 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He has allowed 30 earned runs and 10 homers in 34 innings in his last seven starts for a 7.94 ERA during this stretch.  Rodon allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-4 loss to the Red Sox in his lone start against them this season on June 15th.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today behind Tanner Houck.  The All-Star is 8-6 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Houck has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees for a 1.35 ERA.  Bet the Red Sox Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +106

The Pittsburgh Pirates will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series to the Arizona Diamondbacks.  They have the advantage on the mound today and should not be underdogs in Game 3 as a result.

Mitch Keller is 10-5 with a 3.34 ERA in 20 starts this season.  Amazingly, Keller has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 12 of his last 14 starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of them.  Keller has allowed just 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 13 innings in his last two starts against Arizona as well.

Yilber Diaz is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three starts for the Diamondbacks as a rookie this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 21 base runners in 15 innings.  Bet the Pirates Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Seattle Mariners -104

The Seattle Mariners have outscored the Chicago White Sox 16-3 in the first two games of this series.  They have gotten their bats going, and they should not be basically even money against the worst team in baseball in Chicago (27-79).

Bryce Miller is 7-7 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 20 starts for the Mariners this season.  Miller has been dominant in his last four starts, allowing just 4 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings for a 1.52 ERA.  Miller has allowed just 1 earned run and 8 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.  Bet the Mariners Sunday.

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on Boston -101

The New York Yankees are 9-21 in their last 30 games overall despite being favored in almost every game.  They should not be favored on the road against the Boston Red Sox today, either.

Regression has really hit many of these Yankees starting pitchers, including Marcus Stroman. He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in five of his last six starts.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 9-3 loss to the Red Sox in his lone start against them this season.

Kutter Crawford is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Crawford is 6-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 20 starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Blue Jays OVER 8

The OVER is 11-1 in Blue Jays last 12 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games, and 9 or more in 10 of them.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Rangers and Blue Jays with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts.  Kevin Gausman is 8-8 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 20 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  Gausman has allowed 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +131

The Texas Rangers are 5-1 in their last six games overall and still very much alive in the AL West race.  The Toronto Blue Jays have little to play for the rest of the way sitting at 47-56 on the season.

The Rangers should not be underdogs considering they have the advantage on the mound plus more motivation.  Kevin Gausman is 8-8 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 20 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  Gausman has allowed 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 innings in his last four starts coming in.

Michael Lorenzen is 5-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 17 starts for the Rangers this season.  Gausman has allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Rangers.  Bet the Rangers Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado Rockies +166

Kyle Freeland is grossly undervalued right now with inflated numbers due to a poor start to the season when he wasn't healthy.  But Freeland has been absolutely dominant since returning from injury, and he should not be this big of an underdog to the Giants as a result.

Freeland is 2-0 with a 1.95 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 7 earned runs in 32 1/3 innings.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Giants as well.

Kyle Harrison is 5-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 17 starts for the Giants this season.  While Freeland has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts, Harrison has allowed 3 earned runs or more in six of his last nine starts.  Bet the Rockies Friday.

20* NL DOG OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Pirates +170

Luis Ortiz is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 73 2/3 innings this season.  Ortiz has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.

Zac Gallen is getting too much respect from the books.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 innings in his last four starts coming in.  The Pirates are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and making their way back into the playoff hunt.  Bet the Pirates Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Angels OVER 9

The OVER is 4-0 in four meetings between the Angels and A's since the All-Star Break with 16, 10, 13 and 11 combined runs.  It should be more of the same tonight with these two offenses up against these two starting pitchers.

Paul Blackburn will be making his first start since May for the A's.  He has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Blackburn has allowed 5 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Angels.

Carson Fulmer has allowed 7 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Fulmer just never makes it past the 5th inning and likely won't today as he has been a lifetime reliever to this point.  That means the A's should get into this awful Angels bullpen early.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on Boston +118

The New York Yankees are 9-20 in their last 29 games overall despite being favored in almost every game.  They should not be favored on the road against the Boston Red Sox today, either.

Regression has really hit many of these Yankees starting pitchers, including Nestor Cortes.  The left-hander has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts.

Bryan Bello is coming off a pair of quality starts.  He has allowed 6 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.  Boston is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the Red Sox Friday.

20* AL DOG OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers +118

The Texas Rangers are 6-0 in their last six meetings with Toronto outscoring the Blue Jays 50-18 in the process.  The Rangers are 5-0 in their last five games overall.  They should not be underdogs to the Blue Jays, who are 'sellers' at this point sitting at 46-56 on the season.

The Rangers have the advantage on the mound tonight as well behind Andrew Heaney, who has a 3.60 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Amazingly, Heaney has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 consecutive starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer in 11 of those.

Yusei Kikuchi is 4-9 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  Kikuchi has allowed 4 earned runs or more in five of his last seven starts.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings of a 10-0 loss in his last start against Texas.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* MLB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Detroit Tigers +150

Pablo Lopez and the Minnesota Twins are getting way too much respect as this big of road favorites over the Detroit Tigers tonight.  The Twins are missing several key players in their lineup right now that is going to hamper them moving forward.

Lopez has allowed 5 earned runs or more in four of his last 10 starts.  Lopez allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-2 loss to the Tigers in his lone start against them this season.

The Tigers are 6-3 in their last nine games overall and trying to make their way back into the playoff discussion.  The Twins are a team they are trailing, so this is a huge series for them and I expect them to take Game 1 in upset fashion.  Bet the Tigers Friday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-127)

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping the first two games of this series to the Miami Marlins in upset fashion.  This has been the toughest team to sweep in all of baseball over the last two seasons with tremendous resiliency.

The Orioles will bounce back with a blowout victory today due to their massive advantage on the mound.  Ace Corbin Burnes is 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Burnes is 3-0 with a 0.45 ERA in his last three starts against Miami, allowing just one earned run and 13 base runners in 20 innings.

The Orioles will get their bats going against Roddery Munoz, who is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  He has already allowed 15 homers and 29 walks in 56 innings.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -115

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 23 starts for Boston in 2022 and 14-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 24 starts for San Diego in 2023.  He has proven to be an excellent addition to this Kansas City rotation in 2024 as well.

Indeed, Wacha is 7-6 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Wacha has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine consecutive starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of those.

Ryne Nelson is 16-15 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in his three seasons in the big leagues.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 7-6 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 16 starts for the Diamondbacks in 2024.  Bet the Royals Wednesday.

25* Interleague GAME OF THE YEAR on Baltimore Orioles -126

The Baltimore Orioles are highly motivated for a victory tonight after dropping two in a row coming in.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Marlins are scoring 3.5 runs per game, plus the Orioles have a big advantage on the mound tonight in my opinion.

The reason the Orioles are such a short favorite is because Chayce McDermott will be making his MLB debut.  But McDermott is ready for the show as Baltimore's #6 ranked prospect.  He had a 3.10 ERA while striking out nearly 31% of batters he faced at two levels in the minors last year.  He has a 3.96 ERA in 20 starts this season at Triple-A Norfolk, striking out nearly one-third of opponents and his 129 strikeouts leads all Triple-A pitchers.

Edward Cabrera is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 20 walks in 33 innings.  The Orioles will hang a big number on him today to lead the way and provide McDermott with plenty of run support.  Bet the Orioles Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Marlins OVER 8

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  They are capable of covering this total on their own tonight and I expect them to do the heavy lifting.  But the Marlins should chip in as well up against Chayce McDermott, who will be making his MLB debut for the Orioles.

Edward Cabrera is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 20 walks in 33 innings.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those nine.  The OVER is 4-1 in Orioles last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in four of the five.  The OVER is 7-3 in Marlins last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Astros/A's UNDER 8.5

Both Hunter Brown and JP Sears are two of the more underrated starters in baseball.  They should each have success tonight holding these lineups in check in pitcher-friendly Alameda County Coliseum Wednesday afternoon.

Brown got off to a rough start this season but has been dominant since.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts, including zero earned runs four times.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts.  Brown has allowed just 4 earned runs and 15 base runners in 18 innings in his last three starts against Oakland.

JP Sears has allowed just 3 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings with 18 K's in his last three starts.  Sears has allowed just 3 earned runs and 16 base runners in 17 innings in his last three starts against Houston.  The UNDER is 3-0 in Brown's last three starts against Oakland.  The UNDER is 3-0 in Sears' last three starts against Houston.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Astros/A's OVER 8.5

The forecast looks good for a slug fest tonight in Oakland with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in 19 of their last 27 games overall.  The A's have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 16 games overall.

Jake Bloss is 0-0 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in two starts for the Astros in his rookie season.  Osvaldo Bido will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the A's.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 12-11 loss to Texas in his first start.  Bido is 3-6 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 69 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Both offenses should have their way against these two gas cans.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Royals OVER 9.5

The Kansas City Royals are surging right now winning their first four games out of the All-Star Break to improve to 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in nine of those 10 games, including 6 runs or more seven times.

The Royals should stay hot at the plate tonight against one of the worst starters in baseball in Jordan Montgomery.  The left-hander is 6-5 in spite of a 6.44 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 13 starts this season with just 45 K's in 65 2/3 innings.

Alec Marsh is the weak link in this Kansas City rotation.  He is 7-6 with a 4.52 ERA in 17 starts this season.  Marsh has allowed 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 2/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  Both offenses should have plenty of success to combine for 10 or more runs tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+115)

Paul Skenes has exceeded the massive hype of being baseball's top prospect.  He is 6-0 with a 1.90 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 89 K's in 66 1/3 innings.  The Pirates have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.

The Pirates are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall led by an offense that has scored at least 4 runs in five of their last seven games, including 8 runs or more in four of those 11.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight against Lance Lynn.

Lynn is 5-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  After a great start to the year, he has faded once the weather has gotten hotter just as he does every year.  Lynn has allowed 25 earned runs in 35 innings in his last seven starts coming in.

Lynn does not enjoy facing the Pirates, allowing 16 earned runs in 9 innings in his last three starts against them for a 16.00 ERA.  Skenes fired 6 1/3 shutout innings with 8 K's in his lone start against the Cardinals this season.  Bet the Pirates on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Astros/A's OVER 8.5

The forecast looks great for a slug fest between the Astros and A's tonight with temps in the 80's and 8 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in 19 of their last 26 games overall.  The A's have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 15 games overall.

Spencer Arrighetti has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 4-7 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 17 starts.  Arrighetti has allowed 5 earned runs and 15 base runners in 10 innings in two starts against the A's this season.

Hogan Harris is 4-9 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 110 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues for the A's.  He is 1-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 47 2/3 innings this season.  Both lineups are hot and both should get 4-plus runs tonight to top this 8.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Twins OVER 8

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Minnesota tonight.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Phillies scoring 5.0 runs per game and the Twins 4.9 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Regression has hit Ranger Suarez very hard in the 2nd half of the season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs, 3 homers and 29 base runners in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts.

Bailey Ober is having a solid season for the Twins but he has faced the White Sox, Tigers, Mariners and the A's twice in his last five starts.  This is a big step up in class for him tonight.  Ober has had a problem giving up the long ball allowing 16 homers in 18 starts this season.  I expect the Phillies to take him deep a couple times.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Royals UNDER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks went UNDER the total in their first three games back from the All-Star Break with 7, 3 and 3 combined runs.  The Kansas City Royals went UNDER the total in their first three games back from the All-Star Break with 8, 7 and 5 combined runs.  This trend should continue with these two starting pitchers going tonight.

Cole Ragans is 6-6 with a 3.16 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 20 starts for the Royals this season with 141 K's in 116 2/3 innings.  Ragans has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts.

Rookie Yilber Diaz was great in the minors and it has carried over into the majors.  He is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing just 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 12 innings.  Diaz had 105 K's in 76 innings with only 7 homers allowed in the minors this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game and the Rangers are scoring 4.3 runs per game this season.  This is a pretty low total for these two offenses to try and top today, and I think this thing sails OVER 8.5 combined runs.

Dean Kremer is 4-5 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 12 starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 1/3 innings in his last five starts.  He has allowed 11 homers in his last 10 starts.  Kremer has allowed 14 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas.

Andrew Heaney is 3-10 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 18 starts for the Rangers this season.  He has allowed 14 homers in those 18 starts this season.  The Orioles should get to him today.

The Orioles and Rangers have combined for at least 8 runs in seven of their last eight meetings, including 10 or more runs in four straight meetings and six of those eight. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado Rockies +157

The San Francisco Giants have no business being this big of a road favorite over the Colorado Rockies tonight.  Logan Webb is their ace, but he has not been good on the road throughout his career, and that is the case again this season.

Webb allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings to the Blue Jays in his last start prior to the All-Star Break.  He is 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.

Kyle Freeland has been dominant since returning from injury in late-June.  Freeland has allowed just 5 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his four starts since returning despite pitching twice at home inside hitter-friendly Coors Field.  Freeland has allowed just 4 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Giants as well.  Bet the Rockies Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Rangers OVER 7.5

The Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game and the Rangers are scoring 4.3 runs per game this season.  This is a pretty low total for these two offenses to try and top tonight, and I think this thing sails OVER 7.5 combined runs.

Grayson Rodriquez has allowed 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five starts for the Orioles.  Rodriquez has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.

Max Scherzer is far from returning to form.  He has allowed 5 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  Scherzer has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rangers.  

The Orioles and Rangers have combined for at least 8 runs in six of their last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +148

Luis Ortiz is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 4-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 66 2/3 innings this season.  Ortiz has allowed just 3 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  He held the Phillies to just one earned run in 5 innings in his lone career start against them, winning as a +231 road underdog.

Cristopher Sanchez struggled in his final two starts prior to the All-Star Break.  He allowed 9 earned runs and 16 base runners in 10 innings in those two starts.  He is getting too much respect here as this big of a road favorite over Ortiz and Pittsburgh.  

The Pirates are 7-1 in their last eight games overall while scoring at least 6 runs five times.  Bet the Pirates Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Tampa Bay Rays +140

The Rays should not be this big of underdogs to the Yankees today given the two starting pitchers going.  Taj Bradley is undervalued while Nestor Cortes is overvalued.

Bradley has allowed just 4 earned runs in 30 innings with 35 K's in his last five starts.  Bradley allowed just one earned run in 6 innings with 7 K's in his lone career start against the Yankees, which came earlier this season.

Nestor Cortes has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Cortes has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays, both of which have come this season.  Bet the Rays Saturday.

15* AL Friday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+105)

The Kansas City Royals are right in the thick of the AL wild card race coming out of the All-Star Break with a lot to play for.  The Chicago White Sox have the worst record in baseball at 27-71 and will find it hard to be motivated the rest of the way.

Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He went 11-2 with a 3.32 ERA in 2022 for the Red Sox, 14-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 2023 for the Padres, and he is 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA in 16 starts for the Royals in 2024.  Wacha has allowed just 2 earned runs and 13 base runners in 20 innings in his last three starts against the White Sox.

Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-8 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 18 starts for the White Sox this season.  Flexen has already allowed 16 homers in 97 innings with only 71 K's this season.  The Royals have big advantages on the mound and at the plate today that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Friday.

15* NL Friday Night BLOWOUT on New York Mets -124

The New York Mets are 25-11 in their last 36 games overall to get to 49-46 on the season and squarely in the hunt for a wild card spot.  They now come out of the All-Star Break highly motivated, and they have a big advantage on the mound today over the hapless Miami Marlins (33-63).

This play is as much a fade of Miami's Edward Cabrera as anything.  Cabrera is 1-3 with an 8.26 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 8 homers in 28 1/3 innings.  He has allowed 22 earned runs and 8 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.

Sean Manaea is likely to get the start for the Mets.  He is 6-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts this season with 96 K's in 96 1/3 innings.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 25 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the Mets Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Nationals OVER 8.5

Two gas can starting pitchers go for the Reds and Nationals today in what should be a slug fest.  That has been the case in this head-to-head series as the Nationals and Reds have combined for at least 9 runs in nine consecutive meetings, making for a 9-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8.5-run total.

Patrick Corbin has been arguably the worst starter in baseball for the last handful of years.  Corbin is 1-9 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 19 starts for the Nationals this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 7 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Reds.

Frankie Montas is 4-7 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 17 starts for the Reds this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Pirates OVER 8

The Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and capable of covering this total on their own, especially since they are almost fully healthy offensively coming out of the All-Star Break.  But the Pirates are hot at the plate and will chip in as they have scored a total of 40 runs in their last eight games for an average of 5.0 runs per game.

Martin Perez is 1-5 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 14 starts for the Pirates this season.  He has already allowed 11 homers in 73 1/3 innings.  Perez has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Aaron Nola is having a solid season, but he has allowed 17 homers in 19 starts this season.  He has allowed 4 homers in his last three starts.  Nola has allowed 8 runs, 6 earned, 2 homers, and 16 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Pirates.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +105

The Chicago Cubs should not be home underdogs to the Arizona Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series Friday afternoon.  They have a big advantage on the mound, and they went into the All-Star Break with momentum winning six of their final eight games to get back into the wild card discussion.

Justin Steele is 2-3 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 14 starts for the Cubs this season.  He has been absolutely dominant since coming back from injury early in the season.  Steele has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts.

Ryne Nelson is one of the worst starters in baseball and should not be getting this much respect.  Nelson is 6-6 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 15 starts thsi season with just 59 K's in 86 2/3 innings.  Bet the Cubs Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (-133)

The Pittsburgh Pirates are surging heading into the All-Star Break to play their way back into wild card contention. They have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall while outscoring the opposition 31-7 in the five wins.

The Chicago White Sox just want to get to the All-Star Break. They have the worst record in baseball at 27-70 while losing six of their last seven games overall.

Mitch Keller is 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 18 starts for the Pirates this season. Keller has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, including one earned run or fewer six times.

Jared Shuster will be making his his 2nd start of the season for the White Sox. He is no more than an opener, and the Pirates should blast this awful Chicago bullpen. Bet the Pirates on the Run Line Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-105)

The New York Mets have won 5 consecutive games to improve to 21-8 in their last 29 games overall.  They have played their way back into the wild card race and want to go into the All-Star Break on a 6-game winning streak.

The Mets have scored at least 6 runs in 5 consecutive games. They should stay hot against Colorado's German Marquez, who will be making his first start back from injury since April 26, 2023.

Jose Quintana has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. He is 4-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 18 starts. Quintana has been dominant in his last five starts, going 3-0 with a 0.89 ERA while allowing just 3 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings. The Rockies are 13-36 on the road this season. Bet the Mets on the Run Line Sunday.

20* Yankees/Orioles AL East No-Brainer on Baltimore -112

The Baltimore Orioles have lost five consecutive games for the first time this season. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday to end this skid going into the All-Star Break and to avoid the sweep at the hands of the hated Yankees.

The Orioles will get their bats going against Carlos Rodon, who has allowed 27 earned runs and 8 homers in 23 innings over his last fife starts. He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season.

Dean Kremer is 4-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 11 starts for the Orioles this season. He is making his 3rd start back from injury here today and should be back to close to full strength. Kremer has allowed 6 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees. Bet the Orioles Sunday.

15* Braves/Padres NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

The Atlanta Braves are heating up at the plate scoring at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.  The OVER is 14-4-1 in Padres last 19 games overall.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of those 19 games.

Reynaldo Lopez is due some regression for the Braves and it should hit him moving forward.  Dylan Cease is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in nine of his last 11 starts.  He has allowed a total of 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 innings in his last five starts.  He allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 12 base runners in 4 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Braves in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Astros OVER 8.5

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 12 of their last 13 meetings.  That makes for a 12-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8.5-run total, which is too low tonight given how hot both these offenses are right now up against these two starting pitchers.

The OVER is 10-4 in Astros last 14 games overall.  The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 20 games overall. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Rangers last five games overall.  The Rangers have scored a total of 32 runs in those five games.

Spencer Arrighetti is 4-7 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 16 starts for the Astros this season.  He'll be opposed by Nathan Eovaldi, who is having a good season but doesn't enjoy facing the Astros.  He allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 6 innings in his lone start against Houston this season.   Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. 

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +118

The Kansas City Royals are red hot at the plate right now.  They have scored a total of 30 runs in their last four games while going 4-0.  They should provide Seth Lugo with plenty of run support today to get the upset win as an underdog.

Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 11-3 with a 2.21 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Lugo has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts and a total of 6 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings during this stretch.

Kutter Crawford is having a solid season for the Red Sox as well, but he is 14-22 with a 4.24 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  And Crawford does not enjoy facing the Royals, going 0-2 with an 8.64 ERA in two career starts against them while allowing 8 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 8 1/3 innings.  Bet the Royals Saturday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -140

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound over the Miami Marlins today and should be bigger favorites as a result.  They are 46-49 on the season and climbing their way back into the wild card race.  The Marlins are 32-62 and just ready for the All-Star Break to get here.

Andrew Abbott is 9-6 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 18 starts for the Reds this season.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 16 of those 18 starts, and 2 earned runs or fewer in four straight.

Edward Cabrera is 1-2 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the Reds Saturday.

15* Cubs/Cardinals NL Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 (Game 1)

Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to center this afternoon in St. Louis.  Both of these offenses are hot and should stay hot with this forecast up against these two starting pitchers.

The Cubs have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games, while the Cardinals have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last seven games.  I expect both teams to get 4-plus runs today.

Hayden Wesneski has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Cubs.  Lance Lynn allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 2/3 innings to the Nationals in his last start.  Lynn has allowed 14 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals OVER 8

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left tonight in St. Louis.  Both of these offenses are hot and should stay hot with this forecast up against these two starting pitchers.

The Cubs have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games overall.  The Cardinals have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games and 5 runs or more five times.

Kyle Hendricks has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 1-7 with a 7.53 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 11 starts while allowing 53 earned runs and 13 homers in 63 1/3 innings.

Sonny Gray is coming off two of his worst starts of the season.  He has allowed 15 runs, 11 earned and 17 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rangers/Astros OVER 8

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 11 of their last 12 meetings.  That makes for an 11-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total, which is too low tonight given how hot both these offenses are right now up against these two starting pitchers.

The OVER is 9-4 in Astros last 13 games overall.  The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 19 games overall. The OVER is 3-0-1 in Rangers last four games overall.  The Rangers have scored a total of 29 runs in those four games.

Hunter Brown is 6-6 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 17 starts and one relief appearance for the Astros this season.  Brown allowed 7 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 innings to the Twins in his last start.

Andrew Heaney is 3-9 with a 3.80 ERA in 17 starts and one relief appearance this season for the Rangers.  Heaney has allowed 11 earned runs in 8 innings in his last three starts against the Astros.  Brown has allowed 8 earned runs and 22 base runners in 7 innings in his last two starts against Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on New York Mets -1.5 (-115)

The New York Mets are 19-8 in their last 27 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more.  They have gotten to 47-45 on the season and back in the wild card race.  They will be motivated to finish strong hosting the Colorado Rockies in their final series before the All-Star Break.  The Rockies are just 13-34 on the road this season.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Sean Manaea is 5-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 17 starts for the Mets this season.  He has allowed just 5 earned runs in 28 2/3 innings in his last five starts.

Rookie Tanner Gordon will be making just his 2nd career start today.  Gordon allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 1/3 innings to the Royals in a 10-1 loss in his first start this season.  It won't go much better for him today against a hot Mets lineup.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Friday.

15* Royals/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Royals and Red Sox tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to center field at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

Both offenses are hot and should stay hot given the forecast.  The Royals have scored a total of 24 runs in their last three games for an average of 8.0 runs per game.  The Red Sox have scored a total of 21 runs in their last three games for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  The Red Sox have scored at least 4 runs in 17 of their last 21 games overall.

Cole Ragans has given up 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 14 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts for the Royals.  The Red Sox are likely to make this a bullpen game and will be very vulnerable on the mound.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Yankees/Orioles AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

These are two of the best offenses in baseball with the Orioles and Yankees both scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Orioles and Yankees combined for 22 and 13 runs in the final two games of their series on late-June.  It should be more of the same tonight.

Gerrit Cole clearly isn't right yet as he works his way back from injury.  Cole is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in four starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 1/3 innings.

Cade Povich is one of the worst starters in baseball for the Orioles.  He is 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 27 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet he OVER in this game Friday.

15* Braves/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The OVER is 8-0-1 in Diamondbacks last nine games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all nine games, and 9 or more combined runs in eight of them.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Braves have scored at least 5 runs in six consecutive games.

Max Fried is coming off one of his worst starts of the season allowing 5 earned runs, 12 base runners and 2 homers in 6 innings to the Phillies.  Fried allowed 7 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Diamondbacks this season.

Brandon Pfaadt is 3-6 with a 4.19 ERA in 18 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He has allowed 36 homers in 36 starts over the last two seasons.  Pfaadt allowed 5 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Braves this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Giants OVER 7.5

The Blue Jays and Giants combined for 16 runs yesterday even with two good starters going in Bassitt and Webb.  The OVER is 12-4 in Blue Jays last 16 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 16 of their last 19 games, making for a 16-3 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 7.5-run total.  The Giants have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

Both lineups should feast on these starting pitchers today.  Kevin Gausman is 6-8 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 18 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  Gausman has allowed 19 earned runs and 6 homers in 27 1/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  

Jordan Hicks has allowed at least 3 earned runs  four of his last five starts.  He has allowed 11 earned runs, 26 base runners and 3 homers in 14 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 3 innings in his lone career start against Toronto.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh Pirates -114

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the Milwaukee Brewers today that should have them listed as bigger favorites.  They have also scored 20 runs in their last 3 games and should give their rookie star plenty of support.

Paul Skenes has actually managed to exceed the hype of being baseball's top prospect.  He is 5-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts this season with 78 K's in 59 1/3 innings.

Aaron Civale has been a gas can this season.  He is 2-6 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 18 starts.  He has allowed 53 earned runs and 19 homers in 92 innings this season.  Civale has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Pittsburgh.  Bet the Pirates Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Reds OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rockies and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to center at game time.  Great American Ball Park is already one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.

The Rockies and Reds have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last nine meetings.  They combined for 18 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.

Kyle Freeland is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in seven starts for the Rockies this season.  He'll be opposed by Frankie Montas, who is 4-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 16 starts for the Reds this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Mets OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Mets.  It will be 80 degrees with 20 MPH winds blowing out to center at game time.

The OVER is 5-1-2 in the last eight meetings between the Mets and Nationals with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  They just combined for 12 runs yesterday, and it should be more of the same today.

Patrick Corbin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-8 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  Corbin has allowed 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against New York.

Luis Severino has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 innings in his last two starts coming in.  The OVER is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Dodgers/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be approaching 90 with 16 MPH winds blowing out to center at game time.

The Dodgers and Phillies have combined for at least 9 runs in seven consecutive meetings.  That includes the 11 runs they combined for in Game 1 yesterday.  Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber recently returned from injury as the Phillies are back to full strength offensively.  Both offenses are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.

Gavin Stone finally got a dose of reality in his last start allowing 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 innings of a 12-4 loss to the Diamondbacks.  Stone allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his lone career start against Philadelphia.

Christopher Sanchez allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 10-2 loss to the Cubs in his last start.  Given the forecast, I expect both of these young starters to get rocked tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Yankees/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The OVER is 12-3-2 in Yankees last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 17 games.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  They should easily combine with the Rays to top this 8-run total tonight with these two starting pitchers on the mound.

Regression has hit Marcus Stroman hard here recently.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts.  Stroman has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Tampa Bay.

Zach Eflin is 5-5 with a 4.19 ERA in 16 starts for the Rays this season.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Royals in his last start coming in, and I expect the Yankees to get to him tonight as well.  

The Yankees and Rays have combined for at least 8 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Mariners/Padres Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The San Diego Padres have scored 5 runs or more in 12 of their last 18 games and are absolutely raking at the plate right now.  The OVER is 14-2-1 in Padres last 17 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 13 of those 17 games.  That includes the 11 combined runs with the Mariners last night and it should be more of the same tonight.

Bryce Miller has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts for the Mariners.  While Michael King is having a great season in his first full season as a starter, he will wear down with each passing start and get less effective since he's not used to this kind of workload.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.