20* UMass/Miami MAC No-Brainer on UMass +8

Miami Ohio just completed a 31-0 regular season with yet another one-possession win.  Their last three wins have all come by exactly 2 points, and they are the 8th-luckiest team in the country according to KenPom's luck metric.  They have 13 wins by single-digits this season.

I think this is where the Redhawks take a breather.  They will be in the NCAA Tournament no matter what happens in the MAC Tournament.  And they won't be nearly as motivated as they were to go undefeated in the regular season.

UMass ranks 320th in KenPom's luck metric.  The Minutemen are 16-15 this season with 13 of those losses coming by single-digits.  They have been a tough luck loser all season, including in their two meetings with Miami Ohio this season.

UMass only lost 86-84 at Miami Ohio and 86-77 at home against the Redhawks.  I think they can take them to the wire again in this 3rd meeting and possibly pull off the upset to advance in the MAC Tournament.  They are a legit sleeper to win it all.  Bet UMass Thursday. 

15* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 19-9 SU & 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 8th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 120-106 loss to the Lakers last night.  It's a Timberwolves team that has been burning bettors' money going 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.

The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Timberwolves so they clearly match up with them well.  And this will be their 4th meeting, the first two of which the Clippers did not have Garland and Mathurin who they traded for prior to the deadline.  They also didn't have Kawhi in the last meeting.  The spot really favors Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

20* Wake Forest/Clemson ACC No-Brainer on Clemson -6

Clemson has a big rest advantage over Wake Forest tonight.  The Demon Deacons needed OT to beat Virginia Tech 95-89 yesterday.  Meanwhile, the Tigers earned a bye into the 2nd round and will be the much fresher team tonight.  They will also have a ton of fans in attendance with this game being played in Charlotte, NC only 2 hours from campus.

Juke Harris played 44 minutes , Myles Colvin 36 minutes and Sebastian Akins 32 minutes for the Demon Deacons yesterday.  Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG) is on a minutes limit due to coming back from injury for the ACC Tournament and only played 14 minutes yesterday.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Wake Forest.  The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  Bet Clemson Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Knicks/Jazz OVER 229.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 3rd in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season.  They have gone for at least 230 combined points with their opponents in seven of their last 10 games overall.  This total of 229.5 is very short for a game involving the Jazz.

The New York Knicks rank 3rd in offensive rating this season and will hang a big number on the Jazz today to pave the way in us cashing this OVER 229.5 ticket.  The Knicks went for 245 combined points with the Nuggets and 244 combined points with the Clippers in two of their first three games on this 5-game road trip.

The Knicks beat the Jazz 146-112 for 258 combined points in their first meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

The Toronto Raptors are 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their two wins came against the tanking Wizards and Mavericks.  The Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-99 loss at Houston last night.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have no incentive to tank because they don't have their first-round pick this year.  Their three losses all came on the road to the Clippers, Lakers and Suns during this 9-game stretch.  Five of their six wins have come by double-digits.

The Pelicans are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest last playing on Sunday.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with each of their top eight scorers all available tonight.  That includes Dejounte Murray, who is gaining confidence with each game playing in 6 games this season for the Pelicans after they traded for him in the offseason.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.

15* BYU/West Virginia Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on West Virginia +4.5

BYU will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 105-91 shootout win over Kansas State yesterday.  Dybansta played 37 minutes and Davis 36 yesterday, while Keba Keita battled through an ankle injury that leaves his status in question.  They were already without Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) and aren't equipped to handle this Big 12 Tournament playing multiple days in a row.

West Virginia earned a bye into the 2nd round and has the advantage of rest.  They also have the advantage of recently beating BYU 79-71 as 3.5-point home dogs on February 28th less than two weeks ago, so they will be prepared to beat this tired team again.  Dybansta and Wright combined for 43 points in that game and they still lost by 8.  Bet West Virginia Wednesday.

15* Cal/Florida State ACC ANNIHILATOR on Florida State -3.5

Florida State is a legit sleeper to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  The Seminoles have been undervalued for a few months now going 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They have gone 9-2 SU in their last 11 games with road wins over Virginia Tech by 23 and Clemson by 5, as well as a home win over SMU by 13.

First-year head coach Luke Loucks has the Seminoles improving rapidly and ready to make a run.  I like their chances of beating California, which suffered a crucial loss at Wake Forest and at home to Pitt in its lsat three games that put the Golden Bears on the outside looking in in terms of making the ACC Tournament.

Florida State beat Cal 63-61 in their lone meeting this season.  FSU won that game despite shooting just 36.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point range.  The Seminoles have been on fire offensively since that game, and they are certainly due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet Florida State Wednesday.

15* Northwestern/Indiana Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern +6.5

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 346th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 14-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Northwestern has gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games with wins over Maryland, Indiana, Oregon and Penn State, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern made easy work of Penn State in a 76-66 victory yesterday.  I think the Wildcats will still be relatively fresh, and fresh enough to hang with Indiana, which has cratered here down the stretch and has no business being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

Indiana is 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone win coming at home against Minnesota.  Four of the losses came by 13 points or more.  They also lost to Northwestern 72-68 as 9.5-point home favorites, and the Wildcats will give them another run for their money in the rematch.  This is essentially a home game for the Wildcats being played in Chicago as well.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* Xavier/Marquette Big East ANNIHILATOR on Marquette -3.5

Marquette was a tough luck loser all season.  The Golden Eagles ranked 360th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 12-19 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big East.

Marquette comes into the Big East Tournament with a ton of momentum after upsetting UConn 68-62 as 9.5-point dogs in the regular season finale to deny the Huskies a Big East title.  That followed up a 78-56 win at Providence with suffocating defense.  The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and a legit sleeper to win this tournament.

Xavier is 3-10 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Musketeers are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games.  Their best player in Tre Carroll (18.0 PPG) is questionable for the Big East Tournament after sitting out last game.  I like Marquette even if he plays tonight.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE WEEK on Liberty -5.5

Liberty has had the C-USA regular season title locked up for a couple weeks now.  Not surprisingly, the Flames have struggled to find motivation down the stretch as a result.  They have gone 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  I throw all six games out.

Now it's time to 'buy low' on a Liberty team that has been the class of C-USA all season.  We are getting the Flames as only 5.5-point favorites because they struggled ATS down the stretch.  But they'll be locked in and focused now with a trip to the NCAA Tournament at stake.

The Flames have the rest advantage here getting a bye into the quarterfinals.  Meanwhile, Missouri State was in a 75-72 dog fight with Florida International yesterday.  Four starters played at least 34 minutes for the Bears yesterday, and I question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Flames tonight.  Bet Liberty Wednesday.

15* MWC Total DOMINATOR on Wyoming/UNLV OVER 153

UNLV is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Rebels have gone 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 157 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 games.  This total of 153 is very short for a game involving UNLV right now.

Wyoming closed the season going OVER the total in its final two games combining for 156 points with Nevada and 166 points with San Jose State.  Those are two teams that play at very slow tempos.  That's not UNLV, which ranks 48th in adjusted tempo this season.

Wyoming beat UNLV 98-66 for 164 combined points in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch as this total of 153 has been set way too low.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* SEC Total DOMINATOR on Mississippi State/Auburn OVER 158.5

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team as along as Keyshawn Hall (20.4 PPG) is playing.  He has played in the last six games and Auburn is 5-1 OVER in those six games.  Auburn and its opponents have combined for at least 160 points in eight of its last nine games overall, so this total of 158.5 is very short for a game involving the Tigers.

Mississippi State is an OVER team as long as Hubbard (22.1 PPG) and Epps (13.7 PPG) are healthy.  They are right now and the Bulldogs are 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall.  They have gone for 168 or more combined points in six of those seven games, so this total of 158.5 is short for a game involving the Bulldogs right now as well.

Mississippi State beat Auburn 91-85 for 176 combined points in their most recent meeting on February 18th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and sail OVER this 158.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* USC/Washington Big Ten No-Brainer on Washington -4.5

USC has gone in the tank and is just ready for this season to be over.  The Trojans lost Rodney Rice (20.3 PPG) early in the season, and then Chad Baker-Mazara (18.5 PPG) left the team in the last few weeks.  They simply cannot hang in the Big Ten without these guys.

The Trojans enter the Big Ten Tournament on a 7-game losing streak.  They have gone 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall losing by 36 at home to Illinois, by 19 at UCLA, by 15 at home to Nebraska, by 19 at Washington and by 21 at home to UCLA.  They haven't even been competitive.

Now USC has to face that same Washington team that they just lost by 19 to on March 4th a week ago today.  It's a Washington team that is much superior here and it will show in the Big Ten Tournament as they enter it very healthy.  Bet Washington Wednesday.

15* SMU/Louisville ACC ANNIHILATOR on SMU +7

SMU is squarely on the bubble and needs to win a few games in this ACC Tournament to get in the Big Dance.  The Mustangs handled their business yesterday with a 86-69 win over Syracuse, and a win over Louisville today would go a long way to get them in.

It's a Louisville team that will be without Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) for the ACC Tournament.  Brown had 20 points in a 88-74 win over SMU in their first meeting and 29 points in a 95-85 loss to SMU in their 2nd meeting.  Not having to face Brown in the 3rd meeting here and losing all that production will make all the difference.  Bet SMU Wednesday.

20* Oklahoma State/Colorado Big 12 No-Brainer on Colorado ML -115

The Colorado Buffaloes went 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS in their final 10 games of the season.  They gave Arizona all they could handle and took BYU to OT in losses, and they handled their business against the bottom of the Big 12.

The Buffaloes beat Utah by 14, K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26 during this closing stretch.  That 83-69 win over Oklahoma State came just two weeks ago on February 21st.  And I think it will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

The Cowboys no longer have big man Parsa Fallah (14.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG), who is out with a season-ending injury.  Fallah had 14 points in that 14-point loss to Colorado.  The Cowboys will get absolutely owned on the boards without him.

Oklahoma State is 2-7 SU & 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall and has really missed Fallah down the stretch.  Both wins came in OT against WVU and UCF as well, so they are very close to being 0-9 over this stretch.  The Buffaloes should be favored by more tonight.  Bet Colorado on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* Santa Clara/Gonzaga ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Santa Clara +7.5

Santa Clara went 2-1 in three meetings with St. Mary's this season including an upset win last night.  The Broncos are the real deal and fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives.  They want to earn their ticket with a WCC Tournament title.

They will be out for revenge after going 0-2 against Gonzaga in the regular season losing by 12 on the road and by 8 at home.  I like their chances of getting their revenge or at the very least staying within this 7.5-point spread.  Gonzaga being without Braden Huff (17.8 PPG) really hurts.

The Bulldogs were unimpressive in their 65-56 win as 20.5-point favorites against Oregon State yesterday.  Graham Ike had 24 points and no other Bulldogs scored in double figures.  And that's my problem with this team is they rely so much on Ike, and the supporting pieces just aren't that good as this is one of the worst sets of guards in the Mark Few era.

Santa Clara is a deep, balanced team with nine players playing double-digit minutes for them last night.  They got 38 points from their bench last night alone against St. Mary's.  And that depth will pay off here playing their 3rd game in 3 days, which they are built to handle.  Bet Santa Clara Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors +5.5

The Toronto Raptors have actually played their best basketball on the road this season.  They are 19-11 SU & 17-13 ATS on the highway, including 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four.  They are primed for a big effort tonight because they are so rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.

The Houston Rockets are a tired team playing their 4th game in 6 days with another game on deck against Denver in altitude tomorrow.  I think they will monitor minutes for their starters tonight knowing they have that big game against Denver tomorrow.

The Rockets are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They lost by 10 in Miami as 2.5-point favorites, lost outright as 9.5-point home favorites to the Warriors, and lost by 25 in San Antonio.  They only beat Washington by 5 as 14.5-point favorites and Portland by 7 as 6.5-point favorites for their lone cover, which came by 0.5 points.  They are one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA.  Bet the Raptors Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Hawks -9.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All six wins have come by 9 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee, a 34-point home win over Portland and a 9-point home win over Philadelphia in their last three.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East.  They are just 2.5 games back of the 6th place Magic with a shot to win the Southeast Division.

The Hawks are also extremely rested.  They have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 9 days tonight.  They are primed for another big effort to keep this run going.

Now they get to face the tanking Mavericks, who are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall with six of those seven losses coming by 9 points or more.  They lost by 30 at Toronto, by 20 at Boston and by 27 at Charlotte in three of their last four road games.  They are 2-17 SU & 7-12 ATS in their last 19 games with both wins coming against tanking teams in the Pacers and Nets.  Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern -6

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 354th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 13-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Penn State is the worst team in the Big Ten.  The Nittany Lions went 3-17 in conference play this season.  They went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their final six games with losses by 12 to Rutgers, by 32 to Ohio State, by 23 to Nebraska, by 13 to Rutgers and by 11 to Oregon.

Northwestern went 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in its final five games with wins over Maryland, Indiana and Oregon, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern crushed Penn State 94-73 as 7.5-point favorites in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.  The Big Ten Tournament is played at the United Center in Chicago, so the Wildcats will have a big home-court advantage here with a good following for the short trip to Chicago for fans.  Bet Northwestern Tuesday.

15* Knicks/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +2.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 18-9 SU & 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 9th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Knicks were losing 110-97 to the Lakers on Sunday.  They'll now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight as Brunson played 42 minutes, Onunoby 38 and Towns 34 yesterday.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on UNDER 232.5

The Nuggets and Thunder have combined for 232 or fewer points at the end of regulation in seven consecutive meetings.  That makes for a 7-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 232.5-point total.  They went for 214, 232, 218, 226, 217, 179 and 204 combined points at the end of regulation in their last seven meetings, respectively.

Of course, I took one of my worst beats of the NBA season when I had the UNDER 234.5 in their most recent meeting on February 27th less than two weeks ago.  That game was tied 107-107 at the end of regulation for 214 combined points.  I'll bank on it not going to OT again in the rematch today and for this game to stay well UNDER this 232.5-point total as a result.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Georgia Southern/Troy OVER 149.5

Georgia Southern is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 35th in adjusted tempo, 143rd in adjusted offense and 311th in adjusted defense.  They really have had 3-point variance go their way by shooting a ton of them in this Sun Belt Tournament.  They rank 19th in the country attempting 3-pointers on 48.7% of their possessions.

The Eagles have gone for 157 or more combined points in each of their last six games.  They went for 181 with Marchall, 172 with ODU, 157 with Arkansas State, 179 with South Alabama, 168 with Coastal Carolina and 160 with Marshall.  This total of 149.5 is very low for a game involving Georgia Southern.

Troy beat Georgia Southern 83-78 for 161 combined points in their lone regular season meeting this season.  Neither team lit it up from 3 as Troy shot 36% and Georgia Southern 34.4% in that game.  This rematch in the Championship Game should sail OVER this 149.5-point total, especially since there will be no quit in the team that's down in the final minutes fouling to extend the game.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* North Dakota/North Dakota State Summit League ANNIHILATOR on North Dakota State -9.5

North Dakota State dominated North Dakota in both regular season meetings.  The Bison won 83-66 on the road and 96-63 at home.  It will be more of the same today in the Summit League Championship Game.

North Dakota will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after a 67-66 upset of St. Thomas yesterday.  They are getting too much respect for that win as St. Thomas gave it away by shooting 16.7% from 3.

North Dakota State had a day off and will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days.  They made easy work of both opponents beating Oral Roberts by 11 on Thursday and Omaha by 24 on Saturday.  They are the fresher team as well.  Bet North Dakota State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Pistons/Heat OVER 230

The Miami Heat rank 1st in the NBA in pace this season.  This total of 230 is very low for a game involving the Heat. They are coming off 248 combined points with the Hornets and 236 with the Nets coming into this one. They have gone for 236 or more combined points in five of their last seven games overall.

The Pistons get Cade Cunningham back today after he sat out yesterday against the Nets and they were lost offensively without him.  The Heat and Pistons went for 230 and 273 combined points in their two previous meetings this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Iowa/Nebraska Big Ten No-Brainer on Nebraska -5.5

Nebraska wants revenge from a 57-50 road loss at Iowa on February 17th.  The Huskers shot just 20.8% from 3-point range.  They will be much better at home today, where they are 14-2 this season.

Iowa is just 3-7 SU in true road games.  The Hawkeyes are coming off a tough loss to Michigan where they had a chance to tie it at the buzzer at home.  But that's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  Iowa's last three road games were ugly losing outright at Maryland as 10.5-point favorites, outright at Penn State as 9.5-point favorites and by 13 at Wisconsin.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Green Bay +3

Green Bay is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League.  This is just disrespectful getting the Phoenix as underdogs to Northern Kentucky today.

Green Bay won both regular season meetings with Northern Kentucky outright as underdogs.  It will be more of the same today as this team is locked in and ready to make a run in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Green Bay Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on East Carolina +10.5

Only the Top 10 teams in the AAC play in the conference tournament.  East Carolina sits in 11th place trailing 10th place Memphis by one game.  But ECU has the tiebreaker over Memphis, so a win today coupled with a loss by Memphis at Tulane would get the Pirates in the AAC Tournament.  They will be max motivated as a result.

Motivation is in question for UAB as they have already locked up the 4th seed in the AAC due to owning the tiebreaker over Charlotte.  They have nothing to play for.  UAB is 6-9 SU & 5-10 ATS at home this season and has huge home/road splits as one of the rare teams that has been much better on the road than at home.  In fact, the Blazers are 0-8 ATS in AAC home games this season. Bet East Carolina Sunday.

20* AAC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Temple/Tulsa OVER 152.5

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 19-9 OVER in all games this season including 9-3 OVER in home games.  The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 153 or more combined points in four of those five games.  This total of 152.5 is short for a game involving Tulsa.

Temple is 3-0 OVER i its last three games overall with 149 or more combined points in all three.  This will be their first meeting with Tulsa.  Neither team has much to play for, so this should play out like a pick up game in the final regular season game before both teams head to the AAC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte +17

South Florida has already wrapped up the AAC regular season title with its 96-89 road win at Memphis on Thursday.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Bulls now with nothing to play for, and they shouldn't be favored by 17 over a pesky Charlotte team as a result.

Charlotte still has a shot to improve its seeding in the AAC Tournament.  The 49ers have played six straight games decided by 12 points or less.  They have a knack for playing in close games all season.  They haven't lost by more than 12 points in 19 of their last 20 games.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado +14.5

This is the letdown spot for Arizona.  The Wildcats clinched the outright Big 12 regular season title with a home win over Iowa State last time out.  Head coach Tommy Lloyd called out the media for calling his team soft.  But I expect a very soft effort from the Wildcats today in this clear letdown spot.

Colorado is no pushover at home.  The Buffaloes are 13-4 SU at home this season.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 home games beating K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26.  This is their 'national championship' on Senior Day and we will get an inspired effort from the Buffaloes tonight.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina -1.5

The Sun Belt Tournament is staggered this season to give the top teams the biggest advantages.  The 1 and 2 seeds get a bye all the way to the semifinals, while the 3 and 4 seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals.

Coastal Carolina earned the 3rd seed with a big finish in the regular season.  The Chanticleers went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their final six games with their lone loss coming by 2 to James Madison.  They avenged that loss in the season finale and have been off since February 27th.

The Chanticleers have one of the best rest advantages I've ever seen heading into this quarterfinal matchup with Georgia Southern, which will be playing its 4th game in 4 days.  And all three games were absolute wars with a 88-84 win over ODU Wednesday, a 80-77 win over Arkansas State Thursday and a 94-85 win over South Alabama Friday.

The Eagles had to erase a double-digit deficit in the final 10 minutes to upset South Alabama Friday.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes.  They made a school-record 23-of-44 (52%) from 3-point range to pull off the upset.  I have to think they are due some shooting regression today, especially playing on such tired legs.  This is where their run ends, and getting the Chanticleers as basically a PK is an absolute gift tonight.  Bet Coastal Carolina Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 220

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 187 combined points with Dallas, 224 with Chicago and 203 with New York.  They are missing some firepower on offense with three of their top seven scorers out in Williams, Mitchell and Hartenstein.

But the Thunder are the best defensive team in the NBA, and they will shut down a Warriors team that is also missing a bunch of firepower.  Curry, Butler and Moody are out.  Porzingis and Melton are questionable.  That's five of their top six scorers.

The Warriors just went for 202 combined points with the Rockets at the end of regulation and 215 with the Clippers in their last two games coming into this one.  They are still a very good defensive team even without these guys and are having to hang their hats on defense right now to be competitive.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Oklahoma/Texas SEC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma +8

The Oklahoma Sooners were snake bitten by a ton of close losses to open SEC play.  They have finally started to get things to go their way and are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.

The Sooners have gone 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset Vanderbilt and LSU on the road, while also crushing Missouri by 16, Auburn by 12 and Georgia by 16 at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge against their biggest rivals in Texas.

Oklahoma lost 79-69 at home to Texas.  The Longhorns shot 60% from the field while the Sooners shot 41%.  They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

They now face a Texas team that is headed in the other direction.  The Longhorns are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They only beat LSU by 3 at home, lost by 11 at Georgia, lost by 13 at home to Florida and lost by 20 at Arkansas.  They have no business being an 8-point favorite tonight.  Home-court advantage has meant very little in this rivalry.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

15* Auburn/Alabama ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 176

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in adjusted tempo, 7th in average length of offensive possession, 3rd in adjusted offense and 64th in adjusted defense.  The Crimson Tide and their opponents have gone for 173 or more combined points in four of their last five games.

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 11th in adjusted offense and 116th in adjusted defense.  The Tigers are 18-12 OVER in all games this season.  They are coming off three straight OVERS.

Alabama beat Auburn 96-92 for 188 combined points in their first meeting this season on February 7th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and another absolute shootout in this rivalry.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on CS-Fullerton +6

CS-Fullerton has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight games overall with its only two losses coming to the top two teams in the Big West in UC-Irvine and Hawaii.  The Titans now have a shot at a at a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big West Tournament.

They are tied for 4th place with four other teams, trailing CS-Northridge by one game for 3rd place.  But they won the first meeting with CS-Northridge 86-79 at home, so they would own the tiebreaker over them with a season sweep today.

CS-Northridge is 2-2 but 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall and not playing well at all.  They only won by 2 over Long Beach State and by 2 over CS-Bakersfield, which are two of the three worst teams in the Big West.  They lost by 11 to UC-Riverside, the other bottom 3 team.  They have no business being 6-point favorites here as Fullerton is clearly playing the better basketball right now.  Bet CS-Fullerton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Providence +1.5

Providence wants revenge from a 81-78 home loss to Georgetown in their first meeting this season.  The Friars have been victims of close losses all season, but this is their chance to take out their frustration on the Hoyas.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  Providence is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and fully healthy, while Georgetown is 0-7 SU & 3-4 ATS in its last seven games and far from healthy.

In fact, the Hoyas just lost leading scorer KJ Lewis (14.9 PPG) to an ankle injury and he will miss this game.  Lewis had 26 points in the first meeting with Providence, so his loss will be felt today.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Hawks -6.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All five wins have come by 11 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee and a 34-point home win over Portland in their last two.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East, just 2.5 games behind the Philadelphia 76ers for the 6th seed would would avoid the play-in.

Now the Hawks will be motivated to shrink that margin as they host the 76ers tonight.  They face a beat up 76ers team that is struggling right now due to all their injuries.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 16 in Boston, by 40 at home to San Antonio and needing a late comeback to stave off the tanking Jazz by 4 as 7.5-point home favorites.

The 76ers are without Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG) and Edgecombe (15.3 PPG).  They face a rested Hawks team playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  And a Hawks team that has owned the 76ers, going 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS i the least eight meetings.  Bet the Hawks Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Utah +13

The Utah Utes are not getting blown out of late especially on the road.  They haven't lost a single road game all season by more than 14 points, and all but one came by 13 points or fewer.  They will be competitive today, too.

Baylor has no business being a 13-point favorite here.  The Bears are 5-12 in Big 12 play and aren't blowing anyone out.  I also think it's a letdown spot for the Bears, who are coming off two big road games beating UCF by 1 and faltering late in a 13-point loss at Houston.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Utah today.  Bet Utah Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Utah/Baylor OVER 149.5

This will be a carefree shootout between two bottom feeders in the Big 12.  Both teams are all offense and no defense, and that will play out on the court today in what will feel like a pick up game with nothing at stake for either team.

Baylor ranks 28th in adjusted offense but 114th in adjusted defense.  The Bears have played several shootouts here down the stretch going for 193 combined points with BYU, 153 with Louisville, 164 with K-State, 167 with Arizona and 173 with UCF in five of their last seven games.

Utah ranks 94th in adjusted offense but just 195th in adjusted defense.  The Utes are coming off a 92-78 loss to Colorado and 170 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado State ML -115

Colorado State is playing better than anyone in the Mountain West to close the season.  The Rams are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They beat New Mexico and UNLV on the road, while also beating San Diego State at home during this stretch.

The Rams are now in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  The top four seeds get a bye in the conference tournament, and they own the tiebreaker over 4th place Grand Canyon.  So a win today coupled with a loss by Grand Canyon would get them a bye.

Boise State is also in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  But the Broncos lost both meetings with Grand Canyon this season and that would have them losing out on the tiebreaker.  They are much less motivated than the Rams heading into the season finale, which is Senior Day as well.  Bet Colorado State on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on California +6.5

The Cal Golden Bears (21-9, 9-8 ACC) are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament with some work to do.  They are currently the first time listed on Joe Lunardi's 'Next 4 Out' line and could really use this road win at Wake Forest.

Cal has done its part down the stretch to put itself in this position to strike by going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Bears have played their best basketball on the road going 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games to improve to 7-2 ATS in true road games this season.  That includes upset road wins at Miami and Stanford.

Wake Forest is 7-12 SU & 7-12 ATS in its last 19 games overall.  The Demon Deacons are being overvalued here as 6.5-point home favorites.  They are without senior G Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG, 4.8 APG) who is also their best 3-point shooter at 39.5% and their only true PG.  Bet California Saturday.

15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on Kansas State/Kansas UNDER 157

Kansas is a dead nuts UNDER team going 21-9 UNDER in all games this season.  The Jayhawks are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 125 combined points with Houston, 145 with Arizona and 130 with ASU.

K-State is 3-0 UNDER in its last three games overall.  The Wildcats have gone for 149 combined points with Colorado, 145 with TCU and 128 with West Virginia.  Leading scorer PJ Haggerty (23.3 PPG) is questionable to play for the Wildcats today as well after missing their last game.

Kansas beat Kansas State 86-62 on February 24th for just 148 combined points in their first meeting this season.  The Jayhawks and Wildcats have gone for 158 or fewer combined points in five consecutive meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Louisville/Miami ACC ANNIHILATOR on Miami PK

The Miami Hurricanes are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 at Virginia as 7.5-point dogs.  They have road wins over SMU, NC State and SMU during this stretch as well as a home win over UNC.

Now the Hurricanes will be motivated to cap off the regular season with a win on Senior Day in their finale.  They have three senior starters including their top two scorers in Reneau (19.1 PPG) and Donaldson (16.6 PPG).

Louisville really doesn't have a good road win all season.  The Cardinals are 3-7 SU & 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games.  They lost four of their last five ACC road games at Clemson, UNC, SMU and Duke.  They will be without second-leading scorer and star freshman Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) today, too.  Bet Miami Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's -9.5

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 12-3 SU & 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won five in a row coming in and will be motivated to keep this momentum going on Senior Day today.

La Salle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall with both wins coming at home over Rhode Island and Fordham.  The Explorers are 1-12 SU & 5-8 ATS on the road this season consistently getting blown out.  They have been outscored by 14.4 points per game on the road this season.

St. Joe's beat La Salle 67-58 on the road in their first meeting this season.  They had Jaeden Marshall (12.0 PPG) and Jerome Brewer Jr. (11.2 PPG) for that game, but Marshall has missed the last four games and Brewers Jr. the last three games and both are likely out again.  That leaves the Explorers extremely short-handed without two of their top three scorers heading into this one.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have been grossly undervalued while the UConn Huskies have been grossly overvalued due to their records this season.  UConn sits at 27-3 while Marquette site at 11-19.

The Huskies are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by 12 points or fewer.  They have been fortunate in close games all season, which is the opposite of Marquette, which has 13 losses by 11 points or fewer and nine by single-digits this season.

Marquette has not quit, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Golden Eagles are coming off a 78-56 road win at Providence.  They will be motivated to wreck UConn's bit at earning a share of the Big East title, which is what they are aiming for today.  This is Marquette's national championship game and it's Senior Day to boot.  Bet Marquette Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Missouri ESPN No-Brainer on Missouri -1.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament currently listed as a Last 4 byes team according to Joe Lunardi.  The Tigers could really use this signature win over Arkansas that would likely get them into the Big Dance.

Not only will the Tigers be motivated to make the tournament, they'll be motivated to send their Seniors out a winner on Senior Day.  They also want revenge from a 94-86 loss at Arkansas as 9.5-point dogs on February 21st just two weeks ago.  That was a rare loss for the Tigers here down the stretch as they have gone 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.

But the biggest reason I'm backing Missouri and fading Arkansas is the fact that the Razorbacks will be without one of the best players in the country in Darius Acuff Jr. (22.2 PPG, 6.4 APG) today due to an ankle injury.  He will be missing his first game of the season.

The loss of Acuff Jr. cannot be overstated.  He just had 28 points and 13 assists in a win over Texas last time out.  He had 20 points in that first game against Missouri.  And he recently scored 49 against Alabama.  He makes everything go for them offensively.  The Tigers should be favored by more today given Acuff's absence and the motivational advantages.  Arkansas has already clinched a double-bye in the SEC Tournament and appears to be punting this game.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on DePaul -2.5

Amazingly, the DePaul Blue Demons would finish in 5th place in the Big East with a win Saturday.  That's significant because the Top 5 teams in the Big East all get byes into the quarterfinals.  They would win out on the tiebreaker with Creighton due to sweeping the season series.

So the Blue Demons will be max motivated not only to clinch that bye, but to win this game for their seniors on Senior Day.  This is a senior-led team with four of their top six scorers all seniors.  We are going to get a big effort from DePaul today to say the least.

Butler is 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with its lone two wins coming against the two worst teams in the Big East in Georgetown (by 4) and Xavier (by 5).  The Bulldogs are just playing out the string and coming off a 17-point home loss to Creighton.  I don't see them showing up today, either.

DePaul also wants revenge from a 87-80 road loss at Butler in their first meeting this season.  Butler shot 56.9% from the field and 47.1% from 3 while DePaul shot 41.3% from the field and 30.3% from 3.  It's safe to say the Blue Demons are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch at home this time around.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech +12

Virginia Tech is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Hokies are currently listed on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  A win over rival Virginia would certainly put them on the right side of the bubble.

Virginia Tech already beat Virginia 95-85 (OT) at home in their first meeting this season.  So the Hokies already know they can play with them.  And they have actually been a better bet on the road than they have been at home this season.

Indeed, the Hokies are a perfect 9-0 ATS in true road games this season.  They've lost just one road game by double-digits all season.  This one will go down to the wire as well.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on UNLV +10.5

UNLV is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall with four outright upset victories.  None was more impressive than their 92-65 win as 7.5-point dogs to Utah State, arguably the most impressive win in the Mountain West this season.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 82-71 home loss to San Diego State as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  SDSU shot a ridiculous 8-of-13 (61.5%) from 3-point range and 22-of-26 (84.8%) from the FT line in that game, while UNLV shot 7-of-21 (33.3%) from 3 and 12-of-22 (54.5%) from the FT line.  It's safe to say UNLV is due for some positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.

While UNLV is closing strong, San Diego State is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State, by 9 at Boise State and by 5 at New Mexico.  

The Aztecs are already locked into a double-bye in the MWC Tournament with a Top 4 seed so they don't have a lot to play for here.  They are also battling injuries to key players including leading scorer Reese Dixon-Waters (13.0 PPG), who is questionable to play tonight.  Bet UNLV Friday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on South Alabama -5

I love the spot for South Alabama tonight.  The Jaguars got a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Tournament.  They will be playing their first game tonight, while Georgia Southern will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two wars.

Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 88-84 on Wednesday and Arkansas State 80-77 on Thursday.  I question how much the Eagles have left in the tank tonight.  Spudd Webb (15.5 PPG) has played 73 minutes and Alden Applewhite (13.8 PPG) 75 minutes in the two games.

South Alabama crushed Georgia Southern 87-71 on the road no less in their lone meeting this season.  The Jaguars outrebounded the Eagles 43 to 30 in that win.  They will dominate the glass again and put forth better energy than the Eagles, who are running on fumes.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

15* NBA Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Blazers/Rockets UNDER 220

The Houston Rockets are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 29th in pace and 5th in defensive rating.  The Rockets are 22-9 UNDER in their last 31 games overall and consistently go for fewer than 220 combined points at the end of regulation with their opponents.

The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 115-113 (OT) loss to the Warriors last night.  That game was tied 101-101 at the end of regulation for just 202 combined points.  Playing on tired legs and short-handed with some injuries, the Rockets will play at a snail's pace again tonight.

The Blazers have plenty of injuries of their own tonight that will hamper them offensively.  The Blazers will be without their top two scorers in Avdija (24.4 PPG) and Sharpe (21.4 PPG).  They will struggle to find buckets against this elite Houston defense.

This will be the 3rd meeting of 2026 already between the Rockets and Blazers, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The 1st meeting saw just 205 combined points and the 2nd meeting saw just 216 combined points.  It will be another ugly, low-scoring defensive battle tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on UCF +4

UCF is 20-9 this season and 9-8 in Big 12 play.  The Knights had plenty of room to spare in terms of making the NCAA Tournament, but back-to-back home losses to Baylor (by 1) and Oklahoma State (OT) have put them on the bubble. They could really use this road win over West Virginia tonight.

The Knights were already going to be max motivated to beat the Mountaineers being on the bubble.  But they also want revenge from a 74-67 home loss to WVU on February 14th.  They went on to win their next three games with an 11-point home win over TCU, a road win at Utah and a win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  They have been playing their best basketball on the road.

West Virginia (17-13, 8-9 Big 12) has played its way off the bubble and out of the NCAA Tournament by going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes a home loss to Utah as 10.5-point favorites, as well as road losses to K-State, Oklahoma State and TCU.  So they have losses to the three worst teams in the Big 12 in their last five games.  That has broken their spirit, and I can't see them being all that motivated tonight as a result.  Bet UCF Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Buffalo +8.5

The Buffalo Bulls are trying to lock up a spot in the MAC Tournament.  Only the Top 8 teams in the MAC play in the conference tournament.  The Bulls sit in 7th place and would be out of the tournament with a loss coupled with a win by Central Michigan tonight due to tiebreaker reasons.  They are max motivated to pull off the upset and get into the conference tournament.

The spot is terrible for Toledo.  The Rockets are already assured a spot in the MAC Tournament and actually locked into the 4th seed with nothing to play for but pride.  Worse yet, they are coming off a 74-72 loss to Miami Ohio nearly handing the Redhawks their first loss of the season.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice, and I don't expect the Rockets to show up at all tonight.  

The Bulls have played their best basketball on the highway this season going 8-5 SU & 10-3 ATS in true road games.  Bet Buffalo Friday.

15* CBB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Central Michigan +2

The Top 8 teams in the MAC make the conference tournament.  Central Michigan is still alive for a Top 8 spot.  The Chippewas need to win this game and have Buffalo lose to Toledo to get in.  Buffalo is an 8.5-point road dog to Toledo tonight.

Ball State has already been eliminated from the MAC Tournament due to going 0-2 against Buffalo this season in the head-to-head series.  I question their motivation tonight knowing they are eliminated from tournament contention.

Ball State has been very fortunate to win its last three games with two of them coming in OT.  I think the Cardinals are getting too much respect for those three wins against some bottom feeders in the MAC.  

Central Michigan beat Buffalo 75-70 on the road before a 13-point loss to Akron, arguably the best team in the MAC.  They also beat WMU by 13 and only lost by 2 to Kent State as 11.5-point dogs.  They are playing well here down the stretch to give themselves a chance at making the tournament.  They will win this game outright tonight.  Bet Central Michigan Friday.

15* MVC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -3.5

Valparaiso was in a war last night with Indiana State.  The Beacons prevailed 63-62 as 2.5-point favorites.  That's an Indiana State team that is dreadful going 2-12 SU in its final 14 games to close out the regular season.

Now the Beacons must take a big step up in class here against an experienced Bradley team that is notorious for making deep runs in the MVC Tournament.  The Braves are rested as this will be their first game of the tournament, while the Beacons have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Valparaiso lacks depth as well with an 8-man rotation.

Bradley beat Murray State by 9, Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 10 and Belmont by 11 in four of its final six games this season.  Those are all the top teams in the conference, and the Braves are playing their best basketball of the season heading into this MVC Tournament.  That carries over today.  Bet Bradley Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on CS-Fullerton +4

CS-Fullerton is still alive for a bye in the conference tournament.  The Titans are one game behind UC-San Diego for 3rd place in the Big West.  They are motivated to get this win on Senior Night in their final home game as their top three scorers are all seniors.

Fullerton has a chance to sweep the season series and earn the tiebreaker over UC-San Diego as well.  The Titans won 88-71 on the road over the Tritons in their first meeting this season.  They should not be 4-point home underdogs in the rematch tonight.  

UC-San Diego is getting a lot of respect due to entering this game on a 5-game winning streak.  But four of those five wins came at home against the bottom of the Big West.  They have been much less impressive on the road in Big West play with just two wins by more than 3 points on the road in conference play all season.  Bet CS-Fullerton Thursday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pepperdine/Portland OVER 152.5

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  The Waves are a perfect 10-0 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 156 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  They are playing faster, more efficient offense and zero defense allowing 79 or more points in 10 consecutive games, and 83 or more in nine of them.

One of those games came against this same Portland team on February 18th.  Pepperdine beat Portland 95-87 for 182 combined points.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here in the rematch with this total set at 152.5.  Fouls will likely be a factor in the end as well as neither of these teams want their season to end in the first round of the WCC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Rutgers +20

Rutgers has quietly gone 6-3 ATS in its last nine games overall.  This run stems back to a 88-79 (OT) home loss to Michigan State as 14.5-point dogs.  Now the Scarlet Knights want their revenge, and even if they don't get it they will stay within this inflated 20-point spread in the rematch tonight.

This looks like the letdown spot for Michigan State even though it's Senior night.  The Spartans are coming off four consecutive wins.  The last two they earned with road wins at Purdue and at Indiana.  And they have an even bigger game on deck against rival Michigan.  That makes this the sandwich spot for the Spartans, and I do not expect their best effort tonight.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Western Kentucky -1.5

Western Kentucky has been rolling since getting their best players back from injury.  The Hilltoppers are 6-0 SU in their last six games overall.  They are coming off three consecutive blowout wins over Liberty by 21 as 7.5-point road dogs. New Mexico State by 23 as 4.5-point home favorites and UTEP by 32 as 9.5-point home favorites.

Now they take on Missouri State, which is 0-7 SU in its last seven games overall and just ready for the regular season to be over.  The Bears lost 87-72 at Western Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  It will be another blowout in the Hilltoppers' favor in the rematch tonight.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

15* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Heat -13

The Miami Heat are in 8th place in the East just one game behind the 76ers for the 6th seed to get out of the play-in.  They are rested and motived playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight.  The one game was a 124-98 home win over the Brooklyn Nets, and given their standing in the East I don't expect the Heat to take them lightly in the rematch.

The tanking Nets have gone 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and have rarely been competitive.  They went 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their five road games during this stretch losing by 28 in Cleveland, by 19 in OKC, by 11 in Atlanta, by 37 in Boston and by 26 in Miami.

While the Heat are playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, the Nets will be playing their 9th game in 15 days since the All-Star Break.  This is a tired team that is also playing without talented rookie PG Egor Demin.  They are really playing without a true PG right now.  The Nets are 27th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating while ranking 28th in net rating this season.  Bet the Heat Thursday.

20* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Clippers -11.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are fighting for their playoff lives here down the stretch.  They are 29-31 and in 9th place in the West.  They at the very least are motivated to get the 7th or 8th spot to give themselves a better chance of making the postseason.

The Clippers are 16-8 SU & 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall and have been covering machines of late, covering eight of their last nine games overall.  They just got Darius Garland to make his Clippers debut last game after trading James Harden to Cleveland for him.  They'll be ready to roll tonight.

The Indiana Pacers are in full-blown tank mode going 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS since the All-Star Break.  They lost four of those games agains fellow tanking teams in the Grizzlies, Mavs and Wizards (twice).  They also lost by 24 to Charlotte and by 21 to Philadelphia.  They'll get blown out again tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

15* Colorado State/New Mexico MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 150

New Mexico is a dead nuts OVER team going 19-9 OVER in all games this season and 10-5 OVER in home games.  The Lobos rank 59th in adjusted tempo, 41st in average length of offensive possession and 65th in adjusted offense.  They will control the tempo playing at home tonight.

Colorado State wants to play much slower but won't be able to dictate tempo on the road here.  The Rams profile as an OVER team because they rank 48th in adjusted offense and 207th in adjusted defense.  They are an elite shooting team ranking 8th in effective FG percentage and 6th in 3-point percentage (39.5%).  But they are 272nd in effective FG percentage defense and won't be able to slow down New Mexico.  The Rams are 5-1 OVER in their last six games with 157 or more combined points in four of those six contests.

The Lobos beat the Rams 80-70 on the road for 150 combined points in their first meeting this season.  Colorado State shot just 7-of-25 (28%) from 3 and is due some positive shooting regression on the rematch.  They were also without Kyle Jorgensen (11.7 PPG) but he's back now.  New Mexico shot just 13-of-23 (56.5%) from the FT line as FT's were a non-factor with Colorado State making just 9 FT's.  There's room for more points in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Hawks ML +105

The Atlanta Hawks are rested and fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Hawks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with wins over the Nets by 11, the Wizards by 21, the Wizards by 30 and the Blazers by 34.  

The Hawks have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight.  They are primed for a big effort to put out the threat of the Bucks, who are in 11th pace and the closest team to them in 10th place and the play-in round in the East.

The Bucks are coming off three straight blowout losses to the Knicks by 29 at home, the Bulls by 23 on the road and the Celtics by 27 at home.  They will now be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 6th game in 9 days.

Giannis made his return against the Celtics and only played 26 minutes.  He probably will be on a minutes limit again and is a shell of his former self right now.  The Bucks got the bad news that Kevin Porter Jr. (17.5 PPG, 7.4 APG) has been ruled out for this game, which is exactly when I released this play because he has been so good for them and one of the most underrated players in the NBA.  HIs playmaking ability has kept the Bucks competitive, but they will miss him tonight.  Bet the Hawks on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* ACC Total DOMINATOR on Stanford/Notre Dame OVER 146.5

Notre Dame is hoisting up a ton of 3-pointers here down the stretch and playing to its strengths.  The result has been better offense but terrible defense and allowing easy points in transition.  The Fighting Irish are 6-0 OVER in their last six games overall and 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have gone for 150 or more combined points in 10 of their last 13 games.

Stanford is coming off a 95-75 home win over SMU and 170 combined points.  The Cardinal will gladly oblige in a shootout here.  They shoot 3-pointers 44.6% of the time while ND shoots 3-pointers 43.1% of the time on offense. It's going to lead to a lot of long rebounds and easy points in transition for both teams.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Notre Dame ML +105

Notre Dame sits in a tie for 15th place in the ACC with Pitt with two games remaining.  That's significant because only the Top 15 teams qualify for the ACC Tournament.  The Fighting Irish lose out on the tiebreaker to Pitt, so they need to win out and get some help.

They did their part with a 96-90 (OT) upset win over NC State over the weekend.  Jalen Haralson (15.9 PPG) made his return from a 3-game absence due to injury and poured in 25 points for the Fighting Irish to lead the way.  They are a potent offensive team with Haralson, Certa (12.8 PPG) and Shrewsberry (11.8 PPG) healthy.

Stanford has already locked up a spot in the ACC Tournament and has little to play for.  The Cardinal won't make the NCAA Tournament unless they win the ACC Tournament.  They have been struggling for weeks going 4-7 SU & 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games overall with three of those wins coming at home.

The lone road win was at Boston College, which is 3-14 in ACC play.  The Cardinal are 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS in true road games this season.  The Fighting Irish are 10-6 SU at home.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Notre Dame on the Money Line Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +11.5

Purdue continues to be overvalued as a double-digit road favorite at Northwestern tonight.  The Boilermakers are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone win coming at home against Indiana.  They lost to Michigan by 11 and Michigan State by 2 at home, while also losing by 8 as 6.5-point road favorites at Ohio State.

Northwestern is playing its best basketball of the season to close. The Wildcats are 3-0 SU in their last three games and now will be motivated for an upset win on Senior Night in their final home game.  Senior F Nick Martinelli (22.5 PPG) is one of the best players in program history, and you can bet his teammates will be extra motivated to get him a win here in his final home game.

Northwestern is 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four home meetings with Purdue.  Both losses were close as they lost by just 6 and 3 points.  Getting 11.5 points with the Wildcats at home tonight is tremendous value.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +8.5

The Utah Jazz just got Keyonte George (23.9 PPG, 6.4 APG) back from a long absence in their last game against the Denver Nuggets.  They took the Nuggets to the wire in a 128-125 loss as 11.5-point dogs.  George had 36 points in the loss.

"I couldn't be more proud of the team's effort," Jazz coach Will Hardy said after the loss to Denver. "I thought we were super active on both sides of the ball."

"He's been making a lot of plays downhill," Hardy said of George. "His reads all season have continued to show all the work he's put in. Development is not all physical. There's an elite understanding to be a top player in this league."

"Coach Will even said it when he came in the locker room," Filipowski said. "If we keep playing hard like this, keep playing together, then we're gonna get where we want to in the future."

The 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after blowout losses to the Spurs by 40 and the Celtics by 16.  They are so short-handed right now playing without Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG), Edgecombe (15.3 PPG) and Oubre (14.3 PPG) tonight.  That's four of their top five scorers.  They shouldn't be this big of favorites without these guys tonight.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on Ohio State/Penn State OVER 152.5

Penn State is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 82nd in adjusted offense and 223rd in adjusted defense.  The Nittany Lions are 9-3 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 151 or more combined points in 10 of those 12 games.  This total of 152.5 is very low for a game involving Penn State right now.

Ohio State has been without three of its top five scorers are different times this season.  But each of their top five scorers are all healthy for the stretch run, and the Buckeyes are an elite offensive team when that's the case.  They showed it with a 82-74 win over Purdue last time out.

The Buckeyes had four of their top five scorers available in their 84-78 win over Penn State in their first meeting this season that saw 162 combined points.  It should be another shootout in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Big East TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Marquette/Providence OVER 161

Providence is a dead nuts OVER team going 20-9 OVER in all games this season including 11-4 OVER in home games.  The Friars rank 21st in adjusted tempo, 24th in adjusted offense and 193rd in adjusted defense.

Marquette also likes to play fast ranking 108th in adjusted tempo and 14th in average length of offensive possession.  The Eagles get shots up very quick on offense, and this game will see a ton of possessions because the Friars want to do the same thing.

Marquette beat Providence 105-104 (OT) in their first meeting this season.  But they didn't even need OT to cover the OVER.  This game was tied 94-94 at the end of regulation for 188 combined points, which is 27 points more than this total of 161 giving us a ton of room to spare in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +4

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 11-3 SU & 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They sit in 4th place in the Atlantic 10 and are highly motivated to lock up a double-bye for the conference tournament as the top 4 teams in the conference all get one.

St. Joe's also wants revenge from a 62-56 loss to Davidson prior to this 11-3 run.  The Hawks shot just 3-of-22 (13.6%) from 3-point range in that game yet still only lost by 6.  I have to think they are due a ton of positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.  Bet St. Joe's Wednesday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit -1.5

Detroit is quietly playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League heading into the conference tournament.  The Titans have gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming on the road to Robert Morris and Green Bay, two teams that are the class of the league right now as well.

Milwaukee is not the class of the league.  The Panthers have gone 5-13 SU in their last 18 games overall.  It all fell apart for them since losing two of their top three scorers in Seth Hubbard (16.6 PPG) and Danilo Jovanovich (12.4 PPG) to season-ending injuries.

Detroit is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in two meetings with Milwaukee this season.  The Titans won by 5 at home and by 13 on the road.  Now they will cap off the season sweep tonight at home and advance in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Detroit Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Phoenix Suns -9.5

The Phoenix Suns will be rested and ready to go tonight.  They have had the last four days off, which has allowed Devin Booker (24.7 PPG, 6.1 APG) to get back healthy for them tonight.  Getting him back makes all the difference for this team.

Now the Suns will make easy work of the tanking Sacramento Kings.  The Kings are 2-18 SU & 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They are coming off a 24-point loss to the Lakers.  Their last six losses have all come by 17 points or more as they have rarely been competitive.  Bet the Suns Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati -2

Cincinnati is playing its best basketball of the season to close to put itself in position to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Bearcats are either first 4 out or next 4 out right now and needing to continue this momentum to get in.

Cincinnati has gone 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone loss coming at Texas Tech.  The Bearcats beat Kansas by 16 on the road, K-State by 29 on the road, UCF by 20 at home, Utah by 4 at home and Oklahoma State by 23 at home during this 6-game stretch.

Now the Bearcats are playing on Senior Night with three Senior starters.  They take on a BYU team that just hasn't been the same since losing Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) to a season-ending injury.  The Cougars are playing their worst basketball of the season to close, going 3-7 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They lost outright as 14.5-point home favorites to UCF and by 8 at WVU in their last two games.  Bet Cincinnati Tuesday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Boise State ML -115

Boise State wants revenge from a 110-107 (3 OT) win at San Diego State in their first meeting this season.  Given how these teams are playing down the stretch, I like the Broncos' chances of getting their revenge at home in the rematch tonight.

Boise State is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last three games overall with a 15-point win over San Jose State, a 10-point win over Wyoming and a 16-point win at Fresno State.  The Broncos are rested playing just their 2nd game in 7 days tonight.

San Diego State is 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall with four straight wars.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State and by 5 at New Mexico.  They beat Utah State at home for their lone win.  Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days tonight.

Two of SDSU's best players are questionable to play tonight in Miles Byrd (10.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 1.9 SPG) and BJ Davis (10.4 PPG).  Both got banged up in their loss to New Mexico over the weekend.  Bet Boise State on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +11.5

Louisiana-Monroe has quietly gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Warhawks are consistently catching too many points here down the stretch, and this Sun Belt Tournament game against Old Dominion is no exception.

The Monarchs have no business being 11.5-point favorites tonight.  They actually lost 85-79 as 14.5-point home favorites to Louisiana-Monroe in their lone meeting this season.  And the Warhawks actually shot a woeful 3-of-20 (15%) from 3-point range in that game yet still won outright.  I have to think they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch, making them live dogs again.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +10.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be without four of their top six scorers tonight in Shai (31.8 PPG), Williams (17.5 PPG), Mitchell (14.1 PPG) and Hartenstein (10.5 PPG) tonight.  They can't be double-digit road favorites over the Chicago Bulls without these four.

The Bulls showed some life in a 120-97 home win as 2.5-point dogs to the Milwaukee Bucks last time out.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight, and they want to give the defending champs a run for their money in this one.

The trio of Giddey, Sexton and Jones at guard to go along with two stretch bigs in Buzelis and Yabusle give the Bulls some firepower here down the stretch.  Those five combined for 87 points against the Bucks last time out.  Bet the Bulls Tuesday.

20* IPFW/Green Bay Horizon League No-Brainer on Green Bay -4

Green Bay is playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League to close out the season.  The Phoenix have gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their two losses came by 3 and 4 points on the road, and they also upset Oakland on the road.

The Phoenix have been dominant at home of late going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three home games beating Detroit by 13, IPFW by 17 and Youngstown State by 22.  They get to host this Horizon League tournament opener tonight against IPFW.

IPFW is 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Mastodons' three wins have come against the two worst teams in the Horizon League beating IU Indy twice and CLeveland State once.  All three wins came by 6 points or fewer, too.

Green Bay is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in two meetings with IPFW this season with both being blowout wins.  The Phoenix won 72-54 on the road and 76-59 at home.  It will be more of the same in the 3rd meeting tonight.  Bet Green Bay Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -2.5

West Virginia is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Mountaineers came up with a big 79-71 home win over BYU last time out to keep their hopes alive.  And they will be max motivated to beat K-State tonight and finish strong to get into the big dance.

K-State has let go of the rope even before firing Jerome Tang.  The Wildcats are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall.  They are coming off three straight losses by 28 at Texas Tech, by 9 at Colorado and by 9 at home to TCU.  I see no reason they show up tonight, either.  Bet West Virginia Tuesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on TCU +8.5

TCU is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament and needing a big finish to get in.  The Horned Frogs would cement their place in the big dance with an upset win at Texas Tech tonight.  And the Red Raiders are ripe for the picking in this perfect spot.

Texas Tech is coming off a 82-73 road win at Iowa State as 9.5-point dogs to hand the Cyclones their first home loss this season.  They shot 48.3% from 3-point range to pull off the stunner.  This is their letdown spot now when they return home.  And they are due some negative shooting regression, and for JT Toppin's (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG) season-ending injury to finally take its toll.

TCU is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.  TCU is 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Texas Tech.  The Horned Frogs need this game more, and getting 8.5 points with them is a tremendous value here tonight.  Bet TCU Tuesday.

15* MAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Toledo/Miami Ohio OVER 162

Miami Ohio is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 40th in adjusted tempo, 70th in adjusted offense and 125th in adjusted defense.  The Redhawks rank 6th in effective FG percentage offense in the entire country.

Miami is 9-3 OVER in all home games this season.  The Redhawks and their opponents have combined for at least 161 points in six of their last seven home games.

Toledo ranks 129th in adjusted tempo, 55th in average length of offensive possession, 96th in adjusted offense and 241st in adjusted defense.  The Rockets also profile as an OVER team.  This has shootout written all over it tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Oklahoma -2

Oklahoma is playing its best basketball of the season to close.  The Sooners have gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall with blowout wins over Georgia by 16 and Auburn by 12 at home, as well as LSU by 16 and Vanderbilt by 1 as 11.5-point road dogs.

Now the Sooners will be playing at home on Senior Night and are a senior-led team with Nijel Pack (16.1 PPG), Tae Davis (12.1 PPG), Mohamed Wague (6.9 PPG) and Jadon Jones (5.8 PPG) all playing their final home game.  Expect a big effort from them tonight.

Missouri has played itself on the right side of the bubble in recent weeks by going 6-2 SU & 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Tigers did lose to the two best teams they played during this stretch in Texas by 17 at home and Arkansas by 8 on the road.  They have four wins by 5 points or less during this stretch as they have been extremely fortunate in close games.  Their luck runs out tonight.  Bet Oklahoma Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT o UCF -9

The UCF Knights are in the NCAA Tournament currently but they have little room for error.  That's especially the case after a 1-point home loss to Baylor over the weekend.  That was a clear letdown spot coming off their 97-84 road win at 14.5-point dogs at BYU.

Now the Knights should be refocused and put their best foot forward on Senior Night Tuesday.  They are 14-4 SU at home this season with one of the better home-court advantages in the Big 12.  They take on a dead Oklahoma State team that is 1-7 SU in true road game this season.

The Cowboys have let go of the rope going 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone win coming in OT against WVU.  Five of the six losses have come by 9 points or more, including a 91-68 loss at Cincinnati last time out over the weekend.  The Cowboys are without their senior leader in F Parsa Fallah (14.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG) to close out the season.  Bet UCF Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgia ML +105

The Georgia Bulldogs have come up clutch down the stretch to put themselves on the right side of the bubble.  They have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with blowout home wins over Texas by 11 and South Carolina by 19, as well as an upset road win at Kentucky b7 8.  They lost by 8 at Vandy as 7.5-point dogs for their lone non-cover.

Georgia can cement its place in the NCAA Tournament with a home win on Senior Night Tuesday against Alabama.  This looks like the letdown spot for the Crimson Tide, who are coming off an upset road win at Tennessee that was aided by Vols' star freshman Kyle Ament leaving the game early with an injury.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Georgia on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* SEC TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Tennessee/South Carolina UNDER 141.5

The Tennessee Vols will be without freshman sensation Kyle Ament (17.4 PPG) for the first time this season tonight.  Not having his scoring will really hamper them offensively as only he and Ja'Kobi Gillespie average in double figures scoring for the Vols this season.

Tennessee ranks 300th in adjusted tempo and 15th in adjusted defense to profile as an UNDER team.  South Carolina ranks 225th in adjusted tempo and 106th in adjusted offense.  It's no wonder these teams struggle to score when they get together.

Indeed, Tennessee and South Carolina have combined for 140 or fewer combined points in each of their last seven meetings, a 7-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 141.5-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Clippers/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1

This line has been adjusted too much for the Clippers playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  But they made easy work of the Pelicans in a 137-117 Sunday.  No starter played more than 29 minutes as they were able to rest in the 4th quarter to save up for this game.

Kawhi Leonard has played the last three 2nd of back-to-backs so I expect him to play tonight.  Darius Garland is expected to make his Clippers debut to give them a boost as well.  And the Clippers had a ton of rest heading into this game as they will be playing just their 3rd game in 10 days.

The Warriors are a dumpster fire in their current state without Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler and Kristaps Porzingis.  I mean it's basically a G-League lineup, and the Lakers treated them that way last time out winning 129-101 at Golden State.  Curry is likely to miss another couple weeks, and until he returns the Warriors are a fade.  They are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

15* Iowa State/Arizona ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Iowa State +7.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on Iowa State after its first home loss of the season Saturday to Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders pulled off the upset as 9.5-point dogs due to 14-of-29 (48.3%) shooting from 3-point range.  Now the Cyclones go from 9.5-point home favorites against Texas Tech to 7.5-point road dogs to Arizona, a massive adjustment.

It's a good time to 'sell high' on Arizona after a 84-61 home win as 9.5-point favorites against Kansas.  The Wildcats really wanted that game to get revenge on the Jayhawks and they got it.  They now have a 2-game lead for 1st place in the Big 12 with margin for error with two games left.  They play Colorado next, so they can afford to lose this game and still win the conference outright with a win over lowly Colorado.

Iowa State is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games following a loss beating UCF by 30 as 14.5-point favorites, beating Kansas by 18 as 7.5-point favorites and beating Utah by 16 as 14.5-point favorites.  The Cyclones will rebound nicely tonight again and give the Wildcats a run for their money.  Bet Iowa State Monday.

20* Big Sky GAME OF THE WEEK on Eastern Washington -3.5

Eastern Washington has gone 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in its last eight games overall to pull within one game of 1st place in the Big Sky.  There's no way the Eagles are going to let down now with what's at stake, and I expect them to cap off this perfect run to end the season to give themselves a chance at a share of the Big Sky regular season title if Portland State loses tonight.

The Eagles have won by 8 or more points in seven of their last eight games with the lone exception being a 1-point road win at Montana State as 4.5-point dogs.  They are tied with Montana State in 2nd place.

Idaho has been getting way too much respect here down the stretch.  The Vandals are 4-7 SU & 4-7 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Their four wins have all come against the bottom 3 teams in the Big Sky beating Northern Arizona twice, Sacramento State and Idaho State.  

They have really struggled when they have stepped up in class with six of their last seven losses coming by 5 points or more.  They just lost their second-best player in Kolton Mitchell (13.6 PPG) to injury.  This line is simply too short tonight.  Bet Eastern Washington Monday.

20* 76ers/Celtics NBC No-Brainer on Philadelphia +9.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are balling out right now going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They beat the Timberwolves by 27 as 8.5-point road dogs, crushed the Pacers by 21 as 10.5-point road favorites and topped the Heat by 7 as 2.5-point home favorites.

The 76ers are rested and ready to go tonight after having the last two days off.  They are 2-1 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their three meetings with the Celtics this season with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Joel Embiid was a non-factor in all three games, so I'm not concerned that he's out for this one.

Boston is overvalued after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS since the All-Star Break. The the Celtics have benefited from facing several short-handed teams during this stretch.  They will be playing their 5th game in 9 days.  They will get a fight from the 76ers, and asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  Bet the 76ers Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Belmont ML +100

Belmont (26-4) has a shot to get an at-large berth even if they don't win the MVC Tournament.  Another Quad 2 win here against Illinois State would help their resume.  That's why they aren't going to let down, and they've shown no signs of letting down despite clinching the MVC a few games ago.

Belmont is 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall.  The Bruins beat Murray State by 17 on the road, and Indiana State by 17 and Evansville by 34 at home in their last three games.  They also already beat Illinois State 80-69 in their first meeting this season.

Illinois State is coming off a huge 71-69 win at Northern Iowa that clinched at least a Top 5 seed for the Redbirds.  That's huge because the top 5 seeds in the MVC all get a bye.  They have nothing to play for but pride today.  And while they will likely show up, they should not be favored over the best team in the MVC by a landslide in the Bruins.  Bet Belmont on the Money Line Sunday.

15* Timberwolves/Nuggets ABC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 241

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will be the 4th meeting of the season between the Nuggets and Timberwolves.  They have gone for 241 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation in all three meetings.

This total of 241 has been set too high.  That's especially the case with this being a 3:40 EST start time, and NBA teams aren't accustomed to playing this early.  They tend to be more sluggish.  Defensive intensity will be high with the Nuggets and Timberwolves tied for 4th place in the West.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte +7.5

The Charlotte 49ers are actually tied for 4th in the AAC right now.  The 3rd and 4th place teams get double-byes into the quarterfinals of the conference tournament.  They have a lot to play for right now.

The Florida Atlantic Owls (8-8) are kind of in limbo right now with much less to play for.  They are struggling to the finish line going 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall with their only two wins coming against UTSA by 8 and Temple by 4.  Those are two of the worst teams in the conference.

Making matters worse for the Owls is that they have been without their best player in Devin Vanderpool (15.8 PPG, 6.3 RPG) for the past three games and he is unlikely to return today.  The Owls have no business being favored by 7.5 over the 49ers in their current state.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

15* Purdue/Ohio State CBS ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State +6.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes are a bubble team in terms of the NCAA Tournament.  They could really use a Quad 1 win here against Purdue at home.  I know we will get their best effort, and it should be good enough for the Buckeyes to stay within this inflated number and possibly pull off the upset.

Purdue has lost two of it last three games to Michigan and Michigan State despite playing all three games at home.  Now the Boilermakers must go on the road where they have had very little success traveling to Ohio State, which is 12-3 SU at home this season.

Ohio State has won each of its last two meetings with Purdue outright as 10 and 7.5-point dogs.  Purdue hasn't won any of its last four trips to Ohio State by more than 2 points.  Bet Ohio State Sunday.

20* Gonzaga/St. Mary's ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on St. Mary's +2.5

St. Mary's wants revenge from a 73-65 road loss to Gonzaga in their first meeting this season.  The Gaels have gone 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS since so that loss really inspired them.  Now they get their revenge at home this time around.

St. Mary's is coming off an impressive 86-67 home win over Santa Clara to improve to 16-0 SU at home this season.  They are also motivated to keep their perfect record at home, which is one of the toughest places to play in the country.  They are 11-4 ATS in all home lined games this season.  Bet St. Mary's Saturday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Lakers/Warriors OVER 227.5

The Los Angeles Lakers are a dead nuts OVER team when the trio of Doncic, Reaves and James are healthy.  That's the case right now.  They rank 11th in offensive rating and 24th in defensive rating this season.  They are a terrible defensive team, but they can light it up offensive with those three leading the way.

The Golden State Warriors have been going even more pace and space with their current lineup without Stephen Curry hoisting up a ton of 3-pointers.  They are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 227 or more combined points in five of those six games.  It should be another shootout for the Warriors tonight given the opponent.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Arkansas/Florida ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Arkansas +10

John Calipari has the Arkansas Razorbacks as one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Razorbacks are 21-7 SU & 19-9 ATS this season and consistently undervalued.  That is the case again today as double-digit underdogs to Florida.

The Gators are coming off a pair of road wins against Ole Miss and Texas.  They have actually been a much better bet on the road than they have been at home with one of the worst home-court advantages in the SEC.  They failed to cover their last two home games against Kentucky and South Carolina to fall to 5-8 ATS at home this season.  Bet Arkansas Saturday.

15* WCC Total DOMINATOR on Washington State/Pepperdine OVER 157

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  The Waves are a perfect 9-0 OVER in their last nine games overall with 156 or more combined points in seven of those nine games.  They are playing faster, more efficient offense and zero defense allowing 83 or more points in 10 consecutive games!

Washington State ranks 82nd in adjusted offense but just 220th in adjusted defense.  The Cougars are 10-5 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They will gladly get into a shootout with Pepperdine today in the season finale for both teams with nothing at stake.

Washington State beat Pepperdine 95-79 in their first meeting this season for 174 combined points.  It should be more of the same and another shootout in the rematch today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Summit League TOTAL DOMINATOR on Omaha/St. Thomas OVER 157

St. Thomas is the best offensive team in the Summit League.  The Tommies rank 85th in adjusted offense and 3rd in effective FG percentage in the country.  They are scoring 83.8 points per game overall and 88.2 points per game at home and have yet to play an OT game.

Omaha is scoring 77.6 points per game this season.  But the Mavericks have been much better offensively since getting Paul Djobet (18.7 PPG) back from injury.  He has missed 13 games this season, but he has been back and well for the stretch run.  But he hasn't helped them defensively as they rank just 299th in adjusted defense.

This will be a rematch from a few weeks ago when St. Thomas lost 98-94 at Omaha for a whopping 192 combined points.  We have 35 points to spare here in the rematch with this total set at just 157.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on UCF -1

UCF has gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games overall to play itself onto the right side of the bubble.  That includes an upset win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  The Knights cannot afford to take their foot off the gas, so I'm not expecting a letdown here when they host Baylor.

The Bears are playing for nothing but pride sitting at 14-14 on the season including 4-11 in conference play.  They won't be playing with any sense of urgency.  They did show up for Arizona last time out but that's expected against the top team in the Big 12.  They don't have any reason to show up for UCF now, especially with Houston on deck a game they will be much more motivated for.

UCF has one of the better home-court advantages in the Big 12 going 14-3 SU at home this season.  That includes upset home wins over the likes of TCU, Texas Tech and Kansas in Big 12 play alone.  Baylor is 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in true road games this season.  Bet UCF Saturday.

15* SEC Total DOMINATOR on Oklahoma/LSU OVER 155.5

Oklahoma profiles as an OVER team ranking 25th in adjusted offense but 162nd in adjusted defense.  The Sooners are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall going for at least 155 combined points in five of those six games.  This total of 155.5 is short for a game involving Oklahoma right now.

LSU has a similar profile ranking 43rd in adjusted offense but just 108th in adjusted defense.  The Tigers are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall combining for 173 points with Texas, 173 with Alabama and 164 at the end of regulation with Ole Miss.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* ACC Total DOMINATOR on Syracuse/Wake Forest OVER 152.5

Syracuse is 10-4 OVER in its last 14 games overall with 154 or more combined points in 11 of those 14 games.  This total of 152.5 is very low for a game involving the Orange right now.

Wake Forest is 9-5 OVER in its last 14 games overall.  The Demon Deacons and their opponents have combined for at least 156 combined points in nine of those 14 games.  This total of 152.5 is also short for a game involving the Demon Deacons right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.