20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 69-29 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 21-11 in Marlins last 32 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 21 of those 32 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 28 runs in their last five games and are heating up at the plate.  The Marlins are scoring 4.1 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game for an average of 9.9 combined runs per game.  The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.

Shane Baz has been blasted for 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He has a 7.88 ERA in his last five starts.  Cal Quantrill is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 2-4 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 36 innings with only 23 K's.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Braves/Red Sox Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Braves and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.  These teams combined for 13 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.

Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed 11 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Schwellenbach allowed 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Red Sox in his last start against them.

Brayan Bello has failed to make it out of the 5th inning in either of his last two starts.  He is wild and already has 14 walks in 27 innings with only 17 K's.  That wildness will catch up to him sooner rather than later, especially since he doesn't have any swing-and-miss stuff.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Orioles OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  It was a very similar forecast yesterday when these teams combined for 16 runs, and it should be more of the same today.

Mike Soroka is an absolute gas can.  He is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs in 14 innings.  Zach Eflin is getting too much respect from the books.  He is 3-1 with a 3.13 ERA in four starts.  

The Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in four of their five meetings with the Orioles this season, and they should exceed that mark today after scoring 10 yesterday.  The Orioles scored 6 runs yesterday and have too much talent offensively to be held in check forever.  Both teams ranking near the bottom of the league in allowing runs.  The Orioles rank 27th allowing 5.6 runs per game while the Nationals rank 26th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Phillies OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Pirates and Phillies today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The only reason this total is so low is because Paul Skenes is involved.

But even Skenes had problems giving up the long ball three starts back allowing 3 homers to the Cubs with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  I think the Phillies will get to him today.  The Phillies are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season and they have scored at least 5 runs in each of their last three meetings with the Pirates.

Mick Abel will be making his major league debut for the Phillies.  He went 3-12 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 108 2/3 innings at Triple A Lehigh Valley last season.  He is off to a better start this season, but he's still not ready for the big leagues.  The Pirates should have plenty of success at the plate today as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Angels/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are 13-6 in their last 19 games while scoring a total of 143 runs in those 19 games for an average of 7.5 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game, the Angels rank 25th allowing 5.3 runs per game.  The Dodgers will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

They should crush Tyler Anderson, who is one of the biggest regression candidates in the majors.  Anderson's 2.58 ERA is unsustainable with how much he pitches to contact and gets hit hard.  He is 62-65 with a 4.20 ERA in his career in the big leagues.

Clayton Kershaw is making his first start since August 30th of last season and will be on a pitch count, so don't expect him to be that effective.  The Angels scored 6 runs on the Dodgers yesterday and should have more success today.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on A's/Giants OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and Giants tonight.  There will be 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight.  The Giants are scoring 4.8 runs per game which ranks 8th in baseball, and the A's are allowing 5.7 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.

The Giants just went for 16 and 15 combined runs with the Diamondbacks in final two home games last series with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  They went for 10 combined runs with the A's yesterday with a similar forecast.  The A's are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all eight games.

Luis Severino is 1-4 with a 4.70 ERA in nine starts this season.  Severino allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings to the Yankees in his last start.  Landen Roupp is 2-3 with a 4.73 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in eight starts this season.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 18 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Reds OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Guardians and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.

Both teams will be making this a bullpen game, and I love backing OVERS in bullpen games.  Slade Cecconi will be making his first start of the season for the Guardians.  He is 2-8 with a 6.06 ERA in 104 innings in his career.  Brent Suter will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Reds after going 3 innings on 63 pitches in his first start, a 24-2 win over the Orioles on April 20th.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-133)

The Phillies won 8-4 yesterday in Game 1 of this series with the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  It should be more of the same today with their massive advantages at the plate and on the mound, plus the wind will be blowing out in Philadelphia to aid us in cashing the Phillies on the Run Line.

The Pirates are 15-30 this season largely due to a putrid offense that ranks dead last (30th) in baseball scoring just 3.1 runs per game.  It won't get any easier for them today against Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler, who is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in nine starts this season with 74 K's in 58 innings.

The Phillies rank 10th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.  They should crush Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 26 K's in 36 1/3 innings.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Phillies OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Pirates today after they combined for 12 runs in Game 1 yesterday.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Philadelphia tonight.

The Phillies rank 10th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game and could easily cover this total on their own after scoring 8 runs yesterday.  They should crush Carmen Mlodzinski, who is 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight starts this season with just 26 K's in 36 1/3 innings.

No question it's tough to take an over in a game involving Philadelphia ace Zack Wheeler, but I'm expecting the Phillies to cover this total on their own.  The Pirates should at least get a couple runs off Wheeler and this bullpen, especially given the forecast.  Wheeler has allowed at least one homer in eight of his nine starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs and one homer in 5 innings in his last start against Pittsburgh.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 69-28 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 21-10 in Marlins last 31 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 21 of those 31 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 24 runs in their last four games and are heating up at the plate.  The Marlins just hung 9 runs on the Rays yesterday to cover the total on their own.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.05 ERA.  Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 2-5 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in eight starts, allowing 33 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Nationals/Orioles Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Nationals and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Baltimore.  Both offenses should have a ton of success against these two gas can starting pitchers.

Jake Irvin is 2-1 with a 4.00 ERA in nine starts for the Nationals this season with just 34 K's in 54 innings.  Irvin has allowed 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Kyle Gibson is 0-2 with a 13.11 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in three starts for the Orioles this season.  He has allowed 17 earned runs, 7 homers and 29 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in those three starts.  Gibson has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Nationals as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* White Sox/Cubs Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the White Sox and Cubs today.  This total is set high for good reason, but it's not set high enough given the forecast.  There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right this afternoon at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.

It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Cubs beat the White Sox 13-3 for 16 combined runs.  It was also a similar forecast recently when the Cubs combined for 24 runs with the Diamondbacks at home.  The Cubs rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game this season and will do the heavy lifting for us again today.

Sean Burke is 2-4 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in eight starts and one relief appearance for the White Sox this season.  Matthew Boyd is due some regression with a 2.78 ERA in eight starts with a 1.30 WHIP.  Boyd is 49-71 with a 4.75 ERA in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Mets/Yankees MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Mets and Yankees today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium today.  The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Mets rank 12th at 4.6 runs per game.

Griffin Canning is due some major regression for the Mets.  Clark Schmidt is 1-1 with a 4.73 ERA in five starts for the Yankees this season.  Schmidt allowed 5 runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Mets.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* A's/Giants Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7 ticket between the A's and Giants tonight.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight.  The Giants are scoring 4.8 runs per game which ranks 9th in baseball, and the A's are allowing 5.6 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.

The Giants just went for 16 and 15 combined runs with the Diamondbacks in their last two home games with a similar forecast with the wind blowing out.  The A's are 7-0 OVER in their last seven games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all seven games.  That's why I'm willing to take the OVER here despite a solid starting pitching matchup of Logan Webb and JP Sears.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Angels/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are 13-5 in their last 18 games while scoring a total of 141 runs in those 18 games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game, the Angels rank 25th allowing 5.4 runs per game.  The Dodgers will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

Jack Kochanowicz is 2-5 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in eight starts for the Angels this season.  Regression has hit Dustin May hard here of late, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts, so the Angels should have plenty of success as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* NBA Eastern Conference Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Knicks ML -135

The Boston Celtics had an inspired effort in Game 5 to stave off elimination at home.  A lot of times you see a team play well in that first game without their superstar.  They did just that after Jayson Tatum suffered a torn Achilles late in Game 4, rallying for an inspired win in Game 5.

It's also true that a team can't sustain it past one game without their best player.  And now I expect the Celtics to fall flat on their faces for a number of reasons in Game 6 on the road.  The Celtics shot 22-of-49 (45%) from 3-point range in Game 5, and that's not going to happen again on the road in Game 6.

I would give the Celtics more of a chance without Tatum is Kristaps Porzingis was healthy and playing like the star he used to be.  But that's just not the case.  Porzingis has scored a total of 21 points in five games in this series.  He has been overcome by illness, and he only played 12 minutes in Game 5.

Everything went Boston's way in Game 5, particularly a ridiculous five fouls being called on Jalen Brunson in the 3rd quarter alone.  That's not going to happen again in New York, and the Knicks won't have their superstar foul out at home.  I think the Knicks took the Celtics lightly in their first game without Tatum as well, and they won't make that same mistake again.  

Home teams up 3-2 looking to clinch in Game 6 of the NBA playoffs are 38-17 SU since 2003.  This is my favorite bet of the playoffs thus far.  Bet the Knicks on the Money Line in Game 6 Friday.

15* Cardinals/Royals Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH wind blowing out to right-center at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City.

The Cardinals have one of the most underrated offenses in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game this season which ranks 7th in the league.  They should get to Cole Ragans, who has not been sharp of late allowing 13 earned runs in 17 innings in his last four starts.  Ragans allowed 4 runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against St. Louis.

Andre Pallanta has not been sharp either, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 innings in his last five starts for the Cardinals.  Pallante has allowed 5 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Kansas City, both of which went OVER the total.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings and the Cardinals and Royals have combined for at least 9 runs in each of their last six meetings, making for a 6-0 system backing the OVER 8 here.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Rays/Marlins Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is the Marlins are 68-28 OVER at home over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 20-10 in Marlins last 30 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 20 of those 30 games.

The Rays have scored a total of 20 runs in their last three games and are heating up at the plate.  They should stay hot against Max Meyer, who has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts.

Taj Bradley is 3-2 with a 4.24 ERA in eight starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 29 2/3 innings in his last five starts.  Bradley allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone career start against the Marlins.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tigers/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Detroit Tigers have one of the most improved offenses in the league.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game which ranks 3rd in baseball.  The OVER is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.

The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in five of their last seven games and 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 14 games with a low of 3 runs during this stretch.  The OVER is 10-1 in Blue Jays last 11 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 11 of their last 12 games coming in.

Jack Flaherty has been a gas can for the Tigers.  He is 1-5 with a 4.61 ERA in eight starts this season.  Flaherty has allowed 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He has allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against Toronto.

Bowden Francis has allowed 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Both teams should have plenty of success at the plate tonight to top this 8.5-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* White Sox/Cubs MLB Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the White Sox and Cubs today.  This total is set high for good reason, but it's not set high enough given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 80's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

Shane Smith is in line for his worst start of the season for the White Sox.  He'll be up against a Cubs lineup that ranks 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game.  Cade Horton will be making his first career start for the Cubs and that's a tough spot to make your first start.  

The forecast was similar to this when the Cubs beat the Diamondbacks 13-11 for 24 combined runs on April 18th.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Dodgers are 12-5 in their last 17 games while scoring a total of 122 runs in those 17 games for an average of 7.2 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game, the A's rank in the top half of the league scoring 4.5 runs per game.  The problem is the A's allow 5.3 runs per game this season with one of the worst staffs in baseball.

Osvaldo Bido is 2-3 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight starts for the A's this season with just 27 K's in 41 2/3 innings.  The Dodgers will rock him tonight and do the heavy lifting for us.  The Dodgers will make this a bullpen game starting with Matt Sauer.  The OVER has been a great bet in games in which the Dodgers make it a bullpen game all season.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Thunder/Nuggets ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -4.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder closed as 7-point favorites in Denver in Game 4.  Now they are only 4.5-point favorites two games later in Game 6 in Denver.  There's clearly value on the Thunder, and there's a lot of reasons to like them to win and cover to close out this series tonight.

The Nuggets are the most tired team left in the NBA.  They had to go 7 games with the Clippers in the opening round, and now they haven't had multiple days off in a row since that series.  They have the worst bench of any remaining teams in the playoffs, and fatigue is starting to catch up with them.

We saw that play out in the 4th quarter of Game 5 as the Thunder overcame a 9-point deficit and won by 7.  Nikola Jokic couldn't have played a better game and the Nuggets still lost.  Jokic went 17-of-25 from the field finishing with 44 points and 15 rebounds.  But he got no help, and Michael Porter Jr. and his bum shoulder is a liability at this point.  Porter Jr. went 1-of-7 for 2 points in Game 5.  The only reliable option off the bench is Russell Westbrook.  Jokic played 44 minutes in Game 5 and I think he will run out of gas tonight and won't be nearly as effective.

The Thunder are the deepest team in the NBA, they swept the Grizzlies in the first round, and they remain fresh for Game 6 tonight.  They have a ton of confidence after coming up clutch down the stretch in both Games 4 and 5, and that's exactly what this team needed to get over the hump and believe they could do it.  They are the best remaining team in these playoffs and should win the title.

Home teams who are down 3-2 in a series and facing elimination when listed as an underdog are 10-31 SU & 13-28 ATS since 2003.  The Nuggets have done a good job battling through a coaching change and a lack of depth, but their run ends tonight.  Bet the Thunder in Game 6 Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays +151

We're getting great value on the Tampa Bay Rays as big underdogs to the Toronto Blue Jays this afternoon.  The Rays have the advantage on the mound in my opinion and shouldn't be this big of underdogs to the Blue Jays.

Zack Littell has allowed just 10 earned runs and 30 base runners in 30 innings for a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last five starts despite facing some of the league's top offenses in the Brewers, Yankees, Padres, Diamondbacks and Red Sox during this stretch.  Littell has owned the Blue Jays, pitching 11 2/3 innings without allowing a single earned run in his two career starts against them.

Kevin Gausman has allowed 13 earned runs in 20 innings in his last four starts for a 5.85 ERA.  Gausman has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rays for a 4.67 ERA.  Bet the Rays Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on A's/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Dodgers are 11-5 in their last 16 games while scoring a total of 113 runs in those 16 games for an average of 7.1 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. 

While the Dodgers rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game, the A's rank in the top half of the league scoring 4.6 runs per game which ranks in the top half of baseball.  The problem is the A's allow 5.2 runs per game this season with one of the worst staffs in baseball.

Rookie Gunnar Hogland is likely to get rocked today in what will be by far the toughest of his three starts thus far.  He got to face the Marlins and Mariners in his first two starts.  Yoshinubu Yamamoto is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 10 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Padres OVER 8.5

I love fading Kyle Hendricks.  He went 1-4 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season with the Cubs last year.  He hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 1-4 with a 5.30 ERA in seven starts this season. Hendricks allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in a 10-2 loss to the Padres in his lone start against them last season.

The Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game while the Angels are allowing 5.4 runs per game this season.  While the Padres are capable of covering this total on their own, I think the Angels find more success at the plate today as well.

Randy Vasquez is fortunate to have a 3.76 ERA in his eight starts this season when you consider he has a 1.59 WHIP and has allowed 61 base runners in 38 1/3 innings with just 18 K's.  He is a contact pitcher like Hendricks, which doesn't bode well for either of them tonight.

Both bullpens have been used to the max thus far with the Angels winning 9-5 for 14 combined runs after scoring 6 runs in the 9th Monday, while the Padres won 6-4 for 10 combined runs on a walkoff homer in Game 2 on Tuesday.  Both bullpens will get a heavy workload again tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+112)

I love fading Kyle Hendricks.  He went 1-4 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season with the Cubs last year.  He hasn't been any better for the Angels, going 1-4 with a 5.30 ERA in seven starts this season. Hendricks allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in a 10-2 loss to the Padres in his lone start against them last season.

The Angels are scoring just 3.8 runs per game and allowing 5.4 runs per game this season as one of the worst teams in baseball.  The Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing just 3.5 runs per game as one of the best teams in baseball.

Randy Vasquez has been solid going 2-3 with a 3.76 ERA in eight starts for the Padres this season.  He has the advantage of having never faced the Angels, but he should have no problem navigating their weak lineup.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Chicago Cubs have one of the most improved offenses in baseball this season.  They rank 2nd in the majors scoring 5.7 runs per game trailing only the Yankees in that department.  The Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per game but rank 29th in the majors allowing 5.9 runs per game.  These teams are a combined 50-30 OVER in all games this season.

The OVER is 20-9 in Marlins last 29 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 20 of those 29 games.  This total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Marlins and Cubs right now, especially facing these two sub-par starting pitchers.

Ryan Weathers will make his first start of the season for the Marlins and will be on a pitch count.  I think we've seen enough from Weathers to know he's not any good.  Weathers is 10-21 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his career in 242 2/3 innings.  Weathers is 1-2 with a 8.80 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in four career starts against the Cubs, allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings.

Jameson Taillon is coming off his worst start of the season.  He allowed 6 runs, 5 earned, 4 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Mets on May 9th.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Blue Jays OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in five consecutive games and 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games with a low of 3 runs during this stretch.  The OVER is 9-0 in Blue Jays last nine games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 consecutive games coming in.

The Rays have been better on the road offensively this season and they just hung 11 runs in a 11-9 win over the Blue Jays in Game 1 of this series last night.  It should be another slug fest with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Ryan Pepiot is the better of these two starters, but he is 2-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Chris Bassitt has really struggled of late, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bassitt has also allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Tampa Bay.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Knicks/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on New York +4.5

The New York Knicks are a perfect 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their five road games in the NBA playoffs with four outright victories as underdogs.  They are very proud of this run on the road, and they want to keep that perfect record intact today with an outright victory over the Boston Celtics in Game 5 to clinch this series and advantage to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Jayson Tatum was having a huge Game 4 with 42 points when he went out with a torn Achilles late.  The Knicks took advantage and pulled away late.  Now with no Tatum, the Celtics have no business being favored over the Knicks.

Tatum is actually their best rebounder and one of their best defenders as well, so they are missing a lot more than just his offense.  Jrue Holiday and Al Horford have done nothing in this series and look like a shell of their former selves.  They combined for just 9 points in Game 4.  Porzingis clearly isn't right and had just 7 points in Game 4.  Their bench is no longer a weapon, and the Celtics know their fate is sealed without Tatum the rest of the playoffs.  Bet the Knicks in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Tampa Bay Rays +146

The Rays hung 11 runs on the Blue Jays in Game 1 yesterday.  They should have a lot more success today against Chris Bassitt.  He has really struggled of late, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  Bassitt has also allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Tampa Bay.

The Rays have the advantage on the mound with Ryan Pepiot, who is 2-4 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Pepiot is 15-13 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in his career with 260 K's in 252 2/3 innings.  He has never faced the Blue Jays, which gives him an advantage.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Rays Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Yankees/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 57 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.1 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  But the Mariners are improved offensively this season scoring 4.9 runs per game which ranks 7th in baseball.

The Yankees are 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall with 12 or more combined runs in five of those seven games.  The Mariners are 17-4 OVER in their last 21 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 18 of those 21 games, including 9 or more combined runs in 16 of them.

Will Warren is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in eight starts for the Yankees this season.  Warren is 2-5 with a 6.90 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in his career allowing 45 earned runs and 9 homers in 58 2/3 innings.

Luis Castillo has struggled this season going 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in eight starts.  Castillo has allowed 15 earned runs in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 5.13 ERA.  He has allowed 5 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Giants OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Giants today.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco this afternoon.  These teams combined for 17 hits in Game 1 but got nothing out of it in a 2-1 final.  They came back for 24 hits in Game 2 with a 10-6 final and 16 combined runs yesterday.

The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Giants rank 10th scoring 4.7 runs per game with a much improved offense this season.  The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.

Eduardo Rodriquez has been a dumpster fire for the Diamondbacks, allowing 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Rodriquez allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Giants.

Jordan Hicks hasn't been much better for the Giants.  Hicks has allowed 25 earned runs in 32 innings in his last six starts coming in.  He allowed 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 9-3 win over the Diamondbacks in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Dodgers OVER 9.5

The Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games while scoring a total of 112 runs in those 15 games for an average of 7.5 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. While the Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game, the A's are scoring 4.4 runs per game which ranks in the top half of baseball.  The problem is the A's allow 5.3 runs per game this season.

Jeffrey Sprins is 4-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in eight starts for the A's this season.  He'll be opposed by Landon Knack, who is only getting the start due to injuries to Los Angeles' rotation.  Knack is 2-0 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in three starts and one relief appearance this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his three starts.  

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 10 or more combined runs in five of those six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -9.5

The Denver Nuggets are running on fumes.  They had to go 7 games with the Clippers in the opening round, and they haven't had consecutive days off since.  That hurts when they are the most starter-heavy team left in the playoffs putting a ton of minutes on their starters with Russell Westbrook the only reliable option off the bench.

Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder swept the Memphis Grizzlies in the first round and are the deepest team left in the playoffs.  They have plenty left in the tank here and the advantage goes to them as this series goes on.

The Thunder grinded out a 92-87 road win in Game 4 to even this series, which was big for this young team to overcome that hurdle of winning basically a must-win game on the road.  They did so despite shooting just 36% from the field and 10-of-41 (24%) from 3-point range.  They relied on their #1 defense to get it done.

Now the Thunder are back home where they blew a double-digit lead late in Game 1 before crushing the Nuggets 149-106 in Game 2.  I think we get something more similar to that Game 2 performance here.  Their role players will play better, and they will certainly get more production from Shai and Jalen Williams who went a combined 10-of-32 from the field in Game 4 on the road.  Bet the Thunder in Game 5 Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Diamondbacks/Giants OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Giants tonight.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight.  These teams combined for 17 hits yesterday but got nothing out of it in a 2-1 final.  That misleading result has provided us with some line value to back the OVER.

The Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Giants rank 13th scoring 4.6 runs per game with a much improved offense this season.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Pfaadt allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-0 loss to the Giants in his last start against them.

Robbie Ray has been solid for the Giants this season, but the Diamondbacks should get to him enough to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night Line Mistake o San Francisco Giants -102

The San Francisco Giants have a big advantage on the mound over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight.  They will be extra motivated after losing Game 1 of this series to the Diamondbacks by a final of 2-1, which was their 4th consecutive defeat after getting swept by the Twins last series.

Robbie Ray is 5-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in eight starts for the Giants this season with 46 K's in 44 1/3 innings.  He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 20 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Brandon Pfaadt has allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Pfaadt allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-0 loss to the Giants in his last start against them.  Bet the Giants Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Mariners OVER 7

The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 56 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.3 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  But the Mariners are improved offensively this season scoring 4.9 runs per game which ranks 6th in baseball.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Bryan Woo, who allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the A's in his last start.  Woo allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees, which also came at home.

The Yankees are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 12 or more combined runs in five of those six games.  The Mariners are 17-3 OVER in their last 20 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 18 of those 20 games, including 9 or more combined runs in 16 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -135

The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 56 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.3 runs per game.  They are absolutely hitting the cover off the ball right now.

The Yankees should hang a big number on Bryan Woo, who allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the A's in his last start.  Woo allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees, which also came at home.

New York has a big advantage on the mound behind Max Fried, who has been one of the best starters in baseball this season.  Fried is 6-0 with a 1.05 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in eight starts for the Yankees, allowing just 6 earned runs in 51 2/3 innings.  Bet the Yankees Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Cubs OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs have one of the most improved offenses in baseball this season.  They rank 2nd in the majors scoring 5.7 runs per game trailing only the Yankees in that department.  The Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per game but rank 29th in the majors allowing 6.0 runs per game.  These teams are a combined 48-30 OVER in all games this season.

The OVER is 19-9 in Marlins last 28 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 28 games.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Marlins and Cubs right now, especially facing these two sub-par starting pitchers.

Valente Bellozo is 0-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season while averaging just 4.5 innings per start.  That means the Cubs will get into this Miami bullpen early.  Miami has the 5th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.05 ERA this season.

Ben Brown is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in seven starts and one relief appearance for the Cubs this season.  Brown has allowed 20 earned runs and 60 base runners in 36 1/3 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Timberwolves/Warriors ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 200.5

The Golden State Warriors are a dead nuts UNDER team without Stephen Curry.  Nothing comes easy for them offensively, and they have to rely even more on one of the league's top defenses to be competitive.  Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games, and the longer a series goes on the more it favors defense.

The Warriors rank 11th of the 12 remaining playoff teams in offensive rating and 6th in defensive rating despite having Curry for the majority of the playoffs thus far.  The Warriors managed just 93 points in Game 2 in their first game without Curry and 97 points in Game 3.

But the Warriors shot 10-of-23 (43%) from 3-point range in Game 3 and that is pretty unsustainable with their current lineup.  The Timberwolves shot 13-of-34 (38%) from 3-point range in Game 3, and it still saw just 199 combined points.  So both teams shot well from 3 and it still stayed under this 200.5-point total.  Bet the UNDER in Game 4 Monday.

15* DBacks/Giants NL West Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 5th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game.  The San Francisco Giants are one of the most improved offenses in baseball ranking 12th scoring 4.7 runs per game.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket.

Merrill Kelly is 1-5 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in nine career starts at San Francisco.  Justin Verlander is washed and on his last leg.  He allowed 8 earned runs in 3 innings of a 12-6 loss to the Diamondbacks in his lone start against them last season.  

The OVER is 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Yankees/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Yankees rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 45 runs in their last five games for an average of 9.0 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  But the Mariners are improved offensively this season scoring 4.9 runs per game which ranks 6th in baseball.

Emerson Hancock is the weak link in this Seattle rotation.  He is 1-1 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in five starts this season.  Hancock is 5-5 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 20 career starts.  Clarke Schmidt is 0-1 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in four starts for the Yankees this season.  

The Yankees are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 12 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  The Mariners are 16-3 OVER in their last 19 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 17 of those 19 games, including 9 or more combined runs in 15 of them.  The Mariners are Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-125)

The Rockies are 7-33 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game.  Their -128 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  They are 1-8 in their last nine games overall with all eight losses coming by 2 runs or more.

Getting the Rangers as only -125 favorites to win this game by two runs or more today is a nice value.  That's especially the case with their big advantage on the mound, plus they are heating up at the plate scoring 16 runs in their last two games and 6 runs or more in four of their last seven games.

Tyler Mahle is 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts for the Rangers this season.  He'll be opposed by Chase Dollander, who is 2-3 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in six starts for the Rockies this season while allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 28 innings.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Cubs OVER 8.5

The Chicago Cubs have one of the most improved offenses in baseball this season.  They rank 2nd in the majors scoring 5.7 runs per game trailing only the Yankees in that department.  The Marlins are scoring 4.2 runs per game but rank 29th in the majors allowing 6.0 runs per game.  These teams are a combined 48-28 OVER in all games this season.

The OVER is 19-8 in Marlins last 27 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 27 games.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving the Marlins and Cubs right now.

The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Cal Quantrill, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Quantrill went 4-7 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 19 starts in 2023 and 8-11 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 29 starts in 2024.  He is 2-3 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 53 base runners in 31 2/3 innings.

Colin Rea is clearly due some regression for the Cubs.  He went 6-6 with a 4.55 ERA in 22 starts and four relief appearances for the Brewers in 2023 and 12-6 with a 4.29 ERA in 27 starts and five relief appearances in 2024.  Rea allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings to the Giants in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 games while scoring a total of 104 runs in those 14 games for an average of 7.4 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. While the Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are not far behind ranking 5th in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game.

Tony Gonsolin hasn't pitched since 2023 and has made just two starts for the Dodgers this season and has been shaky in both despite getting to face the lowly Marlins.  Zac Gallen consistenly gets too much respect for the Diamondbacks.  He has allowed 8 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers that both went OVER the total with 19 and 12 combined runs.

This has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings and 10-3 in the last 13 meetings with 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 meetings.  The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 11 runs in eight of their last 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Blue Jays/Mariners OVER 8

The Seattle Mariners are quietly a dead nuts OVER team this season with an improved offense and a worse pitching staff.  They rank 6th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game and are 23-13-2 OVER in all games this season.

The Blue Jays are heating up at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in three consecutive games and 4 runs or more in eight of their last 10 games with a low of 3 runs during this stretch.  The Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own.

Jose Urena is 44-77 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his career in the big leagues with just 640 K's in 955 2/3 innings.  Urena has posted a 8.59 ERA and 1.77 WHIP thus far this season while allowing 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 7 1/3 innings.  

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Angels OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Orioles and Angels today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  Tyler Anderson is due some regression for the Angels, so expect the Orioles to do the heavy lifting for us today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/A's OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Yankees and A's today.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 70's at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park in Sacramento today.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the A's and Yankees.  They combined for 12 runs in Game 1 and 18 runs in Game 2 of this series.  The Yankees will likely make this a bullpen game, while the A's will go with Luis Severino.  It should be another high-scoring game today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the better team in this series despite being down 2-1.  They easily could have won both games they lost, blowing a double-digit late in Game 1 and losing in OT in Game 3.  In between was a 149-106 blowout in Game 2 that flashed their potential.  So they have actually outscored the Nuggets by 41 points at the end of regulation in this series despite being down 2-1.

This is where I think the lack of bench hurts the Nuggets.  They had to play 7 games last series, and they haven't had more than one day off in between games since that Game 7.  This will now be an early 3:30 EST afternoon start after finishing the late game in OT on Friday night.  All five starters played at least 43 minutes for the Nuggets in Game 3.

The Thunder shot 40-of-104 (38%) from the field and 9-of-35 (26%) from 3-point range in Game 3 and still went to OT with the Nuggets.  They are clearly due some positive shooting regression, and I expect them to make the proper adjustments to come away with a win and cover in Game 4 today to even this series.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Rockies OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Padres and Rockies today.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center inside the most hitter-friendly park in baseball at Coors Field in Denver.

The weather has been great in Colorado this week which is a big reason they are 5-0 OVER in their last five home games combining for 14, 12 and 12 runs with the Tigers, and 22 runs with the Padres in Game 1 and 21 runs in Game 2 of this series thus far.  Their bullpen is extremely taxed after having to play a double-header on Thursday against the Tigers.

The Padres will do the heavy lifting again in us cashing this OVER ticket.  They will crush German Marquez, who is 0-6 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 33 earned runs in 30 innings.  Marquez allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Padres this season on April 11th.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-192)

The San Diego Padres had Thursday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I was on the Padres in a 13-9 victory in Game 1, and it's a big reason I was on them again in their 21-0 victory in Game 2.  I'll hop on them again for Game 3 for many of the same reasons today.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies last series.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 of the double-header Thursday to outscore the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, plus the 13-9 loss in Game 1 and the 21-0 loss in Game 2 to the Padres, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-33 this season scoring just 3.2 runs per game and allowing 6.6 runs per game.  Their -134 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 25-13 this season scoring 4.7 runs per game and allowing 3.2 runs per game.  They have a +54 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush German Marquez, who is 0-6 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 33 earned runs in 30 innings.  Marquez allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Padres this season on April 11th.

The Padres have a big advantage on the mound behind Nick Pivetta, who is 5-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Pivetta pitched 7 shutout innings with 10 K's opposite Marquez in a 8-0 victory over the Rockies at home on April 11th earlier this season.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Angels OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Orioles and Angels tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  These two lineups will have their way with these two gas can starting pitchers.

Kyle Gibson is 0-1 with a 14.09 ERA and 2.48 WHIP in two starts for the Orioles this season as he works his way back from injury.  Gibson has allowed 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 7 2/3 innings.  He posted a 5.05 ERA in 31 starts in 2022, a 4.73 ERA in 33 starts in 2023 and a 4.24 ERA in 30 starts in 2024.  Gibson is far past his prime at 37 years old.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Angels as well.

Jack Kochanowicz is 1-5 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in seven starts for the Angels this season.  He has allowed 24 earned runs, 7 homers and 58 base runners in 37 1/3 innings with only 20 K's.  Pitching to contact is not working out well for him.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Timberwolves/Warriors ABC ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota -4.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves let the Golden State Warriors off the hook in Game 1.  Stephen Curry got injured in the 1H and they couldn't take advantage of it.  Largely due to the Warriors shooting 18-of-42 (43%) from 3-point range, which is unsustainable moving forward especially without Curry.  The Warriors came back down to earth in Game 2 as expected without Curry, going 9-of-32 (28%) from 3-point range in a 117-93 loss to the Timberwolves.

Conversely, the Timberwolves were due some positive shooting regression after going just 5-of-29 (17%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They are one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the NBA.  They responded by going 16-of-37 (43%) from 3-point range in Game 2 and cut back on the turnovers.

Curry remains out, and thus I give the Warriors little to no chance of even keeping Game 3 competitive against the Timberwolves.  Minnesota goes from an 11-point home favorite in Game 2 at home to a 4.5-point road favorite, which is too big of an adjustment given home-court advantage really doesn't mean much in the playoffs.  It certainly isn't enough to overcome the loss of Curry, who may be the single-most important player to his team if it's not Jokic.  

Minnesota is 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last five trips to Golden State.  Bet the Timberwolves Saturday.

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-130)

The San Diego Padres had Thursday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I was on the Padres in a 13-9 victory in Game 1, and it's a big reason I'm on the Padres again in Game 2 tonight.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies last series.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 of the double-header Thursday to outscore the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, plus the 13-9 loss to the Padres in Game 1 Friday, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-32 this season scoring just 3.3 runs per game and allowing 6.2 runs per game.  Their -113 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 24-13 this season scoring 4.2 runs per game and allowing 3.3 runs per game.  They have a +33 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush Bradley Blalock, who is 1-4 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in eight starts and three relief appearances in his career.  Blalock is 0-1 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Stephen Kolak pitched 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory over the Pirates in his first career start on May 4th.  He and this Padres bullpen will be good enough for them to win this game by multiple runs again tonight.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Saturday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Rockies OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Padres and Rockies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center inside the most hitter-friendly park in baseball at Coors Field in Denver.

The weather has been great in Colorado this week which is a big reason they are 4-0 OVER in their last four home games combining for 14, 12 and 12 runs with the Tigers, and 22 runs with the Padres in Game 1 of this series Friday.  Their bullpen is extremely taxed after having to play a double-header on Thursday against the Tigers.

The Padres will do the heavy lifting again in us cashing this OVER ticket.  They will crush Bradley Blalock, who is 1-4 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in eight starts and three relief appearances in his career.  Blalock is 0-1 with an 8.03 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Stephen Kolak has posted a 4.67 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in his career mostly as a reliever for the Padres.  He has allowed 27 earned runs in 52 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Dodgers are 10-3 in their last 13 games while scoring a total of 104 runs in those 13 games for an average of 8.0 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own. While the Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.6 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are not far behind ranking 56th in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game.

The Dodgers should hang a big number on Corbin Burnes, who has struggled in his first season in Arizona.  Burnes is 1-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in six starts this season.  This will be his toughest test of the season to date.

Regression has hit Dustin May hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 21 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  It won't get any easier against this potent Arizona lineup today.

This has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings with 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 meetings.  The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 11 runs in eight of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Cubs/Mets NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Cubs lead the majors scoring 5.8 runs per game.  The Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game and are extremely hot at the plate coming into this game, scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers tonight.

Brad Keller will be making his 1st start of the season for the Cubs after pitching 16 2/3 innings out of the bullpen this season.  Keller went 0-4 with a 5.44 ERA in 2024, 3-4 with a 4.57 ERA in 2023, 6-14 with a 5.09 ERA in 2022 and 8-12 with a 5.39 ERA in 2021.  This guy just can't make it in the big leagues but he keeps being given a chance.

Tyler Megill is 24-23 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 74 starts and seven relief appearances in his career.  Megill has allowed 7 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in. The OVER is 4-0 in Megill's last four starts overall with 9 or more combined runs in all four.  Megill has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Marlins/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket today.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right in Chicago this afternoon.  These teams combined for 8 runs yesterday and it should be even more today.

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 25-12 OVER in all games scoring 4.3 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  The OVER is 19-6 in Marlins last 25 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 254 games.

The Chicago White Sox and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in 10 of their last 14 games, including 9 runs or more in 8 of them.  This total of 8 is too low for the way these two teams are trending right now.

Edward Cabrera is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-1 with a 6.29 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs in 24 1/3 innings.  Cabrera went 4-8 with a 4.95 ERA in 20 starts for the Marlins last season.  Shane Smith has been solid for the White Sox, but he will get rocked by the Marlins today given the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Celtics/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on Boston -5

The New York Knicks have been the luckiest team in the NBA playoffs thus far.  Their last five wins have all come by 3 points or less.  They overcame a 20-point deficit in BOTH Game 1 and Game 2 to beat the Boston Celtics.  Their luck runs out in Game 3.

I expect to see a pissed off Celtics team that gets back to dominating the Knicks like they had previously.   They had been 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in their previous nine meetings with the Knicks before blowing 20-point 2H leads in Game 1 and Game 2.  They are clearly the better team at their best, and they will respond with a blowout win in Game 3.

The Celtics are due some positive shooting regression after going 25-of-100 (25%) from 3-point range through the first two games of this series.  It's impressive they have had 20-point leads in both games considering how poorly they have shot the ball.  They are 4-0 in their last four trips to New York and love playing in Madison Square Garden.  Bet the Celtics in Game 3 Saturday.

20* Thunder/Nuggets ESPN No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -4.5

The Denver Nuggets are a tired team.  They needed Game 7 to put away the Clippers, and they had just one day in between series.  They rode their momentum into a double-digit comeback win over the Thunder in Game 1 in the final minutes.  Their tired legs showed in Game 2 as they were blasted 149-106 by the Thunder.

Now they just have one day of rest in between Games 2 and 3 again.  They won't be recovered in time, and their lack of depth is really going to hurt them as this series goes on.  The Thunder showed off their impressive depth in that 149-106 win in Game 2.  Eight different players scored in double-figures.  For the Nuggets, Russell Westrbook is their only reliable weapon off the bench, and starter Michael Porter Jr. isn't giving them much as he plays through a shoulder injury.

The Thunder go from 10.5-point favorites in Game 2 to only 4.5-point favorites in Game 3.  As we've clearly seen in these playoffs, home-court advantage isn't worth that much.  This 6-point adjustment for flipping home courts is too much.  The Thunder just have all the advantages in this series as they are the fresher, deeper, better team.  I'll gladly lay 4.5 points with them in what I expect to be another blowout tonight.  Bet the Thunder in Game 3 Friday.

15* Yankees/A's AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 10.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 10.5 ticket between the Yankees and A's tonigth.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is the temporary home of the A's this season.

The Yankees are scoring 5.6 runs per game which is the 2nd-best mark in baseball.  They will certainly hang a big number on the A's, who have gone 11-7 OVER in all home games this season.

Will Warren is 1-5 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 12 starts and one relief appearance in his career.  He is only starting for the Yankees this season due to injuries to their rotation.

Osvaldo Bido is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven starts this season with just 21 K's in 36 1/3 innings.  Regression has hit Bido hard in recent start allowing 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5

The Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games while scoring a total of 90 runs in those 12 games for an average of 7.5 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own.

The Dodgers should hang a big number on Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Rodriquez has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  He is 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six career starts against Los Angeles.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

While the Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game, the Diamondbacks are not far behind ranking 6th in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game.  Roki Sasaki is pretty fortunate to have a 3.86 ERA in his seven starts this season considering he has a 1.45 WHIP and has been putting runners on base regularly.  Both bullpens are pretty taxed right now as well, especially Los Angeles.

This has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 7-1 in the last seven meetings and 9-2 in the last 11 meetings with 10 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 meetings.  The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 11 runs in seven of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Dodgers/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -125

The Los Angeles Dodgers will want revenge from a 5-3 loss to the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  The Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 games while scoring a total of 90 runs in those 12 games for an average of 7.5 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.

The Dodgers should hang a big number on Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 1-3 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Rodriquez has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  He is 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six career starts against Los Angeles.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

Roki Sasaki is living up to the hype for the Dodgers in his first season.  Sasaki is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA in seven starts this season and is the much better starter in this matchup.  Bet the Dodgers Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Angels OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Orioles and Angels tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles.  The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own.

Kyle Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts and five relief appearances in his final season with the Cubs last year.  The Angels took a chance on him this year, and not surprisingly it's blowing up in their face, and it's only a matter of time before he is sent down to the minors.  Hendricks is 1-3 with a 5.28 ERA in six starts this season allowing 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 30 2/3 innings.

Tomoyuki Sugano has held his own with a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in seven starts for the Orioles.  But he's a contact pitcher with just 21 K's in 39 innings, so he is clearly due some regression.  The Angels have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games and should get to him tonight.  

The OVER is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games, and 11 or more combined runs in seven of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Rockies OVER 11

The weather has been great in Colorado this week which is a big reason they are 3-0 OVER in their last three home games combining for 14, 12 and 12 runs with the Tigers.  It will be perfect again Friday night with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center inside the most hitter-friendly park in the majors in Coors Field.

Two gas can starting pitchers will both get rocked today.  The Padres will crush Antonio Senzatela, who is 1-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in seven starts this season with just 17 K's in 34 1/3 innings.  Senzatela has allowed 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 24 2/3 innings in his last five starts.

While I expect the Padres to do the heavy lifting today, the Rockies should be able to get to Randy Vasquez as well.  Vasquez has allowed 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Vasquez has allowed 10 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rockies as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-115)

The San Diego Padres had yesterday off while the Colorado Rockies were playing a double-header with the Detroit Tigers.  That rest advantage is a big reason I'm on the Padres for Game 1 of this series Friday night.

The Tigers mopped the floor with the Rockies yesterday.  They won 10-2 in Game 1 and 11-1 in Game 2 to outscored the Rockies 21-3 and absolutely tax their bullpen in the process.  Add to that their 8-6 loss in extra innings on Wednesday, and this Colorado bullpen is extremely taxed.

The Rockies are 6-31 this season scoring just 3.1 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game.  Their -109 run differential is far and away the worst mark in baseball.  The Padres are 23-13 this season scoring 4.0 runs per game and allowing 3.2 runs per game.  They have a +29 run differential on the season.

The Padres will crush Antonio Senzatela, who is 1-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in seven starts this season with just 17 K's in 34 1/3 innings.  Senzatela has allowed 21 earned runs and 8 homers in 24 2/3 innings in his last five starts.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/White Sox OVER 8

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 24-12 OVER in all games scoring 4.4 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  The OVER is 18-6 in Marlins last 24 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 24 games.

The Chicago White Sox and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in 9 of their last 13 games, including 9 runs or more in 8 of them.  This total of 8 is too low for the way these two teams are trending right now.

Max Meyer has struggled mightily in his last two starts for the Marlins allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 9 innings.  Bryse Wilson is 20-22 with a 4.66 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in his career, and 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 22 2/3 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-115)

The Detroit Tigers are one of the best teams in baseball that nobody is talking about.  The Tigers are 25-13 this season scoring 5.5 runs per game and allowing 3.3 runs per game.  Their +83 run differential is far and away the best mark in baseball.  The Tigers are 13-3 at home as well.

The Rangers are 18-20 overall including 6-12 on the road.  They are scoring just 3.2 runs per game which ranks 28th in baseball.  Only the Rockies and Pirates have been worse.  The Rangers have a -20 run differential on the season.

The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  Tarik Skubal won the 2024 AL CY Young by going 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.92 WHIP and 228 K's in 192 innings.  He has picked up where he left off, going 3-2 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in seven starts this season.

Patrick Corbin is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He posted a 5.20 ERA or worse and started at least 31 games in each of his last four seasons in Washington.  Corbin has a 1.50 WHIP in five starts this season and is very fortunate to have a 3.28 ERA.  His luck will run out today.  Bet the Tigers on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 games while scoring a total of 87 runs in those 11 games for an average of 7.9 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own.

They should crush Brandon Pfaadt, who allowed 7 runs, 6 earned, and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Phillies in his last start.  Pfaadt has allowed 5 earned runs and 15 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.

This has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings and 9-1 in the last 10 meetings with 10 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 meetings.  The Dodgers and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 11 runs in seven consecutive meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -141

The Dodgers are 9-2 in their last 11 games while scoring a total of 87 runs in those 11 games for an average of 7.9 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.

They should crush Brandon Pfaadt, who allowed 7 runs, 6 earned, and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Phillies in his last start.  Pfaadt has allowed 5 earned runs and 15 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today behind NL Cy Young favorite Yoshinobu Yamamoto.  He is 4-2 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 40 innings with 49 K's.  Yamamoto has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings in two career starts against Arizona.  Bet the Dodgers Thursday.

20* Warriors/Timberwolves TNT Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 202.5

Steph Curry got injured in the 1H of Game 1 with a hamstring injury and now has been ruled out for at least a week.  The Warriors were very reliant on Curry to produce the bulk of their offense, and now they will have to rely on defense pretty much exclusively moving forward without him.

They did a good job of it in Game 1 beating the Timberwolves 99-88 for just 187 combined points.  I expect Game 2 to be even lower scoring.  I don't expect the Warriors to shoot nearly as well from 3-point range after going 18-of-42 (43%) in Game 1.  There is a good chance this is a Minnesota blowout, which will prevent fouls in the closing minutes as well.  Bet the UNDER in Game 2 Thursday.

15* Warriors/Timberwolves TNT ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota -9.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves let the Golden State Warriors off the hook in Game 1.  Stephen Curry got injured in the 1H and they couldn't take advantage of it.  Largely due to the Warriors shooting 18-of-42 (43%) from 3-point range, which is unsustainable moving forward especially without Curry.  The Warriors will come back down to earth in Game 2.

Conversely, the Timberwolves are due some positive shooting regression after going just 5-of-29 (17%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  They are one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the NBA, and they will shoot it much better in Game 2.  They will also make the proper adjustments and come back with a sense of urgency tonight that should lead to a double-digit blowout victory in their favor.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 2 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Braves OVER 8

After three straight unders to open this series, I think the bats come to life in Game 4 tonight.  The Reds are scoring 4.8 runs per game with one of the more underrated offenses in baseball.  The Braves are capable of more than they have shown and are also healthier now than they were at the beginning of the season.

Nick Lodolo allowed 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to the Nationals in his last start.  Spencer Schellenbach has really been struggling of late for the Braves, allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +179

Spencer Schwellenbach and the Braves have no business being this big of a favorite over the Cincinnati Reds today.  Schwellenach has allowed 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in for a 7.17 ERA during this stretch.

Nick Lodolo has been solid for the Reds this season going 3-3 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in seven starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 43 base runners in 41 1/3 innings.  The Reds also have the better offense scoring 4.8 runs per game compared to 4.0 runs per game for the Braves.  Bet the Reds Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Tigers/Rockies OVER 9.5 (Game 1)

The Tigers beat the Rockies 8-6 in extra innings yesterday.  Both teams used their best relievers in that game and likely won't have them available for Game 1 today.  Both starters will struggle, especially with the forecast that shows temps in the 60's and almost no wind.  The ball should be flying out of hitter-friendly Coors Field again today.

Casey Mize has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 2/3 innings in his last two road starts.  Mize allowed 4 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Rockies, which came at home last season in a 7-4 victory.

Kyle Freeland has allowed 20 earned runs and 36 hits in 23 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 7.61 ERA for the Rockies.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Thursday.

25* NBA Western Conference Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder led the Denver Nuggets by double-digits throughout Game 1.  They let the Nuggets off the hook down the stretch and lost a stunner on a game-winner from Aaron Gordon.  They played tight down the stretch while the Nuggets were riding high off their Game 7 victory over the Clippers and rode that confidence and momentum to come back and steal Game 1.

Now I think the Nuggets are gassed and will relax in Game 2, while the Thunder will respond in a big way.  The Nuggets' lack of depth will come into play here with the quick turnaround off the big comeback and off a Game 7 the previous series.  They are getting nothing from Michael Porter Jr., who is clearly hobbled with a shoulder injury and was replaced by Russell Westbrook down the stretch.  Westbrook is the only player that gives them any production off the bench, so it's going to mess up their rotations even more without Porter Jr. being able to provide anything.

The Thunder are the deepest team in the NBA.  They are also a very resilient team.  They went 12-2 following a loss during the regular season only twice losing two games in a row, and never losing three games in a row.  I expect the Thunder to win this game by double-digits and likely by 20-plus.  Bet the Thunder in Game 2 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Detroit Tigers -1.5 (-118)

The Detroit Tigers are one of the most underrated teams in baseball.  They are off to a 22-13 start this season scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing just 3.3 runs per game.  Their +63 run differential ranks 1st in all of baseball.

The Colorado Rockies are the worst team in baseball this season.  They are 6-28 on the season scoring just 3.1 runs per game and allowing 5.7 runs per game.  Their -89 run differential is far and away the worst mark in all of baseball by 26 runs!

Jackson Jobe is proving to be one of the better young starters in baseball.  He is 2-0 with a 2.89 ERA in 28 innings in his career, 24 or which have come this season across five starts.

I'll gladly fade rookie Chase Dollander, who is 2-3 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 8 homers in 25 innings.  I fully expect the Tigers to win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Tigers on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +108

The Cincinnati Reds will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing each of the first two games in this series to the Atlanta Braves.  The Braves have a taxed bullpen off three consecutive close wins dating back to their 4-3 win over the Dodgers on Sunday Night Baseball.

The Reds have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Hunter Greene, who is one of the best starters in all of baseball.  Greene went 9-5 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds last season. He is 4-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in seven starts this season while allowing just 12 earned runs and 35 base runners in 42 2/3 innings with 55 K's.  Greene fired 7 shutout innings in a 4-1 win over the Braves in his last start against them.

Grant Holmes is 2-2 with a 4.24 ERA in six starts and one relief appearance for the Braves this season.  Holmes has really struggled of late, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts.  He allowed 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 4 innings to the Reds in his last start against them.  Bet the Reds Wednesday.

20* Knicks/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on Boston -9.5

The Boston Celtics were up 20 on the Knicks in Game 1 and let go of the rope.  They let the Knicks off the hook by shooting 19 of their 20 FG attempts in the 3rd quarter from 3-point range.  They went 15-of-60 (25%) from 3 for the game.  They are clearly due some positive shooting regression in Game 2, and they will attack the rim more as well.

Conversely, the Knicks are due some negative shooting regression after going 17-of-37 (46%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  I also think it's tougher for the Knicks to have to play on the quick turnaround off a OT game because they rely so much on their five starters, while the Celtics are a much deeper team.

Kristaps Porzingis didn't play in the 2H for the Celtics due to an illness, and he should be healthier tonight which would be a bonus.  Jrue Holiday returned from injury in Game 1 and played a great game with 16 points.  The Celtics are closer to full strength and much healthier than they were for the opening series against the Magic.

The Celtics own the Knicks going 8-2 SU & 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  They won their two regular season home meetings with the Knicks by 13 and 23 points, and they have won four of their last five home meetings by double-digits prior to that loss in Game 1.  Boston will respond in a big way in Game 2 tonight.  Bet the Celtics Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Marlins OVER 9.5

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 23-12 OVER in all games scoring 4.5 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.1 runs per game.  The OVER is 17-6 in Marlins last 23 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 18 of those 23 games.  Better yet, the Marlins are 67-28 OVER in all home games dating back to the start of last season.

The Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games while scoring a total of 77 runs in those 10 games for an average of 7.7 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own.

Valente Bellozo is 0-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs and 21 base runners in 12 2/3 innings with only 7 K's.  He will get rocked early and often by the Dodgers.

But the Marlins should do plenty of damage of their own against Landon Knack, who has been forced into the rotation due to injuries for the Dodgers.  Knack is 1-0 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.73 WHIP this season allowing 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Both bullpens are taxed after going extra innings last night as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Mets/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in the National League square off in this series.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Mets rank 9th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.

I like the fact that these offenses will get to face these two starting pitchers for the 2nd time in a week.  David Peterson faced the Diamondbacks in a 8-3 victory on April 29th, while Zac Gallen faces the Mets in a 4-2 victory on May 1st.  I expect both starters to get rocked tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Warriors/Timberwolves TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota -6

Teams coming off a Game 7 on less than 3 days' rest against teams that are coming off 4 or more days' rest are 5-19 SU & 8-16 ATS in their last 24 tries in the NBA playoffs.  The spot really favors the rested Timberwolves against the tired Warriors coming off a Game 7.

The Timberwolves are fully healthy and a different team in the playoffs.  They showed that last year when they made the Western Conference Finals, and they are even better this season.  They took out the Lakers in 5 games and stymied LeBron and Doncic, and now they will take care of a Golden State team that is also too reliant on two players.

The Warriors were able to get by the Rockets in 7 games.  The Rockets are one of the worst offensive teams in the playoffs and let the Warriors hang around because of it.  The Warriors improved to 5-1 on the road in winner-take-all games thanks to a 9-of-11 shooting performance from Buddy Hield from 3-point range, which was a complete aberration.

Stephen Curry played 46 minutes in that Game 7 after playing 42 minutes in Game 6.  Game 7 was on Sunday, so now the Warriors have to travel from Houston to Minnesota and won't have much left in the tank for the Timberwolves tonight.  I expect Minnesota to jump on them early and to pull away late to cover this short 6-point spread given the rest advantage.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 1 Tuesday.

20* Giants/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 8

Two of the most underrated offenses in baseball square off today when the Giants take on the Cubs for Game 2 of this series.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game, while the Giants rank 13th scoring 4.6 runs per game.  These teams have combined to go 41-27 OVER in all games as a result.

The Cubs covered the total on their own in a 9-2 victory in Game 1 Monday.  They are capable of doing it again off Justin Verlander, who is washed up and way past his prime. Verlander is 0-2 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in seven starts for the Giants this season.

The Giants should get their bats going against Colin Rea, who clearly hates facing them.  Rea has allowed 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Giants for a 9.56 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (-103)

The Kansas City Royals own the Chicago White Sox.  The Royals are 14-1 in their last 15 meetings with the White Sox with 12 of those 14 wins coming by two runs or more.  I expect the Royals to win by multiple runs again today due to their advantage on the mound.

Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Lugo went 16-9 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 33 starts in his first season in Kansas City in 2024 while finishing 2nd in AL Cy Young voting.  Lugo is 3-3 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in seven starts this season to back it up.

Sean Burke is 2-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in six starts and one relief appearance for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 33 innings.

Lugo owns the White Sox, going 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs and 18 base runners in 22 2/3 innings.  Bet the Royals on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Braves OVER 8

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Atlanta tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  The Reds rank 8th in baseball scoring 4.9 runs per game.  They have one of the more underrated offenses in baseball.  The Braves have more pop than they've shown thus far and are capable of much more.  Both offenses should have plenty of success tonight.

Andrew Abbott is working his way back from injury.  Abbott has thrown 84 or fewer pitches in four of his five starts this season.  He already has 12 walks in 19 innings and control has been an issue.  I fully expect the Braves to get to him today.

Chris Sale hasn't hit his peak form yet and has been shaky to say the least.  Sale is 1-3 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 35 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Rays OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Rays tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's at hitter-friendly George M. Steinbrenner Field, a Triple-A park the Rays are using to play their home games this season.

The Phillies are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season and have one of the most potent offenses in baseball.  They are capable of covering this total on their own. Drew Rasmussen has allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts for the Rays coming in.

Zack Wheeler hasn't been lights out yet this season going 2-1 with a 3.48 ERA in seven starts.  He has actually allowed at least one homer in all seven starts this season, and he has allowed 15 earned runs in 31 innings in his last five starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Marlins OVER 9

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 23-11 OVER in all games scoring 4.4 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.1 runs per game.  The OVER is 17-5 in Marlins last 22 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 17 of those 22 games.  Better yet, the Marlins are 67-27 OVER in all home games dating back to the start of last season.

The Dodgers are 8-1 in their last nine games while scoring a total of 73 runs in those nine games for an average of 8.1 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own.  Cal Quantrill is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He went 4-7 with a 5.24 ERA in 19 starts in 2023 and 8-11 with a 4.98 ERA in 29 starts in 2024.  Quantrill is 2-3 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in six starts in 2025, allowing 24 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings.  Quantrill has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 26 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

Tony Gonsolin is making his 2nd start since 2023 and is on a pitch count.  He allowed 3 earnred runs in 6 innings to the Marlins on April 30th in his first start this season.  Now the Marlins get to face him for a 2nd time in a week, which is an advantage for them.  Gonsolin has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Mets/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

Two of the best offenses in the National League square off tonight when the Mets travel to face the Diamondbacks in Game 1 of this series.  The Diamondbacks rank 4th in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  The Mets rank 9th in baseball scoring 4.8 runs per game.

Both offenses should have their way against these two starting pitchers.  Griffin Canning has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Diamondbacks.

Ryne Nelson is 1-0 with a 5.82 ERA allowing 11 earned runs in 17 innings this season.  Nelson does not enjoy facing the Mets, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -9.5

This is a terrible spot for the Denver Nuggets in Game 1.  They are coming off a grueling 7-game series with the Los Angeles Clippers that concluded on Saturday.  Now they have to turn around and play another game on Monday with only one day of rest in between.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Oklahoma City Thunder, who are rested and ready to go after sweeping the Grizzlies and being off since April 26th.

Teams coming off a Game 7 on less than 3 days' rest against teams that are coming off 4 or more days' rest in Game 1 are 4-19 SU & 7-16 ATS in their last 23 tries.  This trend totally makes sense as the team coming off a Game 7 is not only tired, but also in a letdown spot going into a new series.  The rested team has the preparation advantage as well as they would have been preparing to face either team that won in Game 7.

The Thunder are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games with all nine wins coming by 16 points or more.  I recommend playing the Thunder on some alternate lines as well up to -19.5.  Bet the Thunder in Game 1 Monday.

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Cubs OVER 7

Two of the most underrated offenses in baseball square off today when the Giants visit the Cubs for Game 1 of this series.  The Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.9 runs per game, while the Giants rank 11th scoring 4.7 runs per game.  These teams have combined to go 40-27 OVER in all games as a result.

The Cubs and Giants have combined for at least 7 runs in eight of their last nine meetings, so this total of 7 is too short tonight.  The Giants and their opponents have combined for at least 7 runs in five of their last six games.  The Cubs and their opponents have combined for at least 7 runs in five of their last six games as well.

Landen Roupp is 2-2 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in six starts for the Giants this season.  Roupp has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 34 base runners in 20 innings in his last four starts.

Matthew Boyd has allowed 13 runs, 10 earned, 3 homers and 34 base runners in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts for the Cubs.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Night Line Mistake on Reds/Braves OVER 8.5

The Reds rank 7th in baseball scoring 5.0 runs per game.  They have one of the more underrated offenses in baseball.  The Braves have more pop than they've shown thus far and are capable of much more.  Both offenses should have plenty of success tonight.

AJ Smith-Shawver is 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in four starts this season allowing 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 32 base runners in 19 innings.  Smith-Shawver allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 1/3 innings in his lone career start against Cincinnati.

Brady Singer does not enjoy facing the Braves.  He has allowed 10 earned runs, 5 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Atlanta.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Marlins OVER 9

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 22-11 OVER in all games scoring 4.5 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.1 runs per game.  The OVER is 16-5 in Marlins last 21 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those 21 games.  Better yet, the Marlins are 66-27 OVER in all home games dating back to the start of last season.

The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last eight games while scoring a total of 66 runs in those eight games for an average of 8.3 runs per game.  They are showing once again they have one of the best offenses in baseball this season.  But they have a banged up, shoddy rotation which is why they are sending opener Jack Dreyer to the mound today.  They are going to make this a bullpen game.

Sandy Alcantara is 2-3 with a 8.31 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in six starts for the Marlins this season.  Alacantara has allowed 20 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last four starts.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers when he allowed 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 15-2 loss on April 29th.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Warriors/Rockets TNT No-Brainer on Houston ML -139

It's clear to me that the Houston Rockets are just the deeper team in this series and they have more cards they can play than the Warriors do.  The Warriors rely so much on Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler to do the bulk of their scoring, and Curry and Butler have both been banged up in this series with Curry battling through a thumb injury and Butler battling through a groin injury.

The Rockets have really been impressive in the last three games in this series and have made the proper adjustments.  They lost 109-106 as 3.5-point road dogs in Game 4, but responded with a 131-116 win in Game 5 at home that was an even bigger blowout than the final score showed.  They were up 27 going into the 4th quarter and pulled their starters.  All five starters scored in double figures, and they got good performances from Green, Eason and Adams off the bench.

The Rockets backed it up by pulling the 115-107 upset as 5.5-point road dogs in Game 6 to send this series back to Houston for a Game 7.  Fred VanVleet is showing his championship pedigree by playing his best basketball of the season over the last three games to lead this young team.  Steven Adams is doing all the little things for them and had a huge Game 6 as well.

VanVleet has scored a total of 80 points while going 18-of-27 from 3-point range over the last three games.  He lives for these big moments.  Adams had 17 points and 3 blocks in Game 6.  Sengun is a problem for the Warriors, Amen Thompson is growing up quickly, and the Rockets have gotten to this position despite an 'off' playoffs thus far from their leading scorer in Jalen Green.  If they get anything close to the 38-point effort from Green in Game 2 at home in Game 7 then the Warriors stand no chance.  Bet the Rockets on the Money Line Sunday.

20* Dodgers/Braves ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Dodgers have won seven consecutive games while scoring a total of 63 runs in those seven games for an average of 9.0 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own against the Atlanta Braves like they did yesterday in a 10-3 victory.

 Bryce Elder is 1-1 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in five starts for the Braves this season.  Elder has allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers.  It's not going to go well for him tonight.

Regression has hit Dustin May hard in his last two starts allowing 10 earned runs and 21 base runners in 10 1/3 innings.  The Braves will do enough off May and this Dodgers bullpen to contribute to the OVER.  It's going to be a great night for runs in Atlanta with temps in the 60's and light winds blowing out to left.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Reds OVER 8.5

The Nationals and Reds combined for 17 runs yesterday.  The Reds are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season and the Nationals are allowing 5.2 runs per game.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two teams inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park, especially with these two gas can starting pitchers going.

MacKenzie Gore has allowed 11 earned runs in 22 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Gore allowed 3 earned runs and 6 base runners in 2 innings in his last start against the Reds.

Nick Martinez is 1-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in six starts for the Reds this season.  Martinez allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start against the Nationals last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Giants OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Rockies and Giants today.  Temps will be in the 60's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco.  Consistent winds blowing out in San Francisco have quietly made the Giants a dead nuts OVER team when playing at home.

The Giants are 20-14 OVER in all games this season and scoring 4.6 runs per game.  The Rockies are allowing 5.6 runs per game this season.  The Giants are capable of covering this total on their own, which is why I'm not concerned that ace Logan Webb is going for the Giants today.

German Marquez is 0-5 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has allowed a whopping 25 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Webb allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Padres in his last start, and he allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against Colorado.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros/White Sox OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the A's and White Sox today.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right field in Chicago.  These teams combined for 10 runs in Game 1 and 11 runs in Game 2, and it should be more of the same today.

Lance McCullers will be making his first start since 2022 and will be on a pitch count.  Bryse Wilson has been a gas can his entire career.  He is 20-22 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.38 WHIP with just 316 K's in 431 2/3 innings.  Wilson is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in 18 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Marlins OVER 9

The Miami Marlins have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 22-10 OVER in all games scoring 4.5 runs per game but ranking dead last (30th) in baseball allowing 6.2 runs per game.  The OVER is 16-4 in Marlins last 20 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those 20 games.  Better yet, the Marlins are 66-26 OVER in all home games dating back to the start of last season.

The A's are scoring 4.3 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game this season.  They have a better offense than they get credit for, but a terrible rotation.  And I think the A's are actually capable of covering this total on their own against Edward Cabrera.

Cabrera is an absolute gas can allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in four starts this season for a 7.23 ERA and 1.77 WHIP.  JP Sears won't fully hold the Marlins in check, either.  And the A's used closer Mason Miller yesterday in a blown save so he is almost certainly out for this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A's -111

The Oakland A's have a big advantage on the mound today over the Miami Marlins.  Edward Cabrera is an absolute gas can allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in four starts this season for a 7.23 ERA and 1.77 WHIP.  The A's should tee off on him today.

JP Sears is the clear ace of this Oakland rotation going 4-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in six starts this season.  Sears has allowed just 3 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  He pitched 6 1/3 scoreless innings in his lone career start against the Marlins last season.  Bet the A's Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Tigers/Angels OVER 8

Kyle Hendricks one of my favorite starters to bet against.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in his final season with the Cubs last year.  It's shocking the Angels are giving him a chance, and it is clearly backfiring thus far.  Hendricks is 0-3 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five starts this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 12 innings in his last three starts coming in.

The Tigers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season with an improved offense that is capable of covering this total on their own.  They did just that in their last two games scoring 10 runs in Game 1 and 9 runs in Game 2 of this series.  Don't be surprised if they get 9-plus again in Game 3 tonight.

But the Angels should have more success at the plate tonight against Jack Flaherty, who has allowed 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Flaherty has allowed 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Angels.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.