15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Spurs OVER 234

The Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team right now going 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 236 or more combined points in all eight games.  They rank dead last (30th) in defensive rating in those eight games as they clearly miss Victor Wembenyama on that end.

That was on display last night as they lost 145-134 to the Hornets for 279 combined points.  They have completely let go of the rope defensively allowing 127 or more points in six of their last eight games.  Look for them to get in another shootout with the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.

The Pelicans have plenty of offensive firepower with Murphy, McCollum, Brown and Olynyk and they play zero defense.  They rank dead last (30th) in defensive rating this season.  The OVER is 6-3 in Pelicans last nine games overall with 233 or more combined points in six of those nine games, and 240 or more in five of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Knicks/Warriors ABC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 229.5

The Knicks are without leading scorer Jalen Brunson (26.3 PPG, 7.4 APG) right now and are struggling offensively without him.  They were already struggling offensively since the All-Star Break with him in the lineup.  They have been a dead nuts UNDER team playing slower and upping their defensive intensity in recent weeks.

The UNDER is 7-2 in Knicks last nine games overall and would be 8-1 without OT.  They have gone to OT in three of their last six games.  They have gone for 228 or fewer combined points in 8 of those 9 games even with OT factored in.  The Knicks and their opponents have averaged 215.3 combined points per game at the end of regulation in their last nine games.  They rank 25th in pace, 25th in offensive rating and 8th in defensive rating during this 9-game stretch.

The Warriors are 14-2 SU in their last 16 games overall.  They are a better defensive team with Jimmy Butler and they were already a great defensive team.  They rank 8th in defensive rating on the season and 3rd in defensive rating in their last 15 games.  They rank in the middle of the pack in pace this season and haven't been playing any faster with Butler.

This is a rematch from less than two weeks ago when the Warriors beat the Knicks 114-102 on the road for just 216 combined points.  And neither team shot it terribly as the Warriors shot 49% from the field while the Knicks shot 45% and that was with Brunson in the lineup.  The Knicks and Warriors haven't topped 231 combined points at the end of regulation in any of their last 12 meetings, and they have finished with 228 or fewer in 10 of those 12 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Louisville/Duke ACC No-Brainer on Louisville +6.5

Duke lost Cooper Flagg (18.9 PPG, 7.5 PPG, 4.1 APG) to an ankle injury in their ACC Tournament opener to Georgia Tech.  They also lost their best defender in Maliq Brown to another dislocated shoulder.  I cashed in UNC +7.5 yesterday fading Duke without these two, and I'm fading them again today as they should not be 6.5-point favorites over Louisville without Flagg and Brown.

Duke showed a ton of heart in the first half against UNC yesterday with an inspired effort to prove they could still win without Flagg.  The Blue Devils led by 21 at halftime, but then reality set in and UNC stormed back to get within 1, only to commit a lane violation that cost them the game in a 74-71 defeat.

I have Louisville power rated a few points better than North Carolina, so I'll gladly take the points again.  The Cardinals are battle-tested coming through clutch late to prevent comebacks by Stanford and Clemson the last two days.  I think they have what it takes to hang with Duke, especially knowing they don't have to deal with Flagg and Brown.

Duke beat Louisville by 11 in their lone regular season meeting this season.  But Flagg had 20 points and 12 rebounds, while Brown had 6 points, 11 rebounds and 3 steals.  That's a combined 26 points and 23 rebounds the Blue Devils will be without in the rematch.  Bet Louisville Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Milwaukee Bucks -3.5

I love the spot for the Milwaukee Bucks tonight.  They get a shot at quick revenge after losing 115-114 at Indiana on Tuesday, March 11th on a 4-point play at the buzzer by Tyrese Haliburton.  Now they get to host the Pacers just four days later and they are in the much better spot tonight.

The Bucks had yesterday off following a 126-106 home win over the Lakers on Thursday.  Meanwhile, the Pacers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 112-100 win in Philadelphia last night.  The Pacers needed a big comeback to win that game so they were forced to play their starters big minutes.

Indiana is just 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last four games overall consistently being overvalued.  They lost consecutive road games to the Hawks and followed it up with an 18-point loss at Chicago to fall to 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games.

Milwaukee was a 2.5-point road favorite at Indiana on Tuesday and now is just a 3.5-point home favorite in the rematch.  The books have not adjusted enough for flipping home courts and the fact that the Pacers are in a tough spot playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Bet the Bucks Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +10

The Chicago Bulls are the 10th seed in the Eastern Conference holding on to the final play-in spot.  But they have a great chance to improve their seeding as only 3.5 games separate the four play-in teams currently.  They are clearly fighting hard to try and improve their position.

Indeed, the Bulls are 6-5 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall with only two losses by more than 5 points in those 11 games.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games upsetting Orlando as 7.5-point road dogs, Miami as 5-point road dogs, Indiana as 6-point home dogs and covering in a 6-point home win over Brooklyn.  What more do the Bulls have to do to get some respect?

They certainly aren't getting respect here as 10-point road dogs at Houston.  They are in the more favorable rest spot as well playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 8th game in 13 days after a home win over the short-handed Mavericks last night.  They are also without one of their best players in Amen Thompson (14.0 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 1.3 SPG, 1.2 BPG) and could decide to rest another starter or two tonight.  Bet the Bulls Saturday.

25* Conference Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on St. John's -4.5

The St. John's Red Storm have a huge home-court advantage in the Big East Tournament playing at Madison Square Garden.  They have made easy work of their first two opponents beating Butler 78-57 as 12-point favorites and Marquette 79-63 as 3.5-point favorites.

Now the Red Storm should still be pretty fresh for this game against Creighton due to the blowout nature of their first two games.  Meanwhile, Creighton was in a couple dog fights the last two days, needing 2 OT to beat DePaul 85-81 as 13-point favorites on Thursday and staving off a big comeback by UConn in a 71-62 win on Friday.

You could see Creighton players breathing heavily as UConn nearly erased a 15-point deficit in the 2H.  Now the Bluejays go up against a St. John's team that will test your stamina more than just about any team in the country.  They will give Creighton zero room to breathe.  The Red Storm rank 49th in adjusted tempo and 19th in average length of offensive possession.  They press for 40 minutes and make everyone work for everything they get offensively.  They rank 1st in adjusted defense.

Finally, St. John's hasn't won the Big East Tournament since 2000.  That's 25 years of suffering, and you can bet the Red Storm will be max motivated today to get it done.  I expect them to win in a blowout as Creighton tires out in the 2H, while the Red Storm only get stronger.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

20* Boise State/Colorado State MWC No-Brainer on Colorado State PK

Colorado State is the most underrated team in the Mountain West and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Rams have gone 17-3 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall, including 9-0 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Yet they are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, so they remain motivated to prove their naysayers wrong.  They want to earn the automatic bid and not leave it up to the committee.

Colorado State led Utah State by as many as 28 points in the 2H yesterday in a misleading 11-point win.  The Rams were able to rest their starters late so they should still be pretty fresh for this game.  Meanwhile, Boise State has been in dog fights the last two days against San Diego State and New Mexico.  I question how much the Broncos have left in the tank, especially with their lack of depth with three starters playing at least 36 minutes yesterday in their 3-point win over New Mexico.

Colorado State beat Boise State 75-72 as 1-point home dogs in their first meeting back on January 22nd before winning 83-73 as 6-point road dogs in their 2nd meeting on March 7th.  What more do the Rams have to do to get some respect? They'll earn it again tonight.  Bet Colorado State Saturday.

15* Alabama/Florida SEC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 173.5

This is a very low total for a game involving Alabama right now.  The Crimson Tide and their opponents have combined for at least 179 points in seven of their last nine games overall.  The two games that didn't were against a dead nuts under team in Tennessee and yesterday with 169 combined points with Kentucky, a Wildcats team that was missing two of their top four scorers in Butler and Jackson.  Alabama did their part with 99 points, but Kentucky only managed 70 on 37.5% shooting.

Florida is 5-0 OVER in its last five games overall while scoring at least 89 points in four consecutive games.  The Gators rank 62nd in adjusted tempo, 33rd in average length of offensive possession and 3rd in adjusted offense.  The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted tempo, 4th in average length of offensive possession and 4th in adjusted offense.

Florida beat Alabama 99-94 for 193 combined points on March 5th in their lone meeting this season.  Neither team shot lights out either with Florida shooting 48.6% including 8-of-27 (29.6%) from 3-point range, while Alabama shot 47.2% including 9-of-25 (36%) from 3-point range.  So there's actually room for improvement, and we have 20 points to spare here with 193 down to 173.5.  The total for that 1st meeting was set at 179 as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* St. Joe's/George Mason Atlantic 10 No-Brainer on George Mason +1

George Mason has a huge rest advantage over St. Joe's today and should not be underdogs as a result.  The Patriots got a bye into the quarterfinals yesterday before blasting George Washington 80-65.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 2 days and should still be fresh after the blowout win.

St. Joe's will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two dog fights the last two days.  The Hawks only beat La Salle 75-70 as 12.5-point favorites on Thursday before needing OT to beat Dayton 73-68 on Friday.  I love fading teams in these conference tournaments coming off OT games because they tend to run out of gas in their next game.

George Mason beat St. Joe's 58-57 in their lone meeting this season.  They won that game despite St. Joe's shooting 10-of-23 (43.5%) from 3-point range while the Patriots shot just 2-of-10 (20%).  Positive shooting regression can only be the case in their favor in the rematch today.  Bet George Mason Saturday.

20* Michigan/Maryland Big Ten No-Brainer on Maryland -4

I cashed in both Maryland and Michigan yesterday as premium plays.  But only one of these teams is a contender while the other is a pretender.  I'll gladly back the contender in Maryland laying the short number against the pretender in Michigan.

Maryland is playing as well as anyone in the country right now going 8-1 SU & 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine games overall with its only loss coming to Michigan State by 3, one of the best teams in the country.  The Terrapins made easy work of Illinois 88-65 yesterday which allowed its started to rest late and stay fresh for this game.  That's an Illinois team that was coming off four straight blowout wins including a 20-point win at Michigan.

Michigan is 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall with that 20-point loss to Illinois, a 17-point loss at Michigan State and also a 6-point home loss to this same Maryland team.  The Terrapins shot just 38.1% from the field in that game and still won by 6 on the road.  There's just not much room for improvement for the Wolverines on a neutral in the rematch.  Bet Maryland Saturday.

20* Utah State/Colorado State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Colorado State PK

Colorado State is the most underrated team in the Mountain West and one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Rams have gone 16-3 SU & 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games overall, including 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Yet they are still on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, so they remain motivated to prove their naysayers wrong.  Utah State is pretty much locked into the NCAA Tournament now after a 70-58 win over UNLV yesterday against a Rebels team that was missing two of their best players.  I wasn't impressed at all with that win.

What I was impressed with was Colorado State handing Utah State its worst loss of the season in a 93-66 home win on March 1st just two weeks ago.  It will be more of the same in the rematch, and the Rams should be favored here by a lot more.  Bet Colorado State Friday.

20* Cal Poly/UC-Irvine Big West Late-Night BAILOUT on UC-Irvine -10

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  The system is even better when the rested team is playing a team playing for a 3rd straight day.

That is the case here as Cal Poly will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day while UC-Irvine got a bye into the semifinals.  That's a huge rest advantage for the Anteaters, who have been off since March 8th and are highly motivated to get to the final.  Irvine beat Cal Poly 101-71 in their last meeting this season.  Bet UC-Irvine Friday.

15* Kentucky/Alabama SEC ANNIHILATOR on Alabama -6

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Kentucky beat Oklahoma 85-84 at the buzzer yesterday.  That was a poor result considering Oklahoma played a grueling game the day before while Kentucky was rested.

Now it's Kentucky at the rest disadvantage because Alabama got a bye into the quarterfinals today.  And Kentucky lost Lamont Butler (11.5 PPG) to an injury in that game, and they were already without Jax Robinson (13.0 PPG).  They don't have the firepower to keep up with Alabama today without two of their top four scorers.  The Crimson Tide won by 5 on the road and by 13 at home in their two regular season meetings with the Wildcats and scored a combined 198 points in both wins.  Bet Alabama Friday.

15* Arizona/Texas Tech Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Texas Tech ML -130

Texas Tech was crushing Baylor before going extremely cold down the stretch and letting the Bears make it interesting late.  Arizona played the late game and beat Kansas 88-77 as 3-point favorites.  I think those two misleading finals have Texas Tech laying less point than they should be today.

Texas Tech is by far the superior team here.  Arizona benefited from playing a Kansas team that was tired and coming off an OT game against UCF the day before.  Kansas also just isn't that good this season.  The Red Raiders were playing a Baylor team desperate to punch their ticket into the NCAA Tournament with a win as they were on the bubble.

Texas Tech is fully healthy and one of the best teams in the country when that's the case.  The Red Raiders are 7th in Kenpom while the Wildcats are 12th.  I'm confident the Red Raiders win this game today and will take them on the ML instead of laying the points.  Bet Texas Tech on the Money Line Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Raptors/Jazz OVER 234.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 13-5 OVER in their last 18 games overall with 236 or more combined points in 12 of those 18 games.  They have had many different lineups during this stretch due to rest and injury, and they still keep going OVER.

But now the Jazz are actually supposed to have all of their top plays available tonight with the exception of John Collins.  They should get themselves into another shootout with the Toronto Raptors, who are lacking size inside with Poeltl out.  But they have Barrett and Quickley healthy and playing, and those two guards are the key to them being an OVER team.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* UConn/Creighton Big East No-Brainer on UConn -3.5

It's Tournament Time and the UConn Huskies are as dangerous as they come in tournament action.  They won the NCAA title the last two years, and they are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  UConn is 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in its last five games overall.

While UConn made easy work of Villanova in a 73-56 win yesterday, Creighton had to go to double-overtime to beat lowly DePaul 85-81 (2 OT) yesterday.  The Bluejays lack depth as it is, and Kalbrenner played 47 minutes while Neal played all 50 in the win.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Huskies today.  Bet UConn Friday.

15* Purdue/Michigan Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Michigan +3

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Purdue is coming off a 76-71 comeback win over a USC team that was coming off a double-OT game the previous day.  It's concerning that Purdue struggled to put away USC given the rest advantage.  Now it's Purdue at the rest disadvantage playing a Michigan team that got a bye into the quarterfinals today.  It's a very motivated Michigan team that lost three straight to close out the regular season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Michigan Friday.

15* Seattle/Utah Valley WAC ANNIHILATOR on Utah Valley -3

The WAC Tournament is a little quirky but the top teams have the advantage.  No. 1 seed Utah Valley crushed Utah Tech 74-57 as 12.5-point favorites on Wednesday, while No. 5 seed Seattle squeaked by Abilene Christian 69-63 as 6-point favorites on Thursday.

So Utah Valley has the rest advantage after having yesterday off.  With that rest and preparation advantage, plus the fact that Utah Valley won and covered against Seattle in both meetings this season, they should be more than 3-point favorites today.  Bet Utah Valley Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Clippers/Hawks OVER 233

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team as long as Trae Young is healthy, which he is right now and the Hawks in general are very healthy.  The Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 233 points in eight consecutive games, making for an 8-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 233-point total.

The Clippers are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall including 247 combined points with New Orleans, 238 without Detroit and 236 with Phoenix.  Adding Bogdanovic has really helped them out offensively and makes up for the loss of Norman Powell.  He scored 30 points last game and his shooting is a welcome addition to this offense.

The Clippers and Hawks have combined for at least 233 points in three of their last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* St. Joe's/Dayton Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on Dayton ML -122

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  St. Joseph's beat La Salle 75-70 as 12.5-point favorites yesterday, while Dayton got a bye into the quarterfinals.  The Flyers have won four straight games coming in including a 79-76 upset win at VCU as 10-point dogs.  Bet Dayton Friday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -12

The Philadelphia 76ers are in full blown tank mode.  They've already shut down Embiid, George and Maxey and have seven played listed out tonight.  They have since added Oubre Jr. and Grimes to the injury report, and those were their two best remaining players.  They are questionable, as are Edwards, Drummond and Yabusele.

The 76ers are coming off a 13-point road loss at Toronto.  They will be playing their 4th game in 6 days which isn't good for being short-handed.  They must face a fully healthy Indiana Pacers team that will run them out of the building tonight.

The Pacers had lost three straight prior to beating the Bucks basically at the buzzer with a 4-point play.  Tyrese Haliburton returned from a 3-game absence to deliver said 4-point play.  They lost all three games without him, and they really go as he goes.  They are back to full strength now and have had the last two days off to rest and recover.  Bet the Pacers Friday.

20* UNC/Duke ACC No-Brainer on UNC +7.5

Duke lost Cooper Flagg (18.9 PPG, 7.5 PPG, 4.1 APG) to an ankle injury yesterday to Georgia Tech.  They also lost their best defender in Maliq Brown to another dislocated shoulder.  They will almost certainly be without both guys today.

Duke should not be 7.5-point favorites over North Carolina without Flagg and Brown.  Flagg had 15 points, 9 rebounds and 6 assists to lead the Blue Devils to a 82-69 win over UNC in the regular-season finale.  Brown had 8 points and was a menace switching on the perimeter to stop UNC's guards down the stretch.  UNC led basically the entire way until the final few minutes with Duke pulling away late.  UNC wants revenge and has a great shot at getting that revenge today without having to deal with Flagg and Brown.  Bet UNC Friday.

15* Missouri/Florida SEC ANNIHILATOR on OVER 161

Florida is 4-0 OVER in its last four games overall with 159 or more combined points in all four games.  Missouri is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games overall with 161 or more combined points in seven of those eight games.  Missouri and Florida combined for 165 points in their lone meeting this season and neither team shot it all that well with Florida at 48.1% and Missouri at 44.3%.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Illinois/Maryland Big Ten No-Brainer on Maryland -1

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  Illinois played an absolute shootout against Iowa yesterday in a 106-94 victory and I question how much they'll have left in the tank.

Maryland got a bye into the quarterfinals.  The Terrapins already beat Illinois 91-70 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  Bet Maryland Friday.

15* George Washington/George Mason Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on George Mason -2.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  George Washington beat Fordham 88-81 yesterday, while George Mason got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Bet George Mason Friday.

20* Texas/Tennessee SEC No-Brainer on Tennessee -9.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  The system is even better when the rested team is playing a team playing for a 3rd straight day.

That is the case here as Texas will be playing for a 3rd consecutive day while Tennessee got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Texas was in two dog fights the last two days beating Vanderbilt 79-72 before upsetting Texas A&M 94-89 (2 OT) yesterday.  That 2 OT game will make the Longhorns even more tired head into this one as three starters played at least 40 minutes yesterday.  Bet Tennessee Friday.

15* FAU/Tulane AAC ANNIHILATOR on Tulane +3.5

This play fits into a conference tournament system where we play on the rested team against a team that played the previous day and was in a close game.  FAU beat Charlotte 64-59 as 10-point favorites yesterday, while Tulane got a bye into the quarterfinals.  Tulane beat FAU 80-65 in their lone meeting this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Tulane Friday.

20* UNLV/Utah State MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah State -7

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Oklahoma/Kentucky SEC ANNIHILATOR on Kentucky -6.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Villanova/UConn Big East No-Brainer on UConn -5.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* USC/Purdue Big Ten No-Brainer on Purdue -9

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Nevada/Colorado State MWC No-Brainer on Colorado State -4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Lakers/Bucks TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -5.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +14.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* DePaul/Creighton Big East ANNIHILATOR on Creighton -11.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Baylor/Texas Tech Big 12 No-Brainer on Texas Tech -5.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Stanford/Louisville ACC ANNIHILATOR on Louisville -10

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Iowa/Illinois Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Illinois -10.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Texas/Texas A&M SEC No-Brainer on Texas A&M -6

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Northwestern/Wisconsin Big Ten No-Brainer on Wisconsin -7.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Xavier +2

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Davidson/Saint Louis Atlantic 10 No-Brainer on Saint Louis -3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Arkansas/Ole Miss SEC No-Brainer on Ole Miss -3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Iowa State/BYU Big 12 No-Brainer on BYU +3

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Timberwolves/Nuggets ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 234

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* USC/Rutgers Big Ten No-Brainer on Rutgers PK

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on USC/Rutgers OVER 154

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +12.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +8.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Stanford -5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* La Salle/UMass A-10 ANNIHILATOR on UMass -2.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on San Jose State -1

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Fordham/Rhode Island A-10 ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island -4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* South Carolina/Arkansas SEC Early ANNIHILATOR on South Carolina +4.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* UCF/Utah Big 12 Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 156.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Lamar +1

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Bucks/Pacers OVER 232

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on McNeese State -12.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Arizona State/Kansas State Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 143

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Colorado/TCU Big 12 No-Brainer on UNDER 134.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Cincinnati/Oklahoma State Big 12 Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 139

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* San Francisco/Gonzaga ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 153.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm no vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Knicks/Kings NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 226.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Monday Night BLOWOUT on Golden State Warriors -12

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* Pepperdine/St. Mary’s ESPN No-Brainer on St. Mary’s -18.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Nuggets/Thunder NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 241

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +6

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Raptors OVER 229.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +9.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Hawks -8.5

No analysis from Monday, March 10th through Thursday, March 13th. I'm on vacation for 4 days. I will be putting in the same amount of research as normal on every play I release and betting them all myself as well. I'm just saving myself some time by not writing analysis so I can enjoy my vacation a little more. Good luck everyone! I'll be back with analysis on Friday, March 14th.

15* Cavs/Bucks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee +9

The Cleveland Cavaliers are struggling to find much motivation since their big comeback win over the Celtics that basically cemented their spot in 1st place in the East.  They have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games, and the one game they covered they were actually tied in the 4th quarter with the Bulls before pulling away late.

They only beat Charlotte by 1 as 16-point favorites, only beat Miami by 5 as 13.5-point favorites and needed OT to beat the Blazers as double-digit favorites.  They lead the Celtics by 7.5 games for 1st place and I think motivation will continue to be an issue for them the rest of the way.  I think you can fade them in every game and make money.

This line has been adjusted up too much for the Bucks playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  They lost to the Magic at home yesterday so there's no travel involved as they are home again today.  They also had 2 days off prior to that loss to the Magic, so they should still be pretty fresh.

Giannis, Lillard and Kuzma have all been ruled in and this line has since crashed a little.  I expected them all to play which is why I grabbed the +9.  I think they were looking ahead to this game and overlooking the Magic yesterday.  The Bucks are 8-2 SU & 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall with the two losses coming by 2 and 3 points.  Bet the Bucks Sunday.

20* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Spurs/Timberwolves OVER 233

The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team since losing Defensive Player of the Year favorite Victor Wembenyama to a season-ending injury.  They are going small ball and playing as fast as they can led by De'Aaron Fox.

The Spurs are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall combining for 258 points with Memphis, 278 with Oklahoma City and even 240 against a dead nuts under team in Brooklyn.  They also went for 236 combined points with the Kings in their last game, a Kings team that was missing two key starters in Sabonis and Monk.

The Timberwolves have had to go more small ball without Rudy Gobert who is questionable again tonight.  It has unlocked their offense, but they are obviously much worse off defensively.  The Timberwolves are 6-3 OVER in their last nine games overall going for 233 or more combined points in six of those nine games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Suns/Mavericks ABC ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix -8

The Phoenix Suns are showing that they are fighting to make the playoffs.  They had a 20-point comeback to beat the Clippers two games ago, and they took the Nuggets to overtime on the road in their last game.

Now the Suns are in a must-win situation today because they play the team they are trailing to make the play-in in the Dallas Mavericks.  They are 2.5 games behind the Mavericks for that last play-in spot.

The Mavericks have a whopping 10 players on the injury report heading into this game with 8 of them ruled out.  They are basically fielding a G League team right now.  They are 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall with four straight blowout losses by 11 points or more.  I don't see them keeping this game competitive against the Suns today, either.  Bet the Suns Sunday.

20* Bradley/Drake MVC No-Brainer on UNDER 124

MVC Tournament UNDERS are hitting at about a 67% clip over the last 10 seasons.  Players just struggle with the shooting background at Enterprise Center in St. Louis.  The UNDER is 9-1 (90%) in the first 10 games of the MVC Tournament this season.  

It will be more of the same in the Championship Game today.  This will be the 3d meeting between Drake and Bradley this season.  The first two saw just 121 and 120 combined points.  I expect an even lower-scoring game in the title game.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Drake -2

I think getting to play the early game the day before is a huge advantage.  Teams that play the early game in these conference tournaments get to scout the team that plays in the late game for their upcoming showdown the next day.

Drake crushed SIU 70-53 before needing a comeback to beat Belmont 57-50 yesterday.  The Bulldogs should still be pretty fresh, and they play at one of the slowest tempos in the country to help them remain fresh.

Bradley was in two wars with Murray State and Valparaiso the last two days.  Those are two terrible teams in the MVC and they took the Braves to the wire.  They beat Murray State 70-62 two days ago before topping Valparaiso 70-65 yesterday.  Now the Braves will be tested playing their 3rd game in 3 days and another war in store.  I expect Drake to pull away late.  

The Bulldogs own the Braves going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Drake Sunday.

15* Nuggets/Thunder ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -7.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are rested and ready to go today against the Denver Nuggets.  They rested all of their starters and still beat the Blazers 107-89 on Friday.  Their starters have now had the last three days off heading into this game and are primed for a big effort.

The Denver Nuggets are coming off a thrilling 149-141 (OT) home win over the Suns on Friday.  Jokic had the first 30-20-20 game in NBA history.  The Nuggets won't be nearly as fresh for this one, and you can bet the Thunder will rally around Shai-Gilgeous Alexander to try and get them a win to bolster his MVP case as he is neck and neck with Jokic.

The Thunder have won four of their last five meetings with the Nuggets as this has proven to be a terrible matchup for Denver.  Four of those games were on the road as well.  It's going to be a raucous home atmosphere for the Thunder today with the Nuggets coming to town, and the Thunder are 27-4 SU & 19-11-1 ATS at home this season.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on East Carolina +5.5

East Carolina is alive for a Top 4 seed in the AAC which would get the Pirates a double-bye in the AAC Tournament.  They need to win today and have Tulane lose to UAB, and the Green Wave are underdogs to the Blazers so that is a very realistic possibility.

Florida Atlantic has nothing to play for today.  They haven't been playing well at all down the stretch going 1-4 SU in their last five games and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games.  They should not be this big of favorites today.

East Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last seven games overall with its lone loss coming on the road by 5 points.  The Pirates are playing the much better basketball right now, and not only will they be motivated for a double-bye, but they also want revenge from a 78-76 loss to FAU in their first meeting this season way back on January 5th.  These teams have gone in opposite directions since then, and that will play out on the court today.  Bet East Carolina Sunday.

15* Utah/BYU ESPNU Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 153.5

The BYU Cougars are an elite offensive team.  They rank 12th in adjusted offense, 4th in effective FG percentage and 28th in 3-point percentage.  The Cougars are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall combining for 173 points with Iowa State, 172 with Arizona State and 191 with Arizona in three of their last four games.

Utah likes to play fast ranking 98th in adjusted tempo, 75th in adjusted offense and just 80th in adjusted defense.  The Utes went for 172 combined points with Arizona State two games back.

What really stood out was how poorly these teams shot in their 1st meeting this season, which was a 73-72 home win for Utah and just 145 combined points.  BYU shot 38.5% from the field, 8-of-30 (26.7%) from 3-point range and 4-of-10 (40%) from the FT line.  

Utah shot 44.6% from the field, 6-of-23 (26.1%) from 3-point range and a woeful 17-of-32 (53.1%) from the FT line.  It's safe to say both teams are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Bulls +3.5

The Chicago Bulls are in the final play-in spot in the East currently so they still have something to play for here down the stretch.  They continue showing up every night and I think they'll give the Miami Heat a run for their money tonight.

The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall including an upset road win at Orlando.  They have three losses by 5 points or fewer during this stretch, and they have been competitive in almost every game.

This is a terrible spot for Miami and the biggest reason I'm on the Bulls tonight.  The Heat will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 106-104 home loss to the Timberwolves last night.  This will also be the 5th game in 7 days for the Heat.

Adebayo played 43 minutes, Herro 39 and Mitchell 38 last night.  The Heat are already short-handed without Jovic and Smith, while Wiggins, Ware and Burks are all questionable to play tonight.  Bet the Bulls Saturday.

20* Texas Tech/Arizona State ESPNU No-Brainer on OVER 151.5

Texas Tech beat Arizona State 111-106 (2 OT) in their first meeting this season on February 12th.  But that game was still tied 90-90 at the end of regulation for 180 combined points, so we have 28.5 points to spare in the rematch with this 151.5-point total.

The Red Raiders just got two of their top three scorers back from injury in McMillian and Williams two games ago.  They won 78-73 at Kansas for 151 combined points and 91-75 at home over Colorado for 166 combined points.  Kansas is a dead nuts under team with all defense and suspect offense, and the same goes for Colorado.

Now the Red Raiders face an Arizona State team that has completely let go of the rope defensively down the stretch.  The Sun Devils are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall, including three straight absolute shootouts losing 91-81 to BYU for 172 combined points, losing 99-73 to Utah for 172 combined points and losing 113-100 to Arizona for 213 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pacers/Hawks OVER 242.5

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off tonight when the Indiana Pacers visit the Atlanta Hawks.  Both teams like to play fast as the Hawks rank 2nd in pace while the Pacers rank 8th.  This game will see a ton of possessions and should sail OVER this 242.5-point total.

The Hawks have really been a dead nuts OVER team since trading for Georges Niang and Caris LeVert.  The Hawks are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall.  They have gone for 248 or more combined points in four of those seven games, including 291 with Detroit and 262 with Memphis.

The OVER is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between the Hawks and Pacers with 255 or more combined points in seven of those 11 meetings.  They have gone for 259 or more combined points in five of their last seven meetings.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -2

The Indiana Pacers want revenge from a 124-118 road loss at Atlanta on Thursday just two nights ago.  They blew an 8-point lead heading into the 4th quarter.  But they didn't have Tyrese Haliburton for that game and still should have won.  There's a decent chance he returns to action tonight.

That was a rare loss for the Pacers in this head-to-head series as they simply own the Hawks.  The Pacers are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Hawks with three wins by 18 points or more.  I expect them to have their revenge in a big way tonight.  Bet the Pacers Saturday.

20* Duke/UNC ESPN No-Brainer on North Carolina +11.5

The North Carolina Tar Heels are one of the most improved teams in the country here down the stretch.  They have gone 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with each of their last five wins coming by 11 points or more and by an average of 20.2 points per game.

This late surge has put the Tar Heels on the bubble to make the NCAA Tournament.  An upset win over Duke would cement their spot.  They want revenge from a 87-70 road loss at Duke in their first meeting this season as 13.5-point dogs.  This line is now 11.5 in the rematch, which isn't adjusted enough for home-court advantage.  It should be much closer to 7, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the Tar Heels win this game outright.

No question Duke will be motivated to beat their rival, but I don't think they'll have the same motivation they normally would going into this rivalry game.  They have already clinched an ACC regular season title and are locked in to a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.  They already beat UNC by 17 as well, so there's not as much of a sense of urgency after already blowing them out once.  But this is a totally different UNC team from that first meeting, and I expect them to give the Blue Devils a run for their money today.  Bet North Carolina Saturday.

15* ACC Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Duke/UNC OVER 156.5

North Carolina has been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  The Tar Heels are 7-0 OVER in their last seven games overall with 165 or more combined points in four of those games.  They have scored at least 88 points in five of their last six games with the lone exception being the 81 they scored against a dead nuts under team in Virginia that plays at one of the slowest tempos in college basketball.

Duke is 6-0 OVER in its last six games overall with 157 or more combined points in four of those six games.  The Blue Devils have scored at least 93 points in five of those six games, with the lone exception being against that same dead nuts under team in Virginia in which they scored 80.

The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 157, 163 and 177 combined points.  Bet the OVER In this game Saturday.

20* Valparaiso/Bradley MVC No-Brainer on UNDER 145.5

MVC Tournament UNDERS are hitting at about a 66% clip over the last 10 seasons.  Players just struggle with the shooting background at Enterprise Center in St. Louis.  The UNDER is 7-1 (88%) in the first eight games of the MVC Tournament this season.

Bradley beat Murray State 70-62 yesterday for just 132 combined points, while Valparaiso beat Northern Iowa 64-63 yesterday for just 127 combined points.  Bradley and Valparaiso combined for 126 and 141 points at the end of regulation in their two regular season meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Ole Miss/Florida SEC No-Brainer on OVER 156.5

Florida ranks 67th in adjusted tempo and 4th in adjusted offense.  Ole Miss also prefers to play faster ranking 132nd in adjusted tempo and 24th in adjusted offense.  This is a matchup of elite guards on both sides, and it should be a shootout in the regular season finale.

Ole Miss is 7-2 OVER in its last nine games overall, including 171 combined points with Oklahoma, 182 with Auburn, 174 with Auburn and 182 with Kentucky.  Florida is 3-0 OVER in its last three games overall combining for 171 points with Georgia, 159 with Texas A&M and 193 with Alabama.  

Ole Miss beat Florida 103-85 for 188 combined points in their lone meeting last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +12.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers have completely let go of the rope here down the stretch and have no business being a 12.5-point favorite over Boston College as a result.  The Panthers are 4-12 SU & 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall, including four straight losses with three upset losses to Notre Dame, Georgia Tech and NC State.

Boston College continues to play hard here down the stretch going 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Eagles gave Clemson a run for their money last game in a 9-point loss against one of the top teams in the ACC.  They will be able to hang with Pittsburgh today.  Bet Boston College Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Xavier -11

The Xavier Musketeers are fully healthy and playing as well as anyone in the Big East right now.  The Musketeers have gone 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall to play themselves onto the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.

Xavier followed up its 22-point home win over Creighton with a 13-point road win at Butler.  Joe Lunardi has them listed as the last team in the field, so they know they still have some work to do to make the NCAA Tournament.  That's why they'll still be max motivated to beat Providence today.

Providence has completely let go of the rope here down the stretch.  The Friars are 1-8 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall, including 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games with four straight terrible losses.  They lost by 21 at Georgetown, by 30 at Marquette, by 12 at home to UConn and were upset as 9-point home favorites by DePaul.  

Xavier beat Providence 91-82 on the road on February 12th in their first meeting this season.  They won by 9 despite the Friars shooting 53.7% from the field.  They aren't going to shoot that well in the rematch, and it will be an even bigger blowout as a result.  Bet Xavier Saturday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Utah State -21.5

I love the spot for the Utah State Aggies today.  They are coming off two straight embarrassing road losses by 17 at Boise State and by 27 at Colorado State.  They have had the last week off to recover, and I expect a big effort from them today.

The Aggies are now on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament, so they can't afford to take Air Force lightly.  They certainly didn't when they blasted Air Force 87-58 on the road in their first meeting this season.  I expect it to be more of the same in the rematch.

Air Force has lost three straight games by 21 or more points coming in, and they have lost seven of their last 11 games by 21-plus points.  Bet Utah State Saturday.

20* Belmont/Drake MVC No-Brainer on UNDER 138.5

MVC Tournament UNDERS are hitting at about a 66% clip over the last 10 seasons.  Players just struggle with the shooting background at Enterprise Center in St. Louis.  The UNDER is 7-1 (88%) in the first eight games of the MVC Tournament this season.

Drake beat Belmont 65-46 for just 111 combined points in their lone regular season meeting.  Drake ranks 364th in adjusted tempo and slows games down to a crawl.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Alabama/Auburn ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 177.5

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 1st in adjusted tempo, 3rd in adjusted offense and 5th in average length of offensive possession.  Alabama and its opponents have combined for at least 179 points in six of their last seven games overall.

Auburn ranks 130th in adjusted tempo and 1st in adjusted offense.  The OVER is 9-2 in Auburn's last 11 games overall.  They beat Alabama 94-85 in their first meeting this season for 179 combined points.

They got to 179 combined points despite Alabama shooting just 38.6% from the field and 5-of-26 (19.2%) from 3-point range.  It's not like Auburn lit it up either shooting 46.2% from the field.  So there's clearly room for improvement in the shooting department in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 Total DOMINATOR on Fordham/Rhode Island OVER 158.5

Rhode Island is very much an OVER team ranking 45th in adjusted tempo.  The Rams are 18-10 OVER in all games this season.  The Rams are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games with 157 or more combined points in six of them.

Fordham also prefers to play fast ranking 59th in adjusted tempo and 269th in adjusted defense.  The OVER is 7-3 in Rams' last 10 games overall with 159 or more combined points four times.

Fordham beat Rhode Island 80-79 for 159 combined points in their first meeting this season.  Neither team shot that well as Fordham shot 43.5% while Rhode Island shot 46.6%, so if anything there's room for improved shooting in the rematch.  Neither team has anything at stake here so I expect relaxed defense and all offense.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* ACC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on NC State/Miami OVER 149

Both Miami and NC State are going to finish in the Bottom 3 of the ACC standings and thus will not be playing in the ACC Tournament.  So this is a completely meaningless game and the final game of the season for both teams.  I expect all offense and zero defense as this game is played like a pick up game.

All Miami games are played like a pick up game.  The Hurricanes are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 163 combined points with Georgia Tech, 165 with UNC, 157 with Duke and 149 with Virginia Tech.  The Hurricanes are playing zero defense here down the stretch allowing 89.8 points per game in their last four.  They rank 68th in adjusted offense and 341st in adjusted defense this season.

NC State is 5-3 OVER in its last eight games overall.  The 2024 ACC Tournament champs won't get that chance to make another run.  Look for them to let go of the rope defensively today and oblige in a shootout with the Hurricanes.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* St. John's/Marquette FOX Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 143.5

St. John's is going to be without PG Deivon Smith (9.9 PPG, 4.1 APG) today.  They will be a little lost offensively without him and will have to rely on defense even more.  That's something they have no problem with ranking 2nd in the country in adjusted defense.  What they do struggle with is shooting, ranking 248th in effective FG percentage and 337th in 3-point percentage on offense.

Marquette is also an elite offensive team ranking 19th in adjusted defense.  The Golden Eagles rank 362nd in average length of defensive possession, making opponents work hard to even get a shot up.  St. John's does the same thing ranking 338th in average length of defensive possession.

That's why it was no surprise to see these teams both struggle offensively in their first meeting this season.  St. John's won 70-64 for just 134 combined points on February 4th.  I'm expecting another defensive struggle in the rematch.  

The UNDER is 9-4 in Red Storm last 13 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-2 in Golden Eagles last eight games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Knicks/Clippers UNDER 218.5

Both the Knicks and Clippers will be without their top scorers tonight due to injury.  The Knicks will be without Jalen Brunson (26.3 PPG, 7.4 APG) while the Clippers will be without Norman Powell (23.8 PPG).  Both offenses will really struggle as a result.

The Knicks have been a dead nuts UNDER team even with Brunson in the lineup here of late.  They have gone 5-1 UNDER in their last six games overall and would be 6-0 UNDER if not for OT.  The Knicks and their opponents have combined for 216 or fewer points at the end of regulation in four of their last five games.

The Clippers have been a dead nuts UNDER team all season.  They rank 21st in pace and 4th in defensive rating.  The Knicks rank 24th in pace this season.  The Knicks and Clippers have combined for 212 or fewer points at the end of regulation in six of their last seven meetings, making for a 6-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 218.5-point total.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* Spurs/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Spurs/Kings OVER 234.5

The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team since losing Defensive Player of the Year favorite Victor Wembenyama to a season-ending injury.  They are going small ball and playing as fast as they can led by De'Aaron Fox.

The Spurs are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall combining for 258 points with Memphis, 278 with Oklahoma City and even 240 against a dead nuts under team in Brooklyn.  They won two of those three games so this fast pace is working, and they are going to stick with it tonight.

The Kings are lighting it up offensively here down the stretch scoring at least 118 points in seven of their last 10 games overall.  I expect them to get to that number again tonight while the Spurs keep up in a shootout.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +5.5

The San Antonio Spurs will rally around De'Aaron Fox tonight and try and get him some revenge against the team that traded him away in the Sacramento Kings.  The Spurs are playing well in their last three games taking the Thunder to the wire in a loss, upsetting Memphis and beating Brooklyn by 14.

The Spurs now have two days off in between games to rest and prepare to beat the Kings.  The Kings are in a world of hurt right now in the injury department missing two starters in Sabonis (19.5 PPG, 14.1 RPG, 6.2 APG) and Mink (17.6 PPG, 5.9 APG).  They should not be this heavily favored over the Spurs without these guys.  Bet the Spurs Friday.

20* MVC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso/Northern Iowa UNDER 145.5

MVC Tournament UNDERS are hitting at about a 65% clip since moving to the Enterprise Center.  They went 3-1 in the opening round yesterday.  I'm riding every one of them today in the quarterfinals.

20* WCC GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland -1

No team is flying under the radar quite like the Portland Pilots here down the stretch.  The Pilots are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  That includes outright upsets victories over Oregon State by 12 as 13.5-point dogs, Loyola-Marymount by 11 as 5-point dogs and Pacific by 8 as 3-point dogs.  The Pilots only lost by 13 at Saint Mary's as 23.5-point dogs as well.  They also beat Pepperdine by 20 twice.

ATS margin is a great way to tell just how undervalued a team is.  Well, the Pilots are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall while covering the spread by a combined 75.5 points in those six games, or an average of 12.6 points per game.  All five of their ATS wins came by at least 10.5 points.

I'm willing to forgive Portland for a 82-80 road loss at San Diego as 2-point favorites in their regular season finale because they had nothing to play for.  It was Senior Night for San Diego and they were clearly the more motivated team.  San Diego went on to upset Pacific in the WCC Tournament yesterday.

Pepperdine is 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in its last nine games overall with its lone win coming at home over San Diego.  That includes two 20-point losses to Portland, and there's no way the Waves should be getting this much respect again in their 3rd and final meeting.  The Pilots will obviously be max motivated with their season on the line and won't take the Waves lightly.  It's going to be another blowout in their favor.  Bet Portland Friday.

20* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Portland Trail Blazers +3

The Oklahoma City Thunder are resting five starters in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Jalen Williams, Luguentz Dort, Isaiah Hartenstein and Cason Wallace tonight.  Chet Holmgren is questionable as well.  They are clearly throwing in the towel for this game to try and get their guys some rest for the stretch run.

The Portland Trail Blazers have too much to play for to take the Thunder lightly.  They are just 4 games back of the final play-in spot in the West, and the team they are chasing is the Mavericks who are in a world of hurt with all their injuries and likely to drop out of the playoffs.

The Blazers have quietly gone 15-7 SU & 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games overall to put themselves in this position.  They aren't going to pack it in now.  Look for them to win this game outright tonight.  Bet the Blazers Friday.