20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Yankees OVER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Yankee Stadium tonight.  That's bad news for these two gas can starting pitchers in what should be an absolute slug fest tonight after the 12-inning marathon last night that taxed both bullpens.

Joey Cantillo is 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in three starts for the Guardians this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 21 base runners in 13 innings.

Nestor Cortes has allowed at least 3 earned runs in seven of his last nine starts.  He has allowed 24 earned runs and 6 homers in 30 1/3 innings in his last six starts for a 7.12 ERA.  Cortes allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of an 8-7 loss to the Guardians in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Marlins OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 67 runs in their last 10 games for an average of 6.7 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own like they did in Game 1 in a 9-6 win over the Marlins.

But Miami is a much better offensive team than they get credit for.  The Marlins have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last nine games overall.  They are 69-55-2 OVER in all games this season.  They have a terrible staff and bullpen and give up 5.1 runs per game.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight.  Roddery Munoz is 2-7 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 15 starts for the Marlins this season.  He has allowed a whopping 22 homers in 78 innings.  Jordan Montgomery is 8-6 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 18 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.

The OVER is 17-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 23 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 17 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Padres OVER 8

The Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game while the Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in baseball.  This is a very low total of 8 given what these two offenses are capable of up against these two gas can starting pitchers.

Rookie Simeon Woods-Richardson is 4-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 21 starts for the Twins this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in for a 6.05 ERA.

Matt Waldron is 7-10 with a 4.29 ERA in 25 starts for the Padres this season.  Waldron has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in for an 8.24 ERA.

The Twins and Padres have combined for at least 7 runs in nine of their last 11 meetings.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in San Diego tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Brewers/Cardinals OVER 7.5

The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season with one of the most underrated offenses in baseball.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Brewers.

The Cardinals have been an average offensive team, but they should get their bats going against gas can Frankie Montas tonight.  Montas is 5-8 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 22 starts for the Brewers this season.

The Cardinals traded for Erick Fedde from the White Sox.  While he was decent in Chicago, it has been a struggle for him of late.  Fedde has allowed 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 1/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 5 innings of a 12-5 loss to the Brewers in his lone start against them this season.

The OVER is 7-0 in Montas' last seven starts with 9 or more combined runs in all seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Mets OVER 8

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season.  This total of 8 is too low for a game involving these two offenses up against these two suspect starting pitchers.

Dean Kremer is 5-9 with a 4.48 ERA in 17 starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 10 earned runs and 24 base runners in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Jose Quintana is 6-8 with a 4.26 ERA in 24 starts for the Mets this season.  Quintana has allowed 12 earned runs and 24 base runners in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in despite facing three of the worst offenses in baseball in the Angels, Mariners and A's.  

The OVER is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 14 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Marlins OVER 7.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 64 runs in their last nine games for an average of 7.1 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own like they did in Game 1 yesterday in a 9-6 win over the Marlins.

But Miami is a much better offensive team than they get credit for.  The Marlins have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last eight games overall.  They are 69-54-2 OVER in all games this season.  They have a terrible staff and bullpen and give up 5.1 runs per game.

Eduardo Rodriquez will be making just his 3rd start of the season.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 2/3 innings. Edward Cabrera is an absolute gas can for the Marlins.  He is 2-4 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing 38 earned runs and 11 homers in 59 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 17-4-1 in Diamondbacks last 22 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 17 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Twins/Padres OVER 7

The Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game while the Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in baseball.  This is a very low total of 7 given what these two offenses are capable of.

Rookie Zebbie Matthews will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Twins.  Michael King is having a solid season, but he is also getting too much respect here.  He isn't used to eating up this many innings and regression will hit him sooner rather than later.

The Twins and Padres have combined for at least 7 runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Red Sox/Astros AL No-Brainer on OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 20-6-1 OVER in their last 27 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 22 of those 27 games.  The Red Sox are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game.

The Astros and Red Sox have combined for at least 8 runs in 10 consecutive meetings, including 9 runs or more in nine of those.  That makes for a 9-0-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.

Yusei Kikuchi does not enjoy facing the Red Sox, allowing 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Regression has hit Tanner Houck hard since the All-Star Break.  He has allowed 24 earned runs in 43 1/3 innings for a 4.98 ERA in his last eight starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Orioles/Mets Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season while the New York Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game.  These are two of the best offenses in baseball, and the result should be a slug fest tonight in New York.

Trevor Rogers has been an absolute gas can all season.  He is 2-11 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 24 starts between the Marlins and Orioles.  Rogers has allowed 12 earned runs and 27 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his three starts since getting traded to Baltimore.

David Peterson is having a solid season for the Mets but he is fortunate to have a 3.04 ERA in 13 starts when you consider he has a 1.39 WHIP and just 56 K's in 71 innings.  Regression will hit him, especially taking a big step up in class here against the Orioles.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 13 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona Diamondbacks -110

The Arizona Diamondbacks will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays. The Diamondbacks are 18-5 in their last 23 games overall and not only motivated to make the postseason, but to catch the Dodgers in the NL West as well.

Reinforcements are on the way as Merrill Kelly just returned from injury and allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 innings to the Phillies in his last start. He should only get stronger as the season goes on.

Drew Rasmussen will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Rays. He allowed 3 earned runs in one innings of a 7-5 loss to the Orioles on August 10th. Bet the Diamondbacks Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 9

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 20-5-1 OVER in their last 26 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 22 of those 26 games.  The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season behind one of the best offenses in baseball.

Regression has hit Kutter Crawford hard in recent weeks.  Crawford has allowed a whopping 26 earned runs and 13 homers in 24 innings in his last five starts coming in.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Orioles in his last start against them as well. The Orioles will do the heavy lifting as we easily cash this OVER 9 ticket. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -125

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series to the Boston Red Sox. They will avoid the sweep today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Albert Suarez is 5-4 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 90 1/3 innings this season. Suarez held the Red Sox to 2 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his lone career start against them.

Regression has hit Kutter Crawford hard in recent weeks. Crawford has allowed a whopping 26 earned runs and 13 homers in 24 innings in his last five starts coming in. He allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Orioles in his last start against them as well. Bet the Orioles Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Cardinals OVER 8

The Dodgers are back to near full strength offensively and one of the most potent offenses in baseball when that's the case. They have scored at least 4 runs in nine consecutive games.

The Dodgers and Cardinals have combined for at least 9 runs in seven consecutive meetings, making for a 7-0 system backing the OVER. Miller and Pallante are both overmatched starters in this one. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 9

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 20-4-1 OVER in their last 25 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 22 of those 25 games.  The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season behind one of the best offenses in baseball.

This total is too short tonight when you consider there will be 11 MPH winds blowing out to left in Baltimore today.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 11 or more combined runs in five of them. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NFLX TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Cardinals/Colts OVER 37.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Commanders +1

No analysis for preseason.

20* NFLX Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Commanders/Dolphins OVER 37

No analysis for preseason.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Marlins and Mets today. There will be 13 MPH winds blowing out to left with temps in the 80's at Citi Field.

Max Meyer has allowed 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts. Luis Severino has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 innings in his last three starts. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on DBacks/Rays OVER 7.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 47 runs in their last six games.  They are capable of covering this total on their own today.

The OVER is 15-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 19 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 15 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Braves/Angels MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on Atlanta -134

The Atlanta Braves have a big advantage at the plate over the Los Angeles Angels tonight. They have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last nine games overall. The Angels have been held to 2 runs or fewer in five of their last nine games.

I like what I've seen from Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 4-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 12 starts for the Braves this season. He has allowed just 5 earned runs and 16 base runners in 20 innings with 28 K's in his last three starts coming in. Bet the Braves Friday.

15* Guardians/Brewers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight against two of the most underrated lineups in baseball. The Brewers are scoring 4.8 runs per game while the Guardians are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season.

Gavin Williams is 2-4 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in eight starts for the Guardians this season. Williams has allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Aaron Civale is 3-8 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 23 starts this season. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Rays OVER 7.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 43 runs in their last five games.  They are capable of covering this total on their own today.

The OVER is 14-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 18 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of them. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* DBacks/Rays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on Arizona -102

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 43 runs in their last five games. The Diamondbacks are 18-3 in their last 21 games overall and rolling right now.

The Tampa Bay Rays are all but eliminated from the playoffs after being big sellers at the deadline. This is a cold Tampa Bay offense right now as well.

Ryne Nelson should hold the Rays in check. He has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, including one earned run or fewer four times. Bet the Diamondbacks Friday.

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Nationals/Phillies OVER 9

Patrick Corbin is 2-12 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Corbin has allowed 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 innings in his last three starts. He has also allowing 11 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Philadelphia.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own considering they have scored 22 runs in their last two games. But the Nationals should get to Aaron Nola as well. Nola has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Twins/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins have one of the most potent offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 22 runs in their last three games.  The Texas Rangers have scored at least 4 runs in five consecutive games.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs today.

Bailey Ober is 12-5 with a 3.52 ERA in 22 starts for the Twins this season.  Ober has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Cody Bradford is making his way back from injury making just his 3rd start since April.  Bradford has allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  He will be on a pitch count, and the Twins will get into this awful Texas bullpen early.

The Twins and Rangers have combined for at least 8 runs in eight of their last 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Eagles/Patriots NFLX No-Brainer on New England -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 19-3-1 OVER in their last 23 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 consecutive games and 21 of those 23 games.  The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season behind one of the best offenses in baseball.  This total is too short tonight.

Nick Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.44 ERA in 18 starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 14 innings in his last three starts coming in.

Zach Eflin is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 8-7 with a 3.83 ERA in 22 starts between the Orioles and Rays this season.  Eflin has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 innings in his last three starts against Boston.

The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings with 11 or more combined runs in four of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Dodgers/Brewers NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  They just got Mookie Betts back from injury and are almost back to full strength offensively.  They have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games.

The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season behind one of the most underrated offenses in baseball.  They have scored a total of 50 runs in their last eight games for an average of 6.3 runs per game.  Both offenses should have their way against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Frankie Montas is 5-8 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 21 starts for the Brewers and Reds this season.  Montas has allowed 22 earned runs and 6 homers in 25 innings in his last five starts coming in. Montas has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

Walker Buehler is 1-4 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight starts for the Dodgers this season.  He will be making his first start since June 18th as he works his way back from injury.  Buehler will be on a pitch count, meaning the Brewers should get into the Dodgers' bullpen early.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Cubs/Guardians Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The offenses should have their way against these two suspect starting pitchers in Game 3 between the Cubs and Guardians tonight.  I'm expecting both teams to get 4-plus runs to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

James Taillon has allowed 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 22 base runners in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Cubs.  He allowed 6 runs, 4 earned, in 5 innings of an 8-6 loss to the Guardians in his last start against them.

Alex Cobb will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Guardians and will be on a pitch count.  His first was ugly as he allowed 5 runs, 4 earned, and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Twins on August 9th.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Orioles OVER 8.5

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last seven games overall.  I expect both offenses to get 4-plus runs against these two gas can starting pitchers tonight.

DJ Herz is 2-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 11 starts for the Nationals this season.  Herz hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any of his last five starts, so the Orioles are likely to get into this suspect Washington bullpen early.

Dean Kremer is 4-9 with a 4.70 ERA in 16 starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Red Sox OVER 9

The Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 18-3-1 OVER in their last 22 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 consecutive games and 20 of those 22 games.  Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight in what should be a slug fest between the Red Sox and Rangers.

Regression has hit Tanner Houck hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 22 earned runs and 6 homers in 36 1/3 innings in his last seven starts for a 5.45 ERA during this span.  One of those starts came against Texas on August 3rd when Houck allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-4 defeat.

Dane Dunning is 4-7 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 12 starts and eight relief appearances for the Rangers this season.  The Rangers will be making this a bullpen game, and their bullpen has been absolutely rocked in recent weeks.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 32 runs in their last four games.  The OVER is 13-3-1 in Diamondbacks last 17 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of them.  The Rockies have scored a total of 30 runs in their last five games.

Both offenses should have their way against these two gas can starting pitchers today.  Tanner Gordon is 0-3 with a 6.15 ERA in five starts for the Rockies this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 1/3 innings.

Jordan Montgomery is one of the most overrated starters in baseball, and it's amazing that the Diamondbacks keep sending him out there.  Montgomery is 7-6 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 28 runs in their last three games.  The OVER is 13-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of them.

Arizona should stay hot at the plate against Austin Gomber, who is 3-8 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 22 starts for the Rockies this season.  Gomber has allowed 18 earned runs and 8 homers in 24 1/3 innings in his last five starts.  Gomber has allowed 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 16 innings in his last three starts against Arizona.

The Rockies have scored a total of 27 runs in their last four games.  They should do enough against Eduardo Rodriquez, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Diamondbacks.  Rodriquez threw only 65 pitches and allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings against the Guardians in his first start back from injury.  He will be on a pitch count again today.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Pirates/Padres OVER 8

The OVER is 10-5 in Padres last 15 games overall.  They are the hottest team in baseball since the All-Star Break.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of their last 15 games overall.

The OVER is 10-5 in Pirates last 15 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 16 games overall.  This total of 8 is very low tonight for a game involving these two offenses.

Regression has hit Luis Ortiz hard recently.  Ortiz has allowed 13 earned runs and 20 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He just faced the Padres in his last start and allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings of a 7-6 defeat.  Ortiz has now allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings in two career starts against San Diego.

Michael King also faced the Pirates in his last start and it did not go well for him.  He allowed 4 runs and 8 base runners in 5 innings of a 9-8 victory on August 7th.  So both lineups will have the advantage having just seen these two starters less than a week ago.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +250

The New York Yankees are 2-4 in their last six games overall.  That includes losses to the White Sox as -340 favorites, to the Angels as -245 favorites and to the Angels as -225 favorites.  They should not be -300 favorites against the White Sox today.

Nestor Cortes has no business being a -300 favorite against anyone right now.  Cortes has allowed 24 earned runs, 6 homers and 45 base runners in 22 1/3 innings in his last five starts for a 9.67 ERA.  The White Sox just busted out for 12 runs yesterday and should stay hot against Cortes today.

Jonathan Cannon has been one of the bright spots for the White Sox this season.  Cannon has posted a 3.91 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 12 starts and two relief appearances.  He has been very sharp in his last three starts, allowing just 4 earned runs in 19 innings for a 1.89 ERA.  The value on Cannon and Chicago is too good to pass up today.  Bet the White Sox Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Twins OVER 8.5

Two of the best lineups in the American League today square off against two starting pitchers that are getting too much respect.  The Twins are scoring 4.9 runs per game while the Royals are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, so this total of 8 is pretty low given these two offenses.

Zebby Matthews will be making his MLB debut for the Twins tonight.  While Matthews dominated at the A and AA levels, he has pitched to a 5.68 ERA in four starts at Triple-A.  I don't expect it to go well for him tonight in his first start in the majors.

Regression has hit Seth Lugo hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 13 runs, 11 earned, and 22 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  This will be Minnesota's 3rd time seeing him this season and they will be ready for him.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Red Sox OVER 10

The Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 17-3-1 OVER in their last 21 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 consecutive games and 19 of those 21 games.  Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight in what should be a slug fest between the Red Sox and Rangers.

Jose Urena is 42-76 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his career in the big leagues.  Urena just faced the Red Sox on August 2nd and allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of an 11-6 loss.

Kutter Crawford was opposite Urena on August 2nd and allowed 5 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 1/3 innings of that 11-6 win.  Regression has really hit Crawford hard of late as he has allowed a whopping 22 earned runs and 13 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Orioles OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  The Washington Nationals have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall.  I expect both offenses to have their way against these two gas can starting pitchers tonight.

Jake Irvin has really struggled of late as regression has hit him hard.  Irvin has allowed 25 earned runs and 10 homers in 33 innings for a 6.82 ERA in his last six starts.

Trevor Rogers is 2-10 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 23 starts between the Orioles and Marlins this season.  Rogers has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 13 innings in his last three starts against Washington.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rockies/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season.  They have scored a total of 23 runs in their last two games.  The OVER is 12-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 15 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of them.

Arizona should stay hot at the plate against whoever Colorado sends to the mound, which is likely to be Cal Quantrill, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 8 innings in his last two starts.  Quantrill has allowed 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against Arizona.

The Rockies have scored a total of 23 runs in their last three games.  They should do enough against Brandon Pfaadt, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Pfaadt has allowed 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pirates/Padres OVER 8

The OVER is 10-4 in Padres last 14 games overall.  They are the hottest team in baseball since the All-Star Break.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall.

The OVER is 10-4 in Pirates last 14 games overall.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 15 games overall.  This total of 8 is very low tonight for a game involving these two offenses.

Joe Musgrove will be making his first start since May 26th and will be on a pitch count as he returns from injury.  Musgrove is 3-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.48 WHIP In 10 starts this season.

The Pirates haven't named a starter as of this writing and it's not going to matter.  I'm hoping Marco Gonzalez gets the bulk of the innings, but either way the Padres will stay hot at the plate.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Blue Jays/Angels OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 21-6 OVER in their last 27 games overall.  They have a solid lineup, but their pitching has been suspect especially with all the guys they traded away before the deadline.

The Los Angeles Angels have scored a total of 29 runs in their last five games and are hot at the plate right now.  Both offenses should have their way tonight against these two gas can starting pitchers.

Bowden Francis is 4-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five starts and 14 relief appearances for the Blue Jays this season.  He has already allowed 11 homers in 49 2/3 innings this season.

Rookie Davis Daniel is 1-3 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in five starts for the Angels this season.  He has already allowed 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 25 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Twins OVER 8

Two of the best lineups in the American League today square off against two starting pitchers that are getting too much respect.  The Twins and Royals are each scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, so this total of 8 is pretty low given these two offenses.

Pablo Lopez continues to get too much respect from the books tonight.  He is 10-8 with a 4.74 ERA in 23 starts for the Twins this season while allowing 21 homers.  He'll be facing a hot Kansas City lineup that has scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.

Brady Singer has come back down to earth in his last two starts, allowing 7 earned runs in 12 2/3  innings. He allowed 8 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of an 8-4 loss to the Twins in his last road start against them in Minnesota.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Rangers/Red Sox AL No-Brainer on OVER 9

There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket.  The Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team, going 17-3 OVER in their last 20 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine consecutive games and 18 of those 20 games.

Tyler Mahle will be making just his 2nd start of the season and 2nd start since April of late year.  He will be on a pitch count, and the Red Sox should get into this tired Texas bullpen early.  The Rangers will be playing their 4th game in 3 days after a double-header against the Yankees on Saturday.

Brayan Bello is 10-5 in spite of a 5.16 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 21 starts for the Red Sox this season.  Bello allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers and 12 base runners in 3 innings in a 15-5 loss to the Rangers in his last start against them.  This Boston bullpen has been one of the worst in baseball over the last two months as well.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Phillies/DBacks NL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season while the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of their last 18 games, while the Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.  I expect both teams to get 4-plus runs today to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Cristopher Sanchez has come back down to reality for the Phillies.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 25 base runners in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  I expect the Diamondbacks to get to him early and often in this one.

Merrill Kelly will be making his first start back from injury since April 15th.  He will be on a pitch count for the Diamondbacks, and I don't expect him to be that effective.  The Phillies should get their bats going early and often as well.

The OVER is 11-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Rays OVER 8

The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Orioles and for these two starting pitchers.

Regression has hit Albert Suarez hard in recent weeks.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  Suerez has allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.

Jeffrey Springs is getting way too much respect for the Rays today.  He has made just two starts this season and neither was effective as he has allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 16 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Springs allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against Baltimore.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Broncos/Colts NFLX ANNIHILATOR on Indianapolis +1

No analysis for preseason picks.

15* Phillies/DBacks NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 17 games, while the Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.  I expect both teams to get 4-plus runs tonight to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Aaron Nola is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed 20 homers in 23 starts this season.  Nola has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.

Zac Gallen is also overrated and has struggled through injury this season.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts coming in.  Gallen has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies as well.

The OVER is 10-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/White Sox OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cubs and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 14 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Guaranteed Rate Field tonight.

The White Sox and Cubs have combined for at least 8 runs in seven of their last eight meetings, including 13 runs last night with a similar forecast.  The Cubs have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall, including 5 runs or more seven times.  The White Sox have new life with a change in manager for the start of this series.  

The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Chris Flexen and the worst bullpen in baseball in the White Sox.  Flexen is 2-11 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 22 starts for the White Sox this season.

But Justin Steele has battled through injury this season and hasn't been nearly as dominant as he was as a rookie last year.  Steele has allowed 14 earned runs and 36 base runners in 21 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Brewers OVER 8

Two hot offenses square off tonight against two average starting pitchers.  The Reds have scored a total of 35 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  The Brewers have scored a total of 57 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.1 runs per game.

Nick Martinez is 6-5 with a 3.43 ERA this season mostly as a reliever as he has made just six starts all year and has 68 K's in 84 innings.  Tobias Myers is due some regression at 6-5 with a 3.02 ERA in 16 starts for the Brewers.

The Brewers and Reds have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Guardians/Twins AL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

Two of the best offenses in the American League square off tonight with the Twins scoring 4.9 runs per game this season and the Guardians scoring 4.6 runs per game.  They will be up against two below-average starting pitchers with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at Target Field tonight.

Gavin Williams is 1-4 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in seven starts for the Guardians this season.  Williams allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 9-5 loss to the Orioles in his last start.

Simeon Woods-Richardson is 3-2 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 19 starts for the Twins this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Los Angeles Chargers +3

No analysis for preseason picks.

15* Raiders/Vikings NFLX ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +4

No analysis for preseason picks.

20* NFLX BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Commanders -2.5

No analysis for preseason picks.

15* Phillies/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season while the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of their last 16 games, while the Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  I expect both teams to get 4-plus runs tonight to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Phillies should do the heavy lifting for us and crush gas can Ryne Nelson, who is 8-6 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 19 starts and two relief appearances for the Diamondbacks this season.  Nelson allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against Philadelphia.

Zack Wheeler is among the Cy Young favorites, but he hasn't been facing many lineups as potent at Arizona.  Wheeler just allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 14-4 loss to the Yankees two starts back.

The OVER is 10-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cubs/White Sox Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cubs and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 14 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at Guaranteed Rate Field tonight.

The White Sox are clearly close to shutting down Garrett Crochet.  He hasn't pitched more than 4 innings in any of his last five starts, meaning the Cubs are likely to get into this awful White Sox bullpen early in this one.

Jameson Taillon has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Taillon allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-6 win over the White Sox in his lone start against them this season back on June 5th.

The White Sox and Cubs have combined for at least 8 runs in six of their last seven meetings making for a 6-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 7.5-run total.  The Cubs have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last eight games overall, including 5 runs or more six times.  The White Sox have new life with a change in manager for the start of this series.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Marlins OVER 8

The San Diego Padres are red hot at the plate scoring 6 or more runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  The Miami Marlins have held their own at the plate in recent games scoring at least 4 runs in four of their last six games overall.  The Padres will do the heavy lifting in helping us cash this OVER 8 ticket in a matchup between two gas can starting pitchers.

Edward Cabrera is 2-3 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 11 starts for the Marlins this season while allowing a whopping 10 homers in 48 1/3 innings.  Martin Perez is 2-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 17 starts between the Pirates and Padres this season while allowing 14 homers in 89 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Astros/Red Sox AL No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Astros and Red Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 16 MPH winds blowing out to left toward the Green Monster tonight at Fenway Park.

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 15-2 OVER in their last 17 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 13 of those 17 games.

Ronel Blanco and Tanner Houck were two of the biggest regression candidates in baseball at the All-Star Break. Blanco has allowed 12 earned runs in 23 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Houck has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Astros and Red Sox with 10 or more combined runs in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Falcons/Dolphins NFLX No-Brainer on Atlanta -2.5

No analysis for preseason picks.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Rays OVER 8

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They are 15-2 OVER in their last 17 games and 18-3 OVER in their last 21 games with 9 or more combined runs in 18 of those 21 games. They have scored at least 4 runs in 14 of their last 16 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 8 ticket tonight.

Zack Littell is 5-7 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 22 starts for the Rays this season.  Littell has allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 20 base runners in 12 innings in two starts against the Orioles this season.

Zach Eflin is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-7 with a 4.05 ERA in 21 starts this season between the Rays and Orioles.  The Rays know his stuff and will have the advantage getting to face their former teammate tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Phillies/DBacks NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season while the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 14 of their last 15 games, while the Phillies have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.

The Phillies are giving Kolby Allard the start tonight due to injuries in their rotation.  Allard is 9-24 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 253 innings in his career in the big leagues.  It's amazing the Phillies don't think they could find someone better.

Jordan Montgomery has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 7-5 in spite of a 6.37 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 16 starts this season with just 51 K's in 77 2/3 innings.  Montgomery has allowed 15 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

The OVER is 10-1 in Diamondbacks last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of them.  This has all the making of a slug fest tonight between two hot offenses up against two terrible starting pitchers.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They are 14-2 OVER in their last 16 games and 17-3 OVER in their last 20 games with 9 or more combined runs in 17 of those 20 games. They have scored at least 4 runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

But the Toronto Blue Jays have been a dead nuts OVER team themselves.  They are 19-4 OVER in their last 23 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games with a terrible bullpen moving forward.

Kevin Gausman has been an absolute gas can for the Blue Jays this season.  He is 9-8 with a 4.56 ERA in 22 starts this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 1/3 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season on June 3rd.

Dean Kremer hasn't been much better.  He is 4-8 with a 4.39 ERA in 15 starts for the Orioles this season.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 25 innings in his last five starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -110

While the Baltimore Orioles are battling the Yankees for 1st place in the AL East, the Toronto Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline and will find it hard being motivated the rest of the way.  The Orioles have the advantage at the plate, at starting pitcher and in the bullpen tonight and should be bigger favorites.

Dean Kremer is 4-8 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 15 starts for the Orioles this season.  While not great, he is the better starter and has had success against Toronto.  Indeed, he has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer seven consecutive starts against Toronto, including 2 earned runs or fewer in six of those seven.  In all, he is 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA in those seven starts while allowing 12 earned runs in 41 1/3 innings.

Kevin Gausman has been an absolute gas can for the Blue Jays this season.  He is 9-8 with a 4.56 ERA in 22 starts this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 1/3 innings of a 7-2 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season on June 3rd.  Bet the Orioles Thursday.

15* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Yankees OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season behind one of the most potent offenses in baseball.  The OVER is 13-3 in Yankees last 16 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 13 of those 16 games.  The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.

The Yankees should stay hot at the plate against Tyler Anderson, who is probably due regression as much as any starter in baseball this season with how much he pitches to contact with just 102 K's in 135 2/3 innings.  Anderson has allowed 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 23 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.

But the Angels should have success at the plate as well against the struggling Nestor Cortes, who is 1-2 with an 8.68 ERA in his last four starts.  Cortes has allowed 18 earned runs, 5 homers and 35 base runners in 18 2/3 innings during this stretch.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Lions/Giants NFLX ANNIHILATOR on New York -3.5

No analysis for preseason picks.

15* Phillies/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game and the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in the National League.  The Phillies and Dodgers have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last 11 meetings.  I like their chances of topping this 9-run total with these two gas can starting pitchers going tonight.

Tyler Phillies just allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 1 2/3 innings to the light-hitting Mariners in his last start for the Phillies.  Gavin Stone has shown signs of wearing down in recent weeks in his first full season as a starter.

Indeed, Stone has gone 0-3 with a 7.15 ERA in his last five starts, allowing 18 earned runs, 7 homers and 45 base runners in 22 2/3 innings.  Stone has allowed 8 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two career starts against Philadelphia as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Red Sox/Royals AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 14-2 OVER in their last 16 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 13 of those 16 games.  The OVER is 8-3 in Royals last 11 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 18 of their last 19 games overall, including 4 runs or more 16 of those.

Kutter Crawford has really struggled of late for the Red Sox.  He has allowed 16 earned runs and a whopping 12 homers in 15 innings in his last three starts.  Crawford has allowed 8 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Royals as well.

Cole Ragans gets a lot of respect from the books, and he is getting too much again tonight.  Ragans has allowed 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  I expect the Red Sox to stay hot at the plate against him tonight.  

The Red Sox and Royals have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games and 16-3 OVER in their last 19 games with 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those 19 games. They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.

But the Toronto Blue Jays have been a dead nuts OVER team themselves.  They are 18-4 OVER in their last 22 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games with a terrible bullpen moving forward.

Bowden Francis is 4-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 44 2/3 innings this season while allowing 10 homers.  He is being forced into the rotation due to the lack of arms the Blue Jays have at this point.

Trevor Rogers is 2-10 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.55 WHIP for the Orioles and Marlins this season.  The Blue Jays will do enough off of him to get us this OVER. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -132

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory after losing Game 1 of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays.  While the Orioles are battling the Yankees for 1st place in the AL East, the Blue Jays were the biggest sellers at the trade deadline and will find it hard being motivated the rest of the way.

I'll gladly fade Bowden Francis, who is 4-3 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 44 2/3 innings this season while allowing 10 homers.  He is being forced into the rotation due to the lack of arms the Blue Jays have at this point.  I expect the Orioles to hang a big number on him and their bullpen today.

The Orioles traded for Trevor Rogers from the Marlins and like his talent.  While his numbers aren't great this season, we are getting the Orioles at a discount because of it.  He will hold the Blue Jays in check enough to get a win here in what should be a high-scoring affair.  Bet the Orioles Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Guardians OVER 7.5 (Game 2)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season while the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 13 games, while the Guardians have scored at least 4 runs in eight straight.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs today to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket in Game 2 of this double-header.

Eduardo Rodriquez will be making his first start back from injury since 2023.  I don't expect it to go well for him tonight.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 20 starts for the Guardians this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 21 base runners in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of them.  The OVER is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of them.  The OVER is 5-0 in Guardians last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in Game 2 Wednesday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

Two gas can stating pitchers go today in what should be a high-scoring affair in this AL West showdown.  The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 of their last 18 meetings.

Yusei Kikuchi is 4-9 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 23 starts between the Blue Jays and Astros this season.  Kikuchi has allowed 18 earned runs in 20 innings in his last four starts for an 8.10 ERA.  Worse yet, Kikuchi has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Jose Urena has just 55 K's in 80 1/3 innings this season and shouldn't even be starting for the Rangers.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 4 innings of an 11-6 loss to the Red Sox in his last start on August 2nd.  Urena has allowed 9 runs and 18 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in two career starts against Houston.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* DBacks/Guardians Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5 (Game 1)

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season while the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 13 games, while the Guardians have scored at least 4 runs in eight straight.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs today to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket in Game 1 of this double-header.

Ben Lively is having a solid season for the Guardians, but this is a big step up in class for him tonight against the hot-hitting Diamondbacks.  Lively has allowed 10 homers in his last nine starts.

Brandon Pfaadt is 5-6 with a 3.97 ERA in 22 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Pfaadt has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts, both of which have come against the light-hitting Pirates.  This is a big step up in class for him as well.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with 9 or more combined runs in six of them.  The OVER is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of them.  The OVER is 5-0 in Guardians last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Wednesday.

15* Phillies/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Phillies and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game and the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in the National League.

Clayton Kershaw is on a pitch count as he makes his way back from injury.  It has not gone well for him in two starts as he has allowed 9 runs, 5 earned, and 15 base runners in 7 2/3 innings against the Padres and Giants.  I don't expect it to go well for him against the Phillies, who have some of the best numbers in baseball against left-handed pitching this season.

Cristopher Sanchez looks to be wearing down in his first full season as a starter for the Phillies.  Sanchez has allowed 20 earned runs and 43 base runners in 27 1/3 innings for a 6.59 ERA in his last five starts.  The Dodgers just got back Freddie Freeman and are closer to full strength than they have been in a month.

The Phillies and Dodgers have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Red Sox/Royals AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of those 15 games.  The OVER is 7-3 in Royals last 10 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 17 of their last 18 games overall, including 4 runs or more 15 of those.

The Royals should feast on Bryan Bello, who is 10-5 in spite of a 5.13 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Bello has allowed at least 3 earned runs in 11 of his last 14 starts.  He has allowed 24 earned runs and 7 homers in 38 innings in his last seven starts for a 5.68 ERA.  Bellow allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Royals this season.

Seth Lugo has hit the skids in recent weeks for the Royals after a great start to the season.  Lugo has allowed 13 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 4.13 ERA.  One of those starts came against Boston as he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings on July 13th.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Tyler Mahle will be making his first start back from injury since 2023 tonight for the Rangers.  I don't expect it to go well for him as the Astros get to him early and often.

Framber Valdez is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Valdez is 10-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 of their last 17 meetings, making for a 14-3 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Orioles/Blue Jays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  They are 13-1 OVER in their last 14 games and 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games with 9 or more combined runs in 16 of those 18 games. They have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 13 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket tonight.

But the Toronto Blue Jays have been a dead nuts OVER team themselves.  They are 18-3 OVER in their last 21 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

Chris Bassitt is 8-10 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 22 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in five consecutive starts and a total of 20 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings for a 7.01 ERA during this stretch.  Worse yet, Bassitt has allowed 17 earned runs, 5 homers and 31 base runners in 13 innings for an 11.77 ERA in his last three starts against Baltimore.

Grayson Rodriquez has been far from untouchable for the Orioles.  He has allowed 25 earned runs and 8 homers in 46 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 4.86 ERA.  The Blue Jays will do enough to help us cash this OVER ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Phillies/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Phillies and Dodgers tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  The Phillies are scoring 4.9 runs per game and the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game as these are two of the best offenses in the National League.

Aaron Nola has allowed 19 homers in 22 starts this season.  Nola has allowed 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers, who are expected to get Freddy Freeman back in the lineup tonight to make them even more potent.

Tyler Glansow is 8-6 with a 3.50 ERA in 20 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Glawnow is going through his worst stretch of the season, allowing 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 21 innings in his last four starts coming in.

The Phillies and Dodgers have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Royals OVER 9.5

Temps will be in the 90's with light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Kauffman Stadium tonight.  Two hot offenses square off in what should be an absolute slug fest.

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 11 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 6-3 in Royals last nine games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those games.

James Paxton is 8-3 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 19 starts between the Dodgers and Red Sox this season.  He averages fewer than 5 innings per start, and this Boston bullpen has been atrocious this summer.

Brady Singer has great numbers for the Royals, but he has bolstered his numbers against some weak competition in the AL Central with several starts against the White Sox and Tigers.  Singer allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 2 2/3 innings against the Red Sox on July 14th in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Astros/Rangers AL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Hunter Brown is 9-7 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 21 starts for the Astros this season.  Andrew Heaney is 4-11 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 21 starts for the Rangers this season.  Both starters will get rocked tonight.

Brown has allowed 10 earned runs and 29 base runners in 13 innings in his last three starts against Texas.  Heaney has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Astros.

The Astros and Rangers have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 of their last 16 meetings, making for a 14-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Twins/Cubs Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and are raking at the plate right now, scoring a total of 37 runs in their last four games coming in.  The Chicago Cubs are heating up at the plate scoring a total of 34 runs in their last five games.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight against these two hot offense, and this total should be higher than 8 as a result.  Rookie David Festa is 1-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three starts and one relief appearance for the Twins this season.  He has already allowed 6 homers in 19 1/3 innings.

Kyle Hendricks is washed up and one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-9 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 15 starts with just 60 K's in 85 1/3 innings and 17 homers allowed.  It's amazing the Cubs keep sending him out there with those numbers.  

The OVER is 10-3-1 in Twins last 14 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 11 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 8 or more combined runs in all five.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Guardians OVER 8.5

The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 12 games, while the Guardians have scored at least 4 runs in seven straight.  Both teams will get 4-plus runs tonight to cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Diamondbacks are capable of covering this total on their own against Logan Allen, who is 8-4 in spite of a 5.67 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 18 starts for the Guardians this season.  Allen has already allowed 18 homers in 87 1/3 innings in 2024.

Zac Gallen has been far from dominant here of late.  He has allowed 19 runs in 30 innings in his last six starts.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of them.  

The OVER is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of them.  The OVER is 4-0 in Guardians last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Cardinals/Cubs ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Cubs tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.

The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Cubs and Cardinals with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  The OVER is 6-0 in Cardinals last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  The OVER is 4-0 in Cubs last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all four.

Miles Mikolas is 9-9 with a 4.99 ERA in 22 starts for the Cardinals this season with just 83 K's in 124 1/3 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Mikolas allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Cubs on July 14th.

Justin Steele has really struggled in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 30 base runners in 15 innings.  He has battled through injury this season and just hasn't been the same pitcher he was last year.  Be the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Mariners OVER 7

The Philadelphia Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, and this is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies today.

But the Mariners are starting to rake now that they have bolstered their lineup at the trade deadline.  Indeed, the Mariners have scored at least 6 runs in seven of their last eight games overall, and the OVER is 7-1 in those eight games.

Both starting pitchers have good numbers on the season, but both are struggling coming into this one.  Zack Wheeler just allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings to the Yankees in his last start.

Logan Gilbert has allowed 12 runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  He has allowed 19 runs and 4 homers in 29 1/3 innings in his last five starts as well.  Gilbert has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Rangers OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of those 13 games.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rangers last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.  This total of 8 is too low for how well both teams are swinging the bats right now.

Nick Pivetta is 5-7 with a 4.47 ERA in 17 starts for the Red Sox this season while allowing 17 homers.  Pivetta has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Nathan Eovaldi has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Eovaldi has allowed 8 earned runs in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Orioles/Guardians AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.7 runs per game.

Corbin Burnes is great but he hasn't been sharp of late, allowing 5 earned runs and 14 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins and Blue Jays.  Burnes allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in his last start against Cleveland.

Gavin Williams is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in six starts for the Guardians this season.  This is a big step up in class for him considering he has bolstered his numbers with three of those six starts coming against the lowly Detroit Tigers.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 35 runs in their last five games coming in for an average of 7.0 runs per game.  These teams have combined for 13, 12 and 11 runs in the first three games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 18-2 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 12-1 in Yankees last 13 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 12 of those 13 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 5 runs in eight consecutive games, including 6 or more in seven of them.  Temps will be approaching 90 with light winds blowing out to left to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket today as well.

Gerrit Cole continues to get too much respect from the books as he works his way back from injury.  Cole is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven starts this season, already allowing a whopping 9 homers in 35 innings.

Yariel Rodriquez is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He is averaging just under 4 innings per start this season, so the Yankees will get into Toronto's awful bullpen early in this one.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Phillies/Mariners MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Philadelphia Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, and this is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies tonight.

But the Mariners are starting to rake now that they have bolstered their lineup at the trade deadline.  They have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last seven games overall.

The Mariners should stay hot at the plate against Kolby Allard, who is 9-24 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 249 innings in his big league career.  It's amazing the Phillies are actually deciding to throw him out there tonight.

Bryce Miller is 8-7 with a 3.46 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Mariners.  But this is a big step up in class for him compared to what he is used to facing in the watered-down AL West.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Guardians OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.6 runs per game.

Zach Eflin is one of the most overrated starters in baseball and I wasn't that impressed with the Orioles getting him at the trade deadline.  Eflin is 58-60 with a 4.26 ERA in his career, including 6-7 with a 4.11 ERA this season.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 innings to the Blue Jays in his first start for Baltimore.  Eflin allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 3 innings of a 9-2 loss to the Guardians in his last start against them.

Rookie Joey Cantillo will be making his 2nd career start for the Guardians.  His first was forgettable as he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 base runners in 3 1/3 innings to the Phillies.  Cantillo also struggled in the minors this season, going 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.58 WHIP while allowing 14 earned runs and 21 walks in 30 1/3 innings.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 31 runs in their last four games coming in.  These teams have combined for 13 and 12 runs in the first two games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NL GAME OF THE YEAR on Pittsburgh Pirates -109

The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the Arizona Diamondbacks today.  Yet we are getting them at basically even money at home.  This is a nice value that we will take advantage of today.

Mitch Keller is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Keller is 10-5 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 15 starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer 11 times.  Keller has allowed just 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 20 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.

Jordan Montgomery is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 innings to the Nationals in his last start.  Bet the Pirates Saturday.

15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on DBacks/Pirates OVER 8

The Pirates are capable of covering this total on their own.  Jordan Montgomery is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 15 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  He allowed 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 innings to the Nationals in his last start.

But the Diamondbacks are red hot at the plate and they should do enough off of Mitch Keller to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8 ticket.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games now, including a total of 54 runs in their last six games alone.  The Pirates have scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games.  If both teams get to 4 runs in this one we cash.  

The OVER is 6-0 in Diamondbacks last six games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Pirates last six games overall.  The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 11 or more combined runs in all three, including 17 yesterday.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 17-2 OVER in their last 19 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 11-1 in Yankees last 12 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 6 runs in seven consecutive games.  They just traded for Jazz Chisholm from the Marlins and he has made an immediate impact with 4 HR in four games.

Jose Berrios is 9-8 with a 3.93 ERA in 22 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has allowed 32 earned runs and 11 homers in 50 1/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 5.72 ERA.  Berrios has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.

Carlos Rodon is 11-7 with a 4.34 ERA in 22 starts for the Yankees this season.  He has allowed 32 earned runs and 12 homers in 40 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 7.14 ERA.  Rodon has allowed 11 earned runs, 2 homers and 20 base runners in 9 starts in two starts against Toronto in 2024.  

Temps will be in the 90's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left today at Yankee Stadium to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Blue Jays/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 16-2 OVER in their last 18 games overall.  They still have a potent lineup, but they traded away a lot of their best pitchers and will continue to give up runs late in games moving forward.

The OVER is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  They are raking at the plate right now scoring at least 6 runs in six consecutive games.  They just traded for Jazz Chisholm from the Marlins and he has made an immediate impact with 4 HR in three games.

Kevin Gausman has faced the Yankees three times already this season so they are very familiar with him.  It hasn't gone well for Gausman, who has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  The OVER is 3-0 in those three starts.

Regression has hit Marcus Stroman hard in recent starts.  He has allowed 14 runs, 12 earned and 6 homers in 18 innings in his last four starts.  Stroman has allowed 5 earned runs and 16 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Blue Jays this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Astros OVER 7.5

The Tampa Bay Rays have scored a total of 32 runs in their last six games for an average of 5.3 runs per game.  The Houston Astros are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season and have scored at least 4 runs in 23 of their last 36 games overall. This is a very low total tonight for these two offenses up against these two starting pitchers.

Shane Baz is 0-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in four starts for the Rays this season.  He'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi, who is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.

Kikuchi is 4-9 with a 4.75 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He has allowed 16 earned runs and 26 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Kikuchi has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Red Sox/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team in recent weeks.  They are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall.  They have scored at least 6 runs in nine of those 11 games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Rangers last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.

Regression has hit Boston Kutter Crawford hard in recent starts.  Indeed, Crawford has allowed 11 earned runs and 8 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts. He has allowed 5 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.

Jose Urena is one of the worst starters in baseball and will be getting the start for the Rangers.  He is 42-74 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 10 seasons in the big leagues.  The Rangers will be making this a bullpen game and I expect the Red Sox to stay red hot at the plate.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Braves UNDER 9

The Miami Marlins have one of the worst lineups in baseball after trading away their two best hitters in Arraez and Chisholm.  They also lost one of their best power hitters in Josh Bell.  They are scoring just 3.6 runs per game this season.  The Atlanta Braves remain without Acuna Jr. and Albies and their offense has taken a big hit as well.  They are scoring just 4.3 runs per game this season.

Spencer Schwellenbach should shut down the Marlins with how well he has been pitching of late.  He has allowed just 6 earned runs and 20 base runners in 26 innings in his last four starts with 28 K's.

Vallente Bellozo will hold the Braves in check enough tonight to keep this UNDER 9.  He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two starts for the Marlins this season with 10 K's in 10 innings.  He has held his own against two of the best lineups in baseball in the Red Sox and Royals.

The UNDER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 7 or fewer combined runs in five of those six games.  Atlanta is 63-39-5 UNDER in all games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* Orioles/Guardians AL No-Brainer on OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off against two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball tonight.  The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season while the Guardians are scoring 4.6 runs per game.

Dean Kremer is 4-7 with a 4.20 ERA in 14 starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 16 runs, 11 earned, and 4 homers in 20 innings in his last four starts.  Kremer has allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, and 15 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Cleveland.

Carlos Carrasco is 3-9 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 19 starts for the Guardians this season.  Carrasco has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts coming in.

The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The Guardians have scored a total of 23 runs in their last three games coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +120

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 13-6 in their last 19 games overall and making their run at the wild card.  They would be a dangerous team if they got in the playoffs with what they have at the top of the rotation in Skenes, Keller and Jones.

But it has been Luis Ortiz who is one of the most underrated starters in baseball and the one that they don't talk about, which is why he is a home underdog today when he shouldn't be.  Ortiz is 5-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 78 2/3 innings for the Pirates this season.

Brandon Pfaadt is 5-6 with a 3.92 ERA in 21 starts for the Diamondbacks.  Pfaadt allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 9-5 win over the Pirates in his last start on July 27th.  I expect them to tag him again tonight.  Bet the Pirates Friday.

15* AL Friday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +104

The Kansas City Royals have big advantages at the plate and in the motivation department over the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of this series tonight.  The Tigers were big sellers at the deadline and there may be a hangover effect for this team in the immediate future.

The Tigers traded away Jack Flaherty, Mark Canha, Andrew Chafin and Carson Kelly for a bunch of prospects.  They have been held to a total of 5 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 1.3 runs per game.  They are without Javier Baez, and this is currently one of the worst lineups in baseball.

The Royals are 4-0 in their last four games overall while scoring a total of 27 runs in those four wins.  The Royals are 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Tigers while scoring a total of 33 runs in those four wins, outscoring them 33-10 in the process.

Getting Cole Ragans as an underdog tonight is a gift.  Ragans is 7-7 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 153 K's in 128 1/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the Tigers on May 22nd when he fired 6 shutout innings with 12 K's in a 8-3 victory.  Bet the Royals Friday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -145

The Kansas City Royals have big advantages on the mound, at the plate and in the motivation department over the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of this series tonight.  The Tigers were big sellers at the deadline and there may be a hangover effect for this team in the immediate future.

The Tigers traded away Jack Flaherty, Mark Canha, Andrew Chafin and Carson Kelly for a bunch of prospects.  They have been held to a total of 4 runs in their last three games overall.  They are without Javier Baez, and this is currently one of the worst lineups in baseball.

Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 12-5 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 22 starts this season for the Royals.  One of those starts came at Detroit on April 26th when Lugo fired 7 shutout innings while allowing just 5 base runners with 9 K's in a 8-0 victory.

I'll gladly fade Detroit rookie Keider Montero, who is 1-4 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in six starts for the Tigers this season.  Amazingly, Montero has already allowed 10 homers and 26 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings this season.  The Royals are hot at the plate scoring 22 runs in their last three games, and 4 runs or more in 15 of their last 18 games overall, including 6 runs or more 11 times.  Bet the Royals Thursday.

15* Dodgers/Padres NL West ANNIHILATOR on San Diego -122

The San Diego Padres are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and have scored at least 6 runs in six of those eight wins.  They have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Dodgers and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Dylan Cease has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, pitching 22 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners with a whopping 30 K's.  He'll be facing a soft Dodgers lineup that is still without Betts, Muncy and Freeman.

Clayton Kershaw will be making just his 2nd start of the season as he works his way back from injury.  Kershaw allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings to the lowly Giants in his first start with only 72 pitches.  He will be on a pitch count again, and he has allowed 7 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Padres as well.  Bet the Padres Wednesday.

15* Mariners/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on Seattle -114

The Seattle Mariners are heating up at the plate with the trades for Randy Arozarena and Justin Turner.  They have scored a total of 39 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.8 runs per game.

They should stay hot at the plate today against Boston's Brayan Bello, who is 10-5 in spite of a 5.27 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 19 starts.  Bello has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 5.64 ERA.  Bello has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against Seattle.

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound today behind George Kirby, who is 8-7 with a 3.03 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Kirby has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts, including 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of those.  Kirby has owned the Red Sox, allowing just 2 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the Mariners Wednesday.