15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-2 in their last 15 road games.  The Texas Rangers are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall.  Toronto is trying to wrap up a wild card spot while also still having an outside chance to win the AL East here down the stretch and are playing with a sense of urgency.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 11 consecutive games.

Toronto has a big advantage on the mound today with Kevin Gausman, who is 11-9 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Gausman has been at his best on the road, going 7-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 13 starts away from home.

Gausman is also 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in seven career starts against Texas.  He'll be opposed by Kohei Arihara, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has never had much success in the big leagues and is no more than a fill in starter here for the Rangers down the stretch.

Gausman's teams are 13-1 in his last 14 road starts in the second half of the season and winning by 4.8 runs per game on average.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Connecticut +23.5

The UConn Huskies are going to be one of the most improved teams in the country in 2022.  I love the Jim Mora hire.  He joined the staff for the final four games last year so he could recruit for this season.  He retained his DC in Lou Spanos, who held the same position under Mora at UCLA and was at UConn the last three years.

The Huskies welcome back 15 starters and 54 lettermen.  They return each of their top six tacklers on defense.  The Huskies had five games decided by 14 points or less last year and should be more competitive this season.  That has proven to be the case thus far as they are 2-0 ATS and undervalued.

Connecticut jumped out to a 14-0 lead on Utah State in the opener and eventually lost 31-20, covering easily as 23.5-point underdogs.  I had them at +28 in that game as a lot of money came in on them.  UConn went on to cover as 20.5-point favorites in a 28-3 win over Central Connecticut State last week.  Now this will be their third game because they were one of the few teams to play in Week 0, which is an advantage for them.

Syracuse is getting too much respect for its 31-7 upset win over Louisville as 5-point underdogs last week.  Louisville gave that game away by losing the turnover battle 3-0.  This is a Syracuse team that went 5-7 last year with its only blowout win by this kind of margin coming against FCS Albany.  While they may be improved, they should not be 23.5-point favorites here.  This is now a sandwich game and a bad spot for them coming off a conference win against Louisville, and with Purdue on deck next week.

Syracuse is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games following a blowout upset win by 21 points or more as an underdog, and 2-14 ATS in its last 16 games following an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog.  Dino Babers is 0-8 ATS after allowing 9 points or fewer last game as the coach of Syracuse.  Bet Connecticut Saturday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas +13.5

Lance Leipold is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country.  He led Buffalo to two trips to the MAC title game in his six seasons there and turned around that program.  He will do the same at Kansas, and he is already off to a good start despite not getting hired until after spring practice last year.

The Jayhawks improved rapidly as the season went on last season, including an upset as 31-point underdogs at Texas to end their 56-game road losing streak in Big 12 play.  They were the first team to shut out Oklahoma in the first half in five years under Lincoln Riley and nearly pulled off that upset.  They also took TCU to the wire in a 3-point road loss as 21-point dogs and West Virginia to the wire in a 6-point home loss as 15-point dogs in their final two games of the season.

Now Leipold has 17 starters back in 2022 and these players are familiar with his systems in Year 2.  The Jayhawks are off to a great start beating Tennessee Tech 56-10 and covering as 32-point favorites despite losing the turnover battle 3-1.  They held Tennessee Tech to just 190 total yards and 2.8 yards per play.

I am high on West Virginia compared to the market, and I cashed them as 7.5-point underdogs in their opener in a 7-point loss to Pittsburgh.  But they were in control of that game and let it slip away after a wide open receiver dropped an easy catch, and it was intercepted returned for a TD in the final minutes.  

That was a deflating loss in the Backyard Brawl rivalry, and I think it's the type of loss that can beat a team like WVU twice.  Don't be surprised if Kansas pulls this upset after only losing by 6 to WVU last year.  This is a hangover spot for the Mountaineers and the Jayhawks are live underdogs this week, and I expect them to be live underdogs a lot this season.  Take Kansas Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-110)

The Chicago White Sox have saved their best baseball of the season for last as they try and chase down the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central.  The White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall while scoring a total of 28 runs in their last three games.  They just came back from 3-0 down in the 9th to beat the A's 5-3 yesterday and have a ton of momentum now.

The Oakland A's are 1-8 in their last nine games overall with seven losses by two runs or more.  It won't get any better for them today with Adrian Martinez going.  He is 4-3 with a 4.37 ERA in seven starts this season.

Lance Lynn has been dominant for the past month.  He is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 5 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings with a whopping 40 K's.  Lynn is also 4-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.248 WHIP in nine career starts against the A's.

The White Sox are 48-16 in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Chicago is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Bet the White Sox Saturday.

15* Virginia/Illinois Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Illinois -3.5

Illinois improved last season down the stretch in going 4-3 in their final seven games including upsets over Penn State and Minnesota as 24 and 14-point underdogs, respectively.  It's year 2 under Bret Bielema and he has 13 starters back plus Syracuse transfer Tommy DeVito at quarterback.

I've been impressed with Illinois in their first two games this season.  They crushed Wyoming 38-6 in the opener while outgaining them by 265 yards.  That's a Wyoming team that came back last week and upset Tulsa.  They should have beaten Indiana, outgaining them by 86 yards but blowing it late in the 4th quarter.  I think that loss has them a little undervalued coming into this week.  Illinois should be at least a 7-point favorite over Virginia.

Virginia is in rebuilding mode after losing head coach Bronco Mendenhall in the offseason.  They also bring back just 10 starters for first-year head coach Tony Elliott.  They do have stud QB Brennan Armstrong back, but he has a lot on his shoulders.  Virginia is breaking in five new starters along the offensive line, and I love fading teams that are bad in the trenches.

While these teams are pretty evenly matched on offense, Illinois is going to have a huge advantage on defense.  Virginia gave up 31.8 points and 466 yards per game last year. They gave up 226 rushing yards per game and 5.8 per carry.  Illinois is going to be able to run the ball at will on this Virginia defense.

The Cavaliers gave up 170 rushing yards and nearly 5.0 yards per carry in their 34-17 win over Richmond last week.  Illinois is only allowing 14.5 points, 287 yards per game and 4.4 yards per play through two games.  Illinois will win the battle in the trenches on both sides of the football and win this Big 10 vs. ACC matchup with plenty of room to spare.  Bet Illinois Saturday.

15* UNLV/Cal Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on UNLV +13

The UNLV Rebels are one of the most underrated teams in the country coming into the season.  Marcus Arroyo is in Year 3 here, and that's when coaches usually make their biggest leaps.  UNLV pulled upsets over Hawaii and New Mexico in its final two games last year.  They also lost in double-OT to Eastern Washington, by 7 to UTSA as 21-point dogs, by 4 to Utah State as 7-point dogs and by 8 to San Diego State as 10-point dogs.  Those last three teams were three of the best Group of 5 teams in the country.

Now Arroyo welcomes 12 starters back including QB Doug Brumfield, who showed out in the opener.  UNLV beat Idaho State 52-21 as 23-point underdogs.  They gained 554 yards of offense and outgained Idaho State by 313 yards.  Brumfield threw for 356 yards and four touchdowns without an interception in the win.

California is not a team you can trust to lay double-digit points.  Like clockwork, they have a terrible offense and a great defense every season under Justin Wilcox.  They have averaged 23.8 points per game or fewer in four consecutive seasons, while allowing 26.5 points per fewer each of the last four years.  Wilcox is on the hot seat entering Year 6, and he has one of the most inexperienced teams in the country with only eight starters back.

Cal did manage to cover in a 34-13 win over UC-Davis as 14-point favorites in the opener.  But that game against a FCS opponent was much closer than the final score would indicate.  California only outgained UC-Davis by 28 yards.  That misleading result now has California laying too many points against UNLV this week.

UNLV is 6-1 ATS in its last seven non-conference games.  California is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games following an ATS win.  The Golden Bears are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Rebels are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games following a win by 28 points or more.  Take UNLV Saturday.

15* Tennessee/Pitt ABC ANNIHILATOR on Tennessee -5.5

Pittsburgh comes into the season with massive expectations after winning the ACC last season and going 11-3 overall.  Keep in mind the Panthers never won more than eight games in the previous six seasons under Pat Narduzzi, and they hadn't won more than eight games in over 10 years.  While the Panthers do have 15 starters back, they lose all of their best players.

QB Kenny Pickett (4,319 yards, 42 TD, 7 INT) was drafted in the first round by the Steelers.  Top receiver Jordan Addison (100 receptions, 1,593 yards, 17 TD) transferred to USC to play under Lincoln Riley.  The loss of offensive coordinator Mark Whipple is also massive as he was the architect of Pitt's record-setting offense.  They will have a completely new scheme under OC Frank Cignetti, who spent the past two years at Boston College.

I just think Pitt comes in overrated based on last year's results.  I successfully faded them in Week 1 as 7.5-point favorites against West Virginia.  While they won that game 38-31, they had no business winning it as West Virginia was in control until throwing a pick 6 off a wide open receivers hands in the final minutes.  West Virginia outgained them by 18 yards and Pitt's offense was held to just 384 total yards.  Pitt also suffered some key injuries in that game.  It was a big rivalry game in the Backyard Brawl, and they won't be nearly as motivated as they were to win that game on a standalone Thursday Night game.

Tennessee will be the more motivated team looking for revenge from a 41-34 home loss to Pitt last year.  The Vols gave that game away by losing the turnover battle 3-0.  While Pitt is on the decline, Tennessee is on the rise entering Year 2 under Josh Heupel.  The Volunteers welcome back 15 starters this season and are thriving in Heupel's system.

The Vols scored 45 or more points in four of their final five games last season.  QB Hendon Hooker is back along with eight starters on offense.  Hooker is one of the best quarterbacks in the country.  He completed 68% of his passes for 2,945 yards and a ridiculous 31-to-3 TD/INT ratio last season, while also rushing for 616 yards and five scores as a dual-threat.

The Vols are off and running again this season beating Ball State 59-10 as 37-point favorties in the opener.  Hooker went 18-of-25 for 221 yards and two touchdowns in the opener, while also rushing for two scores.  He got pulled early in the 2nd half with the game in hand.

Tennessee is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games as a road favorite of 7 points or less.  The Volunteers are favored for good reason on the road here as they are clearly the better team and that will show on the field.  Roll with Tennessee Saturday.

20* CFB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Army +3

The Army Black Knights come back motivated after losing to a very good Coastal Carolina team 38-28 in Week 1.  Coastal Carolina was the team playing keep away as they ran 23 more plays than Army did.  Army's numbers were good as they averaged 7.3 yards per play on offense while giving up 6.2 yards per play on defensive, outgaining the Chanticleers by 1.1 yards per play.

Keep in mind Coastal Carolina had all offseason to prepare for the triple-option, which was a huge advantage.  Now UTSA only has one week to get ready for it and they won't be ready at all.  UTSA is also in a terrible spot.  They are coming off a triple-OT loss to Houston last week in which they blew a 21-7 lead in the 4th quarter.  I think there will be a hangover effect.  And this is a sandwich spot with an even bigger game against Texas on deck.

Army returned 14 starters this season, which is a ton for a service academy.  Army has now won at least 9 games in four of the past five seasons.  They are loaded again, and head coach Jeff Monken is doing a tremendous job with this program.

UTSA is getting a lot of respect after going 12-2 last season.  Amazingly, the Roadrunners went 6-0 in one-score games last year, so they were very fortunate in close games.  They returned 21 starters last season and now have just 13 starters back this season.  The defense is going to be a problem with just five starters back.

I think Army is going to be able to move it up and down the field on the Roadrunners and control the game with their offense.  They will wear down this UTSA defense as the game goes on, especially after having to play a triple-overtime game last week.  I expect Army to win outright, but we'll take the points for some added insurance.   Bet Army Saturday.

15* Dodgers/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

Both the San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  The Dodgers have scored at least 4 runs in five consecutive games and are averaging 7.6 runs per game during this stretch.  The Padres have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 12 games overall.  Both teams should stay hot against these two sub-par starting pitchers tonight.

Mike Clevinger is 5-6 with a 3.84 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA in his last three.  Clevinger has been awful against the Dodgers this season, going 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA in two starts against them while allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 innings.

Dustin May is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts for the Dodgers this season and is no more than a fill-in starter.  One of those starts came against the Padres last time out when May allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to San Diego on September 2nd.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Padres last seven games overall.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Roll with the OVER in this game Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Rangers OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games and are more than capable of covering this total on their own.  Look for the Rangers to chip in as well.

Dane Dunning is 3-8 with a 4.37 ERA and 1.428 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Dunning has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in his last three starts.  He'll be opposed by Ross Stripling, who is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in one career start against the Rangers.

The OVER is 14-3 in Rangers last 17 home games vs. an AL team that allows 4.4 or fewer runs per game.  The OVER is 35-16 in Blue Jays last 51 games following a win.  The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in Texas.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Louisville/UCF ESPN 2 No-Brainer on UCF -5.5

The UCF Knights are going to be one of the best Group of 5 teams in the country this season.  Gus Malzahn had a productive first season in Orlando last year in guiding the Knights to a 9-4 season despite suspect quarterback play.  Now Malzahn welcomes back 17 starters and some stud transfers, including QB John Rhys Plumlee from Ole Miss.

Plumlee showed out in the opener by throwing for 308 yards and four touchdowns, while also rushing for 86 yards and another score to flaunt his dual-threat ability.  They beat South Carolina State 56-10 and covered the 43.5-point spread.  Now with a real quarterback and a veteran, loaded roster, the Knights are going to be tough to tame in 2022.

The Louisville Cardinals have been a massive disappointment under head coach Scott Satterfield.  After going 8-5 in his first season, the Cardinals have gone 4-7 and 6-7 the past two seasons, respectively.  Many thought they would be better this season, but that is clearly not the case.

Louisville was steamed up to a 5.5-point favorite at Syracuse in the opener.  They lost 31-7 and were outgained by 115 yards.  They gave up 449 yards to what was a terrible Syracuse offensive last season.  And their supposedly high-powered offense was only held to 334 total yards.  Malik Cunningham threw for only 152 yards and two interceptions in the defeat.

UCF wants revenge from a 42-35 loss at Louisville last season.  UCF was a 7-point favorite in that game, now they are only a 5.5-point favorite at home in the rematch.  And clearly the Knights are improved this season while the Cardinals are no better than they were last year, and maybe worse.

UCF has one of the best home-field advantages in the country in the Bounce House.  It's going to be even more of an advantage for this stand-alone Friday night game on National TV.  Fans are hyped about this team, and it will be a very tough atmosphere for Cunningham and Louisville to deal with.

Louisville is 11-28-1 ATS in its last 40 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Cardinals are 7-15-1 ATS in their last 23 road games.  The Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing 275 or fewer total yards in their previous game.  They held South Carolina State to 91 total yards and outgained them by 509 yards.  Bet UCF Friday.

20* Bills/Rams 2022 NFL Season Opener on Buffalo -2.5

The Buffalo Bills are the best team in the NFL to open the season in my opinion.  They should have won the Super Bowl last year, and they come back highly motivated to do so this year.  They get to open the season with the defending Super Bowl champion Rams, which has only added fuel to their fire all offseason getting prepared for this game.

Buffalo is perhaps the only team in the NFL that I'm certain has a Top 5 offense and a Top 5 defense.  Josh Allen threw for 4,544 yards and 37 touchdowns with only 10 interceptions last year, while completing 69.2% of his passes and also taking fewer sacks.  The offensive line got two upgrades this offseason in Rodger Safford and David Quessenberry, both formerly of the Titans.  They have a bonafide star receiver in Stefon Diggs, and Gabriel Davis showed he could be the No. 2 with 201 yards and four touchdowns against the Chiefs.  They added Jamison Crowder, which is an upgrade over the departed Cole Beasley in the slot.

The Bills had the top-ranked defense in the NFL last season and also were No. 1 in pressure rate on opposing quarterbacks.  Well, they got even better in that department in the offseason by signing Von Miller to a $120 million contract in the spring.  The one weakness on Buffalo last season was stopping the run, and they shored that up by adding DaQuan Jones, who will start next to Ed Oliver at defensive tackle.

I always like fading teams that won the Super Bowl the previous year because it's so hard to repeat.  There tends to be a hangover effect, too.  Same can be said for Super Bowl losers.  And the losses are huge for the Rams as they part ways with the aforementioned Von Miller, WR Odell Beckham Jr, WR Robert Woods, G Austin Corbett and OT Andrew Whitworth.  The loss to Whitworth cannot be overstated as he was the leader on this offense.

Matthew Stafford suffered an elbow injury that kept him out of training camp.  Many has said he won't be the same quarterback as last year, while some say he looks perfectly fine leading up to the opener.  Either way, there will be a rust factor, and it's definitely a concern for the Rams at the very least.

I think the Bills are the hungrier, more ready team for Week 1 given all that has taken place in the offseason.  Buffalo is 25-9 ATS in its last 34 games vs. NFC West opponents.  The Bills are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 Week 1 games.  Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Bills Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Yankees OVER 7

The Minnesota Twins have combined for 7 or more runs with their opponents in seven of their last eight games overall.  That includes each of the first three games of this series with the New York Yankees.  It should be more of the same today with these teams combining for at least 7 runs tonight.

Sonny Gray is 1-2 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.483 WHIP in five career starts against the Yankees.  Nestor Cortes is 1-1 with a 4.77 ERA in two career starts against the Twins.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his lone start against Minnesota this season.

Minnesota is 14-2 OVER when revenging a blowout road loss by 6 runs or more over the last two seasons.  The Twins are 12-1 OVER when revenging four or more consecutive losses vs. opponent over the last two years.  The OVER is 41-18-5 in Twins last 64 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 37-15-2 in the last 54 meetings.  The OVER is 14-3-1 in the last 18 meetings in New York.  Roll with the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Reds OVER 8

The Cincinnati Reds have gone 3-0-1 OVER in their last four games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all four and 10 or more in three of those.  The The OVER is 4-1-4 in Cubs last nine games overall with combined scores of 8 or more runs in eight of those nine games.

These are two gas can starting pitchers going for both teams today.  Luis Cessa is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in four starts this season.  Adrian Sampson is 1-5 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in six home starts.

The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  The Cubs and Reds have combined for at least 8 runs in eight of their last nine meetings.  Take the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-140)

Jordan Montgomery to the Cardinals has been the biggest impact trade of the season to this point.  Montgomery is 5-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last six starts for the Cardinals, allowing just 6 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings.

Montgomery has a big advantage on the mound over Cory Abbott of the Washington Nationals.  Abbott is 0-2 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 2/3 innings.

The Nationals are 19-40 in their last 59 games overall.  Washington is 5-22 in its last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 36-16 in their last 52 games overall.  St. Louis is 38-15 in its last 53 home games.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115)

The Milwaukee Brewers are fighting to try and make a wild card spot.  They face a Colorado Rockies team that is 1-5 in their last six games overall.  The Rockies have been held to 20 runs total in their last nine games for an average of just 2.2 runs per game.

The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Rockies.  Brandon Woodruff is 9-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He allowed just one run in 6 innings of a 9-4 victory over the Rockies in his lone start against them this season on July 23rd.

Chad Kuhl is 6-8 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last three.  Kuhl allowed 5 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings on July 24th in his lone start against the Brewers this season.

The Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with the Rockies.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Clemson/Georgia Tech ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Clemson -22

The Clemson Tigers are undervalued to open the season.  They had not lost more than two games in any season since 2014.  But they went 10-3 last year and didn't win the ACC.  It was a rare down season for Dabo Swinney and company, and his players will come back highly motivated in the offseason to right the ship.

Swinney returns a whopping 15 starters this season, which is rare for a Clemson team.  Usually they lost a ton of players to the NFL Draft, but that wasn't the case this offseason.  They defense remains loaded after allowing 14.8 points and 305 yards per game last season.

The key is the offense, which will be one of the most improved units in the country after averaging just 26.3 points and 359 yards per game last season.  To compare, they averaged 43.5 points per game or more in three consecutive seasons prior to 2021.  There are nine starters back on offense and the chemistry will be great from the jump.

Georgia Tech will be the worst team in the ACC this season.  Geoff Collins just hasn't been able to fill the massive shoes of Paul Johnson.  Collins enters his fourth seasons here and the Yellow Jackets have won exactly three games in each of his first three seasons.  It's amazing he even still has a job.

The Yellow Jackets only return eight starters this season after having 17 back last year.  This is a rebuilding year, especially after losing the final two games of last season by a combined score of 110-0.  It won't get any better to start the 2022 campaign as they face a hungry, juggernaut of a team in Clemson.

Sure, Georgia Tech played Clemson tough in a 14-8 loss as 27-point dogs last season.  But that was an aberration and Clemson is much stronger this year.  Keep in mind Clemson won by 66, 38 and 28 points in the three meetings prior, respectively.  The one-sided dominance of this series returns in the 2022 opener.

This game will be played at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.  Clemson is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 neutral site games.  The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  The Yellow Jackets are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall.  The Tigers are 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet Clemson Monday.

15* White Sox/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

Two gas can starting pitchers go for the Mariners and White Sox tonight.  Both lineups are starting to heat up too.  The White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall.  The Mariners have scored at least 4 runs in seven consecutive games.

Lance Lynn is 0-3 with a 5.59 ERA in seven road starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Marco Gonzales, who is 10-12 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.384 WHIP in 26 starts this season.

The OVER is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.  The OVER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings in Seattle.  The OVER is 33-16-3 in White Sox last 52 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Yankees OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins are starting to hit up to their potential again.  They have scored 3 runs or more in 10 of their last 11 games overall.  The New York Yankees have been held in check of late, but I look for them to bust out today against Chris Archer and the Twins.

Archer is 2-7 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.317 WHIP in 23 starts this season, 0-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 11 road starts, and 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA in his last two starts while allowing 9 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings.

Jameson Taillon is 12-4 with a 3.97 ERA in 26 starts this season for the Yankees.  Taillon can't figure out the Twins, going 2-1 with a 5.23 ERA in four career starts against them.  The Twins will get to him again today.

The OVER is 35-14-2 in the last 51 meetings.  The OVER is 12-3-1 in the last 16 meetings in New York.  The OVER is 15-6-3 in Twins last 24 road games.  The OVER is 41-17-5 in Twins last 63 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* FSU/LSU ABC Total DOMINATOR on OVER 50

I believe this will be a shootout tonight in the Superdome in New Orleans.  At the very least, these teams should combine to top this 50-point total.  I like the outlook of both of these offenses, and I have some questions about both the defenses.

Brian Kelly comes over to LSU and brings offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock with him from.  Denbrock spent the past five seasons as Cincinnati's offensive coordinator and was a great at getting the most out of Desmond Ridder's skill set.  Denbrock was an assistant under Kelly at Notre Dame from 2010 to 2016.

Jayden Daniels comes over from Arizona State to take over the quarterback position.  He was a dynamic dual-threat like Ridder at ASU, throwing for 6,025 yards and rushing for 1,288 more in his three seasons there.  He has arguably the most talented group of receivers in the country to get the ball to.  This is going to be an explosive LSU offense starting Week 1.

I do have questions surrounding LSU's defense that returns only five starters.  The defensive line will be fine, but there's a lot of inexperience in the back seven and they could be susceptible to some broken plays in the opener.  LSU allowed 34.9 points per game in 2020 and 26.6 points per game in 2021, so they haven't been nearly as dominant on this side of the ball in recent years.

The Florida State Seminoles enter Year 3 under Mike Norvell.  They should be hitting on all cylinders from the jump offensively.  Eight starters are back on offense including QB Jordan Travis, who made eight starters last year throwing for 1,539 yards and 15 touchdowns with six interceptions, while also rushing for 530 yards and seven scores.  He has five of his top six receivers back and add in talented Oregon transfer Mycah Pittman.  Four starters are back along the offensive line.

Florida State has also been vulnerable defensively in recent years.  They have allowed at least 26.5 points per game in four consecutive seasons.  While they may be improved on that side of the ball this season with eight starters back, I can't see them holding LSU's talent in check in the opener.

The OVER is 7-2 in Seminoles last nine neutral site games.  The OVER is 5-1 in Tigers last six neutral site games.  The OVER is 8-2 in Tigers last 10 September games.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Twins/White Sox OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins and Chicago White Sox should have no problem combining for more than eight runs tonight with these two gas cans of starting pitchers going today.  The Twins and their opponents have combined for 8 or more runs in seven of their last 10 games overall.  The White Sox and their opponents have combined for 8 or more runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.

Lucas Giolito has been one of the biggest disappointments in all of baseball this season.  He has posted a 5.27 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Giolito has been at his worst at home, going 4-6 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.610 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Dylan Bundy is 7-6 with a 4.53 ERA in 23 starts for the Twins this season.  Bundy has been at his worst on the road, going 3-5 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.346 WHIP In 14 starts away from home. 

The OVER is 8-1 in Giolito's nine day starts this season with an average of 14.3 combined runs in those nine starts.  The OVER is 14-1 in Minnesota's last 15 games when revenging a blowout road loss by 6 runs or more.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Red Sox OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are as healthy as they have been in a while and it is showing as they have scored 5 runs or more in five consecutive games and eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Texas Rangers have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last 12 games overall.  Both lineups should stay hot against these two gas can starting pitchers.

Josh Winckowski is 5-7 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.563 WHIP in 13 starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 3-4 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in eight starts at Fenway Park.

Dane Dunning has been at his worst on the road for the Rangers, going 0-5 with a 5.25 ERA and 1.638 WHIP in 12 starts away from home.  Dunning is 0-2 with an 8.70 ERA and 1.741 WHIP in two career starts against the Red Sox, allowing 10 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings, and 4-1 in the last five meetings in Boston.  The OVER is 4-1 in Red Sox last five games overall.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing three straight coming in.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

Julio Urias is 14-7 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in his last three.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, and one earned run or fewer in 10 of his last 13 starts.  Urias owns the Padres, going 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.953 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  That includes 3-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his last three starts against San Diego while allowing just one earned run in 17 innings.

Sean Manaea is the biggest weak link in San Diego's rotation.  He is 7-7 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-4 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.322 WHIP in 13 road starts.  Manaea has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-4 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in five career starts against them.  He has already allowed 14 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

The Dodgers are 24-4 in Urias' last 28 starts in the second half of the season and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 19-2 at home against division opponents this season.  Roll with the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* Notre Dame/Ohio State ABC No-Brainer on Notre Dame +17

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish went 11-2 last season and were a blown 28-7 lead to Oklahoma State in the Fiesta Bowl away from 12-1.  That loss will have them motivated all offseason, especially after just missing out on the four-team playoff.  Brian Kelly did a great job here but left for LSU.

The cupboard isn't bare for new head coach Marcus Freeman.  He was the defensive coordinator for the Fighting Irish last season.  He welcomes back 15 starters and came through with a Top 5 recruiting class in 2022.  To compare, Ohio State only had the 11th-best recruiting class this season.

The offense has seven starters back, and while there are some new skill position players, the strength of the unit returns as four starters are back on the offensive line.  They paved the way for 224 rushing yards per game and 6.3 per carry while allowing just 13 sacks over their final eight games last season.  The defense has eight starters and eight of the top nine tacklers back from a unit that gave up just 19.7 points per game last season and will be a strength.

Ohio State was also went 11-2 last season after a big comeback win over Utah in the Rose Bowl.  The Buckeyes will be good again with 14 starters back, but they are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers in the early going.  Remember, they struggled to beat Minnesota by 14 and lost outright to Oregon in the first two weeks of the season last year.  They were also in a dog fight with Tulsa at home in the 4th quarter in their third game of the season.

Marcus Freeman and the rest of the staff have been informed of the point spread for this game, and they have stated they will use that as motivation letting their players know they are 17-point dogs.  I just like the motivation of this Notre Dame team after that tough Fiesta Bowl loss and with everyone already counting them out.  I think they come in with a chip on their shoulder and talent-wise, this game is much closer than this 17-point spread would indicate.  Roll with Notre Dame Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Utah State +42

I have consistently faded Alabama in these non-conference games as massive favorites over the last handful of years.  It's rinse and repeat with Nick Saban.  Put it on the overmatched non-conference opponent in the first half, then call off the dogs in the second half, especially in the 4th quarter.  That makes it very hard for them to cover these massive spreads even against these overmatched teams.

Utah State is a much better team than many of the non-conference foes the Crimson Tide have faced int he past.  The Aggies won the Mountain West last season with an 11-3 record out of nowhere in Blake Anderson's first season.  I realize they got fortunate to win a ton of close games, but the feat was still pretty impressive, especially beating San Diego State 46-13 in the MWC Championship Game and Oregon State 24-13 outright as 7-point dogs in the bowl.

I did fade Utah State with success in the opener by backing UConn.  But that was more because UConn was underrated coming into the season.  Utah State won that game 31-20 and still outgained UConn 542 to 364.  But since they failed to cover the 23.5-point spread, the Aggies are getting a little extra value this week against Alabama.  It also helps that they have a game under their belt, and they were probably looking ahead to this game as well.  Alabama has Texas on deck so could definitely be looking ahead to that game in the second half.

The Aggies bring back star QB Logan Bonner.  He threw for 3,628 yards with a 36-to-12 TD/INT ratio last season and can keep them within this number for four quarters.  Bonner went 20-of-29 for 281 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions against UConn.  He has four starters and 102 career starts back on the offensive line and had a week to form some chemistry with all his new weapons.  Calvin Tyler, who rushed for 884 yards and seven scores last year, rushed for 161 yards against UConn.

The Aggies are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 September games.  Utah State is 5-0 ATS in its last five road games.  Alabama is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 September games.  The Crimson Tide are 0-4 ATS in their last four vs. Mountain West opponents.  Bet Utah State Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Orioles UNDER 8.5

The UNDER is 11-1 in Orioles last 12 games overall.  They have combined for 8 runs or fewer with their opponents in 12 consecutive games.  Now they take on one of the worst lineups in baseball in the Oakland A's, who are hitting .216 and scoring 3.4 runs per game this season.

Both starters are too good for this total to be set this high tonight.  Austin Voth is 4-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Adam Oller, who is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last three starts, including firing 8 shutout innings against the Yankees last time out.

The UNDER is 9-1 in A's last 10 games vs. AL East opponents.  The UNDER is 12-1 in Orioles last 13 games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Take with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* CFB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Southern Miss +3.5

Southern Miss is going to be one of the most improved teams in all of college football.  The Golden Eagles went 3-9 last year, had just 62 scholarship players, lost their Top 5 QB on offense due to injury and actually started 10 different players at quarterback.  They started 1-9 and kept fighting, winning their final two games despite playing a RB at QB.

That's a sign of the players continuing to play hard for Will Hill.  Now Hill enters his second season with the team, players are familiar with his systems, and they have created a ton of depth due to all the injuries last year.  The Golden Eagles return 16 starters and can only get better health at QB.  Each of the top 10 tacklers are back on defense as well from a unit that was solid last year in giving up 27.9 points and 359 yards per game.

I've been high on Liberty the past couple seasons because Hugh Freeze is one of the most underrated head coaches in the country.  Unfortunately, the Flames are in a bit of a rebuilding year this season after going 10-1 in 2022 and 8-5 last year.  After having 20 starters back in 2021, the Flames only have 11 starters back in 2022.

They lose QB Malik Willis to the NFL and he was the key to their success the past two seasons.  He led them in rushing last year by over 400 yards.  The offense has some talent but will take a step back without Willis.  The bigger concern may be returning only four starters on defense.  The Flames lose four of their top five tacklers as well.  Two teams headed in opposite directions here in 2022.  I'll side with the team on the rise.  Roll with Southern Miss Saturday.

20* CFB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Troy/Ole Miss UNDER 57.5

Two teams that are loaded defensively this season square off in Week 1.  I think Lane Kiffin and Ole Miss get the reputation of being an offensive juggernaut and not enough credit on defense.  That was the case last season.

Ole Miss gave up just 24.7 points per game last season.  In fact, each of their final eight games last season saw 57 or fewer combined points, which makes for a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 57.5-point total.  The Rebels return seven starters on defense and will be ferocious on that side of the ball again.

Not to mention, Ole Miss is going to take a huge step back on offense this season.  They lose QB Matt Corral, each of their top three receivers and each of their top three rushers.  Corral is a huge loss as he threw for 3,349 yards and 20 TD while also rushing for 614 yards and 11 TD.  USC transfer Jaxson Dart could be good, but he has some big shoes to fill.

Troy was a dead nuts UNDER team last season.  They only combined for 60-plus points with their opponents once in 12 games last season.  They had a woeful offense that averaged 22.8 points per game, and while they will be better with nine starters back, don't expect huge improvement.  The defense is loaded with nine returning starters from a unit that gave up 26.1 points and 337 yards per game.  They will be able to hold Ole Miss in check with eight of their top nine tacklers back.

The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Trojans last 10 non-conference games.  The UNDER is 10-3 in Trojans last 13 road games.  The UNDER is 8-0 in Ole Miss' last eight games overall.  Take the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* CFB DOG OF THE WEEK on Arizona +6.5

Arizona had to be the best 1-11 team in the history of college football last season.  They were only outgained by 15 yards per game overall and had five losses by single-digits to BYU, Washington, USC and Utah.  Knowing they played Utah and BYU tough, two of the best teams in the country last year, showed what they were capable of.

Keep in mind that was Jed Fisch's first season on the job.  Now Fisch has 15 starters back and actually came through with the 33rd-best recruiting class in the country for 2022.  They add in Washington State transfer Jayden de Laura at quarterback and I think this is going to be the single most improved team in the country.

I'm not high at all on San Diego State this season.  Brady Hoke goes from having 17 starters back last season to just 12 starters back in 2022.  They lose leading rusher Greg Bell (1,091 yards, 9 TD) and three of their top four receivers on offense.  Only five starters are back on offense.  The defense will be solid again with seven starters back, but they do lose Mountain West Defensive Player of the Year Cameron Thomas, who was also a second-team All-American.  The special teams also loses do-everything P/K Matt Araiza, who set the NCAA record for punting average (51.19).

San Diego State went 6-0 in one-score games last year.  That is almost unheard of.  So they were very lucky to have a 12-2 record.  They only outgained teams by 21 yards per game on the season.  So the Aztecs are going to take a step back, while the Wildcats are going to take a step forward.  I think this line should be much closer to PK or Arizona favored.

Plays on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Arizona) - a team that had a turnover margin of -1 per game or worse last season are 57-23 (71.2%) ATS since 1992.  Arizona was -17 in turnovers last year, so they are due for some positive regression in that department as well.  Bet Arizona Saturday.

15* Oregon/Georgia ABC ANNIHILATOR on Oregon +17.5

Georgia comes into the 2022 season overvalued after finally winning the National Championship for the first time in 41 years.  The Bulldogs only return 10 starters from that team and lose nine players to the NFL on defense alone.  Not to mention, they have been feeling fat and happy all offseason and I question their motivation heading into the opener.

Mario Cristobal is a great recruiter but not a great head coach.  I don't think the Ducks are downgrading at all with Dan Lanning coming over from Georgia, where he was the defensive coordinator the last three years and guided the nation's top D.  That also gives the Ducks an advantage in preparation as Lanning knows all of Georgia's players and schemes.

The cupboard is far from bare for Lanning as the Ducks return 15 starters this season.  They also add in Auburn transfer Bo Nix at quarterback.  He will be starting for a 4th consecutive season and is coming off his best year with 61% completions, 2,294 passing yards and an 11-to-3 TD/INT ratio last season.  He is also a dual-threat that has rushed for 869 yards in his career.

Oregon is very strong in the trenches and that gives them a chance to hang with Georgia.  There are 86 career starts and four starters returning on the offensive line in what will be one of the nation's best units.  Four of the top six are back on the defensive line, plus they add in two Nebraska transfers and Sam Taimani from Washington.  They could be even better than last year on the D-Line despite losing All-American Thibodeaux.  This game will be much closer than the odds suggest.  Bet Oregon Saturday.

15* Cincinnati/Arkansas ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Cincinnati +7

The disrespect the Cincinnati Bearcats are getting to open the season is alarming.  I'm shocked they are catching a touchdown on the road to the Arkansas Razorbacks.  Cincinnati made the four-team playoff last year and deservedly so with a 13-0 regular season before falling to Alabama in the playoffs, but playing them pretty tough.

Now the Bearcats return 13 starters this season and Luke Fickell is doing a tremendous job here recruiting and coaching them up.  They have eight starters back on offense, and although there is a drop off from Desmond Ridder to Eastern Michigan's Ben Bryant, I don't think it will be as significant as most are expecting.  They add in a 1,000-yard receiver from Hawaii in Nick Mardner and return all five starters up front, making this Fickell's best offensive line yet.

The Bearcats have allowed 16.8 and 16.9 points per game the past two seasons, respectively.  There will be a small drop off here with only five returning starters.  They lost their top two defensive linemen, but add in Ohio State transfer Noah Potter.  Deshawn Pace (95 tackles, 9.5 TFL last year) is back at linebacker and welcomes his brother Ivan Pace (125 tackles, 13 TFL), who was the MAC Defensive Player of the Year at Miami Ohio last year.  The drop off defensively won't be much.

Arkansas is getting some love after a surprising 9-4 season last year that ended with a 24-10 win over Penn State in the Outback Bowl.  But keep in mind that was a veteran Arkansas team that returned 19 starters.  Now the Razorbacks have just 11 starters back, and although QB KJ Jefferson is one of them, there are holes everywhere else.

The defense returns just four starters and loses four of its top five tacklers from a veteran unit that improved by 12.0 points per game allowed from 2020 to 2021.  They won't be nearly as good on this side of the ball in 2022.  They lose three of their top four receivers, including their start in Treylon Burks (1,104 yards, 11 TD last year), who was taken in the first round of the NFL Draft.  This game will go down to the wire with the Bearcats likely pulling the upset.  Take Cincinnati Saturday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-109)

The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball in going 23-7 in their last 30 games overall.  They are trying to lock up the NL Central with a lot to play for here in the final month of the season.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Cubs tonight that should lead to a blowout victory.

The Yankees are really regretting trading away Jordan Montgomery and trading for Frankie Montas right now.  That was a terrible swap for them.  Montgomery is 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA in his last five starts for the Cardinals while allowing just 6 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings.

Montgomery has owned the Cubs, going 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.573 WHIP in three career starts against them, two of which came this season as has he pitched 16 shutout innings against them.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Sampson, who is 1-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Sampson is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis as well.

St. Louis is 12-1 in home games vs. a starting pitcher that lasts less than 5 innings per start this season and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 3-12 in their last 15 games following an off day.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Friday.

20* CFB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Duke -7

To be clear, I'm not high on Duke this season.  But I think this is a great 'buy low' spot on the Blue Devils coming off a disastrous 3-9 season where they opened 3-1 before losing their final eight games.  Longtime head coach David Cutcliffe was let go, and in comes the underrated Mike Elko to give them new life.  Elko has been a defensive coordinator at Wake Forest under Dave Clawson, at Notre Dame under Brian Kelly and at Texas A&M the last four years under Jimbo Fisher, so he is ready for this.

The cupboard is not bare for Elko as the Blue Devils return 11 starters and 50 lettermen this season.  He came through with the 48th-best recruiting class.  This was a young team last year despite most teams having almost everyone back, which was a big problem.  Four of the top five tacklers are back on defense, so Elko does have something to work with there and this will be one of the most improved stop units in the country after allowing 39.8 points and 517 yards per game last season.

The offense is in good hands with six returning starters including four starters and 124 career starts along the offensive line.  The new offensive coordinator is Kevin Johns, who led Memphis to 30.1, 31.0 and 40.4 points per game the last three years.  Duke moved the ball fine last year at 418 yards per game, but they managed just 22.8 points per game.  They averaged 18.3 yards per point, which was the 6th-worst mark in the country, and those teams tend to bounce back.

To be clear, the Temple Owls are going to be one of the worst teams in the country again.  They went 1-6 in 2020 and it didn't go any better last year as they were 3-9 with two of their wins coming against Akron and Wagner.  They averaged 16.3 points per game and gave up 37.5 points per game last season, getting outscored by 21.2 points per game.

The head coaching carousel now sees Temple with its 6th head coach in 7 seasons.  First-hear head coach Stan Drayton comes over after serving as running backs coach at Texas the last five years.  This was one of the worst hires in the country.  While Drayton does have 14 starters back, he had just the 84th-best recruiting class.  There are 12 freshmen or sophomores projected to start for Temple in the opener.  This is a complete rebuilding job.

Temple is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as an underdog.  The Owls are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  The Blue Devils are 38-15-1 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games.  Duke is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. AAC opponents.  Bet Duke Friday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Rangers/Red Sox OVER 9

The Texas Rangers have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last 10 games overall.  They are averaging 6.6 runs per game in their last seven games.  The Red Sox have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight games overall.  These teams combined for 17 runs in Game 1 last night and it should be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

The Red Sox may cover this total on their own.  They'll be up against arguably the worst starter in all of baseball in Dallas Keuchel.  He is 2-8 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.054 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 14.24 ERA and 2.564 WHIP in five road starts.  Keuchel is 3-2 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.617 WHIP in eight career starts against Boston as well.

Nick Pivetta is 9-10 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.317 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Pivetta has been at his worst at home, going 4-6 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.445 WHIP in 13 starts at hitter-friendly Fenway Park this season.

The OVER is 8-1 in Pivetta's nine starts as a home favorite this season.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rangers last eight games overall.  The OVER is 7-0-1 in Rangers last eight games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 12-3-1 in Red Sox last 16 Friday games.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Orioles UNDER 8

The UNDER is 10-1 in Orioles last 11 games overall.  They have combined for 8 runs or fewer with their opponents in 11 consecutive games.  Now they take on one of the worst lineups in baseball in the Oakland A's, who are hitting .216 and scoring 3.4 runs per game this season.

Both starters are too good for this total to be set this high tonight.  Dean Kremer is 6-4 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last three starts against three potent lineups in the Astros, Red Sox and Blue Jays.

JP Sears has been a bright spot for the A's this season.  He is 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 1.187 WHIP in six starts while allowing just 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 32 innings.  He faced the Orioles on May 25th earlier this season and pitched 5 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory.

The UNDER is 8-1 in Kremer's nine night starts this season.  The UNDER is 8-1 in A's last nine games vs. AL East opponents.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)

The Toronto Blue Jays are highly motivated to chase down a wild card spot in the American League as they enter the month of September and the final month of the season.  This is a great chance for them to make up some ground with the Pirates, Orioles and Rangers their next three series.

They take on a struggling Pirates team that is 4-15 in their last 19 games overall with nothing to play for.  Ace Alek Manoah goes for the Blue Jays tonight.  He is 12-7 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.028 WHIP in 25 starts this season.

He'll be opposed by Johan Oviedo, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Pirates.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-1 loss to the Cubs in his lone start this season.  Oviedo is now 2-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in 112 1/3 innings in the big leagues in his career.

Pittsburgh is 2-17 in Friday games this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game.  Oviedo's teams are 4-15 in his 19 career starts and losing by 1.9 runs per game.  The Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.  The Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 games vs. a starting pitcher with less than a 1.15 WHIP.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

15* CFB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on New Mexico State/Minnesota UNDER 53

Both Jerry Kill and PJ Fleck are big into playing defense and ball control.  I just don't see how they are going to combine to score more than 53 points in this one given their philosophy.  They also have the familiarity of Kill being a former head coach at Minnesota, so I don't expect Fleck to try and run it up on him, either.  This game will slow to a snail's pace in the second half.

Kill has nine defensive starters back for the Aggies.  The defense is the strength of the team as only four starters are back on offense.  Kill knows his best chance to win is to shorten games and control the ball on offense.  They did a great job of that in Week 0 in a 12-23 loss to Nevada.  The problem was the offense turned it over five times in a game they should have won.  They held Nevada to just 257 total yards and 3.8 yards per play.  They can keep Minnesota in check, but I don't see them scoring much at all after managing just 303 yards and 5.1 per play against Nevada.

Minnesota is a 37-point favorite in this game.  Again, Fleck won't be looking to keep scoring late.  Minnesota allowed just 17.3 points and 279 yards per game last season as one of the nation's top defenses.  The Gophers managed just 25.5 points and 360 yards per game last season offensively, so it's not like they are that potent on that side of the ball.  They return just one starter along the offensive line.  They prefer to run the ball and will try and get the ground game going in Week 1, which will help shorten the game as well.

Plays on the UNDER on any team against the total (New Mexico State) - in the first two weeks of the season, after closing out last season with four or more losses in their last five games, with nine or more defensive starters returning are 70-33 (68%) over the last 10 seasons.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Golden Gophers last four home games.  Take the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* West Virginia/Pitt ESPN No-Brainer on West Virginia +7.5

Neal Brown enters his fourth season at West Virginia.  After going 5-7 his first year, he has taken the Mountaineers to bowl games each of the past two seasons.  He is doing a great job in recruiting, which is why I'm not concerned at all that the Mountaineers only return 11 starters.  Brown came through with the 27th-best recruiting class in 2022, while Pitt was 57th.

They will be much better offensively with seven starters back.  All five starters return on the offensive line.  Jarrett Doege was holding them back at QB and has transferred.  In comes JT Daniels, who made seven starts at Georgia and came over from USC.  The new offensive coordinator is Graham Harrell, who worked with Daniels at USC so there will be familiarity with the new offense.

The Mountaineers only return four starters on defense, but eight of the top 10 defensive linemen return and this will the strength of the stop unit.  Brown hit the transfer portal hard to fill out the rest of the defense, getting MLB Lee Kpogba from Syracuse, NB Jasir Cox from North Dakota State, CB Rashad Ajayi from Colorado State, SS Marcis Floyd from Murray State and FS Hershey McClaurin from JUCO.  I think the defense will be much better than everyone anticipates as the Mountaineers have been solid on this side of the ball all three seasons under Brown.

Pittsburgh comes into the season with massive expectations after winning the ACC last season and going 11-3 overall.  Keep in mind the Panthers never won more than eight games in the previous six seasons under Pat Narduzzi, and they hadn't won more than eight games in over 10 years.  While the Panthers do have 15 starters back, they lose all of their best players.

QB Kenny Pickett (4,319 yards, 42 TD, 7 INT) was drafted in the first round by the Steelers.  Top receiver Jordan Addison (100 receptions, 1,593 yards, 17 TD) transferred to USC to play under Lincoln Riley.  The loss of offensive coordinator Mark Whipple is also massive as he was the architect of Pitt's record-setting offense.  They will have a completely new scheme under OC Frank Cignetti, who spent the past two years at Boston College.

I just think Pitt comes in overrated based on last year's results.  They should not be laying over a touchdown to an underrated West Virginia team.  This is a heated rivalry as the Backyard Brawl returns for the first time since 2011.  Pitt won't have that big of a home-field advantage for this one, either.  Narduzzi is 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points as the coach of Pittsburgh.  The Mountaineers are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 September games.  Bet West Virginia Thursday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Orioles/Guardians UNDER 7.5

The UNDER is 9-1 in Orioles last 10 games overall.  They have combined for 7 runs or fewer in six consecutive games and 8 runs or fewer in 10 consecutive games.  The UNDER is 9-0-1 in Guardians last 10 games overall.  The Guardians and their opponents have combined for 7 runs or fewer in 10 consecutive games now.

Ace Shane Bieber goes for the Guardians tonight.  He is 8-7 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three.  Bieber is 3-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.542 WHIP in three career starts against Baltimore, allowing just 2 earned runs and 13 base runners in 24 innings with 37 K's.

Kyle Bradish has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in six consecutive starts.  He is 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA in his last six starts while allowing just 12 earned runs in 33 2/3 innings with 33 K's.  The UNDER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings in Cleveland.  Take the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mariners/Tigers OVER 8.5

The Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers have quietly been hot at the plate.  The Mariners have scored at least 3 runs in 16 of their last 17 games overall.  The Tigers have scored 4 runs or more in nine of their last 12 games overall and a total of 35 runs in their last five games.

Marco Gonzalez is 9-12 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 25 starts this season for the Mariners.  Gonzales has been at his worst on the road, going 3-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.612 WHIP in 12 starts away from home.  He is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA in his last two starts against the Tigers while allowing 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 10 innings.

Tyler Alexander has been a gas can for the Tigers this season.  He is 1-8 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in 10 starts this season with only 24 K's in 42 1/3 innings.  Alexander is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in his last three starts.  He is also 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in two career starts against Seattle.

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket as well with 12 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center at Comerica Park.  The OVER is 10-1-2 in Mariners last 13 road games.  The OVER is 19-4 in Mariners last 23 games after hitting .200 or worse over a five-game span.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Mariners last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 31-15-5 in Mariners last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 4-0 in Tigers last four games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Padres/Giants OVER 7.5

The San Diego Padres have scored a total of 30 runs in their last four games overall.  They are more than capable of covering this total on their own, but I expect the Giants to chip in as well.  The forecast will help us cash this OVER ticket with 14 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center at Oracle Park tonight.

Blake Snell has been shaky for the Padres all season.  He is 5-7 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.345 WHIP in 17 starts, including 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA in his last two starts while allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 1/3 innings to the Guardians and Nationals.

Logan Webb is having a solid season overall at 11-7 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 26 starts.  However, he has really struggled in his last two starts, going 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA in his last two starts against the Tigers and Diamondbacks while allowing 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 15-5 in Giants 20 games following three or more consecutive losses this season.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Tigers OVER 7.5

The Seattle Mariners and Detroit Tigers have quietly been hot at the plate.  The Mariners have scored at least 3 runs in 15 of their last 16 games overall.  The Tigers have scored 4 runs or more in nine of their last 11 games overall and a total of 32 runs in their last four games.

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket as well with 13 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to left at Comerica Park.  The OVER is 9-1-2 in Mariners last 12 road games.  The OVER is 9-0 in Mariners last nine road games following two consecutive games where they had five or fewer hits.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Oakland A's -104

The Oakland A's are 7-6 in their last 13 games overall with all seven wins as underdogs.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 10 of their last 13 games.  The face a Washington Nationals team that has arguably the worst lineup in baseball now after trading away Soto and Bell.  They have been held to 3 runs or fewer in seven consecutive games and an average of 2.1 runs per game in the process.

The A's have a big advantage on the mound tonight.  Cole Irvin has posted a 3.10 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 23 starts this season for the A's.  He has been the biggest bright spot on their roster this season and continues to pitch well, firing 7 shutout innings with 11 K's against the Marlins his last time out.

Erick Fedde is 5-8 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.505 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the Nationals while averaging just 4.9 innings per start.  Fedde will be making just his 2nd start back from injury after a month stint on the IL.

The Nationals are 1-9 in home games after scoring 3 runs or fewer in four consecutive games this season.  Washington is 16-40 in its last 56 games following a win.  The Nationals are 14-37 in their last 51 games overall.  Washington is 0-7 in its last seven games following an off day.  The Nationals are 0-8 in their last eight interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the A's Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Twins OVER 8.5

The forecast will help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket tonight between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins.  There is expected to be 12 MPH winds blowing out to center at Target Field tonight.

Brayan Bellow has really struggled for the Red Sox this season.  He is 0-2 with an 8.47 ERA and 2.176 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs and 37 base runners in 17 innings.

He'll be opposed by Dylan Bundy, who is 7-6 with a 4.56 ERA in 22 starts this season while averaging just 4.9 innings per start.  Bundy is 4-9 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.541 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Red Sox.

The OVER is 17-8-2 in Twins last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with combined scores of 9 runs or more in six of those seven.  Roll with the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this series with the Chicago Cubs highly motivated for a victory.  They were just swept by the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend after going 7-1 in their previous eight games.  The Blue Jays need wins here down the stretch to make the playoffs.

Toronto certainly has the advantage on the mound that should have them winning by two runs or more tonight.  Jose Berrios is 6-1 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in 12 home starts this season.  The Blue Jays have gone an amazing 11-1 in his 12 home starts.

Javier Assad will be making just his second start of the season for the Cubs.  Assad was lucky to pitch 4 shutout innings against the Cardinals in Game 1 of a double-header in his season debut.  He allowed 8 base runners in those 4 innings.

The Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 interleague games.  The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games.  Toronto is 7-1 in its last eight games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Blue Jays are 41-16 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 7 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall.  When they win games, they almost always win by two runs or more, so the way to play them is on the Run Line to save some juice.  The Miami Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in 24 of their last 27 games overall.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight as well.  Tony Gonsolin is trying to win the NL Cy Young.  He is 16-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.865 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  He has shown no signs of slowing down, going 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in his last three starts.  Gonsolin fired 5 1/3 shutout innings in his lone career start against the Marlins.

Pablo Lopez is 8-8 with a 3.73 ERA in 25 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA in 12 home starts.  The Dodgers are 41-10 in the second half of the season this season and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 19-3 in Gonsolin's last 22 starts vs. teams whose hitters average 7 or more strikeouts per game and winning by 3.1 runs per game.  Los Angeles is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.

20* Braves/Cardinals ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

The Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals have two of the hottest lineups in baseball.  The Cardinals have scored 4 runs or more in 23 of their last 29 games overall.  The Braves have scored 4 runs or more in 15 of their last 18 games overall.

Jake Odorizzi is an average starting pitcher at best.  He is 5-5 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.268 WHIP in 16 starts this season while averaging just 5.0 innings per start.  Adam Wainwright has been good at 9-9 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 25 starts, but this will be one of his toughest challenges of the season.

The forecast will help aid us in cashing this OVER ticket.  Temps in the upper-80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center are expected tonight.  The OVER is 8-0 in Braves last eight road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 9-1 in Braves 10 road games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better this season.  The OVER is 7-0 in Cardinals last seven during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays had won seven of their previous eight games before getting upset by the Angels in each of the first two games in this series.  It's safe to say they will highly motivated to avoid the sweep in Game 3, and I like their chances of winning by multiple runs today due to their advantage on the mound.

Ross Stripling is 5-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in nine home starts.  He'll be opposed by Tucker Davidson, who is 2-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.662 WHIP in six starts this season with 20 walks and only 14 K's in 27 2/3 innings.

Toronto is 27-11 in its last 38 games after scoring one run or less and winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 4-17 after allowing 3 runs or less in two consecutive games this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 27-56 in their last 83 games overall.  The Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games after losing the first two games of a series.  Toronto is 41-15 in its last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

20* Giants/Jets NFLX No-Brainer on New York Giants +3

No analysis for preseason.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/A's OVER 8

The forecast will help us cash this OVER 8 ticket between the New York Yankees and Oakland A's tonight.  There is expected to be 14 MPH winds blowing out to center at the Coliseum tonight so the ball should be flying out.

The Yankees are more than capable of covering this total on their own.  They'll be up against Adam Oller, who is 2-6 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-4 with a 7.96 ERA and 1.654 WHIP in five home starts.  Giancarlo Stanton is back for the Yankees, and they should have Anthony Rizzo back int he lineup tonight.

The A's have scored at least 3 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.  They should be able to contribute to this OVER by getting to Domingo German, who is 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.339 WHIP in four road starts this season.  German is 0-1 with a 7.92 ERA and 1.811 WHIP in four career starts against the A's as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Tigers/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The books have set the bar too low in this game between the Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers.  Two gas can starting pitchers go for the Tigers and Rangers.  The Tigers have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Rangers have scored a total of 29 runs in their last three games overall.

Dallas Keuchel has been arguably the worst starter in baseball this season.  He is 2-7 with an 8.71 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 49 earned runs and 10 homers in 50 2/3 innings.  Keuchel allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of an 11-7 victory over the Tigers in his lone start against them this season.

Eduardo Rodriquez is 0-2 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.285 WHIP in four road starts this season.  Rodriquez has posted a 5.73 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in six career starts against the Rangers.  He has allowed 16 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas.

The OVER is 7-3-1 in Tigers last 11 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 33-16-7 in the last 56 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 8-0-1 in Rangers last nine games when their opponent scored 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Philadelphia Eagles +2

No analysis for preseason.

20* CFB DOG OF THE WEEK on Connecticut +28

The UConn Huskies are going to be one of the most improved teams in the country in 2022.  I love the Jim Mora hire.  He joined the staff for the final four games last year so he could recruit for this season.  He retained his DC in Lou Spanos, who held the same position under Mora at UCLA and was at UConn the last three years.

The Huskies welcome back 15 starters and 54 lettermen.  They return each of their top six tacklers on defense, and they have Penn State transfer Ta'Quan Roberson at quarterback to revive the offense.  They can only be better on both sides of the football.  The Huskies had five games decided by 14 points or less last year and should be more competitive this season.

Utah State is getting a lot of love to open the season after winning the Mountain West last year and going 11-3.  But keep in mind this was a veteran team last year with 19 returning starters.  Now the Aggies have just 12 returning starters in 2022 and only 34 lettermen coming back.

While the Aggies due have QB Logan Bonner back, they lost each of their top three receivers whoe combined for over 3,3300 yards and 31 touchdowns.  There will be some chemistry issues with Bonner and his receivers to start the season.

Defensively, the Aggies are sure to take a step back as well.  They return just five starters on that side of the ball and lose four of their top five tacklers.  Despite winning 11 games last year, keep in mind that the Aggies rarely blew out anyone as they had just two wins by this kind of margin.  It's asking too much of them to win by more than four touchdowns to beat us in the opener.  Take Connecticut Saturday.

20* Northwestern/Nebraska 2022 CFB Season Opener on Northwestern +13.5

Everything went wrong for Northwestern last season.  They finished just 3-9 while having an inexperienced team with eight returning starters.  Now they have 14 starters back and will be playing with a chip on their shoulder to start the season.  Pat Fitzgerald teams are always at their most dangerous when they have been counted out.

We saw this happen a few years ago when the Wildcats went from 3-9 in 2019 to 7-2 in 2020 and a trip to the Big Ten Championship Game.  Expect a similar turnaround in 2022 with all of the experience the Wildcats return.  They have nine starters back on offense and should be greatly improved on that side of the ball.

QB Ryan Hilinski was one of the top recruits in the country when he came out of high school and signed with South Carolina.  He was in the midst of a QB carousel at NW last year as three guys made starts.  Now the job looks to be his from the get go.  He'll have 1,000-yard rusher Evan Hull to hand the ball off to, plus all of his top receivers back outside of Stephon Robinson.  110 career starts return along the offensive line and this could be Fitzgerald's best O-Line in his 17 years here.

There are five starters back on defense.  The Wildcats had allowed 23.6 PPG or fewer in six consecutive season before allowing 29.0 PPG last year.  That's unacceptable under Fitgerald.  This will be one of the most improved defenses in the country with six of the top nine tacklers back.

Once again, Nebraska comes into the 2022 season with massive expectations that are unwarranted.  Scott Frost has gone just 15-29 in his four seasons here despite big expectations every season.  The Huskers are 5-20 in one-score games under Frost, and I expect this game to go down to the wire as well.

The Huskers only return 12 starters and have a ton of new faces this season through the transfer portal.  It will take them a few games to live up to their full potential.  Remember, they lost outright as 7-point road favorites at Illinois 30-22 in the opener last season, and that was Bret Bielema's first game as Illinois head coach.  They have gone 0-4 ATS in season openers under Frost and are just 1-7 ATS in their first two games.

Northwestern is 3-2 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings with four meetings decided by 8 points or less.  In fact, six of the last seven meetings have been decided by 11 points or fewer.  The Huskers are once again getting too much love to open the season, while the Wildcats are being grossly disrespected due to last year's results with a very young team.  Bet Northwestern Saturday.

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-124)

The New York Yankees have finally busted out of their slump.  They are 4-0 in their last four games overall with all four wins by two runs or more.  I think they make it five in a row today against the lowly Oakland A's.

Ace Gerrit Cole gets the ball for the Yankees tonight.  He is 9-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 25 starts this season.  Cole owns the A's, going 5-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.006 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  His teams have won seven of his nine starts against them with all seven wins by two runs or more.

The A's are 4-17 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less in three straight games this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Oakland is 13-32 as a home underdog this season and losing by 2.5 runs per game.  The Yankees are 4-0 against the A's this season.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

25* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR on Buffalo Bills +7

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in six of those seven victories.  Look for them to hang a big number on the Los Angeles Angels tonight to cover most of this total on their own.

Reid Detmers is 2-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in nine road starts this season while averaging just 4.7 innings per start.  He'll be opposed by Mitch White, who is 0-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.316 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  White averages just 4.6 innings per start, so both bullpens will be involved early in this one.

The Angels are 13-1 OVER in their last 14 games after scoring 3 runs or less in four consecutive games.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with combined scores of 9 runs or more in six of those seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on St. Louis Cardinals -109

The St. Louis Cardinals are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in eight of the nine victories.  We should not be getting the Cardinals at basically even money today against the lowly Chicago Cubs.

Dakota Hudson has held his own this season at 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA in 22 starts.  He has only allowed 8 homers in 114 1/3 innings.  Hudson has never lost to the Cubs, going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in four career starts against them.

Marcus Stroman has been at his worst at home this season for the Cubs.  He is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA in seven home starts.  Stroman is 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against the Cardinals.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 2/3 innings.

St. Louis is 26-9 with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last six games following a loss.  St. Louis is 20-6 in its last 26 games overall.  Bet the Cardinals Thursday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-125)

The St. Louis Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in eight of the nine victories.  They should put it on the Chicago Cubs tonight due to their advantage on the mound in this one.

Luke Farrell will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs.  Farrell has been atrocious at Triple A Iowa this year, going 3-4 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in 59 innings pitched.  Farrell is 5-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 87 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues as well.

Miles Mikolas is 10-9 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in 25 starts this season for the Cardinals.  Mikolas is 4-2 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Cubs.  Chicago is scoring just 1.8 runs per game in its last four games overall and may be without its best hitter in Wilson Contreras tonight.

Chicago is 1-9 in home games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 4-28 in their last 32 games as home underdogs of +175 or higher and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -141

The Toronto Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last six games overall and starting to rake at the plate again with 5.8 runs per game during this stretch.  Look for them to stay hot against Brayan Bello and the Boston Red Sox tonight as the Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound in this one.

Jose Berrios is coming off one of his best starts of the season, allowing just one earned run in 6 2/3 innings with 9 K's in a 9-2 road win over the New York Yankees.  Berrios has posted a 3.86 ERA in nine career starts against the Red Sox, including a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 19 innings.

The Red Sox are 1-4 in their last five games overall.  It's not going to get any better for them with Bryan Bello on the mound.  Bello is 0-2 with a 10.50 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 innings.  One of those starts came against the Blue Jays on July 24th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings.

Toronto is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last six meetings in Boston.  Toronto is 5-0 in its last five games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take the Blue Jays Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-135)

The Seattle Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season and it is showing at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 11 consecutive games, including 6 runs or more in five of those.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate against Anibal Sanchez and the lowly Washington Nationals tonight.

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound today behind George Kirby.  The right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He'll be up against a soft Washington lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in five of their last six games overall, including 2 runs or fewer in four of those.

Anibal Sanchez is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing a whopping 21 earned runs and 9 homers in 30 innings.  Look for the Mariners to tee off on him this afternoon.

The Nationals are 18-45 in their last 63 games overall.  Seattle is 38-17 in its last 55 games overall.  The Mariners are 8-0 in their last eight Wednesday games.  The Nationals are 1-11 in their last 12 Wednesday games.  Seattle is 6-0 in its last six interleague games.  Roll with the Mariners on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-120)

The Seattle Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season and it is showing at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 10 consecutive games, including 6 runs or more in five of those.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate against Erick Fedde and the lowly Washington Nationals tonight.

Fedde is 5-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.543 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He has been at his worst on the road, going 3-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in nine starts away from home.  The Mariners are sure to hang a big number on him tonight.

2021 AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray has been solid for the Mariners this season at 9-8 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 24 starts with 166 K's in 142 innings.  Ray has been at his best at home, going 4-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 13 home starts.  He'll be up against a woeful Nationals lineup that is scoring 3.7 runs per game overall and 3.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  They have been even worse since trading away Soto and Bell, their two best hitters.

Seattle is 9-2 following an off day this season and winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 18-44 in their last 62 games overall.  Washington is 0-5 in its last five games following an off day.  The Nationals are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Seattle is 37-17 in its last 54 games overall.  Roll with the Mariners on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Blue Jays/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -130

The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last five games overall and starting to rake at the plate again.  Look for them to stay hot against Josh Winckowski and the Boston Red Sox tonight as the Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound in this one.

Ross Stripling is 4-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 0-0 with a 2.46 ERA and 0.819 WHIP in his last three starts.  Stripling has allowed just 5 earned runs in 14 innings in three starts against the Red Sox in 2022 for a 3.21 ERA.

Winckowski has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 5-6 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 12 starts in 2022.  Winckowski has been at his worst at home, going 3-3 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in seven starts at Fenway Park.

The Blue Jays are 9-1 in their last 10 games following an off day.  Toronto is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five meetings in Boston.  Take the Blue Jays Tuesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago White Sox -130

The Chicago White Sox have a lot to play for right now trying to chase down the Twins and Guardians in the AL Central.  I like their chances of taking down the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of this series with their ace in Dylan Cease on the mound.

AL Cy Young contender Dylan Cease goes for the White Sox today.  He is 12-5 with a 2.09 ERA in 24 starts this season with a whopping 178 K's in 133 2/3 innings.  He has been at his best on the road, going 7-2 with a 1.34 ERA in 11 starts away from home.  Cease has allowed one earned run or fewer in 14 of his last 15 starts.

Austin Voth is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to having a 2.76 ERA in 10 starts this season.  But Voth is averaging just 4.2 innings per start, so the White Sox will get into Baltimore's bullpen early in this one.

Cease has never lost to the Orioles, going 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in three career starts against them.  The White Sox have gone 3-0 in those three starts.  Chicago is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.  Bet the White Sox Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -155

The St. Louis Cardinals are on a seven-game winning streak while scoring at least 5 runs in all seven victories and an average of 8.0 runs per game.  Look for them to make easy work of the Chicago Cubs in Game 1 of this series Monday night.

The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound behind Jordan Montgomery, who is 6-3 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.074 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  He was a huge get prior to the deadline and it's shocking the Yankees traded him away.  Montgomery is 3-0 with a 0.54 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in his last three starts with the Cardinals.  He fired 7 shutout innings in a 8-0 victory in his lone start against the Cubs this season.

Drew Smyly has been decent for the Cubs this season at 5-6 with a 3.67 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 16 starts.  But the Cardinals have feasted on left-handed pitching this season, scoring 5.3 runs per game against southpaw starters.  The Cubs are only scoring 4.0 runs per game against left-handed starters to compare.

St. Louis is 33-13 in its last 46 road games vs. a team with a losing record.   The Cardinals are 21-7 in their last 28 games overall.  The Cubs are 21-62 in their last 83 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or better.  St. Louis is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Chicago.  Bet the Cardinals Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Phillies OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds have scored 19 runs total in their last two games and 4 runs or more in five of their last seven games overall.  They are swinging the bats well right now.  The Phillies are coming off a 9-run outburst against the Mets yesterday and their bullpen is pretty taxed right now.

The Phillies should hang another big number on the Reds tonight and are fully capable of covering this total on their own.  They'll be up against Luis Cessa, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Reds.  Cessa is 15-15 with a 4.17 ERA in his career in the big leagues, including a 5.50 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 2022.

Noah Syndergaard appears to be running out of gas here down the stretch in his first full season back from injury.  He is 7-8 with a 3.95 ERA and 1.265 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  The Reds should stay hot at the plate against him tonight.

The OVER is 4-0 in Reds last four road games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Phillies last four games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Falcons/Jets NFLX ANNIHILATOR on New York +2.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Padres OVER 8

The first three games in this series have been pretty low scoring with combined scores of 3, 4 and 9 runs.  That is keeping this total lower than it should be.  These are two of the worst starting pitchers in the league going at it, and either team is capable of covering this total on their own, especially the Padres.

They'll be up against Pat Corbin, who is 4-16 with a 6.96 ERA and 1.797 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 1-9 with a 9.44 ERA and 2.119 WHIP in 11 road starts.  It's amazing the Nationals keep throwing him out there every five days with how awful he has truly been.  Corbin allowed 6 earned runs and 14 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to the Padres in his last start against them.

Sean Manaea has been a big disapppointment for the Padres this season.  He is 6-6 with a 4.83 ERA in 22 starts, including 0-1 with a 9.69 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last three.  Both of these starters have already allowed more than 20 homers this season.

The OVER is 25-11 in Manaea's last 36 starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 13-3 in Manaea's last 16 August home starts.  The OVER is 17-6 in Corbin's last 23 August road starts.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Eagles/Browns NFLX No-Brainer on Philadelphia -1.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Giants/Rockies OVER 11

Temperatures will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight.  I fully expect the San Francisco Giants and Colorado Rockies to both hang a big number offensively against these two poor starting pitchers tonight.

Alex Cobb has been terrible on the road this season with a 6.19 ERA and 1.514 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  Cobb has posted a 5.71 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in three career starts against Colorado.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 10-7 victory at Colorado on May 17th in his last start against the Rockies.

Ryan Feltner has been even worse for the Rockies this season.  He is 2-4 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-2 witha. 7.65 ERA and 1.450 WHIP in four home starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals and Diamondbacks, both of which came at home.

The OVER is 13-4 in Cobb's last 17 road starts.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in Giants last eight road games.  Take the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mariners/A's OVER 7

The Seattle Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season and raking at the plate right now.  They have scored 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games overall while averaging 6.5 runs per game during this stretch.  They are more than capable of covering this total on their own, and the A's can chip in as they have scored 3 runs or more in six of their last nine games overall.

Logan Gilbert has been a disaster recently for the Mariners.  He is 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA and 2.022 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 31 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.  Gilbert has posted a 4.44 ERA in five career starts against Oakland.

James Kaprielian is 3-7 with a 4.33 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 0-4 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.409 WHIP in eight home starts.  Kaprielian has posted a 4.00 ERA in five career starts against the Mariners.

The forecast should also help us cash this OVER with 13 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to right at the Coliseum.  The OVER is 14-4 in Seattle's 18 road games this season with a total set of 7 to 7.5 runs.  The OVER is 10-1-2 in Mariners last 13 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Las Vegas Raiders PK

No analysis for preseason.

15* Texans/Rams NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston -2

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Twins OVER 8

The books have set the number too low tonight in this game between the Texas Rangers and Minnesota Twins.  The Twins are hitting up to their potential of late in scoring 4 runs or more in five of their last seven games overall.  The Rangers have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last 12 games overall.

Dylan Bundy has not been very good this season as he is 6-5 with a 4.76 ERA while averaging just 4.9 innings per start.  Bundy allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his lone start against Texas this season back on July 10th.

Martin Perez has come back down to reality of late and allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings to the Houston Astros in his last road start.  Perez allowed 6 earned runs in 6 innings to the Twins in his lone start against them this season on July 9th.  He fell to 0-3 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six career starts against Minnesota.

The OVER is 9-0 in Perez's last nine starts.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Rangers last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 7-2-2 in Rangers last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in Twins last 11 games following an off day.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Blue Jays/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees have two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  But both have struggled in recent weeks, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  Now there's a ton of value on the OVER 7.5 tonight and we'll take advantage, just as we did last night in cashing in the OVER 8.

Kevin Gausman is 8-9 in spite of a 3.16 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He is getting too much respect from the books tonight.  Gausman is 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA in his last two starts against the Yankees, allowing 7 earned runs in 11 innings.

Jameson Taillon is 11-3 in spite of a 3.95 ERA in 23 starts this season.  I just don't think this guy is as good as his record, and that has shown in recent starts as he is 1-1 with a 5.30 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 2/3 innings.  The Blue Jays will get to him tonight.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings as the Yankees and Blue Jays have combined for 8 runs or more in five of those and 11 or more in four of them.  The OVER is 27-9-1 in Blue Jays last 37 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 12-3-1 in Yankees last 16 home games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Yankees has six home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Bears/Seahawks NFLX Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 40

No analysis for preseason.

20* Mets/Braves NL East No-Brainer on New York -120

It's rare that you get the opportunity to back the best starter in baseball in Jacob DeGrom at nearly even money.  We'll take advantage today and back the Mets to beat the Atlanta Braves and even this series.

DeGrom has been awesome since coming off the IL.  He is 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.420 WHIP in three starts this season with a whopping 28 K's in 16 2/3 innings with only one homer and one walk allowed.  DeGrom is 10-7 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.928 WHIP in 26 career starts against the Braves.

Max Fried will be making his return from an IL stint and will likely be on a pitch count.  Fried has lost his last two starts against the Mets while allowing 6 runs, 4 earned, and 17 base runners in 11 innings.  The Mets will get to him again today.

The Mets are 22-8 in their last 30 games overall.  New York is 10-1 in its last 11 Thursday games.  Take the Mets Thursday.

25* AL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 8

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees have two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  But both have struggled in recent weeks, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  Now there's a ton of value on the OVER 8 tonight, and thus this is my favorite total in the American League for the entire season.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own.  They'll be up against Jose Berrios, who has some of the most drastic home/road splits this season.  He is 2-4 with a 7.50 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in 11 road starts this season.  He is also 0-1 with a 15.25 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 7 2/3 innings to the Guardians and Twins.

Berrios is 2-3 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in eight career starts against the Yankees as well.  He'll be opposed by Frankie Montas, who has posted a 6.92 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in his las three starts.  He is off to a rough start for the Yankees since getting traded to them from the A's.  It won't get any easier for him tonight.

The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings as the Yankees and Blue Jays have combined for 8 runs or more in four of those and 11 or more in three of them.  The OVER is 9-2 in Berrios' 11 road starts this season.  The OVER is 7-0 in Yankees last seven home games when revenging a loss as a road favorite.  The OVER is 26-9-1 in Blue Jays last 36 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 11-3-1 in Yankees last 15 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rays/Yankees OVER 8

This total has been set too low due to the Yankees' recent struggles at the plate.  But they are too good to get held down for long, and I expect them to bust out of their slump today.  I also expect the Rays to keep pace as these are two vulnerable starting pitchers.  Plus, the forecast is going to help us with 9 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center at Yankee Stadium.

Domingo German is 1-2 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.436 WHIP in five starts this season.  He hasn't been able to figure out the Rays, posting a 6.52 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Corey Kluber, who is 7-7 with a 4.40 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.13 ERA in his last three.

Tampa Bay is a perfect 8-0 OVER following three or more consecutive unders this season.  The OVER is 10-3-1 in Yankees last 14 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +120

The Chicago White Sox are finally playing up to their potential.  They have won four consecutive games to try and chase down the Twins and Guardians in the AL Central.  Speaking of momentum, Chicago's starter tonight is in the midst of a historic run that will continue.

Amazingly, Dylan Cease has allowed one earned run or fewer in 14 consecutive starts to improve to 12-5 with a 1.96 ERA in 23 starts this season.  For my money, he is the best starter in the American League this season when you consider he has a whopping 174 K's in 128 2/3 innings.

It's between Cease and Verlander for the AL Cy Young this season most likely, and these two will match up tonight.  Verlander had one of his worst starts of the season against the White Sox in his lone start against them in 2022.  He allowed 7 runs, 4 earned, and 9 hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 7-0 loss to the White Sox on June 18th.

The Astros are 2-6 in their last eight road games.  Chicago is 4-1 in its last five home meetings with Houston.  The White Sox are 6-0 in their last six home games.  Cease should not be a home underdog tonight.  Take the White Sox Tuesday.

25* NL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Mets/Braves OVER 8.5

These are two of the best offenses in the National League.  The Mets are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season while the Braves are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The forecast is calling for 11 MPH winds blowing out to center today to help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  This is my favorite bet of the entire season when it comes to National League totals.

Taijuan Walker and Charlie Morton both struggle shutting down these respective lineups.  Walker has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 innings in his last two starts against the Braves.  Morton has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings in two starts against the Mets in 2022.

The OVER is 10-1 in Morton's 11 night starts this season.  The OVER is 11-1 in Morton's 12 starts vs. teams that average 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game this season.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings with combined scores of 10 runs or more in five of those.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Tigers/Guardians UNDER 8

The Detroit Tigers are scoring 3.2 runs per game overall, including 2.8 runs per game on the road.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring just 4.1 runs per game at home.  The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at Progressive Field tonight.

Zach Plesac owns the Tigers.  He is 4-2 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.908 WHIP in 10 career starts against them.  Garrett Hill has had two of his best starts against the Guardians in 2022.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 11 innings with a 1.64 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in two starts against them this season.

The UNDER is 12-4-5 in Tigers last 21 games overall.  The UNDER is 53-25-5 in Tigers last 83 road games.  The UNDER is 45-21-6 in Tigers last 72 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The UNDER is 7-2-1 in Guardians last 10 games overall.  The UNDER is 8-2 in Guardians last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing five of their last six games overall, including Game 1 of this series to the Baltimore Orioles.  But now they send ace Alek Manoah to the mound to stop the bleeding, and he's one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.

Manoah is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.022 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kremer has been awful against the Blue Jays, going 0-1 with an 11.33 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

Manoah is 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.878 WHIP in five career starts against Baltimore.  The Blue Jays are 15-3 when revenging a loss as a home favorite this season and combing back to win by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 34-6 in their last 40 games overall with a whopping 30 wins by two runs or more.  We should not be getting them as underdogs on the Run Line tonight, but we'll gladly take advantage and back them due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Julio Urias is 12-6 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 7-4 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.995 WHIP In 12 road starts.  Urias is 5-0 with a 1.09 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 33 innings.  He always seems to get better in the second half of the season.

Urias owns the Brewers, going 4-1 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Freddy Peralta, who just can't stay healthy this season.  Peralta has a 4.37 ERA in 10 starts this season and a 6.26 ERA in five home starts.  He'll be making just his 3rd start back from the IL after missing nearly three months of action.

The Dodgers are 22-3 in Urias' 25 starts in the second half of the season over the last two season and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. 

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on New York Mets +140

The New York Mets are playing too well to be this big of an underdog to the Atlanta Braves tonight.  The Mets are 17-3 in their last 20 games overall despite playing playoff contenders in the Yankees, Braves, Phillies and Padres during this stretch.

Carlos Carrasco is pitching too well to be this big of an underdog, too.  Carrasco is 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing just 8 earned runs in 42 2/3 innings.  He has held the Braves to just 3 earned runs in 14 innings in two starts against them in 2022.

Spencer Strider is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season when he allowed 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 2 2/3 innings to these Mets on August 7th.  He is now 0-1 with a 6.13 ERA and 2.180 WHIP in two career starts against New York.

Carrasco's teams are 12-0 in his last 12 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game.  They are winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Mets are 8-0 in their last eight Monday games.  New York is 10-1 in its last 11 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or less.  Roll with the Mets Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9

Two of the worst starting pitchers on their respective teams go tonight when the Baltimore Orioles visit the Toronto Blue Jays for Game 1 of this series Monday.  Look for a slug fest to ensue, which is almost always the case when these two teams get together.

Yusei Kikuchi is definitely the weak link in Toronto's rotation.  He is 4-6 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.494 WHIP in 19 starts this season while allowing 18 homers in 79 innings.  Kikuchi is 1-3 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in four career starts against Baltimore.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 innings in two starts against the Orioles in 2022.

Kyle Bradish is 1-4 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.622 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 61 2/3 innings.  Bradish is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.760 WHIP in two career starts against Toronto, allowing 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 18-5-3 in the last 26 meetings, including 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings in Toronto.  In fact, the OVER is 11-0-1 in the last 12 meetings with combined scores of 10 runs or more in all 12 meetings.  The Orioles and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in 14 consecutive meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -115

The Seattle Mariners are 33-14 in their last 47 games overall and just got young star Julio Rodriquez back from injury.  They are as healthy as they have been all season and a dangerous team down the stretch as they try and earn a wild card spot.  The Texas Rangers are just 9-18 in their last 27 games overall.  

Logan Gilbert is 10-5 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.232 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 6-1 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in 13 road starts.  The Mariners are 10-3 in his 13 road starts.  Gilbert has never lost to the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings in three starts against Texas in 2022.

Martin Perez is getting too much respect from oddsmakers today.  He just allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings to the Astros in his last start.  Perez has posted a fortunate 3.52 ERA despite a 1.527 WHIP in 24 career starts against the Mariners.  The Rangers are 0-2 in Perez's two starts against Seattle this season.

The Mariners own the Rangers in going 37-14 in the last 51 meetings, including 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Texas.  The Rangers are 3-10 in their last 13 home games.  The Mariners are 20-7 in their last 27 road games.  Seattle is 22-6 in its last 28 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Mariners are 5-0 in their last five road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Mariners Sunday.

15* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Buffalo Bills +1.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Blue Jays OVER 8

This is a very low total for a game involving the Toronto Blue Jays.  They have lost five of their last six and have been held down offensively, but it won't last because they have too much talent.  The Guardians will get their run as they stay hot at the plate in the midst of a six-game winning streak.

Triston McKenzie has allowed 4 earned runs in two of his last three starts coming in.  He is getting too much respect from oddsmakers due to his season-long stats.  He is susceptible to the long ball as he has allowed 13 homers in 73 2/3 innings on the road this season.

Mitch White goes for the Blue Jays.  He is getting too much respect as well.  He was traded from the Dodgers to the Blue Jays and has had very limited action in the big leagues with just 110 1/3 innings pitched.  He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start for the Blue Jays this season.

The OVER is 37-18 in Blue Jays last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Carolina Panthers +3

No analysis for preseason.

20* Packers/49ers NFLX No-Brainer on San Francisco ML -142

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Red Sox OVER 9

The books have set the bar too low in this rivalry between two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Yankees have the best offense at 5.3 runs per game.  The Red Sox have gotten healthier lately and are starting to hit the ball again, scoring 4 runs or more in six consecutive games.  They are scoring 4.6 runs per game at home this season.

Domingo German is still trying to work his way back from injury and hasn't lasted more than 5 innings in any start.  He is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.528 WHIP in four starts this season.  German has a 4.46 ERA in eight career starts against Boston.

Nathan Eovaldi is also trying to work his way back from injury.  He has been a disaster at home this season, going 1-3 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in seven starts at Fenway Park.  Eovaldi has allowed 6 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in two starts against the Yankees this season.

Boston is 7-0 OVER vs. AL teams that are scoring 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  The Red Sox are 10-0 OVER vs. excellent power teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game this season.  The OVER is 21-8-2 in Yankees last 31 games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings with 9 combined runs or more in all seven meetings and 11 or more in six of them.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -150

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after a tough eight-game road trip that saw them lose four of their final five games.  Now the Blue Jays are back home where they are 34-21 on the season.  They had yesterday off while the Cleveland Guardians completed their series with the Tigers Thursday, so they have the rest advantage.

A big reason I'm willing to lay this juice is because Jose Berrios gets the ball for the Blue Jays.  Berrios is 6-0 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in 11 home starts this season and the Blue Jays are a PERFECT 11-0 in his 11 home starts.  He'll be opposed by Cal Quantrill, who is 2-5 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.613 WHP In nine road starts this season.

The Blue Jays are 9-0 in their last nine games following an off day.  Bet the Blue Jays Friday.

15* NFLX Friday ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Lions ML -130

No analysis for preseason.

20* Titans/Ravens NFLX No-Brainer on Baltimore -3.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -110

Few teams have been hotter than the St. Louis Cardinals over the past month.  They have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall including a sweep of the New York Yankees.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 12 games overall and are absolutely raking at the plate right now.

The Cardinals will stay hot today against German Marquez and the Colorado Rockies.  Marquez is 6-9 with a 5.18 ERA and 1.414 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 2-5 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in 12 home starts.  He has allowed 45 earned runs and 14 homers in 66 1/3 innings at Coors Field this season.

Dakota Hudson is consistently one of the more underrated starters in baseball year after year.   He has gone 6-6 with a respectable 4.20 ERA in 20 starts this season.  The key to his game is he doesn't give up homers, allowing just 8 in 105 innings pitched this season.  Hudson is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA in two career starts against the Rockies, allowing just 2 earned runs in 12 innings.

St. Louis is 34-13 in its last 47 games as a road favorite of -110 or higher.  The Cardinals are 30-12 in their last 42 road games vs. a team with a losing record.  St. Louis is 49-23 in the last 72 meetings.  The Rockies are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.  Bet the Cardinals Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory today to even this series after losing two of the first three games to the Kansas City Royals.  I like their chances of winning in blowout fashion this afternoon due to their big advantage on the mound.

Dylan Cease is in the midst of a historic run for the White Sox right now.  He has allowed one earned run or fewer in 13 consecutive starts to improve to 12-4 with a 1.98 ERA in 22 starts this season.  He is 7-1 with a 1.32 ERA in 10 road starts and the White Sox have gone 9-1 in those starts.

Cease is 4-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals.  He'll be opposed by Zack Greinke, who is 3-7 with a 4.58 ERA In 18 starts this season.  Greinke is 9-10 with a 4.11 ERA in 27 career starts against the White Sox.

Chicago is 12-2 in Cease's 14 day starts this season and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The White Sox are 21-7 in Cease's last 28 starts following a team loss and winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Chicago is 25-6 in Cease's last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record and winning by 2.7 runs per game.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Giants/Padres NL West No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

It was only a matter of time before the San Diego Padres got their bats going with the talent they have in their lineup after the big trade.  They busted out of their slump in a 7-4 victory over the Giants last night.  It should be more of the same today with these two starting pitchers going.

The Padres should feast on Jake Junis, who allowed 3 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings to the Dodgers last time out.  Junis has posted a 4.85 ERA in two career starts against the Padres.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in a 7-8 defeat in his lone start against them in 2022.

Sean Manaea is 6-6 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He has been crushed recently, going 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA and 2.026 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 19 runs, 14 earned, 4 homers and 27 base runners in 13 1/3 innings.  The Giants will get to him today.

The OVER is 25-11 in Manaea's last 36 starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 5-1 in Giants last six road games.  The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in San Diego.  Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Yankees/Mariners AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7

This will be the 6th meeting between the Yankees and Mariners in the month of August already.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the first five with combined scores of 9 runs or more in four of the five.  This 7-run total has been set too low today folks.

The Mariners have been at their best against left-handed starters this season.  Nestor Cortes has been very good for the Yankees, but I fully expect the Mariners to get to him.  Cortes allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 5 innings of a 5-3 victory over the Mariners in his lone career start against Seattle.

The key here is that the Yankees are capable of covering this 7-run total on their own.  They have the best offense in baseball and score 5.3 runs per game.  Robbie Ray has been atrocious since the All-Star Break, going 0-2 with a 7.81 ERA and 2.052 WHIP in his last three starts.  Ray is 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his last two starts against the Yankees, allowing 9 earned runs and a whopping 6 homers in 10 innings.

The OVER is 21-8-1 in Yankees last 30 games overall.  The OVER is 7-0-2 in Mariners last nine games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 5-2-2 in Mariners last nine games overall.  The OVER is 19-8 in Mariners last 27 games with a total set of 7 runs or fewer.  Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.