15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Wizards +2

The Washington Wizards have quietly gone 10-4 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They actually rank 3rd in the NBA in net rating over their past 15 games, and only the Cavaliers and Bucks have been better.  They should not be home underdogs to the New York Knicks tonight.

The Knicks have gone 8-8 SU & 8-8 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  They rank 17th in net rating over their past 15 games.  They have been below average during this stretch, and they have no business being road favorites here.

Washington is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after covering three of its last four coming in.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego +23

The Gonzaga Bulldogs have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  They have gone 23-5 SU but just 9-17-1 ATS on the season.  And now they are in a terrible spot Thursday with St. Mary's on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but look ahead to that game with revenge on their mind after losing to the Gaels in OT in their first meeting.

As a result, I expect a flat effort from the Bulldogs tonight that will allow San Diego to stay within this inflated number.  The Toreros have been much more competitive here of late going 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Loyola-Marymount by 8 as 3.5-point home dogs, only lost by 5 at Santa Clara as 11.5-point dogs, only lost by 5 at Pacific and only lost by 3 at home to St. Mary's as 13.5-point dogs.  There's no way they should be 23-point dogs here to Gonzaga.

The Bulldogs are 9-22-2 ATS in their last 33 games overall.  Gonzaga is 7-15-3 ATS in its last 25 home games.  The Bulldogs are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.  Gonzaga is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  Bet San Diego Thursday.

15* Warriors/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5

The Los Angeles Lakers sit in 13th place in the West and two games out of the play-in round and 3.5 games out of 6th place.  It's safe to say they will be fully focused and locked in here for the stretch run to try and make the playoffs.  They made some key trades that will help them, and they are fully healthy coming out of the break with both LeBron and Davis probable tonight.

The same cannot be said for the Warriors, who will be without their two best players in Steph Curry (29.4 PPG, 6.4 APG) and Andrew Wiggins (17.1 PPG, 5.0 RPG).  The Warriors are one of the worst road teams in the NBA this season to boot, going 7-22 SU & 9-20 ATS away from home this season.  This one has blowout written all over it.  Bet the Lakers Thursday.

20* WCC GAME OF THE MONTH on Pacific +19.5

St. Mary's is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall and consistently overvalued here down the stretch.  This is all about the spot though as the Gaels have Gonzaga on deck Saturday in a game that will decide the WCC regular season champion.  They can't help but to be looking ahead to that game.

We saw St. Mary's struggle to put away San Francisco in a 9-point win as 12-point home favorites the game prior to Gonzaga earlier this month.  I think they let down enough here to allow Pacific to stay within this inflated number tonight.

Pacific has gone 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall which includes some very impressive performances.  The Tigers only lost by 9 as 18-point dogs to Gonzaga, upset Santa Clara outright as 12-point dogs and only lost by 2 at Loyola-Marymount as 9.5-point dogs, easily covering the spread in all three games against three of the better teams in this conference.

The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a loss.  The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Pacific Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder come out of the All-Star Break as the 10th and final team to make the play-in round in the Western Conference.  They are just 1.5 games out of 6th place and a secured spot.  They have a lot to play for the rest of the way and are trending up, ranking 3rd in the NBA in net rating over their last 15 games.  Only the Cavaliers and Bucks have been better.

The Utah Jazz just made some big trades that indicate they are punting on this season.  They are in 11th in the West and faltering, going 2-5 SU In their last seven games while ranking 26th in net rating during this span.  They traded away Mike Conley hoping to get Collin Sexton (14.3 PPG) more minutes, but he's out tonight.  They also let Russell Westbrook walk to the Clippers.  What's left of this roster is an NBA bottom feeder.

The Thunder are 44-21-1 ATS in their last 66 road games.  Oklahoma City is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Thunder are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Salt Lake City.  Bet the Thunder Thursday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Kentucky -4

Louisiana Tech (13-14) just lost its bet player in G Cobe Williams (18.8 PPG, 4.1 APG) as he is no longer with the team.  The Bulldogs couldn't afford to lost him.  He has been off the team for their last two games, a 62-72 home loss to North Texas as 4-point dogs and a 67-74 home loss to Charlotte as 1-point dogs.

Now the Bulldogs go on the road for the first time without Williams and it won't go well for them tonight, either.  Western Kentucky wants revenge from an OT loss at Louisiana Tech in their first meeting this season.  Williams scored 20 points in 41 minutes for the Bulldogs in that first meeting.

Western Kentucky has won three consecutive home games and will be highly motivated not only for revenge, but to bounce back from two close road losses at Charlotte by 4 and at Rice by 6 in their last two games coming in.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado -2.5

Colorado has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country and that's the case year in and year out. The Buffaloes are just 4-11 in all games played away from home this season, but they are 11-2 in Boulder with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  I expect Colorado to make easy work of USC tonight.

I love the spot for the Buffaloes coming off three consecutive road games at Utah, ASU and Arizona where they did good to come away with one win.  Now they are back home tonight for the first time since February 5th.  Meanwhile, USC hits the road following a pair of easy home wins over Cal and Stanford.  The Trojans were last seen losing by 18 at Oregon and getting upset by 3 at Oregon State in their last two road games.  Bet Colorado Thursday.

20* NBA Thursday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +6

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the New Orleans Pelicans.  They went 4-12 SU & 5-10-1 ATS in their final 16 games going into the All-Star Break as they were really banged up.  They are still without Zion Williamson, but they are healthy everywhere else and come out of the break playing with a chip on their shoulder.  They are just a half-game back of the 6th spot in the West to avoid the play-in round despite their recent struggles.

I like their chances of staying within 6 points of the Toronto Raptors, who we'll 'sell high' on after winning five of their final six games going into the break against an extremely soft schedule of Houston, San Antonio, Detroit, Orlando, Utah and Memphis.  Both OG Anunoby and Thaddeus Young are questionable for the Raptors tonight.

Toronto is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 home games following a win by 10 points or more.  The Pelicans are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last six trips to Toronto.  Bet the Pelicans Thursday.

25* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE YEAR on Cleveland Cavaliers -2

The Denver Nuggets are fat and happy coming out of the All-Star Break sitting in first place in the West with a five-game lead over Memphis.  I don't expect them to come out of the break playing with a sense of urgency.  They definitely aren't healthy coming out of the break with Jamal Murray (20.2 PPG, 5.8 APG) battling a knee injury and questionable, while Aaron Gordon (17.3 PPG, 6.9 APG) is out.

Cleveland went into the break playing some of the best basketball in the NBA going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their final eight games with all seven victories coming by 8 points or more.  They did lost at Philadelphia in their final game, and that will help them come out of the break more motivated.  Not that they are lacking any motivation as they are in 4th place in the East and only five games back of first place.

The Cavaliers come out of the break fully healthy with the exception of Ricky Rubio, who they have been without for most of the season anyway.  They have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA going 25-6 SU & 20-10-1 ATS at home this season while outscoring opponents by 8.8 points per game.  Denver is a mediocre 14-4 SU & 12-16 ATS on the road this season.

Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games following three consecutive games where they made 47% shots or better, including 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games following two consecutive games where they made 50% of their shots or better.  Cleveland has the big men defensively that will make life on Nikola Jokic much more difficult than he's used to on a nightly basis.  Bet the Cavaliers Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -6.5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 24-11 ATS in their last 35 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, Denver and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

Now the Magic come out of the break with their sights set on revenge from two losses at Detroit in their first two meetings this season, both of which came in 2022.  They have been a completely different team in 2023 with a positive net rating over their last 15 games.  They are much better than the Detroit Pistons.

The Pistons look to be tanking and there's just not much to like about them right now.  They lost five of their final six games prior to the All-Star Break with their lone win coming at home over the lowly Spurs in OT.  They rank 27th in the net rating over their past 15 games and 28th on the season.  They sit at 15-44 on the season.

Orlando is 13-3 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season.  The Magic are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss.  Orlando is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games following a SU loss.  Bet the Magic Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on North Texas -2.5

North Texas (23-5, 14-3 C-USA) is a half-game back of Florida Atlantic for first place in Conference USA.  They have a lot to play for here down the stretch and won't be taking Charlotte lightly tonight.

That's key here because they won't be complacent after crushing Charlotte 67-43 at home in their first meeting this season.  Now they come back as just 2.5-point road favorites here in a game they should win going away.

Charlotte is just 4-6 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with the four wins coming against WKU (twice by 4), LA Tech without Cobe Williams and UTEP.  They don't have much of a home-court advantage as they have lost three of their last four home games despite being 7.5-point favorites in two of them.

North Texas is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 February games.  The Mean Green are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games following three consecutive covers as a favorite.  Charlotte is 0-6 ATS in its last six games following two consecutive conference wins.  The Mean Green are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  North Texas is 23-8-3 ATS in its last 34 road games.  Bet North Texas Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on Penn State +2

Penn State sits at 16-11 on the season and currently on the 'Next 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  That means they have some work to do to make the NCAA Tournament, and thus they won't be taking Ohio State lightly tonight.

Ohio State has been the single-most overrated team in the country in conference play this season.  They have gone just 1-13 SU & 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  Yet here they are once again a home favorite over a team they shouldn't be favored against.  

Their last three games have seen the Buckeyes lose by 27 at Purdue, by 17 at Iowa and by 21 at home to Michigan State.  Not to mention, they just lost Zed Key (10.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) to a season-ending injury and will no longer have him the rest the way.

The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Penn State Thursday.

20* New Mexico/Boise State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico +6.5

New Mexico opened 19-3 this season and looked like a shoe-in to make the NCAA Tournament.  Instead, they have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall to put their tournament hopes in jeopardy.  It's now time to 'buy low' on the Lobos as 6.5-point road underdogs at Boise State tonight.

The loss at Utah State that started this poor run is understandable, and then they lost on a buzzer-beater at home to Nevada.  They lost their best player on Jaelen House (16.9 PPG, 4.6 APG) in that loss to Nevada for two games, which saw them get upset by Air Force and Wyoming.  House returned to help lead the Lobos to a 96-68 blowout victory at San Jose State and he makes all the difference for this team.

The Lobos last played on Friday and have had the last four days off to rest and recover and prepare to beat Boise State again after already topping the Broncos at home in their first meeting.  Meanwhile, Boise State has only had the last two days off after a narrow 73-69 home win over UNLV on Sunday.  That's a big edge in rest and preparation for the Lobos.

Boise State is 0-7 ATS in its last seven games after two straight games making 78% of their free throws or better.  The Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall and once again overvalued here as a 6.5-point home favorite in a game that is likely going to come down to the final possession.  Bet New Mexico Wednesday.

25* AAC GAME OF THE YEAR on Tulane +15.5

Tulane is 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last five games overall and continues to be undervalued here as a 15.5-point road underdog to Houston.  The Green Wave have pulled off impressive road wins as underdogs at Wichita State and at Memphis while also crushing USF by 18 on the road during this stretch.

The Green Wave now have their sights set on revenge from a 20-point home loss to Houston as 10.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season on January 17th.  This team has improved by leaps and bounds since then, and has played their best basketball on the road this season.  The Green Wave are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.

Houston has consistently been overvalued at home this season, especially in conference play.  The Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.  They only beat UCF by 6 as 15-point favorites, South Florida by 6 as 23-point favorites, lost outright to Temple as 19-point favorites, only beat Cincinnati by 6 as 14-point favorites and only beat Memphis by 8 as 14.5-point favorites.

Tulane is 6-0 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The road team is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 meetings as home-court advantage has meant very little in this series.  The Cougars will get more of a battle than they bargained for tonight.  Bet Tulane Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Georgetown +2.5

The Georgetown Hoyas have quietly gone 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have just two outright wins to show for it during this stretch, but their hard work will pay off tonight as they get an upset home victory over a team they can handle in St. John's.

The Hoyas will be out for revenge from a 73-75 road loss at St. John's in their first meeting this season.  Now they get them at home this time around and face a struggling Red Storm team that has gone just 3-6 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall with five losses by 8 points or more.

The Red Storm are just 2-7 SU in true road games this season.  St. John's is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet Georgetown Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on South Florida/UCF OVER 141

South Florida has been a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 20-7 OVER in all games this season and this is a very low total for a game involving the Bulls.  They are a very athletic team that likes to get up and down.

In their first meeting this season, USF pulled the 85-72 upset as 4.5-point home underdogs over UCF in a game that saw 157 combined points.  It's not like either team shot lights out either as USF shot 44.3% while UCF shot 41.8%.  So there's actually room for improvement offensively from both teams in this rematch.

UCF is 7-0 OVER when revenging a loss this season.  The OVER is 8-0 in Bulls last eight games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine road games.  The OVER is 6-0 in Bulls last six home games.  These four trends combine for a perfect 30-0 system backing the OVER tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Kentucky/Florida ESPN No-Brainer on Kentucky -2.5

The Kentucky Wildcats have gone 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  I expect them to put it on the Florida Gators, who are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall in what is quickly becoming a lost season.

The Gators lost their best player in Colin Castleton (16.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 3.0 BPG) to a season-ending injury.  That's a huge blow to a Gators team that was already short on talent.  They only have one other double-digit scorer, nobody else averages more than 4.7 rebounds per game, and nobody else even averages a block per game.  Simply put, Castleton means as much to Florida as almost any other player means to their team in the country.

They lost their first game without Castleton 65-84 at Arkansas and were outrebounded by 15.  Kentucky beat Florida 72-67 as 4.5-point home favorites in their first meeting this season despite 25 points, 8 rebounds and 3 blocks from Castleton.  They won despite their best player in Oscar Tshiebwe going 2-of-14 for 4 points as Castleton shut him down.  Without him now, the Gators have no chance of stopping Tshiebwe inside and will get dominated on the boards.  Bet Kentucky Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Vanderbilt -2.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are quietly playing their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall which includes upset home wins over Tennessee and Auburn as well as an upset road win at Florida.

Now the Commodores should have no problem making it six in a row against the worst team in the SEC in the LSU Tigers.  The Tigers are 0-14 SU & 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games overall with 12 losses by 8 points or more as they have rarely even been competitive.  They just lost by 9 as 7.5-point home favorites to South Carolina and look to have quit on their season.

Vanderbilt is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games following a conference win.  The Commodores are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5.  Vanderbilt is 37-17-1 ATS in its last 55 road games, including 22-6-1 ATS in its last 29 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Valparaiso +8.5

Bradley is tied with Drake for for first place in the Missouri Valley with two games remaining.  Well, Bradley hosts Drake on Sunday in a game that will decide the the regular season conference champion.  I have no doubt the Braves are looking ahead to that game and overlooking Valparaiso here.

Valparaiso has been much better than its record would indicate.  The Beacons are 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games overall, which includes OT losses at home to Drake and on the road at Missouri State.  They have proven they can play with the best teams in the conference, and I expect them to take Bradley to the wire tonight.

Valparaiso is 8-6 SU at home this season with only two losses all season by more than 7 points.  Bradley is 14-1 at home but just 7-7 SU & 5-9 ATS in their 14 games played away from home.  The Beacons are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six home meetings with Bradley.

Bradley is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after scoring 60 points or less.  The Braves are 1-12 ATS in their last 12 road games after allowing 25 points or fewer in the first half last game.  The Beacons are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.  The home team is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* Indiana/Michigan State ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State -3

I like the spot for Michigan State tonight.  They are coming off a road loss at Michigan and will be looking to bounce back at home where they are 10-2 SU this season with their two losses coming to Purdue by 1 and Northwestern early in the season.

The spot favors the Spartans as they will be playing just their 2nd game in 9 days.  Meanwhile, Indiana will be playing in its 3rd different city in 7 days.  The Hoosiers are coming off a big comeback 71-68 home win over Illinois who were playing without their best player in Shannon.  They also lost by 2 at Northwestern the game prior, and each of their last five games were decided by 6 points or fewer.  They have been through the gauntlet and won't have much left in the tank for Michigan State.

The Spartans want revenge from a road loss at Indiana in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of getting revenge considering they are 18-2 SU & 14-6 ATS in their last 20 home meetings with the Hoosiers.  The Hoosiers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games.  The home team is 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.  Bet Michigan State Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech -2

The Virginia Tech Hokies made a big run at the end of last season to win the ACC Tournament and get into the field.  A big finish here again could get them into the big dance as they have ranked games against Miami and Duke in their next two games and need to win both.

The Hokies are starting to play up to their potential of late going 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with home wins over Duke, Syracuse, Virginia and Pitt.  They can handle Miami, which hasn't been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home.

The Hokies want revenge from an 83-92 road loss at Miami in their first meeting this season.  Virginia Tech is 12-3 SU & 9-6 ATS at home this season, including 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five home games.  The Hokies are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better.  The Hokies are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 home games following an ATS win.  This is a must-win for them and they'll get the job done.  Bet Virginia Tech Tuesday.

25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas A&M ML -115

Texas A&M has been one of the most undervalued teams in the country over the last few seasons under Buzz Williams.  He's one of my favorite head coaches in the country.  The Aggies are 20-7 SU & 18-9 ATS this season including 12-2 SU & 10-4 ATS in SEC play with a legit shot to win the conference.

The Aggies have a tremendous home-court advantage at 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS this season.  It will be a packed house tonight with ranked Tennessee coming to town.  The Volunteers have been one of the most overrated teams in the country in recent weeks and just can't be trusted to score despite being great defensively.

Tennessee is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall.  That includes a 13-point loss at Florida as a 4.5-point favorite, an upset loss at Vanderbilt as a 10-point favorite, an upset home loss to Missouri as a 12.5-point favorite and an upset loss at Kentucky by 12 as a favorite.  The Volunteers have scored 54 or fewer points in three of their last six games, and 68 or fewer points in five of the six.

Texas A&M is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games as a home favorite or PK.  The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  Bet Texas A&M Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Georgia Tech +12.5

The Pittsburgh Panthers have been one of the most surprising teams in all of college basketball at 19-8 this season.  But you are paying a tax to back them now, especially after going 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall.  They finally had their six-game winning streak snapped with a 72-79 loss at Virginia Tech last time out, and are now likely to be flat at home against Georgia Tech as a result.

Georgia Tech has quietly gone 4-0 ATS in its last four games overall.  They only lost by 8 at NC State as 15-point dogs, upset Notre Dame at home, only lost by 1 at Wake Forest as 13-point dogs, upset Virginia Tech by 7 as 8-point home dogs and crushed Florida Tech by 23 at home.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now and catching too many points here.  Asking Pitt to beat them by 13-plus points to beat us is asking too much.  Bet Georgia Tech Tuesday.

20* Oklahoma State/WVU ESPN 2 No-Brainer on UNDER 143.5

Oklahoma State beat West Virginia 67-60 for just 127 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 2nd.  The total was set at 138.5 points for that game, and now has been set 5 points higher for the rematch at 143.5.  There is a ton of value on the UNDER here tonight as a result.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and these teams always tend to play in defensive battles.  Each of their last four meetings have seen 141 or fewer combined points.  Oklahoma State ranks 9th in adjusted defense while West Virginia ranks 56th.

A big reason this total has been inflated is due to WVU going over the total in six of its last seven games including a 150-point effort against Texas Tech last time out.  The same can be said for the Cowboys, who have gone over the total in seven of their last eight games including a 175-point effort against TCU last time out.  Points will be much harder to come by tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Nebraska +5.5

Nebraska comes in playing its best basketball of the season right now.  The Huskers have gone 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Penn State by 9 as 5-point home dogs, upset Wisconsin by 10 as 3-point home dogs and upset Rutgers by 10 as 14-point road dogs.

Now the Huskers are catching 5.5 points at home today against a Maryland team that is in a huge letdown spot.  The Terrapins are coming off a 68-54 home win over No. 3 ranked Purdue on Thursday.  Now they have just two days to get ready for Nebraska, while the Huskers have had the last four days off after beating Rutgers on Tuesday.

Maryland is just 2-6 SU in true road games with their two wins coming against Louisville and Minnesota, two of the worst Power 5 teams in the country.  They lost by 5 at Wisconsin, by 35 at Michigan, by 14 at Rutgers, by 14 at Iowa and by 5 at Michigan State while also losing at Purdue.

Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Nebraska) - revenging a same-season loss, off an upset win as a road underdog of 12 or more points at 47-16 (74.6%) ATS since 1997.  The Terrapins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The Huskers are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games.  The Huskers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE MONTH on Southern Illinois +2

Southern Illinois wants revenge from a 52-62 road loss at Bradley in their first meeting this season earlier this month on February 1st.  I like their chances of getting their revenge at home this time around.

The Salukis are 12-1 SU at home this season, so getting them as a home underdog is a nice proposition.  Their lone home loss came to Indiana State by 3 points early in the season.  They have beaten the likes of Belmont by 18, Drake by 4 and Missouri State by 20 at home this season.

Bradley is overvalued right now after going 7-0 SU in their last seven games overall against an extremely soft schedule.  They have wins over Illinois State (twice), Murray State, Illinois-Chicago, Northern Iowa, Missouri State and SIU during this stretch.  We'll gladly 'sell high' on the Braves today.

Bradley is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 road games.  The Braves are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games following two consecutive games where their opponents was called for 15 or fewer fouls.  Bradley is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after committing eight or fewer turnovers last game.  Bet Southern Illinois Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on NC State -2

NC State wants revenge from a 69-80 road loss at North Carolina in their first meeting this season.  The Tar Heels have been faltering since and are scuffling inside their own locker room.  They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone win coming at home to Clemson.  They were also upset at home by both Miami and Pitt during this stretch, while losing at Duke and at Wake Forest.

NC State has had a big home-court advantage this season at 12-1 SU on the year.  North Carolina is 5-8 SU & 2-10 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Tar Heels are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Tar Heels are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet NC State Sunday.

15* Auburn/Vanderbilt SEC ANNIHILATOR on Vanderbilt +3.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are playing their best basketball of the season right now and quietly working their way back into the NCAA Tournament discussion.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset Tennessee as 10-point home dogs and Florida as 8.5-point road dogs during this stretch.

Now they host an Auburn team that has been dreadful on the road this season.  Indeed, the Tigers are just 4-5 SU in true road games this season with their four wins coming against Washington, Ole Miss, LSU and South Carolina.  None of those teams are even sniffing the NCAA Tournament.

Auburn is 7-22 ATS in its last 29 road games following a game where they made 50% of their 3-pointers or better.  They shoot just 29.9% from 3-point range this season.  The Tigers are 7-18 ATS in their last 25 games following a win, including 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win.  Bet Vanderbilt Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane/South Florida OVER 155.5

Tulane ranks 5th in the country in adjusted tempo.  The Green Wave consistently play in shootouts as they are 14-9 OVER in all games this season.  Now they face a South Florida team that will have no problem getting up and down with them as they are playing a lot faster this season and are 20-6 OVER as a result.

The OVER is 10-1 in USF's last 11 games overall with combined scores of 154 or more points in nine of their last 10 games.  Tulane is 4-1 OVER in its last five games overall with combined scores of 160 or more points in four of those five contests.

Tulane is 6-0 OVER in all games played away from home this season.  USF is 9-1 OVER following a win this season.  USF is 8-0 OVER vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 4-plus points per game this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Bulls last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  These four trends combine for a 32-1 system backing the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Creighton/St. John's Big East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 150.5

St. John's ranks 3rd in the country in adjusted tempo and will control the tempo playing at home today against Creighton.  They face a Bluejays team that ranks 27th in adjusted offense and will get up and down with them, no problem.

We saw that in the first meeting this season with Creighton winning 104-76 for 180 combined points on January 25th.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here with this 150.5-point total.  Shootouts have been nothing new in this series as Creighton and St. John's have combined for 180, 159, 151, 176, 170, 161 and 176 points in their last seven meetings, respectively.

As you can see, each of the last seven meetings have seen 151 or more combined points, making for a perfect 7-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 150.5-point total.  St. John's is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pepperdine +16.5

Pepperdine has a ton of young talent and it's starting to show here late in the season.  The Waves have gone 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall upsetting Portland at home, upsetting BYU by 12 as 7.5-point home dogs and losing only by 8 as 9-point dogs at San Francisco.

Now the Waves have had the last week off to rest and get ready to try and knock off mighty Gonzaga.  I think this is a great time to 'sell high' on the Bulldogs after one of their most dominant performances of the season Thursday in a revenge-fueled blowout at Loyola-Marymount after recently losing at home to the Lions.  Now they just have one day to get ready for Pepperdine and feel like they just have to show up to win, which won't be the case.

Gonzaga is 1-8 ATS following an ATS win this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games after leading their previous game by 15-plus points at halftime.  Gonzaga is 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Bulldogs are 9-21-2 ATS in their last 32 games overall.  Bet Pepperdine Saturday.

25* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR on Syracuse ML +105

The Syracuse Orange have come up clutch of late to try and make the NCAA Tournament.  They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their lats three games overall winning by 9 at Boston College, by 9 at Florida State and by 3 at home over NC State.  Now they could really use a win over Duke to help their resume.

Syracuse has been handling its business at home this season, while Duke has been atrocious on the road.  The Blue Devils are 2-6 SU & 1-7 ATS in true road games this season with their two wins coming at Georgia Tech and at Boston College (by 1), two of the worst teams in the ACC.  They lost by 11 at Wake Forest, by 24 at NC State, by 8 at Clemson, by 3 at VA Tech, by 22 at Miami and by 7 at Virginia.

Syracuse is 18-5 ATS in its last 23 games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS vs. good shooting teams that make 45% of their shots or better after 15-plus games this season.  Duke is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Blue Devils are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Orange are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Syracuse on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Villanova +4.5

This is a terrible spot for Providence.  They are coming off a 94-86 (Double OT) home win over the Creighton Bluejays.  This is now a letdown spot, especially after already beating Villanova by 5 on the road in their first meeting this season.

But this isn't the same Villanova team they faced the first time around.  The Wildcats have played the last six games with Justin Moore (10.0 PPG, 4.7 APG), who has progressively been getting better.  They have lost three tough games in their first three games with him by 5 to Providence, by 9 at Marquette in a game they led late, and by 5 at Creighton in a game they also led late.  

The Wildcats have since gone 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in their last three games overall beating DePaul by 16, Butler by 12 and Seton Hall by 4 in a game they led by 11 in the final minute.  Now the Wildcats have their sights set on revenge on the Friars, and they could really use this upset victory to help their NCAA Tournament chances.

Villanova is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 road games following a home win, including 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games following a conference home win.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Villanova/Providence UNDER 138.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  I cashed the UNDER 138 in the first meeting between these teams as Providence won 70-65 for 135 combined points.  Now they have set the total in the same ball park for the rematch, and it's too high again.  Providence shot 50% in that first meeting and that's not going to happen again.

Villanova plays a style the forces their opponents to play in the half court.  They rank 343rd in adjusted tempo this season.  Providence ranks 190th in adjusted tempo, so they rank in the bottom half in terms of pace, too.

Providence is 11-3 UNDER in its last 14 games following an upset win as an underdog.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Wildcats last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Wildcats last four gams following a win.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Friars last six games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on DePaul +13.5

Xavier is without one of its best players in Zach Freemantle (15.2 PPG, 8.1 RPG) and it has shown of late.  The Musketeers are 2-3 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall with their two wins coming over St. John's and by 2 over Providence.

Now they are laying too many points without Freemantle against DePaul, which already beat Xavier 73-72 as 8-point home underdogs.  Now the Blue Demons are catching too many points (13.5) on the road in the rematch.  That's especially the case when you consider each of the last four meetings in this series were decided by 4 points or less.  

Xavier hasn't won any of its last 11 meetings with DePaul by more than 11 points, making for an 11-0 system backing the Blue Demons pertaining to this 13.5-point spread.  The Blue Demons are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following two or more consecutive ATS losses.  

We'll gladly 'buy low' on the Blue Demons after losing seven consecutive games while going 1-6 ATS in the process.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 10 days against a familiar foes that they match up well with.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma +11

The Oklahoma Sooners want revenge from a 69-70 home loss to Texas as 2.5-point underdogs in their first meeting this season.  Now the Sooners are catching a whopping 11 points on the road in the rematch against their biggest rivals.  This is simply too much folks.

We'll 'buy low' on the Sooners, who have gone 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  We'll 'sell high' on the Longhorns, who have gone 5-3 SU & 5-3 ATS in their last eight games overall.  The Longhorns due have a good home-court advantage, but it hasn't meant much in this series with Oklahoma.

Indeed, the road team is 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings.  The underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings.  I expect this game to be decided by single-digits either way.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

20* Tennessee/Kentucky CBS No-Brainer on UNDER 135.5

Tennessee ranks 1st in the country in adjusted defense this season but struggles to score the ball.  The Volunteers have been held to 68 or fewer points in four of their last five games, including 54 against Florida and 46 against Auburn.  Kentucky hasn't scored more than 76 points in any of its last eight games overall.  

The Wildcats rank 277th in adjusted tempo while the Volunteers rank 255th, so this game will be played at snail's pace.  That was the case in the first meeting as Kentucky pulled the 63-56 upset at Tennessee for just 119 combined points.

Both teams have significant injuries right now that are hampering them offensively.  Tennessee has been without both James (9.5 PPG) and Phillips (9.0 PPG) and both are questionable to return today.  Kentucky remains without Wheeler (7.7 PPG) and could be without Fredrick (7.3 PPG) again.

Tennessee is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 games following two consecutive home games.  Kentucky is 15-5 UNDER in its last 20 home games following a close win by 3 points or less.  The UNDER is 27-13 in Vols' last 40 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Wisconsin +1.5

Wisconsin is starting to play up to its potential again with upset road wins over Ohio State and Northwestern as well as a home win over Michigan in three of its last five games.  The Badgers still have one of the best home-court advantages in the country, and they should not be home underdogs to Rutgers today.

Rutgers has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country.  The Scarlet Knights are 3-7 SU in all games played away from home this season.  They are struggling coming into this one going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall which includes an upset loss to Nebraska by 10 as 14-point home favorites last time out.  A big reason for their struggles is the loss of big man Mawot Mag (7.8 PPG, 5.3 APG), who missed each of their last three games, all losses.

Wisconsin is 5-1 SU in its last six home meetings with Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games losing by 9 at Illinois, by 6 at Indiana, by 11 at Iowa and by 13 at Michigan State.  Bet Wisconsin Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Jose State -1

Tim Miles is one of the best in the business at reviving programs from the dead.  He did it at Nebraska, and he's doing it at San Jose State.  Miles has led the Spartans to a 16-10 start this season and they've been one of the most underrated teams in the country, going 17-8 ATS in their 25 lined games.

The Spartans have been really good at home, going 10-2 SU & 8-3 ATS and have been mighty impressive recently at home.  They upset Utah State as 6-point home dogs, beat Wyoming by 20, Air Force by 30 and Fresno State by 10 in their last four home games.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from a loss at New Mexico in their first meeting this season.

But the Lobos aren't playing anywhere near as well as they were in that first meeting.  They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with four consecutive losses.  They followed up a 12-point loss at Air Force as 5.5-point favorites with a 14-point home loss to Wyoming as 9-point favorites in their last two games.  They were without second-leading scorer Jaelen House (17.3 PPG, 4.6 APG) for both games and he remains questionable tonight with a hamstring injury.

The Lobos are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  The Spartans are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  San Jose State is 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.  The Spartans are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss where they scored less than 60 points.  The Spartans are 13-2 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season.  Bet San Jose State Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Loyola-Marymount +8.5

Gonzaga has been one of the most overrated teams in the country all season.  The Bulldogs are 21-5 SU but just 8-16-1 ATS.  They take on a Loyola-Marymount team that has been one of the most underrated all season.  The Lions are 17-10 SU & 16-9-1 ATS this season.

Loyola-Marymount already upset Gonzaga outright as 16.5-point road underdogs in their first meeting this season, handing the Bulldogs their lone home loss.  Yes, Gonzaga will be out for revenge, but they simply aren't good enough to go on the road and beat the Lions by 9-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us.

Loyola-Marymount is 12-2 SU & 10-3 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the country.  Their two home losses both came by exactly 2 points.  They upset St. Mary's as 6.5-point home dogs in their last home game, so they have wins over each of the top two teams in this conference.

The Bulldogs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games.  Gonzaga is 8-21-2 ATS in its last 31 games overall.  The Lions are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.  Loyola-Marymount is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games following a loss.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona -10.5

I love the spot for the Arizona Wildcats tonight.  They will be max motivated coming off an upset loss at Stanford, while also looking to revenge an upset loss at Utah in their first meeting this season.  They were 7-point favorites at Utah and are now 10.5-point home favorites in the rematch, a 3.5-point adjustment which isn't enough for home-court advantage.

Arizona is 13-1 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.6 points per game.  Utah is coming off three consecutive home games and was last seen losing by 12 on the road at Oregon, by 15 on the road at USC and by 19 on the road at UCLA in three of its last four road games.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with the lone exception being Arizona's 97-77 win in Utah last season.  Utah is without Gabe Madsen (11.7 PPG), who had 11 points in that first meeting with the Wildcats.

Utah is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover two of its last three games ATS coming in.  The Utes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games after playing a game as a home favorite.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.  Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last five games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Bet Arizona Thursday.

20* Bucks/Bulls TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -7.5

The Chicago Bulls are struggling going 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are banged up with DeRozan, Dragic and Jones Jr. all questionable to play tonight.  And now they are in an absolutely terrible spot.

Indeed, the Bulls will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a 113-117 loss in Indiana last night.  It will also be the 7th game in 11 days for the Bulls.  They couldn't hold on to a 24-point lead at the end of the 1st quarter, which shows how bad they are right now.  It also meant that their starters would have to play big minutes.  LaVine played 42 minutes. Dosunmu 42, Vucevic 36 and White 33 for the Bulls last night.

They won't have much left in the tank for the Milwaukee Bucks, who are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now and will be motivated to extend their 11-game winning streak to 12 games in their final game prior to the All-Star Break.  Nine of their 11 wins have come by 8 points or more during this streak.  They are the much fresher team playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  Look for them to put it on the Bulls tonight.

Milwaukee is 29-13 ATS in its last 42 games as a road favorite.  Chicago is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games following a road loss.  The Bucks are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  Milwaukee is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 trips to Chicago.  Bet the Bucks Thursday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State -3.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the Iowa State Cyclones.  They have gone 2-5 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four narrow losses.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight, and we should get a big effort from them at home where they are 12-1 SU & 8-5 ATS this season.

TCU is struggling right now due to injuries to their best player in Mike Miles Jr. (18.1 PPG) and key role player Eddie Lampkin Jr. (7.1 PPG, 6.3 RPG).  The Horned Frogs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and aren't likely to have Miles back tonight.  Either way, I like the Cyclones to roll.  Bet Iowa State Thursday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Northern Iowa +6.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Northern Iowa Panthers after going 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule.  It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Drake Bulldogs after winning seven consecutive games against a soft schedule.

It's easy to see how this spread is inflated tonight considering Northern Iowa was a 7.5-point road dog at Drake in their first meeting this season, and now they are 6.5-point dogs at home in the rematch.  The books have barely even adjusted for home-court advantage.  Northern Iowa will be out for revenge from an 81-88 (double-OT) loss at Drake in their first meeting this season.  

The Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing record.  Drake is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games following a win.  Northern Iowa is 5-0 ATS in its last five games following a double-digit home loss.  Drake is 0-7 ATS following a home win by 10 points or more this season.  The Bulldogs are 1-10 ATS following a home win this season.  Bet Northern Iowa Wednesday.

20* Kentucky/Mississippi State SEC No-Brainer on Mississippi State -2.5

The Kentucky Wildcats have been one of the most overrated teams in college basketball all season especially of late.  After losing by 15 as 5-point home favorites to Arkansas, they were just upset by 7 as 7-point road favorites at Georgia.  They are without Sahvir Wheeler (7.7 PPG) right now and could be without CJ Fredrick (7.3 PPG), who is questionable.

Things won't get any easier for the Wildcats tonight as they have to travel to face a Mississippi State team playing their best basketball of the season.  The Bulldogs are 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last five games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 as 11.5-point road dogs at No. 1 Alabama.  They beat South Carolina by 15 and Arkansas by 6 on the road, while topping TCU by 7, Missouri by 11 and LSU by 11 at home.

Kentucky is 0-8 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 8 days this season.  The Wildcats are 8-18-2 ATS in their last 28 road games.  Bet Mississippi State Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Illinois State ML -115

Few teams in the entire country are playing worse than Murray State right now as the Steve Prohm era is off to a rocky start.  The Racers are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by a combined 112 points and failing to cover the spread by a combined 91 points.  They lost 56-99 at Indiana State, 68-92 at home to Drake and 48-83 at Bradley.

Murray State did beat Illinois State 70-67 at home in their first meeting this season, but now the Redbirds will be out for revenge in the rematch at home this time around.  I look for them to win this game against the struggling Racers.  Illinois State has won two of its last three home games over Southern Illinois and Illinois-Chicago with its lone loss coming to red-hot Bradley.

Murray State is 1-7 ATS as a road underdog or PK this season.  The Racers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Illinois State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Brooklyn Nets PK

The Brooklyn Nets will be playing with a chip on their shoulders moving forward.  They have a bunch of players now that were traded in the Durant and Irving deals.  I really like the pieces they got back in Dinwiddie (17.9 PPG, 5.3 APG), Bridges (17.2 PPG), Johnson (13.8 PPG) and Finney-Smith (9.0 PPG).  I also like holdovers Claxton (13.0 PPG), Curry (10.6 PPG), Thomas (10.6 PPG), O'Neale (9.2 PPG) and Harris (8.6 PPG).  This is now one of the deepest teams in the NBA and won't be an easy out.

While the Nets are fully healthy heading into their final game prior to the All-Star Break and will have all hands on deck, the Miami Heat are limping into the break.  They are without Herro (20.6 PPG), Oladipo (11.2 PPG), Lowry (12.0 PPG, 5.3 APG) and Robinson (6.9 PPG) tonight.  The Heat are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and struggling right now due to these injuries.

Miami is 3-11 ATS when revenging a home loss this season.  Plays on home favorites or PK (Brooklyn) - after having lost five or six of their last seven games, a winning team playing another winning team are 36-11 (76.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Nets Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +7.5

This is a terrible spot for the Boston Celtics tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 125-131 (OT) loss in Milwaukee last night.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Detroit Pistons tonight, and they won't be all that motivated to beat them for a 4th time.

Meanwhile, the Pistons will be playing with triple-revenge after losing by 16, 9 and 12 points to the Celtics in their first three meetings this season.  They will also be the much fresher team coming in on two days' rest after a 1-point loss at Toronto as 11-point dogs last time out.

Plays on any team (Detroit) - revenging a home loss vs. opponent that is coming off a road cover where they lost SU as an underdog are 52-24 (68.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Pistons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Boston.  Bet the Pistons Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers -2.5

The Indiana Pacers will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing five consecutive games coming in.  This is their final game prior to the All-Star Break so they would love to go into the break without the sour taste of a six-game losing streak.  They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and primed for a big effort here.

The Chicago Bulls are struggling worse, going 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 15 at Memphis, by 11 at Brooklyn, by 8 at Cleveland and by 9 at home to Orlando.  Making matters worse are six players on the injury report.  They will be without DeRozan and Jones Jr, while both Caruso and Dragic are questionable.

The Bulls are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  Indiana is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 home meetings with Chicago.  The Pacers are 17-14 SU & 18-12 ATS at home this season.  The Bulls are 10-19 SU on the road this season.  Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games following three or more consecutive underdogs.  Indiana is 10-2 ATS in home games following a non-conference game this season.  Bet the Pacers Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Bulls/Pacers OVER 230.5

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in the NBA in pace and 25th in defensive efficiency.  They have a healthy Tyrese Haliburton (20.0 PPG, 10.1 APG) now and he makes all the difference for this team offensively.

This total is lower than it should be due to the Bulls going under the total in five consecutive games coming in.  But they should get their offense going tonight against the Pacers, plus I expect them to give up a big number here.  

The first two meetings between these teams saw totals of 234.5 and 233 points, so as you can see there's some value on this OVER 230.5 number when you compare the previous two totals.  They combined for 233 points in their first meeting and 226 in their 2nd meeting.  But they shot a combined 15-of-61 from 3-point range in that 2nd meeting, and they aren't going to shoot that poorly again.

Plays on the OVER on road teams where the total is 220 or higher (Chicago) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games in February games are 45-19 (70.3%) Over the last five seasons.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Alabama/Tennessee ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Alabama +3.5

I've been fading Tennessee and will continue to do so tonight.  They have gone 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall losing by 13 as 4.5-point favorites at Florida, by 1 as 10-point road favorites at Vanderbilt and by 1 as 12.5-point home favorites to Missouri.  They also only beat Auburn by 3 as 9.5-point home favorites during this stretch.

The Volunteers have really been struggling on offense which is why they cannot be trusted, scoring 56 against Florida, 46 against Auburn and 65 against Vanderbilt.  Two of their best players in James (9.5 PPG, 5.3 RPG) and Phillips (9.0 PG, 4.8 APG) are questionable to play tonight and won't be 100% if they do.

Now Tennessee must face the No. 1 team in the country in Alabama, which ranks 13th in adjusted offense and 5th in adjusted defense and has no weaknesses.  The Crimson Tide come in winning four consecutive games scoring 101, 79, 97 and 77 points.  They are elite defensively amazingly allowing 69 or fewer points in 13 of their last 14 games overall while going 13-1 SU during this stretch.  I just don't think the Volunteers have the offense to hang with them in this one.

Alabama is 10-2 ATS against conference opponents this season, far and away the best team in the SEC.  Alabama is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Alabama Wednesday.

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas/Oklahoma State UNDER 140.5

Two of the best defensive teams in the country square off tonight when Kansas visits Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys rank 5th in the country in adjusted defense while the Jayhawks rank 11th.  It's safe to say points will be hard to come by tonight.

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting between the Cowboys and Jayhawks.  Kansas won 69-67 at home for 136 combined points on December 31st.  Both teams were lights out from 3 in that game as well as the Cowboys were 13-of-29 (44.8%) and the Jayhawks were 11-of-23 (47.8%).  It's highly unlikely both teams shoot that well again, and that game saw just 136 combined points.  Each of the last three meetings have seen 138 or fewer combined points.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Oklahoma State's last six home games with a total of 140 to 149.5.  Kansas is 9-0 UNDER in its last nine games after covering four of its last five games.  The Cowboys are 8-1 UNDER in their last nine home games when playing against a top-level team that wins more than 80% of their games on the season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +7

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, Denver and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

I just cashed the Magic +5 last night in their 100-91 outright win at Chicago.  Now this line has been adjusted too much for them playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  This is one of the deepest teams in the NBA so they can handle these situations better than most.

The Toronto Raptors cannot be trusted to lay this kind of a number right now.  They only beat the Pistons by 1 as 11-point home favorites last time out, and they lost by 6 to Utah as 8.5-point favorites the game prior.  This is a step up in class for Toronto.

Orlando upset Toronto in each of their last two meetings this season winning 113-109 as 8-point dogs and 111-99 as 7-point dogs.  The Raptors are 16-46 ATS in their last 62 games when revenging two consecutive SU loss as a favorite.  Toronto is 5-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  Bet the Magic Tuesday.

20* Celtics/Bucks TNT No-Brainer on Milwaukee -8.5

The Boston Celtics stand little chance of keeping this game competitive tonight considering they are going to be without their three best players in Jayson Tatum (30.5 PPG, 8.6 RPG, 4.5 APG), Jaylen Brown (26.5 PPG, 7.0 RPG) and Marcus Smart (11.1 PPG, 7.2 APG).  It's simply too much for them to overcome tonight.  Not to mention, Robert Williams and Grant Williams are both questionable as well.

The Milwaukee Bucks won't be taking the Celtics lightly without these guys, either.  They trail the Celtics for 1st place in the East and this will be a National TV game, so they will be putting their best foot forward.  It's amazing how good this team is when healthy and it has shown over the past couple weeks during their current 10-game winning streak.  Nine of the 10 wins have come by 8 points or more.

The Bucks are 16-6 ATS as favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Milwaukee is 23-5 SU & 18-10 ATS at home this season.  The Bucks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. good offensive teams that average 116 or more points per game.  Bet the Bucks Tuesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Syracuse ML +100

Syracuse is 9-5 SU & 7-4 ATS at home this season.  The Orange are coming off consecutive road wins over Boston College and Florida State.  They are in a great spot here with five days off to rest and prepare for NC State.

I'll gladly 'sell high' on the Wolfpack, who are coming off a 92-62 win at Boston College which followed up a 13-point loss at Virginia.  The Wolfpack only have two days off to rest and prepare for Syracuse.  So the advantage in rest and preparation goes to the Orange in a big way tonight, and it should lead to a victory.

NC State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after scoring 85 points or more.  Syracuse is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games when the line is +3 to -3.  The Orange are 6-0 ATS after playing a road game this season.  The Wolfpack are 9-22-1 ATS in their last 32 games following a win.  The Orange are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Bet Syracuse on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State +3.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Illinois Fighting Illini.  They have gone 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and now find themselves favored on the road at Penn State.  This is a Penn State team they already lost by 15 to at home in their first meeting this season.

Conversely, we'll 'buy low' on the Nittany Lions following four consecutive losses.  The Nittany Lions are 11-2 SU at home this season with their two losses coming in OT to Wisconsin and to Michigan State.  They have beaten the likes of Michigan by 22, Indiana by 19 and Iowa by 4 at home this season.

Penn State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games after playing a game as a road underdog.  The Nittany Lions are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games vs. very good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game.  Penn State is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games following a loss.  The Nittany Lions are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 home games overall.  The underdog is 21-10-2 ATS in the last 33 meetings.  Bet Penn State Tuesday.

15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on South Carolina +5

The Vanderbilt Commodores are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight.  They are coming off two huge upset wins over Tennessee as 10-point home dogs and Florida as 8.5-point road dogs.  Now they'll fall flat on their faces tonight on the road at South Carolina.

The Gamecocks are playing well right now going 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 2 at home to Arkansas as 12.5-point dogs, by 9 at Missouri as 15-point dogs and upsetting Ole Miss by 3 as 9-point road dogs.

Now the Gamecocks have their sights set on revenge from a 79-84 (OT) road loss at Vanderbilt as 10-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  So they've already proven they can play with the Commodores on the road, and now they are catching 5 points at home in the rematch.  The home team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  Bet South Carolina Tuesday.

20* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +4

The Washington Wizards have quietly gone 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last eight games overall with three outright upsets.  They are playing their best basketball of the season right now, and I fully expect them to upset the Golden State Warriors tonight.  The Wizards are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and are primed for another big effort.

I'm looking to fade the Warriors without Stephen Curry until he returns.  They are coming off consecutive losses to the Blazers and Lakers, who didn't even have LeBron James.  They could be without Andrew Wiggins, who is questionable with an ankle injury.  They just should not be favored over the Wizards given the state of these two teams currently.

The Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a win.  The Wizards are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games following a win by more than 10 points.  The Warriors are 2-7 ATS in their last nine home games.  Golden State is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following a loss.  Bet the Wizards Monday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Timberwolves +8

The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a great spot tonight.  They coming in on two days' rest and have the next two days off after this game.  They will be 'all in' tonight in Dallas a result, and it should be enough to cover this 8-point spread and possibly win this game outright.

Dallas won both games with Kyrie Irving and without Luka Doncic, but then lost the game they both made their debut together against the Kings.  The Mavericks will now be playing their 3rd game in 4 days after two shootouts with the Kings in Sacramento.  I fully expect the Mavericks to be overvalued the rest the way with Irving and Doncic, who are both great on offense but terrible on defense.

Minnesota is 4-3 SU & 4-3 ATS in its last seven meetings with Dallas with two losses coming by 2 and 5 points.  So the Timberwolves have lost just one game in their last seven meetings with the Mavericks by more than this 8-point margin.

The Timberwolves are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a SU loss, and 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss as well.  Dallas is 6-16 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  Bet the Timberwolves Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Orlando Magic +5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 23-10 ATS in their last 33 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, Denver and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

Now the Magic have their sights set on revenge from a 109-128 home loss to the Chicago Bulls on January 28th two weeks ago.  That was a terrible spot for the Magic playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a loss at Miami the night before.  It was also their 6th game in 9 days and they had nothing left in the tank for the Bulls.

Now they face a Chicago team not playing well at all going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with losses by 15 at Memphis, by 11 at Brooklyn and by 8 at Cleveland.  The Bulls will be playing their 5th game in 8 days here and are starting to run out of gas heading into the All-Star Break.

The Magic are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss, and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Chicago.  Bet the Magic Monday.

25* NFL Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Philadelphia Eagles ML -120

Note: Scroll down to the bottom for my FREE Super Bowl Prop Bets

This is a great matchup for the Philadelphia Eagles.  They will be able to run the football at will on the Kansas City Chiefs on offense, and they are perfectly set up to stop them defensively with their ability to defend the pass.  The Eagles are better everywhere than the Chiefs except at quarterback and will win the battle at the line of scrimmage on both sides of the football.

The Eagles rank 4th in the NFL at 153.9 rushing yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry.  The Chiefs allow 4.5 yards per carry on the season.  And they faced the 2nd-easiest schedule of opposing rush offenses, so they haven't seen anything like this physical, read-option attack of the Eagles.  Philadelphia faced a Top 10 schedule of opposing rush defenses, making their numbers even more impressive.

The Chiefs won't be able to run on Philadelphia and likely will abandon the running game for the most part.  Mahomes isn't close to 100% and that showed against the Bengals as he didn't scramble until the game was on the line.  He either moved up in the pocket or rolled out to the right, so the Eagles will be prepared for those two moves.  The Eagles rank 1st in the NFL allowing just 171.0 passing yards per game, 1st in sack percentage (11.49%) and 1st in sacks per game (4.1).  The Chiefs have two of the four worst offensive tackles in the NFL in terms of pressures allowed.  Mahomes is going to be under duress for four quarters in this one.

A lot has been made about how the Eagles played the easiest schedule in the NFL.  And while true, they handled their business.  A counter argument is that the Eagles are actually 7-1 against teams with winning records this season while outscoring them by a total of 115 points, or by an average of 14.4 points per game.   They had an easy path to the Super Bowl and will be fresh as a result after getting a bye, beating the Giants by 31 and the 49ers by 24 while receiving another bye prior to the Super Bowl.  They couldn't possibly be more fresh.

Kansas City consistently found itself in one-possession games this season, including both playoff games with a 7-point win over the Jaguars and a 3-point win over the Bengals in which they are aided by the refs.  They also had more injuries pile up in that win over the Bengals.  They are without WR Hardman, while both Toney and Smith-Schuster are less than 100%.  They also have CB Sneed and LB Gay banged up.  The Eagles are in much better shape health-wise.

This line moved towards the Eagles on the opener and I agree with it.  When the line moves towards one team in the Super Bowl off the opener, those teams have gone 11-4 ATS over the last 15 tries.  The only reason the Eagles aren't -3 here is because the Chiefs have Mahomes.  But the Eagles are better everywhere else and have no weaknesses.  I expect them to lead from start to finish in this one as a result, just as they have for most of the season when Hurts has been on the field.

The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS following an ATS win this season.  Kansas City is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games following a SU win.  The Eagles are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  Philadelphia is 7-2 ATS in its last nine playoff games.  The last 9 reigning MVP's (Mahomes) who played in the Super Bowl all lost dating back to 2001.  Bet the Eagles on the Money Line in Super Bowl 57 Sunday.

FREE Super Bowl Prop Bets:

These are my favorite prop bets in order from strongest to weakest, so adjust your bet sizing accordingly. Don't go too crazy on these. They can all be found at DraftKings.

Eagles 1H ML: -120

OVER 1.5 4th Down Conversions: -160

Kelce Anytime TD: -125

Eagles Most Sacks: -125

Both Teams to Score 1+ Rushing TD: +125

UNDER 3.5 Made FG's: -165

Largest Lead UNDER 14.5 Points: -135

Kelce OVER 78.5 Receiving Yards: -120

Sanders Anytime TD: +125

Chiefs UNDER 99.5 Rushing Yards: -110

Sanders OVER 61.5 Rushing Yards: -110

Will Both Teams make a 33-plus Yard FG: NO -115

Smith Longest Reception OVER 23.5: -125

Eagles OVER 2.5 Sacks: -140

2-Point Conversion Attempt: YES +120

Super Bowl MVP Bets:

Sanders 22/1

Smith 30/1

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +11.5

The Detroit Pistons aren't tanking contrary to popular belief.  They kept almost everyone at the trade deadline including Bojan Bogdanovic (21.5 PPG), who was one of the hottest trade pieces on the market.  They promptly won their first game since the deadline over the Spurs at home.

The Toronto Raptors promptly were upset as 8.5-point home favorites to the Utah Jazz in their first game since the deadline.  They cannot be trusted here as 11.5-point favorites over the Pistons, especially when you consider how Detroit has had their number in recent meetings.

Indeed, the Pistons are actually 6-1 SU & 7-0 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Raptors with six outright upsets as underdogs of 5 points or more in all six.  Their lone loss came by 4 points.  They just match up well with the Raptors clearly, and they won't go down without a fight today.  Bet the Pistons Sunday.

15* Michigan State/Ohio State CBS ANNIHILATOR on Michigan State +3.5

The Ohio State Buckeyes are broken.  They are 1-10 SU & 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They have upset home losses to Minnesota, Wisconsin and Northwestern in their last three home games and are now 3.5-point favorites over Michigan State in a game I fully expect the Spartans to win outright.

The spot is much better for the Spartans.  They have had the last four days off to rest and prepare for Ohio State.  Meanwhile, the Buckeyes just lost at home to Northwestern on Thursday and have only two days to get ready for the Spartans.

Michigan State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after scoring 65 points or fewer in three consecutive games.  Ohio State is 1-11 ATS following a conference game this season.  Bet Michigan State Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Washington +7

Washington has been one of the most underrated teams in the Pac-12 this season.  They have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games with upset wins at Colorado and at home against Arizona State.  They also only lost by 3 at Arizona, by 8 at ASU, by 9 at UCLA and by 6 at USC playing some of their best basketball on the road.

The Huskies are now catching too many points once again here on the road in this rivalry with Washington State.  The Cougars have been one of the most disappointing teams in the country at 10-15 SU this season.  They are have lost five of their last six games overall including three by double-digits.  They have no business being a 7-point favorite here.

Washington State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine home games after scoring 60 points or fewer.  Washington is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games following a conference road loss.  The Huskies are 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games vs. poor foul drawing teams that attempt 18 or fewer FT's per game after 15-plus games.  The Huskies are 25-6 ATS in their last 31 games following a loss.  The underdog is 19-7 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Washington Saturday.

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Oregon +2.5

Death, taxes and Dana Altman having Oregon playing its best basketball as the NCAA Tournament approaches.  That's the case for the Ducks again this season, winning four of its last five games with the only loss coming on the road at Arizona.  The Ducks beat Colorado by 6, Utah by 12 and USC by 18 at home while also winning at Arizona State.

This is a better spot for the Ducks coming off that 18-point home win over USC on Thursday.  They get to stay at home while UCLA has to travel again after winning at Oregon State on Thursday.  The Bruins lost their previous two road games at Arizona by 6 and at USC by 13.

Oregon wants revenge from a 56-65 loss at UCLA in their first meeting this season in which they blew a 6-point halftime lead and watched the Bruins pull away late.  Oregon upset UCLA 68-63 as identical 2.5-point home dogs last season.  The Ducks are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Oregon Saturday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on San Jose State +5.5

Tim Miles knows how to turn around a bottom feeder program.  He did it at Nebraska, and he's doing it this season at San Jose State.  The Spartans are 14-10 this season and one of the most underrated teams in the country, going 15-8 ATS in all lined games.  They are 9-2 SU at home this season and should not be this big of home underdogs to Utah State.

I love the spot for the Spartans out for revenge from a 74-75 loss as 11.5-point dogs at Utah State in their first meeting this season.  They already proved they could play with the Aggies on the road, so they can certainly compete at home here and will likely pull off the outright upset.

Utah State only has two days to get over their 61-63 home loss to San Diego State.  I think they suffer a hangover from that defeat here.  San Jose State has had three days off to get ready for this game after losing at Fresno State last time out.  The Spartans have won their last three conference home games by 20, 30 and 10 points.

San Jose State is 8-2 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Spartans are 8-1 ATS following a loss this season.  The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  The Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss.  San Jose State is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home games.  Bet San Jose State Saturday.

15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Villanova -3.5

The Villanova Wildcats are as healthy as they have been all season as they just recently got Justin Moore back from injury.  He has shaken the rust off and the Wildcats have played three straight impressive games despite losing two of them.  

They were beating Marquette basically the entire way on the road before losing by 9 in a misleading final.  They only lost by 5 at Creighton in a game they had a chance to win.  And then they returned home and took out their frustration in an 81-65 win over DePaul.  Now they will get a signature win here against Seton Hall to help their tournament resume.

Seton Hall is coming off a 13-point home loss to Creighton after a lackluster 5-point home win over DePaul.  The Pirates just don't win at Villanova.  Indeed, the Wildcats are 16-1 SU & 10-7 ATS in the last 17 home meetings.  This is a very short number for them to be laying at home.

Seton Hall is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record after 15-plus games.  The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet Villanova Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +2.5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, Denver and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The spot favors the Magic tonight as they had Friday off, while Miami just had to go to the wire in a 97-95 home win over lowly Houston as 12-point favorites.  A big reason the Heat struggled is because they are short-handed right now playing without Lowry, Oladipo and Robinson.  Now they'll have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back after having four players play at least 34 minutes last night.  They won't have much left in the tank for Orlando.

The home team is 7-2 SU in the last nine meetings.  The Magic are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.  The Heat are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Miami is 9-23-2 ATS in its last 34 games following a win.  The Heat are 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games playing on zero rest.  The Magic are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games playing on one days' rest.  Bet the Magic Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Brooklyn Nets +3.5

I have the Brooklyn Nets circled as a 'buy low' team moving forward.  They just traded away Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving but got back some great pieces in those trades that will have them playing team basketball moving forward.  I like Dinwiddie, Finney-Smith, Bridge and Johnson a lot.  

Not to mention, Cam Thomas is on an absolute tear scoring 44, 47, 43 and 20 points in his last four games.  The Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with upset wins over Chicago and Washington as well as narrow losses to the Clippers and Suns.  I fully expect them to upset the 76ers tonight.

This is a terrible spot for the 76ers.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a comeback 119-108 home win over New York last night.  They will now be playing in their 3rd different city in 4 days.  Embiid played 37 minutes, Harden 37, Harris 34, Maxey 32 and Tucker 30 last night.  Don't be surprised if they rest Embiid or others here.

Brooklyn is 13-5 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Nets are 8-1 ATS in home games after covering four or five of their last six games this season.  The 76ers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Brooklyn is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games.  Bet the Nets Saturday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Missouri +11.5

The Missouri Tigers have been one of the most underrated teams in the country this season in the first year under Dennis Gates.  They are 18-6 with only three losses by more than this margin all season.  I fully expect them to give Tennessee a run for its money today.

Tennessee plays great defense, but they can't be trusted to get margin due to a very poor offense.  The Volunteers are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall largely due to their struggles on offense.  They scored 54 points in a 13-point loss at Florida, scored 46 points and somehow beat Auburn by 3 at home, and scored 65 points in an upset loss at Vanderbilt as double-digit favorites.

Missouri is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games following three consecutive games where they forced 14 or fewer turnovers.  The road team is 5-1 SU & 6-0 ATS in the last six meetings.  It's also worth noting that Josiah-Jordan James (9.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG) is questionable for the Volunteers.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Clemson +8

Rumors surrounding Caleb Love and RJ Davis have swirled for the UNC Tar Heels and it's no wonder they have played so poorly of late.  They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing at home to Pitt outright as 8.5-point favorites and on the road to Duke by 6 and Wake Forest by 7.  They cannot be trusted as 8-point home favorites here against Clemson even if there weren't rumors causing turmoil in the locker room.

Clemson is a legit team that is getting healthier now and will give UNC a run for its money.  I love the spot for the Tigers, who are coming off two consecutive losses and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result.  They also come in rested having last played on Saturday, getting a full week to prepare for UNC.  The Tar Heels just played on Tuesday at Wake Forest and don't have the same luxury.

UNC is 2-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season.  Clemson is 8-2 ATS vs. teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Tigers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Tar Heels are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  This one will go down to the wire today folks.  Bet Clemson Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Illinois -4.5

Illinois is 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS in its last nine games overall.  Now the Fighting Illini have had a full week to get ready for Rutgers and be pissed off from their 2-point loss at Iowa.  They will be ready to go at home today, where they are 11-2 SU & 8-4 ATS this season.

Rutgers has one of the biggest home/road splits in the country.  The Scarlet Knights are just 2-5 SU in true road games losing their last three by 6 at Indiana, by 11 at Iowa and by 13 at Michigan State.  They just lost starting C Mawot Mag (7.8 PPG, 5.3 RPG) to a season-ending injury in that loss to Michigan State and are lacking interior defense without him.  That's bad news going up against Illinois here.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is has won six consecutive meetings while also going 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Illinois Saturday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State +9

It's time to 'buy low' on the Penn State Nittany Lions today.  They have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall and really need a win for the NCAA Tournament.  I think they have a great shot to pull off this upset let alone staying within single-digits of the Terrapins.

We'll 'sell high' on Maryland, which has gone 5-2 SU & 6-1 ATS in its last seven games overall and is now getting way too much respect from oddsmakers.  The only Big Ten games they've been favored by this much came against Nebraska at home and Minnesota on the road, the two worst teams in the Big Ten.  Penn State is several notches better than those two squads.

This has been a closely-contested rivalry in recent meetings.  In fact, 11 of the last 12 meetings have been decided by 7 points or fewer.  Penn State hasn't lost any of its last 12 meetings with Maryland by more than 7 points, making for a perfect 12-0 system backing the Nittany Lions pertaining to this 9-point spread.  Bet Penn State Saturday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Penn State/Maryland UNDER 135.5

This total is a couple notches too high today when you consider how these two teams play.  Maryland ranks 283rd in adjusted tempo and 25th in defensive efficiency.  Penn State ranks 305th in adjusted tempo and 106th in defensive efficiency.  This game will clearly be played at a snail's pace today folks, plus it's a sleepy early 12:00 EST start time.

Recent head-to-head history also shows points will be hard to come by.  Maryland and Penn State have combined for 128, 127 and 105 points in their last three meetings, respectively.  The Terrapins are 17-7 UNDER in all games this season and are a dead nuts UNDER team.

Maryland is 10-2 UNDER when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.  The UNDER is 10-4 in Nittany Lions last 14 road games.  The UNDER is 14-4 in Terrapins last 18 games overall.  The UNDER is 40-19 in Terrapins last 59 Saturday games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Mountain West GAME OF THE WEEK on Fresno State +9.5

Nevada is in a massive letdown spot here after hitting a game-winner at the buzzer to upset New Mexico 77-76 on the road on Tuesday.  They have now won and covered three consecutive games, and now it's time to 'sell high' on the Wolf Pack.  Asking them to beat Fresno State by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

The Bulldogs come in playing some of their best basketball of the season.  After upsetting UNLV as 9-point road dogs, they came back home and handled their business in a 70-62 win over San Jose State as 3.5-point favorites.  Now they'll be looking to pull the upset over the Wolf Pack tonight.

Nevada is 17-33 ATS in its last 50 home games vs. slow-down teams that average 53 or fewer shots per game.  Justin Hutson is 11-3 ATS in February road games as the coach of the Bulldogs.  Bet Fresno State Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mavs/Kings OVER 233.5

The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 9th in pace, 2nd in offensive efficiency and 23rd in defensive efficiency.  The OVER is 3-0 in Kings last three games overall coming in with combined scores of 268, 260 and 240 points.

The Mavericks are now an OVER team with the trade for Kyrie Irving and books haven't adjusted yet.  They now have three elite scorers in Doncic, Irving and Wood and a bunch of question marks defensively.  They shot 52.6% in their first game with Irving in an upset win over the Clippers.

Sacramento is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 February home games.  The OVER is 16-7-1 in Kings last 24 home games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Sacramento Kings -1.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Dallas Mavericks after winning four of their last five and covering four consecutive games coming in.  That includes an upset win on National TV as 8-point dogs at the Clippers in their first game with Kyrie Irving.  Now this is a letdown spot for them to say the least, and there are going to be chemistry issues for a few games after these trades.

The Kings have good chemistry and didn't make any moves over the deadline.  They like their team as it's easy to see why as they have gone 11-5 SU in their last 16 games overall and rank 2nd in the entire NBA in offensive efficiency.  They will test this weak Dallas defense that ranks 21st in defensive efficiency and got even worse when trading for Irving while losing Finney-Smith.

Dallas is 8-20-1 ATS in its last 29 games following a win.  The Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win.  The Kings are 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games playing on one days' rest.  Sacramento is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings, including 4-1-1 ATS in the last six home meetings.  Bet the Kings Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 33-20-1 ATS in all games this season and have been the most profitable team to back over the past two seasons.  They have gone 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall with six outright upsets.  I fully expect them to upset the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.

The Blazers are dealing with a ton of injuries right now and are playing horrific defense.  They have allowed 112 or more points in 10 consecutive games and 14 o their last 15 games overall.  Now they face a potent Thunder offense that has scored 111 or more points in 16 of their last 18 games overall.

Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games following three consecutive games where they committed 4-plus more turnovers than their opponents.  The Thunder are 17-6 ATS as road underdogs this season.  Oklahoma City is 10-1 ATS vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Thunder are 43-21-1 ATS in their last 65 road games.  Oklahoma City is 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six meetings with Portland.  Bet the Thunder Friday.

20* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on New Orleans Pelicans +3

The New Orleans Pelicans are still undervalued after a recent 10-game losing streak.  I have backed them in two of their last three games since where they've gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS as 1.5-point favorites over the Lakers, 2-point dogs to the Kings and 1-point favorites over the Hawks.  They won those three games by a combined 46 points.

Now the Pelicans are once again undervalued as 3-point home dogs to the Cleveland Cavaliers.  Cleveland has one of the biggest home/road splits in the NBA this season.  The Cavaliers are just 12-16 SU & 11-15-2 ATS on the road this season and should not be favored over the Pelicans here.

Cleveland is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games after winning four of its last five games.  The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six Friday games.  New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last eight home meetings with Cleveland.  The Pelicans are 20-9 SU & 16-12-1 ATS at home this season.  Bet the Pelicans Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Loyola-Marymount +8.5

This is the ultimate letdown spot for the St. Mary's Gaels.  They are coming off their huge comeback win over Gonzaga 78-70 (OT) on Saturday.  They have been celebrating that win all week and won't be focused for Loyola-Marymount tonight.  Don't be surprised if they lose outright as a result, let alone cover this 8.5-point spread.

Loyola-Marymount has played very well at home this season going 11-2 SU & 9-3 ATS while outscoring opponents by 12.7 points per game.  The Lions want revenge from a 62-76 loss at St. Mary's in their first meeting this season on January 12th.  I like their chances of staying within 8.5 points at home this time around given the terrible spot for the Gaels.

Loyola-Marymount is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games following an upset loss as a road favorite.  The Lions are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games following a loss.  Loyola-Marymount is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine games following an ATS loss.  Bet Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Ohio State -5

It's time to 'buy low' on the Ohio State Buckeyes after going just 1-9 SU & 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They are much better than they have shown and have been a hard-luck team, losing eight of the nine games by single-digits.  In fact, they are single-most unlucky team in the country according to KenPom's luck rating.

It's easy to see how we are buying low on the Buckeyes when you consider they were 2.5-point road favorites at Northwestern in their first meeting this season, and now are only 5-point home favorites for the rematch.  A normal home-court adjustment in college basketball is 6 to 8 points, which would mean they'd be 7.5 to 9.5-point favorites.  We are clearly getting them at a discount here.

Ohio State owns Northwestern going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 16, 8 and 10 points.  They won 73-57 at Northwestern in their first meeting this season, and I expect a similar blowout at home this time around.  The Wildcats are 18-40-3 ATS in their last 61 games following an ATS win.  The favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Bet Ohio State Thursday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +6.5

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

Now the Magic are out for revenge from a narrow 116-119 loss at Denver as 10.5-point underdogs on January 15th in their first meeting this season.  I like their chances of staying within 6.5 points at home in the rematch and likely pulling off the upset tonight.  Denver is just 1-3 SU in its last four road games with its lone win coming by a single point.

Denver is 1-9 ATS in road games following three consecutive games where it made 47% of its shots or better this season.  The Nuggets are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Magic are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.  Orlando is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games following a SU loss.  The Magic are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  These five trends combine for a 32-2 system backing Orlando tonight.  Bet the Magic Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Warriors/Blazers OVER 234.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are a dead nuts OVER team right now playing without Jusuf Nurkic.  They have been force to go small ball and it has led to a ton of high scoring games.  In fact, the Blazers and their opponents have combined for at least 233 points in eight of their last nine games overall.

The Warriors will have no problem going small and getting up and down with the Blazers tonight.  The Warriors and their opponents have combined for at least 232 points in 14 consecutive games.  The OVER is 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall during this stretch.  They just scored 141 points on the Thunder in their first game without Curry, and this total has been adjusted too much down due to him being out.

The OVER is 7-0 in Warriors' seven road games with a line of +3 to -3 this season.  Golden State is 14-1 OVER in its last 15 games vs. a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) in the second half of the season.  The OVER is 35-14-3 in Warriors last 52 road games.  The OVER is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Portland.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Kings/Rockets OVER 238.5

This is a low total for a game involving the Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings, who are both dead nuts OVER teams.  The recent head-to-head history really shows that as well.

The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 260, 253, 250, 239 and 239 points.  The Kings and Rockets have combined for at least 230 points in eight consecutive meetings as well.  They have gone for 250, 253 and 260 points in their three meetings this season.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Wichita State -2

Wichita State is playing well right now going 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in its last eight games overall with two upset victories and the only losses coming on the road to Memphis by 10, to Tulane by 5 at home and to Houston by 9 in a game they nearly upset the Cougars before they pulled away late.

Now Wichita State wants revenge from a 45-52 loss at UCF in their first meeting this season where the Shockers shot just 35% from the field.  But this isn't the same UCF team as they faced in that first meeting.  This is an injury-ravaged Knights team that has gone 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall with an 8-point loss at Tulane, a 13-point loss at USF, an 11-point home loss to Houston, as 7-point home loss to Temple and a 9-point loss at Cincinnati.

UCF is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games following two or more consecutive overs.  The Knights are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less after 15-plus games.  The Knights are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss.  The home team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Wichita State Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Illinois State +9

Illinois State has been competitive of late going 4-5 SU & 5-3-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.  One of those games resulted in a 75-79 loss as 15-point underdogs at Bradley in their first meeting on January 25th.  I like their chances of staying within 9 points in the rematch at home tonight just two weeks later.

The Redbirds have really been good at home of late going 7-3 SU in their last 10 home games and only losing once all season at home by double-digits.  Bradley is 5-7 SU & 3-9 ATS in all games played away from home this season.  The Braves are 2-8 ATS in road games following a win this season.  The Braves are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games overall.  The Redbirds are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 home games.  The underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Illinois State Wednesday.

20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Vanderbilt +10.5

Tennessee is clearly one of the most overrated teams in the country.  That has played out recently with an upset loss at Florida by 13 and a narrow 3-point win over Auburn at home last time out.  Their offense cannot be trusted as they scored 54 points against Florida and 46 against Auburn.

That's going to make it hard for them to win by double-digits here on the road against Vanderbilt.  After all, they only won by 9 at home in their first meeting with the Commodores this season.  And Vanderbilt always played Tennessee tough with each of the last three meetings decided by 9 points or fewer.  They will be motivated for revenge here.

The underdog is 16-7-1 ATS in the last 24 meetings.  The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss.  Vanderbilt is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 February games.  Plays against road favorites or PK (Tennessee) - after going under the total by 30 points or more total in their last five games, a top-level team (80% or higher) playing a losing team are 46-11 (80.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Vanderbilt Wednesday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Valparaiso +13.5

Valparaiso has quietly gone 4-3 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with two of their losses coming in overtime to Missouri State and Drake.  The other was an 11-point loss at Northern Iowa.  So they haven't lost by this kind of margin in any of their last seven games.

Indiana State is in a letdown spot following three consecutive victories over Northern Iowa, Evansville and Murray State, three of the worst teams in the MVC.  They actually lost their previous five games.  They won't be all that motivated to beat Valpo again after winning by 18 on the road as 6.5-point favorites in their first meeting this season.  

So this is a 7-point adjustment for home-court advantage, which is too much.  Valpo isn't going to shoot 29.5% from the field and 3-of-22 (13.6%) from 3-point range like they did in that first meeting.  I expect the Beacons to continue playing well and to take the Sycamores to the wire in the rematch tonight.  Bet Valparaiso Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night Line Mistake on UNC-Wilmington +10

UNC-Wilmington is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games overall with two of those losses coming by exactly 2 points.  One of those was a 69-71 home loss to Charleston in their first meeting this season on January 11th as 2.5-point dogs.  Now they are catching 10 points on the road in the rematch, and I love the value with the revenge-minded road team here.

Charleston has finally started to show some chinks in the armor.  They have lost two of their last three games to Hofstra as 9-point home favorites and Drexel as 7.5-point road favorites.  The Cougars are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall and remain overvalued due to their 22-3 record on the season.

This has been a closely-contested rivalry in recent meetings with each of the last four meetings decided by 8 points or fewer.  Wilmington hasn't lost any of its last eight meetings with Charleston by double-digits.  The underdog is 5-1-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

The Seahawks are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Wilmington is 35-14-2 ATS in its last 51 games overall.  The Seahawks are 8-0-1 ATS in their last nine Wednesday games.  The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win.  Wilmington is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games after winning four of its last five games.  Bet UNC-Wilmington Wednesday.

15* Thunder/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT Oklahoma City +6.5

The Los Angeles Lakers return home from a grueling five-game road trip at Boston, Brooklyn, New York, Indiana and New Orleans.  I always like fading teams in that first game back home following a long road trip because there are so many distractions back home.

Speaking of distractions, LeBron James needs 37 points tonight to break Kareem's All-Time scoring record.  I expect the Lakers to be playing a lot of 1 on 5 tonight because of it.  That's not going to work for them to beat the Thunder by 7-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Thunder after getting blown out at Golden State last night where Klay Thompson made 12 3-pointers and nothing went right for them.  The good news is that they are still fresh now as no player played more than 30 minutes for the Thunder last night.

Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games following a loss.  The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last seven trips to Los Angeles.  Oklahoma City is 9-1 ATS when playing its 3rd game in 4 days this season.  The Thunder are 13-2 ATS after losing four or five of their last six games this season.  Oklahoma City is 7-0 ATS after three straight games committing four-plus more turnovers than their opponent this season.  The Thunder are 9-1 ATS vs. poor pressure defensive teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Murray State +3.5

The Drake Bulldogs have won five consecutive games but have been very fortunate, winning two in double-OT and one by 2 points.  They are coming off consecutive double-OT games against Northern Iowa at home and Valpo on the road and are out of gas.  They will now be playing their 4th game in 9 days and this is one of the worst spots I've seen for any team all season in college basketball.

Now they have to travel to face Murray State, which is coming off a blowout loss at Indiana State and will be fresh for this one as a result.  The Racers have one of the best home-court advantages in the entire country as they are 9-1 SU at home this season.  They are primed for an upset of the Bulldogs tonight.

Drake is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games as a road favorite or PK.  The Bulldogs are 0-7 ATS after scoring 80 points or more this season.  Murray State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 home games following a conference game.  Drake is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games following a win.  The Racers are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.  Bet Murray State Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New Orleans Pelicans ML -120

It's 'buy low' time on the New Orleans Pelicans after going 2-10 SU in their last 12 games overall.  But they are getting healthier and are only without Zion Williamson, who should return soon.  They are coming off two straight home wins over the Lakers by 5 and Kings by 32 and should top the Atlanta Hawks tonight as well.

New Orleans is 19-9 SU at home this season, while Atlanta is 14-16 SU & 13-17 ATS on the road.  This is a very tough spot for the Hawks playing their 5th consecutive road game.  They just lost by 20 at Denver last time out.

The Hawks are 0-6 ATS in their last six games when playing on two days' rest.  They are getting too much respect due to coming in on two days' rest.  The Pelicans have two days off after this and will be 'all in' for this game tonight.  Bet the Pelicans on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Orlando Magic ML +105

I keep riding the Orlando Magic and they keep delivering.  The Magic have quietly gone 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall with outright upset wins over Boston (three times), Philadelphia, Golden State, and the Clippers among others.  They are much better than the books and the bettors are giving them credit for.

The Magic should not be home underdogs to the New York Knicks tonight.  The Knicks are a tired team right now playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have played three OT games in their past six.  They are coming off an upset win over the 76ers at home on ESPN Sunday, and this is now a letdown spot for them.  They have played the Cavs, Celtics, Nets, Lakers, Heat, Clippers and 76ers in their last seven games and now they will take a breather here against the Magic.

The Knicks are 0-4 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Magic are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Orlando is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Bet the Magic Tuesday.

15* Marquette/UConn Big East ANNIHILATOR on UConn -4

It's time to 'sell high' on the Marquette Golden Eagles after going 10-1 SU & 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Now they will face arguably their toughest test of the entire season tonight.  The other candidates would be their road losses at Purdue, at Providence and at Xavier earlier this season all by 4 points or more.

Now they have to travel to face a pissed off UConn team that will be looking for revenge from a 76-82 loss at Marquette in their first meeting this season.  Marquette shot 50.8% from the field and 37.5% from 3 while UConn only shot 27.3% from 3.  Those roles will be reversed this time around.

UConn is 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS at home this season and outscoring opponents by nearly 20 points per game.  They shoot 47.6% overall and 36% from 3 at home this season.  This one has blowout written all over it tonight given the factors coming in.

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Huskies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.  Bet UConn Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder +4

The Golden State Warriors will be without Stephen Curry at least until after the All-Star Break.  They shouldn't be favored over the Oklahoma City Thunder without him tonight.  The Thunder are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA going 32-19-1 ATS in all games this season, including 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.

The Thunder come in the more rested team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Warriors will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  Oklahoma City wants revenge from a 120-128 home loss to the Warriors on January 30th just a week ago when Curry scored 38 points and made eight 3-pointers.

Oklahoma City is 42-20-1 ATS in its last 63 road games.  The Thunder are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Warriors are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.  Oklahoma City is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games vs. teams that are called for 2-plus more fouls per game than their opponents.  Bet the Thunder Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Kings/Rockets OVER 233

This is a very low total for a game involving the Houston Rockets and Sacramento Kings, who are both dead nuts OVER teams.  The recent head-to-head history really shows that as well.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 253, 250, 239 and 239 points.  The Kings and Rockets have combined for at least 230 points in seven consecutive meetings as well.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Duke/Miami ESPN No-Brainer on Miami -2.5

The Miami Hurricanes will be out for revenge from a 66-68 road loss at Duke on January 21st just two weeks ago.  The Hurricanes shot 34.9% from the field in that game and still only lost by 2, so they have some room for improvement at home this time around.

This is a terrible spot for the Duke Blue Devils.  They are coming off a 63-57 home win over their most hated rivals in the UNC Tar Heels on Saturday.  That makes this a letdown spot for them, especially after having already beaten the Hurricanes once this season.

Miami is a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season, while Duke is 2-4 SU in true road games.  The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  The Blue Devils are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.  Duke is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Miami is 4-0 ATS in its last four meetings with Duke.  These last four trends combined for a 23-0 system backing the Hurricanes.  Bet Miami Monday.

15* 76ers/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia -4

The Philadelphia 76ers are fully healthy and playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They have gone 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall.  They are rested and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off and playing just their 5th game in 11 days.  The 76ers should be bigger favorites over the Knicks tonight given the horrible spot for the home team.

Indeed, the Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 128-134 (OT) home loss to the Los Angeles Clippers last night.  Their four best players all played at least 38 minutes with Barrett 43, Randle 40, Brunson 38 and Grimes 38 in that defeat.  They have played six consecutive games decided by single-digits, and after this rough stretch they won't have much left in the tank for the 76ers tonight.

Home-court advantage has not mattered in this series for the Knicks.  The 76ers are actually 10-1 SU in their last 11 trips to Madison Square Garden.  Philadelphia is 15-4 ATS when playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days this season.  New York is 11-26 ATS in its last 27 home games following a home game.  The Knicks are 0-8 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.  Bet the 76ers Sunday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Temple +11.5

The Houston Cougars are 21-2 this season and the No. 3 ranked team in the country.  With that ranking comes expectations that are hard to live up to from the betting public, and thus they are consistently too big of favorites.  That's the case tonight as 11.5-point road favorites at Temple.

Houston just lost outright as a 19-point home favorite to Temple, needed a late comeback to beat Cincinnati by 6 as a 14-point favorite, only beat South Florida by 6 as a 23-point favorite, only beat UCF by 6 as a 15-point favorite and fortunately pulled away late to win by 9 at Wichita State as a 12.5-point favorite.  The Cougars aren't invincible like these recent spreads are indicating.

I think this spread is too high again today for the revenge factor after losing 55-56 at home to Temple in the first meeting.  The Owls only shot 31.1% as a team in that game and still won outright, so there is actually room for improvement at least offensively.  And Temple is the single-most underrated team in the AAC this season.  They have gone 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and have lost just one game all season by more than 12 points.

I like the spot for Temple as they have had an entire week to get rest and prepare to sweep this season series with Houston.  They have been off since January 28th, while Houston just played Wichita State on February 2nd and only has two days to get ready.  It will actually be the 5th game in 15 days for the Cougars, and only the 4th game in 18 days for the Owls.

Temple is 8-1 ATS as an underdog this season.  The Owls are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Temple is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 Sunday games.  Bet Temple Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Pacers OVER 225.5

The Indiana Pacers have gone under the total in three consecutive games coming in, which has the books setting this number too low.  Their last six totals were all 234 or higher, so this is a very low total for a game involving the Pacers.

Indiana's best player in Tyrese Haliburton just returned from injury and has been a little rusty in his first two games back.  But he should be much closer to full strength now and back to running this up-tempo style that Rick Carlisle likes to run.  The Pacers rank 3rd in the NBA in pace this season and 24th in defensive efficiency.

As long as Mitchell and Garland are on the floor for the Cavaliers they are a potent offensive team.  They are as healthy as they have been all season right now.  They will have no problem getting up and down with the Pacers, which has certainly been the case in recent meetings.

Indeed, the OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 261, 230, 251 and 233 combined points at the end of regulation those last four meetings, respectively.  Indiana is 8-1 OVER in its last nine games following an upset win as a home underdog.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.