15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +114

The wrong team is favored today between the Guardians and Angels.  I like the fact that the Guardians lost Game 1 of this series to the Angels by a single run as they'll come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 2.

I also like Cal Quantrill over Reid Detmers.  Quantrill is 2-2 with a 3.89 ERA in seven starts this season.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees and Twins.  Quantrill owns the Angels, going 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 20 innings.

Detmers is 0-3 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 45 base runners in 30 innings.  Detmers is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in three career starts against Cleveland, allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.

The Guardians are 27-15 (+12.9 Units) in Quantrill's last 42 starts, including 12-4 (+11.2 Units) in his last 16 starts as an underdog of +100 to +150.  Bet the Guardians Saturday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -133

The Texas Rangers are 23-15 this season and outscoring opponents by 2.4 runs per game.  The Oakland A's are 9-31 this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game.  The Rangers should be bigger favorites over the Oakland A's today.

Jon Gray is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.016 WHIP in four road starts this season.  Gray has allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Oakland.

JP Sears is 0-3 with a 5.55 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 23 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in 37 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Oakland is 1-15 in day games this season.  Bet the Rangers Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/A's OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers and Oakland A's are both dead nuts OVER teams. The OVER is 25-14-1 in Oakland games this season, while the OVER is 22-15-1 in Texas games this season.  There will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center and temps approaching 80 degrees in Oakland this afternoon to help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game this season, including 7.4 runs per game against left-handed starters.  The A's are allowing 7.5 runs per game this season.  Oakland has a 6.69 ERA in their bullpen, and the Texas bullpen has a 5.02 ERA on the road.

Texas is more than capable of covering this total on their own.  They will feast on JP Sears, who is 0-3 with a 5.55 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 23 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in 37 1/3 innings.  Sears has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

The OVER is 9-0 in Jon Gray's last nine starts vs. good base running teams that average 0.85 or more stolen bases per game.  The OVER is 7-1 in Rangers last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.  The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Oakland.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Warriors/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles ML -145

LeBron James hasn't lost a closeout game at home in the playoffs since 2008.  He gets it done when he has the chance, and that's precisely what he and the Lakers will do in Game 6 here against the Warriors, who have struggled on the road all season.

The Lakers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games.  They are a perfect 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs.  The Warriors are 13-34 SU on the road this season.  They could be without Andrew Wiggins, who has a rib injury suffered in Game 5.  The Lakers are expected to be fully healthy as Anthony Davis avoided a concussion despite leaving Game 5.  Bet the Lakers on the Money Line in Game 6 Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -159

The Texas Rangers are 23-14 this season scoring 6.2 runs per game and allowing 3.9 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game.  The Oakland A's are the worst team in baseball at 8-31 this season scoring 3.8 runs per game and allowing 7.5 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game.

With the big advantage the Rangers have on the mound and at the plate tonight, I'm willing to lay the -159 on the money line.  Martin Perez is 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA in seven starts this season.  Perez owns the A's, allowing just 3 earned runs in 26 innings in his last four starts against them for a minuscule 1.04 ERA.

Ken Waldichuk is 1-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Amazingly, he has already allowed 29 earned runs and 12 homers in 36 innings.  Waldichuk allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings in his lone career start against Texas.

The Rangers are scoring 7.4 runs per game against left-handed starters this season while the A's are only scoring 3.2 runs per game against southpaws.  Oakland is 1-13 in its last 14 Friday home games.  The Rangers are 7-0 in Perez's last seven May starts.  Texas is 10-1 in Perez's last 11 starts vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or fewer runs per game.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Twins UNDER 8

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 8 ticket between the Cubs and Twins tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in front center at pitcher-friendly Target Field tonight in Minnesota.

Ace Sonny Gray goes for the Twins and is 4-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.72 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in four home starts.  Gray is 4-3 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in 10 career starts against Chicago as well.

The underrated Drew Smyly goes for the Cubs tonight.  He is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and 0.991 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 3.30 ERA in six career starts against the Twins as well.  Both bullpens are above average with a 3.56 ERA for the Twins and a 3.50 ERA for the Cubs.

The UNDER is 6-0 in Twins last six games overall with 8 or fewer combined runs in all six games, and 7 or fewer in five of them.  The UNDER is 8-3 in Cubs last 11 games overall with 7 or fewer combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  The UNDER is 12-4 in Cubs last 16 games overall dating back further.  Minnesota is 7-0 UNDER at home with a total of 8 to 8.5 this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Knicks/Heat ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New York +6.5

Jalen Brunson refused to let his team lose in Game 5 as the Knicks avoided elimination with a 112-103 victory behind 38 points from Brunson, 26 from Barrett and 24 from Randle.  Brunson and company won't go down without a fight in Game 6, either.

The Miami Heat were counted out and it's impressive they have gotten to this point despite being an underdog in eight of their 10 playoff games thus far.  But now they are getting too much respect as 6.5-point favorites in Game 6.  They were only 4 and 4.5-point favorites against the Knicks in their first two home games in this series.  The value is clearly with the road underdog here.

The Knicks are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 road games.  Bet the Knicks in Game 6 Friday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rays/Yankees OVER 8

The New York Yankees just got Aaron Judge back from injury.  They have scored 7 runs or more in four of their last five games overall with the OVER going 5-0 during this stretch.  They should feast on Trevor Kelley, who is 1-4 with a 7.23 ERA and 1.607 WHIP while allowing 30 earned runs and 11 homers in 37 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Gerrit Cole is coming off his worst start of the season against these same Tampa Bay Rays.  He allowed 6 runs, 5 earned, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 8-7 loss to the Rays on May 7th.  The Rays have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 6.1 runs per game overall, including 6.3 runs per game on the road.

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8 ticket, too.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 9 or more combined runs in five of those six games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Celtics/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Boston ML -135

The Boston Celtics had a bit of a hangover in Game 5 after falling in OT in Game 4 after Marcus Smart's 3-pointer at the buzzer in OT was just a split-second late.  They came back and shot 39.8% as a team while the 76ers shot 50% in Game 5.  Look for that to be reversed in Game 6 as the Celtics won't shoot that poorly again.

James Harden has put together consecutive impressive games, but to ask him to do it three games in a row is asking a lot.  The Celtics will make their adjustments on him and make others try and beat them.  Joel Embiid clearly isn't healthy, and I just can't see the 76ers taking advantage of this pressure-packed close out opportunity.  The Celtics have more experience together in these must-win games, which is huge.

Plays on any team on the money line (Boston) - revenging a SU loss vs. opponent of 7 points or more, off an upset loss as a home favorite are 62-12 (83.8%) SU over the last five seasons.  Bet the Celtics on the Money Line in Game 6 Thursday.

20* Rays/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees just got Aaron Judge back from injury against the A's last series and promptly scored 28 runs in three games against Oakland.  They have now scored at least 7 runs in four consecutive games.  The Rays have one of the best offenses in baseball at 6.1 runs per game on the season.

Drew Rasmussen and Domingo German just squared off on May 6th last time out.  While both had good outings in Tampa Bay, it will be hard to repeat that as the advantage goes to the hitters getting to see these starters for the 2nd time in a week.  Plus, there will be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center inside hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium tonight.

Tampa Bay is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games following three or more consecutive unders.  The Rays are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 road games after scoring one run or less in a division loss.  The OVER is 4-0 in Yankees last four games overall.  The OVER Is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Heat/Knicks TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 210

This is the highest total of the series between the Knicks and Heat.  There's clearly value with the UNDER when you consider how familiar these teams are with one another, plus the added pressure of this being a close out game with the Heat trying to win the series and the Knicks trying to stave off elimination.

These teams both shot great in Game 4 and still only combined for 210 points.  The Knicks shot 48.7% from the field while the Heat shot 47.1%.  Immanuel Quickley is doubtful for the Knicks and he is their scoring spark plug off the bench.  They have struggled offensively without him scoring just 86 points in Game 3 and 101 points in Game 4.

The UNDER is 7-2 in Knicks last nine games overall.  The UNDER is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in New York.  Bet the UNDER in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Braves OVER 10

Boston is hitting .270 and scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  Atlanta is hitting .262 and scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  The Red Sox have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Braves have scored at least 4 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall, and 3 runs in the two games they didn't.

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight.  Jared Shuster is 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in two starts this season allowing 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  Bryan Bellow is 1-1 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.730 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 17 1/3 innings.

Boston is 7-0 OVER in road games following a loss this season.  Atlanta is 18-6 OVER in night games this season.  The Braves are 10-1 OVER following three consecutive home games this season.  The OVER is 34-16-1 in Red Sox last 51 games overall.  The OVER is 18-5-3 in the last 26 meetings, and 12-3-2 in the last 17 meetings in Atlanta.  The OVER is 45-21-4 in Braves last 70 interleague home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/Reds OVER 9

Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball.  The Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game at home this season for an average of 11.2 points per game.  So this is a very low total for a Cincinnati home game.  The Mets are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.

Justin Verlander will be making his 2nd start back from injury and allowed two homers in his first start.  He will be on a pitch count again.  Hunter Greene is 0-2 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in three home starts.  Greene allowed 6 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Mets last season.

The OVER is 33-16-3 in Mets last 52 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 8-2 in Reds last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -117

The Houston Astros have a big advantage on the mound over the Los Angeles Angels today and should be bigger favorites as a result.  I'll gladly take the value and side with the Astros to get the job done with this advantage.

Christian Javier is 2-1 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Javier owns the Angels, going 3-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.843 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Griffin Canning is 2-0 with a 5.31 ERA in four starts this season allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 20 1/3 innings.  Canning has never beaten the Astros, going 0-1 with a 9.22 ERA and 2.196 WHIP in four carer starts against them while allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.

Houston is 50-19 in day games over the last two seasons.  The Astros are 41-12 in their last 53 during Game 3 of a series.  Houston is 57-27 in the last 84 meetings.  Bet the Astros Wednesday.

20* Blue Jays/Phillies Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8

Two of the best lineups in baseball go at it again today after the Blue Jays and Phillies combined for 12 runs in Game 1 of this Interleague series.  The Phillies have scored 27 runs total in their last five games while the Blue Jays have scored 4 runs or more in eight of their last nine games overall.

Kevin Gausman is coming off his worst start of the season allowing 8 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings at Boston.  Zack Wheeler is also coming off a stinker allowing 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to those same Red Sox.  Wheeler is 0-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four career starts against Toronto.

The OVER is 8-1 in Blue Jays last nine games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Blue Jays last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in Phillies last seven games overall.  The OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Philadelphia.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -157

The Seattle Mariners have a big advantage on the mound tonight which is why I'm willing to lay the juice on them.  George Kirby is 3-2 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in six starts this season and one of the best young starters in baseball.  Kirby owns the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in four career starts against them and the Mariners are 4-0 in those four starts.

Andrew Heaney is 2-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 7 homers in 29 1/3 innings.  Heaney is 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his last three starts against the Mariners, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

The Rangers are 39-80 in their last 119 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Mariners are 10-2 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Seattle is 36-15 in the last 51 meetings.  Seattle is 40-18 in the last 58 home meetings.  Bet the Mariners Tuesday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Astros/Angels OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Astros and Angels tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Angel Stadium.  That's why I'm willing to take a shot with the OVER even with both aces on the mound for their respective teams.

The Angels have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games overall.  They have also allowed at least 4 runs in six consecutive games.  Shohei Ohtani has been vulnerable of late allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Framber Valdez has also been vulnerable allowing 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 20 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Valdez has a 4.02 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Angels.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.

The OVER is 5-1 in Angels last six games overall.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* 76ers/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on Boston -7.5

The Boston Celtics bounced back from an upset loss in Game 1 where James Harden went off for the 76ers with a 121-87 home victory in Game 2.  After Harden went off in Game 4, I don't trust him to put together two consecutive monster games as he rarely does.

The 76ers need him to because Joel Embiid is clearly hobbled with that knee injury and not himself.  Al Horford owned in him the 4th quarter and OT of Game 4, which isn't something that would happen if Embiid was healthy.  That puts a lot of Harden and company, especially going on the road here in a hostile environment in Game 5 against a pissed of Celtics team.

The Celtics are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games following a loss.  Boston is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games following an ATS loss.  The Celtics are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  We get a big effort from the Celtics in Game 5 tonight that should have them covering this 7.5-point spread.  Bet the Celtics Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Braves OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Red Sox and Braves tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Truist Park in Atlanta.  It's not like we need the help with these two lineups.

Boston is hitting .271 and scoring 5.8 runs per game this season.  Atlanta is hitting .260 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season.  The Red Sox have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  The Braves have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 13 games overall, and 3 runs in the two games they didn't.

Nick Pivetta is 2-2 with a 4.99 ERA in six starts for the Red Sox this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  Charlie Morton has been decent for the Braves, but is fortunate to have a 3.38 ERA with a 1.443 WHIP.

The OVER is 17-4 in Morton's last 21 night starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Braves last 10 games following three or more consecutive home games.  The OVER is 24-11-1 in all Boston games this season.  The OVER is 18-6-3 in the last 27 meetings.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings in Atlanta.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mets/Reds OVER 10

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 10 ticket between the Mets and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right.  It's not like we need the help with these two lineups and starting pitchers, plus the fact that this game is played inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

Luke Weaver is 0-2 with a 7.87 ERA and 1.687 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings.  He'll be opposed by the injury-plagued Max Scherzer, who is 1-2 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.586 WHIP in four road starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 17 2/3 innings.

The Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game and allowing 6.1 runs per game at home this season.  The Mets are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.

The OVER is 6-1 in Mets last seven games following an off day.  The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight vs. NL East opponents.  The OVER is 12-3 in Mets last 15 road games following three consecutive home games.  Bet the OVER In this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/Mariners OVER 7.5

The Texas Rangers are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 21-11-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 6.7 runs per game and just put up 26 runs in their last two games against the Angels.  They have seen 9 or more combined runs in six consecutive games coming in.

Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in six starts for the Rangers this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  Gray is 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA in five career starts against Seattle.  He has allowed 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.

Logan Gilbert is 1-1 with a 4.01 ERA in six starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 33 2/3 innings.  Gilbert has really struggled of late with a 5.29 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings.

The OVER is 18-7-1 in Rangers last 26 games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Mariners last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter.  This 7.5-run total is very low for a game involving Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Astros/Angels OVER 8.5

The Angels and their opponents have combined for 9 runs or more in five consecutive games now.  This total is 8.5 is too low for this matchup with the Astros in Game 1 of this series.  That's especially the case with 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center.

Patrick Sandoval is 0-4 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.809 WHIP in four career starts against the Astros.  Hunter Brown has had control issues for the Astros this season and faces a hot Angels lineup that has scored 5 runs or more in five of their last six games overall.

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Angels last eight Monday games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last five Monday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Knicks/Heat TNT No-Brainer on New York +4.5

It's a good time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks in Game 4 tonight.  They have failed to cover the spread in every game in this series and are coming off a 19-point loss in Game 3 in which they shot 34.1% as a team and 8-of-40 (20%) from 3-point range.  They aren't going to shoot even close to that poorly again in Game 4.

Jalen Brunson is the leader of this team and had a big Game 2 after an inspirational speech to his team after a Game 1 loss.  He showed how good he could be in the playoffs last year with the Mavericks, and he is one of the most underrated players in the league.  Look for Brunson to respond with a huge Game 4 to lead the way for the Knicks in a game I think they win outright to even this series, but we'll take the 4.5 points for some insurance.

Brunson had 30, Randle 25 and Barrett 24 in the Game 2 response.  Look for this trio to lead the way in Game 4.  The Heat don't have three players that can match these three as it's Butler, Adebayo and a bunch of role players that have played well to get them to this point.  I'm just not sure it's sustainable the rest of the way, including in Game 4 tonight.

The Knicks are a perfect 7-0 ATS after scoring 100 points or less this season, bouncing back to win by an average of 11.2 points per game in this spot.  New York is 38-17-1 ATS in its last 56 road games.  Bet the Knicks in Game 4 Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Orioles UNDER 8.5

There will be 10 MPH winds blowing in from left-center inside pitcher-friendly Camden Yards tonight that will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 8.5 ticket.  Both teams have great bullpens with the Rays sporting a 3.10 ERA and the Orioles sporting a 3.20 ERA as a team this season.

Ace Shane McClanahan goes for the Rays tonight.  He is 6-0 with a 2.02 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in seven starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Orioles, going 5-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Kyle Gibson has been a pleasant surprise for the Orioles this season at 4-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in seven starts, including 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.027 WHIP in two home starts.  Gibson has held the Rays to one earned run in 12 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them for a 0.73 ERA.

The UNDER is 12-3-1 in Rays last 16 Monday games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* Nuggets/Suns TNT ANNIHILATOR on Phoenix -2.5

Devin Booker and Kevin Durant scored 86 points combined to lead the Suns to a critical Game 3 victory.  They are two of the best players in the NBA and are capable of doing it again.  Plus, they had others step up around them and that will continue at home tonight.

Cameron Payne pushes the tempo more than Chris Paul and got them a lot of easy looks with his six assists.  Jack Landale was huge off the bench and actually played better than DeAndre Ayton, and it would be a bonus if the Suns could get anything from Ayton.  TJ Warren hit two huge shots late to help them seal the victory.  But either way, Booker and Durant are good enough to carry this team to victory again.

Phoenix is 31-14 at home while Denver is just 20-24 on the road.  The Suns were 4-point home favorites in Game 3 and now we are getting them at a discount in comparison as only 2.5-point home favorites in Game 4.  We'll take the value and back them to get the job done in Game 4.

Denver is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 road games when revenging a road loss.  Bet the Suns in Game 4 Sunday.

20* Celtics/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on Philadelphia +2.5

This is a must-win for the 76ers in Game 4 if they want to get back in this series.  With how good their home-court advantage is, I expect them to get the job done and to avoid losing three in a row to the Celtics after upsetting them in Game 1.

The 76ers are 31-13 SU & 27-17 ATS at home this season.  They only shot 39.7% as a team in Game 3 and I can't see them shooting that poorly again.  They also shot just 39.2% on the road in Game 2 after shooting 50.6% in Game 1.  Look for them to get back to closer to that 50% mark in this one.

Philadelphia is 22-10 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The 76ers are 17-7 ATS when revenging a loss this season.  Philadelphia is 15-5-1 ATS in its last 21 games following a double-digit home loss.  Bet the 76ers in Game 4 Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Phillies OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 24-10-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 5.9 runs per game and allowing 5.1 runs per game on the season.  They are 8-0 in their last eight games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in all eight victories.  They are also 5-0-1 OVER in their last six games overall.

The Philadelphia Phillies recently got Bryce Harper back from injury and have one of the most potent lineups in baseball led by him and Trae Turner.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game against right-handed starters this season and allowing 5.2 runs per game overall.  They have a 5.32 ERA with one of the worst bullpens in baseball.

Taijuan Walker is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in six starts for the Phillies this season while allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 28 2/3 innings.  Walker is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in three career starts against Boston.  He'll be opposed by Tanner Houck, who is 3-1 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 32 innings.

The OVER is 35-17-1 in Red Sox last 53 games overall.  The OVER is 16-5-1 in Red Sox last 22 road games.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Phillies last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in four of the five games.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Rangers/Angels AL West Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Angels and Rangers.  There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to center at Angel Stadium.  These are two below-average starting pitchers that should get rocked by two hot lineups.  The Rangers have scored 32 runs total in their last four games while the Angels have scored 5 runs or more in nine of their last 11 games overall.

Nathan Eovaldi is 3-2 with a 3.93 ERA in six starts this season for Texas.  But Eovaldo has a 4.60 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in nine career starts against the Angels.  He'll be opposed by Reid Detmers, who is 0-2 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.385 WHIP in five starts this season.  Detmers is 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA in five career starts against the Angels.

The OVER is 16-7-1 in Rangers last 24 games overall.  The OVER is 4-1 in Angels last five games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Rangers are scoring 6.3 runs per game on the season, while the Angels are scoring 5.3 runs per game on the season and 6.1 runs per game at home.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

25* NBA 2nd Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Lakers -2.5

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Los Angeles Lakers after getting blown out in Game 2 at Golden State.  We saw them relax in Round 1 upsetting the Grizzlies in Game 1 before losing by double-digits in Game 2.  They came back and beat Memphis by double-digits at home in Game 3, and it will be more of the same here against the Warriors.

Golden State is one of the worst road teams in the NBA let alone in the playoffs.  The Warriors are 13-32 SU & 15-30 ATS on the road this season.  The Lakers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games and have won all four playoff home games by 6 points or more.

The Lakers are 25-9 ATS in their last 34 playoff games when the series is tied.  The Warriors are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 road games.  Golden State is 0-4 ATS in its last four games following an ATS win.  The Warriors have made 42 3-pointers in two games in this series and won't be nearly as effective shooting the 3 on the road here.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Saturday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on A's/Royals OVER 10

The wind was blowing out at Kauffman Stadium yesterday and the A's and Royals combined for 20 runs.  The forecast is calling for 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Kauffman Stadium again today, and it should be more of the same with these two gas cans on the mound.

Ken Waldichuk is 0-2 with a 7.26 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 25 earned runs and a whopping 10 homers in only 31 innings.  He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 2-3 with an 8.49 ERA and 1.517 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 28 earned runs and 6 homers in 29 2/3 innings.

Both bullpens are terrible with the A's having a 6.80 ERA and the Royals having a 5.67 ERA.  The OVER is 13-3 in A's last 16 road games.  The OVER is 5-1 in Royals last six home games.  The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Reds OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox should easily combine to top this 9-run total at the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark tonight.  The White Sox are heating up at the plate, and the Reds average 5.1 runs per game at home this season.

Nick Lodolo is 2-1 with a 6.16 ERA and 1.728 WHIP in six starts this season, including 2-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.303 WHIP in four home starts.  He has already allowed 8 homers in 30 2/3 innings this season, including 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 2/3 innings at home.

Mike Clevinger is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has been really poor in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 innings for a 7.62 ERA and 1.923 WHIP.

The OVER is 5-1 in White Sox last six games overall.  The OVER is 7-3 in Reds last 10 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Knicks/Heat ABC ANNIHILATOR on New York +4

The New York Knicks have failed to cover the spread in each of their first two games in this series against the Miami Heat.  It's now time to 'buy low' on the Knicks as 4-point dogs in Game 3.  They were 4-point favorites in Game 1 and 9-point favorites in Game 2, so this is a massive adjustment.

Jimmy Butler is expected to return today, but he's still going to be a little hobbled with that ankle injury.  And I believe the Knicks are the better team even with a healthy Butler, so getting 4 points with them is a nice value.

The Heat shot the 3 terribly all season and have just gotten hot from 3 in the playoffs to get to this point.  I don't see it lasting, and this team still has a lot of flaws outside of Butler.  He has way too much on his shoulders to carry this team much further.

The Knicks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games after outrebounding their last opponent by 15-plus boards.  New York is 38-16-1 ATS in its last 55 road games and has been one of the best road teams in the NBA this season.  The Heat are 11-28-1 ATS in their last 40 games following an ATS win.  Bet the Knicks Saturday.

20* Nuggets/Suns ESPN No-Brainer on Phoenix -3.5

The Phoenix Suns are in must-win mode in Game 3 tonight after losing the first two games of this series to the Denver Nuggets.  I expect them to bounce back in a big way at home to get back into this series.

The Suns are 30-14 at home this season while the Nuggets are 20-23 SU & 19-22-2 ATS on the road.  I think the Nuggets relax a bit after retaining home-court advantage, including a 4th quarter comeback win in Game 2.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.  The Suns are 3-0 SU in their last three home meetings with the Nuggets winning by 4, 7 and 29 points.

Denver is 4-12 ATS in road games following two or more consecutive wins this season.  The Nuggets are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 games following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more.  Phoenix is 13-4 ATS in home games after playing a road game this season.  The Suns are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 6 points or less.  Bet the Suns in Game 3 Friday.

15* Celtics/76ers ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia +2.5

After getting embarrassed with an 87-121 loss at Boston in Game 2, we'll 'buy low' on the Philadelphia 76ers in Game 3 as home underdogs.  They will respond in a big way tonight, especially with Joel Embiid in his second game back from injury.  He will be much more effective at home tonight, and James Harden should bounce back as well.

After making 17 3-pointers in Game 1's upset victory, the 76ers went just 6-of-30 (20%) in Game 2.  They aren't going to shoot that poorly again.  Also don't expect the Celtics to make 20 3-pointers again like they did in Game 2.

The 76ers have played the Celtics tough at home in their two meetings this season.  They lost by 3 as 1-point dogs and won outright as 3.5-point dogs.  The 76ers are 31-12 SU & 27-16 ATS at home this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  Philadelphia is 12-2 ATS when revenging a road loss this season.  The 76ers are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 home games.  Bet the 76ers in Game 3 Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -102

The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to victory.  They also have the rest advantage after having yesterday off, while the White Sox lost in extra innings to the Twins yesterday.

Hunter Greene has posted a 2.89 ERA in six starts this season with 40 K's in 28 innings.  He'll be opposed by gas can Lance Lynn, who is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 26 earned runs and 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings.

The White Sox are 0-8 in their last eight road games.  Chicago is 1-9 in its last 10 games following a loss.  The Reds are 5-1 in their last six interleague games.  Cincinnati is 10-4 in its last 14 interleague home games.  Bet the Reds Friday.

15* Interleague TOTAL OF THE DAY on White Sox/Reds OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark this season.  They are more than capable of covering this total on their own against Lance Lynn and this terrible Chicago bullpen that has a 6.47 ERA on the season.

Lynn is is 0-4 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 26 earned runs and 8 homers in 32 2/3 innings.  Hunter Greene is pretty fortunate to have a 2.89 ERA despite a 1.429 WHIP on the season.  He has been at his worst at home with a 4.27 ERA and 1.738 WHIP in two home starts.

The OVER is 4-1 in White Sox last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four of those five games.  The OVER is 13-6-2 in White Sox last 21 games with a total set of 8.5 or lower.  The OVER is 37-18-4 in Reds last 59 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Pirates OVER 9

The OVER is 5-0 in Toronto's last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five games.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  The Pirates have been better offensively than they get credit for scoring 5.0 runs per game on the season, which is a big reason for their 20-12 start.

Chris Bassitt is 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA in six starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He is 2-1 with a 6.32 ERA in three road starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Rich Hill is 3-2 with a 4.45 ERA in six starts this season allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 32 1/3 innings.  Hill is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three home starts allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Lakers/Warriors ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 227.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes on, the oddsmakers usually adjust the total down.  That hasn't been the case in this series as this Game 2 total (227.5) is actually higher than Game 1 (227).

The Lakers and Warriors barely sneaked over that number finishing with 229 combined points.  The Warriors made 21 3-pointers in Game 1 and that is unlikely to happen again.  The Lakers have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA since the All-Star Break.

The Warriors have gotten better defensively in the playoffs by playing Kevon Looney more minutes.  He has been a beast down low for them defensively, and having him and Draymond Green on the court a lot makes them better on that end.  Gary Payton II is also a great defender, and getting Andrew Wiggins back for the playoffs has made them better on that end.

The Lakers have seen 229 or fewer combined points in six consecutive games, including 215 or fewer combined points at the end of regulation in five of their last six games.  The Warriors went for 217 and 220 combined points in their final two games against the Kings, who play at a much faster pace than the Lakers.  Bet the UNDER in Game 2 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -160

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing each of their first three games in this series to the Red Sox.  They are still 20-7 in their last 27 meetings with Boston even after those three losses, and they will stop the bleeding with a win in Game 4 tonight due to their advantage on the mound.

Kevin Gausman is 2-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.009 WHIP in six starts this season with a whopping 54 K's in 38 2/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Brayan Bello, who is 0-1 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.864 WHIP in three starts this season.  Bello has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA and 2.308 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Blue Jays are 16-3 in Gausman's last 19 road starts vs. division opponents.  Toronto is 43-19 in its last 62 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Blue Jays Thursday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-130)

The Seattle Mariners have won three consecutive games and have scored 19 runs in the process.  They are heating up and should sweep the A's with another blowout victory in Game 3.  The A's are 6-25 this season and getting outscored by 4.0 runs per game.  Their bullpen has a 7.07 ERA while the Mariners have a 2.81 ERA.

Seattle has a big advantage on the mound today behind George Kirby, who is 2-2 with a 2.94 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in five starts this season, including a 1.29 ERA and 0.714 WHIP in two road starts.  Drew Rucinski will be making his second start this season after allowing 5 runs, 3 earned, and 12 base runners in 5 2/3 innings in a 11-7 home loss to the Reds.

Oakland is 1-16 after losing four of its last five games this season and losing by 4.9 runs per game.  Seattle is 25-8 in its last 33 games after batting .200 or worse of a 5-game span and winning by 2.1 runs per game.  The Mariners are 25-8 in the last 33 meetings, including 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Oakland.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Thursday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -141

The Milwaukee Brewers will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Colorado Rockies.  With their advantage on the mound today, they should make easy work of the Rockies in Game 3.

Wade Miley is 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five starts this season allowing just 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 29 innings.  His five starts have come against the Angels, Red Sox, Padres, Mets and Diamondbacks, making this start to the season even more impressive.

Connor Seabold will make his first start of the season for the Rockies.  He is 0-4 with an 8.49 ERA and 1.971 WHIP in three seasons in the big leagues, allowing 33 earned runs and 7 homers in 35 innings.  Don't expect it to go well for him today, either.

The Brewers are 16-3 in Miley's last 19 starts as a favorite, including 12-1 in his last 13 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 and winning by 4.3 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Brewers Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing their last two games to the Nationals.  They have now lost five of their last six during their worst stretch of the season.  I expect them to bounce back with a blowout victory due to their advantage on the mound.

Death, taxes and fade Pat Corbin.  He went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 31 starts in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts in 2022, and now he's 1-4 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in six starts thus far in 2023.  The Nationals have lost each of Corbin's last three starts against the Cubs all by 2 runs or more.

Jameson Taillon is coming off his best start of the season pitching 5 shutout innings against the Dodgers.  Taillon has posted a 3.86 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in five career starts against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 6-27 in Corbin's 33 starts as an underdog over the last two seasons and getting outscored by 3.5 runs per game on average.  Washington is 1-11 in Corbin's 12 career starts in home games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by one-plus runs per game and losing by 3.5 runs per game.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Thursday.

15* Blue Jays/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -130

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory tonight following three consecutive losses by a combined 4 runs.  They had won their previous six games prior to this skid while outscoring opponents 29-5 in the process.

The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound in this one behind Alek Manoah, who has been at his best on the road at 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three starts away from home this season.  Manoah has never lost to the Red Sox, going 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA and 0.919 WHIP in six career starts against them.

Nick Pivetta is 1-2 with a 5.11 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in five starts for the Red Sox this season, including 0-2 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three home starts.  Pivetta does not enjoy facing the Blue Jays, going 1-4 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.551 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.

Boston is 4-14 in its last 18 games following two consecutive one-run wins against a division opponent.  Toronto is 43-18 in its last 61 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Toronto is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings, including 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Boston.  Bet the Blue Jays Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120)

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory after losing four of their last five games overall during their worst stretch of the season with three losses coming by a single run.  With their advantage on the mound today over the Washington Nationals, I expect them to bounce back with a win by multiple runs tonight.

Marcus Stroman is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 2-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.047 WHIP in six starts this season, including a 1.46 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in two road starts.

Jake Irvin will make his major league debut for the Nationals tonight.  He is only the 11th-ranked prospect in their organization.  Irvin has a 5.64 ERA across 22 2/3 innings over five starts for Triple-A Rochester this season.  I don't expect it to go well for him tonight.

The Nationals are 19-49 in their last 68 home games.  The Cubs are 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* Guardians/Yankees AL ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -120

The Yankees are 7-0 in games started by Gerrit Cole and 9-15 in all other games.  They are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall with two of those wins coming with Cole on the mound.  They are without Aaron Judge among other key players right now and really struggling to score runs.  They have been held to 2 runs or fewer in seven of their last 10 games, and 4 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 12 games.

The Guardians have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Shane Bieber, who is 2-1 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.141 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in four road starts.  Bieber has held the Yankees to 2 runs or fewer in three consecutive starts against them.

Clarke Schmidt is 0-3 with a 6.84 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 19 earned runs and 7 homers in 25 innings.  He is only starting right now due to injuries in New York's rotation.  Schmidt allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings to the Guardians in his lone career start against them, which came back on April 12th.

Bieber's teams are 11-1 in his 12 career road starts against AL East opponents and winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Guardians Wednesday.

20* Lakers/Warriors TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles +4.5

I like fading teams in Game 1 of their next series after winning a Game 7 the series prior.  A 7-game series takes a lot out of a team, and it especially took a lot out of the Warriors having to play the up-tempo Kings.  The Warriors lack depth this season, which is a big reason they aren't as good as they have been in previous seasons.

The Warriors have only had one day off to recover from that seven-game series and will be playing their 4th game in 7 days.  Meanwhile, the Lakers have had the last three days off and will be rested and ready to go for this series.  That's a huge rest advantage heading into Game 1, and I fully expect the Lakers to pull off the upset tonight because of it.

The Lakers have shown what they are capable of when healthy since the All-Star Break.  They are 22-9 SU in their last 31 games overall.  They won Game 1 on the road against Memphis 128-112 as 5-point dogs.  The Lakers are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Warriors this season winning outright by 8 as 5-point home dogs, by 13 as 6-point home favorites and outright by 6 as 5.5-point road dogs.  Bet the Lakers in Game 1 Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +177

The Cincinnati Reds have a massive advantage on the mound over the San Diego Padres tonight.  The Padres cannot be close to -200 favorites with how big of a disadvantage they have on the rubber, and we'll gladly 'sell high' on them tonight following three consecutive victories.

Michael Wacha is far past his prime.  He is 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in five starts this season, including 1-1 with a 9.58 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in two home starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

The Reds are loaded at the top of their rotation with talent, and Graham Ashcraft has shined in the early going.  He is 2-0 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing just 7 earned runs and one homer in 30 innings.

The Padres are 6-8 at home this season where they are scoring just 3.6 runs per game.  The Reds are 5-2 in their last seven games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in four of the five wins.  The value on Cincinnati is too good to pass up tonight.  Bet the Reds Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Rockies OVER 11

Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right at hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight.  That will help us cash this OVER 11 ticket between the Brewers and Rockies in Game 1 of this series.

Freddy Peralta has big home/road splits throughout his career.  He has a 3.27 ERA at home but a 4.49 ERA on the road.  Peralta allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his lone road start this season at San Diego, a 10-3 loss.

Ryan Feltner has decent numbers this season with a 4.68 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in five starts, but he has only made one start at Coors Field.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in that home start.  Feltner is 6-12 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.461 WHIP in his brief career spanning 26 starts and one relief appearance.

The OVER is 3-1 in Rockies last four home games with 10 or more combined runs in all four, and 15 or more combined runs in three of those.  The OVER is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings, including 4-1-1 in the last six meetings in Colorado.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+100)

The Minnesota Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight that is going to have them winning this game by multiple runs.  The Twins are hot right now going 6-2 in their last eight games overall while scoring at least 6 runs in six of their last seven games.  The White Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall.

Joe Ryan is 5-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.812 WHIP in five starts for the Twins this season.  He'll be opposed by Michael Kopech, who is 0-3 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 25 2/3 innings.  Kopech has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Twins.

Minnesota has a 3.82 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in their bullpen this season, while Chicago has a 6.86 ERA and 1.756 WHIP and the worst bullpen in baseball.  Chicago is 3-17 as an underdog this season and losing by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Ryan is 19-4 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons with the Twins winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Minnesota is 9-0 as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season and winning by 2.9 runs per game.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* AL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Twins/White Sox OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Twins and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field tonight.

The Twins are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 6 runs in six of their last seven games and fully capable of covering this total on their own.  They'll feast on Michael Kopech, who is 0-3 with a 7.01 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 25 2/3 innings.  Kopech has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Twins.

Joe Ryan has been good for the Twins this season but even he will be susceptible with this forecast.  Both bullpens are below average especially the White Sox, who have a 6.86 ERA and 1.756 WHIP in their bullpen on the season.

The OVER is 10-1 in Ryan's last 11 road starts vs. teams that average 7 or more strikeouts per game.  The OVER is 18-4 in White Sox last 22 games vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 or more strikeouts per start.  The OVER is 10-4-2 in the last 16 meetings in Chicago.  The OVER is 11-3-1 in White Sox last 15 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Suns/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Phoenix +4.5

Kevin Durant is 25-3 in his last 28 games in which he has played dating back to Thanksgiving.  I liked what I heard from him in the press conference after a bad Game 1 loss to the Nuggets.  I fully expect Durant and the Suns to bounce back, and getting them as 4.5-point underdogs in Game 2 is a tremendous value.

While the Suns will fire back with a better effort, the Nuggets could relax a little after winning Game 1 so convincingly.  I have a hard time seeing Jamal Murray playing as well as he did again, and for the Nuggets to make nine more 3-pointers than the Suns again.

Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games after two straight games allowing a shooting percentage of 50% or higher.  Phoenix is 28-14 ATS in its last 42 games when revenging a loss by 10 points or more.  Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last seven trips to Denver.  We may never get the opportunity to back the Suns as this big of an underdog again, so we'll take advantage.  Bet the Suns in Game 2 Monday.

15* 76ers/Celtics TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 213.5

The Boston Celtics and Atlanta Hawks combined for 225 or more points in six of their last seven games.  This is a very low total for a game involving Boston, one of the best offensive teams in the NBA.

The reason the total is so low is because Joel Embiid is doubtful.  But I think that is overblown here because the 76ers are going to go to more of a small ball lineup without him, which will make them play faster and will favor the OVER because they are much worse off defensively without him.  I think they can make up for his loss on offense with playmakers like Harden, Harris, Maxey and Melton.

I also like the fact that both teams are fresh with the 76ers being off since April 22nd and the Celtics being off since April 27th.  Both teams are going to have plenty of energy to get up and down the court in this one.  I expect this to be more of a shootout than the books expect, and if I'm going to back an OVER in the playoffs it's usually going to be in Game 1 with teams not as familiar with one another.  Both coaches will have a few tricks up their sleeves to get easy buckets in Game 1 before the defenses can adjust throughout the series.

Boston is 7-0 OVER after five straight games where they made 47% of their shots or better this season.  The OVER is 4-0 in Celtics last four games overall.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Red Sox OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.  There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.  The Red Sox are scoring 5.6 runs per game on the season with the Blue Jays at 4.7 runs per game.

Jose Berrios has been terrible on the road over the past two seasons.  Berrios went 5-5 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 16 road starts last season.  He is 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in three road starts this season.

Corey Kluber has been terrible everywhere.  He is 1-4 with a 6.75 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA in three home starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings at Fenway Park this season.

The OVER is 14-4 in Berrios' last 18 road starts.  The OVER is 10-2 in Berrios' last 12 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  The OVER is 9-4 in Red Sox last 13 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +121

The New York Yankees are 2-6 in their last eight games overall and struggling to score runs.  They have scored 2 runs or fewer in all six losses during this stretch.  They are playing without Aaron Jude, Giancarlo Stanton, Josh Donaldson and Harrison Bader right now.

The Cleveland Guardians have a better lineup currently and should not be underdogs today.  Cal Quantril has been at his best on the road this season, going 1-0 with a 3.78 ERA in three starts away from home.

Domingo German is 2-2 with a 5.54 ERA in five starts for the Yankees this season while allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 innings.  His propensity to give up the long ball is extreme, and with the wind blowing out today the Guardians should get at least a couple homers off him.

The Guardians are 21-6 in their last 27 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Guardians Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -131

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory after three consecutive losses by a single run.  Look for them to bounce back against the lowly Washington Nationals in Game 1 of this series tonight.

Drew Smyly is 2-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 0.928 WHIP in five starts for the Cubs this season, including 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.654 WHIP in his last three starts despite facing the Dodgers (twice) and Padres.  Smyly is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in six career starts against Washington.

Mackenzie Gore has decent numbers for the Nationals this season, but he will get lit up by a Cubs lineup that crushed southpaws.  The Cubs are hitting .313 and scoring 6.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

Smyly's teams are 7-0 in his last seven starts against teams who draw 3 or fewer walks per game.  Smyly's teams are 11-1 in his last 12 road starts vs. a NL team with a .390 slugging percentage or worse.  Bet the Cubs Monday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 -136 (Game 1)

The Atlanta Braves have won four of their last five games while scoring a total of 32 runs during this stretch.  The New York Mets are 1-5 in their last six games overall despite a soft schedule where they lost twice to the Giants and twice to the Nationals.  They have scored a total of 18 runs in their last six games.

The Braves have a big advantage on the mound today that is going to have them winning Game 1 by multiple runs.  Spencer Strider is one of the best starters in baseball, going 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in five starts this season with 49 K's in 30 innings.

Danyi Reyes will be making his first start of the season for the Mets after previously only coming out of the bullpen.  He made a start at Triple A last time out but isn't ready for this opportunity against one of the best starters in baseball.  Expect the Braves to tag him early and often, and to continue to tag this mediocre Mets' bullpen.

The Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 road games.  Atlanta is 42-10 in its last 52 during Game 2 of a series.  Atlanta is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line in Game 1 Monday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/A's OVER 8

The Oakland A's are 18-9-1 OVER in all games this season.  They are scoring 3.9 runs per game and allowing 8.1 runs per game for an average of 12 combined runs per game.  That's right, they are giving up more runs per game (8.1) than this total (8).

The Reds are fully capable of covering this OVER on their own.  They'll be up against Ken Waldichuk, who is 0-2 with a 7.82 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 22 earned runs and 9 homers in 25 1/3 innings.  They will then face an Oakland bullpen with a 6.94 ERA and 1.743 WHIP on the season.

The A's should do their part contributing to this OVER as well. They'll feast on Nick Lodolo, who is 2-1 with a 6.31 EAR and 1.870 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 5 innings.  Lodolo has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts.

The forecast should help us cash this OVER 8 ticket as well with temps in the 60's and 15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland.  The OVER is 6-0 in A's last six games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Giants/Padres NL West ANNIHILATOR on San Diego -136

Clearly the altitude in Mexico City as well as the ball park dimensions aid in run scoring as the Padres beat the Giants 16-11 yesterday.  The teams combined for 11 homers, so keeping the ball in the park will be very important.

Well, Yu Darvish hasn't allowed a single homer in 24 innings this season with a 3.00 ERA and 1.125 WHIP to boot.  Alex Cobb is much more susceptible to allowing the long ball for the Giants as he has allowed 2 homers in 28 1/3 innings.

The Giants are 12-40 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with less than a 1.15 WHIP.  The Padres are 8-1 in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Padres Sunday.

20* Warriors/Kings ABC No-Brainer on Sacramento +1.5

Although this series is tied 3-3, it's clear to me that the Sacramento Kings have been the better team in this series.  Their resiliency in Game 6 winning blowing out the Warriors 118-99 as 7-point road underdogs says all you need to know about the mental state of this team.

The Kings made all the right adjustments in Game 6 and really showed what they were capable of defensively limiting the Warriors to fewer than 100 points.  Nothing came easy for the Warriors, while a lot came easy for the Kings, including getting out in transition.  They will push the pace again, and they will come up with another great defensive effort at home to win this series in Game 7.

The Warriors have many shortcomings this season that have come to fruition in the playoffs, most notably they aren't a very good defensive team.  Curry, Poole and Thompson are all bad defenders, and the Kings have been exploiting them all series.  The Warriors aren't comfortable playing Poole for big minutes because of his liabilities on defense, but they lose a lot without him on the court offensively.  They are just getting a lot of credit due to their reputation in the past, but this isn't the same old Warriors.  These aren't the same old Kings either as they won the most stacked division in the NBA and it was no fluke.

The Warriors are 12-32 SU & 14-30 ATS on the road this season.  Sacramento is 10-1 ATS after losing three of its last four games this season.  The Warriors are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 road games overall.  Sacramento is 17-7 ATS in the last 24 meetings.  Bet the Kings in Game 7 Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/White Sox OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Rays and White Sox this afternoon.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left.  It's not like the Rays need much help as they score 6.6 runs per game on the season, including 7.0 runs per game on the road.

Mike Clevinger is 2-2 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in five starts for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Expect him to get rocked by the Rays, and Chicago's bullpen to continue to get rocked with a 6.59 ERA and 1.746 WHIP on the season.

Drew Rasmussen has been rough in two of his last three starts.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings to the Blue Jays three starters ago.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 2/3 innings to the Astros in his last start as well.   Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Suns/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Phoenix +3.5

It's rare that you're going to get the opportunity to back the Phoenix Suns as an underdog the rest of the way.  We'll take advantage in Game 1 and back a Suns team that is currently the second-favorite to win the NBA title due to all the talent they have on hand.

Kevin Durant is now 25-2 in the last 27 games he has played dating back to Thanksgiving.  The Suns are really forming chemistry with Durant, Booker, Ayton and Paul and their starting five is the best in the NBA.  They do have some depth concerns, but they are rested after having the last three days off and are primed for a big effort in Game 1.

The Timberwolves took the Nuggets to the wire in each of the final four games last series.  The Nuggets have too many holes defensively as Jokic, Porter Jr. and Murray are not known for defense.  That is going to really hurt them in this series, starting with Game 1.  The Suns have more experience in these big game situations as the Nuggets continue to be a disappointment in the playoffs.  Bet the Suns in Game 1 Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/White Sox OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Rays and White Sox today.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Guaranteed Rate Field.  We won't need much help with these two gas can starting pitchers.

Lance Lynn is 0-3 with a 7.52 ERA and 1.785 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 26 1/3 innings.  He's up against a Rays lineup that is scoring 6.4 runs per game this season and capable of covering this total on their own.

The White Sox should tee off on Calvin Faucher, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.649 WHIP in three starts this season.  The White Sox tagged him for 3 runs in 2 innings of an 8-7 loss to the Rays on April 21st earlier this season.

The OVER is 21-10-2 in the last 33 meetings in Chicago.  The OVER is 9-3-1 in White Sox last 13 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/A's OVER 7.5

The Reds and A's combined for 18 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same in Game 2 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center to help aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.  The OVER is 18-8-1 in all A's games this season as they are allowing 8.3 runs per game this season, so the Reds can cover this total on their own.

They may very well do just that against Kyle Muller and this putrid Oakland staff.  Muller is 0-2 with a 7.22 ERA and 2.028 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 19 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings.  Muller is 1-1 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two career starts against Cincinnati.  The Reds have scored at total of 30 runs in their last four games.

The A's have scored a total of 31 runs in their last five games and are actually a pretty decent offensive team.  The OVER is 8-1 in Reds last nine games following a win.  The OVER is 4-0 in A's last four games following a loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Grizzlies/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -4.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are 0-24 SU in their last 24 games as road underdogs.  That includes 0-18 SU & 2-16 ATS as road underdogs this season.  The Grizzlies are 1-15 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less this season as well.

LeBron James took Game 5 off and saved up for Game 6.  Now expect a big effort from James and company in Game 6 at home tonight to close out this series.  The Grizzlies haven't had an answer on the road all season against good teams, including in this series.  It will be a tremendous atmosphere in Los Angeles Friday night and a tremendous advantage for the Lakers laying this short number.

JA Morant is battling wrist, ankle and knee injuries right now.  Luke Kennard just suffered a shoulder injury in Game 5 and likely will miss Game 6, leaving the Grizzlies short on outside shooting.  The Lakers are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when that's the case with the way they closed out  the regular season just to make the playoffs, plus how they have played in the playoffs to this point.  It continues with another big effort tonight.  Bet the Lakers in Game 6 Friday.

20* Kings/Warriors ESPN No-Brainer on Sacramento +7.5

Four of the five games in this series went down to the wire decided by 8 points or fewer.  The lone exception was Game 3 in a must-win for the Warriors after losing the first two games in Sacramento.  I think Game 6 goes to the wire as well, so there's clear value here catching 7.5 points with the Kings.

Sacramento is 9-1 ATS in road games when playing with triple revenge over the last two seasons.  The Kings are 8-1 ATS in road games when revenging a same-season loss this season.  Sacramento is 35-17-1 ATS in its last 53 road games.  The Kings are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 trips to Golden State.  Bet the Kings in Game 6 Friday.

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -126

The Atlanta Braves have a big advantage on the mound over the New York Mets tonight and should be bigger favorites because of it.  The Mets have also lost four of their last five games coming in to the Nationals and Giants and aren't playing well.

Max Fried is 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in three starts this season allowing just one earned run in 15 innings.  Fried is 7-5 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.198 WHIP in 16 career starts against the Mets as well.

David Peterson is 1-3 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in five starts for the Mets this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Peterson is 3-3 with a 4.33 ERA in seven career starts against the Braves.

Atlanta is 34-12 in Fried's last 46 starts with a money line of +100 to -150.  The Braves are 8-1 in their last nine road games.  Atlanta is 38-15 in its last 53 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Braves are 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Bet the Braves Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -104

The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the Miami Marlins tonight.  Marcus Stroman is 2-2 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five starts this season.  Stroman has never lost to the Marlins, going 1-0 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Jesus Luzardo is 2-1 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in five starts this season.  Luzardo has really struggled of late, going 1-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.774 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.

The Cubs are 15-2 in their last 17 Friday games.  Chicago is 4-0 in its last four road games.  The Marlins are 33-70 in their last 103 during Game 1 of a series.  Miami is 16-35 in its last 51 Friday games.  Bet the Cubs Friday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Rangers OVER 7.5

The New York Yankees have actually done their most damage on the road this season scoring 5.2 runs per game.  They are coming off a 12-run outburst at Minnesota and should stay hot at the plate tonight.

They should tee off on Andrew Heaney, who is 2-1 with a 5.93 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in three home starts this season.  Heaney is 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA in five career starts against New York.  He has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.

The Rangers are one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 6.4 runs per game overall and 6.9 runs per game at home.  Gerrit Cole has been great, but the Rangers will get to him today.  Cole has allowed 14 earned runs and 8 homers in 31 1/3 innings in his last five starts against Texas.

The OVER is 14-3 in Heaney's last 17 starts overall.  The OVER is 8-0 in Heaney's last eight home starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 13-4 in Rangers last 17 games overall, including 5-1 in their last six home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+102)

The Minnesota Twins are basically fully healthy right now in their lineup and it's starting to show.  They have scored at least 6 runs in three consecutive games and should stay hot at the plate against the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of this series Thursday.

Zack Greinke is far past his prime.  Greinke is 0-3 with a 4.61 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in two road stars while allowing 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings.  Greinke is 4-14 with a 4.62 ERA and 1.466 WHIP in 28 career starts against the Twins, and his teams have gone 7-21 in those starts.

Tyler Mahle is 1-2 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.154 WHIP in four starts this season for the Twins.  Mahle is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.693 WHIP in two career starts against the Royals.  He'll shut down a putrid Kansas City offense that is hitting .219 and scoring 3.3 runs per game this season, including .214 and 2.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Twins are 10-3 in the last 13 meetings.  Minnesota is 37-15 in the last 52 home meetings.  Kansas City is 19-59 in its last 78 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and getting outscored by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Thursday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-135)

The Los Angeles Angels are hitting the cover off the ball right now and living up to their potential offensively.  They have scored a total of 38 runs in their last five games overall, which is why I'm willing to back them on the Run Line today against the lowly Oakland A's with ace Shohei Ohtani on the mound.

Ohtani is 3-0 with a 0.64 ERA and 0.821 WHIP in five starts this season.  Ohtani owns the A's, allowing one earned run in 25 innings in his last four starts against them for a minuscule 0.36 ERA.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last seven starts against Oakland.

The A's are 5-20 this season scoring 3.7 runs per game and allowing 8.2 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.5 runs per game.  JP Sears is 0-1 with a 4.98 ERA in four starts this season for Oakland, including 0-1 with a 5.73 ERA in two road starts.

Oakland is 1-15 after losing four or five of its last six games this season and losing by 5.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +100

The Seattle Mariners have the advantage on the mound today and should not be underdogs to the Philadelphia Phillies as a result.  They will also be motivated to bounce back from blowing a 5-2 lead late yesterday.

George Kirby is 2-1 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in four starts this season with only one walk and one homer allowed in 22 2/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Matt Strahm, who has allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Cincinnati coming in.

Seattle is 61-34 with a money line of +100 to -150 over the last three seasons, including 28-11 on the road with a money line of +100 to -150 over this span.  Bet the Mariners Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Marlins/Braves UNDER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER between the Marlins and Braves this afternoon.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing in from left and temps in the 50's in Atlanta.  The Marlins are scoring just 3.2 runs per game this season.

Braxton Garrett is off to a great start this season for the Marlins at 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA while allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 innings without a homer.  Kyle Wright has worse numbers, but he will shut down the Marlins today.

Wright is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Marlins while pitching 17 shutout innings with 24 K's.  Garrett has posted a 3.29 ERA in three career starts against Atlanta and has allowed only 2 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Braves.

The UNDER is 16-4 in Garrett's 20 starts over the past two seasons.  The UNDER is 9-1 in Garrett's last 10 starts in the first half of the season.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Garrett's last seven starts vs. teams that average 1.25 or more homers per game.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* Warriors/Kings TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Sacramento ML -120

I locked in this pick before the D'Aaron Fox news of the fractured tip of his finger, but the injury doesn't seem to serious and he's expected to play.  So that was great news, and you'll get a better line on the Kings now if you haven't bet it already.  I still like the Kings at the current price.

Sacramento has one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA when they are good, and the atmospheres for Games 1 and 2 were tremendous.  They won both games, and I expect them to take Game 5 and regain control of this series at home tonight.

The Warriors are 11-32 SU & 13-30 ATS on the road this season.  They have been the worst NBA playoff team in the NBA on the highway this season.  And it just shows that the Kings are the better team when you consider Golden State played nearly a perfect Game 4 and still only won by a single point.  They shot 50% overall, 41.2% from 3 and 91.7% from the FT line.  That's not going to happen in Sacramento.

The Warriors are 15-36-1 ATS in their last 52 road games.  The Kings are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a loss.  Sacramento is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home meetings with Golden State.  Bet the Kings in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-107)

The Oakland A's are 5-19 this season scoring just 3.7 runs per game and allowing 8.0 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.3 runs per game.  They have been the worst team in baseball by a wide margin up to this point, so it's easy to see why I'm fading them on the Run Line with the Angels tonight.

Los Angeles has a big advantage on the mound in this one.  Patrick Sandoval is 1-1 with a 3.37 ERA in four starts this season for the Angels.  Sandoval has owned the A's with a 1.84 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  Luis Medina will be making his first start of the season for the A's.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -105

The Chicago Cubs have been one of the most underrated teams in baseball to start the season and continue to be.  They are 13-9 and scoring 5.8 runs per game while allowing 3.7 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.1 runs per game.

Conversely, the San Diego Padres have been one of the most overrated teams in baseball.  They are 12-13 this season and scoring just 3.7 runs per game while allowing 4.4 runs per game.  Yet they continue to get priced like they are a World Series favorite.

The Padres have faced nine left-handed starters this season and are hitting .216 and scoring just 2.8 runs per game in those nine games.  Now they must face lefty Drew Smyly, who is 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA and 0.545 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 18 1/3 innings.

The Cubs will tee off on Michael Wacha, who is 2-1 with a 7.08 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs and 35 base runners in 20 1/3 innings.  Wacha is 4-9 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in 19 career starts against the Cubs.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.583 WHIP in two career starts against the Padres.  Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Lakers/Grizzlies UNDER 222

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  After combining for 240 points in Game 1, the Lakes and Grizzlies have combined for 196 points in Game 2, 212 points in Game 3 and 208 points at the end of regulation in Game 4.  I think the fact that Game 4 went to OT and finished at 228 is keeping this total higher than it should be, and there's tremendous value with the UNDER.

The Lakers have been the best defensive team in the NBA since the All-Star Break, which is the biggest reason for their resurgence.  They have held the Grizzlies to 112, 103, 101 and 104 points at the end of regulation in this series.  Memphis is a great defensive team as well with Defensive POTY Jaren Jackson Jr. anchoring them.  JA Morant being banged up also hampers the Grizzlies offensively.

The UNDER is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.  The UNDER is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings in Memphis.  The UNDER is 10-3 in Grizzlies last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the UNDER in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* Knicks/Cavaliers NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -5.5

I'll gladly back the more motivated Cleveland Cavaliers with their backs against the wall tonight against a New York Knicks team that can relax a little after taking a 3-1 series lead by winning both games at home.  This game will play out similarly to Game 2 when the Cavaliers bounced back from an upset home loss in Game 1 with a 107-90 blowout in a game that was never competitive.

Cleveland has one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA as they are 32-11 at home this season.  The Cavaliers are 9-1 ATS in home games after failing to cover the spread in four or five of their last six games this season.  Bet the Cavaliers in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -135

The Kansas City Royals are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in all nine losses and are hitting .214 and scoring 3.3 runs per game on the season.  Their bullpen has a 6.30 ERA and their starting staff has been terrible as well as teams are hitting .265 and scoring 5.6 runs per game against them.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been one of the most underrated teams in baseball this season at 13-11 on the season and $100/game bettors up $655 on them.  Ryne Nelson has held his own in his first full season as a starter at 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in four starts.

The Diamondbacks will tee off on Brady Singer, who is 1-2 with an 8.14 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in four starts this season.  Singer has allowed 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts coming in.

The Royals are 15-38 in their last 53 road games.  Kansas City is 3-14 in its last 17 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Royals are 14-41 in their last 55 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Arizona is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the Diamondbacks Tuesday.

15* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Timberwolves +10

The close out game is always the hardest, especially for a team like the Denver Nuggets that has been a disappointment in the playoffs for years under Nikola Jokic.  They failed to close out the Timberwolves in Game 4 and lost in OT, giving Minnesota new life.

I think the Timberwolves are a dangerous team now playing on house money catching 10 points against the Nuggets in Game 5.  They have been competitive in each of the last three games, which have all been decided by 9 points or less.  Game 1 can pretty much be thrown out because it was a terrible spot for the Timberwolves coming off a pair of play-in games and on little rest.

The Timberwolves are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 meetings in Denver.  The Nuggets are 21-35 ATS in their last 56 home games after playing a road game.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 5 Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-115)

The Atlanta Braves came into this series on a four-game losing streak against the Astros and Padres.  They took a step down in class against the Marlins and promptly crushed them 11-0 in Game 1.  I was on the Braves Run Line in that game, and I'm back on it again today as it should be more of the same in Game 2.

Charlie Morton is 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA in four starts this season.  Morton is 11-5 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.198 WHIP in 21 career starts against Miami.  The Braves are 4-1 in his last five starts against Miami with all four wins by 2 runs or more.  He has allowed just 9 earned runs in 31 innings in those five starts.

Brian Hoeing will be making his first start of the season for the Marlins.  He went 1-1 with a 12.08 ERA and 1.895 WHIP as a rookie last season allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 2/3 innings.  It's not going to go very well for him to start 2023, either.

The Braves are 21-5 after losing three of their last four games.  The Braves are 60-25 in the last 85 meetings, and 40-16 in the last 56 meetings in Atlanta.  Atlanta is 40-13 in its last 53 games following a win.  The Braves are 48-19 in their last 67 home games.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Astros/Rays AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 6.8 runs per game overall including 7.3 runs per game at home.  They are more than capable of covering this 7.5-run total on their own.  But the Astros will contribute as they are scoring 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game at home.

While Drew Rasmussen has great numbers for the Rays thus far, he has done most of his damage against bad offenses in Oakland and Cincinnati.  He was tagged for 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings at Toronto against the best lineup he has faced.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 13 innings in two starts against the Astros last season.

Luis Garcia is off to a rough start this season for the Astros.  He is 1-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.381 WHIP in four starts while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 29 base runners in 21 innings.

Houston is 11-3 OVER in night games this season.  Tampa Bay is 14-5 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season.  The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last five road games vs. a right-handed starter, and 12-3-1 in their last 16 games overall against a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 8.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team this season.  They are 17-7 OVER in their 24 games while scoring 5.7 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Baltimore Orioles have also trended to the OVER at 12-9-1 to the OVER and scoring 5.1 runs per game.

Corey Kluber is 0-4 with an 8.50 ERA and 1.5000 WHIP in 18 starts this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 18 innings.  Kluber is 0-3 with a 10.29 ERA in his last three starts against Baltimore, allowing 16 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 innings.

Kyle Bradish has been decent in his two starts this season, but he cannot handle Boston.  Bradish is 0-3 with a 7.54 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in five career starts against the Red Sox, allowing 19 earned runs and 4 homers in 22 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 34-15 in Kluber's 49 career road starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 10-1 in Red Sox last 11 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 8-0 in Red Sox last eight games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Grizzlies/Lakers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -4

The Los Angeles Lakers are simply the better team in this series.  They are fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  They are now 12-3 SU In their last 15 games overall and came up clutch just trying to make the playoffs, and that has carried over into the postseason.

The Grizzlies are missing key players in Steven Adams and Brandon Clark, which really hurts them defensively.  Dillon Brooks is a mad man whose head isn't in this series, and he's more concerned with his antics.  And JA Morant suffered a wrist injury in Game 1 that he's playing through, plus another injury in the final seconds of Game 3 to his lower leg that could hamper him heading into Game 4.

I think it says everything that Morant had 45 points in Game 3 and the Grizzlies were still never in that game or competitive.  They trailed 38-9 to start the game and most of his points came in garbage time with the game pretty much decided.  The Grizzlies don't have very good depth off the bench, while this is some of the best depth LeBron has ever had.  The Lakers actually increased their lead in Game 3 when he went to the bench.  Guys like Reaves, Hachimura, Russell, Schroder and Vanderbilt are playing very well to compliment LeBron and AD.

Memphis is 0-17 SU & 2-15 ATS as a road underdog this season, including 1-14 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less.  We'll continue fading the Grizzlies as road underdogs here as they have been a terrible team away from home all season, and I don't expect that to change in Game 4.  Bet the Lakers in Game 4 Monday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-122)

The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated for a victory after losing four straight to the Astros and Padres.  Now they take a big step down in class here against the Miami Marlins and have a big advantage on the mound.

Ace Spencer Strider takes the mound to save the day for the Braves.  Strider is 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 6 earned runs and 23 base runners in 22 innings with a whopping 36 K's.  He has never faced the Marlins, which is going to work to his advantage.

Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.754 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 16 walks in 17 2/3 innings.  His lack of control will come back to haunt him sooner rather than later.  The Braves are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season while the Marlins are scoring just 3.3 runs per game.

The Braves are 47-19 in their last 66 home games.  Atlanta is 59-25 in the last 84 meetings.  The Braves are 39-16 in the last 55 meetings in Atlanta.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Blue Jays OVER 9

Lance Lynn is 0-2 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.828 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 1/3 innings.  Lynn is 2-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in nine career starts against the Blue Jays as well.  The White Sox have a decent offense, but a terrible bullpen that has a 6.22 ERA on the season.

The Blue Jays have an elite offense but a mediocre bullpen that has a 4.35 ERA on the season.  Chris Bassitt has been a little shaky to start the season as well, going 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 2/3 innings.  This has slug fest written all over it.

The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -112

The Texas Rangers are 14-7 this season while scoring 6.6 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.8 runs per game.  The Cincinnati Reds are 7-15 this season while scoring 4.0 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game, getting outscored by 1.0 runs per game.

The Reds have really been brutal offensively during their current six-game losing streak.  They have scored a total of 6 runs in the six losses while getting shut out three times.  Nathan Eovaldi will shut them down tonight and has been at his best on the road with a 3.08 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in two road starts.

Nick Lodolo gets a lot of hype because of his K potential, but hitters have had no problem getting after him this season, especially at home.  Lodolo has a 7.36 ERA and 2.181 WHIP in three home starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 2/3 innings.

Cincinnati is 4-22 after batting .200 or worse over a five-game span over the past two seasons.  The Reds are 17-53 in their last 70 games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season.  The Rangers are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and scoring 9.1 runs per game during this stretch.  Bet the Rangers Monday.

15* Red Sox/Orioles AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team this season going 16-7 to the OVER in their 23 games.  They have a great offense scoring 5.7 runs per game but a terrible starting staff.  The Baltimore Orioles also have a suspect starting staff but have gone 11-9-1 to the OVER due to an improved offense that is scoring 5.1 runs per game.

Both offenses should feast on these two gas can starting pitchers.  Chris Sale is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in four starts this season for the Red Sox while allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings.  Dean Kremer is 1-0 with 6.16 ERA and 1.368 WHIP in four starts for the Orioles while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 innings.

Sale allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 innings of a 9-8 win over the Orioles in his lone start against them this season.  Kremer allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings opposite Sale in that 9-8 loss.  

The OVER is 7-0 in Red Sox last seven games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 9-1 in Red Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Nuggets/Timberwolves TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 225.5

Let's just look at this from a line value perspective.  The total for Game 1 was 224.5 and these teams combined for 189 points.  They lowered it to 222.5 and 222 for Games 2 and 3, which both went over, and now have raised it back up to 225.5 for Game 4.  That's too big of an adjustment, and there's clearly value on the UNDER as a result.

There's also value on the UNDER when you consider Minnesota and Denver won't be able to keep shooting as well as they have the past two games.  Denver shot 54.1% and Minnesota 50.6% in Game 2 and both shot better than 45% from 3.  Denver shot 57.1% in Game 3 and Minnesota 45.6%.  The Nuggets specifically can't stay this hot.

The pace has actually been very slow in this series, and it will be even slower in Game 4 as familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the harder points are to come by because teams know each other so well.

Minnesota is 16-4 UNDER in its last 20 home games after going over the total in its previous game.  The UNDER is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 games overall.  The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Timberwolves last seven Sunday games.  The UNDER is 11-5-1 in Timberwolves last 17 home games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Kings/Warriors ABC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 237.5

The playoffs just have a way of slowing games down.  While both Sacramento and Golden State want to play fast, it's hard to when these teams get familiar with one another and know what to expect.  Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and that has proven to be the case in this series.

After combining for 249 points in Game 1, the Warriors and Kings combined for just 220 points in Game 2 and 211 points in Game 3.  So we have a lot of margin for error here with this 237.5-point total compared to the last two games.

The Kings have actually done a very good job of defending the Warriors in this series and have upped their game on that end.  The Warriors are a lot more locked in defensively in these playoffs, and they get their best defender in Draymond Green back.  Plus getting both Wiggins and Payton II back from injury has made them a better defensive team, and Kevon Looney is holding it down inside.

Golden State is 7-0 UNDER in home games after allowing 105 points or less this season.  Sacramento is 14-3 UNDER in road games vs. a team with a winning record this season.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Kings last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 17-5-1 in Warriors last 23 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135)

The Texas Rangers are 13-7 this season scoring 6.7 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs per game.  The Oakland A's are 4-17 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game while allowing 8.2 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.7 runs per game.  It's easy to see why I'm backing the Rangers on the Run Line today.

Texas ace Jacob DeGrom gets the ball today and is back to his dominant self again this season.  DeGrom is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in four starts while allowing only 8 earned runs and 18 base runners in 20 2/3 innings with 32 K's.

Kyle Muller is 0-1 with a 7.23 ERA and 1.982 WHIP in four starts for the A's this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 37 base runners in 18 2/3 innings.  Muller allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his lone career starts against Texas, which came last season.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs +122

A big reason for Chicago's resurgence this season is their dominance against left-handed pitching.  The Cubs are 5-1 and hitting .345 while scoring 7.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

The rocked lefty Julio Urias in a 13-0 victory in Game 2, and now they'll get after lefty Clayton Kershaw in Game 4 today.  This will be Kershaw's stiffest test of the season to date as Chicago is 10-1 in its last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter.

Marcus Stroman is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 2-1 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing only 2 earned runs in 24 innings without a homer.  Stroman is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in three career starts against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 0-6 in their last six games following a win.  The Cubs are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115)

The Minnesota Twins will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing three straight and six of their last seven.  They will be wanting to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the hapless Washington Nationals as -310 and -235 favorites.

But after facing two underrated starters for the Nationals in the first two games of this series, now they get to face one of the worst starters in all of baseball.  Patrick Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 31 starts in 2021 and 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP In 31 starts in 2022.  Corbin is now 1-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts in 2023 to remain a gas can this season.

Bailey Ober has posted a 3.82 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in two seasons in the big leagues across 148 1/3 innings.  He will be making his first start of 2023 and I expect him to shut down the Nationals for as long as he's in there.  And playing from ahead, the Twins will utilize all their best bullpen arms to protect what will be a multiple-run lead.

Minnesota is 14-6 following three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons and winning by 2.0 runs per game in this spot.  They haven't lost four straight this season and won't start today against a Nationals team that is 33-72 in their last 105 games overall.  Minnesota is 10-2 in its last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +162

The Detroit Tigers had won five in a row prior to their current three-game losing streak.  They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Baltimore Orioles, who I suspect will suffer a natural letdown after winning the first two of this series and five straight overall.

The Tigers actually have the advantage on the mound today, so they should not be this big of underdogs to the Orioles.  Eduardo Rodriquez is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in four starts this season.  He has allowed just 1 earned run and 12 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts against Toronto and Cleveland.

Grayson Rodriquez is 0-0 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in three starts for the Orioles this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  Rodriquez has owned the Orioles, going 13-5 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 21 career starts against them.

Amazingly, Rodriquez is 10-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last 11 starts against the Orioles while allowing only 13 earned runs in 68 innings.  His teams are a perfect 11-0 in his last 11 starts against Baltimore.  Bet the Tigers Sunday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -128

The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series at home to the Houston Astros.  They have their ace on the mound Sunday to get the job done.

Max Fried is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in two starts this season for the Braves.  He will be making his home debut this season.  Christian Javier has been a little shaky to start the season for the Astros with a 3.68 ERA through four starts allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 22 innings.

The Braves are 22-6 in Fried's 28 career home starts with a money line of +100 to -150.  The Braves are 15-2 in Fried's 17 career Sunday starts.  Atlanta is 21-4 after losing three of its last four games over the past two seasons.  Bet the Braves Sunday.

25* NBA 1st Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles Lakers -4.5

After winning Game 1 128-112 on the road, the Lakers relaxed in Game 2, especially with the Grizzlies without JA Morant due to a wrist injury.  They won't make the same mistake in Game 3, and I look for them to fire back with a blowout home victory in this one.

Dillon Brooks called LeBron James old after the Game 2 win.  You know LeBron won't take that lightly and will be fully locked in to make a statement, and his teammates will have his back.  The Lakers' role players have played well in this series, and I expect them to play even better at home to support LeBron and AD.

The Lakers are now 11-3 SU in their last 14 games overall coming up clutch just to try and get into the playoffs.  They are showing how good they can be when healthy, which they are right now.  The Grizzlies are missing up to three key players if Morant doesn't return.  They aren't good enough to hang with the Lakers in this series given their current state, and especially not a 100% motivated Lakers team, which will be the case in Game 3 tonight.

Memphis is 2-14 ATS as a road underdog this season, including 1-13 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less.  Memphis is 1-9 ATS in road games vs. good shooting teams making 48% or better this season.  The Grizzlies are just 16-25 SU on the road this season and have not played well at all away from home.  The Lakers have won six of their last seven at home.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Arizona Diamondbacks +141

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-9 this season and you'd be up $755 betting $100 on them every game.  The San Diego Padres are 10-12 this season and you'd be down $570 betting $100 on them every game.  Clearly the Padres are overvalued while the Diamondbacks are undervalued, and that continues to be the case here in Game 3 of this series.

I'll gladly back Merrill Kelly as a home underdog.  Kelly went 13-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 33 starts for the Diamondbacks last season.  He has picked up where he left off, posting a 3.37 ERA through four starts this season while allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 21 1/3 innings.

Joe Musgrove will be making his first start of the season for the Padres as he returns from injury and will be on a pitch count.  While Musgrove has posted a 3.93 ERA in nine career starts against Arizona, Kelly has owned the Padres, going 8-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 13 career starts against them.  Bet the Diamondbacks Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-117)

The Oakland A's are 4-16 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game and allowing 7.7 runs per game.  They are getting outscored by 4.2 runs per game on the season.  The Texas Rangers are 12-7 and scoring 6.1 runs per game while allowing 3.9 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.2 runs per game.  I'll gladly side with the Rangers on the Run Line tonight.

Andrew Heaney has been dominant in his last two starts pitching 10 innings with 14 K's without allowing a single earned run.  He'll be opposed by Shintaro Fujinami, who is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Cardinals/Mariners OVER 8

The books have set the bar too low in this game between the Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals.  The Cardinals are hitting .273 and scoring 4.8 runs per game behind one of the better lineups in the National League.  The Mariners are scoring 4.5 runs per game on the season and 4.8 runs per game against left-handed starters.

The Mariners should tee off on Steven Matz, who is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three starts this season for the Cardinals while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 26 2/3 innings.  George Kirby is 1-1 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two home starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 11-2 in Kirby's last 13 starts in the first half of the season.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last five games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Nuggets/Timberwolves ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota +2.5

It's now or never for the Minnesota Timberwolves after falling down 0-2 in this series to the Denver Nuggets.  I expect them to fire back in Game 3 here at home.  The Timberwolves have played three of their last four playoff games on the road and were competitive in two of them, taking the Lakers to OT in the play-in game and the Nuggets to the wire in Game 2.

But now the Timberwolves at back home where they were much more comfortable.  In their lone playoff home game, the Timberwolves crushed the upstart Thunder 120-95 as 5.5-point favorites.  I think they are getting disrespected here as home underdogs to the Nuggets and will make a statement.

Denver is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games following two or more consecutive wins.  Minnesota is 31-16 ATS in its last 47 games when revenging a road loss.  Bet the Timberwolves in Game 3 Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+105)

The Oakland A's are 3-16 this season with 12 losses by two runs or more.  The A's are scoring 3.4 runs per game and allowing 7.9 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.5 runs per game on the season.  The Rangers are 12-6 and scoring 6.2 runs per game while allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.4 runs per game this season.

I'll gladly take the Rangers on the Run Line today to win by two runs or more.  Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing only 5 earned runs in 14 innings.  Gray fired 7 shutout innings in a 5-2 victory over the A's in his last start against them.

JP Sears is 0-1 with a 4.59 ERA in three starts this season for the A's while allowing 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Sears allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start against Texas.  Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Friday.