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Jack Jones ALL Sports Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
08-27-25 Phillies v. Mets OVER 8.5 Top 0-6 Loss -113 8 h 18 m Show

20* Phillies/Mets NL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The OVER is 6-1-2 in Phillies last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Mets last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  This total of 8.5 is too short for a game involving the Phillies and Mets right now.

The Phillies are scoring 6.8 runs per game in their last nine games while the Mets are scoring 7.0 runs in their last 15 games as these are two of the hottest lineups in baseball.  They get to face two suspect starting pitchers tonight to boot.

Taijuan Walker is 0-3 with a 9.42 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last three road starts against the Mets, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 14 1/3 innings.  Nolan McClean will be making just his 3rd start of the season and is getting too much respect for what he has done in such a small sample size.

The Phillies and Mets have combined for at least 8 runs in nine of their last 12 meetings, including 11 runs or more in four of their last five.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-27-25 Red Sox -132 v. Orioles Top 3-2 Win 100 7 h 23 m Show

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston Red Sox -132

The Boston Red Sox (73-60) are battling for a wild card spot and still have an outside chance to catch the Toronto Blue Jays in the AL East at 4 games back.  The Baltimore Orioles (60-72) are 10.5 games out of the wild card and simply playing out the string at this point.

The Red Sox should crush Dietrich Enns and this awful Baltimore bullpen tonight.  Enns is 1-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.52 WHIP, allowing 16 earned runs in 29 innings this season.  The Orioles have the 6th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.69 ERA on the season.

Bryan Bello has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  Bello is 10-6 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 22 starts for the Red Sox.  He is 4-2 with a 3.75 ERA in seven career starts against the Orioles.  He has allowed just 5 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the Red Sox Wednesday.

08-26-25 Cubs -132 v. Giants 2-5 Loss -132 10 h 4 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -132

The Chicago Cubs are the more motivated team in this series with the San Francisco Giants.  They have a lot to play for in terms of the playoffs while the Giants are just playing out the string.  They also have a big advantage on the mound tonight.

Matthew Boyd is 12-6 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 25 starts for the Cubs this season.  Boyd allowed 2 earned runs in 6 innings with 7 K's in a 9-2 win over the Giants in his lone career start against them earlier this season.

Justin Verlander is 1-10 with a 4.72 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 22 starts for the Giants this season.  He was just rocked for 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings by the Padres in his last start.  Verlander allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings to the Cubs in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the Cubs Tuesday.

08-26-25 Padres v. Mariners OVER 7.5 7-6 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show

15* Padres/Mariners Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Padres have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.  The Mariners have scored a total of 20 runs in their last two games.  These two hot lineups should stay hot tonight against these two struggling starting pitchers.

Dylan Cease is 6-11 with a 4.71 ERA in 26 starts this season, including 0-8 with a 5.65 ERA in 13 road starts.  Luis Castillo has allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 22 base runners in 8 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-26-25 Diamondbacks v. Brewers OVER 8 Top 8-9 Win 100 8 h 37 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Brewers OVER 8

The Brewers rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game while the Diamondbacks rank 6th scoring 4.92 runs per game.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving two Top 6 offenses up against two suspect starting pitchers tonight.

Brandon Pfaadt is 12-8 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Pfaadt is 1-1 with a 9.52 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in three career starts against the Brewers, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 1/3 innings.  The Diamondbacks have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.77 ERA on the season.

Jacob Misiorowski is 4-2 with a 4.19 ERA in nine starts this season.  He is way overhyped due to his K numbers, but he has really struggled of late allowing 10 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in his last three starts for a 9.65 ERA.  The Brewers are limiting him to about 4 innings per start, so their bullpen will get a lot of use again tonight.  It's a taxed unit with seven of their last eight games with save opportunities.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-26-25 Phillies v. Mets OVER 8 Top 5-6 Win 100 8 h 32 m Show

20* Phillies/Mets NL East No-Brainer on OVER 8

The OVER is 5-1-2 in Phillies last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  The OVER is 5-1-2 in Mets last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving the Phillies and Mets right now.

The Phillies are scoring 7.0 runs per game in their last eight games while the Mets are scoring 7.07 runs in their last 14 games as these are two of the hottest lineups in baseball.  They get to face two suspect starting pitchers tonight to boot.

Jesus Luzardo is 12-6 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 26 starts for the Phillies this season.  Sean Manaea is 1-2 with a 5.15 ERA in seven starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.66 ERA in his last five starts.

The Phillies and Mets have combined for at least 8 runs in eight of their last 11 meetings, including 12 runs or more in three of their last four.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-26-25 Nationals v. Yankees OVER 9 Top 1-5 Loss -105 7 h 26 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Yankees OVER 9

The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.16 runs per game.  The Nationals rank 29th allowing 5.5 runs per game while sporting the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.60 ERA.  The Yankees have the 8th-worst bullpen with a 4.36 ERA.

The Nationals and their opponents have combined for at least 9 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.  The Yankees are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

MacKenzie Gore has really fallen off here down the stretch going 1-4 with a 7.88 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing 28 earned runs and 8 homers in 32 innings.  This will be one of his toughest tests of the season against this red hot, potent Yankees lineup.

Luis Gil is 1-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in four starts this season and remains on a pitch count while trying to work his way back from injury.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-25-25 Padres v. Mariners OVER 8 6-9 Win 100 10 h 44 m Show

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Mariners OVER 8

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight and this total of 8 is too low for Game 1 of this series between the Padres and Mariners.  The Padres have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last six games overall.  The Mariners just hung 11 runs on the A's at home yesterday and are scoring 4.56 runs per game on the season.

JP Sears is 8-10 with a 4.94 ERA in 24 starts this season between the A's and Padres.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks in his first start with his new team in the Padres on August 4th.  Sears is 6-8 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 16 starts at night this season.

Bryce Miller has been even worse, going 2-5 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 11 starts for the Mariners this season.  Miller allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to the Phillies in his first start back in over 2 months on August 19th in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

08-25-25 Nationals v. Yankees OVER 9 5-10 Win 100 7 h 27 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Yankees OVER 9

The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.12 runs per game.  The Nationals rank 29th allowing 5.46 runs per game while sporting the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.59 ERA.  The Yankees have the 8th-worst bullpen with a 4.29 ERA.

The Nationals and their opponents have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last seven games overall.  The Yankees are 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

Brad Lord is 4-6 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 12 starts and 29 relief appearances this season and cannot be trusted to go deep into games.  Cameron Schlittler is 1-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in seven starts for the Yankees this season and also won't go deep into this game, meaning both bullpens will get a lot of use tonight.  

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at game time at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

08-25-25 Braves v. Marlins OVER 7.5 Top 1-2 Loss -110 7 h 14 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Braves/Marlins OVER 7.5

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Braves are 25-12-3 OVER in their last 40 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 28 of those 40 games.  This total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving the Braves right now.

The Miami Marlins are 85-55 OVER in all home games over the last two seasons.  The Marlins and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.

Spencer Strider is 5-11 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 17 starts for the Braves this season.  Strider has been rocked for 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last three starts for a monstrous 15.42 ERA during this stretch.

Edward Cabrera has been rocked for 9 earned runs and 22 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts for the Marlins.  The Marlins and Braves have combined for at least 8 runs in five of their last six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

08-24-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 Top 2-7 Win 100 20 h 12 m Show

20* Red Sox/Yankees ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

This total of 8.5 is too short tonight in a matchup between two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.11 runs per game while the Red Sox rank 4th at 5.01 runs per game.

Dustin May has been a disaster between the Dodgers and Red Sox this season.  May is 7-9 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 2-5 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 10 road starts.

While Carlos Rodon is having a solid season overall for the Yankees, he certainly does not enjoy facing the Red Sox.  He is 3-3 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in his last six starts against them, including 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in two starts against them in 2025 while allowing 8 earned runs in 10 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

08-24-25 Mets v. Braves OVER 9 Top 3-4 Loss -108 15 h 38 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/Braves OVER 9

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Braves are 25-11-3 OVER in their last 39 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 28 of those 39 games.  This total of 9 is too low for a game involving the Braves right now.

These teams combined for 19 runs in Game 1 and 11 runs in Game 2, and it should be more of the same today.  They have now combined for at least 17 runs in three of their last five meetings, and 10 runs or more in six of their last eight meetings.

Bryce Elder has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 5-9 with a 6.29 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 21 starts, including 2-4 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Elder allowed 8 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the lowly White Sox.

David Peterson is 3-5 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Braves as he clearly does not enjoy facing them.  He is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in his last five starts against them, allowing 21 earned runs in 25 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

08-24-25 Mets -121 v. Braves 3-4 Loss -121 15 h 37 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on New York Mets -121

The New York Mets are fighting for a playoff spot while the Atlanta Braves are eliminated already.  The Mets are playing like it in this series winning 12-7 in Game 1 and 9-2 in Game 2, and I expect them to pull off the sweep today due to their big advantage on the mound.

David Peterson is 8-5 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 24 starts for the Mets this season.  He has posted a 2.79 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in seven day game starts as well.

Bryce Elder has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 5-9 with a 6.29 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 21 starts, including 2-4 with a 7.43 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in 11 home starts.  Elder allowed 8 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the lowly White Sox.  Bet the Mets Sunday.

08-23-25 Raiders -133 v. Cardinals Top 10-20 Loss -133 22 h 8 m Show

20* Raiders/Cardinals NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Las Vegas ML -133

No analysis for preseason.

08-23-25 Reds -114 v. Diamondbacks 1-10 Loss -114 11 h 39 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Cincinnati Reds -114

The Reds have a lot more to play for than the Diamondbacks today.  They also have a big advantage on the mound and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Andrew Abbott is 8-3 with a 2.28 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Abbott allowed just one earned run in 7 innings in his lone career start against the Diamondbacks.

Nabil Crismatt will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Diamondbacks and cannot be counted on to go deep in this game, which is big considering the Arizona bullpen is taxed after going to extra innings yesterday.  The Diamondbacks have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.79 ERA this season.  Bet the Reds Saturday.

08-23-25 Mets v. Braves OVER 9 Top 9-2 Win 100 9 h 24 m Show

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mets/Braves OVER 9

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  The Braves are 24-11-3 OVER in their last 38 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 27 of those 38 games.  This total of 9 is too low for a game involving the Braves right now.

These teams combined for 19 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.  They have now combined for at least 17 runs in three of their last four meetings, and 10 runs or more in five of their last seven meetings.

Clay Holmes has a 4.69 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in his last 10 starts for the Mets.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 13-5 win over the Braves in his last start against them on August 12th.

Cal Quantrill is 4-10 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Quantrill has allowed a whopping 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in his last three starts.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Mets in his last start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-23-25 Twins v. White Sox OVER 9 3-7 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/White Sox OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Twins and White Sox today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center.  These teams combined for 16 runs yesterday, and it should be another slug fest today.

Mick Abel is 2-2 with a 5.04 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in six starts for the Twins this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 7 homers in 25 innings.  Davis Martin is 4-9 with a 3.94 ERA in 18 starts for the White Sox this season.  Martin is 0-3 with a 11.32 ERA in three career starts against the Twins, allowing 13 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-23-25 Astros v. Orioles OVER 9 9-8 Win 100 9 h 8 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros/Orioles OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Astros and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 70's with double-digit winds blowing out to left-center.  These teams combined for 9 runs in Game 1 and 17 runs in Game 2, and it should be another slug fest today.

Christian Javier will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Astros as he tries and work his way back from injury.  There's not a lot to like about Dean Kremer, who is 9-9 with a 3.97 ERA in 24 starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-23-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 12-1 Win 100 4 h 39 m Show

15* Red Sox/Yankees AL East Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Red Sox and Yankees today.  Temps will be in the 80's with double-digit winds blowing out to left-center.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball with the Yankees scoring 5.14 runs per game and the Red Sox 4.92 runs per game.

Garrett Crochet has allowed 6 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts.  Crochet has allowed 6 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in two starts against the Yankees this season.

Will Warren allowed 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in a 9-6 home win over the Red Sox in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-23-25 Iowa State +3.5 v. Kansas State Top 24-21 Win 100 118 h 4 m Show

20* Iowa State/Kansas State 2025 CFB Season Opener on Iowa State +3.5

Wrong team favored here.  The Iowa State Cyclones are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings with the Kansas State Wildcats to complete own them under Matt Campbell after years of frustration in this rivalry prior to him.

In Campbell, the Cyclones have one of the most underrated head coaches in the country.  He led the Cyclones to a school-record 11 wins last season.  They have 13 starters back from that team including QB Rocco Becht, who is quickly going down as one of the best quarterbacks in program history.  Becht threw for 3,505 yards and a 25-to-9 TD/INT ratio last season, while also rushing for 8 scores.

Kansas State returns only nine starts this season.  The Wildcats had a disjointed spring with just 8 practices due to injuries instead of the normal 15.  They are behind the eight ball with so many new faces and so little practice, making this Week 0 game in Ireland all the more difficult.

Avery Johnson is one of the more overrated quarterbacks in the country with a lack of accuracy as a passer.  They lose RB DJ Giddens, who had 3,087 rushing yards over the past couple seasons and was their work horse.  Bet Iowa State Saturday.

08-22-25 Reds +123 v. Diamondbacks 5-6 Loss -100 14 h 57 m Show

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +123

The Cincinnati Reds are only 0.5 games back of the final wild card spot in the National League with a lot to play for.  The Arizona Diamondbacks are 5.5 games back with little to play for at this point, especially after their were sellers at the trade deadline.  Wrong team favored here.

Zack Littell is 9-8 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 25 starts between the Reds and Rays this season.  He is more motivated now that he is on a contender, and it has shown in his performance with Littell allowing just 6 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings in his last four starts.

Regression has hit Ryne Nelson hard in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings.  Nelson had one of his worst starts of the season on June 7th against the Reds, allowing 7 earned runs in 3 innings of a 13-1 defeat.  Bet the Reds Friday.

08-22-25 Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8 1-2 Loss -100 14 h 53 m Show

15* Dodgers/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

Shohei Ohtani should be back in the lineup for the top offense in baseball in the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.  The San Diego Padres have scored 5, 8 and 8 runs in their last three games and are heating up at the plate.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starting pitchers that are both working their way back from injury.

Blake Snell is making his 4th start back from injury for the Dodgers tonight.  He allowed 7 base runners but zero earned runs in his last start against the Padres with only 3 K's.  Getting to see Snell for the 2nd time in a week is a big advantage to San Diego's hitters, and they will punish him tonight.

Yu Darvish has allowed 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings in his last three starts for the Padres.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings to the Dodgers in his last start, and getting to see Darvish for the 2nd time in a week is also an advantages to Los Angeles hitters.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-22-25 Cardinals v. Rays OVER 9 6-10 Win 100 12 h 40 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Rays OVER 9

Two struggling starting pitchers square off a hitter-friendly George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa Bay tonight with a favorable forecast for hitters.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.

The OVER is 9-2 in Rays last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 games.  They went for 16 and 10 combined runs with the Yankees in their two games prior to this series, and 11 combined runs with the Cardinals in Game 1.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last six games overall with 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

Miles Mikolas is 6-9 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 3-5 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Mikolas is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA in three career starts against the Rays.

Adrian Houser is one of the biggest regression candidates in baseball late in the season.  He does not enjoy facing the Cardinals, going 1-2 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-22-25 Eagles v. Jets -125 Top 19-17 Loss -125 53 h 31 m Show

25* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR on New York Jets ML -125

No analysis for preseason.

08-22-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8.5 Top 1-0 Loss -108 11 h 47 m Show

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring a total of 42 runs in their last five games.  This total of 8.5 is very low for a game involving the Yankees right now at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  Boston and its opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in 12 of his last 15 games overall.

Max Fried has allowed at least 3 earned runs in seven of his last eight starts.  He has allowed a total of 31 earned runs in 41 innings in those eight starts for a 6.80 ERA during this stretch.  He was just rocked for 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings by the Cardinals in his last start.

Brayan Bello has been solid at home this season, but worse on the road, and I don't think he'll be able to shut down this hot Yankees lineup.  He is 2-3 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in seven road starts this season.

The Yankees and Red Sox have combined for at least 8 runs in six of their last seven meetings in New York, including 18, 17, 15 and 9 combined runs in their four meetings at Yankee Stadium this season alone.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-21-25 Patriots v. Giants OVER 37 10-42 Win 100 8 h 2 m Show

15* Patriots/Giants NFLX ANNIHILATOR on OVER 37

No analysis for preseason.

08-21-25 Cardinals v. Rays OVER 8.5 7-4 Win 100 8 h 36 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Rays OVER 8.5

Two struggling starting pitchers square off a hitter-friendly George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa Bay tonight with a favorable forecast for hitters.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.

The OVER is 8-2 in Rays last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games.  They went for 16 and 10 combined runs with the Yankees in their last two games and their bullpen is taxed after going to extra innings yesterday.

The Cardinals should hang a big number on Joe Boyle and this tired Rays bullpen.  Boyle has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in four of them.

The Rays should do their part against Sonny Gray, who has posted a 5.28 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 7 homers in 29 innings.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings to the Yankees in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

08-21-25 Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 8 Top 6-3 Win 100 7 h 21 m Show

20* Red Sox/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring a total of 39 runs in their last four games.  This total of 8 is very low for a game involving the Yankees right now at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  Boston and its opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in 11 of his last 14 games overall.

Lucas Giolito is having a solid season but the Yankees will get to him tonight and stay hot at the plate.  Luis Gil is making just his 4th start of the season for the Yankees and will be on a pitch count again.  He is 1-1 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three starts allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 14 innings.  

The Yankees and Red Sox have combined for at least 8 runs in five of their last six meetings in New York, including 18, 17 and 15 combined runs in their three meetings at Yankee Stadium this season alone.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

08-20-25 Reds +121 v. Angels 1-2 Loss -100 11 h 3 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds +121

The Cincinnati Reds are just one game out of the final wild card spot in the National League.  They have a lot to play for the rest of the way and are really the only challengers to the Mets for that last spot.  Look for them to take care of business against the lowly Los Angeles Angels in Game 3 of this series tonight.

The Angels are 60-66 on the season and 7.5 games back of the final wild card spot in the American League with five teams ahead of them.  They are essentially eliminated already and they know it.  They should not be favored over the Reds tonight.

The Reds are 6-1 in Nick Martinez's last seven starts and he has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in six of those seven starts in the process.  Yusei Kikuchi is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in his last five starts, allowing 15 earned runs, 5 homers and 43 base runners in 25 innings.

The Reds are 10-0 in their last 10 meetings with the Angels.  Bet the Reds Wednesday.

08-20-25 Dodgers v. Rockies OVER 11.5 3-8 Loss -113 10 h 19 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Rockies OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Rockies tonight.  Temps will be in the 90's at game time with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  The Dodgers won 11-4 yesterday and it should be a similar result today with the Dodgers doing the heavy lifting in helping us cash this OVER 11.5 ticket.

Tanner Gordon is 3-5 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in eight starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 34 earned runs in 38 1/3 innings.  The Dodgers will crush him and this Colorado bullpen.

But I expect the Rockies to have some success at the plate as well.  Shohei Ohtani hasn't gone more than 4 1/3 innings in any start this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-5 loss to the Angels in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-20-25 Yankees v. Rays OVER 8.5 Top 6-4 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Rays OVER 8.5

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring a total of 33 runs in their last three games.  They just scored 13 runs yesterday with 9 homers at hitter-friendly George M. Steinbrenner Field.  The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket again today with temps in the 80's so the ball should be flying out.

Cameron Schlittler has been wild for the Yankees this season going 1-2 with a 3.94 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six starts.  He has allowed 45 base runners and 6 homers in 29 2/3 innings.  The Rays are the offense that will do the heavy lifting tonight against Schlittler as they feast on right-handed pitching.

No question Drew Rasmussen is having a solid season for the Rays, but I don't expect him to be as effective against the potent Yankees in this one.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 9 or more combined runs in all four.  Bet the oVER in this game Wednesday.

08-19-25 Giants v. Padres -1.5 1-5 Win 100 11 h 44 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+100)

The San Diego Padres will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to end their 4-game losing streak.  I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs over the San Francisco Giants due to their big advantage on the mound.

Nick Pivetta has been one of the best starters in baseball this season going 12-4 with a 2.87 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 24 starts.  Pivetta just faced the Giants in his last start and held them to one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of an 11-1 victory on August 13th.

Opposite Pivetta in that start was tonight's starter in Kai-Wei Teng, who allowed 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings in that 11-1 defeat.  Teng has now allowed 11 earned runs in 5 innings in his two starts this season for a 19.80 ERA.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Tuesday.

08-19-25 Reds -126 v. Angels Top 6-4 Win 100 11 h 57 m Show

25* Interleague GAME OF THE YEAR on Cincinnati Reds -126

The Cincinnati Reds are just one game out of the final wild card spot in the National League.  They have a lot to play for the rest of the way and are really the only challengers to the Mets for that last spot.  Look for them to take care of business against the lowly Los Angeles Angels in Game 2 of this series tonight.

The Angels are 60-65 on the season and 7.5 games back of the final wild card spot in the American League with five teams ahead of them.  They are essentially eliminated already and they know it.

The Reds should crush Kyle Hendricks, who went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA for the Cubs last season, and hasn't been much better for the Angels.  Hendricks is 6-8 with a 4.88 ERA in 23 starts for the Angels this season.

Hunter Greene is one of the best starters in baseball when healthy, and he is healthy now.  Greene is 5-3 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He returned from the IL in his last start and fired 6 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the Phillies.  Bet the Reds Tuesday.

08-19-25 Yankees -120 v. Rays 13-3 Win 100 10 h 22 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -120

The New York Yankees have come up clutch here down the stretch as they try and hold on to a wild card spot in the American League.  They have gone 5-1 in their last six games overall while scoring at least 6 runs in four of those five wins.  They have scored 20 runs in their last two games and are hitting the cover off the ball right now.

They should stay hot at the plate against Shane Baz, who is 8-9 with a 4.93 ERA in 24 starts this season, including 5-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Baz is 0-4 with an 8.28 ERA in his last five starts, allowing 23 earned runs in 25 innings.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his lone start against the Yankees this season.

Left-hander Carlos Rodon is 12-7 with a 3.25 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 25 starts this season.  Rodon has owned the Rays, allowing just one earned run and 10 base runners in 13 innings with 19 K's in his last two starts against them.  The Rays have notoriously struggled against left-handed starters, hitting .223 in 35 games against them this season.  Bet the Yankees Tuesday.

08-19-25 White Sox v. Braves OVER 8.5 10-11 Win 100 8 h 57 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Braves OVER 8.5

The White Sox beat the Braves 13-9 in Game 1 yesterday for 22 combined runs.  It should be another slug fest today with these two poor starting pitchers getting rocked.  The Braves are 22-10-3 OVER in their last 35 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 25 of those 35 games.  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving the Braves right now.

Bryce Elder is one of the worst starters in baseball going 5-9 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 20 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder has been at his worst at home, going 2-4 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 10 starts in Atlanta.

Shane Smith is 0-3 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in his last seven starts for the White Sox.  He has only pitched 28 1/3 innings allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in those seven starts, so the White Sox are being very cautious with him and turning to their bullpen earlier and earlier.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-18-25 Guardians +105 v. Diamondbacks 3-1 Win 105 9 h 57 m Show

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +105

The Cleveland Guardians are playing with a sense of urgency right now sitting 3.5 games back of the final wild card spot in the American League, and only 4 games back of the 1st wild card spot.  They have a legit chance to chase down either the Yankees, Mariners or Red Sox for a spot in the postseason.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 6.5 games back of the final wild card spot in the National League with four teams in front of them, so they know their fate has already been sealed.  If it wasn't before it is now after losing their last three games to the lowly Rockies coming into this series.

Given their motivation and starting pitching advantages, the Guardians should not be underdogs to the Diamondbacks tonight.  Gavin Williams is 7-4 with a 3.38 ERA in 24 starts for the Guardians this season.

Zac Gallen has been a major disappointment for the Diamondbacks, going 9-12 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 3-6 with a 5.59 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Gallen allowed 5 earned runs in 7 innings in his last start against Cleveland.  Bet the Guardians Monday.

08-18-25 Reds -108 v. Angels Top 4-1 Win 100 9 h 57 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -108

The Cincinnati Reds are just 1.5 games out of the final wild card spot in the National League.  They have a lot to play for the rest of the way and are really the only challengers to the Mets for that last spot.  Look for them to take care of business against the lowly Los Angeles Angels in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The Angels are 60-64 on the season and 7 games back of the final wild card spot in the American League with five teams ahead of them.  They are essentially eliminated already and they know it.

Look for the Reds to crush Victor Mederos and this awful Angels bullpen.  Moderos has posted a 8.27 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in 16 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  In his lone start this season, he allowed 3 earned runs in 4 innings to the Dodgers.  The Angels have the 5th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.84 ERA.

Brady Singer has been dominant in three of his last four starts.  He held the Rays to one earned run in 7 1/3 innings, he fired 6 shutout innings with 10 K's against the Braves, and he fired 6 shutout innings against the Phillies.  Singer has posted a 2.61 ERA in two career starts against the Angels.  Bet the Reds Monday.

08-18-25 Brewers v. Cubs -111 7-0 Loss -111 2 h 39 m Show

15* Brewers/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -111

The Milwaukee Brewers just had their 14-game winning streak come to an end yesterday against the Reds.  I always love fading teams the game after their winning streak comes to an end because there tends to be a hangover effect.  That will be the case here with this short turnaround for an early afternoon game at Chicago.

The Brewers won't be playing with a sense of urgency the rest of the way with an 8-game lead over the Cubs in the NL Central.  The Cubs are the team that has to play with some urgency right now in danger of missing the playoffs altogether.

Cade Horton has been unhittable in his last five starts posting a 0.32 ERA while allowing just one earned run in 28 1/3 innings.  He will be facing the Brewers for the first time, which will be to his advantage.

Freddy Peralta has already faced the Cubs twice this season and has not fared well, and it will be to Chicago's advantage to get to see him for a 3rd time today.  Peralta allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 9 innings in those previous two starts against Chicago in 2025.  Bet the Cubs Monday.

08-17-25 Bills v. Bears OVER 40.5 0-38 Loss -110 10 h 16 m Show

15* Bills/Bears NFLX ANNIHILATOR on OVER 40.5

No analysis for preseason.

08-17-25 Braves v. Guardians -121 5-4 Loss -121 4 h 2 m Show

15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -121

The Cleveland Guardians are 2.5 games out of the AL Wild Card and need a big finish to make it.  But they are only 4 games back of both the Red Sox and Mariners as well, so they still have a pretty good chance of getting in.  They'll be highly motivated to avoid the sweep today after dropping the first two games of this series to the Atlanta Braves.

I'll gladly fade Atlanta's Erick Fedde, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  Fedde is 4-12 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  He is 1-6 with a 9.08 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in his last nine starts as well.

Logan Allen is 7-9 with a 4.02 ERA in 22 starts for the Guardians this season.  Allen has allowed just 5 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts for a 2.65 ERA during this stretch.  Cleveland hasn't been swept since prior to the All-Star Break.  Bet the Guardians Sunday.

08-17-25 Jaguars v. Saints OVER 40 Top 17-17 Loss -115 59 h 50 m Show

20* NFLX TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jaguars/Saints OVER 40

No analysis for preseason.

08-16-25 Cardinals v. Broncos -3 Top 7-27 Win 100 43 h 21 m Show

20* Cardinals/Broncos NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver -3

No analysis for preseason.

08-16-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 7-10 Win 100 11 h 26 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 11.5 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Rockies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center.  It has been a similar forecast at Coors Field for the last month or so, and runs have been plentiful at the most hitter-friendly park in baseball as a result.

Indeed, the OVER is 6-2 in Rockies last eight home games with 13 or more combined runs in six of the eight.  That's why I'm willing to back the OVER 11.5 here despite this total being high.

Ryne Nelson was rocked for 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Rangers in his last start and was due some regression.  Nelson does not enjoy facing the Rockies, going 1-1 with an 11.00 ERA and 2.33 WHIP in two career starts against them, allowing 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 9 innings.

Chase Dollander is 2-9 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 2-4 with a 9.37 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in eight home starts while allowing 34 earned runs and 9 homers in 32 2/3 innings at Coors Field.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-16-25 Ravens -126 v. Cowboys 31-13 Win 100 41 h 50 m Show

15* NFLX Saturday Line Mistake on Baltimore Ravens ML -126

No analysis for preseason.

08-16-25 Brewers v. Reds OVER 9 6-5 Win 100 9 h 20 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Reds OVER 9

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 7 runs in 12 of their last 16 games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own today, like they did in Game 1 yesterday in a 10-8 victory over the Reds.  The forecast will favor the offenses with temps in the upper-80's tonight.

Quinn Priester was rocked for 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-6 win over the Mets in his last start.  Zack Littell was rocked for 4 earned runs and 9 hits in 4 2/3 innings of a 14-8 win over the Pirates in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-16-25 Marlins v. Red Sox -169 5-7 Win 100 7 h 56 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -169

The Miami Marlins are a tired team with a taxed bullpen playing their 16th game in 16 days.  The Boston Red Sox had Thursday off and came back and beat the Marlins 2-1 in Game 1 yesterday.  I think they win Game 2 with ease today.

The Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven games overall.  I'll gladly fade Cal Quantrill, who is 4-9 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 23 starts for the Marlins this season with just 80 K's in 106 innings.  Quantrill is 1-1 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in five career starts against the Red Sox, including 0-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in two career starts in Boston.

I'll gladly back Brayan Bello, who is 8-6 with a 3.25 ERA in 20 starts for the Red Sox this season, including 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 home starts.  Bello is 1-1 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in two career starts against the Marlins, allowing just 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 13 2/3 innings.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

08-16-25 49ers v. Raiders -4 Top 22-19 Loss -110 38 h 51 m Show

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Las Vegas Raiders -4

No analysis for preseason.

08-16-25 Browns v. Eagles -4 22-13 Loss -107 35 h 50 m Show

15* NFLX Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia Eagles -4

No analysis for preseason.

08-15-25 Chiefs v. Seahawks -2.5 16-33 Win 100 20 h 8 m Show

15* Chiefs/Seahawks NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

08-15-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 11.5 Top 3-4 Loss -115 20 h 44 m Show

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on DBacks/Rockies OVER 11.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 12 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Rockies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to right-center.  It has been a similar forecast at Coors Field for the last month or so, and runs have been plentiful at the most hitter-friendly park in baseball as a result.

Indeed, the OVER is 6-1 in Rockies last seven home games with 13 or more combined runs in six of the seven.  That's why I'm willing to back the OVER 11.5 here despite this total being high, and the fact that these are two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball.

Tanner Gordon is 2-5 with a 8.37 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Gordon has allowed a whopping 23 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He just allowed 10 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss to the Diamondbacks in his last start.

Brandon Pfaadt is 12-7 with a 4.96 ERA in 24 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 6.40 ERA in 11 road starts.  Pfaadt is 3-2 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five career starts against the Rockies.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 11 hits in 5 innings opposite Gordon in his last start on August 10th.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-15-25 Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rockies 3-4 Loss -125 20 h 44 m Show

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-125)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have quietly gone 6-1 in their last seven games overall and continue to play hard on a daily basis.  The Colorado Rockies are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall with seven losses by 4 runs or more.  They have let go of the rope.

I really want to fade Tanner Gordon, who is 2-5 with a 8.37 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Gordon has allowed a whopping 23 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He just allowed 10 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss to the Diamondbacks in his last start.

Brandon Pfaadt hasn't been spectacular by any means, but he has been much better than Gordon.  Pfaadt is 12-7 with a 4.96 ERA in 24 starts this season.  He will be good enough for the Diamondbacks to win this game by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Friday.

08-15-25 Marlins v. Red Sox OVER 9 1-2 Loss -100 18 h 14 m Show

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Red Sox OVER 9

The Miami Marlins will be playing their 15th game in 15 days and their bullpen is absolutely taxed.  They have a poor bullpen as it is, and just combined for 13 and 17 runs in their last two games with the Guardians last series.

Sandy Alcantara has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 6-11 with a 6.55 ERA in 23 starts, including 2-6 with an 8.87 ERA in 10 road starts.  Alcantara has allowed 11 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Houston and Atlanta.

Lucas Giolito has a 4.82 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 28 innings.  The OVER is 8-1 in Red Sox last nine games overall as their lineup has surprisingly been one of the best in baseball here down the stretch.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-15-25 Pirates v. Cubs OVER 9 Top 3-2 Loss -105 13 h 24 m Show

20* NL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pirates/Cubs OVER 9

With temps in the 80's at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field today, this total of 9 is too short.  That's especially the case given these two suspect starting pitchers this afternoon.

Braxton Ashcraft has pitched 3 innings and 3 1/3 innings in his two starts this season.  The Cubs will get into this awful Pittsburgh bullpen early in this one.  The Pirates have allowed a total of 47 runs in their last four games for an average of 11.75 runs per game.

Colin Rea is 9-5 with a 4.09 ERA in 20 starts and four relief appearances, including 8-5 with a 4.50 ERA in his 20 starts this season.  Rea has allowed 12 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings in his last four starts.  He has allowed 11 earned runs in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Pirates as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-14-25 Diamondbacks v. Rockies OVER 12 8-2 Loss -115 9 h 20 m Show

15* DBacks/Rockies NL West ANNIHILATOR on OVER 12

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 12 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Rockies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  It has been a similar forecast at Coors Field for the last month or so, and runs have been plentiful at the most hitter-friendly park in baseball as a result.

Indeed, the OVER is 6-0 in Rockies last six home games with 13 or more combined runs in all six.  That's why I'm willing to back the OVER 12 here despite this total being high, and the fact that these are two of the worst starting pitchers in baseball.

Eduardo Rodriquez is 4-7 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 20 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Rodriquez allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Rockies on August 9th, and now they get to see him for a 2nd time in a week which will be to their advantage.

Bradly Blalock was opposite Rodriquez on August 9th and allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings to the Diamondbacks, who will also have the advantage of getting to see him for the 2nd time in a week.  Blalock is now 1-3 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in eight starts and two relief appearances for the Rockies this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

08-14-25 Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 Top 4-3 Loss -127 8 h 15 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH with light winds blowing out to left-center. 

The Braves are 21-8-2 OVER in their last 31 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 25 of those games, and 9 or more combined runs in 23 of them.  The Mets are 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games with 11 or more combined runs in seven of them.  These teams combined for 18 runs in Game 1 and 17 runs in Game 2 with a similar forecast, and runs should be plentiful again in Game 3 tonight.

The Mets are capable of covering this total on their own against Bryce Elder, who is 4-9 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Elder has been awful of late, allowing 42 earned runs in 42 2/3 innings in his last nine starts for a 8.86 ERA during this stretch.

Kodai Senga has really struggled of late for the Mets as well, allowing 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 29 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last four starts for a 6.61 ERA during this stretch.  Both offenses should have their way with these two starts tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

08-14-25 Phillies v. Nationals OVER 8.5 2-3 Loss -120 7 h 24 m Show

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Nationals OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 80's tonight with no wind which will favor the hitters.  The Nationals just went 3-0 OVER in their three games with the Royals last series combining for 15, 13 and 11 runs.  It should be another high-scoring series with the Phillies, starting with Game 1 tonight.

Brad Lord has made just 10 starts this season and doesn't last long when he does start, so the Phillies should get into this awful Washington bullpen early.  The Nationals have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.84 ERA on the season.

Jesus Luzardo is 11-5 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 24 starts for the Phillies this season and has been a weak link in their rotation.  Luzardo is 2-3 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in eight career starts against the Nationals.

The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Phillies and Nationals with 9 or more combined runs in eight of them.  This total of 8.5 is too short tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

08-13-25 Dodgers v. Angels OVER 9.5 Top 5-6 Win 100 12 h 21 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Angels OVER 9.5

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.18 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised if they do just that off Kyle Hendricks and this putrid Angels bullpen.

Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA in his final season with the Cubs last year.  He is 6-8 with a 4.63 ERA in 22 starts in his first season in Los Angeles.  Hendricks has allowed 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers as well.

The Angels have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.85 ERA on the season.  The Dodgers have the 10th-worst bullpen with a 4.21 ERA.  This is a taxed Dodgers bullpen, and Shohei Ohtani hasn't pitched more than 4 innings in any start this season, including 3 innings or fewer in all but one of his eight starts.

The Dodgers and Angels have combined for at least 10 runs in five of their last six meetings.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Angels last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-13-25 Braves v. Mets OVER 8.5 Top 11-6 Win 100 11 h 19 m Show

20* NL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Braves/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Citi Field.  

The Braves are 20-8-2 OVER in their last 30 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 24 of those games, and 9 or more combined runs in 22 of them.  The Mets are 6-3 OVER in their last nine games with 11 or more combined runs in six of them.  These teams combined for 18 runs in Game 1 yesterday, and it should be more of the same today.

Carlos Carrasco is 2-2 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in eight starts and two relief appearances this season, allowing 30 earned runs and 9 homers in 43 2/3 innings.  The Mets scored 13 runs on the Braves yesterday, and I wouldn't be surprised to see them cover this total on their own again.

David Peterson allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings to the Guardians in his last start.  Peterson does not enjoy facing the Braves, going 3-5 with a 5.05 ERA in 11 career starts against them.  He has a 6.23 ERA in his last four starts against them allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-13-25 Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 1-4 Loss -103 10 h 1 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Astros OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox are a perfect 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all eight games.  The Houston Astros are 6-1-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all eight games.  This total of 8 is too short tonight.

While the Red Sox covered the total on their own last night scoring 14 runs, it's the Astros who are likely to cover it on their own tonight.  They should feast on Walker Buehler, who is 7-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 10 road starts.

Hunter Brown is 0-2 with a 3.76 ERA in his last five starts for the Astros.  While he is one of the better starters in the American League, the Red Sox are red hot right now and will get to him.  Boston has scored at least 6 runs in nine of his last 13 games overall, and at least 4 runs in 13 of its last 16 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-13-25 Marlins v. Guardians -125 13-4 Loss -125 9 h 26 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -125

The Cleveland Guardians are red hot right now to pull within one game of the New York Yankees for the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Guardians are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall, and we are getting them at a great value as a short home favorites over the lowly Miami Marlins tonight.

The Marlins just went 1-4 in their five-game series with the Atlanta Braves last series.  That was previously a dead Atlanta team that was just going through the motions with nothing to play for, so it was even more concerning.  I question how motivated the Marlins will be the rest of the way now.

Gavin Williams is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-4 with a 3.17 ERA in 23 starts this season with 123 K's in 125 innings.  Williams is 5-2 with a 2.77 ERA in 12 home starts as well.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings with 28 K's in his last four starts for a 1.30 ERA during this stretch.

Eury Perez doesn't go very deep in games, so this poor Miami bullpen will be tested.  Perez allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings to the Braves in his last start.  Cleveland should be a bigger favorite at home tonight.  Bet the Guardians Wednesday.

08-13-25 Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 5-12 Win 100 5 h 12 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

The Milwaukee Brewers are the hottest team in baseball going 26-4 in their last 30 games overall.  They are absolutely hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring at least 7 runs in 10 of their last 14 games overall.  They should win this game by multiple runs today.

The Pirates rank dead last (30th) in baseball scoring 3.53 runs per game. They have been outscored 21-1 in the first two games of this series with the Brewers, and it won't get any easier for them today.

Brandon Woodruff is 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 23 base runners in 35 1/3 innings.  He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Pirates for a 1.96 ERA.

Mitch Keller has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts.  Keller is 1-3 with a 5.63 ERA in his last six starts against the Brewers, and 1-3 with a 4.94 ERA in five career road starts at Milwaukee.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Wednesday.

08-12-25 Dodgers v. Angels OVER 9.5 6-7 Win 100 12 h 33 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Dodgers/Angels OVER 9.5

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.17 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised if they do just that off Victor Moderos and this putrid Angels bullpen.

Moderos will be making his first career start for the Angels and I don't expect it to go well for him.  He has posted a 8.76 ERA and 2.19 WHIP in 12 1/3 innings in relief in his career in the majors.  The Angels have the 4th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.86 ERA on the season.  The Dodgers have the 10th-worst bullpen with a 4.23 ERA.

The Dodgers and Angels have combined for at least 10 runs in four of their last five meetings.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Angels last six games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-12-25 Red Sox v. Astros OVER 8 Top 14-1 Win 100 10 h 9 m Show

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Astros OVER 8

The Boston Red Sox are a perfect 7-0 OVER in their last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games.  The Houston Astros are 5-1-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games.  This total of 8 is too short tonight, especially with how poor both starting pitchers are.

Dustin May is 6-8 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  May is 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in nine road starts as he has clearly been much worse on the highway.

Spencer Arrighetti will be making his 2nd start back from injury after being lost early in the season.  Arrighetti allowed 5 earned runs and 11 hits in 3 2/3 innings to the lowly Marlins in his 1st start back.  He is 8-15 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 31 career starts in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-12-25 Braves v. Mets OVER 8 5-13 Win 100 9 h 53 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Braves and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Citi Field.  The Braves are 19-8-2 OVER in their last 29 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 23 of those games, and 9 or more combined runs in 21 of them.  The Mets are 5-3 OVER in their last eight games with 11 or more combined runs in five of them.

Spencer Strider is a shell of his former self this season, going 5-9 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 15 starts.  Strider allowed 3 earned runs in 5 innings of a 7-4 win over the Mets in his last start against them on June 24th this season.

Clay Holmes is 2-3 with a 4.22 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in his last 10 starts for the Mets.  Holmes has allowed 4 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in two starts against the Braves this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-12-25 Phillies v. Reds OVER 9 Top 1-6 Loss -115 9 h 52 m Show

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Reds OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Phillies and Reds tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  Both lineups should have their way with these two struggling starting pitchers tonight.

Ranger Suarez has a 5.40 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 18 earned runs in 30 innings.  Brady Singer has a 5.26 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 15 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings.  Singer allowed 5 earned runs and 11 hits in 5 innings in his last start against Philadelphia.  He is 5-7 with a 6.01 ERA in 14 starts at night this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-12-25 Marlins v. Guardians -125 3-4 Win 100 9 h 37 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -125

The Cleveland Guardians are red hot right now to pull within one game of the New York Yankees for the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Guardians are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall, and we are getting them at a great value as a short home favorites over the lowly Miami Marlins tonight.

The Marlins just went 1-4 in their five-game series with the Atlanta Braves last series.  That was previously a dead Atlanta team that was just going through the motions with nothing to play for, so it was even more concerning.  I question how motivated the Marlins will be the rest of the way now.

I'll gladly fade Janson Junk, who has allowed 16 earned runs in 20 innings in his last four starts for a 7.20 ERA.  Logan Allen is 7-9 with a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts for the Guardians this season, including 4-5 with a 3.18 ERA in 13 starts at night.  Allen held the Marlins to one earned run in 6 innings in his lone career start against them.  Bet the Guardians Tuesday.

08-11-25 Dodgers v. Angels OVER 8 Top 4-7 Win 100 10 h 58 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Angels OVER 8

The Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.18 runs per game.  They are capable of covering this total on their own tonight, and I wouldn't be surprised if they do just that off Jose Soriano and this putrid Angels bullpen.

Soriano was just blasted for 7 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Rays in his last start.  The Angels have the 5th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.81 ERA on the season.  The Dodgers have the 10th-worst bullpen with a 4.24 ERA.

The Dodgers and Angels have combined for at least 8 runs in six consecutive meetings.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Angels last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all five games.  The Dodgers and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in four of their last five games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

08-11-25 Dodgers -1.5 v. Angels 4-7 Loss -108 10 h 58 m Show

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-108)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs.  They have the best lineup in baseball as well scoring 5.18 runs per game which ranks 1st.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 10-7 with a 2.36 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 7-3 with a 1.63 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Jose Soriano is 1-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 13 home starts this season.  He just allowed 7 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Rays at home in his last start.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.

08-11-25 Pirates v. Brewers -1.5 1-7 Win 105 8 h 19 m Show

15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+105)

The Milwaukee Brewers are the hottest team in baseball going 24-4 in their last 28 games overall.  They are absolutely hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring at least 7 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.  They should win this game by multiple runs tonight.

The Pirates rank dead last (30th) in baseball scoring 3.58 runs per game.  They won't get much off Jose Quintana, who is 9-4 with a 3.57 ERA in 17 starts this season.  Quintana is 5-2 with a 3.23 ERA in 15 career starts against the Pirates as well.

Andrew Heaney is 5-9 with a 4.77 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 1-6 with a 6.55 ERA in 11 road starts.  Heaney is 1-3 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in five career starts against the Brewers, including 0-3 with a 7.90 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in three career road starts in Milwaukee.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Monday.

08-10-25 Saints v. Chargers -130 Top 13-27 Win 100 6 h 31 m Show

20* Saints/Chargers NFLX No-Brainer on Los Angeles -130

No analysis for preseason.

08-10-25 Mets v. Brewers -112 6-7 Win 100 3 h 26 m Show

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -112

The Milwaukee Brewers are the hottest team in baseball going 23-4 in their last 27 games overall.  They are playing the coldest team in baseball in the New York Mets, who are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall.

We cashed in the Brewers as a premium pick Friday and a free pick Saturday at similar prices, and I'm back on the Brewers again today as a premium pick.  Baseball is certainly a sport of riding streaks and not trying to step in front of teams when they are hot, or back teams when they are cold.

The Brewers should be bigger favorites today given their advantage on the mound.  Quinn Priester is 11-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 16 starts and five relief appearances this season, including 6-1 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.09 WHIP at home.

Sean Manaea is working his way back from injury for the Mets.  He is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA in four starts and one relief appearance.  Manaea was rocked for 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings by the Guardians in his last start.  He does not enjoy facing the Brewers, going 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in five career starts against them.  Bet the Brewers Sunday.

08-10-25 Guardians -121 v. White Sox 4-6 Loss -121 3 h 15 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -121

The Cleveland Guardians are red hot right now to pull within 0.5 games of the New York Yankees for the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Guardians are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall, and we are getting them at a great value as a short road favorite over the lowly Chicago White Sox tonight.

The White Sox are 0-6 in their last six games overall to fall to 42-75 on the season.  The Guardians should crush Davis Martin, who is 3-9 with a 4.11 ERA in 16 starts and one relief appearance this season.  Martin is 1-3 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in his last four starts.  

Slade Cecconi has done his best work on the highway this season going 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in seven road starts.  Martin is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in two career starts against Cleveland, allowing 9 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 innings.  Bet the Guardians Sunday.

08-10-25 Marlins +118 v. Braves 1-7 Loss -100 3 h 51 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Miami Marlins +118

The Miami Marlins are 27-15 in their last 42 games overall and quietly one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are playing a dead Atlanta Braves team that sold at the deadline and is simply playing out the string, and they are playing like it.  The Braves are 12-26 in their last 38 games overall.

But the Braves did sweep the Marlins in their double-header yesterday.  That makes me like the Marlins even more today as they will be the more motivated team for revenge, while the Braves will relax.

Cal Quantrill has allowed one or zero earned runs in three of his last four starts.  He fired 5 shutout innings in a 4-0 win as a +218 underdog to the Braves in his last start against them this season.  He has posted a 3.00 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta.

Joey Wentz is 2-3 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 57 1/3 innings this season.  Wentz has posted a 7.46 ERA and 1.54 WHIP at home, allowing 21 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings at home this season.  Bet the Marlins Sunday.

08-10-25 Reds +100 v. Pirates 14-8 Win 100 3 h 46 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds +100

The Cincinnati Reds are still very much alive in the NL wild card race.  They have a lot more to play for right now than the Pittsburgh Pirates.  And I think they have big advantages at the plate and on the mound today and should not be underdogs as a result.

Zack Littell is 9-8 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  His competition is much weaker now that he's out of the AL East and in the NL Central.  He was dominant in his first start since getting traded to the Reds, allowing just one earned run in 7 innings of a 5-1 win over the Chicago Cubs.  He will shut down this weak Pittsburgh lineup, too.

Rookie Mike Burrows is 1-4 with a 4.45 ERA in 13 starts and one relief appearance for the Pirates this season.  Burrows allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in a 8-1 loss to the Giants in his last start.  Bet the Reds Sunday.

08-10-25 A's v. Orioles OVER 9 3-2 Loss -120 3 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Orioles OVER 9

Luis Morales will be making his first career start for the A's.  Cade Povich is a gas can for the Orioles.  Both lineups should have their way with these two starting pitchers today.  The A's have the 3rd-worst bullpen with a 5.17 ERA while the Orioles have the 6th-worst with a 4.75 ERA this season.

Povich is 2-6 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 13 starts and one relief appearance for the Orioles this season.  He is 1-3 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in seven home starts.  The A's scored 11 runs on the Orioles yesterday and are capable of covering this total on their own again.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

08-10-25 Dolphins v. Bears -135 Top 24-24 Push 0 2 h 60 m Show

20* Dolphins/Bears NFLX No-Brainer on Chicago ML -135

No analysis for preseason.

08-09-25 Blue Jays v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 Top 1-9 Win 100 11 h 5 m Show

20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Blue Jays/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are 9-3 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all nine OVERS and 12 or more in eight of them.  They are hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring a total of 45 runs in three games with the Rockies in their last series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.13 runs per game with arguably the best lineup in baseball.  Both lineups should have their way against these two starting pitchers and bullpens tonight.

Chris Bassitt is 11-5 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 23 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  Bassitt is 3-5 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 10 road starts.  He has allowed 7 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bassitt allowed 7 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of a 12-2 loss to the Dodgers in his last start against them.

Blake Snell will be making his 2nd start back from injury for the Dodgers.  He only lasted 5 innings allowing 3 earned runs to the Rays in his 1st start back, and he will be on a pitch count again.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-09-25 Jets v. Packers UNDER 38.5 30-10 Loss -110 9 h 12 m Show

15* NFLX PLAY OF THE DAY on Jets/Packers UNDER 38.5

No analysis for preseason.

08-09-25 Cubs -102 v. Cardinals Top 9-1 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -102

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated to bounce back from a 5-0 loss to the Cardinals in Game 1 of this series last night.  I fully expect them to get their revenge here in Game 2 tonight.

The Cubs have the advantage on the mound today with Colin Rea, who is 8-5 with a 4.23 ERA in 19 starts and four relief appearances this season.  Rea is 1-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last three starts against the Cardinals, allowing just 3 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings.

Andre Pallante is 0-3 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in four career starts against the Cubs, allowing 32 base runners in 18 1/3 innings with just 10 K's.  Pallante is 6-8 with a 4.57 ERA in 22 starts for the Cardinals this season.  He has a 6.18 ERA in his last five starts while allowing 19 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

08-09-25 Marlins -106 v. Braves 6-8 Loss -106 9 h 11 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Miami Marlins -106 (Game 2)

The Miami Marlins are 27-13 in their last 40 games overall and quietly one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are playing a dead Atlanta Braves team that sold at the deadline and is simply playing out the string, and they are playing like it.  The Braves are 10-26 in their last 36 games overall, including 3-12 in their last 15 games.

Not only should the Marlins be bigger favorites tonight due to their recent play compared to the Braves, but they also have a big advantage on the mound in Game 2 of this double-header tonight.  

Sandy Alcantara is one of the more talented starters in baseball that is having a down year.  But he has flashed signs of brilliance in two of his last three starts.  He fired 7 shutout innings against the Padres and 5 shutout innings against the Cardinals.  Alcantara is 5-5 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 15 career starts against the Braves.

Erick Fedde is 3-12 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 22 starts fro the Braves.  Fedde is 0-6 with a 10.73 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing a whopping 33 earned runs and 10 homers in 27 2/3 innings.  Bet the Marlins in Game 2 Saturday.

08-09-25 Phillies v. Rangers OVER 7 3-2 Loss -120 8 h 25 m Show

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Rangers OVER 7

The Phillies and Rangers have combined for at least 7 runs in six of their last seven meetings, including 10 runs in Game 1 of this series yesterday.  This total of 7 is too short with how hot both of these lineups are, coupled with how both starting pitchers are struggling.

Jesus Luzardo is the weak link of this Philadelphia rotation.  He is 10-5 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Luzardo has allowed 7 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Rangers.

Jacob DeGrom is showing signs of wearing down here late in the season. DeGrom has allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Angels and Mariners.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings to the Phillies in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

08-09-25 Guardians -121 v. White Sox 3-1 Win 100 9 h 60 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -121

The Cleveland Guardians are red hot right now to pull within 0.5 games of the New York Yankees for the final wild card spot in the American League.  The Guardians are 8-1 in their last nine games overall, and we are getting them at a great value as a short road favorite over the lowly Chicago White Sox tonight.

The White Sox are 0-5 in their last five games overall to fall to 42-74 on the season.  The Guardians should crush Sean Burke, who is 4-8 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 18 starts and four relief appearances, including 1-5 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in night games this season.  The Guardians will be seeing Burke for a 3rd time this season after he gave up 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 8 innings in his first two starts against them.

Joe Cantillo is 2-2 with a 4.37 ERA in six starts and 21 relief appearances for the Guardians this season.  He clearly has great stuff with 72 K's in 55 2/3 innings and is one of their top prospects.  I expect him to be solid tonight in holding down this weak Chicago lineup.  Bet the Guardians Saturday.

08-09-25 Reds -101 v. Pirates 2-1 Win 100 9 h 36 m Show

15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -101

The Cincinnati Reds will be highly motivated for a victory today after dropping the first two games of this series to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  The Reds are still very much alive in the NL wild card and need a big finish to the season to make it.  The Pirates have been out of contention for months.

Nick Martinez has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts.  Martinez has owned the Pirates, going 1-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs in 15 innings.

Braxton Ashcraft will make his 2nd career start for the Pirates.  He lasted just 3 innings in his first start, and the Pirates will be making this a bullpen game.  They have a poor bullpen especially after the trade deadline.  Bet the Reds Saturday.

08-08-25 Blue Jays v. Dodgers OVER 9 Top 1-5 Loss -110 15 h 38 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Dodgers OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all nine OVERS and 12 or more in eight of them.  They are hitting the cover off the ball right now scoring a total of 45 runs in three games with the Rockies in their last series.

The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.16 runs per game with arguably the best lineup in baseball.  Both lineups should have their way against these two washed up starting pitchers who once squared off against each other way back in 2008.

41-year-old Max Scherzer is 2-1 with a 4.39 ERA in eight starts for the Blue Jays this season.  37-year-old Clayton Kershaw is 5-2 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 starts for the Dodgers this season with just 42 K's in 65 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-08-25 Mets v. Brewers -121 2-3 Win 100 13 h 52 m Show

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -121

The Milwaukee Brewers are the hottest team in baseball going 21-4 in their last 25 games overall.  They are playing the coldest team in baseball in the New York Mets, who are 1-8 in their last nine games overall.  The Brewers also have a big advantage on the mound tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Brandon Woodruff is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 0.64 WHIP in five starts for the Brewers this season.  Woodruff is 2-1 with a 3.31 ERA in three career starts against the Mets.

Kodai Senga has posted a 6.19 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his last four starts while allowing 11 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 16 innings.  Bet the Brewers Friday.

08-08-25 Commanders +6.5 v. Patriots Top 18-48 Loss -103 12 h 47 m Show

20* NFLX GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Commanders +6.5

No analysis for preseason.

08-08-25 Marlins -101 v. Braves Top 5-1 Win 100 12 h 57 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Marlins -101

The Miami Marlins are 26-13 in their last 39 games overall and quietly one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are playing a dead Atlanta Braves team that sold at the deadline and is simply playing out the string, and they are playing like it.  The Braves are 10-25 in their last 35 games overall, including 3-11 in their last 14 games.

Not only should the Marlins be bigger favorites tonight due to their recent play compared to the Braves, but they also have a big advantage on the mound.  Edward Cabrera is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 19 starts with 103 K's in 100 innings.  He fired 5 shutout innings in a 7-0 win in his last start against Atlanta.

Bryce Elder has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Elder is 4-8 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 18 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder allowed 5 earned runs and 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings in a 5-3 loss to the Marlins in his lone start against them this season.  Bet the Marlins Friday.

08-08-25 Marlins v. Braves OVER 8 5-1 Loss -108 12 h 57 m Show

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Braves OVER 8

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team going 16-6-2 OVER in their last 24 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 19 of those 24 games.  The Miami Marlins are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all five games.

Bryce Elder has been one of the worst starters in baseball.  Elder is 4-8 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 18 starts for the Braves this season.  Elder allowed 5 earned runs and 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings in a 5-3 loss to the Marlins in his lone start against them this season.

Edward Cabrera has been much worse on the road than at home.  He is 1-3 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in eight road starts this season.  Cabrera has allowed 4 homers and 12 walks in 18 innings in four career starts against Atlanta.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

08-07-25 Bengals v. Eagles +6.5 27-34 Win 100 7 h 46 m Show

15* NLFX Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Eagles +6.5

No analysis for preseason.

08-07-25 Marlins -119 v. Braves Top 6-8 Loss -119 8 h 53 m Show

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami Marlins -119

The Miami Marlins are 26-12 in their last 38 games overall and quietly one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They are playing a dead Atlanta Braves team that sold at the deadline and is simply playing out the string, and they are playing like it.  The Braves are 9-25 in their last 34 games overall, including 2-11 in their last 13 games.

Not only should the Marlins be bigger favorites tonight due to their recent play compared to the Braves, but they also have a big advantage on the mound.  Eury Perez is 4-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 10 starts for the Marlins this season.  Perez has allowed a total of 4 earned runs in 34 innings in his last six starts for a 1.06 ERA during this stretch.

Carlos Carrasco is 2-2 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in seven starts and two relief appearances for the Braves this season.  He will be making his first start since April 30th due to injury and will be on a pitch count.  The Marlins will get into this tired Atlanta bullpen early in this one and continue to pile on the runs.  Bet the Marlins Thursday.

08-06-25 Blue Jays v. Rockies OVER 11 Top 20-1 Win 100 5 h 48 m Show

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Rockies OVER 11

It was hot in Colorado over the weekend when the Rockies and Pirates combined for 33, 13 and 14 runs in their three-game series.  The forecast has continued to favor hitters against the Blue Jays with 16 combined runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2.  It will be another hitter-friendly forecast again in Game 3 today with temps in the 90's so the ball should be flying out again.

Kevin Gausman is 7-8 with a 3.99 ERA in 22 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  Gausman was rocked for 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 9-3 loss to the Royals in his last start.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado as well.

Kyle Freeland is 2-11 with a 5.26 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 20 starts for the Rockies this season.  He is 1-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in nine home starts.  Freeland allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings in his last start against Toronto.

The Blue Jays are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all eight OVERS and 12 or more in seven of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

08-05-25 Blue Jays v. Rockies OVER 11.5 10-4 Win 100 10 h 30 m Show

15* Interleague Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Rockies OVER 11.5

It was hot in Colorado over the weekend when the Rockies and Pirates combined for 33, 13 and 14 runs in their three-game series.  The forecast was favorable for runs in Game 1 yesterday when they combined for 16 runs with the Blue Jays.  It will be another hitter-friendly forecast again in Game 2 tonight with temps in the 90's so the ball should be flying out again.

Jose Berrios has struggled in his last four starts allowing 15 runs, 12 earned, and 6 homers in 21 innings.  His propensity to give up the long ball will work against him today.

Anthony Molina will make his 1st start of the season and just his 2nd career start for the Rockies tonight, who have a taxed bullpen to boot.  Molina has posted a 6.85 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 68 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The Blue Jays are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all seven OVERS and 12 or more in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-05-25 Yankees v. Rangers -121 0-2 Win 100 9 h 5 m Show

15* Yankees/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on Texas -121

Nathan Eovaldi has been one of the best starters in baseball but doesn't get the respect that most aces do.  Eovaldi is 9-3 with a 1.49 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 18 starts for the Rangers this season.  Amazingly, he has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in all 18 starts this season, and 2 earned runs or fewer in 16 of them.

Few starters have had as much success against the Yankees as Eovaldi, too.  He is 7-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 22 career starts against the Yankees.  He is 5-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in nine career home starts against them as well.

Will Warren is 6-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Warren has really struggled on the road, going 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Bet the Rangers Tuesday.

08-05-25 Yankees v. Rangers OVER 8 0-2 Loss -120 9 h 5 m Show

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Rangers OVER 8

This total of 8 is very short for a game involving these two potent lineups.  The Yankees are 22-7-2 OVER in their last 31 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 24 of those 31 games.  The Rangers are 10-3-1 OVER in their last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 9 of their last 11 games.

The Rangers are capable of covering this total on their own against Will Warren, who is 6-5 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Warren has really struggled on the road, going 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in 11 road starts.

No question Nathan Eovaldi has been one of the best starters in baseball this season.  But the Yankees do get Aaron Judge back in the lineup tonight and their lineup is pretty much at full strength now.  They should do enough against him to contribute.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-05-25 Orioles v. Phillies OVER 9.5 Top 0-5 Loss -115 8 h 38 m Show

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Phillies OVER 9.5

The Phillies beat the Orioles 13-3 in Game 1 yesterday for 16 combined runs.  I'm expecting another slug fest tonight with temps in the 80's and two gas can starting pitchers going for both teams.

Taijuan Walker is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Walker has allowed a whopping 7 homers in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts for the Phillies.  The Orioles should hang a big number on him and this Philadelphia bullpen, which is the 7th-worst in baseball with a 4.44 ERA.

Dean Kremer is 3-5 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 13 road starts for the Orioles this season.  Kremer has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  The Orioles have the 6th-worst bullpen in baseball with a 4.81 ERA on the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

08-05-25 Twins v. Tigers -135 6-3 Loss -135 8 h 43 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -135

The Minnesota Twins were big sellers at the deadline and now have one of the worst lineups in baseball.  They will have to face a former teammate in Chris Paddack, who will be extra motivated to beat his old mates.

But this is as much of a fade of Zebby Matthews as anything.  Matthews is 3-7 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 16 career starts for the Twins.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in a 13-1 loss to the Red Sox in his last start.

Paddack is coming off two of his best starts of the season allowing just 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 12 innings with 13 K's to the Diamondbacks and Dodgers.  He didn't walk a single batter in either start.  Bet the Tigers Tuesday.

08-04-25 Padres -120 v. Diamondbacks 2-6 Loss -120 10 h 14 m Show

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego Padres -120

The San Diego Padres were buyers at the trade deadline and are surging right now as they try and chase down the Los Angeles Dodgers for 1st place in the NL West.  The Padres are 7-1 in their last eight games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 7 consecutive games now.

The Arizona Diamondbacks were big sellers at the trade deadline and will struggle to find motivation the rest of the way.  The Diamondbacks are 3-9 in their last 12 games overall and have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 12 games.

JP Sears will make his Padres debut tonight after coming over from the A's.  Sears will enjoy the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park after pitching in the hitter-friendly confines of Sutter Health Park up to this point.  He will be rejuvenated to be on a contender.

I'll gladly fade Brandon Pfaadt, who is 10-7 with a 5.03 ERA in 22 starts for the Diamondbacks this season.  Pfaadt was rocked for 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 11 hits in 4 2/3 innings in a 12-2 loss to the Tigers in his last start.  Bet the Padres Monday.

08-04-25 Reds v. Cubs OVER 7 3-2 Loss -120 9 h 41 m Show

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cubs OVER 7

The Chicago Cubs rank 1st in baseball scoring 5.22 runs per game.  This total of 7 is pretty short for a game involving the Cubs.  The forecast isn't too bad for runs today with temps in the 70's and less than 10 MPH winds blowing in from center.

The Cubs and Reds have combined for 8 runs or more in five of their six meetings this season and 10 runs or more four times.  There's not a lot to like about these two starting pitchers tonight, either.

Michael Soroka will be making his Cubs debut tonight.  Soroka is 3-8 with a 4.87 ERA in 16 starts for the Nationals this season.  He has allowed 6 earned runs and 16 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Reds for a 5.23 ERA.

Nick Lodolo does not enjoy facing the Cubs, going 2-2 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  Lodolo has allowed 11 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Chicago for a 5.94 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

08-04-25 Brewers -135 v. Braves Top 3-1 Win 100 8 h 52 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -135

The Milwaukee Brewers are the hottest team in baseball.  They have gone 18-4 in their last 22 games overall and they have scored at least 8 runs in five of their last six games overall.  They just scored a total of 38 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Nationals over the weekend.

The Atlanta Braves are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall and a dead team walking.  They were sellers at the trade deadline, and their best player in Ronald Acuna Jr. is hurt again.  There's just nothing to like about the Braves the rest of the way given all their injuries in the rotation as well.

The Brewers will stay hot against Erick Fedde who is 3-11 with a 5.33 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 21 starts for the Braves this season.  Fedde has really struggled of late, allowing 30 earned runs and 9 homers in 22 1/3 innings in his last six starts for a massive 12.09 ERA during this stretch.  Fedde has allowed 10 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against Milwaukee, both of which came this season.

Quinn Priester is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 10-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 15 starts and five relief appearances for the Brewers.  He is 8-0 with a 2.54 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in his last 10 outings.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 14 of his last 15 outings, and 2 earned runs or fewer in 12 of them.  Bet the Brewers Monday.

08-03-25 Tigers v. Phillies OVER 8 Top 0-2 Loss -115 9 h 55 m Show

20* Tigers/Phillies ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left-center tonight in Philadelphia to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between two Top 10 offenses.  The Tigers rank 6th scoring 4.85 runs per game while the Phillies rank 9th scoring 4.67 runs per game this season.

The Tigers and their opponents have combined for at least 9 runs in four consecutive games including 9 and 12 in the first two games of this series.  The Phillies and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in eight of their last nine games overall and 9 runs or more in seven of them.  This total of 8 is too short tonight.

That's especially the case considering the Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own.  Charlie Morton has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 7-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 17 starts and six relief appearances.  Morton has allowed 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Philadelphia.

Christopher Sanchez is coming off one of his worst starts of the season for the Phillies.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 2/3 innings to the lowly White Sox last time out.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

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