20* Yankees/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

This will be the 5th meeting between the Yankees and Mariners in the month of August already. The OVER is 3-0-1 in the first four with combined scores of 9 runs or more in all four. This 7-run total has been set too low tonight folks.

Gerrit Cole has really struggled of late in going 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 innings. One of those starts came against the Mariners last time out as he allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings.

Luis Castillo is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here. He allowed 3 earned runs and one homer in 6 2/3 innings opposite Cole in that start on August 3rd. The Yankees will feast on him getting to see him twice within a week.

The OVER is 21-7-1 in Yankees last 29 games overall.  The OVER is 15-2-1 in Yankees last 18 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 5-1-2 in Mariners last eight games overall. The OVER is 1907 in Mariners last 26 games with a total set of 7 runs or fewer. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +166

The Texas Rangers should not be nearly this big of underdogs to the Houston Astros with Martin Perez on the mound. The Astros have gone 3-4 in their last seven games overall while scoring a total of 4 runs in those four losses.

Perez is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 9-2 with a 2.47 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.153 WHIP in 10 road starts.

Amazingly, Perez is 9-5 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 16 career starts against Houston. He has faced the Astros twice this year while allowing just one earned run and 11 base runners in 16 innings. 

The Rangers are a perfect 10-0 in Perez's 10 road starts this season and improve to 11-0 tonight. Roll with the Rangers Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more. Add another today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds, who are 44-64 on the season and have a ton of injuries on offense right now.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound today with Carlos Carrasco. He has really turned it on of late in going 4-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last six starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 36 innings. Carrasco has never lost to the Reds, going 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Mike Minor, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Minor is 1-8 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 11 starts this season whiel allowing 16 homers in 56 2/3 innings. He has posted a 4.56 ERA in 13 career starts against New York.

Minor's teams are 2-15 in his last 17 starts in the second half of the season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Carrasco's teams are 11-0 in his last 11 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot. Take the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -150

Alek Manoah has been one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball over the past two seasons as he continues to deliver.  Manoah is 12-5 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 21 starts this season to back up his incredible rookie campaign last year.

Manoah has never lost to the Orioles, going 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.672 WHIP in four career starts against them.  In his last three starts against the Orioles, he has allowed just one earned run and 10 base runners in 19 innings with 23 K's to boot.

Kyle Bradish is 1-4 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.651 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Orioles.  One of those starts came against Toronto on June 13th when he allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings opposite Monoah in a 11-1 victory by the Blue Jays.  It will be more of the same today.

Baltimore is 3-17 in its last 20 home games following an upset win as an underdog over a division opponent.  Toronto is 6-1 in its last seven games following a loss.  The Blue Jays are 35-16 in the last 51 meetings, including 12-4 in the last 16 meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the Blue Jays Tuesday.

20* Yankees/Mariners AL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

This will be the second consecutive matchup between Logan Gilbert and Jameson Taillon.  The first resulted in an 8-6 victory for Seattle in an absolute slug fest.  The books have set the bar too low for the rematch today.

Taillon is 10-2 in spite of a 3.96 ERA this season.  He has been at his worst on the road with a 4.47 ERA in nine starts away from home.  Taillon allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of that 8-6 defeat on August 2nd in his last start.

Gilbert is getting too much respect from oddsmakers at 10-4 with a 3.16 ERA in 22 starts this season.  But Gilbert was rocked for 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 11 base runners in 5 1/3 innings in that 8-6 victory over the Yankees on August 2nd in his last start.

The OVER is 20-7-1 in Yankees last 28 games overall.  The OVER is 14-2-1 in Yankees last 17 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 4-1-2 in Mariners last seven games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Padres/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The Padres and Dodgers have two of the most potent offenses in baseball.  The Dodgers were already loaded, and the Padres tried to match them by adding Soto and Bell at the deadline.  This 8.5-run total has been set too low for this highly anticipated Sunday night game.

Yu Darvish has been at his worst on the road this season with a 4.50 ERA in 10 starts away from home.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings to the Dodgers in his last start against them on July 2nd.  He'll be opposed by Tyler Anderson, who is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.

The OVER is 4-0-2 in Padres last six road games.  The OVER is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last six games overall.  The OVER is 30-14 in Anderson's last 44 starts with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday night.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Chicago White Sox and Texas Rangers should both get their bats going today against these two suspect starting pitchers.  The books have set this number too low today as these teams should easily combine for 9-plus runs to top this 8.5-run total.

Lucas Giolito has struggled all season for the White Sox.  He is 7-6 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 19 starts, including 1-1 with a 7.62 ERA and 2.077 WHIP in his last three.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 11-9 loss to the Rangers on June 11th in his lone start against them this season.

Spencer Howard is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Rangers.  He has already allowed 23 earned runs and 9 homers in 30 2/3 innings.  It won't get any better for him today against the White Sox.

The OVER is 15-5 in Giolito's last 20 starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 19-8 in Giolito's last 27 road starts.  Roll with the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Twins OVER 8

Two of the most potent offenses in baseball continue their series tonight in Minnesota.  These teams combined for 12 runs in Game 1, 11 runs in Game 2 and 10 more runs in Game 3.  The Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, while the Twins are scoring 4.5 runs per game.

Kevin Gausman can be had as he allowed 3 earned runs to the Red Sox and 5 earned runs to the Cardinals in two of his last three starts.  But his season-long numbers have him getting too much respect from the books today.

Gausman is 0-4 with a 7.30 ERA in eight career starts against the Twins with the OVER going 6-2 in those eight starts.  He'll be opposed by Chris Archer, who hasn't been good for years.  Archer has a 4.05 ERA in 18 starts this season while averaging just 4.1 innings per start.  He is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts coming in.

The OVER is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games vs. good power teams that average 1.25 or more homers per game.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 27-10 in Blue Jays last 37 vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 24-8-1 in Blue Jays last 33 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 7-1 in Twins last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 10-4-1 in Twins last 15 games overall.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Twins OVER 9

Two of the most potent offenses in baseball continue their series tonight in Minnesota.  These teams combined for 12 runs in Game 1 and another 11 runs in Game 2.  The Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season, while the Twins are scoring 4.5 runs per game.

I expect the Blue Jays to do the heavy lifting on scoring runs in this one off of Dylan Bundy.  He is 6-5 with a 5.04 ERA in 18 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA in his last three.

Bundy is 0-2 with an 11.37 ERA in his last two starts against Toronto, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Mitch White, who is 0-1 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in five road starts this season.

The OVER is 11-1 in Toronto's last 12 games when revenging a one-run loss.  The OVER is 9-1 in Twins last 10 games vs. good power teams that average 1.25 or more homers per game.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -113

The Chicago White Sox are making a run at the AL Central and playing up to their potential in the second half of the season. Look for them to make easy work of the Texas Rangers tonight.

The White Sox have the advantage on the mound today with Michael Kopech, who has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 19 starts this season. Kopech is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.705 WHIP in two career starts against Texas.

Dane Dunning is 1-6 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 2.026 WHIP in his last three. Dunning allowed 5 earned runs in 2 2/3 innings in one career start against Chicago.

The Rangers are 5-15 in Dunning's 20 starts this season. The White Sox are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rangers are 1-11 in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning record. Texas is 1-8 in its last nine home games. Take the White Sox Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-125)

The Philadelphia Phillies are making a run at the postseason. They are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and won't let the Washington Nationals stand in their way. The Nationals are arguably the worst team in baseball now after trading away Soto and Bell.

The Phillies should feast on Pat Corbin, who is 4-15 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 1-8 with an 8.43 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in 10 road starts. Corbin has allowed 19 runs and 7 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.

Ranger Suarez is one of the more underrated starters in baseball. He is 7-5 with a 3.60 ERA in 18 stats this season, including 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three while pitching 16 shutout innings. Suarez is 1-0 with a 3.11 ERA in two career starts against Washington as well.

The Nationals are 0-11 in Corbin's 11 starts following a team loss this season and losing by 4.0 runs per game. Washington is 0-10 in Corbin's 10 starts vs. division opponents this season and losing by 4.8 runs per game. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Chicago White Sox have a great chance to win the AL Central despite their slow start to the season. They are getting healthier and playing much better of late in going 7-4 in their last 11 games overall.

The White Sox should make easy work of the Texas Rangers tonight due to their big advantage on the mound. Nobody has been better than Dylan Cease over the past couple months. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in 12 consecutive starts, including zero earned runs eight times.

Cease has allowed 4 earned runs total in his last 12 starts to improve to 11-4 with a 2.01 ERA in 21 starts, including 6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts. He is 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA in three career starts against Texas, which have all resulted in wins by two runs or more.

He'll be opposed by Glenn Otto, who is 4-7 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in seven home starts. The Rangers are 1-11 in Otto's last 12 starts in the 2nd half of the season and losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

20* Raiders/Jaguars HOF Game No-Brainer on Jacksonville +2.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* White Sox/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -125

The Chicago White Sox are as healthy as they have been in a long time and it's starting to show.  They have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall and are going to make a push to win the AL Central here down the stretch.

The White Sox have the advantage on the mound over the Texas Rangers, who were just swept at home by the Baltimore Orioles last series.  Johnny Cueto has been a huge get for the White Sox this season.

Cueto is 4-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.157 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in six road starts.  He'll be opposed by lefty Cole Ragans, who will be making his major league debut for the Rangers.  It's a good story that Ragans is making the start as he has been through two Tommy John surgeries and a UCL tear.

But the White Sox feast on left-handed pitching and will get to Ragans today.  The Rangers are 0-7 in their last seven home games.  Texas is 1-10 in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.  Roll with the White Sox Thursday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -118

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They should be bigger favorites over the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of this series today with ace Alek Manoah on the mound.

Manoah went 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA in 20 starts as a rookie in 2021.  He has backed it up by going 11-5 with a 2.43 ERA and 0.992 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Sonny Gray, sho is 6-3 with a 3.40 ERA in 15 starts this season, and 2-1 with a 3.96 ERA in eight home starts.  Gray has allowed 5 earned runs in two of his last three starts against the Blue Jays.

The Twins are 6-22 in their last 28 games following a win.  The Blue Jays are 31-15 in their last 46 meetings in Minnesota.  Bet the Blue Jays Thursday.

20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -157

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be bigger favorites over the San Francisco Giants tonight.  The Dodgers have won six straight meetings with the Giants, who are now below .500 on the season and basically out of contention after going 3-10 in their last 13 games overall.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Julio Urias.  He is 10-6 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 6-4 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.978 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Urias owns the Giants, going 5-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in 18 career starts against them.

In fact, Urias has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts against the Giants while going 4-1 with a 1.31 ERA in those seven starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 41 1/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Alex Cobb, who is 3-5 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.305 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Cobb allowed 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings on July 24th in a 4-7 loss in his lone career start against the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are 20-3 in Urias' 23 starts in the second half of the season over the last two seasons.  The Dodgers are 14-1 in Urias' 15 career road starts vs. an NL team with a .325 OBP or worse in the second half of the season.  Los Angeles is 9-1 in its last 10 road games.  The Giants are 0-9 in their last nine vs. NL West opponents.  Bet the Dodgers Wednesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-140)

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last nine games overall while going 7-2 during this stretch.  The face a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is 0-7 in their last seven games overall while scoring 2 runs or fewer in five of their last six.

The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound tonight that will have them winning by two runs or more.  Corbin Burnes is 8-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in nine road starts.  Burnes has never lost to the Pirates, going 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in six career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Bryse Wilson, who is 1-5 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.758 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.43 ERA and 2.249 WHIP in four home starts.  Wilson is 1-2 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in four career starts against the Brewers as well.

The Brewers are 18-3 in Burnes' 21 stats in the second half of the season over the last two seasons and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 5-0 in its last five games following an off day.  The Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 games overall.  The Brewers are 42-17 in the last 59 meetings.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets are 6-0 in their last six games overall with five wins by two runs or more.  They will make it seven in a row tonight in blowout fashion in Game 1 of this series against the lowly Washington Nationals due to their big advantage on the mound.

Max Scherzer is 6-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.902 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by one of the worst starters in baseball in Pat Corbin, who is 4-14 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.766 WHIP In 21 starts this season.  

Corbin has really struggled of late in going 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.624 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings.  Corbin was rocked for 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss to the Mets in his last start against them on May 31st.

The Nationals are 0-10 in Corbin's 10 starts following a loss this season and losing by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Washington is 2-15 in Corbin's last 17 starts as a home underdog and losing by 3.4 runs per game.  Scherzer's teams are 20-2 in his 22 career road starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse in the second half of the season and winning by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Monday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Rockies UNDER 11.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies have combined for 8 and 9 runs the past two days.  It should be more of the same here with another UNDER with these two underrated starting pitchers going for both teams.

Tony Gonsolin is a NL Cy Young contender this season at 11-1 with a 2.26 ERA and 0.883 WHIP in 18 starts.  Gonsolin has owned the Rockies, going 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 0.879 WHIP in four career starts against them with the UNDER going 4-0 in those four contests.

German Marquez is 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in his last three starts.  Marquez has fared much better against the Dodgers than most, posting a 3.56 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in 14 career starts against them with the UNDER going 8-5-1 in those 14 starts.

The UNDER is 60-35 in Rockies last 95 games with a total of 11 or higher.  The UNDER is 18-7-2 in Dodgers last 27 games with a total of 11 or higher.  The UNDER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* AL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago White Sox have a massive advantage on the mound today over the Oakland A's that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease.  That's why I'll save a ton of juice by backing them on the Run Line instead of laying the -280 on the money line.

Dylane Cease is a legit Cy Young contender this season for the White Sox.  He is 10-4 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 20 starts with a whopping 154 K's in 110 2/3 innings.  He has been untouchable in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA while firing 18 2/3 shutout innings with the White Sox winning by 11, 7 and 3 runs in those three starts.

Adam Oller is getting a chance for the lowly A's, who have one of the worst records in baseball.  It has not gone well for Oller at all as he is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA and 1.876 WHIP in six starts while allowing 26 earned runs and 9 homers in 24 innings.  The White Sox will certainly hang a big number on him today and get him out of there early.

The White Sox are 13-1 in Cease's 14 career starts vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or fewer runs per game on the season and winning by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  The A's are 2-16 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.40 ERA or better this season and losing by 2.1 runs per game.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

20* NL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -110

The St. Louis Cardinals are going to be highly motivated to bounce back against one of the worst teams in baseball Sunday.  They blew a 3-run lead to the lowly Washington Nationals on Saturday and lost by one.  They can't afford another loss to this team Sunday.

Andre Pallante will be good enough to hold the Nationals in check.  But this is more of a fade of Washington's Josiah Gray than anything.  He is 2-6 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in nine home starts this season while allowing a whopping 34 earned runs and 14 homers in 45 2/3 innings.

The Nationals are 1-12 in Gray's last 13 starts as a home underdog of +100 or higher and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Washington is 22-57 in its last 79 home games.  The Nationals are 14-43 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take the Cardinals Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +106

The Los Angeles Angels are 15-41 in their last 56 games overall and have been struggling for two consecutive months.  They have no business being favored over the Texas Rangers tonight.  Los Angels is 7-21 in its last 28 home games.  Texas is 6-1 in the last seven meetings and that dominance will continue after a 7-2 victory in Game 1 of this series last night.

Glenn Otto has done his best work on the road this season with a 3.57 ERA and 1.245 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  He'll be opposed by Chase Silseth, who is 1-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in his last three while allowing 11 earned runs and four homers in 10 innings.  Los Angeles is without Mike Trout and struggling to score runs without him.  Roll with the Rangers Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -137

The St. Louis Cardinals have an important stretch right now with six straight games against the Nationals and Cubs that they need to take advantage of.  They are off to a good start with a 6-2 victory over the Nationals last night as their two best hitters in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado returned to the lineup for this series.

Look for the Cardinals to make easy work of the Nationals again in Game 2 tonight.  Dakota Hudson is the better starter int his game at 6-6 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.355 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Erick Fedde, who is 5-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.543 WHIP in 19 starts.  Fedde is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.385 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

St. Louis is 12-2 vs. a starting pitcher that averages less than 5 innings per start this season.  The Cardinals are 32-11 as a road favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons.  St. Louis is 16-4 in Hudson's 20 career starts with a money line of +100 to -150.  Washington is 8-30 as a home underdog of +100 or higher this season.  The Nationals are 2-14 in home games after scoring 3 runs or less in consecutive games this season.  Washington is 21-57 in its last 78 home games.  The Nationals are 13-43 in their last 56 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cardinals Saturday.

20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago White Sox -159

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after getting upset as -190 favorites yesterday by the lowly Oakland A's.  Look for them to bounce back due to their big advantage on the mound tonight.

Johnny Cueto is 4-4 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.171 WHIP in 12 starts this season and has proven to be an excellent addition to Chicago's rotation.  He has never lost to the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in four career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Paul Blackburn, who has really come back down to reality of late.  Blackburn is 0-3 with a 13.19 ERA and 1.884 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 21 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings.  Blackburn has never beaten the White Sox, going 0-2 with a 7.84 ERA in two career starts against them.

The White Sox are 39-14 in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Take the White Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +100

The Texas Rangers have the advantage on the mound over the Los Angeles Angels and should not be underdogs tonight as a result.  I'll gladly back Perez and the Rangers at this underdog value after pulling the 2-0 upset against the Mike Trout-less Angels last night.

Perez is arguably the single-most underrated starter in baseball.  He is 8-2 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.178 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in nine road starts.  Perez is 3-1 with a 2.66 ERA in his last four starts against the Angels, allowing just 6 earned runs and one homer in 20 1/3 innings.

Patrick Sandoval is very fortunate to have a 3.43 ERA despite his 1.500 WHIP In 16 starts this season.  He has allowed 1.5 base runners per inning and should have a higher ERA as a result.  He is one of the most overrated starters in baseball this season.

The Rangers are a perfect 9-0 in Perez's nine road starts this season.  The Angels are 15-40 in their last 55 games overall and have been struggling for two consecutive months.  Los Angels is 7-20 in its last 27 home games.  Texas is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Roll with the Rangers Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+106)

The Chicago White Sox have too much talent to be .500 on the season, which is where they currently sit.  But they are still right in the thick of the AL Central race and looking to take advantage of this series against the lowly Oakland A's.

I'll gladly back the White Sox in Game 1 on the Run Line to win in a blowout.  Lance Lynn is coming off one of his best starts of the season, pitching 6 shutout innings in a 5-4 victory over the Cleveland Guardians.  Lynn is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA in eight career starts against the A's as well.

James Kaprielian is 1-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA in eight road starts.  Kaprielian lasted just four innings in a 3-6 loss to the White Sox in his lone career start against them.

Lynn's teams are 22-5 in his 27 career July home starts and winning by 1.6 runs per game on average.  Lynn's teams are a perfect 16-0 in his 16 career home starts vs. a terrible team that wins less than 38% of their games and winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105)

The St. Louis Cardinals get their two best hitters back in the lineup in Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt tonight after both sat out the Toronto series due to not having the COVID vaccine.  Look for the Cardinals to roll in Game 1 of this series over the lowly Washington Nationals (34-66).

The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Miles Mikolas, who has posted a 2.87 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Mikolas has allowed 5 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Nationals for a 2.50 ERA.  He'll be opposed by Anibal Sanchez, who will be making his 1st start of the season for the Nationals and will be on a pitch count.

Washington is 21-56 in its last 77 home games.  The Nationals are 16-47 in their last 63 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Washington is 13-42 in its last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Tigers/Blue Jays OVER 9

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 9-2 in their last 11 games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games and averaging 7.3 runs per game during this stretch.  The Tigers have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall and are heating up at the plate.

Both teams should get their bats going tonight against these two starting pitcher.  Yusei Kikuchi is the worst starter in Toronto's rotation.  He is 3-5 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.569 WHIP in 16 starts this season.

Kikuchi is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three career starts against Detroit.  He'll be opposed by Tyler Alexander, who is 0-3 with an 8.76 ERA and 1.784 WHIP In four starts this season.  Both starters are making their return from the IL and will be knocked out of this game early.

The OVER is 7-0-1 in Tigers last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 22-7 in Blue Jays last 29 home games.  The OVER is 39-18 in Blue Jays last 57 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Mets OVER 7

We have the best offense in baseball in the New York Yankees up against one of the best offenses in the National League in the New York Mets in this Subway series.  The Yankees are scoring 5.3 runs per game on the season while the Mets are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine to top this 7-run total tonight.

Domingo German will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Yankees.  The first was a disaster on July 21st as he allowed 5 earned runs in 3 innings to the Astros.  The Mets will hang a big number on him and the Yankees today.

Max Scherzer remains one of the best starters in baseball, but the Yankees will get to him today as well.  Scherzer hasn't had much success against the Yankees of late, allowing 4 earned runs in two of his last three starts against them.

The OVER is 14-3 in Yankees last 17 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in 14 of those 17 games.  The OVER is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings with combined scores of 11 runs or more in seven of those 10 meetings.  There is also expected to be 11 MPH winds blowing out to center at Citi Field tonight to help aid us in cashing this OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +117

The Boston Red Sox are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall while scoring just 2.9 runs per game in the process.  They are without their two best hitters in Rafael Devers and Trevor Story, who are both on the IL.  The Red Sox have no business being favored over the Cleveland Guardians tonight with these injuries.

Cal Quantrill has been solid this season for the Guardians at 7-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 18 starts, including 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last three.  Quantrill has posted a 4.00 ERA in three career starts against the Red Sox as well.  He'll be able to shut down this short-handed, struggling Boston lineup.

Nathan Eovaldi has no business being a favorite, either.  He just recently returned from the IL and his two starts since returning have been a disaster.  Eovaldi has allowed 12 earned runs in 7 innings in his last two starts.  He is also 1-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in five career starts against Cleveland.

Boston is 0-6 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less in three consecutive games this season.  Roll with the Guardians Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 11 games and averaging 7.8 runs per game during this stretch.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the St. Louis Cardinals with Kevin Gausman over Adam Wainwright.  That's especially the case when you consider the Cardinals will be without their two best hitters in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado due to the COVID protocols in Toronto.  So the advantage Toronto will have at the plate tonight is massive.

Gausman is 7-7 with a 3.00 ERA in 18 starts this season for the Blue Jays.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals.  Wainwright allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start to Cincinnati.  He is 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA in two career starts against Toronto.

Toronto is 10-1 in its last 11 games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game and winning by 3.6 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Cardinals are 1-7 in their last eight interleague games.  St. Louis is 2-7 in its last nine road games.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +135

The Boston Red Sox are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall while scoring just 2.9 runs per game in the process.  They are without their two best hitters in Rafael Devers and Trevor Story, who are both on the IL, and they may not have J.D. Martinez again tonight either.

The Red Sox have no business being this big of favorites over the Cleveland Guardians tonight with these injuries, but especially with Josh Winckowski on the mound.  Winckowski is 3-4 with a 4.38 ERA and 1.432 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 2-2 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.678 WHIP in four home starts.

I know this will be a bullpen game for the Guardians, but that's why they are such big underdogs.  It's an overreaction.  The Guardians have one of the better bullpens in baseball with a 3.66 ERA and 1.212 WHIP on the season.  Compare that to the Red Sox, who have a 4.25 bullpen ERA.

Cleveland is 27-15 (+16.1 Units) after scoring one run or less over the last two seasons.  Boston is 33-41 (-12.2 Units) vs. right-handed starters this season.  The Red Sox are 0-7 in their last seven during Game 2 of a series.  The Guardians are 4-0 in their last four during Game 2 of a series.  Roll with the Guardians Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Mets OVER 8

We have the best offense in baseball in the New York Yankees up against one of the best offenses in the National League in the New York Mets in this Subway series.  The Yankees are scoring 5.4 runs per game on the season while the Mets are scoring 4.7 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine to top this 8-run total tonight.

Jordan Montgomery has never beaten the Mets, going 0-2 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.896 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing 10 earned runs and 24 base runners in 12 2/3 innings.  Taijaun Walker is 1-3 with a 4.06 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees.  He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings in his last start against them.

The OVER is 13-3 in Yankees last 17 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in 13 of those 16 games.  The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings with combined scores of 11 runs or more in seven of those nine meetings.  There is expected to be 12 MPH winds blowing out to center at Citi Field tonight to help aid us in cashing this OVER as well.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 8-1 in their last nine games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in nine of their last 10 games and averaging 7.6 runs per game during this stretch.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the St. Louis Cardinals with Jose Berrios over Andre Pallante.  That's especially the case when you consider the Cardinals will be without their two best hitters in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado due to the COVID protocols in Toronto.

Berrios is 5-0 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  Pallante is 2-3 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in three road starts.

The Blue Jays are 9-0 in Berrios' nine home starts this season with six wins by two runs or more.  Toronto is 9-1 in its last 10 games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game and winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Cardinals are 0-7 in their last seven games following an off day.  The Blue Jays are 7-0 in their last seven games following an off day.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Phillies OVER 8

The books have set the bar too low tonight with this 8-run total between the Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies.  Two left-handed starters go tonight, and both offenses thrive against southpaws.  The Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per game against left-handed starters this season, while the Phillies are scoring 4.7 runs per game.

Lefty Max Fried has been solid for the Braves this season and is one of the best starters in the National League.  But the Phillies have gotten to him as Fried has posted a 4.50 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Ranger Suarez has a 4.07 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 16 starts this season, and he is 1-4 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in eight home starts.  Suarez is 0-2 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three career starts against the Braves, who are more than capable of scoring 8 runs or more on their own.  The've scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall.

The OVER is 6-0 in Braves last six games overall.  The Braves and Phillies have combined for at least 8 runs in seven of their last nine meetings.  There will be nearly 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at Citizens Bank Park to help aid us in cashing this OVER as well tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -142

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 7-1 in their last eight games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in eight of their last nine games and averaging 7.6 runs per game during this stretch.

Ross Stripling takes the ball for the Blue Jays today.  He is 4-3 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.995 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in six road starts.  Stripling has held the Red Sox to just 3 earned runs in 10 innings in two starts against them this season.

He'll be opposed by Brayan Bello, who is 0-1 with a 10.12 ERA and 2.375 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 innings.  He will get rocked by this red hot Blue Jays lineup.

The Blue Jays are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.  The Red Sox are 1-8 in their last nine games overall while scoring just 2.7 runs per game in the process.  They are without their two best hitters in Rafael Devers and Trevor Story, who are both on the IL, and they may not have J.D. Martinez either.  Boston is 0-7 in its last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Blue Jays Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Orioles OVER 8

The OVER is 12-2 in Yankees last 14 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in 12 of those 14 games.  The OVER is 4-0 in Orioles last four games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in all four.  Baltimore has now scored 4 runs or more in seven consecutive games.

Gerrit Cole has been hittable away from home this season with a 4.25 ERA in his nine road starts.  Cole allowed 5 earned runs in 8 innings in his last start against the Orioles on May 23rd as the Yankees were upset 6-4 as -295 favorites.

But the Yankees could cover this OVER on their own as they tee off on Jordan Lyles, who is 6-8 with a 4.77 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Lyles has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees.  Roll with the OVER In this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -135

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 6-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in seven of their last eight games and averaging 8.0 runs per game during this stretch.

Alek Manoah is one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball and we are getting him cheap today.  Manoah is 10-4 with a 2.28 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He owns the Red Sox, going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.920 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He may not have to face both Trevor Story and J.D. Martinez, who both sat out last night.

Kutter Crawford will be making just his 5th start of the season for the Red Sox.  He is averaging just 5.0 innings per start this season while allowing 8 earned runs in 20 innings.  Crawford has a 5.00 ERA in his two home starts.  The Blue Jays will get him out of there early tonight.

The Blue Jays are 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.  The Red Sox are 1-7 in their last eight games overall while scoring just 2.9 runs per game in the process.  Boston is 0-6 in its last six games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take the Blue Jays Saturday.

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago White Sox -108 (Game 1)

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 1 of this double-header Saturday after getting upset by the Cleveland Guardians on Friday.  I like their chances of bouncing back due to their advantage on the mound.

Johnny Cueto has proven to be an excellent addition to this Chicago staff this season and has clearly turned back the clock.  He is 4-4 with a 2.61 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA in his last three.

Cueto has never lost to the Guardians, going 4-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Triston McKenzie, who has never beaten the White Sox, going 0-2 with a 9.41 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six career starts against them.  Bet the White Sox Saturday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Seattle Mariners +106

The Seattle Mariners have won 14 consecutive games and are 22-3 in their last 25 games overall to play themselves back into contention.  I like their chances of making it 15 in a row against a Houston Astros team that is in a big letdown spot following a sweep of their double-header against the New York Yankees Thursday.

The Mariners have the advantage on the mound tonight with Marco Gonzalez, who has posted a 3.50 ERA in 18 starts this season, including a 3.21 ERA in nine home starts.  Gonzalez has posted a 2.10 ERA in his last five starts against the Astros, allowing just 8 earned runs in 34 1/3 innings.

Jose Urquidy has a 4.09 ERA in 17 starts this season and a 5.20 ERA in 10 road starts.  Urquidy just cannot figure out the Mariners, going 1-3 with a 6.83 ERA and 1.879 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He has allowed 15 earned runs in 13 innings in his last three starts against Seattle.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

15* Giants/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco +130

The San Francisco Giants will bounce back from their loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers Thursday.  They are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall and have a big advantage on the mound today over the Dodgers, which is why they should not be underdogs in Game 2.

Logan Webb is 9-3 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last three.  Few starters have had as much success against the Dodgers as Webb.  He is 2-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 0.925 WHIP in eight career starts against them.

Amazingly, Webb has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of his eight career starts against the Dodgers.  He has yielded just 2 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Los Angeles.  He'll be opposed by Tyler Anderson, who is 1-3 with a 4.41 ERA in eight career starts against the Giants.  He has allowed 9 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against San Francisco.

The Giants are 34-13 in Webb's last 47 starts.  Roll with the Giants Friday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles +143

The Baltimore Orioles are 11-2 in their last 13 games overall with 10 wins as underdogs to get to 46-46 on the season and back into contention for the playoffs.  Look for them to pick up where they left off here Friday against a tired New York Yankees team that is coming off a double-header against the Houston Astros Thursday.

Tyler Wells is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.078 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.75 ERA in seven home starts.  Wells has a 2.57 ERA and 0.929 WHIP in three career starts against the Yankees, allowing just 4 earned runs in 14 innings, all of which have come this season.

Jameson Taillon is overrated due to his 10-2 record in spite of a 3.86 ERA.  Taillon has been at his worst on the road with a 4.33 ERA in eight starts away from home.  He has really struggled of late with a 6.61 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

The Yankees are 0-4 in their last four road games.  The Orioles are 8-0 in their last eight home games.  Take the Orioles Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Astros OVER 8 (Game 1)

The books have set the bar too low today with this 8-run total between two of the best lineups in baseball.  The Yankees are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall while the Astros are scoring 4.4 runs per game overall this season.

Jordan Montgomery is getting too much respect from oddsmakers for his 3.26 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He has yet to face the Astros this season and I don't expect it to go well for him this afternoon.

He'll be opposed by Christian Javier, who has also come back down to reality of late by allowing 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 2/3 innings while losing his last two starts against the Angels and Royals.

The OVER is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in 10 of those games.  The OVER is 7-0 in Yankees last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 6-0 in Astros last six games following an off day.  Bet the OVER in Game 1 of this double-header Thursday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -122

The Seattle Mariners have won 13 consecutive games and are 21-3 in their last 24 games overall to play themselves back into contention.  They will make it 14 in a row today due to their big advantage on the mound over the Texas Rangers.

Chris Flexen has been solid this season with a 3.84 ERA in 17 starts, a 3.79 ERA in 10 road starts and a 1.93 ERA in his last three outings.  Flexen has never lost to the Rangers, going 4-0 (5-0 money line) with a 2.53 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Glenn Otto has had a rough go of it this season for the Rangers.  He is 4-5 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 12 starts.  Otto has really struggled in Arlington, going 2-2 with an 8.07 ERA and 1.871 WHIP in six home starts this season.

Seattle is 27-8 in the last 35 meetings, including 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Texas.  Bet the Mariners Sunday.

15* White Sox/Twins AL Central ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -120

The Chicago White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games overall and one win shy of going into the All-Star Break with a .500 record.  They will be highly motivated to get it done, especially playing the Minnesota Twins, a team they are trailing by 4 games within the division.

The White Sox will get the job done today due to their massive advantage on the mound.  Dylan Cease is 8-4 with a 2.30 ERA and 1.239 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 1.52 ERA in eight road starts.  

Cease has a whopping 142 K's in 97 2/3 innings and is much better than Chris Archer, who can't go deep into games, which means the White Sox will get to Minnesota's suspect bullpen early in this one.  Roll with the White Sox Sunday.

20* Red Sox/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

The books have set the bar way too low today with this 7.5-run total between two of the best lineups in baseball.  The Yankees are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall while the Red Sox are scoring 4.7 runs per game overall this season.

Chris Sale will be making just his 2nd start back from the IL and will be on a pitch count.  The Yankees will get to him, just has they have in his recent starts against them.  Sale is 0-4 with a 9.90 ERA in his last four starts against the Yankees, allowing 22 earned runs in 20 innings.

No question Gerrit Cole is one of the best starters in baseball.  But the Red Sox have had his number recently.  Cole is 1-1 with an 8.25 ERA in his last three starts against Boston, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 innings.  He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last five starts against the Red Sox, including 5 earned runs in 6 innings on July 7th.

The OVER is 9-1 in Yankees last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings with combined scores of 15, 9, 17, 11, 17 and 11 runs.  Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Red Sox/Yankees AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The books have set the bar way too low tonight with this 8-run total between two of the best lineups in baseball.  The Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall while the Red Sox are scoring 4.7 runs per game overall this season.

Nick Pivetta has come back down to earth of late for the Red Sox.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts.  One of those starts came against the Yankees last time out on July 10th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of an 11-6 victory over the Yankees.

Jameson Taillon was opposite Pivetta in that game.  He allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings.  Taillon has now allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Pivetta is 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA in four career starts against New York.

The OVER is 8-1 in Yankees last nine games overall.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 9, 17, 11, 17 and 11 runs.  Take the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -135

The Seattle Mariners have won 12 consecutive games and are 20-3 in their last 23 games overall to play themselves back into contention.  They will make it 13 in a row today due to their big advantage on the mound over the Texas Rangers.

Logan Gilbert is one of the best starters in the American League.  He is 10-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 6-1 with a 2.47 ERA in 10 road starts.  Gilbert has never lost to the Rangers, going 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Spencer Howard has posted an 8.25 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in three starts this season for the Rangers, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 innings.  Howard has a 9.00 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in two career starts against the Mariners as well.

Seattle is 26-8 in the last 34 meetings, including 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Texas.  Bet the Mariners Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Twins OVER 9

Both the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are hot at the plate right now.  The White Sox have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Twins have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last 10 games overall.

Two struggling starters square off today against these hot lineups.  Lance Lynn is 1-2 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has allowed 13 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts, one of which came against the Twins on July 6 when he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 9-8 victory.

Dylane Bundy is 5-4 with a 4.68 ERA in 15 starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 6-5 victory over the Texas Rangers last time out.  The OVER is 9-4-2 in Bundy's 15 starts this season.

The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings with combined scores of 9 runs or more in six of those seven contests.  Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +116

The Baltimore Orioles are 10-0 in their last 10 games overall with nine wins as underdogs and highly motivated to keep this winning streak alive.  They are above .500 and looking to make a playoff run in the 2nd half of the season.

I think the Orioles have a big rest advantage and a big advantage on the mound today, thus they shouldn't be underdogs here.  The Orioles had yesterday off while the Rays were completing a four-game sweep of the Boston Red Sox Thursday.  Not only are the Rays the more tired team, but they are also in a letdown spot after sweeping Boston.

Tyler Wells is one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 7-4 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 17 starts for the Orioles.  He'll be opposed by Luis Patino, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Rays.   Patino allowed 4 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his lone career start against Baltimore last season.  Roll with the Orioles Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-155)

The Kansas City Royals are missing a ton of players due to being unvaccinated for this series against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They managed to pull the upset as +315 underdogs in Game 1, but they will get blown out in Game 2 against a motivated Blue Jays team with their ace on the mound.

Alex Manoah is one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.  He has proven that his rookie season was no fluke last year by going 9-4 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in eight home starts.

Manoah has owned the Royals, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two career starts against them while pitching 13 shutout innings.  He'll be opposed by Zack Greinke, who is 0-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in seven road starts this season.  He has allowed 9 homers and 29 earned runs in 35 innings on the road this year.

Toronto is 44-18 in its last 62 home meetings with Kansas City.  Instead of laying -350 or more on the money line, we'll take the 200 cents of discount and back them to win by two runs or more.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 8

The books have set the bar way too low tonight with this 8-run total between two of the best lineups in baseball.  The Yankees are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall and 5.3 runs per game against right-handed starters.  The Red Sox are scoring 4.7 runs per game overall and 5.0 runs per game against left-handed starters.

Nathan Eovaldi has good numbers for the Red Sox this season, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  Eovaldi hasn't pitched since June 8th and will certainly be on a pitch count in his first start back from the IL.

Jordan Montgomery also has good numbers this season, which is keeping this total lower than it should be as well.  Montgomery will be facing the Red Sox for a 2nd consecutive start, which is a big advantage for this Boston lineup having just seen him on July 9th.

The OVER is 7-1 in Yankees last eight games overall.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with combined scores of 17, 11, 17 and 11 runs.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Chicago White Sox +147

The Minnesota Twins are too big of favorites over the Chicago White Sox today.  The Twins have allowed at least 5 runs in five of their last six games overall while losing four of them.  Sonny Gray isn't this much better than Johnny Cueto, if better at all.

Gray is 4-2 with a 3.03 ERA in 12 starts this season, but he's averaging just 4.9 innings per start.  He has struggled of late, allowing 8 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Baltimore and Texas.  Gray allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the White Sox.

Cueto is 3-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 1.127 WHIP in 10 starts this season while averaging 6.3 innings per start.  Cueto has been at his best on the road, going 2-1 with a 1.74 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in five starts away from home.  He has never lost to the Twins, going 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Cueto's teams are 6-0 in his six starts as a road underdog of +100 to +150 over the past two seasons.  Take the White Sox Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +141

The St. Louis Cardinals have scored a total of 23 runs in going 3-1 in their last four games.  They would be 4-0 if not for a blown 6-0 lead yesterday.  But that will just add to their motivation today, and I like their chances of pulling the upset over the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight.

Daniel Hudson has been at his best at home this season.  He is 4-1 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in eight home starts.  He'll be opposed by Tyler Anderson, who is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.248 WHIP in seven road starts this season.  Anderson is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.

Anderson has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 (0-3 money line) with a 7.90 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in three career starts against them.  St. Louis is a very profitable 160-155 (+32 Units) as a home underdog since 1997.  Roll with the Cardinals Thursday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston Red Sox +118

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first three games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  They will be looking to avoid the sweep in Game 4 tonight, and I like the value we are getting with them as underdogs.

Kutter Crawford has been impressive in his three starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has posted a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP while allowing just 5 earned runs in 14 innings with 16 K's.  He'll be opposed by Drew Rasmussen, who is getting too much respect from the books for a guy that only averages 4.8 innings per start.

Boston is 16-4 in its last 20 games after stranding 3 or fewer runners on base in its previous game.  Tampa Bay is 8-18 after having won three of its last four games this season.  Bet the Red Sox Thursday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Rangers OVER 7.5

The Oakland A's and Texas Rangers have gone off in this series. They combined for 18 runs in Game 1 and 21 runs in Game 2. This 7.5-run total is set too low today for Game 3.

The Rangers have been hitting the cover off the ball of late, scoring 5 runs or more in five consecutive games and seven of their last eight games overall. The A's have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last eight games overall.

Jon Gray is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA in two career starts against Oakland, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 1/3 innings. Paul Blackburn is 0-1 with a 14.29 ERA and 2.646 WHIP in two career starts against the Rangers, allowing 9 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five home games. The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota Twins -116

The Minnesota Twins come in highly motivated for a victory today against the Milwaukee Brewers. They have lost four of their last five, including Game 1 of this series to the Brewers. Look for the Twins to bounce back today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Joe Ryan has been the ace of Minnesota's staff this season. He is 6-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in seven home starts.

He'll be opposed by Aaron Ashby, who is 2-4 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.510 WHIP in 10 starts this season. Ashby has been at his worst on the road, going 1-3 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.676 WHIP in seven starts away from home.

Minnesota is a perfect 7-0 after losing four of its last five games this season and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot. The Twins are 4-1 in the last five meetings. Take the Twins Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +105 (Game 1)

The Seattle Mariners are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have won eight straight and are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall.  They will stay hot against the Washington Nationals, who are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall to fall to 30-58 on the season.

Chris Flexen is 5-8 with a 4.00 ERA in 16 starts this season to hold his own.  He'll be opposed by Josiah Gray, who is 7-5 with a 4.14 ERA in 16 starts this season.  Gray has been at his worst at home, going 2-5 with a 6.42 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in eight home starts.

The Nationals are 1-12 in Gray's last 13 home starts as an underdog.  Washington is 0-10 in Gray's last 10 home starts in night games.  Seattle is 14-2 in its last 16 road games following four or more consecutive home games.  The Mariners are 11-1 in Flexen's last 12 starts vs. teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game.  Roll with the Mariners in Game 1 Wednesday.

15* DBacks/Giants NL West BAILOUT on Arizona +145

The Arizona Diamondbacks have the advantage on the mound over the San Francisco Giants tonight and should not be underdogs as a result. Plus, this is a struggling Giants team that is just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall while getting held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of their last 13 games overall.

Merrill Kelly is one of the most underrated starters in the big leagues. Kelly is 7-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.233 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.184 WHIP in seven road starts. Kelly has posted a 3.18 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Giants as well.

Alex Cobb has been one of the most overrated starters in the big leagues and continues to be as a -160 favorite today. He is 3-3 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.386 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Cobb is 0-0 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in two career starts against Arizona, both of which have come in the past two seasons.

San Francisco is a woeful 4-12 (-13.3 Units) as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The Giants are 0-7 in their last seven home games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Diamondbacks Monday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Colorado Rockies +131

The Colorado Rockies are showing great value as home underdogs to the San Diego Padres tonight. This is a struggling Padres lineup that has been held to 2 runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games overall and cannot be trusted to lay this big of a number.

The Rockies will go with Jose Urena, who held the Dodgers to one earned run in 6 2/3 innings in his first and only start this season on June 6th. That's no small feat. Urena has posted a 3.77 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in five career starts against the Padres.

Sean Manaea is 3-4 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.234 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in his last three starts. Manaea is 0-2 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in two career starts against Colorado.

The Rockies are 36-16 in the last 52 home meetings. Colorado is 5-0 in the last five meetings overall. The Padres are 2-7 in their last nine road games. The Rockies are 7-2 in the last nine home games. Colorado is hitting .282 and scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Roll with the Rockies Monday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Rays OVER 7.5

The Boston Red Sox have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 12 games overall. They have been hot at the plate for weeks. The Tampa Bay Rays have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.

Brayan Bello made his MLB debut against the Rays on July 6th. He allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 innings of a 7-1 defeat. He will be facing the Rays again here, which is a huge advantage for Tampa Bay hitters.

Matt Wisler has posted a 4.65 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in his eight seasons in the big leagues. The Red Sox will get to him today.

The OVER is 4-0 in Red Sox last four games overall. The OVER is 5-0-1 in Rays last six home games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -110

The Cleveland Guardians put an end to their five-game losing streak with an emphatic 13-1 victory over the Kansas City Royals yesterday.  Look for them to make it two in a row due to their advantage on the mound today.

Zach Plesac has gone at least 6 innings while allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  He has posted a 2.14 ERA in those seven starts while allowing just 10 earned runs in 42 innings.

Plesac has never lost to the Royals, going 6-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Zack Greinke, who is 2-5 with a 4.85 ERA in 13 starts this season.

The Guardians are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings, including 19-7 in the last 26 meetings in Kansas City. The Royals are 18-38 in their last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Guardians Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on San Francisco Giants +100

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost the first two games of this series to their hated rivals in the Padres.  Look for them to bounce back in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound.

Yu Darvish has solid numbers this season, but he cannot figure out the Giants.  Darvish is 2-2 with a 7.13 ERA in eight career starts against them.  Most of the damage has been done in his most recent starts against them.  Indeed, Darvish is 0-2 with a 17.18 ERA in his last three starts against them, allowing 21 earned runs and 6 homers in 11 innings.

Carlos Rodon is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 7-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.110 WHIP in 16 starts this season with a whopping 112 K's in 91 innings and only 4 homers allowed.  Rodon held the Padres to 2 runs in 6 innings on May 21st in his line career start against them.  Take the Giants Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball.  They are 28-8 in their last 36 games overall with 23 wins by two runs or more.  The Washington Nationals or 1-8 in their last nine games overall with six losses by two runs or more.  Atlanta won 12-2 in Game 1 of this series, and it should be more of the same today due to their advantage on the mound.

Kyle Wright has proven to be the ace of this Atlanta staff.  Wright is 9-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Pat Corbin, who is 4-10 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.669 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-5 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.896 WHIP in seven road starts.

Corbin just cannot beat the Braves.  He is 0-7 with a 7.25 ERA in his last seven starts against them while allowing 29 earned runs in 36 innings.  He has allowed 17 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them as well.  

The Braves are scoring 5.7 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Atlanta is 39-19 in its last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter, including 9-2 in its last 11 home games vs. a southpaw.  The Braves are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Phillies/Cardinals NL Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on St. Louis -109

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing four of their last five games overall, including Game 1 of this series to Philadelphia.  Look for them to bounce back in Game 2 today due to their advantage on the mound.

Dakota Hudson has done his best work at home this season.  He is 4-1 with a 3.03 ERA in seven starts at Busch Stadium this year.  Hudson owns the Phillies, going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA In two career starts against them.

Kyle Gibson has been at his worst on the road this season.  He is 0-2 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in seven road starts this season.  Gibson just faced the Cardinals on July 2nd in his last start and allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 innings.  He is now 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.700 WHIP In two career starts against them.

The Cardinals are 16-3 in Hudson's last 19 starts with a money line of +100 to -150.  St. Louis is 23-7 in Hudson's 30 career home starts.  Roll with the Cardinals Saturday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants +132

The San Diego Padres cannot be this big of a favorite today.  They are 3-8 in their last 11 games overall and have scored 2 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games overall.  They won't get much off of San Francisco starter Sam Long, who has a 0.90 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 innings as a starter this season.

While the Padres are cold as ice offensively, the main reason for fading them today is fading Blake Snell.  He is 0-5 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.463 WHIP in eight starts this season, and the Padres are 0-8 (-9.6 Units) in his eight starts.  The Tampa Bay Rays certainly knew something when they let him walk.

The Giants are 15-9 vs. left-handed starters this season and scoring 5.0 runs per game against them.  The Padres are only scoring 3.6 runs per game at home this season.  San Francisco is 10-1 in road games after a game where the bullpen didn't allow a single earned run this season.  Bet the Giants Friday.

20* AL Central TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Tigers/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER between the Detroit Tigers and Chicago White Sox today.  There are expected to be 19 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago.  Not to mention, both of these starting pitchers are terrible.

Tarik Skubal is 0-3 with an 9.00 ERA and 1.784 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 14 earned runs in 14 innings.  Skubal is 2-2 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.9-9 WHIP in five career starts against the White Sox with the OVER going 4-1.  Chicago has feasted on left-handed pitching over the past couple seasons.

Lucas Giolito is 5-4 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in 14 starts this season while allowing 15 homers in 75 1/3 innings.  Giolito is 5-5 with a 4.36 ERA in 15 career starts against Detroit.  He will be up against a red hot Detroit lineup that has scored 4 runs or more in six of their last seven games overall.

The OVER is 6-0 in White Sox last six games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/Rangers OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins and Texas Rangers are both hot at the plate right now.  The Twins have scored 22 runs in their last three games overall, while the Rangers have scored at least 6 runs in five of their last nine games overall.  These teams should easily combine for more than 8 runs to top this total tonight.

Sonny Gray has good numbers for the Twins this season, but he is only averaging 5.0 innings per start.  That means the Rangers are likely to get into their bullpen early.  The Twins have a terrible bullpen that has blown 15 saves already this season.

Jon Gray has solid numbers for the Rangers as well with a 3.96 ERA In 14 starts.  But he's also averaging just 5.5 innings per start, and he is backed by a Texas bullpen that has blown 13 saves this season.  

There have been 8 or more combined runs in seven of Gray's last eight starts against the Rangers.  The OVER is 18-7-1 in Twins last 26 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

Instead of laying -270 or so on the Los Angeles Dodgers on the money line today, I'll gladly back them on the Run Line instead and save upwards of -150 for them to win by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound that should have them winning in blowout fashion.

Tony Gonsolin is 10-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in 15 starts this season and among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.  Gonsolin is 6-0 with a 0.88 ERA and 0.707 WHIP in seven home starts.

He'll be opposed by Mark Leiter Jr., who is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.822 WHIP In three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.  He is now 5-9 with a 5.39 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 143 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  The Dodgers will tee off on him tonight.

The Dodgers are 23-3 in their last 26 home games after a combined score of 4 runs or less and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 3-16 when revenging a home loss to an opponent by 6 runs or more and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Braves UNDER 8.5

This should be a pitcher's duel tonight between two of the best starters in the National League.  The Braves are only scoring 4.2 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.  The Cardinals are 1-5 in their last six games overall while scoring 3 runs or fewer in five of those six games.  They have a ton of injuries that are hurting their offensive production.

Miles Mikolas is 5-6 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Mikolas has posted a 2.70 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in four career starts against the Braves.

Max Fried is 8-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 1.026 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  Fried owns the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a 0.46 ERA and 0.813 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing just one earned run in 19 2/3 innings.

The UNDER is 13-2 in Mikolas' 15 career starts as a road underdog of +125 to +175.  The UNDER is 17-5 in Fried's last 22 starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game.  The UNDER is 7-0-2 in Cardinals last nine games vs. a left-handed starter.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Cardinals last seven games.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Braves last five home games.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

It's safe to say the Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday.  They have lost five straight overall for the first time this season, and they have been upset as big favorites in each of the first two games of this series by the Oakland A's.  Look for them to avoid the sweep with a blowout victory in Game 3 Wednesday.

Jose Berrios will get the job done here even though he has struggled this season.  He'll be up against an Oakland team that is 10-29 at home this season where they are hitting .197 and scoring 2.5 runs per game.  Berrios has posted a 4.27 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in seven career starts against the A's.

This is definitely a fade of James Kaprielian as much as anything.  Kaprielian is 1-5 with a 5.43 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in five starts in Oakland.

Oakland is 0-9 in home games after a win by two runs or less this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Toronto is 35-12 in its last 47 games when revenging two straight losses as a road favorite and winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Twins/White Sox AL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on on Chicago -109

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Minnesota Twins.  In fact, they have now lost five straight to the Twins, adding to their motivation as they are chasing this team in the division.

Lance Lynn looks back to full strength after pitching 6 shutout innings in a 1-0 victory over the Giants in his last start.  Lynn has never lost to the Twins, going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in five career starts against them.

The Twins are 5-15 in their last 20 games following a win.  Chicago is 42-18 in its last 60 home games following a loss.  Bet the White Sox Wednesday.

20* AL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-104)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing four games in a row for just the second time all season.  Look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory over the lowly Oakland A's today.

Yusei Kikuchi certainly loves facing the A's, posting a 3.19 ERA and 1.229 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  And this is one of the worst Oakland offenses we've ever seen.  The A's are 9-29 at home this season where they are hitting .198 and scoring 2.4 runs per game as a team.

The Blue Jays will get their bats going against Adrian Martinez, who just gave up 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Mariners in his last start.  It's amazing Martinez even got a shot in the big leagues with the A's considering he has a 4.71 ERA and 1.401 WHIP at all levels dating back to 2017.  He has posted a 5.63 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 13 starts at Triple-A Las Vegas this season.

Toronto is 9-1 after scoring one run or less this season and coming back to win by 2.0 runs per game.  Oakland is 1-11 in home games vs. left-handed starters this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game.  The A's are 1-11 in home games following a win this season, losing by 3.8 runs per game.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Twins/White Sox AL Central ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -122

The Chicago White Sox had the Minnesota Twins by the balls last night, but somehow flew out into a triple play with two on and no outs in the 8th.  It was terrible base running by both runners, and I had the White Sox and was not impressed.  But I'm back on the White Sox today knowing they will come back highly motivated for revenge against the team they are trailing in the AL Central.

I also believe the White Sox have the advantage on the mound tonight.  Michael Kopech has posted a 2.78 ERA and 1.029 WHIP in 14 starts this season and has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball.  Kopech has done his best work at home, posting a 2.08 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in seven starts in Chicago.  He has pitched 7 shutout innings in two career starts against Minnesota.

Chris Archer has been a nice comeback story for the Twins this season in going 2-3 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 15 starts.  But Archer is only averaging 4.1 innings per start, so the Twins are playing it smart knowing he's likely to get rocked if they leave him in there any longer.  The White Sox will get to him and then their bullpen shortly after.

Chicago is 42-17 in its last 59 home games following a loss.  Minnesota is 4-15 in its last 19 games following a win.  The White Sox are 9-3 in their last 12 home meetings with the Twins.  Roll with the White Sox Tuesday.

20* NL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-115)

The New York Mets have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate over the Cincinnati Reds tonight that should have them easily winning this game by two runs or more.  Max Scherzer is a machine, so I'm not concerned about him making his first start back from the IL.

Scherzer is 5-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in eight starts this season and has been off since May 18th.  It could prove to be exactly the break he needed if the Mets are to make a deep postseason run.  Scherzer owns the Reds, going 6-2 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.852 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Nick Lodolo has been off even longer than Scherzer.  He hasn't started a game since April 24th for the Reds.  Lodolo is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in three starts this season.  He will certainly be on a pitch count tonight.

Scherzer's teams are 27-8 in his last 35 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  Cincinnati is 5-22 coming off a three-game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Scherzer's teams are 21-4 in his last 25 starts vs. an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse and winning by 2.6 runs per game.  Scherzer's teams are 13-1 in his last 14 starts vs. a NL team slugging .400 or worse and winning by 3.1 runs per game.  Take the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 1 of this series against the Oakland A's after losing three straight to the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend.  They won't take the A's lightly as a result, and they send their ace to the mound to get back on track.

Alek Manoah is one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.  He has followed up his tremendous rookie season by going 9-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  Manoah held the A's to 2 earned runs in 6 innings of a 4-3 victory on April 17th in his lone start against them this season.

Cole Irvin is 0-3 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts for the A's.  Irivn allowed 7 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of an 8-0 loss to the Blue Jays in his most recent start against them last season.  The A's are 8-29 at home this season where they are hitting .197 and scoring 2.3 runs per game.

In fact, Oakland has just 4 wins since May 25th against teams not named Kansas City.  The A's are 1-11 as home underdogs of +125 or more this season and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Oakland is 1-20 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better this season and losing by 2.9 runs per game.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago White Sox -120

The Chicago White Sox are starting to play up to their potential by going 4-1 in their last five games overall and scoring 13 and 11 runs in two of those victories.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate tonight in Game 1 of this series against Dylan Bundy and the Minnesota Twins.

Bundy is 4-4 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.292 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 6.41 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in eight road starts.  The Twins are 1-9 in Bundy's last 10 starts coming in.

Johnny Cueto has proven to be a great addition to this Chicago rotation this season.  Cueto has posted a 3.12 ERA and 1.143 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Cueto has never lost to the Twins, going 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Chicago is 9-2 in its last 11 home meetings with Minnesota.  Bet the White Sox Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -149

The New York Mets have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate over the Cincinnati Reds in Game 1 of this series that should lead them to a comfortable victory Monday night.  The Mets are 49-30 and one of the best teams in baseball, while the Reds are 27-51 and one of the worst.

Taijuan Walker is one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season.  He is 6-2 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.950 WHIP in his last three.

Hunter Greene is 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.338 WHIP in 15 starts this season for the Reds while allowing a whopping 20 homers in 74 innings.  Greene has been at his worst at home, going 2-3 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in six starts in Cincinnati.  The Reds have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 5.79 ERA and 1.514 WHIP on the season.

Walker's teams are 15-4 when he's +100 to -150 over the last two seasons and winning by 2.2 runs per game on average.  The Mets are 21-6 in their last 27 during Game 1 of a series.  New York is 33-14 in the last 47 meetings, including 17-7 in the last 24 meetings in Cincinnati.  The Reds are 3-13 in their last 16 home games, including 1-8 in their last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Roll with the Mets Monday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Diamondbacks/Rockies UNDER 11.5

These are two of the worst offenses in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are hitting .206 and scoring 4.0 runs per game against right-handed starters, while the Rockies are hitting .244 and scoring 3.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Both aces go today for both teams, so this game should stay well UNDER this 11.5-run total.

Zac Gallen is 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 14 starts this season for the Diamondbacks.  Gallen owns the Rockies, going 3-1 with a 2.11 ERA in eight career starts against them.  He is one of the most underrated starters in baseball.

Chad Kuhl is 5-5 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  Amazingly, Kuhl has been at his best at Coors Field, going 3-2 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.991 WHIP in six home starts.  Kuhl held the Diamondbacks to one run in 6 innings of a 4-1 defeat on May 6th in his lone start against them this season.

Colorado is 53-32 UNDER in its last 85 home games with a total set of 11 or higher.  Arizona is 7-0 UNDER after allowing 10 runs or more this season.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -109

The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 29-13 in their last 42 games overall.  Shockingly, they have lost the first two games of this series to the lowly Chicago Cubs thanks to self-inflicted wounds.  That just means they'll come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 to avoid the sweep.

The Red Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.  Boston is 6-0 in its last six Sunday games.  The Red Sox are 40-15 in their last 55 games after losing the first two games of a series.  The Cubs are 10-31 in their last 41 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 interleague home games.  Bet the Red Sox Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115)

The Milwaukee Brewers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  Brandon Woodruff is 6-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three.

Woodruff is 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 10 career starts against Pittsburgh and the Brewers have gone 8-2 in those 10 starts with seven wins by two runs or more.  He'll be opposed by Zach Thompson, who is 2-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.406 WHIP In 12 starts this season.  Thompson has faced the Brewers once in his career, allowing 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 6-1 defeat back on April 18th this season.

The Brewers are 17-3 in their last 20 Sunday road games.  Milwaukee is 75-36 in its last 111 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight road games.  Milwaukee is 40-15 in the last 55 meetings, including 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -134

The Boston Red Sox are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have gone 29-12 in their last 41 games overall.  They should be bigger favorites over the lowly Chicago Cubs today.  They'll come back highly motivated for a win after blowing a 4-0 lead in a 6-5 loss to the Cubs yesterday.

Josh Winckowski is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in his last three starts for the Red Sox.  Alec Mills will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Cubs.  His first was a disaster as he allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 2/3 innings against the Cardinals on June 26th.  Mills is 12-14 with a 4.96 ERA in 256 innings in the big leagues.

The Red Sox are 42-12 in their last 54 interleague road games.  Boston is 13-3 in its last 16 games following a loss.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 9

The Detroit Tigers have the worst offense in baseball.  They are hitting .227 and scoring 3.0 runs per game this season.  The Kansas City Royals haven't been much better, hitting .238 and scoring 3.8 runs per game.  The Royals have scored 4 runs or fewer in five straight games, while the Tigers have scored 3 runs or fewer in three straight.

I like what I've seen from Detroit's Beau Brieske, especially at home.  Brieske is 1-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in five home starts this season.  Kris Bubic has poor numbers, but he owns the Tigers, going 2-0 with a 2.67 ERA in five career starts against them.  The UNDER is 4-1 in those five starts.

The Tigers are 7-0 in Brieske's seven starts following a loss this season.  The UNDER is 15-3 in Tigers 18 games following a loss by two runs or less this season.  The UNDER is 8-1 in Royals last nine road games.  The UNDER is 24-7-1 in the last 32 meetings.  The UNDER is 26-10-2 in Tigers last 38 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The UNDER is 33-15-3 in Tigers last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-125)

I cashed the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line yesterday in their 19-2 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  I'm going back to the well here today.  The Brewers are hot at the plate having scored 4 runs or more in nine consecutive games.

Milwaukee has the advantage on the mound with Aaron Ashby, who has posted a 0.93 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in two career starts against Pittsburgh, allowing just one earned run in 9 2/3 innings.  The Brewers will feast on Bryse Wilson, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.

Indeed, Wilson is 0-3 with a 12.19 ERA and 2.322 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings.  He has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-25 in its last 32 games following a loss by 15 runs or more and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 75-35 in its last 110 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-1 in their last seven road games.  Milwaukee is 40-14 in the last 54 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-110)

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in eight consecutive games.  They are hot at the plate and they should have no problem beating the Pittsburgh Pirates by two runs or more with their ace on the mound tonight.

Corbin Burnes is 6-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in 15 starts this season with a whopping 119 K's in 93 1/3 innings.  Burnes has been at his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  He has never lost to the Pirates, going 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-26 in its last 33 games following two or more consecutive wins and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 74-35 in its last 109 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 39-14 in the last 53 meetings.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -130

The Boston Red Sox are the hottest team in baseball.  They have gone 29-11 in their last 40 games overall.  They should be bigger favorites over the lowly Chicago Cubs today given the spot.  The Red Sox had yesterday off while the Cubs completed a series with the Reds Thursday.  Boston is the fresher, healthier, better team here.

Rich Hill has been at his best on the road this season, going 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in eight starts away from home.  Hill is 2-1 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.806 WHIP in five career starts against the Cubs.  Chicago has struggled against left-handed starters this season.

Adrian Sampson will make his second start of the season for the Cubs.  Sampson is 7-14 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.387 WHIP across 199 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is 0-1 with a 9.31 ERA and 1.758 WHIP In two career starts against Boston, allowing 10 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 2/3 innings.

Chicago is 1-10 in its last 11 games following a win by 6 runs or more over a division opponent.  Boston is a perfect 7-0 in its last seven games following an off day.  The Red Sox are 42-11 in their last 53 interleague road games.  The Cubs are 6-20 in their last 26 interleague games.  Bet the Red Sox Friday.

20* Yankees/Astros AL No-Brainer on New York -117

The New York Yankees are the best team in baseball at 56-20 this season.  We are getting them at a pretty great value as short favorites over the Houston Astros tonight in Game 1 of this series and we'll take advantage.

The Yankees have the advantage on the mound and at the plate in Game 1.  Luis Severino is 4-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.069 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 87 K's in 72 innings.  Severino allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings to the Astros in his lone start against them this season.

Luis Garcia is 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.056 WHIP In 13 starts this season with 12 homers allowed in 71 innings.  Garcia is 3-2 with a 5.18 ERA in six home starts with 7 homers allowed in 33 innings.  He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Yankees in his lone career start against them last season.

The Yankees score 5.0 runs per game this season and 5.2 runs per game on the road.  The Astros score 4.3 runs per game on the season and 4.1 runs per game at home.  They will be without Michael Brantley (.288 in 243 AB's) and could be without both Yordan Alvarez (23 HR, 56 RBI) and Jeremy Pena (.275 in 204 AB's), who are questionable.

The Yankees are 49-14 in their last 63 games overall.  New York is 14-2 in its last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Yankees Thursday.

15* AL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +173

The Chicago White Sox are undervalued right now due to their 35-38 record this season.  They have way too much talent to have that record, and some injuries have held them back.  But they are getting healthier and coming off an 11-4 victory over the Angels yesterday.

The White Sox cannot be this big of an underdog to the Angels with Michael Kopech on the mound.  He has posted a 2.58 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Shohei Ohtani has been great, but even his numbers don't match Kopech.  He has a 2.90 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 12 starts this season.

The Angels are 9-24 in their last 33 games overall, which is also why they can't be this big of a favorite.  Los Angeles is 3-13 in its last 16 games vs. a starting pitcher with better than a 1.15 WHIP.  Chicago is 7-3 in its last 10 road games.  Take the White Sox Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Colorado Rockies +175

The Los Angeles Dodgers are without Mookie Betts and struggling at the plate right now.  They have scored a total of 16 runs in their last five games overall for an average of just 3.2 runs per game.  They have dropped the first two games of this series to the Rockies while getting outscored 11-4 in the process.

German Marquez is going through his best stretch of the season and just seems to dominate every year in June.  He is 3-0 with a 3.16 ERA in his last four starts while allowing only 9 earned runs in 25 2/3 innings.  Marquez owns the Dodgers, going 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.

Julio Urias has posted some great numbers this season, but he does not enjoy facing the Rockies.  Urias is 2-2 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.  It has gone even worse for him over the past two seasons as he has allowed 15 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings for a 6.86 ERA in his last four starts against them.

The Dodgers are 1-6 (-10.5 Units) in Urias' seven starts as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season.  The Rockies are 9-2 (+9.4 Units) in Marquez's last 11 home starts as an underdog.  Los Angeles tends to get swept in this situation, going 0-7 in their last seven games after losing the first two games of a series.  Colorado is 42-34 (+21.3 Units) vs. left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  Roll with the Rockies Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cubs OVER 7.5

The Cincinnati Reds have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall.  The Chicago Cubs have scored a total of 36 runs in their last six games overall for an average of 6.0 runs per game.  These teams should easily combine for 8 runs or more today to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket.

Justin Steele is 2-5 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.454 WHIP in 14 starts this season.  He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-7 loss to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.  Steele allowed 7 earned runs in 2 innings to the Reds on May 26th to fall to 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.091 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Hunter Greene has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-8 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in 14 starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Greene allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings against the Cubs opposite Steele on May 26th.

The OVER is 10-2 in Steele's last 12 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 18-8-3 in Cubs last 29 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 21-8-3 in Reds last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+120)

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory after going just 2-6 in their last eight games overall during one of their worst stretches of the season.  Now they face the lowly Detroit Tigers and will get right with a blowout victory in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.

The Giants have a big advantage on the mound behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.087 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in six home starts.  He has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.619 WHIP while allowing just one earned run in 21 innings with 26 K's.

Rodon is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts against the Tigers, allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 innings with a whopping 27 K's.  He'll be opposed by Tarik Skubal, who has come back down to reality in his last three starts.  He has gone 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA and 2.048 WHIP while allowing 15 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

The Giants are 14-7 and scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  The Tigers are hitting .213 and scoring 2.7 runs per game on the road this season.  Detroit is 9-22 in its last 31 road games.  San Francisco is 23-9 in its last 32 games following an off day.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Dodgers/Rockies UNDER 11

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing without Mookie Betts right now and struggling at the plate.  They have scored a total of just 12 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 3.0 runs per game after getting shut out 4-0 by the Rockies yesterday.

Colorado hasn't been any better at the plate.  The Rockies have scored 4 runs or fewer in six consecutive games and an average of just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch.  Oddsmakers have set this total way too high today between the Dodgers and Rockies given how poorly both are at the plate.

Amazingly, the UNDER is 15-1-1 in Kyle Freeland's 17 career starts against the Dodgers where he has gone 3-8 with a respectable 4.42 ERA in those 17 starts.  Clayton Kershaw is 24-9 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 44 career starts against Colorado.  Kershaw has a 2.00 ERA in eight starts this season, while Freeland has a 4.29 ERA in 14 starts.

The UNDER is 36-16 in Freeland's 52 career starts with a total of 11 or higher.  The UNDER is 7-1-2 in Dodgers last 10 games following a loss.  The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Dodgers last eight road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The UNDER is 41-19-1 in Rockies last 61 games with a total of 11 or higher.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Astros/Mets Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Houston Astros and New York Mets have two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Mets are scoring 4.9 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game at home.  The Astros are scoring 4.3 runs per game overall and 4.4 runs per game on the road.  These teams should easily combine for 8 runs or more to top this total in Game 1 of this interleague series tonight.

Carlos Carrasco just faced the Astros in his last start and allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 1/3 innings.  Carrasco is now 1-2 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.950 WHIP in his last three starts coming in, allowing 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

Framber Valdez is a solid lefty for the Astros, but the Mets will get to him enough to help contribute to this OVER today.  He has allowed 3 earned runs in each of his last two starts coming in.

The OVER is 32-14 in Carrasco's last 46 home starts following a team loss.  The OVER is 15-5 in Mets last 20 games vs. AL teams that score 4.4 or more runs per game.  The OVER is 6-1 in Astros last seven during Game 1 of a series.  The OVER is 8-1 in Mets last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 19-9-3 in Mets last 31 games overall.  The OVER is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings.  Take the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Twins/Guardians OVER 8

The Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians just squared off five days ago with this same pitching matchup of Sonny Gray vs. Triston McKenzie. The Guardians won 11-10 for 21 combined runs. It should be another easy OVER today.

McKenzie allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in that outing. Gray allowed 3 earned runs and 8 hits in 4 innings opposite him.

McKenzie is now 1-4 with a 6.39 ERA in six career starts against Minnesota. Gray hasn't made out out of the 5th inning in any of his last three starts against Cleveland.

The OVER is 8-2 in Guardians last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 26-10 OVER in its last 36 games vs. a AL team with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.40 or better. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Dodgers/Braves ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -110

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday to win this series and get some revenge on the Braves, who knocked them out of the postseason last year.  I like their chances with the underrated Tony Gonsolin on the mound tonight.

Gonsolin is 9-0 with a 1.58 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in 13 starts this season and a clear Cy Young contender.  He fired 6 shutout innings in a 5-1 victory over the Braves on April 20th in his lone start against them this season.

Spencer Strider has tremendous stuff for the Braves with 35 K's in 23 1/3 innings.  But he doesn't control it very well as he has already allowed 14 earned runs and 11 walks in those 23 1/3 innings for a 5.40 ERA.  He is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.

The Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season, while the Braves are only scoring 4.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Los Angeles is 91-43 in its last 134 games overall so it's rare to get them at even money like we are tonight.  Roll with the Dodgers Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Padres UNDER 7.5

Both teams are dealing with some injuries that are going to help us cash this UNDER.  Bryce Harper just suffered a broken hand yesterday and is out for the Phillies.  The Padres have been without three of their best hitters in Machado, Tatis Jr. and Myers for a while now.

It's a big reason the Padres have scored 4 runs or less in eight of their last nine games overall.  They will struggle to get to Kyle Gibson, who si 4-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.210 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in his last three.  Gibson is also 2-1 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in four career starts against San Diego.

Yu Darvish is back this season.  He is 7-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 13 starts, including 4-1 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.645 WHIP in six home starts.  Darvish is 2-1 with a 1.88 ERA and 0.913 WHIP in sis career starts against Philadelphia.  These two starters squared off on May 19th already this season with Darvish getting the upper hand on Gibson in a 2-0 victory by the Padres.  It should be more of the same in this pitcher's duel today.

Darvish is 8-0 UNDER with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  San Diego is 7-0 UNDER in home games after a five-game span where the bullpen posted a 2.00 ERA or better this season.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Padres last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  These three trends combine for a perfect 22-0 system backing the UNDER today.  Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blue Jays/Brewers OVER 9.5

The Toronto Blue Jays are absolutely raking right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 21 of their last 29 games overall while going 18-11 during this stretch.  They have scored a total of 45 runs in their last six games for an average of 7.5 runs per game against the White Sox, Yankees and Brewers.

The Blue Jays will stay hot at the plate today against Chi Chi Gonzalez, who is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in three starts this season.  He hasn't made it out of the 5th inning in any of his three starts while allowing 9 earned runs in 11 innings.  Gonzalez is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts against the Blue Jays, one of which came on June 3rd of this year.

The Brewers will certainly do their part to contribute to this OVER.  They have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  They will tee off on Jose Berrios, who is 2-3 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in eight road starts this season, pitching his worst away from home.

The OVER is 24-6 in Blue Jays last 30 games overall.  The OVER is 9-1 in Blue Jays 10 games following a one-run loss this season.  The OVER is 10-3 in Berrios' 13 starts this season.  The OVER is 18-9 in Milwaukee's 27 day games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-107)

The San Francisco Giants come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight and five of their last six.  That includes a 4-2 loss to the Reds yesterday as a -210 favorite.  They will win in blowout fashion today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Logan Webb is 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA in seven home starts.  He is the clear ace of this San Francisco staff.  Webb fired 6 shutout innings in a 6-3 victory over the Reds in his line career start against them last season.

Mike Minor is 1-3 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four starts this season.  Minor is 0-2 with a 10.12 ERA in his last two start against the Giants, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings of blowout 14-2 and 9-2 losses.

The Giants are 19-2 in Webb's 21 home starts over the past two seasons and winning by 2.3 runs per game.  San Francisco is also 19-2 in Webb's last 21 starts vs. teams that strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game and winning by 3.3 runs per game on average.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -124

The Philadelphia Phillies are 16-5 in their last 21 games overall and playing their best baseball of the season.  The San Diego Padres are 3-4 in their last seven games overall and have been held to 4 runs or fewer in six of those seven games.  They are struggling to score runs right now due to being without three of their best hitters in Tatis Jr, Machado and Myers.

The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should lead them to victory.  Aaron Nola is 4-4 with a 3.11 ERA and 0.859 WHIP in 14 starts this season, 2-3 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in seven road starts, and 1-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three starts.

Nola has posted a 3.38 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in seven career starts against San Diego.  He'll be opposed by Mackenzie Gore, who is coming off two of his worst starts of the season.  He is 0-2 with a 19.91 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings.  

The Phillies are scoring 5.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season and 5.2 runs per game on the road.  The Padres are scoring just 3.9 runs per game at home.  Philadelphia is 7-0 in its last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Phillies are 40-18 in their last 58 trips to San Diego.  Roll with the Phillies Friday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -144

The Toronto Blue Jays are absolutely raking right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 20 of their last 27 games overall while going 17-10 during this stretch.  They have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and a total of 32 runs in those four games against the White Sox and Yankees.

The Blue Jays come in fresh and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off.  Meanwhile, the Brewers concluded a four-game series with the St. Louis Cardinals yesterday.  I'll gladly back the fresher Blue Jays who have a massive advantage on the mound tonight.

Alek Manoah has backed up his incredible rookie season with a Cy Young-worthy campaign thus far in 2022.  He is 8-2 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Houser, who is 1-2 with a 6.48 ERA in his last three starts to fall to 4-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in 13 starts this season.

The Blue Jays are 25-8 in Manoah's 33 starts over the past two seasons.  Toronto is 10-4 in its last 14 road games.  The Blue Jays are 16-7 in their last 23 interleague games.  The Brewers are 2-8 in their last 10 home games.  Bet the Blue Jays Friday.