20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -127

The Cincinnati Reds have a big rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies tonight.  The Reds had Thursday off while the Rockies were stuck playing a double-header in Kansas City.  The Rockies won't have much left in the tank today, and the Reds should take Game 1 with ease.

The Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Rockies are 4-20 on the year and scoring just 3.2 runs per game.  The Reds are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with the Rockies.

Andrew Abbott has allowed 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 11 innings with 16 K's in his first two starts this season.  Abbott has allowed just 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 19 innings with 24 K's in his last three starts against Colorado.

Kyle Freeland has allowed 11 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts for the Rockies.  Bet the Reds Friday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Yankees OVER 9.5

Two gas can starting pitchers go tonight for the Blue Jays and Yankees in what should be a classic AL East slug fest at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.

Jose Berrios has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 21 2/3 innings this season.  Berrios allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings in his last start against the Yankees.

Carlos Carrasco has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his four starts this season.  These are two of the worst starters in baseball.  The Yankees and Blue Jays have combined for at least 9 runs in eight of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Celtics/Magic ESPN No-Brainer on Orlando +6

The Orlando Magic have one of the biggest home/road splits in the playoffs over the last couple seasons.  They are a much better team at home, and I expect a big effort from them in Game 3 to possibly pull off the upset over the Boston Celtics.

I like what I saw from the Magic in Game 2 as they only lost by 9 as 10.5-point dogs at Boston despite shooting just 7-of-29 (24%) from 3 and 15-of-24 (62%) from the FT line.  There is big room for improvement in both areas in Game 3.

The Celtics went 25-of-33 (76%) from the FT line in Game 2 and still only won by 9.  They were without Jayson Tatum due to a wrist injury, and there's a good chance he's out again.  I like the Magic either way.

The Magic are 5-5 SU & 6-4 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Celtics.  The Magic are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four home meetings with the Celtics with three outright upsets.  They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings.  Bet the Magic Friday.

20* Nuggets/Clippers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5

The Los Angeles Clippers blew a double-digit lead in Game 1 and were in control the entire way until the final few minutes of regulation and OT.  They responded in a big way with a win in Game 2 and really should be up 2-0 in this series.  It's clear they are the better, deeper team.

Now I expect them to take control of this series with a win and cover in Game 3 tonight.  They should get a lot more from their role players who are always more comfortable at home.  And the Nuggets just don't have any role players, plus Michael Porter Jr. injured his shoulder in Game 2 and didn't return to the game and may be out for Game 3.

That would be a big blow to the Nuggets, who just don't have any depth.  They basically play six players with only Russell Westbrook providing any significant minutes off the bench, and he can be a liability at times when he gets trigger happy.  The other three players are Watson, Pickett and Jordan who combined for a total of 5 points in 25 minutes in Game 2.

Ivaca Zubac defends Nikola Jokic as well as any big man in the NBA.  Kawhi Leonard looks like his old self and had 39 points in Game 2.  James Harden is also playing well, and Powell and Dunn are two underrated starters.  The bench of Jones Jr., Batum, Bogdanovic and Simmons provide valuable minutes.  Those four should take their games to the next level being back at home tonight.  Bet the Clippers Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Sutter Health Park, which is a Triple-A Park in Sacramento.

Jacob DeGrom is getting way too much respect from the books tonight.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts and is working his way back from injury and on a pitch count.

J.T. Ginn is an unproven rookie who is 2-2 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 44 innings in the big leagues.  He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Brewers in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Thunder/Grizzlies TNT ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -8.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder own the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Thunder are 11-0 SU & 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings with the Grizzlies.  Nine of their last 10 wins have come by 13 points or more, including all six meetings this season.  They won by 51 in Game 1 and by 19 in Game 2.

The Grizzlies realize there's nothing they can do to match up with the Thunder.  The Thunder are too deep and they pull away even when their bench comes in.  The Grizzlies rely too much on Morant, Jackson and Bane to provide the bulk of their scoring because they just don't get much anywhere else.  It hurts that they lost Jaylen Wells to a season-ending injury to boot.  Bet the Thunder Thursday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Nationals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Nationals tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left at Nationals Park.  The Orioles had 13 base runners last night but only managed 3 runs.  Look for them to bust out of their funk tonight.

They should tee off on MacKenzie Gore, who has allowed 11 earned runs and 34 base runners in 23 innings in his last four starts.  The Nationals should stay hot at the plate.  Cade Povich has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 38 base runners in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Both starters won't get away with stranding so many base runners as they have thus far.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Royals OVER 8.5 (Game 2)

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Rockies and Royals in Game 2 of this double-header this afternoon.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City.  That's bad news for these two gas can starting pitchers.

Chase Dollander is 1-2 with a 7.36 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 15 runs, 12 earned, and a whopping 8 homers in 14 2/3 innings thus far.  The Royals are capable of covering this total on their own.

Michael Lorenzen is 1-3 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts this season.  Lorenzen has been rocked for 7 earned runs and 18 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Lorenzen has also allowed 13 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado. Bet the OVER in Game 2 Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  There will be light winds blowing out to center and temps in the 60's at Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is extremely hitter-friendly.  These teams combined for 13 runs in Game 1 yesterday and it should be more of the same in Game 2 tonight.

Kumar Rocker has allowed 13 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Rocker allowed 3 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the A's.

JP Sears is due some regression after feasting on a very easy schedule of opponents.  He has gotten to face the White Sox, Rockies and Mariners thus far.  His worst start of the season came against the Mets in a 7-6 home loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Brewers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 6.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 16-8 OVER in all games while scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.2 runs per game as well.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 6.5 ticket.

Logan Webb and Freddy Peralta are both getting too much respect with this total at just 6.5 tonight.  Peralta's last two starts against the Giants have seen 16 and 8 combined runs.  Webb has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Brewers with 9 and 14 combined runs in two of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Warriors/Rockets TNT No-Brainer on Houston -2

The Houston Rockets couldn't have played worse in Game 1 and it was still a one-possession game in the 4th quarter with the Warriors.  It was a 4-point game in the final couple minutes before the Warriors pulled away late for a 10-point victory.

Let's just look at the Rockets' miscues in Game 1 that are easily going to be better in Game 2.  The Rockets committed 16 turnovers, shot 34-of-87 (39%) from the field, 6-of-29 (21%) from 3-point range and 11-of-20 (55%) from the FT line.  I don't think it seriously could have gone worse, yet they still had a chance to win.

Now the Rockets have shaken off the rust after being out of action for a week and even longer for most their starters since they were locked in to the No. 2 seed over the last few games of the regular season.  I expect the Rockets to fire back with a big effort in Game 2 and shoot it much better, while still playing a level of defense that is as good as anyone in the NBA.  The Warriors will relax after taking Game 1.  Bet the Rockets Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115)

The Minnesota Twins had Monday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and traveled to Minnesota overnight.  The Twins won 4-2 in Game 1 yesterday, and they remain the fresher team and should make easy work of the White Sox again tonight.

David Festa has been perfect in two starts this season going 9 innings without allowing a single earned run.  Bryse Wilson will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox.  Wilson is 20-21 with a 4.61 ERA with only 313 K's in 425 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The White Sox are 5-18 this season including 1-10 on the road.  The Twins are 16-2 in their last 18 meetings with the White Sox.  Eight of their last nine wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Dodgers/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Chicago Cubs lead all of baseball scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  The Dodgers are scoring 4.7 runs per game and capable of so much more.  This total of 9 is too low given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

These teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 yesterday and it should be another slug fest in Game 2 tonight.  The Dodgers will be making this a bullpen game and their bullpen is taxed as it is.  The Cubs will be going with Matthew Boyd, who allowed 3 earned runs in 6 innings to the Dodgers on April 11th.  That's a big advantage for the Dodgers getting to see him for a 2nd time in two weeks.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 65-24 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 13 games coming in, including a total of 27 runs in their last four games.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 6.9 runs per game in their last 12 games overall.  The OVER is 6-2 in Reds last eight games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven of those eight games, and 11 or more in five of them.

These teams only combined for 7 runs yesterday but there were 23 hits and walks and it should have been higher scoring.  Both offenses should have their way today against these two starting pitchers.

Brady Singer has allowed 12 runs, 9 earned, and 24 base runners in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Sandy Alcantara has allowed 10 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Alcantara allowed 6 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings in his last start against the Reds.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Yankees/Guardians OVER 8

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.5 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.1 runs per game with an underrated lineup.  The OVER is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Guardians and Yankees.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Cleveland this afternoon.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 13 earned runs, 4 homers and 14 walks in 23 2/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Luis Ortiz has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 1/3 innings in four starts for the Guardians this season.  Ortiz allowed 4 earned runs and 12 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Yankees.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/A's OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Rangers and A's tonight.  There will be light winds blowing out to center and temps in the 70's at Sutter Health Park, a Triple-A park in Sacramento that is extremely hitter-friendly.

Patrick Corbin had a 5.20 ERA or worse in four consecutive seasons in Washington while making at least 31 starts in all four seasons.  The Texas Rangers took a shot on him this season, and I don't expect it to go well for them.  He has allowed 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 9 1/3 innings with just 6 K's in two starts thus far.

Osvaldo Bido is due some regression and has benefited from an extremely soft schedule.  He has faced the White Sox, Rockies, Mariners and Padres thus far.  Three of those are three of the worst lineups in baseball.  The Rangers are better offensively than they have shown thus far and they should bust out of their slump in this series, starting with Game 1 tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Timberwolves/Lakers TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles -5

The Minnesota Timberwolves had an outlier shooting performance in Game 1.  They hit 21-of-42 (50%) from 3-point range for the game, while the Lakers shot just 33-of-83 (40%) from the field.  It's safe to say the Lakers are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings, so that was a rare win for the road team in this series.  The Timberwolves did their part and won a game in Los Angeles, and now I expect them to relax while the Lakers play with a big sense of urgency tonight in what feels like a must-win for them.  Bet the Lakers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 210

The Timberwolves and Lakers were well on their way to cashing the OVER for us in Game 1.  All they needed was 45-plus points in the 4th quarter.  Instead, they settled for just 40 combined points in the 4th largely due to backups playing the final stretch in what was a blowout in Minnesota's favor.  That won't happen again.

The Lakers are due some positive shooting regression in Game 2 after making just 33-of-83 (40%) from the field in Game 1.  The Timberwolves won't shoot as well from 3 again, but I do expect more free throws after these teams combined for just 26 attempts in Game 1.  It is likely to be more competitive if it's not a Lakers' blowout and more free throws could come into play in the end.

Either way, this total has been adjusted down from 217 on the opener to 210 as of this writing, and that's too big of an adjustment.  The fact that these teams combined for 212 points in Game 1 with a 40-point 4th quarter alone shows there's value with the OVER.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Brewers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 15-8 OVER in all games while scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game as well.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in San Francisco tonight to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket.

Jose Quintana can't keep up this pace after two solid starts against the Tigers and Diamondbacks.  The 36-year-old is in his 13th season in the big leagues.  He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against San Francisco.

Jordan Hicks has been awful for the Giants, allowing 15 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  This total of 7.5 is too low given these offenses, these two below-average starting pitchers and the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Dodgers/Cubs NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Chicago Cubs lead all of baseball scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  The Dodgers are scoring 4.4 runs per game and capable of so much more.  This total of 8 is too low given the forecast.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight.

Dustin May is due some regression after feasting on an easy schedule of the Braves, Nationals and Rockies thus far.  Shota Imanaga has allowed 4 homers in 17 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Rangers in his last home start.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-112)

The Minnesota Twins had yesterday off while the Chicago White Sox had to play in Boston and will be traveling to Minnesota overnight.  That's a huge advantage for the Twins, who should easily win this game by two runs or more to cover the Run Line.

The White Sox are 5-17 this season including 1-9 on the road.  Davis Martin is an absolute gas can.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts.  Martin has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Minnesota.

The Twins have a big advantage on the mound behind Bailey Ober, who has allowed just 5 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Ober has allowed 8 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the White Sox with the Twins winning all three starts by 4 runs or more.

The Twins are 15-2 in their last 17 meetings with the White Sox.  Seven of their last eight wins have come by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Twins on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Phillies/Mets NL East No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Phillies and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Citi Field in New York.  These are two of the most talented lineups in baseball.

The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between the Mets and Phillies with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings.  The Phillies are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.  The OVER is 3-1 in Mets last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in three of those four contests.

Christopher Sanchez has allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 19 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Griffin Canning has allowed 8 earned runs and 28 base runners in 21 innings in his four starts this season.  Canning allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start against Philadelphia.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 65-23 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all 10 games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 12 games coming in, including a total of 23 runs in their last three games.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 6-1 in Reds last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and 11 or more in five of them.

Nick Martinez is 0-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings.  Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 6.52 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings.  Cabrera allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 3 1/3 innings of a 10-6 loss to the Reds in his lone career start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Guardians OVER 8

The New York Yankees rank 2nd in baseball scoring 5.7 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 4.2 runs per game and should hang a big number on New York tonight.  The OVER is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings including 10 combined runs in Game 1 of this series.

Will Warren is 1-0 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in four starts for the Yankees this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Tanner Bibee has allowed 13 earned runs and 7 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Clippers/Nuggets TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles ML -115

The Los Angeles Clippers controlled the entire Game 1 against the Denver Nuggets until the final few minutes of regulation and OT.  The Clippers showed they were the better team, and they have the better overall roster that will win out in Game 2 tonight.

Kawhi Leonard didn't play in any of the four regular season meetings with the Nuggets.  He had 22 points on 9-of-15 shooting in Game 1, and I fully expect him to be more aggressive in Game 2 to assure the Clippers win this game.  Zubac had 21 points and 13 rebounds and is one of the best possible defenders in the league for Nikola Jokic.  Harden had 32 points, and I love Powell.

The Nuggets attempted 11 more FT than the Clippers in Game 1 and that was a big difference.  The Clippers showed that they could take Jamal Murray out of the game with their ability to defend him.  They will gladly continue to leave Russell Westbrook open as he made just 5-of-17 attempts despite being open for almost all of them.  

The Clippers have a lot more depth than the Nuggets do as well as six players played almost all the minutes for the Nuggets in Game 1.  The Clippers have four guys who can contribute off the bench.  I have no doubt the Clippers are the better team and will get back into this series and eventually take control of it.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Brewers/Giants OVER 7.5

The San Francisco Giants have quietly been one of the best OVER teams in baseball.  They have gone 15-7 OVER in all games while scoring 5.1 runs per game this season.  The Milwaukee Brewers are scoring 5.1 runs per game as well and have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games coming in.

Quinn Priester is due some major regression for the Brewers.  He has managed to allow only one earned run in 10 innings despite allowing 12 base runners in his two starts this season.  He got to face the Rockies and Tigers, and now he takes a big step up in class here against the Giants.  Priester is 7-9 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with only 77 K's in 109 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Robbie Ray has also allowed a ton of traffic on the bases this season.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 30 base runners in 19 1/3 innings in four starts this season.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park in San Francisco tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 64-23 OVER in all home games dating back to last season.  The Marlins are 8-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all nine games.  The Marlins have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games coming in.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten healthier and are showing what they are capable of offensively when that's the case.  The Reds have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Reds are scoring 7.7 runs per game in their last 10 games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in Reds last six games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all six games, and 11 or more in five of them.

Nick Lodolo will be making his first start of the season for the Reds and will be on a pitch count.  Max Meyer is getting too much respect from the books tonight as well.  Meyer allowed 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 innings of a 8-2 home loss to the Reds in his lone career start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Warriors/Rockets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Houston ML -115

The Golden State Warriors needed the play-in and a narrow win over the Grizzlies just to get into the playoffs.  They got huge games from Jimmy Butler and Steph Curry and were still life and death with the Grizzlies at home.  That's the problem for the Warriors is they just rely too much on two guys.  Now Jonathan Kuminga is a DNP coach's decision and not even in the rotation, which is a big mistake I think.

The Rockets may be the single-most underrated team headed into the playoffs.  They earned the No. 2 seed in the West thanks to being a Top 5 defense and a better offensive team than they get credit for.  I love Amen Thompson, who is the best guard in the league to defend Steph Curry.  He learned a lot in four matchups and will be on Curry like glue.  The Rockets take Game 1 tonight.  Bet the Rockets Sunday.

15* Padres/Astros ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 7

This total of 7 is too low with just how much these two big name starters are struggling to start the season.  Dylan Cease is 1-1 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings.  Framber Valdez is 1-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts this season.  Valdez has allowed 12 earned runs in 15 innings in his last three starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Heat/Cavs TNT ANNIHILATOR on Miami +12.5

The Miami Heat actually ranked No. 1 in the entire NBA in net rating (+14) over the final 12 games of the regular season.  They carried over that positive momentum becoming the first No. 10 seed to make the playoffs since the play-in was introduced.  They did so by going on the road in both games upsetting the Bulls 109-90 in regulation and the Hawks 123-114 (OT).

I think they keep the momentum in Game 1 of this series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers could have some rust factor especially after resting starters down the stretch of the regular season and being off since April 13th for a full week, which is more when you factor in the rest.

The Heat are 5-3 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with the Cavaliers, so they clearly match up well with them.  This game will be much closer than the spread suggests.  Bet the Heat Sunday.

20* Magic/Celtics ABC No-Brainer on Orlando +14

The Orlando Magic played their best basketball of the season down the stretch to secure the 7th seed and a home game in the play-in.  The Magic went 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their final five games in which they played their starters, and then went on to crush the Hawks 120-95 as 6-point home favorites in the play-in.

I like the fact that the Magic have that playoff feel already in their veins and they thrived against the Hawks.  I think they carry that momentum into this game with the Celtics, who are fat and happy after winning the NBA Title last season.  The Celtics could also show plenty of rust in Game 1 after being off since April 13th which was a week ago.  They also rested starters down the stretch, so rust will be a factor.  

The Magic are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Celtics with five outright upsets.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on DBacks/Cubs on OVER 7

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last seven games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 6 runs in six of its last seven home games.

Merrill Kelly has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his las three starts.  Jameson Taillon has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 22 2/3 innings in his four starts this season.  One of those starts came against Arizona on March 28th when he allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Yankees/Rays OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays play in a hitter-friendly Minor League park.  It is also hot outside with temps approaching 90 today with the ball flying out.  That was the case in a 10-8 victory for 18 combined runs yesterday, and the Rays are now 7-2-2 OVER in their last nine home games with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games.  This total of 8 is too low today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/Orioles OVER 9

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.7 runs per game in their last nine games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.8 runs per game on the season with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  These teams combined for 11 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2 and it will be more of the same today.

Brent Suter is an opener for the Reds and the Orioles will get into their bullpen early.  Charlie Morton is washed up allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 1/3 innings in his four starts this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Grizzlies/Thunder OVER 225

Two dead nuts OVER teams that like to play fast square off in this series.  The Grizzlies rank 1st in pace while the Thunder rank 5th.  The Thunder and Grizzlies have combined for at least 229 points in four of their last five meetings.  This total of 225 is too short today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Grizzlies/Thunder ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma City -12.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 68-15 SU & 55-24-4 ATS this season with almost all their wins coming by double-digits.  The Thunder are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their four meetings with the Grizzlies this season with all four wins coming by 13 points or more.  

The Thunder are champing at the bit to prove their are the best team in the NBA starting with Game 1 of this series.  The Grizzlies could relax a little after needing two play-in games just to make the playoffs after beating the Mavs on Friday night.  Now they have a quick turnaround for an early 1:00 EST start Sunday and won't be ready.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Giants/Angels OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  The San Francisco Giants are capable of covering this total on their own.  They have one of the most underrated lineups in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game while going 14-6 OVER in their 20 games.

Kyle Hendricks is one of the worst starters in baseball and I'm shocked the Angels have him as part of their rotation this season.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Astros in his last start this season.

The Angels are scoring 4.3 runs per game and should do enough today to contribute the necessary runs we need to cash this OVER.  Landen Roupe has allowed 8 earned runs and 24 base runners in 15 innings in his three starts for the Giants this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on San Francisco Giants -124

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 2 after getting shut out in Game 1 by the Los Angeles Angels yesterday.  The Giants have one of the most underrated lineups in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season which is a big reason for their 13-7 start.

Kyle Hendricks is one of the worst starters in baseball and I'm shocked the Angels have him as part of their rotation this season.  Hendricks went 4-12 with a 5.92 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 24 starts for the Cubs last season.  He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Astros in his last start this season.

The Angels are 1-4 in their last five games overall and scoring just 1.8 runs per game during this stretch.  Landen Roupp should hold them in check.  Roupp has 20 K's in 15 innings this season, and that electric stuff is what earned him a spot in the rotation this season.  Bet the Giants Saturday.

20* Timberwolves/Lakers ABC No-Brainer on Los Angeles -4

JJ Redick has done a tremendous job putting all the pieces together since the Luka Doncic trade.  The Lakers climbed their way up to the No. 3 seed in the West by going 7-3 SU & 6-3-1 ATS in their final 10 games in which they were trying to win, which included a 126-99 win at OKC and upset road wins at Memphis and Indiana.

The Minnesota Timberwolves proved last season they didn't have an answer for Luka Doncic when they lost to the Mavericks in the playoffs.  Now Doncic has even better sidekicks in LeBron James and Austin Reeves.  One of the more underrated aspects of the Lakers is their perimeter defenders to match up with guys like Anthony Edwards.  I think Edwards just has to do too much for this team without a true sidekick to take off some of the burden.

In their lone meeting this season in which Doncic played, the Lakers beat the Timberwolves 111-102 as 6-point home favorites.  And home-court advantage has been huge in this series dating back further.  The home team went 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in four meetings this season, and the home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Lakers Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Timberwolves/Lakers OVER 216

In their lone game with Luka Doncic facing the Timberwolves this season, the Lakers won 111-102 at home.  But that game should have seen a lot more than 213 combined points when you look at the box score.

The Timberwolves shot just 42% as a team and 12-of-41 (29%) from 3-point range.  The Lakers shot just 41% as a team including 11-of-41 (27%) from 3-point range.  So we only need marginal better shooting to easily eclipse this 216-point total in the rematch in Game 1 of this series.  

The Lakers and their opponents have combined for 224 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games in which they were trying to win.  They really profile as an OVER team having to play more small ball with only Jaxon Hayes as their lone decent big man.  The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined for at least 221 points in 12 of their last 15 games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Red Sox OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the White Sox and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

The wind aided runs yesterday in a 10-3 win in Game 1 for the Red Sox that saw 13 combined runs.  The only reason this total is so low tonight is because Garret Crochet is pitching for Boston.

But this is going to benefit hitters considering this is a rematch from April 13th when Crochet faced Sean Smith in Chicago where the wind was blowing in.  Getting to see these starters for a second time in a week will benefit hitters, and runs should be much more plentiful in the rematch with hot temps and winds blowing out.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Mets OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The ball should be flying out today.

The Cardinals have an underrated lineup scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Mets have one of the best lineups in baseball and it's only a matter of time before they bust out.  They are scoring 4.7 runs per game in their last six games.

Matthew Liberatore has allowed 13 earned runs in 21 1/3 innings in his last four starts coming in.  Liberatore allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings of an 8-7 win over the Mets in his last start against them.

Kodai Senga takes a big step up in class here after getting to face the Marlins (twice) and A's in his first two starts this season, which is a big reason he has been so successful.  Senga is also on a pitch count coming back from injury not throwing more than 79 pitches in any of his three starts thus far.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Interleague Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Pirates OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Guardians and Pirates today.  Temps will be approaching 80 with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh this afternoon.

It was the same forecast yesterday when the Guardians beat the Pirates 10-7 for 17 combined runs in Game 1.  This total is only this low because Paul Skenes is pitching, but the wind was blowing out in his last home start and it saw 13 combined runs against the Nationals.

Skenes hasn't been perfect, allowing 6 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts coming in.  The Pirates should crush Ben Lively, who has allowed 11 earend runs and 3 homers in 20 1/3 innings in four starts this season.  Lively allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-8 victory over the Pirates in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE DAY on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Reds and Orioles this afternoon.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 80's at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.8 runs per game in their last eight games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.6 runs per game on the season with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.

Hunter Greene has been dominant, but he has also benefited from facing a very soft schedule getting to face the Giants (twice), Pirates and Rangers.  The Orioles will get to him enough today.  Brandon Young will be making his MLB debut for the Orioles, and the Reds are capable of covering this total on their own after scoring 8 runs yesterday in Game 1.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 7.5

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.8 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in six consecutive games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 7 runs in five of its last six home games.

These teams combined for 24 runs in Game 1.  While the starting pitching matchup and forecast aren't as conducive for runs in the rematch, this total of 7.5 is too low.  Zac Gallen has not been sharp, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 21 1/3 innings.

Gallen allowed 4 earned runs in 4 innings of a 10-6 loss to the Cubs in his first start this season.  Ben Brown has allowed 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 24 innings in his last five starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Royals/Tigers OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Royals and Tigers this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Detroit this afternoon.

The Tigers have one of the more underrated lineups in baseball scoring 4.7 runs per game this season.  They should get to Seth Lugo, who allowed 4 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last start.  Lugo allowed 4 earned runs, one homer and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against Detroit.

The Royals should get their bats going against Casey Mize, who 11-20 with a 4.26 ERA in his career with only 241 K's in 308 1/3 innings.  Mize has allowed 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 6 innings in his last two starts against the Royals.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 10

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park today.

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last five games coming in, going 5-0 OVER in those five games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all seven games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Cal Quantrill is a gas can.  He has allowed 9 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings in three starts this season.  Taijuan Walker is an equal gas can.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 10-4 home loss to the Giants in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Mets OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  Temps will be in the 50's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The ball should be flying out tonight.

The Cardinals have an underrated lineup scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.  The Mets have one fo the best lineups in baseball and it's only a matter of time before they bust out.  I think that time is today as they are capable of covering this 8-run total on their own.

Miles Mikolas is a gas can.  He went 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals last season.  Mikolas is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in three starts in 2025, allowing 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 innings.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Mets.

David Peterson has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 16 2/3 innings thus far in 2025.  He is due some regression after facing a pretty soft schedule of the A's, Marlins and Blue Jays thus far.  He is 29-25 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 470 2/3 innings in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Reds and Orioles tonight.  There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with temps in the 70's at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last seven games.  The Orioles are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the season, and they have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games coming in.

Andrew Abbott will be making just his second start of the season for the Reds today and will be on a pitch count again after throwing 81 pitchers in his first start.  Cade Povich is a gas can.  He is 3-10 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 career starts, allowing 54 earned runs and 13 homers in 94 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Yankees/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and light winds today.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 6.7 runs per game in their last seven games.  The OVER is 6-1-2 in Rays last nine home games with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games, making for a 8-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 8-run total.

The New York Yankees are scoring 6.0 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  Not cashing the OVER 9 yesterday was one of the worst beats of the season.  I settled for a push as these teams combined for 30 base runners with 23 hits and 7 walks.  Both stranded a ton of runners especially the Rays.

Carlos Rodon is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA in four starts this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 innings.  Rodon is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight career starts against the Rays, allowing 20 earned runs, 6 homers and 25 walks in 39 innings.

Drew Rasmussen has solid numbers thus far but the Yankees should get to him.  Rasmussen has benefited from a soft schedule of the Pirates, Braves and Rangers, three of the worst offenses in baseball.  Those three rank in the bottom six in all of baseball in runs per game, and now Rasmussen must face the No. 1 offense in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Hawks TNT No-Brainer on Miami PK

The Miami Heat made easy work of the Chicago Bulls in a 109-90 road victory to put themselves in this position to make the playoffs.  That game at Chicago was tougher than this game at Atlanta will be as the Bulls are better than the Hawks with a better home-court advantage.

The Hawks faltered in a 120-95 road loss to the Orlando Magic to put themselves in this position of must-win.  That was a game the Hawks could afford to lose, while the Heat were in a must-win already as they were completely eliminated with a loss.  I like the mentality of this Heat team coming in.

I also like the experience and the talent on this Miami team much better than that of the Hawks.  Tyler Herro had 38 points, Andrew Wiggins had 20 points and Bam Adebayo had 15 points and 12 rebounds in that win over the Bulls.  This core 3 has a ton of playoff experience and will be up to the challenge.

The Hawks really only have Trae Young with plenty of playoff experience.  Young had 28 points and nobody else had more than 15 for the Hawks against the Magic.  He was ejected late in the game with two technical fouls as he showed his frustration, largely due to not getting much help.

The Heat are the much better defensive team ranking 9th in defensive efficiency while the Hawks rank 18th.  Holding the Bulls to 90 points was no small feat.  The Heat have owned the Hawks in their final two regular season meetings, winning 131-109 and 122-112.  It should be more of the same tonight.  Bet the Heat Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Phillies OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center inside hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park tonight.  

The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in each of their last four games coming in, going 4-0 OVER in those four games which were all at home.  The Marlins are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 8 or more combined runs in all six games, and 10 runs or more in five of them.

Sandy Alcantara is working his way back from injury after missing all of last season.  Alcantara has allowed 6 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings this season while being on a pitch count in both of his starts.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Philadelphia.

Zack Wheeler clearly isn't in midseason form yet.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts and 4 homers in his four starts.  Wheeler has allowed 9 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Miami.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Tigers UNDER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 7.5 ticket between the Royals and Tigers today.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at spacious Comerica Park in Detroit tonight with gusts of over 30 MPH.

Cole Ragans has allowed just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 31 K's in his last three starts for the Royals and is the clear ace of this staff.  Ragans has allowed 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings with 24 K's in his last three starts against the Tigers as well.

Jackson Jobe has been solid this season going 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in three starts while allowing just 5 earned runs and 17 base runners in 15 innings.  He should shut down a struggling Kansas City lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in nine of their last 10 games overall, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 consecutive contests.  

The Tigers have been held to one run or fewer in three of their last five games coming in.  The UNDER is 10-2 in Royals last 12 games overall.  The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Tigers last 11 games overall.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* DBacks/Cubs NL No-Brainer on OVER 10.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 10.5 ticket between the Cubs and Diamondbacks at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH sustained winds blowing out to center and gusts of over 25 MPH.

These are two of the most potent lineups in baseball.  The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.5 runs per game while the Cubs are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season.  Arizona has scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games coming in.  Chicago has scored at least 7 runs in four of its last five home games.

Corbin Burnes has been disappointing for the Diamondbacks, going 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three starts this season whie allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings.

Colin Rea is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 26-20 with a 4.50 ERA in his career in the big leagues spanning 455 2/3 innings.  Rea has allowed 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 23 base runners in 14 innings in his last three starts against the Diamondbacks.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cardinals/Mets OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Citi Field in New York tonight.  The Mets have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and the Cardinals have an underrated lineup that has produced 5.2 runs per game this season.

Andre Pallante allowed 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against the Mets last season.  Griffin Canning has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 23 base runners in 15 innings in three starts this season.  Canning has allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Yankees/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last six games.  The OVER is 6-1-1 in Rays last eight home games with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.

The New York Yankees are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball.  They should get to Taj Bradley, who is 2-0-1 OVER in all starts this season with 9 or more combined runs in all three of his starts.

Will Warren has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 14 innings in three starts for the Yankees this season.  The Rays should have their way with him as well, and they should continue their onslaught against a tired New York bullpen that has played four straight games decided by 3 runs or fewer coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Giants/Phillies OVER 8

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game this season and are 13-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1, 10 runs in Game 2 and 15 runs in Game 3. It should be more of the same in Game 4 today, and the books have set this total too low once again.

Jordan Hicks has been rocked for 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts for the Giants.  Hicks allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 4 innings in his lone career start against the Phillies last season.

Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 12 innings in his last two starts for the Phillies.  The Giants are going with a right-handed heavy lineup to counter the lefty.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Heat/Bulls ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 218.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team and books have failed to set their totals high enough all season.  They rank 2nd in the NBA in pace this season, and this total of 218.5 is very low for a game involving the Bulls.

Indeed, the Bulls and their opponents have combined for at least 222 points in 34 of their last 36 games.  That makes for a 34-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 218.5-point total.  Books have adjusted this number down too much for this being a playoff game.

No question the Miami Heat profile more of an under team as they like to play slower than the Bulls do, but the Bulls will control the tempo playing at home.  Plus, the Heat have taken off offensively here down the stretch.  The Heat are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall finishing with 222 or more combined points in all five games.  The Heat have scored at least 108 points in 12 consecutive games and 115 points or more in nine of those.

The Heat and Bulls have combined for 257, 223 and 230 points in their three regular season meetings.  They have combined for at least 223 points in five of their last six meetings as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Heat/Bulls ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Chicago ML -113

The Chicago Bulls have quietly gone 15-5 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They have outright upset wins over the Magic, Heat (twice), Pacers, Lakers (twice), Kings and Nuggets during this stretch.  Three of the five losses came on the road to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Cavs, Thunder and Rockets.

The Bulls have owned the Heat this season going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS despite being underdogs in all three games.  They won by 9 and 8 at home and by 5 on the road.  This is clearly a good matchup for them, and they should be fresh and ready to go after limiting their starters' minutes down the stretch.

There's just not a lot to like about the Miami Heat since trading away Jimmy Butler.  They rely too much on Tyler Hero and Bam Adebayo, while the Bulls are a much more compete team with Coby White, Josh Giddey, Nikola Vucevic, Kevin Heurter, Patrick Williams and Matas Buzelis working really well together.

Chicago fans are starving for a winner, and this will be a tremendous home-court advantage at the United Center with an atmosphere similar to when the Bulls upset the Lakers on the Josh Giddey half-court buzzer-beater.  The Bulls are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games with their lone loss coming by a single point.  Bet the Bulls on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* Royals/Yankees AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Royals and Yankees tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH sustained winds blowing out to the short porch in right field at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The ball should be flying out.

Kris Bubic is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees.  He has allowed 4 homers in 11 innings in those two starts.  Clarke Schmidt will be making his first start of the season for the Yankees and will be on a pitch count.  Schmidt is 1-0 with a 4.39 ERA in three career starts against the Royals with 17 hits and 2 homers allowed in 14 1/3 innings with only 9 K's.  

The Yankees are 10-6-1 OVER in all games this season and scoring 6.1 runs per game with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Red Sox/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.  The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 9 is too low.  

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 8.8 runs per game in their last five games.  The OVER is 6-0-1 in Rays last seven home games with 9 or more combined runs in all seven games, including 17 and 11 combined runs in the first two games of this series.

The Rays should tee off on Sean Newcomb, who has allowed 11 runs, 7 earned, and 27 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his three starts this season.  Newcomb hasn't made it out of the 5th inning in any of his three starts.  He allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings in his last start against the Rays.

Zack Littell has been rocked for 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 17 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts for the Rays.  The books just aren't able to set these Tampa Bay totals at home high enough early in the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Giants/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right field to aid balls hit in that direction in Philadelphia tonight.  The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team and an underrated lineup.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season and are 12-5 OVER in all games.  The Phillies have one of the best lineups in baseball.

These teams combined for 14 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2 and it should be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.  Robbie Ray is very fortunate to have only allowed 5 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings this season when you consider he has allowed 3 homers and 10 walks already.  His luck runs out against the Phillies tonight.

Ray has allowed 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.  Aaron Nola is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Nola has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Giants.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight with gusts of up to 20 MPH.  The OVER is 8-1 in Nationals last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.

Bailey Falter is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 innings.  Falter allowed 3 earned runs, one homer and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 9-4 win over the Nationals in his lone start against them last season.

Mitchell Parker allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 7 base runners in 6 innings to the Marlins in his last start.  Parker allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 8-6 win over the Pirates in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on DBacks/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is just how much of a dead nuts OVER team the Miami Marlins have been at home.  They are 8-3 OVER in their 11 home games this season, and 63-22 OVER in all home games since the start of 2024.

The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season and have blasted the Marlins 10-8 for 18 combined runs in Game 1 and 10-4 for 14 combined runs in Game 2.  This total being at 8 again for Game 3 tonight is laughable.

Brandn Pfaadt has allowed 4 homers in 18 innings in his three starts thus far this season.  Pfaadt has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 20 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Marlins.  

Max Meyer is getting a little too much love for his solid start to the season.  Meyer is 4-7 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 16 career starts in the big leagues.  He has allowed a whopping 17 homers in 81 innings for a 1.9 HR/9.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Mariners/Reds OVER 8.5

Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to center at one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati tonight.  The Mariners are a much better offense when they get away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park in Seattle.

The OVER is 4-1 in Mariners last five games overall, including 12 combined runs with Cincinnati in Game 1 of this series last night.  The Reds are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in five consecutive games, and 5 runs or more in four of them.  They just got some key pieces back from injury including Austin Hays, who had 4 RBI last night.

Bryce Miller has been a little off his game to start the season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 16 innings.  Nick Martinez has been dreadful, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 1/3 innings in three starts this season.  Martinez has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mariners.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Guardians/Orioles AL No-Brainer on OVER 8

There will be 15 MPH winds blowing out to right tonight at Camden Yards to aid balls hit in that direction.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Guardians and Orioles with 9 or more combined runs in all five, and 11 or more in four of those five.

Cleveland has scored at least 6 runs in four of its last five games.  The Guardians should tee off on Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 8.16 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings.  Kremer has allowed 10 earned runs and 23 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Baltimore.

Gavin Williams takes a big step up in class here after getting to face the White Sox, Angels and Royals in his first three starts this season.  Williams allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 9-5 loss to the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and White Sox tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago tonight with gusts of over 20 MPH.

Jeffrey Springs has allowed 9 runs, 7 earned, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 9 innings in his last two starts for the A's.  Sean Burke is 1-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts this season for the White Sox.  He has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 14 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Hawks/Magic TNT ANNIHILATOR on OVER 216.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 3rd in pace this season and as long as Trae Young is healthy and on the court, they will always be an OVER team.

This is a very low total for a game involving the Hawks.  The Hawks and their opponents have combined for at least 226 points in each of their last 14 games, and 219 or more points in each of their last 23 games, making for a 23-0 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 216.5-point total.

The Magic have been much better offensively since getting healthy here down the stretch.  They put up 116 or more points in four of their seven games in which they played their starters.

The Magic and Hawks have combined for at least 218 points in all four meetings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Red Sox/Rays AL East No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low.  The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 10.0 runs per game in their last four games and averaging 12 hits per game in those four games.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Rays last six home games with 9 or more combined runs in all six games.

Walker Buehler just hasn't been the same since surgery.  He is off to a shaky start this season allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings for the Red Sox.  Ryan Pepiot has allowed 5 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Guardians/Orioles AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and Guardians tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Baltimore with gusts of over 30 MPH.  These two below-average starting pitchers will not hold up.

Logan Allen is 15-14 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 46 starts in his first three seasons in the big leagues.  Allen allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 innings of a 10-8 win over the Orioles in his lone start against them last season.

Charlie Morton is on the last leg of his career.  Morton has allowed 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 1/3 innings in his three starts thus far this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Royals/Yankees AL No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Royals and Yankees tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium with gusts of over 30 MPH.

The Yankees have one of the best lineups in baseball scoring 6.2 runs per game this season while going 10-5-1 OVER in all games.  They are capable of covering this total on their own, but I fully expect the Royals to do their part as well.

Michael Wacha is 0-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three starts for the Royals this season.  Wacha has allowed 5 earned runs and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.  Max Fried has benefited from facing the Tigers, Pirates and Brewers thus far in his three starts.  This will be his toughest test yet against a Royals lineup with a lot of pop.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Giants/Phillies OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Giants and Phillies tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia with gusts over over 30 MPH.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own.  They will tee off on the washed up Justin Verlander, who has allowed 10 earned runs in 13 innings this season.

The Giants are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game this season and are 11-5 OVER in all games.  They will do enough off Jesus Luzardo, who has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 1/3 innings in his last two starts against San Francisco.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh tonight with gusts of over 30 MPH.  The OVER is 8-0 in Nationals last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all eight games.

It was a similar forecast yesterday and these teams combined for 13 runs despite Paul Skenes being on the mound for the Pirates.  In fact, this has been an OVER series with the Pirates and Nationals combining for 8 runs or more in each of their last nine meetings dating back to last season, and 10 runs or more in seven of those nine.

Jake Irvin has allowed 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 24 base runners in 16 innings in his three starts this season.  Irvin allowed 6 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Pirates last season.

Mitch Keller has allowed 7 earned runs and 17 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts coming in.  Keller has allowed 6 earned runs and 17 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Nationals.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Astros/Cardinals OVER 7

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket between the Astros and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field and gusts of over 20 MPH.  This total of 7 is too low given the forecast.

The Cardinals are 9-5-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have one of the more underrated offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 5.5 runs per game and allowing 5.2 runs per game.  The Astros are heating up at the plate scoring 7.0 runs per game in their last four games.

Framber Valdez is one of the more overrated starters in baseball.  Sonny Gray also gets a ton of respect despite never going deep into games.  That's the only reason this total is so low, and we'll 'buy low' on an OVER as a result.

Gray has already allowed 4 homers in 16 innings this season.  Gray has allowed 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.  Valdez allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings in his last start against the Cardinals.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/Twins OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Mets and Twins tonight.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at Target Field in Minneapolis tonight.  Gusts will be up to 30 MPH, and this total of 7.5 is too low given the forecast.

The Mets have one of the best lineups in baseball and have scored at least 7 runs in three of their last five games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own.  I'm not a huge fan of this Minnesota offense, but they should do enough to contribute.

Clay Holmes allowed 4 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in a 10-5 win over the Marlins in his last start.  Joe Ryan has benefited from wind blowing in in all of his starts thus far this season.  The fly ball pitcher will be in trouble here with the wind blowing out.  He allows 1.4 HR/9 in his career.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Rays OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps approaching 80 and light winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low.  The Red Sox are scoring 4.5 runs per game this season and due for a breakout tonight.

The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 6.0 runs per game in their last three games and averaging 10.7 hits per game in those three games.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Rays last five home games with 9 or more combined runs in all five games.

Tanner Houck is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 16 1/3 innings.  Shane Baz has benefited from getting to face the Angels and Pirates in his first two starts this season.  This is a big step up in class for him tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Western Conference Total OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Timberwolves OVER 231.5

The tanking Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  The Jazz are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 256, 259, 281, 252 and 248 combined points.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will have incentive to keep the foot on the gas for four quarters as a win gets them in the playoffs, while a loss would likely push them to the play-in.  They just beat the Grizzlies 141-125 for 266 combined points, a Memphis team that profiles similarly to Utah.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Denver Nuggets -8.5

The Denver Nuggets will be highly motivated for a win today.  They would clinch the No. 4 see with a win and home-court advantage in the first round.  They could drop all the way down to the No. 7 seed and a play-in with a loss if the Timberwolves beat the Jazz and the Warriors beat the Clippers.

There's a lot at stake for Denver today, and nothing at stake for the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets have been locked in to the No. 2 seed in the West for their past two games.  They have played like it as well losing by 17 to the Clippers as 10.5-point dogs and by 31 to the Lakers are 13.5-point dogs.  There's no reason for them to offer any resistance in the regular season finale here, either.  Bet the Nuggets Sunday.

20* Nuggets/Rockets NBA No-Brainer on OVER 233.5

The Denver Nuggets are a dead nuts OVER team with an elite offense and the worst defense they've had in years.  It's a big reason Mike Malone was fired.  But there's just not much they can do about it at this point, forced to try and win shootouts.

The Rockets have been locked into the No. 2 seed their last two games.  They have been playing mostly backups, and while they are an elite defensive team when their starters play, they are a terrible defensive team with backups.  But they have plenty of offensive firepower off the bench.

The OVER is 2-0 in Rockets last two games since resting starters combining for 251 points with the Clippers and 249 with the Lakers.  They allowed 140 points to the Lakers and 134 to the Clippers.  They are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games dating back further.  I like guys like Whitmore, Sheppard and Holiday getting a lot of playing time because they are all offense and zero defense.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Pelicans OVER 234.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team with or without starters.  They have gone 6-2 OVER in their last eight games overall finishing with 236 or ore combined points in six of those eight games.

They combined for 237 points with the Suns and 256 with the Jazz in their last two games despite resting starters.  And now they face a Pelicans team that is playing zero defense right now and has incentive to lose.

The OVER is 4-0-1 in Pelicans last five games overall.  They just gave up 153 points to the Heat, who are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They gave up 136 to the Bucks the game prior.  They have gone for at least 232 combined points in four of their last five games, including 257 and 247 in their last two.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Afternoon Line Mistake on Oklahoma City Thunder -12

It's really amazing what the Thunder are doing when they have been resting starters.  They are showing off their impressive depth.  Two games ago they beat the Suns by 13 as 6.5-point favorites without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.  And last game they sat all their starters and beat the Jazz 145-111 as 9-point favorites.

Don't expect the tanking Pelicans to offer any resistance today.  The Pelicans lost 136-111 as 16.5-point dogs to the Bucks and 153-104 as 15-point dogs to the Heat in their last two games coming in.  They have incentive to lose.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Cardinals OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Phillies and Cardinals.  This total is too low when you consider temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis today.

The Phillies are capable of covering this total on their own.  They should tee off on Matthew Liberatore, who has allowed 8 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings this season despite getting to face the Angels and Pirates.  But Zack Wheeler allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 1/3 innings to the Braves in his last start.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/White Sox UNDER 7

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this UNDER ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox today.  There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing in from center today in Chicago.

Garrett Crochet is 1-1 with a 1.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings.  Crochet is one of the best young starters in baseball, and he'll be motivated to shut down his former team.

Rookie Shane Smith has been dominant in two starts for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs and 9 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his first two starts this season.  He is proving to be a great replacement for Crochet thus far.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Braves/Rays Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps approaching 80 and no wind.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 7.5 is too low for a game involving these two teams and starting pitchers today.  These teams combined for 27 hits yesterday.

I caught a break with the Rays scratching Shane Baz and replacing him with Joe Boyle, and I would still play the OVER at 8 or 8.5 as I don't think it has been adjusted up enough for that switch.  Boyle is 5-6 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 13 starts and three relief appearances in his career.

Chris Sale clearly isn't in midseason form yet.  Sale has allowed 11 earned runs and 19 hits in 14 2/3 innings in his three starts this season and hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any start.  Sale has allowed 7 earned runs and 16 base runners in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Giants/Yankees Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

Two of the best OVER teams in baseball square off today at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.  The Giants are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and are 9-5 OVER, while the Yankees are scoring 6.5 runs per game and are 9-4 OVER.  These teams combined for 10 and 12 runs in their first two games in this series, and the OVER is now 5-0 in the last five meetings.

Logan Webb has huge home/road splits throughout his career.  This will be a big step up in class for him after getting to face the Reds twice and the Astros in his first three starts.  Webb has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees.

Carlos Rodon has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Tigers and Diamondbacks.  Temps will be in the 50's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right field at Yankee Stadium to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Braves/Rays Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 8.5

The Rays are playing their home games this season at George M. Steinbrenner Field which is a Triple-A park.  It's one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball, and runs should be plentiful in Tampa Bay home games all season.

The forecast looks great for a slug fest with temps in the 70's and 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center.  The ball will be flying out, and this total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two starting pitchers today.

AJ Smith-Shawver has allowed 5 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in two starts for the Braves this season.  Drew Rasmussen has been solid, but he takes a step up in class here after facing the Pirates and Rangers.  He has only pitched 5 innings in his first two starts and this will be just his 2nd season as a full-time starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/A's OVER 9

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 6-1 OVER in their seven home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2. They finally went under the total in Game 3 for their lone under.  But they got back on the horse with 13 combined runs with the Mets in Game 1 of this series.

I expect the runs to be plentiful today with the forecast.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center. There's not a lot to like about these two starting pitchers, either.

David Peterson has been fortunate this season to only give up 3 earned runs while allowing 2 homers and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  His luck runs out today.  J.T. Ginn will be making his first start of the season for the A's. He went 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 34 innings as a rookie for the A's last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Cardinals OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving the Phillies and Cardinals today when you consider the forecast and these two starting pitchers.  Temps will be in the 60's with light winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis today.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.7 runs per game this season while the Phillies are scoring 4.3 runs per game and have frankly underachieved given their offensive talent.

Christopher Sanchez has allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 11 innings in two starts for the Phillies this season.  One of them came against the Rockies, and in the other he was rocked by the Dodgers.

Miles Mikolas has been rocked for 10 earned runs and 16 base runners in 8 innings in two starts this season for the Cardinals.  Mikolas is 0-3 with a 5.47 ERA in his last four starts against the Phillies, allowing 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  Philadelphia is capable of covering this total on its own.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Rockets/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 225

The Lakers have put up big numbers offensively whenever LeBron, Doncic and Reeves have been on the court and healthy.  They have scored at least 116 points in seven of their last nine games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting in leading us to an easy OVER winner.

The Houston Rockets are locked into the No. 2 seed with nothing to play for.  They played all their backups last game and while their backups are loaded with offensive talent with the likes of Whitmore, SHeppard and Holiday leading the way, they are terrible defensively.

That was on display last time out in their 134-117 road loss to the Clippers that saw 251 combined points.  They shot 51% as a team including 50% from 3-point range, but they allowed 53% shooting and 51% from 3-point range to the Clippers.  Everything will come easy for the Lakers tonight, but the Rockets will do enough as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE MONTH on San Antonio Spurs +4.5

The Phoenix Suns have no business being favored against anyone.  The Suns are 0-8 SU in their last eight games and 0-9 ATS in their last nine games.  They have already been eliminated from the playoffs.  They are just ready for their season to be over.

The Spurs are locked into their position in the NBA lottery.  They have no incentive to tank anymore.  They have been competitive here down the stretch even when most thought they should be tanking.

The Spurs have gone 2-3 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They are coming off a 114-111 upset road win at Golden State as 17.5-point dogs.  They celebrated like they won the title, so these games clearly mean something to them.  They only lost by 5 to the Clippers as 12.5-point road dogs, and the Clippers are playing as well as anyone.  They lost by 1 to the Cavs as 12.5-point dogs, and they upset the Nuggets as road dogs outright.  Bet the Spurs Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Los Angeles Clippers -6

There are only 3 games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds in the West.  Win out and the Clippers will avoid the play-in.  They are max motivated, and they are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.

The Clippers are 13-2 SU & 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They take on a Sacramento Kings team that really doesn't have much to play for.  They are locked in to the 9th or 10th seed and will be a play-in team.  The only thing left to decide is who gets home-court advantage between them and Dallas.  Well, the Kings own the tiebreaker, so they know they can clinch home court at home against the Suns on Sunday.  The Suns have quit on their season so that will be an easy win if need be.

Injuries are also a problem for the Kings right now.  They are without Malik Monk and could be without Keegan Murray.  They are coming off an 8-point home loss to the Nuggets.  I expect them to get blown out by the Clippers tonight.  Bet the Clippers Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Golden State Warriors -12

The Golden State Warriors are desperate to avoid the play-in.  They currently sit in 7th place in the West tied with 6th place Memphis.  There is only two games separating them and the 3rd place Lakers.  They have a lot to play for.

The Portland Trail Blazers are clearly tanking with all the guys they are resting.  They are without Simons, Henderson, Grant, Avidja and Ayton and could be without Sharpe tonight.  They don't care about winning this game.  They were upset as 6.5-point favorites by the tanking Jazz last time out.  Bet the Warriors Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Clippers/Kings OVER 226.5

The Clippers have quietly been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch now that they've gotten healthy.  They are 13-7 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  Their last three games have all been shootouts combining for 239 points with the Mavs, 239 with the Spurs and 251 with the Rockets.  They have gone for 239 or more combined points in five of their last nine games overall.

The Kings are 3-1 OVER in their last four games overall.  They have gone for 227 or more combined points in five consecutive games.  This total of 226.5 is very low for a game involving the Kings and Clippers right now.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cubs/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

These are two of the best lineups in baseball.  This total is too low in a game between these two lineups.  That's especially the case with the forecast looking good in Los Angeles with temps in the 60's and light winds blowing out to center.

Matt Boyd is getting too much respect for his start to the season.  Yoshinobu Yamamoto consistently gets too much respect when he takes the mound for the Dodgers.  This is a great 'buy low' opportunity to fade them both.

The Cubs are scoring 6.4 runs per game this season while the Dodgers are scoring 4.9 runs per game.  Both offenses will have more success than this total of 7.5 indicates.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Mets/A's Interleague Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5

The Oakland A's play at their temporary home of Sutter Health Park in Sacramento.  This is the home of the Triple-A Sacramento River Cats.  While the Coliseum was a pitcher's park, Sutter Health Park is much more of a hitter's park with much less foul territory.

The A's are 5-1 OVER in their six home games combining with the Cubs for 19, 11 and 12 runs, and then combining with the Padres for 9 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2. They finally went under the total in Game 3 for their lone under.

I expect the runs to be plentiful tonight with the forecast.  Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to center.  Griffin Canning is 25-35 with a 4.75 ERA in 517 2/3 innings in the big leagues.  JP Sears is 23-31 with a 4.33 ERA in 436 innings in his career for the A's.

Canning allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against Oakland.  Sears has allowed 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his career against the Mets.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Thunder/Jazz OVER 231

Two teams with nothing to play for tonight square off in a game that should feature all offense and zero defense due to the circumstances.  The Jazz are already locked in to a Bottom 3 record in the NBA which gives them a 14% chance of the No. 1 pick.  The Thunder are already locked into the No. 1 seed with home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.

The Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  The Jazz are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 281, 259, 252 and 248 combined points.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Thunder rested their starters last game and still showed they have plenty of offensive firepower when that's the case.  They are still an elite offensive team but take a big step back defensively without their main guys.  The Thunder beat the Suns 125-112 for 237 combined points.  The OVER is 5-2 in Thunder last seven games overall with 236 or more combined points in five of those seven games.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Thunder and Jazz with 237 or more combined points in six of those seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah Jazz +11.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have already clinched the No. 1 seed in the West and the best record in the NBA thus home-court advantage throughout the playoffs.  They have zero motivation these final two games and will be playing all their backups.

The Utah Jazz no longer have any reason to tank.  They have clinched one of the three worst records in the NBA and will have a 14% chance at the No. 1 pick as a result.  They are trying to win these final games now.

That was evident last time out when they pulled off the 133-126 (OT) upset as 6.5-point underdogs to the Blazers.  They were celebrating like they won the title.  Look for them to relish this opportunity to beat the top team in the West even if they aren't playing their regulars.  Bet the Jazz Friday.

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets -6.5

The Denver Nuggets responded well to the Mike Malone firing.  They beat the Kings 124-116 as 124-116 as 4.5-point road favorites in their first game since firing Malone.  They have a ton to play for with only 3 games separating the 3rd through 8th seeds in the West, and they desperately don't want to have to play in the play-in.  If they win out they will be the 3rd or 4th seed, which would give them home-court advantage in the 1st round.

But this is as much a fade of the Grizzlies as it is a play on the Nuggets.  The Grizzlies are coming off a 141-125 home loss to the Timberwolves last night.  So they will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and in their 3rd different city in 4 days, plus in altitude in Denver to boot.  Jackson Jr. played 37 minutes, Bane 38 and Morant 36 last night.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight.

The Nuggets should be very fresh after having yesterday off and playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Denver owns Memphis going 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Grizzlies with all five wins coming by 13 points or more.  Bet the Nuggets Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Raptors +11.5

The Toronto Raptors are locked in to their spot in the NBA lottery.  Even if they weren't, they clearly continue to play hard.  The Raptors are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games overall and have been one of the best covering teams in the NBA all season.

The Mavericks are getting too much respect here with the fact that they still have something to play for, technically.  But the Mavericks trail the Kings by one game and they lose the tiebreaker with the Kings for the 9th seed and home-court advantage in the play-in.  They would have to win out and have the Kings lose out, which they know is unlikely considering the Kings host the Suns in their next game.  The Suns have quit on their season.

I also think it's a flat spot for the Mavericks for another reason.  They are coming off their huge game against the Lakers with Luka Doncic returning to Dallas.  They put a lot into that game and came up short, and it's the type of loss that could beat them twice.  Bet the Raptors Friday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Wizards/Bulls OVER 235

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 2nd in pace this season.  The Bulls are 9-2-1 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 230 or more combined points in all 12 games.

The Washington Wizards are also a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in pace and 28th in defensive rating.  The Wizards and Bulls have combined for at least 232 points in each of their last four meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.