Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-20-24 | Brewers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Padres OVER 8.5 Two gas can starting pitchers who are really struggling of late square off against two lineups that feast on right-handed pitching. The Padres are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters this season, while the Brewers are scoring 5.2 runs per game against them. Adam Mazur is 0-2 with a 7.81 ERA and 2.05 WHIP in three starts for the Padres this season while allowing 11 earned runs and 26 base runners in 12 2/3 innings with only 8 K's. He has clearly been overmatched since getting the call up to the majors. Bryse Wilson was due some regression and it has hit him hard of late. Wilson is 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 13 innings with just 8 K's. Milwaukee is 32-21 OVER against right-handed starters this season. San Diego is 29-20 OVER against right-handed starters this season. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-19-24 | Rays v. Twins OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Twins OVER 7.5 The Minnesota Twins are scoring 7.8 runs per game in their last nine games in going 8-1 during this stretch. Their offense just flourishes with a healthy Royce Lewis in the lineup. They are as healthy as they have been all season right now. The Rays have scored 14 runs in their last two games and are averaging 4.2 runs per game on the road this season. Both teams will get 4-plus runs tonight. Taj Bradley is 2-4 with a 4.24 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 8 homers in 38 1/3 innings. Bradley is 1-1 with an 11.88 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in two road starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 8 1/3 innings. He allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Minnesota, which came last season. Joe Ryan is 5-5 with a 3.35 ERA in 14 starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 86 innings. Ryan is 3-3 with a 4.22 ERA in seven home starts. Ryan is 1-2 with a 4.26 ERA in his last three starts, allowing a whopping 6 homers in 19 innings. Tampa Bay is 15-2 OVER in its last 17 road games with a total set of 7 to 7.5 runs. The OVER is 12-2 in Ryan's last 14 home starts against a AL team with a .320 OBP or worse. Minnesota is 25-7 OVER in its last 32 games against a starting pitcher that allows one or more homer per start. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-19-24 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Red Sox/Blue Jays OVER 7.5 The OVER is 5-1-1 in Red Sox last seven games overall. They are scoring 6.6 runs per game in their last seven games. The Blue Jays have scored at least 3 runs in six of their last seven games. I think both teams get 4-plus runs to cash this OVER 7.5 ticket tonight. Brayan Bello is 6-4 with a 5.00 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 4-2 with a 5.45 ERA in seven road starts while allowing 22 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 1/3 innings. Bello is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in five career starts against Toronto as well. Kevin Gausman is 1-3 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in seven home starts this season allowing 26 earned runs and 6 homers in 36 1/3 innings. Guasman is 6-9 with a 4.59 ERA in 23 career starts against Boston. He has allowed 10 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Red Sox. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-19-24 | Orioles +155 v. Yankees | 7-6 | Win | 155 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +155 Gerrit Cole and the New York Yankees are getting way too much respect from the books as a big home favorite over the Baltimore Orioles tonight. This will be Cole's first start of the season so he will be on a pitch count. Plus, the Yankees are without Anthony Rizzo and could be without Aaron Judge, who left yesterday's game with a hang injury after being hit by a pitch. Cade Povich bounced back from a poor start in his debut this season wby firing 6 shutout innings with 6 K's against the Atlanta Braves in a 4-2 victory on June 12th. I expect him to have success against this short-handed Yankees lineup tonight as well. The Orioles are 10-5 (+11.6 Units) in their last 15 games as an underdog of +150 or higher. Baltimore is 10-3 (+13.6 Units) in its last 13 games as a road dog of +150 to +200. The Orioles are 16-4 in their last 20 road games after scoring 2 runs or fewer. Bet the Orioles Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-19-24 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Nationals OVER 9.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Nationals today. Temps will be in the 90's with 11 MPH winds blowing out to left. Of course, we won't need much help from the weather with these two gas cans on the mound. Pat Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last handful of years. Corbin is 1-7 with a 5.84 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in six home starts while allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 34 2/3 innings. Corbin is 0-3 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.24 WHIP in four career starts against Arizona as well. Brandon Pfaadt is 3-5 with a 4.38 ERA in 14 starts this season. Pfaadt is 1-3 with a 5.13 ERA in eight road starts, allowing 27 earned runs and 6 homers in 47 1/3 innings. The OVER is 13-4 in Diamondbacks last 17 games overall. The OVER is 8-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games. The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.8 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-19-24 | Reds v. Pirates UNDER 8.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Reds/Pirates UNDER 8.5 This is a early, sleepy 12:35 EST start time game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates. I expect both of these underrated starting pitchers to have an advantage over the hitters in what should be a similar pitcher's dual to the 4-1 and 2-1 results in the first two games of this series. Mitch Keller is 8-4 with a 3.36 ERA in 14 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.79 ERA in six home starts. Keller has allowed just 3 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Reds. Hunter Greene is 5-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in six road starts. Greene has posted a 1.99 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in four career starts against the Pirates. The UNDER is 14-3 in Keller's 17 career starts as a favorite. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-18-24 | Royals -121 v. A's | 5-7 | Loss | -121 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Kansas City Royals -121 The Kansas City Royals just went 2-5 in their seven games against two of the best teams in baseball in the Dodgers and Yankees. They will be highly motivated to get back on track and take a big step down in class here against the Oakland A's, who have gone 0-9 in their last nine games overall to fall to 26-48 on the season. Alec Marsh is yet another underrated starter for the Royals, going 5-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 12 starts this season with just 19 walks and 61 K's in 67 innings. He is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in five road starts. Marsh will shut down the A's, who are hitting .219 and scoring 3.6 runs per game this season. Hogan Harris is fortunate to have a 1.62 ERA in his three starts this season for the A's when you consider he has already allowed 4 homers in 16 2/3 innings. The Royals are scoring 4.8 runs per game against left-handed starters this season and will crush him. Harris is 3-6 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 88 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues. The A's are 9-33 in their last 42 games following a one-run loss. The Royals are 21-6 against teams with a losing record this season, including 12-2 against teams that win 38% of their games or fewer. Bet the Royals Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-18-24 | Rays v. Twins OVER 8 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rays/Twins OVER 8 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rays and Twins tonight. Temps will be in the 80's with 17 MPH winds blowing out to left at game time in Minnesota. We won't need much help with these two gas cans on the mound tonight. Aaron Civale is 2-5 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 14 starts this season while allowing 14 homers in 72 2/3 innings. He is 1-2 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six road starts. He'll be up against a red hot Twins lineup that is scoring 7.9 runs per game in their last eight games which has coincided with a return of their best hitter in Royce Lewis. Pablo Lopez is 6-6 with a 5.33 ERA in 14 starts this season while allowing 14 homers in 76 innings, so both starters have struggled with giving up the long ball, which isn't good news for them with the wind blowing out to left. The Rays are scoring 4.1 runs per game on the road this season. The OVER is 11-2 in Lopez's last 13 June starts. The OVER is 14-3 in Lopez's last 17 starts against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-18-24 | Orioles +133 v. Yankees | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +133 The Baltimore Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall to improve to 47-24 on the season. But they still trail the Yankees by 1.5 games and want to make a statement starting with Game 1 of this series tonight. Albert Suerez has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. Suarez is 2-0 with a 1.82 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in seven starts while allowing just 7 earned runs and one homer in 34 2/3 innings. Nestor Cortes is 3-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 15 starts this season while allowing 12 homers. Cortes is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 4 homers in 16 2/3 innings. He is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last two starts against the Orioles, allowing 8 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings. The Yankees are 1-9 in their last 10 games off a loss by 6 runs or more to a division opponent. New York is 2-8 in Cortes' last 10 starts against teams that draw 3 or fewer walks per game. Bet the Orioles Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-18-24 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals OVER 9 | 5-0 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Diamondbacks/Nationals OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Diamondbacks and Nationals. Temps will be approaching 90 with 11 MPH winds blowing out to left in Washington at game time. The OVER is 13-3 in Diamondbacks last 16 games overall. The OVER is 8-1 in Diamondbacks last nine games overall with 11 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games. Arizona is averaging 7.6 runs per game in its last seven games and will do enough off Jake Irvin to contribute to cashing this OVER 9 ticket. But the Nationals will do the heavy lifting as they are scoring 5.5 runs per game in their last eight games. Slade Cecconi has been forced into action before he's ready due to injuries in Arizona's starting rotation. It hasn't gone well for him as Cecconi is 1-4 with a 6.18 ERA in eight starts this season while allowing 27 earned runs and 9 homers in 39 1/3 innings. Secconi allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings to the Angels in his last start. Washington is 12-2 OVER in its last 14 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 5.90 ERA or worse, and 17-5 OVER in its last 22 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-18-24 | Diamondbacks v. Nationals -113 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals -113 The Washington Nationals have quietly gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall. I expect them to carry this momentum over into Game 1 of this series against the Arizona Diamondbacks and get the win due to their massive advantage on the mound. Jake Irvin has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Irvin is 5-5 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his last three. He held the Diamondbacks to one earned run in 6 innings in his last start against them. Slade Cecconi has been forced into action before he's ready due to injuries in Arizona's starting rotation. It hasn't gone well for him as Cecconi is 1-4 with a 6.18 ERA in eight starts this season while allowing 27 earned runs and 9 homers in 39 1/3 innings. Secconi allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings to the Angels in his last start. Bet the Nationals Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-17-24 | Dodgers v. Rockies +152 | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Colorado Rockies +152 Cal Quantrill is the clear ace of this Colorado staff and one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Quantrill is 6-4 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.25 WHIP In 14 starts for the Rockies this season. He should not be this big of a home underdog to James Paxton and the Dodgers. Paxton is 6-1 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 32 walks and only 35 K's in 59 2/3 innings. He pitches to contact and is due some ERA regression. Paxton has a 5.22 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in seven road starts this season. He has never pitched at Coors Field and I don't expect it to go well for him tonight, especially with temps in the 90's and 15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center. The Dodgers were already without one of the best hitters in Max Muncy and now just lost Mookie Betts to a fractured wrist yesterday against the Royals. They were already struggling at the plate scoring a total of 12 runs in their last five games for an average of 2.4 runs per game. It won't get any better for them moving forward without Betts. The Dodgers are 25-22 (-12.3 Units) against right-handed starters this season. Quantrill's teams are 38-30 (+14.6 Units) in his last 68 starts as he is consistently an underdog. The Rockies are 7-3 (+9.4 Units) in Quantrill's 10 starts against teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times per game this season. Bet the Rockies Monday. |
|||||||
06-17-24 | Mavs +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 88-106 | Loss | -110 | 60 h 6 m | Show |
20* Mavericks/Celtics ABC No-Brainer on Dallas +7.5 The Dallas Mavericks feel like they are playing on house money now after everyone counted them out down 3-0. They responded with their best effort of the playoffs in a 122-84 home win over the Boston Celtics in Game 4. The Celtics made the mistake of giving them life, and now will struggle to close out this series. The pressure is squarely on Boston with all the failures they have had in trying to win a title with this current group of players. I think that pressure will get to them in Game 5, and the Mavericks care-free approach will continue with another big effort and likely and outright win. The Mavericks managed to win by 38 in Game 4 despite Doncic and Irving combining to go 1-of-14 from 3-point range. Those two are due some positive shooting regression. But the role players came to life finally and now many of those guys will have a lot of confidence going into Game 5 tonight. Boston is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 home games when revenging a road loss. Dallas is 34-17 ATS in road games this season. The toughest game if the close out game, and Boston is really feeling the pressure now of trying to win a title. Bet the Mavericks in Game 5 Monday. |
|||||||
06-17-24 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 7.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Blue Jays OVER 7.5 The Boston Red Sox have finally gotten healthy at the plate and are raking right now. They have scored 8 runs or more in four of their last five games. They are averaging 6.2 runs per game in their last 11 games. The Blue Jays have scored 5 runs or more in four of their last eight games, including both games over the weekend. Nick Pivetta is 3-4 with a 3.89 ERA in nine starts for the Red Sox this season. He has allowed 5 homers in 21 innings in his four road starts. Pivetta is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 13 career starts against Toronto. Yusei Kikuchi is having a solid season going 4-5 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 14 starts. However, he does not enjoy facing the Red Sox, going 0-2 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five career starts against them. He has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 18 base runners in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Boston. Boston is 9-1 OVER against a AL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better this season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
06-16-24 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
20* Yankees/Red Sox ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 9 The New York Yankees have scored a total of 36 runs in their last five games for an average of 7.2 runs per game. The Boston Red Sox have scored 6 runs or more in six of their last 10 games overall. Both teams will have plenty of success at the plate tonight to get this up and OVER 9 combined runs. Marcus Stroman is due some regression as he has been pitching to contact with just 58 K's in 79 2/3 innings this season, including 5 K's in 17 2/3 innings in his last three starts. Stroman has allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Red Sox. Kutter Crawford is 1-5 with a 4.11 ERA in eight home starts this season. Crawford is 0-3 with a 5.50 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 15 runs, 11 earned and 4 homers in 18 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday night. |
|||||||
06-16-24 | White Sox v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 5-12 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 The OVER is 12-3 in Diamondbacks last 15 games overall. The OVER is 7-1 in Diamondbacks last eight games overall with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games. The OVER is 9-5-1 in White Sox last 15 games overall and they are about as healthy as they have been all season in their lineup, scoring 6 runs or more five times in their last 12 games. The White Sox scored 9 runs on the Diamondbacks yesterday and should stay hot at the plate against Jordan Montgomery, who is 4-4 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Montgomery is 2-2 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in seven home starts. He is also 1-2 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. Drew Thorpe will be making his 2nd start of the season for the White Sox. He held the Mariners in check in his first start, but they have one of the worst lineups in baseball. This is a big step up in class for Thorpe this afternoon. Arizona is 10-2 OVER in home games with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs this season. Chicago is 10-2 OVER off five or more consecutive road games this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
|||||||
06-16-24 | Angels v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Giants OVER 8 After the Angels and Giants combined for 14 runs in Game 1 with the wind blowing out, it took a miracle to keep it under 8 in Game 2 with a 4-3 victory by the Angels. The Giants had 12 base runners yesterday while the Angels had 10, and there were several runners stranded on 3rd with less than two outs. The wind will be blowing out to center at 15-20 MPH in San Francisco again today and we should cash this OVER 8 ticket as a result. There's not much to like about either starting pitcher as Ben Joyce will be making his first start of the season for the Angels. Lefty Kyle Harrison is 4-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 14 starts for the Giants this season. The Angels are scoring 5.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season, and the OVER is 9-4-1 in their 14 games against southpaws. The OVER is 5-1 in Angels last six games overall with 11 or more combined runs in five of those six games. The OVER is 15-6 in Angels games against a team with a losing record this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
|||||||
06-16-24 | Marlins v. Nationals -114 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -114 The Washington Nationals have quietly gone 7-1 in their last eight games overall while scoring an average of 5.9 runs per game in their last seven games. The Miami Marlins are 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in seven of those 10 games. The Marlins are 3-22 against left-handed starters this season and scoring just 2.6 runs per game in those 25 games. Now they have to face underrated lefty Mitchell Parker, who is 4-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in four home starts. Jesus Luzardo is 3-5 with a 5.11 ERA in 11 starts for the Marlins this season, 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA in four road starts, and 1-2 with a 7.87 ERA in his last three starts. The Nationals need to be bigger favorites over the Marlins today. Bet the Nationals Sunday. |
|||||||
06-16-24 | Cardinals v. Cubs -120 | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
15* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -120 The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals today and should be bigger favorites as a result. Jameson Taillon is 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA in 10 starts for the Cubs while allowing just 6 homers in 55 1/3 iinnings. Miles Mikolas is 4-6 with a 4.85 ERA in 14 starts for the Cardinals this season while allowing 12 homers in 78 innings. Mikolas is 4-4 with a 5.04 ERA in eight road starts as well. Taillon is 5-1 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 13 career starts against the Cardinals. Mikolas is 0-1 with a 6.94 ERA in his last three starts against the Cubs, allowing 9 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
|||||||
06-15-24 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 The New York Yankees have scored a total of 32 runs in their last four games for an average of 8.0 runs per game. The Boston Red Sox have scored 6 runs or more in five of their last nine games overall. Both teams will have plenty of success at the plate tonight to get this up and OVER 9 combined runs. Cooper Criswell is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Carlos Rodon is due some regression and has allowed 11 homers in 80 innings this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-15-24 | Angels v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Giants OVER 8 The forecast aided us in cashing the OVER 8 between the Angels and Giants in Game 1 yesterday as the Angels won 8-6 for 14 combined runs with the wind blowing out. The forecast will help us cash the OVER 8 again in Game 2 today with 17 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to center at Oracle Park this afternoon. Keaton Winn is 3-7 with a 6.94 ERA in 10 starts for the Giants this season while allowing 36 earned runs in 46 2/3 innings. Patrick Sandoval is 2-8 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 14 starts for the Angels this season while allowing 43 earned runs in 72 1/3 innings. Sandoval is 0-1 with a 5.90 ERA in two career starts against the Giants, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings. The OVER is 5-0 in Angels last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five games. The Angels are 13-4 OVER vs. NL teams with a .255 average or worse this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-15-24 | Phillies v. Orioles -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 120 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+120) The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing in extra innings to the Phillies in Game 1. The Phillies are without two of their best hitters in Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto and are much less potent offensively without these two. The Orioles have a massive advantage on the mound today that should have them winning this game by multiple runs. Grayson Rodriquez is 7-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in five home starts. Taijuan Walker is 3-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in eight starts this season. He is 2-1 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 30 base runners in 18 1/3 innings. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Angels v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Angels/Giants OVER 8 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Angels and Giants tonight. There are expected to be 24 MPH winds blowing out to center field at Oracle Park. The OVER is 4-0 in Angels last four games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all four games. They have an underrated lineup and a terrible pitching staff. The Giants should get their bats going tonight while also giving up some runs to the Angels. Spencer Howard will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Giants. Tyler Anderson is due some regression with just 53 K's in 82 innings and pitching to contact all season. He has allowed 10 homers in his 13 starts. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | White Sox v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on White Sox/Diamondbacks OVER 9 The OVER is 11-2 in Diamondbacks last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs 11 times and 11 or more combined runs 10 times. That includes 12, 14, 13, 13, 11 and 12 combined runs in their last six games coming in. The Chicago White Sox just got two of their best hitters back from injury and should start scoring more runs as a result. Both lineups will have plenty of success to top this 9-run total against these two terrible starting pitchers tonight. Chris Flexen is 2-5 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 12 starts for the White Sox this season. Ryne Nelson is 2-5 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.71 WHIP in 10 starts for the Diamondbacks this season. Flexen is 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA in five career starts against the Diamodnbacks. The OVER is 21-5 in Flexen's last 26 starts. The OVER is 10-0 in Flexen's last 10 interleague starts. Arizona is 7-0 OVER in home games against AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 11 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pirates/Rockies OVER 11 Both the Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates should get their bats going tonight against these two terrible starting pitchers. The ball should be flying out of hitter-friendly Coors Field tonight. Ryan Feltner is 1-5 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.66 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in five home starts. The OVER is 12-1 in Feltner's 13 starts this season, including 5-0 in his five home starts. Feltner allowed 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Pirates this season. Luis Ortiz will be making his first start of the season for the Pirates. He is 7-9 with a 4.16 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in his career in the big leagues which spans 140 2/3 innings. He gave up 5 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 5 innings in his lone career start against the Rockies. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Celtics -105 v. Mavs | 84-122 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
15* Celtics/Mavericks ABC ANNIHILATOR on Boston ML -105 The Dallas Mavericks had their last-ditch effort to make this a series come up short. They nearly erased a 21-point deficit to the Celtics in Game 3 getting it down to 1 point. But Luka Doncic fouled out, and they couldn't close the deal as the Celtics made the big plays down the stretch to take a commanding 3-0 series lead. I question Dallas' mental state coming into this one. Doncic and Irving combined for 62 points in Game 3 and it still wasn't enough. That's because the Mavericks are getting nothing from their role players in this series. If they couldn't get it in Game 3, they aren't going to get it in Game 4 either. There's just too much on Doncic and Irving's shoulders and they can't handle it. Of course, the Celtics are showing why they are one of the best defensive teams in the league. They are making life difficult on Irving and Doncic, and they are taking away the corner 3-pointers from PJ Washington and company that have been huge in the Mavericks getting this far. They have held the Mavericks below 100 points in all three games in this series. The Celtics are so close they can taste it, and they won't let this opportunity to sweep by by the wayside. Bet the Celtics on the Money Line Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Tigers +105 v. Astros | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +105 The Detroit Tigers have a big advantage on the mound over the Houston Astros today and shouldn't be underdogs as a result. Plus, the Astros are without their best hitter in Kyle Tucker and could be without C Yainer Diaz as well. Tarik Skubal is the favorite to win the AL Cy Young. He is 8-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 96 K's in 79 2/3 innings and only 15 walks and 5 homers allowed. Skubal is 1-0 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in three career starts against the Astros as well. Hunter Brown is 2-5 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 10 homers allowed in 56 1/3 innings. He has already allowed 8 homers in 36 2/3 innings at home. Brown has posted a 4.59 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in three career starts against Detroit as well. The Astros are 0-6 in Brown's six starts following a team loss this season. The Tigers are 10-3 in Skubal's 13 starts this season. Bet the Tigers Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Guardians v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 3-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Blue Jays OVER 8 The Cleveland Guardians have one of the most underrated lineups in baseball which has been a key to their success to get to 43-23 this season. They are scoring 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.1 runs per game on the road. The Blue Jays have gotten their bats going finally in recent games scoring 6 runs or more three times in their last seven. Both lineups should have their way against these two starting pitchers. Logan Allen is 6-3 in spite of a 5.57 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Guardians. He has already allowed 14 homers in 64 2/3 innings. He is 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings. Allen is 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts against Toronto, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 innings. Kevin Gausman is 1-2 with a 6.68 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in six home starts this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 5 homers in 31 innings. Gausman allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his last home start against Cleveland. The OVER is 10-3 in Gausman's 13 starts this season, including 5-1 in his six home starts. The OVER is 9-3-1 in Allen's 13 starts this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-14-24 | Cardinals v. Cubs -110 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 33 m | Show |
20* Cardinals/Cubs NL Central No-Brainer on Chicago -110 The Chicago Cubs have been struggling to close out games over the last month. But now they have nine straight winnable home games coming up against the Cardinals, Giants and Mets to get back on track. It starts with Game 1 today against the Cardinals in what should be a raucous atmosphere at Wrigley for a Friday afternoon game. Jordan Wicks has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last two starts. He is 1-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in two home starts this season. He'll be facing a Cardinals team that is hitting .234 and scoring just 3.9 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The Cubs should feast on Kyle Gibson, who is 4-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing 10 homers. Gibson has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-4 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in four career starts against them. He has allowed 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 20 1/3 innings. St. Louis is 0-13 in its last 13 road games following 7 or more consecutive home games. Bet the Cubs Friday. |
|||||||
06-13-24 | Rangers v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 3-1 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rangers/Dodgers OVER 8 The Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 5.2 runs per game at home this season while the Texas Rangers are scoring 4.7 runs per game on the road. This total is 8 is too low tonight for these two lineups up against these two starting pitchers. The Rangers are also a live underdog because they should tee off on Michael Grove, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Dodgers. Grove allowed 3 earned runs in 2 innings to the Blue Jays in his first start this season, and the Dodgers will make this a bullpen game after him. Michael Lorenzen is due some regression for the Rangers. He is 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 10 starts. But he pitches to contact with only 44 K's in 59 innings with 28 walks. He has been very fortunate not to allow more runs this season with all the runners he is putting on base. The Dodgers won't let him off the hook tonight. The Dodgers are 36-18 OVER in their last 54 interleague games. Los Angeles is 90-61 OVER when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last two seasons. The Dodgers are scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last seven games. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-13-24 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 The OVER is 10-2 in Diamondbacks last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs 10 times and 11 or more combined runs nine times. That includes 12, 14, 13, 13 and 11 combined runs in their last five games coming in. The Angels have combined for 16, 13 and 11 runs in their last three games. Brandon Pffadt is 2-5 with a 4.60 ERA in 13 starts this season while allowing 10 homers. He is 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 18 1/3 innings. Griffin Canning is 2-6 with a 4.65 ERA in 13 starts this season while allowing 11 homers. Canning is 0-5 with a 5.06 ERA in six road starts while allowing 18 earned runs and 6 homers in 32 innings. Canning allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against Arizona last season. Arizona is 17-7 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. The Angels are 74-52 OVER in their last 126 games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-13-24 | Phillies v. Red Sox +107 | 3-9 | Win | 107 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Boston Red Sox +107 The Philadelphia Phillies are overvalued right now due to their tremendous start to the season. But they are without two of their best hitters in Trea Turner and J.T. Realmuto and will be good fade material in the immediate future. They should not be favored over the Boston Red Sox tonight. Tanner Houck is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 6-5 with a 2.01 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 13 starts this season with 84 K's in 85 innings and only 2 homers allowed. Keeping the ball in the park will be big today with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center. Aaron Nola has been solid for the Phillies but he has allowed 11 homers in 84 1/3 innings with his biggest weakness being giving up the long ball. That's bad news for him and the Phillies given the forecast, which will have the ball flying out tonight. The Red Sox are scoring 4.9 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. Bet the Red Sox Thursday. |
|||||||
06-13-24 | Pirates -105 v. Cardinals | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 55 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Pirates -105 The Paul Skenes and Jared Jones getting all the hype for the Pirates, Mitch Keller has quietly been one of the best starters in baseball over the last month. The Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals today and getting them at basically even money is tremendous value. Keller is 6-0 with a 1.13 ERA in his last six starts while allowing just 5 earned runs and one homer in 39 2/3 innings. Keller is 2-1 with a 3.29 ERA in 10 career starts against the Cardinals as well. Lance Lynn is 2-3 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in six home starts. Lynn is 7-9 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 23 career starts against Pittsburgh. He has allowed a whopping 13 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Pirates. Bet the Pirates Thursday. |
|||||||
06-13-24 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 10.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Royals OVER 10.5 Temps have been up with winds blowing out in this series between Kansas City and New York. It will be more of the same today with temps in the 90's and roughly 13 MPH winds blowing out to center at Kauffman Stadium this afternoon. These teams combined for 11 runs two days ago and 16 runs yesterday. Nestor Cortes is 0-3 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in seven road starts this season while allowing 24 earned runs and 8 homers in 35 innings. Alec Marsh is 3-1 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in six home starts this season. Marsh is 1-2 with a 7.41 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 innings. He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Yankees last season. The OVER is 24-7 in Royals last 31 home games after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings. The OVER is 16-6 in Royals last 22 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in 14 of those 22 games. The OVER is 10-3 in Yankees last 13 games overall with 11 or more combined runs in seven of those 13 games. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-12-24 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 The OVER is 9-2 in Diamondbacks last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs nine times and 12 or more combined runs eight times. That includes 12, 14, 13 and 13 combined runs in their last four games coming in. The Angels have combined for 16 and 13 runs in their last two games. Slade Cecconi is 1-3 with a 4.95 ERA in seven starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 1/3 innings. Cecconi is 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA in two home starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings. Jose Soriano is 3-4 with a 3.55 ERA in 11 starts for the Angels this season. Soriano is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 9 earned runs in 18 innings. The Angels are 7-0 OVER vs. a starting pitcher that allows one or more homers per start this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-12-24 | Celtics v. Mavs -121 | Top | 106-99 | Loss | -121 | 70 h 47 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Mavs ABC No-Brainer on Dallas ML -121 After dropping the first two games of this series in Boston, this is a must-win game for the Dallas Mavericks in Game 3 if they want to get back in this series. I think they will play much better when they return home for Game 3 tonight, while the Celtics may relax a little with a commanding 2-0 lead. Luka Doncic showed up in Boston but hasn't gotten any help. All players for the Mavericks other than Doncic are 5-of-32 (15.6%) combined from 3-point range in this series. Role players always play much better at home in the friendly confines, and I expect that to be the case for the Mavericks in Game 3. Kyrie Irving was basically a no-show in the first two games in Boston. He will have his best game of the series by far in Game 3 where he will be much more comfortable. It has been hostile for Irving in Boston since stomping on the logo and he hasn't handled it well. But he will handle playing in front of supporting fans much better in Dallas. Kristaps Porzingis looked to reaggravate his calf injury in Game 2 and was noticeably limping. Not having him at 100% the rest of the way would be a big blow to the Celtics as he has been a weapon the Mavericks haven't had an answer for. I also don't expect Boston to get so many easy looks at the rim like they have in the first two games. This Dallas defense has been the reason they have made it this far, and it will show up in a big way in Game 3. Bet the Mavericks on the Money Line Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-12-24 | Pirates +165 v. Cardinals | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pittsburgh Pirates +165 The Pittsburgh Pirates are one of the most underrated teams in baseball right now with a great rotation. While Skenes, Jones and Keller have been getting all the hype lately, Bailey Falter is quietly putting together a great season. Falter is 3-3 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 12 starts for the Pirates this season. Sonny Gray is getting too much respect for the Cardinals tonight. He is 3-3 with a 5.46 ERA in his last six starts while allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Gray has allowed 8 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 20-17 (+8.6 Units) as underdogs this season. Falter's teams are a perfect 9-0 in his last nine starts vs. NL teams that score 4.0 or fewer runs per game. Bet the Pirates Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-12-24 | Cubs +106 v. Rays | 4-3 | Win | 106 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +106 The Chicago Cubs blew a 2-1 lead in the 9th inning to lose to the Rays last night. They will come back highly motivated for a victory in Game 2. They should not be underdogs to the Rays given their big advantage on the mound and at the plate. Aaron Civale is 2-5 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 67 innings. He has allowed 9 homers in 37 1/3 innings at home. Javier Assad is 4-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 13 starts for the Cubs this season while allowing just 7 homers in 69 innings with 68 K's. The Cubs are 12-5 (+12.3 Units) in Assad's last 17 starts as an underdog. The Rays are 4-9 (-7.8 Units) in Civale's 13 starts this season. Bet the Cubs Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-12-24 | Cubs v. Rays OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cubs/Rays OVER 7.5 Two struggling starting pitchers square off tonight in what should be a slug fest between the Cubs and Rays and a very low total of 7.5 runs. Both of these starters are getting too much respect from the books. Aaron Civale is 2-5 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing 13 homers in 67 innings. He has allowed 9 homers in 37 1/3 innings at home. He'll be opposed by Javier Assad, who has come back down to reality in recent starts. Assad is 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 innings. The OVER is 9-1 in Civale's last 10 home starts with a money line of +100 to -150. The OVER is 24-9 in Civale's 33 career home starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. The Cubs are 16-4 OVER in their last 20 road games vs. AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer tuns per game. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Angels v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Diamondbacks OVER 9 The OVER is 8-2 in Diamondbacks last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs eight times and 12 or more combined runs seven times. That includes 12, 14 and 13 combined runs in their last three games coming in. The Angels just combined for 16 runs with the Astros last game. Jordan Montgomery is 3-4 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in six home starts. Montgomery is 0-2 with an 18.00 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 6 innings. Lefty Jose Suarez will be making his first start of the season for the Angels. Suarez is 1-0 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 31 2/3 innings in relief this season. He is 20-27 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 356 innings in the big leagues. The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.6 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Yankees v. Royals +126 | 10-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals +126 The Kansas City Royals are 24-12 at home this season where they are scoring 5.6 runs per game. They should not be home underdogs to the New York Yankees tonight. Brady Singer is 4-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in seven home starts. Singer has held the Yankees to 2 earned runs in 13 innings with 19 K's in his last two starts agianst them. Marcus Stroman is due some regression while pitching to contact this season with only 57 K's in 74 innings. He has 19 K's in 34 2/3 innings on the road. He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings to the Twins in his last start. The Royals are 26-12 (+16.6 Units) in Singer's last 38 home starts. Kansas City is 14-2 in home games against teams that average 0.5 or fewer steals per game this season. Bet the Royals Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Pirates -126 v. Cardinals | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh Pirates -126 The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. They are also raking of late going 6-4 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 7 runs or more four times. Rookie Paul Skenes has managed to exceed the massive hype that comes with being baseball's top prospect. He is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five starts with 38 K's in 27 innings. The Pirates should stay hot at the plate against Miles Mikolas, who is 4-6 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.81 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in five home starts. Mikolas has allowed 8 earned runs and 29 base runners in 15 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Pirates. Bet the Pirates Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Rockies +182 v. Twins | 5-4 | Win | 182 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Colorado Rockies +182 The Minnesota Twins should not be -200 favorites with Louis Varland on the mound. Varland is 0-4 with a 9.18 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in four starts in the majors this season, allowing 17 earned runs, 6 homers and 36 base runners in 16 2/3 innings. He hasn't been much better at Triple-A in the minors, going 2-5 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in eight starts. Cal Quantrill has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball for the Rockies this season. He is 5-4 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.30 WHIP in 13 starts. Quantrill has never lost to the Twins, going 5-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in eight career starts against them. Bet the Rockies Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Guardians v. Reds OVER 9 | 5-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Guardians/Reds Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 This has the makings of a slug fest inside hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati tonight. These are two terrible starting pitchers. The Guardians are scoring 5.8 runs per game against left-handed starters, and the Reds are scoring 6.6 runs per game in their last seven games. Triston McKenzie is 2-3 with a 4.16 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing a whopping 14 homers and 36 walks in 62 2/3 innings. McKenzie is 0-0 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 8 homers in 15 1/3 innings. Lefty Brent Suter will be an opener before giving way to Cincinnati's suspect bullpen. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-11-24 | Cubs +125 v. Rays | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Cubs +125 The Tampa Bay Rays were just swept in four games by the Baltimore Orioles. That series concluded on Monday while the Cubs had Monday off, giving them the rest advantage. Jameson Taillon is 3-2 with a 3.47 ERA in nine starts for the Cubs this season. He'll be opposed by Zach Eflin, who is 3-4 with a 4.14 ERA in 11 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts. Taillon is 3-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in six career starts against the Rays. Taillon's teams are 11-1 in his last 12 road starts against AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game. Tampa Bay is 0-8 in home games off three consecutive games against division opponents this season. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-10-24 | A's v. Padres OVER 7 | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Padres OVER 7 The OVER is 4-1 in Padres last five home games with 7 or more combined runs in all five and 10 or more combined runs in four of the five. They just combined for 12, 14 and 13 runs in their last three games coming in against the Diamondbacks. They are scoring 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. The Padres should stay hot at the plate against Joey Estes, who is 2-1 with a 4.67 ERA in five starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.58 ERA in three road starts. But the A's should have success against Dylan Cease, who is 1-4 with a 4.34 ERA in five home starts this season. Cease has allowed 12 earned runs and 23 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Oakland, both of which came last season. San Diego is 12-1 OVER off three consecutive games against a division opponent this season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
06-10-24 | Yankees v. Royals +115 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals +115 This is a tough spot for the New York Yankees. They played the ESPN Sunday Night Baseball game last night and beat the Dodgers to avoid the sweep. Now they have to travel to Kansas City and won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Royals as they were to beat the Dodgers. Juan Soto is doubtful to play for the Yankees tonight as well. The Royals have been grossly undervalued this season and are one of the best teams in baseball. They should not be home underdogs to the Yankees. They are 24-11 at home this season where they are scoring 5.7 runs per game. Speaking of underrated, Seth Lugo is among the AL Cy Young favorites now after going 9-1 with a 2.24 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 13 starts this season. Lugo is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in two career starts against the Yankees, holding them to one earned run in 9 2/3 innings with 15 K's. Carlos Rodon is due some regression at 8-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He has allowed 8 homers in 41 2/3 innings in eight road starts this season. Rodon is 0-3 with a 14.89 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 2/3 innings. Bet the Royals Monday. |
|||||||
06-10-24 | Yankees v. Royals OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Royals OVER 8.5 Temps will be approaching 80 tonight in Kansas City and the ball should be flying out of Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home while the Yankees are scoring 5.1 runs per game on the road as these are two of the best offenses in baseball. Carlos Rodon is due some regression at 8-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He has allowed 8 homers in 41 2/3 innings in eight road starts this season. Rodon is 0-3 with a 14.89 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 2/3 innings. Seth Lugo is having a great season for the Royals but is due some regression as well. We saw some in his last start as he allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 8-5 loss to the Guardians. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
06-09-24 | Mavs +7.5 v. Celtics | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 69 h 11 m | Show |
25* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Mavericks +7.5 The Dallas Mavericks failed to show up in Game 1. They shot 41.7% from the field, 7-of-27 (25.9%) from 3-point range and 12-of-19 (63.2%) from the FT line. Nothing went right for them offensively. I think with two days off in between games to adjust, we get a much better effort from the Mavericks in Game 2 in Boston. The Celtics shot 47.6% from the field and 16-of-42 (38.1%) from 3 and really put Game 1 away early thanks to a hot start from Kristaps Porzingis. Things came very easily for the Celtics in Game 1, but they won't come nearly as easy in Game 2. And we've seen the Celtics upset in a pair of Game 2's thus far in these playoffs losing to the Heat outright by 10 as 14-point favorites and to the Cavaliers outright by 24 as 13-point favorites. They tend to relax after taking Game 1. Dallas is 34-17 ATS in road games this season. The Mavericks are 12-4 ATS in road games against Eastern Conference opponents this season. Dallas is 33-17 ATS in its last 50 games after scoring 100 points or less. Bet the Mavericks in Game 2 Sunday. |
|||||||
06-09-24 | Red Sox v. White Sox OVER 9 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/White Sox OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox today. There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center with temps approaching 80 degrees this afternoon. The White Sox just got their best hitter in Luis Robert back from a 53-game absence as well as 1B Allen Vaughn. They have scored exactly 6 runs in three of their last four games. The OVER is 6-1-1 in White Sox last eight games. The Red Sox are 6-2 OVER in their last eight games while scoring a total of 46 runs in those eight games for an average of 5.8 runs per game. Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball. He is 2-5 with a 5.64 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 11 starts this season. The Red Sox will be making this a bullpen game starting with Zack Kelly and then likely the horrible Chase Anderson. Kelly will be making his first career starts. Boston is 7-0 OVER in road games with a money line of +100 to -150 this season. The OVER is 20-5 in Flexen's last 25 starts. The OVER is 9-0 in Flexen's last nine day game starts. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
|||||||
06-09-24 | Cubs -118 v. Reds | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
15* Cubs/Reds NL Central ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -118 The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday. They have lost the first three games of this series to the Cincinnati Reds and desperately want to avoid the sweep in Game 4. I like their chances with a big advantage on the mound behind Shota Imanaga, who is 5-1 with a 1.88 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 11 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Frankie Montas, who is 3-4 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 11 starts this season and averaging just 4.9 innings per start. Montas' teams are 8-25 (-15.4 Units) in his 33 career starts as an underdog of +100 to +150. Montas' teams are 1-12 (-11.8 Units) in his last 13 home starts with a money line of -125 to +125. Montas' teams are 1-9 (-9.2 Units) in his last 10 home starts against division opponents. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
|||||||
06-08-24 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 1-13 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
20* NL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8 Two terrible starting pitchers will get rocked by these two offenses tonight. The Padres are scoring 5.4 runs per game against right-handed starters while the Diamondbacks are scoring 4.8 runs per game on the road. Ryne Nelson is 2-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in nine starts for the Diamondbacks this season. Matt Waldron is 1-4 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in five home starts for the Padres this season. Nelson is 2-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in six career starts against the Padres. He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 innings in his last three starts against San Diego. Waldron is 0-2 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.38 WHIP in two career starts against Arizona, allowing 12 earned runs in 8 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-08-24 | Orioles v. Rays OVER 8 | 5-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Rays OVER 8 This total is too low for these two offenses and starting pitchers. The Orioles are scoring 5.1 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game on the road. The Rays are heating up at the plate scoring 4.7 runs per game in their last seven games. Kyle Bradish was rocked for 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his last start, which came against Tampa Bay in a 9-5 win. Taj Bradley was opposite Bradish in that game, and he allowed 9 earned runs, 4 homers and 12 base runners in 3 1/3 innings. Both offenses will have their way against these two starters again today. Bradish is 1-3 with a 7.12 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in six career starts against Tampa Bay. Bradley is 1-1 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in three career starts against Baltimore. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-08-24 | Red Sox v. White Sox OVER 8.5 | 1-6 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/White Sox OVER 8.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox in Game 3 just as it did in the first two games of this series when they combined for 16 and 9 runs. There are expected to be double-digit winds blowing out to left tonight in Chicago. The White Sox just got their best hitter in Luis Robert back from a 53-game absence as well as 1B Allen Vaughn. They scored 6 runs in two consecutive games against the Cubs and had 22 hits in those two games. The OVER is 6-0-1 in White Sox last seven games. The Red Sox are 6-1 OVER in their last seven games while scoring a total of 45 runs in those seven games for an average of 6.4 runs per game. The Red Sox are capable of covering this total on their own against Nick Nastrini and this Chicago Bullpen that has a 4.81 ERA on the season. Nastrini is 0-5 with a 9.74 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 22 earned runs, 5 homers and 42 base runners in 20 1/3 innings. Brayan Bello is 6-2 with a 4.36 ERA in 10 starts for the Red Sox this season. Bello is 4-1 with a 4.83 ERA in six road starts while allowing 6 homers in 31 2/3 innings away from home. The OVER is 14-5 in Bello's last 19 road starts. The OVER is 8-0 in Bellow's last eight road starts vs. teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-07-24 | Blue Jays -132 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -132 | 21 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -132 The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up at the plate while going 7-3 in their last 10 games overall. I expect them to stay hot at the plate against Hogan Harris and the lowly Oakland A's, who are 2-6 in their last eight games overall while scoring a total of 6 runs in their last four games. Harris went 3-6 with a 7.14 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 63 innings for the A's last season. Harris has posted a 7.67 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in 29 1/3 innings in at AAA Las Vegas this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 5 homers in the process. He is 0-1 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in two career starts against Toronto. Chris Bassitt is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 17 innings with 18 K's. He has now allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in six consecutive starts and nine of his last 10. Bassitt has never lost to the A's, going 2-0 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in four career starts against them. Bassitt's teams are 25-4 (+19.8 Units) in his 29 career starts as a road favorite of -125 or higher. Oakland is 5-21 (-13.6 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Bet the Blue Jays Friday. |
|||||||
06-07-24 | Red Sox v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 102 | 20 h 33 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/White Sox OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox tonight just as it did last night when they combined for 16 runs. There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center with temps in the 70's tonight in Chicago. The White Sox just got their best hitter in Luis Robert back from a 53-game absence as well as 1B Allen Vaughn. They scored 6 runs in two consecutive games against the Cubs and had 22 hits in those two games. The OVER is 5-0-1 in White Sox last six games. The Red Sox are 5-1 OVER in their last six games while scoring a total of 43 runs in those six games for an average of 7.2 runs per game. Cooper Criswell has allowed 7 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts for the Red Sox. Garrett Crochet has allowed 9 homers in 69 2/3 innings this season and is getting too much respect from the books. Both starters will struggle given the conditions favoring the hitters. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-07-24 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Reds OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Cubs and Reds tonight. There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center with temps in the 70's in Cincinnati tonight. This is already one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball and the ball will be flying out tonight. The OVER is 8-0-1 in Cubs last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games. That includes 13, 13 and 12 combined runs in their last three games coming in. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Reds last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in five of those seven games, including 16, 19 and 12 combined runs in three of their last four. Justin Steele is 0-2 with a 4.34 ERA in seven starts for the Cubs this season. Steele is 2-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in seven career starts against the Reds. Nick Lodolo is 2-1 with a 3.74 ERA in four home starts this season. Lodolo is 1-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in three career starts against Chicago. The OVER is 12-3 in Steele's last 15 starts against a team with a losing record. The OVER is 19-6 in Steele's last 25 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
06-06-24 | Mavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 89-107 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 43 m | Show |
20* Mavericks/Celtics ABC No-Brainer on Dallas +6.5 The Dallas Mavericks have been through the gauntlet beating the Clippers, Thunder and Timberwolves to get here while being the road team in all three series. They have been a different team since trading for PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford as they have become one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Indeed, the Mavericks are 28-9 SU & 27-10 ATS in their last 37 games overall. I like the fact that they got some rest but not too much rest to the point that they would be rusty by dispatching of the Timberwolves in five games. I worry about the rust factor for the Celtics, who have been off for the last nine days since sweeping the Pacers. The Celtics were very fortunate to get an easy route to the playoffs due to injuries to opposing teams. Jimmy Butler was out for the Heat along with a couple others. Donovan Mitchell and Jarrett Allen were out for the Cavaliers. And Tyrese Haliburton got hurt in Game 2 and didn't play in Games 3 and 4. Plus, the Pacers arguably should have been up 3-1 as they blew late leads in three of the games in losses by 3, 3 and 5 points. This big step up in class for the Celtics will come as a shock to the system. The Mavericks will offer a lot more resistance than those three banged-up teams did. The Celtics will get back Kristaps Porzingis for this series, but I imagine they will be cautious with him in Game 1. The Mavericks should dominate the boards in this series as their bigs offer much more of a presence than Porzingis and Horford will for the Celtics. Dallas is 9-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more this season. The Mavericks are 12-3 ATS in road games against Eastern Conference opponents this season. Dallas is 34-16 ATS in all road games this season. Bet the Mavericks in Game 1 Thursday. |
|||||||
06-06-24 | Red Sox v. White Sox OVER 8 | Top | 14-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/White Sox OVER 8 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Red Sox and White Sox tonight. Temps will be in the 70's with 18 MPH winds blowing out to center at game time. That's a recipe for a ton of home runs tonight. The White Sox just got their best hitter in Luis Robert back from a 53-game absence as well as 1B Allen Vaughn. They scored 6 runs in each of their last two games against the Cubs over the past two days and had 22 hits in those two games. The OVER is 4-0-1 in White Sox last five games. The Red Sox are 4-1 OVER in their last five games while scoring a total of 29 runs in those five games. Jake Woodford is one of the worst starters in baseball and will be making his 2nd start of the season for the White Sox. He allowed 3 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his first start. While Tanner Houck has been great for the Red Sox, he does not enjoy facing the White Sox. Houck is 0-3 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in three career starts against the White Sox. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-06-24 | Dodgers v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Pirates OVER 8.5 The Dodgers and Pirates combined for 16 runs yesterday. I'm expecting another slug fest given the forecast tonight. Temps will be in the upper-70's with 11 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at game time. Walker Buehler is making his way back from injury. He is 1-3 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in two road starts. He has already allowed 4 homers in 9 innings on the road this season. Buehler allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings in his last start against Pittsburgh. Bailey Falter is due some big regression. He is 3-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 11 starts this season. But he has allowed 9 homers with only 38 K's in 64 1/3 innings. A guy that pitches to contact should not have this good of numbers, and that contact is bound to start falling for more hits moving forward. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
06-05-24 | Dodgers v. Pirates -111 | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
15* Dodgers/Pirates NL ANNIHILATOR on Pittsburgh -111 The Pittsburgh Pirates have a big advantage on the mound over the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. They shut out the Dodgers 1-0 yesterday with a great start from Jared Jones, and now they send their ace to the mound and baseball's top prospect. Paul Skenes has lived up to the hype by going 2-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He has allowed just 6 earned runs in 22 innings with 30 K's. James Paxton is 5-0 in spite of a 1.38 WHIP in 10 starts this season. He has been very fortunate to not allow more earned runs with all the runners he has put on base with 28 walks and only 31 K's in 52 innings. Paxton has paid the price lately with a 5.27 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings. Bet the Pirates Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-05-24 | Mets v. Nationals OVER 9 | Top | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/Nationals OVER 9 The OVER is 4-0-1 in Mets last five games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all five games. They have scored a total of 33 runs in those five games for an average of 6.6 runs per game. The Nationals have scored 15 runs in their last three games for an average of 5.0 runs per game. Any time Patrick Corbin is starting my first look is going to be to bet against him or take the OVER. Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the last several years. He is 1-6 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Corbin has allowed 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mets. Luis Severino is 3-2 with a 3.94 ERA in 11 starts this season. But while he has been very good at home, it has been a different story on the road. Severino is 0-1 with a 5.16 ERA in four starts away from home this season. The Mets are 18-7-2 OVER in all road games this season. New York is 11-3 OVER in road games with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs this season. The Mets are 9-0 OVER in road games against division opponents this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
06-04-24 | White Sox v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-135) The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the Chicago White Sox tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs. The White Sox are the worst team in baseball right now going 1-15 in their last 16 games overall with 14 losses by 2 runs or more. The Cubs should hang a big number on Chris Flexen, who is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season. Flexen is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 2/3 innings. Flexen faced the Cubs three times last season, going 0-1 with a 9.24 ERA and 2.37 WHIP while allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 2/3 innings. Shota Imanaga is 5-1 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in five home starts. He'll be facing a weak Chicago lineup that is hitting .206 and scoring 2.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-04-24 | White Sox v. Cubs OVER 9 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Cubs OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Cubs and White Sox at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field. Temps will be in the 70's with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left tonight. The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Chris Flexen, who is 2-5 with a 6.04 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 10 starts this season. Flexen is 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 13 2/3 innings. Flexen faced the Cubs three times last season, going 0-1 with a 9.24 ERA and 2.37 WHIP while allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 2/3 innings. Shota Imanaga finally came back down to reality with his worst start of the season last time out. He allowed 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Brewers. While I don't expect the White Sox to have nearly as much success as the Brewers did, I do expect them to do enough offensively to contribute to us cashing this OVER 9 ticket. The OVER is 9-0 in Flexen's last nine interleague starts. The OVER is 19-5 in Flexen's 24 starts over the last two seasons. The OVER is 9-0 in Flexen's nine career starts against NL teams with a batting average of .245 or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-04-24 | Twins v. Yankees -1.5 | 1-5 | Win | 120 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on New York Yankees -1.5 (+120) The New York Yankees are the best team in baseball at 42-19 this season. They have own the Minnesota Twins and have a big advantage on the mound over them tonight that should allow them to win this game by multiple runs. Luis Gil is 7-1 with a 1.99 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 79 K's in 63 1/3 innings. Gil has been at his best at home, going 4-0 with a 1.27 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in five starts with 44 K's in 28 1/3 innings and only one homer allowed. Bailey Ober is 5-3 with a 4.90 ERA in 11 starts this season while allowing 10 homers in 57 innings. Ober has been at his worst on the road, going 3-2 with a 5.52 ERA in six starts away from home. Ober is 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 innings. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-04-24 | Mets v. Nationals +107 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Washington Nationals +107 Note: The Nationals have called up DJ Herz to make his MLB debut in place of an injured Trevor Williams since I posted this pick. The left-handed posted a 3.75 ERA and 42 K's in 36 innings for AAA Rochester and is one of their top prospects. I would downgrade this to a 15* play with Herz instead of Williams. Trevor Williams is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Williams is 5-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in four home starts. The Nationals are 9-2 (+11.7 Units) in his 11 starts this season. David Peterson will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Mets, and he should not be favored over Williams and the Nationals tonight. Peterson is 0-1 with a 7.80 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last three starts against the Nationals, allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 15 innings. The Nationals are 7-0 in Williams' seven starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs this season. The Nationals are 6-0 in William's six night starts this season. The Mets are 2-10 in Peterson's last 12 starts following a team win. Wrong team favored tonight. Bet the Nationals Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-04-24 | Royals +111 v. Guardians | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +111 Seth Lugo is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Lugo is 9-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 6-0 with a 0.86 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in six road starts. He should not be an underdog to Triston McKenzie and the Cleveland Guardians tonight. McKenzie has been wild this season at 2-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 11 starts. He has already allowed 11 homers and 34 walks in 57 1/3 innings. The Royals will make him pay for being erratic. Kansas City is 15-4 following three or more consecutive home games this season. The Royals are 8-0 in Lugo's eight starts vs. AL teams with a batting average of .255 or worse this season. Bet the Royals Tuesday. |
|||||||
06-03-24 | Orioles -108 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -108 We are getting the better team, the better starter, the better offense and the better bullpen at basically even money tonight. I'll gladly back the Baltimore Orioles over the Toronto Blue Jays in this one. Grayson Rodriquez is 5-2 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in nine starts for the Orioles this season with 61 K's in 51 innings. Rodriquez has a 4.32 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in three career starts against Toronto. He'll be backed up by an offense that is scoring 5.0 runs per game this season and a bullpen with a 3.65 ERA. Kevin Gausman is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in five home starts. Gausman is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in five career starts against Baltimore. He'll be backed up by an offense that is scoring just 4.0 runs per game and a bullpen with a 4.56 ERA and one that is without closer Jordan Romano. Bet the Orioles Monday. |
|||||||
06-03-24 | Orioles v. Blue Jays OVER 7.5 | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 7.5 The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season with one of the best offenses in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays are heating up at the plate scoring 5.3 runs per game in their last seven games and have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 14 games. Kevin Gausman is 4-3 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in five home starts. Gausman is 1-3 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in five career starts against Baltimore. He'll be backed up by a bullpen with a 4.56 ERA and one that is without closer Jordan Romano. Grayson Rodriquez has been great at home but it has been a different story on the road. He is 2-1 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in four road starts this season. I think the Orioles are capable of covering this 7.5-run total on their own, but the Blue Jays will do enough to chip in. The OVER is 9-2 in Gausman's 11 starts this season. The OVER is 12-3 in Guasman's last 15 home starts with a total set of 7 to 7.5 runs. The OVER is 17-5 in Rodriquez's last 22 starts vs. a AL team with a .330 OBP or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.
|
|||||||
06-03-24 | Mets v. Nationals -115 | 8-7 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -115 The Washington Nationals are one of the most improved teams in baseball this season. They are 27-31 (+10.4 Units) making them one of the most profitable teams to back. I think they are showing great value tonight as short home favorites over the New York Mets, who are 24-35 (-11.7 Units) this season and overvalued. Mackenzie Gore is 4-4 with a 2.92 ERA in 11 starts this season with 72 K's in 58 2/3 innings. He is one of the best young starters in baseball. Gore is 1-1 with a 2.40 ERA in three career starts against the Mets as well. Tylor MeGill will be making just his 4th start of the season and is overvalued due to good numbers with a small sample size. MeGill is 3-2 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in five career starts against Washington. The Mets are 6-17 in their last 23 games overall. Bet the Nationals Monday. |
|||||||
06-02-24 | Reds v. Cubs -116 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -116 | 5 h 11 m | Show |
20* NL Central GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -116 The Chicago Cubs came back from 4-0 down to beat the Reds yesterday and end a skid that saw them lose eight of their previous nine games. I think they carry over that positive momentum into another win in Game 3 today to take this series. The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound today behind the underrated Ben Brown. The rookie is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing just 6 earned runs, one homer and 27 base runners in 30 innings with 34 K's. He fired 7 shutout innings with 10 K's in his last start against the Brewers. Nick Lodolo will be on a pitch count after returning from the IL in his last start on May 27th against the Cardinals. He has a 4.96 ERA in his last three starts. Lodolo is 0-1 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.86 WHIP in two career starts against the Cubs as well. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
|||||||
06-02-24 | White Sox v. Brewers -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-144) The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball right now. They have gone 0-10 in their last 10 games overall with nine losses by 2 runs or more. They are without their two best hitters in Luis Robert Jr. and Eloy Jimenez, and they just lost Andrew Benintendi and Andrew Vaughn to injuries recently as well. Things won't go any better for the White Sox today with Nick Nastrini on the mound up against his potent Milwaukee lineup that is scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season. Nastrini is 0-4 with a 9.92 ERA and 2.21 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 18 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 walks in 16 1/3 innings. The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound behind Freddy Peralta, who is 3-3 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 11 starts this season with 82 K's in 62 1/3 innings. Peralta is 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in four home starts this season as well. He has fired 10 shutout innings in two career starts against the White Sox. The White Sox are 1-16 off a loss by 2 runs or more this season and getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday. |
|||||||
06-02-24 | Padres v. Royals -125 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 36 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -125 The Kansas City Royals will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres. I like their chances of taking Game 3 to salvage due to their massive advantage on the mound. Cole Ragans is one of the best young starters in the game. He is 4-4 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 starts this season with 83 K's in 67 innings and only 3 homers allowed. Ragans is 2-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 innings with 26 K's. Michael King has already allowed 12 homers in 62 2/3 innings this season. King is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in two career starts against the Royals, allowing 6 earned runs, 4 homers and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. With double-digit winds blowing out to left and temps in the 80's, King is likely to give up multiple homers today. The Padres are hitting .230 and scoring just 2.5 runs per game in their 19 games against left-handed starters this season. King's teams are 2-8 (-9.6 Units) in his last 10 day game starts. Bet the Royals Sunday. |
|||||||
06-02-24 | Padres v. Royals OVER 8 | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Royals OVER 8 The Padres and Royals combined for 19 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2. Game 2 saw 8 runs in the first 3.5 innings, so both bullpens are taxed. And the hitters will have the advantage again in Game 3 with double-digit winds blowing out to left and temps in the 80's this afternoon in Kansas City. The Royals are capable of covering this total on their own against Michael King. They are scoring 5.5 runs per game at home this season. King has already allowed 12 homers in 62 2/3 innings this season. King is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in two career starts against the Royals, allowing 6 earned runs, 4 homers and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. The Padres are hitting .294 and scoring 5.4 runs per game on the road this season. Cole Ragans is 4-4 with a 3.49 ERA in 12 starts this season and 3-2 with a 3.68 ERA in seven home starts. I think the Padres will do enough against Ragans and this tired KC bullpen to help contribute to the OVER 8 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
|||||||
06-02-24 | Nationals +136 v. Guardians | 5-2 | Win | 136 | 4 h 59 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +136 The Washington Nationals have been one of the most profitable teams in baseball this season. They are 16-18 (+7.7 Units) on the road alone. They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Cleveland Guardians, who will relax after winning the first two. I believe the Nationals have the advantage on the mound today and should not be underdogs as a result. Jake Irvin has posted a 3.43 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 starts this season, and he is 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in seven road starts. He has been one of the most underrated starters in all of baseball. Carlos Carrasco is the worst starter in Cleveland's rotation. Carrasco is 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in three home starts. Carrasco is 2-3 with a 5.13 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in eight career starts against Washington. He allowed 8 runs, 6 earned, and 9 base runners in 2 1/3 innings in his last start against the Nationals. Bet the Nationals Sunday. |
|||||||
06-01-24 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 7 | Top | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cubs OVER 7 The OVER is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between the Reds and Cubs with 8 or more combined runs in 13 of those 15 meetings. This total of 7 is too low for these two offenses up against these two starting pitchers tonight. Justin Steele is 0-2 with a 4.73 ERA in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA in three home starts. Steele is 2-3 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.99 WHIP in six career starts against Cincinnati. He has allowed 9 earned runs and 19 hits in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Reds. Hunter Greene has solid numbers this season at 3-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 11 starts. But I expect the Cubs to get to him today as they have now scored 4 runs or more in four consecutive games and are heating up at the plate as they have gotten fully healthy. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-01-24 | Padres v. Royals OVER 8.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres/Royals OVER 8.5 The Padres and Royals busted out for 19 combined ones in Game 1 of this series. Both bullpens are now taxed, and both of these starting pitchers are vulnerable. I expect another slug fest in Game 2 tonight that tops 8.5 combined runs. Joe Musgrove has been a major disappointment for the Padres this season. He is 3-4 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.17 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in three road starts. He'll be facing a red hot Royals lineup that has scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games. The Padres put up 11 runs last night and are scoring over 5 runs per game on the road this season. They should get to Alec Marsh, who is coming off one of his worst starts of the season. He allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 innings to the Twins on May 27th. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
|||||||
06-01-24 | Pirates +149 v. Blue Jays | 8-1 | Win | 149 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Pittsburgh Pirates +149 The Pittsburgh Pirates will come back pissed off today after losing in the 14th inning to the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of this series last night. The value we are getting on the Pirates is too good to pass up today. Mitch Keller is 6-3 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 11 starts this season. He has been inspired by some rookies that are getting all the shine in the rotation. Keller is 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts. Yusei Kikuchi has come back down to reality after a great start to the season. Kikuchi is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.73 WHIP in his last three starts, which have come against the Tigers, White Sox and Orioles so it's not like he has faced murderer's row. He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 innings of a 14-11 loss to the Tigers in his last start. The Pirates are 16-12 (+9.6 Units) in Keller's last 28 starts as an underdog. The Blue Jays are 17-22 (-17.6 Units) in Kikuchi's last 39 starts as a favorite. Bet the Pirates Saturday. |
|||||||
05-31-24 | Padres v. Royals +130 | 11-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +130 The Kansas City Royals are 21-8 (+13.5 Units) at home this season and one of the most underrated teams in baseball. They should not be home underdogs to the San Diego Padres tonight. Michael Wacha is one of the most underrated starters in baseball as well. Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.52 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 7 earned runs in 25 innings. Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.27 ERA in seven career starts against the Padres, and this will be his first start against his former team so he will be highly motivated. Dylan Cease is getting way too much respect from the books tonight. He is 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 26 base runners in 16 1/3 innings. Wacha's teams are 22-6 (+13.8 Units) in his last 28 home starts. Wacha's teams are 25-7 (+18.3 Units) in his last 32 starts following a team loss last game. Bet the Royals Friday. |
|||||||
05-31-24 | Pirates +155 v. Blue Jays | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Pittsburgh Pirates +155 The Pittsburgh Pirates are showing tremendous value Friday. They haven't named a starter as of this writing but it's likely to be Bailey Falter. I like the Pirates either way. Falter is 3-2 with a 3.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 10 starts this season. The Blue Jays are hitting .211 and scoring 2.9 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. They should not be this big of a favorite regardless. The Pirates are heating up at the plate scoring 5.5 runs per game in their last eight games overall. Jose Berrios has been solid this season, but he has allowed 4 homers in 20 innings in his last three starts and 10 homers in 67 1/3 innings this season. He is getting too much respect here, especially since he's being backed up by a terrible offense and a bullpen that has a 4.77 ERA on the season and a 5.42 ERA at home. Bet the Pirates Friday. |
|||||||
05-31-24 | Rays v. Orioles -126 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -126 The Baltimore Orioles are one of the best teams in baseball at 35-19 this season. We are getting them at a great value tonight in Game 1 of this series against the Tampa Bay Rays. That's especially the case when you consider the Orioles have the rest advantage and the advantage on the mound. The Orioles are 6-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring 6.1 runs per game during this stretch. They had yesterday off and will be fresh and ready to go. I'll gladly back the underrated Albert Suarez, who is 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 19 1/3 innings. The Rays just completed their series with the A's yesterday and won the final two games by exactly one run, so their bullpen is taxed. I'll gladly fade Aaron Civale, who is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing 11 homers in 56 2/3 innings. Civale is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in five road starts, allowing 20 earned runs in 24 1/3 innings away from home. Civale is legitimately one of the worst starters in ball of baseball. He doesn't enjoy facing the Orioles, either, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three careers starts against them while allowing 6 homers in 16 innings. Bet the Orioles Friday. |
|||||||
05-31-24 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rays/Orioles OVER 8 The Orioles are 6-1 in their last seven games overall while scoring 6.1 runs per game during this stretch. They are more than capable of covering this total on their own tonight, but I expect the Rays to chip in as well. Aaron Civale is 2-4 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing 11 homers in 56 2/3 innings. Civale is 1-2 with a 7.40 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in five road starts, allowing 20 earned runs in 24 1/3 innings away from home. Civale is legitimately one of the worst starters in ball of baseball. He doesn't enjoy facing the Orioles, either, posting a 6.75 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in three careers starts against them while allowing 6 homers in 16 innings. Albert Suerez is due some regression and isn't going to go very deep into this game, meaning the Orioles will have to turn to their bullpen early. Suarez is only averaging 4.8 innings per start in his four starts this season. This has been a shaky Baltimore bullpen this season, and the Rays have been even worst on that front, plus their bullpen is taxed after consecutive one-run wins over the A's the last two days. Tampa Bay is 18-5 OVER in its last 23 games after a game where its bullpen threw 7 or more innings. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
05-31-24 | Reds v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Reds/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 This total is too low for a hitter-friendly park like Wrigley Field and two starting pitchers that are trending in the wrong direction. I expect both offenses to have their way this afternoon in what will be a slug fest. Graham Ashcraft is 4-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 10 starts this season after going 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in his three starts, allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 14 1/3 innings. Ashcraft is 1-5 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in six career starts against the Cubs. Javier Assad has finally shown a chink in the armor in his last two starts. He has allowed 6 earned runs, 4 homers and 17 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. He was due some negative regression and will get rocked again today. The OVER is 17-6 in Ashcraft's last 23 starts against a team with a losing record. The OVER is 13-3 in Reds last 16 road games against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better. The OVER is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings with 8 or more combined runs in 12 of those 14 meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
|||||||
05-30-24 | Mavs v. Wolves -4.5 | Top | 124-103 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 46 m | Show |
20* Mavericks/Timberwolves TNT No-Brainer on Minnesota -4.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves were due some positive shooting regression and some positive regression in close games. The Mavericks out shot them in the first three games of the series drastically and they were still all 50/50 games in the final three minutes. Dallas won all of them. Minnesota has life now after a 105-100 victory in Game 4 as they shot 52.7% while Dallas shot just 42%. I love some of the adjustments they made by trailing Luka Doncic and not letting him have a bunch of step backs, which is his game. They funneled him to the rim and he looked a lot more uncomfortable in Game 4. I think the Timberwolves have a legitimate shot to come back and win this series, and I'm expecting a blowout victory in their favor in Game 5 at home. Dereck Lively II is questionable to play tonight after sitting Game 4. He is their best rebounder and rim defender, and the Timberwolves were able to get to the rim at will without him. Even if he plays he won't be 100%. Bet the Timberwolves Thursday. |
|||||||
05-30-24 | Nationals +180 v. Braves | 3-1 | Win | 180 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +180 The Washington Nationals have been quietly one of the most profitable teams in baseball to back this season. They are 25-29 (+9.5 Units) in all games and 15-16 (+8 Units) in road games. They are consistently undervalued as underdogs, and that is the case again today. Trevor Williams is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 4-0 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 10 starts this season, and the Nationals are 8-2 (+10 Units) in his eight starts. He should not be this big of an underdog to the Braves, who are really struggling at the plate getting outscored 15-8 by the Nationals in three games thus far in this series. The loss of Ronald Acuna Jr. isn't being factored in enough. The Braves will turn to rookie Ray Kerr tonight, and he is getting way too much respect that is unwarranted. Kerr went 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA at AAA Gwinnett. Kerr has a 5.40 ERA in 13 1/3 innings with the Braves this season as well. He has allowed a whopping 7 homers in 27 1/3 innings between AAA and the Braves this season. The Braves are 5-9 in their last 14 games overall despite being favored in 13 of them and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in nine of those 14 games. Bet the Nationals Thursday. |
|||||||
05-30-24 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 7 | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Astros/Mariners OVER 7 After a pair of pitcher's duels to open this series, there's value on the OVER 7 in Game 3 with these two starting pitchers on the mound. I'm expecting both offenses to break out today. Spencer Arrighetti has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, and no game involving Arrighetti should have a total of 7. He is 2-5 with a 6.93 ERA and 1.78 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-4 with a 10.26 ERA and 2.28 WHIP in four road starts. The Mariners are capable of covering this total on their own. Logan Gilbert is 0-2 with a 5.96 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 15 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings. He has allowed 5 homers in his last 5 starts against the Astros. Houston is scoring 4.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. Houston is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 road games after batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span coming in. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
|||||||
05-29-24 | Royals +120 v. Twins | Top | 6-1 | Win | 120 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals +120 What more does Seth Lugo have to do to get some respect? He and the Kansas City Royals are grossly undervalued this season and remain undervalued as underdogs to the Minnesota Twins tonight when they shouldn't be. Lugo is 8-1 with a 1.87 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in five road starts. Lugo is 0-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in three career starts against the Twins as well. Bailey Ober is getting way too much respect tonight. He is 5-2 with a 4.33 ERA in 10 starts this season. Ober has never beaten the Royals, going 0-3 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 5 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Royals. Bet the Royals Wednesday. |
|||||||
05-29-24 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+116) The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing seven of their last eight games overall including Game 1 of this series to the Oakland A's. They have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by multiple runs. Ryan Pepiot is 3-2 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in eight starts for the Rays this season with 44 K's in 40 2/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Joey Estes, who is 1-1 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in three starts this season. He has allowed 12 earned runs and 19 base runners in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in. The A's are 0-6 in their last six games following a win. Oakland is 6-16 in its last 22 games overall with 13 losses by 2 runs or more. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. |
|||||||
05-29-24 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 7 | Top | 1-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 7 This is a very low total for a game involving the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox. The Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.0 runs per game at home. The Red Sox are scoring 4.9 runs per game on the road and 4.9 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Red Sox and their opponents have combined for at least 7 runs in 10 of their last 13 games overall, including 9 runs or more in nine of those 13 games. The Orioles and their opponents have combined for at least 8 runs in six of their last seven games overall, and 7 runs or more in 10 of their last 12 games overall. Kutter Crawford allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against the Brewers on May 24th. Crawford is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA in three career starts against Baltimore. Corbin Burnes is getting too much respect from the books. He allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 6 innings of a 6-4 win over the lowly White Sox in his last start, and he has faced a very easy schedule of opponents this season. The OVER is 4-0-1 in five meetings between the Orioles and Red Sox this season with 11 or more combined runs in four of the five. The Orioles and Red Sox have combined for 7 runs or more in seven consecutive meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
|||||||
05-28-24 | Astros v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Astros/Mariners OVER 7.5 Any game with Hunter Brown starting for the Astros should not have a total of 7.5 or lower. Brown is 1-5 with a 7.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-3 with a 19.95 ERA and 3.91 WHIP in three road starts. Brown is 0-2 with an 11.70 ERA and 3.00 WHIP in three career starts against Seattle, allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 10 innings. The Astros will have enough success at the plate against Luis Castillo to get us the OVER as well. Castillow has allowed 9 homers in 65 1/3 innings this season, including 4 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts. Castillo allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings in his last start against Houston. Houston is 22-9 OVER in its last 31 games off a one-run loss. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
05-28-24 | Astros v. Mariners -128 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle Mariners -128 Hunter Brown is 1-5 with a 7.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-3 with a 19.95 ERA and 3.91 WHIP in three road starts. Brown is 0-2 with an 11.70 ERA and 3.00 WHIP in three career starts against Seattle, allowing 13 earned runs and 30 base runners in 10 innings. The Mariners have a massive advantage on the mound with Luis Castillo over Brown. Castillo is 4-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Castillo is 2-2 with a 3.82 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in five career starts against the Astros. Houston is 0-9 when revenging three consecutive losses to an opponent as a favorite this season. Bet the Mariners Tuesday. |
|||||||
05-28-24 | Wolves +1.5 v. Mavs | Top | 105-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
20* Timberwolves/Mavs TNT No-Brainer on Minnesota +1.5 To say the Dallas Mavericks are due some negative shooting regression would be a massive understatement. They shot 49.4% in Game 1, 48.8% in Game 2 and 55.9% in Game 3 including 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range. I don't think Doncic and Irving can keep up this pace in Game 4 tonight. To say the Timberwolves are due some positive shooting regression would also be an understatement. They shot 42.7% from the field in Game 1, 41.2% in Game 2 and just 9-of-30 (30%) from 3-point range in Game 3. And despite losing the shooting battle in all three games, the Timberwolves had a great chance to win all three in the final 3 minutes. The Mavericks just lost Dereck Lively II to a neck injury in Game 3 and he is doubtful to play tonight. The Timberwolves really attacked the rim when he wasn't on the court and will have plenty of success doing just that tonight. Lively II along with Gafford are the reason the Mavericks have been so dominant on the interior defensively. Losing their leading rebounder in Lively II is a sneaky injury that isn't being factored in enough with all of the dirty work he does for this team. Minnesota is 11-2 ATS following three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons. Dallas is 8-18 ATS in its last 26 home games off a home win. The Timberwolves are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS on the road in these playoffs. This series isn't over just yet. Bet the Timberwolves in Game 4 Tuesday. |
|||||||
05-28-24 | Cubs +144 v. Brewers | 6-3 | Win | 144 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Chicago Cubs +144 The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight. They have lost five consecutive games for the first time all season, including Game 1 of this series to the Brewers yesterday. Now is a great time to 'buy low' on the Cubs in one of their biggest underdog roles of the season. This line suggest that the Brewers have a big advantage on the mound, but I don't believe that to be the case. Ben Brown has been awesome for the Cubs this season with a 2.35 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in five starts while allowing only 6 earned runs and one homer in 23 innings with 24 K's. Freddy Peralta consistently gets too much respect from the books. He is 3-3 with a 3.81 ERA in 10 starts this season, and 1-0 with a 4.24 ERA in three home starts. Peralta has allowed 6 earned runs and 16 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
|||||||
05-28-24 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 8 | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Orioles OVER 8 The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best lineups in baseball. They are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season and have now scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games. The Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.8 runs per game on the road this season and 4.8 runs per game against right-handed starters. I expect both teams to get 4-plus runs tonight. The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own against Bryan Bello, who is 5-2 with a 4.04 ERA in eight starts this season, and 3-1 with a 4.72 ERA in five road starts while allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 2/3 innings on the highway. Bello is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA in three career starts against the Orioles. Grayson Rodriquez is -1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in two career starts against Boston while allowing 6 runs, 4 earned, and 17 base runners in 10 innings. Both lineups have seen these two starters earlier this season in 2024 which gives them an advantage as well. The OVER is 20-10 in Rodriquez's last 30 starts. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
|||||||
05-27-24 | Celtics v. Pacers +8.5 | Top | 105-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
20* Celtics/Pacers ESPN No-Brainer on Indiana +8.5 The Indiana Pacers should be up 2-1 on the Boston Celtics in this series. This is a much more evenly matched series than these lines have suggested, and they should not be catching 8.5 points in Game 4 tonight. The Pacers' biggest strength is their depth, and with only one day of rest in between every game so far that works in their favor the longer this series goes. The Celtics are still without Kristaps Porzingis and now Luke Kornet is out, giving them zero rim protection inside. The Pacers took advantage in Game 3 and got to the rim at will, and they will get to the rim at will again in Game 4. The Pacers only shot 5-of-22 (22.7%) from 3 in Game 3 and still only lost by 3. They are due some positive shooting regression in that department as well. The Pacers are 11-1 SU in their last 12 home games with their lone loss coming in 3 points in Game 4. They have a tremendous home-court advantage. Bet the Pacers in Game 4 Monday. |
|||||||
05-27-24 | Phillies v. Giants OVER 8 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Giants NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 Both the Phillies and Giants are raking at the plate right now. The Phillies are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season, and the Giants have scored 6 or more runs in seven of their last nine games overall. Both of these starting pitchers are vulnerable in this one. Blake Snell is 0-3 with an 11.40 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs in 15 innings. Taijuan Walker is 3-0 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
05-27-24 | Cubs v. Brewers OVER 8 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show |
20* Cubs/Brewers NL Central No-Brainer on OVER 8 This total is too short for these two starting pitchers up against these two potent offenses. The Brewers are scoring 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game at home. The Cubs are scoring 4.5 runs per game against left-handed starters. Justin Steele has battled injury and is 0-2 with a 6.04 ERA in five starts this season, including 0-0 with a 7.27 ERA in two road starts. Steele is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 16 innings. Robert Gasser is 2-0 with a 2.65 ERA in three starts for the Brewers, but he has terrible stuff with just 6 K's in 17 innings. He has also faced the Marlins, Pirates and Cardinals and takes a big step up in class here against this Cubs lineup. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
05-27-24 | Cardinals v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Cards/Reds NL Central ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Reds tonight. There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Both the Cardinals and Reds are heating up at the plate and both should have success today against these two starting pitchers. Lance Lynn is 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 10 starts for the Cardinals this season. Lynn has allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Reds. Nick Lodolo is 1-1 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in two careers tarts against St. Louis. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
|||||||
05-26-24 | Cubs +124 v. Cardinals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Cubs/Cardinals ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on Chicago +124 The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight coming in off three consecutive losses. This is the first time all season they have lost more than two in a row, so they have been very resilient. I'll gladly back Javier Assad, who has the best ERA in all of baseball dating back to last June. Assad is 4-0 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 10 starts this season while allowing just 4 homers and 10 earned runs in 53 innings. Sonny Gray has really struggled in his last three starts for the Cardinals, going 2-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.38 WHIP while allowing 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 23 base runners in 16 2/3 innings. He should not be getting this much respect from the books tonight. The Cubs are 8-2 in Assad's last 10 starts as an underdog. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
|||||||
05-26-24 | Wolves +3.5 v. Mavs | Top | 107-116 | Loss | -112 | 45 h 40 m | Show |
20* Timberwolves/Mavs TNT No-Brainer on Minnesota +3.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves shot 42.7% while the Dallas Mavericks shot 49.4% in Game 1 with the Mavericks winning 108-105. The Timberwolves shot 41.2% while the Mavericks shot 48.8% in Game 2 with Dallas winning 109-108. As you can see, the two games were decided by a combined 4 points. It's safe to say the Timberwolves are due some positive shooting regression in this series, while it will be hard for the Mavericks to keep up this pace against the best defensive team in the league. I think we get that positive regression in Game 3 for the Timberwolves. Minnesota has actually played its best basketball on the road in these playoffs. Indeed, the Timberwolves are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS on the road in the postseason. They beat the Suns by 17 and 6, and they beat the Nuggets by 7, 26 and 8 points in their five road victories. Minnesota has been a resilient team all season and will respond in Game 3 tonight. The Timberwolves are 11-3 ATS when revenging a home loss this season. The Timberwolves are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games against teams that average 7 or fewer steals per game in the 2nd half of the season. Bet the Timberwolves Sunday. |