03-06-11 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota State OVER 147.5 |
|
75-85 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Fort Wayne Mastodons and the South Dakota State Jackrabbits meet in the Summit League Quarterfinals tonight. The Jackrabbits are the second best three-point shooting team in the nation, and Fort Wayne is the 22nd best. Both defenses are poor, and I think this is the type of game where some high shooting percentages and a lot of made three's is quite likely. Both teams are very good at the line, and if this is a close game at the end I think we could see quite a few extra points at the charity stripe. The over is 21-8 in South Dakota State's last 29 games overall. I think this one gets into the midd 150's. I like the over.
|
03-06-11 |
Golden State Warriors v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 208 |
|
117-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie CRUSHER* I'm typically not a fan of Golden State 'unders' but I see some nice value in this play. The Warriors don't run and gun nearly as much on the road as they do at home. The under is 25-11-1 in their last 37 road games. The under is also 28-11 in their last 39 Sunday games. The Warriors have played some uptempo teams in the past couple weeks on the road (Indiana- 209 points, Phoenix- 200 points, Washington- 208 points, and Utah- 207 points). Philadelphia is one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, and they are giving up just 93.6 points per game at home. These two played once earlier this year and the total finished at 205. In that game, Golden State made 15 out of 23 three-point attempts. I think the number is set too high here, and I think this game will stay under the posted total.
|
03-06-11 |
Stony Brook v. Vermont UNDER 117 |
|
69-47 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Stony Brook Seawolves really slow down the pace of the game, and they are terrible offensively. Vermont is probably the best team in this league, and they are extremely good on the defensive end. These two met twice in the regular season and the scores were 55-49 and 65-42, both well under this total. This game is on a neutral floor, which tends to help the under. I think the pace here will be slow, and neither team will shoot very well from the floor. I don't think Stony Brook will get above 50. There is a solid chance this stays below 110, so take the under.
|
03-06-11 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. San Antonio Spurs UNDER 191.5 |
|
99-83 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Lakers/Spurs Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Lakers and the San Antonio Spurs have a major history of playing low scoring games. It seems that these teams slow the tempo down and play some great halfcourt defense when they meet each other. The Spurs have played at a faster pace much of the year, but they have actually slowed down a bit of late. Tony Parker still isn't completely healthy, and the Los Angeles defense is very good. The Lakers have lots of shot blockers who make it tough on Parker and Manu Ginobili to get to the basket. The under is 11-3 in the Spurs last 14 home games. The under is 37-13-2 in the Lakers last 52 Sunday games. I like Sunday afternoon unders, and the trends are very strong here. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take the under in this big matchup.
|
03-05-11 |
Colorado St v. San Diego St UNDER 135 |
|
48-66 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star West Coast Total Domination* San Diego State is a very talented basketball team. They have a great frontcourt and they play extremely good defense. The Aztecs have been an 'under' team at home for the last few years. The under is 50-22-1 in their last 73 home games. Colorado State is a worthy opponent, but the Rams shouldn't be able to push the pace here. The first meeting between the two finished at 110 points, and the shooting numbers actually weren't terrible. I think there is a lot of value on the under in this game. Take the under.
|
03-05-11 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. UC Davis OVER 151 |
|
87-82 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Bailout* The CS Fullerton Titans and the UC Davis Aggies have a couple things in common. Both teams have a very good offense and both teams have a horrific defense. Fullerton really pushes the tempo, and UC Davis likely won't work to slow it down, especially at home. The over is 16-5 in UC Davis' last 21 games overall. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. I had this one projected in the upper 150's, so I like the value on the over.
|
03-05-11 |
Florida International v. Denver UNDER 126 |
|
53-49 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sun Belt Total* The Denver Pioneers are the single slowest paced team in all of college basketball. Florida International likes to push the pace, but I don't think they'll be able to too much in this one. The first meeting between these two went over, but it went into overtime and there were 65 free throws taken. I'm expecting a more normal amount of free throws here. This will be played on a neutral court, which has proven in the past to be beneficial to the under. I like the value on the under in this one.
|
03-05-11 |
Elon v. College of Charleston OVER 148.5 |
|
60-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Southern Conference Total Takedown* The College of Charleston Cougars are a team I've followed closely all year, and they have been good to me. Charleston is a terrific offensive team, and they absolutely pick apart bad defensive teams like Elon. Elon likes to run and push the tempo, and Charleston will be fine with that. The over is 5-1 in Elon's last 6 games. The over is 21-5 in Charleston's last 26 games following a straight up loss. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings. I like the over in this matchup.
|
03-05-11 |
Troy v. North Texas OVER 151 |
|
69-83 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sun Belt Special Total* The North Texas Mean Green are probably the most talented team in the Sun Belt, but they had a disappointed regular season. I expect them to show up in the tournament and make a run for the NCAA Tournament automatic bid. Troy is a team that pushes the pace in a big way, but they are awful defensively. North Texas is extremely efficient on the offensive end, and they get to the free throw line very often. The first meeting between these two finished at 89-81. I think this will be track meet type of game, and I like the over.
|
03-05-11 |
Utah State v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 125.5 |
|
72-30 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Defensive Battle* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are very short-handed right now. Utah State isn't the team you want to be playing short-handed. The Aggies of Utah State have a great defensive team, and I think they'll shut down Louisiana Tech in this one. Neither team pushes the pace, and I think this game will be played in the halfcourt. Louisiana Tech's top two players will be out for this one. The under is 12-5-2 in Louisiana Tech's last 19 games. Take the under.
|
03-05-11 |
Brown v. Columbia OVER 144.5 |
|
74-91 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ivy League Total* Brown absolutely crushed me last night by not scoring a point in the final 7 minutes of the game (yes you read that correctly), but this generally is a team that can score more than anyone in the Ivy League. Columbia has the single worst defense in the Ivy League, and both of these teams like to push the pace. The first meeting this year was 87-79, and I don't think it is out of the question at all that these two get to 160 or more in this game. The over is 8-2 in Brown's last 10 road games. Expect very little defense in this one. I like the over here.
|
03-05-11 |
Stanford v. California OVER 141.5 |
|
55-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Pace Play of the Day* The Stanford Cardinal were a team that controlled the tempo and slowed it down a lot earlier this year, but they have sped up a lot of late. California loves to run, especially on their home floor. I think there will be plenty of points scored in transition in this matchup. The first meeting between these two finished at 82-68. The over is 7-1 in Stanford's last 8 games. The over is 21-6-1 in Cal's last 28 games. The over is also 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. I like this one to get up into the upper 140's. Take the over.
|
03-05-11 |
Southern Utah v. Oakland OVER 158 |
|
66-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Summit League Totals Gem* Oakland has been an 'over' machine all year long, and I think we are getting a pretty good value here. Southern Utah has a bad defense and I don't think they'll be able to control the pace of this one. I expect this one to get into the mid 160's. I like the over.
|
03-05-11 |
Purdue v. Iowa OVER 133.5 |
|
65-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 10 Totals TKO* The Purdue Boilermakers offense has been heating up of late, and Iowa is not impressive defensively. The Hawkeyes have been trying to push the pace at home, and I think Purdue will put up quite a few points in this game. I think this game has a good shot at getting to 140. Take the over.
|
03-05-11 |
St. Joseph's v. Charlotte U UNDER 130.5 |
|
71-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Charlotte 49ers used to be a team that ran, but they aren't that way anymore. Charlotte uses solid defense and a halfcourt offense to try to stay competitive. St. Joe's is a terrible shooting team, especially away from home. The under is 24-7 in Charlotte's last 31 home games. The under is 10-2-1 in St. Joe's last 13 games inside the Atlantic 10. This has all the makings of a game that stays in the halfcourt and I think there is a lot of value on the under here.
|
03-05-11 |
Georgia v. Alabama UNDER 126 |
|
57-65 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star SEC Totals Takedown* The Alabama Crimson Tide are making a push for the NCAA Tournament, and they are doing it with their strong defense. Georgia struggles offensively, and I just don't think either team will want to push the pace. Both teams prefer to play in the halfcourt, and both force their opponent into tough shots because of their solid halfcourt defense. I expect this game to be very competitive all the way through, and I think both teams will stay with what has worked best for them all year. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
|
03-05-11 |
Iowa State v. Kansas State OVER 146 |
|
55-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Total* The Kansas State Wildcats are playing great basketball right now and Jacob Pullen has ben red hot. Iowa State pushes the tempo at every chance, and I think Kansas State will put up a big number here. The first time these two played this year the final was 86-85. Expect another high scoring affair.
|
03-05-11 |
Virginia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 128 |
|
60-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
03-04-11 |
Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 144.5 |
|
78-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* I've been on the Detroit 'over' train for quite a while, and they've been very good to me. The Titans push the tempo extremely well, and they are very adept at getting to the free throw line. Valparaiso is a team that typically plays to the pace of their opponent, which is what makes this line a nice value. Both of their meetings during the regular season went over the posted total. The over is 5-1 in Valpo's last 6 games overall. The over is 21-7-1 in Detroit's last 29 games overall. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. I like the over a lot in this game.
|
03-04-11 |
Chicago Bulls v. Orlando Magic UNDER 190 |
|
89-81 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA on ESPN Total Domination* The Orlando Magic are coming off a huge comeback victory over the Miami Heat last night. It was one of the better comebacks in recent history, but I think they'll have a very tough game on their hands tonight. Chicago is upset at the way they blew a 20 point lead in Atlanta earlier this week, and I expect the Bulls to be ready to go. These teams have a history of playing to defensive battles in the halfcourt, and I think that is likely to happen here as well. The under is 10-2 in Orlando's last 12 games. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last four. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. I expect a very close game that is played in the halfcourt here. Take the under.
|
03-04-11 |
Brown v. Cornell OVER 147 |
Top |
66-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Total DOMINATION Play* I don't typically play too many Ivy League games, but this one really jumped out at me as a great value. The Brown Bears push the tempo more than anyone else in the Ivy League. Brown put up 100 points last game against Dartmouth, and they are giving up 74 points per game in their last 5 games. Cornell has started to find their offense of late as well, averaging 70 points per game while playing against some slow paced teams. In the first meeting between these two the final was 91-79. I'm not predicting 170 points in this one, but I do think this one has a good chance to get to 155 points or so. I like the over in a big way here!
|
03-04-11 |
NC-Greensboro v. Davidson OVER 145.5 |
|
71-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Early Bird Totals Takedown* The Davidson Wildcats have been shooting the ball well lately. Davidson is averaging 79 points per game in their last five contests, and UNC Greensboro's defense is terrible. Greensboro is allowing 81.4 points per game on the year. Greensboro speeds up the game by pressuring the ball and forcing turnovers. Davidson should get a lot of open looks at three's in this one, and they have plenty of guys who can knock down the open three ball. The two regular season games finished with a total of 145 and 146, so this number appears right on, but neither game had many free throw attempts and the shooting percentages weren't that great. I like this game to go over the posted total.
|
03-03-11 |
Cal St-Northridge v. UC Davis OVER 146 |
|
66-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big West Total Takedown* The Cal State Northridge Matadors are poor defensively, and UC Davis has shown the ability to score, especially of late. UC Davis is averaging 78.2 points per game in their last five contests. Earlier this year the two played to a 87-81 final. The shooting numbers were pretty high there, so they probably won't make it to that number again, but I still think the over is a good play here. The over is 16-5 in UC Davis' last 21 games overall. The over is 5-0 in UC Davis' last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. I like the over in this game.
|
03-03-11 |
Virginia Military Inst v. Coastal Carolina OVER 162.5 |
|
81-89 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star ESPNU Total DOMINATION* I rarely play an 'over' on a game with this high of a total, but I really like this play. VMI is probably the fastest paced team in the entire country, and Coastal Carolina is great on the offensive end. Coastal Carolina shoots 52.2% on two-point attempts for the year, and VMI allows opponents to hit 51% of their two's. Expect easy buckets for Coastal Carolina all day. On the other side, VMI is great at three's and that is Coastal Carolina's weakness defensively (stopping the three). The first two meetings between these teams finished at 185 and 196 points. I think this one sails over the posted total as well. Take the over in this one.
|
03-03-11 |
Illinois State v. Southern Illinois UNDER 121 |
|
54-57 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Arch Madness Total* Arch Madness starts today in the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament. Both of these teams had a very disappointing year. They met twice in the regular season and the final totals were 122 and 114 points. A neutral court like this typically brings slightly lower scores, so I like the value on the under at 121 points. The pace of the game has been very slow both times they played, and I expect that to be the case again today. Gene Teague, who averaged 8.6 points per game this year, will be out for Southern Illinois. Look for a game played in the halfcourt that stays low scoring. Take the under here.
|
03-03-11 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Tennessee Tech OVER 145.5 |
|
59-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star OVC Over Play* The Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks and the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles have met twice this year, and both contests were very high scoring. The first went into triple overtime, but was fairly high scoring from the beginning. The second finished at 85-71, with some terrific shooting numbers from Tennessee Tech. The Golden Eagles like to push the pace, and I don't think the Skyhawks will be able to slow the game down here. Because this is a neutral site, I lowered my totals projection slightly, but that still put this one at 150, so I like the value on the over in this game.
|
03-03-11 |
St Francis (Penn.) v. Long Island OVER 151 |
|
75-90 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total Dominator* The Long Island Blackbirds are a pretty good team, and they are great at controlling the pace of the game. They will be playing in front of their home crowd in this one, which should help them even more. LIU is averaging 85 points per game in their home games this year, while St. Francis is giving up 76 points per game on the road. These two met twice this year with the totals finishing at 148 and 157 points. Neither game saw either team connecting much at all from beyond the arc, and I think that is likely to change today. I expect some better shooting numbers and a very quick pace here. I like the over.
|
03-02-11 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 197.5 |
|
107-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* The Portland Blazers will be short-handed again tonight. Brandon Roy is expected to miss this one, and Rudy Fernandez is listed as questionable because of the flu. Both teams have had several 'overs' of late, which has given us a nice value on the total in this one. Portland is one of the slowest paced teams in the NBA, and Sacramento has the tendency to play to the style of their opponent. The three referees in this game all have more 'unders' than 'overs' so far this year. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. I think the value is on the under in this game. This one should be sloppy. Take the under.
|
03-02-11 |
Indiana Pacers v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 210.5 |
|
89-113 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers continue to push the pace more since Vogel took over as their head coach. Oklahoma City is a great 'over' team at home. The over is 20-9 in the Thunder's 29 home games this year. The over is 8-3 in Indiana's last 11 games overall. Indiana's defense doesn't really have anyone who can slow down Kevin Durant, and I expect Durant to have a big game here. At the same time, the Pacers should have success with Danny Granger and Darren Collison driving to the basket. The Pacers continue to put up about 88 shots per game over the last few games, which shows just how quick they are playing. Oklahoma City is the best free throw shooting team in the NBA, and the Pacers typically commit a lot of fouls. The over is 14-2 in the last 16 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
03-02-11 |
Texas Christian v. Air Force UNDER 124.5 |
|
65-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* I bet the 'under' the first time these two played, and it was a good play, but it lost because of overtime. I am going back to the well again in this one. Air Force is a great 'under' team because of their deliberate style of play. TCU no longer has anyone on their team to push the tempo now that Ronnie Moss is suspended. The under is 8-2 in TCU's last 10 road games. A closer look at the history between these two teams shows a huge trend to the under. In eight of the last ten times these teams have met the total has finished at 116 points or lower. I think this game will be a very slow paced game, and I think the under is the way to go.
|
03-02-11 |
Colorado v. Iowa State OVER 154 |
|
90-95 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Totals Takedown* The Colorado Buffaloes are coming off a huge win over Texas. Colorado is a team that likes to run and get in transition, and Iowa State absolutely flies up and down the floor on their home court. I like the pace of this one to stay very quick all the way through, and I think there is a good chance this one stays close all the way as well. Both teams should get to the line often here. The over is 19-9 in Colorado's last 28. The over is 7-2 in Iowa State's last 9. Take the over.
|
03-02-11 |
Oklahoma v. Texas Tech OVER 141 |
|
58-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Texas Tech Red Raiders love to push the tempo of the game, and Oklahoma isn't a team that can dictate the pace of the game. The Sooners beat Texas Tech 83-74 on their home floor, but now they must travel to Lubbock. Texas Tech will be looking for revenge, and I think they'll get it and put up a big number in the process. The Oklahoma defense is worst in the Big 12 against the two point shot, and Texas Tech takes the ball to the basket well. Both teams do quite a bit of fouling, and free throws should help the cause. I think both teams will get plenty of shots up and even if the shooting percentages aren't great I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
03-02-11 |
Golden State Warriors v. Washington Wizards OVER 211 |
|
106-102 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Oddsmaker Line Error* The Warriors and the Wizards meeting should mean a game with a ton of points scored. Conventional wisdom is that a team can't score many on the second end of a back-to-back, but that hasn't been the case for Golden State this year. The Warriors average 107 points on the second game of a back-to-back, and the Wizards defense is horrendous. Washington has been pushing the tempo in a big way of late. It will be Monta Ellis and Steph Curry against John Wall and Nick Young, which sounds like a track meet waiting to happen to me. I like the over in this game.
|
03-02-11 |
Fordham v. La Salle OVER 153.5 |
|
61-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* The Fordham Rams are a difficult team to figure out because they are terrible, but they love to get into a track meet style of game. LaSalle is the fastest paced team in the Atlantic 10, and I expect LaSalle to push the tempo all game long in this one. LaSalle has the opportunity to put up a very big total here. The total finished at 153 in their first meeting, but Fordham has picked up the tempo quite a bit as the year has gone along. I think LaSalle scores at least 85 points and this one gets over the posted total nicely. Take the over.
|
03-02-11 |
UAB v. Southern Mississippi UNDER 131.5 |
|
67-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CUSA Totals Crusher* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles were running earlier this year, but they have sinced slowed their tempo back down to about where it was last season. UAB is a very slow paced team, and they have the best defense in the conference. The first time these two met this year the total went to 146, but I think that will change this time. Last year in three meetings they never went above 113 points. I expect the defenses to clamp down in this key matchup. UAB is 10-4 in Conference USA and Southern Miss is 9-5, and they are the top two teams in the conference. These big games usually bring a slower pace. I like the under in this one.
|
03-01-11 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Detroit OVER 144 |
|
69-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Titans are a team that loves to push the pace, and they are averaging 78.5 points per game at home this year. This is a home game for them, and they have scored 81 and 83 points on Loyola-Chicago in their first two meetings this year. Detroit gets to the free throw line often, and they get a lot of second-chance points as well. If Loyola-Chicago wants any chance to win this one, they'll have to put up quite a few points. There are some nice trends backing this one. The over is 20-7-1 in Detroit's last 28 games overall. The over is 48-22-2 in Detroit's last 72 home games. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Detroit. I like the over in a big way.
|
03-01-11 |
North Carolina State v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 127 |
|
58-69 |
Push |
0 |
7 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Total Value* The Virginia Cavaliers have been an 'under' machine at home this year, and I like the under again today. Virginia slows the pace of the game down to a crawl, and I don't think NC State will be able to push the tempo too much. In the Cavaliers last five home games the total has finished at 108, 96, 97, 115, and 107 points. None have gotten even close to this total of 127. NC State isn't a team with a dynamic offense, so I think Virginia will be able to dictate the way this game is played. The under is 14-2 in Virginia's last 16 home games. I like the under a lot in this one.
|
02-27-11 |
Washington State v. Washington OVER 156 |
|
80-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Total BAILOUT* The Washington Huskies absolutely love to push the tempo, and they are especially prolific on the offensive end at home. Washington averages a stunning 96 points per game on their home court. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 167 points. The shooting wasn't terrific in that one, and I wouldn't be surprised if this one got above 160 again. The over is 4-0 in Washington State's last 4 overall. The over is 5-1 in Washington's last 6 home games. I like the over in this matchup.
|
02-27-11 |
New York Knicks v. Miami Heat OVER 215 |
|
91-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Knicks/Heat Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks are a completely different team now that Chauncey Billups and Carmelo Anthony are in the fold. New York has put up 114 and 109 points in their first two games with Melo and Billups in the lineup. What about the Heat? Miami has been stellar offensively of late. Miami has put up 110 points or more in three of their last five games, including a 121 point effort last time out. Dwyane Wade has really heated up over the last few games. I think the stars will put on a nice show in this one. Take the over.
|
02-27-11 |
Maryland Terrapins v. North Carolina OVER 148 |
|
76-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Maryland Terrapins need a big push right now to make the NCAA Tournament committee have a good reason to select them. Maryland has improved of late by pushing the tempo and playing a pressure defense that extends to 3/4 or full court. North Carolina has found its scoring rhythm in the last few weeks, and this is a Tar Heels team that can put up the points. I don't see either team even attempting to slow this game down a bit. These teams have a history of playing at a fast pace when they meet. The over is 5-0 in their last five meetings. I think this will be a track meet type of a game, which makes the over a nice value. Take the over.
|
02-27-11 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 201 |
|
90-87 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA on ABC BEATDOWN* The Lakers and the Thunder will meet for just the second time this year on Sunday. The first meeting ended at 195. If you look at the last ten meetings between these two teams, only one of them has gone over this posted total of 201 points. They have pretty consistently finished in the 190's. The Lakers won't get into an all-out track meet with the Thunder, and the size advantage of the Lakers will help them slow down OKC's drives to the basket. This is also an early game on Sunday, which makes it a stronger under play for me. I like the under here.
|
02-26-11 |
Boise State v. Nevada OVER 144 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boise State Broncos are a team that likes to push the tempo and force turnovers with their defensive pressure. Nevada also likes to push the pace, and they turn it over quite often. Boise should be able to get quite a few easy layups in this one, but I also think Nevada will get plenty of open looks on the offensive end due to Boise State's poor halfcourt defense. Nevada averages 76 points per game at home, and Boise State is allowing 72 points per game on the road. The over is 8-3 in Nevada's last 11 home games. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Nevada. Take the over.
|
02-26-11 |
Montana State v. Portland State OVER 143.5 |
|
64-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* The Portland State Vikings have been a terrific offensive team at home this year. They average 77 points per game at home. Montana State has given up at least 74 points in four of their last six contests. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 139, but Montana State was 6-22 from the free throw line. It's hard to imagine they'd shoot that poorly again from the line, and both teams have sped up their tempo over the last few weeks. I think this one has a good chance to get up to about 150 points. I like the value on the over in this game.
|
02-26-11 |
Idaho v. Utah State UNDER 127 |
|
68-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Revenge Spot Total* The Utah State Aggies lost to Idaho a couple weeks ago. That is their only WAC loss in the last 35 games. I am sure that Utah State will be primed for this game. Utah State gets after defensively at home, and they have a very difficult environment to play in. The crowd will make it tough on Idaho in this one. Idaho put up 64 points on Utah State at home, but I think Idaho will struggle to reach 55 in this one. Both teams like the pace to be slow, and the game should be played in the halfcourt. Revenge is on the mind of the Utah State Aggies, and I think that will show up most in their defensive effort in this game. Take the under.
|
02-26-11 |
Troy v. Florida Intl. OVER 154 |
|
76-83 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* When Troy and Florida International get together tonight, it should be an absolute track meet. The Troy Trojans love to run, and Florida International plays faster than anyone else in the Sun Belt. The over is 15-4 in Florida International's 19 lined games this year. The over is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I think this one gets to the upper 150's. Take the over.
|
02-26-11 |
UAB v. Houston UNDER 130.5 |
|
68-55 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Conference USA Crusher* The UAB Blazers are probably the best defensive team in the conference, and they also are very good at controlling the tempo. This Houston team is far different than they were a year ago. The Cougars are a fairly slow team as well, and their offense isn't that good. They rely heavily on the three-point shot, and UAB defends beyond the arc very well. Cameron Moore is UAB's second leading scorer, and he is expected to miss this game. The under is 4-1 in UAB's last 5. The under is 4-1 in Houston's last 5 home games. Take the under in this one.
|
02-26-11 |
George Mason v. Georgia State UNDER 129 |
|
65-58 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The George Mason Patriots are playing great basketball right now. This is senior night for Georgia State, and that always helps the home team play with some extra passion. Georgia State only allows 64 points per game, and they generally do a nice job of slowing the game down. George Mason isn't a team that runs, but they do shoot the ball well. I think George Mason is due for a bit of a letdown after some key wins of late, which could help Georgia State hang around for a while in this one. These two have a nice history of playing low scoring games against each other. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 meetings. Take the under.
|
02-26-11 |
Dartmouth v. Brown OVER 138.5 |
|
76-100 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ivy League Bookie BASHER* The Brown Bears love to push the tempo, and they have been able to make just about everyone in the Ivy League run with them. Dartmouth is a very bad team, but they have picked up their tempo quite a bit over the last couple weeks. These teams met a month ago and Brown won 75-66. That game went over the posted total despite the teams shooting 42% and 40% from the floor. The 3 point shooting percentages were 20% and 27% that game. I think Brown will push the pace in this game, and I think Dartmouth will allow lots of wide open looks. Brown has had just one game lower than this posted total in their last eight games. Take the over.
|
02-26-11 |
California v. Oregon State OVER 145.5 |
|
87-76 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Pac 10 Bookie Beatdown* The Cal Golden Bears have made it their mantra to push the tempo over the second half of the season. Oregon State has been trying to push the tempo all year long. The problem for Oregon State is they just aren't a good shooting team. I think they'll shoot better today against a Cal defense that isn't nearly as good away from home. In their last five games, Cal is allowing 81 points per game on average. The over is 8-0-1 in Cal's last 9 road games. I like the pace to stay quick all the way through in this one, and I think this posted total is set too low. Take the over.
|
02-26-11 |
St Bonaventure v. St. Joseph's UNDER 131.5 |
|
65-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star A 10 Totals Takedown* The St. Joe's Hawks are a terrible offensive team this year. They have finally started to realize later in the year that they must slow the pace down if they are going to have a chance to win. St. Bonaventure has struggled offensively on the road this year. The Bonnies average just 62 points per game on the road. St. Joe's averages just 64 points per game on their home court. The under is 18-7-1 in St. Bonnie's last 26 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in St. Joe's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
|
02-26-11 |
NC-Greensboro v. Davidson OVER 150 |
|
67-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Davidson Wildcats have some seniors who have done a lot while they were at this program, and today is their final game at home. UNC Greensboro beat Davidson in the first matchup this year, and I fully expect Davidson to be fired up and want revenge in this one. Davidson shoots a lot of three-pointers, and UNCG is not good at defending beyond the arc. I expect Davidson to get ahead and knock down a lot of three's. UNC Greensboro plays at a frenzied pace, and they do a lot of fouling. I think this will be an up and down type of game and I like it to get over the posted total.
|
02-26-11 |
Georgia Tech v. North Carolina State OVER 138.5 |
|
74-79 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
02-26-11 |
Nebraska v. Iowa State OVER 129 |
|
82-83 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Total Takedown* The Nebraska Cornhuskers certainly play at a slow pace, but they aren't nearly as good at controlling the tempo on the road. Iowa State is a team that likes to get out in transition, especially at home. Iowa State is averaging 79 points per game this year on their home floor. Nebraska allows 69 points per game on the road. The first meeting between these two finished at 125, but the shooting numbers were very low and there weren't many free throws taken. As long as both teams don't shoot terribly from the floor, I think this game makes it safely over the posted total.
|
02-25-11 |
Utah Jazz v. Indiana Pacers OVER 207.5 |
|
95-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have adapted to a new style of play under coach Frank Vogel. Vogel has the team running and it has been highly successful. Indiana is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and the offense has hit at least 100 points in each of those 10 games. How much have the been pushing the pace? In 8 of their last 9 games they have put up at least 81 shots. This will be Devin Harris and Derrick Favors first game with the Jazz and I expect they will both be buoyed by playing in a faster paced system than what they had in New Jersey. I think Indiana will push the issue here, and Utah's defense just isn't very good right now. I like the over in this one.
|
02-24-11 |
Portland v. San Diego UNDER 130 |
|
65-61 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Totals Takedown* The San Diego Toreros picked up a huge win over St. Mary's last week. This San Diego team has improved remarkably from the beginning of the season. San Diego knows that in order to win games they must avoid getting into a fast paced game. Portland shoots the three ball well, but San Diego does well defensively against the three. Portland doesn't shoot the ball as well away from home, and I expect San Diego to make this a grind it out type of game. The under is 5-1 in Portland's last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in San Diego's last 5 home games. I like the under in this one.
|
02-24-11 |
Pacific v. UC Riverside UNDER 122.5 |
|
57-51 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Total BAILOUT* These are two teams that really slow the game down, which will limit the possessions. In their first meeting, Pacific made a ridiculous 12 out of 18 three-pointers, and the game still only went over this total by ten points. There were also 49 free throws attempted in that game. I think the pace stays very slow here and UC Riverside plays much better on defense at home. UC Riverside has been struggling badly to score of late. They are averaging just 52.2 points per game in their last five games. I expect this to be a defensive battle that stays in the halfcourt. Take the under here.
|
02-24-11 |
UC Davis v. Cal Irvine OVER 151 |
|
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star West Coast Total Value* The UC Irvine Anteaters are one of my favorite teams to play an 'over' with. UC Irvine changed the way they play late last year and the oddsmakers still haven't completely caught up to them. The over is 20-9-3 in their last 32 games overall. What about their opponent in this game? UC Davis has been running and gunning this year in a big way. The over is 14-3 in their last 17 games overall. The first meeting between these two went into double overtime and the final was 108-107, but in regulation the score ended 86-86. The shooting percentages were good, but not extraordinary. The pace was breakneck, and that is exactly what I expect in this one. I think this is the type of game that has a solid chance of breaking 160 points. Take the over big here.
|
02-24-11 |
Florida Intl. v. Western Kentucky OVER 149.5 |
|
73-80 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sun Belt Special* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers like to push the tempo, but they struggle with teams that press and play full court defense. FIU isn't a good team, but they can definitely force turnovers that lead to easy buckets. The first time these two got together the final was 81-78. The oddsmakers have never really caught up to Florida International's pace this year. The over is 14-4-1 in their 19 lined games this year. The over is 20-6 in their last 26 road games overall. The over is 18-8 in Western Kentucky's last 26 home games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I like the over quite a bit in this one.
|
02-24-11 |
Elon v. Davidson OVER 145.5 |
|
75-83 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Totals TKO* The Elon Phoenix are a team that likes to push the tempo and they play terrible defense. Davidson has been pushing the tempo even more of late, and tonight I think they'll find plenty of open looks. Davidson often lives or dies by the three ball, and Elon is one of the worst teams in the nation when it comes to defending the three-point line. Elon beat Davidson 77-70 in their matchup earlier this year, and Davidson should be geared up for revenge. I think Davidson will put up 80 points or more here, and the pace will be such that the over is a solid play. I projected this one at 150 points. Take the over.
|
02-23-11 |
Air Force v. Wyoming UNDER 126 |
|
61-63 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Air Force Falcons definitely know how to slow the game down. Wyoming is a team that has all kinds of injury problems. The Cowboys have had a tendency to slow the game down at home, as evidenced by the 8-3 record to the under in their 11 lined home games this year. The first meeting between these two finished at 123 points, and Air Force shot 56.5% from the floor in that game. I think Wyoming's defense will hold Air Force down better in this one, and I think the tempo will be extremely slow. I had this one projected at 120, so I really like the value on the under.
|
02-23-11 |
Colorado St v. Brigham Young OVER 147.5 |
|
76-84 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* The BYU Cougars are great at pushing the pace, and they did it very effectively against Colorado State in their first meeting. BYU won the game 94-85. Colorado State probably would like to slow down some in this one, but I have a feeling they'll have to score quite a few points if they want to stay close at all in this game. Jimmer Fredette is banged up a little, but reports say he is a go and he looked good at practice yesterday. I think the line has been lowered primarily because of his injury news, which I think is overdone. Expect BYU and Fredette to continue their hot-shooting ways, and push this game over the posted total.
|
02-23-11 |
Oklahoma v. Texas A&M UNDER 129 |
|
47-61 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Total DOMINATION* The Texas A&M Aggies know how to play defense and control the tempo, especially at home. Oklahoma doesn't have the kind of play makers necessary to beat this Texas A&M defense on a consistent basis. These two have a nice history of playing low scoring games against one another. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings overall. I expect this game to be played in the halfcourt and I think both teams will use up a lot of the shotclock on a consistent basis. I projected this one at 124 points. I like the under in this game.
|
02-23-11 |
Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers OVER 202 |
|
101-102 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers have sped up since new coach Frank Vogel took over. Indiana has put up at least 82 shots in six of their last seven games, and the over is 6-1 during that time. Detroit is a team that struggles to score on the road, but I think that has been accounted for in this line. These teams played last week (Overtime game) and in regulation they put up 208 points. Despite the fact that the game went into overtime, the total number of free throws taken was just 35. I expect more trips to the line, and I expect the Pacers to be the team that dictates the tempo in this game. I like this one to get over the posted total.
|
02-23-11 |
Eastern Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 126.5 |
|
49-64 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAC Total Value* The Ball State Cardinals like to control the tempo of the game, and they are especially good at doing that on their home floor. It doesn't hurt that Ball State can really put the clamps down on defense at home, where they allow just 58.9 points per game. Eastern Michigan averages just 60 points per game this year. These teams met earlier this season and the final was 60-51. The shooting percentages in that game weren't good, so this one could be a little higher scoring, but I still think the value is on the under at this number. Take the under here.
|
02-23-11 |
Miami (Fla) v. Boston College OVER 140 |
|
73-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Total SMASHER* The Boston College Eagles are a completely different team on their home floor. Boston College averages 77 points per game, and they allow 72.5 per game at home. BC speeds up the tempo and they are extremely efficient offensively at home. Miami is a team that can get offensive rebounds quite often, and BC is weak on the defensive glass. Expect Miami to get plenty of second chance opportunities. These teams met earlier this year and the final was 72-71. The posted total in that game was 147, so we are getting 7 points better value on this game. There were only 27 free throws taken in the first meeting, so I expect more contributions from the charity stripe in this one. I like the over here.
|
02-23-11 |
Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 122 |
|
53-52 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 10 Totals Takedown* The Wisconsin Badgers are my single favorite team to play an 'under' with. Wisconsin bleeds the clock better than anyone else in basketball, and today they face an opponent who plays exactly the same way. Michigan is all about using the shot clock and keeping the game in the 50's. These two met earlier and the total finished at 116, and the shooting percentages weren't too bad. Michigan's defense is much better at home, and Wisconsin doesn't shoot as well on the road. I think this is the type of game where 56-58 points may well win the game. Take the under.
|
02-22-11 |
Tennessee v. Vanderbilt OVER 143 |
|
60-51 |
Loss |
-115 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Vanderbilt/Tennessee Totals TAKEDOWN* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a different team on their home floor. Vanderbilt is averaging 83 points per game at home, and they shoot very well on their home court. Tennessee badly needs a win and I expect Pearl's team to come out ready to play in this one. The Volunteers will have to put up some points if they hope to stay in this game. The matchup between these two earlier this year stayed under, but the team's shot 35% and 41% from the floor. Expect some better shooting percentages and physical play leading to plenty of free throws here. I like the over in this game.
|
02-22-11 |
Indiana St v. Northern Iowa UNDER 126.5 |
|
76-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* The Northern Iowa Panthers suffered a heartbreaking loss to George Mason on Saturday. Northern Iowa was the biggest Cinderella story in March last year, but this team has struggled more than expected this year. They are 10-6 in the conference, which is tied with Indiana State. Northern Iowa won't make it back to March Madness unless they win the MVC Tournament. I think the Panthers have a lot of guys with a lot of pride, and they will be playing their final home game tonight. What will this mean for this game? I expect it to mean that UNI will ramp up the defense in a big way. They only allow 58 ppg at home normally, and I expect Indiana State to struggle to get to that mark. Indiana State has some injuries and Northern Iowa should be able to control the tempo here. Take the under.
|
02-22-11 |
Houston Rockets v. Detroit Pistons OVER 200.5 |
|
108-100 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets are pushing the pace better than just about anyone else in the NBA right now. Detroit is a team that has some amazing home/away splits on scoring. The over is 21-8 in Detroit's 30 home games and the under is 19-9 in their 28 away games. The Pistons are at home here, and they should be able to put up points against a poor Rockets defense. At the same time, the Rockets have guys like Kevin Martin and Luis Scola, who could have a field day against the Pistons lackluster defense. Both teams are well-rested after the All-Star break and should be ready to put up points. I like the over.
|
02-21-11 |
Samford v. College of Charleston OVER 136 |
|
49-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The College of Charleston Cougars are a team I have followed closely this year. This is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the entire country. Andrew Goudelock is one of the best players you probably have never heard of. One thing that Charleston doesn't do well is defend the three-point shot, and since Samford shoots more three's than any other team in the nation, that bodes well for the over. Samford likes to slow the tempo down, but I think they'll get behind early and be forced to try to catch up. The over is 3-0 in Samford's last 3. The over is 4-0 in Charleston's last 4. Take the over in this one.
|
02-21-11 |
Western Carolina v. NC-Greensboro OVER 152 |
|
70-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* Neither one of these teams are very good at all, but they both love to run and push the tempo. Western Carolina has put up at least 80 points in each of their last three games. In their last three contests UNCG has allowed 87, 78, and 99 points. These two played earlier this month and the final total was 156 points. I think Greensboro will push the tempo even more on their home floor, but Western Carolina will have a big edge on the boards. Expect both teams to get up plenty of shots in this one. The over is 9-0 in UNCG's last 9 in the Southern Conference. I like the over in this matchup.
|
02-20-11 |
UCLA v. California OVER 142.5 |
|
72-76 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins are an interesting team this year. UCLA is a team that can play to the pace it wishes based upon the game plan each time out. UCLA has been more than happy to run against teams like Arizona, Cal, BYU, and Washington State so far this year. California is a team that really pushes the tempo, especially on their home floor. The over is 40-18-1 in their last 59 home games. Cal has forced teams like USC and Oregon into very high scoring games at home already this year. I think UCLA will be fine with running in this one, and I think both teams will get to the line often. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams. I like the value on the over.
|
02-20-11 |
Cleveland State v. Old Dominion UNDER 125.5 |
|
63-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star BracketBuster Total Takedown* Cleveland State is a pretty efficient team on offense, but they haven't played a team this year that can control the pace as well as Old Dominion can. The Monarchs are great defensively, especially at home where they allow only 55 points per game. The over is 5-0-1 in Cleveland State's last 6, but the primary reason for that is they have shot the ball extremely well, rather than them pushing the pace. I think their shooting percentage will be much lower Sunday against Old Dominion. The Monarchs are looking to prove a point here, and they probably need to win this game to be on the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble. I expect the defensive intensity to be high here. Take the under.
|
02-19-11 |
Detroit v. Drake OVER 141.5 |
|
76-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Totals TAKEDOWN* The Detroit Titans have really turned into a nice team to play the 'over' with. Detroit has decided to push the tempo constantly and take the ball to the hoop with authority. The over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games, including 12-4-2 in their last 18 non-conference games. The over is 10-4 in Drake's lats 14 non-conference games. Many Missouri Valley teams slow Drake down, but Detroit will run, and I think Drake will be ok with that. This should be a good chance for both teams to put up quite a few points. I like the over.
|
02-19-11 |
New Hampshire v. Marist UNDER 123 |
|
49-58 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* Marist is a terrible basketball team, and they are missing several key contributors right now. New Hampshire is a very good defensive team (they gave UConn a tough fight earlier this year) and they can really control the tempo. Only one of New Hampshire's last ten games has gone over this posted total, which is especially impressive since they have had two overtime games during that period. Marist doesn't have the star power to push the pace here, and New Hampshire will want to play a ball control type of game. I like this one to be a very low scoring game. Take the under.
|
02-19-11 |
Davidson v. Presbyterian UNDER 130 |
|
71-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Totals Terrorizer* Presbyterian only knows one pace to play the game at, and that is very slow. Davidson typically runs, but they play in a Southern Conference with tons of teams that run. Presbyterian should know that their best chance to win this game is to slow the game down. I think the home crowd and the competitive nature of this game should help the tempo stay slow. Presbyterian badly wants a big win to hang their hats on, and they know they need to play slowly to get that win. Take the under.
|
02-19-11 |
Maine v. Siena OVER 140 |
|
60-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Siena Saints are a team that likes to push the tempo of the game. Maine is a team that likes to run as well, but inside the American East conference they rarely get the chance to do so. This is a unique game for them in which they will be able to open up and run against a team with a poor defense. Siena has had quite a few injury problems this year, and this is one of the first times they will have everyone healthy and ready to go. I expect the tempo to be quick here, and the close game should bring plenty of free throw opportunities. Take the over.
|
02-19-11 |
Loyola Marymount v. Portland State OVER 144.5 |
|
75-84 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star BracketBuster Total Value* The Loyola-Marymount Lions have struggled much of the year, but they play in a tough conference. Portland State has struggled this year, and they play in a very weak conference. I expect Loyola-Marymount to win this game and put up a lot of points. Portland State allows easy buckets very frequently, and they like to push the tempo of the game. The over is 21-7 in Portland State's last 28 Saturday games. The over is 6-2 in Loyola's last 8 road games. Take the over.
|
02-19-11 |
Ball State v. Wofford UNDER 136.5 |
|
61-66 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Tempo Total* The Ball State Cardinals are very good at controlling the pace of the game. They like to run the shot clock down and play stingy defense. Wofford is a team that generally adjusts to the tempo of their opponent. Most of Wofford's opponents in the Southern Conference play fast, but that won't be the case with Ball State today. Unless both teams hit a very high percentage from three I don't see this one getting to this posted total. I like the under.
|
02-19-11 |
Loyola (Md.) v. Towson OVER 143.5 |
|
75-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Totals GEM* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the 'over' with. Towson is the type of team that likes to push the tempo, especially if their opponent plays that way as well. Loyola-Maryland is a team that can put up quite a few points. The over is 6-3 in Loyola's 9 road games this year. The over is 11-5 in Towson's last 16 home games. I like the over.
|
02-19-11 |
Cal State Fullerton v. Idaho State OVER 141.5 |
|
79-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Obscure Over* Not many people will be paying attention to this game, but that allows us to find a nice value here. Idaho State is a team that has decided to speed up the tempo quite a bit over their last few games, which bodes well for the over in this one. CS Fullerton plays at a breakneck pace, and they simply don't know how to play any other way. Fullerton is giving up 78 points per game on the road, and Idaho State is allowing 78 points per game over the last five games. I like this one to get safely over the posted total.
|
02-19-11 |
Princeton v. Brown OVER 133.5 |
|
65-75 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ivy League Totals Winner* It isn't too often that I play an Ivy League total, but I like the value on this one. These two played earlier this year and the total finished at 138. If you look at the box score of that game, the shooting percentages weren't that high, and there weren't that many free throws taken. Princeton has the ability to score much more than they have in recent years, and Brown is probably the fastest paced team in the Ivy League. Brown should push this one enough to where we get the over. I like this one to finish up near 140. Take the over.
|
02-19-11 |
South Dakota State v. Oakland OVER 166.5 |
|
96-105 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 97-88. While I'm not sure they'll be able to match that total, I do think they'll once again have a very high scoring game. Oakland is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation, and South Dakota State isn't too far behind. Both teams hit three-pointers at a very high rate. Last meeting there weren't many free throws, and I would expect to see more today. Both meetings between these two last year also topped 170, so this is familiar territory for these teams when they meet. Take the over in this one.
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02-19-11 |
Cal Irvine v. Nevada OVER 152 |
|
63-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
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*3 Star BracketBuster Scoreboard Buster* The UC Irvine Anteaters have decided to push the tempo like crazy this year. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to UC Irvine. The over is 20-8-3 in their last 31 games overall, including 11-5-1 in their last 17 road games. Nevada is much better offensively at home, and the over is 8-1 in their last 9 home games. UC Irvine's defense will be one of the worst Nevada has faced this year, which should mean big games for guys like Hunt and Czyz. UC Irvine will keep running and gunning throughout, and both teams do plenty of fouling as well. I think this one has a good chance to get up to 160, so I really like the value on the over.
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02-19-11 |
Jacksonville State v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 123 |
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60-63 |
Push |
0 |
4 h 36 m |
Show
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*3 Star BracketBuster Ugly Under* This has all the makings of a very ugly game. Neither team is efficient at all on the offensive end, and they both have a tendency to go into long slumps. Brandon Bowdry is a great player for E. Michigan, but they don't really have another good option offensively. Jacksonville State has struggled all year to score on the road, and I think that will be the case again today. Take the under.
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02-19-11 |
Delaware State v. Tennessee St. UNDER 132 |
|
63-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 34 m |
Show
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*3 Star BracketBuster Totals Terrorizer* The Delaware State Hornets are noted for their ability to slow down the game, and Tennesee State is not a team that pushes the pace nearly as much as they used to. I think this is the type of game where both teams run the shot clock and get a difficult shot at the end of the clock. I like the under in this one.
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02-19-11 |
Georgia State v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 126.5 |
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45-51 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 6 m |
Show
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*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* I really believe this has the potential to be a very low scoring game. Georgia State has put up 33,48, and 43 points in games in the last few weeks and they are often lost on the offensive end. Louisiana Tech is missing their point guard, and without him they have struggled offensively as well. The under is 5-1 in Georgia State's last 6 road games. The under is 4-0 in La. Tech's last 4 home games. I like this one to stay under the posted total by a comfortable margin.
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02-19-11 |
Tulsa v. Southern Methodist UNDER 127.5 |
|
74-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 6 m |
Show
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*3 Star CUSA Bookie CRUSHER* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 59-58. SMU has found a way to pick up quite a few wins this year, and it has been by stalling on offense and playing solid defense. They have easily become the slowest paced team in the conference. They allow just 59 points per game at home, and Tulsa is scoring just 64 per game on the road. The under is 6-0 in Tulsa's last 6 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in SMU's last 4 games. I had this one projected at about 120. I like this one to stay well under the posted total.
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02-19-11 |
Central Michigan v. Niagara UNDER 124.5 |
|
55-61 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 36 m |
Show
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*3 Star Early Bird Total* The Niagara Purple Eagles and the Central Michigan Chippewas are two of the worst offenses in all of basketball. The under is 16-7 in C. Michigan's games and the under is 15-9 in Niagara's games this year. The under is an amazing 12-1 in Central Michigan's 13 road games. You won't want to watch this game, but I like the value on the under.
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02-19-11 |
Missouri v. Iowa State OVER 156 |
|
76-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 30 m |
Show
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*3 Star Full Court Press* Both of these teams like to press and push the tempo at every opportunity. Earlier this year Iowa State lost 87-54 to Missouri, and I have a feeling they'll be looking for revenge here. Iowa State is much better on their home floor, and I expect a good game this time around. The Cyclones shot 27% last time, and Missouri only shot 43.6% despite scoring 87 points. I like the over.
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02-19-11 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 125 |
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54-61 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
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02-17-11 |
UMKC v. Western Illinois UNDER 121 |
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66-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 25 m |
Show
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*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The UMKC Kangaroos (yes they actually are the Kangaroos) are a team that prefers to play the game at a slow pace, but they have often been forced into a faster pace by their foes in the Summit League. Western Illinois is the slowest paced team in the league, and they will want to make this a halfcourt game. Both teams are most comfortable in this type of game, so I think that is what we will see in this one. The first time these two met this year the final was 55-46, and the total number of shots from the floor was only 92. The under is 22-8-1 in Western Illinois' last 31 games overall. I think this will be an ugly game that stays close and low-scoring throughout. Take the under.
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02-16-11 |
Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 127 |
|
59-58 |
Win
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100 |
7 h 56 m |
Show
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*3 Star Big 12 Bookie BEATDOWN* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are a fairly good team this year, and they are very good at controlling the tempo of the game. Oklahoma is without a real star this year, and while this team scraps and hustles, it is difficult for them to put up a lot of points. Nebraska is one of the better defenses in the league, and they should keep this game in the halfcourt. Neither team gets to the line very often at all, which is certainly helpful to the cause. The under is 10-2-1 in Oklahoma's last 13 home games. I think this one stays around 120. I like the under.
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02-16-11 |
Indiana St v. Southern Illinois UNDER 123.5 |
|
77-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
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*3 Star Missouri Valley Totals TAKEDOWN* The Southern Illinois Salukis are a team that is very limited on the offensive end. The way that they can stay competitive in games right now is to clamp down on the defensive end, which they do pretty well at home. The Indiana State Sycamores will be without one of their leading scorers, Jake Kelly, in this game. These two teams have a nice history of slowing things down when they play each other. The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
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02-16-11 |
Iona v. Manhattan OVER 136.5 |
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102-65 |
Win
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100 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
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*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Iona Gaels have earned the distinction as the fastest paced team in the MAAC. Iona pushes the pace and forces you to keep up with their ability to score. They are averaging 62 shots per game in their last four games, which shows you how effectively they push the tempo. Manhattan is an interesting team because I successfully played some 'unders' with them earlier this year, but they appear to be playing to the opponent's pace of late. Last game against Siena they put up 84 points in a big home win. In their meeting against Iona last time, they lost 85-67. I expect Iona to get a lead early in this game, which will keep Manhattan from slowing this one down. I like the over.
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02-16-11 |
Youngstown State v. Detroit OVER 148 |
|
79-91 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
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*3 Star Horizon Hot Total* The Detroit Titans are coming off a couple tough road losses to Valpo and Butler. Detroit thrives on their ability to push the tempo and get to the basket. They have a perfect opponent in this game to try to regroup against. Youngstown State is a very poor road team (0-12) and Youngstown is allowing 80 points per game on the road. The over is 10-2 in Detroit's 12 home games this year. The over is 7-4 in Youngstown's last 11 road games. Expect Detroit to take out some frustration in this one and put up a lot of points. I like the over.
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02-16-11 |
St. Louis v. St. Bonaventure UNDER 125 |
|
73-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
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*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The St. Louis Billikens control the tempo better than anyone else in the Atlantic 10, and St. Bonaventure is really a team that likes to slow things down this year as well. This is the type of game that I see being played in the halfcourt, with neither team putting up more tahn 50 shots or so from the floor. The under is 4-0 in St. Bonaventure's last 4 games. The under is 5-2 in St. Louis' last 7 games on the road. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
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02-15-11 |
New Orleans Hornets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 202.5 |
|
89-102 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 34 m |
Show
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*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't quite the run and gun team they were the last couple years. Keith Smart has his team focuses a little more on defense and getting a solid look on the offensive end. New Orleans is one of the best defenses in the NBA, and they will do everything they can to slow the tempo of the game down. These two teams met in Golden State on January 26 and the final was 112-103. Take a look at the box score though and you'll see that the Hornets shot 62% in that game. Golden State also shot 51%. I'm counting on the teams reverting to a normal shooting percentage in this game. Last game the over/under was set at 198, so we are getting a nice value on the under. The under is 6-1 in Golden State's last 7. The under is 19-9 in New Orleans' last 28 road games. I like the under in this one.
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02-15-11 |
Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 149.5 |
|
77-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 51 m |
Show
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*3 Star MAC Totals TAKEDOWN* The Western Michigan Broncos have really sped up their pace over the last few weeks. The 'over' is 15-5-1 in their 21 lined games this year, and it is 20-8 in their last 28 road games. Northern Illinois is a solid 'over' team because of their tendency to run and get to the foul line a lot, as well as their tendency to give up easy layups on a consistent basis. I expect quite a few trips to the line since both teams foul frequently. This game should be close the whole way, which should help push it over the posted total at the end. I like the over.
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02-15-11 |
James Madison v. Towson OVER 149 |
|
72-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
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*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The James Madison Dukes are a team that can score in bunches. The Dukes have several very good three-point shooters, which is perfect in this matchup since Towson is awful at guarding beyond the arc. James Madison put up 99 points on Towson in their first meeting. Towson is a team I like playing the 'over' with because of their tendency to run when given the opportunity, and their inability to get stops defensively. I think Towson will score at home, but I still think James Madison will get lots of uncontested shots. The over is 11-4 in Towson's last 15 home games. The over is 17-8 in JMU's last 25 road games. Take the over.
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