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Kyle Hunter ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
12-25-11 Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 185.5 88-87 Win 100 17 h 50 m Show
*3 Star Bulls/Lakers Total DOMINATION* The long offseason and uncertainty around the season leads me to think the beginning of this shortened year may have several low scoring contests. The Lakers are starting the season with a ridiculous back-to-back-to-back schedule. Mike Brown will likely give the starters more rests on the bench than normal in this one. The Bulls play solid halfcourt defense, and the Lakers don't have nearly as many weapons offensively now that Odom is gone. Bryant and Gasol are great, but who will be the third option offensively? These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between these two. Take the under.
12-24-11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 16-48 Win 100 23 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's defense has been awful of late. The Bucs have given up at least 31 points in five of their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good under the leadership of Cam Newton this year. Stewart and Williams are a great tailback tandem, and Steve Smith is a great weapon on the outside. Carolina's defense is giving up 26.3 points per game this year. The Panthers haven't been good against the run or the pass. Josh Freeman and the Bucs offense should be able to put up several scores in this one as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Bucs last 27 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
12-24-11 Minnesota Vikings v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 33-26 Win 100 23 h 20 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Vikings have given up 34, 35, and 42 points in their last three games. In fact, Minnesota hasn't given up less than 24 points in a game since October 2. This Minnesota secondary has been getting riddled on a weekly basis. Rex Grossman may throw quite a few interceptions, but he does help the Redskins move the ball pretty consistently through the air. On the other side, Washignton is mediocre against the run, and Adrian Peterson is a beast on the ground. Christian Ponder and the Vikings offense has scored 32, 28, and 20 points in their last three games. I expect both teams to score quite a few here. Take the over here.
12-23-11 Ball State v. Morehead St. UNDER 123.5 54-62 Win 100 16 h 13 m Show
*3 Star NCAA TGIF Bookie CRUSHER* Ball State and Morehead State are two teams who like to rely heavily on their defense. Both teams like to slow the game down and play in the halfcourt. Ball State plays very good halfcourt defense, and I don't think Morehead State will see many easy looks in this one. Morehead State is inefficent offensively, but I do think they will have better defensive intensity in front of their home crowd. Look for this game to be a slow paced game where the lead goes back and forth. These teams played to a 50-48 final last year. I don't expect it to be that low this time, but I do like the under. The under is 7-0 in Morehead State's last 7 Friday games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Cardinals last 5 games. Take the under here.
12-23-11 Auburn v. Hawaii OVER 135.5 65-62 Loss -108 24 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* Hawaii is really pushing the pace this year, especially at home. Gib Arnold's team can control the tempo on the island quite well. Auburn played at a slow tempo last year, but they have sped up significantly this year. I think the books are still trying to adjust to the new tempo of both of these teams. The over is 17-8 in Auburn's last 25 road games. The over is 12-3 in Hawaii's last 15 games overall. I think this game has a good chance to get to 140. Take the over here.
12-22-11 Wyoming v. Idaho State UNDER 119 80-56 Loss -108 21 h 25 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Defensive Battle* Wyoming has been one of the best defensive teams in the nation this year. The Cowboys are giving up just 51 points per game this year. Idaho State doesn't have much offensive strength, and I think they'll really struggle to score in this one. At the same time, Idaho State plays better defense at home and Wyoming's offense isn't too impressive either. This one should be an ugly game, but I think that will be good for the under. Take the under here.
12-22-11 Lehigh Mountain v. Michigan State OVER 139.5 81-90 Win 100 20 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Smasher* Lehigh averages 77.6 points per game. Lehigh has scored at least 70 points in every game this year. I realize they might not get to 70 in this one, but I think they can score some points here. Tom Izzo's team is putting up 80 points per game at home. In this one, they should get even more opportunities than normal because the pace will be quick. Don't be surprised if the Spartans put up 85 or 90 points here. I projected this one at 145 points. Take the over in this matchup.
12-22-11 Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 24-56 Win 100 390 h 48 m Show
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total.
12-22-11 Rice v. Texas A&M UNDER 127 65-58 Win 100 20 h 26 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Texas A&M came into the season saying they were going to pick up the tempo. They did for the first three games before their best scorer went down with an injury. The Aggies have adjusted right back to a slow paced defensive battle ever since. Their opponent hasn't scored more than 59 points in any game the last month. Rice doesn't have a great offense and I don't think they'll be able to dictate the tempo here. Look for this one to stay in the low 120's. Take the under.
12-22-11 Eastern Michigan v. Virginia Tech UNDER 121.5 50-71 Win 100 19 h 27 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Eastern Michigan doesn't have very much offense at all this year. The Eagles lost their leader from last year in Brandon Bowdry. Eastern Michigan averages just 51.8 points per game in their last five games. Virginia Tech will be one of the best defenses they have faced, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Eagles struggle to get to 50. The Hokies don't have as many scorers as normal either, and Seth Greenburg's team likes to slow the pace down this year. Take the under in this one.
12-22-11 Virginia Commonwealth v. NC-Greensboro OVER 141.5 80-68 Win 100 19 h 26 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Totals TKO* VCU and NC Greensboro played a ridiculously high scoring game last year. VCU beat the Spartans 101-86 last season. The Spartans don't play good defense at all, and Shaka Smart's team can really take advantage of that. NC Greensboro fouls like crazy and VCU is good at getting to the line. Greensboro is giving up 80 points per game. I think they'll be able to stay close to VCU here because of the home court advantage. Both offenses should find quite a bit of success. Take the over in this matchup.
12-22-11 Davidson v. Massachusetts OVER 150.5 65-73 Loss -108 19 h 23 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Davidson and UMass both like to run early and often. Both teams do a nice job getting to the basket and picking up fouls. The over is 8-0 in Davidson's last 8 road games. The over is 7-1 in UMass' last 8 home games. Both teams are averaging 76 points per game offensively in their last five. I don't see either team slowing the tempo down in this one. Both teams will get up and down and they'll get plenty of looks at the basket. I projected this one at 154 or 155. Take the over here.
12-22-11 Kennesaw St. v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 139.5 68-81 Loss -108 18 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Kennesaw State really likes to slow the tempo of the game down. They realize that the only chance they have in this game is to slow it down in a big way. The under is 8-1 in Tennessee Tech's last nine non-conference games. Neither team shoots the ball well from the floor. The total here is set several points too high in my opinion. Look for this one to finish under 135. I think we have several points to work with. Take the under in this low profile non-conference game.
12-22-11 UTEP v. Clemson UNDER 118 61-48 Win 100 15 h 59 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Clemson has slowed the tempo down even more this year. Brad Brownell really likes his teams to play on the offensive end and play lockdown defense on the other end. Clemson is allowing just 53.6 points per game this year. UTEP is coached by Tim Floyd, who loves to slow the tempo down as well. The Miners have improved defensively as the year has moved along. I projected this game at 114 points. Look for a halfcourt battle with some poor shooting percentages. Take the under here.
12-21-11 Cornell v. Penn State UNDER 129.5 67-74 Loss -108 20 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Penn State lost a ton of talent from last year's team, including team leader Talor Battle. Battle was the go to guy for years, and this offense is having a hard time adjusting without him. The Nittany Lions are averaging just 63 points per game so far this year. Cornell has had trouble scoring points on the road this year. The Big Red are averaging just 60 points per game away from home. Penn State should control the tempo and keep this one at a very slow pace. The under is 5-1 in Cornell's last 6. The under is 5-2 in Penn State's last 7. Take the under.
12-20-11 Buffalo v. Brigham Young OVER 144.5 78-93 Win 100 21 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* BYU may be without Jimmer Fredette this year, but don't let that fool you into thinking they can't score. Dave Rose does a great job with this Cougars basketball team. The team has a ton of strength in the post with Hartsock, Davies, and Abouo. BYU likes to run and I think they'll be able to establish that pace in what should be a very strong homecourt advantage in the Marriott Center. Buffalo also plays faster than most teams, and I think the Bulls guards will do some damage in this one. Look for this one to finish closer to 150 points. The overi s 29-10 in Buffalo's last 39 road games. Take the over.
12-20-11 Southern Utah v. Troy OVER 148 72-80 Win 100 21 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans do a very good controlling the tempo of the game. Troy likes to get out in transition, and they are great at making their opponent play faster than they wish to play. These two teams already met once this year and Troy won 80-74 in that game on the road. Now Troy will be at home, where they generally can dictate the tempo even more. The over is 16-5 in Southern Utah's last 21 road games. Look for both teams to get plenty of shots up in this one. I projected this one at 154 or 155. Take the over.
12-19-11 Wyoming v. Denver UNDER 115 46-57 Win 100 19 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Denver really likes to slow down the tempo of the game, and they have been that way for the last few years. Wyoming has a new system in place this year, and the Cowboys are all about playing strong defense and slowing the tempo of the game down. Denver relies very heavily on its three-point shooting. Wyoming is third in all of basketball in three-point defense. Their opponents are shooting just 24% from beyond the arc. The under is 45-21 in Wyoming's last 66 games. I projected this one at 109 or 110. Take the under.
12-19-11 Southern Methodist v. SE Missouri State UNDER 126 84-65 Loss -108 18 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* SMU plays at a slower pace than every team in the nation other than Wisconsin. Matt Doherty has decided that his team simply must slow the game down to a crawl to have a solid chance at winning. Southeast Missouri State is allowing 74 points per game this year overall, but at home they are giving up just 64 per contest. SMU is only averaging 59 points per game. The under is 5-2 in SE Missouri State's last 7 home games. The under is 10-4 in SMU's last 14 games overall. Take the under here.
12-19-11 NC-Greensboro v. Duke OVER 154 63-90 Loss -110 18 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Duke is averaging 86 points per game at home this year. UNC Greensboro will be one of the worst defensive teams that the Blue Devils play all season. Greensboro can't guard the three and they put their opponent on the line consistantly. Duke put up 96 and 108 points in the last two years when they met UNC Greensboro. Don't be surprised if Duke is up around that 100 point mark again in this one. Both teams like to run so the pace should be plenty quick in this one. The over is 10-2 in Duke's last 12. Take the over.
12-18-11 Portland State v. Oregon State OVER 149.5 68-101 Win 100 21 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Oregon State has turned into a major uptempo team in the last couple years. Craig Robinson has the Beavers getting out in transition at every single opportunity. Jared Cunningham is a speed demon who can push the pace very well for Oregon State. The Beavers are averaging 81.2 points per game at home this year. Portland State is a team that always looks to push the pace as well. I don't see either team slowing this one down. Neither team is very good defensively, and I think they'll be plenty of open looks in this game. A big bonus here is that both teams really do a nice job getting to the free throw line. Take the over.
12-18-11 Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47.5 28-27 Win 100 87 h 43 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Oakland Raiders defense has completely fallen apart of late. Oakland has allowed 33.3 points per game in their last three games. Carson Palmer has helped the offense move the ball well, but he is throwing far too many interceptions. Palmer has a tendency to throw a lot of pick six passes. The Lions secondary will be very aggressive this weekend. Matt Stafford and the Lions passing attack is working well right now. The trends point strongly to the over. The over is 7-1-1 in the Lions last 9 road games. The over is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 games. Take the over.
12-18-11 Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 45.5 23-10 Loss -110 84 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* Rex Grossman does give the Redskins offense a bit of a boost when it comes to moving the ball, but he still makes those bad decisions with the ball. The Giants are liable to pick him off at least a couple times here, and there could easily be a defensive score in this game. Eli Manning and the Giants passing game has been great of late. Look for the Giants to build on last week's momentum building win in Dallas. The over is 12-5-1 in the Giants last 18 games. The over is 4-0 in Washington's last 4. Take the over.
12-17-11 Eastern Kentucky v. Jacksonville State UNDER 118 59-53 Win 100 22 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are similar teams. These are two teams that like to slow the pace down and play in the halfcourt. Both teams play solid man to man defense. Jacksonville State shoots only 27% from 3 and 42% from 2. On the other side, Jacksonville State plays very good defense, and their opponents hit only 29.7% of their three point attempts. Eastern Kentucky attempts a lot of three's, but I don't think they'll get good looks in this game. The under is 14-5 in Eastern Kentucky's last 19 road games. Take the under.
12-17-11 Oakland v. Valparaiso OVER 166.5 82-80 Loss -108 20 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Oakland and Valparaiso met last year and the final score was 103-102. Now, I'm certainly not expecting anything close to that this year, but that does speak to the ability both offenses have. Oakland is one of the very fastest paced teams in the nation. Valparaiso is a team that really likes to run as well, especially at home. Both defenses have been struggling in a major way this year. I expect to see a fast pace and plenty of open looks for both teams. Both teams do a good job getting to the line often, and that should help a lot too. The over is 16-5 in Valpo's last 21. The over is 20-8 in Oakland's last 28 road games. Take the over.
12-17-11 Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 37-15 Win 100 264 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here.
12-17-11 Duquesne v. Western Mich OVER 144.5 Top 71-85 Win 100 16 h 22 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play* Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because they are great at forcing the opponent to play to their tempo. The great part of this particular matchup is that Western Michigan also likes to run and gun. Western Michigan should have a big advantage on the offensive glass, and I expect them to get a lot of second chance points. Duquesne can force turnovers with the best of them, and Western Michigan simply can't handle the ball very well at all. I had this game projected at about 150 points. I really like the over in this one!
12-17-11 Mississippi State v. Detroit OVER 145.5 80-75 Win 100 14 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Detroit is a Horizon League team that could make some noise this year. The Titans have a ton of talent all over the floor. Ray McCallum Jr. is the team's point guard, and he is capable of getting his own shot and getting open looks for teammates on just about every possession. Mississippi State has been pushing the pace this year with talented guard Dee Bost at the helm. I don't see either team looking to slow the game down here. The over is 34-16-2 in Detroit's last 52 home games. Take the over.
12-16-11 East Carolina v. NC-Greensboro OVER 139 71-62 Loss -108 18 h 9 m Show
*3 Star TGIF Play of the Day* East Carolina is a team that likes to put up a ton of three's. The Pirates haven't been hitting on too many three's this year, but I suspect that might change against the horrible defense of the UNC Greensboro Spartans. Greensboro is allowing opponents to shoot a ridiculous 44% from beyond the arc. Greensboro loves to push the tempo, and they should be able to control the pace of the game in this one. The Spartans have put up at least 62 field goal attempts in four of their last five games. Both teams do a ton of fouling and putting the opponent at the charity stripe, and that should help the cause quite a bit. Take the over here.
12-14-11 Florida Intl. v. Maryland Terrapins OVER 139.5 61-65 Loss -110 18 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* Maryland is short on talent compared to past years. Gary Williams is no longer with the team, and Mark Turgeon is trying to gain the respect of the team. The Terrapins have found that they have the most success this year when they push the tempo. Florida International isn't a disciplined team at all, and Maryland should get plenty of open looks in this game. In addition, both of these teams get to the free throw line a lot, and I expect points from the charity stripe to help push this one over the posted total. Take the over here.
12-13-11 Central Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 128.5 56-76 Loss -110 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Minnesota lost star player Trevor Mbakwe for the season a few weeks ago. The team isn't even close to the same without him. Mbwake was the team's best scorer and rebounder. Tubby Smith's team is playing solid defense now, but they are struggling to find an offensive rhythm. Central Michigan plays at a slower than normal place, and they are not an efficient offensive team. Central Michigan allows opponents to shoot only 39% on two-point attempts this year, and Minnesota shoots a lot of two point shots. The pace here should be slow, and without any big offensive weapons, I like the chances for the under. The under is 21-7 in Central Michigan's last 28 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in Minnesota's 4 games since Mbakwe was injured. Take the under.
12-12-11 Portland State v. Oregon OVER 145 70-79 Win 100 26 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Portland State is a team that likes to push the pace. The Vikings have done this for many years, so this is nothing new to this group of players. Portland State gets 30% of their points from the free throw line, and those games with a lot of free throws certainly tend to go over more often than not. Oregon is a team that likes to pressure and push the tempo. The Ducks also get to the line frequently. I think they'll find plenty of open looks against Portland State's poor halfcourt defense. The over is 6-0 in Oregon's last 6 Monday games. Take the over.
12-11-11 San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 39 19-21 Loss -110 50 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The 49ers defense continues to amaze as the season moves along. San Francisco tops the NFL in run defense, and the pass defense has improved over the last few weeks. Arizona has scored 9, 6, 7, and 7 points in the team's last four meetings with San Francisco. The Cardinals defense has been playing better lately as well. The under is 4-1 in Arizona's last 5. The under is 6-1 in San Francisco's last 7. I think this is a game where both offenses settle for field goals most of the time. Take the under.
12-11-11 UC Riverside v. Montana State UNDER 129 75-73 Loss -110 12 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* UC Riverside isn't a very good team, but they are good at controlling the tempo of the game. The Highlanders have not had a game finish above this posted total all season despite having two games go into overtime. Montana State plays at an average pace, but I think they'll struggle to turn this into a quick game against UC Riverside. The under is 6-2 in UC Riverside's last 8 road games. I projected this one at 123 or 124 points, so I like the value here. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt. Take the under here.
12-11-11 Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 31-23 Win 100 47 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* Carolina has shown they have the ability to move the football against just about everyone this year. The Atlanta defense isn't very good against the pass, and Cam Newton should have some success against them. On the other side, the Panthers defense is allowing 27 points per game. The Panthers lost two defensive tackles last week, and that will certainly hurt the run defense. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense chewed up this unit in the first meeting this year, and I expect them to do the same this time. Look for both offenses to move it with ease here. Take the over.
12-11-11 New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 48 34-27 Win 100 47 h 46 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense had a brief period where they struggled a few weeks ago, but they are back in a big way of late. The Patriots have scored at least 31 points in four straight games. The Redskins defense gave up 34 points against the Jets last week, and I suspect they'll struggle against Brady and the Pats. Rex Grossman has Santana Moss back, and the Patriots secondary ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. Washington should be able to move the ball and score. Also, Grossman always has the potential to throw a pick-six at any time. The over is 23-8 in New England's last 31. Take the over.
12-10-11 Wake Forest v. Seton Hall OVER 144 54-68 Loss -110 17 h 19 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Wake Forest isn't a very good team, but they definitely like to run and push the pace. The Demon Deacons aren't good at all defensively, and they will certainly give up several easy layups. Both Seton Hall and Wake Forest get to the free throw line quite often, and I expect points from the charity stripe to pile up in this one. Neither team will be looking to slow down the pace, and that is important in helping a game get over the posted total. I think this has a good chance of hitting 150. Take the over.
12-10-11 Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 126.5 47-63 Win 100 13 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie Beatdown* Clemson has had a completely change in philosophy under Coach Brownell. Brownell's Tigers use up the shot clock and play great halfcourt defense. Arizona doesn't have Derrick Williams and the Wildcats are definitely feeling the pain offensively this year. The Wildcats still have length and athleticism, but they struggle to score against the top defenses. I think this game will be a showcase of two very good defenses that are just a little bit ahead of the offenses. Take the under here.
12-10-11 Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 21-27 Win 100 97 h 35 m Show
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
12-10-11 Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Iowa UNDER 122.5 51-67 Win 100 13 h 60 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Northern Iowa's scores have been a little higher this year, but it has simply been because the Panthers have been shooting lights out from beyond the arc. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is actually a pretty solid defensive team, and I don't think the Panthers will knock down everything in this one. Look for the pace to stay slow since both teams like to play at a slow pace on a normal basis. I projected this one at 116 or 117 points. It won't be pretty, but I like the under here.
12-10-11 Butler v. Ball State UNDER 123.5 55-58 Win 100 13 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Butler isn't the same team it was last year. The Bulldogs simply don't have the offensive leaders they have had in recent years. The Bulldogs must make the game sloppy to have a chance to win. Ball State is a solid defensive team, especially at home. I don't see either team looking to speed up the tempo in this one. I think there is a good chance this one stays in the 115 to 120 range. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt and the shooting numbers to be below par. Take the under.
12-10-11 UNLV v. Wisconsin UNDER 126 51-62 Win 100 11 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* No one slows the game down better than the Wisconsin Badgers. Bo Ryan's team doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with UNLV, but they definitely have the defense to win this matchup. Look for the Badgers to turn this into a halfcourt game like they managed to against North Carolina. Only one Wisconsin game has gone above this posted total all season, and that finished at 129. The under is 6-1 in Wisconsin's last 7 games. I projected this at 121 points. Take the under here.
12-09-11 Rider v. Florida OVER 155 69-90 Win 100 16 h 27 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* The Rider Broncs play at one of the fastest paces of any team in basketball. Rider also has one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Broncs are absolutely horrible at guarding beyond the three-point line. Opponents are shooting 42.3% from beyond the arc. Florida is a great three-point shooting team, and they love to shoot from long range. The Gators will be gunning three pointers in this one, and I'm suspecting many of them will be wide open looks. Rider also allows second chance points in bunches, and the Gators should take advantage. I think Florida will top 90 points in this one. Look for this one to get to around 160. Take the over.
12-07-11 Wright State v. Air Force UNDER 120 Top 34-55 Win 100 21 h 51 m Show
*5 Star Top Total* Wright State lost a lot of talent from last year's squad. Coach Donlin has decided that the best way for the Raiders to stay in the game this year is to slow the tempo down and rely on their defense. Air Force has perenially been one of the slowest paced teams in the country, and I definitely don't see them speeding this game up. Neither team shoots the ball particularly well, and that should be magnified by the solid defense that I expect both teams to play in this one. I projected this one at 114 or 115. I like the under big here.
12-07-11 Cal St-Fullerton v. Utah OVER 138.5 81-50 Loss -108 21 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Cal State Fullerton pushes the pace very well and I don't expect Utah to stop that. The Titans really like to get out in transition at every opportunity. Utah has shown that they have virtually no defense this year. The Utes are giving up 81 points per game this season. Utah isn't a very good offensive team, but I do expect them to get some easy looks against a poor Cal State Fullerton defense. I projected this game at about 143 or 144. Look for this one to finish above the posted total.
12-07-11 Iona v. Denver UNDER 141.5 80-78 Loss -110 20 h 46 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Iona pushes the tempo and they can definitely fill it up, but I really think this total is set too high. Denver is terrific at slowing the game down to a crawl. The Pioneers will milk the shot clock on every trip in this game. Iona has only played two games on the road this year, and I expect this to be their toughest road test yet. The under is 5-2 in Denver's last 7 home games. I projected this total at 136 points. Look for the home team to control the tempo enough to keep this one under the posted total.
12-07-11 Virginia Tech v. Rhode Island UNDER 136.5 78-67 Loss -110 19 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Rhode Island is an interesting team this year. The Rams look to push the pace, but they are very inefficient offensively. The Rams have burned me a couple times on the 'over' this year, and I think this is actually a good spot to play the under. Virginia Tech plays strong defense, and they will do their best to slow this game down. Don't expect Rhode Island to get many open looks in this game. On the other hand, Virginia Tech really doesn't have many big scorers. I like this one to stay under the total.
12-07-11 Colorado St v. Duke OVER 149 64-87 Win 100 18 h 37 m Show
*3 Star Colorado St/Duke Total Takedown* Colorado State ranks first in all of college basketball in three-point percentage. The Rams manage to knock down 46% of their attempted three's. Duke's three-point defense has been mediocre this year, and the Rams should knock down some shots in this one. On the other side, Duke's offense will be looking for a bounce back after their bad loss to Ohio State last week. The Rams defense has been giving up big points to everyone this year, and I think Duke could really rack up the points in this one. Take the over.
12-06-11 Hawaii v. Pacific UNDER 136 54-64 Win 100 21 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* Hawaii and Pacific are meeting for the second time already this year. The first meeting came at Hawaii, where the Warriors pushed the pace and won 75-70. There were also more than 50 free throws attempted in that game. Pacific wishes to play a slower paced game, and I expect them to do that one their home court Tuesday night. The oddsmakers put the total at 131 in the first meeting, and that is where this one should be. The value has quickly turned to the under here. Look for this one to stay under the total.
12-06-11 Long Beach State v. Kansas OVER 141.5 80-88 Win 100 24 h 20 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Long Beach State has been going out and playing a ton of powerful teams this year, and they have acquitted themselves very nicely. The 49ers are most comfortable in the open floor pushing the pace. Kansas has been running more than normal this year. The Jayhawks are averaging 83 points per game at home. Long Beach State isn't a very good team defensively, and I fully expect Kansas to dominate in the paint. The over is 10-1 in Long Beach State's last 11 road games. I think this one could top 150. Take the over big in this one.
12-06-11 Evansville v. North Carolina OVER 152.5 48-97 Loss -108 22 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* North Carolina is very good at controlling the tempo of a game, especially at home. Evansville is the type of team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent, which won't be good for them in this contest. The Purple Aces defense has been horrendous this year, so I expect North Carolina to get plenty of open looks. North Carolina should get out in transition early and often in this one. The over is 5-1 in Evansville's last 6 games. I had this one projected at 156 or 157. Take the over.
12-05-11 Brown v. Providence OVER 143.5 49-80 Loss -108 17 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Providence is a team that likes to use its athleticism by pushing the basketball at every opportunity. The Friars have big guys who can run the floor, and they get out in transition at every opportunity. Brown plays much faster than the average team in the Ivy League, and in a non-conference game like this they should be comfortable. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive end of the floor. These teams got together last year and scored 155 points. The over is 20-8 in the Friars last 28 home games. Take the over.
12-04-11 Mississippi v. Penn State UNDER 128.5 72-70 Loss -110 16 h 29 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Penn State lost a ton of talent from last year's team, including their leader Talor Battle. The Nittany Lions are really slowing the tempo down this year and attempting to win with solid defense. Mississippi is a team that likes to push the pace, but they are not efficient at all offensively. Penn State is especially good at controlling the tempo on their home floor. The under is 13-6 in their last 19 home games. I had this one projected at 122 points. I like the under in this matchup.
12-04-11 St Peter's v. Manhattan UNDER 121.5 42-68 Win 100 12 h 19 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* St. Peter's and Manhattan are both teams built around playing a slow paced game with not very many possesions. Last year these teams met twice, and the final total finished at 115 points both times. St. Peter's is miserable offensively, but their defense is tremendous. The books have been missing the number for quite some time on St. Peter's. The under is a stunning 41-18-2 in St. Peter's last 61 road games. The under is also 35-17 in Manhattan's last 52 home games. I think this one stays around the 115 mark again. Take the under here.
12-04-11 Oakland Raiders v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43 14-34 Loss -105 13 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders have been playing pretty good football of late. The Raiders are right in the thick of the AFC West race, and this is a game they really need to win. Miami may have started 0-7, but they have won 3 of their last 4. The Dolphins defense is giving up less than 19 points per game this year. Without Darren McFadden, the Raiders offense is certainly less explosive. Jacoby Ford is also expected to miss this game. Matt Moore is a solid quarterback, but the Raiders should key in on the run in this one. Look for the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 15-5-1 in Miami's last 21 games. Take the under.
12-03-11 Utah State v. Pacific UNDER 126 Top 57-65 Win 100 25 h 51 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* Utah State and Pacific are two of the slowest paced teams in the nation. Utah State wins on a yearly basis with their terrific halfcourt defense. Opponents are averaging just 64 points per game this year against Utah State. Pacific is horrible offensively this year, and they average just 54 points per game. It's hard to see either of these teams speeding up the pace in this one. This one should be played in the halfcourt all the way through. I had this one projected at 117 points, so I was very surprised to see this number pop up. Take the under big here.
12-03-11 Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5 39-42 Win 100 43 h 9 m Show
*3 Star Big Ten Title Total* Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
12-03-11 Tennessee Tech v. Duquesne OVER 150 67-77 Loss -108 22 h 51 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Duquesne is one of my single favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Dukes force other teams to play to their style. Duquesne likes to trap and try to create offense from their defense. Tennessee Tech doesn't have many good ball-handlers, and I think the Dukes pressure could be a real problem for them. At the same time, Tech has plenty of scorers and they should be able to put up some points. Neither team will be walking it up the floor in this one. It should be up and down the whole way. Take the over.
12-03-11 Oregon v. Brigham Young OVER 146 65-79 Loss -108 20 h 51 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* I really like what Dave Rose is doing with this BYU program. Jimmer Fredette isn't here any longer, but the Cougars are still a pretty good team. BYU has quite a few shooters all over the floor, and this team really can push the tempo. Oregon typically tries to speed the game up, so I don't expect them to be slowing this game down. BYU is averaging 91 points per game at home so far this year. Oregon's defense isn't very good, but the Ducks should be able to score. Take the over.
12-03-11 Marquette v. Wisconsin UNDER 126.5 61-54 Win 100 19 h 21 m Show
*3 Star Intrastate Total Takedown* Wisconsin slows the pace down better than any other team in the country. Bo Ryan's team doesn't have nearly as much talent as some of the other top teams in the country, but they play under control and play great defense. No team has scored more than 60 points on the Badgers this year, and that includes North Carolina. Wisconsin gives up just 42 points per game on average this year. The under is 19-7 in Marquette's last 26 games. The under is 4-1 in Wisconsin's last 5 games. Take the under.
12-03-11 Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5 Top 24-21 Loss -110 38 h 24 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
12-03-11 USC v. Minnesota UNDER 120 40-55 Win 100 14 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Minnesota will be without the services of star Trevor Mbakwe the rest of the season. Mbakwe was the team's leading scorer and rebounder, and it will be very difficult for this team to replace him offensively. USC has decided to slow the pace down as much as possible this year. The Trojans are only putting up about 47 or 48 shots per game this year. The average final score in a USC game this year is 57-55. Minnesota put up only 58 points last game in their first outing without Mbakwe. Look for the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under.
12-02-11 Washington v. Nevada OVER 147.5 73-76 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* There are only eight teams in the nation with a tempo rated quicker than Washington. That is pretty impressive when you consider there are 345 teams in Division I basketball. Nevada is near the middle of the pack when it comes to pace, but they have played several teams who slow the game down. They have yet to play a team like Washington, who will push it at every single opportunity. Last year these two teams met and the final was 90-60. The posted total was 158 last year. I don't think the total should be 10 points lower this year, and I think this is a nice chance to get a value on the over. Take the over.
12-02-11 Manhattan v. Rider OVER 143 71-55 Loss -114 19 h 2 m Show
*3 Star TGIF Total Domination* The Rider Broncs are a team I really like to play the 'over' with. Rider really pushes the tempo on the offensive end, and on the defensive end they are not good at all. Opponents are scoring 81 points per game on Rider, and they are shooting 41% from three-point range. Manhattan has sped up their tempo a bit from last year. The Jaspers shoot a lot of three's, which should be a good thing in this matchup. In addition, it should be noted that both of these teams get to free throw line often. Look for there to be plenty of points from the charity stripe. The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the over.
12-01-11 Georgetown v. Alabama UNDER 126.5 57-55 Win 100 26 h 26 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Anthony Grant has done a fabulous job with the Alabama basketball program. The Crimson Tide play terrific defense and their athleticism on the wings make them a very difficult matchup. Georgetown doesn't have the offensive firepower they have had in previous years, and I can't see them having too much success against the Crimson Tide in Alabama. Last year Alabama allowed opponents to score only 50 points per game on their home floor. The under is 12-5 in Georgetown's last 17. Take the under.
12-01-11 Mississippi v. DePaul OVER 144.5 70-68 Loss -108 26 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Oliver Purnell has his DePaul Blue Demons running in transition in a big way. Mississippi has been running at every opportunity this year, and I don't see them slowing this one down. Neither team is strong defensively, and there should be quite a few easy layups in this game. DePaul is averaging 80 points per game so far this year. Mississippi has a strong frontcourt that should get them some good looks in the halfcourt. I think this one has a solid chance of topping the 150 point mark. Take the over.
12-01-11 Youngstown State v. Detroit OVER 146.5 64-61 Loss -108 24 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Youngstown State and Detroit both like to push the tempo. In their meeting last February, the final score was 91-79. Detroit is terrible at guarding beyond the arc, and Youngstown's offensive strength is their long range shooting. Detroit is paced by Ray McCallum, a talented point guard who can get to the basket with the best of them. The oddsmakers have been behind the curve on both of these teams. The over is 9-0 in Youngstown State's last 9 road games. The over is 25-9-1 in Detroit's last 35 games. Take the over.
12-01-11 Providence v. South Carolina OVER 136 76-67 Win 100 24 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Providence has put up 80 points or more three times this season. South Carolina allows opponents to shoot 44% from three-point range. Providence has been highly successful this year when they push the tempo, so I expect that from them in this game. Both of these teams are great on the offensive glass, and I think they'll be plenty of second chance scoring opportunities in this game. I projected this one at about 141 or 142, so I like the value on this one. Take the over in this matchup.
11-30-11 Brigham Young v. Northern Arizona OVER 138 87-52 Win 100 20 h 60 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* BYU doesn't have Jimmer Fredette anymore, but they still have a solid team that can put up quite a few points. Brandon Davies is back with the team, and the Cougars have some solid guards who can score as well. Northern Arizona likes to push the pace quite a bit, so I don't expect them to slow down the fast paced BYU attack. Northern Arizona's defense is one of the worst in the nation, and I fully expect them to get torched in this one. The pace here should push this one over the posted total.
11-30-11 Rhode Island v. Brown OVER 146 56-65 Loss -103 18 h 30 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Rhode Island loves to push the pace, and Brown should be the perfect team for them to do that against. Brown plays faster than anyone else in the Ivy League, and when they play a non-conference opponent I like to play the over when I see value. Brown has given up more than 70 points in four of their six games this year, and they have yet to face a team that pushes the pace as much as Rhode Island. The Rams should take advantage of a pourous Brown defense in this one. I projected this one at 150 or 151. I like the value on the over.
11-30-11 Indiana v. North Carolina State OVER 150 86-75 Win 100 18 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Big Ten/ACC Total Takedown* Indiana is a team to watch out for this year. Cody Zeller is making a big difference already for the Hoosiers. Zeller, just like his older brother Tyler, is a big man who can run the floor. Indiana has sped up its pace quite a bit because of their improved athleticism. NC State won't be looking to slow the game down. In fact, the Wolfpack are really running this year under new coach Mark Gottfried. Six NC State players are averaging double figures so far this year. The over is 14-6 in Indiana's last 20 road games. Take the over.
11-30-11 Drexel v. St. Joseph's UNDER 122.5 49-62 Win 100 17 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* St. Joe's is much improved on the defensive side of the ball this year. Phil Martelli's team has not been allowing many easy looks in the paint, which is key against Drexel. The Drexel Dragons defense is one of the best in the nation almost every year. Bruiser Flint's team is second in the nation in three-point defense, and St. Joe's relies heavily on three's. Last year at this time these two teams met and the final was 62-50. The under is 14-3 in Drexel's last 17 games. Expect the defenses to control this game. Take the under.
11-29-11 Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 129 48-84 Win 100 17 h 24 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Syracuse has quietly sped up their pace quite a bit so far this year. The Orange are typically a team that walks it up the court, but they have moved to become more of a transition team. This team struggled in halfcourt sets last year, and I think they are trying to use their athleticism more by running the floor. Eastern Michigan struggles to control the basketball, and Syracuse is really forcing turnovers in bunches this year. Look for Syracuse to score early and often here. Take the over.
11-28-11 Pacific v. Stanford UNDER 126.5 37-79 Win 100 21 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Pacific is one of the slowest paced teams in college basketball. The Tigers are not nearly as talented this year as they have been in the past. The only chance Pacific has is to slow this game down to a snail's pace and try to make it extremely ugly. Stanford doesn't exactly run up and down the floor either, and the team lacks great athleticism. Look for this game to be played in the halfcourt for all 40 minutes. I had projected this one in the low 120's, so I like the value on the under here.
11-27-11 Santa Clara v. Villanova OVER 142 65-64 Loss -108 17 h 23 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Santa Clara has shown that they like to push the pace this year. Kevin Foster is one of the best scorers in the country that most people have never heard anything about. Foster could easily put up 30 points in a game, and he gets to the line very often. Villanova has struggled a bit at the beginning of this year. Jay Wright's team isn't very good defensively, and they have the shot the ball poorly. Santa Clara fouls more than almost any team in the nation, and Villanova shoots 83% from the line. Look for the points to pile up in this one. Take the over.
11-27-11 St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech UNDER 128 64-73 Loss -108 7 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The departure of Malcolm Delaney has left Virginia Tech without a real offensive star. The Hokies have become a much more defensive-minded team this season. Erick Green is one of the team's best on offense, but he is dinged up and might miss this game. Andrew Nicholson is essentially a one-man show for St. Bonaventure most of the time. The under is 35-16-1 in St. Bonnie's last 52 road games. Look for the pace to stay slow here. I projected this total at about 124, so I like the value on the under.
11-27-11 MD Eastern Shore v. Portland State OVER 132 69-79 Win 100 5 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Maryland-Eastern Shore is a strange team in that they love to push the pace, but they aren't any good at all. Portland State has played a lot of teams this year that like to slow the pace down, but this won't be that way. The Vikings should be able to put up a lot of points against such a weak defense. Maryland-Eastern Shore isn't an efficient offense, but they should get up enough shots to help push this one over the posted total. I think the oddsmakers have set this one too low based on what the tempo should be in this game. Look for this one to go well over the posted total.
11-27-11 Morehead St. v. Bucknell UNDER 128.5 50-54 Win 100 5 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Morehead State lost Kenneth Faried, but the team still has a defensive identity. Morehead State walks it up the court and works the ball around to look for a great shot. On the defensive end, they play very solid man defense. Bucknell isn't a team that likes to push the pace, and they should be happy to stay in a halfcourt game with Morehead State. The under is 6-1 in Bucknell's last 7 home games. They are allowing less than 50 points per game at home this year. Take the under.
11-27-11 Cleveland State v. Rhode Island OVER 137.5 67-45 Loss -108 3 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Rhode Island is a team that doesn't play much defense at all, but they can put up the points in bunches. Opponents shoot a ridiculous 57% on two-point shots against Rhode Island. Cleveland State has shown that they are much better than people expected them to be. The Vikings are a veteran team that should take advantage of a bad defense. Rhode Island controls the pace best when at home, and this is a home game for the Rams. Look for both teams put up quite a few here. Take the over.
11-27-11 Arizona St v. DePaul OVER 142 64-68 Loss -110 2 h 9 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Hoops Tempo Total* DePaul plays at a very quick pace. The Blue Demons use full court pressure and try to get easy layups from their defense. Oliver Purnell always used this style at Clemson, and he is continuing that tradition at DePaul. The lowest total points in a game involving DePaul this year was 146 points. The Blue Demons halfcourt defense allows plenty of easy looks, and Arizona State is averaging 67 points per game, but I'll be pretty surprised if they don't top 70 here. Take the over in this one.
11-27-11 Washington State v. UC Riverside UNDER 131 63-64 Win 100 2 h 6 m Show
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Washington State will attempt to push the pace in this one, but UC Riverside should know that if they have any chance of staying in the game they must make this a slow paced contest. UC Riverside has not had a game go above 128 points this year despite having two overtime games. One of their overtime contests still only finished at 53-49. The Highlanders play solid defense, but they certainly don't shoot the ball well. At a neutral site, I expect the overall shooting numbers to be less than stellar. Take the under.
11-26-11 San Diego St v. Cal Santa Barbara UNDER 134 76-75 Loss -108 11 h 9 m Show
*3 Star Late Night Basketball Bailout* San Diego State is a defensive minded team this year. Steve Fisher realizes his team doesn't have the offensive firepower that they had a year ago, so he has turned this team into a defensive powerhouse. UCSB is historically one of the slowest paced teams in the Big West. I expect the Gaucho's to play tough defense on their home court here. I projected this line at about 128 or 129, so I like the under quite a bit here. Look for a defensive minded game. Take the under.
11-26-11 Louisiana-Lafayette v. Duquesne OVER 146.5 Top 65-84 Win 100 8 h 11 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Total* Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with and that is because they can really make the other team play their style of game. The Dukes press and push the tempo at every single opportunity. That should be perfect against a Lafayette team that typically puts up quick shot and does not use up the shot clock. I think this game has a legitimate chance to get to 160 points, so the value here is big on the over. Look for a fast paced game that ends with a winner on the over.
11-26-11 Rider v. La Salle OVER 148.5 70-82 Win 100 5 h 28 m Show
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* Rider and LaSalle both love to push the pace, and when these two teams get together the scoring should be abundant. I thought this line would be around 155 points, so I was very surprised to see the total open where it did. Look for both teams to get plenty of open looks from beyond the arc in this one. In addition, both teams get to the basket well, which should mean a lot of free throws in this game. I think there is a ton of value on the over in this game. Take the over.
11-26-11 Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5 37-45 Win 100 38 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
11-26-11 Western Michigan v. Gonzaga OVER 140.5 58-78 Loss -108 5 h 14 m Show
*3 Star Tempo Total* Western Michigan isn't a very good team right now, but they certainly push the tempo. Gonzaga won't slow the game down on their home court in Spokane. Look for the Zags to put up a big number against a Western Michigan defense that tends to leave a lot of guys wide open on a consistent basis. I had this line projected at 146 or 147, so the value is definitely on the over in my book on this game. Look for a fast paced game where both teams get up plenty of shots. Take the over.
11-26-11 Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5 21-49 Win 100 112 h 22 m Show
*3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown* Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-26-11 Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46 38-0 Win 100 13 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Rivalry Totals Play* Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
11-26-11 Princeton v. Morehead St. UNDER 123 56-68 Loss -119 3 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Princeton is as methodical of a team as you'll find, and Morehead State isn't about to speed up the pace either. Both teams struggle shooting it from the field, so I expect poor shooting percentages from both sides. Look for a walk it up the floor type of game where both defenses have the upper hand. I projected this game at about 118 points, so I like the value here. Only one Princeton game has gone higher than this total so far this season. Take the under here.
11-25-11 California v. Arizona State OVER 54 47-38 Win 100 20 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
11-25-11 Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57 20-21 Loss -105 17 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total* Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
11-24-11 New Mexico v. Santa Clara OVER 138.5 76-79 Win 100 21 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Turkey Day Total* New Mexico is a team I have my eye on this year. Steve Alford's team has the ability to surprise some people this season. The Lobos have a solid backcourt as well as a frontcourt that can score on just about anyone. Santa Clara likes to push the pace, and Kevin Foster is a great scorer. Santa Clara has scored 80 and 84 points in their two wins, and in their loss they gave up 89 points. The over is 5-2 in Santa Clara's last 7 neutral site games. Look for this one to be higher scoring than expected. Take the over.
11-24-11 San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 40 6-16 Win 100 20 h 9 m Show
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Total Domination* San Francisco is a ball control type of team. Alex Smith has been great for the 49ers, but he isn't going to throw for a ton of yards against many teams. The Niners will be looking to establish Frank Gore. Baltimore's front seven is terrific. The 49ers defense is first in the NFL in points allowed, and the Ravens offense has been very inconsistent this year. This looks like a game where both teams try to pound the ball and play a field position battle. Take the under here.
11-22-11 California v. Missouri OVER 144 Top 53-92 Win 100 10 h 9 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Late Night* Missouri may have a new coach this year, but they still have the same philosophy of pressing and pushing the pace. Missouri has scored more than 80 points in every game they have played this year. Cal has Allen Crabbe, Harper Kamp, and Jorge Gutierrez as a powerful trio of scorers. The over is 5-1 in Missouri's last 6 games. The over is 65-31-1 in Cal's last 97 games following an ATS win. Look for the tempo to be very quick here. I think this one tops 150 points. Take the over big.
11-22-11 Florida Intl. v. Oral Roberts OVER 142.5 65-73 Loss -108 8 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM* Florida International is coached by Isaiah Thomas. Thomas likes to have his team push the tempo and trap in the full court on defense. Oral Roberts is a team with a lot of scoring prowess, and I think they'll pile up the points on Florida International. The over is 40-18-1 in Florida International's last 59 games. The over is 23-8 in Fla International's last 31 road games. Both teams should score in bunches tonight. Look for this one to go over the posted total. Take the over.
11-22-11 Georgia State v. Samford UNDER 126 55-47 Win 100 8 h 51 m Show
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* Georgia State and Samford are both defense oriented teams. They both play strong defense in the halfcourt. Both teams have played opponents this year that they forced the tempo, and that gives us some value on the under in this game. Neither team should be pushing the tempo in this one. Look for both teams to walk it up the court and use up the shot clock on almost every possession. The under is 9-3 in Georgia State's last 12 road games. The under is 7-3 in Samford's last 10 non-conference games. Take the under.
11-22-11 Northern Colorado v. Iowa State OVER 145 82-90 Win 100 7 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Iowa State is full of new players that transferred into the school over the past year. The team has all kinds of talent, and they have decided that they are best off if they push the pace this year. Chris Allen, Chris Babb, Royce White, and others are all threats to score in bunches. Northern Colorado is giving up 81 points per game because of their poor defense. Look for Iowa State to score even more than that here. The over is 8-2 in Northern Colorado's last 10 games. I expect this one to go over.
11-22-11 Rutgers v. Illinois State UNDER 123.5 Top 70-76 Loss -108 7 h 53 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Knockout* Rutgers and Illinois State are both teams built around their strong defensive play. This game will be played at a neutral site in Cancun Mexico. This site is known for poor shooting percentages because of a tough backdrop for shooters. Neither team will be pushing the tempo here, and I expect both teams to play very good halfcourt defense. The trends point strongly to the under here. The under is 22-8 in Rutgers last 30 non-conference games. The under is 15-3 in Illinois St's last 18 non-conference games. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under big.
11-22-11 Cornell v. Delaware OVER 132.5 Top 64-72 Win 100 7 h 43 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Totals Takedown* Cornell is a rare Ivy League team that likes to run. Delaware showed last time out against Villanova that they can score. Sadler is a guy who can score from anywhere on the floor for Delaware. Cornell likes to shoot three's, and Delaware simply isn't very good at defending in the halfcourt. The over is 4-1-1 in Cornell's last 6 road games. The over is 16-4-1 in Delaware's last 21 games. The total here is set quite low. I projected this one at 139 or 140, so I really like the value on the over.
11-22-11 Fresno State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 136.5 79-83 Win 100 7 h 39 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Fresno State showed yesterday that they are looking to push the pace much more this year than they have in the past. Texas San-Antonio is loaded with scorers, and they will run at every opportunity. UTSA has scored at least 73 points in every game they have played this year, and they should continue that trend in this game. The over is 8-1 in UTSA's last 9 games overall. I expect the Roadrunners from Texas San-Antonio to control the tempo in this one. Take the over in this matchup.
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