12-21-13 |
CS Sacramento v. Cal State Fullerton OVER 130.5 |
|
51-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Cal State Fullerton Titans experimented with slowing the game down earlier this year, but it looks like that experiment is over. The Titans are just much more comfortable running. Fullerton is going to force the issue in this game, and Sacramento's awful defense won't be able to stop them from scoring. I made this total 136 points. Take the over.
|
12-21-13 |
Coppin State v. Jacksonville State UNDER 147 |
Top |
61-72 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Hidden GEM* This is a game that most people won't pay any attention to. You certainly don't need to watch this game, but I do really like the under in this contest. Coppin State plays at an average tempo and Jacksonville State stalls about as well as any team in the country. Neither offense is efficient and still we have a very high posted total in this game. This game is being played on a neutral court which helps the under because shooters aren't accustomed to the backdrops. I made this total 140 points. Take the under big!
|
12-21-13 |
South Dakota State v. North Dakota OVER 156.5 |
|
77-70 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Here we have two teams that play absolutely no defense. North Dakota ranks in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace. They are at home here and I think they'll be able to dictate the tempo against a SD State team that is way down from last year. I made this total 160 points, so I do see some value on this one. Take the over.
|
12-21-13 |
Gonzaga v. Kansas State UNDER 137 |
|
62-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 2 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play on under*
|
12-20-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 192 |
|
111-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavs are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Milwaukee is dead last in points scored per game at 90 per contest. Cleveland's offense is in the bottom five in the NBA in efficiency. Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters are both game-time decisions. Irving is ill and won't be 100 percent no matter what here. The Bucks slow the game down and Cleveland won't be at full strength. I made this total 188 points. Look for an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
|
12-19-13 |
UCLA v. Duke OVER 164.5 |
|
63-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins and Duke Blue Devils both push the tempo a lot this year. Steve Alford has brought a much faster pace to UCLA, and the Bruins offense has been exceptional so far this year. Duke's offense ranks second in the nation in efficiency, so they can pile up the points with the best of them too. Both of these defenses have struggled against top teams this year. I think both teams make it into the 80's here. I had this one at 170. Take the over.
|
12-18-13 |
New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 188.5 |
|
107-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks get Tyson Chandler back in the lineup tonight, and that means better defense instantly. The Knicks already play at a very slow pace, so they have been a pretty good under team. They should be in even lower scoring games moving forward. Milwaukee plays very slow, and the Bucks will be without O.J. Mayo for this game. The Bucks don't have many scoring options to start with, and without Mayo they'll be very thin on offense. Look for a sloppy game here. Take the under.
|
12-18-13 |
Northern Illinois v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 122 |
|
55-49 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Admittedly, I'm not a big fan of taking an 'under' set at 122 points, but this one should be even lower. These are two teams that play at a snail's pace. Neither team will push the tempo at all here. Both of them struggle on offense as well. This game is played a neutral site, which helps the under too. I had this line at 117 points.
The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Missouri Valley. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.
|
12-18-13 |
Drexel v. St. Joseph's UNDER 140 |
Top |
55-75 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play of Month* The Drexel Dragons and St. Joe's Hawks meet in a heated rivalry game tonight. I've had my eye on this game for quite a while. Both of these teams are teams I like to play the under with, and when they get together the games have been very low scoring. Eight of their last nine games against each other have stayed below 140 points. The one game that did go over went into overtime or it would have stayed under. I projected this line at 132 points. I would play the under here as low as 136. Huge value here.
The under is 3-0-1 in the Dragons last 4 against the Atlantic 10. The under is 4-0 in St. Joe's last 4 against the CAA. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under in a big way!
|
12-17-13 |
UT-Arlington v. Oklahoma OVER 169.5 |
|
89-91 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both UT Arlington and Oklahoma have been racing the basketball up the court all year long, and there is no reason to assume that will change tonight. Arlington's defense is nearly non-existent and Oklahoma should get whatever shot they want. Arlington shoots it well from long range, and the Sooners have given up a lot of points this season. I had this game projected at 176 points. This total is high, but it should be even higher. Take the over.
|
12-17-13 |
Arkansas Pine Bluff v. Creighton OVER 143 |
Top |
51-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 41 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays have one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Creighton was number one in offensive efficiency most of last year, and they are #6 so far this year. The Blue Jays are going to love going against Arkansas Pine Bluff's ridiculously bad defense. Pine Bluff allows opponents to shoot 60.2% on two-point shots. Creighton likes to run and Pine Bluff won't slow the game down. I think Creighton scores more than 90 points here. I made this total 151, so I really like the value. Take the over big!
|
12-17-13 |
Toledo v. Arkansas St OVER 157 |
|
78-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves both love to play in transition, and they'll get plenty of transition opportunities against each other tonight. The pace should help in a big way. Toledo's defense is horrible, but the Rockets have put up more than 85 points several times already this year. I had this total projected at 161 points. Take the over here.
|
12-17-13 |
Washington v. Tulane OVER 151 |
|
73-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Washington Huskies have a way of turning games into a track meet. Lorenzo Romar's team likes to jack up shots very quickly, and their defense isn't good at all this year. Tulane doesn't always run the floor, but they do always play horrible defense. The Huskies should be able to pile up the points in this contest. If Tulane wants to keep up, they'll need to move quickly and score a lot of points. I had this line projected at 157 points. Take the over.
|
12-17-13 |
North Florida v. Michigan State OVER 148 |
|
48-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The North Florida Ospreys have played a really tough schedule so far this year. They have already played Florida, MTSU, Ohio State, Alabama, and Indiana. Michigan State may be the best team they've played yet. Michigan State will dominate the interior in this game in a big way. The Spartans push the tempo and North Florida likes to run as well. Michigan State should put up at least 90 points on their own. Look for this one to sail over. Take the over.
|
12-16-13 |
Orlando Magic v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 |
|
83-82 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls have been a complete mess since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. The team still competes hard on the defensive end, but they can't get anything going offensively. Orlando's offense has gotten less efficient in recent weeks as they haven't been hitting as many long range jumpers. The Bulls will slow the pace down in a big way in this game.
The under is 4-0 in the Magic's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 following a double digit loss. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 Monday games. A 23-2 angle. Take the under.
|
12-15-13 |
NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41 |
|
20-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 40 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The New York Jets picked up a nice win last week, but I'm still not buying that this team is any good. The Jets offense is a disaster against decent defenses and the Panthers have had the top defense in the NFL this year. Carolina's offense is still one-dimensional and based around the run. The Jets are second in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. The Jets defense hasn't been their problem this year, and I think they'll hold their own against Carolina.
The under is 6-0 in Carolina's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 during week 15. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 350 yards in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. A 32-1 angle. Take the under.
|
12-15-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41.5 |
|
33-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs are two teams built to win with defense. Tampa Bay completely shut down Buffalo last week, and now that the Bucs have a relatively healthy defense, i think they are one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL. They are 9th in the NFL against the run, and that's really all the 49ers can do on offense. The 49ers defense has been elite over the past few weeks, and Tampa Bay's offense has struggled all year. It's hard to see either offense putting up any more than 21 points here.
The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The under is 6-0 in the Bucs last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 week 15 games. A 24-0 angle here. Take the under.
|
12-14-13 |
Illinois-Chicago v. SE Missouri St. OVER 157 |
|
75-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 38 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks meet in this one. UIC is a terrible team who has serious defensive problems. The Flames have given up 93 and 103 points in two of their last six games. SE Missouri State has scored over 100 points in three games already this season. SE Missouri State should win big here, but the Redhawks give up quite a few points too, and I think this one gets safely over the total.
The over is 4-0 in UIC's last 4 vs. the OVC. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in UIC's last 7. The over is 7-1 in the Redhawks last 8 home games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games. A 31-4 angle here. Take the over.
|
12-14-13 |
SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 146.5 |
|
75-95 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a matchup between two teams who are horrible on the defensive end. Edwardsville has been giving up easy layups to everyone on their roster for the past few years. They like to play fast as well. Fort Wayne is a high scoring team on their home floor, and the Mastadons have several very good outside shooters. It's hard to imagine either team being slowed down very often in this one. I had this one lined at 151 points. Take the over.
|
12-14-13 |
Furman v. Clemson UNDER 123 |
|
35-71 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers and Furman Paladins play a very similar style of offense. Both of them are content to use up the entire shot clock and attempt to score late in the clock. Clemson is one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. It won't surprise me if Furman struggles to get to 45 or 50 points here. Clemson's really slow pace makes it unlikely that they would put up a big number in this one. I had this one lined at 119 points. Take the under here.
|
12-14-13 |
Nebraska-Omaha v. Nevada OVER 160.5 |
|
82-80 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 0 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Nebraska Omaha ranks in the top ten teams in the country in terms of pace. Both of these teams are terrible on the defensive end. Expect lots of easy buckets and free throw attempts in this game. Nevada has an elite scorer in Deonte Burton and he should have a huge game here. Omaha shoots 77% from the line and they should get plenty of trips against a Nevada team that fouls a ton. I had this one lined at 166 points. Take the over.
|
12-14-13 |
Army v. Navy UNDER 55 |
|
7-34 |
Win
|
100 |
134 h 24 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH* The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well.
The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under.
|
12-14-13 |
IUPU-Indianapolis v. Marquette UNDER 142 |
|
50-86 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play on Under 142*
|
12-13-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183.5 |
|
94-99 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have been more competitive this year. How have they done it? Charlotte is playing very good defense. The Bobcats are second in the NBA in points per game allowed at just 92.4 per contest. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA. The last three games between these teams have finished below 180 points. There should be plenty of defense here.
The under is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games vs. the NBA Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pacers last 7 against a team wtih a winnning record. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 against the NBA Southeast. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two at Indiana. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 between these two overall. In all, a MASSIVE 58-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
12-12-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 |
|
27-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
92 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense has really heated up recently. San Diego has scored 37 and 41 points in two of their last three games. Their one poor offensive performance was against a very good Cincinnati defense. Denver's offense has been amazing all year. Denver is averaging 40 points per game through 13 games, which is truly amazing. San Diego slowed down the Broncos pretty well in the first meeting between these two, but history tells us Peyton Manning generally shreds up the defense in his second time seeing them (look at the KC example from a couple weeks ago).
The over is 15-1 in Denver's last 16 games following a game where they had 400 yards or more of total offense. The over is 6-0-1 in the Broncos last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Denver. A 27-2 angle. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this early in the week- I would play this one up to 57.5, but not higher. Thank you*
|
12-11-13 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194.5 |
Top |
116-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 29 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Oklahoma City Thunder still like to run when given the opportunity, but they are no longer an automatic over. Their defense is now one of the best in the league, and that makes them a real contender. Memphis plays at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies are great at dictating the tempo, and if they know what's good for them they'll slow this game down in a big way. I projected this line at 188 points. None of the Grizzlies last six home contests have finished higher than 190 points. Expect the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under big!
|
12-11-13 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 |
|
52-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers and the Wisconsin Badgers meet every year. In the last seven years, the highest scoring game between these teams finished at 127 points. Wisconsin is as good as anyone in college basketball at slowing the pace of the game down, and Wisconsin Milwaukee won't be able to speed this game up. The Badgers are likely to dominate early and then coast late in this game. In 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams, the total hasn't gotten above 116 points. I made this total 129 points. Take the under here.
|
12-11-13 |
North Dakota State v. Notre Dame UNDER 150 |
|
73-69 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 5 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish pushed the pace a bit early in the year, but as the year moves along they are moving back toward their stall ball offense. They burn clock the majority of the time in the halfcourt, and that can lead to a bunch of unders. North Dakota State is another team that likes to move slowly. While both of these teams shoot the ball pretty well, I can't pass up a chance to take the under at a number this high with two teams who like to use up the shot clock. I projected this line at 145 so I see plenty of value. Take the under in this one.
|
12-10-13 |
Oakland v. Indiana OVER 152 |
|
54-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the fastest paced teams in the nation in the past few years. They were forced to slow things down earlier this year because their bench was very short, but now that they are healthy again the Grizzlies will be running. Tom Crean's Indiana team is really pushing the pace in a big way this year. Indiana doesn't have as much height down low this season, but they have a ton of guards and forwards who can score in transition. Oakland's defense is nearly non-existent, and they will give up a ton of points here. I had this one lined at 158 points. Take the over.
|
12-10-13 |
Evansville v. Xavier UNDER 148.5 |
|
60-63 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Evansville Purple Aces and Xavier Musketeers play a similar style of basketball. Both of these teams play at a normal pace and play solid halfcourt defense. In a game that I expect to stay competitive, it's hard to imagine either team putting up a really big number here. The Musketeers defense is great at home, but they haven't had much fluidity in their offensive sets this year. There is a lot of standing and watching when Xavier is on the offensive end. I had this number at 142. *Note- This line has moved down since I selected the under. I would play the under down to 144, but not lower. Thank you*
|
12-09-13 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 49 |
|
28-45 |
Win
|
100 |
115 h 12 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total DOMINATION* The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears played to a 34-18 final last year. Tony Romo threw five picks in that game. Romo will look for redemption against a Bears defense that has been really bad of late. Chicago is allowing 27.7 points per game this year, and they have allowed at least 20 points in every single game this year. Dallas' defense is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Chicago is averaging 28 points per game, and the Cowboys are averaging 27. Look for both offenses to have plenty of trips into the red zone here. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The over is 10-4 in the Bears last 14 games. The number is relatively low here, and I expect plenty of points. Take the over.
|
12-09-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 194.5 |
|
111-115 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play* The Golden State Warriors play pretty quick, but their defense is one of the best in the NBA. Charlotte is all about slowing the game down, and the Bobcats are quietly playing some very good defense this year. Charlotte is third in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Bobcats have only had one game in their last 10 go over 193 points. Without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, the Bobcats offense is even weaker, so they will likely need to keep this one low scoring to have any chance.
The under is 7-0 in the Bobcats last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Pacific Division. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.
|
12-08-13 |
Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 49 |
|
28-51 |
Win
|
100 |
121 h 19 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tennessee Titans have a pretty good defense, but they'll be up against the best offense in the NFL this weekend in Denver. A lot has been made about the fact that it will be extremely cold in this one, but I'm not convinced the cold will really change the way this game is played. There isn't any wind expected during the game, and wind is a quarterbacks worst enemy. The Titans offense has put up at least 23 points in four of their last five games. If they put up 23 points here, this one should sail over the total. Denver is averaging 38.7 points per game this season.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Titans last 6 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a loss. It is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 15 points or less in their last game. The over is 5-0-1 in Denver's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over.
|
12-08-13 |
Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 42 |
|
6-27 |
Loss |
-110 |
39 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good.
The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over.
|
12-08-13 |
Oakland Raiders v. NY Jets UNDER 40 |
Top |
27-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
39 h 56 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big!
|
12-08-13 |
Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks UNDER 192.5 |
|
114-73 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA High Noon MONEYMAKER* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks tip things off at noon eastern on Sunday afternoon. I always like to look at the under in games like this. New York City has a lot of nightlife and there are plenty of NBA players who are out late on Saturday nights in New York City. That can often lead to poor shooting percentages and sloppy play on early games on Sunday. The Knicks aren't a good team despite playing better of late. Both of these teams play slowly, and the offenses aren't very efficient. Boston is working hard defensively for Brad Stevens. The under is 12-2 in the Celtics last 14 road games. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York. A 24-3 angle. Take the under.
|
12-07-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 193.5 |
|
108-82 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't as good of a team without Andre Iguodala healthy. Golden State's defense has been very good so far this year, but their offense has been less efficient than normal. Memphis tested out a new experiment of running earlier this year. It didn't work. Memphis decided to slow things down even more than ever. These teams met and the game finished 88-81 in overtime. At the end of regulation, that game was tied 75-75. The under is 16-5 in Memphis' last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. Take the under.
|
12-07-13 |
South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47 |
Top |
6-31 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 57 m |
Show
|
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game.
The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big!
|
12-07-13 |
UNLV v. Arizona UNDER 148 |
|
58-63 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats are an elite team this year. Arizona is really putting in tremendous effort on the defensive end of the court. Their length and quickness make them extremely difficult to get a good look against. UNLV likes to get out and run, but the Rebels offense is very inefficient. UNLV has had trouble scoring on bad defenses, and now they'll play one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona's tempo isn't as fast, and they should slow the game down once they have a nice lead. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. Take the under.
|
12-07-13 |
Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5 |
|
10-30 |
Loss |
-106 |
44 h 57 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
|
12-07-13 |
Marquette v. Wisconsin UNDER 130.5 |
|
64-70 |
Loss |
-116 |
1 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Wisconsin Battle* This intrastate rivalry game will be played at a very slow tempo with solid defense on both sides. My numbers had 125 points for this one. Take the under.
|
12-06-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Washington Wizards UNDER 194 |
Top |
109-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 24 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NBA TOP Total* I took the under in the Wizards vs. Bucks game last week when they met in Milwaukee and the score was 87-87 at the end of regulation. I ended up losing the under by one point in overtime. It was a rough loss, but I'm going back to the under here. Washington isn't the same fast paced team they were in the past. They are much better defensively now, and without Bradley Beal, they aren't that good offensively. The Bucks offense is among the worst in the league in terms of efficiency and Milwaukee plays a very slow pace. I had this one lined at 186. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this for 5 Stars down to 191, 4 Stars down to 189. Thank you.*
|
12-04-13 |
Miami (Fla) v. Nebraska UNDER 125.5 |
|
49-60 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes have been playing pretty slow since Jim Larranagga took over at the school a couple years ago. This year, they are playing much slower than ever before. Why is that? Quite simply the Hurricanes aren't very good this year. Without Shane Larkin and the rest of the stars from last year, Miami can't score. They have to slow the game down and rely on defense to win. Nebraska is a slow team as well, so they won't force the issue. I expect a fairly close game here as both defenses play well. My numbers had this one at 121 points. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under.
|
12-04-13 |
Valparaiso v. Ball State UNDER 148 |
|
69-50 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals have a new coach this year who is all about defensive schemes and trying to win with defense. While Valpo has had some very high scoring games early this year, those were against weak defenses and teams that run. Ball State will work hard to slow the game down here, and they should succeed. Expect this game to largely be played in the halfcourt with both teams taking up most of the shot clock before getting a shot up. I had this one at 143 points. Take the under.
|
12-03-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 185 |
|
100-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks got together just a few nights ago. I took the under and won in that game, and I'll take the under again here. The Bucks hit an uncharacteristically high 49% of their shots in that game, and the under still cashed in comfortably. The Celtics defense is now top ten in the NBA. The Bucks and Celtics both rank in the bottom five of the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency. Look for a slow paced game with both defenses having the upper hand.
The under is 5-0-1 in the Bucks last 6 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.
|
12-02-13 |
Loyola Marymount v. UC Riverside OVER 146 |
|
73-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* A huge key to winning college basketball totals bets is keeping up with changes in strategy. UC Riverside has a new coach this year, and the Highlanders are running a lot more this year after playing stall ball the last few seasons. There should be value on their overs for a little while. Loyola Marymount has an elite point guard in Anthony Ireland, and they are always willing to run with anyone. My numbers had this one at 152 points. Look for a lot of shots here, and if the shooting percentages are even decent this should top the posted total. Take the over.
|
12-02-13 |
Wright State v. Morehead St. OVER 141 |
|
69-74 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wright State Raiders have sped up a significant amount compared to last season. This year's team is forcing the issue and getting to the line a lot. The defense has also slacked off quite a bit from last year. Morehead State uses full court pressure and is a very aggressive team. Both of these teams foul far more than the average team. Lots of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I had this number at 145. Look for the pace and the fouls to send this game over the total. Take the over.
|
12-01-13 |
North Dakota v. Pacific OVER 154.5 |
|
76-93 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* North Dakota and Pacific are two teams who are making a concerted effort to pick up the tempo this year. North Dakota ranks in the top 20 in terms of pace. Pacific shoots the ball well, and they are playing much faster than they did last year. North Dakota and Pacific both foul a bunch, which means trips to the charity stripe should be very frequent in this one. The Tigers shoot 81% from the line, so expect them to cash in on those opportunities. Both teams defenses give up a lot of open looks. I had this total pegged at 160. Take the over here.
|
12-01-13 |
College of Charleston v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 138 |
|
61-48 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The College of Charleston Cougars have slowed the pace down in a big way this year. Cal State Fullerton has typically been a run and gun team, but they have a new coach who wants the tempo slowed down a lot. Fullerton played to a 48-46 final yesterday against Miami. The tempo should be slow in this one, and both teams have had a ton of problems shooting the basketball so far this year. I had this line projected at 133 points. Look for an ugly game here with lots of missed shots. Take the under.
|
12-01-13 |
Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 |
|
35-28 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances.
The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over.
|
12-01-13 |
Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 |
Top |
20-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
108 h 35 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game.
The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big!
|
12-01-13 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 |
|
32-28 |
Loss |
-105 |
34 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under.
|
12-01-13 |
Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40.5 |
|
23-3 |
Win
|
100 |
34 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miami's offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30's. Take the under.
|
11-30-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 187.5 |
|
85-92 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play of Day* The Boston Celtics aren't a very talented team, but Brad Stevens has this team working hard defensively. The Milwaukee Bucks have much better defensive numbers on their home court. Milwaukee slows the pace down in a big way this year, and the Celtics are usually fine with a slow pace. Neither team has a high powered offense at all. I had this one lined at 182 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 playing on zero days of rest. The under is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under.
|
11-30-13 |
Texas A&M v. Missouri OVER 69.5 |
|
21-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
105 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total* The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.*
|
11-30-13 |
Louisiana Monroe v. UL-Lafayette OVER 57.5 |
|
31-28 |
Win
|
100 |
104 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total* LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.
|
11-30-13 |
Boston College v. Syracuse UNDER 51 |
Top |
31-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 19 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!
|
11-30-13 |
Idaho v. New Mexico State OVER 68.5 |
Top |
16-24 |
Loss |
-100 |
100 h 16 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week* The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has.
The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big!
|
11-30-13 |
BYU v. Nevada OVER 58.5 |
|
28-23 |
Loss |
-110 |
100 h 49 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.*
|
11-30-13 |
Duke v. North Carolina OVER 58 |
|
27-25 |
Loss |
-110 |
97 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total* The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.
|
11-30-13 |
Rutgers v. Connecticut UNDER 50.5 |
|
17-28 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.
|
11-29-13 |
San Diego St v. Creighton UNDER 146.5 |
|
86-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The San Diego State Aztecs are always one of the best defenses in the country. Steve Fisher's teams don't give up easy shots. Creighton has been scoring a ton of points this year, but this Aztecs defense is definitely the best one Creighton has been up against this year. Creighton doesn't push the tempo all that much, and San Diego State has really slowed down this year now that they don't have much offensive firepower. I had this number projected at 139 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the under here.
|
11-29-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 186.5 |
|
73-93 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Washington Wizards aren't the run and gun team that they were a couple years ago. Randy Wittman has this team working hard on the defensive end. Indiana has the best defense in the entire NBA. The Pacers also like to slow the tempo of the game. With two solid defenses and a slow pace expected, I projected this total at 182 points. The under is 8-0 in the Pacers last 8 games after 1 day of rest. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 versus the NBA Southeast. The under is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 home games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings between these teams in Indiana. A 25-2 angle here. Take the under.
|
11-29-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 181.5 |
|
76-92 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Milwaukee Bucks and the Charlotte Bobcats are very similar teams. Neither of them has very much fire power on offense. Both of them love to slow the game down and play in the half court. While the Bobcats certainly aren't a good team, it should be noted that they rank in the top ten in the NBA in field goal percentage defense.
The under is 6-0-1 in the Bobcats last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in the Bobcats last 4 games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 versus the Eastern Conference. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 versus the NBA Central division. In all a 44-0 angle. Take the under.
|
11-29-13 |
Miami (Florida) v. Pittsburgh UNDER 55 |
|
41-31 |
Loss |
-110 |
76 h 2 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.
|
11-29-13 |
Bowling Green v. Buffalo UNDER 51 |
Top |
24-7 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 22 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!
|
11-29-13 |
East Carolina v. Marshall OVER 67.5 |
Top |
28-59 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 35 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY* The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points.
The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big!
|
11-28-13 |
Oakland Raiders v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 47 |
|
24-31 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Day Top Total* The Oakland Raiders offense will get a big boost from the return of Darren McFadden in this game. McFadden is one of the best runners in the league when healthy, and this Cowboys defense has been bad against the run. Dallas is dead last in the NFL in total defense and they are without Sean Lee, their best linebacker. The Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop the pass this year, and Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense have been clicking through the air of late. Romo's numbers are pretty impressive this year, and this is a good chance for him and the offense against a poor secondary. The over is 3-0-1 in the Raiders last 4 games. I think this has a good chance to top 50 points. Take the over.
|
11-27-13 |
Syracuse v. Baylor UNDER 140 |
Top |
74-67 |
Loss |
-115 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* The Syracuse Orange play that matchup zone that gives nearly everyone fits. It's next to impossible to get inside the paint against their defense. Baylor makes a living in the paint normally, and I think the Bears will struggle again this defense. Baylor's defense has been much improved this year. The Bears have multiple shot blockers who make it really difficult for opponents. Opponents are shooting a miserable 36.3% on two-point shots against Baylor this year. Baylor is also slowing the tempo down in a big way. The Bears successfully slowed down a fast paced Dayton team yesterday. Syracuse plays slow as well. This total is set far too high. I had this projected at 129 points. Take the under big!
|
11-27-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 191 |
|
100-92 |
Loss |
-104 |
17 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a much better defensive team than they have been in the past couple years. Bradley Beal is now out with an injury, which will slow down the offense since he was averaging 20.6 points per game to lead the team in scoring. Milwaukee slows the game down in a big way, and the Bucks have played much better defense at home than they have on the road. Five of their first six home games have stayed under the posted total. Slow pace here and not much offensive firepower on either side.
The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 after giving up 100 points last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The under is 11-1 in the Bucks last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle here. Take the under.
|
11-27-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Boston Celtics UNDER 183.5 |
|
100-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 34 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Memphis Grizzlies experimented with speeding up the tempo in the first couple weeks of the season. It didn't work. What have they decided to do? Slow the pace down even more than they ever did in the past. It is working out very nicely. This is a team with a strong frontcourt that plays solid defense and controls the tempo. Boston doesn't have many offensive weapons, and the Celtics aren't a running team either. Memphis' last four games have been played at a ridiculously slow pace. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Ride the under with the Grizzlies in this one. Take the under.
|
11-26-13 |
Brigham Young v. Wichita State UNDER 170.5 |
|
62-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars play faster than any other team in the country, which is why this number is so high. Still, Wichita State is a very good defensive team and a number this high seems a little crazy on a game involving the Shockers. BYU and Texas only got to 168 yesterday, and Texas runs much more than Wichita State. The Shockers will slow things down a bit here, and contest BYU's shots from outside. I projected this line at 164. The under is 4-0 in BYU's last 4 neutral site games. Take the under in this one.
|
11-25-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 195 |
|
93-86 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets were the fastest paced team in the NBA last year. They have slowed down a bit since Dwight Howard is on their team this season. The Rockets tried to make Memphis play fast paced games last year, but it didn't work. In the four meetings between these two last year, Houston topped 94 points only once. Memphis tried to play fast earlier this year, but it didn't work, and they abandoned the strategy. Now, they are playing slower than anyone else in the league. Look for the Grizzlies to slow this game down in a big way. Take the under in this one.
|
11-25-13 |
Northern Iowa v. La Salle UNDER 141.5 |
|
65-50 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 48 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The LaSalle Explorers have changed the way they play this season. This team used to be running and gunning, but now they are slowing it down and trying to control the tempo. Northern Iowa has long been a team that likes to slow the game down and play a halfcourt style, so they aren't about to speed this game up. Both teams are better than average on the defensive end, and they don't turn the basketball over very often. A slow tempo and tough looks at the hoop should equal an under in this one. I had this one lined at 136. Take the under.
|
11-24-13 |
Denver Broncos v. New England Patriots OVER 56 |
Top |
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
138 h 39 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Denver Broncos have the best offense in the NFL. The New England Patriots offense wasn't very good earlier this year, but that is definitely changing as they get healthy. Neither of these defenses are very good. Both of them are decent against the run, but these offenses are going to be airing it out in this game. The Broncos are averaging 40 points per game. The Patriots have scored an average of 33.25 points per game in their last 4 games. The weather here is a little iffy, but both of these teams are used to inclement weather. *Note- The line has moved down since I have picked this game, so I feel even stronger about the over if you can get it below 56*
The over is 22-5 in the Broncos last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 games after playing on Monday night. The over is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 31-6 angle. Take the over big!
|
11-24-13 |
San Diego Chargers v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 42 |
|
41-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
133 h 23 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs offense is one of the worst in the NFL when it comes to putting up yardage. They are especially bad through the air. San Diego's defense has been gradually improving over the last few games. The Chargers are very reliant on throwing the football offensively. They really don't have much of a running game. Expect the Chiefs to put a ton of heat on Phillip Rivers and make life miserable for him. KC has the best pass rush in the NFL.
The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 November games. The under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 against the AFC. The under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. A 17-1 angle here. Take the under.
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11-24-13 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Detroit Lions OVER 48.5 |
|
24-21 |
Loss |
-105 |
108 h 32 m |
Show
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*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tampa Bay Bucs still aren't a good football team, but their offense has been much better over the last few weeks. Glennon is starting to get into a bit of a rhythm and it is turning into much better productivity for this group. Tampa Bay got an amazing performance out of Bobby Rainey last week at RB, so they might have found a really nice new weapon. Detroit's offense can score on anyone, and this Tampa Bay defense has been a big disappointment this season. Both of these offenses have a big advantage here.
The over is 6-0 in Tampa's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the Lions last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more passing in the last game. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in TB's last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 32-0 angle here. Take the over.
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11-23-13 |
Portland Trail Blazers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 209.5 |
|
113-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
33 h 57 m |
Show
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*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Portland Trail Blazers have been the biggest surprise in the NBA so far this year. Portland is very good offensively, but they are also much improved on the defensive end. Portland is capable of winning an uptempo game or a slow paced game. Golden State may be without Andre Iguodala and Steph Curry here. Even if these two do play, they won't be 100%. The offense hasn't been even close to the same without Curry. Golden State is one of the best defensive teams in the league. This number is several points too high. The under is 6-0 in the Blazers last 6 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4 against the Western Conference. Take the under. (Note- Curry will now likely miss this game as will Iguodala so the line has plummeted. Without those two in the lineup, I would play this for 4 Stars down to 198 and 3 stars down to 196. Thank you*
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11-23-13 |
Fresno St v. Pacific OVER 138 |
|
77-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs are playing a little faster than they have in the past. Pacific is playing much faster than they have for a very long time. Pacific has a new coach who is pushing the team to get some transition scoring opportunities. This line is set about the way it should have been last year with two slower paced teams and without the new rules that cause quite a few more fouls and free throw attempts. I had this one projected at 143. Take the over.
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11-23-13 |
Missouri v. Ole Miss OVER 56 |
|
24-10 |
Loss |
-113 |
104 h 30 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one.
The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over.
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11-23-13 |
Louisiana Monroe v. South Alabama OVER 56 |
Top |
14-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
103 h 57 m |
Show
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*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!
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11-23-13 |
UT-Arlington v. Eastern Michigan OVER 145.5 |
|
69-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 59 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UT Arlington Mavericks have a way of turning every game into a track meet. They haven't had a game all season finish lower than 156 points. Eastern Michigan's coach said in the offseason he wants his team to speed up and run more often. Here is their chance! UT Arlington's lack of defense should create tons of easy scoring opportunities for Eastern Michigan. UT Arlington will get their points in transition, and they do shoot it pretty well from long range. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.
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11-23-13 |
Montana State v. Austin Peay UNDER 146 |
|
72-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 18 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Montana State Bobcats are playing a lot slower than they have the last few years. This is one of those teams that will likely be a good value on the under because of their change in style. The oddsmakers are going to put higher numbers than they should on them because of their past history. Austin Peay runs, but they don't shoot the ball well. This total is set at least 5 or 6 points too high. Take the under here.
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11-23-13 |
Morgan State v. Vanderbilt UNDER 151.5 |
Top |
66-75 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
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*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores were in total control of their game yesterday leading by 16 points late before allowing Providence to finish the game on a ridiculous 27-4 run. I cashed in on the under in that game, and I'm taking the under again here. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to outscore many teams, so they slow it down. Morgan State runs, but they don't score efficiently and they play solid defense. I projected this line at 141. A whopping 10.5 points lower than this total opened. The under is 7-1 in Vanderbilt's last 8 neutral site games. Take the under big!
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11-23-13 |
Indiana v. Ohio State OVER 79.5 |
|
14-42 |
Loss |
-115 |
99 h 29 m |
Show
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*3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.
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11-23-13 |
BYU v. Notre Dame UNDER 54 |
|
13-23 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 60 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total* The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.
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11-23-13 |
Pittsburgh v. Syracuse UNDER 49.5 |
|
17-16 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 20 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.
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11-22-13 |
Davidson v. Clemson UNDER 140 |
|
54-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Clemson Tigers are about as good as anyone in the country at slowing the game down and playing at their preferred pace. No one has been able to get them out of their game this year, and I don't think Davidson will be able to either. Davidson isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, and they don't have a ton of top notch scorers. Clemson will slow this down to a snail's pace, and this will be a very ugly game. The under is 12-1 in Davidson's last 13 against the ACC. Take the under here.
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11-22-13 |
Morgan State v. La Salle UNDER 152.5 |
Top |
59-78 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
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*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The LaSalle Explorers have totally changed the way they play this year. LaSalle previously was a run and gun type of team, but they are controlling the tempo and running halfcourt sets this year. It will take a while for the oddsmakers to get accustomed to this new style of play for LaSalle, and that gives us a chance to find great value. Morgan State likes to run, but they aren't used to playing this kind of solid defense. LaSalle controls the tempo here and wins convincingly. I like the under a lot. Take the under big!
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11-22-13 |
Monmouth v. St John's OVER 146 |
|
54-64 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Monmouth isn't a good team at all, but they love to run and put up shots as quickly as possible. That plays right into the hands of a St. John's team that isn't very good in the halfcourt, but is great when running the floor and scoring in transition. St. John's should get a big lead early here, and Monmouth should get some easy buckets late in the game. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.
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11-22-13 |
USC-Upstate v. Kent State UNDER 147.5 |
|
78-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 45 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes are improving quite a bit on the defensive end. They've been highly competitive against good teams this year, and I expect their defense to slow down USC Upstate in a big way here. Neither of these teams is comfortable running and gunning, so this total definitely seems too high. I had this one projected at 142 points. Look for a lower scoring game here. Take the under.
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11-22-13 |
Long Beach State v. VCU OVER 151 |
|
67-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I was burned by VCU last night (lost the over by a single possession). The Rams couldn't shoot the ball well at all, and they appeared to give up in that game. I don't think it happens two games in a row. It won't hurt that Long Beach State has no ball handler and they'll turn it over a ton of times here. VCU will get easy buckets all game long, and Long Beach State is going to play at a quick pace as well. I think this one gets to at least 155 points. Take the over.
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11-22-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 193.5 |
|
88-96 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 15 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team than they used to be. Washington used to be a high-octane team that didn't play any defense. They have slowed down significantly, and the Wizards have committed themselves on the defensive end under Randy Wittman. Toronto is playing at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA outside of Memphis. The Raptors will control the tempo here, and both defenses are better than average. I had this game projected at 187 points, so I definitely see value on the under. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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11-22-13 |
Providence v. Vanderbilt UNDER 142 |
|
67-60 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Providence Friars have slowed their pace down quite a bit with Ed Cooley as their head coach instead of Keno Davis. Cooley is preaching defense too, and the Friars are starting to buy in. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to compete with top teams by running, so the Commodores will be slowing games down all season long. The under is 6-0 in Vandy's last 6 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in Providence's last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. Take the under.
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11-21-13 |
Florida State v. VCU OVER 153.5 |
|
85-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 15 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Florida St/VCU Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles and VCU Rams meet tonight, and both of these teams love to run. Both teams are great at forcing turnovers, and neither of them are very good at controlling the ball. The full court pressure in this one should lead to lots of easy buckets going both ways. FSU has transformed from a defensive-minded team into a team that tries to outscore the opposition. The way the officials are calling games now, there are going to be a bunch of fouls here so free throws should help this total in a big way. Take the over.
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11-21-13 |
Central Florida v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 140.5 |
|
63-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UCF Knights and Miami Hurricanes meet in a nice intra-state battle tonight. Miami isn't even close to the team they were last year. The Hurricanes lost all their stars from last year, and the team is walking it up the court now and relying on defense to win it. UCF is in no hurry either. As long as we can stay away from ridiculous amounts of fouls, I really believe this game stays well under the posted total. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tight game with both defenses playing well. Take the under.
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11-20-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks UNDER 191.5 |
Top |
103-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 23 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Indiana Pacers are playing better defense than any other team in the NBA once again this year. Indiana is playing at a slow pace again as well. New York has slowed their pace down even more, and the Knicks offense isn't even close to as efficient as they were last year. The games between these two last year were lined in the mid 180's every time, so we're getting line value here. Look for the Knicks to be competitive here, but it will likely be because they show up better than expected defensively. The under is 11-2 in the Pacers last 13. The under is 5-0 in the Knicks last 5 Wednesday games. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved since I picked it at the open. 5 Star rated down to 188- 4 star to 187 and 3 star down to 186. Thank you*
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11-20-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 195.5 |
|
98-91 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers meet on Wednesday, and both of these teams have been inefficient offensively of late. On the other side, Mike Brown has the Cavs playing pretty good defense and Randy Wittman has the Wizards committed on the defensive end. These two teams aren't what they were a couple years ago. Even if the tempo of the game is a bit quick, I expect to see low shooting percentages from these teams in this one. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 on 0 days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. A 21-3 angle. Take the under. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars down to 193, and for 3 stars down to 191*
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11-20-13 |
Dayton v. Georgia Tech OVER 148 |
|
82-72 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 32 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are two teams who have picked up the tempo quite a bit from last year. Brian Gregory has Georgia Tech speeding up in a big way right now, and the Yellow Jackets have a lot more talent than they had last year. Gregory used to coach at Dayton, and the Flyers will be motivated to beat their old coach in this one. Archie Miller has Dayton getting out in transition as often as possible right now. These two teams shoot 76% and 77% from the free throw line, so I expect a lot of made free throws to help this one out a lot. Take the over in this one.
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11-19-13 |
Phoenix Suns v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 193 |
|
104-107 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been the biggest surprise in basketball thus far, especially when it comes to covering the number. How has this young team done it? Phoenix is working extremely hard on the defensive end. They are fifth in the NBA in total defense right now, ahead of several other teams who are seen as defensive stalwarts. Sacramento is playing as slow as anyone in the NBA right now (a big change from their past) and the oddsmakers haven't been able to line their games low enough yet. I think this game stays in the 180's.
The under is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 23-0 angle here. Take the under.
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