|
09-21-13 |
Texas State v. Texas Tech OVER 57.5 |
|
7-33 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Texas State and Texas Tech will get together this weekend. Texas State is going to be outmanned in a big way here. The Bobcats gave up 58 points to Texas Tech last year, and I could certainly see Tech topping 50 points once again in this one. Texas State's offense is slowly improving, and the Red Raiders defense doesn't normally shut too many opponents down. This total is several points lower than my numbers had it (62). Expect the Red Raiders high powered offense to do whatever they want in this one. The pace alone should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.
|
|
09-21-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Akron UNDER 64.5 |
|
35-30 |
Loss |
-110 |
111 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns will be at Akron this week. Akron nearly upset the Wolverines in Ann Arbor last weekend in what would have been the biggest upset of the year. The Zips have to be a little down after their near upset from last week, and I think Lafayette shuts them down nicely here. Akron's defense is much improved from a year ago, but their offense doesn't have many play makers. Lafayette is a team that can put up big points, but the total is set too high here. I made this one 60 points, so I see plenty of value. The under is 9-1 in Akron's last 10. The under is 6-0 in Akron's last 6 after accumulating 280 yards or more through the air in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. A 19-1 angle in all. Take the under.
|
|
09-21-13 |
Michigan State v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 |
|
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
38 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan State/Notre Dame Total Domination* The Michigan State Spartans offense is awful, but their defense is one of the top five in the nation. Michigan State's defense doesn't have a weakness. They have a lot of strength on the defensive line and speed and athleticism at the back of the defense. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the country. The Fighting Irish defense didn't look good at Michigan, but they should look very good here against a weak Michigan State offense. Last year's game between these two finished at 20-3, and I think both offenses are worse this season.
The under is 5-0 in MSU's last 5 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 6-1-1 in Michigan State's last 8 non-conference games. An 18-1 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-20-13 |
San Francisco Giants v. New York Yankees OVER 8 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Tim Lincecum and C.C. Sabathia used to be elite pitchers, but they aren't anymore. Lincecum and Sabathia both have ERA's well above 4 this year. In 2013, these guys have both been worse than the major league average. Sabathia has been even worse of late. Sabathia has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 10 games, and he hasn't allowed less than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. Yankee Stadium is still a hitter-friendly park, and this number is set too low with two below average starters on the mound.
The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 Friday games. The over is 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 starts as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts at home. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
|
|
09-18-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Houston Astros OVER 9 |
|
6-5 |
Win
|
102 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Reds put up 10 runs by themselves last night, and they are definitely capable of putting up another big number against the hapless Houston Astros in this one. In this one, Greg Reynolds will start for the Reds. Reynolds has a 5.66 ERA this year, and he is clearly the worst starting pitcher on the Reds roster right now. Houston should be able to put together a few runs. Brad Peacock starts for the Astros, and his minor league numbers tell me it will be a struggle for him for a while in the big leagues. Tim McClelland is behind the plate here. I would argue he is the single best 'over' umpire in the majors. McClelland consistently has the smallest strike zone in the majors. Both pitchers will get squeezed in this one. Take the over.
|
|
09-17-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 |
|
9-3 |
Loss |
-114 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Tuesday night and both teams will have great pitchers on the mound. The Dodgers are 17-4 in Greinke's last 21 starts. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-7 in Patrick Corbin's last 30 starts. I'm not going to take a side here, but I do like the under. Both of these pitchers have been great this season, and the Dodgers are short-handed offensively right now. Corbin has a great 2.27 ERA against LA in his career. Greinke shut out Arizona in his only start in Arizona earlier this year.
The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Greinke's last 7 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0-1 in Greinke's last 7 against a team with a winning record. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-16-13 |
Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41 |
|
10-20 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals are bitter rivals, and you better believe both teams want this game badly. Not only is this game a huge rivalry, but both teams really want to avoid going 0-2. The Steelers were embarrassed at home last week, while the Bengals blew a game in Chicago. The strength of both of these teams is their defense, and I expect both defenses to rise up and play great Monday night. The Steelers defense is still one of the best in the NFL, and they'll show pride in this game. The Bengals defensive front is very good, and I expect them to get after Big Ben here.
The under is 8-0 in the Steelers last 8 week 2 games. The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last 6 against the AFC. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games after gaining at least 250 yards passing in the previous game. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-15-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds are fighting to try to catch up to the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati is also trying to stay ahead of the suddenly red hot Washington Nationals. Bronson Arroyo goes to the mound here for Cincinnati, and he has been a good pitcher for the Reds in key spots over the last few years. Arroyo has a 2.90 ERA at Miller Park during his career. Yovani Gallardo has shut down the Reds twice in the past month. Gallardo is healthy now, and he is pitching his best baseball of the year right now.
The under is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts as a home underdog. The under is 6-1-1 in the Reds last 8 games. Take the under.
|
|
09-14-13 |
Oregon State v. Utah OVER 57.5 |
|
51-48 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Utah Utes are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Wilson has matured a great deal as a quarterback, and Utah's offense is playing uptempo thanks to help from Dennis Erickson. Utah put up 30 points against a very good Utah State defense before putting up 70 point in a glorified scrimmage last week. Oregon State's defense isn't as good as last year, as evidenced by their allowing 49 points and more than 600 yards against FCS school Eastern Washington. Utah's defense isn't as good this year either. This number should be in the 60's.
The over is 6-0 in Oregon State's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a game where they gained at least 200 yards on the ground. The over is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. A 20-1 angle backs this. Take the over.
|
|
09-14-13 |
Vanderbilt v. South Carolina UNDER 49.5 |
|
25-35 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a team that gets very little respect heading into the season every single year, but the Commodores have proven they are a reputable team now. Vanderbilt still remembers their 17-13 questionable loss against South Carolina to start the season out last year. Vanderbilt coach James Franklin has proven to be a great motivator, and I expect this team to be ready for this game. On the other side, South Carolina's defense will just be too much for Vandy's offense. It's hard to imagine Vanderbilt getting any kind of a running game going here. Look for a lot of field goals and defense in this game. Take the under.
|
|
09-14-13 |
Iowa v. Iowa State UNDER 49 |
|
27-21 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Iowa and Iowa State meet in the battle for bragging right in the state of Iowa on Saturday. Neither of these teams are very good this year, but that won't change how hard these teams fight to win this game. Both defenses are far ahead of the offenses here. The under is on a huge roll in this series. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The one game that went over only went over because the game went into triple overtime. Don't expect big plays or lots of scoring here. Look for hard nosed defenses that fight for every inch of the field. It won't be pretty, but we don't need it to be pretty to cash in the under. The under is 8-1 in Iowa State's last 9 against the Big Ten. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 on grass. The under is 3-0-1 in Iowa's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. In all, 22-2 angle backs this. Take the under.
|
|
09-14-13 |
Ball State v. North Texas OVER 57.5 |
|
27-34 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals are a team that I believe a lot of people will know more about by the end of the year. This has been a team on the rise the last couple years, and they should be one of the top teams in the MAC this year. Wenning is a very versatile quarterback who makes this offense tick. The Cardinals offense has done whatever it pleases in the first two games of this year. Their fast paced style forces some very high scoring games. This number was knocked down during the week to the point where I felt it is too good of a value to pass up. I made this total 62 points. North Texas should be able to run the ball well and score plenty against a suspect Ball State defensive front. Take the over.
|
|
09-14-13 |
Bowling Green v. Indiana OVER 62 |
|
10-42 |
Loss |
-106 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Bowling Green Falcons have found a new starting quarterback that has kick started their offense in a big way. Matt Schilz was replaced by Matt Johnson, and the offense has benefited right away. The Falcons defense has been very good against the run, but I don't think they'll be able to stop an Indiana passing attack that is very potent. Kevin Wilson has this Indiana offense playing as fast as just about anyone in the country right now. Indiana's defense is terrible, and the Hoosiers have been giving up yards by the bunches for several years in a row. The over is 4-0 in Indiana's last 4 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after throwing for at least 280 yards in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is backed by a 14-1 winning angle. Take the over.
|
|
09-13-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Cincinnati Reds really need some wins to keep pace with the Cardinals and Pirates in the NL Central. Mat Latos will be on the hill for the Reds in this one, and he has been their most consistent pitcher this year. Latos is 14-5 with a 3.02 ERA. In his career at Miller Park in Milwaukee he has a 3.20 ERA. Kyle Lohse has been on a bad team all year, but he has pitched very well. Lohse has 3.59 ERA overall this year, and his home ERA is 3.03. He has an ERA of just 1.8 in his last two years against the Reds.
The under is 7-0 in Latos' last 7 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 6-0 in Milwaukee's last 6 against a righty. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 overall. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-12-13 |
Tulane v. Louisiana Tech OVER 57 |
|
24-15 |
Loss |
-109 |
29 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night Total Domination* The Tulane Green Wave upgraded their offense in a big way by getting Nick Montana as their quarterback. Orleans Darkwa is an underrated running back for the team, and I expect a nice season from him. Louisiana Tech has a solid quarterback in Scotty Young. Skip Holtz won't move the team quite as quickly as last year, but the Bulldogs are still going to be an uptempo team. Tulane allowed 41 points to a bad South Alabama team last weekend. Louisiana Tech gave up 40 to NC State in their opener. It won't surprise me a bit if both teams get well into the 30's in this one. The over is 11-3 in Louisiana Tech's last 14 games overall. The over is 21-8 in their last 29 home games. I made this total 62 points, so I see plenty of value on this one. Take the over.
|
|
09-11-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants will finish off a three-game series on Wednesday in San Francisco. San Francisco's pitching staff disappointed for the majority of the season, but they have finally turned it around a bit of late. The Giants have been on a tremendous under run. Colorado isn't the same offense without Carlos Gonzalez. Leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler also has missed the last three games, and he may miss this contest. Juan Nicasio has a 2.89 ERA in his career against the Giants. Yusmeiro Petit almost threw a perfect game last time out, but he only threw 95 pitches. Petit has been great of late, and he loves pitching in this big ballpark.
The under is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4. The under is 4-0 in Nicasio's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0-3 in the Rockies last 9 as a road underdog. The under is 6-0 in the Giants last 6 home games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-10-13 |
Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 8 |
|
13-2 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners both send pitchers to the mound in this one that are more than capable of giving up a bunch of runs. Jordan Lyles has a 5.08 ERA on the year. Joe Saunders has a 4.95 ERA on the year. Saunders started the year well, but to say that he has been bad of late is a major understatement. Saunders has given up at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 9 appearances. Seattle's Safeco Field isn't the big under ballpark that it once was. The over is actually 38-32-3 in the Mariners 73 home games this year.
The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-2 in Lyles' last 5 on 5 days of rest. The over is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 against a right-handed starter. The over is 6-0 in Saunders' last 6 starts with a total between 7 and 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 home starts. A 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
|
|
09-09-13 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 50.5 |
|
33-27 |
Win
|
100 |
97 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star Eagles/Redskins Total Domination* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to be a completely different team this year. Chip Kelly's offenses were the best in the country at Oregon. Some think it will take a long time for the Eagles offense to look good, but I think they'll rack up the points right away against a bad Washington Redskins defense. At the same time, the Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I think they are a bit weaker heading into this season. RG3 isn't 100%, but he should be plenty good enough to pick apart this defense. Fast pace and lots of big plays should equal a very high scoring game. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 September games. Take the over.
|
|
09-08-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* There's no doubt that Clayton Kershaw has been the best pitcher in baseball this year. Homer Bailey has also elevated his game a lot this season. Bailey is pitching as well as ever in his last few starts. He has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 outings, and he has been good at home all year. Kershaw has an impressive 2.81 ERA in his career against the Reds, and he has an ERA under 2 this season. This is the type of game that should have a lot of very quick innings with these elite pitchers on the mound. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 3-0-1 in the Reds last 4 home games against a lefty. The under is 6-1 in the Dodgers last 7 road games against a team with a winning record. An 18-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Notre Dame v. Michigan UNDER 51 |
|
30-41 |
Loss |
-110 |
50 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Notre Dame/Michigan Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have the best defensive line in the nation. Michigan is struggling on the offensive front right now. The Wolverines will likely have a hard time protecting Devin Gardner. On the other side, Notre Dame's offense is far from a finished product right now. They will miss Eifert at tight end, and they have no clear cut leader at the running back spot. Michigan's defense has been very good ever since Brady Hoke came to campus. Last year's game finished in a 13-6 final. While I don't expect that low of a total here, I do think the value is with the under. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Big Ten. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after gaining 280 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Michigan's last 4 games after scoring 40 points or more in the previous game. A 20-0 angle backs the under. Take the under.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Navy v. Indiana OVER 66 |
|
41-35 |
Win
|
100 |
112 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Takedown* The Indiana Hoosiers offense is a well-oiled machine this year. Indiana is going to score a bunch of points on Big Ten defenses this year, and they are definitely going to score a ton of points on weaker teams in their non-conference schedule. Last week, Indiana poured on 73 points against Indiana State. Navy's defense isn't quite that bad, but they certainly aren't good. Navy allowed 50 points at Notre Dame last year and 41 at Troy. I could see Indiana putting up 45 or 50 here. Indiana's defense is still a major problem, and the Midshipmen should run the ball well here. Take the over.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Duke v. Memphis OVER 49.5 |
|
28-14 |
Loss |
-110 |
88 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Bookie SMASHER* The Duke Blue Devils defense may have looked good last week, but we all know that isn't going to stick around for long. Duke's offense is much improved over the last few years, but they still have a bad defense. The Blue Devils face a much improved Memphis team who I believe should be able to put up quite a few points in this game. Memphis does have some problems in the secondary on defense, and Duke has the right personnel to exploit those issues. I expected a line in the upper 50's here. Quite a bit of value on this one. Take the over.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Utah State v. Air Force UNDER 59 |
|
52-20 |
Loss |
-106 |
25 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Air Force Falcons are notorious for running the football constantly and completely abandoning the throw. Utah State's front seven on defense is extremely good, probably as good as anyone in the Mountain West Conference. Air Force won't stop trying to run the ball, but I don't think they'll be getting big chunks of yardage either. Utah State's offense is good, but they haven't been as good away from home the past couple years. Air Force has the best defense they have had in several years, and their secondary is extremely good. Both teams should be running the ball a lot here. This number is too high. Take the under.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Western Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 55 |
|
20-52 |
Win
|
100 |
106 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a brand new team this year with Bobby Petrino as their new head coach this season. Petrino is an offensive mastermind, and he has a lot of talent to work with here. Antonio Andrews is one of the top runners in the nation, and he should have a good game against a Tennessee defense that is less than stellar. Doughty is the new quarterback for the Hilltoppers, and he is a big upgrade from last year. Tennessee has a great running game, and Western Kentucky is inexperienced on the defensive line. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over here.
|
|
09-07-13 |
Florida v. Miami (Florida) UNDER 48 |
|
16-21 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Florida/Miami Total Domination* The Florida Gators have one of the top five defensive lines in college football, and they may have the single best secondary in the nation. The Gators offense still needs a lot of work, but I don't see them getting beaten up by many people this year thanks to their terrific defense. Florida will run the ball a lot, and Miami is sure to try to run it early and often with Duke Johnson as well. Miami is much better when they establish Johnson first and then try to have Morris throw the ball around a little. The clock should keep ticking during this one. Expect a close game all the way to the end. The under is 43-19-1 in Miami's last 63 home games. Take the under.
|
|
09-05-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos OVER 48.5 |
|
27-49 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NFL Opening Night Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 38-35 en route to a Super Bowl win last year. The Broncos and Ravens both got a lot worse on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason, and we get a total that is set at just 48.5. Von Miller is a huge loss for the Broncos, and the Ravens absolutely have the offensive weapons to put up big numbers against Denver. Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense can score against anyone, and Baltimore is going to miss Ray Lewis and Ed Reed this season. Denver's no huddle offense gets them extra plays throughout the course of the game. Look for this total to climb as the game draws near, so bet the over as early as possible. I think this one gets into the mid 50's. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games in September. The over is 3-0-1 in the Broncos last 4 against the AFC. Take the over.
|
|
09-04-13 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 |
Top |
4-11 |
Loss |
-101 |
13 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics have split the first two games of this critical three-game series in Oakland. Just one game separates these teams in the AL West standings, and game three of this series means a ton to both of these teams. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Rangers while Jarrod Parker will be on the hill for the Athletics. Darvish has been superb all year, and he has been slightly better away from home (2.62 ERA). Parker started the year very poorly, but he has been a quality starts machine of late. In 20 of his last 21 starts, he has allowed 3 runs or less. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate calling balls and strikes, and he is one of my favorite under umpires because of his consistently large strike zone.
The under is 5-0 in the Rangers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts in game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in the Athletics last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Parker's last 4 starts against Texas. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
|
|
09-03-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
101 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing for an NL Central division title. Gerrit Cole will start in this one, and Cole has been very good in his rookie year. He was one of the top ten ranked prospects in the nation coming into the season. The Brewers lineup isn't anything special without Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks, and Corey Hart. Yovani Gallardo has been pitching brilliantly of late. Gallardo has an ERA of 2.7 in his career against the Pirates. He shut them out in his last outing against them last week. Both pitchers should pitch well. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Cole's last 6 on 4 days of rest. Take the under.
|
|
09-02-13 |
St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 7.5 |
|
2-7 |
Win
|
102 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cardinals and Reds meet in a crucial series for the NL Central standings. Both Adam Wainwright and Mat Latos are very good pitchers, but they have struggled against the team they will face Monday afternoon. Wainwright has a 4.84 ERA in his career against the Reds. Latos has a 6.25 ERA in his career against the Cardinals. The total has been set very low here, but both of these offenses are capable of putting together a big inning at any time. The warm weather in Cincinnati should help the ball fly well. Take the over.
|
|
08-31-13 |
Northwestern v. California OVER 57 |
Top |
44-30 |
Win
|
100 |
67 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Golden Bears are in for a long season. I like Sonny Dykes, and I think he was a great hire, but he inherited a team with very little talent that needs built from the ground up. Cal is going to push the tempo and try to run Dykes' patented offense this year, which should create a lot of extra possessions for both teams in this one. Northwestern's defense is improved, but they aren't a shut down defense. Venric Mark and the Wildcats defense are very good, and the Cal defense simply doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Look for Northwestern to score quickly here, and Cal is going to keep running plays without using up the clock. These are huge benefits to the over. I had this number pegged at 65 points, so I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8-1 in the Bears last 29 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big 10. Take the over big!
|
|
08-31-13 |
Nevada v. UCLA Bruins OVER 65.5 |
|
20-58 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB West Coast Total* The Nevada Wolfpack return a terrific quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo had a brilliant season a year ago, and he has a lot on his shoulders this year as Chris Ault is gone as head coach at Nevada. Look for Nevada to open it up and throw a lot here. Jim Mora Jr. did a good job with the UCLA Bruins last year, but this defense lost a lot of talent from last season. The Bruins secondary is the weakness of their defense and I expect that to be exploited on Saturday night. Nevada had a bad defense last year, and they should be even worse this year. Brett Hundley is going to have a sensational season for the Bruins, and I expect him to light up this Wolfpack defense on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Nevada's last 6 against the Pac 12. The over is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 games. Take the over.
|
|
08-31-13 |
LSU v. TCU UNDER 50 |
|
37-27 |
Loss |
-106 |
51 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NCAA FB LSU/TCU Total CRUSHER* The TCU Tigers went 7-6 overall last year and just 4-5 in the Big 12. That made some think the team can't compete with top teams, but that isn't the case at all. TCU still finished with the top defense in the Big 12, and that was with some significant injuries. The Horned Frogs should be much better this year with a much healthier team. At the same time, LSU isn't getting enough respect ahead of the 2013 season. Les Miles' team is stacked on defense yet again, and the Tigers could easily be a top ten team once again. Expect both of these defenses to flex their muscles in a big way here. I see a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. This number is a few points too high. Take the under.
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08-31-13 |
Miami (OH) v. Marshall OVER 67.5 |
|
14-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
268 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the most prolific offenses in the nation. They also have one of the worst defenses in the country. How bad was the Marshall defense last year? They allowed at least 51 points in five different games. Miami (Ohio) doesn't necessarily have a terrific offense, but a terrific offense isn't needed to score points against Marshall. On the other side, Rakeem Cato is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the nation and he put up video game stats last year. I expect more of the same from him this season. Cato is athletic and has a big arm. Marshall has a ton of weapons around him, and the Redhawks from Miami have seen their defense go downhill quickly the past few years. The scoreboard should be lighting up in this one. Expect lots of quick strike scores from both teams. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
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08-31-13 |
UAB v. Troy OVER 63 |
|
31-34 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans offense is all about moving quickly and not letting the defense get set. UAB runs the same type of hurry up offense. When these two teams get together, there are going to be a ton of plays ran. Combine that with the fact that both of these defenses are very weak, and we have a recipe for a very high scoring game here. Last year's contest between these two finished at 68 points, and I think this total should have been right around that number. Instead, we got a solid amount of line value with the over. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 home games. The over is 5-1 in UAB's last 6 against the Sun Belt. The over is 6-1 in Troy's last 7 games overall. Take the over in this one.
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08-29-13 |
Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros OVER 9 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will meet on Thursday night in the first of a four-game series. Both Seattle and Houston have nothing to play for in the standings, but both teams have lots of young guys who just came up to the big leagues and they are trying to prove a lot right now. Jordan Lyles will start for Houston and he has been terrible at home. He has a 6.38 ERA in Houton. Erasmo Ramirez has a 5.44 ERA on the year. These teams have the worst (Houston) and second worst (Seattle) bullpens in baseball as well, so there isn't likely to be much relief from the pen here. The over is 6-0 in the Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-0-1 in Lyles' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last 6 Thursday games. The over is 3-0-1 in Seattle's last 4 overall. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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08-28-13 |
Houston Astros v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox have a few things in common for this game. First of all, both of them have terrible offenses. The White Sox offense wasn't very good to start with, then they got rid of their most consistent hitter in Alex Rios. Houston's offense has been bad all year, especially on the road. In this game both teams will also have their best starting pitcher on the mound. Chris Sale hasn't allowed a run in 16 innings in his career against the Astros. Sale had a bad outing last time out, and he should be much better in this one. Jarred Cosart is the Astros best young pitcher. He has a stellar 1.60 ERA in his first 7 big league starts. The under is 5-0 in Cosart's last 5 road starts. Take the under in this one.
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|
08-27-13 |
Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 |
|
4-3 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Texas Rangers have a very good pitching staff that is underrated by many people. Derek Holland is right near the top of my list of underrated pitchers. Holland has a 2.95 ERA on the year despite pitching in a very tough home ballpark. How has Holland done at Safeco Field against the Mariners? He has a spectacular 0.68 ERA in his career at Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma has a WHIP of just 1.01 this year, and he has been great at home. Both of these pitchers are very good, and I see a low scoring close game all the way here. Take the under.
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|
08-27-13 |
Houston Astros v. Chicago White Sox OVER 9 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Houston Astros will start Paul Clemens in this one. Clemens has been a reliever in his big league career, and he hasn't been a good one. He has a 6.36 ERA on the year. In Triple-A, Clemens had an ERA well above 4. This isn't a formula for success here. Jose Quintana is a mediocre left-hander, and the Astros are better against south paws than righties. The hot weather in Chicago is really helping the ball fly well here. The wind is also expected to be blowing out during this one. The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in home plate umpire Brian O'Nora's last 4 games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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|
08-25-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 40 |
|
14-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NFL Play of Week* The San Francisco 49ers haven't been showing much at all on offense so far this preseason. It appears Jim Harbaugh is content to save up his best players for the regular season. He knows he has a very good offense, and he doesn't want anybody getting hurt in these games. Colin Kaepernick has seen almost no action this preseason, and he'll be limited again in this one. Adrian Peterson will play for the first time this preseason, but don't expect him to get many carries. I expect to see these two defenses controlling the game as both offenses stay very vanilla. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
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|
08-25-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Total Angle* Jorge De La Rosa has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball this year. De La Rosa has consistently put up quality starts for the Rockies. Miami is averaging just 2.96 runs per game against left handed starters this year. Jacob Turner starts for the Marlins. Turner has been very good this season, and the Rockies lineup isn't nearly as intimidating without Carlos Gonzalez. The under is 8-0 in the Rockies last 8 road games versus a team with a losing record at home. The under is 4-0-2 in the Rockies last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in De La Rosa's last 6 starts as a road favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all a 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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|
08-24-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-119 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Julio Teheran and Shelby Miller are two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Miller has an ERA of less than 2 at home this year. Teheran struggled a bit early in the season, but he has been the Braves most consistent starter of late. These two come in with a 2.96 and 2.98 ERA respectably. Doug Eddings is the home plate umpire in this one. Eddings has been the best under umpire in baseball throughout his career. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Braves last 4 following a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Braves last 4 road record against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in Teheran's last 7 starts when following 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Teheran's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in Miller's last 5 starts against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 against the NL Central. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. In all a 45-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-23-13 |
Washington Nationals v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 |
|
11-10 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals and Kansas City Royals are both struggling against left-handed pitchers of late. Gio Gonzalez and Bruce Chen have both been very good this season. Ian Desmond is injured and will likely miss this game and Lorenzo Cain is out with an injury for the Royals. Two pitchers who are pitching well and two short-handed lineups here. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. the under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 home starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 7-1 in the Nationals last 8 road games against a lefty. Take the under.
|
|
08-23-13 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet in an interesting game Friday night. Wade Miley and Cole Hamels both started the season very poorly, but if we look at how well they have been pitching of late it is very impressive. Hamels is 5-13, but he has been throwing the ball extremely well of late. Hamels has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 starts.
The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 against the NL West. The under is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 games against a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Hamels last 7 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as an underdog. In all, a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-22-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox have a dreadful lineup at this point. The lineup they ran out at the beginning of the year wasn't any good, and now they are without Alex Rios who was traded away. James Shields starts for the Royals here, and he has been very good this year. Shields has thrown 26 innings against the White Sox this year and he has a stellar 1.73 ERA against them. Jose Quintana has been underrated his whole career, and the Royals offense has struggled of late.
The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 road games vs. a righty. The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 games as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series. In all, a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-20-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox have been getting some very good pitching of late. Jon Lester shut out the Giants on Monday night. Jake Peavy starts in this one and he has had great success at San Francisco in his career. AT&T Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. The Giants offense has been really bad at home this year. Ryan Vogelsong generally pitches well at home, and he will be up against a worn out Red Sox lineup. After going from Boston to San Francisco on Monday and getting virtually no rest, it could catch up with them here. The under is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox last 6 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Red Sox last 5 games with the total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Red Sox last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-2 in the Giants last 10 interleague games. Take the under.
|
|
08-20-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 |
|
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox have one of the worst offenses in baseball. They had a bad offense to start with, and then they let Alex Rios (who had been their most consistent hitter) go. Ervin Santana has been great for KC this year, and he is one of the reasons this team has been able to make a nice run. John Danks has been amazing in his career against the Royals. He has an ERA of less than 2 in his career against the Royals.
The under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 as a road underdog. the under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 road games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0-1 in Danks last 5 Tuesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Danks last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in the Royals last 5 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-2 in the Royals last 5 home games. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-19-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 |
|
7-0 |
Push |
0 |
21 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Boston Red Sox have the second best offense in baseball. The San Francisco offense isn't great, but they heated up nicely in Miami this past weekend. They are slowly getting a little healthier. Tim Lincecum and Jon Lester used to be considered two of the best pitchers in baseball, but not any more. They both have poor ERA's this year, and both of them are capable of giving up the big inning at any time. Lincecum will struggle to hold down this strong Boston offense. Lester hasn't been shutting anyone down, and the Giants are better at home. I expected a total of 7.5 or even 8. Take advantage of this error from the oddsmakers. Take the over.
|
|
08-18-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. NY Giants OVER 40 |
|
20-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
52 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star NFL Colts/Giants Preseason Top Total* The Indianapolis Colts were beaten 44-20 in their preseason opener. Jim Irsay took to twitter to blast the team's effort in that game, and the oddsmakers have responded by moving the line several points in the Colts favor. The Colts secondary was chewed up and spit out by the Bills last week. I think in time we'll find out that the Colts secondary just isn't very good. Eli Manning will get more playing time in this one, and the Giants passing game is very good with Cruz and Nicks on the outside. The Colts have good backup quarterbacks in Matt Hasselbeck and Chandler Harnish. New York's defense isn't what it used to be, and the Giants should give up quite a few yards here. Look for both offenses to move the ball up and down the field with ease in this one. The over is 42-27 in Tom Coughlin's 69 preseason games. The over is 4-1 in Pagano's 5 preseason games as Colts coach. Take the over.
|
|
08-18-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are the worst 2 teams in the AL Central. Chicago's lineup wasn't very good at the beginning of the season, and it is even worse now without Alex Rios. Hector Santiago has a 2.7 ERA on the road this year. He also has a 2.7 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Sam Deduno has been good at home this year, and I expect him to pitch well against this weak White Sox lineup. The wind should be blowing in from center field which should be helpful for the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
|
08-17-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-120 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit left handed pitching extremely well all season. Lefty J.A. Happ will start in this one for the Blue Jays. Happ hasn't been consistent this year, and he has an 8.3 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. He already had one terrible start earlier this year against the Rays. Roberto Hernandez starts for the Rays. Hernandez is just a mediocre pitcher who generally gives up 3 or 4 runs. Toronto's lineup has been better of late. Jose Reyes being healthy makes this Blue Jays offense much better. I like the value here. Take the over.
|
|
08-17-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 |
|
8-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Andrew Albers has burst on the scene for the Minnesota Twins. He was absolutely dominating in AAA, and he has come up to the big leagues and pitched two shutouts in his first two major league starts. He will be up against a White Sox lineup that has been terrible against left handed pitchers all year. The White Sox have one of the worst lineups in baseball at this point. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox. He has been great this year, but his win loss record isn't good, because he rarely gets much run support. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox's last 4 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the White Sox's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Twins last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. The under is 2-0 in Albers' first two starts in his major league career. In all a 22-0 winning angle. Take the under.
|
|
08-15-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds swept the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field thanks to some tremendous pitching. The Milwaukee Brewers had a late game in Texas last night, and they are liable to be a little worn out for this one. Kyle Lohse has been amazing all year for the Brewers though, and the Reds have struggled to hit him in the past. Cincinnati's offense has been rather cold of late, and I don't see them coming out of it here. Tony Cingrani is one of baseball's best young pitchers, and he has been rolling of late. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. The under is 12-1 in Lohse's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 7-1-1 in the Reds last 9 road games. In all, a 35-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-15-13 |
Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels have essentially packed it up for the season. The Angels still have some very talented hitters, so I expect them to put runs on the board against subpar pitchers such as Phil Hughes, but they will give up a lot of runs as well. Hughes has a horrible 8.38 ERA in his career against the Angels. Wilson has struggled on the road this year, and the Yankees offense is much better now with Granderson back and Soriano killing it in the middle of the order. The over is 20-5-1 in Wilson's last 26 road starts. Take the over here.
|
|
08-14-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 38 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. The under is a staggering 20-5-2 in their last 27 games overall. Kansas City has climbed back into contention, and they have done it with terrific pitching from both their starting rotation and their bullpen. Erbin Santana has had a couple terrible starts, but overall he has piled up a ton of quality starts in 2013. Jacob Turner is one of the Marlins young talented pitchers. Turner has an ERA of 2.95 on the year. The under is 7-0 in Turner's last 7 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Marlins last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 overall. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 interleague games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. In all a 28-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-13-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Philadelphia Phillies haven't been any good lately, but they have hit Kris Medlen very well in the past. Medlen has a career ERA of 5.66 against the Phillies. This year alone, he has an ERA above 6 against Philadelphia. Ethan Martin has two big league starts and he was lit up for 6 runs by the Braves in one of them. A total set this low is usually reserved for two very good pitchers and bad offenses, but that isn't the case at all in this one. I made this total at 9, so I definitely like the value here. Take the over.
|
|
08-13-13 |
Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto's offense is much better now with Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes healthy. The Red Sox are averaging 5.04 runs per game this year. Redmond doesn't go deep in a game, and I doubt his ability to shut down the Red Sox lineup. Ryan Dempster has been bad of late with an ERA over 7 in his last 3 starts. The over is 6-0 in Dempster's last 6 starts overall. These two offenses should put up some fireworks in this one. Take the over.
|
|
08-13-13 |
San Francisco Giants v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Madison Bumgarner has been the Giants best pitcher all season. Despite the fact that San Francisco has had a disappointing season, Bumgarner has been consistently great in 2013. He has a 2.75 ERA this year. Gio Gonzalez has had a few very bad starts, but for the majority of the season, he has been excellent. He has a 2.67 ERA when pitching in Washington in his career. Both these teams struggle against lefties, and these are two very good left handed starters. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 on 6 days of rest. The under is 5-0-1 in the Giant's last 6 games as an underdog. In all a 34-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-12-13 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
106 |
18 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Danny Salazar and Andrew Albers will start in this game for Cleveland and Minnesota respectfully. They have a total of 3 career major league starts between the two of them. Salazar was great in his first outing, and he pitched well late time until allowing a late home run to Miguel Cabrera. Albers shutout Kansas City on the road in his first big league start last week. Albers is 27 years old and had a long track to the majors due to injuries, but he has been great in the minor leagues. These are two guys that I expect will become big names in the next couple years. The under is 7-0 in Cleveland's last 7 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 when scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-11-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 |
|
2-8 |
Loss |
-125 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* The Dodgers have taken the first 2 in this series of two red hot teams. They'll have a good chance of finishing the sweep with star Clayton Kershaw on the mound here. Still I don't see any value on the Dodgers when they are such a big favorite here. Kershaw has a good chance of allowing a single run or less as he often does at home. Jeremy Hellickson started the year poorly, but he has been much better of late. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he has the biggest strike zone in all of baseball. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 home games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 when starting after 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 home starts. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 interleague home games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-09-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 8.5 |
|
1-10 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Colorado Rockies aren't the same team without Carlos Gonzalez in the lineup. Gonzalez is on the disabled list, and the Rockies' offense has slowed down of late. Francisco Liriano has a 2.02 ERA this season, and he has been the Pirates most consistent pitcher. The Rockies don't hit left handed pitching well, and they should struggled against Liriano. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for Colorado, and he has been great at Coors Field. The Pirates offense isn't particularly good, and I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0-1 in the Rockies last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 road starts. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 games following a loss. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record. A 19-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-09-13 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals OVER 8.5 |
|
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* John Lannon has struggled all season on the road. He has an ERA slightly above 6 away from home in 2013. The Phillies haven't been winning a lot of games lately, but their offense is improved. Dan Haren has struggled all season, and he has a career ERA above 5 against the Phillies. With two bad pitchers on the mound I expected a total of 9 or even 9.5, but we got a low total of 8.5 instead. Neither of these team have anything to play for the rest of the season. Typically disappointing teams that have nothing to play for have a lot of high scoring games near the end of the season. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
|
|
08-08-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 6.5 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-107 |
11 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jose Fernandez and Gerrit Cole are two of the most talented young pitching prospects in baseball. Fernandez is only 21 years old and Cole is 22 years old. Both of them have been pitching like seasoned veterans so far in their rookie seasons. Fernandez has been particularly dominant of late. He has struck out 35 batters in his last 23 innings pitched. While Pittsburgh is a very good team, they generally win with their pitching rather than their offense. Gerrit Cole has been consistently very good, and he will go up against a Marlins offense that is the worst in baseball. Expect a lot of quick innings in this one. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 road games against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in Fernandez
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08-07-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 |
Top |
8-9 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 39 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Month* Chris Archer and Randall Delgado will start in this one. Both of these guys are young starters who have done a great job early in their career. Archer has been great even in very difficult conditions on the road. Delgado struggled a bit last season, but he has hit his stride in 2013. Both of these teams have been winning with pitching, while their offenses have been slumping of late. The under is 8-0 in the Rays' last 8 interleague games. The under is 5-0 in the Rays' last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in the Rays' last 7 against the AL West. The under is 4-0 in Archer's last 4 starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 9-0 in Archer's last 9 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Archer's last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondbacks' last 6 with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. In all a huge 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
|
|
08-07-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Seattle Mariners OVER 8.5 |
|
7-9 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* J.A. Happ will make his first start since being hit in the head 3 months ago by a line drive. Happ wasn't a very effective starter before the injury, and those types of injuries are very tough to get over. I expect him to struggle for awhile as he tries to get his confidence back. Aaron Harang pitches for the Mariners and Harang has an ERA well over 5 this season. He has allowed 6 or more runs on more than 5 occasions already this year. Toronto has a solid offense that has been hot of late. I like the value here. Take the over.
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|
08-07-13 |
Oakland A's v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7.5 |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-113 |
11 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star MLB Top Play Early Bird* Oakland and Cincinnati will play the second of a rare two game series in Cincinnati. Bartolo Colon and Homer Bailey have both been very good this season, and they'll square off against each other in this contest. Colon may be 40 years old, but he is pitching as well as ever this season. He has been a quality start machine. Homer Bailey has been excellent at home with a 2.98 ERA on the year. The under is 5-0 in Oakland's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the A's last 6 interleague games. The under is 9-1 in the A's last 10 road games. The under is 5-0 in Colon's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0-2 in Bailey's last 9 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a home favorite. In all a 35-1 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
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08-06-13 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 35 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Wade Miley struggled earlier in the season, but he has been pitching great over the past few weeks. Miley hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 8 starts. Tampa Bay's offense was on fire a few weeks ago, but they have largely been winning with pitching of late. Jeremy Hellickson is a much better pitcher than his 2013 numbers would suggest. Arizona's offense is very inconsistent, and I don't expect them to do well against Hellickson. The under is 3-0-1 in Miley's last 4 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 interleague games as a favorite. The under is 10-1 in Arizona's last 11 against the AL East. The under is 5-0 their last 5 meetings. In all a 30-1 backs this play. Take the under.
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|
08-06-13 |
New York Yankees v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* This game features two underrated starting pitchers. Hiroki Kuroda and Chris Sale have both been excellent this year. These guys very rarely have a bad start. Sale is coming off one of those rare bad starts, but he pitches much better at home. Kuroda hasn't allowed a run in his last 2 starts. The White Sox offense is terrible, and the Yankees' offense isn't much better. Expect a lot of quick innings here. The under is 9-0 in Kuroda's last 9 starts as an underdog. The under is 8-0 in Kuroda's last 8 starts as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in Sale's last 5 home starts as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Al Porter's last 4 games behind the dish. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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|
08-05-13 |
Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mike Minor and Stephen Strasburg will be on the hill tonight for the Braves and the Nationals. Minor has quickly turned into a very good pitcher for the Braves, and Strasburg has some of the best stuff in the majors. Strasburg has a 1.6 ERA at home this year. Minor has a 2.3 ERA on the road this season. The Braves strike out a lot, and Strasburg is great at missing bats. Minor has pitched well in his career against the Nationals. Washington has struggled against left-handed pitching all year. The under is 8-2 in Strasburg's last 10 home starts. The under is 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts against Atlanta. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
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|
08-04-13 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-0 |
Win
|
105 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Derek Holland and A.J. Griffin have both been consistently good this season. Holland has a 2.97 ERA in his career against Oakland. Griffin has a 3.00 ERA in his career against Texas. Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire in this game. Miler is my single favorite under umpire because of the consistency of his large strike zone. Expect both pitchers to get some beneficial calls from Miller. The under is 7-0 in the Rangers last 7 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 during game 3 of a series. The under is 8-0 in Griffin's last 8 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Griffin's last 4 starts against the AL West. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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|
08-04-13 |
Washington Nationals v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 |
Top |
5-8 |
Loss |
-113 |
13 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star TOP Play CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers' offense is a shadow of its former self right now. Without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez this lineup isn't very dangerous. Quality pitchers have been shutting them down on a nightly basis. Taylor Jordan is a good prospect for the Nationals, and he has pitched well so far in his young career. Kyle Lohse has been dominating of late. His ERA is less than 1 in his last three outings. Lohse has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the National League this year. Washington will likely be without Jayson Werth in this game. The under is 12-1 in the Brewers last 13 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 versus a right handed starter. Take the under big!
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|
08-04-13 |
KAN ROYALS v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-113 |
12 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Erban Santana was a terrific pickup for the Royals this past off season. Other than a couple rare bad starts, Santana has been extremely good this year. He will face a Mets lineup without David Wright. The Mets have really been struggling to score of late, and without Wright I expect it to be even tougher for them. Zach Wheeler is a top prospect for the Mets, and he has pitched very well in his last couple starts. Look for Wheeler to keep it going against an inconsistent Royals offense. The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Santana's lats 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-1 in Wolf's last 8 games behind home plate. Take the under. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Take the under.
|
|
08-04-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-117 |
12 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers are averaging 5.13 runs per game this season which is the best mark in all of baseball. Chicago will start a rookie pitcher making only has second career start in the big leagues. Detroit should tee off on him early and often here. Rick Porcello pitches for the Tigers, and he is very inconsistent. Tim McClelland is the home plate umpire in this game, and he has a tiny strike zone. Don't be surprised if both pitchers get mad at McClelland at some point in this game. I like the value here. Take the over.
|
|
08-02-13 |
Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 |
|
8-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers offense has been terrible of late. The only reason the Rangers are still in the AL West race at all is their pitching staff. Alexi Ogando has been injured most of the year, but when he has pitched, he has done well. Oakland's offense isn't very good, and they have cooled off a lot of late. The Athletics are winning games because their pitchers have been dominating. Tommy Milone has always been great at home, and he should be able to quiet a scuffling Rangers lineup. The under is 10-1-2 in Ogando's last 13 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Milone's last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 7-0 in Ogando's last 7 starts following a team loss in the previous game. In all a 32-1 winning angle backs this one. Take the under.
|
|
08-02-13 |
San Francisco Giants v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7 |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* San Francisco has been struggling in a big way lately due to their anemic offense. Tampa Bay has one of the best starting rotations in baseball, and Chris Archer has been awesome in his last few outings. Archer has an ERA under 2 at home this year. On the other side, Madison Bumgarner has been as steady as anyone in baseball over the last month. The Giants haven't been giving him any run support but Bumgarner keeps racking up quality starts. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts following a loss by his team in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Archer's last 6 home starts. The under is 6-0 in the Rays last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. In all a 21-0 winning angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
08-02-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Two underrated starting pitchers will be on the mound for this contest. Chacin will start for the Rockies. He struggled a bit at home in Coors Field, but he has a 1.9 ERA on the road in 2013. PNC Park is a pitcher's park and the Pirates offense doesn't put up many runs very often. Cole is a very talented rookie for the Pirates. He has looked even better in his last couple starts. Colorado generally has a very good lineup, but Carlos Gonzalez and Michael Cuddyer may miss this game. The Pirates have gotten very good at winning close games thanks to their pitching staff. Pittsburgh has the best team ERA in all of baseball. The under is 8-1-2 in Chacin's last 11 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 starts. Take the under.
|
|
08-01-13 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson used to be one of the best pitchers in baseball, but now he is struggling to keep a starting spot in this Toronto rotation. Johnson has a 6.1 ERA on the season which is among the worst in all of baseball. His ERA is 7.4 on the road this year. Garrett Richards starts for the Angels, and he has been very inconsistent in his young career. Both Toronto and Los Angeles have good offenses, and with two subpar starting pitchers I would have expected a total of 9 or even 9.5. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
|
|
08-01-13 |
Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-116 |
13 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* James Shields has pitched great this year, but the Royals haven't supported him much this year with many runs. Shields has a 2.5 ERA on the road in 2013. The Twins offense isn't nearly as strong now with Josh Willingham out of the lineup. Scott Diamond has been up and down this year for the Twins, but he has looked better in his last few starts. Doug Eddings will be behind the plate in this one, and there isn't a better under umpire in all of baseball. Eddings has consistently called a higher percentage of strikes than any other umpire in the league. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 road games versus a left handed pitcher. The under is 6-1-1 in the Royals last 8 overall. The under is 7-1 in Diamond's last 8 starts following a quality start in his previous outing. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
|
|
08-01-13 |
Chicago White Sox v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 |
Top |
1-6 |
Push |
0 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
|
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Justin Masterson has turned into a legitimate number one starter this year. Masterson has dominated the Chicago White Sox more than any other team during his career. This White Sox offense has been bad of late to start with, and I don't expect them to heat up against a guy with a career ERA of 2 against them. Chris Sale is a very good pitcher on a bad team. Sale pitches well on the road, and I expect a good outing from him. Home plate umpire John Hirschbeck is one of the best under umpires in the league. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 against the White Sox. The under is 5-0 in the Indians' last 5 versus a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 7-1 in Sale's last 8 starts as a road underdog. Take the under big!
|
|
07-31-13 |
New York Mets v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. Jenrry Mejia has been a top prospect in the Mets organization for quite some time. The Mets are easing him into the rotation. He shut out the Nationals five days ago. The Marlins are the perfect opponent for Mejia to continue to build up his confidence. Henderson Alvarez has pitched a shut out in his last two outings, and the Mets offense is inconsistent at best. I expect this to be a game where runs are at a premium. Take the under.
|
|
07-31-13 |
Cincinnati Reds v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-1 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Homer Bailey has been up and down this year, but he has tremendous stuff, and he has pitched really well in San Diego in his career. The Padres offense is one of the weakest in all of baseball. The Reds have a good lineup on paper, but their offense has been anemic of late. Eric Stults will pitch for the Padres, and he has been superb at home. Stults has a 2.5 ERA at home in 2013. The under is 6-0-2 in Bailey's last 8 starts overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Bailey's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in the Reds last 6 games overall. The under is 9-0 in Stults' last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
07-30-13 |
New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The New York Yankees lineup is slowly getting better, but they have a very long way to go. Derek Jeter still isn't completely healthy, and the majority of this offense's stars are still sidelined with injuries. The Dodgers' offense has actually gone cold of late, but they have been winning games thanks to a much improved pitching staff. It took the Dodgers until the 11th inning to score a run in their 1-0 win over the Reds on Sunday. Zack Greinke has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 interleague road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 road games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 8-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 9 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games as a home favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in Greinke's last 4 starts overall. Take the under.
|
|
07-30-13 |
Colorado Rockies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 |
|
3-11 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland has been the most consistent over umpire in baseball for the past decade. McClelland routinely squeezes the strike zone and makes life miserable for pitchers. Alex Wood is a huge prospect for the Braves, but he hasn't proved himself in the majors yet. Juan Nicasio has an ERA of 4.4 this year, and this Braves lineup should put up several runs against him. The posted total here is set at a very reasonable number here, and we aren't even having to lay any juice. Look for a relatively high scoring game. Take the under.
|
|
07-30-13 |
Washington Nationals v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez will square off in what I expect to be a pitchers duel Tuesday night in Detroit. Strasburg struggled a bit early this year, but he has been great in his last few outings. Sanchez is a very underrated starter for the Tigers. Washington's offense has been bad of late, and I don't see them getting it going against a guy like Sanchez. While the Tigers offense is very good, Strasburg definitely has the stuff to slow them down. The weather conditions here should help. Take the under.
|
|
07-28-13 |
Kansas City Royals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Bruce Chen has allowed just one run in 12 innings in his only two starts of the season. The White Sox are awful against left handed pitchers. Chicago averages just 3.16 runs per game against lefties. On the other side, Hector Santiago has allowed only one run in 19 career innings against the Kansas City Royals. Both of these offenses have been struggling of late, and with the abnormally cool weather in Chicago, the ball should fly as well as normal. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Chicago. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Tony Randazzo's last 4 games behind the dish. In all, a 20-0 winning angle. Take the under.
|
|
07-28-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Both of these teams struggle offensively, and this contest will feature two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Gerrit Cole was really sharp in his last outing at Washington, and he has yet to pitch poorly in his young major league career. Jose Fernandez is a guy who could easily be one of the top pitchers in the league in the next couple years. Fernandez has pitched well everywhere including Coors Field where he allowed only two runs in seven innings in his last start. The Marlins have the worst offense in baseball, and the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in Fernandez's last 6 starts. The under is 10-1 in the Marlins last 11 games overall. Take the under.
|
|
07-27-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have the best team ERA in all of baseball. The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. It's a nice combination for a low scoring game. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, and the Marlins have actually been pitching well as of late. Tom Koehler had one terrible start at home earlier this year against the Cardinals, but other than that game, he has been very solid. The Pirates lineup certainly doesn't have the same pop that the Cardinals do, and I expect Koehler to pitch well. The under is 10-0 in Miami's last 10 games overall. The under is 9-0 in the Marlins' last 9 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins' last 7 games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts as a favorite. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
|
07-27-13 |
Houston Astros v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 |
|
8-6 |
Win
|
106 |
12 h 51 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson was a dominate starter a couple of years ago, but something just isn't right with him this season. He has an ERA of 5.50, and he has had multiple games where he can't make it past the third inning. Houston will start Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel was never very good in the minors, and he has really struggled on the road in his major league career. Toronto hits left-handed pitchers well, and I fully expect them to put up a lot of runs against Keuchel. Houston's bullpen is the worst in baseball so there will be no relief in sight if Keuchel is knocked out of the game early. Toronto scored 8 runs in a single inning last night against Houston's bullpen. Take the over.
|
|
07-26-13 |
San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 |
|
0-10 |
Loss |
-105 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the weakest offenses in the National League. Arizona has been winning solely because of their pitching. Arizona has been particularly bad against lefties, and Eric Stults is an underrated left-handed starter. Randall Delgado is a talented young pitcher for Arizona, and he has pitched well so far this year. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 during game 1 of a series. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Stults' last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Stults' last 5 starts versus the Diamondbacks. Take the under.
|
|
07-26-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
|
0-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Miami Marlins definitely have the worst offense in baseball. They recently went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. How can we expect them to score more in this one when they are facing a pitcher as good as Jeff Locke? Locke has been as good as any rookie starting pitcher in baseball this year. He has a 2.11 ERA, and I expect him to dominate this Marlins lineup. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, but the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. Enderson Alvarez has lots of potential, and he has pitched well lately. The under is 9-0 in Miami's last 9 games. The under is 4-0 in the Marlins' last 4 following a win. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins' last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. Take the under.
|
|
07-25-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 10 |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
109 |
15 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The oddsmakers continue to put high totals on this series so I'll take this last opportunity to take advantage of a line that is set too high. Miami didn't score a run for 37 straight innings, and even at Coors Field, the Marlins offense hasn't been productive at all. Nathan Eovaldi has pitched very well in his two previous starts at Coors Field. With this being get away day, the Rockies may as well sit one or two of their best players. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins last 8 games. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 against a right handed starter. Take the under.
|
|
07-25-13 |
New York Yankees v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-0 |
Win
|
103 |
14 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Hiroki Kuroda and Derek Holland will be on the mound for the finale of this series. Holland has struggled in the past against the Yankees but that was a completely different Yankees lineup than he will face Thursday afternoon. Holland pitched a complete game shutout a few weeks ago against this Yankees lineup. Kuroda has an ERA of less than 3 against the Rangers. Vick Carapazza is the home plate umpire here, and he has a very large strike zone which will help both pitchers. The under is 5-0 in Holland's last 5 home starts. The under is 8-1-2 in the Rangers' last 11 overall. The under is 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 as an underdog. The under is 14-2-1 in the Yankees last 17 road games versus a left handed starter. Take the under.
|
|
07-25-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
|
7-9 |
Loss |
-120 |
12 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals are two of the best pitching staffs in all of baseball. The Pirates actually have the single best team ERA in baseball. Washington has a very good rotation, and Gio Gonzalez has been lights out of late. A.J. Burnett has had a couple bad starts here and there, but he has been very good for the Pirates this season. Both of these offenses really struggle to put together a big inning. Look for a pitchers duel as both pitchers pitch deep into the game. Take the under.
|
|
07-24-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. They did manage to score four last night, and that was enough for the win. Don't expect this Marlins offense to start putting up big run totals any time soon. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. Despite pitching in a very difficult ballpark, he has had an ERA of right around 3 all season. The Marlins have been terrible against lefties all year, and I don't expect that to change here. Jacob Turner is an extremely talented youngster for the Marlins, and he seems to be taking the next step this year. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins 6 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in Turner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in home plate umpire Dan Iassogna's last 6 games behind the plate. Take the under.
|
|
07-24-13 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bill Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire. Miller has consistently been an under umpire because of his massive strike zone for many years in a row. Erbin Santana has been great at home this year, and he is a strikeout pitcher who will benefit from Miller's large strike zone. Chen has pitched well since coming off the disabled list for Baltimore. The Royals offense has been struggling mightily of late. Two solid pitchers teamed up with a top strike caller behind the dish makes the under a good value. Take the under here.
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07-23-13 |
Miami Marlins v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 |
Top |
4-2 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 20 m |
Show
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*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball right now. In their series with Milwaukee this past weekend, Miami failed to score a run in 31 straight innings. Chacin has pitched well for the Rockies this year, and I can't imagine the Marlins getting many runs off of him. On the other side, Jose Fernandez will start for the Marlins. Fernandez is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Bettors have made a lot of money backing Fernandez this year despite that fact that he plays for a terrible team. His stuff is absolutely electric, and I expect him to be a star for a long time. I won't back the Marlins because of their hitting woes, but I do really like the under. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 versus a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 games versus a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in Fernandez's last 5 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Chacin's last 4 Tuesday starts. The under is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 when facing a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. In all a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.
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07-23-13 |
Pittsburgh: G Cole v. Washington: T Jordan UNDER 8.5 |
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5-1 |
Win
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100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we have a pitching matchup of Cole versus Jordan. Both of these guys are highly touted young pitching prospects. Though the Pirates have a very good record this year, they don't have a good offense. Washington has been very disappointing this season, but they still have a quality pitching staff. Pittsburgh is first in the majors in overall team ERA. Both of these teams have been on nice under runs of late, and I don't see that changing on Tuesday. I expected a total of 8 or even 7.5, so being able to grab the under at 8.5 seems like a great value to me. Look for a pitchers duel in this one. Take the under.
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07-22-13 |
Chicago Cubs v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 |
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4-2 |
Win
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100 |
21 h 27 m |
Show
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*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Arizona Diamondbacks have a lot of good young pitchers, and Tyler Skaggs will likely be the next big name for this rotation. While the Diamondbacks have pitched very well this year, their offense isn't good. Matt Garza will pitch for the Cubs here, and Garza is throwing the baseball extremely well right now. Every time he take the mound, there are tons of teams watching, and that seems to be pushing him to be even better. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts against Arizona. The under is 6-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1-1 in the Diamondbacks last 8 against a right handed pitcher. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 against the NL West. Take the under.
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07-21-13 |
Chicago Cubs v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
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3-4 |
Loss |
-106 |
15 h 17 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* A total of 10.5 isn't seen very often, but there are some great reasons for this total being set so high. Day games at Coors Field are notoriously high scoring. The weather should help as it is expected to be 90 degrees for this contest. Edwin Jackson starts for the Cubs, and to say that he has been horrible at Coors Field is a major understatement. In four career starts in Denver he has a 17.4 ERA. Tyler Chatwood allows a lot of base runners and I think this is the type of game where he'll pay for that. This one has the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over.
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07-21-13 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 |
Top |
9-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
13 h 47 m |
Show
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5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Clayton Kershaw and Jordan Zimmerman are two pitchers that I love playing the under with. Those two will square off against each other in this one and I love the value on the under here. Kershaw and Zimmerman are both extremely consistent, and the are among the most dominating pitchers in baseball. Yesterday's game between these two teams was a pitchers dual, and I expect another one on Sunday afternoon. The under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 starts. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 Sunday starts. The under is 4-0 in Washington's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last four meetings. In all a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
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07-21-13 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 |
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3-2 |
Win
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106 |
13 h 31 m |
Show
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*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are playing a very important 3 game series in Cincinnati this weekend. The Reds have taken the first 2 games in this series, but the Pirates will start lefty Jeff Locke in this game. Locke may be a rookie, but has been the Pirates best pitcher over the past couple months. His ERA is just a shade above 2. Homer Bailey will start for the Reds, and he has had a ton of success against the Pirates this year including a no hitter last season. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts against the NL Central. The under is 8-0-1 in the Reds' last 9 during game 3 of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-2 in Bailey's last 6 starts overall. The under is 2-0-2 in Bailey's last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Take the under.
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