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Kyle Hunter ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
07-21-13 Chicago Cubs v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 3-4 Loss -106 15 h 17 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* A total of 10.5 isn't seen very often, but there are some great reasons for this total being set so high. Day games at Coors Field are notoriously high scoring. The weather should help as it is expected to be 90 degrees for this contest. Edwin Jackson starts for the Cubs, and to say that he has been horrible at Coors Field is a major understatement. In four career starts in Denver he has a 17.4 ERA. Tyler Chatwood allows a lot of base runners and I think this is the type of game where he'll pay for that. This one has the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over.
07-21-13 Los Angeles Dodgers v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 Top 9-2 Loss -115 13 h 47 m Show
5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Clayton Kershaw and Jordan Zimmerman are two pitchers that I love playing the under with. Those two will square off against each other in this one and I love the value on the under here. Kershaw and Zimmerman are both extremely consistent, and the are among the most dominating pitchers in baseball. Yesterday's game between these two teams was a pitchers dual, and I expect another one on Sunday afternoon. The under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 starts. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 Sunday starts. The under is 4-0 in Washington's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last four meetings. In all a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!
07-21-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 3-2 Win 106 13 h 31 m Show
*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are playing a very important 3 game series in Cincinnati this weekend. The Reds have taken the first 2 games in this series, but the Pirates will start lefty Jeff Locke in this game. Locke may be a rookie, but has been the Pirates best pitcher over the past couple months. His ERA is just a shade above 2. Homer Bailey will start for the Reds, and he has had a ton of success against the Pirates this year including a no hitter last season. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts against the NL Central. The under is 8-0-1 in the Reds' last 9 during game 3 of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-2 in Bailey's last 6 starts overall. The under is 2-0-2 in Bailey's last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Take the under.
07-21-13 Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets UNDER 6.5 0-5 Win 100 13 h 31 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* A total of 6.5 is always scary when betting the under, but this low number is definitely justified with Cliff Lee and Matt Harvey on the mound. Lee has been as solid as ever so far this year. He has a 2.09 ERA on the road. Harvey has been spectacular in 2013, and he has an ERA of just 1.37 against the Phillies in his young career. Mike Winters is a good umpire to have for the under because of his large strike zone. This should be a game where both starters shut down the opposition. Expect a very low scoring game. Take the under.
07-20-13 Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8.5 5-6 Loss -110 18 h 52 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Verlander has absolutely owned the Kansas City Royals in his career. He has a career 2.5 ERA against the Royals. He has actually been even better with a 2.3 ERA when starting in Kansas City. Jeremy Guthrie will start for the Royals, and he has a solid 3.8 ERA in his career against the Tigers. Guthrie is a much better pitcher at home as well. While Verlander struggled earlier this year, I expect him to be dialed in for the second half of the season. Lance Barksdale is behind the plate for this one, and he is a solid under umpire because of his generous strike zone. A strong wind blowing in from right field should also help the under. I like the value here. Take the under.
07-20-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 4-5 Loss -120 15 h 45 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates play a very important 3 game series this weekend in Cincinnati. The Reds took the first game of this series last night. Both teams will start one of their best pitchers in Saturday's matchup. A.J. Burnett will start for the Pirates, and he's been their most consistent pitcher this year. Matt Latos starts for the Reds. He's coming off his worst start of the year, and I expect him to bounce right back into form. These two teams have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. The under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 8-0 in the Pirates last 8 games. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pirates last 7 against a right-handed starter. Take the under.
07-14-13 Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 5-1 Win 100 14 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires, and he'll be behind the plate for this game. Kulpa has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball and both of these pitchers should benefit from that expanded zone. The under is 22-6-1 in Kulpa's last 29 Sunday games behind home plate. Wily Peralta is a young prospect for the Brewers who has improved a lot in his last few starts. Milwaukee's lineup is very short handed without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez. The total is posted a little too high here. Take the under.
07-13-13 Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 Top 4-5 Loss -105 20 h 11 m Show
*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle* The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game with a very short-handed lineup. Ryan Braun will miss the game as will Aramis Ramirez. Those two guys are their best run producers and this lineup is much weaker without them. The Diamondbacks have been a surprise this year, but it isn't because of their offense. Arizona's lineup isn't very good from top to bottom. Randall Delgado is a good young starter for the Diamondbacks and I think he has a bright future. Kyle Lohse has a solid 3.36 ERA on the road this year.

The under is 12-0 in Lohse's last 12 starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 starts as a road underdog. The under is 8-0 in Lohse's last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in the Brewer's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Diamondback's last 4 versus a righty. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondback's last 6 versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers' last 4 as an underdog. In all a massive 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under BIG!
07-13-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 7-3 Win 100 14 h 56 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Here we get a nice value on the over with two pitchers who I believe are capable of giving up a very big number. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 6 at home this year. Todd Redmond has made only 2 career major league starts and his ERA was nearly 4 in triple A. Toronto's offense is much more dangerous in Jose Reyes in the lead off spot. Baltimore's lineup doesn't get the credit it deserves. The Orioles have one baseball's best offenses from top to bottom. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over.
07-12-13 Boston Red Sox v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 4-2 Win 112 20 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Lackey has been pitching extremely well of late. Lackey is arguably throwing the ball better than he has at any time in his career. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of this last 7 starts. Boston has struggled badly in Oakland for several years. The Red Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games in Oakland. Boston's offense is very good, but I have a feeling Parker and the strong Athletics bullpen will slow them down. This one has pitchers' dual written all over it. Take the under.
07-12-13 New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8 2-3 Win 100 17 h 19 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hefner has really come into his own over his last few starts. Hefner was on the verge of losing his starting spot in the rotation, but he has solidified his spot with five very good starts in a row. Charlie Morton hasn't been able to prove himself yet this year, but he has a good history at home. Neither of these teams have a strong lineup. This is the type of game that I think both pitchers will have several easy innings. Because the Mets bats have been hot of late, the value is with the under. Take the under.
07-12-13 Texas Rangers v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5 2-7 Loss -100 17 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Grimm started the year well for the Rangers, but things have really fallen apart for him of late. Grimm never pitched very well in the minors so I'm not surprised he is struggling in the majors. Detroit isn't the type of team you want to face when you are struggling. Look for the Tigers to put up a big number here. On the other side Doug Fister has allowed 6 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Rangers offense is pretty strong as well. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The over is 8-1 in the Tigers last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the over.
07-11-13 Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 8 1-6 Loss -110 20 h 46 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Two left-handed pitchers who have really struggled of late will start in this matchup. Drew Pomeranz will start for the Rockies. He has lasted only 4 innings in his first two starts back from an injury. The Dodgers' lineup is hitting extremely well right now, and I think they are a really tough matchup for him. Chris Capuano has been awful at home this year. He has an ERA above 7 at Dodgers Stadium. Several guys in this Rockies lineup have great numbers against Capuano. For two struggling pitchers, I believe this total is just too low. Take the over.
07-11-13 Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9 3-5 Win 100 19 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks have won games this year because of their pitching, not their hitting. Arizona's lineup is one of the worst in the National League. Milwaukee has a decent lineup when everyone is healthy, but the Brewers are severely shorthanded right now. Wade Miley pitched great last year, and after a slow start he has looked good in his last 3 outings. Yobani Gallardo is auditioning for a spot on someone else's roster right now, and I think he'll pitch well. The under is 10-1 in the Dbacks last 11 against a right handed pitcher. Take the under.
07-10-13 Colorado: De La Rosa v. San Diego: A Cashner UNDER 7 5-4 Loss -106 20 h 50 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Colorado Rockies are without their 3 best hitters right now. Without Gonzalez, Tulowitzki, and Fowler the Rockies lineup isn't very dangerous. The Padres are without both Grandal and Alonso and their lineup was very weak to start with. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. In his career he has an ERA of less than 2 when pitching in San Diego. Andrew Cashner has the stuff to be an elite pitcher, and this is a great chance for him to show that against a very short-handed Rockies lineup. Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires and he will be behind the plate here. Take the under.
07-10-13 Los Angeles Angels v. Chicago Cubs OVER 8 13-2 Win 100 7 h 43 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* C.J. Wilson and Jeff Samardzija will be on the mound tonight. Wilson has struggled on the road and Samardzija has struggled at home. A big factor in this game will be the home plate umpire, Sam Holbrook. Holbrook is one of my favorite 'over' umpires because of his tiny strike zone. He'll make both pitchers work very hard in this game. The Angels lineup has come to life of late, and the Cubs have been hitting it surprisingly well of late. The over is 7-0 in Samardzija's last 7 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after allowing just 2 runs or less in his previous start. The over is 8-0-1 in the Cubs last 9 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Wrigley. The over is 4-0 in the Angels last 4 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 as a road favorite. In all, a 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
07-10-13 Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 9 6-2 Win 101 13 h 46 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been in a terrible slump on the road of late. This lineup should produce more than they have been, but now seems to be the perfect time for Brewers pitcher Johnny Hellweg to go against Cincinnati. Hellweg has had a very rocky start to his major league career, but his minor league numbers tell me that he should improve drastically. Mike Leake has been tremendous so far this year for the Reds. He pitches much better away from home. The under is 6-0 in the Reds last 7 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Leake's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. Take the under.
07-09-13 Oakland A's v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 2-1 Win 100 20 h 46 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both Daniel Straily and Gerrit Cole are top pitching prospects. These guys don't have a lot of experience in the majors, but their history in the minors tells me they'll be dominating in the majors sooner rather than later. Oakland's offense started off red hot this year, but they have cooled off of late. Pittsburgh's offense is inconsistent and hasn't been good the last few days. Both of these teams have a great bullpen. Wally Bell will be behind home plate here and he has a huge strike zone that should help these two young pitchers. Take the under.
07-09-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 0-3 Loss -100 18 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Here we have a matchup of two pitchers who have been struggling all season. Both Josh Johnson and Ubaldo Jimenez have had great seasons in the past, but 2013 hasn't been impressive for either of these guys. Johnson has an ERA above 7 on the road while Jimenez has an ERA above 6 at home. Toronto's offense is much better with Jose Reyes in the leadoff spot. Cleveland's offense is better than most realize, especially with Jason Kipnis and Michael Brandley hitting the ball as well as they are right now. The wind is expected to be blowing out center field which will help as well. Take the over.
07-08-13 New York Mets v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 4-3 Push 0 22 h 31 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Matt Harvey has been outstanding for the Mets this season. Harvey's ERA is barely above 2. The problem for Harvey has been that the Mets' offense doesn't give him much run support. Tim Lincecum has been up and down this season, but he is better at home and he'll be facing a weak Mets lineup. The Giants have won only 5 of their last 21 games, and that is primarily due to horrific production from their offense. Marco Scutaro is one of their most consistent hitters, but he is dinged up right now. It's hard to see either of these teams putting up many runs here. Take the under.
07-08-13 Oakland A's v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7.5 Top 2-1 Win 100 23 h 20 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Gem* Bartolo Colon and Jeff Locke are both pitchers I've fared well backing so far this year. Against each other, I struggle to see an edge for either team, but I do expect a low scoring game. Locke has a spectacular 2.12 ERA on the year. Colon has a 2.78 ERA this year, and his consistency has been tremendous. Both of these teams have a good bullpen, and I don't think either lineup is particularly strong. These aren't the kind of teams that usually give away free runs with defensive miscues either. The under is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 interleague starts. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the under big!
07-08-13 Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9 Top 2-3 Loss -114 18 h 21 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies offenses have both been heating up in a big way of late. Chase Utley is healthy and Domonic Brown is hitting the cover off the ball too. Washington has gotten a major boost from Bryce Harper coming back. Dan Haren has an ERA above 6 this year, and in his career he has an 8.18 ERA at Philadelphia. John Lannan has been up and down all year and the Phillies have been locked in against lefties of late. The over is 4-0 in the Nationals last 4. The over is 6-0-1 in Haren's last 7 starts as a favorite. The over is 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games. The over is 5-0 in Lannan's last 5 starts. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!
07-07-13 Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 4-5 Loss -118 14 h 59 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The weather is an important factor at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The high temperature is expected to be 95 degrees around the start of this game, which should help the ball fly very well. Justin Grimm pitched well in his first few starts for the Rangers, but he has been torched of late. The Astros put up 9 runs against Yu Darvish, and I expect them to put up several here. The Rangers have a strong lineup, and they matchup well against Houston pitcher Erik Bedard. The over is 7-1 in Grimm's last 8 starts overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the Astros last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers' last 4 against a left-handed pitcher. Take the over.
07-03-13 Chicago Cubs v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 3-1 Win 100 20 h 7 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Garza and Bartolo Colon have both been pitching brilliantly of late. Garza has a 0.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colon has an ERA well under 3 so far this year. Neither of these offenses are particularly strong. Recent overs by both of these teams have bumped the total up here which gives us more value on the under. Both of these pitchers could pitch deep into the game and save up the bullpen. I have this one pegged at 6.5 runs, so I'll gladly take the under when given an extra run. Take the under.
07-03-13 Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 8 4-2 Win 100 18 h 38 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Felix Hernandez is clearly one of baseball's best pitchers, and Derek Holland is quickly becoming an elite pitcher. Hernandez tends to pitch his best against high quality competition. The Mariners scored 9 runs last night, but they have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Look for the Rangers to bounce back behind a great effort from Holland. The under is 5-0-1 in Hernandez's last 6 Wednesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Hernadez's last 4 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Holland's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts as a favorite. Take the under.
06-30-13 New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 Top 2-4 Loss -119 20 h 15 m Show
*5 Star Sunday Night Baseball TOP Play* The Baltimore Orioles still aren't getting the respect they deserve from the oddsmakers. Baltimore won with their pitching staff last year, but it is their amazing offense that has them winning games this season. Opposing pitchers really don't get a break at any point in the Orioles lineup. Hiroki Kuroda has been good this year, but he allowed five runs in just two innings at Baltimore a few weeks ago. Paul Schreiber will be the home plate umpire, and he is arguably the best over umpire in the business because of his tiny strike zone. Kuroda has a career ERA of 7.6 when Schreiber is behind home plate. On the other side, Chris Tillman has an ERA above 8 in his career against the Yankees. The over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles last 5 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 games with 4 days of rest. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Tillman's last 4 starts verses the Yankees. Take the over Big!
06-30-13 Washington Nationals v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 13-2 Loss -120 13 h 9 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Zach Wheeler is one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. He pitched a shut out in his first start, but gave up 4 runs in his second league start. The Mets organization realized that Wheeler was tipping his breaking pitches in his last start, and look for Wheeler to have adjusted in time for this start. Gio Gonzalez started the year a little slowly, but he is a very good left-handed pitcher. The Mets lineup has been struggling of late, and I don't expect them to get it going against Gonzalez. Look for a good outing from both pitchers. Take the under.
06-29-13 San Diego Padres v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 1-7 Loss -110 17 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jacob Turner was rushed to the majors by Detroit, and he struggled early in his career, but he his starting to look like the same dominant pitcher he was expected to be when he was brought up. Turner has a 1.97 ERA so far this season, and the Padres offense isn't very strong. Eric Stults will start for the Padres. Stults has been quietly raking in the money for under bettors so far this season. He is a quality left-handed pitcher who does a good job controlling all of his pitches. The Marlins arguably have the worst offense in baseball, and they have been particularly bad against left-handed pitching. The under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 against a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 road starts. The under is 4-0 in Stults' last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take the under.
06-29-13 San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 1-2 Win 106 15 h 46 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain started the season pitching terribly, but he is beginning to look a lot more like the Matt Cain of old in his last 4 starts. While he hasn't been terrific at Coors Field, he doesn't have a bad history in this hitter-friendly ballpark either. The Rockies are without Troy Tulowitzki, and they may be without Dexter Fowler. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has an ERA of less than 3.5 at Coors Field this year. Matt Cain has an ERA of less than 2 in his career with Bob Davidson behind home plate. I like the value on the under. Take the under.
06-28-13 Chicago Cubs v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 4-5 Loss -119 8 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners both have terrible offenses. In this game, they both have very good pitchers going as well. Travis Woos is 5-6 on the season, but it isn't because he hasn't pitched well. In fact, Wood has a sparkling 2.85 ERA. The Cubs just haven't been hitting for him at all. Hisashi Iwakuma has been the Mariners best pitcher this year. Iwakuma has an ERA of 2.26 on the year, and his ERA is 1.46 at home. These two guys have been great game in and game out and I expect no different here. Take the under.
06-28-13 St. Louis Cardinals v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 1-6 Win 100 20 h 55 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Shelby Miller and Bartolo Colon have both been awesome this season. Both of these guys have an ERA of less than 3 on the season. Colon has been even more dominant at home and in his career he has pitched better during night games. The Cardinals lineup is very good, but they are in a bit of a slump right now. Colon seems like the type of guy that could keep the Cardinals hitters guessing. Miller has been amazing in his rookie season, and the Athletics' offense has come back down to earth after their red hot start to the season. Expect both of these pitchers to go deep into the game. The under is 7-2 in the Cardinals last 9 games. The under is 5-1 in Miller's last 6 road starts. The under is 10-2 in the A's last 12 home games verses a right handed starter. Take the under.
06-28-13 Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8 9-3 Win 100 18 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Kansas City Royals offense hasn't been particularly strong so far, but I expect them to get better as the season progresses. At the same time, the Royals bullpen has been over achieving this season. James Shields is a solid pitcher, but he has struggled against Willingham, Mauer, and Morneau. The heart of this Twins order is still pretty good. The weather conditions should help the ball fly out here as the wind is expected to be out at about 15 mph. P.J. Walters hasn't proven himself as a big league pitcher. He is the type of guy who can give up 5 or 6 runs in an inning. The over is 5-2 in Walters' last 7 home starts. I like the value here. Take the over.
06-28-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 5-7 Win 100 5 h 4 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto just got back Jose Reyes and I would argue he is the key to their offense. He gets on base and gives Bautista and Encarnacion more RBI opportunities. Webster has struggled a lot early in his career, and shutting down Toronto is a tough task right now. Josh Johnson isn't the same pitcher he was a couple years ago. The Red Sox lead the majors in runs scored, and I expect them to score several here. Take the over in this one.
06-27-13 Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8.5 Top 7-2 Loss -115 12 h 27 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Cubs and Milwaukee Brewers are both very short-handed on offense right now. Chicago has a poor lineup to start with and DeJesus was doing a nice job as their leadoff man. Milwaukee is without star Ryan Braun as well as Corey Hart. Carlos Gomez may miss the game as well. Matt Garza had one bad outing this year, but he has been dominant in most of his starts. He has a 2.90 ERA in his career against the Brewers. Wily Peralta took some time to get accustomed to the majors, but he has looked much better of late. He has been great in two starts against the Cubs this year already. The under is 5-1-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games. The under is 4-1 in Peralta's last 5 starts. The under is 7-2-1 in the Cubs last 10. Take the under big!
06-26-13 Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 4-3 Loss -105 19 h 43 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Jason Hammel started the season well, but he has been struggling in a big way of late. He'll be pitching at home in this one, but that's certainly not an advantage for him. He has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Scott Kazmir is extremely inconsistent at this stage of his career, and the Orioles have one of baseball's best offenses. Ted Barrett will be the home plate umpire here. Kazmir has a 10.06 ERA with Barrett as home plate umpire in his career. Hammel has a 8.53 ERA with Barrett behind the plate. This has all the makings of a high-scoring contest. Take the over.
06-26-13 St. Louis Cardinals v. Houston Astros OVER 8.5 3-4 Loss -108 18 h 22 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Tim McClelland is the best over umpire in all of baseball. So far this season McClelland has called only 61.7% of pitches a strike, which is easily the lowest of any major league umpire. The conditions in this game will be favorable for the over as well with the temperature near 90 and win blowing straight out to center field. Erik Bedard has struggled with McClelland behind the plate because he likes to nibble at the corners, and McClelland doesn't give him those pitches. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in Lance Lynn's last 5 following a quality start. The over is 4-1 in McClelland's last 5 behind the plate. Take the over.
06-26-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 4-2 Win 102 14 h 57 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire for this game. Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire in all of baseball. Unlike many umpires, Miller has an extremely consistent large strike zone year in and year out. Felix Hernandez is one of baseball's most dominating pitcher and he has been awesome with Miller is behind the dish. Hernandez has a 1.86 ERA with Miller as the home plate umpire. He also has a 0.56 ERA in his career against the Pirates. The Mariners have one of the worst offenses in baseball, and Gomez has been a solid pitcher for the Pirates this year. Look for a low scoring contest. Take the under.
06-26-13 Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 8 3-5 Push 0 11 h 42 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins played to a 4-2 final last night as I cashed in on the under. I'm going back to the well in this one. Minnesota is notorious for resting key starters in get away day situations like this so don't be surprised if Mauer, Morneau, or Willingham aren't in the lineup. Scott Diamond is a talented young lefty for the Twins and the Marlins are brutally bad (.211 average) against lefties. Koehler had one terrible start for the Marlins, but that was against St. Louis and he should calm a short-handed Twins offense. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 interleague games. The under is 4-0 in Diamond's last 4 Wednesday starts. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against the AL East. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 against the AL Central. Take the under.
06-25-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 Top 9-4 Loss -118 22 h 35 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Seattle Mariners both struggle against left-handed pitching. Jeff Locke is a very good young lefty for the Pirates and Joe Saunders is tough at Safeco Field. Pittsburgh hits .220 and Seattle .229 against lefties. Locke has been absolutely amazing of late. He has thrown a shutout in 5 of his last 7 starts. He has a 2.01 ERA on the year overall. Saunders has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 6-0 in Locke's last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Pirates last 6 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.
06-25-13 Minnesota Twins v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7 2-4 Win 100 18 h 25 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in all of baseball. In fact, there have been very few bright spots for Miami this season. One of those rare bright spots has been youngster Jose Fernandez. Fernandez has been brilliant at home with an ERA of less than 2 so far in 2013. Kevin Correia isn't a dominating pitcher, but he consistently gives the Twins a quality start. This is one of those games where I expect a lot of quick innings and the starters working deep into the game. Look for a pitchers duel. Take the under.
06-25-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 1-5 Loss -115 18 h 25 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore was amazing at the start of 2013, but things have turned quickly for the worse in his last 4 starts. Moore has an ERA above ten in those last four outings. Toronto's bats have been heating up in a big way of late. On the other side, Mark Buehrle starts for the Blue Jays. Tampa Bay has been great all season against left handed pitching. Both of these offenses are capable of putting up a big inning at any time during this contests. The over is 5-0 in Moore's last 5 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in Moore's last 4 starts at home verses Toronto. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa. The over is 4-1 in Tampa's last 5 games verses a lefty. Take the over.
06-23-13 Minnesota Twins v. Cleveland Indians OVER 9 5-3 Loss -105 12 h 50 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Pelfrey has an ERA over 6 so far this year. Pelfrey is one of those guys that regularly allows 4 or 5 runs and doesn't get out of the 6th inning. Carlos Carrasco has never been consistent in his big league pitching career, and the Twins have hit the ball well against him in the past. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 games between these two teams at Cleveland. The over is 19-8-2 in the last 29 meetings between these teams overall. Look for both pitchers to give up several here. Take the over.
06-20-13 Boston: J Lackey v. Detroit: J Alvarez OVER 9 3-4 Loss -110 21 h 43 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox and the Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in the majors. Detroit is averaging 4.94 runs and I expect them to have success against John Lackey. Lackey struggles on the road and I don't consider him a dominating pitcher at this stage in his career. Jose Alvarez will make his second career start for Detroit. Alvarez is a nice prospect, but it is a lot to ask of him to shut down this Red Sox lineup. Boston is averaging 5.08 runs per game this year, which is first in the majors. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.
06-19-13 Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8 1-4 Loss -111 22 h 51 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals have a history of playing some high scoring games against each other. Jake Westbrook just came back from an injury and he didn't look sharp in his first start back. Edwin Jackson has a 4.58 ERA in his career against the Cardinals, and most of the guys in this St. Louis lineup have great numbers against him. This number isn't set very high, so I like the value. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6. The over is 6-0-1 in Westbrook's last 7 as a -151 to -200 favorite. The over is 4-0 in Westbrook's last 4 against the Cubs. Take the over.
06-19-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 1-2 Win 109 21 h 46 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Bronson Arroyo has a nice history against his old team (the Pittsburgh Pirates) and he also has pitched great with Jerry Meals as the home plate umpire. Meals will be behind the plate here. Arroyo has a 1.73 ERA in 7 starts with Meals as the home plate umpire. Jeff Locke has been a great young lefty for the Pirates. In two starts against the Reds, he has a 1.86 ERA. Neither of these offenses are hitting it well right now. The under is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 games. The under is 6-0-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 8 starts. Take the under.
06-18-13 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 4-0 Win 100 21 h 33 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. In Mat Latos' career against the Pirates he has a 2.3 ERA. Pittsburgh's lineup isn't very strong from top to bottom this year. Charlie Morton has been very good against the Reds in the past. No one in the Reds lineup sees the ball well against him. The breeze will be blowing in slightly which should help keep it in the yard more than normal. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in Morton's last 4 starts following a loss for his team. The under is 7-1 in Latos' last 8 as a home favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams in Cincinnati. Take the under.
06-16-13 Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 2-10 Loss -116 15 h 56 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Oakland and Seattle both have a weak lineup from top to bottom. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball all year. Dating back to last season he has allowed more than three runs only once in last 16 starts. Bartolo Colon has been dominant of late, and he has great career numbers against Seattle. This is a pitcher's ballpark, and both of these pitchers are good at staying out of the big inning. This is the type of game where I expect to see both starters pitching very deep into the contest. This should be a very low scoring game. Take the under.
06-15-13 Chicago White Sox v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 3-4 Win 100 18 h 42 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The single best 'under' umpire in baseball is Doug Eddings. He'll be behind the dish in this one. Eddings has the biggest strike zone in the league and he loves ringing up batters. Both of these pitchers should benefit from an expanded strike zone, because they are nibblers to start with. These offenses have been in a real funk of late. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5. The under is 6-0 in Danks' last 6 starts on 6 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts against the AL West. The under is 6-1 in the Astros last 7 home games. Take the under.
06-15-13 Kansas City Royals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 3-5 Push 0 14 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Kansas City Royals pitching staff has shocked a lot of people this year (myself included). The Royals rank first in the American League in team ERA. Kansas City has gotten great work from Jeremy Guthrie all year, and he has been great in Tampa Bay in the past. Alex Cobb is one of the most underrated young pitchers in the league. The under is 5-0 in Guthrie's last 5 on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Guthrie's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 starts when his team scored 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. Take the under.
06-14-13 Washington Nationals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 1-2 Win 100 18 h 29 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has had a couple hiccups this year, but for the most part, he has pitched like an Ace. Masterson has been brilliant at home this season, and the Nationals lineup isn't the same without Bryce Harper. Gio Gonzalez has been rounding into form of late, and he has been spectacular in his career when pitching in Cleveland. In four career starts at Cleveland, Gonzalez has an amazing 0.68 ERA. Neither of these offenses are terrific right now, and I expect a great game from both starting pitchers. Take the under.
06-13-13 San Francisco: M Cain v. Pittsburgh: C Morton OVER 7.5 10-0 Win 100 18 h 10 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Francisco Giants have a much better offense than they did a year ago. Charlie Morton hasn't pitched in more than a year and he'll make his return in this one after Tommy John surgery. Matt Cain hasn't been himself this year. He has an ERA above 6 on the road this year. Tim McClelland may well be the best 'over' umpire in the business, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. He has had one of the smallest strike zones for many years, and he'll squeeze both pitchers in this one. I like the value here. Take the over.
06-13-13 New York Yankees v. Oakland A's UNDER 7.5 2-3 Win 100 15 h 34 m Show
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The New York Yankees and Oakland Athletics offenses have both been struggling of late. Hiroki Kuroda has been the Yankees best pitcher all year. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he has six straight quality starts. The A's offense was on fire earlier this year, which made oddsmakers overadjust their totals for this team. Now, the under is a nice value with Oakland playing more like the team from last year. The under is 6-0-1 in the Yankees last 7 Thursday games. The under is 4-0-1 in Kuroda's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 home games against a righty. Take the under.
06-13-13 Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 5-4 Loss -115 14 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Coors Field is still the best park in the majors for hitters when the conditions are right, and they'll be great on Thursday afternoon. The ball really flies well in the afternoon here, and temperatures are expected to be in the upper 80's for this one. Ross Detwiler and Jeff Francis are two lefties who have been struggling of late. Francis has an ERA over 6 this year. Detwiler will have trouble getting through a Rockies lineup that is stacked from top to bottom. The over is 17-7-1 in Francis' last 25 starts at home. The over is 5-1-1 in the Rockies last 7. Take the over.
06-12-13 Philadelphia Phillies v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 3-4 Loss -111 19 h 31 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Mike Pelfery has an ERA of 6.3 so far this year. It's very rare that he can get through a start without giving up a big inning. The Phillies offense has been much better of late thanks to a surge in production from Domonic Brown. Brown has turned into the star hitting outfielder that many thought he would be a couple years ago. Tyler Cloyd is very inconsistent, and the Twins offense has been good at home this season. The wind will be blowing out center field and with these two pitchers, I think this number is too low. Take the over.
06-12-13 Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 9-5 Win 104 11 h 37 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Angels offense has shown signs of life lately. I still believe the Angels are going to score a ton of runs at some point this year. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 7 at home this year, and he is a guy that the Angels should be able to put up a bunch of runs against. Jerome Williams has been good so far this year, but he has struggled during the day time in his career. This Orioles lineup is much better than most people realize. It'll be a hot day in Baltimore which should help the ball carry well in this contest. The over is 7-0 in Hammel's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
06-11-13 Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 3-8 Win 100 17 h 50 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies have one of the best offenses in baseball, and they also have a poor pitching staff. Dan Haren is one of the weak links on the Nationals staff at this point. Coors Field is still the best hitters ballpark when the conditions are right. They can't be more right than they are on Tuesday. A temperature in the upper 80's and a wind blowing straight out to center at 20 miles per hour will really make it rough on these pitchers. Chacin has an ERA above 5 at home. Expect lots of runs in this one. Take the over.
06-11-13 Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 3-2 Loss -100 17 h 27 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers have the best offense in baseball. Detroit averages 5.15 runs per game, and they'll get to face Wade Davis in this one. Davis is a very inconsistent pitcher who gives up big innings quite often. Against such a strong offense, I don't expect him to pitch well. The wind is expected to be blowing out 15-20 mph in this one and the temperature will be in the upper 80's. This is perfect conditions for the ball to really travel well here. I like the value here. Take the over.
06-09-13 Miami Marlins v. New York Mets UNDER 7.5 8-4 Loss -108 11 h 44 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins and New York Mets just played a ridiculous 20 inning game on Saturday. Generally, the thought is a long game like this would help the over in the following game because of the worn down bullpen. In this case, both Jon Niese and Tom Kohler have a good chance of going deep into the game and saving the bullpen because of their strong pitching. The Marlins average 2.34 runs per game against lefties, which is worst in the majors. The Mets offense isn't good, and Kohler is an underrated youngster. The under is the play here. Take the under.
06-08-13 San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 10-5 Loss -100 22 h 58 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the best pitching staffs in the National League, and they don't have particularly good offenses. Madison Bumgarner doesn't have good numbers of late, but his starts have been against very good offenses. Trevor Cahill has a 2.66 ERA at home this year, and his career numbers against the Giants are very good. Last night's game finished at 3-1 and I see a similar type of game here. The starters should go deep into the game as both lineups struggle to string hits together. The under is 5-0 in Cahill's last 5 starts as a home favorite. The under is 6-1 in his last 7 home starts. The under is 6-1 in Bumgarner's last 7 starts as an underdog. Take the under.
06-07-13 Oakland A's v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 4-3 Win 100 19 h 55 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jarrod Parker and Chris Sale are both pitching extremely well right now. These two squared off against each other just 5 days a go, and the score was 2-0. Parker started the season slowly, but he has been pitching much like he did last year lately. Parker has a brilliant 0.93 ERA in his career against the White Sox. Sale had one bad start this year, but he has been completely dominant of late. Oakland's offense is overrated at this point, and the White Sox lineup is very weak. The under is 3-0-1 in Sale's last 4 starts. The under is 4-0-2 in the White Sox last 6 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in Sale's last 6 starts following a quality start. The under is 4-1 in Parker's last 5 starts. Take the under.
06-07-13 Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 1-2 Loss -110 18 h 8 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Chris Archer is a highly touted prospect for the Rays, but he seems to be struggle to make the transition to the major leagues. The Orioles have a much better lineup than most people realize, and I think the over is a great value in many of their games right now. Jason Hammel has been winning games of late, but only because he has been getting great run support. Hammel has really struggled in his last 4 games, and the Rays offense is red hot right now. The over is 5-0 in Hammel's last 5 road starts. The over 4-0-1 in Hammel's last 5 starts as an underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Orioles last 7 games as a road underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Rays last 7 Friday games. The over is 7-0-1 in the Rays last 8 home games verses a righty. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
06-05-13 Chicago White Sox v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 7-5 Loss -110 14 h 30 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners both have extremely weak lineups. These are teams that can score one or two runs in a game and no one will bat an eyelash. Dylan Axelrod is still developing as a pitcher, but he has good stuff. Hisashi Iwakuma is dominating for the Mariners so far this year. Iwakuma has actually been even better than King Felix for most of the year. Iwakuma has given up more than 3 runs only once in last 15 starts. The under is 4-1-1 in the White Sox last 6. The under is 5-1 in Iwakuma's last 6 against the AL Central. DJ Reyburn is the umpire here and he has a big strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Reyburn's last 6 Wednesday games. Take the under.
06-04-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 Top 1-2 Loss -105 21 h 25 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Josh Johnson is coming back form an injury for the Blue Jays in this one. Johnson has been bad so far this year, and he was bad in his minor league rehab starts as well. He pitched 4 and 2/3 and gave up 6 runs in his most recent minor league tuneup. Tim Lincecum hasn't been himself again this year. Lincecum has given up at least 4 runs in 7 of his 10 starts this year. He has allowed 6 runs in two of his last 3 outings. Both of these offenses are pretty good this year, and neither of these pitchers have proven themselves at all this season. This is too low of a number. The over is 13-3 in the Blue Jays last 16 following a win. The over is 12-4-1 in Lincecum's last 17 starts. The over is 7-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.
06-04-13 Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8 1-10 Loss -110 17 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore is having a break out season for the Tampa Bay Rays. Moore has an ERA just above 2, and the Rays are 12-1 in his last 13 starts this year. Moore pitched well in his only outing against Detroit last season. Anibal Sanchez has been spectacular at home this year with an ERA under 2. Even though both offenses are solid, I think the value is with the under because of the two elite pitchers. The under is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
06-04-13 New York Mets v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 2-3 Win 100 17 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jordan Zimmerman in one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Zimmerman has a 1.50 ERA at home so far this year. He is coming off a rare poor start at Baltimore, and I expect him to bounce back with a great start against a bad Mets lineup. Jeremy Hefner isn't a terrific pitcher, but he generally keeps his team in the game. The Nationals offense is hurting right now without Bryce Harper and Jayson Werth. Don't expect the Nationals to put up as many runs without Harper in the middle of the lineup. Take the under.
06-03-13 OAK ATHLETICS v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 10-2 Win 100 20 h 36 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine on the road this year. The over is 19-11 in their 30 road games this season. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff isn't very good, but they have a pretty strong lineup. Milwaukee is particularly strong against lefties. The Brewers hit .272 as a team against lefties. Tom Milone has a 5.55 ERA away from home this year, and he is a guy that the Brewers should be able to get to. Marco Estrada has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Estrada isn't a shut down type of pitcher at this point in his career. The over is 10-1 in the A's last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 9-1-2 in the Brewers last 12 Interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a lefty. Take the over.
06-02-13 Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies UNDER 9.5 2-7 Win 100 15 h 46 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Jorge DeLarosa has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball so far this year. He is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA at Coors Field so far in 2013. The Dodgers have hit him well in the past, but this Dodgers' lineup is extremely short handed right now. The Dodgers will be without Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, and A.J. Ellis. Ryu has been excellent for the Dodgers so far this season. He has an ERA under 3, and his past couple games have been his best of the year. This total is too high with two quality pitchers on the hill and so many injuries in the Dodgers' lineup. The under is 8-2 in the Rockies last 10 games as a favorite. The under is 5-2-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games verses a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 games following a win. Take the under.
06-02-13 Detroit Tigers v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10 2-4 Loss -110 12 h 36 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Betting an over 10 certainly isn't something I like to do on a normal basis, but this number is justified in this particular case. Gausman is a top pitching prospect for the Orioles, but it seems that they've rushed him to the majors. He has given up 11 earned runs in this first 2 starts. Detroit has scored more runs than anyone in baseball so far this year, and this Tigers' lineup is extremely dangerous. Rick Porcello is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball, and his ERA is almost 7 on the road. Baltimore has the second highest scoring team in baseball. The over is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 road games against a righty. The over is 2-0 in Gausman's first two starts for the Orioles. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore. Take the over.
05-31-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. San Diego Padres OVER 8 3-4 Loss -109 21 h 59 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Petco Park isn't quite the pitcher friendly park it was a year ago. The fences have been moved in quite a bit here, and it is making a difference. The over is 14-11 in the Padres home games this year. In the past, it has been an easy under bet for Padres home games. Toronto's offense is good and I don't trust Jason Marquis. Jenkins is a youngster who couldn't dominate at the Double A level, and the Padres should be able to do some work against him. Expect a higher scoring game here. Take the over.
05-31-13 Houston Astros v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 6-3 Win 100 21 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Dallas Keuchel is one of the worst pitchers in the major league at this time. Keuchel isn't very good at home, and he is horrible on the road. He has a career ERA over 5, and this Angels lineup should be licking their chops to face him on Friday night. Tommy Hanson isn't all that impressive, and the Astros beat him up pretty good earlier this year. The Astros have been a good over team this year because their bullpen is so horrific. The over is 7-0 in Keuchel's last 7 road games. The over is 19-9 in the Angels last 28 home games. Take the over.
05-29-13 Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 6-3 Loss -108 18 h 52 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Houston Astros don't have a good offense, but they have a way of pushing games over the posted total. Houston's pitching staff is the worst in baseball, and their bullpen is atrocious. Erik Bedard has an ERA above 8 on the road this year, and it won't get any easier at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood has a WHIP of 1.62 in his career at Coors Field, which tells me he allows far too many baserunners to be trusted. Marvin Hudson has a small strike zone and will help the over quite a bit. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Colorado. Take the over.
05-29-13 Washington Nationals v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8 6-9 Loss -106 17 h 56 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Washington Nationals will start Jordan Zimmerman in this one, and Zimmerman is a pitcher I really like. He gives his team a quality start every time out, and he does it without a ton of flash. He just gets the job done by getting ahead in the count and using his great control. Chris Tillman has been great at home this year, and the Nationals lineup is really hurting without Harper or Espinosa right now. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 starts against the Orioles. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. Take the under.
05-28-13 Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 0-3 Loss -120 21 h 52 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels got off to a horrible start again this year, but their offense is heating up in a big way of late. When you have guys like Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton, and Albert Pujols your team is going to score a lot of runs. The Dodgers' offense isn't very good, but they'll have a favorable matchup in Angels' starter Joe Blanton. Blanton has a 6.19 ERA this year, and it would be a surprise if they Dodgers didn't put up several runs here. Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, but I don't think he can completely shut down the Angels' lineup. The over is 37-16 in the Angels' last 53 games following a loss. Take the over.
05-28-13 St. Louis Cardinals v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 4-1 Loss -100 18 h 10 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have what I believe is the best offense in the National League. St. Louis has a ton of depth in their lineup, which makes them extremely tough to shut down for an entire game. Ervin Santana has pitched well so far this year, but his past tells us that he's a very inconsistent pitcher. Tyler Lyons will make his second Major League start for the Cardinals in this one. Lyons pitched well in his first start, but his 4.4 ERA in AAA tells me he's unlikely to continue to pitch well in the majors. The Royals hit lefties very well, and I expect them to get to Lyons. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals' last 4 interleague games. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The over is 4-0 in the last 5 meetings overall. Take the over.
05-24-13 Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 5-0 Loss -105 20 h 19 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Colorado Rockies have gotten to Tim Lincecum twice this year. Lincecum has allowed 12 runs in just two starts against the Rockies in 2013. Colorado's lineup has been scoring runs wherever they go this year. Lincecum isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Rockies, and he isn't someone I like to back. Chatwood allows a ton of baserunners and is constantly trying to work out of a jam. The Giants offense is much better than it was a year ago, and they have been a solid over team of late. The over is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts against Colorado. The over is 6-0 in Colorado's last 6 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games. Take the over.
05-24-13 Los Angeles Angels v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 5-2 Loss -100 18 h 44 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Los Angeles Angels offense appears to have woken up. It was a sleeping giant, and Mike Trout has once again been the main man behind waking this lineup up. He did it last year around this time, and he is doing it again this year. The Angels are very dangerous offensively, but they still have weaknesses in the pitching department. The Royals hit lefties very well and Jason Vargas is bad on the road. In his career he has a 5.22 road ERA. He has an ERA of 6.93 in KC in his career. Look for these offenses to duke it out in this one. Take the over.
05-22-13 St. Louis Cardinals v. San Diego Padres OVER 7.5 5-3 Win 100 20 h 2 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League right now. Burch Smith has looked like he is over his head in his first two starts in the majors. It won't get any easier here. The Cardinals are giving the ball to Tyler Lyons. Lyons had an ERA over 4 in AAA and I can't imagine him coming to the majors and having much success at the beginning of his career. This number is set far too low given the pitchers who are starting this one. Take the over.
05-21-13 New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9 2-3 Loss -102 17 h 52 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The New York Yankees offense has held it together pretty well this year while many of their key hitters are hurt. Granderson is now back and Gardner is looking better in his last few at bats. The Orioles bullpen has imploded of late, and Baltimore's pitching staff has been giving up some big numbers. Phil Hughes has been absolutely demolished in his last two starts. He was knocked out of the game after just 2/3 of an inning pitched in his last outing. Hughes has a career ERA of 6.58 at Baltimore. The weather should help as it will be hot with the wind blowing out. Take the over.
05-20-13 Washington Nationals v. San Francisco Giants OVER 8 0-8 Push 0 21 h 9 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Washington Nationals will start Zach Duke in this one. Duke hasn't started a game since 2011, and he has an 8.40 ERA out of the bullpen this year. San Francisco's lineup is much better this year than it was in 2012. Ryan Vogelsong was great in 2011 and 2012, but he has been awful of late. Vogelsong has given up at least 6 runs in each of his last 4 starts. Washington's lineup is much better than it has shown of late, and I think they could break out in this game. The over is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 home games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 Monday starts. The over is 10-1-1 in Vogelsong's last 12 as a home favorite. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two teams. Take the over.
05-20-13 Seattle Mariners v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 Top 8-10 Loss -112 11 h 44 m Show
*5 Star MLB Early Bird TOP Play* The Seattle Mariners are once again a very poor offense last year. They struggled all year last year against lefties, and they have been bad against south paws again this year. Scott Kazmir is a remarkable comeback story this year. Kazmir has upped his velocity again, and his control seems to be improving. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Iwakuma is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA so far this year. Iwakuma hasn't given up more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. That's some amazing consistency. It's get away day for these teams, and that should mean some key guys are out of the lineup in this contest. The under is 7-0 in the Mariners last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 against the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0-1 in the Indians last 5 against a righty. Take the under big!
05-19-13 Milwaukee Brewers v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 Top 2-4 Loss -115 13 h 17 m Show
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers don't have a very good pitching staff, but with most of their guys healthy they definitely do have a good lineup now. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, Corey Hart, Carlos Gomez, etc make it difficult on the opposing pitcher. Milwaukee is better against lefties. John Gast will make his 2nd career major league start for the Cardinals here. Gast gave up 4 runs in 6 innings against the Mets in his first start, and this is a much better lineup than the Mets lineup.

Kyle Lohse is a pretty good pitcher, but he has been awful against the Cardinals in his career. Carlos Beltran is 23 for 45 against him. Yadier Molina is 6 for 10. Matt Holliday is 8 for 15. Clearly the Cardinals see the ball well against Lohse.

The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 Sunday games. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Take the over big!
05-18-13 Washington Nationals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 1-2 Win 100 19 h 41 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are a good team, but they can't hit left-handed pitching. Washington is hitting .192 as a team against lefties this year. They are averaging less than 3 runs per game against left-handed starters. Eric Stults certainly isn't a great pitcher, but he pitches pretty well in Petco Park. Jordan Zimmerman is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and people are finally starting to see that. Zimmerman gives the Nationals a very good start every single time out there. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.
05-18-13 Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 2-7 Loss -115 18 h 6 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers have two of the best offenses in all of baseball. Both of these teams are going to score a ton of runs this year. Detroit is averaging 5.30 runs per game and Texas is averaging 4.62 runs per game. This is the time of the year when the Rangers park starts playing like a hitter friendly park. The wind is blowing out here and it will be nice and warm. Expect the ball to be flying well. Sanchez is a good pitcher, but he has a 7.45 ERA against Texas in his career. Grimm is still a youngster with lots left to prove. Take the over.
05-18-13 New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 178.5 99-106 Loss -103 18 h 10 m Show
*3 Star Knicks/Pacers Total Domination* I successfully played the 'under' in Game 6 of the Spurs/Warriors series on Thursday night. History tells us that this potential close out games are generally very low scoring. Why is this? The game is played at a slow pace because of how big the game is, and the defensive intensity is ratcheted up quite a bit as well. Since the 2004 season, the under is 32-12 in a Game 6 or Game 7 of the NBA's playoffs. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Expect a defensive battle. Take the under.
05-16-13 San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 196 94-82 Win 100 21 h 31 m Show
*3 Star Spurs/Warriors Total Domination* History tells us that close out situations are a very good opportunity to bet on the under. Since 2004, potential close out games that are either Game 6 or Game 7 in the series have gone under 31 times versus just 12 overs. The pace of the game slows down and the defensive intensity picks up. The Spurs aren't pushing the tempo nearly as much in this series as they did during the regular season. Both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Mark Jackson is going to be preaching defense to his young team in this game. The under is 12-3-1 in the Spurs last 16 road games. Take the under.
05-15-13 Kansas City Royals v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 9-5 Win 100 21 h 3 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Wade Davis and Barry Enright aren't guys that I would ever trust. Enright had an ERA over 7 in Arizona a couple years ago and he has been a disaster ever since a decent rookie season in 2010. Davis has a 5.86 ERA this year, and he gives up runs in bunches. The Angels offense is starting to look better of late, and they should feast on his mistakes. The Royals offense is very good as well, and Enright hasn't given me any reason to believe he'll slow them down. Take the over.
05-15-13 Atlanta Braves v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 3-5 Win 100 14 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* It's get away day for these two teams and both of these managers often take starters out of the lineup in these situations. Ian Kennedy and Tim Hudson have proven over the years to be very high quality pitchers who give you a very good effort each time out to the hill. John Hirschbeck is one of the better under umpires in the game because of his large strike zone. The roof will be closed here which definitely helps the under. Take the under in this one.
05-15-13 Houston Astros v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8 7-5 Win 100 11 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have the worst team ERA in all of baseball. This entire pitching staff is a disaster. Dallas Keuchel gets the start in this one and to say he has been horrible in the road in his young career is a major understatement. Keuchel has given up more than 5 runs in almost every road start he has made in his career. Detroit averages 6 runs per game against lefties. The Houston bullpen is the worst in baseball, so if he gets chased early it won't help the Astros at all either. Detroit could put up a big number here. The over is 7-1 in Detroit's last 8 home games when Scherzer starts. The over is 6-0 in Keuchel's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 games in game three of the series. Take the over.
05-14-13 Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees UNDER 7 3-4 Push 0 17 h 25 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners aren't a good offensive team. Seattle does have one of the best pitchers in baseball in King Felix though. Felix Hernandez will start in this one, and he has an ERA of less than 2 in his last 5 starts at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees lineup isn't nearly as strong as normal right now, and Hernandez is really on a roll of late. CC Sabathia has pitched very well this year and the Mariners struggle against lefties. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take the under.
05-12-13 Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 8 1-6 Win 100 14 h 58 m Show
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics offense looked amazing at the start of the year, but it was too good to be true. If you look at the A's lineup it doesn't take long to figure out that this team can't lead the majors in runs scored as they did for almost the entire first month. Oakland's offense has started coming back down to earth fast of late. The A's are now 21st in the majors in team batting average at just .243. Joe Saunders has a career 1.75 ERA in 12 starts at Safeco, so he's a tough matchup for the A's. Tom Milone has been very good against the Mariners in the past as well. Dan Bellino is one of baseball's best 'under' umpires. The under is 33-15-3 in Bellino's last 51 games behind the dish. The under is 22-4-1 in Seattle's last 27 Sunday games. Take the under.
05-09-13 Atlanta Braves v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 6-3 Win 106 21 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Atlanta Braves offense may have slumped for a brief time a couple weeks ago, but they are hitting it very well again right now. The Braves have one of the deepest lineups in baseball, and I expect their offense to be very good in 2013. The Giants offense is much improved from last year, and that has meant a lot of overs. Ryan Vogelsong and Julio Tehran have been struggling to find their best stuff this year, so it seems strange to see such a low number. The over is 8-0 in the Braves last 8 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 5 home starts. In all, a 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
05-08-13 Atlanta Braves v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8 7-2 Win 100 10 h 53 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Leake isn't an overpowering pitcher, and I think he is the type of guy that this improved Atlanta Braves lineup can put up a bunch of runs against. Mike Minor is an inconsistent lefty who has struggled on the road in his young career. The Cincinnati Reds have been one of the best teams when it comes to hitting lefties in the past couple years. Cincinnati is plenty capable of putting up a big number themselves. The over is 7-0 in Leake's last 7 starts. The over is 7-0 in the Braves last 7 road games. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in umpire Tim Timmons last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.
05-07-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 6-4 Win 100 17 h 38 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays are a very streaky offense and they've put up 18 runs in the past two days. I successfully played the 'over' in yesterday's game between these teams and the game went well over the posted total. Tampa Bay crushes left-handed pitching, and the Rays should hit well against JA Happ here. Both teams should put up several runs in this one. Take the over.
05-06-13 Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 8-7 Win 105 18 h 3 m Show
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays lineup should be far better than they have shown of late, but their 10 run output yesterday may be a springboard for better things. Many of the hitters on this team are very streaky, and I think they are very capable of getting on a roll. Tampa Bay isn't a great offense overall, but they have hit left-handers extremely well this year. The Rays are scoring 5.06 runs per game against lefties this season. Mark Buerhle hasn't been very good this year. He has a 6.43 ERA and has given up 44 hits in just 35 innings pitched. The over is 8-1-2 in the Rays last 11 games. This one is set too low. I like the value here. Take the over.
05-05-13 St. Louis Cardinals v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 8.5 10-1 Win 100 12 h 19 m Show
*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers both have the ability to score runs in bunches. It was a 7-6 final even when the team's two Aces pitched on Saturday. On Sunday, both teams start pitchers who don't have a very good track record against their oppponent. Jaime Garcia often struggles on the road, and he has a 5.55 ERA at Miller Park. The Brewers average almost 6 runs per game so far this year against lefties. Miguel Estrada has an ERA of 4.58 and this Cardinals lineup is one of the best in the National League. With Jon Jay and Allen Craig coming on, the Cardinals can really put up the runs in bunches. The over is 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts in Milwaukee. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 home starts. The over is 17-5-1 in Garcia's last 23 starts as a road favorite. This total is set too low. Take the over.
05-02-13 Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 5-1 Loss -106 20 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* Chris Tillman and Joe Blanton are both guys who are capable of giving up a lot of runs in a start. These guys put a lot of guys on base and they have both struggled this year. Blanton has an ERA above 7 and this Orioles offense is no longer a weakness. In fact, Baltimore is 5th in the majors in runs scored per game at more than 5 runs per contest. The Angels scored 19 runs in three games in Oakland, and their bats seem to be waking up. This lineup is too good to not hit at some point, and I like this matchup with Tillman. Two good offenses and two shaky starting pitchers here equals some nice value on the over.

The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games. The over is 6-0 in Baltimore's last 6 against a right-handed pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the over.
05-01-13 Cincinnati Reds v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 2-4 Win 100 12 h 55 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have had two low scoring games already in this series (both 2-1 finals), and I think this will be a third straight. Homer Bailey has turned into the pitcher the Reds organization thought he would be years ago, and he is arguably the team's number two starter right now. Bailey has a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lance Lynn has been great for the Cardinals, and he has been amazing at home. Lynn has a 1.38 ERA at home this year, and no one on the Reds roster has hit him very well. Doug Eddings is behind the plate here and you won't find a better 'under' umpire than him. The under is an amazing 25-4 in Eddings last 29 day games. The under is 5-1 in Bailey's last 6 road starts. Take the under.
05-01-13 Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8.5 6-2 Win 100 11 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Twins have been much worse offensively than expected this year, but their starting pitching staff has been much better than expected. Scott Diamond is arguably the team's best young pitcher. Diamond has 3 starts at Comerica Park in Detroit and he has a 2.25 ERA in those games. Anibal Sanchez is pitching extremely well for the Tigers right now. He struck out 17 in his last appearance, and he has a brilliant 1.34 ERA this year. The under is 4-0-1 in the Twins last 5 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in Diamond's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
04-30-13 Memphis Grizzlies v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 179.5 103-93 Win 100 21 h 3 m Show
*3 Star Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 Total* The Grizzlies and Clippers have gone 'over' the posted total in 3 of the first 4 games in this series. The one game that stayed under saw both teams shoot just 38% from the floor. The Grizzlies have been dominating inside and getting a lot of easy buckets of late. Los Angeles has been getting a lot of open looks from deep, but they have been unable to hit those shots. Look for them to hit a few more of those open long range jumpers at home in Game 5. The Clippers will try to push the tempo to wear down the Grizzlies. The over is 7-1 in the Clippers last 8 home games. Take the over.
04-29-13 Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 180 91-110 Loss -109 16 h 20 m Show
*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* It's Game 5 in Brooklyn and the Nets are facing elimination. You certainly wouldn't have seen this coming if you watched Game 1 when the Nets dominated the Bulls. Chicago's come from behind win in Game 4 really took the wind out of Brooklyn's sails. Still, the Nets are a very good team and they won't go down without a fight. As the games get more important in the NBA playoffs (elimination games are a perfect example) the game slows down. The defenses should take control in this one. Take the under.
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