Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-02-14 | Appalachian St v. Duquesne OVER 150.5 | 55-79 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Duquesne Dukes are great at pushing the tempo of the game. Jim Ferry is their head coach and he preaches getting a shot up early. Duquesne doesn't play much defense, which should allow an Appalachian State offense that has been struggling to have much more success than normal tonight. Both of these teams give up a lot of points in the paint, which generally equals a high scoring contest. I had this lined at 156. Take the over.
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01-01-14 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 196.5 | 85-112 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Charlotte Bobcats are competitive this year. Why are they competitive? Because they are playing tough defense. Charlotte ranks third in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Clippers started slow defensively, but they rank seventh in the NBA in total defense. Charlotte will slow the pace down here, because that's the only way they have a chance in this one. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 against the Western Conference. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 16-2 angle. Take the under.
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01-01-14 | Bradley v. Northern Iowa UNDER 133.5 | 46-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Bradley Braves were a team that liked to run and gun up until the offseason. The coaching staff made a decision to try to emphasize slowing the game down and winning with defense in the offseason. Bradley's games have been much lower scoring this season. Northern Iowa is always a slow it down type of team under Coach Ben Jacobsen. Since both teams guard quite well, I don't expect to see great shooting numbers in this one. The under is 6-0 in Bradley's last 6 games following an ATS loss. The under is 8-0 in Bradley's last 8 games overall. A 14-0 angle. Take the under.
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01-01-14 | Michigan State v. Stanford UNDER 43 | 24-20 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Rose Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Michigan State Spartans and Stanford Cardinal will battle for the Rose Bowl in Pasadena on New Year's Day. These two teams do it the same way. Both of them like to win the battle in the trenches and win with defense. A posted total of 43 is certainly very low, but I had this one projected at 40 points. Neither team will be hurrying things up here. Both teams will run the football very frequently to keep the clock moving. Neither quarterback has proven capable of airing it out successfully all that often.
The under is 6-0 in Stanford's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Michigan State's last 5 after gaining at least 280 passing yards last game. A 22-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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01-01-14 | UNLV v. Fresno St OVER 142.5 | 75-62 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels really push the tempo. Dave Rice's team is all about getting out in transition and getting quick baskets before the defense gets set. They were really struggling on offense early on this year, but UNLV's offensive efficiency has been much improved over the last few games. Fresno State has picked up their pace significantly since last season as well. Both teams will be looking to keep the game moving quickly here. I don't think there will be many halfcourt sets here, instead it will be all transition basketball. Take the over.
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01-01-14 | Iowa v. LSU UNDER 49 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Outback Total Takedown* The LSU Tigers offense has been very good this year, but they'll be without star quarterback Zach Mettenberger here. Iowa's strength is their defense. Without the threat of airing it out deep with Mettenberger, I expect Iowa to be able to key in on the LSU running game here. Iowa's offense isn't very good, and they try to bully the opposition. LSU has a strong defensive front, and I don't expect them to get pushed around by a Big Ten team. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 following a SU win of 20 points or more. The under is 6-1 in Iowa's last 7 at a neutral site. A 14-2 angle. Take the under.
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01-01-14 | Wisconsin v. South Carolina UNDER 51 | 24-34 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Capital One CASH* The Wisconsin Badgers and South Carolina Gamecocks will do battle in what should be a terrific Capital One Bowl Clash. Wisconsin's defense ranks in the top ten in the nation in every major category. South Carolina's defense has struggled against great passing attacks, but Wisconsin is a running team. Lots of strength in the trenches on both sides here. I expect to see lots of running the football, which makes the clock will keep on ticking. The under is 5-1 in Wisconsin's last 6 January games. The under is 5-1 in S. Carolina's last 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 bowl games. The under is 4-0 in S. Carolina's last 4 following an ATS win. An 18-3 angle. Take the under.
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12-31-13 | Marquette v. Creighton UNDER 140.5 | 49-67 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Marquette Golden Eagles and Creighton Blue Jays have a rare late night game on New Year's Eve tonight. Marquette is always a strong defensive team and they prefer to play slowly. Creighton is a very good offensive team, but their tempo numbers have been slowing down in a big way over the last few games. I expect this one to be played at a slower tempo than most expect. Look for a lot of halfcourt sets from both teams where the shot clock gets low. I had this projected at 136. Take the under here.
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12-31-13 | Louisville v. Central Florida OVER 146 | 90-65 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Louisville Cardinals always like to get out in transition and get easy buckets off of their defensive pressure. UCF is really pushing the tempo this year, and the Knights are going to want to make this a fast-paced game as well. I don't see anything slowing this one down. Even if the shooting percentages aren't particularly good, I see this one going over the posted total because of the amount of shots that get put up. I had this one lined at 150. Take the over.
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12-31-13 | DePaul v. Georgetown OVER 140 | Top | 54-61 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 33 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The DePaul Blue Demons tried to slow things down a bit earlier this year, but Oliver Purnell's crew is back to running and gunning of late. The Blue Demons are just much more comfortable running and forcing the tempo. Georgetown is playing faster than they have in the past, and the Hoyas offense has been surprisingly efficient this season. The last three meetings between these teams have finished at 161, 158, and 156 points. The over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings. The over is 8-1 in Georgetown's last 9 Tuesday games. I had this lined at 146. Take the over big!
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12-31-13 | Mississippi State v. Rice UNDER 51 | 44-7 | Push | 0 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Liberty Bowl CASH* The Mississippi State Bulldogs played one of the toughest schedules in the nation this year. The Bulldogs only went 6-6, but playing in the SEC and playing a solid non-conference slate, this team saw tons of very good opponents. Mississippi State's defense was very good, especially late in the year. The Bulldogs held Alabama to 20 points, and they held Ole Miss to 10 points in the season finale. Rice is a much improved team, and they can thank their defensive improvement for that. The Owls pass defense is top notch. I don't see either team putting up very many points in this game. The under is 5-0 in the Rice's last 5 at a neutral site. The under is 4-0 in the Bulldogs last 4 at a neutral site. The under is 6-1 in the Bulldogs last 7 overall. A 15-1 angle. Take the under.
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12-31-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 194.5 | 76-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA. Indiana's defense is even more dominant when they are playing at home. Cleveland's offense isn't efficient at all. I expect the Cavs to have a really tough time getting buckets in Indiana on Tuesday afternoon. Look for the Pacers to key in on Kyrie Irving and make someone else beat them. The Pacers tempo is slow too, and the Cavs won't be able to dictate tempo in this one. The under is 12-4 in the Pacers lats 16 home games. I had this game lined at 190 points. Take the under.
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12-31-13 | George Washington v. Kansas State UNDER 128 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The George Washington Colonials have a brilliant record this year, but they haven't played many good teams. I suspect their offense will struggle with Kansas State's very physical strong halfcourt defense. The Wildcats are great at slowing the game down, and I think they'll be successful in doing just that at home in this one. Kansas State's offense is bad, and they really struggle to put teams away. I had this one lined at 124 points. Take the under.
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12-30-13 | Texas Tech v. Arizona State OVER 71 | 37-23 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star Holiday Bowl Total DOMINATION* Sometimes you just can't overthink a game. The posted total of 71 is definitely high, but this total is extremely high for good reason. When Texas Tech and Arizona State get together, there are going to be a bunch of plays run and both teams will air it out a bunch here. Texas Tech can throw it against anyone, and Arizona State's offense is well-balanced and should score at least 45 points here.
The over is 6-0 in the Red Raiders last 6 bowl games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 non-conference games. The over is 5-0 in the Sun Devils last 5 games at a neutral site. The over is 10-1 in Texas Tech's last 11 at a neutral site. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more last game. A 30-1 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-30-13 | St Mary's CA v. Pacific OVER 140.5 | 88-80 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The St. Mary's Gaels don't play fast, but they do shoot the ball extremely well. Pacific has picked up the tempo in a big way this year. Both of these teams get to the free throw line very often, so trips to the charity stripe should help the over a lot in this game. Both teams knock down a very high percentage on three-point shots as well, so the points should add up quickly in this one. I had this total set at 147 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the over here.
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12-30-13 | San Diego v. Loyola Marymount OVER 142.5 | 62-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The San Diego Toreros will be on the road tonight to take on a Loyola Marymount team who is good at dictating the tempo of the game. The Lions are particularly good at running the floor and getting quick baskets on their home court. This is a game that San Diego is going to need to put up quite a few points in if they are going to stay in the contest. I had this one lined at 147. Take the over here.
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12-30-13 | St. Louis v. Vanderbilt UNDER 134 | 57-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The St. Louis Billikens and Vanderbilt Commodores are similar teams. They both prefer playing at a relatively slow pace, and they are both very good on the defensive end. Neither of these teams do much fouling, so don't expect many freebies in this game. Both of these teams have been playing fast paced teams of late, but the game should slow down nicely when they get together here. I had this lined at 128. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or better. The under is 3-0-1 in Vandy's last 4 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. An 18-0 angle. Take the under.
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12-30-13 | Fordham v. Siena OVER 148 | Top | 69-79 | Push | 0 | 4 h 8 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total* The Fordham Rams have a way of making games very high scoring. They use full court pressure on defense and look to get baskets in transition. Fordham also has a very bad halfcourt defense. Siena has a new system this year, and they are using full court pressure under Coach Jimmy Patsos. Lots of full court pressure in this game should mean plenty of tempo and lots of trips to the free throw line. I had this one lined at 156. Take the over big!
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12-30-13 | Robert Morris v. Oklahoma State OVER 149 | 66-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oklahoma State Cowboys are pushing the tempo in a big way this year. Why shouldn't they? They have Marcus Smart leading the way, and the supporting cast is superb. The Cowboys have four guys who can put up 20 points in any given game. Robert Morris' defense is among the worst of any team in the nation. Don't be surprised if Oklahoma flirts with 100 points here. I had this one lined at 155 points. Take the over.
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12-30-13 | Virginia v. Tennessee UNDER 123 | Top | 52-87 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play VA/Tenn Total* Last year these two teams met and the final score was 46-38. While I don't expect that low of a score again, I do think these teams could struggle to top 100. These are two teams that love stalling and using their strong defense to win games. When they get together, points are very tough to come by. I had this game lined at 112, so I really like the value on this total. Look for a very ugly with a lot of great defense and poor shooting numbers. Take the under big!
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12-30-13 | Middle Tenn State v. Navy OVER 56.5 | 6-24 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Bowl Special* The MTSU Blue Raiders and Navy Midshipmen will kick off the bowl slate on December 30 with a game starting before noon EST. MTSU averages 31 points per game. The Blue Raiders have a balanced offense with veterans and they should be able to get their points against a Navy defense that isn't very good against the pass. Navy's option attack should be very successful against MTSU's poor front seven. Reynolds makes good decisions as the MTSU quarterback, and he should find plenty of running room in this matchup. The over is 7-0 in MTSU's last 7 after gaining 280 yards passing last game. The over is 6-2 in Navy's lats 8 bowl games. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | Quinnipiac v. Oregon St OVER 153 | 68-76 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* Quinnipiac and Oregon State are both all about running the floor and trying to get transition buckets. They are two teams who do a good job getting to the line often and knocking down free throws as well. I don't expect to see many halfcourt sets in this game. Up and down the whole way with lots of trips to the charity stripe helping push this one over as well. Take the over here.
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12-29-13 | Hartford v. Washington OVER 146 | 67-73 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Washington Huskies are really good at making a game high scoring. Washington pushes the pace relentlessly. They also don't play very good defense, and they shoot free throws at 77%. Hartford isn't a good team, and they'll give up a bunch of points. They foul a lot, and Washington should get a lot of free throw attempts. I had this game lined at 152. The over is 7-0 in Washington's last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage less than 40%. A 15-0 angle. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | Georgia Tech v. UNC-Charlotte OVER 144 | 58-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets and Charlotte 49ers both like to push the tempo, so tempo shouldn't be a problem here. Charlotte's defense has been embarrassingly bad of late, but the 49ers can put up the points at home. The over is 6-1-1 in Georgia Tech's last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in Charlotte's last 4 vs. the ACC. I had this one lined at 149. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | Canisius v. Notre Dame UNDER 145.5 | 81-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish shoot the three-ball very well, but the strength of the Canisius defense is defending the three-point shot. Canisius has slowed their tempo down this year, and Notre Dame isn't a fast paced team at all. Jerian Grant will miss the rest of the season for Notre Dame, and that hurts their offense quite a bit. Look for the Fighting Irish to look a bit off without him. Take the under.
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12-29-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 42 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Cardinals have the number one ranked rushing defense in the NFL. The San Francisco 49ers really can't throw the ball. All the 49ers do is run it, and I suspect they'll have trouble moving it against this stout front seven of Arizona. The Cardinals have quietly been very good this year, especially at home. The 49ers defense has been among the best in the NFL over the last few weeks. This looks like a game where both defenses will force the opposition into a lot of field goal attempts. The under is 4-0 in the Caridnals last 4 against the NFC. The under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 after allowing less than 250 total yards last game. The under is 4-1 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.
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12-29-13 | Morgan State v. Oregon OVER 155 | 76-97 | Win | 100 | 2 h 30 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play Over 155* My numbers had this game at 161. Morgan State loves to run and gun, and that makes them a great opponent for Oregon. The Ducks will put up a huge number in this game. Don't be surprised if Oregon has 95 by themselves in this one. Morgan State should get their points late as well. Take the over.
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12-29-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 44.5 | 17-34 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Ravens and Cincinnati Bengals often get into defensive battles against each other. The Ravens won a 20-17 battle in Baltimore earlier this year. That game went into overtime after finishing regulation at 17-17. Cincinnati and Baltimore both have plenty to play for in this game, and that makes the under look even better. Neither of these offenses have been consistent this year. The under is 17-3-1 in the Bengals last 21 games following a win. The under is 4-1 in the Ravens last 5 in week 17. Take the under.
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12-28-13 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Minnesota UNDER 134.5 | 44-65 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Minnesota Golden Gophers appeared to be trying to speed the game up earlier this year, but they are slowing down in a big way over the past couple weeks. Texas A&M Corpus Christi has been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation for the past few years, and they are once again this season. Corpus Christi will slow this game down to a snail's pace, and Minnesota will likely jump out to a big lead and take their foot off the gas in the second half. I had this one lined at 130. Take the under.
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12-28-13 | Louisville v. Kentucky OVER 147 | 66-73 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star Louisville/Kentucky Total Domination* The Louisville Cardinals and Kentucky Wildcats both like to push the tempo of the game. These teams both get tons of offensive rebounds and putbacks, which will be a big help to the over. While both defenses are good, neither are dominating this season. I definitely expect a close game here, which could lead to lots of free throw shooting late in the game to push it over the total. I had this game lined at 152 points, so I see plenty of value in the over. Take the over.
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12-28-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Boston Celtics UNDER 196 | 100-103 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers and Boston Celtics aren't very efficient at all on the offensive end. Both of these teams are slightly slower than the average team in terms of pace, and with their inefficiency on offense that makes for a good combination for the under. The Celtics defense is much improved under Coach Stevens early this year, and they have been especially good at home. This is an early game on the weekend, and those are spots where I like to play the under.
The under is 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 13-3 in the Cavs last 16 against the NBA Atlantic. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 21-3 angle. Take the under. |
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12-27-13 | Lafayette v. Seton Hall UNDER 147.5 | 58-90 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* These are two teams that like to slow down the game. I don't expect there to be enough possessions in this one for the teams to put up as many points as the oddsmakers are suggesting. Lafayette isn't a very good team, and when they have played against big name programs they have generally slowed the game down in a big way. I had this one lined at 140 points. Take the under. *Note- the line is shifting quickly here. I would play for 4 stars down to 144 and 3 stars down to 142* Thank you.
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12-27-13 | Syracuse v. Minnesota UNDER 47.5 | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 143 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Texas Bowl Total TAKEDOWN* The Syracuse Orange and Minnesota Golden Gophers are very similar teams. Both of them struggle offensively, but their defense has gotten much better in the past couple years. The strong defenses are the reason these two teams are in this spot. Phillip Nelson is questionable for Minnesota in this one. The Golden Gophers really have no passing attack. Hunt has been disappointing at quarterback for Syracuse. The Orange and Golden Gophers have both been in a bunch of very low scoring games this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit if both teams fail to make it out of teens in this one. A lot of value on the under in this contest. Take the under.
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12-24-13 | Oregon State v. Boise State OVER 63.5 | 38-23 | Loss | -115 | 123 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Hawaii Bowl Christmas Eve CASH* The Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos both like to play quickly on offense. There should be a lot of snaps in this game. Oregon State and Boise State have both struggled against the pass this year. Both of these offenses have been great passing the ball. Sean Mannion and Brandin Cooks is one of the best QB to WR combination's in the country for Oregon State. The Beavers defense allowed 105 points in their last two games. Two bad secondaries and two teams who will air it out all game long equals a lot of points here.
The over is 4-0 in Boise's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 games on a neutral field. The over is 4-1 in Oregon State's last 5 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in Boise's last 5 neutral site games. A 16-2 angle. Take the over. |
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12-23-13 | Mississippi State v. UNLV OVER 136 | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UNLV Rebels love to get out in transition. The Rebels best offense is running in transition and getting easy buckets before the other team is set. Mississippi State's defense likes to use full court pressure, but I suspect UNLV will be solid against that pressure. Look for UNLV to get a lot of easy opportunities near the hoop here. The Bulldogs are a fast paced team as well, and that plays into UNLV's hands. I had this total at 142. Play this one for 4 stars up to 138 or for 3 stars up to 140. Take the over.
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12-23-13 | Illinois-Chicago v. Colorado St OVER 146.5 | 61-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames have a way of making games very high scoring because of their quick pace and horrible defense. Colorado State is similar in that regard. The Rams do crash the boards though, and I expect them to do major damage on the glass in this one. Both teams shoot a very high percentage at the free throw line, which should be a big boost here. I had this total set at 151. The over is 7-1 in UIC's last 8 following a loss. The over is 6-1 in the Rams last 7 following a loss. A 13-2 angle. Take the over.
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12-23-13 | New York Knicks v. Orlando Magic UNDER 192 | 103-98 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The New York Knicks have played at the second slowest tempo of any team in the NBA so far this year. They have been decent defensively, but they should get much better defensively now that Tyson Chandler is back in the lineup. He is the shot blocker in the paint this team has been missing. Orlando isn't pushing the tempo the way they were earlier this year. The Magic have been really struggling of late. These teams shot very high percentages in their last meeting that went over the total. Expect a return to normal here. I had this one lined at 188 points. The under is 7-3 in the Knicks last 10 road games. Take the under.
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12-23-13 | Iowa State v. Akron OVER 151.5 | 83-60 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Iowa State Cyclones can really push the tempo of a game. Iowa State ranks 7th in the nation in tempo. The Cyclones have a lot of scoring options both inside and outside. Akron prefers a fast paced game as well, so I expect this one to be up and down the whole way. Even Iowa State's games against teams that slow the game down have been pretty high scoring. I had this line set at 156. The over is 34-16-1 in Iowa State's last 51 games. Take the over.
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12-23-13 | Boise St v. Hawaii OVER 158 | 62-61 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boise State Broncos and Hawaii Warriors both rank in the top 50 in the nation in terms of pace. No one is going to be using up the clock at all in this game. Both of these teams give up a lot of easy buckets inside the paint. In addition, these are two teams who get to the free throw line often, and they both shoot a very high percentage from the line. Since this is likely to be a very close game, free throws down the stretch could really add to this point total. I made this total 164 points, so I see a lot of value here. Take the over.
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12-22-13 | Santa Clara v. UNLV OVER 137 | 71-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Runnin' Rebels do love to run. UNLV gets out in transition to try to get easy baskets. They should be able to get a lot of those against a Santa Clara defense that is a mess. While UNLV's offense has struggled to get going at times this year, I suspect they'll put up a big number in this one. Santa Clara has been slowed down by the last few teams they've played, but they are comfortable running the floor as well. The Broncos have several guys who can score in bunches. I made this total 141 points. Take the over.
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12-22-13 | Oregon St v. Akron OVER 151.5 | 71-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oregon State Beavers and Akron Zips both prefer playing at a quick pace. Akron is dominating on the offensive glass, and Oregon State's defensive rebounding is very suspect. Look for the Zips to get a bunch of easy putbacks in this one. Oregon State and Akron both struggle to defend the paint, so easy baskets for both teams in transition should be expected. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 following an ATS win. I had this total projected at 156 points. Take the over.
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12-22-13 | Boston Celtics v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 | 79-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers are both much better defensively than they are on the offensive end. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA, while the Celtics rank in the top ten in the league in all the major defensive categories. Both teams prefer to play at a slow tempo, so their shouldn't be too many possessions in this game.
Seven straight meetings between these two teams have gone under this posted total. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the Celtics last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-1 in the Pacers last 8 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of 40% or lower. A 22-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-22-13 | New England Patriots v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 45 | 41-7 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Baltimore Ravens picked up a huge win on the road at Detroit last Monday. Kicker Justin Tucker was the hero. The Ravens defense came up big as well, and they have been playing great at home all year. Six of the Ravens last seven home games have stayed under this total. The one that went over the total was their game against Minnesota when there were five TD's in the final two minutes. New England's offense isn't even close to the same without Gronk on the field. Heavy rain is in the forecast for this game, and heavy rain often leads to both teams running the ball more often. I think both teams struggle to get in the end zone here.
The under is 12-3-1 in the Ravens last 16 games in week 15. The under is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 games after allowing 250 yards or more through the air in their last game. Take the under. |
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12-21-13 | Brigham Young v. Oregon OVER 174 | 96-100 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars rank first in the nation in terms of tempo. BYU scored 112 points earlier this year against a good Stanford team. Oregon loves to run, so they definitely aren't going to slow this game down. While this total is posted at a very high level, I think it should be several points higher. The over is 9-1 in Oregon's last 10 games, and they are playing the fastest paced team in the country. The scoreboard will light up in this one. Take the over.
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12-21-13 | Troy State v. Utah State UNDER 130 | 50-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Troy State Trojans were a team that liked to push the tempo in the past, but they have a new coach and a new system this year. Phil Cunningham has Troy playing much better defense and slowing the game down to try to win low scoring affairs. Utah State plays good defense and plays slowly as well. They are without star Jarred Shaw, so I expect low scoring games from them for a while as they adjust. The under is 6-0 in Utah State's last 6 Saturday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 games (the one over was because of OT). Take the under.
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12-21-13 | UL-Lafayette v. Tulane UNDER 49.5 | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 51 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star New Orleans Bowl Total DOMINATION* The Tulane Green Wave had a remarkable turnaround this year, and the main reason they were able to be so much better this year was their defense. Tulane's defense ranks 26th in the nation in total defense and they are giving up only 21.2 points per game. The strength of their defense is the front seven. La. Lafayette isn't a defensive juggernaut, but Tulane's offense has been bad all year. Tulane won games with defense. The Green Wave rank 118th in the nation in total offense. Terrance Broadway will either miss this game or be ineffective due to an injury. Look for a low scoring game all the way in this one. The under is 5-0-1 in Tulane's last 6 following a loss. The under is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7 after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in their last game. Take the under.
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12-21-13 | The Citadel v. Nebraska OVER 139 | Top | 62-77 | Push | 0 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total* The Citadel has changed the way they play in the past couple years. Previously, this was a team that stalled and hoped to win low scoring games. That didn't work well for the team so now they are running and gunning. They still aren't winning, but their games have been much higher scoring of late. Nebraska has also picked up the pace considerably with new coach Tim Miles. The Cornhuskers can score this year, and the oddsmakers are still behind the curve with this team. I made this total 147 points. Take the over big!
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12-21-13 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 186 | Top | 84-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA TOP Play Total DOMINATOR* The Cleveland Cavs had a tough overtime game last night against Milwaukee. Cleveland will likely be a little tired heading into this one on no rest. Chicago is slowing the tempo down in a big way since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. Chicago's offense has been downright awful, but they still play very solid defense. The last couple games have been a little higher scoring, but they played Houston and OKC. Those are two of the best offenses in the NBA. I think this total is set far too high. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 13-1 angle. Take the under big!
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12-21-13 | CS Sacramento v. Cal State Fullerton OVER 130.5 | 51-59 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Cal State Fullerton Titans experimented with slowing the game down earlier this year, but it looks like that experiment is over. The Titans are just much more comfortable running. Fullerton is going to force the issue in this game, and Sacramento's awful defense won't be able to stop them from scoring. I made this total 136 points. Take the over.
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12-21-13 | Coppin State v. Jacksonville State UNDER 147 | Top | 61-72 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play Hidden GEM* This is a game that most people won't pay any attention to. You certainly don't need to watch this game, but I do really like the under in this contest. Coppin State plays at an average tempo and Jacksonville State stalls about as well as any team in the country. Neither offense is efficient and still we have a very high posted total in this game. This game is being played on a neutral court which helps the under because shooters aren't accustomed to the backdrops. I made this total 140 points. Take the under big!
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12-21-13 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota OVER 156.5 | 77-70 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Here we have two teams that play absolutely no defense. North Dakota ranks in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace. They are at home here and I think they'll be able to dictate the tempo against a SD State team that is way down from last year. I made this total 160 points, so I do see some value on this one. Take the over.
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12-21-13 | Gonzaga v. Kansas State UNDER 137 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on under*
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12-20-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 192 | 111-114 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks and Cleveland Cavs are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Milwaukee is dead last in points scored per game at 90 per contest. Cleveland's offense is in the bottom five in the NBA in efficiency. Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters are both game-time decisions. Irving is ill and won't be 100 percent no matter what here. The Bucks slow the game down and Cleveland won't be at full strength. I made this total 188 points. Look for an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
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12-19-13 | UCLA v. Duke OVER 164.5 | 63-80 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins and Duke Blue Devils both push the tempo a lot this year. Steve Alford has brought a much faster pace to UCLA, and the Bruins offense has been exceptional so far this year. Duke's offense ranks second in the nation in efficiency, so they can pile up the points with the best of them too. Both of these defenses have struggled against top teams this year. I think both teams make it into the 80's here. I had this one at 170. Take the over.
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12-18-13 | New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 188.5 | 107-101 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The New York Knicks get Tyson Chandler back in the lineup tonight, and that means better defense instantly. The Knicks already play at a very slow pace, so they have been a pretty good under team. They should be in even lower scoring games moving forward. Milwaukee plays very slow, and the Bucks will be without O.J. Mayo for this game. The Bucks don't have many scoring options to start with, and without Mayo they'll be very thin on offense. Look for a sloppy game here. Take the under.
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12-18-13 | Northern Illinois v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 122 | 55-49 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Admittedly, I'm not a big fan of taking an 'under' set at 122 points, but this one should be even lower. These are two teams that play at a snail's pace. Neither team will push the tempo at all here. Both of them struggle on offense as well. This game is played a neutral site, which helps the under too. I had this line at 117 points.
The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Missouri Valley. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in Loyola's last 4 games following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-18-13 | Drexel v. St. Joseph's UNDER 140 | Top | 55-75 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
*5 Star TOP Play of Month* The Drexel Dragons and St. Joe's Hawks meet in a heated rivalry game tonight. I've had my eye on this game for quite a while. Both of these teams are teams I like to play the under with, and when they get together the games have been very low scoring. Eight of their last nine games against each other have stayed below 140 points. The one game that did go over went into overtime or it would have stayed under. I projected this line at 132 points. I would play the under here as low as 136. Huge value here.
The under is 3-0-1 in the Dragons last 4 against the Atlantic 10. The under is 4-0 in St. Joe's last 4 against the CAA. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under in a big way! |
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12-17-13 | UT-Arlington v. Oklahoma OVER 169.5 | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both UT Arlington and Oklahoma have been racing the basketball up the court all year long, and there is no reason to assume that will change tonight. Arlington's defense is nearly non-existent and Oklahoma should get whatever shot they want. Arlington shoots it well from long range, and the Sooners have given up a lot of points this season. I had this game projected at 176 points. This total is high, but it should be even higher. Take the over.
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12-17-13 | Arkansas Pine Bluff v. Creighton OVER 143 | Top | 51-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays have one of the most efficient offenses in the nation. Creighton was number one in offensive efficiency most of last year, and they are #6 so far this year. The Blue Jays are going to love going against Arkansas Pine Bluff's ridiculously bad defense. Pine Bluff allows opponents to shoot 60.2% on two-point shots. Creighton likes to run and Pine Bluff won't slow the game down. I think Creighton scores more than 90 points here. I made this total 151, so I really like the value. Take the over big!
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12-17-13 | Toledo v. Arkansas St OVER 157 | 78-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves both love to play in transition, and they'll get plenty of transition opportunities against each other tonight. The pace should help in a big way. Toledo's defense is horrible, but the Rockets have put up more than 85 points several times already this year. I had this total projected at 161 points. Take the over here.
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12-17-13 | Washington v. Tulane OVER 151 | 73-62 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Washington Huskies have a way of turning games into a track meet. Lorenzo Romar's team likes to jack up shots very quickly, and their defense isn't good at all this year. Tulane doesn't always run the floor, but they do always play horrible defense. The Huskies should be able to pile up the points in this contest. If Tulane wants to keep up, they'll need to move quickly and score a lot of points. I had this line projected at 157 points. Take the over.
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12-17-13 | North Florida v. Michigan State OVER 148 | 48-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The North Florida Ospreys have played a really tough schedule so far this year. They have already played Florida, MTSU, Ohio State, Alabama, and Indiana. Michigan State may be the best team they've played yet. Michigan State will dominate the interior in this game in a big way. The Spartans push the tempo and North Florida likes to run as well. Michigan State should put up at least 90 points on their own. Look for this one to sail over. Take the over.
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12-16-13 | Orlando Magic v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 187 | 83-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Bulls have been a complete mess since Derrick Rose went down with an injury. The team still competes hard on the defensive end, but they can't get anything going offensively. Orlando's offense has gotten less efficient in recent weeks as they haven't been hitting as many long range jumpers. The Bulls will slow the pace down in a big way in this game.
The under is 4-0 in the Magic's last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 following a double digit loss. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-1 in the Bulls last 6 Monday games. A 23-2 angle. Take the under. |
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12-15-13 | NY Jets v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 41 | 20-30 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 40 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The New York Jets picked up a nice win last week, but I'm still not buying that this team is any good. The Jets offense is a disaster against decent defenses and the Panthers have had the top defense in the NFL this year. Carolina's offense is still one-dimensional and based around the run. The Jets are second in the NFL when it comes to stopping the run. The Jets defense hasn't been their problem this year, and I think they'll hold their own against Carolina.
The under is 6-0 in Carolina's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 during week 15. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 350 yards in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing last game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. A 32-1 angle. Take the under. |
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12-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41.5 | 33-14 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco 49ers and Tampa Bay Bucs are two teams built to win with defense. Tampa Bay completely shut down Buffalo last week, and now that the Bucs have a relatively healthy defense, i think they are one of the top 10 defenses in the NFL. They are 9th in the NFL against the run, and that's really all the 49ers can do on offense. The 49ers defense has been elite over the past few weeks, and Tampa Bay's offense has struggled all year. It's hard to see either offense putting up any more than 21 points here.
The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 on grass. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The under is 6-0 in the Bucs last 6 December games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 week 15 games. A 24-0 angle here. Take the under. |
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12-14-13 | Illinois-Chicago v. SE Missouri St. OVER 157 | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UIC Flames and Southeast Missouri State Redhawks meet in this one. UIC is a terrible team who has serious defensive problems. The Flames have given up 93 and 103 points in two of their last six games. SE Missouri State has scored over 100 points in three games already this season. SE Missouri State should win big here, but the Redhawks give up quite a few points too, and I think this one gets safely over the total.
The over is 4-0 in UIC's last 4 vs. the OVC. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in UIC's last 7. The over is 7-1 in the Redhawks last 8 home games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Saturday games. A 31-4 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-14-13 | SIU-Edwardsville v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 146.5 | 75-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a matchup between two teams who are horrible on the defensive end. Edwardsville has been giving up easy layups to everyone on their roster for the past few years. They like to play fast as well. Fort Wayne is a high scoring team on their home floor, and the Mastadons have several very good outside shooters. It's hard to imagine either team being slowed down very often in this one. I had this one lined at 151 points. Take the over.
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12-14-13 | Furman v. Clemson UNDER 123 | 35-71 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers and Furman Paladins play a very similar style of offense. Both of them are content to use up the entire shot clock and attempt to score late in the clock. Clemson is one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. It won't surprise me if Furman struggles to get to 45 or 50 points here. Clemson's really slow pace makes it unlikely that they would put up a big number in this one. I had this one lined at 119 points. Take the under here.
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12-14-13 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Nevada OVER 160.5 | 82-80 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Nebraska Omaha ranks in the top ten teams in the country in terms of pace. Both of these teams are terrible on the defensive end. Expect lots of easy buckets and free throw attempts in this game. Nevada has an elite scorer in Deonte Burton and he should have a huge game here. Omaha shoots 77% from the line and they should get plenty of trips against a Nevada team that fouls a ton. I had this one lined at 166 points. Take the over.
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12-14-13 | Army v. Navy UNDER 55 | 7-34 | Win | 100 | 134 h 24 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Army/Navy Cold Hard CASH* The Army Black Knights and Navy Midshipmen meet this Saturday in another installment of their epic rivalry. These might not be two of the best teams in college football, but watch this game and you'll see how much this game means to both teams. It's a really special rivalry game. Both of these teams run the triple option and they run on almost every single play from scrimmage. The single best angle to handicapping the total in this game is the fact that both of these teams defend the triple option every day in practice. The biggest advantage to running the option typically is that defenses aren't prepared, but in this game the defenses are very well prepared. I've cashed in on the under in the Army/Navy game in their last three meetings, and I'm going back to the well.
The under is 8-0 in Army's last 8 games in December. The under is 10-0 in Navy's last 10 games following a bye week under coach Ken Niumatalolo. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Navy's last 7 after throwing for 75 yards or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games between each other with Navy as the home team. A 36-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-14-13 | IUPU-Indianapolis v. Marquette UNDER 142 | 50-86 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star Play on Under 142*
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12-13-13 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183.5 | 94-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have been more competitive this year. How have they done it? Charlotte is playing very good defense. The Bobcats are second in the NBA in points per game allowed at just 92.4 per contest. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA. The last three games between these teams have finished below 180 points. There should be plenty of defense here.
The under is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games vs. the NBA Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pacers last 7 against a team wtih a winnning record. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 Friday games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 against the NBA Southeast. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two at Indiana. The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 between these two overall. In all, a MASSIVE 58-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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12-12-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Chargers/Broncos Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Chargers offense has really heated up recently. San Diego has scored 37 and 41 points in two of their last three games. Their one poor offensive performance was against a very good Cincinnati defense. Denver's offense has been amazing all year. Denver is averaging 40 points per game through 13 games, which is truly amazing. San Diego slowed down the Broncos pretty well in the first meeting between these two, but history tells us Peyton Manning generally shreds up the defense in his second time seeing them (look at the KC example from a couple weeks ago).
The over is 15-1 in Denver's last 16 games following a game where they had 400 yards or more of total offense. The over is 6-0-1 in the Broncos last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two in Denver. A 27-2 angle. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this early in the week- I would play this one up to 57.5, but not higher. Thank you* |
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12-11-13 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 194.5 | Top | 116-100 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 29 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Oklahoma City Thunder still like to run when given the opportunity, but they are no longer an automatic over. Their defense is now one of the best in the league, and that makes them a real contender. Memphis plays at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies are great at dictating the tempo, and if they know what's good for them they'll slow this game down in a big way. I projected this line at 188 points. None of the Grizzlies last six home contests have finished higher than 190 points. Expect the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under big!
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12-11-13 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Wisconsin UNDER 134.5 | 52-78 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers and the Wisconsin Badgers meet every year. In the last seven years, the highest scoring game between these teams finished at 127 points. Wisconsin is as good as anyone in college basketball at slowing the pace of the game down, and Wisconsin Milwaukee won't be able to speed this game up. The Badgers are likely to dominate early and then coast late in this game. In 4 of the last 6 meetings between these teams, the total hasn't gotten above 116 points. I made this total 129 points. Take the under here.
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12-11-13 | North Dakota State v. Notre Dame UNDER 150 | 73-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish pushed the pace a bit early in the year, but as the year moves along they are moving back toward their stall ball offense. They burn clock the majority of the time in the halfcourt, and that can lead to a bunch of unders. North Dakota State is another team that likes to move slowly. While both of these teams shoot the ball pretty well, I can't pass up a chance to take the under at a number this high with two teams who like to use up the shot clock. I projected this line at 145 so I see plenty of value. Take the under in this one.
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12-10-13 | Oakland v. Indiana OVER 152 | 54-81 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the fastest paced teams in the nation in the past few years. They were forced to slow things down earlier this year because their bench was very short, but now that they are healthy again the Grizzlies will be running. Tom Crean's Indiana team is really pushing the pace in a big way this year. Indiana doesn't have as much height down low this season, but they have a ton of guards and forwards who can score in transition. Oakland's defense is nearly non-existent, and they will give up a ton of points here. I had this one lined at 158 points. Take the over.
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12-10-13 | Evansville v. Xavier UNDER 148.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Evansville Purple Aces and Xavier Musketeers play a similar style of basketball. Both of these teams play at a normal pace and play solid halfcourt defense. In a game that I expect to stay competitive, it's hard to imagine either team putting up a really big number here. The Musketeers defense is great at home, but they haven't had much fluidity in their offensive sets this year. There is a lot of standing and watching when Xavier is on the offensive end. I had this number at 142. *Note- This line has moved down since I selected the under. I would play the under down to 144, but not lower. Thank you*
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12-09-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. Chicago Bears OVER 49 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 115 h 12 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total DOMINATION* The Dallas Cowboys and Chicago Bears played to a 34-18 final last year. Tony Romo threw five picks in that game. Romo will look for redemption against a Bears defense that has been really bad of late. Chicago is allowing 27.7 points per game this year, and they have allowed at least 20 points in every single game this year. Dallas' defense is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Chicago is averaging 28 points per game, and the Cowboys are averaging 27. Look for both offenses to have plenty of trips into the red zone here. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 following a loss. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. The over is 10-4 in the Bears last 14 games. The number is relatively low here, and I expect plenty of points. Take the over.
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12-09-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 194.5 | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play* The Golden State Warriors play pretty quick, but their defense is one of the best in the NBA. Charlotte is all about slowing the game down, and the Bobcats are quietly playing some very good defense this year. Charlotte is third in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Bobcats have only had one game in their last 10 go over 193 points. Without Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, the Bobcats offense is even weaker, so they will likely need to keep this one low scoring to have any chance.
The under is 7-0 in the Bobcats last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Pacific Division. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-08-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Denver Broncos OVER 49 | 28-51 | Win | 100 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tennessee Titans have a pretty good defense, but they'll be up against the best offense in the NFL this weekend in Denver. A lot has been made about the fact that it will be extremely cold in this one, but I'm not convinced the cold will really change the way this game is played. There isn't any wind expected during the game, and wind is a quarterbacks worst enemy. The Titans offense has put up at least 23 points in four of their last five games. If they put up 23 points here, this one should sail over the total. Denver is averaging 38.7 points per game this season.
The over is 5-0-1 in the Titans last 6 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a loss. It is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 15 points or less in their last game. The over is 5-0-1 in Denver's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 42 | 6-27 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good.
The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over. |
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12-08-13 | Oakland Raiders v. NY Jets UNDER 40 | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big!
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12-08-13 | Boston Celtics v. New York Knicks UNDER 192.5 | 114-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA High Noon MONEYMAKER* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks tip things off at noon eastern on Sunday afternoon. I always like to look at the under in games like this. New York City has a lot of nightlife and there are plenty of NBA players who are out late on Saturday nights in New York City. That can often lead to poor shooting percentages and sloppy play on early games on Sunday. The Knicks aren't a good team despite playing better of late. Both of these teams play slowly, and the offenses aren't very efficient. Boston is working hard defensively for Brad Stevens. The under is 12-2 in the Celtics last 14 road games. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York. A 24-3 angle. Take the under.
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12-07-13 | Golden State Warriors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 193.5 | 108-82 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't as good of a team without Andre Iguodala healthy. Golden State's defense has been very good so far this year, but their offense has been less efficient than normal. Memphis tested out a new experiment of running earlier this year. It didn't work. Memphis decided to slow things down even more than ever. These teams met and the game finished 88-81 in overtime. At the end of regulation, that game was tied 75-75. The under is 16-5 in Memphis' last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. Take the under.
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12-07-13 | South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 47 | Top | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 48 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game.
The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big! |
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12-07-13 | UNLV v. Arizona UNDER 148 | 58-63 | Win | 100 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats are an elite team this year. Arizona is really putting in tremendous effort on the defensive end of the court. Their length and quickness make them extremely difficult to get a good look against. UNLV likes to get out and run, but the Rebels offense is very inefficient. UNLV has had trouble scoring on bad defenses, and now they'll play one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona's tempo isn't as fast, and they should slow the game down once they have a nice lead. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. Take the under.
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12-07-13 | Texas v. Baylor OVER 71.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -106 | 44 h 57 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.
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12-07-13 | Marquette v. Wisconsin UNDER 130.5 | 64-70 | Loss | -116 | 1 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Wisconsin Battle* This intrastate rivalry game will be played at a very slow tempo with solid defense on both sides. My numbers had 125 points for this one. Take the under.
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12-06-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Washington Wizards UNDER 194 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA TOP Total* I took the under in the Wizards vs. Bucks game last week when they met in Milwaukee and the score was 87-87 at the end of regulation. I ended up losing the under by one point in overtime. It was a rough loss, but I'm going back to the under here. Washington isn't the same fast paced team they were in the past. They are much better defensively now, and without Bradley Beal, they aren't that good offensively. The Bucks offense is among the worst in the league in terms of efficiency and Milwaukee plays a very slow pace. I had this one lined at 186. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this for 5 Stars down to 191, 4 Stars down to 189. Thank you.*
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12-04-13 | Miami (Fla) v. Nebraska UNDER 125.5 | 49-60 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes have been playing pretty slow since Jim Larranagga took over at the school a couple years ago. This year, they are playing much slower than ever before. Why is that? Quite simply the Hurricanes aren't very good this year. Without Shane Larkin and the rest of the stars from last year, Miami can't score. They have to slow the game down and rely on defense to win. Nebraska is a slow team as well, so they won't force the issue. I expect a fairly close game here as both defenses play well. My numbers had this one at 121 points. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under.
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12-04-13 | Valparaiso v. Ball State UNDER 148 | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals have a new coach this year who is all about defensive schemes and trying to win with defense. While Valpo has had some very high scoring games early this year, those were against weak defenses and teams that run. Ball State will work hard to slow the game down here, and they should succeed. Expect this game to largely be played in the halfcourt with both teams taking up most of the shot clock before getting a shot up. I had this one at 143 points. Take the under.
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12-03-13 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Boston Celtics UNDER 185 | 100-108 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks got together just a few nights ago. I took the under and won in that game, and I'll take the under again here. The Bucks hit an uncharacteristically high 49% of their shots in that game, and the under still cashed in comfortably. The Celtics defense is now top ten in the NBA. The Bucks and Celtics both rank in the bottom five of the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency. Look for a slow paced game with both defenses having the upper hand.
The under is 5-0-1 in the Bucks last 6 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under. |
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12-02-13 | Loyola Marymount v. UC Riverside OVER 146 | 73-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* A huge key to winning college basketball totals bets is keeping up with changes in strategy. UC Riverside has a new coach this year, and the Highlanders are running a lot more this year after playing stall ball the last few seasons. There should be value on their overs for a little while. Loyola Marymount has an elite point guard in Anthony Ireland, and they are always willing to run with anyone. My numbers had this one at 152 points. Look for a lot of shots here, and if the shooting percentages are even decent this should top the posted total. Take the over.
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12-02-13 | Wright State v. Morehead St. OVER 141 | 69-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wright State Raiders have sped up a significant amount compared to last season. This year's team is forcing the issue and getting to the line a lot. The defense has also slacked off quite a bit from last year. Morehead State uses full court pressure and is a very aggressive team. Both of these teams foul far more than the average team. Lots of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I had this number at 145. Look for the pace and the fouls to send this game over the total. Take the over.
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12-01-13 | North Dakota v. Pacific OVER 154.5 | 76-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* North Dakota and Pacific are two teams who are making a concerted effort to pick up the tempo this year. North Dakota ranks in the top 20 in terms of pace. Pacific shoots the ball well, and they are playing much faster than they did last year. North Dakota and Pacific both foul a bunch, which means trips to the charity stripe should be very frequent in this one. The Tigers shoot 81% from the line, so expect them to cash in on those opportunities. Both teams defenses give up a lot of open looks. I had this total pegged at 160. Take the over here.
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12-01-13 | College of Charleston v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 138 | 61-48 | Win | 100 | 4 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The College of Charleston Cougars have slowed the pace down in a big way this year. Cal State Fullerton has typically been a run and gun team, but they have a new coach who wants the tempo slowed down a lot. Fullerton played to a 48-46 final yesterday against Miami. The tempo should be slow in this one, and both teams have had a ton of problems shooting the basketball so far this year. I had this line projected at 133 points. Look for an ugly game here with lots of missed shots. Take the under.
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12-01-13 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48 | 35-28 | Win | 100 | 39 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances.
The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over. |
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12-01-13 | Chicago Bears v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 | Top | 20-23 | Loss | -110 | 108 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game.
The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big! |
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12-01-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 40 | 32-28 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under.
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