*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Atlanta Braves 2-0 on Opening day. Atlanta and Milwaukee both have good pitching staffs and terrific bullpens. I was surprised to see this total at 8 runs. Alex Wood has been amazing in Spring Training this year, and Wood is an up and coming star for the Braves staff. Kyle Lohse just keeps churning out quality starts for the Brewers, and this Braves offense is weak at the bottom of the order. Lohse pitched a complete game shutout in his only appearance against the Braves last year.

The under is 7-0 in the Brewers last 7 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in Lohse's last 4 with the total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 31-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies have a good lineup. If you have Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez in the middle of the order, you are going to put up quite a few runs over the course of the season. Last night they were shut down by Jose Fernandez, who is an amazing young pitcher. Fernandez is going to shut down a ton of lineups this year. Nate Eovaldi is a huge step down from Fernandez, and I expect the Rockies offense to take advantage. Miami's offense is much improved this year, and Brett Anderson has been inconsistent in the Spring. This total is set too low at just 7 runs, so this is a value play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* There are lots of factors that go into totals bets in Major League Baseball. One of them absolutely has to be the weather. The weather report in this one is a huge key. The wind is expected to be blowing in from right center field in Chicago at 20-25 mph during this game. This is normally a friendly park for home run hitters, but that shouldn't be the case on Monday. Chris Sale is very capable of mowing down the Twins below par lineup. Ricky Nolasco is a rare pitcher who has pitched better on the road than at home throughout his career in the big leagues. This number is low for a reason. Look for the offenses to have trouble getting started in this one. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates square off in an early start on Opening Day Monday afternoon. Jeff Samardzija goes for the Cubs and Francisco Liriano for the Pirates. Samardzija is a better pitcher than his statistics indicate from last year. He pitched with some bad luck in 2013. He has been exceptional against the Pirates in his career. He carries an amazing 0.73 ERA into this one in 9 career outings at PNC Park. Francisco Liriano has been outstanding for the Pirates, and he pitches very well at PNC Park. Neither of these lineups are very strong.

The under is 5-0 in Samardzija's last 5 starts as an underdog. It is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on grass. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total of 7-8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 as a dog of +110 to +150. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs the NL Central. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts with a total of 7-8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts at Pittsburgh. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cubs last 4 Monday games. A 35-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Elite 8 Total DOMINATION* The UConn Huskies aren't going to want to get into a fast paced game with the Michigan State Spartans. Kevin Ollie's UConn Huskies have been winning with their strong defense down the stretch. Michigan State beat Virginia on Friday, but they struggled offensively against a strong defense. UConn is in the top 15 in the nation in total defense. Michigan State's defense has been very good of late as well. This total is set pretty high, especially considering this game is being played at Madison Square Garden, which is a tough arena for shooters. I like the value here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Cleveland Cavs are very short handed right now. Kyrie Irving is out of the lineup and CJ Miles is questionable for this one. Anthony Bennett is also out of the lineup. Andrei Kirilenko is unlikely to play in this one for the Nets, so they are without a key player as well. Both of these teams prefer to play at a slow pace to start with, and without so many key offensive weapons I can't imagine this team gets to be high scoring.

The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 Friday games. The under is 3-0 in their last 3 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 13-3 in their last 16 following a win. A 20-3 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Iowa State Cyclones really like to get out and run, and they'll try to do that here. UConn would much prefer to slow the game down though, and UConn's defense has been exceptional over the past few weeks. The Huskies have been shutting down great offenses on a consistent basis. Also keep in mind that this game is being played at Madison Square Garden in New York City, which is one of the toughest arenas in the country for shooters. This game obviously means a bunch to both teams, and that typically slows the pace of play a bit too. Take the under here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers upset Ohio State and Syracuse to get to the Sweet 16. Dayton is fully capable of playing fast or playing slow, but I think this game is played at a much faster pace than their first two games because of their opponent. Stanford prefers to play at a quick pace when they can, and the Cardinal have shot the ball horribly in the first two games. Stanford likely shoots it a little better here. In Powell and Randle, the Cardinal have two elite scorers who can put the ball in the hoop consistently. Dayton hasn't seen many teams this year with that kind of offensive talent. This total is set too low. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Memphis Grizzlies play slower than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies weren't all that impressive on defense earlier this year, but they have been a top three defense in the league over the past month. Memphis often holds bad offenses to 85 points or less. Utah isn't efficient at all, and they play at a very similar slow pace. A slow tempo and a dominating defense from the Grizzlies should keep this one low scoring. The last contest between these two finished at 182 points. I had the line here at 181 points.

The under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 5-0 in Utah's last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Utah. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Yale and Columbia will meet for the third time this year, and the first two meetings were both very slow paced games with the defenses playing well. Why would the third be any different. The first meeting finished at 128 points, but that was with 80 free throw attempts(which is just ridiculous). It's hard to imagine the teams getting to that kind of number again. The second game stayed well under the total. I made the total here 122 points. Look for a defensive game here. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Creighton Blue Jays can shoot the ball very well, but they actually don't play nearly as fast as most people believe. Creighton slowed the game down quite a bit against Lafayette in their first game. Baylor is a team that works hard to slow the game down and win with their inside presence. This total is set extremely high as if this were a matchup between two teams that both run. In reality, both of these teams have been slowing the games down a lot of late. I lined this game at 139 points. The under is 20-7-1 in Creighton's last 28 non-conference games. Playing on a neutral floor hurts the shooting percentages for both teams a bit. If Creighton isn't hitting a very high percentage of three's, I think this stays well under. Take the under big here!

*4 Star NCAA BB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Stephen F Austin Lumberjacks know how to control the pace of the game. They slowed down an ultra fast VCU team. I lost on the under in that game solely because of the VCU foul on a 3 pointer with 3 seconds left that put it in overtime, but I'm taking the under again with SF Austin here. They have to know they can't get into a running match with UCLA. Tulsa and UCLA played at a surprisingly slow pace Friday night, and SF Austin will slow it down far more than Tulsa did. I lined this game at 140 points. The under is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 non-conference games. The under is 5-1 in SF Austin's last 6 following a win. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The North Carolina Tar Heels love to play fast all the time. Iowa State is a team that played faster than anyone else in the Big 12, and the Cyclones aren't about to slow down now. Niang being injured certainly hurts the Cyclones, but they still have Kane and Ejim to fill it up here. This game has track meet written all over it. It should be a lot of fun to watch. Marcus Paige is really coming into his own for North Carolina and that makes them a dangerous team. The over is 4-0 in UNC's last 4 games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 5-1 in Iowa State's last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 following a win. A 13-2 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Denver Nuggets are pushing the pace as much as any team in the NBA right now. This Nuggets team is capable of putting up a bunch of points on a mediocre defense like Washington. The Wizards have their fair share of guys who are capable of lighting it up as well. The number here is likely too low because of a low scoring meeting between these two teams back in December that influences bettors more than it should. These teams are totally different now. The over is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their last game. The over is 4-0 in the Nuggets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 on one day of rest. A 16-1 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star Kentucky/Wichita State Total DOMINATION* The Kentucky Wildcats have slowed things down in a big way over the past month. Coach Calipari decided to mix in the zone defense, and the offense has become much more deliberate in an attempt to take better shots. Wichita State's offense is good, but it's their defense that is elite. The Shockers should be highly motivated here and Kentucky will have a tough time getting up quality shots. Kentucky's defense has gotten much better in recent weeks. Expect a defensive battle. The under is 9-1 in Kentucky's last 10 Sunday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 following an ATS win. A 15-2 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Harvard Crimson didn't just get to this point by being a Cinderella or a lucky team. Harvard is a good team who is very well-coached. Expect the Crimson to know their best chance of winning this game is slowing the game down. Michigan State has a very good defense, and Harvard will struggle to get up open shots. Harvard's defense is underrated. The Spartans shot the ball remarkably well in their first game of the tournament, and you have to assume they will come back to earth a bit here. I had this one lined at 133 points. Expect a slower pace and some solid defense.

The under is 5-0 in Harvard's last 5 non-conference games. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 neutral site games. The under is 4-1 in the Spartans last 5 NCAA Tournament games. A 13-2 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Dayton Flyers defense looked impressive against Ohio State on Thursday afternoon. Syracuse is a terrific defense, but the Orange have trouble on the offensive end. I don't think there will be much of a flow to this game. Syracuse's tempo is much much slower this year than they have been in recent years, and games generally slow down a little more as the tournament moves along because of the importance of the game. The zone defense should bother Dayton. Look for both defenses to rise to the occasion here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Tulsa Hurricane have really taken a significant step forward this year with Danny Manning leading the way as their head coach. Tulsa has picked up the tempo this year, and Manning has made it quite clear that he doesn't want to change the way they play here. Tulsa will look to run. The problem for them is UCLA is great in a fast paced game, and the Bruins offense could really pile up the points quickly in this one. Look for both teams to get up tons of shots in this one. The over is 4-0 in UCLA's last 4 NCAA Tournament games. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Stephen F Austin is a well-coached veteran team that should know that they can't get into an up and down type of game with VCU. Shaka Smart's team isn't very good on offense in the halfcourt, so they really rely heavily on forcing turnovers with their full court pressure. Stephen F Austin is relatively good at taking care of the ball. VCU is missing their best three-point shooter for this one, and that could hurt this team quite a bit since they don't shoot it well to start with.

The under is 5-0 in SF Austin's last 5 games following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 games against a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 NCAA Tournament games. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie CRUSHER* The Cal Poly Mustangs looked great offensively Wednesday against Texas Southern. They won't look very good offensively Friday against Wichita State. The Shockers are a terrific team that excels on the defensive end. Wichita State doesn't mind playing slowly, and Cal Poly wants to stall as much as possible here. The Mustangs play as slow as anyone in the nation. It won't surprise me if Cal Poly struggles to reach 50 points here. Wichita State jumps ahead and coasts late in the game. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Kansas Wildcats have been capable of scoring a bunch of points all year, but they are playing even faster without Joel Embiid in the lineup. They are also a much worse defense without Embiid. Eastern Kentucky is shooting 56% on two-point shots this year, and they should get their points in this one. Expect an up and down affair with both teams preferring to run. The over is 5-1 in Eastern Kentucky's last 6 neutral site games. The over is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall. I had this one lined at 156 points. *Note- The line has moved up quickly here. I would play this one as high as 153 but no higher. Thank you.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Louisiana Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns love to run and gun and try to outscore their opponent. That plays right into the hands of a team like Creighton. Creighton is built to put up points in a hurry, and they can shoot it from long range better than any other team in the nation. No one on this Lafayette team will be able to stop Doug McDermott. Creighton could put up 90 points or more here and it wouldn't be a surprise. Creighton's defense isn't particularly good and Lafayette will get up plenty of shots. I like this one to get over the total. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Manhattan Jaspers are a team I like quite a bit. Unfortunately for them they drew a red hot Louisville team that is massively underseeded. Manhattan likes to use full court pressure and speed up the game, and they won't change their style here. Louisville will certainly be happy to run and press as well. This should be a fun game to watch thanks to the pace and all the up and down action. Even without good shooting numbers, I think this game gets over the total. I had this one lined at 148 points. The over is 6-0 in Louisville's last 6 NCAA Tournament games. The over is 14-3 in their last 17 neutral site games. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The NC State Wolfpack surprised a lot of people (including me), by winning against Xavier on Tuesday night. NC State has a star in TJ Warren on their roster, and he is going to get his points no matter who this team goes up against. St. Louis is playing a much faster paced game than they did last year. The Billikens are still a very good defense, but their tempo has changed in a big way. I think this line is too low since St. Louis will look to run when given the opportunity. I had this one lined at 135 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* The Pacific Tigers have one of the worst defenses in the country. Pacific is able to score though, and they like to push the tempo. Pacific fouls a bunch and Grand Canyon is near the top of the charts in getting to the line. Expect tons of free points in this one. Grand Canyon wants to play fast and they'll get their chance to run like crazy in this one. Neither team will slow this game down. I had this total lined at 155 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons have sped up their pace in a big way late in the season. They have had one of the worst defenses in the league all year, but now that they are running and gunning they have had some extremely high scoring games this year. Denver is playing at the fastest pace of any team in the league in the past month. The Nuggets are capable of putting up 125 points by themselves here, and their defense certainly isn't very good either. There were 235 points in the last meeting between these two teams. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Denver. The over is 7-1 in Denver's last 8 vs. a team with a losing record. A 19-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UC Irvine Anteaters made me more money this year than any other team in college basketball. Most of that money was made playing the 'under' in nearly every game of theirs. Irvine's defense is great with N'Diaye protecting the rim. Irvine also likes to slow the game down. SMU's defense is very underrated, and they prefer a slow tempo as well. Two good defenses here and it should be a slow paced game. I had this lined at 122 points.

The under is 10-1 in Irvine's last 11 non-conference games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. A 23-1 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play Total* The Toledo Rockets have a very efficient offense, but their defense is terrible. Southern Miss has typically slowed the game down, but late this season they started playing a little faster. Southern Miss is great at getting to the free throw line, and Toledo fouls quite a bit. The Golden Eagles offense is good to start with, and they should look great against a very bad Toledo defense. Two extremely good offenses here, and this should be a shootout.

The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-1 in Southern Miss' last 7 games vs. a team with a winning percentage of 60% or higher. A 15-1 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star Pacers/Knicks Total* The Indiana Pacers and New York Knicks meet at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday night. The Knicks offense has come alive of late, lighting up the scoreboard in five straight games. I don't think they'll have that same kind of offensive success against the best defense in the NBA. Indiana is highly unlikely to allow the Knicks to get as many open shots as their recent opponents. The Knicks have lit up Minnesota, Philly, Milwaukee, Boston, Cleveland, and Utah. None of those are good defenses at all. This line is inflated due to the Knicks recent offensive success. How inflated? The last time these two met the total was 184 points. An overreaction here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Track Meet Total* The Morehead State Eagles and Illinois State Redbirds both like to run and push the tempo. They both had to play some teams inside their conferences that worked hard to slow them down, but that won't be a problem here. When these two fast paced teams get together, it should be a real track meet. Both of these teams foul a lot, so I expect trips to the charity stripe to help us out a lot in this game. I had this game lined at 147 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago Bulls are the second best defensive team in the NBA. They are also the third worst offense in the NBA. The Philadelphia 76ers are the worst team in the NBA in terms of efficiency by a mile. Two bad offenses and a team that controls the tempo (Chicago) should mean this one stays lower scoring than expected. The 76ers have scored just 77 and 90 points in their last two games. They only scored 78 in their last game against Chicago. The under is 4-0 in the 76ers last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Golden Gophers were a decent Big Ten team, which means they should be able to blow away High Point if they are ready for this game. High Point likes to slow the game down, but I expect them to get down big early and be forced to speed up if they want to have any chance of winning. These smaller postseason tourneys generally have higher scoring games than expected. I had this one lined at 138. Take the over here.

*5 Star TOP Play Total* The Columbia Lions are one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. Columbia is going to play their style of basketball no matter who they are playing against. Valparaiso tends to play to the pace of their opponent, and their offense isn't good enough to pile up the points against a quality Columbia defense. This has the makings of a tight low scoring game that goes down to the wire. I had this one at 123 points.

The under is 7-0 in Columbia's last 7 following a double digit home loss. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. A 25-2 angle. Take the under big!

*4 Star 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Norfolk State Spartans and the Eastern Michigan Eagles are similar teams. Both of them aren't very good offensively, but they are both excellent on the defensive end. This could easily be a game where we see both teams shoot a very low percentage from the floor. Eastern Michigan has slowed their pace down late in the season, and that should help out here. The under is 7-0 in Norfolk State's last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Wright State Raiders had the best defense in the Horizon League and they love to slow the game down. East Carolina started out playing fast, but they slowed things down in a big way as the season was winding down. There has been good value on the under with them of late. This should be a slower paced game than most expect. Expect a close hard fought battle between two teams who win with their defense first. I had this one lined at 128 points. Take the under big!

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia 76ers definitely like to run, but they are also the least efficient offense in the NBA. Indiana has the top defense in the NBA. The Pacers could easily hold the 76ers to 75-80 points in this game. These two met last week and the game finished at 195 points despite the Pacers shooting 58.2% from the floor. The Pacers should get a big lead and then slow the game down because they don't care enough to keep piling on the points as much as they could.

The under is 6-0-1 in the 76ers last 7 games vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The under is 8-1-2 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning record. An 18-1 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Sacramento Kings were running and gunning as much as anyone for a while, but they have slowed their tempo down of late. The Chicago Bulls are the second slowest paced team in the league. They are also the second best defense in the league. The Bulls were embarrassed in Sacramento when they met last month. Sacramento won that game 99-70. The Bulls won't forget that, and I expect Chicago to come out playing some great defense in this one. This number is relatively high for a Chicago total. I had the game lined at 186 points.

The under is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of at least 60%. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 following a win of 10 points or more. A 26-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The New Mexico Lobos and San Diego State Aztecs have one heck of a history of playing low scoring games against each other. The two meetings during the regular season this year finished at 102 points and 99 points. San Diego State will likely go zone at least part of this game again, and the Lobos looked lost against that last time around. This game means a lot to both teams, and I expect open shots to be tough to come by.

The under is 6-0 in the Lobos last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 11-1 in their last 12 following a win. The under is 6-0 in SD State's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. A 35-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Michigan State Spartans are great in March, and I expect them to be ready for this game. Wisconsin beat them 60-58 in the first meeting between these two. Both of these teams are defense-first. In a game that means a lot, I expect a slow tempo and lots of pressure defense that makes open shots hard to come by. Only one game between these two in the past 10 meetings has even gone above 125 points, and two of those games were overtime games. Defensive battle here.

The under is 4-0 in Michigan State's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The George Washington Colonials and VCU Rams met twice during the regular season and both games went over the posted total. George Washington's weakness is taking care of the ball, and VCU gets lots of easy buckets off their full court pressure against them. At the same time, VCU's halfcourt defense isn't very good so if George Washington is able to break the press they score quite efficiently. Both teams do quite a bit of fouling. I had this lined at 143 points.

The over is 5-0 in George Washington's last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in VCU's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings. A 14-0 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB ACC Total* The NC State Wolfpack have gotten hot at the end of the year, and it is largely because T.J. Warren is absolutely on fire offensively. No one has had an answer for Warren of late. Duke's defense isn't very good, but the Blue Devils should score at will against NC State in this one. The first game between these two finished in a Duke 95-60 win. I had this game lined at 149 points. Look for this to coast past the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* the Cal State Northridge Matadors have picked up the tempo in a big way at the end of the season. Their last 7 games have all played to a total of at least 158 points, which is pretty incredible. Long Beach State tends to play to the pace of their opponent. The 49ers are fully capable of lighting it up against this terrible Northridge defense. The most recent game between these two finished at 91-83. I had this one lined at 153 points.

The over cashed in their last meeting. The over is 6-0 in Northridge's last 6. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 league games. A 17-0 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Baylor Bears are definitely playing better basketball of late. Baylor dug a big hole at Texas a couple weeks ago and almost came back and won. Texas shot a ridiculously high percentage from long range in that game. Expect this game to be played much slower with more normal shooting numbers. I had this game lined at 134 points. The under is 5-0-1 in Texas' last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 Big 12 games. A 14-0 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Buffaloes have squeaked out two close games in the Pac-12 Tournament. They haven't been able to get to 60 points yet, and I sincerely doubt they'll get to 60 points in this game. Arizona's defense held them to 61 on their home floor recently. Arizona's defense held Utah to 39 points yesterday, and this game is being played on a neutral floor where shooting numbers are typically lower. The under is 5-0 in Colorado's last 5 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 Friday games. A 14-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Big 12 Total* The Iowa State Cyclones and Kansas Jayhawks will be getting out in transition early and often in this one. With Joel Embiid in the lineup, Kansas played slower and had a better defense, but the last meeting between these two still sailed past 160 points. The tempo should be very fast here, and I expect both teams to shoot a little better from the floor. I had this one at 161 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers have played slightly faster this year than they have in the past, but I can't imagine them running and gunning in important tournament games. Minnesota is looking to slow the game down, and this game means a ton to the Gophers, who are firmly on the bubble. The under is 5-0 in Wisconsin's last 5 neutral site games. I made the line here 132 points. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play Total* The Stephen F Austin Lumberjacks are a very good team. They are 29-2 on the year, and they are the best team in the Southland Conference. They win with strong defense, and they don't let their opponent force them into a fast paced game. Northwestern State is the fastest paced team in the nation, but they haven't been able to speed up Stephen F Austin in any of their meetings. The Lumberjacks know what they are good at, and they are great at sticking to the game plan. The last ten times these teams have met, the highest total was 138 points. That's 10 straight times they have played that under this number would have covered by at least 19 points. Take the under big here!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UC Irvine Anteaters have made me more money this year than any other team in the nation. UC Irvine unders have been golden all year because of their great defense and the way they control the tempo against teams who aren't as good as them. The two meetings in the regular season between these team stayed well under. I had this game at 125 points.

The under is 9-0 in Irvine's last 9 vs. a team with a win percentage below 40%. The under is 4-0 in Irvine's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. A 21-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Savannah State has a way of turning games into very ugly low scoring contests. This is a team that is about as bad as you'll see on offense, but they are the best in the league on defense. Norfolk State has slowed their tempo down in a big way from last year. The regular season meeting between these two went way under this total. I had this game lined at 124 points. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Oddsmaker ERROR Total* The Ohio Bobcats and Akron Zips have a long history of playing tight low scoring games against each other. Their two games this year were defensive battles, and I see no reason to believe anything different will happen here. Ohio and Akron are two of the best defenses in the league, and this game means a ton to both teams. In a game that means this much, the pace generally slows down even more. I had this game lined at 127 points. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Over* In the regular season these teams met two times and both games sailed past this total. Louisville can score at will against Rutgers, and it wouldn't surprise me to see them score 90 points here. Rutgers is a very undisciplined team, but they'll get their shots up because of their very fast paced offense. Lots of easy buckets for the Cardinals and a fast tempo for this game. Take the over.

*4 Star Play Over* The Oklahoma State Cowboys and Kansas Jayhawks should put up a bunch of points without Joel Embiid on the floor for Kansas. Without him on the court, Kansas isn't particularly strong defensively. They also play even faster without him. Marcus Smart should get into the lane a bunch here. Wiggins should continue his recent hot stretch. I had this one at 154 points. Take the over in this contest.

*4 Star Play Under* The first two games between these teams were defensive battles, and this one should be the same. Utah is a much better team than most people realize, and the Utes match up well with Arizona. Neither of these teams wants to get out in transition, so we'll see a half court battle of two strong defenses here. I had this game lined at 125 points. Take the under here.

*3 Star Play Over* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons will push the tempo here, and their defense will allow a decent Pitt offense to put up plenty of points. Pitt has been playing a bit faster of late. I had this one at 137 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UCF Knights and Temple Owls both like to push the tempo, and neither team plays good defense at all. I had this game lined at 153 points, so I was definitely surprised to see a total like this one come out. The regular season games between these two finished at 154 and 164 points. Plenty of tempo in this game should help it go over even if the shooting percentages aren't terrific. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The USC Trojans are a really bad team, but they love to run the court and push the pace of the game. Colorado isn't nearly as good without star guard Spencer Dinwiddie, but that hasn't stopped them from torching USC for more than 80 points in each of their regular season meetings. This USC defense is awful. Colorado should get whatever they want offensively, and the Buffaloes prefer to play fast as well. I had this one lined at 144 points. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Virginia Tech Hokies and Miami Hurricanes love to slow the pace of the game down. Miami is the slowest paced team in the nation this year (out of 351 teams). Virginia Tech has lots of injury concerns and they have slowed their tempo down in a big way late in the year. These two played to a 97 point final total during the regular season. Two good defenses against two bad offenses here. This one should be very low scoring. The under is 22-5 in Va Tech's last 27. The under is 17-7 in Miami's last 24. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The San Antonio Spurs and Chicago Bulls meet in what should be a defensive battle in Chicago on Tuesday night. These teams met recently in San Antonio and the game finished at 182 points. The shooting numbers in that one were actually relatively good, but the pace was slow. The Bulls are great at controlling the tempo, and the Spurs are running less this year than they have the last couple. The Spurs have the #5 ranked defense in the NBA and the Bulls have the #2 ranked defense. Open shots will be hard to come by here.

The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NBA Southwest Division. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these two teams. An 11-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Sacramento Kings and Detroit Pistons are pretty similar teams. Both teams like to run and try to win high scoring games. Neither of these teams puts in much effort at all on the defensive end. Detroit has been the best over team in the league so far this year, and against a team like Sacramento they should be able to put up a bunch of points. They'll give up a lot too though, and I think this game could be very high scoring.

The over is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0 in the Kings last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in the Pistons last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Detroit. An 18-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Gonzaga Bulldogs thumped St. Mary's in their first two meetings this year. Gonzaga is the better team and I think they will win a third time here. I see the most value in the under though. Gonzaga likes to jump out to a lead and then slow the game down and win with ball control and strong defense. They have the number one defense in the WCC. St. Mary's plays very slowly pace-wise, and the Gaels offense has been miserable in their last three tries against Gonzaga.

The under is 6-0 in St. Mary's last 6 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Gonzaga's last 6 vs. a team wtih a win percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with each other. A 28-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Bowling Green Falcons and Northern Illinois Huskies are very capable of playing some very low scoring games. Their first meeting this year played to a ridiculous 45-36 final score. I won with the under in that game, and I'm playing the under again here. Bowling Green and Northern Illinois are both terrible offensively, but they are two of the best in the MAC on the defensive end. This game means more to both teams since it's a tournament game, and I expect that to slow the tempo down. I had this one at 112 points.

The under is 4-0 in BG's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in N Ill's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 meetings at Northern Illinois. A 21-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB CAA Championship Total* The Delaware Blue Hens are great at forcing the tempo in a game. Delaware should get their pace here. William & Mary is one of the worst defenses in the CAA, but the best offense in the league. As long as they shoot a decent percentage from the floor here, William & Mary should score plenty of points. It should take a lot of points to win this game. I also expect a close game where lots of fouling at the end is a very real possibility. I had this one lined at 157. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Early Bird Special* The Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls meet in what will be a very early game for these players. The game starts at noon local time, which will feel more like 11 am since the clocks moved forward early Sunday morning. The Bulls are the second best defense in the league and they can't allow this to turn into a high scoring game. Look for them to slow the game down and look to win with defense. The early start makes me like the game even more, because there are far more likely to be tired legs late on a early Sunday game. I had this game lined at 184 points myself.

The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 when playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in the Heat's last 5 games following a loss. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. A 13-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors love to run and push the tempo. Cal State Fullerton experimented with slowing the game down earlier this year, but the Titans are back to running again of late. The first time these two met, the game finished at 163 points. Lots of easy buckets inside for both teams in this one and plenty of trips to the line.

The over is 4-0 in Fullerton's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games following a road trip of 3 games or more. The over is 5-1 in their last 6. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 following a loss. A 22-2 angle. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Iowa Hawkeyes are a scoring machine. Fran McCaffrey has his team pushing the tempo no matter who they play. Iowa has been able to make tons of slow it down teams play their style inside the Big Ten. Illinois and Iowa met in a game that finished at 155 points earlier this year. Illinois' defense likely isn't good enough to turn this into a stall ball type of game. I had this one lined at 147 points.

The over is 1-0 in their meetings this year. The over is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Iowa's last 6 following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games. A 20-0 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The UC Davis Aggies have decided to slow things down late this year. UC Davis is a brutally bad team, and they have very little chance to stay in this game. UC Irvine has been favorite under team this year, and they have made myself and my clients a lot of money. UC Irvine plays defense and slows the game down to dominant lesser teams. The first game between these two got to just 120 points.

The under is 10-1 in Irvine's last 11 home games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 after giving up less than 50 points last game. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 33-3 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star Play Over*

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Richmond Spiders are without their best player for the rest of the year. Cedric Lindsay is injured and this team isn't the same without him. Richmond is slowing the tempo down much more of late in an effort to hide the fact that they are missing their top scorer. Dayton likes to play slowly and this game means a bunch to the Flyers. The first game finished at 137, but the amount of free throws in the game was extremely high. Lindsay had 17 points in that game. The under is 4-0 in Richmond's last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 league games. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Over* Penn is the fastest paced team in the Ivy League right now, and Cornell can't guard anyone. There are 351 teams in Division I college basketball and Cornell is 350th in total defense. The first time these two played the total finished at 173 points. It might not get that high again, but it should top this posted total. Take the over.

*4 Star Play Over* Both of these teams have sped up their tempo of late. The first game between these teams went sailing over the posted total and I don't see any reason to expect any different here. Both these teams have little to play for here in the regular season finale, and that should mean less defense. I had 146 here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* I took the under the first time these two met and it would have won if it weren't for overtime. I'm going with the under again in this one. Northern Illinois' defense is very good, but they are awful on offense. Ball State tends to play to the pace of their opponent. I had this game lined at 119 points. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Oddsmaker Error Total* Texas Tech has transformed into the slowest paced team in the Big 12. The Red Raiders don't have the same talent level as many other teams in the league, but they keep games close with defense. They were able to stall and keep the game well under the total when they played in Austin against the Longhorns. I think they'll do the same here.

The under is 3-0-1 in Texas's last 4. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 league games. The under is 5-0 in Tech's last 5 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following an ATS loss. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 Big 12 games. A 27-1 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB SEC Total* South Carolina will be without Coach Frank Martin, but they should continue to play fast here. Mississippi State is terrible, but they love to run and gun. Both of these teams should get to the line a ton with undisciplined defenses who hack all the time. This game means very little to both teams, which should boost scoring. I had this game lined at 145 points. Take the over.

*4 Star Play Over*

*4 Star Play Under* The Hokies have four key players who are expected to miss this game. Virginia Tech's offense is bad to start with and it should be downright awful in this one. The Hokies should slow this game down in a big way. Georgia Tech's offense isn't very good either. I had this at 120. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Under* No one in the country plays slower than Miami. They rank #351 in the nation in terms of tempo out of 351 teams. Wake Forest isn't good enough to force the tempo here. I had this one at 121. Take the under here.

*4 Star Play Under*

*5 Star TOP Play Over*

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Southern Illinois Salukis and Northern Iowa Panthers will meet in St. Louis in a huge arena that has been unkind to shooters in the past. Northern Iowa heavily relies on their long range shooting to win games. Southern Illinois slowed the game down in their first two meetings this year, and I expect a slow pace here in what is a big game for both teams. The shooting numbers should be lower than they were in the regular season meetings (those games finished at 134 points and 127 points). Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* This line is set high, but it isn't high enough. Detroit has been the best over team in the league this year. The over is 43-18 in their 61 games. The Timberwolves are all about running and Detroit isn't about to slow the game down. Detroit's defense allows fast teams to score 115 or 120 points on a regular basis. The Timberwolves defense has been slacking badly of late too. New York scored 118 points on them last game. The over is 23-4 in Detroit's last 27 against the Western Conference. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Brown Bears play faster than anyone else in the Ivy League. Dartmouth's defense has been so bad that just about everyone has put up a big number on them. The first time these two got together both teams had shooting problems, and the game still got to 137 points. I think this one goes even higher than that. Plenty of pace and lots of shots here.

The over is 6-1 in Dartmouth's last 7. The over is 4-0 in Brown's last 4. The over is 4-0 in Brown's last 4 league games. A 14-1 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Houston Cougars and UCF Knights have nothing to play for in this game. Both of these teams are just waiting for conference tournament time to fight hard again. When neither team is motivated, it typically means higher scoring because of less defense. The first time this two got together the final total was 172 points. I had this one lined at 150 points. Look for this one to go over. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Loyola Chicago Ramblers are very good at forcing their tempo on their opponent. Loyola isn't going to let Indiana State speed this game up. Indiana State and Loyola played two games in the regular season and both of them stayed under this posted total. Now, they are playing a game that means more to both teams (typically leads to better defense) and they are playing in a huge arena with tough shooting backdrops.

The under is 6-0 in Indiana State's last 6 neutral site games. The under is 10-2 in Loyola's last 12 Friday games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The UC Irvine Anteaters have been a great under team all year long. UC Irvine is the best defense in the Big West by a mile. They have N'Diaye, a 7'6 center at the middle of their defense. He patrols the paint and swats away a ton of shots. Fullerton wasn't able to speed the game up in the first meeting, and I expect something similar here. Irvine plays at their pace and their defense controls the game.

The under is 7-0 in Irvine's last 7 vs. a team with a win percentage below 40%. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 Thursday games. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 50 points or fewer. A 26-2 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The SE Missouri State Redhawks love to run, and this game will likely be played pretty quick, but this total is just too high. This game is played at Bridgestone Arena where the shooting backdrops are brutally difficult. SE Missouri State's game went under last night and I cashed in on that one. Eastern Kentucky and SE Missouri State both run, but they are both pretty good defensively as well. The tough shooting backdrops combined with good defenses makes this number too high. I had 153 here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Arch Madness Total* The Loyola Chicago Ramblers and Bradley Braves met twice in the regular season and both meetings stayed well under this posted total. Both of these teams are defensive-minded teams, and when they get together the games are played very slowly. This one is at the Scottrade Center, where unders have been king in the past at the MVC Tournament. I think that continues here. I had this at 120. The under is 8-1 in Bradley's last 9 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* North Dakota likes to run and win high scoring battles. Southern Utah hasn't beaten a Division I team all year. Still, Southern Utah has surprisingly decided to speed up their pace of play of late. Southern Utah fouls more than just about anyone else in the nation. North Dakota fouls a bunch as well. Both of these teams are dreadful on the defensive end. Lots of trips to the charity stripe and lots of easy buckets in this game.

The over is 6-0 in S Utah's last 6. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 Thursday games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage below 40%. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 league games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS loss. In all, a 40-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Pac 12 Total* The UCLA Bruins are the fastest paced team in the Pac-12. UCLA is going to push the pace every single game, and they have everyone eligible for this game (unlike their recent loss to Oregon). Washington's defense isn't good enough to slow down UCLA all game long. The Huskies like to score in transition as well. I had this number at 153. Take the over here.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Fairfield Stags and St. Peter's Peacocks meet on a neutral floor tonight. They had one meeting in the regular season edge past the posted total, while the other stayed well under. This one being played at MassMutual arena in Massachusetts makes me lean even more strongly to the under. Tough shooting backdrop here in a big arena with very few people in the stands. I had this number at 119. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Total* The Northwestern Wildcats are great at slowing the pace of the game down, and they are at their best at stalling on their home floor. They even stalled the game very well against a fast paced Indiana team last game at home. Penn State plays faster, but I don't think they can dictate the tempo in a game like this. This one has the feel of a close game all the way that stays low scoring. I had 120 points here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Eastern Illinois Panthers know they can't win a shootout with SE Missouri State. Eastern Illinois should slow this game down some. Both games during the regular season went under the posted total, and this one will be played at a neutral venue in Nashville at Bridgestone Arena. This is well known to be a tough arena for shooters. The shooting backdrop makes it very tough. I had 150 here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Oklahoma Sooners are as good as anyone in the Big 12 at pushing the pace of the game. The first meeting between these two went into overtime, but it had already gotten to 162 points before OT. The Mountaineers defense has been really bad inside the Big 12, and Oklahoma's offense could easily put up 85-90 points here.

The over is 5-0 in the Mountaineers last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. A 20-2 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Arkansas is a really dangerous team on their home floor. The Razorbacks are completely capable of putting up 85 or 90 points here, and Ole Miss is going to get up a lot of shots. Unless there is a very low shooting percentage from both teams I see this game going over. I had this one lined at 158. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* Lafayette has the worst defense in the league, and Boston U is the best team in the league. In both of their meetings earlier this year, Boston University absolutely tore up Lafayette's pathetic defense. Lafayette is healthier now and their offense is coming around as well. I made the projected line here 150 points, so I like this one quite a bit. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Who is going to slow this game down? Duquesne's defense is terrible, and the Dukes are all about trying to outscore the opposition. They do have some very good shooters, and the best in the nation in Duquesne's Micah Mason who shoots 56% from three-point range! UMass' full court pressure will speed this game up bigtime. I had this one lined at 155 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* It's certainly not fun taking an under at this price, but with these two teams I definitely believe this is a value. Miami is the slowest paced team in the nation and Clemson is third slowest. This game should be painful to watch, but you don't have to watch it to cash in on your bet. I made this total 104 points. Lots of defense and stall ball here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines and Illinois Fighting Illini like to play similar styles of basketball. Michigan is just a lot better at it. Both teams like to slow the game down and win with ball control. Illinois has improved a great deal down the stretch, and their defense has been extra impressive at home. Michigan won't push the tempo and this one should be a close game.

The under is 6-0 in Illinois' last 6 Big Ten games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games after giving up 50 points or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. A 15-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Toledo Rockets are both the fastest paced team in the MAC as well as the best offense. Toledo can really pile up the points in a hurry. Central Michigan is the worst defense in the league. These two scored 157 in their first meeting this year. I have this one lined at 158 points.

The over is 4-0 in Toledo's last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage below 40%. The over is 4-0 in C. Michigan's last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS loss. A 27-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Both of these teams love to play uptempo. They have played two times already this year and the final totals were 162 points and 178 points. Neither of these teams know how to play any other way than to just speed it up and try to outscore the opposition. Importantly, both teams foul a bunch and there should be a lot of free points at the charity stripe in this one. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The UCF Knights and Temple Owls are both very poor on the defensive end. When these two got together earlier this year, the game coasted past the posted total and I expect the same here. My numbers had this game at 153 points. The Owls offense has gotten drastically better of late, and that should allow them to score quite a few points here. Take the over in this one.