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Kyle Hunter ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
11-28-12 New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 198.5 Top 102-88 Loss -110 18 h 31 m Show
*5 Star NBA Top Play Total* The New York Knicks haven't been playing any defense of late, and the Milwaukee Bucks push the ball better than any other team in the NBA. Milwaukee pushes the tempo even more on their home floor. In 3 of their last 4 games the Knicks have given up at least 100 points (in two of those games they allowed 114 and 131 points). Milwaukee's offense should be great in this one, and the Knicks should be able to score big against a mediocre Bucks defense. The over is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 Wednesday games. The over is 7-2-1 in the Bucks last 10 road games. I had this one pegged at 204, so I really like this over. Take the over big!
11-28-12 Virginia Cavaliers v. Wisconsin UNDER 117 60-54 Win 100 6 h 53 m Show
*3 Star Virginia/Wisconsin Total* The Virginia Cavaliers and Wisconsin Badgers couldn't be more alike. Both teams like to walk it up the floor and essentially stall on the offensive end. A game between these two isn't going to be fun to watch, but it should be a good one for an 'under' bettor. This is the type of game where I believe it stays under the posted total unless the shooting percentages are absolutely amazing. I had this one set at 112 points, so getting 117 points is a really nice value. Look for this to stay comfortably under the total.
11-28-12 Weber State v. Dayton UNDER 140 62-61 Win 100 6 h 48 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Weber State isn't the same team they were a year ago. Damian Lillard is now a star with the Portland Blazers, and Weber State is looking for a new identity. Weber State no longer has that guy to push the tempo and score when they need it most. Weber State is playing much slower this year, and they aren't nearly as efficient on offense. Dayton is a pretty good defensive team, and they aren't going to get out in transition all that often. I had this one pegged at 135 points. Look for a slower tempo to keep this under. Take the under.
11-27-12 Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 195.5 79-77 Loss -106 9 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers are starting to get a little bit of a grasp on Mike D'Antoni's system. D'Antoni has said he wants the Lakers to be scoring 110-115 points per game. They are obviously picking up the tempo quite a bit. They are coming off a 115 point performance at Dallas on Saturday. After two days off, they should be well rested and ready to run in this one. Look for the Lakers to jump out to an early lead and force a faster pace in this game. Indiana's defense has been poor so far this year. The over is 12-3 in the Lakers last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 after allowing 100 points in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-27-12 Minnesota v. Florida State OVER 138 77-68 Win 100 17 h 9 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles are a great team to look at for overs right now. Florida State has always played at a pretty quick tempo, but their amazing defense has made the 'under' they way to go with them. Their team is different this season. The Seminoles still have shooters and offense, but the defense isn't nearly what it used to be. Minnesota has a great point guard in Andre Hollins, and Trevor Mbakwe is a terrific wing. Both of these teams can score, and I expect a close game with fouling at the end. The over is 10-3 in the Seminoles last 13. The over is 4-1 in Minnesota's last 5 road games. Take the over.
11-27-12 Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194 98-100 Win 100 16 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Dallas Mavericks have really been a great over team this year. Dallas' defense isn't what it used to be, and bringing in O.J. Mayo has made this team much better offensively than most people expected. The Mavericks are pushing the tempo this year, and the 76ers are also playing quicker with a small lineup this season. Look for both teams to get plenty of looks at the basket in this one. The posted total here is set 5 points lower than I expected. I think this one cruises past the total. Take the over in this one.
11-26-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 191 93-92 Loss -107 7 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls met on Saturday night and I unsuccessfully played the over. I'm going to go with the over again in this one. The line is about 3 or 4 points lower than it was on Saturday night. Saturday night's shooting was atrocious by both teams, and the total still only finished 12 points below this number. I doubt this teams will combine to shoot 7 for 33 from beyond the arc again. Milwaukee plays at the fastest pace of any team in the NBA right now, so there should be plenty of shots in this one. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-26-12 Charlotte Bobcats v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 200 69-114 Loss -115 6 h 46 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Oklahoma City Thunder offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Thunder have scored at least 100 points in their last five games. Charlotte is a surprising 7-5 this year. The Bobcats are really pushing the tempo, which should lead to a high scoring game here. Charlotte is third in the NBA in pace so far this year. The trends for this one are tough to pass up. The over is 6-0 in OKC's last 6 games. The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 following one day of rest. The over is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in the Thunder's last 4 following a straight up win. Take the over.
11-25-12 Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants OVER 50.5 10-38 Loss -110 52 h 5 m Show
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The Green Bay Packers offense hasn't been what they were last year, but they are still are a very formidable unit. The New York Giants defense has struggled against top quarterbacks this year, and the Packers have a terrific QB in Aaron Rodgers. Look for his quick passes to chew up this secondary. On the other side, the Packers secondary has given up a lot of yards this year. Eli Manning is putting up big numbers this year, and he has been good in the past against the Packers. The over is 11-4 in the Packers last 15 games against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-25-12 Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks UNDER 192 100-121 Loss -110 12 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* New York Knicks have been horrible on defense over their last few games, but I expect that to change on Sunday. For the season, the Knicks are giving up 95 points per game, which is slightly better than the league average. The Knicks have been great defensively at home this season. Detroit is not an efficient offensive team, and the Pistons don't push the tempo. The under is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 home games. The under is 7-1 in the Pistons last 8 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in the Knicks last 5 Sunday games. Take the under.
11-25-12 Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 50.5 24-23 Loss -110 45 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* Matt Ryan is having the best season of his career. Having said that, he played very poorly last weekend. Ryan should fare better against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Opponents are racking up 313 yards through the air against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense has been on fire of late as well. The Bucs have scored at least 27 points in each of their last six games. Atlanta's defense relies on forcing turnovers, but Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball. The over is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 games following a victory. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the over.
11-24-12 Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 93-86 Loss -110 20 h 43 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks play at a faster tempo than anyone else in the league right now. Milwaukee has two great guards in Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis. Both of these guys are more than capable of putting up 30-35 points by themselves. Not many teams can keep up with the Bucks in transition this year. Chicago is playing faster than expected so far this season. The Bulls defense also hasn't been as good as it was last year. The last five meetings between these teams have all gone easily over the posted total. I like the value on the over, as I think this gets to about 200. Take the over.
11-24-12 Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 47.5 55-21 Loss -110 23 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Vanderbilt Commodores are only giving up 175 yards per game through the air. This is one of the best secondaries in the country. Wake Forest's offense is brutally bad, and they especially can't do anything on the ground. Look for Vanderbilt to make life miserable for Wake Forest's offense in this one. Wake Forest's defense has been much better at home. This being the team's last home game of the year, I think the Demon Deacons defense shows up better than expected here. Neither team is likely to put up many points. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the SEC. The under is 14-3 in Wake Forest's last 17 November games. Take the under.
11-24-12 Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 45.5 23-20 Win 100 20 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The UConn Huskies have one of the best defenses in the country, but their terrible offense holds them back quite a bit. UConn only allows 296 yards per game, which puts them at ninth best in the nation in total defense. Five of their last six opponents have failed to reach 20 points. Louisville's offense is pretty good, but I don't think they'll move it too easily against UConn. On the other side, Louisville's pass defense has been stellar. UConn has almost no running game, so it is hard to imagine them getting many points in this one. The under is 5-1 in UConn's last 6 games. Take the under.
11-22-12 New England Patriots v. NY Jets OVER 48 49-19 Win 100 42 h 59 m Show
*3 Star Patriots/Jets Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders right now. No team in the NFL is scoring more than New England. Tom Brady has had quite a bit of success against the Jets in the past, and I think he'll have even more now without Revis on the outside for the Jets. New England's rushing attack has been very good this year, which helps Brady and the passing game in a big way. The Jets offense should be able to get their points against a mediocre Patriots defense. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 Thursday games. The over is 13-3 in their last 16 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
11-22-12 Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48 38-31 Win 100 38 h 4 m Show
*3 Star Redskins/Cowboys Turkey Total* The Washington Redskins offense has been terrific all year. RG3 has been everything anyone could have expected and more. The Redskins are very balanced on offense, and I expect them to move the ball well against Dallas. The Redskins defense has been bad all year. Washington's secondary is a major weakness. Tony Romo makes a lot of mistakes, but he can pick apart bad secondaries. Until last week, Washington had allowed at least 21 points in every game this year. Both teams should put up a decent amount of points here. Both of these teams have been on a recent under streak, which gives us great value here. Take the over.
11-21-12 Pittsburgh v. Michigan UNDER 124.5 62-67 Loss -108 8 h 8 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Panthers and the Michigan Wolverines play at a similar pace, which is very slow. Don't expect many breakaway layups or fast break points in this one. This should be a half court game where both offenses use up the shot clock. This type of grind it out game certainly benefits an under play. Madison Square Garden is the site of this game, and the shooting backdrop at MSG is notoriously difficult. College games with two teams not accustomed to this floor can often have very low final totals. I projected this one at 120 points, so I like the value. Take the under.
11-18-12 New Orleans Saints v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5 38-17 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints are still in a must win situation after a horribly slow start to the year. New Orleans' offense has been clicking after a bit of a slow start. Drew Brees seems to have a nice rhythm, and the Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop anyone lately. Oakland allowed 42 and 55 points in their last two games. New Orleans is absolutely capable of putting up 40 plus points here. The Saints defense isn't very good, and Carson Palmer should be able to find plenty of open receivers to help the Raiders get on the board a few times here. The over is 7-1 in the Raiders last 8 home games. The over is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games. Take the over.
11-18-12 Akron v. Penn State UNDER 130 85-60 Loss -110 12 h 16 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Penn State Nittany Lions don't have much offensive firepower at all, so they will rely on strong defense to win some games this year. Penn State will slow the game down and make the opposition work hard for open shots. Akron has a terrific shot blocker in Marshall, and I don't think Penn State will be able to do much of anything around the hoop. The pace here should be slow enough that it will take a very hot shooting night by both teams to push this one over the posted total. The under is 4-0 in Penn State's last 4 games at a neutral site. Take the under.
11-18-12 Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 6-31 Loss -105 65 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense was shockingly terrible last week against the Carolina Panthers. RG3 and the Redskins just couldn't get the job done in that game. I expect them to bounce back and be much better this weekend. Philadelphia will have Nick Foles starting at quarterback, and I actually think Foles will do a solid job for them. Washington's defense has given up at least 21 points in every single game this year, and the Eagles have some nice offensive weapons. Don't be surprised if Foles looks better than most expect in this game. Neither defense has been shutting anyone completely down this year. Look for a relatively high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in Washington's last 8 home games. Take the over.
11-18-12 Cincinnati Bengals v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 43.5 28-6 Win 100 36 h 33 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a big win against the New York Giants last week. The Bengals defense played by far its best game of the season in that one. This unit has been dinged up pretty badly this year, but they are slowly getting healthier. The Chiefs offense has been horrible of late, and I think the Bengals defense will play well again. Kansas City has a good pass rush, and I think they'll make life difficult on Andy Dalton in this game. The Bengals don't have much of a ground game to keep them honest. The under is 9-0 in the Chiefs last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 7-0 in the Bengals last 7 games following a win by 14 points or more. Look for a low scoring game here.
11-17-12 Kansas State v. Baylor OVER 74 24-52 Win 100 43 h 11 m Show
*3 Star Kansas State/Baylor Total* The Baylor Bears are just 4-5 on the season, but they get to host Kansas State in a huge game Saturday night in Waco. The Bears would love nothing more than to end Kansas State's perfect season. Baylor can put up points with the best of them, but they also give up points like nobody's business. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense (averaging 564 yards per game). On the other side of the ball, Baylor is dead last in total defense in the nation. Opponents are averaging 520 yards per game. Kansas State's defensive weakness is their secondary, and Baylor will exploit that. Collin Klein and the Wildcats should run all over Baylor's terrible defense. Look for big points here. The over is 23-5-1 in Baylor's last 29 games. Take the over.
11-17-12 East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 60.5 28-23 Loss -110 70 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total SMACKDOWN* The Tulane Green Wave couldn't put up any points earlier in the season, but now they have their starting quarterback back in the lineup. Ryan Griffin is a pretty good quarterback, and the team has been moving the ball well with him under center. East Carolina has been bad defensively for several years now. The Pirates offense hasn't been terrific, but everyone has been able to move the ball against Tulane's horrific defense. Both of these teams move quickly, so the tempo should be conducive for a high scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 home games. The over is 9-1 in Tulane's last 10 November games. The over is 8-1 in East Carolina's last 9 November games. Take the over.
11-17-12 Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5 0-38 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star Wake Forest/Notre Dame Total* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a ton to play for right now. Not many could have expected that Notre Dame would get through their tough first ten games on the schedule without a blemish. Indeed, the Fighting Irish have done it with a terrific defense. Manti Te'o has been the best defensive player in the nation this year, and it is Senior Day for him in this one. Wake Forest's offense hasn't been able to score much on anyone, and I think they'll struggle to get past 10 points or so in this one. Notre Dame's offense is still raw, and Wake Forest's running defense is better this year. This looks like a low scoring contest. The under is 5-0 in Wake Forest's last 5 games. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
11-17-12 Duke v. Georgia Tech OVER 67.5 24-42 Loss -105 39 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils are a much improved team this year. Duke's Sean Renfree is a nice veteran quarterback who can throw the football around pretty well. Georgia Tech's defense has given up at least 41 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Georgia Tech's option offense is nearly unstoppable for most defenses, and Duke struggles to stop the run almost every week. Georgia Tech piled up 68 points against North Carolina last weekend. Last year, these two teams played to a 38-31 final. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 conference games. The over is 9-0 in Georgia Tech's last 9 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in Georgia Tech's last 6 when playing a team with a winning record. Take the over.
11-17-12 Houston v. Marshall OVER 74.5 41-44 Win 100 67 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Marshall Thundering Herd offense is prolific this year. Rakeem Cato leads the entire nation in passing yards. Marshall also plays at as fast of a tempo as anyone in football right now. They'll get plenty of plays, and against a Houston defense that ranks 110th in the nation in pass defense, they should get a ton of yards. On the other side, Marshall's defense is terrible. Houston averages 475 yards per game on offense. Marshall is giving up 41.1 points per game this year. This one has the makings of a major shootout. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Take the over.
11-17-12 Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 56.5 21-23 Win 100 39 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* Tulsa has a good offense, but the Golden Hurricane offense revolves around running the ball and eating up clock. UCF has one of the best defenses in Conference USA, and I think Tulsa will struggle to pound it down their throats in this one. On the other side, UCF's offense just isn't as dynamic as most in this conference. The Knights are inconsistent and often can't finish off drives. The under is a perfect 5-0 in Tulsa's last 5 home games. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Look for a lot of running the ball from both teams, and the clock will tick away quickly here. Take the under.
11-17-12 Rutgers v. Cincinnati UNDER 48 10-3 Win 100 35 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Bearcats have changed starting quarterbacks. Munchie Legeuax is out because of turnover problems and Brendon Kay is in. Kay looked good last week, but he'll face a much better defense this week. Rutgers and Cincinnati are both terrific at stopping the run. Both of these offenses revolve around running the football. I think both teams will try to run the ball early and often, but I don't see them having very much success. Cincinnati gives up 18.8 points per game, while Rutgers gives up only 13.4 points per game. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
11-17-12 Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 47 31-24 Loss -105 35 h 8 m Show
*3 Star MAC Total Takedown* The Bowling Green Falcons have been absolutely dominating on defense of late. Bowling Green is allowing just 15.1 points per game this year. How good has this unit been of late? No team has scored more than 14 points on Bowling Green in their last six games. Kent State's offense revolves around the run, and Bowling Green is great on the defensive line. Bowling Green's offense isn't very good, and Kent State is better than average defensively, especially against the run. It's hard to imagine either team lighting up the scoreboard int his one. The under is 7-0 in Bowling Green's last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Falcons last 6 conference games. Take the under.
11-16-12 Brigham Young v. Florida State OVER 147.5 70-88 Win 100 16 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The BYU Cougars are all about getting out and running. Dave Rose has this team looking to score big every single game. I think BYU is a team that we can expect to see averaging 75-80 points or so per game this year. Florida State doesn't have the same kind of defense they had the past couple years, and the Seminoles actually play better at a quick tempo with their personnel now as well. Keep a close eye on guys like Tyler Haws for BYU and Michael Snaer for Florida State. These are guys that can get very hot from long range. The pace here should push this one over. The over is 8-3 in the Seminoles last 11 games. Take the over.
11-14-12 Washington Wizards v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 193 101-107 Loss -110 31 h 30 m Show
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Washington Wizards are 0-6 so far this year. Without John Wall, the Wizards offense doesn't have a real catalyst to get things going. Washington is playing a totally different style of basketball without Wall in the lineup. The Wizards are trying to slow it down and use up the shot clock, and that has led to low scoring games for Washington this year. Only one of their games has gone over this year, and that was solely because it went into overtime. Dallas has less firepower without Nowitzki and Marion. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 on zero days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 road games. Take the under.
11-14-12 Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 190 85-99 Loss -110 30 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Indiana Pacers lost a really tough game last night 74-72 against the Toronto Raptors. Indiana certainly isn't as good without Danny Granger in the lineup, but this is still a decent team. Milwaukee is a team that pushes the pace in a big way with Jennings and Ellis in the backcourt. Indiana will likely have some tired legs in this one, and I think the Bucks could put up a big number. Milwaukee's defense isn't very impressive, so I think Hibbert, George, and others will put up a solid amount of points for the Pacers. The over is 17-4 in the Bucks last 21 against the NBA Central. Take the over.
11-14-12 Detroit Pistons v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 188 94-76 Win 100 17 h 25 m Show
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Detroit Pistons haven't won a game yet this year. Detroit doesn't have the offensive firepower that most teams in the NBA have right now. Still, Detroit has been staying in games more often than not because of an improved defense this year. They held Oklahoma City to 92 points earlier this week. The 76ers are a team built around their ability to play defense. Doug Collins' team should be able to slow down Detroit quite well in this matchup. Neither of these teams likes to run, so I expect a slow pace and fewer free throws than normal. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the under.
11-11-12 St. Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38.5 24-24 Loss -103 44 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is one of the worst in the NFL. The reason the Rams have been more competitive this year is their defense is much improved. I don't expect the Rams to be able to do much offensively against the stacked 49ers defense. San Francisco is first in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 12.9 per contest. The Rams defensive strength is stopping the run, and we know that is what the 49ers normally do is run the football early and often. This is the type of game where I expect the Niners to get an early lead and then play it pretty safe the rest of the way. Don't be surprised if the Rams struggle to get above 10 points or so. The under is 6-2-1 in the 49ers last 9 games. The under is 4-0-1 in the 49ers last 5 against the NFC. Take the under.
11-11-12 Buffalo Bills v. New England Patriots OVER 52 31-37 Win 100 41 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have a real history of putting up big points when they meet. In 4 of the team's last 5 meetings, the final total has been at least 60 points. In the meeting earlier this year, the Patriots scored 31 points in the 4th quarter alone in a blowout win in Buffalo. New England ranks first in the NFL in total offense and points per game. The Patriots are averaging 33 points per game. Buffalo's defense has given up at least 35 points in 3 of their last 5 games. Buffalo's offense is getting healthier, and they should be able to put up points against a mediocre Pats defense. The over is 6-0 in the Pats last 6 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bills last 6 against the AFC East. Take the over.
11-10-12 Fresno State v. Nevada OVER 69 52-36 Win 100 49 h 59 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs and the Nevada Wolfpack both have a very explosive offense. Fresno State has stars at quarterback and running back with Derek Carr and Robbie Rouse. Carr is second in the nation in passing yards so far this season. Nevada always has one of the best ground games in the nation, and this year is no different. With Stephfon Jefferson leading the way, Nevada is averaging 261 yards per game on the ground. Both defenses are suspect against high-powered attacks. Last year's meeting between these two finished in a 45-38 final score. The over is 4-0 in Fresno State's last 4 following a bye week. The over is 5-2 in Nevada's last 7 home games. Take the over.
11-10-12 Utah v. Washington Huskies UNDER 47.5 Top 15-34 Loss -110 49 h 42 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* The Utah Utes and Washington Huskies have been two pretty similar teams this year. Both of them have been very disappointing on the offensive side of the ball, but they have both been very good defensively. Three of Washington's last four games have finished at a total of 38 points or less (including their game against USC). Utah has scored a total of 28 points in their last three road games combined. Both of these offenses have serious trouble putting together long drives. This will likely be a game where both teams settle for quite a few field goals. The under is 4-0 in Utah's lats 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Washington's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
11-10-12 Louisiana Tech v. Texas State Bobcats OVER 70.5 62-55 Win 100 119 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs have one of the most potent offenses in the nation. How good are they? They are third in the nation in yards per game at 571 per contest. They are second in the country in points per game with 52.4 per contest. They are top 12 in both rushing and passing yards. Texas State's defense allows 479 yards per game, and I suspect they are going to have a very long night in this one. On the other side, Louisiana Tech's defense is bad. They are second worst in the nation against the pass. Texas State should be able to put up some points at home here. The over is 8-1 in La. Tech's last 9 games overall. Take the over.
11-10-12 South Alabama Jaguars v. North Texas UNDER 50 14-24 Win 100 43 h 53 m Show
*3 Star CFB Bookie SMASHER* South Alabama has fought hard in their first year of existence as an FBS level football program. The Jaguars don't have much of an offense at all, but their defense is very solid. They have been in almost all of their games this year because of their defense. North Texas has a dinged up quarterback and a disappointing running game. The Mean Green defense is quite a bit better than it was a year ago. There is no reason to believe that either of these inefficient offenses will suddenly break out and put up a big number in this game. The under is 4-0 in North Texas' last 4 games following a straight up loss. Take the under.
11-10-12 Navy v. Troy OVER 58.5 31-41 Win 100 116 h 38 m Show
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Navy Midshipmen can run the ball with the best of them, and Troy hasn't proven they are capable of stopping the run. Look for Navy to run the ball over and over again, and I don't expect Troy to have any answers for it. Last year, Navy piled up 42 points against Troy. On the other side, the Navy defense has struggled against good offenses this year. Troy actually has the 14th ranked offense in the nation. They are more balanced this year on offense, and the Trojans are scoring 30.1 points per game. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 contests. Look for both offenses to have their way here. Take the over.
11-10-12 Air Force v. San Diego State OVER 57.5 9-28 Loss -110 39 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Air Force is an interesting team because they run the football about as well as anyone, but they can't stop the run at all. This often leads to high scoring games for the Falcons. In fact, 5 of their 9 games this year have topped the 60 point mark. San Diego State has gotten very good at running the ball as the year has moved along. I expect the Aztecs to be able to run the ball easily against Air Force's undersized defensive front. The over is 7-2 in Air Force's last 9 games following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in San Diego State's last 7 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
11-10-12 Kent State v. Miami (OH) OVER 55.5 48-32 Win 100 21 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Kent State Golden Flashes are one of the most improved teams in college football this year. Darrell Hazzell is doing a tremendous job with this team. Kent State is getting it done largely because of their strong rushing attack. Miami's defense has been chewed up on the ground this year. Opponents are averaging 232 yards per game on the ground. Miami is allowing 34.4 points per game. Kent State's defense has struggled against strong passing games. Miami can't run the ball, but they do have a strong passing game. Look for Miami to move it through the air nicely in this one. I think this one gets to at least 60. Take the over.
11-10-12 Army v. Rutgers UNDER 52.5 7-28 Win 100 35 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Army Black Knights have the number one running game in the nation, but they can't throw the football at all. In fact, they average just 67 yards per game through the air. One of the team's leading rushers is questionable for this game due to an injury. The Rutgers defense has been awesome against the run this year. Rutgers is fourth in the nation in rushing defense. I think Army will have a lot of trouble scoring points here. The Rutgers offense averages just 26 points per game, and I don't see them putting up a big number here either. The under is 11-2 in Army's last 13 games coming off a bye week. The under is 6-1 in Rutgers last 7 against Independent teams. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
11-10-12 Wisconsin v. Indiana OVER 55 62-14 Win 100 20 h 12 m Show
*3 Star Big 10 Total* The Wisconsin Badgers will start Curt Phillips at quarterback here. Phillips isn't a very good quarterback, but I'm not sure the team needs a good quarterback to put up points against Indiana. Wisconsin still has a good running game with Montee Ball and James White, and the Hoosiers defensive line has been dominated numerous times this year. Wisconsin scored 83 against Indiana two years ago and 59 last year. While I don't expect that here, I do think they'll score plenty. Indiana's passing attack has been impressive, and Wisconsin's secondary is a bit weak right now. Indiana's offense should move the ball well here too. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two, and it is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Indiana. Take the over.
11-09-12 Cleveland Cavaliers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 200.5 105-107 Win 100 19 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Cleveland Cavaliers have one of the best young players in the NBA in Kyrie Irving, and he can really chew up bad defenses. Phoenix definitely has a bad defense. The Suns are giving up 105 points per game so far this year. Goran Dragic and Michael Beasley are guys who can fill it up, but they don't play much defense. Cleveland has picked up their pace quite a bit this year, and they get to the free throw line quite often. The Suns aren't going to slow the tempo down at all here. The over is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 games. Take the over.
11-09-12 Dallas Mavericks v. New York Knicks OVER 199 94-104 Loss -105 18 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Dallas Mavericks have been very good offensively so far this year even without Dirk Nowitzki. Chris Kaman is a huge upgrade over anyone Dallas has had at the center spot in a long time. OJ Mayo can put up the points in bunches. On the other side, the Knicks are 3-0 and their offense is in a great rhythm right now. New York always had the talent to put up 100 or more every night, and now they seem to have the team chemistry necessary. Both teams are efficient on the offensive end, and they'll both run when given the opportunity. The over is 5-0 in the Mavericks last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in the Mavs last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in New York. Take the over.
11-07-12 Denver Nuggets v. Houston Rockets OVER 204.5 Top 93-87 Loss -110 2 h 25 m Show
*5 Star NBA Top Total* The Denver Nuggets push the pace better than any other team in the NBA. Denver's offense has really started clicking in their last couple games. The Nuggets have put up 116 and 109 points in their last two games. Houston is a brand new team this year, and they have put up over 100 points in two of their first three games. The Rockets now have a point guard (Lin) who pushes the pace. James Harden looks like he is comfortable being the main scoring option, and Denver simply doesn't have much of a defense. The pace should be really quick in this one. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Houston. Look for this to sail over the posted total. Take the over big!
11-06-12 Ball State v. Toledo OVER 67.5 34-27 Loss -110 24 h 13 m Show
*3 Star Tuesday Night Total* The Ball State Cardinals have turned into a fast-paced offense that is tough to stop. Keith Wenning is an underrated quarterback who leads this offense very well. Toledo's defense has been torched on a constant basis over the past couple years, and it will likely happen again in this one. Toledo's defense ranks 108th in the nation in total defense. The Rockets offense has been gaining steam of late, and Ball State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. The Cardinals have given up 33.3 points per game so far this year. The over is 4-0 in Toledo's last 4 games after a bye week. The over is 7-1 in Ball State's last 8 road games. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
11-04-12 Minnesota Vikings v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 38.5 20-30 Loss -103 39 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Seattle Seahawks are a completely different team at Qwest Field. Their defense has been dominating at home, even against some of the best offenses in the league. Seattle's run defense is amazing, and that really is Minnesota's bread and butter on offense. Seattle games often end up being field goal battles. Poor weather is expected in this one, which just makes me feel even more strongly about the under. Both defenses should have the upper hand in this game. The under is 6-1 in the Seahawks last 7 games against the NFC. The under is 5-2 in the Vikings last 7 games overall. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.
11-04-12 Carolina Panthers v. Washington Redskins OVER 46.5 Top 21-13 Loss -110 131 h 24 m Show
*5 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a good team to play the 'over' with because they are very good offensively with RG3 at the helm and very suspect on the defensive side of the ball. Washington is dead last in the NFL in passing defense, and they are allowing 28.4 points per game. Carolina looked pretty good in a 23-22 loss to Chicago last week, and if they come out with that same kind of enthusiasm here they should put up a big number. The Panthers defense is giving up 24 points per game, and no one has had the answer to stopping RG3 all season. I don't see the Panthers having the answer in this one. The over is 5-0 in the Panthers last 5 after allowing 150 yards or less through the air in their previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Redskins last 6 after an ATS loss. Take the over big!
11-03-12 Arizona v. UCLA Bruins OVER 70.5 10-66 Win 100 46 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Arizona Wildcats showed what they can do offensively last week in a win over USC. Matt Scott is the perfect quarterback for Rich Rod's offense. Scott can run when needed, and he can absolutely pick apart a defense with his arm. UCLA's defense has been shaky all year, and I think they'll struggle here. Arizona's defense is slightly better than last year, but UCLA's balanced offense has been scoring a lot of points against everyone. Look for Hundley and Franklin to have a big game here. The over is 4-0 in Ariozna's last 4 games. Take the over.
11-03-12 Alabama v. LSU UNDER 41.5 21-17 Win 100 42 h 24 m Show
*3 Star Alabama/LSU Total Domination* This is the showdown everyone has been looking forward to since last season ended. Oddsmakers are down on LSU right now because the team has struggled a bit of late, but remember this team still has an amazing defense. LSU ranks third in the nation in total defense, and I just don't see Alabama coming into Baton Rouge and piling up the points on this ultra-talented defense. Speaking of talented defenses, Alabama is absolutely stacked on the defensive end. The Crimson Tide are first in almost all the major defensive statistics. LSU is struggling mightily on offense, and it won't surprise me if they can't get above 10 points here. The under is 4-1 in the Tigers last 5 following a bye week. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 following a straight up win. The under was 2-0 in the meetings between these two last year. Take the under.
11-03-12 Clemson v. Duke OVER 65.5 56-20 Win 100 43 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers have one of the best offenses in the nation. Tajh Boyd is a great leader at the quarterback spot, and the Tigers have weapons at all the skill positions. Ellington is a solid running back and Watkins and Hopkins are tremendous on the outside. Duke is a much better team this year, but it is largely because of their offense. The Blue Devils should be able to put points on the board because of their passing game. Renfree is a good quarterback, and the Clemson secondary has struggled all year. Duke has been an 'over' bettors best friend of late. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Devils last 5. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 conference games. Take the over here.
11-03-12 Oregon v. USC OVER 69 62-51 Win 100 29 h 57 m Show
*3 Star Oregon/USC Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks can score points faster than any other team in the nation. Chip Kelly's offense is tremendous at keeping their opponent off guard. USC gave up 52 points to Oregon two years ago and 35 last year. The weakness of the Oregon defense is their secondary, and Matt Barkley and his terrific group of receivers should be able to exploit that weakness. USC's offense has been really coming into their own over the last couple games. Oregon has been taking their foot off the gas early in PAC 12 games before this one, but they can't afford to do that here. Both offenses should pile up the points. The over is 22-8 in Oregon's last 30 conference games. Take the over.
11-03-12 Rice v. Tulane OVER 62.5 Top 49-47 Win 100 109 h 35 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Rice Owls have been one of the worst defensive teams in the nation over the last few years, and this year is no different. Rice is giving up 32.3 points per game this year. Tulane's offense was horrible earlier this year, but they now have starting quarterback Ryan Griffin back and it makes a big difference. With Griffin the team put up 55 points last week. Tulane's defense is giving up almost 500 yards of offense per game. Rice has a pretty good offense, and I expect them to move the ball at will in this one. In 4 of their last 7 games, Tulane has allowed at least 41 points. I think this one goes way over the posted total. The over is 43-9 in Rice's last 52 games on turf. Take the over in a big way here.
11-02-12 Denver Nuggets v. Orlando Magic OVER 198 89-102 Loss -110 17 h 48 m Show
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* At the beginning of the NBA season, the first thing I like to do is check out teams where we will see pace changes. With Stan Van Gundy out and Dwight Howard gone, first year coach Jacques Vaughn will turn the Orlando Magic into an uptempo team. Now, Orlando doesn't have prolific scorers, so I won't always be looking at an 'over' with them. In this case, I love the matchup. Denver was the fastest paced team in the NBA team last year, and they aren't about to try to slow the pace down. The Nuggets should be able to score at will against this Orlando team. The quick pace should be plenty to put this one over the total. Take the over.
10-28-12 New Orleans Saints v. Denver Broncos OVER 54 14-34 Loss -110 44 h 49 m Show
*3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination* The New Orleans Saints have a way of making games very high scoring. The Saints have a high-powered offense that can score very quickly, and they also have a defense that gives up a ton of points. Denver is a much more potent offense now with Peyton Manning at the helm. Manning should be able to take advantage of a very poor Saints secondary. The Saints are giving up 30.3 points per game and scoring 29.3 per contest. Denver is averaging 29 points per game at home this year. In a game that is played at a quick pace, I expect both teams to get plenty of chances to put points on the board here. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 after a bye week. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 October games. Look for lots of points here. Take the over.
10-28-12 Miami Dolphins v. NY Jets UNDER 40 30-9 Win 100 36 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets will be playing in some ugly conditions Sunday afternoon. Hurricane Sandy will be dumping rain on this game and kicking up the wind. These kind of conditions aren't helpful to offenses, especially the wind. Miami's defense has been solid all year. The Jets offense is very inconsistent, and this kind of weather will lead to a lot more running. With the clock ticking throughout the game, it will be hard to get as many points as normal. Look for a defensive battle played in the driving rain in New York. The under is 7-0 in the Dolphins last 7 October games. Take the under in this one.
10-27-12 UNLV v. San Diego State OVER 56.5 13-24 Loss -110 89 h 55 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* UNLV is a team I like to look at the 'over' with because of their terrible defense and their much improved offense. The Rebels have scored 30 points or more in three of their last five contests. Their defense has allowed at least 30 points in every game against an FBS level opponent this year. San Diego State has really gotten their running game going of late. The Aztecs offensive front should dominate UNLV's weak defensive front in this game. San Diego State's defense has been poor against the pass this year, and UNLV should get some yards there. The over is 6-2 in UNLV's last 8 games. The over is 4-1 in San Diego State's last 5 games. Take the over.
10-27-12 Michigan v. Nebraska OVER 57.5 9-23 Loss -105 44 h 2 m Show
*3 Star Michigan/Nebraska Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Nebraska Cornhuskers meet in a crucial Big 10 matchup Saturday night. Michigan is in the driver's seat in the Legends Division, but Nebraska still has a major say. Nebraska's offense is much more potent this year with an improved Taylor Martinez under center. Michigan's secondary is good, but the front seven is questionable. Denard Robinson is in his senior season with the Wolverines, and he has really turned it on over the past few games. Nebraska has struggled against good running games (UCLA and Ohio State) and I think Michigan can run for a big number against the Cornhuskers. Look for both offenses to have quite a bit of success. Take the over.
10-27-12 Kent State v. Rutgers UNDER 46 35-23 Loss -105 61 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are unbeaten going into week nine of the college football season. Not many people saw that coming. How have they done it? Rutgers wins with their defense. Rutgers is third in the nation in rushing defense. They allow opponents to run for only 69 yards per game. Rutgers is allowing only 11.3 points per game, which is also third best in the nation. Kent State relies on its ground game, and I don't think they can run very well on this Rutgers defense. The Scarlet Knights offense isn't very good, and this feels like a low scoring game to me. The under is 12-4 in Rutgers last 16 games. Take the under.
10-27-12 Texas Tech v. Kansas State OVER 60.5 24-55 Win 100 61 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been extremely impressive over the last few weeks. Texas Tech smashed West Virginia and won on the road at TCU. Kansas State has been the biggest surprise in college football this season. The Wildcats beat West Virginia 55-14 in Morgantown last weekend, and that game was as much of a "statement game" as you'll ever see. Kansas State's running attack is extremely tough to stop, and I don't think Texas Tech has the personnel to slow them down. On the other side, Kansas State's weakness is in the secondary. Seth Doege leads the nation with 28 touchdown passes. The Red Raiders should be able to put quite a few points on the board as well. The over is 6-0 in Kansas State's last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 between these teams. Take the over.
10-27-12 Ohio v. Miami (OH) OVER 60.5 20-23 Loss -105 61 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Ohio Bobcats are unbeaten and in the top 25. Ohio has a well-balanced offense that has been very consistent this year. The Bobcats major problem right now is their defense is really banged up. Ohio's best pass rushers and their best members of the secondary are out. Miami (Ohio) doesn't have a good running game, but they can throw the football. Opponents have been moving the ball through the air against Ohio of late, and Miami should do the same. Miami's defense is giving up 38 points per game, and the Bobcats will be one of the better offenses they have faced. I expect a high scoring game here. The over is 4-0 in Ohio's last 4 coming off a bye week. Take the over.
10-27-12 UCLA v. Arizona State OVER 57.5 45-43 Win 100 39 h 32 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB PAC 12 Total* UCLA is a much better team this year thanks in large part to Brett Hundley being under center. Hundley is a terrific dual-threat quarterback who jump starts this offense. Johnathan Franklin is one of the best running backs in the nation. Franklin averages 6.8 yards per carry, and I think he can do a lot of damage against this Arizona State defense. Arizona State's offense is fast-paced now with Todd Graham as their coach. Both of these offenses will be playing uptempo, and I think that will give them both plenty of scoring chances. UCLA averages 32 points per game and Arizona State averages 38. Take the over.
10-27-12 Ball State v. Army OVER 66.5 30-22 Loss -110 81 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Ball State Cardinals have completely changed the way they play over the past couple years. Ball State is now a hurry up offense that looks to get as many offensive plays in a game as possible. Army's defense is allowing 38 points per game this year. Army gave up 48 points to a terrible Eastern Michigan offense last weekend. On the other side of the ball, Army is the number one rushing offense in the nation. That will be a problem for a Ball State defense that is 114th in the nation in total defense. Ball State allows 476 yards of offense per game. The over is a perfect 7-0 in Ball State's last 7 road games. The over is 10-1 in Army's last 11 games against the MAC. The over is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a loss. Take the over.
10-21-12 Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 49.5 23-27 Win 100 84 h 53 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins are a terrific 'over' team this year. Washington hasn't had a quarterback in the last few years, but now they have a star dual-threat quarterback. RG3 has more than lived up to all the hype so far this year. He is a game changer for this offense. Washington is averaging 30 points per game this year. At the same time, the Redskins defense continues to have problems stopping anyone. The Redskins are dead last in the NFL in pass defense. The New York Giants have a terrific passing attack, and I expect them to shred up this defense. The Giants are also averaging 30 points per game. This is a game that I expect to reach at least 55 points, so I really like the value on this one. The over is 6-1-1 in the Redskins last 8. Look for these offenses to get up and down the field quickly. Take the over.
10-21-12 New Orleans Saints v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 49.5 35-28 Win 100 59 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Saints finally got a win two weeks ago by coming back and beating the San Diego Chargers. New Orleans is still only 1-4, but they are holding onto faint hopes that they will be able to get into the postseason. New Orleans is 4th in the NFL in total offense, and I don't see Tampa Bay slowing them down much. The Bucs are second to last in the NFL in passing defense. Drew Brees seems to be coming into his own of late, and he should have a big day in this one. At the same time, the Saints defense isn't very good at all right now. The Saints are allowing 31 points per game on the season. Look for both teams to put up quite a few points here. The over is 8-0 in the Saints last 8 games against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 games following a straight up win. Take the over.
10-20-12 Marshall v. Southern Mississippi OVER 66.5 59-24 Win 100 120 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Tempo Total* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the fastest paced offenses in the nation. Marshall's scoring drives often only last 2 or 3 minutes. Rakeem Cato is a very talented young quarterback for the Thundering Herd. Marshall is averaging 396 passing yards per game this year, which is second in the nation. Southern Miss has defensive problems this year. The Golden Eagles are allowing 36 points per game. On the other side, Marshall's rushing defense is abysmal and Southern Miss can still run the football. The Golden Eagles should be able to rack up some big yardage in this one. The over is 5-1 in Marshall's last 6 road games. Take the over.
10-20-12 Cincinnati v. Toledo OVER 64.5 23-29 Loss -110 120 h 48 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Cincinnati Bearcats and the Toledo Rockets can both score points in bunches. Cincinnati averages 37 points per game this year. The Bearcats have scored 52 and 49 points in the last two weeks. Toledo's defense is one of the worst in all of football. Toledo is 111th out of 124 teams in the nation in total defense. The Bearcats should pile up the points here. At the same time, Toledo's offense averages 36.4 points per game, and they will be the best offense the Bearcats defense has faced this season. The over is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Cincinnati's last 4 following a win. Take the over and expect a high scoring game.
10-20-12 Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 61.5 Top 17-37 Loss -110 116 h 50 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play of the Week* Boston College has a much improved offense compared to a year ago, but their defense is much worse than it was a year ago. The Eagles are averaging 281 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College is giving up 248 yards per game on the ground. Georgia Tech is third in the nation with 331 rushing yards per game. Army's offense piled up the yards and points against Boston College, and Georgia Tech runs the option even better. Georgia Tech's passing defense has been terrible, so Boston College should pile up the yards here. I don't see either defense slowing down the opposition in this one. The over is 4-0 in Georgia Tech's last 4 games. Look for a very high scoring game. I think this goes way over. Take the over big!
10-18-12 Oregon v. Arizona State OVER 68 43-21 Loss -107 20 h 54 m Show
*3 Star Thursday Night Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks are an amazing offensive team. Chip Kelly just continues to plug in athletic players and run this high-powered offense beautifully. Oregon is averaging 52.3 points per game so far this year. Thomas is one of the most dynamic offensive players in football, and Mariota is a terrific quarterback for this system. Arizona State's defense has good numbers this year, which is giving us some value here. Arizona State hasn't faced a good offense yet this year, and I think they'll struggle in a big way here. At the same time, Todd Graham has this offense putting up points. Oregon has given up quite a few yards through the air, and I think the Sun Devils can score quite a few here. The over is 7-0 in Arizona State's last 7 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in Oregon's last 5 games following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over.
10-14-12 NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 46 26-3 Win 100 38 h 39 m Show
*3 Star Giants/49ers Total Domination* The New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers have quite a bit of bad blood between them at this point. They met in the NFC Championship game last year, and it was the Giants who pulled off a come from behind victory in that one. San Francisco is definitely looking for revenge here. The 49ers do it with defense first. At this point, it is tough to argue with the fact that the 49ers have the best defense in the league. They are giving up less than 14 points per game. The Giants have had offensive explosions this year several times, but they haven't played a defense like the Niners. New York's defense should get a good pass rush on the 49ers, and I expect both defenses to bring their best in this intense game. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 games after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. Take the under.
10-14-12 Buffalo Bills v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 43.5 19-16 Win 100 37 h 25 m Show
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals are 4-1 this year, but a lot of people see their offense and assume they aren't a very good team. Many people overlook the fact that Arizona has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Patrick Peterson is a star at cornerback, and the Cardinals have a ton of very solid guys in their front seven. No team has scored more than 21 points on Arizona this year. Buffalo's offense has been dreadful of late. The Bills scored three points last week against the 49ers. Kevin Kolb and the Cardinals offense is out of sync right now, and I don't expect them to put up too many points without any kind of running game. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinals 5 games this season. Take the under.
10-13-12 Texas A&M v. Louisiana Tech OVER 79 59-57 Win 100 30 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Texas A&M Aggies offense is starting to get rolling. Kevin Sumlin's fast-paced offense struggled early in the year, but Johnny Manziel is getting it going of late. Louisiana Tech's defense has been torched through the air this year. The Bulldogs allowed an eye-popping 580 yards through the air in a win at Houston earlier this year. On the other side, the Bulldogs offense is tremendous. Louisiana Tech is averaging 53.2 points per game this year, which is fourth best in the nation. The weakness of the Aggies defense is their secondary, and that will be a big problem this week. The over is 5-0 in LA Tech's last 5 games. Look for a shootout. Take the over.
10-13-12 West Virginia v. Texas Tech OVER 78 14-49 Loss -105 25 h 60 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Offensive Explosion* The West Virginia Mountaineers now rival the Oregon Ducks as having the team with the most high-octane offense in the nation. Geno Smith has thrown 24 touchdowns and ZERO interceptions. He is clearly the Heisman front runner for great reason. Texas Tech's pass defense has been ranked at the top of the charts all year, but that will end quickly after this one. The Red Raiders shut down a ton of weak offenses and they'll be torched by West Virginia in this one. On the other side, Texas Tech has a nice quarterback in Seth Doege. West Virginia's defense is nothing special. I think both teams get to 40 points here. Take the over.
10-13-12 Maryland v. Virginia UNDER 45.5 27-20 Loss -110 85 h 31 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Maryland Terrapins have been making progress this year. Randy Edsall's team is making progress because they can play defense. Edsall has instilled his defensive toughness on this team, and it is showing on the field. West Virginia even struggled at times against the Terrapins defense. For the season, Maryland is allowing only 257 yards per game (7th in the nation). Virginia's offense is inconsistent, and I don't expect them to break out of their slump this week. As good as Maryland has been on defense, their offense has been terrible. The Terrapins rank 121st out of 124 teams in the nation in total offense. The under is 8-1 in the Cavs last 9 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
10-13-12 Western Michigan v. Ball State OVER 66.5 24-30 Loss -110 22 h 52 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* The Ball State Cardinals have had high scoring games every week this year. Ball State has transitioned to a new fast-pace offense in the past year, and it is paying dividends in a big way now. The Cardinals only scored two touchdowns in 7 trips inside the red zone last weekend, but they'll face a poor defense this week. Western Michigan gave up 35 points against Ball State last year. On the other side, Western Michigan's passing attack is solid and the Cardinals secondary isn't good. Expect both teams to move the ball well through the air in this one. The over is 11-2-1 in Ball State's last 14 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Ball State. I think this one gets into the low-mid 70's. Take the over.
10-13-12 North Carolina v. Miami (Florida) OVER 68.5 18-14 Loss -110 21 h 24 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The North Carolina Tar Heels are getting accustomed to Larry Fedora's uptempo offense, and it is starting to work well. The Tar Heels like to wear defenses down, and that has been exactly what they are doing over the last few weeks. Bryn Renner is a budding star at the quarterback spot. Renner already has 1,600 passing yards this year. Giovanni Bernard piled up a record 262 rushing yards last week against Virginia Tech. The Hokies defense was supposed to be strong, but North Carolina put up 48 points. Miami's defense is very weak. The Hurricanes have allowed 32 points or more against every FBS team they have played this year. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
10-13-12 UAB v. Houston OVER 67 17-39 Loss -110 35 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Houston Cougars offense took some time to get going this year, but they are rolling once again. It is the passing attack behind David Piland that is really clicking right now. Houston averages 344 passing yards per game. UAB's defense is allowing 33.8 points per game this year. On the other side, Houston's defense is bad once again this season. The Cougars are giving up almost 500 yards of total offense per game. Houston allows 32 points per game. UAB's passing attack has been very good of late. UAB put up 42 points in a loss to Tulsa last week. I don't see many stops in this one. Take the over.
10-12-12 St. Louis Cardinals v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 9-7 Loss -125 19 h 26 m Show
*3 Star Cardinals/Nationals Game 5 Total* It all comes to down to this game for the Cardinals and Nationals. The Nationals had the best record in the National League this year largely due to having the best pitching staff in the league. Gio Gonzalez won 21 games, and he has been a rock for this team all year. Gonzalez has a spectacular 2.38 ERA at home this year. Adam Wainwright pitches for the Cardinals. Wainwright has CY Young type stuff, as he has shown before. Wainwright has rounded into form as he got healthier later in the year. He has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 7 of his last 10 starts. Wainwright has pitched in two straight games (both in the last two weeks) against the Nationals and allowed 2 runs total. In a deciding game like this, the best relievers will be used. Both offenses have been struggling of late, and this is a pitcher's ballpark. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.
10-06-12 Washington v. Oregon OVER 64.5 21-52 Win 100 124 h 36 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Huskies defense was horrible last season. The Huskies defense has been surprisingly decent this year, but they haven't played anyone with even close to the level of offensive talent that Oregon has. The Ducks probably have the most dynamic offense in the nation. Oregon is averaging 52.4 points per game, and I'll be surprised if they don't get close to that level again this week. They just have too many weapons and too much speed for the Huskies defense. Washington has a very good quarterback in Keith Price, and I expect the Huskies to be able to do some scoring of their own in this one too. The over is 20-7 in Oregon's last 27 conference games. Take the over.
10-06-12 Tulsa v. Marshall OVER 67.5 Top 45-38 Win 100 117 h 38 m Show
*6 Star College Football Play of the Year!* This one sets up to a be huge play for me. Tulsa's offense averages 42 points per game. The Golden Hurricane average 245 rushing yards per game, which is 12th in the nation. Marshall's weakness as a defense is the front seven, and opponents are averaging 225 rushing yards per game. Overall, the Thundering Herd are allowing a ridiculous 44.4 points per game. On the other side, Marshall ranks third in the nation in passing offense. The Thundering Herd average 395 yards per game through the air thanks to super sophomore Rakeem Cato. Cato leads the nation in passing yards. Tulsa's secondary is definitely the weakness of the defense. UAB threw for 337 yards on Tulsa last weekend. Marshall is putting up 41 points per game this year. Marshall scored 34 points against West Virginia and 41 against a pretty good Purdue defense. Both of these teams are teams I look to play the over with, and I was prepared to play a much higher number than this on the over. My numbers have this game projected at 82 points. Look for a major shootout in this one. Take the over in a very big way!
10-06-12 Georgia Tech v. Clemson OVER 73 31-47 Win 100 18 h 16 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the triple option as well as anyone, and I don't think Clemson has the personnel to stop the Yellow Jackets running game. At the same time, Georgia Tech's defense simply isn't very good. Clemson has one of the most dynamic offenses in the nation. The Tigers put up 37 points against a great Florida State defense. Clemson has the type of offense that could score 45-50 points in a game like this. Tajh Boyd has his best play maker back this weekend as Sammy Watkins has been cleared to play. Boyd is one of the best quarterbacks in the land, and he should have a great game here. Take the over.
10-06-12 Northern Illinois v. Ball State OVER 67 Top 35-23 Loss -110 115 h 16 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Total Domination* Ball State has quickly becoming a scoring machine over the past couple years. If you look at Ball State's games this year, the combined score at the end of their games has been: 79, 80, 58, and 88 points. Northern Illinois and Ball State played to a 41-38 final last year. Two years ago the final was 59-21. Northern Illinois has a great play maker at quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Northern Illinois put up 55 points on Central Michigan last weekend. This is one of those games where I think both teams are very capable of putting up 40 points. This is a total I would have played up to 74 points. The over is 6-0-1 in Ball State's last 7 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Ball State's last 4 when allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Ball State. Take the over big!
10-06-12 Boston College v. Army OVER 56 31-34 Win 100 17 h 39 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* Boston College is a completely different team than they were a year ago. Chase Rettig leads an impressive passing attack for the Eagles. Boston College is putting up more than 300 passing yards per game this year. On the other side, Boston College's defense took a big hit when Kuechly graduated after last season. Army is second in the nation in rushing yards, and I think they'll be able to run the ball well against a fairly weak Boston College front seven. Army's defense has given up more than 40 points in three of their five games this year. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over.
10-02-12 Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 3-5 Loss -110 9 h 44 m Show
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Chase Field becomes a completely different park when the roof is open. Arizona's hot dry weather really helps the baseball fly well. At gametime tonight, the temperature is expected to be 97 degrees with 10% humidity. The roof is scheduled to be open. We also have two pitchers who have struggled of late. Chacin has a 4.78 ERA this year and Corbin has a 4.77 ERA this year. Corbin has a terrible 8.36 ERA in his last 3 starts. Both of these teams have the ability to put up a bunch of runs. The over is 6-0 in the Rockies last 6 against a lefty. The over is 6-0 in the DBacks last 6 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in Jerry Meals (umpire) last 6 games behind home plate. The over is 5-0-1 in Corbin's last 6 starts. In all, a 23-0 angle backing the over. Take the over in this one.
09-30-12 Washington Redskins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 47.5 24-22 Loss -103 110 h 30 m Show
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins offense has been unstoppable so far this year. Robert Griffin III has been amazing through his first three weeks in the NFL. Washington has scored 40, 28, and 31 points in the first three weeks of the season. Tampa Bay's defense was good against Carolina and Dallas, but they allowed Eli Manning to throw for more than 500 yards in a 41-34 loss to the Giants. Don't forget that Tampa Bay was dead last in the NFL in total defense a year ago. Washington should score quite a few here again. Tampa Bay's offense is improved this year as well. Dating back to last season, Washington's defense has allowed 31 points or more in 7 of their last 8 games. Tampa Bay should pile up the yards and points against a poor Redskins secondary. The over is 4-0-1 in the Redskins last 5. The over is 21-7-1 in the Bucs last 29 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
09-30-12 New England Patriots v. Buffalo Bills OVER 50.5 52-28 Win 100 35 h 34 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New England Patriots are off to a slow 1-2 start. The Patriots are unlikely to drop to 1-3, but the Bills do pose some problems for their defense. New England has scored at least 34 points in each of their last 4 meetings against Buffalo. Look for Tom Brady and his receivers to get on track in a big way in this one. At the same time, the Bills are starting to get healthier and the Patriots defense isn't very good. There is no reason to expect New England to shut down Buffalo here. The two meetings last year ended at 34-31 and 49-21. The over is 4-0 in Buffalo's last 4 week 4 games. The over is 4-0-1 in Buffalo's last 5 vs. the AFC East. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. Take the over.
09-29-12 Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 50 27-30 Win 100 24 h 14 m Show
*3 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers dominated the Nebraska Cornuskers 48-17 last year in the Cornhuskers first game in the Big 10. Nebraska will definitely be looking for revenge in this night game in Lincoln. The Nebraska offense has been much better this year as Taylor Martinez has developed his passing game in a big way. Wisconsin's defense is down a bit, and Nebraska should be able to take advantage. At the same time, I expect Wisconsin to be able to run the ball well against Nebraska's relatively weak front seven. This total is too low for me to pass up. The over is 10-4 in Wisconsin's last 14. Take the over.
09-29-12 Arizona State v. California OVER 57.5 27-17 Loss -110 25 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* Arizona State's offense is high-octane now with Todd Graham as the head coach. The Sun Devils are all about trying to pick up the tempo of the game and put points on the board in a hurry. I think Cal's games are being lined too low this year because the team had a good defense last year. The Cal defense is nothing like it was a year ago. Arizona State should pick them apart through the air. On the other side, Cal certainly has the ability to put up quite a few points on Arizona State as well. The over is 10-2 in Arizona State's last 12 conference games. Take the over.
09-29-12 Clemson v. Boston College OVER 58 Top 45-31 Win 100 117 h 24 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Total SMASHER* The Clemson Tigers offense is one of the best in the nation. Clemson piled up 37 points against a great Florida State defense last week. Boston College's defense is down quite a bit from a year ago, and Clemson scored 36 on them last season. Boston College does have a much improved passing game this year. The Eagles are putting up 317 passing yards per contest so far this year. Chase Rettig has really stepped up at the quarterback spot. Clemson's defense isn't very good right now, and Boston College should be able to score plenty as well. I think this one gets into the mid 60's or higher. Take the over big.
09-29-12 Nevada v. Texas State OVER 62.5 Top 34-21 Loss -110 18 h 12 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Play of the Week* Nevada's offense is extremely tough to stop every single year, and this year is no different. Chris Ault's Pistol offense is unique and very difficult to scheme against. Stefphon Jefferson leads the nation in rushing right now. Jefferson rushed for 6 touchdowns in last week's game alone! Cody Fajardo is a very underrated quarterback for Nevada, and he should have a field day against a terrible Texas State secondary. On the other side, Nevada's defense is horrible. The Wolfpack are 108th in the nation in total defense, and they are allowing 475 yards per game. Texas State should be able to get on the board plenty of times here too. Don't be surprised if this one goes well over the total. Take the over big!
09-29-12 Buffalo v. Connecticut UNDER 44 17-24 Win 100 21 h 35 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Buffalo Bulls are expected to be without star running back Branden Oliver in this one. Oliver is basically one-man show for the Bulls on a weekly basis, so if he does indeed miss this game the offense (which is already bad), will really be hurting. Buffalo is 112th in the nation in passing. UConn's defense has been spectacular this year. The Huskies are fifth in the nation in total defense. They are third in rushing defense (allowing only 57.5 yards per game). UConn's offense isn't very strong, and they don't really have the type of team to light up the scoreboard against many teams. The under is 9-0 in Buffalo's last 9 games after allowing 200 rushing yards in the previous game. I like the under here.
09-25-12 Tampa Bay Rays v. Boston Red Sox UNDER 8 5-2 Win 100 23 h 7 m Show
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Boston Red Sox lineup certainly isn't what it was at the beginning of the season. Dustin Pedroia is the only real star left in the Red Sox batting order. David Price is a AL CY Young candidate this year. Price has a 2.27 ERA in six starts at Fenway Park. On the other side, Clay Buchholz has been pitching very well of late. Buchholz has a 1.99 ERA in his last three starts. His career ERA against the Rays is 2.52 in 13 starts. The under is 6-1 in the Red Sox last 7 home games. Look for a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
09-23-12 Cincinnati Bengals v. Washington Redskins OVER 48.5 38-31 Win 100 89 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bengals offense woke up nicely last week against Cleveland. Andy Dalton and A.J. Green are a great pass and catch tandem. The Bengals offensive front is strong, which should allow them to run the ball some as well. RG3 has been spectacular through the first two weeks, and the Bengals defense has been very disappointing. Cincinnati's secondary has been beaten deep far too many times through just two weeks. The Bengals are dinged up at the linebacker spot as well, and that will hurt when trying to keep Griffin inside the pocket. Look for Griffin to run around on the Bengals and make plays outside the pocket. Both teams should put up quite a few points. The over is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in the Redskins last 4 games overall. Take the over.
09-22-12 Arizona v. Oregon OVER 75 Top 0-49 Loss -110 123 h 15 m Show
*5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total* I had this game circled before the lines came out this week. This is a game I was willing to play the 'over' on at 80 points, so I like the value here. Arizona's fast-paced offense under Rich Rodriguez should be able to score points. The Wildcats have scored 56 and 59 points in the last two weeks. The Arizona defense is very bad, and Oregon is more than capable of scoring on every possession here. The Ducks have what I believe is the most impressive offense in the nation at this point. Marcus Mariota is the real deal at quarterback, and there isn't a better play maker in the country than D'Anthony Thomas. Oregon has scored at least 42 points in every game this year, and that is with taking the starters out by halftime. The Ducks starters should get more time in this Pac 12 contest. Don't be surprised if Oregon gets 55-60 points here. The tempo of this game should be about as fast as you'll see in college football all year. The over is 23-6-1 in Oregon's last 30 home games. The over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games following a straight up win. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Take the over big!
09-22-12 Air Force v. UNLV OVER 54.5 35-38 Win 100 55 h 22 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* Air Force is a unique team because they don't move at a quick pace, but they ran the ball extremely well and they have a bad defense. Air Force is first in the nation in rushing yards per game at 390 yards per contest. UNLV's defense is pathetic against the run. The Falcons ran for 394 yards against UNLV last year, and I expect more of the same this season. The difference in this year's UNLV team is that the offense is a bit better. Cornett is a decent running back, and Nick Sherry gives the team a solid upgrade at the quarterback spot. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
09-22-12 Kansas v. Northern Illinois OVER 51 23-30 Win 100 49 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Northern Illinois lost 45-42 in a real shootout last year at Kansas. Both teams offenses have appeared a bit worse so far this year, but this number is far too low. James Sims should be back from a suspension for Kansas, and that will give them a good tailback. Northern Illinois has a great running quarterback in Jordan Lynch. Neither defense has been any good the last couple years (Kansas allowed 37 points per game last year), and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Look for both offenses to move the ball well in this one. Take the over.
09-22-12 Maryland v. West Virginia OVER 62 21-31 Loss -105 44 h 7 m Show
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The West Virginia Mountaineers have a true Heisman Trophy contender at quarterback in Geno Smith. Smith has as many touchdown passes (9) as he does incompletions so far this year! Dana Holgorsen's offense is perfect for Smith and the Mountaineers two star receivers: Tavon Austin and Stedman Bailey. Maryland's defense has been solid against horrible offenses this year, but this is their first true test. It won't surprise me at all if the Mountaineers put up 50 points or more here. Maryland's running game should bust a couple long plays as well. The over is 4-0 in the Mountaineers last 4 September games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is 7-1 in Maryland's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over.
09-21-12 San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7.5 1-5 Loss -100 21 h 54 m Show
*3 Star TGIF MLB Bookie BEATDOWN* The San Diego Padres have played surprisingly good baseball over the last couple months. The Padres are 38-25 in their last 63 games. The Padres offense has been manufacturing runs and hitting well with runners in scoring position. Ryan Vogelsong has completely fallen apart over his last few starts. Vogelsong has a 12.34 ERA in his last three starts. He has only one quality start in his last seven starts. Casey Kelly is a good prospect for the Padres, but he has been inconsistent so far. The Giants have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 10 games. The over is 8-0-1 in Vogelsong's last 9 starts as a favorite. The over is 7-0 in Vogelsong's last 7 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in Vogelsong's last 7 starts on 4 days rest. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 5 against the NL West. Take the over.
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