*3 Star Michigan State/Michigan MONEY* The Michigan Wolverines defense hasn't allowed a single point in their last three games. They have allowed a grand total of 14 points in their last five games! This defense is playing better than anyone else in the nation, and it isn't even close. Michigan State's defense is still solid, and their defensive line has a huge advantage over Michigan's offensive line. Look for the Spartans to get in the Wolverines backfield a lot in this game.

As good as Michigan's defense is, I believe their offense still has a lot to prove. Jake Rudock is nothing more than a game manager. Michigan State is going to try to make him beat them through the air. Connor Cook doesn't have enough weapons around him on offense this year. 

Both of these teams play very slowly. In fact, they are both in the bottom 20 in the nation in pace of play. A lot of running clock and solid defense throughout this one. Take the under. 

*4 Star MAC Totals TKO* The UMass Minutemen rank in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace of play. UMass is going to get snaps off quickly and look to put up a big number. Blake Frohnapfel is one of the more underrated quarterbacks in the country. He has a nice group of receivers led by Tajae Sharpe. UMass has an offense that should be able to score quite a few on almost every defense in the MAC. The UMass defense is one of the worst in the country. Kent State has struggled on offense this year, but they should look better in this one against a bad defense. Kent State is moving quicker on offense than last year as well. Take the over in this contest. 

*3 Star CFB Total VALUE* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have a hard nosed team that battles on every down. They aren't the most talented team, but they'll work as hard as anyone. Nebraska has had several really tough losses so far this year. The Cornhuskers don't seem a like team that comes in with much confidence. Minnesota's offense hasn't been able to do much at all against quality opponents this year, and Nebraska should slow them down. On the other hand though, I see Minnesota's defense doing a good job slowing down Nebraska's mediocre offense as well. This line has been bet up during the week, which gave us enough value to play this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star Alabama/Texas A&M Totals CASH* The Texas A&M defense has been a lot better this year, but they still aren't an elite unit. Texas A&M's defense is extremely aggressive with blitz packages, and I have to think that Alabama is going to be ready with some screen passes and quick slants to beat that blitz. Coker has been playing better of late, and Alabama's running game is good. On the other side, Texas A&M has a tremendous amount of skill position talent. The Aggies receivers hold a big advantage over Alabama's defensive backs. I see Texas A&M putting up a real fight in this one, and I think they can create a bunch of big plays on this Crimson Tide secondary. A back and forth game. Take the over. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The South Florida Bulls and the UConn Huskies have a lot in common. Both teams have an offense that has struggled the majority of the year. USF's offense looked good last week against Syracuse and UConn's offense looked good last week against UCF. I think those performances last week got us some extra value on the under in this one. Both UCF and Syracuse are bad defensively right now, so these two offenses were able to take advantage. They'll face a much better defense here.

In addition, both of these teams play very slowly. They run the ball a lot and use up the play clock in between snaps. This can really shorten a game, and I look for this when looking to play an under. In the past 5 years, these teams have played five times and none of the games have finished with a total higher than 35 points. My number for this game was 38, which is much lower than this posted total.

The under is 3-0-1 in USF's last 4 after an ATS win. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games after gaining 200 yards or more on the ground last game. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 rushing yards or less. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. A 24-0 angle. Take the under big! TOP Play of the Week.

*3 Star Big 10 Total Takedown* The Northwestern Wildcats have been a terrific under team for a long time now. Northwestern was absolutely crushed by Michigan last week, but the Wildcats should bounce back with a much better effort in this one. Pat Fitzgerald's defense is very good, and Iowa's offense isn't going to be able to run it down their throat all game long like they have with other opponents recently. These two teams are both stronger on the defensive end than they are on offense. 

The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. The under is 23-6 in Northwestern's last 29 home games. Take the under. 

*4 Star NFL Sunday Night Football CASH* The San Francisco 49ers defense looked really bad at Pittsburgh in week two. Still, remember that was an awful spot for the 49ers after a late Monday night game and then playing in the Eastern time zone with an early start time on Sunday. Other than that game, the 49ers defense has been a little better than league average. The Niners defense should be able to at least slow down the Giants in this one.

Colin Kaepernick has been awful this year, and San Francisco really needs to be able to run the ball to be able to be successful on offense. Who is the number one rushing defense in the NFL? The New York Giants. The Giants are allowing less than 70 yards per game on the ground. Look for the Giants defense to do a good job slowing down the Niners rushing attack. That means Kaepernick has to beat them with his arm. I don't think that will happen.

The under is 21-8-2 in the 49ers last 31 games on turf. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The BYU Cougars and East Carolina Pirates both play very quickly. That means we will see a lot of snaps in this one. While East Carolina's defense isn't as bad as it was a few years ago, it still isn't very good. BYU used to have a dominating defense, but they are only average on defense now. Tanner Mangum has been great in the BYU offense. East Carolina has a balanced attack and they have gotten good quarterback play this year as well. I think this game gets into the 60's.

The over is 4-0 in ECU's last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. an independent team. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 450 yards or more of total offense. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* This is a game where I believe Louisiana Tech's physical defense can slow down UTSA's offense. Neither team plays very fast, so this is a pretty high total in these circumstances. This line has moved down throughout the week and I had this number at 56, so at the current price I would have passed on this one. Take the under if this line is 58 points or higher. Thank you. 

*3 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Wildcats get Anu Solomon back this weekend, and that will make a huge difference for the offense. Solomon is a great young quarterback and paired with Arizona's strong running game, he makes this offense tremendous. Oregon State has no answer for the Arizona offense. Scooby Wright is one of the nation's best defensive players, but he's out of the lineup for Arizona. The team's second best linebacker is also out of the lineup. Seth Collins is quickly improving in the Oregon State offense. Arizona's defense has looked really bad in recent weeks.

The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Wisconsin/Nebraska Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers offense is a mess right now. Wisconsin doesn't quite have the offensive line they have had in recent years. They had one star at running back in Corey Clement, but he is out with an injury. The Badgers depth in the backfield is far weaker than it has been in the past. Nebraska's defense is good enough to load the box and force Joel Stave to beat them. Stave isn't good, and Alex Erickson is currently listed as doubtful. Erickson is the team's only playmaker at wide receiver. The Wisconsin defense is tremendous and I don't see Nebraska scoring too many here. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play CFB Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have a tremendous defense this year. They are ranked in the top five in the nation in every major defensive category. Boston College had a bad offense to start with, and now they are playing without their starting quarterback as well as their starting running back. Wake Forest is developing into a very nice defense under the leadership of Dave Clawson. Wake Forest still has a bunch of problems on offense. Here is two teams that are light years better on defense than offense. This is certainly a low number, but I think this is a very sloppy game that stays under.

The under is 5-0 in Boston College's last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. The under is 11-1 in Wake Forest's last 12 October games. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* Light up the scoreboard in a big way for this one. Two of the top ten fastest paced teams in the country meet here, and both of these quarterbacks should have a huge game. Matt Johnson and Blake Frohnpafel both have a lot of playmakers to work with, and both of these defenses are just awful. In last year's meeting Bowling Green won 47-42. The Falcons had 668 yards of offense and UMass had 638! That's truly amazing,  and I think we'll see something similar in this game. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected it. I would currently play it for a 3 star play. Thank you.* 

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The UTEP Miners are an under team in my book right now. Aaron Jones was a great running back for the team, but he's out with an injury. They are also without their starting quaterback. FIU doesn't have much of an offense, but they do have a solid defense. I don't expect to see UTEP scoring much here. Also important in this one is the fact that both teams like to use a lot of play clock between snaps. A conservative game plan as well as some solid defense and bad offense makes this a big play on the under. *Note- this line has moved down since I selected it early in the week. At anything less than 45.5 would play for 4 stars, and 44.5 or lower I would play for 3 stars. Thank you. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense racked up more than 700 yards in a loss to Middle Tennessee State last week. Western Kentucky's offense is led by senior quarterback Brandon Doughty. Doughty is the type of guy who spreads the ball around and gets rid of it quickly. They play an uptempo style and they'll keep the game moving here. MTSU has gotten great quarterback play from Stockstill as well, and this Western Kentucky defense still isn't good. *Note- this line has moved up since I selected this one earlier in the week. I would currently play this for 3 stars instead of 4. Thank you.*

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Cole Hamels has been lights out in the postseason. In the divisional round of the playoffs, Hamels has an ERA of just a little under 1.50 in his career. Toronto's offense is very good, but the Blue Jays have a lot of pressure on them and this team isn't accustomed to playing in the postseason. Hamels has proven capable of pitching his best when it matters most.

Toronto's Marcus Stroman has fantastic stuff, and he went 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in the month of September. Stroman has a massive home/away split in his career. He has been much better when pitching at home. His career ERA at home is 2.35. Surprisingly enough, the under is 47-31-4 in the Jays home games this year.

Adrian Beltre and Josh Donaldson are both questionable in this one, and either or both of them being out obviously helps the under. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here and he's ranked in the top 20% of 'under' umpires in my MLB Umpires database for five straight years now.

The under is 7-0-1 in the Rangers last 8 Divisional Playoff road games. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL East. A 14-0 angle. Take the under in this one. 

*4 Star NFL Sunday's Best Bet* The Denver Broncos are not the same team they have been in the past. Denver is a defensive juggernaut this year. This team is stacked with talent on the defensive side of the ball. They can get after the quarterback as well as anyone in the league, and they have a good amount of run stuffers as well. Minnesota's defense is a unit I believe will continue to improve. Mike Zimmer is a great defensive mind, and I don't see his teams having too much trouble on defense.

Peyton Manning is clearly regressing at this point in his career and Teddy Bridgewater has struggled in the past when pressured. I think both quarterbacks will be under pressure in this one. Denver is no longer the fast paced offense they used to be, and Minnesota is going to run the football a lot here.

The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more last game. The under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 13-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* I'll admit that Andrew Luck now being listed as questionable is certainly a concern here. He was listed as probable when I initially made this selection. I still do believe it's more likely that he will play. The positive for the Colts is they do have a solid backup compared to some other teams in the league. Additionally, this Jacksonville defense isn't good, and they'll give up a lot of points often this year. On the other hand, I believe the Jacksonville offense is much better than it has been in previous years. Yeldon gives them a playmaker at running back and Blake Bortles is progressing well at the quarterback spot. Both of these teams can play with tempo as well. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Under the Radar Total* The UTEP Miners lost both their starting quarterback and running. UTSA returned 3 starters from last year's offense. These are two offenses in a lot of trouble right now. UTEP had a nice blueprint for winning games last year, and Sean Kugler has done a great job with this team. The problem is the blueprint was run the ball early and often with Aaron Jones, their running back, and now he is out for the year. No one else on the team is even close to as talented as him. UTEP will still try to run the ball, but they aren't likely to be nearly as successful. Both of these teams take a lot of time between plays which is important in a game with a relatively high total. Take the under. *Note this line has moved down a bit during the week. I would play this down to 56 points for 3 stars. Thank you*

*5 Star TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Bears offense is excellent with Jared Goff under center. Sonny Dykes' system is perfect for a guy like Goff who can get rid of the ball quickly and spread the ball around to a bunch of different receivers. Cal ranks in the top five in the nation in terms of pace. Washington State isn't the type of team that will slow a game down. Mike Leach's offense is all about airing it out and playing with pace. Washington State's defense is among the worst in the nation among Power 5 conference teams (it may be the worst). When these two met last year I had the over and the game finished 60-59. While it's hard to expect that high of a game, I do think this sails over. I have this line at 79 points and I think that is being conservative. Big play for me here. Take the over big! *Note- This line has moved since I played it early in the week. I would play this for 5 stars up to 73 points and 4 stars up to 76. Thank you.*

*4 Star CFB Hidden GEM Total* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers offense is tremendous. Brandon Doughty is definitely one of the best quarterbacks in the country. It helps him that he has a tremendous deep group of receivers as well. The Rice defense has been exposed all season long. Last week they gave up 70 points to Baylor. Now, I'm not going to pretend that Western Kentucky has an offense like Baylor's, but it is very good. Rice will move the ball and score a lot too though. The Owls have a good veteran quarterback and they are up against a Western Kentucky defense that has been horrible in each of the past two seasons. 

The over is 4-0 in W Kentucky's last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Rice's last 4 games after giving up 450 yards or more. The over is 8-1 in W Kentucky's last 9 after giving up 280 yards or more through the air. A 20-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have improved this year. Dave Clawson is a good coach, he just doesn't have much talent to work with in Winston Salem. Wake Forest will play hard though. The under is 10-3-1 in their last 14 home games. This is a team that can be very tough to score on, but Wake Forest has a very bad offense. Florida State's defense was disappointing last year, but they have been very good this season. The hurricane will be felt here with winds and heavy rain throughout the day. That should make for a very conservative game plan for both teams. Look for a lot of running the ball which keeps the clock ticking. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB MAC Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have a terrible offense and a decent defense. Miami is just a bad team overall. Miami is playing three different quarterbacks, and none of them have been any good. The weather is going to be a problem in this game with 20 mph winds and rain expected at gametime. That means more running from two teams who aren't good at running the ball. Miami won't score many points on anyone on the road this year, and Kent State's offense isn't good enough to expect a big win from them. Low scoring games have been the norm in this series. Take the under. 

*The line has dropped here due to the weather, but at 45 points or higher I'd still take this for 4 stars. Below that, I make it a 3 star play. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* Here we have a battle between two teams who play very similar styles of football. They both like to run the football and win with time of possession and defense. Wisconsin's defense has been great since they were a little shaky in week one against Alabama. Iowa's defense has been very solid as well. Without Corey Clement, the Wisconsin running game certainly isn't as strong as it has been in the past. Joel Stave isn't a good quarterback, and Iowa will try to make him beat them with his arm. Iowa is unlikely to have much offensive success here against a Wisconsin defense that always play very well at home. Both teams play slowly, so we'll slow a lot of long and slow drives. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Virginia Tech Hokies defense should be very solid this year. Kendall Fuller going down with an injury definitely hurt them, but the Hokies still have a good secondary. Pittsburgh is unlikely to be able to consistently move it through the air here. Pittsburgh's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi as their head coach.

Another big reason to like this play is the weather. With a hurricane not far away, wind and heavy rain is expected on Saturday afternoon in this game. Two teams that are quite conservative to start with will likely be running the football even more here. An ugly low scoring game is what I see for this contest. Take the under. 

*This line has dropped big in the last couple days due to bad weather in the area. I would play this for 3 stars at the current level. Thank you.*

*3 Star SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense has been a total disaster this year. On the other hand, Missouri still has a good defense. The Tigers will be playing with a new quarterback in this one as Mauk is suspended for the game. South Carolina has a freshman quarterback who has proven nothing playing on the road in a difficult environment here. Missouri's pass rush should make him very uncomfortable. There's no doubt that both offenses are worse than they have been in the past few years. Even in the last three years though, the total at the end of regulation was 41, 34, and 41 points. I don't think either team finds the end zone much here. Take the under. 

*3 Star West Virginia/Oklahoma Totals CASH* The Oklahoma Sooners chose to switch up their offense entirely in the offseason, and it has worked beautifully. The Air Raid system with Lincoln Riley as the offensive coordinator and Baker Mayfield at quarterback has been tremendous right away. Oklahoma is averaging 41.3 points per game. West Virginia is unbeaten as well coming into this one. I do like this West Virginia team, but I think their defensive numbers are being artificially propped up because of their extremely weak early season schedule. Maryland is the worst team in the Big Ten right now. Georgia Southern is a Sun Belt team. Liberty isn't even an FBS opponent. Oklahoma should score quite a few here. The Sooners put up 45 on West Virginia in Morgantown last year, and that was before their improved offense under the Air Raid.

West Virginia has a good balanced offense that should score on just about everyone they play this year. Oklahoma has a good defense, but they gave up 38 points against Tulsa, so they are definitely capable of getting beaten by the opposing offense. With both of these teams playing as fast as they do, a total of only 59 points is low. Take the over. 

*3 Star NFL Sunday Night CASH* The Denver Broncos are a totally different team than they have been in recent years. Gone is the fast paced offense where they are going to air it out constantly. Denver is slowing the game down and winning with their defense. The Broncos have assembled a tremendous defense. I believe Denver has one of the five best defenses in the NFL. Peyton Manning isn't a bad quarterback now, but he's clearly not what he used to be. Detroit's offense has more question marks now, and Matt Stafford will play through pain in this one. Look for Denver's pass rush to really bother him in this one. The under is 16-6 in the Lions last 22 games. The public taking the over (as normal, especially for a primetime game) has given us a nice value play. Take the under. 

*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The New England Patriots and Jacksonville Jaguars meet on Sunday afternoon. Jacksonville isn't a good team this year, but I do believe they are a much improved team. Blake Bortles and this passing game are improving quickly. Why is that important? Because as tremendous as the Patriots offense is, New England has a lot of holes in the secondary, and I do think the Jaguars can put up some points here. New England's offense has looked like a well-oiled machine this year and the Patriots are unlikely to be slowed down by the Jags defense here. The over is 35-16 in the Patriots last 51 games. Jacksonville has been picking up the tempo and playing quickly, especially when behind. They should be behind throughout in this one, and I think both teams get plenty of scoring chances here. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Toledo Rockets and Arkansas State Red Wolves met at the end of last season in a bowl game. Toledo won that game 63-44. It's odd to see a total this much lower after a game like that. Toledo's defense is definitely better than it was last year, but Arkansas State has been able to move the ball against everyone they play this year. Blake Anderson's Arkansas State always pushes the tempo and Toledo is playing at a faster pace so far this year. There should be a bunch of snaps in this one, and both teams have a lot of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Take the over here. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Selection* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a way of making games very high scoring. I won my college football game of the year last weekend with the Western Kentucky over against Indiana. Brandon Doughty and this offense can throw at will against mediocre defenses, and Miami's defense is far worse than mediocre. Western Kentucky should be able to name their score here. At the same time, Miami found something on offense last week against Cincinnati, and this Western Kentucky has a way of making just about everyone's offense look good. Take the over. 

*4 Star Tennessee/Florida Total* The Florida Gators still have an elite defense. Florida is also still offensively challenged. They scored 14 points in a titanic struggle of a game against Kentucky last weekend. Of course, Florida only allowed 9 points in that one and they won the game. Tennessee played Western Carolina last week. The Volunteers need to prove they can bounce back from their disappointing home loss to Oklahoma two weeks ago. The Volunteers are improving defensively. I don't see either offense having consistent success throughout this game. Take the under.

*Note- this line has moved since I selected it early in the week. I would recommend this as a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play down to 46 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers could only muster 10 points against a terrible Kent State defense last week. Ohio is a much better team than Kent State. The Bobcats could give Minnesota a really tough time on Saturday. Minnesota's defense is scrappy, and I don't think Ohio will score many points here either. This is the type of game where viewers will likely be disappointed because of the sloppiness of the game, but under bettors should cash in. Look for a field goal battle and a game that finishes well below the posted total.

The under is 5-0 in Ohio's last 5 after gaining 280 yards through the air. The under is 8-1 in Ohio's last 9 after allowing 20 points or less. The under is 8-1 in Minnesota's last 9 after allowing 170 or less yards through the air. A 21-2 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Wyoming Cowboys and the New Mexico Lobos have something in common: they both have an awful defense. Wyoming hasn't been able to stop anyone all year, and New Mexico's unique pistol/option offense will be a big challenge for them. Wyoming has a decent running game, and New Mexico is terrible at stopping the run. The last two years these teams have played to a 38-31 and 36-30 final.  Usually a lot of running is good for the under, but in this case I don't think it is since both run defenses are terrible. I expect this one to get into the 60's as well. Take the over. 

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Art Briles hasn't been happy with the Baylor Bears play so far this year. Baylor hasn't had the same type of killer instinct they had in the last couple years. After a week off last week, I think there's a good chance they come out ready to play here. Rice has a bad defense that is especially weak in the secondary. Baylor has all the weapons to expose that problem. Baylor scored 59 points or more seven times in 2013 and four times last year. I think they have a good chance to do it here. Baylor's defense hasn't looked good so far this year, and Rice should be score to get on the board a few times in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Rays and Toronto Blue Jays meet in what I believe will be a pitching duel on Saturday afternoon. Chris Archer is becoming one of the best pitchers in baseball, and David Price has been one of the best for several years now. Archer's numbers when pitching in Toronto are truly amazing. He has a brilliant 1.66 ERA in seven career starts there. He also has an ERA almost a full run lower during the daytime in his career. David Price has a career ERA of 2.95 during the day. Price has been throwing the best he has in his career down the stretch this season. The Rays offense doesn't have anyone who has hit Price well in the past. The under is a surprising 46-30-3 in Toronto's home games this year. The under is 43-31-5 in the Rays road games this year.

The under is 5-0 in Toronto's last 5 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The under is 5-0 in Price's last 5 home starts. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Toronto. The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Archer's last 4 starts vs. Toronto. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Boston College Eagles offense wasn't good at all to start the season. Now, they have to play the rest of the year without their starting quarterback. Starter Darius Wade was lost for the season. Steve Addazio has said he hasn't decided who will start on Saturday. That usually isn't a good sign. Boston College has very little talent to work with on offense overall. At the same time, Addazio's teams always play some very good defense. Northern Illinois showed how good they can be on defense last week in Columbus against Ohio State. It's hard to imagine either team getting past 20 points or so here.

The under is 5-0 in Northern Illinois' last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-0 in BC's last 4 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the MAC. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Total PERFECTION* The South Carolina Gamecocks aren't even close to the same team they were a couple years ago. The exact same thing can be said of the UCF Knights. Both of these teams have been terrible so far this year. The primary problem for both of these teams is their offense. I expect that to continue this weekend. Both of these teams have good coaches and I think they'll work hard this weekend. The problem for these two is they have a major lack of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. Look for a lot of long drawn out drives that fall short of the end zone.

The under is 7-0 in the Knights last 7 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the SEC. The under is 6-0 in S Carolina's last 6 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 170 yards or less through the air. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Miami Dolphins offense did very little last week in Washington. In fact, it was a punt return TD that was the key play for the Dolphins in that win. Jacksonville's offense was awful last week against the Panthers. The Jaguars offensive front gave up five sacks in that game, and the Dolphins defensive line is going to have pressure on Blake Bortles all day in this one. Suh is a huge addition to this defensive line and Cameron Wake is still an elite pass rusher for Miami. Jacksonville's defense is better than a year ago. Miami lacks big playmakers on offense. The Dolphins aren't a big play team, rather they will generally have slow and methodical drives that eat up a bunch of time. I think both defenses play well in a game where I think both teams have to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns. 

The under is 37-17 in Miami's last 54 road games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Miami. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Francisco Giants offense is a mess now. Injuries have crushed this Giants team. Hunter Pence, Joe Panik, Nori Aoki, and Brandon Belt are all out of the lineup. Jeremy Hellickson pitched well at San Francisco earlier this year. Hellickson has a career 3.19 ERA in the daytime (vs a 4.33 ERA at night). He also has a 1.16 ERA with umpire Ron Kulpa behind the plate. Tim Hudson is about to retire, and he badly wants to finish his career on a strong note. Hudson has a 3.34 daytime ERA in his career (3.56 at night). Ron Kulpa is the umpire here, and he is a major strike caller. 65% of his games have stayed under the total in his last 160 behind the plate. With a reasonably high total of 8 at a pitcher's park, there is value on the under.

The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two in San Francisco. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 vs. these two overall. Take the under. 

*4 Star CFB Totals Cash* The Pitt Panthers offense isn't nearly as good without Conner running it in the backfield. Tyler Boyd is the main playmaker now, but Iowa has some good shutdown corners. Pitt's defense will be much better this year with Pat Narduzzi running the show. Both of these teams take a very long time in between snaps. That means we won't see many possessions in this one, and with defenses that are strong against the run, I don't see many points here. Take the under.

*Note- the line has moved since I selected this one early in the week. I would play this for a 4 star rated play down to 48 and a 3 star play down to 46. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Oregon State Beavers offense has 12 yards in the final three quarters against Michigan last weekend. Gary Andersen has very little to work with on offense. San Jose State's defense isn't great by any stretch, but they should look decent against Oregon State's offense. The Oregon State defense is bigger in the trenches than San Jose State is accustomed to playing against. San Jose State needs to be able to run the football to have any consistent success on offense. I don't see them being able to run the ball on Oregon State here.

The under is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 September games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 19-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has been awful this year. Maxwell Smith hasn't worked out as quarterback, and opponents are just stacking the box to stop Donnell Pumphrey and the running game. South Alabama lost nearly their entire team from last year, and they are going to have a long season. They will still play hard though, and this SD State offense only put up 7 points against a subpar Cal defense last week. San Diego State plays at a very slow pace, which certainly helps, and as much as they run the ball, the clock will be ticking. Both of these teams have been far better on defense than offense thus far.

The under is 6-0 in San Diego State's last 6 September games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss by 20 points or more. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Washington Huskies are much less talented this year, but Chris Petersen's team is still solid on the defensive end. Petersen's teams always play hard for the full game, and Utah State's offense hasn't shown anything this year. They didn't even score an offensive touchdown against Southern Utah in their season opener. Last week the Utah Utes defense shut them down. On the other hand, Washington's offense is ugly and the Utah State defense is extremely good. Utah State has terrific linebackers who serve as the leaders to this unit. This one should be close and low scoring all the way. Take the under. 

*The line has moved since I selected this one Monday. I would play this for 4 stars down to 45 and for 3 stars down to 43. Thank you.*

*6 Star Rated TOP Total of the YEAR* The Indiana Hoosiers and the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are very similar teams. They both like to get off as many snaps as possible, and they both love to air it out early and often. Additionally, both of these teams play next to zero defense. These teams are both going to rank in the top 15 or 20 in the country in terms of pace, and they'll definitely both rank near the bottom of the country in defense. Brandon Doughty is the one of the best under the radar quarterbacks in football, and Indiana can't get any pressure on opposing quarterbacks. He'll have time to pick apart this secondary.

Western Kentucky scored 44.4 points per game last week. Western Kentucky allowed 40 points per game last week. Indiana has allowed 33 points per game or more in each of the last five seasons. The Hoosiers had no quarterback last year so their offensive numbers weren't good, but with Nate Sudfeld back under center this team is much better on offense. 

Huge play for me on this one.. I won't have a totals release stronger than this all year. Take the over big! 6* TOP Total of the Year *Please note- My line on this total is 85 points. I like this for a 6 star rated play all the way up to 75 points. Thank you*

*4 Star Ga Tech/Notre Dame Total* The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets run the football on nearly every down. Notre Dame will likely be running the football more often than normal with a new quarterback under center. The clock should be ticking almost the entire game here. Georgia Tech always takes their time between snaps, and Notre Dame won't play fast with a new quarterback either. This Notre Dame defense should be very good against the run this year with an elite defensive line. Look for long drives that eat up the clock. Take the under. 

*Note- The line has moved since early in the week when I selected this play. I would play this for 4 stars down to 55.5. I would play this for 3 stars down to 54. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles are giving up an eye popping 6.66 yards per carry so far this year. The Ball State Cardinals have the single best offensive line in the Mid American Conference. Ball State is going to run for a bunch of yards in this game. Ball State's defense was torched by VMI in their season opener for more than 500 yards, so they have lots of defensive issues as well. In the past five years, these teams have played to the following final scores against each other: 41-38, 33-31, 37-26, 51-20, and last year 45-30. 

Eastern Michigan's backup quarterback looked better than their starter in last week's huge win at Wyoming. Don't be surprised if Ball State runs for 300 yards or more here. A lot of scoring. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play Over* The Bowling Green Falcons and Memphis Tigers play football the same way. They both play uptempo and look to keep the defenses off guard. I expect both defenses to be winded and struggling late in the game here. Memphis was a good defense in recent years, but they returned only 3 starters on defense from last year. Bowling Green's defense has been awful since Dino Babers arrived at the school. Matt Johnson and Paxton Lynch are underrated quarterbacks who will have big days here. Take the over.

*Note- the line has moved significantly since I played this on Monday.My number in this one is 84 points. I would play for 5 stars to 77 points and for 4 stars to 79.*

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Yankees offense has been up and down lately, and being without Mark Teixeira certainly hurts the team a lot. New York is up against a very good pitcher in Jake Odorizzi here. Odorizzi has a 2.61 ERA at home this year, and in his young career, he has been great when pitching in Tampa. Adam Warren makes the spot start for the Yankees. Warren has been good lately, but he won't pitch too deep into the game. That's not necessarily a bad thing for the under though, since the Yankees clearly have one of the best bullpens in baseball. Ron Kulpa is the home plate umpire here. The under is 95-61 in his last 156 games behind the plate, and he is a massive strike caller, so that's a big help. Look for a low scoring contest.

The under is 7-0 in the Yankees last 7 games on turf. The under is 5-0 in Warren's last 5 road starts. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Tampa Bay. A 16-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star NFL Eagles/Falcons Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia Eagles fast pace offense is well documented. Atlanta's defense will improve in their new scheme, but it is going to take time. Philadelphia's offense is going to be a really tough test in week one. Bradford looked great in the Chip Kelly system in the preseason, and should do well against a questionable Atlanta secondary. The Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I don't think they'll be very good this year either. Matt Ryan has been amazing in the dome in his career, and I think he has a big game here. He has some new weapons, and I think Tevin Coleman will prove to be a very good player in this system. 

The over is 6-1 in the Falcons last 7 September games. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 Monday night games. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit left handed pitching much better than right handed pitching this year. Tampa Bay has a .307 On Base Percentage against righties, but an impressive .328 OBP against lefties. Boston has absolutely destroyed lefties in the past month. For the year overall, they have a .331 OBP against lefties. Rich Hill takes the mound for his first big league start this year. He's never been particularly successful in the big leagues. Drew Smyly is a decent pitcher, but he's up against a Boston team that has been absolutely raking of late. Both bullpens are awful right now, so there's plenty of potential for runs late in the game.

The over is 15-5-1 in the Red Sox last 21 games vs. a lefty. The over is 9-3 in the Rays last 12 home games. Take the over. 

*4 Star NFL Sunday Best Bet* The Cleveland Browns offense is laughable, but their defense is very solid. You could say the same thing about the New York Jets. New York's defense got a lot better in the offseason. The Jets front seven was tremendous last year, but the secondary was a problem. What did the Jets do in the offseason? They grabbed Revis and Cromartie to give themselves a good secondary again. The Jets defensive front is still one of the best in the league. How is Cleveland going to do anything on offense here? The weather looks to be less than ideal for this game as well. On the other side, the Jets have more questions than ever on the offensive side of the ball. Look for both teams to struggle to punch the ball into the end zone here. Low scoring all the way. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* I took the under in the FIU vs. UCF game last Thursday night and watched the entire game. The under cashed and UCF's offense looked absolutely awful. The Knights are now up against a much better Stanford defense. Stanford also comes into this game ticked off after being upset by Northwestern. The Cardinal are a team that slows the game down and runs the football a lot. UCF is the same way. Both of these teams have a bunch of question marks on offense, but they are very good defensively. 

The under is 5-0 in UCF's last 5 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 during September. The under is 17-5 in Stanford's last 22 overall. The under is 27-8-1 in UCF's last 36 September games. A 53-13 trend. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Total Takedown* The Temple Owls had one game vs. an FBS foe go over this posted total last year. The Owls defense totally dominated Penn State last weekend. Cincinnati will have more success, but they shouldn't score a bunch like they will against most teams this year. Temple's offense still has a lot of question marks and they should run the ball often and use up the clock. The line move up made this one go into the play range for me. A game with a posted total of 55 where Temple is involved is almost always going to be an under bet for me. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB TOP Play of the Week* The Memphis Tigers are a different team than they have been in the past. Justin Fuente's team has been all about defense in the past, but they return only three starters on defense this year. Memphis does have a veteran offense though, and with superb quarterback play from Paxton Lynch, I expect Memphis' offense to be very good. The Tigers are pushing the pace a lot more this year. Kansas is a terrible team overall, but David Beaty is working on getting this team to play much faster. The Jayhawks are going to give up a bunch of points against everyone this year. They allowed 41 in a loss to South Dakota State last week. Both teams are playing fast and both teams have question marks on the defensive side. I've had this game circled since before the season started. Take the over big! CFB TOP Play of the Week. *Note- This one has moved a lot since I first posted it, but I did make this total 68, so I still like it as a 5 star play up to 63*

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Wyoming Cowboys lost 24-13 at home against North Dakota in week one. It will be a long year for the Cowboys. Eastern Michigan was beaten in week one by Old Dominion. Neither of these teams are going to be good this year, and both have tons of question marks on offense. Eastern Michigan's best player is their quarterback, and he is injured and questionable to play here. Even if he plays, I like this one, but I like it even better if he doesn't. Both teams play very slowly and run the football a bunch. This should be an ugly game that stays under the total. Take the under. 

*5 Star CFB Hidden GEM TOP Total* The Washington State offense is known for their ability to throw it against anyone. Rutgers is now without five of their top six players in the secondary after suspensions and injuries. Falk is expected to start here at quarterback for Washington State and I expect him to have a field day against this Rutgers secondary. The Cougars will push the tempo as they always do. Rutgers should have no trouble moving the football here either. Washington State's defense is one of the very worst in the nation. Rutgers put up 41 points against them last year (a 41-38 final in Pullman, Washington). I think this one has a very good chance to top the 70 point mark, which is why I like this total so much. Take the over big! 

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Clemson Tigers had a dominant defense last year. They returned only three starters this year on defense, and this unit is way down from last season. On the offensive side, Clemson should be better this year with a healthy Deshaun Watson under center. Watson has a ton of talent and the Tigers will run a fast paced offense all year. Appalachian State has some playmakers on offense and I think they can move the football in this one. Clemson will let up late as they have a big game coming up on Thursday night and they'll want to rest. That should allow Appalachian State to score more late. I think this one gets into the 60's. Take the over. 

*3 Star NFL Opening Night KNOCKOUT* It's Ben Roethlisberger and the Pittsburgh Steelers against Tom Brady and the New England Patriots. These are definitely two of the best quarterbacks in the game, and both of these guys should be ready to go. The Patriots have had all kinds of controversies around them in the offseason. If it were another team, I might be concerned about where there mind would be, but New England has been here before and they have shown they are great at focusing on the task at hand. In my estimation, both of these defenses got a little weaker in the offseason. New England lost Wilfork and Revis, so they certainly are weaker. Pittsburgh lost a really good defensive coordinator in Lebeau. Both quarterbacks should have plenty of open receivers. The over is 32-13 in the Patriots last 45 home games. Look for plenty of offensive fireworks in the NFL season opener. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox have been absolutely raking at home in the past couple months. This young Red Sox lineup has been hotter than any offense in baseball other than the team they are playing against in this one. Drew Hutchison starts for Toronto here, and he hasn't been good at all against the Red Sox in the past. Hutchison has a career road ERA of 5.88. He has a ridiculous 9.00 ERA in four starts at Fenway Park. Joe Kelly has been better of late, but I don't trust him against the best offense in baseball. Kelly has a 6.46 ERA in four career starts vs. the Blue Jays. The Red Sox bullpen is a mess now as well, so after Kelly leaves things won't get better. The umpire here is Paul Schrieber, and he is well known for being a hitter-friendly umpire. He won't help the pitchers at all in this one. 

The over is 5-0 in the Jays last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 9-0 in Hutchison's last 9 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0 in Kelly's last 7 home starts. The over is 4-0 in Hutchison's 4 career starts at Fenway. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* Ubaldo Jimenez has a WHIP of 1.88 in his last three games. Jimenez continues to walk a bunch of batters and constantly work with people on base. That usually doesn't work against very good offenses like the Yankees. C.C. Sabathia has struggled all year, especially when pitching at home. The Orioles have good career numbers vs. Sabathia, and the Yankees have good career numbers vs. Jimenez. The home plate umpire here is Paul Emmel. The over is 23-4 in Emmel's last 27 games involving the Yankees. Emmel has one of the smallest strike zones in the majors. 

The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in Jimenez's last 4 Wednesday starts. The over is 5-0-2 in his last 7 starts during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the AL East. The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Sabathia's last 4 after pitching less than 4 innings in his last outing. The over is 7-0 in Emmel's last 7 Wednesday games behind the plate in New York. A 32-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The New York Mets and Washington Nationals meet in a very big game for both teams tonight in Washington. Matt Harvey and Jordan Zimmermann take the mound here. Harvey has been in the news with some questions about whether he would pitch in the playoffs. I think Harvey comes out here and dominates as he has done in the past against Washington. In 8 career starts vs. the Nationals, Harvey has a 0.99 ERA. Jordan Zimmermann has been great at home this year, and he is pitching well of late. I think he will shut down the Mets offense as well. This looks like a pitcher's duel to me. Harvey has allowed one run or less in 5 of his last 6 games. Zimmermann has a 2.4 ERA at home this year. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals have been a terrific under team all year. St. Louis has a great starting staff and a very good bullpen. John Lackey is very underrated at this stage of his career. He has been lights out when pitching at Busch Stadium. Pittsburgh's Gerrit Cole is a pitcher I really like, and he's facing a Cardinals lineup that is without several of their best hitters. I see this one as a 2-1 or 3-2 type of pitching duel. Take the under in this Sunday night contest. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers have had some really high scoring games this year. These are two teams with questionable rotations and bullpens that are taxed right now. The ball is really flying well at Great American Ballpark with a temperature around 90 degrees in Cincinnati. We have a favorable umpire for this one and two pitchers with plenty of blowup potential. I was surprised to be able to get this price in this matchup.

The over is 7-0-1 in the Brewers last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The over is 7-0-2 in their last 9 following a win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in Jimmy Nelson's last 5 starts vs. the NL Central. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 following a loss. A 52-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Texas Rangers are good against right handed pitching and Jered Weaver isn't even close to the pitcher he used to be. Weaver is out there throwing 83 mph fastballs on a consistent basis, and it's tough to get big league hitters out doing that unless you are spotting the ball perfectly every single time. Texas' offense has been hot of late, and I see them getting several in this one. The Angels offense has been a disappointment this year, but their career numbers against Derek Holland are terrific. In 119 and 1/3 career innings against the Angels, Holland has a 5.88 ERA. Texas' bullpen is arguably the worst in all of baseball. There should be plenty of scoring chances in this one. 

The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 5-0-1 in Holland's last 6 Saturday starts. The over is 7-0 in the Angels last 7 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts vs. the Angels. The over is 5-0 in home plate umpire Marty Foster's last 5 games behind the plate in a game involving the Angels. A 33-0 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star NCAA FB Week One TOP Rated Play* The Wisconsin Badgers and Alabama Crimson Tide meet in Arlington for a week one huge clash. Wisconsin was thumped at the end of last year by Ohio State and then turned things around to upset Auburn in their bowl game. Alabama came up just a bit short against Ohio State in the playoffs. These are two teams who have a great tradition, and this game should be a good one.

When I look at these two teams, I see two teams who likely won't be able to throw the football much at all. Wisconsin won't even try to throw it much with a poor QB in Joel Stave and very few good receiving options. Alabama's QB situation isn't good at the start of the year either. Both teams have a strong offensive line though and good running backs. While Melvin Gordon Jr. is gone, Corey Clement will be good for the Badgers. Henry and Drake are two good runners for Alabama. 

Paul Chryst is the new top man at Wisconsin, and he will want to run it even more often than Gary Andersen did. Alabama has ranked in the bottom few teams in terms of pace of play for the last few years, and I think Wisconsin will this year as well. 

What does all this mean? It means that the clock will be running a lot thanks to constant running of the football. Neither team will be looking to snap it quickly at all. Both teams also have good defensive coordinators who know the opposition will be looking to run it all the time. I think we see a lot of long drives eating up a bunch of clock. This total is several points too high. I expect it to drop, which is why I'm taking this one early. Take the under big!  

*Note- This line has moved since I took this play more than a week ago. I would play for 5 stars down to 49 points and for 4 stars down to 48 points. Thank you*

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Oklahoma Sooners have changed their system in the offseason. No more traditional looks on offense for them. Oklahoma is now going to run the Air Raid offense and hurry to the line. Baker Mayfield should be a great fit since he has experience in the Air Raid from Texas Tech. Akron's defense will do well against MAC opponents, but they'll be overmatched by Oklahoma's skill here. The Sooners should be able to put up a big score. Akron's offense should be much improved this year, and with the amount of chances I expect them to get and the fact that this score should be pretty lopsided, I think Akron puts up plenty to get us past this total. Take the over. 

*3 Star CFB Auburn/Louisville Totals CRUSHER* The Auburn Tigers defense is going to be much better under the leadership of Will Muschamp this year. Muschamp might not have worked out well as a head coach, but he's proven he is a great defensive mind. Louisville's defense will be much stronger than it was a year ago. Devante Fields is now a Cardinal and he immediately becomes the team's best player (he was the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year at TCU). Louisville likely slows this game down a bit too, because I doubt they want a shootout with Auburn. The Tigers offense will be good in the long run, but it should take some time to get things squared away with new guys at the skill positions. Take the under. 

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Old Dominion Monarchs lost their star quarterback, and they are undergoing some big changes this year. Old Dominion's coach has gone on the record to say they will be slowing the pace down bigtime this year. In the past, ODU has been an uptempo offenses that gets as many possessions as possible. Eastern Michigan's defense isn't good, but ODU is working in a new starter at QB, and they'll look to eat up the play clock every time. ODU's defense was terrible last year, but I expect them to be much better this year and Eastern Michigan's offense is really bad. The slower tempo and new skill position players on offense should keep this one lower scoring than expected. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Opening Night KNOCKOUT* The FIU Golden Panthers improved a lot last year. Sure, they were only 4-8, but they went 1-11 in the previous year. Ron Turner is known as a good defensive mind, and FIU was much better defensively last year. They allowed 24.8 points per game vs. allowing 37 points per game the previous year. FIU's offense isn't very good, and they rely very heavily on being able to run the ball. While UCF has all sorts of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, their defense will be very good again this year. With UCF and FIU both running the ball a lot, the clock should tick away quickly. Take the under in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Dodgers have taken the first two games of this series, and in last night's game we did see the pitching duel I expected. I took the under in that one, and I'm taking the under again here. Mike Leake certainly isn't the pitcher Madison Bumgarner is, but Leake is a solid guy who will be facing a Dodgers lineup that is less than 100 percent. The San Francisco Giants lineup is way less than 100 percent healthy. San Francisco really misses Hunter Pence and Joe Panik, and Brandon Crawford is questionable for this game as well. Clayton Kershaw is nothing short of awesome. Kershaw has allowed more than one run in only one of his last ten starts. That's a ridiculous run, and the under is 20-5-2 in his last 27 starts vs. the Giants. Muchlinksi is behind the plate here and he's a solid under umpire.

The under is 3-0-2 in the Giants last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after their opponent allows 2 runs or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of -201 or higher. The under is 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts as a favorite of -201 or higher. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. A 43-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Kansas City Royals have the second best team batting average in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have the best team batting average in baseball. Two of the best offenses do battle in Kansas City on Wednesday night. Randy Wolf starts for the Tigers and I really don't know how he made it back to the big leagues. Wolf wasn't any good in the majors a couple years ago, but the Tigers badly needed a started and have given him a shot. Wolf has been pretty good in his first couple starts, but I don't think that continues. Yordano Ventura has been good lately, but he has a career 4.56 ERA against Detroit. Herrera is out for KC right now and that makes their bullpen a little less dominant. The Tigers bullpen isn't any good. Too low of a number. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Francisco Giants lost in heartbreaking fashion to the Dodgers in extra innings last night. Madison Bumgarner is the ultimate stopper, and he has been amazing against the Dodgers in the past. Bumgarner needs to work deep into this game because the Giants used up their bullpen a lot last night. Having him around for even longer is a good thing for the under. Bumgarner has a career ERA of 2.08 at Dodger Stadium. Greinke has been amazing all season, and he's even better at home. Greinke has an ERA of 1.42 at home this year. There won't be many baserunners in this game. The under is 6-1-1 in Bumgarner's last 8 starts at Los Angeles. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians bats have woken up. It's helped that they have started to get healthy, and Carlos Santana is hitting the ball much better of late. Toronto's offense is the best in the league, and it isn't even close. Cody Anderson had a nice first few starts in the big leagues, but he has been hit around hard since then. Toronto was quieted by Danny Salazar last night. Salazar is an elite young pitcher, but Anderson isn't even close to the same quality. Toronto will get back on track offensively here. Miguel Estrada has been extremely fortunate with batted ball luck and his strand rate this year. I think he is overrated at this point. Jerry Meals is the home plate umpire here and he is known for his small strike zone. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Tampa Bay Rays have the 6th best offense in the majors in the past month. Kansas City has a steady offense that is underrated by most. Nate Karns has struggled at home this year. Danny Duffy has struggled with his control, and that has led to a disappointing season for him. With a total this low, I like the value on the over.

The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 after a loss. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 as a favorite. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 3-0-1 in Karns' last 4 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the AL Central. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mark Buehrle has some awful career numbers against the Detroit Tigers. The Tigers are the second best offense in the league, and they are particularly good against lefties. Toronto is the best offense in the league, and Alfredo Simon has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 10 starts. This Blue Jays offense is raking right now, and Simon has been terrible. Plenty of run scoring in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has been surprisingly good for the past month. The Phillies bullpen is really worn out, and they aren't very good to start with. Adam Morgan is a youngster who doesn't have impressive stuff. His peripheral suggest he has been fortunate to not have worse numbers so far this season. Rea is a youngster who comes with little fanfare for the Padres as well. These are two guys who haven't shown much. Andy Fletcher is a solid over umpire with a very small strike zone. The weather will help with an 80 degree night and wind blowing out. 

The over is 3-0-1 in the Padres last 4 as a road favorite. The over is 7-0-1 in their last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. The over is 4-0-1 in the Phillies last 5 overall. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the NL West. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The over is 5-0-1 in Morgan's last 6 home starts. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 on 4 days of rest. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. A 50-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Red HOT CASH* The Cincinnati Reds lineup isn't producing of late. Outside of Joey Votto, the Reds haven't been able to count on anyone. Milwaukee's lineup isn't even close to what it was before the trade deadline. Raisel Iglesias and Taylor Jungmann are two very talented youngsters. Iglesias has an ERA under 2 in the month of August. Jungmann has an ERA under 2 at home this year. Jungmann also gave up only one run in 8 innings pitched in his outing vs. the Reds in July. With both lineups looking like a mess right now, I think both starters can work deep into this game and pitch well. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in baseball. With Miguel Cabrera back, the Tigers offense is once again dangerous. Toronto's numbers against left handed pitching this year are scary good. They have a .357 OBP and average 5.66 runs per game against left handed pitching. Matt Boyd has struggled so far in his career and this is a tough spot for him against his former team. R.A. Dickey hasn't been good lately, and the Tigers have crushed him in the past. Overall, the current Tigers lineup has an amazing .346 average and a .424 OBP against him.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a left handed starter. The over is 6-0 in Dickey's last 6 as a favorite of -150 to -200. The over is 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts vs. the Tigers. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays are actually pretty similar teams right now. They both have overachieved compared to their real talent levels this year. Both of them struggle badly against right handed pitching, but they are both much better at hitting left handed pitching. How much better? Minnesota has an OBP of .297 against righties and .311 against lefties. Tampa Bay has an OBP of .302 against righties and .327 against lefties. Drew Smyly and Tommy Milone aren't bad pitchers, but neither of them pitch particularly deep into the game, and they are both lefties. Both of these bullpens are bad right now, and I see the potential for scoring in the late innings. Paul Emmel is the home plate umpire here and he is a solid over umpire. 

The over is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these two teams in Tampa Bay. The over is 5-0 in Emmel's last 5 Thursday games behind the plate. A 45-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds have been much better at hitting left handed pitchers this year than righties. The Reds have a solid .318 on base percentage against lefties. The Dodgers started the year slowly against lefties, but they have been hitting them really well of late. Los Angeles has a very good .337 OBP against lefties this year. Holmberg hasn't been good at all, and I don't see him turning it around against this good offense. Anderson has been shaky in his last few starts. The Dodgers pen has been bad of late and the Reds pen has been bad all year long. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Marlins have hit left handed pitching well all year. They can't hit right handers, but they are 7th in the majors at hitting lefties. Jeff Locke has some ridiculous home/away splits. He's really good at home and really bad on the road. Chris Narveson was bad in the minors and I see no reason to believe he'll be good in the majors. The Pirates have 6 homers against him in only 58 total at bats. Pittsburgh's offense should bounce back from a poor outing on Tuesday. The over is 14-4-2 in Locke's last 20 road starts. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Mets offense is absolutely on fire right now. Jerad Eickhoff had a really good first outing against Miami, but this Mets offense is far tougher than the Marlins offense is to get through. Eickhoff isn't necessarily a bad pitcher, but he'll definitely have some speed bumps. Bartolo Colon has been bad lately. Colon doesn't have the same kind of stuff he's had in the past, and at 42 years old his career is close to an end. The Phillies offense has been surprisingly good in the past few weeks. The ball flies well in Philly this time of the year and both bullpens have struggled in recent weeks.

The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 road starts. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite. The over is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more. The over is 6-0 in Colon's last 6 starts vs. the Phillies. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins offense went through a brief period where they were crushing the ball. Now, they are back to reality. Without Stanton this offense isn't any good. Charlie Morton is a streaky pitcher and he threw a shutout last outing. Brad Hand has been good at home this year, and he is starting to show some promise for the Marlins. Both of these teams have terrific bullpens. Brian O'Nora is behind the plate in this contest and he is definitely a strike caller. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Colorado Rockies and Atlanta Braves have two of the worst bullpens in baseball. I expect we'll see a lot of both bullpens here, and that's the biggest reason I like the over. Chad Bettis should be on a pitch count in his first start back from an elbow injury. Mike Foltynewicz hasn't shown the ability to pitch deep into games thanks to his wildness. Foltynewicz has given up at least 6 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of over 6 this season. The Braves offense is much better at home and they have been a solid over play at Turner Field. The Rockies might be without Carlos Gonzalez here, but the lineup is fairly deep. 

The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Foltynewicz's last 5 starts on 4 days rest. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the NL West. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts after Atlanta scores 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. A 28-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Atlanta Braves have one of the worst offenses in baseball against left handed pitching. Colorado's offense is middle of the pack in weighted on base average in the past month. They go to a much more pitcher friendly park here in Atlanta. Julio Teheran has been much better in the last month. Teheran has been great at home all year. He has a 2.44 ERA at home this season. Jorge De La Rosa is throwing the ball better right now than he has at any point throughout the season. With the move up to 7.5, there is value in the under. The wind will be blowing in and there is no significant warmth in Atlanta. Take the under here. 

*4 Star EPIC 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies crush right handed pitching. The Colorado Rockies also have a bad starting rotation and a really bad bullpen. The Mets have a good rotation, but making a spot start here is Logan Verrett. It's a really tough spot for the young kid who has below average stuff. Verrett has almost no big league experience, and he hasn't been that great in the minors. I don't expect him to go to Coors Field and find success. Day games at Coors Field are well known for their high scoring tendencies. David Hale isn't a good pitcher at all. He has an ERA above 6 and this Mets offense has been on a great run in the first couple games. They should keep it going against him in this one. The number is high for a very good reason.

The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 games. The over is 10-0-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a right handed pitcher. The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The over is 3-0-1 in Hale's last 4 starts when the Rockies opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 as a home underdog. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts overall. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. A 53-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Saturday's Best Bet* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been much better against right handed pitching as compared to lefties this year. Marco Estrada has been fortunate this year, and I see him getting tripped up in this one. Heaney is a decent lefty, but the Blue Jays rake against left handed pitching. They destroyed the ball against a pretty good lefty last night, and I think they'll hit it well again here. A total of just 8 is too low for these two teams on a warm evening in Los Angeles. I expect at least one of these two offenses to have a big day. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets had an exciting high scoring affair on Friday night. The ball was leaving the yard at Coors early and often on Friday. I look for a lot more scoring on Saturday night. Jon Niese has struggled in his three starts at Coors in his career (6.75 ERA). Chris Rusin is coming off a great outing, but he isn't a good big league pitcher. The Mets are solid against lefties of late, and Cespedes has been huge for this lineup. Both bullpens have been bad recently, and there should be a bunch of scoring opportunities for both teams.

The over is 5-0 in the Mets last 5. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road favorite. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in Niese's last 4 starts with a total of 9 or higher. A 23-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates shut out the San Francisco Giants in game one of this series last night. It's a key series for both teams. Madison Bumgarner starts for San Francisco in this one. There isn't a better big game pitcher in baseball than Bumgarner. The Giants offense really misses Hunter Pence. Jeff Locke has been very good at home throughout his career. San Francisco is better against right handed pitching, so Locke has a good chance of keeping the Giants under control. Bumgarner is throwing it better than he ever has in the regular season, and the Pirates offense has been inconsistent at best of late. 

The under is 4-0-1 in the Giants last 5. The under is 7-0-1 in the Giants last 8 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-2 in Bumgarner's last 6. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Collin McHugh has been throwing the ball a lot better lately. McHugh has regained control of his offspeed pitches to keep batters off balance. Tampa Bay's offense has been bad for most of the year, and after a brief hot stretch early this month, they have come back down to earth in the last few games. Chris Archer is one of the best pitchers in baseball and he should bounce back nicely from his poor outing in Texas last time out. The Astros have a lot of free swingers, and I think Archer racks up the strikeouts in this one.

The under is 8-1 in McHugh's last 9 starts. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the AL East. A 19-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers offenses have been on fire lately. Detroit scored 25 runs in two games in Chicago against the Cubs. The Rangers have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games. Martin Perez isn't a bad lefty, but the Tigers are second in the league in hitting lefties and with Cabrera back this lineup is very good. Alfredo Simon has been a total gas can in the last couple months. He is fully capable of giving up a huge inning at any time. Plenty of run scoring opportunities for both teams throughout this game.

The over is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 5-0 in Perez's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0-1 in Simon's last 8 when the Tigers opponent scores 5 runs or more the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in Detroit. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jacob Degrom has been throwing the ball extremely well all year, but the stretch he has been on since May is extraordinary. In his last 15 starts, Degrom has allowed more than 2 runs only two times. He has allowed more than 3 runs only once. He is absolutely locked in right now. He is a serious contender for the NL Cy Young award. Kevin Gausman has been up and down in his career, but Gausman has great stuff and he has been much better at home than on the road. Gausman has a 3.38 career home ERA, and his ERA at home this season is just 1.50. The Mets offense has improved lately, but they still aren't good. These are two good defensive teams with good bullpens. 

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Orioles last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 3-0-2 in Gausman's last 5 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts when the Orioles gave up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 3-0-2 in his last 5 home starts overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers meet on Saturday night. Justin Verlander starts for the Tigers. In four of his last six starts, Verlander has allowed one earned run or less. While I'm still cautious about him, there have been some encouraging signs. Collin McHugh has been throwing the ball better of late, and he is due for some better luck. Opponents have had a lot of batted ball luck against him this year, and that should even out over time. The biggest reason for this pick though was who is behind the plate. Bill Miller is my single favorite under umpire in baseball. He routinely has a massive strike zone, and he'll help these pitchers out.

The under is 4-0 in Houston's last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The under is 6-0 in McHugh's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after the team scored 5 runs or more last game. The under is 7-1 in his last 8 games. The under is 4-0 in Miller's last 4 Saturday games behind the plate. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Atlanta Braves have been terrible against left handed pitching all year. Robbie Ray has had a nice season for the Diamondbacks. Julio Teheran has been very good at home this year. Teheran started the year really badly and he didn't find his form until recently, but he has quality stuff and should have a nice career. I expected a lower total in this one, and I'm glad to take the under at this level. 

The under is 7-0 in the Diamondbacks last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in Ray's last 4 starts on 5 days rest. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 8-0-3 in the Braves last 11 games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0-2 in the Braves last 6 home games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 starts vs. the DBacks. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Gerrit Cole vs. Michael Wacha is quite a pitching matchup. Over his career, Wacha has been much better when pitching at home, and he'll be at home in this one. Cole has really come on this season, and he has turned into one of the best pitchers in baseball. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate here and the under is a whopping 90-58 in his last 148 games behind the plate. Kulpa's massive strike zone is going to help both of these young pitchers. I look for a lot of punch outs throughout this game. A pitcher's duel as both guys go deep into the game. 

The under is 6-1-1 in Cole's last 8 road starts. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 games between these two in St. Louis. A 16-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins and Texas Rangers meet on Tuesday night. Minnesota is sliding quickly as expected. The Twins simply were never as good as their record looked earlier this year. Minnesota has overachieved in a big way. Texas is trying to make a push in the Wild Card standings. Yovani Gallardo and Kyle Gibson have both been beaten up pretty badly in recent outings. These are two pitchers who are inconsistent and can be hit hard and give up runs in bunches. Also important here is both bullpens rank in the bottom five in the majors. This is the type of game where it wouldn't surprise me to see a lot of runs scored late in the game. 

The over is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The over is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed pitcher. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox offense has been bad most of the year. They got red hot for a two or three week period and now they are starting to settle back into their normal range. The Angels offense ranks 21st in the majors in the past month. Chris Sale is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He has been torched in his last two starts, but I think there is a good chance he'll bounce back here. The Angels have a combined batting average of .093 as a team against him. Los Angeles starts Matt Shoemaker, and he has been dealing of late. Shoemaker hasn't allowed a run in any of his last three starts! He's gone 19 innings in a row without giving up a run. 

The under is 5-0-1 in Shoemaker's last 6 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 7-0 in the White Sox last 7 vs. the AL West. The under is 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts with a total of 7 or higher. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game one of a series. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* I generally look for spots to play unders on get away days in Major League Baseball. Here is one of those spots. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. Anthony DeSclafani is a pretty good young pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. DeSclafani has been dealing in his last few outings. All year long he has thrown much better on the road than at home as well. Patrick Corbin is starting to throw the ball better of late outside of his last outing against Washington. The Reds offense has been slumping in a big way of late.

The under is 9-0 in the Reds last 9 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games vs. a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a righty. A 61-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Oakland A's offense is a mess. Ben Zobrist is badly missed in the middle of the order. The bottom of the order is among the worst in baseball. Houston has improved offensively, but the bottom of their order is still weak as well. Mike Fiers is a guy with a really deceptive delivery. Oakland hasn't seen him before, and I think that works to his advantage here. Chris Bassitt is a guy I've liked for a while now. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a single game this year. 

The under is 5-0 in the Astros last 5 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Bassitt's last 4 home starts. A 22-0 angle. Take the under.