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Kyle Hunter ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
08-19-11 Arizona Diamondbacks v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 2-4 Loss -115 17 h 30 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Derek Lowe has been terrible this year, and he has been even worse of late. Lowe has just one quality start in his last eight starts overall. The Diamondbacks offense should be able to put a few up on the board against Lowe in this one. Daniel Hudson has been pretty good this year, but he has been inconsistent. Hudson has struggled on the road, and the Braves offense is getting healthy of late. I think this total should be a run or so higher. I like the value on the over.
08-18-11 Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 7-0 Loss -101 20 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Trevor Cahill is a different pitcher at home. Cahill has been dominating lineups for the last couple years at home. He has an ERA of just 2.62 at home this season. Ricky Romero is one of the hottest pitchers in the majors right now. Romero has a ridiculously good WHIP of 0.57 in his last three starts and an ERA of 1.57 in those starts. The under is 5-1-1 in Romero's last 7 road starts. The under is 18-7-3 in Cahill's last 28 home starts. I think this one has the makings a very low scoring contest. Take the under.
08-18-11 Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 4-2 Win 100 18 h 59 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Masterson has been consistently great all season. He has a stellar 2.59 ERA away from home. Phillip Humber has been struggling of late, but I think a struggling offense like the Tribe will help him bounce back. In addition, John Hirschbeck is behind the plate here. Hirschbeck has been one of the best 'under' umpires in the league for many years. Both pitchers should benefit from his large strike zone. Take the under in this one.
08-18-11 San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 0-1 Win 102 17 h 58 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Tim Lincecum may not have started the season as well as normal, but he is pitching extremely well right now. Lincecum has only allowed more than one run in two of his last ten starts and in those starts he allowed two and three runs respectively. The under is 6-2 in Lincecum's last 8 starts against Atlanta. Mike Minor is a talented young pitcher and I think he'll give this short-handed Giants offense a lot of trouble. The under is 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in Atlanta. Take the under.
08-17-11 Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 4-3 Win 100 20 h 43 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* C.J. Wilson has become a clear number one this year. Wilson has a solid 3.28 ERA this season, including a 2.68 ERA on the road. Wilson has been great against the Angels in his last three starts against them. Ervin Santana may be the hottest pitcher in baseball of late. Santana has allowed exactly one run in each of his last five starts. The under is 16-6-4 in Santana's last 26 starts overall. The under is 5-1-1 in Wilson's last 7 starts against the Angels. This is an important game for both teams, and I think it will be low scoring. Take the under.
08-17-11 Florida Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 5-12 Win 100 18 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Coors Field has always been a great hitter's ballpark. The wind will be blowing out on Wednesday night, and I think these two pitchers will struggle. Ricky Nolasco has pitched well of late, but he is very inconsistent. Aaron Cook has struggled all season, and he has an ERA of 6.61 in his last three starts overall. The last two night's the game has gone over the total when these teams have played, and I think it will be 3 straight after this one. Take the over here.
08-17-11 San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 7-5 Loss -108 17 h 48 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain is one of the more consistent pitchers in baseball. Cain has a 3.00 ERA on the year, and he rarely gets hit hard. Jair Jurrjens has been on the DL of late, but he'll get to face a very short-handed Giants offense in this one. Without Posey, Beltran, Sanchez, and many others this offense has struggled badly of late. The under is 4-1 in Cain's last 5 starts against the Braves. The under is 5-0 in Jurrjens last 5 starts against the Giants. Expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
08-15-11 Chicago Cubs v. Houston Astros OVER 9 4-3 Loss -100 19 h 11 m Show
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* The Chicago Cubs have been hitting the baseball much better of late. The Cubs have scored at least 4 runs in each of their last five games. Henry Sosa will start for the Astros, and he had a mediocre ERA in the minors earlier this year. I think the Cubs will be able to get to him. Rodrigo Lopez will be on the mound for the Cubs. Lopez has an ERA of 7.07 on the road this year. The Astros have shown the ability to hit some at home. With these two pitchers, I like the value on the over.
08-15-11 San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 4-5 Loss -125 18 h 27 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The San Francisco Giants are hurting badly on offense right now. Carlos Beltran has missed six straight games. Tim Hudson has always been dominant in the month of August, and this year has been no different. Hudson has allowed a total of four runs in his last three starts overall. Madison Bumgarner has pitched much better than his record would indicate. The Braves average just 3.4 runs per game against lefties. Bumgarner has a 3.03 ERA on the road this year. The under is 7-1 in the Giants last 8. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Take the under.
08-14-11 San Francisco Giants v. Florida Marlins UNDER 8 5-2 Win 100 11 h 26 m Show
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Florida Marlins and the San Francisco Giants both have a ridiculous amount of injuries right now. Beltran, Posey, Sanchez, Tejada, Burrell, Torres are all injured for the Giants. The Marlins are without Hanley Ramirez, Infante, Coghlan, and others. Ryan Vogelsong hasn't been as sharp of late, but I think he can bounce back with a nice outing against a weak lineup here. Chris Volstad is a little better at home, and against the lineup the Giants have right now I think he will fare alright. The under is 6-1 in the Giants last 7 games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. A total of 8 with these short-handed lineups feels like a good opportunity to take the under.
08-13-11 Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8.5 8-4 Win 100 17 h 0 m Show
*3 Star Hidden GEM* The Atlanta Braves bats seem to have woken up in a big way lately. Dan Uggla is riding a 32 game hitting streak and the rest of the team has been following his lead. Derek Lowe and Randy Wells have both been pitching very poorly of late. Lowe has a 7.2 ERA in his last three starts. Wells has a 5.68 ERA in his last three starts. The over is 5-1 in the Braves last 6. The over is 7-1 in the Cubs last 8 road games. The over is 15-5-1 in Lowe's last 21 starts. Take the over in this one.
08-13-11 Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 7 2-11 Loss -110 12 h 32 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* This is a matchup of two excellent starting pitchers. Most people know about Jered Weaver, but few realize how talented Ricky Romero is. Romero has a 1.11 ERA in his last three starts and he has a nice 2.83 ERA at home this year. Weaver has a ridiculous WHIP of 0.94 and an ERA of 1.78 on the year. The under is 44-18-6 in Weaver's last 66 starts. The under is 8-3-1 in Romero's last 12 starts. The under is 26-10-4 in the last 40 meetings between these two in Toronto. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
08-12-11 San Francisco Giants v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7 1-2 Win 100 17 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Both of these teams have some serious injury issues that are holding back their offenses. The Giants are without Beltran, Posey, Tejada, Sanchez, and Burrell. The Marlins are missing Hanley Ramirez, Coghlan, Infante, and others. Matt Cain and Ricky Nolasco both have an ERA below 3 in their last three games. Both pitchers should benefit from facing a short-handed lineup. The under is 11-4 in Cain's last 15 starts. The under is 7-2 in Nolasco's last 9 starts. Take the under in this one.
08-11-11 Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 9 5-6 Win 100 11 h 34 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees have made a habit out of crushing the baseball during the daytime this year. I think they have another good setup to do just that again on Thursday afternoon. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Angels. Chatwood struggles with control issues, and the Yankees have a ton of patient hitters. The over is 6-2-1 in Chatwood's last 9 road starts. Bartolo Colon starts for the Yankees, and I expect the Angels to be able to tack up a few runs on him as well. I like the over in this one.
08-10-11 Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 4-3 Loss -115 19 h 33 m Show
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* The weather conditions play a huge role at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The gametime temperature is expected to be 105 degrees for this one. In addition, the wind is expected to be pushing the ball out toward center at about 10 mph. The conditions are right for plenty of homers in this one. Derek Holland struggles mightily at home. Holland has a 5.55 ERA at home this year. Jason Vargas has been slumping of late, and Texas crushes lefties. The over is a huge 16-5 in Holland's last 21 home starts. Take the over!
08-10-11 San Diego Padres v. New York Mets OVER 8 9-5 Win 102 17 h 22 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The San Diego Padres have been crushing the baseball of late. Actually, San Diego hasn't been too bad offensively on the road all year. The Padres also lead the majors in stolen bases, which could be important against a knuckleballer like R.A. Dickey. Dickey has been pretty good this year, but his ERA is above 4 at home on the season. Aaron Harang is a streaky pitcher, and he has been struggling of late. Harang has a 7.56 ERA in his last three starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Padres last 11 road games. Take the over.
08-10-11 Chicago White Sox v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 4-6 Loss -105 18 h 36 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Phillip Humber has been struggling of late, but I think this is a good spot for a bounceback for him. Humber actually pitched well last time out against the Yankees, but he had one bad inning. The White Sox bats are struggling badly right now. The under is 20-6 in the White Sox last 26 road games. The under is 7-2 in Humber's last 9 road starts. The under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams. Bill Miller, the biggest under umpire in the majors, is behind the dish here. The under is 68-32-6 in his last 106 games. Take the under.
08-09-11 Boston Red Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 Top 4-3 Loss -110 20 h 35 m Show
*5 Star MLB Play of the Week* The Boston Red Sox have the best offense in baseball right now. Francisco Liriano has been very inconsistent this year. Liriano has a terrible 5.98 ERA at home this year. Even worse, he has an ERA just above 8 in his last three starts. Erik Bedard and Liriano are both lefties who try to stretch the corners, and that won't work well with the umpire for this one. Tim McClelland is behind the dish here, and he is arguably the biggest 'over' umpire in the game. The over is 14-6 in his last 20 games behind the plate. The over is 11-3 in Liriano's last 14 home starts. I think this one is set too low. Take the over big here.
08-09-11 Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 8 6-7 Win 100 19 h 48 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Texas Rangers are hitting the baseball very well right now, and the conditions in Texas are very friendly to hitters. The gametime temperature is expected to be 106 degrees in this one. The ball can really fly in Arlington with this kind of temperature. Michael Pineda is a very good young pitcher, but he has allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last three road starts. Alexi Ogando has been slightly more shaky of late as well. The over is 5-1 in Ogando's last 6 home starts. The over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings at Texas. Take the over.
08-07-11 Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 3-5 Loss -110 18 h 17 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Texas weather is absolutely ridiculous right now. The Dallas area has seen multiple straight days of 105 degrees or more for a high temperature. At the start of this game the temperature is expected to be 104 degrees. The ball really flies in that kind of heat, and the wind will be pushing the ball out to center. Colby Lewis has been bad at home and Josh Tomlin has been poor on the road. The Indians bats have really woken up of late (they've scored 7 runs in three straight games). The over is 5-0-1 in Tomlin's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-2 in Lewis' last 11 home starts. This is a combined 14-2 winning angle between the two starts! Take the over!
08-07-11 Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 3-4 Win 100 14 h 21 m Show
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* Clayton Kershaw has always been a very talented pitcher, but he has matured a ton this year. Kershaw is getting ahead of batters and walking far fewer than he has in the past. He could easily be competing for Cy Young's in the next few years. Ian Kennedy is a very good young pitcher for the Diamondbacks. Kennedy has a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. Kershaw has a 1.52 ERA in his last three starts. This game has the makings of a low scoring pitcher's duel. Take the under.
08-06-11 New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 4-10 Win 100 15 h 47 m Show
*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox Total DOMINATION* C.C. Sabathia has been dominating most opponents this year, but not the Boston Red Sox. He has seen the Red Sox three times and he hasn't fared too well in any of those starts. He scattered nine hits in his first appearance, but then allowed 6 earned runs in each of his last two starts against Boston. John Lackey has an ERA over 6 this year, and the Yankees should be able to put up several runs on him. These are the two best offenses in all of baseball, and I think a posted total of nine is a good value on the over.
08-05-11 Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 5-3 Win 102 19 h 5 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Chicago White Sox offense has been ridiculously bad this year. The White Sox are talented offensively, but they just can't seem to string together hits to score often at all. The Twins are more healthy than they were, but their offense is still less than stellar. Mark Buerhle and Nick Blackburn have both faired well against the opposing team in this matchup. The under is 6-0-2 in Buerhle's last 8 starts. The under is 16-5 in the White Sox last 21 road games. The under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
08-05-11 Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 4-3 Loss -105 19 h 60 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Tigers have an impressive lineup. Sometimes the Tigers struggle to score too many runs at home because of their huge ballpark, but the runs generally pile up on the road. The over is 31-18-4 in the Tigers 53 road games this year. Rick Porcello has given up runs in bunches against the Royals in the past. In fact, the over is 8-0 in Porcello's last 8 starts against the Royals! Felipe Paulino is an inconsistent pitcher and I think the Tigers lineup can put up several runs against him. Take the over in this one!
08-05-11 Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 7-8 Win 100 19 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The conditions will be perfect for a high scoring in Texas on Friday night. The temperature at gametime is expected to be a ridiculous 106 degrees. The wind tunnel at Arlington will be in effect, which will be pushing the ball out toward center field. These conditions tend to lead to a lot of home runs. Ubaldo Jimenez is very good, but he didn't fair well in Coors this year and Texas is a similarly difficult park for pitchers. Derek Holland has been bad at home. Holland has an ERA of 5.10 at home, and the over is 10-2 in his last 12 home starts. Take the over.
08-05-11 New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 3-2 Loss -100 18 h 57 m Show
*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox Total Winner* When these two teams meet it is a meeting of the two best offenses in all of baseball. A total of 9.5 is fairly high for a normal game, but in this case I think it is a good value. Jon Lester is a very good pitcher, but the Yankees have been able to score against him in the past. The over is 5-1-1 in Lester's last 7 against the Yankees. The over is 39-16-1 in the last 56 meetings between these two in Boston. Bartolo Colon has been good, but I think the Red Sox can get to him as well. Take the over.
08-04-11 Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 3-6 Loss -105 19 h 47 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Washington Nationals have been hitting the ball quite a bit better of late. Washington put up 4, 5, and 9 runs in their three game series with the Braves. Coors Field is definitely great for hitters, and the pitching matchup here makes me think plenty of runs will be scored in this game. Ross Detwiler is generally a reliever, but he did start once for Washington at Coors Field. In that game he allowed six runs in four innings. Esmil Rogers has been in the bullpen of late as well and he has an ERA of 27 at home so far this year. The over is 3-0-1 in Rogers last 4 starts. The over is 5-1 in Detwiler's last 6 road starts. Take the over.
08-03-11 Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 1-8 Loss -116 14 h 10 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Jason Marquis will make the start for the DBacks in this one. Marquis has an ERA of under 3 in his career pitching at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong continues to surprise people by how amazingly consistent he has been this year. Vogelsong has only allowed more than three runs twice this season. The under is 8-1 in his last 9 home starts. He has an ERA of 1.28 at home this season. This is a pitcher's ballpark and I think this one will be a pitcher's duel. Take the under.
08-02-11 Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 3-9 Loss -100 16 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Atlanta Braves did pickup Bourn, but this is still a lineup that is short-handed right now. John Lannan is an underrated solid pitcher for the Nationals. Derek Lowe has good career numbers against just about everyone in the Nationals lineup. I consider Vic Carapazza a slight 'under' umpire, which should help out here as well. Two offenses that struggle to hit the long ball and two pitchers that don't serve up many. Take the under in this one.
07-31-11 Florida Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 3-1 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Atlanta Braves lineup is not nearly as scary as normal right now. The Braves are missing McCann, McLouth, and Schaefer. The Marlins aren't a powerful offense to start with. Tommy Hanson has a 3.02 ERA at home this year, and he has shown the potential to shut down opposing batters on any given day. Ricky Nolasco is actually better on the road than at home, and against this weakned Braves offense I think he'll fare well. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Lance Barksdale is the umpire here and he is a solid 'under' ummpire. I like the under.
07-30-11 Minnesota Twins v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 3-8 Win 100 19 h 23 m Show
*3 Star MLB Top Total* Nick Blackburn has been inconsistent this year, but his past history against Oakland isn't a good one. The Twins are 1-8 in his last 9 starts against the Athletics. Guillermo Moscoso had an ERA over 4 in AAA, but he pitched great when he first came up to the majors. I figured that would come to an end, and indeed in his last two starts he has been hit hard. Both of these teams have had weak offenses for the year overall, but both lineups are hitting the ball very well right now. Take the over.
07-30-11 San Francisco Giants v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 2-7 Loss -107 17 h 20 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Knockout* Madison Bumgarner has a poor record (6-9) this season, but he has pitched quite well. Bumgarner has a 2.54 ERA on the road this year. Mike Leake has been pitching much more consistently of late. The Giants did trade for Beltran, but they still don't have a powerful offense. I think both starters are a little underrated by the books right now. The under is 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 Saturday starts. The under is 5-2 in Leake's last 7 starts. Take the under.
07-30-11 Florida Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 1-5 Win 106 17 h 16 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Anibal Sanchez has always pitched well against the Braves. In fact, the under is a stunning 7-0-1 in Sanchez's last 8 starts in Atlanta. The Braves offense is hurting right now. They are without McCann, Schafer, McLouth, and Chipper Jones. Tim Hudson has thrown seven straight quality starts. The Marlins aren't a very powerful offense. The Marlins have seen a lot of Hudson, but their lineup has just one career home run against Hudson. I like this one to be a low scoring pitcher's duel. Take the under.
07-30-11 Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 2-5 Win 100 17 h 57 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cleveland Indians are severely short-handed on offense right now. They are without Sizemore and Choo, two of their best left-handed hitters. The Indians have scored 0,2,3,1,1, and 0 runs in their last six games. Paulino has solid stuff and I think he can quiet this scuffling Cleveland offense. Justin Masterson continues to have a great year. Masterson has a great 2.57 ERA this season. The under is 13-8 in his 21 starts this year. The under is 6-2 in Paulino's 8 starts this year. Take the under.
07-30-11 Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 5-13 Win 103 14 h 20 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Rodrigo Lopez has pitched well in limited action this year for the Cubs, but I think regression is due soon. Lopez is a fly ball pitcher and the heat in St. Louis won't be good for that. The Cardinals offense is one of the best in baseball. Kyle Lohse has been getting hit hard of late as well. Lohse has given up at least four runs in 6 of his last 9 starts. The over is 4-0 in Lohse last 4 starts against the Cubs. I think the number is set too low here. Take the over.
07-29-11 Boston Red Sox v. Chicago White Sox OVER 9.5 1-3 Loss -100 19 h 30 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Gavin Floyd has been terrible at home this year, and the Boston Red Sox probably have the best offense in the majors. Floyd has an ERA of 6.26 at home this season. Tim Wakefield started the year pretty well, but he has been struggling of late. Wakefield has a 6.50 ERA in his last three starts. The White Sox beat the Red Sox 7-4 in a game where these two pitchers squared off earlier this year. The over is 5-1 in Wakefield's last 6 starts. The over is 5-0-1 in Floyd's last 6 starts at home. Take the over.
07-29-11 Texas Rangers v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 2-3 Loss -113 17 h 28 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brett Cecil pitched a complete game shutout against the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but Cecil is an extremely inconsistent pitcher. Throughout his career he has been known to throw a shutout and then give up 6 or 7 runs in his next start quite often. The Rangers generally hit left-handers very well (5.57 runs per game) and they should be ready for Cecil this time around. Ogando is a solid starter, but the Jays can really pile up the runs at home. The over is 7-3 in Ogando's last 10 starts. The over is 5-1 in the Blue Jays last 6 home games. Take the over.
07-28-11 Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 5-2 Loss -110 18 h 12 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both of these bullpens are absolutely spent right now after the 19 inning marathon game on Tuesday night. After a game like that, the offenses will generally have the upper hand. Both Derek Lowe and Kevin Correia have struggled of late. Lowe has an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts and Correia's is over 9. The over is 6-0 in Corriea's last 6 starts. The over is 10-1 in Lowe's last 11 starts. The two starters have an amazing 16-1 run to the over in their last 17 starts combined. Take the over.
07-28-11 Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 5-8 Win 100 18 h 6 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brad Bergesen is a sinker ball pitcher who often leaves pithces up in the zone. Toronto has been piling up the runs this year, especially at home. Baltimore's offense has been red hot of late as well. The over is 14-6 in the Orioles last 20 games. Carlos Villaneuva doesn't have overpowering stuff, and he has been worse at home this season. The over is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Both offenses are hot right now, and both pitchers are capable of giving up quite a few runs. Take the over.
07-27-11 Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 3-1 Loss -100 20 h 11 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Aaron Cook has been bad since coming off the disabled list. Cook has an ERA above 8 on the road so far this year. Kuroda has been having some control problems of late, and he has been significantly worse at home this year. The over is 4-0 in Cook's last 4 road starts. The over is 7-3-1 in Kuroda's last 11 home starts. Tony Randazzo is behind the plate and the over is 13-6 in his last 19 behind the dish. I think this one is set too low. I like the value on the over here.
07-27-11 Houston Astros v. St.Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 4-2 Win 100 19 h 54 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Bud Norris has always had the Cardinals number. In 9 career starts against the Cardinals, Norris has a stellar ERA of 2.45. Chris Carpenter has been rounding into form of late. Carpenter is a much better pitcher at home. The Astros lineup is quite weak right now. Andy Fletcher is the umpire here, and he is a solid 'under' umpire. The under is 6-2 in his last 8 games, and for the last three years he has been consistently an under umpire. The under is 5-1 in Carpenter's last 6 against the Astros. The under is 4-1 in Norris' last 5 road starts in St. Louis. Take the under.
07-27-11 Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 7-2 Loss -118 19 h 2 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Minnesota Twins bounced back to beat the Texas Rangers 9-8 last night after losing 20-6 on Monday. The extreme heat in Texas has been making the ball fly in a big way lately. On Wednesday, the temperature is expected to be 103 degrees at gametime. Brian Duensing allowed 7 runs in two innings at home against the Rangers, now he gets to try to tame them in the Texas heat. Colby Lewis has an ERA of 5.64 at home this year. The over is 12-3-2 in Lewis' last 17 home starts. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Take the over.
07-27-11 New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9.5 8-2 Win 100 17 h 9 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets have the healthiest lineup they have had in quite some time. They now have a healthy Reyes, Wright, Beltran, and Bay all in the lineup at once. That lineup is no slouch at all, and Bronson Arroyo is struggling mightily this year. Arroyo has allowed more home runs than any other pitcher in the majors. Mike Pelfrey has been terrible on the road. The ball will be carrying very well in 90 degree temperatures in Cincinnati on Wednesday. Both teams could put up quite a few here. Take the over.
07-26-11 Florida Marlins v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 11-2 Loss -105 17 h 20 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ricky Nolasco had an awful start last time out, but I think he'll bounce back here. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts against the Nationals. Washington's lineup isn't very good, and Nolasco has an ERA under 2 at Washington in his career. Jordan Zimmerman is an underrated starter at this point in his career. Zimmerman has an ERA of just above 3 at home this year. The under is 5-1 in Nolasco's last 6. The under is 8-3 in Zimmerman's last 11. Take the under in this one.
07-26-11 San Francisco: B Zito v. Philadelphia: V Worley UNDER 7 2-7 Loss -100 17 h 53 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Vance Worley just continues to go out and impress start after start. Worley has allowed a total of three runs in his last five starts overall. Tim Lincecum has been rounding into form of late as well. Lincecum has an ERA of just 1.42 in his last three starts. The Giants lineup is struggling to put up runs without Posey, Sanchez, and others. The Phillies are without Polanco, who is a key part of their offense. This one has the makings of a pitcher's duel. Take the under here.
07-24-11 Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 5-2 Loss -115 14 h 12 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers have really been hitting the ball well of late. The Twins are finally starting to get healthy. The Twins now have a good middle of the order with Mauer, Kubel, Thome, and Young all back in the lineup. Liriano and Porcello have both struggled this year and both have struggled against their opposition in this one. The over is 11-2 in Liriano's last 13 home starts. The over is 7-0 in Porcello's last 7 starts. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 10 mph as well. I like the value on the over.
07-24-11 San Diego Padres v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7 3-5 Loss -111 12 h 38 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Roy Halladay is coming off his worst start of the season at Chicago, but this is a great chance for him to bounce back nicely. Halladay is still the best pitcher in baseball, and the Padres have one of the worst lineups in baseball. On the other side, Tim Stauffer's 2.87 ERA is almost as good as Halladay's. Stauffer isn't getting the attention he deserves. He has been great during day games this year, and the Phillies have been struggling offensively. Take the under in this one.
07-23-11 Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10 2-3 Loss -100 17 h 57 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* This total is set awfully high, but I think it this high for a good reason. Joel Piniero gave up eight runs in 1/3 of an inning against the light hitting Oakland A's in his last start. Brad Bergesen has never shown consistency as a starting pitcher. Bergesen's ERA at home this year is 8.05. The over is 5-1 in Piniero's last 6 road starts. The over is 12-5 in the Orioles last 17 games. The temperature should be in the upper 90's when this one starts, and the wind will be blowing out. Take the over.
07-22-11 Washington Nationals v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 7-2 Loss -115 21 h 58 m Show
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* John Lannan is an underrated pitcher at this point in his career. In his last ten starts, Lannan hasn't allowed more than three runs in a single start. The Dodgers rank 27th in the majors in runs scored and Dodger Stadium is definitely a pitcher's park at night. Kuroda starts for the Dodgers, and he has been very good this year. The under is 8-2 in the Dodgers last 10 games. The under is 4-1 in Kuroda's last 5 starts. The under is 3-0-2 in Lannan's last 5 starts. Expect a low scoring game in this one as both offenses are poor and both pitchers are underrated by the books. Take the under.
07-22-11 Toronto Blue Jays v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 2-12 Win 100 20 h 36 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers are coming off a tough 1-0 loss to the Angels on Thursday. They had to deal with Jered Weaver in that game. This time out they'll face JoJo Reyes, who has an ERA of 4.94 this year. Reyes allowed six runs in 2 and 2/3 innings against Texas earlier this year. Colby Lewis has been terrible at home and very good on the road. He gives up home runs in Arlington, and the start time temperature is forecasted to be 101 degrees on Friday. The over is 8-1 in Lewis' last 9 home starts. The over is 4-0 in Reyes' last 4 starts. Take the over.
07-21-11 Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7.5 6-2 Loss -119 19 h 1 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Minnesota Twins are still without Justin Morneau and Jason Kubel. How have the Twins been winning? They have been winning largely because their pitching staff has been great. The under is 5-0-1 in the Twins last 6 games. Carl Pavano started slowly, but he has pitching very well lately. Justin Verlander had a poor outing last time out, but he has been amazing this year. I don't see the beat up Twins scoring many on him. The under is 8-2 in his last 10 starts. I think this one will stay low scoring. Take the under.
07-21-11 Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6.5 0-1 Win 100 14 h 22 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Texas Rangers winning streak was snapped last night by the Angels. Both teams will send their ace to the mound on Thursday afternoon. C.J. Wilson has been great all year, especially on the road. Wilson has an impressive 2.59 ERA on the road in 2011. Jered Weaver has been superb everywhere this season. Weaver leads the majors with a stunning 1.90 ERA. The under is 40-14-8 in Weaver's last 62 starts. The under is 13-5-1 in Weaver's last 19 starts against Texas. Take the under.
07-21-11 St. Louis Cardinals v. New York Mets OVER 8 6-2 Push 0 11 h 58 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jake Westbrook has been extremely inconsistent all year. The Mets have actually hitting the ball pretty well of late. With Reyes and Beltran both healthy they have a couple very nice center pieces in the lineup. Jon Niese has been good overall, but the 'over' has been a great play when he is on the mound. The over is 19-6-1 in his last 26 starts. The over is 6-2-1 in Westbrook's last 9. Gerry Davis is behind the plate, and the over is 18-7-1 in his last 26 games as the home plate umpire. Take the over.
07-20-11 San Diego Padres v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7 14-3 Loss -101 18 h 56 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Padres have the worst offense in all of baseball by many offensive statistics. Florida is struggling pretty badly on offense right now as well. Aaron Harang and Ricky Nolasco have both been dealing of late. Harang has a 0.95 ERA in his last three starts and Nolasco has a 0.78 ERA in his last three starts. The under is 5-0 in Nolasco's last 5 starts. Mark Carlson is a solid under umpire behind the plate as well, which should help both pitchers on the corners of the zone. Take the under.
07-20-11 Boston Red Sox v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10.5 4-0 Loss -105 11 h 6 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Boston Red Sox bats were quieted on Tuesday night, but I don't think that will last long. Boston put up 15 runs on Monday, and I think they'll score several in this one. Jake Arrieta and Andrew Miller have both struggled with control this year and I expect several free passes. The temperature is expected to be about 96 degrees, whcih should help the ball really carry in Baltimore on Wednesday afternoon. The over is 4-1 in Miller's last 5 starts. The over is 20-7 in the Orioles last 27. Take the over.
07-20-11 Cincinnati Reds v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 3-1 Win 110 11 h 45 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates have taken the first two games of this key series from the Reds. The Pirates are now stunningly in first place in the NL Central. Both teams send their most consistent pitchers to the hill on Wednesday. Johnny Cueto has an ERA of 2.01 this year and Jeff Karstens has a 2.34 ERA. How about a great stat for this one? Cueto has thrown ten straight quality starts, and Karstens has thrown eight straight quality starts. The under is 8-1 in Karstens last 9 starts. The under is 4-1 in the Reds last 5. Take the under.
07-19-11 Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 3-5 Loss -100 21 h 28 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Rubby De La Rosa has surprised quite a few people with his impressive pitching since being called up a couple months ago. De La Rosa has a solid 3.74 ERA, and he has thrown three straight quality starts. Madison Bumgarner has a 4-9 record, but his ERA is a respectable 3.74. The under is 13-6 in Bumgarner's last 19 home starts. The under is 6-1 in the Dodgers last 7 games. The under is 25-9-1 in the Giants last 35 home games. Bill Miller is behind the dish here, and he is my single favorite 'under' umpire in baseball. The under has cashed in 67% of the time in his last 106 games behind the plate. Take the under.
07-19-11 San Diego Padres v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7 4-0 Win 100 18 h 20 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Diego Padres offense ranks last in the majors in many major categories. Anibal Sanchez has been pretty inconsistent of late, but I think the Padres are just what the doctor ordered to get him back on track. Sancehez has a very good ERA of 3.3 at home this year. Tim Stauffer has quietly pitched very well this year for San Diego. Stauffer has an ERA of 2.97 this season. The under is 22-8-1 in Stauffer's last 31 starts. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Florida. Take the under.
07-19-11 Oakland A's v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 3-8 Win 100 18 h 10 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Rick Porcello has been extremely inconsistent this year, and he has been bad at home. Porcello has an ERA over 6 at home this year. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts overall. Guillermo Moscoso has been terrific so far this year, but I'm skeptical about his chances of keeping it going. He didn't fare that well in Triple A and I think he is bound to have some regression soon. The Tigers can hit the ball pretty well and it's nice and warm in Detroit right now. I think the total is set pretty low here. Take the over.
07-17-11 Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 4-3 Loss -113 14 h 13 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Shaun Marcum was cruising along and pitching great earlier this year, but ever since he was injured last month he hasn't been the same. Marcum has pitched just once at Coors Field, and he allowed two runs in one inning. The ball is really flying at Coors right now with 90 degree plus temperatures and the wind blowing out. Aaron Cook has been extremely inconsistent this year. The over is 4-1 in Marcum's last 5 starts. The over is 4-0 in Cook's last 4 starts. Take the over in this one.
07-17-11 Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 8-9 Loss -100 12 h 56 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Jair Jurrjens has been spectacular all year long. The Nationals lineup isn't very good, and no one in the Washington lineup has been particularly successful in their career against Jurrjens. Tom Gorzelanny is a decent lefty, and the Braves have been horrible against lefties this year. Atlanta is averaging just 2.99 runs per game against lefties. Without Chipper Jones in the lineup, they lose one of their best hitters. The under is 7-2-3 in Jurrjens last 12 starts. The under is 4-1 in Gorzelanny's last 5 road starts. Take the under.
07-16-11 Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9 8-7 Win 100 19 h 51 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Zack Greinke has been very inconsistent this year. It is going to be a hot day with the wind blowing out at Coors Field on Saturday. I think the conditions will be difficult for the pitchers. Greinke has four appearances against Colorado in his career, and he has a terrible 7.56 ERA in those four games. Chacin is a solid pitcher, but he is young and he has been getting hit by good teams of late. The Brewers offense was shut out yesterday, but with guys like Braun, Fielder, Hart, Weeks, etc. I don't think they'll be silent for a second straight game. Take the over.
07-16-11 St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 8.5 4-1 Loss -115 18 h 33 m Show
*3 Star MLB Hidden Gem Total* The Reds came back and beat the Cardinals in dramatic fashion last night. These two NL Central rivals badly want to win this game, and both teams have shown they can hit the opposing starter. Chris Carpenter is a very good pitcher, but the over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts in Cincinnati. Bronson Arroyo hasn't been pitching that well of late, and this Cardinals team can really make a pitcher pay for leaving the ball up in the zone as he sometimes does. I think this one is set a little too low. Take the over.
07-16-11 Cleveland Indians v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9.5 5-6 Win 104 18 h 54 m Show
*3 Star Totals TKO* Carlos Carrasco is a streaky pitcher, and he hasn't been pitching well at all lately. Carrasco has an ERA of 8.36 in his last three starts. Baltimore has dropped nine straight games, but it hasn't been because of their offense. The Orioles have scored four runs or more in six of those nine losses. Alfredo Simon starts for the Orioles. He is a former reliever and the Orioles are so short-handed in their rotation that they are trying him as a starter. I expect both starter's to get hit hard. The over is 5-1 in the Indians last 6. The over is 6-1 in the Orioles last 7. Take the over.
07-16-11 Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets UNDER 7 2-11 Loss -100 14 h 20 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cole Hamels is pitching just as well as anyone in baseball over the last month or two. Hamels hasn't allowed more than two runs in any of his last nine starts. Jon Niese has been good at home this year. Both these teams have a much weaker lineup than normal. The Phillies are without Victorino and Polanco. The Mets are without Reyes and Wright. The under is 14-5-1 in Hamels' last 20 starts. The under is 9-3 in the Mets last 12 games. I expect a pitcher's duel in this one. Take the under.
07-15-11 Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 4-0 Win 100 20 h 11 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Colby Lewis has a good history against the Seattle Mariners, and this year's Mariners lineup is extremely weak. Derek Holland shut them out last night, and I think Lewis will continue his impressive starts against Seattle. Doug Fister is pitching for Seattle and he has quietly been very good all year. Fister has a great ERA of 1.96 in his last three starts. Bill Miller is the umpire here, and he is my single favorite 'under' umpire. The under is an amazing 65-30-6 in his last 101 games behind the plate. The under is 5-0 in Lewis' last 5 in Seattle. Take the under.
07-15-11 Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 0-4 Loss -117 19 h 41 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies bats are starting to heat up of late. The Rockies are a second half team, and they pounded out 12 runs last night. Chris Narveson has been shaky at Coors in the past (5.4 ERA), and the Rockies hit left-handers pretty well. Juan Nicasio is an inconsistent youngster at this point, and the Brewers lineup is very good. Ed Rapuano is behind the plate here. The 'over' is 15-4-2 in Rapuano's last 21 behind the plate. The over is also 18-7-1 in the Brewers last 26 games. Take the over.
07-15-11 Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 2-1 Loss -100 7 h 13 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Luke Hochevar and Nick Blackburn are both struggling mightily right now. Hochevar has an ERA of 9.22 in his last three starts, and Blackburn has a ridiculous 12.15 ERA in his last three starts. Sam Holbrook is the umpire behind the plate in this one, and he is one of the best 'over' umpires in the league. The over is 12-5 in his 17 games behind the dish this year. The over is 20-5-2 in Hochevar's last 27 road starts. The over is a stunning 26-9-1 in their last 36 meetings between these two. The over is 4-1-1 in Hochevar's last 6 against the Twins. The over is 4-0-1 in Blackburn's last 5 starts against the Royals. Expect both pitchers to fair poorly in this one. Take the over.
07-14-11 Milwaukee Brewers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 8.5 3-12 Win 100 19 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* A pitching matchup of Yovani Gallardo and Ubaldo Jimenez sounds like a pitcher's duel, but a closer look at the numbers tells you that is unlikely in this case. Gallardo has started three times in Colorado, and he has an ERA of 9.19 in those three starts. Jimenez has an ERA over 6 at home this year. The over is 6-2-1 in his last 9 home starts. The over is 11-4-1 in Gallardo's last 15 road starts. The over is also 4-0-1 in Gallardo's last 5 starts against the Rockies. The wind will be blowing out, and Coors Field is still a great hitters park. Take the over.
07-10-11 New York Mets v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 2-4 Win 100 20 h 43 m Show
*3 Star Sunday Night Baseball Totals TKO* Matt Cain has been pitching very well of late, and the Giants struggle badly on offense. Mike Pelfrey is very inconsistent, but I think he'll be able to hold down this San Francisco offense. The under is 3-1-1 in Pelfrey's last 5 against the Giants. The under is 23-9-1 in the Giants last 33 home games. Bill Miller is the umpire here, and he may well be the best 'under' umpire in the game. The under is 12-2 in Miller's last 14 Sunday games behind the dish. I expect a pitcher's duel. Take the under.
07-10-11 Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 3-4 Loss -115 13 h 30 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Dontrelle Willis makes his return to the big leagues as the Cincinnati Reds starter here. Willis has been good in the minors this year, but I have to think he'll be pretty nervous for this one. The Brewers have some very good bats and they should score plenty. Randy Wolf has an ERA of 6.00 in his last 3 starts. The Reds have a good history against Wolf, and Cincinnati absolutely crushes left-handed pitching. Both pitchers are capable of giving up a lot, so I'll take the over in this one.
07-09-11 Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6.5 3-9 Loss -100 19 h 23 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Michael Pineda is just 22 years old, but he is already one of the best power arms in the majors. Pineda has a terrific fastball, and I just don't see this Angels team getting to him much. Piniero is a pretty good pitcher, and this Seattle team is very weak offensively. The under is 18-7-2 in Seattle's last 27 road games. The under is 38-16-10 in the Angels last 64 home games. The total is set low here, but it is set low for a very good reason. A 2-1 type of final score wouldn't surprise me. Take the under.
07-09-11 Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 8-4 Loss -110 18 h 11 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Johnny Cueto has been the most consistent pitcher in the majors so far this year. He hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a single game this year. Shaun Marcum is getting healthy once again, and he is one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball right now. The under is 4-0-1 in Cueto's last 5 road starts. Ryan Braun is expected to miss this game, and the Brewers offense isn't nearly as strong without him. I think both pitchers will bring their best stuff. Take the under.
07-08-11 Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9.5 6-4 Win 100 19 h 18 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Rick Porcello has been hit very hard of late. Porcello has an ERA of 8.80 in his last three starts. Kyle Davies missed a couple months with an injury, but in his first start back he picked up right where he left off earlier this year. Davies allowed 7 runs (4 earned) in three innings in Colorado last week. For the year, Davies has a 7.77 ERA. The over is 5-2 in Davies' last 7 home starts. The over is 5-0 in Porcello's last 5 starts. I expect both offenses to put up several runs here. Take the over.
07-07-11 Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 0-6 Loss -100 19 h 1 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Rich Harden just came back from the DL, and I think this is a bad matchup for him. Harden has a career 5.48 ERA at Texas, and the ball is flying extremely well right now in Texdas because of the 100 degree heat without too much humidity. Derek Holland is starting for Texas, and he has a 6.8 ERA at home this year. The over is 5-0 in Holland's last 5 starts. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Expect a high scoring affair in the heat Thursday night. Take the over.
07-07-11 Chicago Cubs v. Washington Nationals UNDER 8 10-9 Loss -120 18 h 50 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Livan Hernandez has a 2.49 ERA at home this year. Matt Garza has pitched much better than his record indicates. Mike Muchlinkski is the umpire in this one and he is a solid 'under' umpire. The under is 6-1 in his last 7 games behind the dish, and he has a wide strike zone. The under is 6-1-1 in the Cubs last 8 games. The under is 19-8-1 in Hernandez's last 28 home starts. The wind is expected to be blowing in during this game. I expect a low scoring pitcher's duel in this one. Take the under.
07-06-11 San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 5-6 Loss -105 20 h 13 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Madison Bumgarner has had one bad start all year. Unfortunately for me it was the game I chose to take the under on a couple weeks ago. Bumgarner went one third of an inning and gave up eight runs. In the rest of his starts this year he has been stellar. In fact, he hasn't allowed more than three earned runs since May other than that one meltdown a couple weeks ago. I'm guessing he'll be good against a poor Padres lineup here. Moseley is underrated for San Diego, and the Giants lineup is very weak. The temperature is expected to be in the upper 50's, so the ball won't be carrying. Take the under.
07-05-11 Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 9 7-3 Win 100 19 h 31 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Zach Duke hasn't been very good so far this year, and he has been even worse at Miller Park in his career. Duke has a career ERA of 8.13 in his 11 starts at Miller Park. Randy Wolf doesn't have dominating stuff, and he relies on getting the corners. Tony Randazzo is the umpire here, and he is one of the better 'over' umpires in the league. Randazzo will likely squeeze the zone on both of these soft tossing lefties. Wolf has a career ERA of 6.49 when Randazzo is behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8. Take the over.
07-04-11 Baltimore Orioles v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 Top 4-13 Win 100 19 h 13 m Show
*5 Star Top Play Total* Chris Jakubauskas is slated to start for the Baltimore Orioles. I continue to believe that he won't last much longer in the Orioles rotation. He has never proven capable of keeping a starting role, and this is a terrible matchup for him. It is expected to be 95 degrees in this game and the wind will be pushing the ball out toward center and left field. Colby Lewis has been erratic this year and Jakubauskas is liable to get hit around pretty hard by this strong Rangers lineup. The over is 6-1 in Lewis' last 7 home starts. The over is 9-4 in the Orioles last 13. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over big here!
07-04-11 San Diego Padres v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 5-3 Loss -120 16 h 43 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Tim Lincecum is back on his game and the San Diego Padres are a team he has dominated in the past. Lincecum also has a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts overall. Clayton Richard started the season poorly, but he has been pitching well of late. San Francisco's offense isn't very good at all now with all the injury problems they have had. The under is a stunning 21-5-1 in the Giants last 27 home games. The under is 4-1-1 in Richard's last 6 starts against the Giants. Take the under.
07-03-11 Arizona Diamondbacks v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 2-7 Loss -115 15 h 6 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* This is a matchup between two of the best young starting pitchers in all of baseball. Ian Kennedy has a stellar 2.28 ERA on the road this year. The under is 5-1 in his last 6 road starts. Gio Gonzalez has a 2.17 ERA at home this year, and he has a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts. The under is 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall. D.J. Reyburn is behind home plate, and that is a good thing for under bettors. The under is 11-1 in Reyburn's last 12 Sunday games behind the dish. It is also 9-2 in his last 11 overall. Take the under.
07-03-11 Kansas City Royals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 16-8 Win 100 14 h 44 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Coors Field is one of those parks where you absolutely have to know the weather forecast. On Sunday the conditions will be favorable for the ball to be flying out of this park in a big way. The temperature is expected to be about 93 or 94 degrees during this game, and with humidity levels expected to be at just 13% the ball will carry very well. Hochevar has been terrible on the road. The over is 19-5-2 in his last 26 road starts. The over is also 11-4 in Hammel's last 15 home starts. Jim Reynolds is behind the dish and he is known as one of the biggest over umpires in the game. The over is 37-17-2 in his last 56 Sunday games. Take the over.
07-02-11 San Diego Padres v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 6.5 1-0 Win 100 21 h 39 m Show
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Cory Luebke is a very good young pitcher who I believe has a solid future as a starting pitcher. Seattle and San Diego have two of the worst offenses in the majors. Doug Fister has pitched well all year, but he never gets much run support at all. The under is 12-3 in Seattle's last 15 games. The under is 6-1-1 in Fister's last 8 starts. Phil Cuzzi is the umpire behind the plate in this one, and he is a very solid under umpire. The under is 19-7-6 in his last 32 games behind home plate. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
07-02-11 Los Angeles Dodgers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6 1-7 Loss -105 19 h 26 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* You will rarely ever see a total set as low as 6, but this one is deservedly set extremely low. Here we have two poor offenses and two of the very best pitchers in the league. Jered Weaver has the AL's best ERA this year at 1.97, and Clayton Kershaw has a 2.93 ERA. Kershaw has gotten much more efficient with his pitches, which has allowed him to throw back to back complete games. These two faced off last week in a 3-2 Dodgers win, and I think this one will be just as low if not lower scoring. The under is 40-13-6 in Weaver's last 59 starts. Take the under.
07-02-11 St. Louis Cardinals v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 9 1-5 Win 100 19 h 15 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Doug Eddings will be behind the dish in this one, and many consider him to be the best 'under' umpire in baseball. Eddings has a very wide strike zone, and I expect both pitchers to take advantage of this. Niemann has been inconsistent, but in his only outing with Eddings in his career he threw a 7 inning shutout. McClellan continues to be underrated and he has a 3.53 ERA on the road this year. Tampa Bay has been an under machine at home. The under is 40-11-2 in the Rays last 53 home games. Take the under.
07-02-11 Baltimore Orioles v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 4-5 Win 100 19 h 37 m Show
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Tim Hudson has been very good of late, but Interleague Play hasn't been kind to Hudson at all in the past. The Braves are 3-16 in Hudson's last 19 Interleague starts. In that 19 game span, Hudson has an ERA of 6.24. Jake Arrieta was removed from his last start with elbow issues, and I wonder if there won't be some residual problems on Saturday. Tim McClelland is the umpire here and he is a huge 'over' umpire. The over is 12-3 in his 15 games behind the plate this year, and he has called the lowest percentage of strikes of any umpire in the league. Take the over.
07-02-11 Pittsburgh: J McDonald v. Washington: L Hernadez UNDER 8 5-3 Push 0 14 h 8 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Both of these pitchers are throwing the ball well of late, and neither offense is particularly good. John Lannan has a stellar 1.81 ERA at home this year. The under is 6-1 in Lannan's last 7 home starts. The under is 6-1 in the Pirates last 7 road games. This is the first game of a doubleheader, which means some regulars might be missing from the lineup here. With two weak lineups and two very capable starters, I think the under is a good value in this one. Take the under here.
06-30-11 Chicago White Sox v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9 6-4 Win 100 13 h 22 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The White Sox and Rockies have played to two 3-2 final scores in the first two games of the series. I expect a much higher scoring affair on Thursday afternoon. Jake Peavy has been inconsistent of late and his 4.59 career ERA at Coors Field is nothing to write home about. Aaron Cook has yet to put together a quality start this year. The other major factor here is the weather. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 15 to 20 mph, which is a big help at Coors Field. The low humidity and hot temperatures will also help the ball fly well. Expect a high scoring affair. Take the over.
06-30-11 Boston Red Sox v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 5-2 Win 100 12 h 41 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Boston Red Sox definitely have a very strong lineup, but that lineup isn't as strong in this series as it normally is. I don't expect both Ortiz and Adrian Gonzalez to start in this one, which means the Red Sox will be without one of their best bats. With Carl Crawford out the Sox are also without another big bat. The Phillies have struggled against top lefties this year. Jon Lester has a 2.45 ERA in his last three starts, while Cole Hamels has a 2.11 ERA in his last three. These two lefties should make life very difficult on the hitters. How about this stat? The under is 11-0 in the Phillies last 11 interleague games. Take the under.
06-29-11 St.Louis Cardinals v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 8.5 5-1 Loss -115 18 h 46 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Chris Jakubauskas hasn't had a terrible game yet since getting moved into the Orioles starting rotation, but I believe he is capable of getting torched in any given start. Opponents are hitting .369 against him, and the Cardinals have a very good offense even without Pujols. Chris Carpenter hasn't been that good this year, especially on the road. Carpenter had a 5.57 ERA on the road this year. The over is 9-2-1 in the Cardinals last 12. The over is 6-1 in the Orioles last 7. Take the over.
06-29-11 Washington Nationals v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6.5 0-1 Win 100 18 h 35 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both Dan Haren and Jordan Zimmerman have the ability to completely shutdown the opposition. Haren hasn't had his best stuff lately, but the Nationals lineup simply isn't very good. Zimmerman has been tremendous of late. Zimmerman has ten straight quality starts and he has an 0.89 ERA in his last three starts. Both pitchers are betting during the day, and this is a day game in LA. Zimmerman has a 2.51 ERA during the day. Haren has a 1.82 ERA during the day. The under is 6-1 in Zimmerman's last 7. The under is 7-1-2 in Haren's last 10 home starts. Take the under.
06-29-11 Kansas City Royals v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 1-4 Win 100 14 h 13 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Padres and the Royals are two of the weaker offenses in the majors. Tim Stauffer is one of the more underrated pitchers in the National League right now. Stauffer has been tremendous in San Diego. He has a 2.96 ERA at home this year, and the under is 11-4-1 in his last 16 home starts. Bruce Chen has pitched well for the Royals this year, and San Diego has struggled mightily to score runs at home this year. The under is 16-4-1 in the Padres last 21 home games against a lefty. Take the under.
06-28-11 Chicago White Sox v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9 2-3 Loss -107 19 h 11 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Coors Field can be the best hitters ballpark in the majors when the conditions are right. Low humidity on a summer day is great for an over, and that is what is expected on Tuesday. Gavin Floyd and Jason Hammel have both been getting hit hard of late. Floyd has an ERA of 6.16 in his last three starts and Hammel has a 6.23 ERA in that span. The over is 5-2 in Floyd's last 7 starts. The over is 11-3 in Hammel's last 14 home starts. I expect both teams to put up quite a few runs here. Take the over.
06-27-11 Kansas City Royals v. San Diego Padres OVER 6.5 3-4 Win 100 22 h 2 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Jeff Francis hasn't been pitching well of late, especially on the road. Francis has a 5.94 ERA in his last three starts, and he has a 6.93 ERA on the road this year. Mat Latos hasn't had his 2010 form this year. Latos hasn't been bad, but he has been mediocre. The Royals actually hit for a decent average, and I think they'll loop in several hits in this big park. The over is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 road games. The over is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.
06-26-11 New York Mets v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 8-5 Win 100 13 h 1 m Show
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Ballpark at Arlington is a great hitters park when the "wind tunnel effect" is on, and tomorrow should be perfect conditions for that effect. A wind in from right center actually pushes fly balls out toward center and left, resulting in quite a few long balls. The same effect was there on Saturday and the finals was 14-5. Derek Holland has struggled at home (6.03 ERA) and Dillon Gee has never pitched in Texas. The 98 degree temperature with low humidity should help the ball fly. Take the over.
06-26-11 Washington Nationals v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8.5 2-1 Win 100 13 h 58 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Washington Nationals offense is not very good at all, but their pitching staff has been brilliant of late. Livan Hernandez has been underrated by the books for quite some time now. The under is 17-7-2 in his last 26 road games. Phillip Humber is another underrated pitcher by the books, and the under is 9-4 in his last 13 starts overall. Marty Foster is a nice under umpire behind the plate for this one as well. The wind is expected to be blowing in at about 10 to 15 mph. Take the under.
06-24-11 Cleveland Indians v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7 3-4 Push 0 21 h 10 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cleveland Indians don't hit left-handers very well, and Johnathan Sanchez has been pitching fairly well this year. Sanchez has a 3.23 ERA at home this year. Carlos Carrasco is pitching brilliantly of late for the Indians. San Francisco's offense is severely short-handed right now, and the Giants simply don't have that much firepower. Carrasco has a stunning 0.42 ERA in his last three starts. The under is 19-7 in the Giants last 26 home games. The forecast calls for 55 degrees in this one, which means the ball shouldn't travel well at all. I like the under.
06-24-11 Tampa Bay Rays v. Houston Astros UNDER 7 5-1 Win 100 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Wandy Rodriguez is one of the best pitchers in the National League, but he doesn't quite get the publicity he deserved. Rodriguez has thrown a quality start in seven straight games. In his last three starts he has an ERA of 1.00. The under is 7-1-1 in his last 9 starts. James Shields has an ERA of 2.40 in 2011, and at this point he is a leading contender for the Cy Young Award in the American League. The Astros offense isn't that great, and both of these pitchers often pitch deep into the game. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the under.
06-23-11 Seattle Mariners v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 0-1 Win 100 11 h 57 m Show
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Both of these teams are 37-37, but neither team has an impressive offense. It has been the pitching of both the Mariners and Nationals that have helped them surprise many people. Michael Pineda is as good as any young pitcher in the big leagues. He has thrown a quality start in 10 of his 13 starts in the majors. Jason Marquis is a sinker ball pitcher, and when he is on he can be tough to hit. The under is 6-1 in the Mariners last 7 games. This is a getaway day and that usually means some top players getting a day of rest, which should help as well. Take the under.
06-22-11 Minnesota Twins v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 1-5 Win 110 20 h 14 m Show
*3 Star MLB Late Night Total* Nick Blackburn and Ryan Vogelsong are both on a terrific run right now. Blackburn has only allowed more than two earned runs on one occasion in his last nine starts. Vogelsong has an ERA of 0.96 at home this year. Neither of these offenses are very good to start with, and both are dealing with a ton of injuries right now. The under is 25-12-3 in Blackburn's last 40 road starts. The under is 8-0 in Vogelsong's last 8 starts overall. Look for a pitcher's duel in San Francisco on Tuesday. Take the under.
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