01-13-16 |
Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 116 |
|
54-53 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* This number is extremely low, but it's that low for a reason. Bradley is the single worst offense in the country. Bradley is shooting a miserable 24.5 percent from three point range this year. The Braves have scored 44, 58, 44, and 35 points in their Missouri Valley Conference games this year. It won't surprise me a bit if they score 45 or less again here. Loyola Chicago plays at a very slow pace and the Ramblers typically aren't the type of team that piles up the points even in blowouts. The two meetings between these two last year were 111 and 113 points, and Bradley had a much better offense last season. I had this number at 111. The under is 38-14 in Bradley's last 52 road games. The under is 10-1 in Loyola's last 11 home games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. Take the under.
|
01-12-16 |
Texas Tech v. Kansas State UNDER 135 |
|
70-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have been much better so far this year, and they'll get a test in Manhattan, Kansas tonight against Kansas State. Tubby Smith's team has been pushing the tempo a lot more early in the season, but I expect them to slow things down a bit in conference play, since that is what they have done in recent years. Kansas State is always looking to slow the game down with Bruce Weber as their coach. Kansas State is much better on the defensive end than they are on offense. This one is a few points too high. Take the under.
|
01-12-16 |
Akron v. Central Michigan UNDER 148.5 |
|
81-92 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Central Michigan and Akron both prefer a slow tempo. Central Michigan is a good offensive team, while Akron is a very good defensive team. Akron is first in the nation in defensive percentage guarding three point shots. The Zips aren't likely to let Central Michigan's shooters get open looks here. Central Michigan relies heavily on three point shooting. This number has been bet up to a number that is several points too high. Take the under.
|
01-12-16 |
Ball State v. Western Michigan UNDER 139 |
|
74-64 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Western Michigan Broncos tend to play to the pace of their opponent. Ball State is definitely a team that slows things down. The Cardinals stalled out the last game between these two last year and it barely got above 100 points. Western Michigan's offense is much weaker without Tava (out for year). In league play, we typically see lower scoring games in the MAC, and I see that happening here. Take the under.
|
01-11-16 |
Heat v. Warriors UNDER 207.5 |
|
103-111 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Heat and Warriors meet in a late night game at Oracle Arena on Monday night. Dwyane Wade has a bum shoulder but will try to play through it. Miami plays at the second slowest tempo in the league while Golden State plays at the second fastest tempo in the league. Golden State ranks fourth in the NBA in defensive efficiency and Miami ranks sixth. Golden State has been shooting lights out in their last three games, but those games were against the Lakers, Blazers, and Kings. Miami will fight to slow the game down a lot more than any of those teams would, and the Heat are the best defensive team Golden State has played in a while. Miami's offense has been inconsistent this year, and the Warriors should slow them down nicely. The total here has gotten a little out of control. The Heat play 2.1 possessions slower on the road than at home. Golden State actually plays 1.3 possessions per game slower at home than on the road. The under is 40-14-1 in Miami's last 55 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their last game. The under is 20-6-1 in their last 27 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take the under.
|
01-10-16 |
Villanova v. Butler UNDER 150.5 |
|
60-55 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Villanova/Butler TV Total* The Butler Bulldogs have picked up their tempo this year overall, but I've noticed Butler has slowed things down considerably during the start of their Big East Conference season. The Bulldogs were playing at a pace of 70 possessions per game before Big East play, and now they are playing at 67 possessions per game in the conference. That's a significant difference and it adjusts the total downward by a few points. Villanova ranks sixth in the nation in defensive efficiency. The past history between these two suggests the defenses will have the upper hand as well. Take the under.
|
01-10-16 |
UCF v. SMU UNDER 143.5 |
|
73-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The SMU Mustangs are a team that likes to slow the tempo down. UCF has been a quick tempo type of team in the past, but with two good big men in the post in 7'6 Tacko Fall and 6'10 325 pound Justin McBride, UCF has slowed things down in a big way this season. The Mustangs are coming off a huge emotional victory over Cincinnati, and I don't see them being excited to run up the score and push the tempo here. Rather, they should be happy to pick up a win against a UCF team that doesn't have nearly as much offensive firepower. I think this line should be in the upper 130's. Take the under.
|
01-10-16 |
Seahawks v. Vikings UNDER 42 |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
100 |
142 h 53 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL Wild Card Best Bet* The Minnesota Vikings and Seattle Seahawks meet in a rematch of a regular season blowout win in favor of Seattle. This one will be a January games played outdoors in Minnesota. Currently, the forecast for Sunday afternoon calls for a temperature of 12 degrees and a 10 mph wind. Minnesota only got 9 first downs in the first meeting with Seattle. The only 7 points Minnesota scored was via a kickoff returned for 100 yards. The Seattle offense had a short field multiple times in that game, and I think Mike Zimmer and his staff will have the Minnesota defense better prepared for Seattle's offense in this one. Seattle plays at the 24th quickest pace of play in the NFL (out of 32 teams). Minnesota plays at the 25th fastest tempo. The under is 4-0 in Seattle's last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 Wild Card games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 January games. The under is 9-1 in Minnesota's last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-1 angle. Take the under. *Note- This line has dropped throughout the week because of the weather forecast. I would recommend this as a 3 star play at the current price. Thank you*
|
01-09-16 |
Auburn v. Missouri OVER 146 |
|
61-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Auburn Tigers do a nice job forcing the pace to be quick. Bruce Pearl's team will press and force Missouri to play quicker than normal. Also, it's important to note that Kim Anderson, Missouri's Coach, has stated multiple times this year that he wants to play a quicker tempo. Here's there chance to do just that. In a close game here, I expect a lot of free throws. Take the over.
|
01-09-16 |
East Carolina v. Temple UNDER 132 |
|
60-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 5 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO *The Temple Owls and East Carolina Pirates are two teams who like to slow the game down whenever they can. No one will be pushing the pace here. These two played a game that finished well under this posted total last year. Temple has been at their best this year when they are focusing on the defensive end, and they have a good coach in Dunphy who will have them working hard here. East Carolina takes a lot of bad shots, but the Pirates have improved a lot on defense the last couple years. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
North Dakota v. Idaho State OVER 140.5 |
|
84-76 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 30 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* The Idaho State Bengals have decided to play a lot faster this year. Idaho State still has the horrible defense they have had in past years, but they are slightly better on offense. North Dakota always wants to play quickly and try to get buckets in transition. A total at this number is very low with the new rules this year when we get a matchup of two teams who like to run. Both teams foul a lot and I expect a lot of trips to the charity stripe here. Take the over.
|
01-09-16 |
Northern Colorado v. Weber State UNDER 158.5 |
|
68-85 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 53 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Weber State Wildcats are one of the two teams in the Big Sky Conference that works hard on defense (Montana the other). It's not a coincidence that those are the two best teams in the league this year. Northern Colorado will likely get blown out here, and that should be a good thing for the under. Weber State has shown that they usually take their foot off the gas and have some mercy when they are up big. This is a high posted total, so if Weber slows the game down with a lead, I like our chances of cashing this one. The under is 6-0 in Weber State's last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 10-1 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with road win percentage of 40% or lower. A 16-1 angle. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
SIU-Edwardsville v. Tennessee State UNDER 138.5 |
|
60-63 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* What was the score the last time these two teams played? 45-38. Yes, you read that correctly. I'm certainly not predicting anything like that, but this number is too high. Tennessee State has really improved on the defensive side of the ball, and the Tigers should be able to slow the game down and win comfortably with that good defense. Edwardsville has been terrible on offense all year. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
UL-Lafayette v. Arkansas State OVER 164 |
|
69-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Over* This total is very high for a good reason. There are 351 teams in the country. These teams rank 14th fastest and 15th fastest in the nation in terms of tempo. Both are going to look to run at every opportunity. LA Lafayette will be able to grab a lot of offensive boards and get second chance points here, which will be big. Both teams are good at getting to the line as well. I had this one at 169 points. Take the over.
|
01-09-16 |
Drake v. Northern Iowa UNDER 136.5 |
Top |
44-77 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 26 m |
Show
|
*5 Star TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The Northern Iowa Panthers have been a team that controls the tempo for many years. They are no different this year. Drake is the same type of team, they just aren't as good at winning games because they have less talent. Drake and Northern Iowa are in-state rivals and these games have a long history of being low scoring. Last year, the two games finished with 122 points and 104 points. The pace in each game was 48 possessions, which ranked in the top ten slowest games in the country for the season as a whole. These two teams aren't speeding up the game, so unless someone shoots a ridiculously high percentage, I think this stays under. I projected this at 130 points. Take the under big.
|
01-09-16 |
Old Dominion v. Southern Miss UNDER 118.5 |
|
71-73 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 48 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Play Under* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have played more than half of their games to a final score lower than this. This is the best defense they have played all year. Old Dominion plays at the fourth slowest tempo in the country. Old Dominion should grab a lead here and then let their defense do the rest. I had this one at 114 points. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 119 |
|
57-58 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 20 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Sun Belt Total* I'll be the first to admit that I don't normally want to take an under that is this low this season, but this one is still several points too high for these two teams. Arkansas Little Rock is one of the best turnaround stories in college hoops this year. They are playing tremendous defense and slowing the game down in a big way. LA Monroe is a team that struggles on the offensive end, but they work really hard on defense. I projected a total of 114. Very low scoring game. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Denver UNDER 137 |
Top |
65-64 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Denver Pioneers and IPFW Mastadons played twice last year. The number of possessions in those two games was 49 possessions per team in the first game and 48 possessions per team in the second game. Those were two of the slowest ten games in all of college basketball last year! IPFW won both of those games and I don't see them wanting to speed the tempo up this year after winning with that style of play last year. Denver ranks as the third slowest team in the country this year. The Pioneers lost a lot of offensive talent from last year, and they've had some very low scoring games this season already. Four of their last five games have gone under this total. I projected this number to be 130 points. Big line value here. Take the under big.
|
01-09-16 |
Hofstra v. Elon OVER 165.5 |
|
80-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The Elon Phoenix have been very consistent at playing at a really quick tempo this year. Elon has pushed the pace against everyone they have played. In this game, they shouldn't have much trouble getting the style of play they really want. Hofstra also prefers to play quickly, and Hofstra has an excellent offense. Both teams can shoot it from long distance and the free throw line. Take the over here.
|
01-09-16 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Morehead State UNDER 131.5 |
|
58-64 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Morehead State Eagles have drastically slowed down their pace of play in the last couple years. Morehead State is now a defensive team that looks to win low scoring games. Tennessee Martin tries to slow down the game as well, but most teams in the OVC look to run. In this game, they'll get their wish and it should be a slow paced game. I see both defenses having the upper hand in this one. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
NC-Greensboro v. East Tennessee State UNDER 144.5 |
|
83-86 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Both of these teams have been slowing their tempo down of late. I had this game projected at 140 points. Take the under.
|
01-09-16 |
College of Charleston v. Drexel UNDER 130 |
|
54-61 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Canyon Berry is C of C's star player who takes 35% of their shots and he is expected to miss this game. These teams played twice last year and the final total in both games was 104 points. I see a sloppy game here all the way. Take the under.
|
01-07-16 |
Pacific v. Pepperdine UNDER 139 |
|
76-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Pepperdine Waves have been a good defensive team over the last couple years. Pepperdine should be able to handle a team like Pacific who takes a lot of bad shots from the floor. Pepperdine was the second best defensive team in the West Coast Conference last year behind only Gonzaga. They should be right around that area again here. Pacific and Pepperdine both like to move at a slow tempo, so I don't expect a lot of possessions in this game. The games between these two last year finished at 132 points and 93 points respectively. Take the under here.
|
01-07-16 |
Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 134 |
|
66-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star SEC Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide have turned into a defensive stalwart in their last few games. Alabama has seen 5 of their last 6 games fall under this posted total, and most have gone way under the mark. Ole Miss has played several fast paced teams of late, which has bumped up their final scores. This time they'll play an Alabama team that wants to grind it out in a halfcourt game. Take the under.
|
01-07-16 |
Illinois v. Michigan State UNDER 146 |
|
54-79 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Michigan State Spartans have been consistently slowing the tempo down this year. Michigan State is great at getting the lead and then controlling the clock this season. They should be able to grab the lead and control the clock against an Illinois team that hasn't been very good this year. Illinois has tried to push the tempo when they can, but Illinois wasn't able to push the tempo at all last year when these two met. Both games between these two finished with a total of 113 points! That's far lower than this posted total, and I see a lot of value on this one. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two at Michigan State. The under is 4-1 in MSU's last 5 home games. Take the under.
|
01-07-16 |
Florida Atlantic v. Marshall OVER 148 |
|
67-90 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Marshall Thundering Herd have only played two games that fell below this posted total all year. One of them landed at 140 and the other at 146. Marshall is very consistently high scoring thanks to their poor defense and extremely quick tempo. When betting an over, I love to see consistency, and that's what Marshall has shown us this year. Florida Atlantic played Eastern Kentucky recently and the final was 80-73. Eastern Kentucky is a very similar team to Marshall. This one should get to that same area. Take the over.
|
01-07-16 |
Fairfield v. Siena OVER 156.5 |
|
76-91 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Siena Saints always like to play quick. In the past, Fairfield has been a slow it down type of team, but they have a whole new style where they are playing as fast as anyone in the conference this year. That should equal a lot of points going on the board in this one. Siena is great on the offensive glass, and Fairfield is terrible on the glass. Look for Siena to get a bunch of second chance points. Both teams foul quite a bit, and both teams shoot a solid 71% from the line. Take the over.
|
01-06-16 |
Stanford v. Oregon State UNDER 130.5 |
|
78-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 43 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers started league play with an impressive home win over their rivals from Oregon on Sunday night. Oregon State showed me something important in that game as well. The Beavers slowed the tempo down drastically compared to what they had been doing in non-conference play. I think that likely means Oregon State will be looking to play halfcourt games in the Pac 12 as they did last season. Stanford has changed their tempo drastically this year as compared to last season. The Cardinal rank 322nd out of 351 teams in terms of tempo so far this year. Stanford struggles to score unless they get to the line often, and Oregon State has been good at defending without fouling this year. Take the under in this one.
|
01-06-16 |
Texas A&M v. Mississippi State OVER 146.5 |
|
61-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
8 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Texas A&M Aggies and Mississippi State Bulldogs are both playing at a quick tempo this year. Ben Howland's team has played a few teams that slow down the tempo in the past couple weeks, and that has led to some lower scores in their games. Texas A&M won't slow down the pace though, and both of these offenses have been efficient this year. Look for a close game throughout, and fouling at the end could easily be the reason this one ends over the posted total. I had this one at 150 points. Take the over.
|
01-06-16 |
Northern Iowa v. Missouri State UNDER 137 |
|
58-59 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 42 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Northern Iowa Panthers have always been one of the slowest paced teams in the country. Northern Iowa is great at both grabbing defensive rebounds as well as defending without fouling. Missouri State's offense is very inefficient. In their Missouri Valley Conference games so far, Missouri State is averaging only 0.90 points per possession. Northern Iowa has played some very low scoring games this year, and some of them have been against fast paced teams that generally play high scoring games. Their games against Hawaii, Washington State, and New Mexico are good examples of that. Missouri State has a long history of being a good under play inside the Missouri Valley Conference. The under is 22-8 in Missouri State's last 30 MVC games. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
|
01-06-16 |
Knicks v. Heat UNDER 193.5 |
|
98-90 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Miami Heat have been a tremendous under team this year. It makes sense because they are playing at the second slowest tempo in the league, and they have the fourth ranked defense in the NBA. New York has been playing some high scoring games lately, which has propped this total up a bit to where I believe the under is a nice value. The first two meetings between these two teams finished 97-78 and 95-78 in favor of the Heat. The posted totals in those games were 190 and 187 points. I see no reason to have a jump to 193.5 after those first couple meetings. The under is 22-11-1 in the Heat's games this year. The under is 16-7 in the Heat's last 23 games on one day of rest. Take the under.
|
01-06-16 |
South Florida v. UCF UNDER 134.5 |
|
64-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 38 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UCF Knights have slowed down their pace significantly this year because Tacko Fall is now in the middle. Fall is a 7'6 center who has totally changed the way this team plays on both ends of the floor. They went from a bad defense to a very good defense quickly. They also slowed their tempo down out of need. USF is very inefficient on offense, and USF also prefers to slow the pace down. UCF is also very good at defending without fouling. They have committed the 16th fewest fouls out of 351 teams in the country. I think this number should be 130. Take the under.
|
01-05-16 |
Clemson v. Syracuse UNDER 128 |
|
74-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 41 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Syracuse Orange have one of the best defenses in the country with their matchup zone. Syracuse is occasionally hurt by teams who really shot the three ball well, but Clemson isn't one of those teams. Since Syracuse has come into the ACC, these teams have played twice and the final totals were 101 and 119 points. Syracuse is playing much slower on a relative basis this year than they did last season. Both teams will be glad to play slowly here. The under is 8-0 in Cuse's last 8 vs. the ACC. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. A 12-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-05-16 |
East Carolina v. Tulsa UNDER 143 |
|
43-55 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The East Carolina Pirates have been a really good under team for me in the past couple years. East Carolina is improved defensively, and they are much slower paced than they were in the past. Tulsa had toyed with playing a quicker tempo earlier this year, but their last couple games they have been slowing things down again. Both meetings between these two teams last year finished well under this posted total. Take the under.
|
01-04-16 |
Magic v. Pistons UNDER 198 |
|
89-115 |
Loss |
-100 |
5 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons and Orlando Magic meet on Monday night. Orlando is playing on one day of rest and the under is 14-8 in their 22 games on a day of rest this year. Elfrid Payton is listed as questionable for this one, and if he does play he'll be at far less than 100 percent. Payton is a guy that gets things running for the Magic, and this injury certainly hurts the Orlando offense. The three referees in this game are very helpful to the under. Combined, they have a record of 42-27 to the under so far this year overall. Two of the three referees here have strong long-term under trends. The under is 4-0 in Orlando's last 4 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by more than 10 points. A 10-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-04-16 |
Siena v. Manhattan OVER 142 |
|
87-92 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I have admittedly been wrong about Manhattan a few times this year. Manhattan is a team I've looked to play overs with, and so far they have been a good under team. I think that will change. Manhattan still plays at a quick tempo, and they are still fouling as much as any team in the country. Manhattan has had some awful shooting numbers, which I assume will improve at least somewhat. Siena is playing even faster this year, and the Saints are great at getting to the line. Siena put up 89 points and got to the line a whopping 44 times in the first game between these two teams. The total here has been lowered by about 6 points from the first meeting. That's too big of an adjustment. Manhattan should knock down a few more shots at home, and I think this one gets past the posted total. Take the over.
|
01-04-16 |
Youngstown State v. Oakland OVER 171.5 |
|
100-98 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are an extremely high scoring team. Oakland plays at the 15th fastest tempo in the country out of 351 teams. Youngstown State has a terrible defense, and they play at the 61st tempo in the country. Oakland and Youngstown State have played 3 of their last 4 games to a total of 168 points or higher. Yes, this total is a bit higher than that, but that's because of the new rules in college hoops that has led to a lot more scoring this year. Youngstown has given up 100 points or more three times this year. Oakland may get to almost 100 here. The over is 5-0 in Youngstown State's last 5 games. The over is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 games following an ATS win. An 11-0 angle. Take the over.
|
01-03-16 |
Vikings v. Packers UNDER 45.5 |
|
20-13 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sunday Night Football CASH* The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers have a lot on the line in this one. In many games in week 17, I believe it is hard to predict where the total will go because the teams aren't motivated. These two teams are going to be motivated. Green Bay looked awful last week, and they should play better here. The Packers defense will try to make Teddy Bridgewater beat them. Can he do it? I'm not sure he can. Green Bay's offense has changed quite a bit in recent weeks as well. With McCarthy calling the plays, the Packers are running the ball more often and using up the clock. The under is 3-0-1 in the Vikings last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more last game. The under is 5-0 in the Packers last 5 home games. A 15-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-03-16 |
IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 157.5 |
|
71-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play at the third fastest tempo in the country out of 351 teams. IUPUI has shown that they are willing to play at the pace of their opponent so far this year. Last year's meeting between these two in Omaha finished 89-84, and with the new rules, scoring is up a lot this season. Both of these teams foul a lot, so a lot of trips to the charity stripe could play a key role in this game. My numbers made this game 162 points. Take the over here.
|
01-03-16 |
Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 42 |
|
20-27 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego Chargers offense is totally one-dimensional. They cannot run the football. Being one-dimensional in the NFL is dangerous against any defense, but against a defense like Denver it is very bad news. San Diego can't protect Phillip Rivers thanks to a ton of injuries on the offensive line. Denver ranks first in the NFL in sacks. Expect the Broncos to be in Rivers' face all day, and he's going to take some big hits. The Chargers are missing several key playmakers on offense, and their defense has actually improved late in the season. Denver's offense is very inconsistent, but the Denver defense is easily the best in the league. The first game between these two was 17-3. I don't think this one gets very close to the total either. The under is 4-0 in the Chargers last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AFC West. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining 250 yards or more passing last game. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in Denver's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. the AFC West. The under is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these two. A 31-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-03-16 |
Florida Atlantic v. Florida International UNDER 125 |
|
59-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 49 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The FIU Panthers have totally changed the way they play this year. FIU is stalling out offensively and looking to win low scoring games. That fits perfectly in with what Florida Atlantic has been doing of late as well. Ron Delph has played the last five games for Florida Atlantic and all five of those games have gone under the total. Delph is 7 footer who is a great defensive presence in the lane. Both of these teams like to mix in zone defense to slow the game down. This is a rivalry game and that often helps the under. Last year the two meetings between these teams finished at 122 and 120 points. I had this number at 120 points. Look for solid defense from both teams. The under is 5-0 in Florida Atlantic's last 5. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.
|
01-03-16 |
Jets v. Bills UNDER 42 |
|
17-22 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 48 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NFL Jets/Bills CASH* The New York Jets defense is excellent. The Buffalo Bills defense is very talented, but they have underachieved most of the year. I think Rex Ryan will do a good job motivating the defense and his team in general though as they go up against his old team and try to ruin their playoff chances. A key factor here is the weather. There are snow showers expected throughout the day. It won't be a lot of snow that's the big problem though. The wind is the huge issue here. Wind gusts of 30 to 35 mph will make throwing the football extremely difficult. Both offenses are likely to become very predictable running the football a bunch here. That will also keep the clock going. In a game that means a lot to both teams and with poor weather, I see a low scoring game. Take the under.
|
01-02-16 |
San Diego State v. Utah State UNDER 127 |
|
70-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
San Diego v. St. Mary's OVER 126 |
|
46-79 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The St. Mary's Gaels are shooting 47% from three point range. San Diego isn't a particularly strong defensive team, so I see no reason to believe St. Mary's will struggle shooting against them. Though both teams prefer to play slowly, the new rules mean that they can't stall as much as they have in previous years. Look for St. Mary's to be very efficient here and put up a big enough number to push this over. Take the over.
|
01-02-16 |
New Mexico v. Fresno State OVER 146.5 |
|
77-62 |
Loss |
-104 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The New Mexico Lobos have totally changed their tempo from last year. Coach Neal had to stall things out last year after some of his best scorers went down with injuries. This year, New Mexico is pushing the pace at every chance. Fresno State is playing much faster than last year as well, so there shouldn't be anyone slowing this one down. I had this total at 152 points. Both teams get to the line often. Take the over.
|
01-02-16 |
Idaho State v. Weber State UNDER 149 |
|
56-77 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 52 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* The Idaho State Bengals are a really bad team, and Weber State is the best team in the Big Sky Conference. The better team can generally control the tempo of the game, and Weber State wants to play slowly. Look for them to get a nice lead and then coast to the finish in this one. Take the under.
|
01-02-16 |
Montana v. Southern Utah UNDER 138 |
|
83-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* The Montana Grizzlies play the best defense in the Big Sky, and Southern Utah is without Hess, one of their primary scorers. Montana should be able to slow the game down against a short handed Southern Utah team who doesn't want to run now. Last year's game between these two finished more than 25 points below this total. Take the under here.
|
01-02-16 |
Georgia Southern v. Texas-Arlington OVER 152 |
|
72-92 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Iowa State v. Oklahoma OVER 163 |
|
83-87 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Colorado State v. Boise State UNDER 153 |
|
80-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Fairfield v. Manhattan OVER 152.5 |
|
66-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
TCU v. Oregon OVER 78.5 |
|
47-41 |
Win
|
100 |
74 h 45 m |
Show
|
*Note- Trevone Boykin was suspended a few hours after I made this selection. I would NOT recommend the over now with him out of the game. This game would be a pass for me. Boykin means too much to that team.*
|
01-02-16 |
UCF v. East Carolina UNDER 142.5 |
Top |
71-68 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 18 m |
Show
|
*5 Star College Hoops TOP Total of the Week* The East Carolina Pirates and the UCF Knights are both teams I've been looking to play unders with this year, and this meeting is one I had circled to play the under. UCF is playing a much slower tempo this year due to 7'6 Tacko Fall's presence in their lineup. He changes the way they play on offense, and he makes the team much better on the defensive end. Fall has been as good as advertised this year, and he'll change plenty of shots here. In the past couple seasons, East Carolina has been a very nice under the radar "under" team with a big style change to a much slower tempo. The under is 17-8 in their last 25 home games. They are continuing that slower pace this year, and I don't see either team looking to push the pace here. Last year, when UCF was playing a quicker tempo, these two teams played games that finished at 116 and 137 points. The tempo in each of those games was 58 possessions, which is ridiculously slow. I like this play. Take the under. *College Hoops TOP Total of the Week*
|
01-02-16 |
Northeastern v. NC-Wilmington OVER 152.5 |
|
65-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Marquette v. Georgetown OVER 141.5 |
|
70-80 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 5 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Tennessee State v. SE Missouri State OVER 138 |
|
72-66 |
Push |
0 |
2 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Notre Dame v. Virginia UNDER 136.5 |
Top |
66-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 49 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Notre Dame/Virginia TOP Play Total* The Virginia Cavaliers are playing at the slowest tempo of any team in the nation. That is 351 teams. Notre Dame is playing at 317th fastest tempo, so the Fighting Irish will be happy to slow the game down with Virginia here. Notre Dame's offense is good, but they are down a notch from last year's team. Virginia always plays very tough defense for Tony Bennett. The Fighting Irish aren't a great defensive team, but they foul the third least of any team in the country, which is a big benefit here since Virginia is great at the free throw line. A very slow tempo should be expected here. Barring some very high shooting percentages, I like the chances of this one staying comfortably under the total. Take the under.
|
01-02-16 |
Arkansas v. Texas A&M OVER 151.5 |
|
69-92 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
TCU v. Oklahoma State UNDER 133 |
|
48-69 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Drexel v. Elon OVER 145.5 |
|
78-83 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
01-02-16 |
Syracuse v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 139 |
|
51-64 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 37 m |
Show
|
*4 Star ACC Total* The Miami Hurricanes have shot the ball really well this year, but they'll go up against a good defense in Syracuse in this one. Syracuse slows the game down and plays their patented matchup zone that is tough for many teams to get good looks against. The Orange have a talented group this year, and they are good defensively. Miami is improved on the defensive end, and the Hurricanes are always a team that looks to slow the tempo down with Coach Larranaga at the helm. This one features two teams who have defended well without fouling this year. Take the under.
|
01-02-16 |
Charlotte v. Old Dominion UNDER 134.5 |
|
65-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Charlotte looked to push the tempo early in the year, but of late they have slowed things down a couple notches. Old Dominion plays at one of the slowest paces of any team in the country. The Monarchs are also excellent on the defensive end. Old Dominion won't be giving Charlotte easy looks here. Old Dominion has played a bunch of games against weaker competition like Charlotte, and just about all of them have stayed under this posted total. Take the under.
|
01-01-16 |
Ole Miss v. Oklahoma State OVER 67.5 |
|
48-20 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sugar Bowl 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma State Cowboys have a way of making just about every game high scoring. Oklahoma State ranks 95th in the nation in total defense. That's really bad when you consider there are only 128 teams and so many of them at the bottom are terrible teams. The Cowboys are giving up 42.8 points per game in their last five games. Oklahoma State's defense will be tested by Mississippi's speed on the outside. The Rebels have a lot of big playmakers starting with Laquon Treadwell. I expect a bunch of explosive plays from Ole Miss here. Oklahoma State's offense ranks eighth in the nation in passing yards. Ole Miss has been strong on the front seven this year, but their secondary is way down from a year ago. The Rebels have four guys injured or suspended on their defensive front, so they will be thin there. Both teams play with a bunch of pace, so I expect a lot of possessions. The over is 6-0 in Oklahoma State's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on turf. A 15-0 angle. Take the over.
|
01-01-16 |
Iowa v. Stanford UNDER 53.5 |
|
16-45 |
Loss |
-110 |
48 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Rose Bowl Red Hot CASH* The Stanford Cardinal and Iowa Hawkeyes meet in what should be a very physical game in the Rose Bowl on New Year's Day. Stanford's Christian McCaffrey finished second in the Heisman Trophy race, and he'll get the ball a bunch here. Stanford runs the ball a bunch, and they take their time between plays as well. Stanford's pace of play ranks at 122nd out of 128 teams in the country, so they definitely take a lot of time on their drives. Iowa has played a much weaker schedule, but thus far this year Iowa has been very good against the run. The Hawkeyes defensive front is good. On offense, Iowa rarely creates big plays. This is a Hawkeyes team that runs the ball and methodically moves the ball down the field. This is the type of game where I see both teams having long drives that take away 7 or 8 minutes at a time. If they are forced to settle for a field goal a few times on those, as I believe they will, then the under becomes a nice value play. Take the under.
|
01-01-16 |
Notre Dame v. Ohio State OVER 57 |
|
28-44 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Notre Dame/Ohio State Total DOMINATION* The Ohio State Buckeyes offense didn't play up to expectations this year. First of all, the Buckeyes started the wrong quarterback for a very long time this year. Cardale Jones has a big arm, but he isn't the best fit for this system. J.T. Barrett gives the team a better runner and a more accurate passer. For the majority of the season, Ohio State couldn't pour on the points as expected, but they seem to have found something in their last game at Michigan. Ohio State played with much more uptempo looks and it helped them wear down the Wolverines defensive front. That's important here because Notre Dame's defense wasn't good against the run this year. Notre Dame gave up 4.52 yards per carry. Ezekiel Elliot and this Buckeyes ground game should have big day. Notre Dame's offense has been underrated by many. I like their big play ability, and Ohio State hasn't faced teams with as many weapons as the Fighting Irish. The Buckeyes defense is very good, but with Notre Dame should break several big plays here. The over is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a loss. Take the over.
|
12-31-15 |
Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 192 |
|
96-109 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Utah Jazz play at the slowest pace of any team in the NBA. Utah is going to slow the pace of this game down in a big way. Portland has slowed down a lot in the past month also. The Blazers now rank 20th out of 30 teams in the league in tempo. On New Year's Eve, historical trends in the NBA tilt strongly toward the under. This makes a lot of sense when you consider that players want to be able to get home or at least to a place they can celebrate the New Year. What does this mean? It means there are typically fewer stoppages late in the game, and there are lower scoring second halves. The under is 6-0 in Utah's last 6 vs. the NBA Northwest. The under is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 following an ATS loss. A 16-1 angle. Take the under.
|
12-31-15 |
Michigan State v. Alabama UNDER 47 |
|
0-38 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star Michigan State/Bama MONEYMAKER* The Alabama Crimson Tide and Michigan State Spartans play a similar style of football. That should mean a lot of excitement in the Cotton Bowl on Thursday night, especially if you like hard hitting football. I expect both of the defenses to bring their best effort in this one. Michigan State needs this game to be low scoring, and they are going to bleed the clock on offense as much as possible. Michigan State ranks in the bottom 15 in the nation in terms of tempo. Alabama is also slower than the average pace in college football. With both teams expected to run the ball a lot, that is important because it means the clock will be ticking throughout much of this game. Michigan State's defense has been amazing in the past four games. They have allowed 12.5 points per game against some quality competition during that time. Included was their domination against the Ohio State Buckeyes offense that is very talented. Alabama will be able to move the ball here, but I don't think it will come easy, and I think they'll have to settle for some field goals. Michigan State's offense has been really inconsistent this year, and this Alabama defense has been the best in the nation all year long. I don't think Michigan State will be able to score many in this one. Take the under.
|
12-31-15 |
Suns v. Thunder UNDER 212.5 |
|
106-110 |
Loss |
-105 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Oklahoma City Thunder have been playing some great defense in the past couple weeks. This team is much healthier now, and they have been able to show their upside more frequently. The under is 14-4 in Oklahoma City's last 18 games overall. The under is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The under is 8-3 in the Suns last 11 games overall. Phoenix is without two of their best guards, and this Phoenix offense is a mess right now. On New Year's Eve, historical trends in the NBA tilt strongly toward the under. This makes a lot of sense when you consider that players want to be able to get home or at least to a place they can celebrate the New Year. What does this mean? It means there are typically fewer stoppages late in the game, and there are lower scoring second halves. Take the under.
|
12-31-15 |
Wolves v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 |
|
90-115 |
Loss |
-107 |
5 h 60 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Detroit Pistons and Minnesota Timberwolves meet on New Year's Eve tonight. Minnesota plays at the 17th fastest tempo in the NBA and Detroit at the 18th fastest tempo in the league, so both teams are just slightly slower than the average NBA team. On New Year's Eve, historical trends in the NBA tilt strongly toward the under. This makes a lot of sense when you consider that players want to be able to get home or at least to a place they can celebrate the New Year. What does this mean? It means there are typically fewer stoppages late in the game, and there are lower scoring second halves. In this game, we have a Minnesota team that is struggling badly on offense, and a Detroit team that has been good defensively at home. Look for this one to stay several points under the total. Take the under.
|
12-31-15 |
Oklahoma v. Clemson OVER 63 |
|
17-37 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 58 m |
Show
|
*4 Star CFB Orange Bowl Bookie BASHER* The Clemson Tigers and Oklahoma Sooners both have explosive offenses. Clemson and Oklahoma both play very quickly as well. Clemson plays at the 29th quickest pace in the country and Oklahoma plays at the 40th quickest tempo (out of 128 teams). With these quick tempo teams on the field together, we should see a lot of snaps and plenty of opportunities for big plays. Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield has been great in the air raid system. I don't think Perine gets enough credit for how good he is at running back though. Since Oklahoma started being more balanced with Perine touching the ball more often, this offense has been much better. Oklahoma has scored 44 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. Clemson has scored 33 points or more in 6 of their last 7 games. The Tigers have the best player on the field in Deshaun Watson as well. The Clemson running game is solid, and I really like Jordan Leggett at tight end for Clemson. The Clemson defense is giving up 27.17 points per game in their last six games. Oklahoma's defense has also given up a lot of big plays down the stretch. The offenses should have the upper hand. The over is 20-8-1 in Oklahoma's last 29 games. The over is 7-2 in Clemson's last 9 games. Take the over.
|
12-31-15 |
Appalachian State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 140 |
|
56-72 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 13 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks are a good under team. Monroe plays at a slow tempo, and they are a very good defensive team. They also shoot the ball really poorly from the floor on the whole. Appalachian State has been playing to the pace of their opponent of late. This should be a sloppy game. With LA Monroe favored by almost ten and getting to play their style of basketball, this total is several points too high. Take the under.
|
12-31-15 |
Drake v. Wichita State UNDER 134.5 |
|
47-67 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Missouri Valley Money* The Wichita State Shockers and Drake Bulldogs play a similar style of basketball. Wichita State just plays it a lot better than Drake. Both teams want to slow the game down, so I fully expect the tempo here to be very slow. The two games between these teams last year finished at 124 points and 114 points. Look for Wichita State to get an early lead and then run the clock more in the second half. I had this one at 130 points. Take the under.
|
12-30-15 |
Wisconsin v. USC UNDER 51 |
|
23-21 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CFB Holiday Bowl HEATER* The USC Trojans have transformed themselves into a team that primarily runs the football here late in the season. USC has slowed the tempo down as well. Early in the season they ranked in the top 20 in terms of tempo. Now, they are right in the middle of the pack at #61. Wisconsin is a team that runs the ball almost every play. They have to because Joel Stave is not a good quarterback. The Badgers running game has been much less productive this year than they have been in recent years. With both teams running the ball constantly, the clock will be ticking throughout in this one. Both defenses are much better against the run than the pass. Wisconsin is only giving up 13.1 points per game on the year. I see a low scoring close game. Take the under.
|
12-30-15 |
Nevada v. New Mexico OVER 147 |
|
76-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Over* The New Mexico Lobos have decided to play at a much quicker pace this year. That has led to some very high scoring games. Nevada has a new coach and they are looking to push the tempo at every opportunity. Nevada has been fouling a lot this year, as evidenced by the fact that Wichita State (their most recent opponent) shot a mind boggling 62 free throws against them. Wow. New Mexico should live at the line here, and the Lobos are pretty good from the stripe. I look for a quick tempo and both teams to score in transition often. Take the over.
|
12-30-15 |
Syracuse v. Pittsburgh UNDER 140.5 |
|
61-72 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Syracuse Orange are slowing the game down and playing some really good defense this year. Pittsburgh is always a team that prefers to play at a slow tempo. There have been a lot of low scoring tight battles between these two over the years, and I think we'll see another one of those games here. Pittsburgh has played against a bunch of opponents who like to run this year, and that has propped up this total a few points too much. I made this game 136 points. Take the under.
|
12-30-15 |
Niagara v. St Bonaventure UNDER 137 |
|
68-82 |
Loss |
-105 |
5 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Niagara is a team that really makes every game ugly. They slow it down and they shoot it very poorly. Niagara isn't likely to win this game, but they will probably force St. Bonaventure to play at a slow tempo and make this one a lot lower scoring than most of ST. Bonaventure's games have been. Look for a game that stays in the low 130's here. Take the under.
|
12-30-15 |
Morehead State v. East Tennessee State UNDER 136.5 |
|
72-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play Under* Morehead State is playing very slowly this year. The Eagles strength is in the paint and they are trying to work that to their advantage by slowing the game down. East Tennessee State strikes me as a team that appears to be playing to whatever pace their opponent wants to play at so far this year. East Tennessee State has some very high scoring games, but those were against some of the fastest paced teams in the nation. My numbers made this game 132 points. Take the under.
|
12-29-15 |
Northeastern v. NC State UNDER 140 |
|
66-72 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The NC State Wolfpack have slowed their tempo drastically in the past few games. NC State's four slowest paced games are all in the past month. The Wolfpack have decided to control the tempo and try to win lower scoring games. Northeastern has always been a team that prefers to slow the game down under coach Bill Coen. Northeastern won't try to speed this game up in any way. Both of these teams are very good at playing defense without fouling, which is important in today's game. I look for a close game between these two and I have this one in the mid 130's. Take the under here.
|
12-29-15 |
Tennessee-Martin v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 133.5 |
|
57-48 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 38 m |
Show
|
*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Florida Atlantic has had 7 foot defensive specialist Ron Delph back in the lineup for four games now. All four of those games have finished under the posted total. Delph is a shot blocker and a shot changer in the middle of the paint. Since Delph has entered the lineup, Florida Atlantic is playing at a much slower pace. Tennessee Martin is playing at the same slow tempo they played at last season. The Skyhawks won't be pushing the tempo here. Neither of these teams have been efficient on the offensive end, and neither of them get to the line often. The early start time during the week is different for the players as well. I made this number 128 points. Take the under here.
|
12-28-15 |
Detroit v. Eastern Michigan OVER 155.5 |
|
73-88 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
*4 Star College Hoops Monday MONEY* The Detroit Titans have a way of making games very high scoring. Detroit ranks 8th in the nation in tempo. The Titans really push the pace and look to outscore the opposition in a high scoring affair. Detroit is shooting 41.2% from three-point range on the year. Eastern Michigan is a team that prefers to run when they can. The Eagles play a zone defense that encourages the opposition to shoot it from long range. Eastern Michigan hasn't faced many opponents who shoot the ball well from three so far this year, but Detroit is definitely a team that has three point shooters all over the place. I think Detroit's combination of a quick tempo and good shooters means they can score plenty here. Eastern Michigan put up 80 points against Nebraska Omaha, another team that likes to run. They should score a lot here as well. Take the over in this one.
|
12-28-15 |
Pennsylvania v. Villanova UNDER 132 |
|
57-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Villanova Wildcats have been a good under team this year. Villanova is really slowing down the tempo this year and looking to win with their halfcourt defense. It's been a great recipe for success against lesser opponents, and that's what they are up against here. Penn lost 62-47 last year against Villanova, and while this one might be a bit higher, I do think it should stay below the posted total. Villanova has held 4 of their last 7 opponents to 52 points or less, and I think Penn will score 52 or less in this one. Take the under.
|
12-27-15 |
Packers v. Cardinals OVER 50.5 |
|
8-38 |
Loss |
-110 |
27 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Packers/Cardinals Total DOMINATION* The Green Bay Packers offense has looked a bit better in the last couple weeks. McCarthy is now calling the plays and he has given the team better balance. The offensive line is still a problem, but they have been better than they were early in the season. Arizona's secondary took a huge hit when Mathieu went down with a season ending knee injury. The Packers passing attack should be good enough to exploit the Cardinals weakness there. Patrick Peterson will probably play here, but he is dinged up as well. The Green Bay defense is no better than average at this point, and Arizona's offense is tremendous. The Cardinals rank first in the NFL in total offense. Arizona has been picking apart just about every defense they have played. The over is 5-2 in Arizona's last 7 home games. Take the over.
|
12-27-15 |
Browns v. Chiefs UNDER 43 |
Top |
13-17 |
Win
|
100 |
24 h 50 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NFL Game of the MONTH* The Kansas City Chiefs are playing at the single slowest tempo of any team in the league. They are taking 33.5 seconds between plays, which is the longest mark in the league. Kansas City's offense isn't very good. They have been putting up some big point totals of late because the defense has been scoring points in large amounts. That has made this Chiefs team look better than they are, at least offensively if you are looking at things like points per game. Cleveland's defense has been a little better in recent weeks. The Browns run defense still isn't good, but they have been slightly better of late. The Browns secondary is solid. Kansas City is likely to keep the ball on the ground a lot in this game and run the clock a lot. Cleveland has been running it a lot as well. The weather is one of the big reasons I'm making this play as well. The forecast here is calling for rain throughout the game, and even more importantly, heavy winds of 20 to 25 mph with gusts of 30 mph. That kind of weather is very good for under bettors. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 with less than 150 yards passing last game. The under is 4-0 in Kansas City's last 4 in Week 16. A 16-0 angle. Take the under. Top rated play. *NFL Game of the MONTH*
|
12-26-15 |
Nebraska v. UCLA OVER 61 |
|
37-29 |
Win
|
100 |
66 h 40 m |
Show
|
*4 Star CFB Saturday Night MONEY* The UCLA Bruins have a good young quarterback in Josh Rosen, and they go up against a Nebraska secondary that has struggled all year long. Nebraska ranks 122nd in the nation out of 128 teams against the pass. Look for Rosen to beat this secondary consistently with the pass. At the same time, Nebraska's offense has been very good down the stretch. The Cornhuskers have averaged 34 points per game in their last four contests. Armstrong and his receivers are getting more accustomed to Mike Riley's new offense. The Cornhuskers prefer to play quickly, and they like to use the no huddle package quite a bit. UCLA ranks as the 8th fastest paced team in the country as well. UCLA's defense has been hit hard by the injury bug this year. Their two best players will miss this game. I see both offenses having a lot of scoring chances throughout. Take the over.
|
12-26-15 |
Indiana v. Duke OVER 71.5 |
|
41-44 |
Win
|
100 |
39 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CFB Pinstripe Bowl Power Play* The Duke Blue Devils offense was up and down this year, but Duke plays at the ninth fastest tempo of anyone in the country. Indiana plays at the single fastest tempo of anyone in the country. There will be a bunch of snaps in this one, and the more snaps there are the more scoring opportunities come up. The Indiana defense is dreadful. How bad are they? Indiana's pass defense ranks dead last in the country. Opponents are throwing for more than 326 yards per game against them. Duke's passing game should look a lot better than usual against this Indiana defense. The Duke defense will be without star safety Jeremy Cash. Cash is the team's best defensive player, and he's a big loss. Indiana's offense is one of the most balanced in the country, and star running back Jordan Howard returning from an injury, Indiana is going to be even more dangerous. The over is 38-15-1 in Indiana's last 54 games. Take the over.
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12-26-15 |
Miami (Fla) v. Washington State OVER 61.5 |
|
14-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
84 h 41 m |
Show
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*4 Star CFB Sun Bowl SMASHER* This is a matchup of two very good quarterbacks. I'm high on both Brad Kaaya and Luke Falk. They play in different systems, but both guys have done a really nice job progressing over the course of their careers. Miami's offense has been pretty good since their blowout loss to Clemson. The Hurricanes finished the season strong, and they have a speed advantage on the outside here. Washington State's secondary should have trouble staying with these wideouts. Washington State's offense has all sorts of playmakers at the wide receiver spots. Luke Falk is the perfect quarterback for Mike Leach's system. Falk spreads the ball around and doesn't lock in on any one guy. The Cougars always like to play quickly in the Leach offense, and that won't change here. Washington State's defense has certainly improved this year, but I'm still not convinced they are good. Miami's defense will be without two starters who were suspended for this game. Both offenses have a lot of big play ability. Take the over.
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12-26-15 |
Connecticut v. Marshall UNDER 45 |
|
10-16 |
Win
|
100 |
80 h 26 m |
Show
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*4 Star CFB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Marshall Thundering Herd were a high powered offense in the past, but they aren't that anymore. Marshall took a huge step backward when Rakeem Cato graduated. Marshall ranks 64th in the nation in total offense. I think the perception is still out there that Marshall is a good offense because of what they did in the past, and that gives us value on the under. UConn's defense has gotten so much better under Bob Diaco. The Huskies are giving up only 19.8 points per game. This is a unit that has been consistently very good all season long. Marshall's defense is only allowing 18.4 points per game. I think both offenses will have a difficult time getting things going in this one. The under is 5-0 in UConn's last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 non-conference games. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss by 20 points or more. A 31-0 angle. Take the under.
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12-25-15 |
Bulls v. Thunder UNDER 204.5 |
|
105-96 |
Win
|
100 |
25 h 6 m |
Show
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*4 Star NBA Christmas 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oklahoma City Thunder have been a great under team of late. That's primarily because the Thunder have really buckled down on defense and they have some very high posted totals. All throughout the season, the Chicago Bulls have been a good under play because the offense hasn't been efficient at all. Chicago ranks 27th in the NBA in offensive efficiency. They are only ahead of Brooklyn, the Lakers, and the 76ers in that statistic. That's some bad company right there. Earlier this year when these two met the game finished at 202. This game is played in the afternoon on Christmas Day, and we've seen afternoon Christmas Day games go under the total at a pretty good clip in the past. It makes sense because the players want to get home. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. the NBA Northwest. The under is 7-0 in OKC's last 7 home games. The under is 5-0 in the Thunder's last 5 games on one day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Thunder's last 4 Friday games. The under is 9-0 in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more last game. A 29-0 angle. Take the under.
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12-23-15 |
Oklahoma v. Hawaii OVER 148.5 |
Top |
84-81 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
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*5 Star College Hoops TOP Play of the Week* The Oklahoma Sooners are always anxious to run the floor. They'll get plenty of chances to do exactly that tonight against a Hawaii team that uses full court pressure and runs as much as possible. Oklahoma has one of the nation's best players in Buddy Hield. He is shooting better than 50% from long range, and Hawaii doesn't have anyone who matches up well with him. Oklahoma's depth is impressive, and that is why they can continually push the tempo. Hawaii fouls a lot, and Oklahoma is a good free throw shooting team. Hawaii and Oklahoma are both teams that get a lot of second chance points. I had this game at 155 points. Take the over! TOP Rated Play- College Hoops Game of the Week
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12-23-15 |
Wisc-Milwaukee v. Minnesota OVER 142.5 |
|
74-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 54 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Over* This is a matchup that should be pretty close. Milwaukee has some nice wins so far this year, and Minnesota is usually good at home. I expect this to be a game where we see a lot of free throws at the end because of the close nature of the game. Minnesota has played a much faster tempo at home this year, and Milwaukee shouldn't slow the game down. Take the over here.
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12-23-15 |
TCU v. Bradley OVER 127.5 |
|
53-49 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Over* This is an ugly pick to make, but I have to do it. Bradley has an awful offense, but their tempo has picked up of late. TCU is playing far faster than they have in recent years. TCU also gets to the line at a very impressive rate. Bradley and TCU both foul a bunch, and with the new rule changes and a lot of foul shots, I have to take the over despite Bradley's inefficient offense. I think this one gets into the 130's. Take the over.
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12-23-15 |
Mavs v. Nets UNDER 199 |
|
119-118 |
Loss |
-106 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
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*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The posted total here was 199.5 and has dropped to 199 or 198.5 at some books. That is despite the fact that the public is betting heavily on the over. That's a nice setup for an under bet. Dallas has improved defensively this year, and Brooklyn is a much better defensive team on their home floor. I don't see either team being anxious to push the pace in their last game before their Christmas break. Look for both teams to be ready to head home and see their families. Lower second halves are common in this spot. The under is 4-1 in the Nets last 5 home games. Take the under.
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12-23-15 |
Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 196.5 |
|
84-91 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
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*3 Star NBA 100% Angle CRUSHER* Carmelo Anthony is questionable here. He will likely try to play, but he won't be 100 percent here. New York started the season out trying to play faster, but the Knicks have slowed down in a big way in the past month. In the past month, they rank in the bottom five in the NBA in pace. For the year as a whole, Cleveland ranks 28th out of 30 teams in pace. The Cavs defense has been very good in the past month as well. The last 5 meetings between these two have gone well under this posted total. Tomorrow is the Christmas break for the Cavs and the Knicks have two days off. In these spots it is common to see the under have more value because teams are ready to go home to their family. I often see low scoring second halves in these spots. The under is 4-0 in the Knicks last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in the Cavs last 7 vs. the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 after scoring 100 points or more. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these two. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.
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12-23-15 |
New Mexico v. BYU OVER 158 |
|
66-96 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
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12-22-15 |
Oklahoma v. Washington State OVER 150.5 |
|
88-60 |
Loss |
-105 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
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*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Washington State Cougars haven't played anyone good this year, but that ends tonight. Washington State's defensive numbers actually look pretty good, but I don't think they will after this night is over. Oklahoma has consistently shredded up good defenses this year. The Sooners have all kinds of scoring options. They shoot 48% from long range, and Washington State isn't going to be able to keep up. Still, the pace of this game should be so quick that Washington State will score plenty here too. Both of these teams love to run and force the issues. Look for this game to get to 155 points or more. Take the over.
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12-22-15 |
Norfolk State v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 138 |
Top |
62-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 40 m |
Show
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*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total SMASHER* The Norfolk State Spartans rank 323rd in the nation in pace. UC Irvine ranks 296th. This is a game that should be played at a very slow tempo. The Anteaters have one of the best defenses Norfolk State will play all season. With 7'6 center Mamadou N'Diaye in the middle of the paint clogging things up, I don't think Norfolk State will get to the hoop or the free throw line nearly as much as they usually do. UC Irvine has shown over time that when they grab the lead they are good at taking the air out of the ball and using up the clock. The Anteaters should win this one and keep this under the posted total. I had this one at 133 points. Take the under. TOP Rated Play
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12-22-15 |
California v. Virginia UNDER 134.5 |
|
62-63 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Cal/Virginia Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears have been up and down this year. Cal has a 72-58 loss against San Diego State. They also have a nice 63-59 win over St. Mary's. Cal is too reliant on one on one play in my opinion. The Golden Bears aren't likely to be able to have too much success against a defense as good as Virginia. The Cavs have consistently been one of the best defenses in the country with Tony Bennett as their coach. Cal has been slowing the game down of late, and Virginia ranks 348th in tempo out of 351 teams in the country. I think Virginia wins with strong defense. Take the under.
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12-22-15 |
Nevada v. Wichita State UNDER 133 |
|
69-98 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 14 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Under* A.J. West quit the Nevada basketball team recently, and he was considered the team's best player before the season. West will definitely be missed on the offensive end. Wichita State's defense has been elite for the last few years, and they should be elite again this year. The Shockers are slowing down the tempo more than ever this year. I think Wichita State grabs the lead and then slows the game down as they control the tempo. Take the under.
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12-22-15 |
SE Missouri State v. Missouri State OVER 139.5 |
|
78-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Over* SE Missouri State is pushing the tempo bigtime, but they are an awful team. Missouri State's shooting numbers have been good of late, and I think they can shoot it well against a really bad defense like SEMO State. The tempo of this game should be quick enough to get it into the 140's. I see this is a value play on the over.
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12-22-15 |
Houston v. Wyoming UNDER 143 |
|
94-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
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*3 Star Play Under* The Wyoming Cowboys allowed the Marshall Thundering Herd to play at their pace last night, and Wyoming lost in ugly fashion. Wyoming is at their best when they are stalling and making it a race to 65 points. Houston hasn't been playing very fast, and Rob Gray (leading scorer for Houston) has been injured, so the Cougars offense isn't as potent as Marshall's was. Look for Wyoming to change the way they play tonight and get back to their normal tendencies. Take the under.
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