*4 Star Play Over* The George Mason Colonials and St. Louis Billikens are two similar teams. Both of these teams have decided to speed up their pace of play throughout the year. That has shown through in the first two meetings between these teams going far above the posted total. This is a neutral site, but the Barclays Center isn't noted as a particularly bad arena for shooters. The pace should be enough in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Panthers and Syracuse Orange meet in the noon eastern game in the ACC Tournament on Wednesday. Pittsburgh and Syracuse played twice in the regular season and those games finished at 133 and 118 points. The Panthers have slowed down their tempo more and more as the season has moved along. Syracuse plays relatively slow on offense, and their patented zone defense slows down the opposing offense a great deal. 

In these conference tournaments on a neutral floor the scoring is usually a little bit lower. This is a new gym to these teams, and that's important here as well. Take the under. 

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Arkansas Pine Bluff and Alabama A&M meet tonight in the SWAC Conference Tournament. This game will be played in Houston at the Toyota Center. Safe to say that almost no one will be there for this game. Tons of empty seats. These teams are not accustomed to playing in a huge venue like this, and that usually hurts shooting percentages a lot. Arkansas Pine Bluff has been stalling a lot of late, with 3 of their last 5 games having a pace of 59 possessions or fewer. Take the under here. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The St. Mary's Gaels use 20.5 seconds of the 30 second shot clock on an average possession. That makes them one of the six slowest teams in the nation out of 351 teams. St. Mary's definitely likes to slow the game down and win with ball control and defense.

Pepperdine has taken down St. Mary's twice this year, partially because they defend the 3 point line so well. St. Mary's is reliant on long range shooting. With this game being played on a neutral floor in a large arena, it makes things a little bit tougher on the shooters. That combined with the slow pace and two strong defenses should make this a low scoring contest.

The first two meetings between these teams finished at 131 and 132 points. In a game that means so much to both teams, I expect a slower tempo. I had this one at 129. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* New Hampshire isn't a good offensive team, but they are a solid defense. Both of these teams prefer to play at a relatively slow tempo. The first two meetings between these teams both stayed below this posted total. I don't see a reason for the number in a conference tournament game where the loser has their season ended to be higher than the first two games were. Take the under. 

*4 Star Monday's NBA BEST Bet* The Charlotte Hornets host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday night. Minnesota's defense has been awful in the last few weeks. How bad has it been? Since the All Star Break, Minnesota hasn't given up less than 103 points in a single game. They have given up 114 points or more in 4 of their last 6 games overall.

Minnesota plays 2.5 possessions per game quicker on the road, and Charlotte is playing about a possession per game faster at home than they are on the road. This sets up as a nice high scoring game where Charlotte puts up a big number on an awful defense. Minnesota clearly has the offensive weapons to score plenty too.

The over is 21-6-1 in Minnesota's last 28 road games. The over is 11-1 in their last 12 following a win. Take the over. 

*3 Star 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Wisconsin Badgers defense has been amazing in the last month. Wisconsin is playing so much better than they did earlier this year. They have slowed the pace down even more and worked even harder on defense, and it's paying off in a big way. Speeding up Wisconsin is an extremely difficult thing to do. Purdue's defense is very good as well, and the first game between these two was 61-55. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have gone under the total. I look for a close low scoring contest.

The under is 7-0 in Wisconsin's last 7. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a 60% win percentage or higher. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. A 20-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The North Dakota State Bison have been the best defensive team in the Summit League all year long. North Dakota State also does a terrific job controlling the pace of the game by slowing things down and turning it into a halfcourt game. IUPUI is a team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent. 

This game is played on a neutral court where shooting percentages have typically been lower than average.

The under is 13-3 in ND State's last 16 following a loss. The under is 18-6 in their last 24 neutral site games. The under is 13-3 in IUPUI's last 16 neutral site games. A 44-12 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The SMU Mustangs are playing for the AAC title here, and this will be their final game of the season since they are ineligible for postseason play. Cincinnati needs a marquee win here to bounce back from a very disappointing loss at Houston last game. Both teams will be highly motivated for this one.

The first game between these two was 59-57 at SMU. Cincinnati ranks first in the country in two point field goal percentage defense. SMU takes a bunch of shots inside the paint, and they always find it hard to score against this UC defense. SMU scored only 54 and 50 in two games against UC last year.

Both teams like to slow down the pace. I had this one at 129. The under is 73-32 in Cincinnati's last 105 home games. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The San Diego State Aztecs have the second best defense in the country in terms of efficiency. San Diego State held UNLV to 52 points on the road earlier this year. While UNLV definitely likes to play fast, they are badly banged up right now and they aren't efficient on offense. The UNLV defense is underrated, and San Diego State isn't a good shooting team. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The St. Mary's Gaels are excellent at slowing the game down when they have the lead. I fully expect them to grab the lead here and then work to slow the game down. This game is played in Las Vegas at Orleans Arena. This is a much bigger facility than these two teams generally play in, which tends to hurt shooting percentages a bit. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Utah Utes and Colorado Buffaloes played to a 56-54 final earlier this year. This one probably won't be that low, but I do think it stays under this total. Colorado has been struggling on offense, and the Buffaloes aren't playing as quickly of late. Utah has slowed their tempo drastically in Pac 12 play. Utah is in a must win spot here and playing their final home game. Utah should grab the lead and then dictate the pace of the game. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Pepperdine Waves and San Francisco Dons played twice during the regular season. One of the games finished at 182 points and the other finished at 154 points. San Francisco has done a great job of forcing the tempo in the second half of the season. Pepperdine's defense hasn't been nearly as good as it was last year. This number is a little lower because this game is played on a neutral floor, but I think the adjustment has been too big here. I had this one at 151. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* These two teams are the worst teams in the Ivy League. They are also the fastest paced teams. The tempo here should be blazing fast as neither team plays any defense. The first game got to 166 as both teams scored like crazy in the second half. With neither team having anything to play for, I think this really helps the over. I had this one at 159. The over is 25-8 in Brown's last 33 Ivy League games. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* For the year as a whole playing unders on College of Charleston games has been great to me. I have narrowly lost the last two C of C under plays (including last night), but for the year I am 8-2 on C of C under plays. I played the under both times in C of C's regular season matchups against UNC Wilmington and won in both. UNC Wilmington is the better team here, but the Seahawks haven't been able to push the pace against C of C in the past, and I don't think they can here either. Both teams are better on defense than offense, and this is played at a neutral site with a bad shooting backdrop. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play Total of the Week* The Virginia Tech Hokies went to Miami a couple weeks ago and lost 65-49. Miami slowed the tempo down and shut down this Hokies offense. 

Miami's pace has slowed drastically throughout the course of the season. Virginia Tech has also slowed down their tempo in a big way in ACC play. This game should be played at a tempo in the 63 or 64 possessions range. At that pace, this is a very high posted total.

Miami doesn't foul much at all, and that's where Virginia Tech gets most of their offense. Virginia Tech's defense has been much better at home this year. 

The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the under big. TOP RATED Play. 

*3 Star Play Over* The USC Trojans love to push the tempo. Oregon likes to run when they get their chance, and they'll have plenty of transition opportunities here. The first game between these two hit 170 points. USC got their offense on track last game at home against Oregon State. The Ducks have proven they can put up big numbers away from home also. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Horizon League Tournament is being played at Joe Louis Arena this year. That's where the Detroit Red Wings play hockey. This arena setup should be really difficult for shooters. It's the first time either of these teams has ever played at this arena. 

The regular season meetings between these two finished at 143 and 146 points. Conference tournaments are usually played at a slightly slower pace because it is a win or go home situation. In this one we should get the slower pace, and I suspect the shooting numbers will be down from season averages as well. Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The College of Charleston has been excellent to me this year as an under team. They went over in their last game for the first time in the last nine games. Each of the first two meetings between C of C and Delaware stayed safely under this total. 

Delaware is a poor team that generally plays sloppy games. C of C is a great defensive team that slows the game down. 

The under is 41-17 in C of C's last 58 games overall.

This game is played at Royal Farms Arena, which is known as a tough gym for shooters. I had this number at 123 points. Take the under. 

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves defense has been downright awful of late. They haven't allowed less than 102 points in a single game since January. Minnesota plays at a much faster tempo on the road, and the over is 20-8-2 in their road games this year. 

Milwaukee and Minnesota both rank near the bottom of the league in defensive efficiency. This should be a game with a lot of easy looks for both teams. Look for a shootout in Milwaukee tonight. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Buffalo Bulls play faster than any other team in the MAC. Bowling Green's defense has been really bad in the past month. Both of these teams get to the free throw line often, and that should be important in this game. 

The first meeting between these two was 88-74, so it sailed over the total easily. While this one might not be that high, I do like the value here. I had this number at 151 points. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UC Irvine Anteaters defense is one of the best in the Big West. They are fully capable of shutting down the opposition for long stretches. Cal Poly toyed with playing quicker this year, but the Mustangs have definitely slowed their tempo down over the second half of the season. 

The first game between these two was one that was staying well under the posted total until a late 3 put the game into overtime. These two have a long history of low scoring meetings. The under is 54-26-1 in Irvine's last 81 games. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Weber State Wildcats are without star big man Joel Bolomboy. Without him, both of their games have gone under the total. Idaho and Weber State are the two best defenses in the Big Sky at this point in the season. Idaho loves to slow the game down and win with defense. It's hard to imagine either team getting on a big scoring streak here. I had this one at 126 points. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* Nashville Municipal Auditorium is a terrible backdrop for shooters. The first meeting between these two games stayed well under the posted total. This game means a lot to both teams and the tempo should be very slow. I expect this one to be around the 60 possession mark, which makes this total a few points too high. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The first meeting between these two finished at 129 despite Cincinnati shooting far better than they normally do. The tempo is very slow when these two teams meet. Houston's offense is normally very good, but this Bearcats defense has been playing great lately. Both teams are playing for seeding in the conference tournament, and this should be a good game. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Troy Trojans have drastically slowed down their pace of play throughout the season. They were pushing the tempo early in the year, but they have been trying to stall games out lately. They won't have to try very hard to stall against Texas State, who plays at the slowest pace of any team in the Sun Belt. 

The first meeting between these two finished at 123 points with pretty average shooting numbers. The under is 10-1 in Troy's last 11 games. The under is 4-0 in their last road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The North Texas Mean Green and Old Dominion Monarchs played earlier this year and the final was 67-47. North Texas prefers to play quickly, but they don't have a good enough team to force the tempo of the game against a great defense like Old Dominion. I think ODU controls the pace here and without rare great shooting numbers, this one stays under. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* American plays at the single slowest tempo of any team in the country. The first two games between these two teams both went under this total and now we have their tournament game which means even more. That usually slows the tempo down even more. American averages shooting the ball with 8.5 seconds on the clock, so the tempo alone is enough for me to like the under. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Marshall Thundering Herd are among the very best teams in the country at forcing the tempo of the game. Louisiana Tech has shown no signs in the past of being a team that would want to slow the game down. Marshall's offense has been tremendous on their home floor, and the Thundering Herd are averaging 85 points per game on the year. Playing against another team that pushes tempo should make this one be played at a break neck pace. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Murray State Racers and Eastern Illinois Panthers meet in a OVC Tournament game in Nashville tonight. This game is being played at Nashville Municipal Auditorium where the shooting backdrop is among the worst in college basketball. Unders have been great in the OVC Tournament in the past. I was hoping for a higher number than this, but with two teams who don't push the pace and a bad shooter's gym, I'm taking the under as a 3 star rated play. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Boise State Broncos best player is James Webb. He is listed as questionable for this game. Nevada's best player is Marqueze Coleman and he is listed as doubtful for this one. 

In the first meeting between these two, the final was 74-67 despite everyone being healthy. Nevada loves to play quickly, but their offense shoots a really bad percentage and their defense is excellent.

Nevada has only seen one of their last 7 games go over the total without overtime. Good value here. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The first two meetings between these teams finished well under this total at 101 and 114 points. Binghamton has one of the worst offenses in the country. They also move very slowly. Both of these teams are actually quite good on the defensive end. Without these teams shooting a much higher percentage than normal, I think it's unlikely this one gets to the posted total. In a conference tournament game where more is on the line, I like the value here. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Michigan State Spartans are a well-oiled machine right now. Rutgers is the worst team the Big Ten has seen in many years. Michigan State should thump Rutgers here. This Rutgers defense is giving up 1.21 points per possession in the Big Ten, which is just ridiculous. Michigan State's offense is the most efficient in the Big Ten. The Spartans put up 96 points on Rutgers in the first meeting.

Rutgers' offense gets a big boost tonight when star freshman Corey Sanders returns to the lineup. He's the best player on the team by a wide margin.

The pace should be plenty quick enough. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* NJIT and Stetson played two games that finished under this posted total during the regular season. In general, conference tournament games are slightly lower scoring because the pace slows down when the game means more. This game means a bunch to both teams since they are going home for the season if they lose. I think this one should stay around 150. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Eastern Michigan Eagles and Northern Illinois Huskies got to 143 in their first meeting despite playing slower than expected and shooting slightly worse than their season averages. If things normalize in this game, I think a game up around 150 is likely. Both teams make a living at the line, and both teams foul a bunch. Expect trips to the charity stripe to push this one over the total. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Virginia Tech has had a difficult time speeding up the tempo against some of their recent opponents, but that won't be the case here against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons aren't a good team, but they are always looking to play fast. The first meeting between these two teams went to 184 points. Look for this one to get at least into the mid 150's. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The first meeting between these two was 103-95. This one won't be like that one, but I still like it to go over the posted total. Belmont is locked in as the top seed in the OVC Tournament, and there's no reason for them to be too terribly interested in this game. That usually means less defense and a lot of scoring. 

Belmont always loves to push the tempo and Tennessee State has gradually played much quicker throughout the course of the season. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Wisconsin Green Bay Phoenix shoot the ball quicker than any other team in the country. They only use 13.3 seconds on average of the 30 second shot clock. Green Bay is going to try to push the tempo in every game they play.

Valparaiso is one of the best mid-majors in the country. The Crusaders have an excellent defense, but I don't see them being too interested in this game. Valpo has clinched the top seed in the Horizon League Tournament, and that one gets underway this coming week. The Crusaders are more likely to get into a fast paced battle with Green Bay than they normally would have been.

Add to that the fact that Valpo's offense has been much better this year, and I think we have a total that is several points too low. I had this number at 155 points. Take the over. 

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Totals CRUSHER* The UConn Huskies have the best defense in the American Athletic Conference. Their defense is much better than the second best defense in the league. Houston has been lighting up most of the defenses in this conference, but I don't expect them to do that to UConn.

Looking back, Houston has struggled on offense against both Cincinnati and Tulsa on the road. Interestingly, Cincinnati has the 2nd ranked defense in the AAC and Tulsa has the 3rd ranked defense. Now, Houston goes on the road to take on the top ranked defense of the Huskies. Additionally, Houston scored only 57 points at home against UConn earlier this year.

Both of these teams slow the game down a lot. The tempo here should be very slow. I think this total is 5 or 6 points too high. Take the under. TOP RATED Play. 

*3 Star Play Over* This one plays into a system that has done well in recent years for me. These are two teams with almost nothing to play for in the regular season finale. That generally means higher scoring. Mercer's defense has been awful in the last few games. The normally good defense of the Bears has allowed 79, 85, 72, 77, and 91 points in their last five games. Most of those haven't even had a fast pace either. UNC Greensboro has been very efficient on offense down the stretch. Neither defense is good. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The first game between these two teams went to 172 points and this one should be very similar. Both of these teams are excellent on the offensive end and they are great at getting to the line and converting. Both shoot about 75 percent from the stripe. Eastern Kentucky is a very fast paced team, and Tennessee Tech will run with them. I had this one at 169 points. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* This game will decide the Big Sky Conference title. Weber State and Montana are the two best defensive teams in the Big Sky. Joel Bolomboy is out for this game for Weber State and that should hurt them on both ends of the floor. I think the defenses will be ready here and the tempo will be slow because of the importance of the game. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Utah State Aggies and San Jose State Spartans both prefer to play at a slow tempo when they can. San Jose State has slowed down drastically in recent weeks and the Spartans offense is very inefficient. Utah State has a great home court advantage, and most road teams shoot a poor percentage when playing there. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* These two teams are two of the faster paced teams in the MVC. Most teams in this league slow the game down, but these are two that like to play quickly when they can. The first game between these two went to 145 points and with this being their last game of the regular season I see this one being played at a slightly faster pace with neither side being too interested defensively. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* Here's a game that means little to either team with the conference tourney starting up in the middle of the week. Both teams prefer to play quickly and have next to no defense. Austin Peay should put up a big number against this hapless SEMO State defense. The pace should be enough to get this one above 150. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Rice Owls played to a 168 final in their first meeting this year. The pace in that game was very fast (77 possessions). Rice is one of the worst defenses in the country, and LA Tech's offense should get easy transition looks. Both of these teams get to the line a bunch and that's a big help also. I had this one at 162. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Charlotte 49ers have shot the ball extremely well this year. Charlotte has put up more than 100 points in their last 3 home games. UTEP is one of the fastest paced teams in Conference USA, and the Miners have been much better offensively late in the year than earlier. This line dipped just enough for this to be a play. With a 6 point spread- a foul fest late is certainly a possibility. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Boise State Broncos are likely to be without James Webb in this game. He's a do everything type of player, and they will badly miss him in this game. Webb injured his knee late in the team's win over UNLV. Boise State's offense struggled badly at home against this SD State defense, and there is no reason to expect them to be good without Webb and on the road. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Duquesne Dukes definitely know how to push the tempo. Duquesne is a high scoring team who doesn't play much defense. Richmond has picked up their pace a great deal this year, and I think this should be a competitive game. Both teams have the ability to score in bunches. Duquesne often shoots excellent percentages on their home floor, and Richmond's offense is very efficient. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The under is 41-16 in C of C's last 57 games. The under is 8-0 in their 8 vs. a team with a winning record. Hofstra has plenty to play for here with the CAA title on the line for them, so expect them to be working hard on the defensive end as well. A low scoring game. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Ohio Bobcats like to play quickly when they get the chance and Buffalo will give them the chance here. Buffalo plays at the quickest pace of any team in the MAC. The first game between these two finished at 169 points. I think this one reaches 160. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* Two of the very worst defenses in the country. In fact, both of these defenses rank in the bottom 5 teams out of 351 in the country in defensive efficiency. Yuck. While neither offense is particularly strong, they should look better when up against these defenses. Take the over here. 

*4 Star Play Over* The first meeting between these two went to 160 points. Neither team here has anything to play for and more often than not that means a higher scoring game because neither team works hard on defense. I think both of these offenses will be efficient in this game. I had this one at 149. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Miami Hurricanes have gone back to slowing the tempo down of late, and they have been playing quite well. Louisville has the number one ranked defense in terms of efficiency in the entire country. These two have played some very low scoring games in the past couple years. I think this should be a close game where both teams value each possession quite a bit. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* In doing my preparation for the card I always have several games I have highlighted as likely plays. This was not one of them. Having said that, I simply can't pass up this kind of number on an over in today's game. Neither of these teams has much of anything to play for here. The conference tournament starts next week. Final regular season game for both teams. Cleveland State has a terrible defense. In today's college basketball environment, this number is just too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Georgetown Hoyas and Butler Bulldogs both shot the ball incredibly well in the first meeting between these two teams. It's unlikely these teams will shoot the ball as well as they did in that game. Butler and Georgetown have both been slowing the tempo down when they can in the Big East. These two would prefer to play a halfcourt type of game, and that's what I expect here. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* Fort Wayne has been the most consistent offense in the Summit League. They have four guys who are tremendous long range shooters. The Mastadons torched this Western Illinois defense the first time they played, and I see no reason to expect anything different in this one. Western Illinois' defense is awful against the three-ball, and that is the specialty of Fort Wayne's offense. An elite offense and a bad defense should equal plenty of scoring. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* I thought this line would rise, and it has, so I'm grabbing the under. Arizona State is a 12 point dog here, and I think Utah will win comfortably here. Utah is slowing the tempo down more than any other team in the Pac 12 right now. The Utes are good at taking the air out of the ball when they have a significant lead. Arizona State's offensive efficiency numbers are much worse away from home. 

Against two speed demons in UCLA and USC, Utah slowed the tempo down to 66 and 64 possessions. They should slow this one down enough as well. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* These are two very good defenses. Arkansas Little Rock is the best team in the conference and it starts with defense. Little Rock has been excellent at slowing down the tempo of the game and I look for them to do a good job controlling the pace on their home floor here. UT Arlington tries to run, but they are without their best scorer and could only muster 62 points against Little Rock in the first meeting. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are probably the best team in the Summit League. North Dakota State has been playing without star Paul Miller lately. Miller is listed as questionable for this one. He will likely either miss this game or be far less than 100 percent. Without Miller in the lineup, North Dakota State has been playing much slower. The Bison will try to win with their strong defense here. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Penn State Nittany Lions have been consistently controlling the tempo of the game late in the season. Nebraska tends to play to the pace of their opponent, which should benefit the under in this contest. Penn State's offense isn't good at all but their defense is typically strong at home. The first meeting between these two stayed well under the posted total. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play Under* The College of Charleston Cougars have been a tremendous under team this season. Since their leading scorer went down, the Cougars have slowed the tempo down in a big way. Northeastern is another team who prefers to play at a slow tempo. The first meeting between these two was only 58-58 before overtime. The College of Charleston defense is the best in the conference. Charleston played the fastest paced team in the conference in UNC Wilmington last game. Despite that game going to overtime, the final was 59-55. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under. TOP Rated Play. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Furman Paladins have been a very low scoring team this year. Their offense is much less efficient on the road. Furman and E Tennessee State played a game that finished 74-70 earlier this year, but the offensive efficiency numbers for both teams were far above normal. With a similar pace and lower shooting numbers I see this one staying under the posted total. 

*3 Star Late Night BAILOUT* The Air Force Falcons have picked up some nice wins at home in conference play but this team has been terrible on the road. Fresno State's tempo has slowed considerably in Mountain West play. The Bulldogs are using their strong defense to win games. Look for Fresno State to get an early lead and slow the tempo down late to keep this one under the posted total. Take the under.

*4 Star Play Over* Two really bad defenses and Missouri State prefers to push the tempo. The first game between these two went to 149 despite below average shooting performances. The shooting numbers should improve in this one. Neither team has much to play for, and more often than not that means higher scoring games. Take the over. 

*4 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Golden State Warriors are in the middle of a stretch where they play six games in nine days in three different time zones. Miami knows that if they want a chance to win this game, they have to slow down the pace. While Golden State plays very fast, the Warriors also have an excellent defense. Golden State ranks third in defense efficiency. Miami is sixth in the league in defense efficiency. The under is 5-2 in Golden State's last 7 road games. The under is 5-2 in Miami's last 7 home games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Texas A&M Aggies have turned down the pace a lot in conference play. Texas A&M is winning with defense of late. Mississippi State likes to play relatively quickly, but Texas A&M stalled the game out in the first meeting between these two, and they'll likely do the same here. I like the under even more here because A&M is likely to win this game, and the Aggies have shown a great ability to take the air out of the ball once they build up a good lead. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* These two teams are in for a great game tonight, and I expect both defenses to bring it. Villanova has the best defense in the conference by a wide margin and Xavier's is third in the conference. The Wildcats will slow the tempo down in this one. Take the under here. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Late Night MONEY* The Boise State Broncos have the most efficient offense in the Mountain West. Boise State averages 1.096 points per possession. They also play at the second fastest tempo in the Mountain West. The single fastest team in the Mountain West is UNLV.

The Rebels aren't changing the way they are playing despite a myriad of injuries. In fact, most of their injuries are in the frontcourt, so they are looking to push pace and score with their guards in transition. 

Boise State's James Webb will have a big advantage down low, and the Broncos offense is tremendous at home. UNLV should get transition chances against a Boise State defense that is subpar.

The over is 5-0 in UNLV's last 5 Tuesday games. The over is 5-0 in Boise's last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these two in Boise. A 19-0 angle. I had this number at 155. Take the over. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Tech Red Raiders have shown to be very good at controlling the tempo once they grab a lead. Tubby Smith's team is exceeding all expectations this year, and he deserves a lot of credit for the job he has done here. 

TCU is the bottom of the barrel in the Big 12. They catch people napping sometimes, but the Horned Frogs don't have the talent to compete with the better teams in the league. TCU's offense is averaging less than 0.90 points per possession inside conference play which is terrible. I don't see them putting up many points in this one. 

The under is 4-1 in TCU's last 5 games. I had this one at 130. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Georgia State Panthers have seen 7 of their last 8 games finish at 132 points or less in regulation. Georgia State slows the game down and plays solid defense. They also have a very poor offense. Georgia Southern prefers to play fast, but many teams have been able to slow them down, including Georgia State in the first meeting.

The first game went to only 135 after overtime. At the end of regulation, the score was 55-55. The shooting numbers weren't good, but they also weren't awful. It was a game played in the halfcourt. I think this one stays right around 130. Take the under. 

*4 Star NBA Best Bet of the Day* The Indiana Pacers now rank second in the NBA in defensive efficiency. The Miami Heat are sixth. To get a game between two teams ranked so highly in defense with a total this high is certainly rare. 

The over is 20-8 in the last 28 NBA games, and bettors are blindly betting up the overs and this has given us value here. 

Eric Dalen is one of the refs in this game, and he's one of the best under referees in the game. Dalen is 25-13 to the under this year. The under was 20-11 in his games last year. Two years ago it was 33-26 to the under. Three years ago the under was 33-22 in his games. Clearly a major under referee.

I think this one is several points too high. Take the under. 

*4 Star NBA Total Value Play* The New York Knicks aren't going to play fast under Kurt Rambis. The Toronto Raptors have played slowly all year. In fact, these two teams rank 25th and 26th out of 30 teams in the NBA in terms of pace of play. Toronto's defense is also much improved from last year.

The over has been red hot in the NBA, with the over going 20-8 in the last 28 NBA games played. That has caused this and other NBA totals to shoot upward today. This line is up 4.5 points, and that's just not indicative of what the true line should be. Looks like an overreaction to me.

Take the under. 

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers have been tremendous at controlling the pace for a long time, and they are playing as slow as ever right now. Wisconsin is using up a little more than 21 seconds of the 30 second shot clock in Big Ten play. They are going to dictate the tempo here. Their game at Illinois was 63-55. The Badgers are likely to score more here, but this number is too high.

The under is 38-15 in Illinois' last 53 road games. I had this number at 131. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Houston Cougars are playing at a slow tempo this year. In recent games they have been shooting a ridiculously high percentage from the floor. I expect that number to come down some with a good Temple defense coming to town.

Temple likes to slow the game down, and Temple is out for revenge here after losing 77-50 at home to Houston earlier this year. It will take some good shooting numbers from these teams to eclipse this number. I expect a close game where the defenses are strong. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Brooklyn Nets are abysmal on the defensive end. Brooklyn has been a very good over team at home, because they are much better on offense on their home floor. Charlotte just lost their best defensive player when Kidd-Gilchrist went down for the season. The Hornets offense has been good in recent meetings with Brooklyn.

The over is 19-11 in Brooklyn's 30 games as a home underdog this year. The over is 11-1 in their last 12 home games. The over is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* The San Jose State Spartans have been slowing things down a bunch, especially on their home court. San Diego State always likes to play at a slow tempo. The Aztecs offense isn't good at all. On the defensive side though, San Diego State is one of the best in the country. In the first meeting between these two, both teams shot far better than their averages for the season. Look for those numbers to come down to earth in a very low scoring game. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Missouri State Bears have been playing some higher scoring games of late, which has bumped this total up. Loyola Chicago is great at slowing the game down though, and both of these teams are very poor on offense. The first game between these two finished at 56-54. I had this one at 130. Neither team gets to the line often, and that's a big help. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Hawaii Warriors and UC Irvine Anteaters are the two best teams in this conference in my opinion. They also have the best defenses in the conference. UC Irvine was thumped 74-52 last week in Hawaii, but I expect their defense to be much better tonight. Hawaii made 14 3 pointers in that game last week. Aaron Valdes is Hawaii's second leading scorer and he is questionable with the flu. The defenses should be good enough here. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Long Beach State 49ers are playing way faster than anyone else in the Big West. Long Beach State has several guys who can heat it up from long range. Cal State Fullerton prefers to play quickly, and their defense is awful. I expect Long Beach State to put up a big number and Fullerton to put up enough for the win. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Under* This is a bigtime rivalry game and Montana won the first won 80-72 as both teams shot extremely well from the floor. I expect the defenses to be better in this one and the pace to stay slow. This is a rivalry that has had a bunch of low scoring games in the past few years, and I think this projects as another one of those. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds get back their best player (Kennedy) tonight. He has been suspended the last few games. That's important for the bet as Kennedy is their main man on offense. Southern Utah will push the tempo more with him in the game. Idaho State has a star in Ethan Telfair. Idaho State put up 87 points on Southern Utah the first time around. This S. Utah defense is the worst out of 351 in the country in terms of efficiency. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have been really good on offense inside the Sun Belt. UT Arlington pushes the pace more than any other team in the league. The first game between these two featured great shooting and a 99-88 score. We won't get that again, but I do think the offenses will both have a lot of success. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* In this spot, I'm simply betting a number that I believe is too low. It's not exciting to bet an over with Bradley and their awful offense or with Drake's slow tempo, but there are several signs that point to an over. The Drake defense is so bad that they have made everyone look good. Bradley sends opponents to the line a lot and Drake is shooting 73% there. With today's rules, this is a very low number. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Florida atlantic Owls have picked up their tempo and they are also being much more efficient on offense of late. Accounting for recency, I had this number at 150 points. Both defenses are awful, so I see these teams getting a lot of open looks. Take the over here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The College of Charleston Cougars have played 12 straight games under this total. UNC Wilmington normally pushes the pace, but I don't think C of C lets them do it here. The first game between these two was low the whole way and finished 65-55. I think this one stays below 130 points. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Chattanooga Mocs are the much better team in this game, and their defense should keep this game under. The first meeting was 73-60 at Greensboro. Chattanooga isn't generally the type of team that pushes the tempo when they have the lead. I expect them to grab a lead and then let their defense do the rest of the work. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The first meeting between these two finished well under this total despite going into an extra session. Mercer is without their leading scorer in this one. The Bears have been slowing the pace down even more since they have been without him. East Tennessee State is one of those teams that simply plays to the pace of their opponent. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Cleveland State Vikings and Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers played one of the slowest paced games in the entire season so far earlier this year. It was just 52 possessions. That is extremely slow with the new rule. Many teams are at 70 possessions or higher. The shooting was good in the game, but it stayed under solely because of the ridiculously slow tempo. Since both teams aren't very good on defense, I'm avoiding making this a top rated play, but I do like this one with the tempo numbers in our favor. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The San Francisco Dons have been pushing the pace a bunch of late. They should get the tempo they want in this game. Loyola Marymount has been playing to the pace of their opponent this year. The Lions and Dons met earlier this year in a 87-83 final. I had this number at 157. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* These two teams don't play all that fast, but both of them are poor on defense and good on offense. We should see good shooting numbers from these two squads. The first meeting was 83-76. A big key here is both teams are great at getting to the line and both of them shoot a very good percentage from the stripe. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Villanova Wildcats have been a good under team this year because they are elite defensively and they are slowing the tempo down a lot more than they have in past years. Villanova and Butler played to a 60-55 final earlier this year. While this one shouldn't be that low, I do think this total is too high. The Bulldogs have slowed down drastically in conference play in terms of tempo. These two teams have a long history of playing tight low scoring games. Take the under here. 

*4 Star Play Under* The Georgia State Panthers and Arkansas State Red Wolves played to a 57-57 score at the end of regulation earlier this year. Both teams are solid on defense and neither one is good on the offensive end. The Panthers should control the tempo at home and I had this number at 133. Look for a halfcourt battle. Take the under. 

*3 Star Play Under* The Davidson Wildcats have three key players sick and they are a gametime decision for this game. St. Joe's is excellent on defense and only 2 of their last 14 games have gone over this total. Davidson has been stalling of late, and with one team slowing the game down a lot it is hard to get to 160. Take the under. 

*4 Star Play Over* The Rice Owls have been an over machine of late. Why? Because they play zero defense and they are pushing the pace in a big way. FIU is an efficient offense that should shoot the ball very well in this one. Rice is making everything a high scoring game, and I had this number at 154. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The first time these two met the score was 196 points, and I see another very high scoring game here. The Green Bay Phoenix shoot the ball quicker than any other team in the country. Youngstown State will be glad to play fast as well. Shootout! Take the over here. 

*5 Star NCAA BB TGIF TOP Play SMASHER* The Monmouth Hawks and Iona Gaels played to a 110-102 game in their first meeting. That was no fluke either. The pace of the game calculated to 93 possessions. That's absurdly quick, and I see no reason to believe this one won't be very quick as well.

Monmouth hasn't played a game at less than 71 possessions all month despite playing some teams that try to slow things down. Iona has always been the fastest team in the conference under Coach Tim Cluess. 

I see neither team wanting to change their plans for this game. While Deon Jones is out for this game for Monmouth, he is actually one of the team's best defensive players as well, so his absence isn't likely to hurt scoring overall. 

These teams hate each other, and this is going to be a game where the officials will have a quick whistle. They can't let it get out of hand. Look for a lot of trips to the charity stripe. Monmouth shoots 77.3% from the line. Iona shoots a solid 70.8% from the stripe.

I've had this game circled as one where I would play the over since the first meeting. Take the over big. TOP RATED Play. 

*3 Star Play Over* The Washington Huskies are pushing the pace far more than any other team in the Pac 12. Cal hasn't played anyone this year that runs like Washington does. The Golden Bears have shown the ability to play in the open floor at times, and I think Cal's offense will be very successful here. Cal will get a bunch of second chances on offense because of their edge on the glass. High scoring close game. Take the over. 

*3 Star Play Over* The first meeting between these two was 98-84. While the shooting numbers were good in that one, this posted total is far lower and I see this going over. Pepperdine should light up this awful San Francisco defense. San Francisco has decided to play extremely quickly down the stretch this year, and the Dons should get enough possessions to put up a big enough number. Take the over. 

*4 Star Play Under* The under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams at Cal Poly. The under is 38-17-1 in UC Davis' last 56 road games. UC Davis has an underrated defense, but their offense is just awful. Cal Poly is playing faster than they did in the past, but teams who stall relentlessly have been able to slow down the Mustangs. UC Davis is stalling this year, and the first game was played to a snail's pace of just 59 possessions. Take the under.