02-20-13 |
Wisconsin v. Northwestern UNDER 118 |
|
69-41 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers and Northwestern Wildcats are the two slowest paced teams in the Big Ten. Wisconsin controls the tempo better than anyone else in the country, and they are great at slowing the game down once they get a lead. Northwestern is without two of their top offensive players, and the Wildcats are really struggling to score right now. This game should be played at a crawl. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams at Northwestern. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 games after holding an opponent to 50 points or less. The under is 7-1-1 in Northwestern's last 9 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
Iowa State v. Baylor OVER 146.5 |
|
87-82 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
Bradley v. Drake OVER 142.5 |
|
84-92 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* The majority of the Missouri Valley Conference likes to slow the game down and win with defense. Drake and Bradley are two of the rare teams in the league that actually prefer to run and push the pace. When these two teams get together I expect a high scoring game because of lots of possessions. Earlier this year they stayed well under this total, but their 3 point shooting numbers were terrible. Drake shoots the three extremely well at home, and I look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Mississippi State v. Alabama UNDER 121.5 |
|
56-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
New York Knicks v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 187 |
|
91-125 |
Loss |
-110 |
29 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA, and they also are one of the slowest teams in terms of pace. New York had a spectacular offense early in the year, but they have gotten less efficient as the season has gone along. The Knicks play very slow as well, so when they play good defensive teams they can have some very low scoring contests. Carmelo Anthony and David West are both dinged up. The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 when playing on 3 days of rest or more. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last 7. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning record. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
DePaul v. Georgetown UNDER 138 |
|
66-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
|
02-20-13 |
Providence v. Syracuse UNDER 137 |
|
59-84 |
Loss |
-108 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB ESPN Top Total* The Providence Friars have won four straight games. The Syracuse Orange are tied at the top of the Big East standings. Both of these teams are doing well right now because their defenses are playing so well. Both of these teams have struggled offensively at times, but their defenses have been extremely solid all year. Don't expect to see too many open shots in a game between these two. I had this one projected at 132 points. Take the under here.
|
02-20-13 |
Oakland v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 142 |
|
71-77 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies are better than anyone in the Summit League at pushing the tempo of the game. Oakland has been way ahead of oddsmakers for years when it comes to high scoring games. In fact, the over is a stunning 58-27-1 in their last 86 games overall. Fort Wayne doesn't like to play really fast, but their defense is among the worst in the nation, so Oakland will put up points here. Oakland's defense is even worse, so Fort Wayne should put up way more than their season average. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Furman v. Davidson OVER 134.5 |
|
36-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Davidson Wildcats are definitely the bets team in the Southern Conference. Davidson is amazingly efficient on the offensive end, and Furman has one of the worst defenses in the conference. Interestingly though, Furman has decided to pick up their pace a ton of the last few weeks. Furman's faster pace will be fine with Davidson, and the Wildcats could easily put up a huge number in this one. As the game gets ugly late, Furman should get some easy looks to push this one over. I had 139 points here. Take the over.
|
02-20-13 |
Minnesota v. Ohio State UNDER 126 |
|
45-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Minnesota/Ohio State Total* Ohio State has the athleticism to run, but the Buckeyes have surprisingly decided to slow the game down and try to win in the half court during Big Ten play. Similarly, Minnesota has slowed down in a big way during conference action. Both of these teams play solid defense, but they are short-handed when it comes to offensive options right now. DeShaun Thomas is a great scorer for Ohio State, but no one else is consistently scoring for the Buckeyes. I expect a defensive battle. Take the under.
|
02-20-13 |
James Madison v. Northeastern UNDER 130.5 |
|
64-66 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
02-19-13 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 119 |
|
50-54 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Virginia/Florida Total Domination* The Miami Hurricanes are starting to get quite a few number one votes in the polls. Miami does have a pretty good offense, but the Hurricanes really win with their impressive defense. Virginia is a team that slows the game down to a snail's pace and almost never turns the ball over. Possessions will be at a premium here, and I don't think you'll see many quick shots. The under is 13-5-1 in Miami's last 19 home games. I had this one projected at 112 points. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Northern Iowa v. Missouri State UNDER 116.5 |
|
69-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Northern Iowa Panthers are well-known for their ability to slow the game down to a crawl. Northern Iowa started the year slowly, but they are playing great defense now. Missouri State is one of the worst teams in the league, but they keep games close by taking care of the ball and playing solid defense. The under is 6-0 in Missouri State's last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Northern Iowa's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Texas v. Texas Christian UNDER 114.5 |
|
68-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 12 Total* The Longhorns and Horned Frogs are both terrible on the offensive end, but Texas' defense should be plenty good enough to hold TCU to a very low number here. Take the under.
|
02-19-13 |
Florida State v. NC State OVER 145 |
|
66-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The NC State Wolfpack are one of the most efficient offenses in the land. Florida State has been one of the top defensive teams in the country the last few years, but this team is bad defensively. NC State likes to run, and if Florida State wants to stay in this game they'll have to put up quite a few points. The pace here should mean both teams will get plenty of shots up. I had this one projected at 150 points. Look for this one to go over the posted total.
|
02-18-13 |
Hofstra v. Drexel UNDER 117.5 |
|
54-63 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Drexel Dragons have been a great 'under' team for the last few years. Bruiser Flint's team is never particularly good on the offensive end, but they work hard on defense and are great at controlling the tempo of the game. Hofstra is without three of its best players, and they have been for much of the year. Hofstra's offense is by far and away the worst in the CAA. Hofstra routinely puts up less than 55 points. The first meeting between these two finished at 55-52. I had this one projected at 111. The under is 12-1 in Hofstra's last 13 against the CAA. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in Drexel's last 7 Monday games. Take the under.
|
02-17-13 |
Ohio State v. Wisconsin UNDER 119.5 |
|
49-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ohio State/Wisconsin Total Domination* If you have watched a Wisconsin basketball game in the last few years then you know that they can control the tempo as well as anyone in the nation. Bo Ryan's teams essentially stall on the offensive end and shoot it in the last 10 seconds of the shot clock almost every time. Ohio State has been playing slower in the Big 10 this year. Both of these teams are excellent on the defensive end. Recent history shows us that a game between these two is likely to be a hard fought half court game that stays low scoring. The first meeting between these two ended at 107, and I think a similar number is likely here. The under is 7-1 in Ohio State's last 8 following a win. The under is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these teams. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings at Wisconsin. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 135.5 |
|
67-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Idaho Vandals don't play at a particularly quick tempo, but they do shoot the ball extremely well. They also don't play hardly any defense. Idaho has been an over machine of late. Louisiana Tech plays good defense, but they can also score a bunch of points because of their full court pressure. The first meeting between these teams finished at 138 earlier this year. LA. Tech shot just 40% in that game, and both teams shot it poorly from three-point range. Look for more made threes in this one. The over is 7-0-1 in Idaho's last 8. The over is 4-0-1 in Idaho's last 5 following a loss. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-16-13 |
North Texas v. Troy UNDER 131 |
|
63-61 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
IUPU-Indianapolis v. North Dakota State UNDER 128.5 |
Top |
39-75 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The North Dakota State Bison are one of the top teams in the Summit League, and the primary reason for that is their strong defense. North Dakota State locks opponents down in the half court, and they slow the tempo down in a big way on offense. Taylor Braun, the team's best offensive player, has been out for a while with an injury and his absence really hurts the offense. The first meeting this year finished in a 78-40 North Dakota State win. They likely won't hit 78 again here, but their defense is absolutely capable of keeping IUPUI under 50 again. The under is 14-3 in ND St's last 17 against the Summit league. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. Take the under big!
|
02-16-13 |
Missouri State v. Southern Illinois UNDER 123 |
|
54-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Tennessee Tech v. Morehead State OVER 137 |
|
63-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Morehead State Eagles are one of the fastest paced teams in the Ohio Valley Conference. They force the tempo by pressing and forcing a ton of turnovers. Tennessee Tech also pressed and forces turnovers. Both of these teams have poor ball handlers, so I expect a lot of easy buckets in quick turnovers in this one. Both of these teams do a ton of fouling, so expect a load of trips to the charity stripe in this matchup. I had this projected at 141. Take the over here.
|
02-16-13 |
Oakland v. UMKC OVER 141 |
|
86-74 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies have been one of the best offenses in the Summit League for several years. The offense wasn't quite as good as normal earlier this year, but they have been much better of late. UMKC's defense is the worst in the league, and they have a way of making the opposing offense look very good. The earlier meeting between these teams went well over this total, and I think this one will too. Take the over in this under the radar game.
|
02-16-13 |
Charlotte v. St. Louis UNDER 132 |
|
58-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB A10 Total Takedown* Both Charlotte and St. Louis are very good on the defensive end. These teams are both accustomed to winning games solely because of their defenses. St. Louis is great at slowing the game down and forcing the opposition to play their style, and they are especially good at doing that on their home floor. I had this game projected at 124 points, so I see a lot of value here. Look for the defenses to rule this game. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Texas A&M v. Vanderbilt UNDER 112 |
|
56-63 |
Loss |
-108 |
6 h 0 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan UNDER 124 |
|
58-66 |
Push |
0 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
South Carolina v. Alabama UNDER 121 |
|
58-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide are well-known for their terrific defense. Anthony Grant's team is really getting it after on defense again this year, especially in SEC conference play. South Carolina is dead last in the SEC in offensive efficiency, and they are last by a mile. The Gamecocks have put up less than 50 points two times in the past two weeks. The under is 7-0-1 in the Gamecocks last 8. The under is 9-0 in Alabama's last 9 against the SEC. The under is 4-0 in Bama's last 4 home games. Take the under.
|
02-16-13 |
Georgia Southern v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 124 |
|
60-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 24 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Northern Arizona v. North Dakota OVER 139 |
|
74-72 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 27 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 136.5 |
|
79-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
02-16-13 |
St. Josephs v. La Salle UNDER 134 |
|
64-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Seattle OVER 140 |
|
64-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs and Seattle Redhawks push the pace better than anyone else in the WAC. These teams got to 149 in their first matchup, and I think something similar is likely here. There is just too much pace here for a low scoring game unless both teams shoot it horribly. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Northern Arizona v. No. Colorado OVER 145 |
|
68-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Montana v. Weber State UNDER 135 |
|
63-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* The Big Sky Conference isn't very good, and the main reason for that is virtually no one plays defense. The top two teams in the league are Montana and Weber State, and they both try hard on defense. When these two meet tonight I expect a defensive battle that goes to the wire. Take the under.
|
02-14-13 |
North Texas v. UL - Monroe OVER 131 |
|
73-85 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Louisiana Monroe has completely changed the way they play in the middle of the season this year. The Warhawks went from walking it up the floor to running and trying to outscore their opponent. I'm 6-1 in La. Monroe overs this year, and I'm riding the over again here. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Siena v. Fairfield UNDER 120 |
|
52-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 49 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
UL - Lafayette v. South Alabama OVER 143.5 |
|
64-88 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Sun Belt Total* The two fastest paced teams in the Sun Belt meet in this one. Both of these teams like to press and force the issue on the offensive end. The first meeting between these two went well over this total and I expect this game to as well. I had this one projected at 149 points. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Oakland v. South Dakota OVER 157.5 |
|
76-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies and South Dakota Coyotes are very similar teams. Both of these teams love to push the pace and score in bunches. Both of them also have a horrific defense. Open looks are extremely common against both of these defenses. The first meeting between these two teams went well over this posted total at 97-78 in South Dakota's favor. Oakland is playing much better right now, and it won't surprise me if they put up 90 points on the road tonight. The over is 57-26-1 in Oakland's last 84 games. Take the over.
|
02-14-13 |
Davidson v. Coll Of Charleston UNDER 134 |
|
75-59 |
Push |
0 |
9 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Jacksonville State v. Morehead State OVER 129 |
|
81-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
02-14-13 |
Wisconsin v. Minnesota UNDER 118.5 |
|
53-58 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Wisconsin/Minnesota Total Domination* The Wisconsin Badgers stall and use up the shot clock as well as any major college basketball program in the country. Tubby Smith's Golden Gophers have been playing shockingly slow in Big Ten play this year. Minnesota and Wisconsin played to a 45-44 final earlier this year. This one should be higher than that, but 118.5 is just too high for these two teams. Both defenses should control the game. The under is 4-0 in Minnesota's last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 2-0 in their last 2 meetings. Take the under.
|
02-14-13 |
LSU v. South Carolina OVER 137 |
|
64-46 |
Loss |
-109 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
|
02-13-13 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. Long Beach State OVER 159 |
|
65-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* The Cal State Fullerton Titans are one of the best in the nation at forcing their opponent to play their style of basketball. Fullerton often shoots the ball in the first ten seconds of the shot clock, and their offense is very efficient. They also shoot 79 percent from the free throw line. Long Beach State prefers to run the floor as well, since their half court offense isn't very good. The first meeting between these two finished at only 152, but Fullerton only made 5 out of 24 three-point shots. Expect better shooting here. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
UC Riverside v. Cal Irvine OVER 117.5 |
Top |
48-52 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 33 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Week* The UC Riverside Highlanders had some very low scoring games early in the year, and the oddsmakers continue to line their games too low because of that. Lately, Riverside has been getting the ball inside and scoring quite a bit more. In addition, they have picked up their tempo. UC Irvine has several guys who can put up 15 or 20 points. The first meeting finished at 126 points, and the shooting numbers were pretty poor. I think there is a good chance this one goes well over this posted total. The over is 26-8-1 in Irvine's last 35 following an ATS loss. The over is 7-2 in Riverside's last 9. Take the over big!
|
02-13-13 |
Evansville v. Southern Illinois OVER 124.5 |
|
56-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Over* Evansville and Southern Illinois have two of the worst defenses in the Missouri Valley Conference. While most teams in this conference would prefer to win with their strong defense, these two teams have to win by outscoring the opponent. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 153. While I don't think we'll see that, I do think this tops 130. Take the over in this one. *The line is moving quickly here. This one is a play for me all the way up to 130 points.*
|
02-13-13 |
Arizona St v. Utah UNDER 132 |
|
55-60 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star PAC 12 Total* Arizona State has sped up their pace a decent amount this year, but when their opponent is a slow it down type of game the Sun Devils can't force the issue. Utah is absolutely a defensive-minded team that will do their best to slow the game down. The under is 8-3 in Arizona State's last 11 road games. The under is 7-2 in Utah's last 9 home games. Take the under here. The line is moving quickly on this one. I would play this one all the way down to under 127 points.
|
02-13-13 |
Missouri v. Mississippi State OVER 143 |
|
78-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB SEC Total* The Missouri Tigers offense is clicking in a big way again now that Bowers is back in the lineup healthy. Mississippi State has arguably the worst defense in the SEC, but they love to run and push the tempo. Missouri is the best offensive rebounding team in the conference, and Mississippi State is the worst rebounding team in the conference. Missouri should put up points in bunches here, and Mississippi State has been scoring quite a few points at home. This one should go well over the total. The over is 5-1 in Miss State's last 6. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
Western Michigan v. Bowling Green UNDER 124.5 |
|
60-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Under 124.5* Bowling Green is one of the best teams in the Mid American Conference at slowing the game down. Western Michigan doesn't play particularly slow, but the Broncos do play very good defense. In fact, the Broncos have the top defense in the MAC. The under is 12-3 in the Falcons last 15 home games. I had this one projected at 120 points. Both defenses should slow down the offenses nicely here. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under.
|
02-13-13 |
Ohio v. Central Michigan OVER 144 |
|
82-63 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ohio Bobcats have the best offense in the MAC. They also play faster than any other team in the conference. Central Michigan's defense is terrible, but their offense is improving. This is the type of game where Ohio could certainly put up 85 or 90 points if they keep pushing it. Central Michigan shoots the three ball well at home, and the Chippewas should be able to put up plenty to push this one over the posted total. I think this has a good chance of reaching 150. Take the over.
|
02-13-13 |
Miami Ohio v. Kent State OVER 139 |
|
70-87 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes have one of the best scorers in the conference in forward Chris Evans. Their simply isn't anyone on Miami's roster that can slow him down. At the same time, Miami should be able to put up plenty of points against a Kent State defense that has been disappointing all year. Both of these teams like to run and get easy looks in transition. I had this one projected at 143 points. The over is 4-0 in Kent's last 4. The over is 4-0 in Kent's last 4 Wednesday games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 MAC games. The over is also 3-0-1 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. Take the over.
|
02-11-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 195 |
|
102-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
30 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team with John Wall in the backcourt. Wall is one of the fastest guards in the NBA, and he leads the Wizards to a lot of fastbreak points. Milwaukee has really picked up the tempo since Jim Boylan took over as head coach. The Bucks have Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings running the break in the backcourt. The quickness of these teams should lead to a lot of fastbreak baskets. The over is 4-1 in the Bucks last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in the Bucks last 7 following a 100 point output in the previous game. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
02-11-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 183.5 |
|
89-84 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Brooklyn Nets play at a slower pace than any other team in the NBA. Indiana is in the bottom five in terms of pace in the league. Indiana leads the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The first meeting this year was lined at 181 points. This one being lined 2.5 points higher doesn't make much sense to me. The winning team here could easily top out at around 90 points. The under is 4-0 in the Nets last 4 Monday games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 against the Eastern Conference. Take the under.
|
02-11-13 |
Boston Celtics v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 193.5 |
|
91-94 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics are coming off a double overtime win over the Denver Nuggets last night. Charlotte is the worst team in the NBA by quite a bit right now. Boston won't have much energy here, but that doesn't necessarily mean they won't cover against such a hapless team. What I do think it means is Boston won't be in any hurry to push the tempo with tired legs. Charlotte has been playing a little more defense of late as well. The under is 6-0 in the Bobcats last 6 Monday games. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Atlantic Division. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of less than 40%. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
02-10-13 |
UL - Monroe v. UL - Lafayette OVER 137 |
|
66-90 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* Louisiana Monroe has been one of my favorite 'over' teams of late. Monroe used to be a slow it down type of team, but they have suddenly turned into a team that likes to run over the last month or two. Louisiana Lafayette is the fastest paced team in the Sun Belt, so they'll be thrilled to run and gun with Monroe here. The posted total is set this low because of Monroe's past, which allows us to get a very nice value here. The over is 4-0 in Monroe's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Lafayette. Take the over.
|
02-10-13 |
Drake v. Evansville OVER 143.5 |
|
78-84 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* In the Missouri Valley Conference most teams like to slow the game down and win with defense. Drake is the fastest paced team in the conference, and the Bulldogs play virtually zero defense. Evansville has some scorers, and they should be happy to run with Drake in this one. Earlier this year the final was 83-69 when these two got together, and I expect a similar score in this one. I had this one projected at 149 points. Look for the tempo to push this one over. Take the over here.
|
02-09-13 |
Illinois State v. Creighton OVER 149 |
|
75-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Illinois State Redbirds have struggled defensively this year, but they can really pile up the points. With Jackie Carmichael and Tyler Brown they have two guys who can easily put up 25 points in a game. Creighton is the single most efficient offense in the country this year, and it all starts with Doug McDermott. Creighton is coming off a beatdown at the hands of Indiana State, and I think they'll be looking to prove a point here. The over is 21-5 in Illinois State's last 26 road games against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in Creighton's last 6 home games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the over.
|
02-09-13 |
Jacksonville State v. Tennessee Tech OVER 124 |
|
64-78 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Jacksonville State Gamecocks don't push the tempo at all, but they do get to the free throw line a ton and they foul a bunch on the other end. Neither of these teams are very good defensively, which means we could see some good shooting percentages in this one. The first meeting between these two this year finished in an 83-62 win by Jacksonville State. The over is 4-0-1 in Jacksonville State'e last 5 games. The over is 8-1 in their last 9 road games following three consecutive home games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 against a team with a winning home record. Take the over.
|
02-09-13 |
Texas State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 150 |
|
69-84 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 2 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-13 |
Central Michigan v. Kent State OVER 144 |
|
72-87 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-13 |
North Dakota State v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 120 |
|
58-54 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-13 |
Pittsburgh v. Cincinnati UNDER 123.5 |
|
62-52 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Pitt/Cincinnati Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Panthers and Cincinnati Bearcats are a lot alike. Both of these teams like to slow the game down and win with their defense. They are also both extremely physical and great on the glass. When these two teams get together it isn't a game for the faint of heart. If you go into the paint in this one, you can expect to get shoved around. The first game between these two this year went over this total, but there were 60 free throws attempted. Look for a reasonable amount of free throws and an under here. The under is 7-1 in Cincy's last 8 Saturday games. The under is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Take the under.
|
02-09-13 |
Nebraska Omaha v. IUPU-Indianapolis OVER 163 |
|
85-78 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 40 m |
Show
|
|
02-09-13 |
North Carolina v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 142 |
|
61-87 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
02-08-13 |
Siena v. Loyola Md UNDER 126 |
|
51-63 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Siena Saints used to be an uptempo team under Fran McCaffrey, but they are one of the slowest teams in the MAAC now. The Saints don't have much offensive firepower, and they don't shoot the ball very well at all. Loyola Maryland has slowed down significantly this year, and the Greyhounds are playing excellent on the defensive end. Loyola Maryland is only allowing 61 points per game on their home floor this season. Siena is scoring just 59.7 points per game on the road this year. Siena star guard Evan Hymes is sick with a sinus infection, and if he isn't 100% the offense will suffer. Take the under.
|
02-08-13 |
New Orleans Hornets v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 194.5 |
|
111-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA TGIF Total Domination* The New Orleans Hornets have improved offensively of late, but they still move at a very slow tempo. In fact, the Hornets have the second slowest pace in the league so far this year. Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in pace, and the Hawks are without some of their best scorers due to injuries. The number when these two met on January 1st was posted at 185. I don't see any justification for moving it up by almost 10 points. The under is 5-0 in the Hornets last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Hawks last 4 when playing a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
|
02-08-13 |
Brown v. Princeton UNDER 121 |
|
46-63 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Princeton Tigers are always great at controlling the tempo, and this year's team is no different. Princeton also has the number one ranked defense in the Ivy League. The Tigers hold opponents to just 30% from beyond the three-point line. Brown relies very heavily on the three-ball and if they don't shoot it well here, they might struggle to hit 50 points. Brown has slowed the tempo down a lot this year compared to last season. The under is 5-1 in Brown's last 6 Friday games. The under is 5-1 in Princeton's last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. Take the under.
|
02-07-13 |
Saint Marys CA v. Santa Clara OVER 146 |
|
84-63 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-13 |
California v. Arizona St OVER 134.5 |
|
62-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-13 |
North Dakota v. Montana State OVER 140 |
|
82-73 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
02-07-13 |
NC State v. Duke OVER 150.5 |
|
85-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NC State/Duke Total Domination* Duke will be looking for revenge, while NC State is looking to prove itself tonight. The Wolfpack might be without Lorenzo Brown, but they still have plenty of scoring on the inside. Duke only has Mason Plumlee on the inside, so I expect NC State to keep pounding it inside and try to get him in foul trouble. Both of these teams like to run and gun, and I don't see anything slowing this game down. Both offenses are efficient, and their should be plenty of trips to the free throw line tonight. Take the over.
|
02-07-13 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. UL - Monroe OVER 124 |
Top |
70-60 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Top Total* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks used to be one of the slowest paced teams in the Sun Belt, but they have suddenly changed the way they play. The Warhawks have decided to start pushing the tempo over their last few games. Oddsmakers are still posting totals on Monroe's games as if they are stalling, and that isn't what is happening anymore. Tonight, they are playing Little Rock, a team that prefers to run and have a high scoring game. I think this one tops 130 points. The over is 6-0 in Monroe's last 6 home games. The over is 9-2 in their last 11 following a loss. The over is 10-3 in their last 13 games overall. Take the over big!
|
02-07-13 |
Arkansas State v. Middle Tennessee St UNDER 127 |
Top |
60-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total Domination* The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders play better defense than any other team in the Sun Belt. Arkansas State is also pretty good defensively. Both of these teams prefer playing in the half court rather than the full court. Earlier this year they met and the final was 66-60 in overtime. In regulation, these teams combined for only 104 points. I had this game projected at 120 points. The under is 5-0-1 in Arkansas State's last 6 road games following three or more consecutive home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under big!
|
02-07-13 |
CLEMSON v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 113 |
Top |
41-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 48 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* Admittedly, it's not much fun taking an under at such a low level. However, considering the way both of these teams play, this number should be quite a bit lower than it is now. Earlier this year these two played to a 59-44 final. Last year, they played to a 60-48 final. Virginia controls the tempo better than anyone in the ACC, and Clemson always aims to slow the game down as well. The under is 6-1 in Clemson's last 7 road games against teams with a winning record. The under is 25-11 in Virginia's last 36 home games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Take the under big!
|
02-07-13 |
Indiana v. Illinois OVER 147.5 |
|
72-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Indiana/Illinois Total* The Indiana Hoosiers are back to number one. They haven't been there since losing to Butler a couple months ago. Illinois started out the season red hot, but they have fallen apart in Big 10 play. Both of these teams like to run the floor, and Indiana has one of the most efficient offenses in the country. Illinois doesn't have anyone who can slow down Cody Zeller on the inside. Both teams shoot it well from long range, and I see a bunch of shots going up in this one. I had this projected at 153. Take the over.
|
02-07-13 |
NC-Greensboro v. Furman OVER 142.5 |
|
88-65 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 59 m |
Show
|
|
02-06-13 |
Mississippi State v. Mississippi OVER 139 |
|
75-93 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Instate Rivals Total* Mississippi is running more than any other team in the SEC this year, and the Rebels can really pile up the points. Mississippi State likes to run and they'll have to score points to stay in the game. I like the over.
|
02-06-13 |
ILLINOIS STATE v. DRAKE OVER 148 |
|
94-86 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Most teams in the Missouri Valley Conference like to grind it out and win with their defense. There are really only two teams that push the tempo conistently, and they are both playing in this game. The first time these two teams played earlier this year the final was 82-77. The shooting numbers weren't particularly amazing, but the pace was just very quick. Brown and Carmichael are a great offensive tandem for Illinois State, and Drake can really shoot it from long range. The over is 7-1 in Drake's last 8 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
02-06-13 |
UAB v. Tulsa OVER 138 |
|
70-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Tulsa is pushing the pace a lot more this year under Danny Manning. Manning has the team looking to run at every opportunity. The Golden Hurricane should find a lot of easy opportunities against a UAB team that plays the worst defense of any team in Conference USA. No one plays faster in the conference than UAB. The Blazers have a new coach and a new attitude toward the game this year. In fact, UAB is in the top ten in the nation in terms of pace. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Take the over.
|
02-06-13 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 183 |
|
92-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The under is 5-0 in the Hawks last 5 when playing on no rest. The under is 9-4-1 in the Grizzlies last 14 road games. Atlanta has a lot of missing key players in this one. I like the under.
|
02-06-13 |
WILLIAM & MARY v. JAMES MADISON UNDER 125.5 |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The James Madison Dukes used to be a team that liked to push the tempo and outscore the opponent, but they aren't any longer. Now, the Dukes look to win by flexing their muscles on the defensive end. William & Mary is also a slow paced teams that plays good defense. The under is 6-0 in James Madison's last 6 home games against a team with a road winning record of 40% or lower. The under is 4-0 in JMU's last 4 following a loss. The under is 6-0 in William & Mary's last 6 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in William & Mary's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.
|
02-06-13 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 186 |
|
86-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Los Angeles Clippers and Orlando Magic game tonight will be played without many stars at all. Blake Griffin and Chris Paul will both miss this one for the Clippers. Glen Davis, J.J. Redick, and Arron Afflalo are all out for Orlando. There just isn't much offensive firepower left for this one to go over the total. Orlando scored 61 points earlier this week without their stars, and the Clippers offense has been ugly of late. I had this one projected at 181 points. Take the under here.
|
02-06-13 |
Miami Ohio v. Toledo OVER 142 |
|
64-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAC Total Play on Over 142* The Miami Ohio Redhawks have changed their game this year, and the books haven't fully caught up. Toledo should want to run with them, and both teams should get a lot of easy baskets off turnovers. Take the over.
|
02-05-13 |
Ohio State v. Michigan UNDER 133 |
|
74-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Ohio State Buckeyes and Michigan Wolverines meet in the biggest game on the college basketball card Tuesday night. Ohio State beat Michigan the first time around this year, and Michigan will be really fired up for this one. The rivalry between these two often leads to low scoring defensive battles. Earlier this year the teams played to a 56-53 final. While the shooting numbers were a little low, the pace is what really kept the game low scoring. Both of these teams have been slowing the tempo down in conference play. Look for the defenses to control this game. The under is 7-0 in Ohio State's last 7 following a win. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Big 10. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against a team with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 6-0 in Ohio State's last 6 overall. Take the under.
|
02-05-13 |
Villanova v. DePaul OVER 144.5 |
|
94-71 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* DePaul is the single fastest team in the nation in terms of pace. Oliver Purnell's team uses the full court press to force turnovers and push the tempo. Villanova has some talented guards, but they are turnover prone, and DePaul should be successful in getting quite a few easy layups off the press today. At the same time, Villanova gets to the free throw line more than any other team in the country. DePaul's aggressive defense often gets them into foul trouble. Look for a high scoring affair here. Take the over.
|
02-04-13 |
Texas v. West Virginia UNDER 127 |
|
58-60 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Texas/West Virginia Total Domination* The Texas Longhorns have one of the very best defenses in the country, and they also have one of the very worst offenses in the country. Without Jonathan Holmes (out with an injury) the offense is a little bit worse right now than it was earlier in the year. West Virginia and Texas played to a 57-53 final in overtime earlier this year. The shooting numbers were poor, so this will likely be a little higher, but this number seems too high to me. I had this one at 122. Take the under.
|
02-04-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 177 |
|
101-111 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* These are the two best defenses in the NBA right now. The first meeting this year between these teams finished in an 80-76 win for Indiana. Both teams will be working hard for shots in this one, and the tempo should be pretty slow. The under is 9-1 in the Pacers last 10 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
|
02-03-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 47 |
|
34-31 |
Win
|
100 |
263 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Super Bowl Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens used to be known for their superb defense. The defense is still pretty good, but it is far from what it used to be. You could make a good argument that Baltimore is better on the offensive side of the ball now. Joe Flacco is playing like an elite quarterback, and that makes all the difference in the world for this offense. Ray Rice is one of the best players in the NFL, and he is a guy the defense has to account for on every single play. San Francisco's defense carried it through most of last year and early on this year, but with the change to Colin Kaepernick, the 49ers are far more dangerous offensively. Kaepernick can beat a team with his feet or his arm. Frank Gore and LaMichael James are both very good in the backfield for San Francisco. The 49ers defense has given up quite a few yards in both playoff games. Green Bay scored 31 points and Atlanta put up 24. Look for both teams to be able to move the ball in this one. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games on field turf. The over is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.
|
02-03-13 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. Georgia Tech UNDER 114 |
|
60-66 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Virginia Cavaliers may be the best team in the nation when it comes to controlling the tempo of the game. Virginia slows the game down to a crawl on offense. They also have one of the best defenses in the nation. This has a way of causing some extremely low scoring games. Virginia is averaging 59 points per game in their last 5 games. They are giving up 52 points per game in their last 5. Georgia Tech prefers to play at a slow pace when they can, and the Yellow Jackets only put up 38 points against Virginia last year. Look for a very slow game between two great defenses. This one could easily stay under 110. The under is 16-5 in Virginia's last 21 road games. Take the under.
|
02-02-13 |
Santa Clara v. Brigham Young OVER 145 |
|
79-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
Northern Arizona v. Southern Utah OVER 142 |
|
67-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 7 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
UT Arlington v. Louisiana Tech OVER 123 |
Top |
51-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 52 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB 5 Star Top Play Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are one of my favorite 'over' teams because of their ability to force the opponent into a track meet. The Bulldogs use a full court diamond press to speed the game up and score off turnovers. The first meeting this year between these teams finished at just 107 points. The shooting numbers were atrocious. LA Tech won and they only shot 28.4% from the floor. UT Arlington shot 33.3% from the floor. The teams combined to make 7 out of 39 shots from three-point land. Expect much better shooting today, and this one should sail over the total. Take the over big!
|
02-02-13 |
South Alabama v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 135 |
|
70-66 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
UL - Monroe v. Florida International OVER 130 |
|
73-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 57 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
Middle Tennessee St v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 124.5 |
|
73-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 54 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
Miami Ohio v. Central Michigan OVER 145 |
|
70-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
Morehead State v. Jacksonville State OVER 129 |
|
59-70 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Play* The Morehead State Eagles are one of my favorite 'over' plays this year. Morehead State is pressing and pushing the tempo in a big way under new coach Sean Woods. Last year they were a team that stalled. The books still haven't adjusted the lines enough on Morehead State games. Both of these teams foul a ton, so there should be plenty of trips to the charity stripe in this one. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The over is 5-0 in Jacksonville State's last 5 home games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 against the OVC. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Take the over.
|
02-02-13 |
Wichita State v. Northern Iowa UNDER 123 |
|
52-57 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
|
|
02-02-13 |
St. Johns v. Georgetown UNDER 122 |
|
56-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 4 m |
Show
|
|
02-01-13 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. New York Knicks OVER 203 |
|
86-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA 100% Angle* The Milwaukee Bucks are playing much quicker since Scott Skiles left and Jim Boylan took over. Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis are really getting out in transition and getting shots up quickly. The Bucks offense is clicking in a big way right now. The Knicks have the most efficient offense in the NBA, and they should be able to score plenty here. New York's defense has been shaky at best of late. Tons of big trends for this one. The over is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the Eastern Conference. It is 4-0 in their last 4 against teams with a win percentage above 60%. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Atlantic Division. It is also 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 Friday games. In all, a 29-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
|
02-01-13 |
Chicago Bulls v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 181.5 |
|
89-93 |
Loss |
-104 |
5 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets both rank in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. Chicago has turned up the intensity on defense a lot over the past month. Tom Thibodeau's team is the best defense in the NBA when they are committed on that end, and right now they are definitely committed on defense. Brooklyn actually plays slower than any other team, and with Lopez at the back of their defense they are pretty good defensively. The first meeting between these two finished at 165. This should stay under the total. Take the under.
|