*3 Star MLB Red HOT CASH* The Cincinnati Reds lineup isn't producing of late. Outside of Joey Votto, the Reds haven't been able to count on anyone. Milwaukee's lineup isn't even close to what it was before the trade deadline. Raisel Iglesias and Taylor Jungmann are two very talented youngsters. Iglesias has an ERA under 2 in the month of August. Jungmann has an ERA under 2 at home this year. Jungmann also gave up only one run in 8 innings pitched in his outing vs. the Reds in July. With both lineups looking like a mess right now, I think both starters can work deep into this game and pitch well. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Toronto Blue Jays and Detroit Tigers arguably have the two best offenses in baseball. With Miguel Cabrera back, the Tigers offense is once again dangerous. Toronto's numbers against left handed pitching this year are scary good. They have a .357 OBP and average 5.66 runs per game against left handed pitching. Matt Boyd has struggled so far in his career and this is a tough spot for him against his former team. R.A. Dickey hasn't been good lately, and the Tigers have crushed him in the past. Overall, the current Tigers lineup has an amazing .346 average and a .424 OBP against him.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Blue Jays last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a left handed starter. The over is 6-0 in Dickey's last 6 as a favorite of -150 to -200. The over is 4-0 in Dickey's last 4 starts vs. the Tigers. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays are actually pretty similar teams right now. They both have overachieved compared to their real talent levels this year. Both of them struggle badly against right handed pitching, but they are both much better at hitting left handed pitching. How much better? Minnesota has an OBP of .297 against righties and .311 against lefties. Tampa Bay has an OBP of .302 against righties and .327 against lefties. Drew Smyly and Tommy Milone aren't bad pitchers, but neither of them pitch particularly deep into the game, and they are both lefties. Both of these bullpens are bad right now, and I see the potential for scoring in the late innings. Paul Emmel is the home plate umpire here and he is a solid over umpire. 

The over is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Thursday games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 games between these two teams in Tampa Bay. The over is 5-0 in Emmel's last 5 Thursday games behind the plate. A 45-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds have been much better at hitting left handed pitchers this year than righties. The Reds have a solid .318 on base percentage against lefties. The Dodgers started the year slowly against lefties, but they have been hitting them really well of late. Los Angeles has a very good .337 OBP against lefties this year. Holmberg hasn't been good at all, and I don't see him turning it around against this good offense. Anderson has been shaky in his last few starts. The Dodgers pen has been bad of late and the Reds pen has been bad all year long. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Marlins have hit left handed pitching well all year. They can't hit right handers, but they are 7th in the majors at hitting lefties. Jeff Locke has some ridiculous home/away splits. He's really good at home and really bad on the road. Chris Narveson was bad in the minors and I see no reason to believe he'll be good in the majors. The Pirates have 6 homers against him in only 58 total at bats. Pittsburgh's offense should bounce back from a poor outing on Tuesday. The over is 14-4-2 in Locke's last 20 road starts. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Mets offense is absolutely on fire right now. Jerad Eickhoff had a really good first outing against Miami, but this Mets offense is far tougher than the Marlins offense is to get through. Eickhoff isn't necessarily a bad pitcher, but he'll definitely have some speed bumps. Bartolo Colon has been bad lately. Colon doesn't have the same kind of stuff he's had in the past, and at 42 years old his career is close to an end. The Phillies offense has been surprisingly good in the past few weeks. The ball flies well in Philly this time of the year and both bullpens have struggled in recent weeks.

The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 road starts. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a road favorite. The over is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more. The over is 6-0 in Colon's last 6 starts vs. the Phillies. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins offense went through a brief period where they were crushing the ball. Now, they are back to reality. Without Stanton this offense isn't any good. Charlie Morton is a streaky pitcher and he threw a shutout last outing. Brad Hand has been good at home this year, and he is starting to show some promise for the Marlins. Both of these teams have terrific bullpens. Brian O'Nora is behind the plate in this contest and he is definitely a strike caller. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Colorado Rockies and Atlanta Braves have two of the worst bullpens in baseball. I expect we'll see a lot of both bullpens here, and that's the biggest reason I like the over. Chad Bettis should be on a pitch count in his first start back from an elbow injury. Mike Foltynewicz hasn't shown the ability to pitch deep into games thanks to his wildness. Foltynewicz has given up at least 6 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of over 6 this season. The Braves offense is much better at home and they have been a solid over play at Turner Field. The Rockies might be without Carlos Gonzalez here, but the lineup is fairly deep. 

The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Foltynewicz's last 5 starts on 4 days rest. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts as a home underdog. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the NL West. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts after Atlanta scores 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. A 28-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Atlanta Braves have one of the worst offenses in baseball against left handed pitching. Colorado's offense is middle of the pack in weighted on base average in the past month. They go to a much more pitcher friendly park here in Atlanta. Julio Teheran has been much better in the last month. Teheran has been great at home all year. He has a 2.44 ERA at home this season. Jorge De La Rosa is throwing the ball better right now than he has at any point throughout the season. With the move up to 7.5, there is value in the under. The wind will be blowing in and there is no significant warmth in Atlanta. Take the under here. 

*4 Star EPIC 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies crush right handed pitching. The Colorado Rockies also have a bad starting rotation and a really bad bullpen. The Mets have a good rotation, but making a spot start here is Logan Verrett. It's a really tough spot for the young kid who has below average stuff. Verrett has almost no big league experience, and he hasn't been that great in the minors. I don't expect him to go to Coors Field and find success. Day games at Coors Field are well known for their high scoring tendencies. David Hale isn't a good pitcher at all. He has an ERA above 6 and this Mets offense has been on a great run in the first couple games. They should keep it going against him in this one. The number is high for a very good reason.

The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 games. The over is 10-0-1 in their last 11 road games vs. a right handed pitcher. The over is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. The over is 3-0-1 in Hale's last 4 starts when the Rockies opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 as a home underdog. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts overall. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. A 53-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star Saturday's Best Bet* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been much better against right handed pitching as compared to lefties this year. Marco Estrada has been fortunate this year, and I see him getting tripped up in this one. Heaney is a decent lefty, but the Blue Jays rake against left handed pitching. They destroyed the ball against a pretty good lefty last night, and I think they'll hit it well again here. A total of just 8 is too low for these two teams on a warm evening in Los Angeles. I expect at least one of these two offenses to have a big day. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets had an exciting high scoring affair on Friday night. The ball was leaving the yard at Coors early and often on Friday. I look for a lot more scoring on Saturday night. Jon Niese has struggled in his three starts at Coors in his career (6.75 ERA). Chris Rusin is coming off a great outing, but he isn't a good big league pitcher. The Mets are solid against lefties of late, and Cespedes has been huge for this lineup. Both bullpens have been bad recently, and there should be a bunch of scoring opportunities for both teams.

The over is 5-0 in the Mets last 5. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road favorite. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in Niese's last 4 starts with a total of 9 or higher. A 23-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates shut out the San Francisco Giants in game one of this series last night. It's a key series for both teams. Madison Bumgarner starts for San Francisco in this one. There isn't a better big game pitcher in baseball than Bumgarner. The Giants offense really misses Hunter Pence. Jeff Locke has been very good at home throughout his career. San Francisco is better against right handed pitching, so Locke has a good chance of keeping the Giants under control. Bumgarner is throwing it better than he ever has in the regular season, and the Pirates offense has been inconsistent at best of late. 

The under is 4-0-1 in the Giants last 5. The under is 7-0-1 in the Giants last 8 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-2 in Bumgarner's last 6. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less last game. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Collin McHugh has been throwing the ball a lot better lately. McHugh has regained control of his offspeed pitches to keep batters off balance. Tampa Bay's offense has been bad for most of the year, and after a brief hot stretch early this month, they have come back down to earth in the last few games. Chris Archer is one of the best pitchers in baseball and he should bounce back nicely from his poor outing in Texas last time out. The Astros have a lot of free swingers, and I think Archer racks up the strikeouts in this one.

The under is 8-1 in McHugh's last 9 starts. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the AL East. A 19-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers offenses have been on fire lately. Detroit scored 25 runs in two games in Chicago against the Cubs. The Rangers have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games. Martin Perez isn't a bad lefty, but the Tigers are second in the league in hitting lefties and with Cabrera back this lineup is very good. Alfredo Simon has been a total gas can in the last couple months. He is fully capable of giving up a huge inning at any time. Plenty of run scoring opportunities for both teams throughout this game.

The over is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 5-0 in Perez's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0-1 in Simon's last 8 when the Tigers opponent scores 5 runs or more the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in Detroit. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jacob Degrom has been throwing the ball extremely well all year, but the stretch he has been on since May is extraordinary. In his last 15 starts, Degrom has allowed more than 2 runs only two times. He has allowed more than 3 runs only once. He is absolutely locked in right now. He is a serious contender for the NL Cy Young award. Kevin Gausman has been up and down in his career, but Gausman has great stuff and he has been much better at home than on the road. Gausman has a 3.38 career home ERA, and his ERA at home this season is just 1.50. The Mets offense has improved lately, but they still aren't good. These are two good defensive teams with good bullpens. 

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Orioles last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 3-0-2 in Gausman's last 5 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts when the Orioles gave up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 3-0-2 in his last 5 home starts overall. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Houston Astros and Detroit Tigers meet on Saturday night. Justin Verlander starts for the Tigers. In four of his last six starts, Verlander has allowed one earned run or less. While I'm still cautious about him, there have been some encouraging signs. Collin McHugh has been throwing the ball better of late, and he is due for some better luck. Opponents have had a lot of batted ball luck against him this year, and that should even out over time. The biggest reason for this pick though was who is behind the plate. Bill Miller is my single favorite under umpire in baseball. He routinely has a massive strike zone, and he'll help these pitchers out.

The under is 4-0 in Houston's last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The under is 6-0 in McHugh's last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after the team scored 5 runs or more last game. The under is 7-1 in his last 8 games. The under is 4-0 in Miller's last 4 Saturday games behind the plate. A 25-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Atlanta Braves have been terrible against left handed pitching all year. Robbie Ray has had a nice season for the Diamondbacks. Julio Teheran has been very good at home this year. Teheran started the year really badly and he didn't find his form until recently, but he has quality stuff and should have a nice career. I expected a lower total in this one, and I'm glad to take the under at this level. 

The under is 7-0 in the Diamondbacks last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0 in Ray's last 4 starts on 5 days rest. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 8-0-3 in the Braves last 11 games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0-2 in the Braves last 6 home games vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Teheran's last 4 starts vs. the DBacks. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Gerrit Cole vs. Michael Wacha is quite a pitching matchup. Over his career, Wacha has been much better when pitching at home, and he'll be at home in this one. Cole has really come on this season, and he has turned into one of the best pitchers in baseball. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate here and the under is a whopping 90-58 in his last 148 games behind the plate. Kulpa's massive strike zone is going to help both of these young pitchers. I look for a lot of punch outs throughout this game. A pitcher's duel as both guys go deep into the game. 

The under is 6-1-1 in Cole's last 8 road starts. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 games between these two in St. Louis. A 16-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins and Texas Rangers meet on Tuesday night. Minnesota is sliding quickly as expected. The Twins simply were never as good as their record looked earlier this year. Minnesota has overachieved in a big way. Texas is trying to make a push in the Wild Card standings. Yovani Gallardo and Kyle Gibson have both been beaten up pretty badly in recent outings. These are two pitchers who are inconsistent and can be hit hard and give up runs in bunches. Also important here is both bullpens rank in the bottom five in the majors. This is the type of game where it wouldn't surprise me to see a lot of runs scored late in the game. 

The over is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The over is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 5 runs or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed pitcher. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox offense has been bad most of the year. They got red hot for a two or three week period and now they are starting to settle back into their normal range. The Angels offense ranks 21st in the majors in the past month. Chris Sale is one of the best pitchers in baseball. He has been torched in his last two starts, but I think there is a good chance he'll bounce back here. The Angels have a combined batting average of .093 as a team against him. Los Angeles starts Matt Shoemaker, and he has been dealing of late. Shoemaker hasn't allowed a run in any of his last three starts! He's gone 19 innings in a row without giving up a run. 

The under is 5-0-1 in Shoemaker's last 6 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 7-0 in the White Sox last 7 vs. the AL West. The under is 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts with a total of 7 or higher. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts during game one of a series. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* I generally look for spots to play unders on get away days in Major League Baseball. Here is one of those spots. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. Anthony DeSclafani is a pretty good young pitcher for the Cincinnati Reds. DeSclafani has been dealing in his last few outings. All year long he has thrown much better on the road than at home as well. Patrick Corbin is starting to throw the ball better of late outside of his last outing against Washington. The Reds offense has been slumping in a big way of late.

The under is 9-0 in the Reds last 9 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games vs. a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 games as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a righty. A 61-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Oakland A's offense is a mess. Ben Zobrist is badly missed in the middle of the order. The bottom of the order is among the worst in baseball. Houston has improved offensively, but the bottom of their order is still weak as well. Mike Fiers is a guy with a really deceptive delivery. Oakland hasn't seen him before, and I think that works to his advantage here. Chris Bassitt is a guy I've liked for a while now. He hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a single game this year. 

The under is 5-0 in the Astros last 5 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game 4 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Bassitt's last 4 home starts. A 22-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Dallas Keuchel has been great all year long, and the Oakland A's offense is really bad now. Oakland traded away Ben Zobrist, who was their best hitter. Oakland is also much worse against left handed pitching, and Keuchel is one of the best lefties in the league. Sonny Gray is an amazing pitcher as well. Gray has been on quite a roll all year long. The Astros have a better lineup now, but they still strikeout a lot. Gray has the ability to rack up the punch outs here. 

The under is 5-0 in the A's last 5 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in Gray's last 5 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 5-0-2 in Gray's last 7 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Gray's last 5 starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 3-0-2 in Gray's last 5 games vs. a team with a team with a winning record. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Julio Teheran is a better pitcher than he showed early this year. He has been rounding into form of late and he has been sharp at home all year long. Teheran also has a 2.54 ERA in 10 career starts vs. the Marlins. Miami's lineup is one of the worst in the majors. Atlanta's lineup isn't much, if any, better than the Marlins. Jose Fernandez is absolutely tremendous. Fernandez hasn't missed a beat after coming back from injury. He's absolutely one of the top five pitchers in the game today. Fernandez has been brilliant against the Braves in the past. He has a career 0.93 ERA against Atlanta. Look for a pitcher's duel here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Chicago White Sox offense has been much better of late, but I believe their amazing offensive output isn't going to continue much longer. Who's the type of pitcher who can stop them? Chris Archer is definitely the type of guy. Archer has actually been better away from home in his career. He pitches deep into the game and will take advantage of the White Sox aggressiveness at the plate. Chris Sale is coming off a rare bad start, and I fully expect him to bounce back in a huge way. Sale is one of the most dominant pitchers in baseball. The Rays lineup isn't very good. Look for both starters to go deep into this game. 

The under is 4-0 in Archer's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Sale's last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts following a team loss. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more. A 25-0 angle. Take the under.  

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers offense was rolling along really nicely a few weeks ago. Since then, the Brewers lineup has been shredded apart at the trade deadline. Gone are Carlos Gomez, Gerrardo Parra, and Aramis Ramirez. These were three of the team's best hitters, and Milwaukee absolutely has been much worse offensively since then. Tyson Ross is a really good pitcher, and he's been throwing the ball extremely well. I don't see Milwaukee getting going against a pitcher like Ross. Wily Peralta has an ERA almost one full run better in the second half of the season compared to the first. San Diego's offense ranks in the bottom third of the majors in every offensive category this year.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 vs. the NL Central. The under is 7-0-2 in the Brewers last 9 games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 games against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or lower. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 following a loss. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 vs. the NL West. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 vs. an underdog. The under is 6-0 in Peralta's last 6 starts with a 5 days of rest. A 51-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Sonny Gray is absolutely one of the best pitchers in baseball. The Cleveland Indians offense hasn't been able to get anything going against anyone in the last few weeks, and it's hard to imagine them getting things going against Gray. He has great command of all his pitches. Trevor Bauer is an up and down guy, but he's been much better on the road. The A's lineup is a lot weaker without Zobrist in the middle of the order. Phil Cuzzi is the umpire here, and Cuzzi has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball. Look for both starting pitcher's to work deep into the game.

The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in Bauer's last 6 on 4 days of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in his last 9 road starts. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 as an underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in the A's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-2 in the A's last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games with a total set at 7 runs or higher. The under is 4-0-2 in Gray's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Chicago White Sox offense has come on in a huge way in the last two weeks. This was an offense that was the worst in baseball for much of the season. Alexei Ramirez, Adam Eaton, and Melky Cabrera have keyed the turnaround. Ivan Nova hasn't looked good so far this year, and Nova gives up a lot of fly balls. The wind is expected to be blowing out at nearly 25 mph for this game. The temperature is expected to be 90 degrees. That's perfect conditions for home runs. Samardzija is a good pitcher, but the Yankees lineup is excellent and they should put up some runs here too.

The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 with the total between 7 and 8.5. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 vs. the AL Central. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a righty. A 43-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Milwaukee Brewers lineup looks a whole lot different without Carlos Gomez or Gerrardo Parra. Milwaukee has been struggling to score runs with those guys, and now without them I look for some bad offensive numbers from the Brewers the rest of the year. Chicago's offense has been disappointing in the past month. While the Cubs are very good against left handed pitching, they aren't good against righties. Matt Garza hasn't been good this year, but he has pitched well recently against his old team (the Cubs). Garza generally pitches better late in the season too. Kyle Hendricks has allowed just 2 runs in 18 and 1/3 innings against Milwaukee in his career.

The under is 4-0-2 in the Cubs last 6 when their opponent fails to score 2 runs last game. The under is 6-0-2 in the Brewers last 8. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 vs. a righty. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0-2 in their last 8 with a total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts vs. the Cubs. A 37-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The St. Louis Cardinals offense broke out last night after being silenced by the Reds earlier this week. Kyle Kendrick starts for the Rockies in this game, and he's one of the worst pitchers in the big leagues. It isn't very often that you'll see a total of 7 on a game where Kendrick is pitching. Michael Wacha is clearly a good pitcher, but he's struggling with his command right now, and the Rockeis lineup is great against right handed pitching. I like the value on this total. Here's another spot where warm temperatures and wind blowing out will help us. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* The ball really flies well in Arlington this time of the year. The temperature at game time is expected to be 97 degrees for this one. Nick Martinez is capable of giving up nearly this total by himself when he is off his game, and he has been awful of late. The Rangers should be able to put up a few themselves with the ball carrying well. Texas' bullpen is overtaxed right now, and they are terrible to start with. The Giants have been scoring runs by the bunches on the road this year. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Tigers have been one of the best offenses in the majors against left handed pitching all year. Wei Yin Chen has outperformed his advanced metrics by a huge margin this year. While I think Chen is a decent pitcher, I also believe he is due for some regression. Buck Farmer starts for Detroit, and he has been terrible so far in his young career. Farmer doesn't have the put away pitch needed, and this Orioles offense should jump on him. Neither bullpen is particularly strong, and the weather here is favorable for an over with temperatures in the upper 80's.

The over is 4-0 in Farmer's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. The over is 3-0-1 in Lance Barksdale's last 4 games behind the plate. The over is 21-4-1 in the Tigers last 26 with a total of 7 to 8.5. A 32-4 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays average 5.50 runs per game against left handed pitching. They have been historically good this year against lefties. The Blue Jays lineup obviously got much scarier with the acquisition of Troy Tulowitzki. He's one of the best in the game against lefties too. Danny Duffy has a career 6.75 ERA against Toronto. I think Toronto gets to him here. Marco Estrada pitched better than his skill level was for much of the year, but he has struggled in his last couple starts. The Royals offense is really good against right handed pitching, and Ben Zobrist helps this offense in a big way. At a total of just 8.5, I see this as a solid value play with these two offenses. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The New York Yankees scored 21 runs last night. In general, I don't love taking an over with a team that just scored that many runs the night before, but I 'm making an exception here. Colby Lewis is pure fade material at home, and I think the Yankees bats have a good chance of staying hot in Texas against Lewis. Lewis has a career ERA of 5 at home. This Yankees lineup is one of the top five in the majors right now. Another major key here in this one is the weather. It is expected to be 98 degrees at game time. That means the ball will be flying extremely well in Arlington on Wednesday night. Tanaka has been pretty good this year, but the Rangers have good numbers against right handed pitching this season. 

The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 5-0-1 in Lewis' last 6 as a home underdog. The over is 5-0 in Lewis' last 5 starts when the team's opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 8.5 or lower. The over is 7-1 in Lewis' last 8 on 4 days of rest. A 29-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox have been slumping in a huge way. The Chicago White Sox have won five straight games, but it's important to note how bad the White Sox have been against left-handed pitching. Chicago has a ridiculously bad weighted on base average of .259 against lefties this year. No other team has a weighted on base average worse than .279 against lefties. Wade Miley started the season pitching poorly, but he has been very good of late. The White Sox have been surging offensively of late, but that was against a bunch of right handed pitching. Also very important here is the home plate umpire. Doug Eddings is the ultimate strike caller behind the dish. He'll help both pitchers a bunch here.

The under is 5-0 in the White Sox last 5 after allowing more than 5 runs last game. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. The under is 8-0-1 in the Red Sox last 9 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Miley's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. A 25-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Mets offense is still terrible (I expect more deals for the Mets in the coming days). James Shields has been throwing it well of late. Collectively as a team the Mets have a .155 batting average against Shields. Noah Syndergaard has amazing stuff. When he's on he is nearly unhittable. The Padres offense has been a huge disappointment this year. Syndergaard has struggled at times on the road, but he has a sparkling 1.74 ERA at home. This feels like a 2-1 or 3-2 type game where neither teams gets many baserunners. Look for a pitcher's duel in New York.

The under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 games following an off day. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4. The under is 5-0-1 in the Padres last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 vs. the NL East. The under is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 vs. a righty. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in the Padres last 5 during game one of a series. The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 following an off day. The under is 5-0 in their last with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 7-0 in Syndergaard's last 7 during game 1 of a series. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 as a home favorite. A 64-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Chicago Cubs hit left handed pitching very well. The Colorado Rockies crush right handed pitching. With a total of 7, I'm going over the total. The wind is blowing in at Wrigley, and I assume that's the reason for this total being so low. It's important to note though, that the projected wind speed is 6 mph on average tonight, so I think this line is an overreaction to the weather. De La Rosa isn't bad, but he is certainly hittable, and the Cubs splits vs. lefties are much better than vs. righties. Colorado is the best team in the majors against right handed pitching. While I do like Kyle Hendricks, I think the Rockies will get to him some here. The Rockies bullpen is awful, so once De La Rosa is gone the Cubs could add on several. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cleveland Indians offense is mired in a severe slump right now. They have been baffled by lefties the last two days. Carlos Rodon is inconsistent because of his inexperience, but he has tremendous stuff and I don't like the Indians chances of breaking out of their funk against him. Danny Salazar has had a lot of bad luck this year, and he shut out the White Sox once already this year. The White Sox, though they have hit it well in this series so far, have a terrible offense on the year. The biggest reason I like this play is home plate umpire Bill Miller. Miller is the biggest strike caller in the major leagues. The under is always worth a look with him behind the plate, and on Sunday (get away day) it's an even stronger indication. 

The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 during game 4 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Salazar's last 4 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 vs. these two in Cleveland. The under is 23-4 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. A 39-5 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox lineup has been disappointing this year. Boston still has the potential to put up runs in bunches. They haven't done it as many times as they should have this year, but Alfredo Simon has been awful lately and I think they'll get plenty of chances here. Simon has allowed at least 4 runs in each of his last 6 starts (34 runs overall in those starts). Steven Wright starts here for the Red Sox. The Tigers offense is still one of the best offenses in the majors. Wright is a knuckleballer who is no better than mediocre, and he has a lot of trouble holding runners on base. Two offenses with a lot of potential and two pitchers I'm not high on. 

The over is 4-0-1 in Simon's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest. The over is 5-0-1 in Simon's last 6 starts as an underdog. The over is 3-0-1 in Simon's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Simon's last 4 road starts. The over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in Wright's last 4 starts. A 24-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians and Chicago White Sox meet Friday night, and I'm expecting a pitcher's duel here. Jose Quintana has been an underrated left hander for quite a while. Quintana has a dazzling 1.21 ERA in 5 appearances (4 starts) at Cleveland. Cleveland's offense hasn't been doing much in the last few days, and they'll likely have a hard time here. Corey Kluber's peripheral numbers aren't much different this year than they were last year. The offense just hasn't been scoring runs for him, and the defense has let him down several times. This is a White Sox lineup that is arguably the worst lineup in the American League. Adam Hamari is a big strike caller behind the plate here as well.

The under is 22-3-1 in Quintana's last 26 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in the White Sox last 5 during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 Friday starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 vs. the White Sox. The under is 22-4 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. A 67-7 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Jose Fernandez is a tremendous young pitcher. His upside is absolutely off the charts, and after a very long time away from the mound (due to injury), he has stepped right back in and been great in his first two starts. Arizona's bats are slumping right now, and it's hard to break out of a slump against a guy like Fernandez. Robbie Ray has quietly had a great season. The Marlins offense is bad to start with and without Stanton they are really bad. The Marlins bullpen is one of the best in baseball. Two young pitchers who should put together quality starts here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Noah Syndergaard and Jordan Zimmermann meet in what I expect to be a nice pitching duel. This is a getaway day game, which usually means some starters are out of the lineup and we often see some quicker at bats late in the game as well. Syndergaard has 5 walks and 30 strikeouts in his last 4 starts. He has amazing stuff, and the Nationals offense isn't hitting right now. The Mets offense is terrible and Zimmermann has a career 2.91 ERA against them. This is a pitcher's park and the wind will be blowing in from center field here. Take the under in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs play a doubleheader on Wednesday. Doubleheaders are always tricky, because so many of the regulars get time off. Many times, I stay away from betting on doubleheader games at all. When I do have action on a doubleheader, it is usually an under. That is the case again here. Mike Leake has been in good form lately, and the Chicago Cubs haven't been good against right handed pitching this year. Kyle Hendricks is an underrated pitcher for the Cubs. Jim Reynolds is a good umpire to have here since he has turned into a nice under umpire in the last few years. Look for several starters to be out of this game.

The under is 4-0 in the Cubs last 4 after their opponent allows 5 runs or more. The under is 5-0 in the Cubs last 5 following a win. The under is 4-0 in Hendricks' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 during game three of a series. A 29-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ron Kulpa will be calling the balls and strikes in this one. Kulpa is one of the top under umpires in the game. He consistently has one of the highest strikes called percentages in baseball. He also has consistently rung up far more batters than the average umpire. Mat Latos and Jeremy Hellickson are both guys who try to paint the corners, and I see a friendly home plate umpire being highly beneficial to both of them. The Marlins offense is terrible without Stanton in the middle of the lineup. Latos has been throwing it much better lately and the Marlins bullpen is very good. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals offense has been bad in the past few weeks. All year long St. Louis has been markedly worse against left handed pitchers and Carlos Rodon unquestionably has the stuff to dominate if he has his command. Rodon threw the best game of his career last time out in a win against the Cubs. Michael Wacha has been very good this year, and he's up against the worst offense in baseball. The White Sox have been dreadfully bad on offense this year. Both bullpens are good and I expect this total to move downward, so grab this one early. 

The under is 5-0-1 in the Cardinals last 6 following an off day. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The under is 4-0-1 in Wacha's last 5 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0-1 in the White Sox last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in the White Sox last 5 during game one of a series. A 24-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Atlanta Braves aren't good at hitting left-handed pitching. The Los Angeles Dodgers aren't good at hitting left-handed pitching. Both of them will be facing a good lefty in this one. Brett Anderson toes the rubber for the Dodgers and Alex Wood for the Braves. If you look at both teams splits, they are drastically better against right handed pitching. Anderson has shown the ability to throw it really well this year, and Wood is a guy who has come on strong throughout the course of the year.

The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 when their opponent scores 5 or more runs last game. The under is 11-0 in the Braves last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The under is 5-0-1 in the Braves last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The under is 6-0 in the Braves last 6 vs. a left handed pitcher. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Red HOT CASH* It's a matchup of Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer in Washington on Sunday afternoon. There isn't likely to be much offense here. This is an under I would have been at least somewhat interested in to start with, but with my single favorite under umpire Bill Miller behind the dish for this one, it's a four star rated play. Miller's strike zone has been the biggest in the majors the last two years, and the under is 35-15-1 in his last 51 Sunday games. There's no denying how well Greinke and Scherzer are pitching right now, and neither of these offenses have been swinging it all that well lately. I see a lot of quick innings throughout this one. Look for both starters to paint the corners with the wider strike zone. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers got one hit on Saturday night against Chris Tillman. Detroit has shown the ability to bounce back from poor offensive performances this year, and the Tigers have a favorable matchup on Sunday. Miguel Gonzalez has three starts in his career against Detroit, and zero of them are quality starts. His career ERA vs. Detroit is 8.47. Detroit's offense is a top five offense in baseball. Baltimore's offense ranks in the top ten offenses in baseball. In the past two years, Justin Verlander has a 5.25 ERA against the Orioles in four starts. Neither bullpen is all that great either. 

The over is 4-0 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less last game. The over is 6-0-1 in Verlander's last 7 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a team loss. A 20-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Colby Lewis has been terrible when pitching in Texas over the course of his career. His ERA is above 5 in his career in Arlington. Lewis is in really bad form right now. The Padres offense has been scuffling, but I think they have a good chance of getting things going against him. James Shields is a good pitcher, but he does have problems with the long ball. Texas hits right handed pitching well, and there are several home run hitters in this Rangers lineup. Weather is important at Texas, and it will be in the upper 80's for this one. No umpire in baseball has a smaller strike zone than Paul Schrieber, so we have a great umpire for an over. Take the over in this one. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Dallas Keuchel is a tremendous left-handed pitcher. He keeps the ball down and avoids the long ball very well. Tampa Bay's offense isn't very good, and I don't see them having much success against him here. Houston's bullpen is one of top five in the majors so far this year. Jake Odorizzi pitched great in his rehab start and I expect him to be ready for this first start back from the DL. The Astros offense isn't even close to as good without George Springer at the top of the order. Houston's offense is regressing of late. This is a pitcher's park and we have two very good pitcher's going here. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers offense has been on fire lately. Detroit has hit Phil Hughes well in the past too. Yoenis Cespedes is as hot as anyone in baseball today, and he has been great in his career against Hughes. Alfredo Simon starts for the Tigers, and he has allowed 5 runs or more in each of his last four starts. The Minnesota offense has been good against right handed pitching of late. Neither of these teams has a good bullpen. Detroit's bullpen imploded in the ninth inning Friday night, and the Twins have one of the five worst pens in baseball. This total is a full run too low in my opinion.

The over is 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 Saturday games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The over is 11-0 in their last 11 games during game 3 of a series. The over is 6-0 in Simon's last 6. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 3-0-1 in Simon's last 4 on 4 days of rest. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 as an underdog. The over is 7-0-1 in Simon's last 8 after the Tigers allowed 5 runs or more last game. The over is 3-0-3 in the Twins last 6 home games vs. a right handed starter. A 55-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays absolutely destroy left-handed pitching. Toronto has a .365 weighted on base average. That's nearly 20 points higher than any other team in baseball. They face an average lefty here in Danny Duffy. Marco Estrada starts for the Blue Jays. Estrada isn't as good as he has pitched in the past month or so. He's a guy who is due for regression. The Kansas City Royals offense is hitting the ball really well in the last few days. I think this one has a real chance to be a back and forth affair between two good offenses. 

The over is 4-0 in the Jays last 4 Friday games. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4. The over is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 vs. the AL East. A 19-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies rank second in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitching. Matt Shoemaker hasn't been very good this year, and pitching at Coors Field is a really tough place to get on track. Chris Rusin starts for the Rockies, and he isn't a good lefty at all. The Angels offense is the hottest in all of baseball. The Angels have scored 8, 13, 12, and 10 runs in their last four games. A double digit run total from the Angels again here wouldn't be shocking. The Rockies bullpen is awful, and rain could play a role in this game too. This has all the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Chicago White Sox offense has been really bad this year, but they get a chance to score here against Drew Hutchison. Hutchison has an ERA of 9.00 on the road this year, and he was torched last year in Chicago. John Danks starts opposite him for the White Sox. Danks is one of the worst left handed pitchers in the league. Toronto has a ridiculous .366 on base percentage against left handed pitchers. The Blue Jays are easily the best team in the league against lefties. This Toronto offense is fully capable of getting to the over themselves if they get on a roll as they do quite often against lefties. This total is a full run too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Arizona Diamondbacks rank sixth in the majors in hitting left handed pitching. The Texas Rangers rank ninth against right handed pitching. Matt Harrison is working his way back from an injury, and this is a tough matchup for him. In addition, Harrison isn't likely to go too deep into the game, and the Texas bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. Jeremy Hellickson is a guy who gives up a lot of home runs, and it will be hot in Texas tonight with the ball flying well. The posted total here dropped to 9 overnight, which makes this one a play for me. Nine is a crucial number, so be sure you get that number. 

The over is 4-0 in the DBacks last 4 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0-1 in Hellickson's last 5 following a quality start. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in Texas' last 4 games with a total of 9 to 10.5. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games vs. a right handed pitcher. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games with a total of 9 to 10.5. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has been quite a bit better in the past month. Philadelphia is significantly better against lefties than they are against righties, and they'll face Eric Surkamp in this one. Surkamp had a 4.50 ERA in Triple A this year, and his past history starting in the majors isn't good. On the other side, Sean O'Sullivan starts for the Phillies and he's one of the worst pitchers in baseball. The Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late, but they are great against right handed pitching. A guy like O'Sullivan should be the perfect way for a Dodgers offense to break out of their slump. 

The over is 41-19-3 in the Dodgers last 63 home games. The over is 12-3-1 in the Phillies last 16 games. The over is 21-8 in the Phillies last 29 as an underdog. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels offense was disappointing early in the year, but this offense is firing on all cylinders now. The Angels piled up 13 runs in last night's win. Colby Lewis isn't a good pitcher, and the Angels have hit him hard in the past. Lewis has a career ERA above 5 at home. The Texas bullpen is the worst in baseball, so they won't provide much relief. C.J. Wilson is a mediocre pitcher at this point in his career, and his outings against his former team in Texas haven't gone well in the past. The temperature will be in the lower 90's at the start of this game and the ball will be carrying well. This number is too low.

The over is 5-0 in the Angels last 5 as a road favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The over is 4-0 in Lewis' last 4 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 as a home underdog. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Texas. A 26-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is pounding out hits right now. Milwaukee hasn't been healthy all year until now, and this offense is just now getting a chance to show what they can do when they are healthy. Mike Leake has a 4.5 ERA in his career against the Brewers, and several of the guys who have been red hot lately have hit Leake hard in the past. Taylor Jungmann is going to be a good pitcher in this league, but I believe he'll have some rough starts early on due to some control problems. The ball is flying really well at Great American Ballpark this time of the year, and we have an umpire (Tumpane) with a small strike zone behind the dish.

The over is 5-0-2 in the Brewers last 7. The over is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a win. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0 in Leake's last 5 after the Reds have allowed 5 runs or more last game. A 31-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Milwaukee Brewers offense is finally healthy. They haven't been healthy all year, but now they are putting up runs in bunches with a healthy lineup. Lucroy is a big presence near the top of the order and Aramis Ramirez is healthy now too. Ryan Braun and Carlos Gomez are red hot in the middle of the order. Joshua Smith doesn't quite look ready for the big leagues yet for the Reds. Look for the Brewers bats to stay hot. Jimmy Nelson is prone to the home run and the ball is carrying well in Cincinnati this time of the year. 

The over is 4-0-2 in the Brewers last 6. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 5-0 in the Reds last 5 as a home underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 vs. the NL Central. A 33-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Matt Harvey vs. Zack Greinke in this one. Harvey went through a bit of a down period, but he has been amazing in his last three starts. Greinke has the best ERA in the league. Dodger Stadium is definitely a pitcher friendly park, and I think we'll see a great pitching duel here. The Mets offense is just awful right now, and the Dodgers offense has been underachieving of late. These are two right handers who can really miss bats, and I think we'll see a bunch of punch outs in this game. I don't like taking unders on a total this low, but I see both pitchers working deep into the game. A 2-1 or 3-1 type game here.

The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dodgers last 6 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent gives up 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 after the Dodgers score 2 runs or less. A 41-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Kansas City Royals have hit Tommy Milone hard in the past. Milone has an ERA above 6 in his last four outings against Kansas City. The Royals have a professional lineup that can make Milone pay for the mistakes he makes inside the strike zone. Jeremy Guthrie isn't a good pitcher. He is always capable of getting lit up, and this Twins offense has been surprisingly good this year. At a low number and at plus money, I like the value on the over in this one. The over is 4-0 in Milone's last 4 starts vs. the Royals. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense was dreadful in their four game sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians. They must now take on Mashiro Tanaka in New York. I know Tanaka wasn't sharp in his last outing, but I also am not writing him off as some others are. He can pile up the strikeouts, and strikeouts are an issue for this Rays lineup. Chris Archer is simply one of the best pitchers in baseball. Archer has been amazing against the Yankees in his career. He has a 2.02 ERA in 7 career starts vs. the Yankees. He has an even better 1.91 ERA in four career starts at Yankee Stadium. In Tanaka's 2 starts vs. the Rays he has a 1.93 ERA. 

The under is 2-0-2 in Archer's last 4 following a team loss. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in Archer's last 4 starts vs. the Yankees. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Colorado Rockies have a top five offense in baseball against right handed pitching. Jeremy Hellickson isn't a very good pitcher to start with, and he's been dealing with some minor injuries that have been bothering him lately. Chris Rusin is a below average lefty, and the Diamondbacks have been very good against lefties this year. The Diamondbacks bullpen is subpar and the Rockies bullpen is awful. Colorado is without closer John Axford right now, and he was one of the few relievers who had been pitching well. Both offenses should get a bunch of scoring opportunities in this one.

The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games with a total of 9 or higher. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0 in Hellickson's last 5 vs. the NL West. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts following a team loss. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Arizona between these teams. A 20-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* I don't like taking totals this low, but this is a total I would take down to 6. Sometimes day/night splits don't matter too much, but in the case of Jacob Degrom they matter to me a lot. Degrom has pitched in the daytime 12 times in his career. His ERA in those games is a sparkling 1.21. Jake Arrieta's daytime ERA with the Cubs is 2.68 as well. The Mets offensive woes are well documented, but the Cubs offense hasn't been much better of late. Both of these teams really struggle against right handed pitching, and in this one they'll be facing a very good righty. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense has woke up in Detroit in the last two days. They put up more than 20 hits yesterday and routed Detroit. Pittsburgh gets to go against Kyle Ryan in this one. Ryan is a young lefty who has had trouble commanding his pitches. His advanced metrics suggest his ERA should be around 5.50 right now. Francisco Liriano is a good lefty, but he does occasionally get hit hard by good lineups. Detroit ranks second in the majors in runs scored per game against left handed pitching. They are much deeper now that Victor Martinez is back in the lineup. Sam Holbrook is the umpire here, and he has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in the league, so that's a definite help.

The over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 5-0-1 in the Tigers last 6 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 Thursday games. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in the Tigers last 5 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series. The over is 9-0 in their last 9 after giving up 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Holbrook's last 4 interleague games behind the plate. A 53-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* Chris Sale is an elite pitcher. It's unfortunate for him that he plays on such a bad team, because it can be really tough for him to pick up wins. Sale has been throwing the ball tremendous in the past couple months. Lance Lynn was brilliant in his last start after coming back from the disabled list. Chicago's lineup has been disappointing all year. Playing in a NL park, the White Sox lose a hitter in this one and Sale will have to bat. The Cardinals offense has been amazing against right handed pitching this year, but they struggle against lefties, and Sale is one of the best. This total is low, but it's low for a good reason. Expect a pitcher's duel.

The under is 5-0-1 in the White Sox last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0 in Sale's last 4 during game one of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 following a day off. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a lefty. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 on 4 days of rest. A 45-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Monday MONEY* Wandy Rodriguez and Bud Norris are both guys I've faded successfully over the years. Rodriguez overachieved for a while this year with the Rangers, but he's come back down to earth quickly in his last two starts. Rodriguez is an aging pitcher who doesn't have good enough stuff to get through strong lineups anymore. Baltimore's lineup comes into this series scorching hot. Bud Norris is really inconsistent. While he is capable of throwing it well, he's also capable of getting knocked out of the game within the first couple innings. Texas is good against right handed pitching. With two starters who can give up the big inning, I'm comfortable taking the over at 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0 in Norris' last 5 home starts. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have one of the worst lineups in the majors without Giancarlo Stanton in the middle of the lineup. Prado is already out with an injury and he was one of the team's more consistent run producers too. Zack Greinke has been dealing so far this year, and it's unlikely that the Marlins will be able to do much damage at all against him. Jose Urena has been throwing it well in the month of June, and the Dodgers bats have been cold of late. This is a pitcher's park, and Don Mattingly has been known to sit out some of his better players on Sunday afternoon games.

The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 road games vs. a right handed starter. The under is 4-0 in Greinke's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 Sunday games. The under is 5-0-1 in Urena's last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 as an underdog. A 34-0 angle. Take the under.   

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The San Diego Padres have been an over bettors best friend so far this year. While most people point to only their much improved offense, it has also been their awful defense. The Padres outfield defense is the worst in baseball, and it isn't even close. Arizona has a star in Paul Goldschmitt and the lineup around him is good enough. Andrew Cashner's command has been really bad this year. Jeremy Hellickson isn't a very good pitcher. These two bullpens both rank in the bottom ten in the majors.

The over is 6-0 in Cashner's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 after the Padres allowed 2 runs or less last game. The over is 4-0 in Hellickson's last 4 vs. the NL West. The over is 3-0-1 in Hellickson's last 4 following a quality start last outing.  A 30-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies offense is second in the majors in weighted on base average against right handed pitching. Tim Lincecum was rocked in his last outing. Lincecum pitches better at home than on the road, but he definitely doesn't have elite stuff anymore, and this Rockies lineup is a good one. Chris Rusin hasn't been able to prove that he has the kind of stuff that can keep him in the majors in the past. Rusin is a pitch to contact guy, and the Giants offense is pretty good as well. This park is clearly a pitcher's park, but a day game makes it less pitcher friendly. The umpire here is a big help. Sam Holbrook may be the single best over umpire in the majors.

The over is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 following a win. The over is 6-0 in Lincecum's last 6. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts after the Giants allowed 5 runs or more. A 25-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star TGIF Late Night BAILOUT* The Oakland A's rank in the top five in the majors in hitting against right handed pitching. The Kansas City Royals are in the top ten. Edinson Volquez is nothing better than a mediocre pitcher in my opinion. Hahn is decent, but the A's bullpen and the A's defense are both terrible. This is definitely a pitcher's park, but with all the other things in play, a total of only 7 is too low. Both of these pitchers are inconsistent, and both teams have patient offenses that can wait for a bad inning from the opposing pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in Volquez's last 5 road starts. The over is 4-0-2 in his last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0-1 in the Royals last 5 with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The over is 5-0 in the A's last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Jacob Degrom has been terrific for the New York Mets this year. Taylor Jungmann has a really high upside as a young pitcher for the Brewers as well. The Mets offense has been the worst in the majors over the last few weeks. Jungmann has all the stuff necessary to strike out a lot of batters, and I like this matchup for him. Degrom has been dealing regardless of who he is up against lately. Also important to note is Degrom's amazing history during the daytime. I'm generally not a huge day vs. night splits guy, but Degrom has a career 1.34 ERA in 11 starts during the daytime. Vic Carrapazza is a solid under umpire behind the plate also.

The under is 8-1 in the Mets last 9. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road win percentage of 40% or lower. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Total of the Week* The Colorado Rockies and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet tonight at Coors Field. Coors Field might not be quite the launching pad that it once was, but it's still the best hitters park in baseball. With Allen Webster and David Hale starting in this one, I expect to see a bunch of runs. Webster has always had a lot of control problems, and putting people on base at Coors Field is a bad omen. The Rockies offense is tremendous against right handed pitching, and Webster will be one of the lowest ranked righties they have matched up against all year. David Hale isn't much better, and the Diamondbacks offense has been rolling lately. Both of these teams have bullpens that rank in the bottom ten in baseball, so once the starters leave there shouldn't be much relief. The forecast calls for wind blowing out about 10 mph through this game also, which will certainly help out. 

The over is 5-0 in the DBacks last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-1 in the Rockies last 8 games. The over is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 home games. Take the over big! 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Toronto Blue Jays are averaging 5.57 runs per game so far this year. Toronto is better against left handed pitching, but they are still very good against righties. Tampa Bay doesn't have a particularly good offense, but Toronto's pitching staff is terrible. Marco Estrada is an average or below average starter. Karns has been pitching well lately, but his advanced metrics suggest he is an average starter right now. Even if we assume the Blue Jays come up short of their normal run production, we only need 3 or 4 runs from the Rays here. With Toronto involved, this total is set too low. The Rays have been a huge under team on the road, but overs have been solid for them at home this year. 

The over is 6-0-2 in the Rays last 8 games as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 starts overall. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday's Best Bet* The Colorado Rockies have been amazing against right handed pitching this year. Matt Garza is having a really bad season. It's hard to imagine him turning things around against this Rockies lineup. Chris Rusin isn't a good pitcher. Rusin was terrible in the minors, but was still promoted to the big leagues. He hasn't been good in the majors either. The weather is a major factor here too. The temperature is expected to be 95 degrees for this one. A day game at Coors Field with a temperature like that means the ball will be flying extremely well. 

The over is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The over is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts after the Brewers scored 2 runs or less. The over is 3-0-1 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in his last 7 starts following a team loss. A 17-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Saturday Sweet CASH* The Boston Red Sox offense underachieved all year long. They have finally started to hit the ball better the last few days. I still believe this offense is capable of big things. Edinson Volquez has good numbers so far this year, but he is always capable of giving up a big number. He has been quite lucky so far this year, and that won't continue indefinitely. Rick Porcello has a career 4.3 ERA against the Royals. Kansas City's offense has been pounding out a lot of hits lately as well. 

A big key to this game is the weather. The temperature will be in the low 90's for this one and the wind is expected to be blowing out to center at almost 20 miles per hour. Those conditions will make a big difference, and with two solid offenses and a low total, I'm taking the over. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* It's the last game of this series, and this is often the spot where managers will look to sit a few of their best hitters to give them a bit of a break. That fact combined with the strong pitching matchup makes me like the under. Gerrit Cole is a superstar already at a very young age. Cole is unlikely to have trouble against a White Sox lineup that has the worst OBP in baseball this month. Samardzija has been shaky of late, but he does have good career numbers against the Pirates. Relatively cool weather and an under umpire behind the plate in Dan Bellino makes this a nice play.

The under is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 vs. a righty. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 on 4 days of rest. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 4-0-1 in Cole's last 5 when his opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox last 4 games vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Chicago. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Washington Nationals will start Doug Fister in this one. Fister was really bad before going onto the disabled list, but he was pitching hurt. Fister has proven himself to be a high quality big league pitcher in the past, and he looked great in his last rehab start (6 innings scoreless in Double A). Chris Archer is throwing the ball extremely well this year. Both of these offenses often struggle to string together hits. I don't think we'll see many good scoring chances in this one. Look for a pitcher's duel. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers stranded runners like it was their job last night. Milwaukee did end up getting to 5 runs with a three run ninth, but the offense wasn't good at cashing in on opportunities yesterday. Kansas City's offense is very professional. They don't have guys who strike out a lot, and this Brewers defense isn't good. If Kansas City puts balls in play as they normally do, good things should happen. Matt Garza's stuff has declined quite a bit in the past year. Chris Young isn't a bad pitcher, but the Brewers offense is much improved with Lucroy in the lineup and Braun being healthy. 

The over is 18-0 in the Brewers last 18 as an underdog following a home loss where they left 9 or more on base. The over is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 3-0-1 in Guccione's last 4 games behind the plate with Milwaukee involved. A 28-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Dallas Keuchel is still underrated. Keuchel has great stuff that usually forces opponents to hit it on the ground. The Rockies power hitters are likely to be neutralized by Kuechel's sinker. Colorado ranks 2nd in the majors in weighted on base average against righties, but 24th against lefties. Houston's offense is inconsistent and Chad Bettis has thrown the ball well this year. Houston strikes out at the highest rate of anyone in baseball, and he should take advantage of that.

The under is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 road games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in Houston's last 5 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in Keuchel's last 4 Monday starts. The under is 5-0 in Keuchel's last 5 overall. The under is 5-0 in Keuchel's last 5 as a favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 9-1 in Keuchel's last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing record on the road. A 41-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Atlanta Braves offense has really hit the baseball well against right handed pitching this year. Rick Porcello is among the streakiest pitchers in baseball, and Porcello has not been good of late. Williams Perez has very mediocre stuff, and the Red Sox offense is still very talented. Boston has underachieved this year, but I expect them to score a lot of runs from here on out. Also very important here is the fact that we have two of the five worst bullpens in baseball. There could certainly be a lot of runs in the late innings in this matchup.

The over is 3-0-1 in Atlanta's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a right handed starter. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The over is 3-0-1 in Boston's last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NL East. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 starts during game one of a series. A 45-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Chicago White Sox both rank in the bottom five in the majors when it comes to hitting against a left handed pitcher. Francisco Liriano is clearly an above average lefty in this league. Carlos Rodon has one of the highest upsides of any pitcher in baseball. He has thrown the ball really well in his last couple outings, and he has a favorable matchup here. Both of these starters are great at missing bats, and that should lead to a lot of whiffs.  There is a chance for rain during this game. In some cases that might keep me off a play, but with two strong bullpens here, I like the value on the under.

The under is 7-0 in the Pirates last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a lefty. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage is 40% or lower. The under is 4-0-2 in the Pirates last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 following a win. The under is 9-0 in their last 9 home games. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 as a favorite. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 after scoring two runs or less. A 46-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins can't hit right handed pitching, but they have been great against lefties this year. Most baseball bettors know which team in the majors is first in weighted on base average against lefties (Toronto), but most don't know that the Miami Marlins are second. Jorge De La Rosa is a mediocre lefty. Dan Haren isn't as good as his numbers look and the Colorado Rockies offense is far better than they have shown recently. Their recent poor production has lowered the number here, and that gives us a nice value. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins and Colorado Rockies square off in Miami on Saturday afternoon. Paul Schrieber is the home plate umpire in this one, and he has had the single smallest strike zone in the majors over the last few years. Pitchers often get frustrated with his zone, and it should hurt both David Hale and Mat Latos. Hale isn't a good pitcher, and Latos is a very emotional pitcher who can be prone to outbursts that hurt his performance. The Rockies offense is far better than they have shown in this series so far, and I expect them to break out soon. The Marlins offense is slowly coming around, and the Rockies bullpen is arguably the worst in baseball. There should be plenty of guys on base throughout this game. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been disappointing much of the year. They have been better of late, but Jesse Chavez has been throwing the ball extremely well lately. Chavez also has a 2.30 ERA in his career at Angels Stadium. Hector Santiago has been good this year, and the Oakland A's are much worse against left handed pitching than they are against righties. Oakland's bullpen is slowing throwing the ball slightly better, and the Angels bullpen has been very good this year. 

The under is 5-0 in the A's last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 4-0-2 in their last 6 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The under is 6-0-1 in Chavez's last 7 starts. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Santiago's last 5 after the Angels scored 5 runs or more last game. A 29-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers start Mike Fiers in this one. Fiers is a guy who I believe is underrated by many. He has a deceptive delivery and he does a good job producing a high rate of strikeouts. Jordan Zimmermann is another underrated pitcher. Zimmermann isn't necessarily flashy like some of the Nationals starters, but he is consistently good. Zimmermann has a career ERA of 1.50 at Miller Park. Also important to note is Zimmermann's 0.45 ERA in three starts with home plate umpire Mike Everitt behind the dish. Fiers has a career ERA of 1.59 against Washington. 

The under is 4-0 in Zimmermann's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Brewers last 8 following a win. The under is 6-0 in Fiers' last 6 starts. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* I've taken the under and cashed in the last two nights in this series and I'm taking the under again here. I usually don't take unders with guys making their major league debut, but I'm doing it here with Velasquez starting for Houston. He faces a White Sox lineup that has been bad this year. The Houston bullpen is one of the best in the league now, and the White Sox pen is much improved from a year ago too. For a very long time, the oddsmakers have been setting lines that are too high on Jose Quintana's games. The under is 35-15-3 in his last 53 starts overall. Quintana is an underrated lefty, and the Astros offense is reeling right now.

The under is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a lefty. The under is 6-0 in Quintana's last 6 after the White Sox allowed 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-0 in Toby Basner's last 7 games as the home plate umpire. A 30-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds offense has found its way against the hapless Philadelphia Phillies over the last couple weeks. Cincinnati is a much better team when Joey Votto is hot, and he hit 3 home runs last night and is seeing it as well as anyone in baseball now. Philadelphia's offense has been much better over the last few weeks, and the Reds pitching staff is bad. Jon Moscot hasn't been particularly good in the minors, and he doesn't have high quality stuff. Jerome Williams starts for the Phillies here, and he is way below league average when it comes to starting pitchers. It will be a warm day in Cincinnati and the ball should be flying well.

The over is 8-0 in the Phillies last 8 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 as an underdog. The over is 7-0 in the Reds last 7 vs. the NL East. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning percentage of 40% or lower. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 73-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Red Hot CASH* The Chicago White Sox have the lowest on base percentage in the majors against left handed pitching, and it's not even close. They'll face a really good lefty here in Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel is still underrated by many in my opinion. He keeps the ball down and does a good job commanding all of his pitches. Carlos Rodon is a tremendous talent. He is inconsistent right now, but he does a great job missing bats and the Astros strike out at a really high rate. Houston's offense has really cooled off lately, and I think this is a good spot for Rodon to perform at a high level. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Yankees have been swinging some really hot bats lately, but Max Scherzer is the perfect guy to cool off this Yankees lineup. Scherzer is coming off a slightly subpar start in Toronto. I don't think he'll struggle two starts in a row. This guy is throwing the ball better than he has in his entire career. Tanaka is healthy again for the Yankees and that's huge. Washington's lineup has been really bad lately. Both of these bullpens are excellent. Look for a nice pitcher's duel in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Houston Astros offense has struggled in a big in the last few games. Even against a really bad Toronto pitching staff, they had a tough time putting together big innings very often. Houston strikes out a lot and that plays right into the hands of lefty Chris Sale. Sale is one of the best lefties in the game, and he's been in great form the last few outings. The White Sox offense ranks in the bottom five in the majors in all of the major categories. Lance McCullers has electric stuff. I question his ability to be consistent throughout this year, but this is a good matchup for him. The under is 21-7 in the Astros last 28 games vs. a lefty. The under is 12-3 in the White Sox last 15 as a home favorite. Take the under. 

*4 Star Sunday Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners offense is really bad, and Chris Archer is a tremendous young pitcher. Archer has been in top form of late, and it's hard to see Seattle getting to him in this one. Montgomery is one of the top pitching prospects in the Mariners organization and I've liked what I've seen from him thus far. He'll face a Tampa Bay Rays lineup that is undoubtedly one of the worst lineups in the American League. Both pitchers get a huge boost from the home plate umpire in this one. Doug Eddings is behind the dish and he's arguably the best under umpire in the game because of his huge strike zone.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Rays last 7 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the Rays last 4 after a loss. The under is 4-0 in Seattle's last 4. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL East. The under is 11-1 in Seattle's last 12 as a home underdog of +110 to +150. A 40-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies offense has finally started to produce a bit of late. Oddsmakers have had to put really low totals on the Phillies games this year, but they are finally getting beat by a combination of the Phillies pitching staff being bad and their offense finally being less bad. Ryan Vogelsong has a career ERA of just about 5 on the road, and he isn't a guy I trust. Sean O'Sullivan is even worse than Vogelsong, and the Giants offense has been great against right handed pitching this year. Hunter Pence should miss this game, but the Giants still have a pretty nice lineup. Two pitchers who can give up runs in a hurry here.

The over is 5-0-2 in the Giants last 7. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 vs. the NL East. The over is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed starter. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set between 7 and 8.5. A 30-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star TGIF Play of Day* The Cleveland Indians offense has been great lately. Jason Kipnis is the hottest hitter in the American League, and he's knocking the cover off the ball from the leadoff spot. Carlos Santana is slowly warming up and Michael Brantley is a tremendous run producer. The Indians will face Chris Tillman here. Tillman has been really bad this year. He has an ERA close to 6. In his career when pitching at Cleveland, he has a 7.07 ERA. Shaun Marcum starts here for the Tribe, and it's hard to imagine he's an answer in the long run for Cleveland in the starting rotation. Marcum has a 5.49 ERA this year, and his advanced metrics suggest he has been even worse than that. Baltimore's offense has been slumping, but they are better than they have shown lately and Marcum might be the guy to help them get going. The over is 13-6 in the Indians last 19 home games. Take the over. 

*3 Star Game One 100% Angle CASH* The Golden State Warriors are very well known for their great offense, but this team ranked first in the NBA in defensive efficiency during the regular season. Golden State should have a good game plan to make life difficult for LeBron James. The long layoff likely favors the under with both teams being a little out of sort in this position normally. Cleveland's defense has been great in the postseason, and that's why they are here. The Cavs have played at the slowest tempo of any team in the postseason this year. Golden State isn't running nearly as much as they did in the regular season. Plenty of reasons to expect a lower scoring game than this posted line would suggest.

The under is 4-0 in the Cavs last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Warriors last 8 home games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 when playing on 3 or more days of rest. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points in the previous game. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NBA Central. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have an ace in Dallas Keuchel. This is a guy that doesn't get enough attention. Keuchel is great at keeping the ball on the ground and commanding all of his pitches. Baltimore's offense has been in a miserable slump over the past couple weeks. They are much worse against left handed pitching, and Keuchel is one of the best lefties in baseball today. Wei Yin Chen has been good against Houston in his career, and the Astros offense has definitely slowed down a lot of late. Brian Gorman is the home plate umpire here and his large strike zone is great news for both pitchers.

The under is 6-0-1 in Chen's last 7 as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts on grass. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The under is 4-0 in Keuchel's last 4 during game four of a series. An 18-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Angels offense ranks in the bottom five in the majors against right handed pitching. The Tampa Bay Rays have one of the worst offenses overall in baseball. Hector Santiago is really coming into his own for the Angels, and the Angels bullpen has been very good this year. Nate Karns was shaky early in the year, but he has been throwing the ball really well in his last few outings. The Angels have a lot of guys who are prone to striking out, and Karns has some good strikeout pitches. Jeff Kellogg is a pretty good draw for an under because of a relatively large strike zone. 

The under is 4-0 in Karns' last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Angels last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The under is 4-0 in Santiago's last 4 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. an AL East opponent. A 26-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Here we have a matchup between two pitchers who have been really nice surprises this season. Chris Heston's tremendous work this year is one of the main reasons the Giants have been able to be so good despite a lot of injury problems. A.J. Burnett wasn't good last year, but he dealt with a hip injury all of last year. He is healthy now, and he has been dealing. Burnett has been one of the top pitchers in the National League so far this year. Burnett's career ERA against the Giants is just barely above 2. Another key reason for this play is the main behind the dish. Bill Miller is one of the best under umpires in the game, and there will be a big strike zone in this one. Take the under. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Week* The Chicago White Sox should be without star first baseman Jose Abreu in this one. Abreu has a finger injury, and Robin Ventura he doesn't expect him to play Saturday. Abreu is undoubtedly the best hitter in this White Sox lineup, and Garcia is questionable with an injury too. Even with Abreu and Garcia, the White Sox have a weighted on base average of .246 against lefties which is easily the worst mark in the majors. Houston ranks 19th out of 30 against lefties. Dallas Keuchel and Jose Quintana are both underrated left handed starters. Keuchel is the type of guy who can totally shut down a lineup with his ability to keep the ball on the ground and pitch efficiently. Quintana is a better pitcher on the road than at home. Both of these guys are better when pitching during the daytime as well. These two bullpens are the most improved in baseball. 

The under is 8-0-2 in Quintana's last 10 Saturday starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the AL West. The under is 2-0 in Keuchel's last 2 starts. A 14-0 angle. Take the under big!