10-09-11 |
New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers OVER 51 |
|
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
84 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The Carolina Panthers are a much better football team than they were last year, but the defense still needs a lot of work. Carolina is allowing 25.5 points per game this year, and the Saints have one of the best offenses in the NFL. Cam Newton and the Panthers passing attack is ranked third in the NFL, and the Saints have struggled against the pass this year. This should be a game where both quarterbacks have a lot of success. Carolina is out to prove that they can play with the best teams in the NFL, but they'll have to score points to stick around in this one. I like the over here.
|
10-08-11 |
Georgia v. Tennessee OVER 57 |
|
20-12 |
Loss |
-110 |
115 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* This will be a battle of the SEC's best two quarterbacks in my opinion. Tyler Bray has helped turn this Tennessee offense into a dangerous one, and Aaron Murray continues to develop in his second year under center. Bray is completing 69% of his passes, and he has thrown 14 touchdowns and just two interceptions this year. Isiah Crowell gives the Bulldogs an impressive runner that takes pressure off Murray and the passing game for Georgia. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 games. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's last 11 games. I expect both offenses to put up quite a few points here. Take the over.
|
10-08-11 |
Louisiana Tech v. Idaho OVER 55 |
|
24-11 |
Loss |
-110 |
113 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Both of these defenses are terrible against the pass. Idaho is allowing 115th out of 120 teams in the nation against the pass, and Louisiana Tech is 114th against the pass. Expect both teams to be airing it out and putting up some big numbers here. Both teams have been prone to turnovers, which could lead to some defensive touchdowns in this one as well. In the last three meetings between these teams, the final scores have been 46-14, 35-34, and 48-35. I don't see either defense faring well at all in this one. I think this one clears the total quite easily. Take the over.
|
10-08-11 |
Arizona v. Oregon State OVER 59 |
|
27-37 |
Win
|
100 |
44 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Arizona's defense is extremely young, and they just aren't very good right now. Arizona has given up 38 points per game so far this year. Oregon State isn't very good offensively, but I do think they'll put up some points thanks to an improving passing game. On the other side, Arizona's pass offense is one of the best in the nation. Nick Foles should shred this Oregon State secondary that has been prone to giving up the big play. Both defenses are worse than last season, and I think the offenses will move the ball a lot in this one. Take the over.
|
10-08-11 |
Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 53 |
|
14-36 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Boston College is a team that just doesn't have much of an offense at all this year. The star of their offense is running back Montel Harris, and he is expected to miss this game with an injury. Boston College generally stays in the game because of a defense that bends but doesn't break. Clemson is a much improved team this year. The defense showed how great it can be by holding Virginia Tech to just three point in Blacksburg last week. Look for Clemson to shutdown Boston College here. The under is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 conference games. The under is 8-1 in Clemson's last 9 conference games. Take the under.
|
10-08-11 |
Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 53.5 |
|
41-20 |
Loss |
-105 |
43 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* Illinois has started the season 5-0. The Fighting Illini have done it largely because of a very underrated defense. The defense is allowing just 79 rushing yards per game and 17 points per game. Indiana's defense isn't very good, but they tend to play much better at home. Illinois doesn't have a great passing attack, and the Fighting Illini generally don't blow too many teams out on the road. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I expect an ugly game that stays under the posted total. Take the under.
|
10-07-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star DBacks/Brewers Total DOMINATION* It's a matchup of two aces in the deciding Game Five Friday night in Milwaukee. Gallardo pitched brilliantly in Game One, while Kennedy didn't have his best stuff. Kennedy was 21-5 this year, and I expect him to put forth a good effort here. Both pitchers should be able to make it deep into the game. Gallardo has an impressive 2.87 ERA at home this year. The under is 8-3 in Kennedy's last 11 starts. The under is 6-2 in Gallardo's last 8 home starts. Expect a close hard fought game here. Take the under.
|
10-06-11 |
California v. Oregon OVER 62.5 |
|
15-43 |
Loss |
-110 |
68 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Cal/Oregon Total DOMINATION* The Cal Golden Bears are averaging 39.5 points per game this year. Oregon is averaging 52 points per game this year (best in the nation). Both defenses are quite vulnerable. Oregon's defense isn't nearly as good as last year, and Cal should be able to score some points here. At the same time, Oregon's offense is as good as ever. The Ducks absolutely have the ability to put up 50 points or more in this game. Oregon will push the tempo in a big way and get out to a big lead here. I think Cal will find some success through the air in this game, and I expect a very high scoring game. The over is 16-4-1 in Oregon's last 21 home games. Take the over.
|
10-04-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 |
|
1-8 |
Push |
0 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers will look to sweep the Arizona Diamondbacks, while Arizona will look to stay alive. Shaun Marcum has been good most of the year, but he struggled down the stretch. He has a 6.62 ERA in his last three starts. Josh Collmenter has also struggled of late. Collmenter has a 5.50 ERA in his last three starts. Both of these teams have plenty of power hitters, and the roof is expected to be open in this one. Chase Field is a hitter's paradise when the roof is open, and I expect the ball to be flying well here. Take the over.
|
10-02-11 |
New England Patriots v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5 |
|
31-19 |
Loss |
-110 |
98 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The New England Patriots have scored 38, 35, and 31 points in their three games this year. I see no reason to think their productivity will drop against a weak Oakland secondary. On the other hand, Oakland has the best rushing attack in the NFL. I expect Darren McFadden to have a very big day against New England. Oakland scored 35 points against Buffalo and then lit up a very good New York Jets defense for 34 points. It wouldn't surprise me to see both teams at 30 points or more in this one. Expect a lot of big plays from both offenses. The over is 19-7 in the Patriots last 26. The over is 5-0 in the Raiders last 5 home games. Take the over.
|
10-02-11 |
Tennessee Titans v. Cleveland Browns UNDER 39.5 |
|
31-13 |
Loss |
-107 |
95 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Which defense is currently ranked first in the NFL in total defense? Not many people would know it, but it is the Tennessee Titans. Cleveland's offense has struggled to get going all year, and I think Tennessee will load up the box and force the Browns to try to beat them through the air. On the other side, despite having Chris Johnson, the Titans are dead last in rushing yards per game with a paltry 51 yards per contest. The Browns secondary is very good, so I don't expect Hasselbeck to find too many open receivers. Remember, Kenny Britt is injured, and he was Tennessee's best wideout. I like the under in this one.
|
10-01-11 |
Hawaii v. Louisiana Tech OVER 58 |
|
44-26 |
Win
|
100 |
120 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* Hawaii's Bryant Moniz is back for another year. Moniz is a terric quarterback for this pass happy system. He is completing 66% of his passes this year. He also has 11 TD's and just one pick. Louisiana Tech's pass defense isn't very impressive. They allowed 372 yards through the air at home against Central Arkansas earlier this year. The Louisiana Tech offense is averaging 30 points per game, and Hawaii's defense is notoriously bad away from home. The over is 5-2 in Hawaii's last 7 games. The over is 4-1 in La. Tech's last 5 home games. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
|
10-01-11 |
Duke v. Florida International OVER 57 |
|
31-27 |
Win
|
100 |
47 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value Play* Duke has a solid quarterback in Sean Renfree. Renfree knows the system well and he can pick apart a defense if he is given time to throw. Florida International's defense is no better than average, and their secondary is quite inexperienced. Duke averages 306 passing yards per game, and they should be able to air it out here. Duke's pass defense is poor as well, and TY Hilton and the Florida International offense should find lots of room to operate. The over is 6-1 in Duke's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 4-1 in FIU's last 5 games following a loss. Take the over.
|
10-01-11 |
Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 51 |
|
23-3 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Clemson/Va. Tech Total Domination* Frank Beamer and his Virginia Tech team have proven they know how to win football games at home. What is the secret? They run the football and control time of possession. They also play solid defense and make it a sloppy and low scoring game. Clemson's totals have gone over in all four of their games, which gives us a solid value here. I don't think the Tigers will find the offense nearly as easy to come by in this one. Expect Virginia Tech to keep it on the ground often here, which should help keep the clock ticking most of the game. The under is 9-2 in the Hokies last 11 games. Take the under.
|
10-01-11 |
Baylor v. Kansas State OVER 63.5 |
|
35-36 |
Win
|
100 |
112 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* It's hard to overstate just how amazing this Baylor offense has been this year. Baylor ranks second in all of college football in total offense. Robert Griffin III is completing a ridiculous 85 percent of his passes. Griffin is hands down the best dual-threat quarterback in college football. What about his decision making? Griffin has thrown 13 touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kansas State simply won't be able to stop Baylor. At the same time, Baylor's defense is not good at all. Kansas State's Bill Snyder should have Collin Klein and the offense ready with a good game plan for this game. The over is 9-3 in Kansas State's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last 6. Take the over.
|
10-01-11 |
Arizona v. USC OVER 57 |
|
41-48 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The Arizona Wildcats defense is very young and inexperienced this year. It has definitely shown in the first few games. Arizona has given up at least 37 points in each of their last three contests. The Wildcats secondary will likely be picked apart by Matt Barkley and Robert Woods of USC. Arizona's Nick Foles is a very good quarterback, and I expect Arizona to be able to move the ball well also. USC's secondary has been pretty poor in coverage this year. The over/under was posted at 61 in last year's game, and with a much worse Arizona defense this year, we also get a lower number. Take the over.
|
10-01-11 |
Kent State v. Ohio UNDER 47 |
|
10-17 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in college football in total offense. The Golden Flashes best offensive output was 281 total yards against South Alabama. In their other three contests, they have yet to top 200 yards of total offense. Ohio's defense is near the top of the MAC in most categories, and I don't think Kent State scores much at all here. On the other side, Kent State actually has a decent defense. I expect an ugly game with neither offense getting in a real rhythm. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
09-29-11 |
Houston v. UTEP OVER 64.5 |
|
49-42 |
Win
|
100 |
73 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Thursday Night Total DOMINATION* The Houston Cougars may have the best passing attack in the country. Case Keenum is back healthy and this offense is firing on all cylinders. Houston has scored at least 35 points in every game this year, and they are averaging 44 points per game on the season. This is a passing attack that averages 446 yards per game through the air. UTEP has yet to face a great offense this year, but they gave up 575 yards last week against South Florida. UTEP has a solid passing attack that is generally more productive at home, and Houston's defense is pretty weak. The over is 17-6 in Houston's last 23 games. In the last 4 meetings between these teams the total has finished at 65, 79, 99, and 78 points. I like the over in this one.
|
09-27-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* The Kansas City Royals offense has really heated up in the last couple weeks. The over is 10-1 in the Royals last 11 games overall. Anthony Swarzak will pitch for the Twins here, and he has a poor 7.24 ERA in his last three starts. Sean O'Sullivan is on the hill for the Royals, and he has been terrible this year. Both of these teams have a poor bullpen and both offenses have been hot of late. The over is 11-1-1 in the Twins last 13 as well. Look for a high scoring game here. Take the over.
|
09-27-11 |
Washington Nationals v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* After the start he had to the season, I honestly started wondering if Javier Vazquez's career was over, but he is absolutely dealing right now. He has an ERA of 0.00 in his last three starts. Three straight shutouts against quality teams, and now he'll face a weak Nationals lineup. John Lannan is a solid left-handed starter. The under is 11-4 in the Nationals last 15 road games. The under is 10-4 in the Marlins last 14 games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
|
09-27-11 |
Cincinnati Reds v. New York Mets OVER 8 |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Bronson Arroyo has pitched terribly all year. He pitched a complete game shutout last game, but I don't think he'll be great two games in a row. Marvin Hudson is behind the dish here, and he is a solid over umpire. Chris Capuano is a hittable lefty, and the Reds punish left-handed pitching. The over is 7-1 in the Mets last 8. The over is 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. I like this one to be high scoring. Take the over.
|
09-25-11 |
NY Jets v. Oakland Raiders UNDER 41.5 |
|
24-34 |
Loss |
-110 |
111 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Raiders are a very good running team, but the Jets front seven is extremely talented. The Jets are a great running team as well, but Oakland has an extremely strong defensive line. Both of these teams will likely be attempting to establish the run, but I don't see either team running as well as normal in this one. Mark Sanchez and Jason Campbell have both shown they aren't generally able to air it out and pick up huge yardage through the air. This has the makings of a defensive struggle. I like the under here.
|
09-25-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers UNDER 10 |
|
5-12 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Texas Rangers have clinched the American League West. If yesterday's lineup is any indication, we should expect lots of days off for the team's best players in days to come. Hamilton, Cruz, Kinsler, and Andrus were all out of the lineup yesterday. I wouldn't be surprised if guys like Moreland, Young, and Andrus get the day off Sunday. Derek Holland has been absolutely dealing of late. He is 15-5, and he has an ERA of 2 in his last three starts. The Mariners lineup is extremely weak. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he is probably the biggest 'under' umpire in the majors. How about these trends? The under is 6-1 in Furbush's (Seattle's starter in this one) last 7 starts. The under is 40-17-5 in Eddings last 62 Sunday games behind the plate. Take the under.
|
09-25-11 |
Houston Texans v. New Orleans Saints OVER 53 |
|
33-40 |
Win
|
100 |
108 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The Houston Texans have a very capable offense. Matt Schaub and Andre Johnson is one of the best quarteback/wide receiver combos in the league. Arian Foster is dinged up, but Ben Tate is a solid backup. Houston's defense is very weak against the pass, and the Saints can definitely air it out. Drew Brees has 6 TD's and 0 interceptions this year, and I expect them to move the ball quite easily against the Texans secondary. The over is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 games as an underdog. The over is 8-3-1 in the Saints last 12 games during September. Take the over.
|
09-24-11 |
Oregon v. Arizona OVER 64 |
|
56-31 |
Win
|
100 |
96 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oregon/Arizona Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks were beaten soundly by LSU in week one, but don't let that fool you into thinking this team isn't dangerous. Oregon's offense is definitely one of the top five in the nation, and they have shown that the last couple weeks. The Ducks put up 69 points against Nevada. They then had 56 points before the end of the third last week against Missouri State before calling off the dogs. Arizona's defense was riddled by Stanford last weekend, and I think Oregon's offense is better. Both Oklahoma State and Stanford scored 37 on Arizona. I expect Oregon to top 40 points here. Oregon's defense is definitely down from a year ago, and Arizona put up 23 on them last year. This has all the makings of a shootout. The over is 16-7 in Oregon's last 23 games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups between these two. Take the over.
|
09-24-11 |
Connecticut v. Buffalo OVER 46 |
|
17-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
91 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ugly Football Totals Winner* I certainly won't be watching this game on Saturday, and I don't think you should either. Both of these teams aren't very good at all, but I think there is a good value on the total here. Chazz Anderson has helped the Buffalo offense become formidable this year. The Buffalo defense is very bad. The Bulls have been getting gashed on the ground by teams who aren't very good. UConn has a solid ground game and I expect them to use it effectively this week. These teams have played the last two years and the score has been 45-21 and 38-20. The total is set so low here that I like the over.
|
09-24-11 |
Tulane v. Duke OVER 54.5 |
|
27-48 |
Win
|
100 |
110 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Tulane Green Wave are short-handed in the secondary right now. Southeastern Louisiana threw for 295 yards and Tulsa threw for 246 yards against them. Duke's Sean Renfree has a good understanding of the Blue Devils offense, and he should be able to move this team up and down the field against a weak secondary. Duke's defense is giving up 29 points per game this year. Tulane has a solid quarterback in Ryan Griffin. Griffin should find plenty of open receivers against Duke. The over is 6-1 in Tulane's last 7. The over is 5-1 in Duke's last 6 non-confernce games. Take the over.
|
09-24-11 |
Georgia v. Ole Miss UNDER 54.5 |
|
27-13 |
Win
|
100 |
85 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Total* The Ole Miss offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive coordinator admitted earlier this week that he decided to reduce the playbook by 25 or 30% this week because the offense just can't get the plays right. The running game has been pretty good the last couple years, but team's are now stacking the box since the Rebels can't throw it much at all. The Rebels defense is only allowing 22.7 points per game, and they should play inspired at home this week against an SEC foe. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. TAke the under.
|
09-24-11 |
North Carolina v. Georgia Tech OVER 58 |
Top |
28-35 |
Win
|
100 |
106 h 16 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play of the Week* Georgia Tech always has one of the best running games in the country since Paul Johnson is their coach. This year Tevin Washington is giving them an extra dimension with his ability to throw the ball. Washington has thrown for more than 600 yards in just three games. He has 7 touchdowns and zero interceptions. How good is the Yellow Jackets rushing attack? The team has three players with at least ten carries this year that are averaging 10 yards or more per carry. On the other side, North Carolina has a budding star in quarterback Bryn Renning. Renning has completed 81% of his passes this year, and he has made this offense much more dynamic. Georgia Tech has scored at least 49 points in each of their 3 games this year. I think both offenses will have a leg up on the defenses here. The over is 7-0 in Georgia Tech's last 7 September games. This is my biggest play of the week. Take the over.
|
09-24-11 |
San Diego State v. Michigan OVER 60 |
|
7-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
69 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Michigan Wolverines haven't been quite as dynamic on offense this year, but I think they still can be when they need to be. San Diego State's offense is led by Ryan Lindley, a talented four year starter at quarterback. Ronnie Hillmann is a great sophomore running back for the Aztecs. I expect the Aztecs to be able to move the ball a lot in this one against a subpar Michigan defense. San Diego State has allowed 199 yards per game on the ground, and Denard Robinson should take advantage of that. It is Brady Hoke's new team against his old team this Saturday. I expect a high scoring game. Take the over.
|
09-23-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Houston Astros UNDER 8 |
|
2-11 |
Loss |
-105 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Drew Pomeranz is one of the highest rated prospects in baseball. He has had two great starts to begin his career despite pitching at Coors Field. He'll get to take on a weak Houston Astros lineup now in a little more pitcher-friendly ballpark. Brett Myers has thrown three straight quality starts and he has an ERA under 2 in those starts. The majority of the Rockies lineup is backups since they have so many injuries. Expect both pitchers to take advantage of weak lineups here. Take the under.
|
09-23-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 9.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers have clinched the AL Central, but Jim Leyland has been continuing to play Victor Martinez, Miguel Cabrera, and most of the starters on a daily basis. Alfredo Simon will pitch for the Orioles in this one. Simon has an ERA of 6.75 in his last three starts. Rick Porcello has been pretty good of late for the Tigers, but he has struggled at home all year. He has a 5.91 ERA at home this year. The Orioles offense has been putting up runs in bunches. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games. Take the over.
|
09-22-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6.5 |
|
2-8 |
Loss |
-120 |
22 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Madison Bumgarner has been terrific of late. Bumgarner has allowed two runs or less in eight of his last nine starts. The lefty will face a short-handed Dodgers lineup on Thursday night. Hiroki Kuroda has been very solid this year. He has a 3.21 ERA on the season. The Giants offense is very short-handed right now as well. I think both pitchers will find Jim Wolf's strike zone beneficial. Expect both pitchers to last quite a while in this one. I expect a close and low scoring game. Take the under.
|
09-22-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ervin Santana has been great this year, but he hasn't been nearly as dominant of late. In 6 of his last 8 starts Santana has allowed at least 4 runs. The Blue Jays have a solid offense, and they can generally score some runs at home. Henderson Alvarez is a pretty good young pitcher, but the Angels are locked in on offense right now. Alvarez has a 4.40 ERA at home this year. Tim McClelland is the umpire in this one, and he is one of the best over umpires in the game because of his very small strike zone. The over is 15-6 in the Angels last 21 road games. The over is 15-6-2 in the Jays last 23. Take the over.
|
09-22-11 |
New York Mets v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 |
|
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Mets don't have much to play for at this point, and it seems that it making their games higher scoring. The over is 21-7-1 in their last 29 road games. The Cardinals have plenty to play for, and I think they'll be able to get to Chris Capuano. Capuano has a 5.29 ERA on the road this year. Jake Westbrook pitches for the Cardinals. He has a 5.59 ERA at home and a 5.15 ERA during the day. Jim Reynolds is a huge over umpire, and he is behind the dish for this one. Take the over.
|
09-20-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 5.5 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Could there be a better pitching matchup in the National League? Clayton Kershaw would have my vote as this year's CY Young winner in the National League, and Tim Lincecum has already won it twice. Lincecum and Kershaw have squared off three times already this year. The final scores were 2-1, 2-1, and 1-0. Quite honestly, I could easily see this one staying at 3 runs or below once again. I expect both of these pitchers to be in the game a long time. Both offenses are very weak. This is a very low number, but I really like the under.
|
09-20-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10 |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Rick VandenHurk has pitched just six innings in the majors so far this season. He has looked very shaky. His minor league numbers really aren't very good. The Red Sox aren't the type of lineup you want to put a guy like VandenHurk up against. Erik Bedard hasn't pitched in quite a while, and he has struggled to find the zone all year long when he has been on the mound. The Orioles pounded out hits all day yesterday, and they should put up several runs here. I expect this one to easily surpass the posted total.
|
09-20-11 |
1DH Chicago W/Sox v. 1DH Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Fausto Carmona has been crushed by the Chicago White Sox throughout his career. Carmona has a 5.54 ERA against the White Sox. The Indians have really started hitting the ball much better themselves of late. The over is a stunning 14-2-1 in Cleveland's last 17 games. The middle of the order is much more formidable with Hafner and Sizemore back. Gavin Floyd has a 5.06 ERA in his last three starts. Carmona has an ERA of 10.66 in his last three starts. I expect some runs to be scored here. Take the over.
|
09-18-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Minnesota Twins are extremely short-handed offensively right now. There is no Mauer, Morneau, Kubel, or Valencia in the lineup. The Indians are without Michael Brantley and Shin Soo-Choo. Justin Masterson has been solid all year, but he has been shaky in his last three starts. I think he'll pitch better again Sunday against this weak Twins lineup. Carl Pavano has a solid 3.42 ERA at home this season. The under is 4-0 in Pavano's last 4 starts against the Indians. The under is 7-0 in Masterson's last 7 against the Twins. The wind is expected to be blowing in as well. I like the under in this one.
|
09-18-11 |
New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland is one of baseball's biggest 'over' umpires. He has a very small strike zone, which will likely frustrate Dillon Gee and Brandon Beachy Sunday afternoon. Gee has an ERA over 5.5 on the road this year. The over is 5-1 in his last 6 road starts. Beachy has been pretty good this year, but the over is 5-1 in his last 6 starts overall as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Mets last 27 road games. With the total sitting at just 8 for this one, I like the value on the over.
|
09-18-11 |
New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 |
|
0-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
12 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Freddy Garcia will start for the Yankees, and he is definitely off schedule right now. The Blue Jays have a pretty good lineup, and I expect them to score some runs here. Brandon Morrow has been horrible at home and during the day this year. Morrow has a 6.91 ERA at home and a 6.5 ERA during the day. The Yankees lineup is arguably the best in baseball right now, and I think they'll make it very tough on him. The ball really flies in Toronto during the daytime when the roof is open, and I expect it to be open on Sunday. I think this one will be high scoring. Take the over.
|
09-18-11 |
Kansas City Chiefs v. Detroit Lions OVER 44 |
|
3-48 |
Win
|
100 |
141 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Kansas City Chiefs defense was lit up like a Christmas tree by Buffalo last weekend. Detroit's offense will be much better this year with a healthy Matt Stafford under center. Calvin Johnson is a beast on the outside, and the Lions have a solid offensive nucleus. Kansas City lost Eric Berry, their most talented player in the secondary, and he will miss the rest of the year. On the other side, I do expect Jamaal Charles and the Chiefs to be able to move the ball on the ground some in this one. The over is 8-2 in the Lions last 10 home games, and with Stafford healthy I think this Lions offense is very good. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
|
09-17-11 |
Utah v. BYU UNDER 47 |
|
54-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
81 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Total Domination* The BYU Cougars have played to a 14-13 and 17-16 final in their first two games. At this point, it is pretty clear that the BYU defense is ahead of the offense. The same thing happened last year with this team at the beginning of the season. Utah held a pretty good USC offense in check last weekend. The Utes have a fairly pedestrian offense. The under is 3-1 in the last 4 meetings in this in-state rivalry. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at BYU. I expect both defenses to flex their muscles in this one. Take the under.
|
09-17-11 |
Oklahoma v. Florida State OVER 55 |
|
23-13 |
Loss |
-110 |
53 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oklahoma/FSU Total Domination* Oklahoma's high octane offense will be difficult for anyone to stop this year. The Sooners defense isn't bad, but they certainly aren't one of the best in the land. If Florida State is going to keep up with Oklahoma, they'll have to put up quite a few points in this one. I think the Seminoles are equipped to put together long drives and score some points here. At the same time, I think Oklahoma will wear down the Florida State defense with their fast paced offense. Last year's game saw Oklahoma roll to a 47-17 win. Florida State should be highly motivated in this one, and I expect a high scoring close game here. Take the over.
|
09-17-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 |
|
2-6 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Zach Britton has been very good most of the year. He has a stellar 2.84 ERA at home this year. The Angels have never seen him, which should give him a leg up on the Angels hitters. Ervin Santana has been solid all year long. Santana has a 3.30 ERA this season. The under is 19-9 in Santana's 28 starts this year. The under is 4-0 in Britton's last 4 home starts. The wind will be blowing in from center at about 10 mph here, and that should help both pitchers quite a bit. Expect both pitchers to pitch well in this one. Take the under here.
|
09-17-11 |
Central Michigan v. Western Michigan UNDER 56 |
|
14-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
72 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* It's a battle of two directional Michigan schools in the MAC this Saturday. Central Michigan has a solid secondary led by Jahleel Addae. Western Michigan counts on throwing the football all the time, and if forced to run it, they will have some trouble offensively. Western Michigan probably has the best front four in the MAC, and that should give Ryan Radcliffe and the Central Michigan offense quite a bit of trouble. Central Michigan only put up 21 points against South Carolina State, so their offense isn't too strong. The under is 6-2 in Central Michigan's last 8. The under is 4-1 in the Broncos last 5 home games. Take the under.
|
09-17-11 |
West Virginia v. Maryland OVER 55 |
|
37-31 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Totals Takedown* Dana Holgorsen is an offensive minded coach, and everywhere he has been the team's offense has put up points. Geno Smith is a good quarterback for the system and Tavon Austin is a real threat at the wide receiver spot. Maryland's Danny O'Brien is a much better quarterback than most people realize, and the West Virginia defense lot a ton of talent from last year. Maryland rolled up 499 total yards against Miami, and I expect Randy Edsall's team to be a solid balanced offense this year. I like this one to go over the total.
|
09-17-11 |
Wyoming v. Bowling Green OVER 52 |
|
28-27 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wyoming Cowboys don't have much of a passing attack, but the running game is pretty good. Bowling Green's weakness defensively is stopping the run, so I expect Wyoming to be able to move the ball in this one. Bowling Green runs a west coast offense. Matt Schilz is a solid quarterback and I think the Falcons will score quite a few points this season. The Wyoming secondary is extremely inexperienced, and that should show quite frequently this weekend. Schilz was injured quite a bit last year, but he is healthy this year. I expect Bowling Green totals to move higher as the year goes along. I like the value on the over.
|
09-15-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 |
|
4-7 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Alexi Ogando was great through the first 2/3 of the season, but he has struggled mightily for the last month or so. Ogando has a 9.26 ERA in his last three starts. He has given up 5 runs or more in 3 of his last 4 home starts. Fausto Carmona has a career 5.16 ERA against the Texas Rangers. Texas has a lot on the line right now, and I expect their offense to continue to pound out hits. The Indians offense is a little better now that Sizemore and Hafner are back. Shin Soo-Choo is expected back in this one as well. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Indians last 7 games. Take the over.
|
09-14-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Clayton Kershaw has been absolutely dominating this year. He proably won't win it because the Dodgers are bad, but he should win the NL CY Young award this year if he finishes well. How good has he been? Kershaw has a 2.36 ERA and an 18-5 record for a team that sits below .500 on the season. At home, he is even better. Kershaw has a 1.80 ERA at home this year. Daniel Hudson has been spectacular of late. Hudson has an ERA of 0.78 in his last three starts. The Dodgers offense isn't very good to start with, and they are without Ethier and Blake now. The under is 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 starts. The under is 6-1 in Kershaw's last 7 home starts. Take the under.
|
09-13-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10 |
|
6-18 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Wakefield just can't seem to get that 200th win. The Red Sox have blown some leads for him, but he also hasn't been pitching very well. He has given up at least 4 runs in seven of his last ten starts overall. Toronto has a solid offense and they should be able to score. Brandon Morrow has an ERA of 9.70 in more than 34 career innings against the Red Sox. Boston realizes they need to win now that the Rays are closing in on the Wild Card spot. I expect both offenses to put up several runs here. Take the over.
|
09-12-11 |
Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 40.5 |
|
23-20 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie CRUSHER* The Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos both have a new coach this year. The Raiders team lost quite a bit of talent, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Oakland lost the best corner in football, and now their secondary is banged up. While Denver wasn't very good last year, the passing game was very effective. On the other side, Denver was one of the worst defenses in the NFL. The Broncos simply couldn't stop the run, and that is exactly what the Raiders do very well. With McFadden and Bush running hard behind a talented run blocking offensive line, I expect the Raiders to run the ball well on Monday night. The over is 16-5 in Denver's last 21 games overall. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
09-12-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 8.5 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeff Niemann has been hith hard in his last two starts, but those starts were both against the heavy hitting Texas Rangers. Baltimore's lineup is a little short-handed right now, and Adam Jones will miss this game. Niemann has a 3.36 ERA on the road this year. Zach Britton has been great at home all year. Britton has a 2.54 ERA at home this season. Phil Cuzzi will be the umpire in this one, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. The under is 7-1-1 in Britton's last 9 home starts. Take the under.
|
09-11-11 |
Carolina Panthers v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 36.5 |
|
21-28 |
Win
|
100 |
88 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Carolina Panthers will have Cam Newton under center as they start off the 2011-2012 season. Newton will certainly give them a play maker at the quarterback position. Stewart and Williams give the Panthers a nice tailback tandem, and Smith is still one of the best receivers in the NFL. I think Carolina's offense will be quite a bit better than they were last year. Arizona picked up Kevin Kolb, which should help their passing game a lot. Larry Fitzgerald might be the most talented receiver in football, and Kolb should connect deep with him at least once or twice a game. Both teams improved offensively, and I think the oddsmakers have this one set too low. Take the over.
|
09-11-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-113 |
15 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Dodgers and Giants are both very short-handed offensively right now. Andre Ethier, Juan Uribe, and Casey Blake are out for the Dodgers. Buster Posey, Freddy Sanchez, and others are out for the Giants. Madison Bumgarner has quietly been pitching great. Bumgarner has a 1.19 ERA in his last three starts. Hiroki Kuroda has an impressive 2.89 ERA on the road this season. Vic Carapazza is behind home plate in this one. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 games behind the dish. Take the under here.
|
09-10-11 |
BYU v. Texas UNDER 48.5 |
|
16-17 |
Win
|
100 |
48 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars and the Texas Longhorns are two teams that are quite a bit like each other. Both teams have a quarterback with quite a bit of promise, but they haven't been terribly consistent. Both defenses have had to carry the offenses in the past year, and I expect that to be the case quite a bit in this game. BYU won 14-13 last week, but their last touchdown was a defensive score. Texas struggled in the first three quarters against a terrible Rice defense. Neither team will be able to air it out much in this one. Look for a lot of running that will keep the clock ticking. The under is 6-1 in BYU's last 7 road games. The under is 5-1 in Texas' last 6 home games. Take the under.
|
09-10-11 |
Cincinnati v. Tennessee OVER 53 |
|
23-45 |
Win
|
100 |
45 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Top Total* After Tyler Bray took over as quarterback last season, the Tennessee offense became much more productive. The team averaged 35.4 points per game in their last five contests last year. They opened by putting up 42 points against Montana last week. Cincinnati has a very skilled quarterback in Zach Collaros. The Bearcats rolled up 72 points against Austin Peay last week. Neither of these teams have a strong defense, and I think this could turn into a track meet. Look for both quarterbacks to have a big day in this one. The over is 8-1 in Tennessee's last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Volunteers last 7 non-conference games. Take the over.
|
09-10-11 |
Central Michigan v. Kentucky UNDER 47.5 |
|
13-27 |
Win
|
100 |
41 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Totals TKO* The Kentucky Wildcats beat Western Kentucky 14-3 in week one. Kentucky managed just 190 yards of total offense against a very questionable defense. Without Locke and Cobb Kentucky really lacks playmakers on offense. Central Michigan put up just 256 yards of total offense against South Carolina State last week. Kentucky's defense is a swarming defense, and I suspect the Chippewas will find it difficult to move the ball this week as well. Both teams will try to establish the run, but neither team is very good at running the ball. I expect a lot of punting in this one. Take the under.
|
09-09-11 |
Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
|
4-13 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF Bookie BEATDOWN* Brandon McCarthy has been pitching great of late, and I suspect that is why the posted total is set so low here. I think it is giving us a lot of value on the over. McCarthy has a 1.82 ERA in his last three starts, but he has a career 4.61 ERA against the Texas Rangers. Colby Lewis has a 9.39 ERA in his last three starts. He has been terrible at home all year. The Athletics have been hitting the ball much better over the last few weeks. The over is 34-12-5 in Oakland's last 51 games. The over is 6-0 in Lewis' last 6 starts against the Athletics. The over is 11-3 in Lewis' last 14 starts at home. The over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. All signs point to the over. I like the value on the over.
|
09-08-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The San Diego Padres offense averages just 3.73 runs per game. The Padres are without Hawpe, Headley, and Forsythe right now. Ian Kennedy has been absolutely brilliant this year. Kennedy is 18-4 with a 2.96 ERA. He has a stunning 0.86 ERA in his last three starts. Cory Luebke is a talented young lefty for the Padres. Luebke has a 2.94 ERA on the road this year and a WHIP of just 0.96. The under is 5-1 in Luebke's last 6 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Kennedy's last 5 home starts. Take the under in this one.
|
09-07-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 |
|
10-11 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Wakefield is a streaky pitcher. If he has the knuckler working he can be very difficult to hit, but when he is struggling he can be very hittable. He has been very hittable of late (6.23 ERA last three starts). Brandon Morrow has a horrible 6.38 ERA at home over 79 innings this season. The over is 5-1 in his last 6 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the Red Sox. I expect both teams to put up several runs in this one. The scoreboard should light up here. Take the over.
|
09-07-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7 |
|
8-6 |
Loss |
-120 |
10 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Justin Verlander has probably been the most dominant pitcher in baseball this year. The Cleveland Indians are missing Hafner, Choo, Brantley, and others from their lineup right now. Justin Masterson has a terrific 2.92 ERA this season. The under is 8-1 in Masteron's last 9 home starts. The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two in Cleveland. Brian Gorman is the umpire here and he has a wide strike zone that both pitchers will use to their advantage. Take the under in this one.
|
09-06-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 6.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Ervin Santana has been very good this season. He has an ERA of 3.27 on the year. Ironically, Felix Hernandez has an identical 3.27 ERA. Santana hasn't pitched quite as well the last three games, but I think he'll bounce back against a weak Seattle offense. King Felix has looked great in his last three starts. Hernandez has an ERA of 2.35 in his last three starts. The under is 7-1-2 in Santana's last 10 starts. The under is 5-1-1 in Hernandez's last 7 starts against the Angels. Take the under.
|
09-06-11 |
New York Mets v. Florida Marlins OVER 9 |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Miguel Batista is 41 years and he will be starting for the Mets in this one. Batista has never been very good as a starter, and his stuff isn't even as good as it used to be. Chris Volstad starts for the Marlins. Volstad has a 5.48 ERA this year. The Mets have been hitting the ball very well of late since Reyes has come back into the lineup. The over is 4-0-1 in Florida's last 5 games. The over is 4-0-1 in the Mets last 5 games. Dana DeMuth is the umpire here. The over is 23-5 in Demuth's last 28 games behind the plate. Take the over!
|
09-05-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Detroit Tigers pounded out 24 hits and 18 runs last night in a win over the Chicago White Sox. I like to look for a chance to pick the under after a team has put up so many runs the previous night. Rarely do you see big outputsd two days in a row, and in this case the Tigers will be facing Ubaldo Jimenez at Cleveland. Jimenez has a 1.71 ERA in 21 innings at home since being traded to Cleveland. Doug Fister starts for the Tigers, and he has been amazing. Fister has an ERA of 0.83 in his last three starts. The Indians offense is severely short-handed right now because of injuries, and I think Fister will fare well against them. The under is 11-5-1 in the Tigers last 17 road games. The under is 6-2 in the Indians last 8 games. I expect a low scoring game. Take the under.
|
09-04-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 |
|
2-7 |
Loss |
-116 |
15 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The San Diego Padres offense has been slumping badly again of late. Chase Headley and Cameron Maybin were the team's top two hitters, but they are both out of the lineup right now. Aaron Cook hasn't pitched well this year, but I think he'll fare better against this weak Padres lineup. Mat Latos has pitched very well in the last couple months. 8 of his last 10 starts have been quality starts. John Hirschbeck is the umpire behind the dish here, and that is great news for 'under' bettors. The under is 32-12 in Hirschbeck's last 44 Sunday games. Take the under.
|
09-04-11 |
Minnesota Twins v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 9 |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Joel Piniero has been beaten up pretty badly of late. Piniero has an ERA of 7.71 in his last three appearances. He also has a 6.61 ERA during the day this season. The Twins put up 6 runs on Jered Weaver Saturday, and I think they'll get to Piniero. Kevin Slowey has struggled all year, and he hasn't been any better of late. The over is 18-6 in the Angels last 24, and the bats of guys like Vernon Wells and Torii Hunter have come alive of late. The over is 20-6-2 in their last 28 meetings. I think both pitchers are capable of giving up 6 or 7 runs. I really like the over in this one.
|
09-04-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Boston Red Sox OVER 10 |
|
11-4 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* John Lackey gets better run support than any starting pitcher in baseball. Lackey has an ERA of almost six and yet he has a winning record on the season. Lackey's ERA is actually a little above 6 at home. Lackey also has allowed 13 runs to Texas in just two starts this year. Matt Harrison started the year well, but he has been struggling of late. He gave up 7 runs to the Red Sox last time out, and this Boston lineup is starting to get healthy again. With Ellsbury, Pedroia, Gonzalez, Youkilis, and Ortiz the top five are very tough. I expect a slugfest here. Take the over.
|
09-03-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. San Diego Padres UNDER 7 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-125 |
18 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The San Diego Padres are one of the worst offenses in the majors. Right now their lineup is short-handed, which has hurt their production even more. Cameron Maybin, Brad Hawpe, and Chase Headley are all out. Alex White hasn't been very good so far for the Rockies, but he was great in the minors and I think he'll do well against the Padres. Cory Luebke has been tremendous so far this year, and the Rockies bats have been cold on the road of late. The under is 10-3 in the Rockies last 13 road games. Take the under.
|
09-03-11 |
South Carolina v. East Carolina OVER 62 |
|
56-37 |
Win
|
100 |
51 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM* The South Carolina Gamecocks offense is extremely good this year. Marcus Lattimore will be one of the best running backs in the country, and Alshon Jeffery might be the best reciever in the country. Stephen Garcia has gotten better each year and I expect him to have a solid season. East Carolina runs an uptempo offense and they air it out early and often. South Carolina allowed opponents to throw for 242 yards per game last year. Domonique Davis is a very good quarterback and I expect him to take advantage of the Gamecocks secondary. At the same time, East Carolina's defense was absolutely horrendous last year. By many different statistics, they had the worst defense in the entire nation in 2010. Navy scored 76 points on East Carolina while running all over them. Expect South Carolina to be able to do whatever they want in this one. East Carolina's last five games last season all went over the total, and they all finished with at least 71 points total. I think there is a lot of value on the over in this one.
|
09-03-11 |
UCLA v. Houston OVER 61.5 |
|
34-38 |
Win
|
100 |
162 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The UCLA Bruins were bad last year, and Rick Neuheisel is definitely on the hot seat right now. The single biggest problem for UCLA last season was the weakness defensively. UCLA gave up 30.3 points per game last year. Houston suffered through a difficult season last year, but things should be much different with Case Keenum under center once again. Keenum is one of the nation's best quarterbacks and he'll instantly make this Houston offense great once again. Despite having their third string quarterback playing most of the year, Houston still averaged 37 points per game last year. Expect that number to go up quite a bit this season. Houston's front seven isn't very good at all defensively, and the UCLA Bruins can definitely run the football. Franklin is a very good back for the Bruins, and I expect him to do quite a bit of damage here. The over is 5-2 in UCLA's last 7 road games. The over is 7-1 in Houston's last 8 home games. Take the over.
|
09-03-11 |
Toronto: R Romero v. New York (A): B Colon UNDER 9 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-116 |
10 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Bartolo Colon will be on the hill for the Yankees in this one. Colon has been superb when pitching during the day this year. He has a 2.36 ERA during the day in 2011. Ricky Romero will pitch for Toronto, and he has been excellent this season. Romero has a 2.87 ERA in 2011. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. The under is 5-1-2 in Romero's last 8 road starts. Phil Cuzzi is behind the plate here, and he is one of the biggest under umpires in the league. Take the under.
|
09-02-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 |
|
5-4 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF Play of the Day* The Cleveland Indians are severely short-handed right now. Travis Hafner, Grady Sizemore, Michael Brantley, and Shin-Soo Choo are all out of the lineup. The Indians are plugging in a lot of youngsters who really aren't ready for the majors quite yet. Bruce Chen has a solid 3.94 ERA this year, and his ERA is 3.63 at home. The Indians are terrible against lefties (3.79 runs per game). Justin Masterson has been very good all year for the Indians. Masterson has an impressive 2.83 this year, and he has been great on the road. He has a road ERA of 2.62. The under is 5-0 in the Indians last 5 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Chen's last 4 starts against Cleveland. Take the under here.
|
09-01-11 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox Total Domination* The New York Yankees have put up some runs against Jon Lester this year, and I think they can again in this one. A.J. Burnett starts for New York in this one, and we all know how bad he has been of late. Burnett has a ridiculous 13.86 ERA in his last three starts. Earlier this year against Boston he allowed 8 runs in 5 and 2/3. It wouldn't shock me to see the Red Sox put up 10 runs by themselves in this one. The over is 5-0 in Burnett's last 5 starts against the Red Sox. The over is 5-2-1 in Lester's last 8 against the Yankees. Take the over.
|
09-01-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 9.5 |
|
11-8 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Jacob Turner is a very highly touted pitcher who I expect will have a successful career in the majors. Danny Duffy is a much better pitcher than he has been showing of late. Both of these guys have put together multiple very good years in the minor leagues. Bill Miller is the umpire in this one, and he is my single favorite 'under' umpire. Miller has a huge strike zone, and I think both of these pitchers will be able to use that to their advantage. Take the under here.
|
09-01-11 |
Oakland A's v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8.5 |
|
7-0 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cleveland Indians beat the Oakland Athletics in 16 innings last night. I won on the 'under' in that one, and I'm going to take the under again in this one. A long game like that with a quick turnaround will likely mean that several regulars will be given the day off. Fausto Carmona is a much better pitcher at home. The under is 20-7 in Carmona's last 27 home games. Gio Gonzalez has struggled of late, but the Indians are missing Sizemore, Choo, and Hafner. I like this one to be a pitcher's duel. Take the under.
|
08-31-11 |
Oakland A's v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Indians are dinged up badly right now. Grady Sizemore, Travis Hafner, and Shin-Soo Choo are all out of the lineup with injuries. Rich Harden hasn't been great of late, but I think he'll fare well against this weakened Indians lineup. Ubaldo Jimenez has started twice in Cleveland since being traded and he has only allowed one earned run. Jimenez had impressive velocity and location in his last start. I wouldn't be surprised if he finishes the season well. The under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
08-31-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-110 |
14 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Ted Lilly has been a completely different pitcher during the daytime this year. Lilly has a terrible 6.02 ERA when pitching during the day this year. Wade LeBlanc has struggled on the road this season. He has an ERA of 5.70 away from home. The Padres have been hitting the ball pretty well on the road of late. Dodger Stadium is much more friendly to hitters during the daytime. The over is 7-3 in LeBlanc's last 10 road starts. The number here is set quite low. I like the over.
|
08-30-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Colorado Rockies offense has been on fire of late. The over is 10-2 in the Rockies last 12 games. Wade Miley is a decent young left-handed pitcher for Arizona, but his numbers in the minors tell me he will probably need some time to get accustomed to the majors. Aaron Cook has been horrible on the road, and the DBacks have ownwed him in the past. Cook has an ERA of 6.43 on the road this year. The over is 12-3-1 in Cook's last 16 games against the DBacks. I like the over in this one.
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08-30-11 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 |
|
9-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jair Jurrjens has not been the same pitcher since after the All-Star break. Jurrjens had a minor injury and missed some time, and he hasn't been same since. Jurrjens has allowed 4 runs or more in 4 of his last 6 starts. Livan Hernandez hasn't been good on the road this year. Hernandez has an ERA above 5 on the road. The Braves offense fares pretty well against righties. The over is 10-0-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two. I think this one is set too low. Take the over.
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08-29-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 6 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 17 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Diego Padres have one of the worst offenses in baseball. Cameron Maybin has been a nice surprise for them, but he is dinged up right now. The Dodgers have Kemp and Ethier in the middle of the order, but other than that this is a weak lineup. Clayton Kershaw has been absolutely dominating this year. Kershaw has a 0.41 ERA in his last three starts. Mat Latos started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in his last 10 starts. With two bad offenses and a two great pitchers in a pitchers park, I'll take the under here.
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08-29-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 8.5 |
|
3-7 |
Loss |
-118 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Tampa Bay pounded out 12 runs yesterday, but this offense is not very consistent. Ricky Romero is one of the best young pitchers in baseball, and he the Rays collectively have a .212 average against him. The Blue Jays are struggling quite a bit offensively right now. Bautista is great in the middle of the order, but the lineup depth isn't what it needs to be. Toronto's hitters have a .235 average against Davis. The under is 9-4-2 in Romero's last 15 starts. Take the under.
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08-28-11 |
San Diego Padres v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-6 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 36 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Cory Luebke is a very talented young pitcher for the Padres. Luebke has allowed 2 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts overall. On the road, Leubke has an ERA of just 2.12. Ian Kennedy has been one of the more surprising pitching stories of the year. Kennedy is 16-4 with a 3.09 ERA this season. Eight of his last nine starts have been a quality start. The Padres lineup isn't very good, and they might be missing Cameron Maybin, who is nursing a wrist injury. The under is 6-0-1 in Arizona's last 7 games. Take the under here.
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08-26-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Texas Rangers OVER 8.5 |
|
7-11 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 9 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Los Angeles Angels have won six straight, which makes this series extremely important. Dan Haren is a good pitcher, but he can struggle on the road at times. Haren has a mediocre 4.17 ERA at Texas. Derek Holland will be on the mound for the Rangers. Holland has been bad at home all year. He has a poor ERA of 5.32 at home this season. The over is 7-2 in Haren's last 9 road starts. The over is 11-3 in Holland's last 14 home starts. I like the value on the over in this matchup.
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08-26-11 |
New York Yankees v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 10 |
|
5-12 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* A.J. Burnett has been an absolute mess on the mound of late. Burnett has a 9.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. On the season Burnett has a terrible 6.07 ERA on the road. The Yankees should be able to put up several runs off Orioles starter Tommy Hunter. Hunter doesn't have the dominating stuff needed to put away these Yankees hitters. The Yankees burst out in a big way at the end of the game yesterday against Oakland. Expect both offenses to fare well in this one. Take the over.
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08-25-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 |
|
6-0 |
Loss |
-103 |
19 h 17 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Alexi Ogando was cruising through most of the season, but he has been struggling quite a bit lately. Ogando has a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts. Andrew Miller has been inconsistent all year long, and he issues free passes at an alarming rate. Miller has a 4.99 ERA this year and the Rangers can really hit the lefties. The over is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games that Kerwin Danley has umped, so the umpire is a help in this one as well. These two offenses can put up runs in a hurry, so I'll take the over.
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08-25-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Washington Nationals OVER 8.5 |
|
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Hidden Gem Total* Wade Miley was hit pretty hard in his MLB debut last week. Miley was inconsistent in the minors as well. John Lannan has been walking all kinds of batters of late, and that is very bad news for him in this one. Tim McClelland is home plate umpire, and he has the smallest strike zone in all of baseball. Lannan has issued 26 free passes in his last 7 starts. Expect McClelland to be pinching the zone, and there should be a lot of baserunners in this one. Take the over in this game.
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08-25-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 |
|
2-0 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Doug Fister has done a nice job for the Tigers since coming over from Seattle. Fister has a very solid 3.49 ERA this year. The Rays really struggle to score at home. Jeremy Hellickson is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Hellickson has a 2.40 ERA at home this year. The Rays have done a nice job limiting his innings, so he is fresh even at this late stage of the season. The under is an amazing 58-23-4 in the Rays last 85 home games. The under is 11-1 in Hellickson's last 12 home starts. Take the under.
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08-24-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
|
9-4 |
Loss |
-118 |
12 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Jaime Garcia hasn't pitched as well of late, but on the year he has been tremendous at home. Garcia has a 2.06 ERA at home this season. The Dodgers offense is strong in the middle with Kemp and Ethier, but Los Angeles doesn't have a strong lineup at all from top to bottom. Hiroki Kuroda has quietly put together an excellent season. Kuroda has a 2.88 ERA on the year, and he has been pitching great lately. The under is 5-1 in his last 6 road starts. The under is 6-1-1 in the Cardinals last 8 home games. Take the under.
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08-23-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers v. Pittsburgh Pirates OVER 8.5 |
|
11-4 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Ross Ohlendorf will be making his first start since April for Pittsburgh in this one. He has been out with a shoulder strain. The Brewers aren't a good lineup to be facing in a first time back inside the rotation. Marco Estrada is starting for the Brewers. Estrada is normally a reliever, and he generally can't go anymore than five innings. Estrada has mediocre stuff and the Pirates should score some here. Sam Holbrook is behind the dish, and he might be the best 'over' umpire in baseball. Expect a small strike zone and quite a few runs here. Take the over.
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08-23-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bruce Chen has been erratic this year. Sometimes Chen is very good, but at other times he has been terrible. Chen has a poor 5.06 ERA on the road this year. Toronto punishes lefties (5.42 runs per game). The Royals are better against right-handers. Brandon Morrow has been terrible at home this season. Morrow has a 5.87 ERA at home this year. The total on this one is set quite low. Both teams have the ability to put up a big number here. I like the value on the over in this matchup.
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08-21-11 |
Florida Marlins v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* I like the pitching matchup in this one. Cory Luebke is a very good young pitcher for the Padres. He has started ten games now this year, and in 8 of those 10 games he has given up 2 earned runs or less. The Marlins lineup is very short-handed right now, and that should help as well. Anibal Sanchez has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last three starts against San Diego. Dan Bellino is a solid under umpire behind the dish as well. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings between these two in San Diego. Take the under.
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08-21-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's OVER 8.5 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Luis Perez will be making the first start of his MLB career for the Blue Jays in this one. Perez has a 3.49 ERA out of the bullpen this year, but he had an ERA above 4 in Triple A when starting. The Athletics bats have really come alive of late. The over is 25-3-5 in Oakland's last 31 games overall! Guillermo Moscoso starts for the Athletics and I think he is due for some regression. He never fared all that well in the minors, but his numbers have been good in the majors thus far. The Blue Jays have a solid offense. I like the over in this one.
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08-21-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-123 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST BET* The Dodgers and Rockies have met at Coors Field six times this year and all six have gone over the posted total. The lowest scoring game was an 8-2 Dodgers win. Here we have Kevin Millwood, who has been out of baseball for quite a while, pitching for the Rockies. Millwood should struggle in the Coors Field high altitude. Chad Billingsley has a history of struggling badly at Coors. Billingsley has a 7.88 ERA in six appearances at Coors. There is no reason to expect a lower scoring game in this one. Take the over.
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08-20-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Both starting pitchers in this game have some real issues, and I'm very surprised the total isn't higher than this. Tommy Hunter has allowed 17 runs (yes 17) in just six innings pitched at Angels Stadium. That gives him an ERA of 24 in his starts in LA. Joel Piniero has an ERA of 10.38 in his last three appearances. Both offenses have been hitting better of late, and these pitchers are very hittable. The over is 20-7 in the Orioles last 27 road games. The over is 7-3 in the Angels last 10. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
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08-20-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's OVER 8 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-117 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Gio Gonzalez has fallen apart of late. Gonzalez was good for most of the year, but he has hit a wall. Gonzalez has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last five starts. The Blue Jays average 5.56 runs per game against lefties. Henderson Alvarez has been shaky in his first two starts, and the Oakland offense has really picked it up of late. The over is 18-5-3 in the A's last 26 home games. The over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two. Gerry Davis is a nice 'over' umpire behind the plate as well. Take the over.
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08-20-11 |
New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
103 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* A.J. Burnett continues to struggle as a starter for the Yankees. He obviously has the stuff, but he tends to allow a big inning once every game. Francisco Liriano is another guy that has the stuff, but his command just isn't there right now. The Yankees punish left-handers, and Liriano has struggled against them in the past. The over is 3-0-1 in Burnett's last 4 road starts. The over is 11-4 in Liriano's last 15 home starts. The wind will be blowing out here as well. I like the over.
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08-20-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Dodgers and Rockies have met in Colorado five times this year. The final scores in those five games were: 9-7, 6-5, 11-7, 10-8, and last night's 8-2 game. All five were over this posted total. Ted Lilly has a 5.47 ERA in five starts at Coors field. Esmil Rogers has an ERA of 12.1 in a couple appearances at home this year. The over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 home games. The over is 14-5 in the last 19 games between these teams. With this two pitchers, I expect a high scoring game Saturday. Take the over.
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08-19-11 |
New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 |
|
8-1 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The New York Yankees offense is one of the two best in all of baseball. Alex Rodriguez probably won't be in the lineup here, but the Yankees have been crushing the ball without him. Granderson, Cano, Jeter, Gardner, Tex, Swisher, and the rest of the crew are all swinging the bat well right now. Kevin Slowey will pitch for the first time since May, and the Yankees should make it tough on him. Phil Hughes has an ERA of above 6 on the season. He had a solid start last time out, but he has been able to string together quality starts this year. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 12 mph. Take the over.
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08-19-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Houston Astros UNDER 7 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Wandy Rodriguez has always been tough to hit at home. San Francisco's offense is severely short-handed right now, and I just don't see them doing too much damage against Rodriguez. Ryan Vogelsong continues to be underrated by the books. The Astros are running out a Triple A lineup on a nightly basis right now, and the Giants have the best pitching staff in baseball. This has all the makings of a low scoring game that comes down to the wire. I expected the line to be 6.5 or 6 here. I really like the under at 7.
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