02-05-11 |
San Jose St v. Nevada OVER 145.5 |
|
69-89 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Bookie BEATDOWN* The Nevada Wolfpack weren't very good at all to start the year, but they have improved, especially on the offensive end, largely because of Olek Czyz. Czyz has been eligible for the last few games, and he really helps their offense get rolling. San Jose State is a team that likes to run when given the opportunity, and Adrian Oliver is one of the leading scorers in the nation. Both teams get to the line frequently, and I expect this to be a close game with a lot of free throw attempts. The over is 7-2 in SJ State's last 9. The over is 7-1 in Nevada's last 8 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the over!
|
02-05-11 |
Morehead State v. Tennessee Tech OVER 136 |
|
76-60 |
Push |
0 |
6 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star OVC Over Play* The Morehead State Eagles have shown a slight tendency to speed up just a little over the last few games. Tennessee Tech pushes the pace more than any other team in the OVC. When these two met at Morehead State it ended 76-64 and the shooting percentages were not that good. The average Tenn. Tech home game has finished at 159 points this year. Morehead State will get lots of second chance opportunities, but Tennessee Tech should get lots of open looks from three. I like the over in this one.
|
02-05-11 |
Colorado St v. Wyoming UNDER 138 |
|
59-56 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Cash* The Wyoming Cowboys have all kinds of injuries right now. It is clear over the last few games that their strategy is to slow the tempo down and try to waste the clock on offense. Colorado State has a strong offense, but they haven't been as potent on the road. Wyoming played BYU last game and held the high-powered Cougars to just 69 points in a game that stayed way under the posted total. Games against Utah and New Mexico stayed well under the total, and those are teams that have a good offense. I think Wyoming's defense will be solid here, and they'll slow the tempo down plenty to help this one stay under the posted total.
|
02-05-11 |
Washington State v. Oregon State OVER 141 |
|
61-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Pac 10 Totals Beatdown* The Washington State Cougars were embarrassed last game by the Oregon Ducks, and I fully expect them to come out ready to play in this one. Oregon State has turned into a team that likes to run and gun, and Washington State should be just fine with that. Klay Thompson is a great scorer and I expect him to put up a big number tonight. These two finished at 84-70 earlier this year, and the shooting percentages weren't terrific. I think we are getting a nice value on the over in this one.
|
02-05-11 |
Colorado v. Missouri OVER 156 |
|
73-89 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* I just don't see either of these teams slowing the game down at all. The whole premise of Missouri's system is to cause the other team to run and force turnovers, and I think Colorado likes to do just the same. The first meeting between these two was 89-76, and the teams combined to shoot 8 for 27 from the three-point line. I think they'll improve their shooting a bit today and keep the pace that they had in the first meeting. Missouri could definitely put 90 points or more up in a game like this, and I think Colorado will get plenty for the over. I expect more than 160 points here. I really like the over in this one.
|
02-05-11 |
Arizona St v. Stanford UNDER 121 |
|
75-83 |
Loss |
-115 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Stanford Cardinal and the Arizona State Sun Devils are both teams that like to slow the game down and control the tempo. These two met earlier this year and the final score was 55-41. There were only a total of 93 shots taken from the field in that game. The line for that game was set at 121, and we are able to get the same line today. The under is 21-7-1 in Stanford's last 29 games. I think this one stays at 115 or lower. Take the under.
|
02-05-11 |
Columbia v. Yale OVER 136.5 |
|
67-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Ivy League Totals Winner* The Columbia Lions have really decided to push the tempo this year, and I don't think the books have caught up with them just yet. Last night their game went well over the posted total, and Yale is a team that can score in bunches on their home court. I like the over in this game.
|
02-05-11 |
North Carolina State v. Duke OVER 150 |
|
52-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Duke/NC State Total Beatdown* The Duke Blue Devils have the ability to put up 90 plus points every time out. They scored 92 last time against NC State, and I think they'll score 90 again this time. NC State has decided to push the tempo much more this season, and Duke will be just fine with that. Expect a fast paced game here, which should help push it over the posted total.
|
02-05-11 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Jacksonville State UNDER 119.5 |
|
57-51 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels have been an 'under' machine on the road this year. The under is 10-1 in their 11 lined road games. They seem to slow the tempo down much more when they are on the road. Jacksonville State is not a good team at all, and they struggle to score. I think this is the type of game that is played in the halfcourt, with fewer than 100 shots total taken. I like this one to stay under the total here.
|
02-05-11 |
Central Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 122 |
|
53-66 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* The Kent State Golden Flashes may be the best team in the MAC this year, and they are very solid at home. Central Michigan is not good at all, and they struggle mightily to score on the road. The under is an amazing 10-1 in 11 lined road games this year. In their last four road games they have scored 56,55,38, and 43 points. The game where they scored 56 also included an overtime. Kent State's defense is strong, and I don't think either team will push the tempo here. I like this one to stay under because I think Kent State will hold C. Michigan to 50 points or fewer. Take the under.
|
02-05-11 |
Alabama v. Tennessee UNDER 129.5 |
|
65-60 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star SEC Super Total* The Alabama Crimson Tide are one of the best defensive teams in the nation this year. Anthony Grant has this team playing great defense for 40 minutes each game. They are giving up just 57 points per game. Tennessee isn't too powerful offensively this year, and they will be without Scotty Hopson, who averages 17 points per game. The Volunteers are strong defensive, especially at home. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
|
02-05-11 |
UNLV v. Brigham Young OVER 146.5 |
|
64-78 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star UNLV/BYU Totals Terrorizer* You've probably heard about Jimmer Fredette, but he truly is something special. The ability to shoot it from way downtown and take it to the hoop is very difficult to defend. Earlier this year BYU went into Las Vegas and poured it on against UNLV. The truth is, the shooting percentages in that game weren't too terribly high and they still got to a final of 89-77. BYU will run at every opportunity in this game, and both teams are good at getting to the line often. I expect UNLV to play inspired basketball and stick around for at least a while. I projected this one in the low 150's, so I like the value on the over.
|
02-05-11 |
Loyola-Chicago v. Detroit OVER 144 |
|
71-81 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Horizon Hot Toal* The Detroit Titans are a team fully capable of putting up 80 points or more, especially on their home floor. Detroit is averaging 77 points per game at home this year. Loyola Chicago is a strange team in that they actually average more points per game on the road than they do at home, which bodes well for this over. These two met earlier this year and it was 83-71. I think another game close to 150 is quite likely here. Take the over.
|
02-05-11 |
George Washington v. Charlotte UNDER 133 |
|
73-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Atlantic 10 Totals Takedown* The Charlotte 49ers lost several key players earlier this year, but they have been able to battle back and pick up some nice wins (Tennessee, and Georgia Tech on the road) by playing tough defense. This team allows opponents to hit just 29% on three-pointers, and George Washington does rely on the three quite a bit. George Washington and Charlotte are two of the slower paced teams in the Atlantic 10, and when they get together I think we'll see a halfcourt game that stays under. Take the under here.
|
02-05-11 |
Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State UNDER 134 |
|
75-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Early Bird Totals Winner* The Oklahoma State Cowboys are a much less high-powered team on offense this year than they have been in recent years. This is a team that thrives on tough defense and playing a halfcourt game. Oklahoma is fairly efficient on offense, but they don't push the pace. I don't think either team has the personnel to push the tempo much in this one. I like this one to stay under 130, so I'm taking the under.
|
02-03-11 |
Loyola Marymount v. San Diego UNDER 131.5 |
|
63-66 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star West Coast Total Takedown* The San Diego Toreros are just a terrible team this year. They have been able to slow teams down a little better on their home floor so far this year, and I think this line is set at a generous price for the 'under'. Loyola is much more dangerous on offense at home, and I think San Diego has a shot to stay in this game all the way if they keep the tempo as slow as possible. I look for the Toreros to dictate the pace here. The under is 8-2 in San Diego's last 10 home games. Take the under.
|
02-03-11 |
San Jose St v. Idaho OVER 137 |
|
92-89 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star WAC Total Value* The San Jose State Spartans are a different team with a healthy Adrian Oliver, and right now he is back and fully healthy. Oliver is the best scorer in the league, and he helps this team push the tempo very well. Idaho is a much improved squad, and they play well on their home floor. These two have a history of playing high scoring games against each other in recent years. In fact, each of their last three meetings has gone above this posted total of 137 points. Expect a tight game with plenty of free throws. Take the over.
|
02-03-11 |
Cal Irvine v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 154 |
|
74-80 |
Push |
0 |
8 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Total BAILOUT* The UC Irvine Anteaters are a team I love playing the 'over' with this year. The team has changed their philosophy over the last year or so, and the books just haven't caught up to it yet. The over is 17-6-3 in UC Irvine's last 23 games overall. CS Fullerton is a much more dangerous team offensively on their home floor. The over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games. These two met and put up 163 a month ago, and I think another game close to 160 is pretty likely. I like the over here.
|
02-03-11 |
Washington v. Oregon State OVER 154.5 |
|
56-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Washington Huskies definitely know how to push the pace of a game, and Oregon State plays at a breakneck pace this year as well. In Washington earlier this year these two put up 175 points. While I don't expect that kind of output, when I saw this number I had to jump on the over in a big way. Oregon State's defense won't be able to contain Isiah Thomas, but Oregon State should put up some points on their home floor. I see this one getting to at least 158-160 points, so I like the value on the over.
|
02-03-11 |
Florida International v. Troy OVER 159 |
|
81-80 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sun Belt Super Total* The Florida International Golden Panthers love to push the tempo, and Troy can put up the points in a hurry on their home floor. These are probably the two fastest paced teams in the league, and when they get together I fully expect a very high scoring game. The over is 36-16-1 in Fla. International's last 53 games. The over is 10-3 in Troy's last 13 games. I think this one gets to at least 163 or 164 points, so I really like the over in this matchup.
|
02-03-11 |
Miami Heat v. Orlando Magic OVER 196.5 |
|
104-100 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Heat/Magic Totals TAKEDOWN* The Miami Heat have shown the tendency to be willing to run a little bit more of late. Now that Wade and James are both healthy I think we might continue to see that a little more. Orlando is a much more powerful team offensively than they were at the beginning of the year. Brandon Bass is out of the lineup today, and I actually think that helps the over. Bass is a pretty good defender, and Ryan Anderson will start in his place. Anderson is a pure shooter from deep. The over is 9-3 in the Heat's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in the Magic's last 6 games. I like the over in this one.
|
02-03-11 |
Denver v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 124 |
|
72-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under Play of the Day* The Denver Pioneers have been a terrific 'under' play on the road for quite some time now. The under is 17-4-1 in their last 22 road games. These two teams did meet and score 142 last month, but that game went into overtime. I think Denver will slow the pace of this game to a crawl, and Little Rock's solid defense will make Denver struggle from beyond the arc. This is the type of game that has the potential to finish at 110 points or even lower. I like the value on the under in this one.
|
02-03-11 |
Furman v. The Citadel UNDER 131 |
|
59-55 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Southern Conference Totals Winner* These two teams put up a huge total of 155 points in their first meeting, but that was way out of character and I don't think it will happen again. We've gotten some extra value on the under because of that game. The shooting percentages here should be much lower, and the pace of the game will slow down to their usual pace. I like the under.
|
02-02-11 |
Duke v. Maryland Terrapins OVER 149 |
|
80-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Duke/Maryland GUARANTEED Cash* This is a really big game for both Maryland and Duke. Duke is coming off a loss at St. John's and they'll need to bounce back. The Maryland Terrapins always play Duke tough, and I expect no different here. Both teams play at an extremely quick tempo. Both teams get offensive rebounds at a high rate, so second chance points should come in bunches. I expect this one to be close to the end, and fouling should put this one over the top. I like the over in this big ACC Showdown!
|
02-02-11 |
Clemson v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 121.5 |
|
47-49 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Clemson Tigers play an entirely different style this year under Coach Brad Brownell. Clemson likes to slow it down and play tough defense. Virginia is led by Coach Bennett, who is all about slowing the game down and playing defense. I think this is the type of game where both teams will shoot 50 or less shots from the floor. The under is 6-1 in Virginia's last 7 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.
|
02-02-11 |
Bowling Green v. Northern Illinois OVER 136 |
|
73-70 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAC Bookie SMASHER* The Northern Illinois Huskies have a way of forcing their opponent to play at their tempo, especially at home. Northern Illinois likes to run and gun, and Bowling Green has been speeding up quite a bit in the last couple weeks. Both teams are terrible defensively and both do a lot of fouling. The over is 8-3 in Bowling Green's last 11 games. The over is 11-4 in Northern Illinois' last 15 home games. Take the over!
|
02-02-11 |
George Washington v. Duquesne OVER 142.5 |
|
59-84 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Atlantic 10 Total Smasher* The Duquesne Dukes are one of the best teams in all of college basketball at pushing the tempo. George Washington has had some high scoring games on the road this year, and I think this will be another. The over is 7-3 in George Washington's last 10 road games. The over is 5-0 in Duquesne's last 5 overall. Duquesne forces more turnovers than anyone in college basketball, and I think they'll make this a helter skelter type of game, which should push this one over the posted total. Take the over.
|
02-02-11 |
William Mary v. James Madison OVER 136 |
|
73-67 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The James Madison Dukes have a team that is capable of scoring in bunches. Last time they met up with William & Mary the final score was 84-79. Both teams shot well in that one, so it might not get that high this time around, but I think it should surpass the posted total. The over is 7-2 in James Madison's last 9 home games. Both teams hit the three ball pretty well, which should really help boost the points here. I like this one to top 140, so I really like the value on the over.
|
01-31-11 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Miami Heat UNDER 201.5 |
|
90-117 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie SMASHER* The Cavs and the Heat will meet up for the third time this year. Byron Scott is trying to implore his Cavs to play better defense, and they have been slightly better of late. I have no doubt that Miami could put up a lot of points here, but I really don't think Cleveland will score enough to get the over. Even Daniel Gibson, who has been their primary scorer is expected to miss the game tonight. Last time these two played in Miami it was 101-95. I expect Miami to get at least 101 today, but I don't think Cleveland will get above 90. The referee crew is a solid 'under' group as well. I look for this one to stay under the posted total.
|
01-31-11 |
Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers OVER 208 |
|
93-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers fired Jim O'Brien on Sunday and they'll be led by Frank Vogel in this game. I've been watching this Indiana team steadily speed up their tempo over the last few weeks. At the beginning of the season they were winning with solid defense, but now they are back to running and gunning. In their last ten games, only once have they not put up at least 80 shots. The Raptors were embarrassed in Minnesota on Saturday and I would expect them to show some pride in this one. Earlier this year these two teams put up 224 total, and I think we are getting a nice value on the over here. Neither team will look to slow things down, and neither team plays much defense at this point. Take the over.
|
01-30-11 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Georgia Tech UNDER 140 |
|
74-63 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sunday Night ACC Totals Winner* The Maryland Terrapins and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have both been slowing the tempo down just a touch compared to what they were doing earlier this year. Georgia Tech allows only 59 points per game at home. Maryland is averaging just 66 and allowing only 56 per game on the road. The under is 5-0 in Maryland's last 5 road games. The under is 8-2 in Georgia Tech's last 10 home games. I think 140 is a very nice value on the under. Take the under in this ACC showdown.
|
01-30-11 |
Central Michigan v. Akron UNDER 125 |
|
43-63 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The under is 13-4 in Central Michigan's 17 games this year. This is a terrible team offensively and until they prove they can score, I'll keep taking the under in their games. I like the under here.
|
01-30-11 |
Boston Celtics v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 185 |
|
109-96 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Lakers/Celtics GUARANTEED Cash* The Celtics and Lakers will renew their rivalry in LA on Sunday afternoon. The Lakes are coming off a home loss to the Kings and the Celtics are coming off a beatdown at the hands of the Suns. If you look back at the last nine meetings between these two, only two of them have gone over this posted total. With Shaq in the lineup, the Celtics are a much slower paced team. This is also an early start on the West Coast, which tends to be helpful to the under. The under is 26-10 in the Lakers last 36 games overall. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 road games. I think this one stays below 180 because of a slow tempo and strong defense from both teams. Take the under.
|
01-30-11 |
Florida Gulf Coast v. Lipscomb OVER 146.5 |
|
71-88 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Lipscomb Bison are a good team in the Atlantic Sun this year. Lipscomb likes to push the tempo of the game, and they average 83 points per game on their home floor. Florida Gulf Coast is one of the worst defensive team in the nation, and they allow 82 points per game on the road. I have this one projected in the low 150's, so I think we are getting a nice value on the over in this one.
|
01-30-11 |
Providence v. Seton Hall OVER 152.5 |
|
71-81 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Seton Hall Pirates have their star, Jeremy Hazell, back and healthy now. Seton Hall is a completely different team with him in the lineup. Hazell can score in bunches and he helps this team push the tempo on a consistent basis. Providence plays faster than anyone in the Big East, and they'll keep the pace moving in this one as well. These two met twice last year and the totals were 172 and 215! The number has been lowered because Seton Hall had lower games earlier this year, but now that they are back to full strength, I think this one sails over the total. Take the over!
|
01-29-11 |
UAB v. Central Florida UNDER 129.5 |
|
74-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CUSA Totals Takedown* The UAB Blazers can slow the tempo down as well as anyone inside Conference USA. Central Florida started 14-0, but they've lost 5 straight games since. UCF only allows 55.8 points per game on their home floor, and UAB won't push the issue at all. The under is 10-4 in UAB's last 14 road games. The under is 10-2 in Central Florida's last 12 home games. I like the under in this one.
|
01-29-11 |
Air Force v. Texas Christian UNDER 128 |
|
66-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Ronnie Moss was suspended from the TCU team earlier this week. Moss was arguably the Horned Frogs best player, but reports are that he wasn't playing team basketball. Moss was a one-man fastbreak on numerous occasions, which should mean this TCU team will slow down their tempo quite a bit without him in the lineup. Air Force will definitely try to slow the tempo down. I think this is the type of game that flies under the radar, but it is a hidden gem of a play because of Moss missing this game. The under is 8-2 in TCU's last 10, and this TCU team should play much slower. Take the under.
|
01-29-11 |
NC-Greensboro v. Samford UNDER 134 |
|
91-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* The Samford Bulldogs have always been a great 'under' play at home for the last few years. I think this is a great spot for the under. UNC Greensboro is coming off a double overtime loss on Thursday night and they likely will be a bit tired here. Samford will slow the game down and Greensboro probably won't try as hard to push the issue today. The trends look great in this one. The under is 8-3 in Greensboro's last 11 road games. The under is 17-5 in Samford's last 22 home games. I like this one to stay under 130, so I think this is a great value. Take the under.
|
01-29-11 |
Tulane v. Southern Mississippi OVER 143 |
|
54-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CUSA Cash Cow* Southern Miss has changed the way they play this year. They used to be a defensive slow it down type of team, but not anymore. They like to push the tempo and outscore their opponent. This is definitely true at home, where they average 84 points per game. The over is 4-0 in their 4 lined home games. The over is 9-4 in Tulane's last 13 road games. I like the over here.
|
01-29-11 |
Wisconsin v. Penn State UNDER 121.5 |
Top |
52-56 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Badgers play at the slowest tempo of any team in all of college basketball. Penn State is ranked in the top 15 slowest teams in the nation as well. This has all the makings of a tough Big Ten battle that is as defensive as you'll see. How about some trends to back this one up? The 'under' is 16-6 in Wisconsin's last 22 road games. The under is 8-2 in Penn State's last 10 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. I think this one stays below 115 points, so I really like the value on the under. 5 Star top play on the under here.
|
01-29-11 |
UCLA v. Arizona St UNDER 133 |
|
73-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star PAC 10 Totals BEATDOWN* There are several reasons to like this under. Neither of these teams play at a fast tempo at all, and both teams are strong defensively. The under is 19-7-2 in Arizona State's last 28 home games. Additionally, this game is an early 12:30 start time out West, which can help the under as well. I like this one to stay under the total.
|
01-29-11 |
Texas A&M v. Nebraska UNDER 123 |
|
48-57 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been a solid 'under' team for the last few years. This is a team with pretty good guard play and they like to control the ball and the tempo of the game. The difference this year is that Nebraska is extremely good on the defensive end of the floor. The Cornhuskers allow just 53 points per game on their home floor. Texas A&M is a solid team this year, and their strength is definitely their defense. The Aggies allow 59.5 points per game. Neither team will want to push the pace and both defend the three-ball well. The under is 25-8 in Nebraska's last 33 home games. The under is 7-2 in Texas A&M's last 9 road games. I like the under here.
|
01-29-11 |
College of Charleston v. Davidson OVER 149 |
|
64-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* The College of Charleston is a team I follow very closely, and I really like playing the 'over' with them if the spot is right. This Davidson team isn't even close to what they used to be. Davidson is 8-12 this year, and their defense is not very good at all. Davidson is giving up 76 points per game in their last five games. Charleston is scoring 81 points per game in their last five. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 155. I expect Davidson to be able to knock down some three's and stay in this game at home, which should help push this over the posted total.
|
01-29-11 |
Northern Illinois v. Buffalo OVER 148.5 |
|
52-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-28-11 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Golden State Warriors OVER 205 |
|
121-113 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Charlotte Bobcats are playing a little more uptempo now since Larry Brown left, and the Golden State Warriors can put points with the best of them on their home floor. Golden State averages 107 points per game and they give up 107 per game as well at home. The over is 10-1 in the Warriors last 11 games. The over is 23-9 in their last 32 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Golden State. I like this one to sail past the posted total. Take the over.
|
01-28-11 |
Manhattan v. Fairfield UNDER 118 |
|
59-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
|
01-28-11 |
Columbia v. Harvard OVER 139 |
|
66-77 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 1 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Cal St-Northridge v. Cal Irvine OVER 151.5 |
|
66-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Idaho State v. CS Sacramento UNDER 125.5 |
|
63-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Oregon v. Stanford UNDER 125 |
|
67-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 11 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Boise State v. New Mexico State OVER 147.5 |
|
87-96 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
USC v. Arizona St UNDER 123 |
|
63-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 46 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Rider v. Iona OVER 149.5 |
|
61-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 44 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Hofstra v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 139.5 |
|
67-82 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The VCU Rams can score as well as anyone in the CAA. Hofstra is a great road team, so I expect a tight game here. The oddsmakers haven't caught up to the fact that Hofstra can score in bunches as well. The over is 23-9-1 in Hofstra's last 33 games. These two scored 149 in their earlier meeting this year despite not shooting that well from the floor. I projected this one at around 145 points, so I like the value on the over here.
|
01-27-11 |
Miami (Ohio) v. Central Michigan UNDER 119 |
|
68-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 48 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
Western Kentucky v. Florida Intl. OVER 151 |
|
81-78 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
|
01-27-11 |
NC-Greensboro v. Tenn Chattanooga OVER 149.5 |
|
110-111 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-11 |
Akron v. Northern Illinois OVER 148.5 |
|
74-83 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Total Bookie BASHER* The Akron Zips have picked up the pace in their last few games. The Northern Illinois Huskies are a team that love to run and gun at all times. I think the tempo of this game will really help it be high scoring. Last year when these teams met the final was 90-76, and I don't think it is far-fetched to think they could score something close to that again. Akron should get plenty of easy looks against this terrible NIU defense. Northern Illinois is pretty good from behind the arc and Akron struggles to guard their opponent from deep. The over is 10-4 in the Huskies last 14 road games. The over is 37-18-2 in Akron's last 57 road games. Take the over!
|
01-26-11 |
Marshall v. UAB UNDER 135.5 |
|
56-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The UAB Blazers have a very solid defense. Marshall is a team that pushes the pace, but they aren't nearly as efficient on offense away from home. Marshall averages just under 65 points per game on the road, and UAB is only giving up 60 points per game on their home court. Marshall will be without Johnny Thomas in this one, and he averages nine points per game. How about some long-term winning angles for this one? The under is 10-4 in UAB's last 14 home games. The under is 17-5 in Marshall's last 22 road games. The under is also 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. Take the under here.
|
01-26-11 |
Orlando Magic v. Indiana Pacers OVER 198.5 |
|
111-96 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Best Bet Bookie CRUSHER* The Orlando Magic are coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Detroit Pistons. Orlando is a much more offensive team since they have Turkoglu, Richardson, and Arenas. Indiana was a team that slowed the game down and played solid defense to start the year, but they are reverting to their previous style of running and gunning over the last couple weeks. The Pacers opponents have been able to put up 86.4 shots per game over the last five contests, which means Indiana is allowing the game to speed up quite a bit. Orlando is averaging 106 points per game in their last five games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 road games. I think Orlando will expose Indiana's weak defense here and the pace will be quick. I like the over.
|
01-26-11 |
Villanova v. Providence OVER 154.5 |
|
68-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big East Bookie BEATDOWN* The Villanova Wildcats and the Providence Friars are a nice pair of teams for an 'over' play. Villanova likes to push the tempo when they are able, and Providence runs all the time. Villanova has tremendous guard play, and they should be able to get quite a few open looks tonight. Both teams crash the offensive glass, which should be great for second chance opportunities. Last year these two teams met twice and the scores were 92-81 and 97-80. I think we are getting a really nice value on the over in this one. The over is 14-5 in Villanova's last 19 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the over here.
|
01-26-11 |
Duquesne v. Fordham OVER 146.5 |
|
91-72 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duquesne Dukes are just about the best 'over' team you will find. Duquesne pushes the tempo as well as anyone, and they force more turnovers than any other team in the nation. The Dukes should get a ton of easy layups by taking it from a Fordham team that is careless with the ball. Fordham is a very bad team, but they still try to push the tempo. These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 89-68 and 111-100. Duquesne really should be able to put up at least 80 points in this one, and I think Fordham will put up more than enough for the rest. I like the over in a big way here.
|
01-25-11 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 194 |
|
105-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie SMASHER* The Clippers have been scoring a lot of points lately, but Eric Gordon is expected to miss this game, and that is very important. It might surprise most people to learn that it is Gordon and not Blake Griffin that leads the team in points per game. Gordon's 24.1 points per game will be missed bigtime tonight. Dallas has been struggling mightily on the offensive end, but their defense has been very good of late. Dallas is giving up just 92 points per game in the last five games. The Mavericks are also only scoring 86.4 points per game during that stretch. With the teams at full strength earlier this year the final score was 99-83. I really like the value on the under in this one. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.
|
01-25-11 |
Florida v. Georgia UNDER 134.5 |
|
104-91 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators have a very solid defense, and they definitely slow the tempo down. Florida is giving up just 59.7 points per game this year. Interestingly, they are allowing only 56 per game on the road, where they are even better defensively. Georgia allows just 64 points per game, and only 61 points per game on their home floor. The primary reason Georgia is a much improved team this year is the fact that they play solid defense. I suspect the reason we are getting such a high line here is both games between these two last year went well over the total, but these are two different teams this season. I don't think this one will get above 130 points. Take the under!
|
01-25-11 |
Buffalo v. Western Michigan OVER 138 |
|
79-68 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM* The Buffalo Bulls are a team that the oddsmakers have had a tough time figuring out. The 'over' is 21-5 in their last 26 road games. It is very rare to see a trend continue for that long without the oddsmakers adjusting enough for it. Buffalo pushes the pace and Western Michigan is the type of team that plays to the style of their opponent, so this one should be an up and down affair. I like the value on the over in this one!
|
01-24-11 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. New Jersey Nets UNDER 190 |
|
101-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Cleveland Cavaliers are just a terrible team right now, and the Nets aren't much better. Both teams have horrible offenses. These two played twice in November and the final totals were 184 and 182 points. I think we are getting a nice value on the under here. Without Mo Williams the Cavaliers lose 14 points per game, and Ramon Sessions (the backup point guard) is questionable with an abdominal injury. The Nets average just 92 points per game, and they play much better defense on their home floor. All three of the referees assigned to this game are 'under' referees based on their past couple years worth of statistics. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take the under here.
|
01-24-11 |
Notre Dame v. Pittsburgh UNDER 136.5 |
|
56-51 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Notre Dame/Pittsburgh Guaranteed Cash* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish changed the way they play during the middle of last season. Notre Dame used to run and shoot the three ball quickly in transition, but now they use up the clock and play solid defense. This season, Notre Dame has been pretty good offensively at home, but on the road they have been terrible. The Fighting Irish are averaging just 56 points per game on the road. Pitt has one of the best defensive teams in the nation, and I don't see the Panthers forcing the tempo in this one either. Both teams are great on the defensive glass and neither team commits that many fouls. The under is 17-5 in Notre Dame's last 22 road games. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
|
01-24-11 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Towson OVER 142.5 |
|
80-76 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Both the VCU Rams and the Towson Tigers have been playing some CAA opponents that like to slow the tempo down, which has lowered their totals in the last few games. In this game I don't think anyone will be slowing the pace down. VCU's offense is very efficient, and they shoot the three ball very well. Towson allows opponents to shoot 41% from beyond the arc, so I expect VCU to have lots of open looks. Both teams shoot it well from the free throw line. The over is 9-3 in Towson's last 12 home games. The over is 44-20-1 in VCU's last 65 road games. I like the over in this one.
|
01-23-11 |
Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears UNDER 44 |
|
21-14 |
Win
|
100 |
89 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFC Championship Total Knockout* The Green Bay Packers have put together a very impressive run in the playoffs thus far. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have probably been the most impressive team in the playoffs so far. The Chicago Bears defense is determined to make life much tougher on him this weekend. Make no mistake about it, there is no love lost between these two teams. This is a huge rivalry, and now it is for a bid to the Super Bowl.
Both defenses are very good. The Packers have the fifth ranked defense when it comes to yards allowed, but they are second in the NFL in points allowed at just 15 per game. What about the Bears? Chicago is excellent against the run, and they have improved throughout the year against the pass. The Bears are fourth in the NFL in points allowed at just 17.9 per game. The Packers offense is impressive right now, but they don't have much of a running game to keep the Bears honest. Chicago's offense really hasn't been impressive all year, but they have done what they need to do to win.
In their two meetings earlier this year, the Bears won 20-17 at home, and the Packers won 10-3 on their home field. I was quite surprised to see the total at 44 in this one, since these teams have a nice history of low-scoring games. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two. Nine of their last ten meetings have finished under 44 points. I think the value here is on the under. Take the under in this NFC Championship Showdown!
|
01-23-11 |
Central Michigan v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 118 |
|
38-41 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* Central Michigan will be without their second leading scorer in this contest. The Chippewas already play at a very slow pace, and without Jalin Thomas I expect them to slow it down even more. This is an intrastate rivalry game, and this usually brings out the best in the defenses. The under is 5-0 in Central Michigan's last five games. The under is 9-4 in Eastern Michigan's last 13 home games. I expect an ugly game that finishes very low scoring. Take the under here.
|
01-23-11 |
Fairfield v. Niagara UNDER 128 |
|
57-49 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Fairfield Stags have the best defense in the MAAC conference, and right now they are probably the single best team overall in the conference. Niagara is probably the worst team, and they can't shoot well at all. Fairfield likes to slow the game down and I think they will do so successfully in this one. Niagara's top scorer is out for this game and their second leading scorer is questionable and will be dinged up if he does play. I think Fairfield controls the tempo here and this one stays under. The under is 12-4 in Fairfield's last 16. The under is 6-2 in Niagara's last 8. Take the under.
|
01-22-11 |
Iowa State v. Missouri OVER 151 |
|
54-87 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers know how to push the pace of the game better than just about anyone. Missouri's pressure defense forces the other team to either turn it over or push it up court for a quick basket. Iowa State has some solid guards, and I think they'll be able to score frequently against the press. At the same time, Missouri will definitely get some easy opportunities against Iowa State, who struggles on the road defensively. I look to see both teams put up a whole lot of shots in this one, and because of the quality of the shots they'll be taking, they should shoot a good percentage. This one should be a real track meet. Take the over!
|
01-22-11 |
Brigham Young v. Colorado St OVER 153 |
|
94-85 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Jimmer Fredette and the BYU Cougars are an extremely potent team on offense. The interesting thing about them is that they are actually better on the road. BYU is averaging 87 points per game on the road this year. Colorado State averages 79 points per game on their home floor. Last year these teams combined for 162 points on Colorado State's home floor, and I feel like both teams play faster and have more scoring options this year. Colorado State is coming off a huge win at UNLV, and they'll be as confident as ever in this one. BYU knows they can score on anyone at anytime, so their offense should be ready. The over is 10-4 in BYU's last 14 Mountain West games. The over is 9-4 in Colorado State's last 13 games overall. Take the over!
|
01-22-11 |
Towson v. North Carolina-Wilmington OVER 134 |
|
60-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Line Error* The Towson Tigers love to push the tempo. UNC Wilmington usually slows things down, but UNC Wilmington does shoot the three ball extremely well. Towson allows opponents to shoot 42% from beyond the arc, and UNC Wilmington should be able to take full advantage of that. Wilmington will have plenty of open looks here, and Towson will be pushing it back down the court and getting to the free throw line. I think this one gets up closer to 140 points. Take the over in this one.
|
01-22-11 |
Troy v. Western Kentucky OVER 153.5 |
|
58-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Sun Belt Total DOMINATION* The Troy Trojans are absolutely a team that runs and guns, and Western Kentucky is as well, especially at home. Both teams have had lots of issues with turnovers this year, and I think easy buckets off turnovers will come frequently in this game. The over is 6-1 in Western Kentucky's last 7 games overall. The over is 8-2 in Troy's last 10 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. I like the over in a big way here.
|
01-22-11 |
Arkansas v. Florida UNDER 134.5 |
|
43-75 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star SEC Super Total* The Florida Gators can put the clamps down on their opponent defensively. They allowed just 40 points against Auburn earlier this week. Arkansas struggles away from home, and I think Florida will do a good job getting out on the Razorbacks three point shooters. With neither team pushing the tempo and both teams defending well beyond the arc, I really believe the value is on the under here. The under is 9-3-1 in Arkansas' last 13 games overall. The under is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. Take the under here.
|
01-22-11 |
Ball State v. Toledo UNDER 122 |
|
70-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oddsmakers Line Error* The Ball State Cardinals are definitely not the type of team to push the tempo. Ball State plays solid defense and likes to work the shot clock. The Toledo Rockets may be the worst team in the MAC, but they play much better at home. Toledo slows the game down extremely well, and they play reasonably good defense at home as well. Toledo is one of the worst shooting teams in the country. How good has the under been with Toledo? The under is 19-7 in their lats 26 MAC games. The under is also 14-5 in their last 19 home games. Last year's meetings between these two finished at 114, and 87 points! Take the under.
|
01-22-11 |
Detroit v. Youngstown State OVER 142.5 |
|
73-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Horizon League Total Takedown* The Detroit Titans have a very talented young team. Youngstown State is improving and they can put up points on their home floor. Detroit will push the tempo of this game, and they should get to the free throw line quite often. I think Youngstown keeps this one close and the final total finishes somewhere around 147-149 points. Take the over.
|
01-22-11 |
Utah v. Texas Christian OVER 146 |
|
75-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Utah Utes really like to push the pace of a game, and I think TCU will be happy to do that on their home floor. TCU averages 79.4 points per game at home and Utah is allowing 75 points per game in their last five contests. I think this is a 'get well' type of game for TCU. The Horned Frogs have been on a rough stretch and Utah is the type of team they can get their offense going against once again. Since this game is likely to be fairly competitive, free throws should help this one as well. I like the over in this one.
|
01-22-11 |
Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 143 |
|
63-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Totals Bookie Beatdown* Oregon State has completely changed the way they play this year. The Beavers used to be a team that would slow it down and use up the shot clock, but now they are one of the fastest teams in the Pac 10. Both of these teams are good at forcing turnovers, and I expect plenty of easy looks because of the pressure defense from both teams. I think this one ends near 150, so I like the over.
|
01-22-11 |
Appalachian State v. College of Charleston OVER 157.5 |
|
64-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total Winner* The College of Charleston is a great team to play the 'over' with. Charleston is one of the most efficient teams you will see in the entire country on the offensive side of the ball. Appalachian State has struggled this year, but they still have a potent offense led by Donald Sims. I expect Sims and company to come out ready to play in this one. The matchup of Andrew Goudelock and Donald Sims is a matchup of two of the best guards in the nation. Neither team will slow the tempo of this one, and both teams should shoot a high percentage from the floor. I like this one to go well over the posted total.
|
01-22-11 |
Delaware v. Georgia State UNDER 126 |
|
64-62 |
Push |
0 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Total Value Crusher* The Georgia State Panthers are a completely different team at home. On their home court they slow the game down far more, and they play solid defense as well. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 3-1-1 in Delaware's last 5. I like the under here.
|
01-22-11 |
Northern Illinois v. Western Michigan OVER 143.5 |
|
80-82 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Bookie BEATDOWN* The Northern Illinois Huskies are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. They play terrible defense, turn the ball over quite a bit, but they love to run and gun. Western Michigan is the type of team that takes on the style of their opponent, so I think they'll start running in this one too. Last year these two played twice and the scores were 87-77 and 90-81. Expect a high scoring affair here. Take the over.
|
01-22-11 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 130 |
|
71-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CBB Early Bird Total* Both teams play at a slow tempo and both have played against faster opponents lately, which is giving us a nice value on the under. I think this game will be played in the halfcourt, and I like this one to finish under 125, so I like the under here.
|
01-21-11 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Denver Nuggets OVER 210 |
|
107-97 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA on ESPN Total Domination* The Lakers offense has been looking a little better the last few games, and Denver's defense has a way of making the opposing offense terrific. What about Denver's offense? The Nuggets are averaging 120 points per game in their last five contests. The over is 13-9-1 in their 21 home games this year. While Denver has been lethargic in quite a few games this year, I don't think they will be that way in a matchup with the defending champs. I expect Carmelo Anthony and the rest of this team to be ready to put on a show. Bryant, Gasol, Odom, and the rest of the Lakers should get plenty of easy shots. I really like this one, and I think this one has a good chance to reach 220 points. Take the over!
|
01-21-11 |
Milwaukee Bucks v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 189 |
|
102-88 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals Takedown* I'll be the first to admit that betting on an 'under' with the Cleveland Cavaliers defense isn't exactly comforting. Having said that, I think this is the perfect matchup to see a very sloppy game. Milwaukee plays at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA, and Cleveland struggles mightily to score. I think the Bucks are more prone to slow things down and use the clock if they get the lead than any other team in the NBA. So far this year the under is actually 11-7 in Cleveland's 18 home games, because they do play a little better defense on their home floor. At the same time, the under is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games as the favorite. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two. You won't want to watch this game, but I think the under is a good play.
|
01-21-11 |
Toronto Raptors v. Orlando Magic OVER 204 |
|
72-112 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. Orlando is a much more explosive team offensively than they were before their major trades in late December. I think Toronto is the perfect team for Orlando to flex their offensive muscle against. Toronto is last in the league in field goal percentage defense and they allow opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Orlando has plenty of three point threats now, and I expect them to take advantage. The Raptors will get their share of points too since they'll put up so many shots, but I expect Orlando to have a big scoring night here (probably in the range of 110 points or so). I like the over here.
|
01-21-11 |
Iona v. Niagara OVER 144.5 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Iona Gaels are one of the more efficient offenses in college basketball and Niagara is absolutely terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Niagara allows opponents to shoot 52% on their two point shots, and Iona is shooting 55% from two point range. Niagara also allows all kinds of second chance opportunities, which Iona should take advantage of. Both of these teams like to push the tempo, so this should be a game where the pace stays very quick the whole way. The over is 9-4 in Iona's last 13 games overall. Niagara has been playing some teams that slow it down of late, which gives us some value on the line. This one should go over the posted total.
|
01-20-11 |
Cal Poly SLO v. UC Riverside UNDER 118.5 |
|
65-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play of the Day* The Cal Poly Mustangs definitely know how to make a game stay low scoring. In their last 8 games, only two of the games have gone over this posted total. They have had final scores of 43-39, 48-43, 51-41, and 51-45 during this time. They slow the game down in a big way, they have the single best three point defense in the nation, and they are not a good shooting team at all. UC Riverside plays at a fairly slow pace to start with, and I don't think they'll be able to push the tempo in this one. The two meetings between these teams last year both went well over this posted total, but Cal Poly is a whole different team this year. I think this is the type of game where a final score not far above 100 is pretty likely. Take the under here!
|
01-20-11 |
Eastern Illinois v. Murray State UNDER 122.5 |
|
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Eastern Illinois Panthers were a very low scoring team to start with, and then a few weeks ago they lost their best offensive threat in Tyler Laser. Murray State is a team that plays terrific defense. On their home court Murray State allows just 52.8 points per game. Neither team likes to push the tempo at all. Murray State's last couple games are deceiving because they have played against opponents who run and gun all game long. I think the Racers will shut down Eastern Illinois defensively and they'll be content to run the shot clock down on offense and get a good look. I had this one projected at 117, so I like the value on the under in this one.
|
01-20-11 |
Troy v. Middle Tennesse St OVER 152.5 |
|
51-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Total DOMINATION* The Troy Trojans are one of my favorite teams to play an 'over' with. Troy will push the tempo with the best of them, and their defense is terrible. MTSU had a team that would slow down the tempo substantially last year, but this year they have been running more often. Troy is allowing 82 points per game on the road this year, and I think MTSU will have success from beyond the arc, where they are solid. MTSU also sends their opponent to the line a ton because of excessive fouling, which could certainly be helpful to the over. Troy shoots the three pretty well and MTSU struggles to guard the three. In the end this is game that should be played at a quick tempo, and I expect a lot of free throws and three pointers. I like the over.
|
01-20-11 |
South Florida v. Rutgers UNDER 123.5 |
|
62-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big East Total Beatdown* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and South Florida Bulls both like to slow the game down. Both teams have been playing against opponents lately who try to speed the game up, but that shouldn't be a problem in this one. Rutgers has a good defense in the interior, but they don't guard the three well. Fortunately, South Florida is one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the nation. South Florida is solid defensively, and I don't think Rutgers will be able to find many easy looks. The under is 11-3 in South Florida's last 14 road games. The under is 21-6 in Rutgers' lst 27 home games. I like the under in this one.
|
01-20-11 |
Western Carolina v. College of Charleston OVER 148.5 |
|
64-93 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under the Radar Total SMASHER* The College of Charleston Cougars are an interesting team that I've followed closely all year. Andrew Goudelock is one of the better players in the country that you probably have never heard of. The Cougars are an extremely good offensive team, and they are very efficient. They shoot the ball well from beyond the arc, but they don't settle for three's unless it is necessary. C of C averages 80.3 points per game on their home floor. The over is 6-0 in Charleston's last 6 games inside their conference. If Western Carolina wants a chance in this one, they'll have to put up points. I like the over.
|
01-19-11 |
Long Beach State v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 151 |
|
87-89 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 36 m |
Show
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*3 Star Big West Beatdown* The Long Beach State 49ers probably have the most talented team in the Big West. Long Beach has plenty of different guys who can score. Their last couple games have come against teams who like to slow the tempo, so it has skewed this line a bit. CS Fullerton isn't a good team, but they do like to run when given the opportunity. Fullerton's defense is one of the worst in college basketball, which should mean Long Beach will get plenty of easy looks. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. I think the pace will be quick and both teams will shoot a solid percentage from the floor. I like the over here.
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01-19-11 |
Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech OVER 150 |
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39-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 57 m |
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*3 Star College Hoops Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are just terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Georgia Tech isn't very much better. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a big upset win over North Carolina. I expect Georgia Tech to want to push the tempo on their home court, and Wake Forest's personnel will be fine with that. Georgia Tech is terrible at guarding beyond the three-point line, and Wake has several good long-distance shooters. Wake Forest has been an 'over' machine on the road this year. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 road games. The over is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings. Wake Forest turns it over frequently, and Tech has a nice full-court press that should help them get easy layups here. I expect both teams to score quite a bit today. I like the over.
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01-19-11 |
Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 125 |
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60-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 53 m |
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*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets are a terrible team. They have been a great team to play the 'under' with though, especially on their home court. The under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games. They play at a very slow tempo, and their shooting percentages are awful. Today they match up against a Western Michigan team that averages just 65.8 points per game on the road. These two teams met twice last year and the total ended at 114 and 102 in those two meetings. This one might end a little higher, but I projected this line at about 120, which gives us a nice value on the under here.
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01-19-11 |
Duquesne v. La Salle OVER 157.5 |
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88-71 |
Win
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100 |
2 h 53 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Lasalle Explorers and the Duquesne Dukes do essentially the same thing on both sides of the ball. Both teams like to run and push the tempo and both teams press and force a lot of turnovers. This combination should lead to a lot of turnovers and easy baskets. There should also be plenty of shots taken, since both teams play uptempo. These teams got together last February and the final score was 103-82. While this one might not be quite that high, I think this game gets over 160 points. I like the over.
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01-18-11 |
DePaul v. Marquette OVER 149.5 |
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64-94 |
Win
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100 |
9 h 59 m |
Show
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*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The DePaul Blue Demons are a different team under Oliver Purnell. Purnell loves to press and push the tempo. DePaul has successfully been forcing turnovers this year, but the problem for them is if they don't force a turnover the other team usually gets an easy layup. Marquette has the guards necessary to get through the press effectively, which should mean the Golden Eagles will put up a big number here. Marquette averages 84 points per game on their home floor, and I think they will best that number in this game. DePaul should be able to put up enough to get this one over the posted total. Take the over here and expect a fast paced game.
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01-17-11 |
The Citadel v. Samford UNDER 121 |
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61-50 |
Win
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100 |
2 h 14 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Samford Bulldogs are a terrific 'under' team, especially on their home court. The under is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Last year, these two teams met twice, and the score ended at 98, and 118. Citadel has had some higher scoring games recently, which is giving us some nice value here. Neither team will push the pace at all, and this has the looks of a game that could finish below 115 points. AS long as they don't shoot lights-out from beyond the arc I think this one looks very good. Take the under in this battle of the Bulldogs.
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01-17-11 |
College of Charleston v. Tenn Chattanooga OVER 151 |
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88-91 |
Win
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100 |
1 h 14 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown* The College of Charleston has Andrew Goudelock as well as several other very capable scorers. The Cougars can easily put up 80 points or more in this type of a game. Chattanooga likes to run and push the tempo, so no one will be slowing this one down. An up and down affair plays into the hands of Charleston, but Chattanooga should be able to get their points as well. Last year these two teams met three times and all three times the game finished well over this posted total. The totals last season were 156, 160, and 165 points. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. I like this to be a track meet type of game, which should help this one go over the posted total.
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