Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-29-10 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 197.5 | 92-101 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BASHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have a new head coach, and they have a new style of play. Paul Silas has the Bobcats running and gunning in practice. Charlotte has been practicing with 14 second shot clocks. The team has the youth and speed it takes to be successful with the faster tempo, so I expect them to score quite a few, especially against a team like Cleveland. The Cavs are one of the worst defenses in basketball, and they give up 103 points per game. The over is 11-5 in the Cavs 16 road games this year. The books have adjusted the total upward because of Charlotte's new style of play, but I think this one will top 200 points, so I still like the value here. Take the over.
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12-29-10 | Towson v. La Salle OVER 157 | 93-90 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star CBB Total TAKEDOWN* The LaSalle Explorers can put up a ton of points if they are playing the right type of opponent, and I believe Towson fits the mold. Towson is a poor defensive team that allows far too many wide open shots, especially from beyond the arc. LaSalle has plenty of guys capable of knocking down the three ball. Both teams love to play at a very fast tempo, which should keep this game moving quickly the whole way. Both teams are poor on the defensive glass, which should mean second chance opportunities on both sides in this one. The over is 12-3 in Towson's last 15 games overall. The over is 4-2 in LaSalle's 6 lined games this season. Look for an up and down affair here between two teams who would prefer not to play defense. Take the over.
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12-29-10 | Boston College v. Rhode Island OVER 147 | 65-67 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Totals DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have found a new gear on offense in the last few games. BC is averaging 84 points per game in the last five contests, and they are shooting the ball exceptionally well from the floor. Rhode Island is the type of team that likes to push the pace, especially on their home court. The Rams are averaging 75 points per game at home this year, and BC is giving up 75 per game on the road. I don't think the books have caught up with the Boston College new faster pace and improved offense. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last four games. I expect this to be a back and forth type of game with solid shooting percentages on both sides. Take the over here.
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12-29-10 | Texas A&M Corpus v. Georgia State UNDER 128 | 42-72 | Win | 100 | 2 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird* Both Georgia State and Texas A&M Corpus Christi like to play at a slow pace. I think this will be a halfcourt game with very few runouts. This game is being played on a neutral court, which is typically helpful to the under since neither team is accustomed to the shooting background. These two teams are both terrible at the free throw line, so I expect the FT percentages to be bad in this one. The under is 8-3 in Georgia State's last 11 neutral site games. Both teams have played some faster paced opponents of late, which gives us a solid value on the under in this one. Take the under here.
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12-29-10 | East Carolina v. Maryland OVER 67.5 | 20-51 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Military Bowl Major CASH* You simply won't find a worse defense than the East Carolina Pirates. This defense allowed 43.4 points per game this year in a weak Conference USA. At the same time, the ECU offense is very good. The Pirates average 318 yards through the air each game, and they are scoring 38 points per game this year. Maryland's offense has scored 38 points or more in three of their last five contests, so I expect them to score plenty against a terrible ECU defense. Maryland's defense has been weak against the pass all year, which is bad news against the ECU offense. East Carolina's last five games have finished with totals of 84, 111, 96, 100, and 83 points! While 67.5 points seems like a lot, it really isn't when East Carolina is playing. I like this one to make it into the 70's. Take the over here.
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12-28-10 | Providence v. Syracuse OVER 153 | 74-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Providence Friars will be set on pushing the pace in this one, which should really help the scoring output of both teams. I expect Syracuse to force quite a few turnovers and get easy buckets, but I also think Providence will want to shoot before the Orange get their zone set, which should help them get some quick scores. The oddsmakers have yet to catch up to the Providence pace in the last year or so. The over is 25-10 in the last 35 games that have Providence has played in. The over is also 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games in the Big East Conference. I expect Syracuse to win this game, but I think Providence will dictate the tempo and help this one go over the posted total.
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12-28-10 | North Carolina v. Rutgers OVER 139.5 | 78-55 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie SMASHER* The North Carolina Tar Heels are back to pushing the pace again this year. They play at one of the fastest tempo's in all of college basketball. They have scored at least 65 points in every game this year, and they average 79 points per game. Rutgers has some pretty good defensive numbers, but they haven't played against a team that has even close to the size or talent all over the court that North Carolina has. I think this is the type of game where Rutgers will have to put some points on the board if they want to stay in the game, and I believe they will play inspired basketball. Don't be surprised if Rutgers stays in this game longer than most people expect. I think Harrison Barnes will have a big game and the Tar Heels big men will go to work against Rutgers enough to push this one over the posted total.
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12-28-10 | Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 207 | 84-76 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors just aren't the same team without Andrea Bargnani, as they showed last night in Memphis. The team wasn't able to get nearly as many easy looks, and they looked stagnant on offense. Dallas is a very good defensive team, and I have to wonder how Toronto will get their offense going against the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki was injured in the Mavericks win over the Thunder on Monday night, and his status is unknown for this one. At the very least, he won't be at 100%. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game this year, and without him the Raptors just don't have many primary scoring options. Dallas is second in the NBA in field goal percentage defense, and I think Toronto will shoot a low percentage on Tuesday night. I like the value on the under in this one.
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12-27-10 | Toronto Raptors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 209.5 | 85-96 | Win | 100 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have made this road trip without their leading scorer, Andrea Bargnani. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game, but he will miss this game with an injury. Toronto will still play at a quick pace, but I think they'll struggle to find high quality shots. An interesting statistic for this year is that the 'under' is 22-7 on the second end of a back to back game that lands on a Monday. Memphis is playing their second game in a row here, so that system fits in nicely. The under is also 37-18 in Toronto's last 55 Monday games. These two teams have a great history of games staying under the posted total. The under is 17-3 in the last 20 games between these two teams. I like the value on the under in this one.
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12-27-10 | Northern Illinois v. Missouri OVER 154.5 | Top | 61-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Total* The Missouri Tigers are known for their full-court pressure that can force turnovers better than just about any team in the country. The Tigers speed up the game very well. Northern Illinois plays at one of the fastest pace's in all of basketball, and they also turn the basketball over at an extremely high rate. Missouri will likely get all kinds of easy baskets off of turnovers in this game. Northern Illinois has a great player in Xavier Silas, and I expect him to put up a lot of points in this one as well. Silas gets to the line often and he shoots about 90% from the line. I just don't see either of these teams slowing this game down. Northern Illinois saw their game against Temple, which plays at a very slow pace, finish at 158 points last week. NIU's game against Northwestern earlier this year went to 175 points. I think the over is a terrific value here. Take the over big!
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12-26-10 | Indianapolis Colts v. Oakland Raiders OVER 46.5 | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie SMASHER* The Indianapolis Colts offense seems to have turned it around the last few weeks. Peyton Manning is looking like the same terrific player he has the last few years, and the running game has even improved. The Colts defense is still weak against the run, and I think the Raiders will be able to exploit that with their terrific rushing game. Most people don't realize this Raiders offense is 8th in the NFL in total offense, and the rushing attack is the second best in the NFL this year. The Raiders have given up 28.4 points per game in their last five games, and the Colts have given up 30.8 per game in their last five games. Both teams need a win here, and I think the offenses will have the upper hand in this game. I like the over.
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12-26-10 | Washington Redskins v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 46 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Washington Redskins have turned to Rex Grossman as their starting quarterback and I think that means more points in their games, both for them, and the opposition. Grossman will take more chances with the football, which should lead to plenty of points. The Redskins defense is the worst in the NFL, and I expect Jones-Drew and the Jaguars rushing attack to have a field day in this one. At the same time, the Jaguars defense is one of the worst in the NFL against the pass, which means the Redskins should have chances to score as well. The over is 7-1 in the Jaguars last 8 games overall. The Redskins game against the Cowboys last week showed what their offense could look like with Grossman, which is both good and bad. I like the over in this one.
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12-25-10 | Chicago Bulls v. New York Knicks OVER 206 | 95-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Christmas NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls are without Joakim Noah for quite a while, but they should still be able to put up points. Derrick Rose has become a better scorer, and Boozer and Deng are good scoring options as well. The loss of Noah hurts on interior defensively, which I think could mean Amare Stoudemire has more room to roam in this one. Gallinari and Chandler are having big years for the Knicks and Felton is playing well offensively as well. I think Rose will be too quick for Felton, but the Knicks shooters should have plenty of open looks at the three ball. Their only meeting this year finished with a total of 232, and I think the value is on the over in this one. Take the over here.
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12-24-10 | Tulsa v. Hawaii OVER 73.5 | 62-35 | Win | 100 | 43 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hawaii Bowl BEATDOWN* The Hawaii Warriors will get to host a bowl game once again this year. The Warriors and their high-powered offense will take on a Tulsa team that is capable of scoring points in bunches as well. This game should be exciting from start to finish. In Tulsa's last game they pulled off a 56-50 victory over Southern Miss. The good news for Tulsa is they have a very balanced attack on offense. They are the 14th best rushing attack in the nation and the 16th best passing offense. The bad news for Tulsa is they are awful against the pass, and Hawaii is easily the number one ranked passing attack in the country. Tulsa is allowing 306 yards per game through the air for the year. Bryant Moniz is a great quarterback for this Hawaii offensive system, and the Warriors have two great receivers. I really believe Hawaii could score 50 points in this one by themselves, and Tulsa's balanced offense should be able to put up plenty to cover the over. Don't be surprised if this one goes over 80 points. Take the over here.
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12-23-10 | Butler v. Florida State UNDER 130 | 67-64 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night Totals Winner* The Butler Bulldogs have the ability to score if needed, but they are a still a team that likes to play the half-court game. Florida State is one of the most defensive-minded teams in the country, and their length in the post will definitely make life difficult for Butler. Neither of these teams like to push the tempo, so I expect both to be content in the half-court sets. I expect this game to be close the entire way, and I think that the two defenses will have the upper hand. The under is 14-6 in Butler's last 20 games overall. The under is 20-5-2 in Florida State's last 27 neutral site games. I like the value on the under here.
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12-23-10 | Texas State v. Appalachian State OVER 159.5 | 79-68 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Texas State Bobcats simply don't know how to play defense. Appalachian State has a point guard in Donald Sims who will certainly be able to take advantage of a team that allows penetration to the hoop and wide open threes. Sims is a guy who feasts on teams like Texas State. Texas State plays at one of the fastest tempo's of any team in the country, and Appalachian State is most comfortable at that pace as well. I don't see either team looking to slow this one down. While taking an over at 160 seems quite risky, I had this one pegged at about 168-169 points, so I really like the value on this play. These teams will get up and down the court all game long, and this one should be an absolute track meet. I like the over here.
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12-22-10 | Rider v. La Salle OVER 147.5 | 77-68 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Track Meet Total* The Rider Broncs and the LaSalle Explorers play a similar style of basketball. Both teams push the basketball at every chance possible, and they both pressure the basketball and force the tempo with a full court press. These things combined should lead this to be a very high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in LaSalle's last 8 home games. The over is 3-1-1 in Rider's last 5 road games. I think we'll see plenty of shots in this one, and with two teams who take it to the hoop as well as these two do, I expect to see plenty of trips to the charity stripe as well. I think this one tops 150, so I like the value on the over here.
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12-21-10 | Louisville v. Southern Mississippi OVER 56.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 42 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Beef O'Brady's Bowl BEATDOWN* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have been on my radar all year long. The Golden Eagles have a very good offense which is extremely balanced. They average 461 yards per game, 255 through the air and 206 on the ground. The Golden Eagles average 37.6 points per game. Louisville has a very good running game this year. At first glance the Southern Miss defense looks great against the run (13th in the nation), but they have performed poorly against the top running teams they have played this year. Tulsa averaged 6.7 yards per carry and South Carolina averaged 6.4 yards per carry. I think Louisville will be able to move the ball well against a banged up and mediocre Southern Miss defense. In the same manner, Louisville has a top ranked (9th in the nation) pass defense, but who have they played? The Big East conference has no great passing games, and I fully believe this will be the best passing team they have played yet. I expect both teams to score plenty in this one. Take the over.
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12-21-10 | Cincinnati v. Miami Ohio UNDER 126.5 | 64-48 | Win | 100 | 1 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks are a team I like to play the 'under' with when I get a chance. Coach Charlie Coles has his team play tough on the defensive end and they always slow the tempo down, especially at home. Cincinnati is only allowing 54 points per game this year, and I think they'll struggle to score in this one much more than they have in most games this year. I look for a grind it out type of game where both teams get low quality shots at the end of the shot clock. Take the under here and expect a hard fought battle on the defensive end.
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12-20-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 213 | 90-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves have a way of speeding up the game more than anyone else in the NBA. Minnesota is averaging 86.4 shots per game over their last 10 games, which is an extremely high number. The Clippers strike me as the type of team that plays to the pace of their opponent. Los Angeles is coming off two nice wins and I think they'll be looking to score often again in this one. Eric Gordon and Baron Davis are both guys that can push the tempo as well. Both teams are terrible at guarding the three point line, so I expect more made threes than a normal game. Both teams should get up plenty of shots and I think this one will finish somewhere around 220, so I like the value on the over.
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12-19-10 | Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings OVER 204 | 102-93 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Houston Rockets are pushing the basketball more than anyone in the NBA over the last few weeks. Houston has scored 108.4 points per game during the last nine games. These two teams played last week and the game sailed over the posted total. The Kings put up 80 shots and Houston put up a staggering 92 shots in that game. I think Kevin Martin and the shooters for the Rockets will get plenty of open looks in this one. At the same time, Sacramento is a better offensive team at home, and they should put up quite a few points here as well. I think the pace stays quick in this one, and both teams should get to the line quite often. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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12-19-10 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 48 | 24-34 | Win | 100 | 113 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* It should be no secret by now that the Indianapolis run defense is not any good. Jacksonville knows how to exploit this defense, as they have shown in recent meetings with the Colts. The Jaguars are averaging 179 yards per game on the ground in their last eight games against the Colts. At the same time, Peyton Manning has thrown for more than 300 yards in three of the last four meetings with Jacksonville's defense. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The over is 10-3 in the Colts 13 games this year and 8-4-1 in the Jags games this season. There is a good chance some of the starters will be back for the Colts in this matchup and Manning will have some extra weapons. Both quarterbacks have thrown a lot of picks this year, so don't be surprised if the defense scores in this one as well. I like the over in this game.
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12-19-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. NY Giants OVER 46 | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 92 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Eagles have had the best offense in the NFL over the last five weeks. Mike Vick is throwing the ball as well as ever and McCoy is proving to be the real deal in the backfield. The Eagles are averaging 35.2 points per game in their last five games. The Giants defense is solid, but at this point I believe the Eagles can move and score quite a few on everyone in the league. Philadelphia's defense is allowing 26 points per game on the road this year. The Giants running game has gotten going of late and I expect them to be productive again on Sunday. This may well be the biggest game of the week as both of these teams enter at 9-4. The over is 8-1 in the Eagles last 9 and 8-3 in the Giants last 11 games at home. I expect the offenses to have the upper hand all throughout this game. Take the over here.
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12-19-10 | New Orleans Saints v. Baltimore Ravens OVER 43.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 91 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The single biggest takeaway from the Ravens game with the Texans last Monday night for me was that this Ravens defense isn't even close to the level they used to be. The secondary is fairly weak, and the front seven wear down by the fourth quarter as well. The New Orleans Saints offense may have started a bit slowly this year, but they are absolutely on fire of late. The Saints have scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. The passing attack ranks third in the NFL, and I think they'll exploit the Ravens secondary in this game. Baltimore has been a little better offensively at home this year, and I think their trio of great wide receivers will be a mismatch against the Saints as well. Ray Rice is bound to have a breakout game soon, and I think it could be here. I think the line is set too low here, and I'm taking the over.
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12-17-10 | Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 190.5 | 71-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star GUARANTEED Cash* The Jazz will have a full arsenal of weapons on Friday night as Mehmut Okur will make his season debut. Okur is a decent scorer and he'll give them another offensive option. The Hornets have had nine straight games go under the total, which has given us a great value on the over here. New Orleans averages just 89 points on the road, but they are scoring 97 per game at home. Utah puts up 100 points per game on the road. These teams have gone over 191 in six of their last eight meetings. I think the extremely low number makes this over an attractive play. Take the over here.
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12-17-10 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 183 | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats are playing terrible basketball right now. They simply can't put the ball in the hoop, and they'll be without arguably their best scorer, Gerald Wallace, tonight. The Hawks have been a different team without Joe Johnson in the lineup. They don't push the pace nearly as much, and they use up the shot clock frequently. Neither of these teams get to the line all that often, and we have a favorable referee crew in this one too, so I think free throw attempts will be limited. Friday night has been a nice night for unders in the NBA this year, and this is my favorite under of the night for Friday. I think we'll see a half-court game here and it wouldn't surprise me if the winner of this only gets to 88 or 90. I like the under here.
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12-16-10 | Florida Atlantic v. Troy OVER 146.5 | 82-77 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Best Bet* The Troy Trojans like to run and push the tempo, and their defense has a way of making the other team look very good offensively. Florida Atlantic is a team that I believe is fully capable of running and scoring a lot of points, but they have played several opponents lately who slow the tempo down quite a bit. These teams played twice last year and the games finished at 151 and 166 points. In fact, if you look farther back into history there has only been one of the last ten meetings between these two teams finish below this posted total. Typically one of the two has 85-95 points by the end of the game. These two teams are no stranger to running and gunning and I think we'll see that again tonight. Look for some easy layups and a lot of points in transition here. I like the over!
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12-15-10 | Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 207.5 | 105-117 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Guaranteed Cash* The Houston Rockets are without Aaron Brooks, but Kyle Lowry has done a great job at the point guard spot. Lowry seems to have sped up the team a little bit in his time at the point. The over is 5-2 in Houston's last 7 games, and they are averaging 110 points per game during that span. Oklahoma City is a solid 'over' team (16-9 so far this year), especially because they are easily the best free throw shooting team in the league. The Thunder are hitting 85% of their free throw attempts this year. The best news here is we have a referee crew that includes two of the top three 'over' referees in the NBA. I expect both teams to make plenty of trips to the line, and that will help the point total greatly. Look for Durant to have a huge game, but I also think Luis Scola could do quite a bit of damage against the Thunder. I like the over in this one.
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12-15-10 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 194 | 91-105 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Los Angeles Clippers have slowly turned into a slightly better defensive team. Vinny Del Negro is a defensive-minded coach and this team seems to be committing to the defense much more than in recent years. On the offensive end they are all struggling, minus Blake Griffin. The Sixers have actually covered the spread nine straight times now, and they have allowed only one team (Boston) over 100 points during that span. In fact, three of those nine games have seen their opponent finish with less than 80 points. The under is 10-4 in Philadelphia's last 14 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Clippers last 7 games overall. Marc Davis is the head referee in this game, and the under is 99-70 in games he has refereed in the last three years. I like the under in this one.
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12-15-10 | NC-Greensboro v. Wake Forest OVER 158 | 67-69 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The over is 5-1-1 in Wake's seven lined games this year, and the over is 5-1 in UNC Greensboro's six games. These are two horrible defenses and they are two teams that like to push the tempo all game long. UNC Greensboro may have the worst defense in the nation. They are allowing 91 points per game, and opponents are shooting a staggering 52% from the field and 43% from beyond the arc. Wake Forest has some great three point shooters, and they are third in the nation in three point field goal percentage this year. I expect plenty of wide open threes on Wednesday night. UNC Greensboro allowed 92 points and 97 points respectively to Virginia Tech and Florida State, two teams that usually have a ton of trouble scoring. Wake will have their track shoes on here, and Greensboro will get some easy buckets as well. It wouldn't surprise me to see 165 or 170 points scored here. I like the over.
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12-14-10 | Atlanta Hawks v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 187 | 80-103 | Win | 100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Atlanta Hawks are short-handed right now as Joe Johnson sits out with an injury. The Hawks offense is only averaging 92.5 points per game over the last six games. The Pistons have one of the slowest paced offenses in the league right now. Because of the absence of Johnson and the Pistons slow tempo, I see this being a game where both teams stay at 75 or below in field goals attempted. Unless they shoot a very high percentage, this game should stay under the posted total. The recent trends between these two point to the under as well. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The last three meetings have finished with a total of 176, 178, and 179 points. I think this will be a sloppy, low scoring game. I like the value on the under in this one.
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12-12-10 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 50.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 53 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Bookie BASHER* The Eagles and Cowboys probably have the two hottest offenses in the NFL right now. If you look back a few weeks it is hard to imagine saying the Cowboys offense is good, but they have averaged 33.25 points per game in their last four games. Jason Garrett is now the head coach and this team seems to have changed their game plan a bit since then. The Eagles continue to roll on the offensive end behind some terrific quarterback play from Mike Vick. The Eagles have scored 26 points or more in seven of their last eight games overall. The Cowboys defense is allowing 28 points per game. The over is 7-1 in the Eagles last eight games. The over is 8-0 in the Cowboys last 8 games. This is a pretty high number, but I think we'll see a game that hits at least the mid 50's. Take the over here.
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12-12-10 | North Carolina-Wilmington v. Wake Forest OVER 142.5 | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hoops Total Terrorizer* The Wake Forest Deamon Deacons aren't a very good team this year, but they sure do push the tempo. Wake Forest loves to run and shoot three pointers, and I expect them to keep that trend going today against UNC Wilmington. A couple of Wake's players that have been sitting out will be back today after eligibility problems, which should give them more depth. UNC Wilmington can hit the three pointer and Wake Forest struggles to defend the three. I like the over in this one.
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12-12-10 | Cleveland Browns v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 39.5 | 6-13 | Win | 100 | 46 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills are no strangers to ugly low-scoring games. Last year the Browns beat the Bills 6-3 in what may have been the worst game of the year to watch. This year there is a major weather system that will impact this game. Buffalo is expected to be getting snow and 15-20 mph winds during this game. Since it is right by the lake, the conditions can deteriorate rapidly here. I fully expect this to be a game where both teams rely on their running game, because the conditions won't allow much passing. The under is 5-1 in the Bills last 6 home games in December, largely because of the poor weather that occurs here. This weekend we have two teams with suspect offenses and bad weather conditions. I'll take the under.
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12-12-10 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 40 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 46 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Pittsburgh Steelers have the best run defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh is under a winter storm watch for Sunday because they are expected to receive several inches of snow and high winds. The Bengals rushing game is not impressive at all, and I think Cincinnati will struggle to score in this game. Inclement conditions will likely make the Steelers willing to just run the ball and methodically score on the Bengals, eating up a lot of time in the process. With winds of 15-20 mph and heavy snow at times, I fully expect this to be a low scoring game. The Steelers defense will flex their muscles against a weak Bengals running game and this one will likely be a snoozer. Take the under and expect the weather to impact this game in a major way.
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12-12-10 | Appalachian State v. Georgetown OVER 149.5 | 60-89 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION Play* The Georgetown Hoyas aren't a slow it down type of team this year. They have scorers all over the court, especially in the backcourt. Chris Wright is a very good point guard who can drive and shoot the three. Austin Freeman can score it as well as anyone in the Big East. Jason Clark is a terrific outside shooter. Appalachian State only knows how to play at one speed and that is fast. Donald Sims is their star guard, and he is averaging 27 points per game this year. I expect Sims to have a good game and his team to run all game long. Georgetown shouldn't have much trouble scoring against the Mountaineers, who allow 78 points per game so far this year. I expect Georgetown to be pushing 85 or 90 points by the time this one is finished. I like the over.
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12-11-10 | Navy v. Army UNDER 53.5 | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Bookie CRUSHER* The great rivalry between Army and Navy will be played on Saturday and I expect a hard hitting battle. These two teams have the utmost respect for each other, but they love nothing more than to defeat the other squad. Both teams run the football extremely well, and neither of them throw it much at all. That fact alone helps the under since the clock will be rolling almost all game long. Additionally, Army is much better this year than in the past, and their run defense is in the top 35 nationwide, so I expect a closer game than in past years. The fact that both teams understand the triple option very well helps them defend it better than the average team. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games and I believe the under is the best play for Saturday as well.
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12-10-10 | Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 203 | 106-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* The Miami Heat have started to put it together of late. It seems that the team has finally started to discover that they have the ability to get out and run, and they have been very successful when they do just that. Against Cleveland they ran often, and it worked out very well. Against Utah they pushed the tempo and beat the Jazz down the floor for many layups, especially in the fourth quarter. Golden State will be without Stephen Curry, which will hurt, but I still think the Warriors will keep pushing tempo. Golden State doesn't know how to play any other way, especially at home. Monta Ellis should have a big game, and Reggie Williams showed that Golden State has some guys on the bench capable of busting out in a big way with his 31 point effort two days ago. I think Miami will score at will here and push this one over the posted total.
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12-10-10 | Utah v. Michigan UNDER 129.5 | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines are shaping up to be a great 'under' team this year. Their system is one in which they use the clock and play solid defense, and there really aren't many guys on this team who can score 15 or 20 points on a nightly basis. Utah is a team that pushed the pace some in their early games at home, but of late they have had some low scoring contests. The under is 13-3-1 in Michigan's last 17 home games. Michigan's games against Syracuse and UTEP two solid offensive teams, finished at 103 and 121 points respectively. I think this is a great number to take the under here. Expect a half-court type of game and some poor shooting numbers. Take the under.
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12-09-10 | Georgetown v. Temple UNDER 126.5 | 65-68 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Play of the Day* The Georgetown Hoyas and the Temple Owls should be a terrific matchup on Thursday night. Last year these two teams met in a game that finished with Georgetown winning 46-45. I think this is the type of game that you will appreciate if you like defense. Temple allows just 55 points per game, and they are holding opponents to just 37% shooting from the floor. Georgetown is shooting 51% on the year, but I would be very surprised if they shoot that well in this game. Temple is one of the slowest paced teams in the nation, and Georgetown is actually much slower than one might think. I don't think the Hoyas will try to turn this game into a track meet and even if they do try, I don't expect Temple to allow it. Look for the defenses to step up and make this a hard-fought game where every score is difficult. I like the under here.
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12-08-10 | Cal State Fullerton v. Arizona OVER 149 | Top | 62-73 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total Play* The Arizona Wildcats are a very solid team on offense this year. Derrick Williams is playing great basketball for this team, and they have a solid amount of balance on the perimeter and down low. CS Fullerton is a team that plays virtually no defense and they simply 'run and gun' all game long. The Titans allowed 84 points to Hawaii, 80 points to Montana State, and 81 points to USC; all teams that aren't that terrific offensively. Arizona is easily the best offense they have faced yet, and I think Arizona has a very good chance of scoring more than 90 points in this game. Fullerton will get some fastbreak layups as well, but this game shouldn't be close. Don't be shocked if Arizona is pushing 100 by the time this one is finished. I like the over in this one!
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12-08-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 216.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Oklahoma City Thunder are finally healthy once again and they have the perfect opponent to flex their offensive muscle against tonight. The Timberwolves allow 109.3 points per game, and Oklahoma City scored 117 on them just a couple weeks ago. The Thunder are first in the NBA in free throw percentage, thanks to Kevin Durant's great shooting from the line. I expect Durant to attack this weak Minnesota defense and get to the line very often. Darko might not play tonight for Minnesota, which actually helps the over. Darko is probably the Timberwolves best defensive player, and without him there will be no one to clog the lane at all. Minnesota will get plenty of points by running and gunning as well. The three referees for this game average more fouls than the NBA league average, so that bodes well for the over too. Take the over here.
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12-08-10 | Seton Hall v. Arkansas OVER 134 | Top | 62-71 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
*5 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Seton Hall Pirates an interesting team that I don't believe the books have much of a handle on just yet. Jeremy Hazell is out right now, which leaves the team without their top scorer. In their first three games without Hazell they haven't put up many points, but we must realize that all three of those opponents were slow tempo teams. Arkansas likes to put pressure on and force the tempo, which should get Seton Hall back to their running ways. Eniel Polynice is starting to get used to the offense, and he should be a nice player for them this year. Arkansas has Rotnei Clarke, a great shooter who can light it up on any given night. I expect the teams to get up and down in this one. This number is set so low that I believe the over is a very good value.
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12-07-10 | Purdue v. Valparaiso OVER 128 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 19 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Play of the Day* The Purdue Boilermakers have struggled quite a bit offensively over the last few games. The Boilers played Richmond, Virginia Tech, and Alabama. All three of those teams play solid defense. Now most people think Purdue simply can't score, which really isn't true. In their first five games, Purdue averaged 84.2 points per game. Valparaiso is a team that shoots the ball well from the floor, and they have several options offensively. I think the line being set so low is an overreaction to the recent past of Purdue. Purdue does have JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore and I expect both to have a big game on Tuesday night. I like the over in this game.
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12-07-10 | Georgia v. Georgia Tech OVER 136.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Georgia Bulldogs and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will square off in their intrastate rivalry game on Tuesday evening. Georgia Tech's defense has been horrible of late. Northwestern shot 65% from the floor against Georgia Tech, and they hit 12/19 three pointers, mainly because they had so many wide open looks. Both teams do quite a bit of fouling, so I expect the trips to the line to be frequent in this game. Rivalry games like this often have more free throw opportunities, because both teams are looking to be more physical than normal. I expect some open looks from the floor and lots of trips to the charity stripe in this one. Take the over.
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12-06-10 | Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 208 | 100-124 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have looked like a different team this year, and it starts with their improved defense. O'Brien has this team believing they can shut down their opponent, and they are third in the NBA in field goal % defense. The Pacers also have slowed their tempo down quite a bit. Toronto is a team that can run, but I don't think they'll dictate the tempo in this one. The line is set fairly low, but I think that is to try to pull in money on the over here. The trends say over because Indiana and Toronto have scored bunches of points in their last few meetings, but that was a very different Indiana team. This referee crew is a nice 'under' crew as well, so that should cut down on free throw attempts. I like the under here.
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12-05-10 | Dallas Cowboys v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 47.5 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Dallas Cowboys have definitely played better football since Jason Garrett took over as Head Coach. The Cowboys offense seems to have found their rhythm once again. Dallas has scored 33,35, and 27 points in their last three games. Indianapolis is now just 6-5, and they need this game badly. The Colts have the #1 passing attack in the NFL, which should be good for them in this matchup. Dallas is 23rd in the NFL against the pass. The Cowboys defense has been terrible this year. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 Cowboys games, mainly because they are giving up 32 points per game over their last six games. Peyton Manning will be ready for this game, and I think the Colts will move the ball quite easily against this Dallas defense. At the same time, the Colts defense is not great, and I think this improved Cowboys offense will find some success against Indianapolis. I like the over in this one.
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12-05-10 | New York Knicks v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 216.5 | 116-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* I really like playing an 'under' on early Sunday afternoon games. This is the classic early Sunday afternoon opportunity for a lethargic game of basketball between the Raptors and the Knicks. The Knicks have been playing quite well of late, and they have actually held four of their last five opponents to 100 points or fewer. The Raptors are allowing only 97.9 points per game at home so far this year. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, and it is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. I think the shooting percentages will be fairly low here and we'll see a sloppy game, which should be good for the under, especially when the number is set this high. Take the under.
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12-05-10 | Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48.5 | 6-10 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos have been giving up points by the bunches in the last few games. In fact, they are allowing an amazing 36.6 points per game over their last five contests. Kansas City has found their offense of late, and they have scored 29, 31, and 42 points in their last three games. The Chiefs have the top ranked rushing attack in the NFL, and Denver is 30th in the NFL at stopping the run. Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe have heated up of late too, so this KC offense is becoming balanced. Denver's pass offense is fourth in the NFL, and the Chiefs are 24th in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. In the last three meetings, the finals have been 44-13, 44-24, and 49-29. I think there is a good amount of value on the over in this one. Take the over here!
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12-04-10 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 53 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Nebraska/Oklahoma Play* This will be the Nebraska Cornhuskers final game in the Big 12 Conference. Nebraska will definitely be looking to complete some unfinished business after their last second loss to Texas in this game last year. Oklahoma is a team that looks much better in their last few games. There are some key injuries in this game. Taylor Martinez and DeMarco Murray are both questionable in this one. My guess is that both will play at least some, but they are both hurt pretty badly and I think that will make them less effective than normal. Oklahoma is very reliant on their passing attack, and Nebraska has the second best pass defense in all of college football. I expect Nebraska to pressure Landry Jones and make things difficult for him. On the other side, Nebraska relies on their running game. I think Oklahoma will do their best to stack the box and make Nebraska throw it in this one. A hobbled Martinez will make it more difficult for Nebraska to be effective running the ball. These two teams played to a 10-3 final last year. A game of this magnitude often stays lower scoring as well, as the Texas/Nebraska game last year did. I like the under in this one.
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12-04-10 | Cornell v. Minnesota OVER 137 | 66-71 | Push | 0 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been pushing the tempo much more this year. Tubby Smith's team is talented and they are getting up and down the floor very often. Cornell isn't nearly the team they were a year ago, but they are still playing at a quick tempo. I expect the Gophers to use their size advantage to get quite a few easy baskets in this one. Minnesota is one of the worst teams in college basketball at guarding the three point line, so expect Cornell to bury some threes in this game. I think this one gets into the 140's. Take the over here.
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12-04-10 | Washington Huskies v. Washington State Cougars UNDER 54.5 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Bookie BEATDOWN* The Washington Huskies and the Washington State Cougars will battle for the Apple Cup in Pullman on Saturday night. It has been cold and snowy all week in Pullman, and it is expected to be very cold again Saturday night. This is a pretty good rivalry game that most people don't follow very closely. The Huskies offense has struggled of late, scoring just 14 points per game in their last five overall. Washington State relies on the passing game, and Washington's secondary is solid. The Huskies are allowing only 193 passing yards per game this year. In the last two years the total has finished at 30 and 29 points when these two have met. I expect this to be a close hard-fought game, and I think the value is on the under.
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12-04-10 | Duquesne v. Penn State OVER 139 | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Annihilation* The Penn State Nittany Lions only scored 39 points against Maryland in their last game, so it seems strange to pick an over in their next game. Penn State shot a miserable 14/68 from the floor last game, including 3-27 from downtown. It wasn't that the pace was slow, but rather they just couldn't throw a rock in the ocean. Duquesne is one of the quickest tempo teams every year in college basketball. They are averaging 86 points per game so far this year. I fully expect them to put up a large amount of points against Penn State. The Duquesne defense isn't very good, and I think Talor Battle and the Nittany Lions will fare much better from the floor in this one. Last game's cold shooting has given us a good value on the over here.
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12-04-10 | North Carolina State v. Syracuse OVER 142.5 | 59-65 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Play of the Day* The NC State Wolfpack have decided to make it a huge issue to push the tempo this year. The Wolfpack did so successfully through much of their first few games, before falling flat against Wisconsin offensively. Syracuse is a team that has the athletes to run, and I don't think they'll try to slow this one down very much. The over is 4-0 this year in NC State's games, and I think this is another one where the over is the play. I don't think NC State wins this game, but I do think they'll push the tempo enough for us to cash in on the over.
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12-04-10 | Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 64 | 37-20 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks have the highest powered offense in college football. Oregon State's defense has been terrible this year, especially of late. Oregon will definitely want to keep putting up the points in this rivalry game, and I think they could easily get to 45 or 50 points in this one. Oregon State will playing in front of the home crowd, and I expect Quizz Rodgers and the rest of the offense to put some points up against Oregon. The history between these two is for this game to be an absolute shootout. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Oregon State's poor rushing defense should get exposed by the Oregon Ducks amazing running game. I think this is the type of game where there will be a ton of huge plays. I like the over here.
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12-03-10 | Indiana Pacers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 212.5 | 97-105 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have been on a nice run to the under, which has made this number a nice value. Phoenix is last in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Suns are also first in the league in points per game. Indiana has struggled from the floor this year, but I expect them to get plenty of open looks against Phoenix. The Suns really push the pace at home, and the over is 12-4 in their last 16 home games. If you look at the last six meetings between the Pacers and Suns, every single game has gone over this number. The Suns are averaging 119 points per game over their last five games, and I think Indiana's slightly improved defense is likely to be exposed tonight. It doesn't hurt that this officiating crew has a nice lean to the over as well. Look for plenty of free throws and some wide open looks for both teams. I like the over in this one.
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12-02-10 | Missouri v. Oregon OVER 153.5 | 83-80 | Win | 100 | 22 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers lost a heartbreaker against Georgetown on Tuesday night, but they face a much less talented opponent on Thursday in Oregon. The Ducks have struggled quite a bit this year, and I think Missouri's full-court press and trapping style will bother Oregon a lot. Malcolm Armstead is the point guard for Oregon, and he has had some significant trouble with turnovers already this year. Armstead has at least four turnovers in each of the last five games, and he has had six turnovers twice. Now he and his team face an opponent that forces more turnovers than anyone, and I think it will be a big problem. Missouri can shoot the three, and Oregon is one of the worst in the nation at defending behind the arc. Missouri does force a ton of turnovers, but their opponents also shoot a good percentage from the floor. I expect Missouri to push the tempo here and I look for both teams to get a lot of easy looks. Take the over.
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12-01-10 | Michigan State v. Duke OVER 148.5 | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 7 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duke Blue Devils have sped up their game this year, largely due to their sensational point guard Kyrie Irving. Irving is a one man fastbreak when he touches the ball, and that gets guys like Singler and Smith wide open jumpers. Michigan State is the type of team that can run with just about anyone in basketball if they want to, and even they I suspect they might try to slow the pace at the start, I think they'll be forced to speed up later on as I believe Duke will be leading in this one. Michigan State will pick up the tempo if they are losing, which I think could this game into a track meet at times. The Spartans also commit a lot of fouls and Duke is shooting 73% from the free throw line. Both teams are in the top 26 in the country in 3 point shooting percentage, so I expect quite a few three's to fall tonight. I believe the posted total here is giving us a nice value on the over in this one. Take the over.
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12-01-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 204.5 | 86-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves have been an "over" machine on the road. The over is 27-12 in their last 39 road games. Dallas has been an under team at home, but they have put up big points against Minnesota in their last few meetings. The Mavericks are also healthy now, with Caron Butler adding another primary scorer. Dallas has scored at least 100 points in four straight games, and Minnesota allows 110 points per game. In the three meetings late last year between these two teams, the over was 3-0, and the lowest total score was 221 points. I expect Dallas to shoot a good percentage from the floor in this one, and Minnesota to constantly push the tempo of the game. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Dallas, and I expect tonight's game to go over the posted total as well.
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11-30-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Golden State Warriors OVER 214.5 | 118-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* Over the years the Golden State Warriors have always scored bunches of points at home. This year the San Antonio Spurs have decided to push the tempo more than ever, and they are actually third in the NBA in points per game at 107.2. Monta Ellis and Stephen Curry both are capable of putting up 30 points in any given game for the Warriors, and I expect one of them to have a huge night tonight. Manu Ginobili is playing great right now, and Richard Jefferson is having a huge comeback season for the Spurs. How about the recent trends? The over is 5-0 in the Spurs last five games overall. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams. Last time the Spurs went to Golden State they scored 147 points. I don't expect that kind of output, but 115 points from the Spurs seems fairly likely. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-28-10 | Notre Dame v. Wisconsin UNDER 127.5 | 58-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Wisconsin Badgers are always a team that plays at a slow tempo and they play great defense. I think that is magnified this year because they don't have many guards that are capable of driving the lane. This is a Badgers team that will give 100% effort every time out, and you won't get many easy shots at all. Notre Dame underwent an interesting change in strategy last year where Mike Brey's team decided they were going to use the clock and play solid defense instead of pushing the pace. I don't think the oddsmakers have ever caught up with the change in the Fighting Irish offense. The under is now an amazing 16-5 in Notre Dame's last 21 games. How about Wisconsin? The under is 20-7 in their last 27 games. I think there will be a very slow pace here, and as long as they don't shoot a very high percentage on three pointers, this one should stay under the total. Take the under here.
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11-28-10 | Tennessee Titans v. Houston Texans OVER 46.5 | 0-20 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* It's tough to put into words just how bad this Houston secondary is, but I'll give it a try. Houston is allowing 308 yards through the air each game. That is 17 yards per game more than the Atlanta Falcons allowed in 1995. Those Falcons are currently in the record books as having allowed more passing yards than anyone in NFL history. The Texans look like they will shatter that mark. Rusty Smith is making his first start here, but he is a better passer than Vince Young. I think Randy Moss will make his presence felt in this game, against a terrible secondary. On the other side, the Texans have a very good offense, and they should be able to move the ball consistently against a mediocre Titans defense. Houston has allowed at least 27 points in every single game this year, which is quite amazing. I think we're getting a good value on the over in this one.
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11-27-10 | Wake Forest v. Vanderbilt UNDER 50 | 34-13 | Win | 100 | 119 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Football Total DOMINATION* The Vanderbilt Commodores have done a nice job competing this season. Their head coach quit just days before the season and the team has very little offense, but the defense fights hard. Wake Forest and Vanderbilt both are lacking quite badly at the skill positions on offense, as evidenced by their recent offensive outputs. In their last three games, Vanderbilt is averaging 14.7 points per game. Wake Forest is averaging just 8.7 points per game in that time span. I don't expect either team to establish much of a consistent offense in this one, but there will probably be some points scored because of turnovers. I think the oddsmakers set this one too high. A game with two teams that are dreadful offensively looks like a nice opportunity on the under to me.
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11-27-10 | South Carolina v. Clemson UNDER 45 | 29-7 | Win | 100 | 118 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Early Bird Special* The Clemson Tigers have had an interesting season. The defense has risen up and played extremely well. The offense has been disappointing. This combination has led to seven straight Clemson games going under the posted total. In fact, the highest total score of those seven games was 40 points. South Carolina has struggled badly against good passing offenses, but Clemson doesn't have the weapons to air it out consistently against the Gamecocks. I look for both teams to try to establish the running game in this one, which will keep the clock rolling. South Carolina has already wrapped up the SEC East, and Clemson will be fired up for this one, so I expect a close game that goes down to the wire. The books still haven't adjusted enough for Clemson's recent trends toward the under. Take the under here.
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11-27-10 | UAB v. Rice OVER 67 | 23-28 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Hidden GEM* The Rice Owls are the best 'over' team in all of college football over the last few years. The over is 57-18 in their last 75 games overall. It's hard to believe a trend could continue that long for one team, but it just keeps on going. The over is 31-8 in their last 39 conference games. Taylor McHargue has taken over as the Owls starting quarterback, and he looked great in his first start last week. McHargue was a highly touted recruit, and much is expected of him. Rice racked up more than 600 yards of offense last week and scored 62 points. The UAB offense is all about the passing game, which is a good thing against Rice. Rice has the single worst pass defense in college football this year. The Owls are allowing 309 yards per game through the air. The Rice defense has allowed at least 38 points in each of their last four games. UAB will be able to put up a lot of points here, and Rice's new quarterback should help them make this game an all out track meet. Take the over.
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11-27-10 | Kentucky v. Tennessee OVER 58 | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 112 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Bookie CRUSHER* The Kentucky Wildcats have been impressive on offense this year. Kentucky is averaging 35 points per game. Mike Hartline has done a nice job at the starting quarterback position, and Randell Cobb and Derrick Locke give the offense two great play makers. Tennessee has improved a lot on the offensive side as the season has gone along. They have put up more than 38 points per game in the last three contests. Neither team has a defense that has proved it can stop many teams for an entire game. I expect a lot of big plays in this game. The over is 9-2 in Kentucky's 11 games this year. The over is 9-2 in Tennessee's 11 games this year. The over is also 6-0 in Tennessee's last 6 games at home. Take the over in this one.
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11-26-10 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Indiana Pacers OVER 205.5 | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Oklahoma City Thunder had a couple very low scoring games when Durant and Green were injured. The Pacers have been playing at a little slower tempo of late. These factors have contributed to the line being much lower than it would have been a week or two ago, and I believe the value is on the over in this one. The last five meetings between these two have all gone over this total. Durant should be able to get to the line a ton in this game, and I expect Granger and Dunleavy to have a big game for Indiana. It doesn't hurt a bit that the referee crew here is noted for their quick whistles and games that go 'over' the posted total. I love the value on the over in this one!
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11-26-10 | California v. Notre Dame UNDER 143 | 44-57 | Win | 100 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star CBB Totals Play of the Day* Notre Dame fundamentally changed the way they played during the middle of the year in 2009-2010. The team slowed down every game and used up the shot clock, which helped them go on a great run to finish out the season. I fully expect the Fighting Irish to keep that trend going, which for the time being means that the value is still on the under in most of their games. Yesterday against Georgia their game went well over, but that was because of two overtime periods. California is a solid team, but they lost their primary scorers as well. I don't expect either team to shoot a high percentage in this one, and I believe the tempo will be slower than most would expect. I like the under in this game.
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11-26-10 | UCLA Bruins v. Arizona State Sun Devils UNDER 48.5 | 34-55 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star Turkey Trimmings Totals Winner* The UCLA Bruins have had a long season, and that is largely due to their one dimensional offense. Johnathan Franklin is a very good running back, but it is tough to find room to run when you virtually never get anything going through the air. UCLA ranks 117th in the nation in pass offense, averaging just 117 yards per game. Arizona State's defense is stout against the run, which should mean the Bruins will struggle to score in this one. The Sun Devils are allowing only 122 yards per game on the ground this year. UCLA's defense is weak against the run, but solid against the pass. Arizona State is pass first type of offense, so once again I see the defense holding up fairly well here. The trends are very strong for this one as well. The under is 21-6-1 in UCLA's last 28 PAC 10 games. The under is 32-15 in Arizona State's last 47 games overall. The under is also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with each other. Take the under here.
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11-26-10 | SMU v. East Carolina OVER 69.5 | 45-38 | Win | 100 | 72 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star Friday Totals Feast* The East Carolina defense is as bad as any defense in all of college football. In fact, East Carolina is dead last in Division I in points allowed at 43 per game. Rice put up 62 points on them last week, and Rice had been struggling offensively. Navy put up 76 points on them earlier this year as well. SMU hasa very solid offense and I fully expect them to score a bunch. On the other side, East Carolina has a terrific offense. Dominique Davis leads a high powered passing attack for the Pirates. They average 319 yards per game through the air, and the offense as a whole puts up 38 points per game. The weakness of the SMU defense is their secondary, which should mean ECU will pile up the yards and points in this one as well. This one could be a very high scoring game. I like the over in this one.
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11-25-10 | New England Patriots v. Detroit Lions OVER 50.5 | 45-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Turkey Day Tasty Total* The New England Patriots have their offense firing on all cylinders right now. In the last two games they have played Pittsburgh and Indianapolis and have put up 39 and 31 points respectively. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Detroit Lions are without Matt Stafford, but they still have some nice pieces on offense. Calvin Johnson is having a big year, and I think he'll give this Patriots secondary some problems. New England is second to last in the league in pass defense, so they are capable of giving up yards through the air. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Lions last 6 home games. The over is 5-1 in the Patriots last 6 road games. I think there will be several big plays in this game, which should lead to this one going over the posted total.
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11-24-10 | San Antonio Spurs v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 213.5 | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The San Antonio Spurs are 12-1 and much of their success this season is due to their efficiency on the offensive end. San Antonio has decided to get up and down the floor, and they are doing it very successfully. They put up 117 against Oklahoma City and 116 against both Philadelphia and Cleveland in the last couple weeks. Minnesota is by far the worst defense in the NBA. The Timberwolves are giving up 110.4 points per game on the season, and they have given up at least 111 points in the last five games. The Timberwolves also play at the fastest pace of any team in the NBA. At the end of last year the Spurs put up 133 points in Minnesota. While I certainly don't expect that again, 115 to 120 is very doable. I think the over is the play in this one.
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11-22-10 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers OVER 50 | 14-35 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Monday Night Football Bookie CRUSHER* The Denver Broncos defense has been absolutely terrible of late. How bad have they been? The Broncos are allowing 37 points per game over their last three game. Champ Bailey is still here, but he isn't what he used to be. Brian Dawkins is aging as well, and he simply hasn't produced very well this year. San Diego has been putting up the points in bunches at home this year. The Chargers are averaging 33 points per game at home so far this season. Phillip Rivers has gone without his main receiving targets much of the year, but he's still had a fabulous season. The Chargers are first in passing offense in the NFL, and Ryan Matthews helps keep them balanced. Denver should be able to put up some points as well, as this Chargers team struggles badly on special teams. The over is 12-2 in Denver's last 14 games. The over is 6-2 in San Diego's last 8 games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the over in this MNF matchup!
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11-21-10 | NY Giants v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 48 | Top | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 36 m | Show |
*5 Star Sunday Night Top Play GUARANTEED Cash* The Giants and the Eagles have been accustomed to playing high scoring games, and both offenses are humming along right now. Everyone knows about Mike Vick and the Eagles terrific performance from last week, but New York has been putting up points in bunches as well. Over the last five games they have averaged 32.8 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Giants last five games. The over is also 5-0 in the Eagles last five games. Look for Vick to continue to create for the Eagles offense, and Manning and his wideouts to beat a questionable Eagles secondary. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. This game has over written all over it. I'm making this one a five star top play on the over.
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11-21-10 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 44 | 31-3 | Loss | -110 | 45 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Minnesota Vikings have had a terribly disappointing season. The offense has been bad. The fact that they have underperformed so much allows us to get a nice number on the over in this game. In Brett Favre's three games against Green Bay in the last couple years, the Vikings have scored 24, 38, and 30 points. The total has gone over in the last five meetings between these two teams. Green Bay's defense is depleted in a big way because of injuries. Minnesota's defense is pretty good, but they haven't played up to expectations. I think Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense will be able to move the ball consistently against Minnesota in this one. The over is 5-1 in Minnesota's last 6 games overall. The over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings between these two teams. The value is on the over in this game.
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11-20-10 | Arkansas State v. Navy OVER 64 | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Navy Midshipmen have gotten their ground game working once again this year. They started off a little slowly, but they have been racking up the yards in the last few games. They average 303 yards per game on the ground. Arkansas State's defense is absolutely terrible. The Red Wolves are allowing 206 yards per game on the ground this year, which is 110th in the nation. On the other side, Arkansas State has a pretty good passing game. They are 22nd in the nation in passing yards. Navy has struggled against solid passing teams this year. Navy is allowing 234 yards per game on the ground. The last three games for Navy have finished with totals of 65, 101, and 75. The last four games for Arkansas State have finished with totals of 70, 53, 75, and 71. The over is 4-0 in both teams last 4 games. I like the over a lot in this one.
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11-20-10 | Ole Miss v. LSU UNDER 51 | 36-43 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star SEC Showdown Total* Ole Miss has been a big disappointment this year. Their defense was supposed to be solid this year, but they have been pretty bad. LSU's defense is one of the very best in the country. LSU ranks sixth in the nation in points allowed at just 14.6 points per game. The LSU offense has struggled all year, especially when it comes to throwing the football. Mississippi has been decent against the run, but LSU should be able to get plenty of yards on the ground. I am counting on LSU's defense to rise up at home like they have consistently for the last few years. The under is 12-2 in their last 14 home games. 10 of their last 11 games at home have finished at 51 points or less. I think it will be difficult for the Rebels to consistently move the ball against this defense. I like the under in this one.
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11-20-10 | East Carolina v. Rice OVER 72 | 38-62 | Win | 100 | 41 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Totals Terrorizer* At first glance you might think it is crazy to be playing an over on a total set at 72 points. Look at the numbers though, and you'll see this is a very good value. East Carolina's offense is extremely productive, and they run an uptempo offense. The Pirates have scored at least 35 points in each of their last four games. They have the #5 passing attack in the nation. Rice's secondary is horrible, in fact they are the second worst in the country against the pass. East Carolina could very well put up more than 50 points in this one. At the same time, Rice should be able to put up plenty of points as well against an East Carolina defense that is allowing 41 points per game for the year. This one should be one heck of a shootout. Take the over here.
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11-20-10 | Troy State v. South Carolina OVER 57.5 | 24-69 | Win | 100 | 114 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Early Bird Special* The Troy State Trojans have a great offense, but their defense is horrible. South Carolina's offense has been very good this year, but they have struggled defensively against teams with a solid passing attack. South Carolina is ranked 107th in the nation in pass defense, and Troy is ranked 13th in the nation in passing. Troy should be able to score several points in this game. On the other side, Troy has allowed 35 and 52 points against North Texas and FIU respectively in their last two games. The Gamecocks have a better offense than both of those teams, and even if they are a bit flat after last week's big win they should be able to score more than 40 in this one. How about a couple great 100% angles for this game? The over is 8-0 in Troy's last 8 games against an SEC opponent. The over is also 4-0 in South Carolina's last four home games. Take the over here.
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11-19-10 | Fresno State v. Boise State OVER 64.5 | 0-51 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Style Bookie Basher* The Boise State Broncos are on a mission to prove to the public that they are worthy of a BCS National Title berth. The team knows they not only need to win, but they must win big from here on out. This is one of their best chances to do it on a national stage against a Fresno State program that has a quality reputation in college football. Fresno allowed 55 points against Ole Miss earlier this year, and 34 against Louisiana Tech. Boise State has a better offense than both of these teams. Fresno State's offense has scored at least 33 points in each of their last four games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 overall. I think Boise State puts up at least 45-50 points by themselves, and Fresno should be able to put up the rest. I like the over in this game.
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11-18-10 | Illinois Fighting Illini v. Texas Longhorns OVER 141 | 84-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star CBB Total Domination Play* The Illinois Fighting Illini have the ability to score from all over the floor this year. Demtri McCamey, D.J. Richardson, and Brandon Paul are terrific in the backcourt. Mike Davis and Mike Tisdale are also good options down low. Texas is full of athletes and it appears they have decided to run early and often this year. They put up 83 against a Navy team that slows the tempo, and then scored 89 against La. Tech. Illinois has a better defense than either of those teams, but with Texas pushing it and driving to the basket I see plenty of points being scored. There should be plenty of free throw attempts in this game and a highly competitive like this should be is always a good sign for the over with fouls coming at the end of the game. I like the over here.
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11-18-10 | USC Upstate v. Wofford Terriers UNDER 127.5 | 61-79 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 CBB Totals Early Bird* The Wofford Terriers are a high quality basketball team. Wofford plays great defense and runs a solid halfcourt offense. South Carolina Upstate is a team that has difficulty scoring against teams with a strong defense. In their two games so far this year they scored 35 against Michigan and 54 against Virginia. These two schools are just miles apart and the kids will be fired up to play a crosstown rival. The court is a neutral site, which usually means the shooting percentages will be a bit lower. I expect a slow paced game where Wofford's defense controls the game overall. USC Upstate will struggle mightily to score and Wofford isn't the kind of team to push the tempo at all. Take the under here.
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11-17-10 | Phoenix Suns v. Miami Heat OVER 208 | 96-123 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals Terrorizer* The Miami Heat have struggled against teams with good point guards this year, and Steve Nash certainly qualifies. Nash and the Suns will push the basketball all game long and test the Miami transition defense that has looked shaky in their last few games. At the same time, the Heat should be able to torch this Phoenix defense. The Suns lone shot blocker, Robin Lopez, is out right now. Expect James and Wade to get to the basket with ease in this game. The books have yet to catch up to the fact that Miami is starting to run much more often over the last few games. The over is 6-0 in the last six games for the Heat. I don't expect either team to slow the pace down in this one. Take the over here.
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11-15-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 197 | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Charlotte Bobcats are one the slowest paced teams in the NBA, and they also play some of the best defense in the league. Minnesota is a team that likes to push the tempo, but the don't shoot the ball well. I think Charlotte will be able to slow down Love and Beasley fairly well, which will force Minnesota to look to other people for scoring help. The Timberwolves have seen 4 of their last 5 go under the posted total, and the Bobcats have only had one game finish with a total higher than 197 so far this year. I expect Charlotte to stick to their guns and play a solid halfcourt game, while Minnesota will try to push the tempo. I'm counting on Minnesota shooting a poor percentage in this one. I also like that the referee crew is quite helpful to the 'under' cause based on their past. I like the under in this one.
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11-14-10 | St Louis Rams v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 38 | 20-23 | Loss | -105 | 71 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total of the Week* The San Francisco 49ers will start Troy Smith again in this game. Smith played well in his start against Denver. Expect the Niners to keep the offense pretty vanilla and run the football quite often. The Rams are one of the biggest surprises in the NFL at 4-4 right now. The defense is much better than almost everyone thought they would be. They are 8th in the NFL in rushing defense, and I think they'll do a solid job of stopping Frank Gore in this game. Sam Bradford is very good, but his wide receivers have been decimated by injury and I think that will be a problem this week. The trends point strongly toward the under in this game. The under is 9-2 in the Rams last 11 games overall. The under is 6-2 in San Francisco's last 8 home games. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. I like the under in this game.
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11-14-10 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Denver Broncos OVER 43 | 29-49 | Win | 100 | 62 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The Kansas City Chiefs are a much improved football team, but they still have plenty of weaknesses. The Chiefs pass defense is weak, and Denver should be able to exploit that. Kansas City's offense has been improving greatly over the last few weeks, and they are now the #1 rushing team in the NFL. The Broncos have struggled mightily to try to stop the running game. Take a look at the recent history between these two teams. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 games. Last year's two meetings finished at 57 and 68 points. Turnovers are likely to happen here as both defenses are opportunistic, and the Broncos especially are prone to turning it over. I expect the Broncos offense to have a good game plan as they come off the bye week. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-13-10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys v. Texas UNDER 56 | 33-16 | Win | 100 | 51 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star ABC Showdown Moneymaker* The Texas Longhorns are having a terrible season. Mack Brown's team is now 4-5 overall and 2-7 ATS this year. Oklahoma State is 8-1 overall and 7-2 ATS. There is one thing that stands out to be about the line that the oddsmakers have set on this game. The posted total is 56 points. Texas has yet to have a game this year finish with a total score of more than 53 points. Sure Oklahoma State has a great offense, but this Texas defense is very good. Oklahoma State has a weak defense, but Texas' offense has been awful this year. Oklahoma State is the third ranked passing attack in the nation, but Texas ranks second in the nation in pass defense. Oklahoma State is particularly weak in the secondary, but I don't think Texas has the weapons to beat them deep. The under is 16-5 in Oklahoma State's last 21 road games. The under is 6-2 in Texas' last 8 home games. Take the under here.
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11-13-10 | Stanford v. Arizona State Sun Devils OVER 58.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 51 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star CFB Total Domination Play* The Stanford Cardinal are playing very solid football. Andrew Luck is a great quarterback and the Cardinal have a solid running game as well. Arizona State has been a bit of a surprise in the Pac 10, and their offense is much better this year with Steven Threet under center. The thing about Threet is he is a high risk/high reward type of quarterback. He has 17 touchdown, but he also has 15 interceptions. Don't be surprised if Stanford picks him a couple times and gets a quick score or two that way. The Arizona State secondary has has serious trouble against good quarterbacks this year, and this is the best quarterback they have played yet. I like Arizona State to be able to score on their home field and keep this one close, but the offenses should have the upper hand the entire way in this one. Take the over.
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11-13-10 | Texas A&M Aggies v. Baylor OVER 64 | 42-30 | Win | 100 | 119 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total Domination Play* The Baylor Bears were throttled last weekend at Oklahoma State. They'll go home this week to a more friendly environment, where they are 4-0 this year. I expect Baylor's offense to play better, as they average 42.5 points per game at home. On the other hand, the defense has been allowing 40 points per game in their last three outings. Ryan Tannehill has taken over the quarterback duties at Texas A&M, and he has done a great job thus far. Tannehill is completing 68.6% of his passes and he has nine touchdown passes in just three games. In those three games the Aggies are averaging 41 points per game. Texas A&M has a solid rushing defense, but they can't stop the pass. Baylor averages 300 yards per game through the air. Baylor's defense can't stop the pass, and the Aggies have the ninth ranked pass offense in the nation. What about the trends? The over is 5-1 in Baylor's last six. The over is 28-10-1 in the Aggies last 39 road games. Both teams will it air it out early and often in this one. Expect a bunch of points and a good game. I like the over in this one.
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11-13-10 | Georgia v. Auburn OVER 65.5 | 31-49 | Win | 100 | 116 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Georgia/Auburn Guaranteed Play* The Auburn Tigers are in the driver's seat for a national title berth, but the road is far from easy the rest of the way. Georgia is a team that is definitely getting its act together over the last few games. Auburn's defense has proven susceptible this year, and I think Georgia will be able to exploit some of those weaknesses. At the same time, Georgia's defense is weak, and Auburn should roll up a ton of yards in this one. Cam Newton is the Heisman front runner right now, and this Auburn offense is firing on all cylinders. The Tigers are averaging 48.5 points per game in their last six games. Georgia's defense gave up 31 points to Kentucky and 34 to Florida, and Auburn is a much better offense than those two teams. How will Georgia do it on offense? Aaron Murray and the passing game will go after Auburn's weak secondary. The over is 5-1 in Georgia's last 6. The over is 4-1 in Auburn's last 5. The over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over in this huge matchup!
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11-12-10 | Boise State Broncos v. Idaho OVER 62.5 | Top | 52-14 | Win | 100 | 68 h 5 m | Show |
*5 Star TGIF Top Play DOMINATOR* The Boise State Broncos are obviously going to be looking to keep their foot on the gas to impress the voters the rest of the way. This team isn't likely to lose, but they might not get into the BCS Title game unless things fall their way. Idaho is the perfect team for Boise State to run up the score on. The teams don't like each other at all, and Idaho has one of the worst defenses in all of football. Take a look at the stats from last week: Idaho allowed 844 yards to Nevada. Yes that's right 844 yards in one game. If a defense allows 844 yards in two games they are pretty bad, but allowing that in one game is ridiculous. Last week Boise State rolled up 737 yards against Hawaii, who actually has a much better defense than Idaho. Kellen Moore will have a field day in this game, and the Broncos running game will go nuts as well. Idaho's passing game will probably get them a couple touchdowns in this one, which should be plenty to push this one over the posted total. In the last six meetings between these two, the total has finished at 68 points or higher five times. Take the over in a big way in this game.
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11-11-10 | Boston Celtics v. Miami Heat UNDER 185 | 112-107 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA on TNT Celtics/Heat Cash* The Heat and the Celtics will meet Thursday night for the second time this season. In the first game, Boston won 88-80, but Miami shot very poorly. Expect Miami to come ready to play in this one. The Heat are coming off a very disappointing loss to Utah on Tuesday, and I fully expect them to turn up the intensity in this one. Where will that show up the most? I think it will show up on the defensive end. The Heat have allowed the least points per game in the NBA so far this year. Boston isn't a team that will push the pace, as they are one of the older teams in the league. Boston's games have been particuarly slow paced and low scoring on the road, and I think that trend will continue in this game. Look for this one to be a defensive battle that is won in the half-court. I like the under.
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11-10-10 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Sacramento Kings OVER 212 | 98-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* The Minnesota Timberwolves are terrible this year. This team plays absolutely no defense and has given up at least 117 points in 4 of their first 8 games this year. Kurt Rambis has the Timberwolves pushing the ball at any chance they get, which should play right into the hands of the Kings, who also like to run and gun. Tyreke Evans and this Kings offense can score early and often, especially on their home court. Earlier this year these two teams met and the final was 117-116. The over is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two in Sacramento. The over is 24-11 in Minnesota's last 35 road games. The over is 9-1 in the Kings last 10 home games. Take the over in this one and expect a track meet between two teams who play almost no defense.
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11-08-10 | Denver Nuggets v. Chicago Bulls OVER 206 | 92-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Denver Nuggets and the Chicago Bulls both like to push the tempo. The Bulls have proven they are a faster team this year now that Vinny Del Negro has moved on. Derrick Rose is having a superb season and this team is scoring in bunches. Carmelo Anthony is out to prove a point right now, and I don't think the Bulls have anyone who can guard him one on one. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. The referee crew sets up very well for an over play in this one. All three of the referees who were assigned to this game have called a high percentage of games that have gone over the posted total in the last couple years. Expect a lot of free throws and a night where defense is optional. Take the over here.
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11-07-10 | San Diego Chargers v. Houston Texans OVER 49 | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination Play* The San Diego Chargers are the number one ranked passing offense in the NFL. The Houston Texans are easily the worst defense in the NFL against the pass, allowing a staggering 299.4 yards per game. The Chargers have struggled horribly on the road this year, but they still put up points. The Texans are averaging 24 points per game as well, and they have a balanced offense that should give the Chargers beaten up defense some trouble. Expect San Diego to throw the ball early and often in this one, and they should have quite a bit of success. This is the type of game where a special teams touchdown or a defensive touchdown is fairly likely, which is a nice boost to the chances of the over. The over is 5-2 in San Diego's last 7 games overall. I like this one to go over the posted total.
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11-07-10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 45.5 | 21-27 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Bookie Crusher* Raheem Morris says his Tampa Bay Bucs team is the best in the NFC. They'll get a chance to prove a point in Atlanta on Sunday. The Falcons are 5-2 and they are one of the most balanced teams in football. Tampa Bay is also 5-2, but I sincerely doubt they will finish with one of the best records in the NFC. Tampa Bay's offense is simply not very good. Josh Freeman has had a better year, but he still isn't a prolific passer. Cadillac Williams has struggled a lot this year, which has led to Blount getting more carries. I fully expect Atlanta to gear up for the run and make Freeman and the Bucs passing game beat them. Tampa Bay's defense has been opportunistic, including three INT returns for a touchdown, which has inflated their scores a little so far this season. I think Matt Ryan takes good care of the ball Sunday and this one stays fairly low scoring. The trends are also behind this one. The under is 11-3 in Tampa Bay's last 14 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the last four meetings between these teams. Take the under here.
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11-06-10 | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns v. Mississippi Rebels OVER 63 | Top | 21-43 | Win | 100 | 120 h 14 m | Show |
*5 Star Hidden Gem Total Play* Louisiana Lafayette has had some ridiculously high totals in their games this year. The team plays at a very quick tempo and they have absolutely no defense at all. Four of their last five games have gone over the posted total, and the least amount of points they have given up in that span is 31. This team even allowed 54 points against a Western Kentucky team that went winless last year. Mississippi has been putting points up in bunches of late as Jeremiah Masoli seems to be getting accustomed to the offense. In their last three home games they have averaged 43 points per game. The Rebels pass defense is allowing 244 yards per game through the air, and UL Lafayette has a good passing attack. The over is 6-1 in Mississippi's last 7 home games. The over is 4-1 in Lafayette's last 5 games overall. Get ready for a shootout in this one. Take the over in a big way!
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11-06-10 | Arkansas Razorbacks v. South Carolina Gamecocks OVER 57.5 | 41-20 | Win | 100 | 120 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPN Saturday Night Bookie Crusher* Ryan Mallett and Arkansas will bring the top ranked passing attack in the SEC into South Carolina this Saturday night. The Gamecocks are ranked dead last in the SEC in pass defense and they have been giving up the yards in bunches over the last few games. The South Carolina offense is balanced and they have averaged 31 points per game this season. Arkansas' defense is better than last year, but they have a lot of room for improvement. I expect Lattimore and the running game of South Carolina to really hurt Arkansas in this one. The over is 5-1 in South Carolina's last six games overall. The over is 6-2 in Arkansas' eight games this year. Both of these offenses will be ready to go, and I look for plenty of points in this one. Take the over here.
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11-06-10 | Fresno State v. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs OVER 56.5 | Top | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play Oddsmaker Line Error* It's a matchup of the Bulldogs from the south and the bulldogs from the west coast in this one. I believe the oddsmakers have made a significant error when setting this total. Fresno State is averaging 34 points per game on the year. Fresno State is averaging 41 points per game in their last four road games. Louisiana Tech's defense is allowing 298 yards per game through the air, and Ryan Colburn from Fresno has the skills to take advantage of that. On the other side, Fresno State's defense is weak against the run. They rank 62nd in the nation in run defense, while Louisiana Tech has been running the ball very well of late. Lousiana Tech even moved the ball pretty well last week against Boise State. This one is all about matchups, and both offenses have the firepower to exploit the weakness of the defenses. The trends also point to the over. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 road games. The over is 6-1-1 in La. Tech's last 8 conference games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. This number is set too low. Take the over here!
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11-06-10 | Navy Midshipmen v. East Carolina Pirates OVER 61.5 | Top | 76-35 | Win | 100 | 117 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star HUGE CFB Play of the Week* The Navy Midshipmen have the 10th best rushing attack in the country. East Carolina has the 92nd ranked rushing defense in the nation. East Carolina's offense is averaging 37 points per game, and Navy is coming off a game where they gave up 34 points to the Duke Blue Devils. This is your classic game of mismatches on both sides, and the offense will have the leg up constantly. Ruffin McNeill has turned the Pirates into an uptempo team like Texas Tech has been for many years. The over is 5-3 in East Carolina's eight games this year. Three of Navy's last four games have gone over the posted total as their defense seems to be breaking down and the offense continues to run the option efficiently. This is a game where I expect both teams to be able to score early and often. I am making the over in this game my five star play of the week.
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