01-14-11 |
Chicago Bulls v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 191 |
|
99-86 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls and the Indiana Pacers are both teams that have slowed their tempo down this year as compared to last. The under is 25-9 in the Pacers last 34 games overall. The under is 6-0 in the Pacers last 6 home games. Chicago is without Joakim Noah right now, and the team is averaging just 93.8 points per game in their last five contests. The Pacers are holding opponents to 95.9 points per game at home this year. These two played to a 92-73 final a month ago. I expect this one to be higher scoring than that, because the shooting percentages were very low in that game. Having said that, I think this line is about 4 points too high. This should be a close game and I think it will played in the halfcourt. Take the under here.
|
01-13-11 |
Orlando Magic v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 203.5 |
|
124-125 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Orlando Magic are a much more high-octane offense now that they have Jason Richardson, Hedo Turkoglu, and Gilbert Arenas. Richardson and Turkoglu are particularly important to their ability to get open shots for themselves and others. I think the Magic are a good 'over' opportunity now when they play teams that run. The Thunder are definitely a team that will run with Orlando. Oklahoma City is tops in the league in free throw percentage, and I think they'll get to the line a lot in this one. The over is 18-6 in the Thunder's last 24 home games. Both teams played yesterday, but these two teams strike me as teams that are youthful and fully capable of putting up a strong effort two nights in a row. I think this one could easily get to 210, so I like the over here.
|
01-13-11 |
Old Dominion v. Drexel UNDER 118 |
|
57-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals GEM* Both Old Dominion and Drexel win with their defense. These two teams play very slow and they rely on their defense to hold opponents below 60 points. Both teams are allowing 59.5 points per game this year. Neither team gets to the free throw line particularly often, and both shoot a very poor percentage when they are at the stripe. The two meetings last year finished at 116 and 119 points. I think both teams have a little less offense this year, and I think a total around 110 is quite likely in this game. Take the under.
|
01-13-11 |
Buffalo v. Miami Ohio UNDER 128.5 |
|
67-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks definitely know how to slow the tempo down. Buffalo isn't a team that can dictate the tempo very well, and I think this one will stay in the low 120's. Miami likes to use up the shot clock and play halfcourt style of game. At home the Redhawks are an even better defensive team, and I think they'll slow down Buffalo nicely here. Neither team gets to the line particularly often, which is a big help to the under. I think this will be a game that goes down to the wire and stays under the posted total.
*Bonus Play* This bonus is not guaranteed and will not count toward my record... UCLA/Oregon State over 143.5- Oregon State is pushing the pace like crazy this year and I think both teams will score plenty in this one.
|
01-12-11 |
Duke v. Florida State UNDER 141 |
|
61-66 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Duke/FSU Totals Winner* The Duke Blue Devils are very capable of putting up a lot of points, but they aren't nearly as explosive without Kyrie Irving. Florida State comes into this game with the understanding that in order for them to have a chance to win this game, they must make this a defensive battle. Florida State struggles on the offensive end, but they do play great defense. The Seminoles are allowing just 61 points per game this year. FSU has given up just 55.8 at home this season. The under is 32-12 in Duke's last 44 ACC games. The under is 6-2 in Florida State's last 8 home games. The under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. I like the value on the under here.
|
01-12-11 |
Hofstra v. Towson OVER 142 |
|
74-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the over with. Towson is terrible defensively and they like to push the tempo. Towson leaves shooters wide open on a frequent basis, which is very bad news for them against a team like Hofstra. Hofstra has plenty of shooters to take advantage of that problem. At the same time, Towson can get up and down the court and score, especially on their home floor. Both teams shoot free throws well and I think they'll be plenty of opportunities at the line for both teams today. I like the over in this matchup.
|
01-11-11 |
Phoenix Suns v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 218 |
|
98-132 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns simply aren't the same team they used to be. Vince Carter slows this offense down quite a bit because he just doesn't run the floor that well anymore. Phoenix has had five straight games go under the posted total. Grant Hill is injured and is expected to miss tonight's game, which limits them even more offensively. How about the Nuggets? Well if you have heard much of anything about Denver lately, you know there is all kinds of controversy and trade rumors surrounding the team. Denver has looked uninterested in most of their recent games, and the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Four of the last six meetings between these two went under this posted total even when these teams were at full strength and now there is extra value because neither team is even close to what it used to be. I like the under here.
|
01-11-11 |
Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 125 |
|
63-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Bowling Green Falcons have started playing a little better of late, and it is because they have improved their defense. Kent State has been struggling of late, and they have had issues scoring. Neither team likes to push the tempo here and it is hard to imagine this game being played at a fast tempo. Kent State's starting point guard is suspended and the team has looked stagnant on offense without him. Neither team shoots the ball well, and both guard behind the three point line well. The under is 7-1 in Kent State's last 8 games, including 4-0 in their last 4 home games. I like the under in this one.
|
01-11-11 |
Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan OVER 139 |
|
71-69 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The Northern Illinois Huskies are not a good team, but they sure do like to push the tempo. Eastern Michigan is a bad a team as well, but they typically try to force the issues. Inside their conference these two often meet up with squads who are looking to slow the pace of the game. In this one, I fully expect the tempo to be quick. I don't think the shot clock will be used very much, and the poor defenses should make these offenses look much better. Another major factor here is that both teams foul a whole lot, which means free throws should come early and often. I expect both teams offenses to pick it up tonight. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
01-09-11 |
Boston College v. Nevada UNDER 55 |
|
13-20 |
Win
|
100 |
126 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play of the Day* The Nevada Wolfpack have a great offense, but most people don't know about how great this Boston College defense is, especially against the run. Nevada can throw the ball when necessary, but make no mistake about it, they are a run first team. Boston College is first in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game. The Eagles allow only 73 yards per game on the ground. Even Virginia Tech had a tough time finding any room to run against this BC rushing defense. I suspect Nevada will have more luck with the run than most, because they have a great attack, but I still think the Eagles ability to stop the run will be key here. On offense Boston College is very weak. Boston College did not score more than 23 points in a game against a Division I opponent this year. The Eagles finished the regular season averaging 18.9 points per game. Nevada's run defense is solid, and I don't think BC has the ability to air it out on a consistent basis against the Wolfpack. The under is 5-0 in BC's last 5 games overall. The under is 12-1 in BC's last 13 non-conference games. I like the under a lot in this one.
|
01-09-11 |
Bradley v. Northern Iowa UNDER 118 |
|
77-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The Northern Iowa Panthers are a great team to play an 'under' with. They play at the slowest pace of anyone in college basketball, and they really aren't very good shooters themselves. The Bradley Braves have been a pretty good under team this year as well, and they shoot under 40% from the floor as a team. Northern Iowa was humiliated at Indiana State on Friday, and I think they'll come out playing very tough defense in this one to prove a point. This Panthers team is still very dangerous, and Bradley will likely find that out today. At the same time, I don't see Northern Iowa running up the score. I like this one to stay very low scoring. Take the under here.
|
01-09-11 |
Siena v. Niagara OVER 140.5 |
|
55-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Siena Saints and the Niagara Purple Eagles have a history of playing fast-paced games against each other. Both teams like to run this year, and both defenses have given up easy layups frequently. The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings at Niagara. Niagara is terrible down low and Siena should be able to take advantage, and I expect Niagara to get some layups in transition. I like the over in this one.
|
01-08-11 |
Texas Christian v. UNLV OVER 139.5 |
|
49-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The UNLV Runnin Rebels should be upset when this one gets started. They were beaten badly on their home court by BYU earlier this week. UNLV has plenty of offense because they have multiple players who can put up double figues every single game. TCU has struggled on the road so far this year, and I think it is pretty likely that UNLV will force a lot of turnovers and get easy buckets in this one. TCU has some quickness at the guard positions and they should be able to penetrate and kick it out to open shooters as well. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings, including two games over this posted total last year. I like the over here.
|
01-08-11 |
NY Jets v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 44.5 |
|
17-16 |
Loss |
-110 |
49 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Wild Card Total DOMINATION* The New York Jets haven't been running the ball as well in the last few games, but I have a feeling they'll run it effectively against the Colts in this one. Indianapolis is 25th in the league against the run, and this Jets line is very good. At the same time, Peyton Manning has been playing very good football the last few weeks. As the Colts needed their wins, Peyton and this offense stepped it up a notch. The Colts are averaging 31 points per game in their last five games. The Colts running game has actually picked it up nicely of late as well, which should help keep the Jets honest. A healthy Joseph Addai is key to the Colts attack. The Jets are a big play team on both offense and defense. Even though they do have the third ranked defense in the NFL, they do allow some big plays. The offense and special teams have both been putting up the points of late as well. The Jets averaged 31 points per game in their last three contests. The over is 7-2 in the Jets last nine games. The over is 5-1-1 in the Colts last 7 games. The over is also 4-0 in the last four meetings between these two. I like the over in this Wild Card showdown.
|
01-08-11 |
St John's v. Notre Dame UNDER 137 |
|
61-76 |
Push |
0 |
3 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big East Totals TAKEDOWN* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are a totally different team than they were about one year ago. Mike Brey's team now values taking care of the ball and playing solid defense more than anything else. The under is 13-5 in their last 18, and it is 22-8 in their last 30 Big East conference games. Steve Lavin has this St. John's team playing well this year, and they have improved a lot defensively as well. They allowed 65 points to a high scoring Providence team, and just 58 points to Georgetown. I think this one will be a nice halfcourt grind it out type of game. Take the under here.
|
01-08-11 |
Cal Irvine v. Long Beach State OVER 152.5 |
|
78-86 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* Both UC Irvine and Long Beach State like to run, so I don't see anyone slowing this game down. UC Irvine hasn't always been a team that pushes the pace, but they are this year. The oddsmakers haven't caught up to their new style just yet. The over is 15-4-3 in UC Irvine's last 22 games overall. Long Beach is a much better offensive team on their home court, and the over is 5-0-1 in their last six home games. This is the type of game that I believe could easily get into the 160's. Take the over here.
|
01-07-11 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Golden State Warriors OVER 209 |
|
98-116 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* Golden State is a MUCH better team offensively at home. The Warriors have been on a long road trip, and this being their first game at home I think they'll come out ready to score. The Cavaliers are one of the worst defenses in the league, so the Warriors should get plenty of good looks in this one. Golden State averages 105 points per game at home, and Cleveland is allowing 106.5 points per game on the road this year. The over is 8-3 in the Cavs last 11 road games. The over is 45-20 in Golden State's last 65 home games against a team with a losing record. Golden State likes to run against the worst teams in the league, and Cleveland certainly fits that category. I like the over here.
|
01-07-11 |
Rider v. Niagara OVER 141.5 |
|
82-65 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star ESPNU Total DOMINATION* The Niagara Purple Eagles are about as bad of a team as you will see. This team was very good a couple years ago, but they have fallen fast. Niagara still likes to run and push the tempo, but they aren't good at it. Rider is a solid team, and they also like to run and do a lot of trapping. Rider forces turnovers well, and I think Niagara will give it away a bunch in this contest. Rider is shooting 41.3% from beyond the arc, and Niagara is a team that struggles to defend. I think Rider will jump out to a nice lead here and then the game will speed up and the over will be the best way to play it. Niagara will put forth more effort than normal since this is on national tv. I think this one gets close to 150. Take the over.
|
01-07-11 |
Houston Rockets v. Orlando Magic OVER 206.5 |
|
95-110 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star ESPN NBA Cash Money* The Houston Rockets are an injured bunch right now, but they continue to push the pace. Kyle Lowry will be the starting point guard, and he pushes the tempo even more than Aaron Brooks does. Orlando has much more offensive firepower now than they had before the blockbuster trades with Phoenix and Washington, and I think this is the perfect game for them to show off their offensive skills. Houston is allowing 109 points per game in their last 5 contests, and I think Orlando will get to at least that mark. The Rockets should get to the line plenty hear and score quite a bit themselves. Take the over in this one.
|
01-07-11 |
Fairfield v. Marist UNDER 127 |
|
59-44 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Fairfield Stags are probably the best team in the MAAC this year. Marist is the worst team in the league. Fairfield has a terrific defense and Marist is horrible offensively. The Stags do a great job forcing their tempo, which is quite slow. Only three of Fairfield's 13 games this year have gone above this posted total. I think Fairfield will assert their dominance on the defensive end early in this one. The under is 10-1 in Fairfield's last 11 games. The under is 4-0 in their last four road games. I like this one to stay under the total.
|
01-06-11 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 192 |
|
99-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Oklahoma City Thunder will get the Dallas Mavericks at a good time on Thursday. Dallas will be without Dirk Nowitzki again, and now Caron Butler is injured for the year as well. The Mavericks were looking like one of the top contenders in the west, but that injury will hurt them quite a bit. Oklahoma City has a record of 22-14 to the 'over' so far this year, but the over is just 8-9 in their 17 road games. The under is 11-9 in Dallas' 20 home games this year. This Dallas team is completely different without Dirk, and now they've lost Butler's 15 points per game as well. The past matchups with the Thunder have gone over the total, but I think this game will be different with the Mavericks short-handed. Dallas will likely slow the tempo down and try to make this a defensive battle. Steve Javie is the lead official in this game as well, and he is one of the best 'under' referees in the NBA. I like this one to stay under the posted total.
|
01-06-11 |
Samford v. NC-Greensboro UNDER 128.5 |
|
68-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown* This Samford team is extraordinary at controlling the tempo. UNCG is a very weak team, and I don't think they have what it takes to make this game uptempo. Greensboro strikes me as the type of team that plays to the tempo of the opponent. This should be a grind it out type of game where it goes down to the wire. Samford has a lot more wins, but they aren't good on the road, and UNCG should step up their defense in this game. I fully expect a half-court game with not very many possessions, which is the main reason I like the under in this one.
|
01-05-11 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 203.5 |
|
108-105 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Charlotte Bobcats will be without Stephen Jackson and Gerald Wallace in this one, so the total has been lowered quite a bit. I believe the lowered total provides a nice opportunity to bet on the 'over' here. Minnesota has the worst defense in the league and pushes the tempo more than any other team in the league. Paul Silas is preaching a faster tempo to Charlotte, and this would certainly be the perfect opportunity for them to show they can run. D.J. Augustin is a quick guard and I expect the backups for Charlotte to be able to score against this terrible Minnesota defense. The first time these two teams met this year the total was 223, and that was when Larry Brown was coaching and the Bobcats were playing a slow paced offense. I like the over in this one.
|
01-05-11 |
Towson v. James Madison OVER 144 |
|
68-99 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Top Totals Play of the Day* The Towson Tigers speed up the game very well, and I just don't think James Madison will be trying to slow this one down. Both of these teams can score in bunches, and when they meet it should be a track meet. I put this one above 150 in my projections, so I love the value here. Towson played a very low scoring game last game, but I don't think it will happen twice in a row. ODU is the type of team that slows down a game, while James Madison can score with the best teams in the league. Towson allows wide open three pointers frequently, and James Madison has the personnel to make them pay for that. Both teams get to the line often, so points at the line should help. Take the over in a big way here.
|
01-05-11 |
Duquesne v. St. Josephs OVER 145 |
|
75-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duquesne Dukes have a great system right now where they really push the pace of the game. Coach Everhart has turned this team around by playing this tempo. The Dukes have plenty of guys who can scorer, and they are full of athleticism. Both of these teams struggle mightily on the defensive glass, which should lead to a lot of second chance opportunities in this game. St. Joe's plays some zone, but Duquesne has the firepower to shoot them out of the zone. The over is 11-5 in Duquesne's last 16 games overall. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 Atlantic 10 games. The over is 4-1 in St. Joe's last 5 Atlantic 10 games. I expect the Dukes to control the tempo here. Take the over.
|
01-05-11 |
La Salle v. George Washington OVER 147 |
|
67-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TAKEDOWN* The LaSalle Explorers are a team I like to play the 'over' with. In their last seven games only one game did not go over 146 points, and that was their game against Rider which ended at 145 points. George Washington strikes me as a team that plays to their opponent's style. Since LaSalle is a pressing team that will run, I believe George Washington will play that way in this game as well. The good news for George Washington is that they are great at forcing turnovers, and LaSalle is a team that is prone to turning it over. I think GW will get plenty of easy baskets off of turnovers in this one as well. I think this game gets to at least 150. Take the over here.
|
01-04-11 |
Indiana v. Minnesota OVER 138.5 |
|
63-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Total Value Play* The Indiana Hoosiers still have a long ways to go in their improvement process, but this is definitely a team that plays hard. Indiana has been speeding up the pace this year, and their defense has been horrible on the road. The Hoosiers are allowing 84.5 points per game on the road this season. Minnesota is averaging 75 points per game, and they should have a nice advantage down low in this game. The over is 7-3 in Minnesota's last 10 home games. The over is 7-2 in Indiana's last 9 road games. I look for Indiana to battle and keep this one fairly close, which should lead to a lot of free throws in this matchup. Take the over.
|
01-04-11 |
Connecticut v. Notre Dame UNDER 140.5 |
|
70-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
2 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Best Bet* The Uconn Huskies and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will square off in a big game tonight. Both teams have been surprises this year, but both have already picked up a loss in the Big East. Notre Dame transformed the way they played in the second half of the year last season. The Fighting Irish changed from a run and gun type of team to a slow it down team that played great defense. They seemed to have stuck with the slow it down type of play, because they have been so successful with it. Kemba Walker is great offensively, but UConn doesn't have many other guys who can fill it up this year. I think Notre Dame slows this game down and it stays under. The under is 20-8 in Notre Dame's last 28 games overall. Take the under.
|
01-03-11 |
Philadelphia 76ers v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 188 |
|
77-84 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The New Orleans Hornets have been an 'under' team for the last few weeks. The under is 18-5 in the Hornets last 23 games overall. One of those games was their game in Philadelphia on 12/12, when the final total was 158 points. The shooting percentages were poor in that matchup, so I expect more points than that here, but the under still looks like a solid value. New Orleans has been slowing their opponents down nicely of late. In the Hornets last five games their opponents have averaged just 74.6 shots per game, well below the league average. The 76ers have been playing better basketball over the last few weeks, and the primary reason is their improved defense. I think this one will be a halfcourt type of game, and I believe the under is the play here. The under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings. Take the under.
|
01-03-11 |
Old Dominion v. Towson OVER 141 |
|
51-47 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Totals TAKEDOWN* The Towson Tigers have a way of making the game move at a fast pace. Towson doesn't play good defense at all, which allows their opponents a lot of easy buckets. At the same time, Towson has several guys who can score in bunches. Old Dominion is a great offensive rebounding team, and they should get tons of second chance opportunities in this game. In their final matchup against Towson last year, ODU outrebounded the Tigers 57-20! Towson is great at getting to the line, which should help them keep putting points on the board. The over is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two. I like the value on the over in this game.
Bonus Totals Play (Not Guaranteed, but included in this package for FREE)
Play on Northern Illinois/Iowa State over 148
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Northern Illinois Huskies like to run and gun, and they have a terrible defense. Iowa State is a team that will run with them, and Iowa State can put up the points in bunches, especially at home. Iowa State is averaging 81 points per game at home, and this is definitely one of the worst defensive teams they have played. Northern Illinois gives up a lot of easy layups, but they do have a good scorer in Xavier Silas. I expect Iowa State to win this one handily, but Northern Illinois should be able to put up plenty of points for this one to go over the posted total. I look for this one to go over 150, so I like the value on the over here.
|
01-03-11 |
Canisius v. St Peter's UNDER 120 |
|
55-63 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The St. Peter's Peacocks are one of the lowest scoring and best defensive teams in the nation. St. Peter's is scoring just 54.7 points per game and allowing only 56 points per game at home. Canisius likes to push the tempo some, but they don't shoot high quality shots. I think St. Peter's will do a good job of dictating the tempo in this game. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to what is going on at St. Peter's. The under is 20-8-2 in their last 30 games overall. I think Canisius will shoot a poor percentage against this tough defense and St. Peter's will milk the clock nicely. I like the under here.
|
01-02-11 |
LSU v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 119.5 |
|
50-64 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Virginia Cavaliers have changed the way they play already this year. At the beginning of the year the team was getting beatdown by trying to run with their opponent. In the past few games they have decided to use up the shot clock and slow the tempo in a big way. Now their leading scorer, Mike Scott, is injured and unlikely to play in this game. LSU isn't the type of team to push the pace, so I expect Virginia to dictate the tempo in this game. Take a look at Virginia's last six games and you'll see final totals of: 107, 112, 99, 111, 98, and 111 points. In a game where they will likely be without their leading scorer I really like the value on the under in this game.
|
01-02-11 |
Penn State v. Michigan UNDER 123.5 |
|
69-76 |
Loss |
-110 |
3 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Big Ten Conference has a nice history of low scoring affairs in conference play. Michigan has become one of the best 'under' teams in the conference since John Beilein took over at the school. The under is 34-16-1 in their last 51 Big Ten games. The under is 19-7-1 in their last 27 overall. The under is 12-3-1 in their last 16 home games. Penn State has a great scorer in Talor Battle, but they don't have a good second option. I expect both defenses to force the opponent into poor shots in this matchup. The tempo of the game should be great for an under as well. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. I like the under here.
|
01-02-11 |
Indiana Pacers v. New York Knicks UNDER 210 |
|
92-98 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* I've always been a fan of the 'under' in an early afternoon start on Sunday. This is a case where this theory is magnified a bit because of the holidays. We could easily see two teams who are less interested than normal and worn out. The biggest reason I like this under though is that the Pacers just aren't the same team on offense they have been in recent years. Danny Granger is shooting terribly from the floor and the Pacers have been an under machine of late. The Pacers have only put up 100 points once in their last ten games, and they are averaging just 90 per game in their last five contests. I expect Indiana to struggle to score here and with a number this high, I really like the value on the under.
|
01-02-11 |
Carolina Panthers v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 41 |
|
10-31 |
Push |
0 |
41 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Carolina Panthers are just miserable on offense this year. In 10 of their 15 games so far this year they have scored 14 points or fewer. The Falcons held the Panthers to just ten points in their first meeting this season. This is definitely an important game to the Falcons, since they can clinch the top seed in the playoffs with a win. Jimmy Clausen will start for the Panthers at quarterback, and he hasn't shown the ability to do much yet. Carolina has the worst passing attack in the NFL. Carolina's running game is also slowed now because DeAngelo Williams is out and Johnathan Stewart is hobbled by a minor foot injury. I think Atlanta will take control of this game from the beginning and then they'll be looking to get out of here with all their players healthy. I think the Falcons defense will flex their muscles in this one. I like the under in this game.
|
01-01-11 |
Connecticut v. Oklahoma OVER 54.5 |
|
20-48 |
Win
|
100 |
30 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Fiesta Bowl Total DOMINATION* The UConn Huskies are the representative from the Big East in the BCS this year. No doubt this Huskies team is far weaker than the rest of the teams in the BCS, but they do have a very solid running game. Jordan Todman is one of the best backs in the nation, and Oklahoma is ranked 66th in the nation in stopping the run. On the other side of the ball, Oklahoma has a dynamic offense and I think they'll be able to put up points in a hurry in this game. UConn is the 47th ranked total defense in the nation, and they played a weak Big East schedule. Oklahoma's Landry Jones should have a huge game here, and I think DeMarco Murray might break some long runs as well. I like this game to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
12-31-10 |
New Mexico State v. Boise State OVER 143.5 |
Top |
78-81 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Total DOMINATION* The Boise State Broncos are a team I've had my eye on this year. The Broncos like to push the pace and they create turnovers better than almost any other team in the country. Boise has several guys who can create their own shot, and this team can score points in bunches. They can also get to the line often, where they knock down more than 71% of their free throws. New Mexico State is a team that pushes the tempo as well, and they struggle on the defensive end. The Aggies allow many easy layups, which Boise State should take full advantage of in this game. The history between these two is quite amazing as well. In their last ten matchups, the lowest point total is 146 points. On this line we are getting a nice 100% 10-0 angle on the over. Take the over here.
|
12-31-10 |
Siena v. St. Joseph's OVER 142 |
|
48-58 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TKO Totals Winner* The Siena Saints aren't nearly as good of a team as they were last year, but they still push the pace of the game. Siena's defense isn't consistent, and their opponent often gets easy looks near the basket. St. Joe's is a team that isn't normally efficient on the offensive end, but they certainly like to run. I think Siena's poor defense will help the Owls get better shots than normal. These two teams are both down from recent years, but I think their biggest weakness is on the defensive end of the court. The over is 11-5 in Siena's last 16 games as an underdog. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
12-30-10 |
Kansas State v. Syracuse UNDER 48.5 |
|
34-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
43 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Bowl BEATDOWN* The Syracuse Orange are a team that has a very good defense, and a very poor offense. Kansas State's defense isn't very good, but they have a high quality running game. I think Syracuse will stack the box with eight men and force Kansas State to throw the football in this one. I don't believe Coffman is the type of quarterback who can just air it out consistently on Syracuse. Syracuse will look to establish the run here as well, and because of all the consistent runs, the clock should be ticking most of the way. Syracuse has only had two of their ten games against Division I schools go over 48 points this year. Kansas State plays in the high scoring Big 12, but I don't think they will be able to pile up the points in this one. The under is 8-0 in Syracuse's last 8 games with a winning record. I think Syracuse knows in order to win they must control the clock and run the ball. Look for the Orange to help this one stay under the posted total.
|
12-29-10 |
Arizona v. Oklahoma State OVER 65.5 |
|
10-36 |
Loss |
-110 |
48 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Alamo Bowl Total DOMINATION* This is a game where both teams have a great passing attack, and I expect the ball to be in the air a whole lot in this matchup. Oklahoma State has the second ranked passing attack in the nation, while Arizona has the ninth best passing attack. Oklahoma State's defense has been absolutely torched by the pass all year long. They are 115th out of 120 schools in Division I allowing 276 yards per game. Arizona's pass defense started the season out well, but they were not good at all in the last few games. The over is 5-1 in Arizona's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in Oklahoma State's last 4 non-conference games. Both teams have big play guys on offense as well. Oklahoma State's Justin Blackmon will likely create some big plays here, and Juron Criner is a nice big play receiver for the Wildcats. I expect this one to go over the posted total as both passing games show just how effective they can be.
|
12-29-10 |
Boston Celtics v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 187 |
|
92-104 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons are having a bad year and the Celtics are having a terrific year. The Pistons will likely play a little more inspired against an old rival, which I think means they will at least try a little on defense. The Celtics are an interesting team from a totals standpoint because they slow down a lot without Rondo in the lineup and with Shaq in the lineup. In the last five games that Shaq has played in, the under is 5-0. Shaq is expected to play tonight, which is one of the main reasons I like this under. The history between these two is for low scoring games in Detroit. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 games in Detroit. I think the Pistons will play a little tougher defense than normal and this game stays at a slow pace. Take the under.
|
12-29-10 |
Golden State Warriors v. Atlanta Hawks OVER 203 |
|
93-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Hidden GEM* I have been on the Atlanta Hawks 'under' frequently this year, and it has been very profitable, but I think the value is on the 'over' in this game. The Hawks have had six straight games go under the posted total, which has made the books adjust this number downward by quite a bit. Golden State is still a team that likes to run as much as possible, and their defense is not good at all. Atlanta has played several teams that like to slow the game down of late, and I think they'll be ready to run in this one. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. In their last ten meetings the lowest combined score when these two met was 209 points. I think this is a great value on the over!
|
12-29-10 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 197.5 |
|
92-101 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BASHER* The Charlotte Bobcats have a new head coach, and they have a new style of play. Paul Silas has the Bobcats running and gunning in practice. Charlotte has been practicing with 14 second shot clocks. The team has the youth and speed it takes to be successful with the faster tempo, so I expect them to score quite a few, especially against a team like Cleveland. The Cavs are one of the worst defenses in basketball, and they give up 103 points per game. The over is 11-5 in the Cavs 16 road games this year. The books have adjusted the total upward because of Charlotte's new style of play, but I think this one will top 200 points, so I still like the value here. Take the over.
|
12-29-10 |
Towson v. La Salle OVER 157 |
|
93-90 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CBB Total TAKEDOWN* The LaSalle Explorers can put up a ton of points if they are playing the right type of opponent, and I believe Towson fits the mold. Towson is a poor defensive team that allows far too many wide open shots, especially from beyond the arc. LaSalle has plenty of guys capable of knocking down the three ball. Both teams love to play at a very fast tempo, which should keep this game moving quickly the whole way. Both teams are poor on the defensive glass, which should mean second chance opportunities on both sides in this one. The over is 12-3 in Towson's last 15 games overall. The over is 4-2 in LaSalle's 6 lined games this season. Look for an up and down affair here between two teams who would prefer not to play defense. Take the over.
|
12-29-10 |
Boston College v. Rhode Island OVER 147 |
|
65-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Totals DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles have found a new gear on offense in the last few games. BC is averaging 84 points per game in the last five contests, and they are shooting the ball exceptionally well from the floor. Rhode Island is the type of team that likes to push the pace, especially on their home court. The Rams are averaging 75 points per game at home this year, and BC is giving up 75 per game on the road. I don't think the books have caught up with the Boston College new faster pace and improved offense. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last four games. I expect this to be a back and forth type of game with solid shooting percentages on both sides. Take the over here.
|
12-29-10 |
Texas A&M Corpus v. Georgia State UNDER 128 |
|
42-72 |
Win
|
100 |
2 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird* Both Georgia State and Texas A&M Corpus Christi like to play at a slow pace. I think this will be a halfcourt game with very few runouts. This game is being played on a neutral court, which is typically helpful to the under since neither team is accustomed to the shooting background. These two teams are both terrible at the free throw line, so I expect the FT percentages to be bad in this one. The under is 8-3 in Georgia State's last 11 neutral site games. Both teams have played some faster paced opponents of late, which gives us a solid value on the under in this one. Take the under here.
|
12-29-10 |
East Carolina v. Maryland OVER 67.5 |
|
20-51 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Military Bowl Major CASH* You simply won't find a worse defense than the East Carolina Pirates. This defense allowed 43.4 points per game this year in a weak Conference USA. At the same time, the ECU offense is very good. The Pirates average 318 yards through the air each game, and they are scoring 38 points per game this year. Maryland's offense has scored 38 points or more in three of their last five contests, so I expect them to score plenty against a terrible ECU defense. Maryland's defense has been weak against the pass all year, which is bad news against the ECU offense. East Carolina's last five games have finished with totals of 84, 111, 96, 100, and 83 points! While 67.5 points seems like a lot, it really isn't when East Carolina is playing. I like this one to make it into the 70's. Take the over here.
|
12-28-10 |
Providence v. Syracuse OVER 153 |
|
74-81 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Providence Friars will be set on pushing the pace in this one, which should really help the scoring output of both teams. I expect Syracuse to force quite a few turnovers and get easy buckets, but I also think Providence will want to shoot before the Orange get their zone set, which should help them get some quick scores. The oddsmakers have yet to catch up to the Providence pace in the last year or so. The over is 25-10 in the last 35 games that have Providence has played in. The over is also 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games in the Big East Conference. I expect Syracuse to win this game, but I think Providence will dictate the tempo and help this one go over the posted total.
|
12-28-10 |
North Carolina v. Rutgers OVER 139.5 |
|
78-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie SMASHER* The North Carolina Tar Heels are back to pushing the pace again this year. They play at one of the fastest tempo's in all of college basketball. They have scored at least 65 points in every game this year, and they average 79 points per game. Rutgers has some pretty good defensive numbers, but they haven't played against a team that has even close to the size or talent all over the court that North Carolina has. I think this is the type of game where Rutgers will have to put some points on the board if they want to stay in the game, and I believe they will play inspired basketball. Don't be surprised if Rutgers stays in this game longer than most people expect. I think Harrison Barnes will have a big game and the Tar Heels big men will go to work against Rutgers enough to push this one over the posted total.
|
12-28-10 |
Toronto Raptors v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 207 |
|
84-76 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors just aren't the same team without Andrea Bargnani, as they showed last night in Memphis. The team wasn't able to get nearly as many easy looks, and they looked stagnant on offense. Dallas is a very good defensive team, and I have to wonder how Toronto will get their offense going against the Mavericks. Dirk Nowitzki was injured in the Mavericks win over the Thunder on Monday night, and his status is unknown for this one. At the very least, he won't be at 100%. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game this year, and without him the Raptors just don't have many primary scoring options. Dallas is second in the NBA in field goal percentage defense, and I think Toronto will shoot a low percentage on Tuesday night. I like the value on the under in this one.
|
12-27-10 |
Toronto Raptors v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 209.5 |
|
85-96 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have made this road trip without their leading scorer, Andrea Bargnani. Bargnani is averaging 21 points per game, but he will miss this game with an injury. Toronto will still play at a quick pace, but I think they'll struggle to find high quality shots. An interesting statistic for this year is that the 'under' is 22-7 on the second end of a back to back game that lands on a Monday. Memphis is playing their second game in a row here, so that system fits in nicely. The under is also 37-18 in Toronto's last 55 Monday games. These two teams have a great history of games staying under the posted total. The under is 17-3 in the last 20 games between these two teams. I like the value on the under in this one.
|
12-27-10 |
Northern Illinois v. Missouri OVER 154.5 |
Top |
61-97 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play Total* The Missouri Tigers are known for their full-court pressure that can force turnovers better than just about any team in the country. The Tigers speed up the game very well. Northern Illinois plays at one of the fastest pace's in all of basketball, and they also turn the basketball over at an extremely high rate. Missouri will likely get all kinds of easy baskets off of turnovers in this game. Northern Illinois has a great player in Xavier Silas, and I expect him to put up a lot of points in this one as well. Silas gets to the line often and he shoots about 90% from the line. I just don't see either of these teams slowing this game down. Northern Illinois saw their game against Temple, which plays at a very slow pace, finish at 158 points last week. NIU's game against Northwestern earlier this year went to 175 points. I think the over is a terrific value here. Take the over big!
|
12-26-10 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Oakland Raiders OVER 46.5 |
|
31-26 |
Win
|
100 |
68 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Bookie SMASHER* The Indianapolis Colts offense seems to have turned it around the last few weeks. Peyton Manning is looking like the same terrific player he has the last few years, and the running game has even improved. The Colts defense is still weak against the run, and I think the Raiders will be able to exploit that with their terrific rushing game. Most people don't realize this Raiders offense is 8th in the NFL in total offense, and the rushing attack is the second best in the NFL this year. The Raiders have given up 28.4 points per game in their last five games, and the Colts have given up 30.8 per game in their last five games. Both teams need a win here, and I think the offenses will have the upper hand in this game. I like the over.
|
12-26-10 |
Washington Redskins v. Jacksonville Jaguars OVER 46 |
|
20-17 |
Loss |
-110 |
65 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Washington Redskins have turned to Rex Grossman as their starting quarterback and I think that means more points in their games, both for them, and the opposition. Grossman will take more chances with the football, which should lead to plenty of points. The Redskins defense is the worst in the NFL, and I expect Jones-Drew and the Jaguars rushing attack to have a field day in this one. At the same time, the Jaguars defense is one of the worst in the NFL against the pass, which means the Redskins should have chances to score as well. The over is 7-1 in the Jaguars last 8 games overall. The Redskins game against the Cowboys last week showed what their offense could look like with Grossman, which is both good and bad. I like the over in this one.
|
12-25-10 |
Chicago Bulls v. New York Knicks OVER 206 |
|
95-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Christmas NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls are without Joakim Noah for quite a while, but they should still be able to put up points. Derrick Rose has become a better scorer, and Boozer and Deng are good scoring options as well. The loss of Noah hurts on interior defensively, which I think could mean Amare Stoudemire has more room to roam in this one. Gallinari and Chandler are having big years for the Knicks and Felton is playing well offensively as well. I think Rose will be too quick for Felton, but the Knicks shooters should have plenty of open looks at the three ball. Their only meeting this year finished with a total of 232, and I think the value is on the over in this one. Take the over here.
|
12-24-10 |
Tulsa v. Hawaii OVER 73.5 |
|
62-35 |
Win
|
100 |
43 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hawaii Bowl BEATDOWN* The Hawaii Warriors will get to host a bowl game once again this year. The Warriors and their high-powered offense will take on a Tulsa team that is capable of scoring points in bunches as well. This game should be exciting from start to finish. In Tulsa's last game they pulled off a 56-50 victory over Southern Miss. The good news for Tulsa is they have a very balanced attack on offense. They are the 14th best rushing attack in the nation and the 16th best passing offense. The bad news for Tulsa is they are awful against the pass, and Hawaii is easily the number one ranked passing attack in the country. Tulsa is allowing 306 yards per game through the air for the year. Bryant Moniz is a great quarterback for this Hawaii offensive system, and the Warriors have two great receivers. I really believe Hawaii could score 50 points in this one by themselves, and Tulsa's balanced offense should be able to put up plenty to cover the over. Don't be surprised if this one goes over 80 points. Take the over here.
|
12-23-10 |
Butler v. Florida State UNDER 130 |
|
67-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Late Night Totals Winner* The Butler Bulldogs have the ability to score if needed, but they are a still a team that likes to play the half-court game. Florida State is one of the most defensive-minded teams in the country, and their length in the post will definitely make life difficult for Butler. Neither of these teams like to push the tempo, so I expect both to be content in the half-court sets. I expect this game to be close the entire way, and I think that the two defenses will have the upper hand. The under is 14-6 in Butler's last 20 games overall. The under is 20-5-2 in Florida State's last 27 neutral site games. I like the value on the under here.
|
12-23-10 |
Texas State v. Appalachian State OVER 159.5 |
|
79-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Texas State Bobcats simply don't know how to play defense. Appalachian State has a point guard in Donald Sims who will certainly be able to take advantage of a team that allows penetration to the hoop and wide open threes. Sims is a guy who feasts on teams like Texas State. Texas State plays at one of the fastest tempo's of any team in the country, and Appalachian State is most comfortable at that pace as well. I don't see either team looking to slow this one down. While taking an over at 160 seems quite risky, I had this one pegged at about 168-169 points, so I really like the value on this play. These teams will get up and down the court all game long, and this one should be an absolute track meet. I like the over here.
|
12-22-10 |
Rider v. La Salle OVER 147.5 |
|
77-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Track Meet Total* The Rider Broncs and the LaSalle Explorers play a similar style of basketball. Both teams push the basketball at every chance possible, and they both pressure the basketball and force the tempo with a full court press. These things combined should lead this to be a very high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in LaSalle's last 8 home games. The over is 3-1-1 in Rider's last 5 road games. I think we'll see plenty of shots in this one, and with two teams who take it to the hoop as well as these two do, I expect to see plenty of trips to the charity stripe as well. I think this one tops 150, so I like the value on the over here.
|
12-21-10 |
Louisville v. Southern Mississippi OVER 56.5 |
|
31-28 |
Win
|
100 |
42 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star CFB Beef O'Brady's Bowl BEATDOWN* The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have been on my radar all year long. The Golden Eagles have a very good offense which is extremely balanced. They average 461 yards per game, 255 through the air and 206 on the ground. The Golden Eagles average 37.6 points per game. Louisville has a very good running game this year. At first glance the Southern Miss defense looks great against the run (13th in the nation), but they have performed poorly against the top running teams they have played this year. Tulsa averaged 6.7 yards per carry and South Carolina averaged 6.4 yards per carry. I think Louisville will be able to move the ball well against a banged up and mediocre Southern Miss defense. In the same manner, Louisville has a top ranked (9th in the nation) pass defense, but who have they played? The Big East conference has no great passing games, and I fully believe this will be the best passing team they have played yet. I expect both teams to score plenty in this one. Take the over.
|
12-21-10 |
Cincinnati v. Miami Ohio UNDER 126.5 |
|
64-48 |
Win
|
100 |
1 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks are a team I like to play the 'under' with when I get a chance. Coach Charlie Coles has his team play tough on the defensive end and they always slow the tempo down, especially at home. Cincinnati is only allowing 54 points per game this year, and I think they'll struggle to score in this one much more than they have in most games this year. I look for a grind it out type of game where both teams get low quality shots at the end of the shot clock. Take the under here and expect a hard fought battle on the defensive end.
|
12-20-10 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Los Angeles Clippers OVER 213 |
|
90-113 |
Loss |
-105 |
9 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves have a way of speeding up the game more than anyone else in the NBA. Minnesota is averaging 86.4 shots per game over their last 10 games, which is an extremely high number. The Clippers strike me as the type of team that plays to the pace of their opponent. Los Angeles is coming off two nice wins and I think they'll be looking to score often again in this one. Eric Gordon and Baron Davis are both guys that can push the tempo as well. Both teams are terrible at guarding the three point line, so I expect more made threes than a normal game. Both teams should get up plenty of shots and I think this one will finish somewhere around 220, so I like the value on the over.
|
12-19-10 |
Houston Rockets v. Sacramento Kings OVER 204 |
|
102-93 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Houston Rockets are pushing the basketball more than anyone in the NBA over the last few weeks. Houston has scored 108.4 points per game during the last nine games. These two teams played last week and the game sailed over the posted total. The Kings put up 80 shots and Houston put up a staggering 92 shots in that game. I think Kevin Martin and the shooters for the Rockets will get plenty of open looks in this one. At the same time, Sacramento is a better offensive team at home, and they should put up quite a few points here as well. I think the pace stays quick in this one, and both teams should get to the line quite often. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
12-19-10 |
Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 48 |
|
24-34 |
Win
|
100 |
113 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* It should be no secret by now that the Indianapolis run defense is not any good. Jacksonville knows how to exploit this defense, as they have shown in recent meetings with the Colts. The Jaguars are averaging 179 yards per game on the ground in their last eight games against the Colts. At the same time, Peyton Manning has thrown for more than 300 yards in three of the last four meetings with Jacksonville's defense. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The over is 10-3 in the Colts 13 games this year and 8-4-1 in the Jags games this season. There is a good chance some of the starters will be back for the Colts in this matchup and Manning will have some extra weapons. Both quarterbacks have thrown a lot of picks this year, so don't be surprised if the defense scores in this one as well. I like the over in this game.
|
12-19-10 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. NY Giants OVER 46 |
|
38-31 |
Win
|
100 |
92 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Eagles have had the best offense in the NFL over the last five weeks. Mike Vick is throwing the ball as well as ever and McCoy is proving to be the real deal in the backfield. The Eagles are averaging 35.2 points per game in their last five games. The Giants defense is solid, but at this point I believe the Eagles can move and score quite a few on everyone in the league. Philadelphia's defense is allowing 26 points per game on the road this year. The Giants running game has gotten going of late and I expect them to be productive again on Sunday. This may well be the biggest game of the week as both of these teams enter at 9-4. The over is 8-1 in the Eagles last 9 and 8-3 in the Giants last 11 games at home. I expect the offenses to have the upper hand all throughout this game. Take the over here.
|
12-19-10 |
New Orleans Saints v. Baltimore Ravens OVER 43.5 |
|
24-30 |
Win
|
100 |
91 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total Knockout* The single biggest takeaway from the Ravens game with the Texans last Monday night for me was that this Ravens defense isn't even close to the level they used to be. The secondary is fairly weak, and the front seven wear down by the fourth quarter as well. The New Orleans Saints offense may have started a bit slowly this year, but they are absolutely on fire of late. The Saints have scored at least 30 points in each of their last five games. The passing attack ranks third in the NFL, and I think they'll exploit the Ravens secondary in this game. Baltimore has been a little better offensively at home this year, and I think their trio of great wide receivers will be a mismatch against the Saints as well. Ray Rice is bound to have a breakout game soon, and I think it could be here. I think the line is set too low here, and I'm taking the over.
|
12-17-10 |
Utah Jazz v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 190.5 |
|
71-100 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star GUARANTEED Cash* The Jazz will have a full arsenal of weapons on Friday night as Mehmut Okur will make his season debut. Okur is a decent scorer and he'll give them another offensive option. The Hornets have had nine straight games go under the total, which has given us a great value on the over here. New Orleans averages just 89 points on the road, but they are scoring 97 per game at home. Utah puts up 100 points per game on the road. These teams have gone over 191 in six of their last eight meetings. I think the extremely low number makes this over an attractive play. Take the over here.
|
12-17-10 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 183 |
|
85-90 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie CRUSHER* The Charlotte Bobcats are playing terrible basketball right now. They simply can't put the ball in the hoop, and they'll be without arguably their best scorer, Gerald Wallace, tonight. The Hawks have been a different team without Joe Johnson in the lineup. They don't push the pace nearly as much, and they use up the shot clock frequently. Neither of these teams get to the line all that often, and we have a favorable referee crew in this one too, so I think free throw attempts will be limited. Friday night has been a nice night for unders in the NBA this year, and this is my favorite under of the night for Friday. I think we'll see a half-court game here and it wouldn't surprise me if the winner of this only gets to 88 or 90. I like the under here.
|
12-16-10 |
Florida Atlantic v. Troy OVER 146.5 |
|
82-77 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Best Bet* The Troy Trojans like to run and push the tempo, and their defense has a way of making the other team look very good offensively. Florida Atlantic is a team that I believe is fully capable of running and scoring a lot of points, but they have played several opponents lately who slow the tempo down quite a bit. These teams played twice last year and the games finished at 151 and 166 points. In fact, if you look farther back into history there has only been one of the last ten meetings between these two teams finish below this posted total. Typically one of the two has 85-95 points by the end of the game. These two teams are no stranger to running and gunning and I think we'll see that again tonight. Look for some easy layups and a lot of points in transition here. I like the over!
|
12-15-10 |
Houston Rockets v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 207.5 |
|
105-117 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Guaranteed Cash* The Houston Rockets are without Aaron Brooks, but Kyle Lowry has done a great job at the point guard spot. Lowry seems to have sped up the team a little bit in his time at the point. The over is 5-2 in Houston's last 7 games, and they are averaging 110 points per game during that span. Oklahoma City is a solid 'over' team (16-9 so far this year), especially because they are easily the best free throw shooting team in the league. The Thunder are hitting 85% of their free throw attempts this year. The best news here is we have a referee crew that includes two of the top three 'over' referees in the NBA. I expect both teams to make plenty of trips to the line, and that will help the point total greatly. Look for Durant to have a huge game, but I also think Luis Scola could do quite a bit of damage against the Thunder. I like the over in this one.
|
12-15-10 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 194 |
|
91-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Los Angeles Clippers have slowly turned into a slightly better defensive team. Vinny Del Negro is a defensive-minded coach and this team seems to be committing to the defense much more than in recent years. On the offensive end they are all struggling, minus Blake Griffin. The Sixers have actually covered the spread nine straight times now, and they have allowed only one team (Boston) over 100 points during that span. In fact, three of those nine games have seen their opponent finish with less than 80 points. The under is 10-4 in Philadelphia's last 14 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Clippers last 7 games overall. Marc Davis is the head referee in this game, and the under is 99-70 in games he has refereed in the last three years. I like the under in this one.
|
12-15-10 |
NC-Greensboro v. Wake Forest OVER 158 |
|
67-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
23 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The over is 5-1-1 in Wake's seven lined games this year, and the over is 5-1 in UNC Greensboro's six games. These are two horrible defenses and they are two teams that like to push the tempo all game long. UNC Greensboro may have the worst defense in the nation. They are allowing 91 points per game, and opponents are shooting a staggering 52% from the field and 43% from beyond the arc. Wake Forest has some great three point shooters, and they are third in the nation in three point field goal percentage this year. I expect plenty of wide open threes on Wednesday night. UNC Greensboro allowed 92 points and 97 points respectively to Virginia Tech and Florida State, two teams that usually have a ton of trouble scoring. Wake will have their track shoes on here, and Greensboro will get some easy buckets as well. It wouldn't surprise me to see 165 or 170 points scored here. I like the over.
|
12-14-10 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 187 |
|
80-103 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Atlanta Hawks are short-handed right now as Joe Johnson sits out with an injury. The Hawks offense is only averaging 92.5 points per game over the last six games. The Pistons have one of the slowest paced offenses in the league right now. Because of the absence of Johnson and the Pistons slow tempo, I see this being a game where both teams stay at 75 or below in field goals attempted. Unless they shoot a very high percentage, this game should stay under the posted total. The recent trends between these two point to the under as well. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The last three meetings have finished with a total of 176, 178, and 179 points. I think this will be a sloppy, low scoring game. I like the value on the under in this one.
|
12-12-10 |
Philadelphia Eagles v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 50.5 |
|
30-27 |
Win
|
100 |
53 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Bookie BASHER* The Eagles and Cowboys probably have the two hottest offenses in the NFL right now. If you look back a few weeks it is hard to imagine saying the Cowboys offense is good, but they have averaged 33.25 points per game in their last four games. Jason Garrett is now the head coach and this team seems to have changed their game plan a bit since then. The Eagles continue to roll on the offensive end behind some terrific quarterback play from Mike Vick. The Eagles have scored 26 points or more in seven of their last eight games overall. The Cowboys defense is allowing 28 points per game. The over is 7-1 in the Eagles last eight games. The over is 8-0 in the Cowboys last 8 games. This is a pretty high number, but I think we'll see a game that hits at least the mid 50's. Take the over here.
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12-12-10 |
North Carolina-Wilmington v. Wake Forest OVER 142.5 |
|
81-69 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hoops Total Terrorizer* The Wake Forest Deamon Deacons aren't a very good team this year, but they sure do push the tempo. Wake Forest loves to run and shoot three pointers, and I expect them to keep that trend going today against UNC Wilmington. A couple of Wake's players that have been sitting out will be back today after eligibility problems, which should give them more depth. UNC Wilmington can hit the three pointer and Wake Forest struggles to defend the three. I like the over in this one.
|
12-12-10 |
Cleveland Browns v. Buffalo Bills UNDER 39.5 |
|
6-13 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Cleveland Browns and Buffalo Bills are no strangers to ugly low-scoring games. Last year the Browns beat the Bills 6-3 in what may have been the worst game of the year to watch. This year there is a major weather system that will impact this game. Buffalo is expected to be getting snow and 15-20 mph winds during this game. Since it is right by the lake, the conditions can deteriorate rapidly here. I fully expect this to be a game where both teams rely on their running game, because the conditions won't allow much passing. The under is 5-1 in the Bills last 6 home games in December, largely because of the poor weather that occurs here. This weekend we have two teams with suspect offenses and bad weather conditions. I'll take the under.
|
12-12-10 |
Cincinnati Bengals v. Pittsburgh Steelers UNDER 40 |
|
7-23 |
Win
|
100 |
46 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Pittsburgh Steelers have the best run defense in the NFL. Pittsburgh is under a winter storm watch for Sunday because they are expected to receive several inches of snow and high winds. The Bengals rushing game is not impressive at all, and I think Cincinnati will struggle to score in this game. Inclement conditions will likely make the Steelers willing to just run the ball and methodically score on the Bengals, eating up a lot of time in the process. With winds of 15-20 mph and heavy snow at times, I fully expect this to be a low scoring game. The Steelers defense will flex their muscles against a weak Bengals running game and this one will likely be a snoozer. Take the under and expect the weather to impact this game in a major way.
|
12-12-10 |
Appalachian State v. Georgetown OVER 149.5 |
|
60-89 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION Play* The Georgetown Hoyas aren't a slow it down type of team this year. They have scorers all over the court, especially in the backcourt. Chris Wright is a very good point guard who can drive and shoot the three. Austin Freeman can score it as well as anyone in the Big East. Jason Clark is a terrific outside shooter. Appalachian State only knows how to play at one speed and that is fast. Donald Sims is their star guard, and he is averaging 27 points per game this year. I expect Sims to have a good game and his team to run all game long. Georgetown shouldn't have much trouble scoring against the Mountaineers, who allow 78 points per game so far this year. I expect Georgetown to be pushing 85 or 90 points by the time this one is finished. I like the over.
|
12-11-10 |
Navy v. Army UNDER 53.5 |
|
31-17 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Army/Navy Bookie CRUSHER* The great rivalry between Army and Navy will be played on Saturday and I expect a hard hitting battle. These two teams have the utmost respect for each other, but they love nothing more than to defeat the other squad. Both teams run the football extremely well, and neither of them throw it much at all. That fact alone helps the under since the clock will be rolling almost all game long. Additionally, Army is much better this year than in the past, and their run defense is in the top 35 nationwide, so I expect a closer game than in past years. The fact that both teams understand the triple option very well helps them defend it better than the average team. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 games and I believe the under is the best play for Saturday as well.
|
12-10-10 |
Miami Heat v. Golden State Warriors OVER 203 |
|
106-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Late Night Bailout* The Miami Heat have started to put it together of late. It seems that the team has finally started to discover that they have the ability to get out and run, and they have been very successful when they do just that. Against Cleveland they ran often, and it worked out very well. Against Utah they pushed the tempo and beat the Jazz down the floor for many layups, especially in the fourth quarter. Golden State will be without Stephen Curry, which will hurt, but I still think the Warriors will keep pushing tempo. Golden State doesn't know how to play any other way, especially at home. Monta Ellis should have a big game, and Reggie Williams showed that Golden State has some guys on the bench capable of busting out in a big way with his 31 point effort two days ago. I think Miami will score at will here and push this one over the posted total.
|
12-10-10 |
Utah v. Michigan UNDER 129.5 |
|
64-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
24 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Michigan Wolverines are shaping up to be a great 'under' team this year. Their system is one in which they use the clock and play solid defense, and there really aren't many guys on this team who can score 15 or 20 points on a nightly basis. Utah is a team that pushed the pace some in their early games at home, but of late they have had some low scoring contests. The under is 13-3-1 in Michigan's last 17 home games. Michigan's games against Syracuse and UTEP two solid offensive teams, finished at 103 and 121 points respectively. I think this is a great number to take the under here. Expect a half-court type of game and some poor shooting numbers. Take the under.
|
12-09-10 |
Georgetown v. Temple UNDER 126.5 |
|
65-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Play of the Day* The Georgetown Hoyas and the Temple Owls should be a terrific matchup on Thursday night. Last year these two teams met in a game that finished with Georgetown winning 46-45. I think this is the type of game that you will appreciate if you like defense. Temple allows just 55 points per game, and they are holding opponents to just 37% shooting from the floor. Georgetown is shooting 51% on the year, but I would be very surprised if they shoot that well in this game. Temple is one of the slowest paced teams in the nation, and Georgetown is actually much slower than one might think. I don't think the Hoyas will try to turn this game into a track meet and even if they do try, I don't expect Temple to allow it. Look for the defenses to step up and make this a hard-fought game where every score is difficult. I like the under here.
|
12-08-10 |
Cal State Fullerton v. Arizona OVER 149 |
Top |
62-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
26 h 44 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total Play* The Arizona Wildcats are a very solid team on offense this year. Derrick Williams is playing great basketball for this team, and they have a solid amount of balance on the perimeter and down low. CS Fullerton is a team that plays virtually no defense and they simply 'run and gun' all game long. The Titans allowed 84 points to Hawaii, 80 points to Montana State, and 81 points to USC; all teams that aren't that terrific offensively. Arizona is easily the best offense they have faced yet, and I think Arizona has a very good chance of scoring more than 90 points in this game. Fullerton will get some fastbreak layups as well, but this game shouldn't be close. Don't be shocked if Arizona is pushing 100 by the time this one is finished. I like the over in this one!
|
12-08-10 |
Oklahoma City Thunder v. Minnesota Timberwolves OVER 216.5 |
|
111-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Oklahoma City Thunder are finally healthy once again and they have the perfect opponent to flex their offensive muscle against tonight. The Timberwolves allow 109.3 points per game, and Oklahoma City scored 117 on them just a couple weeks ago. The Thunder are first in the NBA in free throw percentage, thanks to Kevin Durant's great shooting from the line. I expect Durant to attack this weak Minnesota defense and get to the line very often. Darko might not play tonight for Minnesota, which actually helps the over. Darko is probably the Timberwolves best defensive player, and without him there will be no one to clog the lane at all. Minnesota will get plenty of points by running and gunning as well. The three referees for this game average more fouls than the NBA league average, so that bodes well for the over too. Take the over here.
|
12-08-10 |
Seton Hall v. Arkansas OVER 134 |
Top |
62-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 35 m |
Show
|
*5 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Seton Hall Pirates an interesting team that I don't believe the books have much of a handle on just yet. Jeremy Hazell is out right now, which leaves the team without their top scorer. In their first three games without Hazell they haven't put up many points, but we must realize that all three of those opponents were slow tempo teams. Arkansas likes to put pressure on and force the tempo, which should get Seton Hall back to their running ways. Eniel Polynice is starting to get used to the offense, and he should be a nice player for them this year. Arkansas has Rotnei Clarke, a great shooter who can light it up on any given night. I expect the teams to get up and down in this one. This number is set so low that I believe the over is a very good value.
|
12-07-10 |
Purdue v. Valparaiso OVER 128 |
|
76-58 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Play of the Day* The Purdue Boilermakers have struggled quite a bit offensively over the last few games. The Boilers played Richmond, Virginia Tech, and Alabama. All three of those teams play solid defense. Now most people think Purdue simply can't score, which really isn't true. In their first five games, Purdue averaged 84.2 points per game. Valparaiso is a team that shoots the ball well from the floor, and they have several options offensively. I think the line being set so low is an overreaction to the recent past of Purdue. Purdue does have JaJuan Johnson and E'Twaun Moore and I expect both to have a big game on Tuesday night. I like the over in this game.
|
12-07-10 |
Georgia v. Georgia Tech OVER 136.5 |
|
73-72 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Georgia Bulldogs and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets will square off in their intrastate rivalry game on Tuesday evening. Georgia Tech's defense has been horrible of late. Northwestern shot 65% from the floor against Georgia Tech, and they hit 12/19 three pointers, mainly because they had so many wide open looks. Both teams do quite a bit of fouling, so I expect the trips to the line to be frequent in this game. Rivalry games like this often have more free throw opportunities, because both teams are looking to be more physical than normal. I expect some open looks from the floor and lots of trips to the charity stripe in this one. Take the over.
|
12-06-10 |
Toronto Raptors v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 208 |
|
100-124 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have looked like a different team this year, and it starts with their improved defense. O'Brien has this team believing they can shut down their opponent, and they are third in the NBA in field goal % defense. The Pacers also have slowed their tempo down quite a bit. Toronto is a team that can run, but I don't think they'll dictate the tempo in this one. The line is set fairly low, but I think that is to try to pull in money on the over here. The trends say over because Indiana and Toronto have scored bunches of points in their last few meetings, but that was a very different Indiana team. This referee crew is a nice 'under' crew as well, so that should cut down on free throw attempts. I like the under here.
|
12-05-10 |
Dallas Cowboys v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 47.5 |
|
38-35 |
Win
|
100 |
50 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Bookie CRUSHER* The Dallas Cowboys have definitely played better football since Jason Garrett took over as Head Coach. The Cowboys offense seems to have found their rhythm once again. Dallas has scored 33,35, and 27 points in their last three games. Indianapolis is now just 6-5, and they need this game badly. The Colts have the #1 passing attack in the NFL, which should be good for them in this matchup. Dallas is 23rd in the NFL against the pass. The Cowboys defense has been terrible this year. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 Cowboys games, mainly because they are giving up 32 points per game over their last six games. Peyton Manning will be ready for this game, and I think the Colts will move the ball quite easily against this Dallas defense. At the same time, the Colts defense is not great, and I think this improved Cowboys offense will find some success against Indianapolis. I like the over in this one.
|
12-05-10 |
New York Knicks v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 216.5 |
|
116-99 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* I really like playing an 'under' on early Sunday afternoon games. This is the classic early Sunday afternoon opportunity for a lethargic game of basketball between the Raptors and the Knicks. The Knicks have been playing quite well of late, and they have actually held four of their last five opponents to 100 points or fewer. The Raptors are allowing only 97.9 points per game at home so far this year. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams, and it is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Toronto. I think the shooting percentages will be fairly low here and we'll see a sloppy game, which should be good for the under, especially when the number is set this high. Take the under.
|
12-05-10 |
Denver Broncos v. Kansas City Chiefs OVER 48.5 |
|
6-10 |
Loss |
-110 |
47 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos have been giving up points by the bunches in the last few games. In fact, they are allowing an amazing 36.6 points per game over their last five contests. Kansas City has found their offense of late, and they have scored 29, 31, and 42 points in their last three games. The Chiefs have the top ranked rushing attack in the NFL, and Denver is 30th in the NFL at stopping the run. Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe have heated up of late too, so this KC offense is becoming balanced. Denver's pass offense is fourth in the NFL, and the Chiefs are 24th in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. In the last three meetings, the finals have been 44-13, 44-24, and 49-29. I think there is a good amount of value on the over in this one. Take the over here!
|
12-04-10 |
Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 53 |
|
20-23 |
Win
|
100 |
29 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Nebraska/Oklahoma Play* This will be the Nebraska Cornhuskers final game in the Big 12 Conference. Nebraska will definitely be looking to complete some unfinished business after their last second loss to Texas in this game last year. Oklahoma is a team that looks much better in their last few games. There are some key injuries in this game. Taylor Martinez and DeMarco Murray are both questionable in this one. My guess is that both will play at least some, but they are both hurt pretty badly and I think that will make them less effective than normal. Oklahoma is very reliant on their passing attack, and Nebraska has the second best pass defense in all of college football. I expect Nebraska to pressure Landry Jones and make things difficult for him. On the other side, Nebraska relies on their running game. I think Oklahoma will do their best to stack the box and make Nebraska throw it in this one. A hobbled Martinez will make it more difficult for Nebraska to be effective running the ball. These two teams played to a 10-3 final last year. A game of this magnitude often stays lower scoring as well, as the Texas/Nebraska game last year did. I like the under in this one.
|
12-04-10 |
Cornell v. Minnesota OVER 137 |
|
66-71 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Golden Gophers have been pushing the tempo much more this year. Tubby Smith's team is talented and they are getting up and down the floor very often. Cornell isn't nearly the team they were a year ago, but they are still playing at a quick tempo. I expect the Gophers to use their size advantage to get quite a few easy baskets in this one. Minnesota is one of the worst teams in college basketball at guarding the three point line, so expect Cornell to bury some threes in this game. I think this one gets into the 140's. Take the over here.
|
12-04-10 |
Washington Huskies v. Washington State Cougars UNDER 54.5 |
|
35-28 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Bookie BEATDOWN* The Washington Huskies and the Washington State Cougars will battle for the Apple Cup in Pullman on Saturday night. It has been cold and snowy all week in Pullman, and it is expected to be very cold again Saturday night. This is a pretty good rivalry game that most people don't follow very closely. The Huskies offense has struggled of late, scoring just 14 points per game in their last five overall. Washington State relies on the passing game, and Washington's secondary is solid. The Huskies are allowing only 193 passing yards per game this year. In the last two years the total has finished at 30 and 29 points when these two have met. I expect this to be a close hard-fought game, and I think the value is on the under.
|
12-04-10 |
Duquesne v. Penn State OVER 139 |
|
73-77 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Total Annihilation* The Penn State Nittany Lions only scored 39 points against Maryland in their last game, so it seems strange to pick an over in their next game. Penn State shot a miserable 14/68 from the floor last game, including 3-27 from downtown. It wasn't that the pace was slow, but rather they just couldn't throw a rock in the ocean. Duquesne is one of the quickest tempo teams every year in college basketball. They are averaging 86 points per game so far this year. I fully expect them to put up a large amount of points against Penn State. The Duquesne defense isn't very good, and I think Talor Battle and the Nittany Lions will fare much better from the floor in this one. Last game's cold shooting has given us a good value on the over here.
|
12-04-10 |
North Carolina State v. Syracuse OVER 142.5 |
|
59-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Play of the Day* The NC State Wolfpack have decided to make it a huge issue to push the tempo this year. The Wolfpack did so successfully through much of their first few games, before falling flat against Wisconsin offensively. Syracuse is a team that has the athletes to run, and I don't think they'll try to slow this one down very much. The over is 4-0 this year in NC State's games, and I think this is another one where the over is the play. I don't think NC State wins this game, but I do think they'll push the tempo enough for us to cash in on the over.
|
12-04-10 |
Oregon v. Oregon State OVER 64 |
|
37-20 |
Loss |
-110 |
25 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Football Total DOMINATION* The Oregon Ducks have the highest powered offense in college football. Oregon State's defense has been terrible this year, especially of late. Oregon will definitely want to keep putting up the points in this rivalry game, and I think they could easily get to 45 or 50 points in this one. Oregon State will playing in front of the home crowd, and I expect Quizz Rodgers and the rest of the offense to put some points up against Oregon. The history between these two is for this game to be an absolute shootout. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Oregon State's poor rushing defense should get exposed by the Oregon Ducks amazing running game. I think this is the type of game where there will be a ton of huge plays. I like the over here.
|
12-03-10 |
Indiana Pacers v. Phoenix Suns OVER 212.5 |
|
97-105 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have been on a nice run to the under, which has made this number a nice value. Phoenix is last in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. The Suns are also first in the league in points per game. Indiana has struggled from the floor this year, but I expect them to get plenty of open looks against Phoenix. The Suns really push the pace at home, and the over is 12-4 in their last 16 home games. If you look at the last six meetings between the Pacers and Suns, every single game has gone over this number. The Suns are averaging 119 points per game over their last five games, and I think Indiana's slightly improved defense is likely to be exposed tonight. It doesn't hurt that this officiating crew has a nice lean to the over as well. Look for plenty of free throws and some wide open looks for both teams. I like the over in this one.
|
12-02-10 |
Missouri v. Oregon OVER 153.5 |
|
83-80 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers lost a heartbreaker against Georgetown on Tuesday night, but they face a much less talented opponent on Thursday in Oregon. The Ducks have struggled quite a bit this year, and I think Missouri's full-court press and trapping style will bother Oregon a lot. Malcolm Armstead is the point guard for Oregon, and he has had some significant trouble with turnovers already this year. Armstead has at least four turnovers in each of the last five games, and he has had six turnovers twice. Now he and his team face an opponent that forces more turnovers than anyone, and I think it will be a big problem. Missouri can shoot the three, and Oregon is one of the worst in the nation at defending behind the arc. Missouri does force a ton of turnovers, but their opponents also shoot a good percentage from the floor. I expect Missouri to push the tempo here and I look for both teams to get a lot of easy looks. Take the over.
|
12-01-10 |
Michigan State v. Duke OVER 148.5 |
|
79-84 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duke Blue Devils have sped up their game this year, largely due to their sensational point guard Kyrie Irving. Irving is a one man fastbreak when he touches the ball, and that gets guys like Singler and Smith wide open jumpers. Michigan State is the type of team that can run with just about anyone in basketball if they want to, and even they I suspect they might try to slow the pace at the start, I think they'll be forced to speed up later on as I believe Duke will be leading in this one. Michigan State will pick up the tempo if they are losing, which I think could this game into a track meet at times. The Spartans also commit a lot of fouls and Duke is shooting 73% from the free throw line. Both teams are in the top 26 in the country in 3 point shooting percentage, so I expect quite a few three's to fall tonight. I believe the posted total here is giving us a nice value on the over in this one. Take the over.
|