*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners both have extremely weak lineups. These are teams that can score one or two runs in a game and no one will bat an eyelash. Dylan Axelrod is still developing as a pitcher, but he has good stuff. Hisashi Iwakuma is dominating for the Mariners so far this year. Iwakuma has actually been even better than King Felix for most of the year. Iwakuma has given up more than 3 runs only once in last 15 starts. The under is 4-1-1 in the White Sox last 6. The under is 5-1 in Iwakuma's last 6 against the AL Central. DJ Reyburn is the umpire here and he has a big strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Reyburn's last 6 Wednesday games. Take the under.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Josh Johnson is coming back form an injury for the Blue Jays in this one. Johnson has been bad so far this year, and he was bad in his minor league rehab starts as well. He pitched 4 and 2/3 and gave up 6 runs in his most recent minor league tuneup. Tim Lincecum hasn't been himself again this year. Lincecum has given up at least 4 runs in 7 of his 10 starts this year. He has allowed 6 runs in two of his last 3 outings. Both of these offenses are pretty good this year, and neither of these pitchers have proven themselves at all this season. This is too low of a number. The over is 13-3 in the Blue Jays last 16 following a win. The over is 12-4-1 in Lincecum's last 17 starts. The over is 7-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Matt Moore is having a break out season for the Tampa Bay Rays. Moore has an ERA just above 2, and the Rays are 12-1 in his last 13 starts this year. Moore pitched well in his only outing against Detroit last season. Anibal Sanchez has been spectacular at home this year with an ERA under 2. Even though both offenses are solid, I think the value is with the under because of the two elite pitchers. The under is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 19-6-2 in the last 27 meetings between these teams. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jordan Zimmerman in one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball. Zimmerman has a 1.50 ERA at home so far this year. He is coming off a rare poor start at Baltimore, and I expect him to bounce back with a great start against a bad Mets lineup. Jeremy Hefner isn't a terrific pitcher, but he generally keeps his team in the game. The Nationals offense is hurting right now without Bryce Harper and Jayson Werth. Don't expect the Nationals to put up as many runs without Harper in the middle of the lineup. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics have been an over machine on the road this year. The over is 19-11 in their 30 road games this season. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff isn't very good, but they have a pretty strong lineup. Milwaukee is particularly strong against lefties. The Brewers hit .272 as a team against lefties. Tom Milone has a 5.55 ERA away from home this year, and he is a guy that the Brewers should be able to get to. Marco Estrada has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Estrada isn't a shut down type of pitcher at this point in his career. The over is 10-1 in the A's last 11 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 9-1-2 in the Brewers last 12 Interleague home games. The over is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a lefty. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Jorge DeLarosa has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball so far this year. He is 4-0 with a 2.42 ERA at Coors Field so far in 2013. The Dodgers have hit him well in the past, but this Dodgers' lineup is extremely short handed right now. The Dodgers will be without Matt Kemp, Hanley Ramirez, and A.J. Ellis. Ryu has been excellent for the Dodgers so far this season. He has an ERA under 3, and his past couple games have been his best of the year. This total is too high with two quality pitchers on the hill and so many injuries in the Dodgers' lineup. The under is 8-2 in the Rockies last 10 games as a favorite. The under is 5-2-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games verses a lefty. The under is 5-1 in the Rockies last 6 games following a win. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Betting an over 10 certainly isn't something I like to do on a normal basis, but this number is justified in this particular case. Gausman is a top pitching prospect for the Orioles, but it seems that they've rushed him to the majors. He has given up 11 earned runs in this first 2 starts. Detroit has scored more runs than anyone in baseball so far this year, and this Tigers' lineup is extremely dangerous. Rick Porcello is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in baseball, and his ERA is almost 7 on the road. Baltimore has the second highest scoring team in baseball. The over is 4-0 in Detroit's last 4 road games against a righty. The over is 2-0 in Gausman's first two starts for the Orioles. The over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Baltimore. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Petco Park isn't quite the pitcher friendly park it was a year ago. The fences have been moved in quite a bit here, and it is making a difference. The over is 14-11 in the Padres home games this year. In the past, it has been an easy under bet for Padres home games. Toronto's offense is good and I don't trust Jason Marquis. Jenkins is a youngster who couldn't dominate at the Double A level, and the Padres should be able to do some work against him. Expect a higher scoring game here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Dallas Keuchel is one of the worst pitchers in the major league at this time. Keuchel isn't very good at home, and he is horrible on the road. He has a career ERA over 5, and this Angels lineup should be licking their chops to face him on Friday night. Tommy Hanson isn't all that impressive, and the Astros beat him up pretty good earlier this year. The Astros have been a good over team this year because their bullpen is so horrific. The over is 7-0 in Keuchel's last 7 road games. The over is 19-9 in the Angels last 28 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Houston Astros don't have a good offense, but they have a way of pushing games over the posted total. Houston's pitching staff is the worst in baseball, and their bullpen is atrocious. Erik Bedard has an ERA above 8 on the road this year, and it won't get any easier at Coors Field. Tyler Chatwood has a WHIP of 1.62 in his career at Coors Field, which tells me he allows far too many baserunners to be trusted. Marvin Hudson has a small strike zone and will help the over quite a bit. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Colorado. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Washington Nationals will start Jordan Zimmerman in this one, and Zimmerman is a pitcher I really like. He gives his team a quality start every time out, and he does it without a ton of flash. He just gets the job done by getting ahead in the count and using his great control. Chris Tillman has been great at home this year, and the Nationals lineup is really hurting without Harper or Espinosa right now. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Zimmerman's last 4 starts against the Orioles. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Baltimore. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels got off to a horrible start again this year, but their offense is heating up in a big way of late. When you have guys like Mike Trout, Josh Hamilton, and Albert Pujols your team is going to score a lot of runs. The Dodgers' offense isn't very good, but they'll have a favorable matchup in Angels' starter Joe Blanton. Blanton has a 6.19 ERA this year, and it would be a surprise if they Dodgers didn't put up several runs here. Ryu has been solid for the Dodgers, but I don't think he can completely shut down the Angels' lineup. The over is 37-16 in the Angels' last 53 games following a loss. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have what I believe is the best offense in the National League. St. Louis has a ton of depth in their lineup, which makes them extremely tough to shut down for an entire game. Ervin Santana has pitched well so far this year, but his past tells us that he's a very inconsistent pitcher. Tyler Lyons will make his second Major League start for the Cardinals in this one. Lyons pitched well in his first start, but his 4.4 ERA in AAA tells me he's unlikely to continue to pitch well in the majors. The Royals hit lefties very well, and I expect them to get to Lyons. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals' last 4 interleague games. The over is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas City. The over is 4-0 in the last 5 meetings overall. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Colorado Rockies have gotten to Tim Lincecum twice this year. Lincecum has allowed 12 runs in just two starts against the Rockies in 2013. Colorado's lineup has been scoring runs wherever they go this year. Lincecum isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Rockies, and he isn't someone I like to back. Chatwood allows a ton of baserunners and is constantly trying to work out of a jam. The Giants offense is much better than it was a year ago, and they have been a solid over team of late. The over is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts against Colorado. The over is 6-0 in Colorado's last 6 as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4 road games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Los Angeles Angels offense appears to have woken up. It was a sleeping giant, and Mike Trout has once again been the main man behind waking this lineup up. He did it last year around this time, and he is doing it again this year. The Angels are very dangerous offensively, but they still have weaknesses in the pitching department. The Royals hit lefties very well and Jason Vargas is bad on the road. In his career he has a 5.22 road ERA. He has an ERA of 6.93 in KC in his career. Look for these offenses to duke it out in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals have the best offense in the National League right now. Burch Smith has looked like he is over his head in his first two starts in the majors. It won't get any easier here. The Cardinals are giving the ball to Tyler Lyons. Lyons had an ERA over 4 in AAA and I can't imagine him coming to the majors and having much success at the beginning of his career. This number is set far too low given the pitchers who are starting this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The New York Yankees offense has held it together pretty well this year while many of their key hitters are hurt. Granderson is now back and Gardner is looking better in his last few at bats. The Orioles bullpen has imploded of late, and Baltimore's pitching staff has been giving up some big numbers. Phil Hughes has been absolutely demolished in his last two starts. He was knocked out of the game after just 2/3 of an inning pitched in his last outing. Hughes has a career ERA of 6.58 at Baltimore. The weather should help as it will be hot with the wind blowing out. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Washington Nationals will start Zach Duke in this one. Duke hasn't started a game since 2011, and he has an 8.40 ERA out of the bullpen this year. San Francisco's lineup is much better this year than it was in 2012. Ryan Vogelsong was great in 2011 and 2012, but he has been awful of late. Vogelsong has given up at least 6 runs in each of his last 4 starts. Washington's lineup is much better than it has shown of late, and I think they could break out in this game. The over is 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 home games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 Monday starts. The over is 10-1-1 in Vogelsong's last 12 as a home favorite. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two teams. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB Early Bird TOP Play* The Seattle Mariners are once again a very poor offense last year. They struggled all year last year against lefties, and they have been bad against south paws again this year. Scott Kazmir is a remarkable comeback story this year. Kazmir has upped his velocity again, and his control seems to be improving. Hisashi Iwakuma has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Iwakuma is 5-1 with a 1.84 ERA so far this year. Iwakuma hasn't given up more than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. That's some amazing consistency. It's get away day for these teams, and that should mean some key guys are out of the lineup in this contest. The under is 7-0 in the Mariners last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Iwakuma's last 4 against the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0-1 in the Indians last 5 against a righty. Take the under big!

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total Domination* The Milwaukee Brewers don't have a very good pitching staff, but with most of their guys healthy they definitely do have a good lineup now. Ryan Braun, Aramis Ramirez, Corey Hart, Carlos Gomez, etc make it difficult on the opposing pitcher. Milwaukee is better against lefties. John Gast will make his 2nd career major league start for the Cardinals here. Gast gave up 4 runs in 6 innings against the Mets in his first start, and this is a much better lineup than the Mets lineup.

Kyle Lohse is a pretty good pitcher, but he has been awful against the Cardinals in his career. Carlos Beltran is 23 for 45 against him. Yadier Molina is 6 for 10. Matt Holliday is 8 for 15. Clearly the Cardinals see the ball well against Lohse.

The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 Sunday games. The over is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in the previous game. Take the over big!

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are a good team, but they can't hit left-handed pitching. Washington is hitting .192 as a team against lefties this year. They are averaging less than 3 runs per game against left-handed starters. Eric Stults certainly isn't a great pitcher, but he pitches pretty well in Petco Park. Jordan Zimmerman is one of the best pitchers in baseball, and people are finally starting to see that. Zimmerman gives the Nationals a very good start every single time out there. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers have two of the best offenses in all of baseball. Both of these teams are going to score a ton of runs this year. Detroit is averaging 5.30 runs per game and Texas is averaging 4.62 runs per game. This is the time of the year when the Rangers park starts playing like a hitter friendly park. The wind is blowing out here and it will be nice and warm. Expect the ball to be flying well. Sanchez is a good pitcher, but he has a 7.45 ERA against Texas in his career. Grimm is still a youngster with lots left to prove. Take the over.

*3 Star Knicks/Pacers Total Domination* I successfully played the 'under' in Game 6 of the Spurs/Warriors series on Thursday night. History tells us that this potential close out games are generally very low scoring. Why is this? The game is played at a slow pace because of how big the game is, and the defensive intensity is ratcheted up quite a bit as well. Since the 2004 season, the under is 32-12 in a Game 6 or Game 7 of the NBA's playoffs. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two teams. Expect a defensive battle. Take the under.

*3 Star Spurs/Warriors Total Domination* History tells us that close out situations are a very good opportunity to bet on the under. Since 2004, potential close out games that are either Game 6 or Game 7 in the series have gone under 31 times versus just 12 overs. The pace of the game slows down and the defensive intensity picks up. The Spurs aren't pushing the tempo nearly as much in this series as they did during the regular season. Both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Mark Jackson is going to be preaching defense to his young team in this game. The under is 12-3-1 in the Spurs last 16 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Wade Davis and Barry Enright aren't guys that I would ever trust. Enright had an ERA over 7 in Arizona a couple years ago and he has been a disaster ever since a decent rookie season in 2010. Davis has a 5.86 ERA this year, and he gives up runs in bunches. The Angels offense is starting to look better of late, and they should feast on his mistakes. The Royals offense is very good as well, and Enright hasn't given me any reason to believe he'll slow them down. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* It's get away day for these two teams and both of these managers often take starters out of the lineup in these situations. Ian Kennedy and Tim Hudson have proven over the years to be very high quality pitchers who give you a very good effort each time out to the hill. John Hirschbeck is one of the better under umpires in the game because of his large strike zone. The roof will be closed here which definitely helps the under. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Houston Astros have the worst team ERA in all of baseball. This entire pitching staff is a disaster. Dallas Keuchel gets the start in this one and to say he has been horrible in the road in his young career is a major understatement. Keuchel has given up more than 5 runs in almost every road start he has made in his career. Detroit averages 6 runs per game against lefties. The Houston bullpen is the worst in baseball, so if he gets chased early it won't help the Astros at all either. Detroit could put up a big number here. The over is 7-1 in Detroit's last 8 home games when Scherzer starts. The over is 6-0 in Keuchel's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Astros last 11 games in game three of the series. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners aren't a good offensive team. Seattle does have one of the best pitchers in baseball in King Felix though. Felix Hernandez will start in this one, and he has an ERA of less than 2 in his last 5 starts at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees lineup isn't nearly as strong as normal right now, and Hernandez is really on a roll of late. CC Sabathia has pitched very well this year and the Mariners struggle against lefties. The under is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 games. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 6-1-1 in Hernandez's last 8 starts. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics offense looked amazing at the start of the year, but it was too good to be true. If you look at the A's lineup it doesn't take long to figure out that this team can't lead the majors in runs scored as they did for almost the entire first month. Oakland's offense has started coming back down to earth fast of late. The A's are now 21st in the majors in team batting average at just .243. Joe Saunders has a career 1.75 ERA in 12 starts at Safeco, so he's a tough matchup for the A's. Tom Milone has been very good against the Mariners in the past as well. Dan Bellino is one of baseball's best 'under' umpires. The under is 33-15-3 in Bellino's last 51 games behind the dish. The under is 22-4-1 in Seattle's last 27 Sunday games. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Atlanta Braves offense may have slumped for a brief time a couple weeks ago, but they are hitting it very well again right now. The Braves have one of the deepest lineups in baseball, and I expect their offense to be very good in 2013. The Giants offense is much improved from last year, and that has meant a lot of overs. Ryan Vogelsong and Julio Tehran have been struggling to find their best stuff this year, so it seems strange to see such a low number. The over is 8-0 in the Braves last 8 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 games. The over is 5-0 in Vogelsong's last 5 home starts. In all, a 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Mike Leake isn't an overpowering pitcher, and I think he is the type of guy that this improved Atlanta Braves lineup can put up a bunch of runs against. Mike Minor is an inconsistent lefty who has struggled on the road in his young career. The Cincinnati Reds have been one of the best teams when it comes to hitting lefties in the past couple years. Cincinnati is plenty capable of putting up a big number themselves. The over is 7-0 in Leake's last 7 starts. The over is 7-0 in the Braves last 7 road games. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in umpire Tim Timmons last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays are a very streaky offense and they've put up 18 runs in the past two days. I successfully played the 'over' in yesterday's game between these teams and the game went well over the posted total. Tampa Bay crushes left-handed pitching, and the Rays should hit well against JA Happ here. Both teams should put up several runs in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Toronto Blue Jays lineup should be far better than they have shown of late, but their 10 run output yesterday may be a springboard for better things. Many of the hitters on this team are very streaky, and I think they are very capable of getting on a roll. Tampa Bay isn't a great offense overall, but they have hit left-handers extremely well this year. The Rays are scoring 5.06 runs per game against lefties this season. Mark Buerhle hasn't been very good this year. He has a 6.43 ERA and has given up 44 hits in just 35 innings pitched. The over is 8-1-2 in the Rays last 11 games. This one is set too low. I like the value here. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers both have the ability to score runs in bunches. It was a 7-6 final even when the team's two Aces pitched on Saturday. On Sunday, both teams start pitchers who don't have a very good track record against their oppponent. Jaime Garcia often struggles on the road, and he has a 5.55 ERA at Miller Park. The Brewers average almost 6 runs per game so far this year against lefties. Miguel Estrada has an ERA of 4.58 and this Cardinals lineup is one of the best in the National League. With Jon Jay and Allen Craig coming on, the Cardinals can really put up the runs in bunches. The over is 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 starts in Milwaukee. The over is 4-0 in Estrada's last 4 home starts. The over is 17-5-1 in Garcia's last 23 starts as a road favorite. This total is set too low. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* Chris Tillman and Joe Blanton are both guys who are capable of giving up a lot of runs in a start. These guys put a lot of guys on base and they have both struggled this year. Blanton has an ERA above 7 and this Orioles offense is no longer a weakness. In fact, Baltimore is 5th in the majors in runs scored per game at more than 5 runs per contest. The Angels scored 19 runs in three games in Oakland, and their bats seem to be waking up. This lineup is too good to not hit at some point, and I like this matchup with Tillman. Two good offenses and two shaky starting pitchers here equals some nice value on the over.

The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games. The over is 6-0 in Baltimore's last 6 against a right-handed pitcher. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals have had two low scoring games already in this series (both 2-1 finals), and I think this will be a third straight. Homer Bailey has turned into the pitcher the Reds organization thought he would be years ago, and he is arguably the team's number two starter right now. Bailey has a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lance Lynn has been great for the Cardinals, and he has been amazing at home. Lynn has a 1.38 ERA at home this year, and no one on the Reds roster has hit him very well. Doug Eddings is behind the plate here and you won't find a better 'under' umpire than him. The under is an amazing 25-4 in Eddings last 29 day games. The under is 5-1 in Bailey's last 6 road starts. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Minnesota Twins have been much worse offensively than expected this year, but their starting pitching staff has been much better than expected. Scott Diamond is arguably the team's best young pitcher. Diamond has 3 starts at Comerica Park in Detroit and he has a 2.25 ERA in those games. Anibal Sanchez is pitching extremely well for the Tigers right now. He struck out 17 in his last appearance, and he has a brilliant 1.34 ERA this year. The under is 4-0-1 in the Twins last 5 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in Diamond's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.

*3 Star Clippers/Grizzlies Game 5 Total* The Grizzlies and Clippers have gone 'over' the posted total in 3 of the first 4 games in this series. The one game that stayed under saw both teams shoot just 38% from the floor. The Grizzlies have been dominating inside and getting a lot of easy buckets of late. Los Angeles has been getting a lot of open looks from deep, but they have been unable to hit those shots. Look for them to hit a few more of those open long range jumpers at home in Game 5. The Clippers will try to push the tempo to wear down the Grizzlies. The over is 7-1 in the Clippers last 8 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* It's Game 5 in Brooklyn and the Nets are facing elimination. You certainly wouldn't have seen this coming if you watched Game 1 when the Nets dominated the Bulls. Chicago's come from behind win in Game 4 really took the wind out of Brooklyn's sails. Still, the Nets are a very good team and they won't go down without a fight. As the games get more important in the NBA playoffs (elimination games are a perfect example) the game slows down. The defenses should take control in this one. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks offense was one of the weaker offenses in the National League at the beginning of the year, and it is much weaker now that they are so short-handed. Arizona is without Kubel, Eaton, Hill, and Bloomquist. Jon Garland isn't a dominating pitcher for Colorado, but he should be able to hold this DBacks lineup down. Patrick Corbin is one of the most impressive young pitchers in the game. Corbin has a spectacular 1.71 ERA so far this year, and I expect big things from him moving forward. Chase Field isn't nearly as big of a hitters ballpark with the roof closed (and it will be closed on Sunday). The under is 7-0-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Colorado's last 4 games. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds should finish the season with some of the best offensive numbers in the National League. Having said that, the Reds have totaled just one hit in each of their last two games in Washington. Dan Haren isn't the same pitcher he used to be, and I fully expect the Reds to be much better against him in this one. Mike Leake has a terrible history against Washington, and Leake lacks that dominating pitch to strike batters out. The over is 5-0-1 in Leake's last 6 starts against Washington. The over is 6-0 in the Reds last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ivan Nova and Josh Johnson have both been struggling in a big way this year. Both of them come into this one with an ERA above 6 and a WHIP higher than 1.8. That tells me that these guys are constantly working with runners on base. They are fighting hard to avoid the big inning. Both of these offenses are better than the average MLB offense and big innings in this one shouldn't be a surprise. The Blue Jays hitters have some great career numbers against Nova. Recent unders have given us line value on this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago Cubs and Miami Marlins may have the two worst offenses in the National League. Miami is averaging just 2.57 runs per game. The Cubs are averaging 3.25 runs per game. Kevin Slowey has been pitching well against quality competition of late, and Edwin Jackson has been good on the road in his career. The under is 4-1 in the Cubs last 5. The under is 12-4-1 in the Marlins last 17 home games. The under is 4-0 in Slowey's last 4 starts. Look for an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* Edinson Volquez has been one of baseball's worst pitchers so far this year. Volquez has an ERA of 8.84 so far this year. The Brewers offense is really clicking right now and that is bad news for Volquez. Marco Estrada doesn't have overpowering stuff and he routinely gives up 3 or 4 runs in a game. Paul Emmel is the home plate umpire here, and the over was a stunning 27-6 in his 33 games behind home plate last season. It should be noted that PetCo Park has moved in the fences this year and Padres' home games will likely be quite a bit higher scoring this year than last. The over is already 5-2-1 their this season. The over is 9-0 in the Brewers last 9 road games against a team with a winning percentage less than 40%. The over is 4-0 in the Padres last 4 home games against a righty. The over is 6-0 in Estrada's last 6 starts on the road against a team with a losing record. Take the over here.

*3 Star Rockets/Thunder Total Domination* The Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder got to 211 points in Game One despite awful shooting numbers from Houston. The Rockets made 8 out of 36 three's and just 36% of their shots overall in that game. You have to think they'll hit more shots than that here. The Thunder should keep scoring against Houston's very poor defense, and both of these teams love to run and gun. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Look for a score near 220 here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros have two of the worst offenses in baseball. These two teams have a really tough time stringing together many hits, so they are reliant on home runs to score. The problem for both of them is they really don't have many home run hitters. Joe Saunders pitched a shutout against the Astros earlier this year. Lucas Harrell has been great at home since the beginning of last year. The under is 8-3 in Harrell's last 11 home starts. The under is 5-2 in the Mariners last 7 road games. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks are one of the lightest hitting teams in baseball right now. The DBacks didn't have a good offense to start with, and now they are without three of their top hitters due to injuries. At the same time, Arizona's pitching staff is very good. Wade Miley has been great since he arrived in Arizona last year. Miley has been consistently very good. Ryan Vogelsong has been great at home over the past two years and I think he'll be good against this short-handed Arizona offense. The under is 7-0 in the DBacks last 7 games. The under is 8-0 in the DBacks last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Justin Masterson has been great so far this year for the Cleveland Indians. Masterson has pitched two brilliant games in three outings this year. One of those was a complete game shutout against the White Sox. Masterson has a brilliant 2.60 ERA in 7 career starts at US Cellular Field in Chicago. The White Sox offense has been ice cold of late. Dylan Axelrod has been steadily improving as a starter, and he has the stuff to be a quality pitcher for the Sox. The wind will be blowing in for this one. The under is 6-0-1 in the White Sox last 7 games. Take the under here.

*3 Star Lakers/Spurs Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers are a totally different team without Kobe Bryant. They don't just lose his 27 points per game, but they also lose his leadership. If the last two regular season games are any example, the Lakers won't play nearly as fast without Bryant in the lineup. Dwight Howard and Pau Gasol will be a much bigger part of the offense which should mean the Lakers will play more in the half court. San Antonio will have all their main guys back, but they aren't all 100 percent healthy. These two teams have a solid history of picking up the defense when they match up against each other. The under is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings between these teams. Take the under.

*3 Star Bulls/Nets Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls and Brooklyn Nets play the same style of basketball. Both teams like to slow the game down and win with their defense. The tempo should be even slower than it was in the regular season, because the defenses pick up their intensity in the playoffs. Both of these teams rank in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. Chicago can't win a game by outscoring the opponent, and Tom Thibodeau knows that. They'll be short-handed in this one, but they should still play good defense. I made this total 178 points. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Los Angeles Angels offense has been slumping all year, and everyone has been waiting for them to break out of it. The Angels piled on the runs late in last night's game to win 8-1 over Detroit. By scoring 5 runs late in the game, you have to wonder if this team didn't just open up the flood gates. This Angels offense is too good to struggle for too terribly long. The Tigers offense has the highest batting average in baseball. Umpire Paul Emmel saw the over go 27-6 in his 33 games behind the dish last year. Rick Porcello and Garrett Richards are both capable of giving up the big inning and these are two strong offenses. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 following a loss. The over is 4-0-1 in Porcello's last 5 starts. The over is 6-0 in the Angels last 6 against a team with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets are playing like a team with a lot of confidence right now. On paper, Washington may have the best team in baseball. The Mets won last night's big pitching showdown as Matt Harvey pitched a gem. Several New York Mets players have a decent history against Gio Gonzalez who will start Saturday's game for the Nationals. Jeremy Hefner has an ERA of almost 6 against Washington in his young career. The wind is expected to be blowing out at nearly 20 miles per hour during this game, and we have a solid over umpire in Gerry Davis. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* Patrick Corbin might not be a name that very many people know right now, but the young DBacks pitcher has a great future ahead of him. He was one of the top prospects for Arizona for several years, and he looks terrific early this season. The Yankees offense is obviously not the same without guys like ARod, Tex, Granderson, and Jeter. Arizona's lineup is one of the weakest in baseball, and I expect them to play a lot of low scoring games this year. Ron Kulpa is one of the better 'under' umpires in baseball. He has a wide strike zone and both Corbin and Phil Hughes should be able to take advantage of that. Both pitchers have pitched well with Kulpa behind the plate in the past. The under is 6-0 in the Yankees last 6 home games. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New York. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks have one of the weakest lineups in baseball right now. Jason Kubel, Adam Eaton, and Aaron Hill are all on the DL. The Yankees have tons of hitting stars on the DL. Wade Miley has continually defied the odds and pitched well in his first two years in the majors. He has an ERA of 1.60 in the month of April in his young career. C.C. Sabathia is in form early this year, and the DBacks have been struggling to score runs of late (3 or less in 3 of their last 4 games). It will be a cool night in the Bronx and the wind is expected to be blowing in. Phil Cuzzi is behind the dish and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the majors. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the DBacks last 4 Interleague road games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams in New York. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jason Vargas and Mike Pelfrey are both pitchers who are extremely inconsistent. Both of them are capable of giving up a very big inning at any time. Pelfrey should struggle to get through the Angels very strong lineup. At the same time, Vargas has always struggled on the road and in three starts in Minnesota his ERA is above 8. The over is 7-0-1 in the Twins last 8 games after giving up 2 runs or less in the previous game. Basically, the Twins pitching staff is terrible and it is tough for them to string together too many strong outings. The over is 6-0-1 in the Angels last 7 as a road favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 Tuesday games. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Houston Rockets have been the fastest paced team in the NBA for the season, but the Phoenix Suns have actually been playing faster than them over the last couple weeks. Lindsay Hunter's team doesn't have anything to play, and they aren't playing any defense right now. The Suns have been giving up points in huge bunches, and Houston can pile up the points. This game definitely means something to the Rockets who are trying to improve their playoff seed in the Western Conference. I had this one pegged at 215 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have a new style of play under Coach Lindsay Hunter. Phoenix is pushing the tempo at every opportunity. The Suns are scoring a lot more points than they were, but they are also terrible on the defensive end. Phoenix has given up more than 110 points six times in the past month. Minnesota is getting some great play from guard Ricky Rubio. Under Rubio's leadership, Minnesota has been much more efficient on offense of late.This is a game between two teams that have nothing to play for at this point. Don't expect any defense. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* This is a matchup of two teams who are likely to be contenders all season long. They played twelve innings last night with Oakland winning 4-3. Both teams will be looking for a lot of innings from their starting pitcher, which shouldn't be a problem for Justin Verlander or Brett Anderson. Verlander has been baseball's most dominant pitcher over the last few years. Anderson has been injured a lot, but when he is healthy, he is an extremely good pitcher. Anderson has been especially dominant at home. Verlander has an ERA of right around 2 in his career against Oakland. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams in Oakland. The under is 6-1 in Verlander's last 7 starts in Oakland. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Dodgers offense is better this year, but without Hanley Ramirez healthy they aren't what they will be later in the year. The bottom of the order for the Dodgers is among the worst in baseball, and that is holding them back right now. The Dodgers pitching staff has been the best in the majors so far this year. Clayton Kershaw hasn't given up a run this year, and the Arizona offense isn't going to scare anyone. Patrick Corbin is a budding star for the DBacks, and I expect a quality start from him. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The New York Knicks offense is absolutely on fire right now. The Knicks are a jump shooting team that can score points as well as anyone in the NBA when they are on, and right now they are on in a big way. Cleveland has quit playing any kind of defense down the stretch, and the Cavs like to play the game fast. Look for lots of open looks for the Knicks here. Kyrie Irving and the Cavs should be able to put up enough for this one to go over. Take the over. *This line has moved up quickly since I picked it Thursday afternoon- I would play this game up to 206, but no higher*

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* The Oakland A's offense was one of the worst in baseball last year and the team still managed to get into the playoffs by winning the extremely difficult AL West. The offense has been much much better so far this year. How good have they been? Oakland is first in the majors in runs scored per game at 6.44 runs per game. They obviously won't keep up that pace, but this offense is better than last year. Chris Young and Jed Lowrie were very good additions for the lineup. The Angels arguably have the best lineup in baseball with Trout, Pujols, Hamilton, and others. Jason Vargas dominated at home in Seattle, but he struggled on the road. Vargas won't have quite as friendly of a home field now, and he hasn't been good against Oakland in the past. A.J. Griffin dominated last year, but I think he comes back to earth a bit this season.

The over is 8-0 in Oakland's last 8 games overall. The over is 5-0-1 in Griffin's last 6 starts. The over is 9-0-2 in the Angels last 11 games as a favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in the Angels last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-2 in the Angels last 7 games after scoring at least 5 runs in the previous game. In all, a perfect 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The Oakland Athletics and Los Angeles Angels put a lot of runners on the bases last night, and I think they will again in this one. Tom Milone has been lights out at home in his young career, but he hasn't been very good at all on the road. The Angels offense hasn't clicked perfectly just yet, but they are mighty dangerous. Joe Blanton is absolutely capable of getting lit up by anyone at this point in his career, and the A's bats are looking better this year than they did last season. The over is 7-0 in Oakland's last 7 games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 against the AL West. The over is 3-0-2 in the Angels last 5 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been pushing the tempo more than any other team in the NBA over the past few weeks. Lindsay Hunter has gotten this team to run and gun, but he hasn't gotten them to play any defense just yet. Dallas' offense is great this year with Mayo, Nowitzki, Carter, etc. The Mavericks are absolutely capable of putting up 120 points on a team like the Suns. Phoenix has been absolutely horrendous on the road of late. The over is a perfect 5-0 in the Suns last 5 games playing on zero days of rest. They were beaten last night in Houston. The over is 5-1-1 in the Mavericks last 7 home games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we have a combination of two things working in our favor. The Twins and Royals both have a much better offense than pitching staff and both of these teams are starting guys near the bottom of their rotation in this one. Liam Hendriks was beat around all season last year, and the Royals have several guys who have had lots of success against him. Wade Davis has never been very successful in his attempts to be a starting pitcher in the majors. I think both offenses should be able to quite a bit of damage in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Tampa Bay Rays lost on a brutal call by home plate umpire Marty Foster in last night's game. I expect Joe Maddon's team to be ready to play in this one. Nick Tepesch will be making his major league debut for the Rangers. Tepesch only had a 4.28 ERA in Double A last year, so I'm not convinced he can consistently get out big league hitters right now. Roberto Hernandez will be pitching for Tampa Bay, and he has an ERA over 5 in his career against Texas. The wind tunnel effect in Texas (wind in from right) has caused a lot of high scoring games in the past and the ball should be flying well in this one. The over is 6-0-1 in the Rangers last 7 home games against a righty. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 as an underdog of +110 to +150. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Memphis Grizzlies have been getting back to the basics over the past week. Memphis struggled for a couple weeks and it was their defense that let them down. Now, they are back to playing the kind of defense that has them leading the league in points per game allowed. Charlotte has given up on this season, and the Bobcats are short-handed right now. I don't expect Charlotte to get above 85 points here. Memphis should be content to just win and move on to their next game with fresh legs rather than running this one up. The under is 5-0 in the Grizzlies last 5. The under is 19-9 in the Bobcats last 28 road games. Take the under.

*3 Star Michigan/Louisville Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Louisville Cardinals will play for the NCAA Basketball Championship on Monday night. It's no surprise that Louisville is here as they were the top seed overall, but Michigan is a small surprise here as a number four seed. The young Wolverines have really hit their stride in the NCAA Tournament.

Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals also have what is arguably the best defense in college basketball. Russ Smith and Peyton Siva are defensive pests on the perimeter, and there isn't a better defensive center in the nation than Gorgui Dieng. Dieng should make it tough for Mitch McGary to score down low in this one, and he'll cut down on Trey Burke's ability to penetrate.

Louisville generally scores a lot of points off of opponents turnovers, but Michigan turns the ball over less than any team in the country. Michigan has plenty of ball handlers, and I expect them to handle the Louisville pressure relatively well.

On a neutral floor like this one and in a game of this magnitude, we often see the game slow down. Louisville likes to push the tempo, but the Cardinals offense isn't all that great in the halfcourt. If Michigan takes care of the ball, Louisville isn't likely to get nearly as many easy looks as they are accustomed to getting.

I had this one projected at 135 points. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Minnesota Twins have the worst pitching staff in the American League (and probably the majors overall as well). Kansas City has been expected to rise in the AL Central over the past couple years, but it has been their pitching that has held them back each season. Kansas City's offense exploded for 25 runs in their three-game series in Philadelphia, and I do expect the Royals to score a lot of runs this year.

Minnesota's offense isn't great, but when you have Mauer, Willingham, and Morneau in the middle of the order, you are going to put together some good innings. Ervin Santana hasn't been trustworthy over the last couple years, and he was very shaky in his debut for the Royals.

Kevin Correia doesn't have dominating stuff, and I expect the Royals to be able to get to him in this one. It doesn't hurt that the wind is expected to be blowing out on a Spring afternoon in Kansas City. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Brett Anderson has the stuff to be one of the best pitcher in the American League. When Anderson is healthy he can dominate almost any lineup. He only gave up two runs in this first start of the season and he looked completely healthy. Houston has arguably the worst offense in all of baseball, and it won't surprise me a bit if Anderson complete shuts down the Astros. Lucas Harrell has quietly put together a nice stretch against Houston over the past year. Harrell had a lot of success last year despite pitching on a terrible team. He had an ERA below 2.5 at home last year. Neither offense is strong and both pitchers are consistently good. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks got rid of a lot of offense in the offseason. The Diamondbacks are going to win quite a few games this year because of their pitching staff, but I suspect a lot of those games are going to stay under the total. Ian Kennedy has turned into one of the better pitchers in the National League the past couple years. He has consistently put up nice numbers against everyone. Yovani Gallardo is a solid pitcher, and his numbers against Arizona are nothing short of stellar. Gallardo owns a 1.02 ERA against the Diamondbacks in 6 career starts. Ryan Braun may miss this game again and Aramis Ramirez is definitely out, so the Brewers offense is short-handed. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts against the DBacks. The under is 4-1 in Kennedy's last 5 starts against Milwaukee. The under is 7-1-1 in Paul Nauert's (a solid under umpire with a relatively large strike zone) last 9 games behind home plate.

*3 Star Michigan/Syracuse Final 4 Total Domination* The Michigan Wolverines and Syracuse Orange will meet in the late game Saturday night in Atlanta. Michigan pulled off the best comeback of the NCAA Tournament against Kansas, and then dominated Florida. Syracuse took down the number one seeded Indiana Hoosiers and then dismantled Marquette in a really ugly game in the Elite 8 last Saturday.

While it is conventional wisdom to say that Michigan matches up well against Syracuse because the Wolverines have so many three-point shooters, that might not actually be the case. Syracuse has so much length that opposing offenses don't get good three-point opportunities. What they get is contested low percentage three-point shots. In fact, Syracuse allowed opponents to shoot only 28% from beyond the arc this year, which is third best in the nation.

Syracuse and Michigan are both comfortable playing at a slow tempo, and things normally slow down even more for games of this kind of importance. Syracuse is excellent defensively, but their offense isn't all that impressive. The Orange have perfected the matchup zone, which makes transition chances few and far between for their opponents.

None of Syracuse's postseason games have even gotten close to this posted total. I had this one projected at 127. Take the under here.

*3 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have decided to take a chance on Jonathan Sanchez this year. Sanchez was awful last year for both Kansas City and Colorado. Sanchez had a 9.53 ERA in Colorado and a 7.56 ERA in Kansas City. The problem with Sanchez is his control is horrible. He can't locate the zone in crucial parts of the game, and he misses his location inside the zone a lot as well. Zack Greinke had an ERA above 5.5 this Spring. Greinke was beat up pretty good by the Pirates in his only start against them last year. A total of 7 is usually indicative of a couple Aces against light hitting teams. In this one, we get a total of 7 with two pitchers with big question marks. I like the value here on the over. Take the over.

*5 Star NBA TOP Play Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns have really started to push the tempo of late, and the oddsmakers haven't been able to catch up to them. Lindsay Hunter's team is putting up shots quickly, and they aren't playing much defense at all. How bad has the Suns defense been? Phoenix has given up at least 112 points in 5 of their last 9 games. That's a ridiculously high number, and a team like Golden State is capable of scoring 115 or 120 on Phoenix. Golden State shoots the three ball as well as anyone in the league, and Phoenix gives up lots of open looks. The over is 9-2 in Golden State's last 11 against the Western Conference. The over is 5-1 in the Suns last 6 games. I made this one 207 points. Take the over big! *Note- This total has moved up steadily since I grabbed it on the open Thursday. I would play this one all the way up to 205 points*

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates both have weak lineups. Pittsburgh's PNC Park is a pitcher-friendly ballpark, especially at this time of the season. It should be in the upper 40's with the wind blowing in during this one according to current weather reports. James McDonald has been an underrated starter for Pittsburgh over the last few years. McDonald struggled down the stretch last year, but his history is that he pitches his best in April. Travis Wood is a decent lefty, and the Pirates have struggled against lefties the past few seasons. The under is 7-0 in Pittsburgh's last 7 games. The under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams in Pittsburgh. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates lats 4 against the NL Central. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics are two of the lightest hitting teams in the majors. Doug Eddings has the single biggest strike zone of any umpire in the Majors, and he has been an 'under' bettors best friend for many years. Joe Saunders and Tommy Milone are two lefties who try to paint on the corners a lot. That should serve them well in this one with Eddings behind the dish. Milone was dominating at home last year, and the Mariners haven't hit him well at all in the past. Saunders is a fly ball pitcher, and it's very tough to hit it out in this ballpark (especially early in the season). The under is 5-0 in Milone's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in Milone's last 5 starts against Seattle. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies are a team that I expect to be playing a lot of overs with this year. A combination of an impressive offense and a horrendous pitching staff should lead to a lot of high scoring games for Colorado. The Rockies have Juan Nicasio on the hill tonight, and he has yet to prove anything in his short MLB career. Nicasio faces a talented Brewers lineup tonight. Peralta starts for Milwaukee and he is a talented young prospect, but I don't think he is polished just yet. The Rockies aren't an easy lineup to ease into the Majors against. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The over is 5-0 in home plate umpire Tony Randazzo's last 5 games behind home plate. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Milwaukee Bucks have been a very good running team all year, and they have been even faster paced since Jim Boylan took over the team. Boylan is using Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis to really speed up the game for his team. Minnesota has been playing faster of late as well with Ricky Rubio really coming into his own as a point guard. The Timberwolves play virtually no defense, which should mean a big number here for the Bucks. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games following a win. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jaime Garcia has been a very good pitcher at home, but his road numbers in his career aren't very good at all. In fact, he has a 4.47 ERA in his career on the road. Arizona's lineup isn't all that good this year, but Chase Field is a hitters paradise with the roof open and low humidity early in the year. The ball flies very well in this park with the roof open. Trevor Cahill struggled with the roof open last year, and the Cardinals have one of the best lineups in the National League. The over is 9-2 in Garcia's last 11 road starts against a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in the Cardinals last 8 as a road underdog. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Colorado Rockies are going to be one of the worst teams in the National League this year, but it won't be because of a bad offense. With Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez in the middle of the lineup, this team is going to score runs. The problem is they have an awful starting rotation and very shaky bullpen. Marco Estrada pitched pretty well last year for the Brewers, but I think he comes back to earth a bit this year. At the same time, the Brewers have some a good lineup with Braun, Weeks, Ramirez, and others. Jorge De La Rosa has never been a dominating pitcher, and he doesn't have that put away pitch. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The over is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 starts. The over is 11-1 in Estrada's last 12 starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Duke/Louisville Total Domination* The Duke Blue Devils and Louisville Cardinals met in an early season tournament in Nassau. Duke won that game 76-71. The Blue Devils made 23 free throws to Louisville's 9 made free throws. The shooting percentages were pretty normal for both teams in that game, and the final total got up to 147. Louisville's defense is very good, but that doesn't always equal low scoring games. The Cardinals full court pressure speeds up the game, and Duke loves to play fast this year. Duke has four or five guys who are capable of lighting it up from deep. Louisville's Russ Smith is playing the best basketball of his career right now. We'll get plenty of pace here, and unless the shooting numbers are terrible this one should go over. I made this one 141 points. The over is 7-0 in Louisville's last 7 games. The over is 7-0 in Duke's last 7 against the Big East. The over is 9-0 in Louisville's last 9 games played at a neutral site. Take the over.

*3 Star Elite 8 Total Domination* The Wichita State Shockers are now the biggest Cinderella left in the NCAA Tournament. The Shockers are a better team than their record indicates, and they aren't afraid of anyone. On the other side, Ohio State has been as clutch as anyone in the tournament with two clutch game winners in their last two games. Both of these teams have been shooting about 50% from three-point range in their first three games in the NCAA Tournament, which has made their games much higher scoring than normal. That hot shooting has propped this total up to a higher number than it truly should be. Both of these teams are very good defensively and open shots should be tough to come by. Neither of these teams really like to run, so this could be a grind it out close game the whole way. The under is 6-0 in Ohio State's last 6 Saturday games. Take the under. *Note- This line has moved down since I played the under on Friday. I would take this one as low as 128.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Oregon/Louisville Total Domination* The Oregon Ducks and Louisville Cardinals both like to push the tempo. Oregon has drawn two favorable matchups in their first two NCAA Tournament games. The Ducks one primary weakness is taking care of the ball against teams who use pressure defense. Louisville arguably has the best pressure defense in the nation. The Cardinals will full court press and force Artis and Loyd of Oregon into bad decisions. Louisville should get a lot of easy transition buckets in this one. Oregon has plenty of depth, and the Ducks can score in the half court. A number like this one is usually set aside only for games between teams who like to slow it down and/or can't score very well offensively. I don't think that fits in a matchup between these two teams who both rank in the top 1/3 of the nation in terms of pace. The over is 6-0 in Louisville's last 6 games. The over is 8-0 in the Cardinals last 8 neutral site games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* The Richmond Spiders and Wright State Raiders meet Monday night in the CBI post-season tournament. Wright State has the home court advantage, and the Raiders like to slow the game down and win with their strong defense. Richmond is also more comfortable playing at a slow pace. The smaller post-season tournaments have been trending very high scoring, which gives us some good value on the under here. With two teams who use up the shot clock, I think the oddsmakers have adjusted this number a little too high. The under is 5-1 in Richmond's last 6 Monday games. The under is 4-1 in Wright State's last 5 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Florida Gulf Coast has been March Madness's biggest Cinderella this year. Gulf Coast dominated the majority of the game against Georgetown, and this team has now won two games against number two seeds in this year's tournament field (their other win was against Miami). San Diego State played a great second half to take down Oklahoma on Friday night. Both Gulf Coast and San Diego State prefer to play at a very quick pace. The oddsmakers have put a number on this game that would require both teams to shoot a low percentage from the floor. I made this one 136 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAABB Early Bird Special* The Virginia Cavaliers has always been one of the slowest paced teams in the nation under coach Tony Bennett. St. Johns likes to speed the game up a bit, but they are very poor on the offensive end. For the season, St. Johns is shooting 27 percent from 3-point range. St. Johns is much better on the defensive end. Even though they like to push the tempo, their games are often low-scoring. The extremely early start time is helpful to an under. These kids virtually never play a game at 11:00 AM Eastern time. The under is 5-0 in St. Johns last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last five road games. Under is 16-5 in Virginia's last 21 non-conference games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* This is a smaller postseason tournament play. I made this line 147 points. *Note-The line is quickly moving up here since I released this play two days ago. I would play this one up to 145 points.* Take the over!

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Minnesota Timberwolves and Phoenix Suns met on February 26. In that game, the Suns won 84-83 in overtime. In regulation, the score was just 77 to 77. Phoenix has been giving up a ton of points on the road, but the Suns have been good defensively at home of late. Their home/road splits are pretty amazing for how much lower they are on their home floor. Minnesota is very short-handed right now, and the Timberwolves don't have enough firepower to put up a big number very often. The under is 8-2 in Minnesota's last 10 games overall. The under is 22-4 in the Suns last 26 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 games when their opponent gives up more than 100 points in the previous game. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The North Carolina Tar Heels found themselves late in the year by going uptempo and going with a smaller lineup. Marcus Paige really came into his own at the point guard spot. Paige was a liability on offense early in the year, but he is shooting well and leading the fast break very well now. Villanova's young guards are very turnover prone, and North Carolina can force turnovers and score in bunches. The Wildcats don't have it in them to slow the game down, so I expect a lot of fast paced basketball in this matchup. My numbers made this total 147 points. Look for a tight game with free throws late to push it over. The over is 4-0 in UNC's last 4 neutral site games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Wisconsin Badgers are one of my favorite 'under' teams in the nation. Bo Ryan's team knows how to get the lead with their strong defense and then take the air out of the ball by running the clock and not turning it over. Mississippi is a high scoring team, but they haven't played against teams like Wisconsin in the SEC. Mississippi was running up high point totals against the likes of Auburn, South Carolina, and Mississippi State. Wisconsin was busy locking down very good Big Ten teams. Look for Wisconsin's defense to frustrate Marshall Henderson and the Rebels. Wisconsin should get the lead and then grab control of the tempo. The under is 5-0 in Mississippi's last 5 following an ATS win. the under is 4-0 in the Rebels last 4. The under is 7-2 in the Badgers last 9 against the SEC. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The VCU Rams are a terrible matchup for the Akron Zips right now. Akron is now without star point guard Alex Abreu. Without Abreu, Akron will have to rely on a freshman point guard and their big men to try to get the ball upcourt through VCU's Havoc full court pressure. It won't be easy. At the same time, Akron will have a massive advantage on the boards here. VCU struggles badly on the defensive glass. Look for the Rams to get easy opportunities off the press and the Zips to get easy opportunities on second chance shots inside the paint. I made this total 139. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* My numbers had this game at 135 points. Earlier this year these teams played to a 151 point total. The NCAA Tournament slows things down a bit, but not enough to warrant this extremely low total. UNLV played in a league with a lot of teams who slowed down the pace, but the Rebels are definitely at their best when running the fast break. Cal 's Allen Crabbe is the best pure scorer in this game, and I don't see anyone on the UNLV roster that can slow him down. Transition opportunities for both teams should present themselves early and often in this game. The over is 5-1 Cal's last 6 against the MWC. The over is 6-2 in UNLV's last 8 against the PAC 12. Take the over in a big way here!

*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie BEATDOWN* The South Dakota State Jackrabbits are in the NCAA Tournament for a second straight year. They gave Baylor a scare in the first game last year, and they should be competitive here. South Dakota State shoots 40% from beyond the arc, and Michigan often leaves guys open outside. The Wolverines are an extremely efficient offensive team, and South Dakota State's defense has struggled all year. The Jackrabbits gave up more than 80 points in a game numerous times this year. They allowed more than 85 points in five games. Michigan will put up the points with their well balanced attack. Look for good shooting from both teams. The over is 10-2-1 in Michigan's last 13 neutral site games. The over is 12-3 in South Dakota State's last 15 non-conference games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Panthers are usually known as a defensive minded team, and they are even more that way this season. Jamie Dixon's team plays great defense and slows the game down on the offensive end. Wichita State's defense is very good, and the Shockers should be able to hang with Pitt in this one. This has the feel of a game that stays close all the way, and the winner of this game probably won't get out of the 50's. I made this total 116. *Note- This line has dropped quickly since I released the play on Sunday night- I would play the total down to 118.5 but no lower*

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UC Irvine Anteaters have a lot of veterans on their team this year, and they almost made the NCAA Tournament. In the end, they fell in the title game to Pacific. I think Irvine will be fighting hard to keep winning in this small postseason tournament. The Anteaters offense is much better at home, and High Point's defense isn't particularly impressive. Both of these teams are comfortable playing a quick pace. I made this line 136. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up here since I released this play on Monday afternoon. I would play this one up to 134.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The smaller postseason tournaments often have a lot of games that go over the posted total. Teams decide to pick up the tempo since there isn't as much left to play for. UT Arlington has been playing pretty fast of late anyways, so I was surprised to see a number this low thrown out on this game. I made this one 135 points. Take the over. *Note- This line has quickly moved up since I released the play on Monday afternoon. I would suggest playing this one up to 133, but not any higher.*

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs use full court pressure to force the tempo, and Florida State should be glad to run in this one as well. These NIT games often go higher scoring than a regular scoring game, and I think this one could go well over this total. *Note- This line has moved quickly since I selected it at the open. I would play this total up to 143.* Take the over.

*3 Star NIT Total Domination* The Eastern Kentucky Colonels and Gardner Webb Runnin' Bulldogs are both very comfortable playing at a slow tempo. These NIT games are typically higher scoring than a regular season game, so we get a nice value on the under. Since both teams have played so slow during the year, I don't see these teams drastically speeding up here. Gardner Webb is a particularly low scoring team, and they will be the home team here. The under is 6-0-1 in Gardner's last 7 non-conference games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors had been struggling in a big way of late, but last night's 108-78 win in Houston was just what the doctor ordered for this team. Golden State shoots the three-ball better than anyone in the NBA, and the Hornets don't guard the perimeter well. New Orleans' offense has been much better in the last few weeks, and they have been a very solid over team of late. The first two meetings between these two this year have finished at 199 and 228 points. The over is 7-1 in the Hornets last 8 home games. The over is 9-1 in the Warriors last 10 against a team with a winning percentage below 40%. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in New Orleans. Take the over.

*3 Star Early Bird Special* The Miami Heat's huge winning streak is well documented, but most people don't realize that it is their improved defense that is leading their team to victory. Miami is capable of playing the best defense in the NBA when they are extremely motivated. There is no doubt that this team wants to keep the winning streak alive so I expect to see a strong defensive performance in this one. Toronto is better on the defensive end since they picked up Rudy Gay. The Raptors shouldn't want to get into an up and down game with the Heat. The under is 4-0 in the Heat's last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Toronto's last 6 against the Southeast Division. The under is 4-0 in Toronto's last 4 home games. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns have started playing a little bit more defense for new coach Lindsay Hunter. The Suns aren't playing particularly fast, and their offense is one of the least efficient in the NBA. Washington continues to baffle the oddsmakers by playing so many games that finish under the total this year. The under is 38-23-3 in the Wizards games this year. Washington actually ranks third in the NBA in field goal percentage defense. Their new high intensity defense should keep this one low scoring as well. Look for a lot of missed shots from both teams. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. The under is 6-1 in the Suns last 7 against a team with a losing record. Take the under.