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Kyle Hunter ALL Sports Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
03-23-12 Phoenix Suns v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 196 113-111 Loss -110 6 h 8 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* The Phoenix Suns aren't the same team they used to be. It's not that the Suns are a bad team now, but they really just can't run the way they used to. Steve Nash and Grant Hill have both aged quite a bit, and the Suns rely more on a half court game. Indiana is a solid defensive team, especially at home. The Pacers allow just 91.2 points per game at home. The Suns average just 93.3 per game on the road. The under is 8-0 so far this year when a team is on the second game of a back-to-back-to-back scheduling spot. Indiana is in that spot today. Take the under.
03-23-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. Charlotte Bobcats OVER 202.5 112-92 Win 100 6 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NBA Tempo Total* The Milwaukee Bucks are going to be pushing the tempo like no other team now. Scott Skiles' team has been pushing it pretty well all year, but they really have the backcourt to push the tempo now that they added Monta Ellis. The over is 7-1 in the Bucks last 8 games. Their game last night went under, but that was because Boston contested their shots and hurt their shooting percentage. Charlotte won't play good defense here, and I think the Bobcats will run with the Bucks. Take the over in this one.
03-22-12 Florida v. Marquette OVER 146 68-58 Loss -110 82 h 41 m Show
*3 Star Tournament Top Total* Marquette is a team I have liked to play the 'over' with all season. The Golden Eagles are great in transition and they don't waste many possessions. Florida can shoot it extremely well from deep, and Billy Donovan's team isn't likely to try to slow the game down very much here. I projected this total at 150 points. Both backcourts will get their points here, and Crowder should have a big game against a thin Gators frontcourt. The over is 15-3 in the Gators last 18 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in Marquette's last 8 games as the favorite. Take the over here.
03-22-12 Boston Celtics v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 197.5 100-91 Loss -110 29 h 43 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks may become the single fastest paced team in the NBA now. Scott Skiles already had his team pushing the tempo as much as possible, then they added Monta Ellis who can run and fill it up in a hurry. Boston is actually playing a little quicker than they have in the past, and I think this pace will be fast. Milwaukee is averaging 112 points per game in their last five games. The over is 23-7 in the Bucks last 30 games. I would play this over all the way up to 202 points. Take the over.
03-22-12 Golden State Warriors v. Houston Rockets UNDER 197 83-109 Win 100 19 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* The Golden State Warriors got rid of Monta Ellis, and now Stephen Curry is out of the lineup with an injury. Mark Jackson's team is short-handed right now, and Jackson wants them to slow the tempo down and work hard on the defensive end. Houston has been a solid 'under' team at home this year. I expect the tempo here to be slower than most are projecting. Kevin Martin missing is big for the Rockets. Neither team has their top offensive players. Look for this one to finish under the posted total.
03-22-12 Louisville v. Michigan State OVER 125 57-44 Loss -108 20 h 37 m Show
*3 Star Louisville/Michigan State Total Takedown* This is a matchup of two of the best coaches in the game right now. I believe Tom Izzo is the best coach in the nation. Rick Pitino does a great job getting the most out of his team as well. Louisville will use the full court press here, and Michigan State does turn it over more than usual this year so the Cardinals could get some easy baskets. Tom Izzo is saying in the press this week that he wants the Spartans to run with the Cardinals. I think the pace here will be enough to push this one over a very low total. Take the over here.
03-21-12 Washington State v. Oregon State OVER 149 72-55 Loss -108 22 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Domination* Washington State and Oregon State met three times during the regular season. Two of the three meetings easily went over this posted total. The only game that didn't was in the PAC 12 Tournament at Staples Center. Oregon State's guards are terrific at pushing the pace, especially on their home floor. Washington State will have to score points if they are going to hang around in this game. The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 home games. The over is 5-2 in Washington State's last 7 road games. Take the over.
03-21-12 Los Angeles Clippers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 197.5 91-114 Loss -110 19 h 46 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* Since Chauncey Billups went down the Los Angeles Clippers offense has taken a hit. The Clippers are averaging just 90.8 points per game in their last five contests. At the same time, the Clippers have picked up their defensive intensity. They are allowing just 89.8 points per game in their last five. The Clippers are in the middle game of a back-to-back-to-back scheduling spot. The middle game of this spot has seen 21 unders and just 7 overs so far this season. Look for a slower pace and an under here.
03-21-12 New York Knicks v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 192.5 82-79 Win 100 18 h 21 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The New York Knicks aren't the same team they were under Mike D'Antoni. Coach Mike Woodson likes to get the half court game working rather than running the floor and pushing the tempo constantly. I think there is quite a bit of value on the under with the Knicks right now. The 76ers have been an under machine at home. The under is 23-8 in their last 31 home games. In addition, the under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at Philly between these two teams. Look for a slower game than most expect. Take the under.
03-21-12 Robert Morris v. Fairfield UNDER 125.5 61-67 Loss -103 17 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Throughout the smaller postseason tournaments the 'over' has been dominant for the most part, but Robert Morris and Fairfield have both stuck to their slower pace. Both teams rely on their strong defense to win them games. Fairfield has allowed 56 and 57 points in their two postseason games. Robert Morris has given up 60 and 51 points. The under is 5-0 in Robert Morris' last 5 non-conference games. The under is 5-1 in Fairfield's last 6 home games. Take the under in this one.
03-20-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. Portland Trail Blazers OVER 206 116-87 Loss -114 20 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks have sped up the tempo in a big way this year, and I think the acquisition of Monta Ellis will make this Bucks team one of the fastest in the NBA. A backcourt of Brandon Jennings and Ellis is certainly one that can push the tempo with the best of them. Ellis doesn't play much defense at all, and I think the Bucks will allow more points now. Portland's defense has been horrendous of late. They are giving up 102.4 per game in their last 5. Milwaukee is scoring 112.8 per game in their last five. The over is 7-0 in the Bucks last 7 road games. The over is 5-0 in the Blazers last 5 as a home favorite of 5 points or less. The over is also 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the over here.
03-20-12 Memphis Grizzlies v. Sacramento Kings OVER 201.5 110-119 Win 100 9 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Sacramento Kings have made a concerted effort to push the pace in a big way lately. The Kings have scored 112, 115, and 120 points in their last three games. They have also given up 107.8 points per game in their last five contests. These teams have met twice this year, with the final scores being 113-96 and 128-95. The Grizzlies have tons of offensive weapons with Gay, Randolph, Gasol, Conley, etc. I think both teams will top the 100 point mark in this one. Take the over here.
03-20-12 Oregon v. Washington OVER 154.5 86-90 Win 100 9 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Oregon has pushing the pace like no other in this postseason tournament. The score in their first two games has been 96-76 and 108-97. While I don't think this game will be that high, we know the Washington Huskies are a team that likes to push the tempo as well. The two regular season meetings finished below the posted total, but these smaller postseason tournaments have been very high scoring this year. Expect both teams to be running and gunning here. I projected this at 158. Take the over.
03-20-12 Phoenix Suns v. Miami Heat UNDER 199.5 95-99 Win 100 6 h 46 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* The Phoenix Suns play at a much slower pace than they have in previous years. They actually play a little bit of defense as well. The Heat have really picked up the defense of late, especially on their home floor. It is the Heat's defense that makes them the elite team that they are right now. The under is 13-3 in the Heat's last 16 home games. The under is 13-5 in the Suns last 18 road games. Miami should control this game and slow down the Suns offense. I projected this one at 196. Take the under.
03-20-12 Rice v. Oakland OVER 159 70-77 Loss -110 7 h 33 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Oakland is one of my favorite teams to bet an 'over' with. The Golden Grizzlies push the tempo in a big way and they play almost no defense. The over is 21-6 in their last 27 non-conference games. The over is also 46-21-1 in their last 68 games overall. Rice isn't a team that slows down the tempo, and the Owls have plenty of guys who can hit shots from long range. This is a game where tons of threes should be falling for both teams. I projected this one at 163. Take the over in this game.
03-19-12 Illinois State v. Stanford OVER 134.5 88-92 Win 100 7 h 14 m Show
*3 Star ESPN 2 Late Night Total Domination* Illinois State excels from long range and so does Stanford. Expect both teams to bury lots of threes in this one. Both teams have been playing at a much quicker pace than normal over their last few games. The total has reached at least 140 in Stanford's last 4 games. The over is 20-6 in Illinois State's last 26 road games. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 games overall. I projected this one at 138 or 139. Look for both teams to shoot well. A close game should lead to plenty of free throws as well. Take the over.
03-19-12 Texas Christian v. Oregon State OVER 159.5 81-101 Win 100 9 h 26 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* TCU has been one of my favorite 'over' teams all season. The Horned Frogs used to be a team that slowed down the tempo, but this year they are running and gunning. TCU can bury three's, and they don't guard well at all. Oregon State has great guards that push the tempo in a big way. The over is 5-0 in TCU's last 5 games. The over is 10-2 in Oregon State's last 12 home games. This is a high number, but I think these teams will get to 165 or so here. Expect a quick pace. Take the over.
03-19-12 Minnesota v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 131 78-60 Loss -108 5 h 7 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Minnesota prefers to play at a slow pace, and so does Miami. Miami is without leading scorer Durand Scott, and that should slow them down even more. They beat Valpo 66-50 in a slow halfcourt battle last time out. Both of these teams play solid defense. I projected this line at 127 points. Miami allows just 64.6 points per game at home. Minnesota averages only 63.3 points per game on the road. Don't expect a pretty game of basketball here. I think the value is with the under on this one.
03-18-12 Lehigh Mountain v. Xavier OVER 140 58-70 Loss -110 17 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Lehigh shocked the world by taking down the Duke Blue Devils on Friday night. C.J. McCollum has been a star all year, and I see no reason to believe that he'll slack off in this game. Tu Holloway is also terrific for Xavier, and I think we'll have some great guard play in this game. Both teams are more comfortable playing at a quick pace, which should mean there are plenty of shots taken in this game. The over is 13-6 in Xavier's last 19 NCAA Tournament games. Take the over in this one.
03-18-12 Ohio v. South Florida UNDER 116 62-56 Loss -108 16 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* USF has been a terrific 'under' team for me. The Bulls play defense as well as anyone in the nation, and they are poor offensively. Ohio shouldn't be able to force the tempo in this one against a Bulls squad that is insistent on slowing the game down. The under is 23-7 in the Bulls last 30 games. The under is 4-1 in Ohio's last 5 games. Look for this to turn into a defensive game like just about every game involving USF does. USF hasn't allowed more than 58 points in any of their last 12 games. Take the under.
03-18-12 Orlando Magic v. Miami Heat UNDER 189 81-91 Win 100 16 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Orlando Magic and the Miami Heat have had some great battles with each other over the past couple years. Miami is at their best when they are playing great defense. They started playing much better defense last game against the Sixers, and I think they'll continue it in this one. Orlando isn't a team that gets out in transition very often. The under is 36-15-1 in the Magic's last 52 Sunday games. The under is 4-0 in the Heat's last 4 home games. Take the under in this one.
03-18-12 Norfolk State v. Florida OVER 143 50-84 Loss -108 16 h 16 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Norfolk State pulled off the unthinkable upset on Friday over Missouri. The Spartans like to push the pace and I don't see them stalling in this game. Florida is more than happy to run and use their terrific guards to get to the hoop or kick it out for an open three. The Gators offense is terrific, and I see them putting up a big number here. Norfolk State should actually have the advantage on the inside, and O'Quinn should have another big day for them. The over is 15-2 in Florida's last 17 non-conference games. Take the over.
03-18-12 Manhattan v. Fairfield UNDER 132 57-69 Win 100 13 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* This game won't be getting any coverage Sunday, but I think that is exactly what has gotten us so much value here. Fairfield's best player Derek Needham will miss this game with an injury. The first two games between these teams finished at 104 and 114. I simply don't understand why this line would be set at 132 when one of Fairfield's best offensive players will now be missing for this game. The under is 13-3-1 in Manhattan's last 17 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
03-18-12 Bucknell v. Nevada UNDER 132.5 67-75 Loss -108 12 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Bucknell Bison and the Nevada Wolfpack both love to slow the game down and use their strong defense to win games. I see no reason to expect either team to try to turn this into a transition oriented game. Bucknell held Arizona to just 54 points in their first postseason game. Nevada is a very good defensive team on their home floor. I projected this line at 127 points. Look for this one to stay under the posted total.
03-18-12 Northern Iowa v. Drexel UNDER 121.5 63-65 Loss -110 11 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* This game will tip off at 11 am eastern time. Games that start that early tend to be lower scoring in general. Both of these teams are built around defense and ball control, and I don't see either team looking to push the pace here. Drexel is focused and looking to send a message, and they do that with their defense. I projected this line at 116 points. Look for a half court game where both defenses are strong. Take the under.
03-17-12 Idaho v. Utah State UNDER 134 56-76 Win 100 19 h 20 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Idaho and Utah State will meet for the third time this season on Saturday. Both of these teams are strong on the defensive end. Neither team likes to get out in transition much at all. The first two meetings between these teams in the regular season finished at 111 points and 117 points. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. I projected this line at 129 points. The value here is too much to pass up for me. I like the under in this matchup of familiar foes.
03-17-12 Colorado v. Baylor UNDER 133 63-80 Loss -108 18 h 25 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Colorado Buffaloes slowed down the UNLV Runnin' Rebels nicely on Thursday night. Colorado's half court defense is quite impressive. Andre Roberson is a great defensive player and I think he can slow down Perry Jones III and Quincy Acy on the inside. On the other end, Colorado is very inconsistent on offense. The Buffaloes have gone through several long scoreless droughts in their past few games. Baylor is long and athletic on defense. The under is 19-7 in Colorado's last 26 games. Take the under.
03-17-12 Georgia State v. Mercer UNDER 125.5 59-64 Win 100 14 h 17 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Both Georgia State and Mercer have won with defense this year. Neither team likes to push the pace and I expect a half court battle in this one. I projected this one at just 120 points. This should be a game with plenty of contested tough shots and a slow pace. The under is 45-20-1 in Georgia State's last 66 games. The under is 10-0-1 in Mercer's last 11 games at home. Both defenses should rule in this one. I expect a well-played close game all the way. Take the under.
03-17-12 Buffalo v. Oakland OVER 164 76-84 Loss -110 19 h 51 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Oakland is a team that can run and gun with the best of them. The Golden Grizzlies play almost no defense though, and I expect Buffalo to score at will here. Buffalo has a strong post presence that Oakland simply cannot match. Both teams like to run, and Buffalo tends to really get out in transition in non-conference games. I projected this one at 168 points. The over is 7-1 in Buffalo's last 8 games. The over is 46-20-1 in Oakland's last 67 games overall. Take the over in this one.
03-16-12 Detroit v. Kansas OVER 142 50-65 Loss -110 46 h 51 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Detroit is a very talented team out of the Horizon League. Butler has showed that the Horizon League is better than most realize the last couple years. Detroit loves to push the pace and try to get to the rim. Kansas is a team that would rather play at a quick pace. Tyshawn Taylor and Ray McCallum Jr. should both get their points in this one. I projected this line at 147 points. Look for the pace to be quick here, and both teams should get to the free throw line quite a bit. Take the over.
03-16-12 South Florida v. Temple UNDER 121.5 58-44 Win 100 31 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* I have been extremely impressed with USF's defense over the last half of the year. Stan Heath's team is extremely motivated on the defensive end, and they are very tough to beat. USF hasn't allowed more than 57 points in their last 11 games. In fact, none of those 11 games finished over this posted total. The under is 22-7 in USF's last 29 games. I projected this line at 117 points. Temple is a very good defensive team as well, and I don't see either offense getting much going here. Take the under.
03-16-12 Long Island v. Michigan State OVER 154 Top 67-89 Win 100 100 h 40 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Long Island is a team that loves to run and gun. No matter who Long Island plays, they are going to push the pace. This team simply does not how to slow the tempo down. Tom Izzo's Spartans like to run as much as they can, but they don't get the opportunity too much in the Big Ten. They'll get their chance in a big way in this one. Long Island's defense is almost non-existent. North Carolina put up 102 points on Long Island in the NCAA Tournament last year. Michigan State likely won't score that many, but 90 or 95 isn't out of the question. Take the over in a big way here.
03-16-12 Purdue v. Saint Marys CA UNDER 140.5 72-69 Loss -108 16 h 27 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Purdue and St. Mary's are two teams that take care of the basketball very well. Don't expect to see a lot of easy buckets off turnovers in this one. Both coaches preach defense all the time. I expect to see a half court style of game here. Both teams do shoot the three-ball well, but a neutral floor like this usually hurts the shooting percentages quite a bit. I expect the pace here to be too slow for this one to hit unless the shooting percentages are extremely high. Take the under.
03-16-12 Lehigh Mountain v. Duke OVER 148 75-70 Loss -110 16 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Lehigh is a team that loves to push the tempo. They have been able to score a lot of points against some very good teams this year. Lehigh put up 81 points against Michigan State and 77 points against Iowa State. Duke's defense is not that impressive this year. The Blue Devils like to run this year and they can definitely drain it from beyond the three-point line. Look for Lehigh to stay closer than most expect in this one. Both teams shoot free throws extremely well and I think that is worth a few points here. Take the over.
03-16-12 Virginia Cavaliers v. Florida OVER 121.5 45-71 Loss -108 11 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* It's usually not fun betting an 'over' with Virginia, but I think the value is with the over on this game. Florida is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the nation. The Gators backcourt should be far too much for Virginia to handle defensively. At the same time, the Gators aren't very good defensively, especially in the low post. Mike Scott is a dominant player in the low post and I fully expect him to have a huge game here. The over is 11-1 in the Gators last 12 NCAA Tournament games. Take the over.
03-15-12 Colorado v. UNLV OVER 134 Top 68-64 Loss -110 70 h 11 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* UNLV is a team that can really get out in transition and do some major damage. Chace Stanback is a terrific shooter, and Bellfield and Marshall start the fast break as well as any point guards in the nation. Colorado won the PAC 12 Tournament to get into this game. The Buffaloes appear to have a pretty good defense, but the PAC 12 is just miserable this year. UNLV plays many better opponents in the Mountain West. UNLV should be able to dictate the pace here, and make Colorado play from behind. I projected this one at 138 or 139 points. I like the over big in this one.
03-15-12 South Dakota St v. Baylor OVER 139.5 60-68 Loss -110 43 h 50 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I see this as a game where both teams have major advantages. South Dakota State is a terrific three-point shooting team. The Jackrabbits have four players on their team who shoot at least 40%. Look for them to knock down quite a few three's in this one. Baylor has a terrific frontcourt, and they should absolutely dominate South Dakota State in the paint. Neither team will fight to slow down the tempo. The Jackrabbits should keep this one close with some three's, and Baylor should get multiple put backs. The over is 13-3 in South Dakota State's last 16 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in Baylor's last 4 games. Take the over.
03-15-12 Virginia Commonwealth v. Wichita State OVER 134 62-59 Loss -110 67 h 30 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* VCU isn't the same team they were a year ago. The Rams are more reliant on forcing turnovers and speeding up the opposition, because they aren't very good in the half court sets. Wichita State has shown that they like to run when given the opportunity. Both teams have tons of quickness in the backcourt and I think that will lead to run out opportunities for both squads. I think this number is set too low given the nature of both teams and the pace at which this will be played. Take the over.
03-15-12 Kent State v. USC Upstate OVER 142.5 58-73 Loss -108 18 h 8 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Kent State and USC Upstate both like to push the pace. If there is one thing we have seen from the smaller postseason tournaments it is that the tempo is much quicker than a regular season game. It seems neither team wants to play a lot of defense in these matchups. This should be another case of very little defense and tons of offense all the way through the game. I projected this line at 146 points. Look for a fast paced game and easy baskets for both teams. Take the over.
03-15-12 Brigham Young v. Marquette OVER 153.5 68-88 Win 100 14 h 14 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* BYU is very fortunate to be still in the NCAA Tournament. If it weren't for Iona's historically bad performance in the second half the other night the Cougars would already be at home. BYU pushes the pace in a big way, and Marquette is one of the best transition teams in the nation. I don't expect either team to slow this game down. The tempo here should lead to quite a few shots being taken by both teams. I projected this one at 157 or 158 points. I like the over in this game.
03-14-12 Cal Santa Barbara v. Idaho UNDER 136 83-86 Loss -108 22 h 39 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* UCSB and Idaho are both teams that prefer to play the game in the half court. Idaho only gives up 64.4 points per game at home. UCSB's defense has only given up 57 points per game in their last five games. The total opened at 132. The number has risen to 136, which makes it a nice play by my projected line. I projected this total at 131 points. Look for a slow paced game where both defenses do very well. I like this one to stay several points under the posted total. Take the under.
03-14-12 Nevada v. Oral Roberts UNDER 137.5 68-59 Win 100 51 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Oral Roberts is a team that plays in the Summit League. The Summit League has tons of teams that simply fly up and down the floor. Oral Roberts was able to score bunches of points against teams with almost no defense. Oral Roberts is not a team that pushes the pace, and Nevada doesn't push the tempo either. The Nevada Wolfpack are a very talented team that works hard on the defensive end. The under is a perfect 8-0 in Oral Roberts last 8 non-conference games. The under is also 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the under.
03-14-12 South Florida v. California UNDER 115 65-54 Loss -108 20 h 23 m Show
*3 Star USF/Cal Total Domination* South Florida and Cal both snuck into the NCAA Tournament. USF has a clear blueprint for winning. The Bulls slow the game down to a crawl and they play terrific defense. USF hasn't allowed more than 57 points in a game in their last 10 games. Cal has been slowed down in a big way in the past couple years by teams that control the tempo the way USF does. Look for an ugly game where television viewers get frustrated at the lack of points. This one will probably stay under 110 points. The under is 22-6 in the last 28 games. The under is 9-1 in Cal's last 10 games at a neutral site. Take the under.
03-14-12 North Dakota State v. Wyoming UNDER 123 75-78 Loss -108 21 h 41 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* North Dakota State has been an interesting team this year. The Bison typically play to the pace of their opponent. Wyoming is a team that loves to slow the game down to a crawl. The Cowboys have a terrific defense, and I think North Dakota State will have a difficult time scoring in this one. Wyoming is giving up only 53.9 points per game at home this year. The under is 14-2 in North Dakota State's last 16 games. The under is 22-10 in Wyoming's last 32 home games. Take the under in this one.
03-14-12 Portland Trailblazers v. New York Knicks OVER 200.5 79-121 Loss -105 19 h 33 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Portland Blazers appear to have given up on this season. I expect there will be some pretty big changes coming soon in Portland. The Blazers have continually been blown out in the last few weeks by mediocre to bad teams. The Knicks haven't been playing any defense of late, and neither have the Blazers. I see tons of easy shots coming in this one. The Knicks have given up at least 102 points in 7 of their last 8 games. I projected this one at 204 points. Take the over here.
03-14-12 Quinnipiac v. Pennsylvania UNDER 131 63-74 Loss -108 19 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Ivy League Total* Pennsylvania is a terrific defensive team. The Quakers have slowed the game down more and more as the season has moved along. The under is an impressive 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. Quinnipiac plays in a league where almost everyone flies up and down the floor. The trouble for them is that they simply don't know how to play the type of game that Penn will make them play here. This number has kept going up, which has made this value even better. I really like the under.
03-14-12 Central Florida v. Drexel UNDER 123.5 56-81 Loss -108 19 h 56 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Drexel was one of the teams that quite a few people thought should get into the NCAA Tournament. In the end it was their poor non-conference schedule that cost them a bid. The Dragons are terrific defensively, and they are great at controlling the tempo. UCF prefers a slow pace as well, and I don't see them trying to speed this game up at all. The under is 13-3 in Drexel's last 16 Wednesday games. Look for a very slow paced half court battle here. This one should stay well under the posted total.
03-13-12 UT Arlington v. Washington OVER 154 72-82 Push 0 29 h 23 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Texas-Arlington and Washington both rank in the top 25 in pace in the entire nation. Washington is known for pushing the pace in a big way on their home floor. There is no way this Texas-Arlington team will try to slow the game down, because they honestly don't know how to slow a game down. I expect to see a very high volume of shots in this game. The over is 6-2 in Arlington's last 8 games. The over is 7-1 in Washington's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over in this one.
03-13-12 Washington State v. San Francisco UNDER 149 89-75 Loss -108 28 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* San Francisco plays in the West Coast Conference, but that is a conference where good defense is hard to find. Washington State plays pretty good defense, and they definitely slow the pace down. San Francisco has seen a lot of overs played on their home floor lately, which has given us a nice value on the under here. Washington State doesn't have the guards to push the pace here, and I think they'll make this a half court battle as much as possible. I like the under here.
03-13-12 Iona v. Brigham Young OVER 161.5 72-78 Loss -108 28 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* From the moment I found out these two teams were playing each other I had my eye on the over. Both of these teams rank in the top 25 in the nation in terms of pace. Inside their conference both squads were the fastest paced team. Sometimes they had to battle to get the pace to their liking against conference foes, but that won't be the case in this one. The tempo should be very quick and both teams should get plenty of easy shots. I projected this line at 165. The over is 8-2 in Iona's last 10. The over is 7-2 in BYU's last 9 NCAA Tournament games. Take the over.
03-13-12 Atlanta Hawks v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 196 117-118 Loss -110 4 h 58 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Atlanta isn't a team that likes to play at a fast tempo. Denver does like to push the pace, but their offense has been out of sync lately. The Nuggets have been a solid 'under' play at home this year. The under is 14-8 in the Nuggets 22 home games this season. The under is 20-8 in Atlanta's last 28 road games. The Hawks have only given up 100 or more points in regulation twice all year. Denver won't be able to push the pace as much as they'd like here. Take the under in this game.
03-13-12 Wisconsin-Milwaukee v. Texas Christian OVER 138.5 73-83 Win 100 19 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* TCU has been one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with all year. TCU has changed their style of play this year and they really push the tempo. In addition, the Horned Frogs play very poor defense. Wisconsin-Milwaukee plays in a league where most of the teams slow the tempo down. I think they are better offensively than most people realize, and they'll get plenty of open shots against TCU's poor defense. Both teams should hit plenty of three's in this one. Take the over in this game.
03-13-12 Stony Brook v. Seton Hall UNDER 127 61-63 Win 100 19 h 51 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB NIT Total* Stony Brook is a veteran team that knows how to slow the pace down. Seton Hall used to be a team that ran quite often, but they have played in quite a few low scoring battles this year. The Pirates defense is very good in the half court and I expect Stony Brook to struggle to score here. At the same time, Stony Brook knows the best way they can stay in this game is by slowing the game down in a big way. Look for a half court game. I projected this one at 124 or 125 points. Take the under here.
03-13-12 Tennessee State v. Mercer UNDER 128.5 60-68 Win 100 19 h 38 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Mercer will have the home court advantage in this one, and I think they'll play this game at the tempo that they like. Mercer is a team that plays at a slow tempo. Tennessee State hasn't been great offensively, and they struggle to score on the road at times. Neither team gets to the line all that often. Look for this game to be played in the half court setting almost all the way through. I projected this one at 124 or 125. I think the value is on the under in this one. Take the under.
03-13-12 Mississippi Valley State v. Western Kentucky OVER 137.5 58-59 Loss -108 25 h 19 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Tournament Opener* Mississippi Valley State has pushed the tempo all year. They gave up 80 points or more in 8 of their first 10 games (against non-conference foes). MS Valley State plays in a very weak league, so their defensive stats don't look as bad as they would had they played better teams all year. Western Kentucky changed coaches in the middle of the season and they now like to press and run and gun. The Hilltoppers should be able to push the pace quite well against a team like MS Valley State. The over is 5-1 in Western Kentucky's last 6. Take the over.
03-12-12 Minnesota Timberwolves v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 197.5 127-124 Loss -110 22 h 36 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns aren't the same team they were a few years ago. The Suns are older and they definitely don't run the way they used to. Phoenix is improved a bit defensively as well. I expect Minnesota's offensive output to go down quite a bit now that Ricky Rubio is out for the season. Losing a play maker like Rubio has to hurt the offense in a big way. The under is 5-0 in Phoenix's last 5 home games. The under is 21-7 in the Suns last 28 against the Western Conference. Take the under.
03-12-12 Washington Wizards v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 205 97-112 Win 100 20 h 4 m Show
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* Washington has picked up the pace under new head coach Randy Wittman. The Wizards are averaging 104 points per game since the All-Star break. In addition, the Wizards are horrible defensively and I think the Spurs could definitely put up a very big number here. The Spurs have been pushing the pace quite a bit of late too, and I think this one will be a track meet. The over is 6-1 in Washington's last 7 games. The over is 8-3 in the Spurs last 11 games. I think this one gets to 210 or more. Take the over.
03-12-12 Milwaukee Bucks v. New Jersey Nets OVER 198 105-99 Win 100 7 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* The Milwaukee Bucks and New Jersey Nets both like to do the same thing right now. Both teams like to run and gun. I don't think they'll be much defense played at all in this one. We're getting a nice value here since the last time these two played it was a low scoring game. Both teams shot below 40% from the floor in that one, and I don't think we'll see that again here. The over is 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 road games. The over is 8-2 in the Nets last 10 home games. Look for this one to get over 200. Take the over.
03-11-12 Indiana Pacers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187 94-107 Loss -110 14 h 13 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Value* Orlando will be without both Hedo Turkoglu and Jason Richardson in this one. Indiana is coming off a heart breaking loss to the Heat last night on Dwyane Wade's last second game winner in overtime. This is the type of game where I expect the pace to be slower and the defenses to have control. The under is 36-17-2 in the Pacers last 55 on 0 days rest. The under is 36-14-1 in the Magic's last 51 Sunday games. I projected this one at 183 points. Take the under in this matchup.
03-11-12 Philadelphia 76ers v. New York Knicks UNDER 194.5 106-94 Loss -109 9 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Total* Sunday afternoon early games in the NBA are often some of my favorite 'under' bets. Players are often a little weary and shooting percentages tend to be lower than normal. The Knicks have had some very high scoring games lately, which has made this total be inflated. Philadelphia almost never plays a fast paced game. Doug Collins coaches the defense very hard, and I expect the 76ers to slow down the Knicks some Sunday. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two. The under is 5-0 in the 76ers last 5 road games. Take the under.
03-10-12 Louisiana Tech v. New Mexico State OVER 148 57-82 Loss -108 12 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* New Mexico State has been one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with all year. The Aggies really push the tempo, and they get to the free throw line more than any team in the nation. The two regular season meetings between these teams finished at 155 and 156 points. The over is 5-0 in LA. Tech's last 5 games overall. The Bulldogs like to full court press to push the tempo as well. The over is 12-3 in New Mexico State's last 15 Saturday games. I projected this one at 152 points. Take the over.
03-10-12 Ohio v. Akron OVER 135 64-63 Loss -108 8 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total Takedown* Ohio and Akron both prefer to play an uptempo game. The total has been lowered a bit here because of the neutral venue and the importance of the game, but I expect this one to finish close to 140 points. D.J. Cooper may be the best player in the MAC and he should have a great game. Akron has a nice frontcourt and they should be able to score quite a few points in the paint here. The over is 6-2 in Ohio's last 8 MAC games. The over is 5-1 in Akron's last 6 MAC games. Take the over.
03-10-12 Portland Trailblazers v. Washington Wizards OVER 200.5 110-99 Win 100 4 h 16 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Blazers were absolutely embarrassed last night in Boston. Portland trailed 81-38 in the third quarter before Boston cleared the bench. The team had a long meeting after last night's game, and I expect a better effort tonight. Washington really pushes the pace right now, especially on their home floor. The over is 4-1 in the Wizards last 5 games. The over is 4-1 in the Blazers last 5 games. Expect both teams to get plenty of open looks in transition here. Take the over.
03-10-12 Colorado v. Arizona UNDER 129 53-51 Win 100 7 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Pac 12 Total* Colorado and Arizona will play in the PAC 12 Championship Game tonight. The winner of this game will go to the NCAA Tournament, while the loser is expected to go home. Both teams have been playing at a slower pace throughout the PAC 12 Tournament. I expect to see a half court game where both defenses fare very well. Both regular season meetings finished under this posted total and the importance of this game should make the pace even slower here. The under is 8-2 in Colorado's last 10. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 neutral site games. Take the under in this one.
03-10-12 Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure OVER 144.5 80-84 Win 100 2 h 12 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* I think both teams have a real offensive upside in this one. Andrew Nicholson should absolutely dominate everyone UMass has on the inside. At the same time, UMass has a big edge in the backcourt. UMass will press and push the tempo here, and that should help this one be a very high scoring game. I expect a close game where plenty of free throws are attempted. I projected this one at 147 or 148 points. Look for both teams to get easy shots. Take the over in this one.
03-09-12 Cal Poly SLO v. Cal Santa Barbara UNDER 126 52-64 Win 100 12 h 38 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* Cal Poly is one of the best teams in the country at controlling the tempo. The Mustangs definitely want a very low scoring game here. UCSB actually prefers a slow pace as well, so I don't really expect a pace battle. The two regular season meetings finished at 128 and 115. The importance of this game should slow both teams down a bit. If either team loses, it's season is over. Look for a half court game that is controlled by the defenses. The under is 16-5 in UCSB's last 21 neutral site games. Take the under.
03-09-12 Dallas Mavericks v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 197 97-110 Loss -105 7 h 11 m Show
*3 Star NBA Late Night Total* Dallas has been the busiest team in the NBA since the All-Star break. The Mavs are playing their sixth game in eight days today. Sacramento likes to push the tempo, but they have trouble scoring on teams that play good defense. I don't expect the Mavericks to want to run in this one, especially since they are tired. Look for Dallas to slow the game down and rely on defense here. The under is 5-2 in the Mavericks last 7 games. Look for a sloppy game here with both teams shooting a poor percentage from the floor. Take the under.
03-09-12 Hawaii v. New Mexico State OVER 151.5 81-92 Win 100 10 h 1 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Total Takedown* New Mexico State has been one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with this season. The last time these two met New Mexico State scored 115 points by themselves. Hawaii pushes the pace, but they don't play good defense around the perimeter. On the interior, Hawaii has a nice advantage and they should be able to do some damage in the paint. Both regular season meetings finished above 175 points. I realize this one is likely to be lower, but I still think two teams that run and gun will get above this total.
03-09-12 Dayton v. Xavier UNDER 143 69-70 Win 100 8 h 34 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB A10 Totals Takedown* I think we are getting a nice value here because of the two regular season high scoring games between these teams. The second game went into overtime, and it would have been 'under' this posted total otherwise. This is a very important game for both teams, which I think will slow the pace down. Both teams actually play very good half court defense. The neutral venue generally means shooting percentages are slightly lower. I projected this one at 138. Take the under here.
03-09-12 Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Miss Valley State OVER 133.5 64-71 Win 100 8 h 59 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* These two teams met twice during the regular season. The final scores 82-67 and 78-67. I like consistency like that out of teams and I think despite this being a more important game, these two teams both like to run. It isn't like either of these teams to change the way they play just because of the importance of the game. Look for plenty of transition opportunities. High shooting percentages aren't very likely, but I don't even think they'll need to be high in this one. Look for a fast paced game. Take the over.
03-09-12 New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 205 114-119 Win 100 20 h 6 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Tyson Chandler and Jared Jeffries are really the only two Knicks that even attempt to play defense. They will both be out this game, so the Bucks should have a wide open lane. Brandon Jennings and company can put up big numbers at home. On the other side , the Bucks defense is terrible as well. Jeremy Lin, Carmelo Anthony, and Ama're Stoudemire should have a big game here. This is the type of game where I expect lots of up and down action and easy baskets for both teams. The over is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 home games. Take the over.
03-09-12 Florida A & M v. Norfolk State OVER 134.5 46-58 Loss -110 9 h 15 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Both Florida A&M and Norfolk State prefer to play the game at a pretty quick pace. In their only regular season meeting this year the two teams put up a combined 138 shots from the floor. If there is a similar pace at all in this one, there is tons of value on the over. I projected this line at 140 points. A neutral venue may hurt the shooting percentages a bit, but if the pace is what I expect it shouldn't be too much to overcome. Look for this one to end comfortable over the posted total.
03-09-12 Minnesota v. Michigan UNDER 124 69-73 Loss -108 5 h 28 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Big 10 Total* Minnesota and Michigan both like to play at a slow pace. The Wolverines came from nowhere over the last couple years to win a share of the Big Ten regular season title this year. The team does it through ball control and solid defense. Minnesota won't want to run in this one, and I think both teams will be using up the shot clock. The first game between these two finished at 117. I projected this one at 120 points. The slow pace and neutral venue should help the under here. Take the under.
03-08-12 UAB v. Central Florida UNDER 121 54-64 Win 100 10 h 57 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* UAB and UCF played two very different games in the regular season. The first one was tight the whole way and finished 48-41. Last game UCF had a 20 point lead at half and the tempo sped up in the second. The game finished 71-63. On a neutral floor I think both defenses will have the edge here. Both teams prefer to play at a slow pace, and this one should stay in the half court. The under is 45-22-1 in UAB's last 68 games overall. I projected this one at 117 points. Take the under.
03-08-12 NC Central v. Bethune-Cookman OVER 121.5 59-60 Loss -108 10 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* Bethune Cookman and North Carolina Central are way off the radar for most people, but I like the value here. These teams met twice in the regular season and the final totals were 133 and 160. Neither team plays too terribly fast, but both are great at forcing turnovers and getting easy buckets. In this case, both offense struggle with defensive pressure and I expect plenty of easy hoops. I projected this one at 128 points. Look for a close game and plenty of trips to the free throw line. Take the over.
03-08-12 Minnesota v. Northwestern UNDER 130 Top 75-68 Loss -110 7 h 36 m Show
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* This is a very important game for the Northwestern Wildcats. Bill Carmody's team is most comfortable playing a half court game, and Minnesota has slowed their tempo down in a big way over the last few weeks. Earlier this year the teams met twice and the games finished at 127 and 117. The recent game was 117 and I think this one could be very similar. A neutral site here should mean the shooting numbers are slightly lower than normal, and I see no signs that either team will want to push. Take the under big!
03-08-12 Cal Irvine v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 155 65-59 Loss -110 17 h 34 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* UC Irvine and Cal State Fullerton are two teams that love to run and gun. Both shoot tons of three's and both defenses are terrible at guarding beyond the arc. In the first meeting this year between these teams there were 28 made three's. In the second meeting there were 18. The final totals of those games were 176 and 194 points. I don't see either team slowing this game down at all. The over is 6-0 in UC Irvine's last 6 games at a neutral site. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Take the over.
03-08-12 Texas Christian v. Colorado St OVER 141.5 60-81 Loss -110 16 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* TCU has quickly become one of my favorite 'over' teams this year. The Horned Frogs have been a slow paced team in past years, but they have picked it up in a big way this year. TCU is pretty good offensively, but they are terrible on the defensive end. Colorado State shoots 41% from beyond the arc as a team. The Rams also struggle on the defensive end of the floor. The two meetings in the regular season both finished above this total. The over is 7-2 in TCU's last 9. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over.
03-07-12 New Orleans Hornets v. Sacramento Kings UNDER 192.5 98-99 Loss -110 21 h 50 m Show
*3 Star NBA Late Night Total* New Orleans plays at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. Sacramento has sped up quite a bit of late, but I don't think the Hornets will be willing to run and gun with them in this one. The last meeting between these two finished at 192 despite 39 made free throws between the two teams. The under is 5-1 in Sacramento's last 6 games as a home favorite. I projected this one at 188 points. Look for an ugly game between two below par teams. This one should stay under the posted total.
03-07-12 Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194.5 106-104 Win 100 19 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NBA Total Knockout* The Chicago Bulls and the Milwaukee Bucks see a lot of each other, and it is quite clear how the game plays out almost every time. Milwaukee pushes the pace, but doesn't play any defense at all. Chicago has scored 107, 113, and 110 points in their three meetings this year. All three games have finished above 200 points. The over is 12-4 in the Bucks 16 home games this year. The over is 7-3 in the Bulls last 10 road games. I expect this one to end right around 200 points. Take the over.
03-07-12 Seton Hall v. Louisville UNDER 126.5 55-61 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show
*3 Star Big East Total Domination* These teams met only once in the regular season. Louisville won that game 60-51. The Cardinals are an interesting team that pushes the pace, but they aren't very efficient offensively. Defensively, the Cardinals are terrific. Seton Hall has struggled all year against the best defensive teams in the nation. I think both teams will have poor shooting numbers in this one. The under is 4-0 in Louisville's last 4. The under is 6-0 in Seton Hall's last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. Take the under here.
03-07-12 Houston Rockets v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 187.5 98-116 Loss -111 18 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NBA Oddsmaker Error Total* Quite frankly I would have played this under at a lower level (probably down to about 184). I was very surprised to see this one show up at this level. Houston has been an 'under' machine this year with their slower pace and better defense. Toronto is missing its leading scorer in Bargnani. These two met on February 28 and the final was 88-85. It wouldn't surprise me if this one ended with a similar score. The under is an impressive 6-1 in the Rockets last 7 games playing on no rest. The under is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
03-06-12 Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 137.5 70-50 Loss -110 21 h 48 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Horizon League Total* Detroit and Valparaiso will square off Tuesday night in the Horizon League Championship game. This one will be played at Valparaiso since they won the regular season title in this league. Detroit is the most talented team in the Horizon League, and they have been putting it together as the season has gone along. Detroit gets it done by running the floor and using their athleticism. Valparaiso is a team that struggles with turnovers, and Detroit should use pressure defense here and force turnovers to lead to easy buckets. Valpo's offense is very good in the half court, and they should score plenty. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Take the over.
03-06-12 Duquesne v. Massachusetts OVER 150 83-92 Win 100 19 h 49 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* These are two of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. Both like to press and push the pace with their aggressive defense. I don't see either of these teams slowing things down at all. Duquesne slowed down a bit during the middle of the year when they had injury issues, but they are pretty healthy now. The first meeting between these two finished at 149 points. UMass shot only 9 free throws in that game, and the shooting percentages weren't great. This should be a competitive game, and I think both offenses will find plenty of open looks. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. Take the over.
03-06-12 Western Kentucky v. North Texas OVER 133 74-70 Win 100 7 h 36 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Sun Belt Conference Championship Final Total* Western Kentucky and North Texas both like to push the tempo. The shooting backdrop may not be great at a neutral venue like this one, but I'm counting on both of these using their pressure defense to get some easy buckets. The regular season meeting between these two finished at 84-67. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 137 points. Look for a quick pace to push this one over the posted total.
03-06-12 Portland State v. Weber State OVER 149.5 63-69 Loss -110 18 h 18 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* Weber State is probably the most talented team in the Big Sky Conference. Weber State gets to the line very often, and they are first in the nation in free throw shooting percentage at 81% as a team. Portland State also is aggressive and gets to the line often. Both teams shoot it well from beyond the arc, and both defenses are quite poor. The two regular season meetings finished at 169 and 171 points. I projected this at 153. Look for both teams to bury quite a few from deep here. Take the over.
03-05-12 Arkansas State v. North Texas OVER 127.5 72-76 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Arkansas State upended top seed Middle Tennessee State last night in the Sun Belt quarterfinals. John Brady's Arkansas State team is playing with a ton of confidence right now. They are shooting the ball much better than they have all year. North Texas pushes the pace in a big way. The two regular season meetings between these teams finished at 140 and 147 points. This is a neutral venue, but I don't think this one should be set below about 131 or 132. Look for the pace to be plenty quick here. The over is 8-2 in Ark state's last 10. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
03-05-12 Western Illinois v. Oral Roberts UNDER 115.5 54-53 Win 100 6 h 37 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Western Illinois is the second slowest paced team in the nation (behind only Wisconsin). Oral Roberts also plays at a very slow pace. The two regular season meetings between these teams saw the final regulation scores at 112 and 98 points. The shooting numbers really weren't bad at all, it was just a very slow paced game. It's hard to imagine either of these teams deciding to abandon their slow pace, especially in this big of a game. The under is 37-18-1 in Western Illinois' last 56 games. Take the under here.
03-05-12 Virginia Commonwealth v. Drexel OVER 118 59-56 Loss -108 6 h 36 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB ESPN Total Domination* VCU and Drexel will fight for the CAA Tournament crown tonight on ESPN. The CAA is definitely one of the most underrated conferences in college basketball. Both of these teams are capable of making noise if they do make it into the NCAA Tournament. VCU is playing a virtual home game here, and Shaka Smart's team is playing its best basketball of the season. Drexel likes to keep the pace slow, but I expect VCU to use the press and aggressive defense to speed the game up. VCU causes more turnovers than anyone else in the nation. The last three times these teams have played the total has been 122, 124.5, and 126. At this low level, the value is with the over. Take the over here.
03-04-12 George Mason v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 131 64-74 Win 100 5 h 59 m Show
*3 Star CAA Totals Takedown* It's a matchup of two Cinderella stories in the NCAA Tournament from the last few years. Both of these teams really need to win to assure a bid into the NCAA Tournament. The two regular season meetings finished at 123 points and 166 points. The first game saw terrible shooting numbers. VCU has picked up the tempo in a big way over the last few weeks. Shaka Smart's team is using the full court press again to force the tempo. George Mason has been the fastest paced team in the CAA all year long. The pace here should be quicker than most expect. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
03-04-12 New York Knicks v. Boston Celtics OVER 188 111-115 Win 100 13 h 56 m Show
*3 Star Knicks/Celtics Total Domination* Things were very different the last time these two teams met. Jeremy Lin barely saw the floor, and we know that has changed in a big way. Lin is now the catalyst to an exciting Knicks offense. Everyone is healthy for the Knicks now, and I really think they have the potential to be one of the best offenses in the league. Boston threw in a full court press last game against the Nets and they were extremely successful with it. The Celtics will likely try it at least a little bit in this game. Expect the pace to be quicker than it has been in previous meetings between these two. The over is 6-0-1 in the Celtics last 7 home games. Take the over.
03-03-12 Montana State v. Portland State OVER 145 53-75 Loss -110 10 h 3 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* Montana State and Portland State are two teams I like to play the 'over' with. Both of these teams are more comfortable playing at a quick pace, and they both struggle badly on the defensive end. Portland State is a scoring machine at home, and this game will be played on their home floor. Both teams are great at getting to the line, and both teams shoot the three ball extremely well. I projected this one at 151 points, so I see a ton of value here. Take the over in this one.
03-03-12 San Diego St v. Texas Christian OVER 138 98-92 Win 100 19 h 54 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* TCU is one of my favorite 'over' teams for a few reasons. The Horned Frogs are pushing the pace this year when they used to walk it up the floor, so the books haven't fully adjusted their numbers just yet. Also, TCU is terrible defensively and the opposition always gets plenty of easy looks. TCU is also a team that fouls a lot so there are plenty of trips to the charity stripe. The first meeting between these two teams saw them score 156 points. Look for another high scoring game here. Take the over.
03-03-12 Arkansas v. Mississippi State OVER 147 59-79 Loss -100 18 h 14 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The first game between these teams finished at 98-88. Arkansas has sped up the tempo in a big way this year under Mike Anderson. The Razorbacks have the athletes to do this, and I think they will get Mississippi State into a track meet again in this one. The Bulldogs have plenty of talent, but they have underachieved this year. I think the Bulldogs offense will thrive against Arkansas' weak half court defense in this one. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Take the over.
03-03-12 Over v. Under OVER 152 63-87 Loss -110 4 h 10 m Show
*3 Star NCAA MAAC Total* Iona is clearly the class of the MAAC. Marist has been playing quite a bit better of late, especially on the offensive end. The two regular season meetings finished at 157 and 176 points. Marist likes to play very quick, so Iona won't need to fight to push the pace in this game. Both teams are efficient offensively, and neither of them play much defense at all. I projected this one at 156 points. Expect plenty of trips to the line and plenty of open three-pointers from both teams. Take the over.
03-03-12 Alabama v. Mississippi UNDER 124 51-60 Win 100 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Alabama is built around their solid defense. Mississippi is a much better team on their home floor. The Rebels allow just 59 points per game at home. The first meeting between these two went into double overtime and it still only got to a final score of 69-67. Defense should rule once again in this one. Look for a half court style of game where the offenses struggle to get in a rhythm. I projected this one at 119 points. Take the under on this SEC battle in Mississippi.
03-03-12 Vanderbilt v. Tennessee UNDER 136 61-68 Win 100 19 h 42 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB SEC Totals Takedown* Tennessee is a much different team this year under Coach Martin than they were under Coach Pearl. The Volunteers rely heavily on their strong defense to win them games. They realize that they don't have any business running with Vanderbilt, and i don't think they will here. Vanderbilt has struggled quite a bit on the road this year, and this is a bitter rivalry where defensive games have been the norm. I projected this game at 131 points. I like the value on the under here.
03-03-12 Rhode Island v. Massachusetts OVER 150 83-89 Win 100 19 h 40 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Rhode Island went through a little spurt this year where they were slowing the tempo down, but that was only because they were short-handed. Now that they have everyone back in their lineup they seem to be back to running and gunning like normal. UMass plays at one of the fastest paces in all of college basketball this year. The Minutemen press and force the issue all throughout the game. I projected this one at 154 points. Look for the offenses to get plenty of open looks here. Take the over.
03-03-12 UTEP v. Southern Methodist UNDER 115 48-57 Win 100 3 h 2 m Show
*3 Star NCAA Hidden GEM Total* The first meeting between these two went into overtime, but before overtime the score was 53-53. Both of these teams basically stall on the offensive end of the floor. SMU is the team that plays even slower, and I expect them to control the tempo at home here. Both of these teams have had multiple games finish below this very low total. I don't like playing totals that are this low, but I actually think this one will likely stay under 110 points. I see lots of value here. Take the under.
03-03-12 American v. Lehigh Mountain OVER 127.5 66-85 Win 100 4 h 44 m Show
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Lehigh is the better team here, and they should be able to control the tempo that this game is played at. The first two meetings finished at 131 and 133. I think 132 is about where this line should have been, but instead we got a nice value on the over. American doesn't have the defense necessary to keep Lehigh off the board. Once American gets behind, it will be tough for them to keep slowing the game down. Look for Lehigh to get an early lead and keep pushing the pace. Take the over.
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