02-11-12 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Oakland OVER 157.5 |
|
82-93 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Under Radar Total* Fort Wayne likes to push the tempo and Oakland plays faster than anyone in the Summit League. This one should be played at a breakneck pace. The first game between these two went well over and I think this will as well. Take the over.
|
02-10-12 |
Wisconsin-Green Bay v. Wright State UNDER 123 |
Top |
53-48 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Wright State plays at one of the slowest paces in all of college basketball. The Raiders don't have many offensive weapons, but they do control the tempo and play solid half court defense. Wisconsin-Green Bay averages only 58.8 points per game on the road, and they have yet to win a single game away from home. Wright State isn't the type of team that can put up a big number, so I expect a pretty close game here. The last two games between these teams have finished with totals of 110 and 113. I projected this one at 118 points. The under is 6-1-1 in the Raiders last 8. Take the under big!
|
02-10-12 |
Miami Heat v. Washington Wizards OVER 199.5 |
|
106-89 |
Loss |
-101 |
17 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Miami Heat are getting out in transition quite a bit more this year. I often wondered last season why the team didn't run more, and I think it is a great idea that they are finally using their athleticism to their advantage. Miami is second in the NBA in points per game at 102.8. The last two times they have played the Wizards, Miami has scored 121 and 123 points. Washington plays terrible defense, but they love to push the tempo of the game with John Wall and Nick Young. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Santa Clara v. San Francisco OVER 154.5 |
|
69-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Santa Clara looked like a team with a lot of promise in the non-conference part of the season. Now the Broncos are a team that is still looking for their first win in the WCC. The Broncos don't play much defense at all, and opponents are regularly putting up 85 or 90 points on them. San Francisco has picked up the pace considerably as the season has moved along. The Dons use a full court press to create turnovers and push the tempo in a big way. The first meeting between these two finished at 90-77. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Cal St-Northridge v. UC Davis OVER 138.5 |
|
71-79 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* UC Davis is a short-handed team this year, but there is one thing they can still do offensively and that is shoot the three-ball. Cal State Northridge is horrible in the half court defense sets, and Davis should line up plenty of open threes in this one. On the other hand, Northridge is great at pressing and forcing turnovers. Davis doesn't have a good ball-handler to help them through this pressure. Look for Northridge to turn this into a very quick paced game. I like this one to finish in the low 140's. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Cal Irvine v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 150 |
|
94-100 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big West Total* When these two teams combine it is almost always a track meet. UC Irvine isn't a very good team at all, but they push the tempo with the best of them. Fullerton is a solid team that loves to run and gun when given the opportunity. Both of these teams can knock down shots from beyond the arc in bunches, and neither team guards beyond the arc well at all. The first meeting finished in a 92-84 shootout. This one likely won't be that high, but I projected this one at 155 points. Take the over in this one.
|
02-09-12 |
San Diego v. Pepperdine UNDER 125 |
|
70-57 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Pepperdine is one of the worst offensive teams in the nation. This is a team that averages just 59 points per game. San Diego is improved on offense this year, but they are far from a powerful offense. Pepperdine knows the only way they can stay in games is to slow the game down to a crawl. Expect an ugly game here where both teams struggle to find a rhythm offensively. I projected this one at 121 points. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the under in this one.
|
02-09-12 |
Portland State v. Idaho State OVER 142.5 |
|
67-54 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Portland State is one of those teams that is very solid offensively, but they simply don't play any defense. This team makes opponents look great on offense because they simply leave far too many people wide open for easy looks at the basket. Idaho State has been an 'over' machine at home for quite some time. The over is 46-21 in the last 67 home games for the Bengals. The over is also an impressive 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Look for this one to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
02-09-12 |
Western Illinois v. Southern Utah UNDER 115 |
|
44-60 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Western Illinois plays the second slowest tempo in all of college basketball. The Leathernecks simply stall on offense and shoot in the last few seconds of the shot clock. They are also a pretty good defensive team. Western Illinois and Southern Utah played to a 65-55 game earlier this year. The interesting thing about that one was that S. Utah shot 62.5% from the floor and still only got to 65 points because of the slow pace. The under is 10-1 in S. Utah's last 11 games. The under is 14-6-1 in W. Illinois' last 21 road games. Take the under.
|
02-09-12 |
Siena v. Niagara OVER 136.5 |
|
54-58 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Siena and Niagara met earlier this year and the total finished at just 132. The teams combined to shoot just 9 for 47 from three-point range in that one. Niagara pushes the pace more at home, and Siena will need to score some points if they wish to win this one. The Purple Eagles should find their shooting stroke much quicker in this one. Look for a close game here to help push this one over as well with fouls at the end adding quite a few points to the total. Take the over in this matchup.
|
02-08-12 |
Michigan v. Nebraska UNDER 121.5 |
Top |
62-46 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 49 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Total* Michigan and Nebraska play a very similar style of basketball. Both teams like to use a lot of motion on offense, but they rarely shoot until the shot clock is low. Neither team is particularly good at getting second chance opportunities, but they both get back on defense very well. These teams have never met before, and I think that means this game will be a feeling out process. The under is 8-1 in Michigan's last 9. I projected this one at 117 points. Look for the defenses to control this one. Take the under big.
|
02-08-12 |
Miami Ohio v. Northern Illinois UNDER 119 |
|
59-62 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Ugly Basketball Play* Miami (Ohio) has been a team that slows the game down for many years now. The Redhawks simply don't have too many offensive weapons, so they rely on ball control and defense to win them games. Northern Illinois is a terrible team, but they have been able to stay in some games at home because they have played decent defense. The under is 11-3 in Northern Illinois' last 14 home games. The under is 10-4 in Miami's last 14 road games. Don't watch this one becausse it will be ugly, but I think the under cashes here.
|
02-08-12 |
St Bonaventure v. Massachusetts OVER 142 |
Top |
67-76 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 50 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* UMass plays at the fastest tempo of any team in the nation right now according to possessions per game. Derek Kellogg's team uses the full court press to speed up the opponent and create easy transition opportunities. St. Bonaventure has sped up their tempo throughout the season. The Bonnies will have a nice advantage inside with Andrew Nicholson, and he should do very well in this one. UMass has the big edge on the outside. Expect plenty of layups in this one. I projected this one out at 147 or 148. The over is 5-1 in the Bonnies last 6 and 15-7 in the Minutemen's last 22. Take the over big here.
|
02-08-12 |
Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 195 |
|
92-99 |
Loss |
-115 |
4 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Byron Scott has been preaching to the Cleveland Cavs that he wants them to push the basketball at every opportunity. Kyrie Irving's speed has allowed this Cavs team to start doing just that. The Clippers have been pushing it a lot lately since Chris Paul got healthy again. The over is 7-3 in the Clippers last 10 games. The over is 5-2 in the Cavs last 7 home games. Look for both teams to get up a lot of shots in this one. I think this has a good chance of topping the 200 point mark. Take the over.
|
02-08-12 |
New York Knicks v. Washington Wizards OVER 191.5 |
|
107-93 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Value* I realize that the Knicks have no Amar'e Stoudemire or Carmelo Anthony, but I think just about any team can put up a lot of points on this Wizards defense. Washington will push the pace with John Wall and Nick Young leading the way. The Knicks now have a guy in Jeremy Lin that can push the pace and score from the point guard spot. This number has been pushed down quite a bit because of the injuries here, and I think the line move has given us a nice value. Look for plenty of easy shots for both teams. Take the over.
|
02-08-12 |
Drexel v. James Madison UNDER 127 |
|
63-56 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB CAA Total* James Madison has been extremely inconsistent offensively this year. The Dukes miss star Julius Wells in a big way. Drexel is the best defensive team in the conference, and I think they'll slow down James Madison quite a bit in this one. Only one of Drexel's last 13 games has gone above this posted total. Against a team with a short-handed offensive I don't see why this one would go over. Look for the strong defense of Drexel to control this game nicely. I think this has a good chance of staying in the low 120's. Take the under.
|
02-08-12 |
Jacksonville State v. Morehead St. UNDER 120 |
Top |
69-55 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Jacksonville State and Morehead State played to a 63-55 total a few weeks ago. The shooting in that game was actually pretty decent, and there were a lot of trips to the free throw line. Morehead State has been an under machine at home this year (7-0 in their last 7). Jacksonville State likes to play at a slow pace when they can, and Morehead State plays even slower. Look for this one to stay in the half court all the way through. I projected 115 points in this one, so I like the value here. Take the under big.
|
02-08-12 |
Pittsburgh v. South Florida UNDER 124.5 |
|
51-63 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Pittsburgh has bounced back nicely with a couple great wins in the past week. Jamie Dixon's teams always play solid defense and South Florida is terrible offensively. The Bulls slow the pace down in a major way, especially at home. South Florida will turn this into a half court game, and Pitt is fine with that because of their strength in the post. The under is 12-4 in Pitt's last 16 road games. The under is 13-5 in South Florida's last 18 games overall. I projected this one at 119 points. Take the under here.
|
02-07-12 |
Alabama v. Auburn UNDER 119.5 |
|
68-50 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Anthony Grant's Crimson Tide always play great defense, and it should be very tough for Auburn to score in this one. At the same time, Auburn only gives up 59.1 points per game at home. Alabama will miss Tony Mitchell in a big way in this rivalry game on the road. Look for the tempo to be slow, and this one should be played in the half court all the way. The under is 12-5 in Auburn's last 17 home games. I projected this one at 115 or 116 points. This one should be a tight battle to the end in a defensive struggle. Take the under.
|
02-07-12 |
Phoenix Suns v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194 |
|
107-105 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Phoenix Suns offense has started to click of late. Phoenix is averaging 99 points per game in their last five contests. Channing Frye is heating up from the outside. Milwaukee has been playing at a much faster pace this year, especially now that Andrew Bogut is out of the lineup. The over is a perfect 8-0 in Milwaukee's last 8 home games. Both point guards can fill it up if needed, and I think Nash and Jennings will both get lots of open looks in this one. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
02-06-12 |
Marquette v. DePaul OVER 155.5 |
|
89-76 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* These teams combined for 158 points in last year's meeting despite hitting only 9 of 34 from beyond the arc. Marquette is playing at an even quicker pace this year and DePaul always pushes the tempo in a big way. Oliver Purnell's team uses the full court press to force the action. Expect plenty of easy buckets for both teams in a game like this. The over is 4-1 in DePaul's last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in Marquette's last 5 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Take the over here.
|
02-06-12 |
Texas v. Texas A&M UNDER 125.5 |
Top |
70-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Texas A&M has a couple key players listed as questionable for this one. Khris Middleton and Dash Harris play a big role in the team's offense. The Aggies struggle badly to score even when they have a full roster, and even if these two play they won't be 100%. The first game between these two intrastate rivals finished 61-51. The shooting percentages actually weren't that bad, it was just a very slow paced game. Texas A&M needs to control the pace and count on their defense, and they are even better at doing just that at home. The under is 11-4 in the Aggies last 15. I would have played the under at a much lower number. I think this one stays under 120. Take the under big!
|
02-05-12 |
Niagara v. Rider OVER 153.5 |
|
73-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Both of these teams like to run and gun. In addition, neither team plays much defense at all. Both teams should be able to fill it up because of the lack of defense here. I don't expect to see many half court sets here, rather it will be a lot of transition buckets. The over is 25-8-1 in Rider's last 34 Sunday games. The over is 18-8 in Rider's last 26 games overall. The over is 7-1 in Rider's last 8 home games. I projected this one at 159 points. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
02-05-12 |
Memphis Grizzlies v. Boston Celtics UNDER 178.5 |
|
80-98 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* Memphis and Boston will tip off at noon eastern on Sunday. I like the under in these early Sunday afternoon games. NBA stars are known to spend some time out late at night on Saturday night's, and the games are usually a little more lethargic than normal early on a Sunday. The under is 11-2 in Memphis' 13 road games this year. The under is 12-2 in Boston's 12 home games this year. A combined 23-4 winning angle isn't a bit shabby. The under is an impressive 21-5 in the Celtics last 26 home games. The pace should be slow here. Take the under.
|
02-04-12 |
Cal State Northridge v. Long Beach State OVER 144.5 |
|
67-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
24 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Big West Total Takedown* Cal State Northridge loves to push the pace and use a full court pressure. Quite frankly, their full court pressure isn't very good and I think Long Beach will use their veteran guards to break it for a ton of easy layups. Long Beach has several guys who are capable of having a big scoring night. The first meeting between these two this year finished at 149 points. The two teams shot 37% and 44% from the floor in that one. I think it is reasonable to assume that a similar pace and shooting numbers will occur here. My system projects 148 or 149 points here. Take the over.
|
02-04-12 |
Idaho v. Nevada UNDER 129.5 |
|
72-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
24 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Idaho is a very good defensive team that aims to slow the tempo down at every opportunity. Nevada has plenty of athletes, but they have realized that their best chance of winning is to run an offense and play great half court defense. The Wolfpack are only giving up 61 points per game at home this year. Idaho was only able to muster 55 points against Nevada at home, and now they must try to take on the Nevada defense on the road. The first meeting stayed under the posted total despite Nevada shooting better than 50% from the field. Take the under here.
|
02-04-12 |
Gonzaga v. Pepperdine UNDER 125.5 |
|
72-60 |
Loss |
-108 |
22 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star West Coast Total Takedown* Pepperdine has one of the worst offenses in the nation. Gonzaga hasn't been running up the score as much as normal this year. I projected this one at 120 points. Take the under.
|
02-04-12 |
Louisiana Tech v. New Mexico State OVER 143.5 |
Top |
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 48 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total of the Week* Louisiana Tech has adopted a new strategy this year, and that means the team is pushing the pace at every opportunity. New Mexico State loves to run and gun, and they lead in the nation in free throw attempts. In the first meeting between these two the game easily went 'over' the posted total despite the Bulldogs shooting 5 out of 29 from three-point range. I don't expect either team to slow this one down at all. I think this one gets over 150 points, so I really like the value here. Take the over in a big way!
|
02-04-12 |
Bradley v. Illinois State OVER 136.5 |
|
48-78 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* Bradley is one of my favorite over teams because of their terrible defense. Illinois State should be able to put up a big number. Take the over.
|
02-04-12 |
Morehead St. v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 119.5 |
|
56-55 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Total Takedown* Morehead State and Eastern Illinois are two teams that love slow down the game in a big way. Last year's meeting between these teams at Eastern Illinois finished in a 47-40 win for the Panthers. I don't expect something that low this time, but the winner may struggle to get to 55 here. The under is 8-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 9 home games. The under is 5-0 in Morehead State's last 5 games. I projected this one at 114 points. Look for a sloppy low scoring game here. Take the under in this one.
|
02-04-12 |
Buffalo v. Toledo OVER 137.5 |
|
72-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total Takedown* Buffalo is a team that likes to push the tempo at every chance. Most teams in the MAC like to slow the game down, but Toledo has gotten to where they like to run and gun when given the chance this year as well. The Rockets average 71 points per game at home this year. The over is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. The over is 35-16 in Buffalo's last 51 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 141 or 142 points. I like the over here.
|
02-04-12 |
Canisius v. Marist OVER 141.5 |
|
69-80 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MAAC Total Takedown* Marist is a strange team that loves to run despite being inefficent on offense and terrible on defense. Canisius lost 105-86 Thursday to Iona, so we know they can play high scoring games. The first meeting saw poor shooting and stayed under. Expect this one to go over.
|
02-04-12 |
Santa Clara v. San Diego OVER 145.5 |
|
65-70 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Santa Clara looked like a team that would be dangerous in the WCC this year, but they have yet to win a game in the conference. What is the main reason for their struggles? The Broncos play almost no defense. San Diego is a much improved team that has been playing well against top notch squads of late. San Diego put up 73 points at St. Mary's in a close loss Thursday night. Santa Clara has given up at least 84 points in four of their last six games. This one should be an up and down kind of game. Take the over here.
|
02-04-12 |
Northeastern v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 123 |
|
56-59 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Totals Terrorizer* Shaka Smart's VCU Rams seem to have sped up of late. The full court pressure is back and it should cause a lot of turnovers in this one. Take the over.
|
02-04-12 |
Marquette v. Notre Dame UNDER 129 |
|
59-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
15 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* Notre Dame has shocked most of the country by going on a nice winning streak of late. How have they done it? The team has taken a page out of its books from a couple years ago when Luke Harangoady went down with an injury. Mike Brey and the team have decided to slow the tempo down in a big way. Notre Dame controls the clock and plays very strong defense. The result has been nine straight games finishing under the posted total. Marquette will try to run out in transition some, but I think Notre Dame controls the tempo at home here. The under is 9-0 in their last 9. I think this one makes it 10 straight. Take the under.
|
02-03-12 |
Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187.5 |
|
94-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* Orlando has had all sorts of trouble getting their offense going of late. Dwight Howard is still playing well in the middle, but everyone else on the team is struggling in a big way. Orlando is averaging just 82.6 points per game in their last five games overall. Cleveland typically pushes the tempo some, but they are missing some key players tonight. Tristan Thompson, Anthony Parker, and Daniel Gibson are expected to miss this one. Those three combine for 20 points per game. The under is 35-16-2 in the Magic's last 53 home games. The referees here skew slightly toward the under. Take the under in this one.
|
02-02-12 |
Pacific v. UC Riverside UNDER 120 |
|
60-52 |
Win
|
101 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Pacific and UC Riverside played earlier this year and the final was 64-57. I lost on the 'under' in that one, but I am going to play the under again here at a slightly better value. UCR made 9 out of 13 three's in that first game, and Pacific hit 7 out of 17. Neither of these teams typically shoot it well from beyond the arc. Expect lower shooting percentages here and the same very slow tempo. I projected this one at 115 or 116, so I like the value here. Take the under in this matchup.
|
02-02-12 |
Idaho v. Fresno State UNDER 130 |
|
55-65 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Total Takedown* Idaho and Fresno State play a similar style of basketball. Both rely heavily on their defense and their ability to control the basketball and the pace of the game. Earlier this year when these two met the final was 63-59. The shooting percentages weren't too bad in that one, and I think they could easily be worse this time around. Fresno State has been slowing down the tempo even more in recent weeks, and I think that makes this line have more value. The under is 17-8 in Fresno State's last 25 home games. Take the under.
|
02-02-12 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Cal St-Fullerton UNDER 132 |
|
61-83 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Big West Total* Cal Poly is one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. They realize that they need to get the clock rolling and control the ball if they are going to beat CS Fullerton on their home floor. The first meeting finished at 73-67, but there were a ridiculous amount of free throws taken in that one (60). I expect fewer trips to the line in this one. The under is 9-3 in Cal Poly's last 12 road games. I projected this one at 127 points. Look for this one to go down to the wire in a defensive battle. Take the under here.
|
02-02-12 |
Southern Utah v. North Dakota State UNDER 131 |
Top |
64-85 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Southern Utah has changed the way they play this year. The team is slowing the game down in a big way. The oddsmakers continue to set the team's lines a little too high, as they are apparently taking into account the last couple years when Southern Utah ran quite a bit. North Dakota State is more comfortable at a slower pace as well, so I don't think there will be a pace battle here. The under is a perfect 9-0 in Southern Utah's last 9 games overall. The under is 14-5 in North Dakota State's last 19 games overall. Take the under big!
|
02-02-12 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Western Illinois UNDER 124.5 |
|
52-62 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* Western Illinois plays at the second slowest tempo in all of basketball. The Leathernecks (yes that is their nickname) walk it up the floor and force the opposing team into a slow it down style of game, especially on their home floor. Fort Wayne would like to try to push the tempo some, but I just don't think it will happen here. The first game went well over the posted total, but the teams shot a combined 16/30 on three-point attempts. The under is 4-0 in Fort Wayne's last 4. The under is 5-1 in Western Illinois' last 6 home games. Take the under.
|
02-02-12 |
Eastern Kentucky v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 127 |
|
47-43 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Totals Takedown* Eastern Kentucky and Eastern Illinois have a real history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. Last year the two meetings finished with 112 and 114 points total. Both of these teams like to slow down the tempo, so I expect a half court game. The under is 17-8 in Eastern Kentucky's last 25 road games. The under is 43-19-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 63 games against the Ohio Valley Conference. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Expect a low scoring game. Take the under.
|
02-02-12 |
Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 144.5 |
|
73-78 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Horizon League Total* These teams have a history of playing high scoring games against each other. Both teams like to get out in transition and get to the free throw line by attacking the hoop. Take the over.
|
02-02-12 |
James Madison v. Old Dominion UNDER 125 |
|
71-80 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Colonial Conference Total* James Madison has badly missed Julius Wells this year, and their offense has been very inefficient. ODU is great defensively and poor on the offensive end. This looks like a low scoring contest to me.
|
02-01-12 |
Colorado St v. UNLV OVER 148 |
|
63-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
22 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* Colorado State is a very poor defensive team and UNLV should be able to take advantage of that in a big way here. Dave Rice is having his UNLV team push the pace in a big way this year. UNLV averages 87 points per game at home this year, and I think they have a good shot at getting to that average in this one. Colorado State can bomb in three-pointers so I expect them to be able to score quite a few here as well. I had this one projected at 152 points. The over is 4-1 in UNLV's last 5 games. Take the over.
|
02-01-12 |
Baylor v. Texas A&M UNDER 130 |
Top |
63-60 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 36 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Baylor and Texas A&M played to a 61-52 final in their first meeting this year. Khris Middleton played in that game, and he is expected to miss this one. Middleton is the guy that Texas A&M runs its offense through. Baylor is great defensively, and I think they'll make life extremely difficult on an already weak Texas A&M offense. Baylor plays at a faster pace than Texas A&M, but I think the Aggies will slow this game down in a big way since that is truly their only chance in this game. Expect a slow pace and good defense by both teams. Take the under.
|
02-01-12 |
Evansville v. Bradley OVER 147.5 |
|
92-62 |
Win
|
102 |
20 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Totals Takedown* Evansville and Bradley both like to push the tempo when they can. The Missouri Valley Conference has several teams that try to slow the pace down significantly, and that actually creates more value for us in a game like this. I don't see either team slowing the tempo in this one. The first meeting between these two finished at 90-67. Both teams get to the free throw line a lot, and that should help us quite a bit here. The over is 6-0 in Evansville's last 6 road games. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 games between these two at Bradley. Take the over.
|
02-01-12 |
St. Bonaventure v. St. Louis UNDER 123 |
|
62-86 |
Loss |
-108 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* St. Louis is great at controlling the pace of the game. Rick Majerus' team simply knows how to take care of the ball and make the most of their possessions. If they get a lead, they are great at taking the air out of the ball. St. Bonaventure isn't a team that pushes the pace either. The under is 22-9-1 in their last 31 road games. A game between two teams like this who play solid defense and stay in the half court rather than transition should be particularly low scoring. Take the under in this one.
|
02-01-12 |
Massachusetts v. Rhode Island OVER 150.5 |
|
78-81 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Rhode Island was previously one of my favorite 'over' teams, but they have had a ton of injuries this year. The team has gotten healthy again now, and they showed what they can do this past weekend when they traveled to Dayton and beat the Flyers by scoring 86 points. UMass plays at one of the fastest tempo's in the nation. The Minutemen force a ton of turnovers with their full court press. Look for Rhode Island to run and gun again here with their full roster back, which sets this one up nicely for an over. I think this one gets to 155 or higher. Take the over.
|
02-01-12 |
Oakland v. IUPU-Indianapolis OVER 167 |
|
75-79 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Under the Radar Total* Oakland pushes the tempo just about as well as anyone in college basketball, but that isn't the only reason they are a great 'over' team. Oakland also plays terrible defense and allows opponents to hit 41.4% from 3 and 54.4% from two point range. IUPUI plays at a pretty quick pace as well, and they are also terrible defensively. The first meeting between these two finished at 174 points, and I think this one will be in the same general range. This is a very high total, but I still think the value is on the over.
|
01-31-12 |
Youngstown State v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 126 |
|
73-65 |
Loss |
-101 |
18 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Wisconsin-Milwaukee has been great defensively this year, especially at home. The Panthers are giving up just 52.8 points per contest at home. Youngstown State relies extremely heavily on the three-point shot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee allows opponents to shoot just 25.3% from beyond the arc. Youngstown State doesn't really have the interior game to get it deep in the paint all that often. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is likely to get a lead here and then control the tempo by running clock on most possessions. Take the under here.
|
01-30-12 |
SIU Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech OVER 141.5 |
|
80-98 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* SIU Edwardsville is a team that likes to push the tempo when they can. Edwardsville isn't a very good team, and they can struggle to dictate the tempo of the game, but it shouldn't matter in this one. Tennessee Tech prefers to play at a quick pace, and the Golden Eagles average nearly 75 points per game at home. The first meeting between these teams finished in an 83-68 upset win for SIU Edwardsville. Both teams shoot the three-ball well and neither defense is good at defending beyond the arc. Take the over.
|
01-29-12 |
Iowa v. Indiana OVER 151 |
|
89-103 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Totals Takedown* Iowa and Indiana have both picked up the tempo significantly this year. Both coaches are just now getting their team to learn their style of offense after a couple years on the job at the school. Indiana is one of the top 15 teams in the nation right now, and it is primarily because of their balance. Cody Zeller is an excellent freshman and Jordan Hulls and the rest of the backcourt give him plenty of help. Iowa will run with the Hoosiers in this one, and I really think this could get up around 158 or 159. Take the over.
|
01-29-12 |
Montana v. Portland State UNDER 143.5 |
|
69-67 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The first time around these teams battled to a 75-64 game. Montana was able to control the tempo to some degree, and I expect that to happen again here. Portland State has actually slowed down a bit tempo wise of late. The posted total was 140.5 in the first meeting between these two, so I think getting 143.5 is a nice value. I look for this game to end somewhere in the upper 130's. Montana has the defense to slow this game down and I expect them to do that. Take the under in this one.
|
01-29-12 |
Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat UNDER 191 |
|
93-97 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* Derek Rose and the Chicago Bulls have had this game circled for a while now. The Bulls were knocked out of the playoffs last year by the Heat, and they should come ready to play in this one. Luol Deng is out for this one and Richard Hamilton is questionable. Chicago is doing it with their defense this year and I expect that to slow this game down quite a bit. The number fell below this posted total in six of the eight games between these teams last year. Both defenses should show up here. Take the under.
|
01-29-12 |
Siena v. Rider OVER 140 |
|
72-83 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Siena and Rider already met once this year. Rider dropped an 83-79 shootout at Siena. Rider is a team that loves to push the pace and get out in transition. Look for the Broncs to do that and get plenty of open looks in this one. The final total of 162 was well above this posted total, but the shooting numbers weren't great last time around. The over is 24-8-1 in Rider's last 33 games. The over is 8-3 in Rider's last 11 games overall. I projected this one at 144. Look for the pace to push this one over.
|
01-28-12 |
San Diego v. San Francisco OVER 146.5 |
|
70-84 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* San Diego has picked up the pace significantly this year compared to last. They still aren't a very good team, but they do like to push it quite a bit. San Diego is a strange team in that they actually average more points on the road than they do at home. San Francisco averages 74 per game this year offensively, but in their last five games they are averaging 81 per contest. The Dons use a full court press to get a lot of quick buckets off teams without a good ball-handler (like San Diego). The over is 20-8 in San Francisco's last 28 home games. Take the over.
|
01-28-12 |
San Jose St v. Utah State UNDER 133 |
|
65-82 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Totals Takedown* Utah State is known for their dominance at home, but they haven't been as good this year. San Jose State is poor offensively and I expect the Aggies to shut down the Spartans in this one. I projected this one at 129. Take the under.
|
01-28-12 |
Tulane v. Rice OVER 121 |
|
74-88 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Fade the Public* Tulane and Rice played to a 50-49 final earlier this year. Because of this most of the betting public is putting money on the 'under' in this one. Without looking deeper into the first game it would make sense to wager on the under. After looking at the stats, both teams shot it horribly from the floor (37% and 29%). In addition, both teams have been picking up their tempo quite a bit of late. Rice averages 70 points per game at home and Tulane has been scoring 63.5 points per game in the last 5 games. Take the over here.
|
01-28-12 |
Virginia Cavaliers v. North Carolina State UNDER 123.5 |
|
61-60 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB ACC Totals Takedown* Virginia is great at playing its style of basketball and not letting anyone take them off their game plan. Tony Bennett has done a tremendous job with this team. NC State is an up and coming team as well. The Wolfpack like to run when given chances, but I don't think Virginia will give them many opportunities to do that in this game. Only three of the Cavaliers 19 games have gone over this posted total. Look for the Virginia defense to set the tempo in this one. I projected this one at about 119 points. Take the under here.
|
01-28-12 |
Illinois v. Minnesota UNDER 127 |
|
72-77 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Big Ten Totals Takedown* Minnesota and Illinois square off for the second time this season on Saturday evening. Both of these teams have been better than most expected this year. The Golden Gophers defense has gotten remarkably better since the first time these teams met, and Illinois seems to struggle to score on the road. The pace should be very slow in this one, and I don't think the shooting numbers will be very impressive. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 123 points. Take the under.
|
01-28-12 |
La Salle v. Duquesne OVER 145.5 |
|
71-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* LaSalle and Duquesne are two of my very favorite teams to play the 'over' with, so I had this one circled a long time ago. Both teams like to press and force turnovers to push the pace and get easy baskets. It's hard to imagine either one of these teams slowing the game down in this one. The last two times these teams met the finals were 88-71 and 103-82. The total is set quite a bit a lower here, and I honestly don't understand it. I think this one has a good chance to get into the mid 150's. Take the over big.
|
01-28-12 |
Kent State v. Toledo OVER 140.5 |
|
77-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Under the Radar Total* Kent State is averaging 79 points per game and giving up 76 per game in their last five. Toledo has picked up the pace a lot this year and I think this one will be an up and down game. Take the over.
|
01-28-12 |
SIU Edwardsville v. Jacksonville State UNDER 124.5 |
|
65-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA Hidden GEM Total* SIU Edwardsville is averaging a miserable 54.5 points per game on the road. Jacksonville state gives up just 59.5 per game at home. I projected this one at 120 or 121. Take the under.
|
01-28-12 |
Texas v. Baylor UNDER 141 |
|
71-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special Total* Texas and Baylor will meet in an interesting Big 12 matchup early Saturday afternoon. Baylor has had a couple tough losses of late and they will be looking to prove themselves. The Bears have a great frontcourt and an underrated backcourt. Baylor is a very good defensive team. The Bears are giving up just 60 points per game at home. Texas doesn't have too many offensive options, and I think they'll struggle to score here. Look for the Longhorns to slow this one down a bit to stay in it as well. Take the under.
|
01-27-12 |
Toronto Raptors v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 198 |
|
81-96 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Play of the Day* Toronto has slowed the pace down significantly this year compared to last season. Ty Lawson is the man that runs the show for the Nuggets on a consistent basis, and he is out for this one with an ankle injury. Expect Denver to play at a slower pace than normal as well here. Toronto simply doesn't have any primary scorer when Bargnani is out, as he well be tonight. I expect this to be a very sloppy game where the offenses look out of rhythm all game long. Take the under.
|
01-27-12 |
Boston v. Stony Brook UNDER 120.5 |
Top |
57-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 27 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* Rarely do we get a chance to have a lined game between teams like Boston and Stony Brook and I think the oddsmakers made a mistake here. Boston and Stony Brook both rank among the slowest paced teams in all of college basketball as far as tempo. Earlier this year the final was 61-55 when they met, and the shooting numbers weren't all that bad. Both teams are great at avoiding fouls on the defensive end. I don't expect many trips to the charity stripe here. Both of their meetings last year stayed well below this total. I projected this one at 115 points, so I really like the value here. Take the under big.
|
01-27-12 |
Harvard v. Yale UNDER 128.5 |
|
65-35 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Ivy League Totals Takedown* Yale is a team that likes to push the tempo when they are able to, but I don't think they'll be able to against Harvard. Tommy Amaker's Harvard team is great at controlling the tempo with their good ball handlers and great defense. Opponents are hitting just 31% from three and 43% from two against Harvard. The under is an impressive 38-14-1 in Harvard's last 53 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4. The under is 5-2 in Yale's last 7 games. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
|
01-26-12 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 153 |
|
70-68 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big West Totals Takedown* Both of these teams like to run and gun and I think this one has the potential to be a very high scoring affair. Take the over.
|
01-26-12 |
Cal Poly Slo v. Pacific UNDER 117 |
|
51-61 |
Win
|
100 |
21 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* In this one it should be all about tempo, and I expect the tempo to be extremely slow. This one will be played at a snail's pace. Last year's meetings between these two teams finished at 58-39 and 43-39! The teams don't play any faster this year, and both defenses should fare well in this one. Cal Poly has been solid offensively at home, but on the road they average just 54 points per contest. The under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games at Pacific. This is the type of game where the winner may struggle to hit 50 points. Take the under.
|
01-26-12 |
San Jose St v. Idaho UNDER 134.5 |
|
66-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
21 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Bailout* San Jose State has struggled to score against the best defenses this year. The Spartans miss Adrian Oliver in a big way this year. They really don't have a go to guy on offense, and Idaho plays very good half court defense. The Vandals control the tempo very well. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. It's hard to imagine San Jose State putting up too many here, and Idaho isn't the type of team that runs up the score very often. I projected this one at 130 or 131. Take the under here.
|
01-26-12 |
UMKC v. Southern Utah UNDER 131 |
|
47-57 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Summit League Totals Winner* Southern Utah has slowed their tempo down as the season has moved along and UMKC should be happy to play at a slow pace. I like the value on the under here.
|
01-26-12 |
Eastern Illinois v. Jacksonville State UNDER 124 |
|
45-63 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Totals Takedown* Jacksonville State and Eastern Illinois are two teams that have historically won by slowing the game down and focusing on the defensive end of the floor. Jacksonville State has a strong half court defense, and neither of these teams are very good offensively. The under is 27-13-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 41 road games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. I had this one projected at 119 or 120, so I like the value here. Look for this to stay under the posted total.
|
01-26-12 |
Austin Peay St v. SE Missouri State OVER 148 |
|
60-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Both of these teams can put up points in bunches, and I expect this to be an offensive shootout. Take the over.
|
01-26-12 |
Butler v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 119 |
|
42-53 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* The first time these two teams met this year the final was 54-50. I don't see any reason to think that the offenses are going to all at once light it up here. Both defenses are pretty good, and these offenses have struggled quite a bit this year. Butler may not be nearly as good this year, but you know a Brad Stevens coached team is going to be very tough to beat with their disciplined style of basketball. I projected this one at 115 points. Look for a low scoring game between two tough teams. Take the under.
|
01-26-12 |
Fresno State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 134.5 |
|
58-59 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Home Team Tempo Play* Louisiana Tech has been speeding up significantly over the last few games. The Bulldogs have put up at least 60 field goal attempts in 7 of their last 8 games. Clearly, this is a team that has decided to run and gun. Fresno State doesn't slow the game down as much as they did last year. It is typical for the home team to be able to control the flow of the game, and I think that will be the case in this one. Look for the Bulldogs to get out and running. I projected this one at 139 points. Take the over here.
|
01-26-12 |
Tennessee Tech v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 135 |
|
82-65 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Tennessee Tech is a high scoring team, but Eastern Kentucky should realize that the way to go here is to slow the tempo down. Eastern Kentucky is generally very good at doing just that. I expect the tempo in this one to be quite slow. Tennessee Tech has gone on occasional scoring droughts on the road this year, and that should help this one. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tightly contested game where both defenses bring their best effort in this one. Take the under in this matchup.
|
01-25-12 |
Creighton v. Drake UNDER 148.5 |
|
77-69 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Creighton and Drake met in early January and I cashed in on the 'under' then. I am going to play the under once again in this one. In their first meeting, Creighton shot 60% from the floor, and the game still finished 13 points below this posted total. Drake should realize that they don't want into get into a track meet with this Creighton team. Creighton is a high scoring team, but they have struggled at times offensively on the road. Drake's defense is also much better at home. I think this total is several points too high. Take the under.
|
01-25-12 |
Missouri State v. Illinois State UNDER 131 |
|
69-76 |
Loss |
-108 |
19 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Missouri State and Illinois State met earlier this year and the final was 68-60. Neither of these teams like to push the pace, and I think this one will stay in the half court. Illinois State is better defensively at home, and interestingly Missouri State is better defensively on the road. The Redbirds give up just 58.1 per game at home, while Missouri State gives up just 59.2 per game on the road. I had this one projected at 127 points. The under is 18-6 in Illinois State's last 24 home games. Take the under in this MVC matchup.
|
01-25-12 |
DePaul v. Rutgers OVER 145 |
|
69-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* DePaul is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation. Oliver Purnell's team full-court presses all the time, which leads to easy layups for both teams. In addition, the Blue Demons are highly aggressive on defense and often get in foul trouble early on in the game. Rutgers has sped up their tempo quite a bit this year. One of the biggest weaknesses for Rutgers is their point guard play and the frequent turnovers. DePaul should expose that weakness and turn this into a fast paced game. I think this one tops 150. Take the over.
|
01-25-12 |
Toledo v. Miami Ohio UNDER 127 |
|
63-61 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Totals Takedown* Toledo is a much better team than they were last year, but the Rockets still aren't very good. In the Rockets last two road games they have scored 42 and 38 points. Miami (Ohio) is a team that likes to control the pace of the game. Charlie Coles' team slows the tempo down in a big way. The under is 5-1 in the Rockets last 6 road games. The under is 10-4 in Miami's last 14 games overall. Look for a sloppy game in this one. I had this one projected at 123 or 124. Take the under in this one.
|
01-25-12 |
Northern Iowa v. Indiana St UNDER 126 |
|
54-59 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Northern Iowa is still a team that likes to slow the pace down. Indiana State has been slowing down more and more as the season moves along. The Sycamores fell 65-48 at Northern Iowa earlier this year. Neither of these teams attack the rim very often at all, and the free throw attempts here will likely be low like they were last game. The under is 16-5 in Northern Iowa's last 21 Wednesday games. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. This should be a hard fought defensive battle. Take the under.
|
01-24-12 |
San Diego St v. Wyoming UNDER 124 |
|
52-42 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* San Diego State wasn't expected to be any good this year, but once again Steve Fisher's team is surprising people. The Aztecs do it with their solid defense. They are giving up just 60 points per game in their last five contests. Wyoming has been superb defensively this year, and they are great at controlling the pace. The Cowboys allow just 53.9 points per game, and they allow only 52.2 per game at home. This should be a tough defensive battle all the way to the end. The under is 19-8 in Wyoming's last 27 home games. Take the under.
|
01-24-12 |
Bradley v. Southern Illinois OVER 137.5 |
|
60-77 |
Loss |
-110 |
19 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Totals Takedown* The Bradley Braves have been one of my favorite 'over' teams all year. Bradley is playing at a much faster pace with their new head coach this year, and they don't play much defense at all. Southern Illinois has sped up their tempo quite a lot this season as well, and the Salukis defense puts opponents on the charity stripe constantly. The over is 6-1 in Bradley's last 7 road games. The over is 7-0 in Southern Illinois' last 7 home games. A combined 13-1 winning angle isn't anything to sneeze at. I projected this one in the low 140's. Take the over.
|
01-23-12 |
Arkansas Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M OVER 127.5 |
|
75-76 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star ESPNU Total Knockout* Arkansas Pine-Bluff and Prarie View A&M will get a rare chance to play on national television tonight. Both of these are very bad, but I think that could work to our favor on this play. Both teams struggle taking care of the ball, and I expect to see plenty of turnovers in this one. Look for plenty of transition chances for both teams off turnovers. Both teams have struggled to score all year, but they have been putting up significantly better numbers over the last five games. The free throw attempts will likely mount up in this one as well. Take the over.
|
01-23-12 |
Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 197 |
|
107-92 |
Loss |
-115 |
3 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves have been great to 'under' bettors this year. The under is 10-6 in Houston's 16 games, despite the fact that three of their games have gone into overtime. The under is 11-4-1 in Minnesota's 16 games this season. Both teams have a renewed interest on the defensive end. Minnesota is particularly strong defensively at home. The under is 7-2 in the Timerwolves 9 home games. I expected this line to be in the low 190's, so I like the value here. Take the under in this one.
|
01-23-12 |
Hofstra v. Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 134.5 |
|
49-61 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* VCU has been a different team at home this year. The Rams are only giving up 53.7 points per game on their home floor. Hofstra likes to push the tempo at times, but they aren't very efficient on offense. VCU's suffocating man to man defense should slow Hofstra down quite a bit here. The Rams held Hofstra to just 63 points in the first meeting this year, and I don't think they'll give up that many in this one. The under is 4-1-1 in the Rams last 6 home games. I had this one projected at 130 points, so I'm getting 4.5 points of value here. Look for this one to stay under the posted total.
|
01-22-12 |
NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 43.5 |
|
20-17 |
Win
|
100 |
114 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFC Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers have done it all year with their defense. The 49ers stop the run better than anyone in the NFL, and last week they proved they can get after the quarterback as well. The 49ers should have a conservative game plan here. Look for Frank Gore to get quite a few carries in this one. The Giants will open up the passing game quite a bit, but San Francisco has an above average secondary. The under is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 games, and this Giants defense is really improving right now. Conference Championship games tend to run a little lower scoring than average, and I think both of these defenses will be ready for this one. Take the under.
|
01-22-12 |
Virginia Tech v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 113.5 |
|
47-45 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Rivalry Game Totals Takedown* Tony Bennett is a terrific defensive coach, and this Virginia Cavaliers team has totally bought into Bennett's system. Virginia is giving up just 50 points per game this year, and they are allowing only 47 per game at home. Virginia Tech isn't an offensive powerhouse, and the Hokies generally slow the game down as well. The two games between these teams ended at 115 and 111 last year, and both teams play slower this year. Virginia Tech also has a very good defense that is underrated by many. The under is 19-7-1 in Virginia's last 27 home games. Take the under.
|
01-22-12 |
Northwestern v. Minnesota OVER 136 |
|
52-75 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Tubby Smith is a better coach than most people give him credit for being. Smith's Golden Gophers lost their best player earlier this year, but this team has adapted to a new style. The Golden Gophers have sped up the tempo quite a bit, and they are taking the ball to the hoop consistently. Northwestern is playing at a quicker pace than a Bill Carmody coached team generally plays at, and they are very efficient on offense. The Wildcats can knock down the three ball, and Minnesota struggles to guard beyond the arc. I think this has a good chance of topping 140. Take the over.
|
01-22-12 |
Penn State v. Indiana OVER 139.5 |
|
54-73 |
Loss |
-108 |
13 h 32 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* These teams met a couple weeks ago and the final score was 88-82. Indiana made 16 three-pointers in that game, and I certainly don't expect that to happen again, but it doesn't have to. Penn State has been gradually speeding up their tempo as the season has moved along, and Indiana plays faster than anyone else in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers can really run the floor, and I expect them to get plenty of open looks in transition. The over is 7-0-1 in Indiana's last 8 games. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to the much quicker paced Hoosiers this year. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal Irvine OVER 144.5 |
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92-84 |
Win
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100 |
23 h 32 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* UC Irvine isn't very efficient on offense, but they definitely put a lot of shots up each game. Cal State Fullerton has been one of the fastest paced teams in the conference for quite some time. Both teams excel at shooting it from behind the arc. Neither of these teams play much half court defense. The aggressiveness of the two offenses should lead to plenty of free throw attempts in this one. I had this one projected at about 150 points. I think we're getting a nice value here. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
Northern Colorado v. Montana State OVER 143 |
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72-84 |
Win
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102 |
23 h 33 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Totals TKO* Northern Colorado shoots three-pointers at the best rate of any team in the nation. Montana State is not good at getting out and guarding beyond the arc. Montana State does push the tempo and I expect they will be able to control the pace on their home floor. Both of these have put up big numbers offensively several times this year, and I think they could easily do it again in this game. The over is a perfect 7-0 in Montana State's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
SE Missouri State v. Tennessee Tech OVER 148.5 |
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62-77 |
Loss |
-100 |
22 h 27 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Ohio Valley Total Takedown* Both of these teams are aggressive on offense and both of these defenses foul frequently. Both teams have multiple 3 point shooters who help stretch the defense. Tennessee Tech has a decent defense but Missouri State is poor defensively.The history between these teams has been tight and high scoring contests. Over is 40-17 in their last 57 road games. The over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams. I think this one will top 150 points comfortably. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
San Francisco v. Portland OVER 150.5 |
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72-71 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Full Court Press Total* San Francisco is a team that likes to pressure in the full court and creat e turnovers. They did this well the other night at Gonzaga, and I think they'll be able to do it well against a poor ball-handling Portland team. San Francisco put up 104 points in the first meeting between these two. I don't expect anything like that, but both teams should be running and gunning because of the pressure defense. Both teams play very poor halfcourt defense, so expect plenty of wide open looks for both teams. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
Rhode Island v. La Salle OVER 143 |
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66-80 |
Win
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100 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAABB Tempo Total* LaSalle is one of my favorite teams to play the over with. The Explorers use full court pressure to force turn overs and get easy baskets in transition. Rhode Island doesn't have good ball handlers and I suspect they'll struggle with the full court pressure. The Rams defense is terrible, and the Explorers should be able to take advantage. Rhode Island is slightly short-handed in this one, but I don't think they have will have the ability to slow the tempo down. Look for LaSalle to build a big lead early and put up a big number here. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
Oklahoma v. Texas A&M UNDER 123 |
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75-81 |
Loss |
-118 |
16 h 20 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAABB Total Domination* Texas A&M started the season playing a faster pace, but they have since gone back to their slow-it-down offense. The Aggies only have one true scorer on offense. This is a team that really does have to win it with their defense. Oklahoma's offensive numbers look good for the season, but the Sooners have been terrible offensively away from home. Oklahoma is averaging 56 points per game on the road. Texas A&M is giving up only 53 per game at home. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
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01-21-12 |
Boise State v. Texas Christian OVER 150 |
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52-54 |
Loss |
-110 |
16 h 44 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA Total Knockout* Boise State has struggled to score on the road this year, but I don't think they'll struggle to score against a terrible defense like TCU's. The Horned Frogs are a great 'over' team this year because of the way they push the ball in transition and get to the foul line. On the defensive end, TCU is very poor. Boise State is aggressive on the offensive glass, and they should get plenty of second chances in this one. I don't see either team slowing the tempo down in this one. The over is 41-20 in Boise's last 61 as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in TCU's last 5. Take the over.
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01-21-12 |
Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 119.5 |
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62-64 |
Loss |
-108 |
16 h 3 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB ACC Totals Takedown* Clemson is a team I really like to play the 'under' with. Georgia Tech is a terrible team offensively. The Yellow Jackets have been held to 50 points or less in three of their last five games. Clemson is great at controlling the tempo, and the Tigers play very good defense on their home floor. Clemson is giving up just 55.8 points per game at home. Look for an ugly and low scoring game here. I think this one could struggle to get above 110. Georgia Tech has no offensive rhythm and that will show here. Take the under.
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01-20-12 |
Manhattan v. Marist OVER 145.5 |
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61-44 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
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*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Manhattan has a new coach this year and they are playing a whole different style. The Jaspers are getting out in transition whenever they can. This is a team a year ago that struggled mightily to put up points, but this year the offense has been quite good. Manhattan scores 72 points per game on the road and gives up 70. Marist is allowing 74 points per game at home and scoring 77. Marist's defense is horrible and Manhattan should light it up from distance in this one. The over is 4-0 in Marist's last 4 home games. Take the over.
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