02-01-13 |
Miami Heat v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 184.5 |
|
89-102 |
Loss |
-110 |
28 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Miami Heat and Indiana Pacers meet in a game I suspect both teams have had circled. The Pacers want to prove they are a real contender, and the Heat are looking for revenge after getting beaten down by the Pacers in their last meeting. The Pacers win with their defense, and when Miami is committed they win with defense as well. Look for a committed defensive effort from Miami in this one. The under is 9-0 in the Pacers last 9 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 against the Southeast Division. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 8-1 in their last 9 home games. It is also 8-1 in their last 9 following a straight up win. Take the under.
|
02-01-13 |
Manhattan v. Siena UNDER 120.5 |
|
63-66 |
Loss |
-108 |
5 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Siena Saints and Manhattan Jaspers both like to slow the game down, and both of them are terrible offensively. Manhattan is playing without leader George Beamon right now, and without him their offense is really lost. Siena doesn't have very much talent this year, so they have to win games by holding the opponent to a very low scoring game. Siena is always better defensively at home, and they should turn this into a very ugly game. I had this one projected at 115 points. The under is 5-0 in Manhattan's last 5 games. Take the under.
|
01-31-13 |
Hawaii v. UC Riverside OVER 127.5 |
|
72-68 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Hawaii Warriors are a very fast paced team, and they don't let the game stay low scoring very often. UC Riverside has changed the way they play a bit this year. As the year moves along, they are becoming better offensively as they speed up a bit. UC Riverside put up some very low point totals early in the year, which is making oddsmakers keep their totals low. I think this is an opportunity on the over. Only two of Hawaii's 20 games so far this year have stayed under this number (18-2 angle). The over is 38-15 in Hawaii's last 53. Take the over.
|
01-31-13 |
Cal St-Northridge v. Cal St-Fullerton OVER 167.5 |
|
92-86 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* Taking an 'over' on a game with a posted total of 167.5 isn't something I like to do, but when I see value I have to take it. These two played earlier this year and the final was 105-86. They are the two fastest paced teams in the Big West. Fullerton shoots the ball extremely well from the floor and the line, and both of these teams foul a lot. Fullerton doesn't rebound well on defense, and Northridge should get a lot of second chance opportunities. The over is 41-19 in Fullerton's last 60 games following a loss. Take the over.
|
01-31-13 |
IUPU Ft Wayne v. Nebraska Omaha OVER 145 |
|
79-86 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The first time these two met this year the final was 96-78. Fort Wayne took advantage of Omaha's horrendous defense to pile up those 96 points. Omaha plays at a faster tempo than anyone else in the Summit League, and they don't play much defense at all. Opponents are shooting 55% on two-point shots against Omaha. Fort Wayne isn't much better defensively, and Omaha has some very good long range shooters. I had this one projected at 151 points. Take the over here.
|
01-31-13 |
New Mexico State v. Texas State OVER 141.5 |
|
86-72 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Texas State Bobcats are one of the best in the nation at pushing the tempo. New Mexico State has previously been a fast paced team, but they have slowed things down this year. Still, look for New Mexico to get out in transition when they have opportunities in this one. Texas State's offense is best when they are running and shooting in the first 10 seconds of the shot clock. The first meeting between these two finished at 145, and I expect something very similar here. Take the over.
|
01-31-13 |
Weber State v. North Dakota OVER 136.5 |
|
66-51 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Total* North Dakota isn't a particularly good team, but they are decent on their home floor. The Fighting Sioux have been able to keep almost every home game close, and they should do decent here. Weber State has the Big Sky's best offense. The Wildcats have some long range bombers, and if North Dakota is going to stay close here they are going to have to score some points. I had this one projected at 141 points. The over is 6-0 in Weber State's last 6 road games. The over is 6-2 in North Dakota's last 8. Take the over.
|
01-31-13 |
Marist v. St. Peters UNDER 126 |
|
68-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Marist Red Foxes like to push the tempo when they can, but I don't think St. Peter's is going to let them do that this game. St. Peter's doesn't have the athletes or scoring firepower to try to win a high scoring game. Marist is without one of their best players (Bowie) due to a concussion in this one. The first meeting between these two, which was played just 12 days ago, finished at 105 points. My projections have this game at 121 this time around. Take the under.
|
01-31-13 |
Elon v. NC-Greensboro OVER 143.5 |
|
72-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Southern Conference Total* The Elon Phoenix and UNC Greensboro Spartans have a history of playing some very high scoring games against each other. Their last four meetings against each other have finished at 145, 189, 152, and 172 points. Greensboro fouls more than almost any other team in the country. Elon shoots free throws well, and they should be at the line a lot today. Greensboro's tempo should be enough to help them score plenty of points here. The over is 6-1 in Elon's last 7 games overall. Take the over.
|
01-31-13 |
Hofstra v. James Madison UNDER 122 |
|
41-62 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Hofstra Pride had their season changed in a big way back in December when four of their best players were arrested for allegedly burglarizing campus dorm rooms. Hofstra hasn't been the same ever since, and their offense has been brutal. Hofstra has scored 57 points or less in 7 of their last 10 games. James Madison has slowed the tempo down dramatically this year. The Dukes are without their veteran Andrey Semenov, who was one of the team's best scorers. James Madison is only allowing 56.1 points per game at home this year. The under is 9-0 in Hofstra's last 9 games. The under is 6-0 in James Madison's last 6 home games. The under is 7-0 in James Madison's last 7 following a win. The under is 7-0 in Hofstra's last 7 against the CAA. The under is 5-0 in Hofstra's last 5 road games. In all, a perfect 34-0 angle backs this play. Take the under here.
|
01-30-13 |
DePaul v. St. Johns OVER 143.5 |
|
74-79 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Oddsmaker Error Total* The oddsmakers have overadjusted this total downward. DePaul and St. John's played to a 71-63 final earlier this year, but both teams shot the ball horribly. DePaul plays faster than any other team in the country. Their full court pressure is really effective at speeding up the game. St. John's has the guards to tear up the full court press, and I believe the Red Storm should put up a big number here. Last year's two meetings finished at 168 and 151. Take the over in this one.
|
01-30-13 |
Charlotte Bobcats v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 204.5 |
|
78-102 |
Loss |
-105 |
6 h 52 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Charlotte Bobcats arguably have the worst defense in the NBA. Opponents constantly get easy looks at the basket. Charlotte likes to run and gun, and they are scoring more this year. San Antonio has sped up over the last couple years. In addition, Tim Duncan will miss this game. Without Duncan, the Spurs lose their best defensive player, and they speed up in transition. I like this one to go over the posted total.
|
01-30-13 |
Duke v. Wake Forest OVER 141 |
|
75-70 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Duke/Wake Forest Total* The Duke Blue Devils may be without Ryan Kelly, but they still have plenty of guys who can score. They showed that by putting up 84 points against a good Maryland defense last game. Wake Forest is one of the fastest paced teams in the ACC, and they don't play good defense at all. These teams met once already this year and the final total was 142. The shooting numbers weren't particularly impressive, and I think they'll be better this time around. Take the over.
|
01-30-13 |
Drake v. Southern Illinois OVER 142.5 |
|
61-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* Drake and Southern Illinois have the two worst defenses in the Missouri Valley Conference. When these two teams get together, we should see a ton of easy looks for the offenses. I like the over here.
|
01-30-13 |
Missouri v. LSU OVER 143.5 |
|
70-73 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Battle of the Tigers* In this battle of the Tigers, the pace should be extremely quick. Missouri is never a team to slow the tempo down at all, and LSU is a brand new team this year. Johnny Jones has the LSU Tigers running with the best of them this year. LSU has the athletes to make this a track meet, and Missouri should oblige. Bowers is back for Missouri, and that is very big for this one. The over is 12-2 in LSU's last 14 against the SEC. The over is 22-6 in LSU's last 28 Wednesday games. Take the over.
|
01-30-13 |
Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers UNDER 181.5 |
|
79-98 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* the Detroit Pistons are coming off an embarrassing home performance against the Milwaukee Bucks. I expect them to work harder on the defensive end in this one, and the Pacers have the single best defense in the NBA. The first meeting this year between these two finished in an 88-77 Pacers win. Indiana is holding opponents to 41% from the floor, and the Pistons are struggling on offense right now. The under is 4-0-1 in the Pistons last 5 when playing on zero days of rest. The under is 8-0 in the Pacers last 8 following an ATS win. The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 against a team with a winning percentage under 40%. Take the under.
|
01-30-13 |
Richmond v. Temple OVER 132 |
|
64-71 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB A10 Total* The Temple Owls are a solid offense, and the Owls are no longer slowing the pace down like they have done in recent years. The oddsmakers haven't completely caught up to Temple's new style of play. I like the over here.
|
01-30-13 |
Western Michigan v. Miami Ohio OVER 129.5 |
|
72-68 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Totals Takedown* The Western Michigan Broncos have improved offensively quite a bit over the course of the year. Miami (Ohio) has completely changed the way they play this year. The Redhawks now run and push the tempo in a big way. The oddsmakers haven't caught up to this change completely. Western Michigan's improved offense should find plenty of open looks against Miami's poor defense. I had this game projected at 135. The over is 11-4-2 in the Broncos last 17 games overall. Take the over.
|
01-30-13 |
Central Michigan v. Buffalo OVER 137 |
|
73-91 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Central Michigan is playing much faster this year under new coach Keno Davis. Davis had one of the nation's fastest paced teams at Providence, and I expect the Chippewas to continue to pick up the pace moving forward. Buffalo isn't nearly as good as they were last year, but the Bulls have a star in forward Javon McCrea. McCrea is a beast on the inside, and Central Michigan doesn't have anyone to slow him down. The over is 5-0 in Central Michigan's last 5 Wednesday games. The over is 41-13 in Buffalo's last 54 following a loss. Take the over.
|
01-30-13 |
Auburn v. Georgia UNDER 122 |
|
49-57 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Georgia Bulldogs are terrific at controlling the tempo of the game. In addition to that, Georgia is terrible on the offensive end. Auburn isn't the type of team to force the tempo, rather they usually are happy to play at the preferred pace of their opponent. The under is 20-9 in Auburn's last 29 against the SEC. The under is 20-7-1 in Georgia's last 28 home games. I had this one projected 117. Take the under here.
|
01-30-13 |
Southern Methodist v. Marshall OVER 131.5 |
|
68-57 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* SMU is an improved team under Larry Brown this year. The Mustangs offense is much better than it was a year ago. They are more efficient and they play quicker as well. Marshall loves to push the tempo, and the Thundering Herd are finally getting healthy after having a lot of injury troubles earlier this year. Marshall put up 72 points at Memphis last game, and I think they definitely get into the 70's here. SMU should do enough to keep it close. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 road games. The over is 7-1 in Marshall's last 8 following a loss. The over is 12-2 in Marshall's last 14 against the C USA. Take the over.
|
01-30-13 |
Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 145 |
|
61-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* It's all about the tempo when these two teams get together. UMass is one of the best in the country at pushing the tempo, and LaSalle isn't about to slow the game down. The Explorers are really rolling of late thanks to their terrific guard play. LaSalle's backcourt is one of the most underrated in the country. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings at LaSalle between these two teams. I had this one projected at 149 points. Take the over here.
|
01-29-13 |
Northern Iowa v. Evansville UNDER 130 |
|
51-54 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Northern Iowa has been one of my favorite 'under' teams for quite some time. The Panthers slow the game down and don't foul much at all on the defensive end. Evansville is playing noticeably slower than they did last year. In the first meeting between these teams this year the final was 62-59. The shooting numbers were ever so slightly low, but they were pretty close to average. The pace here should be slow, so unless both teams get really hot from the floor I expect this to stay under. The under is 14-6 in Northern Iowa's last 20 in the MVC. Take the under.
|
01-29-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 206 |
|
108-95 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Golden State Warriors will be playing on the back end of a back-to-back scheduling spot here. This is their third game in the past four days. Steph Curry hurt his ankle last night, and chances are he probably won't play in this one. Andrew Bogut played last night, but he'll sit in this one. Golden State will be without some offensive firepower, but the Warriors will still play their much improved defense. Golden State ranks in the top ten in the NBA in defense. Both teams are on 'over' runs of late, but I think this one is set too high. Take the under.
|
01-29-13 |
Wisconsin v. Ohio State UNDER 121 |
|
49-58 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Wisconsin/Ohio State Total* The Wisconsin Badgers only know one way to play, and that is to slow the game down and control the tempo better than anyone else in the country. Wisconsin is playing at a snail's pace in the Big Ten so far this year. Bo Ryan's team is very physical and good on the defensive end, and they don't turn it over on offense. Ohio State has the talent to run the floor, but they haven't been doing it much at all in Big Ten play. The Buckeyes have been getting slowed down and pulled into half court battles. When these two teams meet, it's always a very hard fought game with both teams being extremely physical. Look for the defenses to make life miserable for both offenses. The under is 4-0 in the Buckeyes last 4. The under is 5-0 in the Buckeyes last 5 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Buckeyes last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big Ten. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 4-0 in Wisconsin's last 4 following an ATS loss. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
01-28-13 |
Orlando Magic v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 195.5 |
|
77-97 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Orlando Magic have been playing a ton of overs lately, and I think the oddsmakers are overcompensating on Orlando's posted totals at this point. Brooklyn still plays at the slowest tempo of any team in the NBA, and Orlando is slower than the average pace of the league. It will be hard for these teams to get to this number unless the shooting percentages are very high. I'll look for average shooting numbers and this one to come in under the total by 5 points or so. The under is 16-4-2 in the last 22 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
|
01-27-13 |
Michigan v. Illinois OVER 136 |
|
74-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Big 10 Total* The Michigan Wolverines don't play at a fast tempo, but they are extremely efficient on offense. The Wolverines have so many weapons on offense that it is very tough to slow them down. Trey Burke should be a candidate for Player of the Year. Burke is tremendous at getting his own shot or breaking down the defense and dishing it off to a wide open shooter. Michigan didn't have those other shooters last year, but now they have plenty of guys who can knock it down. Illinois is one of the fastest paced teams in the Big 10, but their defense isn't very good. Michigan should put up a lot of points in this one. The over is 6-1 in Michigan's last 7 road games. Take the over.
|
01-27-13 |
Florida Intl. v. South Alabama OVER 143.5 |
|
58-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The FIU Golden Panthers have adopted a new style this year under Coach Richard Pitino. Pitino has the team pressing and looking to force turnovers and get easy buckets in transition. The team started the year a little slowly, but they have won 7 out of their last 8 games as they have gotten used to this style of play. South Alabama's new coach, Jeff Price, has been a guy who loves to run and gun his whole career. The first time these two teams met this year the total finished at 147 points. I think both teams are pushing the pace even more now, and I won't be surprised if this one gets to 150. The over is 37-17-1 in FIU's last 55 against the Sun Belt. Take the over.
|
01-27-13 |
Niagara v. Canisius OVER 152.5 |
|
66-65 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Niagara Purple Eagles are terrible defensively, but they love to push the tempo. Niagara presses and gets some easy steals, but also gives up a lot of easy lauyups and open looks from three. Canisius is a tremendous offensive team, and they have lots of great shooters who can knock it down consistently from beyond the arc. Canisius prefers to play at a quick pace too so I don't see anyone slowing this one down. The over is 5-0 in Niagara's last 5 games against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The over is 5-1 in Canisius' last 6 Sunday games. Take the over.
|
01-26-13 |
Texas State v. Seattle OVER 157 |
|
86-83 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Indiana Pacers v. Utah Jazz UNDER 184 |
|
110-114 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Indiana Pacers have the best defense in the NBA. They are allowing only 89 points per game this year. Utah is coming off a draining 102-84 loss at Los Angeles last night. I don't think Utah will be wanting to speed this one up. Look for a defensive battle here. The Pacers have only had one of their last ten games go above this posted total, and that was against the Houston Rockets (who play faster than any other team in the league). The under is 13-3 in the Pacers last 16 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games. Take the under here.
|
01-26-13 |
Eastern Washington v. Southern Utah OVER 135 |
|
55-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 52 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Austin Peay St v. Tennessee Tech OVER 141 |
|
52-70 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Austin Peay used to be one of the best teams in the OVC, but they aren't even close to that anymore. Austin Peay pushes the tempo and they hit a lot of shots from long range, but they don't guard well at all. Tennessee Tech has sped up as the season has progressed, and I think they'll be glad to run and score with Austin Peay in this one. The over is 6-0 in Austin Peay's last 6 road games. The over is 4-1 in TEch's last 5 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at TN Tech. Take the over.
|
01-26-13 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. North Texas UNDER 133 |
|
62-57 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
La Salle v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 139 |
|
69-61 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 56 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Tennessee St. v. Morehead St. OVER 134.5 |
|
69-78 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 22 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
North Carolina v. NC State OVER 156 |
|
83-91 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star UNC/NC State Total* The North Carolina Tar Heels are never going to slow a game down. Roy Williams' teams are great at running the fastbreak and they aren't about to let anyone slow them down. Fortunately in this one, the Wolfpack of NC State won't want to slow it down anyways. NC State's offense is one of the most efficient in the nation this year. Expect a really exciting game that goes up and down with lots of scoring. This one should be close all the way to the end, which should help with late fouls. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings at NC State. Take the over.
|
01-26-13 |
Bowling Green v. Toledo UNDER 127 |
|
62-75 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Bowling Green Falcons are as good as anyone in the MAC this year at controlling the tempo of the game. Bowling Green uses up the shot clock and likes to keep the game in the 50's. Toledo has slowed things down a bit this year as well, and the Rockets offense has been a big disappointment this year. The under is 6-1-1 in the Rockets last 8 games. The under is 10-2 in BG's last 12 following an ATS win. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
|
01-26-13 |
USC v. Arizona OVER 137.5 |
|
50-74 |
Loss |
-108 |
8 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB PAC 12 Total* Arizona is coming off a disappointing home loss to UCLA, and the Wildcats should be really fired up for this one. USC is actually a pretty talented team, but they haven't been able to put it all together in the past year. With their new interim coach at the helm, USC is pushing the tempo much more than they were before. Until the oddsmakers adjust the numbers a little more than this, I like USC overs. I had this one at 141 points. Take the over in this one.
|
01-26-13 |
Belmont v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 142 |
|
85-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
UAB v. Houston OVER 158 |
|
61-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* This one is all about the tempo. UAB is in the top five in the nation in terms of pace this year. Houston is in the top 25, and they always like to run and gun (they have for many years). This game should be full of transition points for both offenses. When these two teams meet, I expect some major fireworks on the scoreboard. I had this one projected at 165 points. Look for this one to sail over the posted total. Take the over.
|
01-26-13 |
Xavier v. St. Josephs UNDER 126 |
|
49-59 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Xavier Musketeers are a completely different team than they were last season. Xavier doesn't have Holloway or Lyons on the perimeter, so they are slowing the game down and winning with their great defense. St. Joe's is a similar team in that they win with their defense as well. Both teams will find easy shots difficult to come by in this one. I had this one projected at 122 points. The under is 6-0 in Xavier's last 6 road games. The under is 6-0 in St. Joe's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
|
01-26-13 |
North Dakota v. Northern Arizona OVER 140.5 |
|
81-79 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 47 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Western Kentucky v. Middle Tenn. St. UNDER 126.5 |
|
53-72 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 26 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Alabama v. Tennessee UNDER 124 |
|
53-54 |
Win
|
100 |
3 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-26-13 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Duke UNDER 138 |
|
64-84 |
Loss |
-110 |
11 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Play on Under*
|
01-25-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 178 |
|
77-101 |
Push |
0 |
16 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* The Brooklyn Nets play at the slowest tempo in the NBA. Memphis is in the bottom five in the NBA in terms of pace. Memphis is also the single best defense in the NBA in terms of efficiency and points allowed per game. Brooklyn's defense is very good with an anchor like Brook Lopez at the back. Both of these teams have played in a bunch of very low scoring games this year, and when they meet I expect defense to rule the day. The under is 21-7-2 in Brooklyn's last 30 road games. The under is 12-4 in Memphis' last 16 home games. The under is 40-15 in the Grizzlies last 55 games when playing on one day of rest. Take the under.
|
01-25-13 |
Golden State Warriors v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 189.5 |
|
87-103 |
Loss |
-110 |
5 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Chicago Bulls are playing without Derrick Rose and they have been all year, but now they are playing without Luol Deng as well. Deng is the team's leading scorer at 17.4 points per game. In his absence, the team is relying heavily on its tremendous defense. There isn't a better defense in the NBA over the last few years. Golden State's massive improvement this year comes largely because the team is so much better on the defensive end. Easy shots will be tough to come by in this one. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. The under is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 against the Pacific Division. Take the under.
|
01-24-13 |
Texas-San Antonio v. Seattle OVER 143.5 |
|
78-75 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 20 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
North Dakota v. CS Sacramento OVER 129 |
|
58-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
10 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The North Dakota Fighting Sioux have been improving offensively over the course of the season. North Dakota has several guys who can score on the floor at all times, and they like to push the tempo. Sacramento State isn't very good defensively, and they are very capable of getting into a shootout. The total here is set so low that you'd think these were two teams that play great defense, and that definitely isn't the case. The over is 5-1 in North Dakota's last 6. The over is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Take the over.
|
01-24-13 |
UC Riverside v. Pacific UNDER 124 |
|
58-63 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 36 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Cal St-Fullerton v. UC Davis OVER 162 |
|
95-88 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
San Francisco v. Portland UNDER 131.5 |
|
75-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
UT-Arlington v. Utah State UNDER 121.5 |
|
74-68 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Portland State v. Southern Utah OVER 136.5 |
|
63-76 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 9 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Arkansas State v. Troy UNDER 126 |
|
67-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 53 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Northern Colorado v. Northern Arizona OVER 141.5 |
|
65-67 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 18 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Middle Tenn. St. v. North Texas UNDER 127 |
|
72-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 29 m |
Show
|
|
01-24-13 |
Florida Intl. v. Louisiana-Lafayette OVER 142.5 |
Top |
80-75 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 23 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The FIU Golden Panthers and LA Lafayette Ragin Cajuns do a lot of the same things. Both teams like to press and force the pace. Both teams like to get to the rim and get to the free throw line often. In the first game between these two, the shooting percentages were below average and they still scored 145 points. I look for the quick pace to be there again and the shooting numbers to perk up a little bit here. The over is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two at LA Lafayette. Take the over!
|
01-24-13 |
Belmont v. Morehead St. OVER 139.5 |
|
64-63 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 25 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-13 |
Denver Nuggets v. Houston Rockets OVER 217 |
|
105-95 |
Loss |
-110 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Houston Rockets play way faster than any other team in the NBA. Denver is always willing to get out and run and gun when they can. Ty Lawson is probably the best in the NBA at starting the fast break. Don't expect either team to slow this game down. This total is set high for good reason. Both of these teams are absolutely capable of putting up 115 or 120 points. It wouldn't surprise me if this is one of the highest scoring games in the NBA so far this year. The over is 5-0 in Denver's last 5. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 Wednesday games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the Western Conference. The over is 6-0 in the Rockets last 6 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Denver's last 4 after giving up 100 or more in the previous game. In all, a 26-0 angle backs this. Take the over here.
|
01-23-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 188.5 |
|
93-106 |
Loss |
-105 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-13 |
Brooklyn Nets v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 187.5 |
|
91-83 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Brooklyn Nets went on a nice little 'over' streak right after Avery Johnson was fired. Was it because the team started running and gunning? Not at all. Brooklyn just shot an extremely high percentage from the floor for a few games. They are still slowing the game down more than anyone else in the NBA right now. Minnesota is without a ton of offensive weapons right now, and the Timberwolves don't have the offense to pile up the points as it is. Look for this one to stay under the total.
|
01-23-13 |
East Carolina v. UAB OVER 144 |
Top |
91-85 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The UAB Blazers have undergone one of the most drastic changes in style of play you'll ever see. Last year the Blazers stalled and had many low scoring games. This year they are in the top five in the nation in terms of quickest pace. East Carolina is a team that pushes it when they get a chance as well, and this one should be played at a very fast tempo. Look for easy layups in transition for both teams. I had this one at 158 points, so this line is way off my projection. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams at UAB. Take the over big!
|
01-23-13 |
Creighton v. Drake OVER 148 |
|
69-74 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Creighton Blue Jays picked up their first loss in the MVC on Saturday at Wichita State in a thrilling game. Drake is no Wichita State, especially on the defensive end. Drake is the worst defensive team in the MVC right now. Creighton is the most efficient offensive team not only in the MVC, but in the country. Both teams like to get out and run in transition. The over is 6-0 in Drake's last 6 games against the MVC. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 overall. Take the over.
|
01-23-13 |
Southern Illinois v. Northern Iowa UNDER 131.5 |
|
45-58 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
|
01-23-13 |
Wichita State v. Missouri State UNDER 123.5 |
|
62-52 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wichita State Shockers are coming off an amazing victory over Creighton and I expect a bit of a hangover for them. Missouri State isn't very good this year, but they are improving quickly. The Bears are never easy to beat on their home floor. The only way Missouri State has a chance in a game like this is if they slow the pace of the game down to a crawl, and that is what I expect from them in this one. I had this total projected at 117 points. Look for a sloppy game. Take the under.
|
01-23-13 |
Indiana St v. Illinois State OVER 136 |
|
58-60 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Illinois State Redbirds are finally back on track after a win at Southern Illinois last game. The Redbirds offense is one of the most explosive in the Missouri Valley Conference, but their defense has been bad of late. Indiana State has some nice players in Jake Odum, Manny Arop, and Justin Gant. These two played earlier this year and the final was 77-75. This one might not get to 152, but I expect it to get over 140. The over is 6-0 in Illinois State's last 6 following an ATS win. The over is 10-1 in Indiana State's last 11 against a team with a winning record. The over is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings between these two. Take the over.
|
01-23-13 |
Texas Christian v. West Virginia UNDER 115.5 |
|
50-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
9 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The TCU Horned Frogs have a way of making the game very low scoring. New coach Trent Johnson has this team slowing down the tempo to a snail's pace. The Horned Frogs almost never shoot the ball before the shot clock gets under 10 seconds. They are averaging a measly 49.8 points per game on the road this year. West Virginia is pretty good defensively this year, and the Mountaineers struggle a lot on offense this year. I had this one set at 109 points. Look for this to stay under the total.
|
01-23-13 |
Duke v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 132 |
|
63-90 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Duke/Miami Total* The Duke Blue Devils travel to Miami today to try to exact some revenge on the Hurricanes after Miami came to Cameron and won last year. The Hurricanes haven't been beaten at home this year, and they have their terrific defense to thank for that. Miami is much better defensively this year, and they have slowed the pace down even more this year. Duke likes to push the tempo, but without Ryan Kelly their offense isn't nearly as efficient. Look for both defenses to control this game. Take the under.
|
01-23-13 |
St. Bonaventure v. St. Josephs UNDER 141.5 |
|
73-64 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 32 m |
Show
|
|
01-22-13 |
Boston College v. Maryland Terrapins UNDER 134 |
|
59-64 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Maryland Terrapins are a much better team than they were last year. They lost their leading scorer from last year, but it turns out he was taking away from several other players abilities. In addition, the Terrapins simply have a better defense and take better care of the ball this year. Boston College slows the game down and I see this being a defensive battle. My number for this one was 129 points. The under is 4-0 in Maryland's last 4 games overall. Take the under.
|
01-22-13 |
NC State v. Wake Forest OVER 146.5 |
|
84-86 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons and NC State Wolfpack both like to push the tempo and get out in transition. Look for a frenetic pace to this contest. Wake Forest's defense isn't any good, and it won't surprise me a bit if NC State puts up a big number here. At the same time, Wake's offense has been good on their home floor and they should be able to put up a decent total themselves. The over is 10-4 in NC State's last 14 against the ACC. Look for this one to top 150. Take the over.
|
01-21-13 |
Southern v. Alabama A&M OVER 129 |
|
82-68 |
Win
|
100 |
23 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB ESPNU Total Domination* Here we have a game between two teams who aren't used to the national spotlight, but they'll be on ESPNU Monday night. Southern and Alabama A&M both play at a decent tempo, and I think these kids will be amped up a little extra when playing in front of a national audience. Look for the tempo to be pretty quick here. My numbers had this game at 134 points. I like the value on the over in this one. Take the over.
|
01-21-13 |
Southern Utah v. Montana State OVER 140.5 |
|
68-76 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are a great team to play the 'over' with because of their style of play. Southern Utah runs and guns, and they foul like crazy on the defensive end. In fact, no team in the country has given up more points from the free throw line than Southern Utah. That works out well here because Montana State is good at getting to the line, and the Bobcats like to push the pace as well. This should be a close contest, and that should mean free throws at the end as well. I had this at 145 points. The over is 10-2 in Montana State's last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 Monday games. Take the over.
|
01-21-13 |
Bethune-Cookman v. Savannah State UNDER 116.5 |
|
40-43 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Savannah State Tigers are great at keeping the game a low scoring contest. Savannah State excels on the defensive end, but they are awful offensively. The Tigers force a ton of turnovers, but they aren't very good at converting their easy opportunities. Bethune Cookman isn't the type of team to push the pace of a game, and they are very inefficient offensively as well. There should be a lot of missed shots in this contest. I had this one projected at 110 points. Take the under.
|
01-21-13 |
Minnesota Timberwolves v. Atlanta Hawks UNDER 186 |
|
96-104 |
Loss |
-101 |
13 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Minnesota Timberwolves and Atlanta Hawks are both extremely short-handed heading into this matchup. Minnesota is without Kevin Love for a long time, and they recently lost Shved and Pekovic to injury too. Those two combine for 26 points per game so far this year, and the Timberwolves will struggle on the offensive end without any force down low. Atlanta just lost Lou Williams, their third leading scorer. Devin Harris may miss this game as well, so the Hawks only have one healthy point guard. Look for both weary teams to slow the game down. The under is 12-3 in Minnesota's last 15 against the NBA Southeast. The under is 6-1 in Minnesota's last 7 against a team with a winning home record. Take the under.
|
01-21-13 |
Sacramento Kings v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 191.5 |
|
105-114 |
Loss |
-102 |
12 h 40 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* The New Orleans Hornets play at the single slowest pace of any team in the NBA. They have had several games go over the posted total lately mainly because they have been shooting the ball very well from the floor. New Orleans can't keep hitting 55% to 57% from the floor, so I think a big jump in the posted total here is unwarranted. The Kings have been playing to the pace of their opponents, so this should stay pretty slow. I think this line should be around 187 instead of where it currently sits. Take the under here.
|
01-20-13 |
Illinois State v. Southern Illinois OVER 142.5 |
|
70-56 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Illinois State moves as quickly as any team in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Red Birds are very efficient on the offensive end, but they are terrible defensively. Southern Illinois used to be known for their terrific half court defense, but that is no longer the case. The Salukis have a star on the offensive end in Desmar Jackson. Jackson is one of the best scorers in the conference, and he should have a big game at home against Illinois State's poor defense. The over is 21-5 in Illinois State's last 26 road games against a team with a winning record at home. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. The over is 4-0 in Southern Illinois last 4 games. Take the over.
|
01-20-13 |
Baltimore Ravens v. New England Patriots UNDER 52.5 |
|
28-13 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star AFC Championship Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and New England Patriots have definitely seen a lot of each other over the past few seasons. These teams know what the strengths of weaknesses of their opponent is very well. The Ravens defense hasn't been as good this year, but they still have play makers who will make it tough on Tom Brady. The Patriots defense is quite a bit better than it was last season. A big X factor to watch in this one is the weather. The wind is expected to be gusting up to 35 mph during this one, and that is no good for passing games. With a total this high and the weather looking that way, I like the under. The under is 5-2 in the Ravens last 7 playoff games. Take the under.
|
01-20-13 |
San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 48 |
|
28-24 |
Win
|
100 |
137 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NFC Title Total Domination* The San Francisco 49ers offense is a completely different animal with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. Kaepernick is explosive on the ground, which makes teams pay a lot of attention to him and leaves more running room for Frank Gore. The Falcons defense has relied on turnovers all year, and at some point it has to come back to bite them that they allow so many yards. Matt Ryan and the Falcons receivers are tremendous, and they should be able to throw it against the 49ers as long as Ryan gets some time to throw the ball. The over is 5-0 in San Francisco's last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 home playoff games. Take the over.
|
01-20-13 |
Los Angeles Lakers v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 204.5 |
|
103-108 |
Loss |
-110 |
13 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* I've always liked playing the 'under' on Sunday early afternoon tipoffs in the NBA. Saturday night is a big party night and often you'll find that players have tired legs by the end of a Sunday afternoon game. The second half of these games can really die off in scoring. The Lakers have been scoring a ton of points, but with the big men back in the lineup, I expect that to slow down a bit. The pace will slow down and a defensive specialist like Howard has to help their defense. Toronto won't want any part of a track meet tempo here. The under is 5-0 in the Lakers last 5 against teams with a winning percentage under 40%. The under is 5-0 in the Lakers last 5 overall. Take the under.
|
01-19-13 |
Eastern Washington v. No. Colorado OVER 138.5 |
|
56-72 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 41 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
CS Sacramento v. Weber State UNDER 137 |
|
56-65 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 60 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Long Beach State v. Cal State Fullerton OVER 161.5 |
|
81-71 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Big West Conference is full of teams who push the pace and play virtually no defense. Two of them will meet in this matchup. Long Beach State has sped up their tempo a little from last year, and Cal State Fullerton has sped up in a big way. Both teams force a lot of turnovers and get a lot of easy buckets off those turnovers. The over is 6-0 in Fullerton's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in Long Beach's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Long Beach's last 4 Saturday games. The over is 5-0 in Fullerton's last 5 against the Big West. Take the over.
|
01-19-13 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas State UNDER 128 |
|
39-63 |
Win
|
100 |
9 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
North Dakota State v. Western Illinois UNDER 109 |
|
42-50 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Stall Ball Total* The North Dakota State Bison have completely changed their identity as a team this year. The Bison went from running and pushing the pace when they could a year ago to slowing it down and using up the shot clock this year. There are 347 teams in Division I basketball and Western Illinois ranks 347th in terms of pace. North Dakota State ranks 340th. Even last year these teams played games that stayed below 120, and that was before the Bison changed to a slow tempo. This looks like a game where the winner gets to 50-55 points. Take the under.
|
01-19-13 |
Seattle v. Louisiana Tech OVER 144 |
|
71-78 |
Win
|
100 |
8 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a team I like playing the over with. Louisiana Tech uses a diamond full court press to force turnovers and push the tempo of the game. The Bulldogs have a perfect opponent today in Seattle. The Seattle Redhawks struggle to take care of the basketball, and I expect a lot of turnovers from them here. At the same time, Seattle should control the boards and get a lot of second chance opportunities. Both of these teams are in the top 25 in the nation in terms of pace. Look for this one to get over the posted total.
|
01-19-13 |
Idaho v. UT-Arlington UNDER 127 |
|
77-64 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Rhode Island v. St. Louis UNDER 120 |
Top |
82-80 |
Loss |
-110 |
8 h 15 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The St. Louis Billikens have been one of the best teams in the nation at controlling the tempo for many years in a row now. St. Louis plays very good defense, and they simply don't turn the ball over very often at all. Rhode Island has a new coach in Dan Hurley. Hurley doesn't have a lot of talent on the team this year, so the Rams are slowing things down quite a bit this year. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis' last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis' last 4 home games. The under is 5-0 in Rhode Island's last 5 against teams with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at St. Louis. Take the under big!
|
01-19-13 |
Oregon State v. USC OVER 143 |
|
68-69 |
Loss |
-110 |
7 h 42 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Duquesne OVER 143 |
|
90-63 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 21 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Morehead St. v. Tennessee-Martin OVER 134 |
|
88-74 |
Win
|
100 |
7 h 19 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
UMKC v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 130 |
|
63-59 |
Loss |
-110 |
6 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Sometimes there are games where I recommend an 'over' play solely based on the pace of the game. This isn't one of those cases. Instead, this is a game where I recommend an over play because both teams are horrible on the defensive end. In fact, UMKC is dead last in the country in guarding the three-point line. Fort Wayne should fill it up from long range today, and UMKC has plenty of shooters as well. Look for open shots to be the norm in this one. I had this one at 134. Take the over.
|
01-19-13 |
North Texas v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 135.5 |
|
61-59 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Middle Tenn. St. UNDER 134 |
|
60-82 |
Loss |
-110 |
4 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are the best team in the Sun Belt Conference this year. What's the big reason for that? MTSU is easily the best defensive team in the league. The Blue Raiders have been able to shut down almost everyone in the league this year. In fact, 11 straight games played by Middle Tennessee State have stayed under this posted total. Lafayette will try to push the tempo, but don't look for their offense to be efficient at all here. Take the under in this one.
|
01-19-13 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 120 |
|
49-50 |
Win
|
100 |
5 h 10 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Texas State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 148 |
Top |
81-78 |
Win
|
100 |
6 h 16 m |
Show
|
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* Texas State is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Bobcats rank in the top ten in the country in terms of pace. They also play some horrible defense. They have given up 74 points or more in 7 of their last 9. They have given up more than 90 points twice during that time. Texas San Antonio isn't quite as quick in terms of pace, but they shoot the ball better and their defense is very poor as well. I was stunned when this line come out at this level. I projected this one at 161 points. The over is 17-4 in UTSA's last 21 games. Take the over big!
|
01-19-13 |
Oregon v. UCLA OVER 146.5 |
|
76-67 |
Loss |
-108 |
2 h 58 m |
Show
|
|
01-19-13 |
Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech OVER 148 |
|
65-66 |
Loss |
-110 |
1 h 10 m |
Show
|
|