*3 Star Sun Belt Super Total* The Florida International Golden Panthers love to push the tempo, and Troy can put up the points in a hurry on their home floor. These are probably the two fastest paced teams in the league, and when they get together I fully expect a very high scoring game. The over is 36-16-1 in Fla. International's last 53 games. The over is 10-3 in Troy's last 13 games. I think this one gets to at least 163 or 164 points, so I really like the over in this matchup.

*3 Star Heat/Magic Totals TAKEDOWN* The Miami Heat have shown the tendency to be willing to run a little bit more of late. Now that Wade and James are both healthy I think we might continue to see that a little more. Orlando is a much more powerful team offensively than they were at the beginning of the year. Brandon Bass is out of the lineup today, and I actually think that helps the over. Bass is a pretty good defender, and Ryan Anderson will start in his place. Anderson is a pure shooter from deep. The over is 9-3 in the Heat's last 12 games. The over is 5-1 in the Magic's last 6 games. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star Under Play of the Day* The Denver Pioneers have been a terrific 'under' play on the road for quite some time now. The under is 17-4-1 in their last 22 road games. These two teams did meet and score 142 last month, but that game went into overtime. I think Denver will slow the pace of this game to a crawl, and Little Rock's solid defense will make Denver struggle from beyond the arc. This is the type of game that has the potential to finish at 110 points or even lower. I like the value on the under in this one.

*3 Star Southern Conference Totals Winner* These two teams put up a huge total of 155 points in their first meeting, but that was way out of character and I don't think it will happen again. We've gotten some extra value on the under because of that game. The shooting percentages here should be much lower, and the pace of the game will slow down to their usual pace. I like the under.

*3 Star Duke/Maryland GUARANTEED Cash* This is a really big game for both Maryland and Duke. Duke is coming off a loss at St. John's and they'll need to bounce back. The Maryland Terrapins always play Duke tough, and I expect no different here. Both teams play at an extremely quick tempo. Both teams get offensive rebounds at a high rate, so second chance points should come in bunches. I expect this one to be close to the end, and fouling should put this one over the top. I like the over in this big ACC Showdown!

*3 Star Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Clemson Tigers play an entirely different style this year under Coach Brad Brownell. Clemson likes to slow it down and play tough defense. Virginia is led by Coach Bennett, who is all about slowing the game down and playing defense. I think this is the type of game where both teams will shoot 50 or less shots from the floor. The under is 6-1 in Virginia's last 7 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Expect a low scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star MAC Bookie SMASHER* The Northern Illinois Huskies have a way of forcing their opponent to play at their tempo, especially at home. Northern Illinois likes to run and gun, and Bowling Green has been speeding up quite a bit in the last couple weeks. Both teams are terrible defensively and both do a lot of fouling. The over is 8-3 in Bowling Green's last 11 games. The over is 11-4 in Northern Illinois' last 15 home games. Take the over!

*3 Star Atlantic 10 Total Smasher* The Duquesne Dukes are one of the best teams in all of college basketball at pushing the tempo. George Washington has had some high scoring games on the road this year, and I think this will be another. The over is 7-3 in George Washington's last 10 road games. The over is 5-0 in Duquesne's last 5 overall. Duquesne forces more turnovers than anyone in college basketball, and I think they'll make this a helter skelter type of game, which should push this one over the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The James Madison Dukes have a team that is capable of scoring in bunches. Last time they met up with William & Mary the final score was 84-79. Both teams shot well in that one, so it might not get that high this time around, but I think it should surpass the posted total. The over is 7-2 in James Madison's last 9 home games. Both teams hit the three ball pretty well, which should really help boost the points here. I like this one to top 140, so I really like the value on the over.

*3 Star NBA Bookie SMASHER* The Cavs and the Heat will meet up for the third time this year. Byron Scott is trying to implore his Cavs to play better defense, and they have been slightly better of late. I have no doubt that Miami could put up a lot of points here, but I really don't think Cleveland will score enough to get the over. Even Daniel Gibson, who has been their primary scorer is expected to miss the game tonight. Last time these two played in Miami it was 101-95. I expect Miami to get at least 101 today, but I don't think Cleveland will get above 90. The referee crew is a solid 'under' group as well. I look for this one to stay under the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers fired Jim O'Brien on Sunday and they'll be led by Frank Vogel in this game. I've been watching this Indiana team steadily speed up their tempo over the last few weeks. At the beginning of the season they were winning with solid defense, but now they are back to running and gunning. In their last ten games, only once have they not put up at least 80 shots. The Raptors were embarrassed in Minnesota on Saturday and I would expect them to show some pride in this one. Earlier this year these two teams put up 224 total, and I think we are getting a nice value on the over here. Neither team will look to slow things down, and neither team plays much defense at this point. Take the over.

*3 Star Sunday Night ACC Totals Winner* The Maryland Terrapins and the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets have both been slowing the tempo down just a touch compared to what they were doing earlier this year. Georgia Tech allows only 59 points per game at home. Maryland is averaging just 66 and allowing only 56 per game on the road. The under is 5-0 in Maryland's last 5 road games. The under is 8-2 in Georgia Tech's last 10 home games. I think 140 is a very nice value on the under. Take the under in this ACC showdown.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The under is 13-4 in Central Michigan's 17 games this year. This is a terrible team offensively and until they prove they can score, I'll keep taking the under in their games. I like the under here.

*3 Star Lakers/Celtics GUARANTEED Cash* The Celtics and Lakers will renew their rivalry in LA on Sunday afternoon. The Lakes are coming off a home loss to the Kings and the Celtics are coming off a beatdown at the hands of the Suns. If you look back at the last nine meetings between these two, only two of them have gone over this posted total. With Shaq in the lineup, the Celtics are a much slower paced team. This is also an early start on the West Coast, which tends to be helpful to the under. The under is 26-10 in the Lakers last 36 games overall. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 road games. I think this one stays below 180 because of a slow tempo and strong defense from both teams. Take the under.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Lipscomb Bison are a good team in the Atlantic Sun this year. Lipscomb likes to push the tempo of the game, and they average 83 points per game on their home floor. Florida Gulf Coast is one of the worst defensive team in the nation, and they allow 82 points per game on the road. I have this one projected in the low 150's, so I think we are getting a nice value on the over in this one.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Seton Hall Pirates have their star, Jeremy Hazell, back and healthy now. Seton Hall is a completely different team with him in the lineup. Hazell can score in bunches and he helps this team push the tempo on a consistent basis. Providence plays faster than anyone in the Big East, and they'll keep the pace moving in this one as well. These two met twice last year and the totals were 172 and 215! The number has been lowered because Seton Hall had lower games earlier this year, but now that they are back to full strength, I think this one sails over the total. Take the over!

*3 Star CUSA Totals Takedown* The UAB Blazers can slow the tempo down as well as anyone inside Conference USA. Central Florida started 14-0, but they've lost 5 straight games since. UCF only allows 55.8 points per game on their home floor, and UAB won't push the issue at all. The under is 10-4 in UAB's last 14 road games. The under is 10-2 in Central Florida's last 12 home games. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Ronnie Moss was suspended from the TCU team earlier this week. Moss was arguably the Horned Frogs best player, but reports are that he wasn't playing team basketball. Moss was a one-man fastbreak on numerous occasions, which should mean this TCU team will slow down their tempo quite a bit without him in the lineup. Air Force will definitely try to slow the tempo down. I think this is the type of game that flies under the radar, but it is a hidden gem of a play because of Moss missing this game. The under is 8-2 in TCU's last 10, and this TCU team should play much slower. Take the under.

*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* The Samford Bulldogs have always been a great 'under' play at home for the last few years. I think this is a great spot for the under. UNC Greensboro is coming off a double overtime loss on Thursday night and they likely will be a bit tired here. Samford will slow the game down and Greensboro probably won't try as hard to push the issue today. The trends look great in this one. The under is 8-3 in Greensboro's last 11 road games. The under is 17-5 in Samford's last 22 home games. I like this one to stay under 130, so I think this is a great value. Take the under.

*3 Star CUSA Cash Cow* Southern Miss has changed the way they play this year. They used to be a defensive slow it down type of team, but not anymore. They like to push the tempo and outscore their opponent. This is definitely true at home, where they average 84 points per game. The over is 4-0 in their 4 lined home games. The over is 9-4 in Tulane's last 13 road games. I like the over here.

*5 Star Top Play Totals TKO* The Wisconsin Badgers play at the slowest tempo of any team in all of college basketball. Penn State is ranked in the top 15 slowest teams in the nation as well. This has all the makings of a tough Big Ten battle that is as defensive as you'll see. How about some trends to back this one up? The 'under' is 16-6 in Wisconsin's last 22 road games. The under is 8-2 in Penn State's last 10 home games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. I think this one stays below 115 points, so I really like the value on the under. 5 Star top play on the under here.

*3 Star PAC 10 Totals BEATDOWN* There are several reasons to like this under. Neither of these teams play at a fast tempo at all, and both teams are strong defensively. The under is 19-7-2 in Arizona State's last 28 home games. Additionally, this game is an early 12:30 start time out West, which can help the under as well. I like this one to stay under the total.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been a solid 'under' team for the last few years. This is a team with pretty good guard play and they like to control the ball and the tempo of the game. The difference this year is that Nebraska is extremely good on the defensive end of the floor. The Cornhuskers allow just 53 points per game on their home floor. Texas A&M is a solid team this year, and their strength is definitely their defense. The Aggies allow 59.5 points per game. Neither team will want to push the pace and both defend the three-ball well. The under is 25-8 in Nebraska's last 33 home games. The under is 7-2 in Texas A&M's last 9 road games. I like the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* The College of Charleston is a team I follow very closely, and I really like playing the 'over' with them if the spot is right. This Davidson team isn't even close to what they used to be. Davidson is 8-12 this year, and their defense is not very good at all. Davidson is giving up 76 points per game in their last five games. Charleston is scoring 81 points per game in their last five. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 155. I expect Davidson to be able to knock down some three's and stay in this game at home, which should help push this over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Late Night BAILOUT* The Charlotte Bobcats are playing a little more uptempo now since Larry Brown left, and the Golden State Warriors can put points with the best of them on their home floor. Golden State averages 107 points per game and they give up 107 per game as well at home. The over is 10-1 in the Warriors last 11 games. The over is 23-9 in their last 32 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Golden State. I like this one to sail past the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* The VCU Rams can score as well as anyone in the CAA. Hofstra is a great road team, so I expect a tight game here. The oddsmakers haven't caught up to the fact that Hofstra can score in bunches as well. The over is 23-9-1 in Hofstra's last 33 games. These two scored 149 in their earlier meeting this year despite not shooting that well from the floor. I projected this one at around 145 points, so I like the value on the over here.

*3 Star Total Bookie BASHER* The Akron Zips have picked up the pace in their last few games. The Northern Illinois Huskies are a team that love to run and gun at all times. I think the tempo of this game will really help it be high scoring. Last year when these teams met the final was 90-76, and I don't think it is far-fetched to think they could score something close to that again. Akron should get plenty of easy looks against this terrible NIU defense. Northern Illinois is pretty good from behind the arc and Akron struggles to guard their opponent from deep. The over is 10-4 in the Huskies last 14 road games. The over is 37-18-2 in Akron's last 57 road games. Take the over!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The UAB Blazers have a very solid defense. Marshall is a team that pushes the pace, but they aren't nearly as efficient on offense away from home. Marshall averages just under 65 points per game on the road, and UAB is only giving up 60 points per game on their home court. Marshall will be without Johnny Thomas in this one, and he averages nine points per game. How about some long-term winning angles for this one? The under is 10-4 in UAB's last 14 home games. The under is 17-5 in Marshall's last 22 road games. The under is also 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Best Bet Bookie CRUSHER* The Orlando Magic are coming off an embarrassing home loss to the Detroit Pistons. Orlando is a much more offensive team since they have Turkoglu, Richardson, and Arenas. Indiana was a team that slowed the game down and played solid defense to start the year, but they are reverting to their previous style of running and gunning over the last couple weeks. The Pacers opponents have been able to put up 86.4 shots per game over the last five contests, which means Indiana is allowing the game to speed up quite a bit. Orlando is averaging 106 points per game in their last five games, and the over is 6-2 in their last 8 road games. I think Orlando will expose Indiana's weak defense here and the pace will be quick. I like the over.

*3 Star Big East Bookie BEATDOWN* The Villanova Wildcats and the Providence Friars are a nice pair of teams for an 'over' play. Villanova likes to push the tempo when they are able, and Providence runs all the time. Villanova has tremendous guard play, and they should be able to get quite a few open looks tonight. Both teams crash the offensive glass, which should be great for second chance opportunities. Last year these two teams met twice and the scores were 92-81 and 97-80. I think we are getting a really nice value on the over in this one. The over is 14-5 in Villanova's last 19 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Take the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Duquesne Dukes are just about the best 'over' team you will find. Duquesne pushes the tempo as well as anyone, and they force more turnovers than any other team in the nation. The Dukes should get a ton of easy layups by taking it from a Fordham team that is careless with the ball. Fordham is a very bad team, but they still try to push the tempo. These two teams met twice last year and the final scores were 89-68 and 111-100. Duquesne really should be able to put up at least 80 points in this one, and I think Fordham will put up more than enough for the rest. I like the over in a big way here.

*3 Star NBA Bookie SMASHER* The Clippers have been scoring a lot of points lately, but Eric Gordon is expected to miss this game, and that is very important. It might surprise most people to learn that it is Gordon and not Blake Griffin that leads the team in points per game. Gordon's 24.1 points per game will be missed bigtime tonight. Dallas has been struggling mightily on the offensive end, but their defense has been very good of late. Dallas is giving up just 92 points per game in the last five games. The Mavericks are also only scoring 86.4 points per game during that stretch. With the teams at full strength earlier this year the final score was 99-83. I really like the value on the under in this one. The under is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators have a very solid defense, and they definitely slow the tempo down. Florida is giving up just 59.7 points per game this year. Interestingly, they are allowing only 56 per game on the road, where they are even better defensively. Georgia allows just 64 points per game, and only 61 points per game on their home floor. The primary reason Georgia is a much improved team this year is the fact that they play solid defense. I suspect the reason we are getting such a high line here is both games between these two last year went well over the total, but these are two different teams this season. I don't think this one will get above 130 points. Take the under!

*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM* The Buffalo Bulls are a team that the oddsmakers have had a tough time figuring out. The 'over' is 21-5 in their last 26 road games. It is very rare to see a trend continue for that long without the oddsmakers adjusting enough for it. Buffalo pushes the pace and Western Michigan is the type of team that plays to the style of their opponent, so this one should be an up and down affair. I like the value on the over in this one!

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Cleveland Cavaliers are just a terrible team right now, and the Nets aren't much better. Both teams have horrible offenses. These two played twice in November and the final totals were 184 and 182 points. I think we are getting a nice value on the under here. Without Mo Williams the Cavaliers lose 14 points per game, and Ramon Sessions (the backup point guard) is questionable with an abdominal injury. The Nets average just 92 points per game, and they play much better defense on their home floor. All three of the referees assigned to this game are 'under' referees based on their past couple years worth of statistics. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Take the under here.

*3 Star Notre Dame/Pittsburgh Guaranteed Cash* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish changed the way they play during the middle of last season. Notre Dame used to run and shoot the three ball quickly in transition, but now they use up the clock and play solid defense. This season, Notre Dame has been pretty good offensively at home, but on the road they have been terrible. The Fighting Irish are averaging just 56 points per game on the road. Pitt has one of the best defensive teams in the nation, and I don't see the Panthers forcing the tempo in this one either. Both teams are great on the defensive glass and neither team commits that many fouls. The under is 17-5 in Notre Dame's last 22 road games. I like this one to stay under the posted total.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Both the VCU Rams and the Towson Tigers have been playing some CAA opponents that like to slow the tempo down, which has lowered their totals in the last few games. In this game I don't think anyone will be slowing the pace down. VCU's offense is very efficient, and they shoot the three ball very well. Towson allows opponents to shoot 41% from beyond the arc, so I expect VCU to have lots of open looks. Both teams shoot it well from the free throw line. The over is 9-3 in Towson's last 12 home games. The over is 44-20-1 in VCU's last 65 road games. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star NFC Championship Total Knockout* The Green Bay Packers have put together a very impressive run in the playoffs thus far. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have probably been the most impressive team in the playoffs so far. The Chicago Bears defense is determined to make life much tougher on him this weekend. Make no mistake about it, there is no love lost between these two teams. This is a huge rivalry, and now it is for a bid to the Super Bowl.

Both defenses are very good. The Packers have the fifth ranked defense when it comes to yards allowed, but they are second in the NFL in points allowed at just 15 per game. What about the Bears? Chicago is excellent against the run, and they have improved throughout the year against the pass. The Bears are fourth in the NFL in points allowed at just 17.9 per game. The Packers offense is impressive right now, but they don't have much of a running game to keep the Bears honest. Chicago's offense really hasn't been impressive all year, but they have done what they need to do to win.

In their two meetings earlier this year, the Bears won 20-17 at home, and the Packers won 10-3 on their home field. I was quite surprised to see the total at 44 in this one, since these teams have a nice history of low-scoring games. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 games between these two. Nine of their last ten meetings have finished under 44 points. I think the value here is on the under. Take the under in this NFC Championship Showdown!

*3 Star College Hoops Total Domination* Central Michigan will be without their second leading scorer in this contest. The Chippewas already play at a very slow pace, and without Jalin Thomas I expect them to slow it down even more. This is an intrastate rivalry game, and this usually brings out the best in the defenses. The under is 5-0 in Central Michigan's last five games. The under is 9-4 in Eastern Michigan's last 13 home games. I expect an ugly game that finishes very low scoring. Take the under here.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Fairfield Stags have the best defense in the MAAC conference, and right now they are probably the single best team overall in the conference. Niagara is probably the worst team, and they can't shoot well at all. Fairfield likes to slow the game down and I think they will do so successfully in this one. Niagara's top scorer is out for this game and their second leading scorer is questionable and will be dinged up if he does play. I think Fairfield controls the tempo here and this one stays under. The under is 12-4 in Fairfield's last 16. The under is 6-2 in Niagara's last 8. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers know how to push the pace of the game better than just about anyone. Missouri's pressure defense forces the other team to either turn it over or push it up court for a quick basket. Iowa State has some solid guards, and I think they'll be able to score frequently against the press. At the same time, Missouri will definitely get some easy opportunities against Iowa State, who struggles on the road defensively. I look to see both teams put up a whole lot of shots in this one, and because of the quality of the shots they'll be taking, they should shoot a good percentage. This one should be a real track meet. Take the over!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Jimmer Fredette and the BYU Cougars are an extremely potent team on offense. The interesting thing about them is that they are actually better on the road. BYU is averaging 87 points per game on the road this year. Colorado State averages 79 points per game on their home floor. Last year these teams combined for 162 points on Colorado State's home floor, and I feel like both teams play faster and have more scoring options this year. Colorado State is coming off a huge win at UNLV, and they'll be as confident as ever in this one. BYU knows they can score on anyone at anytime, so their offense should be ready. The over is 10-4 in BYU's last 14 Mountain West games. The over is 9-4 in Colorado State's last 13 games overall. Take the over!

*3 Star Hidden Gem Line Error* The Towson Tigers love to push the tempo. UNC Wilmington usually slows things down, but UNC Wilmington does shoot the three ball extremely well. Towson allows opponents to shoot 42% from beyond the arc, and UNC Wilmington should be able to take full advantage of that. Wilmington will have plenty of open looks here, and Towson will be pushing it back down the court and getting to the free throw line. I think this one gets up closer to 140 points. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Sun Belt Total DOMINATION* The Troy Trojans are absolutely a team that runs and guns, and Western Kentucky is as well, especially at home. Both teams have had lots of issues with turnovers this year, and I think easy buckets off turnovers will come frequently in this game. The over is 6-1 in Western Kentucky's last 7 games overall. The over is 8-2 in Troy's last 10 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. I like the over in a big way here.

*3 Star SEC Super Total* The Florida Gators can put the clamps down on their opponent defensively. They allowed just 40 points against Auburn earlier this week. Arkansas struggles away from home, and I think Florida will do a good job getting out on the Razorbacks three point shooters. With neither team pushing the tempo and both teams defending well beyond the arc, I really believe the value is on the under here. The under is 9-3-1 in Arkansas' last 13 games overall. The under is a perfect 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. Take the under here.

*3 Star Oddsmakers Line Error* The Ball State Cardinals are definitely not the type of team to push the tempo. Ball State plays solid defense and likes to work the shot clock. The Toledo Rockets may be the worst team in the MAC, but they play much better at home. Toledo slows the game down extremely well, and they play reasonably good defense at home as well. Toledo is one of the worst shooting teams in the country. How good has the under been with Toledo? The under is 19-7 in their lats 26 MAC games. The under is also 14-5 in their last 19 home games. Last year's meetings between these two finished at 114, and 87 points! Take the under.

*3 Star Horizon League Total Takedown* The Detroit Titans have a very talented young team. Youngstown State is improving and they can put up points on their home floor. Detroit will push the tempo of this game, and they should get to the free throw line quite often. I think Youngstown keeps this one close and the final total finishes somewhere around 147-149 points. Take the over.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The Utah Utes really like to push the pace of a game, and I think TCU will be happy to do that on their home floor. TCU averages 79.4 points per game at home and Utah is allowing 75 points per game in their last five contests. I think this is a 'get well' type of game for TCU. The Horned Frogs have been on a rough stretch and Utah is the type of team they can get their offense going against once again. Since this game is likely to be fairly competitive, free throws should help this one as well. I like the over in this one.

*3 Star Totals Bookie Beatdown* Oregon State has completely changed the way they play this year. The Beavers used to be a team that would slow it down and use up the shot clock, but now they are one of the fastest teams in the Pac 10. Both of these teams are good at forcing turnovers, and I expect plenty of easy looks because of the pressure defense from both teams. I think this one ends near 150, so I like the over.

*3 Star Under the Radar Total Winner* The College of Charleston is a great team to play the 'over' with. Charleston is one of the most efficient teams you will see in the entire country on the offensive side of the ball. Appalachian State has struggled this year, but they still have a potent offense led by Donald Sims. I expect Sims and company to come out ready to play in this one. The matchup of Andrew Goudelock and Donald Sims is a matchup of two of the best guards in the nation. Neither team will slow the tempo of this one, and both teams should shoot a high percentage from the floor. I like this one to go well over the posted total.

*3 Star Total Value Crusher* The Georgia State Panthers are a completely different team at home. On their home court they slow the game down far more, and they play solid defense as well. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 3-1-1 in Delaware's last 5. I like the under here.

*3 Star Bookie BEATDOWN* The Northern Illinois Huskies are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. They play terrible defense, turn the ball over quite a bit, but they love to run and gun. Western Michigan is the type of team that takes on the style of their opponent, so I think they'll start running in this one too. Last year these two played twice and the scores were 87-77 and 90-81. Expect a high scoring affair here. Take the over.

*3 Star CBB Early Bird Total* Both teams play at a slow tempo and both have played against faster opponents lately, which is giving us a nice value on the under. I think this game will be played in the halfcourt, and I like this one to finish under 125, so I like the under here.

*3 Star NBA on ESPN Total Domination* The Lakers offense has been looking a little better the last few games, and Denver's defense has a way of making the opposing offense terrific. What about Denver's offense? The Nuggets are averaging 120 points per game in their last five contests. The over is 13-9-1 in their 21 home games this year. While Denver has been lethargic in quite a few games this year, I don't think they will be that way in a matchup with the defending champs. I expect Carmelo Anthony and the rest of this team to be ready to put on a show. Bryant, Gasol, Odom, and the rest of the Lakers should get plenty of easy shots. I really like this one, and I think this one has a good chance to reach 220 points. Take the over!

*3 Star NBA Totals Takedown* I'll be the first to admit that betting on an 'under' with the Cleveland Cavaliers defense isn't exactly comforting. Having said that, I think this is the perfect matchup to see a very sloppy game. Milwaukee plays at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA, and Cleveland struggles mightily to score. I think the Bucks are more prone to slow things down and use the clock if they get the lead than any other team in the NBA. So far this year the under is actually 11-7 in Cleveland's 18 home games, because they do play a little better defense on their home floor. At the same time, the under is 13-3 in the Bucks last 16 games as the favorite. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these two. You won't want to watch this game, but I think the under is a good play.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Toronto Raptors have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. Orlando is a much more explosive team offensively than they were before their major trades in late December. I think Toronto is the perfect team for Orlando to flex their offensive muscle against. Toronto is last in the league in field goal percentage defense and they allow opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Orlando has plenty of three point threats now, and I expect them to take advantage. The Raptors will get their share of points too since they'll put up so many shots, but I expect Orlando to have a big scoring night here (probably in the range of 110 points or so). I like the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Iona Gaels are one of the more efficient offenses in college basketball and Niagara is absolutely terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Niagara allows opponents to shoot 52% on their two point shots, and Iona is shooting 55% from two point range. Niagara also allows all kinds of second chance opportunities, which Iona should take advantage of. Both of these teams like to push the tempo, so this should be a game where the pace stays very quick the whole way. The over is 9-4 in Iona's last 13 games overall. Niagara has been playing some teams that slow it down of late, which gives us some value on the line. This one should go over the posted total.

*3 Star Play of the Day* The Cal Poly Mustangs definitely know how to make a game stay low scoring. In their last 8 games, only two of the games have gone over this posted total. They have had final scores of 43-39, 48-43, 51-41, and 51-45 during this time. They slow the game down in a big way, they have the single best three point defense in the nation, and they are not a good shooting team at all. UC Riverside plays at a fairly slow pace to start with, and I don't think they'll be able to push the tempo in this one. The two meetings between these teams last year both went well over this posted total, but Cal Poly is a whole different team this year. I think this is the type of game where a final score not far above 100 is pretty likely. Take the under here!

*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* The Eastern Illinois Panthers were a very low scoring team to start with, and then a few weeks ago they lost their best offensive threat in Tyler Laser. Murray State is a team that plays terrific defense. On their home court Murray State allows just 52.8 points per game. Neither team likes to push the tempo at all. Murray State's last couple games are deceiving because they have played against opponents who run and gun all game long. I think the Racers will shut down Eastern Illinois defensively and they'll be content to run the shot clock down on offense and get a good look. I had this one projected at 117, so I like the value on the under in this one.

*3 Star Total DOMINATION* The Troy Trojans are one of my favorite teams to play an 'over' with. Troy will push the tempo with the best of them, and their defense is terrible. MTSU had a team that would slow down the tempo substantially last year, but this year they have been running more often. Troy is allowing 82 points per game on the road this year, and I think MTSU will have success from beyond the arc, where they are solid. MTSU also sends their opponent to the line a ton because of excessive fouling, which could certainly be helpful to the over. Troy shoots the three pretty well and MTSU struggles to guard the three. In the end this is game that should be played at a quick tempo, and I expect a lot of free throws and three pointers. I like the over.

*3 Star Big East Total Beatdown* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and South Florida Bulls both like to slow the game down. Both teams have been playing against opponents lately who try to speed the game up, but that shouldn't be a problem in this one. Rutgers has a good defense in the interior, but they don't guard the three well. Fortunately, South Florida is one of the worst three-point shooting teams in the nation. South Florida is solid defensively, and I don't think Rutgers will be able to find many easy looks. The under is 11-3 in South Florida's last 14 road games. The under is 21-6 in Rutgers' lst 27 home games. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star Under the Radar Total SMASHER* The College of Charleston Cougars are an interesting team that I've followed closely all year. Andrew Goudelock is one of the better players in the country that you probably have never heard of. The Cougars are an extremely good offensive team, and they are very efficient. They shoot the ball well from beyond the arc, but they don't settle for three's unless it is necessary. C of C averages 80.3 points per game on their home floor. The over is 6-0 in Charleston's last 6 games inside their conference. If Western Carolina wants a chance in this one, they'll have to put up points. I like the over.

*3 Star Big West Beatdown* The Long Beach State 49ers probably have the most talented team in the Big West. Long Beach has plenty of different guys who can score. Their last couple games have come against teams who like to slow the tempo, so it has skewed this line a bit. CS Fullerton isn't a good team, but they do like to run when given the opportunity. Fullerton's defense is one of the worst in college basketball, which should mean Long Beach will get plenty of easy looks. The over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. I think the pace will be quick and both teams will shoot a solid percentage from the floor. I like the over here.

*3 Star College Hoops Total Value* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are just terrible on the defensive end of the floor. Georgia Tech isn't very much better. The Yellow Jackets are coming off a big upset win over North Carolina. I expect Georgia Tech to want to push the tempo on their home court, and Wake Forest's personnel will be fine with that. Georgia Tech is terrible at guarding beyond the three-point line, and Wake has several good long-distance shooters. Wake Forest has been an 'over' machine on the road this year. The over is 8-0 in their last 8 road games. The over is also 5-2 in these two teams last 7 meetings. Wake Forest turns it over frequently, and Tech has a nice full-court press that should help them get easy layups here. I expect both teams to score quite a bit today. I like the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Toledo Rockets are a terrible team. They have been a great team to play the 'under' with though, especially on their home court. The under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games. They play at a very slow tempo, and their shooting percentages are awful. Today they match up against a Western Michigan team that averages just 65.8 points per game on the road. These two teams met twice last year and the total ended at 114 and 102 in those two meetings. This one might end a little higher, but I projected this line at about 120, which gives us a nice value on the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Lasalle Explorers and the Duquesne Dukes do essentially the same thing on both sides of the ball. Both teams like to run and push the tempo and both teams press and force a lot of turnovers. This combination should lead to a lot of turnovers and easy baskets. There should also be plenty of shots taken, since both teams play uptempo. These teams got together last February and the final score was 103-82. While this one might not be quite that high, I think this game gets over 160 points. I like the over.

*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The DePaul Blue Demons are a different team under Oliver Purnell. Purnell loves to press and push the tempo. DePaul has successfully been forcing turnovers this year, but the problem for them is if they don't force a turnover the other team usually gets an easy layup. Marquette has the guards necessary to get through the press effectively, which should mean the Golden Eagles will put up a big number here. Marquette averages 84 points per game on their home floor, and I think they will best that number in this game. DePaul should be able to put up enough to get this one over the posted total. Take the over here and expect a fast paced game.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Samford Bulldogs are a terrific 'under' team, especially on their home court. The under is 17-5 in their last 22 home games. Last year, these two teams met twice, and the score ended at 98, and 118. Citadel has had some higher scoring games recently, which is giving us some nice value here. Neither team will push the pace at all, and this has the looks of a game that could finish below 115 points. AS long as they don't shoot lights-out from beyond the arc I think this one looks very good. Take the under in this battle of the Bulldogs.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown* The College of Charleston has Andrew Goudelock as well as several other very capable scorers. The Cougars can easily put up 80 points or more in this type of a game. Chattanooga likes to run and push the tempo, so no one will be slowing this one down. An up and down affair plays into the hands of Charleston, but Chattanooga should be able to get their points as well. Last year these two teams met three times and all three times the game finished well over this posted total. The totals last season were 156, 160, and 165 points. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. I like this to be a track meet type of game, which should help this one go over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* When these teams played two weeks ago the posted total was just 190, but the final score was 108-102. The posted total is much higher this time around, but it is because both teams have changed the way they are playing of late. In their last six games, Atlanta has scored at least 104 points in each game, and they have averaged 107 points. The Kings had slowed down earlier this year, but their tempo has sped up in a major way over the last couple weeks. The over is 6-1 in the Kings last 7. The over is 6-1 in the Hawks last 7. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 games between these two. I think both offenses will show up on Monday. I like the over here.

*3 Star Jets/Patriots Total DOMINATION* The New York Jets were absolutely humiliated last time in New England. One has to expect them to come out and play better than they did last time. The Jets have a solid running game, and the Patriots allow 108 rushing yards per game. Mark Sanchez is the type of guy that I think is good for an 'over' because he has big play ability, but he can also throw some picks that lead to defensive scores or great field position for the opponent.

Tom Brady and the Patriots offensive are absolutely firing on all cylinders right now. How good has the Patriots offense been? In the last eight games they are averaging 37 points per game. Their lowest point output in the last eight games was 31 points. The consistency of their production is truly amazing. The Jets defense is very good, but they have had some trouble against the pass at times this year, and I think New England's precision passing game will give them trouble.

What about the trends for this one? The over is 12-4 in the Jets last 16 games overall. The over is 15-3 in the Patriots last 18 overall. The over is 8-1 in the Jets 9 road games this year. The over is 7-1 in the Patriots 8 home games this year. I think the Patriots are likely to get to at least 28 in this one, and I expect the Jets to put up a fight. I like the value on the over. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star Total Value Play* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have enough trouble scoring to start with, and they will be without their leading scorer today. Brandon Bowdry is suspended for this one. Western Michigan isn't a team with a prolific scorer anymore either. David Kool was their star, but he graduated at the end of last season. If we take a look at the recent history between these two, the under looks like a very good bet here. In the last six games these two teams have played the total hasn't finished above this number even one time. The last four games have finished at 98,84,108, and 118 points. I like the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* This is a case where I believe a team's recent trends has given us a great value. The over is 6-0 in Bowling Green's last 6 games, but they haven't changed the way they play. They have played some faster paced teams and had a game go into overtime. The Falcons are a halfcourt type of team, and today they'll play the Miami Redhawks, who play at an even slower tempo than they do. I expect both teams to use up the shot clock, and I don't expect shooting percentages to be very high either. Neither team shoots the ball very well from beyond the arc, and neither team gets to the free throw line very often. I like the value on the under here, as I have this one projected at about 120. Take the under.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Both Mercer and Florida Gulf Coast love to run the floor. Neither team is particularly efficient on offense, but both defenses are terrible. Both of these teams are good at forcing turnovers, and both teams give it away often. I expect this game to feature quite a few steals and easy layups, which would certainly help the cause. In the last six meetings between these two, five of the games have gone over this posted total. The tempo and the poor defense should lead to a high scoring game here. Take the over in this matchup.

*3 Star Green Bay/Atlanta GUARANTEED Cash* The Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons square off in what should be a terrific game in Atlanta Saturday night. The Falcons have been terrific at home. It is much publicized now that Matt Ryan has a 20-2 record at home in this three-year career. The Falcons beat the Packers 20-17 back on November 28th. Both teams moved the ball pretty well in that game, and I think the line here is low enough that the over is a solid value. Last time they played the over/under was set at 47.5. The Falcons defense has given up quite a few yards all year, but they have managed to give up only 18 points per game. I feel like Green Bay is the type of team that is playing well enough to capitalize on their opportunities in this one and put the ball in the end zone. Green Bay's defense is 2nd in the NFL in points per game allowed at just 15, but I think Atlanta's offense will be ready in this one. Michael Turner can do some damage against Green Bay, and Matt Ryan is definitely a clutch quarterback. With Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez, the Falcons have a couple very reliable weapons in the passing game. Both defenses are good, but I think these offenses will be able to put up more points than most people are expecting on Saturday. I like the over here.

*3 Star MVC Totals Takedown* The Illinois State Redbirds have become a terrific 'under' team this year. The under is 12-3 in their last 15 games. The under is also 18-5 in their last 23 home games. What about their history against Evansville? The under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings. I like the under here.


*Bonus Play Below* (This play is not guaranteed and will not count toward my record)

N. Texas/Troy over 155

Writeup:

North Texas is a team that can score on anyone and Troy pushses the pace more than anyone in the league. Neither team has a strong defense. The over is 7-1 in Troy's last 8 games and 5-3 in North Texas' last 8 games. I don't see either team slowing this tempo down, and both teams foul quite a bit, so free throws should help out as well. Troy is much better offensively at home, and they should be able to hold their own. North Texas may be the best team in the league, and I expect them to be able to score at will on a terrible Troy defense. I like the over a lot in this one.

*3 Star Under Play* Both teams have a terrible offense and I think the pace here will be slow. Jacksonville State has had just three games all year go over this total. One was 140, one was an overtime game, and one was 133 points. Tennessee-Martin is coming off a triple overtime game, so they are likely to be a little weary. This has the makings of a game that stays in the halfcourt. I think it will be about as sloppy as you'll ever see, but it should stay under the posted total.

*3 Star Bookie CRUSHING Total* The Central Michigan Chippewas are a nice 'under' team. Central Michigan plays at a very slow tempo, and their shooting percentages are about as bad as anyone in basketball. They shoot 31% from three and just 42% from two point range. Ball State also plays at a slow pace, but they are more efficient on offense. Ball State's defense is solid, which means they should contain the Chippewas here. I think the Cardinals will get the lead and then use up the clock late in the game. The under is 7-1 in Central Michigan's last 8. I like the under here.

*3 Star Totals TKO* St. Peter's is one of my favorite 'under' teams. They play brilliant defense and they use up the entire clock when they get the ball. Niagara is a mess of a team this year. The Purple Eagles may try to push the tempo some here, but their shooting percentages have been horrific all season and I see no reason to believe that will change in this game. The under is 11-1-1 in St. Peter's last 13 games. The under is 4-1 in Niagara's last 5 road games. I had projected this one below 120 points, so I like the value on the under.

*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The College of Charleston has a powerful offense led by Andrew Goudelock. They are extremely efficient on the offensive end and they do it with both easy layups and three-point shots. The Citadel is a very bad defensive team. Citadel allows opponents to hit 54% of their two-point shots, which should equal plenty of those easy layups for C of C today. Citadel does get on the offensive glass well, and they should be able to get some points that way since C of C is terrible on the defensive boards. The over is 6-1 in Citadel's last 7 games. The over is 5-2 in C of C's last 7 games. I like the over here.

*3 Star Totals Early Bird* VCU is a team that can score in bunches, and they have several very good three point shooters. Northeastern is allowing their opponents to shoot 42% from beyond the arc so far this year. Neither team is good on the boards, which means second chance opportunities will probably help the total as well. The over is 6-2 in Northeastern's last 8 road games. VCU averages 73 points per game, and I think they'll best that total in this one. I like this early game to go over the posted total.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Chicago Bulls and the Indiana Pacers are both teams that have slowed their tempo down this year as compared to last. The under is 25-9 in the Pacers last 34 games overall. The under is 6-0 in the Pacers last 6 home games. Chicago is without Joakim Noah right now, and the team is averaging just 93.8 points per game in their last five contests. The Pacers are holding opponents to 95.9 points per game at home this year. These two played to a 92-73 final a month ago. I expect this one to be higher scoring than that, because the shooting percentages were very low in that game. Having said that, I think this line is about 4 points too high. This should be a close game and I think it will played in the halfcourt. Take the under here.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Orlando Magic are a much more high-octane offense now that they have Jason Richardson, Hedo Turkoglu, and Gilbert Arenas. Richardson and Turkoglu are particularly important to their ability to get open shots for themselves and others. I think the Magic are a good 'over' opportunity now when they play teams that run. The Thunder are definitely a team that will run with Orlando. Oklahoma City is tops in the league in free throw percentage, and I think they'll get to the line a lot in this one. The over is 18-6 in the Thunder's last 24 home games. Both teams played yesterday, but these two teams strike me as teams that are youthful and fully capable of putting up a strong effort two nights in a row. I think this one could easily get to 210, so I like the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals GEM* Both Old Dominion and Drexel win with their defense. These two teams play very slow and they rely on their defense to hold opponents below 60 points. Both teams are allowing 59.5 points per game this year. Neither team gets to the free throw line particularly often, and both shoot a very poor percentage when they are at the stripe. The two meetings last year finished at 116 and 119 points. I think both teams have a little less offense this year, and I think a total around 110 is quite likely in this game. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Redhawks definitely know how to slow the tempo down. Buffalo isn't a team that can dictate the tempo very well, and I think this one will stay in the low 120's. Miami likes to use up the shot clock and play halfcourt style of game. At home the Redhawks are an even better defensive team, and I think they'll slow down Buffalo nicely here. Neither team gets to the line particularly often, which is a big help to the under. I think this will be a game that goes down to the wire and stays under the posted total.

*Bonus Play* This bonus is not guaranteed and will not count toward my record... UCLA/Oregon State over 143.5- Oregon State is pushing the pace like crazy this year and I think both teams will score plenty in this one.

*3 Star Duke/FSU Totals Winner* The Duke Blue Devils are very capable of putting up a lot of points, but they aren't nearly as explosive without Kyrie Irving. Florida State comes into this game with the understanding that in order for them to have a chance to win this game, they must make this a defensive battle. Florida State struggles on the offensive end, but they do play great defense. The Seminoles are allowing just 61 points per game this year. FSU has given up just 55.8 at home this season. The under is 32-12 in Duke's last 44 ACC games. The under is 6-2 in Florida State's last 8 home games. The under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings. I like the value on the under here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the over with. Towson is terrible defensively and they like to push the tempo. Towson leaves shooters wide open on a frequent basis, which is very bad news for them against a team like Hofstra. Hofstra has plenty of shooters to take advantage of that problem. At the same time, Towson can get up and down the court and score, especially on their home floor. Both teams shoot free throws well and I think they'll be plenty of opportunities at the line for both teams today. I like the over in this matchup.

*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Phoenix Suns simply aren't the same team they used to be. Vince Carter slows this offense down quite a bit because he just doesn't run the floor that well anymore. Phoenix has had five straight games go under the posted total. Grant Hill is injured and is expected to miss tonight's game, which limits them even more offensively. How about the Nuggets? Well if you have heard much of anything about Denver lately, you know there is all kinds of controversy and trade rumors surrounding the team. Denver has looked uninterested in most of their recent games, and the under is 4-1 in their last 5 home games. Four of the last six meetings between these two went under this posted total even when these teams were at full strength and now there is extra value because neither team is even close to what it used to be. I like the under here.