*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Los Angeles Angels broke my heart and my clients hearts with a ridiculous 5-4 win on Friday night. The Angels led 5-1 in the bottom of the 8th, but allowed three runs in the 8th and won only 5-4 to make my run line bet on the Angels a loser. That one was really tough to take since it was an ugly throwing error that cost us a winner. I'm going to the Angels in this one. Nick Tepesch has looked better the last couple games, but it will be 95 degrees with the ball carrying extremely well here. The Angels home run hitters should have some success in this one. The Rangers bullpen is very weak too, and the Angels bullpen has been much better since Huston Street was added. Texas' offense isn't the same anymore, and Hector Santiago has been throwing it well of late. Take Los Angeles -1.5. 

*3 MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox are a team I'm looking to fade down the stretch. Chicago's bullpen problems are as bad as anyone outside of Houston right now. The White Sox also don't have much depth in their starting rotation, which is exactly why they must turn to Scott Carroll here even though he has been dealing with blister issues on his finger. Carroll isn't a good starter to begin with, and this Blue Jays lineup is getting back to full strength now with Adam Lind and Edwin Encarnacion both back in the fold. Hutchison is a hot and cold pitcher, but he has thrown it much better away from home. There aren't many bullpens worse than Toronto's, but Chicago's is definitely worse. Plenty of reasons to like the Jays, who are still fighting for a playoff spot.

The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The White Sox are 0-4 in Carroll's last 4 starts. They are 0-4 in his last 4 home starts. They are 0-6 in their last 6 game when their opponent scores 5 or more runs the day before. The White Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 Sunday games. The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Clint Fagan's last 4 games behind home plate. A 28-0 angle. Take Toronto. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays fell one game below .500 again with yesterday's tough loss to the New York Yankees. The Rays are on the fringe of Wild Card contention, and they badly need this game if they want to stay in the picture at all. I love the no quit attitude of Joe Maddon's Rays. Maddon is one of the best managers in baseball. The Yankees start Hiroki Kuroda here, and he has a career ERA of 6.07 against the Rays. His ERA is 6.94 at Tampa Bay. On the other hand, Jeremy Hellickson has an impressive 2.95 ERA against the Yankees. Hellickson doesn't issue free passes, and his aggressive style has been paying off of late. 

Tampa Bay is 4-0 in their last 4 games when their opponent allows 2 runs or less last game. They are 10-1 in Hellickson's last 11 Sunday starts. The Yankees are 0-4 in Kuroda's last 4 starts vs. the Rays. They are 0-4 in Kuroda's last 4 starts as an underdog. The Yankees are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 1-9 in Kuroda's last 10 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. A 36-2 angle. Take Tampa Bay. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers offense is one of the best in baseball. Chris Young is a pitcher I've backed many times this year and played the under with many times this year as well, but Young is much better at Safeco than he is on the road. This Tigers lineup can get to the best of pitchers, and Young isn't as good as his ERA appears. Opponents have a batting average on balls in play against him of just .224, which is just absurdly low. Robbie Ray has a lot of room for improvement when it comes to command, and Seattle is hitting with confidence right now. This number is a little too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers offense hasn't been particularly good of late, but I do think they'll get to Matt Shoemaker some here. It will be in the upper 90's at gametime here, and that really makes the ball fly well in Arlington. Shoemaker has an ERA over 6 on the road this year. Colby Lewis has an ERA over 7 at home this season. The Angels offense demolished Lewis in his last home outing against them. I expect to see several balls leave the yard in this one. The Angels have a team that is capable of scoring in bunches and hitting multiple homers in this kind of environment against a pitcher like Lewis. The over is 5-0-1 in Lewis' last 6 home starts vs. the Angels. The over is 4-0 in Shoemaker's last 4 road starts. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Kansas City Royals are playing tremendous baseball right now. Kansas City's success has been led by amazing bullpen work and great starting pitching, but one thing that is often missed in their success is their amazing defense. Kansas City saves more runs defensively than anyone else in the league. The Twins have nothing to play for now, and they would prefer to just see this season end. Kansas City has dominated the Twins in the past couple seasons. Yordano Ventura is a phenom, and his stuff is electric. The Twins offense is scuffling of late. Phil Hughes is much improved, but he has struggled at home. In addition, his career ERA is 5.63 against the Royals. Cheap price on the much better team.

The Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a right-hander. They are 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. They are 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. The Royals are 4-0 in Ventura's last 4 starts. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the AL Central. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a quality start. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 43-0 angle. Take Kansas City. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Kansas City Royals have been red hot of late. Kansas City is 18-4 in their last 22 games. The Royals have gotten tremendous starting pitching and amazing bullpen work of late. In the past few weeks, no bullpen in baseball has pitched better than this group. While I am aware of the potential for a "let down" game here from Kansas City coming off their series win over Oakland, I see plenty of reasons to back them. Ricky Nolasco has struggled all year, and he's coming off an injury and looked shaky in his rehab outing in Single A. Danny Duffy has a spectacular 2.03 ERA in his career against Minnesota. It's even more impressive at 0.61 at Target Field. I projected this line at -155, so plenty of line value here. Take Kansas City. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals offense has underperformed all year long. I continue to be confused by why this team isn't hitting any better than they are. I don't see them getting it going today though against one of the better young pitchers in all of baseball, Tyson Ross. Ross has thrown the ball extremely well of late, and his stuff is electric. Lance Lynn is a much better pitcher at home, and this Padres offense is still dead last in the majors in runs scored. John Tumpane has a slightly bigger strike zone than the average umpire, which helps us as well.

The under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 Friday starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite. The under is 7-0 in Lynn's last 7 home starts. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Month* The Texas Rangers are a sinking ship and their ship is going down fast. I don't like what I'm seeing out of this team at all. Ron Washington is one of the worst managers in the league, and I don't think this team is putting forth their best effort on a nightly basis anymore. Texas starts Nick Martinez in this game. Martinez has a 5.22 ERA, and advanced metrics actually show that he is fortunate that number isn't even higher. The Angels offense is dangerous and in the Texas heat in this hitter's ballpark I expect them to put up quite a few runs. On the other side, Garrett Richards is one of my favorite guys to back. Richards is a fast improving starter with great stuff and his command has improved a ton this year. Richards threw a shutout at Texas a few weeks ago against a similar Rangers lineup. Richards has been great away from home this year (1.91 ERA). I think this game gets ugly. 

The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 40% or lower. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 9 to 10.5. The Angels are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 starts with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. They are 6-0 in Richards' last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Rangers are 0-4 in Martinez's last 4 home starts. The Rangers are 0-7 in Martinez's last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-7 in his last 7 starts with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 during game one of a series. The Angels are 4-0 in their last 4 at Texas. They are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 53-0 trend. Take the Los Angeles Angels -1.5 big! Play of the Month 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Tampa Bay Rays have a chance to get back to the .500 mark tonight. That's important to this team because it wasn't terribly long ago that this team had the worst record in the majors. Joe Maddon's team fights extremely hard and they are still in the Wild Card race right now. In fact, this is a huge series for their Wild Card hopes since the Yankees are just ahead of them in the race. Brandon McCarthy has pitched well for the Yankees, but I trust Alex Cobb much more than him. Cobb has excellent stuff and has finally found his groove of late. The Rays have the better bullpen here as well. This is a rare sell out in Tampa Bay too. The Rays get this game. Take Tampa Bay. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Friday night, and I'm not impressed with either of these two starters. Trevor Cahill has pitched better of late, but he has thrown it well against poor offenses. The Marlins have actually been pretty good offensively at home this year. The Marlins start Brad Hand who isn't a major league starter in my opinion, and the fish bullpen has been overworked the last few days. Hand isn't a guy who will go deep in the game. The DBacks bullpen isn't good at all, and they have been overworked lately as well. While neither offense is elite, a total of just 7.5 with this kind of pitching setup is too good for me to pass on. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The San Diego Padres have been playing surprisingly well of late. Still, this is a team with a really bad offense and starting pitching problems. Yonder Alonso is one of their best hitters and he went on the DL with an injury yesterday. St. Louis has underperformed all year, but they are a much better team than San Diego. Eric Stults has an ERA above 5 on the road, and I always look for chances to fade him. John Lackey had a horrible start in his last outing, but this is a good chance for him to bounce back against the worst offense in baseball. The moneyline is too expensive here, but the run line is a very good value at a big plus money number. Take St. Louis -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs meet in the fourth game of this series Thursday afternoon. The Cubs have won back to back games and have a chance to win this series 3-1. Edwin Jackson takes the hill for them though, and he's had an awful season. Jackson is very hittable, and this Brewers lineup has been solid all year. Braun is expected to miss this game. If he were playing I would have rated it higher, but even without him the Brewers offense is better than the Cubs offense. The Brewers start Mike Fiers here, and I like this youngster. Fiers has a deceptive delivery and the Cubs haven't seen him in a long time. Milwaukee has a big bullpen edge. The Brewers salvage a split here. Take Milwaukee. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals and Oakland Athletics meet in the series finale in Kansas City on Thursday afternoon. Kansas City is playing as well as anyone in baseball lately, and it's largely due to great starting pitching and amazing bullpen work. James Shields has been on point of late. In addition, Shields has an ERA of less than 2.5 in day games so far this year. Oakland's Jeff Samardzija has been rock solid this year, and the A's bullpen is terrific as well. With two quality starters, two good bullpens, and a get away day afternoon start time there are plenty of reasons to expect a low scoring game. 

The under is 4-0 in Shields's last 4 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The under is 7-1 in the Royals last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. A 15-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Oakland Athletics are the best team in baseball right now. While the Kansas City Royals have been hot, they certainly have more flaws than Oakland. The Royals lineup is very inconsistent, and their starting rotation isn't terrific. Jason Vargas has an ERA well above 4 at home this year, and I think this patient Oakland lineup will take advantage of the fact that he allows a lot of baserunners. Scott Kazmir is a great story, and he has very high quality stuff. The A's deserve to be a bigger favorite than this against a hot and cold Kansas City team. Take Oakland. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are a much more complete team than the New York Mets. Washington has a better offense, a better bullpen, and a better starting pitcher going in this one. While I do respect Bartolo Colon, Jordan Zimmermann is a guy who has made me a lot of money in the past few years. The Nationals are 23-4 in their last 27 games against the Mets in New York, so they feel right at home here. Washington is finally hitting their stride, and the Mets are out of the race. Plenty of reasons to like the Nationals in this contest. Take Washington. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Francisco Giants are 7-22 in their last 29 home games. Jake Peavy is on the mound for them in this one. While Peavy isn't a bad pitcher now, he also isn't particularly great. Jose Quintana is very solid, and the White Sox have the clear starting pitching advantage in this one. The Giants are a team headed south in a hurry right now. Having said all this, it makes absolutely no sense to see the Giants at -150 at many books. These Giants don't deserve that with anyone on the hill, let alone Jake Peavy. I'm betting a price here, because this feels like a toss up game. 

The White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL West. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games. The Giants are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the AL Central. They are 0-5 in their last 5 overall. They are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a lefty. They are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games. The White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. the Giants. They are 4-0 in their last 4 at San Francisco. A 40-0 angle. Take Chicago. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners are playing good baseball of late, and they catch Toronto at a good time here. Toronto is worn out after the 19 innings game against Detroit on Sunday and then a game immediately in Seattle on Monday night. There should be some hangover here still. Also, Edwin Encarnacion will be back in the lineup this weekend for Toronto, but he's still out for this game. Chris Young is a different pitcher at home. Young loves throwing at Safeco, where it's very hard to hit a home run. J.A. Happ has an ERA above 5 on the road. The Mariners have the best bullpen in baseball and the Blue Jays are one of the five worst. 

Seattle is 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a lefty. They are 6-1 in their last 7 overall. Toronto is 0-4 in their last 4 road games. They are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the AL West. They are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring two runs or less. They are 1-6 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter. A 30-3 angle. Take Seattle. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Tampa Bay Rays are a much better team than the Texas Rangers. Texas is 7-19 in their last 26 home games and 13-38 in their last 51 games overall. The Rangers appear to have packed it in for the year. I won easily with the Rays last night as the Rangers offense was punchless. I'm going back to the Rays here. Jeremy Hellickson may not be a great pitcher, but he is certainly better than Nick Tepesch at least at this stage in his career. The Rays offense is at least as good as the Rangers (probably better), and the bullpen is better than the Rangers. Tampa Bay is still fighting, and Joe Maddon won't let them quit. 

The Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Rangers are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 0-4 in Tepesch's last 4 during game two of a series. A 19-1 angle. Take Tampa Bay. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Tampa Bay Rays have been playing great baseball on the road. They are 19-7 in their last 26 road contests. Texas is one of the worst teams in baseball right now, and Colby Lewis has been a great fade at home this year. Lewis has a career ERA of 5.32 in Texas. He has an ERA above 7 at home this year. Drew Smyly is a quality young lefty for the Rays. Texas' bats aren't even close to what they used to be. I've been watching this one and at this price, it's too good of a value for me to pass up. Texas is 3-13 in their last 16 home games vs. a lefty. They are 1-4 in Lewis' last 5 home starts. Take Tampa Bay. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Philadelphia Phillies burned me yesterday by coming back from a 6-1 deficit to beat the Mets, but I'm going to back the Mets for a second straight day. Jon Niese has been a consistent solid starter for the Mets for several years now, and the Phillies offense has been a major disappointment this year. David Buchanan isn't a long-term answer at all for the Phillies, and I think his numbers will get worse between now and the end of the year. The Mets offense has been surprisingly good of late. Even though they let us down yesterday, this Mets bullpen is definitely better than the Phillies bullpen. 

The Mets are 4-0 in Niese's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mets are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Phillies. The Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. the NL East. A 12-1 angle. Take the Mets. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The Atlanta Braves really need a series win here. The Nationals have crept away from them in the NL East Standings. Washington won an extra innings affair last night. Gio Gonzalez has been horrible in his career against Atlanta. In 10 career starts vs. the Braves, Gio has a 5.31 ERA. On the other hand, Alex Wood has a 1.17 ERA in his career against Washington. The Braves need this game more than Nationals, and I like their chances of getting it. 

The Nationals are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts vs. the NL East. The Nationals are 0-5 in his last 5 starts in Atlanta. The Nationals are 0-7 in his last 7 starts vs. the Braves overall. The home team is 7-0 in HP umpire Phil Cuzzi's last 7 games behind the plate. A 24-0 angle. Take Atlanta. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Danks and Erasmo Ramirez are two of the most unreliable starters in the majors right now. Ramirez is getting a second chance in the majors right now, but the first stint didn't go well earlier this year. Danks has been really bad all year, and he has historically pitched poorly against many of these Seattle hitters. The White Sox offense has outperformed expectations this year. Chicago's bullpen has been downright awful of late though, and they'll be needed in this since Danks rarely goes deep into the game. Take the over here. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels and Boston Red Sox played long into the night on Saturday night. That means tired bullpens and it makes me like this over even more. Hector Santiago isn't a very good starter, and Rubby De La Rosa has been bad away from home in his young career. Both of these offenses are good, and I see them having a real advantage on Sunday afternoon. The temperature will be 85 degrees with the wind blowing out to center, and that's a nice benefit as well. All of the intangibles point toward an over in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Mets had similar records for much of the year, but lately it seems the Phillies have packed it in for the year and the Mets keep fighting and playing decent baseball. Zack Wheeler is putting it all together in recent outings, and he has an extremely high upside. Wheeler has been much better on the road than at home, and in four starts vs. Philly he has an ERA of less than 3. Kyle Kendrick isn't a very good starter, and this year the Mets have hit him very well. The Mets also have the 7th best bullpen in baseball while the Phillies rank 24th.

The Mets are 5-0 in Wheeler's last 5 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The Phillies are 1-10 in their last 11 Sunday games. The Mets are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-2 angle. Take the Mets. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates offense is a mess without Andrew McCutchen. The San Diego Padres offense has been a mess all season long. Two of the worst offenses get together here, and I expect more ugliness. In the first two games of this series, the score was 2-1 after one inning of play. The final score in each of those games was 2-1. Now, I don't expect that to happen again, but I do think this has a good chance of staying under 7. Tyson Ross is a rising star in the league. Charlie Morton has a 1.78 ERA in his career against San Diego. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Taking the under with Bill Miller behind home plate has been extremely successful for me in the past few years. Miller has a huge strike zone, and he loves ringing guys up. Miller is a terrific under umpire any day of the week, but Sunday's are particularly good for unders with him. It's a get away day, so these afternoon games on Sunday sometimes see umpires have a bigger zone. The under is 35-15-3 in Miller's last 53 home games. It doesn't hurt that David Price and Mark Buehrle, two high quality lefties will start this game. Both of these guys tend to go deep into the game. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boston Red Sox surprised me by taking the first game of this series last night. The Angels are in a mini-slump right now. The good news for Los Angeles is they have their best pitcher on the mound to try to stop the skid here. Garrett Richards has matured into a very good starting pitcher. Richards has elite stuff and his command has finally come around. Clay Buchholz is capable of great things, but his form is horrible right now. He has allowed 7 runs in each of his last two starts. He has a 6.20 ERA for the year. He's up against one of the best offenses in baseball here. This one is a real mismatch. The Angels should bounce back here. Take Los Angeles -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers and Los Angeles Dodgers square off Saturday evening. Zack Greinke has been extremely consistent this year, and he has pitched well at Miller Park in the past. The Dodgers may be without Hanley Ramirez in this game, which would certainly hurt their offense. Mike Fiers has been excellent in Triple A all year long, and he has shown in the past that he can get big league hitters out. He has a sneaky delivery that can make it difficult on hitters to pick up the ball. Marty Foster is a solid under umpire behind the plate here. 

The under is 3-0-1 in the Dodgers last 4 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 starts following a quality start. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Fiers' last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Foster's last 4 Saturday games behind the plate. A 21-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Orioles and St. Louis Cardinals are playing in what is an important interleague series. Baltimore is playing impressive baseball of late, while St. Louis has really underperformed my expectations for them this year. The Orioles have a tremendous offense and it was like home run derby for them last night against the Cardinals. John Lackey is a decent starter, but I'm not sure he can quiet this red hot O's offense. Ubaldo Jimenez is a very inconsistent pitcher, and he's been bad at home this year. Both of these pitchers have fared poorly with umpire Laz Diaz behind the dish and he'll be there on Saturday.

The over is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a team with a winning record. The over is 7-1 in the Orioles last 8 interleague games vs. a righty. The over is 4-0 in Diaz's last 4 Saturday games behind the dish. A 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boston Red Sox have nothing to play for right now, and I expect them to struggle going down the stretch this year. The Angels are trying to chase down Oakland in the AL West. The Angels are coming off a disappointing series against the Dodgers. I expect Los Angeles to show up in a big way on Friday night. Jered Weaver isn't the pitcher he once was, but he's still excellent at home. He has a 2.66 ERA at home this year. Allen Webster has potential, but he's been really bad in the majors thus far and this Angels lineup is extremely good.

The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 Friday games. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Webster's last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 23-5 in Weaver's last 28 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Los Angeles -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Friday FEAST* The San Francisco Giants have been better on the road than at home, and that is especially true about pitcher Madison Bumgarner. Bumgarner has a spectacular 1.58 ERA on the road this year. Bumgarner is one of the best left-handed pitchers in the game today. Jason Vargas is in just his second start back from an injury, and the first one didn't go well at all. Vargas has struggled at home all year. The Giants lineup is much better now with Pagan back at the top of the lineup and Brandon Belt back at first base. Kansas City's lineup misses Eric Hosmer. The Giants have a significant edge in the bullpen as well.

The Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite. They are 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 starts vs. the AL Central. They are 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts as a road favorite. A 13-0 angle. Take San Francisco. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Detroit Tigers let me down yesterday by getting shutout by  rookie Shane Greene of the New York Yankees yesterday. While the offense didn't do the job yesterday, this is definitely a good offense and I expect them to bounce back. Anibal Sanchez is a very good pitcher, and I believe he is underrated by the books. R.A. Dickey pitches worse at home, and the Tigers have a few guys who have hit him well in the past. Toronto's lineup is weakened right now without Edwin Encarnacion. The lineup differential is big here, and Sanchez is a much better pitcher than Dickey. Look for the Tigers to win the first game of this series. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers play the series finale at Yankee Stadium on Thursday afternoon. Rick Porcello has been underrated by the books for a very long time now. The Detroit Tigers are 25-10 in his last 35 starts overall. Porcello has a solid 3.18 ERA this year. Shane Greene was only a decent starter in the minors, and this Tigers lineup is one of the best in the majors. I don't feel confident in trusting a rookie like Greene to get out this lineup on a consistent basis. Detroit has the pitching edge and they definitely have the better lineup too. This is definitely a short price to pay. Take Detroit here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jordan Zimmermann has been good to me in the last few years. He is an underrated starter who is quite consistent. The Mets offense is one of the weakest in the league. Jacob Degrom has been amazing in his rookie season for the Mets. Degrom has tremendous stuff, and he is quickly becoming a bigtime strikeout pitcher. Washington's offense hasn't been good against right-handed pitching this year, and they are without Ryan Zimmerman now. This is get away day, which usually means a key player or two will be left out of the starting lineup. Dan Iassogna has a large strike zone which will help both pitchers. 

The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Iassogna's last 4 games. The under is 5-0-1 in Degrom's last 6 road starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 after the Mets scored 2 or less last game. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 when the team allows 5 runs or more last game. The under is 3-0-2 in Zimmerman's last 5 Thursday starts. A 23-0 angle. Take the under.  

*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Miami Marlins have been playing well away from home lately. They've won 5 straight road games. The Pittsburgh Pirates have normally been good at home, but the wind has been taken out of their sails with Andrew McCutchen going down with an injury. McCutchen is extremely important to them, and without him this lineup isn't good at all. Tom Koehler has pitched well of late, and with Bill Miller behind the dish he'll get the edges he works so hard for more often than normal. Jeff Locke is a streaky pitcher and he has struggled of late. Take Miami. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Atlanta Braves don't hit right-handed pitching well at all. The Seattle Mariners offense has been in a nasty funk of late. Both of these teams are very capable of struggling to put up runs, and they'll have tough matchups in this one. Julio Teheran has become a clear number one starter this year. Chris Young is great at Safeco Field as he induces the fly ball outs as well as anyone. It's also a get away day game, which means we might have some quality hitters taking the day off.

The under is 4-0-1 in Atlanta's last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Braves last 4 interleague games. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 interleague road games. The under is 5-0 in Teheran's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 following a win. The under is 5-0-1 in Seattle's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0-2 in their last 7 interleague home games. The under is 3-0-1 in Young's last 4 Wednesday starts. The under is 8-0-1 in Young's last 9 home starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 5 days rest. The under is 8-0 in his last 8 as a home underdog. The under is 10-0-1 in his last 11 home starts. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 72-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Chris Sale should bounce back from a bad outing last time. In addition, the White Sox were drilled 16-0 last night and should be hungry for a victory here. Huge pitching mismatch, and this Texas team is terrible. Nick Tepesch has an ERA over 5 on the road. The Rangers lineup isn't anything like it used to be, which in this case is a bad thing for them. I expect the Rangers who are ready to be done with the season to show up again. Solid value here on the White Sox runline. Take Chicago -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and Chicago Cubs meet at Coors Field Tuesday night. Chicago is offensively challenged in a big way. Coors Field should help them, but I like Brett Anderson and he has been throwing the ball well of late. Colorado's offense is a shell of its former self without Troy Tulowitzki. They may also be without second best hitter Carlos Gonzalez. Michael Cuddyer is still out as well. The total is set high because it's a game at Coors Field, but these two offenses aren't very good right now. I really feel like this total is too high, so even though it's a difficult bet to make, I'm taking the value play on the under. Take the under here. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Minnesota Twins offense isn't the same without Joe Mauer. San Diego's offense has been the worst in the majors by a mile all year. Phil Hughes is having a tremendous comeback season for the Twins. His ERA is much higher than it should be based on some terrible luck of late, but all his advanced metrics suggest he is a very good pitcher right now. Jesse Hahn has been excellent for the Padres, and San Diego's bullpen is one of the best in the league as well.

The under is 7-0-1 in the Padres last 8 interleague games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 home games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games at home vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0-1 in Hughes' last 8 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. A 40-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The New York Yankees took the first game of this series last night 2-1. I don't expect Detroit's very good offense to be kept down like that two days in a row. David Price makes his Tigers debut in this one. Price is very good and he pitches deep into games normally, which is a big help since this bullpen isn't any good. Kuroda isn't the pitcher he was a couple years ago. The Tigers have a clear advantage when it comes to lineups here, and this price is a little lower than it should be. Look for the Tigers to even up this series. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oakland Athletics and Tampa Bay Rays have both been playing well of late. Oakland's lineup isn't quite as strong now without Cespedes in the middle of the order, but they have a great pitching staff. Jeff Samardzija has a 2.45 ERA in his first three starts at Oakland. Alex Cobb has been great of late, and he's a young pitcher I'm high on. Cobb has a 2.34 ERA in six starts against Oakland, and he has a 1.80 ERA when pitching at Oakland. These guys are very capable of shutting down opposing offenses. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds aren't the same team without Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips in the lineup. They are also much worse defensively on the right side of the infield. This Reds offense has been a total mess of late. Coming into this one a mess is dangerous since they'll be against one of the hottest pitchers in baseball in Corey Kluber. Kluber is a certified star at this point, and I think he shines once again here. Alfredo Simon is due some regression in a big way, and the Cleveland offense is much better at home. The Indians also have the bullpen advantage. The DH will be used here, and the Reds will be at a disadvantage there too because they have no lineup depth. 

The Reds are 0-9 in their last 9 games at Cleveland. They are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games. They are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague road games vs. a righty. The Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of -150 or more. A 27-0 trend here. Take Cleveland -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Yankees have been playing better of late, but they certainly aren't the quality of team that the Tigers are. Brandon McCarthy has pitched well since joining the Yankees, but he isn't even close to the caliber of pitcher that Max Scherzer is. The Tigers have a huge edge on offense as well. The only real weakness of the Tigers is their bullpen, but the Yankees bullpen is very bad as well. New York played late Sunday night in Boston, so the Tigers were in New York before they were last night. This price is too good for me to pass up. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego Padres won late last night in extra innings against Atlanta. Both bullpens were spent in that game, so the starting pitchers are crucial in this game. Aaron Harang is finally coming back down to earth a bit after his amazing start this year. The Padres offense has finally awoken slightly. Tyson Ross has been lights out at home his entire career. Ross has a 1.92 ERA at home in his career. 

The Braves are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 road games. They are 0-4 in their last 4 as an underdog. They are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the NL West. They are 0-5 in their last 5 road games with a total of 6.5 or lower. The Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 with the total set at 6.5 or lower. They are 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite. They are 4-0 in Ross' last 4 during game 3 of a series. A 40-0 angle. Take the Padres. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets offense has been bad all year, and the San Francisco Giants offense has been very bad of late. Bartolo Colon has a 2.40 ERA in his career when pitching at Citi Field. Madison Bumgarner has a 1.29 ERA in his starts at Citi Field. This game has a pitcher's duel written all over it. Keep in mind that both of these bullpens are very good as well. The number is low, but it's low for a reason. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Detroit Tigers scored in every single inning of last night's game against the Colorado Rockies. Colorado has a bad starting rotation and an even worse bullpen. De La Rosa starts for the Rockies here and he has been bad away from home. The Tigers offense is one of the best in the league. Anibal Sanchez is a far better pitcher than most realize. This is a guy that would be the ace on many staffs. Carlos Gonzalez may miss the game and Troy Tulowitzki is on the DL. A complete mismatch here. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Doug Eddings will be the umpire here. The under is 16-6-1 in his last 23 as HP umpire. Eddings has been the best umpire in the league for many years, and his strikes called percentage shows that. Both pitchers will get the edges in this game. The under is 35-15-3 in Eddings' last 53 Sunday games. Yu Darvish is also pitching in this one and he is totally dominating with his amazing stuff. Bauer is an improving youngster and he'll go against a Rangers offense that is a mess right now. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Pittsburgh Pirates have done a good job taking care of teams they are better than this year, which is why they are closely trailing the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. Pittsburgh is 17-6 in their last 23 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Pirates start underrated pitcher Vance Worley here. Worley has a an impressive 2.25 ERA in three career starts against Arizona. Chase Anderson starts for the Diamondbacks, and the Pirates hit him very well just a few weeks ago. Pittsburgh is a little better than the oddsmakers believe at this point, especially against bad teams. Take Pittsburgh. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds and Miami Marlins are actually pretty similar teams right now. Cincinnati would clearly be the better team of the two if they were healthier. Without Votto and Phillips though, these teams are similar. Both rely on solid starting pitching to make up for the fact that they don't have a very good offense. Miami's offense has come back to earth after their red hot start earlier this year. Homer Bailey is a better pitcher than his ERA indicates, and Bailey has been throwing it much better of late. Nate Eovaldi has a 9.69 ERA in his last three starts. It appears the youngster has hit a wall. At plus money, I'll take the team with the better pitcher here.

The Marlins are 0-7 in Eovaldi's last 7 during game 3 of a series. The Marlins are 0-7 in his last 7 starts vs. the NL Central. They are 0-7 in his last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more. The Reds 6-0 in their last 6 at Miami. Cincinnati is 7-0 in their last 7 games overall against Miami. A 32-0 angle. Take Cincinnati. 

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Detroit Tigers are a much better team than the Colorado Rockies to start with. Throw in the fact that Troy Tulowitzki is on the DL and Carlos Gonzalez is doubtful for this one after aggravating an injury yesterday, and you have a total mismatch. Rick Porcello is a guy I've been backing a lot this year because he isn't getting the credit he deserves. He's still inconsistent, but he is usually pitching well and he's facing a short-handed lineup here. Tyler Matzek is overmatched in the bigs right now, and he'll face one of the best lineups in baseball in this one. I don't expect it to go well. Both bullpens are bad, but the Tigers have the much better offense. I like the Tigers in this one.

Detroit is 9-0 in their last 9 interleague games as a -200 favorite or greater. They are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a lefty. The Tigers are 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 as a -200 favorite or greater. The Rockies are 0-4 in Matzek's last 4 road games. They are 0-4 in his last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 27-0 trend. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*3 Star TGIF Play of Day* Chris Sale is both one of the most dominant and most consistent pitchers in all of baseball. Sale has electrifying stuff and he's been very good against most teams. One of the teams he has dominated the most has been the Minnesota Twins. In his career, Sale has a sparkling 2.08 ERA against Minnesota. The Twins stumble into Chicago playing some bad baseball of late. Minnesota played relatively late last night and then traveled to Chicago while the White Sox had an early game in Detroit. Logan Darnell starts for the Twins here, and Darnell isn't a big league type of pitcher. Darnell is a guy who has struggled in the minors as well. He has a 1.47 WHIP in his career in Triple A. Pitchers don't just struggle that much in Triple A and suddenly come up and become good big league pitchers. I took the White Sox -1.5 when Darnell squared off against Sale last Saturday night and the White Sox won 7-0. They might not win by that much here, but I do think they win comfortably. Take Chicago -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* I'll start by saying I definitely don't like to make it a habit of playing an under that sits at 6, but in this case I do believe this will be a very low scoring game. Clayton Kershaw is on the mound for the Dodgers, and he is just out of this world good right now. Kershaw has allowed one run or less in 8 of his last 9 games. He is even better at home and the Braves may be without Jason Heyward in this one. Kershaw's consistency has been amazing. Julio Teheran is a pretty good pitcher himself, and this one has a low scoring affair written all over it. Kershaw consistently goes deep in games this year. Teheran might not, but the Braves have one of the best bullpens in the league. Even with the low number, I suggest a play on the under. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* Colby Lewis isn't a very good pitcher, but he is downright awful when pitching in Arlington. He allowed 13 runs in 2 and 1/3 innings to the Angels a couple games ago. Lewis has an ugly 6.23 ERA this year, and he has a 6.14 ERA in his career against the Yankees. This Yankees lineup is finally starting to put it together. The Yankees are absolutely still in the playoff hunt, while the Rangers appear to have packed it in for the year the way they have played in most of their games lately. Kuroda pitches for the Yankees here and he has a 2.08 ERA in his career against the Rangers. Take New York -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Detroit Tigers were beaten badly by Chicago last night. Detroit is clearly the better team here, and I like their chances of bouncing back. I like their chances even more thanks to the fact that Max Scherzer is on the mound here. Scherzer has been lights out against the White Sox in his career. In 3 starts this year, he has an ERA of less than 1 against Chicago. Hector Noesi isn't a good starter and I expect this Tigers offense to get to him early and often. The price is steep here for a reason. Detroit is set up very nicely here. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* It's King Felix against Corey Kluber in what should be a great pitcher's duel. Kluber hasn't been around as Felix, but he has been absolutely dominating of late. Kluber's strikeout numbers are jumping, and he showed how awesome can be in his CG last time out with no walks and 10 strikeouts and no earned runs allowed. Hernandez has been as consistent as you'll ever find this year. He's just putting up 7 or 8 innings and allowing one or two runs each time out. Both of these offenses are really down in the dumps right now. It's tough for them to string together big innings, and those are really hard to come by against these pitchers.

The under is 5-0 in Seattle's last 5 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 starts following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with the total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 overall. The under is 5-0 in Cleveland's last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 following a team loss. The under is 6-0-1 in Kluber's last 7 following 2 runs or less scored by Cleveland. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. A 47-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Baltimore Orioles have been playing well of late, but Garrett Richards is a guy I'm very high on. Richards has an ERA of less than 2 on the road this year. He is a guy who has really matured into a terrific pitcher this year. Kevin Gausman has been good most of the time, but his inconsistency is concerning, and he'll be facing an Angels lineup that is one of the best in baseball. The Angels have the starting pitching edge and a slight lineup advantage too. 

Los Angeles is 4-0 in Richards' last 4 road starts. They are 7-0 in his last 7 starts following an Angels loss. They are 8-0 in his last 8 starts as a road favorite. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. They are 4-0 in his last 4 Wednesday starts. A 28-0 angle. Take the Angels. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The San Francisco Giants offense has been absolutely terrible of late. They have some key injuries (Belt and Pagan), and they don't have good options to plug in when those guys are gone. In addition, other than Buster Posey and Hunter Pence the rest of this lineup hasn't been reliable this year. Charlie Morton has a nice 2.51 ERA in his career against the Giants. Tim Lincecum has pitched better this year, and he has a 2.61 ERA with HP umpire Culbreth in his career. Both of these teams have good bullpens as well.

The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The under is 6-0-1 in their last 7 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4. The under is 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 5-0 in Morton's last 5 road starts in San Francisco. The under is 8-1 in his last 9 starts overall vs. the Giants. A 40-1 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Oakland Athletics have the best record in baseball, but the Los Angeles Angels are nipping at their heels in the American League West. Oakland needs to keep winning to stay ahead of the red hot Angels. The Athletics lost last night in Houston, and that actually makes me feel even more strongly about this selection. Houston is one of the worst teams in the league, and they aren't good at stringing together wins.When these two teams met last Thursday with the same starting pitchers on the mound I took both Oakland -1.5 and over 7.5 and won both bets. I won't take the over this time because perennial under umpire Doug Eddings is behind the plate, but I'm going back to the well with the run line pick here. Samardzija owned this Astros lineup last week, and I don't see much changing here. Scott Feldman has a horrible 6.34 ERA in his career against Oakland. Once Feldman gets out of the game, the A's get to feast on the worst bullpen in the league. This one is a total mismatch. Take Oakland -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The Los Angeles Dodgers are going for a sweep of their hated rivals in San Francisco on Sunday night baseball. I'm definitely aware of how tough it can be to sweep a rival team, but that is clearly priced into this line (too much so I believe). Jake Peavy hasn't been a good pitcher in the past several years, and he just arrived in San Francisco last night, and now he is on the mound in a pivotal game immediately. Ryu would be an ace for many teams, and he has been very good this year. Ryu has a 2.36 ERA in San Francisco. The Dodgers clearly have the better lineup and the much better starting pitcher, but they are still the underdog. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 Sunday games. They are 4-0 in Ryu's last 4 starts vs. the NL West. The Dodgers are 4-1 in Ryu's last 5 starts vs. the Giants. Too many positives for me to overlook this one. Take the Dodgers. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Milwaukee Brewers and New York Mets have both had some very low scoring games of late. These bullpens have been pitching well of late, and the offenses have been inconsistent. Overall, this Mets offense is one of the worst in the league. Jimmy Nelson is a young starter who will do some special things for Milwaukee in his career. I like his chances of taming this Mets lineup. Jacob DeGrom has been throwing it extremely well of rate. I like how often he is able to miss bats. A guy with the strikeout/walk ratio of DeGrom is likely going to have success against most teams. Dan Bellino is behind the plate here, and he has consistently had one of the biggest strike zones in the league, so he should help both pitchers. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona have been piling up the runs in this series. I don't see any reason to expect that to stop in this one. Vidal Nuno and Roberto Hernandez are two pitchers I've tried to fade this year, and they are squaring off against one another in this one. Nuno is highly prone to the long ball, and Philadelphia can be very tough on fly ball pitchers. Hernandez has been very fortunate and advanced metrics show him continuing to decline. These are two teams that have nothing to play for and two teams without a strong bullpen. These are things that can lead to a much higher scoring game as we get into the second half of the season. At 8.5, I like the value on this play. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* With Yasiel Puig and Hanley Ramirez back in the lineup the Dodgers smoked the Giants last night. Both Puig and Ramirez looked totally healthy and comfortable at the plate. Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for the Dodgers here. Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball and he has been ridiculously good against San Francisco. In a huge sample size of 23 games, Kershaw has a 1.48 ERA against the Giants. Even more impressive, Kershaw has a 0.78 ERA when pitching in San Francisco. The Dodgers have a much better lineup and they have a massive starting pitching advantage. Take the Dodgers -1.5.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Oakland Athletics are the best team in baseball and the Texas Rangers are in freefall right now. Texas took the first game of this series last night, which makes me feel even more strongly about this one. Sonny Gray has a 1.96 ERA in 3 career starts vs. Texas. He pitched a CG shutout in his only outing at Texas. This Rangers offense isn't up to its normal status right now. Oakland's offense is underrated by many. Nick Tepesch isn't a good pitcher to start with and he pitched in relief on July 22, so he is on an odd schedule here. Tepesch already has an 8.31 ERA against Oakland in his career. Oakland has the much better bullpen as well. I liked this play quite a bit to start with, but situationally it was bumped up to a 5 star play because of Tepesch's odd rest and the Rangers winning game one. 

Oakland is 6-0 in Gray's last 6 starts as a favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 vs. the AL West. They are 5-0 in his last 5 following a quality start. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts after the A's score 2 runs or less last game. Texas is 0-5 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less. They are 0-4 in their last 4 following a win. They are 0-4 in Tepesch's last 4 as an underdog. A 34-0 trend. Take Oakland -1.5 big! 

*4 Star MLB Major Mismatch* The Minnesota Twins are a real mess right now. They are getting poor starting pitching, and their lineup is far too weak without star Joe Mauer to win high scoring games. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox, and his history against the Twins is amazing. This Twins lineup is short handed and there's no reason to believe they'll be able to hit Sale this time around. Logan Darnell starts for the Twins and his minor league numbers aren't impressive at all. The White Sox do have an offense that can score runs in bunches. The Twins are headed south in a hurry, and this is a massive pitching mismatch. Take the White Sox -1.5.

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego Padres have been an under machine all year. San Diego's offense has been on fire the last few days, but I'm not convinced they can keep it up. In fact, I think they are going to go back to being bad very soon. This is a historically bad offense, and they are short-handed now with some injured and some guys traded away. The Padres and Braves both have a good young starter going here in Despaigne vs. Teheran. These are up and comers who are capable of throwing a gem at any time. Atlanta struggles against right-handed pitching. 

The under is 11-0 in Teheran's last 11 home starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts after the Braves have scored 2 runs or less. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 games between these two. The under is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 Saturday games. A 24-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners are playing bad baseball right now. They're on a poor run almost solely because of their offense. Robinson Cano is a very good hitter, but the lineup around him isn't good enough. Chris Young is a totally different pitcher when pitching at Safeco Field. Young is a fly ball pitcher, and it is very tough to hit a home run at Safeco. With the total set at 8, the value is on the under. 

The under is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a righty. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The under is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 9-0-1 in Young's last 10 home starts. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 home starts with a total of 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a team loss. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 when his opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The under is 5-0 in Norris' last 5 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 Saturday starts. A 82-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Tim Lincecum has a terrific history against the Los Angeles Dodgers. In his career, he has a 2.88 ERA against the Giants hated rivals from Los Angeles. Zack Greinke started the year on fire, but he has cooled off a bit of late. The Dodgers will likely be without Hanley Ramirez and possibly Yasiel Puig as well. This is a huge series for San Francisco and they seem to be catching the Dodgers at the right time. The Giants have a massive bullpen advantage, which could certainly play a roll in a close game. Take San Francisco. 

*3 Star MLB Underdog Special* The Baltimore Orioles are in first place in the AL East, but they still aren't getting very much respect by the oddsmakers. Baltimore has one of the best lineups in the American League from top to bottom. Kevin Gausman is a solid young pitcher, and I think bettors will be able to find some value backing the Orioles with Gausman in the near future. Betting against Felix Hernandez is never fun, but the Orioles have won four straight games against Hernandez. I'll take the better team at a huge plus number. Take Baltimore.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Josh Tomlin has had one good start in his last five outings. He allowed only one hit in Seattle in a complete game performance. In the rest of his recent outings, Tomlin has been hit hard. In his career, Tomlin has an ERA of 5.10 against Kansas City. Yordano Ventura is one of the better young pitchers in all of baseball. He has a 3.38 ERA at home this year. His ERA against the Indians is a very impressive 1.29 in his career. The Royals are an extremely streaky team and they seem to be on their way up again. The Indians 0-4 in their last 4 games at Kansas City. Take the Royals.

*4 Star MLB Total Domination* The San Diego Padres exploded for 13 runs yesterday. San Diego has one of the worst offenses in the history of Major League Baseball. It might seem obvious, but I definitely believe a good time to look for value on an under with the Padres is after a rare offensive explosion. Atlanta will start Alex Wood in this one, and the Padres have been brutal against left-handed pitching this year. Jesse Hahn is a nice young pitcher or the Padres, and the Braves have struggled all year against righties. These are two of the best bullpens in baseball. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds are in freefall mode right now. Cincinnati is really hurting without Joey Votto and Brandon Phillips. Outside of Aroldis Chapman, the Reds can't trust anyone in the their bullpen. The Nationals have one of the best pens in baseball, and they are much healthier than Cincinnati. Tanner Roark is still underrated based on his body of work. Alfredo Simon is due for regression, and he pitched poorly in his last outing. The Nationals are on their way up, and the Reds are headed south in a hurry.

The Reds are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a righty. They are 0-6 in their last 6 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. They are 0-6 in their last 6 overall. They are 0-6 in their last 6 as an underdog. They are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Washington is 4-0 in Roark's last 4 starts following a quality start. A 35-0 angle. Take Washington. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Corey Kluber is quickly becoming one of the best pitchers in the American League. Danny Duffy isn't quite at that level, but he has really matured in 2014. The Indians struggle badly against left-handed pitching, and Kluber has a solid history against Kansas City. Both of these offenses run very hot and cold, and they have both been cold of late. These two teams are jockeying for position in the AL Central, and this has a feel of a low scoring close game. 

The under is 4-0 in the Indians last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in Kluber's last 6 starts after Cleveland scores 2 runs or less. The under is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 road starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Royals last 5. The under is 7-0 in the Royals last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 6-0 in Duffy's last 6 starts. The under is 6-0 in Duffy's last 6 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 4-0 in Duffy's last 4 starts following a quality start. The under is 6-0 in the Royals last 6 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in Duffy's last 4 vs. the AL Central. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 as an underdog. A 63-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* For those of you who have read my writeups consistently over the past few years, you know that I closely follow umpire tendencies. Paul Schreiber is the single best over umpire in all of baseball. His strike zone is extremely small, and it's very likely that both starting pitchers in this one will get frustrated at the calls sometime during the contest. Scott Feldman has an ERA of 6.75 with Schreiber behind home plate. Jeff Samardzija has an ERA of 4.70 with Schreiber. Feldman has also been terrible against Oakland. He has a 6.10 ERA against Oakland, and an 8.39 ERA at Oakland. The ball flies much better during the daytime in Oakland.

The over is 4-0 in Feldman's last 4 starts after the Astros scored 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 during game 3 of a series. The over is 6-0 in Feldman's last 6 games following a quality start. The over is 3-0-1 in Schreiber's last 4 games behind home plate. The over is 5-1 in Oakland's last 6 home games. In all a 22-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Houston Astros are slightly better than they have been the past couple seasons, but they are still a bad baseball team. Houston's offense is missing some key pieces right now. Jeff Samardzija was a quality pick up by Oakland, and he matches up well against this Houston offense. Scott Feldman is a pitcher I like to fade, and his numbers against Oakland are nothing short of awful. Oakland has a massive advantage in the bullpen as well. I think this game could get ugly. Take Oakland -1.5.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* I realize the Tampa Bay Rays are playing terrific baseball, but this line doesn't make any sense. I actually like the Rays and appreciate the way they are playing. I like Alex Cobb as a pitcher as well. Still, this is a Cardinals team that I believe is one of the best in baseball, and Lance Lynn has historically been amazing at home. St. Louis has the edge bullpen wise. Tampa Bay is red hot right now, but they are playing against an underrated pitcher and against a team that is great at home. It makes very little sense for the Cardinals to be just barely more than even money here. Great value.

The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less last game. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The Rays are 1-7 in Cobb's last 8 starts on 4 days of rest. A 16-1 angle. Take St. Louis. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox have heated up once again of late. Boston has been up and down all year long. They have been playing good baseball since the break. Toronto is a team I'm low on right now. Their offense is struggling without Encarnacion in the middle of the order. The starting pitchers are letting them down and their bullpen is terrible. R.A. Dickey has a 4.55 ERA against the Red Sox, and Dickey has been worse at home in his last couple seasons. Boston's Clay Buchholz has an amazing 1.72 ERA in 11 career starts at the Rogers Centre in Toronto. 

The Red Sox are 9-0 in Buchholz's last 9 starts at Toronto. Boston is 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a righty. They are 4-0 in their last 4 following a game where their opponent scores 5 runs or more. Toronto is 0-4 in Dickey's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. They are 0-4 in his last 4 during game 3 of a series. A 27-0 angle. Take Boston. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Washington Nationals have been good to me this year and fading the Colorado Rockies has been good to me as well. I cashed with the Nationals ML on Monday and the Nationals run line on Tuesday in this series. Going back to the well one more time here. Stephen Strasburg has great numbers against the Rockies. Jorge De La Rosa isn't a bad pitcher, but he doesn't go deep in games and the Rockies bullpen is awful. In addition, the Nationals are terrific against left-handed pitching. The Rockies lineup is in serious trouble with superstar Troy Tulowitzki going on the DL along with Justin Morneau. Take Washington -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Detroit Tigers are one of the best teams in baseball. Their lineup is really tough for any pitcher to get through. Chase Anderson has pitched relatively well thus far in his rookie season, but advanced metrics show he has benefited from some good luck to this point. Rick Porcello is a quality starter who I believe is underrated in most circles. Porcello pitches well on the road and faces a mediocre DBacks lineup here. Detroit has a big edge offensively and on the mound. The Tigers at this short of a price against a poor Arizona team are definitely worthy of a play.

Detroit is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as a -110 to -150 favorite. They are 9-1 in Porcello's last 10 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Arizona is 1-10 in their last 11 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. A 23-2 angle. Take Detroit. 

*4 Star MLB 100% CRUSHER* The Colorado Rockies have been a disaster of late. Colorado is normally good at Coors Field, but they are 8-20 in their last 28 games at Coors Field. The Rockies are 14-39 in their last 53 games overall. I've done well fading the Rockies in the past couple months and I'm not stopping now. Troy Tulowitzki has missed the last two games with a minor injury and he's questionable here. Justin Morneau just went on the DL too. Washington's Jordan Zimmermann has pitched well in the past at Coors and the Nationals have been excellent against lefties all year. Flande should struggle at Coors against this lineup.

The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the NL West. They are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. The Nats are 5-0 in their last 5 games with a total set at 9 to 10.5. They are 6-0 in their last 6 Tuesday games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They are 5-0 in Zimmermann's last 5 Tuesday starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the NL West. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the NL East. They are 0-6 in their last 6 as a home underdog. The Nats are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 47-0 trend. Take Washington -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds offense is a mess right now. Joey Votto is the heart and soul of the lineup and he's out and Brandon Phillips (who is a great run producer) is out as well. Zack Cozart is one of the worst hitting shortstops in baseball and he is hitting second in the Reds order right now. Jimmy Nelson is a very highly rated prospect who I expect will do very well in his career, and I like his chances of bouncing back from a poor start last time out. Homer Bailey started slowly, but he has come on nicely in the last couple months. He is a quality pitcher who is entering his prime right now. Nice number here. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals are starting to play good baseball. Washington was one of the preseason favorites in the National League. They didn't play particularly well early in the year, but that was largely due to injuries. The Nationals are healthy now and they look like the team people expected to see. Colorado is in complete free fall mode. The Rockies are a brutal 14-38 in their last 52 games. They are 8-19 in their last 27 home games. Washington hits left-handers very well and the Rockies have Franklin Morales going here. He really shouldn't be a starter in the majors, but the Rockies rotation is a complete disaster. Doug Fister has been consistent of late. The Nationals have a massive advantage in the bullpen here too. The Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games. They are 0-4 in Morales' last 4 as an underdog. The Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NL West. Take Washington. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Francisco Giants have been up and down this year, but there's no doubt they are a much better team than the Miami Marlins. Miami outperformed early in the year, but they are coming back to earth in a big way of late. Tim Lincecum has been in great form of late, and the Marlins offense is overrated in my opinion. Brad Hand is nothing but a fill-in starter who has never had any real success as a starter (not even in the minors). Lincecum gives the Giants a big SP advantage, and they have a better lineup and a much better bullpen than Miami. Expect this price to move up a bit as the market corrects a poor line from the oddsmakers.

The Giants are 4-0 in Lincecum's last 4 starts during game three of a series. The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 games. The Marlins are 0-8 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. The Marlins are 0-5 in Hand's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-6 in his last 6 starts overall vs. a team with a winning record. A 38-0 angle. Take San Francisco. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins offense isn't as good as they appeared in the first half of the season. Miami doesn't have many reliable run producers, and I see them coming back down to earth offensively. The Giants offense is better than last year, but they aren't nearly as consistent as the best offenses in baseball. Tim Hudson has been great for the Giants this year. He has had some minor speed bumps of late, but I expect a solid outing here. Henderson Alvarez has been tremendous this year, and he is much better at home. A pitching duel is likely here. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics typically play a bunch of low scoring games to start with, and we're getting two underrated pitchers in this one. Chris Young really knows how to pitch at Safeco. Young is a fly ball pitcher, and Safeco is a place where fly balls go to die. Young has a 2.81 career ERA at Safeco. He also has a great 2.52 ERA against Oakland. Sonny Gray is a tremendous young pitcher who has pitched well on the road. Gray has a stellar 1.44 ERA in four career starts against Seattle. He has 0.75 ERA at Safeco. With two great bullpens behind them, there is good reason to believe this one will be low scoring.

The under is 4-0-1 in the A's last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 4-0-1 in the Mariners last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 8-0-1 in Young's last 9 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 home starts as an underdog. The under is 6-0-1 in his last 7 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 starts as an underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in his last 6 starts vs. AL West. The under is 8-0-1 in his last 9 home starts. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 during game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Young's last 4 starts when Seattle's opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. A 76-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Detroit Tigers are really playing some good baseball right now. Detroit has been a bit up and down this year, but I really believe they are one of the top three teams in baseball this season. Detroit's lineup is extremely good, even without Victor Martinez in it. Justin Verlander hasn't been himself this year, but he has a 2.8 ERA in his career at Kaufman Stadium in KC. The Royals just can't get over the hump against the Tigers, and at this point I'm guessing it is in their heads. Bruce Chen isn't the answer for KC. The Tigers hit lefties well, and the soft-tossing lefty isn't likely to have success against this very deep lineup. In his career he has an ERA well above 5 against the Tigers.

The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. the AL Central. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a lefty. They are 5-0 in their last 5 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. Detroit is 10-0 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The Royals are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. the AL Central. They are 0-5 in their last 5 on grass. They are 0-4 in their last 4 as a home underdog. They are 0-4 in their last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 in Kansas City. A 54-0 angle. Take Detroit.  

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The St. Louis Cardinals have battled their way all the way back to even in the NL Central. Of course, it certainly helps that the Brewers have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Milwaukee is a mess right now, and they can't get into the break fast enough. The Cardinals are the best team in the division, and their offense that has been surprisingly bad all year has finally woke up in the last few days. Carlos Martinez is a quality pitcher and Wily Peralta has been struggling with his command in his last couple starts. The wrong team is favored here.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Martinez's last 5 starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 as a favorite. They are 0-7 in their last 7 home games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. They are 0-7 in their last 7 home games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 1-11 in their last 12 games. A 49-1 angle. Take St. Louis. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers are the class of the AL Central. The Kansas City Royals are an extremely streaky team, but they haven't found the formula for beating the Tigers. Rick Porcello is an underrated starter, and the Tigers have given him a lot of run support all year long. James Shields has been up and down all season, and he has a 4.49 ERA in his career against Detroit. Detroit at plus money is always worth a look, and I like the value here. 

The Tigers are 6-0 in their last 6 versus the AL Central. They are 6-0 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The Tigers are 9-0 in their last 9 versus a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set at 7-8.5 runs.They are 5-0 in their last 5 when Porcello pitches as a road underdog. The Tigers are 5-0 in Porcello's last 5 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 versus the AL Central. They are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less last game. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 games at Kansas City. A 48-0 angle. Take Detroit.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Atlanta Braves lost a tough one at Wrigley Field yesterday, but that actually makes me like this play even more. Atlanta is fighting hard to keep pace with Washington in the NL East. Mike Minor is on the mound for the Braves in this one, and he is undefeated in his career against the Cubs. Edwin Jackson pitches for the Cubs, and he is a guy I've had a lot of success fading in the past couple seasons. Rain is possible in this one, and if we get delays the edge moves decidedly to the Braves thanks to their big bullpen advantage. 

The Cubs are 0-11 in Jackson's last 11 when pitching on 4 days of rest. The Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 Saturday games. The Braves are 5-0 in Minor's last 5 starts against the Cubs. A 21-0 angle. Take Atlanta.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cleveland Indians offense has been significantly better at home versus on the road. Scott Carroll is coming off a masterful performance against the Red Sox, but his past tells me he's unlikely to duplicate that effort in this one. Carroll has never been very good even in the minor leagues. Zach McCallister has an ERA of almost 6 this season, and he has never pitched well at Progressive Field. The over is 20-7 in the Indians last 27 home games. With these two pitchers on the mound, there is a good chance we will see quite a few runs in this one. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers are scuffling of late. Milwaukee is an improved team, but they aren't as good as they played early in the year. St. Louis is better than they have played so far this season. The Cardinals are just 2 games back of the Brewers, and I expect the Cardinals to end up in the top spot in the NL Central. Yovani Gallardo is 1-11 in his career against the Cardinals with an ERA just above 6. Gallardo just can't seem to find ways to get it done against St. Louis. Joe Kelly is back from a hamstring injury here, and he has a 3.32 ERA at Miller Park in his career. The Cardinals are too good of a team to be getting this big of a price as the dog against a pitcher they have dominated.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in Kelly's last 4 starts as a dog of +110 to +150. The Brewers are 0-5 in their last 5 as a favorite. They are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 with a total set at 7 to 8.5. The Brewers are 0-7 in Gallardo's last 7 home starts vs. the Cardinals. The Brewers are 0-4 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less. A 30-0 angle. Take the Cardinals. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The New York Mets and Miami Marlins square off on Friday night. These teams have a long history of playing low scoring games against each other. Miami's offense was decent earlier this year, but they are coming back to earth. The Mets offense has been bad all year. On the other hand, the Mets have been getting surprisingly nice bullpen work. Henderson Alvarez has a 2.21 ERA in 6 starts against the Mets in his career. He has a nice 1.38 ERA at Citi Field. Wheeler has a sparkling 0.96 ERA in four career starts against the Marlins. This game has a pitcher's duel written all over it.

The under is 3-0-1 in Wheeler's last 4 starts vs. Miami. The under is 4-0-1 in Alvarez's last 5 starts vs. the Mets. The under is 13-2-2 in the last 17 meetings between these teams. A 20-2 angle. Take the under big! 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Washington Nationals lost a tough one yesterday to Baltimore. The Nationals blew a lot of good scoring opportunities in that game. Jordan Zimmermann starts for Washington here, and I consider him one of the most underrated starting pitchers in all of baseball. I love his consistency. A.J. Burnett is toward the end of his career, and his style isn't suited very well by Citizens Bank Ballpark in Washington. Washington has the best bullpen in baseball and the Phillies have one of the worst. The Nationals also have a huge lineup advantage, especially now that they are healthy. I like the Nationals here. Take Washington. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Edinson Volquez and Shelby Miller are both on my fade list right now, and that makes this over a play for me. Volquez is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in all of Major League Baseball. Volquez has pitched great in his last three outings, but that doesn't mean much here. What means more to me is his career 6.91 ERA when pitching at St. Louis. Shelby Miller was awesome in his rookie season last year, but his mechanics appear off this year and he has been struggling no matter where he pitches of late. Miller has a 4.70 ERA against Pittsburgh. There should be plenty of scoring opportunities for both teams. Take the over here. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Cleveland Indians offense is much better on their home field. Cleveland lost a heartbreaker last night against the Yankees, and they need this one to win the series. Cleveland averages 4.60 runs against right-handed pitching, and David Phelps is nothing better than mediocre. The Yankees bullpen isn't very good either. Cleveland's T.J. House is a fill-in starter who allows at least 3 or 4 runs every game up to this point. The Yankees have struggled against righties, but they average 4.43 runs per game against left-handed pitching. This total should probably be 9, so we're getting solid value here. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Washington Nationals have been exceptional against left-handed pitching all season. Washington hits just .230 as a team against right-handed pitching, but they hit .278 against lefties. Wei-Yin Chen has actually regressed a bit this season, and he has a very high WHIP. Look for the Nationals to take advantage of their scoring chances and put up several runs here. Gio Gonzalez has thrown a shutout in three straight contest. While expecting a shutout isn't reasonable, I do think he'll pitch well again. Matt Wieters is the only guy in the Baltimore lineup who has had success in the past against him, and he is on the DL now. Take Washington here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox offense is 27th in the league in runs scored. That's truly amazing when you consider the expectations that were there for this lineup in the preseason. Chris Sale has a career ERA of 0.71 against Boston, and he'll have some extra motivation here. For some ridiculous reason, John Farrell left Chris Sale off the All-Star roster and now he is in the final vote. Sale absolutely deserves to be on the team, and he'll get to show Farrell in person on Wednesday night. Boston's lineup has been in a massive slump of late, and it's hard to imagine them coming out of that slump against one of the best pitchers in baseball. Rubby De La Rosa has a career ERA at Fenway of 0.48 (22 innings). De La Rosa has thrown very well overall this year, and this White Sox lineup is no better than mediocre. A huge benefit here is having Doug Eddings behind the dish. Eddings is calling about 65% of pitches a strike, which is 2-3% higher than some other umpires. That 2 or 3% makes a huge difference. Eddings is probably the single best under umpire in the game today.

The under is 6-0 in Sale's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0 in Sales' last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in De La Rosa's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts overall. A 17-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins have two of the worst offenses in baseball to start with and they are both short-handed right now. The Twins are really in bad shape without Joe Mauer in the lineup. Minnesota looked hapless last night in Seattle and Chris Young is liable to make them look that bad again. Young is great at utilizing the big park in Seattle and getting long fly ball outs. The Twins have very little pop in their lineup right now. Phil Hughes loves pitching at Safeco too. He has a sparkling 0.82 ERA in his career there. Both bullpens have been throwing very well of late too.

The under is 4-0 in the Mariners last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite. The under is 7-0-1 in Young's last 8 home starts. The under is 5-0 in Young's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 following a quality start. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 during game 2 of a series. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL West. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter. A 50-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB RED HOT CASH* The Oakland Athletics have the best record. While I'm not at all certain that their recent trades will mean they are a lock to be in the World Series, I do believe the A's are a very dangerous team with this strong pitching staff and a great bullpen following them up. The offense scraps and gives quality at bats as well. Madison Bumgarner is a guy I've backed many times this year, but he hasn't looked good in his last couple starts. Sonny Gray is great at home, and the A's are just playing much better baseball than the Giants right now. 

The Giants are 0-5 in Bumgarner's last 5 Tuesday starts. The Giants are 0-4 in his last 4 starts following a team loss. The A's are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The A's are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. The Giants are 0-5 in their last 5 at Oakland. A 34-1 angle. Take Oakland. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The St. Louis Cardinals have underachieved all year. I got fortunate last night to win with Cardinals -1.5, but I am going to go back to the Cardinals tonight. The Cardinals have Carlos Martinez pitching here and I like his stuff. He has good command of all of his pitches and I think he has the potential to be a high quality starter as he gets used to his new role. Vance Worley has a great ERA this year, but look at who he has faced. The Cardinals will easily be the best lineup he has faced this year. Look for Worley to come back down to earth in the coming weeks. Pittsburgh isn't likely to be able to keep pace with the Cardinals in the standings by the end of the year, and winning in St. Louis is tough. Short price here. Take the Cardinals.