08-23-11 |
Oakland A's v. New York Yankees -1.5 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* The Oakland Athletics are 22-40 on the road this year. Oakland is 2-14 in their last 16 games at New York. Bartolo Colon has been much better than expected this year. The Oakland lineup isn't a very powerful one. Brandon McCarthy has been inconsistent this year. The Yankees lineup is stacked from top to bottom now that everyone is healthy once again. Look for the Yankees to put up quite a few runs here. Oakland's offense shouldn't be able to keep up with the Bronx bombers. Yankees -1.5.
|
08-22-11 |
New York Mets v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
0-10 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The New York Mets are falling apart of late. They were swept by the Brewers at home this past weekend. Dillon Gee was very good most of the season, but he has been struggling of late. Gee has a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts, and he has a 4.41 ERA on the road this year. The Phillies offense hasn't been very good of late, but this is a very talented offense that is bound to bust out in a big way at some point. Rollins, Howard, Utley, Pence, Polanco, Ibanez, etc. this is a very good lineup. Cliff Lee is on the hill and he has been amazing of late. Lee is known for his great runs, and he is on one of them right now. Lee has a 0.75 ERA in his last three starts. The Phillies are 44-18 in their last 62 games. Take the Phillies -1.5.
|
08-21-11 |
Florida Marlins v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-120 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* I like the pitching matchup in this one. Cory Luebke is a very good young pitcher for the Padres. He has started ten games now this year, and in 8 of those 10 games he has given up 2 earned runs or less. The Marlins lineup is very short-handed right now, and that should help as well. Anibal Sanchez has allowed 2 earned runs in each of his last three starts against San Diego. Dan Bellino is a solid under umpire behind the dish as well. The under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings between these two in San Diego. Take the under.
|
08-21-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's OVER 8.5 |
|
1-0 |
Loss |
-105 |
14 h 19 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Luis Perez will be making the first start of his MLB career for the Blue Jays in this one. Perez has a 3.49 ERA out of the bullpen this year, but he had an ERA above 4 in Triple A when starting. The Athletics bats have really come alive of late. The over is 25-3-5 in Oakland's last 31 games overall! Guillermo Moscoso starts for the Athletics and I think he is due for some regression. He never fared all that well in the minors, but his numbers have been good in the majors thus far. The Blue Jays have a solid offense. I like the over in this one.
|
08-21-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-123 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST BET* The Dodgers and Rockies have met at Coors Field six times this year and all six have gone over the posted total. The lowest scoring game was an 8-2 Dodgers win. Here we have Kevin Millwood, who has been out of baseball for quite a while, pitching for the Rockies. Millwood should struggle in the Coors Field high altitude. Chad Billingsley has a history of struggling badly at Coors. Billingsley has a 7.88 ERA in six appearances at Coors. There is no reason to expect a lower scoring game in this one. Take the over.
|
08-20-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
8-9 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Both starting pitchers in this game have some real issues, and I'm very surprised the total isn't higher than this. Tommy Hunter has allowed 17 runs (yes 17) in just six innings pitched at Angels Stadium. That gives him an ERA of 24 in his starts in LA. Joel Piniero has an ERA of 10.38 in his last three appearances. Both offenses have been hitting better of late, and these pitchers are very hittable. The over is 20-7 in the Orioles last 27 road games. The over is 7-3 in the Angels last 10. Expect a high scoring game here. Take the over.
|
08-20-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's OVER 8 |
|
1-5 |
Loss |
-117 |
20 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Gio Gonzalez has fallen apart of late. Gonzalez was good for most of the year, but he has hit a wall. Gonzalez has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last five starts. The Blue Jays average 5.56 runs per game against lefties. Henderson Alvarez has been shaky in his first two starts, and the Oakland offense has really picked it up of late. The over is 18-5-3 in the A's last 26 home games. The over is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings between these two. Gerry Davis is a nice 'over' umpire behind the plate as well. Take the over.
|
08-20-11 |
New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 |
|
4-9 |
Win
|
103 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* A.J. Burnett continues to struggle as a starter for the Yankees. He obviously has the stuff, but he tends to allow a big inning once every game. Francisco Liriano is another guy that has the stuff, but his command just isn't there right now. The Yankees punish left-handers, and Liriano has struggled against them in the past. The over is 3-0-1 in Burnett's last 4 road starts. The over is 11-4 in Liriano's last 15 home starts. The wind will be blowing out here as well. I like the over.
|
08-20-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 |
|
0-8 |
Win
|
115 |
18 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* Jeremy Hellickson is one of the best young pitchers in baseball right now. Hellickson is at his best when he is pitching at home. He has a 2.70 ERA at home this year. The Rays have been playing very well of late. Tampa Bay is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. Charles Furbush is on the mound for Seattle. Furbush has an ERA over 8 on the road this year. The Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 at home against a lefty. The Mariners are 7-22 in their last 29 road games. The Rays have the edge in every category here. Tampa Bay -1.5.
|
08-20-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Dodgers and Rockies have met in Colorado five times this year. The final scores in those five games were: 9-7, 6-5, 11-7, 10-8, and last night's 8-2 game. All five were over this posted total. Ted Lilly has a 5.47 ERA in five starts at Coors field. Esmil Rogers has an ERA of 12.1 in a couple appearances at home this year. The over is 4-1 in the Rockies last 5 home games. The over is 14-5 in the last 19 games between these teams. With this two pitchers, I expect a high scoring game Saturday. Take the over.
|
08-19-11 |
New York Yankees v. Minnesota Twins OVER 9 |
|
8-1 |
Push |
0 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The New York Yankees offense is one of the two best in all of baseball. Alex Rodriguez probably won't be in the lineup here, but the Yankees have been crushing the ball without him. Granderson, Cano, Jeter, Gardner, Tex, Swisher, and the rest of the crew are all swinging the bat well right now. Kevin Slowey will pitch for the first time since May, and the Yankees should make it tough on him. Phil Hughes has an ERA of above 6 on the season. He had a solid start last time out, but he has been able to string together quality starts this year. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 12 mph. Take the over.
|
08-19-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Houston Astros UNDER 7 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Wandy Rodriguez has always been tough to hit at home. San Francisco's offense is severely short-handed right now, and I just don't see them doing too much damage against Rodriguez. Ryan Vogelsong continues to be underrated by the books. The Astros are running out a Triple A lineup on a nightly basis right now, and the Giants have the best pitching staff in baseball. This has all the makings of a low scoring game that comes down to the wire. I expected the line to be 6.5 or 6 here. I really like the under at 7.
|
08-19-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-115 |
17 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Derek Lowe has been terrible this year, and he has been even worse of late. Lowe has just one quality start in his last eight starts overall. The Diamondbacks offense should be able to put a few up on the board against Lowe in this one. Daniel Hudson has been pretty good this year, but he has been inconsistent. Hudson has struggled on the road, and the Braves offense is getting healthy of late. I think this total should be a run or so higher. I like the value on the over.
|
08-18-11 |
Toronto Blue Jays v. Oakland A's UNDER 6.5 |
|
7-0 |
Loss |
-101 |
20 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Trevor Cahill is a different pitcher at home. Cahill has been dominating lineups for the last couple years at home. He has an ERA of just 2.62 at home this season. Ricky Romero is one of the hottest pitchers in the majors right now. Romero has a ridiculously good WHIP of 0.57 in his last three starts and an ERA of 1.57 in those starts. The under is 5-1-1 in Romero's last 7 road starts. The under is 18-7-3 in Cahill's last 28 home starts. I think this one has the makings a very low scoring contest. Take the under.
|
08-18-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 8 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Masterson has been one of baseball's best pitchers this year. Masterson has been consistently great all season. He has a stellar 2.59 ERA away from home. Phillip Humber has been struggling of late, but I think a struggling offense like the Tribe will help him bounce back. In addition, John Hirschbeck is behind the plate here. Hirschbeck has been one of the best 'under' umpires in the league for many years. Both pitchers should benefit from his large strike zone. Take the under in this one.
|
08-18-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
|
0-1 |
Win
|
102 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Tim Lincecum may not have started the season as well as normal, but he is pitching extremely well right now. Lincecum has only allowed more than one run in two of his last ten starts and in those starts he allowed two and three runs respectively. The under is 6-2 in Lincecum's last 8 starts against Atlanta. Mike Minor is a talented young pitcher and I think he'll give this short-handed Giants offense a lot of trouble. The under is 8-3 in their last 11 meetings in Atlanta. Take the under.
|
08-17-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* C.J. Wilson has become a clear number one this year. Wilson has a solid 3.28 ERA this season, including a 2.68 ERA on the road. Wilson has been great against the Angels in his last three starts against them. Ervin Santana may be the hottest pitcher in baseball of late. Santana has allowed exactly one run in each of his last five starts. The under is 16-6-4 in Santana's last 26 starts overall. The under is 5-1-1 in Wilson's last 7 starts against the Angels. This is an important game for both teams, and I think it will be low scoring. Take the under.
|
08-17-11 |
Florida Marlins v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
5-12 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Coors Field has always been a great hitter's ballpark. The wind will be blowing out on Wednesday night, and I think these two pitchers will struggle. Ricky Nolasco has pitched well of late, but he is very inconsistent. Aaron Cook has struggled all season, and he has an ERA of 6.61 in his last three starts overall. The last two night's the game has gone over the total when these teams have played, and I think it will be 3 straight after this one. Take the over here.
|
08-17-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Chicago White Sox -1.5 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Pitching Mismatch* Mark Buehrle has been a quality start machine of late. He has thrown 8 straight quality starts. Fausto Carmona struggles mightily with the Chicago White Sox. In 15 career apperances against the White Sox, Carmona has an ERA of 6.08. Buehrle has a 2.31 ERA at home this year. The Sox are starting to play much better baseball, and they still have a fighting chance in the AL Central. This is a pitching mismatch, and I think the White Sox will take it to the Indians here. Chicago -1.5.
|
08-17-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
1-3 |
Win
|
119 |
18 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Nate Eovaldi has won his first two starts in the majors, but I think he'll find it much tougher on Wednesday night against Milwaukee. The Brewers are 18-2 in their last 20 games. Milwaukee is 46-15 at home this season. Eovaldi's numbers in AAA were medicore. Zack Greinke has been much better of late. In fact, Greinke has seven straight quality starts overall. The Brewers have the much better lineup and a big pitching advantage as well. Brewers -1.5 is the play.
|
08-17-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-108 |
17 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain is one of the more consistent pitchers in baseball. Cain has a 3.00 ERA on the year, and he rarely gets hit hard. Jair Jurrjens has been on the DL of late, but he'll get to face a very short-handed Giants offense in this one. Without Posey, Beltran, Sanchez, and many others this offense has struggled badly of late. The under is 4-1 in Cain's last 5 starts against the Braves. The under is 5-0 in Jurrjens last 5 starts against the Giants. Expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
|
08-16-11 |
Cleveland Indians +114 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
7-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* Ubaldo Jimenez has pitched well away from Coors Field for the majority of this season. US Cellular Field in Chicago is a pretty good park for most pitchers. Jimenez gives the Indians a clear pitching advantage over the White Sox. Gavin Floyd starts for the White Sox, and Floyd has an ERA of slightly above 7 at home this year. Choo recently came off the disabled list, and that will help the Cleveland offense. The White Sox are extremely inconsistent, and they are 26-33 at home this year. Take the Indians ML.
|
08-16-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Milwaukee Brewers are an amazing 17-2 in their last 19 games overall. Milwaukee is 45-15 in their 60 home games this year. The Los Angeles Dodgers offense is quite weak right now. The Brewers are without Weeks, but they still have Braun, Fielder, Hart, and others. Yovani Gallardo has been in good form of late. Gallardo has an 8-1 record with a 2.92 ERA at home this year. Chad Billingsley has a terrible 5.53 ERA on the road this year. The Dodgers are 6-13 in his last 19 road starts. I like the Brewers -1.5.
|
08-16-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
Top |
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 38 m |
Show
|
*5 Star Top Play BEATDOWN* I don't have anything against the Arizona Diamondbacks, but this just isn't a good matchup for them. The Phillies are playing absolutely terrific baseball right now, and Roy Halladay is the most consistent pitcher in all of baseball. The Phillies are 22-5 in their last 27 home games that Halladay starts. Josh Collmenter has been struggling for the DBacks of late. In fact, Collmenter has an ERA of 9 in his last three starts (against Houston, LAD, and LAD again). This time he'll face a much better lineup in Philly. I like the Phillies to roll here. Phillies -1.5.
|
08-15-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
0-3 |
Win
|
141 |
20 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Milwaukee Brewers are 41-13 in their last 54 home games. They ear 21-6 in their last 27 games overall. This is a team that is taking over in the NL Central. The Dodgers have struggled on the road all year. Randy Wolf has been solid all year (3.4 ERA), while Ted Lilly has an ERA of almost 4.8. The Dodgers are 1-5 in Lilly's last 6 road starts. The Brewers are 7-1 in Wolf's last 8 home starts. I like the Brewers to win this one going away. Milwaukee -1.5.
|
08-15-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Houston Astros OVER 9 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 11 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* The Chicago Cubs have been hitting the baseball much better of late. The Cubs have scored at least 4 runs in each of their last five games. Henry Sosa will start for the Astros, and he had a mediocre ERA in the minors earlier this year. I think the Cubs will be able to get to him. Rodrigo Lopez will be on the mound for the Cubs. Lopez has an ERA of 7.07 on the road this year. The Astros have shown the ability to hit some at home. With these two pitchers, I like the value on the over.
|
08-15-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-125 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The San Francisco Giants are hurting badly on offense right now. Carlos Beltran has missed six straight games. Tim Hudson has always been dominant in the month of August, and this year has been no different. Hudson has allowed a total of four runs in his last three starts overall. Madison Bumgarner has pitched much better than his record would indicate. The Braves average just 3.4 runs per game against lefties. Bumgarner has a 3.03 ERA on the road this year. The under is 7-1 in the Giants last 8. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta. Take the under.
|
08-14-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Florida Marlins UNDER 8 |
|
5-2 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Florida Marlins and the San Francisco Giants both have a ridiculous amount of injuries right now. Beltran, Posey, Sanchez, Tejada, Burrell, Torres are all injured for the Giants. The Marlins are without Hanley Ramirez, Infante, Coghlan, and others. Ryan Vogelsong hasn't been as sharp of late, but I think he can bounce back with a nice outing against a weak lineup here. Chris Volstad is a little better at home, and against the lineup the Giants have right now I think he will fare alright. The under is 6-1 in the Giants last 7 games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. A total of 8 with these short-handed lineups feels like a good opportunity to take the under.
|
08-13-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
|
6-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Colorado Rockies have been fading fast of late. The St. Louis Cardinals are playing some very meaningful games right now. The Cardinals are just four games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. Jaime Garcia has a spectacular 1.56 ERA at home this season. Jason Hammel has been pitching terribly of late. He has given up at least 6 runs in 6 of his last 10 starts. The Cardinals have the offense to make him pay. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings against Colorado. St. Louis -1.5.
|
08-13-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8.5 |
|
8-4 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Hidden GEM* The Atlanta Braves bats seem to have woken up in a big way lately. Dan Uggla is riding a 32 game hitting streak and the rest of the team has been following his lead. Derek Lowe and Randy Wells have both been pitching very poorly of late. Lowe has a 7.2 ERA in his last three starts. Wells has a 5.68 ERA in his last three starts. The over is 5-1 in the Braves last 6. The over is 7-1 in the Cubs last 8 road games. The over is 15-5-1 in Lowe's last 21 starts. Take the over in this one.
|
08-13-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. Toronto Blue Jays UNDER 7 |
|
2-11 |
Loss |
-110 |
12 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* This is a matchup of two excellent starting pitchers. Most people know about Jered Weaver, but few realize how talented Ricky Romero is. Romero has a 1.11 ERA in his last three starts and he has a nice 2.83 ERA at home this year. Weaver has a ridiculous WHIP of 0.94 and an ERA of 1.78 on the year. The under is 44-18-6 in Weaver's last 66 starts. The under is 8-3-1 in Romero's last 12 starts. The under is 26-10-4 in the last 40 meetings between these two in Toronto. I expect a pitcher's duel here. Take the under.
|
08-12-11 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 |
|
2-7 |
Win
|
114 |
18 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Pittsburgh Pirates are slowly coming back down to earth. They were at the top of the NL Central less than a month ago, but they are now four games under .500. Pittsburgh is much improved, but they aren't nearly the team that the Milwaukee Brewers are. Paul Maholm has struggled on the road all year, and the Brewers have hit him hard in the past. In fact, the Brewers are 12-3 in their last 15 games against Maholm. How bad have the Pirates been in Milwaukee? The Brewers are 43-8 in their last 51 meetings at home against Pittsburgh. Brewers -1.5.
|
08-12-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Florida Marlins UNDER 7 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Both of these teams have some serious injury issues that are holding back their offenses. The Giants are without Beltran, Posey, Tejada, Sanchez, and Burrell. The Marlins are missing Hanley Ramirez, Coghlan, Infante, and others. Matt Cain and Ricky Nolasco both have an ERA below 3 in their last three games. Both pitchers should benefit from facing a short-handed lineup. The under is 11-4 in Cain's last 15 starts. The under is 7-2 in Nolasco's last 9 starts. Take the under in this one.
|
08-12-11 |
Los Angeles Angels +122 v. Toronto Blue Jays |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
122 |
17 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* The Los Angeles Angels fought hard at Yankee Stadium, and I do like the way they are playing of late. Ervin Santana has been one of baseball best pitchers over the last month. Santana has allowed a total of 3 earned runs in his last 4 starts. Morrow starts for the Blue Jays, and he has been bad at home this year. He has a 5.95 ERA at home. The Angels are in a battle with the Rangers out west, while the Jays are completely out of the playoff chase. The Angels are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts against the Blue Jays. I like the Angels ML.
|
08-11-11 |
Chicago White Sox -119 v. Baltimore Orioles |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 59 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The White Sox had their winning streak snapped last night when the Orioles won in 10 innings. I think they will start another winning streak on Thursday night. Mark Buerhle starts for the White Sox, and he has been nothing short of terrific of late. Buerhle has a 0.90 ERA in his last three starts overall. The White Sox are 13-3 in his last 16 starts. Chris Tillman starts for the Orioles. Tillman is talented, but he is also not nearly as consistent as the veteran Buerhle. I'll take the White Sox ML here.
|
08-11-11 |
Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 9 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Yankees have made a habit out of crushing the baseball during the daytime this year. I think they have another good setup to do just that again on Thursday afternoon. Tyler Chatwood will pitch for the Angels. Chatwood struggles with control issues, and the Yankees have a ton of patient hitters. The over is 6-2-1 in Chatwood's last 9 road starts. Bartolo Colon starts for the Yankees, and I expect the Angels to be able to tack up a few runs on him as well. I like the over in this one.
|
08-11-11 |
San Diego Padres +116 v. New York Mets |
|
3-2 |
Win
|
116 |
10 h 34 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* Cory Luebke is an impressive young pitcher. Luebke has a very good 3.06 ERA and a spectacular WHIP of just 0.96 this season. The Mets have struggled against lefties quite a bit this year. The Padres offense has broken out in a big way of late, and Jon Niese has been struggling quite a bit in his last few starts. Niese has an ERA just above 7 in his last three starts overall. Luebke has 1.94 ERA on the road this year. The Padres bats are hot right now and they have the better pitcher here. Take the Padres.
|
08-10-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* The weather conditions play a huge role at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The gametime temperature is expected to be 105 degrees for this one. In addition, the wind is expected to be pushing the ball out toward center at about 10 mph. The conditions are right for plenty of homers in this one. Derek Holland struggles mightily at home. Holland has a 5.55 ERA at home this year. Jason Vargas has been slumping of late, and Texas crushes lefties. The over is a huge 16-5 in Holland's last 21 home starts. Take the over!
|
08-10-11 |
Atlanta Braves -120 v. Florida Marlins |
|
6-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Florida Marlins are dealing with a ton of injuries right now. Omar Infante is out and he is the team's spark at the top of the lineup. Hanley Ramirez is the team's best hitter and he is expected to miss this game as well. Tim Hudson has always been great in the month of August, and he has been terrific against the Marlins. The Braves are 14-6 in Hudson's last 20 starts against Florida. The Braves are also 7-1 in their last 8 games at Florida. Take Atlanta here.
|
08-10-11 |
San Diego Padres v. New York Mets OVER 8 |
|
9-5 |
Win
|
102 |
17 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The San Diego Padres have been crushing the baseball of late. Actually, San Diego hasn't been too bad offensively on the road all year. The Padres also lead the majors in stolen bases, which could be important against a knuckleballer like R.A. Dickey. Dickey has been pretty good this year, but his ERA is above 4 at home on the season. Aaron Harang is a streaky pitcher, and he has been struggling of late. Harang has a 7.56 ERA in his last three starts. The over is 9-1-1 in the Padres last 11 road games. Take the over.
|
08-10-11 |
Chicago White Sox v. Baltimore Orioles UNDER 9 |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Phillip Humber has been struggling of late, but I think this is a good spot for a bounceback for him. Humber actually pitched well last time out against the Yankees, but he had one bad inning. The White Sox bats are struggling badly right now. The under is 20-6 in the White Sox last 26 road games. The under is 7-2 in Humber's last 9 road starts. The under is 12-4 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams. Bill Miller, the biggest under umpire in the majors, is behind the dish here. The under is 68-32-6 in his last 106 games. Take the under.
|
08-10-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -123 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
9-8 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Phillies are 10-1 in their last 11 road games. They are also 42-15 in their last 57 games. Philadelphia is pretty healthy right now, and it seems like the rest of the National League simply can't keep up with them. Vance Worley continues to surprise everyone, and I think he should fare well against a weak Dodgers lineup. Chad Billingsley is a streaky pitcher, and the Phillies have beaten him in 4 of their last 5 meetings with him. The Phillies are the best team in baseball right now, and I'll take them at this short price. Phillies ML.
|
08-09-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 v. Los Angeles Dodgers |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 53 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Cliff Lee pitched a complete game shutout in his last start at San Francisco. Lee has shown this year that he can get on ridiculous streaks. The Dodgers offense isn't very good at all right now. Ted Lilly has an ERA above 5 at home this year. The Phillies are 8-1 in their last 9 road games. They are also 37-14 in their last 51 games overall. The Phillies have a big advantage in the pitching matchup, and they have the much better lineup as well. Take the Phillies -1.5 here.
|
08-09-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
Top |
4-3 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
*5 Star MLB Play of the Week* The Boston Red Sox have the best offense in baseball right now. Francisco Liriano has been very inconsistent this year. Liriano has a terrible 5.98 ERA at home this year. Even worse, he has an ERA just above 8 in his last three starts. Erik Bedard and Liriano are both lefties who try to stretch the corners, and that won't work well with the umpire for this one. Tim McClelland is behind the dish here, and he is arguably the biggest 'over' umpire in the game. The over is 14-6 in his last 20 games behind the plate. The over is 11-3 in Liriano's last 14 home starts. I think this one is set too low. Take the over big here.
|
08-09-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers OVER 8 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Texas Rangers are hitting the baseball very well right now, and the conditions in Texas are very friendly to hitters. The gametime temperature is expected to be 106 degrees in this one. The ball can really fly in Arlington with this kind of temperature. Michael Pineda is a very good young pitcher, but he has allowed at least 5 runs in each of his last three road starts. Alexi Ogando has been slightly more shaky of late as well. The over is 5-1 in Ogando's last 6 home starts. The over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings at Texas. Take the over.
|
08-08-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
|
2-9 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Seattle Mariners are 6-21 in their last 27 games overall. They are also 14-41 in their last 55 games against left-handed starters. Matt Harrison is putting together a nice season for the Texas Rangers. Harrison pitches in a tough home ballpark, but he still has a great 3.08 ERA for the year. The Rangers are 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. The Rangers are also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with the Mariners. Charlie Furbush will pitch for Seattle, and he gives up about one homer per every six innings pitched. The Rangers punish lefties and I think they'll put quite a few up in this game. This is a mismatch all the way around. Take Texas -1.5.
|
08-07-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 10 |
|
3-5 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Texas weather is absolutely ridiculous right now. The Dallas area has seen multiple straight days of 105 degrees or more for a high temperature. At the start of this game the temperature is expected to be 104 degrees. The ball really flies in that kind of heat, and the wind will be pushing the ball out to center. Colby Lewis has been bad at home and Josh Tomlin has been poor on the road. The Indians bats have really woken up of late (they've scored 7 runs in three straight games). The over is 5-0-1 in Tomlin's last 6 road starts. The over is 9-2 in Lewis' last 11 home starts. This is a combined 14-2 winning angle between the two starts! Take the over!
|
08-07-11 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-4 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 21 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* Clayton Kershaw has always been a very talented pitcher, but he has matured a ton this year. Kershaw is getting ahead of batters and walking far fewer than he has in the past. He could easily be competing for Cy Young's in the next few years. Ian Kennedy is a very good young pitcher for the Diamondbacks. Kennedy has a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. Kershaw has a 1.52 ERA in his last three starts. This game has the makings of a low scoring pitcher's duel. Take the under.
|
08-07-11 |
San Diego Padres -113 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
7-3 |
Win
|
100 |
12 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pirates have now lost nine straight games overall. San Diego has won eight straight games against the Pirates. The Padres are also 21-7 in their last 28 games at Pittsburgh. Kevin Correia has an awful 7.71 ERA at home this year. Mat Latos has been pitching better of late. Latos has allowed 3 runs or less in seven straight starts. The lineups are pretty equal in this one, and the Padres definitely have the pitching advantage. I'll take the team with the momentum here. Padres ML.
|
08-06-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-102 |
19 h 51 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* C.J. Wilson pitched 7 and 2/3 innings of shutout baseball in his last start against the Indians. Cleveland struggles against left-handers, and Wilson is a pretty good one. On the other side, Fausto Carmona is giving up home runs at a higher rate than ever before. That isn't a good sign for Saturday, since conditions will be perfect for the ball to be flying out of Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The Indians are 0-5 in Carmona's last 5 starts against the Rangers. The Rangers have the better pitcher here and the better lineup. Rangers -1.5.
|
08-06-11 |
St. Louis Cardinals -125 v. Florida Marlins |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 37 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals have absolutely owned Ricky Nolasco. Matt Holliday is 8 for 14 with 2 HR's, Pujols is 8 for 15 with 2 HR's, and Rafael Furcal is 5 for 8 with 3 RBI's. Not surprisingly, the Marlins are 1-4 in Nolasco's last 5 starts against St. Louis. Chris Carpenter has pitched better as the year has gone on. The Marlins are without Infante, Coghlan, and Mike Cameron is questionable. The Cardinals are still in the NL Central race, but these are the games they must win. I'll take the Cardinals ML here.
|
08-06-11 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9 |
|
4-10 |
Win
|
100 |
15 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox Total DOMINATION* C.C. Sabathia has been dominating most opponents this year, but not the Boston Red Sox. He has seen the Red Sox three times and he hasn't fared too well in any of those starts. He scattered nine hits in his first appearance, but then allowed 6 earned runs in each of his last two starts against Boston. John Lackey has an ERA over 6 this year, and the Yankees should be able to put up several runs on him. These are the two best offenses in all of baseball, and I think a posted total of nine is a good value on the over.
|
08-05-11 |
Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8.5 |
|
5-3 |
Win
|
102 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Chicago White Sox offense has been ridiculously bad this year. The White Sox are talented offensively, but they just can't seem to string together hits to score often at all. The Twins are more healthy than they were, but their offense is still less than stellar. Mark Buerhle and Nick Blackburn have both faired well against the opposing team in this matchup. The under is 6-0-2 in Buerhle's last 8 starts. The under is 16-5 in the White Sox last 21 road games. The under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.
|
08-05-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 |
|
4-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 60 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Tigers have an impressive lineup. Sometimes the Tigers struggle to score too many runs at home because of their huge ballpark, but the runs generally pile up on the road. The over is 31-18-4 in the Tigers 53 road games this year. Rick Porcello has given up runs in bunches against the Royals in the past. In fact, the over is 8-0 in Porcello's last 8 starts against the Royals! Felipe Paulino is an inconsistent pitcher and I think the Tigers lineup can put up several runs against him. Take the over in this one!
|
08-05-11 |
Cleveland Indians v. Texas Rangers OVER 9 |
|
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The conditions will be perfect for a high scoring in Texas on Friday night. The temperature at gametime is expected to be a ridiculous 106 degrees. The wind tunnel at Arlington will be in effect, which will be pushing the ball out toward center field. These conditions tend to lead to a lot of home runs. Ubaldo Jimenez is very good, but he didn't fair well in Coors this year and Texas is a similarly difficult park for pitchers. Derek Holland has been bad at home. Holland has an ERA of 5.10 at home, and the over is 10-2 in his last 12 home starts. Take the over.
|
08-05-11 |
Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 v. Houston Astros |
|
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Normally I wouldn't lay -125 on a runline like this, but this is definitely a major mismatch. Yovani Gallardo has been pitching extremely well and J.A. Happ has been awful this year. Gallardo has a solid 3.69 ERA this year, and in his last three starts he has a 1.35 ERA. The Brewers are 6-0 in Gallardo's last 6 starts against the Astros. Happ has a horrible 6.01 ERA this year, and he hasn't had a quality start since June 3. The Astros are 4-22 in Happ's last 26 starts. The Brewers lineup is much better and the pitching mismatch is huge. Brewers -1.5.
|
08-05-11 |
New York Yankees v. Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5 |
|
3-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Yankees/Red Sox Total Winner* When these two teams meet it is a meeting of the two best offenses in all of baseball. A total of 9.5 is fairly high for a normal game, but in this case I think it is a good value. Jon Lester is a very good pitcher, but the Yankees have been able to score against him in the past. The over is 5-1-1 in Lester's last 7 against the Yankees. The over is 39-16-1 in the last 56 meetings between these two in Boston. Bartolo Colon has been good, but I think the Red Sox can get to him as well. Take the over.
|
08-04-11 |
Washington Nationals v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10 |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
19 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Washington Nationals have been hitting the ball quite a bit better of late. Washington put up 4, 5, and 9 runs in their three game series with the Braves. Coors Field is definitely great for hitters, and the pitching matchup here makes me think plenty of runs will be scored in this game. Ross Detwiler is generally a reliever, but he did start once for Washington at Coors Field. In that game he allowed six runs in four innings. Esmil Rogers has been in the bullpen of late as well and he has an ERA of 27 at home so far this year. The over is 3-0-1 in Rogers last 4 starts. The over is 5-1 in Detwiler's last 6 road starts. Take the over.
|
08-04-11 |
New York Yankees -111 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Chicago White Sox were 52-52 five games ago, but they've now dropped five straight at home and they are on the verge of losing touch in the AL Central. The White Sox are just 24-30 at home this year. Phillip Humber has been one of the great stories for the White Sox this year, but his past three starts have been ugly. I think Humber might have hit a bit of a wall right now, and I think he is a good fade here. The Yankees are absolutely smashing the baseball right now, and their lineup is far superior to Chicago's. The Yankees are 6-0 in Nova's last 6 starts. Take New York here.
|
08-04-11 |
Cleveland Indians +157 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
7-3 |
Win
|
157 |
17 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* Justin Masterson has been great all year. Masterson has an impressive 2.56 ERA on the year. In his last three starts, Masterson has a stellar ERA of 1.19. Masterson was in the Red Sox organization for quite some time, and he has pitched three times for the Indians against Boston since being traded. In those three starts, Masterson and the Indians were the underdog each time (two of the games were in Boston) and the Indians won all three contests. Masterson has allowed just three runs in those three starts. The Indians are well worth this price. Take Cleveland.
|
08-03-11 |
Minnesota Twins -106 v. Los Angeles Angels |
|
11-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Minnesota Twins aren't completely out of the AL Central race just yet. Scott Baker has been easily the most consistent pitcher for the Twins this year. How good has he been? Baker has allowed 10 earned runs in his last 8 starts overall. Joel Piniero starts for the Angels, and he has been very bad of late. Piniero has a ridiculous ERA of 15 in his last three starts. The Twins lineup is much better now with a healthy Mauer, Thome, Young, Kubel, and others. I like the Twins here.
|
08-03-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -124 v. Houston Astros |
|
4-5 |
Loss |
-124 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* At this point the Houston Astros lineup is an absolute mess. The Astros have called up numerous players from AA, and these guys are clearly not MLB level players at this point. The Reds have a pretty impressive lineup with Votto, Phillips, Bruce, and others. Cincinnati still has a slight chance in the NL Central, but they absolutely must win games like this one. The Reds are 26-10 in their last 36 meetings against the Astros. I like the Reds to win this one and take the series from the Astros. Reds ML.
|
08-03-11 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 |
|
1-8 |
Loss |
-116 |
14 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Jason Marquis will make the start for the DBacks in this one. Marquis has an ERA of under 3 in his career pitching at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Ryan Vogelsong continues to surprise people by how amazingly consistent he has been this year. Vogelsong has only allowed more than three runs twice this season. The under is 8-1 in his last 9 home starts. He has an ERA of 1.28 at home this season. This is a pitcher's ballpark and I think this one will be a pitcher's duel. Take the under.
|
08-03-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 v. Colorado Rockies |
|
8-6 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Philadelphia Phillies are completely healthy now on the offensive side, and they also have Hunter Pence in the lineup as well. Philadelphia should improve offensively quite a bit with Pence and a healthy Rollins, Utley, Victorino, Howard, etc. Roy Halladay has only pitched once in Denver and he only allowed two runs in that game. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 7 in his last three starts. The Phillies have a huge pitching advantage and they have a big hitting advantage now too. The Phillies are 21-5 in their last 26 meetings with Colorado. Phillies -1.5.
|
08-02-11 |
Philadelphia Phillies -109 v. Colorado Rockies |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 29 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Philadelphia Phillies are playing like the best team in baseball of late. The Phillies have the best record in the majors, and they are starting to get healthy. Kyle Kendrick isn't a great starter, but he generally keeps his team in the game. Aaron Cook will likely struggle with this heavily loaded left-handed lineup. The Phillies are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Colorado. The Rockies are just 1-4 in Cook's last 5 against the Phillies. At basically even money, I really like the value on the Phillies ML.
|
08-02-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -118 v. Houston Astros |
|
5-1 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Reds lost to the Astros last night in extra innings, but I'm going to wager that it won't happen two nights in a row. The Astros are calling up players from their AA affiliate and filling in the lineup card, and the Reds badly need wins right now. Homer Bailey was horrible in his last outing, but the Reds are 18-5 in his last 23 starts as a favorite. Wandy Rodriguez is very good, but the Reds lineup hits lefties well. The Reds are 25-10 in their last 35 against the Astros. Take Cincinnati.
|
08-02-11 |
Atlanta Braves v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-9 |
Loss |
-100 |
16 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Atlanta Braves did pickup Bourn, but this is still a lineup that is short-handed right now. John Lannan is an underrated solid pitcher for the Nationals. Derek Lowe has good career numbers against just about everyone in the Nationals lineup. I consider Vic Carapazza a slight 'under' umpire, which should help out here as well. Two offenses that struggle to hit the long ball and two pitchers that don't serve up many. Take the under in this one.
|
08-01-11 |
Cincinnati Reds -121 v. Houston Astros |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-121 |
2 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Best Bet* The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a three game sweep of the World Series Champion San Francisco Giants. The Reds have underachieved all year, but they are more than capable of making a nice run. Bronson Arroyo is pitching for the Reds, and he has been bad this year. Having said that, the lineup that the Astros will send out tonight is no better than an average AAA lineup. Arroyo has allowed 30 home runs, but no one one this Houston team is a home run hitter. Bourn is no longer here and Pence is no longer here. Bud Norris is a solid pitcher, but the Reds lineup is much better than the Astros. Arroyo is 7-0 in his last 7 starts against Houston with a 1.93 ERA. Take the Reds.
|
07-31-11 |
Florida Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7.5 |
|
3-1 |
Win
|
100 |
10 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Atlanta Braves lineup is not nearly as scary as normal right now. The Braves are missing McCann, McLouth, and Schaefer. The Marlins aren't a powerful offense to start with. Tommy Hanson has a 3.02 ERA at home this year, and he has shown the potential to shut down opposing batters on any given day. Ricky Nolasco is actually better on the road than at home, and against this weakned Braves offense I think he'll fare well. The under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two teams. Lance Barksdale is the umpire here and he is a solid 'under' ummpire. I like the under.
|
07-30-11 |
Minnesota Twins v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 |
|
3-8 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Top Total* Nick Blackburn has been inconsistent this year, but his past history against Oakland isn't a good one. The Twins are 1-8 in his last 9 starts against the Athletics. Guillermo Moscoso had an ERA over 4 in AAA, but he pitched great when he first came up to the majors. I figured that would come to an end, and indeed in his last two starts he has been hit hard. Both of these teams have had weak offenses for the year overall, but both lineups are hitting the ball very well right now. Take the over.
|
07-30-11 |
San Francisco Giants v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8.5 |
|
2-7 |
Loss |
-107 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Knockout* Madison Bumgarner has a poor record (6-9) this season, but he has pitched quite well. Bumgarner has a 2.54 ERA on the road this year. Mike Leake has been pitching much more consistently of late. The Giants did trade for Beltran, but they still don't have a powerful offense. I think both starters are a little underrated by the books right now. The under is 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 Saturday starts. The under is 5-2 in Leake's last 7 starts. Take the under.
|
07-30-11 |
Florida Marlins v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
106 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Anibal Sanchez has always pitched well against the Braves. In fact, the under is a stunning 7-0-1 in Sanchez's last 8 starts in Atlanta. The Braves offense is hurting right now. They are without McCann, Schafer, McLouth, and Chipper Jones. Tim Hudson has thrown seven straight quality starts. The Marlins aren't a very powerful offense. The Marlins have seen a lot of Hudson, but their lineup has just one career home run against Hudson. I like this one to be a low scoring pitcher's duel. Take the under.
|
07-30-11 |
New York (N): R Dickey -105 v. Washington: Y Maya |
|
0-3 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The New York Mets have won five straight games. Even without Carlos Beltran, the Mets have a very good offense right now. Reyes, Wright, Bay, Pagan, Turner, and Duda are all hitting the ball very well. Jason Marquis has been shaky of late, and the Nationals have lost 4 of his last 5 starts. The Mets are 6-1 in R.A. Dickey's last 7 starts. The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games at Washington. The Mets have the better lineup and at least an equal pitcher. I like the Mets ML here.
|
07-30-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 8 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cleveland Indians are severely short-handed on offense right now. They are without Sizemore and Choo, two of their best left-handed hitters. The Indians have scored 0,2,3,1,1, and 0 runs in their last six games. Paulino has solid stuff and I think he can quiet this scuffling Cleveland offense. Justin Masterson continues to have a great year. Masterson has a great 2.57 ERA this season. The under is 13-8 in his 21 starts this year. The under is 6-2 in Paulino's 8 starts this year. Take the under.
|
07-30-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays +107 v. Seattle Mariners |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Oddsmaker Error* Alex Cobb has been extremely good in his rookie season in 2011. Michael Pineda was great until recently, but he has an ERA over 10 in his last three starts. I realize Pineda is a very good pitcher, but he might be hitting a bit of a wall. Tampa Bay is clearly the better team between these two, and Seattle has lost 17 of their last 18 games overall. I believe the Rays should be favored and I thought the line would be about -120 or so for Tampa, so plus money here seems like a great value. Rays ML.
|
07-30-11 |
Chicago Cubs v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 8.5 |
|
5-13 |
Win
|
103 |
14 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Rodrigo Lopez has pitched well in limited action this year for the Cubs, but I think regression is due soon. Lopez is a fly ball pitcher and the heat in St. Louis won't be good for that. The Cardinals offense is one of the best in baseball. Kyle Lohse has been getting hit hard of late as well. Lohse has given up at least four runs in 6 of his last 9 starts. The over is 4-0 in Lohse last 4 starts against the Cubs. I think the number is set too low here. Take the over.
|
07-29-11 |
Boston Red Sox v. Chicago White Sox OVER 9.5 |
|
1-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* Gavin Floyd has been terrible at home this year, and the Boston Red Sox probably have the best offense in the majors. Floyd has an ERA of 6.26 at home this season. Tim Wakefield started the year pretty well, but he has been struggling of late. Wakefield has a 6.50 ERA in his last three starts. The White Sox beat the Red Sox 7-4 in a game where these two pitchers squared off earlier this year. The over is 5-1 in Wakefield's last 6 starts. The over is 5-0-1 in Floyd's last 6 starts at home. Take the over.
|
07-29-11 |
Texas Rangers v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 8.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-113 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brett Cecil pitched a complete game shutout against the Texas Rangers on Sunday, but Cecil is an extremely inconsistent pitcher. Throughout his career he has been known to throw a shutout and then give up 6 or 7 runs in his next start quite often. The Rangers generally hit left-handers very well (5.57 runs per game) and they should be ready for Cecil this time around. Ogando is a solid starter, but the Jays can really pile up the runs at home. The over is 7-3 in Ogando's last 10 starts. The over is 5-1 in the Blue Jays last 6 home games. Take the over.
|
07-29-11 |
New York Mets -115 v. Washington Nationals |
|
8-5 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Mets are hitting the baseball extremely well right now. Wang will make his first start since 2009 for the Nationals, but I don't think this is a good matchup for him. With Reyes, Wright, Bay, Pagan, and Duda all hitting the ball well right now, I think the Mets have a big edge offensively in this game. Dillon Gee continues to be underrated as a starter as well. The Mets are 8-2 in Gee's last 10 road starts. The Nationals are 1-6 in their last 7 home games. The Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 at Washington. Take the Mets.
|
07-29-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. New York Yankees -1.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Yankees are 40-12 in their last 52 meetings with the Orioles. Jeremy Guthrie has been terrible against the Yankees in his career. In fact, the Orioles are 0-7 in Guthrie's last 7 starts against the Yankees. On the other hand, the Yankees are 7-3 in A.J. Burnett's last 10 starts against the Orioles. The Orioles are 7-21 in Guthrie's last 28 road starts. Baltimore is a little short-handed offensively right now, and the Yankees can really hit the ball (especially at home). Take New York -1.5.
|
07-29-11 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
3-10 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Charlie Morton has been a nice story this year, as have the Pirates overall. Morton has been slowly wearing down of late, and he isn't pitching deep into games. The Pirates bullpen is absolutely spent right now. Roy Halladay is very efficient with his pitches, and he has a 2.44 ERA at home this season. Morton struggles badly against lefties, and the Phillies have Utley, Howard, Rollins, Ibanez, Victorino, and others from the left side. The Phillies are 21-5 in Halladay's last 26 home starts. Take the Phillies -1.5.
|
07-28-11 |
Houston Astros v. St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 42 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* Wandy Rodriguez is a solid pitcher, but he's not as good on the road. Jaime Garcia is absolutely dominating at home. Garcia has a stellar 1.14 ERA at home this year (in 63 and 1/3 innings pitched). The Cardinals are 8-1 in Garcia's last 9 home starts. The Astros are 9-24 in Rodriguez's last 33 road starts. The Astros are 1-5 in Rodriguez's last 6 road starts against the Cardinals. The fact that Houston won on Wednesday makes me even more confident that St. Louis will win this one comfortably. St. Louis -1.5.
|
07-28-11 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Atlanta Braves OVER 7.5 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both of these bullpens are absolutely spent right now after the 19 inning marathon game on Tuesday night. After a game like that, the offenses will generally have the upper hand. Both Derek Lowe and Kevin Correia have struggled of late. Lowe has an ERA over 6 in his last 3 starts and Correia's is over 9. The over is 6-0 in Corriea's last 6 starts. The over is 10-1 in Lowe's last 11 starts. The two starters have an amazing 16-1 run to the over in their last 17 starts combined. Take the over.
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07-28-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 |
|
5-8 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Brad Bergesen is a sinker ball pitcher who often leaves pithces up in the zone. Toronto has been piling up the runs this year, especially at home. Baltimore's offense has been red hot of late as well. The over is 14-6 in the Orioles last 20 games. Carlos Villaneuva doesn't have overpowering stuff, and he has been worse at home this season. The over is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Both offenses are hot right now, and both pitchers are capable of giving up quite a few runs. Take the over.
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07-28-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. Oakland A's -124 |
|
10-8 |
Loss |
-124 |
14 h 27 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Oakland A's have taken the first three games of this series from Tampa Bay, and because of the pitching matchup here I think they'll take the fourth game as well. Rich Harden has pitched well in both of his home starts so far this year. Harden has also fared well against the current Tampa Bay hitters. On the other side, Wade Davis has been inconsistent all year long. Oakland's offense is hitting the ball better right now than they have all year. The Athletics are 30-9 in Harden's last 39 home starts. Take Oakland.
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07-28-11 |
New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds -132 |
|
10-9 |
Loss |
-132 |
12 h 37 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Reds hosted the Mets for a four game series this week, and the Mets have taken the first three. I think this is a great spot to play the Reds. Cincinnati should be getting quite desperate right now, and they have a very good pitcher on the hill here. Homer Bailey is really starting to mature and turn into the pitcher many thought he could be. The Reds are 17-4 in Bailey's last 21 home starts. The Reds punish left-handed pitching, and I expect them to bounce back with a big win in the final game of this series. Reds ML.
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07-27-11 |
Colorado Rockies v. Los Angeles Dodgers OVER 7.5 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 11 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* Aaron Cook has been bad since coming off the disabled list. Cook has an ERA above 8 on the road so far this year. Kuroda has been having some control problems of late, and he has been significantly worse at home this year. The over is 4-0 in Cook's last 4 road starts. The over is 7-3-1 in Kuroda's last 11 home starts. Tony Randazzo is behind the plate and the over is 13-6 in his last 19 behind the dish. I think this one is set too low. I like the value on the over here.
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07-27-11 |
Houston Astros v. St.Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 54 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* Bud Norris has always had the Cardinals number. In 9 career starts against the Cardinals, Norris has a stellar ERA of 2.45. Chris Carpenter has been rounding into form of late. Carpenter is a much better pitcher at home. The Astros lineup is quite weak right now. Andy Fletcher is the umpire here, and he is a solid 'under' umpire. The under is 6-2 in his last 8 games, and for the last three years he has been consistently an under umpire. The under is 5-1 in Carpenter's last 6 against the Astros. The under is 4-1 in Norris' last 5 road starts in St. Louis. Take the under.
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07-27-11 |
Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-118 |
19 h 2 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB BEST Bet* The Minnesota Twins bounced back to beat the Texas Rangers 9-8 last night after losing 20-6 on Monday. The extreme heat in Texas has been making the ball fly in a big way lately. On Wednesday, the temperature is expected to be 103 degrees at gametime. Brian Duensing allowed 7 runs in two innings at home against the Rangers, now he gets to try to tame them in the Texas heat. Colby Lewis has an ERA of 5.64 at home this year. The over is 12-3-2 in Lewis' last 17 home starts. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings. Take the over.
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07-27-11 |
New York Mets v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9.5 |
|
8-2 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 9 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The New York Mets have the healthiest lineup they have had in quite some time. They now have a healthy Reyes, Wright, Beltran, and Bay all in the lineup at once. That lineup is no slouch at all, and Bronson Arroyo is struggling mightily this year. Arroyo has allowed more home runs than any other pitcher in the majors. Mike Pelfrey has been terrible on the road. The ball will be carrying very well in 90 degree temperatures in Cincinnati on Wednesday. Both teams could put up quite a few here. Take the over.
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07-27-11 |
Florida Marlins v. Washington Nationals -111 |
|
7-5 |
Loss |
-111 |
18 h 56 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Hidden GEM* Javier Vazquez had a brief hot streak, but he pitched terribly again last time out. I think Vazquez is being given too much credit by the oddsmakers this year. Vazquez has command problems inside and outside of the zone this year. Livan Hernandez has an ERA just above 3 at home this season. The Marlins took it to the Nationals last night, and I think Washington will be highly motivated for this one. Hernandez and his sinker should be working well enough to win this one. Take Washington.
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07-26-11 |
Minnesota Twins v. Texas Rangers -1.5 |
|
9-8 |
Loss |
-102 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Best Bet* The Texas Rangers put up 20 runs last night against the Twins. Normally, I'd be hesitant to bet on them after a night like that, but I think this is a great pitching matchup. Carl Pavano has been bad on the road overall this year, and his history at Texas is awful. Pavano has three career starts at Texas and he has an ERA of 12.46 in those three starts. CJ Wilson has been rock solid all year long and the Twins don't hit left-handers very well. The Rangers are 23-6 in Wilson's last 29 home starts. Rangers -1.5.
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07-26-11 |
Florida Marlins v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7.5 |
|
11-2 |
Loss |
-105 |
17 h 20 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ricky Nolasco had an awful start last time out, but I think he'll bounce back here. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 starts against the Nationals. Washington's lineup isn't very good, and Nolasco has an ERA under 2 at Washington in his career. Jordan Zimmerman is an underrated starter at this point in his career. Zimmerman has an ERA of just above 3 at home this year. The under is 5-1 in Nolasco's last 6. The under is 8-3 in Zimmerman's last 11. Take the under in this one.
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07-26-11 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 |
|
12-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Toronto Blue Jays can really pile up the runs, and right now Baltimore is short-handed offensively. Luke Scott, Vlad, and Brian Roberts are out of the lineup. Toronto is healthy and they have a red hot starter on the mound in this one. Brandon Morrow has pitched great of late. The Blue Jays are 7-0 in his last 7 starts. The Orioles are just 13-41 in their last 54 games at Toronto. The Blue Jays have the better lineup and the better pitching here. Toronto -1.5.
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07-26-11 |
Los Angeles Angels -130 v. Cleveland Indians |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 11 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Jered Weaver isn't quite getting the respect he deserves from the oddsmakers. Weaver has a ridiculously low ERA of 1.81 on the year. He has an ERA of 1.89 on the road. Josh Tomlin has been getting hit around quite a bit of late. The Indians lineup is short-handed right now, and they have been starting to slide. The Angels are actually getting healthier right now, and the bats are starting to wake up. With a big pitching advantage like this, I'm going to side with the Angels.
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07-26-11 |
San Francisco: B Zito v. Philadelphia: V Worley UNDER 7 |
|
2-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 53 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Vance Worley just continues to go out and impress start after start. Worley has allowed a total of three runs in his last five starts overall. Tim Lincecum has been rounding into form of late as well. Lincecum has an ERA of just 1.42 in his last three starts. The Giants lineup is struggling to put up runs without Posey, Sanchez, and others. The Phillies are without Polanco, who is a key part of their offense. This one has the makings of a pitcher's duel. Take the under here.
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07-25-11 |
Tampa Bay Rays -116 v. Oakland A's |
|
5-7 |
Loss |
-116 |
7 h 15 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Tampa Bay Rays have been a very good road team this year, and the Oakland A's have been inconsistent this year. Jeremy Hellickson has terrific stuff, and the youngster has thrown a quality start in eight of his last nine outings. Guillermo Moscoso starts for Oakland, and I think he has been pitching a little over his head. In the minors, Moscoso had an ERA above 4, but he pitched lights out in the majors for the first few games. He was hit hard last start in Detroit, and I think he is a good fade opportunity right now. The Rays lineup is a little stronger than Oakland's, and I think Tampa Bay has a big pitching advantage here. Take the Tampa Bay moneyline.
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07-25-11 |
Kansas City Royals v. Boston Red Sox -1.5 |
Top |
3-1 |
Loss |
-130 |
15 h 30 m |
Show
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*5 Star MLB Play of the Month* I really like this spot for the Boston Red Sox. The Royals come into town after being at home for six straight games. Boston has been at home beating up on the Mariners. Now they get to try to beat up on another bad team. Kyle Davies is a pitcher I love to fade, and it has made me a lot money in the past. Davies is 1-9 with a 7.32 ERA this year. The Royals are 5-16 in his last 21 starts. The Red Sox lineup should knock Davies out of this one early. Jon Lester will be on the mound for Boston. Lester appears to be healthy again, and he has been dominating at home in his career. The Red Sox are 39-13 in Lester's last 52 home starts. The Royals are 22-57 in their last 79 road games. The Royals are 8-22 in their last 30 games at Boston. I think this one could get ugly. This is a big play for me. Boston -1.5.
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07-25-11 |
Seattle Mariners v. New York Yankees -1.5 |
|
3-10 |
Win
|
100 |
4 h 15 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline ROUT* The Seattle Mariners have lost 15 straight games. The streak has to stop before too long, but I don't think it will be tonight. Jason Vargas takes the hill against a Yankees team that crushes lefties. Vargas has been hit hard by the Yankees in the past. As a team, the Yankees have hit .331 off Vargas in limited action. Freddy Garcia has been much better than most people expected. Garcia has a very good 3.21 ERA this year. The Mariners average just 3.14 runs per game against right-handed pitchers. The Mariners are 8-21 in Vargas' last 29 road starts. The Mariners are 8-21 in their last 29 games at New York. The Yankees have the much better lineup and I think they'll win this comfortably.
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07-24-11 |
Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
14 h 12 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers have really been hitting the ball well of late. The Twins are finally starting to get healthy. The Twins now have a good middle of the order with Mauer, Kubel, Thome, and Young all back in the lineup. Liriano and Porcello have both struggled this year and both have struggled against their opposition in this one. The over is 11-2 in Liriano's last 13 home starts. The over is 7-0 in Porcello's last 7 starts. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 10 mph as well. I like the value on the over.
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