Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-05-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Colorado Rockies -134 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies send Jorge De La Rosa to the mound on Saturday night against the Arizona Diamondbacks. He has absolutely mowed down this Arizona lineup in the past, especially when he faces them at Coors Field. De La Rosa has been a great story in the past couple years, and I've made a lot of money backing him. In nearly 100 career innings against Arizona, De La Rosa has an ERA of just 2.40. The Rockies are a different team at home, and they'll face Brandon McCarthy here. McCarthy is likely to struggle in this one, because he gives up too many fly balls. This is a huge pitching advantage for the Rockies.
Colorado is a perfect 9-0 in De La Rosa's last 9 home starts vs. the Diamondbacks. The Rockies are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the NL West. Arizona is 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a left-handed starter. An 18-0 angle. Take Colorado. |
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04-05-14 | Atlanta Braves +156 v. Washington Nationals | 6-2 | Win | 156 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Atlanta Braves have matched up very well in the past with the Washington Nationals. Washington is a team I like a lot this year, and I do think they'll win the NL East. Having said that, this play is all about a price. Atlanta should not be this big of an underdog with a very talented pitcher like Julio Teheran on the hill. Several Braves have actually hit Stephen Strasburg well. Jason Heyward and Dan Uggla have both had very good success recently against him. The Braves are 4-1 in Teheran's last 5 vs. the Nationals, and yet we still see more than +150 here. The Braves are 9-2 in their last 11 games at Washington. Too big of a price to pass up. Take Atlanta.
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04-05-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Detroit Tigers OVER 8.5 | 6-7 | Win | 105 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Baltimore Orioles have hit Rick Porcello well in the past. Porcello has an ERA above 5 against the Orioles in his career. Porcello was torched in Spring Training as well. He had an ERA of 7.85 this spring. The Orioles do have some big bats in their lineup, and they are very capable of scoring runs in bunches. Detroit's lineup is tremendous and Bud Norris will have his hands full in this one. Detroit put up 10 runs yesterday. The wind will be blowing out at 15-20 mph in this one, and that is a big deal here too. This total is set awfully low for two good offenses and two shaky pitchers.
The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 2-0-2 in the Tigers last 4 vs. a righty. The over is 2-0-2 in their last 4 vs. the AL East. The over is 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 Saturday starts. The over is 7-1-2 in the Tigers last 10 home games vs. a right handed pitcher. A 24-1 angle. Take the over. |
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04-04-14 | Texas Rangers v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8 | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Rangers have one of the best lineups in baseball. What pitcher would want to see a lineup with Choo, Andrus, Fielder, and Beltre in the first four spots? Jake Odrizzi is a decent young pitcher, but I expect him to struggle here. The Rangers lineup is going to put up a bunch of runs this season. Tampa Bay's offense is mediocre, but they'll be going against Joe Saunders. Saunders is a guy I like to fade, because I don't trust him. The price is too high to back the Rays here for me, but I'll play the over because I expect Tampa Bay to get to Saunders quite a bit here. Saunders was torched in Spring Training.
The over is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 games on turf. The over is 3-0-1 4 meetings between these teams in Tampa Bay. The over is 5-1-1 in the Rays last 7 as a home favorite of -110 to -150. A 12-1 angle. Take the over. |
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04-04-14 | Cincinnati Reds -109 v. New York Mets | 3-4 | Loss | -109 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds lost a couple very tough games to the St. Louis Cardinals in their season opening series. The Cardinals may have the best team in the National League. Playing the Mets is a massive step down in class. Mike Leake has an ERA under 1 at Citi Field. The Mets offense is very shaky, and Leake was good last season. Cincinnati's lineup isn't elite, but they are much better than the Mets. Joey Votto is one fire to the start the season, and Todd Frazier is hitting it very well too. The Reds have the edge in every aspect of the game here.
The Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games at New York against the Mets. The Mets are 0-3 in their last 3 home games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. A 17-0 angle. Take the Reds. |
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04-04-14 | Arizona Diamondbacks +127 v. Colorado Rockies | 2-12 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Juan Nicasio has a career ERA of 8.05 in five starts against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nicasio also has an ERA of over five at Coors Field. He pitches worse early in the year than he does later in the season. Having said all of this, he is still a significant favorite in this game. Colorado doesn't have a great lineup from top to bottom, and I think the Rockies will lose plenty of games this year. Randall Delgado has some good stuff, and the Diamondbacks are desperate for a win. Too big of a price on the Rockies here. I like the underdog at this number. Take Arizona.
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04-03-14 | Seattle Mariners v. Oakland A's OVER 7.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners are showing off their much improved offense early this year. They aren't going to lead the league in runs scored or anything crazy, but this offense is clearly much better. Cano is a huge boost in the middle of the order, and Justin Smoak is finally realizing his potential. Seager and Ackley are also quality hitters in this lineup. Jesse Chavez hasn't started in the past, and I don't believe he can shut this lineup down. Seattle will start rookie Roenis Elias who hasn't pitched in a game above the Double A level in his career. He's clearly come too far too fast, and I expect that to show in this one. The Athletics lineup isn't power packed, but they are fundamentally sound hitters who will work the count and force him to make mistakes.
The over is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the AL West. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right handed pitcher. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in the Athletics last 4 home games vs. a left handed starter. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. A 27-0 angle here. Take the over. |
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04-03-14 | Washington Nationals v. New York Mets UNDER 7 | 8-2 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The New York Mets are going to have trouble scoring runs this year. They put up a single run last night against the Nationals and Gio Gonzalez. The Nationals send out another elite pitcher here in Jordan Zimmermann. Zimmermann is a quality start machine, and now that he is completely healthy (unlike last year) I expect him to be even better than he has been in the past. Zach Wheeler starts here for the Mets, and he is trending upward pretty quickly. He has all the stuff to a very good pitcher for a long time.
The under is 4-0 in the Nationals last 4 during game three of a series. The under is 6-0 in the Mets last 6 games with the total set at 7-8.5 runs. The under is 7-1 in the Mets last 8 games. A 17-1 angle. Take the under. |
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04-02-14 | Seattle Mariners +131 v. Los Angeles Angels | 8-2 | Win | 131 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Seattle Mariners have taken the first two games of the season from the Los Angeles Angels. It's definitely been a surprise to most, but I think this speaks volumes to the fact that this Angels team simply isn't all that great. They have a star in Mike Trout, but the rest of the team around him isn't that good. The Angels starting staff is mediocre, and the bullpen is less than average. Seattle is better than last year, and they'll start promising youngster James Paxton here. Hector Santiago starts for the Angels, and given his inconsistency I don't understand the Angels being a big favorite here.
The Angels are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. the AL West. They are 0-4 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more. The Mariners are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. a team with a home win percentage of 40% or lower. A 17-1 angle. Take Seattle. |
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04-02-14 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Texas Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 3 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* The Philadelphia Phillies and Texas Rangers lit it up for 24 runs in the first game of the series. Last night's game saw just 5 runs cross the plate. With Kyle Kendrick and Robbie Ross on the mound in this one, I expect this game to be another high scoring affair. Kendrick isn't a good pitcher, and he hasn't pitched in Texas before. This is a hitter's ballpark, and Kendrick gives up the long ball far too often. The wind is expected to be pushing the ball out to center field in this one, and that's perfect conditions for lots of runs based on past data from games played in this park. The Phillies still have some hitting stars, and Ross has to prove himself before I trust him in this park. Marvin Hudson is the umpire here, and he definitely has a small strike zone that will help the hitters.
The over is 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 games behind the plate. The over is 7-0-1 in the Rangers last 8 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The over is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 as an underdog of +150 or higher. A 20-0 angle here. Take the over big! |
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04-02-14 | Washington Nationals -138 v. New York Mets | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* I think the Washington Nationals should be a -150 favorite in this one. Gio Gonzalez has proven himself to be an extremely consistent high level pitcher over the past couple years. Gonzalez has been superb at Citi Field in his career. In 40 career innings at Citi Field, he has an ERA of just 1.58. Bartolo Colon makes his Mets debut here and I doubt his ability to put together a season as good as last year's. Washington's offense should be much better this year than they were last season. The Nationals have a huge bullpen advantage here as well.
The Nationals are 6-0 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts against the Mets. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts against the Mets at Citi Field. The Nationals are 6-0 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts as a road favorite. They are 7-1 in his last 8 Wednesday starts. A 24-1 angle. Take Washington. |
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04-02-14 | St. Louis Cardinals -110 v. Cincinnati Reds | 0-1 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals may be the best team in the National League this year. St. Louis has a dominating arsenal of young pitchers, and Michael Wacha may be the best of the bunch. Wacha's domination of opposing hitters in the postseason last year was quite amazing considering it was his rookie year. In 10 innings, Wacha hasn't allowed a run against this Reds lineup. Tony Cingrani has an ERA above 4 against the Cardinals in his young career. Wacha is the better pitcher here, and the Cardinals lineup is significantly better than the Reds. St. Louis has the best lineup in the National League from top to bottom.
The Reds are 0-7 in their last 7 games. They are 0-6 in their last 6 home games. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wacha's last 4 starts as a favorite. A 17-0 angle here. Take the Cardinals. |
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04-02-14 | Minnesota Twins +127 v. Chicago White Sox | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Twins will send Kevin Correia to the mound in this one. Correia is a rare pitcher who has better numbers on the road than at home in his career. He has pitched very well against the White Sox in his career. He has a 3.21 ERA in 28 innings against the team in his career. Felipe Paulino is coming back from a major surgery and he had an ERA over 6 in the Spring this year. The Twins and White Sox are probably the two worst teams in the AL Central this year, and I don't see a big difference between the two teams. There's too much value on the Twins here for me to pass up this play. Take Minnesota.
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04-01-14 | Atlanta Braves v. Milwaukee Brewers -110 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Kyle Lohse has been underrated over the last couple years. Lohse has been able to put together some very good seasons in Milwaukee, and this year he'll have a better offense backing him. Ryan Braun makes a huge difference (obviously), and Aramis Ramirez is healthy right now as well. Jean Segura has turned into a very nice table setter for this team. Atlanta's offense is too inconsistent, and the Brewers are very tough to beat at Miller Park. Milwaukee's bullpen is one of the best in baseball now, and that's something to keep in mind moving forward. Atlanta may be a bit overvalued by the oddsmakers early in the season. I like the home team here.
Milwaukee is 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in the previous game. The Brewers are 5-0 in Lohse's last 5 starts vs. the NL East. Milwaukee is 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 Tuesday starts. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games with the total set between 7 and 8.5. They are 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 after the Brewers score 2 or less runs in the previous game. The Braves are 1-9 in their last 10 at Milwaukee. A 32-1 angle. Take Milwaukee. |
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04-01-14 | Atlanta Braves v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Atlanta Braves 2-0 on Opening day. Atlanta and Milwaukee both have good pitching staffs and terrific bullpens. I was surprised to see this total at 8 runs. Alex Wood has been amazing in Spring Training this year, and Wood is an up and coming star for the Braves staff. Kyle Lohse just keeps churning out quality starts for the Brewers, and this Braves offense is weak at the bottom of the order. Lohse pitched a complete game shutout in his only appearance against the Braves last year.
The under is 7-0 in the Brewers last 7 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a lefty. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 3-0-1 in Lohse's last 4 with the total set between 7 and 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. A 31-0 angle. Take the under. |
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04-01-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins OVER 7 | 3-4 | Push | 0 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Colorado Rockies have a good lineup. If you have Troy Tulowitzki and Carlos Gonzalez in the middle of the order, you are going to put up quite a few runs over the course of the season. Last night they were shut down by Jose Fernandez, who is an amazing young pitcher. Fernandez is going to shut down a ton of lineups this year. Nate Eovaldi is a huge step down from Fernandez, and I expect the Rockies offense to take advantage. Miami's offense is much improved this year, and Brett Anderson has been inconsistent in the Spring. This total is set too low at just 7 runs, so this is a value play. Take the over.
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03-31-14 | St. Louis Cardinals -114 v. Cincinnati Reds | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals are clearly the class of the NL Central again this year. Adam Wainwright is the second best pitcher in the National League. He struggled against the Reds in a big way last year, and I think he's out to prove that was a fluke in this one. Wainwright is too good of a pitcher to struggle against a mediocre lineup for too long. Johnny Cueto isn't completely healthy, and that's very dangerous when going against the Cardinals lineup. St. Louis has a tremendous lineup from top to bottom. There won't be many chances to get Wainwright at this short of a price this year.
The Cardinals are 4-0 in Wainwright's last 4 vs. the NL Central. The Reds are 0-6 in their last 6 games. The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a right handed starter. Take St. Louis here. |
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03-31-14 | Minnesota Twins v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7 | 3-5 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* There are lots of factors that go into totals bets in Major League Baseball. One of them absolutely has to be the weather. The weather report in this one is a huge key. The wind is expected to be blowing in from right center field in Chicago at 20-25 mph during this game. This is normally a friendly park for home run hitters, but that shouldn't be the case on Monday. Chris Sale is very capable of mowing down the Twins below par lineup. Ricky Nolasco is a rare pitcher who has pitched better on the road than at home throughout his career in the big leagues. This number is low for a reason. Look for the offenses to have trouble getting started in this one. Take the under.
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03-31-14 | Chicago Cubs v. Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 7 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates square off in an early start on Opening Day Monday afternoon. Jeff Samardzija goes for the Cubs and Francisco Liriano for the Pirates. Samardzija is a better pitcher than his statistics indicate from last year. He pitched with some bad luck in 2013. He has been exceptional against the Pirates in his career. He carries an amazing 0.73 ERA into this one in 9 career outings at PNC Park. Francisco Liriano has been outstanding for the Pirates, and he pitches very well at PNC Park. Neither of these lineups are very strong.
The under is 5-0 in Samardzija's last 5 starts as an underdog. It is 4-0 in his last 4 starts on grass. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 with a total of 7-8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 as a dog of +110 to +150. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 vs the NL Central. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts with a total of 7-8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 road starts at Pittsburgh. The under is 3-0-1 in the Cubs last 4 Monday games. A 35-0 angle. Take the under. |
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03-22-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers -115 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Dodgers/DBacks CASH* The Los Angeles Dodgers are one of the best teams in baseball this year. Seeing them as only a -115 favorite is enticing no matter who is on the mound, but with Ryu pitching for the Dodgers I like the play even more. Ryu had a great first year in the majors last year and I see no reason to expect a step backward this year. Trevor Cahill has nice numbers against the Dodgers in the past, but this Dodgers lineup is a whole different animal than they used to be. The Dodgers have Puig, Ramirez, Gonzalez and others and they should pile up the runs this year. Arizona has an elite hitter in Goldschmitt, but they don't surround him with enough talent in this lineup. I like the value on a very strong Dodgers team in this one. The Dodgers are 13-5 in Ryu's last 18 starts. Take the Dodgers.
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10-26-13 | Boston Red Sox v. St. Louis Cardinals OVER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play World Series Game of the Year* The Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals are all tied up at a game each. The Red Sox took Game One 8-1, but the Cardinals won 4-2 at Fenway in Game 2. Both teams started their top two pitchers in the first two games and the posted total was set at 7 in those games. Joe Kelly and Jake Peavy start Game 3, and the total is still set at 7.
Kelly has been significantly worse at home than on the road this year, and he has never proven himself in the majors over the long run. He'll be up against a Boston Red Sox lineup that led the majors in runs scored this year. Peavy used to be a great pitcher, but his 4.17 ERA wasn't very impressive this year. He allowed 7 runs at Detroit in last outing, and he is up against a Cardinals lineup that averages 5.18 runs per game against right-handed pitching. These two lineups are very deep and a total of just 7 is too low here. Dana DeMuth is behind the plate in this one, and I rate him as a slight over umpire based on his small strike zone so that will help this play as well. The over is 9-1 in the Red Sox last 10 as a road favorite. The over is 6-1-1 in Kelly's last 8 starts. The over is 6-0-1 in Kelly's last 7 starts during game three of a series. I like the value on this one. Take the over in a big way! |
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10-19-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox -118 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 43 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tigers/Red Sox Game 6 CASH* The Detroit Tigers wasted a ton of opportunities in Game 5, and now they head to Boston down 3-2. Max Scherzer will start in this one, and he has been great all year. Still, his history against the Red Sox isn't impressive. He has an ERA above 6 in his career against Boston. Clay Buchholz wasn't on his game in his last outing, but he has elite stuff and I like him to bounce back here. Miguel Cabrera isn't even close to 100 percent, and that hurts the Tigers in a big way. Boston has the better bullpen and healthier lineup. I like the Red Sox chances of finishing this series off in 6 games. Boston is 4-0 in Buchholz's last 4 home starts against Detroit. The Red Sox are 29-6 in Buchholz's last 35 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Red Sox are 8-1 in Buchholz's last 9 starts on 5 days of rest. The Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzer's last 5 starts at Fenway. A 45-8 angle backs this play. Take Boston.
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10-15-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Los Angeles Dodgers -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Cardinals/Dodgers CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals jumped out to a 2-0 lead in this series, but the Dodgers could have easily won the first two games of the series. Los Angeles bounced back with a big win last night, and I like their chances of evening up the series tonight. Ricky Nolasco hasn't pitched so far this postseason, but he has been great against the Cardinals the last couple years. In his last 24 innings pitched against St. Louis, Nolasco has allowed only one run. Lance Lynn pitches for the Cardinals, and he had an ERA above 5 on the road this year. Lynn didn't pitch well down the stretch. The Dodgers definitely need this game more than the Cardinals.
The Cardinals are 0-4 in Lynn's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 0-4 in Lynn's last 4 Tuesday starts. They are 0-4 in their last 4 League Championship Series games on the road. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff home games. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Nolasco's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this one. Take the Dodgers. |
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10-13-13 | Detroit Tigers v. Boston Red Sox -110 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Tigers/Red Sox Game 2 CASH* The Detroit Tigers beat the Boston Red Sox yesterday at Fenway to take a 1-0 lead in the ALCS. Boston simply can't afford to fall behind 2-0 against a team as good as the Tigers, especially having played both games at home. Clay Buchholz has an ERA under 2 this year, and I think he is capable of outpitching Max Scherzer in this one. Scherzer actually has a poor 7.02 ERA in his career against Boston. The Red Sox have a deep lineup that makes pitchers work, and the Tigers bullpen is a weakness. Boston needs this game very badly, and at this price I have to back the Red Sox at home. Boston is 5-1 in Buchholz's last 6 starts against the Tigers. The Red Sox are 42-17 in their last 59 home games. Take Boston.
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10-10-13 | Detroit Tigers -116 v. Oakland A's | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 41 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Tigers/Athletics Game 5 Cash* The Oakland Athletics chose to give the ball to Sonny Gray for Game Five of this series. Gray has only started 10 games in the big leagues, but he has been very good. A closer look at Gray tells us he didn't exactly dominate in the minors. Gray had a 3.60 ERA in AAA for the past year and a half. In early 2012, he had a 4.14 ERA in AA. It's a huge spot for Gray, and he's up against arguably the best lineup in baseball. On the other side is Justin Verlander. Verlander wasn't himself this year, but he still has some of the best stuff in baseball. He is the type of guy who can raise his level this time of the year. In his last three starts, he hasn't allowed a run. With the decided starting pitching edge and the decided lineup edge, I have to take the Tigers here. The A's are 0-5 in their last 5 games during Game 5 of a series. Detroit is 4-0 in their last Game 5 appearances. Take Detroit.
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10-08-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 7.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Red Sox/Rays 100% Angle Total* The Boston Red Sox are first in baseball in runs scored per game. Boston is averaging 5.27 runs per contest. Tampa Bay is fighting for their lives in this one, and the Rays lineup has been pretty good of late. Jake Peavy has a 4.27 ERA this year and Jeremy Hellickson has a 5.27 ERA on the year. These guys haven't been pitching very well late in the year, and I think this total has been set far too low for two very talented offenses. None of the games in this series has been this low. Both of these pitchers are capable of giving up a big inning, and that could us close to the total right away. Too much value here to pass up.
The over is 7-0 in Boston's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a right-handed starter. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. In all, a huge 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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10-07-13 | St. Louis Cardinals -116 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Cardinals/Pirates Moneyline CASH* The Pittsburgh Pirates are just one win away from advancing, but that last step shouldn't be easy against a veteran team like the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals have been here before and they won't be overwhelmed. Michael Wacha is one of the best young pitching prospects in baseball, and I like his chances of performing well in this one. Charlie Morton is the Pirates least consistent starter, and he has an ERA of 6.36 in his career against the Cardinals. There is no doubt that the Cardinals have the better lineup of these two teams. The Pirates are 0-7 in Morton's last 7 starts against the Cardinals. The Pirates are 0-5 in Morton's last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Take the Cardinals.
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10-05-13 | Tampa Bay Rays -115 v. Boston Red Sox | 4-7 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays were embarrassed 12-2 on Friday by the Boston Red Sox. Tampa Bay is a veteran team that knows how to win games though, and they know they really need to avoid falling behind 0-2. David Price takes the mound for Tampa in this one, and he has been superb against Boston in his career. Price has a 1.88 career ERA at Fenway Park. He had a 2.48 ERA against the Red Sox in 5 starts against them this year. John Lackey had a 8.10 ERA in two starts against Tampa Bay this year. Lackey has been inconsistent down the stretch. I trust Price much more, and I like Tampa Bay to keep this series close. The Rays are 10-1 in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. They are 8-1 in their last 9 games against a right-handed starter. Take Tampa Bay.
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10-02-13 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Cleveland Indians UNDER 7.5 | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Rays/Indians Total Domination* The Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Indians will play Wednesday in the AL Wildcard game to decide who moves on in the playoffs. Star rookie Dane Salazar starts here for the Indians, while Alex Cobb starts for the Rays. Both of these teams have a lot of pitching options in this game, and I don't expect to see either manager let the starter give up many runs at all before switching to another strong arm if they get in any trouble. Cobb has been on fire of late. He has a 1.16 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has been the team's best starter this year. Salazar has a 3.12 ERA this year. Neither of these teams have a great offense from top to bottom. The under is 5-0 in the Rays last 5 playoff games as a favorite. The under is 10-1 in the Rays last 11 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 2-0-2 in the Indians last 4 home playoff games. Take the under.
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09-27-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -128 | 4-1 | Loss | -128 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are all set for a huge three-game series in Cincinnati. Whichever team wins 2 out of 3 games or more in this series will have home field advantage in the one-game playoff between these two next week. Both teams have a good starter going in game one of this series. A.J. Burnett has been good for Pittsburgh this year, but he has struggled a bit on the road. His road ERA is a mediocre 4.50. Homer Bailey has been great against the Pirates in his career, and Bailey has been very consistent of late. Bailey has a career ERA of just 2.69 in 15 starts against the Pirates. The Reds are 49-29 at home this year. This is a short price on Bailey and a desperate Reds team at home.
The Pirates are 0-5 in Burnett's last 5 starts during game one of a series. The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. The Reds are 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts following a team loss in the previous game. The Reds are 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the Reds. |
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09-25-13 | Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals -128 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the rare teams in Major League Baseball right now that really need to win. The Cardinals are just two games ahead of the Pirates and three ahead of the Reds in the NL Central. They can't afford to slump down the stretch. They are playing their best baseball of the season of late. In this one, they are matched up against a Washington team that is now out of the playoff picture. Washington will be resting people and you have to believe they care very little about the results of this one. Shelby Miller has an ERA under 2 at home this year.
The Cardinals are 4-0 in Miller's last 4 starts overall. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. St. Louis is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. Washington is 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Nationals are 0-6 in their last 6 meetings with the Cardinals. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the Cardinals. |
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09-24-13 | Kansas City Royals v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals are still battling to try to get into the final AL Wildcard spot. Seattle is limping to the finish of another season. Two lefties start in this one. Bruce Chen has been very good for the Royals this year. Seattle's offense has struggled against lefties all year, and Chen is the soft-throwing type of lefty that seems to bother the Mariners the most. James Paxton is a top pitching prospect for the Mariners, and he has been throwing the ball really well in his first few starts in the bigs. Bill Miller is the umpire here, and that's great news for the under. The under is 22-10 in his 32 games behind the plate this year. He calls 64.36% of pitches a strike (one of the highest percentages in the league).
The under is 6-0 in the Mariners last 6 games against a left-handed starter. The under is 5-0 in Bruce Chen's last 5 starts on Tuesday. The under is 5-0 in Chen's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 road starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in KC's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-22-13 | San Francisco Giants v. New York Yankees UNDER 9 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco Giants offense has let them down all year. The pitching staff wasn't very good for most of the season, but they have improved over the past month or so. The Yankees lineup is certainly better than it was a few months ago, but the bottom of the order is still extremely weak. Petit is doing a good job for the Giants this year. Ironically, Andy Pettitte pitches for the Yankees in this one. Pettitte just announced he will retire after the year and this is a great chance for him to mow down a weak lineup in front of the home crowd. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he has the biggest strike zone in all of baseball.
The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 interleague road games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Giants last 5 following a game where they scored 2 runs or fewer. The under is 4-0-2 in the Giants last 6 following a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in the Yankees last 5. The under is 5-0-1 in the Yankees last 6 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 against a righty. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New York. In all, a 33-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-21-13 | Cincinnati Reds +105 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds absolutely stole a game from the Pittsburgh Pirates last night. Pittsburgh was in control all game until the Reds rallied for 3 runs in the 9th to tie it. Cincinnati then won it in the 10th on a Joey Votto solo home run. That game had to be exhausting for the Pirates. These teams now have an identical 88-66 record coming into this matchup. Homer Bailey pitches for the Reds here, and he has dominated the Pirates in the past. He threw a no-hitter against them last September. Bailey has a 1.40 ERA at Pittsburgh in his career. A.J. Burnett has a 4.03 ERA in his career against the Reds. Burnett has been struggling of late, and Bailey has certainly been in better form. The Reds have the better lineup from top to bottom, and we are getting plus money.
The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog. Cincinnati is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 Saturday games. The Reds are 5-0 in Bailey's last 5 road starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts overall. The Pirates are 0-5 in Burnett's last 5 starts following a team loss in the previous game. The Reds are 6-0 in Bailey's last 6 starts in Pittsburgh. In all, a 33-0 angle backs this play. Take the Reds. |
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09-20-13 | San Francisco Giants v. New York Yankees OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Tim Lincecum and C.C. Sabathia used to be elite pitchers, but they aren't anymore. Lincecum and Sabathia both have ERA's well above 4 this year. In 2013, these guys have both been worse than the major league average. Sabathia has been even worse of late. Sabathia has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 10 games, and he hasn't allowed less than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. Yankee Stadium is still a hitter-friendly park, and this number is set too low with two below average starters on the mound.
The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 Friday games. The over is 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 starts as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts at home. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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09-19-13 | Houston Astros v. Cleveland Indians -1.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 28 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Houston Astros are coming off a disappointing 6-5 loss in the 13th inning against the Cincinnati Reds. The Astros fought hard all game, but missed lots of opportunities. That game didn't end until about 1:30 AM EST. The Astros then headed to Cleveland for this series, so they definitely had a late night. Cleveland is coming off losing 2 of 3 at KC. The Indians are very much in the thick of the AL Wildcard race, but they have to take advantage of games against teams like the Houston Astros. Ubaldo Jimenez starts here for the Indians, and he has a 0.42 ERA in his last 3 starts. Here's a shocking tidbit for you, Jimenez has a better ERA since the break than Clayton Kershaw. Dallas Keuchel starts for the Astros, and Cleveland has rocked lefties all year long. Houston is 1-10 in their last 11 when Keuchel is starting on 5 days of rest. They are 0-4 in his last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 home games against a lefty. Take the Indians -1.5 big.
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09-18-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Houston Astros OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 102 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Reds put up 10 runs by themselves last night, and they are definitely capable of putting up another big number against the hapless Houston Astros in this one. In this one, Greg Reynolds will start for the Reds. Reynolds has a 5.66 ERA this year, and he is clearly the worst starting pitcher on the Reds roster right now. Houston should be able to put together a few runs. Brad Peacock starts for the Astros, and his minor league numbers tell me it will be a struggle for him for a while in the big leagues. Tim McClelland is behind the plate here. I would argue he is the single best 'over' umpire in the majors. McClelland consistently has the smallest strike zone in the majors. Both pitchers will get squeezed in this one. Take the over.
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09-17-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 8 | 9-3 | Loss | -114 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Tuesday night and both teams will have great pitchers on the mound. The Dodgers are 17-4 in Greinke's last 21 starts. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-7 in Patrick Corbin's last 30 starts. I'm not going to take a side here, but I do like the under. Both of these pitchers have been great this season, and the Dodgers are short-handed offensively right now. Corbin has a great 2.27 ERA against LA in his career. Greinke shut out Arizona in his only start in Arizona earlier this year.
The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Greinke's last 7 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0-1 in Greinke's last 7 against a team with a winning record. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-15-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 5-6 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds are fighting to try to catch up to the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati is also trying to stay ahead of the suddenly red hot Washington Nationals. Bronson Arroyo goes to the mound here for Cincinnati, and he has been a good pitcher for the Reds in key spots over the last few years. Arroyo has a 2.90 ERA at Miller Park during his career. Yovani Gallardo has shut down the Reds twice in the past month. Gallardo is healthy now, and he is pitching his best baseball of the year right now.
The under is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts as a home underdog. The under is 6-1-1 in the Reds last 8 games. Take the under. |
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09-15-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | 2-11 | Win | 110 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Philadelphia Phillies have basically packed it up for the season. The Phillies have been a big disappointment this year, and they are playing short-handed right now. Washington is playing their best baseball of the year. The Nationals offense is finally hitting the ball like many expected they would all season. Washington has 7 of their last 8 games. Their loss last night hurt the team, and I expect them to bounce back with a great effort here. Tyler Cloyd isn't effective as a big league pitcher yet, and Jordan Zimmerman is a very high quality pitcher. The Nationals are 20-7 in Zimmeran's last 27 home games. The Phillies are 1-5 in Cloyd's last 6 starts. Take Washington -1.5.
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09-14-13 | San Diego Padres v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
3 Star MLB Play of Day - The San Diego Padres managed to beat Atlanta on the road last night. The Braves are 51-21 at home this season, while the Padres 26-46 on the road. Atlanta is definitely in the playoffs, but they are still fighting to finish with the best record in the National League. Coming off a loss to the lowly Padres, I expect them to be very focused in this one. The Braves are 26-4 in Kris Medlen's last 30 starts against a team with a losing record. Don't expect the Padres to win two nights in a row. The Braves get their revenge here. Take Atlanta -1.5.
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09-13-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Cincinnati Reds really need some wins to keep pace with the Cardinals and Pirates in the NL Central. Mat Latos will be on the hill for the Reds in this one, and he has been their most consistent pitcher this year. Latos is 14-5 with a 3.02 ERA. In his career at Miller Park in Milwaukee he has a 3.20 ERA. Kyle Lohse has been on a bad team all year, but he has pitched very well. Lohse has 3.59 ERA overall this year, and his home ERA is 3.03. He has an ERA of just 1.8 in his last two years against the Reds.
The under is 7-0 in Latos' last 7 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 6-0 in Milwaukee's last 6 against a righty. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 overall. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-13-13 | Oakland A's v. Texas Rangers -131 | 9-8 | Loss | -131 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers come into this series with Oakland playing some bad baseball. Texas is a very good team, but they have been streaky this year. Texas realizes they have to turn it around right now. The Rangers are now 4 games out of first place in the AL West, and they don't want any part of the Wildcard. Derek Holland has been great against Oakland in his career. He has 2.83 ERA against the A's. Holland has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball the past two years. The A's are coming off an easy series in Minnesota, but things get much tougher here. The Rangers are 6-1 in Holland's last 7 starts against the Athletics. Oakland is 1-4 in Straily's last 5 as an underdog. Texas needs this game badly. I expect them to get it. Take the Rangers.
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09-13-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Washington Nationals -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* Kyle Kendrick started the season pretty well for the Phillies, but it has been all downhill of late for Kendrick. He has a 4.51 ERA for the year, and in his career he has pitched poorly against Washington. Stephen Strasburg hasn't gotten much run support this year, but he has a superb 1.55 ERA at home. The Nationals offense has suddenly woke up over the past couple weeks. This team is clearly playing its best baseball of the year right now. The Phillies are without Domonic Brown and their lineup is a big question mark right now. This is a mismatch every way you look at it. Take Washington -1.5.
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09-11-13 | Colorado Rockies v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants will finish off a three-game series on Wednesday in San Francisco. San Francisco's pitching staff disappointed for the majority of the season, but they have finally turned it around a bit of late. The Giants have been on a tremendous under run. Colorado isn't the same offense without Carlos Gonzalez. Leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler also has missed the last three games, and he may miss this contest. Juan Nicasio has a 2.89 ERA in his career against the Giants. Yusmeiro Petit almost threw a perfect game last time out, but he only threw 95 pitches. Petit has been great of late, and he loves pitching in this big ballpark.
The under is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4. The under is 4-0 in Nicasio's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0-3 in the Rockies last 9 as a road underdog. The under is 6-0 in the Giants last 6 home games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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09-10-13 | Houston Astros v. Seattle Mariners OVER 8 | 13-2 | Win | 102 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners both send pitchers to the mound in this one that are more than capable of giving up a bunch of runs. Jordan Lyles has a 5.08 ERA on the year. Joe Saunders has a 4.95 ERA on the year. Saunders started the year well, but to say that he has been bad of late is a major understatement. Saunders has given up at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 9 appearances. Seattle's Safeco Field isn't the big under ballpark that it once was. The over is actually 38-32-3 in the Mariners 73 home games this year.
The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-2 in Lyles' last 5 on 5 days of rest. The over is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 against a right-handed starter. The over is 6-0 in Saunders' last 6 starts with a total between 7 and 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 home starts. A 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. |
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09-09-13 | Atlanta Braves -1.5 v. Miami Marlins | 5-2 | Win | 105 | 17 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Atlanta Braves have lost four games in a row. Atlanta would like to get into the playoffs with the best record in the National League, but that is definitely still in doubt. The Braves need to get back on track, and this game provides them a terrific opportunity to do just that. Kris Medlen has been pitching really well of late, and he gets to go against the worst offense in the majors in the form of the Miami Marlins. In his career, Medlen has pitched 19 innings in Miami and he has allowed 0 earned runs! Henderson Alvarez has looked a bit tired of late, and he has a 5.82 ERA against Atlanta in his career. The Braves have much more to play for, and they are clearly the better team. The Marlins are 0-5 in their last 5 as a home underdog. They are 0-4 in Alvarez's last 4 starts against a team with a winning record. The Braves are 7-0 in Medlen's last 7 starts against Miami. Take Atlanta -1.5.
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09-08-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Cincinnati Reds UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* There's no doubt that Clayton Kershaw has been the best pitcher in baseball this year. Homer Bailey has also elevated his game a lot this season. Bailey is pitching as well as ever in his last few starts. He has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 outings, and he has been good at home all year. Kershaw has an impressive 2.81 ERA in his career against the Reds, and he has an ERA under 2 this season. This is the type of game that should have a lot of very quick innings with these elite pitchers on the mound. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 3-0-1 in the Reds last 4 home games against a lefty. The under is 6-1 in the Dodgers last 7 road games against a team with a winning record. An 18-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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09-07-13 | Texas Rangers -121 v. Los Angeles Angels | 3-8 | Loss | -121 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers dropped a game in the AL West standings last night after losing 6-5 to the Angels. That was a big loss as it gave Oakland the lead once again in the AL West. The Rangers had won seven in a row against the Angels before last night. The Angels have been playing better of late, but this game means much more to the Rangers. Texas has Derek Holland on the mound here, and Holland has been very underrated this year. He has an ERA of 2.97 on the road this season. Garrett Richards pitches for the Angels here, and he has been very inconsistent. The Rangers are 6-0 in Holland's last 6 starts on 4 days of rest. The Rangers are 5-0 in Holland's last 5 starts against the Angels. The Angels are 0-4 in Richards' last 4 starts against the Rangers. A 15-0 angle backs this play. Take Texas.
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09-06-13 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins -135 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* It isn't very often that I'm willing to back a bad team as a favorite, but I make rare exceptions. One of those exceptions is when an absolutely dominating starting pitcher is on the mound against a mediocre or poor starter. That is precisely the case here. Washington is definitely the better overall team, but starting pitching means so much in baseball today. I would argue that Jose Fernandez is the best young starter in baseball, and he has been lights out at home. He has a 1.29 ERA at home this year. Dan Haren has struggled all year. He has a 5.02 ERA on the season. The Marlins are a perfect 9-0 in Hernandez's last 9 home starts. The Marlins are 5-0 in his last 5 home starts as a favorite. The Nationals are 0-6 in Haren's last 6 starts as an underdog. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the Marlins.
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09-05-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds -136 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds will finish off a 4 game series in Cincinnati on Thursday night. The Reds won the first two games of this series before the Cardinals won 5-4 in 16 innings last night. The Reds need this game far more than the Cardinals do, and the matchup is great for them. Tony Cingrani is one of the best young pitchers in baseball, and the Cardinals have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Lance Lynn started the season well, but he has worn down of late. Lynn has allowed at least 4 runs in each of this last 4 starts. He has a 5.49 ERA on the road this year. The Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Reds are 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss. Take Cincinnati here.
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09-04-13 | Texas Rangers v. Oakland A's UNDER 7 | Top | 4-11 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics have split the first two games of this critical three-game series in Oakland. Just one game separates these teams in the AL West standings, and game three of this series means a ton to both of these teams. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Rangers while Jarrod Parker will be on the hill for the Athletics. Darvish has been superb all year, and he has been slightly better away from home (2.62 ERA). Parker started the year very poorly, but he has been a quality starts machine of late. In 20 of his last 21 starts, he has allowed 3 runs or less. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate calling balls and strikes, and he is one of my favorite under umpires because of his consistently large strike zone.
The under is 5-0 in the Rangers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts in game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in the Athletics last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Parker's last 4 starts against Texas. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big! |
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09-03-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 8 | 4-3 | Win | 101 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing for an NL Central division title. Gerrit Cole will start in this one, and Cole has been very good in his rookie year. He was one of the top ten ranked prospects in the nation coming into the season. The Brewers lineup isn't anything special without Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks, and Corey Hart. Yovani Gallardo has been pitching brilliantly of late. Gallardo has an ERA of 2.7 in his career against the Pirates. He shut them out in his last outing against them last week. Both pitchers should pitch well. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Cole's last 6 on 4 days of rest. Take the under.
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09-02-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 10-8 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 51-13 in their last 64 games overall. They have ace Clayton Kershaw on the mound Monday afternoon in Colorado. Kershaw has been easily the most dominating pitcher in baseball this year. The Rockies lineup is shorthanded without star Carlos Gonzalez. Chad Bettis starts for the Rockies. He is a youngster who struggled in AAA but was moved up to the majors because the Rockies don't have any pitching depth. Bettis has struggled in the majors as well, and I expect him to be hit hard by the Dodgers offense. This is a massive pitching mismatch. The Dodgers are 23-4 in their last 27 road games. They are 6-0 in Kershaw's last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. The Rockies are 1-5 in Bettis' last 6 starts. This one should get ugly. Take the Dodgers -1.5 big!
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09-02-13 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 7.5 | 2-7 | Win | 102 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cardinals and Reds meet in a crucial series for the NL Central standings. Both Adam Wainwright and Mat Latos are very good pitchers, but they have struggled against the team they will face Monday afternoon. Wainwright has a 4.84 ERA in his career against the Reds. Latos has a 6.25 ERA in his career against the Cardinals. The total has been set very low here, but both of these offenses are capable of putting together a big inning at any time. The warm weather in Cincinnati should help the ball fly well. Take the over.
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09-02-13 | New York Mets v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 | 5-13 | Win | 106 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Atlanta Braves have been the best team in baseball at home this year. The Braves have the best record in baseball, and they are 41-14 in their last 55 home games. The Mets are shorthanded right now, and they are limping to the finish of the season. These games still mean a lot to the Braves who would like to finish with the best record in the National League. Matsuzaka starts here for the Mets, and the Braves are a very tough matchup for him. Dice K hasn't had good control at all in his 2 starts this year. Paul Maholm has an ERA of less than 2 at home this year. The Mets are 0-8 in their last 8 games against a lefty. The Braves are 5-1 in Maholm's last 6 home starts. Take Atlanta -1.5.
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09-01-13 | San Diego Padres v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -104 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers continue their amazing red hot run. They are 50-13 in their last 63 games overall. The Dodgers pitching staff has been the main reason this team has been on fire. Zack Greinke has been one of their starters who has been great of late. Greinke has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last six starts. He has also fared very well in his career against the San Diego Padres. Greinke has a career 2.37 ERA against the Padres. Tyson Ross is a streaky pitcher, and he has been struggling in his last couple outings. He has an ERA above 5 in his career at LA. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Padres. They are 7-0 in Greinke's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts against the NL West. They are 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 starts following a quality start. Take the Dodgers -1.5.
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08-30-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks -129 | 1-0 | Loss | -129 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Francisco Giants have nothing to play for right now, but the Arizona Diamondbacks have a lot on the line. Because the Reds haven't been playing well of late, the DBacks are still in the NL Wild Card hunt. Tim Lincecum starts for the Giants, and he has been bad at Chase Field in the past. Randall Delgado pitches for the DBacks, and he has an ERA of 0.77 in his career against San Francisco. The Diamondbacks are very good at home, and they should have a real sense of urgency here. The Giants are 0-6 in Lincecum's last 6 as a road underdog. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The DBacks are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a righty. They are 4-0 in Delgado's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts at home as well. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take Arizona.
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08-30-13 | Los Angeles Angels -122 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Los Angeles Angels have shown a little life of late. They swept the Mariners on the road and then took two of three from the Tampa Bay Rays. The Angels aren't going to be able to wipe away this disappointing season, but it's nice to see them keep fighting. They'll have Jered Weaver on the hill here, and he has been very good of late. Weaver has had one bad outing in his last 8, and the other 7 have been very good. Wily Peralta has an ERA above 5 at home, and he has looked a bit tired in his last few starts. I like the Angels here. Take Los Angeles.
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08-30-13 | Seattle Mariners -120 v. Houston Astros | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Road Warrior* Taijuan Walker was one of the top ten rated prospects in all of baseball heading into this season. Walker will make his first career major league start in this one. What better team to make your MLB debut against than the Houston Astros? This is a great chance for Walker to get some momentum going right away against a terrible team. Brad Peacock has struggled this year, and the Astros offense is a complete mess. Seattle has some solid young hitters, and I give them a big edge here. The books are hesitant because Walker is unproven in the majors, but he is going to have a great career. Take Seattle.
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08-29-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Houston Astros OVER 9 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will meet on Thursday night in the first of a four-game series. Both Seattle and Houston have nothing to play for in the standings, but both teams have lots of young guys who just came up to the big leagues and they are trying to prove a lot right now. Jordan Lyles will start for Houston and he has been terrible at home. He has a 6.38 ERA in Houton. Erasmo Ramirez has a 5.44 ERA on the year. These teams have the worst (Houston) and second worst (Seattle) bullpens in baseball as well, so there isn't likely to be much relief from the pen here. The over is 6-0 in the Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-0-1 in Lyles' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last 6 Thursday games. The over is 3-0-1 in Seattle's last 4 overall. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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08-28-13 | Houston Astros v. Chicago White Sox UNDER 7.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox have a few things in common for this game. First of all, both of them have terrible offenses. The White Sox offense wasn't very good to start with, then they got rid of their most consistent hitter in Alex Rios. Houston's offense has been bad all year, especially on the road. In this game both teams will also have their best starting pitcher on the mound. Chris Sale hasn't allowed a run in 16 innings in his career against the Astros. Sale had a bad outing last time out, and he should be much better in this one. Jarred Cosart is the Astros best young pitcher. He has a stellar 1.60 ERA in his first 7 big league starts. The under is 5-0 in Cosart's last 5 road starts. Take the under in this one.
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08-27-13 | Texas Rangers v. Seattle Mariners UNDER 7 | 4-3 | Push | 0 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Texas Rangers have a very good pitching staff that is underrated by many people. Derek Holland is right near the top of my list of underrated pitchers. Holland has a 2.95 ERA on the year despite pitching in a very tough home ballpark. How has Holland done at Safeco Field against the Mariners? He has a spectacular 0.68 ERA in his career at Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma has a WHIP of just 1.01 this year, and he has been great at home. Both of these pitchers are very good, and I see a low scoring close game all the way here. Take the under.
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08-27-13 | Houston Astros v. Chicago White Sox OVER 9 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Houston Astros will start Paul Clemens in this one. Clemens has been a reliever in his big league career, and he hasn't been a good one. He has a 6.36 ERA on the year. In Triple-A, Clemens had an ERA well above 4. This isn't a formula for success here. Jose Quintana is a mediocre left-hander, and the Astros are better against south paws than righties. The hot weather in Chicago is really helping the ball fly well here. The wind is also expected to be blowing out during this one. The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in home plate umpire Brian O'Nora's last 4 games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.
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08-27-13 | New York Yankees -115 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Toronto Blue Jays took the first game of this series last night, but I like the New York Yankees to get back in the winning column on Tuesday. Andy Pettitte has been in good form of late. He has allowed just 5 runs total in his last three starts. The Blue Jays lineup isn't nearly as good without Jose Bautista and Melky Cabrera in the lineup. J.A. Happ hasn't been very good this year, and the Yankees have hit him very well in the past. The Yankees offense is slowly getting healthy, and that should help a lot here. New York is 4-0 in their last 4 games as the favorite. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games with the total set between 9 and 10.5 runs. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. The Yankees are 4-1 in Pettitte's last 5 starts against Toronto. Take the Yankees.
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08-26-13 | Chicago Cubs v. Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers dropped two out of three games against the Boston Red Sox, but don't let that make you think this Dodgers team is any kind of trouble. Jon Lester and Jake Peavy were amazing in Boston's two wins, and the Cubs don't have anyone like that on their pitching staff. Jake Arrieta pitches here for the Cubs, and his inconsistency has been maddening throughout his career. Zack Greinke has been on his game of late. Greinke has a 0.42 ERA in his last three games, and he has a great 2.32 ERA at home this year. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. They are 9-1 in Greinke's last 10 home starts. The Cubs are 0-7 in their last 7 meetings with the Dodgers. It's a mismatch all the way around here. Take the Dodgers -1.5.
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08-25-13 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -139 | 3-2 | Loss | -139 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Alex Cobb missed a lot of time because of his freak injury earlier this year, but while he has been healthy, Cobb has been great in 2013. He has an ERA of less than 3 on the season, and his career ERA is just 2.2 against the New York Yankees. Tampa Bay is one of the best teams in baseball when playing on their home turf. Ivan Nova has looked a bit shaky in his last 2 starts. Nova is the type of guy who can string together some bad starts because of his inconsistency. The Yankees are 0-4 in Nova's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. They are also 0-4 in Nova's last 4 starts as a road underdog. The Rays are 11-2 in Cobb's last 13 starts as a favorite. Take Tampa Bay.
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08-25-13 | Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Total Angle* Jorge De La Rosa has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball this year. De La Rosa has consistently put up quality starts for the Rockies. Miami is averaging just 2.96 runs per game against left handed starters this year. Jacob Turner starts for the Marlins. Turner has been very good this season, and the Rockies lineup isn't nearly as intimidating without Carlos Gonzalez. The under is 8-0 in the Rockies last 8 road games versus a team with a losing record at home. The under is 4-0-2 in the Rockies last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in De La Rosa's last 6 starts as a road favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all a 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-24-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -124 v. San Francisco Giants | 3-6 | Loss | -124 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie Crusher* The San Francisco Giants have been a major disappointment this year especially in the second half of the season. Tim Lincecum has had another down season for the Giants. On the other side, Pittsburgh is fighting hard for the top spot in the NL Central. Francisco Liriano has been the bounce back player of the year in Major League Baseball this season. Liriano has been dominating just as he was a few years ago with the Twins. The Pirates have a ton to play for, while the Giants are ready for the off season. The Pirates are 10-1 in Liriano's last 11 starts against a team with a losing record. Take Pittsburgh.
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08-24-13 | Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -119 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Julio Teheran and Shelby Miller are two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Miller has an ERA of less than 2 at home this year. Teheran struggled a bit early in the season, but he has been the Braves most consistent starter of late. These two come in with a 2.96 and 2.98 ERA respectably. Doug Eddings is the home plate umpire in this one. Eddings has been the best under umpire in baseball throughout his career. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Braves last 4 following a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Braves last 4 road record against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in Teheran's last 7 starts when following 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Teheran's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in Miller's last 5 starts against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 against the NL Central. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. In all a 45-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-24-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers -115 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 46 of their last 56 games overall. Despite this amazing streak, the oddsmakers continue to underrate the Dodgers on an almost daily basis. Boston is a very good team, but beating the Dodgers in Southern California with the way Los Angeles is playing right now is a very tough task. Ryu will start for the Dodgers in his one. He has been mediocre on the road, but stellar at home. Ryu coming into this game with a 1.7 ERA at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a left-handed starter. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Ryu's last 6 starts as a home favorite. They are 9-1 in Ryu's last 10 starts overall. The Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 games at Dodger Stadium. In all a 30-1 angle backs this play. Take the Dodgers big!
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08-23-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Los Angeles Dodgers -112 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Red Sox/Dodgers CASH* The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the hottest team in baseball of late. The Dodgers are 45-10 in their last 55 games overall. The Boston Red Sox are in the middle of a tough West Coast trip. Boston is a very good team, but they are really going up against a very confident team in the Dodgers. David Ortiz may miss this game because of a back injury, and the Red Sox aren't used to the pitcher having to bat. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 Friday games. They are 8-1 in their last 9 interleague games. The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a win. Take the Dodgers.
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08-23-13 | Washington Nationals v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 11-10 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals and Kansas City Royals are both struggling against left-handed pitchers of late. Gio Gonzalez and Bruce Chen have both been very good this season. Ian Desmond is injured and will likely miss this game and Lorenzo Cain is out with an injury for the Royals. Two pitchers who are pitching well and two short-handed lineups here. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. the under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 home starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 7-1 in the Nationals last 8 road games against a lefty. Take the under.
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08-23-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Philadelphia Phillies UNDER 7.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet in an interesting game Friday night. Wade Miley and Cole Hamels both started the season very poorly, but if we look at how well they have been pitching of late it is very impressive. Hamels is 5-13, but he has been throwing the ball extremely well of late. Hamels has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 starts.
The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 against the NL West. The under is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 games against a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Hamels last 7 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as an underdog. In all, a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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08-22-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox have a dreadful lineup at this point. The lineup they ran out at the beginning of the year wasn't any good, and now they are without Alex Rios who was traded away. James Shields starts for the Royals here, and he has been very good this year. Shields has thrown 26 innings against the White Sox this year and he has a stellar 1.73 ERA against them. Jose Quintana has been underrated his whole career, and the Royals offense has struggled of late.
The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 road games vs. a righty. The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 games as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series. In all, a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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08-21-13 | Minnesota Twins v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Minnesota Twins took down the Detroit Tigers 6-3 last night. The fact that Minnesota won last night's game makes me feel that much better about backing the Tigers on Tuesday. The Tigers are trying to create some major distance in the AL Central right now, and they are clearly a team to be reckoned with. Kevin Correia has a horrible 6.10 ERA on the road this season, and he'll be up against the best lineup in baseball here. Anibal Sanchez has been great for the Tigers. Sanchez has a stellar 2.80 ERA in his career against the Twins. He also has a terrific 1.98 ERA at home this year. Detroit is 5-0 in Sanchez's last 5 starts. The Twins are 0-7 in Corriea's last 7 starts on 4 days of rest. This one is a mismatch all around. Take Detroit -1.5 here.
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08-20-13 | Boston Red Sox v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 7.5 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox have been getting some very good pitching of late. Jon Lester shut out the Giants on Monday night. Jake Peavy starts in this one and he has had great success at San Francisco in his career. AT&T Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. The Giants offense has been really bad at home this year. Ryan Vogelsong generally pitches well at home, and he will be up against a worn out Red Sox lineup. After going from Boston to San Francisco on Monday and getting virtually no rest, it could catch up with them here. The under is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox last 6 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Red Sox last 5 games with the total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Red Sox last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-2 in the Giants last 10 interleague games. Take the under.
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08-20-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 8 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox have one of the worst offenses in baseball. They had a bad offense to start with, and then they let Alex Rios (who had been their most consistent hitter) go. Ervin Santana has been great for KC this year, and he is one of the reasons this team has been able to make a nice run. John Danks has been amazing in his career against the Royals. He has an ERA of less than 2 in his career against the Royals.
The under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 as a road underdog. the under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 road games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0-1 in Danks last 5 Tuesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Danks last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in the Royals last 5 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-2 in the Royals last 5 home games. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under. |
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08-20-13 | Tampa Bay Rays +104 v. Baltimore Orioles | 7-4 | Win | 104 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Tampa Bay Rays will have Alex Cobb on the mound in this one. He was one of the best pitchers in baseball earlier this year before he got hurt. Cobb looked good in his rehab starts, and he was very good in his first start back in the majors as well. He has a 2.31 ERA in his career against Baltimore. Miguel Gonzalez hasn't been very sharp of late, and the Tampa Bay Rays have proven they are good when it comes to crunch time. Both teams need this game, but the Rays have more experience in this type of situation. Look for Cobb and the Rays to win this one.
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08-19-13 | Boston Red Sox v. San Francisco Giants OVER 7 | 7-0 | Push | 0 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Boston Red Sox have the second best offense in baseball. The San Francisco offense isn't great, but they heated up nicely in Miami this past weekend. They are slowly getting a little healthier. Tim Lincecum and Jon Lester used to be considered two of the best pitchers in baseball, but not any more. They both have poor ERA's this year, and both of them are capable of giving up the big inning at any time. Lincecum will struggle to hold down this strong Boston offense. Lester hasn't been shutting anyone down, and the Giants are better at home. I expected a total of 7.5 or even 8. Take advantage of this error from the oddsmakers. Take the over.
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08-18-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are the worst 2 teams in the AL Central. Chicago's lineup wasn't very good at the beginning of the season, and it is even worse now without Alex Rios. Hector Santiago has a 2.7 ERA on the road this year. He also has a 2.7 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Sam Deduno has been good at home this year, and I expect him to pitch well against this weak White Sox lineup. The wind should be blowing in from center field which should be helpful for the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.
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08-18-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers -108 v. Philadelphia Phillies | 2-3 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 10 straight games, and they are an amazing 42-8 in their last 50 games overall. While the Dodgers have plenty to play for, the Phillies are ready for this disappointing season to be over. Philadelphia has been playing as bad as anyone in baseball in the past month. Ricky Nolasco is a solid pitcher for the Dodgers, and the Phillies offense has been shut out in two straight games. Cole Hamels has struggled in day games his whole career, especially at home. The Dodgers are 10-0 in their last 10 games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games against a lefty. The Dodgers are 5-0 in Nolasco's last 5 road starts. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 against a team with a winning record. The Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games. The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games at Philadelphia. In all a 33-0 backs this play. Take the Dodgers.
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08-18-13 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -137 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Revenge Special* The Washington Nationals beat the Braves 8-7 in 15 innings last night. The fact that the Braves lost last night, makes me feeling even more strongly about their chances of winning Sunday afternoon. Gio Gonzalez is a very good pitcher, but he has a 5.24 ERA against Atlanta in his career. Julio Teheran has a 3.75 ERA against Washington in his career. He also has a 3.00 ERA at home this year. The Braves bullpen is much better than Washington's, and the Braves saved their bullpen better last night. Look for the Braves to bounce back. Take Atlanta.
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08-17-13 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Tampa Bay Rays OVER 8.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit left handed pitching extremely well all season. Lefty J.A. Happ will start in this one for the Blue Jays. Happ hasn't been consistent this year, and he has an 8.3 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. He already had one terrible start earlier this year against the Rays. Roberto Hernandez starts for the Rays. Hernandez is just a mediocre pitcher who generally gives up 3 or 4 runs. Toronto's lineup has been better of late. Jose Reyes being healthy makes this Blue Jays offense much better. I like the value here. Take the over.
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08-17-13 | Chicago White Sox v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 7 | 8-5 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Andrew Albers has burst on the scene for the Minnesota Twins. He was absolutely dominating in AAA, and he has come up to the big leagues and pitched two shutouts in his first two major league starts. He will be up against a White Sox lineup that has been terrible against left handed pitchers all year. The White Sox have one of the worst lineups in baseball at this point. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox. He has been great this year, but his win loss record isn't good, because he rarely gets much run support. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox's last 4 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the White Sox's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Twins last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. The under is 2-0 in Albers' first two starts in his major league career. In all a 22-0 winning angle. Take the under.
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08-17-13 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -111 | 8-7 | Loss | -111 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Atlanta Braves have had Washington's number over the past couple years. The Nationals were expected to win the NL East, but the Braves are running away with the division. Atlanta has won 15 of the last 18 meetings between these two. Stephen Strasburg has been good this year, but he has struggled on the road. His ERA is above 4 on the road this year, and his ERA is also above 4 in his career at Atlanta. The Nationals are hitting .216 against lefties this year, and Mike Minor is a quality left handed starter. The Braves have the best home field advantage in baseball. Take Atlanta.
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08-16-13 | Los Angeles Dodgers -111 v. Philadelphia Phillies | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TGIF TOP Play CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Dodgers are absolutely rolling right now. Los Angeles is 40-8 in their last 48 games. It is truly remarkable to see how far this team has come from the beginning of the season. They were written off long ago, and now they are the NL Pennant favorites according to many oddsmakers. Zack Greinke will start for them here, and he has been very good this year. Cliff Lee starts for the Phillies. He hasn't been bad of late, but he also hasn't been dominating like he does at some times. Hanley Ramirez and Adrian Gonzalez both have great career numbers against Lee. Philadelphia has nothing to play for at this point, and they have been terrible of late.
The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games overall. They are 8-0 in their last 8 games against a lefty. They are 8-0 in their last 8 against the NL East. They are 5-0 in Greinke's last 5 road starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 5 days of rest. They are 4-0 in Greinke's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 0-4 in Lee's last 4 starts. In all, a 40-0 angle backs this play. Take the Dodgers big! |
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08-15-13 | Cincinnati Reds v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds swept the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field thanks to some tremendous pitching. The Milwaukee Brewers had a late game in Texas last night, and they are liable to be a little worn out for this one. Kyle Lohse has been amazing all year for the Brewers though, and the Reds have struggled to hit him in the past. Cincinnati's offense has been rather cold of late, and I don't see them coming out of it here. Tony Cingrani is one of baseball's best young pitchers, and he has been rolling of late. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. The under is 12-1 in Lohse's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 7-1-1 in the Reds last 9 road games. In all, a 35-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-15-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. St. Louis Cardinals -127 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates meet in an extremely important rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday. St. Louis needs this game more than Pittsburgh does, and they'll get a nice boost from Yadier Molina being back. Molina is so key to this team's success because of his ability as a catcher and in the middle of the lineup. Lance Lynn has been great at home, and the Cardinals clearly have the better lineup. The Pirates are 0-4 in A.J. Burnett's last 4 road starts. They are 0-8 in his last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Lynn's last 4 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the Cardinals here.
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08-15-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. New York Yankees OVER 8.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels have essentially packed it up for the season. The Angels still have some very talented hitters, so I expect them to put runs on the board against subpar pitchers such as Phil Hughes, but they will give up a lot of runs as well. Hughes has a horrible 8.38 ERA in his career against the Angels. Wilson has struggled on the road this year, and the Yankees offense is much better now with Granderson back and Soriano killing it in the middle of the order. The over is 20-5-1 in Wilson's last 26 road starts. Take the over here.
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08-14-13 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Texas Rangers -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -117 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Major Mismatch* Tyler Thornburg has looked brilliant in his two starts in the past couple weeks, but his past history tells me that will likely change soon. Thornburg was 0-9 with an ERA of almost 6 in AAA this season. He shut down the Cubs and the Giants in his last two outings, but those are 2 of the worst offenses in baseball. The Texas offense is very good especially at home. Matt Garza will be going against an extremely short-handed Milwaukee offense. This should be a game where it will take quite a few runs to win, and I don't think the Brewers can keep up. Take Texas -1.5.
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08-14-13 | Seattle Mariners v. Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -125 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners took the first game of this series last night, which makes this an even stronger play for me tonight. Tampa Bay have lost 4 straight and they are losing ground in the highly competitive AL East. David Price is the perfect guy to have on the mound to stop this losing streak right now. Price has an ERA of less than 1 in his last 3 starts. Aaron Harang starts for Seattle here. Harang has been terrible this season, and he has an ERA above 6 on the road. I don't expect him to be able to keep pace with the Rays ace in this one. The Rays are 17-7 in Price's last 24 home starts. The Mariners are 1-6 in Harang's last 7 road starts. Take Tampa Bay -1.5.
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08-14-13 | Miami Marlins v. Kansas City Royals UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. The under is a staggering 20-5-2 in their last 27 games overall. Kansas City has climbed back into contention, and they have done it with terrific pitching from both their starting rotation and their bullpen. Erbin Santana has had a couple terrible starts, but overall he has piled up a ton of quality starts in 2013. Jacob Turner is one of the Marlins young talented pitchers. Turner has an ERA of 2.95 on the year. The under is 7-0 in Turner's last 7 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Marlins last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 overall. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 interleague games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. In all a 28-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-13-13 | New York Mets v. Los Angeles Dodgers -113 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 37 m | Show |
*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers are 38-8 in their last 46 games overall. Although I certainly appreciate how good of a pitcher Matt Harvey is, I don't see the justification for the Dodgers being this small of a favorite over a poor New York Mets team. Harvey is great, but Ryu has been outstanding at home as well. Ryu has an ERA of 1.9 at home this season. There is no way you could even compare the Mets lineup to the Dodgers lineup. The Dodgers are 8-0 in Ryu's last 8 starts against a team with a losing record. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Ryu's last 7 starts as a favorite. The Mets are just 1-8 in their last 9 meetings between these two teams. The Dodgers are 4-0 in Ryu's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. In all a 31-1 angle backs this play. Take the Dodgers big.
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08-13-13 | Cincinnati Reds -135 v. Chicago Cubs | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds have been great against the Chicago Cubs over the last few seasons. While the Reds haven't been that good on the road overall, they have been awesome at Wrigley Field. The Cubs aren't playing good baseball right now, and the Reds have a big pitching advantage with Homer Bailey on the mound for this one. Without Soriano, the Cubs lack a proven run producer in the middle of the order. The Reds are 8-0 in Homer Bailey's last 8 starts against the Cubs. They are 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts at Wrigley Field. The Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 home games. The Reds are 12-1 in their last 13 games at Wrigley Field. In all a 29-1 angle backs this play. Take the Reds.
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08-13-13 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8 | 1-3 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Philadelphia Phillies haven't been any good lately, but they have hit Kris Medlen very well in the past. Medlen has a career ERA of 5.66 against the Phillies. This year alone, he has an ERA above 6 against Philadelphia. Ethan Martin has two big league starts and he was lit up for 6 runs by the Braves in one of them. A total set this low is usually reserved for two very good pitchers and bad offenses, but that isn't the case at all in this one. I made this total at 9, so I definitely like the value here. Take the over.
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08-13-13 | Boston Red Sox v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto's offense is much better now with Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes healthy. The Red Sox are averaging 5.04 runs per game this year. Redmond doesn't go deep in a game, and I doubt his ability to shut down the Red Sox lineup. Ryan Dempster has been bad of late with an ERA over 7 in his last 3 starts. The over is 6-0 in Dempster's last 6 starts overall. These two offenses should put up some fireworks in this one. Take the over.
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08-13-13 | San Francisco Giants v. Washington Nationals UNDER 7 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Madison Bumgarner has been the Giants best pitcher all season. Despite the fact that San Francisco has had a disappointing season, Bumgarner has been consistently great in 2013. He has a 2.75 ERA this year. Gio Gonzalez has had a few very bad starts, but for the majority of the season, he has been excellent. He has a 2.67 ERA when pitching in Washington in his career. Both these teams struggle against lefties, and these are two very good left handed starters. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 on 6 days of rest. The under is 5-0-1 in the Giant's last 6 games as an underdog. In all a 34-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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08-12-13 | Detroit Tigers -120 v. Chicago White Sox | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers are probably the best team in the American League. You could make a good argument that Detroit is the best team in baseball overall. On the other side, the White Sox are definitely one of the worst teams in baseball right now. Chicago is 20-48 their last 68 games overall. The White Sox have gotten rid of most of the talent in their lineup, and the offense was bad even before the team made any trades. Detroit has the best lineup in baseball, and they hit left handed starters well. Chris Sale is very good, but he has an ERA of 3.99 in his career against the Tigers. Doug Fister has been great in his last few outings, and this is a great chance for him to keep it going against a terrible offense. Take Detroit.
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08-12-13 | Cleveland Indians v. Minnesota Twins UNDER 8 | 0-3 | Win | 106 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Danny Salazar and Andrew Albers will start in this game for Cleveland and Minnesota respectfully. They have a total of 3 career major league starts between the two of them. Salazar was great in his first outing, and he pitched well late time until allowing a late home run to Miguel Cabrera. Albers shutout Kansas City on the road in his first big league start last week. Albers is 27 years old and had a long track to the majors due to injuries, but he has been great in the minor leagues. These are two guys that I expect will become big names in the next couple years. The under is 7-0 in Cleveland's last 7 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 when scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.
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