06-09-12 |
Texas Rangers v. San Francisco Giants +100 |
|
2-5 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 26 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* I played the Texas Rangers last night and won, but I see value on the Giants in this one. Ryan Vogelsong continues to be brilliant especially at home. Scott Feldman has an ERA over 7 so far this season. He was torched for 8 runs in less than 2 innings at Oakland in his last start. The Rangers definitely have the better lineup, but I can't pass up this big of a pitching mismatch. The Giants are 6-0 in Vogelsong's last 6 starts. Texas is 1-11 in their last 12 games at San Francisco. Take the Giants.
|
06-09-12 |
Washington Nationals -106 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
4-2 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 50 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Gio Gonzalez has been a tremendous acquisition for the Nationals. Gonzalez has an ERA of about 2.5 so far this year, and he has been dazzling in almost every start. Dice K gets his first start in more than one year for the Red Sox in this game. Dice K wasn't very good before the surgery the last couple years, and I don't expect him to be very good now. The Nationals have gotten healthier of late and the lineup is definitely better with Harper, Zimmerman, and Morse all in the middle of the order. The pitching mismatch in this one is significant. Look for Washington to win behind another stellar effort from Gonzalez. Take the Nationals.
|
06-09-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. Minnesota Twins -114 |
|
3-11 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Chicago Cubs have been horrible against left-handers in recent history. Chicago is playing terrible baseball in general of late. The Cubs are 1-7 in their last 8 games overall. Scott Diamond is a very talented young left-hander for the Twins. Minnesota is 5-1 in games he starts so far this year. Jeff Samardzija is a solid pitcher as well, but he has been only medicore (4.45 ERA) on the road this year. The Cubs are a miserable 5-22 in their last 27 road games against a left-handed pitcher. The Cubs are 0-6 in their last 6 Saturday games. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games at Minnesota. Minnesota is 5-1 in Diamond's 6 starts this year. They are also 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games. Take Minnesota.
|
06-08-12 |
Texas Rangers -130 v. SF GIANTS |
|
5-0 |
Win
|
100 |
22 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* The Texas Rangers have definitely been struggling of late, but I feel like this is too good of a value to pass up. Barry Zito simply isn't the pitcher he used to be, and the Rangers punish left-handed pitching. Melky Cabrera may miss this game with an injury and that would really hurt the Giants lineup. Matt Harrison has had two bad games this year but other than that he has been very solid. The Rangers are 13-3 in Harrison's last 16 road starts. Texas is the much better team, and this is a good value. Take Texas.
|
06-08-12 |
Cleveland Indians v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 9 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jake Westbrook started the season pitching brilliantly, but it has been all downhill of late. He has an ERA over 10 in his last three starts. Josh Tomlin is a mediocre pitcher with an ERA slightly above 5. The Cardinals have the best lineup in the National League, and I expect them to put up several runs here. The warm weather in St. Louis should help the ball fly further. The over is 10-2 in the Indians last 12 games. The over is 20-6 in the Cardinals last 26 home games. Take the over.
|
06-08-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Cincinnati Reds OVER 9 |
|
5-6 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mat Latos was supposed to be a great pitcher for the Reds, but he is giving up far too many homerun balls. Latos has already allowed 10 homers at Great American Ballpark in 2012. The weather is expected to be warm for this one so the ball should travel well. Rick Porcello has been inconsistent all year, and he gives up quite a few long balls as well. Both offenses are capable of putting up a big number here. The over is 6-0-1 in the Reds last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Porcello's last 4 interleague starts. The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. Take the over.
|
06-08-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Baltimore Orioles -123 |
|
9-6 |
Loss |
-123 |
17 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Baltimore Orioles took two of three from the Boston Red Sox at Fenway. The Phillies have lost six straight and they send Joe Blanton to the mound in this one. Blanton has allowed 25 runs in his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of about 5 in each of his last 3 seasons. The Orioles offense has been good all year, and I expect them to take advantage of Blanton's mistakes. Jake Arrieta is a talented young pitcher who has been inconsistent this year. Baltimore has the better bullpen and line up. Take Baltimore.
|
06-08-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. Baltimore Orioles OVER 9 |
|
9-6 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 8 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Baltimore Orioles took two of three from the Boston Red Sox at Fenway. The Phillies have lost six straight and they send Joe Blanton to the mound in this one. Blanton has allowed 25 runs in his last 4 starts. He has an ERA of about 5 in each of his last 3 seasons. The Orioles offense has been good all year, and I expect them to take advantage of Blanton's mistakes. The over is 19-7 in the Phillies last 26 road games. The over is 5-0 in Blanton's last 5 interleague starts. Take the over.
|
06-07-12 |
Toronto: H Alvarez v. Chicago (A): J Peavy OVER 8.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
20 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Toronto Blue Jays have taken the first two games of this series. Jake Peavy has been good this year, but he is looking a little shaky of late. Peavy has been hit hard in two of his last four starts. Toronto's offense is pretty strong. Henderson Alvarez has an ERA over 6 in his last three starts. Jim Reynolds is one of the best 'over' umpires in the business. The over is 12-3 in his last 15 games behind the plate. The over is 6-0-1 in Peavy's last 7 as a home favorite. The over is 6-1-1 in Toronto's last 8 road games. Take the over.
|
06-07-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays v. New York Yankees UNDER 8 |
|
7-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
18 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's offense is very short-handed right now. Without Evan Longoria in the line up, the Rays can't hit left-handers much at all. C.C. Sabathia is one of the best left-handers in baseball. He seems to be getting stronger each start this year. Likewise, David Price has improved as the season has moved along. Price has been virtually unhittable of late. The under is 5-0 in Tampa Bay's last 5 games against a left-handed pitcher. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. Take the under.
|
06-07-12 |
Baltimore Orioles +134 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
0-7 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Dog of the Day* The Baltimore Orioles have taken the first 2 games of this series. The tendency for bettors is to assume a good team like Boston won't be swept at home. The Orioles is a solid team, and Clay Buchholz has been extremely inconsistent this year. Though he has pitched better his last couple games, I am still not sure he has figured out his issues. The Orioles have a strong lineup and at this price I believe there is plenty of value here. Baltimore is 7-2 in their last 9 meeting with the Red Sox. Take Baltimore.
|
06-07-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. Miami Marlins -135 |
Top |
8-2 |
Loss |
-135 |
19 h 41 m |
Show
|
*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The Atlanta Braves have taken the first two games of this series, but I think this one sets up very nicely for Miami. The Marlins send veteran lefty Mark Buehrle to the hill in this one. He is a consistent pitcher who rarely has really poor outings. On the other side, Mike Minor has been downright awful for Atlanta over the past few starts. Minor has given up 35 earned runs in his last 6 starts! The Marlins are 9-0 in their last 9 games against left-handed pitchers. The Braves are 0-5 in Minor's last 5 against the NL East. Take the Marlins big!
|
06-07-12 |
Chicago Cubs v. Milwaukee Brewers OVER 7.5 |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-103 |
13 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cubs and Brewers have taken turns humiliating each other in the first 2 games of this series. Matt Garza has been much worse over the last few starts. Randy Wolf is becoming more hittable every year. He simply doesn't have the stuff to get good hitters out anymore. Paul Schrieber has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in Major League Baseball. The over is 7-1 in Schrieber's last 8 games behind home plate. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. The over is 4-0 in the Brewer's lats 4 against a right-handed pitcher. Take the over.
|
06-06-12 |
Texas: C Lewis v. Oakland: B Colon OVER 7.5 |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-110 |
20 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Colby Lewis has struggled against the Athletics in his career. Jemile Weeks is hitting better than .500 off Lewis, and he sets the table for this Oakland offense. Bartolo Colon started the season well, but he has been very shaky of late. Scott Barry is a solid over umpire who has a tight strike zone. The over is 7-1 in Lewis' last 8 starts against the Athletics. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings at Oakland. This number is set very low, especially when you consider the Rangers have the best offense in baseball. Take the over.
|
06-06-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 |
|
1-6 |
Loss |
-104 |
20 h 55 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim McClelland is my favorite 'over' umpire. He pinches the strike zone in a big way. Both of these pitches really try to work the corners, and I don't think they'll like his strike zone. Chase Field is a hitters paradise when the roof is open. The Diamondbacks put up 10 runs last night. Both teams hit left-handers very well. Look for the ball to be flying out of the park in this one. The over is 9-1 in the Rockies last 10 road games. The over is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 home starts against a team with a losing record. Take the over.
|
06-06-12 |
Minnesota Twins v. Kansas City Royals -1.5 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Felipe Paulino has yet to give up a run in three starts at home this year. He has pitched 19 innings of shutout baseball in Kansas City. Paulino has a dazzling 1.70 ERA overall in 2012. The Twins are without Joe Mauer right now, and that certainly hurts their lineup. Nick Blackburn has an ERA over 8 this year, and the Royals should be able to put up some runs against him. Kansas City is 8-3 in Paulino's last 11 starts. The Royals have a major advantage at pitcher, and they have the better lineup as well. Take KC -1.5.
|
06-05-12 |
San Francisco: T Lincecum -107 v. San Diego: A Bass |
|
5-6 |
Loss |
-107 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Tim Lincecum clearly isn't the same pitcher he used to be. You won't see me backing him too often this year, but I feel like the value here is too much to pass up. The Padres are the worst team in baseball right now. Lincecum has completely dominated this team in the past. The Giants are 4-0 in his last 4 starts against San Diego. San Francisco's lineup has gotten a huge boost from Melky Cabrera. The Padres are 0-6 in their last 10 against a right-hander. They are also 0-4 in Bass' last 4 against NL West opponents. Take the Giants.
|
06-05-12 |
Texas: D Holland -1.5 v. Oakland: T Blackley |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
106 |
20 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Texas Rangers were blown out of the water by the Oakland Athletics last night. You don't need me to tell you that Texas is a far better team than Oakland, but this spot sets up very well for a blowout. Derek Holland has been great on the road in his career, and his career ERA against Oakland is a miniscule 1.9. The A's will start Travis Blackley who is a veteran lefty who really doesn't have any business being in a major league rotation. Texas pounds left-handed pitching, and I think they'll bounce back big here. Take Texas -1.5.
|
06-05-12 |
Toronto Blue Jays -105 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
9-5 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 31 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Toronto Blue Jays have a pretty solid team this year. They play in a difficult division, but I think they are a decent value quite often when playing teams from other divisions. The White Sox are playing good baseball right now, but I'm not sure they have staying power. Phillip Humber hasn't been good overall this season, and he has been terrible since throwing his no-hitter in Seattle. Ricky Romero is a very good young pitcher. The White Sox are hitting just .214 as a team against lefties. The Blue Jays are 23-8 in their last 31 meetings against the White Sox. The White Sox are 2-10 in Humber's last 12 starts at home. The Blue Jays are 18-6 in Romero's last 24 starts. Take Toronto.
|
06-04-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-120 |
20 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The Colorado Rockies have been scoring runs in bunches of late. They have scored 7 runs or more in 5 of their last 7 games. Arizona's Chase Field is one of the very best hitters ballparks in baseball when the roof is open. The heat and low humidity really make the ball fly extremely well. Chase Field's roof is scheduled to be open here. Joe Saunders struggles in a big way when the roof is open, and he gives up lots of long balls. In his last 3 starts with the roof open he has allowed 4,6, and 7 runs. The Diamondbacks hit lefties well and Christian Friedrich has struggled of late after starting out well this season. The over is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 road games. The over is 5-1 in Saunders' last 6 starts. Take the over.
|
06-03-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks -113 v. San Diego Padres |
|
6-0 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The San Diego Padres are a brutal 18-36 on the season. San Diego's pitching staff isn't what it once was, and their lineup is dreadful. Trevor Cahill hasn't been great this year, but he has been consistently decent. Against San Diego, I think Cahill will do well. The Diamondbacks have been great against lefties this year and they should handle Stults quite well. San Diego is 0-5 in their last 5 against a right-handed pitcher. Arizona is 13-3 in their last 16 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. Take Arizona here.
|
06-03-12 |
Minnesota: S Diamond v. Cleveland: J Mastersn UNDER 9 |
|
6-3 |
Push |
0 |
14 h 41 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Justin Masterson started the season slowly, but he has been improving gradually the last few times out. Minnesota's offense isn't very good, and I wouldn't be surprised to see some guys sit this one out on a Sunday afternoon game. The Indians struggle badly against lefties. Carlos Santana, Travis Hafner, and Johnny Damon are all out of the Cleveland lineup. The wind is expected to be howling in at 15 to 20 mph. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games following a win. I like the value on the under.
|
06-03-12 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 7.5 |
|
6-5 |
Loss |
-105 |
13 h 56 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers will be without Ryan Braun in this one and Aramis Ramirez is liable to miss the game as well. Rickie Weeks isn't hitting at all and the Brewers offense isn't lethal at all without Braun in the middle. James McDonald hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in a game all season. The Pirates average just 2.89 runs per game against righties. Michael Fiers is making just his second start in this one, but I think he can fare well against this Pirates lineup. Phil Cuzzi is a solid under umpire. The under is 5-0-1 in McDonald's last 6 starts against the NL Central. The under is 5-0-2 in his last 7 starts against teams with a losing record. Take the under.
|
06-02-12 |
Texas: Y Darvish v. LA Anaheim: C Wilson +101 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
101 |
21 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Rangers/Angels Play* The Los Angeles Angels are finally above .500 and they are playing good baseball right now. Mike Trout is a tremendous youngster (who I rate higher than Bryce Harper right now). Trout sets the table at the top of the order, and now Pujols is hitting the ball well too. C.J. Wilson is an elite pitcher in the majors now. Yu Darvish is struggling with some minor injuries and he has had control problems in his last two outings. The Angels are extremely motivated to win this series and gain some ground. I like the Angels at home.
|
06-02-12 |
New York Yankees -114 v. Detroit Tigers |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
17 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Yankees definitely have a better lineup top to bottom than the Detroit Tigers right now. The Tigers are hurting without Austin Jackson in the lineup, and the only the 3-5 spots in the lineup are very scary right now. New York has a very solid 1 through 6. Kuroda has been pretty good this year, and Porcello has historically been very bad at home. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 as a favorite. The Tigers are 1-9 in their last 10 as a home underdog. Take the Yankees.
|
06-02-12 |
Los Angeles Dodgers v. Colorado Rockies OVER 10.5 |
|
6-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Colorado Rockies are absolutely crushing the baseball right now. Colorado has scored 13, 11, and 13 runs in their last three games. In fact, the Rockies have scored 6 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 games. Aaron Harang is a fly ball pitcher and that is bad news for him at Coors. He has a 6.5 ERA in his career at Coors Field. Juan Nicasio has a 7.04 ERA at home this year. The Dodgers continue to outperform expectations offensively. The over is 6-0-1 in the Rockies last 7 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 10 as an underdog. The over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between these two at Colorado. The over is 20-5-2 in the Rockies last 27 Saturday games. A 40-7 angle backs this play. Take the over.
|
06-02-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 8 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 45 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Value* The Orioles offense took a major hit when Nick Markakis went down with an injury. Without Markakis, Adam Jones doesn't have much support in the middle of the order. Matt Wieters is slumping terribly right now. Jeremy Hellickson has been amazing, especially at home. Hellickson is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. He has an ERA below 2 at home in his career. Brian Matusz has pretty good stuff, and the Rays offense is averaging less than 3 runs per game over the last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in the Orioles last 4 against a righty. The under is 4-0 in Matusz's last 4 games. The under is 18-3-2 in Hellickson's last 21 home starts. The under is 5-0-2 in Hellickson's last 7 overall. The under is 20-5-2 in the last 27 meetings in Tampa Bay between these two teams. A huge 51-8 angle backs this play. Take the under.
|
06-02-12 |
Boston: F Doubront -108 v. Toronto: K Drabek |
|
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
11 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Toronto Blue Jays bats are struggling right now. Felix Doubront has quietly been the Red Sox best pitcher so far this year. Doubront has a 3.86 ERA in 2012. The Red Sox are 7-3 in his 10 starts. Kyle Drabek has been bad against the Red Sox in the past. The Red Sox offense is locked in right now, and Drabek hasn't shown that he is capable of shutting offenses down consistently. The Blue Jays are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 against a righty. Take Boston.
|
06-01-12 |
Texas Rangers v. Los Angeles Angels OVER 8.5 |
|
2-4 |
Loss |
-107 |
21 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Texas Rangers have the best offense in all of baseball. Texas has scored 8 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games. The Rangers average 6 runs per game against right-handed pitching. Jerome Williams has had a nice year, but he doesn't have dominating stuff. Colby Lewis strikes out a lot of people, but he also gives up a lot of long balls. Mike Trout, Mark Trumbo, and Albert Pujols are really hitting the ball well now for the Angels. The Angels have scored 5 runs or more in 4 of their last 6 games. The over is 6-1 in Texas' last 7 games. The over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
06-01-12 |
Miami: M Buehrle -105 v. Philadelphia: K Kendrick |
|
4-6 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Miami Marlins finished the month of May with a sparkling 21-8 record. Miami's lineup still hasn't been firing on all cylinders, and I expect Jose Reyes and Hanley Ramirez to improve over the course of the season. Giancarlo Stanton is locked in right now. The Phillies have struggled badly against lefties this year, and Mark Buehrle is still a solid pitcher. The common theme around Kyle Kendrick's career has been his inconsistency. Kendrick pitched a complete game shutout in his last start, but I'm not confident he can keep that up. The Marlins have the better lineup and bullpen as well. The Marlins are 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 games. The Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 Friday games. The Phillies are 1-5 in Kendrick's last 6 home games. Take Miami.
|
06-01-12 |
Boston: C Buchholz v. Toronto: H Alvarez -124 |
|
7-2 |
Loss |
-124 |
18 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Clay Buchholz has been terrible all season. Buchholz has a ridiculous 1.83 WHIP on the season. He also has a 7.19 ERA. Henderson Alvarez has a solid 1.28 WHIP and a 3.56 ERA. The Blue Jays are a solid team, and the Red Sox are very short-handed offensively right now. Without Ellsbury, Crawford, Pedroia, and Ross this simply isn't the same offense. Alvarez has pitched twice against the Red Sox. He has allowed just one run in those two starts. I like the value on the Blue Jays.
|
05-31-12 |
Houston Astros v. Colorado Rockies OVER 9.5 |
|
5-11 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 27 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* 14 of the last 18 games played at Coors Field have gone over this posted total. Bud Norris has had a nice season, but he isn't nearly as good on the road. Norris has a 5.40 ERA on the road, and he wasn't sharp at all in Los Angeles last time out. Jeremy Guthrie has a miserable 9.92 ERA in his home starts this year. Guthrie is clearly struggling with the conditions at Coors Field. There are some amazing trends on this game. The over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. The over is 6-0 in Norris' last 6 starts on 4 days of rest. The over is 7-0-1 in the Rockies last 8 games when allowing 5 or more runs in the previous game. Also, the over is 4-0-1 in the Rockies last 5 as a home favorite. A 24-0 angle backs this one. Take the over.
|
05-30-12 |
New York (A): I Nova +108 v. LA Anaheim: E Santana |
|
6-5 |
Win
|
108 |
20 h 35 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Los Angeles Angels have won eight straight games. They are certainly playing much better right now, but I'm still not convinced they have solved all their problems. Ervin Santana walked 7 batters in his start against Seattle last time around. The Yankees have hit Santana very well in the past. The Angels are 1-6 in Santana's last 7 starts against the Yankees. The Angels are just 3-11 in Santana's last 14 starts overall. Nova has been better on the road, and the Yankees definitely have the deeper lineup. Take New York here.
|
05-30-12 |
Baltimore: J Hammel v. Toronto: B Morrow OVER 8.5 |
|
1-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Jason Hammel has pitched pretty well this year, but I'm not at all convinced that he is a good pitcher. Hammel has been wildly inconsistent in the past, and I think he is due to get hit around. The Blue Jays offense is one of the best in baseball. Baltimore's offense is very formidable as well. Brandon Morrow has pitched much worse at home over the last couple years. Morrow only lasted 2/3 of an inning in his last start. This total is set too low. The over is 4-0 in Hammel's last 4 starts. The over is 6-1-1 in the Blue Jays last 8 games. Take the over.
|
05-30-12 |
Chicago White Sox +133 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
133 |
12 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Chicago White Sox have won 10 of their last 11 games. Paul Konerko is smashing the ball in the middle of the order, and the White Sox pitching staff has been surprisingly good. Adam Dunn and Alex Rios are having big bounce back seasons. Tampa Bay is severely short-handed offensively right now. Without Longoria and Jennings the Rays have struggled to score runs. Quintana is a solid young pitcher for the White Sox. The Rays are 2-6 in their last 8 against a lefty. Take the White Sox here.
|
05-30-12 |
Oakland A's +110 v. Minnesota Twins |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 20 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Oakland A's should have won last night's game against the Twins, but they didn't and now they have dropped 7 straight. I lost on the A's last night and it was a very tough loss. Still, I don't see why the Twins are getting so much love from the oddsmakers here. Francisco Liriano is back in the rotation, and he has been dreadful all year. Liriano has an 8.47 ERA. The Twins have the worst record in baseball, and I don't see why they would be favored in this spot. Take the value with the A's.
|
05-30-12 |
Kansas City: B Chen v. Cleveland: J Gomez UNDER 8.5 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-108 |
11 h 38 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cleveland Indians have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Cleveland is hitting just .209 against lefties in 2012. Right now the Indians are without Asdrubal Cabrera, Travis Hafner, and Carlos Santana. Those are their #3, #4, and #5 hitters. Kansas City's offense has been disappointing this year. Jeanmar Gomez isn't a great pitcher, but he is underrated and he has pitched well at home. The under is 14-2 in Dan Bellino's (home plate umpire) last 16 games overall. Take the under.
|
05-29-12 |
Cincinnati Reds -118 v. Pittsburgh Pirates |
|
8-1 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Cincinnati Reds have won 8 of their last 10 games. They were beaten by the Pirates yesterday in the series opener, but the Reds are playing good baseball right now. The Reds have a much higher upside than the Pirates. Homer Bailey starts for Cincinnati in this one. Bailey has an ERA under 2 in his career against the Pirates. He has 2.00 ERA at PNC Park. The Reds offense is much better than the Pirates offense. Cincinnati is 7-0 in Bailey's last 7 starts against Pittsburgh. The Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in the previous game. Look for the Reds to bounce back. Take Cincinnati.
|
05-29-12 |
Oakland A's -104 v. Minnesota Twins |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-104 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Oakland Athletics have lost six straight games, so it isn't a huge surprise that the oddsmakers aren't too high on them here. Still, when you consider who they are up against and the pitching matchup I think this is a very good value. Jarrod Parker has only had one bad start in his time in the majors (7 starts). Parker had terrific minor league numbers over the years. Cole DeVries isn't major league starter material based on his minor league stats. He couldn't keep his Double A ERA under 4. He gives up more hits than innings pitched. The Twins are 14-41 in their last 55 home games. Take the Athletics.
|
05-29-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. New York Mets OVER 8.5 |
|
3-6 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 57 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Philadelphia Phillies offense hasn't been that great this year, but the public perception that the Phillies have a terrible offense isn't true. The Phillies average 4.16 runs per game, and they average 4.70 runs per game against righties, which is in the top 10 in the majors. The Mets average 4.24 runs per game. Joe Blanton has been an 'over' machine on the road over the past couple years. Jeremy Hefner was lit up by the Padres in his last start, and the Padres are the worst offense in the NL. Some huge winning angles back this one. The over is 15-3 in the Phillies last 18 road games. The over is 7-0 in the Mets last 7 against the NL East. The over is 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 as a road favorite. It is 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 road games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The over is 20-4-2 in the last 26 meetings between these teams. A combined 56-7 winning angle backs this one. Take the over.
|
05-28-12 |
Seattle: K Millwood v. Texas: M Harrison -1.5 |
|
2-4 |
Win
|
105 |
19 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Mismatch* Kevin Millwood has been pitching pretty well lately, but he is very inconsistent at this stage in his career. The Rangers punish pitchers who make mistakes, and I don't see Millwood faring well against them. Matt Harrison has absolutely shut down the Mariners in his short career. The Mariners are hitting less than .200 against him overall. The Rangers are 6-0 in Harrison's last 6 starts against Seattle. The Mariners simply don't have the bats that the Rangers do. I don't expect this to be close. Take Texas -1.5.
|
05-28-12 |
Kansas City: N Adcock +133 v. Cleveland: J Tomlin |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 46 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Kansas City Royals are now 14-10 on the road this year. The Royals have a decent lineup. Cleveland's lineup was pretty good, but they are short-handed right now. Carlos Santana, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Travis Hafner are all out. Those three bat #3, #4, and #5 in the order. Josh Tomlin has been out with an injury and this is his first start back. It really doesn't make sense for the Indians to be big favorites in this game with so many question marks. Take the value with Kansas City.
|
05-28-12 |
Chicago White Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5 |
|
2-1 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Chris Sale and Matt Moore are both two very talented left-handed pitchers. The White Sox have struggled all year against lefties. Tampa Bay's offense simply isn't very good without Evan Longoria and Desmond Jennings. Carlos Pena and Ben Zobrist are in horrible slumps. The under is an amazing 82-38-8 in the Rays last 128 home games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Look for both starters to have the upper hand in this one. Take the under.
|
05-27-12 |
New York (A): H Kuroda v. Oakland: T Milone +120 |
|
2-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
14 h 47 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Oakland Athletics have been drilled in the first two games of this series, but I think the A's have shown quite a bit of fight this year. Tom Milone has been superb at home, and he has made bettors a lot of money this season. In 30 innings at home, he has allowed just 3 runs (2 earned). The Yankees have been very inconsistent this year, and I don't think they should be laying this price. Kuroda has a 6.23 ERA on the road in 2012. Look for Oakland to salvage a game from this series. Take Oakland.
|
05-27-12 |
Tampa Bay Rays +104 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
104 |
11 h 3 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Clay Buchholz has allowed at least 5 runs in all but two of his starts this year. He is amazingly still 4-2 on the year, because the Red Sox have piled up the runs in support of him. Buchholz has a dreadful 7.84 ERA. Jeremy Hellickson is one of the best young pitchers in the game. Hellickson has an ERA of 2.71 in 2012. The Red Sox offense is still very good right now, but without Crawford, Ellsbury, and Ross I think he'll tame them enough to win here. I like the value on the much more consistent pitcher. Take Tampa Bay.
|
05-27-12 |
Kansas City Royals v. Baltimore Orioles -130 |
|
4-2 |
Loss |
-130 |
11 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Baltimore Orioles are just one game ahead in the AL East, and I think this game means a lot to them. Brian Matusz has looked much better of late. Matusz has the stuff to be an Ace in the majors. He is a streaky pitcher, and he seems to be on a good run right now. Luke Hochevar has struggled against the Orioles in the past. The Royals are just 2-5 in his last 7 starts against Baltimore. The Orioles are 8-1 in Matusz's last 9 starts following a quality start. The Royals are 1-5 in their last 6 at Baltimore. Take Baltimore.
|
05-27-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Cincinnati Reds -1.5 |
|
5-7 |
Win
|
131 |
11 h 2 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Jamie Moyer has allowed at least 6 hits in eight straight starts. He simply doesn't have the stuff to fool people enough, and he has to really work the corners. The Reds have typically been good the last couple years against lefties, and their bats have really woke up of late. Mat Latos started the season slowly, but he has been much better over his last 4 or 5 starts. The Rockies are 5-25 in their last 30 Sunday games. The Reds are 17-5 in their last 22 Sunday games. This one looks like a mismatch all around. Take the Reds -1.5.
|
05-27-12 |
San Diego Padres v. New York Mets OVER 7 |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-115 |
11 h 39 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Tschida is one of the best 'over' umpires in the business. Tschida has a tiny strike zone, and I expect that to hurt both of these pitchers in a big way Sunday. Edinson Volquez has struggled with walks in his entire career, and this year has been no different. Tschida won't give him the borderline pitches. R.A. Dickey is a knuckle baller who would be hurt far more than the average pitcher by a small strike zone. Dickey has an ERA above 5 during day games in his career. The over is 3-0-1 in the Padres last 4. The over is 5-0-1 in the Mets last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in Tschida's last 4 Sunday games behind the plate. Take the over.
|
05-26-12 |
Houston: B Norris +131 v. Los Angeles: Billingsly |
|
3-6 |
Loss |
-100 |
21 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Bud Norris has been money in the bank this year. How good has he been? The Astros are 8-1 in his 9 starts. Moneyline bettors who have wagered $100 on the Astros every time he has started are up a cool $872 on the year. Chad Billingsley has been struggling with his command of late, and the Dodgers offense is severely short-handed right now. The Astros are much better than most people realize. I think a fair price here would be Houston +100 or so. I love the value on Houston here.
|
05-26-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 9 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 6 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The heat is here across the country and that generally means higher scoring games. The expected game time temperature here is 95 degrees, and the wind is forecasted to be blowing out at 10 mph. Kyle Kendrick is one of the most inconsistent pitchers in the majors, and he gives up a lot of long balls. St. Louis has scored more runs than any other NL team. The Cardinals are very capable of getting the 9 runs by themselves here. Jaime Garcia has been good at home, but he hasn't been dominant this year. Sam Holbrook is the best over umpire in the business. The over is 6-0 in Kendrick's last 6 starts as a road underdog. The over is 18-4 in the Cardinals last 22 as a favorite. The over is 13-3 in the Phillies last 16 road games. Take the over.
|
05-26-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. St.Louis Cardinals -1.5 |
|
4-0 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 58 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Jaime Garcia has been lights out this year, but he has been terrific at home in the past couple years. He has an ERA under 2.75 in his last two years at home. Kyle Kendrick is fully capable of giving up 6 or 8 runs in a small amount of time, and the Cardinals offense is the best in the National League. The Cardinals offense should love the hot weather and wind blowing out in this game. The Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games against a lefty, and Garcia is far better than an average left-hander. The Cardinals have a big advantage in pitching and hitting here. Take St. Louis -1.5.
|
05-26-12 |
Toronto: H Alvarez v. Texas: C Lewis OVER 9.5 |
|
7-8 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 12 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Texas Rangers have the best offense in all of baseball. Alvarez is a decent young pitcher for Toronto, but this is a very tough spot for him. In an afternoon game in Arlington, the ball should fly very well on this hot day. Colby Lewis struggles at home, and the Blue Jays have an offense capable of taking advantage. Lewis has an ERA of over 6 with home plate umpire Marty Foster in his career. The over is 7-0 in the Rangers last 7 against the AL East. The over is 4-0-1 in the Blue Jays' last 5. Take the over.
|
05-26-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 |
|
6-3 |
Win
|
100 |
14 h 36 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Max Scherzer has been awful this season. He also has a career ERA 6.45 in 6 starts against the Minnesota Twins. Carl Pavano has a 4.91 ERA on the season. The Twins have been hitting the ball much better as of late. Justin Morneau is healthy and hitting the ball well. The Tigers' offense hasn't been what it should be yet, but I expect them to put up several runs against Pavano. With two hot offenses and two poor pitchers, I think it is very possible that we see at least ten runs scored here. Take the over.
|
05-25-12 |
LA Anaheim: E Santana v. Seattle: B Beavan UNDER 7.5 |
|
6-4 |
Loss |
-126 |
22 h 48 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Los Angeles Angels have been the most disappointing team in the majors. The offense is averaging just 3.59 runs per game. Safeco is certainly a pitchers park. Ervin Santana has been burning money this year, but it isn't because he has been bad. In fact, he has been great in his last five starts. Five straight quality starts from Santana. He has a 1.71 ERA in his last three starts. The Seattle lineup is one of the worst in baseball. The under is 8-0-1 in Santana's last 9 starts as a road favorite. The under is 4-0-1 in Santana's last 5 starts against the Mariners. Take the under.
|
05-25-12 |
Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -1.5 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
19 h 22 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Atlanta Braves were just swept out of Cincinnati last night. It was definitely a disappointing series for the Braves, but the Reds are a quality team and I fully expect the Braves to bounce back . Tim Hudson has been under the radar since coming back from an injury of late. Hudson has thrown 21 and 2/3 innings and only allowed three runs in his last three starts. Washington's offense isn't good, and Ross Detwiler has been very shaky of late. The Braves are very good against lefties. The Braves are 8-2 in Hudson's last 10 starts against the Nationals. Take Atlanta -1.5.
|
05-25-12 |
Kansas City: B Chen v. Baltimore: J Hammel OVER 8.5 |
|
2-8 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error Total* Bruce Chen and Jason Hammel have both pitched a little better than most expected, but I still don't consider them high quality pitchers. Both Kansas City and Baltimore are pretty good hitting teams, and I was surprised to see a total this low. The Orioles are averaging 5.04 runs per game against lefties. The Royals average 4.22 runs per game this season. The wind is expected to be blowing out at about 10 mph. Everything here adds up to value on the over. Take the over.
|
05-24-12 |
Philadelphia Phillies v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 |
|
10-9 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 54 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Play of the Day* The St. Louis Cardinals have scored more runs than any other team in the National League. They also have the second best team batting average in the majors. Rafael Furcal and Carlos Beltran are having massive bounce back years for the Cardinals. The Phillies offense isn't good, but they are improving slowly. Many of the current Phillies players have great numbers against Jake Westbrook in their career. Joe Blanton is very inconsistent, and I don't think the line should be this low with two mediocre pitchers. The over is 6-0 in Westbrook's last 6 home starts. The over is 5-0 in the Phillies last 5 road games. Take the over.
|
05-23-12 |
Los Angeles: T Lilly v. Arizona: J Saunders OVER 9 |
|
4-11 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 23 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Chase Field is a completely different park when the roof is open, especially when it is very hot. The expected temperature at gametime is 100 degrees and the roof is scheduled to be open. The ball travels very well with the heat and low humidity. Ted Lilly gives up too many fly balls for this to be a good situation for him. Joe Saunders has pitched twice with the roof open in the past two weeks and has given up 6 and 7 earned runs respectively. The over is 4-0 in Saunders last 4 starts. The over is 4-0 in Lilly's last 4 starts. The over is 5-1 in Saunders last 6 starts against the Dodgers. Take the over.
|
05-23-12 |
Chicago (N): Samardzija v. Houston: W Rodriguz -128 |
|
1-5 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 49 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Houston Astros are playing much better baseball than many expected them to in 2012. Houston is 15-10 at home this year. Wandy Rodriguez has been brilliant at Minute Maid Park throughout his career. The Cubs struggle in a big way against lefties, and the Cubs look lost at the plate right now. I don't see them getting it going against a lefty as tough as Rodriguez. Houston is 7-0 in its last 7 as a -110 to -150 favorite. The Cubs are 0-8 in their last 8 games. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games against a lefty. The Cubs are 0-4 in their last 4 games at Houston. In all, we have a combined perfect 23-0 winning angle on Houston. Take the Astros.
|
05-23-12 |
Atlanta Braves -112 v. Cincinnati Reds |
|
1-2 |
Loss |
-112 |
18 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Atlanta Braves have lost the first two games of this four-game series with the Reds, but I think Wednesday sets up nicely for them. Tommy Hanson has a stellar 2.57 ERA on the road this year. Bronson Arroyo started the season very well, but he has labored in each of his last two games. Arroyo doesn't pitch as well at home because he gives up the home run ball too often in Great American Ballpark. The Braves have the best lineup in the National League. Atlanta is 12-3 in Hanson's last 15 road starts. The Reds are 0-6 in Arroyo's last 6 starts as a home underdog. Take Atlanta.
|
05-22-12 |
San Francisco Giants +102 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
102 |
18 h 14 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Matt Cain is one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball. Despite a poor offense, the Giants are above .500 on the year. Shaun Marcum is better away from home than he is at home. The Brewers are just 1-8 in Marcum's last 9 home starts. They are 0-7 in his last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Giants are 4-0 in Cain's last 4 as a road underdog. Ryan Braun might miss this game after leaving with a groin injury in extra innings on Monday. The Giants have a lot of value in this one. Take San Francisco.
|
05-22-12 |
Minnesota Twins +159 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
9-2 |
Win
|
159 |
18 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Minnesota Twins have the worst record in baseball, but they are playing much better of late. They have gotten healthy of late and the lineup is piling up the runs. The White Sox took advantage of the Cubs over the weekend, but Chicago's lineup has a ton of .200 hitters. Gavin Floyd is a pretty good pitcher, but he has a horrendous record against the Twins. Minnesota is 7-0 in their last 7 games against Floyd. In 15 starts against the Twins Floyd has a miserably 5.67 ERA. Minnesota is 17-5 in their last 22 games at Chicago. Take the Twins.
|
05-22-12 |
Atlanta Braves -114 v. Cincinnati Reds |
|
3-4 |
Loss |
-114 |
17 h 15 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* You could make a good argument that Brandon Beachy has been the best pitcher in the National League so far this year. Beachy has a stellar 1.33 ERA. He is just now starting to get some respect from the books. Mat Latos is struggling of late. He isn't getting past the fifth inning because he is laboring and struggling with his command. The Braves have the best offense in the NL right now. Atlanta is 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss. They are 4-0 in Beachy's last 4 road starts. Take Atlanta.
|
05-22-12 |
Colorado Rockies v. Miami Marlins OVER 7.5 |
|
6-7 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 10 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ricky Nolasco is a strange pitcher in that he generally pitches better on the road than he does at home. He has a 6.60 ERA at home this year. The Rockies offense is capable of doing damage with Tulo and CarGo in the middle of the order. The Marlins offense has struggled all year, but I think they are starting to turn the corner. Miami should be able to score runs against Juan Nicasio, who has a better ERA than he probably should. Nicasio has faced tons of weak hitting teams this season. The over is 6-0 in Nolasco's last 6 home starts. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
05-22-12 |
Toronto Blue Jays +122 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
|
5-8 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Toronto Blue Jays have a much better lineup than the Tampa Bay Rays to start with, and the Rays are without Longoria and Jennings right now. Drew Hutchison has been solid in his rookie season with Toronto, and I think he can slow down this struggling Rays offense. Matt Moore has a ton of potential, but he hasn't been in good form of late. The Blue Jays hit lefties well. I don't think the Blue Jays should be underdogs in this game. Tampa Bay has lost 4 of their last 5, and all those were at home. Take Toronto.
|
05-21-12 |
Texas: Y Darvish -137 v. Seattle: F Hernandz |
Top |
1-6 |
Loss |
-137 |
20 h 47 m |
Show
|
*5 Star MLB Moneyline TOP Play* Yu Darvish and the Texas Rangers will take on Felix Hernandez and the Mariners here. King Felix is a tough guy to wager against, but I think there are very solid reasons behind this one. The Rangers are arguably the best team in baseball right now. Texas has the best lineup from top to bottom of any team in the majors. Darvish is really rounding into form of late. Seattle's offense is one of the worst in baseball. Hernandez has struggled in the past with the Rangers. The Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games against Felix Hernandez. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last 7 games at Seattle. The Rangers are 5-0 in Darvish's last 5 starts on 4 days of rest. Take Texas big.
|
05-21-12 |
LA Anaheim: J Williams v. Oakland: T Milone -108 |
|
1-2 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 0 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Los Angeles Angles have been burning money all year long. Vernon Wells is now out with an injury and Torii Hunter is out. All of the sudden the Angels offense doesn't even look that good on paper right now. Tom Milone has pitched 23 innings at home this year and given up just two runs (only one earned). Jerome Williams has pitched well of late, but he generally struggles on the road. The Angels are 6-15 in their last 21 games against left-handed pitchers. The Angels are just 1-4 in their last 5 games at Oakland. Take the Athletics here.
|
05-21-12 |
Chicago (N): M Garza v. Houston: B Norris -105 |
|
4-8 |
Win
|
100 |
17 h 1 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Chicago Cubs are in a major funk right now. They just got swept at home by their hated rivals from the south side (White Sox). While many expected the Astros to be terrible, they haven't been that bad so far this year. They are 13-10 at home this year. Bud Norris is pitching as well as anyone in baseball of late. He has allowed just one earned run in his last three starts. Matt Garza doesn't get much run support from the Cubs offense. The Cubs have scored just one run in their last 20 innings. Take the home team here.
|
05-20-12 |
Los Angeles Angels v. San Diego Padres UNDER 6.5 |
|
2-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 18 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Doug Eddings has been the best 'under' umpire in baseball for the last few years. Eddings calls more strikes than any other umpire in baseball. Ervin Santana and Anthony Bass have both improved as the season has gone along, and I expect both of them to use PetCo's dimensions as well as Eddings' strike zone to their advantage. The under is a stunning 21-4-4 in Santana's last 29 games overall. The under is 7-0-1 in his last 8 as a road favorite. The under is 16-4-1 in Eddings' last 21 interleague games behind the dish. Look for a very low scoring game. Take the under.
|
05-20-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Washington Nationals UNDER 6.5 |
|
3-9 |
Loss |
-115 |
12 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Stephen Strasburg struggled through his last start, and I fully expect him to bounce back in a big way here. Strasburg is an extremely talented pitcher who hasn't had a bad outing twice in a row before. Chen is a very good pitcher for the Orioles as well, and the Nationals struggle badly against lefties. Chen shut down the Rangers and the Yankees in his last two starts, so I expect him to fare well against a Nationals team that averages less than 3 runs per game against lefties. Both pitchers should be locked in on Sunday. Take the under.
|
05-19-12 |
Boston Red Sox -105 v. Philadelphia Phillies |
|
7-5 |
Win
|
100 |
16 h 33 m |
Show
|
*3 Star Red Sox/Phillies Moneyline CASH* Jon Lester hasn't been terrific this year, but he has been better in his last couple outings. The Phillies are batting just .240 against lefties this year. Joe Blanton has been very solid of late, but I expect him to struggle against one of the better lineups in baseball. There hasn't been a better team in interleague play than Boston over the last few years. The Red Sox are 86-37 in their last 123 interleague games. Boston's offense should be the difference here. Take the Red Sox.
|
05-19-12 |
Atlanta Braves -102 v. Tampa Bay Rays |
|
2-5 |
Loss |
-102 |
12 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Atlanta Braves have the best offense in the National League right now. They are a team with depth that can fit right into the American League DH rule in interleague play. Tampa Bay's offense is short-handed and they simply don't have the offensive firepower that Atlanta has. Jason Heyward has been batting 7th for the Braves, and that should tell you how good their offense is. Alex Cobb had a 4.09 ERA in the minors and I think he'll struggle against Atlanta. Randall Delgado has been pitching great of late. Take Atlanta.
|
05-19-12 |
Miami Marlins -107 v. Cleveland Indians |
|
0-2 |
Loss |
-107 |
13 h 4 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Anibal Sanchez flies under the radar pretty well, but he is a very good starting pitcher. Sanchez is remarkably consistent and he can really rack up the strikeouts. Cleveland's lineup is pretty good, but Sanchez has been great on the road in the past. Jeanmar Gomez is a decent pitcher, but he doesn't have the stuff Sanchez does. The Marlins lineup is finally heating up a bit. The Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -150 or less. The Indians are 0-8 in their last 8 against the NL East. Take the Marlins here.
|
05-19-12 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers UNDER 8 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 43 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Pirates have one of the worst offenses in the majors. Pittsburgh averages 2.85 runs per game which is worst in the majors. Drew Smyly has been very good in his rookie year for the Tigers. A.J. Burnett has had four great starts and one awful start. The Tigers offense has been disappointing this year and they'll be without Austin Jackson here. Bill Miller is the umpire here and he is one of my favorite 'under' umpires. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings at Detroit. The under is 11-1-1 in the Pirates last 13 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in Pittsburgh's last 5 against the AL Central. Take the under.
|
05-19-12 |
New York Mets v. Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 |
Top |
0-2 |
Win
|
106 |
9 h 12 m |
Show
|
*5 Star MLB Early Bird Top Play* Toronto smashed New York 14-5 last night. Miguel Batista is 41 years old and he'll be on the mound for the Mets in this one. Batista had an ERA of over 6 in his last year starting regularly, and the Mets are attempting to start him when he has worse stuff several years later. This seems like a recipe for disaster. The Blue Jays can hit the baseball extremely well, and they should be very confident now. Brandon Morrow is a very talented pitcher who has terrific stuff. David Wright is expected to be given the day off, and with him out of the lineup the Mets offense isn't very good. The Blue Jays have big advantages all over in this one. Toronto is 6-0 in Morrow's last 6 interleague starts. The home team is 40-14 in Mike Muchlinski (home plate umpire) last 54 games. Take Toronto -1.5 big.
|
05-18-12 |
St Louis: L Lynn -116 v. Los Angeles: T Lilly |
Top |
5-6 |
Loss |
-116 |
21 h 20 m |
Show
|
*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The St. Louis Cardinals haven't been playing quite as well lately, but they are still one of the best teams in the National League. The Dodgers have a great record, but without Matt Kemp in the middle of the order they aren't the same team. St. Louis has a very good lineup with Beltran, Holliday, Berkman, and Freese. The Dodgers are left with just Ethier right now. Lance Lynn has a quality start in all seven of his starts this year. Ted Lilly has been good this year, but the Cardinals hit lefties well. The Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a lefty. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Lynn's last 5 road starts. The Dodgers are 1-7 in Lilly's last 8 home starts against a team with a winning record. This 18-1 angle backs this play. Take St. Louis big.
|
05-18-12 |
Arizona Diamondbacks v. Kansas City Royals OVER 8.5 |
|
6-4 |
Win
|
100 |
20 h 30 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Joe Saunders is a very streaky pitcher. He looked great at the beginning of the year, but he has been shelled in his last two outings. He is a fly ball pitcher, and the wind is expected to be blowing out at 15 mph in this game. Luis Mendoza doesn't have great stuff, and I don't expect him to be able to shut down Arizona. Both of these guys put too many people on base, and I expect that to bite them in this game. The over is 10-1 in the Royals last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 8-3-2 in the last 13 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
|
05-18-12 |
Minnesota Twins +136 v. Milwaukee Brewers |
|
11-3 |
Win
|
136 |
19 h 28 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Scott Diamond was terrific in AAA this year, and the Twins called him up a couple weeks ago. Diamond is 2-0 and has yet to allow a run at all in his two starts. Marco Estrada starts for the Brewers, and he has never had much success at all as a starting pitcher. Estrada has a 4.20 ERA this year. The Twins have won two straight, and they are healthier than they have been all year. With Willingham, Mauer, and Morneau in the middle of the order they can do some damage. At this price, I like the Twins.
|
05-18-12 |
Texas Rangers v. Houston Astros +1.5 |
|
4-1 |
Loss |
-115 |
19 h 13 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* The Houston Astros aren't a good team, and the Texas Rangers are a very good team. It might seem strange that I am siding with the Astros here, but that shows just how much I think of Wandy Rodriguez. Rodriguez is dominating at home, and Neftali Feliz is still unproven as a starter. The Astros are 12-8 at home this season. Texas is a big favorite here, so we don't have to pay much juice at all to get Houston +1.5. Rodriguez has a 1.99 ERA this year, so I expect this game to stay close. Take Houston +1.5.
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05-18-12 |
Pittsburgh Pirates v. Detroit Tigers -1.5 |
|
0-6 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 25 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Justin Verlander is the best pitcher in baseball right now. Verlander should mow down this Pirates offense that struggles against ordinary pitchers on a nightly basis. Charlie Morton is a mediocre pitcher and I think the Tigers offense is due for a breakout. Look for them to get to him in this game. The Pirates are 0-12 in their last 12 Interleague games when they are +200 or greater on the moneyline. The Tigers are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 Interleague starts. This one is a mismatch. Take the Tigers -1.5.
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05-17-12 |
Milwaukee: S Marcum -1.5 v. Houston: J Happ |
|
0-4 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 36 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Shaun Marcum hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in a game all year. J.A. Happ hasn't allowed less than three earned runs all year. Happ puts far too many runners on base, and that gets him into a lot of trouble. Happ has a miserable 6.25 ERA against the Brewers in more than 30 innings in his career. Shaun Marcum has pitched 14 scoreless innings in his career at Minute Maid Park. The Brewers have the much better lineup and the better pitcher here. Milwaukee is 11-2 in their last 13 at Houston. Take the Brewers -1.5.
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05-17-12 |
Baltimore Orioles v. Kansas City Royals OVER 9 |
|
5-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 30 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Orioles have shocked the baseball world so far this year, and they have done it with their very impressive lineup. The Royals are much better than they started the season, and they have lots of young talent in their lineup. Brian Matusz and Luke Hochevar have both been extremely inconsistent on the mound this year. Both have an ERA of about 6 in day games in their career. The total is set pretty high, but that shouldn't be a problem. The over is 17-5-5 in Hochevar's last 27 starts with a total of 9-10.5. The over is 5-1 in the Orioles last 6 games with a total of 9-10.5. Take the over.
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05-17-12 |
Cincinnati Reds -111 v. New York Mets |
|
4-9 |
Loss |
-111 |
10 h 23 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Cincinnati Reds came back to win 6-3 last night over the Mets. The Mets bullpen may well be the worst in baseball this year, and they have an ERA well over 5. The Reds have one of the best bullpens in the majors. R.A. Dickey has been good this year, but he has pitched quite a bit worse during the daytime in his career. Mat Latos has pitched quite a bit better in his last few starts. The Reds have the better lineup and the better bullpen. The Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 at New York. The Mets are 2-8 in Dickey's last 10 starts against the NL Central. Take the Reds.
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05-16-12 |
Oakland: T Milone v. Texas: Y Darvish -1.5 |
|
1-4 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 34 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Texas Rangers were swept in a two-game home series by the Kansas City Royals. Texas can't be very happy about that, and I think that sets this spot up perfectly. Tom Milone has an ERA of 7.84 on the road this year. Milone doesn't have dominant stuff and I think the Rangers will knock him out of the game early. Yu Darvish will pitch for the Rangers. Darvish has amazing stuff and the Athletics offense is one of the worst in the American League. This one looks like a real mismatch. Take Texas -1.5.
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05-16-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. New York Mets -134 |
|
6-3 |
Loss |
-134 |
17 h 0 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Many expected Johan Santana to struggle this year, but he has been terrific. Santana has allowed more than three earned runs just once this year. He has been dealing of late. Mike Leake has an ERA over 7 this year. The Mets have the 6th best team batting average in the majors, and I think they'll take advantage of his command issues. The Mets are 5-0 in Santana's last 5 starts against the Reds. The Reds are 0-4 in Leake's last 4 starts. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 against a right-handed pitcher. This 13-0 winning angle backs the Mets here. Take New York.
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05-16-12 |
Pittsburgh: E Bedard v. Washington: G Gonzalez UNDER 6.5 |
|
4-7 |
Loss |
-120 |
17 h 50 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Two of the worst offenses in the National League get together in this one. Washington is without Werth and Morse. The Pirates offense has scored more than 5 runs just three times in 35 games. Gio Gonzalez has been dominant this year. Gonzalez has a 1.94 ERA. Erik Bedard hasn't gotten any run support, but he has a terrific 2.57 ERA as well. The Nationals average a miserable 2.53 runs per game against lefties. The Pirates average just 3.14 runs per game against lefties. The under is 22-7-3 in the Pirates last 32 games. The under is 6-1 in Bedard's last 7 starts. Take the under.
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05-15-12 |
Kansas City: V Mazzaro v. Texas: C Lewis -1.5 |
|
7-4 |
Loss |
-116 |
19 h 30 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Vin Mazzaro had an ERA over 8 last year, and he is a pitcher who relies heavily on hitting the corners. Paul Schrieber is the home plate umpire here and he has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in the majors. I expect Texas to bounce back from last night's subpar offensive performance with a huge showing here. Colby Lewis isn't dominating, but he has much more potential than Mazzaro. The Rangers have the best offense in baseball right now. Look for the Rangers to win this one big. Take Texas -1.5.
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05-15-12 |
Kansas City: V Mazzaro v. Texas: C Lewis OVER 10 |
Top |
7-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 5 m |
Show
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*5 Star MLB Top Play Total* The Kansas City Royals are sending Vin Mazzaro to the hill in this one. Mazzaro had an ERA over 8 last year! He hasn't pitched yet this year, and the team is really throwing him to the wolves by pitching him against the Rangers in Arlington. Colby Lewis struggles at home, and the Royals have a solid offense. Paul Schrieber is the umpire here, and he is a terrific over umpire. He has the lowest called percentage of strikes of any umpire in baseball this year by a large margin. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. The over is 6-1 in Lewis' last 7 Tuesday Starts. The over is 6-1 in the Rangers last 7 games. Take the over big!
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05-15-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Atlanta Braves UNDER 7 |
|
2-6 |
Loss |
-110 |
18 h 19 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Hudson looked much better in his last start, and I think he is a guy who will round into form nicely this year. Johnny Cueto has arguably been the most consistently very good pitcher in the majors so far this year. Cueto has a dazzling 1.12 ERA. The under is 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 home games. The under is 5-0-1 in Cueto's last 6 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in Cueto's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. All signs point to this being a very low scoring game. Take the under.
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05-15-12 |
Tampa Bay: D Price v. Toronto: H Alvarez UNDER 7.5 |
|
4-3 |
Win
|
100 |
18 h 7 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Tampa Bay Rays offense has been better the last two days, but without Longoria they typically struggle to score. David Price has been terrific in his history against the Blue Jays. He has handled almost everyone in the lineup expect Jose Bautista. Bill Miller is one of my favorite 'under' umpires, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. Henderson Alvarez has a 0.82 ERA in his last three starts. Look for both pitchers to take advantage of a big strike zone. Take the under.
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05-15-12 |
Detroit Tigers v. Chicago White Sox OVER 7.5 |
|
10-8 |
Win
|
100 |
13 h 20 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* A game with these two pitchers going with a total of 7.5 got my attention pretty quickly. The Tigers offense has been heating up a bit of late, and I think Peavy is due for some regression. Max Scherzer has a WHIP of 1.62 and an ERA of 5.73 on the season. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 15 to 20 mph, so the ball should really be traveling (especially in the heat of the day in this afternoon game). I really like the value on the over in this matchup.
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05-14-12 |
Cleveland Indians -120 v. Minnesota Twins |
|
5-4 |
Win
|
100 |
19 h 7 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Indians were trashed in Boston this past weekend, but I still believe this is a solid baseball team. Jeanmar Gomez isn't a great pitcher, but he is underrated by the oddsmakers. The Indians are 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Minnesota's offense is very short-handed right now. Carl Pavano has a 5.02 ERA on the season, and the Indians have hit the ball very well on the road this year. Cleveland is 7-0 in their last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are 4-0 in Gomez's last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. The Indians are also 8-1 in their last 9 meetings with the Twins. Take Cleveland.
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05-14-12 |
Detroit Tigers -109 v. Chicago White Sox |
|
5-7 |
Loss |
-109 |
18 h 50 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Drew Smyly has been very good in his rookie season in the majors. Smyly has a 1.59 ERA in 34 innings this season. The White Sox have been awful against lefties this year. Chicago is hitting .193 as a team and scoring just 2.51 runs per game against lefties. The Tigers have hit John Danks extremely well in the past. Danks has an ERA over 5 against Detroit in his career. The White Sox are 1-5 in Danks' last 6 starts against the Tigers. The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 against a lefty. Detroit is 12-5 in their last 17 games at Chicago. Take Detroit.
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05-14-12 |
Cincinnati Reds v. Atlanta Braves OVER 8.5 |
|
3-1 |
Loss |
-105 |
18 h 17 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Joey Votto went off for 3 HR's and 6 RBI's to rally the Reds to a big 9-6 walkoff win yesterday against Washington. The Reds offense should finish as one of the best in the National League, and this might be the thing to get them going. Atlanta has the best offense in the National League right now. The Braves average 5.40 runs per game. Homer Bailey hasn't pitched well this year, and he has a 5.40 ERA on the road. The Braves should put up 5 or 6 runs here. Randall Delgado doesn't have dominating stuff, and I think the Reds offense could do some damage. The over is 21-9 in Bailey's last 30 starts. Take the over.
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05-13-12 |
LA Anaheim: J Weaver v. Texas: N Feliz UNDER 8.5 |
|
6-13 |
Loss |
-100 |
18 h 8 m |
Show
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*3 Star Sunday Night Baseball Total Domination* Jeff Weaver has been the best pitcher in baseball so far this year. Texas has been the best offense in baseball. Neftali Feliz has been extremely good in his time as a starter this year, and the Angels offense is struggling in a big way. Dan Bellino is a solid under umpire. The under is 11-1 in his last 12 games behind the dish. Both of these pitchers are guys who will take advantage of his wide strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Texas' last 6 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in Weaver's last 5 starts against Texas. Take the under.
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05-13-12 |
Cleveland Indians +128 v. Boston Red Sox |
|
1-12 |
Loss |
-100 |
12 h 44 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Boston Red Sox have taken the last two games of this series from the Cleveland Indians. I'm still not convinced that Boston's team chemistry is what it needs to be right now. The Red Sox lineup is very short-handed right now as well. Many backups are playing and Justin Masterson has been great at Fenway. Masterson is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA at Fenway Park. The Indians are 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 starts against Boston. The Red Sox are 1-4 in Bard's last 5 starts. The Indians lineup is underrated. I like the value. Take Cleveland.
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05-13-12 |
San Diego Padres v. Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 |
|
2-3 |
Loss |
-100 |
11 h 24 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Cole Hamels has been consistently very good this year. He has a 2.45 ERA overall this year. He shut down the Padres in his first outing against them this year. Jeff Suppan has been a nice story in his first two games back in the majors, but I don't expect it to continue. Suppan had a 4.78 ERA in AAA last season, and he won't be pitching at PetCo Park here. The Phillies offense isn't good right now, but they are much better than the Padres. A huge pitching advantage and a big hitting advantage equals a mismatch here. Take Philadelphia -1.5.
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05-12-12 |
San Francisco Giants v. Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8 |
|
5-2 |
Loss |
-100 |
17 h 32 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Total Value* Chase Field is a hitters paradise when the roof is open, especially when it is very hot. The expected temperature at game time is 98 degrees here. The heat with low humidity really makes the ball fly. Matt Cain has struggled here in the past. Trevor Cahill didn't fare well in two games at home earlier this year when the roof was open. Both offenses have struggled a bit of late, but a total set at 8 with the roof open here is tough to pass up. I expect several home run balls in this one. Look for this to go over the posted total.
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05-12-12 |
Atlanta Braves v. St.Louis Cardinals OVER 7.5 |
|
7-2 |
Win
|
107 |
16 h 37 m |
Show
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*3 Star MLB Total Domination* These are the top two offenses in the National League right now. Atlanta has scored at least 9 runs in 4 of their last 9 games. The Braves offense is really clicking with Freddie Freeman having a breakout season and Michael Bourn getting on base with consistency. The Cardinals have a great lineup as well, and they actually lead the National League in runs. Carlos Beltran looks like the Beltran of old. Adam Wainwright hasn't been just right so far this year. Brandon Beachy has been awesome, but I think he'll struggle some against this great Cardinals lineup. The over is 8-0 in the Cards last 8 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 3-0-1 in Wainwright's last 4 starts against Atlanta. The over is 4-0 in Beachy's last 4 against the NL Central. Take the over.
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05-12-12 |
San Diego: E Volquez v. Philadelphia: R Halladay -1.5 |
|
2-1 |
Loss |
-100 |
15 h 16 m |
Show
|
*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The San Diego Padres simply don't have much of an offense. They are almost always overmatched by the opposing pitcher, and that is especially true against Roy Halladay. Edinson Volquez is pitching well right now, but he has only started one game away from PetCo Park all year (that was in Dodger Stadium). This will be his first test in a hitters ballpark. The Phillies lineup is showing signs of improvement of late, and they are far better than the Padres lineup. Halladay should dominate the Padres hitters, and I think the Phillies will make Volquez pay for some mistakes. Take the Phillies -1.5.
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