*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Many expected Johan Santana to struggle this year, but he has been terrific. Santana has allowed more than three earned runs just once this year. He has been dealing of late. Mike Leake has an ERA over 7 this year. The Mets have the 6th best team batting average in the majors, and I think they'll take advantage of his command issues. The Mets are 5-0 in Santana's last 5 starts against the Reds. The Reds are 0-4 in Leake's last 4 starts. The Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 against a right-handed pitcher. This 13-0 winning angle backs the Mets here. Take New York.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Two of the worst offenses in the National League get together in this one. Washington is without Werth and Morse. The Pirates offense has scored more than 5 runs just three times in 35 games. Gio Gonzalez has been dominant this year. Gonzalez has a 1.94 ERA. Erik Bedard hasn't gotten any run support, but he has a terrific 2.57 ERA as well. The Nationals average a miserable 2.53 runs per game against lefties. The Pirates average just 3.14 runs per game against lefties. The under is 22-7-3 in the Pirates last 32 games. The under is 6-1 in Bedard's last 7 starts. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Vin Mazzaro had an ERA over 8 last year, and he is a pitcher who relies heavily on hitting the corners. Paul Schrieber is the home plate umpire here and he has the smallest strike zone of any umpire in the majors. I expect Texas to bounce back from last night's subpar offensive performance with a huge showing here. Colby Lewis isn't dominating, but he has much more potential than Mazzaro. The Rangers have the best offense in baseball right now. Look for the Rangers to win this one big. Take Texas -1.5.

*5 Star MLB Top Play Total* The Kansas City Royals are sending Vin Mazzaro to the hill in this one. Mazzaro had an ERA over 8 last year! He hasn't pitched yet this year, and the team is really throwing him to the wolves by pitching him against the Rangers in Arlington. Colby Lewis struggles at home, and the Royals have a solid offense. Paul Schrieber is the umpire here, and he is a terrific over umpire. He has the lowest called percentage of strikes of any umpire in baseball this year by a large margin. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. The over is 6-1 in Lewis' last 7 Tuesday Starts. The over is 6-1 in the Rangers last 7 games. Take the over big!

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Tim Hudson looked much better in his last start, and I think he is a guy who will round into form nicely this year. Johnny Cueto has arguably been the most consistently very good pitcher in the majors so far this year. Cueto has a dazzling 1.12 ERA. The under is 5-0 in Hudson's last 5 home games. The under is 5-0-1 in Cueto's last 6 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in Cueto's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. All signs point to this being a very low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Tampa Bay Rays offense has been better the last two days, but without Longoria they typically struggle to score. David Price has been terrific in his history against the Blue Jays. He has handled almost everyone in the lineup expect Jose Bautista. Bill Miller is one of my favorite 'under' umpires, and he'll be behind the dish in this one. Henderson Alvarez has a 0.82 ERA in his last three starts. Look for both pitchers to take advantage of a big strike zone. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* A game with these two pitchers going with a total of 7.5 got my attention pretty quickly. The Tigers offense has been heating up a bit of late, and I think Peavy is due for some regression. Max Scherzer has a WHIP of 1.62 and an ERA of 5.73 on the season. The wind is expected to be blowing out at 15 to 20 mph, so the ball should really be traveling (especially in the heat of the day in this afternoon game). I really like the value on the over in this matchup.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Indians were trashed in Boston this past weekend, but I still believe this is a solid baseball team. Jeanmar Gomez isn't a great pitcher, but he is underrated by the oddsmakers. The Indians are 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Minnesota's offense is very short-handed right now. Carl Pavano has a 5.02 ERA on the season, and the Indians have hit the ball very well on the road this year. Cleveland is 7-0 in their last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. They are 4-0 in Gomez's last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. The Indians are also 8-1 in their last 9 meetings with the Twins. Take Cleveland.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Drew Smyly has been very good in his rookie season in the majors. Smyly has a 1.59 ERA in 34 innings this season. The White Sox have been awful against lefties this year. Chicago is hitting .193 as a team and scoring just 2.51 runs per game against lefties. The Tigers have hit John Danks extremely well in the past. Danks has an ERA over 5 against Detroit in his career. The White Sox are 1-5 in Danks' last 6 starts against the Tigers. The White Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 against a lefty. Detroit is 12-5 in their last 17 games at Chicago. Take Detroit.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Joey Votto went off for 3 HR's and 6 RBI's to rally the Reds to a big 9-6 walkoff win yesterday against Washington. The Reds offense should finish as one of the best in the National League, and this might be the thing to get them going. Atlanta has the best offense in the National League right now. The Braves average 5.40 runs per game. Homer Bailey hasn't pitched well this year, and he has a 5.40 ERA on the road. The Braves should put up 5 or 6 runs here. Randall Delgado doesn't have dominating stuff, and I think the Reds offense could do some damage. The over is 21-9 in Bailey's last 30 starts. Take the over.

*3 Star Sunday Night Baseball Total Domination* Jeff Weaver has been the best pitcher in baseball so far this year. Texas has been the best offense in baseball. Neftali Feliz has been extremely good in his time as a starter this year, and the Angels offense is struggling in a big way. Dan Bellino is a solid under umpire. The under is 11-1 in his last 12 games behind the dish. Both of these pitchers are guys who will take advantage of his wide strike zone. The under is 6-0 in Texas' last 6 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in Weaver's last 5 starts against Texas. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Boston Red Sox have taken the last two games of this series from the Cleveland Indians. I'm still not convinced that Boston's team chemistry is what it needs to be right now. The Red Sox lineup is very short-handed right now as well. Many backups are playing and Justin Masterson has been great at Fenway. Masterson is 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA at Fenway Park. The Indians are 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 starts against Boston. The Red Sox are 1-4 in Bard's last 5 starts. The Indians lineup is underrated. I like the value. Take Cleveland.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Cole Hamels has been consistently very good this year. He has a 2.45 ERA overall this year. He shut down the Padres in his first outing against them this year. Jeff Suppan has been a nice story in his first two games back in the majors, but I don't expect it to continue. Suppan had a 4.78 ERA in AAA last season, and he won't be pitching at PetCo Park here. The Phillies offense isn't good right now, but they are much better than the Padres. A huge pitching advantage and a big hitting advantage equals a mismatch here. Take Philadelphia -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Chase Field is a hitters paradise when the roof is open, especially when it is very hot. The expected temperature at game time is 98 degrees here. The heat with low humidity really makes the ball fly. Matt Cain has struggled here in the past. Trevor Cahill didn't fare well in two games at home earlier this year when the roof was open. Both offenses have struggled a bit of late, but a total set at 8 with the roof open here is tough to pass up. I expect several home run balls in this one. Look for this to go over the posted total.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* These are the top two offenses in the National League right now. Atlanta has scored at least 9 runs in 4 of their last 9 games. The Braves offense is really clicking with Freddie Freeman having a breakout season and Michael Bourn getting on base with consistency. The Cardinals have a great lineup as well, and they actually lead the National League in runs. Carlos Beltran looks like the Beltran of old. Adam Wainwright hasn't been just right so far this year. Brandon Beachy has been awesome, but I think he'll struggle some against this great Cardinals lineup. The over is 8-0 in the Cards last 8 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The over is 3-0-1 in Wainwright's last 4 starts against Atlanta. The over is 4-0 in Beachy's last 4 against the NL Central. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The San Diego Padres simply don't have much of an offense. They are almost always overmatched by the opposing pitcher, and that is especially true against Roy Halladay. Edinson Volquez is pitching well right now, but he has only started one game away from PetCo Park all year (that was in Dodger Stadium). This will be his first test in a hitters ballpark. The Phillies lineup is showing signs of improvement of late, and they are far better than the Padres lineup. Halladay should dominate the Padres hitters, and I think the Phillies will make Volquez pay for some mistakes. Take the Phillies -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* It was just a matter of time before the Detroit lineup had a huge game, and they did it last night against Bartolo Colon. The Tigers scored 10 runs and Miguel Cabrera had a huge game. Milone has pitched well twice at home this year, but I don't think he has the stuff to shut down Detroit. Rick Porcello is a very inconsistent pitcher, and he has fared poorly on the West Coast. The over is 17-4-1 in Porcello's last 22 against the AL West. The over is 4-1 in Porcello's last 5 against Oakland. This one is set too low. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Boston Red Sox are a complete mess right now. The offense is still pretty good, but the pitching staff is in shambles and team chemistry is awful. Ubaldo Jimenez has shown some positive signs of late. Clay Buchholz has a WHIP of 2.30 this year. He is walking people and getting beat around as well. The Indians offense is much better than people realize right now. Cleveland has an advantage all around here. I think the Indians should be favored. Cleveland is 10-1 in their last 11 Friday games. The Red Sox are 0-6 in their last 6 games as a home favorite. They are also 2-14 in their last 16 against a right-handed pitcher. Take the Indians.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Seattle Mariners aren't a very good baseball team, but they have clearly taken some positive steps compared to last year. Felix Hernandez is still one of the best pitchers in the league, and he has dominated the Yankees at Yankee Stadium in the past. He has an ERA under 1 in his last three starts at New York. The Yankees offense has been scuffling a bit of late anyways. Seattle is 6-1 in Hernandez's last 7 against the Yankees. At a sizable amount of plus money, the Mariners are the play.

*3 Star MLB Top Total* The Washington Nationals are terrible offensively right now. They are winning because they have the best team ERA in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates offense is one of the worst in baseball. Washington is without Werth and Morse right now. Erik Bedard has a 2.65 ERA this year, and Ross Detwiler has a sparkling 1.65 ERA. Detwiler is a major breakout candidate this year. The under is 12-3-1 in the Pirates last 16 home games. The under is 12-3-1 in Detwiler's last 16 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in Detwiler's last 6 as a road underdog. Take the under here.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers haven't been hitting the ball well at all lately. They did take advantage of Homer Bailey's wildness last night, but Johnny Cueto is a much better pitcher. Zack Greinke is awesome at home, and with this being a get away day I expect some key Reds to be sitting out. Cueto has an amazing 0.81 ERA in his last three starts, while Grienke's is a respectable 3.12. Look for both pitchers to have a lot of success and go deep into the game here. I like the value on the under.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The San Francisco Giants offense is hurting in a big way right now. With Sandoval going down with an injury, it really left a void in an already weak lineup. Ryan Vogelsong was great last year, but he hasn't looked the same this year. The Dodgers hit .333 as a team against Vogelsong. Clayton Kershaw is a dominating pitcher, and he has had the Giants number over the last few years. The Dodgers are 6-1 in Kershaw's last 7 starts against the Giants. The Dodgers are 22-6 in Kershaw's last 28 starts. Take the Dodgers -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Chase Field is a whole different ballpark when the roof is open. The roof is expected to be open for this game. The low humidity and high temperatures make the ball carry extremely well here. Last night's game saw 6 home run balls leave the yard. The Cardinals hit five of those homers. Ian Kennedy has started twice in his career against the Cardinals and he hasn't fared well in either start. He has a 12.00 ERA against the Cards. Jake Westbrook is a streaky pitcher, and he was shaky in his last start. The over is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games. The over is 4-0 in Kennedy's last 4 home starts. The over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings at Arizona. The over is 6-0-1 in Tim Welke (umpire) last 7 games with Arizona. In all, a 21-0 angle backs this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error Total* The Boston Red Sox have been pounding left-handed pitching this year. Boston piled up 11 runs last night. Danny Duffy has started twice against Boston, and he has struggled badly in both outings. Daniel Bard still hasn't put it all together in the starting rotation just yet. The total here is set awfully low for two solid offenses and two pitchers who have a lot to prove. The over is 12-2 in the Red Sox last 14 against a lefty. The over is 17-6 in Chris Guccione (umpire) last 23 games behind home plate. Look for this one to go over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox played a 17 inning game and lost to the Orioles yesterday. The Red Sox pen was spent after the game. Felix Doubront may have to go ahead and labor through more innings in this one, and I think that will give the Royals more chances to score. Boston averages 6.54 runs against left-handed pitchers so far this year. Both of these pitchers allow a ton of base runners, and in the end that usually comes back to bite you. The over is 4-0 in the Red Sox last 4 overall in Game One of a series. The over is 8-0 in the Royals last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. This 12-0 winning angle backs the over, and I like both offenses to put up several here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Houston Astros have been much better than most people expected so far this year. Houston is 13-15 overall and 9-6 at home. Wandy Rodriguez has been terrific in his career at Minute Maid Park. Rodriguez has a 3.35 ERA at home and has a solid winning record despite playing for a bad team. Carlos Zambrano has been good so far this year, but he isn't reliable or consistent. The Marlins offense has been underachieving all year, and they are hitting .199 as a team against lefties. The Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 home games. They are 4-0 in Rodriguez's last 4 Monday games. Take the Astros.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Baltimore Orioles swept away the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park this past weekend. Baltimore has been excellent against left-handed pitching this year. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 games against a lefty. Texas has a major league leading .296 batting average as a team against left-handed pitchers. With plenty of powerful right-handed hitters in the lineup, the Rangers should be able to score several against Matusz. Harrison has had two terrible games in a row, and this Orioles offense is good. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Atlanta Braves came back from behind 6-0 after two innings to win 13-9 last night in Colorado. I played the Braves in that game, and I'm going to play them again here. The Braves may well have the best offense in the National League, and that equals lots of runs at Coors Field. Brandon Beachy is a much improved pitcher. Beachy has an ERA of 1.38 so far this year. The Rockies have a good middle of the order, but the rest of the lineup isn't nearly as strong as the Braves lineup. Atlanta is 9-0 in their last 9 as road favorites. The Braves are also 5-0 in Beachy's last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. Take Atlanta.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Phil Hughes and Luke Hochevar both have an ERA over 7 so far this year. Both of these guys make far too many mistakes and are capable of giving up a huge inning. The Yankees offense hasn't been very good of late, but they are definitely still very dangerous. Kansas City is a much better offensive team than they have shown so far this year. Past history is giving us a solid value here. Both teams are hitting poorly right now, but this pitching matchup should equal plenty of runs. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Astros offense has been surprisingly good this year. Houston is averaging 4.85 runs per game this season. They have been particularly good at home. Adam Wainwright is a very good pitcher, but he still isn't completely healthy right now. He hasn't been dominant in any game this year, and his ERA is over 6. JA Happ is a great pitcher for overs because he allows so many base runners. The Cardinals have one of the best offenses in the National League. The over is 5-0 in the Cardinals last 5 games. The over is 24-7 in the Astros last 31 games. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings overall. A 35-7 winning angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Atlanta Braves offense has been the best in the National League so far this year. Putting the best offense in the league up against Jamie Moyer makes me like this game very much. Moyer is a nice story, but I just can't see him having success against good offenses at Coors Field. Look for the Braves to knock him out of this game very early. Mike Minor is an impressive prospect for the Braves, and I like backing him. The Braves are 8-0 in Minor's last 8 starts on 4 days rest. The Rockies are 2-10 in their last 12 against a lefty. Take Atlanta.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bartolo Colon has been terrific this year. Colon has been commanding his pitches better than he has in years. Colon has a 2.5 ERA on the year. Jeremy Hellickson also has a 2.5 ERA this year. The Rays are without Evan Longoria right now, and the Athletics offense is very weak. Paul Nauert is a bit of an under umpire, which should help some as well. The under is 17-3 in Hellickson's last 20 home starts. The under is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 starts. The under is 5-0 in Hellickson's last 5 starts against the AL West. A 26-3 winning angle backs the under here. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Bud Norris has been spectacular against the St. Louis Cardinals in his career. In fact, the Astros are 8-2 in his last 10 starts against the Cardinals. Houston isn't a good team, but they are scrappy, and they are playing quite well at home so far this year. Jaime Garcia isn't even close to the same pitcher on the road that he is at home. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 meetings with Garcia. This value is too much for me to pass up based on previous matchups. Take Houston.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been a major disappointment this year. The Pirates have been dreadful offensively. Andrew McCutcheon is ill and is questionable for this game. He is clearly the Pirates best hitter. Mike Leake has been bad this year, but he has a nice history against the Pirates. James McDonald has been very good this season, and he has handled the Reds well in the past. Ron Kulpa is the umpire in this one and he is a very solid under umpire thanks to his large strike zone. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Max Scherzer has struggled in a big way this season. He sports a WHIP that is above 2. Clearly, he is allowing far too many base runners. He has managed to limit the damage at times, but allowing so many runners will come back to bite him in the long run. Gavin Floyd has been pretty good this year, but he hasn't been good against the Tigers in the past. The over is 5-1 in his last 6 road starts in Detroit. The over is 5-1 in Scherzer's last 6 home starts. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Wade Miley was a first round draft pick in 2008, so people in the league knew he had tons of potential. He seems to be realizing that potential right now. He hasn't allowed an earned run so far this year in two starts. He flirted with a no-hitter in his last start. The Mets are hitting just .247 as a team against left-handers. Dillon Gee is extremely inconsistent, and he has actually been worse at home in his career. The Mets are 0-8 in Gee's last 8 games following a quality start. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in his last 5 starts following a quality start. Take Arizona.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* I expected the Tigers to be -125 or -130 here. Jake Peavy has pitched brilliantly so far this year, but I still don't think he is back to his old self. Peavy doesn't have the same velocity he used to, and he has been very inconsistent over the past two years. The Tigers offense hasn't been very good so far this year, but I'm confident they'll pick it up and be very good this year. Drew Smyly isn't getting enough credit, and the White Sox hit .196 as a team against left-handed pitching. I like the Tigers here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Johnny Cueto has been one of the best pitchers in the National League in the past year. Cueto has an ERA of 1.3 so far this year. He had a breakout season in 2011, and it seems he is just continuing to get better. The Pirates aren't a good offensive team, and the Reds are 7-1 in Cueto's last 8 starts at Pittsburgh. Kevin Correia is struggling with a minor injury, and he couldn't locate his pitches last game. He walked five Braves in that game. The Reds are a patient offense. The Pirates are just 1-5 in Correia's last 6 home starts. Take the Reds.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Ian Kennedy nearly won the NL Cy Young award last year, but the oddsmakers aren't giving him much credit at this point. Arizona doesn't have a great offense without Chris Young and Stephen Drew, but they still have a more consistent offense than Washington. Ross Detwiler has been very good this year, but he hasn't faced many good offenses. I don't expect the Nationals to put many runs on the board against Kennedy. The Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Kennedy's last 5 starts as a road favorite. Take Arizona.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* Anibal Sanchez has started two games at AT&T Park in his career. He has two complete game shutouts in those games. In the month of May, Sanchez has a 2.82 career ERA. Sanchez struck out a career-high 14 in his last outing, and he has been very good in all three of his starts this year. Ryan Vogelsong was one of the best stories in baseball last year, but I think he is coming down to earth a bit this year. Vogelsong hasn't been dominant this year at all. The Marlins offense has scuffled this year, but this lineup is certainly more talented than the Giants lineup. I give the Marlins the edge offensively and on the mound here. The Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games at San Francisco. The Giants are just 1-6 in Vogelsong's last 7 home starts. Take the Marlins big here.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* It was tough to see Roy Halladay blow a 6-0 lead when I had the Phillies ML yesterday, but this Braves offense is really showing how good it is right now. There isn't a better offense in the National League than the Braves at this point. Philadelphia is better offensively than they showed early in the year as well. Randall Delgado has issued 12 walks in just three starts this year. Joe Blanton has been torched by several guys on the Braves roster. Both of these pitchers have a high WHIP. The over is 18-8-1 in Blanton's last 27 road starts. The over is 6-1 in the Phillies last 7 road games. Both bullpens were used heavily last night. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* It is very rare that you'll be able to get Roy Halladay at nearly even money. Halladay has been the most consistent pitcher in the majors for the last few years. Tommy Hanson is a good pitcher as well, but he does give up some big innings every once in a while. Halladay has an ERA under 2 so far in 2012. The Phillies are 8-0 in their last 8 meetings with Atlanta. The Phillies are 8-0 in Halladay's last 8 Wednesday starts. The Braves are 0-5 in Hanson's last 5 starts against the NL East. A perfect 23-0 angle backs this one. Take Philadelphia.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Seattle Mariners don't have a good offense, but they have surprisingly great numbers against James Shields. As a team, they are hitting .356 off Shields. Several Seattle players have torched Shields in the past. Blake Beavan is a pretty good pitcher for Seattle, but Tampa Bay should be able to put up a few runs against him. This number is set extremely low, which I believe puts the value squarely on the side of the over. The over is 16-5-2 in Jim Wolf's last 21 games behind the plate as HP umpire. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Wandy Rodriguez is a very good pitcher, and he is extremely difficult to beat at home. Despite playing on terrible teams, he has put up amazing numbers at home the last few years. He has a 3.38 career ERA at Minute Maid Park (which is a hitter's ballpark overall). Chris Schwinden will start for the Mets. Schwinden has pitched 25 innings in his MLB career, and he has allowed 17 runs. The Astros offense has been surprisingly good this year. I don't expect the Mets to have much success against Wandy. The huge pitching advantage here makes me like Houston. The Mets are 0-5 in Schwinden's last 5 starts. Take Houston.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Francisco Liriano simply isn't fooling anyone right now. Liriano was shelled in his first appearance this year against the Angels. Liriano's ERA in 2012 now sits at 11.02. Jerome Williams has a 5.51 ERA, and I don't see him as a shut down pitcher at all. A total this low with two pitchers who are capable of getting shelled is too much value for me to pass up. The over is 3-0-1 in Liriano's last 4 against the Angels. Expect both offenses to get going here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Under Radar Gem* While most people probably aren't looking at this contest too closely, I like the value here. Chris Sale has been very good in his time as a starter so far this year. Sale is locating his pitches well and he has some great strikeout pitches. Ubaldo Jimenez is struggling with his control again this year. He is allowing more than 5 walks per 9 innings of work. The White Sox offense should take advantage of that in this game. The Indians are just 1-4 in their last 5 games against the White Sox. Take Chicago.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* Sometimes the oddsmakers make a line that makes me scratch my head. Ted Lilly is a very streaky pitcher. He has an ERA under 1 so far this year. The Dodgers have baseball's best player in the middle of their lineup (Matt Kemp). The Rockies are just 6-6 at home this year. The Dodgers are 7-0 in Lilly's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The Rockies are just 5-15 in Chacin's last 20 starts. I would have favored the Dodgers by a small amount here. Take the Dodgers at plus money here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Mets have been much better than most expected so far this year. Jon Niese has pitched well in every single start of his so far in 2012. J.A. Happ is a pitcher who lives on the edge in every start. He has a ridiculously high 1.52 WHIP. He puts too many people on base, and the Mets will likely make him pay. Niese's WHIP is just 0.97. The Astros lineup is weak to start with, and they are missing Carlos Lee in this one. The Astros are 9-28 in Happ's last 37 starts. The Mets are 5-0 in their last 5 against a pitcher with a WHIP over 1.50. Take the Mets.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Cole Hamels is 17-4 in his career during the month of May. Hamels is a veteran at this point and he goes against Brandon Beachy here. Beachy is inconsistent and he has struggled mightily against the Phillies in his career. The Phillies are 6-0 in Beachy's last 6 starts against them. Philadelphia is actually 7-0 in their last 7 meetings against the Braves. The Phillies don't have a very good lineup right now, but they do have a nice pitching advantage here. I like the Phillies at plus money.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* I'm not a huge believer that Johan Santana is completely back from his injury, but 3 of his 4 starts this year have been very good. Jamie Moyer has been great so far this year, but all four of his opponents have weak offenses. The Mets offense is hitting the ball very well, and I expect them to get to Moyer in a big way here. Getting Santana, who has a huge upside, at basically even money seems like a great price in this one. Look for the Mets offense to keep it going. Take New York.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Minnesota Twins struggle in a big way with left-handed pitchers. Bruce Chen is a solid lefty who has really improved his game quite a bit over the last couple years. In 25 innings pitched this year Chen has a 2.52 ERA. Despite their cold start, I think the Royals will prove to be better than Minnesota this year. Look for the Royals offense to put up several runs against the inconsistent Jason Marquis. I like Kansas City to keep their recent run going here. Take the Royals.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Bill Miller is one of my favorite 'under' umpires. The under is 22-5 in Miller's last 27 Sunday games behind the dish. Kyle Kendrick is much better at home. The under is 9-2-2 in his last 13 home starts. Matt Garza is the Cubs pitcher, and he has been consistently very good this year. The wind will be blowing in at almost 15 mph which should help quite a bit here. Between the two subpar offenses, a favorable umpire, and good weather conditions I like the under in this one.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Oakland Athletics have one of the worst offenses in the American League. Tommy Hunter has an ERA under 1 at home this year. Hunter should be able to slow down the A's offense here. Bartolo Colon has been terrific so far this year. The under is 21-8-1 in the A's last 30 games. The under is 4-1 in Colon's last 5 starts. The under is 5-1 in the Orioles last 6 games. Look for both pitchers to fare well in this one. I think this is a 3-2 type of game. I like the value on the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* This is a very nice setup for the under. Doug Eddings is the single biggest under umpire in the majors. Tim Hudson has pitched six games with Eddings behind the plate, and he has an ERA of 1.26 in those games. Kevin Correia has an ERA of 2.75 at Atlanta in his career. The under is 6-0-1 in Pittsburgh's last 7 games following a win. The under is 4-0 in Hudson's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in Correia's last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Eddings last 6 games behind the plate with Pittsburgh. In all, we have a 20-0 angle backing this. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Boston Red Sox are on a roll right now after a slow start. The Red Sox have won five straight. This offense is hitting better than any other team in the majors. The first two games in this series have both gone to the Red Sox by a 10-3 margin. Jon Lester is the Red Sox ace. He has struggled at times this year, but I expect a good year out of him. Jake Peavy has been great so far this year, but he is too inconsistent for my liking. Getting the Red Sox at even money is a great value. The Red Sox have the much better offense and the better pitcher. Boston is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 at Chicago. Take Boston.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Ian Kennedy nearly won the NL Cy Young award last year. He hasn't been stellar this year, but I think he'll improve. Kennedy will be a in pitcher's ballpark in Miami on Saturday. The Marlins offense has really struggled of late. Anibal Sanchez is a solid pitcher for the Marlins as well, and the DBacks lineup isn't nearly as good without Chris Young and Stephen Drew. This seems like a good opportunity for a 3-2 type game. Look for this one to fall under the posted total. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* This is a very high total, but both of these teams are capable of scoring a ton of runs. Five of the Yankees last nine games have had at least 11 runs scored. Four of the Tigers last eight games have had at least 11 runs scored. Smyly is a decent prospect, but the Yankees should get to him pretty nicely. Garcia looks bad this year, and the Tigers offense is liable to knock him out very early. The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4. The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 home games. The over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two in New York. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Seattle has won four straight games on the road against very good teams. I don't expect that to continue. The Mariners aren't a good team offensively at all, and they'll be outclassed in the pitching department here as well. Kevin Millwood has been knocked around in a big way of late. Brandon Morrow has very good stuff, and he has pitched well against Seattle in the past. Toronto's offense is capable of putting up big numbers. Look for Toronto to score early and often here. Take Toronto -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Yovani Gallardo has an ERA over 6 in his career against the Cardinals. He is also 1-8 overall against St. Louis. The Brewers are 0-5 in his last 5 starts against the Cardinals. Jake Westbrook is a streaky pitcher, and when he is on he can be great. Westbrook has his sinker working extremely well right now. The Brewers aren't playing that well right now, and I don't think this is a good spot for them. The Brewers are 5-21 in Gallardo's last as an underdog. Look for the Cardinals to take care of business here.

*3 Star MLB Under Radar Play* The Baltimore Orioles are playing very good baseball right now. The Orioles have a much better offense than most people realize. Jake Arrieta is a young pitcher who seems to be coming into his own a bit of late. Brandon McCarthy isn't very consistent on the road. Baltimore has a much better offense than Oakland. The Atheltics are 1-6 in McCarthy's last 7 road starts. I think the books are giving us a nice value on the Orioles, who seem to have a ton of confidence right now. Take Baltimore.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline TOP Play* The Los Angeles Angels should be one of the best teams in baseball, but they have a 6-13 record right now. I fully expect them to turn it around at some point, and I think this is a good chance to start a winning streak. Jered Weaver is a very consistent pitcher, and he has dominated the Indians in the past. Justin Masterson has been bad in all three of his starts this year. The Indians are 0-4 in Masterson's last 4 starts as an underdog. The Angels are 4-0 in Weaver's last 4 starts on 5 days rest. They are also 5-1 in Weaver's last 6 against the Indians. This is a mismatch. I like the Angels big.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Edinson Volquez is a pitcher I look to fade, and the San Diego Padres are a team I fade very often as well. The Padres have been horrible all season, mainly because they have a pathetic offense. Volquez has very good stuff, but he doesn't have good command. He is prone to giving up one big inning every game, and that will likely be too much against the Nationals. Edwin Jackson is a streaky pitcher, but I think he can pitch well against the Padres. The Nationals are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at San Diego. The Padres are 0-4 in Volquez's last 4 starts. Take the Nationals.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The White Sox are off to a decent start to the year, but I don't think they are a complete team. Boston has won three straight, and I have little doubt that the Red Sox are the better team here. Phillip Humber is a good starter, but I think he'll struggle against the Red Sox. Boston knocked him around last year and I think they can do the same here. Felix Doubront keeps his team in the game, and the Red Sox have a big advantage offensively here. The White Sox are just 1-7 in Humber's last 8 home starts. Take Boston.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Boston has scored 33 runs in their last 4 games. The Red Sox offense is hotter than any other offense in the majors. Humber is a solid pitcher, but we often see a pitcher coming off perfection struggle in the next game. Against a tough lineup like the Red Sox, I don't expect Humber to be too good here. Doubront isn't dominating at all, and the White Sox should put up a few runs as well. The over is 33-16-3 in the Red Sox last 52. The over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Rick Porcello is an inconsistent pitcher. He was lit up in a big way last time. I expect better from him here, but Seattle should score a few. Detroit's offense has slumped a bit of late, but I think this is the perfect chance for them to wake up. Noesi doesn't have dominating stuff, and this will feel like a cake walk vs. going against King Felix like they did yesterday. We have a nice 'over' umpire in Jim Reynolds as well. The over is 6-1 in Reynolds last 7 games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Seattle has taken the first two games of this series. The Mariners simply aren't a very good team, and I think they'll run into a very motivated Detroit team in this one. Noesi should struggle to put away the Tigers hitters, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Detroit put up a big number offensively here. Porcello has been good against poor teams. The Tigers are 17-4 in his last 21 starts against teams with a losing record. Seattle is 15-38 in their last 53 as a road underdog. Look for Detroit to roll here.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hellickson has been tremendous in his young career. Hellickson has terrific numbers at home, where his ERA is under 3. The Angels aren't hitting the ball very well at all right now. C.J. Wilson was the prize pitching acquisition of the offseason and he has been very good. I think this one has all the makings of a pitcher's duel. The under is 15-3 in Hellickson's last 18 home starts. The under is 5-1 in the Angels last 6 games overall. Look for a very low scoring game here.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Barry Zito has been pretty good so far this year, but past history tells us Zito could implode at any point. The Reds have a strong lineup against left-handed pitchers. Zito has struggled in the past against the Reds. The over is 5-2 in Zito's last 7 starts against the Reds. Cincinnati's offense has been in a slump, but they put up 9 runs last night. Don't be surprised if this team gets hot offensively now. Bronson Arroyo gives up more home runs than anyone, and GABP is a hitter's dream. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Baltimore has outperformed expectations to this point. The Orioles offense is pretty good, but their pitching staff isn't very good at all. Toronto is a very good team who I expect to finish with a solid record this year. Kyle Drabek seems to be coming into his own as a major league pitcher. He has terrific stuff and needs to avoid that big inning. Jason Hammel isn't a dominant pitcher, and the Blue Jays offense is very dangerous. Toronto is 28-12 in their last 40 against the Orioles. Take the Blue Jays.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The San Diego Padres have been my favorite team to fade so far this year. Washington has a great pitching staff, but not many people realize how great Jordan Zimmerman is. When he is healthy he is one of the best pitchers in the game right now. Zimmerman has allowed one run in each of his three games this year. I don't expect to see the Padres weak offense get to him much in this one. Washington is 12-3 in their last 15 road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 games in San Diego. Take Washington.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Chris Sale is a guy who I think can have a lot of success this year. Sale has pitched well in all three of his starts this year. He has the stuff to be a very good starter, and his command is improving. The Oakland offense isn't very impressive. Jarrod Parker will start in this one for the Athletics. He is a very talented pitcher, but I feel like he is taking a big step up here. I don't expect him to have much offense backing him here either. The White Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a right-handed starter. The Athletics are 3-14 in their last 17 as a home underdog. Take Chicago.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* Mike Minor is a very talented pitcher and I expect big things from him this year. He has been brilliant so far this year. Aaron Harang is a a mediocre pitcher, but he has horrible splits against the Braves. Almost everyone in this lineup has hit him extremely well in their career. The Dodgers have Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier, but the Braves have a better lineup from top to bottom. The Braves are 9-0 in Minor's last 9 starts following a quality start. Atlanta is 8-0 in their last 8 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The 17-0 winning angle makes this a strong play for me. Take the Braves.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Washington Nationals are a much better team this year. San Diego is headed in the opposite direction. The Padres don't even have an impressive pitching staff anymore. San Diego's lineup may be the worst in baseball. Gio Gonzalez is a very good left-hander who should use the ballparks dimensions to his advantage. The Nationals are 14-3 in their last 17 road games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 against lefties. The Padres are 0-7 in Clayton Richard's last 7 starts against the NL East. Take the Nationals.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* I absolutely love playing the 'over' at Chase Field with the roof open. The ball falls out of this stadium in a big way when there is heat and low humidity. Game time temperature is expected to be in the low 90's with low humidity here. Josh Collmenter has been getting blasted all through Spring Training and then into the regular season. It seems hitters are onto his odd delivery. Vance Worley is a pretty good pitcher, but the DBacks should put up some runs here, especially with Upton back in the lineup. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-0 in Zack Greinke's last 19 home starts. Clearly they have won several of those games by only one run, but this is a real mismatch. The Astros have one of the worst lineups in baseball, and Harrell is an inexperienced pitcher. Milwaukee's lineup is still very good even without Fielder. Weeks, Hart, Braun, and the rest of the Brewers should put plenty on the board in this one. Look for the Brewers to win by a comfortable margin. It's a mismatch all the way around. Take Milwaukee -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Toronto Blue Jays are a very good team, but they just happen to play in the best division in baseball. Brandon Morrow has been a better pitcher on the road than at home over the last couple years. Bruce Chen is a decent pitcher, but Toronto has the lineup to crush left-handed pitchers. The Royals are 0-9 at home this year. Toronto is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a 40% or lower winning percentage. In addition, the Royals are 0-4 in Chen's last 4 starts. In all, an 18-0 winning angle backs this one. Take Toronto.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value Play* In April there are times where it is wise to bet on a game largely because of a price that is simply off what it should be. That is exactly what I am doing here. The Red Sox have some serious issues right now and Jon Lester has an ERA over 5 at Minnesota in his career. The Twins should be decent at home this year. I see no reason for the Red Sox to be favored by much at all, but they are big favorites here. The Red Sox are 0-4 in Lester's last 4 starts in Minnesota. Take the underdog and the value.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Seattle Mariners were on the losing end of a Perfect Game thrown by Phillip Humber yesterday. Seattle's offense really is terrible, and John Danks is a solid left-handed pitcher. Kevin Millwood is not a guy who can be trusted at this point in his career. He allowed 7 runs in a single inning in his last outing. The White Sox offense is certainly better than the Mariners, and I give the White Sox a significant pitching advantage here too. The White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games at Seattle. The White Sox are 5-0 in Danks' last 5 starts against Seattle. The White Sox are also 4-0 in their last 4 road starts. This 16-0 winning angle is a strong one. Take the White Sox.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Both of these teams have better offenses than they do defenses or pitching staffs at this point. Chen has been solid in his first couple starts, but the Angels offense is much better than they have shown this year and I think they'll get to him here. Haren hasn't been particularly sharp this year and the Orioles have several guys hitting the ball very well right now. Angel Campos is a solid 'over' umpire and the wind is blowing out in this one. Take the over here.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Toronto Blue Jays play in the toughest division in baseball, but they are a very solid team. Ricky Romero is a very good young pitcher. The Blue Jays are 14-2 in Romero's last 16 starts. The Royals have started the season 0-8 at home. The Royals are better than they used to be, but they still have quite a bit of room for improvement. The Jays have the stronger lineup, and Romero gives them a pitching advantage as well. Look for Toronto to win this one. The oddsmakers have this line too low. Take Toronto.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates beat the St. Louis Cardinals 2-0 last night. St. Louis is the far superior team here, and they need this game to win the series. Kyle Lohse is in great form right now. He has allowed only 10 hits in more than 20 innings pitched this year. The Pirates are hitting juts .193 against right-handed pitching this year. The Cardinals are batting .314 against lefties. The Cardinals are 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 starts. I think this is a solid value on the Cardinals ML.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Francisco Liriano has been a disaster so far this year. He has a WHIP well over 2, and everyone who has seen him has been teeing off on his pitches. Tampa Bay is hitting the ball well so far this year. Jeff Niemann is a solid pitcher, but the Twins should be able to score some here. Mark Wegner is a favorable umpire for the over because of his small strike zone. The over is 6-0 in Liriano's last 6 road starts. The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Arizona Diamondbacks are missing their three best offensive players right now. Stephen Drew has been on the DL all year, but now Chris Young and Justin Upton are injured. Take these three away and this offense just isn't very good. They have been blasted two games in a row by the Braves to start this series. Atlanta has scored 9, 14, 10, and 9 runs in their last 4 games. I think it is safe to say the Atlanta offense has come alive. The Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 games as a -110 to -150 favorite. Atlanta is 4-0 in their last 4 against a left-hander. They are 7-0 in Tommy Hanson's last 7 starts against the NL West. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games against Arizona. In all, this is a 24-0 winning angle. Take the Braves here.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The St. Louis Cardinals took game one of this series in Pittsburgh. The Cardinals have several injuries on offense, but they still have a much better offense than the Pirates. Jake Westbrook is a streaky pitcher, and he has his sinker working very well right now. Kevin Correia is worse when pitching at home, and the Pirates are 0-5 in his last 5 home starts. The Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games at Pittsburgh. The Cardinals aren't getting enough respect from the oddsmakers. Take the Cardinals.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The San Francisco Giants do not have a strong offense. This team will likely struggle to score all year. In the Giants last 8 games, none of them have gone above 7 runs in total. San Francisco's pitching staff is very good. Ryan Vogelsong is still underrated by the oddsmakers. The under is 20-7 in his last 27 starts. Mike Pelfrey is tough to get a read on, but I expect him to be helped in a big way by Doug Eddings. Eddings is the single best 'under' umpire in baseball because of his huge strike zone. The under is 4-1-1 in Pelfrey's last 6 starts against the Giants. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* I rate Cole Hamels as a better pitcher than Edinson Volquez by a large amount. Hamels is a much more consistent pitcher, and Volquez almost always has a bad inning or two. Hamels has been absolutely spectacular at PetCo Park in his career. In 5 starts he has allowed just 5 runs. He has a sparkling ERA of 1.23. The Padres lineup is terrible and while the Phillies lineup isn't good at this point, they are still better than the Padres by a solid amount. The Phillies are 25-4 in their last 29 games at San Diego. The Phillies are 7-1 in Cole Hamels' last 8 starts against the NL West. Take the Phillies.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Line Error* The Arizona Diamondbacks are a completely different team without Chris Young and Justin Upton in the lineup. This offense simply can't afford to be missing its best two hitters. Atlanta started the season slowly on offense, but the Braves are smashing the baseball right now. Brandon Beachy and Trevor Cahill are fairly equal pitchers in my book, but the Braves have the huge offensive advantage here. The Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are also 4-0 in their last 4 meetings with Arizona. Take Atlanta.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Lance Lynn is a talented young pitcher who is really coming into his own right now. Lynn is throwing the ball well and he seems to have good control of all of his pitches. The Pirates are 19-40 in Charlie Morton's last 49 starts. Even without Lance Berkman in the lineup, the Cardinals have two or three hitters who are better than anyone in the Pirates lineup. The Cardinals are being underrated by the oddsmakers right now. St. Louis is 6-2 in their last 8 against the Pirates. Take the Cardinals here.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Moneyline Play* The San Diego Padres may well have the worst offense in baseball this year. San Diego struggles to put up 2 or 3 runs, especially in their home ballpark where pitcher's can get away with mistakes. The Phillies don't have a great offense now, but they still have a big edge on the Padres. The Phillies are a stunning 24-4 in their last 28 games at San Diego. Vance Worley is a solid pitcher who I believe is underrated by many. The Phillies are 4-0 in his last 4 starts against the NL West. Take Philadelphia.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Atlanta Braves have found their hitting stroke of late. Atlanta started the season struggling in a big way, but this team has a pretty solid offense overall. Mike Minor should have a nice season on the mound for Atlanta. The Diamondbacks are without Chris Young and Justin Upton right now. Arizona's lineup certainly takes a big hit without their two most powerful hitters in the lineup. Josh Collmenter looked terrible all Spring and his ERA is above 12 this season so far. Atlanta should be favored by more here. Take Atlanta.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Bronson Arroyo is definitely a fly ball pitcher. Arroyo gave up a ridiculous 46 home runs last year. The wind will be blowing out nicely at Saint Louis Thursday afternoon. The Cardinals have plenty of guys who are capable of going deep. Adam Wainwright doesn't look right on the mount just yet. The Reds offense has struggled this year, but they have too much talent to put up nothing offensively every single game. Look for them to get going a bit against Wainwright here. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The St. Louis Cardinals took down the Reds in 10 innings last night. The Cardinals are playing as well as any team in the majors right now. Beltran, Berkman, Holliday, and Freese is a tremendous middle of the lineup. The Reds offense is scuffling in a big way right now. Jaime Garcia is ridiculously tough at home, and he has an ERA of less than 1.90 in April in his career. The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Garcia's last 5 starts as a home favorite. In addition, the Cardinals are 4-0 in Garcia's last 4 home starts against the Reds. In total, a 18-0 winning angle backs this play. Take the Cardinals big.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Baltimore Orioles have taken the first two games from the Chicago White Sox. I have been on the Orioles in the first two games because I thought the oddsmakers had shaded the line too far in the White Sox favor. I am playing on the Orioles again in this one. Jake Peavy was great in his season opener against Detroit, but Peavy has been wildly inconsistent the last couple years. Baltimore's offense is hitting the ball very well right now. Tommy Hunter may not be a star, but he is a decent pitcher. The Orioles are 5-0 in his last 5 starts. Take Baltimore here.

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* I played successfully on the Brewers last night. Last night's play was primarily a fade of the Dodgers because of their ridiculously easy schedule early this year. Oddsmakers are giving the Dodgers too much credit for a red hot start. Before last night they had played San Diego 7 times and Pittsburgh 3 times. Zack Greinke is a different pitcher at home. The Brewers are a perfect 18-0 in Greinke's last 18 home starts. That's no small sample size, and outside Kemp and Ethier this Dodgers lineup isn't good. Chris Capuano isn't reliable and I like the Brewers to win comfortably. Take Milwaukee -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* To say that the Red Sox were blasted last night is a major understatement. Unfortunately I was on Boston in that game. It was easily my worst pick of an otherwise good night. Texas has the best lineup top to bottom in the majors. Boston has no team chemistry right now. Derek Holland is a rising star for the Rangers. The Red Sox hitters have combined for an average of just under .200 against Holland in their careers. The Rangers are 16-5 in Holland's last 21 starts. Texas is the better team right now. Take the Rangers.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Chase Field becomes a hitters paradise when the roof is open. It is even better for hitters during the day time. This game will be played in temperatures above 90 degrees with low humidity, so the ball should carry extremely well. The over is 12-2 in the last 14 day games at Arizona with the roof open. The over is 6-0 in the Diamondbacks last 6 games with the total set at 7-8.5 runs. Both teams should be able to put up runs in this environment. Look for this one to get over the posted total.

*3 Star MLB Runline CRUSHER* Ian Kennedy wasn't far from winning the NL Cy Young award last year. Kennedy has a stellar 2.84 ERA through his first two starts of this season as well. The Pittsburgh Pirates lineup isn't going to strike fear in anyone this year. Arizona has plenty of guys who can hit the long ball, and that should be key with Chase Field's roof being open for this game. The Pirates are 1-5 in Karstens last 6 starts. The Diamondbacks are 10-1 in Kennedy's last 11 home starts. Look for a comfortable win here. Take Arizona.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* Wei-Yen Chen had a solid first start of his major league career against the Yankees last week. The Baltimore Orioles are absolutely crushing left-handed pitching so far this year. Baltimore is averaging 6.38 runs per 9 innings against lefties. John Danks is not a dominating pitcher, and he has struggled against the Orioles in the past. Gary Darling is behind the plate here and Danks has a career ERA of about 10 with him as the umpire. I like the Orioles lineup right now. Take Baltimore.

*5 Star MLB Moneyline Top Play* The Los Angeles Dodgers have started the season 9-1. I was very high on the Dodgers before the season, and I still like them, but I think they are getting overvalued by the oddsmakers right now. The Brewers are another team I like. If this game was played on opening day with these pitchers the Brewers would likely have been -150. The Dodgers have played the Padres seven games and the Pirates in three. That is the easiest schedule in baseball thus far. Milwaukee has lost 5 of their 6 games this year to Atlanta and St. Louis, two solid teams. The Brewers are 16-4 in Gallardo's last 20 home starts. Milwaukee is 2-0 in the last 2 years against Chad Billingsley. Take Milwaukee big here.

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Cash* Texas is a very good team, but I like the Red Sox in this spot. Jon Lester is 0-1 this year while Colby Lewis is 1-0, but Lester is the better pitcher. Lewis has a career ERA over 6 at Fenway Park in three starts. The Red Sox are 46-19 in Lester's last 65 home starts. The Red Sox are 5-2 in Lester's last 7 starts against the Rangers. Adrian Gonzalez is 6 for 7 with 3 HR's in his career against Colby Lewis. Boston hasn't been playing well of late, but this value is too much to pass up. Take Boston.