*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Rays offense has been in a horrible slump of late. It doesn't help that Wil Myers is now out of the lineup as is Ryan Hanigan. Tampa Bay hasn't scored more than 2 runs in any of their last five games. They could only muster up 5 hits and one run last night despite going against Randy Wolf. This time around they'll be up against the talented Henderson Alvarez. Alvarez is coming into his own as a pitcher of late. The Rays start Chris Archer, who has an electric fastball. Miami's offense isn't as good as their numbers from this year suggest. I expect regression from their offense in the weeks ahead. Vic Carapazza is behind the plate here, and he has one of the biggest strike zones in the league. Alvarez has thrown 15 innings with him behind the dish and has given up only one run. 

The under is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. The under is 3-0 in Alvarez's last 3 Tuesday starts. The under is 7-1-2 in the last 10 games between these two in Miami. An 18-1 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners are coming off a couple impressive wins at home against Detroit. The Yankees are coming off a brutal home loss against the Minnesota Twins. New York allowed 6 runs in the top of the ninth inning to lose that game. The Yankees bullpen is in disarray right now. They are missing Mariano Rivera very badly. Seattle's bullpen has been one of the biggest surprises in the league, and they have lots of solid options.

King Felix will start this one for the Mariners. To say he has been awesome on the big stage in New York is a massive understatement. In six career starts at Yankee Stadium, Hernandez has an ERA of 1.18. That is just amazing. This Yankees offense has disappointed all year against right-handed pitching and now they are up against one of the most dominant right-handers in the game. David Phelps will start for the Yankees, and he is nothing better than a mediocre starter who is here because the Yankees have had injury issues. 

The Mariners are 5-0 in Hernandez's last 5 as a road favorite. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall as a favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. Seattle is 4-0 in his last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The Yankees are 0-4 in Phelps' last 4 starts as an underdog. They are 0-4 in his last 4 starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 0-7 in their last 7 games as a home underdog. Seattle is 4-0 in their last 4 games at Yankee Stadium. A 42-0 angle. Take Seattle. 

*4 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* Pittsburgh is a team I look to go against this year, because the Pirates just aren't the same team they were last year. They rely too much on one hitter (McCutchen) and their pitching staff hasn't been nearly as good in 2014. Edinson Volquez is one of my favorite fades. Volquez started the year well, but has been pitching poorly of late. Zack Greinke has been amazing all year, and he has a career ERA of 2.3 at Dodger Stadium. Hanley Ramirez and the Dodgers offense got it going last night, and I see them keeping it going against Volquez. I can't lay the -170 or so here because I think laying that number is a bad game plan in baseball, but I'll gladly take some nice plus money on the run line. Take LA -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Detroit Tigers fell 3-2 last night, and I was on the losing end of that game. I'm going to back the Tigers again at what I believe is a price that is too low to pass up. I don't like laying this much on the moneyline, but I projected a line of -165 here. Max Scherzer is a Cy Young winner and he's coming off two straight poor outings. I expect much better from him in this one. Consider that he's up against a relatively weak Seattle offense that might be without Robinson Cano again. The Tigers are great against lefties, and Roenis Elias has been hitting a wall in his last few outings. Elias had never pitched above Double A until April, so it's not surprising. I don't think he'll fare well against this stacked lineup. Big mismatch here. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Dog of Day* The San Francisco Giants are still being underrated by the oddsmakers, and Tim Hudson is being underrated as a starting pitcher. Hudson enters this game with an ERA of less than 2. Lance Lynn is inconsistent, and he's coming off a CG shutout against the Yankees. It's important to note that Lynn threw a career high 126 pitches in that game, and I think that could have an effect on his performance in this one. The Giants offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. San Francisco has the better bullpen and better defense as well. I like the value on the underdog here. Take the Giants. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Texas Rangers were absolutely thrashed in the first two games of this series. Texas isn't a great team, but I do believe the team has some pride. Luckily for them, they also have Yu Darvish pitching on Sunday afternoon. Darvish probably has the nastiest stuff in baseball at this point. He was scratched from his last start, but recent comments make it sound like the Rangers aren't concerned about his neck stiffness. This Washington lineup has pounded out 19 runs in the first two games of this series, but I expect that to change very quickly on Sunday against Darvish. Washington's lineup is very weak without Harper or Zimmerman. Tanner Roark is a mediocre starter, and the Rangers first five in the lineup are very strong. This is a very cheap price on a dominating pitcher against a poor lineup. Texas is also looking to avoid the sweep. 

The Rangers are 5-0 in Darvish's last 5 road starts. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a road favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 after Texas scores 2 runs or less last game. They are 4-0 in his last 4 after the opposing team scores 5 runs or more last game. The Nationals are 0-4 in Roark's last 4 as an underdog. The road team is 11-1 in Clint Fagan's last 12 games behind home plate. A 29-1 angle. Take the Rangers big! 

*4 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves meet in the series finale in Miami Sunday afternoon. Nate Eovaldi is a rising star for the Marlins, and he has 8 starts already in his young career against the Atlanta Braves. His ERA in those 8 starts is a sparkling 1.80. The Braves have a ton of guys who strike out often and Eovaldi is a great strikeout pitcher. Aaron Harang was torched earlier this year in Miami, but that has been his only bad start of the season. The Marlins offense is starting to come back to earth of late. Harang has a great 2.67 ERA in his career with home plate umpire Greg Gibson. Take the under here. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Yankees offense has been a big disappointment so far this year, especially against right-handed pitchers. They have been great against lefties, but right-handers have given them fits. Phil Hughes comes back to take on his old team at Yankee Stadium here. Hughes has really been pitching well of late, and the way the Yankees are struggling it sets up well for him. Chase Whitley was good in Triple A and he has been solid in the majors as well for the Yankees. This total is awfully high for a game with two questionable offenses.

The under is 4-0-2 in the Twins last 6 road games with a total of 9 runs or higher. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in Hughes' last 6 starts. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in his last 5 starts as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. A 39-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds are 14-5 in their last 19 games at Arizona. Johnny Cueto pitches for the Reds Saturday night. The defense has let him down in his last two starts, but Cueto has been amazing this year. The Reds will be against Brandon McCarthy who starts for Arizona in this one. McCarthy allows 1.5 home runs per every 9 innings pitched. Why is that important? Because Chase Field is expected to have an open roof in this one. With the roof open, the ball really flies well in this park. Johnny Cueto only allows 0.75 home runs per nine innings pitched. The gives Cueto an important advantage in this contest.

Cincinnati is 6-1 in Cueto's last 7 starts versus Arizona. Arizona is 0-5 in McCarthy's last 5 starts versus the NL Central. Arizona is 1-6 in McCarthy's last 7 home starts. A 17-2 angle, Take the Reds.  

4 Star MLB Bookie CRUSHER The Detroit Tigers are the best team in the American League in my opinion. Miguel Cabrera and Victor Martinez are both on fire right now. The Tigers bullpen is their weak spot, but they have been improving of late. Drew Smyly starts for the Tigers here. He has pitched poorly of late, but I'm still convinced he is a quality pitcher. Chris Young pitches for Seattle in this one. Young is no longer the strike out pitcher he used to be, and that will hurt him in a big way against this prolific Tigers offense. Robinson Cano missed Friday's game and he may miss this one. He is a huge loss for this Mariners lineup. Take Detroit.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* It's hard to believe, but the Houston Astros are playing very good baseball right now. George Springer is a budding star, and the Astros have been getting great starting pitching. The team's top starter is Dallas Keuchel, and he will start Saturday against the Orioles. Keuchel has thrown 2 complete games in his last three starts. On the other start he went 8 and 2/3 innings. Chris Tillman starts for the Orioles, and he has allowed 14 runs in his last 2 starts. This is a pitching mismatch. 

Houston is 4-0 in Keuchel's last 4 starts. Houston is 5-0 in their last 5 games overall.The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 games during game three of a series. Andy Fletcher is the home plate umpire here, and the home team is 8-0 in his last 8 games behind the dish. A 22-0 angle. Take Houston. 

*3 Star TGIF MLB Play of Day* Jason Vargas and J.A. Happ meet in this one and these are two guys I don't trust. Both of them have been fortunate so far this year. How so? Let's take a look at their ERA vs. their FIP (A sabermetrics term to indicate Fielder Independent Pitching on an ERA scale). FIP is a good way to judge which way a pitcher's ERA will go in the future, because the lucky breaks (such as leaving runners stranded constantly) will often even out over time.

J.A. Happ has a 3.34 ERA this year, but his FIP is an ugly 5.14. Happ has left 90% of runners on base, which is just absurdly high. You have to assume that eventually teams will start to cash in on their chances against him. Jason Vargas has a 3.55 ERA but an FIP of 4.26. More than 60% of the batted balls against him are fly balls, which is dangerous against this Toronto team that has nearly 50 home runs this month.

In addition, Happ has a 5.40 ERA vs. the Royals and Vargas has a 5.90 ERA against Toronto in his career. Adrian Johnson is behind home plate here, and he has a small strike zone. The over is 15-3 in his last 18 games behind home plate. Take the over in this one.  

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Chase Field is a totally different ballpark with the roof open. The game time temperature here will be around 93 or 94 degrees and with the thin air the ball should carry extremely well. We have two pitchers here who give up a ton of home runs. Tony Cingrani gives up 1.42 home runs per nine innings of pitching. Josh Collmenter is allowing 1.53 home runs per nine innings. Cingrani has a groundball rate of just 38.5% and Collmenter has a ground ball rate of 37.3%. Lots of fly balls here should mean the weather conditions will matter quite a bit. The Diamondbacks hit lefties well, and their offense has heated up of late.

The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0-2 in Cingrani's last 6 when his opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in Collmenter's last 5 starts as a favorite. The over is 4-0 in Collmenter's last 4 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0-1 in Collmenter's last 6 following a quality start. A 21-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Underdog Special* The Detroit Tigers were heart broken last night as the Oakland Athletics walked off on a Josh Donaldson three run homer to beat the Tigers 3-1. Detroit wasted a great chance to win in that one. The fact that they lost that one makes me feel even better about this bet. Rick Porcello is underrated as a starter at this point in his career. Porcello still throws in a clunker once in a while, but he has been much better this year compared to the last couple seasons. Remember, Porcello is still just 25 years old. He pitched very poorly last time out, and I expect better from him here. Jesse Chavez has horrible numbers in limited time against Detroit. I believe the Tigers are the best team in the American League and as big underdogs here, I can't pass up the price value. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Los Angeles Dodgers are one of the best teams in the National League. They have Clayton Kershaw on the mound in this one, and Kershaw is the best pitcher in the majors right now. Cincinnati is short-handed without star Joey Votto, and the Reds are really slumping right now. Homer Bailey hasn't been himself so far this year, and the Dodgers have punished right-handed pitching. Kershaw has a 2.22 ERA in his career at home, and I expect him to shut down this Reds lineup. Take the Dodgers -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers and the Baltimore Orioles have played back to back 7-6 games. Baltimore won the first game and Milwaukee won the second game of the series. They may not get to 13 runs here, but I like their chances of topping 8 runs. Bud Norris and Yovani Gallardo are both guys who have been heading downhill in recent outings. Gallardo is dinged up a bit right now, and Norris is worse away from home. Both of these lineups have gotten much healthier in recent days. A close game is clearly possible here, and extra innings raises the chances of the over cashing in.

The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 games after their opponent allowed 5 runs or more last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 interleague road games as an underdog. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 interleague games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in Jeff Kellogg's last 4 interleague games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in Kellogg's last 4 behind the plate with the Orioles. A 60-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Totals Takedown* The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Indians played late into the night last night and both teams used up their bullpens in a big way. That works to our favor in this one. Hector Noesi has been terrible as a starter this year. He has a 6.82 ERA this year, and he has never pitched into the 7th inning. TJ House starts for the Indians and he was torched in his big league debut last time out. Lance Barrett is the umpire here and the over is 9-1-3 in his last 13 games behind the plate. Tired bullpens and two poor starters makes me like the value on the over. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals are a team I'm very high on. St. Louis is definitely a team that could win the world series this year. New York has a good lineup, but their rotation and bullpen is a real problem. Shelby Miller has been shaky on the road, but his career ERA at Busch Stadium is 1.72. Miller is backed by a decent bullpen which is definitely better than the Yankees pen. Hiroki Kuroda has a WHIP of 1.40 this year, so he is allowing far too many baserunners. The Cardinals offense is starting to come alive of late. 

St. Louis is 10-1 in Shelby Miller's last 11 as a favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Yankees are 0-5 in Kuroda's last 5 after the team allowed 5 runs or more last game. The Yankees are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog. They are 1-9 in Kuroda's last 10 road starts. A 32-2 angle. Take the Cardinals. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays offense is the hottest offense in the majors right now. Toronto has been absolutely crushing right-handed pitching of late. The Blue Jays have as good of a #1 through #6 in the lineup as anybody in baseball. Jose Reyes is doing a great job setting the table for this offense. Edwin Encarnacion is just on fire as well. Chris Archer only has two pitches and he has struggled in his career on the road. Liam Hendriks pitches for the Blue Jays and I don't think he is a big league starting pitcher. Both bullpens are bad here, which gives us a good chance for runs in the late innings. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total Value* Jordan Zimmermann is a guy I like to back or play unders with because he is normally a consistent pitcher who gives you a solid quality start. The Miami Marlins offense is starting to slow down a bit after a red hot start. Washington also has an elite bullpen. Henderson Alvarez is a quality young starter for the Marlins. Washington's lineup is a total disaster right now. Without Harper or Ryan Zimmerman, the Nationals are having serious trouble scoring runs. I see a low scoring game in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Dog of the Day* I will fully admit that the Chicago White Sox will probably win this game, but this line is just too enticing to pass up the Cleveland Indians. I think the White Sox should be -145 or so here, and instead they are -165. Chris Sale is a tremendous pitcher, but the one team he has had trouble with his entire career has been the Cleveland Indians. Sale has a career ERA of 4.76 against the Indians. Justin Masterson has struggled so far this year, but in his career he has been amazing against Chicago. The Indians are 8-0 in Masterson's last 8 starts vs. the White Sox. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts at Chicago against the White Sox. Masterson's career ERA vs. the White Sox is just 2.35. Too high of a price to pass this one up. Take the Indians because of the tremendous value here. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Mark Buehrle will be on the mound for the Blue Jays in this one. Buehrle is a guy who continues to revinvent himself and find ways to get hitters out. This Tampa Bay Rays lineup isn't great to start with, and they are now short-handed. Ben Zobrist is a major injury for this lineup. Alex Cobb pitches here for the Rays and I like him a lot. Cobb has exceptional stuff and he has been great against the Rays in his short career. Both of these guys generally do a good job working fairly deep into the game, which is definitely a plus here.

The under is 4-0 in Cobb's last 4 games when the opponent scores 5 runs or more last game. The under is 3-0-1 in Cobb's last 4 starts overall. The under is 5-0-1 in Cobb's last 6 starts when the Rays score 5 runs or more last game. The under is 11-0-1 in Buehrle's last 12 starts during game two of a series. The under is 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts vs. the Rays. A 27-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Los Angeles Dodgers were part of history yesterday when Josh Beckett threw a no-hitter in Philadelphia. The Reds lost 4-0 yesterday night in Cincinnati against their rivals from St. Louis. Cincinnati has a rough travel schedule here because of their late game and then a trip all the way to the left coast. Johnny Cueto pitches for the Reds here, and it's tough to go against him, but Cueto is due for a bit of regression. I still expect him to pitch well, but this Reds lineup without Votto will likely struggle to get runs against Hyun-Jin Ryu. Ryu is underrated by many, and the Reds are extremely bad against lefties so far this year. 

Cincinnati is 0-5 in Cueto's last 5 starts as an underdog. They are 0-5 in Cueto's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.  The Reds are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a lefty. They are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a lefty. The Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 during game one of a series. They are 6-0 in Ryu's last 6 vs. the NL Central. A 29-0 angle. Take the Dodgers. 

*4 Star MLB Total PERFECTION* Tyson Ross and Brandon McCarthy will be on the mound for the Padres and Diamondbacks respectively in this one. I'm fairly high on both of these guys, and their numbers against the opposing team in this situation are just out of this world good. Brandon McCarthy has a stellar 1.67 ERA against the Padres in his career (4 starts). Tyson Ross has a 1.80 ERA in 5 career appearances against the Diamondbacks. The Padres offense is woeful, and they are averaging less than 3 runs per game. Arizona has been good against lefties, but terrible against right-handed pitching. This one should be played under the Chase Field Dome which helps the pitchers. 

The under is 6-0 in Ross' last 6 starts when his opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 games with a lined total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 after scoring 2 runs or fewer last game. The under is 4-0 in McCarthy's last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Ross' last 4 starts vs. the Diamondbacks. A 34-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* I believe the Detroit Tigers are probably the best team in the majors at this point in the season. They haven't played very well in their last few games, but whenever you see this team pop up on the board as a significant underdog you have to look very hard at that game. Oakland is coming off a long road trip, and the Athletics aren't in good form of late. Oakland's offense has really been scuffling of late, and Drew Smyly is a solid young pitcher. His peripheral stats are much better than that of Tom Milone. The Tigers offense is undoubtedly much better than the A's offense also. 

The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a lefty. They are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record. Oakland is 0-4 in their last 4 games. The Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games in Oakland. A 21-1 angle. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will do battle on Sunday afternoon at Safeco. No doubt Safeco is one of the most pitcher friendly parks in the majors. Houston put up 9 runs on Saturday night, which is their best offensive output of the season. The Astros aren't likely to repeat that performance, especially since they'll be up against Hisashi Iwakuma, who is a very good starting pitcher. Iwakuma has been dealing of late. In his last 24 innings pitched he has allowed a grand total of 2 runs. Also, Iwakuma has an ERA of less than 2 in his career against Houston. Dallas Keuchel pitches here for the Astros, and he has been much better of late. Keuchel has a 1.93 ERA at Safeco Field in his career. Keuchel threw a CG shutout against Texas two games ago and 8 and 2/3 of 2 run baseball against the Angels last time out. Don't expect much scoring in this one. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Madison Bumgarner will be on the hill for the San Francisco Giants on Sunday afternoon. Bumgarner is a guy I like a lot, largely because he is one of the most consistent pitchers you will find in all of baseball. Bumgarner gives his team a good start almost every time out, and this Twins offense is starting to regress back toward the mean in recent weeks. Ricky Nolasco starts for the Twins, and he has a 7.41 ERA on the road this year. Nolasco has allowed at least 3 runs in all of his starts except for one so far this year. He has been lit up away from home. The Giants have the better bullpen and the better team defense. I like their chances of winning comfortably, especially at a generous price like this. Take San Francisco -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Milwaukee Brewers started out red hot this year, but they have slowly cooled off. They've lost the first two games in this series. Yesterday, they lost despite getting 11 hits. They managed only one run on those 11 hits, partly due to a base running blunder that cost them at least one run. The Brewers aren't as good as they looked early in the year, but they also aren't as bad as they have been playing lately. Randy Wolf starts for the Marlins in this one, and I don't think he is a major league pitcher at this point in his career. He had a 4.50 ERA in Triple A last year. Wolf barely could make it in the majors in 2011 and 2012, and he is 37 years old now. Nelson starts here for the Brewers and he is their top pitching prospect. I'll side with the team with the better pitcher and better bullpen. They are also fighting to avoid the sweep. Take the Brewers. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value Play* The Oakland Athletics have lost there last three games. They have lost their first two games of this series against Toronto. Some believe this means Oakland is showing how overrated they have become, but I think it's a small blip for this team. Oakland is well managed and they have no clear weakness on their roster. I like Drew Pomeranz for the A's, and I think he has the potential to be a good starter for them. On the other side, J.A. Happ has an ERA well over 4, and that is with good luck on batted balls in play. Happ isn't a very good pitcher, and Oakland is looking to avoid the sweep here. Oakland has one of the best bullpens in baseball, and Toronto's is second to last. Take Oakland here. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Atlanta Braves are very tough to beat at home. Atlanta has a solid starting rotation and an elite bullpen that helps them win a lot of close games. Colorado lost Nolan Arenado to an injury last night, and he has been a key contributor for the team. Carlos Gonzalez is listed as questionable for this game. Juan Nicasio starts for the Rockies here, and to say he has been bad against Atlanta is a major understatement. In 4 starts against Atlanta, Nicasio has a 9.82 ERA. In two starts at Turner Field, his ERA is a ridiculous 18.47. He has allowed 13 earned runs at Atlanta in just 6 and 1/3 innings pitched. Mike Minor pitches for the Braves, and he has been great against Colorado at Turner Field.

Atlanta is 6-1 in their last 7 as a home favorite. They are 4-0 in Minor's last 4 starts vs. the Rockies. Colorado is 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 0-4 in Nicasio's last 4 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. A 23-1 angle. Take Atlanta. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The Los Angeles Dodgers cashed in on the run line for me last night thanks to a great pitching performance from Clayton Kershaw. Dan Haren is no Kershaw, but he has been good this year. The Phillies offense is awful against right-handed pitching. Philadelphia bats .237 as a team against righties and they average scoring just 3.65 runs per game against right-handed pitchers. The Dodgers will be up against David Buchanan, who will be making his major league debut here. Buchanan has a 3.98 ERA in Triple A this year, and his ERA was nearly 4.5 in Double A last year. That doesn't sound like a recipe for success to me. In fact, a Phillies beat writer said in a note Friday night that the Phillies are just hoping Buchanan can "hold his own" in the majors for a short stint. That doesn't sound like confidence to me. Take the Dodgers. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The New York Yankees lost a heartbreaker last night, and it cost me some money. I'm going to pick the Yankees again here though, as I see lots of things to like about them in this game. New York is much better against left-handed pitching, and they'll be up against lefty John Danks in this one. Danks has a 7.11 ERA in his career against the Yankees (6 starts). He has been torched by Texeira and Ellsbury in particular, and this Yankees lineup sets up very well to hit him hard. Danks has also struggled with Jeff Nelson behind the dish. With Nelson as umpire, Danks has an ERA of 7.66 in four career starts. Vidal Nuno starts here for the Yankees and he has been a road warrior. His ERA at Yankee Stadium is 6.75, but his ERA away from home is 1.54. Nuno has quality stuff and he's up against a White Sox lineup without their star (Jose Abreu). 

The Yankees are 4-0 in Nuno's last 4 road starts. The White Sox are 0-4 in Danks' last 4 Saturday starts. They are 0-7 in his last 7 starts with five days of rest. They are 0-5 in his last 5 starts with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. A 20-0 angle. Take the Yankees. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Chicago White Sox lineup isn't even close to as good without Jose Abreu in the middle of it. Even with Abreu, I've thought this team was overrated all year, and now without him I'm looking for spots to fade them even more frequently. The Yankees upside is much higher than the White Sox. Hiroki Kuroda has been a bit shaky this year, but his peripherals show that he has had some bad luck and is likely to bounce back in coming months. No doubt the Yankees lineup is much better than the White Sox lineup. Hector Noesi doesn't impress me at all, and I'll fade him here. Take the Yankees. 

*4 Star TGIF MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The oddsmakers have set the price too cheap here on the Braves. This is a team that has been nearly unbeatable at home in recent years. Atlanta might not be quite as good this year as they were in some of those years, but this is still a quality team. Gavin Floyd has been very sharp since coming back from an injury, and the Braves bullpen is tremendous. The Rockies might be without Carlos Gonzalez here, and Colorado has been a bad road team for a very long time. They are 14-38 in their last 52 games at Atlanta. Jordan Lyles is starting to regress back to a mediocre pitcher. I think the Braves should be at least -130 here.

Atlanta is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 as an underdog of +110 to +150. They are 2-10 in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 road games. A 24-4 angle. Take Atlanta. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals get together for a series this weekend and these two teams really hate each other with a passion. Homer Bailey starts here for the home team. Bailey isn't a bad pitcher, but he has been awful in his career against St. Louis. Bailey has a 5.01 ERA in his career against them, and he has been bombed in the majority of his starts against them lately. Matt Carpenter and Matt Adams have owned Bailey in the past. Shelby Miller pitches here for the Cardinals, and he has been getting very lucky so far this year. His ERA is low thanks to a very high strand rate that just cannot continue in the long run. This total is awfully low for a game being played in Great American Ballpark. This would have been a top play if Joey Votto wasn't out of the lineup for the Reds. I still like the play a lot. 

The over is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 vs. the NL Central. The over is 4-0 in Miller's last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in Bailey's last 4 starts on 5 days of rest. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts vs. the NL Central. A 16-0 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Bounce Back Special* Clayton Kershaw is baseball's best pitcher right now. He is coming off a rare horrible start. Count me as someone who doesn't believe that will happen again here. Kershaw is just too good and he'll be focused in this one. Don't be surprised if we see him have his best stuff here. Kershaw has had a lot of bad luck this year too. Opponents Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) is .419 which is just ridiculous. That will come down a lot in time. Roberto Hernandez is a guy I like to fade when given the chance. The Dodgers win comfortably here. Take LA -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Oakland Athletics have been road warriors this year. Oakland is 18-7 away from home in 2014. Toronto is just 10-11 on their home field. In this one, there is a significant pitching mismatch. Scott Kazmir has totally reinvented himself as a pitcher. Kazmir has good stuff and is now controlling his pitches much better than he has in the past. Liam Hendriks pitches for the Jays here. He has pitched well in Triple A this year, but he has never been able to get out major league hitters in his past runs in the majors. Oakland's offense is better than most believe. The A's are scoring 5.18 runs per game against right-handed pitchers. Oakland's bullpen is also much better than Toronto's. 

The A's are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 overall vs. a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 in Kazmir's last 5 road starts. They are 6-0 in his last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 24-0 angle. Take Oakland. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Detroit Tigers are now on a four-game losing streak. Detroit may well be the best team in baseball, and I don't expect this slump to continue much longer. Anibal Sanchez is a very underrated pitcher who goes out there and delivers a quality start almost every single game. Sanchez will be up against a short-handed Texas lineup without Fielder and probably Martin as well. Scott Baker starts here for Texas, and he is a big question mark. Several Detroit hitters have great career stats against him. Too much value on the run line for me to pass up this one. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value Play* Edinson Volquez as a favorite against a quality team is almost an automatic fade for me. Volquez just isn't a reliable pitcher and he's pitching for a team that I believe is conistently being overrated by the oddsmakers. Pittsburgh isn't the same team they were last year. Volquez has put together four bad outings in a row, and he is a very streaky guy. Washington's lineup isn't great now, but I expect them to get a few. The Nationals start rookie Blake Treinen here. Treinen has pitched well in the minors. The Nationals also have the best bullpen in baseball, and that could play a major factor in this game. The Nationals are 43-19 in their last 62 games vs. a team with a losing record. Take Washington. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox were swept by the Detroit Tigers and now they have lost the first two games of their series against Toronto. Boston may not be as good as they were last year, but they aren't as bad as they have been playing lately. They also are a team with a bunch of pride. Getting them at a reasonable price here looking to avoid the sweep is something I'll definitely take. Jon Lester has been very sharp this year. The Red Sox are 7-1 in his last 8 home starts vs. the Blue Jays. Mark Buerhle has pitched very well this year, but the Red Sox have hit him hard in the past and he's due for some regression based on how many runners he has been stranding on base so far this year. Take Boston here. 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Cole Hamels and Henderson Alvarez will start in this one. Wednesday night's game between these two teams saw each team pick up 14 hits. I expect a much better showing from the pitchers in this one. Hamels has a sparkling 1.98 ERA in his career at Miami. Hamels' style of pitching fits in perfectly with this Miami ballpark. It is a pitcher's park, and Hamels has shown he knows how to use it. The Phillies offense is much weaker this year than it has been in the last few seasons. It's getaway day here too, which means both teams might sit a key player or two. The under is 8-0 in Hamels' last 8 games against Miami. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 games at Miami. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Betting unders at Coors Field isn't a lot of fun. Still, I have to bet an under whenever I see value, and I see it here. Matt Cain isn't pitching as well as he used to, but he is far from a bad pitcher. The Giants bullpen is excellent. The Giants offense is up and down. The Rockies start Chacin in this one, and he has been good at Coors Field in the past, and he has a good track record against most of the guys on this Giants roster. A total set this high is rare at night for Coors Field since day games are usually much higher scoring. Though this isn't a "fun" play to make, I'm taking the under here. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Oakland Athletics offense has been excellent this year, and they have been crushing left-handed pitching in recent weeks. Erik Bedard is coming off some good outings, but I think he is due to regress. Bedard isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago, and I don't expect him to keep up his impressive form. Tom Milone has a 4.72 ERA on the road in his career, and his career ERA vs. the Rays is just over 7. The Rays should get to him for several runs here. This total is set awfully low for these two pitchers.

The over is 3-0-1 in Oakland's last 4 during game two of a series. The over is 7-0 in Milone's last 7 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 7-1 in the A's last 8 games vs. a left-handed starter. The over is 3-0-1 in Bedard's last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 20-1 angle. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Boston Red Sox will be up against Drew Hutchison in this one and I like what I've seen out of him. Hutchison is a strikeout pitcher who the Red Sox haven't seen much at all, and I think that gives him the advantage here. Boston's offense isn't clicking right now. Clay Buchholz has struggled badly this year, but his career numbers are awesome against Toronto. He has a sparkling 2.52 ERA in 19 appearances in his career against the Jays. It will be a cool damp night in Boston which should help out as well.

The under is 5-0 in Hutchison's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 7-0 in Boston's last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall vs. a righty. The under is 3-0-1 in Buchholz's last 4 home starts with a total of 9 or higher. A 23-0 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Baltimore Orioles are a slight underdog here, and that makes them a massive value in my book. I think Baltimore should be -125 to -130 here. Wandy Rodriguez isn't healthy and he hasn't been sharp in any of his starts this year. I'm looking to fade Rodriguez at every opportunity. Here is a good opportunity. Baltimore is starting to heat up offensively. Chris Davis is getting going, and with Machado and Jones also in the middle of the order this team can score runs. Chris Tillman pitches well on the road, and the Pirates offense is poor. Pittsburgh is still overrated this year because of last year's success. All signs point to this being a strong play. 

Baltimore is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the NL Central. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. They are 5-0 in Tillman's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 0-6 in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. They are 0-4 in his last 4 following a game where the Pirates allowed 5 runs or more. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. A 41-0 angle. Take the Orioles big! 

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Texas Rangers offense hasn't been up to par of late, but this is still a lineup that will score a lot of runs this year. Prince Fielder says he expects to be back in the lineup Wednesday and that would be a nice boost. They'll be up against Chris Young here, and Young is due for some real regression since he isn't striking out many guys and opponents have a very low Batting Average on Balls in Play (BABIP) against him this year. Seattle's offense is much better this year, and Tepesch is serviceable, but he is far from a strong pitcher. Day games at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington generally see lots of fireworks. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Madison Bumgarner is a very good starting pitcher. Bumgarner is entering his prime and I expect big things from him this year and in the future. Bumgarner does a good job locating all of his pitches, and he mixes up speeds very well. The Rockies have been playing well of late, but I'm not convinced this team is quite as good as they have shown recently. Colorado has a bad bullpen and questionable starting rotation. They can definitely hit, but I see Bumgarner slowing them down here. Morales starts for the Rockies here, and I'm not convinced he can quiet this Giants lineup that has been great against lefties this year.

San Francisco is 5-0 in their last 5 following an off day. They are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a left-handed starter. They are 5-0 in their last 5 during game one of a series. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. The Rockies are 0-4 in their last 4 as an underdog of +110 to +150. A 23-0 angle. Take San Francisco. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Seattle Mariners deserve to be a much bigger favorite than they are in this game. Hisashi Iwakuma is back from injury and he is healthy and pitching with tons of confidence. Iwakuma hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts, and his stuff is truly electric. Colby Lewis isn't getting the strikeouts he used to, and he is a guy who has to get strike outs or he can't be a quality pitcher. Lewis gives up too many long balls, and he has an ERA above 5 in his career at home in Texas. 

Seattle is 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 7-1 in their last 8 following an off day. Texas is 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Texas is 1-7 in their last 8 as a home underdog. A 28-3 angle. Take Seattle. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds both have battered lineups. The top two hitters from the Reds lineup (Votto and Bruce) are both out with injuries. The top two hitters from the Nationals lineup (Harper and Zimmerman) are both out with injuries as well. Both of these offenses have really been struggling to string together hits. Johnny Cueto is pitching as well as any pitcher in baseball, and I expect a strong outing from him again here. This is a guy who has been mowing down even the best lineups. Doug Fister pitched great in his last outing, and he's backed by the best bullpen in baseball. It's a low total, but I see a strong potential for a 2-1 type of game. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* Scott Carroll isn't a guy I expect to see in the big leagues for much longer. He has never had much success in Triple A, so I don't see why we should expect him to be able to get out major league hitters consistently. After a couple pretty good starts early on this year, Carroll has been bombed in his last two outings. Kansas City's Jason Vargas has struggled at home, and the White Sox have several guys who have hit the ball extremely well off him in the past. The weather will be a factor here as well. The wind is expected to be blowing 20-25 MPH out toward left center field here. That makes a big difference in this ballpark. I see plenty of runs being scored here. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Wily Peralta and Mike Minor are both up and coming young pitchers. These are two guys that I expect big things from in the next few seasons. Peralta has been great away from home this year, and Minor has been very good in two of his first three starts of the season. Both of these offenses have been scuffling of late. The Braves average just 2.87 runs per game this year against right-handed starters. The Brewers are missing Aramis Ramirez, and Carlos Gomez is questionable due to the stomach flu. Also important to note here that both teams have shutdown bullpens. 

The under is 4-0-1 in the Brewers last 5 games set at a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 4-0 in Peralta's last 4 on 4 days of rest. The under is 6-0 in his last 6 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts during game one of a series. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 home games after a road trip of 7 days or more. The under is 3-0-1 in Minor's last 4 starts vs. the Brewers. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. A 33-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Detroit Tigers are playing the best baseball of anyone in the majors right now. I suspect this line is set the way it is partly because Detroit just played Sunday night in Boston and will get in a little bit late to Cleveland for this series. I think this angle is overplayed, especially when the flight isn't a terribly long one as is the case here. Drew Smyly is consistently underrated, and the Indians are hitting just .208 as a team against left-handed pitching this year. The Tigers are hitting .273 against both righties and lefties. Cory Kluber is a good pitcher for the Indians, but Miguel Cabrera and this Tigers lineup have had his number. Kluber's ERA against Detroit is 5.50. The Tigers deserve to be the clear favorite here.

Detroit is 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog. They are 7-0 in their last 7 road games against a right-handed pitcher. They are 5-0 in their last 5 as a road underdog. They are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less. They are 8-0 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 5-0 in their last 5 games in Cleveland. The Indians are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. a team with a win percentage of 60% or higher. They are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. A 44-0 angle. Take Detroit. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers took it on the chin in a big way last night. With Clayton Kershaw pitching, the Dodgers seemed like a sure bet against Arizona on Saturday night. Instead, the Dodgers were beaten 18-7 by the lowly Diamondbacks. Arizona pounded out 21 hits in that game. I liked the Dodgers on Sunday to begin with, but I like them a little bit more after getting crushed on Saturday night. This team has plenty of pride, and they have a good starter going Sunday in Dan Haren. Haren has put together a nice comeback season this year, and he is really commanding all of his pitches very well. Josh Collmenter pitches for Arizona, and his career ERA is above 5 against the Dodgers. The Dodgers have the much better team, and they should be highly motivated. 

The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 as a road favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 games at Arizona. The DBacks are 2-12 in their last 14 as a home underdog. A 25-4 angle. Take the Dodgers. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels and Tampa Bay Rays are both without a ton of their star hitters right now. Tampa Bay is without Ben Zobrist and they'll likely be without Desmond Jennings for a second straight game. Josh Hamilton and David Freese are both out for the Angels. David Price starts in this one for the Rays, and he pitched his best game in a very long time in his last outing. Price started a little rocky this year, but he is definitely an elite pitcher. Shoemaker makes just his third career big league start for the Angels in this one. He gets a Tampa Bay team that is somewhat offensively challenged to start with, and now they are without two of their four best hitters.

The real kicker in this game that made this a play for me is the home plate umpire. Bill Miller is behind the dish here. He's my single favorite under umpire, and his strike zone is massive. It seems to get even bigger on Sunday (getaway day). The under is an amazing 31-6 in his last 37 Sunday games. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Washington Nationals and New York Mets are both offensively challenged right now. Washington is missing their top two hitters, and the Mets have a weak offense around David Wright. Zack Wheeler and Jordan Zimmermann are two guys who can normally be trusted to deliver a quality start. The Mets bullpen has been much better this year (13th in the majors), and the Nationals are a top three bullpen in the majors. The wind will be blowing in during this one as well.

The under is 2-0-2 in the Mets last 4 games. The under is 2-0-2 in Wheeler's last 4 vs. the NL East. The under is 4-0-1 in the Nats last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. The under is 3-0-2 in their last 5 as a home favorite. An 11-0 angle. Take the under. 

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Angels have a distinct pitching advantage here with C.J. Wilson on the hill. Wilson has been good this year, and his numbers when pitching at home with the Angels have been very good (3.15 ERA). I faded Cesar Ramos last time out, and I'm doing it again here. Ramos isn't a true starter, and I don't see him staying in the rotation much longer. The Angels were shutout last night by Chris Archer, and that makes me like this play even more as I see a great chance for them to bounce back. Take the Angels here. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Colorado Rockies cashed in for me last night, and I'm going back to the well here. I had the Rockies -1.5 on Friday, but this time the moneyline is low enough for me to feel comfortable grabbing it instead. Jordan Lyles continues to prove his doubters wrong this year. Lyles was great in college and solid in the minors, and it makes sense that he could be a pretty good big league pitcher. Robbie Erlin has never pitched in Coors Field and he has struggled away from home. I don't think he'll fare well against a Rockies lineup that torches left-handed pitching. The Rockies are batting almost .300 against lefties this year. 

Colorado is 6-0 in their last 6 with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter. They are 8-1 in their last 9 as a favorite of -110 to -150. San Diego is 0-4 in Erlin's last 4 starts during game 2 of a series. They are also 0-4 in their last 4 as a road underdog of +110 to +150. A 26-1 angle. Take Colorado. 

*4 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The New York Yankees lineup hasn't quite put it all together this year, but this team is going to score a lot of runs. They have a patient lineup that will make you work, and that should work to their advantage against a guy like Edinson Volquez. Volquez walks a ton of people and gets himself into a lot of jams. Volquez started the year well, but he has been fading fast. I don't trust Volquez at all. David Phelps is just mediocre, but that should be enough against a weak Pirates offense in this one. Take the Yankees. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers are a much better team overall than the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers may or may not have Carlos Gomez back in this one, but Ryan Braun will definitely be back in the lineup after missing Friday's game. Braun is obviously the key piece on this team. The Cubs offense is very weak outside of Rizzo and Castro. Matt Garza should be highly motivated to go against his old team in a place where he has pitched very well in the past. Edwin Jackson is a pitcher I tend to fade when given the chance. Milwaukee has a huge bullpen advantage here as well. 

The Brewers are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a win percentage of 40% or lower. The Brewers are 4-0 in Garza's last 4 as a favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The Cubs are 0-6 in Jackson's last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle. Take Milwaukee. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The St. Louis Cardinals are just 22-20 so far this year, but I still believe they are the best team in the National League. I expect to see plenty of times to back this team in the coming weeks and months. This is a very well-rounded team. The offense has underperformed most of the year, but they are very good. The bullpen is much improved. Shelby Miller has been questionable this year, but his track record at home is exceptional. Miller has an ERA well below 2 in his career at home. Aaron Harang is pitching way above his head right now, and he is due to regress at some point. The Cardinals offense is slowly heating up.

The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a right-handed starter. They are 6-0 in Miller's last 6 starts when the team allowed 2 runs or less last game. They are 4-0 in Miller's last 4 with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 4-0 in this last 4 starts overall. The Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog. They are 0-4 in their last 4 as a road underdog. A 27-0 angle. Take the Cardinals. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* Jorge De La Rosa has owned the San Diego Padres in the past. The Rockies are a perfect 7-0 in De La Rosa's last 7 home starts against the Padres. The Rockies are 11-1 in his last 12 starts vs. San Diego overall. The Padres have the worst offense in baseball. Colorado piles up the runs at Coors Field, and I don't see San Diego being able to keep up. Eric Stults is a below average lefty, and the Rockies have an OBP of .350 against lefties as a team. The Rockies are 40-12 in De La Rosa's last 52 home starts. Big advantages in both lineup and starting pitching for Colorado. Take the Rockies -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cleveland Indians are starting to play better baseball in recent days. The offense has been hitting it well, but they run into a buzzsaw here in Sonny Gray. I've been really impressed with the way he has pitched all this year. Gray is extremely consistent, and that's something that most youngsters struggle with. Gray already shut down this Indians lineup once this year. The A's offense may be without Coco Crisp again here, and that hurts them a lot. Oakland's offense lacks firepower. Zach McAllister has been very good at home this year. The wind will be blowing in on a cold night in Cleveland, so the ball shouldn't fly well.

The under is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 road games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 3-0-1 in Gray's last following a quality start. The under is 3-0-1 in his last 4 with the total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 5-0 in Cleveland's last 5 vs. a team with a 60% or higher win percentage. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games following a road trip of 7 days or more. The under is 4-0-1 in McAllister's last 5 home starts. The under is 4-0 in McAllister's last 4 home starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 32-0 angle. Take the under. 

*5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION* Alfredo Simon has pitched very well this year, but he is due for some serious regression. It started last game against Colorado for him. Simon allowed 8 hits and 5 runs in just three innings of work. Simon isn't a good starting pitcher, and right now the oddsmakers are lining him as if he is. Kyle Kendrick is a guy I like to fade a lot as well. I think he has below average stuff, and he's in a hitter's ballpark here. Both offenses should match up well versus these two pitchers. Rain could be a factor in this game, and if it is the bullpens will see more work. Both of these bullpens are terrible. I think this total should be set at 9, and this kind of line mistake is very rare. Take the over big! 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Yordano Ventura is a name you'll want to get to know if you don't already know it. Ventura has electric stuff and is lighting up radar guns and frustrating hitters all over the league. Baltimore's lineup suffers a lot without Matt Wieters in the middle of the order. Chen starts here for the Orioles and he has really looked strong in his last few starts. Kansas City is hitting just .224 as a team against left-handed pitching this year. The wind here is expected to be blowing in at 10-15 mph on a cool day in Kansas City. 

The under is 3-0-1 in Chen's last 4 on five days of rest. The under is 7-0 in Chen's last 7 vs. the AL Central. The under is 5-0 in Kansas City's last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their last game. The under is 4-0 in KC's last 4 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 against a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. A 25-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Milwaukee Brewers were tripped up last night by the Pittsburgh Pirates, but I like their chances of getting back on track here. Yovani Gallardo has a great history against the Pirates. In 130 innings pitched against Pittsburgh, Gallardo has a stellar 2.63 ERA. Gallardo also has a great history with home plate umpire CB Bucknor. He has a 2.64 ERA with Bucknor behind the dish. Wandy Rodriguez starts for the Pirates here, and he isn't healthy. I suspect Rodriguez needs surgery based on the huge drop in his velocity this year. The Pirates are giving him another try here, and I don't like that idea by them. In addition, Rodriguez has a brutal 6.39 ERA at Miller Park. 

Pittsburgh is 12-50 in their last 62 games at Milwaukee. The Brewers are 10-2 in Gallardo's last 12 home starts vs. the Pirates. Pittsburgh is 0-5 in Rodriguez's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 games against a left-handed starter. A 71-15 trend here. Take Milwaukee. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Milwaukee Brewers have completely owned the Pittsburgh Pirates over the last few years. The Pirates are a team that I see backtracking from last years amazing season, and so far that has definitely been the case. Pittsburgh's lineup is weak outside of Andrew McCutchen. Francisco Liriano was the team's best pitcher last year, but he has been wildly inconsistent this year. He has an ERA above 7 at Miller Park in his career, and the Brewers are playing some good baseball right now. Wily Peralta is a guy I'm high on because of his electric stuff. He has had two great outings against Pittsburgh in his career.

The Brewers are 50-11 in their last 61 home games against Pittsburgh. They are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a lefty. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. They are 0-4 in their last 4 as a road underdog. A 64-11 angle. Take Milwaukee. 

*4 Star MLB Oddsmaker ERROR* The Houston Astros may well be the worst team in baseball. Seeing them as a favorite is a very strange thing. It would be understandable if they had an elite pitcher on their roster, but here they have Scott Feldman pitching. Feldman is a decent pitcher, but he's not elite. He is up and down, and the Rangers just saw him a few weeks ago and struggled. I think this strong Texas offense will bounce back here. Tepesch starts for the Rangers and he was decent as a rookie last year. He has a 1.52 ERA in Triple A this year. Texas has the much better lineup and bullpen and at even money going against Houston is a very nice value. Take Texas. 

*3 Star Play Over 8.5* Kevin Correia and Felix Doubront are both pitchers I like to fade normally, but in this case I'll just go with the over because I see lots of scoring opportunities for both teams. Both of these offenses are fully capable of putting up a bunch of runs, as they did in last night's game. Look for some long innings in this one. This total is set too low. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline VALUE* Madison Bumgarner has allowed just 2 runs and only one earned run in his last 20 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves. Bumgarner is making a lot of batters swing and miss lately, and the Braves hitters strike out a bunch. Bumgarner is a guy who I believe is breaking out and becoming a top five pitcher in the National League. Julio Teheran has been good this year, but his peripherals tell me he is due for some regression. This is a key game between two good teams looking for the series win. I'll take the team with the better starter and better bullpen. Take the Giants here. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Bill Miller is my single favorite under umpire in the majors. Miller has a massive strike zone and he isn't shy at all about ringing anyone up. You'll likely see the batters from both sides in this game get upset with him multiple times in this game. It's get away day, and those are usually good for unders, especially with a great home plate umpire calling tons of strikes. The under is 24-4 in Miller's last 28 games behind the plate in Arizona. Brandon McCarthy has pitched great under the dome in Arizona. He has an ERA below 2.5 in his career under a dome. Doug Fister had a bad start last week but I expect a solid season from him. Chase Field's roof will be closed here, and that helps in a big way. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Philadelphia Phillies are down in a big way this year. This is a team that no longer is the scary team that was a contender to win it all each year a few years ago. The Los Angeles Angels record isn't great so far this year, but they are playing very well of late. Garrett Richards was always highly touted and he is finally coming into his own. Richards is controlling all of his pitches now. A.J. Burnett has gotten very fortunate in several starts and he is due for some regression based on his peripherals. Burnett is aging and not completely healthy. Richards is an up and comer. 

The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games against a team with a losing record. They are 4-0 in Richards' last 4 interleague starts. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. The Angels are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games at Philadelphia. A 28-0 angle. Take the Angels. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Arizona Diamondbacks are now 3-16 at home this year. It's rare to see a team perform pretty well on the road and be this bad at home. Arizona isn't a good team, and Bronson Arroyo is a bad fit at Chase Field. Chase Field is a hitters paradise with the roof open as it should be on Tuesday night. Arroyo is a guy who gives up tons of long balls, and with the roof open Chase Field is a place where the ball flies extremely well. Stephen Strasburg is putting together a very nice start to the season, and he has been great in two starts against the Diamondbacks in the past.

Arizona is 1-11 in their last 12 games as a home underdog. They are 0-6 in their last 6 as a home underdog of +110 to +150. The Nationals are 5-0 in Strasburg's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. A 22-1 angle. Take Washington. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Boston Red Sox lineup hasn't produced the way they are capable of so far this year. Over the course of the season, I expect the numbers from this group to get much better. This is still a talented lineup that will finish near the top of the majors in runs scored. The Twins offense has been much better than expected this year, and having a healthy Joe Mauer back in the lineup now is a big help. Ricky Nolasco and Felix Doubront are both guys who are capable of giving up big innings at any time. The total is set a little too low here. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* I'm not a fan of pitchers like Ubaldo Jimenez. I don't like backing a guy who is capable of shutting down the opponent or giving up 9 runs, and he is definitely that type of guy. Jimenez has a 5.32 ERA in his career against this strong Tigers lineup. He struggles to get out the key guys in the Tigers lineup. Drew Smyly is an underrated pitcher at this stage of his career, and the Orioles are hitting just above .220 as a team against left-handed pitching this year. The Tigers have the better lineup here and I trust Smyly more than Jimenez. 

The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 as a road favorite. They are 5-0 in their last 5 road games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. A 24-0 angle. Take Detroit. 

*3 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Seattle Mariners have King Felix on the hill Monday night. Hernandez has been absolutely dominating in the past against the Tampa Bay Rays. In fact, the Mariners have won eight straight games against the Rays when Hernandez is on the hill. Hernandez has an ERA of just above 2 in his career against Tampa Bay, and no one on the Rays roster has good career numbers against him. Cesar Ramos is a fill-in starter for the Rays, and I think he is due for some serious regression in the near future. Too big of a price for me on the moneyline, so we'll take the run line here. Take the Mariners -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit Shelby Miller well in the past. Miller has been struggling so far this year, and Miller has an ERA over 4 in his career on the road. Charlie Morton has been awful (ERA above 6) in his career against the Cardinals. St. Louis has been cold of late, but this is a great matchup for them to bust out of their slump. A total of 7.5 is far too low given the tons of questions that come with both starting pitchers in this one. I think 8.5 would have been a fair line for this game.

The over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher. The over is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 as a favorite. The over is 6-1-1 in the Pirates last 8 games overall. The over is 3-0-1 in the Cardinals last 4 during game three of a series. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Seattle Mariners start Roenis Elias in this one. Elias has been a very nice surprise in this Seattle starting rotation. I'm not sure if Elias is a long-term star because his success relies largely on the deception of his delivery. Still, when a team first sees him, they often have a hard time picking up the baseball. Kansas City has been awful all year against lefties. The Royals are averaging just 2.39 runs per game against left-handed starting pitchers this year. Elias is a tough matchup for them. The Mariners offense is much improved. 

Kansas City is 0-7 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The Royals are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Seattle is 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 4-0 in their last 4 home games as a -110 to -150 favorite. A 22-0 angle. Take Seattle. 

*3 Star MLB Runline Value* The Detroit Tigers need this game to win this series against the lowly Twins. Detroit is the much better team, and I like the pitching matchup here as well. Robbie Ray is a rising star for the Tigers, and I expect big things from him in the future. Minnesota has never seen him before, and they aren't typically good against lefties. Sam Deduno is a below average major league pitcher. He has been awful against Detroit. Deduno comes into this game with a 7.48 ERA in his career against the Tigers. This Tigers offense is fully capable of busting this game open. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins were beaten badly last night as Jose Fernandez was hit around in rare fashion by the San Diego Padres. Miami throws another very good young pitcher at this weak Padres offense on Saturday night. Nate Eovaldi has electric stuff, and he is quickly becoming a terrific number two starter for the Marlins. Eovaldi enters this game with a 2.78 ERA despite facing some very good lineups this year. Eric Stults starts for the Padres, and he appears to be past his prime. Stults is almost 35 and has lost some zip on his fastball. He has been getting hit around consistently of late, and this Marlins offense is much better this year. Huge pitching mismatch here. Lay the small price on Miami. Take the Marlins. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Francisco Giants are doing it with a great pitching staff again this year. The bullpen has been excellent, and the starting rotation has been high quality as well. Madison Bumgarner is a consistent pitcher, and he matches up well against the Dodgers. Bumgarner has a sparkling ERA of 1.98 in nine career games at Dodger Stadium. Paul Maholm is a middle of the road pitcher at best, and the Giants have been at their best against left-handed pitching so far this year. San Francisco is averaging 5.14 runs per game against lefties in 2014. Huge pitching advantage all the way around for the Giants here.

The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a left-handed starter. They are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 5-0 in their last 5 overall against a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a left-handed starter. A 22-1 angle. Take the Giants. 

*3 Star MLB Road Warrior* The Arizona Diamondbacks clearly aren't as bad as they started this season. I don't believe they are a good team, but they do now have a winning record on the road. The line movement in this game has been really interesting to me. Arizona was a significant underdog at the line open here, and the smart money has poured in on the Diamondbacks. I like Arizona too. Brandon McCarthy is a streaky pitcher who is throwing the ball exceptionally well of late. He is also up against his old team, and he has pitched well against them in his 3 starts against them since leaving Chicago. Rienzo is a shaky starter, and the Diamondbacks offense has been good in recent days. The White Sox have overachieved so far this year. Here's a good chance to against them. Take Arizona. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies both have terrible bullpens. The Mets bullpen is ranked 24th out of 30 teams in the majors. The Phillies bullpen is ranked 29th out of 30 teams. Mejia almost never lasts past the end of the fifth or sixth inning, so the Mets bullpen will be used often here. Philadelphia's lineup has been hitting it pretty well of late. Roberto Hernandez pitched well last game, but I don't trust him and he isn't the type of pitcher that deserves to have totals set this low.

The over is 3-0-1 in the Phillies last 4 Friday games. The over is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 2-0-2 in Mejia's last 4 vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 5-1-1 in the Phillies last 7 road games. A 14-1 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Texas Rangers and Colorado Rockies both have lineups that can light up the scoreboard. Importantly, both of these teams are terrific against left-handed pitching. Both teams will start left-handed pitchers in this one. Texas is hitting .288 and averaging 6.31 runs against lefties this year. Colorado is hitting .316 and averaging 5.64 runs per game against lefties. Franklin Morales is a below average starter for Colorado. Matt Harrison is a mediocre starter who is just coming back from a major injury. The Rockies lineup is on fire right now, and I don't see Harrison slowing them down. Texas is poor against right-handers, but they get a great matchup here against Morales. 

The over is 6-0 in the Rockies last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The over is 5-0-2 in the Rockies last 7 road games with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less last game. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 as a road underdog. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. The over is 5-0 in Morales' last 5 road starts with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 interleague games against a lefty. The over is 3-0-1 in the Rangers last 4 home games with a total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in Harrison's last 4 starts as a favorite. The over is 3-0-1 in Harrison's last 4 starts overall. A 43-0 angle. Take the over big! 

*4 Star MLB Runline Value* The Houston Astros kept it close against the Detroit Tigers last night, but Detroit may be the best team in baseball and Houston may be the worst. There are a lot of lopsided games when these two meet. Smyly is an underrated lefty for the Tigers. Dallas Keuchel has been decent at home for Houston, but his career ERA on the road is a ridiculous 6.01. The Tigers are great against left-handed pitchers and their offense slumbered in last night's 3-2 win. Expect a much better performance from the Tigers hitters in this one. Good price on a clear mismatch. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles are both in favorable spots to score runs on Wednesday night. Cesar Ramos pitches for the Rays and he isn't a guy who can get past the fifth inning very often. Tampa Bay's bullpen ERA is 4.24, so if he exits early it gives the Orioles a good chance to score even more late. Ramos is far from dominating, and the Orioles generally hit lefties well. Tampa Bay's lineup is a bit underrated, and they have some guys who have hit Norris well in the past. This total is set awfully low, so I see plenty of value. 

The over is 5-0 in the Orioles last 5 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 as a dog of +110 to +150. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 vs. the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 as a road dog of +110 to +150. The over is 4-0 in Norris' last 4 starts with a total at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 6-0 in Tampa Bay's last 6 home games vs. a right-handed pitcher. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 as a favorite of -110 to -150. A 40-0 angle. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Runline Value* The Detroit Tigers are a much much better team than the Houston Astros. Rick Porcello is also a bit underappreciated as a pitcher at this point in his career. Porcello is still young, but he is clearly getting better of late. Porcello's stuff is plenty good, and now that he is getting better with his command the improvements are pretty drastic. Brad Peacock pitches for the Astros here and he walks way too many batters. Look for the Tigers to make him pay for those free passes here. Take Detroit -1.5. 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The San Diego Padres offense is miserable. They have been the worst offense in the league this year, and it really hasn't been close. Kansas City's offense has been scuffling pretty badly of late as well. James Shields and Andrew Cashner are the aces of these two pitching staffs. With the last two games going extra innings, I expect these starters to be stretched out a bit here to save the bullpen and that should be a good thing with two extremely good starters like Shields and Cashner. Cashner is amazing at home, and Shields is a great strikeout pitcher against a Padres lineup that strikes out very often.

The under is 6-0 in Cashner's last 6 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 as a favorite. The under is 5-0 in his last 3 during game 3 of a series. The under is 7-0 in Cashner's last 7 with a total set at 6.5 or lower. The under is 8-0 in his last 8 after the team scored 2 runs or less last game. The under is 7-0 in his last 7 home starts. The under is 8-0 in his last 8 following a Padres loss. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 as a home favorite. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. A 54-0 angle. Take the under. 

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special*  Note- Use listed pitchers here- Felix Hernandez as the starter for the Mariners. 

Felix Hernandez is slated to start game one of this doubleheader unless something changes. Hernandez has been lights out against Oakland in Oakland Coliseum the last two years. How good has he been? He has given up just one run in his last 23 innings pitched at Oakland. On the other side, Dan Straily has an ERA of 6.75 in his four career starts against the Mariners. Seattle's lineup is much improved from a year ago, and Oakland isn't hitting well at all recently. 

The Mariners are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 as a favorite of -110 to -150. They are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in the last game. They are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL West. They are 7-1 in Felix's last 8 starts in Oakland. Oakland is 0-5 in their last 5 home games. A 42-1 angle. Take Seattle. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline CASH* The Milwaukee Brewers aren't getting much respect from the oddsmakers with this line. Wily Peralta is a guy I'm very high on. I've watched Peralta's last two starts, and his stuff is absolutely electric. He has great movement on his fastball, and he has the other pitches to put guys away. Bronson Arroyo is on the downswing in his career, and I don't trust him at all. The Diamondbacks won yesterday, and the Brewers need this to win the series. Expect them to pick up the win. Take Milwaukee. 

*4 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Chicago Cubs will start Edwin Jackson in this one. Jackson has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball in the last two years. He has a brutal 5.24 ERA so far in 2014. In his career, he has a 6.60 ERA against the White Sox. This White Sox lineup has been much better than expected and I expect them to get to Jackson early and often. At the same time, Hector Noesi has been plugged in as a spot starter for the White Sox. Noesi has been awful this year, and even a bad lineup like the Cubs should put up several on Noesi. The total here is set very low because the wind will be blowing in. With these two starters on the mound, I can't pass up a total set at 7 runs. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value* The St. Louis Cardinals are the best team in the National League in my book. They haven't played like it yet this year, but I expect big things from them in 2014. The season is still very young. Getting the Cardinals at plus money this year will likely be difficult. In this case, we're getting them at plus money against Gavin Floyd who is making his first major league start of the year. Floyd has had serious injury concerns, and I doubt he'll make it deep into this game. The Braves have lost 7 straight games, and they are finally starting to feel the pain of their injury issues. Plenty of value on the Cardinals at this price. Take St. Louis. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Detroit Tigers and the Houston Astros have the two worst bullpens in the majors this year. The Tigers have a bullpen ERA of 5.31. The Astros have a bullpen ERA of 5.74. I expect both bullpens to be in the game for several innings here, which makes me like this over. Brett Oberholtzer was only mediocre in the minors and the Tigers hit left-handed pitching very well. Look for him to struggle through this start. Robbie Ray makes his first major league start for the Tigers. Ray doesn't have dominating stuff, and I doubt he'll work deep into this game. There should be plenty of scoring chances in this one. Take the over. 

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Francisco Giants are rolling right now. This team is getting timely hitting and some excellent pitching. Last year's Giants didn't get the normal great pitching this team has been used to in the past, but the pitching staff has bounced back in a big way this year. Tim Hudson is one of the guys that has been key to that bounce back. Hudson has a 2.17 ERA this year, and he has only given up more than 2 earned runs once. The Giants bullpen is second in the majors with a stellar 1.86 ERA. Pittsburgh's great season last year was nice for their fans, but I'm convinced this team isn't the same this year. Last year's team was a bit fortunate to finish as well as they did, and without a good offense it's tough to win as much as that team did. Pittsburgh is coming back to earth right now. 

The Giants are 5-0 in their last 5 road games. They are 5-0 in their last 5 after scoring at least 5 runs last game. They are 6-0 in their last 6 overall. They are 4-0 in Hudson's last 4 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 4-0 in his last 4 starts following a quality start. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%. They are 0-4 in Morton's last 4 starts as a home underdog. They are 0-4 in his last 4 starts overall. They are 0-7 in Morton's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 43-0 angle. Take the Giants. 

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* Jered Weaver isn't the same pitcher he was a few years ago. Weaver has lost a bunch of velocity and he doesn't have the same ability to strike out batters that he previously had. Even in the past, the Yankees lineup has torched him. Weaver has a brutal 5.93 ERA in 13 career starts against New York. David Phelps is a spot starter here for New York, and I'm not confident in his ability to come through for the Yankees. Phelps hasn't been good in the minors, and his past history in the majors is inconsistent at best. The Angels still score runs at home, and they have two elite hitters in Trout and Pujols.

The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 during game one of a series. The over is 3-0-1 in Phelps last 4 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 5-0 in Weaver's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 as a favorite. The over is 6-0-1 in his last 7 when the opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The over is 6-0 in his last 6 starts with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. The over is 6-0 in Weaver's last 6 starts overall. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts vs. the Yankees. 

*3 Star MLB White Sox/Cubs CASH* The Chicago White Sox and Chicago Cubs aren't good teams, but they are bitter rivals and this series is always interesting and heated. Jose Quintana is a middle of the road lefty and the Cubs have been pretty good against lefties this year. Jeff Samardzija has been amazing so far this year, despite the fact that his record doesn't show it. He has left with the lead several times and been victimized by bullpen collapses. The White Sox are a team I'm low on for the season overall, and I expect to find spots to fade them over the course of the year. I'm not necessarily high on the Cubs, but I like their pitching advantage here. 

The White Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the NL Central. They are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. the AL Central. The Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. the White Sox. A 16-0 angle. Take the Cubs. 

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Aaron Harang isn't nearly as good of a pitcher as he has looked like early on this year. Harang had sparkling numbers before his last outing in which he gave up 9 earned runs. He still has a 2.97 ERA. This is a guy that didn't have a job until a few days before the season. Shelby Miller is regressing of late. Miller is walking far too many guys, and he has been wild inside the strike zone as well. Both of these offenses have been underperforming of late, but I think they'll have plenty of scoring chances in this one. A warm night in Atlanta with the wind blowing out helps a lot. Take the over. 

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and New York Mets will play Sunday afternoon in perfect conditions for scoring at Coors Field. The wind will be blowing out at about 15 mph. The temperature will be in the mid 80's and the ball should be flying extremely well. Paul Schrieber is the umpire behind the dish here, and by my data he is one of the best over umpires in the business because of his tiny strike zone. He is hesitant to ring up hitters. Dillon Gee has been bad at Coors in the past. Chacin is in his first game back from a major injury.

The over is 4-0-2 in the Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 overall. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 as an underdog. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 3-0-1 in the Rockies last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Chacin's last 4 as a home favorite. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 home starts. The over is 5-0-1 in his last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between these two at Coors Field. A 40-1 angle. Take the over. 

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Arizona Diamondbacks have won the first two games of this series. The Diamondbacks seem to be getting respect from the oddsmakers here since they are barely even an underdog. I wouldn't want to back the Diamondbacks as they are looking to complete a sweep. Wade Miley has a terrible past against the Padres (career ERA of over 5). Tyson Ross on the other hand, has been awesome against Arizona. In 23 innings, he has a 1.96 ERA against the DBacks. Ross has a career ERA of just 1.96 at Petco Park in more than 76 innings. The Padres offense is bad, but they are better against lefties than right-handed pitching. Short price on a team looking to avoid a sweep at the hands of a very bad team. Take San Diego big! 

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Detroit Tigers have taken the first two games in this series and I've been on them in both of those wins. I'll back them for a third straight game here. Justin Verlander is still absolutely one of the best pitchers in baseball. Kansas City has gotten some good outings from Jason Vargas this year, but Detroit really hits lefties well and I don't like this matchup for him. Detroit is playing excellent baseball and may be the best team in the majors.

Detroit is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a lefty. They are 4-0 in their last 4 road games. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. They are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 games with a total set at 7 to 8.5 runs. They are 4-0 in Verlander's last 4 starts. Kansas City is 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog of +110 to +150. They are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. the AL Central. They are 0-5 in their last 5 as an underdog overall. Detroit is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. A 45-0 angle. Take the Tigers. 

*3 Star MLB Moneyline Value Play* The Baltimore Orioles weren't a good pick yesterday as they let me down, but I'm going back with the Orioles here. I don't trust Phil Hughes at all, and this Baltimore lineup has scorched him in the past. Hughes has an ERA above 5 in his career against the Orioles. Miguel Gonzalez has been off his game a bit this year, but in his career he has been good away from home. This Twins lineup isn't as good as they have looked early this year. Baltimore has the much better lineup. Good price here on the Orioles. Take Baltimore.