20* Braves/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER ticket in Game 1 tonight between two of the best offenses in baseball.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall, 5.6 runs per game at home and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters.  The Braves are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall and 5.6 runs per game on the road.

Charlie Morton is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA in five starts this season, but 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA in two road starts.  Morton is 1-5 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Los Angeles.

Gavin Stone is 2-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in five starts this season, but 1-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three home starts.  Stone allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of an 8-6 win over the Braves in his lone career start against them last season.

The Dodgers are 15-2 OVER in their last 17 games against NL teams that allow 4.0 or fewer runs per game.  Los Angeles is 8-1 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Cavs/Magic ESPN No-Brainer on Orlando -3.5

The Orlando Magic have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA this season.  They are 31-11 SU & 29-13 ATS at home this season.  I expect them to even this series in Game 6 and win this game by 4-plus points to get us the cover.

The Magic won 121-83 at home in Game 3 and 112-89 at home in Game 4 as these two games in Orlando weren't even close.  They nearly pulled off the upset in Game 5, only losing 104-103 in Cleveland.  It looks like the Magic are the better team in this series right now.

That's especially the case now with the Cavaliers missing Jarrett Allen, who sat out Game 5 with injured ribs.  He has been their most important player in this series with all he does on defense and on the boards.  He must really be injured if he's sitting out a Game 5 of a series that's tied 2-2.

Orlando is 17-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Magic are 7-0 ATS in home games with a total of 200 to 209.5 this season.  JB Bickerstaff is 0-7 SU on the road in the playoffs as the coach of the Cavaliers.  Bet the Magic in Game 6 Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Reds OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best offenses in baseball.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game on the road.  The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. I expect some fireworks offensively in Game 1 of this series tonight.  

Cole Irvin is 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA in five starts for the Orioles this season, and 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in two road starts.  He has faced a very soft schedule and takes a big step up in class here.

Hunter Greene is 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA in six starts this season, and 0-2 with a 4.94 ERA in four home starts.  Greene allowed 4 earned runs in 7 innings to the Phillies and 6 earned runs in 6 innings to the Brewers in his last two home starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Knicks/76ers TNT No-Brainer on New York +3.5

The New York Knicks have been a resilient team all season.  They are 22-11 ATS off a loss this season and 30-17 ATS in their last 47 games when revenging a loss.  The Philadelphia 76ers are 11-24 ATS in their last 35 games off an upset win as an underdog.

After blowing a 6-point lead in the final 28 seconds, I expect the Knicks to respond in a big way in Game 6 tonight and close out this series.  With only one day of rest in between games, it really favors the Knicks.  They are the deeper team.  The 76ers rely too much on Joel Embiid and Tyrese Maxey to get all of their offense.  

Embiid is hobbled with a torn knee and running out of steam, and you could see it when he committed nine turnovers in Game 5.  Fortunately for him, Maxey bailed him out with arguably the best game of his career, scoring 46 points on 17-of-30 shooting including 7-of-12 from 3-point range.  That's not going to happen again, and the Knicks will make the proper adjustments to slow him down and make someone else beat them.

Plays on any team (New York) - when revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite, off an upset loss as a favorite are 170-105 (61.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Knicks in Game 6 Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Knicks/76ers UNDER 200.5

These are two dead nuts UNDER teams.  The Knicks rank dead last (30th) in the NBA in pace, and the 76ers are playing much slower than normal in the playoffs to accommodate Joel Embiid, who is limping up and down the court with an injured knee.

The last two games in this series were extremely low-scoring, and it should be more of the same in Game 6 tonight.  The Knicks won Game 4 in Philadelphia 97-92 for just 189 combined points.  Game 5 was tied 97-97 at the end of regulation for just 194 combined points before going to OT.  I don't expect either team to get to 100 tonight.  Bet the UNDER in Game 6 Thursday.

15* Guardians/Astros AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall including 5.3 runs per game on the road.  The Houston Astros are hitting .281 and scoring 4.9 runs per game at home.  These two offenses should have their way against these two awful starting pitchers tonight.

Logan Allen is 3-1 in spite of a 5.46 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings.  The OVER is 5-1 in Allen's six starts this season.  Allen allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 10-9 win over the Astros in his lone career start against them last season.

Spencer Arrighetti is only in the rotation for Houston due to injuries to their other starters.  He is 0-3 with a 10.97 ERA and 2.34 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

Cleveland is 9-2 OVER against AL West opponents this season.  Houston is 21-10 OVER in its last 31 games when revenging a one-run loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Mavericks/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Dallas -2.5

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series as the road team has won twice already.  The Clippers have one of the worst home-court advantages in the NBA.  The Mavericks are simply the better team in this series and that will show in Game 5 tonight.

The Clippers were able to steal Game 4 in Dallas thanks to shooting an unsustainable percentage.  They shot 53.7% from the field including a ridiculous 18-of-29 (62.1%) from 3.  Yet they still blew a 31-point lead and were life and death in a 116-111 victory.  Shooting regression will work against them in Game 5, and the Mavericks will grab a stranglehold in this series.

The Clippers could have made a title run with a healthy Kawhi Leonard, but he sat out Game 4 and is likely out for the rest of this series as his knee just hasn't responded like he was hoping it would.  And without Kawhi, the Mavericks are by far the superior team.  Even if he decides to play the Clippers have lost both games with him in the lineup.

Dallas is 9-0 ATS in road games when revenging a loss this season.  The Clippers are 7-19 ATS off a road win this season.  The Mavericks are 19-6 ATS as road favorites this season.  Bet the Mavericks in Game 5 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -134

The Los Angeles Dodgers are highly motivated to win this series against the Arizona Diamondbacks after getting swept by them in the playoffs last year.  They won 8-4 in Game 1 but lost 4-3 in extras last night.  I expect them to take Game 3 tonight with their advantage on the mound and at the plate.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been dominant since losing to the Padres in Japan in the opener.  He is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 27 innings with 35 K's.

Jordan Montgomery got off to a late start this season after being signed late by the Diamondbacks.  After facing the Cardinals and Giants in his first two starts this season, Montgomery takes a big step up in class here against the Dodgers.  He is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in two career starts against Los Angeles while allowing 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings.

Arizona is 3-10 off a win this season.  The Dodgers are 54-23 in their last 77 games off a loss.  Bet the Dodgers Wednesday.

15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Orioles tonight.  It's going to be 80 degrees at game time with light winds blowing out to right-center at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Orioles are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season while the Yankees are scoring 5.5 runs per game on the road.  These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now.

The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have now scored at least 6 runs in four of their last seven games overall.  The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs or more in 14 of their last 16 games overall.  Both offenses have been held in check in this series thus far, but I expect them to explode in Game 3.

Corbin Burnes has already allowed 5 homers in 35 1/3 innings, while Luis Gil has control issues with 19 walks in 24 2/3 innings.  This total of 8.5 is too low for these two offenses this afternoon.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Padres OVER 8

The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 4.9 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season.  This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses with 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to right-center in San Diego this afternoon.

Joe Musgrove consistently gets too much respect from the books and is with this low total again today.  Musgrove is 3-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 58 base runners in 35 innings with only 27 K's.  The OVER is 5-2 in Musgrove's seven starts and the OVER is 7-2 in Musgrove's last nine starts against Cincinnati.

Graham Ashcraft is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in five starts for the Reds this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 2/3 innings.  The Padres are scoring 5.1 runs per game against right-handed starters this season and should get to Ashcraft today.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Angels are playing like the team most thought they would be coming into the season, which is one of the worst teams in baseball.  They have gone 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and just lost Mike Trout to a torn meniscus.  He was having a great season and the lone bright spot on this team.

The Philadelphia Phillies are showing what they are capable of, which is one of the best teams in baseball.  They have gone 12-3 in their last 15 games overall and have now scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games.  They are raking at the plate right now.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-4 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 49 base runners in 27 innings.  Philadelphia has a big advantage on the mound behind ace Zack Wheeler, who is 2-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 32 base runners in 37 1/3 innings with 46 K's.

The Angels are 2-14 in Sandoval's last 16 starts against a team with a winning record and getting outscored by 4.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 1-10 in Sandoval's last 11 home starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs and getting outscored by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* NL Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -110

The Los Angeles Dodgers want revenge after getting swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in three games in the playoffs last year to end their season.  The won Game 1 8-4 last night, and I expect them to crush the Diamondbacks again in Game 2 tonight.

I like what I've seen from Landon Knack, who is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two starts for the Dodgers this season.  Knack will be up against an ice cold Arizona lineup that has scored a total of 10 runs in their last five games for an average of just 2.0 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks hitting .208 and scoring 3.7 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.

The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in baseball and are hitting .275 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season.  I expect them to get to Jordan Montgomery, who signed late with the Diamondbacks and is behind the eight ball.  Montgomery is 0-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings.

Montgomery's teams are 1-8 (-10.6 Units) in his last nine starts when the total is 9 to 9.5 runs.  Bet the Dodgers Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Padres OVER 7.5

The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 5.0 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season.  This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses tonight.

Nick Martinez is 0-1 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 27 base runners in 16 innings.  Yu Darvish is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts for the Padres, allowing 10 earned runs in 15 innings.  Both starters are getting too much respect tonight.

Cincinnati is 16-5 OVER in its last 21 road games after allowing 2 runs or less.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -134

The Los Angeles Angels are playing like the team most thought they would be coming into the season, which is one of the worst teams in baseball.  They have gone 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and just gave up a total of 27 runs in two games over the weekend to the Twins.

The Philadelphia Phillies are showing what they are capable of, which is one of the best teams in baseball.  They have gone 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have now scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 13 games.  They are raking at the plate right now.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Tyler Anderson, who is very fortunate to have the numbers he has to this point.  Anderson has 21 K's in 30 1/3 innings and doesn't have elite stuff at all.  Anderson has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies.

Spencer Turnbull is the real deal for the Phillies.  He has gone 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs and 23 base runners in 27 innings with 30 K's, showing he has elite stuff with this K numbers.

The Angels are 1-9 at home with a line of +125 to -125 this season.  Bet the Phillies Tuesday.

15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Astros OVER 9

The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season including 5.2 runs per game on the road.  The Houston Astros are scoring 4.8 runs per game at home.  Both offenses should have their way against these two awful starting pitchers tonight.

Hunter Brown is 0-4 with a 9.68 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 44 base runners in 17 2/3 innings.  Carlos Carrasco is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 38 base runners in 23 1/3 innings.  Carrasco has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros.

Cleveland is 8-1 OVER against AL West opponents this season.  Houston is 8-0 OVER in its last eight home games after allowing 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Magic/Cavaliers UNDER 202

This has been a defensive series as both teams are struggling to make outside shots, and both are playing at a snail's pace.  The UNDER is 3-1 in this series with 180, 182, 204 and 201 combined points in the four games.  Both teams in Cleveland were the very low-scoring games with 180 and 182 combined points.

With this series tied 2-2, you know the defensive intensity will be there tonight.  The Magic just struggle scoring on the road putting up 83 and 86 points in their two games in Cleveland.  I don't expect them to have much offensive success in this one.  They shot 55.8% in Game 4 and 51.1% in Game 3 at home, but just 32.6% in Game 1 and 36.2% in Game 2 in Cleveland.

Cleveland is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 playoff games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* 76ers/Knicks TNT No-Brainer on New York -3.5

The New York Knicks are the better team in this series.  I cashed the Knicks in Game 4 as they pulled the upset in Philadelphia and grabbed a stranglehold on this series.  You could tell it sucked the life out of the 76ers, especially since New York fans took over the building.

Joel Embiid made excuses and called out Philadelphia fans after the game.  You can tell the 76ers are rattled.  Now Embiid had a migraine this morning and missed shootaround.  It's going to be 1-2-3 Cancun for the 76ers regardless of whether or not he plays tonight.

Few teams have a home-court advantage as strong as the Knicks right now.  These fans are hungry for playoff success and this is one of their favorite teams ever.  You can see why because the chemistry on the Knicks is perfect, and these guys love playing for one another.  Jalen Brunson is a star and scored a franchise record 47 points in a playoff game to close out the 76ers in Game 4.

Even if Embiid goes, he is not conditioned very well right now and there is only one day in between games.  The 76ers just rely on him and Maxey to do everything for them.  There's no depth on this team, Buddy Hield isn't even playing, and the 76ers are cooked.  I expect a blowout win in favor of the Knicks tonight in Game 5 to close out this series.  Bet the Knicks Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Orioles tonight.  It's going to be 85 degrees at game time with 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at Camden Yards in Baltimore.

The Orioles are scoring 5.5 runs per game this season while the Yankees are scoring 5.7 runs per game on the road.  These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now.

The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have now scored at least 6 runs in four of their last six games overall.  The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last five, and 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 15 games overall.

Nestor Cortes is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three road starts this season.  Dean Kremer is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in two home starts.  Kremer is 2-3 with a 5.04 ERA in nine career starts against the Yankees.  Cortes allowed 4 runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 9-6 loss to the Orioles in his last start against them.

The Yankees are 12-3 OVER in their last 15 road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less.  The OVER is 15-5 in Kremer's last 20 starts in the first half of the season.  The OVER is 13-1 in Kremer's last 14 starts against a AL team that hits .255 or worse.  The OVER is 10-0 in Kremer's last 10 starts against a AL team that slugs .410 or worse.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Lakers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +7.5

The Los Angeles Lakers have had a lead for 136 of the 192 minutes played in this series.  They have really been the better team for large stretches despite being down 3-1 in this series.  The Nuggets gave them life in Game 4 as the Lakers were finally able to close, and now they got that monkey off their back from losing 11 straight to the Nuggets in this head-to-head series.

Look for the Lakers to be playing free and loose in Game 5 tonight.  Everyone left them for dead down 3-0, but they have a legit shot to get back in this series now.  That's especially the case with Jamal Murray questionable with a calf injury suffered late in Game 4.  If he doesn't play this line will crash, and I like the Lakers to cover this 7.5-point spread even if he does and is at less than 100%.  The Nuggets just don't have the depth they have had in recent seasons.  Bet the Lakers Monday.

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Padres OVER 8

The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 5.0 runs per game.  The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season.  This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses tonight.

Nick Lodolo will be making his 4th start of the season.  After shutting down two of the worst lineups in baseball in the White Sox and Angels, he took a big step up in class and allowed 3 runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-4 win over the Phillies in his last start.  He won't be able to hold the Padres in check, either.

The Reds should have plenty of success against Matt Waldron, who is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.34 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in two home starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 16 hits in 8 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 10

The Dodgers are hitting .274 and scoring 5.3 runs per game this season.  They should be able to name their number against Tommy Henry, who is 1-1 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in two home starts.

James Paxton is fortunate to have a 2.61 ERA in his four starts this season when you consider he has a 1.55 WHIP and has allowed 17 walks in 20 2/3 innings with only 11 K's.  He has somehow been able to get out of trouble despite lacking good 'stuff'.  His luck runs out tonight against an Arizona lineup that is hitting .294 and scoring 7.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

The Dodgers are 10-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/White Sox OVER 7.5

The Minnesota Twins are raking right now scoring 5 runs or more in seven consecutive games while averaging 8.1 runs per game in their last seven.  The Chicago White Sox have finally gotten their bats going as well scoring 3 runs or more in six consecutive games, including a total of 21 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Rays last series.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the White Sox and Twins.  There are expected to be 13 MPH winds blowing out to left tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field with temps approaching 70.

Both starters are getting too much respect in this one.  Joe Ryan has allowed 7 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts.  He gave up 2 homers in 6 innings to the White Sox in his last start on April 24th of a 6-3 victory opposite Garrett Crochet.  Ryan has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against Chicago.

Crochet has been a major disappointment for the White Sox.  He is 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA in six starts this season, including 0-3 with a 13.11 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings.  Crochet gave up 5 earned runs in 4 innings in that loss to the Twins on April 24th.

Minnesota is 22-6 OVER in its last 28 games against a starting pitcher that allowed one or more homers per start.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in Twins last six games overall.  The OVER is 5-1 in White Sox last six games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9

The Orioles are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season while the Yankees are scoring 6.1 runs per game on the road.  These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now.

The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have not scored at least 6 runs in four of their last five games overall.  The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last four, and 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 14 games overall.

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 8 MPH winds blowing out to left in Baltimore tonight.  The ball should be flying off the bats of both teams in his humid air.

Grayson Rodriquez allowed 7 eruns and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Angels in his last start.  Clarke Schmidt is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in three career starts against the Orioles, and the OVER is 3-1 in those four starts.

Rodriquez is 12-3 OVER in his last 15 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Timberwolves/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 212.5

Minnesota controlled the tempo in the first two games of this series at home.  They won 120-95 and 105-93.  Phoenix got more of their tempo in Game 3 in a 126-109 loss that saw 235 combined points.  It will be more of the same in Game 4 today.

The Timberwolves are the best defensive team in the NBA which is why they have had success in this series.  But I think they let go of the rope a little here after taking a commanding 3-0 series lead.  I expect the best offensive performance of the series for the Suns in Game 4 tonight.

But the problem with the Suns is they don't defend and get owned on the board.  The Timberwolves have scored 126, 120 and 105 points in the first three games in this series while dominating the board.  They will continue to light it up offensively in this one.  Bet the OVER in Game 4 Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Rangers OVER 8.5

Two above-average offenses square off today in Texas against two below-average starting pitchers.  The Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Rangers are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season.

Andrew Abbott lacks elite stuff with just 20 K's in 27 2/3 innings and 11 walks and 3 homers allowed.  I expect the Rangers to tee off on him.  But the Reds will also tee off on Dane Dunning, who is 2-2 with a 4.61 ERA with 7 homers and 16 walks allowed in 27 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Blue Jays OVER 8.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are hitting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season, including .287 and 6.2 runs per game against right-handed-starters.  They will get 6-plus in this one and lead the way in us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.

Kevin Gausman is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the Blue Jays this season, including 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two home starts.  Gausman is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA in eight career starts against the Dodgers.

Michael Grove will be making his first start of the season for the Dodgers.  He has posted a 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 15 innings in relief this season.  Grove is 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 113 1/3 innings in the big leagues.  The Blue Jays will have a lot of success at the plate today as well.

The Dodgers are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 road games against AL East opponents.  Toronto is 23-8 OVER in its last 31 Sunday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110)

The Baltimore Orioles have a massive advantage at the plate today over the Oakland A's that should lead them to winning this game by two or more runs.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the A's are scoring just 2.7 runs per game.

I've been very impressed with Albert Suarez, who will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles.  Suarez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts this season, pitching 11 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners.  He will shut down the A's, who have scored 3 runs or fewer in nine consecutive games after getting shut out yesterday.

Baltimore is 26-7 in its last 33 games against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Plays on home favorites of -150 or more (Baltimore) - an excellent power team averaging 1.5 or more homers per game after allowing one run or less are 80-14 (85.1%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Sunday.

15* Knicks/76ers ABC Early ANNIHILATOR on New York +4.5

The New York Knicks are the better, deeper team in this series.  They took care of business at home winning the first two games of this series.  They had a bit of a letdown in Game 3 while the 76ers wanted it more.  I think the Knicks fire back in Game 4 today.

The 76ers actually trailed at halftime and had everything go right for them and still struggled to put the Knicks away in Game 3.  They shot 54.7% as a team and 15-of-31 (48.4%) from 3.  Joel Embiid scored 50 points on only 19 shots.  That's not going to happen again.  The 76ers made 15 more FT than the Knicks and got the benefit of the whistle, which is also unlikely to happen again.

The Knicks are 21-11 ATS off a loss this season, including 13-5 ATS off a road loss.  They are a very motivated, resilient bunch and I expect them to fire back in a big way in Game 4, especially after the dirty play Embiid made on Mitchell Robinson in Game 3.  Bet the Knicks in Game 4 Sunday.

20* Nuggets/Lakers ABC No-Brainer on Denver -3

The Los Angeles Lakers are a dead team walking.  They just lost their 11th consecutive game to the Denver Nuggets in this head-to-head series in a must-win Game 3.  That's three blown halftime leads by the Lakers in three games in this series.

The Lakers are now completely demoralized and won't show up for Game 4.  Darvin Ham is making zero halftime adjustments and the Nuggets are making all the right moves after intermission.  Ham is a dead man walking.

The Lakers go too much iso ball in the 2H, and both Anthony Davis and LeBron James have had to play too many minutes because they are getting zero help.  They will once again run out of gas in the 2H, especially with only one day in between Games 3 and 4.  This series is over.  Bet the Nuggets in Game 4 Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Braves OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .284 and scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are much better offensively than they get credit for.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall and 5.4 runs per game on the road.

This is a very low total for these two potent offenses up against these two suspect starting pitchers.  Tanner Bibee is 2-0 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts for the Guardians this season.  Charlie Morton is 2-0 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in four starts for the Braves.

The OVER is 24-9 in Morton's last 33 starts in the first half of the season.  He is a notorious slow starter.  Both teams should have their way at the plate today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball this season.  They are 4-22 this season while scoring 2.5 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.1 runs per game.  After a shocking win yesterday in Game 1 over the Rays, I expect them to get back to being the terrible team they are today.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound.  Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in five starts for the Rays this season.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of his 10 career starts against the White Sox.

Jonathan Cannon is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in two starts for the White Sox this season.  He has allowed 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings to the Twins and Royals.

Chicago is 0-15 after losing four of its last five games this season and getting outscored by 4.6 runs per game in this spot.  Civale's teams are 22-3 in his last 25 starts against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game on the season and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+122)

The Baltimore Orioles are highly motivated for a victory today after getting upset as -275 favorites to the A's in Game 1.  They came into this series with a rest advantage over the A's, and that rest advantage will pay dividends today.  The A's have most of their top bullpen arms unavailable after needing them to upset the Yankees and Orioles in consecutive days Thursday and Friday.

Cole Irvin fired 6 2/3 shutout innings against the Royals in his last start.  Irvin allowed just one run in 5 innings of a 7-2 victory in his last start against the A's.  He'll be opposed by JP Sears, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles.  The A's lost those two games by 11 and 4 runs.

The Orioles are 8-0 in Irvin's last eight starts against an AL team slugging .410 or worse and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday.

15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Orioles OVER 8

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and Orioles this afternoon.  There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Baltimore this afternoon.

The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own.  They'll tee off on JP Sears, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles.

Cole Irvin is vulnerable for the Orioles.  he is 1-1 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in two home starts.  Irvin has a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against Oakland.

Baltimore is 10-2 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  Oakland is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 road games against excellent power teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Thunder/Pelicans TNT ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans +1

The New Orleans Pelicans were knocked out of the playoffs by the Oklahoma City Thunder in the play-in round last year.  Now they are down 2-0 in this series after losing the first two games on the road.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 3 when they return home today, and I expect them to get the job done with one of their best efforts of the season.

I think the 94-92 loss in Game 1 was hard to recover from because they had every chance to win.  The Thunder took advantage and crushed the Pelicans 124-92 in Game 2.  However, the Thunder shot 59% as a team and 14-of-29 (48.3%) from 3-point range in Game 2.  They are due some negative shooting regression.

The Pelicans are due some positive shooting regression after shooting 38.5% as a team and 11-of-39 (28.2%) from 3 in Game 1, and 7-of-26 (26.9%) from 3 in Game 2.  Role players usually play much better at home because they are a lot more comfortable.  They weren't comfortable in those two road games in a hostile crowd in OKC.

The Pelicans were a tired team coming into this series as they were life and death at the end of the season trying to win games to get out of the play-in.  Then they had two play-in games.  But they have now had two days off in between games for a second consecutive game and this will be just their 2nd game in 6 days.  That's another reason I think they are primed for a big effort because they are fresh.  Bet the Pelicans in Game 3 Saturday.

15* Cavaliers/Magic TNT Early ANNIHILATOR on Orlando -2

The Orlando Magic have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 30-11 SU & 28-13 ATS at home this season.  After shooting terribly in Cleveland the first two games, they shot 51.1% and won 121-83 at home in Game 3.

I don't expect it to come as easily for the Magic at home in Game 4, but I do expect them to get another win and cover to even this series.  Donovan Mitchell got hobbled yet again in Game 3 and wasn't himself, and even though he will play in Game 4 he isn't anywhere near 100%.  The Cavaliers are vulnerable when that's the case.

The Cavaliers are 0-6 SU on the road in the playoffs under current head coach JB Bickerstaff.  The Magic are 20-7 ATS as home favorites this season.  Cleveland is 9-20 ATS in its last 29 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less.  Bet the Magic in Game 4 Saturday.

15* Phillies/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5

Two offenses that have come to life recently square off tonight against two of the most overrated starters in baseball in Aaron Nola and Joe Musgrove.  These two starters are getting too much respect here with this total set at just 7.5 runs.

Nola is 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA this season but he has already allowed 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings.  Nola allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings of an 8-5 loss to the Padres in his last start against them.

Musgrove is 3-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 31 1/3 innings.  Musgrove is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last two starts against the Phillies, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 2/3 innings.

The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Padres have scored at least 6 runs in seven of their last 14 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* AL Friday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-131)

The Chicago White Sox are off to one of the worst starts in MLB history.  They are 3-22 this season scoring just 2.2 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game.  I'll gladly back the Tampa Bay Rays to win by two runs or more tonight.

The Rays have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the White Sox lost their 6th consecutive game in Minnesota.  The Rays also have a massive advantage on the mound in this one.

Zach Eflin is the ace of the Rays at 1-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in five starts this season.  Eflin is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in two career starts against the White Sox.

Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Flexen is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 13 1/3 innings with only 7 K's.  He is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three career starts against the Rays as well.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Braves OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .285 and scoring 6.0 runs per game this season.  The Cleveland Guardians are much better offensively than they get credit for.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall, including hitting .305 and scoring 7.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own against Logan Allen, who has posted a 5.06 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 2/3 innings.

Chris Sale is 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four starts for the Braves this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 2/3 innings.  The Guardians should continue crushing southpaws tonight.

Atlanta is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 games after allowing 3 runs or fewer in three consecutive games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Mets OVER 7.5

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center tonight at Citi Field in New York.

The Mets are hot at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in 10 of their last 17 games overall.  They will do the heavy lifting for us in cashing this OVER, but the Cardinals have scored 5 runs or more in three of their last five and should do enough at the plate to get this OVER.

The Mets could cover this total on their own against Miles Mikolas, who is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 1/3 innings.  Mikolas is 0-2 with a 10.97 ERA in his last two starts against the Mets, allowing 13 earned runs and 3 homes in 10 2/3 innings.  Both starts came last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -126

The New York Mets have rebounded nicely from a poor start in going 13-6 in their last 19 games overall.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Jose Butto is 0-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in three starts for the Mets this season with 21 K's in 16 1/3 innings.  He has allowed just 3 earned runs and 8 hits in those 16 1/3 innings as well.

I'll gladly fade Miles Mikolas, who is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 1/3 innings.  Mikolas is 0-2 with a 10.97 ERA in his last two starts against the Mets, allowing 13 earned runs and 3 homes in 10 2/3 innings.  Both starts came last season.  Bet the Mets Friday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-115)

I like the spot for the Baltimore Orioles tonight.  They have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the Oakland A's pulled off the 3-1 upset as +240 underdogs against the New York Yankees on the road Thursday.  That makes this a letdown spot for the A's, whose bullpen is now taxed as well.

The Orioles have big advantages on the mound and at the plate tonight.  Ace Corbin Burnes is 3-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five starts this season.  He'll be facing an Oakland lineup that is hitting .201 and scoring 2.8 runs per game this season, including .194 and 2.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.

Ross Stripling is 0-5 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the A's this season.  The A's have lost all five of his starts with four of them coming by two runs or more.  Stripling will be facing a loaded Baltimore lineup that is scoring 5.7 runs per game overall this season and 6.0 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Friday.

20* NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bucks/Pacers OVER 223

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, with an elite offense and a suspect defense.  This total is too low for a game involving the Pacers, especially since they are playing at home and will control the tempo.

The Bucks have not had a problem scoring and won't mind getting up and down with the Pacers.  The Bucks have a deep bench and missing Giannis is much more detrimental to them defensively than it is offensively.  The Bucks will get their tonight as well.

Nine of the last 10 totals between the Pacers and Bucks have been set at 230 or higher.  The lone exception was the 223.5-point total in Game 2, which sailed OVER with 233 combined points.  The Pacers and Bucks have combined for 233 or more points in 11 of their last 12 meetings, making for an 11-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 223-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Nuggets/Lakers TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles +1.5

The Lakers have deserved better than being down 2-0 in this series.  This series is much closer than that 2-0 lead for the Nuggets would indicate.  I expect their hard work to pay off in Game 3 and for the Lakers to finally end this 10-game losing streak to the Nuggets.

The Lakers outplayed the Nuggets for three quarters in Game 1 but were outscored 32-18 in the 3Q and lost by 11.  The Lakers outplayed the Nuggets for 47 minutes in Game 2 but lost 101-99 on a Jamal Murray buzzer-beater.  Murray got hot late after they had shut him down up until that point.

I just think the Nuggets are more vulnerable than they were last season when they won the title.  They have less depth and rely too much on Jokic and Murray.  Their role players will struggle on the road here.

The Lakers have more depth than last season, and I expect their role players to play much better than they did in Denver.  Role players always tend to play better at home.  LeBron and AD will continue to get whatever they want as they have really dominated in the first two games.  Expect these two to close it out in the 4th finally.  Bet the Lakers in Game 3 Thursday.

25* NBA Eastern Conference Round 1 GAME OF THE YEAR on Orlando Magic ML -120

The Orlando Magic are in a must-win in Game 3 after dropping their first two games in Cleveland.  They were identical 5.5-point dogs in both Games 1 and 2, and now they are basically a PK in Game 3.  That's not a big enough adjustment for flipping home courts in their advantage in this must-win game.

This is a young Magic team that needs home court to feel comfortable.  They have dominated at home all season, going 29-11 SU & 27-13 ATS in their 40 games in Orlando.  I expect the Cavaliers to relax just enough after handling their business at home to let the Magic have a lot more success in Game 3.

Of course, the Magic cannot possibly shoot as poorly as they did in Cleveland either.  They shot 32.6% overall and 8-of-37 (21.6%) from 3 in Game 1 and 36.2% overall and 9-of-35 (25.7%) from 3 in Game 2.  It's safe to say they are due some positive shooting regression, and I look for them to get it at home.  Bet the Magic on the Money Line Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.6 runs per game overall, including 3.3 runs per game at home.  The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well.

Los Angeles ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five starts this season with 30 K's in 22 innings.  He has rebounded nicely from a terrible opening start against the Padres.

Mackenzie Gore is 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three home starts for the Nationals this season.  Gore is 0-0 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Pelicans/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on New Orleans +8

The Oklahoma City Thunder are a young team getting their first taste of the playoffs.  They played like it in Game 1 being very fortunate to come away with a 94-92 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans.  I don't expect Game 2 to be a walk in the park for them, either.

The Pelicans are a veteran team with playoff experience and know the importance of trying to get one in Oklahoma City.  They shot just 38.5% as a team and 11-of-39 (28.2%) from 3-point range in Game 1 and still only lost by 2.  They dominated on the boards including 18 offensive rebounds, and the Thunder don't have an answer for Jonas Valanciunas in this series.  Dominating the board is sustainable, shooting that poorly again is not.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series.  In fact, the road team is 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Neither team has been favored by more than 5.5 points in any of the last 12 meetings with the exception of the 8.5-point spread in Game 1.  This 8-point spread in Game 2 is too high as well.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.

20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Miami Marlins are now 6-19 this season after getting shut out in consecutive games by the Braves to open this series.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch.

It won't get any easier for them against Reynaldo Lopez, who has been brilliant for the Braves this season.  Lopez is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three starts, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings with 18 K's.

Sixto Sanchez sat out from 2021-23 and he is just getting a spot start here.  Sanchez is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 7 1/3 innings out of the bullpen this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 11 hits.  Sanchez is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta.

The Braves are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Marlins with all four wins coming by 2 runs or more.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.4 runs per game.  The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well.

Landon Knack was solid in his first start this season holding the Nationals to 2 runs in 5 innings.  He has posted a 4.02 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings at AAA this season for the Dodgers with 16 K's and only one homer allowed.

Jake Irvin went 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 24 starts for the Nationals last season, allowing 62 earned runs and 20 homers in 121 innings as a rookie.  He is off to a better start this season, but it's unsustainable.  Look for Irvin to get rocked tonight.

The Dodgers are 36-13 in their last 49 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better.  They are outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday. 

20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -124

The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Angels.  The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games behind one of the best offenses in baseball.  The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in four of their last six games, and they are 1-5 in their last six games overall.

Dean Kremer is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in four starts this season.  Kremer is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels, and the Orioles are 3-0 in those three starts.

Tyler Anderson is very fortunate to have a 1.42 ERA in his four starts this season.  He is getting hit hard, but balls are going right at defenders.  He has just 14 K's in 25 1/3 innings and pitches to contact.  His luck will run out today against the hard-hitting Orioles.  Bet the Orioles Wednesday.

20* Mavericks/Clippers TNT No-Brainer on Dallas ML -122

The Dallas Mavericks shot 2-of-18 from 3 in the 1H and scored only 8 points total in the 2Q in Game 1 against the Los Angeles Clippers.  They still only lost by 12.  That was as bad as it could have gone for the Mavericks as Daniel Gafford picked up two early fouls and changed their game plan.  Game 2 will go much differently tonight.

I believe the Mavericks are the better team and that will show in Game 2 tonight.  The Mavericks went 12-1 SU & 11-2 ATS in their 13 games to close out the regular season in which they were trying to win games and healthy.  They are fully healthy now and trying to win games.

The Clippers shot 18-of-36 (50%) from 3-point range in Game 1.  That's not going to happen again.

Dallas is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games when revenging a loss as a favorite.  Bet the Mavericks on the Money Line in Game 2 Tuesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -151

The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Los Angeles Angels.  The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in nine consecutive games behind one of the best offenses in baseball.  The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in four of their last five games, and they are 0-5 in their last five games overall while scoring a total of 9 runs or an average of 1.8 runs per game.

Grayson Rodriquez is one of the best young starters in baseball.  He is 3-0 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in four starts this season.  One of those starts came against the Angels on March 30th as he held them to one earned run in 6 innings with 9 K's in a 13-4 victory.

Griffin Canning is 0-3 with an 8.05 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in four starts for the Angels this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 innings.  One of those starts came against the Orioles opposite Rodriquez on March 30th where he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of that 13-4 defeat.  Canning fell to 0-3 with a 9.17 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in four career starts against the Orioles.

Baltimore is 14-4 in its last 18 meetings with the Angels, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles.  The Orioles are 19-4 (+13.4 Units) in their last 23 games as a road favorite of -125 or more.  Bet the Orioles Tuesday.

15* Pacers/Bucks NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Indiana +1.5

The Indiana Pacers went 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS against the Milwaukee Bucks in the regular season.  This is clearly a great matchup for them, but it didn't play out that way in Game 1 as Damian Lillard scored 35 first half points and it was just too much for them to overcome.

Lillard won't be as hot again, and the Bucks won't out shoot the Pacers like they did in Game 1.  The Pacers shot just 39.6% from the field and 8-of-39 (20.5%) from 3-point range.  I have to think they will have some major positive shooting regression in their favor in Game 2.

The Bucks are expected to be without Giannis Antetokounmpo again in Game 2.  They can play one good game without him, but to continue to play great games without him is unsustainable.  He's one of the best players in the NBA for a reason with all he can do on both ends of the court.

Indiana is 26-11 ATS off an ATS loss this season.  The Pacers are 7-0 ATS in Tuesday road games this season.  Indiana is 28-14 ATS when playing its 2nd game in 5 days this season.  The Pacers are 20-6 ATS against teams that average 7 or fewer steals per game this season.  Bet the Pacers in Game 2 Tuesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130)

I love fading Patrick Corbin.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years.  He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023.  He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in four starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 44 base runners in 22 1/3 innings.

Corbin is 0-4 with a 10.71 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 25 earned runs, 6 homers and 50 base runners in 21 innings.  He just allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 16th in his last start.  The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six games against Corbin with all five wins coming by 4 runs or more.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today that will have them winning this game by multiple runs.  James Paxton is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 16 innings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Nationals OVER 9.5

I love fading Patrick Corbin.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years.  He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023.  He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in four starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 44 base runners in 22 1/3 innings.

Corbin is 0-4 with a 10.71 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 25 earned runs, 6 homers and 50 base runners in 21 innings.  He just allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 16th in his last start.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this OVER 9.5 on their own.  They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season with one of the best lineups in baseball.  But the Nationals should contribute as well as they have scored 5 and 6 runs in their last two games.

The Dodgers are 54-31 OVER in their last 85 road games.  James Paxton is 10-1 OVER in his 11 career starts as a road favorite of -175 or more.  Washington is 50-31 OVER in its last 81 games off two or more consecutive unders.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Washington tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

25* NBA Western Conference Round 1 GAME OF THE YEAR on Los Angeles +7.5

This is a must-win game for the Lakers if they want to give Denver a series.  I expect their biggest effort of the season to try and get it done in Game 2.  They should not be catching 7.5 points to the Nuggets here tonight.

The Lakers outplayed the Nuggets in three of four quarters in Game 1.  Unfortunately, they came out flat after halftime after taking a 3-point lead into the break.  They lost the 3rd quarter 32-18.  I expect them to make the right adjustments coming out of the break this time around.

The Nuggets took 23 more shots than the Lakers and only committed 4 turnovers in Game 1 yet still only won by 11.  That's going to be very hard for them to replicate.  I expect Game 2 to come down to the wire with the Lakers with an excellent chance to pull off the outright upset, so getting 7.5 points here is a tremendous value.  Bet the Lakers in Game 2 Monday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Royals OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Blue Jays and Royals tonight.  There are expected to be 23 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Kauffman Stadium with temps approaching 70.  This should be a home run fest.

The Royals are scoring 5.9 runs per game at home this season.  The Blue Jays are finally getting their bats going scoring at least 3 runs in nine consecutive games coming in.  Both starting pitchers have been solid this season, but their numbers are about to get inflated tonight given the weather conditions working against them.

Kansas City is 14-3 OVER in its last 17 home games off a loss by 4 runs or more.  Brady Singer is 17-6 OVER in his last 23 starts as an underdog.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Braves OVER 9.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Marlins and Braves tonight.  There are expected to be light winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta tonight with temps in the 60's.

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .285 and scoring 6.2 runs per game this season.  They should feast on Ryan Weathers, who is 7-16 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in his career in the big leagues across 176 innings.

The Marlins have gotten their bats going of late scoring at least 3 runs in eight of their last nine games overall.  They are scoring 4.8 runs per game against right-handed starters this season.  They should keep them going against Bryce Elder, who will be making his first start of the season for the Braves.  Elder posted an 8.25 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in spring training this season.

The OVER is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings between the Marlins and Braves with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 meetings.  Atlanta is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 home games against bad teams that are outscored by 1 or more runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Reds OVER 8.5

The forecast looks good for a slug fest tonight at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati.  Temps will be in the 60t's with very light winds blowing across the diamond from the right field foul pole to the left field foul pole.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 6-0 in their last six games overall and are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games and 7 or more in four straight.

The Reds have one of the best lineups in the National League.  They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game at home.  They should get to Ranger Suarez, who is getting too much respect for the great numbers he has posted against a very soft schedule of the Rockies, Pirates, Nationals and Braves.  Not surprisingly, his worst start came against the Braves.

The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Hunter Grenee, who is 0-1 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in four starts for the Reds this season.  Greene allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Philadelphia last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Pelicans/Thunder TNT Sunday Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +8.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder beat the Pelicans in the play-in round last year to knock them out of the playoffs.  The Thunder went on to lose to the Timberwolves in their next play-in game, so they didn't get the full playoff experience.

The Pelicans have not forgotten and they want revenge.  The Thunder are the No. 1 seed in the West, but none of these players have real playoff experience.  I think that will work against them and this young team is extremely vulnerable as a result.  They should not be 8.5-point favorites over the battle-tested Pelicans in Game 1 tonight.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series.  In fact, the road team is 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Neither team has been favored by more than 5.5 points in any of the last 11 meetings, so this 8.5-point spread is unprecedented.  It's simply too many points tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Sunday.

20* Rangers/Braves ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 10

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .291 and scoring 6.4 runs per game this season, including .305 and 6.7 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Texas Rangers rode their offense to the World Series title last year.  Their offense is loaded again this season.  They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, including hitting .279 and scoring 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters.

Darius Vines will be making just his 2nd start of the season and his 4th career start overall for the Braves today.  He only lasted 4 2/3 innings in his first start and will be on a short leash.  Michael Lorenzen allowed 8 base runners in 5 innings to the Tigers but no earned runs.  He is one of the worst starters in baseball and hasn't pitched more than 153 innings in any season.  He allowed 20 homers in those 153 innings last season.

There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center in Atlanta tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket.  Texas is 14-2 OVER in its last 16 games after a 5-game span with a .285 OBP or worse.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/Dodgers OVER 9

Two of the best offenses in baseball square off today with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles today.  The Dodgers are scoring 5.0 runs per game overall and 5.3 runs per game at home.  The Mets are scoring 5.1 runs per game overall and 7.0 runs per game on the road.

I expect the Dodgers to do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER ticket today.  They should feast on Adrian Houser, who is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.  Houser is 0-2 with a 9.40 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Tyler Glasnow hasn't been perfect this season as he is 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA and allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings to the Nationals in his last start.  Glasnow is 1-2 with a 4.88 ERA in three career starts against the Mets, allowing 6 homers in 19 innings.  The Mets have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games.

The OVER is 8-3 in Mets last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 10-4-2 in Dodgers 16 home games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Late Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory today.  They have lost the first two games in this series to the New York Mets and will be looking to avoid the sweep in Game 3.  I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs due to their massive advantage on the mound.

The Dodgers should feast on Adrian Houser, who is 0-1 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 15 1/3 innings.  Houser is 0-2 with a 9.40 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Tyler Glasnow is 3-1 with a 3.72 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in five starts for the Dodgers this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 28 base runners in 29 innings with 34 K's.  I expect him to hold the Mets in check this afternoon.

Glasnow's teams are 20-1 in his last 21 starts as a favorite of -175 to -250 and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Royals OVER 9

The Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals are two of the best offensive teams in the American League.  The Orioles are scoring 5.8 runs per game this season, 5.9 runs per game on the road and 6.2 runs per game against right-handed starters.  The Royals are scoring 6.4 runs per game at home and 6.7 runs per game against left-handed starters.

Lefty Cole Irvin has been a disaster for the Orioles this season.  He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 2/3 innings.  Irvin allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Royals back on April 2nd earlier this season.

Seth Lugo has gotten off to an impressive start this season for the Royals, which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  But Lugo has benefited from facing the White Sox twice and the Twins, two of the worst offenses in the American League.  This is a big step up in class for Lugo here, and I expect him to have by far his worst outing of the season as a result.

The OVER is 17-5 in Lugo's last 22 starts after giving up one earned run or fewer in his last start.  Baltimore is 50-34 OVER in its last 84 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Reds OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Reds today.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark this afternoon.

The Reds are really a dead nuts OVER team with one of the most underrated lineups in the league plus a suspect rotation and bullpen.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall including 5.7 runs per game at home.  The Angels are scoring 4.6 runs per game on the road, and they have a suspect rotation and bullpen as well.

Frankie Montas has allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers and 14 base runners in 7 innings in his last two starts for the Reds.  Jose Soriano is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA in two starts for the Angels this season, allowing 5 earned runs in 9 innings.  Montas allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings to the Angels in his last start against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Early Afternoon BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-140)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball.  They are 3-17 this season while hitting .190 and scoring 2.1 runs per game and getting outscored by 3.3 runs per game.  They are without two of their best hitters right now in Robert Jr. and Moncada to make matters worse.

Instead of laying the Phillies -300 on the money line today, we'll take this massive discount on the -140 run line to win this game by two runs or more.  The Phillies are 5-0 in their last five games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in four consecutive games.  That includes their 7-0 win in Game 1 and their 9-5 win in Game 2 over the White Sox in which they led 9-0 heading into the 9th.

The Phillies have a massive advantage on the mound today.  Aaron Nola is 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 3 earned runs and 17 base runners in 19 innings.  Nick Nastrini will be making just his 2nd career start for the White Sox, and I don't expect it to go well for him today against the hot-hitting Phillies.

Chicago is 0-12 after losing four of its last five games this season and losing by 4.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Sunday.

20* Lakers/Nuggets ABC No-Brainer on Los Angeles +7.5

The Los Angeles Lakers made the Western Conference Finals last year and got swept by the Denver Nuggets.  The series was much closer than the 4-game sweep would indicate as the Lakers just couldn't finish games late.  Three games were decided by 6 points or fewer.

The Lakers then went on to get swept by the Nuggets in the regular season.  It's safe to say the Lakers want revenge on the Nuggets, and it starts with Game 1 of this series as inflated 7.5-point dogs.  You're paying a tax on the Nuggets now after winning the NBA Finals last year, and I think they will be a great team to fade in these playoffs as a result.

The Lakers are finally nearly fully healthy and playing their best basketball of the season.  They went 12-3 SU in their last 15 games just to make the playoffs, including their clutch 110-106 road win at New Orleans in the play-in game.  They weren't afraid of the Nuggets by winning that game knowing that would be their matchup.  They 'want all that smoke', and I expect LeBron James and company to come up clutch and give the Nuggets a run for their money in this series, starting with Game 1.  Bet the Lakers Saturday.

20* Rangers/Braves Interleague No-Brainer on OVER 9

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .292 and scoring 6.4 runs per game this season, including .307 and 6.8 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Texas Rangers rode their offense to the World Series title last year.  Their offense is loaded again this season.  They are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season, including hitting .287 and scoring 5.8 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER ticket.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta Saturday night.

Nathan Eovaldi and Charlie Morton are both getting too much respect with this 9-run totaly.  Eovaldi takes a big step up in class here compared to what he has been facing.  Morton has allowed 10 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts to the Marlins and Mets.  

Texas is 14-1 OVER in its last 15 games following a 5-game span where they had a .285 OBP or worse.  Atlanta is 17-4 OVER in its last 21 April home games.  Morton is 24-8 OVER in his last 32 starts in the first half of the season.  The Rangers are 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Reds OVER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Reds tonight.  There are expected to be 11 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark Saturday night.

The Reds are really a dead nuts OVER team with one of the most underrated lineups in the league plus a suspect rotation and bullpen.  They are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall including 5.6 runs per game at home.  The Angels are scoring 4.6 runs per game on the road, and they have a suspect rotation and bullpen as well.

Patrick Sandoval is 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 29 base runners in 17 1/3 innings despite facing a very easy schedule of opponents.  Graham Ashcraft is 2-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 17 1/3 innings.  Ashcraft went 7-9 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds last season.

The OVER is 11-2 in Ashcraft's last 13 starts against teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+127)

The Oakland A's are one of the worst teams in baseball this season. T hey are hitting .207 and scoring 2.9 runs per game.  They are getting outscored by 1.5 runs per game on the season.  

The Cleveland Guardians are one of the best teams in baseball this season.  They are 14-6 and outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game on the year.  I'll gladly take the opportunity to get the Guardians at plus money on the Run Line to win this game by multiple runs.

I'll also gladly fade Alex Wood, who is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 2.10 WHP in four starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 35 base runners in 16 2/3 innings.  Wood allowed 6 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings in an 8-0 loss to the Guardians on March 28th earlier this season.

Cleveland is 15-3 in its 18 meetings with Oakland over the last three seasons.  Each of their last five wins over the A's have come by 2 runs or more.  They have outscored the A's 45-14 in their last six meetings.  Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-145)

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball.  They are 3-16 this season while hitting .190 and scoring 2.0 runs per game and getting outscored by 3.2 runs per game.  They are without two of their best hitters right now in Robert Jr. and Moncada to make matters worse.

Instead of laying the Phillies -360 on the money line today, we'll take this massive discount on the -145 run line to win this game by two runs or more.  The Phillies are 4-0 in their last four games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in three consecutive games, including a 7-0 win over the White Sox yesterday.

The Phillies have a massive advantage on the mound today.  Zack Wheeler has posted a 3.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing just 8 earned runs in 24 innings with 30 K's.

I'll gladly fade Mike Soroka, who is 0-2 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 19 1/3 innings with only 10 K's.  Soroka has posted a 4.39 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in three career starts against the Phillies.

Chicago is 0-11 after losing four of its last five games this season and losing by 4.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -110

The San Diego Padres should be bigger home favorites over the Toronto Bluejays tonight. Matt Waldron has been solid for the Padres, posting a 3.14 ERA in three starts this season. He has allowed just one earned run in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Dodgers and Giants.

Yariel Rodriquez will be making his 2nd career start for the Bluejays. He allowed one run and 6 base runners in 3 2/3 innings to the Rockies in his first start this season. Now he takes a big step up in class here against the Padres.

San Diego is 32-13 in its last 45 games following an off day. Bet the Padres Friday.

20* Kings/Pelicans TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 219.5

Both play-in games went UNDER the total in the opening night of the playoffs and the UNDER is now 12-2 in play-in games since their inception.  Refs are letting a lot more physical contact go in these winner-take-all games.

The Kings have been a dead nuts UNDER team since losing two of their best shooters in Malik Monk and Kevin Heurter. The Kings have allowed 111 or fewer points in 20 of their last 21 games overall. The Kings have gone for 216 or fewer combined points in 12 of their last 16 games overall. They rank 6th in the NBA in defensive rating in their last 15 games.

The Pelicans have been a consistently great defensive team all season. They rank 6th in defensive rating this season and 6th since the All-Star Break. The Pelicans have allowed 112 or fewer points in 22 of their last 23 games overall. I don't see either team getting to 110 in this winner-take-all game. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Braves OVER 9.5

The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team. They have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .296 and scoring 6.4 runs per game this season.

The Texas Rangers rode their offense to the World Series title last year. Their offense is loaded again this season. They are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season.

Andrew Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.74 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 12 innings. Chris Sale is 1-1 with a 4.59 ERA in three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings.

The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER ticket. Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta Friday night. Atlanta is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 April home games. Texas is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/76ers ESPN No-Brainer on UNDER 208.5

Both play-in games went UNDER the total last night and the UNDER is now 12-2 in play-in games since their inception.  Refs are letting a lot more physical contact go in these winner-take-all games. And the Heat and 76ers are two dead nuts UNDER teams as it is.

The Heat rank 29th in pace and 5th in adjusted defense. The 76ers rank 18th in pace and 11th in adjusted defense. They are even better defensively with a healthy Joel Embiid in the lineup now. The Heat are even more of an UNDER team without PG Terry Rozier, who is out for this one. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Diamondbacks OVER 9

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Chicago Cubs combined for 23 runs yesterday. It will be another slug fest today with these two terrible starting pitchers going against these two potent lineups.

Jordan Wicks is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 24 base runners in 12 2/3 innings. Brandon Pfaadt is 1-0 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Yankees -102

The New York Yankees will be highly motivated for a victory today. They have now lost three straight including the first two of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays. They will avoid the sweep with a victory in Game 3 today due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Marcus Stroman is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He was great for the Cubs last year, and he has been great for the Yankees this year. Stroman is 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in three starts, allowing just 4 earned runs in 17 innings. He is 0-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in two career starts against his former team in the Blue Jays as well.

Kevin Gausman returned from injury this season and has not been on his game at all. Gausman is 0-2 with an 11.58 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 18 base runners in 9 1/3 innings. He gave up 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 1 1/3 innings to the Yankees on April 6th in one of those three starts. Bet the Yankees Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Astros OVER 9

Both the Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros are dead nuts OVER teams.  They both have suspect starting rotations but two of the best lineups in baseball.  This will be a slug fest today in Game 3 of this interleague series.

The Braves are hitting .303 and scoring 6.5 runs per game this season. The Braves are 10-5-1 OVER in all games this season.  The Astros are hitting .274 and scoring 4.5 runs per game this season, including .296 and 5.1 runs per game at home.  The OVER is 5-2 in Astros last six games overall with 11 or more combined runs in five of those seven games.

Two suspect starting pitchers square off today. Max Fried is 1-0 with a 8.74 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 11 1/3 innings. The OVER is 3-0 in his three starts. J.P. France is 0-2 with an 8.21 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in three starts for the Astros, allowing 14 earned runs and 29 base runners in 15 1/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Orioles OVER 8

The Baltimore Orioles are a dead nuts OVER team. They have one of the best young lineups in baseball and a mediocre rotation. They are scoring 5.9 runs per game this season and have now scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games overall while going 7-0 OVER in their last seven.

The Orioles should stay hot at the plate against Pablo Lopez, who is 0-2 with a 7.45 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 16 base runners in 9 2/3 innings to Cleveland and Detroit. This is a big step up in class for Lopez today.

The Twins have scored at least 3 runs in five consecutive games and should at least match or exceed that today against Baltimore starter Tyler Wells. he is 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 1/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Warriors/Kings TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State ML -135

The Golden State Warriors are as healthy as they have been all season. They have been in playoff mode for a month now and are playing their best basketball of the season as a result. They have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall heading into the play-in.

The Sacramento Kings have struggled down the stretch since losing the best 6th man in the NBA in Malik Monk along with Kevin Heurter. These are also two of their best shooters. They just don't have much productive depth, and that has really hurt them.

The Kings are 2-5 SU in their last seven games overall with their two wins coming against two of the worst teams in the NBA in the Blazers and Nets.

The Warriors knocked the Kings out of the playoffs last season and they have their number. I trust their championship pedigree to get the job done tonight especially since they are the healthier, more confident team playing the better basketball in this winner-take-all. Bet the Warriors on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9

I love fading Patrick Corbin.  He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years.  He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023.  He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-2 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in three starts while allowing 15 earned runs and 31 base runners in 16 innings.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this OVER 9 on their own. They are scoring 5.9 runs per game at home this season with one of the best lineups in baseball. But the Nationals should contribute as well as they have scored 6 runs each in their last two games. The Dodgers are likely to make this a bullpen game and their bullpen has not been sharp.

The Dodgers are 7-0 OVER following two of more consecutive home games this season. The Dodgers are 8-2-2 OVER in all home games this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Mariners OVER 7

This total is so low because the Mariners' offense has been so bad.  But I think they will do enough to help get this one up and OVER this tiny 7-run total.  The Reds are capable of covering this total on their own as well.

The Cincinnati Reds have one of the best lineups in the National League.  They are scoring 5.8 runs per game overall, 6.3 runs per game on the road and 6.8 runs per game against right-handed starters. They will have success against Logan Gilbert tonight.

The Mariners broke out for 9 runs yesterday against the Reds. They should back it up with another big effort at the plate against the wild Hunter Greene, who is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA in three starts this season while allowing 9 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings.

Cincinnati is 12-4 OVER in all games this season and a dead nuts OVER team. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Astros OVER 9.5

Both the Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros are dead nuts OVER teams.  They both have suspect starting rotations but two of the best lineups in baseball.  This will be a slug fest tonight in Game 2 of this interleague series.

The Braves are hitting .303 and scoring 6.5 runs per game this season, including .321 and 7.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  The Braves are 10-4-1 OVER in all games this season.  The Astros are hitting .274 and scoring 4.5 runs per game this season, including .296 and 5.1 runs per game at home.  The OVER is 5-1 in Astros last six games overall with 11 or more combined runs in five of those six games.

Hunter Brown is 0-2 with a 16.43 ERA and 3.91 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has already allowed 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 7 2/3 innings.  This after going 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 29 starts and two relief appearances in 2023.  It's hard to believe the Astros are sticking with him in the rotation. The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -152

The Minnesota Twins are terrible offensively largely due to missing three of their best hitters in Lewis, Correa and Kepler.  They are hitting .194 and scoring 3.5 runs per game this season.

The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are scoring 5.6 runs per game overall and 6.2 runs per game against right-handed starters.

The Orioles have a big advantage on the mound today behind Grayson Rodriquez, who is 2-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in three starts this season. Chris Paddack cannot stay healthy and is 0-0 with a 4.15 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. Bet the Orioles Tuesday.

15* Interleague Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Mariners OVER 7

This total is so low because the Mariners' offense has been so bad.  But I think they will do enough to help get this one up and OVER this tiny 7-run total.  The Reds are capable of covering this total on their own as well.

The Cincinnati Reds have one of the best lineups in the National League.  They are scoring 6.0 runs per game overall, 6.8 runs per game on the road and 7.2 runs per game against right-handed starters.

George Kirby is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  Kirby is 1-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 22 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  The red-hot hitting Reds will have their way with him as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +134

The Cincinnati Reds have one of the best lineups in the National League.  They are scoring 6.0 runs per game overall, 6.8 runs per game on the road and 7.2 runs per game against right-handed starters.  They have a massive advantage at the plate over the Seattle Mariners tonight.

The Mariners are hitting .204 and scoring 3.1 runs per game overall, including .193 and 2.4 runs per game at home.  They'll be up against Frankie Montas, who has been a pleasant surprise for the Reds.  Montas is 2-1 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings.

George Kirby is one of the most overrated starters in baseball.  Kirby is 1-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 22 base runners in 14 1/3 innings.  The red-hot hitting Reds will have their way with him as well.  Bet the Reds Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Astros/Braves OVER 10

Both the Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros are dead nuts OVER teams.  They both have suspect starting rotations but two of the best lineups in baseball.  This will be a slug fest tonight in Game 1 of this interleague series.

The Braves are hitting .303 and scoring 6.5 runs per game this season, including .324 and 7.2 runs per game against right-handed starters.  The Braves are 10-3-1 OVER in all games this season.  The Astros are hitting .277 and scoring 4.7 runs per game this season, including .305 and 5.5 runs per game at home.  The OVER is 5-0 in Astros last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five games.

Darius Vines will be making his first start of the season for the Braves and only his 3rd career start overall.  Spencer Arrighetti will be making just his 2nd career start.  His first was a disaster as he allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 innings of an 11-2 loss to the Royals on April 10th.  Both offenses will have their way with these two young, overmatched starters.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -158

The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball right now in their current state.  They are 2-13 this season while hitting .200 and scoring 2.3 runs per game, including 1-7 at home where they are hitting .170 and scoring 2.0 runs per game.

A big reason for their offensive struggles is that they are missing three of their best hitters in Robert Jr., Jimenez and Moncada.  It won't get any easier for them today against Seth Lugo, who is 2-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 3 earned runs and zero homers in 18 2/3 innings.  Lugo faced the White Sox on April 4th, allowing one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of a 10-1 victory.

Nick Nastrini will be making his first career start for the White Sox.  He went 9-5 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 114 2/3 innings in the minors last season almost all of which came at the AA level.  He is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 2.14 WHIP in two starts at AAA this season, allowing 6 earned runs, 15 base runners and 2 homers in 7 innings.

The Royals are 10-6 this season and scoring 5.3 runs per game and one of the most improved teams in baseball.  Kansas City is 6-0 in its last six meetings with Chicago.  Bet the Royals Monday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -124

The Minnesota Twins are terrible offensively largely due to missing three of their best hitters in Lewis, Correa and Kepler.  They are hitting .185 and scoring 3.5 runs per game this season.  They are hitting .190 and scoring 2.7 runs per game against left-handed starters.

The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best lineups in baseball.  They are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall and 6.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  I think this is a pretty evenly-matched game with the starting pitchers, but he Orioles have a huge advantage at the plate and should be bigger favorites as a result.

I'll gladly fade Louie Varland, who is 5-7 with a 4.81 ERA in 17 starts and 7 relief appearances in the majors.  Varland is 0-4 with a 9.38 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 25 earned runs and 8 homers in 24 innings.  

Cole Irvin has allowed 3 earned runs and no homers in 18 innings for a 1.50 ERA in his last three starts against Minnesota.  Bet the Orioles Monday.

20* Padres/Dodgers ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8.5 ticket.  There are expected to be 11 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight in Los Angeles.  This is a matchup between two of the most potent lineups in baseball, especially the Dodgers.

The Dodgers are hitting .283 and scoring 6.4 runs per game at home this season.  The Padres are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall including 5.5 runs per game on the road.

Yu Darvish allowed 4 earned runs in 3 innings to the Cubs in his last start in a 9-8 win.  James Paxton takes a big step up in class here making his 3rd start of the season after getting to face the Twins and Giants in his first two starts.  Both starters are getting too much respect tonight.  

The OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between the Padres and Dodgers with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 11 meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Western Conference Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Clippers OVER 220.5

The Houston Rockets are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games overall with 223 or more combined points in seven of those eight games.  They are also 14-2 OVER in their last 16 games overall dating back further.

The Clippers are locked in to the No. 4 seed in the West with nothing to play for.  That means their backups are going to be getting a lot of run, and this is one of the deepest teams in the NBA.  It also means there will be zero defensive intensity on their end.  This one has shootout written all over it as a result.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder -19.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall to put themselves in position to clinch the No. 1 seed in the West.  They will clinch the No. 1 seed with a win today, and will be max motivated to do so.

The Dallas Mavericks are locked in to the No. 5 seed in the West.  They are one of the few Western Conference teams that are locked into their seeding.  As a result, they are resting all of their best players in Doncic, Irving, Lively II, Gafford, Washington, Jones Jr., Exum and Kleber.

It did not go well for the Mavericks last game without Doncic and Irving as they lost outright as 11-point home favorites to the Pistons 107-89, failing to cover the spread by 29 points.  But they even had four of those players that are sitting today playing in that game.  They will have arguably the worst lineup in the entire NBA playing today, and I don't see them staying within 20 points of the Thunder as a result.  Bet the Thunder Sunday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies +13.5

The Denver Nuggets blew the No. 1 seed by losing 121-120 at the buzzer to the Spurs as 11.5-point favorites last game.  They are now in a 3-way tie with the Thunder and Timberwolves for 1st place in the West with one game to go.  But they lose the tiebreaker to both teams.

The problem is the Thunder are 19.5-point favorites over the Mavericks, who are sitting everyone today.  The Nuggets know they have no shot at the No. 1 seed, so they are likely to rest everyone today.  Jokic, Murray, Porter Jr., Gordon, Caldwell-Pope and several others are all questionable, but my anticipation is they sit.

The Nuggets have no business being 13.5-point road favorites over the Grizzlies without these guys.  This is what the line would be if they were all playing.  The Grizzlies continue to show up every night, which was the case last time out in their 123-120 loss to the Lakers are 16-point dogs.  This is a gritty team with a bunch of young players playing with something to prove.  LaRavia, Jackson, Goodwin and Pippen Jr. all scored 23 or more points against the Lakers.  Bet the Grizzlies Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Royals/Mets OVER 8

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 8 ticket.  Temps will be in the 60's with 17 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at Citi Field in New York this afternoon.  Those winds will get up to 23 MPH as the game progresses.

The Royals are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They are scoring 9.0 runs per game in their last four games.  The Mets are also heating up at the dish, scoring 8.4 runs per game in their last five games.  So both teams are averaging more than this 8-run total on their own here of late.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Marlins OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .301 and scoring 6.3 runs per game this season.  The Miami Marlins have gotten their bats going finally of late scoring 5, 5, and 10 runs in three of their last six games.

Charlie Morton was rocked for 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 8-7 loss to the Mets in his last start.  He was also rocked for 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 16-2 loss to the Marlins in his last start against them.

Jesus Luzardo is off to a disastrous start this season.  He posted a 5.25 ERA in spring training while allowing 3 homers in 12 innings.  Luzardo has been even worse in the regular season, going 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP while allowing 12 earend runs and 4 homers in 15 innings.

The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Marlins and Braves with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Miami with 9 or more combined runs in six of the seven.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague Total DOMINATOR on Brewers/Orioles OVER 8.5

The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Brewers and Orioles today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at game time.  Those wins increase to 18 MPH throughout the game.

The Brewers are hitting .289 and scoring 6.7 runs per game this season, including .307 and 7.5 runs per game on the road.  The Orioles have one of the best young lineups in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game overall, including 6.1 runs per game against right-handed starters.  Both teams will have their way at the plate today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Celtics OVER 227

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 1st in the NBA in pace and 28th in defensive rating.  The OVER is 6-1 in Wizards last seven games overall with 230 or more combined points in five of their last six.  This is a very low total for a game involving the Wizards.

The Celtics have rested their starters and will rest them again today.  But these backups are great offensively and terrible defensively.  They will be looking to get as many shots up as possible as this could be their final significant playing time.  The Celtics scored 131 points last game with their backups and will hang another big number on the Wizards, who I expect to keep pace.

The Celtics have really let go of the rope defensively since clinching the No. 1 seed in the East.  The OVER is 10-3 in Celtics last 13 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Wizards +9.5

The Washington Wizards continue to show up.  They have just one loss by more than 9 points in their last 12 games.  That makes for an 11-1 system backing the Wizards pertaining to this 9.5-point spread.

The Boston Celtics have announced they will be resting their 6 best players in White, Tatum, Porzingis, Horford, Holiday and Brown.  Asking them to win by double-digits to beat us without these six guys is asking too much.  Bet the Wizards Sunday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -135

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing two straight including the opener 4-2 in Game 1 of this series to the Mariners.  I expect them to bounce back in a big way due to their massive advantage on the mound tonight.

Shota Imanaga has been as advertised this season coming over from Japan.  He is 10 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.40 WHIP while pitching 10 shutout innings and allowing only 4 base runners in 12 K's.  He will shut down the light-hitting Mariners, who are hitting .197 and scoring 2.6 runs per game at home this season.

Emerson Hancock has been roughed up for the Mariners.  He is 1-1 with an 11.42 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two starts, allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 17 base runners in 8 2/3 innings.  The Cubs will rough him up tonight as well.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

20* NL West TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9

The Dodgers are hitting .268 and scoring 5.5 runs per game this season, including .285 and 6.6 runs per game at home.  The Padres are hitting .256 and scoring 5.5 runs per game this season, including .268 and 6.2 runs per game on the road.  This total of 9 is simply too low for a game involving the Padres and Dodgers' potent lineups.

Matt Waldron is 1-4 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in eight starts and two relief appearances in his career in the big leagues.  He has already allowed 10 homers in 50 2/3 innings.  Gavin Stone has not been good for the Dodgers, allowing 8 earned runs and 12 base runners in 8 innings in two starts this season.  Both bullpens are struggling as well with the Dodgers having a 4.60 ERA and the Padres a 4.55 ERA thus far.

There are expected to be 14 MPH winds blowing out to right-center tonight in Los Angeles that will help aid us in cashing this OVER ticket.  The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Padres and Dodgers with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Marlins OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves are hitting .310 and scoring 6.7 runs per game this season behind arguably the best lineup in baseball.  They are hitting .341 and scoring 8.1 runs per game against right-handed starters as well.  They should get to righty Max Meyer, who will be making just his 5th career start today for the Marlins.

The OVER is 9-2-1 in Braves 12 games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games.  The Braves will do the heavy lifting in us cashing this OVER ticket, but I also expect the Marlins to have some success against Chris Sale and this shaky Atlanta bullpen.  The Marlins have a 5.97 ERA as a bullpen and the Braves have a 4.24 ERA.

The OVER is 8-1 in the last nine meetings between the Marlins and Braves with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Miami with 9 or more combined runs in all six.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.