20* Jaguars/Cowboys NFLX No-Brainer on Jacksonville -3.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-140)

The Chicago Cubs are a dumpster fire right now.  They are just 14-41 in their last 55 games overall and just allowed 17 runs to the Chicago White Sox yesterday.  The White Sox are now 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Cubs recently while winning all four games by two runs or more.  It should be more of the same today.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Cy Young contender Lance Lynn, who is 10-3 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 14 home starts.  Lynn held the Cubs to one earned run in 6 innings of an 8-6 victory on August 6th in his lone start against them this season.

Alec Mills is 3-6 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Cubs.  Mills just allowed 6 earned runs and 11 hits in 4 innings of a 9-1 loss to the lowly Kansas City Royals in his last start.  He will get rocked by a hot White Sox offense that has now scored 27 combined runs in their last two games.

Lynn's teams are 47-16 in his 63 career home starts vs. a team with a losing record.  They are winning by 1.7 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Cubs are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games.  The White Sox are 59-27 in their last 86 home games.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105)

Death, taxes and Adam Wainwright owns the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Wainwright is 6-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last six starts against the Pirates, allowing just 4 earned runs in 42 innings.  He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2021 alone.

It's no fluke as Wainwright has had a career resurrection this season, going 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-1 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Steven Brault, who is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in eight career starts against the Cardinals.

St. Louis is 7-0 in Wainwright's last seven starts against the Pirates with all seven wins coming by two runs or more.  The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight road games.  St. Louis is 42-19 in the last 61 meetings, including 22-4 in the last 26 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Saturday.

25* NFLX GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Bears -2.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Washington Football Team +3.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* Hawaii/UCLA College Football Season Opener on UNDER 68

There's not a lot I like in Week 0 college football.  But this play on the UNDER definitely stood out and is worth a bet.  I like to bet UNDERS early in the season because defenses tend to be ahead of offenses.  And I think that will be the case in this game between UCLA and Hawaii.

UCLA should have its best defense of the Chip Kelly era.  His defense improved greatly last season from allowing 34.8 points and 456 yards per game in 2019 to 30.7 points and 410 yards per game in 2020.  And after having just six starters back on defense last year, UCLA welcomes back 10 starters on D in 2021 and should be dominant on this side of the ball.

Offensively, UCLA clearly relies on running the football.  They averaged 231 rushing yards per game last season compared to 224 passing.  That will keep the clock moving and help us cash this UNDER.  Also, it's worth noting UCLA has LSU on deck next week, so if the Bruins get a big lead they will be looking to milk the clock late.  Considering the Bruins are 18-point favorites, they should have a big lead late.

Todd Graham did a good job in his first season in getting Hawaii to 5-4.  They didn't do it with offense as they averaged just 26.2 points per game.  They did it with defense in giving up just 27.6 points per game, the fewest that Hawaii has allowed since 2014.  Now the Rainbow Warriors return all 11 starters on defense and should be even better on that side of the ball.

Offensively, the Warriors also like to run the football as they averaged 152 yards per game on the ground last season and 384 yards per game total.  They have a running QB in Chevan Cordeiro, who led the team in rushing last season.  Well UCLA was stingy against the run last year, yielding 136 yards per game and 3.6 per carry.  Add it all up and we have a solid play on the UNDER.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* NFLX Friday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia Eagles +5.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-140)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-1 in their last nine games overall with all eight wins coming by two runs or more.  They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those nine games and are hitting the cover off the ball right now.

Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that they have owned this season.  Indeed, the Rays are 15-1 against the Orioles in 2021 with 13 of those wins coming by two runs or more.  They take on a struggling Orioles team that is 2-19 in their last 21 games overall with 18 of those losses coming by two runs or more.

The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Shane McClanahan, who is 8-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Orioles, going 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts against them in 2021 with the Rays winning those games by 5, 9 and 6 runs.

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball.  He is 6-13 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.544 WHIP In 25 starts this season, including 2-8 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in 12 home starts.  Harvey is 0-2 with a 15.62 ERA and 2.208 WHIP in two starts against the Rays in 2021, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday.

20* NFLX Friday No-Doubt Rout on Indianapolis Colts -2

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-140)

The Boston Red Sox have scored 25 combined runs in their last three games.  They will give Chris Sale plenty of run support tonight, and he's not going to need much.  Sale dominated in the minors leading up to his return from the IL and that has carrier over.

Indeed, Sale is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his two starts while allowing just 2 earned runs with 13 K's in 10 innings.  Now he'll shut down the Minnesota Twins.  Sale is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings with 30 K's.

John Gant is 4-7 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 15 starts this season while averaging just 4.5 innings per start.  Gant has really struggled of late, going 0-3 with a 7.72 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings.

The Twins are 11-28 in their last 39 games vs. a left-handed starters, including 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. southpaws.  Minnesota is 4-12 in its last 16 games following a win.  The Red Sox are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Dodgers/Padres ESPN No-Brainer on Los Angeles -137

The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall and should be bigger favorites over the struggling San Diego Padres.  The Padres are just 2-10 in their last 12 games overall despite being favorites in 11 of those games.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight.  Ace and Cy Young contender Walker Buehler gets the ball.  He is 13-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 2.07 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 10 road starts.  

Buehler has never lost to the Padres, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in eight career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Blake Snell, who has been a bit of a disappointment for the Padres this season.  Snell is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  

The Dodgers are 15-1 in Buehler's 16 road starts vs. NL West opponents over the last three seasons.  Los Angeles is 74-33 in its last 107 games as a road favorite.  San Diego is 8-22 in its last 30 games as a home underdog.  Bet the Dodgers Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115)

The Houston Astros have lost four out of five meetings with the Kansas City Royals over the past week.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping Game 1 of this series at home.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  Luis Garcia is 9-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.888 WHIP in 10 home starts.

He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 21 starts thsi season.  Singer has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.431 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 1/3 innings.

Plays on any team (Houston) - in the AL with a starting pitcher with a 3.50 ERA or better against an opponent with a starting pitcher that wins less than 30% of his starts are 60-12 (83.3%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-123)

The Houston Astros are hot at the plate right now in scoring a combined 36 runs in their last four games.  They rank 1st in all of baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 2nd in OPS.  They are exactly the type of team you want to back on the Run Line with their ability to put up runs.

Ace Zack Greinke goes for the Astros tonight.  He is 11-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts.  Greinke has posted a 2.68 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in six career starts against the Royals as well.

Daniel Lynch is 3-3 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in eight starts for the Royals this season.  Lynch is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in three road starts as well.  He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start and the Astros should get into the Royals shaky bullpen early in this one.

Greinke is 54-15 as a home favorite of -175 to -250 in his career with his teams winning by 2.2 runs per game on average.  The Royals are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.  The Astros are 140-68 in their last 208 home games.  Houston is 73-29 in its last 102 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Monday.

20* Jaguars/Saints ESPN No-Brainer on Jacksonville +4

No analysis for preseason.

20* 49ers/Chargers NFLX No-Brainer on OVER 34

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110)

The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pirates as -205 and -195 favorites.  Look for them to avoid the sweep and win this game by two runs or more this afternoon.

Ace Adam Wainwright has been revived this season, going 11-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 15 home starts.  Wainwright owns the Pirates, going 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 34 innings.

Steven Brault is 1-2 with a 5.70 ERA in seven career starts against the Cardinals.  St. Louis is 6-0 in Wainwright's last six starts against Pittsburgh with all six wins coming by two runs or more.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Brewers OVER 9

The Washington Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 19 of their last 25 games overall.  The OVER is 15-4 in Nationals last 19 games.  The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 4 or more runs in 14 of their last 18 games overall and are just about as hot as any team in the majors over the past couple months.

The Brewers should feast on Sean Nolin, who will be making just his second start of the season for the Nationals.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 8 hits in 3 innings to the Mets in his only previous start. Adrian Houser is getting too much respect from oddsmakers today.  He is 6-5 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in 19 starts this season.

The OVER is 8-0 in Houser's last eight starts with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs.  The OVER is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 road games with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs.  The OVER is 16-4 in Houser's last 20 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NFLX Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Indianapolis Colts +2

No analysis for preseason.

15* NFLX Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Lions +6.5

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-119)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-16 in their last 16 games overall and have been outscored 141-42 in the process.  They have lost all 16 games by two runs or more and 15 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have won seven straight and are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall.  They have won 11 of those games by two runs or more.  And now they once again have a big advantage on the mound over the Orioles today.

Drew Smyly is 8-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Matt Harvey, who is one of my favorite starters to fade.  Harvey is 6-12 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.640 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Atlanta is 10-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.2 runs per game.  The Braves are 8-1 in Smyly's last nine road starts following a win.  Smyly is 14-0 in his last 14 starts vs. terrible speed teams that average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game in the second half of the season.  His teams are winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* Giants/A's Interleague ANNIHILATOR on San Francisco -108

The San Francisco Giants have lost two in a row and will be highly motivated to bounce back Saturday.  They haven't lost three in a row since July 1st, so they have been a very resilient team over the last month and a half.

The Giants have the advantage on the mound today over the Oakland A's.  Kevin Gausman is 12-5 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 13 road starts.  He hasn't fallen off at all, going 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last three starts.  Gausman has posted a 2.87 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in six career starts against Oakland as well.

Speaking of falling off, Sean Manaea has been brutal of late for Oakland.  He is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA and 2.182 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings.  It's not like he has faced stiff competition either as the three starts have come against the Rangers, Indians and Padres.

The Giants are 19-3 in their last 22 games this season coming off a three-game span in which their bullpen threw 13 or more innings.  San Francisco is 9-2 in Gausman's 11 starts against a team with a winning record this season.  The Giants are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss.  Take the Giants Saturday.

20* Bills/Bears NFLX Early ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo +4.5

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-124)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are doing their best to chase down the San Francisco Giants in the NL West.  They have won seven straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games overall with seven wins by two runs or more.  They should make easy work of the struggling New York Mets, who are 1-6 in their last seven games overall.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Walker Buehler, who is a Cy Young contender at 12-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Buehler held the Mets to one run in seven innings in his lone start against them this season on August 14th.

Carlos Carrasco has returned from the IL and is only a shell of his former self, clearly.  Carrasco is 0-1 with a 10.33 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 1/3 innings.  One of those starts came against the Dodgers on August 15th when he allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 innings of a 14-4 defeat.

The Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Dodgers are 65-27 in their last 92 home games.  Los Angeles is 42-17 in the last 59 meetings.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

20* Chiefs/Cardinals NFLX No-Brainer on Arizona +3

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-149)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-15 in their last 15 games overall and have been outscored 138-42 in the process.  They have lost all 15 games by two runs or more and 14 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves.

The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball.  They have won six straight and are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall.  They have won 10 of those games by two runs or more.  They have scored a total of 43 runs in their last five games for an average of 8.6 runs per game.

The Braves have a big advantage on the mound today over the Orioles.  Max Fried is 10-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three outings.  He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-7 with a 9.29 ERA and 2.065 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.800 WHIP in his last three.

Atlanta is 9-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.4 runs per game.  The Braves are 15-0 in Fried's last 15 August starts and winning by 4.4 runs per game.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

20* Patriots/Eagles NFLX No-Brainer on New England ML -115

No analysis for preseason.

20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston Astros -158

The Houston Astros have dropped four straight, including the first three games of this series to the Kansas City Royals in upset fashion.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated in Game 4 today to avoid the sweep and I think they get the job done.

The Astros have a big advantage on the mound today with Luis Garcia over Mike Minor.  Garcia is 9-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  He has great stuff with 127 K's in 105 2/3 innings.

Minor is 8-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 24 starts this season.  He is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 13 career starts against the Astros.  That includes 0-2 with a 6.64 ERA in his last four starts against the Astros in which he has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 20 1/3 innings and his teams have gone 0-4 in those four games.

The Royals are 44-90 in their last 134 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Kansas City is 23-61 in its last 84 vs. AL West opponents.  Bet the Astros Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +105

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 49-40 in their last 89 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And now they'll be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Angels.

The Tigers should feast on Jose Quintana, who is 0-3 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.931 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.271 WHIP in four road starts.  Matt Manning has been at his best at home for the Tigers, going 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA in four home starts this season.

Detroit is 9-1 vs. a starting pitcher that is winless after 5-plus starts over the last three seasons.  The Tigers are 33-29 at home this season.  Detroit is 4-0 in its last four vs. a left-handed starter.  The Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take the Tigers Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-111)

The Houston Astros come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight overall, including the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals in upset fashion.  Look for them to bounce back with a win by two runs or more in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound.

Ace Zack Greinke takes the ball for the Astros.  He is 11-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 24 starts this season.  Greinke has been at his best on the road, going a perfect 6-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.887 WHIP in 11 starts away from home.  He has posted a 2.90 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in five career starts against Kansas City as well.

He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Singer has been at his worst at home, going 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.699 WHIP in 12 home starts.  He has been roughed up of late, going 0-2 with a 19.05 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 5 2/3 innings.

Plays against home teams (Kansas City) - a poor hitting team with a .260 average or worse against a top level starting pitcher with a sub 3.60 ERA and a sub 1.300 WHIP in the American League, with a starting pitcher with a winning percentage less than 30% are 32-4 (88.9%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Detroit Tigers -119

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 49-38 in their last 874 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are rested and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off.

The Angels aren't rested as they had to play yesterday in a make up game against the New York Yankees.  They will have a hard time getting back up off the mat after that 2-1 defeat.  Runs have been hard to come by for the Angels during a 2-5 stretch over their last seven games in which they have averaged just 2.1 runs per game.

The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Angels as well.  Casey Mize is 6-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Dylan Bundy, who is 2-9 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in 17 starts.  Bundy has never beaten the Tigers, going 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Tigers are 14-5 in their last 19 home games.  Detroit is 17-4 in its last 21 Tuesday games.  The Tigers are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  Detroit is 7-0 in its last seven games after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game.  The Tigers are 7-1 in their last eight games following an off day.  Roll with the Tigers Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+100)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-12 in their last 12 games overall and have been outscored 113-36 in the process.  They have lost all 12 games by two runs or more and 11 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays are built to have openers like Drew Rasmussen shut down the opponent in the early innings and their dominant bullpen take over in the middle innings.  That was the case yesterday in their 9-2 win over the Orioles.  And it should be more of the same today.

John Means is definitely Baltimore's best starter, but even he has struggled of late.  Means is 1-4 with a 6.06 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 22 earned runs and 13 homers in 32 2/3 innings.  Means is 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA in three starts against the Rays in 2021 alone, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings with the Orioles losing all three of his starts by two runs or more.

Tampa Bay is 12-1 against Baltimore this season with 10 wins by two runs or more.  The Orioles are 1-25 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season.  They are losing by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Tampa Bay is 27-6 in its last 33 home meetings with Baltimore.  Take the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average, 1st in OPS and 1st in homers this season.  They have just the type of offense that you want to back on the Run Line.

The Washington Nationals are just 1-12 in their last 13 games overall and clearly packed it in at the trade deadline.  It won't get any easier for them with Erick Fedde on the mound.  Fedde is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in 19 starts this season.

Alek Manoah has been the best starter for the Blue Jays this season right alongside Robbie Ray.  Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 11 starts with 71 K's in 59 innings.  He'll shut down the Nationals tonight.

Washington is 0-8 in its last eight home games vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 4-18 as home dogs of +100 or higher this season.  The Blue Jays are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games.  The Nationals are 0-7 in their last seven home games.  Washington is 8-25 in its last 33 games overall.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall and have been outscored 104-34 in the process.  They have lost all 11 games by two runs or more and 10 of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays.

The Rays come in highly motivated for a victory after losing two straight at Minnesota over the weekend.  Now they are back home after a nine-game road trip.  Collin McHugh takes the ball and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.450 WHIP in four starts this season spanning 6 2/3 innings.

Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball.  Harvey is 6-11 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  He has faced the Rays once in his career and that came back on May 18th of this season.  Harvey allowed 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss.

Tampa Bay is 11-1 against Baltimore this season with nine wins by two runs or more.  Baltimore is 7-34 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 59-18 in their last 77 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Tampa Bay is 26-6 in its last 32 home meetings with Baltimore.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-150)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-10 in their last 10 games overall and have been outscored 98-32 in the process.  They have lost all 10 games by two runs or more and nine of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Eduardo Rodriquez. He simply owns the Orioles, going 11-5 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 19 career starts against them. That includes 8-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his last nine starts against Baltimore as he has allowed just 13 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings.

The Red Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Rodriquez's last nine starts against the Orioles with eight wins by two runs or more. He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-6 with a 9.57 ERA and 2.045 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-4 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.148 WHIP in six road starts.

The Orioles are 11-42 in their last 53 games following a loss.  The Red Sox are 74-31 in their last 104 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.  Boston is 44-19 in the last 63 meetings.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

25* NFLX Week 1 GAME OF THE YEAR on San Francisco 49ers ML -140

No analysis for preseason.

15* Browns/Jaguars NFL Network ANNIHILATOR on Jacksonville ML -145

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-160)

The Baltimore Orioles are 0-9 in their last nine games overall and have been outscored 82-30 in the process.  They have lost all nine games by two runs or more and eight of them by three runs or more.  Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park will be rocking today with the much-anticipated return of Chris Sale, who has dominated in the minors leading up to this start.  Sale is 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Orioles.

He'll be opposed by Jorge Lopez, who is 3-12 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Lopez is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two career starts against Boston, both of which have come in 2021.

The Orioles are 11-41 in their last 52 games following a loss.  The Red Sox are 73-31 in their last 103 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%.  Boston is 43-19 in the last 62 meetings.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

20* Cowboys/Cardinals NFLX Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona ML -125

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -135

The St. Louis Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming by a single run.  They are making a run at the playoffs here late in the season, and now they get their ace back on the mound in Jack Flaherty for the stretch run.

Flaherty is 8-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has never lost to the Royals, going 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.579 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 17 innings with 19 K's.

Mike Minor is 8-10 with a 5.39 ERA in 23 starts this season for the Royals.  He is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in six career starts against the Cardinals.  He faced St. Louis on August 6th earlier this month and allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings.

The Cardinals are 35-17 in their last 52 games as favorites.  St. Louis is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings.  The Cardinals are 37-15 in their last 52 meetings in Kansas City.  The Royals are 41-87 in their last 128 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cardinals Friday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +105

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 48-36 in their last 84 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they should not be underdogs to the Cleveland Indians tonight.

The Indians have lost three straight and are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall after getting blasted 17-0 by the A's yesterday.  It won't get any easier for them with Zach Plesac on the mound, who is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in his last three starts.  Plesac has posted a 5.40 ERA in seven road starts this season as well.

Tyler Alexander has been solid for the Tigers this season, going 1-0 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in seven starts.  One of those starts came against the Indians on August 7th in his last start where he pitched 5 1/3 innings of a 2-1 victory as a +135 road underdog.

The Tigers are 6-1 in Alexander's seven starts this season.  Detroit is 6-0 in Alexander's six starts vs. a team with a losing record this season.  The Tigers are 13-3 in their last 16 home games, including 8-1 in their last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Take the Tigers Friday.

15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -129

The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall while outscoring opponents 88-41 in the process.  The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average, 1st in OPS and 1st in home runs this season.  They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late.

The Angels have lost four of their last five and just can't get any momentum playing without two of their best hitters in Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon.  Shohei Ohtani has done his best to make up for it, but even he is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here.

Jose Berrios has been a new man since getting new life after the trade to Toronto.  Berrios is 1-1 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just one earned run and 14 base runners in 19 innings.  One of those starts came against the Angels on July 24th when he fired seven innings without allowing a single earned run and only three base runners.

Toronto is 38-15 in its last 53 games vs. a team with a losing record, including 25-8 against losing teams this season.  The Angels are 1-5 in their last six home games.  Los Angeles is 2-7 in its last nine games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Angels are 30-63 in their last 93 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or lower.  Roll with the Blue Jays Thursday.

20* Washington/Patriots NFLX No-Brainer on Washington -2

No analysis for preseason.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +133

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 47-36 in their last 83 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they should not be underdogs to the Baltimore Orioles tonight.

The Orioles are 0-7 in their last seven games overall and have been outscored 68-25 in the process.  That's why they should not be favorites, let alone this big of favorites even though I'm conceding they have the advantage on the mound with John Means over Matt Manning.

Manning held the Orioles to 2 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings on July 31st in his last start against them.  Another performance like that will be more than enough for him and the Tigers to come away with victory tonight.

Baltimore is 1-23 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season.  It is losing by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Tigers Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall while outscoring opponents 78-39 in the process.  The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 1st in OPS this season.  They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late.

Injuries have really hit the Angels hard with the losses of Trout, Rendon and Walsh.  They are now at a big disadvantage on the mound tonight with Dylan Bundy, who is 2-8 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in eight home starts.

Alek Manoah has been nothing short of spectacular for the Blue Jays.  He is 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.013 WHIP in 10 starts this season while allowing just 34 hits with 60 K's in 52 1/3 innings.  He will shut down the Angels tonight.

Toronto is 12-1 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of less than 20% over the last three seasons.  It is winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 30-62 in thier last 92 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or lower.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -112

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 46-36 in their last 82 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they should be bigger favorites over the lowly Baltimore Orioles in Game 2 of this series tonight.

The Tigers won 9-4 in Game 1 last night and it should be more of the same tonight.  They have the advantage on the mound with Tarik Skubal, who is 7-9 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 20 starts this season with 116 K's in 104 2/3 innings.

The Orioles are 0-6 in their last six games overall and have been outscored 63-23 in the process.  It won't get any better for them today with Matt Harvey taking the ball.  Harvey is 6-10 with a 6.13 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 2-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 10 home starts.

Baltimore is 1-22 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season.  It is losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Tigers Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114)

The Chicago White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games overall while outscoring the opposition 35-14 in the process.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Minnesota Twins today that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

Lance Lynn is a Cy Young contender at 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the White Sox.  He has never lost to the Twins, going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in five career starts against them.  That includes 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four starts in 2021, allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings to the Twins.

The White Sox should feast on Bailey Ober, who is 1-1 with a 4.99 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 5.34 ERA in six home starts.  Ober is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in four career starts against the White Sox as well.

The White Sox are 54-23 in their last 77 games as favorites.  Chicago is 57-25 in its last 82 vs. a team with a losing record.  The White Sox are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.  The Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 games following a win.  Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -118

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 45-36 in their last 81 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they should be bigger favorites over the lowly Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound with ace Casey Mize, who is 6-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Mize faced the Orioles on July 29th in his lone career start against them, pitching 7 innings without allowing a single earned run in a 6-2 victory.

The Orioles are 0-5 in their last five games overall and have been outscored 54-19 in the process.  It won't get any better for them today with Keegan Akin taking the ball.  Akin is still in search of his first win this season, going 0-5 with an 8.82 ERA and 1.990 WHIP in eight starts while allowing 33 earned runs and 67 base runners in 33 2/3 innings.

Baltimore is 1-21 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worst this season, losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day.  Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine games as a favorite.  Baltimore is 12-40 in its last 52 games following a loss.  Bet the Tigers Tuesday.

15* American League ANNIHILATOR on Chicago White Sox -144

The Chicago White Sox have now won four straight games while outscoring the opposition 32-10 in the process.  They beat the Twins 11-1 in Game 1 yesterday and should put it on them again in Game 2 Tuesday.  Eloy Jimenez has 4 homers and 10 RBI's in his last two games to show what made him one of the top prospects in baseball.

Dallas Keuchel has been solid this season for the White Sox at 7-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 21 starts.  Keuchel owns the Twins, going 6-2 with a 3.83 ERA in 10 career starts against them.

Griffin Jax is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight.  He is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four starts this season, but has performed well in his last three.  He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start, so the Twins have been limiting him and will have to use their awful bullpen (4.87 ERA) early in this one.

Chicago is 34-12 (+15.7 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  The White Sox are 57-24 in their last 81 vs. a team with a losing record.  Chicago is 54-22 in its last 76 games as a favorite.  The White Sox are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings.  Roll with the White Sox Tuesday.

15* AL Non-Divisional KNOCKOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -160 (Game 1)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall while outscoring opponents 71-33 in the process.  The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS this season.  They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late.

Injuries have really hit the Angels hard with the losses of Trout, Rendon and Walsh.  And now they are at a big disadvantage on the mound with Chris Rodriquez, who will be making just his second start of the season.  Rodriquez allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, in 6 innings to the lowly Texas Rangers in his only previous start and takes a big step up in class tonight.

Steven Matz is 9-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three.  Matz held the Angels to one run in 6 innings of a 15-1 victory in his lone career start against them back on April 10th.

The Angels are 39-84 in their last 123 road games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 Game 1's of a double-header.  Take the Blue Jays in Game 1 Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-120)

The Chicago White Sox just swept the Cubs over the weekend.  They won all three games by two runs or more and outscored the Cubs 21-9 in the series.  Now they will put it on the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of this series tonight.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound behind Lucas Giolito, who is 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  Giolito is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his two starts against the Twins this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 14 innings.  And the Twins have lost some key guys to injury and trade that he won't have to face this time around.

Beau Burrows will be making his first start of the season for the Twins.  Burrows has posted an 8.62 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in the majors in his career.  He hasn't been much better at the Triple A level, posting a 5.32 ERA with 54 earned runs allowed in 91 1/3 innings.

The White Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Giolito's nine August road starts in his career and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Chicago is 31-10 in its last 41 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Monday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114)

The Chicago Cubs are just 10-27 in their last 37 games overall.  They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag.  They have proceeded to go 2-9 in their last 11 games overall.  The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Dylan Cease is 8-6 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.256 WHIP In 22 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last three.

He'll be opposed by Kyle Davies, who is 6-8 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  Davies has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings.

The White Sox are 13-2 in Cease's 15 starts vs. a team with a losing record this season.  They are winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+103)

The Cincinnati Reds are rolling right now.  They just beat the Pirates 10-0 yesterday to improve to 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with seven of those wins coming by 3 runs or more.  It should be more of the same today against the Pirates, who are 1-5 in their last six games with all five losses by two runs or more.

The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today that should lead to them winning by two runs or more.  Vladamir Gutierrez has held his own this season, going 6-3 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 12 starts.  He is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last two starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings.

Mitch Keller has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 3-8 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 13 starts.  Keller has never beaten the Reds, going 0-2 with a 9.37 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Reds in his lone start against them in 2021.

The Pirates are 25-68 in their last 93 road games.  Pittsburgh is 17-51 in its last 68 during Game 3 of a series.  Cincinnati is 10-1 in its last 11 home meetings with Pittsburgh.  The Reds are 7-0 in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago Cubs are just 10-26 in their last 36 games overall.  They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag.  They have proceeded to go 2-8 in their last 10 games overall.  The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way.

The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more.  Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender at 8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in 18 starts this season with a whopping 149 K's in 104 2/3 innings.

Adbert Alzolay is 4-11 with a 4.85 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three.  Alzolay cannot be trusted because he serves up the long ball at a higher clip than any other starter in the league.  He has allowed 23 homers in 98 1/3 innings this season.

The White Sox are 51-22 in their last 73 games as favorites.  The White Sox are 54-24 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +180

The Seattle Mariners will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing three straight games to the Rays and Yankees by a combined 4 runs.  The Mariners are one of the most underrated teams in baseball and continue to be undervalued on a regular basis.

Speaking of underrated, Seattle starter Chris Flexen is consistently overlooked.  Flexen is 10-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 20 starts this season with the Mariners going 14-6 (+11.7 Units) in those 20 starts.

I believe the Mariners actually have a big advantage on the mound today with Flexen over Andrew Heaney, who is 6-8 with a 5.42 ERA in 19 starts, including 3-4 with a 5.82 ERA in 11 home starts.  Heaney is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA in two starts against the Mariners in 2021, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 1/3 innings.

Flexen is 12-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season.  New York is 7-11 (-11.8 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.  The Yankees are 14-25 (-21.7 Units) in day games this season.  Heaney is 0-6 (-7.5 Units) when playing against a team that wins 51% to 54% of their games this season.  Take the Mariners Saturday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A's -1.5 (-120)

The Oakland A's are 5-2 in their last seven games overall with four wins by two runs or more.  Now they are rested and ready to go after having Thursday off and will put it on the Texas Rangers in Game 1 due to their advantage on the mound tonight.

The Rangers have lost three in a row to the Angels coming in after losing 5-0 yesterday, getting outscored 18-4 in the three defeats.  Mike Foltynewicz is 2-10 with a 6.00 ERA in 21 starts for the Rangers this season, 1-6 with an 8.38 ERA in nine road starts, and 0-2 with a 14.34 ERA in his last three starts.

Chris Bassitt is 11-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in nine home starts.  Bassitt has owned the Rangers of late, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last four starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 27 innings.  The A's have won all four games by two runs or more.

Oakland is 21-5 in Bassitt's 26 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Texas is 13-40 in road games this season.  The Rangers are 2-16 in road games vs. AL teams that allow 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season, losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Texas is 0-15 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of better than 70% over the last three seasons, losing by 3.0 runs per game.  Bassitt is 11-0 vs. a team with a losing record this season, winning by 3.2 runs per game.  Bet the A's on the Run Line Friday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +141

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 44-34 in their last 78 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  I like getting them as a nice-sized dog here against the struggling Cleveland Indians, who have lost three straight coming in.

I would argue the Tigers have the advantage on the mound tonight with how well Matt Manning has been pitching of late.  He is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his eight starts this season.

Cal Quantrill is 2-1 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in 12 starts for the Indians this season while averaging just 4.7 innings per start.  He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Tigers in his lone career start against them on June 30th.

The Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a win.  Detroit is 4-1 in its last five games as an underdog.  Cleveland is 3-13 in its last 16 Friday games.  The Indians are 1-8 in their last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 0-6 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter overall.  Roll with the Tigers Friday.

15* Red Sox/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -131

The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games overall while outscoring opponents 48-19 in the process.  The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS this season with one of the most potent lineups in the league.

Now they take on a struggling Boston Red Sox team that is 1-6 in its last seven games overall.  The Red Sox have scored just 23 runs total in their last nine games for an average of 2.6 runs per game.  It won't get much easier for them against Alek Manoah tonight.

Manoah has been incredible for the Blue Jays this season.  He is 3-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.972 WHIP in nine starts this season with 56 K's in 47 1/3 innings.  Manoah has been at his best at home, going 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in four home starts.  He held the Red Sox to one run in 6 innings in his lone career start against them on June 14th.  Take the Blue Jays Friday.

15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-109)

The Chicago White Sox are 35-12 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons and scoring 5.9 runs per game while winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  Now they should tee off on Kansas City left Daniel Lynch tonight.

Lynch is 1-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in five starts this season with only 13 K's in 22 innings.  Lynch allowed 8 earned runs in just 2/3 of an inning in a 9-1 loss to the White Sox in his only career start against them this season.

Dallas Keuchel has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 10 starts.  Keuchel owns the Royals, going 7-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.195 WHIP in 13 career starts against them.

The White Sox are 12-1 in home games after scoring two runs or less this season.  They are coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* Cowboys/Steelers HOF Game No-Brainer on Pittsburgh -2

No analysis for preseason.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Indians/Blue Jays OVER 9

The books have set the total in this game too low tonight.  These are two terrible starting pitchers, and the Blue Jays are capable of covering this OVER on their own as they rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS.

The Blue Jays won 8-6 yesterday over the Indians.  They should feast on Triston McKenzie, who is 1-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three.

Ross Stripling hasn't been much better for the Blue Jays.  He is 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-1 with a 7.60 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his last three.

The OVER is 23-9 in all Toronto home night games this season.  The OVER is 12-4-3 in Indians last 19 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105)

The San Francisco Giants are 10-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks this season.  But they are coming off a rare loss last night in this head-to-head series to Madison Bumgarner, who has pitched very well since returning from injury, so there's no shame in that loss.

Look for the Giants to bounce back in a blowout victory tonight behind Kevin Gausman.  The right-hander is 9-5 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 12 road starts.  Gausman owns the Diamondbacks, going 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in six career starts against them.

Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last four starts against Arizona, allowing just 4 earned runs in 25 innings.  He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen, who is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last three starts against San Francisco, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

Gallen is 1-10 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, losing by 2.9 runs per game on average.  Arizona is 1-21 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.0 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday. 

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +136

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 43-33 in their last 76 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are being overlooked as home dogs to the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of this series Wednesday.

The Red Sox come in struggling with five straight losses.  They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall and scoring just 2.6 runs per game during this stretch.  It won't get any easier against Detroit's Casey Mize, who is their ace and one of the most underrated starters in baseball.

Mize is 6-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in nine home starts.  He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 7-6 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Mize beat the Red Sox on May 5th by allowing just one earned run in 6 innings of a 6-5 victory.

Mize is 11-7 (+10.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.  Detroit is 12-2 in its last 14 home games.  The Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win.  Take the Tigers Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)

The Toronto Blue Jays have the type of potent offense that makes them worth a bet on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS.  They will give the Indians at beating today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Look for the Blue Jays to jump on Jean Carlos Mejia early and often in this one.  Mejia is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-6 with an 8.55 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in 10 starts, allowing 38 earned runs and 10 homers in 40 innings.

Steven Matz has held his own for the Blue Jays, going 8-6 with a 4.58 ERA in 18 starts, including 1-2 with a 3.86 ERA in his last three.  Matz has never lost to the Indians, going 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.873 WHIP in three career starts against them.

The Indians are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.  Cleveland is 7-17 in its last 24 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Toronto is 5-1 in its last six games overall with all five wins coming by two runs or more.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-118)

The Chicago White Sox have owned left-handed pitching the past couple seasons.  They are 34-11 against left-handed starters over the last two years while winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  They are scoring 6.0 runs per game on average in these games.

Now the White Sox should feast on lefty Kris Bubic, who is 2-3 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.550 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Bubic has really struggled on the road, going 1-3 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.660 WHIP in four starts away from home.

Dylan Cease has been dominant at home for the White Sox this season.  He is 4-2 with a 2.44 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Cease has owned the Royals in 2021, allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings for a 1.65 ERA in three starts against them.  He is 2-1 with a 3.11 ERA in seven career starts against them.

Kansas City is 5-21 off three or more consecutive losses this season and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Cease is 13-2 in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last three seasons with the White Sox winning by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-109)

The San Francisco Giants have scored 5 or more runs in four straight games coming in. They should stay hot at the plate tonight against the Arizona Diamondbacks and win this game by two runs or more due to their big advantage on the mound.

Anthony Desclafini is 10-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.041 WHIP In 21 starts this season. He has been at his best on the road, going 5-3 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 13 starts away from home. He is 4-2 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in eight career starts against the Diamondbacks as well.

Desclafini has held Arizona to just 3 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in winning each of his two starts against them in 2021 by 3 and 6 runs. He'll be opposed by Taylor Widener, who is 1-1 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.418 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-0 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.655 WHIP in two home starts.

Arizona is 3-17 as a home dog of +125 or more this season, losing by 3.5 runs per game. The Diamondbacks are 1-20 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.1 runs per game. Bet the Giants on the Run Line Monday.

20* Red Sox/Rays ESPN No-Brainer on Boston +146

The Boston Red Sox have been undervalued all season. They will be highly motivated for a victory to avoid the sweep in this series with the Rays and their 4th straight loss overall. Boston hasn't lost four in a row all season.

Nick Pivetta is just the guy to get them back on track. He is 5-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in nine road starts this season. Pivetta is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.686 WHIP in two starts against the Rays in 2021, pitching 11 2/3 shutout innings.

Shane McClanahan should not be getting this kind of respect from oddsmakers. He is only averaging 4.7 innings per start with a 3.89 ERA in 15 starts this season, including a 3.99 ERA in eight home starts.

Boston is 14-5 after two or more consecutive losses this season. The Red Sox are 38-15 in their last 53 games after losing the first two games of a series. Take the Red Sox Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-139)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Arizona Diamondbacks that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease. So we'll back them on the Run Line and save a ton of juice.

Julio Urias is 12-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 9-2 with a 3.28 ERA and 0.981 WHIP in 12 road starts. Urias has never lost to the Diamondbacks, going 3-0 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in three career starts against them with the three wins coming by 9, 8 and 3 runs.

Caleb Smith is 1-7 with a 5.67 ERA in 11 starts for the Diamondbacks this season. He has really struggled of late, going 1-2 with a 10.53 ERA in his last three starts. One of those starts came against the Dodgers on July 10th when he allowed 9 earned runs in one inning of a 22-1 loss.

Arizona is 3-16 as a home underdog of +125 or more this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot. The Diamondbacks are 5-33 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.250 WHIP or better this season, losing by 3.2 runs per game on average. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.

15* AL Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Tigers -128

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 41-33 in their last 74 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 10-6 in their last 16 games overall while outscoring the opposition 96-68 in the process.

After dropping two straight to the lowly Orioles the last two days, the Tigers will come back highly motivated for a victory Sunday to avoid losing this series to them. Tyler Alexander has been at his best at home with a 3.72 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in three home starts this season. The Tigers are 3-0 in his three home starts.

The Tigers are 10-2 in their last 12 home games.  The Orioles are 22-50 in their last 72 games overall. Baltimore is 7-21 in its last 28 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Roll with the Tigers Sunday.

20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston Red Sox +101

The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated for a win Saturday after dropping two straight coming in, including Game 1 of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  They should not be underdogs here with the big advantage they have on the mound.

Nathan Eovaldi is Boston's ace at 9-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Eovaldi has allowed just 2 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Rays.  He beat them 9-2 while allowing just one earned run in 7 innings in his lone start against them in 2021.

Ryan Yarbrough is one of the weak links in Tampa Bay's staff.  He is 4-4 with a 4.45 ERA in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 5.31 ERA in seven home starts.  Yarbrough is 1-3 with a 6.82 ERA and 1.484 WHIP in six career starts against Boston as well.  He allowed 9 runs, 6 earned, in 5 innings of a 2-9 loss opposite Eovaldi in his lone start against Boston in 2021.

Boston is 29-13 in its last 42 vs. AL East opponents.  The Red Sox are 44-22 in night games this season.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers -101

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 41-32 in their last 73 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 10-5 in their last 15 games overall while outscoring the opposition 94-63 in the process.

The Tigers should stay hot at the plate tonight against John Means, who is 0-2 with an 8.02 ERA in his last three starts overall while allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 1/3 innings.

Matt Manning has been at his best at home this season for the Tigers. He is 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA in his three home starts this season. Means is 0-1 with a 4.63 ERA in two career starts against Detroit.

The Tigers are 10-1 in their last 11 home games. The Orioles are 21-50 in their last 71 games overall. Baltimore is 8-23 in its last 31 games as a road favorite. Wrong team favored here. Roll with the Tigers Saturday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays have just the type of offense that I'm willing to back them on the Run Line.  They rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS in all of baseball this season.

The Blue Jays should feast on Kansas City's Mike Minor tonight.  Minor is 8-8 with a 5.32 ERA in 21 starts this season.  He allowed 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings in a 5-1 loss to Toronto in his lone start against them in 2021.

Alek Manoah makes his return from injury here and looks to pick up right where he left off.  Manoah has gone 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in eight starts this season with 52 K's in 40 1/3 innings.  He has been at his best at home, going 1-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in three home starts.

Kansas City is 22-55 in its last 77 games with a total of 10 or higher.  The Royals are 20-47 in their last 67 games as road underdogs.  Kansas City is 18-38 in its last 56 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Toronto is 36-16 in its last 52 vs. a team with a losing record.  The Blue Jays are 42-17 in their last 59 home meetings with the Royals.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Houston Astros +116

The Houston Astros are 5-1 in their last six games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored 8 runs or more in three straight games. They rank 1st in runs per 9 innings, average and 2nd in OPS this season.

There is clearly value on the Astros as underdogs today with Framber Valdez on the mound. He is 6-2 with a 2.97 ERA in 11 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 2.94 ERA in five road starts.

Kevin Gausman is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers due to his season-long numbers. But he has come back down to reality of late, going 1-1 with a 6.08 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in his last three starts.

The Giants are in a letdown spot here after taking two out of three from the Dodgers last series. They have played seven of their last 10 games against the Dodgers as well. In between, they lost two out of three to the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates as -190 and -270 favorites. Houston is 47-18 in its last 65 games following an off day. Take the Astros Friday.

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-108)

The Chicago White Sox are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall and will be highly motivated to get back on track here against the Cleveland Indians. I like their chances of winning this game by two runs or more due to their big advantage on the mound.

Lance Lynn is a Cy Young contender this season for the White Sox alongside Carlos Rodon. Lynn is 10-3 with a 1.91 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He has been at his best at home, going 6-2 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in 11 home starts.

Lynn is 4-2 with a 1.95 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in six career starts against the Indians as well. He'll be opposed by Jean Carlos Mejia, who is still in search of his first win this season. Mejia is 0-6 with an 8.58 ERA and 1.570 WHIP in nine starts while allowing 34 earned runs and 9 homers in 35 2/3 innings.

The White Sox are 16-2 in home games following a loss this season, outscoring opponents by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -142

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 41-31 in their last 72 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 10-4 in their last 14 games overall while outscoring the opposition 91-59 in the process.

Now they have a series with the worst team in the American League in the Baltimore Orioles, who are 35-66 this season. And I'll gladly fade one of the worst starters in baseball in Matt Harvey, who is 5-10 with a 6.65 ERA and 1.579 WHIP in 20 starts this season.

Tarik Skubal is one of the many underrated starters in Detroit's rotation. He is 6-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.287 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Skubal has been at his best at home, going 3-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 10 home starts.

The Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 home games, including 10-1 at home in the month of July. Detroit is 6-0 in its last six games as a home favorite. The Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 home meetings with Baltimore. The Orioles are 20-50 in their last 70 games overall. Bet the Tigers Friday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching.  They have gone 34-10 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons.  They blew a lead in the 9th last night and will be highly motivated to bounce back with a win in Kansas City Thursday.

Now they should feast on left-hander Carlos Hernandez, who has had a rough go of it in the big leagues.  He is 1-2 with a 5.65 ERA and 1.674 WHIP in 43 innings in the majors.  That includes 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.649 WHIP in two starts in 2021.

Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender this season.  He has gone 8-4 with a 2.24 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 17 starts with a whopping 145 K's in 100 2/3 innings.  He has been at his best on the road, going 5-1 with a 1.90 ERA in nine starts away from home.

Chicago is 24-8 in its last 32 games as a road favorite of -125 or more.  The White Sox are 47-17 in their last 64 games as favorites overall.  Chicago is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings, including 11-2 in the last 12 meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching.  They have gone 34-9 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons, scoring 6.2 runs per game and winning by 2.8 runs per game on average.

Now they should feast on Kansas City lefty Kris Bubic, who is 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.624 WHIP in nine starts this season.  He has been roughed up of late in going 1-1 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in his last three starts as well.  The Royals are 0-3 in Bubic's three career starts against the White Sox.

Lucas Giolito has been dominant for a couple months now.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, including exactly one run in five of those.  Giolito is 8-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 15 career starts against Kansas City.

Chicago is 24-7 in its last 31 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Giolito is 12-2 in road starts off a win over the last three years.  Giolito is 16-3 in road games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse over the last three seasons.  Chicago is 16-5 in the last 21 meetings, including 11-1 in the last 12 meetings in Kansas City.  take the White Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Toronto Blue Jays -130 (Game 1)

Robbie Ray is 8-5 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 19 starts for the Blue Jays this season.  He has been the model of consistency, allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in 16 of his 19 starts.  And he allowed 4 earned runs exactly in the other three.

Ray is the better starter in this showdown with Boston's Garrett Richards, who is 6-5 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  Richards has allowed 4 earned runs or more in five of his last seven starts.

The Blue Jays are 13-6 in their last 19 road games vs. a right-handed starter.  Toronto will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing four straight to the Red Sox in this season series.  Ray is just the guy to get the job done.  Bet the Blue Jays in Game 1 Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +125

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 39-31 in their last 70 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 8-4 in their last 12 games overall while outscoring the opposition 68-43 in the process.

The Minnesota Twins have been one of the biggest money burners in baseball at 43-59 (-28.5 units) this season.  They should not be favored over the Tigers with J.A. Happ on the mound.  Happ is 5-5 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.490 WHIP in 18 starts this season.  He has posted a 5.35 ERA and 1.506 WHIP in 14 career starts against Detroit.  He just allowed 7 earned runs and 11 hits in 7 innings of a 7-0 loss to the Tigers on July 18th.

Wily Peralta has been dominant this season for the Tigers.  He is 3-2 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in seven starts.  Two of those starts came against the Twins in July as he held them to one earned run in 12 innings for a 0.75 ERA.

Detroit is a perfect 5-0 (+7.4 units) in road games after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.  The Tigers are 11-1 in their last 12 Wednesday games.  Detroit is 6-1 in its last seven games following a win.  The Twins are 2-8 in their last 10 games as favorites.  Roll with the Tigers Wednesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -117

We're getting the Chicago White Sox at a discount after losing three of their last four coming in.  You're paying a tax to back the Royals right now due to winning five straight coming in.  The White Sox have all the advantages in this game and should be bigger favorites.

That includes their advantage on the mound with Dallas Keuchel, who is 7-3 with a 4.16 ERA in 18 starts this season.  Keuchel owns the Royals, going 7-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 12 career starts against them.

Mike Minor is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA in 20 starts this season for the Royals.  He is 3-5 with a 5.61 ERA in 10 home starts.  Minor is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA in five career starts against Chicago as well.  The White Sox are 34-8 vs. left-handed starts over the last two seasons, winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  

Keuchel is 10-1 against the money line in night games this season.  Minor is 0-6 against the money line in home games when working on 5 or 6 days' rest over the last two seasons.  Chicago is 51-19 in its last 70 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The White Sox are 15-4 in the last 19 meetings, including 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the White Sox Monday.

20* White Sox/Brewers ESPN No-Brainer on Chicago +135

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  They have lost three straight coming in and desperately want to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two of this series to the Milwaukee Brewers.  The White Sox have only lost more than three in a row once all season.

I like their chances of avoiding a 4th straight defeat with Cy Young contender Lance Lynn on the mound.  Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA and 1.034 WHP in 17 starts this season.  He simply owns the Brewers, going 9-2 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in 16 career starts against them.  He should not be this big of an underdog to Brandon Woodruff tonight.  Bet the White Sox Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers -101

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 38-29 in their last 67 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 7-2 in their last nine games overall while outscoring the opposition 56-26 in the process.

The Tigers should not be underdogs to the Royals, who are just 12-29 in their last 41 games overall.  Detroit will be highly motivated for a victory after losing the first two games of this series and now trying to avoid the sweep.  That includes a blown 6-0 lead yesterday which was a painful loss for me and my clients to swallow.

The Tigers bounce back today behind Takik Skubal, who has been solid at 6-7 with a 4.25 ERA in 17 starts this season.  Skubal is 1-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against Kansas City.

He'll be opposed by Daniel Lynch, who is 0-2 with a 15.73 ERA and 2.871 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs in 8 innings.  One of those starts came against Detroit on May 13th when he allowed 4 runs, 3 earned in 2 2/3 innings.  Take the Tigers Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Nationals +108

The Washington Nationals will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after losing three straight overall, including the first two games of this series to the lowly Baltimore Orioles.  I fully expect them to avoid the sweep and take Game 3 this afternoon.

Paolo Espino has been an underrated starter for the Nationals this season.  He has gone 2-1 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.134 WHIP in six starts.  He'll be opposed by John Means, who comes in struggling at 0-3 with an 8.43 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in his last three starts.

Baltimore is 1-8 (-8.8 units) as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons.  The Orioles are 5-20 (-14.3 units) in home games against right-handed starters this season.  Baltimore is 2-15 (-12.4 units) vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season.  Roll with the Nationals Sunday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +114

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory Saturday after losing two straight, including Game 1 of this series to the Brewers.  But now we are getting a Cy Young contender as an underdog here in a bounce back spot and we'll take advantage.

Carlos Rodon has been dominant all season, going 8-3 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in 16 starts with a whopping 140 K's in 96 2/3 innings.  Rodon has been at his best on the road, going 5-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in eight starts away from home.

Rodon is 9-1 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less in his career.  Burnes is 2-9 (-10.7 Units) in his last 11 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175.  The Brewers are 1-5 in their last six home games.  Chicago is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings.  Roll with the White Sox Saturday.

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers +123

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 38-28 in their last 66 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 7-1 in their last eight games overall while outscoring the opposition 48-17 in the process.

The Tigers should not be underdogs to the Royals, who are just 11-29 in their last 40 games overall.  They definitely shouldn't be dogs with ace Casey Mize on the mound.  Mize is 5-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.107 WHIP in 18 starts this season.

He is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals in 2021 while allowing only 6 earned runs and zero homers in 19 innings.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Hernandez, who is 0-1 with a 16.17 ERA and 4.790 WHIP in one career start against Detroit.  Hernandez will be making just his 2nd start of 2021.

Mize is 11-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.  Bet the Tigers Saturday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -114

The Toronto Blue Jays are highly motivated for a victory Saturday after losing three straight coming in.  They had won four straight prior while outscoring the opposition 28-3 in the process.  Look for them to get back on track tonight.

Ace Hyun-Jin Ryu goes for the Blue Jays Saturday.  He is 9-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 10 road starts.  Ryu owns the Mets, going 5-1 with a 1.53 ERA and 0.954 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Taijuan Walker has good numbers overall this season for the Mets but has struggled of late.  He has posted a 7.36 ERA and 1.727 WHIP in his last three starts.  Walker has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Toronto is 14-3 in its last 17 vs. NL East opponents this season.  The Blue Jays are 14-3 in their last 17 interleague games.  The Mets are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win.  Take the Blue Jays Saturday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago White Sox +116

The Chicago White Sox should not be underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of this Interleague series tonight.  They are hitting the ball too well right now to be an underdog.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 17 of their last 20 games overall.

Lucas Giolito is pitching like the ace that he is.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 11 starts overall.  He just held the Astros to one earned run in a complete game 10-1 victory last time out.

Freddy Peralta is coming back down to reality after a great start to the season.   He has allowed at least one homer in each of last last three starts with 15 walks in 23 innings across his last four starts.  He is being overvalued here tonight.

The White Sox are 24-11 in their last 35 games following a loss.  Chicago is 5-0 in its last five road games.  Milwaukee is 1-7 in its last eight vs. AL Central opponents.  The Brewers are 0-5 in their last five games as home favorites.  Chicago is 13-6 in the last 19 meetings, including 4-0 in the last four meetings in Milwaukee.  Take the White Sox Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Detroit Tigers +114

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 38-27 in their last 65 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season.  And they are now 7-0 in their last seven games overall while outscoring the opposition 45-12 in the process.

The Tigers should not be underdogs to the Royals, who are just 10-29 in their last 39 games.  They definitely shouldn't be dogs with the way Wily Peralta is pitching right now.  He is 3-0 with a 0.38 ERA in his last four starts while allowing just one earned run in 24 innings.

Kris Bubic has struggled all season for the Royals, especially of late.  He is 0-3 with an 11.12 ERA in his last four starts while allowing 21 earned runs and 11 homers in 17 innings.  He has posted a 5.58 ERA and 2.068 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit.  Bet the Tigers Friday.

15* Yankees/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on New York -102

It's rare that you get the opportunity to back one of the best starters in baseball in Gerrit Cole at nearly even money.  That is the opportunity the books have given us Friday against the Boston Red Sox and we'll take advantage.

Cole has been arguably the best starter in baseball over the last five years.   He is 10-4 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA in his last two starts while holding two of the best lineups in baseball in the Red Sox and Astros to just one earned run in 15 innings with 23 K's.

The Yankees clearly have the advantage on the mound in this one as Eduardo Rodriquez is 7-5 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 18 starts this season for the Red Sox.  But he has pitched well of late, so he is getting respect from oddsmakers that he doesn't deserve when he's up against a guy the caliber of Cole.

New York is 55-26 in its last 81 during Game 2 of a series.  Look for the Yankees to bounce back tonight after blowing a 3-1 lead in the 9th yesterday and losing in extra innings to the Red Sox.  Roll with the Yankees Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cubs/Cardinals UNDER 8.5

This has the makings of a pitcher's duel tonight between Kwang-Hyun Kim and Adbert Alzolay of the Cardinals and Cubs, respectively.  I like what I've seen from both starters this season, especially Kim.  Chicago is scoring 3.6 runs per game on the road while St. Louis is scoring 3.9 runs per game at home in 2021.

Kim is 5-5 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.179 WHIP in eight home starts.  He has been untouchable of late, going 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last three starts while pitching 19 shutout innings.

Kim is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA in two starts against the Cubs in 2021.  He'll be opposed by Alzolay, who has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.022 WHIP in three career starts against St. Louis.  He has posted an impressive 1.105 WHIP in 16 starts overall this season.

St. Louis is 21-7 UNDER in its last 28 home games vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.150 WHIP or better.  The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Cubs last 12 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5.  The UNDER is 15-6-1 in Cubs last 22 road games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-110)

The Toronto Blue Jays are looking to gain some ground on the Boston Red Sox in the AL East.  After losing Game 1, I look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory in Game 2 tonight.  They have a big advantage on the mound that should lead to a win by two runs or more.

The Blue Jays are flexing their muscle in recent weeks with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  They have scored 5 or more runs in 13 of their last 19 games overall.  They are 15-8 in their last 23 games with 14 of those 15 wins coming by two runs or more.

Now ace Robbie Ray gets the ball for the Blue Jays tonight.  Ray is 8-4 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in 18 starts with a whopping 138 K's in 107 1/3 innings.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine consecutive starts, going 6-2 with a 2.11 ERA in those nine starts while allowing just 13 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings with 78 K's.

Garrett Richards is 5-5 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in 18 starts this season for the Red Sox.  Richards is 3-4 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in nine career starts against the Blue Jays as well.  He has faced Toronto three times already this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 34 base runners in 16 2/3 innings with only 10 K's.

Toronto is 8-0 in its last eight home games after allowing 12 runs or more.  It is coming back to win by a whopping 6.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Blue Jays are also 8-0 in their last eight home games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 12 runs or more, winning by 6.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* AL Non-Divisional KNOCKOUT on Detroit Tigers -118

The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 35-27 in their last 62 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game.  They should be much bigger favorites against the struggling Texas Rangers tonight.

The Tigers are 4-0 in their last four games overall while outscoring their four opponents 27-4 in the process.  They take on a Rangers team that is 0-6 in their last six games overall and has scored at total of just 3 runs while getting outscored 33-3 in their last five games overall.

Detroit has the advantage on the mound tonight behind Tarik Skubal, who has posted a 3.78 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Dane Dunning, who is 0-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in eight road starts.  The Rangers have gone 1-7 in Dunning's eight road starts this season.

Texas is 0-10 in road games following five or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons.  The Rangers are 1-18 in its last 19 road games after a game where the bullpen gave up 4 or more earned runs.  Texas is 16-53 in its last 69 road games.  Detroit is 6-0 in its last six home games.  Roll with the Tigers Tuesday.

20* Suns/Bucks ABC No-Brainer on Phoenix +5

The Milwaukee Bucks shot 57.5% from the floor and 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range to steal Game 5 in Phoenix.  I look for the Suns to return the favor here in Game 6 and take this series back to Phoenix for a Game 7.  It's clear the Bucks aren't going to shoot that well again.

Chris Paul has been off the last three games after a tremendous start to the series after a great close to the Clippers series.  I look for him to come up big here in Game 6 with the season on the line once again, and for Devin Booker to continue his great play.  The Suns should get more from their role players as well here tonight.

It's definitely a 'buy low' spot on the Suns off three consecutive losses after winning the first two games of this series.  The Bucks are 6-17 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season.  Milwaukee wasn't this big of a favorite in either of its first two home meetings with the Suns in this series, so I believe there is value with the road team here.   Bet the Suns Tuesday.

20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago White Sox -136

The Minnesota Twins will be playing their 6th game in 4 days since returning from the All-Star Break.  They are just 1-4 coming out of the break and have scored a total of 10 runs in five games, an average of just 2.0 runs per game.  They should be much bigger underdogs to the White Sox tonight.

Chicago is 13-5 in its last 18 games overall and has scored 4 or more runs in 16 of those 18 games, including 5 or more in 14 or them.  They will get after Minnesota starter Bailey Ober, who is 1-1 with a 5.46 ERA in eight starts this season.  Ober is 1-1 with a 6.57 ERA in three career starts against Chicago as well.

Dallas Keuchel is 6-2 with a 3.86 ERA in nine career starts against Minnesota.  Kuechel is also 4-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in eight home starts this season, and the White Sox have gone 7-1 in those eight starts.

Kuechel is 9-1 against the money line in night games this season with the White Sox winning by 3.9 runs per game in this spot.  Chicago is 18-3 as a home favorite of -125 to -175 this season.  The White Sox are 50-20 in their last 70 home games.  The Twins are 2-9 in their last 11 road games.  Take the White Sox Tuesday.

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -127

The Toronto Blue Jays are flexing their muscle in recent weeks with one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  They have scored 5 or more runs in 13 of their last 18 games overall, including 10-2, 5-0 & 10-0 wins over the Rangers last series.  They improved to 15-7 in their last 22 games with 14 of those 15 wins coming by two runs or more.

Now they will take down the struggling Boston Red Sox who managed a total of just two runs total in back-to-back losses to the Yankees over the weekend.  They will get after Nick Pivetta, who is 1-1 with a 5.87 ERA in his last three starts.  Pivetta has never beaten the Blue Jays, going 0-2 with a 7.06 ERA and 1.523 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings in two starts against Toronto in 2021.

Ross Stripling has really turned it around after a rough start for the Blue Jays.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in nine of his last 12 starts and 4 earned runs in two of the three that he didn't.  Stripling has been very consistent and I think he limits the Red Sox today enough to allow Toronto to win this game.

The Red Sox are 1-5 in their last six games as road underdogs.  The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games as favorites.  Toronto is 6-1 in its last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Blue Jays Monday.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -110

After disaster struck prior to the All-Star Break, the Chicago Cubs got the rest they needed to regroup.  They have come out of the break with two straight wins over the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-68) and I expect them to get the sweep here against the worst team in baseball.

Zach Davies has been respectable this season with a 4.37 ERA in 19 starts.  He is 4-2 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in six career starts against the Diamondbacks as well.

He'll be opposed by Merrill Kelly, who is 5-7 with a 4.46 ERA in 19 starts this season.  Kelly is 0-1 with a 7.36 ERA and 3.542 WHIP in his lone career start against the Cubs as well.

Arizona is 4-24 off four or more consecutive losses this season.  The Diamondbacks are 4-20 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season.  The Cubs are 6-0 in their last six games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Chicago is 6-1 in its last seven games as a road favorite.  The Diamondbacks are 8-46 in their last 54 games overall.  Roll with the Cubs Sunday.

15* Astros/White Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -124

The Chicago White Sox blasted the Houston Astros 10-1 yesterday to end a five-game losing streak in this head-to-head series this season.  They should pick up another win Sunday considering they have a big advantage on the mound.

Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender with what he has done this season.  Rodon is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 15 starts with a whopping 130 K's in 89 2/3 innings.  He is also 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA in six career starts against Houston.

Framber Valdez has good numbers overall in limited action but has come back down to reality of late.  He has allowed 7 earned runs in 9 innings in his last two starts for a 7.00 ERA.  The White Sox own left-handed starters, going 33-8 against them over the last two seasons winning by 2.8 runs per game and scoring 6.3 runs per game.

The White Sox are 48-19 in their last 67 home games.  Chicago is 15-3 at home with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  The White Sox are 44-14 in their last 58 games as favorites.  Take the White Sox Sunday.

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Mets -132

The New York Mets have now lost three straight games to the Pittsburgh Pirates dating back to before the All-Star Break.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a win Sunday to avoid the sweep in Pittsburgh today.

Taijuan Walker has been phenomenal this season.  He is 7-3 with a 2.50 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 16 starts.  He'll be opposed by J.T. Brubaker, who is 4-9 with a 4.47 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA in his last three.  

Brubaker allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings of a 4-13 loss to the Mets on July 9th in his lone career start against them.  Walker was opposite Brubaker in that game and allowed just 2 earned runs in 5 innings.

Walker is 13-1 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons.  His teams are winning by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Mets Sunday.

20* Bucks/Suns ABC No-Brainer on UNDER 218

The longer a series goes the more familiar teams become with one another.  Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  And this should be the lowest scoring game of the series to date between the Bucks and Suns in this pressure-packed Game 5 tonight with the series tied 2-2 apiece.

I cashed in the UNDER 222 in Game 3 in a game that saw 220 combined points.  It still stayed UNDER the total despite a 69-point 3rd quarter. I cashed in the UNDER 220.5 in Game 4 in a game that saw just 212 combined points despite a 61-point 2nd quarter. And I'm expecting 212 or fewer combined points in Game 5 tonight as well, so we have some room to work with in this 218-point total.

Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 200 or higher (Phoenix) - off two or more consecutive road losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 36-11 (76.6%) over the last five seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Astros/White Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -109

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory Saturday night.  They are 0-5 against the Astros this season and desperately want to win a game against them.  They turn to ace Lucas Giolito to get the job done tonight.

Giolito has posted a 3.47 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 starts, including two runs or fewer in six of those.  Giolito is 1-1 with a 1.10 ERA in his last two starts against the Astros, allowing just 2 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings.

Jake Odorizzi is 3-4 with a 3.95 ERA in 10 starts for the Astros this season.  The White Sox should get into their bullpen early in this one considering Odorizzi is only averaging 4.3 innings per start this season.

Chicago is 14-2 in home games following a loss this season.  The White Sox are 47-19 in their last 66 home games.  Roll with the White Sox Saturday.

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-129)

The Toronto Blue Jays sit at 45-42 on the season with a lot to play for coming out of the All-Star Break. They should handle the Texas Rangers (35-55) in Game 1 this series tonight due to their advantage on the mound.

Robbie Ray is an elite starter in the big leagues for the Blue Jays. He is 7-4 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.063 WHIP in 17 starts this season with 130 K's in 100 2/3 innings. Ray has now allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts.

Jordan Lyles is one of the worst starters in baseball for the Rangers. He is 5-5 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.472 WHIP in 17 starts this season. The Blue Jays have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season.

Texas is 2-14 in road games after two or more consecutive losses this season. The Rangers are 19-54 in their last 73 road games overall. Toronto is a perfect 8-0 after scoring 3 runs or less in two straight games this season. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.