15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -108

The Boston Red Sox are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last 10 games overall.  They should stay hot at the plate against Lance Lynn, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.

Lynn is 4-8 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.506 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 61 earned runs and a whopping 18 homers in 84 1/3 innings.  Lynn has been at his worst at home, going 2-4 with a 7.64 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in six starts in Chicago.

The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound in this one behind James Paxton, who is 3-1 with a 3.29 ERA and 1.070 WHIP in seven starts this season with 51 K's in 38 1/3 innings.  Paxton has never lost to the White Sox, going 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in five career starts against them.

The White Sox are 1-4 in their last five games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer four times.  Chicago is 3-9 in its last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Red Sox Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-135)

The San Diego Padres just blew out the Giants 10-0 yesterday and are starting to hit the ball up to their potential finally.  With their massive advantage on the mound tonight, I expect another blowout victory in their favor over the struggling Washington Nationals.

The Nationals are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more.  They have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 17 games, and 4 runs or fewer in 13 of those.  They haven't score more than 6 runs in any of their last 17 games.

The Padres will tee off on Pat Corbin, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last three years.  Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIIP in 31 starts in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts in 2022, and he is now 4-8 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.583 WHIP in 15 starts in 2023.  Corbin is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in his last two starts against the Padres, allowing 8 earned runs and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.

Joe Musgrove has been dominant this season with the exception of one start in Mexico City in the altitude which has inflated his number.  Musgrove is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five home starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and only 2 homers in 27 innings.

The Padres are 16-3 in Musgrove's last 19 starts vs. a NL team with a .400 or worse slugging percentage and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 0-9 in their last nine games when their opponent allowed two runs or fewer in their previous game.  Washington is 11-41 in its last 52 Game 1's.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Friday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -108

The Texas Rangers are better than the New York Yankees this season, especially with the Yankees without Aaron Judge right now.  They have the rest advantage tonight after having Thursday off while the Yankees completed a series with the Mariners yesterday.  And they have the advantage on the mound tonight, so they should be bigger favorites.

Dane Dunning is 4-1 with a 3.45 ERA in eight starts this season for the Rangers, allowing just 4 homers in 44 1/3 innings.  He is 1-1 with a 2.49 ERA in four road starts without a homer allowed in 21 2/3 innings.  Dunning has posted a 1.84 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in three career starts against the Yankees as well.

Clarke Schmidt is one of the weak links in New York's rotation.  He is 2-6 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.423 WHIP in 15 starts this season, allowing 37 earned runs and 11 homers in 71 2/3 innings.  Schmidt faced the Rangers earlier this season and it did not go well as he allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 5-2 defeat.

The Yankees are 1-7 in Schmidt's eight starts with a money line of +100 to -150 this season.  New York is 4-11 in Schmidt's 15 starts this season overall.  The Yankees are 0-7 in Schmidt's seven starts vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game this season.  Texas is 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Reds OVER 10.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 21-8 in their last 29 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 23 of those 29 games, including 5 runs or more 20 times.  They are raking right now.  The Braves have been the hottest lineup in baseball against right-handed pitching since June 1st.  They have scored at least 4 runs in nine consecutive games, including 5 or more eight times.

Runs will be plentiful for the Braves tonight off of Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 6.47 ERA and 1.544 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing 41 earned runs and 13 homers in 57 innings.  Weaver has posted a 10.12 ERA and 2.174 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings.  He is 1-3 with a 5.08 ERA in five career starts against the Braves.

A.J. Smith-Shawver is no more than a spot starter for the Braves.  Fortunately for him, he has been able to face two of the worst lineups in baseball both at home in the Rockies and Nationals.  He still gave up 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 2/3 innings to the Rockies.  And this is now by far his toughest task of the season facing the red-hot Reds at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 games after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game.  The OVER is 39-15-3 in Braves last 57 games when their opponent scored 5 runs or more in their previous game.  The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.  The OVER is 13-4 in Reds last 17 Game 1's.  Both teams get to 5-plus runs in this one to cash this OVER 10.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* NL West GAME OF THE YEAR on San Diego Padres -128

The San Diego Padres will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first three games of this series to the San Francisco Giants.  I fully expect them to win Game 4 today behind their massive advantage on the mound.

Blake Snell is a notorious slow starter and he is much better than his numbers show.  Snell has been virtually unhittable in his last five starts, going 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA in his while allowing just 2 earned runs in 30 innings with a whopping 45 K's.  Snell is 3-1 with a 2.50 ERA in six career starts against the Giants.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings with 27 K's in his last three starts against them.

Alex Wood is 2-1 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.382 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in four home starts for the Giants.  Wood allowed 4 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Padres.

The Padres are 8-0 in their last eight games when their opponent allowed two runs or fewer in their previous game.  San Diego is 19-7 in its last 26 Game 4's.  Bet the Padres Thursday.

15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Rockies/Reds OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-8 in their last 28 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 22 of those 28 games, including 5 runs or more 19 times.  They are raking right now.  They will stay hot at the plate today, while the Colorado Rockies will chip in enough runs to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket.

The Rockies will be going with a bullpen game here.  They are desperate right now after going 0-7 in their last seven games overall while allowing at least 5 runs in eight consecutive games.  The Reds are fully capable of covering this total on their own today, which they have come close to doing in scoring 8 or more runs in three of their last four games.

The OVER is 42-21-4 in Reds last 67 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The OVER is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings in Cincinnati.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago Cubs -112

The Chicago Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall.  They have outscored their opponents 56-22 in their last eight games overall.  The Pittsburgh Pirates are 0-8 in their last eight games overall.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games overall.  They have been held to a total of 2 runs in their last four games while getting shut out three times.

Kyle Hendricks is 2-2 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in five starts for the Cubs this season with only one homer allowed in 28 1/3 innings.  Rich Hill is 6-6 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.397 WHIP in 14 starts for the Pirates this season, including 3-3 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in eight home starts.

The Cubs are scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season, while the Pirates are scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters.  The Cubs are 12-1 vs. teams that average one or more stolen bases per game this season.  Chicago is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.  Bet the Cubs Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-105)

The Cincinnati Reds are 20-8 in their last 28 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 22 of those 28 games, including 5 runs or more 19 times.  They are raking right now.  They will be highly motivated to keep their current 10-game winning streak going in which they have scored at least 4 runs in nine of 10.

The Rockies will be going with a bullpen game here.  They are desperate right now after going 0-7 in their last seven games overall while allowing at least 5 runs in eight consecutive games.  The Reds have scored 8 or more runs in three of their last four games.  They will hang a big number on the Rockies today.

Andrew Abbott is 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in three starts for the Reds this season.  He's just another great young starter in this rotation.  He has fired 17 2/3 shutout innings in those three starts.  He won't go unblemished forever, but he will be good enough to beat the Rockies by multiple runs today.

Colorado is 4-20 vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game this season and losing by 3.0 runs per game on average.  Bet the Reds on the Run Line Wednesday.

15* Padres/Giants NL West Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego -110

It was a tough beat for us Padres backers last night.  They blew a 4-2 lead in the 9th and lost in extra innings to the Giants.  They didn't have closer Josh Hader available as he closed the two previous games in wins over the Rays.  Hader is back tonight, and I expect the Padres to bounce back in Game 2.

Seth Lugo is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.368 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.261 WHIP in four road starts.  He'll be opposed by Anthony Desclafini, who is 2-4 with a 4.73 ERA and 1.314 WHIP in eight home starts this season.  Desclafini has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.917 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 23 base runners in 12 innings.

The Padres are 7-1 in their last eight games following a loss.  San Diego is 5-0 in its last five Game 2's.  The Giants are 2-6 in their last eight home games.  Bet the Padres Tuesday.

20* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockies/Reds OVER 10

The Cincinnati Reds are 19-8 in their last 27 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 21 of those 27 games, including 5 runs or more 18 times.  They are raking right now.  They will stay hot at the plate today, while the Colorado Rockies will chip in enough runs to help us cash this OVER 10 ticket.

It took a miracle to keep Game 1 under the 10-run total in a 5-4 victory by the Reds.  They had 9 combined runs at the end of the 6th inning.  Plus, the Reds didn't score on 2nd and 3rd with one out in the 8th, and the Rockies didn't score on 1st and 3rd with no out in the 9th.  It was a tough beat for us over bettors, but I'm back on the over today.

Noah Davis is 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.799 WHIP in three starts this season for the Rockies.  he allowed 7 earned runs in his last start against the Diamondbacks in a 11-4 defeat.  Ben Lively is 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA in six starts for the Reds this season.  He is 1-2 with a 6.51 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs, 5 homers and 30 base runners in 19 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 41-21-4 in Reds last 66 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings in Cincinnati.  The OVER is 5-1 in Rockies last six games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Marlins -112

The Miami Marlins have won five consecutive games while scoring at least 4 runs in all five victories.  They are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall with 4 or more runs scored in 13 of those games.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 3-7 in their last seven games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in eight of their last 12 games overall.

The Marlins have a big advantage on the mound tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Eury Perez is 4-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 0.56 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Yusei Kikuchi, who has a 4.31 ERA and 1.366 WHIP In 14 starts this season with a whopping 19 homers allowed in 71 innings.  Kikuchi has a 4.87 ERA and 1.426 WHIP in eight road starts as well.

The Marlins are 9-0 in their last nine interleague home games.  Miami is 17-4 in its last 21 interleague games overall.  Bet the Marlins Tuesday.

20* Padres/Giants NL West Late-Night BAILOUT on San Diego -108

The San Francisco Giants are getting too much respect from the books tonight due to their current 7-game winning streak.  They just swept the short-handed Dodgers, and this is a natural letdown spot for them after sweeping their hated rivals.  It's their first home games back following a 6-game road trip as well.

The Padres have a big advantage on the mound tonight.  The Giants will be going with an opener in Ryan Walker before turning it over to their bullpen.  Meanwhile, Michael Wacha has been dominant this season for the Padres, going 7-2 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  

Wacha is 5-1 in his last eight starts and has allowed only 5 earned runs in 48 2/3 innings for a 0.91 ERA and 0.790 WHIP.  Wacha has never lost to the Giants, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Wacha's teams are 16-4 in his last 20 starts with a money line of -125 to +125.  San Francisco is 10-17 (-12.6 Units) in its last 27 games following five or more consecutive wins.  The Giants are 19-46 in their last 65 games vs. a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Padres are 9-1 in the last 10 meetings, including 6-0 in the last six meetings in San Francisco.  Bet the Padres Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -125

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.272) and 1st in scoring (6.19 runs per game) this season.  The Chicago White Sox rank 22nd in average (.235) and 24th in scoring (4.16 runs per game) this season.  The Rangers have the advantage at the plate and on the mound tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.

The White Sox are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall.  They have been held to 2 runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games overall.  Andrew Heaney has done his best work on the road for the Rangers, posting a 2.43 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in five starts away from home this season.

The White Sox have yet to name a starter but it appears it's going to be Jesse Sholtens, who gave up 2 earned runs and 6 base runners in 4 2/3 innings to the lowly Tigers in a 7-3 defeat in his lone start this season.  The White Sox have a 5.16 ERA at home as a bullpen as well.

The Rangers are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The White Sox are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet the Rangers Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockies/Reds OVER 10

The Cincinnati Reds are 18-8 in their last 26 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 20 of those 26 games, including 5 runs or more 17 times.  They are raking right now.  They will stay hot at the plate today, while the Colorado Rockies will chip in enough runs to help us cash this OVER 10 ticket.

Austin Gomber is a complete gas can for the Rockies.  He is 4-6 with a 7.29 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in 14 starts, allowing 54 earned runs and 16 homers in 66 2/3 innings.  The Rockies have now allowed 6 runs or more in six consecutive games, all of which have come on the road.

There's not much to like about Cincinnati's Brandon Williamson, either.  He is 1-0 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 7 homers in 31 2/3 innings.  As you can see, both of these starters have a propensity to give up the long ball at an alarming rate.

The OVER is 8-2 in Reds last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 13-3 in Reds last 16 games during Game 1 of a series.  The OVER is 41-20-4 in Reds last 65 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The OVER is 11-4-1 in the last 16 meetings in Cincinnati.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Giants/Dodgers NL West ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -115

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the San Francisco Giants.  That's especially the case after their most embarrassing loss of the season Saturday, a 15-0 defeat at the hands of their hated rivals.  It's bounce back time in Game 3 Sunday.

The Dodgers have the advantage on the mound in this one and should be bigger home favorites as a result.  Tony Gonsolin is 4-1 wit a 1.93 ERA and 0.943 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in four home starts.  Gonsolin has posted a 3.65 ERA in three career starts against the Giants.

Logan Webb is 5-6 with a 3.45 ERA in 14 starts this season, 3-3 with a 4.01 ERA in eight road starts, and 1-1 with a 4.66 ERA in his last three starts overall.  Webb is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA in his last four starts against the Dodgers, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings.

The Dodgers are 14-3 as a home favorite of -150 or less this season.  Los Angeles is 13-2 after a loss by 4 runs or more this season.  The Dodgers are 12-0 in Gonsolin's last 12 home starts in the first half of the season.  Bet the Dodgers Sunday.

20* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Mariners OVER 7.5

This 7.5-run total is way too low today with these two gas can starting pitchers in Lance Lynn and Bryce Miller going for their respective teams.  We may have this covered by the time both of these starters exit.

Lance Lynn is 4-7 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.565 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 10.93 ERA and 2.071 WHIP in his last three, allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 14 innings.  Miller is 4-3 with a 4.06 ERA in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with an 11.08 ERA and 1.923 WHIP in his last three, allowing 16 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 innings.

Seattle is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 games after scoring 3 runs or less in three consecutive games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Guardians/Diamondbacks Interleague ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -103

The Cleveland Guardians will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Arizona Diamondbacks.  This is a very tough team to sweep as they have been one of the most resilient teams in baseball over the past couple seasons.

Indeed, the Guardians are 13-1 following two or more consecutive losses this season.  Cleveland is 23-7 in its last 30 during Game 3 of a series.

The Guardians have the advantage on the mound in this one as well.  Tanner Bibee is 2-2 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.241 WHIP in nine starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Zach Davies, who is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in six starts, including 0-2 with a 7.72 ERA and 2.021 WHIP in four home starts.  Davies has posted a 6.14 ERA and 1.774 WHIP in two career starts against the Guardians.  Bet the Guardians Sunday.

15* Angels/Royals AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9

This 9-run total is too low today between the Angels and Royals with these two gas can starting pitchers going.  The Angels have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games overall, while the Royals are heating up at the plate scoring at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall.  These teams combined for 19 runs yesterday and it should be more of the same today.

Tyler Anderson has been a major disappointment for the Angels this season, posting a 5.80 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 12 starts, including a 9.00 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three while allowing 15 earned runs in 15 innings.  Zack Greinke is 1-6 with a 4.65 ERA in 14 starts this season for the Royals.

These two starters actually squared off once already this season resulting in an 11-8 win for the Royals and 19 combined runs.  Greinke allowed 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings, while Anderson allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings back on April 22nd.

The OVER is 28-9 in Anderson's 37 career road starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs.  The OVER is 9-3-2 in Angels last 14 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Interleague Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Astros OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 17-8 in their last 25 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 19 of those 25 games, including 5 runs or more 16 times.  They are raking right now.  They will stay hot at the plate today, while the Astros will get their bats going against the weak link in Cincinnati's rotation in Luke Weaver.

Weaver is 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in 10 starts this season, allowing 36 earned runs and 12 homers in 52 innings.  He'll be opposed by Ronel Blanco, who has been shaky in his two starts for the Astros this season.  He has allowed 3 homers and 17 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in those two starts.

The OVER is 11-4 in Reds last 19 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Rays/Padres Interleague ANNIHILATOR on San Diego -111

Blake Snell will be making his first career start against his former team in the Tampa Bay Rays tonight and will be highly motivated to beat them.  He has had his best stuff in recent starts and is primed to shut them down as a result.

Snell is 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just one run and 14 base runners in 19 innings with 27 K's.  He'll be opposed by Zach Eflin, who has been shaky away from Tampa Bay.  Eflin is 1-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.301 WHIP in five road starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 2/3 innings.  He even allowed 4 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings at Oakland in his last start.

Eflin's teams are 5-19 in his last 24 road starts with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs.  The Rays are 0-7 in thier last seven road games vs. a starting pitcher with poor control who walks 2.75 or more batters per start.  The Rays are 3-9 in their last 12 Game 2's.  The Padres are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss.  Bet the Padres Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +107

The Cincinnati Reds are 16-8 in their last 24 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 18 of those 24 games, including 5 runs or more 15 times.  They are raking right now.  They should not be underdogs to the Houston Astros, who are struggling at the plate right now scoring one run or fewer in three of their last five games overall and remain without their best hitter in Yordan Alvarez.

Hunter Greene has been at his best away from hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark in Cincinnati.  He has a 3.35 ERA in eight road starts allowing just 16 earned runs and 2 homers in 43 innings with a whopping 67 K's.  Greene has one of the best K rates in all of baseball, so his stuff is clearly electric.

Brandon Bielak is 3-3 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in seven starts for the Astros this season, allowing 62 base runners and 8 homers in 38 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 11 2/3 innings in his last two stats against Cleveland and Toronto.

The Reds are 11-2 in their last 13 road games.  Cincinnati is 6-0 in its last six games overall and motivated to keep this winning streak alive.  The Reds are 46-19 in the last 65 meetings, including 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Houston.  Bet the Reds Saturday.

20* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.270) and 1st in scoring (6.15 runs per game) this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays rank 5th in average (.263) and 15th in scoring (4.58).  This total of 9 is too low for a game involving these two offenses today.

That's especially the case when the Blue Jays are expected to make this a bullpen game involving Trevor Richards.  And Dane Dunning has a 4.86 ERA and 1.560 WHIP in three home starts for the Rangers this season.  Dunning is 1-1 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in his last three starts as well.

Toronto is 7-1 OVER in road games vs. a team with a .440 slugging percentage or better this season.  The OVER 6-1-2 in Rangers last nine games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 5-1-2 in Rangers last eight games overall.  The OVER is 17-7-5 in Rangers last 29 home games.  The OVER is 19-7-1 in Blue Jays last 27 road games with a total of 9 to 10.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Cincinnati Reds +166

The Cincinnati Reds are 15-8 in their last 23 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 18 of those 23 games, including 5 runs or more 15 times.  They are raking right now.  They are playing way too good to be this big of underdogs to the Astros, especially given the favorable spot for them.

Indeed, the Reds are rested after having Thursday off, while the Astros completed a 3-game series with the Nationals on Thursday.  They went to extra innings to boot.  The Astros are without their best hitter in Yordan Alvarez as well and only managed one run against the Nationals yesterday.

Andrew Abbott has been very impressive in his two starts this season, pitching 11 2/3 shutout innings while allowing only 6 hits.  He is getting disrespected here.  J.P. France is getting too much respect.  He hads already allowed 7 homers in 40 2/3 innings this season.  France is 0-0 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three home starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 2/3 innings.

Cincinnati is 7-0 after a game where they stranded 3 or fewer base runners this season.  The Reds are 10-3 (+11.9 Units) vs. a AL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better over the last two seasons.  Cincinnati is 7-0 in its last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Reds are 10-2 in their last 12 road games.  This is some of the best value on a MLB underdog all season.  Bet the Reds Friday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Rangers OVER 8.5

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.272) and 1st in scoring (6.23 runs per game) this season.  The Toronto Blue Jays rank 3rd in average (.265) and 12th in scoring (4.62).  This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses.

That's especially the case when one of the starters in this game is gas can Martin Perez, who is 6-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.867 WHIP in his last three.  Perez has allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 15 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Blue Jays.

Kevin Gausman is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, allowing 6 earned runs and 11 base runners in 4 2/3 innings to the Twins.  Gausman is 3-3 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in seven road starts this season.  He has allowed 8 earned runs, 2 homers and 17 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Texas.

Toronto is 7-0 OVER in road games vs. a team with a .440 slugging percentage or better this season.  The OVER 6-0-2 in Rangers last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.  The OVER is 5-0-2 in Rangers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 17-6-5 in Rangers last 28 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-130)

The Atlanta Braves are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of those 12 games.  They beat the Rockies 8-3 yesterday, and it will be more of the same today due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.

While Jared Shuster doesn't have the best numbers this season, he has only allowed 2 homers in 35 2/3 innings and is due some positive regression.  Either way, he is much better than Colorado gas can Dinelson Lamet, who is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 2.182 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 24 base runners in 11 innings.

Colorado is 29-77 in its last 106 road games in the first half of the season and losing by 2.1 runs per game on average.  Atlanta is 55-18 vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs per game over the last two seasons and winning by 2.1 runs per game.  The Braves are 64-28 in their last 92 home games.  Atlanta is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Guardians +124

The Cleveland Guardians will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres.  They faced the Padres top two starters in Musgrove and Wacha in the first two games, and now they finally have a big advantage on the mound in Game 3 tonight and will avoid the sweep as a result.

Logan Allen is 3-2 with a 3.31 ERA in nine starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.90 ERA in four road starts.  He'll be opposed by Ryan Weathers, who is 1-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.541 WHIP in eight starts this season, 0-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in three home starts, and 0-1 with an 8.30 ERA and 2.422 WHIP in his last three starts overall.

Cleveland is 9-1 in its last 10 road games following a shutout loss.  The Guardians are 12-1 in their last 13 games following two or more consecutive losses.  The Padres are 3-8 (-9.5 Units) in home games vs. left-handed starters this season.  San Diego is 15-18 (-12.3 Units) in all home games this season.  They are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight with Weathers on the mound.  Bet the Guardians Thursday.

20* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Rangers OVER 8

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.272) and 1st in scoring (6.27 runs per game) this season.  The Los Angeles Angels rank 8th in scoring (4.97 runs per game) this season.  These teams combined for 15 runs in Game 1, 10 runs in Game 2 and 9 runs in Game 3.  It should be more of the same today to top this 8-run total in Game 4.

Shohei Ohtani has really faltered on the mound of late.  He is 2-2 with a 5.06 ERA in his last eight starts, allowing 27 earned runs and 11 homers in 48 innings.  Ohtani has posted a 4.06 ERA and 1.301 WHIP in seven career starts against the Rangers.

Nathan Eovaldi has great numbers this season, and those numbers coupled with Ohtani's reputation are keeping this total lower than it should be.  Eovaldi is due some negative regression, and it showed in his last start as he allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 6 1/3 innings to the Rays in an 8-4 victory.

The OVER is 12-3-3 in Rangers last 18 home games.  The OVER is 11-1-3 in the last 15 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 9-1 in Angels 10 games vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.40 ERA or better this season.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in Angels last 11 road games.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Rangers last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They are 9-2 in their last 11 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in nine of those 11 games.  I expect them to put it on the Colorado Rockies today and win this game by multiple runs.

A.J. Smith-Shawver is another young talented starter for the Braves.  He pitched 5 2/3 innings without allowing an earned run against the Nationals in his first start this season, and he should have more success here against a Colorado lineup that is hitting .235 and scoring just 3.8 runs per game on the road this season.  The Rockies are short-handed with a ton of injuries right now as well.

Lefty Kyle Freeland has actually been at his worst away from Coors Field this season, going 1-5 with a 4.81 ERA in six starts allowing 8 homers in 33 2/3 innings.  The Braves are scoring 5.8 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Freeland is 1-2 with a 475 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in six career starts against Atlanta.

Colorado is 29-76 in its last 105 road games in the first half of the season and losing by 2.1 runs per game on average.  Atlanta is 54-18 vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs per game over the last two seasons and winning by 2.1 runs per game.  The Braves are 63-28 in their last 91 home games.  Atlanta is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Thursday.

20* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5

The Phillies and Diamondbacks combined for 17 and 18 runs in the first two games of this series.  This total of 8.5 is too low considering how hot both of these lineups are.  The Phillies have scored a total of 30 runs in their last three games and are getting hot in the month of June once again.  The Diamondbacks have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games overall.

Ranger Suarez is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.435 WHIP in six starts this season for the Phillies.  Suarez is 1-2 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.739 WHIP in five career starts against Philadelphia.  Merrill Kelly is 8-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 13 starts this season, and 3-3 with a 3.98 ERA in seven home starts.  While Kelly has been solid, he has his hands fully against this blistering Philly lineup tonight.

The OVER is 13-3 in Phillies last 16 road games vs. NL teams scoring at least 5 runs per game.  The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings.  The Phillies and Diamondbacks have combined for at least 9 runs in eight of their last nine meetings, including 14 or more runs six of those.  The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Arizona.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125)

The Boston Red Sox have lost the the first two games of this series to the Colorado Rockies both in extra innings despite being -200 or higher favorites.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep today, and I like their chances of winning this game by multiple runs due to their big advantage on the mound.

Garrett Whitlock is 3-2 with a 4.78 ERA and 1.281 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.114 WHIP in two home starts.  While not spectacular, Whitlock is much better than Austin Gomber, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.

Gomber is 4-5 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.747 WHIP in 13 starts this season, allowing 51 earned runs and a whopping 16 homers in 60 2/3 innings.  Gomber is 0-1 with a 12.65 ERA and 3.093 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs, 5 homers and 33 base runners in 10 2/3 innings.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left tonight, which will help aid the Red Sox in pouring on the runs against Gomber.

The Rockies are 36-74 in their last 110 road games.  The Red Sox are 39-19 in their last 58 home games vs. a left-handed starter.  Colorado is scoring 3.8 runs per game on the road this season, while Boston is scoring 5.7 runs per game at home.  Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Interleague Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Royals OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are 14-8 in their last 22 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 17 of those 22 games, including 5 runs or more 14 times.  They are raking right now.  They will do the heavy lifting in helping us cash this OVER 9 ticket, and the Royals have scored 4 runs in each of the first two games of this series and should at least get to that number again today.

Ben Lively has been rocked in each of his last two starts coming in, allowing 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 20 base runners in 13 2/3 innings against the Cardinals and Brewers.  Daniel Lynch is 0-2 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in three starts for the Royals this season, and two have come against the Rockies and Nationals at home.  This is a big step up in class for Lynch tonight.

Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left tonight in Kansas City, making conditions ripe for scoring.  The OVER is 9-3 in Reds last 12 road games.  The OVER is 41-20-4 in Reds last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

25* AL West TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Angels/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.273) and 1st in scoring (6.28 runs per game) this season.  The Los Angeles Angels rank 7th in scoring (4.99 runs per game) this season.  These teams combined for 15 runs in Game 1 and 10 runs in Game 2, and it should be more of the same today to top this 9-run total in Game 3.

Lefty Reid Detmers is 1-5 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 11 starts for the Angels this season.  Detmers is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers, who are hitting .285 and scoring 6.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Andrew Heaney is 4-4 with a 4.14 ERA in 12 starts this season for the Rangers.  He has been at his worst at home, going 3-2 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in seven home starts while allowing 21 earned runs and 7 homers in 33 1/3 innings.

The OVER is 12-3-2 in Rangers last 17 home games.  The OVER is 11-1-2 in the last 14 meetings in Texas.  The OVER is 12-1 in Heaney's last 13 starts as a home favorite.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on White Sox/Dodgers OVER 8.5

The Dodgers rank 3rd in baseball in scoring at 5.69 runs per game and are capable of covering this total on their own.  Tony Gonsolin's peripherals aren't as good as his overall numbers and he is vulnerable, as shown by allowing 3 earned runs to the Reds and 3 earned runs to the Braves in two of his last three starts.

Lance Lynn has been one of the worst starters in all of baseball this season.  He is 4-6 with a 6.72 ERA and 1.562 WHIP in 13 starts, allowing 54 earned runs and a whopping 16 homers in 72 1/3 innings.  Lynn has allowed 13 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Yankees and Angels coming in.

The Dodgers and their opponents have combined to score at least 9 runs in 16 of their last 20 games overall, which is an 80% win rate pertaining to this 8.5-run total tonight.  The OVER is 6-1 in Dodgers last seven interleague games.  The OVER is 19-7 in Dodgers last 26 games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Royals OVER 9.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 13-8 in their last 21 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 16 of those 21 games, including 5 runs or more 13 times.  They are raking right now.  They will do the heavy lifting in helping us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket in a game involving two gas can starting pitchers.

The Reds will tee off on Jordan Lyles, who is 0-10 with a 6.60 ERA in 13 starts this season while allowing 54 earned runs and a whopping 18 homers in 73 2/3 innings.  Brandon Williamson hasn't been much better for the Reds, posting a 5.40 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 2/3 innings.

The Reds have a 5.37 ERA as a bullpen on the road, while the Royals have a 5.63 ERA as a bullpen at home.  The OVER is 12-1 in Lyles' last 13 home starts when playing against a losing team that wins 46% to 49% of their games.  The OVER is 9-2 in Reds last 11 road games.  The OVER is 40-19-4 in Reds last 63 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Rangers OVER 9

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.273) and 1st in scoring (6.33 runs per game) this season.  The Los Angeles Angels rank 8th in scoring (4.96 runs per game) this season.  These teams combined for 15 runs yesterday, and it should be more of the same today to top this 9-run total.

Jaime Barria is getting too much respect for what he has done in three starters this season against the Cubs, White Sox and Red Sox.  He takes a big step up in class here against a Rangers team that is hitting .290 and scoring 6.7 runs per game at home this season.  Texas hasn't listed a starter as of this writing, which means they might go with a bullpen game that involves Cody Bradford. If they do, this total will only go up, and I like the OVER 9 no matter who Texas starts.

The OVER is 11-3-2 in Rangers last 16 home games.  The OVER is 10-1-2 in the last 13 meetings in Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rays/A's OVER 8.5

There are expected to be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  The Rays rank 2nd in scoring (5.84 runs per game) this season.  The A's are starting to mash as they have scored 4 runs or more in six of their last seven games overall, including 8 runs or more three times.

The Rays will tee off on James Kaprielian, who is 1-6 with a 6.58 ERA and 1.683 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 30 earned runs, 7 homers and 25 walks in 41 innings.  Kaprielian faces the Rays earlier this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 2/3 innings of an 11-0 defeat on April 9th.

Zach Eflin has huge home/road splits this season.  While he has been dominant at home, Eflin is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA in four road starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 23 innings.  The A's should stay hot at the plate against him and the Rays as well.

The A's have a 6.00 ERA as a bullpen while the Rays have a 4.20 ERA as a bullpen, and a 4.71 ERA on the road.  The OVER is 41-22 in Eflin's last 63 road starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in A's 10 games vs. AL East opponents this season.  The OVER is 9-1 in A's 10 games vs. a team that wins more than 62% of their games this season.  The OVER is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Heat/Nuggets Game 5 ANNIHILATOR on Miami +9

The Miami Heat have had their backs against the wall all playoffs and have thrived in this situation.  They won't go down without a fight in Game 5 tonight.  The Denver Nuggets have never won an NBA Title, so the pressure is all on them now to try and close out this series.  I think the Heat hang around in Game 5 and possibly pull off the upset similar to when they did in Game 2 in Denver.

The Nuggets are not a very good defensive team, but the Heat just haven't shot the ball that well in this series with the exception of Game 2 when they shot 48.7% and won outright.  They shot just 40.6% in Game 1, 37% in Game 3 and 44.9% in Game 4.  I have to think Miami is in line for a better shooting Game 5.  The Nuggets have shot 49.4% or better in every game in this series and have some regression in store.

Miami is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 road games after losing four or five of its last six games coming in.  The Nuggets are 6-19 ATS in their last 25 games following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more.  Bet the Heat in Game 5 Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Reds/Royals OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds are 12-8 in their last 20 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in 15 of those 20 games, including 5 runs or more 12 times.  They are raking right now.  The Kansas City Royals are struggling at the plate, but that should change tonight against Cincinnati's weakest starter in Luke Weaver.

Weaver is 1-2 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.416 WHIP in nine starts this season already allowing 33 earned runs and a whopping 12 homers in 47 1/3 innings.  The Reds should stay hot at the plate against Zack Greinke, who is 1-6 with a 4.59 ERA in 13 starts this season while allowing 11 homers in 66 2/3 innings.  He just gave up 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings to the Marlins in his last start.

The Royals have a 5.79 ERA as a bullpen at home while the Reds have a 5.55 ERA as a bullpen on the road.  The OVER is 8-0 in Reds last eight games following a one-run win over a division rival.  The OVER is 19-4 in Royals last 23 home games following three or more consecutive road games.  The OVER is 12-2 in Reds last 14 during Game 1 of a series.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Angels/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Texas Rangers rank 1st in average (.274) and 1st in scoring (6.37 runs per game) this season.  The Los Angeles Angels rank 8th in scoring (4.93 runs per game) this season.  This game should see double-digit combined runs to top this 9.5-run total tonight.

Tyler Anderson is 3-1 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.595 WHIP in 11 starts this season for the Angels and is in line to get rocked by the Rangers, who score 6.8 runs per game at home and 6.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.

Dane Dunning is 3-1 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in six starts this season in a limited sample size against mostly weak competition.  He allowed 4 runs and 3 homers in 5 2/3 innings to the Cardinals in his last start.  Dunning is 2-3 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in nine career starts against the Angels.

The OVER is 8-1 in Angels nine games vs. a starting pitcher with a 3.40 ERA or better this season.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 Monday games.  The OVER is 10-3-2 in Rangers last 15 home games.  The OVER is 9-1-2 in the last 12 meetings in Texas.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Cardinals OVER 8

The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 19 games overall and just called up their top prospect. The St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season.  These teams have combined for 11 and 12 runs in the first two games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.

This is a very low total for a game involving Adam Wainwright.  He is washed up, going 2-1 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in six starts this season.  Wainwright is 11-17 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 35 career starts against Cincinnati.  He is 1-5 with a 7.21 ERA in his last seven starts against the Reds while allowing at least 3 earned runs in all 7 starts and 31 earned runs and 6 homers in 38 2/3 innings.  Wainwright has allowed at least one homer in 13 of his last 15 starts against Cincinnati.

Hunter Greene is 1-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.323 WHIP in 12 starts for the Reds this season.  Greene is 0-2 with a 3.72 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis.

The OVER is 9-1 in Reds last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 13-5 in Reds last 18 games overall.  The OVER is 8-1 in Reds last nine road games.  The OVER is 15-6-1 in Cardinals last 22 home games.  The OVER is 14-3 in Cardinals last 17 Sunday home games.  St. Louis is 7-0 OVER in home games vs. teams that average 0.9 or fewer homers per game this season.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with 11 or more combined runs in five of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Rays OVER 8

This is a very low total for a game involving the two most potent offenses in baseball.  The Rangers rank 1st in scoring at 6.41 runs per game while the Rays rank 2nd at 5.82 runs per game.  These two combined for 11 and 12 runs in the first two games of this series, and it should be more of the same today.

It's not like these two starting pitchers are unhittable.  That's especially the case with Texas' Martin Perez, who has a 5.53 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in eight road starts this season, already allowing 10 homers in 42 1/3 innings on the highway.  The Rays are capable of covering this total on their own.

No question Shane McClanahan has good numbers, but the Rangers are hitting .294 and scoring 7.2 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The Rays are hitting .287 and scoring 6.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters, so both offenses are in their wheelhouse here.

The OVER is 15-4 in Perez's last 19 day game starts.  The OVER is 6-0 in Rays last six home games vs. a left-handed starter.  The OVER is 11-3 in Rays last 14 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-135)

The Arizona Diamondbacks have won four straight games to add to their 19-7 run over their last 26 games to improve to 39-25 on the season.  They have scored at least 4 runs in 20 of those 26 games, and 5 runs or more in 17 of them.  14 of the 19 wins have come by multiple runs.

The Detroit Tigers are 0-8 in their last eight games overall and have scored 3 runs or fewer in eight of their last nine games.  It won't get any easier at the plate for them against Zac Gallen, who is 7-2 with a 2.75 ERA and 1.080 WHIP in 13 starts this season and among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.

The Diamondbacks should stay hot at the plate against Joey Wentz, who is the weakest of Detroit's starters.  Wentz is 1-6 with a 7.49 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in 12 starts this season, allowing 43 earned runs and 11 homers in 51 2/3 innings.

The Diamondbacks are 21-7 in their last 28 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Tigers are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall.  Detroit is 0-7 in its last seven interleague games.  The Tigers are 0-8 in their last eight games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Diamondbacks on the Run Line Sunday.

20* Rangers/Rays AL No-Brainer on OVER 8

This is a very low total for a game involving the two most potent offenses in baseball.  The Rangers rank 1st in scoring at 6.43 runs per game while the Rays rank 2nd at 5.81 runs per game.  And it's not like these two starting pitchers are unhittable.

Nathan Eovaldi has great numbers, but he has been fortunate to face a soft schedule.  This will be his toughest test yet.  Taj Bradley has a 6.43 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in three home starts this season and this will be his toughest test yet as well.

Texas is 19-9 OVER with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs this season.  Texas is 22-8 OVER in its last 30 road games as a favorite of -150 or less.  The OVER is 29-11 in Rays last 40 games vs. a AL starting pitcher with a 2.90 ERA or better.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mets/Pirates OVER 9

The New York Mets are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall.  They have scored 4 runs or more in all five games, while also allowing 6 runs or more in all five games.  That includes 13 runs to the Braves and 14 runs to the Pirates in their last two games.  The Pirates have scored at least 4 runs in six of their last eight games overall and the OVER is 6-2 in those eight games.

The forecast is ripe for more scoring with temps in the 80's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Pittsburgh today.  Kodai Senga is 2-2 with a 6.12 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in five road starts this season and has had control issues all year.

Johan Oviedo is 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.477 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Pirates.  Oviedo has never been able to figure out the Mets, going 0-2 with a 10.24 ERA and 2.068 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 18 games overall and just called up their top prospect. The St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 5.5 runs per game at home this season.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left in St. Louis this afternoon, making conditions ripe for scoring.

Andrew Abbott will be making just his second start of the season for the Reds and is getting too much credit for shutting down the Brewers at home in his first start.  Miles Mikolas is 1-1 with a 4.54 ERA in six home starts this season.  Mikolas is 4-5 with a 4.92 ERA in 15 career starts against the Reds as well.

The OVER is 8-1 in Reds last nine games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 12-5 in Reds last 17 games overall.  The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight road games.  The OVER is 14-6-1 in Cardinals last 21 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +107

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory tonight following four consecutive losses.  They last won with ace Marcus Stroman on the mound, and he takes the ball again tonight to stop the bleeding.

Stroman is 6-4 with a 2.39 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He has been especially dominant of late, going 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 2 earned runs and 15 base runners in 23 innings.

Anthony Desclafini is 4-5 with a 3.97 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in his last three, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 24 base runners in 15 innings.  Desclafini has been at his worst at home, going 2-3 with a 4.99 ERA in seven home starts this season.

The Giants are 8-25 in their last 33 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 1.050 WHIP or better.  The Cubs are 20-8 in their last 28 Game 1's.  The Giants are 17-45 in their last 62 games vs. a starting pitcher with less than a 1.15 WHIP.  Bet the Cubs Friday.

25* NBA Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Miami Heat +3.5

The Miami Heat have only lost two consecutive games once in the entire playoffs.  That was when they nearly blew a 3-0 lead to the Celtics, only to really show their resiliency by taking Game 7 in Boston.  They will come through once again with their backs against the wall in Game 4 tonight.

Everything went wrong for the Heat in Game 3 as they shot just 37% as a team while the Nuggets shot 51.2% and got huge games from both Jokic and Murray.  The shots will fall at a much more efficient rate in Game 4, similar to Game 2 when the Heat pulled the upset on the road in Denver.

The Heat are 34-18 SU at home this season while the Nuggets at 24-25 SU on the road.  Miami is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games following a SU loss.  The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following an ATS loss.  Miami is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on one days' rest.  I trust Spoelstra to make the right adjustments as he has all playoffs.  Bet the Heat in Game 4 Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Cardinals OVER 8

The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 17 games overall and just called up their top prospect. The St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 5.5 runs per game at home this season.  The Reds are scoring 5.4 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds for ripe scoring conditions tonight in St. Louis.

Lefty Jordan Montgomery has been a major disappointment for the Cardinals this season.  He is 2-7 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in five home starts.  Montgomery is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts against the Reds over the last two seasons, allowing 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 19 base runners in 9 1/3 innings

Ben Lively is getting too much respect for what he has done in a small sample size for the Reds this season.  But he did allow 2 homers and 7 base runners in 6 innings against the Cardinals, so they have seen him once recently, which will work in their favor.

The OVER is 15-4 in Cardinals last 19 games after stranding three or fewer base runners in their previous game.  The OVER is 7-1 in Reds last eight games vs. a team with a losing record.  The OVER is 11-2 in Reds last 13 Game 1's.  The OVER is 11-5 in Reds last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 13-6-1 in Cardinals last 20 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Dodgers/Phillies NL No-Brainer on OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are raking right now scoring 6 or more runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  The Philadelphia Phillies are also hitting the ball with some authority of late with 10 or more hits in four of their last six games overall.  With these two gas can starting pitchers going tonight, these offenses should easily combine to score 10-plus runs to cash this OVER 9.5 ticket.

Michael Grove is 0-2 with an 8.14 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs, 4 homers and 32 base runners in 21 innings.  He'll be opposed by Ranger Suarez, who is 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.540 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 38 base runners in 24 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 13-4 in Dodgers last 17 games overall.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rangers/Rays OVER 8

This is a very low total for a game involving the two most potent offenses in baseball.  The Rangers rank 1st in scoring at 6.43 runs per game while the Rays rank 2nd at 5.81 runs per game.  And it's not like these two starting pitchers are unhittable.

Andrew Heaney is 4-3 with a 4.03 ERA in 11 starts for the Rangers this season.  He allowed 3 runs and 10 base runners in 3 innings in his last start against the Mariners.  Tyler Glasnow is 0-0 with a 3.73 ERA and 1.346 WHIP in two starts this season, making his way back from injury so he will be on a pitch count.

The Rays are scoring 6.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 25-8 in Heaney's last 33 night starts.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs +116

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep tonight after losing the first two games of this series to the Los Angeles Angels.  They should not be underdogs to the Angels given their massive advantage on the mound and in motivation.

Drew Smyly is 5-3 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Cubs.  He'll be opposed by lefty Reid Detmers, who is 0-5 with a 5.15 ERA and 1.539 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  The Cubs are hitting .289 and scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Angels are 1-13 in their last 14 games vs. NL starting pitchers with a WHIP of 1.25 or better.  Bet the Cubs Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/Braves OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have scored at least 5 runs in four consecutive games and are starting to heat up at the plate.  The New York Mets have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 12 games overall and are starting to rake as well.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left in Atlanta tonight, making for ripe scoring conditions.

Justin Verlander is past his prime and dealing with injuries already this season.  He is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA in six starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 36 innings.  No question Spencer Strider has been solid, but he has a 5.19 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in four career starts against the Mets and cannot seem to figure them out.

The OVER is 21-7-1 in Mets last 29 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 19-8-1 in Braves last 28 home games.  The OVER is 8-1 in Braves last nine games as a home favorite of -175 to -250.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles -108

The Baltimore Orioles will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Milwaukee Brewers.  The Orioles have only lost three consecutive games once all season and have been a very resilient bunch.  They are 5-1 following two consecutive losses this season.  They haven't been swept in a 3-plus game series all season.

The Orioles are 6-0 in their last six games after losing the first two games of a series.  Kyle Bradish is 2-2 with a 4.12 ERA in 10 starts this season for the Orioles and is the better starter here.  Colin Rea is 3-3 with a 4.82 ERA in nine starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 9 homers in 46 2/3 innings.  He is 2-2 with a 5.04 ERA in five home starts, allowing 6 homers in 25 innings.

Baltimore is 13-1 in its last 14 games as a road favorite.  Bet the Orioles Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Reds OVER 9.5

The Los Angeles Dodgers are raking right now scoring 6 or more runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 16 games overall and just called up their top prospect.  These teams combined for 17 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2, and it should be more of the same today with temps in the 70's and light winds blowing out to right inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

The Dodgers could cover this total on their own against Graham Ashcraft, who is 3-4 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in 12 starts thsi season, allowing 46 earned runs and 9 homers in 62 1/3 innings.  Ashcraft is 2-3 with an 8.49 ERA and 1.719 WHIP in six home starts as well, allowing 28 earned runs and 6 homers in 29 2/3 innings.

Clayton Kershaw has been at his worst on the road, going 3-3 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in seven road starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 7 homers in 38 1/3 innings.  Kershaw is 1-1 with a 5.74 ERA in his last three starts as well.

The Dodgers are 13-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more this season.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 22-8-1 in Dodgers last 31 road games.  The OVER is 9-1 in Dodgers road games in day games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-135)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are raking right now scoring 6 or more runs in eight of their last 10 games overall.  The Dodgers should stay hot at the plate against Graham Ashcraft, who is 3-4 with a 6.64 ERA and 1.604 WHIP in 12 starts this season, allowing 46 earned runs and 9 homers in 62 1/3 innings.  Ashcraft is 2-3 with an 8.49 ERA and 1.719 WHIP in six home starts as well, allowing 28 earned runs and 6 homers in 29 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today with Clayton Kershaw, who is 7-4 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Kershaw owns the Reds, going 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in 14 career starts against them.

The Dodgers will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Reds in walk off fashion.  The Dodgers are 94-34 in Kershaw's last 128 day game starts.  Los Angeles is 40-18 in its last 58 games following a loss.  The Dodgers are 80-37 in their last 117 games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-126)

The San Francisco Giants won 10-4 in Game 1 over the Colorado Rockies.  It should be more of the same tonight with a win by multiple runs due to their massive advantage on the mound in Game 2.

Ace Logan Webb is 4-6 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.050 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Giants.  He is 3-2 with a 1.98 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing just 12 earned runs in 54 2/3 innings.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in all seven starts, and 2 earned runs or fewer in six of them.  

Webb is 5-2 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Rockies as well.  He'll be opposed by Connor Seabold, who is 1-2 with a 5.46 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 6 homers in 28 innings.  He is 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in three home starts as well.

The Giants are 41-18 in the last 58 meetings, including 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Colorado.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Nuggets/Heat Game 3 No-Brainer on Miami +2.5

The resilient Miami Heat struck again in Game 2.  They came back from double-digits down in the first half and 8 points down entering the 4th quarter to upset the Denver Nuggets 111-108.  They gained home-court advantage with that victory, and now I expect them to protect it at least for Game 3 tonight.

The Heat made a great adjustment by making Nikola Jokic into a scorer.  And when Jokic scores 40-plus points in the playoffs, the Nuggets are 0-3.  So there's something to it.  Making Jokic a scorer instead of a passer keeps everyone else uninvolved and out of sync.  

Jamaal Murray took just 15 shots and nobody else even had double-digit shot attempts while Jokic had 28 and scored 41.  I trust Miami's role players more, who came up clutch in Game 2 with Vincent, Strus and Robinson all having big contributions.  With Jimmy Butler's father struggling with his health, that gives this team even more of a reason to rally around him right now.

The Heat are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall.  Miami is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games.  Bet the Heat in Game 3 Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -134

The Texas Rangers have been the best team in baseball this season by the numbers and it's clearly no fluke as they have gone 14-3 in their last 17 games overall to improve to 40-20 this season.  They rank 1st in run differential (+155) this season while ranking 1st in scoring (6.54 runs per game) and 4th in runs allowed (3.91 runs per game).

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the most disappointing team in baseball.  They are 1-7 in their last eight games overall with their lone win coming by a single run over the lowly Royals.  They are now just 25-37 on the season and dealing with a ton of injuries in their outfield.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

The Rangers have the advantage on the mound tonight behind Jon Gray, who is 6-1 with a 2.51 ERA and 1.021 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in his last three.  He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who is 3-4 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.516 WHIP in 12 starts this season.

The Cardinals are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. AL West opponents.  The Rangers are 36-16 in their last 52 games overall.  Texas is 23-8 in its last 31 home games.  Texas is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings.  Bet the Rangers Wednesday.

15* Mets/Braves NL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The Atlanta Braves have scored at least 5 runs in three consecutive games and are starting to heat up at the plate.  The New York Mets have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 11 games overall and are starting to rake as well.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left in Atlanta tonight, making for ripe scoring conditions.

Max Scherzer has been at his worst on the road this season at 3-2 with a 4.86 ERA and 1.281 WHIP in six starts away from home, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 29 2/3 innings.  Charlie Morton has been at his worst at home, going 2-3 with a 4.13 ERA and 1.447 WHIP in five starts while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 1/3 innings.

Scherzer has allowed 8 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against the Braves for a 6.00 ERA.  Morton has allowed 7 earned runs and 19 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mets for a 6.51 ERA.

The OVER is 29-13 in Morton's last 42 starts.  The OVER is 20-5 in Morton's last 25 night starts.  The OVER is 21-7-1 in Mets last 29 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 13-3 in Braves last 16 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  The OVER is 18-7-1 in Braves last 26 home games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Reds OVER 11

The Los Angeles Dodgers are raking right now scoring 6 or more runs in seven of their last nine games overall.  The Cincinnati Reds have quietly scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 15 games overall and just called up their top prospect.  These teams combined for 17 runs yesterday, and it should be more of the same today with temps in the 70's and 10 MPH winds blowing out to right inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark.

Noah Syndergaard is the weak link in the Dodgers' rotation.  He is 1-4 with a 6.54 ERA and 1.395 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in five road starts.  He'll be opposed by Brandon Williamson, who is 0-0 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.333 WHIP as a starter this season, and 0-0 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in his last three starts.  He has a bottom end starter for the Reds who will get rocked tonight.

The Dodgers are 12-2 OVER as a road favorite of -125 or more this season.  The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.  The OVER is 21-8-1 in Dodgers last 30 road games.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -160

The New York Mets have scored 4 runs or fewer in six consecutive games.  It won't get any easier for them against the Atlanta Braves today, who have a massive advantage on the mound, which is why I'm willing to lay this big of a number with them.

Bryce Elder is 3-0 with a 1.92 ERA and 1.158 WHIP in 11 starts this season while allowing only 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 65 2/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco, who is 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.372 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings.  Carrasco is 2-2 with a 4.71 ERA in four career starts against Atlanta.

The Mets are 5-13 in their last 18 road games.  The Braves are 6-1 in the last seven meetings, including 4-0 in the last four meetings in Atlanta.  The Braves are 58-27 in their last 85 home games.  Bet the Braves Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -135

The Texas Rangers have been the best team in baseball this season by the numbers and it's clearly no fluke as they have gone 13-3 in their last 16 games overall to improve to 39-20 this season.  They rank 1st in run differential (+153) this season while ranking 1st in scoring (6.55 runs per game) and 4th in runs allowed (3.91 runs per game).

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the most disappointing team in baseball.  They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall with their lone win coming by a single run over the lowly Royals.  They are now just 25-36 on the season and dealing with a ton of injuries in their outfield.  They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of their last 11 games overall.

The Rangers have the advantage on the mound tonight as well with Dane Dunning, who is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in five starts this season.  Lefty Matthew Liberatore is no more than a spot starter for the Cardinals, going 1-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.300 WHIP in two starts this season.  The Rangers are hitting .291 and scoring 7.2 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 11 vs. AL West opponents.  The Rangers are 35-16 in their last 51 games overall.  Texas is 22-8 in its last 30 home games.  Texas is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings.  Bet the Rangers Tuesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound over the Cincinnati Reds tonight that should lead them to winning this game by multiple runs to cover the Run Line.  The Dodgers are scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season while the Reds are only scoring 4.0 runs per game vs. right-handed starters, so they have the advantage at the plate as well.

Tony Gonsolin is 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.897 WHIP in seven starts this season for the Dodgers.  he'll be opposed by Luke Weaver, who is 1-2 with a 5.36 ERA and 1.351 WHIP in eight starts this season already allowing 11 homers in 43 2/3 innings.

Gonsolin is 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 1.111 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds.  Weaver has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-3 (0-5 money line) with a 7.06 ERA and 1.708 WHIP in five career starts against them while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 21 2/3 innings.

The Dodgers are 19-3 in their last 22 games after losing 3 of their last 4 games coming in and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Dodgers are 28-5 in Gonsolin's last 33 starts as a favorite of -150 or more and winning by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Reds are 6-17 in home games vs. right-handed starters this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* Astros/Blue Jays AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5

This is a very low total for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall, including 11 runs yesterday in a win over the Blue Jays.  Toronto ranks 11th in scoring at 4.72 runs per game this season.

Hunter Brown is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing 5 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Twins.  Kevin Gausman had his worst start of the season against the Astros earlier this season.  He allowed 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to fall to 2-4 with a 5.77 ERA in six career starts against Houston.

The OVER is 14-4 in Gausman's last 18 starts with a total of 7 to 7.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on White Sox/Yankees OVER 8

The New York Yankees have scored at least 4 runs in 25 of their last 32 games overall.  The Chicago White Sox have finally gotten healthy at the plate and are starting to rake, scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 15 games overall.  This is a very low total for these two offenses going up against these two starting pitchers tonight.

Lucas Giolito has been at his worst on the road for the White Sox, going 1-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.642 WHIP in six starts away from home.  Clarke Schmidt has been the biggest weak link in this New York rotation, going 2-5 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.509 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Giolito is 2-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in four career starts against the Yankees.

Chicago is 14-4 OVER vs. good power teams averaging 1.25 or more homers per game this season.  The OVER is 8-2 in Yankees last 10 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Rangers OVER 9.5

The Texas Rangers are the best offensive team in baseball scoring 6.6 runs per game this season.  They are scoring 7.1 runs per game at home.  They just scored 28 runs in two wins over the Mariners over the weekend and will stay hot at the plate tonight.

They take on Adam Wainwright, who has a 6.15 ERA and 1.7-8 WHIP in five starts this season.  Martin Perez goes for the Rangers and has a 4.43 ERA in spite of a 1.541 WHIP in 11 starts and is the weak link in this Texas rotation.  The Cardinals are scoring 5.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The OVER is 45-24 in Wainwright's last 69 starts as a road underdog.  The OVER is 18-7-2 in Rangers last 27 home games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Rangers last 11 interleague home games.  The OVER is 8-0-1 in Rangers last nine interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-113)

The Philadelphia Phillies come in hot at the plate after scoring 22 runs in three games with the Washington Nationals over the weekend.  They should stay hot at the plate today against the Detroit Tigers and their worst starter in Joey Wentz.

Wentz is 1-5 with a 7.28 ERA and 1.680 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-3 with an 8.47 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in four road starts.  The Tigers have been held to a total of 6 runs in their last four games, so don't expect Wentz to get much run support, either.

Ace Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies tonight.  He is 4-4 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in four home starts.  He has been unfortunate to have that high of an ERA with that low of a WHIP and is undervalued as a result.

Nola is 1-0 with a 2.89 ERA in three career starts against Detroit, and his teams are 3-0 in those three starts with two wins by multiple runs.  The Tigers are 14-44 in their last 58 games after scoring 2 runs or less in consecutive games.  Philadelphia is 25-9 in its last 34 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Monday.

15* Rays/Red Sox AL East Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 9

The forecast is going to help us cash this UNDER 9 ticket between the Rays and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 50's with 17 MPH winds blowing in from left.  Winds blowing in kept scoring down the last two games between these teams with 6 and 8 combined runs.  It will be more of the same inside Fenway Park today.

Ace Shane McClanahan is the front-runner to win AL Cy Young thus far.  He is 8-1 with a 2.07 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  McClanahan owns the Red Sox, going 5-1 with a 2.06 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Brayan Bello has been solid for the Red Sox this season at 3-3 with a 3.89 ERA in eight starts.  Bello has a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 4 earned runs in 16 innings.

The UNDER is 6-1 in Rays last seven road games.  The UNDER is 8-3 in Red Sox last 11 games overall.  This total is too high given the forecast with heavy winds blowing in from left.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Heat/Nuggets Game 2 No-Brainer on Miami +9.5

The Miami Heat shot 40.6% as a team and attempted only two free throws in Game 1.  Yet they still only lost by 11 points and had a chance to cover the 9-point spread late.  It's safe to say they have a ton of room for improvement.

Jimmy Butler was passive in Game 1 and getting his guys wide open looks all game that they would normally make.  Max Strus and Caleb Martin were particularly bad combining to shoot 1-of-17 for the game.  Butler will be more aggressive in getting to the rim in Game 2, and the shots will start falling.

The Heat have been a resilient team all season and I expect them to bounce back with a big effort in Game 2.  Miami is 27-15 ATS in its last 42 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  The Heat are 30-17 ATS in their last 47 games when revenging a road loss.  Miami is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games overall.  Bet the Heat in Game 2 Sunday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 9

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  Plus, light winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  These teams just went OVER the total in their first two games this series with 12 and 9 combined runs.  It will be more of the same in Game 3 tonight.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 16 of their last 25 games overall.  The OVER is 18-7 in those 25 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 16 games overall.  The OVER is 13-3 in those 16 games.

Domingo German has a 3.98 ERA in 10 starts this season and a 5.02 ERA in five road starts.  Bobby Miller has good numbers for the Dodgers, but it has come in just two starts.  This is a big step up in class for Miller, and I expect he and German to both get rocked.

The OVER is 13-3-1 in Dodgers last 17 interleague games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Dodgers last 12 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* Cubs/Padres NL ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -102

The San Diego Padres will be without Bogaerts, Cruz and Odor today.  The Chicago Cubs have a big advantage on the mound over the Padres and should be favored on the road here in Game 3.  They will also be motivated to bounce back after getting shut out yesterday by Yu Darvish and company.

The Cubs should have much more success at the plate today against lefty Ryan Weathers, who is 1-3 with a 4.55 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in six starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in his last three.  Chicago is hitting .298 and scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  They are 15-6 in their last 21 games against southpaws.

Marcus Stroman is quietly having a dominant season.  He is 5-4 with a 2.59 ERA and 0.986 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.565 WHIP in his last three.  Stroman owns the Padres, going 3-0 (4-0 money line) with a 2.19 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He has never lost to them.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Mets -129

The New York Mets will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Toronto Blue Jays.  With their big advantage on the mound today, I like their chances of taking Game 3.

Kodai Senga has been virtually untouchable at home this season.  He is 3-1 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in five home starts, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 30 innings.

Yusei Kikuchi has been one of the worst starters in baseball for several years running now.  He has a 4.47 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including a 5.23 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in six road starts.  Kikuchi has already allowed 15 homers in 56 1/3 innings this season.

The Mets are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.  Plays against road underdogs (Toronto) - after scoring 3 runs or less in consecutive games against an opponent after a combined score of 3 runs or less in consecutive games are 32-5 (86.5%) over the last five seasons.  Bet the Mets Sunday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -105

The Cincinnati Reds have quietly been an offensive juggernaut of late.  They have scored at least 5 runs in 9 of their last 12 games overall.  They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Brewers by a combined 3 runs.

The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today and should be bigger home favorites as a result.  Ben Lively is 2-1 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.923 WHIP in three starts, allowing just 4 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings with 22 K's.  Those three starts came against the Yankees, Red Sox and Cardinals to give them even more validity.

Adrian Houser is 1-1 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in five starts this season for the Brewers, including 0-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three road starts.  Houser is 4-4 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Reds as well.

The Brewers are 2-9 in their last 11 games following two consecutive wins by 2 runs or fewer.  Milwaukee is 1-7 in its last eight games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Brewers are 5-11 in their last 16 road games.  Bet the Reds Sunday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves have lost three of their last four coming in and will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  With their massive advantage on the mound, they should win this game by two runs or more with ease.

Spencer Strider is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 0.989 WHIP in 11 starts this season with a whopping 106 K's in 63 2/3 innings.  He is virtually untouchable when he is on his game.

Ryne Nelson is a weak link in this Arizona rotation.  He is 2-2 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.439 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in six home starts.

The Braves are 22-6 in their last 28 games after losing four or five of their last six games coming in and winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Atlanta is 70-27 in it last 97 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +153

The San Diego Padres have been grossly overvalued this season.  They are 26-31 on the season and you'd be down -14.6 units backing them every game.  They are once again overvalued as massive favorites over the Chicago Cubs tonight.

Drew Smyly has been one of the most underrated starters this season for the Cubs.  He is 5-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Smyly is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three career starts against the Padres, who are hitting .230 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

Yu Darvish is getting too much respect tonight for a guy that is really struggling coming into this game.  Darvish is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings.  That's really poor when you consider two of those starts came against the Royals and Nationals.

The Cubs are 21-12 (+12.6 Units) in Smyly's last 33 road starts.  The Padres are 2-8 (-10.5 Units) in home games vs. left-handed starters this season.  Smyly's teams are 12-1 (+12.0 Units) in his last 13 road starts vs. a NL team with a .390 or worse slugging percentage.  Bet the Cubs Saturday.

20* Yankees/Dodgers FOX No-Brainer on OVER 9

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  Plus, 10 MPH winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.  These teams just combined for 12 runs yesterday and it will be more of the same today.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 15 of their last 24 games overall.  The OVER is 17-7 in those 24 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall.  The OVER is 12-3 in those 15 games.

Gerrit Cole has faltered of late allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles and Padres.  Michael Grove has struggled all season, going 0-1 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts allowing 15 earned runs in 16 innings.  Cole is 3-2 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.402 WHIP in seven career starts against the Dodgers.

The OVER is 12-3-1 in Dodgers last 16 interleague games.  The OVER is 9-1-1 in Dodgers last 11 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Yankees/Dodgers Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

You would be hard-pressed to find two hotter offenses than the Yankees and Dodgers right now.  That's why I'm willing to take the OVER 8.5 despite both Clayton Kershaw and Luis Severino posting solid numbers thus far this season.  Plus, 10 MPH winds are expected to be blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight.

The Yankees have scored at least 6 runs in 15 of their last 23 games overall.  The OVER is 16-7 in those 23 games.  The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games overall.  The OVER is 11-3 in those 14 games.

Kershaw is 0-2 with a 7.10 ERA and 1.894 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings.  Luis Severino will be making his his 3rd start of the season so it's hard to put too much stock into his small sample size of quality numbers.

The OVER is 11-2 in Kershaw's last 13 starts vs. good power teams averaging at least 1.25 homers per game.  The OVER is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -115

The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Arizona Diamondbacks just completed a four-game series with the Colorado Rockies on Thursday.  I also believe the Braves have the advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Charlie Morton is 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.07 ERA in five road starts while allowing only one homer in 29 1/3 innings.  Morton is 5-1 with a 4.01 ERA in 12 career starts against Arizona.

Merrill Kelly is 2-3 with a 4.25 ERA in six home starts this season while allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 36 innings.  Kelly has never beaten the Braves, going 0-2 with a 4.05 ERA in three career stars against them, and his teams are 0-3 in those three starts.

The Braves are 36-15 in their last 51 games following an off day.  Atlanta is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  The Braves are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings in Arizona.  Bet the Braves Friday.

20* MLB DOG OF THE MONTH on Texas Rangers +105

The Texas Rangers are 35-20 this season while ranking 1st in all of baseball in run differential (+131).  The Seattle Mariners are 29-27 with a +24 run differential.  Fans are excited about this team and filling the park at home, and the Rangers should not be home underdogs to the Mariners tonight.

Jon Gray is 5-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 27 innings.  Gray faced the Mariners earlier this season and allowed one earned run in 7 innings of a 2-1 victory.

Luis Castillo has been great at home for the Mariners, but he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  The Mariners are 0-3 in his three road starts.

The Mariners are 3-12 (-16.2 Units) in Castillo's 15 road starts as a favorite over the last two seasons.  Seattle is 1-7 in its last eight games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  The Rangers are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.  Bet the Rangers Friday.

15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Mariners/Rangers OVER 8

A big reason for Texas' success this season is that they rank 1st in baseball in average (.272) and scoring (6.4 runs per game).  They are capable of covering this total on their own, and their total of 8 is very low for a game involving the Rangers.

Luis Castillo has been great at home for the Mariners, but he is 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts allowing 9 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  Jon Gray has been at his worst at home with a 4.09 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in four home starts, allowing 5 homers in 22 innings.

The OVER is 11-1 in Gray's last 12 Friday starts.  The OVER is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 home games after losing two of their last three games coming in.  The OVER is 13-3-2 in Rangers last 18 home games.  They are scoring 6.8 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs per game at home this season, averaging 11.2 combined runs per game.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Heat/Nuggets Game 1 No-Brainer on Miami +9

Rust will be a factor for the Denver Nuggets in Game 1 tonight.  They have been off since May 22nd and have been getting patted on the back after sweeping the Lakers.  I expect them to be flat and out of sync in Game 1 despite it being the NBA Finals.  That's going to make it very difficult for them to win by double-digits, which is what it's going to take for them to beat us here.

The Miami Heat have beaten the Bucks, Knicks and Celtics to get here yet they continue to get disrespected.  I love that Jimmy Butler didn't even acknowledge winning the Eastern Conference Finals and MVP trophies, telling his teammates there are bigger fish to fry.  His leadership is a big reason the Heat have been able to get this far, and it's a key reason they will give the Nuggets more of a fight than most are anticipating, including in Game 1.

I also like the fact that the Heat got two days off after that Game 7 win over Boston to rest and recover, which is a big deal.  They get two games off in between games a lot this series as well, so they'll be able to recover.  I think they will be the sharper team tonight as well after having just played on May 29th.

Plays on road underdogs (Miami) - revenging a home loss against an opponent that is off a road win by 3 points or less are 32-11 (74.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Miami is 27-14 ATS in its last 41 games as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall.  Bet the Heat in Game 1 Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +124

The Cleveland Guardians are finally starting to hit.  They have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall, including 20 runs in winning two of three against the Orioles last series.  I think they have the advantage on the mound tonight over the Twins and the wrong team is favored here.

The Twins have been held to 3 runs or fewer in six of their last 10 games overall, including 2 runs or fewer five times.  They won't have much success off Tanner Bibee, who is 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.077 WHIP in six starts this season allowing just 11 earned runs and 2 homers in 34 1/3 innings with 34 K's.

Pablo Lopez has been at his worst at home this season with a 5.46 ERA in five home starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 4 homers in 29 2/3 innings.  He is also 1-1 with a 6.06 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 1/3 innings.

The Guardians are 11-2 in the last 13 meetings, including 5-1 in the last six meetings in Minnesota.  The Twins are 0-6 in their last six games following a win.  Bet the Guardians Thursday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Red Sox OVER 9

The Cincinnati Reds are quietly hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games overall with the OVER going 7-2 in those nine games.  They take on one of the best offenses in baseball in this series in the Red Sox, who are hitting .298 and scoring 6.0 runs per game at home this season.

The weather will help aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.  I also think both of these starting pitchers are getting too much respect from oddsmakers.

Hunter Greene is 1-4 with a 4.18 ERA in 11 starts this season with 26 earned runs and 8 homers allowed in 56 innings.  Lefty Chris Sale is 5-2 with a 4.72 ERA in 10 starts for the Red Sox with 29 earned runs and 8 homers allowed in 55 1/3 innings.  Cincinnati is hitting .299 and scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The Reds have a 5.12 ERA as a bullpen on the road, while the Red Sox have a 4.42 ERA as a bullpen at home.

The OVER is 15-4 in Red Sox 19 home games vs. right-handed starters this season.  The OVER is 21-8 in Red Sox last 29 home games.  The OVER is 26-11 in Red Sox last 37 games following a loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Dodgers OVER 9

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 13 games overall.  They are capable of covering this total on their own like they did yesterday in a 9-3 victory over the Nationals.  But Washington has quietly scored 4.7 runs per game on the road this season and will contribute as well.

Two gas can starting pitchers go for both teams and light winds will be blowing out to center in Los Angeles today.  Patrick Corbin has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the past couple seasons, and he's 4-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.420 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Corbin 0-3 with a 15.82 ERA in his last three starts against the Dodgers, allowing 17 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings.

Noah Syndergaard has been a major disappointment for the Dodgers this season.  He is 1-4 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 10 starts while allowing 33 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings.  The Dodgers have a 4.54 ERA as a bullpen, while the Nationals have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen and a 4.95 ERA on the road.

Washington is 9-0 OVER in its last nine games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 5.40 ERA or higher.  We're seeing 12.3 combined runs per game in this spot.  The OVER is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-140)

The Oakland A's are 12-45 this season and getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game.  It's no surprise that they haven't won three games in a row all season, thus they haven't swept anyone.  After pulling off the upset in each of the first two games in this series with Atlanta, they are going to get blown out in Game 3.

The Braves will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep.  I'll gladly back Atlanta's Jared Shuster, who is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 0.780 WHIP in his last three starts coming in despite facing the Rangers, Phillies and Mariners.

I'll gladly fade James Kaprielian, who is 0-5 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.780 WHIP in six starts this season.  He has already allowed 26 earned runs, 6 homers and 19 walks in 30 1/3 innings.  He is an absolutely gas can and arguably Oakland's worst starter, which is saying something.

Oakland is 1-22 in day games this season and losing by 4.5 runs per game.  Atlanta is 8-3 in its last 11 games after losing the first two games of a series.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

20* Rays/Cubs Interleague No-Brainer on Tampa Bay -129

The Tampa Bay Rays haven't lost three consecutive games all season.  They are 5-0 in their five games following two consecutive losses this season, so they have yet to be swept.  They will be highly motivated to keep that streak alive and avoid the sweep today against the Chicago Cubs.

I'll gladly side with Zach Eflin, who is 7-1 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.019 WHIP in nine starts this season for the Rays.  The Cubs are hitting .236 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. right-handed starters this season.

I'll gladly fade southpaw Justin Steele, who has allowed 5 earned runs in two of his last three starts coming in.  The Rays are hitting .300 and scoring 6.7 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.

The Rays are 14-3 in their last 17 games after scoring 2 runs or fewer in two consecutive games.  Tampa Bay is 20-7 in its last 27 games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Cubs are 0-5 in their last five Game 3's.  Chicago is 2-8 in its last 10 games vs. a starting pitcher with a WHIP of less than 1.15.  Bet the Rays Wednesday.

20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Braves/A's OVER 8.5

There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Braves and A's.  The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own tonight.

They should tee off on JP Sears, who has already allowed 12 homers in 53 2/3 innings this season.  Bryce Elder has been good for the Braves, but the A's come into this game with confidence after scoring 7 runs on Atlanta yesterday.

Atlanta is 10-2 OVER as a favorite of -175 to -250 this season.  Oakland is 8-0 OVER vs. teams that average 3.5 or more extra base hits over the last two seasons.  Atlanta is 14-3 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 24-9-2 in Braves last 35 interleague games.  The OVER is 35-13-3 in Braves last 51 when their opponent scored 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-130)

There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing the Braves on the Run Line.  They should tee off on JP Sears, who has already allowed 12 homers in 53 2/3 innings this season.  Then they'll be up against an Oakland bullpen that is the worst in baseball with a 6.39 ERA.  The A's allow 7.0 runs per game on the season.

The Braves are scoring 5.6 runs per game on the road and 6.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  The A's are only scoring 3.3 runs per game at home.  The Braves have a big advantage on the mound behind Bryce Elder, who is 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.166 WHIP in 10 starts this season.

The A's are 1-21 as underdogs of +200 or higher this season and losing by 4.8 runs per game in this spot.  The lone win was yesterday against the Braves, but Atlanta comes back focused and highly motivated for a victory in Game 2 and should win by multiple runs tonight.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-115)

The Tampa Bay Rays will bounce back from a 1-0 loss to the Cubs in Game 1 of this series with a blowout victory in Game 2 due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.  The Rays rank 2nd in baseball with a .270 average and 2nd in baseball at 6.07 runs per game.  They rank 3rd in allowing just 3.91 runs per game and are 2nd in run differential (+119) this season.

Ace Shane McClanahan is 8-0 with a 1.97 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Kyle Hendricks, who is far past his prime and coming back from injury.  He gave up 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-1 loss to the Mets in his first and only start this season.  He'll get rocked by the Rays tonight as well.

The Rays are 27-4 as favorites of -150 or more this season and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Rays are 14-1 in McClanahan's last 15 May starts and winning by 3.4 runs per game.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -122

The New York Mets have scored 32 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 8 runs per game.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Philadelphia Phillies and should be bigger favorites as a result.

Ranger Suarez is 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in three starts for the Phillies this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 11 innings.  Suarez is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.652 WHIP in four career starts against the Mets.  The Phillies have a 5.79 ERA as a bullpen on the road.

Kodai Senga has done his best work at home this season for the Mets.  He is 2-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in four home starts, allowing only 4 earned runs and one homer in 23 innings.  The Mets are 5-0 in their last five home games.  New York is 6-1 in its last seven home meetings with Philadelphia.  Bet the Mets Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Orioles UNDER 9

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 23 of their last 26 games overall.  They are hitting .226 and scoring 3.5 runs per game this season.  The UNDER is 28-7-2 in Guardians last 37 games overall, including 8-0 in their last eight games. 

The Baltimore Orioles have gone cold at the plate scoring 3 runs or fewer in five consecutive games with the UNDER going 4-1 in those five games.  These are two of the best bullpens in baseball with the Guardians having a 3.09 ERA and the Orioles having a 3.11 ERA on the season.  There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing in from right at Camden Yards tonight that will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 9 ticket.

Cal Quantrill has been at his best on the road this season at 1-0 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.213 WHIP in five stars.  Kyle Gibson has been at his best at home at 2-2 with a 3.04 ERA in four starts.  Gibson has been dominant in his last two starts despite facing the Yankees and Blue Jays, allowing one earned run in 14 innings.

Baltimore is 20-4 UNDER in its last 24 games after scoring 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games.  The UNDER is 40-17-3 in Guardians last 60 games overall.  The UNDER is 10-3-2 in Orioles last 15 home gams.  The UNDER is 34-16-1 in the last 51 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

25* NBA Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Heat/Celtics UNDER 203.5

Death, taxes and Game 7 UNDERS.  They have been a cash cow in the NBA playoffs for decades.  It makes sense because with so much at stake, teams play tight and defensive intensity is at an all-time high.  That will be the case in this Game 7 between the Heat and Celtics.

We have seen the scoring really fall off a cliff in this series as it has gone on.  They went for 215 combined points in Game 4 which was a series low, 207 points in Game 5 which was a series low and then 207 points in Game 6 to tie the series low.  Expect Game 7 to stay UNDER 203.5 for a new series low here Monday night.

Boston is 9-0 UNDER in its last nine playoff games when facing elimination, which have all come over the past two seasons.  Bet the UNDER in Game 7 Monday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/A's OVER 8.5

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to right-center in Oakland tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket.  The Braves rank 5th in scoring at 5.26 runs per game this season and are capable of covering this total on their own against a A's team that ranks dead last in allowing 7.24 runs per game.

Mike Soroka will be making his first start since 2020 and will be on a pitch count, so the A's should get to him as well.  Paul Blackburn makes his first start of the season for the A's and has a 7.50 ERA in the minors this season.  That's how desperate they are to try and find starting pitching.  The A's have a 6.50 ERA as a bullpen and the Braves have a 4.04 ERA.

Oakland is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games vs. teams that average 3.5 or more extra base hits per game.  Atlanta is 14-3 OVER in its last 17 games vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or fewer runs per game.  The OVER is 24-9-1 in Braves last 34 interleague games.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Rays/Cubs Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays rank 1st in average (.273) and 2nd in scoring (6.17 runs/game) this season.  The Cubs rank 12th in scoring (4.73 runs/game) this season.  This total of 8 is too low for these two offenses inside hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon.

Both bullpens are taxed as the Rays just beat the Dodgers 11-10 on Sunday.  The Cubs went to their bullpen in the 5th inning against the Reds and lost 8-5.  The Rays have a 4.46 ERA as a bullpen and a 5.14 ERA on the road.  The Cubs have a 4.65 ERA as a bullpen.

Taj Bradley won't last long for the Rays as he has a 4.44 ERA on the season and averages 4.9 innings per start.  Marcus Stroman averages 5.8 innings per start.  He is 5-8 with a 5.04 ERA in 16 career starts against Tampa Bay.  He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Rays over the past two seasons.

Tampa Bay is 10-1 OVER vs. good power teams averaging at least 1.25 homers per game this season.  The OVER is 9-0 in Rays last nine games following a win.  The OVER is 33-16-3 in Rays last 52 games overall.  The OVER is 7-0 in Cubs last seven interleague games.  The OVER is 10-1-1 in Cubs last 12 games following a loss.  The OVER is 15-5-1 in Cubs last 21 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -150

The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Cincinnati Reds despite being favored in both.  They deserve to be even bigger favorites in Game 3 today with their advantage on the mound.

Ace Drew Smyly has been one of the most profitable starters in baseball.  He is 5-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 0.958 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.42 ERA and 0.808 WHIP in five home starts.  Smyly is 5-1 with a 3.96 ERA in eight career starts against the Reds, and his teams are 7-1 in those eight starts.

Graham Ashcraft is 2-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.481 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.76 ERA and 1.851 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Aschcraft has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-4 with an 11.88 ERA and 2.101 WHIP in four career starts against them allowing 22 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings.

The Cubs are 15-4 in Smyly's last 19 starts as a favorite of -150 or less.  Chicago is 10-2 in Smyly's 12 day game starts over the past two seasons.  The Reds are 0-6 in their last six Sunday games.  Bet the Cubs Sunday.

20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

Light winds blowing in from center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland today.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Jordan Montgomery is much better than he has shown thus far for the Cardinals and this will be one of his easiest tasks of the season facing this putrid Cleveland lineup.  Hunter Gaddis is coming off his best start of the season firing 6 shutout innings in a 3-0 home victory over the White Sox on May 22nd.  These are two of the best bullpens in baseball with the Guardians having a 3.20 ERA and the Cardinals a 3.56 ERA.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 22 of their last 24 games overall.  They are hitting .217 and scoring 2.7 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 26-7-2 in Guardians last 35 games overall. Cleveland is 17-1 UNDER after losing four or five of its last six games this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Dodgers/Rays Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

This is a very low total for two of the best offenses in baseball.  The Rays rank 2nd in scoring at 6.08 runs per game this season, while the Dodgers rank 3rd at 5.54 runs per game.  These teams combined for 12 and 11 runs in their first two meetings in this series, and it should be more of the same today.

Gavin Stone is 0-0 with a 10.12 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in two starts this season for the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 innings.  He won't last long, and the Dodgers have a 4.55 ERA as a bullpen this season and a 5.71 ERA on the road.  The Rays will be making this mostly a bullpen game.  They have a 4.52 ERA as a bullpen this season and several injuries limiting their 'pen.

The OVER is 6-1 in Dodgers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.  The OVER is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in Tampa Bay.  The OVER is 8-0 in Rays last eight home games.  The OVER is 14-2 in Rays last 16 games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Celtics/Heat Game 6 No-Brainer on UNDER 210.5

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  The longer a series goes, the more teams become familiar with one another and points get harder to come by.  Teams tend to play slower as well with fewer fast break opportunities.

Game 5 was the lowest scoring game of the series with 207 combined points despite both teams shooting very well from the floor.  The Celtics shot 50.6% while the Heat shot 51.3%.  Both teams aren't likely to shoot that well again, and this game is likely to stay UNDER 210.5 combined points as a result.

Boston is 8-0 UNDER in its last eight games when facing elimination in a playoff series.   Miami is 14-6 UNDER after scoring 100 points or less this season.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Celtics last 19 road games with a line of +3 to -3.  Bet the UNDER in Game 6 Saturday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Guardians UNDER 8.5

There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing in from right-center at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland tonight.  That will help us cash this UNDER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Guardians in this one.

Tanner Bibee is 1-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in five starts this season for the Guardians.  He'll be opposed by Jack Flaherty, who has pitched very well of late with a 3.24 ERA in his last three starts and only 6 earned runs and one homer allowed in 16 2/3 innings.

The Guardians have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 21 of their last 23 games overall.  They are hitting .218 and scoring 2.8 runs per game at home this season.  The UNDER is 25-7-2 in Guardians last 34 games overall. The UNDER is 12-1 in Guardians last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Red Sox/Diamondbacks Interleague ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 32-18-1 OVER in all games this season.  They rank 4th in scoring at 5.4 runs per game and 26th in allowing 5.16 runs per game.  The Diamondbacks are similar as they rank 6th in scoring at 5.15 runs per game and 23rd in allowing 4.95 runs per game.

There's not much to like about either of these starting pitchers tonight.  Garrett Whitlock is 1-2 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.375 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 innings.  Zach Davies is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.608 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 39-18-2 in Diamondbacks last 59 interleague games.  The OVER is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.  Boston is 8-1 OVER after losing three of its last four games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.