15* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Blazers/Pacers OVER 232

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team going 10-3 OVER in their last 13 games overall.  They are absolutely tanking and just quit playing defense.  They have allowed at least 123 points in 11 of thier last 13 games, including 130 or more points in eight of those.  They have ogne for at least 231 combined points in 11 of those 13 games with their opponents.

The Blazers rank 7th in pace this season and 4th in pace over their last 15 games.  A return to health for many of their key players have made them a deeper team that is comfortable with playing faster of late, which is what they want to do.

That was on display in their 131-111 home win over Indiana on March 8th just 10 days ago.  Neither team lit it up from 3 with the Pacers shooting 33.3% and the Blazers 36.6%.  The Pacers also shot just 43.2% from the field, and that game still saw 242 combined points.  It should be another shootout in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NIT GAME OF THE WEEK on South Alabama +17.5

This is a complete fade of Auburn which doesn't want to be here.  The Tigers were one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament.  They played a tough schedule, but their 17-16 record that included a 3-9 finish had them being left out.

There's no chance Auburn is going to be motivated to beat South Alabama in the NIT.  The Tigers have players more concerned about preparing for the NBA draft.  Meanwhile, South Alabama wants to be here and certainly relishes the opportunity to beat a Power 4 team from the SEC and an in-state opponent to boot.

South Alabama went 21-11 this season with 10 of those 11 losses coming by 13 points or fewer.  The Jaguars play a grinding style ranking 321st in adjusted tempo which allows them to be competitive against almost anyone.  It also opens up the door to playing to their level of competition both good and bad.  Bet South Alabama Tuesday.

15* NC State/Texas First 4 ANNIHILATOR on OVER 158

Two dead nuts OVER teams square off in the First 4 of the NCAA Tournament on Tuesday.  NC State ranks 86th in adjusted tempo, 57th in average length of offensive possession, 20th in adjusted offense and 86th in adjusted defense.

The Wolfpack also rank 35th in effective FG percentage on offense and 269th in effective FG percentage on defense.  They rank 10th in 3-point percentage (38.8%) on offense and 287th defending the 3 (35.6%).

Texas has a similar profile even though they don't play as fast as NC State.  The Longhorns rank 13th in adjusted offense and 112th in adjusted defense.  They rank 299th defending the 3 (36%) and shoot it at a solid 34.9% clip themselves.

This is a rematch from a 102-97 win by Texas over NC State on a neutral on November 26th in a game that saw 199 combined points.  We have 41 points to spare here in the rematch with this 158-point total.

NC State is 12-3 OVER in its last 15 games overall including 5-0 OVER In its last five games.  Texas is 19-9 OVER in its last 28 games overall.  This total should be set in the 160's tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cavs/Bucks OVER 228.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are a dead nuts OVER team right now playing without C Jarrett Allen.  They have had to go more small ball, which has produced a 3-0 OVER run combining for 250 points with Orlando, 243 with Dallas and 250 with Dallas.  This total of 228.5 is very low for a game involving the Cavs right now.

The Bucks have gone 3-2 OVER in their last five games overall with 257 combined points with Indiana and 243 with Phoenix.  Kevin Porter Jr. (17.2 PPG, 7.3 APG) is available tonight for the Bucks to give their offense a boost.  He has only played in two of their last seven games.

Both teams had yesterday off so they are rested and ready to run.  The Bucks beat the Cavs 118-116 for 234 combined points in their last meeting on February 25th.  The 4th quarter only saw 47 combined points as well.  Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley both didn't play for the Cavs, and Giannis was out for the Bucks in that game.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NIT Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Davidson/Oklahoma State OVER 154.5

Oklahoma State is a dead nuts OVER team. The Cowboys rank 9th in adjusted tempo, 45th in adjusted offense and 138th in adjusted defense.  They have been even more of an OVER team since losing senior F Parsa Fallah to a season-ending injury late in the year.

The Cowboys have gone more small ball and have no resistance at the rim defensively without Fallah.  The Cowboys are 6-0 OVER in their last six games overall with 183 combined points with TCU, 175 with Colorado, 157 with Houston, 215 with UCF, 159 with Cincinnati and 175 with West Virginia.

Davidson prefers to play much slower, but the Wildcats won't be able to on the road tonight with the Cowboys controlling the tempo playing at home.  And these NIT games are always more high-scoring the last few seasons as teams play very little defense in this lesser tournament.  

Davidson also shoots it well at 35.3% from 3, and Oklahoma State ranks 272nd defending the 3 at 35.4%.  The Wildcats will have enough success offensively to keep up with Oklahoma State in a shootout.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Pistons/Wizards OVER 232.5

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 6th in pace and 29th in defensive rating.  The Wizards are 7-2 OVER in their last nine games overall with 234 or more combined points in eight of those nine games.  This total of 232.5 is very short for a game involving the Wizards right now.

The Detroit Pistons are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 227 or more combined points in all five games.  They went for 238 with Brooklyn, 240 with Philadelphia and 236 with Memphis.  They will hang a big number on the Wizards today to lead the way in us cashing this OVER ticket.  They will also be without Isaiah Stewart tonight so they will have to play more small ball, which favors the OVER.

The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 243, 254 and 254 combined points at the end of regulation in those three meetings.  These teams always play in shootouts when they get together, and it will be no different tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5

The spot really favors the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.  They had yesterday off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  The are as healthy as they have been in a long time with the only key player they are missing being Jalen Williams, who they have been just fine without.  They have won eight consecutive games coming into this one with six of those against playoff contenders.

This is a terrible spot for the Magic, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 124-112 road loss at Atlanta last night.  They will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days, and they'll have nothing left in the tank for the Thunder tonight.  They are also down two starters in Franz Wagner (21.3 PPG) and Anthony Black (15.3 PPG), and they could elect to rest more guys tonight.  

Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Orlando with four wins by 12 points or more.  That includes a 128-92 home win in their first meeting this season.  Bet the Thunder Tuesday.

15* NIT Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on UNC-Wilmington +5.5

Yale just suffered a heartbreaking 88-84 (OT) loss to Penn as 9.5-point favorites in the Ivy League Championship Game on Sunday.  They didn't foul up 3 in the final seconds or regulation.  They allowed 44 points to TJ Power of Penn.

I have to think it's the type of loss that will beat Yale twice.  They wanted to be in the NCAA Tournament and are very disappointed to be playing in the NIT.  They are also a tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days off an OT game, and I question how much they'll have left in the tank for UNC-Wilmington.

UNC-Wilmington went 26-6 this season and won the CAA regular season title.  The Seahawks suffered five of those six losses by single-digits, but they were upset 85-70 to Campbell in their CAA Tournament opener on March 8th.  They shot 11.1% from 3-point range when they shoot 35.5% on the season and were just victims of a bad time for a poor shooting game.

So the Seahawks have now had eight days off since that defeat to rest and prepare for the NIT.  I think they will be excited and more prepared to play this game than Yale will be.  Bet UNC-Wilmington Tuesday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Mavs/Pelicans OVER 240.5

The Dallas Mavericks are such an OVER team right now because their big men are hurt and they have to play small ball.  They rank 5th in pace this season and are playing a lot faster.  They have Cooper Flagg back healthy and they do have some nice pieces on offense and some good shooters.  

The Mavericks just aren't capable of playing good defense right now, allowing 120 or more points in 13 of their last 18 games overall.  They are coming off 250 and 243 combined points in their two meetings with the Cavaliers coming into this one.

The Pelicans rank 11th in pace and 26th in defensive rating.  But they are electric on offense when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They have scored at least 113 points in 13 of their last 16 games overall.  They will hang a big number on the Mavericks tonight to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blazers/Nets UNDER 221.5

The Brooklyn Nets are a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank 27th in pace and 29th in offensive rating.  They are even worse offensively right now with all of the guys they are sitting.

The Nets are without five of their top nine scorers in Porter Jr. (24.2 PPG), Clowney (12.6 PPG), Demin (10.3 PPG), Sharpe (8.7 PPG) and Mann (7.5 PPG).  They are coming off 201 combined points with the 76ers and 205 with the Hawks.

The Blazers are without second-leading scorer Shaedon SHarpe (21.4 PPG).  They have gone 3-2 UNDER in their last five games combining for 212 points with the 76ers, 204 with the Hornets and 205 with the Rockets.  The only two games that went over came against the Pacers and Jazz, which are the definition of over teams playing fast and playing no defense.  That's not the Nets.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Hawks -3

The Atlanta Hawks have gone 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with all nine wins coming by 9 points or more.  They are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are, and the trade for CJ McCollum has made a huge difference for them.

The Hawks sit in 9th place in the East just 2 games behind the Raptors for 6th place.  But what makes them really motivated is being just 2.5 games back of the Orlando Magic for the Southeast Division title.  They will be max motivated tonight.

The Hawks have also taken advantage of being rested and will be playing just their 6th game in 15 days tonight.  The Magic will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  That rest advantage is also a big reason I'm on the Hawks tonight.

Another is the Magic being without both Franz Wagner (21.3 PPG) and Anthony Black (15.3 PPG), which are two of their top four scorers.  I don't think they have the horses to compete with this surging Hawks team on the road tonight.

The Hawks actually own the Magic going 6-3 SU & 5-4 ATS in the last nine meetings.  They won 127-112 at home and 111-107 in Orlando in their two meetings thus far this season.  Bet the Hawks Monday.

15* Warriors/Knicks NBC ANNIHILATOR on New York -13.5

The New York Knicks are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall with their three losses coming on the road to the Lakers and Clippers, and at home to the Thunder by 3.  They have crushed everyone else winning by 29 at Milwaukee, by 25 at home over San Antonio, by 16 at Toronto, by 39 at Denver, by 17 at Utah and by 9 at Indiana.  Now they will make easy work of the Warriors today.

Golden State has elected to rest 7 of their top 8 scorers with a much more winnable game on deck against the Wizards tomorrow.  They are basically punting this game.  They will be without Curry, Butler, Porzingis, Melton, Moody, Green and Horford today.

It's not like the Warriors have been playing well even when they've had some of these guys available.  The Warriors are 5-12 SU & 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall with two of those wins coming against Memphis.  They also lost outright to the tanking Jazz and Bulls in two of their last three games coming in.  They stand no chance of keeping this game competitive today.  Bet the Knicks Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Cavs OVER 235.5

This will be a rematch from a 135-108 win by the Cavaliers over the Mavericks on Friday for 243 combined points.  The blowout let both teams rest their starters in a low scoring 4th quarter.  Both should come back fresh for this rematch Sunday.

The Mavericks are such an OVER team right now because their big men are hurt and they have to play small ball.  They rank 5th in pace this season and are playing a lot faster.  They have Cooper Flagg back healthy and they do have some nice pieces on offense and some good shooters.  They just aren't capable of playing good defense right now, allowing 120 or more points in 12 of their last 17 games overall.

The Cavaliers rank 5th in offensive rating this season and have built a chemistry with James Harden.  They lost 128-122 in Orlando for 250 combined points prior to their 138-105 win over the Mavericks last time out for 243 combined points.  They will hang a big number on the Mavs again, and Dallas should shoot better than the 27.3% from 3 they did in the first meeting as we get another OVER.  

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Cleveland and Dallas with 243, 245, 256 and 240 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

25* SEC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Vanderbilt ML -130

Vanderbilt had the tougher path to the SEC Tournament Championship Game.  But they will be the fresher team because they made such easy work of their two opponents.  After beating Tennessee 75-68 on Friday, the Commodores came back with a 91-74 win over Florida on Saturday.

They also played in the early game Saturday so they have that extra 3 hours of rest over Arkansas.  And because they blew out Florida, only two players played more than 30 minutes for them yesterday.  They were able to rest their starters in the final minutes.

Meanwhile, Arkansas was life and death with Oklahoma on Friday in a 82-79 win.  They were life and death with Ole Miss in a 93-90 (OT) win on Saturday.  Those are two of the worst teams in the SEC that won't be going to the NCAA Tournament to boot.

Darius Acuff played all 40 minutes against Oklahoma and then another 40 minutes against Ole Miss yesterday.  Four starters played at least 40 minutes in that OT game against Ole Miss.  The Razorbacks only have a 7-man rotation so they aren't very equipped to handle this 3rd game in 3 days.  The Commodores are the better, more rested team and should be bigger favorites today as a result.  Bet Vanderbilt on the Money Line Sunday.

20* Virginia/Duke ACC No-Brainer on Virginia +8.5

Duke is without two starters in Caleb Foster (8.5 PPG) and Patrick Ngonba Jr. (10.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.1 BPG) for the ACC Tournament.  The loss of Ngonba is huge as he controls everything in the paint for Duke.  Without him, they won't be nearly as dominant defensively.

That was on display in their first game as Duke was life and death in a 80-79 win over Florida State as 17.5-point favorites.  The Blue Devils were fortunate to cover as 10.5-point favorites in a 73-61 win over Clemson where they got a tip-in to cover in the closing seconds.  That was a tired Clemson team playing its 3rd game in 3 days and one missing a starting big man due to injury.

This is a big step up in class here against a healthy, rested Virginia team.  The Cavaliers are on equal rest to Duke after getting a double-bye into the quarterfinals.  The difference is Virginia has made easy work of its first two opponents and should be the fresher, deeper team as a result.  Especially with Duke down two starters.

Virginia beat NC State 81-74 in the opener before crushing Miami 84-62 yesterday.  The blowout nature of that win over Miami allowed the Cavaliers to rest their starters late and stay fresh for this game against Duke.  This line should be much closer to PK given the injuries to Duke.  Bet Virginia Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Wizards/Celtics OVER 230

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 5th in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season.  They have become even more of an OVER team with Trae Young now healthy and playing for them.

The Wizards are 6-1 OVER in their last six games overall.  They have gone for 234 or more combined points in all seven games, so this total of 230 is very short for a game involving the Wizards right now.  That includes the 150-129 loss to the Heat in which they allowed 83 points to Bam Adebayo as they have simply quit playing defense knowing they are tanking.

The Celtics are coming off consecutive losses to the Spurs and Thunder, two elite defensive teams.  I think they take out their frustration on the Wizards today and hang a big number on them to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket.

The Celtics rank 2nd in offensive rating this season.  Jayson Tatum has returned and the chemistry should continue to improve with each passing game.  Two key shooters in White and Scheierman have been upgraded to probable today as the Celtics are very healthy coming into this one.  The Wizards are as healthy as they have been in a long time as well with some great talent at the guard positions, plus Sarr as a versatile big man.

The OVER is 2-0 in two meetings between the Celtics and Wizards this season with 247 and 243 combined points.  It should be more of the same in another shootout tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* San Diego State/Utah State MWC ANNIHILATOR on Utah State ML -120

Utah State should be the much fresher team today.  The Aggies made easy work of their first two opponents in the MWC Tournament crushing UNLV 80-60 on Thursday before taking down Nevada 79-66 on Friday.  Utah State also got to play the early game last night.

Meanwhile, San Diego State was playing up until midnight local time in Las Vegas last night and in a 64-62 war with New Mexico.  That followed up another 71-62 dog fight win over Colorado State.  Now the Aztecs must turn around and play at 3:00 local time this afternoon, and I just question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Aggies today.

Given the rest advantage plus the fact that Utah State is simply the better power-rated team, the Aggies should be more than -120 favorites on the Money Line today.  Bet Utah State on the Money Line Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on St. Joe's/VCU UNDER 146

There have been a ton of low-scoring games in the Atlantic 10 Tournament at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.  That includes the two games from these two teams yesterday as both put together dominant defensive efforts.

VCU is coming off a 71-66 win over Duquesne for 137 combined points staying well under the 153.5-point total.  St. Joe's is coming off a 70-58 win over Davidson and 128 combined points, staying well under the 133.5-point total.

St. Joe's is 7-4 UNDER in its last 11 games overall with 137 or fewer combined points in 8 of those 11 games.  VCU is 3-0 UNDER in its last three games overall with 137 or fewer combined points in all three contests.  St. Joe's ranks 57th in adjusted defense while VCU ranks 63rd as these are two elite defensive teams.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* St. Joe's/VCU Atlantic 10 No-Brainer on St. Joe's +6.5

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 14-3 SU & 15-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won and covered 7 in a row heading into the semifinals of the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

Their big finish allowed the Hawks to earn a double-bye into the quarterfinals.  They made easy work of Davidson in a 70-58 win as they led by 20 late before calling off the dogs and saving their energy for this game against VCU.

Meanwhile, VCU was in a dog fight with a 71-66 win over Duquesne yesterday, failing to cover as 6.5-point closing favorites.  They can't be identical 6.5-point favorites against St. Joe's, a team that is much better than Duquesne.  They have been fortunate in close games with their last three games all resulting in wins by 6 points or fewer.  This one will go down to the wire as well.

St. Joe's only lost 79-72 on the road at VCU in their lone meeting this season, and that was way back on January 19th.  The Hawks have improved by leaps and bounds since, and they're ready to give VCU a run for its money in the rematch today.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

15* Fullerton/Hawaii Big West Late-Night BAILOUT on Fullerton +7.5

CS-Fullerton is the most underrated team in the Big West Tournament.  The Titans are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.  They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games with their lone loss coming by 2 to Hawaii as 3.5-point dogs.  Now the Titans get their shot at revenge here two weeks later in the Big West Tournament.

This is a Hawaii team that has been grossly overvalued here down the stretch.  The Rainbow Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall with only two wins by more than 7 points.  Those two wins came against UC-Riverside and CS-Bakersfield, the two worst teams in the Big West.  Bet CS-Fullerton Friday.

15* Timberwolves/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota -5.5

I love the spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They will be highly motivated for a victory coming off three consecutive losses to the Magic, Lakers and Clippers.  They will take out their frustration on the short-handed Golden State Warriors tonight.

The Warriors just can't function without Curry (27.2 PPG) and Butler (20.0 PPG).  They have gone 5-11 SU & 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall with two of those wins coming against Memphis.  They lost their last two games to the Jazz and Bulls, two tanking teams.  They are also without Moody (11.9 PPG), and both Melton (13.0 PPG) and Post (7.6 PPG) are questionable.  I give them little chance of keeping this game competitive against a feisty Minnesota team tonight.  Bet the Timberwolves Friday.

15* Clemson/Duke ACC ANNIHILATOR on Clemson +11.5

Duke is without two starters in Caleb Foster (8.5 PPG) and Patrick Ngonba Jr. (10.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.1 BPG) for the ACC Tournament.  The loss of Ngonba is huge as he controls everything in the paint for Duke.  Without him, they won't be nearly as dominant defensively.

That was on display yesterday as Duke was life and death in a 80-79 win over Florida State as 17.5-point favorites.  I backed FSU in that game, and I'm fading Duke again today as this line is also ridiculous laying 11.5 points to Clemson.

The Tigers are coming off consecutive wins over Wake Forest and UNC and ready to give Duke a run for its money.  They lost 67-54 as 12.5-point road dogs at Duke in their lone meeting this season.  Both Foster and Ngongba played in that game.  The Blue Devils cannot be 11.5-point favorites on a neutral in the rematch, which is one point less than they were favored by at home.  Bet Clemson Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans +7.5

The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have no incentive to tank because they don't have their first-round pick this year.  Their three losses all came on the road to the Clippers, Lakers and Suns during this 10-game stretch.  Six of their 7 wins have come by double-digits.

The Pelicans are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with each of their top eight scorers all available tonight.  That includes Dejounte Murray, who is gaining confidence with each game playing in 7 games this season for the Pelicans after they traded for him in the offseason.

The Houston Rockets have been grossly overvalued for months.  The Rockets are 15-30 ATS in their last 45 games overall.  They have just 3 wins in their last 19 games by more than 7 points.  They play so slow, struggle on offense and play good defense, which is a recipe for playing to their level of competition.

The Rockets are the much more tired team playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight.  That fatigue showed in a 129-93 road loss at Denver last time out.  And now Alperen Sengun (20.2 PPG, 9.0 RPG) is questionable to even play tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Friday.

25* Atlantic 10 Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Joe's -1

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 13-3 SU & 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won and covered 6 in a row coming into the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

The Hawks earned a bye into the quarterfinals thanks to their big finish.  Now that bye will pay off in a big way with the rest advantage over Davidson tonight.  The Wildcats had to play Thursday and needed OT to beat the worst team in the Atlantic 10 in Loyola-Chicago by a final of 64-59.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank today.

St. Joe's won 70-67 as 1.5-point dogs at Davidson on March 4th just over a week ago.  They have to be more than 1-point favorites on a neutral now in the rematch given their rest advantage.  Bet St. Joe's Friday.

15* Kent State/Akron MAC ANNIHILATOR on Akron -6

Akron is the best team in the MAC even though Miami Ohio had a 31-0 regular season.  I like the fact that Akron was in a rare dog fight yesterday in a 73-70 win over Buffalo.  It was their 8th straight victory overall with 6 of those coming by 13 points or more.

One of those came 92-70 at Kent State as 3.5-point road favorites on February 27th.  Akron also beat Kent State 69-52 at home.  This is clearly a terrible matchup for the Golden Flashes, who just don't have the horses to hang with this elite Akron team that has no weaknesses.  Bet Akron Friday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Kent State/Akron UNDER 164.5

Akron beat Kent State 69-52 at home and 92-70 on the road.  That first meeting saw just 121 combined points.  The 2nd meeting saw 162 combined points, but that was with electric shooting from Akron.  The Zips shot 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range while the Golden Flashes shot 13-of-32 (40.6%) themselves.  I doubt either team shoots as well from 3 again.

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  With this being their 3rd meeting of the season, these teams know each other inside and out.  And with a trip to the championship game on the line, this game will be played close to the vest.  I also expect it to be a slower-paced game than expected.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Ole Miss/Alabama SEC ANNIHILATOR on Alabama -10.5

Alabama earned a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament.  That gives the Crimson Tide a big rest advantage over Ole Miss today that should lead to a blowout victory.  The Crimson Tide have been rolling going 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall and are as healthy as they have been all season coming into the SEC Tournament.

Ole Miss pulled off consecutive upsets over Texas 76-66 and Georgia 76-72 the last two days to get here.  Now the Rebels will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and won't have much left in the tank for Alabama.  You know the Crimson Tide will test those tired legs playing at the 4th-fastest tempo in the country.

Alabama crushed Ole Miss 93-74 on the road as 6.5-point favorites in their lone meeting this season.  This despite shooting just 39.4% from the field as a team, yet they still won by 19.  It will be another blowout in the rematch today due to the rest advantage.  Bet Alabama Friday.

20* Iowa State/Arizona Big 12 No-Brainer on Iowa State +4.5

The Iowa State Cyclones have the best following at the Big 12 Tournament every year.  That's why they call it Hilton South in Kansas City.  That was on display as the Cyclones crushed Arizona State 91-42 in their opener.  They followed it up with another dominant 75-53 win over Texas Tech yesterday.

The blowout nature of those two wins allowed the Cyclones to rest their starters in the 2H and conserve them for the rest of this tournament.  That's why I'm not even giving Arizona much of a rest advantage at all despite the fact that they are playing just their 2nd game in 2 days.

Now the Cyclones want revenge from a 73-57 road loss at Arizona on March 2nd earlier this month.  They shot 29.2% from the field and 23.3% from 3-point range and are clearly due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.

This will basically be a home game for Iowa State, and it's not being factored into this line enough, which is the case almost every year.  Arizona is going to be the No. 1 seed regardless of what happens in the Big 12 Tournament.  The Wildcats have much less to play for than the Cyclones and won't be all that motivated to beat them again.  Bet Iowa State Friday.

15* Purdue/Nebraska Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Nebraska +4

Nebraska earned a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament.  That will give the Huskers the rest advantage over Purdue today.  They want revenge from a 80-77 (OT) home loss to Purdue in their lone meeting this season.  They were 2.5-point favorites in that game, and now are 4-point dogs in the rematch, so there's some value here.

Purdue took advantage of a tired Northwestern team that was playing its 3rd game in 3 days yesterday.  The Boilermakers prevailed 81-68. But they failed to cover as 13.5-point favorites, and are now 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  This team has consistently been overvalued and continues to be today.  Bet Nebraska Friday.

15* Duquesne/VCU Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on VCU -8.5

VCU is 13-1 in its last 14 games overall with its only loss coming on the road to St. Louis.  The Rams earned a bye into the quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Tournament, giving them a big rest advantage over Duquesne that isn't being factored into this line enough.

Duquesne had to play yesterday in a 67-61 win over Rhode Island.  The Duke really only go 7 deep, and 3 starters played at least 36 minutes for them yesterday.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for VCU, which plays fast and plays pressure defense for 40 minutes.

VCU won 93-80 at Duquesne as 5.5-point road favorites in their lone meeting this season.  Duquesne even shot 52.8% from the field and still lost by 13.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today.  Bet VCU Friday.

20* UMass/Toledo MAC No-Brainer on UMass +3.5

UMass ranks 300th in KenPom's luck metric.  The Minutemen are 17-15 this season with 13 of those losses coming by single-digits.  They have been a tough luck loser all season.  They finally had some positive luck regression yesterday handing Miami Ohio its first loss of the season to show their potential.  They had taken Miami Ohio to the wire in both regular season meetings as well.

Toledo was in a 77-76 battle with Bowling Green yesterday.  The Rockets really only go 7 deep and won't be able to handle these back-to-back situations as well as a deeper UMass team.  It's also worth noting the Minutemen had 8 days off prior to the MAC Tournament.

UMass beat Toledo 84-82 as 2.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting this season.  Toledo shot 54.9% from the field, 42.9% from 3 and 80% from the FT line and still lost that game.  That bodes well for the Minutemen in the rematch.  Bet UMass Friday.

20* Ohio State/Michigan Big Ten No-Brainer on Ohio State +13.5

Ohio State is showing how potent they can be when they are fully healthy like they have been to end the season.  The Buckeyes have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall upsetting Purdue by 8 as 6.5-point dogs, blasting Penn State by 32 on the road and blasting Indiana by 13 as 3.5-point home favorites.

The Buckeyes led by double-digits throughout and held on for a 72-69 win over Iowa yesterday in their opening Big Ten Tournament game.  They overcame the Hawkeyes shooting 47.6% from 3-point range.  They avenged a 17-point loss to Iowa earlier in their first meeting on February 25th.  Now Ohio State is motivated to avenge a pair of losses to Michigan.

The Wolverines won the Big Ten regular season title and swept their biggest rivals in Michigan State in the regular season finale.  I think they come into the Big Ten Tournament 'fat and happy' and I don't think they will be all that motivated at all.  They know they already have a No. 1 seed locked up no matter what happens in the Big Ten Tournament.

It's also worth noting Michigan lost LJ Cason (8.4 PPG) to a season-ending injury three games ago.  He is their most productive player off the bench and it hurts their guard depth.  The Wolverines were in dog fights with Iowa and MSU in their first two games without him.  Either way, I don't think the Wolverines should be 13.5-point favorites today.  Bet Ohio State Friday.

15* Bulls/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 234

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in pace and 23rd in defensive rating.  The Bulls have Josh Giddey healthy and playing right now and he is coming off consecutive triple-doubles.  Tre Jones is also doing a great job running the offense alongside him.

The Bulls went for 236 combined points at the end of regulation with the Kings and Warriors each in their last two games.  This total of 234 is too short for a game involving the Bulls right now.  They face a Lakers team that ranks 20th in defensive rating this season.

The Lakers will be without their best defender in Marcus Smart tonight so they will have no answer for Giddey and Jones.  But they are an elite offensive team with Doncic and Reaves both healthy, and they both are right now.  They scored 128 against Indiana, 110 against New York and 120 against Minnesota in their last three games coming in and will hang a big number on the Bulls tonight.

The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings between the Bulls and Lakers.  They have combined for 247, 236, 261 and 273 points in their last four meetings, respectively.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs -4.5

The San Antonio Spurs are playing better than anyone in the NBA right now.  They are 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Their last four wins have been very impressive by 17 over Detroit, by 4 over the Clippers, by 25 over the Rockets and by 9 over the Celtics.

Now the Spurs have the rest advantage over the Denver Nuggets.  The Spurs had yesterday off while the Nuggets were beating the Rockets at home.  That was a tired Houston team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, and the Nuggets took advantage.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Denver rest some guys tonight given they have had so many problems with injuries all season.  But I like the Spurs to get the job done either way.  Bet the Spurs Thursday.

20* Florida State/Duke ACC No-Brainer on Florida State +19

Florida State is a legit sleeper to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  The Seminoles have been undervalued for a few months now going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games with road wins over Virginia Tech by 23 and Clemson by 5, as well as a home win over SMU by 13.

First-year head coach Luke Loucks has the Seminoles improving rapidly and ready to make a run.  They opened with a 85-79 win over California in which they were never challenged and led by double-digits throughout.  That was a very misleading final score.

Now the Seminoles can hang with Duke, which will be without two starters in Caleb Foster (8.5 PPG) and Patrick Ngonba Jr. (10.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.1 BPG) for the ACC Tournament.  The loss of Ngonba is huge as he controls everything in the paint for Duke.  Without him, they won't be nearly as dominant defensively.  This line is absurd given the losses of these two starters for the Blue Devils.  Bet Florida State Thursday.

20* BYU/Houston Big 12 No-Brainer on Houston -8.5

The Houston Cougars have a massive rest advantage over BYU in this game.  Houston got a bye into the quarterfinals, while BYU will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days.  That rest advantage will lead to a blowout victory for Houston today.

BYU opened with a 105-91 shootout win over Kansas State on Tuesday followed by a 68-48 win over West Virginia on Wednesday.  BYU was already short-handed without Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG).  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for this game tonight as they really only go 7 deep.

Houston beat BYU 77-66 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  That was back when they had Saunders healthy.  Houston was a 6.5-point favorite in that true road game.  Houston needs to be more than an 8.5-point favorite on a neutral now in the rematch without Saunders.  Bet Houston Thursday.

15* Washington/Wisconsin Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin -6.5

Wisconsin has a big rest advantage over Washington today that will lead to a blowout victory in their favor.  The Badgers got a bye into the 3rd round after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three games.

They crushed Washington 90-73 as 2.5-point road favorites to start this run.  They followed it up with a 33-point home win over Maryland and a 4-point upset road win at Purdue as 9.5-point dogs.  It will be more of the same in the rematch with Washington today.

The Huskies are coming off a 83-79 (OT) win over USC yesterday.  That was a concerning result as USC is atrocious without its top two scorers in Rice and Baker-Mazara, so struggling to get by the Trojans is not good.

Washington is basically down to a weak 7-man rotation right now without Frank Kepnang (6.2 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 2.1 BPG), Desmond Claude (13.3 PPG), Bryson Tucker (5.7 PPG) and JJ Mandaquit (5.2 PPG).  Four starters played at least 40 minutes for the Huskies yesterday.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Badgers today.  Bet Wisconsin Thursday.

25* ACC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Miami ML +120

I love the spot for the Miami Hurricanes.  They want revenge from a 92-89 home loss to Louisville on Senior Day in the regular season finale.  They had gone 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games prior to that defeat with their lone loss coming by 3 at Virginia.

Miami has the rest advantage after getting a bye into the quarterfinals while Louisville had to come back late to beat SMU 62-58 yesterday.  That was an SMU team that was missing BJ Edwards and had to play the previous day.  It was a very poor showing.

Louisville is without Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) for the ACC Tournament.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes for the Cardinals yesterday, and they really only went with a 7-man rotation.  Having to play back-to-back days while being short-handed is a huge disadvantage.

Louisville only beat Miami by 3 in the regular season finale despite shooting a ridiculous 62.3% from the field and 12-of-24 (50%) from 3-point range.  I have to think they are due some negative shooting regression in the rematch today, especially since they are on tired legs.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Miami on the Money Line Thursday.

15* Kentucky/Missouri ACC ANNIHILATOR on Missouri +3.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble on the NCAA Tournament.  The Tigers will be max motivated to get a win today as a result.  They have the rest advantage after getting a bye into the 2nd round, and that rest advantage isn't being factored into this line enough.

Kentucky played yesterday in a 87-82 dog fight against lowly LSU.  Oweh played 39 minutes and Aberdeen 36 minutes as the Wildcats held on for victory.  They won't be so fortunate against this much better, rested Missouri team.

Missouri pulled the 73-68 upset as 12.5-point road dogs at Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  The Tigers should not be catching 3.5 points in the rematch today given their motivational and rest advantages.  Bet Missouri Thursday.

15* Iowa State/Texas Tech Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Iowa State -5

The Iowa State Cyclones have the best following at the Big 12 Tournament every year.  That's why they call it Hilton South in Kansas City.  That was on display again yesterday as the Cyclones crushed Arizona State 91-42.

The blowout nature of that win allowed the Cyclones to rest their starters in the 2H and conserve them for the rest of this tournament.  That's why I'm not even giving Texas Tech much of a rest advantage at all.

Now the Cyclones want revenge from a 82-73 home loss to Texas Tech, their lone home loss this season.  The Red Raiders shot an unsustainable 14-of-29 (48.3%) from 3-point range in that game and are due some negative shooting regression in the rematch today.

Texas Tech lost its best player in Jaydin Toppin (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG) to a season-ending injury late in the year.  The Red Raiders were able to win their first three games without him, but they have come back down to reality of late.  They lost 73-65 at home to TCU and 82-76 on the road to BYU in their last two regular season games.  It won't go any better against Iowa State today.  Bet Iowa State Thursday.

25* Big Ten Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Ohio State PK

Ohio State is showing how potent they can be when they are fully healthy like they have been to end the season.  The Buckeyes have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall upsetting Purdue by 8 as 6.5-point dogs, blasting Penn State by 32 on the road and blasting Indiana by 13 as 3.5-point home favorites.

Now the Buckeyes have the rest advantage over the Iowa Hawkeyes after getting a bye into the 3rd round.  Iowa had to play yesterday and actually trailed at halftime in a 75-64 win over Maryland.  The Hawkeyes had to play their starters big minutes.

This is an Iowa team that is tanking down the stretch going 3-6 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are a one-man show with Bennett Stirtz.  That makes them very easy to defend.  Stirtz played 39 minutes yesterday and was one of three starters to play at least 34 minutes as the Hawkeyes only have a 7-man rotation.

Ohio State wants revenge from a 74-57 road loss at Iowa where they were without Christoph Tilly (11.0 PPG).  They shot just 5-of-18 (27.8%) from 3 while Iowa shot 7-of-14 (50%) from 3 as well.  The Buckeyes are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet Ohio State Thursday.

15* George Washington/Fordham A-10 Early ANNIHILATOR on Fordham +6.5

Fordham is 5-2 SU in its last seven games overall with both losses coming on the road to VCU and La Salle (by 3).  Fordham beat George Washington 79-65 as 11.5-point road dogs in their lone meeting this season.  The Rams should not be catching 6.5 points in the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

George Washington is 4-7 SU & 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Revolutionaries are coming off a 68-62 loss to lowly Loyola-Chicago as 9.5-point favorites.  They aren't playing well enough to deserve being a 6.5-point favorite here.  Bet Fordham Thursday.

20* UMass/Miami MAC No-Brainer on UMass +8

Miami Ohio just completed a 31-0 regular season with yet another one-possession win.  Their last three wins have all come by exactly 2 points, and they are the 8th-luckiest team in the country according to KenPom's luck metric.  They have 13 wins by single-digits this season.

I think this is where the Redhawks take a breather.  They will be in the NCAA Tournament no matter what happens in the MAC Tournament.  And they won't be nearly as motivated as they were to go undefeated in the regular season.

UMass ranks 320th in KenPom's luck metric.  The Minutemen are 16-15 this season with 13 of those losses coming by single-digits.  They have been a tough luck loser all season, including in their two meetings with Miami Ohio this season.

UMass only lost 86-84 at Miami Ohio and 86-77 at home against the Redhawks.  I think they can take them to the wire again in this 3rd meeting and possibly pull off the upset to advance in the MAC Tournament.  They are a legit sleeper to win it all.  Bet UMass Thursday. 

15* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 19-9 SU & 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 8th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 120-106 loss to the Lakers last night.  It's a Timberwolves team that has been burning bettors' money going 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.

The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Timberwolves so they clearly match up with them well.  And this will be their 4th meeting, the first two of which the Clippers did not have Garland and Mathurin who they traded for prior to the deadline.  They also didn't have Kawhi in the last meeting.  The spot really favors Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

20* Wake Forest/Clemson ACC No-Brainer on Clemson -6

Clemson has a big rest advantage over Wake Forest tonight.  The Demon Deacons needed OT to beat Virginia Tech 95-89 yesterday.  Meanwhile, the Tigers earned a bye into the 2nd round and will be the much fresher team tonight.  They will also have a ton of fans in attendance with this game being played in Charlotte, NC only 2 hours from campus.

Juke Harris played 44 minutes , Myles Colvin 36 minutes and Sebastian Akins 32 minutes for the Demon Deacons yesterday.  Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG) is on a minutes limit due to coming back from injury for the ACC Tournament and only played 14 minutes yesterday.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Wake Forest.  The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  Bet Clemson Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Knicks/Jazz OVER 229.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 3rd in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season.  They have gone for at least 230 combined points with their opponents in seven of their last 10 games overall.  This total of 229.5 is very short for a game involving the Jazz.

The New York Knicks rank 3rd in offensive rating this season and will hang a big number on the Jazz today to pave the way in us cashing this OVER 229.5 ticket.  The Knicks went for 245 combined points with the Nuggets and 244 combined points with the Clippers in two of their first three games on this 5-game road trip.

The Knicks beat the Jazz 146-112 for 258 combined points in their first meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

The Toronto Raptors are 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their two wins came against the tanking Wizards and Mavericks.  The Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-99 loss at Houston last night.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have no incentive to tank because they don't have their first-round pick this year.  Their three losses all came on the road to the Clippers, Lakers and Suns during this 9-game stretch.  Five of their six wins have come by double-digits.

The Pelicans are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest last playing on Sunday.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with each of their top eight scorers all available tonight.  That includes Dejounte Murray, who is gaining confidence with each game playing in 6 games this season for the Pelicans after they traded for him in the offseason.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.

15* BYU/West Virginia Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on West Virginia +4.5

BYU will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 105-91 shootout win over Kansas State yesterday.  Dybansta played 37 minutes and Davis 36 yesterday, while Keba Keita battled through an ankle injury that leaves his status in question.  They were already without Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) and aren't equipped to handle this Big 12 Tournament playing multiple days in a row.

West Virginia earned a bye into the 2nd round and has the advantage of rest.  They also have the advantage of recently beating BYU 79-71 as 3.5-point home dogs on February 28th less than two weeks ago, so they will be prepared to beat this tired team again.  Dybansta and Wright combined for 43 points in that game and they still lost by 8.  Bet West Virginia Wednesday.

15* Cal/Florida State ACC ANNIHILATOR on Florida State -3.5

Florida State is a legit sleeper to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  The Seminoles have been undervalued for a few months now going 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They have gone 9-2 SU in their last 11 games with road wins over Virginia Tech by 23 and Clemson by 5, as well as a home win over SMU by 13.

First-year head coach Luke Loucks has the Seminoles improving rapidly and ready to make a run.  I like their chances of beating California, which suffered a crucial loss at Wake Forest and at home to Pitt in its lsat three games that put the Golden Bears on the outside looking in in terms of making the ACC Tournament.

Florida State beat Cal 63-61 in their lone meeting this season.  FSU won that game despite shooting just 36.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point range.  The Seminoles have been on fire offensively since that game, and they are certainly due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet Florida State Wednesday.

15* Northwestern/Indiana Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern +6.5

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 346th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 14-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Northwestern has gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games with wins over Maryland, Indiana, Oregon and Penn State, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern made easy work of Penn State in a 76-66 victory yesterday.  I think the Wildcats will still be relatively fresh, and fresh enough to hang with Indiana, which has cratered here down the stretch and has no business being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

Indiana is 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone win coming at home against Minnesota.  Four of the losses came by 13 points or more.  They also lost to Northwestern 72-68 as 9.5-point home favorites, and the Wildcats will give them another run for their money in the rematch.  This is essentially a home game for the Wildcats being played in Chicago as well.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* Xavier/Marquette Big East ANNIHILATOR on Marquette -3.5

Marquette was a tough luck loser all season.  The Golden Eagles ranked 360th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 12-19 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big East.

Marquette comes into the Big East Tournament with a ton of momentum after upsetting UConn 68-62 as 9.5-point dogs in the regular season finale to deny the Huskies a Big East title.  That followed up a 78-56 win at Providence with suffocating defense.  The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and a legit sleeper to win this tournament.

Xavier is 3-10 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Musketeers are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games.  Their best player in Tre Carroll (18.0 PPG) is questionable for the Big East Tournament after sitting out last game.  I like Marquette even if he plays tonight.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE WEEK on Liberty -5.5

Liberty has had the C-USA regular season title locked up for a couple weeks now.  Not surprisingly, the Flames have struggled to find motivation down the stretch as a result.  They have gone 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  I throw all six games out.

Now it's time to 'buy low' on a Liberty team that has been the class of C-USA all season.  We are getting the Flames as only 5.5-point favorites because they struggled ATS down the stretch.  But they'll be locked in and focused now with a trip to the NCAA Tournament at stake.

The Flames have the rest advantage here getting a bye into the quarterfinals.  Meanwhile, Missouri State was in a 75-72 dog fight with Florida International yesterday.  Four starters played at least 34 minutes for the Bears yesterday, and I question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Flames tonight.  Bet Liberty Wednesday.

15* MWC Total DOMINATOR on Wyoming/UNLV OVER 153

UNLV is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Rebels have gone 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 157 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 games.  This total of 153 is very short for a game involving UNLV right now.

Wyoming closed the season going OVER the total in its final two games combining for 156 points with Nevada and 166 points with San Jose State.  Those are two teams that play at very slow tempos.  That's not UNLV, which ranks 48th in adjusted tempo this season.

Wyoming beat UNLV 98-66 for 164 combined points in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch as this total of 153 has been set way too low.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* SEC Total DOMINATOR on Mississippi State/Auburn OVER 158.5

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team as along as Keyshawn Hall (20.4 PPG) is playing.  He has played in the last six games and Auburn is 5-1 OVER in those six games.  Auburn and its opponents have combined for at least 160 points in eight of its last nine games overall, so this total of 158.5 is very short for a game involving the Tigers.

Mississippi State is an OVER team as long as Hubbard (22.1 PPG) and Epps (13.7 PPG) are healthy.  They are right now and the Bulldogs are 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall.  They have gone for 168 or more combined points in six of those seven games, so this total of 158.5 is short for a game involving the Bulldogs right now as well.

Mississippi State beat Auburn 91-85 for 176 combined points in their most recent meeting on February 18th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and sail OVER this 158.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* SMU/Louisville ACC ANNIHILATOR on SMU +7

SMU is squarely on the bubble and needs to win a few games in this ACC Tournament to get in the Big Dance.  The Mustangs handled their business yesterday with a 86-69 win over Syracuse, and a win over Louisville today would go a long way to get them in.

It's a Louisville team that will be without Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) for the ACC Tournament.  Brown had 20 points in a 88-74 win over SMU in their first meeting and 29 points in a 95-85 loss to SMU in their 2nd meeting.  Not having to face Brown in the 3rd meeting here and losing all that production will make all the difference.  Bet SMU Wednesday.

20* USC/Washington Big Ten No-Brainer on Washington -4.5

USC has gone in the tank and is just ready for this season to be over.  The Trojans lost Rodney Rice (20.3 PPG) early in the season, and then Chad Baker-Mazara (18.5 PPG) left the team in the last few weeks.  They simply cannot hang in the Big Ten without these guys.

The Trojans enter the Big Ten Tournament on a 7-game losing streak.  They have gone 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall losing by 36 at home to Illinois, by 19 at UCLA, by 15 at home to Nebraska, by 19 at Washington and by 21 at home to UCLA.  They haven't even been competitive.

Now USC has to face that same Washington team that they just lost by 19 to on March 4th a week ago today.  It's a Washington team that is much superior here and it will show in the Big Ten Tournament as they enter it very healthy.  Bet Washington Wednesday.

20* Oklahoma State/Colorado Big 12 No-Brainer on Colorado ML -115

The Colorado Buffaloes went 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS in their final 10 games of the season.  They gave Arizona all they could handle and took BYU to OT in losses, and they handled their business against the bottom of the Big 12.

The Buffaloes beat Utah by 14, K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26 during this closing stretch.  That 83-69 win over Oklahoma State came just two weeks ago on February 21st.  And I think it will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

The Cowboys no longer have big man Parsa Fallah (14.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG), who is out with a season-ending injury.  Fallah had 14 points in that 14-point loss to Colorado.  The Cowboys will get absolutely owned on the boards without him.

Oklahoma State is 2-7 SU & 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall and has really missed Fallah down the stretch.  Both wins came in OT against WVU and UCF as well, so they are very close to being 0-9 over this stretch.  The Buffaloes should be favored by more tonight.  Bet Colorado on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* Santa Clara/Gonzaga ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Santa Clara +7.5

Santa Clara went 2-1 in three meetings with St. Mary's this season including an upset win last night.  The Broncos are the real deal and fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives.  They want to earn their ticket with a WCC Tournament title.

They will be out for revenge after going 0-2 against Gonzaga in the regular season losing by 12 on the road and by 8 at home.  I like their chances of getting their revenge or at the very least staying within this 7.5-point spread.  Gonzaga being without Braden Huff (17.8 PPG) really hurts.

The Bulldogs were unimpressive in their 65-56 win as 20.5-point favorites against Oregon State yesterday.  Graham Ike had 24 points and no other Bulldogs scored in double figures.  And that's my problem with this team is they rely so much on Ike, and the supporting pieces just aren't that good as this is one of the worst sets of guards in the Mark Few era.

Santa Clara is a deep, balanced team with nine players playing double-digit minutes for them last night.  They got 38 points from their bench last night alone against St. Mary's.  And that depth will pay off here playing their 3rd game in 3 days, which they are built to handle.  Bet Santa Clara Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors +5.5

The Toronto Raptors have actually played their best basketball on the road this season.  They are 19-11 SU & 17-13 ATS on the highway, including 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four.  They are primed for a big effort tonight because they are so rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.

The Houston Rockets are a tired team playing their 4th game in 6 days with another game on deck against Denver in altitude tomorrow.  I think they will monitor minutes for their starters tonight knowing they have that big game against Denver tomorrow.

The Rockets are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They lost by 10 in Miami as 2.5-point favorites, lost outright as 9.5-point home favorites to the Warriors, and lost by 25 in San Antonio.  They only beat Washington by 5 as 14.5-point favorites and Portland by 7 as 6.5-point favorites for their lone cover, which came by 0.5 points.  They are one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA.  Bet the Raptors Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Hawks -9.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All six wins have come by 9 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee, a 34-point home win over Portland and a 9-point home win over Philadelphia in their last three.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East.  They are just 2.5 games back of the 6th place Magic with a shot to win the Southeast Division.

The Hawks are also extremely rested.  They have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 9 days tonight.  They are primed for another big effort to keep this run going.

Now they get to face the tanking Mavericks, who are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall with six of those seven losses coming by 9 points or more.  They lost by 30 at Toronto, by 20 at Boston and by 27 at Charlotte in three of their last four road games.  They are 2-17 SU & 7-12 ATS in their last 19 games with both wins coming against tanking teams in the Pacers and Nets.  Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern -6

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 354th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 13-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Penn State is the worst team in the Big Ten.  The Nittany Lions went 3-17 in conference play this season.  They went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their final six games with losses by 12 to Rutgers, by 32 to Ohio State, by 23 to Nebraska, by 13 to Rutgers and by 11 to Oregon.

Northwestern went 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in its final five games with wins over Maryland, Indiana and Oregon, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern crushed Penn State 94-73 as 7.5-point favorites in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.  The Big Ten Tournament is played at the United Center in Chicago, so the Wildcats will have a big home-court advantage here with a good following for the short trip to Chicago for fans.  Bet Northwestern Tuesday.

15* Knicks/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +2.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 18-9 SU & 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 9th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Knicks were losing 110-97 to the Lakers on Sunday.  They'll now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight as Brunson played 42 minutes, Onunoby 38 and Towns 34 yesterday.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on UNDER 232.5

The Nuggets and Thunder have combined for 232 or fewer points at the end of regulation in seven consecutive meetings.  That makes for a 7-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 232.5-point total.  They went for 214, 232, 218, 226, 217, 179 and 204 combined points at the end of regulation in their last seven meetings, respectively.

Of course, I took one of my worst beats of the NBA season when I had the UNDER 234.5 in their most recent meeting on February 27th less than two weeks ago.  That game was tied 107-107 at the end of regulation for 214 combined points.  I'll bank on it not going to OT again in the rematch today and for this game to stay well UNDER this 232.5-point total as a result.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Georgia Southern/Troy OVER 149.5

Georgia Southern is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 35th in adjusted tempo, 143rd in adjusted offense and 311th in adjusted defense.  They really have had 3-point variance go their way by shooting a ton of them in this Sun Belt Tournament.  They rank 19th in the country attempting 3-pointers on 48.7% of their possessions.

The Eagles have gone for 157 or more combined points in each of their last six games.  They went for 181 with Marchall, 172 with ODU, 157 with Arkansas State, 179 with South Alabama, 168 with Coastal Carolina and 160 with Marshall.  This total of 149.5 is very low for a game involving Georgia Southern.

Troy beat Georgia Southern 83-78 for 161 combined points in their lone regular season meeting this season.  Neither team lit it up from 3 as Troy shot 36% and Georgia Southern 34.4% in that game.  This rematch in the Championship Game should sail OVER this 149.5-point total, especially since there will be no quit in the team that's down in the final minutes fouling to extend the game.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* North Dakota/North Dakota State Summit League ANNIHILATOR on North Dakota State -9.5

North Dakota State dominated North Dakota in both regular season meetings.  The Bison won 83-66 on the road and 96-63 at home.  It will be more of the same today in the Summit League Championship Game.

North Dakota will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after a 67-66 upset of St. Thomas yesterday.  They are getting too much respect for that win as St. Thomas gave it away by shooting 16.7% from 3.

North Dakota State had a day off and will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days.  They made easy work of both opponents beating Oral Roberts by 11 on Thursday and Omaha by 24 on Saturday.  They are the fresher team as well.  Bet North Dakota State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Pistons/Heat OVER 230

The Miami Heat rank 1st in the NBA in pace this season.  This total of 230 is very low for a game involving the Heat. They are coming off 248 combined points with the Hornets and 236 with the Nets coming into this one. They have gone for 236 or more combined points in five of their last seven games overall.

The Pistons get Cade Cunningham back today after he sat out yesterday against the Nets and they were lost offensively without him.  The Heat and Pistons went for 230 and 273 combined points in their two previous meetings this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Iowa/Nebraska Big Ten No-Brainer on Nebraska -5.5

Nebraska wants revenge from a 57-50 road loss at Iowa on February 17th.  The Huskers shot just 20.8% from 3-point range.  They will be much better at home today, where they are 14-2 this season.

Iowa is just 3-7 SU in true road games.  The Hawkeyes are coming off a tough loss to Michigan where they had a chance to tie it at the buzzer at home.  But that's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  Iowa's last three road games were ugly losing outright at Maryland as 10.5-point favorites, outright at Penn State as 9.5-point favorites and by 13 at Wisconsin.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Green Bay +3

Green Bay is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League.  This is just disrespectful getting the Phoenix as underdogs to Northern Kentucky today.

Green Bay won both regular season meetings with Northern Kentucky outright as underdogs.  It will be more of the same today as this team is locked in and ready to make a run in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Green Bay Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on East Carolina +10.5

Only the Top 10 teams in the AAC play in the conference tournament.  East Carolina sits in 11th place trailing 10th place Memphis by one game.  But ECU has the tiebreaker over Memphis, so a win today coupled with a loss by Memphis at Tulane would get the Pirates in the AAC Tournament.  They will be max motivated as a result.

Motivation is in question for UAB as they have already locked up the 4th seed in the AAC due to owning the tiebreaker over Charlotte.  They have nothing to play for.  UAB is 6-9 SU & 5-10 ATS at home this season and has huge home/road splits as one of the rare teams that has been much better on the road than at home.  In fact, the Blazers are 0-8 ATS in AAC home games this season. Bet East Carolina Sunday.

20* AAC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Temple/Tulsa OVER 152.5

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 19-9 OVER in all games this season including 9-3 OVER in home games.  The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 153 or more combined points in four of those five games.  This total of 152.5 is short for a game involving Tulsa.

Temple is 3-0 OVER i its last three games overall with 149 or more combined points in all three.  This will be their first meeting with Tulsa.  Neither team has much to play for, so this should play out like a pick up game in the final regular season game before both teams head to the AAC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte +17

South Florida has already wrapped up the AAC regular season title with its 96-89 road win at Memphis on Thursday.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Bulls now with nothing to play for, and they shouldn't be favored by 17 over a pesky Charlotte team as a result.

Charlotte still has a shot to improve its seeding in the AAC Tournament.  The 49ers have played six straight games decided by 12 points or less.  They have a knack for playing in close games all season.  They haven't lost by more than 12 points in 19 of their last 20 games.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado +14.5

This is the letdown spot for Arizona.  The Wildcats clinched the outright Big 12 regular season title with a home win over Iowa State last time out.  Head coach Tommy Lloyd called out the media for calling his team soft.  But I expect a very soft effort from the Wildcats today in this clear letdown spot.

Colorado is no pushover at home.  The Buffaloes are 13-4 SU at home this season.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 home games beating K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26.  This is their 'national championship' on Senior Day and we will get an inspired effort from the Buffaloes tonight.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina -1.5

The Sun Belt Tournament is staggered this season to give the top teams the biggest advantages.  The 1 and 2 seeds get a bye all the way to the semifinals, while the 3 and 4 seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals.

Coastal Carolina earned the 3rd seed with a big finish in the regular season.  The Chanticleers went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their final six games with their lone loss coming by 2 to James Madison.  They avenged that loss in the season finale and have been off since February 27th.

The Chanticleers have one of the best rest advantages I've ever seen heading into this quarterfinal matchup with Georgia Southern, which will be playing its 4th game in 4 days.  And all three games were absolute wars with a 88-84 win over ODU Wednesday, a 80-77 win over Arkansas State Thursday and a 94-85 win over South Alabama Friday.

The Eagles had to erase a double-digit deficit in the final 10 minutes to upset South Alabama Friday.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes.  They made a school-record 23-of-44 (52%) from 3-point range to pull off the upset.  I have to think they are due some shooting regression today, especially playing on such tired legs.  This is where their run ends, and getting the Chanticleers as basically a PK is an absolute gift tonight.  Bet Coastal Carolina Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 220

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 187 combined points with Dallas, 224 with Chicago and 203 with New York.  They are missing some firepower on offense with three of their top seven scorers out in Williams, Mitchell and Hartenstein.

But the Thunder are the best defensive team in the NBA, and they will shut down a Warriors team that is also missing a bunch of firepower.  Curry, Butler and Moody are out.  Porzingis and Melton are questionable.  That's five of their top six scorers.

The Warriors just went for 202 combined points with the Rockets at the end of regulation and 215 with the Clippers in their last two games coming into this one.  They are still a very good defensive team even without these guys and are having to hang their hats on defense right now to be competitive.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Oklahoma/Texas SEC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma +8

The Oklahoma Sooners were snake bitten by a ton of close losses to open SEC play.  They have finally started to get things to go their way and are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.

The Sooners have gone 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset Vanderbilt and LSU on the road, while also crushing Missouri by 16, Auburn by 12 and Georgia by 16 at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge against their biggest rivals in Texas.

Oklahoma lost 79-69 at home to Texas.  The Longhorns shot 60% from the field while the Sooners shot 41%.  They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

They now face a Texas team that is headed in the other direction.  The Longhorns are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They only beat LSU by 3 at home, lost by 11 at Georgia, lost by 13 at home to Florida and lost by 20 at Arkansas.  They have no business being an 8-point favorite tonight.  Home-court advantage has meant very little in this rivalry.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

15* Auburn/Alabama ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 176

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in adjusted tempo, 7th in average length of offensive possession, 3rd in adjusted offense and 64th in adjusted defense.  The Crimson Tide and their opponents have gone for 173 or more combined points in four of their last five games.

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 11th in adjusted offense and 116th in adjusted defense.  The Tigers are 18-12 OVER in all games this season.  They are coming off three straight OVERS.

Alabama beat Auburn 96-92 for 188 combined points in their first meeting this season on February 7th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and another absolute shootout in this rivalry.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on CS-Fullerton +6

CS-Fullerton has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight games overall with its only two losses coming to the top two teams in the Big West in UC-Irvine and Hawaii.  The Titans now have a shot at a at a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big West Tournament.

They are tied for 4th place with four other teams, trailing CS-Northridge by one game for 3rd place.  But they won the first meeting with CS-Northridge 86-79 at home, so they would own the tiebreaker over them with a season sweep today.

CS-Northridge is 2-2 but 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall and not playing well at all.  They only won by 2 over Long Beach State and by 2 over CS-Bakersfield, which are two of the three worst teams in the Big West.  They lost by 11 to UC-Riverside, the other bottom 3 team.  They have no business being 6-point favorites here as Fullerton is clearly playing the better basketball right now.  Bet CS-Fullerton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Providence +1.5

Providence wants revenge from a 81-78 home loss to Georgetown in their first meeting this season.  The Friars have been victims of close losses all season, but this is their chance to take out their frustration on the Hoyas.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  Providence is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and fully healthy, while Georgetown is 0-7 SU & 3-4 ATS in its last seven games and far from healthy.

In fact, the Hoyas just lost leading scorer KJ Lewis (14.9 PPG) to an ankle injury and he will miss this game.  Lewis had 26 points in the first meeting with Providence, so his loss will be felt today.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Hawks -6.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All five wins have come by 11 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee and a 34-point home win over Portland in their last two.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East, just 2.5 games behind the Philadelphia 76ers for the 6th seed would would avoid the play-in.

Now the Hawks will be motivated to shrink that margin as they host the 76ers tonight.  They face a beat up 76ers team that is struggling right now due to all their injuries.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 16 in Boston, by 40 at home to San Antonio and needing a late comeback to stave off the tanking Jazz by 4 as 7.5-point home favorites.

The 76ers are without Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG) and Edgecombe (15.3 PPG).  They face a rested Hawks team playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  And a Hawks team that has owned the 76ers, going 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS i the least eight meetings.  Bet the Hawks Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Utah +13

The Utah Utes are not getting blown out of late especially on the road.  They haven't lost a single road game all season by more than 14 points, and all but one came by 13 points or fewer.  They will be competitive today, too.

Baylor has no business being a 13-point favorite here.  The Bears are 5-12 in Big 12 play and aren't blowing anyone out.  I also think it's a letdown spot for the Bears, who are coming off two big road games beating UCF by 1 and faltering late in a 13-point loss at Houston.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Utah today.  Bet Utah Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Utah/Baylor OVER 149.5

This will be a carefree shootout between two bottom feeders in the Big 12.  Both teams are all offense and no defense, and that will play out on the court today in what will feel like a pick up game with nothing at stake for either team.

Baylor ranks 28th in adjusted offense but 114th in adjusted defense.  The Bears have played several shootouts here down the stretch going for 193 combined points with BYU, 153 with Louisville, 164 with K-State, 167 with Arizona and 173 with UCF in five of their last seven games.

Utah ranks 94th in adjusted offense but just 195th in adjusted defense.  The Utes are coming off a 92-78 loss to Colorado and 170 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on California +6.5

The Cal Golden Bears (21-9, 9-8 ACC) are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament with some work to do.  They are currently the first time listed on Joe Lunardi's 'Next 4 Out' line and could really use this road win at Wake Forest.

Cal has done its part down the stretch to put itself in this position to strike by going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Bears have played their best basketball on the road going 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games to improve to 7-2 ATS in true road games this season.  That includes upset road wins at Miami and Stanford.

Wake Forest is 7-12 SU & 7-12 ATS in its last 19 games overall.  The Demon Deacons are being overvalued here as 6.5-point home favorites.  They are without senior G Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG, 4.8 APG) who is also their best 3-point shooter at 39.5% and their only true PG.  Bet California Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado State ML -115

Colorado State is playing better than anyone in the Mountain West to close the season.  The Rams are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They beat New Mexico and UNLV on the road, while also beating San Diego State at home during this stretch.

The Rams are now in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  The top four seeds get a bye in the conference tournament, and they own the tiebreaker over 4th place Grand Canyon.  So a win today coupled with a loss by Grand Canyon would get them a bye.

Boise State is also in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  But the Broncos lost both meetings with Grand Canyon this season and that would have them losing out on the tiebreaker.  They are much less motivated than the Rams heading into the season finale, which is Senior Day as well.  Bet Colorado State on the Money Line Saturday.

15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on Kansas State/Kansas UNDER 157

Kansas is a dead nuts UNDER team going 21-9 UNDER in all games this season.  The Jayhawks are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 125 combined points with Houston, 145 with Arizona and 130 with ASU.

K-State is 3-0 UNDER in its last three games overall.  The Wildcats have gone for 149 combined points with Colorado, 145 with TCU and 128 with West Virginia.  Leading scorer PJ Haggerty (23.3 PPG) is questionable to play for the Wildcats today as well after missing their last game.

Kansas beat Kansas State 86-62 on February 24th for just 148 combined points in their first meeting this season.  The Jayhawks and Wildcats have gone for 158 or fewer combined points in five consecutive meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Louisville/Miami ACC ANNIHILATOR on Miami PK

The Miami Hurricanes are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 at Virginia as 7.5-point dogs.  They have road wins over SMU, NC State and SMU during this stretch as well as a home win over UNC.

Now the Hurricanes will be motivated to cap off the regular season with a win on Senior Day in their finale.  They have three senior starters including their top two scorers in Reneau (19.1 PPG) and Donaldson (16.6 PPG).

Louisville really doesn't have a good road win all season.  The Cardinals are 3-7 SU & 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games.  They lost four of their last five ACC road games at Clemson, UNC, SMU and Duke.  They will be without second-leading scorer and star freshman Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) today, too.  Bet Miami Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's -9.5

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 12-3 SU & 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won five in a row coming in and will be motivated to keep this momentum going on Senior Day today.

La Salle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall with both wins coming at home over Rhode Island and Fordham.  The Explorers are 1-12 SU & 5-8 ATS on the road this season consistently getting blown out.  They have been outscored by 14.4 points per game on the road this season.

St. Joe's beat La Salle 67-58 on the road in their first meeting this season.  They had Jaeden Marshall (12.0 PPG) and Jerome Brewer Jr. (11.2 PPG) for that game, but Marshall has missed the last four games and Brewers Jr. the last three games and both are likely out again.  That leaves the Explorers extremely short-handed without two of their top three scorers heading into this one.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have been grossly undervalued while the UConn Huskies have been grossly overvalued due to their records this season.  UConn sits at 27-3 while Marquette site at 11-19.

The Huskies are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by 12 points or fewer.  They have been fortunate in close games all season, which is the opposite of Marquette, which has 13 losses by 11 points or fewer and nine by single-digits this season.

Marquette has not quit, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Golden Eagles are coming off a 78-56 road win at Providence.  They will be motivated to wreck UConn's bit at earning a share of the Big East title, which is what they are aiming for today.  This is Marquette's national championship game and it's Senior Day to boot.  Bet Marquette Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on DePaul -2.5

Amazingly, the DePaul Blue Demons would finish in 5th place in the Big East with a win Saturday.  That's significant because the Top 5 teams in the Big East all get byes into the quarterfinals.  They would win out on the tiebreaker with Creighton due to sweeping the season series.

So the Blue Demons will be max motivated not only to clinch that bye, but to win this game for their seniors on Senior Day.  This is a senior-led team with four of their top six scorers all seniors.  We are going to get a big effort from DePaul today to say the least.

Butler is 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with its lone two wins coming against the two worst teams in the Big East in Georgetown (by 4) and Xavier (by 5).  The Bulldogs are just playing out the string and coming off a 17-point home loss to Creighton.  I don't see them showing up today, either.

DePaul also wants revenge from a 87-80 road loss at Butler in their first meeting this season.  Butler shot 56.9% from the field and 47.1% from 3 while DePaul shot 41.3% from the field and 30.3% from 3.  It's safe to say the Blue Demons are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch at home this time around.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Missouri ESPN No-Brainer on Missouri -1.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament currently listed as a Last 4 byes team according to Joe Lunardi.  The Tigers could really use this signature win over Arkansas that would likely get them into the Big Dance.

Not only will the Tigers be motivated to make the tournament, they'll be motivated to send their Seniors out a winner on Senior Day.  They also want revenge from a 94-86 loss at Arkansas as 9.5-point dogs on February 21st just two weeks ago.  That was a rare loss for the Tigers here down the stretch as they have gone 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.

But the biggest reason I'm backing Missouri and fading Arkansas is the fact that the Razorbacks will be without one of the best players in the country in Darius Acuff Jr. (22.2 PPG, 6.4 APG) today due to an ankle injury.  He will be missing his first game of the season.

The loss of Acuff Jr. cannot be overstated.  He just had 28 points and 13 assists in a win over Texas last time out.  He had 20 points in that first game against Missouri.  And he recently scored 49 against Alabama.  He makes everything go for them offensively.  The Tigers should be favored by more today given Acuff's absence and the motivational advantages.  Arkansas has already clinched a double-bye in the SEC Tournament and appears to be punting this game.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech +12

Virginia Tech is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Hokies are currently listed on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  A win over rival Virginia would certainly put them on the right side of the bubble.

Virginia Tech already beat Virginia 95-85 (OT) at home in their first meeting this season.  So the Hokies already know they can play with them.  And they have actually been a better bet on the road than they have been at home this season.

Indeed, the Hokies are a perfect 9-0 ATS in true road games this season.  They've lost just one road game by double-digits all season.  This one will go down to the wire as well.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on UNLV +10.5

UNLV is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall with four outright upset victories.  None was more impressive than their 92-65 win as 7.5-point dogs to Utah State, arguably the most impressive win in the Mountain West this season.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 82-71 home loss to San Diego State as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  SDSU shot a ridiculous 8-of-13 (61.5%) from 3-point range and 22-of-26 (84.8%) from the FT line in that game, while UNLV shot 7-of-21 (33.3%) from 3 and 12-of-22 (54.5%) from the FT line.  It's safe to say UNLV is due for some positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.

While UNLV is closing strong, San Diego State is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State, by 9 at Boise State and by 5 at New Mexico.  

The Aztecs are already locked into a double-bye in the MWC Tournament with a Top 4 seed so they don't have a lot to play for here.  They are also battling injuries to key players including leading scorer Reese Dixon-Waters (13.0 PPG), who is questionable to play tonight.  Bet UNLV Friday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on South Alabama -5

I love the spot for South Alabama tonight.  The Jaguars got a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Tournament.  They will be playing their first game tonight, while Georgia Southern will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two wars.

Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 88-84 on Wednesday and Arkansas State 80-77 on Thursday.  I question how much the Eagles have left in the tank tonight.  Spudd Webb (15.5 PPG) has played 73 minutes and Alden Applewhite (13.8 PPG) 75 minutes in the two games.

South Alabama crushed Georgia Southern 87-71 on the road no less in their lone meeting this season.  The Jaguars outrebounded the Eagles 43 to 30 in that win.  They will dominate the glass again and put forth better energy than the Eagles, who are running on fumes.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

15* NBA Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Blazers/Rockets UNDER 220

The Houston Rockets are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 29th in pace and 5th in defensive rating.  The Rockets are 22-9 UNDER in their last 31 games overall and consistently go for fewer than 220 combined points at the end of regulation with their opponents.

The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 115-113 (OT) loss to the Warriors last night.  That game was tied 101-101 at the end of regulation for just 202 combined points.  Playing on tired legs and short-handed with some injuries, the Rockets will play at a snail's pace again tonight.

The Blazers have plenty of injuries of their own tonight that will hamper them offensively.  The Blazers will be without their top two scorers in Avdija (24.4 PPG) and Sharpe (21.4 PPG).  They will struggle to find buckets against this elite Houston defense.

This will be the 3rd meeting of 2026 already between the Rockets and Blazers, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The 1st meeting saw just 205 combined points and the 2nd meeting saw just 216 combined points.  It will be another ugly, low-scoring defensive battle tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on UCF +4

UCF is 20-9 this season and 9-8 in Big 12 play.  The Knights had plenty of room to spare in terms of making the NCAA Tournament, but back-to-back home losses to Baylor (by 1) and Oklahoma State (OT) have put them on the bubble. They could really use this road win over West Virginia tonight.

The Knights were already going to be max motivated to beat the Mountaineers being on the bubble.  But they also want revenge from a 74-67 home loss to WVU on February 14th.  They went on to win their next three games with an 11-point home win over TCU, a road win at Utah and a win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  They have been playing their best basketball on the road.

West Virginia (17-13, 8-9 Big 12) has played its way off the bubble and out of the NCAA Tournament by going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes a home loss to Utah as 10.5-point favorites, as well as road losses to K-State, Oklahoma State and TCU.  So they have losses to the three worst teams in the Big 12 in their last five games.  That has broken their spirit, and I can't see them being all that motivated tonight as a result.  Bet UCF Friday.

15* CBB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Central Michigan +2

The Top 8 teams in the MAC make the conference tournament.  Central Michigan is still alive for a Top 8 spot.  The Chippewas need to win this game and have Buffalo lose to Toledo to get in.  Buffalo is an 8.5-point road dog to Toledo tonight.

Ball State has already been eliminated from the MAC Tournament due to going 0-2 against Buffalo this season in the head-to-head series.  I question their motivation tonight knowing they are eliminated from tournament contention.

Ball State has been very fortunate to win its last three games with two of them coming in OT.  I think the Cardinals are getting too much respect for those three wins against some bottom feeders in the MAC.  

Central Michigan beat Buffalo 75-70 on the road before a 13-point loss to Akron, arguably the best team in the MAC.  They also beat WMU by 13 and only lost by 2 to Kent State as 11.5-point dogs.  They are playing well here down the stretch to give themselves a chance at making the tournament.  They will win this game outright tonight.  Bet Central Michigan Friday.

15* MVC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -3.5

Valparaiso was in a war last night with Indiana State.  The Beacons prevailed 63-62 as 2.5-point favorites.  That's an Indiana State team that is dreadful going 2-12 SU in its final 14 games to close out the regular season.

Now the Beacons must take a big step up in class here against an experienced Bradley team that is notorious for making deep runs in the MVC Tournament.  The Braves are rested as this will be their first game of the tournament, while the Beacons have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Valparaiso lacks depth as well with an 8-man rotation.

Bradley beat Murray State by 9, Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 10 and Belmont by 11 in four of its final six games this season.  Those are all the top teams in the conference, and the Braves are playing their best basketball of the season heading into this MVC Tournament.  That carries over today.  Bet Bradley Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Buffalo +8.5

The Buffalo Bulls are trying to lock up a spot in the MAC Tournament.  Only the Top 8 teams in the MAC play in the conference tournament.  The Bulls sit in 7th place and would be out of the tournament with a loss coupled with a win by Central Michigan tonight due to tiebreaker reasons.  They are max motivated to pull off the upset and get into the conference tournament.

The spot is terrible for Toledo.  The Rockets are already assured a spot in the MAC Tournament and actually locked into the 4th seed with nothing to play for but pride.  Worse yet, they are coming off a 74-72 loss to Miami Ohio nearly handing the Redhawks their first loss of the season.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice, and I don't expect the Rockets to show up at all tonight.  

The Bulls have played their best basketball on the highway this season going 8-5 SU & 10-3 ATS in true road games.  Bet Buffalo Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on CS-Fullerton +4

CS-Fullerton is still alive for a bye in the conference tournament.  The Titans are one game behind UC-San Diego for 3rd place in the Big West.  They are motivated to get this win on Senior Night in their final home game as their top three scorers are all seniors.

Fullerton has a chance to sweep the season series and earn the tiebreaker over UC-San Diego as well.  The Titans won 88-71 on the road over the Tritons in their first meeting this season.  They should not be 4-point home underdogs in the rematch tonight.  

UC-San Diego is getting a lot of respect due to entering this game on a 5-game winning streak.  But four of those five wins came at home against the bottom of the Big West.  They have been much less impressive on the road in Big West play with just two wins by more than 3 points on the road in conference play all season.  Bet CS-Fullerton Thursday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pepperdine/Portland OVER 152.5

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  The Waves are a perfect 10-0 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 156 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  They are playing faster, more efficient offense and zero defense allowing 79 or more points in 10 consecutive games, and 83 or more in nine of them.

One of those games came against this same Portland team on February 18th.  Pepperdine beat Portland 95-87 for 182 combined points.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here in the rematch with this total set at 152.5.  Fouls will likely be a factor in the end as well as neither of these teams want their season to end in the first round of the WCC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Western Kentucky -1.5

Western Kentucky has been rolling since getting their best players back from injury.  The Hilltoppers are 6-0 SU in their last six games overall.  They are coming off three consecutive blowout wins over Liberty by 21 as 7.5-point road dogs. New Mexico State by 23 as 4.5-point home favorites and UTEP by 32 as 9.5-point home favorites.

Now they take on Missouri State, which is 0-7 SU in its last seven games overall and just ready for the regular season to be over.  The Bears lost 87-72 at Western Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  It will be another blowout in the Hilltoppers' favor in the rematch tonight.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.