Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-23-24 | Yale v. Cornell -1.5 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cornell -1.5 I love the spot for Cornell tonight. The Big Red will be out for revenge from an 80-78 road loss at Yale on February 10th just two weeks ago. They blew an 8-point halftime lead in that game and a 7-point lead late. Now they get the Bulldogs at home this time around. Cornell is 9-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 17.7 points per game. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 6-0 SU in the last six meetings. Matt Knowling (11.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG) had 12 points and 9 rebounds in that first meeting for Yale. Knowling has been out with a groin injury since and is questionable to play tonight. Cornell is 6-0 ATS in its last six Friday night home games. The Big Red are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games against teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game. Cornell is 6-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season. These three trends combine for a perfect 20-0 system backing the Big Red tonight. Bet Cornell Friday. |
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02-22-24 | Wizards +15.5 v. Nuggets | 110-130 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +15.5 The Washington Wizards have been a great bet on the road this season. They have gone 19-8-1 ATS in their 28 road games as one of the best covering teams on the highway in the NBA this season. They are consistently catching too many points away from home, and that's the case again tonight as 15.5-point dogs at Denver. The Nuggets have been kind of bored just waiting for the playoffs to get here. The defending champs are having that dreaded title hangover. They are 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 29 at Sacramento, by 17 at Milwaukee and by 4 at home to Sacramento in the rematch in a game you would have expected them to fire back in. The Nuggets are now just 8-16-1 ATS in their last 25 games overall. Washington is 7-0 ATS in non-conference road games this season. The Wizards are 18-4 ATS in their last 22 road games off a non-conference game. Washington is 7-0 ATS in road games off five or more consecutive losses this season. Denver is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. poor teams that are outscoring by 3-plus points per game in the 2nd half of the season. Bet the Wizards Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Hornets +10 v. Jazz | Top | 115-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte Hornets +10 The Charlotte Hornets quietly went 5-1 ATS in their final six games going into the All-Star Break. That includes 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three games with outright upset victories over Memphis by 9 as 5-point dogs, over Indiana by 9 as 10-point dogs and by 23 over Atlanta as 7-point dogs. This is a young team that has not quit, and the players they traded for are making an immediate impact. The Utah Jazz went 0-4 SU & 0-4 ATS in their final four games going into the break to all but play themselves out of playoff contention. Three of the four losses came by 14 points or more. I question their motivation the rest of the way, and they are so poor defensively that they cannot be laying double-digits to Charlotte tonight. They have allowed 129 or more points in four consecutive games. Charlotte is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games after allowing 105 points or less. Utah is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games when playing 5 or fewer games in 14 days. Plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (Charlotte) - a poor team that is outscored by 3-plus points per game, after allowing 105 points or fewer in two consecutive games are 43-13 (76.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Hornets Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Clippers v. Thunder -114 | 107-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder ML -114 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (31.1 PPG, 6.5 APG) is the 2nd favorite to win the NBA MVP award currently. He holds a grudge with the Los Angeles Clippers for trading him away, so he has his best stuff every time he faces his former team. The Thunder are a legit title contender with Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way and tremendous depth. I expect the Thunder to make easy work of the Clippers tonight. The Thunder are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Clippers. They won 134-115 in their lone home meeting this season. The Thunder are 21-6 SU & 18-9 ATS at home this season with one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. Oklahoma City is 13-1 ATS in its last 14 games off a road win by 10 points or more. Bet the Thunder on the Money Line Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Ohio State v. Minnesota -3.5 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota -3.5 Minnesota is the single-most underrated team in the entire country. The Golden Gophers are 16-9 SU & 22-3 ATS this season, including 14-3 SU & 16-1 ATS at home. They are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall as the books just cannot catch up to how good this team really is. But Minnesota finds itself on the outside looking in in terms of making the NCAA Tournament currently, so they cannot afford a letdown here. I expect another big effort from the Gophers tonight as they get the win and cover at home against Ohio State. Ohio State is just 3-9 SU in its last 12 games overall. But the Buckeyes are coming off their biggest win of the season, beating Purdue outright 73-69 as 8-point home dogs. That was their first game with their interim head coach after firing Chris Holtman. But now they are in a massive letdown spot and getting too much respect off that win against Purdue. Ohio State is 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this season. Minnesota is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in Big Ten home games this season. Ohio State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games as a road underdog of 6 points or less or PK. Minnesota is 11-1 ATS as a favorite this season. Bet Minnesota Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Denver v. South Dakota State OVER 160 | Top | 70-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Denver/South Dakota State OVER 160 Denver is a dead nuts OVER team. The Pioneers rank 42nd in adjusted tempo, 95th in adjusted offense and a woeful 354th in adjusted defense. They score 84.4 points per game and allow 81.2 points per game this season. South Dakota State has been a dead nuts OVER team under current head coach Ric Henderson. That's pretty much the case again this season ranking 109th in adjusted tempo, 153rd in adjusted offense and 212th in adjusted defense. The Jackrabbits are scoring 76.7 points per game overall including 81.4 points per game at home. Denver beat South Dakota State 99-80 for 179 combined points in their first meeting on January 13th this season. It should be more of the same in the rematch, and we have 19 points to spare with this 160-point total. That first total was set at 163, and there's no way the books should have adjusted it down. Denver is 18-6 OVER in all games this season. The Pioneers are 8-0 OVER in their last eight games after playing two consecutive games as a favorite. South Dakota State is 10-1 OVER vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season. Denver is 7-0 OVER vs. a team with a winning record this season. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Knicks +100 v. 76ers | Top | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday UPSET SHOCKER on New York Knicks ML +100 This is a great time to 'buy low' on the New York Knicks coming out of the All-Star Break. They went into the break going 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in their final six games. But the struggles were mostly due to injuries as they were playing without Jalen Brunson, Donte DiVincenzo, Isaiah Hartenstein and Bojan Bogdanovic at various times. All four are healthy and expected to play coming out of the break. The Philadelphia 76ers remain without Joel Embiid and the difference between being with or without him has been drastic for this team. The 76ers are 26-8 with Embiid in the lineup but just 6-14 without him. They should not be favored over the Knicks tonight without him. Plays on any team (New York) - after losing five or six of its last seven games, a good team (60-75%) playing a team with a winning record are 46-15 (75.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Knicks on the Money Line Thursday. |
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02-22-24 | Rutgers +15.5 v. Purdue | 68-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Rutgers +15.5 The Rutgers Scarlet Knights are making their push to try and make the NCAA Tournament. An upset win over Purdue would be just what the doctor ordered. The Scarlet Knights are 4-1 SU in their last five games overall which includes upset road wins at Michigan, at Maryland and at home over Wisconsin. Rutgers already proved it could play with Purdue only losing 68-60 as 10-point home underdogs in their first meeting this season. The Scarlet Knights improved to 5-3 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight meetings with Purdue. They haven't lost any of those eight meetings by more than 12 points. Defense travels, and Rutgers is as good as anyone on that end ranking 2nd in the country in adjusted defense behind only Houston. Rutgers is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a conference loss by 10 points or more. The Scarlet Knights are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games against good shooting teams that make 48% or better. Bet Rutgers Thursday. |
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02-21-24 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -7 | 66-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on New Mexico -7 I love the spot for New Mexico tonight. The Lobos are coming off an 81-70 road loss at San Diego State on Friday. They have had the last four days off to rest and prepare for revenge on Colorado State, which they lost 76-68 to on January 2nd in their first meeting this season. Colorado State made 14 more free throws than they did which was the difference. Now the Lobos get the Rams at home where they are 11-2 SU & 9-3-1 ATS inside 'The Pit', which is one of the toughest venues in the country for road teams. The Lobos are 18-3 SU & 14-7 ATS in their last 21 home meetings with the Rams. This is a good time to 'sell high' on the Rams coming off a 20-point blowout home victory over Utah State. They have also gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games with four of those at home. They did win at Fresno State, but they also lost by 16 at San Diego State in their other road game. The Rams are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in MWC road games this season. New Mexico is 8-1 ATS in home games with a total of 150 to 159.5 this season. The Lobos are 8-1 ATS vs. good offensive teams that score 77-plus points per game this season. The Lobos are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS following a loss this season. Bet New Mexico Wednesday. |
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02-21-24 | DePaul v. Marquette -25.5 | 71-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Marquette -25.5 The books just can't set the lines in these DePaul games high enough. The Blue Demons have lost 13 consecutive games with nine of those 13 losses coming by 23 points or more. They are 1-4 ATS in their last five games losing by 33 to Seton Hall, by 25 to Xavier, by 28 to St. John's and by 36 to UConn. I'll gladly lay the 25.5 points with Marquette at home Wednesday. DePaul did only lost by 13 at home to Marquette in their first meeting this season. But they got the new coach bounce in that game as their head coach was fired after the game prior. The Blue Demons are also coming off a misleading 11-point loss at Providence. The Friars led that game by 23 points late before the Blue Demons closed on a 12-0 run to make it look closer than it was. I know we're going to get a focused effort from Marquette tonight, which is key when laying these big numbers. The Golden Eagles are coming off an embarrassing 81-53 road loss at Connecticut over the weekend. They had gone 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games. They will get right in a big way with a 26-plus point home victory over DePaul tonight. DePaul is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games after a game where they committed 8 or fewer turnovers. Marquette is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss. Bet Marquette Wednesday. |
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02-21-24 | Charlotte +5.5 v. Memphis | Top | 52-76 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Charlotte +5.5 Charlotte is one of the most underrated teams in the country. The 49ers are 17-8 SU & 14-9 ATS this season including 11-2 SU & 8-4-1 ATS in AAC play. They are in 2nd place in the conference just one game behind South Florida, which is also one of the most underrated teams in the country. On the opposite end of the spectrum is Memphis, which is one of the most overrated teams in the country. The Tigers are 7-6 SU & 2-11 ATS in AAC play this season. Penny Hardaway is in dangerous territory here looking like he has lost this team. Memphis followed up a 76-66 loss at North Texas with a 106-79 loss at SMU on Sunday. The Tigers just quit playing defense against SMU and have now allowed 74 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games overall. They have upset home losses to Rice as 14.5-point favorites and South Florida as 10-point favorites. They also only beat Wichita State by 2 as 9.5-point favorites. Memphis is 0-9 ATS after failing to cover four of its last five games this season. Charlotte is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games when playing its 3rd game in a week. The 49ers are 7-1 ATS off two or more consecutive wins this season. Bet Charlotte Wednesday. |
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02-21-24 | Oklahoma State v. Cincinnati UNDER 141 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State/Cincinnati UNDER 141 This total has been set too high tonight in this Big 12 battle between two dead nuts UNDER teams in Oklahoma State and Cincinnati. The Cowboys rank 202nd in adjusted tempo and 133rd in adjusted offense but 96th in adjusted defense. The Bearcats rank 199th in adjusted tempo, 22nd in adjusted defense and 74th in adjusted offense. Oklahoma State being without G Bryce Thompson (11.6 PPG) makes them even more of an UNDER team. They lost him for the season in late January. This is a very poor offensive team especially on the road where the Cowboys are scoring 62.8 points per game, shooting 38.7% as a team and 28.9% from 3. Cincinnati has been an elite defensive team at home allowing 63.8 points per game, 40.4% shooting and 30.3% shooting from 3-point range. I think the fact that both of these teams went over the total in their last games is keeping this total higher than it should be. Cincinnati had gone 6-1 UNDER in its previous seven games with 134 or fewer combined points in five of those seven games. Oklahoma State and its opponents have combined for 143 or fewer points in six of its last eight games. Oklahoma State is 9-2 UNDER in its last 11 road games after losing two of its last three games coming in. Cincinnati is 13-2 UNDER in its last 15 games vs. teams that allow 45% shooting or higher after 15-plus games. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-21-24 | Florida v. Alabama OVER 173.5 | Top | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
20* Florida/Alabama ESPN 2 No-Brainer on OVER 173.5 Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team. The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 11th in adjusted tempo in the entire country. They have scored 81 or more points in six consecutive games, including 99 or more in four of those six. Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well. Now the Crimson Tide face another dead nuts OVER team in Florida. The Gators rank 36th in adjusted tempo and 10th in adjusted offense. The Gators have scored at least 79 points in seven of their last eight games overall. They are also a shaky defensive team like Alabama. Alabama averages 91 PPG overall and 96 PPG at home. Florida averages 85 PPG overall and 82 PPG on the road. I expect both teams to get to their season averages tonight considering this game will be played at a rapid pace, and if that happens we cash this OVER ticket. Florida is 6-0 OVER vs. good shooting teams that make 48% of their shots or better this season. Alabama is 6-0 OVER in its last six games after scoring 80 points or more in four consecutive games. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings. These three trends combine for a perfect 16-0 system backing the OVER. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-20-24 | TCU v. Texas Tech OVER 147.5 | Top | 81-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE MONTH on TCU/Texas Tech OVER 147.5 TCU is a dead nuts OVER team. The Horned Frogs rank 72nd in adjusted tempo and 25th in adjusted offense this season. Texas Tech ranks 13th in adjusted offense and can light it up on that end of the court. These teams met on January 30th with TCU winning 85-78 for 163 combined points. Now we have a total of 147.5 for the rematch, which is just too low. These teams also combined for 165 points in their final meeting last season. Texas Tech is scoring 77.2 points per game at home this season while TCU is scoring 79.2 points per game on the road. TCU is 7-0 OVER in road games off an ATS win this season. Texas Tech is 8-2 OVER with a total of 140 to 149.5 this season. The Red Raiders are 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games after playing their last game on the road. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | San Diego State v. Utah State -2 | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show |
20* MWC GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah State -2 I like the spot for Utah State after losing two of its last three games with two of those losses coming on the road to Colorado State and San Diego State. Now the Aggies want revenge from that loss to the Aztecs on February 3rd. They shot 26.1% from 3 while the Aztecs shot 45% from 3 and attempted 15 fewer free throws. They are due for some positive shooting regression and the benefit of the whistle at home in the rematch. It's a good time to fade San Diego State after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall. The Aztecs are coming off a huge 81-70 home win over New Mexico to get their revenge on the Lobos from a previous road loss. The Aztecs are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five road games with their lone win coming at Air Force. They are also 1-5 ATS in their six MWC road games this season. Utah State is 11-1 SU & 7-3-1 ATS at home this season. They are outscoring opponents by 18.4 points per game at home. San Diego State is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games with a line of +3 to -3. The Aztecs are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games off two or more consecutive wins. Bet Utah State Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | Top | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
20* UConn/Creighton FS1 No-Brainer on UNDER 145.5 UConn and Creighton both play at a snail's pace and both play some of the best defense in the country. That makes them both dead nuts UNDER teams. UConn ranks 327th in adjusted tempo and 11th in adjusted defense. Creighton ranks 221st in adjusted tempo and 24th in adjusted defense. The UNDER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between UConn and Creighton. They combined for 110 points in a 62-48 win by UConn in their first meeting this season. In fact, they have combined for 129 or fewer points in each of their last six meetings. They have combined for 140 or fewer points at the end of regulation in eight consecutive meetings, making for an 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 145.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | Tennessee -11 v. Missouri | 72-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tennessee -11 The Tennessee Vols are an absolute juggernaut this season. They have their best offense of the Rick Barnes era and remain an elite defensive team. They rank 5th in adjusted defense and 16th in adjusted offense. Each of their last seven wins have come by 11 points or more, so they have no problem getting margin on teams. Now they face the Missouri Tigers, who are 0-12 SU & 2-10 ATS in SEC play this season. That includes 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in SEC home games with losses by 24 to Mississippi State, by 19 to Texas A&M and by 12 to Florida. Add another blowout home loss to their record tonight against the best team they have faced at home all season. Bet Tennessee Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | Boston College +4.5 v. Florida State | 76-84 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Boston College +4.5 Boston College wants revenge from a 63-62 home loss to Florida State as 4-point favorites on February 6th just two weeks ago today. Now the Eagles come back as 4.5-point underdogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment for switching home courts. Florida State is just 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with that lone win coming against these Eagles. The Seminoles have fallen to 12-13 this season with very little to play for the rest of the way. The Eagles sit at 15-10 and still feel like they can make a run to the NCAA Tournament. Florida State is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games after allowing 75 points or more in three consecutive games. Bet Boston College Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | Syracuse v. NC State -5.5 | 87-83 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
15* ACC PLAY OF THE DAY on NC State -5.5 NC State sits at 16-9 and trying to make the NCAA Tournament. The Wolfpack added a big win to their resume pulling off the 78-77 win at Clemson as 8-point dogs last time out to end a two-game skid. Now they are in a great spot tonight playing just their 2nd game in 10 days, so they will be fresh and ready to go. NC State wants revenge from a 77-65 loss at Syracuse in their first meeting this season on January 27th. They shot just 35.8% as a team, plus the Orange attempted 21 more free throws than they did. That will flip in the rematch at NC State this time around. This is a bad Syracuse team that is just 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with little to play for the rest of the way. The Orange are coming off a 65-60 upset road loss at Georgia Tech. They lost by 9 at home to Clemson, only beat Louisville by 2 as 8.5-point home favorites and lost by 29 at Wake Forest. The Orange are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in ACC road games this season. Bet NC State Tuesday. |
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02-20-24 | Butler v. Villanova -6 | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
15* Butler/Villanova FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Villanova -6 Villanova has played its way onto the bubble by going 3-1 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in its last three games overall. The Wildcats are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They beat Providence 68-50 as 4.5-point home favorites, lost by 3 as 3-point dogs at Xavier, crushed Seton Hall 80-54 as 7-point home favorites and handled Georgetown 70-54 as 10-point road favorites. Now the Wildcats want revenge from an 88-81 (OT) loss at Butler on January 27th. I expect them to get their revenge in blowout fashion tonight against a reeling Butler team that has gone 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall. That includes a 22-point home loss to Creighton last time out. Villanova is 9-1 SU & 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home meetings with Butler with all nine wins coming by 10 points or more. Bet Villanova Tuesday. |
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02-19-24 | William & Mary +17.5 v. College of Charleston | Top | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
20* CBB Big Monday No-Brainer on William & Mary +17.5 William & Mary is 4-0 ATS in its last four road games. The Tribe lost by 9 as 13.5-point dogs at Hofstra, pulled off the 4-point upset win as 9-point dogs at Northeastern, only lost by 4 as 8.5-point dogs at Monmouth and only lost by 11 as 12.5-point dogs at Delaware. William & Mary only lost 84-83 as 13-point home dogs to College of Charleston in their first meeting on February 3rd earlier this month. Now the Tribe are catching 17.5 points in the rematch, which is too much. That's especially the case considering they have played much better on the road here of late. Plays on road teams (William & Mary) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor defensive team (74-78 PPG) after 15-plus games, after scoring 55 points or less are 31-9 (77.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. Charleston is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games overall and consistently overvalued. That's the case again tonight. Bet William & Mary Monday. |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -2.5 | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
15* Utah/UCLA Pac-12 ANNIHILATOR on UCLA -2.5 The UCLA Bruins are making an impressive run here late in the season to try and make the NCAA Tournament. They have gone 8-1 SU & 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall with their lone loss coming on the road at Arizona by 6 as 18-point underdogs. Now the Bruins have their sights set on revenge from their worst loss of the season. They lost 90-44 at Utah on January 11th, which was the game right before this 8-1 run. That loss inspired them and forced them to take a look in the mirror. Now they are dead set on revenge against Utah to prove that they are a much different team from that first meeting. These teams are headed in opposite directions. While the Bruins are very much alive for the NCAA Tournament, the Utes have played their way out of contention at this point. They have gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. They lost by 22 at Washington State by, 25 at Washington, were upset at home by Arizona State as 12-point favorites and lost by 4 at lowly USC. They miss G Rollie Worster (9.9 PPG, 5.5 APG), who hasn't played since that win against UCLA and remains out. UCLA is 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS in its last nine home meetings with Utah. The Utes are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games against a marginal winning team (51-60%). Utah is 4-18 ATS in its last 22 games with a line of +3 to -3. The Bruins are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games off three consecutive conference wins. Bet UCLA Sunday. |
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02-18-24 | Rutgers v. Minnesota -4 | 70-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Rutgers/Minnesota Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota -4 The Minnesota Golden Gophers are the most underrated team in the entire country. They have gone 15-9 SU & 21-3 ATS in all games this season, including 13-3 SU & 15-1 ATS at home. I expect them to get the win and cover tonight at home against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. I like the spot for Minnesota coming off two consecutive tough road losses at Iowa and at Purdue. They blew a 20-point lead at Iowa after their best player in Dawson Garcia (17.6 PPG) got hurt with 16 minutes remaining. Garcia returned for the Purdue game and scored 24 points and the Gophers showed what they were capable of, only losing 84-76 as 16.5-point road dogs against one of the best teams in the entire country in the Boilermakers. Rutgers is starting to get too much respect after going 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall. But the Scarlet Knights have some major injury concerns coming into this one, while the Gophers are fully healthy. Noah Fernandes (6.7 PPG) was knocked out of the Northwestern game last time out with an ankle injury. He scored 17 points against Wisconsin the game prior. Mawot Mag (9.8 PPG) missed the NW game but had scored 12 or more points in three straight games prior. Both Mag and Fernandes are questionable to play tonight. |
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02-18-24 | Florida Atlantic v. South Florida +5.5 | Top | 86-90 | Win | 100 | 2 h 38 m | Show |
20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on South Florida +5.5 South Florida has been disrespected all season and Florida Atlantic has been getting too much respect after making the Final 4 last season. That remains the case here Sunday. I fully expect the Bulls to earn their respect with an outright upset of the Owls, but we'll take the points for some insurance. South Florida is 18-5 SU & 15-6 ATS this season. The Bulls have gone 13-2-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are 12-2 SU at home this season and 11-1 SU in conference play. Their lone conference loss came on the road by 4 points at UAB. Florida Atlantic is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games overall and consistently laying too many points to the opposition due to the notoriety of making the Final 4 last year. But they are getting everyone's best shot with a target on their back, and they will get South Florida's best shot today as well. South Florida is a perfect 7-0 SU in its last seven home meetings with Florida Atlantic. Bet South Florida Sunday. |
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02-17-24 | Arizona State +18.5 v. Arizona | Top | 60-105 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 19 m | Show |
20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Arizona State +18.5 It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Arizona Wildcats off five consecutive victories. They are coming off a pair of impressive road wins 105-99 (3 OT) at Utah and 99-79 at Colorado. That win at Colorado was even more impressive because they were coming off that 3 OT game and playing their 2nd game in 3 days in altitude. I think they take their foot off the gas tonight against Arizona State. But Arizona hasn't been very impressive in three of its last four home games. The Wildcats are 1-3 ATS in their last four home games beating Stanford by 11 as 18-point favorites, UCLA by 6 as 18-point favorites and USC by 15 as 20.5-point favorites. I think Arizona State can stay within 18.5 tonight just as those three teams did. The Sun Devils are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. Their last two games they upset Utah 85-77 as 12-point road dogs and crushed Oregon State 79-61 as 6.5-point home favorites. Now they are looking at this game against big brother Arizona as their 'national championship' game and will put their best foot forward. Arizona State pulled the 89-88 outright upset as 12.5-point road dogs last year. The Sun Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games vs. teams that are called for 3-plus fewer fouls per game than their opponents. Each of the last eight meetings in this series were decided by 19 points or fewer, including seven by 13 points or fewer. Bet Arizona State Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | DePaul v. Providence -20 | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Providence -20 The books just can't set the lines in these DePaul games high enough. The Blue Demons have lost 12 consecutive games with nine of those 12 losses coming by 23 points or more. I'll gladly lay the 20 points with Providence at home Saturday. Providence already beat DePaul 100-62 on the road this season. I think after beating the Blue Demons by 38 on the road, they will have no problem beating them by 21-plus at home in the rematch. Bet Providence Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Kentucky v. Auburn OVER 164.5 | 70-59 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 9 m | Show | |
15* Kentucky/Auburn ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 164.5 Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 12th in adjusted tempo and 7th in adjusted offense but just 104th in adjusted defense. They are 18-6 OVER in their 24 games this season. They are averaging 167.0 combined points per game with their opponents this season. Auburn won't mind running with Kentucky at all. The Tigers rank 66th in adjusted tempo and 9th in adjusted offense this season. They are scoring 86.8 points per game at home this season. I expect both teams to top 80 points in this one and Auburn to get 90-plus. Kentucky is 16-4 OVER vs. teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The Wildcats are 9-1 OVER vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season. Kentucky is 10-1 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season. The Wildcats are 11-1 OVER off an ATS win this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Vanderbilt +20.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 53-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Vanderbilt +20.5 Tennessee just doesn't take Vanderbilt seriously. As a result, the Commodores are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with Tennessee. They lost by 13 as 13.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season. They upset the Vols as 10-point home dogs last year. They only lost by 9 as 16.5-point road dogs and by 9 as 11.5-point road dogs in their last two road meetings. Vanderbilt treats this game like its 'national championship' game every year. The Commdores upset Texas A&M 74-73 as 8.5-point home dogs last time out to flash their potential, and they already proved they could play with the Vols int their first meeting this season. They actually led that game by 5 points at halftime, and the 13-point loss was not indicative of how close it really was. Vanderbilt is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games off a win by 6 points or less. Tennessee is 1-9 ATS with a total set of 140 to 149.5 this season. The Commodores are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more. Bet Vanderbilt Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Cincinnati v. UCF +1 | Top | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on UCF +1 UCF has proven it can hang in the Big 12 in its first season going 8-3 ATS in its 11 Big 12 games. That includes home wins over Kansas, West Virginia and Oklahoma. Now they host a Cincinnati team that they can handle here. Cincinnati is finding the Big 12 to be tough sledding going 3-7 SU in its last 10 games overall. The Bearcats just lost at home to both Houston and Iowa State and now have to go on the road here against UCF. This is a brutal stretch that will have taken a lot out of them. UCF is 10-4 SU & 10-4 ATS at home this season. The Knights are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games off two consecutive games with 12 or fewer assists. UCF is 8-1 ATS following a loss this season. Bet UCF Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Wisconsin +1 v. Iowa | 86-88 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Wisconsin +1 This is the ultimate 'buy low' spot on Wisconsin after going 1-4 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule. Now they get a break in the schedule here against an Iowa Hawkeyes team that is one of the worst in the Big Ten. Iowa is 3-5 SU & 1-7 ATS in its last eight games overall. The three wins came against Michigan, Ohio State and Minnesota. They were down 20 at home to Minnesota but the Gophers' best player in Dawson Garcia got hurt and they made the big comeback. They are coming off a 12-point loss at Maryland last time out. Wisconsin beat Iowa 83-72 at home in their first meeting this season to continue their dominance in this series. Iowa shot 41.2% from 3 while Wisconsin shot 25% yet the Badgers still won by 11. The Badgers are now 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Hawkeyes. Iowa is 1-9 ATS after two straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers this season. Bet Wisconsin Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -12 | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Mississippi State -12 Arkansas is a dead team walking. The Razorbacks are 3-8 SU & 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. They have rarely been competitive losing by 21 at LSU, by 26 at Ole Miss, by 22 at Florida, by 10 at Georgia and by 29 at home to Tennessee last time out. They are getting blasted on the road going 1-4 SU in their SEC road games with four losses by double-digits and their lone win at Missouri, which is winless in SEC play still. Mississippi State is in a great spot coming in on a full week of rest after playing last Saturday in a 75-51 win at Missouri. Arkansas just played on Wednesday in that 29-point home loss to Tennessee. The Bulldogs have one of the better home-court advantages in the SEC going 9-2 SU at home this season including wins over Tennessee and Auburn, which are the two best teams in the SEC. Arkansas is 0-7 ATS after playing two consecutive home games this season. The Razorbacks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after allowing 80 points or more. Arkansas is 3-14 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season. Bet Mississippi State Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne -9.5 v. Detroit | 83-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on IPFW -9.5 Detroit (1-26) is coming off its first victory of the season with an 81-66 home win over IUPUI as 5.5-point favorites. IUPUI is the only team that is worse than Detroit in the Horizon League. Now this is a massive letdown spot for the Titans, and I don't expect them to show up at all after getting that huge monkey off their back. IPFW crushed Detroit 91-56 as 13-point home favorites in their first meeting this season. I don't think it's asking much of them to win this game by double-digits to get the cover in the rematch considering the letdown spot for Detroit. IPFW is 8-1 ATS in its last nine road games with a total set of 140 to 149.5 points. Detroit is 2-8 ATS in home games this season. The Titans are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 home games when revenging a road loss. Detroit is 1-9 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet IPFW Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Texas +10.5 v. Houston | 61-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
15* Texas/Houston CBS ANNIHILATOR on Texas +10.5 Houston has been grossly overvalued here of late due to being the top-ranked team in KenPom. The result has been the Cougars going 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games overall. They are once again overvalued as double-digit home favorites against Texas Saturday. Texas wants revenge from a 76-72 (OT) home loss to Houston on January 29th less than three weeks ago. The Longhorns already proved they could play with Houston at home, and they have some very impressive efforts on the road in Big 12 play this season. They upset TCU 77-66 as 4.5-point road dogs, upset Oklahoma 75-60 as 4.5-point road dogs and upset Cincinnati 74-73 as 5-point road dogs. This is a veteran team that will relish the hostile atmosphere in Houston. Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last six games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% of their shots or better after 15-plus games. Bet Texas Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Florida v. Georgia +3.5 | Top | 88-82 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 8 m | Show |
25* SEC GAME OF THE YEAR on Georgia +3.5 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Georgia Bulldogs. They are 0-5 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule. But now they have had the last week off having played last Saturday to rest and recover. I expect a big effort from the Bulldogs against their arch rivals in Florida. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Gators. They have gone 6-1 SU in their last seven games overall. But they are starting to get overvalued, and they were fortunate to escape with an 82-80 home win over LSU as 11-point favorites on Tuesday. Georgia will be extra motivated for revenge from a 102-98 (OT) loss at Florida on January 27th. The Gators shot 54.9% from the field and 17-of-20 (85%) from the FT line and still needed OT to get by the Bulldogs. Things won't come as easy for the Gators on the road this time around. Georgia is 11-3 SU at home this season while Florida is 2-4 SU in SEC road games with one win at winless Missouri and the other coming by 3 points. Florida is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 road games after winning four or five of its last six games. Bet Georgia Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Creighton -2.5 v. Butler | 79-57 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Big East PLAY OF THE DAY on Creighton -2.5 Creighton wants revenge from a shocking 99-98 home loss to Butler as 10-point favorites on February 2nd just two weeks ago. Now the Bluejays come back as only 2.5-point road favorites in the rematch, and I like the value we are getting on them. Butler shot 55.1% from the field and a ridiculous 13-of-22 (59.1%) from 3-point range to pull off that upset. The Bulldogs won't shoot that well again in the rematch. Creighton ranks 18th in adjusted offense and 29th in adjusted defense while Butler ranks 31st in adjusted offense and 84th in adjusted defense. The Bluejays are by far the superior team, and it will show Saturday. Creighton is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after winning two of its last three games. The Bluejays are 30-15 ATS in their last 45 games when revenging a close loss by 3 points or less. The Bulldogs are 10-20 ATS in their last 30 games as underdogs. Creighton is 6-0 ATS in its last six road games vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game. Bet Creighton Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | Texas A&M v. Alabama OVER 157.5 | 75-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Texas A&M/Alabama ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 157.5 Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team. The Crimson Tide rank 1st in adjusted offense and 14th in adjusted tempo in the entire country. Nate Oats has one of the worst defensive teams he has ever had at Alabama this season as well. The OVER is 7-2 in Alabama's last nine games overall with 154 or more combined points in all nine games, including 161 or more in five consecutive games. This is a very low total for a game involving Alabama right now. Alabama will control the tempo playing at home against a Texas A&M team that likes to slow it down. But the Aggies have an offense that can keep up with some elite guards. They rank 33rd in the country in adjusted offense. Alabama has a problem defending elite guards. Texas A&M is 20-9 OVER in its last 20 road games. Alabama is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games after scoring 80 points or more in three consecutive games. The Crimson Tide are 10-1 OVER in Saturday games this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-17-24 | TCU v. Kansas State -1 | 75-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
15* TCU/Kansas State ESPNU Early ANNIHILATOR on Kansas State -1 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Kansas State Wildcats. They are 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall against a brutal schedule. They lost four straight with three road losses to Iowa State, Houston and Oklahoma State before upsetting Kansas at home to show what they are capable of. They also hung with BYU in a 6-point road loss as 11-point dogs last time out. But now Kansas State is rested and ready to go and highly motivated for a victory. They have had the last week off since that road loss at BYU last Saturday. The Wildcats will be playing just their 2nd game in 12 days. Meanwhile, TCU will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days. Kansas State is 11-2 SU at home this season. TCU is 2-3 SU in Big 12 road games. The Wildcats are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games following two consecutive conference games. Kansas State is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games after forcing three straight opponents to commit 11 or fewer turnovers. Kansas State beat TCU 82-61 at home last season. Bet Kansas State Saturday. |
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02-16-24 | New Mexico +6.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
20* New Mexico/SDSU MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on New Mexico +6.5 New Mexico has played some of its best basketball on the road this season proving that the Lobos can win away from The Pit. They have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four MWC road games with three wins by 18 points or more as well as an upset win at Nevada. Now the Lobos are catching 6.5 points on the road to a San Diego State team that they beat 88-70 at home in their first meeting. They won by 18 despite shooting just 7-of-24 (29.2%) from 3 and 21-of-31 (67.7%) from the FT line. There was nothing fluky about that victory at all. They go from being 3.5-point favorites in that game to 6.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is a 10-point adjustment. That's too big of an adjustment for flipping home courts. New Mexico is 6-0 ATS after allowing 80 points or more this season. The Lobos are 7-0 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less this season. New Mexico is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with San Diego State including a 76-67 upset win as 8-point road dogs last year. Bet New Mexico Friday. |
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02-15-24 | Utah v. USC OVER 147.5 | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
15* Utah/USC Pac-12 Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 147.5 The USC Trojans just got their best player in Isiah Collier back from injury. They are a terrible defensive team regardless, but they are a much better offensive team with Collier in the lineup. The result has been two consecutive shootouts combining for 167 points with Stanford and 170 with California. Utah is playing in a ton of shootouts here of late as well combining for 157 with Oregon, 171 with Washington, 204 with Arizona and 162 with Arizona State in four of their last six games. Utah ranks 77th in adjusted tempo and 43rd in adjusted offense. USC also likes to play fast ranking 116th in adjusted tempo. USC is 6-0 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 this season. The Trojans are 11-1 OVER after failing to cover two of their last three against the spread this season. USC is 11-1 OVER vs. teams that attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-15-24 | Wolves v. Blazers +9.5 | Top | 128-91 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland Trail Blazers +9.5 I like the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They will want revenge from a 121-109 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Tuesday. Now they get their shot at revenge at home again, and they go from 7.5-point dogs to 9.5-point dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjusment. The Timberwolves are looking ahead to the All-Star Break and want nothing to do with this game tonight. They won't be motivated at all to beat the Blazers again, which will make it difficult for them to win by double-digits, which is what it is going to take to beat us tonight. We saw the Blazers in a similar spot less than a week ago. They lost by 12 in Denver as 12.5-point dogs and only lost by 9 to the Nuggets in the rematch as 14.5-point dogs. Minnesota is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games after covering 5 or 6 of its last seven games. Bet the Blazers Thursday. |
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02-15-24 | California v. Washington State UNDER 139.5 | 65-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on California/Washington State UNDER 139.5 Washington State is a dead nuts UNDER team. The Cougars rank 303rd in adjusted tempo and 28th in adjusted defense. They pride themselves on defense, and they will control the tempo at home tonight, which will be played at a snail's pace against California. This will be the 2nd meeting of the season between Washington State and California, and the first would have stayed UNDER the total if not for OT. Cal won 81-75 (OT) at home in a game that was tied 68-68 at the end of regulation for just 136 combined points. In fact, Cal and Washington State have now combined for 139 or fewer points at the end of regulation in 11 consecutive meetings, making for an 11-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 139.5-point total. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday. |
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02-15-24 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 239.5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Warriors/Jazz OVER 239.5 The Golden State Warriors are really clicking offensively right now. They have scored 119 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games overall. I expect them to top that number tonight to lead the way in us cashing this OVER 239.5 bet. The Utah Jazz have scored at least 120 points in 15 of their last 19 games overall. I expect them to top that number as well. The Jazz have been atrocious defensively, allowing 138, 129 and 129 points in their last three games overall. They have simply quit playing defense heading into the All-Star Break. Both teams will be tired playing the 2nd of a back-to-back in altitude tonight. I think it will affect their defensive effort more than anything. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-15-24 | Temple +20 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 68-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
20* AAC GAME OF THE WEEK on Temple +20 The Florida Atlantic Owls set some unsustainable expectations when they made their run to the Final 4 last season. They have been overvalued big time in conference play this season. They have a target on their backs and are getting everyone's best shot on a nightly basis. The result has been a 3-9 ATS run over their last 12 games overall. The Owls aren't blowing anyone out. They have won several close games during this stretch with six of their last 13 games decided by 4 points or fewer. They had no business covering against Wichita State last game, winning by 13 as 7.5-point favorites in overtime. Florida Atlantic won't be motivated at all to beat Temple tonight, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 20-point spread. They have a huge game on deck at South Florida on Sunday against the team that is leading the conference. They will be looking ahead to that game. Temple is 1-10 SU in conference play, but all 10 losses came by 18 points or less, and nine by 13 points or fewer. So they haven't lost by this kind of margin in conference play. Temple's last six games were all decided by 7 points or fewer or went to OT. They will be treating this game as their 'national championship' game against FAU. Temple has just one loss by more than 18 points all season, making for a 23-1 system backing the Owls pertaining to this 20-point spread. Florida Atlantic has just one win by more than 15 points in its last 15 games. Bet Temple Thursday. |
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02-14-24 | UNLV v. Fresno State +5 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
15* CBB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Fresno State +5 It's time to 'sell high' on the UNLV Rebels. They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as well. One of their last four wins came 78-69 at home against Fresno State as 8-point favorites on January 30th. So now the Bulldogs have quick revenge in mind getting the Rebels at home this time around. They committed 21 turnovers in that first meeting and still only lost by 9. They will take much better care of the basketball at home this time around. They are coming off two straight upset road wins at San Jose State and Air Force, and I like their chances of pulling off the upset in this rematch as well. UNLV is also in a massive letdown spot coming off an 80-77 road win at New Mexico as 12-point underdogs. They have another huge game on deck against their biggest rivals in Nevada on Saturday, making this a big sandwich spot for the Rebels. They won't give Fresno State their full attention tonight as a result. Plays on underdogs (Fresno State) - off two or more consecutive upset wins as road underdogs in Wednesday games are 46-19 (70.8%) ATS since 1997. Bet Fresno State Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Clippers v. Warriors OVER 234 | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Clippers/Warriors OVER 234 The Golden State Warriors are really clicking offensively right now. They have scored 119 or more points in nine of their last 11 games overall. I expect them to top that number tonight to lead the way in us cashing this OVER 234 bet. The Clippers will be without Kawhi Leonard, but his loss is felt more defensively than anything as he is one of their best defenders. This isn't a very good defensive team without him with guys like James Harden, Paul George and Russell Westbrook playing more minutes. The Clippers will get their points as they are loaded offensively, scoring 118.0 points per game overall and 118.8 points per game on the road. The OVER is 3-1 in the last four meetings with 234 or more combined points in three of those four meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Clippers v. Warriors -2.5 | Top | 130-125 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Warriors ESPN No-Brainer on Golden State -2.5 The Golden State Warriors are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 7-1 SU & 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with their lone loss coming on the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road in OT at Atlanta. They have home wins over the Suns and 76ers, as well as road wins over the Grizzlies by 20, the Nets by 11, the 76ers by 24, the Pacers by 22 and the Jazz by 22. These games haven't even been close. The Los Angeles Clippers are limping into the All-Star Break having gone 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall. They were upset by the Pelicans at home by 11 as 6-point favorites, only beat the Pistons by 6 as 17-point home favorites and lost by 21 at home to the Timberwolves as 4.5-point favorites. Now the Clippers will be without their best player in Kawhi Leonard (24.1 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 3.7 APG) tonight. This team goes as Leonard goes, and I don't expect them to put up much of a fight without him tonight. Home-court advantage has meant everything in this series. Indeed, the home team is 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Bet the Warriors Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 219.5 | 113-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Grizzlies UNDER 219.5 The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts UNDER team without all of their top scorers right now due to injury. Memphis is 18-7 UNDER in its 25 home games which have seen an average of just 215.3 combined points per game. The Grizzlies have been held to 113 or fewer points in 14 consecutive games now. The Rockets are also missing two key players in Fred VanVleet (16.5 PPG, 8.2 APG) and Cam Whitmore (11.9 PPG). They have been held to 105 or fewer points in five of their last nine games overall. The Grizzlies rank dead last (30th) in offensive rating while the Rockets rank 23rd. Memphis is 10-2 UNDER in home games off two or more consecutive losses this season. Houston is 13-5 UNDER off a home win this season. The Rockets are 30-14 UNDER in their last 44 games following a win overall. The Grizzlies are 8-1 UNDER in home games against teams that force 13 or fewer turnovers per game this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Nets +13.5 v. Celtics | Top | 86-136 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +13.5 I like the spot for the Brooklyn Nets tonight. They will be out for revenge from a 118-110 home loss to the Boston Celtics last night. Now they come back as 13.5-point dogs on the road in the rematch tonight. The Celtics won't be very motivated to beat this team again, which will make it difficult for them to cover this inflated number. All five starters for the Celtics played at least 35 minutes last night. They aren't as deep as the Nets, who will have an advantage in this 2nd of a back-to-back situation with four of their five starters playing 34 minutes or fewer, and three playing 28 or fewer last night. Boston is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games following a win where it didn't cover the spread. The Celtics are 5-13 ATS following three or more consecutive wins this season. Boston is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games overall and grossly overvalued over the last couple weeks. The Celtics are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games vs. good shooting teams that make 46% of their shots or better. Bet the Nets Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Xavier v. Seton Hall -2.5 | Top | 70-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -2.5 This is a great spot to 'buy low' on Seton Hall. The Pirates have played a few games without their best player in Kadary Richmond (15.9 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 4.9 APG) here recently that have contributed to a 2-4 SU stretch of their last six games. They are coming off their worst loss of the season, an 80-54 road loss at Villanova. Now the Pirates are back home where they will want revenge from a 74-54 road loss at Xavier in their first meeting this season. They shot 2-of-15 (13.3%) from 3 while Xavier shot 10-of-20 (50%) which was the difference. They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch. I believe the Pirates are favored for good reason tonight and will bounce back in a big way now that they are fully healthy. Xavier is 2-5 SU on the road this season with one of those wins coming against DePaul. Seton Hall is 9-3 SU at home this season with wins over UConn and Marquette. Their two Big East home losses came by a combined 7 points and they didn't have Richmond in one of them. The Pirates are 24-10 ATS in their last 34 games off a blowout conference loss by 20 points or more. Bet Seton Hall Wednesday. |
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02-14-24 | Michigan State v. Penn State +3.5 | 80-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State +3.5 The Penn State Nittany Lions are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall. They upset Rutgers by 15 as 7-point road dogs, upset Indiana by 14 as 7-point road dogs, upset Iowa by 10 as 1-point home dogs and took Northwestern to the wire in a 5-point loss as 7.5-point road dogs. They cover the spread by a combined 56.5 points in their last four games. Now the Nittany Lions are undervalued once again as 3.5-point home dogs to Michigan State. They want revenge from a 92-61 road loss at Michigan State. They shot 3-of-29 (10.3%) from 3 while the Spartans shot 10-of-21 (47.6%) from 3 in that game. It's safe to say the Nittany Lions are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch, and they have been shooting it much better here of late. Michigan State is 1-5 SU & 1-4-1 ATS in Big Ten road games this season with their lone win coming by 2 points at Maryland. The Spartans are in a bit of a letdown spot here as well after a big comeback home win over Illinois over the weekend. Michigan State is 0-8 ATS in its last eight road games after covering two of its last three games. The Spartans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after winning three of their last four games. Penn State is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more. The Nittany Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games off a loss by 6 points or less. Penn State is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or better in the 2nd half of the season. Bet Penn State Wednesday. |
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02-13-24 | Wolves v. Blazers +8.5 | Top | 121-109 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +8.5 The Minnesota Timberwolves are in a letdown spot coming off two consecutive upset road wins over the Bucks and Clippers. They beat the Clippers 121-100 last night and will now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. I can't see them being all that motivated to beat the Blazers tonight after upsetting the Clippers, and they are definitely the more tired team. The Blazers have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 9 days. They are expected to get Anfernee Simons (23.4 PPG, 5.3 APG) back from injury, and he means everything to their success. They also have Jerami Grant (21.9 PPG) and De'Andre Ayton (13.9 PPG, 10.4 RPG) healthy and could get back Scoot Henderson (12.8 PPG, 4.6 APG), who is questionable. The Blazers have been competitive in seven consecutive games not once losing by more than 12 points and with only one loss by double-digits. This despite battling through injuries to several of their key players. I love the spot for the Blazers with the rest advantage, and they are 42-12 SU in their last 54 home meetings with the Timberwolves to boot. Minnesota is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games after covering five or six of their last seven games. Plays against favorites (Minnesota) - after scoring 120 points or more against an opponent after a combined score of 185 points or less are 29-8 (78.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Timberwolves. Bet the Blazers Tuesday. |
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02-13-24 | Ole Miss v. Kentucky OVER 162.5 | Top | 63-75 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show |
20* Ole Miss/Kentucky ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 162.5 Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 14th in adjusted tempo and 5th in adjusted offense but just 125th in adjusted defense. They are 18-5 OVER in their 23 games this season, including 12-2 OVER in their 14 home games which are seeing 170.6 combined points per game on average. Ole Miss is an elite offensive team ranking 30th in adjusted offense but like Kentucky, a terrible defensive team ranking 130th in adjusted defense. The Rebels are 10th in 3-point percentage hitting 38.7% on the season. The Wildcats are 1st at 41% on the season. These are two elite shooting teams, so the OVER is a great bet. Kentucky is 15-1 OVER after a game with 155 or more combined points this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-13-24 | Ohio State v. Wisconsin -9 | 54-62 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Wisconsin -9 Wisconsin will be max motivated for a victory tonight to end a 4-game losing streak. Three of those losses came on the road and the lone home loss was against arguably the best team in the country in Purdue when they shot 3-of-19 from 3 and still only lost by 6 points. Now they are back home here against a team they can handle in Ohio State. The Buckeyes are 2-8 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their two wins both coming at home against Penn State and Maryland. The Buckeyes are 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in Big Ten road games this season with losses to Penn State, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Northwestern and Iowa. This will be their toughest road test this season. Wisconsin beat Ohio State 71-60 on the road in their first meeting this season. The Badgers are 11-2 SU & 8-5 ATS at home this season. The Buckeyes are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 road games. Ohio State is 1-8 ATS off a home win this season. The Buckeyes are 0-7 ATS vs. teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers pe game this season. Bet Wisconsin Tuesday. |
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02-13-24 | Thunder v. Magic OVER 223 | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Thunder/Magic OVER 223 The Oklahoma City Thunder are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 10th in pace and 5th in offensive rating. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Thunder last five games overall with 232 or more combined points in all five games. This 223-point total is very low for a game involving the Thunder right now. The Magic are more of an under team, but they have gone OVER in three consecutive games and are fully healthy right now. They have gone 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall as well. The books continue to set their totals too low. They won't mind getting up and down with the Thunder in this one. The first meeting between the Thunder and Magic this season the total was set at 232, so this total is 9 points less and there's value as a result. Both teams shot terribly in that first meeting which is why it stayed under. The Thunder shot 7-of-35 (20%) from 3-point range while the Magic shot 8-of-36 (22.2%). Both teams are due for some positive shooting regression in the rematch. Orlando is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 games after winning four of its last five games. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-13-24 | Illinois State +18.5 v. Indiana State | 80-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Illinois State +18.5 It's a good time to 'sell high' on the Indiana State Sycamores who are 22-3 and in 1st place in the Missouri Valley. They have won nine consecutive games and are coming off a hard-fought 73-71 win at Missouri State on Saturday. I expect them to be flat as a pancake tonight, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 18.5-point spread. Illinois State is just 11-14 SU this season but has been very competitive in pretty much every game. In fact, the Redbirds have just one loss by more than 17 points in their last 12 games. They have played some of their best basketball on the road this season with their last five road games all decided by single-digits. They upset both Missouri State and Murray State on the road during this stretch and only lost by 3 as 8-point dogs at Southern Illinois. Illinois State hasn't lost any of its last nine meetings with Indiana State by more than 16 points, making for a perfect 9-0 system backing the Redbirds pertaining to this 18.5-point spread. Bet Illinois State Tuesday. |
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02-12-24 | Warriors v. Jazz +105 | 129-107 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Utah Jazz ML +105 The Utah Jazz have been the best covering team at home in the NBA this season. They are 17-7 SU & 18-5-1 ATS at home and have knocked off many of the top contenders in the league. They should not be home underdogs to the Golden State Warriors tonight. I love the spot for the Jazz coming in on three days' rest, so they will be fresh and ready to go. I hate the spot for the Warriors coming off a 113-112 home win over the Suns where Steph Curry won it with a 3-pointers just before the buzzer. This is now a letdown spot for the Warriors, who will also be playing in their 7th different city in 11 days and in altitude to boot. This is a tired team right now ripe for the upset. Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games after losing four or five of its last six games this season. Golden State is 9-19 ATS in its last 28 road games with a line of +3 to -3. The home team is 6-0 SU & 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Jazz Monday. |
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02-12-24 | Wizards v. Mavs OVER 247 | 104-112 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Mavs OVER 247 The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team when they have Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic on the court at the same time. They are two of the best scorers in the NBA, but they are also two of the worst defenders. The Mavericks rank 7th in offensive rating and 22nd in defensive rating this season while playing at the 8th-fastest tempo. They face another dead nuts OVER team here in the Washington Wizards, who rank 1st in pace and 27th in defensive rating. But the Wizards are a pretty good offensive team with all of their young guards. They lost a 129-133 shootout in Boston in their last road game for 262 combined points. The Mavericks are coming off a 146-111 home win over the Thunder for 257 combined points. Washington is 32-12 OVER in its last 44 games vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game, including 13-2 OVER in their last 15 in the 2nd half of the season. Dallas is 16-6 OVER against teams with losing records this season. These teams have combined for 247 and 253 points in their last two meetings, and the OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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02-12-24 | Nuggets v. Bucks +2 | Top | 95-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
20* Nuggets/Bucks NBA TV No-Brainer on Milwaukee +2 It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Milwaukee Bucks. They went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their first six games with Doc Rivers. But it was largely due to a brutal schedule and some injuries. They played five straight road games and came home and lost to Minnesota. But the Bucks bounced back with a 120-84 home win over the Hornets on the 2nd of a back-to-back in Damian Lillard's return from injury. Now they have had the last two days off to rest and recover, and now they want revenge from a 107-113 road loss at Denver on January 29th in Rivers' first game. The Bucks go from 4-point road dogs at Denver in that meeting to 2-point home dogs in the rematch. They should be at least 2-point home favorites when adjusting for home-court advantage and the spot. Denver is 2-11 ATS after playing two consecutive road games this season. Plays on any team (Milwaukee) - after losing five or six of its last seven games, a good team (60-75%) playing a winning team are 45-15 (75%) ATS over the last five seasons. Plays on all teams with a line of +3 to -3 (Milwaukee) - off a blowout home win by 20 points or more, a good team winning 60-75% of their games on the season are 41-14 (74.5%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Bucks Monday. |
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02-11-24 | Kings v. Thunder OVER 239 | Top | 113-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
20* Kings/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on OVER 239 The Sacramento Kings and Oklahoma City Thunder are both two dead nuts OVER teams. The Thunder rank 10th in pace while the Kings rank 11th. The Thunder rank 5th in offensive rating while the Kings rank 14th. The OVER is 5-0 in Kings last five games overall with 238 or more combined points in all five games and 241 or more in four of them. The OVER is 4-0 in Thunder last four games overall with 241 or more combined points in three consecutive games. These teams combined for 251 points in their most recent meeting this season. Oklahoma City is 16-1 OVER vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game over the last two seasons. The Thunder are 10-1 OVER vs. good offensive teams scoring 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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02-11-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Iowa | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
15* Minnesota/Iowa Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Minnesota +6.5 The Minnesota Golden Gophers are 15-7 SU & 19-3 ATS this season as they best covering team in the entire country. They have been grossly undervalued all season and remain undervalued here as a 6.5-point road underdog to the Iowa Hawkeyes. Iowa is 13-10 SU & 9-14 ATS this season, including just 4-8 ATS at home as they are one of the more overvalued teams in the country. The Hawkeyes are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their two wins coming against two of the worst teams in the Big Ten in Michigan by 10 and Ohio State by 2 both at home. They were also upset by Maryland at home. Minnesota wants revenge from an 86-77 home loss to Iowa. The Hawkeyes shot a unsustainable 53.8% in that game while the Gophers shot 5-of-29 (17.2%) from 3. I think the Golden Gophers are due for some positive shooting regression to say the least in the rematch. The Gophers are 10-0 ATS off two straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds this season. The Hawkeyes are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. Bet Minnesota Sunday. |
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02-11-24 | Penn State +8.5 v. Northwestern | Top | 63-68 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
20* Penn State/Northwestern Big Ten No-Brainer on Penn State +8.5 The Penn State Nittany Lions are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with three outright upsets on the road at Rutgers by 15 as 7-point dogs, on the road at Indiana by 14 as 7-point dogs and at home over Utah by 10 as 1-point dogs. They have cover the spread by a combined 54 points in those three games. The books still aren't giving the Nittany Lions the respect they deserve today as 8.5-point road dogs at Northwestern. They want revenge from a 76-72 home loss to the Wildcats as 1.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season on January 10th. That was a rare loss for the Nittany Lions in this series as they are 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six meetings with the Wildcats with three outright upsets as underdogs. Northwestern lost sharp shooter Ty Berry to a knee injury in their 80-68 home win over Nebraska last time out. Berry averages 11.6 points per game and shoots 43.3% from 3 and 89.5% from the FT line. His loss isn't being factored into this line enough. Berry had 16 points and 5 rebounds while making 4-of-5 from 3-point range in their first meeting with Penn State. Penn State is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 points or more. The Nittany Lions are 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games as underdogs. Penn State is 15-3 ATS in its last 18 games vs. good 3-point shooting teams that make 37% or better. The Wildcats are due for some 3-point shooting regression, especially without Berry. They shot 58.3% from 3 in that first meeting and still only won by 4 despite Penn State shooting 3-of-17 (17.6%) from 3. Bet Penn State Saturday. |
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02-11-24 | Seton Hall v. Villanova UNDER 133.5 | 54-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
15* Seton Hall/Villanova Big East Early ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 133.5 Seton Hall and Villanova are both dead nuts UNDER teams. Couple that with the fact that this is an early, sleepy start time at 12:00 EST and I think we have the perfect recipe for a defensive battle in this Big East showdown. Villanova ranks 338th in adjusted tempo and 25th in adjusted defense. Seton Hall ranks 294th in adjusted tempo and 68th in adjusted defense. Villanova is 4-2 UNDER in its last six games overall with 131 or fewer combined points in four of those six games. Seton Hall is 3-1 UNDER in its last four games overall with 132 or fewer combined points in three of those four games. Seton Hall is 52-33 UNDER in its last 85 games overall. Villanova is 6-0 UNDER in its last six home games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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02-10-24 | USC v. Stanford OVER 151.5 | 68-99 | Win | 100 | 27 h 7 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on USC/Stanford OVER 151.5 USC just got its best player in Isaiah Collier (15.6 PPG, 4.1 APG) back from injury in an 83-77 win over California on Wednesday. The Trojans are back to full strength and an elite offensive team with a ton of talent when that's the case. It's time to 'buy low' on a USC OVER now getting Collier back. Stanford is a good partner for an OVER. The Cardinal rank 72nd in adjusted tempo, 81st in adjusted offense and 120th in adjusted defense. USC likes to play fast too especially with Collier. USC beat Stanford 93-79 for 172 combined points in their first meeting this season. The OVER is now 6-2 in the last eight meetings. They combined for 160 points in their previous meeting as well. Stanford is 9-0 OVER in its last nine games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Cardinal are 11-1 OVER at home this season. USC is 10-1 OVER after failing to cover two of its last three games this season. The Trojans are 10-1 OVER vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Arizona v. Colorado +2.5 | Top | 99-79 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
25* Pac-12 GAME OF THE YEAR on Colorado +2.5 This is the toughest spot of the season for Arizona. They are coming off a 105-99 (3 OT) win at Utah in the altitude on Thursday. Four starters played at least 44 minutes for the Wildcats. Now they have to turn around and play in the altitude again in Colorado on Saturday. They won't have anything left in the tank for the Buffaloes. Colorado made pretty easy work of Arizona State in an 82-70 home win on Thursday. The Buffaloes should still be pretty fresh for this one. They have some of the biggest home/road splits in the country over the last decade, which has proven to be the case again this season. Colorado is 13-0 SU at home this season and outscoring opponents by 19.2 points per game. Arizona is 2-3 SU in its last five Pac-12 road games despite being favored in all five. The two wins both came down to the wire, and the three losses came by 18 at Stanford as 12-point favorites, by 3 at Washington State as 9-point favorites and by 3 at Oregon State as 18.5-point favorites. Colorado is 7-2 SU in its last nine home meetings with Arizona. That includes a 79-63 win in their most recent home meeting. Arizona is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 road games vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 4-plus boards per game. The Buffaloes are fully healthy and a dangerous team when that's the case because it hasn't been for much of the season. Bet Colorado Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 239.5 | Top | 112-113 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
20* Suns/Warriors ABC No-Brainer on OVER 239.5 Both the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors are as healthy as they have been basically all season. They are both elite offensive teams when that is the case, and that has been on display in recent games. Indeed, the Suns have scored at least 114 points in 14 of their last 15 games overall. The Warriors have scored at least 119 points in eight of their last nine games overall. I think both teams get to 120 in this one and it sails OVER the total. Golden State is 8-1 OVER in Saturday games this season. Phoenix is 8-1 OVER vs. good rebounding teams that outrebound their opponents by 3-plus boards per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Arizona State +13 v. Utah | Top | 85-77 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show |
20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +13 This is the toughest spot of the season for the Utah Utes. They are coming off a very deflating 105-99 (3 OT) home loss to Arizona on Thursday. Now they have to try and get back up off the mat to face the Arizona Sun Devils on Saturday. They won't have anything left in the tank as their three best players in Madsen (51 minutes), Smith (49) and Carlson (44) have to be running on fumes. That is going to make it very difficult for the Utes to get margin on the Sun Devils. Arizona State clearly matches up well with Utah beating them 82-70 as 6-point home dogs in their first meeting this season. The Sun Devils are now 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Utes. Utah is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games following a home loss. Arizona State is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after two straight games attempting 10 or fewer free throws than their opponents. The Utes are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-pointers per game after 15-plus games. Bet Arizona State Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma UNDER 140 | 62-66 | Win | 100 | 24 h 9 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Oklahoma State/Oklahoma UNDER 140 Oklahoma ranks 173rd in adjusted tempo and 16th in adjusted defense. Oklahoma State ranks 200th in adjusted tempo, 90th in adjusted defense and just 170th in adjusted offense. Both of these are UNDER teams. That has been on display in recent head-to-head meetings between Oklahoma and Oklahoma State. Indeed, Oklahoma and Oklahoma State have combined for 106, 132, 128, 108 and 119 points at the end of regulation in their last five meetings. That's an average of 118.6 combined points per game, which is 22.6 points per game less than this 140-point total. There's a ton of value on the UNDER to say the least. Oklahoma is 10-3 UNDER vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game this season. The Sooners are 9-1 UNDER in their last 10 home games after two straight games with 12 or fewer assists. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | St. John's +7.5 v. Marquette | Top | 75-86 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 15 m | Show |
20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on St. John's +7.5 This is a great spot to 'buy low' on St. John's after losing five of their last seven games overall. They want revenge from one of those defeats, a 73-72 home loss to Marquette on January 20th. Now they go from being 1.5-point favorites in that game to 7.5-point road dogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment. It's a good time to 'sell high' on Marquette off six consecutive victories while also going 5-1 ATS during that stretch. They have had the last week off, and while that's usually a good thing, it could work against them here because they were on a roll. It's just like the NFL where you want to back teams who were poor going into their bye and fade teams that were on a roll going into their bye. St. John's is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 road games after losing four or five of its last six games coming in. The Red Storm are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 8-plus points per game. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Bet St. John's Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | UCLA +1.5 v. California | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on UCLA +1.5 Mick Cronin has the UCLA Bruins playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming on the road to Arizona by 6 as 18-point dogs when they blew an 18-point lead. Five of their six wins have come by 8 points or more. Now the Bruins have their sights set on revenge from a 66-57 home loss to California as 6.5-point favorites. That was back when they were playing very poorly and banged up. This is a different UCLA team this time around. It's a good time to 'sell high' on Cal off consecutive wins over Arizona State and USC, which are two teams playing some of the worst basketball in the Pac-12 right now. The Golden Bears should not be favored in this contest. The Bruins are 6-0 ATS in road games following an ATS win this season. The Golden Bears are 10-20 ATS in their last 30 home games. California is 0-7 ATS in its last seven home games vs. marginal winning teams (51-60%). Bet UCLA Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Gonzaga v. Kentucky OVER 166.5 | 89-85 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Gonzaga/Kentucky CBS ANNIHILATOR on OVER 166.5 Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 11th in adjusted tempo and 5th in adjusted offense but just 102nd in adjusted defense. They are 17-5 OVER in their 22 games this season, including 11-2 OVER in their 13 home games which are seeing 171.4 combined points per game on average. Gonzaga is also a dead nuts OVER team. The Bulldogs rank 61st in adjusted tempo and 28th in adjusted offense. They are scoring 84.7 points per game on 50.7% shooting this season. These teams are unfamiliar with one another with this rare non-conference game in February, which will favor the OVER. Kentucky is 14-1 OVER after a game with 155 or more combined points this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | NC State v. Wake Forest OVER 149 | Top | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on NC State/Wake Forest OVER 149 Wake Forest is an elite offensive team. They score 80.7 points per game overall and 84.9 points per game at home. They rank 27th in adjusted offense and 109th in adjusted tempo, so they like to play pretty fast as well. NC State also likes to play pretty fast ranking 120th in adjusted tempo and 100th in adjusted offense. The Wolfpack are scoring 75.2 points per game this season. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between NC State and Wake Forest with 159, 164, 156 and 177 combined points. NC State beat Wake Forest 83-76 earlier this season for 159 combined points despite these two teams combining to go just 6-of-26 (23.1%) from 3-point range. I have to think they will only shoot better in the rematch. Wake Forest is 8-0 OVER in its last eight games off two consecutive blowout wins by 20 points or more. NC State is 51-32 OVER in its last 83 road games vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Auburn v. Florida +2.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 21 h 1 m | Show |
20* SEC GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida +2.5 I love the spot for the Florida Gators. They have had the last week off since a tough 67-66 road loss to Texas A&M last Saturday. They are foaming at the mouth and ready to take their shot at upsetting the Auburn Tigers in Gainesville on Saturday. Meanwhile, Auburn is in the ultimate letdown spot. The Tigers are coming off a 99-81 home win over their biggest rivals in the Alabama Crimson Tide. They got revenge on Alabama after losing on the road to them in their first meeting this season. That was on Wednesday, so the Tigers have only had two days to get ready for the Gators. Florida is 9-1 SU at home this season with its lone loss coming to Kentucky by 2. Auburn is 1-2 SU & 1-2 ATS in its last three SEC road games losing at Alabama by 4 and at Mississippi State by 6 with its lone win coming at Ole Miss. Florida is a perfect 14-0 SU in its last 14 home meetings with Auburn. Bet Florida Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Thunder v. Mavs OVER 240 | 111-146 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Mavs NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 240 The Dallas Mavericks are a dead nuts OVER team when Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are on the court at the same time. Both are elite scorers and terrible defenders. The Mavericks are 12th in offensive rating and 22nd in defensive rating this season while ranking 9th in pace. The Thunder rank 10th in pace and 5th in offensive rating and can match the Mavericks score for score in this one. They will be looking to get up and down in this one especially coming into this game on three days' rest and fully healthy now. OKC beat Dallas 126-120 for 246 combined points in their lone meeting this season. That was a very up-tempo game that got OVER the total despite the Thunder shooting just 44% and the Mavericks 44.8% for the game. I expect the shooting to improve in the rematch. Oklahoma City is 15-1 OVER vs. teams that attempt 39 or more 3-pointers per game over the last two seasons. The Thunder are 9-1 OVER vs. good offensive teams scoring 116 or more points per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | TCU +8 v. Iowa State | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 60 m | Show |
20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on TCU +8 I love the spot for TCU Saturday. They have had the last week off since a 77-66 home loss to Texas. They want revenge from a 73-72 home loss to Iowa State on January 20th in their first meeting this season. I expect them to take the Cyclones to the wire at the very least, so we are getting some great value on the Horned Frogs. Iowa State will be playing its 3rd game in 8 days and is in a letdown spot following a 70-65 upset road win at Texas on Tuesday. The Cyclones won't be all that motivated to beat TCU again, and they are starting to get a little too much respect after going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. Three of the last four meetings between Iowa State and TCU were decided by 3 points or less. TCU is a perfect 8-0 ATS in its last eight games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Horned Frogs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. TCU is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Bet TCU Saturday. |
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02-10-24 | Wisconsin -4 v. Rutgers | Top | 56-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 31 m | Show |
20* Wisconsin/Rutgers Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin -4 I love the spot for the Wisconsin Badgers. They are riding a season-high 3-game losing streak and will be max motivated for a victory. They lost in OT at Nebraska, went 3-for-19 from 3 in a 6-point home loss to Purdue, and were upset at Michigan as 8-point favorites last time out. We will 'buy low' on the Badgers and 'sell high' on Rutgers, which is coming off two consecutive upset road wins at Michigan and at Maryland. They came back from 15 points down in the 2H to beat Michigan and clipped Maryland by 3. They had lost their previous three games and none were really competitive, losing by 25 at Illinois, by 8 at home to Purdue and by 15 at home to Penn State. Home-court advantage has meant very little in this series. The road team is now 4-0 SU & 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings. This is a very short number for the Badgers to be laying today considering they are by far the superior team. The rank 11th in offense and 31st in defense while Rutgers ranks 297th in offense. Bet Wisconsin Saturday. |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State v. Nevada -1.5 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
20* SDSU/Nevada MWC No-Brainer on Nevada -1.5 Nevada is 11-1 SU at home this season with home of the best home-court advantages in the Mountain West. Their last two home games have been very impressive with a 77-64 win as 3.5-point favorites over Colorado State and a 90-60 win over San Jose State as 11.5-point favorites. But neither were as impressive as their 77-63 win as 5.5-point dogs at Utah State last time out, so the Wolf Pack are playing their best basketball of the season right now. Now they get a chance to boost their NCAA Tournament resume today with a home win over a ranked San Diego State team. But the Aztecs have been far from dominant over the last month. They have gone 5-3 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last eight games overall. Most concerning has been their performances on the road. The Aztecs only beat San Jose State 81-78 as 10-point favorites, lost 88-70 at New Mexico as 3.5-point dogs, lost 67-66 as 1-point favorites at Boise State and lost 79-71 as 2.5-point dogs at Colorado State. They are now 1-4 ATS in their last five MWC road games. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Nevada beat San Diego State 75-66 as a 2.5-point home dog last season. Bet Nevada Friday. |
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02-09-24 | Rockets v. Raptors OVER 233 | 104-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Rockets/Raptors OVER 233 The Houston Rockets have changed the way they play with more tempo over the last month. They have gone for 239 or more combined points with their opponents in eight of their last 13 games overall. The Toronto Raptors are a dead nuts OVER team since trading for Emmanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett for one of their best defenders in OG Anunoby. They also traded for Bruce Brown, and those three guards make them an OVER team. The OVER is 4-0 in Raptors last four games overall with 238 or more combined points in all four games. That includes their 135-106 loss in Houston on February 2nd earlier this month for 241 combined points. It should be more of the same here, except I expect the Raptors to shoot much better than they did in that first meeting. Houston is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games vs. terrible defensive teams that allow 48% shooting or higher in the 2nd half of the season. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings between the Raptors and Rockets. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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02-09-24 | Hawks -2 v. 76ers | Top | 127-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks -2 The Atlanta Hawks didn't lose any important players at the trade deadline despite Dejounte Murray's name coming up a ton. I think he sat out the last couple games because of the rumors, and now there's a decent chance he returns tonight. That would be a bonus, but I like how the Hawks played even without him in their last two games. They took both the Clippers at home and Celtics on the road to the wire. Now I expect them to get rewarded for their efforts tonight by taking down a short-handed Philadelphia 76ers team. The 76ers are 26-8 SU with Joel Embiid and 4-12 SU without him. Tyrese Maxey isn't good enough to carry this team. They lost Patrick Beverly in a trade and added Buddy Hield and Cameron Payne, but neither are expected to play tonight. They are also without Melton, Batum and Covington. The last three games without Embiid have been a disaster with the 76ers going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS while getting blown out in all 3, losing by 15 at home to the Nets, by 16 at home to the Mavericks and by 23 at home to the Warriors. Plays on road teams (Atlanta) - after allowing 115 points or more in five consecutive games against an opponent that allowed 125 points or more last game are 32-9 (78%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Hawks Friday. |
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02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers OVER 227.5 | Top | 128-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show |
20* NBA Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pistons/Blazers OVER 227.5 The OVER is 3-1 in Pistons last four games overall combining for 249 points with the Cavs, 251 points with the Clippers and 253 points with the Kings. They are a dead nuts OVER team with the way they are playing right now. And they didn't even have both Bogdanovic and Cunningham against the Kings last night, and both could return tonight which would make them an even better OVER bet. Injuries for the Blazers have hampered them all season, but they have been a very good offensive team when they've had Grant (21.3 PPG), Brogdon (15.7 PPG, 5.5 APG) and Simons (23.2 PPG, 5.3 APG) on the court at the same time. These three are all probable, plus they could have Scoot Henderson (12.8 PPG) and DeAndre Ayton (13.8 PPG) on the court tonight, who are both questionable. Detroit is 17-6 OVER as a road underdog this season. The Pistons are 30-15 OVER as underdogs this season. Detroit ranks 7th in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season, making them a dead nuts OVER team. This total of 227.5 is very low for a game involving the Pistons and with the current positive health of the Blazers. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-08-24 | Jazz v. Suns OVER 243 | Top | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Suns OVER 243 The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 9th in pace and 25th in defensive rating, but they can fill it up on offense. The Jazz have scored 123 or more points in 13 of their last 15 games overall. If they get to 123 tonight, this thing is sailing OVER. The Suns are fully healthy right now with Booker, Durant, Beal and Nurkic all on the court at the same time. They are an elite offensive team when that's the case, plus they have sharp shooters in Grayson Allen and Eric Gordon surrounding them. The Suns have scored at least 114 points in 13 of their last 14 games overall. These teams have met twice this season with the Suns winning 131-128 for 259 combined points in the first meeting and 140-137 in the 2nd meeting in OT for 277 combined points just two days later. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-08-24 | Arizona v. Utah +6 | Top | 105-99 | Push | 0 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Utah +6 The Utah Utes are a perfect 12-0 SU at home this season and should not be 6-point home underdogs to the Arizona Wildcats tonight. This line should be much closer to PK. The Utes will be more motivated for a win tonight than in any other game all season, and I expect them to pull off the upset to boost their tournament resume. We'll take the points for some insurance. Arizona has been very shaky on the road in Pac-12 play this season. The Wildcats are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four Pac-12 road games with three bad upset losses. They lost by 18 at Stanford as 12-point favorites, by 3 at Washington State as 9-point favorites and by 3 at Oregon State as 18.5-point favorites. Utah is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games after failing to cover the spread in three of its last four games. The Utes are 201-152 ATS in their last 353 home games. Bet Utah Thursday. |
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02-08-24 | Drexel v. NC-Wilmington OVER 136.5 | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
15* CBB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Drexel/UNC-Wilmington OVER 136.5 UNC-Wilmington is an elite offensive team scoring 80.7 points per game overall and 91.9 points per game at home. This total of 136.5 is very low for a game involving Wilmington. Six of their last seven games have seen 147 or more combined points. Drexel has gone OVER in four of its last six games with 137 or more combined points in four of those six games. And they haven't faced may elite offensive teams like Wilmington during this stretch. Drexel beat Wilmington 78-63 for 141 combined points in their first meeting this season on January 4th. Wilmington shot 31% from the field and 6-of-30 (20%) from 3 in that game and it still went OVER the 138.5-point total. Wilmington is due for some positive shooting regression at home in the rematch, where they are scoring 91.9 PPG this season as stated before. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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02-08-24 | Iowa v. Penn State +100 | 79-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
15* Iowa/Penn State Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Penn State ML +100 The Iowa Hawkeyes have some of the biggest home/road splits in the Big Ten since Fran McCaffery took over as head coach. That has proven to be the case again this season as they are 2-5 SU in true road games this season. They should not be favored on the road against Penn State tonight. The Nittany Lions are improving rapidly under Mike Rhoades this season. They beat Rutgers 61-46 as 7-point road dogs and Indiana 85-71 as 7-point road dogs in their last two games coming in. They also recently upset Wisconsin at home. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Iowa is 1-8 ATS off two straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers this season. The Hawkeyes are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. good ball handling teams that commit 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The Nittany Lions' ability to take care of the ball against Iowa's pressure will be their key to victory tonight. Bet Penn State Thursday. |
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02-07-24 | Pelicans +7.5 v. Clippers | 117-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Pelicans/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +7.5 This is a terrible spot for the Los Angeles Clippers and a great time to 'sell high' on them. They just completed a 6-1 road trip and have been on the road since January 26th. I always like fading teams in their first home game back from an extended road trip because there are a lot of distractions for them to deal with back home. Now the Clippers will be playing in their 8th different city in 13 days and their 3rd game in 4 days. They just played in a 149-144 shootout in Atlanta on Monday and won't have much left in the tank for the New Orleans Pelicans tonight. Meanwhile, the Pelicans will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days with a 138-100 blowout home win over the Raptors on Monday. They will be the much fresher team in this one, and the Pelicans have actually played some of their best basketball on the road this season. They are 11-4 SU in their last 15 road games with only two losses by more than 6 points. Plays on road underdogs (New Orleans) - after a combined score of 235 points or more against an opponent after a combined score of 265 points or more are 28-7 (80%) ATS over the last five seasons. The Pelicans own the Clippers, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Bet the Pelicans Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Hawks v. Celtics OVER 244 | Top | 117-125 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show |
20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Celtics OVER 244 The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team. They rank 4th in pace, 10th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating. Their defense gets even worse without C Clint Capela in their lineup as he is the only player that offers any resistance to the opposition at the rim. The OVER is 6-1 in Hawks last seven games overall with 246 or more combined points at the end of regulation in all seven games. They are averaging 262.3 combined points at the end of regulation in those seven games. This total of 244 is too low for a game involving Atlanta right now. The Celtics are fully healthy right now and a dangerous offensive team when that is the case. They rank 2nd in offensive rating this season. They can name their number here against the Hawks, which I think is 130-plus and the Hawks will do enough to keep pace to get this up and OVER the total. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 248 or more combined points in three of those. Atlanta is 8-1 OVER when revenging a loss by 10 points or more this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 234 | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Wizards OVER 234 The Cleveland Cavaliers are fully healthy right now and playing well offensively. They have scored at least 116 points in eight of their last 10 games overall. They are shooting a lot more 3-pointers this season which is a big reason for their uptick on offense. Now they face a dead nuts OVER team in the Washington Wizards who rank 1st in pace and 28th in defensive rating. The Wizards allow 125.8 points per game on 50.3% shooting at home this season. But they score 114.6 points per game on 48.3% shooting at home and should be able to put up enough to get this one up and OVER the total with the Cavaliers naming their number offensively. Washington is 16-3 OVER in its last 19 home games when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Wisconsin -5 v. Michigan | 68-72 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Wisconsin -5 I love the spot for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight. They will be max motivated coming off two consecutive losses to Nebraska (OT) and Purdue (by 6). They shot 1-for-13 from 3 in the 2H against Purdue otherwise they would have pulled off the upset. Now the Badgers take a big step down in competitive here against one of the most overrated teams in all of college basketball in the Michigan Wolverines. The Wolverines are 1-10 SU & 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall with their lone win coming against their biggest rivals in Ohio State, which is also way down this season. Michigan and Ohio State currently reside in the last place in the Big Ten. Michigan lost by 10 at home to Rutgers, by 19 at Michigan State, by 10 at home to Iowa, by 32 at Purdue and by 15 at home to Illinois in its last five games. So the Wolverines haven't even been competitive despite playing three games at home during this stretch. It's not asking much for the Badgers to cover this 5-point spread on the road tonight. Michigan is 1-12 ATS after failing to cover four or five of its last six games this season. Juwan Howard has lost this team and it wouldn't surprise me if he doesn't finish the season. A blowout loss to Wisconsin may be the last straw. Bet Wisconsin Wednesday. |
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02-07-24 | Valparaiso +21.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 61-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Valparaiso +21.5 Valparaiso is one of the most underrated teams in the MVC because of their poor 6-17 SU record. But the Beacons are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall and continuing to deliver for backers. They haven't lost any of their last nine games by more than 11 points. I backed the Beacons in a similar spot against Drake as my 25* MVC Game of the Year. Drake was coming off a huge win over Indiana State the game prior and was in a letdown spot. That proved to be the case as Drake only won by 11 as similar 20.5-point favorites. Now it is Indiana State in the letdown spot. The Sycamores are coming off a huge 75-67 home win over Drake on Saturday that solidified their spot in 1st place in the MVC. They beat Bradley in OT two games before and were flat in a 6-point win at Belmont the next game, which was sandwiched in between the Bradley/Drake games. I fully expect the Sycamores to be flat tonight, which is going to make it very difficult for them to cover this inflated 21.5-point spread. Valparaiso is 9-1 ATS as a road dog or PK this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as a road dog of 10 points or more. The Beacons are 8-0 ATS in road games vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game this season. They have done their best work on the road in 2023-24 and will give the Sycamores more of a fight than they bargained for tonight. Bet Valparaiso Wednesday. |
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02-06-24 | St. Mary's v. Pacific +21.5 | 84-43 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 13 m | Show | |
15* CBB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Pacific +21.5 St. Mary's is in the ultimate letdown spot tonight. They finally won at Gonzaga 64-62 Saturday night. After getting that monkey off their back, their motivation to beat Pacific is going to be at zero, especially since they just beat this team 76-28 at home on January 25th just over a week ago. Pacific shot 10-of-50 (20%) including 3-of-17 (17.6%) from 3 in that blowout loss to St. Mary's. But the Tigers have been much more competitive since that defeat. They only lost by 9 as 24.5-point home dogs to Gonzaga, by 5 as 2.5-point home dogs to Portland and by 6 as 22-point dogs at San Francisco. They are grossly undervalued right now due to that blowout loss to St. Mary's. Pacific is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games as a home dog of 10 points or more. The Tigers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12 points per game or more after 15-plus games. This one will be a lot closer than this line indicates simply because the Tigers want to redeem themselves and the Gaels want nothing to do with this game in a massive letdown spot. Bet Pacific Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | Thunder v. Jazz +3 | Top | 117-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show |
20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +3 The Utah Jazz want revenge from a 129-134 home loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder on January 18th. They are fully healthy and the fresher team right now playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. They are coming off a 123-108 home win over the Bucks to improve to 16-7 SU & 17-5-1 ATS at home this season the best ATS record at home in the entire NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder will be playing their 9th game in 15 days. This rough stretch has injuries piling up with Isaiah Joe out and Jalen Williams, Jaylin Williams and Cason Wallace all questionable. One of the Thunder's biggest strengths is their depth, and that is really getting tested right now. The Thunder needed double-OT to dispatch of the lowly Toronto Raptors as 8.5-point favorites last time out. I don't believe they should be favored on the road tonight given how tired they are and the fact that they now have to go into altitude in Salt Lake City and play an elite home team in the Jazz. Utah is 9-1 ATS in home games when playing with double revenge this season. The Jazz are 12-2 ATS in home games when revenging a loss this season. Plays on underdogs (Utah) - after scoring 115 points or more in two consecutive games against an opponent that scored 135 points or more last game are 46-14 (76.7%) ATS since 1996. Bet the Jazz Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | Michigan State v. Minnesota +3.5 | Top | 56-59 | Win | 100 | 22 h 57 m | Show |
20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Minnesota +3.5 Minnesota is the best covering team in the entire country going 14-7 SU & 18-3 ATS. That includes 12-3 SU & 14-1 ATS at home this season. The Golden Gophers continue to lack the respect they deserve as 3.5-point home dogs to the Michigan State Spartans tonight. Minnesota wants revenge from a 76-66 loss at Michigan State on January 18th just three weeks ago. But PG Elijah Hawkins (8.8 PPG, 7.8 APG) missed that game for the Gophers. He is their floor general and not having him on the road against the Spartans was a massive loss. Having him back for the rematch will make a massive difference. Michigan State is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 road games following a win. The Spartans are 0-7 ATS in thier last seven road games after covering two of their last three against the spread. The Spartans are 1-3 SU in their last four Big Ten road game with their lone win coming by 2 points at Maryland. Bet Minnesota Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | BYU v. Oklahoma +1 | 66-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma +1 I love the spot for Oklahoma tonight. They have lost three of their last four games coming in and will be highly motivated for a victory as a result. They are back home tonight where they are 11-2 SU at home this season. BYU is coming off consecutive wins over Texas at home and at West Virginia. This is a tough travel spot for the Cougars traveling from Provo to Morgantown and now all the way to Norman. This is a tired BYU team that I think runs out of gas tonight against a Sooners team that wants it more. BYU is 64-96 ATS in its last 160 road games against a good team that wins 60-80% of their games. Porter Moser is 9-2 ATS in home games vs. top caliber teams that outscore their opponents by 12 or more points per game as the coach of Oklahoma. Bet Oklahoma Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | Clemson +8.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 80-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
20* Clemson/UNC ESPN No-Brainer on Clemson +8.5 The UNC Tar Heels are in the ultimate letdown spot tonight. They are coming off a 93-84 win Saturday night against their biggest rivals in the Duke Blue Devils. They already beat Clemson on the road earlier this season and won't be that motivated to beat them again. Clemson goes from a 3-point home favorite against UNC in that first meeting to an 8.5-point road dog in the rematch. That's a massive adjustment. The Tigers will be highly motivated for a victory after losing two of their last three. They lost by a single point at Duke and lost by 1 at home to Virginia. Clemson has some 3-point luck coming their way. The Tigers shot 1-of-18 (5.6%) from 3 against North Carolina in that first meeting. They are shooting 30.1% from 3 in ACC play but are a much better shooting team than that making 35.2% on the season. Opponents are only making 26.8% from 3 against UNC in ACC play, so the Tar Heels are due for some regression in that department. Opponents are hitting 37.3% from 3 against Clemson in ACC play, so they are due for some positive regression. The Tigers have been one of the most unlucky teams in the ACC. Clemson is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games after committing five or fewer turnovers last game. The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game. Bet Clemson Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | Wake Forest v. Georgia Tech OVER 150 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 39 m | Show |
20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Wake Forest/Georgia Tech OVER 150 Wake Forest is a dead nuts OVER team. The Demon Deacons are scoring 80.7 points per game this season. In fact, 11 of Wake Forest's last 12 games have seen 147 or more combined points. They rank 25th in adjusted offense. This total is 150.5 is very low for a game involving Wake Forest. Georgia Tech ranks 94th in adjusted offense and 182nd in adjusted defense making them more of an OVER team. The Yellow Jackets are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 147 or more combined points in seven of those 10 games. Wake Forest is 14-4 OVER in its last 18 road games. The Demon Deacons are 7-0 OVER in their last seven games after scoring 95 points or more. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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02-06-24 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -3.5 | 65-68 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
15* SEC PLAY OF THE DAY on South Carolina -3.5 What more does South Carolina have to do to get some respect? The Gamecocks are 19-3 SU & 16-5 ATS this season including 11-1 SU at home. They have covered 5 straight coming into this one with upset road wins at Arkansas, Tennessee and Georgia as well as home wins over Kentucky by 17 and Missouri by 8. Ole Miss has not fared well on the road in SEC play. The Rebels are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four road games losing by 26 at Tennessee, by 9 at LSU and by 23 at Auburn with their lone road win coming against an overrated Texas A&M team. South Carolina is a balanced team that ranks 58th in adjusted offense and 42nd in adjusted defense. They are 24th in effective FG percentage defense and only allow 32.2% 3-point shooting. Ole Miss is great on offense but just 143rd in adjusted defense. They are 352nd in allowing offensive rebounds defensively. They rely heavily on the 3-pointer on offense, making this a great matchup for South Carolina. They Gamecocks will dominate on the glass in this one as well which will be the key to victory. South Carolina is 11-1 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams that make 72% or better this season. The Gamecocks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. good shooting teams that make 45% or better. Ole Miss is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by 8 or more points per game. Bet South Carolina Tuesday. |
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02-05-24 | Kings v. Cavs -4 | Top | 110-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Cavaliers -4 The Cleveland Cavaliers have gone 13-1 SU & 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall. They have done a lot of this damage without key players in Evan Mobley and Darius Garland. But both are back healthy now and the Cavaliers are as close to full strength as they have been all season. I like them to cover this short number at home against a Sacramento Kings team that is in a tough spot tonight. The Kings have to be fatigued playing their 7th consecutive road game tonight. They will also be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days. I don't expect them to have much left in the tank for the Cavaliers tonight. Sacramento is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games off two or more consecutive road wins. Cleveland is 12-4 ATS against good offensive teams that score 116 or more points per game this season. Plays against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Sacramento) - after covering four of its last five against the spread, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet the Cavaliers Monday. |
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02-04-24 | Blazers +14 v. Nuggets | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +14 I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. They will be out for revenge from a 120-108 road loss to the Denver Nuggets on Friday. Now they get to play the Nuggets again here just two days later on Sunday. They will be the more motivated team in this rematch. The Portland Trail Blazers are a dangerous team when healthy, which is the case for them right now. These are the types of teams you can make money on in the NBA because they have a poor 15-34 SU record and the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But the Blazers have shown what they are capable of in their last three games when healthy. They upset the 76ers 130-104 as 9-point home dogs and upset the Bucks 119-116 as 10.5-point home dogs. They only lost by 12 as 14-point road dogs to the Nuggets and Jerami Grant was a late scratch with back tightness. There's a chance they get Grant back today, but having Simons, Brogdon, Ayton and Henderson healthy and playing is enough. Being the defending champs comes with a tax for the Nuggets. This team is struggling to get margin largely because they get everyone's best shot. In fact, the Nuggets haven't won any of their last 12 games by more than 12 points, making for a 12-0 system backing the Blazers pertaining to this 14-point spread. The Nuggets aren't going to be all that motivated to beat Portland again, which is going to make it tough to get margin. Bet the Blazers Sunday. |
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02-04-24 | Nebraska v. Illinois -9.5 | 84-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* CBB Sunday Night Line Mistake on Illinois -9.5 Nebraska has some of the biggest home/road splits in the country. The Huskers haven't lost a Big Ten home game, but it is also true they haven't won a Big Ten road game. The Huskers are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their five Big Ten road games losing by 11 at Minnesota, by 16 at Wisconsin, by 18 at Iowa, by 5 at Rutgers and by 22 at Maryland. Now this is a terrible spot for the Huskers coming off their big OT win over Wisconsin at home on Thursday. They have just two days off in between games to get ready for this game at Illinois. They are a banged up team right now with a laundry list of injuries to boot. Now they must travel to face a rested Illinois team that has had the last four days off since a 87-75 win at Ohio State. The Fighting Illini have been one of the most underrated teams in the country going 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They just got their best player in Terrance Shannon Jr. back and are a real threat to win the Big Ten and make a deep run in the tournament. I expect them to win this game by double-digits today to give us the cover. Illinois is 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five home meetings with Nebraska with the last two wins coming by 16 points each. Nebraska is 2-14 ATS in its last 16 Big Ten road games. The Fighting Illini are 6-0 ATS vs. teams that make 8 or more 3-pointers per game this season. Bet Illinois Sunday. |
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02-04-24 | Purdue v. Wisconsin +2.5 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
20* Purdue/Wisconsin CBS No-Brainer on Wisconsin +2.5 The Wisconsin Badgers should not be home underdogs to the Purdue Boilermakers today. The Badgers are 11-1 SU & 8-4 ATS at home this season. This will be Purdue's toughest road test of the entire season today. Purdue's six Big Ten road games have come against Northwestern, Maryland, Nebraska, Indiana, Iowa and Rutgers. They lost at Northwestern and lost by 16 at Nebraska as 7.5-point favorites. Wisconsin took Nebraska to OT last time out and lost in what was a lookahead spot. They will come back fully focused today. Purdue is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games following six or more consecutive wins. The Boilermakers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games as road favorites of 6 points or less or PK. The Badgers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games vs. top teams that outscore their opponents by 12-plus points per game. Wisconsin is 3-2 SU & 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings with Purdue with both narrow losses coming by 4 and 2 points. Bet Wisconsin Sunday. |
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02-03-24 | Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
20* Lakers/Knicks ABC No-Brainer on UNDER 226.5 The New York Knicks are a dead nuts UNDER team. They have gone 15-2 UNDER in their last 17 games overall with 226 or fewer combined points in 15 of those 17 games. It will be more of the same tonight as they host the Los Angeles Lakers on ABC. The Knicks are missing Julius Randle and Quentin Grimes right now and OG Anunoby is questionable after missing the past couple games. The Knicks have had to rely on defense more than ever of late without these guys. They struggle to get easy baskets on offense with only Jalen Brunson and DiVincenzo doing the heavy lifting without them. The Lakers have a bunch of injuries of their own that are hampering them offensively and forcing them to rely more on defense. LeBron James and Anthony Davis are both questionable after missing the last game, and Jared Vanderbilt and Cam Reddish are both out. The Lakers went for just 219 combined points with the Celtics last time out. The Lakers and Knicks have combined for 223 or fewer points in seven of their last nine meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |